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MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW U.S. Department of Labor Bureau ot Labor Statistics February 1983 nas https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In this issue: Em ploym ent and unem ploym ent in 1982 *• U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Raymond J. Donovan, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Janet L. Norwood, Commissioner The Monthly Labor Review is published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor. Communications on editorial matters should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, D.C. 20212. Phone: (202) 523-1327. Subscription price per year — $26 domestic; $32.50 foreign. Single copy $3.50. Subscription prices and distribution policies for the Monthly Labor Review (ISSN 0098-1818) and other Government publications are set by the Government Printing Office, an agency of the U.S. Congress. Send correspondence on circulation and subscription matters (including address changes) to: Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 Make checks payable to Superintendent of Documents. The Secretary of Labor has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Department. Use of funds for printing this periodical has been approved by the Director of the Office of Management and Budget through April 30, 1987. Second-class postage paid at Washington, D.C. and at additional mailing addresses. ISSN 0098-1818 Regional Commissioners for Bureau of Labor Statistics Region I — Boston: Anthony J. Ferrara 1603 JFK Federal Building, Government Center, Boston, Mass. 02203 Phone: (617) 223-6761 Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont Region II — New York: Samuel M. Ehrenhalt 1515 Broadway, Suite 3400, New York, N Y. 10036 Phone: (212) 944-3121 New Jersey New York Puerto Rico Virgin Islands Region III — Philadelphia: Alvin I Margulis 3535 Market Street P.O. Box 13309, Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 Phone: (215) 596-1154 Delaware District of Columbia Maryland Pennsylvania Virginia West Virginia Region IV — Atlanta: Donald M. Cruse 1371 Peachtree Street, N.E., Atlanta, Ga. 30367 Phone: (404) 881-4418 Alabama Florida Georgia Kentucky Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Region V — Chicago: William £ Rice 9th Floor, Federal Office Building, 230 S. Dearborn Street, Chicago, III. 60604 Phone: (312) 353-1880 Illinois Indiana Michigan Minnesota Ohio Wisconsin Region VI — Dallas: Bryan Richey Second Floor, 555 Griffin Square Building, Dallas, Tex. 75202 Phone: (214) 767-6971 Arkansas Louisiana New Mexico Oklahoma Texas Regions VII and VIII — Kansas City: Elliott A. Browar 911 Walnut Street, Kansas City, Mo. 64106 Phone: (816) 374-2481 VII Iowa Kansas Missouri Nebraska VIII Colorado Montana North Dakota South Dakota Utah Wyoming February cover: “ Lumber Mill Interior,” a tempera painting on fiberboard by Jerry Bywaters, courtesy National Museum of American Art (transfer from Works Progress Administration), Washington, D.C. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regions IX and X — San Francisco: D. Bruce Hanchett 450 Golden Gate Avenue, Box 36017, San Francisco, Calif. 94102 Phone: (415) 556-4678 IX American Samoa Arizona California Guam Hawaii Nevada Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands X Alaska Idaho Oregon Washington ■+ MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW FEBRUARY 1983 VOLUME 106, NUMBER 2 l ib r a r y MAk 8 Henry Lowenstern, Editor-in-Chief Robert W. Fisher, Executive Editor 1983 M. A. Urquhart, M. A. Hewson 3 Unemployment continued to rise in 1982 as recession deepened By the end of the year, the unemployment rate had reached a double-digit level; all sectors and all worker groups were affected, with men age 20 and over the hardest hit Shirley J. Smith 13 Estimating annual hours of labor force activity Two new measures show wide variations in labor among population subgroups; patterns relate to occupation, race, sex, age, family status, and the business cycle Constance Sorrentino 23 International comparisons of labor force participation, 1960-81 Of nine industrial nations, rates of labor force activity have risen since 1960 in the U.S. and three other countries, remained stable in one, and declined in four REPORTS J. A. Bunn, J. E. Triplett 37 Reconciling the CPI-U and the PCE Deflator: 3rd quarter Anne McDougall Young 39 Recent trends in higher education and labor force activity https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis D EPARTM ENTS 2 37 39 44 46 51 57 Labor month in review Anatomy of price change Research summaries Major agreements expiring next month Developments in industrial relations Book reviews Current labor statistics Labor M onth In Review ROLL CALL. With release this month of data on the January employment situation, the Bureau of Labor Statistics began publishing a new unemployment rate and other labor force series in which members of the Armed Forces stationed in the United States are included in the employment count. Implications of this important change were discussed in an article in the November issue of the Monthly Labor Review. Here are some specific questions and answers about the new data. Why are persons in the resident Arm ed Forces being included in the unemployment rate? The National Commission on Em ployment and Unemployment Statistics, established in 1978 to review our Nation’s labor force data system, deter mined that with the change to a vol unteer system, military employment is not substantively different from civilian employment. The Commission, there fore, recommended in its final report, Counting the Labor Force, that military personnel stationed in the United States be counted in employment and labor force totals and thus be reflected in the overall unemployment rate. How will the addition o f persons in the resident Armed Forces affect the measurement o f employment and unemployment? Addition of the resident Armed Forces to the number employed will add about 1.7 million to the civilian level. Because those in the Armed Forces are employed, the count of the unemployed will not be affected. The new unemploy ment rate that includes the resident Armed Forces in the labor force base will be one- or two-tenths of a percen tage point below the civilian unemploy ment rate. For men, the new jobless rate will be two- or three-tenths of a point below the civilian rate, while for women, the two rates will generally be identical. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Will this new unemployment rate be seasonally adjusted? How will its month-to-month movements differ from those o f the civilian rate? The new unemployment rate will be available on both a seasonally adjusted and an unadjusted basis. While there will be no seasonal adjustment of the level of the resident Armed Forces, the other components of this unemployment rate—that is, the civilian labor force and the unemployed—will be seasonally ad justed to yield an adjusted jobless rate. The month-to-month movements in the two unemployment rates will be quite similar and normally will vary by onetenth of a percentage point or less. Who is counted in the resident Armed Forces? The Bureau of Labor Statistics will use information on Armed Forces members stationed in the United States provided by the Department of Defense. Included will be those persons on active military duty stationed in any of the 50 States; persons on active duty with the Coast Guard; Army, Air Force, and Marine reserve forces on active duty training or tours for extended periods; and National Guard personnel on initial active duty training. Navy personnel on ships are counted in the resident Armed Forces if their ship’s home port is in the United States and the ship is not deployed to the Mediterranean, the Mideast, the Far East, or the Indian Ocean. How much does the size o f the resi dent Armed Forces fluctuate, and what would happen if the military draft were resumed? The resident Armed Forces has ranged from 1.2 million at the inception of the data series in 1950 to 2.3 million in 1968. However, the year-to-year change in the annual average size of the resident military over the past 10 years has not exceeded 60,000 and has averaged only 30,000. Fluctuations as small as these have virtually no impact on the unemployment rate. If the military draft were resumed, b l s would examine the effect it would have on the data. The National Commission suggested that “ the size of the military draft and the degree to which it would change the pre sent composition under a voluntary system would largely determine whether the military forces should be separated from the civilian labor force.” Why is the count o f the Armed Forces limited to those residing in the United States? Just as civilian employment includes only persons residing in the United States, the count of the Armed Forces is similarly defined. The size of the entire Armed Forces, including military per sonnel stationed overseas, is about 2.2 million, and has ranged from 1.6 million in 1950 to 3.5 million in 1968 and 1969. How will this change affect the measurement o f unemployment fo r States and local areas? State and local labor force estimates will continue to be based on the civilian labor force. Because the Armed Forces are isolated from the local labor market—they do not contribute employ ment opportunities or in general provide a source of workers for civilian jobs in the community—the National Commis sion recommended that the military not be included in State and local area statistics. Therefore, when comparing jobless rates for the Nation as a whole with those for States or specific areas, the civilian-based rate should be used. BOTH THE NEW s e r ie s including the resi dent Armed Forces and the civilian unemployment rate will appear in the Current Labor Statistics section of the March Review. Further information on the change appears in the February issue of Employment and Earnings. □ Unemployment continued to rise in 1982 as recession deepened By yearend, the overall unemployment rate had reached a double-digit level; all sectors and all worker groups were affected, with men age 20 and over the hardest hit M ic h a e l A. U rquhart and M a r il l y n A . H ew so n The economy entered 1982 in a severe recession and labor market conditions deteriorated throughout the year. The unemployment rate, already high by historical standards at the onset of the recession in m id-1981, reached 10.8 percent at the end of 1982, higher than at any time in post-World War II history. The current recession followed on the heels of the brief 1980 recession, from which several key goods in dustries had experienced only limited recovery. Hous ing, automobiles, and steel, plus many of the industries that supply these basic industries, were in a prolonged downturn spanning 3 years or more, and bore the brunt of the 1981-82 job cutbacks. Unemployment rose throughout 1982 and, by Sep tember, the overall rate had reached double digits for the first time since 1941. A total of 12 million persons were jobless by yearend— an increase of 4.2 million per sons since the prerecession low of July 1981.1 Unem ployment rates for every major worker group reached postwar highs, with men age 20 and over particularly hard hit.2 Chart 1 shows the increase in the unemployment rate from peak to trough of the business cycle of all eight postwar recessions.3 The severity of each recession is measured by the actual magnitude at the recession Michael A. Urquhart is an economist in the Division of Employment and Unemployment Analysis, and Marillyn A. Hewson is an econo mist formerly in the Division of Monthly Industry Employment Sta tistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis trough and the extent of the change from peak to trough. The current recession is similar to the 1973-75 recession in terms of length and severity. The 3.6-percentage-point increase in the jobless rate was considera bly above the 2.9 average for all previous recessions, but is about the same as the rise of 3.8 points in 1973-75, when the recession lasted 16 months. Howev er, because the current cycle began with the highest un employment rate for any business cycle peak, the sub sequent increase easily pushed it higher than that of any other recession. The chart also illustrates an uptrend in the unem ployment rate since 1969. Numerous factors— including changes in the demographic composition of the labor force, and in unemployment insurance and welfare laws— have been suggested as partly responsible for this trend.4 But the biggest contributor has been the poor performance of the economy in recent years. For example, since 1969, recoveries have generally been weaker and shorter in duration than their predecessors. Indeed, the recovery from the 1980 recession lasted only 12 months and reduced the overall unemployment rate by only 0.6 percentage point, compared with an average decline of 2.7 points in all previous recoveries. Some analysts have pointed to the weakness of the 1980-81 recovery as evidence that there was really only one long recession spanning from the beginning of 1980 to the present.5 Such a view is not inconsistent with the general upward movement of the overall unemployment rate during this period. The 7.4-percent unemployment 3 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Unemployment Continued to Rise Chart 1. Unemployment rates during the eight postwar recessions (seasonally adjusted) Percent 1948-49 1953-54 1957-58 1960-61 1969-70 1973-75 1980 1981-821 'Includ es data through D ecem ber 1982. Most industries cut jobs Virtually all sectors of the economy were affected ad versely by the economic contraction, including the gen erally more stable services sector. The widespread nature of the 1982 job curtailments was clearly evident in the BLS diffusion index of private nonagricultural payroll employment.6 In the fourth quarter, only 24 per cent of the 186 industries included in the index reported job gains. The pattern of job losses during 1982 was an exten sion of the deterioration that characterized the Nation’s economy in late 1981. In the first quarter of 1982, non farm payroll employment (as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ survey of establishments) declined more than half a million. The rate of decline moderated slightly in the second quarter, followed by a sharp de cline in the job count in the third quarter. (See table 1.) This stemmed partly from the fact that some companies stepped up production to meet the boost in consumer spending that was expected with the midyear tax cut, and when spending did not rise as expected, production cutbacks and additional layoffs occurred. Declines con tinued into the fourth quarter, and by December, the number of payroll jobs lost since the onset of the reces sion had reached 2.9 million, exceeding the postwar re cord drop of 2.3 million during the severe 1973-75 recession. Goods-producing industries. Although the impact of the downturn was pervasive, the sharpest job cutbacks took place in the goods-producing sector. While this sector represented less than 30 percent of total nonfarm pay roll employment, it accounted for 9 of every 10 jobs lost during 1982. After 8 years of almost continuous employment growth, the mining industry suffered sizable declines in 1982. The number of mining jobs dropped more than 150,000 from its fourth-quarter 1981 level. The reduc tion stemmed largely from cutbacks in oil and gas ex traction as improvements in energy efficiency, the global recession, and high prices reduced demand for oil and natural gas. Mortgage rates remained high throughout most of the year, and the resulting contraction in resi dential construction activity coupled with the impact of the recessionary environment on nonresidential con- rate that prevailed in the first 3 quarters of 1981 was only two-tenths below the high reached in the third quarter of 1980. Some worker groups— particularly blacks and teenagers— experienced no significant de cline in their jobless rate over the late 1980-early 1981 recovery period. 4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 180,000, respectively, between the fourth quarters of 1981 and 1982. The nonelectrical machinery industry underwent an even more precipitous decline, falling nearly 400,000 by yearend. Together, these three indus tries accounted for more than three-fifths of the durable goods cutbacks in 1982. As indicated above, significant employment declines in the automotive industry had already taken place be fore 1982.7These continued and were joined by job cur tailments in aircraft, shipbuilding, and railroad equip ment. As a consequence employment declines in overall transportation equipment totaled almost 180,000 from its fourth-quarter 1981 level to its lowest level since 1962. The recession took its toll on the electric and elec tronic equipment industry, as cutbacks totaled more than 100,000. Other durable goods industries which are closely tied to the construction industry were hard hit by the more than 3-year deterioration in the housing market. Lumber and wood products; stone, clay and glass; and furniture and fixtures all had sharp employ ment declines in 1982. struction demand gave rise to a 225,000 decline in con struction employment in 1982, following a 160,000 decline in the last 2 quarters of 1981. Even with severe job curtailments in construction and mining, three-fourths of the employment declines in the goods sector occurred in manufacturing, as every major manufacturing industry registered some decrease in 1982. It should be emphasized that many of the Na tion’s basic manufacturing industries were confronted with serious structural problems prior to the onset of the economic downturn in 1980— particularly autos, steel, machinery, and textiles. Deficiencies in investment emphasized the need to modernize plants in some indus tries, but the persistently high interest rates and slug gish demand of the last 3 years exacerbated the problems of these sagging industries. The largest job reductions within manufacturing dur ing 1982 occurred in the major metals and nonelectrical machinery industries, reflecting the slump in the auto industry, mounting import competition, and a retrench ment in capital spending plans. Employment declines in primary and fabricated metals totaled 260,000 and Table 1. Employees on nonagricultural payrolls, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted quarterly averages, 1981-82 [In thousands] 1982 1981 Industry division and group T o ta l..................................................... I II III IV p I II III IV 90,945 91,172 91,360 90,954 90,408 90,029 89,371 88,687 24,588 1,200 3,958 19,430 24,179 1,153 3,955 19,071 23,676 1,087 3,903 18,686 23,103 1,048 3,841 18,214 Goods-producing...................................... Mining .................................................................. Construction.......................................................... Manufacturing ..................................................... 25,559 1,113 4,274 20,172 25,577 1,033 4,230 20,314 25,646 1,179 4,148 20,319 25,159 1,201 4,066 19,892 Durable goods ................................................. Lumber and wood products ........................ Furniture and fixtures................................... Stone, clay, and glass products .................. Primary metal Industries............................... Fabricated metal products ........................... Machinery, except electrical........................ Electric and electronic equipm ent............... Transportation equipment............................. Instruments and related products ............... Miscellaneous manufacturing Industries . . . . 12,120 685 461 646 1,136 1,596 2,481 2,080 1,906 721 408 12,228 690 472 645 1,138 1,611 2,504 2,100 1,933 725 410 12,226 672 475 642 1,130 1,610 2,533 2,114 1,903 733 415 11,895 629 463 620 1,080 1,553 2,510 2,076 1,827 728 411 11,562 608 449 594 1,023 1,505 2,441 2,047 1,776 718 400 11,303 616 443 583 949 1,468 2,363 2,031 1,749 711 390 11,009 615 440 575 887 1,429 2,237 2,008 1,729 704 385 10,585 617 434 558 817 1,371 2,115 1,957 1,652 689 3/5 Nondurable goods............................................ Food and kindred products........................... Tobacco manufactures ............................... Textile mill products...................................... Apparel and other textile products ............. Paper and allied products ........................... Printing and publishing................................. Chemicals and allied products .................... Petroleum and coal products ...................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastic products . Leather and leather products ...................... 8,052 1,688 70 827 1,241 689 1,255 1,108 215 727 232 8,086 1,683 71 829 1,248 690 1,262 1,109 217 743 234 8,093 1,665 70 830 1,254 692 1,271 1,109 216 749 236 7,997 1,662 69 804 1,233 681 1,276 1,103 215 725 229 7,868 1,659 68 772 1,196 671 1,276 1,092 208 708 217 7,768 1,644 67 758 1,164 661 1,272 1,078 206 706 212 7,677 1,633 64 738 1,138 656 1,268 1,068 206 698 208 7,629 1,639 62 727 1,135 651 1,266 1,058 207 680 204 Service-producing ................................... 65,386 65,595 65,714 65,795 65,819 65,850 65,696 65,584 Transportation and public utilities........................ Wholesale and retail trad e................................... Wholesale trade ............................................... Retail trade ..................................................... Finance, insurance, and real estate .................... Services .............................................................. Government.......................................................... Federal ............................................................ State . . ............................................................. 5,146 20,413 5,327 15,087 5,262 18,383 16,183 2,789 13,394 5,161 20,547 5,359 15,188 5,294 18,518 16,075 2,776 13,300 5,172 20,643 5,382 15,262 5,319 18,659 15,921 2,769 13,151 5,147 20,600 5,371 15,230 5,327 18,807 15,914 2,754 13,160 5,113 20,652 5,342 15,310 5,329 18,867 15,858 2,738 13,120 5,091 20,610 5,320 15,290 5,343 18,960 15,846 2,732 13,113 5,033 20,552 5,283 15,269 5,362 19,058 15,690 2,737 12,953 4,993 20,376 5,229 15,147 5,365 19,114 15,736 2,726 13,010 p= preliminary. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Unemployment Continued to Rise The nondurable goods sector also suffered steep cut backs during the year, losing more than 365,000 jobs. A positive note in this sector was that the magnitude of the declines lessened in each successive quarter of 1982. Although all of the nondurable industry groups experi enced job declines, the largest number of losses was in apparel. Textiles and rubber and plastic products also were hard hit, as the pervasive weakness in the auto in dustry was reflected in these supplier industries. The number of jobs in textiles and apparel has trended downward for years, primarily because of stiff competi tion from foreign imports, but 1982 job losses were ex acerbated by the general economic contraction. The 1973-75 recession is generally regarded as the most severe of prior postwar recessions and, as such, provides a useful benchmark for assessing the magni tude of the current downturn in manufacturing. Chart 2 depicts the relative employment changes in total manu facturing, durable goods, and nondurable goods manu facturing by indexing the respective series to its peak level during each recession. To provide a broader per spective, each plot begins 1 year prior to the peak of the employment series. By November 1982, the 1981-82 relative employment decline in manufacturing was not as great as that for 1973-75 at the same number of months (16) from the peak; however, employment had dropped much more rapidly than it did in 1973-75, and if the decline con tinues into 1983, it will exceed the relative decline expe rienced in 1973-75. For durable goods, however, employment not only had fallen much more rapidly in 1981-82 than in the 1973-75 downturn, but also had already experienced a greater relative decline. Employ ment in the nondurable goods sector, while declining steeper in the first 12 months of the current recession than in 1973-75, actually fared better in the next 4 months of the cycle as the rate of decline slowed. Table 2 shows th e . manufacturing industry employ ment declines in the current recession and in 1973-75, revealing the varied impact of the two recessions. It also shows the relative decline over the 1979-82 period: demonstrating the point made earlier that several indus tries never fully recovered from the brief but sharp 1980 recession before plunging further in the current down turn. Employment in six industries (primary metals, fabri cated metal products, nonelectrical machinery, transpor tation equipment, tobacco, and petroleum and coal products), while still falling at the end of 1982, had al ready dropped by an equal or greater percentage than during the 1973-75 period. Because only a few indus tries had recovered sufficiently from the 1980 recession to surpass their prior employment peaks, the 1980 and 1981-82 recessions together constituted a deep and prolonged deterioration that has extended for more 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Chart 2. Relative changes in manufacturing employment during 1973-75 and 1981-82 recessions (Seasonally adjusted data) Peak month =100 Manufacturing 0 Peak month NOTE: Data for O ctober and November 1982 are preliminary. than 3 years for all but three manufacturing industries. Moreover, two key industries, primary metals and transportation equipment, when viewed over the longer period (1979-82), show employment declines about twice those of the 1973-75 downturn. Some industries, such as food, textiles, apparel, and leather, have been trending downward for many years and may not have returned to their 1979 levels during the 1980-81 re covery. These job cutbacks, of course, resulted in large in creases in unemployment rates in the goods-producing industries. The residential construction and auto manu facturing industries historically have been key indicators of the health of the economy, and their jobless rates of more than 20 percent signaled economic weakness in 1982. The unemployment rate for construction workers had risen steadily since late 1980, and was 22 percent by the end of 1982, while the rate for auto workers, which had been as low as 3.8 percent in early 1978, ended the year at 24 percent. Job curtailments in both the automobile manufactur ing and housing construction industries brought about job cutbacks and higher unemployment rates in a host of supplier industries. Clearly, these supplier industries have been hard hit. Jobless rates among workers in the primary metals industry rose the most, posting a more than fourfold increase since late 1979. The following tabulation shows fourth-quarter seasonally adjusted un employment rates in selected manufacturing industries that are closely tied to the construction and automobile manufacturing industries: 1979 1980 1981 1982 Housing-related: Lumber and wood products . Stone, clay, and glass ......... Furniture and fixtures ......... 7.0 6.1 4.2 12.1 10.1 9.5 18.6 9.8 11.3 18.7 15.8 16.1 Auto-related: Primary m etals..................... Fabricated m etals................ Rubber and plastics ............ 5.3 6.4 8.5 8.9 10.5 10.5 11.3 12.1 11.1 26.0 18.4 14.5 Service-producing industries. Underscoring the widespread impact of the current economic downturn, the service-producing sector, although not as severely affect ed as the goods sector, declined somewhat during 1982. While this sector had shown some strength earlier in the recession, employment declined by nearly 400,000 from May to yearend. Only two major industry groups managed job gains for the year— the services industry and finance, insur ance, and real estate— but at a much reduced pace than in more normal times. The number of jobs in services— which includes activities ranging from lodging and recreation to medical, legal, educational, business, repair, and personal services— increased by 300,000 between https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 2. Employment declines in manufacturing indus tries, selected periods, 1973-82 ___________________ Percent decline1 Industry 1973-75 1981-82 1979-82 Durable goods: Lumber and wood products .................... Furniture and fixtures............................... Stone, clay, and glass products ............. Primary metal Industries........................... Fabricated metal products ...................... Machinery, except electrical.................... Electric and electronic equipm ent........... Transportation equipment........................ Instruments and related products ........... Miscellaneous manufacturing ............... 22.7 21.3 15.3 15.5 15.2 10.3 17.9 13.2 9.8 13.7 12.5 9.0 14.7 29.4 15.6 17.5 8.4 15.7 6.7 11.0 21.6 14.1 22.8 36.8 21.3 17.6 9.8 23.0 6.7 17.1 Nondurable goods: Food and kindred products...................... Tobacco manufactures .......................... Textile mill products................................. Apparel and other textile products ......... Paper and allied products ...................... Printing and publishing............................. Chemicals and allied products ............... Petroleum and coal products .................. Rubber and misc. plastic products ......... Leather and leather products.................. 5.2 7.6 19.3 18.1 12.4 3.9 6.3 5.1 16.7 17.8 3.5 14.1 13.8 10.3 6.5 1.0 5.0 5.1 10.0 15.1 6.3 15.3 19.7 16.0 8.6 1.0 5.6 5.1 15.2 19.8 1The months in which the high and the low occurred in each industry varied considerably and are available upon request from the Bureau. the fourth quarters of 1981 and 1982. Finance, insur ance, and real estate were up 35,000 over the same peri od. Sharp declines occurred in transportation and public utilities, where job losses totaled more than 150.000 in 1982. Most of the cutbacks were in transpor tation where employment turned downward in the sec ond half of 1981, paralleling the slowdown in the goods sector. Jobs in wholesale and retail trade decreased by 225.000 during 1982, with most of the cutbacks in the fourth quarter. Employment in the public sector failed to provide the stability it has historically shown during periods of eco nomic downturn. Government employment dropped by more than 175,000 in 1982, continuing the declines that began in m id-1980. The decrease was primarily in State and local government, stemming largely from severe budgetary problems and smaller school enrollments. Unemployment widespread Age and sex. Unemployment developments in 1982 dif fered widely by age and sex, with adult men (those age 20 and over) being hardest hit. (See table 3.) The sub stantial increase in joblessness for men pushed their rate above that for women for all of 1982. Since July 1981, the rate for men rose almost 4.5 percentage points to 10.1 percent in December, while the rate for women went up about 2.5 points to 9.2 percent. This contrasts sharply with the 1973-75 recession, when increases were about the same for men and women (4.4 and 4.0 points) and the rate for men remained well below that for women, reaching a high of 7.3 percent, compared to 8.5 percent for women. 7 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Unemployment Continued to Rise The employment situation for teenagers continued to worsen in 1982; their unemployment rate has shown a step-like pattern of deterioration since m id-1979. The teenage jobless rate leveled off in the final months of 1982, but was still a record 24.5 percent in December, more than 3 points above the rate reached during the 1973-75 recession. The disproportionate impact of the recession on adult males is clearly illustrated below. The following tabula tion provides the seasonally adjusted quarterly unem ployment rates for men and women by age since the onset of the current downturn: 1981 1982 III quarter____ IV quarter Age All workers, age 16 and over................................ Teenagers....................... Adults, age 20 and over . Age 20-24 ................... Age 25-54 ................... Age 55 and over ......... Men 7.1 19.5 6.1 12.6 5.3 3.5 Women Men 7.9 18.7 6.8 11.3 6.2 3.9 11.1 25.7 10.0 17.7 9.2 6.2 Women 10.1 22.7 9.0 14.1 8.5 4.9 About 70 percent of the increase in unemployment between the third quarter of 1981 and the fourth quar ter of 1982 occurred among men, with all age groups registering sharp increases. In fact, by the end of 1982, the rates for men had surpassed those for women of corresponding age groups by a substantial margin. women in 1982. But, the reverse was true when the ma jor groups within each sector were examined: while the year-to-year increase in joblessness was greater for men than for women, the industry/occupational jobless rates for women were still generally higher. This means that the lower overall rate for women is explained by their greater concentration in the service-producing sector, which, on average, has a much lower jobless rate than the goods sector; nearly 80 percent of all women are employed in the service sector. Family and household relationship. During 1982, an av erage of 8.0 million families had at least one member unemployed. This represents 13 percent of all families, up from about 10.5 percent in 1981. There was a corre sponding decline (from 63.5 to 59.5 percent) in the pro portion of families experiencing unemployment that still had at least one member working full time. In families where the husband was unemployed in 1982, only 40 percent had at least one member working full time, compared with 71 percent when the wife was unemployed. Only 10 percent of families maintained by Table 3. Unemployment rates by selected demographic characteristic and occupation, seasonally adjusted quar terly averages, 1981-82 1981 Item 1982 1 II III IV I II 7.4 7.4 7.4 8.3 8.8 6.1 6.0 6.1 7.1 7.8 III IV 9.4 10.0 10.7 8.4 9.1 10.0 9.0 Characteristic Occupations. Much of the greater impact of the econom ic decline on men can be attributed to their con centration in the more cyclical blue-collar occupations: men accounted for 81 percent of employment in these occupations, compared with only 46 percent of whitecollar jobs. Unemployment among blue-collar workers increased 6.3 points, to 16.1 percent, between the third quarter of 1981 and the fourth quarter of 1982. (See ta ble 3.) The increase was sharpest for factory operatives, whose 20.7-percent rate in the fourth quarter was up al most 10 points. In contrast, the rise for white-collar workers was only about 1.5 percentage points, reaching a high of 5.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 1982. Ser vice workers unemployment rose moderately in 1982, finishing the year at 11.4 percent. For all major occupations, increases in the unemploy ment rates between 1981 and 1982 were greater in the goods-producing sector than in service-producing. Over all joblessness in the goods sector increased about 4 points to 13.4 percent, compared with a rise of about 1 point in the services sector to 7.4 percent.8(See table 4.) The comparison of male and female unemployment rates by occupational groups within the goods- and ser vice-producing sectors was particularly noteworthy. The overall unemployment rate was higher for men than for 8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Total (all civilian workers) Men, 20 years and o v e r .......................... Women, 20 years and o v e r .......................... Teenagers, 16-19 years ........................ 6.6 6.6 6.8 7.2 7.6 8.2 8.4 19.1 19.1 19.1 21.2 21.9 22.7 23.9 24.3 W hite............................. B la c k ............................. Hispanic........................ 6.5 14.7 11.0 6.5 15.1 9.8 6.4 15.8 9.8 7.3 16.9 11.1 7.7 17.4 12.4 8.3 18.6 13.3 8.8 19.3 14.4 9.5 20.4 15.2 4.2 4.0 4.1 5.1 5.4 6.2 6.9 7.6 Married men, spouse present ...................... Married women, spouse present ...................... Women who maintain families...................... 5.9 5.7 5.8 6.4 6.7 7.3 7.4 8.1 10.0 10.3 10.7 10.6 10.6 11.8 12.0 12.3 Full-time workers ......... Part-time w o rk e rs......... 7.1 9.1 7.0 9.3 7.1 9.5 8.0 9.6 8.6 10.0 9.3 10.4 9.8 10.7 10.6 10.9 3.9 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.8 4.9 5.4 Occupation White-collar workers . .. Professional and technical............... Managers and admin istrators, except farm Salesworkers........... Clerical workers......... Blue-collar workers . . . . Craft and kindred workers.................. Operatives, except transport............... Transport equipment operatives............. Nonfarm laborers . . . Service workers ........... Farm w orkers............... 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.6 2.6 4.2 5.5 10.1 2.6 4.3 5.5 9.8 2.7 4.9 5.8 9.8 2.9 4.9 6.1 11.7 3.0 5.1 6.5 12.7 3.5 5.5 6.9 13.7 3.7 5.5 6.9 14.8 3.9 6.2 7.7 16.1 7.1 7.1 7.1 8.5 8.9 9.8 11.0 11.6 12.0 11.5 11.5 14.0 15.5 16.6 18.5 20.7 9.0 14.6 8.5 5.1 8.1 14.0 8.8 5.0 8.1 14.2 8.6 4.8 9.4 16.2 9.5 6.1 10.4 17.5 9.8 5.8 11.8 18.4 10.6 6.9 12.0 18.5 10.6 6.2 13.1 19.8 11.4 7.2 Table 4. Unemployment rates by selected occupations in the goods- and service-producing sectors, 1981-82 1982 1981 Characteristic Total ............................. M e n ........................... Women .................... Goods-producing ......... M e n ........................... Women .................... Service-producing......... M e n .......................... Women .................... Total 7.2 7.2 7.2 9.4 9.0 10.5 6.2 5.9 6.4 White- Blue- Service Total White- Blue- Service collar collar collar collar 4.3 3.0 5.3 3.7 2.5 5.6 4.4 3.2 5.2 10.8 10.2 13.1 11.9 11.2 14.0 9.0 8.7 10.6 9.3 9.6 9.2 10.7 10.9 11.8 9.3 9.5 9.1 9.2 9.8 8.6 13.5 13.4 13.8 7.4 7.4 7.4 5.2 4.1 6.1 5.2 4.3 6.8 5.2 4.0 6.0 14.9 14.4 17.0 17.3 16.9 18.8 10.9 10.8 11.9 11.1 11.7 10.8 15.6 14.9 19.8 10.9 11.4 10.7 an unemployed woman had a member employed full time. Race-ethnic differences. The unemployment pattern among the major race-ethnic groups was similar to the overall pattern— minimal recovery from the 1980 reces sion and steadily increasing rates since m id-1981 to re cord highs in 1982. The recovery from the previous recession was weaker for blacks, and their unemploy ment rate began rising earlier than that for whites or Hispanics. As a result, blacks have had record jobless rates vir tually since the beginning of the recession, exceeding 20 percent during the last 3 months of 1982. The situation for black teenagers was especially severe, with an unem ployment rate hovering around 50 percent during most of the year. Jobless rates for whites and Hispanics also rose sharply in 1982. Since the third quarter of 1981, unem ployment among white workers was up about 3 points to 9.3 percent by the fourth quarter of 1982, while the rate for Hispanics was up about 5.5 points to 15.2 per cent. Reasons fo r unemployment. One characteristic of all eco nomic declines is the very pronounced increases in the number of persons losing jobs when firms cut back pro duction and, thus, reduce their work forces through temporary or permanent layoffs. As a result, the jobloser share of total unemployment tends to increase markedly over the course of a recession. In contrast, employees are less likely to quit in search of other jobs, and inactive persons are less likely to enter the labor force during downturns, so the share of unemployment represented by job leavers and labor force entrants tends to decline. The current recession has been marked by an unusu ally high proportion of job losers. (See table 5.) Their share of total unemployment remained at recession lev els, that is, above 50 percent, after the first quarter of 1980. It began to rise steadily in m id-1981 and, by late 1982, had surpassed 60 percent for the first time since https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis the data were first collected in 1967. Perhaps of more significance, job losers overall have accounted for an ex traordinarily high proportion of the increase in unem ployment. There were 7.3 million job losers in the fourth quarter of 1982, an increase of 3.2 million since the third quarter of 1981. They accounted for about 85 percent of the total increase in unemployment, com pared with only about 75 percent of the increase during the 1973-75 recession. Duration o f unemployment. Another important consider ation in the evaluation of overall unemployment is the duration of joblessness. Short spells of unemployment are often considered to be the result of frictions in the labor market, as workers move from job to job and la bor supply adjusts to changes in demand. The longer a period of unemployment, the greater the economic hardship that is normally associated with it. Both measures of average duration— the mean and the median— generally reflect overall economic perfor mance and move in the same direction as the unemploy ment rate, albeit with a lagged response at economic turning points. While duration declines during an eco nomic expansion, it can also continue to decline at the beginning of a downturn as the newly unemployed enter the jobless stream. Thus, both measures of average du ration declined in the fourth quarter of 1981 when un employment rose sharply. (See table 5.) With worsening joblessness in 1982, both measures of duration rose as the proportion of those unemployed 15 weeks or longer increased substantially, from about 26 percent in the fourth quarter of 1981 to 37 percent at the end of 1982. In the peak jobless quarter of the 1973-75 recession, 32 Table 5. Unemployed persons by duration of and reasons for unemployment, seasonally adjusted quarterly averages, 1981-82 _________________________ 1982 1981 Characteristic 1 II III IV 1 II III IV 3,280 2,381 2,336 1,092 1,244 3,297 2,471 2,242 1,101 1,141 3,391 2,469 2,205 1,093 1,112 3,852 2,851 2,352 1,204 1,149 3,823 3,082 2,705 1,431 1,274 3,802 3,311 3,288 1,633 1,655 3,965 3,381 3,687 1,806 1,881 3,971 3,507 4,474 2,089 2,385 14.1 13.8 14.0 13.2 13.8 15.2 16.1 17.5 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.8 7.5 8.9 8.7 9.9 Total unemployed 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Job losers .................... On layoff .................. Other job losers . . . . Job leavers .................. Reentrants.................... New entrants ............... 50.5 16.6 33.9 11.4 25.8 12.3 50.5 16.6 33.9 11.6 25.7 12.2 51.6 16.5 35.1 11.4 25.3 11.7 53.6 19.5 34.1 10.3 24.9 11.2 56.2 19.1 37.1 9.3 23.3 11.2 58.0 19.4 38.6 8.3 22.9 10.8 59.2 20.9 38.3 7.3 22.0 11.5 61.5 21.0 40.5 6.8 21.0 10.7 Duration (numbers in thousands) Less than 5 weeks . . . . 5 to 14 weeks................ 15 weeks and over . . . . 15 to 26 w e e k s ......... 27 weeks and over .. Average duration, in weeks ...................... Median duration, in weeks ...................... Reasons (percent distribution) 9 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Unemployment Continued to Rise Table 6. Discouraged workers, by selected character istics, seasonally adjusted quarterly averages, 1981-82 [In thousands] 1981 Characteristic 1982 I II III IV I II III IV Total ............................... Job market factors . . . Personal fa c to rs ......... 1,094 825 269 1,042 725 317 1,108 812 296 1,191 890 301 1,331 1,045 286 1,487 1,082 405 1,638 1,222 416 1,849 1,391 458 M e n ............................. Women ...................... 373 722 412 630 389 718 439 751 509 822 577 911 595 1,043 690 1,159 W h ite ........................... Black and other ......... 750 357 705 335 747 354 800 388 875 478 995 482 1,072 549 1,247 595 percent of the total were long-term jobless. By the fourth quarter of 1982, mean duration had reached 17.5 weeks, and the median duration, 9.9 weeks. Because of their lagging characteristic, both measures can be expected to continue rising into 1983, even if an im provement in the labor market begins soon. Shortened workweeks and discouragement. Just as the health of the economy influences unemployment, it similarly influences the number of people who report that they want a job but are not looking for one be cause they believe no work is available— so-called “dis couraged workers.” In addition, as the Nation enters a recession, employers frequently reduce hours where pos sible before laying off employees. Persons on such shortened workweeks are termed involuntary part-time workers. They, along with discouraged workers, are not reflected in the official count of unemployment, al though information on both groups is im portant in achieving a full appreciation of the nature and magni tude of the underutilization of human resources. Historically, the number of discouraged workers tends to move in tandem with overall unemployment.9 As a result of the general sluggishness of the economy during the last 3 years, the number of discouraged workers has risen almost continuously since m id-1979. The weak recovery of 1980-81 had almost no impact in reducing their numbers, and the current recession added 800,000 to their ranks. (See table 6.) There were 1.8 million discouraged workers in the final quarter of 1982, three-fourths of whom cited job market factors (as opposed to personal factors) as the reason for not looking for work. Although the recession-induced rise in discourage ment was pervasive, women and blacks (including other racial minorities) accounted for a disproportionate share of the increase. Their respective shares of the discour aged total were 63 and 32 percent in the fourth quarter of 1982; in contrast, they accounted for 43 and 13 per cent of the working-age population. The number of workers involuntarily on part-time schedules continued to increase throughout 1982 and, 10 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis by the fourth quarter, totaled about 6.7 million or 7.2 percent of the “at-work” population; both figures are the highest recorded since collection of the data began in 1955. Slack work, the most cyclical component of in voluntary part-time work, accounted for more than half this total. The following tabulation shows the number of involuntary part-time workers and their percentage of the “at-work” population (seasonally adjusted quar terly averages):10 Number (in thousands) Involuntary part time due to: Could find All Slack only reasons work part time 1981: I II Ill IV . . . . . . . . 4,579 4,435 4,746 5,341 4.8 4.7 5.0 5.7 2.5 2.3 2.5 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.3 1982: I II Ill IV . . . . . . . . 5,646 6,009 6,334 6,722 6.0 6.4 6.7 7.2 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.8 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.1 Besides a reduction in scheduled hours, the current high number of workers on shortened workweeks also reflects a growing tendency among employers to keep workers on short workweeks for longer periods.11 At the other end of the spectrum, it is clear that there are a growing number of would-be full-time workers who must accept part-time jobs if they want to work at all. Employment moves lower Total employment, as measured by the household survey, dropped by more than 1.1 million between the second quarter of 1981 and first quarter of 1982. De clines leveled off in the spring and summer months, with the employment total actually rising a bit, but the moderate rebound was erased in the fourth quarter.12 All three major age-sex groups registered declines, as total employment dropped more than 450,000 in the fi nal quarter, to 99.1 million. (See table 7.) The employment-population ratio provides an indica tion of the economy’s ability to generate enough jobs for a growing population, as the ratio is affected by changes in both the number of jobholders and in the working-age population.13 (See chart 3.) At 56.5 percent in December, the overall ratio was at its lowest level in more than 5 years. The 2.0-percentage-point decline in the current economic contraction was similar to the drop during the 1973-75 recession. However, if the de terioration is measured from its high of 59.4 percent in late 1979, the decline in the employment-population ra tio exceeded the mid-1970’s experience. Quarterly seasonally adjusted employment-population ratios for the major age-sex groups illustrate the heavy Labor force expands Table 7. Employed persons by selected categories, sea sonally adjusted quarterly averages, 1980-81 [In thousands] 1982 1981 Characteristic Total, 16 years and o v e r ...................... 1 II III IV 1 II III IV 100,204 100,789 100,520 100,087 99,660 99,720 99,605 99,135 6,905 6,733 6,619 6,445 6,394 Teenagers......... Men, 20 years and o v e r ............. Women, 20 years and over . . . . 7,476 7,347 7,180 53,478 53,760 53,739 53,351 53,085 53,052 52,838 52,591 39,250 39,682 39,601 39,831 39,842 40,048 40,322 40,150 White ............... Black ............... Hispanic origin .. 88,455 9,385 5,273 89,021 9,425 5,352 88,889 9,297 5,346 88,471 88,064 88,150 87,957 87,452 9,314 9,255 9,172 9,201 9,129 5,421 5,292 5,183 5,132 5,028 impact of the current recession on men. The teenage ra tio also fell sharply during the year, in the face of em ployment cutbacks amounting to almost 800,000. Adult women were not as adversely affected by the slump in economic activity, because of their concentration in the service-producing sector. The following tabulation shows the employment-population ratios from the third quarter of 1981 through the fourth quarter of 1982: 1981________________ 1982______ III IV I II III IV T o ta l........... 58.2 57.8 57.4 57.2 57.0 56.6 Teenagers........... 43.6 42.2 41.5 41.1 40.3 40.3 Adult men . . . . 72.4 71.5 70.9 70.5 70.0 69.3 Adult women . . 48.4 48.5 48.3 48.3 48.5 48.1 The different employment pattern of men and women in 1982 was symptomatic of the pattern displayed by full-time and part-time workers. The number of persons at work on full-time schedules (35 hours or more per week) in nonagricultural industries declined by 3.1 mil lion from the third-quarter 1981 level to 71.4 million in the fourth quarter of 1982. As employers cut back pro duction, reduced hours, and laid off workers, the num ber of full-time workers declined throughout 1982, reaching its lowest level since 1978 by yearend. Changes in the number of nonagricultural workers voluntarily on part-time schedules are generally much more volatile than those for full-time workers. After declining steadily from the onset of the recession in m id-1981 through the first quarter of 1982, the number of voluntary part-tim ers rose in both the second and third quarter, largely accounting for the small midyear pickup in total em ployment. As with the total, the voluntary part-timers fell again in the fourth quarter, to 12.4 million. Blacks and Hispanics suffered proportionally greater employment declines than whites in 1982. At 9.1 mil lion in the fourth quarter, black employment was 185,000 below a year earlier, while losses among His panics numbered 400,000 for the year. Employment among white workers was off more than 1 million over the year. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The civilian labor force grew about 1.9 million be tween the fourth quarters of 1981 and 1982, slightly more than in the previous 2 years, but considerably be low the pace of the late 1970’s. Whereas the two reces sions obviously contributed to the slowdown, there has also been a reduction in the number of persons reaching labor force age, as the baby-boom generation, nearly all of which has moved into adulthood, has been followed by a baby-bust generation. Thus, the number of teenag ers in the population has actually been declining since early 1978, and by 1982, had declined by 1.2 million. The teenage labor force was down 300,000 in 1982 from the fourth quarter of 1981, following a 500,000 drop in 1981. On the other hand, men and women each added about 1 million persons to the labor force in 1982; in 1981, the female labor force increase was twice that for men. (See table 8.) The percentage of the working-age population in the labor force— the labor force participation rate— was up slightly over the year, to 64.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 1982. This was solely the result of a contin ued increase in female labor force participation, which more than offset a decline in the teenage rate; male par ticipation was unchanged. The decrease in teenage par ticipation continued a trend which began in 1979. The participation rate for adult males, which has been on a downtrend throughout the postwar years, showed a further drop at the beginning of 1982. How ever, male participation did increase somewhat in the second quarter, to 78.8 percent and held there the rest of the year. Female participation, at 52.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 1982, increased through most of the recession to maintain its upward secular pattern of the past several decades. There were 43.9 million women in the labor force in the final quarter, 40 percent of the to tal number of persons in the work force. Table 8. Civilian labor force and participation rates, by major age-sex group, seasonally adjusted quarterly averages, 1981-82 [In thousands] 1982 1981 Characteristic 1 II III IV 1 II III IV Civilian labor force, to ta l............... 108,219 108,802 108,580 109,116 109,292 110,088 110,629 110,974 Men, 20 years and over ......... 56,951 57,222 57,211 57,421 57,558 57,920 58,158 58,420 Women, 20 42,030 42,494 42,491 42,938 43,107 43,602 44,006 44,111 years and over 8,443 8,566 8,466 8,757 8,626 9,087 8,878 9,239 Teenagers ......... Participation rates, total ............... Men, 20 years and over ......... Women, 20 years and over Teenagers ......... 63.9 64.1 63.7 63.8 63.7 64.0 64.1 64.1 79.2 79.2 78.8 78.8 78.6 78.8 78.8 78.8 51.9 56.4 52.3 55.8 52.0 54.9 52.3 54.6 52.3 54.2 52.7 54.1 53.0 53.9 52.9 54.1 11 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Unemployment Continued to Rise Chart 3. Employment-population ratio, seasonally adjusted quarterly averages, 1972-82 Percent 60.0 59.0 58.0 57.0 56.0 55.0 54.0 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 NOTE: Shaded areas denote a recession. Fourth quarter 1982 datum is an O ctober-Novem ber average. 1982, industry job cutbacks in the cur rent recession had exceeded those experienced in the se vere 1973-75 recession, and unemployment was still rising. The prolonged slack in economic activity that be gan in 1980 had severely affected the labor market, grad AT THE END OF ually spreading from a few major industries to virtually every industry and every worker group. By yearend, there were few signs that the labor market had begun to make the transition from recession to recovery. Q FOOTNOTES 1National Bureau of Economic Research business cycle peak. 2Data on labor force, total employment, and unemployment are de rived from the Current Population Survey ( c p s ), a sample survey of households conducted and tabulated by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Statistics on nonagricultural payroll employment and hours from the Current Employment Statistics Pro gram ( c e s ) are collected by State agencies from employer reports of payroll records and are tabulated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A description of the two surveys appears in the Bureau of Labor Statis tics monthly publication, E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s. 1Peak-to-trough dates for the eight post-World War II recessions have been designated by the National Bureau of Economic Research as follows: November 1948 to October 1949, July 1953 to May 1954, August 1957 to April 1958, April 1960 to February 1961, December 1969 to November 1970, November 1973 to March 1975, January 1980 to July 1980, July 1981 to a trough not yet identified. 4 For more on this topic, see the series of articles in the March 1979 issue of the M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , pp. 13-53. See Stephen H. Wildstrom, “One Recession or Two,” D a ta R e October 1982, pp. 1.12-1.14. 6See John F. Early, “Introduction of Diffusion Indexes,” E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, December 1974, pp. 7-11. 7See Douglas R. Fox, “Motor Vehicles, Model Year 1982,” S u r v e y o f C u r r e n t B u sin ess, October 1982, pp. 20-24. so u rces U.S. R ev ie w , 12 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 Annual averages were used as a basis for comparison when sea sonally adjusted data were not available. ’ See Carol M. Ondeck, “Discouraged workers’ link to jobless rate reaffirmed,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , October 1978, pp. 40-42. 10The data were seasonally adjusted especially for this study. In cluded in the total, but not shown separately, are the small number of workers on shortened workweeks because of material shortages and those who began or ended a job during the survey week. " See Robert W. Bednarzik, “Worksharing in the U.S.: its preva lence and duration,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , July 1980, pp. 3-12. 12The movements of total employment derived from the household survey and of nonfarm payroll jobs from the establishment survey were not always in tandem during the current recession, nor did the magnitude of change equate. Given the conceptual and sampling dif ferences between the two surveys, this was not unusual, although the change over the full cycle as reflected in the two series differed some what more than in past recessions. For a discussion of the differences in the estimates of employment derived from these two surveys, see Gloria P. Green and John Stinson, Jr., “Comparison of Nonagri cultural Employment Estimates from Two Surveys,” E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, March 1982, pp. 9-12. 13See Carol Boyd Leon, “The employment-population ratio: its val ue in labor force analysis,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , February 1981, pp. 36-45. Estimating annual hours of labor force activity Two new measures show wide variations in the amount of labor supplied by population subgroups; patterns relate to the occupation, race, sex, age, and fam ily status of individuals, and to phases of the business cycle S h ir l e y J. S m it h Today’s labor force is characterized by high turnover, and a diversity of work schedules tailored to the needs and opportunities of employers and available workers. The dynamic composition of the work force makes it diffcult to assess the true extent of labor force involve ment or job attachment within various groups of the population. An intergroup comparison of labor force participation rates for a given year yields one set of dif ferentials; a comparison of the proportions of persons economically active during the year gives an entirely different perspective; and, analysis of work schedules (as between full year, full time; part year, part time; and so forth) gives a third view of each group’s relative contri bution. Every statistic addresses a different aspect of the group’s labor force involvement, but none successfully summarizes time input on a single, meaningful scale. We know that different groups make varying portions of their year available for labor force activities. It is also clear that the economy uses some of these potential contributions more fully than it does others. But the di versity of work patterns within and between groups confounds our understanding of their respective work roles. For instance, annual earnings reports summarize the outcome of a group’s job market involvement dur ing a full year. But because individual time input varies so widely, it is hard to interpret the meaning of earn ings differentials or changes over time, even when we limit our analysis to so-called year-round, full-time workers. This article reports on experimentation with two new annual estimates, focusing on time in the labor force Shirley J. Smith is a demographic statistician in the Office of Employ ment and Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and time in employment (expressed in hours per year). These estimates are based on data drawn from the “work experience” supplement to the Current Popula tion Survey ( c p s ), which is administered each March. Methodology and applications For each person 16 years of age and over, the CPS March supplement includes a battery of questions on labor force activities during the previous calendar year. Survey respondents are asked about weeks worked, usu al hours worked per week, weeks worked part time, time spent in unemployment (including layoff), and a variety of other issues. By assembling the various ele ments of each person’s work profile, this study attempts to estimate average annual hours of labor force involve ment, and of job attachment, for various subgroups of the population during 1977, 1979, 1980, and 1981. The annual hours estimates. The work profile of the in dividual is translated into an estimate of his or her an nual hours of labor force attachment, as follows: (1) A HLF = [(Ww - W 0) X H J + (Wo X H po) + (W, X H u) where: AHLF = Annual hours of labor force partici pation during the previous year; Ww = Weeks worked during the year, including both full and part time; 13 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Estimating Annual Hours o f Labor Force Activity Wo = Weeks worked in other status (that is, part time for those who normally worked full time, or full time for those who normally worked part time); Hu = Usual hours worked per week by the in dividual when on his or her normal schedule; = Usual weekly hours in other status, a proxy value drawn from the usual hours of persons of the same age, sex, and race who normally worked on the other schedule (not controled for voluntary versus involuntary part time); and, W, = Weeks of unemployment (including lay off) reported by the individual. There are three terms in this equation. The first identifies the individual’s reported time at work on his or her normal schedule. The second quantifies time spent on an alternate schedule, and the third estimates hours of availability for work while unemployed (in cluding periods of layoff). Explicit in the last term is the assumption that the respondent would have worked his or her usual schedule during the period, if work had been available. By dropping the last term of the expression, we esti mate a second variable, annual hours of employment. This is computed as: (2) AHE = [(Ww - W o) x H J + ( W o X H p No attempt has been made to discount this employ ment figure for time spent with a job but not at work. The resulting AHE estimate is simply based on the as sumption that workers are paid for holidays and vaca tions.1 Because the estimates rest on this assumption, and on broad questions about time allocation— rather than em ployees’ diaries or employers’ records— they are, of course, approximate. Figures are most likely to be accu rate for persons with continuous work patterns. They are least satisfactory for those having variable terms of employment during the year. Although certain response biases are likely to occur in the CPS data, it will be seen that averages for most groups behave in a plausible and predictable manner. Although still experimental, the new statistics offer sev eral interesting new perspectives on labor force behav ior. Applications fo r the annual hours data. The estimates presented below have been developed in connection 14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis with the BLS worklife project, which attempts to esti mate the average duration of labor force involvement and of employment during a typical person’s lifetime.2 There are, however, a number of other equally interest ing uses for these data. Examined in cross-section, average AHLF figures indi cate the amount of labor supply normally offered by members of each group during a given year. Average AHE values show the degree to which their supply has actually been used. And, a ratio of total employment hours to civilian noninstitutionalized persons in the group indicates the availability of paid employment for that segment of the population. The average annual hours data suppress certain de tails of time allocation which confound group compari sons.3 At the same time, they emphasize others which are normally overlooked. The reference period for the estimates is a full year. Everyone who works (or looks for work) during that period is identified, and the re ported amount of his or her contribution is counted to ward aggregate labor time. For instance, equal weights are given to a woman who works 26 weeks at 40 hours per week and to one who works 52 weeks of 20 hours each. But the year-round worker who normally spends 45 hours per week on the job counts more heavily than one who normally averages only 40. These estimates distill each work pattern into a single scalar variable— time. They permit us to focus more sharply on the distinctions between groups, such as men and women; the young, prime age, and elderly workers; blacks and whites; persons of various educational back grounds; marital and parental groupings; and persons in different occupations and industries. Temporal compari sons show the extent of convergence or divergence among these groups and illustrate the effects of the business cycle on employment in specific sectors of the economy. Longitudinal analysis of annual work patterns The data presented below cover the period 1977 through 1981. The economic recovery following the 1973-75 recession is captured at two points: 1977 (mid way through) and 1979 (at its conclusion). Figures for 1979 portray the job market at near peak conditions; the year ended just as the economy was about to head into another downturn (January to July 1980). Both 1980 and 1981 were periods of reversal and decline. A modest recovery following the July 1980 trough ended in a minor peak 1 year later; thereafter, the economic picture darkened once more. Being annual estimates, these figures do not follow all of the ups and downs of these cycles, yet they appear to have been sufficiently sensitive to these developments to tally the extent of im pact felt by various demographic groups. Unless otherwise specified, the estimates which follow relate hours to persons economically active during the year. Those not working or looking for work have been excluded from the base. Levels o f participation and employment. As a point of reference, a person holding a job for 52 weeks at 40 hours per week, if paid for holidays and vacation time, would spend 2,080 hours in paid employment during the year. In reality, few demographic groups claim to be active in the labor force for an average of 2,080 hours annually. Even fewer are consistently able to maintain such a high level of employment. To do so, nearly all workers in the group must hold full-year full-time jobs; the group rate of labor force entry and exit must be in significant; and the worktime lost for reasons other than holidays and vacation must be nil. Only white men be tween the ages of 25 and 59 normally approach such a schedule. (See table 1.) In 1981, actively employed men averaged 1,850 hours of employment as against 1,445 for active women. Add Table 1. ing in periods of unemployment, their annual hours of labor force participation were 1,974 and 1,524, respec tively. The lower panel of table 1 shows a secular rise in the labor supply of women. Between 1977 and 1981, the annual average period of availability for work increased from 1,471 to 1,524 hours, or about 53 hours per active woman. (The simultaneous increase in numbers of wom en active had no bearing on this change.) White men showed a marginal decline in availability during the in terval, from 2,002 to 1,986 hours per year.4 Estimates of hours of employment are far more sensi tive to business conditions than are those for par ticipation as a whole. They reveal the cyclical vulnerability of certain groups, particularly those employed in the goods-producing sector. Production workers bear the brunt of a recession,5and because men more often than women hold these jobs, their hours re ports trace the clearer picture of business cycle impact. The average hours of employment per active man were Annual hours of paid employment and of labor force participation by sex, race, and age, selected years, 1977-81 Annual hours of employment Age in March of reference year Total Black and other White 1977 1979 1980 1981 1977 1979 1980 1981 1977 1979 1980 1981 Men, total .......................................................... 16 to 1 7 .......................................................... 18 to 1 9 .......................................................... 20 to 2 4 .......................................................... 25 to 3 4 .......................................................... 35 to 44 ......................................................... 45 to 54 ......................................................... 55 to 5 9 .......................................................... 60 to 6 4 .......................................................... 65 and over ................................................... 1,886 754 1,257 1,661 2,069 2,170 2,136 2,074 1,783 1,095 1,902 783 1,325 1,754 2,096 2,155 2,147 2,093 1,861 1,222 1,865 765 1,264 1,687 2,034 2,142 2,107 2,056 1,843 1,223 1,850 715 1,209 1,634 2,016 2,126 2,108 2,037 1,839 1,241 1,912 787 1,310 1,685 2,095 2,203 2,157 2,089 1,805 1,102 1,925 816 1,363 1,782 2,122 2,195 2,169 2,106 1,876 1,227 1,893 802 1,293 1,726 2,064 2,167 2,130 2,064 1,860 1,232 1,875 747 1,250 1,667 2,044 2,150 2,129 2,054 1,844 1,254 1,660 467 872 1,474 1,859 1,912 1,947 1,904 1,573 1,028 1,707 500 1,050 1,549 1,891 2,005 1,961 1,953 1,695 1,176 1,644 504 1,074 1,426 1,811 1,945 1,910 1,965 1,638 1,148 1,656 461 903 1,407 1,810 1,944 1,936 1,861 1,782 1,104 Women, total ..................................................... 16 to 1 7 .......................................................... 18 to 1 9 .......................................................... 20 to 2 4 .......................................................... 25 to 3 4 .......................................................... 35 to 4 4 ......................................................... 45 to 5 4 .......................................................... 55 to 5 9 .......................................................... 60 to 6 4 .......................................................... 65 and over ................................................... 1,392 613 1,068 1,385 1,445 1,499 1,579 1,612 1,366 963 1,431 665 1,152 1,443 1,514 1,556 1,613 1,635 1,466 983 1,443 665 1,127 1,443 1,524 1,566 1,617 1,613 1,476 1,043 1,445 644 1,074 1,417 1,531 1,577 1,621 1,600 1,470 1,030 1,397 638 1,108 1,416 1,445 1,489 1,577 1,623 1,383 980 1,433 698 1,183 1,464 1,507 1,538 1,610 1,642 1,477 1,008 1,444 685 1,166 1,468 1,519 1,544 1,615 1,620 1,481 1,084 1,449 669 1,122 1,440 1,531 1,564 1,615 1,617 1,477 1,048 1,356 394 746 1,193 1,512 1,553 1,591 1,504 1,216 831 1,420 437 910 1,306 1,555 1,662 1,637 1,576 1,374 774 1,433 501 845 1,298 1,552 1,698 1,629 1,551 1,430 703 1,419 462 747 1,277 1,523 1,650 1,661 1,475 1,415 877 Annual hours of labor force participation Men, total .......................................................... 16 to 1 7 .......................................................... '8 to 1 9 .......................................................... 20 to 2 4 .......................................................... 25 to 3 4 .......................................................... 35 to 4 4 .......................................................... 45 to 5 4 .......................................................... 55 to 5 9 .......................................................... 60 to 6 4 .......................................................... 65 and over ................................................... 1,985 854 1,435 1,836 2,169 2,242 2,197 2,135 1,860 1,152 1,982 883 1,467 1,884 2,185 2,233 2,207 2,141 1,908 1,250 1,981 878 1,466 1,880 2,170 2,235 2,181 2,119 1,910 1,257 1,974 832 1,422 1,848 2,162 2,225 2,182 2,113 1,894 1,274 2,002 881 1,468 1,848 2,187 2,267 2,214 2,147 1,878 1,157 1,998 914 1,493 1,901 2,201 2,248 2,224 2,151 1,920 1,252 1,997 906 1,491 1,902 2,185 2,249 2,196 2,126 1,919 1,253 1,986 857 1,444 1,862 2,174 2,239 2,197 2,125 1,894 1,276 1,838 692 1,240 1,752 2,030 2,053 2,053 2,010 1,694 1,108 1,845 615 1,269 1,754 2,054 2,109 2,058 2,034 1,777 1,233 1,854 683 1,306 1,732 2,058 2,128 2,051 2,038 1,811 1,295 1,879 630 1,263 1,754 2,074 2,115 2,055 1,983 1,892 1,259 Women, total ..................................................... 16 to 1 7 .......................................................... 18 to 1 9 .......................................................... 20 to 2 4 .......................................................... 25 to 34 .......................................................... 35 to 4 4 .......................................................... 45 to 5 4 .......................................................... 55 to 5 9 .......................................................... 60 to 6 4 .......................................................... 65 and over ................................................... 1,471 685 1,182 1,498 1,538 1,572 1,634 1,663 1,421 986 1,490 740 1,241 1,524 1,576 1,609 1,652 1,674 1,513 1,010 1,518 732 1,235 1,543 1,602 1,636 1,680 1,671 1,525 1,071 1,524 728 1,192 1,524 1,614 1,648 1,682 1,659 1,526 1,057 1,466 705 1,206 1,507 1,518 1,554 1,629 1,673 1,440 998 1,485 761 1,263 1,531 1,559 1,587 1,646 1,678 1,522 1,034 1,512 743 1,254 1,556 1,587 1,610 1,675 1,674 1,526 1,114 1,518 738 1,217 1,534 1,603 1,627 1,673 1,671 1,531 1,072 1,510 664 1,041 1,450 1,663 1,687 1,671 1,574 1,245 871 1,529 591 1,065 1,476 1,672 1,744 1,705 1,640 1,431 802 1,558 639 1,094 1,462 1,684 1,791 1,711 1,646 1,514 712 1,559 656 1,016 1,464 1,677 1,771 1,743 1,566 1,485 924 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 15 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Estimating Annual Hours o f Labor Force Activity 1,886 during 1977, an expansionary year, and reached 1,902 in 1979, when demand for labor was even higher. By 1981, however, they had dropped to 1,850 hours. Women also experienced a cyclical boost during 1979. But because of their increased commitment to the labor force and their heavier involvement in the service indus tries— which are less cyclically sensitive— they were able to maintain, and even to increase, their gains dur ing the slack years which followed. Racial differentials. During the period 1977-81, white men averaged about 140 more hours of labor force in volvement annually than did “black and other” men. Yet, perhaps because of differentials in job opportuni ties, whites were estimated to have worked about 235 more hours per year than did their minority counter parts. Active minority women reported more hours of avail ability than did whites— about 44 more per year. But because of higher rates of unemployment, they averaged about 24 fewer hours of work. The effects of recession were felt most heavily by mi nority workers. The total decline in hours worked from 1979 to 1981 was almost identical for white and black men, but the initial impact of recession in 1980 was felt most strongly among blacks and others. Both groups of women registered modest gains during 1980, but by 1981, only whites retained their average net gain over 1979 levels. Sexual disparity. During the 1977-81 period, the aver age active white woman worked about three-fourths as many hours as did her male counterpart. (See table 2.) The sex differential was widest between the ages of 25 and 44, when a high proportion of adults were raising families. There is evidence, reported below, that in the white community part of the economic burden carried by women temporarily passes to their husbands during this phase of the life cycle. Among blacks, the sex differential in hours worked was less pronounced. Although black women’s annual hours of work were very similar to those of white wom en, the relatively short work year reported by black men brought their hours more in line with those of black women. The ratio of female to male hours for this group was closer to 85 percent. Among minority groups, more so than among whites, there was a ten dency for both men and women to increase their workload during the prime ages; thus, the male-female differential in hours worked was more uniform across the life cycle. Reflecting both secular trends and cyclical swings, the male-female gap in annual hours of work narrowed considerably for both blacks and whites after 1977. The bulk of the convergence noted in 1979 was due to im 16 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis provements in the employment situation (including, per haps, occupational shifts) of women. Most of the nar rowing registered in 1980 was associated with a deterioration in the job market for men. Age differentials. Because most are still in school, per sons age 16 to 17 report fairly short periods of labor force involvement during the year— an average of 832 hours for men and just 728 for women in 1981. (See ta ble 1.) This availability function increases sharply with age, peaking for men between the ages of 35 and 44, and for women, between the ages of 45 and 54. At their highest levels in 1981, men reported being available for 2,225 hours of work, compared with 1,682 hours for women. As might be expected, those 16 to 24 registered the greatest employment setbacks during the slack years 1980 and 1981. Persons still working at age 65 regis tered slight increases in paid employment during this period, a rational response to an uncertain future on fixed income. Worktime lost through unemployment. Probably the least reliable set of estimates in the annual hours profile is that pertaining to unemployment (the last term in equation 1 above). It has been demonstrated that retro spective reports understate the length of bouts of unem ployment, particularly if the jobless spells took place several months prior to the CPS interview.6 This “recall bias” is especially detrimental to the unemployment es- Table 2. Ratio of women’s to men’s hours of work, total and by race and age, selected years, 1977-81 1977 1979 1980 1981 Total, all persons ................................... 16 to 17 .............................................. 18 to 19 .............................................. 20 to 24 .............................................. 25 to 34 .............................................. 35 to 44 .............................................. 45 to 54 .............................................. 55 to 59 .............................................. 60 to 64 .............................................. 65 and over ........................................ 73.8 81.3 85.0 83.4 70.3 69.1 73.9 77.7 76.6 87.9 75.2 84.9 86.9 82.3 72.2 71.5 75.1 78.1 78.8 80.4 77.4 86.9 89.2 85.5 74.9 73.1 76.7 78.5 80.1 85.3 78.1 90.1 88.8 86.7 75.9 74.2 76.9 78.5 79.9 83.0 Total, w hite.............................................. 16 to 17 .............................................. 18 to 19 .............................................. 20 to 24 .............................................. 25 to 34 .............................................. 35 to 44 .............................................. 45 to 54 .............................................. 55 to 59 .............................................. 60 to 64 .............................................. 65 and over ........................................ 73.1 81.1 84.6 84.0 69.0 67.6 73.1 77.7 76.6 88.9 74.4 85.5 86.8 82.2 71.0 70.1 74.2 78.0 78.7 82.2 76.3 85.4 90.2 85.1 73.6 71.3 75.8 78.5 79.6 88.0 77.3 89.6 89.8 86.4 74.9 72.7 75.9 78.7 80.1 83.6 Total, black and o th e r ............................. 16 to 17 .............................................. 18 to 19 .............................................. 20 10 24 .............................................. 25 to 34 .............................................. 35 to 44 .............................................. 45 to 54 .............................................. 55 to 59 .............................................. 60 to 64 .............................................. 65 and over ........................................ 81.7 82.8 85.6 81.0 81.3 81.2 81.7 79.0 77.3 80.8 83.2 87.4 86.7 84.3 82.2 82.9 83.5 80.7 81.1 65.8 87.2 99.4 78.6 90.4 85.7 87.3 85.3 78.9 87.3 61.2 85.7 100.2 82.7 90.8 84.6 84.9 85.8 79.3 79.4 79.4 Race and age Table 3. Estimated proportion of available worktime lost through unemployment by age and sex, selected years, 1977-81 Sex and age in March of reference year 1977 1979 1980 1981 Men, total ...................... 16 to 1 7 .................... 18 to 1 9 .................... 20 to 2 4 .................... 25 to 3 4 .................... 35 to 4 4 .................... 45 to 5 4 .................... 55 to 5 9 .................... 60 to 6 4 .................... 65 and over ............. 5.0 11.7 12.4 9.5 4.6 3.2 2.8 2.9 4.1 4.9 4.0 11.3 9.7 6.9 4.1 2.6 2.7 2.2 2.5 2.2 5.9 12.9 13.8 10.3 6.3 4.2 3.4 3.0 3.5 2.7 6.3 14.1 15.0 11.6 6.8 4.4 3.4 3.6 2.9 2.6 Women, total ............... 16 to 1 7 .................... 18 to 1 9 .................... 20 to 2 4 .................... 25 to 3 4 .................... 35 to 4 4 .................... 45 to 5 4 .................... 55 to 5 9 .................... 60 to 6 4 .................... 65 and over ............. 5.4 10.5 9.6 7.5 5.4 4.6 3.4 3.1 3.9 2.3 4.0 10.1 7.2 5.3 3.9 3.3 2.4 2.3 3.1 2.7 4.9 9.2 8.7 6.5 4.9 4.3 3.7 3.5 3.2 2.6 5.2 11.5 9.8 7.0 5.1 4.3 3.6 3.6 3.7 2.6 timates (and, thus, the AHLF statistics) for youth and women.7 Despite this probable bias, the annual hours data show an age profile which resembles (without actually matching) that of the annual average unemployment rates for the year, developed from the regular monthly Current Population Survey. (See table 3.) In 1981, men and women reported peak annual average unemploy ment rates of 22.0 and 20.7 percent at ages 16 to 17. However, the retrospective reports on annual hours lost to unemployment, as determined by the March 1982 CPS supplement, showed a conservative average of 14.1 percent for men and just 11.5 percent for women— fi gures which almost certainly understate the severity of the problem. Hours o f work per capita. The estimates mentioned so far relate hours to workers. They hold in abeyance group differentials in the proportion active during the year, spotlighting contrasts in the workload carried by those who do work. Firms commonly respond to reces sionary pressure by shortening the hours of employment offered to their workers; the hours-per-worker ratio helps measure the extent of this hours effect. But to study the economy’s success at providing em ployment for various groups, we must look at a differ ent ratio— hours of work per person.8 (See table 4.) When total hours are distributed across all persons in the population subgroup studied, only one group— white men age 35 to 44— consistently registers nearly “full employment,” or a potential schedule of 2,080 hours per person. Estimates for 1981 show that, during that year, the economy used just 1,783 hours of labor supply per minority man and only 1,249 per minority woman in the same age range. In the ages of peak activ ity for white women, 20 to 24, the group average was https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis only 1,170 hours. In terms of a 40-hour week, these fig ures represent 52, 44, 31, and 29 weeks per capita, respectively. The economy made use of only about 500 hours’ time per capita for white teenagers 16 to 17, and just 200 hours per capita for blacks and others in the same age group— the equivalent of 12.5 and 5 full weeks of work per person during 1981. Viewed in temporal series, these population averages show the pace of tightening labor demand during an economic recovery, and the outcome of combined hours and employment effects in times of job shortage. They indicate that the contraction of labor demand between 1979 and 1981 resulted in a drop in adult male employ ment equivalent to about 63 hours of work per capita annually. Substantial gains for some groups of women were offset by losses for others. The net gain for all women over the period was only 2 hours per person. Educational differentials. The annual hours tables show th at— beyond age 24, when most persons have complet ed their schooling— there is a positive relationship be tween years of schooling and hours worked per year. Workers with graduate training average substantially longer hours of employment than do their less educated peers. (See table 5.) Part of this differential is due to better employment opportunities, part to occupational selection. (Some of the professions made accessible by higher education, such as medicine and law, demand unusually long hours of work.) It is interesting to note that among persons active in the labor force, men without high school diplomas re port somewhat longer hours of work than do women of the same age with graduate training. Part of this dif ference is due to childbearing, which often entails short Table 4. Reported hours of employment per person1 by race, sex, and age, 1979-81 Men, total . 16 to 17 18 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 64 65 and over . Black and other White Total Sex and age 1979 1980 1981 1979 1980 1981 1979 1980 1981 . . . . . . . . . 1,554 583 1,178 1,646 2,032 2,098 1,980 1,735 1,194 1,509 537 1,103 1,574 1,963 2,048 1,937 1,706 1,140 1,491 504 1,044 1,515 1,940 2,039 1,941 1,705 1,098 1,591 647 1,236 1,696 2,070 2,132 2,016 1,779 1,220 1,551 598 1,159 1,634 2,015 2,092 1,977 1,746 1,173 1,531 564 1,112 1,577 1,985 2,075 1,975 1,747 1,124 1,272 244 810 1,308 1,751 1,823 1,698 1,339 947 1,212 250 801 1,211 1,613 1,728 1,620 1,348 839 1,210 213 642 1,143 1,639 1,783 1,668 1,334 865 .. 288 281 280 289 282 286 283 270 228 . . . . . . . . 838 442 923 1,157 1,116 1,120 1,023 839 533 842 420 875 1,160 1,125 1,121 1,057 845 526 840 393 814 1,125 1,145 1,152 1,054 822 520 838 491 996 1,203 1,104 1,101 1,026 839 534 841 463 953 1,206 1,117 1,100 1,055 847 530 841 436 891 1,170 1,145 1,135 1,050 823 516 835 209 529 903 1,185 1,242 1,002 838 520 845 207 481 915 1,173 1,244 1,074 ' 824 494 835 191 425 884 1,149 1,249 1,084 776 553 . 99 104 95 100 106 96 86 81 90 . . . . . . . . . Women, total 16 to 17 . 18 to 19 . 20 to 24 . 25 to 34 . 35 to 44 . 45 to 54 . 55 to 59 . 60 to 64 . 65 and over .. 1Base consists of all persons In the cohort, regardless of labor force status. 17 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Estimating Annual Hours o f Labor Force Activity Table 5. Average hours of work by educational attainment, sex, and age, 1981 Educational attainment Total Not high school graduate High school graduate only Men: 16 to 17 .................. 18 to 19 .................. 20 to 24 .................. 25 to 34 .................. 35 to 44 .................. 45 to 54 .................. 55 to 59 .................. 60 to 64 .................. 65 and over ............. 715 1,209 1,634 2,016 2,126 2,108 2,037 1,839 1,241 626 1,257 1,553 1,817 1,936 1,979 1,907 1,738 1,099 1,105 1,501 1,805 1,972 2,098 2,101 2,059 1,848 1,275 781 916 1,531 2,075 2,172 2,178 2,105 1,828 1,358 ( 2) ( 2) 1,228 2,130 2,336 2,276 2,200 1,993 1,509 Women: 16 to 17 .................. 18 to 19 .................. 20 to 24 .................. 25 to 34 .................. 35 to 44 .................. 45 to 54 .................. 55 to 59 .................. 60 to 64 .................. 65 and o v e r............. 644 1,075 1,417 1,531 1,577 1,621 1,600 1,470 1,030 548 908 1,108 1,237 1,471 1,530 1,485 1,386 982 990 1,349 1,471 1,502 1,586 1,622 1,612 1,468 1,045 716 883 1,443 1,577 1,569 1,658 1,672 1,539 1,066 ( 2) ( 2) 1,323 1,759 1,741 1,818 1,791 1,800 1,174 Sex and age Attended Attended graduate college' school' 1Nongraduates included. 2 Data not published because cell contained fewer than 35,000 observations. periods of economic inactivity for normally active wom en. The hours index penalizes labor force entrants (or reentrants) for such periods of inactivity during the year, negatively biasing female estimates. A second im portant factor, of course, is differences in the occupa tional mix of these two groups. Table 6 displays hours of work for all persons age 16 and over by educational attainment, race, and sex. The clear hours progression noted in table 5 is less apparent here, because the data reflect large numbers of persons still in high school or college. However, it is evident that in both racial groups, persons with higher educa tion work more hours per year. The table also shows that persons with higher education suffered less from employment cutbacks during the economic slump fol lowing 1979. In addition, it indicates that a dispropor tionate share of the hours gain for women (cited in table 1) occurred among the better-educated groups. Participation and fam ily roles. The fact that marital and parental responsibilities affect female labor supply is not news. Yet it is interesting to note the degree to which working women vary their length of labor force activity in accord with marital and parental roles. Among teenagers, for instance, the propensity to work is strongest for single women. (See table 7.) Yet of those who actually work, the newly m arried— who are setting up households— report the most hours of labor force involvement. From age 20 onward, women living with their husbands report a lower incidence of labor force involvement, and shorter periods of availability for work per active woman annually than do most other groups. The existence of an additional income in the 18 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis family apparently enables many of them to divide their time between market and home activities. At the oppo site extreme, the participation levels and reported hours of availability for single women resemble those of single men. Divorcees, most of whom have been independent for some time, also report fairly intense average work schedules suggestive of a high degree of self- (and fami ly-) support. The hours of women in the transitional state of separation fall somewhere between those of the currently married and the divorced groups. Widows who choose to work put in longer hours than do wom en of the same age who are living with husbands. The most striking feature of table 7 is the clarity with which marital roles of men are evident in their hours re ports. At most ages, the never-married report a relative ly light schedule. The work year of men separated or divorced— many of whom continue to support children — is somewhat longer. But those living with their wives show the strongest propensity to work overtime or car ry additional jobs. Their average availability figure in 1981 was 2,140 hours, or about 41 hours per week yearround. Parental labor force behavior is affected by both the number and the age of children in the home. (See table 8.) For example, among persons age 25 to 34 in 1981, the average man in a dual-earner household reported 2,176 hours of labor force activity if he was childless, but 2,259 if he had four to five children. The incentives for fathers of large families to work longer are twofold. Not only do additional children entail greater direct ex penses, but wives in such families average fewer hours of work (and consequently less income) with each addi tional child. In households where the wife did not work, Table 6. Average annual hours of work for all persons age 16 and over by educational attainment, sex, and race, 1979-81 Sex and educational attainment Total White Black and other 1979 1980 1981 1979 1980 1981 1979 1980 1981 1,902 1,865 1,850 1,925 1,893 1,875 1,707 1,644 1,656 1,615 1,572 1,549 1,632 1,590 1,564 1,526 1,472 1,463 2,013 1,946 1,953 1,921 1,929 2,035 1,900 1,962 1,979 1,946 1,955 1,921 1,828 1,768 1,735 1,694 1,716 1,717 2,181 2,147 2,137 2,191 2,159 2,144 2,024 1,977 2,054 1,431 1,443 1,445 1,433 1,444 1,449 1,420 1,433 1,419 1,155 1,154 1,159 1,157 1,152 1,158 1,146 1,161 1,162 1,519 1,463 1,512 1,486 1,514 1,475 1,516 1,457 1,511 1,477 1,515 1,469 1,543 1,509 1,518 1,555 1,507 1,516 1,667 1,714 1,716 1,648 1,714 1,716 1,847 1,714 1,716 Men T o ta l............... Not high school graduate............. High school graduate only .................... Attended college . . . Attended graduate school ............... Women T o ta l........... Not high school graduate............. High school graduate only .................... Attended college . . . Attended graduate school ............... Table 7. Proportions of persons economically active during the year, and annual hours of labor force participation per worker by marital status, sex, and age, 1981 Annual hours of participation per worker Proportion of population economically active1 Sex and age Never married Married, spouse present Men, total . . . . 16 to 17 . . . . 18 to 19 . . . . 20 to 24 . . . . 25 to 34 . . . . 35 to 44 . . . . 45 to 54 . . . . 55 to 59 . . . . 60 to 64 . . . . 65 and over . 75.2 63.7 79.0 84.9 88.4 81.0 72.7 62.1 47.5 20.9 81.1 81.5 93.2 95.3 96.4 95.6 92.8 84.7 61.7 23.9 Women, total .. 16 to 17 . . . . 18 to 19 . . . . 20 to 24 . . . . 25 to 34 . . . . 35 to 44 . . . . 45 to 54 . . . . 55 to 59 . . . . 60 to 64 . . . . 65 and over . 66.6 55.5 70.7 80.5 84.1 78.1 73.8 68.7 44.2 14.3 56.6 51.6 66.3 71.5 68.4 68.4 60.6 45.1 30.2 8.7 Divorced Separated 81.0 79.9 ( 2) ( 2) 93.7 89.6 92.3 81.7 69.1 46.6 19.9 ( 2) ( 2) 89.4 89.4 93.2 82.3 68.6 50.0 23.8 77.0 ( 2) 70.2 83.2 84.3 85.3 79.8 76.8 59.6 19.7 Married, spouse absent Widowed Divorced Separated 74.4 ( 2) ( 2) 85.2 89.2 91.0 90.8 84.1 52.2 22.0 31.3 1,559 811 1,351 1,689 2,052 2,110 2,018 2,153 1,777 1,665 2,140 1,715 2,019 2,123 2,204 2,242 2,205 2,125 1,908 1,267 2,116 2,092 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) 85.2 78.7 71.1 40.1 14.6 ( 2) ( 2) 2,034 2,149 2,198 2,086 2,026 1,815 1,302 ( 2) ( 2) 2,077 2,138 2,161 2,043 2,011 2,144 ( 2) 63.9 53.6 ( 2) 58.5 68.0 70.5 68.5 68.4 41.3 47.8 18.3 ( 2) 62.4 59.7 67.4 74.2 67.9 39.3 43.6 4.8 23.5 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) 61.4 67.6 65.6 58.8 38.4 8.2 1,383 714 1,140 1,541 1,902 1,934 1,943 1,863 1,705 1,244 1,520 1 877 1,389 1,491 1,484 1,564 1,615 1,561 1,470 996 1,853 ( 2) ( 2) 1,655 1,867 1,922 1,901 1,914 1,748 1,119 1,611 ( 2) 933 1,515 1,619 1,678 1,737 1,710 1,504 1Data refer to persons who were economically active at any time during 1981. the husband averaged up to 2,303 hours of labor force activity during the year— the equivalent of 44 hours per week, year-round. Parents who support and raise their children alone may find both roles compromised. Women maintaining households report having worked longer hours than those living with husbands. Yet within this group, those with the largest families work the fewest hours outside the home. Men in this situation report fewer hours of availability than do those in two-parent homes, and— like their female counterparts— put in still fewer hours if they have large families. In dual-earner households, a first birth appears to substantially reduce the wife’s labor force involvement, while at the same time boosting that of her husband. Both parents’ hours remain at altered levels as long as there are pre-school children in the home. Thereafter, working mothers begin to put in more hours on the job, yet their overall contribution remains well below that of childless women of the same age. Variations in full-year workloads. Time spent on the job is a continuous variable. Tabulations which force the data into discrete categories— such as full-year, full time work— give the impression that behavior within these cells is more or less homogeneous. In fact, there are great variations from group to group and year to year. The annual hours estimates enable us to study some of these within-cell variations. (See table 9.) For instance, full-year, full-time work is defined as 35 or more hours of employment during 50 or more weeks of the year. The minimum time input is therefore 1,750 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Never married Married, spouse present Married, spouse absent 1,962 ( 2) ( 2) 1,949 2,040 2,062 2,053 1,829 ( 2) ( 2) 1,469 ( 2) ( 2) 1,312 1,560 1,528 1,494 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) Widowed 1,703 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) 2,253 2,058 1,971 1,688 1,119 1,536 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) 1,661 1,723 1,762 1,736 1,502 1,063 2 Data not published because cell contained fewer than 35,000 observations. hours, even though the most frequently reported pattern — 52 weeks at 40 hours per week— implies a 2,080-hour year. Annual hours estimates indicate that the full-year, full-time concept has a different operation al meaning for men than it does for women. In 1981, men so classified averaged 163 more hours of paid em ployment than did women— the equivalent of 4 addi tional weeks at 40 hours per week. The expected racial differentials are also evident in these data: blacks work ing full time, year-round, report fewer hours on average than do their white counterparts. The estimates in the first section of table 9 identify all year-round workers, whether full or part time. They Table 8. Annual hours of labor force participation for selected groups age 25 to 34 by marital role, number of children, and age of youngest child, 1981 Male household heads, spouse present Item Number of children:1 None............................... 1 ................................... 2 or 3 ............................. 4 or 5 ............................. Age of youngest child:3 None present.................. First to be born within the next y e a r ............. Youngest under age 2 .. Youngest under age 5 .. Youngest age 5 to 16 . . . Economically active women Male household heads, no Wives of No spouse spouse household present present heads Wife not in labor force Wife in labor force 2,173 2,223 2,255 2,303 2,176 2,179 2,194 2,259 1,861 1,533 1,296 1,099 1,966 1,775 1,663 1,171 2,018 2,082 2,026 ( 2) 2,169 2,175 1,862 1,989 2,111 2,224 2,235 2,249 2,261 2,205 2,189 2,190 2,184 1,401 1,203 1,296 1,503 ( 2) 1,682 1,648 1,756 ( 2) 2,136 2,055 2,048 1Number of own children under age 18 living in the home in March 1982. 2 Data not published because cell contained fewer than 35,000 observations. 3 Age of youngest child in the home in March 1981. 19 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Estimating Annual Hours o f Labor Force Activity hours data penalize entrants and retirees for periods of inactivity, accessible jobs tend to be rated as having the lowest average hours of employment per worker during the year. (See table 10.) For instance, those in private household services report an average of only about 800 hours of paid employment per annum. (Because of the dearth of prime-age men in this industry, it is the only one in which women’s hours exceed those of men.) Workers in entertainment and recreation, which are of ten seasonal activities, register an average of less than 1,300 hours per year. Those in retail sales average about 1,500 hours. In each of these industries, a higher labor force accession rate of women contributes to their lower average work duration. Given the cyclical sensitivity of the construction in dustry, its workers report surprisingly stable hours of employment during the period in question. The normal workload for men appears to have been about 1,690 hours per year, or about 42 “full” weeks of employment — a level consistent with the seasonal nature of these jobs. Men in wholesale trade and in transportation, communications, and utilities also register highly consis tent work patterns over time. The longest work year is reported for the mining industry, which in 1977 aver aged 2,066 hours per worker. Men in the industry regis tered a high of 2,130 hours. Broken out by occupation, the data show that several groups of men spend greater portions of the year in paid employment than are consistent with a 40-hour week, 52-week year. (See table 11.) Medical practition ers, such as doctors and dentists, report an average of more than 2,400 hours per year— the equivalent of a year-round schedule of 46 hours per week. Managers, both farm and nonfarm, normally report well over 2,200 hours of work per year. The most extreme exam- Table 9. Annual hours of work reported by full-year workers and by full-year, full-time workers by sex and race, selected years, 1977-81 Full-year workers1 Full-year, full-time workers2 Sex and race 1977 1979 1980 1981 1977 1979 1980 1981 Men, total ......... W hite............. Black and other 2,231 2,242 2,121 2,227 2,238 2,130 2,211 2,219 2,134 2,199 2,209 2,114 2,295 2,306 2,186 2,291 2,302 2,185 2,277 2,286 2,195 2,270 2,280 2,185 Women, total . . . W h ite ............. Black and other 1,899 1,898 1,909 1,929 1,927 1,947 1,915 1,911 1,938 1,916 1,911 1,947 2,101 2,107 2,062 2,115 2,119 2,088 2,110 2,113 2,090 2,107 2,111 2,084 1Persons working 50 or more weeks during the year. 2 Persons working 35 or more hours per week during 50 or more weeks of the year. show that, among persons who work continuously, the average man spends nearly 300 more hours per year on the job than does the average woman— the equivalent of 8 additional 40-hour weeks. Hours by industry and occupation. The CPS work experi ence profiles identify the industry and occupation in which each respondent was employed for the greatest length of time during the year. Given present rates of job and occupational mobility, it would be unrealistic to assume that all worktime reported by an individual was spent on the same job. Nonetheless, because a dis proportionate share of all transfers occur between relat ed positions, the data probably convey quite a bit of information about persons normally found in each in dustrial and occupational cluster.9 People who enter and leave the job market repeated ly, or who enter for the first time, are often attracted to jobs with minimal entry requirements. Thus, the most accessible jobs tend to .be held by those with the weakest labor force attachments. Because the average Table 10. Annual hours of work by industry of longest employment during the year and sex, selected years, 1977-81 Total Industry Men Women 1977 1979 1980 1981 1977 1979 1980 1981 1977 1979 1980 1981 T o ta l......................................................................... 1,671 1,693 1,677 1,669 1,886 1,902 1,865 1,850 1,392 1,431 1,443 1,445 Agriculture........................................................................... Nonagricultural industries: Mining ......................................................................... Construction................................................................ Manufacturing: Durable goods.......................................................... Nondurable g o o d s ................................................... Transportation, communications, and public utilities............................................................ Trade and finance: Wholesale trade ..................................................... Retail tra d e .............................................................. Finance, insurance, and real e s ta te ........................ Services: Business and repair services ................................. Personal services: Private household services ................................. Other personal services ...................................... Entertainment and recreation ................................. Professional and related services .......................... Public administration ................................................... 1,728 1,768 1,762 1,727 1,863 1,957 1,932 1,882 1,063 1,126 1,140 1,156 1,972 1,673 2,066 1,720 2,045 1,675 1,956 1,674 1,996 1,689 2,130 1,745 2,078 1,692 1,987 1,696 1,772 1,300 1,624 1,433 1,814 1,474 1,784 1,434 1,914 1,797 1,923 1,821 1,890 1,801 1,900 1,788 1,986 1,954 1,997 1,981 1,955 1,954 1,954 1,933 1,688 1,551 1,720 1,601 1,704 1,600 1,748 1,598 1,926 1,941 1,923 1,935 1,999 2,007 2,004 2,012 1,651 1,740 1,705 1,725 1,938 1,532 1,803 1,942 1,513 1,820 1,954 1,508 1,836 1,926 1,499 1,818 2,071 1,775 1,984 2,077 1,797 2,000 2,066 1,773 1,971 2,060 1,747 1,958 1,558 1,240 1,647 1,606 1,268 1,699 1,630 1,284 1,742 1,596 1,286 1,717 1,644 1,700 1,713 1,691 1,816 1,905 1,879 1,862 1,260 1,334 1,395 1,378 823 1,487 1,299 1,653 1,829 796 1,475 1,260 1,661 1,850 801 1,535 1,298 1,672 1,810 798 1,486 1,262 1,676 1,858 526 1,762 1,444 1,934 1,972 639 1,810 1,435 1,952 2,006 508 1,834 1,459 1,940 1,957 591 1,799 1,422 1,925 1,994 783 1,327 978 1,492 1,535 817 1,308 1,018 1,514 1,588 843 1,383 1,063 1,540 1,577 834 1,323 1,036 1,550 1,645 20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 11. Annual hours of work by occupation of longest employment during the year and sex, selected years, 1977-81 Women Men Total Occupation 1977 1979 1980 1981 1977 1979 1980 1981 1977 1979 1980 Total ....................................................................... 1,671 1,693 1,677 1,669 1,863 1,957 1,932 1,882 1,392 1,431 1,443 1,445 Professional, technical, and kindred workers: Engineers..................................................................... Physicians, dentists, related practitioners .................. Health workers, except practitioners........................... Teachers, except college .......................................... Engineering, science technicians ............................... Other professional workers, salaried ........................ Other professional workers, self-employed............... 2,101 2,383 1,656 1,749 1,888 1,860 1,875 2,087 2,445 1,664 1,720 1,881 1,900 1,804 2,064 2,329 1,693 1,735 1,890 1,869 1,878 2,064 2,353 1,745 1,737 1,931 1,880 1,838 2,109 2,413 1,982 2,086 1,937 1,996 2,080 2,098 2,481 1,953 2,096 1,933 2,045 2,039 2,071 2,404 1,908 2,052 1,938 2,012 2,034 2,085 2,398 2,067 2,036 1,944 2,010 2,033 1,900 2,121 1,602 1,603 1,630 1,621 1,194 1,752 2,188 1,622 1,579 1,657 1,661 1,097 1,889 1,800 1,661 1,617 1,706 1,640 1,399 1,736 2,081 1,689 1,613 1,862 1,679 1,391 Managers and administrators, except farm: Salaried workers in manufacturing............................. Salaried workers in other industries ........................... Self-employed workers in retail tra d e ........................ Self-employed workers, except retail ........................ 2,295 2,141 2,460 2,124 2,245 2,157 2,314 2,270 2,206 2,126 2,326 2,158 2,218 2,122 2,324 2,132 2,348 2,275 2,664 2,200 2,303 2,272 2,583 2,337 2,264 2,240 2,564 2,200 2,263 2,233 2,565 2,216 1,894 1,793 1,999 1,594 1,896 1,911 1,860 1,893 1,891 1,884 1,902 1,818 1,933 1,886 1,888 1,672 Salesworkers: Retail trade ................................................................ Other salesworkers ................................................... 1,277 1,964 1,296 1,945 1,308 1,935 1,321 1,941 1,720 2,113 1,753 2,071 1,760 2,091 1,752 2,067 1,053 1,450 1,042 1,597 1,085 1,531 1,104 1,628 Clerical and kindred workers: Bookkeepers .............................................................. Office machine operators .......................................... Stenographers, typists, secretaries............................. Other clerical and kindred workers............................. 1,546 1,751 1,602 1,552 1,604 1,803 1,604 1,553 1,627 1,775 1,630 1,550 1,578 1,768 1,627 1,557 1,766 1,896 1,827 1,817 1,764 2,015 1,808 1,793 1,743 1,923 1,762 1,741 1,646 1,853 1,759 1,764 1,527 1,706 1,600 1,441 1,588 1,731 1,601 1,457 1,617 1,726 1,627 1,474 1,572 1,738 1,626 1,475 1,655 1,695 2,163 2,056 1,680 1,748 2,173 2,030 1,591 1,721 2,124 2,002 1,590 1,730 2,101 1,966 1,661 1,708 2,181 2,073 1,685 1,758 2,199 2,042 1,593 1,733 2,143 2,026 1,594 1,737 2,133 1,985 ( 1) 1,138 1,970 ( 1) 1,047 1,988 1,317 1,906 2,025 2,053 1,985 1,837 2,027 2,039 2,038 1,921 1,934 1,992 1,985 1,884 1,902 1,975 1,984 1,835 2,023 2,058 1,989 1,910 2,038 2,042 2,047 1,997 1,950 1,993 1,987 1,970 1,908 1,978 1,986 1,911 ( 1) 1,687 1,489 1,554 1,677 ( 1) 1,894 1,482 1,471 Operatives, except transport: Mine w o rkers.............................................................. Motor vehicle and equipment manufacturing............. Other durable goods................................................... Nondurable goods ..................................................... O ther........................................................................... 1,911 1,930 1,755 1,642 1,540 2,020 1,880 1,810 1,676 1,581 1,935 1,651 1,771 1,673 1,559 1,812 1,761 1,794 1,641 1,557 1,910 1,999 1,827 1,872 1,625 2,022 1,923 1,900 1,879 1,699 1,943 1,682 1,839 1,843 1,664 1,826 1,815 1,849 1,810 1,647 1,650 1,635 1,498 1,337 1,704 1,663 1,546 1,303 ( 1) 1,532 1,656 1,560 1,330 1,568 1,702 1,537 1,363 Transport equipment operatives: Drivers and delivery w o rkers...................................... All other....................................................................... 1,884 1,890 1,918 1,933 1,852 1,859 1,892 1,867 1,941 1,896 1,988 1,946 1,918 1,861 1,962 1,877 1,144 1,225 1,208 Laborers, except farm: Construction................................................................ Manufacturing ............................................................ Other industries ......................................................... 1,298 1,636 1,391 1,351 1,614 1,309 1,335 1,677 1,314 1,306 1,695 1,338 1,306 1,655 1,424 1,371 1,607 1,338 1,344 1,666 1,333 1,309 1,700 1,355 971 1,521 1,109 766 1,650 1,119 1,738 1,190 828 803 824 805 ( 1) (’) ( 1) 849 833 806 820 803 Craft and kindred workers: Carpenters.................................................................. Other construction craftworkers................................. Blue-collar work supervisors, n .e .c ............................. Machinists and job setters.......................................... Metal craftworkers, except mechanics, machinists, and job s e tte rs ....................................................... Automobile mechanics ............................................... Mechanics, except automobile................................... Other craftworkers..................................................... (') 909 1,982 ( 1) (’) (') (') (’) n n 1,712 (’) (') ( 1) (') n 1981 (') (') (’) (’) 1,855 (’) 1,191 1,750 1,221 1,667 1,232 Services: Private household workers ........................................ Services, except private household: Cleaning se rvice ..................................................... Food service............................................................ Health service ....................................................... Personal service ..................................................... Protective se rv ic e ................................................... 1,458 1,167 1,480 1,302 1,985 1,420 1,161 1,504 1,315 1,987 1,411 1,184 1,526 1,357 1,969 1,419 1,186 1,538 1,236 1,907 1,572 1,313 1,669 1,544 2,023 1,535 1,247 1,761 1,531 2,074 1,504 1,317 1,692 1,543 2,039 1,505 1,248 1,720 1,464 1,959 1,244 1,105 1,462 1,222 1,507 1,220 1,121 1,472 1,248 1,177 1,267 1,123 1,508 1,297 1,326 1,286 1,155 1,518 1,169 1,481 Farmers and farm managers ............................................ 2,350 2,351 2,348 2,321 2,393 2,427 2,439 2,411 1,749 1,642 1,521 1,571 Farm laborers and supervisors: Paid workers .............................................................. Unpaid family workers................................................. 1,373 1,259 1,390 1,260 1,395 1,364 1,317 1,337 1,574 1,579 1,626 1,386 1,552 1,579 1,458 1,448 775 1,188 689 1,191 769 1,241 760 1,274 1 Data not published because cell contained fewer than 35,000 observations. pie is self-employed managers in retail trade. During the period of observation, their shortest recorded work year was 2,564 hours in length (1980), their longest, 2,664 (1977). In year-round equivalents, these figures repre sent 49 and 51 hours per week. Women reported their longest average work years in the fields of medicine (about 2,050 hours), management https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis n.e.c.=not elsewhere classified. (1,800 to 2,000 hours), and blue-collar crafts supervi sion (about 1,960 hours). The peak reported workload — 2,188 hours for medical practitioners in 1979— was equivalent to a year-round schedule of 42 hours per week. Apart from private household workers, men regis tered their shortest average work years in the food ser21 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Estimating Annual Hours o f Labor Force Activity vices (about 1,275 hours) and general nonfarm labor (about 1,360 hours). The lowest average for women was reported in paid farm labor— 770 hours, or fewer than 20 “full” weeks of paid employment. The work schedule of employees in certain occupa tions, such as farm management, teaching, nonretail sales, typing and other clerical work, and private house hold and food services, appeared impervious to cyclical pressure. During the 1977-81 period, average annual schedules for these jobs varied by 30 hours or less. Oth er occupations were highly sensitive to economic change. Managers in nonmanufacturing enterprises, workers in a number of craft occupations, operatives producing and delivering goods, and self-employed managers in businesses other than retail trade (such as consulting) all found 1979 a particularly good year. Physicians and dentists were also unusually busy during 1979, perhaps because the public had more discretion ary income to spend for their services at that time. A few occupations registered consistent declines in annual hours of employment throughout the 1977-81 period. These included engineers ( —37 hours), machin ists ( —90 hours), metal crafts workers ( —123 hours), auto mechanics ( —78 hours), and operatives producing motor vehicles and equipment. The last group suffered most, realizing an average loss of 279 hours per worker between 1977 and 1980— the equivalent of almost 7 40-hour weeks of work per person. Modest but consis tent increases were registered among health and health service workers (89 and 58 hours, respectively), and in retail sales (44 hours). From 1979 onward, gains were also apparent among working teachers (17 hours), engi neering and science technicians (50 hours), laborers in manufacturing (81 hours) and in other industries (29 hours), and food service workers (25 hours). T he a n n u a l HOURS d a t a from the March CPS work experience supplement offer an interesting new window on labor force behavior for various groups. They enable us to condense information on work schedules, propor tions of persons active, and weeks of paid employment into a single scalar variable, one which can be used di rectly in multivariate analysis or can be translated into standard units of time for easy comprehension. While the data are still experimental, it is hoped that in time they will become a functional part of our profile of the labor force. □ FOOTNOTES ' This is likely to bias hours estimates more seriously for blacks and women than it does for white males. The March CPS supplement does not contain sufficient information to control for this factor. See Shirley J. Smith, T a b le s o f W o rk in g L ife : T h e I n c r e m e n t-D e c r e m e n t M o d e l, Bulletin 2135 (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1982), ap pendix B. An example is the difference between persons active during a given month and those active at any time during the calendar year. 4 Declines in stated availability may have been induced by deterio rating employment conditions for men during this period. 5For further discussion of group vulnerabilities, see Norman Bow ers, “Have employment patterns in recessions changed?” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , February 1981, pp. 15-28. 22 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6 See Francis W. Horvath, “Forgotten unemployment: recall bias in retrospective data,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , March 1982, pp. 40-43. 7Horvath estimates that between 1967 and 1979 “the degree of un derstatement ranged from 9 to 25 percent and averaged 19.1 percent. . . The understatement appeared to be smaller during periods of increas ing unemployment, such as 1974—75.” See Horvath, “Forgotten umemployment,” p. 42. 8The base of this ratio is the civilian noninstitutionalized popula tion. 9 Because these figures are not discounted for unpaid vacations or holidays, estimates of compensated time may be overstated for certain occupations. International comparisons of labor force participation, 1960-81 Since 1960, rates of labor force activity have risen in four industrial nations, remained stable in one, and declined in four others; overall national participation estimates mask significant variations in trends by age and sex Constance Sorrentino A nine-country comparison of labor force participation rates reveals wide international differences in the pro portion of the population offering their services in the labor market. For example, in 1981, when the U.S. la bor force participation rate was 64 percent, 67 percent of all Swedes but only 48 percent of all Italians of working age were in the labor force. Participation rates have risen in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Sweden over the past two decades but have declined in France, Germany,1 Italy, and Japan. British rates have remained virtually unchanged. Large international differences in participation rate levels and trends are especially apparent for women and young people. The differences for youth reflect varia tions in their propensity to continue in school or enter the labor market, or to combine work with school. The differences for women stem from their decision to work in the home or outside the home, to which the availabil ity of part-time jobs and attitudes toward the role of women are contributing factors. Data on participation rates help to explain the large Constance Sorrentino is an economist in the Division of Foreign La bor Statistics and Trade, Bureau of Labor Statistics https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis long-term differences in labor force trends among the industrial nations. For instance, the United States and Japan have had similar rates of population growth over the past two decades, yet the U.S. labor force has grown much faster than Japan’s because participation rates for women and youth have risen in the United States while they have been falling in Japan. Short-term deviations in the trend of participation rates are an indi cator of a dimension of labor slack— withdrawals from the labor force— which is not covered by the unemploy ment rate.2 This article presents internationally comparable data on civilian labor force participation rates3 for nine in dustrial nations over the past two decades. Participation rates are also presented separately by sex and for youths and adults, because overall rates mask marked differences in the trends and levels for men, women, young persons, and the elderly. The technical appendix gives a short description of data sources and adjustment methods. General levels and trends Labor force participation rates, also known as activi ty rates, were over 60 percent in 1980 in the United 23 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • International Comparisons o f Labor Force Participation States and five other nations— Canada, Australia, Ja pan, Great Britain, and Sweden. Sweden had the highest activity rate at 67 percent; in the other countries, the rates were 62 to 64 percent. Italy, with only 48 percent of the working-age population ecdnomically active, had the lowest rate among the countries studied.4 Germany and France also had relatively low rates, at 52 and 56 percent. Participation rates have risen significantly in the United States and Canada, and moderately in Australia and Sweden over the past two decades. In contrast, sharp declines in labor force activity have occurred in Germany, Italy, and Japan, and a more modest decline was posted in France. (In 1960, Japan had the highest participation rate at 68 percent and Canada the lowest, at 56 percent.) British participation rates have remained relatively stable over the 20 years. (See table 1.) In Canada and Sweden, the most rapid increases oc curred after 1970, and in the United States, after 1975. (Activity rates in Sweden had fallen slightly between 1960 and 1970.) In Australia and Great Britain, partici pation rates have declined slightly in recent years from m id-1970 peaks; whereas in the four countries with overall 20-year declines (France, Germany, Italy, and Japan), activity rates have stabilized in recent years. The overall activity rate is the net result of divergent movements for men and women in most countries. (Chart 1 shows these trends for six countries. The trends for Australia and Canada are similar to those for the United States. French trends are similar to those for Germany.) Moreover, the aggregate participation rate masks major differences in labor force behavior of young people and older persons. The United States, Canada, Australia, and Sweden showed aggregate participation rate growth from 1960 to 1980 because sharp increases in women’s activity more than offset declining rates for men. Further, these four countries were the only ones with higher youth participation rates in 1980 than in 1960. On the other hand, in the four countries with signifi cant declines in aggregate participation rates— France, Germany, Italy, and Japan— male rates fell more steep ly and female participation showed overall drops or only small increases. In addition, substantial declines in youth participation occurred in all of these countries. The relatively stable British participation rate over the past 20 years was the result of a sharp drop in male activity and an almost equally large increase in female activity. Youth participation declined moderately. A falloff in participation rates for older persons (age 55 and over) occurred in all countries studied. Partici pation rates for older men fell everywhere, but activity rose among 55- to 64-year-old women in all countries except Italy and Japan. For women age 65 and over, participation rates declined in all countries. 24 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Participation by men declines everywhere Participation rates for men declined in all countries throughout most of the post-1960 period. The largest drop occurred in Italy, where the rate fell from 85 to 68 percent over the past two decades. French and German men also had above average declines, while the smallest decreases occurred in Canada, Japan, and the United States. (See table 1.) The downward trend in male participation rates ob served in all the countries is largely attributable to long er years of schooling and earlier retirement. Changes in the age structure of the population also have some ef fect. For example, the movement of a greater propor tion of the male population into the retirement age group exerts a downward pressure on participation rates, even if ages at retirement do not change. Italy had the largest increase in the proportion of men age 65 and over in the population, from 10.9 percent in 1960 to 14.8 percent in 1980. Canada and the United States had very slight declines in their proportions of older men in the population. Male activity rates in 1980 ranged from a high of al most 80 percent in Japan and Australia to a low of 68 percent in Italy. With 77 percent of men economically active, the United States appeared in the middle of the ranking. Only three countries— France and Germany, in addition tc Italy— had fewer than three-fourths of their working-age men in the labor force. The comparative picture was different in 1960, when British men had the highest rate— 88 percent— and French men had the lowest— 81 percent. Japanese men, who had the highest level of activity in 1980, were in the middle of the array in 1960. Italian men ranked much higher in 1960, with their rate surpassing those in five other countries, including the United States. Participation by women increases Labor force participation rates of women have shown a strong, sustained rise since 1960 in North America, Australia, Sweden, and Great Britain. In Japan and the remaining European countries studied, female activity rates dropped until the 1970’s, then began to rise. For French and Italian women, the rise began in the early 1970’s; for Japanese and German women, it began in the latter part of the decade. The international gap between the highest and lowest activity rates was much wider for women than for men. In 1980, Sweden had, by far, the highest female rate— almost 60 percent— while that for Italian women was 30 percent— half the Swedish level. Only the United States, Sweden, and Canada had more than half of their female populations in the labor force. (See table 1.) Swedish women also had a comparatively high activi ty rate in 1960, but their rate was surpassed at that Table 1. Labor force participation rates by sex, nine countries, 1960-81 Year Great Britain United States Canada Australia Japan France ( 2) 359.7 ( 2) 359.4 58.4 358.3 57.7 3 57.8 57.0 56.6 56.3 60.0 59.9 59.6 59.4 59.0 58.7 58.2 57.0 56.9 57.0 62.4 62.5 62.5 62.6 62.5 62.5 62.6 62.3 61.9 61.7 58.0 57.4 56.3 54.7 53.9 52.8 51.2 51.2 50.5 50.1 ( 2) 64.5 65.2 65.8 64.3 64.0 64.2 63.3 63.8 63.5 Germany Italy Sweden Both sexes 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... 59.4 59.3 58.8 58.7 58.7 58.9 59.2 59.6 59.6 60.1 156.2 ’ 56.2 156.0 155.9 '56.2 ’ 56.5 57.3 57.6 57.6 57.9 ( 2) 59.4 59.9 60.6 61.2 61.2 61.4 67.9 67.8 66.9 65.7 64.8 64.4 64.6 64.8 64.9 64.6 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 .......................... ........................... .......................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... 60.4 60.2 60.4 60.8 61.3 61.2 61.6 62.3 63.2 63.7 57.8 58.1 58.6 59.7 60.5 61.1 61.1 61.5 62.6 63.3 62.1 62.2 62.3 62.6 63.0 63.2 62.7 62.7 62.0 61.7 64.5 64.2 63.8 64.0 63.0 62.4 62.3 62.5 62.8 62.7 56.4 56.1 56.3 56.2 56.3 57.0 57.0 57.3 56.7 57.2 56.9 56.4 55.7 55.3 54.4 53.4 52.8 52.4 52.3 452.3 61.3 60.8 61.2 62.8 62.6 63.2 63.4 63.4 63.4 62.8 49.5 49.2 48.0 47.9 47.9 47.9 48.2 48.0 47.7 47.8 64.0 64.2 64.1 64.1 64.9 65.9 66.0 65.9 66.1 66.6 1980 ........................... 1981 ........................... 63.8 63.9 64.0 64.7 62.2 62.0 62.6 62.6 56.0 55.8 4 52.5 4 52.4 62.0 461.4 48.0 448.0 4 67.1 4 67.1 n n Men 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... 83.3 83.2 82.0 81.4 81.0 80.7 80.4 80.4 80.1 79.8 '82.8 ’ 81.8 ’ 81.1 ’ 80.5 ’ 80.1 '79.9 79.8 79.3 78.6 78.3 n H ( 2) ( 2) 85.3 85.1 85.4 84.9 84.5 84.2 84.2 84.3 80.5 82.5 81.5 81.1 81.1 81.0 81.7 81.5 381.4 ( 2) 380.9 80.6 3 79.6 78.8 3 78.5 77.1 75.6 74.9 82.7 82.7 82.2 81.8 81.4 80.8 80.5 79.3 79.0 79.0 87.9 87.4 86.8 86.7 85.9 85.3 84.8 84.6 83.4 82.5 84.7 83.8 82.4 80.9 80.3 79.2 77.5 77.5 76.3 75.5 ( 2) 84.9 84.6 84.3 82.8 82.0 81.5 80.3 80.2 78.8 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... 79.7 79.1 78.9 78.8 78.7 77.9 77.5 77.7 77.9 77.8 77.8 77.3 77.5 78.2 78.7 78.4 77.6 77.6 77.9 78.4 84.1 83.8 83.6 83.2 82.7 82.2 81.5 81.0 79.8 79.5 81.5 81.9 81.8 81.8 81.5 81.0 80.9 80.3 80.1 79.9 74.9 74.4 74.1 73.3 73.0 73.2 72.6 71.6 71.4 71.6 78.7 77.6 76.4 75.2 73.5 72.0 71.0 70.1 69.9 4 69.4 81.4 81.3 81.3 82.5 80.9 81.3 81.3 80.8 80.2 79.1 74.5 74.1 72.6 71.7 71.3 71.0 70.9 69.2 68.6 68.2 78.5 78.0 77.3 76.8 76.9 77.0 76.5 75.6 75.1 75.2 1980 ........................... 1981 ........................... 77.4 77.0 78.3 78.3 79.2 78.9 79.6 79.6 70.6 69.9 469.4 469.3 78.1 477.7 67.8 ( 2) 4 75.0 4 74.0 Women 2 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... 37.7 38.1 37.9 38.3 38.7 39.3 40.3 41.1 41.6 42.7 ’ 30.1 ’ 31.0 ’ 31.3 ’ 31.9 ’ 32.9 ’ 33.8 35.4 36.5 37.1 38.0 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) 33.8 34.8 36.3 37.8 38.3 39.0 52.7 52.4 51.3 50.0 49.3 48.8 49.2 49.6 49.2 48.8 3 41.6 <2) 341.3 39.5 340.1 39.3 3 40.0 39.5 39.8 39.9 41.2 41.0 40.7 40.7 40.3 40.0 39.4 38.4 38.5 38.5 39.5 40.0 40.3 40.7 41.0 41.6 42.0 41.8 41.7 41.8 33.8 33.8 33.0 31.2 30.1 28.9 27.4 27.4 27.2 27.1 44.5 46.5 48.0 46.7 46.6 47.5 46.8 47.9 48.6 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... ........................... 43.3 43.4 43.9 44.7 45.7 46.3 47.3 48.4 50.0 50.9 38.3 39.4 40.2 41.9 43.0 44.4 45.2 46.0 47.8 48.9 40.4 41.0 41.2 42.4 43.5 44.5 44.3 44.8 44.5 44.3 49.3 47.7 46.8 47.3 45.7 44.8 44.8 45.7 46.4 46.6 40.1 39.8 40.5 41.0 41.6 42.5 42.9 44.2 43.3 44.3 38.4 38.3 38.0 38.2 37.9 37.4 37.2 37.1 37.2 4 37.6 42.0 42.4 43.2 45.0 46.2 46.8 47.2 47.7 48.2 48.0 26.8 26.6 25.7 26.1 26.6 26.9 27.6 28.6 28.6 29.2 50.0 50.9 51.5 51.7 53.3 55.2 55.8 56.7 57.5 58.5 1980 .................... 1981 ........................... 51.5 52.1 50.3 51.6 45.5 45.5 46.6 46.7 42.7 43.1 4 37.8 4 38.5 47.7 4 46.6 29.9 ( 2) 459.5 4 60.5 1Estimates by BLS based on new survey definitions. Statistics Canada revised the data for 1966 onward on the new survey basis. 2 Not available. 3 Data for October of 1960,1962,1964, and 1966. Data for all other years are for March. 4 Preliminary estimate. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis N ote : Data relate to the civilian labor force approximating U.S. concepts as a percent of the civilian noninstitutionalized working age population. Working age is defined as 16-year-olds and over in the United States, France, and Sweden; 15-year-olds and over in Australia, Cana da, Germany, and Japan; and 14-year-olds and over in Italy. For Great Britain, the lower age limit was raised from 15 to 16 in 1973. The institutionalized population is included in Japan and Germany. 25 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • International Comparisons o f Labor Force Participation Chart 1. Trends in labor force participation rates, for all persons and by sex, selected countries, 1960-81 United States ^_ Japan percent 95 85 95 75 - - __ — 65 — — 85 75 ____ 65 55 55 45 45 35 35 25 — ---- -----_ ................... .............................. 25 i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 »»i i i ‘ i i i i i »i i i »i i i i i i 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 Great Britain Sweden Percent Percent 95 95 85 85 75 75 65 55 — 4-S 65 55 A R 35 35 25 — •••#####* 25 ■ ................. .. i i i i i i i i i i i i i I960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 i i i »i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i I960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 Germany Percent 95 Italy Percent — 95 85 85 75 75 65 55 : ------------------------------- ---- 35 35 25 25 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ^ 55 45 26 ____ 65 45 I960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 — ---------------- i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i I960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 time by Japanese women. Furthermore, in 1960, the U.S. female rate was surpassed by three other European countries— France, Germany, and Great Britain— while Canada had the lowest rate— 30 percent. The varied trends in female activity rates reflect, in part, changes in the industrial structure of the economy. First, female participation rates generally fall along with the decline in the importance of agriculture, because women who were economically active as unpaid family workers on the farm generally withdraw from the labor force after a family moves from farm to city. This accounted for the sharp decline in female activity rates in Japan and Italy during the 1960’s. Both countries be gan that decade with about 30 percent of total employ ment in the agricultural sector; by 1980, the pro portions had fallen to 10 percent in Japan and 14 percent in Italy. Furthermore, as with men, higher edu cational requirements in industry may raise the average age for leaving school, and improved pensions may en courage earlier retirement. Eventually, however, female labor force participation enters a second stage during which activity rates begin to rise again. By 1960, women in the United States, Canada, Australia, Sweden, and Great Britain were al ready well into this second stage. Women in Japan, Germany, Italy, and France, however, entered into the second stage only during the 1970’s. Underlying recent increases in female participation rates in many countries are the following factors: expan sion of the service sector; declines in fertility rates; in creased availability of part-time work; extension of higher education for women; abating job discrimination against women; and changing attitudes towards wom en’s role in society. A review of trends in two dissimilar societies— Sweden and Japan— serves to illustrate the pervasive effect of these factors. Service sector expansion. In all countries studied, the ser vice sector has expanded rapidly over the past two de cades. By 1980, two-thirds of all civilian workers in the United States and Canada were engaged in services. Over 60 percent of employment in Australia, Sweden, and Great Britain was in the service sector. Italy had the lowest proportion of employment in services, at 48 percent. Female employment is heavily concentrated in the service sector. In the United States, Australia, Canada, and Sweden, about four-fifths of all working women are in service jobs. The other country with rising female participation since 1960, Great Britain, has three-quar ters of total female employment in services. In the countries with overall declines in participation by wom en, the proportions of total female employment in ser vices were much lower— for example, 56 percent in Italy and 58 percent in Japan. However, even these low https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis figures represent large increases over the 1970 propor tions, which were under 40 percent. Declining fertility rates. In all periods, the major reason women have had lower activity rates than men is that women bear the chief responsibility of rearing children. Married women with children have the lowest activity rates, and the younger their children, the lower their ac tivity rates. However, during the 1960’s and 1970’s, de clining fertility rates tended to reduce the home responsibilities of women, facilitating their rising labor force activity rates in many countries. Comparative fertility rates over the past two decades are shown in table 2. The number of live births per 100 women age 15 to 44 shows a marked downturn between 1960 and 1980 in all countries except Japan and Swe den. However, the Japanese and Swedish fertility rates were already comparatively low in 1960. The Swedish rate rose marginally by 1970, then declined to below the 1960 level by 1980. Only Japan had a higher fertili ty rate in 1980 than in 1960. Table 2 also shows the ra tio of young children (ages 0-4) to adult females. These are the ages at which children are the heaviest responsi bility, and the current ratios are substantially below previous levels except in Japan, Italy, and Sweden, where the levels were already very low in 1960. Part-time jobs. Part-time work for women is most perva sive in Sweden, where 55 percent of all employed wom en worked less than 35 hours a week in 1980. In the United States and Canada, 29 and 24 percent of all employed women were working part time.5 The 1979 European Community household labor force survey in dicates lower proportions of part-time employment for women in most member countries. For example, about one-fifth of all employed British, French, and German women held part-time jobs. Factors in Japan. For Japan, a number of reasons have Table 2. Fertility rates and ratios of young children to adult women, nine countries, 1960, 1970, and 1980 Number of young children per 100 adult women2 Fertility rates1 Country United States . . . . Canada ............... Australia ............. Japan .................. France ............... Germany............. Great Britain . . . . Italy .................... Sweden............... 1960 1970 1980 1960 1970 11.9 13.1 11.2 7.1 9.5 8.2 8.8 8.2 6.8 8.8 8.1 9.9 7.3 8.3 6.7 8.5 8.0 7.0 7.0 6.7 6.9 7.4 6.7 4.3 5.7 7.1 6.5 56 61 53 35 47 37 40 37 34 40 41 46 33 41 39 43 40 37 1980 31 32 35 38 33 22 28 35 33 1Live births per 100 women age 15 to 44. 2 Number of children under age 5 per 100 women age 15 to 44. S ource : Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, D em ographic Trends 1950-1990 (Paris, oecd , 1979), pp. 10, 22. 27 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • International Comparisons o f Labor Force Participation been cited for the recent rise in female activity rates: (1) economic recovery revived demand for labor after a se rious decline during the post-oil crisis recession of 1974— 75; (2) expansion in the service sector has created addi tional demand for women workers, and more part-time jobs; (3) since 1955, when the number of working wom en began increasing, more women have solidly established themselves in their workplaces, shifting from temporary and irregular work to more permanent occu pations; (4) the extension of higher education has prompted women to take jobs outside the home; (5) new equal employment opportunity legislation has pro moted advancement of women into occupations which had long been exclusively for men; and, (6) the leveling off in head of household’s wage increases and the surge in housing and educational costs have induced a num ber of women to join the labor force to supplement family income.6 As in other countries, life cycle changes are also oc curring among Japanese women, who formerly worked only a few years before getting married, and thereafter retired permanently from the labor market. Today, Jap anese women are reentering the labor force in their mid-30’s, after spending some years at home because of marriage, childbirth, and childcare. (See section on age structure of participation rates.) The Swedish situation. Sweden’s recent very high level of female labor force participation indicates an increasingly more active involvement of married women in economic life compared with other nations. In Sweden, two-thirds of all married women are labor force participants, com pared with 50 percent in the United States and Japan, and just 40 percent in Germany. Several factors are responsible for the high Swedish rate. Many married women have no children or only one child. Furthermore, government-financed day care centers provide for infant care, beginning when children are 6 months of age, at which point maternity leave ex pires. The introduction of separate taxation for married women in 1971, parenthood insurance in 1974, and greater flexibility in working time have also provided incentives for Swedish women to seek employment. Par enthood insurance provides that either mother or father may stay home up to 3 months after a child’s birth and be reimbursed for 90 percent of his or her pay. If the mother decides to use the parenthood insurance, these 3 months are added to the 6 months of her maternity leave. Furthermore, when caring for a sick child under the age of 10, either parent is eligible for cash sickness benefits. Youth activity changes greatly Aggregate participation rates mask substantial chang es in participation rates for young people since 1960. 28 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Participation rates for youth, broken down into teenag ers and young adults (age 20 to 24), are presented in table 3. Activity rates for adults (25 and over) are also shown for comparison. For the United States, Canada, Japan, Italy, and Sweden, the data in table 3 are annual averages. The only available data for the other countries relate to one month of each year, and this introduces an element of noncomparability across countries for which no adjust ment can be made. The data for France, Germany, and Australia relate to a month when young people are still in school. Because summer vacation labor force partici pation is not covered, the activity rates for teenagers in these three countries are understated in comparison with the annual data for other countries. The British statistics are for the end of June of each year, when stu dents may be out of school (beginning in 1976).7 Teenagers and young adults in North America have had sharply increasing participation rates over the past two decades, a much faster rise than that recorded for all ages combined. The change in the United States was almost 12 percentage points for persons under 25— from 56.4 in 1960 to 68.1 in 1980; over the same peri od, Canadian youth gained 10 percentage points. Aus tralia and Sweden were the only other countries with higher youth participation rates in 1980 than during the early 1960’s. Australian youth rates held steady in the 1960’s, dipped in the early 1970’s, then began a slow rise. In Sweden, youth activity fell during the 1960’s and rose gradually in the 1970’s. Substantial declines in youth participation in the la bor force occurred in all the other countries except Great Britain, where the decrease was moderate. The decline was most evident in Japan, where the participa tion rate for all young persons was 63 percent in 1960, but only 43 percent by 1980. The drop for Japanese teenagers was even more dramatic— more than half were in the labor force in 1960, compared with fewer than 20 percent by 1980. The rate of decline has ta pered off, however. Japanese teenage participation rates dropped from 50 percent in 1960 to 32 percent in 1970 and about 20 percent in 1975, but then fell only to 17.5 percent by 1981. Even with the rapid upward trend in North Ameri can youth activity rates, youth in three other countries still had higher rates than their North American coun terparts in 1980. In Australia, Sweden, and Great Brit ain, 70 percent or more of all youth were in the labor force, compared with about two-thirds of U.S. and Ca nadian youth. Activity rates for French and German youth were 50 and 58 percent; Japanese and Italian youth had much lower rates. Among the last four countries, Germany had a relatively high teenage partic ipation rate, and Japan, a low teenage rate. Italy’s low overall youth participation rate reflects, in large part, a very low rate for persons aged 20 to 24, particularly for young women. The declining trends (or slower increases) in youth la bor force activity outside North America reflect the rap id expansion of school attendance. In the United States and Canada, school attendance has also increased, but many youngsters in these two countries combine school with work, so that the expansion of educational enroll ments has not lowered labor force activity. In the other countries, where few students also work, increases in Table 3. school enrollment rates caused youth participation rates to decline. Foreign school enrollment rates were well below U.S. rates in 1960, when about 64 percent of U.S. teenagers were in school. Only about half of all teens in Canada were enrolled and much smaller proportions in Europe— around 35 percent in France and Germany, and fewer than 20 percent in Italy and Great Britain. About 45 percent of Japanese teenagers were in school. Between 1960 and 1975, enrollment rates rose rapidly abroad, Labor force participation rates for youth and adults, nine countries, selected years, 1960-81 Youth Youth Country and date United States: 1960 ............................. 1970 ............................. 1974 ............................. 1975 ............................. 1976 ............................. Adults Total Teenagers' Age 20 to 24 56.4 59.8 64.9 64.6 65.3 47.5 49.9 54.8 54.0 54.5 65.2 69.2 74.0 73.9 74.8 60.0 60.5 60.2 60.2 60.5 Country and date Adults Total Teenagers' Age 20 to 24 France— Continued: March 1977 .................. March 1978 .................. March 1979 .................. March 1980 .................. March 1981 .................. 53.7 52.2 52.7 51.4 50.3 29.3 27.0 27.9 26.0 24.7 74.3 73.5 73.7 73.3 71.7 58.1 58.1 58.6 59.0 58.9 Germany: April 1963 April 1970 April 1974 May 1975 May 1976 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 80.8 70.9 63.4 61.9 60.1 79.0 64.7 54.3 52.8 49.4 82.7 78.4 73.6 72.7 73.1 56.6 55.5 54.2 53.3 53.0 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. 66.7 68.2 68.6 68.1 67.7 56.0 57.8 57.9 56.7 55.4 75.7 76.8 77.5 77.2 77.3 61.0 61.7 62.2 62.5 62.8 Canada: 1960 1970 1974 1975 1976 ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. 2 57.8 56.0 62.5 62.9 62.4 247.5 42.2 51.0 51.1 49.8 269.4 71.6 75.4 75.9 76.2 2 55.7 58.4 59.8 60.5 60.6 April April April April May 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 58.9 58.5 59.5 58.0 57.1 46.9 46.1 47.9 44.0 42.3 73.8 74.1 73.9 75.5 75.0 53.2 53.0 53.0 53.4 53.7 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. 63.2 64.4 66.2 67.3 67.9 50.4 51.5 54.1 55.2 55.7 77.0 78.1 78.9 79.6 79.7 61.0 62.0 62.3 62.9 63.6 Great Britain:3 April 1961 June 1971 June 1974 June 1975 June 1976 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 75.0 71.0 68.6 69.6 73.4 72.5 65.8 59.4 61.9 4 69.1 77.9 74.8 76.2 76.1 77.0 57.1 59.5 60.6 60.5 60.6 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 268.9 68.5 66.9 68.3 68.0 267.1 59.4 56.8 59.0 57.8 2 75.5 77.8 77.3 78.1 78.8 2 58.6 59.8 60.7 60.7 60.2 June June June June June .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 73.1 72.9 72.9 73.0 73.2 68.0 67.5 67.3 67.2 67.1 77.5 77.8 77.8 78.2 78.6 60.6 60.2 59.5 58.9 58.3 1977 .................. 1978 .................. 1979 .................. 1980 .................. 1981.................. 69.9 68.9 69.1 71.1 70.6 60.3 59.6 58.7 61.2 59.8 80.3 78.8 80.3 81.3 81.4 60.3 59.3 58.6 59.1 58.8 Italy:3 1960 1970 1974 1975 1976 ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. 2 60.5 245.1 39.9 39.2 38.8 257.6 234.5 27.4 26.2 25.6 263.9 2 57.4 56.5 56.8 56.9 2 53.7 2 48.1 47.5 47.7 48.1 Japan: 1960 1970 1974 1975 1976 ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. 62.8 55.1 49.5 47.4 45.7 50.1 32.1 23.4 20.6 18.6 77.7 75.0 71.4 70.7 70.4 69.0 67.8 66.7 66.2 66.3 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. 39.8 39.6 40.5 41.5 541.5 27.0 26.3 27.1 27.5 5 26.9 57.7 58.3 59.8 61.2 5 61.9 48.0 48.2 48.4 48.3 5 48.4 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. 44.6 44,2 43.5 42.9 43.2 18.4 18.8 18.0 17.6 17.5 69.6 69.4 69.3 69.3 69.9 66.7 66.9 67.0 66.9 66.8 Sweden: 1963 1970 1974 1975 1976 ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. 69.1 64.8 68.4 70.8 71.6 62.8 52.2 56.1 58.2 59.3 75.6 73.6 77.8 80.3 81.3 65.1 63.9 64.1 65.0 65.0 1963 1970 1974 1975 1976 68.7 57.1 54.4 54.6 54.3 53.1 39.4 32.6 32.2 30.1 89.4 72.1 74.1 73.7 75.0 57.5 56.7 57.4 57.9 57.9 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. ............................. 71.3 70.8 72.2 72.1 68.9 57.3 56.1 57.3 56.4 50.3 81.9 82.0 83.8 84.8 84.8 65.0 65.2 65.7 66.2 66.7 Australia: August August August August August August August August August August France: March March March March March 1964 1970 1974 1975 1976 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 116- to 19-year-olds in United States, France, Great Britain (1974 onward), and Sweden; 15to 19-year-olds in Canada, Australia, Japan, Germany, and Great Britain (prior to 1974); and 14- to 19-year-olds in Italy. 2 BLS estimates adjusted for comparability with other years shown. 3 Data are not fully adjusted to U.S. concepts. 4The sharp increase in teenage participation rates between 1975 and 1976 is mainly due to https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 a change in school-leaving regulations, allowing students who formerly left school in July to leave before that month (see appendix). 5Preliminary. N ote : Participation rates are based on the civilian noninstitutional population, except for Ja pan, Germany, and Great Britain, where the institutional population is included. 29 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • International Comparisons o f Labor Force Participation but grew more slowly in the United States, where rates were already high in 1960. By 1975, Japan had the highest proportion of teenagers enrolled in school— 76 percent. During the same year, about 72 percent of U.S. teenagers were enrolled in school compared with 53 percent in France, and about 45 percent in Italy and Great Britain.8 Since 1975, the foreign enrollment rates have been rising more slowly, and this has been a factor in the recent upward trends in youth participation. Also, some European students have begun to adopt the North American pattern of seeking part-time jobs while in school. In the United States, more than half of the teenagers in the labor force are also in school. The rise of student par ticipation in the U.S. labor force has been attributed to several factors, including need for (or preference for) earnings to supplement family income, greater participa tion in work-study programs, and increases in the pro portion of college students in 2-year colleges, who have higher activity rates than those in 4-year colleges. By comparison, few European and Japanese students work while in school, for a variety of academic and other rea sons.9 Reversals in youth participation rate movements have occurred recently in several countries. After many years of increase, both teenage and young adult participation rates declined in the United States in 1980, and the teenage decline continued in 1981. In Italy, a very sharp drop in youth activity rates persisted until 1977, when a gradual upward trend emerged. As noted earlier, Aus tralian and Swedish youth participation rates also began to rise in the 1970’s. However, in 1981, teenage partici pation rates dropped in both countries. The decline in Sweden was very large— a falloff of 6 percentage points to 50 percent, the lowest level recorded in the last two decades. The sharp decline was related to a large in crease in the number of young persons in full-time school. This rise in school attendance was partly related to the deteriorating labor market for Swedish teenagers. The teenage jobless rate in 1981 was 9.6 percent, the highest ever recorded by the Swedish labor force survey. Table 4. Activity by older persons declines The tendency to shorten working lifetimes is reflected in falling participation rates for older workers over the past two decades. This trend, reinforced by the aging of the population, has increased the burden of the non participating elderly population upon the working pop ulation, putting a strain on pension funding in many countries. Table 4 shows participation rates for two older groups— those 55 to 64, and 65 and over— in the early 1960’s and in 1980. For 55- to 64-year-olds, participa tion rates declined in all countries except Great Britain and Sweden, where strong increases for women over rode declines for men. Among those 65 and over, par ticipation rates declined in all countries for both men and women. Greater coverage of pension schemes and the increased size of pensions were major factors in the decline. Institutional factors tending to lower the com pulsory retirement age or to encourage workers to retire early were also im portant.10Since 1973, many of the Eu ropean countries have adopted provisions to guarantee financial resources for older workers who leave the la bor force before pensionable age, thus making room for younger workers. Japan had relatively small declines in older worker participation, and Japanese workers over 65 had, by far, the highest participation rate among the countries stud ied. In 1980, their activity rate of about 25 percent was twice as high as the comparable U.S. rate, and three to five times as high as the rates for older workers else where. About 2 out of 5 Japanese men 65 years old and over are still in the labor force. In the United States, only 1 in 5 older men are economically active, and in France, Germany, Great Britain, and Italy, fewer than 1 in 10. A relatively high proportion of older Japanese women are also working or seeking work. About 1 in 7 Japa nese women 65 or over are in the work force. This com pares with around 1 in 12 in the United States, down to 1 in 40 in Sweden and 1 in 55 in Italy. The relatively Labor force participation rates of older workers, nine countries, early 1960’s and 1980 Age 55 to 64 Country United States . . . . Canada ............... Australia ............. Japan .................. France .................. G erm any............. Great Britain......... Ita ly ...................... Sw eden............... Both sexes Early 1960’s' 60.9 54.7 53.8 65.1 55.4 51.7 59.7 45.6 65.1 Age 65 and over Men 1980 Early 1960’s' 55.7 53.9 44.9 61.9 253.3 44.7 60.0 34.9 67.1 86.8 86.7 85.8 85.6 76.2 81.8 94.4 73.5 91.1 Women 1980 Early 1960's' 72.1 76.2 68.9 85.2 2 69.9 67.8 83.0 57.7 79.2 37.2 22.0 21.0 44.4 36.9 27.2 29.3 20.2 40.5 1Data are for a year or month (France, Germany, and Great Britain) in the 1960-63 period, except for Australian data which are for August 1966. Data relate to March 1979. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Both sexes 1980 Early 1960’s ’ 41.3 33.7 21.8 43.6 2 38.3 28.5 39.0 14.4 55.6 20.8 17.5 12.5 38.8 14.5 13.9 13.2 15.0 20.7 Men 1980 Early 1960’s 1 12.5 8.9 6.3 25.8 26.2 5.2 5.6 4.7 6.5 33.1 30.0 23.3 56.5 24.0 24.9 23.4 25.2 34.8 Women 1980 Early 1960’s ' 1980 19.0 14.7 11.2 40.8 29.0 7.5 8.9 8.4 11.6 10.8 5.6 4.4 24.4 9.0 7.7 5.7 7.0 8.6 8.1 4.3 2.8 149 24.3 30 2.9 18 2.5 N ote : French, German, British, and Italian data are not adjusted to U.S. concepts. Participation rates are based on the civilian noninstitutional population, except for Japan, Germany, and Great Britain, where the institutional population is included. Table 5. Age structure of labor force participation rates by sex and age, nine countries, 1980 United States Canada Men Teenagers4 ...................... Age 20 to 24 .................... Age 25 to 34 .................... Age 35 to 44 .................... Age 45 to 54 .................... Age 55 to 64 .................... Age 65 and over ............... 60.5 85.9 95.2 95.5 91.2 72.1 19.0 58.0 86.2 95.4 96.0 92.6 76.2 14.7 65.4 91.5 95.9 95.6 91.2 68.9 11.2 17.0 69.0 96.8 97.5 96.3 85.2 40.8 Women Teenagers4 ...................... Age 20 to 24 .................... Age 25 to 34 .................... Age 35 to 44 .................... Age 45 to 54 .................... Age 55 to 64 .................... Age 65 and over ............... 52.9 68.9 65.5 65.5 59.9 41.3 8.1 52.2 73.0 62.7 61.6 54.1 33.7 4.3 61.5 71.1 52.5 58.2 47.8 21.8 2.8 18.5 69.7 47.9 59.5 60.5 43.6 14.9 Sex and age Australia Japan 1Data relate to March 1979. 2 Data relate to April 1980. 3 Data relate to the end of June 1980. “ Data are for 16- to 19-year-olds in the United States, France, Great Britain, and Sweden; low participation rate for older Swedish women is in sharp contrast with the very high rates in all other age groups. The prevalence of the work ethic in Japan partly ac counts for the high participation rates for older work ers. Also, social security and pension benefits are relatively small. Moreover, social security payments be gin at age 60 (55 for women), but the compulsory re tirement age is 55 to 58 for 60 percent of Japanese men and sometimes lower for women, and lump-sum retire ment payments are not enough to allow for self-suffi ciency. As a result, most workers who are retired from their regular jobs continue at lower paid jobs or be come self-employed out of financial necessity. Age structure patterns Table 5 presents a comparison of the detailed age structure of participation rates for one year, 1980. The data for France, Germany, Great Britain, and Italy have not been adjusted to U.S. concepts because infor mation was not available to make adjustments by such detailed age groups. However, some conclusions may be drawn concerning the pattern of the age structures and large différences in levels of activity. Except for the British and Italian data, the unadjusted figures are closely comparable to U.S. concepts, although differ ences of 1 or 2 percentage points should be discounted. The age structure of participation rates differs greatly between the sexes. (See chart 2.) Male participation rates plotted by age group display a bell shape in all countries, while the female rates show a more irregular shape which resembles a skewed M in some countries, such as Japan. Great Britain and Australia (not shown) also have distinctly M-shaped curves for women. Curves for French and German women closely resemble the shape of the Italian curve. The Canadian curve is closer to the U.S. curve, but with a much sharper drop in activity for 25- to 34-year-old women. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Germany2 Great Britain3 Italy Sweden 31.0 80.1 96.8 97.8 94.6 69.9 9.0 48.5 82.0 93.6 98.2 95.1 67.8 7.5 70.7 88.4 96.9 97.5 96.1 83.0 8.9 29.3 67.6 94.5 97.4 92.3 57.7 8.4 56.9 88.0 95.6 96.9 95.0 79.2 11.6 24.8 68.5 67.7 61.4 55.8 38.3 4.3 41.4 71.1 59.5 55.1 49.6 28.5 3.0 64.5 68.5 56.3 68.3 67.8 39.0 2.9 24.2 51.5 47.1 38.6 31.1 14.4 1.8 56.0 81.6 81.4 84.8 83.3 55.6 2.5 France1 15- to 19-year-olds In Canada, Australia, Japan, and Germany; and 14- to 19-year-olds In Italy. N ote : French, German, British, and Italian data are not adjusted to U.S. concepts. Participation rates are based on the civilian noninstltutional population, except for Japan, Germany, and Great Britain, where the institutional population Is included. Men. For men, high rates during the prime working ages, peaking in the 35-to-44 age group, contrast with lower rates at both ends of the age spectrum. In the teenage years and the early 20’s, school attendance keeps many young men out of the work force. Retire ment brings a downturn at the other ënd of the spec trum. There are only small international differences in participation rates for men in the prime working ages (25 to 54). Larger differences occur for youth and for older men. Women. For women, the labor force participation rates are affected not only by the same factors affecting male activity rates, but also by conditions relating to wom en’s domestic role. Generally speaking, after a peak be tween ages 20 and 24, a fall in economic activity rates occurs which is attributable to marriage and the birth and rearing of children. Subsequently, a number of women return to work and the female activity rate may begin to rise again sometime in the 30’s, reaching a sec ond peak in the 40’s, which is generally lower than the first maximum. In some countries, however, activity rates continue to fall. By 1980, however, the traditional pattern of female participation rates had changed in some countries. In the United States and France, the decline in activity for women 25 to 34 was small. In France, however, a more significant decline occurred after age 35. In Sweden, there was virtually no drop in activity rates for 25- to 34-year-olds, and participation rates peaked at their highest— almost 85 percent— in the 35-to-44 age brack et. This indicates that working life for Swedish women is approaching the continuity of that for men. In Japan, a still more traditional society, there is a sharp drop in economic activity connected with m ar riage and the birth and rearing of children. Participa tion rates increase again after 35. A similar pattern occurs in Australia and Great Britain. In Great Britain, 31 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • International Comparisons o f Labor Force Participation Chart 2. Age structure of labor force participation rates by sex, selected countries, 1980 Percent Women Men 1001 Sweden Teens 20 to 24 Sweden 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over however, the drop in activity is less sharp and later ac tivity in the 35-to-44 age bracket is virtually as high as in the early 20’s. In Germany and Italy, the pattern is different. Activi ty rates for women decline about 5 to 10 percent for 25to 34-year-olds as in Britain, but then continue to de cline in later age brackets. In France, while the initial decline is small, participation rates likewise continue to decline in later life. Canadian women age 25 to 34 have a drop in activity comparable with that of German women, but subsequent decreases are much smaller. In all countries except Sweden, the maximum rate of female labor force activity still occurs in the 20-to-24 age group— at 69 to 73 percent (52 percent in Italy). This compares with maximum male participation rates of 96 to 98 percent in the 35-to-44 age bracket. Historical patterns. Although the levels have changed slightly, the characteristic bell shape of the male age structure curve has remained unchanged throughout the past two decades. In contrast, there have been major changes in the pattern of the female age structure curves. Chart 3 depicts the changing shapes and levels of the age structure of participation rates for women over the past two decades. Six of the countries are 32 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Teens 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over shown, three with overall increases in working activity by women— the United States, Sweden, and Great Brit ain— and three with aggregate declines— Japan, Ger many, and Italy. The chart shows that participation rates have risen for women in the primary working ages of 25 to 54 in all of the countries. In the United States, Sweden, and Great Britain, the increases for these age groups have been large and continuous. In contrast, Japan, Germa ny, and Italy show declines in one or more of the age groups from 25 to 54 between 1960 and 1970, followed by increases from 1970 to 1980. The latter increases were only marginal in Japan, but more significant in Germany and Italy. In the United States, the distinctly M-shaped curve noted in 1960 and 1970 had flattened out by 1980. Pri or to 1976, participation rates for women 25 to 34 were lower than for those 35 to 44. By 1976, the rates were about the same for both age groups, and this relation ship continued in 1980. In Sweden, an already less distinct M-shaped curve in 1960 and 1970 had all but disappeared in 1980. Chart 3 shows that labor force activity by Swedish women peaked at ages 20 to 24 in 1960, but by 1970 a new peak occurred in the 35-to-44 age bracket. By 1980, Chart 3. Age structure of labor force participation rates for women, six countries, selected years Percent Percent 100 mm Teens 24 34 44 54 64 over 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over to 64 and over 64 over Percent Percent 100 H Great Britain 80 1980 60 40 20 Teens 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over 0 to 24 to 34 to 44 24 34 44 to 54 Percent Percent Teens https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over 54 33 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • International Comparisons o f Labor Force Participation participation rates were much higher tor all adult age brackets, except for women 65 and over, and the rate de cline in the 25-to-34 group had virtually disappeared. In contrast to the significant changes in level and shape of the age structure curves in the United States and Sweden, the Japanese curves were practically identi cal in 1970 and 1980. The 1960 curve also had a similar shape, although the increase in participation after ages 25 to 34 was not nearly as great as in the later years. Germany’s curves for 1963 and 1970 were very close in shape and level, except for teenage girls. In 1963, fe male labor force activity declined after a peak in the teenage years; by 1970, peak participation occurred in the 20-to-24 age group. By 1980, participation rates had increased significantly for women between the ages of 25 to 54, but the highest rate remained in the 20-to-24 age bracket, with activity lower for each older group. Like Germany, British female participation rates also were highest in the teenage years in 1960. But in Great Britain, this was also true in 1970. In both countries, the very high levels of teenage labor force participation were related to the widespread apprenticeship programs for youth. Unlike the case for Germany, labor force ac tivity by British women increased again after the sharp decline in the 25-to-34 age bracket. By 1980, the British peak had moved to the 20-to-24 age group, with a simi lar peak again at ages 35 to 44. The Italian curves for 1962 and 1970 were almost identical in shape, but the 1970 curve was lower in lev el. Italy was the only country studied which had a drop in female participation throughout the age spectrum be tween 1960 and 1970. By 1980, participation rates were higher for women age 20 to 54. The Italian curves were similar in shape to those for Germany— both having peaks at ages 20 to 24, and then subsequent continuous declines. While the M-shape characteristic for other countries shown in the charts did not occur in Germany and Italy, both of these countries have had substantial increases in the level of participation rates for women age 20 to 54 over the past decade. □ FOOTNOTES ' The Federal Republic, plus West Berlin. 2International cyclical trends in participation will be analyzed in a future article. 3Elsewhere, two types of labor force participation rates are published for the United States: the total labor force participation rate, which is the ratio of the total labor force to the total noninstitutional population, and the civilian participation rate, which is the ratio of the civilian labor force to the civilian noninstitutional population. The only difference is that the armed forces are included in the total participation rate and excluded from the civilian rate. In 1981, the total rate for the United States was 64.4; the civilian rate was 63.9. Discussion in this article is limited to civilian labor force participation rates for the United States and the eight other countries covered. 4 In all societies, there is some degree of illegal or unrecorded labor force activity. This hidden economy includes people working in legal jobs which are not reported so that taxes or other kinds of regula tions can be avoided. Italy has a particularly large sector of un reported employment known as i l la v o ro nero, or the labor black mar ket. No attempt has been made here to determine the effect of the labor black market on the Italian participation rates. It is likely that most illegally employed workers will not report their off-the-books jobs in the labor force survey. However, many illegal jobs are second jobs for persons who would be recorded as economically active in their primary, legal employment. To the extent that primary work ac tivity is undeclared, the Italian activity rate will appear lower than it actually is. 5For the United States, Canada, and Sweden, data are available on both voluntary and involuntary part-time work. In Sweden, 51 per cent of the employed women were voluntarily working at part-time jobs. The remaining 4 percent were on part time for economic reasons and would have preferred more work. The U.S. and Canadian figures for voluntary part time were 23 and 20 percent of total female em ployment. Data on voluntary part time were not separately available for the European Community countries. ‘ Japan Institute of Labor, P r o b le m s o f W o rk in g Industrial Relations Series 8 (Tokyo, 1981), p. 6. W o m en , Japanese 7From June 1976 onward, the participation figures for teenagers are overstated in relation to those countries with annual average data and also in relation to the British data for prior years. The large increase in teenage participation rates between 1975 and 1976 should be dis counted because new school regulations were introduced in 1976 which allowed a greater proportion of 16-year-olds to leave school be fore the end of June. Estimates based on other sources indicate that the teenage participation rates for 1976 onward would be about 5 per centage points lower on an annual average basis. For the other age groups, the midyear estimates are closely comparable to annual aver ages (see appendix). 8See Beatrice G. Reubens and others, T h e Y o u th L a b o r F o rce 1 9 4 5 C ro s s-N a tio n a l A n a ly s is (New Jersey, Allanheld, Osmun, 1981), p. 70. 1995: A 9See Y o u th U n e m p lo y m e n t: A n I n te r n a tio n a l P ersp e c tiv e, BLS Bulle tin 2098 (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1981), pp. 18-22. 10Martin B. Tracy, “Trends in Retirement,” Number 2, 1979, pp. 131-59. I n te r n a tio n a l S o c ia l S e c u r ity R e v ie w , APPENDIX: Data sources and adjustments Data used in the calculation of participation rates relate to the civilian labor force, adjusted to U.S. con cepts. The methods used to make the adjustments are described in International Comparisons o f Unemploy ment, BLS Bulletin 1979 (August 1978), appendixes C and D; and in “Supplement to Bulletin 1979,“ un 34 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis published (January 1982), which is available from the Bureau upon request. The population base for the participation rates is de fined as the civilian noninstitutional population of working age. For most countries, the armed forces had to be excluded from the regularly published population figures. Lower age limits for the population were adapt ed to conform to the age at which compulsory school ing ends in each country. This age varied from 14 in Italy to 16 in the United States, France, and Sweden (see note to table 1). The regularly published population data for the Unit ed States, Canada, and Italy refer to the noninstitutional population. In the United States, there were 2.4 million persons age 16 and over residing in institu tions— prisons, nursing homes, mental institutions, and so forth— in 1978; this amounted to 1.5 percent of the total population age 16 and over. Published data for Australia, France, Great Britain, and Sweden include the institutional population. Ad justments have been made to exclude such persons based on published or, in some cases, unpublished esti mates obtained from these countries. (The British data by age in tables 3, 4, and 5 could not be adjusted to a noninstitutional basis.) Participation rates for Japan and Germany, however, are still based on data including the institutionalized population, because data on the size of this population group were not available. In cases where adjustment was possible, the effect of the exclusion of the institutional population was to raise the labor force participation rate by about 1 percentage point, except for the French participation rates. The French rates were raised by only two-tenths of a per centage point, because a majority of the institutional ized population is already excluded from the scope of the labor force survey. There was no significant differ ence in the impact on participation rates by sex. In all of the countries, the number of men and women resid ing in institutions is roughly equal. Participation rates by age. Participation rates by age, shown in tables 3, 4, and 5, are based on data on la bor force and population by age, adjusted to U.S. con cepts where possible. However, the French, German, British, and Italian data in tables 4 and 5 and the British and Italian data in table 3 could not be adjust ed to U.S. concepts. Data for France and Germany in tables 4 and 5 are closely comparable with U.S. con cepts. The British and Italian data diverge from U.S. concepts to a greater extent. Adjustments were made for the other countries mainly to exclude the institu tional population (where possible), military personnel, and unpaid family workers who worked less than 15 hours per week. For most countries, the relevant popu lation and labor force data by age were obtained di rectly from labor force surveys. The age distribution of the German labor force prior to 1975 is based upon estimates made by the Institut Fur Arbeitsmarkt-und Berufsforschung ( i a b ). The IAB has adjusted the German labor force survey results so that they constitute a consistent time series. This was https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis necessary because the survey used a different method of determining the respondent’s age beginning in 1975. Previous data were based on the “birth year method,” whereby age was determined by subtracting the birth year from the survey year. From 1975 onward, the sur vey used the “age year method” — that is, the respon dent’s actual age at the time of the survey was recorded. Use of these two different methods had a large effect on the participation rates for teenagers, 20to 24-year-olds, and 60- to 64-year-olds, but hardly any effect on other age groups. The large effect on the afore mentioned age groups was due to the fact that data for these groups represent the sum of very different partici pation rates by single years of age— that is, the partici pation rate for 15-year-olds is much lower than that for 16-year-olds, and so on. Whether someone’s age was re corded as 14 or 15 or as 19 or 20 had a large impact on the data for 15- to 19-year-olds. The IAB used data col lected on the basis of both age measurement methods for several years in order to estimate a consistent time series of labor force data by age. The following example indicates the extent of the adjustment: from 1974 to 1975, the unadjusted data indicate an increase in teen age participation rates of almost 8 percentage points; the adjusted data show a decline of 1.5 percentage points. For Great Britain, the data on labor force by.age are obtained from estimates through 1979 and projections for 1980 and 1981 made by the British Department of Employment. The department derives these estimates and projections from household survey and census data, supplemented by other information. The agency has ad justed the labor force data to include the unregistered unemployed. However, the figures still differ from U.S. concepts because (1) they exclude all full-time students who are economically active, and (2) they include the armed forces, b l s has made an adjustment to exclude the armed forces. However, no adjustment could be made with regard to working students. The British esti mate that the activity rates for teenagers would be raised by about 3 percentage points if working students were included as economically active. The effect on ac tivity rates of young adults age 20 to 24 would be an increase of about 1 percentage point. The British statistics by age relate to the end of June of each year. This introduces a further element of non comparability with other countries where data are either annual averages (United States, Canada, Japan, Italy, and Sweden) or relate to periods when students are in school (France, Germany, and Australia). Until 1976, most British students graduated from school in July; therefore, their labor force participation was not cov ered in the pre-1976 figures. In 1976, new school-leav ing regulations were introduced which allowed a greater proportion of 16-year-olds to leave school before the 35 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • International Comparisons o f Labor Force Participation end of June. This resulted in a large increase in teenage participation rates between 1975 and 1976 which would not have occurred otherwise; the teenage activity rates are overstated in relation to prior years and also in rela tion to the data for other countries. The June 1977 data for Great Britain can be com pared with a European Community ( e c ) survey taken in April 1977, a time when most students were still in school. Definitions used in the two sources are very similar, except that the EC survey counts full-time stu dents as economically active. (However, it should be noted that the EC survey still underestimates the true numbers of working students to an unknown degree be cause it is limited to households, and therefore does not cover students in boarding schools.) The following table shows the participation rates by age according to these two sources. Under age 2 5 .............. 16 to 19 years......... 20 to 24 years......... 25 years or over......... E C su rvey, A p r il 1 9 7 7 D e p a r tm e n t o f E m p lo y m e n t, June 1977 71.0 61.1 79.5 61.0 73.1 68.0 77.5 60.6 Assuming that the April figures are representative of participation rates for teenagers over 9 months of the year (school term), and that the June figures are repre sentative of the 3 vacation months, an annual average participation rate for teenagers in 1977 would be rough ly 63 percent. Therefore, the midyear figures shown in table 3 for 1976 onward are overstated by about 5 per centage points, in terms of an annual average rate. The teenage participation rates for the years before 1976 are somewhat understated in relation to annual averages be cause they do not include the summer influx of young people into the labor market. For the other age groups, the midyear figures closely approximate the annual av erage. For Italy, the participation rates by age could not be fully adjusted to U.S. concepts because age breakdowns were not available for all the required data. In table 1, the data are fully adjusted to U.S. concepts, and they show an overall participation rate of 48.0 in 1980. In table 3, which shows participation rates for youth and adults, the overall participation rate (not shown) would be 46.9 percent, indicating that the participation rates by age are slightly understated in relation to U.S. con cepts. A note on communications The Monthly Labor Review welcomes communications that supple ment, challenge, or expand on research published in its pages. To be considered for publication, communications should be factual and an alytical, not polemical in tone. Communications should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statis tics, U.S. Department of Labor, Washington, D.C. 20212. 36 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The A natom y of Price C hange Reconciling the CPI-U and the PCE Deflator: 3rd quarter Julie A. Bu n n and Jack E. T riplett This article, sixth in a series, reconciles two of the Fed eral Government’s major inflation measures— the Consumer Price Index (cpi- u ), published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Implicit Price Deflator for Personal Consumption Expenditures (pce Deflator), produced by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.1 The purpose of these articles is to help clarify discussion of issues concerning the sources of divergence between the two measures— “weighting” and “treatment of homeownership costs” issues, and, to a lesser degree, the issue of computational and compilation differences. This is accomplished by measuring the empirical signifi cance of each of these factors. As in earlier articles, two reconciliations are present ed, one dealing with period-to-period changes (annual and quarterly) in the price measures, and the other with total movement of the two indexes over the decade from 1972 to date. In both reconciliations, the effect of one factor or group of factors, holding all other factors constant, can be extracted from the overall divergence by taking the difference between alternative versions of the measures which differ only in one or a small num ber of respects. Reconciling period-to-period changes. In the third quarter of 1982, the CPI-U continued to rise more rapidly than the “ PCE: Chain-Weight” index.2 (See table 1). The per centage-point difference (0.9) was the same as for the second quarter. The composition of that difference did, however, shift quite dramatically. The third-quarter housing treatment effect of 0.6 per centage points is the third negative housing effect of the past year. This negative effect is the result of rental Julie A. Bunn is an economist in and Jack E. Triplett is assistant commissioner of the Office of Research and Evaluation, Bureau of La bor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis irz LL charges increasing at a faster rate than homeownership costs. For each of the 3 months, rents rose faster than CPI-U homeownership costs. (In July, rents increased 1.0 percent and homeownership costs, 0.4 percent, and in August, 0.5 and 0.4 percent; in September, rents in creased 0.4 percent, and homeownership costs decreased 0.7 percent.) Although it has generally been true in the recent past that CPI-U homeownership costs have risen more rapidly than rental costs, this effect can change direction as economic conditions affect house prices, in terest rates, other components of homeownership costs, and rental charges. The weighting effect measures the impact on the price measure of using weights for recent periods, compared with the decade-old weighting structure of the CPI-U. The weighting effect turned positive in the third quarter after 4 negative quarters, but continued to be quite small relative to the overall quarterly increase (only 0.2 percentage points relative to a quarterly change of ap proximately 7 percent). The “all other” effect, measured as the difference be tween C P I-X l, a rental equivalency measure, and the PCE: 1972-Weight index, increased substantially in the third quarter. This effect measures the influence of all dif ferences between the CPI and PCE: Chain-Weight index other than those which result from choice of weights and housing treatment. Although a full explanation of this source of price measure difference remains unclear, depending as it does on a very large number of separate factors, the influence of seasonal adjustment procedures more than likely plays an important role. The fact that over a period of several years quarterly effects for any one year have shown a pattern of being low at the out set of the year and then rising in the latter quarters lends support to this view. Reconciling cumulative changes. Table 2 updates the cu mulative reconciliation of the CPI and PCE Deflator. The general results, consistent with those of previous recon ciliations, can be summarized as follows: (1) different approaches to the measurement of housing costs have accounted for approximately two-thirds of the cumula tive difference between the two measures over the 197237 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • A natom y o f Price Change Table 1. Reconciliation of annual and quarterly percent changes in the CPI-U and the Personal Consumption Expenditure price measures, 1980 to 1982-111 19822 1981 ^ Difference 19801 19811 CPI-U3 .......................................................... PCE: Chain-Weight4 ...................................... 13.5 10.7 Total difference5 .......................................... (CPI-U minus PCE: Chain-Weight) Housing treatment®............................... Weighting effect7 ................................. "All other” effect8 ................................. I II III IV 1 II III 10.4 9.1 11.0 10.3 7.8 7.4 11.8 8.0 7.7 7.2 3.2 5.2 4.6 3.7 7.6 6.7 2.8 1.3 0.7 0.4 3.8 0.5 -2 .0 0.9 0.9 2.3 0.5 0.0 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 -0 .3 0.5 0.3 -0 .4 2.7 -0 .4 1.5 -0.5 -0.1 1.1 -1.3 -0.4 -0.3 1.6 -0.4 -0.3 -0 .6 0.2 1.3 5 CPI-U minus “ PCE: Chain-Weight” equals the sum of “ housing treatment,” “ weighting" and “ all other" effects. 6 Change in CPI-U minus change in CPI-X1. See September 1981 M onthly Labor Review, p. 21, for fuller explanation. Source of CPI-X1 data is same as footnote 3. 7 Change in “ PCE: 1972-Weight” minus change in “ PCE: Chain-Weight.” See September 1981 M onthly Labor Review, pp. 8-9, for fuller explanation. Data source for “ PCE: 1972-Weight” changes is same as for footnote 4. 8 Change in CPI-X1 minus change in “ PCE: 1972-Weight.” See September 1981 M onthly La b o r Review, p.6, for fuller explanation. 1Owing to the July 1982 revision of data produced by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S, Department of Commerce, the annual and quarterly figures may differ slightly from those which appeared in earlier articles in this series. 2 Seasonally adjusted annual rates. 3Annual and quarterly changes in the CPI-U are taken from tables provided by the Office of Prices and Living Conditions, Bureau of Labor Statistics. The changes are compiled from 1967-based indexes. 4 Data for the "PCE: Chain-Weight” were obtained from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce. Table 2. Reconciliation of the CPI-U and the Personal Consumption Expenditure price measures cumulative change from 1972 to the date shown 1982 19811 1980 1981 CPI-U (1972-100)2 .................... PCE Deflator (1972=100)3 . . . . (Current-Weight) 197.0 179.2 Total difference4 ........................ (CPI-U minus PCE Deflator) Housing treatment5 ............. Weighting effect® ............... “ All other" effect7 ............... Difference I II III IV I II III 217.4 194.5 210.3 189.2 214.3 192.6 220.4 196.4 224.6 199.8 226.3 202.2 228.9 204.0 234.2 207.5 17.8 22.9 21.1 21.7 24.0 24.8 24.1 24.9 26.7 11.7 5.6 0.5 14.5 7.6 13.3 7.4 0.4 13.7 7.6 0.4 15.4 7.5 1.1 15.5 7.7 1.6 15.3 7.7 1.1 16.0 7.7 1.2 17.0 7.7 2.0 as ' Owing to changes in seasonal adjustment factors and to the July 1982 revision of data produced by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, annual and quarterly figures may differ slightly from those which appeared in earlier articles in this se ries. 2Annual data for the CPI-U are annual averages, 1972=100. The quarterly data for 1981 and 1982 were computed by the Office of Research and Evaluation, employing seasonally adjusted monthly data provided by the Office of Prices and Living Conditions. 3 Data for the Implicit PCE Deflator, or “ PCE: Current-Weight” index, were provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The data incorporate revisons released in August 1982. 1982 period; (2) as expected, the impact of choosing weights from different periods has increased as intervals lengthen, yet the total effect of weighting differences over a 10-year period is only 7.7 index points over an interval during which the price level doubled; and (3) despite significant differences between procedures for compiling and computing the two measures, all other factors have made only a very small contribution to the overall divergence. Result (1) stands out as having particular significance at this time. Last month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics changed the procedures used to compile the homeownership component of the CPI. The new ap proach— rental equivalence (a derivation of C P I-X l)— is in concept akin to that followed by the Bureau of 38 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 CPI-U minus PCE Deflator equals the sum of “ housing treatment", “ weighting” and “ all oth er” effects. 5 CPI-U minus CPI-X1. See September 1981 M onthly Lab or Review, p. 5, for fuller explana tion. Data source for the CPI-X1 is the same as footnote 2. 6 "PCE: 1972-Weight” minus “ PCE: Current-Weight.” See September 1981 M onthly Labor Review, p. 6, for fuller explanation. Data source for the “ PCE: 1972-Weight” is same as foot note 3. 7 CPI-X1 minus “ PCE: 1972-Weight.” See September 1981 M onthly Labor Review, p. 6, for fuller explanation. Economic Analysis in its compilation of the PCE De flator. Hence, future reconciliations beginning with the first quarter should show less disparity in movements of the two measures. □ --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------1The initial reconciliation and technical basis for the analysis are contained in Jack E. Triplett, “ Reconciling the cpi and pc e Deflator,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , September 1981, pp. 3-15. Subsequent recon ciliations appeared in the January, May, July and October 1982 issues of the M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w . 2As discussed in Triplett, pp.7, 13-14, the PCE Deflator, a Paascheformula index, cannot be used for this reconciliation because Paasche formulas lend themselves to statistical interpretation only when refer ring to the base year (in this case, 1972). Research Summaries Recent trends in higher education and labor force activity a Table 1. Labor force status of persons 25 to 64 years old, by sex, and years of school completed, March 1982 [Numbers in thousands] Both sexes Men Women Population, total ......................................................... Elementary: 8 years or le s s ................................... High school: 1 to 3 y e a rs ........................................ 4 years o n ly ........................................ College: 1 to 3 y e a rs ........................................ 4 years or m o re ................................. 109,680 11,411 13,829 44,595 18,290 21,555 52,840 5,828 6,326 19,127 8,969 12,587 56,842 5,582 7,504 25,468 9,321 8,968 Labor force, total ....................................................... Elementary: 8 years or le s s ................................... High school: 1 to 3 y e a rs ....................................... 4 years o n ly ........................................ College: 1 to 3 y e a rs ........................................ 4 years or m o re ................................. 82,016 6,365 8,987 33,235 14,616 18,812 47,144 4,273 5,279 17,347 8,235 12,012 34,870 2,092 3,708 15,890 6,382 6,799 Labor force participation r a te ...................................... Elementary: 8 years or le s s ................................... High school: 1 to 3 y e a rs ........................................ 4 years o n ly ........................................ College: 1 to 3 y e a rs ........................................ 4 years or m o re ................................. 74.8 55.8 65.0 74.5 79.9 87.3 89.2 73.3 83.4 90.7 91.8 95.4 61.3 37.5 49.4 62.4 68.5 75.8 Unemployment ra te ..................................................... Elementary: 8 years or le s s ................................... High school: 1 to 3 y e a rs ........................................ 4 years o n ly ........................................ College: 1 to 3 y e a rs ........................................ 4 years or m o re ................................. 7.6 13.2 12.1 8.5 7.9 12.8 12.7 9.3 6 .2 6 .8 3.0 2.9 7.2 14.0 11.2 7.8 5.3 3.2 Labor force status and years of school completed A nne M cD ougall Y oung Education traditionally has provided a path to the most desirable jobs and career advancement. Even in a slug gish economy, higher education provides considerable advantages in the job market, as demonstrated by the consistently lower-than-average unemployment rates of college graduates. Recent statistics on the employment status of workers as it relates to their educational at tainment, show that the premium associated with higher education still holds.1 About 1 of 4 persons age 25 to 64 in the work force had completed 4 years or more of college in March 1982 (table 1), compared with 1 of 7 persons in March 1970. The increase reflects, in large part, the growth of the population 25 to 34 years old— the baby-boom gen eration born in the decade following World War II. One-third of the 25- to 64-year-old work force were in this age group in 1982, and 26 percent of them had graduated from college. In 1982, as in other years, the highest labor force participation rates and lowest unemployment rates were recorded by college graduates— whether men or women or black, white, or Hispanic (table 2). For example, at 87 percent, the labor force participation rate for all col lege graduates topped the rate for high school graduates (75 percent) by a wide margin. Unemployment rates were 3.0 percent for college graduates and 8.5 percent for high school graduates. More specifically, 94 percent of the black male college graduates were in the work force, and their unemployment rate was 8.9 percent. Comparable rates for black men with only a high school diploma were 86 percent and 17.3 percent. Male college graduates had roughly the same labor force participation rates regardless of their race or eth nic group. Among female college graduates, the partici- Anne McDougall Young is an economist in the Division of Labor Force Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis N ote : Because of rounding, sums of individual Items may not equal totals. pation rate for blacks has been substantially higher than for whites. In recent years, however, white women in the college graduate group have increased their rate of labor force participation, while the rate for black wom en has remained about the same. As a result, the gap between their rates has narrowed substantially, as shown below: 1982 1970 W h ite B la c k C h an ge W h ite B la c k C hange Total, 25-64 years . . . 48 59 11 61 65 4 High school: Less than 4 years . . . 4 years only 42 50 51 66 9 16 43 62 49 70 6 8 49 76 27 67 81 14 59 92 33 75 89 14 College: 1 to 3 years. 4 years or more . . . 39 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Research Summaries Table 2. Labor force status of persons 25 to 64 years old by race, Hispanic origin, and years of school completed, March 1982 [Numbers in thousands] Men Labor force status and years of school completed White Blaek Population, to ta l............................................................................................... Elementary: 8 years or less ....................................................................... High school: 1 to 3 years ........................................................................... 4 years o n ly ........................................................................... College: 1 to 3 years ........................................................................... 4 years or more ..................................................................... 46,452 4,728 5,222 16,974 7,921 11,607 5,076 960 996 1,791 818 512 Labor force, to ta l............................................................................................. Elementary: 8 years or less ....................................................................... High school: 1 to 3 years ........................................................................... 4 years o n ly ........................................................................... College: 1 to 3 years ........................................................................... 4 years or more ..................................................................... 41,810 3,538 4,394 15,492 7,294 11,092 Labor force participation rate ......................................................................... Elementary: 8 years or less ....................................................................... High school: 1 to 3 years ........................................................................... 4 years o n ly ........................................................................... College: 1 to 3 years ........................................................................... 4 years or more ..................................................................... Unemployment r a te ......................................................................................... Elementary: 8 years or less ....................................................................... High school: 1 to 3 years ........................................................................... 4 years o n ly ........................................................................... College: 1 to 3 years ........................................................................... 4 years or more .................................................................. N ote : Women Hispanic White Black Hispanic 2,815 1,036 371 758 374 277 49,027 4,339 5,891 22,632 8,183 7,983 6,353 999 1,460 2,363 934 597 3,243 1,238 484 970 333 217 4,196 543 797 1,538 733 483 2,564 895 328 727 359 255 29,822 1,581 2,850 13,941 5,474 5,975 4,122 413 783 1,643 753 533 1,708 462 234 616 233 162 90.0 74.8 84.1 91.3 92.1 95.6 82.7 67.0 80.0 85.9 89.6 94.3 91.1 86.4 88.4 95.9 96.0 92.1 60.8 36.4 48.4 61.6 66.9 75.8 64.9 41.3 53.6 69.5 80.6 89.3 52.7 37.3 48.3 63.5 70.0 74.7 7.2 12.0 12.6 8.3 6.0 2.6 15.0 17.3 12.9 17.3 14.6 8.9 10.5 13.4 14.3 8.8 7.8 4.7 6.4 14.5 10.4 6.8 4.6 3.1 12.8 11.4 15.1 15.6 10.6 5.4 11.1 18.0 18.4 7.0 5.6 4.9 . Because of rounding, sums of individual items may not equal totals. Like women college graduates, the difference between white and black participation rates decreased in other education groups. Most of the change was accounted for by women in the 25 to 34 age group. A disaggregation of the college graduate labor force by marital status explains more of the differential in la bor force rates between these white and black women. In March 1982, the rate for black married women with a college education was 20 percentage points higher than that for whites, as shown below: W h ite B la c k S in gle............................ .............. 93 96 Married, spouse present . .............. 68 88 Separated or divorced . . .............. 91 89 Even though relatively fewer black than white college graduates were married (54 compared to 62 percent), the considerably higher level of labor force activity among black wives was enough to raise the overall level substantially. Occupations The kinds of jobs held by college graduates have be come more diverse since 1970, with a much smaller pro portion in the professional and technical fields (table 3). The sluggish business conditions of March 1982 might have accounted for some of the change, but the long term trend reflects both shifts in the demand for certain occupations and the impact of the baby-boom genera tion as it matured and entered the labor force.2 40 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In 1970, 65 percent of all 25- to 64-year-old college graduates were professional and technical workers.^ From 1970 to 1982, a combination of factors such as population growth, increased labor force participation by women, financial support from parents, and large scale aid to higher education by all levels of govern ment, helped to more than double the number of work ers who were college graduates— from 8.6 to 18.9 million. By 1982, only 54 percent of these graduates were professional and technical workers. Table 3. Occupation of the total experienced labor force and of college graduates, age 25 to 64 Total Occupation College graduates 1970 census March 1982 1970 census March 1982 Number (thousands) ......... Percent ............................. 60,916 100.0 82,096 100.0 8,616 100.0 18,943 100.0 White-collar workers............................... Professional and technical.................. Managers .......................................... S ales................................................... Clerical .............................................. 47.9 15.6 9.5 6.8 15.9 54.6 18.5 13.0 6.1 17.0 94.1 64.6 16.2 6.6 6.6 89.6 53.9 20.1 7.7 7.8 Blue-collar workers ............................... Crafts ................................................. Operatives, except transport............. Transport equipment operatives......... Nonfarm la borers............................... 37.5 15.4 14.2 4.1 3.8 31.7 13.9 10.6 3.6 3.6 3.9 2.4 .8 .3 .3 6.0 3.6 1.2 .5 .7 Service w orkers...................................... 11.7 11.5 1.4 3.5 Farmers and farmworkers...................... 3.0 2.1 .7 9 Total: N ote : Data for 1970 are from the Decennial Census. Data for 1982 are from special tabulations of the March 1982 Current Population Survey. The experienced labor force in cludes both employed and unemployed workers by occupation of most recent employment. Table 4. Unemployment rates of persons 25 to 64 years old, by occupation of last job, years of school completed, and sex, March 1982 ______________ Sex and occupation Less than 4 years high school High school, 4 years only College, College, 1 to 3 4 years years or more Men Total ............................................... Professional and technical workers ................................. Managers and administrators . . . Salesworkers............................. Clerical workers ........................ Craftworkers ............................. Operatives, except transport . . . Transport equipment operatives . Nonfarm laborers ...................... Service workers ........................ Farmers and farm workers......... 12.6 9.0 6.6 2.8 5.9 4.6 9.1 6.8 14.3 14.7 12.4 18.6 8.6 7.5 4.5 2.8 4.3 6.0 9.8 14.5 11.1 18.2 8.7 4.0 4.2 3.8 5.3 5.6 6.8 12.0 15.9 13.5 9.1 3.2 1.7 1.7 3.0 3.2 8.6 18.3 16.6 19.3 6.5 11.9 7.7 5.3 3.2 7.4 5.5 5.8 9.5 9.6 16.5 8.9 14.0 8.7 32.0 4.1 3.1 7.3 6.3 7.3 16.6 6.4 12.2 7.8 3.6 2.7 4.7 4.9 5.2 9.8 12.9 (’ ) 7.0 2.3 4.3 3.6 4.7 7.4 (’ ) 4.6 - “ Women Total ............................................... Professional and technical workers ................................. Managers and administrators . . . Salesworkers............................. Clerical workers ........................ Craftworkers ............................. Operatives, except transport . . . Transport equipment operatives . Nonfarm laborers ...................... Farmers and farm workers......... 1Rate not shown where base is less than 75,000. Dashes indicate fewer than 1,000 persons unemployed. The decline in the proportion of college graduates in professional and technical occupations reflects, in part, a slowdown in employment growth in the teaching pro fessions as the number of children age 6 to 17 declined considerably.4 Some of the shift out of professional and technical occupations represents an increase in the de mand for other skills which require more than a high school education. For instance, college graduates have benefited from the growth of business enterprises which needed an increasing number of technically sophisticat ed managers. Also, many sales jobs now require exten sive technical knowledge in order to make an effective presentation of the product. Some college graduates also have shifted into clerical, craft, and service jobs because of their location, work schedules, or because of a preference for manual work. However, the increase in the proportion of college graduates in these three occu pations, from 10 percent in 1970 to 15 percent in 1982 would seem to represent some “underemployment” as defined by Clifford Clogg and others.5 Certainly, the 16 years or more of school they had completed, compared with the median of slightly more than 12 years for all persons in these occupations, indicates substantially more formal education than needed. The “mismatch” of education to occupation seems clear, even though the requirements for entering or advancing in some https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis specific jobs within these occupations may have in creased. For the 1980’s, BLS has projected a surplus of be tween 2 and 3 million college graduates who will enter the labor force.6 Based on past records, relatively few of these graduates are likely to be unemployed. As shown in table 4, the advantage of more education apparently was sufficient enough for college graduates to have a lower unemployment rate in most occupations. For ex ample, in March 1982, the unemployment rate for male salesworkers with a college degree was 3.0 percent, compared with 9.1 percent for salesworkers with less than 4 years of high school. The main exceptions were among men in operative and laborers jobs, where a college education is obvious ly of little advantage. For the relatively small group of college graduates in the operative field, the relatively high unemployment rate may mean that recent gradu ates had to settle for some of these jobs and were then laid oflf during the 1981-82 downturn in business condi tions. Among women, unemployment rates for college grad uates were about half those for workers with less than a high school diploma, and also much lower than for high school graduates in most occupational groups. This indicates that, rather than raising their unemploy ment, the “oversupply”7 of college graduates may sim ply steer more and more of them toward jobs which have not traditionally required a college education. □ --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------' Data for this report are based primarily on special annual tabula tions of information obtained through the Current Population Survey (CPS), conducted monthly for the Bureau of Labor Statistics by the Bureau of the Census. The data relate to the civilian noninstitutional population 16 years and over (unless otherwise specified) in the week ending March 13, 1982. Because the estimates are based on a sample, they may differ from the figures that would have been obtained from a complete census. Sampling variability may be relatively large in cases where the numbers are small. Small estimates, or small differ ences between estimates, should be interpreted with caution. This re port is the latest in a series on this subject. The most recent was Anne McDougall Young, “Educational attainment of workers, 1981,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , April 1982, pp. 52-55. Data on the education al attainment of the population are published by the Bureau of the Census in C u r r e n t P o p u la tio n R e p o r ts , Series P-20. 2 O c c u p a tio n a l O u tlo o k f o r C o lle g e G r a d u a te s, 1 9 7 8 - 7 9 E d itio n , Bul letin 1956 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1978). 3 1 9 7 0 C en su s o f th e P o p u la tio n , O c c u p a tio n a l C h a r a c te r istic s , PC(2)7A, table 8 (U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census). 4 Bureau of Labor Statistics, S p e c ia l L a b o r F o rce R e p o r t 1 3 4 , and U.S. Department of Labor News Release 82-276. ’ Clifford C. Clogg, M e a s u r in g U n d e r e m p lo y m e n t (New York, Aca demic Press, 1979), p. 223. 6Jon Sargent, “The Job Outlook for College Graduates,” O c c u p a tio n a l O u tlo o k Q u a r te rly , Summer 1982, p. 7. 7 Richard Freeman, T h e O v e r e d u c a te d A m e r ic a n (Cambridge, Mass., Harvard University Press, 1976). 41 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Research Summaries Pay in petroleum refineries outpaces manufacturing rise Wage levels of production and related workers in petro leum refineries rose 57 percent (9.4 percent a year) from April 1976 to May 1981, according to the latest occu pational wage survey of this industry.1For all manufac turing industries, wage levels increased an average of 8.5 percent annually, according to the wage and salary component of the Employment Cost Index. The larger pay gains in the petroleum industry reflect increases specified in collective bargaining agreements, typically renegotiated every 2 years. The contracts, chiefly with the Oil, Chemical, and Atomic Workers International Union ( o c a w , AFL-Cio), covered nearly seven-eighths of the workers surveyed in May 1981. Since the survey, wage rates rose by 9 percent in Jan uary 1982 and by an additional 90 cents per hour (ap proximately 7.1 percent) in January 1983 in agreements between the OCAW and the major oil producers. Provi sions for automatic cost-of-living wage adjustments ( c o l a ) are rare in oil refineries; none, in fact, was found in facilities under o c a w agreements. Slightly more than nine-tenths of the 65,500 produc tion workers covered by the May 1981 study had straight-time hourly earnings within the narrow $10$13 range; the average for all production workers was $11.58. This narrow earnings distribution reflects the relatively large proportion of skilled workers in the in dustry, the high degree of collective bargaining with a single union, the predominance of pattern bargaining, and the prevalence of single-rate pay plans (covering three-fourths of the workers). Among the eight geo graphic regions studied, average pay levels ranged from $10.32 in the Texas Inland-North Louisiana-Arkansas region (and $10.34 in Western Pennsylvania-West Vir ginia) to $11.87 on the East Coast. The Texas-Louisiana Gulf Coast, employing two-fifths of the work force, av eraged $11.73. Pay levels also were tabulated by size of community and size of establishment. (See table 1.) The industry’s overall pay level is strongly influenced by the relatively large number of skilled workers. For example, one-fourth of all production workers surveyed were either chief operators or assistant operators— two highly skilled positions which involve monitoring the separation of crude oil into its various components; and one-fifth were skilled maintenance workers. By contrast, janitors, maintenance trades helpers, and laborers to gether made up fewer than one-tenth of the work force. Nevertheless, wage rates paid to lower skilled workers were considerably higher than the pay levels for work ers in the same occupations in industries with less unionization and which were less capital-intensive.2 Among the individual occupations,3 average hourly 42 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis earnings ranged from $9.81 for janitors to $12.55 for chief operators. (See table 1.) This 28-percent earnings spread contrasts with a 37-percent differential recorded in April 1976. Uniform cents-per-hour pay adjustments often stipulated in the industry’s collective bargaining agreements contributed to the narrowed differential. Assistant operators, the largest occupational group studied separately, averaged $11.87 per hour. Other nu merically im portant processing jobs and their averages included pumpers, $12; chief operators’ helpers, $11.40; and laborers, $9.83. The industry’s tight clustering of rates is even more evident within individual occupations. For the occupa tions surveyed separately, the spread of earnings for the middle 50 percent of workers was typically less than $1 an hour. For each of the nine skilled maintenance trades, the middle range covered less than 35 cents. The industry’s overall index of dispersion (computed by di viding the middle range of the earnings distribution by the median) was 11— among the lowest of the indus tries regularly studied by the Bureau. The dispersion in dex was less than 3 percent for each of the nine journeyman maintenance jobs, while other production occupations generally registered from 3 to 10 percent. Nearly all refinery workers were provided paid holi days, vacations, and at least part of the cost of life, hos pitalization, surgical, basic medical, and major medical insurance, as well as retirement plans. Typically, workers received 10 paid holidays annually, and vacation pay ments of 2 weeks after 1 year of service, 3 weeks after 5 years, 4 weeks after 10 years, 5 weeks after 20 years, and 6 weeks after 30 years. Health plans were usually fi nanced jointly by the employers and employees. A comprehensive report on the survey findings, Indus try Wage Survey: Petroleum Refining, May 1981 (Bulletin 2143), is available from the Government Printing Office, or from any of the Bureau’s regional offices. --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------1The surveys included refineries employing 100 workers or more at the time of reference of the universe data, and engaged primarily in producing gasoline, lubricants, and other products from crude petro leum and its fractionation products (industry 2911 as defined in the 1 9 7 2 S t a n d a r d I n d u s tr ia l C la ssifica tio n M a n u a l, prepared by the U.S. Office of Management and Budget.) Earnings data exclude premium pay for overtime and for work on weekends, holidays, and late shifts. For summary findings of the June 1976 study, see Carl Barsky, “Oc cupational wage levels cluster in petroleum refineries,” M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w , June 1977, 54-56. For full details, see I n d u s tr y W a g e S u rv e y: P e tr o le u m R efin in g , A p r il 1 9 7 6 , Bureau of Labor Statistics Bulletin 1948. 2For example, the average pay level for janitors in refineries was $9.81 an hour, 37 percent above the $7.16 all-manufacturing average reported for janitors in the Nation’s metropolitan areas in July 1981. See O c c u p a tio n a l E a rn in g s in A l l M e tr o p o lita n A re a s, J u ly 1 9 8 1 , Sum mary 82-7 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, June 1982). 3The occupations studied separately accounted for 73 percent of the production workers covered by the survey and represent the range of skills and pay levels found in the industry. Table 1. Average straight-time hourly earnings and number of production workers in petroleum refineries by selected characteristics, United States and regions, May 1981_________________________ ____________________ __________ ____ United States Characteristic All production workers1 ............... Size of community: Metropolitan areas2 ............. Nonmetropolitan areas......... Size of establishment: 100-999 workers.................. 1000 workers or m o re ......... East Coast Western Pennsylvania West Virginia Midwest I Midwest II TexasLouisiana Gulf Coast Texas InlandNorth LouisianaArkansas Rocky Mountain West Coast Aver Aver Aver Aver Aver Aver Aver Aver Aver Number age Number age Number age Number age Number age Number age Number age Number age Number age of of of of of hourly of hourly of hourly of hourly of hourly hourly hourly hourly hourly workers earn workers earn workers earn workers earn workers earn workers earn workers earn workers earn workers earn ings ings ings ings ings ings ings ings ings 65,566 $11.58 7,056 $11.87 1,863 $10.34 9,657 $11.74 6,125 $11.25 25,839 $11.73 4,019 $10.32 2,095 $11.61 8,912 $11.77 52,167 13,399 11.66 11.25 6,990 — 11.92 — 591 1,272 10.66 10.18 8,279 1,378 11.72 11.88 2,700 3,425 11.28 11.22 21,583 4,256 11.75 11.67 1,550 2,469 9.50 10.83 1,562 533 11.64 11.52 8,912 11.77 6,503 11.88 — 36,865 28,701 11.38 11.83 2,980 4,076 11.75 11.96 1,863 — 10.34 — 6,474 3,183 11.73 11.76 6,125 — 11.25 — 6,806 19,033 11.38 11.86 4,019 10.32 2,095 11.61 836 595 1,307 1,388 1,574 1,675 2,785 12.16 12.10 12.14 10.46 12.17 12.19 12.04 133 60 148 — 12.29 12.33 12.37 — 12.33 12.37 12.48 — 10 26 69 21 11 34 — 10.07 10.64 9.07 10.75 10.85 10.69 106 47 174 170 215 222 803 12.04 12.18 12.16 10.78 12.20 12.12 11.97 — 24 91 105 109 44 346 — 11.68 11.84 10.94 11.83 11.74 11.92 376 295 571 492 708 650 965 12.16 12.16 12.29 10.69 12.29 12.21 12.09 10 25 76 263 65 26 — 11.01 11.35 11.03 9.81 11.08 11.51 — — 18 43 — 42 44 191 — 12.09 12.12 — 12.18 12.12 11.97 168 116 178 128 255 392 12.29 12.20 12.27 10.46 12.27 12.20 1,154 2,448 1,156 12.02 12.10 12.07 — — 305 186 — 12.29 12.34 52 44 — 10.51 10.35 — 404 139 — 12.14 12.18 185 163 79 11.76 11.87 11.77 652 1,070 444 12.21 12.18 12.18 108 — 69 10.90 — 11.40 20 77 36 12.24 12.16 12.10 46 307 159 12.39 12.20 12.22 Processing Assistant operators...................... Chief operators ........................... Chief operators' helpers ............. Compounders ............................. Laborers ...................................... Loaders, tank cars or trucks . . . . Package fillers, m achine............. Pumpers ...................................... Pumpers’ helpers........................ Treaters, oils ............................... Treaters' helpers, o ils .................. 10,240 7,041 3,151 235 3,014 990 395 1,406 611 526 75 11.87 12.55 11.40 11.82 9.83 10.59 10.81 12.00 11.41 11.05 11.37 997 449 274 34 140 37 78 214 52 28 14 12.30 13.08 11.87 12.41 10.74 10.34 10.82 12.61 11.66 12.48 11.52 54 165 60 27 112 17 51 47 — 55 10.62 11.14 10.38 10.67 10.00 10.36 10.67 10.47 — 10.26 1,803 986 389 — 472 226 1,060 562 219 20 524 155 68 181 38 63 11.58 12.19 11.04 11.73 9.72 10.80 11.06 11.47 10.76 11.11 3,872 3,169 1,575 52 1,064 96 163 421 359 — 11.84 12.69 11.40 12.47 9.72 11.01 10.77 12.34 11.55 — 533 520 217 38 372 286 — 122 21 32 10.89 11.50 10.37 10.89 9.29 9.25 — 10.31 10.29 9.22 363 223 74 — 166 41 253 38 31 12.11 12.70 12.02 — 10.44 11.31 — 12.42 11.54 12.32 65 22 — 11.90 12.58 11.79 — 9.13 11.42 — 12.27 11.92 — 1,558 967 343 22 164 132 — 103 73 40 11.92 12.67 11.31 11.98 10.13 11.51 — 11.77 11.18 11.99 Inspecting and testing Routine testers, laboratory ......... 2,650 11.49 193 12.06 90 10.50 381 11.61 279 11.25 1,134 11.80 225 10.01 81 11.49 267 11.44 Recording and control Stock cle rks ................................. 604 11.26 65 11.31 11 10.26 85 11.20 37 10.94 324 11.42 28 10.28 10 11.52 44 11.23 Material movement Truckdrivers................................. Power-truck operators ............... Forklift ................................. Other than forklift ................ 836 311 242 69 9.99 11.00 10.88 11.44 84 — 10.86 — 29 41 10.09 10.64 — 53 10.76 193 10.96 56 9.44 21 10 11.48 11.30 58 11.04 Custodial Guards ........................................ Janito rs........................................ 469 232 10.43 9.81 76 16 10.81 3.38 10.37 10.09 34 50 10.42 10.11 236 30 10.54 10.38 — 14 8.92 Selected occupations Maintenance Boilermakers, maintenance......... Carpenters, maintenance ........... Electricians, maintenance ........... Helpers, maintenance trades . . . . Instrument repairers .................... Machinists, maintenance............. Mechanics, general...................... Mechanics, maintenance (machinery) ............................. Pipefitters, maintenance ............. Welders, hand, maintenance . . . . 159 286 299 — 8 — 9.19 — 60 68 1Virtually all workers were men. 2 Standard metropolitan statistical areas as defined by the U.S. Office of Management and Budget through February 1974. N ote : Earnings exclude premium pay for overtime and for work on weekends, holidays, and late shifts. The regions used in this survey are defined as follows: East Coast — Connecticut, Delaware, Dis trict of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jer sey, New York, North Carolina, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia, and the following counties in Pennsylvania: Bradford, Columbia, Dauphin, Montour, Northumberland, Sulli van, York, and all counties east thereof; Western Pennsylvania-West Virginia— West Virginia and those counties in Pennsylvania not included in the East Coast region; Midwest I — Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Ohio, and Tennessee; Midwest II — Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missou ri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Dakota, and Wisconsin; Texas-Louisiana https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — 19 — 8.76 — — — 30 27 10.57 10.14 Gulf Coast— the following counties in Texas: Aransas, Brazoria, Calhoun, Cameron, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Hardin, Harris, Jackson, Jasper, Jefferson, Kenedy, Kleberg, Liberty, Matagorda, Montgomery, Newton, Nueces, Orange, Polk, Refugio, San Jacinto, San Patricio, Ty ler, Victoria, Waller, Wharton, and Willacy; the following parishes in Louisiana: Avoyelles, East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, St. Helena, Tangipahoa, Vernon, Rapides, Washington, and West Feliciana, and all parishes south thereof; the following counties in Mississippi: George, Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River, and Stone; and the following counties in Alabama: Baldwin and Mobile; Texas Inland-North Louisiana-Arkansas — Arkansas and New Mexico and those parts of the States of Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas not included in the Texas-Louisiana Gulf Coast; Rocky Mountain — Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Utah, and Wyoming; and West Coast — Arizona, California, Nevada, Oregon, and Washington. Alaska and Hawaii were excluded from the survey. Dashes indicate that no data were reported or that data did not meet publication criteria. 43 M ajor Agreements Expiring Next M onth This list of collective bargaining agreements expiring in March is based on contracts on file in the Bureau’s Office of Wages and Industrial Relations. The list includes agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. Employer and location Industry Labor organization' Number of workers American Airlines, Inc., Flight Attendants (Interstate)2 Air transportation................. Anchor Hocking Corp. (Interstate)............................. Stone, clay, and glass products Associated General Contractors of America, Inc.: Connecticut Chapter, 2 agreements................. San Antonio Chapter (T exas)........................... Construction Construction Carpenters Carpenters 2,300 Borg-Wamer Corp., Warner Gear Division (Muncie, I n d .) ......................... Brockway Glass Co., Inc. (Interstate) ........................................................... Transportation equipment . . . . Stone, clay, and glass products 2,000 7,150 Brown and Williamson Tobacco Corp. (Louisville, K y .) .............................. Tobacco..................................... Brown and Williamson Tobacco Corp. (Interstate) ..................................... Tobacco..................................... Builders Association of Missouri, 2 agreements (Kansas and Missouri) . . . Construction............................. Auto W orkers............................. .. Glass, Pottery, Plastics and Allied Workers Bakery, Confectionery and Tobacco Workers Bakery, Confectionery and Tobacco Workers Laborers and Teamsters (Ind.) . . . California Metal Trades Association (California).......................................... Cincinnati Gas and Electric Co., and Subsidiaries (O h io )........................... Connecticut Construction Industries Association, Inc. (Connecticut) Connecticut Construction Industries Association, Inc., 5 divisions (Connecticut and New York) Construction Industries Association of Western Massachusetts, Inc. (Massachusetts) Fabricated metal products . . . Utilities ..................................... Construction............................. Construction.............................. Machinists ......................... Independent Utilities Union Carpenters ......................... Operating Engineers.......... 2,000 Construction Operating Engineers 1.500 Association of Professional Flight Attendants (Ind.) Glass, Pottery, Plastics and Allied Workers 6,200 4,200 1,000 2,400 2,150 3,350 1,200 6.500 2,800 Dairy Employers Labor Council (Washington) Food products Teamsters (Ind.) 1,000 Food Market Agreement (Minneapolis, Minn.)3 Retail trade Food and Commercial Workers 7,000 General Telephone Company of California (California) Glass Containers Corp. (Interstate)............................. Communication...................... Stone, clay, and glass products 20,500 4,000 Glass Containers Corp. (California).............................. Stone, clay, and glass products H.J. Heinz, Heinz U.S.A. Division (Pittsburgh, Pa.) Food products ...................... Communications W orkers.......... Glass, Pottery, Plastics and Allied Workers Glass, Pottery, Plastics and Allied Workers Food and Commercial Workers . Indian Head, Inc. (Interstate) Stone, glass, and clay products Glass, Pottery, Plastics and Allied Workers 2,050 Master Food and Liquor Agreement (Sacramento, Calif.)3 Meat Market Agreement (Minneapolis, Minn.)3 ............... Metal Trades Independent Companies (California)3 .......... Metropak Containers Corp. (Interstate).............................. Retail trade ........................... Retail trade ........................... Fabricated metal products . . Stone, clay, and glass products 4,600 Michigan Distribution Contractors Association (Michigan) Moving and Storage Industry of New York (New York)3 . Construction........................... Trucking ................................ Food and Commercial Workers . Food and Commercial Workers . Machinists .................................. Glass, Pottery, Plastics and Allied Workers Laborers....................................... Teamsters (Ind.) ......................... National Broadcasting Co., Inc. (Interstate)............................................ National Can Co., Foster-Forbes Glass Co. Division (Interstate).......... Communication...................... Stone, clay, and glass products 1,600 2,000 National Electrical Contractors Association, Rocky Mountain Chapter, Inside Wiring (Colorado) North American Rayon Corp. (Elizabethton, Tenn.) .............................. Construction........................... Broadcast Employees and Technicians . Glass, Pottery, Plastics and Allied Workers Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................. Chemicals Textile Workers 1,450 Owens-Illinois, Inc., Forming Department (Interstate).......... Stone, clay, and glass products Stone, clay, and glass products Glass, Pottery, Plastics and Allied Workers Glass, Pottery, Plastics and Allied Workers 1,950 Owens-Illinois, Inc., Production and Maintenance (Interstate) See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1,000 1,800 1,000 2,450 1,700 2,000 2,200 2,000 12,400 Continued—Major Agreements Expiring Next Month Employer and location Industry Pet, Inc., Whitman Chocolates Division (Philadelphia, P a .)......................... Food products ........................ Philadelphia Food Stores (Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware)3 . . . . Printing Industries of Metropolitan New York, Inc. (New York and New Jersey) Retail trade ............................. Printing and Publishing .......... Restaurant-Hotel Employers’ Council of Southern California, Inc. (California) Rockwell International Corp. (Richland, W ash.)...................................... . Restaurants ............................. Labor organization1 Bakery, Confectionery and Tobacco Workers Food and Commercial W orkers.......... Printing and Graphic Communications Union Number of workers 1,000 5,000 2,000 10,000 Chemicals.................................. Hotel Employees and Restaurant Employees Directly Affiliated U n io n s.................... St. Paul Food Retailers Association (Minnesota).......................................... Retail trade ............................. Food and Commercial W orkers.......... 3,100 Thatcher Glass Manufacturing Co. (Interstate)............................................ Stone, clay, and glass products Glass, Pottery, Plastics and Allied Workers 4,100 United Airlines, Inc., Flight Attendants (Interstate)2 .................................. USAIR, Flight Attendants (Interstate)2 ......................................................... Air transportation.................... Air transportation.................... Association of Flight Attendants . . . . Association of Flight Attendants . . . . 9,300 1,660 Wyman-Gordon Co., Inc. (Worcester and Grafton, M a ss.)......................... Primary m e ta ls......................... Steelworkers .......................................... 1,400 Xerox Corp. (Rochester, N .Y .)....................................................................... Instruments ............................. Clothing and Textile Workers ............ 5,000 Yosemite Park and Curry Co. (California)..................................... .............. H o te ls....................................... Service Employees ................................ 1,700 1Affiliated with AFL-CIO except where noted as independent (Ind.). information is from newspaper reports. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1,400 industry area (group of companies signing the same contract), 45 Developments in Industrial Relations Chrysler-UAW settlement The round of bargaining in the automobile industry was concluded in early December when Chrysler Corp. and the United Auto Workers (uaw ) agreed on a 13-month contract that included an immediate specified wage increase, a major UAW demand in the negotiations that began 5 months earlier. The 44,000 workers have not had a wage increase since 1979 because of Chrysler’s precarious financial condition, and had over whelmingly rejected a September accord because it did not provide for an “up front” guaranteed pay increase. Despite the rejection, the workers did not strike and ne gotiations continued, with Chrysler sticking to its asser tion that it could not afford an increase. In early November, the negotiations reached an impasse and were broken off, but the workers still did not strike, opting to remain on the job until early January, when negotiations were expected to resume. Actually, negotia tions resumed later in November, resulting in the De cember 9 settlement. In a development that complicated the negotiations, Chrysler’s 10,000 Canadian employees walked out in early November. Shortly afterward, nearly 5,000 of the U.S. workers were laid off because of the cessation of the flow of parts between Chrysler plants in the two na tions. The stoppage also raised the possibility of a gen eral shutdown of Chrysler operations when parts stockpiles were depleted. In their separate negotiations with Chrysler, the Canadian UAW members contended that they should receive a larger wage increase than the American workers because Canada had a higher rate of inflation and because the Canadian dollar was equal to only about 80 percent of a U.S. dollar, which meant that Canadian workers were penalized because they were being paid the same nominal amount in their cur rency as their American counterparts were paid in their “Developments in Industrial Relations” is prepared by George Ruben of the Division of Developments in Labor-Management Relations, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and is largely based on information from secondary sources. 46 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis currency. This commonality of pay rates had developed during the years when Chrysler workers in both nations were covered by a single set of negotiations. The change to separate negotiations occurred in 1980, when the Ca nadian employees refused to accept the wage-and-benefit concessions the Americans accepted to aid Chrysler. The immediate wage increase for Chrysler’s American employees averaged 75 cents an hour. It consisted of a 3-percent increase in base rates and a 47-cent increase in the cost-of-living allowance, including a 15-cent ad justment retroactive to December 6 that resulted from resumption of the quarterly adjustments that had been suspended in 1981. (See Monthly Labor Review, March 1981, p. 73.) For Chrysler’s Canadian workers, the immediate in crease averaged $1.15 an hour or about 87 cents an hour in U.S. currency. To some extent, the difference in the increase for employees in the two nations was offset by the fact that American workers retained provisions for “Sunday bonus holidays” (two fall during the agree ment term) and a stock purchase plan. The 75-cent increase for Chrysler’s U.S. employees narrowed the pay differential— estimated at $2.50 an hour by UAW President Douglas Fraser— that had de veloped between Chrysler and Ford-General Motors workers as a result of the three concessionary settle ments at Chrysler in 1979, 1980, and 1981. The Chrysler accord provides for possible quarterly cost-of-living ad justments in March, June, September, and December of 1983. The UAW valued these adjustments at 16 cents each, based on its assumption that the price index used in the formula will rise about 6 percent during the con tract term. At Ford, workers received the 15-cent costof-living adjustment in December, but their 1982 settle ment had deferred for 18 months each of the adjust ments that normally would have been effective in March, June, and September 1982. The same provisions applied at General Motors, except that the December adjustment was held to 5 cents (the other 10 cents was deferred for 18 months) to equalize the total cost-of-liv ing allowance with Ford’s allowance. (See Monthly La bor Review, May 1982, pp. 59-60 for the GM terms and April 1982, pp. 62-64 for the Ford terms.) Under the Employee Stock Ownership Plan, which was required under the Chrysler Corp. Loan Guarantee Act of 1979, Chrysler’s U.S. employees will receive more shares of company stock than originally planned because they will now receive the shares that had been destined for Canadian workers. Other terms for the U.S. workers included: • Modification of the absence control program. One change in the plan clears all absenteeism records from employee files as of February 1, 1983, giving all workers a “clean slate” when the program starts. Worker concern over the first version of the plan had reportedly been one of the major reasons that led to rejection of the September settlement. • Termination of the profit-sharing plan in exchange for the up-front pay gains provided by the new contract. • Establishment of “Lifetime Job Security” projects similar to those at GM and Ford. One difference at Chrysler was the establishment of the “ Roundtable— an Alliance for Progress” which will explore broad companywide initiatives to save jobs and improve worker participation in decisionmaking. One of the Roundtable’s major functions will be to investigate ways of returning “outsourced” (contracted out) work to Chrysler workers under competitive condi tions. The new contract will expire on January 14, 1984, 8 months earlier than the Ford and GM contracts. NFL strike ends The longest strike in the history of professional athletics in the United States ended on November 16, when the National Football League Players’ Association and the 26-team league agreed on a 5-year contract. The 57-day walkout meant that each team would play only 9 regu lar games in the 1982 season, instead of 16. (Two games were played before the start of the walkout.) The post season playoff system also was temporarily revamped to provide for the top eight teams in each of the two con ferences to participate. The settlement package, valued at about $1.28 billion over 5 years, plus $60 million for one-time bonuses, in cluded: bonuses, payable immediately, ranging from $10,000 for rookies to $60,000 for veterans with at least 4 years of service; a minimum season salary scale rang ing from $30,000 for rookies to $200,000 for 18-year players for the 1982 season, $40,000 to $200,000 for the 1983 season, and $50,000 to $200,000 for the 1985 sea son; establishment of severance pay of $40,000 for play ers dropped after 4 seasons (longer-service players who are cut from a team receive $10,000 more for each addi tional year of play); $1 million major medical coverage https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (formerly $250,000); allowing rookie players to have agents negotiate their individual salaries above the mini mum (veterans also can continue to use agents, as long as the agents are approved by the union, or the players can authorize the union to negotiate their salaries); ex tension of the period in which a team retains exclusive rights to players who choose to start their careers in an other league to 4 years (from 2), and the team retains the right of first refusal. The union did not win its demand that a stated per centage of each team’s revenue be allocated for player salaries. Initially, the union sought 55 percent of gross revenue, then 50 percent of television revenue. The only other times the union struck the league were in 1974 and 1975, and neither strike lasted into the regular season. RCA settles with two electrical unions Nearly 16,000 employees were covered by a settle ment between two unions and RCA Corp. that was com parable to the unions’ earlier pattern-setting accord with the General Electric Co. (See Monthly Labor Re view, September 1982, pp. 44-45.) The 3-year RCA ac cord negotiated by the International Union of Electrical Workers ( i u e ) and the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers ( i b e w ) provided for a 5-percent pay increase on December 1, followed by 3-percent increases on December 1 of 1983 and 1984. The employees also will continue to receive automatic semiannual cost-ofliving adjustments of 1 cent an hour for each 0.2-per cent rise in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers. The employees’ concern over job cutbacks was eased by an improvement in income extension aid assuring half pay to age 55 for 30-year employees terminated be cause of plant closings or product discontinuance. Thereafter, they will receive pensions computed at full benefit rates. Pension benefits were increased— in March 1983, the new minimum rate will be $12 a month for each year of credited service, increasing to $14 in March 1984; the maximum rate was raised to $16 plus one-twelfth of 1.6 percent of all preretirement average annual earnings in excess of $15,600. As before, employees have the option of a lump-sum payment at retirement instead of regular monthly benefits. The IUE now represents 5,200 workers at RCA plants in New Jersey and Pennsylvania, compared with 8,000 in 1979, and an earlier peak of 24,000. The IBEW now represents 10,500 workers, down from 14,000 in 1979. Duffy elected to head Air Line Pilots Delegates to the Air Line Pilot Association’s biennial board of directors meeting elected Henry A. Duffy to 47 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Developments in Industrial Relations head the union. The weighted vote tally by the 300 del egates was 13,753 for Duffy, a Delta Air Lines pilot; 10,284 for John J. O’Donnell, the incumbent president; and 3,209 for John Gratz, a Trans World Airlines pilot. The delegates also elected Thomas M. Ashwood of TWA as executive vice president, succeeding Gerry Pryde who did not seek reelection; Charles J. Pierce of United Air lines will succeed Ashwood as secretary. Discussion at the meeting focused on the condition of the industry. Duffy called for formation of a government-industry-labor committee to seek corrective mea sures. The delegates also approved resolutions on a number of pilot concerns, including job security, air safety, and forced early retirements. Logging workers’ pay based on production In a major innovation in the forest products industry, Crown Zellerbach Corp. and the Woodworkers’ union negotiated a 5-year contract that replaced traditional hourly wage scales with a system under which 500 log ging employees will be treated more or less as contrac tors, that is, they will be paid according to their output. In return, the employees at the six Washington and Or egon operations were given a voice in corporate decisionmaking. This will be accomplished through joint committees at each location. Wilson J. Hubbell, first vice president of the union’s Western Regional Council, indicated that one purpose of the change in pay method was to stem the compa ny’s increasing use of nonunion contract loggers. An official of Crown Zellerbach said the agreement “gives us the flexibility to involve them [employees] to the maximum.” According to the company, Joint Operations Com mittees will be involved in activities such as resolving pricing and pay issues; promoting worker productivity; identifying and meeting training needs; reviewing peri odic operating, financial, quality, and safety reports; and setting and implementing affirmative action goals. Under the “pay for production” system, crews of workers will be paid strictly according to output. Also, job classification will be abolished for the crew mem bers, meaning that all members will receive the same pay and will engage in all types of work within the crew. In another change, the Joint Operations Commit tees will plan time off according to the interests and needs of individuals or groups, rather than adhering to the previous rigid holiday and vacation schedules. Crown Zellerbach will continue to provide insurance and pen sion benefits, as well as equipment for the workers. The new contract will become effective June 1, 1983, the expiration date of the current agreement. At that time, contracts between the Western Council and a number of forest products concerns will expire for 25,000 workers in eight Western States. 48 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Truck workers trade wages for share of profits Members of the Auto Workers union at Mack Trucks, Inc., agreed to a 2-year contract that did not provide for any specified wage increases. In return for these and other provisions intended to improve Mack’s competitive position, the company agreed to a new pro fit-sharing plan and additional job security for the em ployees. The accord affected 8,500 active and laid-off workers at plants in Hagerstown, Md., Bridgewater, N.J., and Allentown and Macungie, Pa. UAW Vice President Stephen Yokich pointed out that the new profit-sharing plan provides for Mack employ ees to share in all company profits, unlike some con tracts the union negotiated in the automobile industry, where workers only begin to share after profits attain specified levels. Other provisions included elimination of eight paid days off (workers will receive 14 paid holidays each year); seniority and recall rights on a companywide ba sis; plant closing protections for workers; additional re strictions on “outsourcing” (subcontracting); restoration of all contract concessions at the end of the term; a provision for reopening bargaining if Mack’s pretax in come exceeds $75 million for two successive quarters; union access to the company’s board of directors; and an equality of sacrifice provision requiring Mack to im pose similar wage-and-benefit restrictions on its non union employees. The new agreement will expire in October 1984. Steel workers accept cuts to save company The way was cleared for the purchase of the finan cially beleaguered McLouth Steel Corp. when members of two Steelworkers’ locals in Detroit agreed to a num ber of wage-and-benefit concessions. Tang Industries Inc. had indicated that it would buy the plant only if the workers accepted the cuts. In January 1982, the McLouth employees had agreed to concessions in an ef fort to keep the company in business. (See Monthly La bor Review, March 1982, p. 48.) McLouth had earlier filed for protection under Chapter 11 of the Bankruptcy Code, which allows a company to continue operating under court protection from creditors. The second round of worker concessions included a $1.56 cut in hourly pay; suspension of automatic quar terly cost-of-living pay adjustments until February 1985; termination of optical and dental care plans and three annual paid holidays; loss of a week’s paid vaca tion and the Extended Vacation Program; a 25-percent reduction in sickness and accident benefits; elimination of 168 specific jobs; a pledge not to strike for 6 years; and removal of restrictions on the contracting out of work. In exchange, the 1,500 workers each gained about $375 in McLouth stock. There is a provision for re- opening bargaining in 1986, subject to arbitration of any deadlocked issues. Wage cuts at Kroger will save jobs Employees of 40 Kroger Co. grocery stores in West ern Pennsylvania agreed to $1.10 an hour in wage-andbenefit cuts in exchange for a company promise to com plete and open five stores under construction in the Pittsburgh area. The stores are expected to employ about 500 members of Local 590 of the United Food and Commercial Workers. The company also agreed to end its plan to sell seven existing stores, which would have eliminated about 365 jobs. The company had begun pressing the United Food and Commercial Workers for concessions about 3 months earlier, after the union agreed to concessions with financially troubled Giant Eagle Markets, a com petitor. The Kroger terms included a waiver of a recent 16-cent-an-hour automatic cost-of-living pay adjust ment; a 3-month extension of the current agreement, to January 8, 1984, and a wage freeze extending to that date; 7 annual paid holidays, instead of 12; and time and one-half pay for work on Sundays and holidays, in stead of double time. In a separate vote, members of Local 590 agreed to remove 12 Ohio and West Virginia stores from the bargaining unit. These stores were generally more prof itable than the Pennsylvania stores and their employees were not asked to accept the concessions. In general, the local committees’ aims will be to assure the availability of skilled union trades workers, increase productivity, increase competitiveness in gain ing more work, eliminate nonessential work rules, use the latest tools and methods, and to publicize their ef forts to become more productive. ‘Equal benefits for equal contributions,’ says court Monsanto Co. announced that a larger than expected number of its salaried employees had accepted an in ducement to retire early as part of a plan to reduce and reorganize operations. The company said that 60 per cent of nearly 2,000 eligible employees had opted to re tire November 1. Under the offer, which was limited to workers over age 55 whose age plus years of service to taled at least 80, participants received one-time incentive payments ranging from 50 to 140 percent of a year’s salary. In a decision with implications for many retirement plans, a Federal appeals court ordered two retirement plans to pay men and women equal benefits for equal contributions. The decision applied to Teachers Insur ance and Annuity Association and College Retirement Equities, the principal retirement plans for 3,400 col leges and universities. The case arose in 1974, when a female professor at Long Island University challenged the funds’ practice of paying smaller monthly benefits to women than to men, contending that it violated the Civil Rights Act of 1964. The funds maintained that the practice was warranted because actuarial studies showed that women usually live longer than men. In its ruling, the Second Circuit Court of Appeals found that the practice was, in fact, a violation of Title VII (the equal pay provision) of the Civil Rights Act. The court rejected the plans’ contention that they were not covered by Federal law because they were in the in surance business, which is exempt from Federal regula tion. This reversed the finding of a lower court, which had ruled that Teachers Insurance and Annuity Associ ation was exempt from Title VII. The appeals court said that its decision, which was limited to people who retire after May 1, 1980, would not require “the wholesale removal of money” from the funds’ reserves, declaring that equal benefit payments could be determined without changing the total expected obligations of the funds. The court also said that its de cision to limit recovery to teachers retiring after May 1, 1980, “postponed full conversion to gender-neutral (ac tuarial) tables for as much as 30 to 40 years.” An official of one of the funds said that the decision would be appealed because the issue of equal benefits involves the “entire pension and insurance industries.” Recovery program for union construction Postal Service to pay $400 million in back wages The organized construction industry’s efforts to counter the inroads of nonunion firms was bolstered by a new joint plan of the AFL-ClO’s Building and Con struction Trades Department and the National Con struction Employers Council. The major provision of the new “Market Recovery Program for Union Con struction” calls for the establishment of local joint com mittees to cooperate in mutually beneficial efforts to increase the share of work performed by union workers. The U.S. Postal Service agreed to pay as much as $400 million in back wages to 800,000 current and for mer employees to settle 1978 lawsuits in which the De partment of Labor and groups of employees alleged violations of Federal wage law. Postal officials said the settlement, the largest in the history of the Fair Labor Standards Act, will not affect postal rates because the agency had been building a contingency fund since the beginning of the action. ‘Early out’ program popular at Monsanto https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 49 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Developments in Industrial Relations The distribution of money will apply to work performed from May 1974, when the Postal Service was brought under the act, to May 1978, when it adopted procedures to ensure proper payment for the disputed work time. In general, the suits contended that the agency did not include some wage premiums, such as night shift differentials, in pay calculations; did not pay employees for some work in excess of 40 hours a week; and did not pay employees for required after-hours training. Under the consent degree, affected employees will re ceive a maximum of $736. Con Ed to pay $3.7 million in age bias suit In New York State, Consolidated Edison Co. settled an age discrimination suit by agreeing to pay $3.7 mil lion in back wages and extra pension benefits, according to the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission. The utility did not admit any guilt, saying it had settled only to avoid “substantial legal expenses.” The award will be paid to the 136 persons remaining in the suit. The case originated in 1980 when the commission charged the company with age discrimination for termi nating workers as part of a reduction of its management work force. According to the commission, the firings were improper because the employees’ annual perfor mance ratings had generally been satisfactory or better. The commission had initiated the case under provisions of the Age Discrimination in Employment Act, which covers employees between 40 and 65 years. also charged that they were (1) required to double up in hotel rooms while men had single rooms; (2) denied uniform cleaning allowances paid to the men; and (3) required to meet rigid weight restrictions that did not apply to men. (After the 1973 decision, the airline raised female flight attendants’ pay to match that of male flight attendants, eliminated weight requirements, and extended single hotel rooms and uniform cleaning allowances to women attendants.) The outcome of the case was still not final, as N orth west announced plans to appeal. According to the com pany’s attorney, Northwest will continue to press its ar gument that there was no discrimination and that the male attendants— who were called pursers when the suit was filed— performed different tasks than the fe male attendants. Port, union ordered to register women Women seeking employment as longshore workers at the Los Angeles-Long Beach, Calif., port settled a classaction suit against stevedoring companies and the Inter national Longshoremen’s and Warehousemen’s Union. The plaintiffs had charged that the union and the com panies had discriminated against them in registering new longshore workers and marine clerks. Lawyers for the plaintiffs said that the settlement eventually will re sult in the hiring of 700 women at the port. When the suit was filed in 1980, only about 6 of more than 2,500 registered longshore workers at the port were women and only one of 350 marine clerks was a woman. □ ‘Right-to-work* error in BLS Bulletin 1425-21 Airline found guilty of sex bias In Washington, D.C., a Federal judge ordered N orth west Airlines to pay $52.5 million in backpay and inter est to a group of female flight attendants who had sued the company 12 years earlier for employment discrimi nation. According to lawyers involved in the case, the award was the largest ever in such a suit. Northwest Airlines had been found guilty in 1973, but the final judgment had been delayed by appeals by the company and by negotiations on the size of the award. In the suit, originated by 40 employees and then broadened to include an additional 3,324, the female at tendants charged that, from 1967 to 1976, they were paid $2,000 to $3,000 less a year than male attendants for performing essentially identical duties. The women 50 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis State ‘right-to-work’ laws prohibit labor-manage ment agreements that make union membership a condi tion of employment. Such laws or court interpretations of them also bar agency shop agreements under which payments in lieu of union dues are required. A state ment to the effect that the agency shop is permitted un der some ‘right-to-work’ laws, on page 3 of BLS Bulletin 1425-21, published in May 1982, is in error. Bulletin 1425-21, Major Collective Bargaining Agree ments: Union Security and Dues Checkoff Provisions, is the last in a series of BLS studies of collective bargaining agreements. Copies of Bulletin 1425-21, $4.75, and oth er bulletins in the collective bargaining agreement series, are available from the U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. Book Reviews Measuring economic hardship Hardship— The Welfare Consequences o f Labor Market Problems: A Policy Discussion Paper. By Robert Taggart. Kalamazoo, Mich., The W. E. Upjohn In stitute for Employment Research, 1982. 440 pp. $13.95. During the past 20 years, a number of economists have developed hardship indexes showing the extent of economic hardship caused by unemployment, low wages, job market discouragement, and other labor market problems. None of these indexes has gained wide acceptance as an economic indicator. In this book, Robert Taggart presents a new set of hardship indexes that he characterizes as a “measurement and assessment system” for analyzing the effect of labor market prob lems on economic well-being. Taggart’s indexes are based on the work experience, earnings, and income data collected in the March 1982 supplement to the Current Population Survey (cps). Ba sically, he constructs a matrix of workers with inade quate individual earnings, inadequate family earnings, and inadequate family income cross-classified by their annual work experience patterns. The Federal Govern ment’s poverty lines and minimum wage are used as in come and earnings standards. From his matrix spring a myriad of primary indicators, interpretive indexes, and supplementary measures relating to hardship. According to Taggart’s primary indicators, hardship declined between the 1974-75 recession and 1979 but then rose in 1980 when the economy slumped again. A major point of this book is that hardship is not only a cyclical problem but a structural one. He shows that even in 1979 when the Nation’s jobless rate averaged only 5.8 percent, there were 28.3 million workers with inadequate earnings. Moreover, there were 13.3 million workers living in families with inadequate family earn ings. And lastly, when other income (interest, unem ployment compensation, welfare, and so forth) is added to earnings, the number of workers in families with in adequate incomes totaled 7.1 million. Taggart’s measurement and evaluation system is a mammoth statistical compilation that has been intri cately designed. He has virtually ransacked the March CPS files for relevant hardship data. To make the system https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis operate, however, he has had to include many decision rules and assumptions. Putting aside the usual criticisms of the minimum wage and poverty lines as standards of inadequacy, my major concern is whether Taggart pushes the CPS too far. The March CPS is a rich data base, but it cannot do everything. For example, it is well known that employ ment in low-wage jobs is common among the poor and a cause of economic hardship, but the March CPS does not contain any wage data. It reports annual earnings for the previous year. Taggart gets around this by com paring a worker’s annual earnings with an “earnings standard” obtained by multiplying the minimum wage times the estimated hours the worker was available fo r work (not the hours actually worked) during the year. That is, if a worker in 1981 was employed for 40 hours a week for 40 weeks and was also unemployed for 10 weeks, the worker’s earnings standard would be $6,700, or $3.35 (the minimum wage) times 2,000 hours of work availability. If the worker’s earnings were below $6,700, Taggart would call them inadequate. There are two problems with this. First, unless the worker was employed all year at a full-time job, it is not possible to tell whether the worker’s earnings were inadequate because of a low wage, insufficient working hours, or a combination of both. As mentioned earlier, wage data are not available from the March CPS; fur thermore, accurate estimates of the hours available for work are not possible because of the lack of precise weekly hours information. Second, Taggart’s estimate of workers with inadequate earnings includes many who would not take a minimum wage job because their res ervation wage is above that wage level. Should their earnings be labeled as inadequate as his system does? Or should we recognize that either the inability to find a job, or labor market choices determine annual earn ings? Another area in which the CPS data is weak is labor market discouragement. Much has been written about those workers who have withdrawn from the labor force because of the lack of job opportunities. In the March CPS supplement, it is not possible to identify part-year workers who may have experienced labor market discouragement sometime during the year. Taggart only counts as discouraged those persons who did not work 51 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Book Reviews at all in the previous year because they indicated they could not find work and spent at least 4 weeks looking. Obviously, he has missed a significant group of persons with a labor market problem. Lastly, the vast number of decision rules and assump tions which he uses in his system is disquieting and also a reflection, I believe, of the data gaps in the March CPS. Taggart’s estimates of annual hours of work availability are based on some tenuous assumptions, which, if off base, would alter his hardship indexes. For example, an nual hours of work availability for his discouraged workers who did not work in the previous year were as sumed to be 2,000. That seems high. Given assumptions of this type, the precision with which Taggart calculates his hardship indexes may be unwarranted. I also have some minor problems with Taggart’s style of presentation. The book is loaded with tables and numbers, and, in some places, the reading becomes te dious. In addition, some tables are difficult to under stand. In table B-l, which shows the full matrix, it is not clear that some of the columns are components of other columns. This is because Taggart’s work experi ence typology is unorthodox. Furthermore, in reading the book, I looked for a summary table that presents the number of workers with different labor market problems and their economic hardship status. I did not find it; a book of this type needs such a table. Despite these criticisms, anyone interested in labor market economic hardship should read this book. Com pared to previous work in this area, Taggart’s book rep resents an enormous effort. He has built upon past research and demonstrated that not only does he know the issues involved in measuring hardship, he also knows the ins and outs of the March CPS. — Paul M. R yscavage Division of Labor Force Studies Bureau of Labor Statistics Labor market problems Workers, Jobs, and Inflation. Edited by Martin Neil Baily. Washington, The Brookings Institution, 1982. 365 pp. $31.95, cloth; $12.95, paper. The eight papers in this volume, presented at a Brookings conference on November 7-8, 1980, focus on three major issues: the relatively high unemployment of the 1970’s, measurement of labor market tightness, and the relationship between unemployment and variables such as wage rates and unemployment insurance. The papers are all empirical; one uses Canadian data, the others use U.S. data. The first six use macroeconomic data, the last two rely on individual observations. Martin Baily argues that the unusually high unem ployment of the 1970’s reflects structural factors and 52 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis that other contemporaneous indexes of tightness, such as help-wanted ads and labor turnover (for the manu facturing sector), reflect labor markets generally no less slack than those of earlier periods. James Medoff and Katharine Abraham reinforce the use of alternative measures of labor market tightness by finding a strong er relationship between wage inflation and the manufac turing quit rate and a help-wanted index than between wage inflation and the official or prime age male unem ployment rate. Pierre Fortin and Keith Newton incor porate several measures of labor market tightness— unemployment adjusted to hold constant the age-sex composition of the labor force, the adult male unem ployment rate, and the vacancy rate— in their overall study of recent Canadian unemployment and inflation. Robert Gordon includes factors in his Phillips curve analysis, such as food and energy prices and the dollar foreign exchange rate, that are not often found in labor economics research. He also presents simulation results under alternative policy scenarios. John Geweke, in the most econometrically sophisticated paper in this vol ume, finds a much different inflation-labor market activ ity relationship in 1955-71 than in 1971-78. Daniel Mitchell and Larry Kimbell provide a good introduction to the history and recent theory of wage determination in the union and nonunion sectors. Using a simple four-equation model and the UCLA macroeconometric model, they also study the effects of long term contracts and cost-of-living escalators on inflation. Kim Clark and Lawrence Summers and Nicholas Kiefer and George Neumann analyze movements of individuals between employment, unemployment, and nonparticipa tion in the labor force. The Clark-Summers paper high lights the effect of unemployment insurance on labor market transition probabilities. Most of this book can be easily read by economists who are not specialists in this subject area. Yet, active researchers should find some of the details of the empir ical analyses and comments of the discussants to be useful. — F arrell Bloch U.S. Department of Justice Publications received Economic and social statistics Funatsu, Y., A M e th o d o f D e riv in g V a lid A p p r o x im a te E x p re s sion s f o r B ia s in R a tio E stim a tio n . Reprinted from the J o u r n a l o f S ta tis tic a l P la n n in g a n d In feren ce (North Hol land Publishing Co.), June 1982, pp. 215-25. Mairesse, Jacques and Alan K. Siu, A n E x te n d e d A c ce le ra to r Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982, 37 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 968.) $1.50. M odel of R&D and P h y sica l In ve stm en t. Prucha, Ingmar R., and M. Ishaq Nadiri, F o rm u la tio n a n d E stim a tio n o f D y n a m ic F a c to r D e m a n d E q u a tio n s U n d er N o n -S ta tic E x p e cta tio n s: A F in ite H o rizo n M o d e l. Cam bridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982, 43 pp. (Technical Paper, 26.) $1.50. Russell, Cheryl, “Coming Alive Down South,” A m eric a n D e m o g ra p h ics, October 1982, pp. 18-23. Smith, Vernon L., “Microeconomic Systems as an Experimen tal Science,” T he A m e r ic a n E c o n o m ic R eview , December 1982, pp. 923-55. Trajtenberg, Manuel and Shlomo Yitzhaki, T he D iffu sion o f In n o va tio n s: A M e th o d o lo g ic a l R e a p p ra isa l. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982, 45 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 1008.) Walsh, Doris, “Cluster Demographics,” A m eric a n D e m o g ra p h ics, November 1982, pp. 20-23. Industrial relations Bogue, Bonnie G., “Labor Relations in Transit: A State or Federal Question?” C a lifo rn ia P u b lic E m p lo y e e R ela tio n s, September 1982, pp. 22-24. Bohlander, George W., “How the Rank and File Views Local Union Administration—A Survey,” E m p lo y e e R e la tio n s L a w J o u rn a l, Autumn 1982, pp. 217-35. Clark, Kim B., U n ion ization a n d F irm P erfo rm a n ce: T he I m p a c t o f P rofits, G row th a n d P ro d u c tiv ity . Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982, 56 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 998.) $1.50. Coens, Thomas A., “Child Labor Laws: A Viable Legacy for the 1980s,” L a b o r L a w Jou rn a l, October 1982, pp. 66883. Ehrenberg, Ronald G., Leif Danziger, Gee San, C o st-o f-L ivin g A d ju s tm e n t C la u ses in U nion C on tracts. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982, 91 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 998.) $1.50. Freeman, Richard B., “Union Wage Practices and Wage Dis persion Within Establishments,” I n d u s tr ia l a n d L a b o r R e la tio n s R e view , October 1982, pp. 3-21. Friedman, Samuel R., T e a m ste r R a n k a n d File: P ow er, B u rea u cra cy, a n d R e b ellio n a t W ork a n d in a Union. New York, Columbia University Press, 1982, 302 pp., bibliog raphy. $24. Geroski, P. A., A. P. Hamlin, K. G. Knight, “Wages, Strikes and Market Structure,” O x fo r d E c o n o m ic P apers, July 1982, pp. 276-91. Gies, Thomas P., “Employer Remedies for Work Stoppages that Violate No-Strike Provisions,” E m p lo y e e R e la tio n s L a w J o u rn a l, Autumn 1982, pp. 178-97. Hirsch, Barry T., “The Interindustry Structure of Unionism, Earnings, and Earnings Dispersion,” I n d u s tr ia l a n d L a b o r R e la tio n s R eview , October 1982, pp. 32-39. Hollon, Charles J. and Thomas L. Bright, “National Origin Harassment in the Work Place: Recent Guideline Devel opment from the EEOC,” E m p lo y e e R e la tio n s L a w J o u r nal, Autumn 1982, pp. 282-93. Jacobs, Roger B., “Employment Discrimination and Continu ing Violations: An Update of R ic k s and Recent Decisions,” L a b o r L a w Jou rn a l, October 1982, pp. 68489. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Kelley, Maryellen R., “Discrimination in Seniority Systems: A Case Study,” I n d u s tr ia l a n d L a b o r R e la tio n s R eview , Oc tober 1982, pp. 40-55. Stern, James L. and Barbara D. Dennis, eds., T ra d e U n ion ism in th e U n ite d S ta tes: A S y m p o siu m in H o n o r o f J a c k B arbash , H e ld A pr. 2 4 - 2 6 , 1981. Madison, Wis., Univer sity of Wisconsin, Industrial Relations Research Institute, 1982, 221 pp., bibliography. $10, paper. Takezawa, S. and others, Im p ro v e m e n ts in th e Q u a lity o f W o rk in g L ife in T h ree J a p a n ese In d u stries. Washington, International Labour Organization, 1982, 175 pp. The Bureau of National Affairs, Inc., T he E m p lo y e e -A t-W ill Issu e: A B N A S p e c ia l R ep o rt. Rockville, Md., The Bureau of National Affairs, Inc., Labor Special Projects Unit, 1982, 96 pp., ( d l r 225.) $20, paper. U.S. Department of Labor, R e so u rce G u id e to L a b o r M a n a g e m e n t C ooperation . Prepared by Lisa Ternullo and others. Washington, U.S. Department of Labor, Labor Manage ment Services Administration, 1982, 198 pp. $7, Superin tendent of Documents, Washington 20402. — S ta r tin g L a b o r-M a n a g e m e n t Q u a lity o f W ork L ife P ro g ra m s. Prepared by Michael Brower. Washington, U.S. Depart ment of Labor, Labor-Management Services Administra tion, 1982, 21 pp. $3.25, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. Van de Water, John R., “New Trends in NLRB Law,” L a b o r L a w J o u rn al, October 1982, pp. 635-44. Wisniewski, Stanley C., “Achieving Equal Pay for Compara ble Worth Through Arbitration,” E m p lo y e e R e la tio n s L a w J o u rn al, Autumn 1982, pp. 236-55. Industry and government organization Bailey, Elizabeth E. and Ann F. Friedlaender, “Market Struc ture and Multiproduct Industries,” J o u r n a l o f E co n o m ic L ite ra tu re , September 1982, pp. 1024-48. Scobel, Donald N., “Business and Labor—from Adversaries to Allies,” H a r v a r d B u sin ess R eview , November-December 1982, pp. 129-36. International economics Backhouse, Roger E., “Price Flexibility and Keynesian Unem ployment in a Macroeconomic Model with Quantity Rationing,” O x fo r d E c o n o m ic P apers, July 1982, pp. 292304. Donovan, Donal J., “Macroeconomic Performance and Ad justment Under Fund-Supported Programs: The Experi ence of the Seventies,” In te r n a tio n a l M o n e ta r y F u n d S t a f f P apers, June 1982, pp. 171-203. Dooley, Michael, “An Analysis of Exchange Market Interven tion of Industrial and Developing Countries,” I n te rn a tio n a l M o n e ta r y F u n d S t a f f P apers, June 1982, pp. 23369. Katz, Menachem, “The Cost of Borrowing, the Terms of Trade, and the Determination of External Debt,” O x fo r d E c o n o m ic P apers, July 1982, pp. 332-45. Makin, John H., “Effects of Inflation Control Programs on Expected Real Interest Rates,” I n te rn a tio n a l M o n e ta r y F u n d S t a f f P apers, June 1982, pp. 204-32. Svensson, Lars E. O., F a c to r T ra d e a n d G oods T ra d e. Cam bridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, 53 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • B o o k R e v ie w s Inc., 1982, 41 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 999.) $1.50. Tanzi, Vito, “Inflationary Expectations, Taxes, and the De mand for Money in the United States,” I n te rn a tio n a l M o n e ta r y F u n d S t a f f P apers, June 1982, pp. 155-70. U.S. Department of State, U n ite d S ta te s C o n trib u tio n s to I n te r n a tio n a l O rg a n iza tio n s: 3 0 th A n n u a l R e p o r t to th e C o n g ress f o r F isca l Y ea r 1981. Washington, U.S. Department of State, Bureau of International Organization Affairs, 1982, 127 pp. (Department of State Publication, 9276; In ternational Organization and Conference Series, 157.) Wellons, Philip, “International Bankers: Size Up Your Com petitors,” H a r v a r d B u sin ess R eview , November-December 1982, pp. 95-105. “World Economic Outlook: Why the Recovery’s Pace Will Be So Feeble,” B u sin ess W eek, Nov. 1, 1982, beginning on p. 112. Labor and economic history Achenbaum, W. Andrew, S h a d e s o f G ray: O ld A ge, A m eric a n Values, a n d F e d e r a l P o licies S in ce 1920. Boston, Little, Brown and Co., 1983, 216 pp. Noble, Robert, S te e l B ib lio g ra p h y. Philadelphia, Pa. (5431 North 12th Street), 1981, 40 pp. $6, United Steelworkers of America members; $10, nonmembers. “The Soviet Union, 1982,” C u r re n t H isto ry, October 1982, pp. 305-34. Labor force Brown, Charles, D e a d -e n d J o b s a n d Y ou th U n em p lo ym e n t. Re printed from T h e Y ou th L a b o r M a r k e t P ro b lem : I ts N a ture, Causes, a n d C onsequ en ces, edited by Richard B. Freeman and David A. Wise, pp. 427-51. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982. ( n b e r Reprint Series, 295.) $1.50. Carter, Keith A., “Inadequacies of the Traditional Labor Force Framework for Rural Areas: A Labor Utilization Framework Applied to Survey Data,” R u r a l S ociology, Fall 1982, pp. 459-74. Freeman, Richard B., B la c k E c o n o m ic P rogress A f te r 1964: W ho H a s G a in e d a n d W h y? R e p r in te d f r o m S tu d ie s in L a b o r M a r k e ts, edited by Sherwin Rosen, pp. 247-94. Cam bridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982. ( n b e r Reprint, 305.) $1.50. Gronau, Reuben, I n te r r u p te d S e x -R e la te d W age D iffe re n tia ls a n d W o m e n ’s L a b o r C a re e rs — T he C h ick en o r th e Egg. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Re search, Inc., 1982, 65 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 1002.) $1.50. Magun, Sunder, T h e R ise o f S ervice E m p lo y m e n t in th e C a n a d ia n E c o n o m y. Reprinted from R e la tio n In d u strie lle s, Vol. 37, No. 3, 1982, pp. 528-56. Ottawa, Hull, Canada, De partment of Employment and Immigration. Martin, Philip, L a b o r D isp la c e m e n t a n d P u b lic P olicy. Lexing ton, Mass., D.C. Heath and Co., Lexington Books, 1982, 125 pp. $18.95. Meyer, Robert H. and David A. Wise, T h e T ran sition f r o m S c h o o l to W ork: T he E x p e rien ce s o f B la c k s a n d W hites. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Re 54 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis search, Inc., 1982, 75 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 1007.) $1.50. Mincer, Jacob and Boyan Jovanovic, L a b o r M o b ility a n d W ages. Reprinted from S tu d ie s in L a b o r M a rk ets, edited by Sherwin Rosen, pp. 21-63. Cambridge, Mass., Nation al Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982. ( n b e r Re print Series, 304.) $1.50. Paine, Whiton Stewart, ed., J o b S tress a n d B u rn ou t: R esearch , Theory, a n d In te rv e n tio n P erspectives. Beverly Hills, Calif., Sage Publications, Inc., 1982, 296 pp. $25, cloth; $12.50, paper. Parnes, Herbert S., U n e m p lo y m e n t E x p erien ce o f I n d iv id u a ls O v er a D eca d e: V ariation s b y Sex, R ace, a n d A ge. Kala mazoo, Mich., The W. E. Upjohn Institute for Employ ment Research, 1982, 99 pp. $5.95, paper. Rank, Mark R. and Paul R. Voss, “Occupational Mobility and Attainment Among Migrants Entering the Upper Great Lakes Region,” R u r a l S ociology, Fall 1982, pp. 512— 28. Reid, Frank and Douglas A. Smith, T he I m p a c t o f D e m o g ra p h ic C h an ges on U n em p lo ym e n t. Reprinted from C a n a d ia n P u b lic P olicy, Spring 1981, pp. 248-51. $1.50, University of Toronto, Center for Industrial Relations, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Shaw, Lois Banfill, ed., U n p la n n e d C areers: T he W o rk in g L iv es o f M id d le -A g e d W om en. Lexington, Mass., D.C. Heath and Co., 1982, 147 pp., bibliography. $19.95. Sumner, Daniel A., “The Off-Farm Labor Supply of Farm ers,” A m e ric a n J o u r n a l o f A g r ic u ltu r a l E con om ics, August 1982, pp. 499-509. U.S. Commission on Civil Rights, U n e m p lo y m e n t a n d U n d er e m p lo y m e n t A m ong B lacks, H ispan ics, and W om en. Washington, 1982, 98 pp. (Clearinghouse Publication 74.) Management and organization theory Blomquist, Ceil, “Study Shows Relocation Resistance Revers ing,” P erso n n el A d m in is tra to r, December 1982, pp. 55-56. Brown, Charles, E s tim a tin g th e D e te r m in a n ts o f E m p lo y e e P er fo rm a n c e . Reprinted from T h e J o u r n a l o f H u m a n R esou rces, Spring 1982, pp. 178-94. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982. ( n b e r Reprint, 299.) $1.50. Blumberg, Melvin and Charles D. Pringle, “The Missing Op portunity in Organizational Research: Some Implications for a Theory of Work Performance,” A c a d e m y o f M a n a g e m e n t R eview , October 1982, pp. 560-69. Brush, Donald H. and Lyle F. Schoenfeldt, “Performance Ap praisal for the ’80s,” P erso n n el A d m in is tra to r, December 1982, pp. 76-83. Chusmir, Leonard H., “Job Commitment and the Organiza tional Woman,” A c a d e m y o f M a n a g e m e n t R eview , Octo ber 1982, pp. 595-602. Curley, Kathleen Foley and Philip J. Pyburn, “‘Intellectual’ Technologies: The Key to Improving White-Collar Pro ductivity,” S lo a n M a n a g e m e n t R eview , Fall 1982, pp. 3139. Daniels, Diane and Ann Barron, T h e P ro fe ssio n a l S ecreta ry: S k ills a n d T ech n iqu es f o r R eco g n itio n a n d Su ccess. New York, a m a c o m , A division of American Management Associations, 1982, 198 pp. $15.95. Driessnack, Carl H., “Spouse Relocation: A Creative Ap proach to Recruitment and Employee Transfer,” P erson n e l A d m in is tra to r, December 1982, beginning on p. 59. Evans, Alastair J., “Britain and the United States: A Comparison of Human Resources Strategies,” P erso n n el J o u rn a l, September 1982, pp. 656-62. Gullotta, Thomas P. and Kevin C. Donohue, “Preventing Family Distress During Relocation: Initiatives for Hu man Resource Managers,” P erso n n el A d m in is tra to r, De cember 1982, pp. 37-43. Hoover, John J., “Negotiating the Initial Union Contract,” P erso n n el Jou rn a l, September 1982, pp. 692-98. Klinger, Donald E., “Personnel, Politics and Productivity,” P u b lic P erso n n el M a n g e m e n t Jou rn al, Fall 1982, pp. 27781. Marks, Mitchell Lee, “Conducting an Employee Attitude Sur vey,” P erso n n el J o u rn a l, September 1982, pp. 684-91. Maruyama, Magoroh, “Mindscapes, Management, Business Policy, and Public Policy,” A c a d e m y o f M a n a g e m e n t R e view, October 1982, pp. 612-19. McIntyre, Douglas I. and James C. Renick, “Protecting Pub lic Employees and Employers from Sexual Harassment,” P u b lic P erso n n el M a n a g e m e n t Jou rn a l, Fall 1982, pp. 282-92. Miner, John B., T h eories o f O rg a n iza tio n a l S tru c tu re a n d P ro cess. New York, C B S College Publishing, 1982, 479 pp. Moore, John M., “The Role Relocation Plays in Management Planning,” P erso n n el A d m in is tra to r, December 1982, pp. 31-34. Nowlin, William A., “Factors That Motivate Public and Pri vate Sector Managers: A Comparison,” P u b lic P erso n n el M a n a g e m e n t J o u rn a l, Fall 1982, pp. 224-27. Siegel, Irving H. and Edgar Weinberg, L a b o r M a n a g e m e n t C o operation-. T he A m e r ic a n E x p erien ce. Kalamazoo, Mich., W. E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, 1982, 316 pp. $13.95, cloth; $9.95, paper. Tyler, Charlie B., “Employee Performance Appraisal in Amer ican State Governments,” P u b lic P erso n n el M a n a g e m e n t J o u rn a l, Fall 1982, pp. 199-212. Winchell, Tim E., Sr., “Federal Position Control Programs in an Era of Cutback Management,” P u b lic P erso n n el M a n a g e m e n t J ou rn a l, Fall 1982, pp. 185-91. “Quality: The U.S. Drives to Catch Up,” B u sin ess W eek, Nov. 1, 1982, beginning on p. 66. Monetary and fiscal policy Humphrey, Thomas M., “The Real Bills Doctrine,” E co n o m ic R e view , Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, SeptemberOctober 1982, pp. 3-13. Judd, John P. and John L. Scadding, “The Search for a Stable Money Demand Function: A Survey of the Post-1973 Literature,” J o u r n a l o f E c o n o m ic L ite ra tu re , September 1982, pp. 993-1023. Peek, Joe, “Interest Rates, Income Taxes, and Anticipated In flation,” T he A m e r ic a n E c o n o m ic R eview , December 1982, pp. 980-91. Prices and living conditions Parys, Wilfried, “The Deviation of Prices from Labor Values,” https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis E c o n o m ic R eview , December 1982, pp. 1208-12. Sonnenschein, Hugo, “Price Dynamics Based on the Adjust ment of Firms,” T he A m e r ic a n E c o n o m ic R eview , Decem ber 1982, pp. 1088-96. T h e A m e r ic a n Productivity and technological change Gold, Bela, “Computer-Aided Manufacturing (CAM) Sets New Rules for Production,” H a r v a r d B u sin ess R eview , November-December 1982, pp. 88-94. Great Britain, Department of Employment, “The Japanese Way of Robot Life,” by Yasuo Kuwahara, E m p lo y m e n t G a zette, August 1982, pp. 346-50. Great Britain, National Institute of Economics and Social Re search, “Special Issue on Britain’s Comparative Produc tivity: International Industrial Productivity: A Com parison of Britain, America and Germany,” by A. D. Smith, D. M. W. N. Hitchens, S. W. Davies; “Labour Pro ductivity in 1980: An International Comparison,” by A. D. Roy; “Labour-Skills, R and D and Capital Requirements in the International Trade and Investment of the United Kingdom, 1968-78,” by H. Katrak; “The Contribution of Education to Economic Growth in Britain: A Note on the Evidence,” by A. Daly; “Factors Influencing Recent Productivity Growth—Report on a Survey of Compa nies,” by G. C. Wenban-Smith, N a tio n a l In s titu te E co n o m ic R eview , August 1982, pp. 13-66. Jarrett, J. Peter and Jack G. Selody, “The ProductivityInflation Nexus in Canada, 1963-1979,” T h e R e v ie w o f E c o n o m ic s a n d S ta tistics, August 1982, pp. 361-67. Judson, Arnold S., “The Awkward Truth About Pro ductivity,” H a r v a r d B u sin ess R eview , September-October 1982, pp. 93-97. Lehrer, Robert N., ed., W h ite C o lla r P ro d u c tiv ity . New York, McGraw-Hill Book Co., 1983, 363 pp. $24.95. Norman, Henry R. and Patricia Blair, “The Coming Growth in ‘Appropriate’ Technology,” H a r v a r d B u sin ess R eview , November-December 1982, beginning on p. 62. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, b l s P u b lic a tio n s on P ro d u c tiv i ty a n d T echn ology. Washington, 1982, 25 pp., bibliogra phy. (Report 671.) Social institutions and social change Maggied, Hal S., T ra n sp o rta tio n f o r th e Poor: R esea rch in R u r a l M o b ility . Hingham, Mass., Kluwer Boston, Inc., 1982, 178 pp. Naisbitt, John, M e g a tre n d s: Ten N e w D ire c tio n s T ra n sfo rm in g O u r L ives. New York, Warner Books, Inc., 1982, 290 pp. $15.50. Russell, Louise B„ T he B a b y B o o m G en eration a n d th e E co n o m y. Washington, The Brookings Institution, 1982, 183 pp. $19.95, cloth; $7.95, paper. Walsh, Doris, “About Those New Women Consumers,” A m e r ic a n D em o g ra p h ics, October 1982, pp. 26-29. “Young Children and Social Policy,” T h e A n n a ls, The Ameri can Academy of Political and Social Science, May 1982, pp. 9-144. Urban affairs “Rethinking Housing Policy: I, Housing Programs and the Forgotten Taxpayer,” by Edgar O. Olsen; “II, Improving 55 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Book Reviews Housing Allowances,” by Irving Welfeld, T he P u b lic I n terest, Winter 1982, pp. 97-118. Sternlieb, George and James W. Hughes, “The Coming Hous ing Bust,” A m e r ic a n D em o g ra p h ics, November 1982, pp. 32-33. — U nion W ages a n d B en efits: P rin tin g T rades, Sept. 2, 1980. Prepared by Carl Barsky and Jonathan W. Kelinson. Washington, 1982, 152 pp. (Bulletin 2135.) $6.50, Super intendent of Documents, Washington 20402. Wages and compensation Welfare programs and social insurance Bartel, Ann P. and George J. Borjas, Aldrich, Jonathan, “The Earnings Replacement Rate of OldAge Benefits in 12 Countries, 1969-80,” S o c ia l S e c u rity B u lletin , November 1982, pp. 3-11. Coudroglou, Aliki, W ork, W om en a n d th e S tru g g le f o r S elfS u fficien cy. Washington, University Press of America, Inc., 1982, 214 pp., bibliography. $22.25, cloth; $10.75, paper. Laurent, André, “European Community Law and Equal Treatment for Men and Women in Social Security,” I n te r n a tio n a l L a b o u r R eview , July-August 1982, pp. 373-85. O’Rand, Angela M. and John C. Henretta, “Delayed Career Entry, Industrial Pension Structure, and Early Retire ment in a Cohort of Unmarried Women,” A m e r ic a n S o cio lo g ica l R eview , June 1982, pp. 365-73. Packard, Michael D., “Retirement Options Under the Swedish National Pension System,” S o c ia l S e c u r ity . B u lletin , No vember 1982, pp. 12-22. Rein, Mildred, D ile m m a s o f W elfare P olicy: W h y W o rk S tr a te g ies H a v e n 't W o rk ed . New York, Praeger Publishers, 1982, 178 pp., bibliography. $19.95. Sommers, Paul M., ed., W elfare R e fo rm in A m eric a : P ersp ec tives a n d P rospects. Hingham, Mass., Kluwer Boston, Inc., 1982, 254 pp. $29. W age G row th a n d Job T u rn over: A n E m p ir ic a l A n a lysis. Reprinted from S tu d ie s in L a b o r M a r k e ts, edited by Sherwin Rosen, pp. 65-90. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Re search, Inc., 1982. ( n b e r Reprint, 321.) $1.50. Bergmann, Thomas J. and Frederick S. Hills, “International Labor Markets and Indirect Pay Discrimination,” C o m p e n sa tio n R eview , Vol. 14, No. 4, Fourth Quarter 1982, pp. 41-50. Blaustein, Saul J., U n e m p lo y m e n t In su ra n c e F u n d In so lven cy a n d D e b t in M ich ig a n . Kalamazoo, Mich., The W. E. Up john Institute for Employment Research, 1982, 82 pp. $5.95, paper. Ehrenberg, Ronald G. and Paul L. Schumann, C o m p lia n c e w ith th e O v ertim e P a y P rovision s o f th e F a ir L a b o r S ta n d a r d s A ct. Reprinted from the J o u r n a l o f L a w a n d E c o n om ics, April 1982, pp. 159-81. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982. Reprint Series, 326.) $1.50. Grossman, Herschel I. and Warren T. Trepeta, R is k S h iftin g, (n b e r S ta tis tic a l D isc rim in a tio n , a n d th e S ta b ility o f E arn in gs. Reprinted from S tu d ie s in L a b o r M a r k e ts, edited by Sherwin Rosen, pp. 295-317. Cambridge, Mass., Nation al Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982. ( n b e r Re print, 302.) $1.50. Gunderson, Morley, P u b lic S e c to r C o m p en sa tio n in C a n a d a a n d th e U.S. Reprinted from I n d u s tr ia l R e la tio n s, Fall 1980, pp. 257-71. $1, University of Toronto, Center for Industrial Relations, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Gustman, Alan L. and Thomas L. Steinmeier, P a r tia l R e tir e m e n t a n d W age P rofiles o f O ld e r W orkers. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982, 31 pp. ( n b e r Working Paper Series, 1000.) $1.50. Hamermesh, Daniel S., M in im u m W ages a n d th e D e m a n d f o r L a b o r. Reprinted from E c o n o m ic In q u iry, July 1982, pp. 365-80. Cambridge, Mass., National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., 1982. ( n b e r Reprint Series, 325.) $1.50. Kopelman, Richard E. and Leon Reinharth, “Research Re sults: The Effect of Merit Pay Practices on White Collar Performance,” C o m p en sa tio n R e view , Vol. 14, No. 4, Fourth Quarter 1982, pp. 30-40. Reid, Frank and Gerald S. Swartz, P ro ra tin g F rin ge B en efits f o r P a r t-T im e E m p lo y e e s in C a n a d a . Toronto, Ontario, Canada, University of Toronto, Center for Industrial Re lations, 1982, 86 pp. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, T he F e m a le -M a le E a rn in g s G ap: R e v ie w o f E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s Issues. By Janet L. Norwood. Washington, 1982, 10 pp. (Report 673.) 56 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Worker training and development Great Britain, Department of Employment, “The Training and Experience Dividend,” by Christine A. Greenhalgh and Mark B. Stewart, E m p lo y m e n t G azette, August 1982, beginning on p. 329. Gustman, Alan L. and Thomas L. Steinmeier, “Labor Mar kets and Evaluations of Vocational Training Programs in the Public High Schools—Toward a Framework for Analysis,” S o u th ern E c o n o m ic J o u rn al, July 1982, pp. 185-200. Hashimoto, Masanori, “Minimum Wage Effects on Training on the Job,” T h e A m e r ic a n E c o n o m ic R eview , December 1982, pp. 1070-87. Rosen, Harvey S., “Taxation and On-The Job Training Deci sions,” The R e v ie w o f E co n o m ics a n d S ta tistic s, August 1982, pp. 442-49. Stolzenberg, Ross M„ O c cu p a tio n a l D ifferen ces B etw een H isp a n ic s a n d N o n -H isp a n ics. Santa Monica, Calif., The Rand Corp., 1982, 107 pp. $10. Taylor, Robert E., Howard Rosen, Frank C. Pratzner, eds., J o b T ra in in g f o r Y outh. Columbus, Ohio, The Ohio State University, The National Center for Research in Voca tional Education, 1982, 453 pp. Current Labor Statistics N o te s o n C u rren t L a b o r S ta tis tic s ....................................................................................................................................... S c h e d u le o f r e le a s e d a te s fo r m a jo r B L S s t a t is t ic a l s e r ie s 58 ............................................................................. 58 E m p lo y m e n t d a ta fr o m h o u s e h o ld s u r v e y . D e fin itio n s a n d n o te s ............................................................. 1. Employment status of noninstitutional population, selected years, 1950-81 .................................................................. 2. Employment status by sex, age, and race, seasonally adjusted ........................................................................................ 3. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted .......................................................................................................... 4. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted ..................................................................................................... 5. Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted ................................................................................................ 6. Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted ........................................................................ 7. Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted .................................................................................................................. 59 59 60 61 62 63 63 63 E m p lo y m e n t , h o u r s , a n d e a r n in g s d a ta fr o m e s t a b lis h m e n t s u r v e y s . D e f in it io n s a n d n o t e s . 8. Employment by industry, selected years, 1950-81 .................................................. 9. Employment by State ............................. 10. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ........................................... 11. Hours and earnings, by industry division, selected years, 1950-81 .................................................................................. 12. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ........................................ 13. Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ........................................................................ 14. Hourly Earnings Index, by industry division . ..................................................................................................................... 15. Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ....................................................................... 64 65 65 66 67 68 69 69 70 U n e m p lo y m e n t in s u r a n c e d a ta . D e f in it io n s .................................................................................................................. 16. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations .......................................................................................... 71 P r ic e d a ta . D e f in it io n s a n d n o te s .......................................................................................................................................... 17. Consumer Price Index, 1967-81 ............................................................................................................................................... 18. Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, general summary and selected items ........................................................... 19. Consumer Price Index, cross-classification of region and population size class ............................................................. 20. Consumer Price Index, selected areas . ................................................................................................................................... 21. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing .......................................... 22. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings ................................................................................................................ 23. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings ................................................................................................ 24. Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product ................................................................................................................ 25. Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries ..................................................................................... 12 P r o d u c t i v i t y d a t a . D e f i n i t i o n s a n d n o t e s .......................................................................................................................... 26. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years, 1950-81 27. Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1971-81 ............................................. 28. Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted ..................... 29. Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices . . 87 87 88 88 89 W a g e a n d c o m p e n s a t i o n d a t a . D e f i n i t i o n s a n d n o t e s ............................................................................................. 30. Employment Cost Index, total compensation, by occupation and industry g r o u p ........................................................ 31. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry grou p ........................................................... 32. Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region,and area s i z e .................................. 33. Wage and compensation change, major collective bargaining settlements, 1977 to d a t e ............................................. 34. Effective wage adjustments in collective bargaining units covering 1,000 workersor more, 1977 to d a te .................. 90 91 92 93 94 94 W o r k s t o p p a g e d a t a . D e f i n i t i o n ............................................................................................................................................... 35. Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more, 1947 to date ..................................................................................... 95 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 71 73 73 79 80 81 82 84 84 84 95 57 NOTES ON CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS This section of the R e v ie w presents the principal statistical se ries collected and calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A brief introduction to each group of tables provides defi nitions, notes on the data, sources, and other material usually found in footnotes. Readers who need additional information are invited to consult the BLS regional offices listed on the inside front cov er of this issue of the R eview . Some general notes applicable to several series are given below. Seasonal adjustment. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of such factors as climatic conditions, industry production schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying periods, and vacation practices, which might otherwise mask short term movements of the statistical series. Tables containing these data are identified as “seasonally adjusted.” Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of past experience. When new seasonal factors are com puted each year, revisions may affect seasonally adjusted data for sev eral preceding years. Seasonally adjusted labor force data in tables 2-7, revised in the February 1983 issue of the R e v ie w , to reflect experience through 1982. Beginning in January 1980, the BLS introduced two major modifi cations in the seasonal adjustment methodology for labor force data. First, the data are being seasonally adjusted with a new procedure called X -ll/A R IM A , which was developed at Statistics Canada as an extension of the standard X -11 method. A detailed description of the procedure appears in T h e X - l l A R I M A S e a s o n a l A d ju s tm e n t M e th o d by Estela Bee Dagum (Statistics Canada Catalogue No. 12-564E, Feb ruary 1980). The second change is that seasonal factors are now being calculated for use during the first 6 months of the year, rather than for the entire year, and then are calculated at mid-year for the July-December period. Revisions of historical data continue to be made only at the end of each calendar year. Annual revision of the seasonally adjusted payroll data shown in tables 10, 12, and 14 were made in August 1981 using the X -ll ARIMA seasonal adjustment methodology. New seasonal factors for productivity data in tables 28 and 29 are usually introduced in the September issue. Seasonally adjusted indexes and percent changes from month to month and from quarter to quarter are published for numerous Consumer and Producer Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published for the U.S. average All Items CPI. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are available for this series. Adjustments for price changes. Some data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate of $3 and a current price index number of 150, where 1967 = 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1967 dollars is $2 ($3/150 X 100 = $2). The resulting values are described as “real,” “constant,” or “ 1967” dollars. Availability of information. Data that supplement the tables in this section are published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in a variety of sources. Press releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule given below. More information from house hold and establishment surveys is provided in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a r n ings, a monthly publication of the Bureau. Comparable household in formation from 1970 is published in a two-volume data book- L a b o r F o rce S ta tis tic s D e r iv e d F ro m th e C u r re n t P o p u la tio n S u rv e y , Bulletin 2096. Comparable establishment information appears in two data b o o k s - E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, U n ite d S ta te s , and E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, S ta te s a n d A re a s, and their annual supplements. More de tailed information on wages and other aspects of collective bargaining appears in the monthly periodical, C u r re n t W a g e D e v e lo p m e n ts . More detailed price information is published each month in the periodicals, the C P I D e ta ile d R e p o r t and P r o d u c e r P ric e s a n d P r ic e In d e x es. Symbols p = preliminary. To improve the timeliness of some series, preliminary figures are issued based on representative but incomplete returns. r = revised. Generally, this revision reflects the availability of later data but may also reflect other adjustments, n.e.c. = not elsewhere classified. Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series Series Productivity and costs: Nonfinancial corporations ............... Nonfarm business and manufacturing .. Employment situation .................... Producer Price Index.......................... Consumer Price Index........................ Major collective bargaining settlements .. Employment cost index................. 58 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Release date Period covered March 1 4th quarter 1982 March 4 March 18 March 23 March 23 February February February February Release date January 28 January 7 January 14 January 21 January 21 January 3 1 Period covered 4th quarter 1982 December December December December 4th quarter 1982 Release date February 4 February 11 February 25 February 25 February 3 Period covered MLR table number 26-29 26-29 1-10 January 4th Quarter 1982 17-20 11-15 33-34 30-32 EMPLOYMENT DATA FROM THE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY d a t a in this section are obtained from the Current Population Survey, a program of personal interviews conducted monthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sample consists of about 60,000 households selected to represent the U.S. population 16 years of age and older. Households are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths of the sample is the same for any 2 consecutive months. E m ploym ent Definitions Employed persons are (1) those who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. Unemployed persons are those who did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted among the unemployed. The unemployment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The civilian labor force consists of all employed or unemployed persons in the civilian noninstitutional population; the total labor force includes military personnel. Persons not in the labor force are 1. those not classified as employed or unemployed; this group includes persons retired, those engaged in their own housework, those not working while attending school, those unable to work because of long-term illness, those discouraged from seeking work because of personal or job market factors, and those who are voluntarily idle. The noninstitutional population comprises all persons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sanitariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy. Full-time workers are those employed at least 35 hours a week; part-time workers are those who work fewer hours. Workers on parttime schedules for economic reasons (such as slack work, terminating or starting a job during the week, material shortages, or inability to find full-time work) are among those counted as being on full-time status, under the assumption that they would be working full time if conditions permitted. The survey classifies unemployed persons in full-time or part-time status by their reported preferences for full-time or part-time work. Notes on the data From time to time, and especially after a decennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the preceding years. These adjustments affect the comparability of historical data presented in table 1. A description of these adjustments and their effect on the various data series appear in the Explanatory Notes of E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s. Monthly data in tables 2-7 are seasonally adjusted, based on experience through December 1982. Employment status of the noninstitutional population, 16 years and over, selected years, 1950-81 [Numbers in thousands] Civilian labor force Total labor force Year Total noninstitutional population Unemployed Employed Number Percent of population Total Total Percent of population Agriculture Nonagricultural industries Number Percent of labor force Notin labor force 1950 .................................... 1955 .................................... 1960 .................................... 106,645 112,732 119,759 63,858 68,072 72,142 59.9 60.4 60.2 62,208 65,023 69,628 58,918 62,170 65,778 55.2 55.1 54.9 7,160 6,450 5,458 51,758 55,722 60,318 3,288 2,852 3,852 5.3 4.4 5.5 42,787 44,660 47,617 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 .................................... .................................... .................................... .................................... .................................... 129,236 131,180 133,319 135,562 137,841 77,178 78,893 80,793 82,272 84,240 59.7 60.1 60.6 60.7 61.1 74,455 75,770 77,347 78,737 80,734 71,088 72,895 74,372 75,920 77,902 55.0 55.6 55.8 56.0 56.5 4,361 3,979 3,844 3,817 3,606 66,726 68,915 70,527 72,103 74,296 3,366 2,875 2,975 2,817 2,832 4.5 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.5 52,058 52,288 52,527 53,291 53,602 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 .................................... .................................... .................................... .................................... .................................... 140,272 143,033 146,574 149,423 152,349 85,959 87,198 89,484 91,756 94,179 61.3 61.0 61.1 61.4 61.8 82,771 84,382 87,034 89,429 91,949 78,678 79,367 82,153 85,064 86,794 56.1 55.5 56.0 56.9 57.0 3,463 3,394 3,484 3,470 3,515 75,215 75,972 78,669 81,594 83,279 4,093 5,016 4,882 4,365 5,156 4.9 5.9 5.6 4.9 5.6 54,315 55,834 57,091 57,667 58,171 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 .................................... .................................... .................................... .................................... .................................... 155,333 158,294 161,166 164,027 166,951 95,955 98,302 101,142 104,368 107,050 61.8 62.1 628 63.6 64.1 93,775 96,158 99,009 102,251 104,962 85,846 88,752 92,017 96,048 98,824 55.3 56.1 57.1 58.6 59.2 3,408 3,331 3,283 3,387 3,347 82,438 85,421 88,734 92,661 95,477 7,929 7,406 6,991 6,202 6,137 8.5 7.7 7.1 6.1 5.8 59,377 59,991 60,025 59,659 59,900 1980 .................................... 1981 .................................... 1982 ...................................... 169,848 172,272 174,451 109,042 110,812 112,384 64.2 64.3 64.4 106,940 108,670 110,204 99,303 100,397 99,526 58.5 58.3 57.1 3,364 3,368 3,401 95,938 97,030 96,125 7,637 8,273 10,678 7.1 7.6 9.7 60,806 61,460 62,067 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 59 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 2. Employment status by sex, age, race, and Hispanic origin, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Annual average 1981 1981 1982 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct Nov. Déc. 172,272 2,142 170,130 108,670 63.9 100,397 58.3 3,368 97,030 8,273 7.6 61,460 174,451 2,179 172,271 110,204 64.0 99,526 57.1 3,401 96,125 10,678 9.7 62,067 173,330 2,164 171,166 109,066 63.7 99,677 57.5 3,219 96,458 9,389 8.6 62,100 173,495 2,159 171,335 109,034 63.6 99,688 57.5 3,379 96,309 9,346 8.6 62,301 173,657 2,168 171,489 109,364 63.8 99,695 57.4 3,367 96,328 9,669 8.8 62,125 173,843 2,175 171,667 109,478 63.8 99,597 57.3 3,367 96,230 9,881 9.0 62,189 174,020 2,176 171,844 109,740 63.9 99,484 57.2 3,356 96,128 10,256 9.3 62,104 174,201 2,175 172,026 110,378 64.2 99,994 57.4 3,446 96,548 10,384 9.4 61,648 174,364 2,173 172,190 110,147 64.0 99,681 57.2 3,371 96,310 10,466 9.5 62,043 174,544 2,180 172,364 110,416 64.1 99,588 57.1 3,445 96,143 10,828 9.8 61,948 174,707 2,196 172,511 110,614 64.1 99,683 57.1 3,429 96,254 10,931 9.9 61,897 174,889 2,198 172,690 110,858 64.2 99,543 56.9 3,363 96,180 11,315 10.2 61,832 175,069 2,188 172,881 110,752 64.1 99,176 56.6 3,413 95,763 11,576 10.5 62,129 175,238 2,180 173,058 111,042 64.2 99,136 56.6 3,466 95,670 11,906 10.7 62,016 175,380 2,182 173,199 111,129 64.2 99,093 56.5 3,411 95,682 12,036 10.8 62,070 72,419 57,197 79.0 53,582 2,384 51,199 3,615 6.3 73,644 57,980 78.7 52,891 2,422 50,469 5,089 8.8 73,020 57,535 78.8 53,168 2,330 50,838 4,367 7.6 73,120 57,461 78.6 53,099 2,386 50,713 4,362 7.6 73,209 57,581 78.7 53,130 2,388 50,742 4,451 7.7 73,287 57,633 78.6 53,026 2,392 50,634 4,607 8.0 73,392 57,794 78.7 53,024 2,417 50,607 4,770 8.3 73,499 58,008 78.9 53,190 2,446 50,744 4,818 8.3 73,585 57,959 78.8 52,943 2,424 50,519 5,016 8.7 73,685 58,055 78.8 52,905 2,462 50,443 5,150 8.9 73,774 58,064 78.7 52,832 2,433 50,399 5,232 9.0 73,867 58,354 79.0 52,776 2,436 50,340 5,578 9.6 73,984 58,363 78.9 52,649 2,444 50,205 5,714 9.8 74,094 58,454 78.9 52,589 2,434 50,155 5,865 10.0 74,236 58,443 78.7 52,534 2,389 50,145 5,909 10.1 81,497 42,485 52.1 39,590 604 38,986 2,895 6.8 82,864 43,699 52.7 40,086 601 39,485 3,613 8.3 82,151 42,911 52.2 39,737 565 39,172 3,174 7.4 82,260 42,926 52.2 39,817 626 39,191 3,109 7.2 82,367 43,111 52.3 39,825 620 39,205 3,286 7.6 82,478 43,285 52.5 39,883 625 39,258 3,402 7.9 82,591 43,355 52.5 39,827 600 39,227 3,528 8.1 82,707 43,632 52.8 40,064 614 39,450 3,568 8.2 82,811 43,819 52.9 40,254 586 39,668 3,565 8.1 82,926 43,983 53.0 40,311 598 39,713 3,672 8.3 83,035 44,039 53.0 40,368 590 39,778 3,671 8.3 83,152 43,996 52.9 40,286 588 39,698 3,710 8.4 83,271 43,936 52.8 40,112 578 39,534 3,824 8.7 83,385 44,112 52.9 40,123 590 39,533 3,989 9.0 83,383 44,286 53.1 40,215 628 39,587 4,071 9.2 16,214 8,988 55.4 7,225 380 6,845 1,763 19.6 15,763 8,526 54.1 6,549 378 6,171 1,977 23.2 15,995 8,620 53.9 6,772 324 6,448 1,848 21.4 15,955 8,647 54.2 6,772 367 6,405 1,875 21.7 15,913 8,672 54.5 6,740 359 6,381 1,932 22.3 15,902 8,560 53.8 6,688 350 6,338 1,872 21.9 15,861 8,591 54.2 6,633 339 6,294 1,958 22.8 15,820 8,738 55.2 6,740 386 6,354 1,998 22.9 15,794 8,369 53.0 6,484 361 6,123 1,885 22.5 15,753 8,378 53.2 6,372 385 5,987 2,006 23.9 15,702 8,511 54.2 6,483 406 6,077 2,028 23.8 15,671 8,508 54.3 6,481 339 6,142 2,027 23.8 15,625 8,453 54.1 6,415 391 6,024 2,038 24.1 15,579 8,476 54.4 6,424 442 5,982 2,052 24.2 15,580 8,400 53.9 6,344 394 5,950 2,056 24.5 147,§08 95,052 64.3 88,709 6,343 6.7 149,441 96,143 64.3 87,903 8,241 8.6 148,755 95,448 64.2 88,153 7,295 7.6 148,842 95,289 64.0 88,078 7,211 7.6 148,855 95,459 64.1 88,080 7,379 7.7 149,132 95,602 64.1 88,033 7,569 7.9 149,249 95,941 64.3 88,011 7,930 8.3 149,250 96,405 64.6 88,350 8,055 8.4 149,429 96,165 64.4 88,089 8,076 8.4 149,569 96,385 64.4 88,021 8,364 8.7 149,536 96,375 64.4 87,979 8,396 8.7 149,652 96,640 64.6 87,872 8,768 9.1 149,838 96,453 64.4 87,477 8,976 9.3 149,887 96,719 64.5 87,435 9,284 9.6 150,056 96,864 64.6 87,443 9,421 9.7 18,219 11,086 60.8 9,355 1,731 15.6 18,584 11,331 61.0 9,189 2,142 18.9 18,392 11,205 60.9 9,281 1,924 17.2 18,423 11,184 60.7 9,295 1,889 16.9 18,450 11,219 60.8 9,260 1,959 17.5 18,480 11,228 60.8 9,209 2,019 18.0 18,511 11,201 60.5 9,135 2,066 18.4 18,542 11,318 61.0 9,209 2,109 18.6 18,570 11,267 60.7 9,171 2,096 18.6 18,600 11,341 61.0 9,211 2,130 18.8 18,626 11,400 61.2 9,220 2,180 19.1 18,659 11,443 61.3 9,172 2,271 19.8 18,692 11,398 61.0 9,102 2,296 20.1 18,723 11,475 61.3 9,159 2,316 20.2 18,740 11,522 61.5 9,127 2,395 20.8 9,310 5,972 64.1 5,348 624 10.4 9,400 5,983 63.6 5,158 825 13.8 9,519 6,075 63.8 5,393 682 11.2 9,400 6,048 64.3 5,325 723 12.0 9,341 6,051 64.8 5,297 754 12.5 9,297 6,015 64.7 5,253 762 12.7 9,235 5,966 64.6 5,211 755 12.7 9,297 6,004 64.6 5,182 822 13.7 9,428 5,965 63.3 5,155 810 13.6 9,521 5,972 62.7 5,136 836 14.0 9,689 6,045 62.4 5,162 883 14.6 9,464 5,961 63.0 5,097 864 14.5 9,474 5,973 63.0 5,075 898 15.0 9,355 5,923 63.3 5,012 911 15.4 9,301 5,898 63.4 4,998 900 15.3 1982 Employment status TOTAL Total noninstitutional population1 .......................... Armed Forces1 .............................................. Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................. Civilian labor fo rce ...................................... Participation rate ............................ Employed .............................................. Employment-population ratio2 .......... Agriculture.......................................... Nonagricultural industries .................... Unemployed .......................................... Unemployment rate ........................ Not in labor force........................................ Men, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................. Civilian labor force .................................... Participation rate ............................ Employed .............................................. Agriculture.......................................... Nonagricultural industries .................... Unemployed .......................................... Unemployment rate ........................ Women, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................. Civilian labor force .................................... Participation rate ............................ Employed .............................................. Agriculture.......................................... Nonagricultural industries .................... Unemployed .......................................... Unemployment rate ........................ Both sexes, 16 to 19 years Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................. Civilian labor fo rce ...................................... Participation rate ............................ Employed .............................................. Agriculture.......................................... Nonagricultural industries .................... Unemployed .......................................... Unemployment rate ........................ White Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................. Civilian labor force .................................... Participation rate ............................ Employed .............................................. Unemployed .......................................... Unemployment rate ........................ Black Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................. Civilian labor force .................................... Participation rate ............................ Employed .............................................. Unemployed .............................. Unemployment rate ........................ Hispanic origin Civilian noninstitutional population1 .................. Civilian labor fo rce ...................................... Participation rate ............................ Employed .............................................. Unemployed .......................................... Unemployment rate ........................ j 1The population and Armed Forces figures are not seasonally adjusted. 2 Civilian employment as a percent of the total noninstitutional population (including Armed Forces). 60 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Note : Monthly data have been revised based on seasonal experience through December 1982. Detail for racial and Hispanic-origin groups will not sum to totals because data for the "other races" group are not presented, and Hispanics are included in both the white and black population groups. 3. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Annual average 1981 1981 1982 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. 100,397 57,397 43,000 38,882 23,915 4,998 99,526 56,271 43,256 38,074 24,053 5,099 99,677 56,746 42,931 38,410 23,723 5,081 99,688 56,667 43,021 38,306 23,803 5,095 99,695 56,670 43,025 38,326 23,807 5,157 99,597 56,499 43,098 38,227 23,933 5,094 99,484 56,444 43,040 38,212 23,891 5,093 99,994 56,724 43,270 38,274 24,112 4,991 99,681 56,249 43,432 38,254 24,331 5,120 99,588 56,127 43,461 38,177 24,173 5,200 99,683 56,159 43,524 38,121 24,235 5,208 99,543 56,073 43,471 37,998 24,159 5,118 99,176 55,932 43,244 37,852 24,081 5,107 99,136 55,892 43,244 37,641 23,985 5,025 99,093 55,809 43,284 37,507 24,155 4,985 52,949 16,420 11,540 6,425 18,564 31,261 12,662 10,540 3,476 4,587 13,438 2,749 53,470 16,951 11,493 6,580 18,446 29,597 12,272 9,429 3,377 4,518 13,736 2,723 53,022 16,744 11,362 6,476 18,440 30,394 12,497 10,114 3,382 4,401 13,665 2,612 52,825 16,767 11,112 6,513 18,433 30,303 12,424 9,990 3,424 4,465 13,696 2,775 52,933 16,662 11,292 6,538 18,441 30,356 12,460 9,948 3,502 4,446 13,614 2,768 52,876 16,715 11,352 6,602 18,207 30,335 12,483 9,830 3,406 4,616 13,557 2,717 53,213 16,854 11,470 6,582 18,307 29,966 12,459 9,701 3,401 4,405 13,595 2,672 53,658 16,867 11,512 6,581 18,698 29,886 12,314 9,593 3,411 4,568 13,727 2,732 53,552 17,010 11,516 6,563 18,463 29,706 12,232 9,611 3,404 4,459 13,771 2,680 53,710 17,262 11,416 6,571 18,461 29,569 12,220 9,416 3,424 4,509 13,678 2,740 53,660 17,014 11,575 6,643 18,428 29,364 12,267 9,259 3,271 4,567 13,876 2,717 53,875 16,961 11,625 6,534 18,755 29,143 12,230 9,001 3,361 4,551 13,998 2,716 53,687 17,061 11,616 6,604 18,406 29,148 12,152 9,003 3,335 4,658 13,750 2,711 53,759 17,095 11,651 6,632 18,381 28,769 12,136 8,856 3,293 4,484 13,839 2,745 53,909 17,150 11,780 6,605 18,374 28,668 11,909 8,990 3,275 4,474 13,741 2,726 1,464 1,638 266 1,505 1,636 261 1,375 1,613 229 1,402 1,662 348 1,430 1,613 334 1,428 1,645 270 1,442 1,656 266 1,530 1,679 251 1,457 1,661 254 1,523 1,655 254 1,548 1,620 255 1,537 1,569 254 1,576 1,621 229 1,584 1,628 241 1,547 1,627 224 89,543 15,689 73,853 1,208 72,645 7,097 390 88,462 15,516 72,945 1,207 71,738 7,262 401 89,016 15,592 73,424 1,318 72,106 7,072 408 88,825 15,546 73,279 1,239 72,040 7,004 416 88,702 15,515 73,187 1,181 72,006 7,097 410 88,620 15,491 73,129 1,218 71,911 7,150 431 88,454 15,464 72,990 1,196 71,794 7,246 410 88,872 15,454 73,418 1,204 72,214 7,262 392 88,548 15,614 72,934 1,205 71,729 7,301 398 88,491 15,471 73,020 1,200 71,820 7,286 393 88,576 15,562 73,014 1,227 71,787 7,338 408 88,562 15,681 72,881 1,220 71,661 •7,422 378 88,064 15,436 72,628 1,216 71,412 7,332 403 87,936 15,514 72,422 1,221 71,201 7,349 382 87,976 15,477 72,499 1,163 71,336 7,335 383 91,377 74,339 4,499 1,738 2,761 12,539 90,552 72,245 5,852 2,169 3,683 12,455 91,010 73,360 5,325 2,169 3,156 12,325 90,301 72,916 5,066 1,808 3,258 12,319 90,087 73,026 5,489 2,155 3,334 12,352 90,579 72,699 5,611 2,187 3,424 12,269 90,755 72,562 5,750 2,197 3,553 12,443 91,082 72,869 5,731 2,195 3,536 12,482 90,917 72,545 5,561 2,126 3,435 12,811 90,414 72,288 5,577 2,047 3,530 12,549 90,486 72,045 5,820 2,100 3,720 12,621 90,884 71,723 6,495 2,519 3,976 12,666 90,232 71,394 6,903 2,381 4,022 12,435 90,238 71,442 6,411 2,228 4,183 12,385 90,219 71,499 6,425 2,153 4,272 12,295 1982 Selected categories CHARACTERISTIC Total employed, 16 years and over ...................... Men ............................................................ Women........................................................ Married men, spouse present ........................ Married women, spouse present .................... Women who maintain families........................ OCCUPATION White-collar workers............................................ Professional and technical ............................ Managers and administrators, except farm . . . . Salesworkers................................................ Clerical workers............................................ Blue-collar workers.............................................. Craft and kindred workers ............................ Operatives, except transport.......................... Transport equipment operatives .................... Nonfarm laborers.......................................... Service workers.................................................. Farmworkers ...................................................... MAJOR INDUSTRY AND CLASS OF WORKER Agriculture: Wage and salary workers.............................. Self-employed workers.................................. Unpaid family workers .................................. Nonagricultural industries: Wage and salary workers.............................. Government .......................................... Private industries.................................... Households .................................... Other .............................................. Self-employed workers.................................. Unpaid family workers .................................. PERSONS AT WORK' Nonagricultural industries .................................... Full-time schedules ...................................... Part time for economic reasons...................... Usually work full time.............................. Usually work part tim e............................ Part time for noneconomic reasons................ 'Excludes persons “ with a job but not at work” during the survey period for such reasons as vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis N ote : Monthly data have been revised based on the seasonal experience through December 1982. 61 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labo*• Statistics: Household Data 4. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted [Unemployment rates] Annual average 1981 1981 1982 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. April May June June Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Dec. Total, 16 years and over...................................... Both sexes, 16 to 19 years .......................... Men, 20 years and over................................ Women, 20 years and over .......................... 7.6 19.6 6.3 6.8 9.7 23.2 8.8 8.3 8.6 21.4 7.6 7.4 8.6 21.7 7.6 7.2 8.8 22.3 7.7 7.6 9.0 21.9 8.0 7.9 9.3 22.8 8.3 8.1 9.4 22.9 8.3 8.2 9.5 22.5 8.7 8.1 9.8 23.9 8.9 8.3 9.9 23.8 9.0 8.3 10.2 23.8 9.6 8.4 10.4 24.1 9.8 8.7 10.7 24.2 10.0 9.0 10.8 24.5 10.1 9.2 White, to ta l.................................................. Both sexes, 16 to 19 years .................... Men, 16 to 19 years........................ Women, 16 to 19 years .................. Men, 20 years and over ........................ Women, 20 years and o v e r.................... 6.7 173 17.9 16.6 5.6 5.9 8.6 20.4 21.7 19.0 7.8 7.3 7.6 19.0 20.2 17.7 6.8 6.4 7.6 19.4 20.6 18.1 6.6 6.4 7.7 19.7 20.4 19.0 6.7 6.6 7.9 19.2 20.4 17.9 7.0 6.8 8.3 20.4 21.9 18.8 7.3 7.1 8.4 19.9 20.9 18.7 7.5 7.2 8.4 19.7 21.2 18.0 7.7 7.1 8.7 20.9 22.5 19.1 7.9 7.3 8.7 20.8 22.5 18.9 8.0 7.2 9.1 20.7 22.2 19.1 8.6 7.5 9.3 21.5 23.0 19.9 8.8 7.6 9.6 21.2 22.6 19.8 9.1 8.0 9.7 21.6 22.8 20.4 9.2 8.1 Black, total .................................................. Both sexes, 16 to 19 years .................... Men, 16 to 19 years........................ Women, 16 to 19 years .................. Men, 20 years and over ........................ Women, 20 years and o v e r.................... 15.6 41.4 40.7 42.2 13.5 13.4 18.9 48.0 48.9 47.1 17.8 15.4 17.2 42.7 40.4 45.5 16.1 14.1 16.9 42.1 38.2 46.3 16.0 13.7 17.5 43.5 42.2 45.0 16.2 14.5 18.0 46.3 47.6 44.9 16.3 15.1 18.4 48.0 48.4 47.7 17.0 15.4 18.6 49.4 49.7 49.1 17.1 15.3 18.6 51.2 55.7 46.0 17.3 15.1 18.8 49.3 48.9 49.7 17.4 15.5 19.1 51.2 50.5 52.1 17.6 15.4 19.8 48.6 51.0 45.9 19.2 15.7 20.1 47.7 49.2 45.9 19.6 16.2 20.2 49.8 53.0 46.2 19.2 16.5 20.8 49.5 52.5 46.2 20.5 16.5 Hispanic origin, total .................................... 10.4 13.8 11.2 12.0 12.5 12.7 12.7 13.7 13.6 14.0 14.6 14.5 15.0 15.4 15.3 Married men, spouse present........................ Married women, spouse present.................... Women who maintain families........................ Full-time workers.......................................... Part-time workers ........................................ Unemployed 15 weeks and over.................... Labor force time lost’ .................................. 4.3 6.0 10.4 7.3 9.4 2.1 8.5 6.5 7.4 11.7 9.6 10.5 3.2 11.0 5.6 6.6 10.3 6.5 9.1 2.2 10.1 5.3 6.3 10.4 8.4 9.7 2.2 9.9 5.4 6.9 10.4 8.5 10.4 2.5 9.9 5.6 7.0 10.8 8.9 10.0 2.7 10.3 6.0 7.6 11.5 9.1 10.8 2.8 10.4 6.1 7.3 11.9 9.2 10.5 3.0 10.7 6.4 7.1 12.1 9.4 10.0 3.2 10.4 6.6 7.4 12.0 9.6 11.2 3.2 10.7 6.8 7.3 11.7 9.7 10.4 3.3 10.9 7.2 7.6 12.4 10.2 10.6 3.5 11.7 7.5 7.9 11.3 10.5 10.3 3.8 12.0 7.6 8.2 12.5 10.6 11.3 4.1 12.4 7.8 8.2 13.2 10.8 11.1 4.3 12.7 4.0 2.8 2.7 4.6 5.7 10.3 7.5 12.2 8.7 14.7 8.9 5.3 4.9 3.3 3.5 5.6 7.0 14.2 10.2 17.7 11.7 18.5 10.6 6.5 4.5 3.3 3.0 4.9 6.2 12.6 9.2 15.5 10.3 16.8 9.5 6.2 4.3 2.9 2.9 4.7 6.3 12.4 8.9 15.2 10.2 17.0 9.4 6.6 4.6 3.1 3.1 4.9 6.6 12.5 8.7 15.4 10.3 17.7 9.8 5.2 4.7 3.2 3.0 5.5 6.7 13.0 9.2 16.0 10.6 17.7 10.2 5.6 4.8 3.2 3.3 5.5 7.0 13.5 9.6 16.7 10.8 18.7 11.0 6.0 4.8 3.3 3.4 5.3 6.7 13.6 9.7 16.5 11.8 18.3 10.8 8.1 4.9 3.3 3.7 5.7 6.9 14.0 10.3 16.8 12.9 18.3 10.0 6.6 4.9 3.3 3.6 5.4 6.9 14.4 10.8 17.5 11.7 18.6 10.5 6.3 4.9 3.2 3.7 5.6 6.9 14.4 10.8 17.8 12.5 17.8 10.6 6.7 4.9 3.3 3.6 6.1 7.2 15.8 11.1 20.7 12.7 19.6 10.7 6.6 5.2 3.5 3.6 6.1 7.2 15.8 11.1 20.7 12.7 19.6 10.7 6.6 5.5 3.7 3.9 6.3 7.8 16.2 11.9 20.9 13.3 19.5 11.2 7.4 5.6 3.7 4.0 6.4 8.0 16.3 11.9 20.5 13.4 20.4 12.2 7.7 7.7 15.6 8.3 8.2 8.4 5.2 8.1 5.9 4.7 12.1 10.1 20.0 12.3 13.3 10.8 6.8 10.0 6.9 4.9 14.7 9.0 18.0 10.8 11.6 9.6 6.0 8.9 6.3 4.9 14.2 8.8 18.5 10.3 10.9 9.5 6.2 8.8 6.0 4.8 15.3 9.0 18.3 10.6 11.2 9.6 5.9 9.1 6.5 5.1 13.4 9.4 18.2 10.7 10.8 10.6 5.7 10.1 6.8 4.8 14.0 9.8 19.3 11.3 11.9 10.6 6.7 9.9 7.0 5.2 14.6 9.8 18.9 11.5 12.2 10.4 6.4 10.2 6.8 4.9 18.1 10.0 19.5 12.2 13.1 11.1 6.8 9.7 6.9 4.7 15.0 10.2 20.3 12.1 12.8 11.0 6.6 10.3 7.0 4.7 14.1 10.2 20.4 12.4 13.3 11.0 7.1 10.0 7.0 4.7 14.2 11.0 22.3 14.1 16.0 11.2 7.9 10.4 7.1 4.9 13.3 11.0 22.3 14.1 16.0 11.2 7.9 10.4 7.1 4.9 13.3 11.4 21.8 14.8 17.0 11.4 8.3 10.6 7.7 5.1 15.6 11.6 22.0 14.8 17.1 11.4 8.0 11.0 7.9 5.1 16.5 1982 Selected categories CHARACTERISTIC OCCUPATION White-collar workers .......................................... Professional and technical ............................ Managers and administrators, except farm . . . Salesworkers .............................................. Clerical workers .......................................... Blue-collar workers ............................................ Craft and kindred workers ............................ Operatives, except transport ........................ Transport equipment operatives .................... Nonfarm laborers ........................................ Service workers.................................................. Farmworkers...................................................... INDUSTRY Nonagrlcultural private wage and salary workers2 . Construction ................................................ Manufacturing.............................................. Durable goods ...................................... Nondurable goods.................................. Transportation and public utilities .................. Wholesale and retail trad e............................ Finance and service industries ...................... Government workers .......................................... Agricultural wage and salary workers .................. 1Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force hours. 62 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 deludes mining, not shown separately, N ote : Month|y data \ have ^ revjSe(j based on seasonal experience through December 1982. 5. Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted Sex and age Annual average 1981 1982 1981 1982 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Dec. Total, 16 years and over...................................... 16 to 19 years.............................................. 16 to 17 years........................................ 18 to 19 years........................................ 20 to 24 years.............................................. 25 years and over ........................................ 25 to 54 years........................................ 55 years and over.................................. 7.6 19.6 21.4 18.4 12.3 5.4 5.8 3.6 9.7 23.2 24.9 22.1 14.9 7.4 7.9 5.0 8.6 21.4 21.7 21.2 13.4 6.4 6.8 4.2 8.6 21.7 22.3 21.1 13.6 6.3 6.8 4.2 8.8 22.3 22.9 21.8 14.1 6.5 6.9 4.3 9.0 21.9 23.2 21.3 14.1 6.8 7.2 4.6 9.3 22.8 24.4 21.8 14.5 7.0 7.4 4.9 9.4 22.9 25.1 21.4 14.5 7.1 7.6 4.9 9.5 22.5 23.6 22.0 14.5 7.3 7.7 5.1 9.8 23.9 25.8 22.6 14.7 7.5 8.0 5.3 9.9 23.8 25.8 22.5 15.3 7.5 8.0 5.2 10.2 23.8 26.5 22.0 15.3 7.9 8.6 5.2 10.5 24.1 26.1 22.9 15.8 8.1 8.7 5.5 10.7 24.2 26.3 22.8 16.3 8.3 8.9 5.7 10.8 24.5 27.4 22.7 16.0 8.6 9.1 5.8 Men, 16 years and over ................................ 16 to 19 years........................................ 16 to 17 years ................................ 18 to 19 years ................................ 20 to 24 years........................................ 25 years and over.................................. 25 to 54 years ................................ 55 years and over............................ 7.4 20.1 22.0 18.8 13.2 5.1 5.5 3.5 9.9 24.4 26.4 23.1 16.4 7.5 8.0 5.1 8.7 22.3 22.6 22.3 14.6 6.3 6.8 4.4 8.7 22.2 23.2 21.5 14.9 6.3 6.7 4.3 8.8 22.6 23.3 22.1 15.3 6.4 6.8 4.3 9.1 23.3 24.5 22.6 15.6 6.7 7.1 4.7 9.4 24.1 24.8 23.7 15.9 6.9 7.3 5.0 9.5 23.8 26.3 22.2 15.8 7.0 7.5 4.7 9.7 24.3 25.4 23.7 15.9 7.4 7.9 4.9 10.0 25.2 27.7 23.4 16.2 7.5 8.1 4.9 10.2 25.1 27.4 23.4 16.6 7.7 8.2 5.5 10.7 25.4 29.0 23.0 17.3 8.2 9.0 5.5 10.9 25.6 28.8 23.4 17.4 8.5 9.1 6.0 11.1 25.7 28.2 24.1 18.0 8.6 9.2 6.2 11.2 25.8 29.0 24.0 17.8 8.8 9.4 6.3 Women, 16 years and over............................ 16 to 19 years........................................ 16 to 17 years ................................ 18 to 19 years ................................ 20 to 24 years........................................ 25 years and over.................................. 25 to 54 years ................................ 55 years and over............................ 7.9 19.0 20.7 17.9 11.2 5.9 6.3 3.8 9.4 21.9 23.2 21.0 13.2 7.3 7.7 4.8 8.5 20.4 20.7 20.0 12.1 6.4 6.9 3.9 8.4 21.1 21.2 20.7 12.0 6.3 6.8 4.1 8.9 21.9 22.4 21.6 12.6 6.6 7.0 4.3 8.9 20.3 21.7 19.9 12.5 6.9 7.4 4.7 9.3 21.3 24.0 19.8 13.0 7.1 7.5 4.7 9.3 21.8 23.6 20.6 12.9 7.3 7.8 5.0 9.2 20.6 21.6 20.2 13.0 7.2 7.5 5.4 9.6 22.6 23.8 21.9 13.1 7.4 7.7 5.8 9.5 22.5 23.9 21.5 13.7 7.1 7.7 4.8 9.6 22.1 23.8 20.9 13.1 7.5 8.0 4.8 9.9 22.5 22.9 22.3 14.0 7.6 8.2 4.8 10.2 22.6 24.2 21.4 14.4 7.9 8.5 4.9 10.3 23.0 25.6 21.3 14.0 8.2 8.8 5.1 6. Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Reason for unemployment Annual average 1981 1981 1982 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 1982 July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Dec. 4,267 1,430 2,837 923 2,102 981 6,268 2,127 4,141 840 2,384 1,185 5,315 2,004 3,311 904 2,188 1,036 5,243 1,852 3,391 842 2,133 1,055 5,246 1,777 3,469 942 2,272 1,096 5,628 1,858 3,770 885 2,261 1,061 5,889 1,967 3,922 901 2,342 1,096 5,938 1,956 3,982 864 2,393 1,159 6,181 2,097 4,084 826 2,378 1,091 6,323 2,126 4,197 819 2,478 1,230 6,446 2,218 4,228 814 2,440 1,304 6,979 2,625 4,354 786 2,437 1,303 7,325 2,519 4,806 803 2,322 1,296 7,369 2,531 4,838 794 2,546 1,244 7,295 2,468 4,827 826 2,629 1,288 100.0 51.6 17.3 34.3 11.2 25.4 11.9 100.0 58.7 19.9 38.8 7.9 22.3 11.1 100.0 56.3 21.2 35.1 9.6 23.2 11.0 100.0 56.5 20.0 36.6 9.1 23.0 11.4 100.0 54.9 18.6 36.3 9.9 23.8 11.5 100.0 57.2 18.9 38.3 9.0 23.0 10.8 100.0 57.6 19.2 38.3 8.8 22.9 10.7 100.0 57.3 18.9 38.5 8.3 23.1 11.2 100.0 59.0 20.0 39.0 7.9 22.7 10.4 100.0 58.3 19.6 38.7 7.5 22.8 11.3 100.0 58.6 20.2 38.4 7.4 22.2 11.9 100.0 60.7 22.8 37.8 6.8 21.2 11.3 100.0 62.4 21.4 40.9 6.8 19.8 11.0 100.0 61.6 21.2 40.5 6.6 21.3 10.4 100.0 60.6 20.5 40.1 6.9 21.8 10.7 3.9 .8 1.9 .9 5.7 .8 2.2 1.1 4.9 .8 2.0 .9 4.8 .8 2.0 1.0 4.8 .9 2.1 1.0 5.1 .8 2.1 1.0 5.4 .8 2.1 1.0 5.4 .8 2.2 1.1 5.6 .7 2.2 1.0 5.7 .7 2.2 1.1 5.8 .7 2.2 1.2 6.3 .7 2.2 1.2 6.6 .7 2.1 1.2 6.6 .7 2.3 1.1 6.6 .7 2.4 1.2 NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED Lost last jo b ........................................................ On layoff...................................................... Other job losers............................................ Left last job ........................................................ Reentered labor force.......................................... Seeking first jo b .................................................. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION Total unemployed................................................ Job losers .......................................................... On layoff...................................................... Other job losers............................................ Job leavers ........................................................ Reentrants.......................................................... New entrants •...................................................... PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE Job losers .......................................................... Job leavers ........................................................ Reentrants.......................................................... New entrants ...................................................... 7. Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Weeks of unemployment Less than 5 weeks .............................................. 5 to 14 weeks .................................................... 15 weeks and over.............................................. 15 to 26 weeks ............................................ 27 weeks and over........................................ Mean duration, in weeks ...................................... Median duration, in weeks.................................... N ote : Annual average 1981 1981 1982 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 1982 July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Dec. 3,449 2,539 2,285 1,122 1,162 13.7 6.9 3,883 3,311 3,485 1,708 1,776 15.6 8.7 4,040 3,028 2,407 1,224 1,183 12.9 6.8 3,830 3,079 2,402 1,209 1,193 13.4 7.3 3,807 3,068 2,750 1,479 1,271 14.0 7.4 3,831 3,098 2,962 1,605 1,357 13.9 7.7 3,930 3,255 3,080 1,582 1,498 14.3 8.3 3,871 3,281 3,267 1,633 1,634 14.9 8.6 3,605 3,398 3,517 1,683 1,834 16.3 9.8 3,959 3,249 3,569 1,780 1,789 15.6 8.3 3,933 3,346 3,637 1,808 1,829 16.1 8.3 4,004 3,549 3,856 1,830 2,026 16.6 9.4 3,930 3,511 4,167 1,951 2,216 17.T 9.6 3,963 3,549 4,524 2,191 2,333 17.3 10.0 4,019 3,460 4,732 2,125 2,607 18.0 10.1 Monthly data have been revised based on seasonal experience though December 1982. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 63 EMPLOYMENT, HOURS, AND EARNINGS DATA FROM ESTABLISHMENT SURVEYS h o u r s , a n d e a r n i n g s d a t a in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a volun tary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperat ing State agencies by 177,000 establishments representing all industries except agriculture. In most industries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An estab lishment is not necessarily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for example, or warehouse.) Self-employed persons and others not on a regular civilian payroll are outside the scope of the survey because they are excluded from establishment records. This largely accounts for the difference in employment figures between the household and establishment surveys. E m ploym ent, payments. Real earnings are earnings adjusted to reflect the effects of changes in consumer prices. The deflator for this series is derived from the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). The Hourly Earnings Index is calculated from av erage hourly earnings data adjusted to exclude the effects of two types of changes that are unrelated to underlying wage-rate developments: fluctuations in overtime premiums in manufacturing (the only sector for which overtime data are available) and the effects of changes and seasonal factors in the proportion of workers in high-wage and lowwage industries. Hours represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers for which pay was received and are different from standard or scheduled hours. Overtime hours represent the por tion of gross average weekly hours which were in excess of regular hours and for which overtime premiums were paid. Definitions Employed persons are all persons who received pay (including holi day and sick pay) for any part of the payroll period including the 12th of the month. Persons holding more than one job (about 5 per cent of all persons in the labor force) are counted in each establish ment which reports them. Production workers in manufacturing include blue-collar worker supervisors and all nonsupervisory workers closely associated with production operations. Those workers mentioned in tables 11-15 in clude production workers in manufacturing and mining; construction workers in construction; and nonsupervisory workers in transporta tion and public utilities; in wholesale and retail trade; in finance, in surance, and real estate; and in services industries. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricultural payrolls. Earnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers receive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but excluding irregular bonuses and other special 64 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Notes on the data Establishment data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are periodically adjusted to comprehensive counts of employment (called “benchmarks”). The latest complete adjustment was made with the re lease of May 1982 data, published in the July 1982 issue of the R ev ie w . Consequently, data published in the R e v ie w prior to that issue are not necessarily comparable to current data. Earlier comparable unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data are published in a Supplement to E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a r n in g s (unadjusted data from April 1977 through Feb ruary 1982 and seasonally adjusted data from January 1974 through February 1982) and in E m p lo y m e n t a n d E a rn in g s, U n ite d S ta tes , 1 9 0 9 78, BLS Bulletin 1312-11 (for prior periods). A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll sur veys,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , December 1969, pp. 9-20. See also B L S H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s f o r S u r v e y s a n d S tu d ie s, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976). 8. Employment by industry, selected years, 1950-81 [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] Goods-producing Year Total Private sector Total Mining Service-producing Construc Manufac tion turing Transportation and public utilities Total Government Wholesale and retail trade Total Whole sale trade Retail trade insurance, Services and real estate Total Federal State and local 1950 .............................. 1955 .............................. I9601 ............................ 1964 .............................. 1965 .............................. 45,197 50,641 54,189 58,283 60,765 39,170 43,727 45,836 48,686 50,689 18,506 20,513 20,434 21,005 21,926 901 792 712 634 632 2,364 2,839 2,926 3,097 3,232 15,241 16,882 16,796 17,274 18,062 26,691 30,128 33,755 37,278 38,839 4,034 4,141 4,004 3,951 4,036 9,386 10,535 11,391 12,160 12,716 2,635 2,926 3,143 3,337 3,466 6,751 7,610 8,248 8,823 9,250 1,888 2,298 2,629 2,911 2,977 5,357 6,240 7,378 8,660 9,036 6,026 6,914 8,353 9,596 10,074 1,928 2,187 2,270 2,348 2,378 4,098 4,727 6,083 7,248 7,696 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. 63,901 65,803 67,897 70,384 70,880 53,116 54,413 56,058 58,189 58,325 23,158 23,308 23,737 24,361 23,578 627 613 606 619 623 3,317 3,248 3,350 3,575 3,588 19,214 19,447 19,781 20,167 19,367 40,743 42,495 44,160 46,023 47,302 4,158 4,268 4,318 4,442 4,515 13,245 13,606 14,099 14,705 15,040 3,597 3,689 3,779 3,907 3,993 9,648 9,917 10,320 10,798 11,047 3,058 3,185 3,337 3,512 3,645 9,498 10,045 10,567 11,169 11,548 10,784 11,391 11,839 12,195 12,554 2,564 2,719 2,737 2,758 2,731 8,220 8,672 9,102 9,437 9,823 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. 71,214 73,675 76,790 78,265 76,945 58,331 60,341 63,058 64,095 62,259 22,935 23,668 24,893 24,794 22,600 609 628 642 697 752 3,704 3,889 4,097 4,020 3,525 18,623 19,151 20,154 20,077 18,323 48,278 50,007 51,897 53,471 54,345 4,476 4,541 4,656 4,725 4,542 15,352 15,949 16,607 16,987 17,060 4,001 4,113 4,277 4,433 4,415 11,351 11,836 12,329 12,554 12,645 3,772 3,908 4,046 4,148 4,165 11,797 12,276 12,857 13,441 13,892 12,881 13,334 13,732 14,170 14,686 2,696 2,684 2,663 2,724 2,748 10,185 10,649 11,068 11,446 11,937 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. .............................. 79,382 82,471 86,697 89,823 90,406 64,511 67,344 71,026 73,876 74,166 23,352 24,346 25,585 26,461 25,658 779 813 851 958 1,027 3,576 3,851 4,229 4,463 4,346 18,997 19,682 20,505 21,040 20,285 56,030 58,125 61,113 63,363 64,748 4,582 4,713 4,923 5,136 5,146 17,755 18,516 19,542 20,192 20,310 4,546 4,708 4,969 5,204 5,275 13,209 13,808 14,573 14,989 15,035 4,271 4,467 4,724 4,975 5,160 14,551 15,303 16,252 17,112 17,890 14,871 15,127 15,672 15,947 16,241 2,733 2,727 2,753 2,773 2,866 12,138 12,399 12,919 13,147 13,375 1981 .............................. 91,105 75,081 25,481 1,132 4,176 20,173 65,625 5,157 20,551 5,359 15,192 5,301 18,592 16,024 2,772 13,253 ’ Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. 9. Employment by State [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] State November 1981 October 1982 Nov. 1982 p State November 1981 October 1982 Nov. 1982 p Alabama ................................................ Alaska .................................................... Arizona .................................................. Arkansas ................................................ California................................................ 1 ,353.4 179.0 1,055.5 739.3 10 , 147.2 1 ,315.9 191.7 1 ,033.2 732.8 9 ,955.6 1 ,319.9 188.6 1 ,039.6 725.7 9 ,944.8 Montana ................................................ Nebraska .............................................. Nevada .................................................. New Hampshire...................................... New Jersey........................................ 291.4 630.9 420.9 397.2 3 , 107.7 282.7 611.3 416.9 392.5 3 ,065.3 281.7 610.3 412.7 390.2 3 ,062.9 Colorado ................................................ Connecticut ............................................ Delaware................................................ District of Columbia.................................. Florida.................................................... 1 ,297.6 1 ,446.0 257.4 606.1 3 ,776.3 1 ,284.1 1 ,416.5 258.7 602.0 3 ,755.1 1 ,283.7 1 ,419.0 255.4 604.5 3 ,811.8 New Mexico............................................ New York .............................................. North Carolina........................................ North Dakota.......................................... Ohio ...................................................... 476.6 7 ,354.9 2 ,405.3 255.0 4 ,342.7 477.2 7 ,283.3 2 ,351.3 254.2 4 ,204.0 475.8 7 ,286.1 2 ,348.0 252.8 4 , 190.2 Georgia .................................................. Hawaii.................................................... Idaho...................................................... Illinois .................................................... Indiana.................................................... 2 , 190.7 403.3 325.4 4 ,775.7 2 , 106.6 2 , 157.4 397.5 317.1 4 ,577.7 2 ,010.5 2 , 156.5 401.0 313.4 4 ,568.0 1 ,993.6 Oklahoma .............................................. Oregon .................................................. Pennsylvania.......................................... Rhode Island .......................................... South Carolina........................................ 1,217.0 1 ,008.9 4 ,735.5 404.9 1 , 197.7 1 , 195.9 973.4 4 ,479.2 394.6 1 , 178.8 1 , 190.3 964.2 4 ,473.8 394.3 1 , 178.9 Iowa ...................................................... Kansas .................................................. Kentucky ................................................ Louisiana................................................ Maine .................................................... 1,093.5 954.9 1 ,201.6 1 ,650.5 413.9 1,050.2 918.9 1 , 149.2 1 ,613.7 413.3 1 ,044.4 917.9 1 , 149.5 1 ,613.6 409.4 South Dakota.......................................... Tennessee .............................................. Texas .................................................... Utah ...................................................... Vermont ................................................ 237.1 1 ,748.0 6 ,274.9 569.3 202.2 233.0 1 ,705.8 6 ,201.2 564.4 204.5 230.5 1 ,700.1 6 ,203.3 565.1 201.4 Maryland ................................................ Massachusetts........................................ Michigan ................................................ Minnesota .............................................. Mississippi .............................................. Missouri.................................................. 1,709.0 2 ,676.6 3 ,381.1 1 ,769.5 821.9 1 ,986.5 1 ,680.3 2 ,621.8 3 ,215.3 1 ,710.1 796.2 1 ,962.4 1 ,688.5 2 ,626.5 3 ,208.1 1 ,700.0 794.6 1 ,957.9 Virginia .................................................. Washington ............................................ West Virginia.......................................... Wisconsin .............................................. Wyoming................................................ 2 , 174.7 1 ,588.2 633.5 1,931.8 216.2 2 , 168.4 1,568.1 597.4 1,878.2 215.2 2 , 172.2 1 ,559.9 597.0 1 ,867.9 210.5 Virgin Islands.......................................... 36.6 34.6 35.0 p= preliminary. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 65 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 10. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] Annual average 1981 1980 1981 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 1982 July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. p Dec.p TOTAL .......................................................... 90,406 91,105 90,642 90,460 90,459 90,304 90,083 90,166 89,839 89,535 89,312 89,267 88,860 88,684 88,518 PRIVATE SECTOR .............................. 74,166 75,081 74,725 74,596 74,609 74,445 74,231 74,313 74,007 73,900 73,640 73,504 73,118 72,953 72,783 25,658 25,481 24,908 24,684 24,631 24,450 24,289 24,255 23,994 23,840 23,657 23,530 23,239 23,082 22,988 Industry division and group GOODS-PRODUCING Mining ................................................................ 1,027 1,132 1,206 1,201 1,203 1,197 1,182 1,152 1,124 1,100 1,086 1,075 1,058 1,051 1,036 Construction ...................................................... 4,346 4,176 4,026 3,966 3,974 3,934 3,938 3,988 3,940 3,927 3,899 3,883 3,856 3,848 3,818 Manufacturing .................................................... Production workers.................................. 20,285 14,214 20,173 14,021 19,676 13,488 19,517 13,431 19,454 13,290 19,319 13,179 19,169 13,042 19,115 13,008 18,930 12,852 18,813 12,760 18,672 12,647 18,572 12,566 18,325 12,335 18,183 12,206 18,134 12,173 Durable goods ................................................ Production workers.................................. 12,187 8,442 12,117 8,301 11,724 7,885 11,622 7,793 11,575 7,759 11,490 7.685 11,375 7,576 11,332 7,553 11,203 7,443 11,133 7,388 10,993 7,272 10,900 7,191 10,666 6,979 10,555 6,877 10,533 6,853 Lumber and wood products ............................ Furniture and fixtures...................................... Stone, clay, and glass products ...................... Primary metal industries.................................. Fabricated metal products .............................. 690.5 465.8 662.1 1,142.2 1,613.1 668.7 467.3 638.2 1,121.1 1,592.4 615 457 610 1,053 1,529 607 452 596 1,038 1,515 611 449 596 1,024 1,505 607 446 590 1,007 1,496 615 443 584 976 1,481 617 443 586 945 1,472 615 442 580 926 1,452 614 439 579 906 1,446 614 443 574 889 1,427 616 439 571 865 1,414 614 434 565 831 1,381 618 433 556 815 1,367 619 435 553 806 1,364 Machinery, except electrical............................ Electric and electronic equipment.................... Transportation equipment................................ Instruments and related products .................... Miscellaneous manufacturing .......................... 2,494.0 2,090.6 1,899.7 711.3 418.0 2,507.0 2,092.2 1,892.6 726.8 410.7 2,486 2,049 1,791 725 409 2,459 2,055 1,777 720 403 2,446 2,048 1,778 718 400 2,419 2,038 1,774 716 397 2,389 2,034 1,748 713 392 2,377 2,034 1,755 713 390 2,322 2,026 1,745 708 387 2,274 2,018 1,759 708 390 2,230 2,011 1,719 702 384 2,208 1,995 1,709 701 382 2,142 1,969 1,658 694 378 2,109 1,962 1,633 688 374 2,095 1,939 1,664 685 373 Nondurable goods .......................................... Production workers.................................. 8,098 5,772 8,056 5,721 7,952 5,603 7,895 5,548 7,879 5,531 7,829 5,494 7,794 5,466 7,783 5,455 7,727 5,409 7,680 5,372 7,679 5,375 7,672 5,375 7,659 5,356 7,628 5,329 7,601 5,320 Food and kindred products.............................. Tobacco manufactures .................................. Textile mill products........................................ Apparel and other textile products .................. Paper and allied products .............................. 1,708.0 68.9 847.7 1,263.5 692.8 1,674.3 69.8 822.5 1,244.0 687.3 1,661 68 794 1,222 677 1,657 69 780 1,201 674 1,663 68 777 1,201 670 1,658 68 760 1,186 668 1,643 67 773 1,165 664 1,652 67 759 1,165 661 1,637 67 741 1,161 658 1,643 65 741 1,126 657 1,628 65 737 1,145 653 1,629 63 735 1,143 657 1,644 63 735 1,141 650 1,642 61 725 1,136 652 1,632 63 720 1,128 650 Printing and publishing.................................... Chemicals and allied products ........................ Petroleum and coal products .......................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products . . . Leather and leather products .......................... 1,252.1 1,107.4 197.9 726.8 232.9 1,265.8 1,107.3 215.6 736.1 233.0 1,276 1,100 214 716 224 1,275 1,095 210 712 222 1,276 1,093 208 708 215 1,278 1,088 207 703 213 1,274 1,082 206 706 214 1,274 1,079 207 708 211 1,269 1,073 205 704 212 1,267 1,068 205 700 208 1,269 1,070 205 699 208 1,269 1,066 209 694 207 1,268 1,061 208 684 205 1,266 1,058 206 677 205 1,265 1,055 206 679 203 65,776 65,828 65,854 65,794 65,911 65,845 65,695 65,655 65,737 65,621 65,602 65,530 SERVICE-PRODUCING........................................ 64,748 65,625 65,734 Transportation and public utilities ...................... 5,146 5,157 5,128 5,125 5,115 5,100 5,094 5,101 5,078 5,044 5,025 5,031 5,007 4,994 4,979 Wholesale and retail trade.................................. 20,310 20,551 20,524 20,630 20,670 20,655 20,584 20,652 20,595 20,615 20,550 20,492 20,441 20,390 20,297 Wholesale trade.................................................. 5,275 5,359 5,357 5,346 5,343 5,336 5,323 5,331 5,307 5,299 5,278 5,272 5,254 5,230 5,203 Retail trade ........................................................ 15,035 15,192 15,167 15,284 15,327 15,319 15,261 15,321 15,288 15,316 15,272 15,220 15,187 15,160 15,094 Finance, insurance, and real estate .................... 5,160 5,301 5,331 5,326 5,326 5,336 5,335 5,342 5,352 5,359 5,360 5,367 5,357 5,362 5,376 Services.............................................................. 17,890 18,592 18,834 18,831 18,867 18,904 18,929 18,963 18,988 19,042 19,048 19,084 19,074 19,125 19,143 Government........................................................ Federal.......................................................... State and local .............................................. 16,241 2,866 13,375 16,024 2,772 13,253 15,917 2,756 13,161 15,864 2,741 13,123 15,850 2,737 13,113 15,859 2,736 13,123 15,852 2,730 13,122 15,853 2,728 13,125 15,832 2,739 13,093 15,635 2,737 12,898 15,672 2,739 12,933 15,763 2,734 13,029 15,742 2,723 13,019 15,731 2,726 13,005 15,735 2,728 13,007 p=preliminary. 66 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11. Hours and earnings, by industry division, selected years, 1950-81 [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on nonagricultural payrolls] Year Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Manufacturing Construction Mining Private sector Average weekly hours 1950 .................. 1955 .................. I9601 ................ 1964 .................. 1965 .................. $53.13 67.72 80.67 91.33 95.45 39.8 39.6 38.6 38.7 38.8 $1.335 1.71 2.09 2.36 2.46 $67.16 89.54 105.04 117.74 123.52 37.9 40.7 40.4 41.9 42.3 $1.772 2.20 2.60 2.81 2.92 $69.68 90.90 112.67 132.06 138.38 37.4 37.1 36.7 37.2 37.4 $1.863 2.45 3.07 3.55 3.70 $58.32 75.30 89.72 102.97 107.53 40.5 40.7 39.7 40.7 41.2 $1.440 1.85 2.26 2.53 2.61 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 98.82 101.84 107.73 114.61 119.83 38.6 38.0 37.8 37.7 37.1 2.56 2.68 2.85 3.04 3.23 130.24 135.89 142.71 154.80 164.40 42.7 42.6 42.6 43.0 42.7 3.05 3.19 3.35 3.60 3.85 146.26 154.95 164.49 181.54 195.45 37.6 37.7 37.3 37.9 37.3 3.89 4.11 4.41 4.79 5.24 112.19 114.49 122.51 129.51 133.33 41.4 40.6 40.7 40.6 39.8 2.71 2.82 3.01 3.19 3.35 1971.................. 1972 .................. 1973 .................. 1974 .................. 1975 .................. 127.31 136.90 145.39 154.76 163.53 36.9 37.0 36.9 36.5 36.1 3.45 3.70 3.94 4.24 4.53 172.14 189.14 201.40 219.14 249.31 42.4 42.6 42.4 41.9 41.9 4.06 4.44 4.75 5.23 5.95 211.67 221.19 235.89 249.25 266.08 37.2 36.5 36.8 36.6 36.4 5.69 6.06 6.41 6.81 7.31 142.44 154.71 166.46 176.80 190.79 39.9 40.5 40.7 40.0 39.5 3.57 3.82 4.09 4.42 4.83 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 175.45 189.00 203.70 219.91 235.10 36.1 36.0 35.8 35.7 35.3 4.86 5.25 5.69 6.16 6.66 273.90 301.20 332.88 365.07 397.06 42.4 43.4 43.4 43.0 43.3 6.46 6.94 7.67 8.49 9.17 283.73 295.65 318.69 342.99 367.78 36.8 36.5 36.8 37.0 37.0 7.71 8.10 8.66 9.27 9.94 209.32 228.90 249.27 269.34 288.62 40.1 40.3 40.4 40.2 39.7 5.22 5.68 6.17 6.70 7.27 1981 .................. 255.20 35.2 7.25 439.19 43.7 10.05 398.52 36.9 10.80 318.00 39.8 7.99 Transportation and public utilities 1950 ................ 1955 .............. I9601 1964 .................. 1965 .................. Finance, insurance, and real estate Wholesale and retail trade Services 40.5 39.4 38.6 37.9 37.7 $1.100 1.40 1.71 1.97 2.04 $50.52 63.92 75.14 85.79 88.91 37.7 37.6 37.2 37.3 37.2 $1.340 1.70 2.02 2.30 2.39 $70.03 73.60 36.1 35.9 $1.94 2.05 $118.78 125.14 41.1 41.3 $2.89 3.03 $44.55 55.16 66.01 74.66 76.91 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 128.13 130.82 138.85 147.74 155.93 41.2 40.5 40.6 40.7 40.5 3.11 3.23 3.42 3.63 3.85 79.39 82.35 87.00 91.39 96.02 37.1 36.6 36.1 35.7 35.3 2.14 2.25 2.41 2.56 2.72 92.13 95.72 101.75 108.70 112.67 37.3 37.1 37.0 37.1 36.7 2.47 2.58 2.75 2.93 3.07 77.04 80.38 83.97 90.57 96.66 35.5 35.1 34.7 34.7 34.4 2.17 2.29 2.42 2.61 2.81 1971.................. 1972 .................. 1973 .................. 1974 .................. 1975 .................. 168.82 187.86 203.31 217.48 233.44 40.1 40.4 40.5 40.2 39.7 4.21 4.65 5.02 5.41 5.88 101.09 106.45 111.76 119.02 126.45 35.1 34.9 34.6 34.2 33.9 2.88 3.05 3.23 3.48 3.73 117.85 122.98 129.20 137.61 148.19 36.6 36.6 36.6 36.5 36.5 3.22 3.36 3.53 3.77 4.06 103.06 110.85 117.29 126.00 134.67 33.9 33.9 33.8 33.6 33.5 3.04 3.27 3.47 3.75 4.02 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 256.71 278.90 302.80 325.58 351.25 39.8 39.9 40.0 39.9 39.6 6.45 6.99 7.57 8.16 8.87 133.79 142.52 153.64 164.96 176.46 33.7 33.3 32.9 32.6 32.2 3.97 4.28 4.67 5.06 5.48 155.43 165.26 178.00 190.77 209.60 36.4 36.4 36.4 36.2 36.2 4.27 4.54 4.89 5.27 5.79 143.52 153.45 163.67 175.27 190.71 33.3 33.0 32.8 32.7 32.6 4.31 4.65 4.99 5.36 5.85 1981 .................. 382.18 39.4 9.70 190.95 32.2 5.93 229.05 36.3 6.31 208.97 32.6 6.41 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1Data Include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 67 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 12. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Annual average 1981 1980 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 1982 Industry division and group PRIVATE SECTOR 1981 May June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov.p Dec.p 35.3 35.2 35.0 34.4 35.0 34.9 34.9 35.0 34.9 34.9 34.8 34.8 34.7 34.7 34.6 MANUFACTURING ............................................ Overtime hours...................................... 39.7 2.8 39.8 2.8 39.1 2.4 37.6 2.3 39.4 2.4 39.0 2.3 39.0 2.4 39.1 2.3 39.2 2.4 39.2 2.4 39.0 2.4 38.8 2.3 38.8 2.3 38.9 2.3 38.9 2.3 Durable goods................................................ Overtime hours ...................................... 40.1 2.8 40.2 2.8 39.5 2.3 38.2 2.2 39.8 2.2 39.5 2.2 39.5 2.2 39.6 2.2 39.7 2.3 39.7 2.2 39.4 2.2 38.9 2.1 39.0 2.0 39.2 2.1 39.2 2.1 Lumber and wood products .......................... Furniture and fixtures .................................... Stone, clay, and glass products...................... Primary metal industries................................ Fabricated metal products ............................ 38.5 38.1 40.8 40.1 40.4 38.7 38.4 40.6 40.5 40.3 37.7 37.9 39.7 39.2 39.5 35.0 33.6 38.6 38.3 38.1 37.9 37.7 40.1 39.4 39.7 37.6 37.3 40.0 38.8 39.5 37.6 37.4 40.0 38.5 39.4 38.5 37.5 40.2 38.5 39.5 38.7 37.8 40.4 38.9 39.4 38.6 37.6 40.6 38.9 39.5 38.2 37.9 40.3 38.8 39.2 38.5 37.4 40.2 37.8 38.8 38.0 37.5 40.2 38.0 38.9 38.7 37.6 40.2 38.2 38.9 38.5 37.4 39.6 38.0 39.0 Machinery, except electrical .......................... Electric and electronic equipment .................. Transportation equipment .............................. Instruments and related products .................. Miscellaneous manufacturing ........................ 41.0 39.8 40.6 40.5 38.7 40.9 39.9 40.9 40.4 38.8 40.4 39.5 39.7 39.9 38.5 39.3 38.3 39.0 39.0 37.3 40.7 39.8 40.5 39.9 38.6 40.2 39.4 40.4 39.9 38.6 40.1 39.3 41.1 39.9 38.5 39.8 39.4 41.1 40.2 38.7 39.6 39.5 41.6 40.2 38.6 39.8 39.8 41.0 40.1 38.7 39.5 39.3 40.5 40.1 38.6 39.0 38.8 39.8 39.8 38.3 39.2 39.0 40.1 39.4 38.6 39.2 39.2 40.8 39.3 38.6 39.3 39.3 40.2 40.1 38.4 Nondurable goods ........................................ Overtime hours...................................... 39.0 2.8 39.1 2.8 38.6 2.6 36.8 2.5 38.9 2.6 38.5 2.5 38.4 2.6 38.5 2.5 38.6 2.5 38.6 2.6 38.5 2.6 38.6 2.6 38.5 2.6 38.5 2.5 38.5 2.5 Food and kindred products............................ Textile mill products...................................... Apparel and other textile products.................. Paper and allied products.............................. 39.7 40.1 35.4 42.2 39.7 39.6 35.7 42.5 39.8 37.8 35.1 41.8 39.1 32.3 31.4 41.3 40.2 38.3 35.5 42.3 39.5 37.6 35.0 41.8 39.4 37.7 34.7 42.1 39.4 37.9 34.8 41.8 39.5 37.8 35.1 42.0 39.5 37.7 35.2 41.9 39.1 38.2 35.0 41.7 39.4 38.1 35.2 41.5 39.7 38.2 35.0 41.7 39.5 38.5 35.0 41.7 39.2 38.5 35.0 41.4 Printing aid publishing .................................. Chemicals and allied products........................ Petroleum and coal products ........................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products .. Leather and leather products ........................ 37.1 41.5 41.8 40.0 36.7 37.3 41.6 43.2 40.3 36.8 37.1 41.3 42.7 39.4 36.1 36.9 41.0 44.3 37.9 34.1 37.4 41.2 43.5 40.0 35.6 37.1 40.7 43.5 39.6 35.8 37.1 40.7 44.0 39.8 35.6 36.8 41.0 44.1 39.9 35.6 37.1 41.0 44.1 40.1 35.7 37.0 40.9 43.3 40.2 36.1 36.8 40.9 43.9 39.7 36.0 37.0 41.2 44.0 39.6 35.7 36.9 40.8 43.3 39.0 35.2 37.1 40.6 44.2 39.2 36.0 37.2 40.8 45.4 39.3 35.6 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................... 32.2 32.2 32.0 31.7 32.0 31.9 31.8 32.0 31.9 31.9 31.9 32.1 31.9 31.8 31.8 WHOLESALE TRADE.......................................... 38.5 38.6 38.4 38.1 38.5 38.4 38.3 38.5 38.6 38.5 38.5 38.4 38.3 38.4 38.2 RETAIL TRADE .................................................. 30.2 30.1 29.9 29.7 29.9 29.8 29.8 30.0 29.8 29.9 29.9 30.1 29.9 29.8 29.8 SERVICES.......................................................... 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.6 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.6 32.6 32.8 32.6 32.6 32.4 Note : The industry divisions of mining; construction; tobacco manufactures (a major manufacturing group, nondurable goods); transportation and public utilities; and finance, insurance, and real estate are no longer shown. This is because the seasonal component in these is small 68 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis relative to the trend-cycle, or Irregular components, or both, and consequently cannot be precisely separated, p=preliminary. 13. Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] 1982 Annual average 1981 1980 1981 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct Nov.p Dec.p PRIVATE SECTOR ...................................... Seasonally adjusted .............................. $6.66 <1) $7.25 (’ ) $7.45 7.46 $7.55 7.52 $7.54 7.53 $7.55 7.54 $7.58 7.59 $7.63 7.65 $7.64 7.67 $7.67 7.71 $7.70 7.74 $7.76 7.72 $7.79 7.77 $7.80 7.78 $7.82 7.83 10.05 10.41 10.65 10.62 10.62 10.65 10.66 10.82 10.91 10.93 11.04 11.02 11.07 11.09 11.32 11.46 11.41 11.53 11.60 11.68 11.82 11.65 11.87 Industry division and group MINING.............................................................. 9.17 CONSTRUCTION................................................ 9.94 10,80 11.26 11.59 11.32 11.33 MANUFACTURING ............................................ 7.27 7.99 8.27 8.42 8.34 8.37 8.42 8.45 8.50 8.55 8.51 8.59 8.56 8.61 8.69 Durable goods............................................ Lumber and wood products .................... Furniture and fixtures.............................. Stone, clay, and glass products .............. Primary metal industries.......................... Fabricated metal products ...................... 7.75 6.55 5.49 7.50 9.77 7.45 8.53 7.00 5.91 8.27 10.81 8.20 8.83 7.16 6.12 8.56 11.08 8.53 8.92 7.38 6.28 8.70 11.23 8.55 8.89 7.27 6.19 8.62 11.20 8.57 8.91 7.28 6.21 8.65 11.15 8.64 8.94 7.24 6.21 8.72 11.24 8.69 9.01 7.41 6.23 8.80 11.23 8.79 9.06 7.59 6.30 8.86 11.31 8.83 9.11 7.64 6.34 8.93 11.37 8.85 9.09 7.61 6.39 8.93 11.49 8.85 9.16 7.70 6.41 9.03 11.54 8.90 9.13 7.61 6.41 9.04 11.42 8.85 9.17 7.64 6.44 9.04 11.51 8.90 9.24 7.57 6.51 9.06 11.50 8.97 Machinery, except electrical.................... Electric and electronic equipment............ Transportation equipment........................ Instruments and related products ............ Miscellaneous manufacturing .................. 8.00 6.94 9.35 6.80 5.46 8.81 7.62 10.39 7.43 5.96 9.18 7.90 10.76 7.81 6.19 9.19 7.98 10.79 7.93 6.27 9.20 7.96 10.82 7.94 6.29 9.18 8.01 10.89 8.00 6.32 9.24 8.03 10.89 8.07 6.35 9.26 8.05 11.08 8.16 6.38 9.27 8.09 11.21 8.23 6.41 9.30 8.18 11.25 8.31 6.40 9.33 8.24 11.18 8.40 6.39 9.40 8.31 11.24 8.44 6.49 9.34 8.34 11.30 8.48 6.50 9.35 8.38 11.33 8.57 6.53 9.41 8.46 11.51 8.63 6.63 Nondurable goods...................................... Food and kindred products...................... Tobacco manufactures............................ Textile mill products................................ Apparel and other textile products .......... Paper and allied products........................ 6.55 6.85 7.74 5.07 4.56 7.84 7.18 7.43 8.88 5.52 4.96 8.60 7.44 7.67 8.96 5.72 5.04 8.96 7.67 7.82 9.21 5.76 5.18 9.06 7.54 7.74 9.56 5.76 5.13 8.99 7.57 7.79 9.72 5.76 5.15 9.03 7.65 7.90 10.05 5.79 5.18 9.11 7.66 7.92 9.93 5.79 5.16 9.14 7.70 7.90 10.35 5.79 5.18 9.28 7.77 7.88 10.42 5.81 5.17 9.41 7.74 7.85 9.53 5.82 5.18 9.45 7.84 7.91 9.57 5.86 5.20 9.63 7.81 7.88 9.50 5.87 5.19 9.54 7.88 7.99 10.16 5.92 5.23 9.59 7.95 8.05 10.05 5.99 5.26 9.61 7.53 8.30 10.10 6.52 4.58 8.18 9.12 11.38 7.16 4.99 8.48 9.53 11.59 7.38 5.15 8.58 9.68 11.91 7.51 5.19 8.56 9.68 12.29 7.49 5.22 8.59 9.71 12.32 7.45 5.24 8.59 9.81 12.50 7.52 5.32 8.61 9.83 12.52 7.56 5.32 8.66 9.95 12.53 7.64 5.36 8.74 10.02 12.42 7.65 5.30 8.79 10.03 12.42 7.64 5.33 8.90 10.20 12.62 7.76 5.41 8.87 10.24 12.57 7.72 5.39 8.91 10.26 12.71 7.79 5.41 8.97 10.36 12.71 7.86 5.45 . 8.87 9.70 10.06 10.10 10.13 10.0? 10.14 10.17 10.20 10.29 10.43 10.46 10.48 10.55 10.60 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................... 5.48 5.93 6.02 6.17 6.16 6.16 6.18 6.20 6.20 6.21 6.22 6.26 6.30 6.32 6.28 Printing and publishing............................ Chemicals and allied products ................ Petroleum and coal products .................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products.................. TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES WHOLESALE TRADE.......................................... 6.96 7.57 7.81 7.94 7.94 7.93 7.97 8.03 8.01 8.07 8.11 8.14 8.17 8.18 8.23 RETAIL TRADE.................................................. 4.88 5.25 5.31 5.43 5.42 5.43 5.44 5.47 5.47 5.48 5.48 5.52 5.54 5.58 5.54 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE . . 5.79 6.31 6.47 6.56 6.62 6.59 6.64 6.77 6.71 6.78 6.87 6.90 6.97 7.01 7.08 SERVICES.......................................................... 5.85 6.41 6.66 6.79 6.79 6.77 6.81 6.85 6.84 6.87 6.90 6.99 7.05 7.08 7.10 1 Not available. 14. p=preliminary. Hourly Earnings Index, for production workers on private nonagricultural payrolls, by industry [1977=100] Not seasonally adjusted Industry PRIVATE SECTOR (in current dollars) Mining.................................................. Construction ........................................ Manufacturing ...................................... Transportation and public utilities............ Wholesale and retail trade .................... Finance, insurance, and real estate........ Services .............................................. PRIVATE SECTOR (in constant dollars) Oct 1982 Nov. 1982 p Dec. 1982 p Percent change from: Nov. 1982 to Dec. 1982 150.1 150.8 151.1 151.9 0.6 ( 1) 140.7 154.2 150.3 146.5 150.6 149.7 (’ ) 140.4 154.7 149.9 146.8 151.3 149.7 ( 1) 142.3 154.6 151.1 147.6 152.9 150.8 ( ') 140.9 155.3 151.5 148.0 152.7 150.8 <1) 143.6 155.6 152.8 148.3 154.5 151.9 ( 1) 1.9 .2 .8 .2 1.2 .7 93.2 93.2 93.2 93.3 (2) (2) Dec. 1981 Aug. 1982 Sept. 1982 Dec. 1981 Oct 1982 Nov. 1982 p 143.5 150.9 151.2 151.9 5.9 143.5 149.9 153.4 136.7 147.4 145.0 140.9 141.5 142.3 162.6 144.0 154.7 151.9 147.1 152.1 150.5 163.3 141.6 155.3 152.8 147.5 152.7 151.0 163.7 143.7 156.2 153.5 147.4 153.9 151.6 6.7 5.1 6.0 5.9 4.6 8.8 6.5 (’ ) 136.6 146.9 144.3 141.7 142.0 142.6 92.6 93.3 93.6 ( 2) <2) 92.3 Dec. 1982 p 1This series is not seasonally adjusted because the seasonal component is small relative to the trend-cycle, irregular components, or both, and consequently cannot be separated with sufficient precision. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Seasonally adjusted Percent change from; Dec. 1981 to Dec. 1982 2 Not available, p = preliminary, 69 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 15. Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Annual average 1981 1980 1981 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct. PRIVATE SECTOR Current dollars.......................................... Seasonally adjusted................................ Constant (1977) dollars.............................. $235.10 ( ') 172.74 $255.20 ( 1) 170.13 $262.24 261.10 169.30 $255.95 258.69 164.70 $262.39 263.55 168.31 $261.99 263.15 168.37 $262.27 264.89 167.80 $265.52 267.75 168.16 $267.40 267.68 167.33 $269.98 269.08 167.90 $271.04 269.35 168.24 $270.05 268.66 167.42 $270.31 269.62 167.06 MINING ........................................................ 397.06 439.19 466.37 456.89 463.03 465.16 454.76 454.12 463.10 463.68 463.43 462.58 461.74 CONSTRUCTION .......................................... 367.78 398.52 417.75 385.95 406.39 419.21 415.44 429.75 427.88 438.14 436.16 430.99 438.52 420.57 434.44 MANUFACTURING Current dollars.......................................... Constant (1977) dollars.............................. 288.62 212.06 318.00 212.00 329.97 213.02 312.38 201.02 326.93 209.70 327.27 210.33 325.85 208.48 329.55 208.71 334.05 209.04 332.60 206.84 331.89 206.40 334.15 207.16 333.84 206.33 338.37 209.52 344.99 Durable goods.............................................. Lumber and wood products........................ Furniture and fixtures ................................ Stone, clay, and glass products.................. Primary metal industries ............................ Fabricated metai products.......................... 310.78 252.18 209.17 306.00 391.78 300.98 342.91 270.90 226.94 335.76 437.81 330.46 356.73 272.80 238.07 343.26 438.77 345.47 336.28 248.71 204.10 325.38 431.23 323.19 352.93 272.63 231.51 337.90 443.52 337.66 352.84 273.73 233.50 344.27 434.85 342.14 350.45 270.05 230.39 347.93 434.99 338.91 355.90 285.29 231.76 355.52 430.11 346.33 360.59 297.53 238.77 361.49 439.96 349.67 357.11 294.90 233.31 362.56 437.75 344.27 356.33 295.27 243.46 362.56 440.07 346.04 357.24 298.76 241.66 365.72 438.52 346.21 357.90 292.22 244.22 367.02 431.68 346.04 Machinery except electrical........................ Electric and electronic equipment................ Transportation equipment .......................... Instruments and related products................ Miscellaneous manufacturing...................... 328.00 276.21 379.61 275.40 211.30 360.33 304.04 424.95 300.17 231.25 381.89 319.16 445.46 317.87 242.03 360.25 304.04 414.34 306.10 229.48 374.44 316.81 437.13 317.60 241.54 370.87 316.40 439.96 320.80 244.58 367.75 313.17 441.05 318.77 242.57 367.62 315.56 455.39 327.22 245.63 367.09 319.56 466.34 330.85 247.43 363.63 319.84 456.75 328.25 244.48 364.80 322.18 447.20 335.16 246.65 367.54 322.43 443.98 335.91 250.51 365.19 326.09 457.65 334.96 253.50 370.26 331.85 466.80 341.94 255.32 Nondurable goods........................................ Food and kindred products ........................ Tobacco manufactures .............................. Textile mill products .................................. Apparel and other textile products.............. Paper and allied products .......................... 255.45 271.95 294.89 203.31 161.42 330.85 280.74 294.97 344.54 218.59 177.07 365.50 291.65 309.87 341.38 220.79 178.92 382.59 277.65 302.63 332.48 179.71 155.40 374.18 291.04 307.28 366.15 219.46 180.58 377.58 289.93 303.81 362.56 217.15 180.77 376.55 291.47 306.52 367.83 215.39 178.19 380.80 294.14 312.05 369.40 219.44 180.08 379.31 297.99 312.05 397.44 220.60 183.89 389.76 299.15 312.05 383.46 216.13 183.02 391.46 299.54 310.86 363.09 222.91 183.37 393.12 304.19 315.61 379.93 223.85 182.52 401.57 302.25 312.84 370.50 227.17 183.21 397.82 306.53 310.85 318.00 319.59 386.08 376.88 230.88 235.41 184.62 186.20 402.78 406.50 Printing and publishing................................ Chemicals and allied products.................... Petroleum and coal products...................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products.................................... Leather and leather products...................... 279.36 344.45 422.18 305.11 379.39 491.62 321.39 398.35 493.73 312.31 394.94 514.51 317.58 397.85 518.64 318.69 395.20 522.37 316.11 399.27 550.00 315.99 401.06 549.63 319.55 406.96 553.83 322.51 407.81 546.48 326.11 408.22 546.48 331.08 420.24 572.95 328.19 417.79 555.59 332.34 420.66 569.41 340.86 427.87 575.76 260.80 168.09 288.55 183.63 295.94 187.46 283.88 172.83 298.85 184.27 295.77 186.54 297.04 187.26 300.13 191.52 306.36 196.71 302.94 191.33 303.31 192.95 307.30 192.06 303.40 190.27 307.71 195.30 314.40 195.66 351.25 382.18 395.36 388.85 397.10 392.73 393.43 394.60 399.84 403.37 409.90 405.85 406.62 409.34 411.28 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES . 1982 No v . p $270.66 269.97 167.59 Dec.p $272.14 270.92 $460.51 $466.89 $363.13 $370.52 295.67 294.47 245.36 249.98 367.02 362.40 440.83 440.45 349.77 358.80 380.16 340.09 481.12 352.97 258.57 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................. 176.46 190.95 194.45 191.89 194.66 194.66 195.91 197.78 199.02 202.45 202.77 200.95 200.97 200.98 201.59 WHOLESALE TRADE 267.96 292.20 302.25 300.13 303.31 303.72 304.45 308.35 309.19 312.31 313.05 312.58 314.55 314.93 316.86 RETAIL TRADE................................................ FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE SERVICES........................................................ 1Not available. 70 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . 147.38 158.03 160.89 157.47 159.35 159.64 161.02 163.01 164.65 168.24 168.24 166.70 165.09 165.73 167.31 209.60 229.05 234.21 237.47 239.64 239.22 240.37 245.75 242.23 245.44 249.38 249.09 252.31 253.76 254.88 190.71 208.97 217.12 219.32 220.68 220.03 221.33 222.63 224.35 227.40 227.70 228.57 229.13 230.10 230.04 p = preliminary. UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE DATA ployed. Persons not covered by unemployment insurance (about 10 percent of the labor force) and those who have exhausted or not yet earned benefit rights are excluded from the scope of the survey. Ini tial claims are notices filed by persons in unemployment insurance programs to indicate they are out of work and wish to begin receiv ing compensation. A claimant who continued to be unemployed a full week is then counted in the insured unemployment figure. The rate of insured unemployment expresses the number of insured unem ployed as a percent of the average insured employment in a 12-month period. N a t i o n a l u n e m p l o y m e n t i n s u r a n c e d a t a are compiled monthly by the Employment and Training Administration of the U.S. Department of Labor from monthly reports of unem ployment insurance activity prepared by State agencies. Rail road unemployment insurance data are prepared by the U.S. Railroad Retirement Board. Definitions An application for benefits is filed by a railroad worker at the be ginning of his first period of unemployment in a benefit year; no ap plication is required for subsequent periods in the same year. Num ber of payments are payments made in 14-day registration periods. The average amount of benefit payment is an average for all com pensable periods, not adjusted for recovery of overpayments or set tlement of underpayments. However, total benefits paid have been adjusted. Data for all programs represent an unduplicated count of insured unemployment under State programs, Unemployment Compensation for Ex-Servicemen, and Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees, and the Railroad Insurance Act. Under both State and Federal unemployment insurance programs for civilian employees, insured workers must report the completion of at least 1 week of unemployment before they are defined as unem 16. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations [All Items except average benefits amounts are In thousands] 1982 1981 Item All programs: Insured unemployment........................ State unemployment insurance program:1 Initial claims2 ...................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) .............................. Rate of insured unemployment ............ Weeks of unemployment compensated Average weekly benefit amount for total unemployment.................... Total benefits paid .............................. State unemployment insurance program:1 (Seasonally adjusted data) Initial claims 2 ...................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) .............................. Rate of insured unemployment ............ Unemployment compensation for exservicemen: 3 Initial claims1 ........................ .............. Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) .............................. Weeks of unemployment compensated . Total benefits paid .............................. Unemployment compensation for Federal civilian employees:4 Initial claims........................................ Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) .............................. Weeks of unemployment compensated . Total benefits paid .............................. Railroad unemployment insurance: Applications........................................ Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) .............................. Number of payments .......................... Average amount of benefit payment . . . Total benefits paid .............................. Employment service:5 New applications and renewals............ Nonfarm placements .......................... 3,228 3,935 4,681 4,723 4,892 4,760 4,388 14,327 4,495 4,398 4,283 4,391 4,635 2,286 3,272 3,328 2,272 2,418 2,347 1,989 2,399 2,655 2,358 '2,342 2,443 2,641 3,061 3.5 10,052 3,778 4.3 14,592 4,470 5.1 15,962 4,376 5.0 15,631 4,282 4.9 18,144 4,067 4.6 16,158 3,729 4.3 13,679 3,707 4.3 14,648 '3,912 4.6 14,655 3,831 4.4 15,015 '3,712 4.2 '14,547 3,828 4.4 13,786 4,156 4.7 15,108 $123.22 $122.75 '$120.78 '$118.97 $117.28 $118.64 $118.08 $117.10 $117.61 $116.95 $114.83 $112.83 $110.52 $1,080,810 $1,592,546 $1,764,206 $1,781,830 $2,072,642 $1,849,881 $1,573,444 r $1,692,150 $1,679,378 $1,746,195 '$1,710,573 $1,646,554 $1,810,302 2233 2,106 2,304 2,354 2,521 2,442 2,379 2,528 2,317 2,814 '2,902 2,688 3,403 3.9 .3,593 4.1 3,604 4.1 3,644 4.2 3,777 4.3 3,939 4.5 3,925 4.5 3,995 4.6 3,959 4.5 4,137 4.7 '4,446 5.1 4,680 5.3 9 11 8 8 10 9 8 10 10 11 22 91 $10,043 19 93 $10,155 16 65 $7,098 13 49 $5,304 11 48 $5,141 10 37 $4,013 9 31 $3,395 8 29 $3,314 7 25 $2,821 7 24 $2,793 16 17 17 12 13 13 11 14 13 12 10 17 8 25 $2,900 9 28 $3,378 14 33 $3,970 13 16 14 h 36 127 $13,491 39 174 $18,891 40 162 $18,040 40 154 $17,517 38 172 $19,677 33 146 $16,806 29 120 $13,526 28 123 $13,922 29 120 $13,445 27 118 $13,140 26 111 $12,303 28 109 $12,119 31 125 $13,894 13 19 22 11 9 5 5 36 68 68 14 20 17 44 83 $207.08 $16,377 54 117 $212.33 $25,292 75 153 $213.39 $30,544 67 140 $214.07 $28,011 65 154 $215.71 $33,853 57 130 $209.48 $26,262 44 95 $200.75 $19,110 44 93 $199.15 $18,574 55 100 $202.54 $17,998 55 100 $202.54 $17,998 61 137 $216.14 $31,123 82 159 $212.35 $31,638 81 162 $216.55 $35,061 4,081 731 1Initial claims and State insured unemployment include data under the program for Puerto Rican sugarcane workers. 2 Excludes transition claims under State programs. 3 Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with other programs. 4 Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with State programs. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Nov.p Oct Sept Aug. July June May Apr. Mar. Feb. Jan. Dec. Nov. 7,439 1,232 10,965 1,902 p 13,346 p2,629 5 Cumulative total for fiscal year (October 1-September 30). Data computed quarterly, N ote : Data for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands Included. Dashes indicate data not available. p= preliminary. r= revised. 71 PRICE DATA d a t a are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and primary markets in the United States. Price indexes are given in relation to a base period (1967 = 100, unless otherwise noted). P r ic e Definitions The Consumer Price Index is a monthly statistical measure of the average change in prices in a fixed market basket of goods and ser vices. Effective with the January 1978 index, the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics began publishing CPI’s for two groups of the population. One index, a new CPI for All Urban Consumers, covers 80 percent of the total noninstitutional population; and the other index, a revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, covers about half the new index population. The All Urban Consumers index includes, in addition to wage earners and clerical workers, professional, manageri al, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctor’s and dentist’s fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quali ty of these items is kept essentially unchanged between major revi sions so that only price changes will be measured. Prices are collected from over 18,000 tenants, 24,000 retail establishments, and 18,000 housing units for property taxes in 85 urban areas across the country. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Because the CPI’s are based on the expendi tures of two population groups in 1972-73, they may not accurately reflect the experience of individual families and single persons with different buying habits. Though the CPI is often called the “Cost-of-Living Index,” it meas ures only price change, which is just one of several important factors affecting living costs. Area indexes do not measure differences in the level of prices among cities. They only measure the average change in prices for each area since the base period. Producer Price Indexes measure average changes in prices received in primary markets of the United States by producers of commodities in all’stages of processing. The sample used for calculating these in dexes contains about 2,800 commodities and about 10,000 quotations per month selected to represent the movement of prices of all com modities produced in the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, gas and electricity, and public utilities sectors. The universe includes all commodities produced or imported for sale in commercial transactions in primary markets in the United States. Producer Price Indexes can be organized by stage of processing or by commodity. The stage of processing structure organizes products by degree of fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate or semifinished goods, and crude materials). The commodity structure organizes products by similarity of end-use or material composition. To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price In dexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the Unit ed States, from the production or central marketing point. Price data are generally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. 72 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Most prices are obtained directly from producing companies on a vol untary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day of the month. In calculating Producer Price Indexes, price changes for the vari ous commodities are averaged together with implicit quantity weights representing their importance in the total net selling value of all com modities as of 1972. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain in dexes for stage of processing groupings, commodity groupings, dura bility of product groupings, and a number of special composite groupings. Price indexes for the output of selected SIC industries measure av erage price changes in commodities produced by particular industries, as defined in the S ta n d a r d I n d u s tr ia l C la ssifica tio n M a n u a l 1 9 7 2 (Washington, U.S. Office of Management and Budget, 1972). These indexes are derived from several price series, combined to match the economic activity of the specified industry and weighted by the value of shipments in the industry. They use data from comprehensive in dustrial censuses conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census and the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Notes on the data Beginning with the May 1978 issue of the R ev ie w , regional CPI’s cross classified by population size, were introduced. These indexes will enable users in local areas for which an index is not published to get a better approximation of the CPI for their area by using the appropri ate population size class measure for their region. The cross-classified indexes will be published bimonthly. (See table 19.) For further details about the new and the revised indexes and a comparison of various aspects of these indexes with the old unrevised CPI, see F a c ts A b o u t th e R e v is e d C o n s u m e r P r ic e I n d e x , a pamphlet in the Consumer Price Index Revision 1978 series. See also T h e C o n s u m e r P r ic e I n d e x : C o n c ep ts a n d C o n te n t O v e r th e Years, Report 517, revised edition (Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 1978). For interarea comparisons of living costs at three hypothetical stand ards of living, see the family budget data published in the H a n d b o o k o f L a b o r S ta tistic s, 1 9 7 7 , Bulletin 1966 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1977), tables 122-133. Additional data and analysis on price changes are provided in the C P I D e ta ile d R e p o r t and P r o d u c e r P rices a n d P ric e I n d e x e s , both monthly publications of the Bureau. As of January 1976, the Wholesale Price Index (as it was then called) incorporated a revised weighting structure reflecting 1972 val ues of shipments. From January 1967 through December 1975, 1963 values of shipments were used as weights. For a discussion of the general method of computing consumer, producer, and industry price indexes, see B L S H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s f o r S u r v e y s a n d S tu d ie s, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976), chapters 13-15. See also John F. Early, “Improving the meas urement of producer price change,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , April 1978, pp. 7-15. For industry prices, see also Bennett R. Moss, “In dustry and Sector Price Indexes,” M o n th ly L a b o r R ev ie w , August 1965, pp. 974-82. 17. Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, annual averages and changes, 1967-81 [1967 = 100] Food and beverages All Items Year Index Percent change Index Apparel and upkeep Housing Percent change Index Percent change Index Transportation Percent change Index Percent change Medical care Percent change Index Other goods and services Entertainment Index Percent change Index Percent change 1967 1968 1969 1970 .................. .................. .................. .................. 100.0 104.2 109.8 116.3 4.2 5.4 5.9 100.0 103.6 108.8 114.7 3.6 5.0 5.4 100.0 104 0 110.4 118.2 4.0 6.2 7.1 100.0 105.4 111.5 116.1 5.4 5.8 4.1 100.0 103.2 107.2 112.7 3.2 3.9 5.1 100.0 106.1 113.4 120.6 6.1 6.9 6.3 100.0 105.7 111.0 116.7 5.7 5.0 5.1 100.0 105.2 110.4 116.8 5.2 4.9 5.8 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 121.3 125.3 133.1 147.7 161.2 4.3 3.3 6.2 11.0 9.1 118.3 123.2 139.5 158.7 172.1 3.1 4.1 13.2 13.8 8.4 123.4 128.1 133.7 148.8 164.5 4.4 3.8 4.4 11.3 10.6 119.8 122.3 126.8 136.2 142.3 3.2 2.1 3.7 7.4 4.5 118.6 119.9 123.8 137.7 150.6 5.2 1.1 3.3 11.2 9.4 128.4 132.5 137.7 150.5 168.6 6.5 3.2 3.9 9.3 12.0 122.9 126.5 130.0 139.8 152.2 5.3 2.9 2.8 7.5 8.9 122.4 127.5 132.5 142.0 153.9 4.8 4.2 3.9 7.2 8.4 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 170.5 181.5 195.3 217.7 247.0 5.8 6.5 7.6 11.5 13.5 177.4 188.0 206.2 228.7 248.7 3.1 6.0 9.7 10.9 8.7 174.6 186.5 202.6 227.5 263.2 6.1 6.8 8.6 12.3 15.7 147.6 154.2 159.5 166.4 177.4 3.7 4.5 3.4 4.3 6.6 165.5 177.2 185.8 212.8 250.5 9.9 7.1 4.9 14.5 17.7 184.7 202.4 219.4 240.1 267.2 9.5 9.6 8.4 9.4 11.3 159.8 167.7 176.2 187.6 203.7 5.0 4.9 5.1 6.5 8.5 162.7 172.2 183.2 196.3 213.6 5.7 5.8 6.4 7.2 8.8 1981 .................. 272.3 10.2 267.8 7.7 293.2 11.4 186.6 5.2 281.3 12.3 295.1 10.4 219.0 7.5 233.3 9.2 18. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers and revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, U.S. city average— general summary and groups, subgroups, and selected Items [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1982 1981 1982 1981 Nov. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Nov. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. All items...................................................................................... 280.7 290.6 292.2 292.8 293.3 294.1 293.6 280.4 290.1 291.8 292.4 292.8 293.6 293.2 Food and beverages .................................................................... Housing........................................................................................ Apparel and upkeep...................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................. Medical care ................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................. Other goods and services.............................................................. 269.9 304.2 191.3 289.1 308.2 226.8 245.9 280.2 317.5 190.8 292.8 326.4 235.6 255.8 280.8 319:2 189.7 296.1 330.0 236.6 257.2 279.9 320.1 191.8 296.2 333.3 237.4 258.3 280.1 319.7 194.9 295.3 336.0 238.3 266.6 279.6 320.7 195.5 295.5 338.7 240.3 271.2 279.1 319.0 194.4 295.8 342.2 239.9 273.8 270.3 303.8 190.5 290.8 307.1 224.3 233.1 280.5 317.5 189.6 294.5 324.8 232.3 253.1 281.2 319.3 188.7 297.9 328.1 233.5 254.5 280.2 320.5 190.7 298.0 331.3 233.9 255.7 280.4 320.0 194.1 296.9 333.9 234.8 262.8 279.9 321.2 194.6 297.0 336.5 236.5 267.8 279.4 319.6 194.4 297.3 339.8 236.1 270.9 Commodities................................................................................ Commodities less food and beverages .................................... Nondurables less food and beverages.................................. Durables............................................................................ 258.0 248.3 266.7 233.2 265.1 254.0 266.3 243.2 266.5 255.7 268.2 244.7 266.4 255.9 268.8 244.6 266.6 256.1 269.9 244.1 267.5 257.6 271.0 246.0 267.8 258.2 271.4 246.6 258.5 249.1 269.0 232.3 265.4 254.5 268.2 242.3 266.9 256.3 270.3 243.9 266.8 256.5 270.7 244.0 267.0 256.8 271.8 243.6 267.9 258.3 272.9 245.4 268.2 258.9 273.3 246.2 Services ...................................................................................... Rent, residential.................................................................. Household services less rent .............................................. Transportation services........................................................ Medical care services.......................................................... Other services.................................................................... 320.6 215.0 389.2 283.2 333.7 248.7 334.9 222.6 407.7 294.7 353.0 257.0 337.0 224.8 409.4 297.2 357.3 258.0 338.9 226.0 411.7 297.8 361.0 259.7 339.7 226.9 410.4 298.7 364.0 266.3 340.3 228.9 409.2 300.5 366.9 268.4 338.6 230.2 404.1 299.9 371.0 269.2 321.1 214.5 393.6 282.3 332.0 247.2 335.7 222.1 413.3 293.2 350.7 255.5 337.9 224.3 415.3 295.7 354.7 256.6 340.0 225.5 418.1 296.5 358.3 258.4 340.5 226.4 416.5 296.9 361.1 264.0 341.2 228.4 415.6 298.4 363.9 266.1 339.3 229.7 410.4 297.5 367.7 266.8 All items less food ........................................................................ All items less mortgage interest costs ............................................ Commodities less food .................................................................. Nondurables less food .................................................................. Nondurables less food and apparel................................................ Nondurables ................................................................................ Services less rent ........................................................................ Services less medical c a re ............................................................ Domestically produced farm foods ................................................ Selected beef cuts........................................................................ Energy ........................................................................................ All items less energy .................................................................... All items less food and energy ............................................ Commodities less food and energy.................................... Energy commodities ........................................................ Services less energy........................................................ 280.1 264.2 246.2 261.1 300.1 269.5 340.8 316.9 258.3 271.9 414.1 270.4 267.2 223.8 448.2 317.7 289.7 273.6 251.9 261.2 301.0 274.4 356.5 330.7 270.3 289.1 418.6 280.7 277.3 232.1 430.8 329.9 291.5 275.1 253.5 263.0 304.3 275.7 358.5 332.5 270.7 287.4 424.5 282.0 278.7 233.1 438.2 331.8 292.5 275.6 253.8 263.6 304.2 275.5 360.5 334.1 268.4 280.8 424.5 282.7 279.8 233.6 436.6 333.6 292.9 276.7 253.9 264.6 304.2 276.2 361.3 334.8 268.0 279.3 424.2 283.1 280.4 234.1 433.3 334.2 294.0 278.0 255.4 265.7 305.5 276.5 361.6 335.1 266.6 272.0 425.0 284.0 281.5 236.0 431.9 334.4 293.6 278.2 256.0 266.1 306.2 276.4 359.3 332.9 265.3 271.9 422.6 283.6 281.2 236.6 431.6 333.1 280.1 264.6 247.0 263.4 302.0 270.7 341.6 317.5 257.8 273.2 417.3 269.2 265.9 223.0 449.0 318.2 289.4 273.7 252.4 263.0 302.4 275.4 357.7 331.7 269.2 290.6 420.4 279.4 276.0 231.3 431.6 330.6 291.4 275.3 254.1 265.0 305.8 276.8 359.9 333.6 269.7 288.8 426.5 280.8 277.6 232.4 439.0 332.6 292.4 275.8 254.4 265.4 305.5 276.5 362.2 335.6 267.4 281.9 426.1 281.5 278.7 232.8 437.3 334.7 292.8 276.7 254.7 266.5 305.6 277.2 362.5 335.8 267.0 280.7 425.6 281.9 279.2 233.6 433.8 334.8 293.9 277.9 256.1 267.5 306.9 277.4 362.9 336.3 265.5 273.2 426.0 282.8 280.4 235.4 432.3 335.2 293.5 278.1 256.7 267.9 307.5 277.4 360.4 334.0 264.4 273.2 423.7 282.5 280.2 236.2 431.8 333.7 Purchasing power of the consumer dollar, 1967 - $1 .................... $0,356 $0,344 $0,342 $0,342 $0,341 $0,340 $0,341 $0,357 $0,345 $0,343 $0,342 $0,342 $0,341 $0,341 Special indexes: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 73 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 Nov. Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1982 June July Aug. Sept. 1981 Oct Nov. Nov. 1982 June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. FOOD AND BEVERAGES ............................................................ 269.9 280.2 280.8 279.9 280.1 279.6 279.1 270.3 280.5 281.2 280.2 280.4 279.9 279.4 Food.................................................................................................... 277.1 287.8 288.5 287.4 287.6 287.0 286.4 277.4 288.0 288.6 287.5 287.7 287.2 286.6 Food at home...................................................................................... Cereals and bakery products .......................................................... Cereals and cereal products (12/77 = 100) .............................. Flour and prepared flour mixes (12/77 = 100).................... Cereal (12/77 = 100)........................................................ Rice, pasta, and cornmeal (12/77 = 100) .......................... Bakery products (12/77 = 100)................................................ White oread ...................................................................... Other breads (12/77 = 100).............................................. Fresh biscuits, rolls, and muffins (12/77 = 100) .................. Fresh cakes and cupcakes (12/77 = 100).......................... Cookies (12/77 = 100)...................................................... Crackers, bread, and cracker products (12/77 = 100) ........ Fresh sweetrolls, coffeecake, and donuts (12/77 = 100) . . . Frozen and refrigerated bakery products and fresh pies, tarts, and turnovers (12/77 = 100) .......... 271.0 276.3 149.9 138.4 157.4 149.6 144.9 241.3 142.8 145.2 145.0 146.3 133.1 144.8 282.6 283.6 154.5 142.1 166.1 149.4 148 6 242.4 145.6 149.9 149.2 150.7 140.9 148.9 282.8 284.3 154.8 143.5 166.3 148.9 149.0 246.1 145.1 148.9 148.9 150.0 141.8 148.5 280.8 284.8 154.5 141.6 166.5 149.3 149.4 246.6 146.2 150.5 149.5 149.6 141.3 148.9 280.6 284.6 154.3 141.4 166.9 148.2 149.4 246.1 147.1 149.5 150.3 150.9 140.8 149.2 279.4 285.0 154.0 139.9 167.5 147.6 149.7 246.7 146.5 151.0 150.1 152.2 141.9 148.7 278.3 285.5 153.2 139.2 167.2 146.1 150.3 246.8 147.3 150.9 150.5 153.6 143.3 149.6 270.4 275.5 152.1 140.2 158.9 153.9 143.7 237.6 144.9 141.9 143.2 146.8 133.4 145.8 281.6 282.3 155.5 142.5 168.2 150.6 147.4 238.3 147.5 146.2 147.5 151.5 142.3 151.5 281.9 283.0 155.8 144.0 168.5 150.0 147.8 241.9 147.0 145.4 147.2 150.9 143.2 151.1 279.8 283.4 155.5 142.1 168.6 150.5 148.1 242.5 148.2 146.6 147.6 150.6 142.6 151.5 279.7 283.4 155.2 141.8 169.0 149.4 148.2 241.9 149.0 145.6 148.7 152.1 142.3 151.8 278.5 283.7 154.9 140.3 169.7 148.7 148.6 242.6 148.4 147.1 148.5 153.2 143.3 151.4 277.4 284.1 154.1 139.5 169.4 147.3 149.1 242.6 149.4 146.9 148.8 154.5 144.6 152.3 149.2 156.3 156.2 156.6 154.7 154.4 155.8 143.1 149.4 149.2 149.5 148.1 147.6 148.6 Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs .......................................................... Meats, poultry, and fish ............................................................ Meats .............................................................................. Beef and veal ................................................................ Ground beef other than canned.................................... Chuck roast................................................................ Round roast................................................................ Round steak .............................................................. Sirloin steak................................................................ Other beef and veal (12/77 = 100) ............................ P ork.............................................................................. Bacon ........................................................................ Chops........................................................................ Ham other than canned (12/77 = 100)........................ Sausage .................................................................... Canned ham .............................................................. Other pork (12/77 = 100) .......................................... Other meats .................................................................. Frankfurters................................................................ Bologna, liverwurst, and salami (12/77 = 100) ............ Other lunchmeats (12/77 = 100) ................................ Lamb and organ meats (12/77 = 100) ........................ Poultry.............................................................................. Fresh whole chicken.................................................... Fresh and frozen chicken parts (12/77 = 100) ............ Other poultry (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Fish and seafood .............................................................. Canned fish and seafood (12/77 = 100)...................... Fresh and frozen fish and seafood (12/77 = 100) ........ Eggs ...................................................................................... 254.2 259.2 259.6 271.5 266.1 282.6 245.0 256.7 262.0 161.1 235.6 238.1 217.0 108.9 298.1 243.1 131.1 260.5 259.9 146.7 132.1 141.7 192.3 190.9 127.3 122.2 358.9 141.5 133.9 194.7 266.0 274.3 277.2 288.2 274.6 295.4 257.0 278.8 294.1 173.3 259.5 280.7 241.2 112.6 326.3 253.2 145.4 268.5 268.8 154.6 135.5 143.1 197.5 199.1 129.3 124.6 365.2 139.9 138.6 162.5 268.5 276.2 278.8 286.7 272.5 296.2 251.8 271.2 295.6 173.3 265.4 283.9 248.9 115.3 331.9 255.3 150.3 272.0 274.2 156.5 137.3 143.9 199.6 201.2 129.4 127.3 370.2 140.5 141.3 173.6 265.4 273.7 276.5 280.5 268.1 289.7 245.0 263.4 285.5 169.7 268.2 295.6 248.0 116.8 332.2 257.6 150.8 272.8 275.6 157.5 138.3 142.3 196.2 193.8 128.2 127.7 367.6 139.4 140.4 161.2 267.8 275.3 278.4 279.1 265.4 286.9 245.4 262.0 285.2 169.3 277.1 315.5 252.5 122.1 341.2 259.7 153.8 272.1 275.3 156.6 138.9 140.5 196.2 194.8 127.1 127.9 369.4 139.3 141.5 175.2 265.1 272.4 274.9 272.2 262.4 281.9 237.9 253.4 266.3 164.9 277.9 312.4 252.3 126.5 342.1 267.2 151.3 272.2 274.8 158.5 140.1 137.0 195.4 192.6 126.8 128.5 367.1 138.6 140.5 175.8 263.6 270.8 273.6 272.0 263.0 281.7 241.4 257.1 259.8 164.1 274.2 298.7 249.0 127.3 337.7 270.5 149.6 271.6 274.4 156.6 141.3 135.4 192.0 189.3 125.3 125.4 366.6 139.0 140.0 175.0 254.0 258.8 259.3 272.2 268.0 292.6 248.2 254.8 260.7 159.2 235.9 242.9 216.2 106.6 299.2 247.0 130.9 259.9 260.9 145.9 130.6 144.6 190.6 188.5 126.5 121.5 356.6 141.0 132.7 196.7 265.8 273.9 276.5 289.0 275.9 304.9 260.1 277.2 295.5 171.9 258.9 285.3 239.6 109.6 327.2 256.4 144.7 267.8 268.3 154.6 133.4 146.5 195.8 197.0 127.5 124.3 364.2 139.4 138.3 163.4 268.3 275.8 278.2 287.4 273.9 305.3 254.7 269.4 298.0 171.7 264.9 288.7 247.3 112.4 332.9 258.7 149.5 271.3 273.4 156.6 135.1 147.3 197.8 198.8 127.9 126.9 368.7 139.9 140.8 174.7 265.1 273.3 275.8 280.8 269.0 298.9 247.9 261.1 286.8 168.0 267.6 300.4 246.3 113.8 333.5 261.1 150.0 272.3 274.9 157.6 136.1 145.6 194.4 191.8 126.5 127.4 365.8 138.8 139.7 162.3 267.7 275.1 277.9 279.8 267.0 295.9 249.2 260.6 286.7 167.6 276.3 320.7 250.6 119.1 342.5 263.5 153.0 271.7 274.7 156.6 136.7 143.6 194.2 192.5 125.4 127.4 368.4 138.7 141.3 176.1 265.0 272.1 274.6 272.7 263.7 290.4 240.5 251.0 268.0 163.4 277.0 317.7 250.0 123.4 343.2 271.4 150.5 272.2 274.0 158.5 137.9 140.6 193.2 190.3 124.9 128.0 366.0 138.1 140.2 176.7 263.5 270.6 273.2 272.5 264.2 290.3 244.3 255.1 260.6 162.4 273.4 304.0 247.0 124.2 338.5 275.0 148.6 271.5 273.8 156.4 139.1 138.5 190.0 187.4 123.5 124.6 365.3 138.4 139.6 176.2 Dairy products.......................................................................... Fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100) ................................ Fresh whole m ilk............................................................ Other fresh milk and cream (12/77 = 100)...................... Processed dairy products (12/77 = 100)............................ Butter............................................................................ Cheese (12/77 = 100) .................................................. Ice cream and related products (12/77 = 100)................ Other dairy products (12/77 = 100)................................ 245.0 134.9 220.8 134.9 143.5 248.0 141.1 149.3 138.7 246.3 135.2 221.3 135.4 144.9 250.9 143.2 149.6 138.7 247.5 135.6 221.6 136.2 145.9 251.1 144.2 150.4 141.3 247.5 135.4 221.2 136.0 146.3 252.1 144.8 150.6 140.7 247.0 135.1 220.8 135.6 146.1 252.2 144.9 149.3 141.1 247.1 135.0 220.8 135.3 146.2 252.6 144.7 150.4 141.0 247.4 135.1 220.9 135.4 146.6 252.5 144.5 152.4 140.9 244.7 134.6 220.1 134.9 144.0 250.2 141.1 149.4 140.2 245.7 134.7 220.4 134.9 145.2 253.4 143.6 148.7 139.4 246.8 135.1 220.7 135.7 146.2 253.7 144.5 149.6 142.0 246.8 134.8 220.3 135.5 146.6 254.6 145.1 149.6 141.6 246.3 134.5 219.9 135.0 146.3 254.7 145.2 148.4 141.8 246.4 134.5 220.0 134.7 146.5 255.1 145.0 149.6 141.7 246.7 134.6 220.1 134.9 146.9 255.1 144.8 151.5 141.5 Fruits and vegetables .............................................................. Fresh fruits and vegetables ................................................ Fresh fruits .................................................................... Apples........................................................................ Bananas .................................................................... Oranges .................................................................... Other fresh fruits (12/77 = 100).................................. Fresh vegetables............................................................ Potatoes .................................................................... Lettuce ...................................................................... Tomatoes .................................................................. Other fresh vegetables (12/77 = 100) ........................ 272.0 267.8 276.1 248.7 249.4 314.0 144.7 260.1 286.3 257.1 206.9 145.0 305.6 325.9 340.8 321.4 267.9 406.8 177.1 311.9 344.9 269.1 275.6 177.5 299.7 313.8 332.4 331.8 245.4 438.2 161.6 296.4 370.9 254.5 270.2 155.6 291.4 296.9 336.1 314.5 233.7 473.0 163.9 260.2 328.1 246.3 194.3 138.3 284.1 283.5 329.0 285.5 240.7 516.3 152.1 241.0 272.4 236.1 184.9 134.0 280.7 277.4 317.1 250.7 227.8 520.8 148.0 240.2 243.8 259.2 210.5 131.5 276.1 268.3 288.9 239.4 243.7 399.6 143.3 249.1 240.8 259.2 242.9 137.6 268.1 261.9 266.0 249.1 248.3 286.0 139.7 258.2 281.5 247.4 209.7 145.8 301.0 318.6 327.0 321.9 265.5 367.5 170.3 311.1 339.7 270.0 279,9 177.0 295.3 307.1 320.5 333.3 243.6 399.9 156.1 295.0 366.0 253.0 274.9 154.8 286.7 289.7 323.2 316.7 231.3 433.5 158.1 259.6 323.4 247.5 198.2 137.8 278.8 275.2 313.6 286.6 238.5 466.8 146.4 240.6 269.6 237.9 187.9 133.5 275.0 268.4 300.4 251.9 226.7 465.7 142.4 239.7 240.5 260.9 213.7 131.0 271.3 261.0 275.4 239.9 241.9 360.4 137.5 248.1 235.9 259.8 246.6 137.1 Processed fruits and vegetables ........................................ Processed fruits (12/77 = 100) ...................................... Frozen fruit and fruit juices (12/77 = 100).................... Fruit juices other than frozen (12/77 = 100) ................ Canned and dried fruits (12/77 = 100) ........................ Processed vegetables (12/77 = 100).............................. Frozen vegetables (12/77 = 100)................................ 279.2 145.1 144.9 148.6 141.6 135.4 137.4 285.9 148.0 144.4 151.7 147.0 139.3 145.6 c 286.8 148.5 143.5 152.2 148.8 139.7 146.7 288.0 148.7 142.8 153.0 148.9 140.7 147.7 287.4 149.0 144.1 152.0 149.8 139.8 148.1 | 286.8 149.2 144.8 152.5 149.2 139.1 147.7 287.3 149.7 145.6 153.4 149.1 139.0 149.0 277.3 144.6 144.1 147.4 141.8 134.7 139.2 283.9 147.6 143.4 150.7 147.6 138.2 146.9 284.8 148.1 142.6 151.0 149.4 138.6 148.0 285.9 148.2 141.7 151.9 149.6 139.6 149.0 285.3 148.6 143.2 151.0 150.4 138.6 149.5 284.6 148.8 144.0 151.4 149.8 137.9 148.8 285.1 149.4 144.7 152.6 149.7 137.8 150.4 74 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary Nov. June 1982 1981 1982 1981 July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Nov. June July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. FOOD AND BEVERAGES-Continued Food—Continued Food at home— Continued Fruits and vegetables — Continued Cut com and canned beans except lima (12/77=100) . . . . Other canned and dried vegetables (12/77-100).............. Other foods at hom e........................................................................ Sugar and sweets...................................................................... Candy and chewing gum (12/77-100) ................................ Sugar and artificial sweeteners (12/77-100)........................ Other sweets (12/77-100) ................................................ Fats and oils (12/77-100) ........................................................ Margarine .......................................................................... Nondairy substitutes and peanut butter (12/77-100) ............ Other fats, oils, and salad dressings (12/77-100) ................ Nonalcoholic beverages ............................................................ Cola drinks, excluding diet c o la ............................................ Carbonated drinks, including diet cola (12/77-100).............. Roasted co^ee .................................................................. Freeze dried and instant coffee............................................ Other noncarbonated drinks (12/77-100)............................ Other prepared foods ................................................................ Canned and packaged soup (12/77-100)............................ Frozen prepared foods (12/77-100).................................... Snacks (12/77-100).......................................................... Seasonings, olives, pickles, and relish (12/77-100).............. Other condiments (12/77-100) .......................................... Miscellaneous prepared foods (12/77-100) ........................ Other canned and packaged prepared foods (12/77=100) . . . 138.3 133.1 326.0 359.1 149.3 155.2 144.9 262.2 255.2 163.0 129.8 413.4 298.8 141.4 341.0 330.8 136.4 262.7 133.4 146.5 152.5 148.9 145.0 144.8 141.8 141.1 135.2 332.6 366.8 150.4 161.4 148.9 260.7 261.2 156.5 129.1 424.8 305.9 143.1 365.1 344.3 140.0 267.8 136.3 147.3 153.2 153.3 150.6 148.3 144.5 141.0 135.4 332.2 369.5 150.5 164.6 149.8 259.3 258.4 154.9 129.2 422.8 302.9 143.3 364.3 344.9 139.2 268.0 136.9 146.7 152.7 152.7 151.4 149.3 144.6 143.6 135.6 333.3 370.1 150.0 166.7 149.6 258.3 257.9 154.2 128.5 423.8 304.3 144.8 365.5 344.9 137.7 269.9 137.9 149.1 153.1 154.1 151.9 150.2 145.4 141.3 134.8 333.6 371.2 149.7 167.5 151.1 258.4 259.3 151.2 129.4 424.2 305.0 144.6 362.9 343.1 138.8 269.9 137.4 148.9 153.0 155.3 152.2 149.7 145.9 140.8 133.9 334.8 370.6 149.4 167.3 151.0 258.4 258.4 151.2 129.7 427.5 308.9 146.2 362.0 343.6 139.1 270.5 136.8 148.5 153.3 156.5 152.1 151.4 145.8 140.8 133.0 334.3 370.3 149.6 165.2 152.5 258.6 257.5 152.0 129.8 426.2 308.8 144.8 360.0 344.2 138.8 270.2 136.6 149.7 153.1 157.1 151.7 150.2 145.0 136.0 131.8 327.0 359.0 148.9 157.0 143.1 263.1 254.9 163.0 130.4 415.2 296.1 139.3 337.3 333.2 136.4 264.5 136.1 145.1 155.6 147.4 146.5 145.2 143.0 138.8 133.8 333.5 366.9 150.5 162.8 146.9 260.7 260.8 154.9 129.7 426.6 303.3 141.2 360.1 343.8 140.2 269.5 138.3 146.8 155.2 152.4 152.4 148.5 145.8 138.6 134.1 333.1 369.7 150.6 166.1 147.9 259.3 258.0 153.1 129.7 424.4 300.4 141.1 359.3 344.4 139.5 269.8 138.9 146.0 154.8 152.1 153.2 149.5 145.9 141.2 134.2 334.0 370.3 150.1 168.2 147.5 258.2 257.3 152.4 129.0 425.3 301.7 142.6 360.4 344.4 137.8 271.5 140.0 148.5 155.1 153.2 153.6 150.3 146.8 138.8 133.3 334.5 371.3 149.8 169.0 148.9 258.3 258.5 149.5 130.0 425.9 302.8 142.3 357.9 342.5 139.0 271.7 139.5 148.4 155.0 154.4 154.0 149.9 147.3 138.4 132.4 335.7 370.6 149.3 168.8 148.9 258.4 257.8 149.5 130.2 429.2 306.2 144.0 357.2 343.2 139.3 272.2 138.7 147.9 155.4 155.6 153.9 151.6 147.2 138.4 131.6 335.1 370.1 149.5 166.6 150.2 258.5 256.8 150.3 130.3 427.9 306.2 142.4 354.8 343.7 139.1 271.9 138.5 149.2 155.2 156.2 153.4 150.3 146.4 Food away from hom e............................................................................ Lunch (12/77-100) ........................................................................ Dinner (12/77-100) ........................................................................ Other meals and snacks (12/77-100).............................................. 297.2 144.4 143.6 144.6 305.9 148.9 147.4 149.2 307.6 149.6 148.1 150.5 308.7 150.3 148.6 150.7 309.8 150.7 149.2 151.5 310.7 151.2 149.5 152.1 311.4 151.6 149.7 152.7 299.6 145.6 145.1 145.1 309.0 150.5 149.1 149.9 310.7 151.2 149.8 151.1 311.8 152.0 150.3 151.3 312.9 152.3 150.9 152.1 313.8 152.8 151.2 152.7 314.6 153.2 151.4 153.3 Alcoholic beverages ............................................................................ 202.3 208.4 209.2 210.1 210.1 210.6 210.9 204.6 210.4 211.3 212.1 212.2 212.8 213.0 Alcoholic beverages at home (12/77-100).............................................. Beer and a le .................................................................................... Whiskey.......................................................................................... Wine................................................................................................ Other alcoholic beverages (12/77-100).......................................... Alcoholic beverages away from home (12/77-100).................................. 131.2 204.0 144.8 227.5 117.3 135.7 135.0 210.6 148.3 235.3 119.7 140.3 135.5 211.4 148.9 236.5 119.6 140.8 136.1 211.9 149.6 238.9 120.3 141.2 135.9 211.4 149.8 237.5 120.3 142.5 136.2 212.7 150.0 236.4 120.3 142.7 136.2 212.5 150.7 235.9 120.4 143.6 132.8 203.6 146.2 237.4 116.8 136.6 136.3 209.6 149.1 242.7 119.6 141.6 136.9 210.5 149.8 245.0 119.6 142.1 137.4 210.9 150.4 247.1 120.5 142.4 137.2 210.5 150.5 246.2 120.4 143.9 137.6 211.8 150.7 244.8 120.3 144.0 137.5 211.7 151.2 243.7 120.4 144.8 HOUSING.............................................................................................. 304.2 317.5 319.2 320.1 319.7 320.7 319.0 303.8 317.5 319.3 320.5 320.0 321.2 319.6 346.5 344.7 345.2 343.0 Shelter.................................................................................................. 327.2 340.9 342.8 344.2 342.6 342.8 340.7 328.5 342.6 344.6 Rent, residential...................................................................................... 215.0 222.6 224.8 226.0 226.9 228.9 230.2 214.5 222.1 224.3 225.5 226.4 228.4 229.7 326.3 349.4 144.8 329.4 354.2 144.8 333.3 359.5 146.6 341.1 360.7 146.3 339.5 355.6 148.3 335.6 349.3 149.1 Other rental costs .................................................................................. Lodging while out of town.................................................................. Tenants’ insurance (12/77-100) ...................................................... 305.3 318.6 140.4 327.3 352.2 145.5 330.0 356.5 145.6 333.9 362.0 147.5 343.0 363.1 147.3 341.6 358.0 149.3 337.8 351.6 150.1 305.0 317.9 140.3 Homeownership...................................................................................... Home purchase................................................................................ Financing, taxes, and insurance ........................................................ Property insurance .................................................................... Property taxes .......................................................................... Contracted mortgage interest co s t.............................................. Mortgage interest rates........................................................ Maintenance and repairs .................................................................. Maintenance and repair services ................................................ Maintenance and repair commodities .......................................... Paint and wallpaper, supplies, tools, and equipment (12/77-100) .................................................. Lumber, awnings, glass, and masonry (12/77-100).............. Plumbing, electrical, heating, and cooling supplies (12/77=100)...................................................... Miscellaneous supplies and equipment (12/77-100) ............ 367.2 270.2 505.6 393.3 208.0 666.8 244.1 322.8 353.8 249.7 382.8 285.6 521.8 400.6 218.8 686.7 238.3 336.1 369.1 258.3 384.5 287.7 524.3 401.5 219.3 690.4 237.3 334.7 366.9 258.7 385.9 287.9 527.3 402.5 221.8 694.0 238.8 335.9 368.5 258.8 383.0 286.8 519.9 404.8 223.7 681.2 235.3 338.4 372.5 257.7 382.8 289.9 514.3 405.8 224.5 672.0 230.0 339.4 374.1 257.3 379.5 290.4 504.8 406.9 225.5 656.4 224.3 339.0 373.4 257.8 369.8 268.6 511.9 395.5 210.0 667.7 245.3 319.8 354.9 244.5 386.0 284.4 529.7 402.7 220.7 690.0 240.2 332.4 370.0 252.1 388.0 286.8 532.4 403.7 221.1 694.0 239.2 331.5 368.1 252.9 390.1 287.3 536.8 404.6 223.7 699.6 241.2 332.5 369.6 253.0 387.0 286.4 528.9 407.4 225.6 686.3 237.5 334.6 373.4 251.8 387.1 289.7 524.3 408.5 226.4 678.8 232.4 335.4 374.9 251.2 383.7 290.4 514.6 409.7 227.5 663.4 226.6 334.9 374.0 251.6 146.5 124.1 153.3 124.7 153.4 125.0 154.2 124.1 153.0 123.6 152.8 122.8 153.1 123.3 140.0 121.8 146.0 122.1 146.5 122.5 147.3 121.7 145.9 121.3 145.7 120.4 145.9 120.8 133.1 131.6 136.2 138.4 137.1 138.3 136.3 138.8 136.1 139.0 135.4 139.4 135.8 139.4 132.4 134.2 136.0 140.6 136.6 140.5 135.6 140.9 135.3 141.2 134.6 141.8 135.3 141.6 329.8 352.2 354.7 356.3 359.5 363.4 362.2 330.9 353.6 356.2 357.7 361.0 364.7 363.6 417.6 676.1 706.8 167.7 358.3 298.6 437.0 448.4 656.6 684.8 165.6 398.9 327.5 497.2 452.0 659.9 688.6 166.0 402.1 330.5 500.2 454.0 659.9 686.8 169.2 404.4 333.7 500.6 458.5 662.8 685.9 176.8 409.2 332.5 517.6 464.5 677.2 699.1 183.7 413.4 327.0 542.0 461.9 691.3 712.8 189.0 407.6 318.4 543.1 417.4 679.3 709.6 169.1 357.5 297.7 436.0 448.3 659.7 687.5 166.9 398.2 327.7 493.8 451.9 662.9 691.1 167.4 401.5 330.8 496.9 453.8 662.7 689.1 170.5 403.7 333.7 497.5 458.4 665.4 688.1 178.0 408.6 332.5 514.5 464.0 679.7 c 701.2 184.8 412.4 326.3 538.8 461.7 693.7 714.7 190.3 406.9 317.3 541.6 Fuel and other utilities.......................................................................... Fuel oil, coal, and bottled g as............................................................ Other fuels (6/78 - 100) .......................................................... Gas (piped) and electricity ................................................................ Electricity.................................................................................. Utility (piped) gas ...................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 75 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Ail Urban Consumers General summary 1981 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1982 1981 1982 Nov. June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Nov. June July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. Other utilities and public services.............................. Telephone services .............................. Local charges (12/77 = 100) .......................... Interstate toll calls (12/77 = 100) ................ Intrastate toll calls (12/77 = 100) .......................... Water and sewerage maintenance ...................... 190.7 155.6 123.5 116.7 105.3 306.1 200.4 163.2 131.2 119.6 109.8 324.9 201.4 163.8 131.9 119.7 110.0 327.7 202.4 164.2 132.5 119.7 110.0 331.9 203.6 165.5 134.3 119.7 110.1 332.4 204.5 166.2 135.2 119.7 110.4 334.1 205.1 166.6 135.4 119.7 111.1 335.1 191.0 155.8 123.8 116.8 105.0 307.9 201.1 163.5 131.6 120.1 109.4 328.0 202.1 164.2 132.3 120.1 109.6 330.8 203.1 164.6 132.9 120.1 109.6 334.8 204.3 165.9 134.8 120.1 109.7 335.4 205.3 166.6 135.7 120.2 110.1 337.1 205.9 167.0 135.9 120.2 110.9 338.2 HOUSING-Continued Fuel and other utilities — Continued Household furnishings and operations . 227.2 233.7 234.1 233.4 234.2 235.4 235.1 223.6 230.4 230.9 230.0 231.0 232.3 231.8 Housefurnishings .................................. Textile housefurnishings .................. Household linens (12/77 = 100) .. Curtains, drapes, slipcovers, and sewing materials (12/77 = 100) . Furniture and bedding................ Bedroom furniture (12/77 = 100)................ Sofas (12/77 = 100)........................................ Living room chairs and tables (12/77 = 100) .......................... Other furniture (12/77 = 100) ............................ Appliances including TV and sound equipment................ Television and sound equipment (12/77 = 100) . . . . Television...................................................... Sound equipment (12/77 = 1 0 0 ) ................ Household appliances ...................................... Refrigerators and home freezers .......................... Laundry equipment (12/77 = 100)...................... Other household appliances (12/77 = 100) ................ Stoves, dishwashers, vacuums, and sewing machines (12/77 = 100) .......................... Office machines, small electric appliances, and air conditioners (12/77 = 100).................. Other household equipment (12/77 = 100)........ Floor and window coverings, infants’, laundry, cleaning, and outdoor equipment (12/77 = 100) ............ Clocks, lamps, and decor items (12/77 = 100).......... Tableware, serving pieces, and nonelectric kitchenware (12/77 = 100) .................... Lawn equipment, power tools, and other hardware (12/77 = 100) . 189.4 211.7 130.8 133.1 209.2 139.6 118.7 118.8 137.1 148.2 109.0 104.8 113.9 176.1 178.7 130.7 119.4 194.7 220.2 134.6 140.1 214.4 143.0 117.5 123.2 142.3 151.4 108.6 104.4 113.5 183.8 187.7 136.7 123.9 194.7 218.6 131.9 140.8 214.2 144.8 117.7 121.9 140.9 151.6 108.7 104.0 114.0 184.2 187.4 137.3 124.4 193.3 220.4 132.9 142.2 210.3 141.4 117.0 121.1 137.1 151.3 108.3 103.9 113.3 184.1 187.4 137.3 124.3 194.3 222.1 135.4 141.6 213.3 145.5 117.2 123.1 137.8 151.5 108.2 103.7 113.2 184.7 190.2 137.6 124.0 195.9 223.2 136.4 142.0 215.8 146.7 119.4 122.6 140.6 152.0 108.5 103.5 114.1 185.4 191.1 140.0 123.5 195.1 222.6 133.8 144.0 214.1 146.2 116.4 122.1 140.1 151.7 108.1 102.9 113.9 185.2 192.7 140.0 122.7 187.3 214.7 131.9 136.1 205.3 135.2 118.8 118.9 133.1 147.7 108.3 103.6 113.4 175.9 182.7 130.8 117.4 192.6 223.3 135.9 143.0 210.9 139.7 118.2 123.3 137.7 151.2 107.7 103.1 112.7 184.2 193.2 136.9 122.3 192.7 221.1 133.3 143.2 210.5 141.2 118.1 122.0 136.3 151.5 107.8 102.7 113.2 184.8 192.9 137.5 123.0 191.3 222.9 134.1 144.7 206.9 137.3 117.5 121.4 133.3 151.2 107.5 102.7 112.6 184.6 192.9 137.5 122.7 192.4 225.0 136.4 144.8 210.3 142.1 117.7 123.4 134.1 151.4 107.4 102.6 112.5 185.1 196.1 137.9 122.0 193.9 226.4 137.6 145.3 212.3 143.5 119.6 122.9 136.0 151.9 107.6 102.1 113.3 185.9 196.9 140.4 121.7 193 0 225.8 135.0 147.5 210 3 142.1 117.0 122.5 135.3 151 5 107.3 101.7 113.1 185.6 198.4 140.3 120.7 118.7 123.1 123.3 122.7 123.4 122.9 120.7 116.8 121.6 122.2 121.4 121.5 121.4 119.2 120.1 134.4 124.8 139.0 125.6 139.6 126.0 138.2 124.6 137.8 124.0 139.6 124.7 139.1 118.1 132.4 123.0 136.9 123.9 137.5 124.2 136.0 122.5 135.6 122.0 137.6 122.4 137.1 136.1 129.5 142.3 132.2 142.7 132.3 142.9 129.8 143.3 129.7 143.4 131.3 142.6 131.3 129.7 125.2 134.9 128.2 135.4 128.3 135.4 125.1 135.9 124.9 136.0 126.4 134.5 126.8 141.2 126.9 145.6 131.9 145.9 133.2 143.8 132.3 141.6 133.4 145.1 134.8 144.6 134.2 137.5 131.6 141.4 137.1 141.9 138.5 140.0 137.2 137.6 138.8 141.3 140.1 141.0 139.5 Housekeeping supplies ................................ Soaps and detergents ........................................ Other laundry and cleaning products (12/77 = 100) Cleansing and toilet tissue, paper towels and napkins (12/77 = 100) .. Stationery, stationery supplies, and gift wrap (12/77 = 100) Miscellaneous household products (12/77 = 100) Lawn and garden supplies (12/77 = 100).......... 275.4 269.7 137.3 143.6 128.5 143.0 136.8 286.5 280.8 143.8 146.5 132.5 150.2 144.0 288.4 281.4 145.3 147.7 134.3 150.3 145.3 288.7 279.4 144.6 148.5 135.4 150.7 145.7 289.2 282.8 145.6 148.0 136.8 150.2 143.8 290.1 283.5 146.8 148.9 137.6 150.9 142.3 290.3 283.5 147.3 148.2 138.3 151.6 141.9 271.9 265.2 137.0 143.9 131.3 137.4 129.6 283.1 277.0 142.7 146.1 136.0 144,9 136.7 285.0 277.6 144.2 147.4 137.8 145.1 138.1 284.9 275.4 143.6 148.3 138.6 145.5 138.1 285.7 278.9 144.5 147.9 140.0 145.0 136.4 286.7 279.7 145.7 148.9 140.7 145.6 135.1 287.1 279.9 146.2 148.1 141.4 146.2 134.9 Housekeeping services................................ Postage........................................ Moving, storage, freight, household laundry, and drycleaning services (12/77 = 100)........................ Appliance and furniture repair (12/77 = 100).................... 305.2 337.5 311.7 337.5 312.5 337.5 312.9 337.5 313.4 337.5 313.8 337.5 314.3 337.5 303.9 337.5 310.9 337.5 311.6 337.5 312.2 337.5 312.7 337.5 313.2 337.5 313.7 337.5 147.0 132.3 154.2 137.0 155.3 137.5 156.1 137.7 156.6 138.3 157.0 139.0 157.7 139.5 146.7 131.2 154.5 135.5 155.4 136.0 156.4 136.1 156.8 136.7 157.2 137.4 157 8 137.9 APPAREL AND UPKEEP................ 191.3 190.8 189.7 191.8 194.9 195.5 195.4 190.5 189.6 188.7 190.7 194.1 194.6 194.4 Apparel commodities.......... 181.8 180.0 178.6 180.8 184.1 184.6 184.3 181.5 179.4 178.2 180.3 183.8 184.1 183.8 177.9 183.6 115.9 109.9 102.8 133.6 123.0 109.8 118.0 111.6 127.0 119.3 160.6 106.3 164.0 165.0 101.1 124.1 89.5 109.2 100.3 111.3 175.6 183.1 115.4 107.3 99.5 138.0 121.5 109.7 118.5 110.7 131.9 119.4 157.3 104.4 156.4 160.1 100.2 127.9 78.6 105.8 95.1 106.0 174.0 182.4 114.9 105.5 98.2 138.7 121.6 109.5 118.6 109.0 132.1 120.7 154.6 102.1 154.9 152.8 96.7 127.7 77.6 106.3 98.8 103.6 176.9 183.7 115.9 108.0 99.1 138.4 121.9 110.5 118.4 110.5 131.1 119.5 159.2 105.4 163.0 158.5 98.3 129.3 85.6 108.2 101.4 105.8 180.4 186.5 117.7 110.6 103.7 138.6 123.8 111.4 120.2 113.7 132.6 120.3 163.6 108.7 169.7 165.1 101.4 129.7 92.7 109.6 102.5 107.8 180.9 188.6 119.0 111.6 103.7 141.0 125.2 112.4 121.7 114.5 133.6 122.7 163.0 108.1 170.5 162.6 102.0 129.9 88.6 109.9 104.5 106.0 180.6 189.0 119.3 111.5 103.4 142.4 125.8 112.6 121.6 113.7 132.6 123.4 162.2 107.3 169.5 161.4 100.1 130.6 87.4 110.4 103.9 106.0 177.3 183.2 115.9 102.0 105.1 129.8 125.4 115.5 116.5 112.8 123.3 116.9 162.1 107.6 166.3 151.9 101.9, 124.0 108.5 108.4 99.9 110.2 174.7 183.2 115.8 100.6 101.1 134.7 123.8 115.2 116.9 111.5 128.0 117.1 158.4 105.4 162.9 145.4 101.0 127.6 92.7 105.2 92.4 107.7 173.4 182.6 115.4 99.2 99.8 135.3 123.6 115.0 116.9 109.7 128.2 118.3 156.2 103.5 161.8 138.4 97.6 127.4 93.1 105.4 96.0 104.1 176.2 183.5 116.2 101.2 100.3 134.9 123.9 116.0 116.7 111.3 127.2 117.1 160.9 106.9 171.0 145.9 99.1 129.0 99.8 107.4 99.4 105.9 179.9 186.6 118.2 103.5 106.4 135.8 126.2 116.9 118.3 114.6 128.6 117.3 165.7 110.5 176.9 151.2 102.6 129.4 111.9 108.9 100.5 108.5 180.2 188.6 119.4 104.3 106.4 137.7 128.1 118.0 119.8 115.3 129.5 119.7 164.7 109.8 176.8 149.2 102.9 129.6 106.7 108.7 102.3 105.2 179.8 188.9 119.7 104 2 105 4 139.1 128 7 118.1 1197 114.6 128.5 120 5 163 8 108.8 173.2 147 7 1009 130.2 105.8 1096 102.2 105.9 120.0 122.9 123.8 124.0 124.4 126.0 129.3 119.0 121.9 122.7 123.0 123.5 125.1 128.1 Apparel commodities less footwear............................ Men’s and boys’ ................................ Men’s (12/77 = 100) ................ Suits, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100) .......... Coats and jackets (12/77 = 100) ........................ Furnishings and special clothing (12/77 = 100) Shirts (12/77 = 100) .................... Dungarees, jeans, and trousers (12/77 = 100).......... Boys’ (12/77 = 100)............................ Coats, jackets, sweaters, and shirts (12/77 = 100) Furnishings (12/77 = 100) . . . . . . Suits, trousers, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100) .. Women’s and girls’ ........................ Women's (12/77 = 100).......................... Coats and jackets...................................... Dresses ...................................... Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 100) ............ Underwear, nightwear, and hosiery (12/77 = 100) . . . Suits (12/77 = 100)................ Girls’ (12/77 = 100) .......... Coats, jackets, dresses, and suits (12/77 = 100).......... Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 100) .......... Underwear, nightwear, hosiery, and accessories (12/77 = 100) ................ 76 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 1982 1981 1982 Nov, June July Aug. Sept. Oct Nov. Nov. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Apparel commodities less footwear— Continued Infants' and toddlers’ ...................................................................... Other apparel commodities ............................................................ Sewing materials and notions (12/77 = 100) ............................ Jewelry and luggage (12/77 = 100) ........................................ 264.9 214.8 118.6 147.5 268.7 209.9 119.2 142.8 268.8 209.7 120.0 142.2 272.4 210.8 121.5 142.6 276.8 212.6 121.9 144.1 275.8 213.1 119.3 145.6 274.2 212.7 120.0 144.9 274.1 206.1 116.4 141.0 278.2 198.9 117.6 133.6 277.8 198.7 118.5 133.1 283.0 199.5 119.6 133.3 288.1 201.2 120.0 134.7 286.8 201.7 117.7 136.2 285.5 201.4 118.2 135.7 Footwear.............................................................................................. Men’s (12/77 = 100) .................................................................... Boys’ and girls’ (12/77 = 100) ...................................................... Women’s (12/77 = 100)................................................................ 205.4 130.3 132.1 125.2 206.6 132.1 132.1 125.8 206.4 132.3 131.7 125.6 204.4 130.9 128.7 125.4 206.2 132.4 129.4 126.5 206.8 133.2 129.5 126.9 206.9 132.5 129.3 127.6 206.2 132.3 134.0 122.9 206.7 134.1 134.8 121.6 206.7 134.3 134.4 121.5 204.1 132.7 131.3 121.1 205.9 134.1 131.9 122.4 206.7 135.0 132.1 122.8 206.7 134.2 131.8 123.6 Apparel services ................................................................................ 264.6 275.3 276.6 277.4 279.2 281.3 282.0 262.3 273.0 274.3 275.2 277.2 279.7 280.3 Laundry and drycleaning other than coin operated (12/77 = 100)............ Other apparel services (12/77 - 100) .................................................. 158.2 137.9 164.8 143.1 165.4 144.1 165.6 145.0 166.7 145.9 167.2 148.2 167.9 148.1 156.3 138.6 163.3 143.4 163.8 144.6 164.1 145.5 165.2 146.6 165.8 149.3 166.4 149.2 APPAREL AND UPKEEP Continued Apparel commodities — Continued TRANSPORTATION ............................................................................ 289.1 292.8 296.1 296.2 295.3 295.5 295.8 290.8 294.5 297.9 298.0 296.9 297.0 297.3 Private ................................................................................................ 285.8 288.9 292.3 292.4 291.1 291.1 291.4 288.3 291.6 295.1 295.2 293.8 293.8 294.1 New cars ............................................................................................ Used cars ............................................................................................ Gasoiine .............................................................................................. Automobile maintenance and repair........................................................ Body work (12/77 = 100).............................................................. Automobile drive train, brake, and miscellaneous mechanical repair (12/77 = 100) ................................................ Maintenance and servicing (12/77 - 100) ...................................... Power plant repair (12/77 - 100) .................................................. Other private transportation .................................................................. Other private transportation commodities ........................................ Motor oil, coolant, and other products (12/77 - 100) ................ Automobile parts and equipment (12/77 = 100)........................ Tires ................................................................................ Other parts and equipment (12/77 - 100) ........................ Other private transportation services................................................ Automobile insurance .............................................................. Automobile finance charges (12/77 = 100) .............................. Automobile rental, registration, and other fees (12/77 = 100) . . . State registration .............................................................. Drivers’ licenses (12/77 - 100) ........................................ Vehicle inspection (12/77 - 100) ...................................... Other vehicle-related fees (12/77 - 100) .......................... 195.3 281.4 409.5 302.8 149.9 198.1 298.2 392.3 316.0 156.3 198.6 302.4 400.3 318.0 157.5 198.7 304.4 398.4 319.2 158.2 197.7 304.6 394.2 320.6 159.4 197.7 306.7 390.6 321.9 160.4 199.0 310.5 388.1 322.3 161.0 195.2 281.4 410.9 303.4 148.3 197.9 298.2 393.8 316.8 154.7 198.5 302.4 401.6 318.7 156.0 198.6 304.4 399.7 320.0 156.8 197.5 304.6 395.5 321.3 158.1 197.4 306.7 391.9 322.6 159.4 198.7 310.5 389.5 323.1 159.8 144.2 140.9 144.9 249.5 213.4 148.5 136.4 189.7 134.1 261.5 265.4 188.7 120.7 149.0 110.4 128.4 141.3 151.6 146.8 150.8 258.7 217.5 150.7 139.2 192.8 138.3 272.2 274.0 192.0 133.3 174.3 127.7 126.7 149.3 151.9 147.9 151.7 260.8 216.3 151.5 138.2 191.8 136.6 275.1 275.4 193.6 137.4 183.6 132.8 128.5 151.0 152.5 148.5 152.4 260.8 214.8 153.2 136.8 189.5 135.8 275.5 275.8 193.5 138.0 183.8 132.8 128.5 151.9 153.1 148.9 153.3 260.0 213.9 152.5 136.3 188.5 135.8 274.7 276.9 189.6 138.9 183.7 132.8 128.5 154.5 153.2 149.3 154.3 261.4 214.4 151.9 136.7 189.6 135.4 276.4 283.9 185.2 138.8 183.7 132.8 128.5 154.2 153.7 149.3 154.4 260.7 215.1 153.3 137.0 190.4 135.1 275.3 286.9 178.9 139.2 183.8 132.8 128.5 155.0 147.3 140.5 144.7 253.0 216.8 146.7 139.2 195.1 134.1 265.1 265.0 187.6 121.1 149.0 110.3 129.0 148.6 155.7 146.2 150.3 261.8 220.0 149.0 141.2 196.4 138.6 275.5 273.5 191.2 133.8 173.9 127.9 128.3 156.3 156.1 147.3 151.2 264.0 218.8 150.3 140.1 195.5 136.8 278.5 274.9 192.6 138.4 183.2 133.1 129.9 158.7 156.6 147.8 151.9 263.9 217.1 151.8 138.6 193.0 136.0 278.9 275.2 192.9 138.8 183.4 133.1 129.9 159.4 157.1 148.2 152.8 263.0 216.3 151.2 138.1 192.1 135.8 277.9 276.3 188.9 140.0 183.3 133.1 129.9 163.0 157.2 148.6 153.8 264.1 216.9 151.0 138.6 193.2 135.4 279.1 283.2 184.6 139.8 183.2 133.1 129.9 162.7 157.8 148.6 153.9 262.9 217.7 152.3 139.0 194.0 135.4 277.5 286.1 178.1 140.0 183.4 133.1 129.8 162.9 Public.................................................................................................. 333.2 345.6 347.2 348.1 353.3 356.3 356.0 328.2 337.9 339.8 341.0 345.4 348.2 348.2 411.1 372.5 314.7 309.9 338.4 408.8 375.7 315.7 310.1 349.3 Airline fare............................................................................................ Intercity bus fare .................................................................................. Intracity mass transit ............................................................................ Taxi fare .............................................................................................. intercity train fare.................................................................................. 374.5 362.2 304.4 291.3 319.2 396.0 363.7 309.2 298.0 338.2 397.4 368.3 311.0 299.3 338.4 397.5 370.5 312.8 299.7 338.6 409.5 368.9 312.6 299.8 338.4 413.7 370.6 315.2 300.2 338.4 411.6 373.8 316.1 300.5 348.3 373.1 362.9 303.6 300.4 318.9 392.4 365.4 307.9 307.6 338.2 393.2 370.6 310.3 308.7 338.4 393.5 372.3 312.3 309.3 338.6 407.0 371.0 312.1 309.3 338.4 MEDICAL CARE .................................................................................. 308.2 326.4 330.0 333.3 336.0 338.7 342.2 307.1 324.8 328.1 331.3 333.9 336.5 339.8 Medical care commodities.................................................................. 193.1 205.6 206.5 208.2 209.9 211.6 212.9 193.8 206.3 207.1 208.8 210.5 212.1 213.4 Prescription drugs ................................................................................ Anti-infective drugs (12/77 = 100).................................................. Tranquilizers and sedatives (12/77 = 100)...................................... Circulatories and diuretics (12/77 = 100)........................................ Hormones, diabetic drugs, biologicals, and prescription medical supplies (12/77 - 100) ................................ Pain and symptom control drugs (12/77 = 100) .............................. Supplements, cough and cold preparations, and respiratory agents (12/77 = 100)................................................ 179.6 136.3 143.6 130.4 191.8 143.3 154.9 138.4 193.4 144.2 156.1 139.3 195.6 146.0 157.6 140.7 197.2 147.5 158.8 141.5 199.4 149.1 161.5 143.0 201.0 150.1 163.5 144.0 180.3 138.9 143.3 131.0 192.7 145.1 154.7 138.2 194.4 146.0 155.8 139.1 196.6 147.5 157.4 140.6 198.2 149.2 158.6 141.3 200.5 151.2 161.1 142.8 202.1 152.3 163.2 143.9 163.3 144.9 177.2 154.6 179.6 155.4 181.6 157.6 182.3 159.5 183.5 161.7 183.9 164.0 164.1 145.4 178.6 156.0 181.1 157.1 183.1 159.3 183.8 161.4 185.1 163.6 185.2 166.0 Nonprescription drugs and medical supplies (12/77 = 100) .................... Eyeglasses (12/77 = 100) ............................................................ Internal and respiratory over-the-counter drugs ................................ Nonprescription medical equipment and supplies (12/77 = 100)........ 137.5 146.3 147.9 149.6 150.8 152.3 153.4 136.8 146.4 148.1 149.8 150.9 152.4 153.6 137.8 127.8 218.6 133.7 146.3 131.6 235.2 141.1 146.4 131.6 234.9 142.2 147.2 131.6 236.6 142.9 148.4 131.9 239.3 143.5 149.2 132.6 240.7 144.1 149.9 132.9 241.9 145.2 138.5 126.7 220.2 134.7 147.1 130.4 236.8 142.0 147.1 130.4 236.2 143.2 147.9 130.3 237.9 144.2 149.1 130.5 240.6 144.8 149.8 131.4 241.9 145.1 150.5 131.6 243.0 146.2 Medical care services ........................................................................ 333.7 353.0 357.3 361.0 364.0 366.9 371.0 332.0 350.7 354.7 358.3 361.1 363.9 367.7 Professional services ............................................................................ Physicians’ services........................................................................ Dental services.............................................................................. Other professional services (12/77 = 100)...................................... 288.4 311.3 272.3 139.5 301.2 326.4 283.9 143.8 302.8 328.7 284.8 144.8 304.4 330.4 286.4 145.6 305.9 332.3 287.7 145.9 306.6 334.2 287.0 146.1 308.3 335.3 289.2 147.2 288.2 314.1 270.1 136.2 301.3 329.4 282.1 140.7 302.9 331.6 282.9 141.5 304.6 333.5 284.4 142.5 306.1 335.4 285.7 142.7 306.9 337.4 285.0 143.0 308.4 338.6 287.0 143.9 Other medical care services.................................................................. Hospital and other medical services (12/77 = 100).......................... Hospital room.......................................................................... Other hospital and medical care services (12/77 = 100)............ 388.4 161.9 515.4 159.2 415.7 171.6 546.8 168.5 423.2 174.7 557.8 171.2 429.4 177.1 565.5 173.6 434.1 178.3 570.1 174.7 439.8 180.0 576.8 176.0 446.8 182.6 586.6 178.1 386.2 160.6 509.6 158.3 412.1 170.0 539.4 167.5 419.4 172.9 549.7 170.0 425.4 175.2 557.6 172.2 429.9 176.5 562.1 173.3 435.6 178.3 569.1 174.7 442.3 180.7 578.7 176.7 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 77 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices — 18. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary 1981 Nov. Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1982 June July Aug. Sept. 1981 Oct Nov. Nov. 1982 June July Aug. Sept. Oct Nov. ENTERTAINMENT.................................................................................. 226.8 235.6 236.6 237.4 238.3 240.3 239.9 224.3 232.3 233.5 233.9 234.8 236.5 236.1 Entertainment commodities.................................................................. 230.3 239.6 241.1 240.5 240.8 242.9 241.4 225.5 233.8 235.5 234.4 235.0 236.6 235.4 Reading materials (12/77 = 100)............................................................ Newspapers .................................................................................... Magazines, periodicals, and books (12/77 = 100).............................. 139.8 267.6 143.9 149.4 283.9 155.0 150.4 285.9 156.1 149.4 286.3 153.8 150.1 288.5 153.9 153.1 290.4 159.2 153.4 290.9 159.6 139.3 267.5 143.7 148.6 283.4 154.8 149.7 285.6 156.0 148.9 286.0 153.6 149.6 288.2 153.8 152.4 290.1 159.2 152.7 290.5 159.6 Sporting goods and equipment (12/77 = 100).......................................... Sport vehicles (12/77 = 100) .......................................................... Indoor and warm weather sport equipment (12/77 = 100).................. Bicycles .......................................................................................... Other sporting goods and equipment (12/77 = 100) .......................... 130.2 132.4 119.6 194.3 126.7 132.7 135.7 119.6 197.6 127.9 132.8 135.4 120.3 198.3 129.4 133.2 135.7 119.7 199.4 130.3 132.9 135.3 120.5 199.0 129.4 134.3 137.1 120.6 198.7 131.9 132.1 133.8 119.9 198.3 131.5 122.8 120.4 118.2 196.3 126.9 125.3 123.9 117.1 198.8 128.3 125.7 124.1 118.0 199.4 129.8 124.9 122.4 117.5 200.4 130.9 125.0 122.8 118.1 200.0 129.8 125.8 123.6 118.3 199.9 132.1 124.7 122.2 117.6 199.5 131.3 Toys, hobbies, and other entertainment (12/77 = 100).............................. Toys, hobbies, and music equipment (12/77 = 100) .......................... Photographic supplies and equipment (12/77 = 100).......................... Pet supplies and expenses (12/77 = 100) ........................................ 131.3 129.7 125.5 138.3 136.1 135.9 130.3 140.6 137.3 137.2 130.8 142.0 136.9 136.4 130.2 142.5 137.1 136.4 130.1 143.4 137.1 136.4 129.6 143.9 136.4 135.5 129.0 143.4 130.8 126.7 127.5 140.1 134.9 132.4 131.5 141.5 136.1 133.7 131.9 143.0 135.7 132.8 131.4 143.6 136.0 132.9 131.3 144.6 136.1 133.0 130.6 145.0 135.2 131.8 130.1 144.5 Entertainment services ........................................................................ 222.3 230.5 230.8 233.5 235.2 237.2 238.2 223.4 230.9 231.3 234.2 235.8 237.6 238.4 Fees for participant sports (12/77 = 100)................................................ Admissions (12/77 = 100)...................................................................... Other entertainment services (12/77 = 100)............................................ 137.3 128.9 123.4 142.5 133.5 127.9 141.8 135.5 127.8 143.4 137.4 128.3 146.0 136.4 128.8 148.0 136.6 129.6 149.0 136.9 129.8 139.1 128.3 124.1 143.8 132.6 128.7 143.0 134.6 128.8 144.8 136.5 129.2 147.4 135.5 129.6 149.4 135.6 130.5 150.1 135.9 130.7 OTHER GOODS AND SERVICES............................................................ 245.9 255.8 257.2 258.3 266.6 271.2 273.8 242.5 253.1 254.5 255.7 262.8 267.8 270.9 Tobacco products ................................................................................ 226.2 237.8 239.2 240.1 246.8 257.3 264.0 225.4 237.0 238.3 239.3 246.1 256.6 263.4 Cigarettes.............................................................................................. Other tobacco products and smoking accessories (12/77 = 100).............. 228.9 134.7 240.7 141.8 242.2 142.1 243.1 142.4 250.6 142.6 262.3 142.9 269.8 142.8 228.1 135.0 239.9 142.0 241.3 142.2 242.3 142.5 249.8 142.8 261.4 143.1 268.8 143.0 Personal care ...................................................................................... 237.7 247.8 249.4 250.6 251.1 252.9 254.2 235.5 246.0 247.5 248.8 249.3 250.9 252.1 Toilet goods and personal care appliances................................................ Products for the hair, hairpieces, and wigs (12/77 = 100) .................. Dental and shaving products (12/77 = 100)...................................... Cosmetics, bath and nail preparations, manicure and eye makeup implements (12/77 = 100) .................................. Other toilet goods and small personal care appliances (12/77 = 100) 232.5 135.4 140.5 246.3 143.2 150.5 247.7 145.0 150.9 249.5 145.0 153.1 249.1 144.6 153.3 251.5 147.8 155.2 253.5 148.3 157.2 233.1 133.3 139.3 247.0 142.6 148.9 248.6 144.2 149.5 250.5 144.4 151.6 250.0 144.0 151.8 252.1 146.9 153.5 254.1 147.3 155.4 131.8 134.3 139.6 140.8 139.9 141.8 141.3 142.5 140.7 142.4 141.4 142.2 141.7 144.7 132.2 139.1 140.1 144.4 140.5 145.4 142.0 146.2 141.4 146.2 142.1 145.8 142.3 148.4 Personal care services............................................................................ Beauty parlor services for women...................................................... Haircuts and other barber shop services for men (12/77 = 100) ........ 243.1 244.8 135.9 250.1 252.3 139.4 251.8 254.4 139.8 252.5 255.0 140.2 253.8 256.3 141.1 255.1 258.3 141.0 255.8 258.9 141.4 238.1 237.8 134.9 245.4 245.9 138.2 246.9 247.9 138.5 247.6 248.7 139.0 248.9 249.8 139.9 250.0 251.6 139.8 250.6 252.1 140.3 Personal and educational expenses .................................................... 284.9 293.3 294.5 295.8 316.1 319.3 320.0 285.6 295.2 296.4 297.9 317.4 320.4 321.3 Schoolbooks and supplies ...................................................................... Personal and educational services............................................................ Tuition and other school fees ............................................................ College tuition (12/77 = 100) .................................................... Elementary and high school tuition (12/77 = 100) ...................... Personal expenses (12/77 = 100).................................................... 254.6 292.1 149.1 148.3 152.0 152.8 264.6 300.3 151.5 151.2 152.2 164.5 264.8 301.7 152.0 151.8 152.2 166.0 265.3 303.1 152.6 151.9 154.6 167.4 280.5 324.4 165.6 164.9 168.7 169.4 283.0 327.7 167.2 166.8 168.6 171.9 283.1 328.6 167.2 166.8 168.7 174.1 258.3 292.5 149.4 148.1 152.7 152.1 268.8 302.0 152.1 151.4 152.9 164.6 269.0 303.4 152.5 152.0 152.9 166.1 269.6 305.1 153.2 152.0 155.6 167.6 284.3 325.6 166.2 165.0 169.6 169.6 286.8 328.7 167.7 166.9 169.6 171.7 286.8 329.8 167.7 166.9 169.7 174.0 403.9 422.2 292.6 339.6 387.3 436.5 316.6 351.2 395.0 439.1 318.7 350.3 393.2 441.3 320.3 351.4 389.2 436.0 323.8 353.8 385.7 432.9 326.5 355.0 383.5 426.2 324.1 354.8 405.1 420.9 291.5 339.9 388.6 436.0 315.6 351.8 396.2 438.8 317.8 351.0 394.4 441.7 319.4 352.2 390.3 436.3 322.8 354.6 386.9 433.9 325.4 355.7 384.8 427.2 323.2 355.4 Special indexes: Gasoline, motor oil, coolant, and other products........................................ Insurance and finance ............................................................................ Utilities and public transportation.............................................................. Housekeeping and home maintenance services ........................................ 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Cross classification of region and population size class by expenditure category and commodity and service group [December 1977 = 100] Size class A (1.25 million or more) Category and group Aug. Oct June Aug. 1982 1982 1982 1982 June Size class D (75,000 or less) Size class C (75,000-385,000) Size class B (385,000-1.250 million) June Oct Aug. Oct June Aug. Oct Northeast EXPENDITURE CATEGORY Other goods and services ............................................................................ 147.7 145.9 151.6 118.6 157.2 147.5 136.5 139.8 149.0 144.9 153.3 119.6 159.4 150.0 139.7 141.7 151.8 145.1 157.7 122.2 160.7 151.4 140.6 150.0 155.5 144.1 165.2 122.8 164.6 150.2 137.5 142.1 155.8 143.4 164.5 122.4 166.5 156.1 137.4 143.2 156.6 142.4 164.9 127.0166.6 158.1 139.9 151.4 163.5 148.8 182.1 128.3 162.2 152.7 136.4 146.7 161.2 148.9 174.5 128.4 164.7 157.2 136.8 148.1 160.7 147.0 172.9 128.5 165.2 161.5 138.1 154.3 156.9 142.9 169.3 123.4 161.2 155.4 141.1 144.0 155.3 142.9 163.7 124.8 163.7 156.1 143.8 144.6 155.8 141.9 163.0 '131.4 164.6 157.0 144.8 153.4 144.6 143.8 151.8 145.3 145.5 153.8 147.7 149.3 157.1 151.5 155.1 161.9 151.6 155.6 162.4 152.4 157.2 163.3 153.8 156.2 179.1 152.3 153.9 175.6 152.0 154.3 175.0 150.6 154.3 166.8 149.8 153.1 163.8 150.9 155.2 163.5 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ............................................................................................................ North Central Region EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 159.6 144.1 175.1 114.0 165.1 153.0 137.1 141.4 162.2 143.7 179.8 117.0 166.1 155.8 138.8 142.3 163.1 143.5 181.2 118.8 164.5 157.9 140.7 150.5 155.3 142.8 163.3 123.0 163.2 155.2 129.5 152.5 157.0 142.7 165.6 124.1 165.0 161.2 131.7 153.3 158.9 142.6 168.5 128.7 164.1 162.7 133.5 161.4 155.2 145.0 162.1 124.7 165.7 155.6 139.2 141.2 158.9 144.9 169.4 126.7 166.7 157.7 139.9 142.8 155.9 143.8 162.6 127.8 165.0 160.9 142.5 148.1 156.4 148.7 164.0 120.5 163.1 158.3 131.5 148.3 160.2 149.2 171.4 120.1 164.1 161.0 131.4 150.2 159.0 149.2 167.8 121.9 163.1 163.7 133.3 157.3 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ............................................................................................................ 149.4 151.9 174.8 150.9 154.2 179.0 151.9 155.8 179.7 148.5 150.9 166.2 148.8 151.3 170.3 149.7 152.6 173.7 148.8 150.5 165.6 150.8 153.4 172.0 148.2 150.1 168.6 147.9 147.6 169.8 149.1 149.0 177.8 147.6 147.0 177.0 South EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 156.3 146.7 165.2 124.9 163.4 152.8 132.0 144.1 156.9 147.2 165.0 124.0 165.3 156.2 131.7 145.6 158.1 146.8 166.1 127.5 164.7 160.9 135.5 152.9 158.4 146.9 167.2 123.6 167.0 154.5 143.1 143.3 159.1 146.5 167.9 122.6 168.6 157.3 145.0 143.6 159.6 146.4 167.5 125.3 167.7 161.3 147.3 152.5 157.6 146.0 167.0 118.6 165.1 162.5 142.7 144.5 158.6 146.0 167.8 121.0 166.4 166.2 142.1 145.2 159.1 145.6 167.3 123.7 166.0 169.4 144.5 153.3 156.5 147.7 164.6 109.4 163.3 166.6 145.2 150.4 158.8 147.5 168.4 107.9 165.6 169.3 148.1 152.3 159.8 147.5 169.7 112.4 164.5 173.9 149.7 153.2 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ............................................................................................................ 149.1 150.1 166.5 149.7 150.8 166.9 150.1 151.6 169.2 150.9 152.6 169.8 150.9 152.8 171.5 151.7 154.0 171.5 149.2 150.6 170.6 149.6 151.2 172.4 149.9 151.8 173.2 149.7 150.5 166.8 149.6 150.5 172.6 150.6 152.0 173.6 West EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 160.8 146.4 170.1 120.0 167.7 164.4 138.5 147.0 160.3 147.5 167.7 119.8 169.9 167.1 135.8 149.3 160.3 148.3 166.9 120.7 169.4 168.9 136.6 155.4 158.6 148.9 165.6 125.2 165.9 159.5 139.4 149.1 159.9 148.6 166.6 124.9 169.7 163.3 141.0 149.8 160.1 148.6 166.0 126.5 169.8 165.1 142.4 155.0 149.7 145.1 150.3 122.3 163.5 159.6 134.2 139.9 153.3 144.9 155.6 122.8 167.0 167.0 135.7 141.7' 152.6 145.7 153.4 123.8 166.0 168.8 136.2 148.0 159.9 149.9 165.5 140.5 162.8 166.2 150.6 153.3 158.5 150.6 160.5 138.5 166.2 168.5 153.1 154.4 158.1 150.8 158.7 138.6 165.7 169.6 154.9 164.2 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ............................................................................................................ 147.8 148.4 178.1 148.8 149.4 175.5 149.4 149.9 174.8 149.5 149.7 171.1 151.0 152.1 172.1 151.6 152.9 171.8 147.5 148.5 152.8 149.9 152.0 158.1 150.6 152.6 155.4 151.3 152.0 172.5 149.2 148.7 172.1 147.7 146.4 173.4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 79 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 20. Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average, and selected areas [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers Area1 U.S. city average2 .............................................................. Anchorage, Alaska (10/67=100) ........................................ Atlanta, Ga........................................................................... Baltimore, Md....................................................................... Boston, Mass................. .................................................. Buffalo, N.Y.......................................................................... Chicago, lll.-Northwestern Ind................................................ Cincinnati, Ohlo-Ky.-Ind......................................................... Cleveland, O hio.................................................................. Dallas-Ft. Worth, Tex............................................................ Denver-Boulder, Colo............................................................ 1981 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Nov. June July Aug. Sept Oct Nov. 280.7 290.6 292.2 292.8 293.3 294.1 293.6 280.4 290.1 291.8 292.4 292.8 293.6 293.2 253.7 263.6 291.1 280.7 274.2 291.8 153.6 287.5 267.8 272.2 Philadelphia, Pa.-N.J............................................................. Pittsburgh, Pa....................................................................... Portland, Oreg.-Wash............................................................ St. Louis, Mo.-lll.................................................................... San Diego, Calif.................................................................... 278.7 273.8 321.3 San Francisco-Oakland, Calif................................................ Seattle-Everett, Wash........................................................... Washington, D.C.-Md.-Va....................................................... 289.2 275.5 281.6 274.1 293.2 289.1 269.0 313.9 281.6 290.1 292.4 289.3 155.1 296.5 304.1 276.7 279.7 285.1 277.3 275.1 281.1 313.8 278.5 281.3 291.4 294.9 288.2 295.2 275.2 317.6 289.3 289.5 280.7 276.0 283.0 307.7 284.5 281.8 300.7 288.2 294.1 325.6 304.3 296.6 281.3 'The areas listed include not only the central city but the entire portion of the Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area, as defined for the 1970 Census of Population, except that the Standard Consolidated 294.3 304.2 277.3 279.0 326.2 302.8 296.0 276.4 288.5 285.3 156.8 303.1 154.7 291.5 283.6 279.4 266.9 275.2 291.5 282.9 274.5 276.3 273.0 315.1 297.5 286.3 285.7 279.3 289.3 293.0 279.1 285.9 276.1 277.3 280.9 289.3 269.5 315.3 283.6 292.8 313.3 277.1 280.7 291.8 293.1 307.1 314.1 302.5 291.2 291.7 332.5 291.2 274.7 314.9 287.3 292.8 157.5 306.3 290.6 289.2 329.4 278.9 277.1 282.1 292.1 291.6 158.6 306.9 307.6 282.7 281.2 300.3 285.8 293.1 321.1 302.8 292.9 286.3 293.2 331.3 156.9 299.6 303.8 275.3 289.7 284.4 274.3 292.9 302.8 310.6 300.2 303.4 Area is used for New York and Chicago. 2 Average of 85 cities. 292.5 326.3 286.0 268.9 310.9 280.1 293.9 254.4 298.7 288.8 282.7 265.5 292.7 295.9 297.0 300.5 285.6 290.0 321.7 258.9 297.1 287.0 278.7 264.1 302.4 302.2 286.5 259.1 282.9 316.6 306.7 156.1 302.4 292.5 290.2 334.8 304.6 294.4 324.5 292.7 269.4 318.6 285.0 289.1 249.3 280.9 274.3 277.1 294.0 300.2 312.2 304.3 319.9 257.2 290.1 285.0 297.8 289.2 282.9 267.7 293.1 293.3 297.8 304.8 297.8 Miami, Fla. (11/77=100) .................................................... Milwaukee, Wis..................................................................... Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn.-Wls.............................................. New York, N.Y.-Northeastern N.J........................................... Northeast, Pa. (Scranton).................................................... 263.4 295.6 286.1 279.2 265.8 277.0 276.6 279.6 80 1982 Nov. Detroit, Mich......................................................................... Honolulu, Hawaii ................................................................ Houston, Tex........................................................................ Kansas City, Mo.-Kansas .................................................... Los Angeles-Long Beach, Anaheim, Calif................................ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1981 1982 281.9 280.6 282.0 283.5 288.9 318.2 301.3 298.3 291.9 294.1 291.6 21. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing [1967 = 100] Commodity grouping 1982 Annual average 1981 1981 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May 269.8 275.4 277.9 277.9 277.3 277.3 Aug.1 Sept. 281.7 r 282.3 281.4 284.1 284.9 285.1 282.1 260.6 241.0 260.2 335.3 226.7 223.7 280.2 '282.8 '259.7 '239.2 '259.4 '337.2 '227.5 '224.3 '280.7 282.0 259.9 227.8 260.6 338.4 223.2 225.4 279.5 284.2 257.8 232.0 258.0 339.7 231.1 227.4 283.8 285.2 257.6 235.6 257.4 342.4 230.8 228.1 284.0 285.1 258.2 247.2 257.1 341.4 231.5 228.3 285.1 June July 277.8 279.9 277.3 260.0 266.6 257.3 325.7 224.1 222.3 277.2 277.7 262.3 259.9 260.3 324.3 225.0 223.1 278.1 280.1 263.4 254.7 262.0 328.7 225.9 223.5 279.2 Oct Nov. Dec. FINISHED GOODS Finished goods ................................................................ 271.3 253.6 263.8 250.6 319.6 218.6 208.8 264.3 275.8 252.9 273.9 249.0 326.3 225.4 213.9 274.1 278.3 256.4 280.6 252.1 329.3 226.2 217.4 276.2 278.6 258.2 282.5 254.0 330.3 224.0 219.6 275.0 277.7 257.1 263.3 254.5 328.8 223.9 220.5 275.8 Intermediate materials, supplies, and components........... 306.0 309.4 311.0 311.1 310.6 309.9 309.8 309.9 311.1 '310.8 310.7 310.0 310.1 310.2 Materials and components for manufacturing........... Materials for food manufacturing ........................... Materials for nondurable manufacturing ............... Materials for durable manufacturing ...................... Components for manufacturing ............................. 286.1 260.4 285.8 312.1 259.3 289.3 245.6 288.8 314.0 267.8 290.4 250.7 289.0 313.6 269.8 290.9 252.8 289.3 313.1 270.9 290.4 252.0 288.8 310.9 271.8 290.6 254.4 287.6 311.0 272.6 291.4 260.0 287.6 311.0 273.6 289.8 260.7 285.4 307.5 273.6 289.2 259.7 283.1 308.0 273.9 ' 288.7 ' 258.0 '282.6 '306.5 '274.3 290.2 257.6 282.4 310.2 276.1 289.5 254.7 280.3 310.0 276.9 288.9 251.4 279.5 309.8 277.0 288.7 250.1 278.2 309.8 277.7 Materials and components for construction ............. 287.6 291.1 292.0 293.0 293.3 294.0 293.7 294.5 294.3 '293.5 293.4 293.2 293.0 294.5 Processed fuels and lubricants ................................. Manufacturing industries ........................................ Nonmanufacturing industries ................................. 595.4 498.6 680.8 598.1 499.0 685.6 604.4 505.9 691.3 596.8 497.8 684.2 593.0 496.1 678.3 579.9 487.5 661.1 570.9 481.4 649.5 581.1 491.7 659.5 600.7 506.9 683.0 603.8 '510.7 '685.5 593.2 497.4 677.5 590.2 496.9 672.1 594.3 502.5 674.9 593.6 500.4 675.5 Containers.................................................................. 276.1 280.2 282.5 285.5 286.3 287.0 287.0 286.5 286.3 -285.4 285.5 285.1 284.7 284.6 Supplies ..................................................................... Manufacturing industries ........................................ Nonmanufacturing industries ................................. Feeds .................................................................. Other supplies..................................................... 263.8 253.1 269.6 230.4 276.4 268.3 261.0 272.4 214.6 284.1 269.8 262.6 273.8 214.8 285.7 270.4 263.3 274.4 212.0 287.3 270.6 264.5 274.1 208.1 287.9 272.1 265.3 276.0 213.1 288.9 273.4 266.7 277.2 214.2 290.1 273.4 266.7 277.1 213.1 290.4 273.1 266.8 276.7 210.3 290.5 '272.6 ' 266.5 '276.0 '203.1 '291.1 272.5 267.3 275.5 198.4 291.5 272.3 267.4 275.1 193.3 292.1 273.0 267.2 276.3 199.5 292.2 273.2 267.4 276.5 204.9 291.3 Crude materials for further processing............................. 329.0 311.5 318.4 321.6 320.0 322.6 328.3 325.6 323.4 '319.8 316.3 312.2 313.4 312.6 Foodstuffs and feedstuffs.......................................... 257.4 233.7 242.6 248.3 247.9 254.4 262.6 259.9 255.5 '249.6 242.9 236.3 236.3 237.0 Nonfood materials ..................................................... 482.3 478.6 481.5 479.3 475.2 469.9 470.2 467.7 469.8 '471.0 474.3 475.4 479.0 475.0 378.8 3890 273.3 376.6 386.3 274.5 370.0 378.9 274.2 369.2 378.4 271.4 '369.5 378.9 '270.3 369.6 379.1 269.1 372.2 382.4 267.1 369.5 379.3 267.3 366.0 375.0 269.4 901.3 883.9 1,032.0 1,053.9 780.5 794.5 906.9 '1,061.1 798.9 926.3 1,086.1 813.9 919.4 1,077.5 808.3 955.3 1,124.8 835.2 949.5 1,117.0 830.9 Finished consumer g o o d s.......................................... Finished consumer fo o d s ........................................ C ru d e .................................................................. Processed ............................................................ Nondurable goods less fo o d s................................. Durable goods ....................................................... Consumer nondurable goods less food and energy Capital equipment ..................................................... INTERMEDIATE MATERIALS CRUDE MATERIALS Nonfood materials except fuel ............................... Manufacturing industries...................................... Construction ....................................................... 413.7 429.4 261.8 396.2 409.8 265.2 399.5 413.2 267.6 394.8 407.5 270.5 387.1 398.4 273.2 Crude fuel .............................................................. Manufacturing industries...................................... Nonmanufacturing industries............................... 751.2 864.9 674.0 813.0 942.5 724.0 812.9 940.3 725.6 824.5 954.4 735.4 839.7 974.7 746.6 851.2 989.1 755.8 864.8 1006.7 766.4 Finished goods excluding fo o d s ........................................ Finished consumer goods excluding fo o d s ............... Finished consumer goods less e n e rg y ...................... 273.3 276.5 233.6 280.9 283.2 237.6 283.0 285.2 240.5 282.4 284.9 241.3 281.9 284.0 241.3 281.1 282.3 243.0 281.0 281.8 244.3 283.4 284.8 245.1 286.7 288.8 244.5 287.9 ' 290.2 '252.0 286.6 289.1 243.8 290.8 293.3 246.4 291.9 294.6 246.5 292.0 294.3 254.7 Intermediate materials less foods and feeds.................... Intermediate materials less energy ........................... 310.1 285.2 314.9 288.7 316.4 289.9 316.4 290.7 316.0 290.5 315.1 291.0 314.6 291.6 314.7 290.8 316.1 290.4 '316.0 '289.7 316.0 290.6 315.5 290.1 315.7 289.9 315.7 290.2 Intermediate foods and feeds .......................................... 250.3 235.2 238.8 239.4 237.7 240.9 245.0 245.1 243.6 '240.2 238.4 234.8 234.6 235.4 Crude materials less agricultural products ...................... Crude materials less e ne rgy...................................... 545.6 254.0 543.5 231.6 546.1 239.1 543.9 243.4 538.4 242.8 531.6 247.3 531.5 252.8 529.1 248.7 531.5 245.1 '532.0 '240.7 536.2 235.6 537.9 230.0 542.3 229.3 537.0 229.9 SPECIAL GROUPINGS 1Data for August 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis r=revised, 81 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 22. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Annual average 1981 1981 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May All commodities .................................................................. All commodities (1957-59 = 100).......................................... 293.4 311.3 295.8 313.8 298.3 316.5 298.6 316.8 298.0 316.2 298.0 316.2 298.6 316.8 299.3 317.6 300.4 318.7 Farm products and processed foods and feeds........................ Industrial commodities.......................................................... 251.5 304.1 241.0 310.0 246.0 311.8 248.4 311.6 247.5 311.0 251.6 309.9 255.8 309.6 255.3 310.6 01 01-1 01-2 01-3 01-4 01-5 01-6 01-7 01-8 01-9 FARM PRODUCTS AND PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS Farm products ............................................................................ Fresh and dried fruits and vegetables ........................................ Grains...................................................................................... Livestock ................................................................................ Live poultry.............................................................................. Plant and animal fibers.............................................................. Fluid milk ................................................................................ Eggs........................................................................................ Hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds .................................................... Other farm products ................................................................ 254.9 267.3 248.4 248.0 201.2 242.0 287.4 187.1 274.1 273.8 234.6 280.5 213.6 225.0 171.4 188.4 286.7 195.5 218.8 280.2 242.2 289.2 225.2 236.8 186.8 198.2 287.6 187.0 218.4 280.1 247.1 290.1 223.2 251.2 197.3 193.5 285.8 200.6 217.6 273.7 244.7 257.3 220.9 255.6 197.7 199.5 282.5 204.0 213.7 273.0 250.6 267.6 226.0 267.6 186.2 207.4 280.3 192.1 222.8 274.2 256.5 271.5 228.2 282.9 192.7 214.1 278.8 164.3 227.3 273.9 02 02-1 02-2 02-3 02-4 02-5 02-6 02-7 02-8 02-9 Processed foods and feeds.......................................................... Cereal and bakery products...................................................... Meats, poultry, and fish ............................................................ Dairy products.......................................................................... Processed fruits and vegetables................................................ Sugar and confectionery .......................................................... Beverages and beverage materials............................................ Fats and o ils ............................................................................ Miscellaneous processed foods ................................................ Prepared animal feeds.............................................................. 248.7 255.5 246.2 245.6 261.2 275.9 248.0 227.4 250.1 230.2 243.6 255.1 236.1 247.2 271.8 247.6 251.9 219.1 250.1 217.2 247.1 256.6 243.7 247.7 273.2 256.8 253.9 216.6 251.0 217.4 248.1 253.3 247.9 248.0 276.3 257.2 255.1 216.8 250.9 214.9 248.1 253.3 250.0 248.0 275.9 255.0 256.4 213.7 249.5 211.4 251.1 253.5 258.2 248.4 275.2 256.0 256.6 218.1 249.6 216.3 03 03-1 03-2 03-3 03-4 03-81 03-82 Textile products and apparel ........................................................ Synthetic fibers (12/75 = 100).................................................. Processed yams and threads (12/75 = 100) ............................ Gray fabrics (12/75 = 100)...................................................... Finished fabrics (12/75 = 100) ................................................ Apparel.................................................................................... Textile housefurnishings............................................................ 199.7 156.3 138.0 146.8 125.2 186.0 226.7 203.4 161.5 139.6 147.2 125.6 191.0 233.6 205.0 162.9 139.2 148.2 126.8 192.7 237.6 205.6 163.2 140.7 147.3 127.1 193.2 240.8 205.0 161.3 140.5 146.6 125.6 193.4 241.4 04 04-2 04-3 04-4 Hides, skins, leather, and related products .................................... Leather.................................................................................... Footwear ................................................................................ Other leather and related products............................................ 260.9 319.8 240.9 241.8 260.7 312.3 240.1 245.4 261.8 319.0 238.9 247.5 261.6 317.7 238.6 248.1 05 05-1 05-2 05-3 05-4 05-61 05-7 Fuels and related products and power .......................................... C oal........................................................................................ Coke ...................................................................................... Gas fuels2 .............................................................................. Electric power ....................................................................... Crude petroleum3 ................................................................ Petroleum products, refined4 ................................................. 694.5 497.2 456.4 939.4 367.2 803.5 805.9 702.5 515.2 469.7 1,003.7 384.2 787.2 798.6 705.1 525.3 469.7 987.9 392.8 787.2 801.9 06 06-1 06-21 06-22 06-3 06-4 06-5 06-6 06-7 Chemicals and allied products ................................................. Industrial chemicals5 .............................................................. Prepared p a in t....................................................................... Paint m aterials....................................................................... Drugs and pharmaceuticals................................................... Fats and oils, inedible............................................................ Agricultural chemicals and chemical products...................... Plastic resins and m aterials................................................... Other chemicals and allied products .................................... 287.6 363.3 249.8 300.1 193.5 295.6 285.0 289.2 254.2 291.8 362.8 256.4 305.8 198.9 280.4 294.9 294.2 260.0 07 07-1 07-11 07-12 07-13 07-2 Rubber and plastic products..................................................... Rubber and rubber products ................................................. Crude ru b b e r......................................................................... Tires and tubes ................................................................... Miscellaneous rubber products ............................................ Plastic products (6/78 = 100) .............................................. 232.6 256.2 281.8 250.6 251.4 128.5 08 08-1 08-2 08-3 08-4 Lumber and wood products.......................................................... Lumber.................................................................................. Mil ¡work ........................................................................ Plywood ................................................................................ Other wood products................................................................ 292.8 325.1 273.4 245.7 239.1 Code Commodity group and subgroup 1982 June July Aug.1 Sept. Oct Nov. Dec. '300.2 '318.5 299.5 317.8 299.9 318.2 300.4 318.7 300.6 318.9 252.4 312.8 '249.6 '313.2 247.5 312.9 243.9 314.4 244.0 315.1 244.8 315.0 252.7 264.5 225.7 277.5 207.2 203.1 278.9 159.3 219.3 271.8 246.6 239.1 212.8 270.3 212.5 220.8 279.0 171.7 220.0 265.5 '240.8 ' 238.6 197.2 268.4 189.3 207.5 278.8 171.7 '204.5 274.4 234.4 220.3 187.3 259.0 196.5 196.8 281.9 173.3 201.8 276.8 229.1 222.3 183.2 248.5 177.1 198.1 285.0 177.9 194.3 274.0 230.6 232.5 198.6 239.1 181.6 195.3 285.9 172.5 204.8 276.3 232.5 248.1 202.3 237.2 177.8 200.6 285.5 170.0 209.0 280.1 254.4 252.8 267.6 248.5 273.8 265.3 256.5 222.3 248.0 217.4 255.8 252.7 271.2 248.7 275.8 269.1 256.7 221.8 248.6 216.4 254.6 253.0 266.0 248.6 274.4 275.7 256.9 221.3 248.1 213.9 '253.5 '252.7 '262.2 '248.8 '274.1 '285.5 '258.0 '215.6 245.9 '207.5 253.6 254.1 265.7 249.3 273.2 279.1 256.8 211.6 246.9 204.5 251.0 253.2 256.9 250.0 273.7 276.7 258.4 214.9 247.7 200.1 250.4 254.6 251.5 250.2 273.1 281.1 258.9 209.0 247.9 205.7 250.6 256.6 249.9 250.8 273.0 280.8 259.0 204.3 248.6 210.5 205.4 163.0 140.4 146.3 125.4 194.1 241.8 205.4 163.4 141.0 145.9 125.2 194.5 239.5 205.0 162.8 139.4 146.0 124.0 195.0 239.7 204.1 161.5 135.9 144.9 123.8 194.8 238.2 '204.2 '162.2 135.9 '144.6 '124.3 '195.1 '236.4 203.8 163.4 136.6 143.5 123.8 193.5 242.5 202.6 162.0 129.5 143.6 123.4 193.5 240.5 203.5 162.1 136.7 143.0 123.1 193.8 240.5 202.4 160.6 136.7 143.3 122.9 191.7 240.5 260.6 313.3 239.8 248.1 263.4 310.6 244.8 248.1 263.2 309.8 244.5 248.1 261.8 307.7 244.2 245.6 263.1 307.4 247.3 246.9 '262.0 '304.9 '247.7 '244.9 264.8 309.2 248.2 252.9 264.7 309.5 249.2 252.4 264.3 312.8 249.1 250.9 265.2 314.3 248.2 253.1 697.8 529.9 469.7 987.6 392.9 770.3 789.7 689.7 529.6 467.5 990.5 403.7 744.8 770.6 670.6 532.6 467.5 992.7 406.3 717.9 733.5 292.9 362.9 258.9 306.6 202.2 272.8 296.8 286.1 263.8 293.6 362.2 258.9 306.4 204.4 274.2 298.0 287.3 264.9 294.6 361.4 258.9 306.8 205.9 290.1 297.1 285.5 268.5 294.3 357.8 258.9 306.7 208.9 282.6 295.8 286.0 270.0 295.0 357.1 264.7 306.9 209.9 288.4 294.8 283.2 272.7 293.3 351.2 264.7 304.9 209.7 287.5 294.1 282.1 273.8 291.6 349.1 264.7 304.5 210.0 278.2 291.5 280.9 271.1 291.6 '349.1 '264.7 '302.5 '211.2 254.2 '290.8 '282.2 '272.3 291.4 349.3 265.1 303.0 212.6 254.1 290.1 281.5 270.7 290.4 347.6 265.1 303.0 214.7 242.3 289.4 281.6 268.1 290.5 345.8 265.1 302.3 215.4 239.6 287.3 281.4 271.7 289.3 342.9 265.1 301.5 216.0 240.8 286.2 281.4 270.2 238.3 264.6 280.8 255.4 267.2 130.6 237.3 262.5 281.8 253.6 263.8 130.5 239.3 266.0 282.1 256.7 268.8 131.0 240.8 266.7 283.5 253.7 274.3 132.3 241.1 266.6 283.3 253.4 274.7 132.6 242.1 269.0 283.7 254.9 278.8 132.5 242.5 269.3 282.5 255.3 279.5 132.8 242.0 268.8 280.3 255.0 279.4 132.5 '242.6 '270.1 '278.7 '257.8 '279.7 '132.5 243.3 271.7 276.5 255.7 287.5 132.5 243.0 271.1 272.4 255.8 287.1 132.4 242.6 270.2 270.8 254.8 286.5 132.4 243.0 270.5 271.0 256.2 285.5 132.8 285.4 309.9 273.7 239.7 239.4 285.5 310.0 277.1 237.4 238.2 285.2 308.1 278.6 235.1 238.7 285.3 308.2 276.5 236.5 238.6 286.5 312.4 276.6 234.0 237.7 284.6 310.5 276.3 230.5 237.4 289.0 315.8 280.5 239.2 236.0 288.6 319.2 282.3 232.4 236.0 '284.2 '311.6 280.2 '229.0 235.6 283.0 311.3 279.5 228.4 235.6 279.6 306.8 278.6 224.0 235.8 279.9 305.1 280.3 227.8 233.1 284.8 311.0 286.1 231.2 231.3 INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES See footnotes at end of table. 82 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 662.2 677.3 701.1 '705.6 701.8 699.6 707.3 702.6 534.0 533.6 538.0 '539.0 541.4 539.7 540.3 540.3 467.5 462.0 460.3 '459.1 460.7 453.0 452.3 452.3 1,001.2 1,027.5 1,054.3 '1,074.6 1,116.6 1,133.6 1,190.9 1,177.4 407.1 405.7 416.0 '414.9 415.4 409.1 405.2 410.3 717.8 718.4 '718.4 718.8 718.2 735.8 734.1 720.4 713.2 739.4 776.5 '781.7 763.1 754.9 759.9 753.0 22. Continued— Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Code Annual 1981 1981 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug.1 Sept Oct Nov. Dec. 1982 Commodity group and subgroup INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES-Continued 09 09-1 09-11 09-12 09-13 09-14 09-15 09-2 Pulp, paper, and allied products.................................................... Pulp, paper, and products, excluding building paper and board . . . Woodpulp................................................................................ Wastepaper ............................................................................ Paper ...................................................................................... Paperboard.............................................................................. Converted paper and paperboard products................................ Eluilding paper and board.......................................................... 273.8 270.8 397.1 175.7 279.8 258.1 258.8 231.7 281.0 275.6 413.7 143.4 287.2 260.0 263.2 230.3 285.5 276.1 410.3 135.2 289.2 259.7 263.9 233.8 286.3 276.8 410.3 128.8 289.8 261.4 264.7 231.4 287.4 276.6 411.6 129.2 289.6 261.1 264.5 239.6 288.5 275.3 389.9 128.1 289.4 261.2 264.3 236.3 289.6 274.8 393.3 121.5 288.2 258.8 264.3 240.2 289.5 274.1 388.0 115.2 287.8 255.9 264.5 240.0 289.1 272.6 368.3 115.6 286.3 255.0 264.4 239.8 r 289.3 '272.2 '367.0 116.0 ' 285.3 '255.4 '264.3 '244.4 289.2 271.8 367.2 116.0 286.0 250.7 264.2 242.8 289.2 270.4 352.5 116.0 285.6 248.0 263.9 241.5 289.6 269.9 349.4 116.0 281.7 247.6 265.0 240.4 289.5 269.1 349.3 116.0 280.0 244.5 264.9 241.4 10 10-1 10-17 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 10-6 10-7 10-8 Metals and metal products .......................................................... Iron anc steel .......................................................................... Steel mill products.................................................................... Nonferrous metals.................................................................... Metal containers ...................................................................... Hardware ................................................................................ Plumbing fixtures and brass fittings............................................ Heating equipment.................................................................... Fabricated structural metal products.......................................... Miscellaneous metal products.................................................... 300.4 333.8 337.6 285.8 315.6 263.2 267.5 224.2 295.5 270.5 303.3 339.9 348.9 277.1 316.8 272.0 274.0 229.9 303.0 278.3 304.7 343.1 350.6 274.4 324.3 274.1 274.6 233.4 303.4 281.2 304.2 342.9 350.3 273.6 326.2 274.8 276.4 233.1 304.0 278.7 302.9 342.5 350.5 267.2 327.2 278.2 279.1 235.4 304.5 279.0 303.1 342.8 352.2 266.1 330.0 278.5 280.3 236.0 305.2 279.7 302.8 341.3 352.1 263.6 330.2 278.9 281.0 237.2 304.9 284.5 299.3 338.3 349.9 253.4 329.9 280.3 282.6 238.5 305.3 283.9 299.5 337.5 349.0 256.4 330.0 281.2 283.3 238.9 303.9 283.2 ' 299.2 '337.1 '348.6 '255.7 328.8 '282.6 '274.6 '238.4 '304.3 '283.3 301.8 336.6 348.4 263.4 328.7 280.4 277.0 239.3 304.2 289.3 302.1 337.6 349.8 263.2 328.7 280.8 277.8 238.7 303.7 289.7 301.0 336.3 349.3 262.0 327.0 280.8 278.2 238.9 302.8 288.5 300.9 333.3 345.5 264.0 325.7 283.5 279.1 239.3 304.6 288.7 11 11-1 11-2 11-3 11-4 11-6 11-7 11-9 Machinery and equipment ............................................................ Agricultural machinery and equipment........................................ Construction machinery and equipment...................................... Metalworking machinery and equipment .................................... General purpose machinery and equipment................................ Special industry machinery and equipment ................................ Ellectrical machinery and equipment .......................................... Miscellaneous machinery.......................................................... 263.3 288.3 320.8 301.3 288.7 307.9 220.2 252.6 272.0 302.8 332.0 312.9 297.9 316.4 227.0 260.4 274.1 303.1 337.0 315.9 300.0 320.4 228.7 261.4 275.4 304.6 337.9 317.2 301.3 320.7 229.5 264.0 276.2 306.4 339.2 317.8 302.0 321.3 230.3 264.9 277.6 306.8 341.5 319.6 303.4 322.9 231.7 266.1 278.2 308.2 343.5 320.7 303.8 323.9 231.3 267.9 278.6 309.7 343.9 321.2 303.5 325.0 231.5 268.5 279.6 311.0 346.1 322.5 304.8 327.1 231.6 269.5 '279.9 '312.2 '346.5 '322.8 '304.9 '326.7 '231.8 '270.9 280.3 313.6 347.5 322.6 304.5 327.0 232.5 271.1 280.9 317.0 346.6 322.4 305.5 327.9 233.0 270.9 281.3 318.1 347.8 323.0 306.0 329.1 233.0 271.7 281.8 319.9 347.9 323.1 306.6 330.1 233.3 272.0 12 12-1 12-2 12-3 12-4 12-5 12-6 Furniture and household durables ................................................ Household furniture.................................................................. Commercial furniture................................................................ Floor coverings ........................................................................ Household appliances .............................................................. Home electronic equipment ...................................................... Other household durable goods ................................................ 198.5 219.7 257.5 178.7 187.3 89.2 281.0 202.9 226.6 263.9 181.4 191.3 89.6 286.2 203.5 227.5 266.7 180.3 193.4 89.3 283.4 204.6 227.4 271.2 180.6 195.3 89.6 283.7 205.5 227.6 273.6 180.6 197.3 89.1 285.0 206.0 229.7 274.2 181.1 197.8 87.9 285.9 206.5 230.0 275.2 181.3 198.9 88.0 285.4 207.0 230.2 276.0 181.9 199.6 88.4 286.1 206.8 230.0 277.4 181.2 200.2 87.2 285.1 '208.1 '230.4 '278.1 '181.0 '201.0 88.0 '291.8 207.7 231.6 278.6 180.3 200.4 87.7 288.1 208.4 231.3 278.8 180.3 200.5 88.0 293.8 208.3 231.6 279.1 180.2 200.3 87.3 294.5 208.6 231.8 279.0 180.1 200.7 87.2 295.4 13 13-11 13-2 13-3 13-4 13-5 13-6 13-7 13-8 13-9 Nonmetallic mineral products........................................................ Flat glass ................................................................................ Concrete ingredients ................................................................ Concrete products.................................................................... Structural clay products, excluding refractories .......................... Flefractories ............................................................................ Asphalt roofing ........................................................................ Gypsum products .................................................................... Glass containers ...................................................................... Other nonmetallic minerals........................................................ 309.5 212.6 296.3 291.2 249.8 302.4 407.5 256.2 328.7 463.8 313.5 216.1 298.7 293.6 257.5 311.3 405.6 249.7 335.5 474.7 315.6 216.2 306.2 295.5 257.5 316.8 401.3 250.4 335.4 474.7 319.0 216.2 308.4 295.9 257.7 335.1 400.4 255.0 352.2 478.7 319.9 216.2 309.8 296.3 257.7 337.4 394.4 260.7 356.0 479.6 320.2 216.2 309.5 297.7 258.1 338.7 386.7 263.2 358.1 479.1 321.2 226.4 312.5 298.2 258.6 339.5 385.5 259.4 358.1 471.3 320.9 226.4 312.7 298.5 258.9 340.4 396.4 256.4 358.1 465.2 321.1 226.1 311.8 298.8 259.3 340.4 399.8 255.8 358.1 466.6 '320.5 '221.1 '311.2 '299.0 '263.9 '340.7 '400.1 253.9 '358.0 '466.0 320.2 221.1 311.2 298.6 259.5 341.3 400.2 253.9 357.9 466.2 321.2 221.1 311.9 298.7 259.5 341.3 405.1 255.1 358.4 470.4 321.5 225.3 311.7 298.1 264.3 337.7 397.5 254.9 358.5 471.3 320.9 225.3 309.3 298.5 264.3 337.7 395.4 253.9 358.5 470.6 14 14-1 14-4 Transportation equipment (12/68 = 100)...................................... Motor vehicles and equipment .................................................. Ftailroad equipment .................................................................. 235.4 237.6 336.1 246.8 249.5 340.1 248.6 250.8 345.8 245.2 246.8 345.8 245.2 246.8 346.3 245.8 247.2 343.5 247.5 249.2 342.8 249.1 251.1 342.8 249.8 '250.6 252.0 '252.8 342.6 '347.7 245.0 245.0 354.7 256.4 258.1 357.5 256.1 257.5 357.5 257.5 257.9 357.5 15 15-1 15-2 15-3 15-4 15-5 15-9 Miscellaneous products................................................................ Toys, sporting goods, small arms, ammunition............................ Tobacco products .................................................................... Notions.................................................................................... Photographic equipment and supplies ........................................ Mobile homes (12/74 = 100).................................................... Other miscellaneous products .................................................. 265.7 211.9 268.3 259.8 210.0 156.8 347.4 267.6 213.3 278.2 269.7 209.1 159.3 344.6 268.3 218.4 278.2 270.3 209.9 159.5 342.2 273.5 220.1 306.6 270.4 210.5 159.6 341.1 272.7 220.7 306.6 271.5 212.1 161.9 334.5 273.2 221.0 306.7 271.5 214.2 162.2 334.1 272.2 221.8 307.0 280.1 210.6 162.5 331.3 271.5 221.9 307.0 280.1 210.4 162.4 328.6 273.4 222.0 311.5 280.1 208.9 162.6 333.7 280.3 224.7 328.8 280.3 211.6 162.8 344.7 285.9 223.7 366.0 280.3 210.2 161.5 344.7 285.7 223.7 365.1 280.1 210.2 161.4 344.6 290.3 223.2 383.5 280.1 210.3 161.5 351.0 1Data for August 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 2 Prices for natural gas are lagged 1 month. 3 Includes only domestic production. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis '272.0 '223.5 '311.5 '280.1 '208.9 '162.8 '327.0 4 Most prices for refined petroleum products are lagged 1 month, 5 Some prices for industrial chemicals are lagged 1 month. r=revised. 83 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 23. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] Annual average 1981 1981 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. ' Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. All commodities— less farm products All fo o d s............................................................................ Processed foods .............................................................. Industrial commodities less fuels .......................................... Selected textile mill products (Dec. 1975 = 100) .................. Hosiery .............................................................................. Underwear and nightwear .................................................... Chemicals and allied products, including synthetic rubber and fibers and yarns ........................................................ 295.7 251.8 252.1 263.7 135.8 134.3 203.4 300.0 247.6 246.5 269.4 137.9 136.7 206.3 302.0 251.6 250.5 271.1 139.3 136.9 213.9 301.9 253.2 251.9 271,5 139.7 136.9 215.6 301.4 251.6 252.1 271.7 139.0 137,5 215.9 300.9 254.7 255.1 272.3 139.0 138.0 215.9 301.2 257.9 259.0 272.8 138.7 138.5 215.9 302.2 259.0 260.8 272.4 138.2 138.5 217.4 303.9 256.6 259.5 272,5 137,6 138.5 218.6 '304.1 '255.8 '258.7 '272.6 '137.8 138.5 '218.6 303.9 255.4 259.3 272.6 137.7 138.7 219.0 304.7 252.9 256.5 274.4 137.3 138.7 219.2 305.2 252.1 255.0 274.4 137.1 139.7 219.4 305.2 252.7 254.8 274.8 136.6 139.7 219.5 278.4 283.1 284.3 285.1 285.6 285.6 286.1 284.5 282.9 '283.3 283.2 282.3 282.4 281.2 Pharmaceutical preparations ................................................ Lumber and wood products, excluding millwork...................... Steel mill products, including fabricated wire products............ Finished steel mill products, excluding fabricated wire products .......................................................................... Finished steel mill products, including fabricated wire products.......................................................................... 186.9 303.0 337.6 193.3 290.7 348.9 196.8 289.9 350.6 199.3 287.9 350.3 201.1 288,5 350.5 204.5 290.5 352.2 205.8 288.1 352.1 205.4 294.5 349.9 205.9 294.6 348.4 '207.4 '288.3 ' 348.1 209.3 287,9 348.1 211.5 283.4 349.4 212.3 283.5 348.5 213.0 288.6 344.8 336.2 347.5 349.3 348.9 349.2 351.0 350.9 348.6 347.7 347.3 347.0 348.6 348.0 344.0 336.2 347.5 349.3 348.9 349.2 351.0 350.9 348.6 347.0 ' 346.7 346,7 348.2 347.2 343.3 Special metals and metal products ...................................... Fabricated metal products.................................................... Copper and copper products................................................ Machinery and motive products............................................ Machinery and equipment, except electrical .......................... 279.4 280.0 203.8 256,7 288.5 286,6 287.1 195.4 266.9 298.4 287.9 289.4 194.5 268.9 300.7 286.0 289.0 194.1 268.1 302.3 285.3 289.9 190.8 268.5 303.1 285.6 290.8 191.6 269.6 304.6 286.3 292.6 193.0 270.7 305,7 285.2 292.8 179.7 271.7 306.2 285.7 292.0 179.2 272.8 307.6 '285.8 '291.9 ' 179.8 273.3 '308.1 284.2 294.1 181.4 270.8 308.3 289.9 294.1 179.2 276.3 308.9 289.0 293.1 181.8 276.7 309.6 289.2 294,0 182.1 277.6 310.3 Agricultural machinery, including tractors .............................. Metalworking machinery ...................................................... Numerically controlled machine tools (Dec. 1971 = 100) . . . . Total tractors ...................................................................... Agricultural machinery and equipment less parts.................... 297.3 329.7 239.3 324.7 289.8 314.7 341.2 242.0 342.3 305.8 315.1 343.8 240.1 346.9 306.5 316.0 344.9 239.8 346.9 307.4 318.4 346.4 239.9 349.1 309.7 319.0 348.8 239.9 352.4 310.3 319.9 349.3 239.9 353.6 311.0 321.3 350.1 240.0 354.1 312.2 321.8 352.6 239.2 354.8 312.8 '322.8 '353.1 '239.2 '355.5 '313.6 324.6 353.6 239.8 358.9 315.1 329.8 354.2 239.8 360.8 319.5 331.3 354.3 239.8 360.7 320,8 333.7 354.2 239.8 363.2 323.1 Farm and garden tractors less parts .................................... Agricultural machinery, excluding tractors less parts .............. Industrial valves .................................................................. Industrial fittings .................................................................. Construction materials.......................................................... 300.1 295.2 315.9 302.1 283.0 319.7 310.9 325.3 304.1 285.2 319.7 311.6 328.6 304.1 286.6 319.7 313.2 330.2 304.1 286.9 323.5 314.6 330.5 304.1 287.5 323.5 315.6 331.1 309.1 288.2 325.0 316.1 331.2 309.1 288.2 325.8 317.9, 330.6 309.1 289.5 325.4 319.1 332.7 310.2 289.2 '326.0 '320.4 '332.7 310.2 '288.3 331.8 319.1 329.4 309.2 287.9 334.9 325.9 329.3 307.3 287.7 334.9 328.6 329.6 307.3 287.6 339.1 329.6 330.6 307.3 288.3 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Commodity grouping 1982 1Data for August 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 24. r=revised, Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product [1967 = 100] Annual average 1981 1981 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug.1 Total durable goods .......................................................... Total nondurable goods...................................................... 269.8 312.4 276.0 311.4 277.6 314.7 277.4 315.4 277.4 314.2 278.1 313.6 278.5 314.5 278.3 316.0 278.9 317,6 '278.8 '317.1 278.7 315.9 281.4 314.3 281.2 315.5 282.0 315.1 Total manufactures ............................................................ Durable ...................................................................... Nondurable ................................................................ 286.0 269.7 303.6 289.9 276.5 304.3 291.9 278.0 306.8 292.0 277.8 307.2 291.4 277.8 305.9 291.1 278.7 304.1 291.3 279.2 304.0 292.4 279.3 306.3 293.7 279.9 308.5 '293.8 '279.8 308.6 293.1 279.7 307.3 293.9 282.4 305.9 294.0 282.4 306.3 294.1 283.2 305.6 Total raw or slightly processed goods.................................. Durable ...................................................................... Nondurable ................................................................ 330.7 271.2 334.0 323.6 247.8 328.2 328.9 253.8 333.4 330.6 253.7 335.2 329.7 250.1 334.5 331.9 245.3 337.2 335.1 239.7 341.1 333.4 225.4 340.3 333.2 225.3 340.1 ' 331.1 '225.0 '337.9 330.3 227.0 336.9 328.2 225.1 334.8 331.1 220.0 338.2 331.5 218.2 338.8 Commodity grouping 1982 1Data for August July 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 25. r=revised, Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Industry description Annual average 1981 1981 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug.1 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 167.6 346.0 493.7 898.6 277.4 138.7 171.3 343.7 510.3 921.7 280.7 143.4 171.3 347.9 520.9 919.7 287.4 149.6 171.3 313.7 525.8 913.9 289.9 149.6 171.3 325.0 524.9 905.4 293.1 149.6 171.3 327.0 527.9 893.3 292.6 151.7 177.1 308.3 529.9 901.2 295.0 151.7 177.1 307.5 530.0 914.3 295.8 151.7 177.1 306.2 533.5 924.3 296.0 151.7 177.1 287.5 '535.0 926.7 '297.1 151.7 177.1 289.4 536.3 938.4 296.0 151.7 177.1 312.5 536.0 946.7 297.3 151.7 177.1 308.3 536.3 969.0 297.8 151.7 177.1 312.5 536.0 956.0 297.6 151.7 243.1 241.4 192.0 274.8 234.1 247.0 166.7 275.0 237.6 245.6 (2) 275.0 244.4 251.0 <2) 276.4 247.3 248.6 <2) 276.8 254.0 253.0 ( 2) 275.3 264.7 266.2 ( 2) 274.9 265.8 274.0 (2) 274.9 258.2 272.6 ( 2) 275.0 '252.9 '275.7 N.A. 276.3 253.1 282.3 (2) 276.8 242.6 277.5 (2) 276.8 2383 272.5 (2) 276.5 236.4 268.8 N.A, 277.8 1982 MINING 1011 1092 1211 1311 1442 1455 Iron ores (12/75 = 100)................................................ Mercury ores (12/75 = 100).......................................... Bituminous coal and lignite ............................................ Crude petroleum and natural gas.................................... Construction sand and gravel ........................................ Kaolin and ball clay (6/76 = 100) .................................. 2011 2013 2016 2021 Meatpacking plants........................................................ Sausages and other prepared meats .............................. Poultry dressing plants .................................................. Creamery butter............................................................ MANUFACTURING See footnotes at end of table. 84 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 25. Continued— Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Annual 1981 1981 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug.1 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1982 Industry description 2022 2024 2033 2034 2041 2044 2048 2061 2063 2067 MANUFACTURING - Continued Cheese, natural and processed (12/72 = 100).............. Ice cream and frozen desserts (12/72 = 100) .............. Canned fruits and vegetables........................................ Dehydrated food products (12/73 = 100)...................... Flour mills (12/71 = 100) ............................................ Rice milling.................................................................. Prepared foods, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100)............................ Raw cane sugar .......................................................... Beet sugar .................................................................. Chewing gum .............................................. ................ 215.7 211.9 248.5 177.6 196.0 277.2 124.5 273.5 314.3 309.8 218.4 212.7 258.9 182.1 189.2 215.1 116.0 230.8 250.5 303.2 218.6. 212.8 260.8 184.0 191.5 205.9 116.0 247.6 266.4 303.3 217.9 212.8 262.6 181.8 187.5 192.2 115.9 245.1 272.2 303.3 216.7 210.9 262.4 181.5 187.3 183.5 114.6 233.0 272.2 303.3 216.5 214.2 262.3 181.5 192.5 177.9 115.4 242.9 269.7 303.4 217.1 214.2 262.6 178.5 188.4 183 0 116.7 269.2 277.3 303.4 218.1 214.2 265.1 178.5 189.1 180.3 115.6 286.7 277.3 303.4 218.0 213.6 263.9 180.4 185.5 177.6 114.7 311.5 287.9 303.3 r 218.3 213.6 r 262.2 180.0 180.2 183.0 r 112.6 r 318.2 r 294.3 304.7 218.7 216.5 260.1 179.6 182.2 183.0 109.6 295.6 300.8 304.7 221.2 216.5 261.1 181.0 179.6 183.0 107.6 291.3 298.1 304.8 221.0 216.5 260.9 181.0 184.8 175.2 108.1 293.0 299.5 306.0 221.0 216.5 261.5 180.2 185.5 196.1 110.6 293.4 304.8 306.1 2074 2075 2077 2083 2085 2091 2092 2095 2098 2111 Cottonseed oil m ills...................................................... Soybean oil m ills.......................................................... Animal and marine fats and oils .................................... Mailt ............................................................................ Distilled liquor, except brandy (12/75 = 100) ................ Canned and cured seafoods (12/73 = 100) .................. Fresh or frozen packaged fish ...................................... Roasted coffee (12/72 = 100)...................................... Macaroni and spaghetti ................................................ Cigarettes.................................................................... 199.0 245.8 288.0 282.5 134.7 187.8 369.1 238.1 252.0 277.7 182.4 221.9 266.6 275.4 137.9 188.5 369.5 240.4 259.5 288.4 184.9 223.1 260.4 267.1 140.1 187.2 396.8 245.1 259.5 288.4 170.5 220.4 262.6 267.1 137.9 187.0 389.2 247.7 259.5 319.7 158.1 216.6 271.8 267.1 140.2 187.7 419.1 248.8 259.5 319.7 164.7 225.8 273.3 259.1 140.2 188.2 432.2 250.6 259.5 319.8 167.9 232.0 271.5 259.8 139.8 188.0 425.9 248.0 259.5 319.9 170.2 226.4 272.3 259.8 139.8 188.4 441.3 247.8 259.5 319.9 174.6 224.1 264.3 259.8 139.8 187.8 417.4 246.7 259.5 324.9 173.1 r 206.4 242.4 259.8 140.4 184.3 r 424.7 r 247.5 259.5 324.9 164.5 200.6 241.2 251.2 140.4 186.2 446.7 244.7 259.5 345.1 157.6 198.3 232.1 251.2 140.4 186.3 453.9 246.0 255.5 387.4 164.2 205.6 239.7 240.6 141.3 186.4 457.9 247.7 255.5 387.0 169.4 205.1 240.3 240.6 141.3 186.6 467.2 250.5 255.5 407.6 2121 2131 2211 2221 2251 2254 2257 2261 2262 Cigars ........................................................................ Chewing and smoking tobacco...................................... Weaving mills, cotton (12/72 - 100) ............................ Weaving mills, synthetic (12/77 = 100) ........................ Women’s hosiery, except socks (12/75 - 100).............. Knit underwear mills .................................................... Circular knit fabric mills (6/76 = 100)............................ Finishing plants, cotton (6/76 - 100) ............................ Finishing plants, synthetics, silk (6/76 = 100) ................ 170.0 320.7 232.7 136.7 113.5 210.2 110.9 144.9 126.5 174.5 326.1 227.6 139.5 115.2 213.0 111.8 141.4 128.6 174.5 326.1 227.3 139.8 115.6 225.2 112.4 140.5 129.4 178.6 349.4 227.1 139.7 115.6 225.2 113.2 140.3 129.9 178.6 349.4 226.4 140.0 116.1 225.9 110.7 140.8 128.5 179.6 349.4 226.3 139.2 116.2 226.0 110.2 141.6 128.5 179.6 353.6 226.4 138.5 116.9 226.1 109.9 141.5 128.4 179.6 353.6 224.4 137.9 116.9 228.8 108.3 141.4 127.6 179.6 358.4 222.0 137.2 116.8 230.9 108.7 140.3 126.8 r 179.6 r 358.4 r 222.1 137.1 r 116.9 r 231.2 r 108.8 139.8 r 129.0 176.8 358.5 218.6 136.4 117.0 231.2 108.6 138.4 128.1 176.8 375.1 215.4 136.3 116.8 231.4 108.0 136.8 127.4 176.8 358.5 220.7 135.1 118.5 231.4 107.7 136.2 127.7 176.8 373.8 220.5 134.9 118.4 231.4 107.4 136.1 127.2 2272 2281 2282 2284 2298 2311 2321 2322 2323 2327 Tufted carpets and rugs................................................ Yarn mills, except wool (12/71 = 100) .......................... Throwing and winding mills (6/76 - 100) ...................... Thread mills (6/76 - 100)............................................ Cordage and twine (12/77 - 100)................................ Men’s and boys' suits and coats................ ................ Men's and boys' shirts and nightwear ............................ Men's and boys' underwear.......................................... Men's and boys' neckwear (12/75 - 100) .................... Men’s and boys' separate trousers................................ 154.2 221.7 139.3 151.4 134.8 224.0 209.5 230.6 114.6 186.2 156.7 217.2 146.0 156.8 140.7 230.5 213.4 233.0 113.9 187.1 155.5 216.3 145.7 156.8 141.0 233.7 173.4 246.9 115.3 188.4 155.7 215.7 150.3 156.8 141.0 233.6 215.9 246.9 117.3 188.4 155.7 215.4 150.0 156.8 141.0 233.8 216.9 247.4 117.3 188.4 156.1 214.4 151.0 156.7 141.0 234.4 217.3 247.4 117.3 194.1 156.4 214.7 152.7 156.6 141.0 234.6 217.5 247.4 117.3 195.8 157.2 213.8 149.4 156.6 141.0 236.3 217.8 251.2 121.3 195.9 156.3 213.2 140.6 156.5 141.0 237.2 218.1 251.2 121.3 195.6 '156.1 '213.0 '140.5 158.0 141.0 239.8 '218.2 '250.7 121.3 195.6 156.1 213.1 142.5 158.0 142.6 240.0 219.4 250.7 121.3 195.6 156.1 211.8 124.4 157.9 142.6 240.0 219.4 251.3 121.3 195.5 155.9 212.5 143.7 157.8 142.6 240.1 220.9 252.1 121.3 192.9 155.9 211.8 144.4 157.8 142.6 241.0 220.4 250.0 121.3 193.8 2328 2331 2335 2341 2342 2361 2381 2394 2396 2421 Men’s and boys’ work clothing ...................................... Women’s and misses’ blouses and waists (6/78 = 100) . Women’s and misses’ dresses (12/77 = 100)................ Women's and children's underwear (12/72 - 100) ........ Brassieres and allied garments (12/75 = 100) .............. Children’s dresses and blouses (12/77 = 100).............. Fabric dress and work gloves........................................ Canvas and related products (12/77 = 100).................. Automotive and apparel trimmings (12/77 - 100).......... Sawmills and planing mills (12/71 = 1 0 0 )...................... 248.6 120.6 121.3 169.7 136.7 120.9 289.3 132.0 131.0 228.2 253.3 126.7 122.7 171.6 140.1 123.2 289.2 139.7 131.0 218.6 252.5 126.5 123.0 174.7 145.1 123.2 293.8 144.9 131.0 218.0 254.2 126.5 123.0 174.8 148 8 123.2 297.4 144.9 131.0 216.9 254.9 126.5 123.1 175.0 148.8 123.2 295.5 147.2 131.0 216.9 255.2 126.5 122.9 175.0 148.8 122.2 295.5 145.7 131.0 218.8 254.7 126.5 122.9 176.6 148.1 122.2 295.5 145.9 131.0 217.4 254.1 126.6 123.7 178.8 148.1 122.2 294.5 143.1 131.0 220.1 252.9 126.4 123.7 178.8 148.0 119.4 294.5 143.1 131.0 221.9 253.1 '126.7 123.6 '177.5 '148.0 120.3 288.2 '143.1 131.0 '217.2 252.3 123.8 122.7 178.1 150.2 118.6 288.2 145.4 131.0 216.3 252.0 123.8 122.8 178.6 149.8 118.6 287.4 148.0 131.0 213.5 251.5 125.5 122.9 177.1 149.7 117.0 287.4 148.0 131.0 211.7 251.6 124.8 123.1 177.1 149.9 117.0 287.4 148.0 131.0 214.2 2436 2439 2448 2451 2492 2511 2512 2515 2521 2611 Softwood veneer and plywood (12/75 = 100)................ Structural wood members, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) ............ Wood pallets and skids (12/75 = 100).......................... Mobile homes (12/74 = 100)........................................ Particleboard (12/75 = 100) ........................................ Wood household furniture (12/71 = 100) ...................... Upholstered household furniture (12/71 = 100).............. Mattresses and bedsprings............................................ Wood office furniture .................................................... Pulp mills (12/73 = 100).............................................. 142.0 156.6 152.5 156.9 173.6 197.4 174.0 192.3 254.2 252.4 134.5 153.2 149.9 160.3 170.3 202.8 182.1 198.0 257.6 262.5 132.5 153.9 149.8 160.4 172.6 203.6 184.4 204.4 261.9 258.6 130.5 153.5 149.0 160.5 170.7 204.3 179.3 205.6 270.7 258.6 131.8 152.6 148.2 162.7 177.7 205.1 179.3 205.6 270.8 260.7 129.1 153.4 145.9 163.0 178.2 207.4 181.8 205.7 270.8 253.6 125.9 152.8 144.7 163.3 178.0 207.7 182.3 205.9 270.8 249.7 133.6 154.2 144.2 163.2 178.1 208.0 182.3 205.9 270.8 244.3 129.6 156.1 144.1 163.5 176.7 208.2 181.3 205.7 270.9 236.5 '126.5 '155.2 '143.9 '163.7 '175.7 '208.1 '182.7 '205.9 '271.3 '235.3 128.6 154.4 143.8 163.7 175.3 208.0 185.9 210.4 272.4 235.4 124.7 154.1 144.3 162.6 173.4 208.8 183.2 210.3 272.4 232.6 128.0 153.8 144.1 162.4 173.7 209.1 183.7 210.3 272.4 229.4 131.1 153.5 144.5 162.6 175.1 209.4 184.1 210.3 272.4 2 c .o .l 2621 2631 2647 2654 2655 2812 2821 2822 2824 2873 Paper mills, except building (12/74 = 100).................... Paperboard mills (12/74 = 100) .................................. Sanitary paper products................................................ Sanitary food containers .............................................. Fiber cans, drums, and similar products (12/75 = 100) .. Alkalies and chlorine (12/73 = 100).............................. Plastics materials and resins (6/76 = 100).................... Synthetic rubber .......................................................... Organic fiber, noncellulosic............................................ Nitrogenous fertilizers (12/75 - 100) ............................ 156.2 151.7 343.4 244.8 163.0 305.9 150.8 293.3 155.6 142.8 159.6 152.7 344.6 253.3 170.0 324.8 154.3 302.7 161.9 142.9 162.0 152.5 344.6 254.0 176.4 329.4 150.7 303.9 161.8 142.4 162.0 153.4 344.6 256.9 176.5 335.2 152.6 306.1 162.9 142.6 162.0 153.0 344.5 260.0 176.5 335.6 151.0 306.7 161.6 142.2 161.3 152.8 344.5 259.9 176.5 322.0 152.6 306.6 162.5 141.7 160.3 151.3 343.6 259.9 176.7 341.1 150.9 307.1 161.6 140.5 160.6 149.8 346.2 259.9 176.7 334.8 150.3 303.8 161.3 139.5 160.1 148.9 346.9 259.9 176.7 324.1 150.1 301.8 159.4 135.9 '159.5 '149.2 '351.5 '259.9 177.5 325.8 '151.0 299.9 '159.6 '135.9 159.8 146.5 350.0 262.2 177.5 324.3 151.1 298.8 160.1 135.6 159.8 144.8 349.5 263.2 177.8 313.4 150.7 296.6 157.6 134.6 159.1 144.6 358.5 263.1 180.7 311.1 151.0 295.7 159.8 134.5 158.2 143.1 356.6 263.2 183.8 303.8 150.7 295.3 158.8 133.5 2874 2875 2892 2911 2951 2952 3011 Phosphatic fertilizers .................................................... Fertilizers, mixing only .................................................. Explosives .................................................................. Petroleum refining (6/76 = 100) .................................. Paving mixtures and blocks (12/75 = 100).................... Asphalt felts and coatings (12/75 = 100)...................... Tires and inner tubes (12/73 = 100) ............................ 254.1 270.7 311.9 294.4 194.3 176.9 215.8 259.0 270.5 315.6 293.1 196.0 176.1 221.2 261.0 274.3 314.9 293.0 197.0 174.2 222.0 263.5 276.8 317.6 289.1 198.0 173.8 222.4 261.6 278.4 320.5 281.7 198.1 171.2 220.3 258.2 278.7 327.2 267.4 197.1 168.1 216.7 256.2 278.6 326.1 259.2 196.3 168.4 221.3 257.3 279.0 326.5 267.9 195.0 173.1 221.5 255.9 278.4 324.4 281.5 194.8 174.7 221.3 '247.9 '277.8 '324.6 283.7 '194.1 '174.4 226.2 245.9 275.4 337.3 280.3 194.8 174.5 221.7 247.1 274.7 335.6 278.5 196.7 176.5 221.9 240.0 271.4 335.4 280.5 197.2 173.1 221.0 238.7 270.7 335.2 278.4 196.8 172.3 222.1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 85 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 25. Continued— Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC industries [1967=100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Annual 1981 1981 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug.1 Sept Oct Nov. Dec. Industry description 1982 3021 3031 3079 3111 3143 3144 3171 3211 3221 Rubber and plastic footwear (12/71 = 1 0 0 ) .................................... Reclaimed rubber (12/73 =100) .................................................... Miscellaneous plastic products (6/78 = 100) .................................. Leather tanning and finishing (12/77 = 100).................................... Men’s footwear, except athletic (12/75 = 100)................................ Women’s footwear, except athletic.................................................. Women’s handbags and purses (12/75 = 100) .............................. Flat glass (12/71 = 100) .............................................................. Glass containers............................................................................ 184.4 194.1 128.9 150.7 169.3 217.1 155.5 175.3 328.6 185.2 200.3 131.0 147.5 171.3 212.4 158.4 177.4 335.4 186.1 200.3 131.1 150.8 173.1 208.5 158.4 177.5 335.3 188.4 200.4 131.6 149.3 172.2 209.8 158.4 177.5 352.1 189.1 207.2 132.8 147.9 173.5 210.3 158.4 177.5 355.8 189.0 209.2 133.2 146.8 174.9 217.0 158.4 177.5 358.0 186.6 209.5 133.0 147.4 175.1 216.2 158.4 187.9 358.0 187.0 210.7 133.1 147.3 171.6 220.1 158.4 187.9 358.0 187.1 209.9 132.9 147.4 175.3 220.8 158.5 187.7 358.0 186.8 r 209.7 r 132.9 146.5 175.5 r 221.2 157.8 r 186.3 r 357.8 185.9 207.6 132.7 148.5 175.7 222.2 159.0 186.3 357.7 185.9 207.5 132.7 148.7 175.8 223.3 159.0 186.3 358.3 185.8 207.0 132.6 149.6 175.8 223.3 159.3 187.8 358.3 186.3 206.5 133.0 149.8 174.7 223.1 1t2.5 187.8 358.3 3241 3251 3253 3255 3259 3261 3262 3263 3269 3271 Cement, hydraulic.......................................................................... Brick and structural clay tile ............................................................ Ceramic wall and floor tile (12/75 = 100) ...................................... Clay refractories............................................................................ Structural clay products, n.e.c........................................................... Vitreous plumbing fixtures .............................................................. Vitreous china food utensils............................................................ Fine earthenware food utensils........................................................ Pottery products, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100)............................................ Concrete block and brick................................................................ 329.6 296.5 133.4 310.2 222.6 254.9 335.0 309.1 160.1 270.4 330.3 300.5 140.4 319.9 236.6 260.1 344.7 315.0 163.7 275.1 339.6 298.9 140.4 329.6 225.6 261.1 347.7 315.1 164.3 274.9 341.5 299.4 140.4 354.4 226.0 260.6 347.7 315.1 164.3 276.4 341.5 299.4 140.4 355.6 225.9 260.8 347.3 315.0 164.2 276.4 341.1 303.4 140.6 355.2 215.9 261.8 346.5 314.9 164.0 276.5 341.9 304.5 140.6 355.5 215.8 265.4 355.5 316.2 166.3 276.7 341.9 305.0 140.6 356.2 215.9 265.5 360.2 316.9 167.4 277.0 339.8 305.9 140.6 356.3 215.9 264.2 360.2 316.9 167.4 277.5 r 338.3 r 313.8 '140.7 r 356.8 ' 219.0 263.9 r 360.2 r 316.9 r 167.4 r 277.5 335.1 307.5 138.0 357.9 219.5 267.1 349.8 314.8 164.8 276.8 336.2 307.5 138.0 357.9 219.5 269.1 350.3 321.3 166.9 276.9 335.4 316.9 138.0 351.2 219.4 270.3 359.4 322.7 169.1 275.2 330.0 316.9 138.0 351.2 219.5 269.7 366.8 323.7 170.9 275.1 3273 3274 3275 3291 3297 3312 3313 3316 3317 3321 Ready-mixed concrete.................................................................... Lime (12/75 = 100)...................................................................... Gypsum products .......................................................................... Abrasive products (12/71 = 100) .................................................. Nonclay refractories (12/74 = 100)................................................ Blast furnaces and steel mills ........................................................ Electrometallurgical products (12/75 = 100) .................................. Cold finishing of steel shapes.......................................................... Steel pipes and tubes .................................................................... Gray Iron foundries (12/68 = 100).................................................. 298.7 172.5 256.9 232.9 185.3 342.8 121.8 316.2 341.5 299.7 299.6 173.8 250.6 241.0 190.3 353.3 125.3 326.7 363.0 306.1 301.9 178.8 250.9 241.3 191.2 354.7 125.3 327.0 363.7 307.9 301.9 183.7 253.9 248.3 198.3 354.4 123.4 327.0 364.1 310.0 302.5 185.7 260.5 249.8 200.4 354.4 120.3 327.0 365.8 311.5 303.9 186.3 262.5 250.2 202.3 356.1 120.3 327.1 365.9 311.9 305.5 188.0 258.8 251.7 203.2 355.9 120.3 327.3 365.9 311.1 305.5 188.3 256.2 252.1 203.8 353.7 120.4 325.6 365.7 311.5 306.3 188.0 256.5 252.1 203.8 353.3 120.4 326.2 364.1 311.4 r 305.8 r 188.0 254.3 252.3 203.8 r 352.5 121.4 r 326.1 360.9 309.6 305.4 188.2 254.7 252.3 203.8 352.3 121.4 325.1 361.0 309.7 306.1 188.1 255.8 252.3 203.8 354.0 121.3 324.3 361.0 314.4 305.6 187.8 253.1 252.3 203.7 353.4 121.3 322.5 360.6 314.2 306.0 186.0 251.3 252.3 203.6 349.6 121.2 322.1 358.9 314.2 3333 3334 3351 3353 3354 3355 3411 3425 3431 3465 Primary zin c.................................................................................. Primary aluminum.......................................................................... Copper rolling and drawing ............................................................ Aluminum sheet, plate, and foil (12/75 = 100) ................................ Aluminum extruded products (12/75 = 100).................................... Aluminum rolling, drawing, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) .............................. Metal cans.................................................................................... Hand saws and saw blades (12/72 = 100) .................................... Metal sanitary ware........................................................................ Automotive stampings (12/75 = 100) ............................................ 326.3 333.1 212.3 175.8 180.1 159.1 305.1 201.4 265.5 146.0 315.7 332.8 207.1 180.8 181.1 166.1 304.9 206.0 271.8 149.1 308.6 324.1 204.8 181.8 180.8 166.1 310.8 211.6 271.3 150.1 311.2 320.2 203.9 181.7 180.8 166.5 314.0 214.8 272.8 144.7 292.0 320.8 198.4 181.2 180.5 166.3 313.6 214.9 275.1 144.2 273.4 312.4 196.4 179.9 1802 162.9 318.6 215.3 275.8 144.3 256.6 308.8 197.4 178.6 180.2 163.0 318.7 221.3 275.5 144.5 259.7 307.9 190.0 178.0 180.1 165.4 318.7 221.4 276.1 144.5 266.4 305.7 189.5 178.0 179.6 164.7 318.6 221.5 276.9 144.5 277.0 r306.0 r 190.0 r 176.9 r 178.8 164.5 r 318.1 r 221.6 '276.7 '144.9 291.6 304.4 190.9 177.2 178.0 165.9 318.1 221.2 276.4 153.5 302.9 303.5 191.3 176.3 177.7 160.0 318.0 221.2 278.1 154.1 304.8 306.0 193.8 175.8 175.4 160.7 316.7 221.4 278.1 153.7 288.2 305.1 194.4 175.9 175.1 161.8 313.2 221.2 278.5 153.7 3482 3493 3494 3498 3519 3531 3532 3533 3534 3542 Small arms ammunition (12/75 = 100) .......................................... Steel springs, except wire .............................................................. Valves and pipe fittings (12/71 = 1 0 0 )............................................ Fabricated pipe and fittings ............................................................ Internal combustion engines, n.e.c..................................................... Construction machinery (12/76 = 100) .......................................... Mining machinery (12/72 = 100).................................................... Oilfield machinery and equipment.................................................... Elevators and moving stairways.............................................. Machine tools, metal forming types (12/71 = 100) .................... 159.0 245.9 248.9 361.3 311.9 156.8 282.5 395.8 253.9 306.9 163.9 256.1 255.7 379.3 325.4 159.7 292.9 420.3 265.6 319.3 167.5 255.8 257.7 378.6 329.4 162.5 295.5 427.2 264.3 319.7 167.5 257.4 258.9 377.7 332.0 162.4 297.8 429.2 269.8 322.8 167.5 256.4 259.1 379.8 332.6 163.3 300.9 435.8 271.6 324.5 166.3 254.3 260.3 385.5 334.2 164.3 302.4 439.3 271.8 325.2 166.3 254.5 260.9 385.4 338.4 165.2 304.0 438.4 275.5 325.5 170.3 254.4 260.6 385.4 339.1 165.4 304.2 438.7 275.5 326.5 170.3 252.5 261.8 383.8 341.1 166.5 304.5 439.3 273.5 333.6 '170.3 253.5 '261.8 '385.1 '345.4 166.7 '304.0 439.6 '275.3 333.6 175.9 253.5 260.0 382.4 347.1 166.8 304.5 439.1 275.3 333.3 175.9 253.7 259.8 383.2 347.3 166.2 305.4 436.9 274.2 333.5 175.9 253.7 259.9 382.1 347.5 167.1 306.4 437.0 277.7 334.0 174.8 253.7 260.6 379.5 347.7 167.1 306.5 436.4 278.8 334.2 3546 3552 3553 3576 3592 3612 3623 3631 3632 3633 Power driven hand tools (12/76 = 100).......................................... Textile machinery (12/69 = 100)................................................ Woodworking machinery (12/72 = 100)........................................ Scales and balances, excluding laboratory ...................................... Carburetors, pistons, rings, valves (6/76 = 100)............................ Transformers .............................................................................. Welding apparatus, electric (12/72 = 100)...................................... Household cooking equipment (12/75 = 100).................................. Household refrigerators, freezers (6/76 = 100) .............................. Household laundry equipment (12/73 = 100).................................. 147.3 243.5 225.0 226.2 178.0 209.9 227.5 141.2 132.8 174.3 150.0 249.9 229.1 226.5 187.3 222.0 235.8 142.6 137.9 178.8 153.3 252.3 233.7 228.3 185.3 220.5 236.8 146.0 140.1 180.1 153.2 253.5 232.9 228.8 189.6 222.2 236.9 146.8 141.1 180.5 153.9 255.0 233.4 229.8 190.4 222.4 232.3 147.2 142.3 186.2 154.7 256.2 234.7 229.6 192.8 223.3 237.6 146.2 142.5 186.9 156.3 257.3 234.7 229.5 '195.4 224.7 237.6 147.1 143.2 188.6 156.3 259.2 234.9 230.6 195.9 225.2 237.8 146.9 144.3 189.0 158.4 260.1 230.4 231.9 196.9 225.0 241.6 148.3 145.5 189.1 '158.6 '259.2 230.6 231.9 '197.4 '226.1 '242.4 '150.3 145.9 189.7 157.2 259.3 230.6 231.9 197.6 224.6 237.7 151.0 145.9 190.1 157.5 261.3 230.7 232.0 198.2 223.9 237.8 151.1 145.4 190.5 158.3 262.0 231.1 232.1 198.2 223.8 238.0 151.8 145.4 190.4 158.3 262.0 231.1 232.8 198.3 223.9 238.3 151.9 145.4 191.5 3635 3636 3641 3644 3646 3648 3671 3674 3675 3676 Household vacuum cleaners .......................................................... Sewing machines (12/75 = 100)................................................ Electric lamps................................................................................ Noncurrent-carrying wiring devices (12/72 = 100) .................... Commercial lighting fixtures (12/75 = 100) .................................... Lighting equipment, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) ........................................ Electron tubes receiving type .................................... Semiconductors and related devices ........................................ Electronic capacitors (12/75 = 100) ...................................... Electronic resistors (12/75 = 100).......................................... 159.1 146.8 277.3 249.6 154.8 155.9 309.7 r 90.9 170.3 141.4 160.8 156.0 281.3 262.1 159.2 163.1 342.2 91.7 166.6 142.8 165.6 156.0 282.1 257.9 159.2 162.8 374.1 90.9 167.4 143.7 165.2 155.8 286.1 259.0 161.1 167.8 374.2 90.2 169.7 144.0 165.7 155.8 283.6 258.1 162.4 168.8 374.4 90.0 168.4 143.4 165.4 154.3 296.6 260.0 163.5 170.9 374.5 89.5 167.6 144.4 165.5 154.3 294.5 262.7 167.7 171.2 374.4 89.3 166.6 145.2 165.6 154.3 293.9 260.8 166.5 171.1 374.5 89.5 166.8 144.9 165.6 154.3 291.8 260.1 165.9 171.1 375.4 90.6 165.7 144.4 '166.7 '153.6 '293.7 260.3 '165.6 171.2 '375.4 '88.2 '166.3 144.6 159.5 153.0 296.3 261.3 165.4 171.2 380.7 90.8 165.5 144.8 159.2 153.6 302.9 261.9 165.7 171.2 380.8 88.4 164.4 145.2 157.0 157.0 153.6 153.6 303.0 303.4 261.6 263.6 165.9 169.3 171.2 ■ 171.5 414.5 414.5 88.3 88.8 163.8 163.8 145.4 146.3 3678 3692 3711 3942 3944 3955 3995 3996 Electronic connectors (12/75 = 100)........................................ Primary batteries, dry and w e t............................................ Motor vehicles and car bodies (12/75 = 100).................................. Dolls (12/75 = 100)...................................................... Games, toys, and children’s vehicles .............................................. Carbon paper and Inked ribbons (12/75 = 100).............................. Burial caskets (6/76 = 100) .......................................................... Hard surface floor coverings (12/75 = 100)................................ 154.9 182.2 150.3 131.3 221.3 138.5 139.5 151.8 155.8 182.7 159.1 130.9 223.9 140.3 142.7 153.7 155.9 182.0 159.8 135.5 228.4 140.3 142.7 155.1 156.2 184.3 155.0 136.6 232.5 140.3 143.8 155.2 156.7 190.5 154.9 136.6 234.1 140.3 145.3 156.1 156.4 195.5 154.9 136.8 234.1 140.3 145.3 156.1 158.3 195.8 157.0 136.8 234.3 140.5 149.3 156.3 159.8 196.2 159.0 136.8 234.3 140.6 149.3 154.3 159.1 196.3 159.1 136.8 234.4 140.4 150.8 155.0 '159.0 196.3 '159.7 '136.8 '234.4 140.5 150.8 155.7 159.8 196.8 151.4 136.5 232.1 139.3 150.8 156.9 160.9 198.1 162.8 136.5 232.6 139.3 150.8 156.9 160.4 198.1 162.8 136.5 232.8 139.2 150.8 156.9 1Data for August 1982 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 86 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Not available, r=revised. 161.3 198.1 163.1 136.5 232.8 139.4 150.8 156.8 PRODUCTIVITY DATA P r o d u c t i v it y d a t a are compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from establishment data and from estimates of com pensation and output supplied by the U.S. Department of Commerce and the Federal Reserve Board. Definitions Output is the constant dollar gross domestic product produced in a given period. Indexes of output per hour of labor input, or labor pro ductivity, measure the value of goods and services produced per hour of labor. Compensation per hour includes wages and salaries of em ployees plus employers’ contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. The data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplementary payments for the self-employed, except for nonfinancial corporations, in which there are no self-employed. Real com pensation per hour is compensation per hour adjusted by the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. Unit labor cost measures the labor compensation cost required to produce one unit of output and is derived by dividing compensation by output. Unit nonlabor payments include profits, depreciation, in terest, and indirect taxes per unit of output. They are computed by subtracting compensation of all persons from the current dollar gross domestic product and dividing by output. In these tables, unit nonlabor costs contain all the components of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. Unit profits include corporate profits and invento ry valuation adjustments per unit of output. The implicit price deflator is derived by dividing the current dollar estimate of gross product by the constant dollar estimate, making the deflator, in effect, a price index for gross product of the sector reported. 26. The use of the term “man hours” to identify the labor component of productivity and costs, in tables 26 through 29, has been discontin ued. Hours of all persons is now used to describe the labor input of payroll workers, self-employed persons, and unpaid family workers. Output per all-employee hour is now used to describe labor productiv ity in nonfinancial corporations where there are no self-employed. Notes on the data In the business sector and the nonfarm business sector, the basis for the output measure employed in the computation of output per hour is Gross Domestic Product rather than Gross National Product. Computation of hours includes estimates of nonfarm and farm propri etor hours. Output data are supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Quarterly manufacturing output indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual estimates of output (gross product originating) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Compensation and hours data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Beginning with the September 1982 issue of the R ev ie w , all of the productivity and cost measures contained in these tables are based on revised output and compensation measures released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis in July as part of the regular revision cycle of the National Income and Product Accounts. Measures of labor input have been revised to reflect results of the 1980 census, and seasonal factors have been recomputed for use in the preparation of quarterly measures. The word “private” is no longer being used as part of the series title of one of the two business sector measures prepared by BLS; no change has been made in the definition or content of the measures as a result of this change. Annual indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, selected years, 1950-81 [1977=100] Item Business sector: Output per hour of all persons ........................ Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor co s t................................................ Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator ...................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ........................ Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor c o st................................................ Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator ...................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees .................... Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor co s t................................................ Unit nonlabor payments .................................. Implicit price deflator ...................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ........................ Compensation per hour .................................. Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor c o s t................................................ Unit nonlabor payments ................................ Implicit price deflator .................................... 1Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 504 20.0 50.5 39.7 43.4 41.0 58.3 26.4 59.6 45.2 47.6 46.0 65.2 33.9 69.5 52.0 50.6 51.6 78.3 41.7 80.1 53.3 57.6 54.7 86.2 58.2 90.8 67.5 63.2 66.0 92.5 78.0 95.9 84.4 78.5 82.4 94.5 85.5 96.3 90.5 90.4 90.5 97.6 92.9 989 95.1 94.0 94.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.6 108.6 100.9 108.0 106.7 107.5 99.6 119.1 99.4 119.5 112.8 117.2 98.9 131.4 96.7 132.9 119.3 128.3 100.7 144.1 96.0 143.1 135.2 140.4 56.3 21.8 55.0 38.8 42.7 40.1 62.8 28.3 64.0 45.0 47.8 46.0 68.3 35.7 73.0 52.2 50.4 51.6 80.5 42.8 82.2 53.2 58.0 54.8 86.8 58.7 91.5 67.6 63.7 66.3 92.9 78.5 96.4 84.5 75.8 81.6 94.7 86.0 96.8 90.8 88.5 90.0 97.8 93.0 99.0 95.1 93.5 94.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.6 108.6 100.9 108.0 105.3 107.1 99.3 118.8 99.2 119.6 110.3 116.5 98.5 130.9 96.3 133.0 119.1 128.3 99.9 143.6 95.7 143.8 134.8 140.8 1981 ( 1) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) ( ') (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) <’ ) (’ ) (’ ) 68.0 37.0 75.8 54.4 54.6 54.5 81.9 43.9 84.3 53.5 60.8 56.1 87.4 59.4 92.7 68.0 63.1 66.3 92.8 78.5 96.5 84.7 75.6 81..6 95.5 86.1 96.9 90.2 90.8 90.4 98.2 92.9 98.9 94.6 95.0 94.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.9 108.5 100.8 107.5 104.2 106.4 100.7 118.7 99.1 117.8 106.9 114.1 100.3 130.9 96.2 130.5 117.7 126.1 102.0 143.5 95.6 140.6 134.8 138.6 49.4 21.5 54.0 43,4 54.3 46.6 56.4 28.8 65.1 51.0 58.5 53.2 60.0 36.7 75.1 61.1 61.1 61.1 74.5 42.8 82.3 57.5 69.3 61.0 79.1 57.6 89.8 72.7 65.0 70.5 90.8 76.3 93.8 84.1 69.3 79.8 93.4 854 96.2 91.5 87.3 90.3 97.5 92.3 98.3 94.6 93.7 94.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.9 108.3 100.6 107.4 102.5 106.0 101.5 118.9 99.2 117.1 99.9 112.0 101.7 132.8 97.7 130.6 97.1 120.8 104.5 146.4 97.5 140.0 108.8 130.8 r= revised. 87 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Productivity 27. Annual changes in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, 1971-81 Business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per ho u r...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per h o u r...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees........................ Compensation per hou r...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per h o u r...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1950-81 1960-81 3.6 6.6 2.2 2.9 7.6 4.4 3.5 6.5 3.1 2.9 4.5 3.4 2.6 8.0 1.6 5.3 5.9 5.5 -2.4 9.4 -1.4 12.1 4.4 9.5 2.2 9.6 0.5 7.3 15.1 9.8 3.3 8.6 2.6 5.1 4.0 4.7 2.4 7.7 1.2 5.1 6.4 5.6 0.6 8.6 0.9 8.0 6.7 7.5 -0.9 9.7 -1.4 10.7 5.7 9.0 -0.7 10.4 -2.8 11.2 5.8 9.4 1.8 9.6 -0.7 7.7 13.3 9.5 2.5 6.2 2.4 3.6 3.5 3.6 2.1 7.3 1.8 5.0 4.7 4.9 3.3 6.6 2.2 3.2 7.4 4.5 3.7 6.7 3.3 2.9 3.2 3.0 2.4 7.6 1.3 5.0 1.3 3.8 -2.5 9.4 -1.4 12.2 5.9 10.2 2.0 9.6 0.4 7.5 16.7 10.3 3.2 8.1 2.2 4.7 5.7 5.0 2.2 7.5 1.0 5.2 6.9 5.7 0.6 8.6 0.9 8.0 5.3 7.1 -1.3 9.3 -1.7 10.7 4.7 8.8 -0.9 10.2 -2.9 11.2 8.0 10.2 1.4 9.7 -0.7 8.1 13.1 9.7 2.2 5.9 2.1 3.7 3.5 3.6 1.9 7.0 1.5 5.0 4.6 4.9 4.7 6.4 2.0 1.6 7.4 3.5 2.9 5.7 2.4 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.4 7.5 1.2 4.9 1.5 3.8 -3.7 9.4 -1.5 13.6 7.1 11.4 2.9 9.6 0.4 6.5 20.1 10.9 2.9 7.9 2.0 4.9 4.6 4.8 1.8 7.6 1.1 5.7 5.3 5.6 0.9 8.5 0.8 7.5 4.2 6.4 -0.2 9.4 -1.7 9.6 2.6 7.2 -0.4 10.3 -2.9 10.7 10.1 10.5 1.7 9.6 -0.7 7.8 14.6 10.0 (’ ) ( 1) ( ') ( ') (’ ) (’ ) M.8 r6.7 M.3 4.8 4.1 4.6 5.0 5.4 2.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 5.4 7.2 0.9 1.7 -3.3 0.3 -2.4 10.6 -0.3 13.3 -1.8 9.0 2.9 11.9 2.5 8.8 25.9 13.1 4.4 8.0 2.1 3.4 7.4 4.6 2.5 8.3 1.8 5.7 6.7 6.0 0.9 8.3 0.6 7.4 2.5 6.0 0.7 9.7 -1.4 9.0 -2.6 5.7 0.2 11.8 -1.6 11.6 -2.7 7.8 2.8 10.2 -0.2 7.2 12.0 8.4 6.1 6.1 1.8 0.0 11.2 3.1 1Not available. 28. Annual rate of change Year Item 2.6 5.8 2.0 3.1 2.1 2.8 2.7 6.9 1.4 4.1 2.7 3.7 r = revised. Quarterly indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted [1977=100] Item Business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per ho u r...................................... Real compensation per hour.................................. Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per hour ...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... Unit nonlabor payments...................................... Implicit price deflator .......................................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees........................ Compensation per h o u r...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Total unit costs .................................................. Unit labor cost ............................................ Unit nonlabor costs...................................... Unit profits ........................................................ Implicit price deflator .......................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ............................ Compensation per h o u r...................................... Real compensation per hour................................ Unit labor cost.................................................... r= revised. 88 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Quarterly indexes Annual average 1980 1981 1982 1980 1981 I II III IV I II 98.9 131.4 96.7 132.9 119.3 128.3 100.7 144.1 96.0 143.1 135.2 140.4 99.3 126.7 97.0 127.6 116.0 123.7 98.2 130.0 96.4 132.3 116.2 126.9 98.9 133.1 96.9 134.7 120.6 129.9 99.3 136.1 96.2 137.0 124.6 132.8 100.7 140.0 96.2 139.0 131.8 136.5 100.7 142.5 96.4 141.5 133.4 138.8 101.0 145.6 95.7 144.2 137.4 141.9 100.2 148.2 95.6 147.9 138.3 144.6 98.5 130.9 96.3 133.0 119.1 128.3 99.9 143.6 95.7 143.8 134.8 140.8 98.7 126.2 96.6 127.8 115.2 123.6 97.6 129.3 96.0 132.5 116.7 127.2 98.4 132.6 96.5 134.7 120.3 129.9 99.2 135.7 95.9 136.8 124.4 132.7 100.4 139.5 96.0 139.0 131.5 136.5 100.0 142.0 96.0 141.9 132.8 138.9 100.0 145.1 95.4 145.1 136.7 142.3 100.3 130.9 96.2 131.0 130.5 132.5 87.9 126.1 102.0 143.5 95.6 143.4 140.6 151.4 101.6 138.6 100.2 126.1 96.5 125.0 125.8 122.7 91.1 121.1 99.3 129.3 95.9 130.4 130.2 131.0 81.9 124.8 100.6 132.6 96.6 132.9 131.9 135.7 87.8 127.7 101.1 135.6 95.8 135.8 134.1 140.7 90.5 130.6 102.3 139.6 96.0 138.3 136.5 143.4 104.7 134.5 102.2 141.9 96.0 141.7 138.9 149.6 98.8 136.8 101.7 132.8 97.7 130.6 104.5 146.4 97.5 140.0 102.6 127.1 97.3 123.9 100.4 130.9 97.1 130.3 100.3 135.2 98.5 134.9 103.6 138.4 97.8 133.6 105.2 142.6 98.0 135.5 105.0 144.9 97.9 138.0 p= preliminary. III IV I II III 100.0 150.9 96.5 150.9 136.4 146.0 100.3 153.4 97.1 152.9 137.0 147.5 101.4 155.7 96.8 153.6 140.1 149.0 99.1 147.7 95.3 149.0 138.4 145.5 99.2 150.4 96.3 151.6 136.7 146.6 99.4 152.7 96.6 153.5 137.2 148.1 100.4 155.1 96.4 154.5 140.3 149.8 102.2 144.8 95.2 144.7 141.7 153.1 105.2 140.2 101.6 147.7 95.3 149.1 145.4 159.6 97.6 143.2 101.6 150.7 96.5 151.8 148.3 161.8 86.1 144.3 102.3 153.0 96.8 153.8 149.5 166.0 82.3 145.6 103.5 155.2 96.4 154.8 150.0 168.5 88.7 147.2 105.0 147.3 96.8 140.3 102.8 150.7 97.2 146.6 102.1 154.7 99.0 151.5 102.3 157.6 99.7 154.0 104.2 160.0 99.4 153.6 29. Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted at annual rate [1977=100] Percent change from same quarter a year ago Quarterly percent change at annual rate Item Business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor costs .......................................... Unit nonlabor payments .............................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor costs .......................................... Unit nonlabor payments .............................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Nonflnancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees ................ Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Total unit costs .......................................... Unit labor costs ...................................... Unit nonlabor costs.................................. Unit profits.................................................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor costs .......................................... r= revised. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis III 1981 to III 1982 II 1982 to III 1982 I11980 to II 1981 III 1980 to III 1981 IV 1980 to IV 1981 11981 to I 1982 I11981 to II 1982 1.4 6.9 2.2 5.5 1.7 4.3 4.2 6.1 -1.4 1.8 9.3 4.1 2.5 9.7 -0.1 6.9 14.8 9.4 2.2 9.4 -1.3 7.1 13.9 9.2 0.9 8.9 -0.6 7.9 11.0 8.9 -0.7 7.8 0.3 8.6 3.5 6.9 -0.4 7.6 0.8 8.1 2.7 6.3 0.4 6.9 1.1 6.5 2.0 5.0 0.6 7.7 4.3 7.1 -4.6 3.3 0.8 6.1 1.4 5.2 1.3 4.0 4.0 6.6 -0.9 2.6 9.5 4.7 2.5 9.8 1.6 9.4 -1.2 7.7 13.6 9.6 -0.1 8.8 -0.6 8.9 11.2 9.6 -1.1 7.8 0.3 9.0 4.0 7.4 -0.6 7.5 0.6 8.2 3.3 6.6 0.4 6.9 1.1 6.5 2.7 5.3 -2.4 8.2 0.3 12.8 10.9 17.8 -35.9 8.9 0.3 8.4 5.0 7.4 8.1 5.7 -39.4 3.0 2.7 6.2 1.6 5.4 3.4 10.7 -16.7 3.8 4.6 5.9 -1.6 2.6 1.2 6.4 35.4 4.6 8.7 6.7 14.2 20.7 9.6 1.6 9.2 -1.4 8.9 7.5 12.9 19.7 9.7 0.5 8.9 -0.5 9.8 8.4 13.4 7.9 9.6 -0.6 8.0 0.5 9.7 8.6 12.8 -17.8 7.3 r0.2 '7.8 r0.9 8.5 7.6 10.9 -16.7 6.4 1.3 7.2 1.3 7.0 5.8 10.1 -15.6 5.0 -8.2 9.6 1.6 19.4 -2.4 11.1 7.6 13.9 0.8 7.8 3.1 6.9 7.3 6.2 -1.3 -1.0 4.5 10.7 0.9 5.9 4.7 8.9 -1.7 4.0 -0.8 8.9 -0.6 9.8 -2.9 8.5 1.0 11.7 -2.5 8.8 1.8 11.6 -0.8 8.7 2.7 9.5 I11981 to III 1981 III 1981 to IV 1981 IV 1981 to 11982 0.0 7.5 0.5 7.5 4.9 6.6 1.1 9.0 -2.6 7.8 12.5 9.3 -2.9 7.4 -0.4 10.6 2.9 8.0 -1.0 7.3 3.9 8.4 -5.4 3.8 -1.3 7.1 0.1 8.6 4.0 7.1 -0.3 9.0 -2.6 9.3 12.1 10.2 -3.5 7.3 -0.5 11.2 5.1 9.2 -0.4 6.8 -0.1 10.2 7.3 18.5 -20.8 7.1 0.2 8.4 -3.1 8.6 8.2 9.8 28.4 10.2 -0.7 6.6 -0.4 7.3 -0.1 6.8 -4.6 6.8 I 1981 to II 1981 1 1982 to II 1982 0.0 7.1 13.8 9.2 2.9 9.8 0.0 p= preliminary. 89 WAGE AND COMPENSATION DATA d a t a FOR THE e m p l o y m e n t c o st i n d e x are reported to the Bureau of Labor Statistics by a sample of 2,000 private non farm establishments and 750 State and local government units selected to represent total employment in those sectors. On average, each reporting unit provides wage and compensation information on five well-specified occupations. Data on negotiated wage and benefit changes are obtained from contracts on file at the Bureau, direct contact with the parties, and secondary sources. Definitions The Employment Cost Index (ECI) is a quarterly measure of the average change in the cost of employing labor. The rate of total com pensation, which comprises wages, salaries, and employer costs for employee benefits, is collected for workers performing specified tasks. Employment in each occupation is held constant over time for all se ries produced in the ECI, except those by region, bargaining status, and area. As a consequence, only changes in compensation are meas ured. Industry and occupational employment data from the 1970 Cen sus of Population are used in deriving constant weights for the ECI. While holding total industry and occupational employment fixed, in the estimation of indexes by region, bargaining status, and area, the employment in those measures is allowed to vary over time in accord with changes in the sample. The rate of change (in percent) is avail able for wages and salaries, as well as for total compensation. Data are collected for the pay period including the 12th day of the survey months of March, June, September, and December. The statistics are neither annualized nor adjusted for seasonal influence. Wages and salaries consist of earnings before payroll deductions, excluding premium pay for overtime, work on weekends and holidays, and shift differentials. Production bonuses, incentive earnings, com missions, and cost-of-living adjustments are included; nonproduction bonuses are included with other supplemental pay items in the bene fits category; and payments-in-kind, free room and board, and tips are excluded. B e n e fits include supplemental pay, insurance, retirement and savings plàns, and hours-related and legally required benefits. Data on negotiated wage changes apply to private nonfarm industry collective bargaining agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. Data on compensation changes apply only to those agreements cover ing 5,000 workers or more. F ir s t-y e a r wage or compensation changes refer to average negotiated changes for workers covered by settle ments reached in the period and implemented within the first 12 months after the effective date of the agreement. C h a n g e s o v e r th e life 90 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis o f th e a g r e e m e n t refer to all adjustments specified in the contract, expressed as an average annual rate. These measures exclude wage changes that may occur under cost-of-living adjustment clauses, that are triggered by movements in the Consumer Price Index. W a g e-ra te ch a n g e s are expressed as a percent of straight-time hourly earnings; c o m p e n sa tio n c h a n g e s are expressed as a percent of total wages and benefits. Effective wage adjustments reflect all negotiated changes imple mented in the reference period, regardless of the settlement date. They include changes from settlements reached during the period, changes deferred from contracts negotiated in an earlier period, and cost-ofliving adjustments. The data also reflect contracts providing for no wage adjustment in the period. Effective adjustments and each of their components are prorated over all workers in bargaining units with at least 1,000 workers. Notes on the data The Employment Cost Index data series began in the fourth quar ter of 1975, with the quarterly percent change in wages and salaries in the private nonfarm sector. Data on employer costs for employee bene fits were included in 1980, to produce a measure of the percent change in employers’ cost for employees’ total compensation. State and local government units were added to the ECI coverage in 1981, providing a measure of total compensation change in the civilian non farm economy. Data for the broad white-collar, blue-collar, and service worker groups, and the manufacturing, nonmanufacturing, and service indus try groups are presented in the ECI. Additional occupation and in dustry detail are provided for the wages and salaries component of total compensation in the private nonfarm sector. For State and local government units, additional industry detail is shown for both total compensation and its wages and salaries component. Historical indexes (June 1981 = 100) of the quarterly rates of chang es presented in the ECI are also available. For a more detailed discussion of the ECI, see chapter 11, “The Employment Cost Index,” of the BLS H a n d b o o k o f M e th o d s (Bulletin 2134-1), and the M o n th ly L a b o r R e v ie w articles: “Employment Cost Index: a measure of change in the ‘price of labor,”’ July 1975; “How benefits will be incorporated into the Employment Cost Index,” Janu ary 1978; and “The Employment Cost Index: recent trends and ex pansion,” May 1982. Additional data for the ECI and other measures of wage and com pensation changes appear in C u r r e n t W a g e D e v e lo p m e n ts , a monthly publication of the Bureau. 30. Employment Cost Index, total compensation, by occupation and industry group [June 1981=100] Percent change 1982 1981 1980 3 months ended Series 12 months ended September 1982 Dec. March June Sept Dec. March June Sept _ _ 100.0 102.6 104.5 106.3 107.5 110.1 2.4 7.3 — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.7 102.3 102.8 104.9 104.1 104.2 106.5 105.7 107.2 107.7 107.1 108.3 110.7 109.2 110.8 2.8 2.0 2.3 7.8 6.7 7.8 — — — — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.8 104.4 104.3 104.0 104.8 107.1 106.0 106.0 106.4 108.2 108.1 107.2 107.7 109.2 109.1 109.3 110.5 113.5 112.8 2.0 2.6 3.9 3.4 7.1 7.5 8.7 8.1 Private nonfarm workers.................................................. Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers .................................................. Blue-collar workers .................................................... Service workers ........................................................ Workers, by industry division Manufacturing............................................................ Nonmanufacturing...................................................... 92.8 94.7 98.1 100.0 102.0 104.0 105.8 107.2 109.3 2.0 7.2 92.6 93.0 92.7 94.5 94.9 94.3 98.3 97.8 99.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.8 102.2 101.9 104.0 104.0 103.1 105.8 105.6 106.7 107.2 107.0 107.9 109.5 109.0 109.6 2.1 1.9 1.6 7.6 6.7 7.6 92.6 92.9 94.7 94.7 98.0 98.2 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.0 104.0 103.9 106.0 105.7 107.2 107.1 109.3 109.3 2.0 2.1 7.1 7.2 State and local government workers .............................. Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers .................................................. Blue-collar workers .................................................... Workers, by industry division Services.................................................................... Schools ................................................................ Elementary and secondary.................................. Hospitals and other services3 .................................. Public administration2 ................................................ - - - 100.0 105.3 107.4 108.8 109.3 114.3 4.6 8.5 — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 105.7 104.2 107.8 105.9 109.1 108.2 109.5 108.9 114.9 112.7 4.9 3.5 8.7 8.2 — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.8 106.0 106.3 105.0 104.3 107.9 107.9 108.3 107.8 106.0 109.0 108.9 109.3 109.5 108.1 109.4 109.1 109.5 110.3 109.1 114.9 114.8 115.6 115.3 112.8 5.0 5.2 5.6 4.5 3.4 816 8.3 8.7 9.8 8.1 Sept Civilian nonfarm workers1 .................................................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers ...................................................... Blue-collar workers ........................................................ Service workers ............................................................ Workers, by industry division Manufacturing................................................................ Nonmanufacturing.......................................................... Services.................................................................... Public administration2 ................................................ 'Excludes household and Federal workers. Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis _ — — — — includes, for example, library, social, and health services. N ote : Dashes indicate data not available. 91 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Wage and Compensation Data 31. Employment Cost Index, wages and salaries, by occupation and industry group [June 1981=100] Percent change 1980 1981 Series March June Sept. Dec. March June Sept September1982 - - - 100.0 102.5 104.4 106.3 107.3 109.7 2.2 7.0 — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.6 102.4 102.5 104.7 104.0 103.6 106.7 105.5 106.8 107.6 106.7 107.9 110.4 108.6 110.1 2.6 1.8 2.0 7.6 6.1 7.4 — — — — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.7 104.4 103.8 104.0 104.5 106.6 105.5 105.9 106.5 108.6 107.5 107.0 107.5 109.5 108.4 108.8 110.1 113.2 111.9 1.7 2.4 3.4 3.2 6.6 7.2 8.4 7.8 93.5 95.4 98.0 100.0 102.0 103.8 105.9 107.1 109.0 1.8 6.9 93.3 93.2 93.5 92.2 93.8 93.8 94.0 93.6 93.5 93.9 93.4 95.2 95.3 94.7 94.8 95.7 95.7 96.1 95.5 95.3 95.7 94.8 98.1 98.2 98.6 96.2 98.6 97.7 97.8 97.8 96.8 97.5 99.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.8 103.3 101.6 98.0 102.7 102.3 102.9 102.1 101.0 101.5 101.8 103.9 105.5 102.8 101.9 104.2 103.9 104.3 104.1 102.7 103.3 102.7 106.2 108.0 105.8 102.2 107.0 105.4 106.2 105.4 103.2 104.1 106.7 107.3 109.4 107.2 101.8 108.3 106.6 107.6 106.6 104.1 105.1 107.9 109.4 111.8 108.5 104.5 110.3 108.5 109.6 108.3 106.0 106.5 109.3 2.0 2.2 1.2 2.7 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.8 1.3 1.3 7.5 8.2 6.8 6.6 7.4 6.1 6.5 6.1 50 4.9 7.4 93.6 93.5 93.8 93.4 94.5 93.1 93.6 93.0 93.8 91.2 94.2 95.7 95.7 95.7 95.2 95.9 95.6 95.1 95.9 94.8 93.1 95.7 97.9 97.9 97.8 98.1 97.6 97.7 98.2 98.5 98.1 95.7 99.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.1 102.1 102.0 102.0 103.0 102.0 101.3 102.0 101.0 98.3 103.6 104.0 104.5 103.1 103.8 104.3 103.6 102.3 103.4 101.9 102.3 105.8 105.9 106.3 105.3 105.9 105.9 105.7 103.9 106.3 103.0 103.7 108.8 107.0 107.4 106.3 107.1 107.3 106.9 105.8 108.9 104.5 102.4 110.0 108.8 109.0 108.5 109.1 109.1 109.5 106.5 109.0 105.5 106.1 112.5 1.7 1.5 2.1 1.9 1.7 2.4 .7 .1 1.0 3.6 2.3 6.6 6.8 6.4 7.0 5.9 7.4 5.1 6.9 4.5 7.9 8.6 — — — 100.0 105.0 107.0 108.2 108.7 113.5 4.4 8.1 — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 105.4 103.9 107.5 105.5 108.5 107.5 108.9 107.9 114.2 111.5 4.9 3.3 8.3 7.3 — — — — — — — — — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 105.5 105.7 106.0 104.6 103.8 107.6 107.7 107.9 107.3 105.5 108.4 108.3 108.7 108.8 107.5 108.8 108.5 108.8 109.5 108.4 114.2 114.2 114.9 114.3 111.9 5.0 5.3 5.6 4.4 3.2 8.2 8.0 8.4 9.3 7.8 Workers, by industry division Manufacturino .............................................................. Nonmanufacturing .................................................. Services ........................................................ Public administration2 .......................................... 'Excludes household and Federal workers. Consists of legislative, judicial, administrative, and regulatory activities. 92 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 12 months ended Dec. Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers .............................................. Blue-collar workers .................................................... Service workers........................................................ State and local government workers.......................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers .............................................. Blue-collar workers .................................. Workers, by industry division Services ...................................................... Schools...................................................... Elementary and secondary.................................. Hospitals and other services3 ........................ Public administration2 .............................. 3 months ended Sept Civilian nonfarm workers' ................................................ Private nonfarm workers.................................... Workers, by occupational group White-collar workers .................................................. Professional and technical workers .......................... Managers and administrators .................................. Salesworkers.......................................................... Clerical workers...................................................... Blue-collar workers .................................................... Craft and kindred workers ...................................... Operatives, except transport.................................... Transport equipment operatives .............................. Nonfarm laborers................................................ Service workers.......................................................... Workers, by industry division Manufacturing ............................................................ Durables........................................................ Nondurables .......................................................... Nonmanufacturing ................................................ Construction .......................................................... Transportation and public utilities.............................. Wholesale and retail trade ...................................... Wholesale trade.................................................. Retail trade ................................................ Finance, insurance, and real estate.......................... Services ........................................................ 1982 3 Includes, for example, library, social, and health services. Dashes indicate data not available. N ote : 32. Employment Cost Index, private nonfarm workers, by bargaining status, region, and area size [June 1981 = 100] Percent change 1982 1981 1980 3 months ended Series 12 months ended Sept. Dec. March June Sept Dec. March June Sept. September 1982 Union ................................................................................ Manufacturing ................................................................ Nonmanufacturing .......................................................... 92.4 — — 94.7 — — 97.6 — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.5 102.3 102.7 104.8 104.6 105.0 106.5 106.3 106.8 108.4 108.0 108.7 110.6 110.3 111.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 7.9 7.8 8.1 Nonunion............................................................................ Manufacturing ................................................................ Nonmanufacturing .......................................................... 92.8 — 94.6 — 98.4 — — — — 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.7 101.8 101.7 103.5 103.5 103.5 105.3 105.7 105.2 106.5 106.6 106.4 108.5 108.4 108.6 1.9 1.7 2.1 6.7 6.5 6.8 92.8 91.9 94.7 94.2 98.1 98.1 100.0 100.0 102.1 101.8 104.1 103.2 105.7 1062 107.2 107.0 109.4 108.6 2.1 1.5 7.1 6.7 Workers, by bargaining status' Unton ................................................................................ Manufacturing ................................................................ Nonmanufacturing .......................................................... 93.5 93.8 93.1 95.8 96.1 95.5 97.4 97.7 97.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 102.7 102.6 102.8 105.0 104.7 105.2 106.5 105.9 107.0 108.1 107.3 108.8 110.3 109.5 111.1 2.0 2.1 2.1 7.4 6.7 8.1 Nonunion............................................................................ Manufacturing ................................................................ Nonmanufacturing .......................................................... 93.4 93.4 93.4 95.1 95.4 95.0 98.2 97.9 98.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.6 101.7 101.6 103.2 103.3 103.2 105.6 105.9 105.5 106.5 106.7 106.4 108.3 108.2 108.3 1.7 1.4 1.8 6.6 6.4 6.6 Workers, by region' Northeast .......................................................................... South ................................................................................ North Central...................................................................... West.................................................................................. 94.2 93.2 93.3 93.5 96.0 94.9 95.3 95.3 98.3 98.0 98.1 97.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 101.7 101.9 101.6 103.2 104.4 102.8 103.3 105.1 106.1 105.7 104.7 107.9 106.7 107.4 106.1 108.6 109.7 108.8 107.6 110.7 2.8 1.3 1.4 1.9 7.9 6.8 5.9 7.3 Workers, by area size' Metropolitan areas.............................................................. Other areas........................................................................ 93.5 92.9 95.4 95.1 97.9 98.3 100.0 100.0 102.1 101.8 104.0 103.1 105.9 106.0 107.1 106.8 109.1 108.3 1.9 1.4 6.9 6.4 COMPENSATION Workers, by bargaining status' Workers, by area size' Metropolitan areas.............................................................. Other areas........................................................................ WAGES AND SALARIES 1The indexes are calculated differently from those for the occupation and industry groups. For a detailed description of the index calculation, see BLS Handbook o f Methods, Bulletin 1910. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 93 M ONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1983 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 33. Wage and compensation change, major collective bargaining settlements, 1977 to date [In percent] Quarterly average Measure 1980 1981 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 III IV 1 9.6 6.2 8.3 6.3 9.0 6.6 10.4 7.1 10.2 8.3 11.4 7.2 8.5 6.1 First year of contract.................. Annual rate over life of contract .. 7.8 5.8 7.6 6.4 7.4 6.0 9.5 7.1 9.8 7.9 10.5 7.4 Manufacturing: First year of contract.................. Annual rate over life of contract .. 8.4 5.5 8.3 6.6 6.9 5.4 7.4 5.4 7.2 6.1 Nonmanufacturing (excluding construction): First year of contract.................. Annual rate over life of contract .. 8.0 5.9 8.0 6.5 7.6 6.2 9.5 6.6 Construction: First year of contract.................. Annual rate over life of contract .. 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.2 8.8 8.3 13.6 11.5 1982 » II III IV I II III 7.7 7.2 11.6 10.8 10.5 8.1 11.0 5.8 1.9 1.2 2.6 2.1 6.5 4.9 8.3 6.5 7.1 6.2 11.8 9.7 10.8 8.7 9.0 5.7 3.0 2.8 3.4 3.2 5.8 4.8 8.4 5.6 7.8 5.8 6.4 5.5 8.2 6.7 9.0 7.5 6.6 5.4 2.5 2.7 1.7 1.6 5.5 4.2 9.8 7.3 9.5 5.9 8.2 6.8 8.0 7.3 11.8 9.1 8.6 7.2 9.6 5.6 2.7 2.1 6.2 5.5 5.6 4.8 13.5 11.3 15.4 13.0 14.3 12.0 11.4 10.3 12.9 11.1 16.4 12.4 11.4 11.7 9.1 8.9 6.2 6.4 7.5 7.1 Total compensation changes covering 5,000 workers or more, all industries: First year of contract.................. Annual rate over life of contract .. Wage raté changes covering at least 1,000 workers, all Industries: p=preliminary. 34. Effective wage adjustments in collective bargaining units covering 1,000 workers or more, 1977 to date Year Year and quarter 1980 Measure 1977 1978 1979 1980 1982 p 1981 1981 III IV I II III IV I II ill Average percent adjustment (including no change): All industries.................................................... Manufacturing.............................................. Nonmanufacturing........................................ 8.0 8.4 7.6 8.2 8.6 7.9 9.1 9.6 8.8 9.9 10.2 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.5 3.5 2.9 4.0 1.3 1.7 1.1 1.7 2.3 1.2 3.2 2.4 3.8 3.3 3.1 3.4 1.5 1.9 1.1 1.0 .9 1.0 2.0 .9 2.7 2.3 1.6 2.8 From settlements reached in period .................. Deferred from settlements reached in earlier period From cost-of-living clauses................................ 3.0 3.2 1.7 2.0 3.7 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.6 3.5 2.8 2.5 3.8 3.2 1.7 1.2 .7 .5 .3 .6 .4 .5 .7 1.1 1.4 .7 .5 1.5 1.2 .4 .4 .6 .2 .5 .3 .4 1.4 .2 .5 1.2 .6 _ — _ — 8,648 — — 3,855 4,701 4,364 3,225 2,877 3,425 3,654 — — — — 2,270 — — 579 909 540 604 203 493 588 — — — — — — — — 6,267 4,593 — — — — 888 2,639 2,055 2,669 3,023 2,934 882 2,179 1,006 1,913 1,627 1,550 2,378 2,126 4,937 4,092 4,428 5,568 5,628 5,080 4,851 Total number of workers receiving wage change (in thousands)1 .................................................... From settlements reached in period...................................................... Deferred from settlements reached in earlier period .............................. From cost-of-living clauses................................ Number of workers receiving no adjustments (in thousands) ...................................................... 145 1The total number of workers who received adjustments does not equal the sum of workers that received each type of adjustment, because some workers received more than one type of adjustment during the period. 94 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis p=preliminary, WORK STOPPAGE DATA Estimates of days idle as a percent of estimated working time measures only the impact of larger strikes (1,000 workers or more). Formerly, these estimates measured the impact of strikes involving 6 workers or more; that is, the impact of vir tually a ll strikes. Due to budget stringencies, collection of data on strikes involving 6 workers or more was discontinued with the December 1981 data. include all known strikes or lockouts involv ing 1,000 workers or more and lasting a full shift or longer. Data are based largely on newspaper accounts and cover all workers idle one shift or more in establishments directly in volved in a stoppage. They do not measure the indirect or sec ondary effect on other establishments whose employees are idle owing to material or service shortages. W ork 35. sto ppa g es Work stoppages involving 1,000 workers or more, 1947 to date Number of stoppages Month and year Beginning in month or year Workers involved In effect during month Beginning in month or year (in thousands) Days idle In effect during month (in thousands) Number (in thousands) Percent of estimated working time 1947 ........................................................................................ 1948 .. . ................................................ 1949 ........................................................................................ 1950 ........................................................................................ 270 245 262 424 1,629 1,435 2,537 1,698 25 720 26,127 43,420 30,390 22 38 .26 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ 415 470 437 265 363 1,462 2,746 1,623 1,075 2,055 15,070 48,820 18,130 16,630 21,180 .12 .38 .14 .13 .16 1956 ........................................................................................ 1957 ........................................................................................ 1958 ................................................................................ 1959 . . 1960 ...................................................................................... 287 279 332 245 222 1,370 887 1,587 1,381 896 26,840 10,340 17 900 60850 13,260 20 .07 13 43 09 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ 195 211 181 246 268 1,031 793 512 1,183 999 10,140 11,760 10,020 16,220 15,140 07 .08 .07 11 10 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ 321 381 392 412 381 1,300 2,192 1,855 1,576 2,468 16,000 31,320 35 567 29,397 52,761 10 18 20 .16 .29 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ 298 250 317 424 235 2,516 975 1 400 1,796 965 35,538 16,764 16,260 31,809 17 563 19 .09 08 .16 09 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ........................................................................................ ...................................................................................... 231 298 219 235 187 1 519 1,212 1 006 1,021 795 23 962 21,258 23,774 20,409 20,844 12 .10 .11 .09 09 1981 ........................................................................................ 145 729 16 908 07 1981: January.................................................................. February ................................................................ March.................................................................... April ...................................................................... May ...................................................................... June ...................................................................... July........................................................................ August.................................................................... September.............................................................. October.................................................................. November.............................................................. December.............................................................. 6 7 16 17 18 30 23 9 5 7 5 2 12 10 20 27 27 43 38 17 10 11 6 4 12.0 10.7 201.6 48.0 85.1 200.1 80.1 36.2 26.3 13.4 11.9 3.5 29.6 20.9 207.8 223.5 259.0 415.1 125.4 86.6 65.2 48.3 13.5 8.8 257.9 118.5 861.8 4,085.2 4,454.0 2,618.3 1,575.5 1,017.9 898.8 733.6 140.9 146.0 .01 .01 .04 .20 .24 .13 .08 .05 .05 .04 .01 .01 19825: Jaruary.................................................................. February ................................................................ March .................................................................... April ...................................................................... May ...................................................................... June ...................................................................... July........................................................................ August.................................................................... September.............................................................. October.................................................................. November .............................................................. December.............................................................. 2 2 3 9 14 17 11 14 14 3 4 6 8 16 21 25 22 23 27 13 6.1 2.5 8.3 35.7 43.7 41.4 36.3 40.3 390,0 39.9 11.4 13.9 21.3 55.3 60.3 64.5 62.2 58.2 422.0 69.6 43.7 36.4 199.9 236.9 352.2 480.3 636.1 894.0 830.9 757.1 2,090,8 912.6 r 806.5 764.4 .01 .01 .02 .02 .03 .04 .04 .04 p=preliminary. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 - 6 2 2.2 - .11 .05 .04 .04 r=revised. 95 Published by BLS in December SALES PUBLICATIONS BLS Bulletins BLS Handbook o f Methods, Volume 1. Bulletin 2134-1, 154 pp., $6.50 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-02729-0). Presents detailed ex planations of how the Bureau of Labor Statistics obtains and prepares the economic data it publishes for all BLS programs ex cept the Consumer Price Index. Also discussed briefly are the Bureau’s role, organization, and staff, and its approach to its data collection activities. Chapters for each major Bureau program give a brief account o f the program’s origin and development followed by comprehensive information on con cepts and definitions, sources o f data, where the data are published, and their uses and limitations. New Worklife Estimates. Bulletin 2157, 19 pp., $3.25 (GPO Stock No. 029-001-02730-3). In addition to a discussion o f changes in worklife expectancy since 1970—first published in the M o n t h l y L a b o r R e v i e w of March 1982—this bulletin contains detailed working life tables for 1977, work-life expectancies for 1970, and a technical appendix. Occupational Projections and Training Data, 1982 Edition. 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