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r MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW j U.S. Department ot Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics February 1980 ^ In this issue: y f Employment and unemployment In 1979 Industrial relations in 1979 User cost of owner-occupied housing J https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis d e p o s it o r y U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Ray Marshall, Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Janet L. Norwood, Commissioner The Monthly Labor Review is published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor. Communications on editorial matters should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief. Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, D C. 20212. Phone: (202) 523-1327. Subscription price per year — $18 domestic; $22.50 foreign. Single copy $2.50. Subscription prices and distribution policies for the Monthly Labor Review (ISSN 0098-0818) and other Government publications are set by the Government Printing Office, an agency of the U.S. Congress. Send correspondence on circulation and subscription matters (including address changes) to: Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office, Washington, D C. 20402 Make checks payable to Superintendent of Documents. The Secretary of Labor has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Department. Use of funds for printing this periodical has been approved by the Director of the Office of Management and Budget through October 31, 1982. Second-class postage paid at Riverdale, MD., and at additional mailing offices. Library of Congress Catalog Card Number 15-26485 Regional Commissioners for Bureau of Labor Statistics Region I — Boston: Wendell D. Macdonald 1603 JFK Federal Building, Government Center, Boston, Mass. 02203 Phone: (617) 223-6761 Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont Region II — New York 1515 Broadway, Suite 3400, New York, N.Y. 10036 Phone: (212) 944-3121 New Jersey New York Puerto Rico Virgin Islands Region III — Philadelphia: Alvin /. Margu/is 3535 Market Street P.O. Box 13309, Philadelphia, Pa. 19101 Phone: (215) 596 -11 54 Delaware District of Columbia Maryland Pennsylvania Virginia West Virginia Region IV — Atlanta: Donald M. Cruse 1371 Peachtree Street, N.E., Atlanta, Ga. 30309 Phone: (404) 881 -4418 Alabama Florida Georgia Kentucky Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Region V ~ Chicago: William £. Rice 9th Floor, Federal Office Building, 230 S. Dearborn Street, Chicago, III. 60604 Phone: (312) 353 -18 80 Illinois Indiana Michigan Minnesota Ohio Wisconsin Region VI — Dallas: Bryan Richey Second Floor, 555 Griffin Square Building, Dallas, Tex. 75202 Phone: (214) 767-6971 Arkansas Louisiana New Mexico Oklahoma Texas Regions VII and VIII — Kansas City: Elliott A. Browar 911 Walnut Street, Kansas City, Mo. 64106 Phone: (816) 374-2481 VII Iowa Kansas Missouri Nebraska VIII Colorado Montana North Dakota South Dakota Utah Wyoming February cover: Center panel of the polyptych Tribute to the American Working People (1951) by Honoré Sharrer courtesy Sara Roby Foundation Collection. The polyptych is included in the “ Working American” Exhibition, a part of the Bread and Roses Project of District 1199, National Union of Hospital and Health Care Employees (AFL-CIO). The Exhibition, supported by grants from the National Endowment for the Humanities, The New York State Council on the Arts, and The New York Council for the Humanities, opened in Detroit, Mich, in January 1980, and is scheduled to open In Rochester, N.Y. in March, Washington, D.C. in April, Chicago, III. in May, Birmingham, Ala. in July, Trenton, N.J. in September, and Lexington, Mass. In November. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regions IX and X — San Francisco: D. Bruce Hanchett 450 Golden Gate Avenue, Box 36017, San Francisco, Calif. 94102 Phone: (415) 556 -46 78 IX American Samoa Arizona California Guam Hawaii Nevada Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands X Alaska Idaho Oregon Washington MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW Reference Dept. FEBRUARY 1980 VOLUME 103, NUMBER 2 MAR 1 0 1980 Henry Lowenstern, Editor-in-Chief Robert W. Fisher, Executive Editor Kalamazoo Public Library C. B. Leon, P. L Rones 3 Employment and unemployment during 1979: an analysis Labor force and employment growth slowed from the rapid pace which marked the previous 3 years; the unemployment rate showed virtually no movement George Ruben 11 Industrial relations in 1979: inflation still holds spotlight Voluntary 7-percent ceiling on wage increases loses labor support as price surge continues, but unions join new anti-inflation effort; George Meany steps down LaVerne C. Tinsley 19 Workers’ compensation laws— key State amendments of 1979 All but three States increased temporary total disability benefits, but some sought to reduce costs by investigating medical bills and using other transfer payments Patricia S. Wilder 26 The productivity trend in the soaps and detergents industry During 1958-77, annual productivity rose an average of 2.9 percent, as the industry met strong demand for soap and detergent products and was aided by improved technology Robert Gillingham 31 Estimating the user cost of owner-occupied housing The Bureau of Labor Statistics is continuing to examine alternative ways in which to measure homeowners’ costs in the Consumer Price Index Everett M. Kassalow 36 Beyond Keynes: European unions formulate new program Elements of the prescription put forth by economists of five union groups include consensus-based decisionmaking and an incomes policy to abate European stagflation REPORTS T. M. Smeeding, I. Garfinkel Lawrence J. Fulco Lucretia D. Tanner and others Roger L. Bowlby and others Eugene H. Becker https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 41 46 49 53 58 New directions for income transfer programs Productivity declines continue into third quarter 1979 Collective bargaining in the health care industry Measuring the social costs of instability in construction Meany farewell, reaffiliation bid mark AFL-CIO convention DEPARTMENTS 2 41 46 49 58 63 65 73 Labor month in review Communications Productivity reports Research summaries Conventions Major agreements expiring next month Book reviews Current labor statistics Labor M onth In Review CPI CONTROVERSY. A frequent criticism of the Consumer Price In dex is that the CPI overstates the cost of living because the index is based on a fixed market basket and therefore does not reflect continuing changes consumers make in their buying habits. Commissioner of Labor Statistics Janet L. Norwood addressed that and other issues at a Jan. 21 meeting of the National Association of Government Labor Officials, in Washington, D.C. Excerpts: The market basket. The CPI is based on a fixed market basket. That is, the weights for the mix of goods and services purchased during the base period are held constant from year to year until a major revi sion occurs. We keep the market basket constant deliberately because we want to keep fixed the living standard represented by that market basket. Our purpose, to the extent possible, is to isolate price changes from other changes which may oc cur in living standards. BLS economists, of course, know that consumers shift their purchases in response to changes in relative prices. What we do not know, however, is whether such changes in consumption patterns result in a liv ing standard that is higher or lower than that in the base period. If the m arket basket were changed whenever prices change—without knowing whether the consumer is equally satisfied with the shift—we would not know whether a change in the index was caused by a change in prices or by a change in the market basket. Because a market 2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis basket change could amount to a change in living standards, those whose income payments are ad justed by the CPI would not be assured that their living standards would remain at the same level. The purpose of such CPI cost-of-living adjustment (indexation) has tradi tionally been to permit people to purchase in today’s prices the bun dle of goods and services they pur chased in the base period, thereby leaving them at least as well off as they were then. The following example will il lustrate my point. If, in adjusting to higher prices, a family decides to forgo its weekly restaurant dinner, the family is both changing its market basket and lowering its satisfaction or standard of living. If the objective of indexation is to en sure purchasing power necessary to preserve living standards, a measure used to index income should not reflect this kind of a market basket change. Special purpose indexes. Users of the CPI should be aware of the many subindexes which are produc ed as a part of the CPI system. These are published prominently in the monthly CPI news release, are used for analytical and other pur poses, and, in some cases, are used for indexation. Among these subindexes, for example, is an index for “ All Items minus mortgage in terest costs” and another for “ All Items less energy.” BLS also can produce other in dexes if they are required. Special indexes may be needed when government pursues social goals which—at least in the short run—may raise prices. Should it be considered socially desirable to reduce energy consumption by rais ing gasoline prices, consumers would pay more for gasoline and the index measuring the rate of inflation would and should go up. It might be useful to policymakers, in such a case, to create a special index which could exclude such increases or which could treat other policydirected price changes, such as changes in interest rates, in a special way. Some also have suggested the desirability of a special index—for use in pension escalation—that would represent the expenditure ex perience of persons receiving retire ment benefits. The BLS is a service agency. Given the resources and time necessary, the Bureau can produce special consumer price indexes for particular needs. We should not, however, permit these other needs to weaken the ability of the present CPI to fulfill the objective for which it was intended. Homeownership. Com m issioner Norwood also introduced five alter native—and experimental—ways of measuring the C PI’s most con troversial component, the cost of homeownership. She announced that BLS will publish these measures monthly, but will make no change in the official index at this time. (An article about measuring costs of owner-occupied housing appears on pages 31-35 of this issue.) The full text of Commissioner Norwood’s discussion of the CPI is available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington, D.C. 20212. Cj Employment and unemployment during 1979: an analysis Labor force and employment growth slowed from the rapid pace of the previous 3 years; the unemployment rate showed virtually no movement Carol Boyd Leon and P hilip L. R ones The Nation’s employment situation in 1979 was high lighted by a slowdown in the rate of job growth. Em ployment and labor force growth, while still fairly strong at about 2 million each, was considerably slower than during the previous 3 years. The unemployment rate, which ended the year at 5.9 percent, remained in the range of 5.8-5.9 percent for 5 consecutive quar ters.1 Adult women,2 who had made up about half of the total employment increase between 1976 and 1978, accounted for about two-thirds of the gain in 1979. Adult men made up the remainder of the over-the-year job growth, as teenagers experienced a slight decline. Most of the major population groups experienced lit tle change in their rate of joblessness. Adult men posted a 0.2-percentage point rise in their unemployment rate, while the rates for adult women and teenagers showed little change. Movements in several series which are in fluenced by the business cycle suggested a weakening in some sectors of the job market. For instance, the unem ployment rate advanced about a point in the manufac turing industries, and employment in this sector was only slightly above its year-earlier level. In addition, the number of unemployed persons on layoff and the num ber of persons working part time for economic reasons each increased by about a quarter of a million. Carol Boyd Leon and Philip L. Rones are economists in the Office of Current Employment Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Nonfarm payroll employment—as measured by the survey of business establishments—increased by 2.4 million in 1979.3 While manufacturing employment showed virtually no over-the-year increase, employment growth was strong in construction and mining as well as in several of the service-producing divisions. The serv ice-producing sector accounted for three-quarters of the overall employment gains. Slower employment growth Employment growth slowed considerably in 1979, af ter 3 consecutive years of rapid advances. Civilian em ployment in late 1979 totaled 97.7 million, 2.0 million higher than a year earlier. (See table 1.) In contrast, em ployment had grown by 3.3 million in 1978. The em ployment level in 1979 exhibited disparate movements throughout the year: relatively strong advances were registered in both the first and third quarters, but growth was slower in the fourth quarter and the num ber of jobholders held about steady in the second quar ter. Although employment growth among adult women was 75 percent of the previous year’s increase, the pro portion of the total employment gain attributable to women was even higher than it had been during the previous year. The increase in jobholding among wom en— 1.4 million in 1979—accounted for most of the over-the-year growth in employment. This growth oc curred without any lessening of unemployment because 3 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Employment and Unemployment in 1979 Table 1. Employment and unemployment highlights, fourth quarter 1977 through fourth quarter 1979, seasonally adjusted Selected categories 1977 1979 1978 II III IV 96.4 52.1 36.2 8.1 96.5 52.1 36.4 8.0 97.2 52.4 37.0 7.9 97.7 52.4 37.3 8.0 5.9 2.1 2.2 1.6 5.9 2.2 2.2 1.5 5.9 2.2 2.2 1.5 6.0 2.3 2.2 1.5 6.1 2.3 2.2 1.5 6.0 4.1 6.1 16.2 5.2 11.8 12.4 5.8 4.0 5.7 16.2 5.0 11.5 12.2 5.8 4.0 5.7 15.9 5.0 11.4 12.3 5.8 4.0 5.7 16.1 5.0 11.5 12.4 5.8 4.2 5.6 16.2 5.1 10.9 12.0 5.9 4.2 5.7 16.1 5.1 11.2 12.0 2.7 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.9 2.9 5.5 5.6 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.0 5.0 9.3 5.5 9.1 8.6 5.5 8.9 7.7 5.2 9.0 8.2 5.2 9.0 8.6 5.2 8.9 7.9 5.3 8.5 8.4 5.4 8.5 6.4 5.9 5.9 5.6 5.8 5.5 5.6 5.4 839 84.8 86.3 869 87.8 88.7 89.4 898 90.2 24.7 24.9 25.6 25.7 26.1 26.5 26.6 26.6 26.6 59.2 59.9 60.7 61.1 61.7 62.2 62.7 63.1 63.6 36.0 40.5 3.5 35.7 40.0 3.6 35.9 40.5 3.6 35.8 40.5 3.5 35.8 40.6 3.7 35.8 40.6 3.7 35.5 39.8 3.2 35.6 40.2 3.2 35.7 40.2 3.2 IV 1 II III IV Total employment (in millions) ........................ Adult men .................... Adult women ............... Teenagers .................... 92.1 50.4 33.8 7.8 93.0 50.7 34.5 7.8 94.1 51.1 35.0 80 94.7 51.3 35.4 8.1 95.7 51.7 35.9 8.1 Total unemployment (in millions) ........................ Adult men .................... Adult women ............... Teenagers .................... 6.5 2.5 2.4 1.5 6.2 2.4 2.2 1.6 6.0 2.2 2.3 1.5 6.0 2.2 2.3 1.6 6.6 4.7 6.7 16.5 5.7 13.2 14.1 6.2 4.5 6.0 16.9 5.4 12.4 13.1 6.0 4.2 6.1 16.0 5.2 12.0 12.8 3.3 3.0 2.8 6.2 5.5 8.9 6.1 9.2 8.2 5.8 9.0 69 Unemployment rates: All workers.................... Adult men .................... Adult women ............... Teenagers .................... W hite............................. Black and other ........... Black o n ly .................. Married men, spouse present...................... Married women, spouse present ...................... Women who head families...................... Full-time workers ......... Part-time w o rke rs......... Median duration of unemployment (weeks) . Nonfarm payroll employment (in millions)' ......... Goods-producing industries .................. Service-producing industries .................. Average workweek1(in hours): Total private nonfarm . . Manufacturing............... Manufacturing overtime . 1 1Data for the fourth quarter are preliminary. NOTE: Comparisons of 1978 household survey data with earlier data are affected by the introduction of an expansion in the sample and revisions in the estimation procedure which raised total employment by roughly a quarter of a million. Unemployment was essen tially unchanged. the female labor force expanded considerably. The num ber of employed adult men rose by about 700,000, about half the group’s increase in the prior year. In contrast to the preceding year, teenagers did not share in the 1979 employment growth. After an advance of 200,000 in 1978, teenage jobholding was about un changed in 1979, in part, because the teenage population started to drop off as the “baby boom” generation was moving out of the teen years. Also, there was a slight drop in the labor force participation rate of teenagers which may have contributed to their lack of employment growth. Employment-population ratios, which measure the proportion of a population group that is employed, help to delineate trends among various demographic catego ries. While the employment-population ratio increased slightly for all workers during 1979, the ratio for wom en rose while that for men declined. (See table 2.) Mod 4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis est declines occurred among all major age categories of men, except those 25 to 34 years, whose ratio was unchanged. Generally, the employment increases among men were too small to keep pace with population growth. The largest decline took place among men 55 and over. While most age groups of women posted in creases in employment-population ratios, women age 20 to 24 years experienced a decline. (The ratio for these women advanced substantially in 1978 and earlier years.) But the growth among women age 25 and over continued to be rather strong, especially among those age 35 to 44, whose ratio advanced by nearly 3 points to about 63 percent. These women have the highest fe male employment-population ratio. Industry developments. Nonfarm payroll employment rose by 2.4 million over the year to 90.2 million. The payroll employment level increased in each quarter, but the increases in the early quarters were larger than those later in the year. Over the year, each nonfarm industry division showed some job growth. More than three-fourths of the growth took place in the service-producing sector. About half of that increase was in the services division, which absorbed 1 of 3 additional jobs, followed by the whole sale and retail trade divisions, with 1 of 5. In terms of relative growth, services again was on top, followed by fi nance, insurance, and real estate; transportation and public utilities; and wholesale trade. The other serviceproducing divisions— retail trade and government — grew at a slower pace than the overall economy. Within the goods-producing sector, the number of payroll jobs in manufacturing changed little. It should be noted that manufacturing was the first industry divi sion to experience employment losses during the 197475 recession, followed by construction. However, in 1979, construction and mining showed the greatest rela tive growth of all nonfarm divisions. Within manufacturing, the durable goods industries — which had posted strong job growth in the prior Table 2. Employment-population ratios for selected age groups, by sex, 1975-79 Seasonally adjusted quarterly averages Annual averages Categories 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 Total, 16 years and over .. . Men, 16 years and over 16 to 19 y e a rs ......... 20 to 24 y e a rs ......... 25 to 54 y e a rs ......... 55 years and over .. Women, 16 years and over ........................ 16 to 19 y e a rs ......... 20 to 24 y e a rs ......... 25 to 54 y e a rs ......... 55 years and over . . 1979 1978 IV 1 II III IV 55.3 69.7 45.2 66.5 86.8 47.2 56.1 70.1 46.0 69.1 87.4 45.8 57.1 70.9 48.5 70.7 88.0 45.6 58.6 71.9 50.5 72.4 88.9 46.3 59.3 72.1 50.2 73.4 89.1 45.4 59.0 72.1 50.5 73.2 89.0 45.9 59.3 72.4 50.7 73.8 89.3 46.0 59.1 72.1 503 73.7 89.1 45.3 59.3 72.0 49.9 73.3 89.2 45.4 59.3 71.8 50.1 73.0 88.9 449 42.0 39.4 55.7 50.8 21.9 43.2 40.5 56.9 52.8 21.9 44.4 41 9 58.7 54.6 21.9 46.3 44.6 61.0 57.2 22.3 47.5 45.4 62.1 58.9 22.5 47.0 45.6 62.0 58.1 22.3 47.2 46.2 62.4 58.2 22.5 47.1 45.1 62.0 58.4 22.4 47.6 44.7 62.1 59.5 22.4 47.8 45.7 61.8 59.7 22.5 3 years— showed only small advances, as the employ ment level grew rapidly in the first quarter, held steady during the middle quarters, and ended the year under •moderate contraction. Substantial over-the-year gains did take place in a few of the durables industries, but an overall weakness was evidenced by the lack of growth in consumption levels for durables and an actu al drop in constant dollars.4 A noteworthy develop ment during 1979 occurred in the transportation equipment industry: despite the loss of more than 100,000 jobs in the motor vehicles and equipment and travel trailers and campers industries, there was a smaller overall employment drop as that decline was partially offset by significant gains in other transporta tion equipment industries—especially aircraft and parts. Also within the manufacturing division, nondurables experienced a year of no job growth. Despite an ex tremely large increase in consumer outlays on gasoline and oil (in current dollars), there was little reflection of this in refining and processing employment. Only print ing and publishing exhibited fairly strong growth, con tinuing its postrecession upward trend. Occupational changes. Employment increased in all ma jor white-collar occupations during 1979, but declined in most other occupations. (See table 3.) The fastestgrowing occupations were salesworkers, managers and administrators and professionals. The rate of growth among clerical workers was somewhat slower, but be cause of their numbers, that group accounted for onefourth of the overall employment increase; managerial and professional workers together contributed one-half of the total advance. The remaining 25 percent of total employment growth was accounted for by craft workers and salesworkers. Employment was unchanged for op eratives and service workers, dropped modestly for farm workers, and dropped substantially for nonfarm labor ers. The occupational employment changes in 1979 con trasted markedly with those of the previous several years, when blue-collar jobs generally grew faster than white-collar positions. Managerial jobs had grown less than any occupation, except farmworkers. Blue-collar employment generally is more sensitive to economic cy cles; it declined substantially during the 1975 recession and posted strong increases during the recovery years of 1976-78. The lessening of economic growth in 1979 re sulted in the smaller total employment increase being concentrated among white-collar occupations, which had remained fairly stable during the recession and had grown steadily, but less spectacularly than blue-collar jobs, during the recovery years. Full- and part-time workers. As occurred in 1978, virtu ally all of the increase in employment in 1979 took https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis place among full-time workers.5 Persons employed full time posted a gain of 1.5 million, of which 1.1 million were adult women; the remainder were adult men, as teenagers registered almost no change in full-time em ployment. The demographic pattern was similar among voluntary part-time workers, except that teenage em ployment dropped substantially.6 Although most women work full time, more than half of all persons working part time by choice were women. There also were substantial proportions of men and teenagers among the part-timers, as shown in the following percentage distribution of 1979 annual em ployment averages: Part time Voluntary for economic reasons Full time part time Total employed (percent) Adult men .................... Adult women ............... Teenagers...................... 100 60 35 5 100 18 55 27 100 36 45 19 As the tabulation shows, there is a third group of workers— persons employed part time for economic reasons. These are persons who want full-time jobs but are working part time because of slack work, inability to find full-time work or other economic reasons. In late 1979, there were 3.4 million such persons in non farm industries. In other words, about 1 of 5 persons working part time was doing so for economic reasons. After declining by 100,000 in 1978, the number of per sons at work part time for economic reasons increased by more than 200,000 in 1979, and much of the ad vance occurred in the fourth quarter.7 Generally, per sons working part time for economic reasons do so because they are unable to find a full-time job, but in 1979, most of the increase was among persons who usu ally work full time, but whose hours had been curtailed. This was the first time since the 1974-75 recession that the number of persons employed part time for economic reasons failed to decline. While the number of persons on full-time schedules or voluntarily employed part time each increased by about 2 percent, the level of total part-time employment for economic reasons advanced by 8 percent. Growth in voluntary part-time employ ment generally is interpreted as a favorable develop ment, but this is not true of those employed part time for economic reasons. Hours and earnings Average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonfarm payrolls were 35.7 in late 1979, down from 35.8 a year earlier. (See table 1.) The manufacturing workweek was shortened by about one-half hour during 1979, with an even larger reduction occurring in the second quarter and only partial recov5 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Employment and Unemployment in 1979 Table 3. Employment in major occupations and industries, fourth quarter 1979, seasonally adjusted, and over-the-year employment changes, 1977 79 [Numbers in thousands] Over-the-year employment change1 Occupation or industry ment IV 1979 1977 1978 1979 Num ber Per cent Num ber Per cent Num ber Per cent 97,665 49,854 15,153 3,864 1,888 479 4.4 4.2 3.5 3,320 1,704 457 3.6 3.6 3.2 2,039 1,927 643 2.1 4.0 4.4 10,597 6,323 17,780 32,206 12,989 449 135 825 1,408 696 4.7 2.4 5.2 4.8 6.1 112 366 767 1,420 527 1.1 6.3 4.6 4.6 4.4 477 277 530 182 353 4.7 4.5 3.0 .6 2.8 10,991 302 3.0 639 6.1 -4 7 -.4 3,619 4,607 12,935 2,702 202 208 564 3 6.1 4.9 4.7 .1 140 115 318 -121 4.0 2.6 2.5 -4 .6 6 -131 -5 -6 4 .2 -2.8 ( 3) -2.4 90,172 26,609 987 4,722 20,900 12,636 8,264 63,564 3,797 1,209 1 388 820 622 198 2,588 4.7 5.1 .1 10.5 4.3 5.5 2.5 4.5 3,963 1,413 122 478 813 690 123 2,550 4.7 5.7 15.4 11.7 4.1 5.8 1.5 4.3 2,384 504 70 298 135 131 4 1,880 2.7 1.9 7.6 6.6 .6 1.0 ( 3) 3.0 5,223 157 3.4 267 5.6 189 3.7 20,282 5,229 15,053 959 208 751 5.3 4.5 5.5 934 261 672 4.9 5.4 4.7 478 179 301 2.4 3.5 2.0 5,043 17,319 15,697 2,776 12,921 229 908 335 -1 336 5.3 6.2 2.2 ( 3) 2.7 262 872 215 24 191 5.8 5.6 1.4 .9 1.5 221 769 223 20 203 4.6 4.7 1.4 .7 1.6 Occupation2 Total, all occupations ........... White-collar w o rkers......... Professional and technical Managers and administra tors, except farm . . . . Sales workers............... Clerical workers ........... Blue-collar w o rkers........... Craft and kindred workers Operatives, except transport.................... Transport equipment operatives.................. Nonfarm laborers ......... Service workers ............... Farmworkers .................... Industry4 Total nonagricultural wage and salary ............................... Goods-producing............... Mining5 ........................ Construction .................. Manufacturing............... Durable goods........... Nondurable goods . . . Service-producing............. Transportation and public utilities ...................... Wholesale and retail tra ce .......................... Wholesale trade . . . . Retail tra d e ............... Finance, insurance, and real estate.................. Services........................ Government .................. Federal...................... State and local ......... * Over-the-year employment changes represent a comparison between the fourth quarter of the previous year and the fourth quarter of the year shown, using not seasonally adjusted data. The 1978 change allows for the changes in the CPS introduced in January 1978. 2 Occupational employment estimates are derived from the CPS. 3 Less than 0.05 percent. 4 Industry estimates are from the BLS survey of establishments. Data for 1979 are prelimi nary. 5The uneven growth pattern in mining primarily results from a major strike affecting the employment level In the fourth quarter of 1977. ery in the following quarter. Most of the decline was in the more cyclically-sensitive durable goods manufactur ing. Other industry divisions also recorded over-the-year declines, and only mining showed a modest advance. The aggregate hours index—a comprehensive meas ure which takes into account both the number of pro duction or nonsupervisory employees on nonfarm pay rolls and their weekly hours— rose 2.2 percentage points to 126.3 (1967=100). This gain was entirely due to the over-the-year rise in employment. Manufacturing was the only industry division to experience a drop in aggregate hours index in 1979. Average hourly earnings of production or non supervisory workers on private nonfarm payrolls were 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis $6.33 in the last quarter of 1979, compared with $5.88 a year earlier—a rise of about 8 percent. Gross average weekly earnings posted a similar percentage increase, advancing by $16 over the year to $226. In constant dollars (1967=100), weekly earnings decreased by about 5 percent in 1979. Unemployment stable The Nation’s unemployment rate remained at about the late-1978 level throughout 1979, as quarterly rates were 5.8 percent, except for the fourth quarter, which was 5.9 percent. The rates for adult women (5.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 1979), and teenagers (16.1 per cent) each were about unchanged between late 1978 and 1979, while the rate for adult men (4.2 percent) rose several tenths of a point. The number of unemployed persons, 6.1 million, was up by about 200,000, with adult men and women each representing about 2.3 and 2.2 million of the unemployed. Table 1 shows recent trends in unemployment for major labor force groups. The slight increase in joblessness over the year ap peared to be affecting many families which were already experiencing some unemployment. The number of fami lies with both spouses unemployed was relatively small —about 100,000 in the fourth quarter of 1979—but was about 25 percent above its year-earlier figure. An indication that unemployment often runs in families was that about 1 of 10 jobless husbands had a wife who also was unemployed, while only about 1 of 40 wives in the population was unemployed. Reasons for unemployment. The reasons cited by un employed persons for their joblessness often serve as an indicator of cyclical activity. An increase in unemploy ment caused by unusually rapid labor force growth, for instance, would be less a sign of economic weakness than an increase of the same magnitude resulting from employee layoffs. The proportion of persons who cited a job loss as their reason for unemployment increased over the year, from 41 to 45 percent; during the 197475 recession, that proportion rose to as high as 57 per cent. (See table 4.) The rate of unemployment due to job loss is about the same for men and women. However, proportionally fewer unemployed women than men give this as their reason for unemployment. The difference is a result of the overall higher unemployment rate of women, which reflects their greater likelihood of experiencing unem ployment due to labor force reentry. Most of the recent expansion in the number and proportion of unemployed who had lost their last job could be attributed to per sons who had been laid off, even though that group makes up only about a third of all job losers. (Most job losers are those whose jobs have been terminated and who do not expect to be recalled.) Table 4. Unemployment by reasons and duration, selected quarters, seasonally adjusted [Percent distribution] 1979 1973 1975 1978 I II IV 1 II III IV 4,335 8,214 5,885 5,890 5,890 6,008 6,084 100 0 39.2 11.0 28.2 14.7 31.2 15.0 100.0 57.3 24.0 33.3 10.0 23.4 9.4 100.0 40.9 12.0 28,9 14.4 30.4 14.3 100.0 41.6 13.1 28.5 14.6 29.7 14.1 100.0 41.4 13.5 28.0 15.0 30.0 13.6 100.0 43.6 14.3 29.3 14.2 29.6 12.6 100.0 44.8 15.6 29.1 13.6 28.6 13.1 Percent ...................................... Less than 5 weeks ............... 5 to 14 w e eks........................ 15 weeks and over ............... 15 to 26 weeks .................. 27 weeks and over ........... 100.0 49.0 30.1 20.9 12.0 8.9 100.0 35.7 32.1 32.2 18.6 13.6 100.0 47.4 31.5 21.1 12.1 9.0 100.0 47.0 31.8 21.3 12.1 9.2 100.0 48.3 31 6 20.2 11.5 8.7 100.0 49.0 31.9 19.0 10.7 8.3 100.0 48.3 31.9 19.9 11.3 8.6 Median duration, in w e e k s ......... 5.5 8.9 5.6 5.8 5.5 5.6 5.4 Reasons and duration Total unemployed (in thousands) .. Reasons Percent ...................................... Job lo sers............................... On la yoff............................. Other job losers ............... Job leavers............................. Reentrants ............................. New entrants ........................ Duration There was also a slight decline (both absolute and relative) among unemployed persons who left their last job and those who reentered the labor force and an even larger drop among the unemployed who were looking for their first job. The latter two categories reflect both the smaller population of teenagers (who make up most of the new entrant group) and their la bor force declines, as well as the overall slowing of la bor force growth during 1979. Data on labor turnover rates in manufacturing generally support the trends cited above. Layoffs, for in stance, occurred at a rate about 50 percent higher dur ing the second half of 1979 than a year earlier. Concurrently, the rate of new hires declined slightly. Duration. The duration of unemployment also can be a cyclical indicator; historically, movements in the median duration of unemployment have closely paralleled the overall unemployment rate. However, changes in the components of duration— that is, in the levels of shortand long-term unemployment—may be subject to different interpretations, depending on movements of other job market indicators. The median duration of unemployment was 5.4 weeks in the fourth quarter of 1979, a small drop from 1978. A slightly larger proportion of the total unemployed were short-term unemployed (less than 15 weeks) than a year earlier. Often, this trend reflects improvements in the job market; however, early in an economic down turn, it may reflect an increase in recent layoffs and, thus, might precede a period of increasing duration. As noted earlier, data on reasons for unemployment lend support to this interpretation. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Men tend to experience a longer period of job search than do either women or teenagers. In the fourth quar ter, the median duration for these three groups was 6.5, 5.5, and 4.4 weeks. One explanation for the relatively short spells of unemployment for women and teenagers is that these groups are more likely to terminate a peri od of joblessness by withdrawing from the labor force, at least temporarily, to devote more time to school or family responsibilities. Jobseekers. About 8 of 10 unemployed persons were looking for full-time work in late 1979, an increase of several percentage points from a year earlier. About 9 of 10 jobless men, 8 of 10 jobless women, and 6 of 10 teenagers cited a preference for full-time work. Unem ployment rates have always been lower among those seeking full-time work than among those seeking parttime jobs. In late 1979, the rates were 5.4 and 8.5 per cent. Those looking for part-time work tend to be dis proportionately young people and women; with greater propensity for frequent movements into and out of the labor force, these groups tend to have higher rates of unemployment than do adult men. Interestingly, the un employment rate for adult men looking for part-time work is slightly higher than that for women. This can be explained by the predominance of younger persons among male part-time jobseekers, as the vast majority of prime working-age unemployed men seek full-time jobs. Unemployment rates for full-time workers tend to rise faster during a downturn than do those for parttime workers, since the most cyclically sensitive indus tries, such as manufacturing and construction, provide primarily full-time jobs. Insured unemployed. Initial unemployment compensa tion claims during the last quarter of 1979 were about 400,000 per week (seasonally adjusted), 60,000 higher than during the same period of 1978. About 2.6 million persons claimed benefits, 300,000 more than in 1978. The number of unemployment compensation recipients as a percent of covered employment stayed at about 3 percent throughout 1979. During the 1974-75 reces sion, weekly initial claims rose as high as 570,000 a week, and claimants reached a peak of 4.7 million per sons. Status of blacks and Hispanics Black employment growth slows. Employment among blacks8 grew more slowly in 1979 than during each of the previous 2 years. Their over-the-year increase in em ployment was about 200,000, or 2.2 percent, compared with approximately 4.5 and 6.0 percent in 1977 and 1978. Employment among whites had been growing less rapidly than employment among blacks since the 197475 recession and continued this pattern in 1979, increas7 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Employment and Unemployment in 1979 Table 5. Employment levels and unemployment rates by race, sex, and age, fourth quarter, 1978 and 1979, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Employed Selected groups White, total ................................... Men, 20 years and ove r............. Women, 20 years and over . . . . Men, 16 to 19 years .................. Women, 16 to 19 y e a rs............. Black,1total ................................... Men, 20 years and o ve r............. Women, 20 years and over . . . . Men, 16 to 19 years .................. Women, 16 to 19 y e a rs ............. Unemployment rate 1978 1979 1978 1979 IV IV IV IV 84,930 46,383 31,179 3,918 3,451 9,074 4,477 4,017 309 270 86,640 46,971 32,350 3,879 3,439 9,266 4,563 4,158 281 263 5.0 3.5 5.0 14.0 13.8 12.2 8.8 10.8 35.0 38.6 5.1 3.7 5.0 13.9 14.1 12.0 9.0 10.4 35.5 39.1 1These data refer only to blacks. According to the 1970 Decennial Census, they account for about 89 percent of the "black and other” population group. ing by only 2.0 percent. The ratio of employment to population edged up slightly only for whites. As shown in the following tabulation, the ratio for blacks had not regained its prerecession level by the end of 1979 (sea sonally adjusted data for fourth quarter): 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 ........................ ........................ ........................ ........................ ................. ........................ ........................ White Black 58.6 57.9 56.7 57.7 59.3 60.5 60.8 55.0 52.2 49.9 50.8 51.9 54.0 53.9 Black adults experienced modest employment ad vances over the year, while the employment of black teenagers edged down. (See table 5.) Part of the teenage reduction can be traced to a slight decline in popula tion, but a more important factor was a drop in their labor force participation. The number of unemployed black teens was about unchanged in 1979, so that simi lar reductions occurred in their labor force and employ ment level. Overall, the level of unemployment among blacks changed little in 1979. Similarly, their jobless rate was fairly stable, remaining in the range of 12.0-12.4 per cent for each quarter. The rate for black teenagers was unchanged; the rates for black women and men also showed almost no change. The jobless rates for whites followed a similar pattern of very small movements. Blacks experienced somewhat longer periods of jobless ness than did whites; the median duration of unemploy ment at yearend for nonwhites was 7.1 weeks, com pared with 5.0 weeks for whites.9 The ratio of black-to-white unemployment rates re mained at about 2.4-to-l in 1979. An even larger differ ential existed between the rates for black teenagers and white teenagers. The unemployment rates for both 8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis groups of teenagers rose during the last recession, but only the rate for whites declined perceptibly during the recovery period. Although blacks appeared to be start ing to benefit from an improving job market in 1978, the relatively stagnant labor market situation through out the economy in 1979 resulted in no further gains. Job gains for Hispanics. The job situation for persons of Hispanic origin improved slightly in 1979. The annual average labor force participation rate in 1979 was 63.5 percent, compared with 62.8 percent in the previous year. Additionally, the unemployment rate moved from 9.1 to 8.3 percent on an annual basis, while employ ment advanced by 240,000 to 4.6 million. (Persons of Hispanic origin represent about 1 in 20 workers, nation wide.) Unemployment rates for adult Hispanic men (5.7 per cent), women (8.9 percent), and teens (19.1 percent) fell between the corresponding rates for whites and blacks. Among Hispanics, persons of Puerto Rican origin expe rienced the highest rate of joblessness, 13.2 percent; persons of Mexican and Cuban origin had unemploy ment rates of about 8 percent. About two-thirds of the working-age persons of Mexican and Cuban origin were in the labor force in 1979, while only slightly more than one-half of all persons of Puerto Rican origin participat ed in the labor force. The occupational distribution of Hispanics was simi lar to that for blacks in that both groups were un derrepresented in the higher skilled, particularly whitecollar, occupations. A smaller proportion of Hispanics than black workers were employed in blue-collar occu pations. (See table 6.) Table 6. Employment of whites, blacks, and persons of Hispanic origin, by occupational group, 1979 annual averages [Numbers in thousands] Occupation Employed................................................. Percent distribution:............................. White-collar workers ...................... Professional and technical........... Managers and administrators, except farm ............................. Sales workers ............................. Clerical w orkers........................... Blue-collar workers ........................ Craft and kindred workers........... Operatives, except transport . . . . Transport equipment operatives . . Nonfarm la borers........................ Service workers............................... Private household workers ......... Other service workers ............... Farmworkers................................... Total1 White Black1 Hispanic origin 96,945 100.0 50.9 15.5 86,025 100.0 52.5 15.9 9,160 100.0 35.2 10.5 4,604 100.0 32.6 7.6 10.8 6.4 18.2 33.1 13.3 11.3 3.7 4.8 13.2 1.1 12.1 2.8 11.6 6.8 18.2 32.6 13.8 10.8 3.6 4.5 12.0 0.8 11.1 2.9 4.6 2.4 17.6 38.4 9.6 15.4 5.3 8.1 24.3 3.8 20.5 2.1 6.0 3.9 15.1 47.3 13.9 21.5 4.0 7.8 16.3 1.5 14.8 3.8 1Detail by race and ethnicity do not add to employment total because races other than white or black are included only in the total, and because most persons of Hispanic origin are also included in the data for whites. NOTE: Percent distribution may not add to 100.0 percent because of rounding. Table 7. Civilian labor force participation rates by sex and age, selected years, 1949 to 1979 annual averages Sex and age Both sexes, 16 years and over , . , 16 to 19 y e a rs ........................... 20 to 24 y e a rs .......................... 25 to 54 y e a rs ........................... 55 years and over .................... Men, 16 years and o v e r ............... 16 to 19 y e a rs .......................... 20 to 24 y e a rs .......................... 25 to 54 y e a rs ........................... 55 years and over .................... Women, 16 years and over ......... 16 to 19 y e a rs ........................... 20 to 24 y e a rs .......................... 25 to 54 y e a rs .......................... 55 years and over .................... 1949 1954 1959 1964 1969 1974 1979 58.9 52.2 64.9 65.1 43.1 86.4 62.8 86.6 96.5 69.5 33.1 42.4 45.0 35.7 18.0 58.8 48.3 61.6 67.0 41.7 85.5 58.1 87.0 97.3 65.8 34.6 39.4 45.1 38.7 19.7 59.3 46.7 64.3 68.7 41.1 83.7 55.8 88.8 97.1 61.7 37.1 38.2 45.1 42.4 23.1 58.7 44.5 66.3 69.6 39.5 81.0 52.4 86.1 96.8 57.4 38.7 37.1 49 4 44.5 24.3 60.1 49.5 68.2 71.6 39.3 79.8 55.9 82.8 96.1 56.1 42.7 43.3 56.7 49.1 25.5 61.2 54.9 74.0 73.5 35.2 78.7 60.7 86.0 94.8 50.7 45.6 49.2 63.0 53.8 23.0 63.7 58.1 77.6 77.8 33.6 77.9 61.7 86.6 94.4 46.7 51.0 54.5 69.1 62.2 23.2 Persons in and out of the labor force The overall civilian labor force for persons age 16 and over grew by 2.2 million in 1979, to 103.7 million persons. Over the previous 3 years, however, labor force growth had averaged 2.9 million. Adult women made up two-thirds of the labor force growth; the teenage la bor force declined by about 100,000, due, in part, to a drop in population. Labor force participation rates-—the percentage of the civilian population that is employed or unemployed —provide the clearest picture of labor force movements for specific groups, because the rates account for chang es in population levels as well as absolute labor force changes. The overall participation rate was 63.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 1979, three-tenths of a point be low a year earlier. Over the past 3 decades, participation rates for wom en of all ages have increased dramatically, with their overall rate moving from slightly above 30 percent in the late 1940’s to more than 50 percent in the late 1970's. (See table 7.) Among the major influences on rising par ticipation rates have been a lowering of the birth rate; increases in age at first marriage; a desire to maintain or increase the household’s standard of living and the effect of inflation on a family’s buying power; growth in those industries (particularly the service sector) and occupa tions which traditionally employ women; and, of course, the growing social acceptance of work for women. Until the latter half of the 1970’s, there also had been a protracted decline in labor force participation of men. This drop had been concentrated in the oldest age groups and had resulted almost exclusively from the im proved financial ability of men to retire at an earlier age. This ability to retire was partially related to the in creased labor force activity of wives, who provided ei ther additional income or retirement benefits to support the labor force withdrawal of their husbands. The labor force participation rate for adult women had advanced a percentage point a year for each of the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis previous 6 years and followed this pattern again in 1979, increasing from 50 to 51 percent. The greatest gains were registered by women 35 to 44 years, whose rate increased from 62 to almost 65 percent. No significant gains were shown for women over age 55. Conflicting forces have af fected the recent labor market decision of these women. Improved social security, private pension and disability benefits may have allowed some working women to retire earlier than had previously been possible. On the other hand, the increased social acceptability of work for wom en, the recent amendments to the Age Discrimination in Employment Act, and, perhaps most importantly, the re cent high rates of inflation and economic uncertainty have all worked to induce older women to remain in, or to reenter, the labor force. The overall labor force participation rate for adult men, 79.6 percent at yearend, was 0.2 point below that of a year earlier and has remained at about that level for 4 years. (During the same period, the rate for adult women rose almost 5 points.) The rates for prime work ing-age men — those 25 to 54 years of age— were virtu ally unchanged over the year; however, rates for older men declined slightly following 2 years of little move ment. While the one point over-the-year decline for older men might have been unexpected in view of the recent high rates of inflation and legislation protecting workers from age discrimination through age 70, it is too early to conclude that 1979 began a return to the groups’ long-term trend of labor force decline. The number of persons outside of the labor force— that is, neither working nor looking for work — grew by slightly less than 500,000 over the year to 58.8 million, following 2 years of declines which totaled about 0.8 million persons. There was an increase of 470,000 in the number of adult men outside the labor force, a 50,000-decline in the number of adult women in this Table 8. Job desire of persons outside the labor force, by sex, 1979 annual averages [Numbers in thousands) Labor force status Total Men Women 85,083 Civilian nonlnstitutional 161.532 76,449 ............................. 102,908 59.517 43,391 ................................ 58,623 16.931 41,692 53,328 15,248 38,079 100.0 100.0 100.0 ................ 11.2 19.5 Ill, d is a b le d .......................... 16.1 7.8 5.5 ................... 8.5 54.4 1.9 75.4 R e tir e d .................................. 186 49.0 6.4 O t h e r ..................................... 7.3 13.5 4.9 W ant a jo b n o w ................................ 5,293 1,682 3,613 100.0 100.0 100.0 27.0 42.6 Ill health, d is a b ility ............. 14,0 19.7 11.4 H om e responsibilities 23.4 2.6 34.3 14.2 16.6 13.1 population, 16 ye a rs and o v e r ............. Civilian lab o r force Not in lab o r fo rce Do not w a n t jo b now ..................... C urrent activity (percent distribution) ............................. G oing to school K eeping house R eason not looking (percent distribution) ............................. School attendance .......... . . . Think cannot get jo b . . . . J o b -m a rke t fa c to rs Personal fa cto rs O th e r reasons . . . .......... ................... 19.7 9.4 5.9 4.7 10.6 8.9 21.4 18.4 21.6 4.2 9 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Employment and Unemployment in 1979 status, and no change in the number of teenagers. In each of the past 4 years, the number of women outside the labor force declined while the number of men grew by a total of about 1.4 million. (See table 8.) More than 90 percent of the persons classified as not in the labor force did not want a job. The majority of them were women who cited housekeeping duties as their major nonwork activity; most of the others were students, retirees, and the ill or disabled. Among the 5.3 million persons who said that they would like a job “now,” most cited school attendance, ill health, or home responsibilities as the factors which keep them from looking for work. At the end of 1979, about 740,000 persons were not looking for work because they felt they would be unable to find a job. These “discouraged workers” are not classified as unemployed because they do not meet the labor market test of having searched for work during the month prior to the Current Population Survey. Typically, about a third of them cite personal factors such as age or lack of education as the reason they feel they would not be able to find work; the re mainder cite job market factors. The size of the latter group tends to respond to cyclical pressures, while the former usually shows little cyclical movement. □ FOOTNOTES Except where noted, labor force, employment, and unemployment data in this article were derived from the Current Population Survey (CPS), a monthly survey of about 56,000 households conducted by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. As most analysis in this article is on a quarterly basis, “yearend” and “late 1979” refer to the fourth quarter. Over-the-year changes in employ ment and labor force for 1978 were adjusted to take account of the January 1978 revisions to the CPS estimates. All over-the-year com parisons are calculated from unadjusted quarterly averages, although all numbers cited for a quarter are seasonally adjusted. Over-the-year changes for 1978 cannot be calculated directly from the tables provid ed; see “Revisions in the Current Population Survey in January 1978,” Employment and Earnings, February 1978, pp. 7-10. In this article, the term “adult” refers to persons age 20 and over. Data on nonfarm payroll employment, hours of work, and earn ings are based on payroll reports from a sample of establishments which together employ more than 30 million workers. The data reflect March 1978 benchmark levels and seasonal adjustment revisions insti tuted in September 1979 for all seasonally-adjusted series since Janu ary 1974. For an explanation of these changes, see “BLS estimates revised to March 1978 benchmark levels,” Employment and Earnings, October 1979, p. 7-13. 10 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 Based on U.S. Department of Commerce’s preliminary data on consumer expenditures for the fourth quarter of 1979. For purposes of this analysis, full-time employment includes all jobholders on full-time schedules. Part-time employment consists of voluntary part-time workers and persons working part time for eco nomic reasons. For a discussion of part-time workers in terms of the probability of their part-time status in relation to socioeconomic and labor mar ket influences, see R. W. Bednarzik, A micro model of labor supply for part-time workers using matched CPS data, Staff Paper 10 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1979). These data on parttimers refer only to nonfarm part-time employ ment for economic reasons. This section deals only with blacks; they account for about 89 per cent of the “black and other" population group, according to the 1970 Decennial Census. The employment-population ratios in this sec tion were calculated using civilian noninstitutional population levels, as quarterly total noninstitutional population levels are not available for blacks. Data on duration of unemployment are available only for the “black and other” group. Industrial relations in 1979: inflation still holds spotlight Voluntary 7-percent ceiling on wage increases loses labor support as price surge continues, but unions agree to help Administration devise new anti-inflation program; Meany steps down; worker safety and anti-bias efforts pressed G eorge R lben Inflation continued to be a major concern of Americans in 1979. Workers experienced a loss of purchasing pow er as prices rose at an even faster rate than in 1978. Late in 1978, the Carter Administration had adopted a plan to restrain wage and price increases through the voluntary cooperation of labor and management. It called for a 7-percent ceiling on price and wage in creases. But with the Consumer Price Index rising at an annual rate exceeding 13 percent in the fall of 1979, the Administration tried a new approach. The Government and organized labor signed a “national accord,” under which a board composed of representatives of labor, management, and the public would advise the President on anti-inflation actions, including a new wage guide line. Employment continued to grow in 1979, but there were major layoffs in the steel and automobile indus tries, with Chrysler Corp. facing bankruptcy. Unem ployment also increased in the construction industry, as the Federal Reserve Board tightened credit, sending in terest rates to record highs. Collective bargaining activity was heavy in 1979 as settlements were negotiated in a number of major in dustries. The unions generally focused on obtaining George Ruben is co-editor of C urrent Wage Developments, a monthly publication of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis more money for their members by pressing for larger “set” wage increases or more liberal wage escalator clauses. In the automobile industry, another major goal of the Auto Workers was to win larger pensions for current and future retirees to counter the erosion of purchasing power that had occurred since the industry last bargained on pensions in 1973. In the trucking talks, the Teamsters also sought substantial increases in em ployer payments in order to maintain employee benefit plans. The most significant development in union affairs was the change in leadership of the AFL-CIO , as George Meany retired and Lane Kirkland succeeded him. (A report on the AFL-C IO convention appears on pp. 58 -62.) Meany’s decision, announced on September 28, ended months of speculation that centered on the de teriorating health of the 85-year-old leader. Meany had headed the federation since its formation in 1955. Lane Kirkland, whom Meany nominated, indicated that he would follow the same general policies as Meany. There also was continuing turmoil involving the United Mine Workers, and there were several important union mergers. Developments in occupational safety and health in cluded new court rulings on workplace standards established by the Department of Labor’s Occupational Safety and Health Administration to protect employees. 11 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Industrial Relations in 1979 There also were important developments in the area of equal employment opportunities, as two of the Nation’s largest retailers were involved in disputes with the Fed eral Government over their employment practices. The Department of Labor also issued an important ruling permitting greater diversifications of pension fund investments, which now total about $250 billion. Union wage increases For the first 9 months of 1979, settlements involving 1,000 workers or more provided for first-year wage ad justments that averaged 7.5 percent, compared with 7.6 percent for all 1978 settlements.1 Total wage adjust ments (excluding cost-of-living increases) averaged 6.1 percent when converted to an annual rate, compared with 6.4 percent for 1978 settlements. As expected, the 1979 settlements that did not con tain cost-of-living escalator (COLA) clauses generally provided for larger specified wage increases than those that did. First-year negotiated wage adjustments in con tracts without COLA provisions averaged 9.1 percent, compared with 6.3 percent for contracts with such clauses. For 1978, the figures were 8.0 and 6.9 percent. When specified wage adjustments are averaged over the life of the contract, the annual rates were 4.6 percent for contracts with COLA clauses and 8.1 percent for those without, compared with 5.3 and 7.1 percent in 1978. When benefits are combined with wages (in settle ments for 5,000 workers or more) the average adjust ment was 9.1 percent in the first contract year and 6.7 percent a year over the contract term, compared with 8.4 and 6.3 percent in 1978. Settlements that included COLA clauses provided for wage and benefit increases averaging 8.6 percent for the first year and 6.0 percent a year over the contract term, compared with 10.2 and 8.2 percent for those without COLA clauses. For the full year 1978, the figures for settlements with COLA provisions were 6.7 for the first year and 5.3 a year over the term and the figures for those that did not provide for COLA clauses were 9.6 for the first year and 7.2 a year over the term. The major settlements during the first 9 months of 1979 covered 2.6 million workers in 414 bargaining units in the private nonfarm sector. The settlements did not result in any increase in the number of workers cov ered by COLA provisions, partly because 1.5 million of the workers involved in the bargaining already were covered by COLA clauses. The eight settlements (for 15,700 workers) that established COLA clauses and the seven settlements (for 82,500 workers) that terminated clauses brought the total coverage to 5.5 million or 59 percent of the 9.4 million workers in bargaining units of 1,000 or more. During the first 11 months of 1979, labor-manage 12 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ment disputes led to about 5,100 work stoppages, in volving about 1.9 million workers. This was about the same as during the same period of 1977, but higher than in 1978. There were 33.1 million days of idleness, or 0.16 percent of the estimated working time, com pared with 35.6 million (0.18 percent) and 30.8 (0.16 percent) in the corresponding periods of 1978 and 1977. These data cover work stoppages involving six workers or more and lasting a full day or shift or longer. Anti-inflation program The general 7-percent wage guideline and other provi sions of the voluntary anti-inflation plan President Car ter announced in October 1978 were revised at the end of that year. Alfred Kahn, chairman of the Council on Wage and Price Stability, said the changes were trig gered by complaints from business and labor that the standards were too rigid. The revisions in wage guide lines— — exempted any cost increases needed to maintain existing levels of pension benefits from counting toward the 7-percent guideline limit for annual increases in compensation; — specified that only the first 7 percent of any in crease in health insurance premiums required to main tain benefits would count toward the guideline; —exempted from the guideline any increases in labor costs required to comply with Federal statutes; — suspended the 7-percent guideline when necessary to counter specific labor shortages; and —revised the methods of assessing compensation in creases for nonunion workers to make it similar to that for union-represented workers. The President’s proposal to provide “real-wage insur ance” for employees who conform to the 7-percent guideline encountered resistance in Congress, as the House Ways and Means Committee ended March hear ings on the proposal without reporting out a bill. The proposal, which was generally opposed by organized la bor, was not presented for reconsideration later in 1979. In February, the General Accounting Office, the in vestigative arm of Congress, declared that it would be illegal for the Administration to withhold Federal pur chase contracts from firms that failed to comply with the wage and price guidelines. The Administration nev ertheless initiated the requirement for all contracts worth $5 million or more, beginning February 15, and subsequently won a court test in which the A FL-C IO and some member unions challenged the legality of the sanctions. The first major test of the wage guidelines came in January, when the Oil, Chemical and Atomic Workers settled with the major petroleum refiners for 60,000 em ployees. The parties and the Council on Wage and Price Stability agreed that the 2-year contract met the guidelines but the union late in the year announced that it would not be bound by the guidelines when the con tract was reopened in January 1980. In April, the Teamsters settled with the trucking in dustry on a 3-year contract. Alfred Kahn, chairman of the Council, said that the accord met the guideline limit of 7 percent a year for increases in compensation, but the parties valued it at about 10 percent a year.2 In June, the Council announced that a settlement be tween United Airlines and the International Association of Machinists was in “probable noncompliance” with the wage guidelines. The 3-year agreement, which was valued at 35 percent over the term by United, was sub sequently upheld by the Council, which approved an “undue hardship” exception to the guidelines based on company data indicating that “adherence to the pay standard would seriously have threatened the financial viability of the company.” Mid-year settlements with the major rubber compa nies also were questioned by the Council but were later approved after the firms agreed to offset the excess part of the increase in compensation by restraining their pro fits. In August, the Council began soliciting union and management views on its proposals for changes in the anti-inflation plan to become effective October 1, the be ginning of the second year of the plan. In a policy shift, the AFL-C IO indicated that it could live with volun tary guidelines if they underwent a “wholesale re vamping” that would loosen the wage standard and clamp down on prices. It proposed the formation of a committee from labor, business, and the general public which would establish and modify pay guidelines in ac cord with the “broad concept that wage increases should be based upon changes in the Consumer Price Index, plus changes in the long-term rate of increase in manufacturing productivity.” The Federation also sug gested the creation of a committee of consumer, busi ness, and public representatives to oversee price in creases. This led to negotiations between the Administration and the AFL-CIO, the Auto Workers, and the Team sters that resulted in a national accord aimed at fighting inflation. In conjunction with the accord, which was announced on September 28, the parties also agreed on the establishment of a 15-member (later increased to 18) Pay Advisory Committee with equal representation from the general public, labor, and business to “provide public participation and advice to the Council on Wage and Price Stability on encouraging anti-inflationary pay behavior by private industry, employers, and labor."2 The national accord committed the parties to support fiscal restraints; “countercyclical” actions to alleviate the effects of a downturn in the economy; reduced de pendence on petroleum (particularly from foreign pro https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ducers), increased U.S. exports, and prompt assistance to American workers displaced by imports; and contin ued efforts to assure safe living and working conditions. A FL-CIO Secretary-Treasurer Lane Kirkland head ed the labor team that negotiated the accord with the Administration. The accord was approved by the A FLCIO’s Executive Council and by the Teamsters and Auto Workers unions. Although the President was delaying his decision on pay guidelines until the Pay Advisory Committee formu lated its recommendations, there was one immediate change. In October, the Council ruled that employees whose wages are not subject to wage escalator adjust ments could receive up to 8 percent increases in compen sation during the second year of the program, if they had not exceeded the 7-percent standard during the pre ceding 12 months. The Council on Wage and Price Sta bility estimated that the 8-percent guideline would apply to 78 million nonunion employees and 12 million repre sented by unions but not covered by COLA clauses. In November, the Council informed General Motors Corp. and Ford Motor Co. that their settlements with the Auto Workers were in probable noncompliance with the guidelines. Chairman Kahn said that even with the most liberal (low) assessment, the contracts were several percentage points above the 22.5-percent guideline for a 3-year period. The Council later approved the GM ac cord, after the company agreed to conform to the price limitations. Talks between the Council and Ford contin ued into 1980. The less costly accord at Chrysler Corp. also was questioned by Kahn but he subsequently indicated that the agreement would not have to be renegotiated to meet the guidelines. Despite this, bargaining was re opened at year end to comply with a legislated require ment that the cost of the UAW settlement be cut an additional $243 million before Chrysler could receive Federal aid. (The resulting January 6 settlement provid ed for further delays of general wage increases and a still lower number of paid personal holidays than at GM and Ford.) Bargaining issues Wages. The unions’ drive for large wage increases in 1979 settlements was generally accomplished by win ning larger specified wage increases or more liberal wage escalator clauses. Contracts that provided for more liberal escalator clauses usually provided for speci fied wage increases similar to those in the just-expired contracts. The liberalizations of COLA clauses usually took the form of reducing the amount of movement in the Consumer Price Index required to trigger an escala tor adjustment but a few settlements increased the fre quency of possible adjustments or eliminated restric tions on the size of adjustments. 13 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Industrial Relations in 1979 The Rubber Workers’ 3-year settlements with the various rubber manufacturers provided for quarterly es calator adjustments at the rate of 1 cent an hour for each 0.26 point movement in the CPI-W (1967=100), beginning in the second year. The later settlements be tween the Auto Workers and General Motors Corp., Ford Motor Co., and Chrysler Corp. also provided for a formula of 1 cent for each 0.26 point movement but the auto accords continued to call for use of a 1967 = 100 composite index derived from the U.S. and Canadi an government indexes. Another difference was that the escalator formula in rubber provided for “advances” of 20 cents at the beginning of the first year and 15 cents at the beginning of the second and third years. Howev er, 5 cents was to be withheld from some regular quar terly adjustments to offset the advances. Unlike the rubber contracts, the auto agreements provided for the permanent diversion of a total of 14 cents from quarter ly COLA adjustments to help meet the cost of the set tlements. The rubber contracts provided for a total of 72 cents an hour in “set” general wage increases and an addi tional 40 cents for skilled workers. Under their 1976 agreements, workers received $1.35 in general increases plus 40 cents to skilled workers, and 93 cents in COLA adjustments. The new auto agreements provided for general wage increases of 3 percent plus 24 cents an hour, effective immediately, and 3 percent on both the first and second anniversaries. This matched the general increases in the 1976 contract, except that it provided for an initial increase of 3 percent plus 20 cents. COLA adjustments totaled $1.37 during the 1976 contracts. In the trucking industry, the 3-year settlement be tween the Teamsters and Trucking Management, Inc., and other employer groups provided for continuation of the COLA formula of 1 cent an hour for each 0.3 point movement in the CPI-W (1967=100) but adjustments were to be made semiannually instead of annually. An unusual feature of the new COLA clause provided that the final semiannual adjustment will be effective on April 1, 1982, the day after the contract expires. As a result, that adjustment will apparently count as part of the cost of the 1982 settlement, rather than the 1979 settlement, for determining conformity with wage guide lines. The 1979 trucking accord provided for a total of $1.50 an hour in set wage increases, compared with $1.65 under the 1976 settlement. COLA adjustments totaled 62 cents under the 1976 contract. In the electrical equipment industry, settlements be tween various unions and the General Electric Co. and Westinghouse Electric Corp. provided for semiannual adjustments of 1 cent an hour for each 0.2 percent movement in the index; previously, employees received annual adjustments of 1 cent for each 0.3 percent move 14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ment in the index during the preceding 12 months, with no credit for that portion of the rise between 7 and 9 percent. Specified wage increases in the new contracts totaled 82.5 cents an hour, compared with about $1.10 under the 1976 contracts, which also resulted in 50 cents in COLA adjustments. In the airlines industry, settlements negotiated by the Machinists union with United Airlines, Inc., TWA, and other companies generally reduced the movement in the CPI required for a COLA adjustment but continued to limit the maximum size of the adjustments. At United, for example, the 3-year contract provided for three an nual adjustments of up to 13 cents an hour each, calcu lated at 1 cent an hour for each 0.3 point rise in the index; the previous formula provided for three annual adjustments of 1 cent an hour for each 0.4 point move ment, up to 12 cents a year, which was the amount em ployees actually received. One industry that retained the same escalator clause was meatpacking. The settlements between the United Food and Commercial Workers and John Morrell & Co., Wilson Foods Corp., George Hormel & Co. and other companies provided for continuation of semiannu al escalator adjustments calculated at 1 cent an hour for each 0.3 point movement in the CPI-W (1967 = 100). These firms, which have been facing problems of plant obsolescence and intense competition from new companies using new processing and distribution meth ods, also settled for the same total of set wage increases as in the 1976 contracts— 60 cents an hour over three years. COLA adjustments totaled $1.50 an hour in the 1976 contracts. Two other major industries that settled in 1979 con tinued their practice of not using a COLA clause. In pe troleum refining, the Oil, Chemical and Atomic Workers and the various companies partly countered the problem of forecasting future price movements by again limiting their agreements to a 2-year term. In ad dition, they agreed to a relatively large set wage in crease of 73 cents an hour at the beginning of the agreements and agreed to reopen bargaining at mid term on the possibility of raising the 5-percent deferred wage increase scheduled for that time, as well as on im proving certain benefits. The prior agreements in this industry, negotiated in 1977, provided for a 9-percent initial wage increase and a 75 cents-an-hour increase at mid-term. Automatic COLA clauses also were not adopted in Ladies Garment Workers settlements for 250,000 em ployees of outerwear manufacturers. The contracts did continue to provide for reopening bargaining on wages if the CPI rises a specified amount (an unspecified amount, in some contracts) but the union has not initi ated such reopenings in recent years because of the gen- -4 erally unfavorable financial condition of the industry. These contracts provided for set wage increases of 5-, 5-, 8-, and 7-percent over the 3-year term, compared with 5-, 5-, 7-, and 6-percent during the previous contracts. Pensions and other issues. Although wages drew the most attention in 1979 bargaining, other issues also were important and usually reflected union attempts to counter inflation. In the trucking industry, employers agreed to in crease their financing of pension and insurance plans by $30 a week to maintain existing levels of benefits. The Teamsters union was one of the leaders in the successful effort to persuade the Council on Wage and Price Sta bility to exclude part of the increase in employer insur ance financing and all of the increase in pension financing from counting toward guideline calculations in cases where the additional money was needed to main tain existing benefits. The union claimed that if all such costs were counted toward the value of a settlement package that met the guidelines, there would be no money left for wage increases and other benefits. In the automobile industry, pensions were a particu larly important issue, as the Auto Workers sought to win benefit increases to offset the reduction in purchas ing power since the 1973 pension agreement. Originally, the union sought a system under which benefits would be adjusted according to the movement of the CPI but it later settled for a multi-step increase for current and fu ture retirees over the 3-year contract term. (The number of steps was less at Chrysler, but the final benefit levels were to match those at General Motors and Ford.) Another important issue in this industry was the number of paid personal holidays, which was increased to 26 over the 3-year term, compared with 12 during the last 2 years of the prior contract. (Chrysler employ ees were to receive a total of 20 such holidays under their October accord, but the number was reduced to three as a result of the January 6 modifications.) This was another step toward the union’s goal of a 4-day workweek. The increase in paid personal holidays, com bined with other paid time off, also tends to moderate layoffs in the industry, which exceeded 100,000 workers in December. In the electrical equipment industry, financing of pen sions was a major issue in the 6-week strike against Westinghouse Electric Corp. by several unions. The company had pressed for conversion to a contributory pension plan contending that this was necessary to bring its labor costs into line with those at the General Electric Co., which had a contributory plan. The com pany later withdrew this demand and benefit rates were increased, but not to the same levels as at GE, where the employee contribution was increased. An unusual new contract provision negotiated in https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1979 was a Ladies Garment Workers “tax” on im ported garments. Under the provision, intended to stem a loss of jobs resulting from increased imports, employ ers will be required to pay the union an amount equal to 1.5 percent of the cost of garments purchased abroad. Previously, the ILGWU had the right to seek “liqui dated damages” in such cases, which amounted to as much as 25 percent of the cost. However, the union used this penalty selectively, because it could have wiped out employers of its own members. The ILGWU indicated that the new tax will be applied equally, not selectively, and that any resulting money will be used primarily for its union label campaign. In the rubber settlements, the Rubber Workers won assurances (except from Goodyear) that the companies would not interfere with union efforts to organize new plants. The union has been experiencing difficulty in or ganizing the plants, particularly those in areas where other industries usually are not organized. Representation of workers at new plants also was an issue in the Auto Workers negotiations with General Motors, as the company agreed to permit UAW mem bers in its employ to transfer to new GM plants with full seniority, if the new plant manufactures items that are similar to those in plants where the UAW holds representation rights. Previously, such transfers were permitted only when the opening of new plants resulted in layoffs at existing UAW plants. In a related matter, GM agreed to be neutral in any UAW effort to organize its plants, ending a dispute that flared up at the start of the negotiations. Government salaries The California Supreme Court declared invalid a State law that had, in effect, precluded any salary in creases for local government workers. The law was enacted in 1978 to help counter the drop in revenue re sulting from Proposition 13, the Statewide initiative that rolled back levels of property taxes and restricted future increases. The law had provided for the distribution of surplus State tax funds to affected local units only if salary increases for their employees during the fiscal year were held at or below the increase for State em ployees. State employees did not receive an increase, which meant that these local employees also could not receive an increase. Employee organizations had charged that local government units had violated valid contracts by failing to pay scheduled increases. As a result of the ruling, hundreds of thousands of local government workers received retroactive pay in creases and they were also free to bargain on current or future increases. State employees received a 1978 increase, after all, as the legislature in July 1979 enacted a two-part salary in15 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Industrial Relations in 1979 crease for them— 14.5 percent effective July 1, 1979, and 7 percent retroactive to October 1978. At the Federal level, 1.4 million white-collar employ ees and 2.1 million members of the Armed Forces re ceived a 7-percent salary increase in October. (Federal employees are not permitted to bargain on salaries and benefits, but white-collar and blue-collar workers may join unions and bargain on working conditions and oth er matters.) Early in the year, President Carter had in dicated that he would propose a 5.5-percent increase to Congress but later decided the larger increase was warranted because of the higher rate of inflation. Members of Congress were automatically eligible for the 7-percent increase, but they turned it down and put into effect a 5.5-percent increase they had declined in 1978. Federal judges and various officials also received the 5.5-percent increase. Pay rates for the 530,000 trades workers are adjusted at various times during the year based on comparisons with comparable occupations in the private economy. However, special legislation and a Presidential order limit their increase to 7 percent during the fiscal year that began October 1. new setbacks in its efforts to organize new or expanding mines in the West and Appalachia. The Consolidation Coal Co. withdrew from the Bituminous Coal Operators Association, indicating it would bargain with the UMW on an individual basis. Also, the steel company members of the association were pressing for a larger role in bargaining. In November, UMW President Arnold Miller re signed, after his third heart attack. The executive board designated Miller president emeritus and selected Vice President Sam Church to fill the remaining 2 years of Miller’s term. Among union mergers: —The Retail Clerks and the Meat Cutters unions joined to form the United Food and Commercial Work ers, the largest union in the AFL-CIO. William W. Wynn, who had been president of the Retail Clerks, was elected to head the new union. —The Lathers union affiliated with the Carpenters, in a move to expand job opportunities and reduce juris dictional disputes. —The Auto Workers gained 50,000 members when the Distributive Workers affiliated with the UAW. Other union developments Equal employment opportunity One of the challenges facing the new leaders of the AFL-CIO , and leaders of individual unions, was indi cated by BLS figures which showed that union members comprised 26.6 percent of the nonfarm workforce in 1977, down from 28.5 percent in 1975. The number of union members actually increased during the 2-year pe riod, to 22.8 million, but this was more than offset by an 8-percent increase in nonfarm employment, to 85.8 million. In the complex 4-year contest between the Teamsters union and the Government over management of the Central States Pension Fund, the trustees voted to draw up a list of charges against Equitable Life Assurance Society of the United States and Victor Palmieri & Co., the two current managers of the fund; this action came immediately after the trustees had almost voted to fire the firms. The list of charges was to be presented to the Department of Labor, which had in 1977 successfully pressed for the resignation of the trusteed then in con trol and for the hiring of the firms. The trustees’ Octo ber 1979 decision came in the midst of a continuing series of court cases over operation of the fund, includ ing six cases in the Chicago Federal District Court alone. The United Mine Workers union continued to be be set by difficulties, internal and external. Its chief of staff resigned after only 3 months of service, claiming he was hampered by conflicts with other officials. Women coal miners accused some union members and mine owners of discriminatory job actions. The union encountered The year was marked by a number of major adminis trative, judicial, arid legislative developments involving efforts to erase job discrimination. The Federal Government found the American Tele phone and Telegraph Co. to be operating in compliance with the antibias provisions of a 1973 consent decree and joined the company in persuading the Federal Dis trict Court in Philadelphia to let the decree lapse. The Government’s analysis showed that AT&T had made significant progress in a number of areas, including the hiring and promotion of women, blacks, and Hispanics. In February, the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission announced that it had reduced its backlog of discrimination cases to 119,000. Eleanor Holmes Norton, head of the Commission, which is responsible for enforcing antidiscrimination provisions of Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 in private industry and Federal agencies, noted that when the drive to reduce the backlog began in January 1978, there were 135,000 cases on file and that 75,000 cases had been added in subsequent months. Norton indicated that the case re duction process centered on — —Assigning new cases to investigators instead of clerks and by scheduling conciliation meetings between employer and employees within 30 days. — If the parties do not accept the agency’s settlement within 60 days after proposal, the case is referred to commission headquarters for a decision on whether to initiate a court action. Norton said that as the backlog of cases is eliminat- 16 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ed, the commission will be shifting its focus from indi vidual cases to situations dealing with broad patterns of discrimination. Sears, Roebuck and Co. charged that the Federal Government’s various equal employment laws conflict and were impossible to comply with and that the Gov ernment’s own policies have resulted in a work force dominated by white men. The Sears action was appar ently prompted by the EEOC’s January decision to ter minate 6 years of negotiations with the retailer on its employment practices. In May, Federal District Judge June L. Green dismissed the Sears claim because it was “not suffi ciently concrete.” This ruling was still in the appeal process when the EEOC filed five separate actions against Sears in which it charged the company with discriminating against women in recruitment, hiring, training, promotions, and pay around the Nation, and against blacks and Hispanics in some regions. The EEOC also filed a suit against Montgomery Ward and Co., charging that the company’s store in Glendale, Ariz., paid female department heads less than male department managers with the same responsibility. The EEOC also asserted that the company has violated a 1976 agreement with the Department of Labor in which it promised to equalize pay for men and women in equal jobs in all of its 2,200 stores. In another development, the Department of Labor announced that Uniroyal Inc. had agreed to a $5.2 mil lion settlement of a sex discrimination dispute. The De partment had barred the company from obtaining any new Government contracts because it had allegedly failed to comply with a 1965 Executive Order requiring Government contractors to cooperate in any investiga tions of discrimination complaints. Overall, a total of 750 past or present women employees of Uniroyal’s Mishawaka, Ind., plant will share the $5.2 million. The accord also restored other benefits lost as a result of the discrimination. The Supreme Court held that employers and unions with no proven history of discrimination can adopt quotas to overcome racial imbalances in “traditionally segregated job categories.” The case was initiated by Brian F. Weber, a white worker at a Kaiser Aluminum and Chemical plant in Louisiana, who was denied ad mission to a special job training program in which half of the places were reserved for blacks. Weber had more seniority than some of the blacks accepted, and he therefore contended that his exclusion amounted to dis crimination in violation of. the Civil Rights Act of 1964. Although the law outlaws discrimination against indi viduals, the court ruled that Congress had not meant to forbid private employers from correcting racial imbal ances caused by societal discrimination. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Occupational safety and health The rate of occupational illnesses and injuries in the private sector in 1978 was essentially the same as in 1977, but the occupational fatality rate declined, ac cording to Bureau of Labor Statistics’ data released last year. The number of occupational illnesses and injuries ac tually increased by 6 percent in 1978, but there was a rise in the number of workers and their hours on the job. As a result, the incidence rate of 9.4 injuries and illnesses per 100 full-time workers was about the same as for 1977. Some key results of the illness and injury portion of the survey: —There were 5.66 million work-related injuries in 1978, about the same as in 1977. —The number of injuries involving lost worktime in creased to 2.4 million, while the number of injuries that did not result in lost worktime increased by 66,000. — About 38.2 million workdays were lost to work-re lated injuries, which amounted to 62.1 days for each 100 workers. The figures for 1977 were 35.2 million days, or a 60.0 rate. — Lost-time injury rates increased in 1978 in seven of the eight industry divisions. The exception was finance, insurance, and real estate, where the rate did not change. —The largest change in the injury incidence rate for an industry division was in construction, where the rate rose to 15.9, from 15.2 in 1977. However, the rate of lost workdays declined to 108.1 from 109.7. — Recognized occupational illnesses totaled 143,500 in 1978 compared with 162,000 in 1977. —Job-related deaths declined to 4,590 in 1978, from 4,760 in 1977, a decrease of 4 percent, despite a 5-per cent increase in employment. In relation to hours worked, the fatality rate fell to 0.82 per 10,000 full-time workers, from 0.91 in 1977. Leading causes of death: — Over-the-road car and truck accidents accounted for 29 percent of fatalities, and aircraft crashes accounted for 7 percent. —Thirteen percent of deaths resulted from falls, with one-half occurring to construction workers. — Nine percent of the fatalities resulted from indus trial vehicles and equipment accidents. — Heart attacks accounted for 9 percent of fatalities. —The construction industries, employing 5 percent of all workers, accounted for 20 percent of the fatalities. The services industries, representing 21 percent of all workers, accounted for only 8 percent of the deaths and nearly half of those resulted from over-the-road motor vehicle accidents or aircraft crashes. — Of the 4,500 fatalities, nearly 500 were illness-re17 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Industrial Relations in 1979 lated, primarily due to heart attacks. The Government moved into a new area of occupa tional health and safety in October, when the Occupa tional Health and Safety Administration ordered the American Cyanamid Co. to end practices at its Willow Island, W. Va., plant that the agency claimed posed a threat to the ability of women employees to bear chil dren. OSHA also fined the company $10,000 for viola tions of health and safety standards. The problems at the plant emerged in 1978, when four women disclosed that they had been voluntarily sterilized in order to retain their jobs in the lead pig ment production area. The company has admitted that it excluded women from certain work areas because ex posure to chemicals might harm fetuses or affect fertili ty, but it also said that it offered them transfers to other jobs, possibly at lower pay. At year-end, the company closed the plant’s lead pig ment department, resulting in the layoff of about 60 employees. The four women who filed the complaint were not affected. The Federal Court of Appeals for the District of Co lumbia upheld OSHA’s standard for employee exposure to cotton dust. OSHA had published the standard in June 1978, but it was not put into effect because of a court test by the American Textile Institute, which con tended that engineering controls were too costly, that OSHA had not performed a required cost-benefit analy sis, and that the agency did not have the authority to order the transfer of certain employees to less hazard ous work at equal pay. Several unions also contested the standard, contending it was too lax. Consolidating the various challenges to the standard, the appeals court ruled that the textile industry could not prove that it was protecting workers from brown lung disease through periodic physical examinations and arrangements for job transfers. The court also said that the use of individual respirators by workers was inade quate protection and even presented additional safety and health hazards. The cotton standard provides for graduated steps to ward final limits to be attained within 4 years by instal lation of engineering controls. The final limits are 200 micrograms of cotton dust per cubic meter of air in yarn manufacturing, 750 micrograms in slashing and weaving, and 500 micrograms in cotton waste process ing, and in warehousing. Employers are permitted to furnish employees with respirators until the engineering controls are installed. Eula Bingham, Assistant Secretary of Labor for Oc cupational Safety and Health, said she was pleased with the ruling because it “vindicates our regulatory ap proach favoring engineering controls over personal pro tective equipment.” There was speculation that the ruling could influence the same court’s pending decision on whether the lead industry must use engineering controls to attain the standard it had already permitted OSHA to begin enforcing. Another standard, for benzene, was under re view by the Supreme Court. □ ------- FOOTNOTES 1This BLS information on the size of collective bargaining settle ments is of limited use in any attempts to determine the effect of President Carter’s anti-inflation plan because the BLS procedures for evaluating settlements differ from those of the Council on Wage and Price Stability, which administers the plan. Unlike the BLS, the Council: Includes estimates of potential cost-of-living escalator adjust ments. — Excludes increases in the cost of maintaining existing health benefits in excess of 7 percent. — Excludes increases in the cost of maintaining existing pension benefits levels. — Excludes the cost of legally-required social insurance programs. One reason for the differences was that Kahn estimated future wage escalator increases based on the assumption that the CPI would rise 6 percent a year, which was the amount the guidelines program specified should be used in calculating the cost of settlements. 18 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ' Its specific responsibilities were to — Submit by Oct. 31, 1979, its recommendations for (1) changes in the basic 7-percent pay standard, (2) the inflation assumption to use for evaluating automatic wage escalator contract clauses, (3) the threshold for the low-wage exemption, (4) the treatment of increments and tandem collective bargaining relationships, and (5) the proper standard for workers not covered by wage escalator clauses. — Recommend possible changes in pay exception and noncom pliance decisions of the Council on Wage and Price Stability. — Make other recommendations and new or revised interpretations of the pay standard. — Make recommendations to assure that individual decisions are fair and consistent with the objectives of the program. In addition, a new Price Advisory Committee of five members from the general public was to recommend modifications of the price stan dard, new or revised interpretations of the price standard, and any needed changes in the anti-inflation program. Workers’ compensation laws key amendments of 1979 All but three of the States increased temporary total disability benefits; some also sought to cut costs by investigating medical bills, offsetting benefits by other transfer payments, and reducing the effect of disabilities through rehabilitation programs L a V erne C. T in s l e y The legislatures of 49 States and Puerto Rico enacted 220 amendments to workers’ compensation laws during 1979. A review of these amendments indicates that States are continuing to improve benefits for covered workers, while seeking to control costs through better administration. Many States have shifted their focus from meeting the essential recommendations of the Na tional Commission on State Workmen’s Compensation Laws to dealing with other issues addressed by the commission, including rehabilitation and administra tion. All but three States and Puerto Rico increased week ly payments for temporary total disability. Connecticut and Florida increased benefits across the board up to 100 percent of the State average weekly wage. (See table 1.) Half a dozen States revised provisions for handling medical expenses. Maine and Texas strengthened disclo sure requirements for health care providers, and Minne sota will establish criteria for excessive medical costs. Seven States updated rehabilitation provisions for in jured workers. Minnesota and Montana now withhold benefits in whole or in part for failure to participate LaVerne C. Tinsley is a workers' compensation specialist in the Divi sion of State Workers' Compensation Standards, Employment Stan dards Administration. U.S. Department of Labor. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis in such programs; Arkansas prohibited such with holding. Florida approved a major revision of its law by incorporating a “wage loss” system for compensating permanent partial disability. In addition, watts tele phone lines were authorized Statewide to facilitate com munication among all parties involved in workers’ compensation matters. Michigan provided that certain State employees, if victims of workplace assaults, will receive supplemental benefits that, combined with work ers’ compensation, could equal their full salaries. Twenty-one States were concerned with revising cov erage provisions. Ten legislatures approved amendments which exempt or provide for elective coverage of sole proprietors, partners, and corporate officers. Idaho exempted members of volunteer ski patrols; North Car olina exempted members of the Civil Air Patrol and reduced numerical exemptions from fewer than five em ployees to fewer than four. The remaining States primarily expanded coverage for State and emergency service personnel. Among other jurisdictions that amended benefit pro visions, Kansas raised maximum weekly benefits from 66 2/3 percent to 72 percent of the State average week ly wage. Arkansas established a three-step monetary in crease from a weekly maximum of $87.50 to $112 (currently payable) to $126 by March of 1980. Arkan sas, Indiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Nebraska, New 19 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Workers' Compensation Amendments of 1979 T a b l e 1. J u r is d i c t i o n s t h a t in c r e a s e d m a x im u m w e e k ly t e m p o r a r y t o t a l d is a b ilit y b e n e f it s d u r in q 1 9 7 9 1 Jurisdiction Alabam a............................. Alaska ........................................ Arkansas .......................... Colorado..................................... Connecticut........................................ Delaware ........................................ District of C olum bia........................................ Florida .............................................. Hawaii .......................... Idaho ...................................... Illinois................................. Indiana ................................... Io w a ............................................ Kansas .......................................... Kentucky............................................ Louisiana ................................. M aine........................................ Maryland................................. Massachusetts ............................. Michigan...................................... Minnesota...................... Mississippi............................................ Missouri .......................................... M ontana................................... Nebraska ................................. Nevada ................................. New Hampshire................................... New Jersey................................... New Mexico .......................... New York ...................................... North Carolina...................................... North Dakota........................................ O h io ................................................. O klahoma............................. O regon...................................... Pennsylvania............................................ Rhode Island................................... South Carolina .......................................... South Dakota ................................. Tennessee ............................. Texas .............................................. U ta h ............................................ Vermont ................................... Virginia ............................. Washington........................ West Virginia............................. Wisconsin ...................................... Wyoming............................. Former maximum $128.00 $607.85 $ 87.50 $173.60 $204.00, plus $10 for each dependent under 18 years of age not to exceed 75 percent of employee’s wage $154.50 $396.78 $130.00 $189.00 $109.80 to $164.70 according to number of dependents, plus 7 per cent of SAWW for each child up to 5 $329.82 $120.00 $265.00 $129.06 $112.00 $141.00 $231.72 $202.00 $211.37, plus $6 for each dependent; aggregate not to exceed worker’s average weekly wage $142.00 to $171.00, according to number of dependents $209.00 $ 91.00 $115.00 $188.00 $155.00 $212.02 $180.00 $146.00 $172.46 $180.00 $178.00 $180.00, plus $5 for each dependent child; aggregate not to exceed worker’s net wage after taxes and social security $216.00 $132.00 $224.16 $213.00 $183.00, plus $6 for each dependent; aggregate not to exceed 80 percent of worker’s average weekly wage $172.00 $155.00 $100.00 $105.00 $197.00, plus $5 for dependent spouse and each dependent child up to 4, but not to exceed 100 percent of SAWW $181.00, plus $5 for each dependent under 21 years of age $187.00 $175.30 $224.00 $202.00 $224.98 1Benefit jhcreases are based on the applicable State’s average weekly wage, and for the District of Columbia, the national average weekly wage. However, 10 States (Arizona, Arkansas, California, Georgia, Indiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Nebraska, New York, and Tennes- York, North Dakota, Tennessee, and Washington increased statutory amounts for both disability and death. Offset provisions were created or revised in Flori da, Maine, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon, Utah, and Washington. Burial allowances were increased in Neva da. Colorado equalized entitlement to compensation for residents and nonresidents; and New York and Tennes see established the same rights for widowers as those existing for widows. Long-term recipients of workers’ compensation were given increases in Nevada, North Dakota, Pennsylvania (occupational disease cases), Utah, and West Virginia. Following is a summary of 1979 enactments by State pertaining to coverage and benefits, as well as rehabili tation, administration, and other aspects of State work ers’ compensation. 20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis New maximum $136.00 $654.30 $112.00 $222.74 $222.00, plus $10 for each dependent under'18 years of age not to exceed 75 percent of employee’s wage $164 71 $426.26 $195.00 $200.00 $115.80 to $173.70 according to number of dependents plus 7 percent of SAWW for each child up to 5 $342.19 $130.00 $352.00 $148.00 $121.00 $149.00 $306.23 $220.00 $227.31, plus $6 for each dependent; aggregate not to exceed worker’s average weekly wage $156.00 to $185.00, according to number of dependents $226.00 $ 98.00 $125.00 $198.00 $180.00 $229.71 $195.00 $156.00 $186.38 $215.00 $194.00 $196.00, plus $5 for each dependent child; aggregate not to exceed worker’s net wage after taxes and social security $241.00 $141.00 $241.70 $227.00 $199.00, plus $6 for each dependent; aggregate not to exceed 80 percent of worker’s average weekly wage $185.00 $175.00 $107.00 $119.00 $210.00, plus $5 for dependent spouse and each dependent child up to 4, but not to exceed 100 percent of SAWW $192.00, plus $5 for each dependent under 21 years of age $199.00 $186.88 $237.00 $218.00 $239.59 see) and Puerto Rico prescribe statutory amounts; three States (Arizona California and Georgia) and Puerto Rico are not listed since no increases for temporary total disability were leqislated during 1979. a Alabama Sole proprietors and partners are now permitted to elect coverage for themselves. Previously, such employers could not elect coverage for themselves for benefit purposes. Alaska Political subdivisions may now elect coverage for their vol unteer ambulance attendants and volunteer police. Arizona Coverage for volunteer firefighters now includes those in both private protection squads and fire departments in unincorporated communities. Arkansas For coverage purposes, the definition of employee now in cludes full-time sole proprietors and partners. A three-step in- crease retroactive to March 2, 1978, will raise the maximum weekly benefits for all disabilities and for death from $87.50 to $126.00 by March 1, 1980. The maximum awards for other than both permanent total disability and death will also in crease to $56,700 on March 1, 1980. The discount rate in computing lump sum settlements was increased from 4 to 7 percent. An employer’s obligation for additional vocational re habilitation expenses was limited to 60 weeks; but no employ ee is required to participate in a vocational rehabilitation program without his or her consent. Employers cannot be held responsible for unauthorized medical expenses. A claimant’s failure to give notice within the required 60 days does not bar a claim if the employee had no knowledge that the disability arose out of and in the course of employ ment. A lump sum payment of attorney fees is now permitted even if the award is to be paid in installments. Various rules, regulations, and procedures regarding Second Injury Funds and appeals were established or revised. The employer will only be liable for the specific disability resulting from the last injury in both permanent partial and permanent total disability claims. Any principal officer, director, stock holder, or partner acting in the capacity of an employer as sumes employers’ exemption from liability under common law; the negligent acts of an employee cannot be imputed to the employer. Self-insured employers are allowed to enter into pooling agreements with other employers in the same type of business. When established that failure to file a claim for compensation was induced by fraud, the claim may be filed within 1 year from the date of discovery of the fraud. All authority related to the filing, processing, and payment of public employee claims has been transferred from the Workers’ Compensation Commission to the Public Employee Claims Division of the Arkansas Insurance Department. California Volunteer workers for public agencies or nonprofit organi zations who receive no remuneration other than meals, trans portation, lodging, or reimbursement for incidental expenses are excluded from coverage, provided such persons are includ ed under Title II of the Domestic Volunteer Service Act of 1973. The revolving Compensation Insurance Fund was changed to a Public Enterprise Fund, which is exempt from certain State provisions. References to “widow” have been changed to “spouse” throughout the law. Colorado Death benefits for nonresident dependents are now the same as for resident dependents in deaths that occurred on or after July 1, 1979. Under nonmedical treatment, chiropractic care must now be paid by self-insured employers. A penalty of $500 or 60 days imprisonment, or both, may be assessed against any person, company, or corporation who fails to provide or maintain insurance coverage for the term of the contract when performing services on a farm or ranching operation. Connecticut The law was redesignated as the Workers’ Compensation Act, and references to “workmen’s” were changed to “work ers’” throughout the law. Elective coverage was extended to sole proprietors and busi ness partners. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Benefits for both disability and death were increased from 85 to 100 percent of the State average weekly wage. A 12-percent interest rate, formerly 6 percent, will be ap plied as additional compensation in cases where benefit pay ments are unduly delayed. The number of compensation commissioners was increased from seven to eight. Appellate procedures were revised with the creation of the Compensation Review Division to hear ap peals, testimony, or evidence. The Division’s decision may be appealed to Superior Court. Delaware A Workmen’s Compensation Commission was established to study workers’ compensation insurance and to make rec ommendations for improving the law. A sum of $50,000 was appropriated to the commissioner for administrative use. Florida The law was renamed the Workers’ Compensation Act, and references to “workmen’s” were replaced by “workers’” throughout the law. Officers of a corporation who elect to be exempt from cover age are excluded from the definition of employee. The defi nition of independent contractor now includes musicians and other entertainers who are not otherwise covered. Maximum weekly benefits for both disability and death were increased from 66 2/3 percent to 100 percent of the State average weekly wage. The percentage of the employee’s wage upon which benefits are based was increased from 60 to 66 2/3 percent for both temporary and permanent total dis ability. Payment for temporary partial disability was increased from 60 percent to 66 2/3 percent of the difference between preinjury and postinjury income. A wage loss approach for payment of permanent partial disability was established, and the scheduled payment periods for such disability eliminated. Compensation for dependents will now be offset by the amount of any social security benefits received. The law also was changed to bar compensation for both temporary and permanent total disability when unemployment compensation is being received. All attorney fees are now to be paid out of the claimant’s award except under certain circumstances. Medical and hospi tal fees will be closely regulated, and peer review of medical care has been established. The reporting procedures regarding an injury were changed. When an injury occurs, the employer is required to notify both the Division of Workers’ Compensation and the employ ee, as well as the insurance carrier. The penalty for a late payment of compensation was re duced from 20 to 10 percent of that payment. Compromise and release of future medical benefits are now prohibited. Lump sum settlements cannot be considered until 6 months after the worker has reached maximum medical im provement. The full responsibility for rehabilitation of injured workers rests with both the employer and the carrier. The Bureau of Workmen’s Compensation has been abolished and the Division of Workers’ Compensation created to assume an active and forceful role in the administration of the act. Watts lines have been set up in the State to assist the resolution of workers’ compensation matters. Hawaii A corporate officer who performs voluntary services in a corporation in which he or she is at least a 25-percent stock21 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Workers' Compensation Amendments of 1979 holder is excluded from coverage. The State Department of Labor and Industrial Relations is authorized to set maximum employer liability for medical care and supplies using the Consumer Price Index for the Honolu lu region. A 2-year filing limit was set for benefit claims involving asbestosis or other mineral substance with carcinogenic proper ties. Initial judicial review of claims was changed from the State Supreme Court to the Appellate Court. Idaho Members of volunteer ski patrols were exempted from compulsory coverage. Illinois Any employee receiving compensation for work-related in juries now must be notified of his or her rights to reha bilitation care and services. By amendment, “workmen’s” was changed to “workers’” in the title and throughout the act. Indiana Coverage was extended to volunteer firefighters and to sole proprietors and partners actually engaged in a business. The maximum weekly benefit for both total disability and death was raised in two steps: effective July 1, 1979, it was raised to $195; on July 1, 1980, it will increase to $210. On the same two dates, the maximum aggregate amount first changed from $60,000 to $65,000 and will increase to $70,000. The maximum number of weeks for payment of temporary to tal disability in conjunction with permanent partial disability was increased from 26 to 52 weeks. Replacement of prosthodontic devices is now permitted for employees with a com pensable mouth injury. Joint self-insurance programs are now permitted for local government employers through the formation of an interlocal risk management agency. Maine Coverage now includes all fire personnel whether or not they perform administrative duties. Injured employees are now permitted to receive podiatrie services from licensed podiatrists in Maine. Occupational hearing loss is now measured in accordance with the National Standards Institute (Standard S3.22, 1976) rather than the American Standards Association (Standard Z24.5, 1951). The Workers’ Compensation Commission was authorized to enforce the provisions pertaining to interest on awards. Attor neys are prohibited from receiving payments directly from cli ents. The Second Injury Fund is no longer liable for any claim that exceeds its assets. Workers’ “average weekly wage, earnings or salary” was redefined to exclude any allowance given to the employee to purchase chainsaws or skidders used on the job. All benefits, except for scheduled permanent partial dis abilities and lump sum settlements, will now be offset by the amount of any concurrently received unemployment bene fits. There are new procedures to regulate the disclosure of rele vant information in the insurance rate filing system. Massachusetts The Industrial Accident Board was newly authorized to or der payment of medical and hospital bills, and reports prepared by physicians who have since died are now permit ted at hearings before the Board. Michigan Iowa Elective coverage for police and firefighters in municipalities with populations of 8,000 or more will be permitted after De cember 31, 1979. Employers are required to repair or replace artificial appli ances when damaged or no longer usable as a result of workrelated circumstances (other than normal wear and tear). Kansas The maximum weekly benefit for disability and death was raised from 66 2/3 percent to 72 percent of the State average weekly wage; the minimum weekly benefit increased from $7 to $25. The maximums for total benefits also increased: both permanent total disability and death went from $50,000 to $100,000; temporary total disability and permanent or tempo rary partial disability increased from $50,000 to $75,000. Claimants are entitled to 8 percent interest on the amount of benefits found by the workers’ compensation examiner or director or State court to be due and unpaid. Louisiana Sole proprietors and partners are now permitted to waive coverage. The law now authorizes group self-insurance funds. Five or more employers of the same trade or business with a mini mum combined net worth of $500,000 are now permitted to pool their potential liabilities. 22 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Supplemental benefits (up to full salary) are now provided to certain State employees injured as a result of workplace as saults. Carriers who pay benefits for disability or death caused by exposure to polybrominated biphenyl will now be reim bursed from the Silicosis and Dust Disease Fund. Minnesota Many changes were made in the workers’ compensation law this year. Major changes include the following. Business partners who own a business or farm are now per mitted to elect coverage for themselves and their immediate relatives. Death benefits can now be awarded to either surviving spouse, rather than to the widow only. Eligibility for these benefits by children has been extended to full-time students up to age 25. The 104-week limit on total disability payments has been removed. Supplementary benefit payments are increased from 60 to 65 percent of the State average weekly wage. A Reopened Case Fund has been created to assume liability for all new claims filed 7 years from the date of injury or death or 3 years from the last payment of compensation, whichever is later. The Commissioner of Labor and Industry must estab lish procedures for determining whether health care charges are excessive. An employee who has been mentally and physi cally incapacitated is now allowed to file a claim for compen sation within 180 days of the incapacity. The responsibility for administration of employers’ self-insurance was transferred from the Commissioner of Labor and Industry to the Com- missioner of Insurance. Employers are required to provide for both podiatric and orthodontic treatment for claimants. A worker permanently transferred to another State is no longer covered by the extraterritoriality provision if he or she travels extensively outside that State. The liability of an employee who intentionally or grossly caused injury to another employee was limited. Comprehensive procedures were established for rehabilita tion, emphasizing the need for comparable employment and on-the-job training. Retraining to a higher status was permit ted when employability would be increased by doing so. The director of rehabilitation services, appointed by the Commis sioner of Labor and Industry from persons in the Classified Service, will oversee this new program. ^ Mississippi Maximum weekly compensation for disability and death was increased from $91 to $98; the total maximum was raised from $40,950 to $44,100. Missouri Elective coverage was allowed when an employer files notice with the Division of Workmen’s Compensation. The maxi mum weekly benefit for temporary partial and temporary total disability was increased from $115 to $125, and the weekly compensation for both permanent total disability and death was increased from $115 to $120. Montana The law was redesignated the Workers’ Compensation Act, and references to “workmen’s” were changed to “workers’” throughout the law. The Occupational Disease Disability Act was retitled the Occupational Disease Act. The Vocational Rehabilitation Division has been renamed the Department of Social Aid Rehabilitation Services. Municipalities must now pay the difference between a law enforcement officer’s full salary and the amount of workers’ compensation benefits. The division is now authorized to require that a claimant pursue a vocational rehabilitation program, if feasible and ap propriate, for continuation of benefits. Refusal to participate in the program may lead to the termination of benefits. Full medical care without time or dollar limits was provid ed. Under previous law, medical treatment was restricted to a maximum of $2,500 for a nondisabling occupational disease. Several pneumoconiosis provisions were repealed, thereby making no practical distinction between pneumoconiosis and other occupational diseases. A fine of not more than $500, up from $100, may now be assessed against an employer who fails to provide information (from books, records, and pay rolls) at the request of the division. Uninsured employers are now required to pay into the Uninsured Employer’s Fund ei ther double the premium amount the employer would have paid if insured by the State fund or $200, whichever is greater. Third-party suits are no longer permitted against an employer covered by the act. State agencies are now required to be in sured under the State fund. The penalty assessed against an insurer for delayed benefit payments was increased from 10 percent to 20 percent. A provision providing employer nonliability for work con tracted to an independent party was eliminated. Benefit pay ments are due after 15 days of an entitlement notice by the insurer. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Nebraska The maximum weekly benefit for both disability and death was increased from $155 to $180. Nevada Coverage was extended to off-duty regular firefighters who perform voluntary services both within the jurisdiction served by their departments and in jurisdictions with reciprocal aid agreements. Benefits were increased to 35 percent above the initial benefit amount for permanent total disabilities incurred prior to April 9, 1971, and for deaths prior to July 1, 1973. The burial ex pense allowance was increased from $1,200 to $2,500. Cooperative agreements for rehabilitation services were au thorized for the Industrial Commission, the Rehabilitation Division of the Department of Human Resources, and other agencies to provide the necessary rehabilitation services for disabled workers to return to gainful employment. Employers are now permitted to self-insure their potential liabilities. In addition, an administrative fund was created to defray all costs and expenses of administering self-insurance programs. New Hampshire Death benefits for dependent and totally disabled widows or widowers will now extend for the duration of such total disability. A totally disabled widow or widower with depen dent children will continue to receive supplemental compensa tion for their dependents according to the weekly benefit amounts until the children are no longer entitled. Lump sum agreements, except for medical care, may now be permitted at the discretion of the labor commissioner. New Jersey Injuries to fingers and toes will no longer be compensated unless a permanent loss of function occurs. A disfiguring inju ry, with scars less than three inches, will also no longer be compensable except when involving the face. New Mexico The definition of “workmen” was broadened to include public employees and salaried public officers. New York Coverage is extended to film inspection assistants, school safety supervisors, and instructors of addiction employed by school districts in a city with a population of 1 million or more. Death benefits for either surviving spouse were equalized. The authority of the chairman of the Workers’ Compensa tion Board to approve rates for medical services charged to employers was extended until December 31, 1980. The board was also authorized to impose a U/2 -percent monthly interest penalty for overdue payments of physician fees. North Carolina The law was retitled the Workers’ Compensation Law, and references to “workmen’s” were changed to “workers’” throughout the law. The numerical exemption was reduced from five to four em ployees. Sole proprietors or partners are now permitted to elect coverage; senior members of the Civil Air Patrol were exempted. 23 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Workers' Compensation Amendments of 1979 When a totally disabled employee dies of asbestosis or sili cosis, the compensation will now be the unpaid portion of the 104 weeks of disability compensation plus an additional 300 weeks of benefits. Attorney fees in third party subrogation actions now must be approved by the Industrial Commission. Two or more em ployers are now permitted to pool their potential liabilities. Employers can no longer discharge or demote an employee for filing a compensation claim. When a medical bill remains unpaid after 60 days, a 10-percent penalty will now be added. The commission was also authorized to assess the costs of proceedings against any person who has brought, prosecuted, or defended such proceedings without reasonable grounds. North Dakota The maximum weekly benefit for death was increased from $75 to $90. Persons on the compensation rolls as of July 1, 1975, who are continuing to receive benefits as of July 1, 1979, are now entitled to supplementary benefits. A claim for death benefits can now be filed up to 2 years (previously 1 year) following the worker’s death. Court fees for cases that are being appealed are now determined by the Appellate Court, rather than by the trial judge. Temporary total and permanent total disability benefits will now be offset by the amount of any so cial security benefits. Ohio Temporary total disability benefits for the first 12 weeks of compensation will now be based on 72 percent of the employ ee’s last full weekly wage instead of the employee’s average weekly wage. A Rehabilitation Division was established in the Industrial Commission to provide a comprehensive system designed to rehabilitate the injured worker. In the event of a concurrent and duplicative benefit under an employer-funded, nonoccupational benefits plan, temporary total disability benefits will now be reduced. The time limit for premium defaults was changed from 6 to 8 weeks. Premium rates are now set by the Industrial Com mission to assure the solvency of the State Insurance Fund. Oregon Upon election by a municipality, coverage can now be ex tended to all municipal volunteer personnel as well as to subcontractors and their employees. Mentally disabled per sons in special educational training programs and participants in work training programs arer now covered, except that the trainees are not entitled to temporary total disability benefits. Compensation for permanent disability was changed from $85 to $100 for each degree of injury based on a fixed scale. Where the rating is based on permanent loss of earning capac ity, the benefit value per degree is now $85. The law was amended to limit an injured worker to four changes of his or her attending physician (following the initial choice) without approval from the director. Self-insured employers must now have certain excess insur ance to cover their potential liabilities. The State Accident Insurance Fund was made an indepen dent public corporation governed by five directors appointed by the Governor. An assessment of six cents per day will now be charged to every subject employer for each worker employed each day or part of a day. Permanent total disability benefits will now be offset by the amount of social security benefits received. 24 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Rhode Island The Workmen’s Compensation Commission was retitled the Workers’ Compensation Commission. Determinations for the reasonableness of disputed medical charges will now be made by the Workers’ Compensation Commissioner. The time period for filing occupational disease claims w'as extended from 24 to 36 months. South Carolina The amount of compensation a minor dependent may re ceive without the appointment of a guardian was increased from $1,000 to $2,500. Tennessee Maximum weekly benefits for disability or death were in creased from $100 to $107, and the total maximum was raised from $40,000 to $42,800. The $15 weekly minimum remained unchanged. Death benefits payable to a widower are now the same as those payable to a widow. Lump sum payments may be commuted upon motion by any party involved in the court proceeding. Texas The definition of State employee was broadened to include persons paid from State funds and working for and receiving supervision from a political subdivision of the State. Dependency no longer applies to parents who abandoned or failed to support the disabled or deceased worker during preadult years. When no claim for death benefits has been filed within 8 months of death, it will now be presumed that there are no dependents entitled to benefits; thus payments will be made into the Second Injury Fund. However, this pre sumption does not apply to minor beneficiaries or to bene ficiaries of unsound mind for whom no guardian has been appointed. A written report must now be filed by an employer within 8 days after an employee’s absence from work because of a work-related injury. The law now requires hospitals to furnish relevant records upon request. Physicians and chiropractors were already cov ered by this provision. A Workers’ Compensation Advisory Committee was appointed by the Governor to study the law and to formulate possible ways to improve the system. Utah Minimum weekly compensation was increased from $75 to $85 for persons permanently and totally disabled and entitled to benefits from the Special Fund. References in the law to ei ther “Special” or “Combined” Injury Fund were deemed to concern the Second Injdry Fund. Employer liability in no-dependency cases was increased from $15,600 to $18,720, payable into the Second Injury Fund. All death benefits formerly paid from the fund will now be paid by the carrier. After the first 6 years of dependency, death benefits will be subject to a 50-percent offset based on Federal social security death benefits. The minimum weekly benefit for an employee undergoing rehabilitation was increased from $35 to $45. Virginia The 2-year limit for filing first or second stage pneumoconi osis claims was removed. Only in cases of pneumoconiosis or silicosis, where x-ray evidence has demonstrated a positive di agnosis of the disease, will waivers from coverage be permit ted. Requirements for group self-insurance were strengthened, with new payroll reporting procedures and the adoption of uniform rules on compliance and certification of insurance. Other insurance changes were also made. Washington Corporate officers were excluded from compulsory coverage; elective coverage is now permitted. Permanent partial disability benefits (thus all disability ben efits) will now be offset by any Federal social security benefits. A new provision also allows recovery of overpayment based on this offset. Weekly compensation for scheduled injuries (where benefit amounts have been precalculated) was doubled, and total compensation for impairment to the whole body was in creased from $30,000 to $60,000. A $45,000 maximum was placed on compensation for unscheduled permanent partial disability to the back when no objective clinical findings are available. The annual cost-of-living adjustment for both total disabili ty and death benefits for claimants on the rolls since July 1, 1971, was extended to July 1, 1980. West Virginia The commissioner must now establish guidelines for deter mining anticipated periods of disability. Eligibility require ments under the Disabled Workmen’s Relief Fund will now extend coverage to persons who receive less than 33 1/3 per cent of the State average weekly wage. Payment of reasonable medical expenses is now permitted without prior authorization under certain circumstances. A Workers’ Compensation Advisory Board consisting of 10 members was created to advise the commissioner on compen sation administration and make long-range plans for improve ments in the Disabled Workmen’s Relief Fund. Wyoming The presumed pay of volunteer emergency personnel was increased from $50 per month to $100 per month. Thus, they will now be entitled to maximum benefits for temporary total disability. The dollar limits on attorney fees were eliminated. □ The cost of safety incentives The pain and suffering of a serious disability represent a substantial portion of the costs of an injury. It would be desirable for the legal system to assign liability for such losses so that the full cost of injuries is borne by the party in the best position to prevent the accident. The dilemma, however, is that if the awards routinely made in a workers’ compensation system were to be so generous as to include pain and suffering there would be a strong incentive for employees to act with less than an optimal amount of care. . . . There is some evidence that even the more generous States within the current system may fail to encourage an https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis appropriate amount of careful employee behavior. Only a system that provides the opportunity for detailed examina tion of the circumstances and consequences of the injury could avoid such a distortion of incentives; but again, this would be very costly. — Ja m es R o ber t C heliu s Workplace Safety and Health: The Role of Workers' Compensation (Washington, American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, 1978), p. 62. 25 The productivity trend in the soaps and detergents industry < During 1958- 77, annual productivity increased an average of 2.9 percent, as the industry responded to a strong demand for soap and detergent products and was aided by improved technology Patricia S. Wilder Productivity in the soaps and detergents industry has increased in line with the rise in output per employee hour for the manufacturing sector since 1958.1 While annual output doubled, employee hours in creased by more than one-fourth between 1958 and 1977. The average annual increase in productivity was 2.9 percent. The rise in productivity was associated with an annu al increase in output of 4.1 percent coupled with a 1.2-percent average annual increase in employee-hours. Productivity gains have resulted primarily from sustained high levels of capital investment for new ma chinery and equipment, and improvements in produc tion and packaging operations. Output per employee hour has fluctuated during the period of this study. Since 1958, annual increases in productivity have ranged from 1.0 to 10.6 percent. De clines in productivity have occurred in 4 years, includ ing 1977. For the most recent 5-year period, 1973-77, productivity has declined at an annual rate of 0.6 per cent. (See table 1.) From 1958 to 1965, average growth in productivity was 1.9 percent; output rose 4.6 percent, and hours ad vanced 2.7 percent annually. During this period, the in dustry experienced a general expansion. The number of establishments manufacturing soaps and detergents in creased from 608 in 1958 to 704 in 1963. Patricia S. Wilder is an economist in the Division of Industry Produc tivity Studies, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 26 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis From 1965 to 1974, productivity grew much faster, averaging 4.3 percent each year. The acceleration was in sharp contrast to the productivity movements of other industries in the economy. More than two-thirds of the industries for which productivity measures are available showed slackening productivity growth since 1966. Pro ductivity growth in the soaps and detergents industry during 1965-74 reflected average annual increases of 4.9 percent in output and 0.6 percent in employeehours. The slower growth in employee-hours was asso ciated with an overall decline in the number of estab lishments— from 704 in 1963 to 642 by 1972. In 1975, a recession year, productivity fell 7.1 percent. Output recorded its largest decline of 9.4 per cent, and employee-hours declined 2.4 percent. In 1976, productivity growth resumed with a 3.0 percent gain with both output (5.8 percent) and hours (2.8 percent) increasing over the depressed levels of the preceding year. In 1977, however, output growth slowed to 2.2 percent, while employee hours increased 2.8 percent. This resulted in a 0.6-percent decline in productivity. Output doubles Productivity gains in the soaps and detergents indus try have been closely linked to output expansion, which doubled between 1958 and 1977. Some significant fac tors affecting this growth are expanded use of home laundry equipment and dishwashing appliances, popula tion growth, and successful advertising and sales pro motions.2 Table 1. Productivity and related indexes for the soaps and detergents industry, 1958-77 [1967 = 100] Output per employee-hour Year All employees 1958 . . . 1959 . . . 1960 . . . Production workers Nonproduction workers Employee-hours Output All employees Production workers Nonproduction workers 77.7 84.4 81.7 78.3 85.4 81.5 76.3 82.2 82.0 64.7 71.8 71.9 83.3 85.1 88.0 82.6 84.1 88.2 84.8 87.3 87.7 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ... ... ... ... ... .. . ... ... .. . ... 82.6 83.9 90.7 90.7 88.1 94.2 100.0 101.1 101.1 105.7 81.7 81.7 87.5 88.3 87.0 94.0 100.0 102.4 104.1 110.4 84.2 89.7 98.8 96.5 90.7 94.6 100.0 98.2 95.0 96.3 75.7 78.8 85.2 88.7 88.5 93.8 100.0 106.0 109.9 115.3 91.7 93.9 93.9 97.8 100.4 99.6 100.0 104.8 108.7 109.1 92.6 96.5 97.4 100.4 101.7 99.8 100.0 103.5 105.6 104.4 89.9 87.8 86.2 91.9 97.6 99.2 100.0 107.9 115.7 119.7 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 . . . . . . . 108.6 120.0 127.5 132.7 123.3 127.0 126.2 114.8 125.1 134.4 139.6 129.0 135.0 135.6 96.5 110.1 114.2 119.3 112.1 112.0 109.1 111.7 125.9 135.1 137.9 125.0 132.3 135.2 102.9 104.9 106.0 103.9 101.4 104.2 107.1 97.3 100.6 100.5 98.8 96.9 98.0 99.7 115.7 114.3 118.3 115.6 111.5 118.1 123.9 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Average annual rates of change (in percent) 1958-77 1973-77 2.9 -0 .6 3.4 -0 .2 1.9 -1 .5 4.1 -0 .4 1.2 0.2 0.7 -0 .2 2.1 1.1 The growth in output has also been influenced by the availability of a wide variety of soap and detergent products which can handle different types of cleaning problems. Among synthetic detergent products are light-duty, mild, sudsing detergents mainly used for dishwashing by hand; all-purpose and heavy-duty laun dry detergents, which can be used for a number of tasks; presoak products; and automatic dishwashing de tergents. Laundry soaps are also available as flakes and blown granules. The predominantly used soap product is the refined bar of toilet soap. As shoppers are aware, these bars are available in a variety of sizes, colors, and scents, some containing additives such as cold creams and deodorants. The industry is very competitive and has been able to gain public acceptance of new products through advertising, and by dispensing free samples in large numbers when new products are introduced.3 The growth in output has also been influenced by the interactions among the household laundry equipment, textile, and detergent industries. The development of permanent press garments in the mid-1960’s by the textile industry was followed by reformulations in deter gent products. Because oily soils are more difficult to remove from synthetic fibers, their increased use in clothing required improved detergent products. Also, because higher wash temperatures may cause oily soils in some synthetics to become “set,” lower wash temper atures are often recommended for wash and wear gar ments.4 The detergent industry developed improved products that would perform adequately at lower wash https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis temperatures. The household laundry equipment indus try followed the development of permanent press gar ments within a few months by the introduction of properly matched cycles in washers and dryers to han dle this new concept in clothing.5 At present, many au tomatic washers include permanent press cycles and various combinations of wash and rinse temperatures. The increase in the sales of home laundering equip ment, as well as the increase in wash and wear fabrics, favorably affected the demand for soap and detergent products. The output of the household laundry equip ment industry is estimated to have increased nearly 70 percent between 1958 and 1976. In 1975, more than 4 million home washing machines were sold, increasing market penetration to 70 percent, from 53 percent in I960.6 Employment shows moderate rise Employment in the soaps and detergents industry, currently at 40,000, has increased moderately since 1958, when employment was at 32,000. This change is equivalent to an average increase of 1.1 percent each year. The growth in employee hours— an average annu al rate of 1.2 percent— reflected a very small increase in average hours per employee. Labor turnover in the industry has been comparative ly low, providing a stable and experienced work force. Since 1958, accessions have averaged 2.5 per 100 em ployees annually, compared with 3.6 for all manufactur ing. Separation rates have been 2.4 per 100 employees, compared with 4.1 for all manufacturing. Lower layoff and quit rates occurred in the industry than for all manufacturing almost every year. Average hourly earn ings for production workers in the soaps and detergents industry have risen steadily. Hourly earnings averaged $7.81 in 1977, compared with the manufacturing aver age of $5.68. The proportion of nonproduction workers in the in dustry is somewhat higher than is the case in other manufacturing industries— 37 percent of total employ ment in 1977, compared with 28 percent for all manu facturing. The higher proportion reflects the larger number of professional and technical, clerical, and sales personnel employed. Although data on the occupational composition of employees in the industry are not available, some in sights can be obtained from the broader aggregation, soaps and cosmetics.7 In 1976, an estimated 6 percent of all workers employed in soaps and cosmetics were chem ical and industrial engineers, chemists, and chemical technicians. Sales and clerical personnel accounted for 26 percent of total employment. The industry also em ploys a large number of semi-skilled workers, such as packers, wrappers, examiners, assemblers, and mixers who accounted for 32 percent of the work force in 1976. 27 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Productivity in Soaps and Detergents Industry Larger plants dominate output Most of the soaps and detergents industry’s output is produced by large establishments. By 1972, more than 80 percent of the value of shipments was accounted for by units having 100 employees or more. These units represented only 9 percent of the industry’s establish ments because most of the industry’s establishments are small. In 1972, 69 percent of the 642 manufacturing es tablishments had fewer than 20 employees. Prior to the introduction of synthetic detergents, the soaps and detergents industry tended to concentrate near the sources of its principal raw materials. In more recent years, with increased detergent usage, more em phasis is given to locations near distribution centers when new sites are considered. Although production es tablishments are located throughout the Nation, about half of the industry’s production originates in the North Central region of the United States. Increases in labor productivity are frequently related to increases in the stock of capital. Over the period of this study, new capital expenditures per employee in the soaps and detergents industry increased at an average annual rate of 10 percent, compared with 7.8 percent for all manufacturing. Moreover, the levels were sub stantially above the average for all manufacturing in al most every year. By 1976, capital expenditures per employee were 82 percent higher than the manufactur ing average ($4,191, compared with $2,300). About three-fourths of the expenditures have been for new ma chinery and equipment, the same as for all manufactur ing. Technology changes Soap has always been made by combining the basic ingredients, fat and alkali. The early American commer cial soapmakers made soap outdoors in large iron ket tles over an open fire, according to a uniform formula. The kettle method of soapmaking was used until 1940 when a major improvement was achieved in soap pro duction technology. A continuous process was perfected which reduced soapmaking time from about a week to less than a day.8 Today, the continuous process is dom inant, although the “kettle” process is still used in some establishments. Soap reacts with the minerals in hard water to form lime soap, which sometimes appears as a white scum in the wash water. Synthetic detergents, however, do not react this way. The term detergent usually refers to a product, which for heavy-duty laundry use, generally contains an organic surface active agent (surfactant), an inorganic builder, and various other ingredients. Also, “detergent” is sometimes used to denote the organic surfactant.9 28 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis German scientists are credited with developing the first synthetic detergents during World War I.10 Syn thetic detergents were introduced into the United States during the early 1930’s. The first synthetic detergents performed well in hard water; however, their cleaning ability was limited in laundry usage. In the 1940’s, the discovery and development of phosphates, primarily so dium tripolyphosphate, led to the first “built” synthetic detergents which not only performed well in hard wa ter, but provided the cleaning power necessary for laun dry use.11 By 1958, soap for many centuries the chief cleansing agent for household laundry and dishwashing use, had been largely replaced by synthetic detergents. Detergents reformulated. Developments over the past 15 to 20 years have resulted in many changes in product composition. Because of environmental concerns, deter gent products have been and are still being reformu lated. One of the first changes in detergent composition occurred in 1964-65 involving the replacement of the organic surfactant with a type which degrades rapidly in the environment.12 Specifically, “hard” branchedchain alkylbenzenesulfonate (ABS) was replaced by “soft” biodegradable linear alkylbenzenesulfonate (LAS). LAS is still a major detergent ingredient. By the late 1960’s, the focus of environmental con cern shifted to phosphate levels in detergent products because of the controversy over the effect of phosphates upon rivers, streams, fish, and other wildlife. Legislation restricting phosphate levels in detergents was intro duced, including a total ban on phosphate in detergents in several States. To maintain detergent performance with reduced phosphate levels, surfactant levels are gen erally increased. Also, the use of surfactants, which are even less sensitive to water hardness than LAS, helps to maintain cleaning performance. For this reason, surfac tants based on long-chain alcohols have become more popular. These detergent formulation changes which occurred in the mid- and .late 1960’s coincided with years in which productivity grew substantially less than the in dustry long-term average. Also, exceptionally large an nual increases in nonproduction workers occurred which suggests that the industry, in response to the en vironmental concerns, expanded its research efforts into the development of environmentally more acceptable products. Although sodium tripolyphosphate is still the leading detergent builder, new builders are beginning to appear and are currently used as phosphate substitutes. These include sodium carbonate, sodium silicate, and various surfactant blends. Other possible phosphate replace ments are being developed and tested, but none of these materials has proved to be a total replacement on a one-to-one basis. Production processes improved. By 1958, virtually all of the basic equipment currently used in soap and deter gent making had been developed. Most of the improve ments which became available later were technological refinements of the basic equipment and production pro cesses. However, some notable improvements have been introduced. One of the major processes in the manufacture of synthetic surfactants is sulfonation. In this process, a nonsurface-active hydrocarbon (alkylbenzene, for in stance) is converted into surface-active alkylbenzenesulfonic acid, and subsequently neutralized to a salt. Oleum is the sulfonating agent.14 In the mid-1950’s, an innovation was developed which permitted the industry to convert batch sulfonation into a continuous process. With the continuous oleum process, a high-quality, uni form product could be obtained which met the impor tant production criteria, principally light color and low free oil (unconverted hydrocarbon) in the final sulfona tion product. Time saving is another advantage; the continuous sulfonation process is completed in a matter of minutes, whereas the batch process requires 6 to 10 hours.15 In the mid-1960’s, a further improvement was intro duced in the continuous sulfonation process involving a change from oleum to sulfur trioxide (S03) gas, mixed with air, as the sulfonating agent. The industry-wide trend towards the use of continuous S 0 3 has occurred mainly because former sulfonating agents, such as ole um, have higher chemical costs, and present disposal problems of spent sulfuric acid. Also, some of the newer types of raw materials mentioned earlier cannot be pro cessed efficiently except with S 03. This process provides a high-quality product by minimizing product degrada tion due to the short reaction time, reducing costs, and realizing labor savings in the handling of the acid dis posal product.16 Continuous sulfonation processes with automatic con trols minimize labor requirements. An entire continuous sulfonation plant can be operated with one operator, rather than the two or three operators needed in the batch and semi-continuous plants.17 Packaging operations in the industry have long used automatic equipment. However, some technological modifications have been introduced. For example, ma chines have been developed to handle larger powder packs and at the same time are capable of erecting car tons, and filling and closing them at higher speeds. For liquids, machines have also been introduced that can achieve higher filling speeds. High-speed soap bar production. Changes have also been made in soap bar finishing operations.18 Although con tinuous soap production lines have been in operation for many years, the need for faster production rates and https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis the development of more complex shapes of bar soaps spurred improvements over the past 15 years. Extensive changes have occurred in the design of the equipment and the line configurations. New high-speed lines for production of simple or uni form type bar soap formulas have broken the tradition al line speed barrier of 150-200 bars per minute. With the high-speed lines, 200-300 soap bars can be pro duced each minute. Modern specialty lines are available which provide flexible processing capability. A variety of toilet bar formulations such as synthetic detergent bars, soap-synthetic bars, and translucent soaps can now be produced at reasonable speeds. New high-speed stamping machines have also been developed which can produce up to 400 bars per minute either banded or bandless. In addition, refrigerated stamping dies have become standard in the industry. They serve to improve product appearance, to lessen die-fouling, and to im prove production rates. New developments have also been made in the ma chinery that is widely used to package bar soaps. These developments complement the development of the high speed finishing lines and have been directed primarily toward wrappers, cartoners, and bar soap transfer units. This new equipment has the capability of attaining higher speeds and has the flexibility of handling various shapes of bar soap.19 In the past, bar soap transfer units were limited to maximum speeds of 200 bars a minute. In the last 4 to 5 years, the speed has been increased. Wrappers, cartoners, and bar soap transfer units are be ing introduced that are capable of average production speeds of up to 300 bars a minute for the mass-pro duced soaps. Computer technology has made possible the central ized instrumentation of the production processes, although the industry has always been highly mecha nized. Computers are increasingly being used for jobs such as inventory control, flow and measurement of raw materials, formula calculations, and in mixing opera tions to assure uniformity of soap and detergent mixes. Marketing analysis can more easily be accomplished with computer-based information systems. The use of computer processing provides information that can be used to better allocate the time required for many activ ities, resulting in improved utilization of labor. Shortrun changes in productivity in the soaps and de tergents industry will continue to be affected by changes in demand. Over the longrun, the high levels of capital investment per employee should help to keep industry productivity gains in line with the average for all manu facturing. Substantial demand for virtually all of the products produced by the industry should continue into the im mediate future. The output of dishwasher detergents should especially show growth as the utilization of 29 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Productivity in Soaps and Detergents Industry existing dishwashing machines is increased, and the ownership of home dishwashers is expanded. The num ber of washing machines in U.S. households is also expected to increase, thus generating additional growth for the soaps and detergents industry. --------- FOOTNOTES---------' The soap and other detergents industry comprises establishments primarily engaged in manufacturing soap, synthetic organic deter gents, inorganic alkaline detergents, or any combination thereof, and refined glycerine from vegetable and animal fats and oils. The indus try is designated as number 2841 in the Office of Management and Budget’s Standard Industrial Classification Manual (SIC), 1972 edition. Data prior to 1958 are not comparable. All average annual rates of change are based on the linear least squares trends of the logarithms of the index numbers. Extensions of the indexes will appear in the an nual BLS Bulletin, Productivity Indexes for Selected Industries. A tech nical note describing the methods used to develop the indexes is available from the Division of Industry Productivity Studies. 2 U.S. Industrial Outlook, various issues. in d u stria l Outlook, 1970, p. 181. 4 Dieter H. Von Hennig, “The Role of Detergent Alcohols in the Soap and Detergents Industry, A Bicentennial Update,” Shell Chemi cal Company, at Chemical Industry Association, Inc. Workshop Meeting, Absecon, New Jersey, June 14, 1976. 5 Richard C. Davis, “Washer-detergent-textile Interactions,” Hydro carbon Processing, March 1975, pp. 90-92. 6 Richard B. Carnes, “Laundry and cleaning services pressed to post productivity gains,” Monthly Labor Review, February 1978; and “ 1976 Statistical and Marketing Report,” Merchandising, March 1976, pp. 38-42. 7Bureau of Labor Statistics, unpublished data for 1970-85, Nation al Industry Occupational Matrix. 8“About Soap,” Procter and Gamble Service Bulletin, Procter and Gamble, Cincinnati, Ohio. 9 Based on information provided by Dr. Arno Cahn, Development Director, Household Products, Lever Brothers Co. 10“Some Facts About Procter and Gamble Detergents,” Procter and Gamble Information Bulletin. " Anne L. Lyng, “Detergents in Review,” Detergents— in Depth, a symposium sponsored by The Soap and Detergent Association, Wash ington, D.C., Mar. 28-29, 1974, pp. 2 -7 . 12T. E. Brenner, “Soaps and Detergents: North American Trends,” The Soap and Detergent Association, in Proceedings — World Confer ence on Soaps and Detergents, Oct. 9 -1 5 , 1977, Montreux, Switzer land, pp. 5 -8 . Reprinted in Journal o f the American Oil Chemists' Society, January 1978. Also see, O. Carl Kerfoot and H. R. Flammer, “Synthetic Detergents: Basics,” Hydrocarbon Processing, March 1975, pp. 74-78. 13 Brenner, “Soaps and Detergents.” 14 Based on information provided by Dr. Arno Cahn, Development Director, Household Products, Lever Brothers Co. 15 Oleum Sulfonation Process Equipment, The Chemithon Corp., Se attle, Washington, 1968. Also conversation with respresentative of The Chemithon Corporation. 16Sulphur Trioxide Detergent Process Equipment, The Chemithon Corp. Ibid. 17 Oleum Sulfonation Process Equipm ent and S ulphu r Trioxide Deter gent Process Equipment. Ibid. 18 A. B. Herrick, “Bar Soap Finishing— New Trends in Soap Pro cessing Line Design and Layouts,” Armour-Dial Company, in Proceedings— World Conference on Soaps and Detergents, Oct. 9 15, 1977, Montreux, Switzerland. Reprinted in Journal of the Ameri can Oil Chemists' Society, January 1978, pp. 147-50. 19 L. Spitz, “Bar Soap Packaging,” ACMA S.p.A., in Proceedings — World Conference on Soaps and Detergents, Oct. 9 -1 5 , 1977, Montreux, Switzerland. Reprinted in Journal of the American Oil Chemists' Society, January 1978, pp. 151-55. APPENDIX: Measurement techniques and limitations Indexes of output per employee-hour measure chang es in the relation between the output of an industry and employee hours expended on that output. An index of output per employee hour is derived by dividing an in dex of output by an index of industry employee hours. The preferred output index for manufacturing indus tries would be obtained from data on quantities of the various goods produced by the industry, each weighted (multiplied) by the employee-hours required to produce one unit of each good in some specified base period. Thus, those goods which require more labor time to produce are given more importance in the index. In the absence of physical quantity data, the output index for the soaps and detergents industry was con structed by a deflated value technique. The value of 30 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis shipments of the various product classes were adjusted for price changes by appropriate Producer Price Indexes to derive real output measures. These, in turn, were combined with employee-hour weights to derive the overall output measure. These procedures result in a fin al output index that is conceptually close to the pre ferred output measure. The indexes of output per employee-hour relate total output to one input— labor time. The indexes do not measure the specific contribution of labor, capital, or any other single factor. Rather, they reflect the joint ef fect of factors such as changes in technology, capital in vestment, capacity utilization, plant design and layout, skill and effort of the work force, managerial ability, and labor-management relations. Estimating the user cost of owner-occupied housing The Bureau of Labor Statistics has continued its examination of alternative ways to measure homeowner costs in the Consumer Price Index R obert G il l in g h a m For several years, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has been studying alternative methods of measuring the costs of owner-occupied housing in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). During the recently-completed revision of the CPI, Bureau staff proposed'that the housing compo nent of the CPI— for both renters and homeowners— measure the cost of consuming the flow of shelter serv ices provided by a house. This approach, which is com parable to that incorporated in the national accounts, focuses on consumption and abstracts from the invest ment aspects of home purchase decisions. Unfortunate ly, it is impossible to observe directly the market value of the shelter services consumed by homeowners. For this reason, it is necessary to develop indirect measure ment techniques. The Bureau has been actively studying two alternative approaches— rental equivalence and user cost. These alternatives, while conceptually equivalent, have substantially different operational implications. The first involves collecting rental values for houses which are rented but which have characteristics similar to owner-occupied housing and using these rents as a proxy for homeownership costs. The second involves building up the user cost of shelter services from its components—interest costs, taxes, maintenance, etc. The purpose of this article is to demonstrate that sever al of the conditions which characterize housing markets Robert Gillingham is chief, Division of Price and Index Number Re search, Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis make the development of an operational user cost meth odology extremely complex. This conclusion implies that the rental equivalence approach has a substantial operational advantage as a measure of shelter costs for homeowners. Theoretical framework To begin with, we take as given the overall conceptu al framework for the Consumer Price Index which we have discussed elsewhere.1 As such, we start from the proposition that the consumer’s welfare is determined by the flow of consumption services received, where the services can be (1) directly provided, (2) obtained coincidentally with the consumption of a nondurable good (in which case the distinction between a good and a service is unnecessary), or (3) obtained from the use of a durable good owned by the consumer. In each case, satisfaction is derived from the act of consump tion; ownership of a source of consumption serv ices—a durable good—produces no additional sat isfaction. In other words, the purchase of a durable good is an “investment,” designed to provide consump tion services over a future time span. Within this framework, we want the CPI to measure over time the cost of the market basket of services consumed in the base period. For the services provided by directly-purchased services and nondurable goods, this implies observing market prices and transaction lev els in the base period, as well as the subsequent time path of market prices. However, for the services provid ed by durable goods owned by consumers, the implicit 31 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Estimating Homeowners’ Costs price of the services must be estimated, because market transactions do not take place each time the service is consumed. The remainder of this article will analyze the estima tion problem involved in the case of shelter services provided by owner-occupied homes. We will start by defining user cost in the simplest case—in a world of certainty without taxes, and with perfectly competitive markets—and proceed to outline the conceptual and empirical complications which arise when these assump tions are dropped. In a world with perfect rental and resale markets and no uncertainty, the user cost of a house in a given peri od can be shown to be the following: (1) ct = rtPt — A, + Zt where r is the (single) rate of interest in period t, P is the average price of the house in period t, A is equal to the change in the average price over the period and Z represents all other cost components.2 In other words, the user cost is defined as the opportunity cost of hold ing the house, r*P + Z, less the increase in the house’s value. In equilibrium, the rental price of the house, R, will be equal to the user cost, and, since we have as sumed frictions away, the rent received by a landlord will equal the rent paid by a tenant. Thus, in a perfect world the following obtains (2) RV = Ct = Rj where the superscripts L and T denote landlord and tenant, respectively. Under the conditions we have assumed, measurement of the value of the flow of shelter services from a house becomes a trivial matter. It can be measured with infor mation from either rental or resale and money markets and it does not matter whether the information refers to buyers’ or sellers’ prices. Problems arise, however, when we attempt to measure the cost of shelter for homeowners in a more complicated setting, in which the ex act form of the user cost function is more difficult to define and the equalities defined above need not hold. To lay out this problem more clearly, we will drop the assumption of perfect certainty, thereby allowing for a structure of differing asset yields. We will also relax the assumption of perfect markets to allow for the pos sibility that the rent received by a homeowner may be less than the rent paid by a tenant, the difference repre senting, for instance, the value of a management func tion. Although we no longer assume perfect rental markets, we do assume that there is some price at which each homeowner can rent shelter services equivalent to those provided by his own home and some strictly positive price at which another consumer would be willing to rent his house. Under these condi 32 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tions, the user cost measure can be redefined as (3) Ct — retE, + rmtMt — A, + Zt where M and E are mortgage and equity amounts which sum to the average price of housing (P), rm is the mortgage interest rate, and re is the opportunity cost of equity capital.3 The relationship between user cost, defined in this manner, and the alternative rent measures defined above is now ambiguous and depends critically on the manner in which the opportunity cost of equity capital is defined. Certainly, the rent paid by a tenant (RT) must be greater than or equal to that received by a landlord (RL), but depending on the manner in which one chooses to define and estimate the opportunity cost of equity capital (re), the relationship between each of the rent measures and user cost (C) is uncertain. The variables included in the redefined user cost func tion are all conceptually and operationally straightfor ward with one crucial exception— the opportunity cost of equity capital. Unfortunately, estimates of user cost are also sensitive to alternative definitions of this vari able. Several somewhat “natural” alternatives for de fining the opportunity cost of equity capital (re) have been suggested elsewhere.4 In our 1973 study, it was suggested that re be estimated as an internal rate of re turn defined by the identity (4) RL + A, = re(E, + rmtMt + Zt where R^ is an estimate of the market rental which an owner could receive for his house. Alternatively, one might argue that the appropriate internal rate of return be defined by substituting RTfor RLin equation (4). In either case the resulting estimate of user cost, which we will call Cr, reduces to an implicit rent, and the follow ing relationship holds: (5) R \ < Crt < R j The suggestion to use an internal rate of return on housing to estimate user cost is based on the assump tion that this rate best describes the alternative rate of return an owner/investor could receive on another in vestment with similar liquidity and risk characteristics. Several analysts have suggested that alternative rates of return which consumers either receive or pay— such as the rate of interest on consumer debt, savings ac counts, mortgages and bonds— be used to construct the user cost function.5With this approach, depending upon the particular rates of return included, the resulting user cost estimate, which we will denote Cu, need not be bracketed by the two rent variables (RLand RT). The problem of selecting an appropriate estimate of the opportunity cost of equity capital (re) reduces to a fundamental question concerning the appropriate treat- ment of liquidity and risk parameters in the user cost function: do we want to estimate the opportunity cost of equity capital using rates of return on alternative in vestments with similar liquidity and risk parameters? We see no reason not to estimate the cost of equity cap ital using rates of return on alternative investments with, in some sense, similar characteristics, provided such investment opportunities indeed exist for the homeowner. Furthermore, without accepting this basis for selecting an appropriate cost of equity capital, it is impossible to derive a single user cost of housing and, depending on the variables used to estimate user cost, the latter can fall outside the rent bounds previously de fined, both in the short and long run. It is this latter fact which adds greater weight to the argument that the internal rate of return is the appro priate measure of the opportunity cost of equity capital. It is plausible to contend that a user cost measure is a conceptually viable estimate of the value of the flow of shelter services only if it is bracketed by rent received by landlords (RL) and that paid by tenants (RT). It can not be less than RL because a homeowner always forgoes this amount when he lives in his own house, and it cannot be greater that RT because a homeowner always has the alternative of obtaining equivalent hous ing services at this price. For these reasons, it can be ar gued that the user cost function denoted by Cu is a viable estimate of the value of shelter services only if it is bounded by RLand RT, and this condition will obtain in general if and only if an appropriately defined inter nal rate is used to estimate the opportunity cost of equi ty capital. The most important conclusion to be drawn from the foregoing analysis is that unless we are able to incorpo rate implicit valuations of the flow of shelter services into the analysis— through the definition of RL, RT, and/or re—it is impossible to derive a measure of the user cost of housing which will be reasonably represen tative of the cost experience of owner/occupants. To put this conclusion another way, if we maintain that rental opportunities for owner-occupied houses do not exist, and that the rate of return of some set of financial assets is an appropriate opportunity cost of equity, then there is no reason to be surprised if our estimates of user cost exhibit wide fluctuations and include negative values— this would be an accurate reflection of user cost under the set of conditions just described. Howev er, if, as in the analysis above, we are not willing to maintain that there are no potential rental market op portunities for owner-occupied houses, and are willing to accept the rate of return on housing investment as an acceptable opportunity cost of equity, then it is neces sary to develop user cost estimates which are consistent with these propositions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Empirical evidence The foregoing discussion emphasizes the importance of explicit or implicit rental market information in obtaining conceptually sound user cost estimates. It might be asked, however, whether in practice use of al ternative estimates of the opportunity cost of equity to homeowners might yield reasonable approximations to a user cost index which incorporates rental market in formation. During the recent revision of the CPI, BLS staff members experimented with alternative user cost formulations in an attempt to develop a function which would adequately represent, at a minimum, the trend in user cost without exhibiting short-term movements which are inconsistent with the framework outlined above. Using the general user cost equation, defined above as (6) Ct = retEt + rmt — At + Zt, we experimented with alternative estimates of the vari ous components— particularly the opportunity cost of equity capital (re) and the change in the average price of houses (A)—in an attempt to develop a user cost function which would provide a reasonable estimate of the trend in shelter cost. The basic difficulty faced F that the opportunity cost of equity capital and appi. ation components in the above equation are historically volatile and, ceteris paribus, correlated. Although the measurement of house price levels, and thus apprecia tion, is difficult, we were able to construct reasonable estimates of current appreciation which do, in fact, ac curately reflect the historical volatility of this series. Without using information from rental or housing in vestment markets, however, we were unable to capture the presumably correlated variation in the opportunity cost of equity capital (re). In other words, we were un able to estimate a user cost measure which exhibits rea sonable short-term movements when current apprec iation rates are included in the measure. As a result of this empirical anomaly, our experi ments were focused on developing a user cost measure which would provide a \easonable estimate of the trend movement in user cost without exhibiting the unrealistic short-term fluctuations which characterize a user cost measure which includes current appreciation rates. To do this we used (1) a moving average of past apprecia tion rates to estimate the trend movement in apprecia tion, and (2) an index of either current or a movingaverage of mortgage interest rates to estimate the trend movement in the opportunity cost of equity capital.6 It might be hoped that a user cost measure which incorpo rates these trend measures for both appreciation and the opportunity cost of equity would provide a more rea sonable trend estimate for the user cost of housing. Fur- 33 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Estimating Homeowners'Costs thermore, an index constructed in this fashion could be constrained to reduce unrealistic short-term volatility, characteristic of several of the alternative measures con sidered, which would cause severe problems in both the use and interpretation of the index. Tables 1 and 2 summarize, very briefly, the basic findings of our analysis. These tables are based on four user cost simulations which incorporated five alternative estimates for the appreciation rate and two alternative specifications for both the opportunity cost of equity capital and the mortgage interest rate (re and rm). In the first table, which uses the current mortgage interest rate to approximate opportunity cost, the impact of al ternative estimates of appreciation are displayed. In the index in column 1, appreciation is estimated by apply ing current appreciation rates to current (constant qual ity) house prices. For the indexes in columns 2 through 4 one-, three- and five-year unweighted average appreci ation rates are applied to current house prices, while in column 5, a 15-year weighted average of appreciation rates is incorporated.7 Comparison of these indexes am ply demonstrates the extreme impact of appreciation on the user cost measure. Even when the five-year average of appreciation is used, the index exhibits an extreme and unlikely dip in 1971-72, a dip which is only par- Table 1. Estimated user cost indexes,1December 1964December 1975 Appreciation rate averaged o v e r. . . Period December December December December December December December December December December December December 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 Current Period 1 year 3 years 5 years 15 years2 100.0 57.9 53.1 39.3 -13.5 49.4 62.1 130.7 155.9 54.5 -131.3 152.1 100.0 132.7 117.5 151.1 92.7 63.6 55.6 130.3 194.1 164.1 -13.5 98.0 100.0 103.5 121.5 134.6 128.5 119.5 85.9 76.2 119.1 175.9 144.9 90.9 100.0 105.2 115.3 118.6 130.6 134.8 125.0 106.3 104.8 131.4 137.7 143.0 100.0 102.0 115.2 115.1 122.7 128.1 129.7 120.1 129.8 157.0 162.6 148.5 1Current mortgage interest rates used for both the opportunity cost of equity capital (re) and the mortgage interest rate (rm). 215 year weighted average used Koyck distributed lag weights (X = .05). Table 2. Estimated user cost indexes, December 1964December 1975 Period December December December December December December December December December December December December 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 r e = current r m = current r e = current r m = 5 year average r e = 5 year average r m = current r e = 5 year average r m = 5 year average 100.0 102.0 115.2 115.1 122.7 128.1 129.7 120.1 129.8 157.0 162.6 148.5 100.0 101.3 110.7 111.5 115.7 118.1 119.0 117.9 129.7 149.9 149.4 138.0 100.0 101.0 108.4 109.7 112.3 113.2 113.7 116.9 129.6 146.4 142.9 132.8 100.0 100.3 104.0 106.2 105.5 103.5 103.3 114.8 129.5 139.4 129.9 122.5 1All indexes incorporate 15-year weighted average appreciation rates. Mortgage interest rates, either averaged or current, are used for both the opportunity cost of equity capital (re) and the mortgage interest rate (rm). daily dampened when appreciation rates are averaged over 15 years. In table 2, which incorporates the 15 year weighted average appreciation rate for all indexes, four alternative combinations of current and average interest rates are used to represent the opportunity cost of equity capital and the mortgage interest rate. Once again, the choice of the interest rate to represent re and rm has a substan tial impact on the index and, especially in the case of re, without recourse to information from rental markets, the choice is essentially arbitrary. The estimated user cost indexes presented in tables 1 and 2 demonstrate the sensitivity of the indexes to alter native assumptions about individual user cost compo nents. Perhaps more importantly, they provide empirical support for the contention that it is impossi ble to construct a valid user cost measure which is con sistent with the information provided by rent markets without either direct or, through direct measurement of the opportunity cost of equity capital, indirect use of that information. In other words, our results imply that, either directly or indirectly, a rental equivalence mea sure is a necessary input into the construction of a usercost measure. Consequently, the rental equivalence ap proach provides a simpler, more direct measure of the cost of shelter services for homeowners. □ FO O T N O T E S ACKNOWLEDGMENT: The author would like to thank Kenneth Dalton, W. John Layng, Robert Poliak, Dale Smith, and Jack E. Triplett for helpful discussions. 1See Robert Gillingham, “A Conceptual Framework for the Re vised Consumer Price Index,” Proceedings, Business and Economic Statistics Section, American Statistical Association, pp. 246-252. 2See Dale Jorgenson, “The Theory of Investment Behavior,” in R. Ferber, ed., Determinants of Investment Behavior (New York, Na tional Bureau of Economic Research, 1967), pp. 129-55, for a discus sion of the theoretical foundations of equation (1). 34 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 In measuring the (presumably current) user cost of owneroccupied housing, one might question whether current or historical mortgage interest rates are the appropriate rate with which to mea sure mortgage costs. The framework developed in this paper makes it clear that this issue is not important. Because the services of a house have an (implicit) market value, this value, along with whatever mort gage rate is chosen, will determine the appropriate return on equity as a residual. Thus, ceteris paribus, higher (one might read “more cur rent” though not necessarily) mortgage interest rates result in lower equity returns and vice versa. The choice of mortgage rate can be governed by matters of convenience and whether one wants to distin guish equity return differences that stem from financing differences from other equity return differences. ponent of the CPI,” BLS study (mimeograph); Peter Steiner, “Con sumer Durables in an Index of Consumer Prices,” The Price Statistics of the Federal Government (New York, National Bureau of Economic Research, General Series, No. 73, 1961), Staff Paper No. 6. 4 See Robert Gillingham, “Measurement in the Consumer Price In See McFadyen and Hobart, Muth, Smith, and Steiner, in the dex of the Cost of Shelter to Homeowners,” BLS study (mimeo works cited. graph); Stuart McFadyen and Robert Hobart, “An Alternative As discussed in footnote 3, the question of which mortgage inter Measurement of Housing Costs and the Consumer Price Index,” Ca est rate to use is, at least in theory, unimportant. It is the choice of an nadian Journal of Economics XI, 1978, pp. 105-12; Richard Muth, estimate for the equity rate of return which is crucial. “On the Measurement of Shelter Costs for Homeowners in the Consumer Price Index,” BLS study (mimeograph); Dale Smith, “The The 15-year weighted averaged used Koyck distributed lag weights Flow of Services Approach to Estimating the Homeownership Com (A = .05). Global shopping center We face major changes in the w orld’s econom y. In eco nom ic policies and theories, we still act as if we lived in an “international” econom y, in which separate nations are the units, dealing with one another primarily through interna tional trade and fundam entally as different from one an other in their econom y as they are different in language or law s or cultural tradition. But im perceptibly there has emerged a world econom y in which com m on inform ation generates the sam e econom ic appetites, aspirations, and de m an d s— cutting across national boundaries and languages and largely disregarding political ideologies as well. The https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis world has becom e, in other words, one m arket, one global shopping center. Yet this world econom y alm ost entirely lacks econom ic institutions; the only — though im portant — exception is the m ultinational corporation. A nd we are to tally without econom ic policy and econom ic theory for a world econom y. — P eter F. D r u c k e r The Age o f Discontinuity (New York, N.Y., Harper & Row, Publishers, Incorporated, 1968, 1969) 35 A Review Essay Beyond Keynes: European unions formulate new economic program Elements of the prescription put forth by economists of five union groups include consensus-based decisionmaking, investment planning, price monitoring, and an incomes policy to abate Western European stagflation Everett M. K a ssa l o w A search is underway for a new kind of synthesis be tween the “old” market capitalism and a planned econ omy. The onset of stagflation since the 1974-75 re cession has produced an almost continuous debate among economists seeking to halt inflation and to re store healthy economic growth. By and large, this de bate has been dominated by two sets of prescriptions. One of these derives from what might be described as a modernized version of neoclassical economics, which has stressed reliance on the workings of the market, supply and demand, to restore a new price equilibrium. The second prescription, stemming from those who might be termed the moderate Keynesians, does not re ject, in principle, government fiscal intervention to maintain full employment but seems reconciled to ac cepting relatively high levels of unemployment for at least several years, while market forces gradually restore an acceptable price level. In the United States, a much smaller group, selfstyled post-Keynesians, argues that major institutional changes have occurred in modern economic life that call for more positive, interventionist new policies and pro grams to restore full employment and to bring inflation Everett M. Kassalow is the senior specialist in labor at the Library of Congress. 36 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis under control. Most of these post-Keynesians reject the possibility that the market system is sufficiently compet itive to restore either sustained full employment or sustained lower price levels.1 In Europe, a group of trade union economists has put forward an outline for a new economic program which is squarely in the tradition of Keynes but which recog nizes that he, too, wrote in an era when heavy reliance on the market system may have seemed more plausible. The outline originated in a charge of the European Trade Union Confederation2 to a working group of Eu ropean union economists in November 1977 to explore “short- and medium-term economic problems.” This group included representatives of five European trade union federations— the Swedish Landsorganisationen i Sverige (LO), the Netherlands’ Federatie Nederlandse Vakbeweging (FNV), the British Trades Union Congress (TUC), the German Deutscher Gewerkschaftsbund (DGB), and the French Confederation Française Démocratique de Travail (CFDT)—and a staff member of the recently established European Trade Union Con federation. The group was chaired by Clas-Eric Odhner, chief of the Research Department of the Swedish Confedera tion. That department played a key role in initiating Sweden’s full-employment and active labor market poli- cies and the unions’ wage solidarity program in the fifties and sixties. The study group’s common outline has been issued as a report of the European Trade Union Institute.3 Assuming an active role The report is intended to be a “discussion paper,” not a policy statement. Yet in analyzing the current high levels of unemployment and prices and in setting forth a program to overcome both, it may foreshadow a new departure for most of European labor.4 With a few notable exceptions, European trade unions rarely have taken a major initiative in formulating comprehensive analyses and programs for their economies. The lead in this area generally has been conceded to their “brother” socialist parties, with socialist trade unions usually pro viding financial and organizing electoral support on be half of these programs. One notable exception has been Sweden, where the Federation of Trade Unions (LO) has, in the post-World-War-II era, tended to provide the analytical and programatic lead in the economic sphere for the country’s Social Democratic party.5 The long period of almost uninterrupted economic expansion between 1950 and 1973 made this accom modation between the socialist parties and socialist trade union movements a success. An economic philoso phy based on a practical marriage between an ex panding welfare state and Keynesian policies, which stresses effective demand management for full employ ment, provided a setting in which living standards rose dramatically and unemployment was kept to consistent ly low levels. If inflation was at times a troublesome problem, it was nonetheless confined to what seemed to be tolerable levels, even in some Scandinavian countries where it crept as high as 6 percent in some years. This era of sustained expansion came to an end with the severe recession of 1974-75. Since these years, most of Western Europe has been troubled with the same combination of continued high unemployment (high, at least, in comparison with the preceding two decades) and inflation more severe than boom peaks of the pre ceding era. In short, almost every Western European6 country has been plagued by what has come to be known in the United States as stagflation, simultaneous high unemployment and inflation and low or no eco nomic growth. Theoretical warfare The report states that the economic crisis in industri alized democratic nations (although it concentrates on Western Europe, the report refers frequently to the United States) in recent years also has been a “crisis for economic theory.” Neoclassical theory has become in creasingly popular, as the criticism of Keynes’ theory, which was so popular in the decades after the war, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis mounts. Particularly prominent has been the monetarist school, which contends that the amount of money is sued decides everything in economic development. Yet, according to the report, economic policies guided by such neoclassical ideas, “have plunged the industrialized world into a . . . spiral of unemployment, inflation, and stagnation.” Perhaps the most obvious weakness of neo classical theory (and its monetarist variation), argue the trade union drafters, is that it is premised on the exis tence of a “classic, competitive pricing mechanism,” in a word, the “Market.” The reality of today’s world is more one of “independent price determination of com panies and groups of companies dominating their mar kets. This applies both nationally and internationally.”7 Corporate power. Contrary to the assumptions of conventional economics, these companies do not en counter high degrees of elasticity in the demand for their products. So, increasingly, these companies base their pricing policies on costs, with little regard for de mand factors. Even most small firms producing finished products “belong to trade organizations which operate together [in fixing prices] in export markets.” The report links the pricing policies of transnational corporations, and their impact on national pricing lev els. Its explanation is not entirely clear or successful, but space prevents going into this as well as some other “international” aspects of this report. With the greater dependence of their countries on foreign trade and in vestment than is the case of the U.S. economy, Europe an economists tend to be more sensitive to the domestic impact on prices of these corporations’ policies. The current “depression has been so deep and persis tent,” in part “because governments have been too weak politically to take decisive counter measures,” and “partly because many based their policies on a misun derstanding of how their economies now work.” As a prime example of outmoded proposals to deal with the recent stagflation, the report cites the 1977 McCracken Report of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).8 The McCracken group, it is alleged, has ignored the enormous power of great national and transnational corporations. Its report urges OECD governments to “refuse to accommodate” demand management to in flationary behavior by employers or trade unions which must “learn from their mistakes.” This request fails to understand, charges the union report, that these rela tively sheltered groups will not “bear the conse quences,” that many companies “are able to increase their prices with relatively small effects on sales . . . ” Even when employers give way to higher wages “under union pressure,” they “can always compensate them selves by means of higher prices” in the face of low elasticities of demand. Companies in weaker positions 37 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • European Unions' New Economic Program and their employees “bear the brunt of reduced overall demand.” According to the trade union drafters, if the price system worked in the “idealized way envisaged” by the McCracken group, “the problems they pretend to solve could not by definition arise.”9 Suppression of demand, then, would not mitigate in flation, inasmuch as powerful corporations take advan tage of the less than full elastic demand for their prod ucts and mark up their prices to offset any loss in profit margins. “The distrust of workers and their unions in the ability of governments” to control inflation merely by trying to suppress general demand leads them to seek to offset the rising costs of living by negotiating “wage increases with inflationary consequences . . .” Similarly, their trust declines in government’s ability to create jobs as general demand is restricted, and the unions thereupon struggle “to keep production and companies alive that should in fact be restructured or even abandoned.” The general result is chronic stagna tion.10 Selective intervention. The report states that the continu ing high inflation rates of the 1970’s are not “an unfortunate accumulation of unfavorable events (a la McCracken) . . . ” Rather, they reflect great changes in the power of corporations in the economy. Therefore, “the free competition assumption is no longer a valid” basis for economic policy. While the group believes in “accepting market mechanisms when they function rea sonably well . . . when there is no realistic possibility of this happening—and this increasingly is the case— there is no alternative to a government price policy and to price monitoring which should be internationally co ordinated.”11 This type of selective (as opposed to general monetary or fiscal) intervention in the economy— setting particu lar price and investment levels for industries or key cor porations—is something of a radical departure, in peacetime, for most Western economies; but, the report argues, with the liberal-competitive system no longer a reality, a new kind of consensus approach must be substituted. There is a growing necessity for “selective measures . . . to be substituted for general measures . . . in reality the market either does not function, or its ef fects are politically and socially unacceptable.” 12 Sharing decisions and responsibility The report cites “the growing demand for participa tion not only in political but also in economic life and decisionmaking.” This participation should lead to “a better integrated and more balanced society, where re sponsibility will be more widely shared”.13“Trade unions and their members are . . . offering to share responsibility for decisions, and it will be to their own peril, and to that of future society if employers turn this offer 38 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis aside.” 14 The union economists’ heavy emphasis upon “participation” in top-level company decisions is, in part, tribute to the great influence on Europe’s unions in recent years of the German Federation of Trade Unions and its advocacy of codetermination in German industrial life. Success in extending participation “will greatly improve the prospects for reaching consensus solutions to distributional conflicts.” The economists recognize that forms of participation in the control of the decisions of companies necessarily vary from country to country but caution that “in order not to make further European integration too difficult” and in order not “to complicate negotiations [for partic ipation in decisionmaking] with” transnational corpora tions, “there is need to try to ensure a certain homogeneity . . .” 15 In keeping with their retention of much of Keynesian theory, the group emphasizes that investment “determine[s] the nature of economic growth.” The report states that “workers and society as a whole, and not just management, must be involved” in investment deci sions. For employers to gain acceptance of the neces sary “level of profits required for investments and to give companies a sound financial basis, workers will in creasingly demand a say in investments and a fairer share of the income they generate.” To realize the “nec essary consensus required to reconcile technological and industrial dynamism with an employment-oriented in vestment policy,” workers must have a say in invest ment decisions.16 This emphasis upon a consensus to insure adequate and correct investment decisions is a recurring theme of the report. The group argues that there is a need “to disconnect saving-investment decisions from the strug gle over income distribution, by giving workers collec tively a share in, and a responsibility for, both savings and investments.” 17 Otherwise, the eternal bargaining struggle over the relative shares of wages versus profits can hinder a smooth flow of savings into investment and weaken prospects for economic growth. The report here clearly supports something similar to the Swedish union proposal for workers’ sharing in cor porate profits, savings, and investment.18 However, the report also stresses the consensual value and necessity for enterprise growth inherent in such a proposal. “Disconnecting income and wealth distribution is not only motivation for a workers’ partnership in the econo mies . . . ” the report notes that Keynes never bothered about “the motivation for working,” as he “wrote against a background of hard work simply being un avoidable for most people in order not to starve . . .,” and this harsh competitive ethic may have been useful in the decades before today’s levels of technology and productivity had been attained. Today, “productivity is only partly dependent on technology” and “to a much greater extent than is often recognized it also depends on labour relations and the degree of consensus achieved inside a company and in society at large.” The old work ethic, built on fear and greed, must increas ingly give way to “the creative and contributive interest that workers can have in their jobs as such” and to their “wish to contribute to participate more generally in a society characterized by cooperation, solidarity and responsibility.” 19 This is one aspect of the “consensusbased” economic arrangements proposed in the report. With the call for a participatory investment process and a monitoring system to control prices, the report does not flinch from the next logical step— the necessity for an incomes policy as part of the new economic pro gram. In the new economic order, the trade unions “would in a negotiated consensus policy have to accept overall wage increases that were compatible with the growth of real resources and with democratically deter mined rates of real investment . . . ” Such wage in creases would have to be handled in a way that they would “not start chain reactions going beyond what was compatible with stability— though without creating rigidities which would prevent necessary long-run adap tations.” Wages should be “adapted to average growth of real resources in the economy, since wages based on sector or company productivity will cause too many tensions and complementary claims.” This incomes sys tem, along with participatory investment and price monitoring, is a “trade union way out” of the chain re actions of past wage pressures.20 The report reaffirms trade union support for econom ic growth and full employment and indeed argues that the prescription it presents is a way out of current and prospective stagnation. Such growth, however, “is not an end in itself but should have qualitative as well as quantitative aspects . . . ” The emphasis upon qualita tive growth includes a call for “the protection of the en vironment,” and, while it rejects going “back to some kind of pre-industrial society, as some romantics seem to want” the group insists that the “resource problem” must be carefully considered, as “decisions on technolo gy and investment priorities” are made. It is also suggested that there will probably be “slower growth” than in the decade before 1974.21 trade union discussion document with an outline for a prospective new economic growth pro gram comes in a period when there is a general groping for economic policies to cope with recent stagnation. Curiously enough, even in the face of severe economic difficulties, European socialist labor forces suggest no significant turn to traditional socialist ideas in the form of socialization or nationalization of the means of pro duction. Rather, they support an effort to find a new kind of plan that incorporates “old” and “new” ideas.22 In its emphasis on the need for a new and wider social consensus, especially between unions and employers, the report is likely to evoke considerable echo. □ T h is E u r o p e a n FOOTNOTES 1See, for example, the first issues of the recently issued Journal of Post-Keynesian Economics, Vol. I, No. 1, Fall 1978, and No. 2, Winter 1978-79. There is no unity among the so-called post-Keynesians, but one important group has collectively published A Guide to PostKeynesian Economics in the form of a series of articles in Challenge Magazine, 1978-79. This series will shortly be issued as a volume un der the editorship of Professor Alfred S. Eichner, State University of New York— Purchase. A useful summary statement of some of the major precepts of this group of post-Keynesians can be found in Eichner’s statement to the Special Study on Economic Change of the Joint Economic Committee of the U.S. Congress, May 9, 1979 (mimeographed— to be published in the JEC’s hearings later). A more technical survey of the post-Keynesian theories is to be found in the survey prepared by Alfred S. Eichner and J. A. Kregel, “An Es say on Post-Keynesian Theory: A New Paradigm in Economics,” Journal o f Economic Literature, Vol. XIII, No. 4, Dec. 1975. 2The ETUC groups almost all the national union federations of Western Europe. It has a close working relationship with the Europe an Economic Community. 3This institute was established in June 1978, by agreement between the European Trade Union Confederation and the Commission of the European Economic Community. The Institute will be financed prin cipally by a 6-year contribution from the EEC, with the first year’s budget set at around $615,000. The members of the ETUC executive body are also directors of this Institute, but the latter has its own staff, under the direction of Gunter Kopke, formerly a staff official of the German Federation of Trade Unions (DGB), and also a former general-secretary of the European Metal Workers’ Federation. The In stitute is to “promote better training and information for workers and https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis their organizations,” and these are intended to contribute to the de velopment of “an awareness of the European dimension and to im prove living and working conditions in the Community.” This survey of the ETUI is largely taken from a Press-Release of the EEC, dated June 6, 1978, Brussels. 4 See European Trade Union Institute, Keynes Plus a Participatory Economy (ETUI-Brussels, 1979). 5See the important LO documents: Trade Unions and Full Employ ment, Report to the LO Congress, Stockholm, 1952; Economic Expan sion and Structural Change, edited and translated by T. L. Johnson (London, Allen and Urwin, 1963), and the pamphlet by R. Meidner (then research director of LO) and B. Ohman, Fifteen Years of Wage Policy (Stockholm, 1972). 6A few of the smaller countries, governed usually by social demo cratic parties and backed by strong trade union movements, have been able to avoid any great increase in unemployment. I refer to Austria and Norway. Sweden has seemed to avoid any official unem ployment rates, but this has been accomplished by a great increase in government training and work programs, subsidies for private produc tion, inventory building, and so forth— all a kind of disguised unem ployment. Germany and Japan have done somewhat better than other democratic industrialized countries, but even their unemployment rates have been high in comparison with the recent past. 7Keynes Plus, p. 1. *Ibid., pp. ii and iii. This Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development report is often referred to by the name of the chair man of its international drafting group, Paul McCracken, former chairman of the U.S. Council of Economic Advisers, and currently 39 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • European Unions' New Economic Program professor of economics at the University of Michigan. The full title of the OECD report is, Towards Full Employment and Price Stability, Paris, 1977. Ibid., pp. iii and 36. 1 Ibid., p. 2. " Ibid., p. iv. I have already noted above that the analysis of inter national aspects of stagflation and measures to cope with it are less ef fectively treated in this report. This call for international coordination remains a vague concept in the report. '■Ib id ., p. 50. The authors of the report recognize there are great administrative difficulties for governments, in undertaking selective in tervention. They call for greater attention from government to help overcome inadequate administration characteristics of the past (pp. 52 -53). ' The report also refers to the spillover effects and possibilities of the growth of participation into many social aspects of modern life, but I concentrate in this review on the economic aspects. 4Keynes Plus, p. ii. 15Ibid., p. 20. Ibid., p. iv. 17Ibid., p. 56. "See Rudolph Meidner, Employee Investment Funds, An Approach to Capital Formation (London, George Allen and Urwin, 1978) and the same author’s recent update, “Employee Investment Funds and Capital Formation A Topical Issue in Swedish Politics,” Working Life in Sweden, No. 6, June (New York, Swedish Information Service, 1978). " Keynes Plus, pp. 57-55. " Ibid., p. 66. Collective bargaining agreements typically cover twothirds to 90 percent of all workers in West European countries, much more than in the United States. 21Ibid., p. 67. In part, too, growth may be slower because of the in creasing shift of resources to the service sector, in most economies — a sector in which productivity “cannot really be measured.” A unified, negotiated, general incomes policy “having the broad support of union members” is additionally essential to cope with the “strains on the system” which slower growth may bring. {Ibid.) In a recent article, one critic of European social democracy charg es that the present day dilemmas of European social democracy “stem from its inherently flawed attempt to resolve the unresolvable, to con struct a political program that is acceptable to both capital and la bor.” This effort was “valiantly and surprisingly successful” in the decades after World War II, but social democracy must become a genuine alternative “for capitalism in decline . . . for the era when so cial democracy could offer a harmonious vision of capitalist develop ment is clearly past.” Alan Wolfe, “Has Social Democracy a Future?” Comparative Politics, Vol. 11, October 1978, pp. 123-24. This new ETUI document would nonetheless appear to be part of a continuing search for an alternative of mixed, consensus-based economic order. Labor force growth patterns The evolution of the U nited States into a postindustrial econom y in the past quarter century has been accom panied by dramatic increases in the size of the labor force. The m ythology of a leisure society is giving way to the reality of a tw o-sex nonfam ily work society. 1. W hile the w orking-age population of A m erica in creased by 46.3 percent from 1950 to 1976, the labor force increased by 52.3 percent. 2. This differential emerged despite the sharp declines in the labor force participation rates of men over the age of 65, since early retirement has becom e increasingly com m on. Indeed, the male com ponent of the labor force did not keep pace with population growth, increasing by only 28.6 percent from 1950 to 1976. 3. In contrast, the rapid expansion of the female labor force (108.9 percent over the past tw enty-six years) ap pears as one of the more striking trendlines of recent his tory. The labor force participation rate of wom en increased from 33.9 percent in 1950 to 47.2 percent in 1976. 40 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The im plications of this phenom enon by itself are m yri ad, not the least of which is reflected in the substantial in crease in unem ploym ent throughout the 1970’s. M oreover, given the changing age structure of Am erica and the rapid accession of the baby boom residuals into the labor force — as well as the unknown dim ension of illegal im m igration — the Am erican econom y may be severely strained to pro vide full em ploym ent in the very short-term future. M ore over, the com petition presently facing our m inority-group citizenry in this context cannot be m inim ized. But other re percussions are amplified as they manifest them selves w ith in the family unit. — G eo r g e St e r n l ie b and Ja m e s W. H u g h e s Current Population Trends in the United States (New Brunswick, N.J., Rutgers-The State University of New Jersey, The Center for Urban Policy Research, 1978), p. 49 Communications New directions for income transfer programs T imothy M. Smeeding and Irwin G arfinkel Most Americans would agree that it is the responsibility of government to ensure a certain minimum level of liv ing. Government can meet this responsibility in two ways: by providing minimum standards of income, goods, and services only for those whose incomes fall below a minimum level or by providing minimum stand ards for everyone, regardless of income. The income-support system of the United States does both. Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC), supplemental security income, food stamps, and medicaid are restricted to those with low incomes — they are “income-tested.” Public education, social se curity, and unemployment compensation are available to people regardless of income— they are “non-incometested.” Programs that are not income-tested dwarf those that are, both in total size and in the number of people they lift out of poverty. Yet, until recently, most policy ana lysts assumed that income testing offered the most equi table and efficient method of transferring income to the poor. Now, research, sparked by the study of economic and social behavioral response to transfers, is leading some scholars seriously to question the superiority of income-tested transfers. Many others are already con vinced that welfare policy should move away from in come testing and toward a more universal non-incometested approach. Despite their differences, the supporters of each ap proach agree that recent income-support policy has been characterized by piecemeal changes without any serious, general consideration given to the kind of sys tem that is to be achieved over the long run. The debate over income testing and the research it generates pre sent an opportunity and a framework to focus systemat ically on the issues facing future income-support policies Timothy M. Smeeding is assistant professor of economics, University of Utah, and visiting project associate at the Institute for Research on Poverty, and Irwin Garfinkel is director of the Institute. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and also on several specific reform proposals that have immediate policy relevance. (For example, social securi ty, child support, and national health insurance). The Institute for Research on Poverty held a confer ence last spring on future directions—income or non income-tested— for reform of the income-support sys tem.1 Many of the issues discussed at that conference and other questions which have been raised in this con text are summarized here. Definition and scope of the system The terms “income-tested” and “means-tested” signi fy that inability to pay for basic goods and services is necessary to qualify for a transfer. They imply, further, that transfer benefits decline as income rises. The result is that program beneficiaries face higher implicit tax rates (benefit reduction rates) on their income than do the rest of the population, for programs that confine benefits to the poor must impose a benefit reduction rate on beneficiaries that is higher than the tax rate re quired to finance it. In contrast, a “non-income-tested” program is one in which neither eligibility nor benefits depend on inability to pay. Benefits are provided to all regardless of income. Although income-tested programs by their nature lead to regressive tax rates in the taxtransfer system, non-income-tested programs do not as sure against regressivity. Programs which provide bene fits to rich and poor alike can be financed in principle by an equally regressive tax structure. Moreover, non income-tested social insurance programs like old age, disability, and unemployment insurance impose high benefit reduction rates on earnings, and therefore, have some of the regressive features of income testing. In determining the effects of both types of programs, we may further classify them as categorical— programs in which eligibility is limited to certain groups, such as the aged— or noncategorical.2 Benefits under either type of program may be paid in cash or in-kind. For in stance, a negative income tax (such as former President Nixon’s family assistance plan) is considered a categori cal, income-tested cash transfer; a credit income tax (such as Senator McGovern’s 1972 demogrant plan) is a noncategorical, non-income-tested cash transfer. Anoth er useful differentiation is between programs that fall into the category of social insurance and those that do 41 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Communications not. No social insurance programs are income-tested. But there are some non-income-tested programs which are not social insurance programs. For instance, free public education does not provide security against loss of income due to death, old age, or inability to work— the usual definition of social insurance—yet it is univer sally provided to all U.S. children, regardless of the in come of their families. The income-support system has come a long way since the debate over public education in the early part of the 19th century. Even then, the essential question was whether “free” public education should be provided only to the poor or to everyone. The 1935 Social Securi ty Act instituted two types of programs: (1) an unem ployment insurance system (UI), and a Federal social insurance system including old age insurance (OAI), later expanded to include survivors (SI) in 1938, and dependents (DI) in 1956, and finally, universal health insurance (medicare) for the elderly in 1965; and (2) a State specific welfare system for the aged, blind, and disabled (nationalized in 1974 as supplemental security income, or SSI), and for dependent children (AFDC), who in 1935 were mainly living with widows. In the 1930’s, it was envisioned that the welfare system would remain rather small and unimportant, only catching those few who fell through the cracks of the social in surance system. However, by the 1960’s, welfare programs, far from withering away, had actually grown somewhat. More over, since the declaration of a “war on poverty” in 1965, legislative action has created a major and seem ingly permanent role for income-tested transfer pro grams. Medicaid was born in that era and it has become our largest single welfare program; AFDC ex penditures multiplied as divorce or parental desertion became increasingly common; and two types of aid to the “working poor” were first offered, in the form of an earned-income tax credit and food stamps. As the ade quacy of benefits offered under welfare programs in creased and coverage was expanded, more and more people were encompassed by the system. Today, income-support payments from all sources av erage more than 20 percent of total household income, or about $200 billion. As a result, the incidence of pov erty, as officially measured, has declined from about 22 percent in 1959 to less than 12 percent today. If in-kind transfer benefits are added to the cash incomes used to officially measure poverty, the incidence has fallen fur ther, to about 7 percent. However, a serious poverty problem still remains, particularly for women heading families and racial minorities. About one-third of the families headed by black women, one-seventh of those headed by white women, and one-tenth of those headed by black men remain poor. Most importantly, the re duction in poverty did not occur because social pro 42 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis grams provided a “hand up” for the poor to earn their way out of poverty. Increased transfer payments accounted for most of the progress against poverty, not increased reliance on earned income. Yet, most would agree that reliance on earned income is, in the long run, the most desirable answer to persisting poverty among those expected to work (that is, able-bodied adults, par ticularly those in two-parent families). The income-support system includes more than 40 programs, covering 1 of every 4 Americans. Both the income-tested and non-income tested systems are clearly categorical. The welfare transfer system is dominated by in-kind benefits, while the social insurance transfer sys tem is much larger, with payments mainly in cash. Cur rently, social insurance removes many more people from poverty than income-tested transfers, despite the fact that a larger share of income-tested expenditures is dis tributed to the poor. Most Americans are dissatisfied with the transfer sys tem. Incentives to better oneself through earnings are low, administrative costs, errors, and fraud are high, and the programs themselves are not well integrated. Increasing numbers of families are headed by divorced, deserted, or unmarried mothers. The amount of child support they receive from their absent spouses is trivial. As a result, increasing numbers of these families receive benefits from the aid to families with dependent chil dren. Expenditures for medicare and medicaid are grow ing at an alarming rate. Less than half of those eligible participate in the Supplemental Security Income and fG^d stamp programs. Because of differences in State el igibility standards and the lack of coordination among programs, many of the poor participate in several pro grams, while one-fifth receive no transfers at all. Thus, reform in the welfare is beset with quandaries. Should the adequacy (and cost) of the system be in creased or should costs (and adequacy) be reduced? How much emphasis should be put on work? And most importantly for the income-testing issue: should benefits be extended only to low-income families or to all fami lies? Issues in the income-testing debate Work disincentive. Foremost among the issues is the effect of the current income-support system on work ef fort; and much of the discussion about that effect cen ters on tax rates. There are two types of tax rates: the explicit tax rate on taxpayers who finance the transfer and the implicit tax rates (benefit reduction rates) on transfer beneficiaries. An important finding from both experimental and cross-sectional studies3of labor supply is that work effort is adversely affected by marginal tax rates on earned income, whether coming from tax or from transfer programs. Moreover, groups currently aided most by the income-support system— the elderly, disabled, single-parent families, the poor, and the unem ployed— were substantially more responsive to tax rates than married men who were neither old nor poor. Given these conclusions on the impacts of tax rates, the high effective rates incorporated into the Nation’s income support system take on new significance. The average benefit reduction rate in the Aid to Families with Dependent Children program is 40 percent.4 Be cause AFDC beneficiaries also receive food stamps with a 25-percent tax rate, and sometimes live in public housing, where rent subsidies decrease as earrings in crease, their cumulative benefit reduction rate is often nearly 70 percent. Moreover, medicaid pushes the tax rate over 100 percent for many of those whose earnings reach the point where they have to leave the welfare rolls, because loss of cash assistance often means going from no cost to full cost medical care. In other pro grams the story is the same. Thus, those groups whose work effort is most responsive to high tax rates con front higher combined marginal tax rates than anyone else in the economy. Indeed, the current system of in come transfers penalizes the poor for working. lation, found that reduced tax rates on beneficiaries in creased their labor supply. However, this effect was counter-balanced by the reduction in labor supply of persons who became program beneficiaries when the lowered tax rates increased the breakeven level of in come. These studies failed to account for the response of higher-income taxpayers to the increased tax rates re quired to finance the policy change. If tax rates on the poor are reduced, taxes and tax rates on others must be increased if net revenues are to remain constant. The new results suggest that the reductions in income from increased taxes on higher-income taxpayers stimulate an increase in their families’ labor supply. These labor sup ply increases, together with increases of transfer bene ficiaries, may actually exceed the decreases in labor sup ply of new beneficiaries and, hence, increase total output. Future research on the labor supply response to various income-support systems, particularly research on the labor supply response of higher income married women, will shed more light on whether it is more eco nomically efficient to have higher tax rates on the poor or on the rich. Economic efficiency. A closely related issue is the effect of welfare on net output and productivity. Income-test ing advocates assert that income-tested programs are more efficient than non-income-tested programs. Until recently, there has been no research on the economic ef fects of income testing. While non-income-tested pro grams raise tax rates on upper income families more than do income-tested programs, they lower them on lower income families. The effects of income testing on economic efficiency, therefore, depend upon an analysis of whether it is more efficient to have higher tax rates on low- or on high-income families. The pattern of high tax rates on groups with high propensities to substitute leisure for earnings contrib utes to the existing pattern of low work effort for these groups. And it runs counter to one of the most widely accepted principles of public finance theory—tax the in elastic factor. Because higher-income groups have less elastic labor supply schedules, it is possible that in creases in output (that is, greater overall productivity), could be achieved and revenues held constant if tax rates were lowered for those with low earnings and raised through some form of credit income tax for those with high earnings. This conclusion is supported by tentative results from the Seattle-Denver income maintenance experiment and other research,5 which indicate that expanding the in come-transfer system by simultaneously reducing tax rates in transfer programs and raising them in the posi tive tax system could lead to an increase in the gross national product. Earlier studies, based on estimates of the labor supply response of only the low-income popu Administrative efficiency. The tax-transfer system places high costs on program participants, is expensive to ad minister, is rife with error on the part of administrators and open to fraud both on the part of transfer bene ficiaries and service providers. Because the system at tempts to tailor benefits or taxes to each individual’s unique need or ability to pay, it fosters an erosion of the tax base in both transfer programs and the personal in come tax. As a result of this erosion, marginal tax rates have been increased to maintain revenue levels, and wel fare applications and tax returns have become more com plex. Moreover, there is considerable deadweight loss involved in utilizing resources to avoid high tax burdens. Proponents of a universal system point out that if in come testing were removed, it would be necessary to frequently determine family status, needs, and the tim ing of transfer benefits for individual families. Hence, moving toward a comprehensive tax base (a move en dorsed by many income-testing advocates as well) and relying on refundable personal income tax credits, cou pled with a proportionate tax rate, are steps that would minimize administrative costs and incentives to alter or misrepresent incomes.6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Target efficiency. Target efficiency is the proportion of total benefits of a program which go to the poor. Pro ponents of income-tested transfers argue that for a giv en budget, income-tested programs deliver a larger percentage of benefits to the poor and are, therefore, more beneficial to the poor than non-income-tested pro grams. If the budgets available for income-tested and non-income-tested transfers are equal, income-tested 43 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Communications programs are better for the poor. Suppose that a $5 bil lion surplus became available for transfer expenditures, but that larger expenditures were not politically feasible. In this circumstance, poverty is reduced most by using an income test. To forgo its use is to spread the com paratively small sum of $5 billion over such a large number of people (more than 215 million) that benefits would amount to less than $25 per person per year, and would make no dent in poverty. If the same $5 billion were expended on an income-tested program, so that only those with incomes below the poverty line bene fited, the poverty gap would be cut by nearly half. If the budgets are not equal, income-tested programs may be worse for the poor. Indeed, if the minimum payments rather than the budgets are equal, the poor are better off under non-income-tested programs. While income-testing advocates, on target efficiency grounds, have implicitly assumed that budgets are equal, advo cates of non-income-tested programs argue that the wider a program spreads its benefits, the more political support it gains. Thus, non-income-tested programs provide more aid to the poor because they provide net benefits to more of the population. Current non-incometested expenditures dwarf income-tested expenditures, but this does not mean that budgets for non-incometested programs will become sufficiently larger than the budgets for the income-tested programs. On a different level, proponents of a non-income-test ed system argue that target efficiency is not really an efficiency measure at all but, if anything, an equity measure. A program whose impact is highly “target ef ficient” may be a system that is most economically inef ficient because for a given budget, the more target ef ficient the program, the higher the benefit reduction rate and, thus, the higher the tax rate and work disincentive for beneficiaries.7 $240 per year more than poor elderly persons who have made no contributions to the system at all. But should future policy efforts be directed toward expanding SSI, or toward revamping social security and better integrat ing it with SSI to provide a non-income-tested mini mum income to all elderly people? Recent research on this issue has concluded that one cannot predict a priori which groups in the elderly population will benefit from income testing.9If guarantees are held constant, incometested programs provide less income for the poor, and more for the rich, than do non-income-tested programs. But if earnings-replacement rates for the upper-income elderly and costs to the younger population are held constant, income-tested programs bring about higher in comes for the poor. While most agree that wholesale substitution of a non-income-tested universal transfer system is not, at present, feasible, the income-testing debate is highly rel evant for several current public policy debates, includ ing aid to the elderly and female heads of households and the adoption of a national health insurance pro gram.8 Single-parent families. Researchers have argued that preferential treatment of the single-parent family by the tax-transfer system, whether or not it occurs within an income-tested framework, is desirable on equity grounds because single-parent families have less earnings capaci ty than two-parent families.10 But preferential treatment creates incentives for family dissolution (real or feigned). In this context, the income-testing issue can be translated into the question of whether to continue to aid single-parent families or switch to a social child-sup port program which reinforces the financial responsibili ties of both parents, whatever their income level, but which guarantees a universal, minimum level of child payments—either publicly or parentally supported— for all single-parent families with children. A non-income-tested, social child-support program that would, in effect, eliminate AFDC might work as follows: all single adults caring for one or more children would be eligible for a public child-support payment that would depend only on the number of children for whom care is being provided, and not on the income of the single parent. The benefit by the government would equal either some minimum amount or the amount paid by the absent spouse— whichever is larger. The pay ments would be financed by a tax on absent spouses equal to some proportion of their income for each child not living with them. If the tax paid by the absent spouse fell below the minimum payment, the shortfall would be financed from general revenues. The elderly. The major benefit programs for the elderly are OASDI (not income-tested, but related to past earn ings) and SSI (for those whose social security payments and other income are insufficient to lift them above the poverty level). However, these two programs need to be better integrated than at present. For instance, a sub stantial number of low-income OASDI recipients who have contributed to the Social Security system for many years, and who are also eligible for SSI, receive only Health care. The national health insurance debate has also been subject to the income-testing issue.11 Propo nents argue that if a national program is to provide ad equate health care for all at reasonable cost, it must reallocate health care services away from richer subur ban families and toward poorer central city and rural residents. The current medicaid program, which limits the maximum charge for a given health care service, does not foster equal access. Because of these limits, The choices before us 44 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis many physicians do not participate in medicaid. Hence, a two-class medical care system which stigmatizes the poor has emerged. A national health insurance plan which extends medicaid to all low-income families would continue to separate the poor from the rest of the population. But a plan with universal coverage for all under one system would lead to more equal access and greater horizontal equity in care between high- and low-income families. The choice between income-tested and non-incometested policies in these and in other areas is not merely a methodological or an administrative choice. Decisions in this area will affect the future course of social policy in the United States. □ FOOTNOTES ' The theme of the 2-day conference was, “Should future reform of our income support system move in the direction of more or less in come testing?” This article is based on papers presented at the confer ence and also on Felicity Skidmore and I. Garfinkel, “The Issues at the Conference,” Focus, Summer 1979. The papers will be published in their entirety in a forthcoming volume of the proceedings. 2The term “categorical” refers specifically to programs which limit eligibility to certain types of people. Programs which provide benefits to all, but give different amounts of benefits to different categories of people (aged, single parents, children) are still “noncategorical,” in our terminology. 3See I. Garfinkel and S. Masters, Estimating the Labor Supply Ef fects o f Income Maintenance Alternatives (New York, Academic Press, 1978) and G. Cain and H. Watts, eds., Income Maintenance and La bor Supply (New York, Academic Press, 1973). 4 R. Hutchens, “Changes in AFDC Tax Rates: 1961-1971,” Jour nal o f Human Resources, Winter 1978, pp. 60-74. 5 D. Betson, D. Greenberg, and R. Kasten, “An Analysis of the Economic Efficiency and Distributional Effects of Alternative Pro gram Structures: NIT vs. CIT,” paper presented at the conference and M. Keeley, P. Robins, R. Spiegelman, and R. West, “The Estimation of Labor Supply Models Using Experimental Data,” American Eco https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis nomic Review, December 1978, pp. 873-87. 6 J. Kesselman, “Taxpayer Behavior and Administrative Principles of a Credit Income Tax,” paper presented at the conference and J. Kesselman and I. Garfinkel, “Professor Friedman, Meet Lady RhysWilliams: NIT vs. CIT,” Journal o f Public Economics, Vol. 10, 1978, pp. 179-216. 7 Betson and others, “Economic Efficiency” and E. Sadka and I. Garfinkel, “The Welfare Economics of the Two Types of Programs,” papers presented at the conference. 8The income-testing question is also relevant for other additional policy issues, such as tax reform, public education, publicly supported day care, and, of course, welfare reform. 9 D. Berry, I. Garfinkel, and R. Munts, “Income Testing in Income Support Programs for the Aged,” paper presented at the conference. 10 H. Watts, G. Jakubson, and F. Skidmore, “Single-Parent House holds under Alternative Transfer and Tax Systems,” paper presented at the conference and S. Danziger, I. Garfinkel and R. Haveman, “Poverty, Welfare, and Earnings: A New Approach,” Challenge, Sep tember/October, 1979. 11 S. Long and J. Palmer, “Universal versus Income-Tested National Health Insurance,” paper presented at the conference and comments on this paper by K. Davis and B. Wolfe. 45 Productivity Reports Productivity declines continue into third quarter 1979 Lawrence J. F ulco The productivity decline of the first half of 1979 contin ued into the third quarter, showing small reductions from second quarter levels in the private business and nonfarm business sectors. This was the longest period of decline since the recession of 1973-74, when produc tivity declined for seven successive quarters. Manufacturing productivity, which declined in the first quarter and increased in the second, grew even faster in the third quarter, although the gain was con fined to nondurables. Among nonfinancial corporations, productivity increased for the first time this year, show ing an 0.7-percent gain in the third quarter. Three consecutive quarters of productivity decline in the private business sectors make it virtually certain that productivity will show a drop for 1979, only the second time this has occurred since 1947 when the se ries begins. Chart 1 shows changes in productivity, unit labor cost, and hourly compensation in the private business, nonfarm business, manufacturing, and nonfinancial cor porate sectors since 1967. The declines in productivity this year reflected dif ferent patterns of growth in output and hours. In the third quarter, output growth resumed in the private busi ness and nonfarm business sectors, although the declines of the second quarter were not recouped. However, man ufacturing output changed little because of offsetting movements in the durable and nondurable industries. Hours of all persons engaged in the private business sector (production and supervisory employees, propri etors and partners, and unpaid family workers) in creased in the third quarter, after a small decline during the second period. Employment growth also accelerat ed. In the third quarter, about 79.6 million persons were engaged in private business, the most comprehen sive sector for which quarterly productivity measures are prepared. Lawrence J. Fulco is an economist in the Division of Productivity Re search, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 46 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In contrast, manufacturing hours and employment declined in the third quarter in both durables and nondurables. The drop in nondurable employment and hours, coupled with the increase in sector output, re sulted in the large productivity increase. About 21.3 million persons were employed in manufacturing in the third quarter; about two-fifths of them were in non durables. The biggest productivity increase occurred in the nondurable manufacturing sector. An 8.7-percent gain in the third quarter reflected an increase in output of 4.3 percent and a decline in hours of 4.1 percent. This was the largest productivity gain in 4 years and contrib uted to the first decline in unit labor cost since 1975. The following tabulation show the annual rate of change in productivity, output, and hours for four ma jor sectors in the economy in the third quarter of 1979: Sector Private business Nonfarm business Manufacturing Durable Nondurable Nonfinancial corporations Productivity Output Hours -0.7 -0.7 3.3 -0.2 8.7 1.7 1.9 0.3 -2.3 4.3 2.5 2.6 -2.9 -2.2 -4.1 0.7 1.6 0.9 Compensation, labor cost, and profits After rising sharply in the first two quarters, hourly compensation decelerated in the third quarter in the pri vate business and manufacturing sectors. The reduction in the rate of increase of labor compensation combined with the slight decline in productivity and resulted in the smallest increase in unit labor cost this year. (Unit labor cost— labor compensation per unit of output—in creases with gains in hourly compensation, and declines with productivity gains.) Unit labor cost rose least in manufacturing, where for nondurables, it actually showed a small decline. Increases in the seasonally-adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) overbalanced gains in hourly compensation in the third quarter, and real hourly compensation declined again. In the private business sector, real hourly compensation was lower than it had been since the second quarter of 1976, re flecting the more rapid advance of the CPI-U. Chart 1. Productivity and related measures in four major sectors in the economy, 1967-79 Ratio scale (1967 = 100) 260 1967 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 1967 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 77 78 79 1967 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 260 76 The U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Eco nomic Analysis prepares quarterly profit measures for the nonfinancial corporate sector.1 This sector accounts for about 75 percent of private business output and 68 percent of labor input hours and includes all corpora tions doing business in the United States, except banks, stock and commodity brokers, and finance and insur ance agencies. In 1978, profits2 were about $128 billion. Output was $1,247 billion (in current dollars), of which employee compensation accounted for $835 billion and nonlabor payments—depreciation, net interest, and in direct business taxes— were $412 billion. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Profits in the nonfinancial corporate sector increased at a 5.1-percent annual rate from 1959 to 1978, some what faster than sector output, which grew 4.6 percent per year over the period. Thus, profits per unit of out put increased 0.6 percent at the same time. This rela tively modest rate of increase over the entire time-span includes subperiods of markedly different performance, as can be seen in table 1. Unit labor costs grew faster than unit profits over the 1959-78 period, averaging 4.0 percent each year. These costs showed little movement prior to 1965, increased 4.5 percent per year between 1976 and 1973, and 7.3 47 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Productivity Reports Table 1. Average annual rates of change1in productivity, costs, and profits in the nonfinancial corporate sector Measure Productivity Hourly compensation Implicit price deflator2 Unit labor cost Unit nonlabor payments Unit profits Output Profits Unit nonlabor cost 1959-78 1959-65 1965-73 1973-78 2.1 6.1 3.7 4.0 3.2 0.6 4.6 5.1 4.6 3.7 3.6 0.5 -0.1 1.6 3.6 6.2 9.9 0.3 1.8 6.4 3.6 4.5 2.1 -4.1 4.2 0.0 5.9 1.4 8.8 7.6 7.3 8.2 11.8 3.0 15.1 7.0 1Least-squares trend rate fitted to the logarithms of the indexes of the data. 2The implicit price deflator is current-dollar gross product originating in the sector divided by constant-dollar output. Current-dollar product is equal to labor compensation, profit, and nonlabor cost (mainly indirect taxes, depreciation, and interest). percent between 1973 and 1978; however, in the most recent period, unit profits grew faster—averaging 15.1 percent each year. It should be noted that profits represent a much smaller part of value added in the nonfinancial corpo rate sector than compensation. In 1978, unit pro fits were roughly one-seventh unit labor costs in abso lute terms, in spite of the faster rate of increase of unit profits during the preceding 5 years. In recent quarters, profits have declined steadily. Unit profits dropped during the first three quarters of 1979, declining 7 percent from the fourth quarter 1978 level. □ --------- F O O T N O T E S ---------' The basic data underlying the estimates of corporate profits are the annual tabulations of corporate income tax returns compiled by the Internal Revenue Service. These data are sufficiently complete and reliable to overcome many of the difficulties which are inherent in the estimation of profits. Filing of detailed returns is mandatory, and the returns are prepared with the knowledge that they are likely to be audited. For additional information, see “Readings in concepts and methods of national income statistics,” Supplement to Survey o f C ur rent Business, 1976, p. 71. Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consump tion adjustments in nonfinancial domestic industries. A note on communications The Monthly Labor Review welcomes communications that supplement, challenge, or expand on research pub lished in its pages. To be considered for publication, com munications should be factual and analytical, not pole- mical in tone. Communications should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, Washington, D.C. 20212. S 48 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis a Research Summaries Collective bargaining in the health care industry L u c r e t ia D e w ey T a n n e r , H a r r ie t G o l d b e r g W and A l ic e L. A e in s t e in , hm uty Prior to 1974, employees of health care facilities were excluded from coverage of the National Labor Rela tions Act, which establishes a national policy aimed at “encouraging the practices and procedures of collective bargaining. . . . ” Thé National Labor Relations Board asserted jurisdiction over proprietary hospitals and nursing homes, but the nonprofit hospitals were exempt until the Act was amended on August 25, 1974. The amendments, Public Law 93-360, provided that private nonprofit hospital workers be granted the same rights and privileges legislated for most other workers 39 years earlier. Characteristics of bargaining in the industry During the first 2Vi years following the amend ments, at least 44 national and international unions negotiated collective bargaining agreements in the pri vate health care industry.1 Three organizations domi nated representation, accounting for 3 of 5 negotiated contracts: the Service Employees International Union (AFL-CIO), the earliest to begin organizing in the health care industry and now the largest in industry membership; the National Union of Hospital and Health Care Employees (District 1199), a division of the Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union (AFL-CIO), which began representing pharmacists in New York City and now is the second largest union in the industry; and the American Nurses Association, a professional organization which took on collective Lucretia Dewey Tanner is chief of the Division of Private Sector Man ufacturing, Office of Pay Monitoring, Council on Wage and Price Sta bility, Harriet Goldberg Weinstein is a labor economist with the division, and Alice L. Ahmuty is a labor economist with the Congres sional Research Service. This summary is adapted from their study, Impact of the 1974 Health Care Amendments to the NLRA on Collec tive Bargaining in the Health Care Industry, published in 1979 by the U S. Department of Labor’s Labor Management Services Administra tion and the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis bargaining functions for registered nurses. Data from the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service (FMCS) show that during the 1974-76 period, there were 2,585 collective bargaining situations in the private health care industry, involving 414,000 workers, or one-quarter of the 1.7 million employees of health care institutions. Most workers (85 percent) were employed in hospitals; the remainder were in nursing homes or were involved in other health care activities. About one-third of the agreements were first con tracts covering 61,000 workers. These initial contracts, however, covered far fewer workers per unit than preexisting agreements, perhaps reflecting the fact that the larger more easily organized units had already signed agreements. Both in terms of existing union or ganization and new efforts, California, New York, and Michigan ranked as the top three. Shorter term agreements are more common in the health care industry than in other industries. Contracts for 1 or 2 years were most frequent; 3-year agreements accounted for only one-quarter of all contracts, com pared with more than one-half in other industries. Wages clearly were the top issue in health care bargaining, as they were in other industries; however, some differences were apparent. Duration of contract, union security problems, and working conditions, for example, appeared to be more important issues in health care than in other industries. Grievance proce dures, arbitration, and hours of work also appeared more frequently. FMCS mediators were more actively involved in health care bargaining situations as a percent of total notices than in other bargaining situations. In the ma jority of negotiations, however, the parties progressed towards a final settlement without the immediate threat of a strike, and may not require active mediation. When mediation did take place, nearly 50 percent more meet ings were required to resolve a strike. Provisions of the amendments The amended law provided for some special proce dures designed to promote early bargaining and avoid strikes in the health care institutions. These procedures include: (1) advance notice to the FMCS of plans to modify or terminate a contract, (2) mandatory media tion, (3) a 10-day intent-to-strike notice to the institu49 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Research Summaries tion and to the FMCS, and (4) a special factfinding or Board of Inquiry (BOI) procedure to be used in cases of threatened or actual strikes. In contract renewal or reopener bargaining, the party desiring to terminate or modify an existing contract is required to notify the other party of such intent at least 90 days prior to the expiration date, compared with the 60-day notification period established for other indus tries. In health care cases, FMCS must receive a written notice 60 days prior to the intent to terminate or modi fy the existing contract, instead of the 30-day notice re quirement in other industries. In initial contract sit uations following certification of recognition, the labor organization requiring mediation assistance is required to give at least 30 days’ written notice to FMCS that a dispute exists. Before a strike can occur in the health care industry, the union must give a 10-day intent-tostrike notice, in writing, to the institution and FMCS specifying the exact date and time the stoppage is to oc cur. The BOI is designed to provide factfinding in an at tempt to avoid strikes. Appointment of a BOI is at the discretion of the director of the FMCS if “a threatened or actual strike or lockout affecting a health care insti tution will, if permitted to occur or continue, substan tially interrupt the delivery of health care in the locality concerned.” The BOI is appointed for a 15-day term, during which the “findings of fact” and nonbinding rec ommendations are issued. Such appointment takes place no later than 30 days prior to expiration date of the contract, or within 30 days of receipt of the 60-day no tice to the FMCS. In the case of initial contracts, the BOI, if convened, must be appointed within 10 days of receipt of the intent-to-strike notice. BOI study findings Extent of BOI involvement. For the first few months af ter enactment of the amendments (until November 1978), decisions to appoint a Board of Inquiry were based on a strict interpretation of the law, that is wheth er a strike or lockout would “substantially interrupt the delivery of health care in the locality concerned.” It was found, however, that the establishment of a Board did not necessarily facilitate collective bargaining; many of the Board’s reports recommended that the parties start bargaining—in some cases the parties had not even met prior to the appointment of the Board. After a few months, the FMCS determined that an additional factor should be considered prior to the appointment of a board—if the impact of a potential work stoppage was found to be substantial on the community as established by law, then a second factor, the impact on the bar gaining process should be assessed. To accommodate other provisions spelled out in the Study update While this survey of collective bargaining in health care institutions under the National Labor Relations Act amendments covers the first 2 -Y i years, nearly 3 years have elapsed since the research was concluded in December 1976 and the publication of the results. Data from the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service (FMCS) indi cate that from December 1976 to August 1979, the rate of board of inquiry appointments has actually declined, both those formerly appointed under the NLRA procedures and those agreed to by the parties in a “stipulation” apart from the explicit requirements of the act. This decline was ob served between the two time periods— August 1974 through December 1976, and the most current comparable period, January 1977 to August 1979. In the first period, 120 factfinding boards were appointed (91 under the formal procedures and 29 infor mally). During the intervening years, only an additional 80 boards were appointed. Each year since the first year, the numbers of appointments have been fewer. A slower rate of appointments was noted in the original study and was predictable, as both the FMCS and the parties gained greater bargaining experience and began us ing the process only when such factfinding would be use ful. Additionally, current data show that those FMCS regions in which factfinders were more frequently appointed initially continue to make appointments in ap proximately the same proportion in the more recent period. 50 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis One finding of the study was the desire of labor and management negotiators to have a preference in the selec tion of the factfinding board appointee. In July 1979, FMCS announced changes in its administrative rules to permit more input from the parties. Negotiators are allowed to jointly submit a list of proposed names to serve as a board member with the right to defer to a sepa rate factfinding or arbitration procedure for resolving dis putes. Have the amendments reduced work stoppages? Unlike the decline in the number of factfinding board appoint ments, the incidence of strikes (in absolute numbers) in creased during the most current period (129 in the first period versus 179 in the second). When viewed against the total collective bargaining activity since 1976, however, the strike rate has actually declined. From August 1974 through December 1976, a total of 2,585 bargaining situa tions was recorded by FMCS. From the start of 1977 to August 1979, an additional 4,705 sets of negotiations were held, an increase of 190 percent. Bargaining in the health care industry is more frequent and contracts of 2 year du rations are common. This increase in collective bargaining activity is related to renegotiated contracts as well as the addition of new bargaining situations. Thus, when the total number of strikes to total collective bargaining situations in each of the two periods are compared, the rate of strike activity has actually dropped since 1976. amendment, FMCS developed the concept of a stipula tion agreement as an option to the Board of Inquiry. In cases where it is too early in the bargaining process to interpose a third-party neutral to assist in defining is sues, the parties may agree, in writing, to permit the agency to appoint a factfinder at some later specified time. Then, after 30 days of bargaining have passed, FMCS reviews the state of negotiations and determines whether a factfinder is warranted. During the first 2-Vz year period, 120 boards were appointed (25 in the first 4 months), 29 of the total un der the stipulation procedures. A monthly‘average of 90.5 health care bargaining cases were closed by the FMCS in 1975 (compared with 108.6 in 1976), while the monthly average number of Boards declined from 4.3 in 1975 to 3.7 in 1976. At the same time, health care disputes became more numerous and the appoint ment of Boards became more selective; thus, the per centage of Boards to total collective bargaining situations declined. More restricted use of factfinding following an initial period of heavy usage is not unique to the health care industry. Similar declines have been observed in the use of factfinding under the National Emergency Disputes of the National Labor Relations Act and the Railway Labor Act. Generally, the number of contract renewal disputes resulting in Board appointments exceeded those for ini tial contracts: 64 percent were appointed in contract re newal cases, 7 percent were in reopener agreements, and the remaining were in first contracts. Seventy percent of the Boards were appointed for situations involving hos pitals; 17.5 percent dealt with nursing homes disputes, and 10.8 percent involved other facilities, such as clinics and health maintenance organizations. In 37 percent of the Board cases, the mediators believed that one or both of the parties had delayed bargaining in anticipa tion of a factfinding board. More union than manage ment negotiators wanted the Board of Inquiry, while more management than union chief negotiators believed that the other had delayed bargaining in anticipation of a Board of Inquiry. Although the Service Employees International Union negotiated the largest percent of health care contracts (32.4 percent), it ranked third in its involvement in Boards of Inquiry (15.9 percent). District 1199 was in volved in 45.8 percent of the boards, but only 16 percent of the negotiations; the various State nurses associations were parties in 19.2 percent of the Board of Inquiry situ ations and 15.9 percent of the health care negotiations. Individuals selected to serve on Boards of Inquiry were chosen on the basis of their competency in fact finding, arbitration, and mediation skills, as well as ex perience in the health care field. Another primary criter ia in the selection process was availability, because the Board must be appointed quickly, and its members https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis must contact the parties, arrange for a meeting, and write recommendations all within 15 days. In all but 10 Boards, a single individual had been appointed, rather than a multiperson panel. Despite criticism voiced by health care administrators and leaders of major unions that individuals selected to serve on Boards of Inquiry were uninformed about problems of the industry or issues raised at the bargaining table, three-fourths of the chief negotiators queried said that the persons assigned to the Board were qualified and knowledgeable in labor relations. Nevertheless, when further asked as to the preference of having a choice—in conjunction with the other party— on the selection of the factfinder, 70 percent of the man agement and 57 percent of the labor negotiators favored such an option. Approximately two-thirds of the management negoti ating committees were headed by outside legal counsel, while almost half of the union bargaining teams were headed by either the union business agent or interna tional representative. Mediators noted that, although they encountered a number of inexperienced negotiators when the amendments first became effective, this occurs less frequently now. Many mediators commented on the unusually large bargaining committees in health care, compared with other industries. The reports. Board of Inquiry reports ranged from a de tailed discussion of all outstanding issues to simply “We met, we bargained, we settled.” Forty percent of the re ports contained no recommendations, due primarily to the initial 6-month period following enactment of the legislation when appointments were based on a strict in terpretation of the impact on the delivery of health care without consideration to the state of bargaining. The mediators indicated that when the parties had met and negotiated before the Board convened, it was more like ly to issue recommendations on how to resolve the re maining items in dispute. Both the mediators and the individuals on the Boards felt that in approximately 2 of 5 situations, no effective negotiations had taken place prior to the board appoint ment. Again, this situation was most evident during the first 4 months after amendments became operative. In almost three-fourths of the factfinding cases, the mediator was able to use the Board of Inquiry recom mendations as the basis for further negotiations. In 14 percent of the situations, no additional mediation ses sions were held, and in 13 percent, the parties accepted the factfinder’s recommendations in total. Labor and management negotiators shared similar views on the value of the Board of Inquiry procedures; about 60 per cent of both groups found the procedures useful. When asked to evaluate the usefulness of the recommenda tions, a slightly higher percentage of management than 51 < MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Research Summaries labor representatives found them helpful. Ninety percent of the disputes that were settled prior to the convening of the Board occurred in the first year, and no reports were issued in these cases. Instances of the parties reaching agreement either prior to or during the Board’s term were restricted to Boards appointed under the statute, rather than those appointed after a stipulation agreement had been reached. During the congressional hearings on the amend ments, eight factors were identified to be considered by the Board of Inquiry in making recommendations: (1) area wage levels, (2) adequate provisions for job securi ty and fringe benefits, (3) cost of living, (4) career ad vancement, (5) equal employment opportunity, (6) equal pay, (7) provision for resolution of grievances without strikes, and (8) job training and skills.2 Individuals who served on a Board were asked which of these or other factors they considered in issuing rec ommendations. Most factfinders limited their consider ations to economic issues and believed that these were the issues most often raised by the parties themselves. The specific recommendations offered in the reports and the comments of the negotiators, mediators, and fact finders indicated that issues in health care disputes were not very different from those in other sectors. In first-contract bargaining, issues involving union security and dues checkoff were frequently found. Other vari ances were related more to the relative degree of impor tance of issues, such as scheduling and patient care, al though many of these factors have counterparts in other industries running 24-hour operations. Recommendations for change. Most (80 percent) of those involved in health care negotiations would like to see changes in the amendments. The dissatisfaction with the current amendments centers on the Board of Inqui ry procedures; suggestions for revamping focus on the timing problems experienced by the participants. Members of factfinding boards were almost unani mous in their displeasure with the 15-day maximum term for the Board. Generally, they felt that the Board should be convened close to the expiration date. Solu tions to the timing of a Board most often endorsed by the mediators and chief negotiators included factfinders appointments at the discretion of the mediator at any time and at the request of either party. Impact on strikes One of the most important concerns motivating the enactment of the 1974 amendments was the desire to eliminate strikes, particularly those involving recogni tion. A review of the 2-Vi years following the enactment of the legislation indicates that the strike rate in the health care industry is similar to that in the economy as a whole, with a stoppage occurring in about 4 or 5 per 52 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis cent of all bargaining situations. Of 2,585 health care bargaining situations between August 25, 1974 and De cember 31, 1976, 129 strikes occurred. Another similari ty is the duration of strikes, about 27 days both in all bargaining and in health care situations, although there appear to be longer and more bitter strikes in nursing homes. In a number of nursing home strikes, no collec tive bargaining ever occurs nor is a contract signed, and the union walks away after gaining recognition. Unlike the practice in other industries, picket lines are infrequently honored by other organized units, mak ing strikes by small units less effective. This “nonsupportive activity” occurred prior to 1974 as well and before the required 10-day strike notice. Despite the similarities between bargaining in health and other industries, there is an important and distinct difference. In the health care industry, about one-third of all bargaining involves initial contracts, a proportion substantially higher than in other industries. Viewed un der this circumstance, it might be concluded that the strike rate is actually better than in the economy as a whole, because few, if any, other industries are undergo ing the rapid rate of new bargaining. Mediators found the 10-day strike notice useful in promoting negotiations, especially in initial contracts. Labor unions, in contrast, found the notice cumbersome and confusing, but most importantly also felt that it provided management time to hire replacements and prepare for a strike. While the number of 10-day strike notices issued is not known, in 65 percent of all Board situations, a strike notice had been given, but a strike occurred in only 13 percent. Influence of the National Labor Relations Board Since the 1974 amendments were enacted, the Na tional Labor Relations Board (NLRB) has decided a se ries of key issues which influenced collective bargaining in the health care industry. Two major decisions were the resolution of unit determination issues and denial of bargaining rights for interns and residents. In extending bargaining rights to nonprofit hospital workers, Congress cautioned the NLRB to give ‘‘due consideration . . . to preventing proliferation of bar gaining units in the health care industry.”3 After much deliberation, the NLRB determined that five units would be appropriate in hospital settings: (1) all regis tered nurses “if they are sought and they so desire” to be represented, (2) all other professionals, (3) technical employees, excluding service and maintenance person nel, (4) clerical employees in business offices, and (5) service and maintenance personnel, including nonoffice clerical workers. A sixth unit was added in 1977 to in clude physicians, excluding interns and residents.4 However, the clearly defined units have not solved election determination problems and have posed a threat to craft type unions which have represented health care workers.5 Another group whose survival has been threatened is the American Nurses Association and its State affiliates which act as the bargaining representatives. Current de velopments, including the challenge of the organiza tion’s status as a bargaining representative because of alleged supervisor domination, may result in internal change within the organization, strong takeover challen ges by other labor organizations, or the splintering of established nurses’ groups into independent unions. While the NLRB amended its five basic unit determi nation decisions to include physicians, it explicitly treat ed interns and residents as students and not as employees covered by the amended National Labor Re lations Act. In March 1976, the NLRB reasoned that housestaff physicians were enrolled in a program designed as a prerequisite for licensing examinations and certification in medical specialties not for the pur pose of earning a living.6 The question of whether in terns and residents may engage in bargaining has generated considerable litigation and the introduction of bills to amend the 1974 amendments.7 □ --------- FOOTNOTES---------1Because the 1974 amendments extended coverage of the National Labor Relations Act to the private health care industry, organizations of workers in public facilities and the role of the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME, A FL-CIO ) and other organizations representing health care workers in the public and Federal sector are not discussed in this report. 2See Congressional Record, July 11, 1979. 3Legislative History of the Coverage o f Nonprofit Hospitals Under the National Labor Relations Act, 1974, Public Law 93-360, S. 3203 (U.S. Congress, Subcommittee on Labor, 93d Congress, 2d Sess., 1974, Re port No. 93-760), pp. 12 and 274. 4 A series of NLRB decisions form the basis for the unit determina tion rulings. See Mercy Hospital of Sacramento, 217 NLRB No. 765 (1975); Barnent Memorial Hospital Center, 217 NLRB No. 775 (1975); St. Catherine's Hospital o f Dominican Sisters o f Kenosha, Wisconsin, Inc., 217 NLRB No. 787 (1975); Sisters of St. Joseph of Peace, 217 NLRB No. 797 (1975); Newington Children's Hospital, 217 NLRB No. 793 (1975); and Ohio Valley Hospital Assn., 230 NLRB No. 84 (1977). 5 For example, when the NLRB rejected a separate unit for statio nery engineers in the 1975 Shriner’s Hospital case (Shriner's Hospital for Cripple Children, 217 NLRB 806 [1975]), four hospitals in Kansas City filed petitions to decertify the International Union of Operating Engineers, which had represented this occupation for 20 years. While the union was successful in defeating the decertification, it amended its bylaws to expand its jurisdiction in order to continue representing health care workers. Four years later, the NLRB reversed its position and held that a community of interest does exist among the mainte nance employees and power plant operators and that a separate unit is appropriate (Riverside Methodist Hospital o f Lynwood, 78 NLRB No. 1048 [1979]). 6Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, 223 NLRB No. 251 (1975); reconsid eration denied, 224 NLRB No. 626 (1976). 7 More recently, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Co lumbia Circuit held that the NLRB’s 4-toG ruling in the Cedars Sinai https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Medical Center case was incorrect and that the legislative intent had been to extend the benefits of the NLRB to housestaff physicians. National House Staff Association et al vs. Murphy (C.A.D.C. No. 7 8 1209, Apr. 2, 1979). Again in 1979, Congress considered amending legislation to permit interns and residents the right to bargain as em ployees; however, the measure failed to enlist the needed support. Measuring the social costs of instability in construction R oger L. Bowlby, Sidney L. Carroll , R ichard Evans an d Governmental interest in stabilization of the U.S. con struction industry dates back more than 50 years. The Hoover Commission of 1924 found that “Bad weather is not the principal cause of seasonal idleness. Customs which became fixed when builders had not yet learned to cope with adverse weather conditions have not yet been changed to meet improvements in building materi als, the development of new equipment, and innova tions in management methods.” 1 A more recent study noted that “From its low point in February to its peak in August, contract construction . . . adds enough workers to staff the entire motor vehicle manufacturing industry.”2 The authors recently participated in a study of the social costs of instability in the construction industry.3 This report is drawn from that work, which was moti vated by a desire to measure the potential benefits from stabilization. The cost estimate assumed that the technology was available to reduce, but not eliminate fluctuations in construction activity. The nature of this technology or the reasons why it has not already been applied were not considered. Similarly, changes in government policy or other variables that would lead to stabilization were not considered. The cost of instability in 1977 was esti mated by assuming that stabilization was accomplished some time before 1977, so that any windfall gains or adjustment costs of a one-time nature had already been realized. Manufacturing was used as the standard of employ ment stability. However, the fragmented organization of construction, the custom nature of its output, and its exposure to weather make it unlikely that construction could attain the stability of manufacturing, even with new technology. Therefore, a position half-way between the present instability of construction and the stability Roger L. Bowlby is professor of economics and Sidney L. Carroll is associate professor of economics at the University of Tennessee; Rich ard Evans is assistant professor of economics at Memphis State Uni versity. 53 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Research Summaries attained by manufacturing represented a reasonable goal. The estimates generally assumed that such a posi tion was reached before 1977 and maintained during that year. As reported in the full study, the potential savings from stabilization construction during 1977 was esti mated at $5.7 billion. This total was the result of the estimated potential savings for the following specific areas: Area of potential savings Millions of dollars T otal..................................................... Lower unemployment benefit costs.................... Lower depreciation charges on invested capital . . Lower inventory carrying costs by supplier firms Lower wage rates and higher annual incomes . . . Fewer accidents................................................. Shorter apprenticeship and fewer dropouts......... $5,674.1 562.0 175.8 281.4 3,877.0 570.0 207.9 Underlying these estimates are the following assump tions. With .more intensive utilization of resources, the construction industry could produce the same volume of output with smaller inputs of labor and capital, thus freeing up resources for productive use by other indus trial sectors. The value of the additional goods and ser vices produced represents the social costs. Subsidiary gains could be realized if the remaining labor resources experience less disutility per unit of time worked or a higher degree of satisfaction per unit of real income, or if any resources become more productive per unit of ef fort. The dollar estimates are limited to the proximate effects of stabilization and to accounting categories in cluded in the gross national product. The turnover effect The direct savings from lower labor turnover are per haps the clearest savings, and so the costs of excess labor employed in construction are the most obvious. The industry provided more than 3.4 million full-time jobs in 1970; because of turnover, however, it employed more than 6 million persons during the year.4 At one extreme the workers represented by this difference may have sought (or waited for) construction employment during the entire year, representing a total loss to soci ety. At the other extreme, it is logically possible that no social cost was incurred by this turnover, if the displaced workers preferred school attendance, leisure, or other forms of nonparticipation to employment dur ing their nonworking periods, or if they found jobs in other industries without frictional loss. The truth proba bly lies somewhere between these extremes. Though an imperfect measure, insured unemployment benefits paid out provide the best available measure of the social loss. Though the strength of their attachment to the construction industry is uncertain, workers last employed in construction and drawing unemployment 54 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis benefits are neither employed in other industries nor out of the labor force. If they are looking for jobs in other industries, their labor is still lost to society, and their separation from the construction industry is the proxi mate cause of their unemployment. Table 1 shows insured employment and unemploy ment in contract construction by month during 1977. For each month, the hypothetical unemployment rate is the mean of the actual rates for manufacturing and con struction. Hypothetical unemployment was calculated so as to produce this rate with actual employment unchanged. The reduction in insured unemployment represents labor that could be released from construc tion and made available to the rest of the economy. With stabilization completed prior to 1977, the absorp tion of these displaced construction workers by the rest of the economy also had been completed before 1977. Thus, the unemployment rate experienced by the re leased workers would be equal to the insured unem ployment rate for workers outside construction, ranging from a low of 3.2 percent in November to a high of 4.7 percent in February. For each month, the gain to soci ety from construction stabilization is the unemployment decrease in construction minus the unemployment in crease in the rest of the economy. If these weeks of unemployment are converted into dollars at the rate of the average unemployment benefit (which ranged from $75.92 in July to $81.54 in Decem ber), approximately $493 million of “avoidable” benefits were drawn by construction workers during 1977. In addition, it was estimated that the administrative costs associated with these transfer payments was $69 mil lion.5 Thus, the potential cash savings from a reduction in insured unemployment through moderate stabiliza tion in construction during 1977 was estimated at $562 million. As part of a more speculative analysis of foregone earnings, these unemployment benefits were used as a partial measurement of the total cost of unemployment to society— the waste of unrecoverable productive la bor. (This cost was not included in the $5.7 billion of potential savings.) Because unemployment benefits sel dom exceed half of lost wages, and typically have been significantly less, workers themselves absorb a signi ficant amount of the social cost. With the social value of the lost labor as twice the unemployment benefits paid, the social cost of the 6,222,000 work weeks lost during 1977 was estimated at $1,035 million. This rep resents the value of the socially useful goods and ser vices that could have been produced by the labor released by a more stable construction industry, offering the same number of working weeks to a smaller number of individuals with lower turnover rates. This estimate does not include the labor loss not compensated by un employment benefits, although uninsured joblessness Table 1. Employment and unemployment in contract construction by month, 1977 ________________ Insured employment Insured unemployment Hypothetical unemployment (after stabilization) 3,225,000 3,152,000 3,270,000 3,451,000 3,608,000 3,675,000 3,655,000 3,693,000 3,712,000 3,732,000 3,686,000 3,499,000 703,200 768,300 646,200 466,200 305,200 263,900 254,100 227,400 199,500 217,200 252,000 406,100 437,700 462,600 395,900 308,300 214,000 199,500 208,600 188,300 162,700 171,800 194,000 271,500 1977 Actual Month January . . . February .. March . . . . A p ril........... M a y ........... June ......... J u ly ........... August . . . . September . October . . . November . December . Unemployment rates Actual 17.9 19.6 16.5 11.9 7.8 6.7 6.5 5.8 5.1 5.5 6.4 10.4 Hypothetical 12.0 12.8 10.8 8.2 5.6 5.2 5.4 4.8 4.2 4.4. 5.0 7.2 represents a social loss as certainly as does insured un employment. More productive capital Though capital does not draw unemployment bene fits, the same sort of potential social benefits would flow from more intensive utilization of a smaller quantity of physical capital. It was assumed that the capital inputs to the productive process in contract construction could be reduced by 2.5 percent through regularization of ac tivity. This is somewhat less than the 3.1 percent reduc tion in the labor force implied by the data in table 1. In both cases, it was assumed that resources stand avoid ably idle for such reasons as a customary building sea son, an arbitrary fiscal year, or lack of long-term planning, perhaps the result of a deficiency in informa tion. What is demonstrably true in the case of labor can be presumed true in the case of nonhuman resources. John W. Kendrick has estimated the capital em ployed in the construction industry at $39 billion in 1973.6 Based on the 3.5 percent per year long-run growth trend, the 1977 capital stock was estimated at $45 billion. A 2.5 percent reduction in capital, if carried out entirely in 1977, would have yielded more than $1 billion of savings to the industry, and freed this amount of capital for deployment in other industries. Society could have benefited from higher production without loss of any construction output. However, if stabiliza tion was completed before 1977, then this one-time po tential gain can be ignored. There would still be two potential gains to be counted for 1977: the 3.5 percent increase in capital re quired for long-term growth would be $43 million dol lars less by reason of the lower base (the one-time reduction which took place before 1977); there also would be lower depreciation charges during 1977 on the decreased capital stock. Allowing straight-line deprecia tion at 6 percent, and assuming that depreciation de pends only upon time and will not be accelerated by more intensive use of the smaller stock of capital, there https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis were potential savings of $66 million from this source in 1977. The effect on suppliers Vendor firms that supply inputs such as bricks and mortar to the construction industry experience measur ably higher costs because of irregular purchases by the construction industry. These become costs to society be cause the supplier firms, like the construction industry itself, must use extra resources that are denied to society and cannot be used to produce other goods and serv ices. For computational purposes, it was assumed that vendor firms operate at a steady rate throughout the year altering their inventories to suit the erratic de mands of the construction industry. In the real world, of course, some of these firms will close, so some of the costs will be embodied in idle labor and capital. Costs of these idle factors of production should approximate the estimated inventory carrying costs. Carrying inventories involves a real cost to society in losses from fire, theft, casualty, and deterioration as well as from expenditures of land, labor, and capital that are made in order to minimize these losses. The an nual costs for a widely fluctuating inventory were esti mated at 20 percent of the average inventory value, partly because the land and capital requirements are a function of the maximum inventory. To establish the base on which to apply this percent age rate, it was assumed that the timing of purchases by the construction industry coincides with the monthly total of value put in place. Thus, the amplitude of sea sonal variation in purchases was estimated as the dif ference between the high and low months. Because the high and low months are about 6 months apart, half of this amplitude represents the mean excess inventory at tributable to the instability of the construction industry. The purchases of the construction industry from sup plier firms were estimated by an input-output model, with separate estimates for five construction sectors.7 Based on these data, the construction industry made $58 billion of direct purchases from supplier firms in or der to put $100 billion of value in place. The difference between monthly purchases at the August peak and February trough amounted to $1.8 billion. In an aver age month during 1977, the vendor firms maintained approximately $900 million of excess inventories over and above the inventory that would have been required to supply a stable industry, and the excess costs to sup pliers were $180 million during the year. There are no offsetting gains to others, and so this figure represents the social cost. It must be emphasized that inventory carrying charges were used as a proxy for these social costs, much of which came in layoffs or other manifes tations of seasonality not estimated directly. The result, therefore, may overestimate the costs to vendor firms, 55 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Research Summaries who may find it cheaper to operate seasonally them selves, and shut down during the slack season in prefer ence to maintaining inventories. In this case, of course, the supplier firms avoid the cost by passing it on to their workers, or to other taxpayers who pay transfer payments to the unemployed workers. The social cost remains. Reduced wage differential Economic theory suggests that labor markets are characterized by “equalizing” wage differentials that op erate to make jobs equally attractive by offsetting non wage attributes of less desirable jobs.8 Construction industry wages are high, therefore, partly to compensate workers for the irregularity of employment. Stabiliza tion of construction industry employment has the po tential to benefit both labor and management by increasing the yearly hours of work per worker, making it possible to simultaneously lower wage rates and in crease annual income. This would occur automatically in a perfectly competitive market; as the risk of layoff falls, the equalizing differential is reduced and all the benefits of stabilization accrue to employers in the form of lower wage rates. In a market perfectly controlled by workers, the differential might be maintained, so that all benefits accrue to workers as higher annual income. Collective bargaining may produce a compromise result, as the give and take between labor and management leads to a sharing of the benefits of stabilization. The collective bargaining experience of the Tennessee Valley Authority involves separate union contracts for construction workers, even though most of these work ers have the same job titles as some noncon struction workers. Over 20 years, however, a stable wage differential developed in favor of construction workers, confirming the essential validity of the theory predicting such a result. It was assumed that this wage differential was typical of such differentials in the Unit ed States. The wage differentials were computed for each occu pational group on the Tennessee Valley Authority payroll and were weighted by the national importance of each occupation based on census data. If exactly half of the wage differential was eliminated through stabili zation,9 it was estimated that total wage costs could be reduced by approximately 8.4 percent. Translated to the total U.S. construction payroll, the potential savings for 1977 would have been $3,877 million. grams should proceed more smoothly with fewer drop outs, representing $207 million in potential savings. In addition, job skills should remain sharper with more regular use, and accident rates ought to decline. The potential decline of accidents can be estimated from available data on job tenure10 and accidents occur ring for workers in each job tenure group.11 It is well established that accident frequency is much higher for workers with the shortest length of service in their cur rent job.12 If stabilization lowers labor turnover, the mixture of employees would move more toward senior employees with relatively low accident rates. The median construction worker has spent less than half the time on his present job as has the median fac tory worker. If stabilization changes the seniority distri bution of construction workers to a point halfway between the construction and manufacturing distribu tions, and if the rate of compensable accidents remains constant across seniority classes, the number of com pensable accidents in contract construction would be reduced by 8 percent.13 The cost of workers’ compensa tion in 1977 for the construction industry was estimated at $1.5 billion,14 so the cost of the extra accidents at tributable to short-term seniority in construction amounts to $114 million, counting only the cost of workers’ compensation benefits. The real cost to society, of course, is not only the transfer payments to an in jured worker, but the loss of labor, damage to machin ery or materials, lost time by uncompensated fellow workers and supervisors, and the like. The total cost of an accident has been cited as five times the workers’ compensation cost.15 Thus, the social cost of these avoidable accidents for 1977 totals $570 million. T h e COSTS s u m m a r i z e d here are illustrative of the order of magnitude of lost national output attributable to instability in construction. The estimated total social costs/potential savings were $5.7 billion for 1977. By the very nature of the issue, much of the cost was dif ficult to reduce to dollar terms, and there is room for argument about the size of the dollar total. What seems certain, however, is that the social benefits would justify stabilization efforts if they were feasible from an engi neering standpoint and involved the expenditure of even hundreds of millions of dollars. □ --------- FOOTNOTES---------- Reduced accident rates 1The President’s Conference on Unemployment, Seasonal Operation in the Construction Industries: The Facts & Remedies (New York, McGraw-Hill, 1924). Another potential gain from stabilization would oc cur if productivity increases as a result of the more in tensive—more days per year—use of resources. There are a number of reasons to believe that such may be the case. Training on the job through apprenticeship pro 2 Robert J. Myers and Sol Swerdloff, “Seasonality and Construc tion,” Monthly Labor Review, September 1967, p. 2. Calculations for 1977 indicate that this statement was still valid, and that employment in furniture and fixtures could be added to motor vehicle employment to more accurately match the change in construction employment. 3See Social Costs o f Instability in Construction: A Preliminary Report, 56 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Office of Construction Industry Services, U.S. Department of Labor, April 1979. 4 D. Quinn Mills, Industrial Relations and Manpower in Con struction (Cambridge, Mass., M.I.T. Press, 1972), p. 4. 5Unemployed construction workers probably qualify for other transfer programs such as food stamps which involve administrative costs. 6John W. Kendrick, The National Wealth o f the United States by Major Sector and Industry, Washington: The Conference Board, March 1976. According to Kendrick: “Wealth, or its synonym ‘capi tal’, is generally defined as income— and/or output-producing capaci ty for the current and future years . . . [I]n this study . . . we are con fining the measures of wealth to the conventional tangible, nonhuman categories of domestic structures, equipment, inventory stocks . . .” (p. 10). 7Specifically, we used tapes from the 1973 BLS Economic Growth Model on the assumption that the direct requirement coefficients were stable from 1973 to 1977. The sectors are residential, nonresidential building, public utilities, highways, and other construction. 8Adam Smith developed this theory quite thoroughly in Book I of the Wealth o f Nations. It has an extensive literature, and it is treated in most elementary economics texts. ’ It was assumed that some of the existing differential compensated for more difficult working conditions or a greater degree of skill or versatility required in construction, or both. 10 Howard Hayghe, Job Tenure o f Workers, January 1973, Special Labor Force Report 172, Bureau of Labor Statistics. " Norman Root and Michael Hoefer, “The first work-injury data available from new BLS study,” Monthly Labor Review, January 1979, pp. 76-80. 12One of the earliest demonstrations of this relationship was in a 1918 study by Lucian Choney and Hugh Hanna, published as report number 234 by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Other studies reaching the same conclusion include E. L. Humke, “First Month Found Most Dangerous,” Personnel Journal, Vol. 14, 1936; H. M. Vernon, “Pre vention of Accidents,” British Journal o f Industrial Medicine, Vol. 2, No. 1, 1945; A. M. Adestein, “Accident Proneness: A Criticism of the Concept Based on Analysis of Shunter’s Accidents,” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, Volume 115, 1952; and R. H. Van Zelst, “Effect of Age and Experience on Accident Rates,” Journal of Applied Psychology, Vol. 38, 1954. 13 Computation of this figure is more fully detailed in Social Costs of Instability in Construction: A Preliminary Report, Section II-E. 14Costs for the United States are estimated at $14 billion by the So cial Security Administration, and BLS Bulletin 1830, Occupational In juries and Illnesses by Industry, 1972, places the number of lost workdays in contract construction at 10.67 percent of the total for the United States. 15This figure is given and justified by H. W. Heinrich, Industrial Accident Prevention, A Scientific Approach, 3d edition (New York, McGraw-Hill, 1950), p. 50. Heinrich states that the cost is probably higher in construction. Youth in the work world No country is satisfied that its youth know enough about the work world, and young people frequently concur in this judgement, acknowledging that they make impor tant educational and occupational decisions on impulse or by chance. As significant as the gaps in knowledge are the false and overglamorized images implanted by the media and the erroneous or limited ideas conveyed by peers, par ents, and relatives. While no segment of the youth popula tion is free of these distortions, it is generally agreed that young people from low socioeconomic or disadvantaged backgrounds and minority populations have the greatest deficiencies of information and the least opportunity to ob tain reliable information through informal sources. To say this does not refute the related finding that these groups also may have the most meager opportunities and the least inclination to seek and use objective, broad, long-range in formation. The negative consequences of faulty or incomplete infor mation are repeatedly cited. During the preparatory education-training period, excessive enrollments in certain https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis courses, changes of courses, and dropping out reflect poor or insufficient information. Later on, difficulty in making decisions, unemployment, failure to enter the labor force, geographical immobility, employment below capacity, fre quent job changing, loss of income, and other adverse experiences are attributed to inadequate information. Anxi ety, fear, indifference, uncertainty, poor performance, irresponsibility, and dissatisfaction before and after enter ing work are additional dimensions. Berating the attitudinal and informational deficiencies of youth, employers compound the problem by a reluctance to hire or train young workers and a readiness to dismiss them. — B e a t r ic e G. R e u b e n s Bridges to Work: International Comparisons o f Transition Services (Montclair, N.J., Allanheld, Osmun & Co., Publishers, Inc., 1977), p. 51. I 57 Conventions Meany farewell, bid to Auto Workers, Teamsters mark AFL-CIO convention Eugene H. Becker George Meany, president of the American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations for 24 years, said goodby to the “house of labor” he helped to found in a keynote address to the 13th biennial conven tion of the A FL-C IO in Washington, D.C. And true to form he assured all critics that the labor movement is “alive and well” and, adding in a pugnacious note, “ready to do battle with any foe who would destroy it.” But the retiring Meany, also warned the 895 dele gates to the convention, November 15-20, to beware of simply defending the status quo, while exhorting them to “constantly look to the future” for fresh leadership and ideas. Perhaps anticipating that Lane Kirkland, his successor, would invite some of the major independent unions back into the fold, Meany said there are “plenty of rooms in the house of labor,” enough to house all or ganizations of workers. Later in the convention this theme was to be more forcefully picked up by Kirkland. (On January 10, Meany died at the age of 85.) Kirkland elected president The convention elected a new team of leaders, headed by former secretary-treasurer Kirkland as president and Thomas R. Donahue, former executive assistant to Meany, as secretary-treasurer. The ascendancy of two staff assistants (Kirkland held Donahue’s job from 1960 to 1969) to the two top jobs was itself a break with tra dition. They were elected, however, with a unanimity which was as much a tradition for the A FL-C IO as it was an expression of one last bow to the wishes of George Meany. Kirkland had long been touted as heir apparent to George Meany and in September when Meany formally announced his retirement, the mantle of leadership passed easily to his protege Kirkland deEugene H. Becker is an economist in the Division of Industrial Rela tions, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 58 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis spite some nascent grumbling and a reported bid for the presidential post by Operating Engineers President J. C. Turner. However, Meany made known to Turner his in tention to nominate Kirkland at the convention, a fact of political life Turner accepted.1 Donahue joined the staff of the A FL-C IO in 1973, after serving as a vice president with the Service Em ployees International Union. His election as secretarytreasurer was unanimous. Martin J. Ward, president of the Plumbers Union, had earlier expressed an interest in the secretary-treasurer’s job, but when Kirkland en dorsed Donahue, Ward bowed out. The only other elections involved members of the A FL -C IO ’s executive council. Following its usual prac tice, the council appointed a nominating committee just prior to the opening of the convention to recommend names for four vacancies on the council. The four new executive council members, elected unanimously, along with the 29 others are: Presidents John DeConcini of the Bakery, Confectionary, and Tobacco Workers; Wayne Glenn of the International Paperworkers Union; Robert Goss of the Oil, Chemical and Atomic Workers; and Daniel Maroney of the Amalgamated Transit Union. In the years since the 1977 convention, the council also added two other members, Fred Kroll, president of the Railway Clerks who filled a vacancy created by the death of Hal C. Davis of the Musicians in 1977, and John J. O’Donnell, president of the Air Line Pilots, who filled a vacancy created by the resigna tion of Joseph Tonelli of the Paperworkers in 1978. In his acceptance speech, Kirkland suggested that the Federation would welcome those unions presently out side of it. Without mentioning names, he seemed to be referring to two unions in particular— the Teamsters, and the United Auto Workers— whose present mem bership is about 20 percent that of the AFL-CIO. George Meany’s policy on readmission was to consider it if it were requested. Kirkland issued an invitation in these terms: “All sinners belong in church; all citizens owe fealty to their country . . . and all true unions be long in the American Federation of Labor and Con gress of Industrial Organizations.” Saying that he has too high a regard for the leaders outside the fold to be lieve that they can “really be governed by petty person- al or pecuniary considerations, or ancient and tedious grudges,” the Federation is thriving despite “the ab sence of their contribution to the common weal.” He reminded them, too, that “their pride and pelf do not equal what they are missing . . . because everything out side the A FL-C IO is really Hoboken.” Douglas Fraser, president of the Auto Workers, took exception to Kirkland’s remarks, saying, “the un fortunate choice of words was a setback.”2 Teamster President Frank E. Fitzsimmons was more guarded, however, commenting, “The larger question of our reaffiliation is not immediately answerable. I can only say that we do not look upon the . . . question light ly.”3 Carter joins in salute to Meany George Meany had been the only president of the A FL-C IO since the merger of the two labor organiza tions in 1955. His influence in the American social and political arena has been great, spanning three-score years of activism. He has been counted among labor’s most effective leaders. All convention speakers, delegates as well as guests, noted Meany’s accomplishments and contributions and bade him farewell. He was extolled in speech and some pageantry, not without sentiment and nostalgia and the assurance that the principles which the A FL-C IO had followed for 24 years would be preserved and advanced under a new leadership. In his acceptance speech, Kirk land summed up this idea with a single phrase, “Full ahead, steady as she goes.” President Jimmy Carter, the Secretaries of Labor, and Health, Education and Welfare, the minority and ma jority leaders of the House and Senate, and many oth ers paid tribute to Meany’s contributions to the betterment of working men and women across the Na tion. However, leading all others in this paean was Lane Kirkland when he rose in support of resolution 265 which, among other things, gave Meany, as presi dent emeritus, a salary for life equal to that of the presi dent and honored him for his devotion to the labor movement over the years. (The Federation’s constitu tion specifies 60 percent.) Kirkland said the “life work of this one valiant man would do honor to a dozen men, if divided among their histories.” And again using the vocabulary of the maritime industry in which he served, he went on to say that the salient features of Meany’s record “en lighten and point like a lubber’s line of a compass to the principles we must not let go of if we are to keep the faith.” Mergers transform A F L -C IO Significant social and economic changes since the founding convention of the A FL-C IO in 1955 have https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis had an impact on the nature and structure of the Feder ation. Changes occurring in the workplace, for example, are quite important to organized labor, because as tech nology moves in, the structure and nature of the work changes. Production-related workers in factories and plants are being replaced by clerical, administrative, and professional and technical employees at all levels of the economy. This means the old-line AFL and CIO craft and industrial unions that provided virtually all of the membership base of the labor movement 24 years ago may be “slow growth” organizations in the future. However, this is only one area of visible change since the merger. A part of the groundwork for the merged A FL-CIO was laid in 1953 with the negotiation of a no-raiding agreement between the AFL and CIO. Subsequently, this agreement was embodied in the Federation’s consti tution. Member unions organizing in the same jurisdic tion are encouraged to merge, and although merger is not to be dictated, Meany made a point of calling for it at all subsequent conventions. To date, there have been about 50 mergers, the largest and one of the most re cent occurring in June between the Retail Clerks and the Meat Cutters to form the United Food and Com mercial Workers with a combined membership of about 1.2 million. As a result of these actions, the number of A FL-C IO affiliates dropped from 138 in 1955 to 103 in 1979. The structure of the A FL-C IO has also changed in the past quarter century. At its birth, the executive council had 27 members in addition to the president and secretary-treasurer, and since then has increased to 33. Furthermore, the number of trade and industrial de partments has grown. Three new departments have been added since 1955: Food and Beverage Trade De partment; Department for Professional Employees; and the Public Employee Department. Their formation re flects the increased attention organized labor is giving to groups considered “not organizable” in the past and reflects, as well, the changing nature of the work force. Among the targets for organizing drives listed by Mea ny in 1955 were teachers, white-collar workers, and government employees. Among the last group, member ship in A FL-C IO affiliates has increased almost four fold since 1956, from about 700,000 to almost 2.5 million in 1978. High on the agenda of the A FL-C IO at its founding was the issue of civil rights. It was then couched in terms of encouraging “all workers without regard to race, creed, color, national origin, or ancestry to share in the full benefits of union organization.”4 In a 1973 constitutional amendment, sex was added to the list. An additional and continuing emphasis is being placed on affirmative action and equal employment opportuni ty programs “designed to open opportunities in the 59 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Conventions workplace that were previously closed to minorities and women.”5 Singled out in this respect was a major civil rights resolution, “Equal Pay for Work of Comparable Value.” This resolution noted the continuing growth in the differentials between men’s and women’s wages and the undervaluation of the work that women have histor ically performed. The resolution urged efforts to correct these inequalities. Kirkland used the occasion of this resolution to in form the delegates of an allied action taken by the exec utive council that would explore ways and means by which the “great contribution and role of women and minorities might be better reflected in that highly visible and important” body, that is, the executive council. The council agreed to establish a special committee to deter mine how women, blacks, and Hispanics might become members of the executive council. What the outcome will be is yet unclear because the council has generally been a white male preserve, limited to the presidents of affiliated unions. However, the only constitutional re quirement for membership on the council is election to the A FL-C IO as vice president, and this is open to any member of an affiliated union.6 Obstacles to organizing Organizing the unorganized was of as much concern at the 1979 convention as it was in 1955, though the emphasis was different. At the founding convention the resolution on the subject established the goal of doub ling union membership in the years to come as well as revising the Taft-Hartley Act, which has long been looked upon by labor as an important cause of orga nizing reverses. Neither goal has been met; in those areas the A FL-C IO has suffered numerous setbacks. The 1979 convention called for a strengthening of existing organizing programs, and the development and expansion of new programs. One resolution decried the increasing effectiveness of anti-union consultants, de scribed by the executive council as “a new growth indus try of union-busting ‘labor-management consultants’— lawyers, psychologists, and other specialists— who de pend for their livelihood on defeating or frustrating workers who seek to form unions and bargain collective ly . . . through every legal and often illegal means . . . .” The resolution called on affiliates to report activi ties of anti-union consultants to the Federation’s Department of Organizing and Field Services. It also called for legislation to deny consultants the use of tax exempt public and private colleges as a forum to pro mote “programs teaching employers how to violate the Nation’s labor relations laws, which recognize workers’ rights to organize and to bargain collectively.” While the 1955 goal of doubling membership in the A FL-C IO may have been optimistic, the Federation has managed to increase its membership base, but only mar 60 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ginally. The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ biennial survey of union membership for 1956 showed a total A FL CIO membership of 16.8 million. The 1978 survey re ported a preliminary figure of about 17 million. Howev er, the 1978 data exclude the Teamsters, expelled from the A FL-C IO in 1957 under the ethical practices provi sions of the Federation’s constitution, and the Auto Workers which withdrew in 1968. These two unions re ported a total membership of 3.4 million in 1978 and 2.7 million in 1956. Adjusting the 1956 A FL-C IO member ship figures to exclude the Teamsters and the Auto Workers provides a more realistic idea of organizing gains since 1956.7 As a further assist to effective organizing, the dele gates pledged anew their founding convention resolve to repeal Section 14(b) of the Taft-Hartly Act, which gives precedence to State laws concerning union security which are more restrictive than those of the Federal Act. Recalling that the Senate in 1978 was not able to muster sufficient votes to cut off a filibuster on the pro posed labor law reform bill, which among other things would have repealed the offending Section, Senator Robert C. Byrd, D-W.Va., treated the delegates to a lesson in “the new math:” To invoke cloture, he said, 60 votes are needed, not a simple majority of 51. He then suggested that if organized labor “ . . . can’t get 60 votes to invoke cloture, you won’t be able to pass the legislation.” The delegates adopted a resolution on la bor law reform calling for legislation “narrow enough to be put to a vote and yet broad enough to be worthy of our support and passage.” Safeguarding collective bargaining laws Beyond the usual resolution in favor of free collective bargaining and higher wages and fringe benefits, the founding convention had little to offer in the way of pre scriptive advice. As has long been a tradition, the Feder ation assumes no direct responsibilities in this area which is of more direct concern to the individual unions. Nevertheless, the A FL-C IO does attempt to safeguard or improve the framework of laws or administrative ac tions under which collective bargaining functions. In this regard the convention voiced its strong opposi tion to President Carter’s program of wage guidelines announced in October 1978 as frustrating collective bargaining. At the same time, the delegates gave guard ed approval to the “national accord” recently reached between the Administration and the AFL-CIO. The accord for the first time established for labor “an acknowledged central role in the development of nation al and social economic policy.”8 It conditions labor’s participation in a voluntary anti-inflation program on a “more equitable low-wage exemption, a system for hear ing appeals and broader participation in the develop ment of wage standards . . .”9 However, because the A FL-C IO has equal represen tation on the Pay Advisory Committee (established by the “national accord”) which provides public participa tion and advice to the Council on Wage and Price Sta bility, it can now influence collective bargaining policy. The Pay Advisory Committee has as its responsibility to recommend changes in the basic 7 percent pay stan dard, the inflation assumption to use for evaluating au tomatic wage escalator contract clauses, the treatment of allied collective bargaining relationships, and the proper standard for workers not covered by wage esca lator clauses.10 The “national accord,” nevertheless, is not seen as a first step toward a program of mandatory wage and price controls. A clue regarding the potential difficulties in fully implementing the accord is found in a statement contained in a resolution on the national economy: “An overall anti-inflation program must be developed that is comprehensive, effective, and fair. If there is to be sacrifice, it must be shared according to the ability of groups in society to shoulder the sacrifice. If there is a need for a mandatory program of controls with the pen alties for non-compliance, it should be a specifically legis lated program of across-the-board controls, covering every source of income including profits, dividends, rents, interest rates, executive compensation, professional fees, as well as wages and prices.” Action on the floor Underlying the harmony at the convention was the fact that all substantive policy decisions had been agreed to by various committees before the delegates voted as a whole. With only a few exceptions, the 309 resolutions were unanimously adopted without debate, or returned to executive council for further consider ation. The Musicians union led by Victor W. Fuentealba, had objected to the across-the-board 3-cent increase in monthly per capita dues and suggested, instead, a 2-tier tax structure to aid certain unions, the Musicians among them. The dues increase, from 16 to 19 cents, was recommended by the executive council just prior to the opening of the convention.11 Claiming that the Mu sicians were faced with a unique set of problems— 75 percent of their members are either unemployed or work part time at their jobs, that the National Labor Relations Board has ruled that musicians working in hotels, lounges, nightclubs, or catering houses, are not considered employees and thus are prohibited from picketing because of the lack of an employer-employee relationship, and that the union itself is over $1 million in debt— the union asked to be exempted from the across-the-board dues increase. Fuentealba indicated that if the convention did not concur “there soon may be another empty room in that house.” Kirkland took this as a direct threat to disaffiliate https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and dug for precedent into the Federation’s history books to reiterate A FL-C IO policy. Citing a similar threat in 1912, faced by Samuel Gompers, he noted that Gompers’ solution was to enjoin the executive council of the AFL from “taking any action whatsoever on the request of the brothers until such threat is withdrawn.” A similar threat was made in 1961 and George Meany, citing the 1912 incident, said it was still the policy of the A FL-C IO not to bow to threats. To a round of ap plause from the delegates, Kirkland said “I again state that that is the continuing policy of the A FL-C IO .” When finally the issue came to a voice vote, the conven tion rejected the Musicians’ resolution for a 2-tier tax structure. Displeased with the direction of many Carter Admin istration programs dealing with unemployment, in flation, recession, and taxes, the delegates approved a comprehensive resolution on the subject. Stating that the economy is saddled with the “twin evils of recession and continued high inflation,” the resolution called for halting the downturn of the economy so that it “may reach its full potential of full employment, production, and real income.” It went on to list a number of specific measures needed to meet the problems of recession and inflation, including a Federal stimulus to expand the economy and cut unemployment, tax reform, and the adoption or acceleration of government programs designed to provide jobs for the Nation’s unemployed. Fearing that the Administration proposals to cut back certain social security benefits in 1979 were a “tri al balloon for what may be a larger effort” in 1980, the Report of the Executive Council said the program must be kept on a sound financial basis and that there is a need to strengthen its basic protections. The Report urged Congress to adopt a number of improvements to the program: Adjust benefits biannually instead of once a year; provide an occupational definition of disability for workers age 55 or over because these workers have little chance to obtain employment in an occupation, es pecially during periods of high unemployment; permit early retirement at age 60 but “with less than the full actuarial reduction in benefits;” and reevaluate benefit problems associated with women. The Report also went on record as opposing universal social security coverage for Federal, State, and local workers unless their pres ent pension benefits are not reduced, the identity of those plans is not lost, and there is no diminution in the opportunity of government employees to improve their retirement systems in the future. Picking up a page from the 1977 convention, the del egates again adopted resolutions to develop alternative energy sources, conserve energy, and protect the envi ronment. But because of the changes in the energy sup ply situation since 1977 and record profits of many large oil companies, there was an equally strong call for 61 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Conventions the nationalization of the oil industry and the adoption of a windfall profits tax of 85 percent. The delegates also called for the establishment of a single governmen tal agency to determine the amount of oil to be imported, to negotiate its price directly with the OPEC cartel, and to allocate it throughout the United States. Alternative energy sources should not be limited to coal and nuclear energy, the delegates urged. They should also include a host of renewable resources such as wind, solar, tidal, and geothermal energy, and various new areas of potential energy including waste matter, oil shale, tar sands, and synthetic fuels. The nonreturnable bottle industry again got convention support. Fearing that any government legislation designed to restrict or prohibit the use of nonreturnable containers could cost as many as 60,000 jobs, the delegates advised a hands off policy in this regard. They also supported the 5-year accelerated Federal grants-in-aid program under the Clean Water Act to state and local governments. This act, designed to eliminate the national backlog of water and sewer projects, in addition to improving the Na tion’s water quality, would also create many jobs. FOOTNOTES 1“Turner Says He Won’t Run Against Kirkland For Chief of A F L CIO,” The Wall Street Journal, Oct. 18, 1979, p. 27. 2 “Kirkland Leaves Meany Shadow,” 25, 1979. The New York Times, Nov. 3 “Kirkland Takes Reigns, Urges Key Unions to Join,” by Warren Brown, The Washington Post, Nov. 20, 1979, p. A -2 . ’ Joseph W. Bloch, “Founding Convention of the A F L -C IO ,” Monthly Labor Review, February 1956, pp. 141-149. 5Report of the AFL-CIO Executive Council, 1979, p. 194. 6 See A F L -C IO Constitution, Art. V, Sec. 2. 7Various newpaper accounts report current A F L -C IO membership as 13.6 million. This figure is based on per capita tax reports to the 62 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis A F L -C IO and excludes all foreign members of A F L -C IO affiliates. The BLS figures cited include these members. For the U.S., A F L CIO reported membership in 1978 was 15.6 million, or 69 percent of the organized work force. 8 Lane Kirkland, Comments in support of Resolution 265, “George Meany,” A F L -C IO Convention, November 16, 1979. 9AFL-CIO Resolutions, Thirteenth Convention, 1979, pp. 5 -6 . 10Leon Bornstein, “Developments in Industrial Relations,” Monthly Labor Review, November 1979, pp. 58-61. " A 3-cent increase was approved at the 1975 convention and again in 1977, both to offset current and expected deficits. The 1979 in crease is to offset anticipated deficits of about $4.3 million over the next 2 years. M ajor Agreements Expiring Next M onth This list of collective bargaining agreements expiring in March is based on contracts on file in the Bureau’s Office of Wages and Industrial Relations. The list includes agreements covering 1,000 workers or more. Employer and location Allied Employers, Inc. (King-Snohomish Counties, W a s h .) ........................... American Airlines, Inc., Ground Service (Interstate)2 ..................................... A nchor Hocking Corp. (Interstate) ..................................................................... Associated General Contractors of America, Inc.: Connecticut C h a p t e r ........................................................................................ Maryland Chapter ........................................................................................... San A ntonio Chapter (T e x a s )........................................................................ Industry Number of workers U n io n 1 Retail t r a d e ................................... Food and Commercial Workers ........... Air transportation ..................... Transport W o rk e rs ................................... Stone, clay, and glass products . Glass Bottle B lo w ers................................ 4,000 12,500 5,000 C o n stru c tio n ................................ C a rp e n te rs................................................... C o n stru c tio n ................................ C a rp e n te rs ................................................... 1,100 2,450 1,300 Borg-Warner Corp., W arner Gear Division (Muncie, Ind.) ........................... Brockway Glass Co., Inc. (In te rsta te )................................................................... Builders Association of Missouri, 2 agreements (Kansas and Missouri) . . . Building Managers Association of Chicago (Illin o is)........................................ Transportation equipment . . . . Stone, clay, and glass products . C o n stru c tio n ................................ Real estate ................................... Auto Workers ( I n d . ) ................................ Glass Bottle B lo w ers................................ Laborers; and Teamsters ( I n d .) ............. Service Employees ................................... 1,400 7,500 5,600 5,000 California Metal Trades Association (Northern California) ........................... Campbell Soup Co. (Camden, N . J . ) ..................................................................... Carter County Fibers, Inc., Viscose Plant (Elizabethton, T e n n .) ................... Cincinnati Gas and Electric Co., and Subsidiaries (Ohio) ............................. Commonwealth Edison Co. (Illinois) ................................................................... Connecticut Construction Industries Association, Inc.: Heavy and Highway work (Connecticut) ................................................... Heavy and Highway work (Connecticut) ................................................... 5 Divisions (Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island) ..................... Fabricated metal products . . . . Food p ro d u c ts ............................. C h e m ic a ls..................................... Utilities ........................................ Utilities ........................................ M ac h in ists................................................... Food and Commercial Workers ........... Textile Workers ........................................ Independent Utilities U n i o n ................... Electrical Workers (IBEW) ................... 3,000 1,500 1,400 1,150 5,300 C o n stru c tio n ................................ C o n stru c tio n ................................ C o n stru c tio n ................................ C a rp e n te rs................................................... Bricklayers ................................................ Operating Engineers ................................ 6,100 2,500 2,500 Dairy Employers Labor Council (Washington) ................................................ Food p ro d u c ts ............................. Teamsters ( I n d .) ................... 1,000 Glass Containers Corp. (Interstate) ...................................................................... Gould, Inc. (Philadelphia, Pa.) .............................................................................. Grower-Shipper Vegetable Association, Packinghouse Agreement (California) Stone, clay and glass products . Electrical p r o d u c ts ..................... Wholesale t r a d e ........................... Glass Bottle B lo w ers................................ A uto Workers ( I n d . ) ................................ Food and Commercial Workers ........... 3,100 2,800 1,000 H. J. Heinz Co., Heinz U.S.A. (Pittsburgh, P a .) ................................................ Heavy Construction Association of Greater Kansas City Area (Kansas and Missouri) Food p ro d u c ts ............................. C o n stru c tio n ................................ Food and Commercial Workers ........... L a b o r e r s ...................................................... 1,800 1,500 Imperial and 3 others Negotiating Committee (California and Arizona) . . . Indian Head, Inc. (I n te r s ta te )................................................................................ Industrial Conference Board, grocery stores (Pierce County, W a s h .) ........... ITT Continental Baking Co. (Crozet, Va.) ........................................................ Agricultural se rv ic e s ................... Stone, clay and glass products . Retail t r a d e ................................... Food p ro d u c ts ............................. Food and Commercial Workers ........... Glass Bottle B lo w ers................................ Food and Commercial Workers ........... Teamsters ( I n d .) ........................................ 2,000 2,300 1,600 1,000 Liggett Group, Inc. (Durham, N.C.) ................................................................... T o b a c c o ........................................ Bakery, Confectionery and Tobacco Workers 1,650 Metal Trades Independent Companies (California)2 ........................................ Michigan Distribution Contractors Association (M ic h ig a n )........................... Milwaukee Transport Services, Inc. (Milwaukee, W i s . ) ................................... Moore Co., Inc. (Chicopee and Springfield, M a s s .)........................................... Moving and Storage Industry (New York, New Jersey and Connecticut)3 . Fabricated metal products . . . . C o n stru c tio n ................................ T r a n s i t ........................................... Primary metals ........................... T ru c k in g ........................................ M ac h in ists................................................... L a b o r e r s ...................................................... Transit Union ........................................... Directly Affiliated Unions ..................... Teamsters ( I n d .) ........................................ 2,450 2,000 1,200 1,350 2,300 National Broadcasting Co., Inc. (Interstate) ...................................................... National Can Co., Foster-Forbes Glass Co. Division ( I n te r s ta te ) ................ C o m m u n ic atio n ........................... Broadcast Employees and Technicians . Stone, clay and glass products . Glass Bottle Blowers . . . ......................... 1,550 2,000 1,600 Owens-Illinois, Inc.: (California and O re g o n )................................................................................... Forming Department (Interstate) ................................................................ Production and Maintenance (Interstate) ................................................... Stone, clay and glass products . Glass Bottle B lo w ers................................ Stone, clay and glass products . Glass Bottle B lo w ers................................ Stone, clay and glass products . Glass Bottle B lo w ers................................ 2,400 1,800 13,600 ................ 6,500 See fooi notes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Major Agreements Expiring Next Month Continued— Major Agreements Expiring Next Month Employer and location Industry Number of workers Union 1 Philadelphia Food Stores (Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and D elaw are)1 . . . . Retail t r a d e ................................... Food and Commercial Workers Restaurant-Hotel Employers' Council of Southern California, Inc. (California) R e sta u ra n ts................................... Hotel and Restaurant Employees ........... 2,500 2,000 .... 9,000 1,200 5,600 Union Carbide Corp. (Texas City, T e x . ) .............................................................. United Super Market Association (Detroit, M ic h .)........................................... C h e m ic a ls..................................... Retail t r a d e ................................... Directly Affiliated Unions ..................... Food and Commercial Workers ........... 1,600 11,000 Weatherhead Co. (Indiana and O h io ) ................................................................... West Coast Envelope Employers Council (C alifo rn ia)...................................... Transportation equipment . . . Auto Workers ( I n d . ) ................................ P a p e r .............................................. Printing and G ra p h ic s ............................. 2,000 1,000 1,000 4.600 Government activity Ohio: Cuyahoga County Hospital, nonprofessional employees ..................... M ultidepartment ........................ Ohio: Cuyahoga County Welfare Department ................................................... M ultidepartment ........................ 'Affiliated with A F L -C IO except where noted as independent (Ind.). 'Information is from newspaper reports. 64 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Em ployee organization 1 State, County and Municipal Employees State, County and Municipal Employees 'Industry area (group of companies signing same contract). 2,800 1,500 Book Reviews Now we know how— but can we? The World Economy: History and Prospect. By W. W. Rostow. Austin, University of Texas Press, 1978. 833 pp. $34.50. Getting From Here to There: America's Future in the World Economy. By W. W. Rostow. New York, McGraw-Hill Book Co., 1978. 271 pp. $14.95. These two books are complementary. In The World Economy, Professor Rostow starts back in the 18th cen tury and carries the history down to 1977. In the sec ond book, he projects the economic outlook through the next quarter century to the year 2000. The first book, a comprehensive history of more than 800 pages, traces the various aspects of population dy namics and economic growth over the last two centu ries. World population grew at a rate of about 0.5 percent a year up to the year 1900; doubled to 1.0 per cent during 1930-50; and then doubled again to 2.0 percent, 1960-70. These developments are analyzed by Rostow, showing that it has been the spectacular de cline in death rates throughout the world which has brought about the population explosion. The author analyzes industrial growth and its diffusion throughout the world, with emphasis on the growth of international trade and makes a more de tailed analysis of the stages of economic growth in each of 20 countries, starting with Great Britain and the United States afid ending with Taiwan, Thailand, and South Korea. Professor Rostow devotes a chapter to balanced and unbalanced growth over the last two centuries, followed by a chapter on business cycles, starting with the 18th century, 1700-1783; and followed by the Classic era, 1783-1914; and then by recent developments down to 1973. He closes the historical book with a section on the Future of the World Economy, focusing on the “Fifth Kondratieff Upswing” which is projected for the last quarter of the 20th century. (Kondratieff was a fa mous Russian historian executed in the mid-1930’s by Stalin, who had no use for scholars.) So the second book (subtitle: America's Future in the World Economy) opens with a restatement of the longrange business cycles originated by Kondratieff and car https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ried forward by Rostow. Here are the original cycles with Rostow’s continuations: Kondratieff 1790-1815 1815-1848 1848-1872 1872-1896 1896-1920 1920-1930 Rostow up down up down up down 1920-1933 1933-1951 1951-1972 1972-1977 1977-2000 down up down up up? Kondratieff’s idea was that long-range economic cy cles covered about half a century, up and then down. But Rostow pointed out that World War II changed the down cycle into a worldwide upturn, which then gave way to a typical postwar downturn, 1952-1972. Following the severe recession, 1974-75, there has been an upturn, which was still underway in 1979. Rostow’s thesis is that this could be the beginning of a quartercentury worldwide upturn. He then proceeds to make the case for such a prospect. In passing, Rostow devotes a chapter to the “Bank ruptcy of Neo-Keynesian Economics”. Keynes original ly had a classical economist’s view of business upturns and downturns. But after World War I, the unionized workers in Great Britain forced a general strike in 1926, which prevented normal wage reductions. Keynes then developed the theory that rising consumer incomes would create effective demand for goods and services, which, in turn, prevented a worldwide depression after World War II. However, Keynes had no formula for restraining the economy during inflation. As Rostow states, “It will no longer suffice to focus obsessively on the indiscriminate expansion of effective demand . . . the world of the 1970’s and 1980’s cannot afford to waste manpower . . . every man and woman available in the working forces of the advanced industri al economies (must) be put to work on high-priority tasks . . . an extravagant, neo-Keynesian policy makes neither economic nor political sense.” The greatest crisis facing the next quarter century is the population explosion versus limited food produc tion. The world population in 1977 was about 4.0 bil lion; by the year 2000 it will be 6.5 billion. On the contrary, world food production is failing to keep pace. MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Book Reviews The United States and Canada are the only countries in the world with substantial food exports to the hungry nations. Great efforts are being made, locally and inter nationally, to stimulate higher productivity in agricul ture. Futhermore, there is need for an ever-normal granary (such as the United States developed in the 1930’s) in order to avoid the wild price fluctuations of the 1970’s. Improved agriculture can help the food problem, but it must be supplemented by better popula tion control in many nations. Rostow then tackles the energy problem, which he la bels “A Test of the Democratic Process.” When oil prices exploded in 1973-1974, the world economy was shaken into a depression. But the actions of the oil importing governments failed to match the problem. The United States was the worst performer, upping its imports from 4 million to 8 million barrels per day by 1977. Furthermore, in the United States, the Adminis tration’s national energy plan projects such low prices for natural gas that there is little prospect for gas as a solution to the energy problem. However, Rostow cites technological advances which hold great promise for the longer future— the liquidmetal, fast-breeder reactor, the possibility of fusion, and the eventual solution of solar energy. He closes on a hopeful note: “The human race faces in the generation ahead, therefore, the greatest challenge it has confronted since modern industrialization began in the late 18th century: the challenge of creating a new, hopefully infinite and non-polluting source of energy.” Raw materials are a major factor in the Kondratieff cycles. In the down phase they become plentiful and cheap. In 1972, for example, the price index for raw materials was only 122; but by 1976 it was 214, not far from double. The shortage was brought about by a slackening of investment in the 1960’s combined with the new governmental regulations dealing with the envi ronment, health, and safety. The domestic U.S. situation was further complicated by international developments. That well-advertised study on Limits to Growth had forecast a world-wide long-run shortage of many basic raw materials—cop per, lead, zinc, molybdenum, and gold. But a table published by the U.S. Geological Survey in 1973 showed that, at present rates of annual consumption, metals such as coal, iron, uranium, and especially alu minium are in ample supply for thousands of years. The real problem is distribution. Minerals are often highly concentrated in a few countries (such as lead in Peru) which then may be able to exact a monopoly price. One possible solution is a broad international agreement for fair sharing. Another solution is the dis covery of unlimited metals on the ocean floors, on which the United Nations has been unable to get an 66 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis agreement in 5 years. Rostow’s conclusion is that the current raw materials shortage is temporary; there is an ample supply for the longer future. Productivity in the United States took a turn for the worse during the 1970’s. For decades the domestic economy had an increase in output per hour averaging 3 percent a year, which has operated to lower labor costs to that extent. But in the 1970’s, the rate fell to 1 percent and in some quarter-years to zero. A dramatic example is coal mining, which had annual increases of about 6 percent a year from 1948 to 1968, but which declined by nearly 3 percent a year in the 1970’s. Two factors are primarily responsible: first, the new health and safety standards, which raised labor costs in many industries, and second, the expansion of jobs in retail trade and the service industries, where productivi ty is low. With collective bargaining still proceeding on the assumption of substantial productivity increases, the result is a rising cost-of-living inflation. Rostow has two suggestions. First, workers should recognize that there is (temporarily) no productivity in crease for wages, and second, that major efforts should be made to stimulate productivity throughout the econ omy. The unions should recognize that this is the only solution to inflation; otherwise, rising consumer prices undermine the wage increases before the year is over. This productivity experience leads Rostow to raise the question, Is Human Creativity on the Wane? His conclusion is that the long-run future is heavily depen dent on the success of the next quarter century. The fact is that U.S. investment in research and de velopment has been declining, whereas in Germany, Ja pan, and the U.S.S.R., there are significant increases. Yet, there are many new possibilités in developmental biology, astronomy, and materials substitution, plus in ventive new directions in agriculture, energy, sea-bed mining, and the communications revolution. Such ex pansion can only be achieved by private industry. The question is whether the government will give industry the opportunity. The crucial issue is inflation. In Rostow’s words, “How to conduct anti-inflationary policy in the context of the fifth Kondratieff upswing?” There are two an swers. One is on the supply side, which is to insure that there is expanding investment in productivity, energy, food, raw materials, and research. The other is on the demand side, where noninflationary wage-price agree ments require that both labor and business accept re straints which clash with their conventional ways of operating. Rostow’s solution is long-term voluntary agreements, backed by legal reserve powers. There are three reasons why this may work. First, in public opinion polls, in flation ranks higher than unemployment as the issue of public concern. Second, serious businessmen and labor leaders know that inflation is costly to their respective interests. Third, the circumstances “require that we gen erate in American society the most important single in gredient for successful wage-price policies: a sense of common purpose.” In his final chapter, “Can Democracy Survive?”, Rostow sums up his conclusions in these terms: “In short, if we are forehanded, generate a lucid and gener ally accepted view of the Nation’s problems, and a spir it of public-private collaboration in dealing with them, there is no reason to fear that the policies required to transit with reasonable success the next quarter century would seriously compromise democratic practice and in stitutions as we have known them. But a failure to meet these conditions could endanger democratic life in the U.S. and throughout the Western world.” In this reviewer’s opinion, Professor Rostow’s analy sis of Getting From Here to There should be read by all serious professional forecasters. Inflation in 1979 is al ready double the 6-percent rate on which Rostow’s analysis was based. Furthermore, the new oil price in creases, derived from the political collapse of Iran, threaten more inflation. The United States must act im mediately to (a) cut its imports of oil from the Middle East (b) economize in the use of gas and oil, and (c) de velop new sources of energy in the United States and the North American continent. The time is short and the crisis may come soon. Rostow shows the way—can the United States make it? — E wan Clague Consultant, former Commissioner of Labor Statistics Where the working is easy Comparative Metropolitan Employment Complexes— New York, Chicago, Los Angeles, Houston, Atlanta. By Dale L. Hiestand and Dean W. Morse. Montclair, N.J., Allanheld, Osmun and Co. Publishers, Inc., 1979. 141 pp. $21.50. Most studies of urban labor markets emphasize the features that such markets have in common. In this ex ploratory study, Dale L. Hiestand and Dean W. Morse make a significant contribution to labor economics liter ature by analyzing the effects on five large metropolitan labor markets of the differences among the areas in fac tors such as size, rate of employment growth, industrial and occupational composition of employment, extent of unionization, political climate, and work attitudes. The five metropolitan areas that the authors analyze— New York, Chicago, Los Angeles, Houston, and Atlanta— https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis contain nearly 16 percent of the U.S. labor force. Hiestand and Morse focus not only on the effects of interarea differences on traditional labor market pro cesses such as recruitment and hiring, but also on the effects of these differences on workers’ mobility within the “internal labor market” — that is, within a firm or other structured organization. Because of the vast num ber of factors that affect the labor market in each met ropolitan area, the authors are unable to base their analysis on statistical correlation techniques. Instead, they present tentative cause-and-effect conclusions based on their own judgments. Hiestand and Morse present many interesting and useful findings and conclusions. For example: • Because of its rapid growth, Houston had 10 per cent of its labor force employed in construction in 1970 —a much higher proportion than in any of the other four areas. • For several reasons, including the high educational standards in the white-collar industries in which New York specializes, young men enter the labor force there at a distinctly later age than in any of the other areas. • A worker’s initial job determines his career pros pects to a greater extent in the slow-growing New York area than in any of the other areas. The book has two minor faults. First, some of the analysis is superficial. For example, on page 99, the au thors observe, “The number of women employed as op eratives failed to increase past age 29 in the New York area, reflecting perhaps the decline of manufacturing in the city.” It seems to me that the presence of a declin ing manufacturing sector that could not provide jobs for new labor force entrants would be just as consistent with an aging work force as it is with a work force that is growing younger. Furthermore, the increase only in young female operatives in New York probably has as much to do with the age composition of the ethnic groups that supply these operatives as it does with any factor on the demand side of the labor market. The authors’ discussion of the contrasting work atti tudes in the five metropolitan areas contains several su perficial statements, such as “In Houston, a clever per son can make a good living without working overly hard and still enjoy the city’s night life and weekends,” and “The exodus to the shore or country on Fridays, holiday eves, and during much of the summer are (sic) observable facts of life in the New York area.” My second complaint is that some of the theoretical material in the opening chapters of the book is tedious, and adds little to the reader’s understanding of the analysis. Indeed, a savvy Houstonian or a New York manpower “maven” might even skip the first two chap ters and get a head start on his night life or weekend. 67 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Book Reviews These two faults detract only minimally from the quality and usefulness of the book. In fact, I raise these two criticisms only because I am employed in Washing ton, an area that specializes in discovering the faults of the rest of the country. — E dward Steinberg Bureau of Economic Analysis U.S. Department of Commerce Publications received Economic and social statistics Bertrand, Trent J., “Shadow Pricing in Distorted Economies,” The American Economic Review, December 1979, pp. 902 -14. Duncan, Beverly, “Change in Worker/Nonworker Ratios for Women,” Demography, November 1979, pp. 535-47. Economic Council of Canada, Two Cheers for the Eighties: Sixteenth Annual Review of the Economic Council of Can ada. Hull, Quebec, Canada, Economic Council of Cana da, 1979, 105 pp. $6.75, Canada; $8.10 other countries. Available from Canadian Government Publishing Center, Supply and Services Canada, Hull, Quebec. McNees, Stephen K., “The Forecasting Record for the 1970’s,” New England Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, September-October 1979, pp. 33-53. Nam, Charles B., “The Progress of Demography as a Scienti fic Discipline,” Demography, November 1979, pp. 48592. Plaut, Thomas R., Net Migration into Texas and its Regions: Trends and Patterns. Austin, The University of Texas, Bureau of Business Research, 1979, 54 pp., bibliography. (Research Report 1979-1.) Economic growth and development Gilland, Bernard, The Next Seventy Years: Population, Food and Resources. Tunbridge Wells, Kent, England, Abacus Press, 1979, 133 pp., bibliography. Hauser, Philip M., World Population and Development: Chal lenges and Prospects. Syracuse, N.Y., Syracuse University Press, 1979, 683 pp. $18, cloth; $9.95, paper. Kahn, Herman, World Economic Development: 1979 and Be yond. Boulder, Colo., West view Press, 1979, 519 pp. $20, cloth; $7.95, paper. Ross-Skinner, Jean with Susan Antilla, “Germany: Why It Thrives,” Dun's Review, December 1979, beginning on p. 106. Swanson, Gordon I. and Jon Michaelson, eds., Manpower Re search and Labor Economics. Beverly Hills, Calif., Sage Publications, 1979, 332 pp. $20, cloth, $9.95, paper. Health and safety Corn, Morton, “An inside view of OSHA compliance,” The Personnel Administrator, November 1979, beginning on p. 39. Mabuchi, Kiyohiko, Abraham M. Lilienfeld, Laura M. Snell, “Lung Cancer Among Pesticide Workers Exposed to In organic Arsenicals,” Archives of Environmental Health, 68 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis September-October 1979, pp. 312-20. Nemec, Margaret M„ “Preventive industrial hygiene tames oc cupational health hazards,” Occupational Hazards, September 1979, pp. 42-47. U.S. National Center for Health Statistics, Acute Conditions: Incidence and Associated Disability, United States, July 1977-June 1978. Hyattsville, Md., U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, Public Health Service, National Center for Health Statistics, 1979, 68 pp. (Vital and Health Statistics, Series 10, DHEW Publication PHS 79-1560.) For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. ----- Prevalence of Selected Chronic Digestive Conditions, Unit ed States, 1975. Hyattsville, Md., U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, Public Health Service, National Center for Health Statistics, 1979, 55 pp. (Vital and Health Statistics, Series 10, DHEW Publication PHS 79-1558.) For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. Wechsler, Henry, Nell H. Gottlieb, Harold W. Demone, Jr., “Lifestyle, Conditions of Life, and Health Care in Urban and Suburban Areas,” Public Health Reports, SeptemberOctober 1979, pp. 477-82. Industrial relations Hall, Robert E. and David M. Lilien, “Efficient Wage Bar gains under Uncertain Supply and Demand,” The Ameri can Economic Review, December 1979, pp. 868-79. Ison, Terence G., Occupational Health and Wildcat Strikes. Kingston, Ontario, Canada, Queen’s University, Industri al Relations Center, 1979, 11 pp. (Reprint Series, 45.) $3. Kruse, Scott A., “Boards of Inquiry in Health Care Disputes: New Options for the Parties,” Labor Law Journal, Octo ber 1979, pp. 603-10. Miller, Bruce A., “The National Labor Relations Act: Should Amendments Cover Public Employees?” Labor Law Jour nal, October 1979, pp. 637-42. Morales, Gerard, “The Obligation of a Multiplant Employer to Bargain on the Decision to Close One of Its Plants,” Labor Law Journal, November 1979, pp. 709-16. Pettibone, Jon E., “Preemption and Derivative Discovery in Unfair Labor Practice Proceedings,” Labor Law Journal, November 1979, pp. 689-99. Rains, Harry H., “Should Strikers Receive Unemployment In surance Benefits?” Labor Law Journal, November 1979, pp. 700-08. Smith, J. Clay Jr., “The Broadcast Industry and Equal Em ployment Opportunity,” Labor Law Journal, November 1979, pp. 659-66. Swan, Kenneth P., Professional Obligations, Employment Re sponsibilities and Collective Bargaining. Kingston, Ontar io, Canada, Queen’s University, Industrial Relations Center, 1979, 16 pp. (Reprint Series, 46.) $3. Tiefer, Charles, “OSHA’s Toxics Program Faces a Supreme Court T e s t Labor Law Journal, November 1979, pp. 680 - 88 . U.S. Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service, Impact of the 1974 Health Care Amendments to the NLRA on Col lective Bargaining in the Health Care Industry. Washing ton, U.S. Department of Labor, Labor-Management Services Administration, Federal Mediation and Concilia tion Service, Office of Research, 1979, 473 pp. Waters, Gola E. and Christine Foote Pursell, “Emotional Dis tress: The Battle Over a New Tort Under Age Discrimination Continues,” Labor Law Journal, Novem ber 1979, pp. 667-79. Industry and government organization American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, Ju dicial Discipline and Tenure Proposals. Washington, 1979, 39 pp. (AEI Legislative Analysis, 10.) $3. Riemer, Jeffrey W., Hard Hats: The Work World of Construc tion Workers. Beverly Hills, Calif., Sage Publications, 1979, 203 pp. $17.50, cloth; $7.95, paper. Russell, James S. and Warren J. Samuels, “Corporate and Public Responsibility in Environmental Policy: A Case Study,” MSU Business Topics, Autumn 1979, pp. 2332. U.S. Congress, Joint Economic Committee, Regulatory Bud geting and the Need for Cost-Effectiveness in the Regulato ry Process. Washington, 1979, 32 pp. (96th Cong., 1st sess.) Stock No. 052-070-05142-6. For sale by the Super intendent of Documents, Washington 20402. International economics U.S. Bureau of International Labor Affairs, Country Labor Pro file: New Zealand. By Joseph Mire. Washington, U.S. De partment of Labor, Bureau of International Labor Af fairs, 1979, 8 pp. 60 cents, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. Wright, Charles L. “International Comparisons of Income Levels and Growth Rates,” The Journal of Development Studies, July 1979, pp. 331-41. Labor and economic history Foner, Philip S., Women and the American Labor Movement: From Colonial Times to the Eve of World War I. New York, The Free Press, A division of Macmillian Publish ing Co., Inc., 1979, 621 pp., bibliography. $15.95. “West Europe, 1979,” Current History, November 1979, pp. 147-86. Labor force Bartel, Ann P., “The Migration Decision: What Role Does Job Mobility Play?” The American Economic Review, De cember 1979, pp. 775-86. Lloyd, Cynthia B., Emily S. Andrews, Curtis L. Gilroy, eds., Women in the Labor Market. New York, Columbia Uni versity Press, 1979, 393 pp., bibliography. $25. Nevile, John W., “How voluntary is unemployment? Two views of the Phillips curve,” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Fall 1979, pp. 110-19. Nickell, Stephen, “Estimating the Probability of Leaving Un employment,” Econometrica, September 1979, pp. 1249— 66 . O’Connell, Brian J., Blacks in White-Collar Jobs. Montclair, N.J., Allanheld, Osmun & Co., Publishers, 1979, 126 pp. $18. 19. Schlozman, Kay Lehman and Sidney Verba, Injury to Insult: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Unemployment, Class, and Political Response. Cambridge, Mass., Harvard University Press, 1979, 393 pp. $20. Smith, Ralph E., Women in the Labor Force in 1990. Wash ington, The Urban Institute, 1979, 162 pp., bibliography. (URI 24600.) $7. 19. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Geographic Profile of Employ ment and Unemployment: States, 1978; Metropolitan Areas, 1977-78. (Prepared by Russ Marshall, Anderia Thomas, and Richard Rosen.) Washington, 1979, 111 pp. (Report 571.) ----- Women in the Labor Force: Some New Data Series. (Pre pared by Janet Norwood, and Elizabeth Waldman.) Washington, 1979, 9 pp. (Report 575.) U.S. Congress, Joint Economic Committee, Employment-Un employment, Pt. 14. Hearings before the Joint Congressio nal Economic Committee. Washington, 1979, 234 pp. (96th Cong., 1st sess.) For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, Washington 20402. U.S. Employment and Training Administration, Seven Years Later: The Experiences of the 1970 Cohort of Immigrants in the United States. Washington, U.S. Department of La bor, Employment and Training Administration, 1979, 172 pp. (R&D Monograph 71.) Walsh, W. Bruce and others, “Holland’s Theory and CollegeDegreed Working Black and White Women,” Journal of Vocational Behavior, October 1979, pp. 217-23. Management and organization theory Albert, Kenneth J., Handbook of Business Problem Solving. New York, McGraw-Hill Book Co., 1980, 841 pp. $24.95. Brooks, Robin F., “Going the Clerical Route,” Public Person nel Management, September-October 1979, pp. 330-35. Herzberg, Frederick L, “New perspectives on the will to work,” The Personnel Administrator, December 1979, pp. 72-76. Homjak, William W., “Layoff rotation,” The Personnel Ad ministrator, December 1979, pp. 57-61. Jensen, Michael C. and William H. Meckling, “Rights and Production Functions: An Application to Labor-managed Firms and Codetermination,” The Journal of Business, October 1979, pp. 469-506. Koch, James L., “Effects of Goal Specificity and Performance Feedback to Work Groups on Peer Leadership, Perfor mance, and Attitudes,” Human Resources, October 1979, pp. 819-40. Lagges, James G., “The Role of Delegation in Improving Pro ductivity,” Personnel Journal, November 1979, pp. 77679. Lien, Lawrence, “Reviewing Your Training and Development Activities,” Personnel Journal, November 1979, beginning on p. 791. Lindo, David K., Supervision Can Be Easy! New York, AMACOM, A division of American Management Asso ciations, 1979, 272 pp. $14.95. Murray, Thomas J., "Where Are Tomorrow’s Top Manag ers?” Dun's Review, December 1979, pp. 98-100. Rix, Sara E., “Rethinking Retirement-Age Policy in the 69 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Book Reviews United States and Canada,” Personnel Journal, November 1979, pp. 780-88. Sanderson, George and Frederick Stepenhurst, eds., Industrial Democracy Today: A New Role for Labour. Toronto, Can ada, McGraw-Hill Ryerson, Ltd., 1979, 243 pp., bibliog raphy. $19.95. Available in the United States from McGraw-Hill, New York. Stack, Ruth H., HMOs from the Management Perspective. New York, AMACOM, a division of American Manage ment Associations, 1979, 49 pp. $5, AMA members; $7.50, others. Sweeny, Allen, ROI Basics for Nonfinancial Executives. New York, AMACOM, a division of American Management Associations, 1979, 115 pp. $9.95. The Bureau of National Affairs, Inc., Aspects of the Personnel Function: Structure, Use of Electronic Data Processing, and Professional Activities, Prepared by Mary Green Min er. Washington, The Bureau of National Affairs, Inc., 1979, 65 pp. (Personnel Policies Forum Survey, 127.) $5. Yates, Jere E., Managing Stress: A Businessperson's Guide. New York, AMACOM, a division of American Manage ment Associations, 1979, 165 pp. $12.95. Zaltman, Gerald, ed., Management Principles for Nonprofit Agencies and Organizations. New York, AMACOM, a di vision of American Management Associations, 1979, 584 pp., index. $34.95. Zimet, Melvin and Ronald G. Greenwood, eds., The Evolving Science of Management: The Collected Papers of Harold Smiddy and Papers by Others in His Honor. New York, AMACOM, a division of American Management Associ ations, 1979, 496 pp. $24.95. Monetary and fiscal policy Day, William H. L., "Domestic Credit and Money Ceilings Under Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes,” Internation al Monetary Fund Staff Papers, September 1979, pp. 490512. Feltenstein, Andrew, Morris Goldsmith, and Susan M. Schadler. "A Multilateral Exchange Rate Model for Pri mary Producing Countries, ” International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, September 1979, pp. 543-82. Gordon, Josephine G. and Robert N. Schoeplein. “Tax Im pact From Elimination of the Retirement Test, ” Social Se curity Bulletin, September 1979, pp. 22-32. Prices and living conditions Salathe, Larry E., Household Expenditure Patterns in the United States. Washington, U.S. Department of Agricul ture, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperative Service, 1979, 23 pp. (Technical Bulletin 1603.) -----Anthony E. Gallo, William T. Boehm, The Impact of Race on Consumer Food Purchases. Washington, U.S. De partment of Agriculture, Economics, Statistics, and Co operatives Service, 1979, 14 pp. -----and Rueben C. Buse, Household Food Consumption Patterns in the United States. Washington, U.S. Depart ment of Agriculture, Economics, Statistics, and Coopera tives Service, 1979, 27 pp. (Technical Bulletin 1587.) Digitized for70 FRASER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Stein, Jerome L., “The acceleration of inflation,” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics. Fall 1979, pp. 26-42. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Escalation and Producer Price Indexes: A Guide for Contracting Parties. (Prepared by Craig Howell and William Thomas.) Washington, 1979, 9 pp. (Report 570.) U.S. Department of Agriculture, Food Prices in Perspective and Summary Analysis. Washington, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, 1979, 43 and 9 pp., respective lyProductivity and technological change Adkins, Lynn, “Getting a Grip on White-Collar Produc tivity,” Dun's Review, December 1979, beginning on p. 120. Allen, Steven G., Unionized Construction Workers Are More Productive. Washington, Center to Protect Workers’ Rights, 1979, 25 pp. Grayson, C. Jackson, “Productivity’s impact on our economic future,” The Personnel Administrator, December 1979, be ginning on p. 21. Urban affairs Jennrich, John H., “Transportation 2000: How America Will Move Its People and Products,” Nation's Business, No vember 1979, pp. 34-40. Kettl, Donald F., “Can the Cities be Trusted? The Communi ty Development Experience,” Political Science Quarterly, Fall 1979, pp. 437-51. Wages and compensation Deitsch, Clarence and David Dilts, “The Shorter Standard Workweek: A Method for Circumvention of Wage and Price Controls?” Indiana Business Review, July-August 1979, pp. 12-13. Fogel, Walter, “Occupational Earnings: Market and Institu tional Influences,” Industrial and Labor Relations Review, October 1979, pp. 24-35. Hoffman, Saul D., “Black-White Life Cycle Earnings Dif ferences and the Vintage Hypothesis: A Longitudinal Analysis,” The American Economic Review, December 1979, pp. 855-67. Hyclak, Thomas, “The Effect of Unions on Earnings Inequali ty in Local Labor Markets,” Industrial and Labor Rela tions Review, October 1979, pp. 77-84. Moroney, J. R., “Do Women Earn Less Under Capitalism?” The Economic Journal, September 1979, pp. 601-13. O’Kelly, Charlotte G., “The ‘Impact’ of Equal Employment Legislation on Women’s Earnings; Limitations of Legisla tive Solutions to Discrimination in the Economy,” Ameri can Journal of Economics and Sociology, October 1979, pp. 419-30. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Area Wage Surveys: Selected Metropolitan Areas, 1977. Washington, 1979, 154 pp. (Bulletin 1950-76.) $4.75, Superintendent of Documents, Washington, 20402. --------Area Wage Surveys: Toledo, Ohio-------- Michigan, Metropolitan Area, May 1979; San Antonio, Texas, Metro politan Area. May 1979; Wichita, Kansas, Metropolitan Area, April 1979; San Jose, California, Metropolitan Area, March 1979; Atlanta, Georgia, Metropolitan Area, May 1979; Chicago, Illinois, Metropolitan Area, May 1979; Nor folk— Virginia Beach—Portsmouth, Virginia— North Car olina, Metropolitan Area, May 1979; Worcester, Massachusetts, Metropolitan Area, April 1979; Richmond, Virginia, Metropolitan Area, June 1979; Fresno, California, Metropolitan Area, June 1979; Patterson—Clifton—Passa ic, New Jersey Metropolitan Area, June 1979; Portland, Oregon— Washington Metropolitan Area, May 1979; Northeast Pennsylvania, Metropolitan Area, August 1979; Corpus Christi, Texas, Metropolitan Area, July 1979; Poughkeepsie, New York, Metropolitan Area, June 1979; Poughkeepsie—Kingston—Newburgh, New York %rea, June 1979. Washington, 1979, 30, 27, 28, 36, 42, 47, 40, 27, 31, 27, 28, 38, 43, 39, 24, 27 pp., respectively. (Bulle tins 2050-16, 2050-17, 2050-18, 2050-19, 2050-20 2050-21, 2050-22, 2050-23, 2050-24, 2050-25, 205026 2050-27, 2050-32, 2050-33, 2050-34, 2050-35.) $1.10, $1, $1, $1.10, $1.30, $1.75, $1.75, $1.50, $1.50, $1.50, $1.50, $1.75, $1.75, $1.75, $1.50, $1.50. Superin tendent of Documents, Washington 20402, GPO book stores, or BLS regional offices. --------Industry Wage Surveys: Grain Mill Products, September 1977; Computer and Data Processing Services, March 1978; Communications, October-December 1977. 54, 51, 12 pp., respectively. (Bulletins 2026, 2028, 2029.) Stock Nos. 029-001-02317-1, 029-001-02319-7, 029-001-02311-1. $2.30, $2.50, $1.10 Superintendent of Documents, Wash ington 20402. --------National Survey of Professional, Administrative, Techni cal, and Clerical Pay, March 1979. Washington 1979, 71 pp. (Bulletin 2045.) Stock No. 029-001-02403-7. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, Washington, 20402. --------Occupational Earnings and Wage Trends in Metropoli tan Areas, 1978. Washington, 1979, 7 pp. (Summary 7911.) --------Union Wages and Benefits: Local-Transit Operating Employees, 1978. (Prepared by Harry B. Williams.) Washington, 1979, 21 pp. (Bulletin 2043.) Stock No. 029-001-02407-0. For sale by the Superintendent of Doc uments, Washington 20402. Welfare programs and social insurance Adcock, George, “How Will the Recession Impact Pension Portfolios?” Pension World, August 1979, beginning on p. 8. American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, The Administration's 1979 Welfare Reform Proposal. Washing ton, 1979, 61 pp. (AEI Legislative Analysis 7.) $3. Australian Department of Social Security, “Changing Family Patterns and Social Security Protection: The Australian Scene,” The International Social Security Review, No. 1, 1979, pp. 3-20. Campbell, Colin D., Financing Social Security. Washington, American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, 1979, 352 pp. (AEI Symposia 78H.) $13.75, cloth; $6.75 paper. Cavanaugh, Thomas J., “Recognizing Inflation in Public Pen sions,” Pension World, August 1979, beginning on p. 53. Chaikin, Sol C., “Redesigning Unemployment Compensa https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tion,” The AFL-CIO American Federationist, November 1979, pp. 19-24. Chief, Elizabeth, “Need Determination in AFDC Program,” Social Security Bulletin, September 1979, pp. 11-21. Danziger, Sheldon, Irwin Garfinkel, Robert Haveman, “Pov erty, Welfare, and Earnings: A New Approach,” Chal lenge, September 1979, pp. 28-34. deLone, Richard H., “One proposal to redistribute income,” Across the Board, November 1979, pp. 33-36. Derthick, Martha, Policymaking for Social Security. Washing ton, The Brookings Institution, 1979, 446 pp. $11.95, cloth; $4.95, paper. Economic Council of Canada, One in Three: Pensions for Ca nadians to 2030. Hull, Quebec, Canada, Economic Coun cil of Canada, 1979, 144 pp. $6.25, Canada; $7.50, other countries. Available from Canadian Government Publish ing Center, Supply and Services Canada, Hull, Quebec. Gramlich, Edward M. and Michael J. Wolkoff, “A Procedure for Evaluating Income Distribution Policies,” The Jour nal of Human Resources, Summer 1979, pp. 319-50. Haanes-Olsen, Leif, “Taxation and Pensions,” The Interna tional Social Security Review, No. 1, 1979, pp. 32-49. Huntley, Diane, “Educational and Economic Characteristics of Student Beneficiaries: Black-White Differences,” Social Security Bulletin, September 1979, pp. 3-10. Logue, John, “The Welfare State: Victim of Its Success,” Dae dalus, Fall 1979, pp. 69-87. Martin, Peter W.,“Public Assurance of an Adequate Mini mum Income in Old Age: The Erratic Partnership Between Social Insurance and Public Assistance.” Cornell Law Review, March 1979, pp. 437-520. Morrison, Malcolm H., “International Developments in Retirement Flexibility,” Aging and Work, Fall 1979, pp. 221-34. National Commission on Unemployment Compensation, Re insurance of State Unemployment Compensation Plans and Federal Taxable Wage Base: Summary of Responses to the National Commission on Unemployment Compensation. Rosslyn, Va., National Commission on Unemployment Compensation, 1979, 299 pp. Perham, John C., “Battle Over Workers’ Compensation,” Dun's Review, September 1979, pp. 104-08. Plattner, Marc F., “A new vision of the welfare state—redis tribute income to create an equality state,” Across the Board, November 1979, pp. 22-32. Price, Karl F., James W. Walker, Douglas C. Kimmel, “Re tirement Timing and Retirement Satisfaction,” Aging and Work, Fall 1979, pp. 235-45. Worker training and development Barton, Paul E., The Next Step in Managing Recessions: Countercyclical Education and Training. Washington, Na tional Manpower Institute, 1979, 12 pp. $2.50. Baxter, Neale, “Disabled Workers and the Career Counselor,” Occupational Outlook Quarterly, Fall 1979, pp. 2-11. Gentz, Susan C, “Lawyers Who Work With Older People,” Occupational Outlook Quarterly, Fall 1979, pp. 16-19. 71 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • B o o k R eview s Health Careers Guidebook. 4th ed. Washington, U.S. Depart ment of Labor, Employment and Training Administra tion and U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, Health Resources Administration, 1979, 221 pp. Stock No. 029-000-00343-2. For sale by the Superinten dent of Documents, Washington 20402. Horn, Frederick F. and Victor W. Farah, Trading in Com modity Futures. 2d ed. New York, New York Institute of Finance, 1979, 373 pp. Krantz, David L., Radical Career Change: Life Beyond Work. New York, The Free Press, a division of Macmillan Pub lishing Co., Inc., 1978, 157 pp. $9.95. Lecht, Leonard A., Involving Private Employers in Local CETA Programs. New York, The Conference Board, 1979, 18 pp. (Information Bulletin 63.) Payne, Richard A., How to Get a Better Job Quicker. New 72 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis York, Taplinger Publishing Co., Inc., 1979, 217 pp. $9.95. U.S. Employment and Training Administration, Dateline: CETA— A Selection of Programs. Washington, U.S. De partment of Labor, Employment and Training Adminis tration, 1979, 15 pp. ----- Employment and Training Report of the President. (Transmitted to Congress 1979.) Washington, U.S. De partment of Labor, Employment and Training Adminis tration, 1979, 398 pp. Stock No. 029-000-00359-9. Available from the Superintendent of Documents, Wash ington 20402. “When children decide not to go to college,” Business Week, Sept. 3, 1979, beginning on p. 154. Weinstein, Marc, “Occupational unemployment,” Occupation al Outlook Quarterly, Fall 1979, pp. 28-36. Current Labor Statistics Notes on Current Labor Statistics .................................................................................................................................... Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series .......................................................................... Employment data from household survey. Definitions and notes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Employment status of noninstitutional population, selected years, 1950-78 ................................................................ Employment status by age, sex, and race, seasonally adjusted ....................................................................................... Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted ....................................................................................................... Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted ..................................................................................................... Unemployment rates, by age and sex, seasonally adjusted ........................................,v ................................................... Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted ..................................................................... Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted ............................................................................................................... Employment, hours, and earnings data from establishment surveys. Definitions and notes 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. Employment by industry, 1949-78 ....................................................................................................................................... Employment by State ............................................................................................................................................................... Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group ................................................................................ Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ........................................ Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, 1976 to date ....................................................................................................... Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, by major industry group .................................................................................. Hours and earnings, by industry division, 1947-78 .......................................................................................................... Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group ............................................................................. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted ..................................... Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ........................................................................ Hourly Earnings Index, by industry division ....................................................................................................................... Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group ........................................................................ Gross and spendable weekly earnings in current and 1967 dollars, 1960 to date ........................................................ Unemployment insurance data. Definitions and notes 75 75 76 77 78 79 79 79 80 81 81 82 83 84 84 85 86 87 88 88 89 90 91 ......................................................................................................................................... Consumer Price Indexes, 1967-78 Consumer Price Index, U.S. city average, general summary and selected items ........................................................... Consumer Price Index, cross classification of region and population size class ........................................................... Consumer Price Index, selected areas .................................................................................................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing ................................................................................................. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity grouping ............................................................................................................... Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings ............................................................................................... Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product .................................. Price indexes for the output of selected SIC industries ............................................................................................ 92 Price data. Definitions and notes Productivity data. Definitions and notes 31. 32. 33. 34. 74 ....................................................................................... ....................................................................................... 21. Unemployment insurance and employment service operations 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 74 Indexes Annual Indexes Percent ....................................................................................................................... of productivity and related data, 1950-78 percent change in productivity and related data, 1968-78 ............................................................................... of productivity, hourly compensation, and unit costs ........................................................................................ change in productivity, hourly compensation, and unit costs ............................... 91 93 93 99 100 101 103 103 104 105 107 107 108 108 109 Labor-management data. Definitions and notes ............................................................................ no 35. Wage and benefit settlements in major collective bargaining units . . . . * .................................................................. 36. Effective wage rate adjustments going into effect in major collective bargaining units ............................................. 37. Work stoppages, 1946 to date ............................................................................................................................................... 110 I ll I ll https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 73 NOTES ON CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS This section of the Review presents the principal statistical se ries collected and calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A brief introduction to each group of tables provides defi nitions, notes on the data, sources, and other material usually found in footnotes. Readers w ho need additional inform ation are invited to consult the BLS regional offices listed on the inside front cov er of this issue of the Review. Som e general notes applicable to several series are given below. Seasonal adjustment. Certain monthly and quarterly data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of such factors as climatic conditions, industry production schedules, opening and closing of schools, holiday buying periods, and vacation practices, which might otherwise mask short term movements of the statistical series. Tables containing these data are identified as “seasonally adjusted." Seasonal effects are estimated on the basis of past experience. When new seasonal factors are com puted each year, revisions may affect seasonally adjusted data for sev eral preceding years. For a technical discussion of the method used to make seasonal adjustments, see “Appendix A. The BLS Seasonal Fac tor Method," BLS Handbook of Methods for Surveys and Studies, Bul letin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976), pp. 272-78, and X -ll Variant of the Census Method II Seasonal Adjustment Program, Techni cal Paper No. 15 (Bureau of the Census, 1967). Seasonally adjusted la bor force data in tables 2 -7 were last revised in the February 1980 is sue of the Review to reflect the preceding year’s experience. Beginning in January 1980, the BLS introduced two major modifications in the seasonal adjustment methodology for labor force data. First, the data are being seasonally adjusted with a new procedure called X - l l / ARIMA, which was developed at Statistics Canada as an extension of the standard X- l l method. A detailed description of the procedure appears in The X -ll ARIMA Seasonal Adjustment Method by Estela Bee Dagum (Statistics Canada Catalogue No. 12-564E, September 1979). The second change is that seasonal factors are now being calculated for use during the first 6 months of the year, rather than for the entire year, and then are calculated at mid-year for the July-December peri od. Revisions of historical data continue to be made only at the end of each calendar year. Annual revision of the seasonally adjusted payroll data in tables 11, 13, 16, and 18 was last introduced in the November 1979 issue of the Review. New seasonal factors for productivity data in tables 33 and 34 are usually introduced in the September issue. Sea sonally adjusted indexes and percent changes from month to month and from quarter to quarter are published for numerous Consumer and Producer Price Index series. However, seasonally adjusted indexes are not published for the U.S. average All Items CPI. Only seasonally adjusted percent changes are available for this series. Adjustments for price changes. Some data are adjusted to eliminate the effect of changes in price. These adjustments are made by dividing current dollar values by the Consumer Price Index or the appropriate component of the index, then multiplying by 100. For example, given a current hourly wage rate of $3 and a current price index number of 150, where 1967 = 100, the hourly rate expressed in 1967 dollars is $2 ($3/150 X 100 = $2). The resulting values are described as “real,” "constant,” or “ 1967” dollars. Availability of information. Data that supplement the tables in this section are published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in a variety of sources. Press releases provide the latest statistical information published by the Bureau; the major recurring releases are published according to the schedule given below. The Handbook o f Labor Statis tics 1978, Bulletin 2000, provides more detailed data and greater his torical coverage for most of the statistical series presented in the Monthly Labor Review. More information from the household and es tablishment surveys is provided in Employment and Earnings, a monthly publication of the Bureau, and in two comprehensive data books issued annually — Employment and Earnings, United States and Employment and Earnings, States and Areas. More detailed informa tion on wages and other aspects of collective bargaining appears in the monthly periodical, Current Wage Developments. More detailed price information is published each month in the periodicals, the CPI Detailed Report and Producer Prices and Price Indexes. Selected key statistical series are presented graphically in the monthly Chartbook on Prices, Wages, and Productivity. Symbols p = preliminary. To improve the timeliness of some series, preliminary figures are issued based on representative but incomplete returns. r = revised. Generally this revision reflects the availability of later data but may also reflect other adjustments, n.e.c. — not elsewhere classified. Schedule of release dates for major BLS statistical series Title and frequency (monthly except where indicated) Release date Period covered Release date Period covered MLR table number The Employment situation............................................................ Producer Price Indexes................................................................ Consumer Price Index ................................................................ Real earnings ............................................................................ Productivity and costs: Nonfinancial corporations ........................................................ Work stoppages.......................................................................... Labor turnover in manufacturing .................................................. February 1 February 15 February 22 February 22 January January January January March 7 March 7 March 25 March 25 February February February February 1-11 26-30 22-25 14-20 February 27 February 28 February 29 4th quarter January January March 28 March 31 February February 31-34 37 12-13 74 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis EMPLOYMENT DATA FROM THE HOUSEHOLD SURVEY Employment data in this section are obtained from the Current P opulation Survey, a program of personal interviews conducted m onthly by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The sam ple consists of about 56,000 households, selected to represent the U.S. population 16 years of age and older. H ouseholds are interviewed on a rotating basis, so that three-fourths of the sam ple is the same for any 2 consecutive m onths. Definitions Employed persons are (1) those who worked for pay any time during the week which includes the 12th day of the month or who worked unpaid for 15 hours or more in a family-operated enterprise and (2) those who were temporarily absent from their regular jobs because of illness, vacation, industrial dispute, or similar reasons. A person working at more than one job is counted only in the job at which he or she worked the greatest number of hours. Unemployed persons are those who did not work during the survey week, but were available for work except for temporary illness and had looked for jobs within the preceding 4 weeks. Persons who did not look for work because they were on layoff or waiting to start new jobs within the next 30 days are also counted among the unemployed. The unemployment rate represents the number unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force. The civilian labor force consists of all employed or unemployed persons in the civilian noninstitutional population; the total labor force includes military personnel. Persons not in the labor force are 1. those not classified as employed or unemployed; this group includes persons retired, those engaged in their own housework, those not working while attending school, those unable to work because of longterm illness, those discouraged from seeking work because of personal or job market factors, and those who are voluntarily idle. The noninstitutional population comprises all persons 16 years of age and older who are not inmates of penal or mental institutions, sanitariums, or homes for the aged, infirm, or needy. Full-time workers are those employed at least 35 hours a week; part-time workers are those who work fewer hours. Workers on parttime schedules for economic reasons (such as slack work, terminating or starting a job during the week, material shortages, or inability to find full-time work) are among those counted as being on full-time status, under the assumption that they would be working full time if conditions permitted. The survey classifies unemployed persons in full-time or part-time status by their reported preferences for full-time or part-time work. Notes on the data From time to time, and especially after a decennial census, adjustments are made in the Current Population Survey figures to correct for estimating errors during the preceding years. These adjustments affect the comparability of historical data presented in table 1. A description of these adjustments and their effect on the various data series appear in the Explanatory Notes of Em ploym ent and Earnings. Data in tables 2 - 7 are seasonally adjusted, based on the seasonal experience through December 1979. Employment status of the noninstitutional population, 16 years and over, selected years, 1950-79 [Numbers inthousands] Civilian labor force Total labor force Year Total non institutional population Employed Number Percent of population Unemployed Total Agriculture Nonagricultural industries Total Number Percent of labor force Not in labor force 1950 1955 1960 1964 1965 ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ 106,645 112,732 119,759 127,224 129,236 63,858 68,072 72,142 75,830 77,178 59.9 60.4 60.2 59.6 59.7 62,208 65,023 69,628 73,091 74,455 . 58,920 62,171 65,778 69,305 71,088 7,160 6,449 5,458 4,523 4,361 51,760 55,724 60,318 64,782 66,726 3,288 2,852 3,852 3,786 3,366 5.3 4.4 5.5 5.2 4.5 42,787 44,660 47,617 51,394 52,058 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ 131,180 133,319 135,562 137,841 140,182 78,893 80,793 82,272 84,239 85,903 60.1 60.6 60.7 61.1 61.3 75,770 77,347 78,737 80,733 82,715 72,895 74,372 75,920 77,902 78,627 3,979 3,844 3,817 3,606 3,462 68,915 70,527 72,103 74,296 75,165 2,875 2,975 2,817 2,831 4,088 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.5 4.9 52,288 52,527 53,291 53,602 54,280 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ 142,596 145,775 148,263 150,827 153,449 86,929 88,991 91,040 93,240 94,793 61.0 61.0 61.4 61.8 61.8 84,113 86,542 88,714 91,011 92,613 79,120 81,702 84,409 85,936 84,783 3,387 3,472 3,452 3,492 3,380 75,732 78,230 80,957 82,443 81,403 4,993 4,840 4,304 5,076 7,830 5.9 5.6 4.9 5.6 8.5 55,666 56,785 57,222 57,587 58,655 1976 1977 1978 1979 ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ ............................................................ 156,048 158,559 161,058 163,620 96,917 99,534 102,537 104,996 62.1 62.8 63.7 64.2 94,773 97,401 100,420 102,908 87,485 90,546 94,373 96,945 3,297 3,244 3,342 3,297 84,188 87,302 91,031 93,648 7,288 6,855 6,047 5,963 7.7 7.0 6.0 5.8 59,130 59,025 58,521 58,623 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 75 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • C u rren t L a b o r S ta tistics: H o u seh o ld D a ta 2. Employment status by sex, age, and race, seasonally adjusted [Numbers inthousands] Annual Average 1978 1979 Employment status 1978 1979 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 161,058 102,537 158,941 100,420 94,373 3,342 91,031 6,047 6,0 58,521 163,620 104,996 161,532 102,908 96,945 3,297 93,648 5,963 5.8 58,623 162,250 103,923 160,142 101,815 95,831 3,375 92,456 5,984 5.9 58,327 162,448 104,155 160,353 102,061 96,157 3,260 92,897 5,904 5.8 58,292 162,633 104,473 160,539 102,379 96,496 3,307 93,189 5,883 5.7 58,160 162,909 104,595 160,819 102,505 96,623 3,320 93,303 5,882 5.7 58,314 163,008 104,280 160,926 102,198 96,254 3,215 93,039 5,944 5.8 58,728 163,260 104,476 161,182 102,398 96,495 3,246 93,249 5,903 5.8 58,784 163,469 104,552 161,393 102,476 96,652 3,243 93,409 5,824 5.7 58,917 163,685 105,475 161,604 103,093 97,184 3,267 93,917 5,909 5.7 58,511 163,891 105,218 161,801 103,128 97,004 3,315 93,689 6,124 5.9 58,673 164,106 105,586 162,013 103,494 97,504 3,364 94,140 5,990 5.8 58,519 164,468 105,688 162,375 103,595 97,474 3,294 94,180 6,121 5.9 58,780 164,682 105,744 162,589 103,652 97,608 3,385 94,223 6,044 5.8 58,937 164,898 106,088 162,809 103,999 97,912 3,359 94,553 6,087 5.9 58,810 67,006 53,464 51,212 2,361 48,852 2,252 4.2 13,541 68,293 54,486 52,264 2,350 49,913 2,223 4.1 13,807 67,600 54,059 51,861 2,387 49,474 2,198 4.1 13,541 67,726 54,191 52,024 2,303 49,721 2,167 4.0 13,535 67,816 54,349 52,211 2,329 49,882 2,138 3.9 13,467 67,939 54,315 52,151 2,350 49,801 2,164 4.0 13,624 67,997 54,239 52,049 2,295 49,754 2,190 4.0 13,758 68,123 54,288 52,158 2,301 49,857 2,130 3.9 13,835 68,227 54,370 52,201 2,305 49,896 2,169 4.0 13,857 68,319 54,579 52,325 2,327 49,998 2,254 4.1 13,740 68,417 54,597 52,311 2,375 49,936 2,286 4.2 13,820 68,522 54,735 52,453 2,377 50,076 2,282 4.2 13,787 68,697 54,760 52,443 2,371 50,072 2,317 4.2 13,937 68,804 54,709 52,374 2,438 49,936 2,335 4.3 14,095 68,940 54,781 52,478 2,427 50,051 2,303 4.2 14,159 75,489 37,416 35,180 586 34,593 2,236 6.0 38,073 76,860 38,910 36,698 591 36,107 2,213 5.7 37,949 76,119 38,156 35,944 598 35,346 2,212 5.8 37,963 76,228 38,207 36,012 596 35,416 2,195 5.7 38,021 76,332 38,399 36,197 593 35,604 2,202 5.7 37,933 76,476 38,574 36,362 595 35,767 2,212 5.7 37,902 76,532 38,415 36,216 572 35,644 2,199 5.7 38,117 76,670 38,619 36,411 577 35,834 2,208 5.7 38,051 76,784 38,653 36,457 583 35,874 2,196 5.7 38,131 76,897 39,033 36,873 585 36,288 2,160 5.5 37,864 77,006 39,304 37,000 600 36,400 2,304 5.9 37,702 77,124 39,239 37,075 628 36,447 2,164 5.5 37,885 77,308 39,362 37,112 572 36,540 2,250 5.7 37,946 77,426 39,445 37,248 612 36,636 2,197 5.6 37,981 77,542 39,659 37,402 582 36,820 2,257 5.7 37,883 16,447 9,540 7,981 395 7,586 1,559 16.3 6,907 16,379 9,512 7,984 356 7,628 1,528 16.1 6,867 16,422 9,600 8,026 390 7,636 1,574 16.4 6,822 16,400 9,663 8,121 361 7,760 1,542 16.0 6,737 16,391 9,631 8,088 385 7,703 1,543 16.0 6,760 16,404 9,616 8,110 375 7,735 1,506 15.7 6,788 16,397 9,544 7,989 348 7,641 1,555 16.3 6,853 16,389 9,491 7,926 368 7,558 1,565 16.5 6,898 16,381 9,453 7,994 355 7,639 1,459 15.4 6,928 16,387 9,481 7,986 355 7,631 1,495 15.8 6,906 16,377 9,227 7,693 340 7,353 1,534 16.6 7,150 16,367 9,520 7,976 359 7,617 1,544 16.2 6,847 16,370 9,473 7,919 351 7,568 1,554 16.4 6,897 16,360 9,498 7,986 335 7,651 1,512 15.9 6,862 16,326 9,559 8,032 350 7,682 1,527 16.0 6,767 139,580 88,456 83,836 4,620 5.2 51,124 141,614 90,602 86,025 4,577 5.1 51,011 140,507 89,668 85,069 4,599 5.1 50,760 140,683 89,973 85,434 4,539 5.0 50,590 140,825 90,250 85,786 4,464 4.9 50,430 141,063 90,260 85,754 4,506 5.0 50,648 141,123 89,996 85,497 4,499 5.0 51,200 141,331 90,120 85,632 4,488 5.0 51,313 141,492 90,215 85,775 4,440 4.9 51,213 141,661 90,659 86,120 4,539 5.0 51,107 141,822 90,759 85,976 4,783 5.3 51,161 141,981 91,082 86,425 4,657 5.1 50,900 142,296 91,147 86,454 4,693 5.1 51,149 142,461 91,242 86,571 4,671 5.1 51,219 142,645 91,579 86,894 4,685 5.1 51,066 19,361 11,964 10,537 1,427 11.9 7,397 19,918 12,306 10,920 1,386 11.3 7,612 19,635 12,141 10,752 1,389 11.4 7,482 19,670 12,101 10,736 1,365 11.3 7,593 19,714 12,177 10,746 1,431 11.8 7,486 19,755 12,238 10,860 1,378 11.3 7,504 19,802 12,191 10,767 1,424 11.7 7,627 19,850 12,219 10,816 1,403 11.5 7,674 19,901 12,260 10,887 1,373 11.2 7,629 19,943 12,386 11,023 1,363 11.0 7,579 19,979 12,343 10,982 1,361 11.0 7,639 20,032 12,404 11,063 1,341 10.8 7,264 20,079 12,512 11,076 1,436 11.5 7,567 20,128 12,391 11,044 1,347 10.9 7,737 20,631 12,432 11,024 1,408 11.3 7,731 TOTAL Total noninstitutional population' .......................... Total labor force ...................................... Civilian noninstitutional population' ...................... Civilian labor force ................................ Employed ...................................... Agriculture .............................. Nonagricultural industries ........ Unemployed .................................. Unemployment rate ........................ Not in labor force .................................. Men, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population' ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Agriculture .................................... Nonagricultural industries ................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ Women, 20 years and over Civilian noninstitutional population' ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Agriculture .................................... Nonagricultural industries ................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ Both sexes, 16-19 years Civilian noninstitutional population' ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Agriculture .................................... Nonagricultural industries ................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ WHITE Civilian noninstitutional population’ ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ BLACK AND OTHER Civilian noninstitutional population' ...................... Civilian labor force ...................................... Employed ............................................ Unemployed ........................................ Unemployment rate .............................. Not in labor force ........................................ 'As in table 1, population figures are not seasonally adjusted. 76 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3. Selected employment indicators, seasonally adjusted [ In thousands] Annual average 1978 1978 1979 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 94,373 55,491 38,882 38,688 21,881 96,945 56,499 40,446 39,090 22,724 95,831 56,087 39,744 39,030 22,284 96,157 56,326 39,831 39,139 22,372 96,496 56,476 40,020 39,291 22,522 96,623 56,449 40,174 39,193 22,605 96,254 56,294 39,960 38,910 22,376 96,495 56,372 40,123 39,045 22,547 96,652 56,477 40,175 39,079 22,664 97,184 56,570 40,614 39,176 22,908 97,004 56,408 40,596 39,180 22,869 97,504 56,714 40,790 39,198 22,937 97,474 56,629 40,845 39,124 22,919 97,608 56,580 41,028 38,845 22,940 97,912 56,734 41,178 38,924 23,027 47,205 14,245 49,342 15,050 48,108 14,645 48,303 14,734 48,836 14,950 48,996 15,012 49,061 15,091 49,136 15,100 49,192 15,010 49,536 15,057 49,663 15,068 49,816 15,141 49,738 15,057 49,912 15,131 49,911 15,272 10,105 5,951 16,904 31,531 12,386 10,875 3,541 4,729 12,839 2,798 10,516 6,163 17,613 32,066 12,880 10,909 3,612 4,665 12,834 2,703 10,284 6,058 17,121 31,966 12,666 10,868 3,613 4,819 12,942 2,802 10,312 6,048 17,209 32,290 12,807 10,958 3,651 4,874 12,817 2,764 10,379 6,090 17,417 32,176 12,898 10,901 3,602 4,775 12,804 2,746 10,392 6,055 17,537 32,041 12,792 10,991 3,569 4,689 12,847 2,774 10,398 6,084 17,488 31,705 12,703 10,770 3,564 4,668 12,907 2,659 10,427 6,101 17,508 31,904 12,820 10,755 3,644 4,685 12,772 2,628 10,534 6,103 17,545 31,992 12,944 10,804 3,605 4,639 12,805 2,679 10,612 6,163 17,704 32,051 12,876 10,884 3,627 4,664 12,766 2,678 10,698 6,145 17,752 31,849 12,761 10,909 3,604 4,575 12,621 2,707 10,659 6,181 17,835 32,209 12,993 10,964 3,617 4,635 12,859 2,722 10,639 6,261 17,781 32,205 13,001 10,967 3,593 4,644 12,937 2,695 10,617 6,362 17,802 32,110 12,925 10,963 3,628 4,594 12,899 2,718 10,535 6,346 17,758 32,302 13,041 11,042 3,635 4,584 12,970 2,694 1,419 1,607 316 1,413 1,580 304 1,447 1,608 312 1,387 1,564 295 1,425 1,558 334 1,415 1,583 314 1,379 1,553 291 1,424 1,519 283 1,423 1,539 291 1,419 1,558 291 1,384 1,614 310 1,399 1,642 325 1,381 1,602 313 1,475 1,622 310 1,451 1,596 310 84,253 15,289 68,966 1,363 67,603 6,305 472 86,540 15,369 71,171 1,240 69,931 6,652 455 85,461 15,326 70,135 1,302 68,833 6,506 469 86,029 15,251 70,778 1,247 69,531 6,497 475 86,192 15,322 70,870 1,328 69,542 6,591 455 86,439 15,281 71,158 1,262 69,896 6,542 446 86,105 15,359 70,746 1,172 69,574 6,463 465 86,232 15,616 70,616 1,195 69,421 6.608 460 86,309 15,318 70,991 1,235 69,756 6,629 474 86,454 15,393 71,061 1,219 69,842 6,752 519 86,421 15,279 71,142 1,211 69,931 6,689 450 86,912 15,407 71,505 1,313 70,192 6,731 449 86,982 15,423 71,559 1,261 70,298 6,812 430 87,020 15,358 71,662 1,211 70,451 6,781 417 87,384 15,397 71,987 1,228 70,759 6,737 409 85,693 70,543 3,216 1,249 1,967 11,934 88,133 72,647 3,281 1,325 1,956 12,205 87,050 71,903 3,082 1,202 1,880 12,065 87,520 72,176 3,203 1,252 1,951 12,141 87,543 72,212 3,176 1,246 1,930 12,155 87,847 72,529 3,211 1,254 1,957 12,107 86,608 71,659 3,279 1,287 1,992 11,670 87,785 72,496 3,283 1,273 2,010 12,006 87,749 72,243 3,284 1,322 1,962 12,222 88,769 72,915 3,274 1,334 1,940 12,580 88,855 73,053 3,298 1,401 1,897 12,504 88,723 73,159 3,167 1.273 1,894 12,397 88,638 73,204 3,315 1,354 1,961 12,119 88,617 72,997 3,392 1,413 1,979 12,228 89,180 73,137 3,519 1,491 2,028 12,524 1979 Selected categories CHARACTERISTIC Total employed, 16 years and over ...................... Men .................................. Women.......................................... Married men, spouse present ........................ Married women, spouse present .................... OCCUPATION White-collar workers............................................ Professional and technical ............................ Managers and administrators, except farm ...................................................... Salesworkers................................................ Clerical workers............................................ Blue-collar workers.............................................. Craft and kindred workers ............................ Operatives, except transport ........................... Transport equipment operatives .................... Nonfarm laborers.......................................... Service workers ...................................... Farmworkers ........................................ MAJOR INDUSTRY AND CLASS OF WORKER Agriculture: Wage and salary workers.............................. Self-employed workers.................................. Unpaid family workers .................................. Nonagricultural industries: Wage and salary workers.......................... Government .......................................... Private industries.................................... Private households .......................... Other industries .............................. Self-employe^ workers.................................. Unpaid family workers .......................... PERSONS AT WORK1 Nonagricultural industries .................................... Full-time schedules ...................................... Part time for economic reasons...................... Usually work full time.............................. Usually work part tim e............................ Part time for noneconomic reasons................ 'Excludes persons “ with a job but not at work" during the survey period for such reasons as vacation, illness, or industrial disputes. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 77 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Household Data 4. Selected unemployment indicators, seasonally adjusted 1979 Annual average 1978 1978 1979 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total, 16 years and over...................................... Men, 20 years and over................................ Women, 20 years and over .......................... Both sexes, 16-19 years ............................ 6.0 4.2 6.0 16.3 5.8 4.1 5.7 16.1 5.9 4.1 5.8 16.4 5,8 4.0 5.7 16.0 5.7 3.9 5.7 16.0 5.7 4.0 5.7 15.7 5,8 4.0 5.7 16.3 5.8 3.9 5.7 16.5 5.7 4.0 5.7 15.4 5.7 4.1 5.5 15.8 5.9 4.2 5.9 16.6 5.8 4.2 5.5 16.2 5.9 4.2 5.7 16.4 5.8 4.3 5.6 15.9 5.9 4.2 5.7 16.0 White, total ....................................? ........... Men, 20 years and over ........................ Women, 20 years and o v e r.................... Both sexes, 16-19 years ...................... 5.2 3.7 5.2 13,9 5.1 3.6 5.0 13.9 5.1 3.5 5.1 14.2 5.0 3.5 5.0 13.8 4.9 3.4 5.0 13.6 5.0 3.4 5.0 13.6 5.0 3.5 5.0 13.9 5.0 3.4 5.0 14.2 4.9 3.5 4,9 13.2 5.0 3.6 4.8 13.8 5.3 3.7 5.2 14.8 5.1 3.7 4.8 14.3 5.1 3.7 5.0 14.1 5.1 3.7 4.9 13.9 5.1 3.7 5.0 13.9 Black and other, total.................................... Men, 20 years and over ........................ Women, 20 years and over .................... Both sexes, 16-19 years ...................... 11.9 8.6 10.6 36.3 11.3 8.4 10.1 33.5 11.4 8.3 10.2 34.6 11.3 8.0 10.5 33.0 11.8 8.6 10.4 34.9 11.3 8.7 10.0 31.5 11.7 8.6 10.5 34.3 11.5 8.4 10,0 36.1 11.2 8.1 10.4 33.5 11.0 8.4 10.0 31.5 11.0 8.1 10.3 32.6 10.8 8.0 9.8 32.3 11.5 8.6 10.2 35.1 10.9 8.4 9.5 32.8 11,3 8.6 10.0 34.3 Married men, spouse present........................ Married women, spouse present.................... Women who head families............................ Full-time workers.......................................... Part-time workers ........................................ Unemployed 15 weeks and over.................... Labor force time lost' .................................. 2.8 5.5 8.5 5.5 9.0 1.4 6.5 2.7 5.1 8.3 5.3 8.7 1.2 6.3 2.6 5.5 7.9 5.3 9.1 1.2 6.3 2.6 5.3 8.0 5.2 9.1 1.2 6.2 2.6 5.3 8.3 5.2 8.8 1.2 6.2 2.6 5.2 8.2 5.2 9.0 1.3 6.2 2.7 5.2 8.3 5.3 8.7 1.2 6.4 2.5 5.2 8.6 5.2 9.3 1.2 6.3 2.7 5.1 9.0 5.2 8.6 1.1 6.3 2.8 4.9 8.1 5.3 8.3 1.0 6.4 2.9 5.3 7.9 5.4 8.8 1.1 6.4 2.9 4.8 7.7 5.3 8.4 1.1 6.2 2.9 5.2 8.4 5.4 8.9 1.2 6.4 2.9 4.8 8.4 5.4 8.3 1.1 6.4 2.8 5.0 8.4 5.4 8.5 1.2 6.4 3.5 2.6 3.3 2.4 3.5 3.0 3.4 2.5 3.4 2.4 3.3 2.2 3.3 2.3 3.2 2.1 3.4 2.5 3.3 2.5 3.5 2.5 3.3 2.4 3.4 2.7 3.2 2.4 3.3 2.3 2.1 4.1 4.9 6.9 4.6 8.1 5.2 10.7 7.4 3.8 2.1 3.9 4.6 6.9 4.5 8.4 5.4 10.8 7.1 3.8 1.9 3.7 4.7 6.7 4.6 7.8 5.3 10.4 7.7 3.3 2.0 4.0 4.7 6.5 4.4 7.8 5.0 9.7 7.7 2.9 2.0 4.2 4.7 6.5 4.5 7.8 5.0 9.7 7.3 3.4 2.1 4.1 4.8 6.6 4.5 7.8 5.2 10.2 7.3 3.3 2.3 4.0 4.5 6.9 4.4 8.5 5.9 10.6 7.3 3.4 2.2 4.0 4.5 6.8 4.2 8.2 5.4 11.1 7.2 3.6 2.1 4.4 4.6 6.6 4.3 7.7 5.7 10.6 7.2 3.2 2.0 3.5 4.5 6.8 4.4 8,3 5.1 11.0 7.1 4.2 2.3 4.0 4.9 7.3 4.7 8.9 6.2 11.3 7.1 3.9 2.2 3.8 4.5 7.1 4.3 9.0 6.1 11.0 6.7 4.1 2.2 3.8 4.7 7.2 4.6 9.1 5.6 10.7 6.8 4.3 1.9 3.7 4.4 7.5 4.9 9.0 5.2 12.2 6.6 4.5 • 2.0 3.8 4.6 7.2 4.4 9.0 5.0 12.2 6.6 4.3 5.9 10.6 5.5 4.9 6.3 3.7 6.9 5.1 3.9 8.8 5.7 10.2 5.5 5.0 6.4 3.7 6.5 4.9 3.7 9.1 5.8 11.4 5.1 4.4 6.1 3.3 6.9 5.1 3.9 8.0 5.7 10.3 5.1 4.4 6.1 3.5 6.6 5.1 3.9 7.5 5.6 10.9 4.9 4.2 5.9 3.2 6.5 4.8 3.8 8.6 5.6 10.1 5.2 4.4 6.4 3.9 6.3 4.8 4.1 8.0 5.7 10.5 5.3 4.7 6.3 3.0 6.6 4.8 3.7 8.7 5.7 10.0 5.4 4.4 6.9 3.6 6.4 4.9 3.6 9.3 5.6 10.0 5.4 4.9 6.3 3.1 6.7 4.7 3.6 7.8 5.7 10.0 5.7 5.4 6.2 3.8 6.3 4.9 3.6 9.7 6.0 10.1 5.9 5.4 6.8 3.7 6.5 5.2 3.7 9.9 5.8 9.6 6.0 5.3 7.1 4.0 6.4 4.7 3.3 10.0 5.9 9.9 6.0 5.5 6.8 3.8 6.4 4.9 4.0 9.9 5.8 10.2 5.9 5.6 6.3 4.2 6.5 4.6 3.6 10.1 5.8 10.3 5.9 5.5 6.4 4.1 6.4 4.7 3.6 9.4 Employment status CHARACTERISTIC OCCUPATION White-collar workers .......................................... Professional and technical ............................ Managers and administrators, except farm ........................................................ Salesworkers .............................................. Clerical workers .......................................... Blue-collar workers ............................................ Craft and kindred workers ............................ Operatives, except transport ........................ Transport equipment operatives .................... Nonfarm laborers ........................................ Service workers.................................................. Farmworkers...................................................... INDUSTRY Nonagricultural private wage and salary workers2 Construction ................................................ Manufacturing.............................................. Durable goods ...................................... Nondurable goods.................................. Transportation and public utilities .................. Wholesale and retail trade ............................ Finance and service industries ...................... Government workers .......................................... Agricultural wage and salary workers .................. ' Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force hours. 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2 Includes mining, not shown separately, 5. Unemployment rates, by sex and age, seasonally adjusted 1979 Annual average 1978 1978 1979 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total, 16 years and over.......... 16 to 19 years ................ 16 to 17 years .......... 18 to 19 years .......... 20 to 24 years ................ 25 years and over............ 25 to 54 years .......... 55 years and over 6.0 16.3 19.3 14.2 9.5 4.0 4.2 3.2 5.8 16.1 18.1 14.6 9.0 3.9 4.1 3.0 5.9 16.4 19.6 14.0 9.0 3.9 4.2 2.9 5.8 16.0 18.6 13.8 8.7 3.9 4.1 3.0 5.7 16.0 18.5 14.3 8.6 3.9 4.1 3.0 5.7 15.7 18.5 13.5 8.8 3.9 4.1 3.1 5.8 16.3 18.7 14.3 8.6 4.0 4.2 3.1 5.8 16.5 18.9 15.0 8.9 3.9 4.0 3.1 5.7 15.4 17.5 14.4 8.9 3.9 4.1 2.9 5.7 15.8 17.3 14.5 9.1 3.9 4.0 3.2 5.9 16.6 18.5 15.4 9.3 4.0 4.2 3.1 5.8 16.2 16.9 15.6 9.2 3.9 4.1 2.9 5.9 16.4 18.4 15.0 9.6 4.0 4.2 3.0 5.8 15.9 17.3 14.7 8.8 4.0 4.3 2.7 5.9 16.0 18.0 14.5 9.8 3.8 4.1 2.7 Men, 16 years and over.. 16 to 19 years .......... 16 to 17 years .. 18 to 19 years .. 20 to 24 years .......... 25 years and over 25 to 54 years .. 55 years and over 5.2 15.7 19.2 13.2 9.1 3.3 3.4 3.1 5.1 15.8 17.9 14.2 8.6 3.3 3.4 2.9 5.1 16.5 19.9 13.8 8.6 3.2 3.4 2.6 5.1 16.2 19.2 13.7 8.4 3.2 3.3 2.9 5.0 16.1 19.2 14.2 8.1 3.2 3.3 2.8 5.0 15.8 18.9 13.6 8.3 3.2 3.3 2.8 5.1 16.0 17.9 14.1 8.0 3.3 3.3 3.0 5.0 16.1 18.9 14.0 8.2 3.1 3.2 2.8 4.9 14.5 16.8 14.0 8.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 5.1 15.4 16.1 14.8 8.8 3.3 3.4 3.3 5.2 16.3 18.0 15.1 8.8 3.4 3.5 3.1 5.2 16.1 16.7 15.3 8.8 3.3 3.6 2.8 5.2 15.7 17.1 14.4 9.5 3.4 3.5 2.8 5.2 15.8 17.8 14.0 8.4 3.5 3.8 2.6 5.2 15.6 17.9 13.6 9.4 3.2 3.4 2.6 Women, 16 years and over 16 to 19 years .......... 16 to 17 years .. 18 to 19 years ,. 20 to 24 years .......... 25 years and over___ 25 to 54 years .. 55 years and over 7.2 17.0 19.5 15.3 10.1 5.1 5.4 3.3 6.8 16.4 183 15.0 9.6 4.8 5.2 3.2 6.9 16.2 19.4 14.2 9.5 5.0 5.4 3.3 6.8 15.7 17.8 14.0 9.1 5.0 5.4 3.2 6.8 15.9 17.7 14.5 9.3 5.0 5.4 3.3 6.8 15.5 18.0 13.3 9.5 4.9 5.3 3.6 6.9 16.6 19.6 14.5 9.4 4.9 5.3 3.2 6.9 16.9 18.8 16.0 9.7 4.9 5.2 3.6 6.8 16.5 18.3 14.9 9.7 4.8 5.2 2.8 6.6 16.2 18.6 14.2 9.4 4.7 5.0 3.1 7.0 17.0 19.0 15.7 9.8 4.9 5.3 3.2 6.6 16.4 17.2 15.9 9.6 4.6 5.0 2.9 6.9 17.2 19.8 15.6 9.7 4.9 5.2 3.4 6.6 16.1 16.7 15.5 9.3 4.7 5.0 2.9 6.8 16.4 18.0 15.5 10.2 4.7 5.1 2.9 Sex and age 6. Unemployed persons, by reason for unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] 1979 1978 Reason for unemployment Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 2,443 735 1,708 912 1,904 826 2,441 752 1,689 900 1,721 824 2,475 779 1,696 828 1,766 858 2,457 791 1,666 864 1,766 808 2,520 839 1,681 847 1,778 800 2,356 725 1,631 940 1,767 824 2,449 816 1,633 857 1,753 781 2,526 797 1,729 846 1,762 726 2,680 915 1,765 875 1,788 745 2,632 855 1,777 825 1,760 801 2,731 929 1,802 835 1,762 804 2,729 987 1,742 845 1,698 736 2,728 944 1,784 800 1,771 858 100.0 40.1 12.1 28.1 15.0 31.3 13.6 100.0 41.5 12.8 28.7 15.3 29.2 14.0 100.0 41.8 13.1 28.6 14.0 29.8 14.5 100.0 41.7 13.4 28.3 14.7 30.0 13.7 100.0 42.4 14.1 28.3 14.2 29.9 13.5 100.0 40.0 12.3 27.7 16.0 30.0 14.0 100.0 41.9 14.0 28.0 14.7 30.0 13.4 100.0 43.1 13.6 29.5 14.4 30.1 12.4 100.0 44.0 15.0 29.0 14.4 29.4 12.2 100.0 43.7 14.2 29.5 13.7 29.2 13.3 100.0 44.5 15.2 29.4 13.6 28.7 13.1 100.0 45.4 16.4 29.0 14.1 28.3 12.3 100.0 44.3 15.3 29.0 13.0 28.8 13.9 2.4 .9 1.9 2.4 .9 1.7 .8 2.4 .8 1.7 .8 2.4 .8 1.7 .8 2.5 .8 1.7 .8 2.3 .9 1.7 .8 2.4 .8 1.7 .8 2.5 .8 1.7 .7 2.6 .8 1.7 .7 2.5 .8 1.7 .8 2.6 .8 1.7 .8 2.6 .8 1.6 .7 2.6 .8 1.7 .8 NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED Lost last job ...................................................................................... On layoff .................................................................................... Other job losers .......................................................................... Left last jo b ........................................................................................ Reentered labor force ........................................................................ Seeking first jo b .................................................................................. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION Total unemployed .............................................................................. Job 'osers.......................................................................................... Or layoff .................................................................................... Other job losers .......................................................................... Job leavers........................................................................................ Reentrants ........................................................................................ New entrants...................................................................................... UNEMPLOYED AS A PERCENT OF THE CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE Job losers.......................................................................................... Job leavers........................................................................................ Reentrants ........................................................................................ New entrants...................................................................................... 7. .6 Duration of unemployment, seasonally adjusted [Numbers in thousands] Weeks of unemployment Less than 5 weeks.............................................. 5 to 14 weeks .................................................... 15 weeks and over ............................................ 15 to 26 weeks............................................ 27 weeks and over ...................................... Average (mean) duration, in weeks ...................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1979 Annual average 1978 1978 1979 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct Nov. Dec. 2,793 1,875 1,379 746 633 11.9 2,869 1,892 1,202 684 518 10.8 2,858 1,937 1,217 732 485 10.6 2,751 1,881 1,229 708 521 11.2 2,779 1,877 1,239 700 539 11.3 2,769 1,860 1,291 729 562 11.8 2,876 1,884 1,223 687 536 11.0 2,823 1,919 1,212 705 507 10.9 2,880 1,808 1,152 656 496 10.5 2,820 1,934 1,067 615 452 10.1 3,168 1,738 1,185 658 527 10.7 2,778 2,035 1,152 644 508 10.7 2,955 1,963 1,195 678 517 10.5 2,919 1,869 1,191 660 531 10.6 2,916 1,966 1,230 711 519 10.5 79 EMPLOYMENT, HOURS, AND EARNINGS DATA FROM ESTABLISHMENT SURVEYS E mployment, hours, and earnings data in this section are compiled from payroll records reported monthly on a volun tary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperat ing State agencies by 162,000 establishments representing all industries except agriculture. In most industries, the sampling probabilities are based on the size of the establishment; most large establishments are therefore in the sample. (An estab lishment is not necessarily a firm; it may be a branch plant, for example, or warehouse.) Self-employed persons and others not on a regular civilian payroll are outside the scope of the survey because they are excluded from establishment records. This largely accounts for the difference in employment figures between the household and establishment surveys. Labor turnover data in this section are compiled from per sonnel records reported monthly on a voluntary basis to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its cooperating State agencies. A sample of 40,000 establishments represents all industries in the manufacturing and mining sectors of the economy. Definitions Employed persons are all persons who received pay (including holi day and sick pay) for any part of the payroll period including the 12th of the month. Persons holding more than one job (about 5 per cent of all persons in the labor force) are counted in each establish ment which reports them. Production workers in manufacturing include blue-collar worker supervisors and all nonsupervisory workers closely associated with production operations. Those workers mentioned in tables 14-20 in clude production wofkers in manufacturing and mining; construction workers in construction; and nonsupervisory workers in transporta tion and public utilities, in wholesale and retail trade, in finance, in surance, and real estate, and in service industries. These groups account for about four-fifths of the total employment on private nonagricultural payrolls. Earnings are the payments production or nonsupervisory workers receive during the survey period, including premium pay for overtime or late-shift work but excluding irregular bonuses and other special payments. Real earnings are earnings adjusted to eliminate the effects of price change. The Hourly Earnings Index is calculated from aver age hourly earnings data adjusted to exclude the effects of two types of changes that are unrelated to underlying wage-rate developments: fluctuations in overtime premiums in manufacturing (the only sector for which overtime data are available) and the effects of changes and seasonal factors in the proportion of workers in high-wage and lowwage industries. Spendable earnings are earnings from which estimat ed social security and Federal income taxes have been deducted. The Bureau of Labor Statistics computes spendable earnings from gross 80 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis weekly earnings for only two illustrative cases: (1) a worker with no dependents and (2) a married worker with three dependents. Hours represent the average weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory workers for which pay was received and are different from standard or scheduled hours. Overtime hours represent the por tion of gross average weekly hours which were in excess of regular hours and for which overtime premiums were paid. Labor turnover is the movement of all wage and salary workers from one employment status to another. Accession rates indicate the average number of persons added to a payroll in a given period per 100 employees; separation rates indicate the average number dropped from a payroll per 100 employees. Although month-to-month changes in employment can be calculated from the labor turnover data, the re sults are not comparable with employment data from the employment and payroll survey. The labor turnover survey measures changes dur ing the calendar month while the employment and payroll survey measures changes from midmonth to midmonth. Notes on the data Establishment data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are periodically adjusted to comprehensive counts of employment (called “benchmarks”). The latest complete adjustment was made with the re lease of September 1979 data, published in the November 1979 issue of the Review. Consequently, data published in the Review prior to that issue are not necessarily comparable to current data. Complete compa rable historical unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data are published in a Supplement to Employment and Earnings (unadjusted data from April 1977 through June 1979 and seasonally adjusted data from Jan uary 1974 through June 1979) and in Em ploym ent and Earnings, U nit ed States, 1909-78, BLS Bulletin 1312-11 (for prior periods). Data on recalls were shown for the first time in tables 12 and 13 in the January 1978 issue of the Review. For a detailed discussion of the recalls series, along with historical data, see “New Series on Recalls from the Labor Turnover Survey,” Em ploym ent and Earnings, Decem ber 1977, pp. 10-19. A comprehensive discussion of the differences between household and establishment data on employment appears in Gloria P. Green, “Comparing employment estimates from household and payroll sur veys,” M o n th ly L a b o r Review, December 1969, pp. 9 -2 0 . See also B L S H andbook o f Methods f o r Surveys and Studies, Bulletin 1910 (Bu reau of Labor Statistics, 1976). The formulas used to construct the spendable average weekly earn ings series reflect the latest provisions of the Federal income tax and social security tax laws. For the spendable average weekly earnings formulas for the years 1977-79, see Em ploym ent an d Earnings, Sep tember 1979, pp. 6 -8 . Beginning with data for January 1978, real earnings data are adjusted using the revised Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers. Data prior to January 1978 are based on the unrevised Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers. 8. Employment by industry, 1949-78 [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] Year Total Mining Government Construc tion Manufac turing Trans portation and public utilities Whole sale and retail trade Wholesale trade Retail trade Finance, insur ance, and real estate Services Total Federal State and local 1949 1950 43,754 45,197 930 901 2,194 2,364 14.441 15,241 4,001 4,034 9,264 9,386 2,602 2,635 6,662 6,751 1,828 1,888 5,240 5,357 5,856 6.026 1,908 1,928 3,948 4.098 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 47,819 48,793 50,202 48,990 50,641 929 898 866 791 792 2,637 2,668 2,659 2,646 2,839 16,393 16,632 17,549 16,314 16,882 , 4,226 4,248 4,290 4,084 4,141 9,742 10,004 10,247 10,235 10,535 2,727 2,812 2,854 2,867 2,926 7,015 7,192 7,393 7,368 7,610 1,956 2,035 2,111 2,200 2,298 5,547 5,699 5,835 5,969 6,240 6,389 6,609 6,645 6,751 6,914 2,302 2,420 2,305 2,188 2,187 4,087 4,188 4,340 4,563 4,727 1956 1957 1958 1959' 1960 52,369 52,853 51,324 53,268 54,189 822 828 751 732 712 3,039 2,962 2,817 3,004 2,926 17,243 17,174 15,945 16,675 16,796 4,244 4,241 3,976 4,011 4,004 10,858 10,886 10,750 11,127 11,391 3,018 3,028 2,980 3,082 3,143 7,840 7,858 7,770 8,045 8,248 2,389 2,438 2,481 2,549 2,629 6,497 6,708 6,765 7,087 7,378 7,278 7,616 7,839 8,083 8,353 2,209 2,217 2,191 2,233 2,270 5,069 5,399 5,648 5,850 6,083 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 53,999 55,549 56,653 58,283 60,765 672 650 635 634 632 2,859 2,948 3,010 3,097 3,232 16,326 16,853 16,995 17,274 18,062 3,903 3,906 3,903 3,951 4,036 11,337 11,566 11,778 12,160 12,716 3,133 3,198 3,248 3,337 3,466 8,204 8,368 8,530 8,823 9,250 2,688 2,754 2,830 2,911 2,977 7,620 7,982 8,277 8,660 9,036 8,594 8,890 9,225 9,596 10,074 2,279 2,340 2,358 2,348 2,378 6,315 6,550 6,868 7,248 7,696 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 63,901 65,803 67,897 70,384 70,880 627 613 606 619 623 3,317 3,248 3,350 3,575 3,588 19,214 19,447 19,781 20,167 19,367 4,158 4,268 4,318 4,442 4,515 13,245 13,606 14,099 14,705 15,040 3,597 3,689 3,779 3,907 3,993 9,648 9,917 10,320 10,798 11,047 3,058 3,185 3,337 3,512 3,645 9,498 10,045 10,567 11,169 11,548 10,784 11,391 11,839 12,195 12,554 2,564 2,719 2,737 2,758 2,731 8,220 8,672 9,102 9,437 9,823 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 71,214 73,675 76,790 78,265 76,945 609 628 642 697 752 3,704 3,889 4,097 4,020 3,525 18,623 19,151 20,154 20,077 18,323 4,476 4,541 4,656 4,725 4,542 15,352 15,949 16,607 16,987 17,060 4,001 4,113 4,277 4,433 4,415 11,351 11,836 12,329 12,554 12,645 3,772 3,908 4,046 4,148 4,165 11,797 12,276 12,857 13,441 13,892 12,881 13,334 13,732 14,170 14,686 2,696 2,684 2,663 2,724 2,748 10,185 10,649 11,068 11,446 11,937 1976 1977 1978 79,382 82,423 86,446 779 813 851 3,576 3,851 4,271 18,997 19,682 20,476 4,582 4,713 4,927 17,755 18,516 19,499 4,546 4,708 4,957 13,209 13,808 .14,542 4,271 4,467 4,727 14,551 15,303 16,220 14,871 15,079 15,476 2,733 2,727 2,753 12,138 12,352 12,723 'Data Include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. 9. Employment by State [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] State Alaska.......................................................................... Arizona ........................................................................ Arkansas ...................................................................... California...................................................................... Co'orado ...................................................................... Connecticut .................................................................. Delaware...................................................................... District of Columbia........................................................ Florida.......................................................................... Nov. 1978 Oct. 1979 Nov. 1979 p 1 361 7 1,365 0 177.4 1,364.0 973.5 985.0 160.8 924.4 162.1 733.8 755.8 750.4 9,463.0 9,811.6 9,827.7 1,168.0 1,207.8 1,203.4 1,386.7 1,414.5 1,422.9 248.4 250.2 247.9 590.5 596.6 599.1 3,206.3 3,301.0 3,350.1 2,019.0 2,029.1 2,0333 384.2 341 3 399.1 345 4 397.8 Illinois .......................................................................... Indiana.......................................................................... 4,841.7 4,860.8 4,833.0 2,2335 2,258.4 2,243.1 Iowa ............................................................................ Kansas ........................................................................ Kentucky ...................................................................... Louisiana...................................................................... Maine .......................................................................... 1,126.6 1.131.0 1,147.0 931.7 958.8 963.5 Georgia ........................................................................ Hawaii.......................................................................... 1,270.2 1,290.0 1,295.6 1,458.5 1,467.9 416.2 413.1 1,626.1 1,632.8 2,557.8 2,602.2 2,614.3 3,706.1 3,6081 3,597.3 1,727.4 1,795.6 1,797.7 832.1 838.9 836.9 1,956.9 1,976.5 1,965.4 Nov. 1978 282 0 Nebraska................................................................ Nevada .................................................................. New Hampshire ...................................................... New Jersey ............................................................ New Mexico ............................................................. New York................................................................ North Carolina ........................................................ North Dakdta .......................................................... Ohio ...................................................................... Oklahoma .............................................................. Oregon .................................................................. 343.0 1,431.6 410.5 1,623.5 Massachusetts.............................................................. Michigan ...................................................................... Minnesota .................................................................... Mississippi .................................................................... Missouri........................................................................ State Rhode Island .......................................................... South Carolina ........................................................ South Dakota.......................................................... Tennessee .............................................................. Texas .................................................................... Utah ...................................................................... Vermont.................................................................. Washington ............................................................ West Virginia .......................................................... Wisconsin................................................................ Wyoming ................................................................ Oct. 1979 Nov. 1979 p 294.2 291.8 609.9 619.1 368.1 383.3 620.5 384.4 371.8 389.6 387.8 3,025.0 3,053.8 3,056.7 455.0 7.139.0 475.3 7,154.4 7,172.7 2,315.3 2,371.7 2,375.5 240.1 4,490.4 252.0 250.0 4,526.6 4,522.5 1,047.2 1,093.3 474.7 1,098.5 1,029.5 1,072.1 1.066.5 4,738 2 4,735.7 4,745.5 409.6 405.2 406.5 1,150.9 1,174.0 1,175.8 234.4 240.7 1,741.6 2 383 1.737.8 5,369.6 1,740.8 5,594.1 5,621.3 546.2 574.6 576.2 193 5 200.3 197.6 2,0852 2.124.4 2,128.5 1,557.2 1,650.6 1,644.7 639.7 639.9 639.1 1,933.8 2,007.3 2,002.4 195.9 221.2 221.2 ’ Revised series; not strictly comparable with previously published data. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 81 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 10. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group [Nonagricultural payroll data, in thousands] Annual average 1978 1977 1978 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.p Dec.p 82,423 86,446 88,893 87,128 87,331 88,207 88,820 89,671 90,541 89,618 89,673 90,211 90,678 90,908 91,179 813 851 916 910 915 926 932 944 968 976 986 980 982 985 992 1979 Industry division and group TOTAL MINING CONSTRUCTION 3,851 4,271 4,402 3,998 3,957 4,226 4,413 4,662 4,881 4,993 5,048 4,984 4,976 4,877 4,688 MANUFACTURING Production workers ...................................... 19,682 14,135 20,476 14.714 20,902 15.047 20,763 14,910 20,775 14,908 20,887 14,993 20,907 15,002 20,988 15,061 21,234 15,240 20,965 14,946 20,996 14,960 21,192 15,172 21,094 15,082 20,974 14,961 20,975 14,969 Durable goods Production workers ...................................... 11,597 8,307 12,246 8,786 12,616 9,081 12,561 9,016 12,579 9,018 12,664 9,081 12,697 9,105 12,739 9,129 12,877 9,223 12,712 9,031 12,598 8,907 12,805 9,116 12,737 9,058 12,669 8,991 12,694 9,019 Lumber and wood products .......................... Furniture and fixtures.................................... Stone, clay, and glass products .................... Primary metal industries................................ Fabricated metal products ............................ Machinery, except electrical.......................... Electric and electronic equipment.................. Transportation equipment.............................. Instruments and related products .................. Miscellaneous manufacturing ........................ 721.9 464,3 668.7 1,181.6 1,582.8 2,174.7 1,878.0 1,871.5 615.1 438.4 752.4 491.1 698.0 1,212.7 1,673.4 2,319.2 1,999.5 1,991.7 653.5 454.0 753.9 498.4 703,6 1,243.0 1,723,6 2,415.7 2,062.4 2,087.6 675.6 452.3 739.0 497.0 681.6 1,243.8 1,716.0 2,428.7 2,060.9 2,075.2 677.5 441.2 737.7 495.2 680.6 1.244.8 1,715.6 2,446.4 2,071,0 2,062.7 680.2 444.8 745.5 491.8 697.2 1,251.1 1,719.8 2,459.5 2.082.6 2,083.9 683.2 . 449.0 748.8 487.8 706.6 1,259.0 1,723.7 2,468,0 2,086,1 2,082.2 686.5 448.0 763.8 483.9 718.6 1,258.6 1,727.8 2,463.6 2,095.2 2,091.8 686,5 448.9 783.2 484.2 733.1 1,274.3 1,749.0 2,491.2 2,128.2 2,077.9 698.8 457.4 776,8 475.5 727.1 1,260.7 1,715.7 2,485.1 2,111.7 2,027.7 692.9 438.6 780.0 483.5 728.2 1,244.5 1,716.1 2,467.1 2,089.5 1,933.2 695.3 460.6 776.3 485.3 723.6 1,244.3 1,735.3 2,496.4 2,136.1 2,051.0 692.7 4638 771.3 487.6 721.0 1,225.1 1,738.3 2,447.2 2,143.7 2,040.9 695.4 466.9 749.9 488.3 713.0 1,217.2 1,737.4 2,447.4 2,145.8 2,011.8 695.9 462.5 731.4 488,1 700.4 1,218.5 1,731.6 2,468.0 2,163.8 2,046.4 701.7 444.1 Nondurable goods Production workers ...................................... 8,086 5,828 8,230 5,928 8,286 5.966 8,202 5,894 8,196 5,890 8,223 5,912 8,210 5,897 8,249 5,932 8,357 6,017 8,253 5,915 8,398 6,053 8,387 6,056 8,357 6,024 8,305 5,970 8,281 5,950 Food and kindred products............................ Tobacco manufactures ................................ Textile mill products...................................... Apparel and other textile products ................ Paper and allied products ............................ Printing and publishing.................................. Chemicals and allied products ...................... Petroleum and coal products ........................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products ........................ 1,711.0 70.7 910.2 1,316.3 691.6 1,141.4 1,073.7 202.3 713.5 254.8 1.72Î.2 69.6 900.2 1,332.5 700.9 1.193.1 1,096.3 208.7 751.9 255.6 1,717.2 73.9 899.9 1,327.4 704.1 1,226.4 1,103.0 209.0 773.5 251.5 1,678.0 69.8 896.3 1,313.6 700.0 1,221.0 1,100.0 2058 771.0 246.3 1,658.1 66.4 896.4 1,320.6 703.4 1,225,7 1,099.7 206.4 773.8 245.1 1,666.9 64.4 894.4 1,326.6 708.8 1,229.5 1,103.9 208.3 774.4 245.7 1,657.3 625 890.4 1,323.7 710.8 1,231.0 1,106.7 210.8 772.0 245.1 1,669.6 61.9 892.5 1,327.5 712.7 1,234.7 1,110.9 212.9 777.0 249.2 1,716,6 62.1 900.4 1,333.1 724.6 1,243.4 1,126.6 216.8 779.4 253.7 1,737.8 62.1 875.5 1,278.7 719.6 1,245.8 1,123.0 218.0 767.4 224.7 1,810.0 69.0 890.4 1,308.9 723.3 1,245.4 1,121.2 218.3 765,8 245.8 1,814.1 72.2 888.9 1,309.1 718.5 1,246.1 1,114.9 218.1 762.0 243,1 1,766.8 71.9 889.8 1317.0 717.7 1,254.5 1,115.0 218.1 762.6 243.1 1,726.5 64.6 891 8 1,304.8 715.8 1,265.5 1,116.6 217.3 759.2 242.6 1,703.4 669 893.3 1,295.2 716.4 1,273.5 1,122.3 214.7 753.6 241.7 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES 4,713 4,927 5.084 5,010 5,028 5,060 4,989 5,125 5,231 5,200 5,210 5,242 5,244 5,253 5,255 18,516 19,499 20,523 19,765 19,548 19,690 19,957 20,119 20,222 20,118 20,137 20,260 20,314 20,575 20,978 4,708 4,957 5,092 5,066 5,067 5,098 5,112 5,146 5,211 5,208 5,211 5,206 5,235 5,249 5,262 13,808 14,542 15,431 14,699 14,481 14,592 14,845 14,973 15,011 14,910 14,926 15,054 15,079 15,326 15,716 4,467 4,727 4,832 4,829 4,845 4,870 4,900 4,936 5,003 5,032 5,053 5,002 5,013 5,031 5,055 SERVICES 15,303 16,220 16,547 16,353 16,545 16,749 16,897 17,039 17,239 17,314 17,312 17,225 17,292 17,297 17,298 GOVERNMENT Federal........................................................ State and local ............................................ 15,079 2,727 12,352 15,476 2,753 12,723 15,687 2,733 12,954 15,500 2,730 12,770 15,718 2,738 12,980 15,799 2,740 13,059 15,825 2,750 13,075 15,858 2,773 13,085 15,763 2,824 12,939 15,020 2,838 12,182 14,931 2,844 12,087 15,326 2,751 12,575 15,763 2,756 13,007 15,916 2,760 13,156 15,938 2,770 13,168 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE WHOLESALE TRADE RETAIL TRADE FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE 82 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11. Employment by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Nonagricultural payroll data, In thousands] 1979 1978 Industry division and group TOTAL Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.p Dec.p 88,133 88,433 88,700 89,039 89,036 89,398 89,626 89,713 89,762 89,803 89,982 90,109 90,426 922 927 937 940 940 944 949 956 968 973 979 984 999 4,469 4,497 4,486 4,614 4,559 4,648 4,662 4,688 4,674 4,671 4,694 4,712 4,759 MANUFACTURING Production workers.................................................................. 20,881 15,021 20,958 15,085 21,025 15,128 21,073 15,153 21,066 15,134 21,059 15,112 21,063 15,096 21,079 15,090 20,957 14,956 20,949 14,957 20,899 14,894 20,846 14,838 20,954 14,944 Durable goods Production workers.................................................................. 12.583 9,042 12£40 9,085 12,715 9,138 12,751 9,158 12,752 9,146 12,739 9,119 12,760 9,123 12,786 9,124 12,714 9,044 12,737 9,066 12,650 8,972 12,597 8,918 12,660 8,980 Lumber and wood products ............................................................ Furniture and fixtures...................................................................... Stone, clay, and glass products ...................................................... Primary metal industries.................................................................. Fabricated metal products .............................................................. Machinery, except electrical............................................................ Electric and electronic equipment .................................................... Transportation equipment................................................................ Instruments and related products .................................................... Miscellaneous manufacturing .......................................................... 765 494 710 1,247 1,718 2,404 2,050 2,063 674 458 768 497 709 1,250 1,725 2,419 2,065 2,069 679 459 . 768 496 712 1,256 1,733 2,437 2,079 2,094 682 458 769 493 718 1,259 1,732 2,450 2,093 2,094 685 458 761 490 714 1,260 1,732 2,466 2,101 2,084 689 455 762 487 715 1,254 1,730 2,471 2,106 2,077 688 449 757 485 715 1,257 1,737 2,484 2,124 2,057 693 451 753 488 711 1,256 1,730 2,500 2,131 2,073 694 450 752 484 710 1,245 1,714 2,492 2,092 2,079 695 451 758 480 708 1,236 1,716 2,496 2,117 2,086 692 448 760 482 709 1,226 1,723 2,455 2,125 2,025 696 449 752 483 705 1,223 1,725 2,445 2,125 1,996 694 449 742 484 707 1,222 1,726 2,456 2,151 2,022 700 450 Nondurable goods Production workers.................................................................. 8,298 5,979 8,318 6,000 8,310 5,990 8,322 5,995 8,314 5,988 8,320 5,993 8,303 5,973 8,293 5,966 8,243 5,912 8,212 5,891 8,249 5,922 8,249 5,920 8,294 5,964 Food and kindred products.............................................................. Tobacco manufactures .................................................................. Textile mill products........................................................................ Apparel and other textile products .................................................. Paper and allied products .............................................................. Printing and publishing . ................................................................ Chemicals and allied products ........................................................ Petroleum and coal products .......................................................... Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products .................................... Leather and leather products .......................................................... 1,736 69 899 1,333 703 1,218 1,106 211 770 253 1,735 68 900 1,339 706 1,225 1,109 211 774 251 1,729 68 899 1,327 711 1,229 1,108 212 779 248 1,736 69 897 1,324 716 1,232 1,108 213 780 247 1,728 69 892 1,325 717 1,234 1,111 213 781 244 1,725 70 893 1,324 714 1,236 1,114 213 784 247 1,720 69 892 1,312 715 1,242 1,119 212 775 247 1,707 68 892 1,324 718 1,250 1,116 212 777 229 1,696 64 886 1,302 717 1,247 1,111 213 764 243 1,691 65 884 1,294 714 1,245 1,110 215 751 243 1,707 65 887 1,299 715 1,252 1,113 217 751 243 1,711 60 887 1,291 714 1,262 1,115 217 750 242 1,722 62 892 1,300 716 1,265 1,126 217 751 243 MINING CONSTRUCTION TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE WHOLESALE TRADE RETAIL TRADE 5,054 5,071 5,094 5,116 5,024 5,130 5,190 5,169 5,194 5,180 5,218 5,227 5,224 19,858 19,965 20,016 20,054 20,088 20,129 20,116 20,122 20,126 20,169 20,243 20,303 20,300 5,077 5,102 5,118 5,134 5,138 5,156 5,180 5,182 5,185 5,190 5,209 5,233 5,246 14,781 14,863 14,898 14,920 14,950 14,973 14,936 14,940 14,941 14,979 15,034 15,070 15,054 4,847 4,868 4.884 4,899 4,915 4,936 4,958 4,972 5,003 4,997 5,018 5,041 5,070 SERVICES 16,630 16,670 16,763 16,833 16,880 16,954 17,051 17,092 17,141 17,191 17,257 17,314 17,385 GOVERNMENT Federal.......................................................................................... State and local .............................................................................. 15,472 2,734 12,738 15,477 2,758 12,719 15,495 2,757 12,738 15,510 2,757 12,753 15,564 2,758 12,806 15,598 2,770 12,828 15,637 2,788 12,849 15,635 2,785 12,850 15,699 2,813 12,886 15,673 2,762 12,911 15,674 2,770 12 904 15,682 2,771 12,911 15,735 2,787 12,948 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 83 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 12. Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, 1976 to date [Per 100 employees] Year Annual average Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.3 5.1 5.3 5.4 4.9 4.4 4.6 4.9 4.4 3,5 3.9 4.3 4.1 2.9 3.1 3.3 p2.9 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.2 3.7 3.2 3.5 3.9 3.4 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.1 1.9 2.2 2.6 p2.1 1.3 1.6 1,7 1.1 .9 .8 .9 1.1 1.0 .9 .9 8 .8 .7 .8 .7 .6 .6 .7 .7 .6 .5 p.6 .7 .6 .5 4.3 4.3 4.1 4.3 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.7 4.7 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.1 3.8 4.1 4.2 3.4 3.4 3.5 p3.8 3.5 3.4 3.4 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 2.7 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.1 1.2 1.5 1.7 01.5 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.0 1.4 1.1 1.0 8 1.3 1.3 1.1 .8 1.1 1.5 1.1 .9 1.2 1.5 1.1 1.0 p1.5 1.8 1.5 1.4 Nov. Dec. Total accessions 1976 1977 1978 1979 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 3.9 4.0 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.8 4.0 3.5 3.7 3.2 3.4 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 4.0 3.9 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.7 1976 1977 1978 1979 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 2.6 2.8 3.1 2.1 2.2 2.5 28 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.6 1976 1977 1978 1979 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 1.0 .9 .7 1.4 1.2 1.0 .9 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.8 New hires 3.6 3.7 3.9 3.8 Recalls 1.0 1.3 .7 .7 1.2 1.1 .8 .7 1.0 .9 .8 .7 1.0 .8 .8 8 .9 .8 .7 .7 Total separations 1976 1977 1978 1979 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.9 3.6 3.8 3.0 3.4 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.8 3.9 Quits 1976 1977 1978 1979 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 1.7 1.8 2.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.8 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.1 1976 1977 1978 1979 .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. .............................................. 1.3 1.1 .9 1.6 1.7 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.4 .9 .8 1.1 1.0 .9 .8 1.1 .9 .8 .9 .9 .8 .7 .7 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.1 Layoffs 13. .9 .8 .7 .8 Labor turnover rates in manufacturing, by major industry group [Per 100 employees] Accession rates Major industry group 84 Total Separation rates New hires Recalls Total Quils Nov. 1978 Oct. 1979 Nov. 1979 p Nov. 1978 Oct. 1979 Nov. 1979 p Nov. 1978 Oct. 1979 Nov. 1979 p Nov. 1978 Oct. 1979 Nov. 1979 p MANUFACTURING.................................. Seasonally adjusted.............. 3.3 4.4 4.1 4.1 2.9 3.9 2.6 3.4 3.1 2.9 2.1 2.8 0.5 0.7 0.6 3.5 4.0 4.2 3.9 3.8 4.1 Durable goods.................................. Lumber and wood products.......... Furniture and fixtures .................. Stone, clay, and glass products . . . Primary metal industries .............. Fabricated metal products............ Machinery, except electrical.......... Electric and electronic equipment .. Transportation equipment ............ Instruments and related products .. Miscellaneous manufacturing........ 3.1 4.6 5.0 2.8 2.3 3.4 2.7 3.0 2.8 2.8 3.9 3.7 5.1 5.5 3.5 2.6 4.4 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.1 6.2 2.6 3.2 4.0 2.7 2.0 2.9 2.3 2.5 2.4 4.0 4.4 2.3 1.4 2.8 2.2 2.3 1.8 2.4 3.3 2.8 4.4 4.8 2.8 1.5 3.5 2.5 2.6 2.1 2.6 5.2 1.9 2.5 3.3 1.9 1.1 2.3 1.8 1.9 .4 .4 .3 .3 .6 .4 .2 .3 .6 .2 .4 .6 .5 .5 .5 .7 .7 .3 .3 1.1 .2 .7 .5 .5 ,6 .6 .7 .5 2 .3 3.0 4.9 5.1 3.5 2.1 3.6 2.1 2.7 2.4 2.2 7.0 3.6 6.4 5.2 4.2 3.5 4.4 2.7 3.1 2.9 2.7 6.2 3.5 6.5 4.6 4.4 3.2 3.9 2.4 2.8 Nondurable goods Food and kindred products .......... Tobacco manufacturers................ Textile mill products .................... Apparel and other products.......... Paper and allied products ............ Printing and publishing.................. Chemicals and allied products . . . . Petroleum and coal products........ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products...................... Leather and leather products........ 3.7 5.0 4.0 4.0 4.3 2.1 3.3 1.3 1.3 4.7 6.5 2.9 5.1 6.1 2.9 3.8 1.7 2.3 3.4 4.6 3.6 4.9 1.6 4.1 4.5 2.2 3.4 1.4 2.1 .8 1.3 .7 .6 1.5 .4 .4 .2 .1 .5 1.2 .4 .5 .2 .1 4.2 6.7 4.8 4.3 5.3 2.4 2.9 1.3 1.9 5.0 8.3 4.7 4.9 6.1 2.8 3.4 1.7 2.0 4.2 6.0 3.0 ' 3.0 1.4 2.6 1.0 1.3 .7 1.3 2.1 .5 1.0 .3 .5 .2 .0 .7 1.2 4.7 4.5 1.9 3.1 1.4 1.5 2.8 3.5 1.6 3.2 3.2 1.6 2.8 1.0 1.1 4.2 5.6 4.9 7.2 3.5 5.1 3.4 4.2 3.9 5.6 2.5 3.7 .5 1.1 .7 1.2 .6 1.0 4.5 6.8 5.3 7.2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2.5 3.4 2.0 2.7 2.5 3.2 .2 .6 Layoffs Oct. 1979 Nov. 1979 p Nov. 1978 Oct. 1979 Nov. 1979 p ' 1.7 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.5 1.9 1.0 .9 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.5 3.0 3.2 1.6 .7 1.8 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.3 2.5 1.7 3.5 3.2 1.9 .9 2.1 1.3 1.6 1.1 1.6 3.4 1.3 2.4 2.4 1.5 .7 1.5 1.0 1.3 .7 .8 .7 1.1 .6 1.0 .3 .5 .6 .4 3.2 1.0 1.8 .7 1.4 1.7 1.4 .5 .5 .9 .5 1.5 1.4 3.0 1.0 2.2 1.9 1.6 .6 .7 4.1 5.7 2.6 2.9 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.9 1.1 2.5 2.7 1.1 1.9 .6 .6 2.7 4.0 1.2 3.1 3.4 1.3 2.2 .8 .8 2.4 2.6 9 1.8 6 .7 1.4 3.1 3.2 .8 1.7 6 .5 .4 .7 1.5 3.3 2.6 .7 1.8 .7 .5 .4 .6 .8 2.4 1.0 .5 .4 .7 5.1 6.7 2.4 3.8 2.8 4.5 2.1 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.7 2.3 6.5 Nov. 1978 1.1 2.5 1.9 2.5 .5 3.1 1.6 2.7 14. Hours and earnings, by industry division, 1947-78 [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on nonagricultural payrolls] Year Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average hourly earnings Average weekly earnings Average weekly hours Average hourly earnings Manufacturing Construction Mining Total private Average weekly hours 1947 1948 1949 1950 .................. .................. .................. .................. $45.58 49.00 50.24 53.13 40.3 40.0 39.4 39.8 $1,131 1,225 1.275 1.335 $59,94 65.56 62.33 67.16 40,8 39.4 36.3 37.9 $1.469 1.664 1.717 1.772 $58.87 65.27 67.56 69.68 38.2 38.1 37.7 37.4 $1,541 1.713 1.792 1.863 $49.17 53.12 53.88 58.32 40.4 40.0 39.1 40.5 $1,217 1.328 1.378 1.440 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 57.86 60.65 63.76 64.52 67.72 39.9 39.9 39.6 39.1 39.6 1.45 1.52 1.61 1.65 1.71 74.11 77.59 83.03 82.60 89.54 38.4 38.6 38.8 38.6 40,7 1.93 2.01 2.14 2.14 2.20 76.96 82.86 86.41 88.91 90.90 38.1 38.9 37.9 37.2 37.1 2.02 2.13 2.28 2.39 2.45 63.34 66.75 70.47 70,49 75.30 40.6 40.7 40.5 39.6 40,7 1.56 1.64 1.74 1.78 1.85 1956 .................. 1957 .................. 1958 .................. 1959' ................ 1960 .................. 70.74 73.33 75.08 78.78 80.67 39.3 388 38.5 39.0 38.6 1.80 1.89 1.95 2.02 2.09 9506 98.25 96.08 103.68 105.04 40.8 40.1 38.9 40.5 40.4 2.33 2.45 2.47 2.56 2.60 96.38 100.27 103.78 108.41 112.67 37.5 37.0 368 37.0 36.7 2.57 2.71 2.82 2.93 3.07 78.78 81.19 82.32 88.26 89.72 40.4 39.8 39.2 40.3 39.7 1.95 2.04 2.10 2.19 2.26 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 82.60 85.91 88.46 91.33 95.45 38.6 38.7 38.8 38.7 38.8 2.14 2.22 2.28 2.36 2.46 106.92 110.70 114.40 117.74 123.52 40.5 41.0 41.6 41.9 42.3 2.64 2.70 2.75 2.81 2.92 118.08 122.47 127.19 132.06 138.38 369 37.0 37.3 37.2 37.4 3.20 3.31 3.41 3.55 3.70 92.34 96.56 99 23 102.97 107.53 39.8 40.4 40.5 40.7 41.2 2.32 2.39 2.45 2.53 2.61 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 98.82 101.84 107.73 114.61 119.83 38.6 38.0 37.8 37.7 37.1 2.56 2.68 2.85 3.04 3.23 130.24 135.89 142.71 154.80 164.40 42.7 42.6 42.6 43.0 42.7 3.05 3.19 3.35 3.60 3.85 146.26 154.95 164.49 181.54 195.45 37.6 37.7 37.3 37.9 37.3 3.89 4.11 4.41 4.79 5.24 112.19 114.49 122.51 129.51 133.33 41.4 40,6 40.7 40.6 39.8 2.71 2.82 3.01 3.19 3.35 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 127.31 136.90 145.39 154.76 163.53 36.9 37.0 36.9 36.5 36.1 3.45 3.70 3.94 4.24 4.53 172.14 189.14 201.40 219.14 249.31 42.4 42.6 42.4 41.9 41.9 4.06 4.44 4.75 5.23 5.95 211.67 221.19 235.89 249.25 266.08 37.2 36.5 36.8 36.6 36.4 5.69 6.06 6.41 6.81 7.31 142.44 154.71 166.46 176.80 190.79 39.9 40.5 40.7 40.0 39.5 3.57 3.82 4.09 4.42 483 1976 .................. 1977 .................. 1978 .................. 175.45 189.00 203.70 36.1 36.0 35.8 4.86 5.25 5.69 273.90 301.20 332.11 42.4 43.4 43.3 6.46 6.94 7.67 283.73 ■ 295.65 31832 36.8 36.5 368 7.71 8.10 8.65 209.32 228.90 249.27 40.1 40.3 40.4 5.22 568 6.17 Trans portation and public utilities 1964 .................. 1965 .................. Finance, insurance, and real estate Wholesale and retail trade Services $3807 40.80 42 93 44.55 40.5 40.4 40.5 40.5 $0,940 1.010 1.060 1.100 $43.21 45.48 47 63 50.52 37.9 37.9 37.8 37.7 $1,140 1.200 1.260 1.340 47 79 49 20 51.35 53 33 55.16 40 5 40.0 39 5 39.5 39.4 1.18 1.23 1.30 1.35 1.40 54.67 57.08 59.57 62.04 63.92 37.7 37.8 37.7 37.6 37.6 1.45 1.51 1.58 1,65 1.70 57.48 59 60 61 76 64 41 66 01 39.1 38.7 38 6 38.8 38.6 1.47 1.54 1.60 1.66 1.71 65.68 67.53 70.12 72.74 75.14 36.9 36.7 37.1 37.3 37.2 1.78 1.84 1.89 1.95 2.02 38.3 38.2 38.1 37.9 37.7 1.76 1.83 1.89 1.97 2.04 77.12 80.94 84.38 85.79 88.91 36.9 37,3 37.5 37.3 37.2 2.09 2.17 2.25 2.30 2.39 $70.03 73.60 361 35.9 $1.94 2.05 $118.78 125.14 41.1 41.3 $2.89 3.03 67 41 69 91 72.01 74.66 76.91 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 128.13 130.82 138.85 147.74 155.93 41.2 40.5 40.6 40.7 40.5 3.11 3.23 3.42 3.63 3.85 79.39 82.35 87.00 91.39 96.02 37.1 36.6 36.1 35.7 35.3 2.14 2.25 2.41 2.56 2.72 92.13 95.72 101.75 108.70 112.67 37.3 37.1 37.0 37.1 36.7 2.47 258 2.75 2.93 3.07 77.04 80 38 83.97 9057 96.66 355 35.1 34.7 34.7 34.4 2.17 2.29 2.42 2.61 2.81 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. 168.82 187.86 203.31 217 48 233.44 40.1 40.4 40.5 40.2 39.7 4.21 4.65 5.02 5.41 5.88 101.09 106.45 111.76 119.02 126.45 35.1 34.9 34.6 34.2 33.9 2.88 3.05 3.23 3.48 3.73 117.85 122.98 129.20 137.61 14819 36.6 36.6 366 36.5 36.5 3.22 3.36 3.53 3.77 4.06 103.06 110.85 117.29 126 00 134.67 33.9 339 338 33.6 33.5 3.04 3.27 3.47 3.75 4.02 1976 .................. 1977 .................. 1978 .................. 256.71 278.90 302.80 39.8 39,9 40.0 6.45 699 7.57 133.79 142.52 153.64 33.7 33.3 32.9 3.97 4.28 4.67 155.43 165.26 178.36 36.4 36.4 36.4 4.27 4.54 4.90 143.52 153.45 163.67 33.3 33.0 32.8 4.31 465 4.99 ’ Data include Alaska and Hawaii beginning in 1959. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 85 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 15. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Annual Average 1978 1979 Industry division and group 1977 1978 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. TOTAL PRIVATE.......................................... 36.0 35.8 36.1 35.2 35.4 35.7 35.1 35.5 35.9 36.0 36.0 35.8 35.7 35.6 35.9 MINING ............................................................ 43.4 43.3 43.4 42.4 42.6 42.9 42.6 428 43.3 41.7 43.1 43.5 43.7 43.8 43.9 CONSTRUCTION................................................ 36.5 36.8 37.0 34.6 35.4 37.0 35.5 37.2 37.9 37.7 38.0 37.9 37.6 36.5 37.1 MANUFACTURING Overtime hours...................................... 40.3 3.5 40.4 3.6 41.4 3.9 40.1 3.5 40.2 3.5 40.6 3.6 38.9 2.5 40.1 3.3 40.4 3.4 39.9 3.2 40.0 3.3 40.3 3.6 40.3 3.4 40,4 3.4 41.0 3.4 Durable goods Overtime hours...................................... 41.0 3.7 41.1 3.8 42.3 4.3 40.9 3.8 41.1 3.9 41.4 3.9 39.3 2.6 40.8 3.6 41.0 3.6 40.4 3.4 40.4 3.4 40.8 3.6 40.8 3.5 40.9 3.5 41.7 3.5 Lumber and wood products .......................... Furniture and fixtures .................................... Stone, clay, and glass products...................... Primary metal industries................................ Fabricated metal products ............................ 39.8 39.0 41.3 41.3 41.0 39.8 39.3 41.6 41.8 41.0 40.1 40.1 42.2 42.5 42.2 38.5 38.3 40.5 42.2 40.8 39.0 38.1 40.6 42.1 40.9 39.7 39.0 41.8 41.9 41.3 39.1 37.5 41.1 41.7 38.8 39.6 38.2 41.9 41.4 40.7 40.2 38.8 42.1 41.6 41.0 39.4 38.0 41.5 41.3 40.3 39.9 38.6 41.7 40.8 40.5 40.1 39.0 41.7 41.3 40.8 39.8 39.3 41.7 40.9 41.0 39.2 39.2 41.7 40.7 40.9 40.0 39.7 42.0 40.9 41.8 Machinery except electrical............................ Electric and electronic equipment .................. Transportation equipment.............................. Instruments and related products .................. Miscellaneous manufacturing ........................ 41.5 40.4 42.5 40.6 38.8 42.0 40.3 42.2 40.9 38.8 43.6 41.3 44.5 41.7 39.4 42.1 40.3 41.9 40.6 38.6 42.5 40.5 42.1 41.0 38.6 42.6 40.7 42.3 41.3 39.2 40.3 38.8 37.9 40.0 37.6 41.7 40.2 41.6 40.8 38.5 42.0 40.5 41.3 40.7 39.0 41.2 39.6 40.9 40.3 38.7 41.3 39.7 40.5 40.3 38.9 41.9 40.5 40.7 40.7 39.3 41.6 40.3 41.3 40.8 39.3 41.9 40.8 40.8 41.3 39.6 42.9 41.4 42.7 41.8 39.7 Nondurable goods Overtime hours...................................... 39.4 3.2 39.4 3.2 39.9 3.3 38.9 3.0 38.9 3.0 39.3 3.1 38.2 2.5 39.1 2.9 39.4 3.0 39.2 3.0 39.4 3.2 39.6 3.5 39.4 3.2 39.6 3.3 40.0 3.3 Food and kindred products............................ Tobacco manufactures.................................. Textile mill products...................................... Apparel and other textile products.................. Paper and allied products.............................. 40.0 378 40.4 35.6 42.9 39.7 38.1 40.4 35.6 42.9 40.3 38.8 40.8 35.8 43.4 39.5 36.1 39.9 34.6 42.6 39.2 36.2 39.9 34.9 42.2 39.6 38.1 40.4 35.4 42.6 39.0 37.6 38.6 33.9 41.6 39.6 38.9 40.1 35.1 42.4 39.8 39.0 40.6 35.6 42.8 40.1 36.1 39.9 35.4 42.5 40.3 37.6 40.3 35.6 42.6 40.6 39.1 40.8 35.4 42.7 40.0 38.8 40.8 35.5 42.6 40.1 38.9 41.2 35.6 42.9 40.4 39.4 41.7 36.0 43.5 Printing and publishing .................................. Chemicals and allied products........................ Petroleum and coal products ........................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products Leather and leather products ........................ 37.7 41.7 42.7 41.0 36.9 37.6 41.9 43.6 40.9 37.1 38.3 42.3 43.7 42.0 37.1 37.1 41.7 42.8 41.1 36.3 37.3 41.7 42.7 41.2 35.9 37.7 41.9 43.8 41.4 35.9 36.8 41.9 43.9 39.4 35.3 37.3 41.8 43.7 40.5 36.4 37.4 41.8 43.4 40.7 37.1 37.4 41.7 44.1 40.2 36.9 37.9 41.8 43.6 40.0 36.6 37.9 41.8 44.7 40.5 36.8 37.5 41.7 44.1 40.5 36.5 37.9 42.1 44.7 40.2 36.8 38.2 42.4 44.1 40.5 37.1 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES 39.9 40.0 40.2 39.6 39.9 39.8 39.0 39.6 40.0 40.0 40.3 39.9 39.9 40.0 40.2 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 33.3 32.9 33.1 32.0 32.1 32.4 32.5 32.4 32.9 33.3 33.2 32.7 32.5 32.4 32.9 WHOLESALE TRADE 38.8 38.8 39.1 38.4 38.4 38.9 38.6 38.9 39.0 39.0 38.9 38.8 38.9 39.0 39.2 RETAIL TRADE 31.6 31.0 31.3 29.9 30.1 30.3 30.6 30.4 31.0 31.5 31.4 30.7 30.4 30.4 30.9 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE SERVICES 86 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov." Dec. p 36.4 36.4 36.3 36.4 36.4 36.3 36.4 36.1 36.2 36.4 36.2 36.3 36.3 36.4 36.4 . 33.0 32.8 32.5 32.4 32.4 32.6 32.5 32.5 32.9 33.3 33.2 32.7 32.6 32.6 32.7 16. Weekly hours, by industry division and major manufacturing group, seasonally adjusted [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] 1979 1978 Industry division and group TOTAL PRIVATE .............................................. MINING Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.p Dec.p 358 35.8 35.7 35.9 35.3 35.7 356 35.6 35.6 35.7 35.6 35.7 35.7 43.4 43.4 43.1 43.1 42.9 42.8 43.0 41.6 43.2 43.1 43.1 43.3 43.9 368 37.2 37.5 36.6 36.8 37.1 CONSTRUCTION 37.0 37.1 36.6 37.1 35.5 37.1 37.2 MANUFACTURING Overtime hours............................................ 40,6 3.7 40.6 3.7 40.6 3.7 40.6 3.7 39.1 2.7 40.2 3.5 40.1 3.4 40.2 3.3 40.1 3.2 40.2 3.2 40.2 3.2 40.1 3.2 40.3 3.3 Durable goods Overtime hours............................................ 41.4 4.0 41.4 4.1 41.4 4,1 41.4 4.0 39.5 2.7 40.9 3.8 40.7 3.6 40.7 3.5 40.7 3.3 40.7 3.3 40.8 3.3 40.6 3.4 408 3.3 Lumber and wood products ................................ Stone, clay, and glass products .......................... Primary metal industries...................................... Fabricated metal products .................................. 39.9 39.2 41.9 42.2 41.3 39.9 38.9 41.8 42.3 41.1 39.6 38.8 41.6 42.2 41.3 40.0 39.1 42.0 42.0 41.3 39.1 38.1 41.2 41.8 39.1 39.4 38.5 41.7 41.4 40.7 39.4 38.5 41.6 41.2 40.7 39.3 38.4 41.4 41.3 40.8 39.5 38.3 41.3 41.0 40.6 39.7 38.6 41.5 41.0 40.7 39.4 38.8 41.3 41.1 40.9 39.3 38.9 41.5 40.7 40.6 39.8 38.8 41.7 40.6 40.9 Machinery, except electrical................................ Electric and electronic equipment ........................ Transportation equipment.................................... Instruments and related products ........................ Miscellaneous manufacturing .............................. 42.4 40.5 42.8 40.9 38.9 42.3 40.5 42.8 41.1 39.0 42.5 40,7 42.7 41.2 39.0 42.4 40.7 42.3 41.2 39.0 40.5 39.0 37.9 403 37.6 42.0 40.4 41.5 40.8 38.6 42.0 40.3 408 40.6 38.9 41.9 40.2 40.9 40.7 39.3 41.6 39.8 41.7 40.5 39.1 41.9 40.3 40.6 40.6 39.1 41.6 40.3 41.3 40.7 39.1 41.6 40.5 40.6 40.9 39.1 41.7 40.6 41.1 41.0 39.2 Nondurable goods Overtime hours............................................ 39.4 3.2 39.5 3.2 393 3.2 39.4 3.3 38.6 2.7 39.2 3.0 39.2 3.0 39.2 3.0 39.2 3.0 39.3 3.1 39.3 3.0 39.4 3.2 39.5 3.2 Food and kindred products.................................. Tobacco manufactures ...................................... Textile mill products............................................ Apparel and other textile products ...................... Paper and allied products .................................. 39.9 38.1 40.4 35.5 42.8 40.0 37.2 40,7 35.3 42.8 39.8 36.9 40.1 35.4 42.7 40.0 38.0 40.3 35.4 42.8 39.6 37.6 38.8 34.2 41.8 39.8 38.9 40.0 35.2 42.6 398 37.6 40.1 35.2 42.5 39.8 38.5 40.1 35.5 42.5 39.7 38.0 40.1 35.3 42.6 400 38.6 40.6 35.3 42.4 39.9 38.3 40.8 35.3 42.6 39.9 37.7 41.0 35.3 42.7 40.0 38.7 41.2 35.7 42.9 Printing and publishing........................................ Chemicals and allied products ............................ Petroleum and coal products .............................. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products ........ Leather and leather products .............................. 37.6 41.8 43.8 41.2 36.7 37.7 42.0 43.5 41.4 36.8 37.7 42.0 43.6 41.2 364 37.7 41.9 44.0 41.3 36.3 37.1 41.7 43.9 39.7 35.6 37.4 41.9 43.7 40.9 361 37.4 41.7 43.3 40.7 36.4 37.5 41.9 43.6 40.6 36.6 37.7 42.0 43.7 40.2 36.5 37.5 41.7 44,1 40.3 37.0 37.4 41.7 43.7 40.3 36.5 37.6 41.9 44.3 39.9 36.7 37.5 41.9 44.2 39.7 36.7 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 39.2 39.8 39.8 39.7 39.9 39.9 39.9 40.0 40.0 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 32.8 32.5 32.5 32.7 32.8 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.6 32.7 32.6 WHOLESALE TRADE .............................................. 38.9 38.7 38.7 39.0 38.7 39.0 38.8 38.8 38.7 38.7 38.8 39.0 39.0 RETAIL TRADE ...................................................... 30.9 306 30.6 30.7 30.9 30.6 30.6 306 30,5 307 30.6 307 30.5 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE .............................................................. 36.3 36.3 36.4 36.4 36.5 36.1 36.2 36.3 36.1 36.4 36.2 36.5 36.4 SERVICES 32.6 32.6 32.6 32.8 32.7 32.7 32.7 32.8 32.7 32.7 32.6 32.7 32.8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 87 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 17. Hourly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Annual average 1978 1979 Industry division and group TOTAL PRIVATE.......................... 1977 1978 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov." Dec.p $6.34 $6.38 $5.25 $5.69 $5.91 $5.97 $6.00 $6.02 $6.03 $6.09 $6.12 $6.16 $6.19 $6.31 $6.32 MINING 6.94 7.67 8.06 8.20 8.21 8.27 8.54 8.45 8.49 8.52 8.48 8.57 8.57 8.70 8.76 CONSTRUCTION........................ 8.10 8.65 8.92 898 9.02 8.97 9.02 9.14 9.13 9.24 9.32 9.51 949 9.50 9.52 MANUFACTURING .......................... 5.68 6.17 6.48 6.49 6.52 6.56 6.54 6.63 6.66 6.71 6.69 6.80 6.82 6.87 6.97 Durable goods Lumber and wood products ...................... Furniture and fixtures.......................... Stone, clay, and glass products ...................... Primary metal industries................................ Fabricated metal products .................. 6.06 5.10 4.34 5.81 7.40 5.91 6.58 5.60 4.68 6.32 8.20 6.34 6.93 5.79 4.86 6.58 8.56 6.62 6.92 5.79 4.87 6.57 8.62 6.60 6.96 5.83 4.93 6.58 8.75 6.65 6.99 5.84 4.95 6.64 8.75 6.72 6.95 5.90 4.94 6.73 8.92 6.62 7.07 5.97 4.97 6.78 8.83 6.77 7.11 6.16 5.05 6.85 8.91 6.81 7.15 6.23 5.04 6.89 9.04 6.80 7.12 6.23 5.10 6.90 9.10 6.83 7.24 6.32 5.18 6.98 9.16 6.93 7.25 6.24 5.20 7.00 9.10 6.96 7 29 624 5 22 706 9 27 7.00 7 42 6 25 5 28 706 9 35 7.11 Machinery, except electrical............................ Electric and electronic equipment .................... Transportation equipment........................ Instruments and related products .................... Miscellaneous manufacturing .................. 6.26 5.39 7.28 5.29 4.36 6.77 5.82 7.91 5.71 4.69 7.15 6.09 8.41 5.95 4.86 7.10 6.11 8.34 5.99 4.93 7.16 6.13 8.35 6.02 4.95 7.19 6.16 8.42 6.04 4.95 7.10 6.11 8.26 6.03 4.96 7.25 6.21 8.56 6.11 5.00 7.34 6.25 8.53 6.11 4.99 7.35 6.27 8.55 6.16 5.03 7.35 6.36 8.44 6.14 5.04 7.48 6.46 8.59 6.21 5.07 7.45 6.48 8.67 6.32 5.12 7 53 652 8 70 6 39 5.14 7 65 6 63 8 88 6 45 5.24 Nondurable goods Food and kindred products................ Tobacco manufactures...................... Textile mill products............................ Apparel and other textile products .................. Paper and allied products................................ 5.11 5.37 5.54 3.99 3.62 5.96 5.53 5.80 6.13 4.30 3.94 6.52 5.75 6.02 6.18 4.48 4.08 6.79 5.81 6.09 6.36 4.52 4.17 6.80 5.82 6.10 6.53 4.51 4.17 6.83 5.85 6.12 6.64 4.52 4.19 6.88 5.90 6.19 6.80 4.48 4.19 6.92 5.91 6.22 6.83 4.52 4.20 6.96 5.94 6.22 6.82 4.54 4.21 7.05 6.03 6.28 6.83 4.65 4.23 7.17 6.04 6.28 6.59 4.77 4.21 7.22 6.11 6.33 6.54 4.82 4.28 7.32 6.14 6.36 6.43 4 83 4.32 7.34 6 20 6.50 7.01 6 26 6 54 7 02 4 32 7.41 4 38 7.45 Printing and publishing.............................. Chemicals and allied products ........................ Petroleum and coal products .............. Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products . . . Leather and leather products .............. 6.12 6.43 7.83 5.17 3.61 6.50 7.01 8.63 5.52 3.89 6.70 7.28 8.89 5.77 4.01 6.72 7.32 9.01 5.82 4.13 6.73 7.32 9.10 5.84 4.14 6.77 7.36 9.31 5.86 4.17 6.72 7.50 9.44 5.82 4.18 6.83 7.47 9.39 5.90 4.18 6.88 7.53 9.32 5.91 4.19 6.90 7.60 9.39 5.95 4.19 6.94 7.65 9.35 5.94 4.22 7.04 7.73 9.51 6.03 4.29 706 7.82 9 49 6 12 4.31 7 10 7 86 9 59 613 4.34 7 16 7 92 9 57 6 23 4.39 7.88 7.94 8.03 8.23 8.32 8.45 8.45 8.49 8.55 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES............ 6.99 7.57 7.85 7.90 7.92 7.90 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE .................. 4.28 4.67 4.81 4.96 4.97 4.98 5.00 5.00 5.02 5.05 5.06 5.13 5.15 5.18 5.17 WHOLESALE TRADE.............................. 5.39 5.88 6.14 6.18 6.21 6.23 6.30 6.29 6.34 6.39 6.41 6.51 6.51 6.57 6.64 RETAIL TRADE................................ 3.85 4.20 4.31 4.47 4.47 4.47 4.49 4,49 4.50 4.51 4.52 4.58 4.59 4.62 4.59 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE .................................... 4.54 4.90 5.07 5.13 5.19 5.16 5.23 5.22 5.22 5.29 5.29 5.38 5.37 5.42 5.49 SERVICES.................... 4.65 4.99 5.16 5.23 5.27 5.26 5.29 5.27 5.27 5.29 5.30 5.45 5.48 5.53 5.59 18. Hourly Earnings Index for production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls, by industry division [Seasonally adjusted data: 1967 = 100] 1978 1979 Percent change Industry Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.p Dec. p Nov. 1979 to Dec. 1979 Dec. 1978 to Dec. 1979 TOTAL PRIVATE (in current dollars) .. 220.9 222.6 224.0 225.2 226.8 227.5 229.0 230.9 232.2 234.3 234.9 237.1 239.1 0.8 8.2 Mining.............................. Construction ...................... Manufacturing .............................. Transportation and public utilities . . . Wholesale and retail trade ............ Finance, insurance, and real estate Services ............................ 250.9 213.0 224.2 239.0 214.7 202.1 219.3 252.1 213.8 225.4 240.8 217.7 202.4 220.8 253.7 216.7 227.2 241.7 218.1 204.2 222.2 256.1 216.5 228.7 243.1 219.4 204.8 223.3 264.1 218.1 231.0 241.7 220.9 207.5 225.0 262.7 220.4 232.3 243.7 221.0 266.9 222.1 235.4 251.3 223.8 210.8 227.0 265.6 223.1 236.9 252.6 225.4 211.5 228.4 266.1 224.4 238.7 255.6 227.0 214.4 231.5 268.0 224.0 240.0 255.8 227.4 213.1 232.3 271.4 225.6 242.1 258.0 229.4 216.2 234.6 274.0 226.5 244 2 260.5 230.4 218.4 237.4 .9 .4 9 10 .4 1.0 1.2 92 64 224.3 264.9 220.4 233.9 246.4 222.6 208.0 225.7 108.7 108.5 107.8 107.3 106.9 106.1 105.7 105.6 105.1 104.9 104.2 104.1 ( ') TOTAL PRIVATE (In constant dollars) 1Not available. 88 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (’ ) 90 73 81 8.2 n 19. Weekly earnings, by industry division and major manufacturing group [Gross averages, production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Annual average 1979 1978 Industry division and group 1977 TOTAL PRIVATE...................................... $189.00 1978 $203.70 Dec. $213.35 Jan. Feb. $210.14 $212.40 Mar. $214.91 Apr. $211.65 May $216.20 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. p Dec.p $219.71 $221.76 $222.84 $22590 $225.62 $225.70 $229.04 365.49 372.80 374.51 381.06 384.56 MINING .............................................................. 301.20 332.11 349.80 347.68 349.75 354.78 363.80 361.66 367.62 355.28 CONSTRUCTION ................................................ 295.65 318.32 330.04 310.71 319.31 331.89 320.21 340.01 346.03 348.35 354.16 360.43 356.82 346.75 353.19 274.04 274.85 277.55 285.77 MANUFACTURING.............................................. 228.90 249.27 268.27 260.25 262.10 266.34 254.41 265.86 269.06 267.73 267.60 Durable goods Lumber and wood products .......................... Furniture and fixtures .................................... Stone, clay, and glass products...................... Primary metal Industries................................ Fabricated metal products ............................ 248.46 202.98 169.26 239.95 305.62 242.31 270.44 222.88 183.92 262.91 342.76 259.94 293.14 232.18 194.89 277.68 363.80 279.36 283.03 222.92 186.52 266.09 363.76 269.28 286.06 227.37 187.83 267.15 368.38 271.99 289.39 231.85 193.05 277.55 366.63 277.54 273.14 230.69 185.25 276.60 371.96 256.86 288.46 236.41 189.85 284.08 365.56 275.54 291.51 247.63 195.94 288.39 370.66 279.21 288.86 245.46 191.52 285.94 373.35 274.04 287.65 248.58 196.86 287.73 371.28 276.62 295.39 253.43 202.02 291.07 378.31 282.74 295.80 248.35 204.36 291.90 372.19 285.36 298.16 244.61 204.62 294.40 377.29 286.30 309.41 250.00 209.62 296.52 382.42 297.20 Machinery except electrical............................ Electric and electronic equipment .................. Transportation equipment.............................. Instruments and related products .................. Miscellaneous manufacturing ........................ 259.79 217.76 309.40 214.77 169.17 284.34 234.55 333.80 233.54 181.97 311.74 251.52 374.25 248.12 191.48 298.91 246.23 349.45 243.19 190.30 304.30 248.27 351.54 246.82 191.07 306.29 250.71 356.17 249.45 194.04 286.13 237.07 313.05 241.20 186.50 302.33 249.64 356.10 249.29 192.50 308.28 253.13 352.29 248.68 194.61 302.82 248.29 349.70 248.25 194.66 303.56 252.49 341.82 247.44 196.06 313.41 261.63 349.61 252.75 199.25 309.92 261.14 358.07 257.86 201.22 315.51 266.02 354.96 263.91 203.54 328.19 274.48 379.18 269.61 208.03 Nondurable goods Food and kindred products............................ Tobacco manufactures.................................. Textile mill products...................................... Apparel and other textile products.................. Paper and allied products.............................. 201.33 214.80 209.41 161.20 128.87 255.68 217.88 230.26 233.55 173.72 140.26 279.71 229.43 242.61 239.78 182.78 146.06 294.69 226.01 240.56 229.60 180.35 144.28 289.68 226.40 239.12 236.39 179.50 145.53 288.23 229.91 242.35 252.98 182.61 148.33 293.09 225.38 241.41 255.68 172.93 142.04 287.87 231.08 246.31 265.69 181.25 147.42 295.10 234.04 247.56 265.98 184.32 149.88 302.74 236.38 251.83 246.56 185.54 149.74 304.73 237.98 253.08 247.78 192.23 149.88 307.57 241.96 257.00 255.71 196.66 151.51 312.56 241.92 254.40 249.48 197.06 153.36 312.68 245.52 260.65 272.69 200.23 153.79 317.89 250.40 264.22 276.59 203.91 157.68 324.08 Printing and publishing .................................. Chemicals and allied products........................ Petroleum and coal products ........................ Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products.................. ...................... Leather and leather products ........................ 230.72 268.13 334.34 244.40 293.72 376.27 256.61 307.94 388.49 249.31 305.24 385.63 251.03 305.24 388.57 255.23 308.38 407.78 247.30 314.25 414.42 254.76 312.25 410.34 257.31 314.75 404.49 258.06 316.92 414.10 263.03 319.77 407.66 266.82 323.11 425.10 264.75 326.09 418.51 269.09 330.91 428.67 273.51 335.81 422.04 211.97 133.21 225.77 144.32 242.34 148.77 239.20 149.92 240.61 148.63 242.60 149.70 229.31 147.55 238.95 152.15 240.54 155.45 239.19 154.61 237.60 154.45 244.22 157.87 247.86 157.32 246.43 159.71 252.32 162.87 TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES 278.90 302.80 315.57 312.84 316.01 314.42 307.32 314.42 321.20 329.20 335.30 337.16 337.16 339.60 343.71 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 142.52 153.64 159.21 158.72 159.54 161.35 162.50 162.00 165.16 168.17 167.99 167.75 167.38 167.83 170.09 WHOLESALE TRADE .......................................... 209.13 228.14 240.07 237.31 238.46 242,35 243.18 244.68 247.26 249.21 249.35 252.59 253.24 256.23 260.29 RETAIL TRADE.................................................... 121.66 130.20 134.90 133.65 134.55 135.44 137.39 136.50 139.50 142.07 141.93 140.61 139.54 140.45 141.83 FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE 165.26 178.36 184.04 186.73 188.92 187.31 190.37 188.44 188.96 192.56 191.50 195.29 194.93 197.29 199.84 180.28 182.79 SERVICES https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis .. 153.45 163.67 167.70 169.45 170.75 171.48 171.93 171.28 173.38 176.16 175.96 178.22 178.65 89 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Establishment Data 20. Gross and spendable weekly earnings, in current and 1967 dollars, 1960 to date [Averages for production or nonsupervisory workers on private nonagricultural payrolls] Private nonagricultural workers Year and month 1960 .............................. Gross average weekly earnings Manufacturing workers Spendable average weekly earnings Worker with no dependents Married worker with 3 dependents Spendable average weekly earnings Worker with no dependents Married worker with 3 dependents Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars Current dollars 1967 dollars $80.67 $90.95 $65.59 $73.95 $72.96 $82.25 $89.72 $101.15 $72.57 $81.82 $80.11 $90.32 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 ................................ .................................. ................................ ................................ .................................... 82.60 85.91 88.46 91.33 95.45 92.19 94.82 96.47 98.31 101.01 67.08 69.56 71.05 75.04 79.32 74.87 76.78 77.48 80.78 83.94 74.48 76.99 78.56 82.57 86.63 83.13 84.98 85.67 88.88 91.67 92.34 96.56 99.23 102.97 107.53 103.06 106.58 108.21 110.84 113.79 74.60 77.86 79.51 84.40 89.08 83.26 85.94 86.71 90.85 94.26 82.18 85.53 87.25 92.18 96.78 91.72 94.40 95.15 99 22 102.41 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 .................................... ............................ ........................ ........................ .................................... 98.82 101.84 107.73 114.61 119.83 101.67 101.84 103.39 104.38 103.04 81.29 83,38 86.71 90.96 96.21 83.63 83.38 83.21 82,84 82.73 88.66 90.86 95.28 99.99 104.90 91.21 9086 91.44 91.07 90.20 112.19 114.49 122.51 129.51 133.33 115.42 114.49 117.57 117.95 114.64 91.45 92.97 97.70 101.90 106.32 94.08 92.97 93.76 92.81 91.42 99.33 100.93 106.75 111.44 115.58 102.19 100.93 102.45 101.49 99.38 1971.................................. 1972 .................................. 1973 ............................ 1974 .................. 1975 ................................ 127.31 136.90 145.39 154.76 163.53 104.95 109.26 109.23 104,78 101.45 103.80 112.19 117.51 124.37 132.49 85.57 89.54 88.29 84.20 82.19 112.43 121.68 127.38 134.61 145.65 92.69 97.11 95.70 91.14 90,35 142.44 154.71 166.46 176.80 190.79 117.43 123.47 125.06 119.70 118.36 114,97 125.34 132.57 140.19 151.61 94.78 100.03 99.60 94.92 94.05 124.24 135.57 143.50 151.56 166.29 102.42 108.20 107.81 102.61 103.16 1976 .................................... 1977 .............................. 1978 .................................... 175.45 189.00 203.70 102.90 104.13 104.30 143.30 155.19 165.39 84.05 85.50 84.69 155.87 169.93 180.71 91.42 93.63 92.53 209.32 228.90 249.27 122.77 126.12 127.63 167.83 183.80 197.40 98.43 101.27 101.08 181.32 200.06 214.87 106.35 110.23 110.02 1978: December........................ 213.35 105.15 172.31 84.92 187.95 92.63 268.27 132.22 210.12 103.56 229.40 113.06 1979: January............................ February.......................... March............................ 210.14 212.40 214.91 102.66 102.56 102.68 170.88 172.53 174.35 83.48 83.31 83.30 187.22 188.98 190.93 91.46 91.25 91.22 260.25 262,10 266.34 127.14 126.56 127.25 206.40 207.69 210.65 100.83 100.28 100.65 225.48 226.89 230.10 110.15 109.56 109.94 April .............................. May ................................ June ................................ 211.65 216.20 219.71 99.93 100.89 101.30 171.98 175.29 177.85 81.20 81.80 82.00 188.39 191.93 194.67 88.95 89.56 89.75 254.41 265.86 269.06 12012 124.06 124.05 202.32 210.04 212.51 95.52 98.14 97.98 221.05 229.74 232.17 104.37 107.20 107.04 July.................................. August ............................ September ................ 221.76 22284 225.90 101.08 100.60 100.98 179.35 180.13 182.36 81.75 81.32 81.52 196.26 197.11 199.42 89.45 88.99 89.15 267,73 267.60 274.04 122.03 120.81 122.50 211.61 211.52 215.89 96.45 95.49 96.51 231.16 231.06 235.94 105.36 104.32 105.47 October............................ November0 ...................... December0 ................ 225.62 225.70 229.04 100.01 99.17 n 182.16 182.22 184.59 80.74 80.06 (’ ) 199.21 199.27 201.80 88.30 87.55 ( ') 274.85 277.55 285.77 121.83 121.95 (’ ) 216.44 218.27 223.85 95.94 95.90 (’ ) 236.56 238.61 244.84 104.86 104 84 (' ) NOTE: The earnings expressed in 1967 dollars have been adjusted for changes in price level as measured by the Bureau's Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers 90 average weekly earnings https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (revised). These series are described in "The Spendable Earnings Series: A Technical Note on its Calculation", Employment and Earnings and Monthly Report on the Labor Force, February 1969, pp. 6-13, See also "Spendable Earnings Formulas, 1977-79” Employment and Earnings, September 1979, pp 6 8. UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE DATA ployed. Persons not covered by unemployment insurance (about onethird of the labor force) and those who have exhausted or not yet earned benefit rights are excluded from the scope of the survey. Ini tial claims are notices filed by persons in unemployment insurance programs to indicate they are out of work and wish to begin receiv ing compensation. A claimant who continued to be unemployed a full week is then counted in the insured unemployment figure. The rate of insured unemployment expresses the number of insured unem ployed as a percent of the average insured employment in a 12-month period. U n e m p l o y m e n t i n s u r a n c e d a t a are compiled monthly by the Employment and Training Administration of the U.S. De partment of Labor from records of State and Federal unem ployment insurance claims filed and benefits paid. Railroad unemployment insurance data are prepared by the U.S. Rail road Retirement Board. Definitions An application for benefits is filed by a railroad worker at the be ginning of his first period of unemployment in a benefit year; no ap plication is required for subsequent periods in the same year. Num ber of payments are payments made in 14-day registration periods. The average amount of benefit payment is an average for all com pensable periods, not adjusted for recovery of overpayments or set tlement of underpayments. However, total benefits paid have been adjusted. Data for all programs represent an unduplicated count of insured unemployment under the State, Ex-Servicemen, and UCFE programs, and the Railroad Insurance Act. Under both State and Federal unemployment insurance programs for civilian employees, insured workers must report the completion of at least 1 week of unemployment before they are defined as unem 21. Unemployment Insurance and employment service operations 1978 Item All programs: Insured unemployment...................... State unemployment insurance program:1 Initial claims2 .................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ............................ Rate of insured unemployment .......... Weeks of unemployment compensated ................................ Average weekly benefit amount for total unemployment.................. Total benefits paid ............................ Unemployment compensation for exservicemen:3 Initial claims' .................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ............................ Weeks of unemployment compensated ................................ Total benefits paid ............................ Unemployment compensation for Federal civilian employees:4 Initial claims...................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ............................ Weeks of unemployment compensated ................................ Total benefits paid ............................ Railroad unemployment insurance: Applications...................................... Insured unemployment (average weekly volume) ............................ Number of payments ........................ Average amount of benefit payment........................................ Total benefits paid ............................ Employment service:8 New applications and renewals Nonfarm placements ........................ Apr. Feb. Dec. Nov. June July Aug. Sept 2,164 Oct 2236 2,148 2,567 3,198 3,209 2,921 2,610 2,230 2,119 2,429 1,526 1,882 2,421 1,576 1,396 1,589 1,309 1,400 1,976 1219 1,640 2,300 2.8 2,024 2.4 2,057 2.4 2,009 2.7 2,421 3.2 6,744 7,907 $83.99 $550,691 $85.34 $645,084 23 24 48 50 244 $20,591 228 $21,040 16 18 32 34 135 $11,826 136 $12,174 1,991 2.5 2245 2.7 2,750 3.6 2,440 3.1 10,762 8,956 8,442 7,197 7,889 8,830 6,993 7,638 $88.28 $972,820 $90.31 $915,146 $90.28 $975,641 $89.25 $777,699 $88.37 $725,229 $87.25 $610269 $86.40 $665,687 $88.56 $767,025 $89.07 $606,095 $90.59 $673,927 262 $24,425 219 $20,489 241 $22,794 207 $19,617 214 $20,440 193 $18,623 216 $20,965 234 $22,550 211 $19,634 236 $23,323 158 $14,222 133 $12,256 143 $13,168 112 $10,345 106 $9,330 91 $8,341 96 $8,802 107 $9,829 91 $8,456 109 $10,093 $200.54 $9,871 $204.72 $10,538 $195.55 $7,276 $177.39 $5,681 $183.13 $3,314 $190.10 $3,699 $195.61 $3,767 $189.08 $5,747 $189.61 $8,003 8,059 1,991 9,180 2,291 10,452 2,616 11,907 3,051 13,186 3,482 14,479 3,935 3,037 3.9 15 10 17 33 17 30 $171.54 $5,394 $189.59 $5,678 $200.80 $9,634 3,026 827 414 1,120 5,630 1,414 3,053 4.0 'Initial claims and State insured unemployment include data under the program for Puerto Rican sugarcane workers. 2 Includes interstate claims for the Virgin Islands. Excludes transition claims under State programs. 3 Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with other programs. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis May 2,078 2.6 Nov. 2,559 2,384 2.8 $183.38 $6,462 'Includes the Virgin Islands. Excludes data on claims and payments made jointly with State pro grams. 8Cumulative total for fiscal year (October 1 - September 30). NOTE: Data for Puerto Rico included. Dashes indicate data not available. 91 PRICE DATA P rice data are gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from retail and primary markets in the United States. Price indexes are given in relation to a base period (1967 = 100, unless otherwise noted). Definitions The Consumer Price Index is a monthly statistical measure of the average change in prices in a fixed market basket of goods and ser vices. Effective with the January 1978 index, the Bureau of Labor Sta tistics began publishing CPI’s for two groups of the population. One index, a new CPI for All Urban Consumers, covers 80 percent of the total noninstitutional population; and the other index, a revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, covers about half the new index population. The All Urban Consumers index includes, in addition to wage earners and clerical workers, professional, manageri al, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees, and others not in the labor force. The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuel, drugs, transportation fares, doctor’s and dentist’s fees, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. The quantity and quali ty of these items is kept essentially unchanged between major revi sions so that only price changes will be measured. Prices are collected from over 18,000 tenants, 24,000 retail establishments, and 18,000 housing units for property taxes in 85 urban areas across the country. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index. Because the CPI’s are based on the expendi tures of two population groups in 1972-73, they may not accurately reflect the experience of individual families and single persons with different buying habits. Though the CPI is often called the “Cost-of-Living Index,” it mea sures only price change, which is just one of several important factors affecting living costs. Area indexes do not measure differences in the level of prices among cities. They only measure the average change in prices for each area since the base period. Producer Price Indexes measure average changes in prices received in primary markets of the United States by producers of commodities in all stages of processing. The sample used for calculating these in dexes contains about 2,800 commodities and about 10,000 quotations per month selected to represent the movement of prices of all com modities produced in the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing, mining, gas and electricity, and public utilities sectors. The universe includes all commodities produced or imported for sale in commercial transactions in primary markets in the United States. Producer Price Indexes can be organized by stage of processing or by commodity. The stage of processing structure organizes products by degree of fabrication (that is, finished goods, intermediate or semifinished goods, and crude materials). The commodity structure organizes products by similarity of end-use or material composition. To the extent possible, prices used in calculating Producer Price In dexes apply to the first significant commercial transaction in the Unit ed States, from the production or central marketing point. Price data are generally collected monthly, primarily by mail questionnaire. 92 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Most prices are obtained directly from producing companies on a vol untary and confidential basis. Prices generally are reported for the Tuesday of the week containing the 13th day of the month. In calculating Producer Price Indexes, price changes for the vari ous commodities are averaged together with implicit quantity weights representing their importance in the total net selling value of all com modities as of 1972. The detailed data are aggregated to obtain in dexes for stage of processing groupings, commodity groupings, dura bility of product groupings, and a number of special composite groupings. Price indexes for the output of selected SIC industries measure av erage price changes in commodities produced by particular industries, as defined in the Standard In d u s tria l Classification M a n u a l 1972 (Washington, U.S. Office of Management and Budget, 1972). These indexes are derived from several price series, combined to match the economic activity of the specified industry and weighted by the value of shipments in the industry. They use data from comprehensive in dustrial censuses conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census and the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Notes on the data Beginning with the May 1978 issue of the Review, regional CPI’s cross classified by population size, were introduced. These indexes will enable users in local areas for which an index is not published to get a better approximation of the CPI for their area by using the appropri ate population size class measure for their region. The cross-classified indexes will be published bimonthly. (See table 24.) For further details about the new and the revised indexes and a comparison of various aspects of these indexes with the. old unrevised CPI, see Facts A bout the Revised Consumer Price Index, a pamphlet in the Consumer Price Index Revision 1978 series. See also The Consumer Price Ind ex: Concepts and Content Over the Years. Report 517, revised edition (Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 1978). For interarea comparisons of living costs at three hypothetical stan dards of living, see the family budget data published in the H andbook o f L a b o r Statistics, 1977, Bulletin 1966 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1977), tables 122-133. Additional data and analysis on price changes are provided in the C P I D etailed Report and Producer Prices and Price Indexes, both monthly publications of the Bureau. As of January 1976, the Wholesale Price Index (as it was then called) incorporated a revised weighting structure reflecting 1972 val ues of shipments. From January 1967 through December 1975, 1963 values of shipments were used as weights. For a discussion of the general method of computing consumer, producer, and industry price indexes, see B L S Handbook o f Methods f o r Surveys an d Studies, Bulletin 1910 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1976), chapters 13-15. See also John F. Early, “Improving the mea surement of producer price change,” M o n th ly L a b o r Review, April 1978, pp. 7-1 5 . For industry prices, see also Bennett R. Moss, “In dustry and Sector Price Indexes,” M o n th ly La bor Review, August 1965, pp. 974-82. 22. Consumer Price index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, annual averages and changes, 1967-78 _____ [1967 = 100] Food and beverages Other goods and services Transportation 1967 1968 1969 1970 100.0 104.2 109.8 116.3 4.2 5.4 5.9 100.0 103.6 108.8 114.7 3.6 5.0 5.4 100.0 104.0 110.4 118.2 4.0 6.2 7.1 100.0 105.4 111.5 116.1 5.4 5.8 4.1 100.0 103.2 107.2 112.7 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 121.3 125.3 133.1 147.7 161.2 4.3 3.3 6.2 11.0 9.1 118,3 123.2 139.5 158.7 172.1 3.1 4.1 13.2 13.8 8.4 123.4 128.1 133.7 148.8 164.5 4.4 3.8 4.4 11.3 10.6 119.8 122.3 126.8 136.2 142.3 3.2 2.1 3.7 7.4 4.5 118.6 119.9 123.8 137.7 150.6 1976 1977 1978 170.5 181.5 195.3 5.8 6.5 7.6 177.4 188.0 206.2 3.1 6.0 9.7 174.6 186.5 202.6 6.1 6.8 8.6 147.6 154.2 159.5 3.7 4.5 3.4 165.5 177.2 185.8 Percent change Percent change Percent change Percent change Percent change Percent change Percent change Percent change Apparel and upkeep Housing 100 0 105.2 110.4 116.8 106.1 113.4 120.6 6.1 6.9 6.3 100.0 105.7 111.0 116.7 5.2 1.1 3.3 11.2 9.4 128.4 132.5 137.7 150.5 168.6 6.5 3.2 3.9 9.3 12.0 122.9 126.5 130.0 139.8 152.2 5.3 2,9 2.8 7,5 8.9 122.4 127.5 132.5 142.0 153.9 4,8 4.2 3.9 7.2 8.4 9.9 7.1 4.9 184.7 202.4 219.4 9.5 9.6 8.4 159.8 1677 176.2 5.0 4.9 5.1 162.7 172.2 183.2 5.7 5.8 6.4 100.0 23. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers and revised CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, U.S. city average— general summary and groups, subgroups, and selected items [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1979 1979 1978 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Nov. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. All items 202.0 216.6 218.9 221.1 223.4 225.4 227.5 Food and beverages .............................................. Housing.................................................................. Apparel and upkeep.............................................. Transportation...................................................... Medical care ........................................................ Entertainment ...................................................... Other goods and services...................................... 212.5 210.6 164.1 191.4 227.0 179.5 188.8 229.3 225.5 165.7 212.6 237.7 188.2 194.5 230.7 228.4 164.3 216.6 239.9 189.1 195.2 230.2 231.5 166 3 219.6 241.8 190.2 197.0 231.0 234.6 169.8 221.4 243.7 191.1 201 7 232.1 237.7 171.0 2227 245.9 192.0 202.3 233.1 240.8 171.7 224.9 248.0 192.8 202.9 212.4 210.1 164.0 191.9 226.8 178.8 188.2 229.3 225.5 165.3 213.7 238.2 187.5 194.3 230.9 228.4 164.5 217.8 240.5 188.6 195.1 230.4 231.5 1662 220.7 242.6 188.9 197.2 231 2 234.5 169 3 2224 244.7 190.2 200.6 232.3 237.7 170.8 223.4 247.2 191.4 201.4 233.1 240.7 171.3 225.7 249.1 192.0 202.0 Commodities........................................................ Commodities less food and beverages ............ Nondurables less food and beverages.......... Duraoles.................................................... 192.9 181.4 181.1 180.0 208.4 196.0 200.5 191.1 210.5 198.4 204.2 192.6 212.2 200.9 208.8 193.6 214.1 203.3 213.2 194.5 215.6 204.9 214.9 196.0 217.4 206.9 216.6 198.4 192.9 181.2 181.2 179.8 208.7 196.3 211.0 190.8 198.8 205.6 192.2 2126 201.3 210.5 192.9 214.4 203.5 214.8 193.5 215.8 205.0 216.6 194.8 217.4 2069 218.1 196.9 Services .............................................................. Rent, residential.......................................... Household services less rent ...................... Transportation services................................ Medical care services.................................. Other services............................................ 218.6 168.5 245.0 202.2 244.1 190.5 232.1 174.7 264.5 210.9 255.9 1984 2347 175.9 268.6 212.6 258.5 199.3 237.6 177.5 272.8 214.9 260.6 200.5 240.7 179.0 2767 216.6 262.8 204.7 243.6 181.4 280.7 2t8.5 265.3 205.7 246.2 182.1 284.6 221.5 267.6 206.5 218.3 168.4 244.8 202.5 243.6 190.5 232.3 174.7 265.6 211.6 256.1 198.7 235.1 175.8 269.8 213.3 258.8 2001 237.9 177.3 274.1 215.3 261.2 201.2 241.0 178.9 278.2 216.8 263.8 204.9 244.0 181.2 2823 2186 266.8 2064 246.7 181.9 2863 221.5 268.8 207.3 All items less food ................................................ All Items less mortgage interest costs .................... Commodities less food.......................................... Nondurables less food .......................................... Nondurables less food and apparel........................ Norourabies ........................................................ Services less rent ................................................ Services less medical ca re .................................... Domestically produced farm foods ........................ Selected beef cuts................................................ Energy ................................................................ All items less energy ............................................ All Items less food and energy .................... Commodities less food and energy............ Energy commodities ................................ Services less energy................................ 197.8 197.9 180.3 179.1 190.0 197.5 227.8 214.5 205.9 213.7 2259 200.4 195.3 176.2 220.2 2174 211.8 211.0 194.7 197.6 217.0 215.7 242.6 228.0 224.9 2683 275.4 212.2 205.8 184.8 284.9 229.9 214.2 213.0 197.0 201.1 2228 218.3 245.6 230.6 2259 2678 287.1 213.8 2073 185.6 300 8 232.4 216.9 214.7 199.5 2054 228.3 220.4 248.8 2336 223.5 253.0 296.3 215.4 209.4 186.8 314.5 235.4 219.6 216.7 201.8 209.6 232.7 223.1 252 1 236.7 223.7 255.3 304.3 217.3 211.5 188.2 325.3 238.4 221 8 2183 203.4 211.3 234.8 224.5 255.1 239.6 224.1 257 3 307.5 219.2 213.6 189 6 329.0 241,3 224.1 219.8 205.4 212.9 236.8 225.8 258.2 242.3 224.5 256.5 307.8 221.4 216.1 191.4 332.5 244.6 197.5 197.7 180.1 179.2 190.1 197.6 227.4 214.2 205.8 215.6 226,0 200.2 195.0 175.9 220.5 217.1 212.0 211.5 194.9 198.6 218.0 216,3 243.0 228.2 2246 269.9 277.3 212.3 205.5 184.5 286.2 230.1 214.6 213.7 . 197.4 202.5 223.9 219.2 246.1 231 0 2258 270.1 2892 2139 207.2 185.4 301.9 232.7 217.3 215.3 199.9 207.0 229.7 221.3 249.2 233.9 223.4 255.5 298.8 215.3 209.0 186.4 315.8 235.7 219.8 217.2 202.0 211.0 234.2 223.9 252.6 236.9 223.6 258.0 3070 2170 211.0 187.5 326.5 2387 222.0 218.7 203.5 212.9 236.3 225.3 255.7 2399 224.0 259.1 310.2 218.8 213.0 188.7 330.2 241.7 224.2 220.1 205.4 214.4 238.2 226.5 258.8 242.6 224.4 259.2 310.7 221.0 2154 190.4 3338 245.1 Purchasing power of the consumer dollar, 1967 = $1 $0,495 $0,462 $0,457 $0,452 $0448 $0,444 $0,440 $0,496 $0,461 $0456 $0,451 $0,447 $0,443 $0,439 227.6 201.6 Special Indexes: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 93 M O N T H L Y LA BO R REV IEW February 1980 • 23. Continued [1 9 6 7 7 100 u nless o th e rw ise specified] Consumer Price Index C u r r e n t L a b o r S ta tis tic s : C o n s u m e r P r ic e s U.S. city average All Urban Consumers General summary 1978 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1979 1978 Nov, June July Aug. Sept. Oct. BEVERAGES 212.5 229.3 230.7 230.2 231.0 232.1 Food 217,8 235.4 236.9 236,3 237 1 238.2 Food at home ................... Cereals and bakery products . . Cereals and cereal products (12/77 100) Flour and prepared flour mixes (12/77 Cereal (12/77 100) 100) ................... Rice, pasta, and cornmeal (12/77 - 100) Bakery products (12/77 100) , White b r e a d .......................... Other breads (12/77 7 100) ............ Fresh biscuits, rolls, and muffins (12/77 Fresh cakes and cupcakes (12/77 Cookies (12/77 100) .............. 100) 100) 100) 100) , . 1979 Nov. June 233.1 212.4 229.3 230.9 230.4 231.2 232.3 233.1 239.1 217.7 235.4 237.1 236.5 237.3 238.3 239.1 July Aug. 100) 7 Meats, poultry, fish, and e g g s ................. Meats, poultry, and f i s h .......................... Meats ........................................... Beef and v e a l.................................. Oct. Nov. 216.1 234.2 235.5 233.9 234.7 235.4 236.0 215.9 233.6 235.0 233,5 234.2 234 8 235 4 217.8 220.1 223.7 225.6 227.0 228.7 207.6 218.2 221.1 224.1 226 6 227 9 229 7 110.6 115.5 116.6 118.5 120.0 120.8 121.1 110.6 115.4 117.0 119.0 1 2 0 .6 121 4 122 1 111.0 117.8 119.4 122.5 123.4 124.0 122.8 111.8 118.4 120.3 123.3 125.1 125.0 124 6 109.6 115.8 117.0 118.0 118.8 119.7 118.7 119.3 111.7 112.8 113.6 115.7 118.6 119.2 120,4 121.6 110.9 111.8 113.4 115.8 119.1 120.8 122 7 108.9 115.2 116.4 118.3 119.2 119.9 121.0 109.6 115.5 117.0 118.5 119.7 1 2 0 .3 1 2 1 .3 181.1 190.3 194.2 202.5 204.5 203 9 109.6 116.0 117.4 118.5 1199 198.4 200.7 198.0 200.5 2 0 2 .3 109.7 115.3 116.2 118.6 119.6 120.5 121.3 111.0 117.1 118.5 120.8 122.5 123 8 109.3 115.8 116.1 118.1 119.0 119.4 121.2 109.8 115.4 115.8 117.7 1186 1187 120 8 107.9 114.0 114.1 114.8 116.6 116.7 117.6 119.4 108.6 114.8 115.9 116,3 116.8 118 1 119 1 114.8 115.6 115.9 116.6 117.1 181.7 108.9 189.5 116.2 194.3 117.2 117.2 1178 1183 107.2 112.2 112.7 114.7 114.8 115.0 114,5 107.3 112.7 112.9 114.9 114.9 1150 107.3 115.9 116.0 117.5 118.8 118.9 119.9 108.8 117.8 117.8 119.3 121 6 120 7 109.7 117.6 119.8 120.8 121.7 122.5 123.7 109.9 113.9 116.5 117.1 118.6 118.8 214.0 239.8 239.0 ■ 230.2 231.0 230.3 230.2 213.9 239.0 238.3 229.6 230.5 229.7 235.2 237.4 Frozen and refrigerated bakery products and fresh pies, tarts, and turnovers (12/77 Sept. 206.6 107 8 Crackers and bread and cracker products (12/77 Fresh sweetrolls, coffeecake, and donuts (12/77 Nov. 218.0 246,1 245.0 235.8 236.0 235.9 217.6 212.5 249.6 266.9 248.0 266.4 237.8 251.9 238.1 254.2 238.6 256.2 274.5 260.3 124 2 1 2 0 .8 230 0 217.8 245.3 244.2 235.3 235.4 235.3 235.0 248.8 255.5 217.5 214.4 268.2 247.4 268.4 237.6 254.1 237.7 256.4 238.1 257.5 237.3 257 7 Ground beef other than canned , .. Chuck roast ............................... 261.4 263.4 264.2 213.9 278.8 274.7 261.9 263.5 265.8 266.0 215.1 279.7 280.5 257.5 261.0 263.3 263.1 221.5 286.0 288.7 Round roast 264.0 267.9 268.3 273.1 193.0 236.8 239.1 222.2 229.2 212.2 ......................................... 278.7 230.3 Round steak ............................... 200.5 250.0 248.1 238.1 239.2 242.2 229.1 241.9 201.6 247.5 Sirloin steak 246.4 235.4 235.7 239.4 239.7 214.9 259.8 260.7 247,5 251.0 250,4 247.0 213.8 261.1 260.7 247.3 253.9 249 6 247 4 124.2 151.3 151.8 145.0 145.6 147.1 146.3 124.9 151.6 152.8 146.0 146.6 147.0 146.6 204.7 201.5 ................. Other beef and veal (12/77 P o r k ............................. 100) , 194.7 240.0 242.7 225.9 231.0 233.0 232.7 222.6 217.2 215.1 207,4 206.5 204.3 201.0 221.5 217.2 Bacon ................................................ 214.9 207,6 206.1 222 1 203.9 200.0 192.5 194.0 190.5 186.3 222.1 206.0 201.6 195.0 195.6 194.4 188.7 196.2 94.9 196.1 194.9 188 1 9 4 .0 9 5 .4 258.1 255.8 215.8 214.6 Pork chops ............................. 209.7 206.4 207.7 195.3 198.1 195.1 188.8 208.9 207.4 209.2 Ham other than canned (12/77 7 100) . Sausage .................................................. 108 8 99.5 97.2 96.4 95.2 94.8 95.9 108.3 97.0 96.1 269.8 276.1 270.4 263.8 258.4 257.6 254.5 Canned ham .......................... 263.2 224.4 221.1 214.8 222.3 218.9 215.3 124.2 118.3 216.6 117.4 218.2 120.7 226.0 124.4 276.0 226.4 269.5 227.8 266.3 226.4 94,3 258.4 115.2 112.9 120.1 124.4 123.2 118.4 117.5 115.1 112.7 219.4 248.9 245.1 240.2 240.7 242.0 241.0 239 9 236.6 238.0 238.5 249.3 243.2 235.9 236.8 238.9 216.6 214,6 245.2 215.1 243.5 241.9 249.0 243.0 242.6 236.1 237 7 237 2 122.2 136.7 135.4 134.3 133.2 134.2 133.4 120.3 133.4 132.3 129.7 129.5 130 7 130 4 113.9 123.1 122.0 122.7 121.6 120.3 121.6 111.7 120.6 119.4 120.8 119.0 1188 1195 118.5 143.9 141.0 137.6 135.6 137.9 136.9 138.8 1 3 9 .8 176.0 187.2 186.2 177.1 174.8 170.3 171.6 174.9 185.1 184.0 174.3 172.8 175.5 185.8 184.1 171.3 169.9 159.7 166 7 172 6 181.5 179.6 166.7 165.8 168.3 157 7 163 3 112.3 120.3 119.4 112.1 111.8 110.1 110.8 112.3 120.1 119.1 111.1 110.9 108.4 1107 Other pork (12/77 1 0 0 ) ............ Other m e a ts ........................ Frankfurters ........................ Bologna. Iiverwurst, and salami (12/77 Other lunchmeats (12/77 100) 1 0 0 ) ......... Lamb and organ meats (12/77 - 100) Poultry ........................ Fresh whole chicken .. ........................ Fresh and frozen chicken parts (12/77 Other poultry (12/77 100) . . Fish and seafood ........................ Canned fish and seafood (12/77 100) 100) , . . 7 Fresh and frozen fish and seafood (12/77 100) E g g s ......................................................................................... Dairy P r o d u c ts ............................... 137.7 138.3 117.7 145.9 141.1 170 1 116.3 123.4 123.6 123.0 119.2 120.3 115.9 116.4 122.7 123,2 122,1 119.8 119.8 1160 285.4 301.0 306.5 309.7 311.5 312,2 2825 295.9 298 3 301.4 304.4 110.3 112.7 113.9 116.8 106.6 109.2 110.2 111.5 1135 306 5 114 5 307 5 107.3 304.3 111.4 120.1 108.2 114.9 115.7 116.9 117.5 118.1 117.8 170.1 167.8 161.6 165.4 160.5 170.5 160.3 169.6 109.5 117.2 118.6 119.2 120.4 115.2 120.7 167.0 161.9 165.8 161.8 170.7 161,3 193.2 205.5 206.3 213.3 1160 208.6 211.3 216.0 193.5 205.9 206.7 Fresh milk and cream (12/77 77 100) Fresh whole m ilk ........................ 208.9 212.0 214 0 216 3 108.9 115.7 116.1 117.7 119.0 120.3 121.9 108.8 116.0 116.3 117.9 119.5 1 2 0 .4 121 8 178.4 189.4 190.0 192.8 195.4 197.6 200.4 178.3 189.8 190.3 193.0 Other fresh milk and cream (12/77 7 1 0 0 ) Processed dairy products (12/77 7 100) . . B u tte r......................................... 195.6 197 4 199 7 108.5 115.6 116.3 117.4 118.1 119.2 120.6 108.4 1160 116.5 117.7 1193 1198 109.7 116.8 117.3 118.2 120.1 120.9 122.3 110.2 117.0 117.6 118.4 120.5 1 2 1 .7 190.7 199.9 200.6 213.3 214.4 191.1 202.0 212.3 216.6 117.7 120.1 121.0 122.7 109.6 116.3 202.6 117.4 205.7 116.9 203.0 118.4 209.9 109.4 Cheese (12/77 1 0 0 ) .............. 123.0 217 1 118.4 120.2 121 1 122 5 109.4 116,9 117.0 117.8 120.1 120.4 121.4 110.7 117.8 118,4 118.1 120 7 1219 123 4 107.7 114.5 114.5 115.4 115.5 116.4 117.8 108.0 114.6 114.3 115.4 115.6 116.9 118.2 210.4 233.8 238.1 237.8 231.8 232.0 229.5 208.2 231.5 Fresh fruits and v e g e ta b le s............ 236.6 230 2 226 7 243.3 249.4 247.5 234.7 235.5 230.1 205.0 240.4 248.1 237.0 247.9 229.6 207.7 Fresh f r u it s ............................... 232.9 233 6 226.7 215.9 197.4 266.0 278.2 286.9 271.6 260.4 242.7 212.4 261.1 288.9 271.2 260.6 238.3 232.9 250.2 275.2 244.7 212.7 207.2 192.2 233.7 278.2 248.4 Bananas ..................... 275.9 243.1 212.9 207.7 175.4 225.3 221.0 202.3 210.3 206.6 209.0 221.7 Oranges ........................ 218.5 202.5 ■ 208.4 199.7 206.5 274.5 311.5 141.4 313.5 316.2 312.3 306.7 293.9 176.3 261.2 293.0 306.1 298.6 291.8 290 3 283 3 157.5 147.1 143.9 109.5 140.7 154.2 163.5 149.7 125.7 209.4 216.4 Ice cream and related products (12/77 Other dairy products (12/77 7 100) 100) 7 ......... Fruits and vegetables ...................... Apples ...................................... Other fresh fruits (12/77 100) Fresh vegetables ................. 109.1 200.1 222.0 151.3 222.4 210.7 200.3 212.2 127.5 218.4 198.4 221.8 221.0 211.0 152.3 198.4 221.5 225.7 211.4 199.3 191.1 195.7 191.8 224,3 L e ttu c e ................................................ 191.3 2232 227.9 212.1 1934 183.8 191.7 193.1 200.0 235.7 219.6 262.9 244.2 221.0 186.0 T o m a to e s .................................. 195.9 240.3 222.9 182.7 222.0 185.8 187.0 178,5 194.4 225.3 181.9 223.0 189.4 185.6 179.2 264,2 194 1 225 4 110.0 128.1 132.1 113.8 109.5 114.0 119.1 108.4 128,7 130.2 113.3 108.0 1 1 2 .5 118.9 215.3 225.4 227.8 2292 230.6 231.0 225.8 226.9 2279 118.5 114,3 114.3 115.5 116.3 116.3 121.2 116.6 110.1 117.0 114.4 113.6 119.0 114.4 228 3 120 3 228 6 117.6 213.6 110.4 223.5 110.5 110.5 230.1 120.4 114.9 1152 108.5 115.6 117.0 117.9 119.3 119.8 122.1 109.3 115.1 117.4 118.2 1197 120 7 122 4 112.7 123.8 110.4 125.0 110.7 125.5 111.2 124.6 1109 124.2. 110.9 111.9 123.8 124 0 109.3 109.5 123.9 109.9 124 0 104.5 121.2 108.1 122.7 105.7 122.5 108.9 109.8 109 4 106.0 107.1 109.6 109.7 109.8 110.2 110.2 105.3 107.7 109.7 I 109.9 109.4 110.2 109.6 Potatoes ...................................... Other fresh vegetables (12/77 Processed fruits and vegetables , , Processed fruits (12/77 77 100) . . . . , 100) . Frozen fruit and fruit juices (12/77 77 100) Fruit juices and other than frozen (12/77 Canned and dried fruits (12/77 77 1 0 0 ) Processed vegetables (12/77 100) Frozen vegetables (12/77 = 100) 94 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis .. ., 100) 119.7 120.6 I 118.1 119.8 239.0 115 7 23. Continued Consumer Price Index — U.S. city average [1967 - 100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1979 1978 1979 1978 Nov. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Nov. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Fruits and vegetables Continued Cut corn and canned beans except lima (12/77 100) . . . Other canned and dried vegetables (12/77 -1 0 0 ) ............ Other foods at hom e...................................................................... Sugar and sweets.......................................................................... Candy and chewing gum (12/77 - 100) .................................... Sugar and artificial sweeteners (12/77 -1 0 0 )...................... Other sweets (12/77 =100) .............................................. Fats and oils (12/77 -100) ...................................................... Margarine ........................................................................ Nondairy substitutes and peanut butter (12/77 100) .......... Other fats, oils, and salad dressings (12/77 100) .............. Nonalcoholic beverages .......................................................... Cola drinks, excluding diet c o la .......................................... Carbonated drinks, including diet cola (12/77 " 1 0 0 )............ Roasted coffee ................................................................ Freeze dried and instant coffee.......................................... Other noncarbonated drinks (12/77 --100).......................... Other prepared foods .............................................................. Canned and packaged soup (12/77 100).......................... Frozen prepared foods (12/77 100).................................. Snacks (12/77 ’ 0 0 )........................................................ Seasonings, olives, pickles, arid relish (12/77 100)............ Other condiments (12/77 -100) ........................................ Miscellaneous prepared foods (12/77 100) ...................... Other canned and packaged prepared foods (12/77 100) . . 108.0 104.5 255.9 263.8 110 9 110.8 107.5 216.9 232.1 107.6 112.3 340.9 224.0 109.8 370.6 345.0 108.5 195.6 105.0 110,3 105.2 110.8 107.7 109.3 109.3 113.2 107.7 267.1 277.4 117.4 115.4 112.6 226.3 239.1 112.8 117.8 350.4 237.9 115.3 347.3 3302 113.4 207.8 112.6 119.2 113.3 114.4 113 6 115.1 115.6 114.3 108.8 269.5 279.4 118.5 115.4 113.8 227.4 240.2 113.7 118.3 354.6 238.3 115.6 376.5 335.6 113.1 209.1 113.2 121.4 114.0 115.0 114.3 115.3 115.8 113.9 109.7 272.8 281.0 119.4 115.6 114.6 228,9 240.3 114.0 119.7 361.8 239.2 116.2 411.7 349.5 114.2 210.5 113.2 120.7 115.7 115.9 115.2 116.3 116.8 114.7 110.1 276.0 282.0 119.7 115.9 115.3 231.5 245.5 114.6 120.6 367.7 242.7 117.9 425.9 359.9 114.0 212.6 113.1 123.1 118.4 117.4 115.9 116.8 116.7 113.6 109.9 278.0 283.1 119.9 119.0 115.9 231.9 244.4 115.1 121.1 372.1 246.4 118.5 432.4 366.5 114.8 213.4 113.4 123.1 119.6 118.8 115.8 117.2 116.7 113.4 110.0 279.6 2832 120.1 116.2 116.4 232.3 246.2 115.1 121.0 374.3 247.5 118.4 438.1 370.2 115.7 215.3 114.3 124.5 120.4 118.9 116.8 119,0 117.7 106.7 103.1 255.4 263.4 111.1 110.8 106.4 217.1 232.1 107.2 112.7 339.8 222.9 107.3 369,9 344.7 108.0 195.6 104.9 110.3 105.6 110.7 107.7 109.6 108.8 112.0 106.3 266.2 276.6 117.0 115.3 111.9 226.6 238.4 112.5 118.2 348.5 234.7 112.5 347.3 328.9 112.3 207.9 112.6 118,6 113.7 114.0 114.9 114.8 115.3 112.4 107.5 268.7 278.3 118.1 115.4 112.6 227.6 239.7 113.6 118.5 3536 236.5 113.0 375.1 336.2 112.2 208.8 113.1 119.5 114.8 114.2 115.2 115.2 115.3 112.0 108.1 271.8 279.9 c 119.0 115.5 113.6 228.9 239.8 114.0 119.6 360.0 236.9 114.2 406.1 349.4 113.0 210.4 113.3 118.7 116.4 115.4 116.2 116.3 116.7 112.6 108.7 274.7 281.2 119.3 116.4 114.0 230.7 242.8 114.5 120.4 365.0 240.1 115.7 418.2 358.9 112.7 212.4 113.3 121.1 119.0 116.3 117.5 116.3 116.7 111.9 108.5 276.5 282.2 119.6 116.9 114.8 231.9 244.9 114.6 121.0 368.2 242.0 116.1 424.4 365.3 113.5 213.4 113.3 122.0 120.6 117.6 117.0 116.7 116.9 111.8 108.1 278.3 281.9 119.8 116.2 114.6 232.8 246.7 115.0 121.3 370.7 243.6 115.6 430.8 369.3 114.8 215.7 114.8 122.9 121.7 118.2 118.5 118.6 118.0 Food away from home.......................................................................... Lunch (12/77 =•100) ...................................................................... Dinner (12/77 100) ...................................................................... Other meals and snacks (12/77 100)............................................ 2259 110.1 109.4 109.1 242.7 118.5 117.7 116.6 244.9 119.6 118.9 117.3 246.5 120.3 119.8 117.8 247.6 120.7 120.3 118.6 249.6 121.3 121.6 119.5 251.3 122.3 122 4 120.2 226.0 110.0 109.5 109,2 244,4 119.6 118 2 117.4 246.5 120.4 119.7 118.2 248.3 121.3 120.5 119.1 249.3 121.7 120.9 119.9 251.3 122.2 122.4 120.5 252.7 123.2 123.0 120.9 Alcoholic beverages 163.9 172.1 172.7 173.3 174.2 176.0 177.4 164.3 172.4 173.3 173.6 174.9 176.9 178.0 113.3 172.3 129 0 195.2 105.5 115.1 114.6 175.1 129.4 198.0 105.9 115.9 115.6 1769 130.7 198.1 107.0 116.4 107.2 159.5 124.6 186.1 102.7 107.1 112.7 169.8 128.2 196.2 104.9 111.7 113.3 170.5 129,2 197.8 105.0 112.3 113.4 170 3 129,9 199.4 105.1 112.8 114.3 171.8 130.4 202.7 105.3 113.4 115.7 175.2 131.0 202.5 105.9 114.2 116.5 176.9 131.9 201.5 106.2 114.9 FOOD AND BEVERAGES Food Continued Continued Food at home Continued Other alcoholic beverages (12/77 - 100).......................................... Alcoholic beverages away from home (12/77 100)................................ 106.5 158.6 123.9 182.7 103.5 108.8 111.9 170.0 126.8 193.2 105.2 113.9 112.2 170.3 127.4 194.1 105 2 114.5 112.7 170.6 128.4 196.0 105.4 1146 HOUSING 2106 2255 228.4 231.5 2346 237.7 2408 210.1 225,5 228,4 231.5 234.5 237.7 240.7 Shelter................................................................................................ 220.1 236.7 2401 2439 247.4 251.5 255.9 220.0 237.2 240.7 244.5 248.2 252.4 256.9 182.1 168.4 174.7 175.8 177.3 178.9 181.2 181.9 Alcoholic beverages at home (12/77 100)............................................ Rent, residents .................................................................................... 168 5 174.7 175.9 177.5 179.0 181.4 Other rental costs ................................................................................ Lodging while out of town................................................................ Tenants' insurance (12/77 100) .................................................... 215.1 221.9 103.7 2323 244.3 108.0 236.0 248.8 110.9 238.2 251.2 1120 239.3 251.8 113.7 241,6 254.2 114.1 243.1 256.2 114.6 214.9 221.2 103.8 231.8 243.1 108.2 235.2 246.7 111.5 237.6 249.5 112.6 238.6 249.9 114.1 241.3 253.0 114.7 242.6 254.6 115.0 Homeownership.................................................................................... Home purchase.............................................................................. Financing, taxes, and insurance ...................................................... Property insurance .................................................................. Property taxes ........................................................................ Contracted mortgage interest c o s t............................................ Mortgage interest rates...................................................... Maintenance and repairs ................................................................ Maintenance and repair services .............................................. Maintenance and repair commodities ........................................ Paint and wallpaper, supplies, tools, and equipment (12/77-100) ................................................ Lumber, awnings, glass, and masonry (12/77 = 100)............ Plumbing, electrical, heating, and cooling supplies (12/77 = 100).................................................... Miscellaneous supplies and equipment (12/77 - 100) .......... 2388 204.8 274.7 288.5 196.3 317.9 152.8 242.3 261.9 196.7 2588 220.9 302.2 3106 181.3 366.0 163.0 255.5 277.4 204 4 263.0 224.0 3086 312.6 181.8 375.6 164.9 257.9 280.0 206.1 267.6 226.9 316.4 314.6 1831 387.2 167.7 259.7 281.8 208.1 271.9 229.8 323.0 316.7 184.7 3967 169.7 262.5 284 4 211.5 276.7 233.4 330.5 319.9 185.1 408 1 172.0 264.7 287.0 212.5 2824 237.3 340.1 320.8 185.1 423.1 175.4 266.4 288.8 214.0 238.7 204.6 275.4 288.2 197.0 317.7 152.8 240.1 259.4 196 3 259.9 220.8 304.2 310.1 182.8 366.2 163.1 256.7 280.2 204 9 264.2 224.0 310.6 312.1 183.3 375.8 164.9 259.1 282.8 206.5 268.9 227.0 318.7 314.2 184.6 387.4 167.8 260.8 284.2 209.0 273.3 2300 325.6 318.5 186.1 397.1 169.7 263.4 287.2 210.8 278.3 233.6 333.5 321.9 186.5 408.8 172.0 265.3 289.4 211.9 284.1 237.7 343.5 322.6 186.6 424.2 175,6 266.5 290.3 213.6 107.2 108,5 111.8 1129 112.5 113.7 114.3 1137 117.0 115.2 117.4 116.0 118.8 115.5 106.6 109.7 112.1 113.9 112.8 114.4 115.0 114.8 116.1 115.7 116.6 116.2 118.1 117.2 104 4 106 0 108.6 109 3 110.1 110.3 110.8 111.1 111.9 112.9 112.8 113.3 113.4 113.8 105.0 104.1 109.3 107.6 110.2 109.5 111.5 110.3 112.6 111.2 113.8 111.9 114.0 112.2 Fuel and other utilities........................................................................ 218.5 239.0 243.5 247.2 251.2 252.9 252.0 218.7 239.4 244.1 247.7 251.7 2534 252.4 2861 391.6 406.1 102.6 2598 224.3 300.1 2939 413.5 430.0 106.5 264.6 228.0 306.5 299.8 439,0 458.5 109.4 266.5 299.7 308.5 306.6 462.5 483.3 114.6 269.9 231.1 315.8 310.1 471.7 491.9 118 8 272,2 2288 327.4 306.9 478.2 497.7 122.2 267.1 221.5 3278 Fuel oil, coal, and bottled gas.......................................................... Other fuels (6/78 - 100) ........................................................ Gas (piped) and electricity .............................................................. Utility (piped) gas .................................................................... https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 250.6 306 1 307.2 987 234.9 201.9 273.3 286.2 391.2 405.9 102.6 259.9 2237 301.8 2938 412.9 4295 106.2 264.5 227.4 307.7 299.7 438.6 4582 109 3 266.5 229.2 309.7 3066 461.6 482.5 114.4 270.1 230,6 317.5 310.3 470.8 491.2 118.5 272.5 228.7 329.1 307.0 477.4 497.2 121.7 267.3 221.5 328.9 250.8 306.4 307.4 98.9 235.0 2022 272.8 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued Consumer Price Index — U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers General summary HOUSING Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1979 1978 1979 Nov. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Nov. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 159.7 133.0 101.5 99.2 100.3 240.4 159.2 132.0 100,0 98.4 101.2 243.1 159.4 132.1 100.1 98.4 101.3 244.0 159.8 132.5 100.5 98.5 101.5 244.6 159.8 132.4 100.4 98.4 101.4 245.3 158.8 131.2 98.7 98.4 101.7 2456 161.0 133.3 101.8 98.4 101.5 247.1 159.6 133.1 101.6 99.2 100.1 240.2 159.2 132.0 100.1 98.5 101.1 243.3 159.4 132.2 100.2 98.5 101.2 244.0 159.8 132.5 100.6 98.5 101.4 244.6 159.8 132.4 100.5 98.4 101.3 245.5 158.9 131.3 98.8 98.4 101.5 245.8 160.9 133.3 101 8 98 4 101 3 247.2 Continued Fuel and other utilities Continued Other utilities and public services ................ Telephone services ........................ Local charges (12/77 = 100) .................... Interstate toll calls (12/77 = 10 0 ) .................. Intrastate toll calls (12/77 = 100) ............ Water and sewerage maintenance ............ Household furnishings and operations 1830 190.1 190.4 191.2 192.2 193.3 195.1 181.8 188.8 189.0 189.8 190.6 191.7 193.2 Housefurnishings ........................ Textile housefurnishings...................... Household linens (12/77 = 100) Curtains, drapes, slipcovers, and sewing materials (12/77 = 100) . Furniture and bedding ............................ Bedroom furniture (12/77 = 100) . . . . Sofas (12/77 = 100) .................... Living room chairs and tables (12/77 = 100) Other furniture (12/77 = 100)................ Appliances including TV and sound equipment...................... Television and sound equipment (12/77 = 100) ............ Television .............................................. Sound equipment (12/77 = 100) .............. Household appliances.......................... Refrigerators and home freezer.................................... Laundry equipment (12/77 = 1 0 0 ).............. Other household appliances (12/77 = 100).............. Stoves, dishwashers, vacuums, and sewing machines (12/77 = 100) .................................... Office machines, small electric appliances, and air conditioners (12/77 = 100)................ Other household equipment (12/77 = 100)................ Floor and window coverings, infants' laundry cleaning and outdoor equipment (12/77 = 100) ........ Clocks, lamps, and decor items (12/77 = 100) . . . Tableware, serving pieces, and nonelectric kitchenware (12/77 = 100) .................... Lawn equipment, power tools, and other hardware (12/77 = 100) . 158.3 167.1 102.9 105.5 171.9 108.6 104.3 103.2 109.7 133.1 103.3 102.4 105.1 150.8 149.5 105.7 106.3 163.1 174.9 106.8 111.4 177.5 112.9 107.8 103.5 114.7 135.6 104.0 102.7 106.3 155.4 151.9 110.8 109.5 162.9 173.6 104.3 112.4 176.8 113.2 106.2 104.5 113.3 135.4 103.9 102,6 106.1 155.1 152.9 110.7 108.7 163.2 172.8 103.6 112.0 177.1 114,0 106.3 104.9 112.7 135.8 104.3 102.8 106.8 155.5 154.6 110.7 108.6 164.1 175.3 106.7 112.0 178.3 114.8 107.1 105.1 113.9 136.2 104.7 102.9 107.5 155.8 154.1 110.9 109.1 165.2 177.8 107.7 114.2 180.0 116.4 107.3 106.2 115.0 136.9 104.9 103.4 107.4 156.9 155.3 112.1 109.8 166.6 178.9 108.8 114.4 182.2 117.7 107.9 107.7 116.8 137.5 105.0 103.6 107.4 158,2 156,0 113.1 110.8 157.5 167.7 103.6 105.7 170.2 106.8 104.7 102.8 108.2 132.5 102.2 101.4 103.8 151.0 152.9 105.7 105.3 162.8 174.0 105.1 112.3 177.6 111.7 110.1 105.4 113.3 135.3 103.3 102.0 105,5 155.6 156.0 110.5 108.3 162.5 171.6 103.1 111.4 177.2 112.1 108.7 106.2 112.5 135.0 103.3 101.6 105.8 154.9 157.3 110.1 107.1 163.0 173.0 103.7 112.7 177,3 112.7 108.2 106.1 112.5 135.5 104.0 101.9 106.7 155.1 157.9 110.2 107,1 163.5 174.9 106.3 112.2 178.5 113.0 108.6 106.7 114.2 135.7 104.4 101.9 107.4 155.2 156.5 111.2 107.2 164.4 177.2 107.4 114 1 180.3 114.8 109.6 107.5 114.7 135.7 104.1 102.0 106.9 155.6 157.9 111 3 107.2 165.5 178.4 108.3 114.5 182 1 115.9 111.7 108.6 115.3 136.2 104.4 102.4 107.1 156.2 158.1 1122 107.6 108,1 109.8 109.0 108.5 108.6 109.0 109.7 106.3 108.9 107.6 107.7 107.7 106.9 107.1 104.3 105.8 109.2 109.5 108.5 110.3 108.8 110.7 109.7 110.9 110.7 111.2 112.1 112.4 104.0 105.3 107.6 109.6 106.5 110.4 106.4 110.6 106.8 110.3 107.6 110.8 108.2 111.6 105.2 102.7 108.5 105.9 109.1 107.5 109.5 107.1 111.1 108.0 109.8 108.6 111.1 110.0 100.9 104.0 104.2 106.3 104.6 107.2 105.9 106.7 105.8 107.0 105.5 107,1 107 7 108.2 108.6 104.6 113.2 107.9 114.4 107.6 115.1 108.5 114.7 107.6 115.4 108.5 116.8 109.0 107,5 105.9 112.9 110.6 114.1 111.0 113,9 111.5 114.5 109.5 114.7 111.0 115.2 111.1 Housekeeping supplies.......................... Soaps and detergents........................................ Other laundry and cleaning products (12/77 = 100) Cleansing and toilet tissue, paper towels and napkins (12/77 = 100) . . Stationery, stationery supplies, and gift wrap (12/77 = 100) .......... Miscellaneous household products (12/77 = 100) . . . Lawn and garden supplies (12/77 = 100).................. 212.0 206.9 107.3 109.5 103.7 107.5 103.6 221.5 210.2 110.7 116.7 108.2 111.8 112.3 222.3 210.9 111.3 116.5 108.9 112.3 113.0 223.4 212.5 112.0 116.2 109.5 112.9 113.8 224.1 215.1 112.3 116.4 109.9 113.3 112.7 224.8 217.9 113.7 117.2 109.5 114.3 110.0 228.3 220.6 114.1 119.2 111.3 115.6 113.8 211.0 204.8 107.1 110.1 103.7 106.0 101.7 219.9 208.8 110.8 117.2 107.0 110.1 110.3 220.7 210.5 111.3 116.9 107.5 110.5 110.4 221.6 210.9 111.9 116.3 108.5 111.3 111.3 222.6 214.5 112.4 117.1" 108.3 Í11.6 109.9 223.9 216.3 113.5 117.9 108 6 112.7 108.8 226.7 218.2 1137 1196 109 2 114.1 113.2 Housekeeping services.................................. Postage .................................................. Moving, storage, freight, household laundry, and drycleaning services (12/77 = 100) .............. Appliance and furniture repair (12/77 = 100) . 235.7 257.3 248.0 257.3 249.7 257.3 251.6 257.3 253.4 257.3 254.6 257.3 256.6 257.3 235.3 257.2 247.0 257.2 248.6 257.2 250.4 257.2 252.1 257.2 253.9 257.2 255.9 257.2 108.3 105.2 115.1 109.1 116.3 109 5 117,3 110.7 118.1 111.7 118.8 112.3 120.4 112.9 109.0 104.7 115.5 108.8 116.5 109.4 117.7 110.3 118.6 111.1 119.7 112.1 121 2 112.9 APPAREL AND UPKEEP 164.1 165.7 164.3 166.3 169.8 171.0 171.7 164.0 165.3 164.5 166.2 169.3 170.8 171.3 Apparel commodities 160.0 160.2 158.6 160.6 164.2 165.2 1659 160.0 160.0 159.1 160.7 163.9 165.3 165.7 158.4 160.1 101.5 100.1 99.6 104.1 103.1 100.8 101.3 969 106.0 102.8 154.1 102.8 169.7 167.7 101.3 102.7 98.5 101.2 99.7 101.9 157.4 160.4 101.1 98.5 94.5 108.1 103.5 99.9 103.5 100.0 108.3 104.4 150.8 100.8 162.4 163.5 98.4 105.6 91.7 98.0 95.8 95.7 155.6 159.2 100.0 96,8 94.4 108 4 100.9 99.0 104.2 101.7 108.0 104.8 147.8 984 162.1 157.2 950 105.6 87.3 98.1 98.7 93.9 157.7 159.6 100.6 97.1 95.5 109.3 103.2 98.1 103.3 101.1 107.9 103.1 151.3 100.7 170,4 162.8 96.3 106.2 89.8 100.5 100.8 98.3 161.5 162.7 102.7 100.0 965 110.6 107.2 99.0 104.8 102.7 109.4 104.5 i 55.9 103.9 174.1 171.1 99.8 106.2 96.7 102.4 102.8 100.3 162.3 164.2 103.5 101.6 978 109.9 108.5 99.5 106.3 103.9 110.8 106.5 155.5 103.4 173.9 167.2 99.6 106.6 97.1 103.6 102.8 102.5 162.9 165.4 104.3 101.2 98.1 112.4 109.7 100.5 106.6 103.2 111.5 107.4 155.1 103.0 173.3 164.3 99.2 108.1 95.2 103.9 102.2 103.6 158.4 160.5 102.1 990 101.3 103.9 104.6 102.0 100.5 960 104.7 102.3 153.8 102.6 172.0 166.8 99.9 103.4 98.0 100.9 98.8 102.5 157.2 160.9 101.6 96.8 97.8 106.2 104.5 101.7 103.1 99.4 107.8 104.1 149.9 100.6 166.9 156.6 98.5 106.5 92,4 95.9 93.4 93.8 156,0 160.6 101.3 95.8 97,6 106.6 104.1 101.5 103.5 101.3 107.1 103.9 147.5 98.7 166.8 152.8 98.7 106.1 87.9 95.5 94.6 92.5 157.9 161.1 101.9 96,2 99.2 107.0 104.9 101.9 102.7 100.3 107.0 102.9 150.5 100.4 173.1 152.8 97.7 107.0 91.0 98.8 95.9 99.7 161.2 163.2 103.2 98.3 99.1 108.6 107.1 102.5 103.9 102.0 108.8 103.5 154.4 103.0 175.7 158.5 100.4 107.4 98.1 101.1 98.5 102.1 162.4 164.4 103.8 99.1 99.5 109.1 108.3 102.8 105.3 103.8 110.1 104.7 154.8 103.3 174.1 159.1 100.4 107.9 99.9 101.5 97.9 103.5 162.7 165.3 104.5 98 7 99.7 110.0 109.4 104.0 105.6 103.4 109.7 105.8 154.5 103.0 172.4 156.8 100.7 108.9 97.5 101.7 97.5 104.3 102.4 105.7 104.6 104.1 105.7 106.7 107.2 101.8 103.4 102.0 101.8 103.5 103.9 104.2 Apparel commodities less footwear.......... Men's and boys' ................................ Men's (12/77 = 100) ........................................ Suits, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 1 0 0 ).......... Coats and jackets (12/77 = 100)............ Furnishings and special clothing (12/77 = 100) .............. Shirts (12/77 = 100).......................... Dungarees, jeans, and trousers (12/77 = 100) ................ Boys' (12/77 = 100) .................... Coats, jackets, sweaters, and shirts (12/77 = 100) ............ Furnishings (12/77 = 100)................ Suits, trousers, sport coats, and jackets (12/77 = 100) Women’s and girls’ ........................................ Women's (12/77 = 100).............................. Coats and jackets .......................................... Dresses ................................................ Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 100).................... Underwear, nightwear, and hosiery (12/77 = 100)............ Suits (12/77 = 100)............................ Girls (12/77 = 100) .............................. Coats, jackets, dresses, and suits (12/77 = 100)................ Separates and sportswear (12/77 = 10 0 ) ................ Underwear, nightwear, hosiery, and accessories (12/77 = 100).............................. 96 1978 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index— U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] ________________ Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers 1979 1979 General summary July Aug. Sept Oct July Aug. Sept Oct APPAREL AND UPKEEP — Continued Apparel commodities— Continued Apparel commodities less footwear — Continued Infants’ and toddlers’ ........................................ Other apparel commodities .............................. Sewing materials and notions (12/77 = 100) Jewelry and luggage (12/77 = 100) .......... 220.9 163.4 98.7 108.6 220.9 167.3 101.0 111.3 219.0 167.9 101.3 111.7 221.2 169.8 102.3 113.0 223.4 172.6 102.3 115.6 224.8 175.5 102.2 118.3 226.3 177.8 100.8 121.0 219.1 164.7 98.3 110.3 223.9 167.8 95.7 114.3 221.9 168.4 95.6 114.9 224.2 170.2 96.8 116.1 226.0 174.9 100.4 118.9 228.7 178.7 100.8 122.3 228.7 179.8 99.7 123.8 Footwear...................................... Men's (12/77 = 100) ............ Boys’ and girls’ (12/77 = 100) Womens' (12/77 = 100)........ 169.1 106.7 104.7 106.2 176.7 114.0 110.3 108.4 176.6 113.4 111.0 108.3 177.5 114.5 112.0 183.8 117.7 114.0 113.9 168.4 106.2 106.1 104.5 176.0 113.2 110.0 107.9 176.9 115.2 111.4 106.5 179.4 116.3 111.6 109.6 181.9 118.0 113.0 111.1 183.2 119.0 114.5 108.1 182.6 116.7 113.0 113.5 176.6 114.5 112.0 180.1 115.0 111.6 191.3 109.8 107.6 204.8 119.7 111.4 205.7 120.6 111.2 207.7 122.1 111.9 210.2 123.6 113.0 212.5 125.2 114.0 214.2 126.3 114.7 191.1 110.4 106.5 203.6 119.2 204.9 120.3 206.7 Apparel services Laundry and drycleaning other than coin operated (12/77 = 100) Other apparel services (12/77 = 100) .................................... 111.1 111.2 111.5 208.7 123.2 112.3 210.8 124.7 112.9 212.0 125.7 113.3 191.4 212.6 216.6 219.6 221.4 2227 224.9 191.9 213.7 217.8 220.7 222.4 223.4 2257 TRANSPORTATION 2237 225.7 111.2 106.9 121.8 111.2 213.3 217.4 220.4 222.0 223.1 225.0 191.5 214.1 218.3 221.2 Private 191.1 222.7 New cars ...................................................................................... Used c a rs ...................................................................................... Gasoline ........................................................................................ Automobile maintenance and repair.................................................. Body work (12/77 = 100)........................................................ Automobile drive train, brake, and miscellaneous mechanical repair (12/77 = 100) .......................................... Maintenance and servicing (12/77 = 100) ................................ Power plant repair (12/77 = 100) ............................................ Other private transportation ............................................................ Other private transportation commodities .................................. Motor oil, coolant, and other products (12/77 = 100) .......... Automobile parts and equipment (12/77 = 100).................. T ires.......................................................................... Other parts and equipment (12/77 = 100) .................. Other private transportation services.......................................... Automobile insurance ........................................................ Automobile finance charges (12/77 = 100) ........................ Automobile rental, registration, and other fees (12/77 = 100) State registration ........................................................ Drivers’ license (12/77 = 100) .................................... Vehicle inspection (12/77 = 100) ................................ Other vehicle related fees (12/77 = 100) .................... 158.5 194.7 203.5 228.2 108.6 166.3 208.9 265.0 242.0 116.0 166.7 209.2 280.0 244.0 117.4 166.6 207.0 292.0 245.7 118.6 166.1 202.9 301.0 247.1 119.4 167.5 199.9 303.8 249.1 120.6 170.6 198.4 306.9 250.8 121.6 158.1 194.7 203.7 228.4 109.2 165.9 208.9 266.2 242.3 116.0 166.6 209.2 281.0 244.2 117.6 166.3 207.0 293.3 246.0 118.6 165.9 2029 302.3 247.5 119.2 167.4 199.9 305.2 249.4 120.4 170.9 198.4 308.3 251.1 121.7 109.4 108.4 107.8 189.0 162.9 104.5 105.4 144.9 106.8 197.7 220.6 107.6 103.8 143.8 104.5 110.2 106.8 115.8 115.0 113.9 197.3 171.8 110.3 116.7 115.9 114.8 198.5 173.3 110.5 112.3 153.7 114.8 207.1 229.1 116.8 106.9 144.0 104.5 114.6 114.0 117.4 116.3 116.0 200.5 175.1 118.1 116.9 116.7 201.7 177.7 114.4 114.9 156.4 119.1 210.1 233.5 117.7 107.8 144.0 104.5 114.6 116.1 119.4 117.5 117.8 203.7 182.0 115.9 117.9 160.7 120.1 118.4 118.5 205.5 183.4 117.4 118.7 161.5 123.0 213.4 233.9 124.6 108.3 144.1 104.5 115.6 117.1 110.1 107.7 108.2 189.5 165.8 104.9 107.5 148.4 107.7 197.7 220.5 107.0 104.1 143.6 104.3 111.4 108.5 116.7 114.6 114.3 197.7 172.6 109.3 111.9 153.7 113.4 206.3 227.2 115.6 107.2 143.9 104.3 115.5 116.6 117.5 115.3 115.2 199.1 174.4 109.9 113.2 155.7 114.3 207.6 229.0 116.4 107.3 143.9 104.3 115.5 116.9 118.2 116.0 116.3 201.0 176.1 112.0 114.1 156.1 116.8 209.6 232.3 116.4 108.1 143.9 104.3 115.5 119.3 119.0 116.8 117.0 202.3 178.7 114.5 115.7 158.1 118.6 210.6 233.5 117.0 108.4 143.9 104.3 115.5 120.3 120.2 117.3 118.0 204.0 181.6 115.9 117.6 161.1 120.0 211.9 233.7 119.4 108.6 143.9 104.2 115.5 120.8 120.8 118.2 118.6 206.3 183.9 118.1 119.0 163.0 121.5 214.3 233.9 124.1 108.9 144.0 104.2 116.5 121.3 190.4 194.8 197.6 200.6 204.1 207.3 214.0 205.2 263.0 190.2 230.3 220.8 214.2 268.0 190.2 233.9 221.3 220.7 275.5 191.0 238.7 221.4 232.4 2799 195.1 242.4 232.1 242.6 244.7 247.2 249.1 156.2 156.7 157.4 158.5 145.2 114.8 115.6 110.6 146.2 115.5 116.9 111.6 189.7 Public 111.2 151.9 114.1 206.0 227.3 116.3 106.8 144.0 104.5 114.6 113.6 194.0 197.1 Nonprescription drugs and medical supplies (12/77 = 100) ............ Eyeglasses (12/77 = 100) .................................................... Internal and respiratory over-the-counter drugs ........................ Nonprescription medical equipment and supplies (12/77 = 100). Medical care services Professional services .................................... Physicians' services................................ Dental services...................................... Other professional services (12/77 = 100) Other medical care services........................................ Hospital and other medical services (12/77 = 100) Hospital room.............................................. Other hospital and medical care s e rv ic e s ------ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 154.1 226.8 238.2 240.5 155.0 155.8 156.6 110.9 111.3 111.7 107.2 118.0 113.4 119.3 114.7 120.4 115.2 120.8 122.2 122.6 116.0 116.3 117.5 110.9 111.0 111.7 112.2 112.6 112.8 112.5 108.9 174.3 111.3 112.8 109.3 174.7 113.2 110.0 175.2 111.2 173.7 111.0 106.4 104.1 163.4 106.5 107.7 172.0 110.3 111.2 111.8 114.0 110.4 176.6 112.7 262.8 265.3 267.6 243.6 256.1 258.8 261.2 263.8 266.8 268.8 230.3 248.4 217.2 112.4 231.6 249.7 218.5 112.7 233.0 250.8 220.7 215.7 230.1 205.7 106.2 227.3 243.6 216.5 110.0 229.3 246.8 217.1 233.1 251.5 220.7 111.7 234.9 254.4 221.2 112.1 235.9 255.5 222.7 111.0 231.1 2487 219.0 111.5 277.8 110.6 348.2 109.7 291.2 115.3 362.9 114.3 294.9 116.6 367.5 115.6 298.1 117.8 371.7 116.7 301.3 118.9 374.1 118.0 305.9 120.5 379.4 119. 309.3 112.5 255.9 258.5 260.6 227.6 224.7 215.2 111.5 228.9 246.6 216.0 111.9 299.0 118.6 374. 117. 106.4 113.4 110.9 175.4 111.8 112.0 109.2 173.0 110.8 295.8 117.3 369.7 116. 111.9 111.9 108.5 173.2 110.7 111.4 108.7 172.2 110.4 292.5 116.2 366.0 115.2 123.2 116.8 122.5 115.6 110.8 108.2 171.3 109.7 110.6 143.7 113.2 114.8 109.7 120.9 114.8 107.4 170.3 109.1 225.7 241.8 214.3 111.0 143.0 113.0 114.4 109.1 120.3 113.7 110.3 155.3 142.4 112.9 114.2 109.2 118.9 113.1 109.5 154.5 135.7 107.4 108.7 105.4 114.0 108.6 112.0 147.6 144.4 114.1 115.0 110.0 145.5 113.9 117.1 117.9 112.1 110.2 157.8 144.5 113.5 115.8 109.7 111.2 106.4 278.7 110.9 349 109.9 248.0 143.5 113.1 114.9 109.3 141.9 215.5 230.0 203.9 108.7 245.9 142.8 112.5 114.6 109.3 141.3 112.0 113.7 108.3 244.1 193.8 253.2 188.4 223.3 205.2 2437 134.9 106.4 109.0 104.5 106.0 103.8 162.9 106.0 189.6 244.2 185.4 211.9 193.0 221.0 MEDICAL CARE 109.4 221.1 232.1 279.8 195.6 237.0 231.0 241.8 2377 220.6 216.5 198.4 258.5 189.7 226.5 217.1 239.9 227.0 105.7 209.1 216.1 198.5 258.8 189.8 Prescription drugs ................................................ Anti-infective drugs (12/77 = 100).................. Tranquillizers and sedatives (12/77 = 1 0 0 ).... Circulatorias and diuretics (12/77 = 100)........ Hormones, diabetic drugs, biologicals, and prescription and supplies (12/77 = 100) Pain and symptom control drugs (12/77 = 100) Supplements, cough and cold preparations, and respiratory agents (12/77 = 100)................ 205.2 220.6 276.0 191.3 233.6 194.3 253.9 188.4 217.2 205.3 153.3 200.8 121.8 211.4 233.8 120.4 107.9 144.0 104.5 114.6 116.4 214.1 268.0 190.5 228.5 190.0 244.0 185.6 207.8 193.1 147.0 113.4 154.7 116.7 209.1 232.3 117.2 107.5 144.0 104.5 114.6 115.5 205.2 263.2 190.5 224.7 220.6 Airline fare.............. Intercity bus fare . . Intracity mass transit Taxi fa re ................ Intercity train fare . . . Medical care commodities 112.2 302.0 119. 376.4 118.8 110.2 112.8 306.2 121.3 380.2 309.5 122.6 385. 120.8 122.0 112.2 121.8 383.6 120.8 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 23. Continued— Consumer Price Index — U.S. city average [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) All Urban Consumers General summary 1979 1978 Nov. June 1979 1978 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Nov. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. ENTERTAINMENT 179.5 188.2 189.1 190.2 191.1 192.0 192.8 178.8 187.5 188.6 188.9 190.2 191.4 192.0 Entertainment commodities................................................................ 180.0 188.7 189.7 191.0 192.0 193.1 194.0 178.7 187.4 188.2 188.4 189.9 190.7 191.3 Reading materials (12/77 - 100).......................................................... Newspapers .................................................................................. Magazines, periodicals, and books (12/77 - 100)............................ 104.3 203.3 105.3 109.5 211.6 111.6 110.0 212.6 112.0 111.1 214.0 113.7 111.9 214.5 115.0 113.8 217.7 117.2 114.5 222.4 116.0 104.1 202.9 105.3 109.1 211.1 111.6 109.5 212.2 111.7 110.7 213.7 113.5 111.4 214.2 114.8 113.3 217.4 117.2 114.2 2222 115.8 Sporting goods and equipment (12/77 - 100)........................................ Sport vehicles (12/77 - 100) ........................................................ Indoor and warm weather sport equipment (12/77 - 100)................ Bicycles ........................................................................................ Other sporting goods and equipment (12/77 = 100) ........................ 103.6 103.2 104.0 154.1 103.0 109.3 110.3 106.1 160.1 106.9 110.0 110.8 106.7 1622 107.8 110.4 111.3 105.9 163.8 108.6 111.3 112.3 106.1 165.6 109.3 111.2 111.5 107.5 167.1 110.0 111.7 112.2 107.8 167.1 110.3 101.4 100.7 101.6 152.4 101.7 106.6 107.0 103.3 160.0 105.4 107.0 106.9 104.7 161.8 106.5 105.4 103.9 104.7 162.9 107.2 107.5 106.7 104.7 164.7 108.5 106.7 104.6 106.0 166.9 109.8 106.9 104.8 106.1 167.4 110.2 Toys, hobbies and other entertainment (12/77 - 100) ............................ Toys, hobbies and music equipment (12/77 - 100).......................... Photographic supplies and equipment (12/77 - 100)........................ Pet supplies and expense (12/77 - 100) ........................................ 104.2 104.8 103.9 103.4 108.9 109.2 107.6 109.2 109.4 109.3 108.4 110.3 110.2 110.0 108.2 111.8 110.4 110.4 108,9 111.6 110.8 110.7 109.4 112.1 111.2 110.5 109.9 113.5 104.2 103.7 104.0 105.3 109.0 109.0 107.3 110,0 109.6 109.1 107.7 111.6 110.2 109.8 107.6 112.6 110.4 109.6 108.8 112.9 111.0 110.1 109.3 113.9 111.2 109.8 109.6 114.6 Entertainment services 179.3 187.9 188.6 189.4 190.2 190.8 191.5 179.7 188,8 190.1 190.7 191.8 193.5 194.3 114.9 116.8 111.4 115.2 117.3 112.0 201.4 202.0 Fees for participant sports (12/77 - 100).............................................. Admissions (12/77 -1 0 0 ) .................................................................... Other entertainment services (12/77 = 100).......................................... 106.1 107.4 105.8 111.6 113.3 109,0 111.9 114.3 109.1 112.3 114.7 109.7 113.0 115.2 109.4 113.2 115.7 110.0 113.8 116.1 110.0 106.9 108.3 103.4 111.5 113.2 111.0 112.1 115.3 110.5 112.3 115.9 110.9 113.4 116.3 110.9 OTHER GOODS AND SERVICES 188.8 194,5 195.2 197.0 201.7 202.3 202.9 188.2 194.3 195.1 197.2 200.6 Tobacco products 180.9 186.4 186.8 189.9 190.9 191.3 191.5 180.7 186.5 186.9 190.1 190.9 191.2 191.4 Cigarettes............................................................................................ Other tobacco products and smoking accessories (12/77 = 100)............ 183.5 105.8 188.8 110.3 189.2 110.8 192.6 111.1 193.6 112.2 193.8 113.0 194.0 112.8 183.3 105.8 189.0 109.8 189.4 110.3 193.1 110.0 193.7 111.0 193.9 112.3 194.1 112.4 Personal care 186.8 195.0 196.4 197.5 199.0 199.8 200.9 186.3 194.6 196.0 197.6 198.4 199.4 200.5 Toilet goods and personal care appliances.............................................. Products for the hair, hairpieces and wigs (12/77 = 100).................. Dental and shaving products (12/77 100) .................................... Cosmetics, bath and nail preparations, manicure and eye makeup implements (12/77 - 100) ................................ Other toilet goods and small personal care appliances (12/77 = 100) 181.1 105.0 106.5 187.9 108.8 1126 188 6 109.4 113.2 189.7 111.1 113.6 191.4 111.6 114.3 192.5 111.9 114.1 193.1 112.2 115.6 180.6 103.8 106.2 187.8 108.9 110.2 188.1 108.5 111.0 190.2 110.5 112.1 191.0 110.6 112.5 191.6 111.1 112.7 192.4 111.4 113.9 104.8 104,6 108.6 106.9 109.5 106.2 108.9 107.6 110.4 108.6 110.7 110.9 111.4 109,9 104.2 106.0 107.8 109.8 109.0 108 8 110.0 109.7 110.6 110.3 110.1 111.7 110.2 112.3 Personal care services.......................................................................... Beauty parlor services for women.................................................... Haircuts and other barber shop services for men (12/77 = 100) . . . . 192.5 194.0 107.4 202.0 203.7 112.6 203.9 205.2 114.1 205.0 206.1 115.1 206.4 207.7 115.5 207.0 208.3 115.9 208.5 210.3 116.1 192.2 194.6 106.2 201.4 203.6 111.7 204.0 205.9 113,6 205.0 206.7 114.2 2058 207.4 114.7 207.3 209,1 115.4 208.6 210.2 116.3 Personal and educational expenses 2065 209 1 209.3 210.8 223.3 224.0 224.2 206.6 209.6 209.8 211.2 223.5 224.2 224.4 194.2 213.7 108.7 109.1 107.4 112.6 194.2 214.0 108.8 109.2 107.4 113.0 195.2 215.5 109.4 109.7 108.4 114.4 205.0 228.4 117.9 116.8 120.7 114.4 205.8 229.0 118.2 117.3 120.7 114.9 205.9 229.3 118.2 117.3 120.7 115.5 263.1 267.9 213.2 271.4 277.5 272.5 215.9 273.7 289.5 278.3 217.4 275.3 298.3 283.1 219.5 277.8 301.2 228.5 220.7 279.9 304.3 295.8 220.3 281.3 School books and supplies.................................................................... Personal and educational services.......................................................... Tuition and other school fees .......................................................... College tuition (12/77 - 100) .................................................. Elementary and high school tuition (12/77 = 100) .................... Personal expenses (12/77 - 100).................................................. 187 8 211.1 108.4 108.6 107.5 107.8 191.6 213.6 108.8 109.1 107.5 112.6 191.6 213.8 108.9 109.2 107.5 113.0 192.6 215.4 109.4 109.7 108.3 114.8 201.5 228.6 117.7 116.9 120.9 115.1 202.3 229.4 118.1 117.3 120.9 115.8 202.3 229.6 118.1 117.3 120.9 116.3 189.7 211.1 108.3 108.6 107.4 108.0 201.9 247.1 201.1 255.9 261.9 268.2 2127 270.2 276.6 2728 215.3 272.5 288.2 278.7 217.0 274.4 297.1 283.5 219.3 276.6 299.8 288.9 220.7 278.7 302.9 296.0 220.5 2806 202.1 246.5 201.4 254.3 Special Indexes: Gasoline, motor oil, coolant and other products ...................................... Insurance and finance .......................................................................... Utilities and public transportation............................................................ Housekeeping and home maintenance services ...................................... 98 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 24. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Cross classification of region and population size class by expenditure category and commodity and service group [December 1977 = 100] Size class A (1.25 million or more) Category and group Aug. Oct. June Aug. 1979 1979 1979 1979 June Size class D (75,000 or less) Size class C (75,000 385,000) Size class B (385,000- 1.250 million) Oct. June Aug. Oct. June Aug. Oct. Northeast EXPENDITURE CATEGORY Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 113.2 117.3 112.9 103.8 115.6 112.0 109.2 107.1 115.0 117.9 114.8 104.9 119.6 113.6 110.6 108.3 117,3 119.2 117.9 107.7 121.1 115.4 111.4 111.7 115.3 118.5 114.5 106.2 119.6 112.5 108.3 110.0 117.3 118.9 116.7 106.1 123.4 115.3 110.9 111.4 120.2 119.6 121.3 109.2 125.0 118.5 113.6 114.1 117.2 120.8 118.7 102.8 119.1 112.8 108.4 111.4 120.2 121.7 122.5 104.3 1236 114.8 110.4 113.0 123.0 121.9 127*7 107 8 124.9 117,0 110.0 115.6 115.5 119.3 114.9 106.2 118.5 114.0 112.4 108.5 116.9 120.4 116.1 103.4 122.5 114.8 113.6 109.2 119.2 1-19.4 119.9 108.3 124.5 116.3 114.1 112.5 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ............................................................................................................ 114.7 113.2 111.2 116.6 115.8 113.0 118.6 118.3 115.6 116.7 115.9 112.9 119.0 119.0 114.6 121.8 122.8 117.8 117.6 116.1 116.5 120.8 120.4 119.1 122.8 123.2 123.3 116.0 114.4 114.8 117.7 116.5 115.7 120.0 120.4 117.9 North Central EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................................................ Food and beverages .......... ...................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care ................................................................................................. Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 118.2 120.0 121.8 101.7 118.8 112.9 110.8 108.0 121.0 120.2 125.8 102.8 122.8 115.0 111.9 109.0 123.2 121.2 128.7 105.3 125.0 115.9 112.6 112.5 118.0 117.6 121.2 104.0 118.8 114.5 108.2 114.4 120.5 118.6 124.1 104.6 122.9 117.2 109.2 114.9 122.3 119.2 125.7 109.9 125.2 118.6 110.7 117.8 116.8 120.2 117.3 104.0 120.5 114.1 110.9 108.5 119.0 120.4 120.3 105.3 123.7 116.4 110.5 110.0 121.9 121.6 124.5 107.4 126.0 117.5 112.7 112.3 116.6 121.4 115.9 103.7 120.1 115.7 110.8 110.5 119.5 122.0 120.5 104.0 123.2 117.5 111.3 112.7 122.0 122.8 124.0 110.0 124.3 119.1 112.7 115.7 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverage ............................................................ Services ............................................................................................................ 118.2 117.3 118.4 120.7 120.9 121.5 122.5 123.0 124.3 117.0 116.7 119,7 119.4 119.7 122.4 120.8 121.5 124.7 117.1 115.8 116.3 119.1 118.5 118.8 121.7 121.7 122.2 116.2 114.0 117.2 118.9 117,6 120.4 121.1 120.4 123.3 South EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and servides ............................................................................ 1169 120.6 118.0 108.0 118.7 111.6 107.7 110.2 118.7 121.1 119.9 107.5 122.6 113.3 108.1 111.5 120.7 122.2 122.0 111.2 124.2 116.0 109.4 114.4 117.5 119.5 118.8 107.2 119.8 114.0 111.5 109.9 120.1 120.3 122.4 107.3 123.5 115.7 111.9 110.8 122.4 121.3 125.8 110.8 124.5 116.9 113.2 114.0 117.5 120.5 119.7 103.3 118.2 114.1 111.1 109.6 119.9 121.6 122.7 104.5 121.8 115.5 111.8 111.4 122.1 122.1 125.9 106.4 123.2 117.6 113.6 114.2 115.6 119.7 115.1 103.8 118.2 115.9 112.4 111.7 118.5 120.0 119.3 102.8 122.4 118.5 115.9 114.3 120.6 121.0 121.6 103.9 124.4 122.5 117.1 117.3 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverages .......................................................... Services ............................................................................................................ 117.3 115.8 116.5 118.9 118.0 118.4 120.5 1198 121.0 117.1 116.1 118.1 119.3 118.9 121.2 121.2 121.2 124.3 116.9 115.3 118.5 119.3 118.3 120.8 120.7 120.1 124.2 115.9 114.3 115.1 118.6 118.0 118.5 120.2 119.9 121.1 West EXPENDITURE CATEGORY All items ............................................................................................................ Food and beverages .................................................................................... Housing ...................................................................................................... Apparel and upkeep .................................................................................... Transportation.............................................................................................. Medical care................................................................................................ Entertainment .............................................................................................. Other goods and services ............................................................................ 116.0 119.8 115.3 106.0 120.5 114.7 108.2 110.2 118,7 119.4 119.0 104.8 125.3 116,8 109.3 112.4 120.8 121.2 121.2 107.9 127.2 119.8 109.3 115.2 118.7 121.6 119.5 108.3 121.0 114.6 113.2 1109 120.9 121.4 122.4 108.8 124.8 116 6 114.4 112.5 123.6 123.1 126.2 111.0 126.7 117.8 115.6 115.3 116.9 1196 117.4 103.4 121.4 113.8 109.9 109.4 119.5 120.1 120.5 103.9 125.0 116.5 112.6 110.7 122.2 121.1 124.8 104.4 126.3 118.4 113.8 113.0 115.1 119.2 112.6 109.4 119.2 116 9 114.5 113.0 118.8 121.6 117.8 109.5 123.1 1190 115.7 114.4 122.8 121.5 124.8 114.0 124.6 120.7 1178 116.0 COMMODITY AND SERVICE GROUP Commodities...................................................................................................... Commodities less food and beverage............................................................ Services ............................................................................................................ 117.1 116.0 114.5 118.7 118.3 118.8 120.5 120.2 121.3 119.3 118.3 117.9 120.8 120.6 121.0 123.1 123.1 124.4 117.4 116.5 116.3 119.4 119.1 119.6 121.7 121.9 122.8 116.1 114.8 113.6 119.1 118.0 118.5 120.7 120.4 125.9 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 99 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Consumer Prices 25. Consumer Price Index — U.S. city average, and selected areas [1967 - 100 unless otherwise specified] All Urban Consumers Area' 1978 Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (revised) 1979 1978 1979 Nov. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Nov. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. U.S. city average2 .............................................................. 202.0 216.6 218.9 221.1 223.4 225.4 227.5 201.8 216.9 219.4 221.5 223.7 225.6 227.6 Anchorage, Alaska (10/67 .100) ...................................... Atlanta, Ga........................................................................... Baltimore, Md....................................................................... Boston, Mass....................................................................... Buffalo, N Y.......................................................................... 194.7 213.7 194.8 207.4 212.6 203.0 199.7 221.0 214.2 209.3 Chicago, Ill -Northwestern Ind................................................ Cincinnati. Ohio-Ky.-Ind......................................................... Cleveland, O h o .................................................................. Dallas-Ft. Worth. Tex............................................................ Denver-Boulder, Colo............................................................ 198.1 207.0 Detroit, Mich......................................................................... Honolulu, Hawaii ................................................................ Houston, Tex........................................................................ Kansas City, Mo -Kansas .................................................... Los Angeles-Long Beach, Anaheim, Calif............................... 202.0 Miami, Fla. (11/77 = 100) .................................................. Milwaukee, Wis.................................................................... Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minn.-Wis............................................. New York, N.Y.-Northeastern N.J........................................... Northeast, Pa. (Scranton).................................................... 107.4 199.0 200.9 197.1 Philadelphia, Pa.-N.J............................................................. Pittsburgh, Pa....................................................................... Portland, Oreg.-Wash........................................................... St. Louis, Mo - II.................................................................... San Diego, Calif................................................................... 207.1 199.3 209.8 San Francisco-Oakland, Calif............ ................................ Seattle-Everett, Wash........................................................... Washington, D.C.-Md.-Va...................................................... 203.6 203.9 213.5 211.4 199.7 217.4 224.8 218.6 219.5 214.7 213.8 214.5 214.0 211.7 2161 217.7 219.1 223.7 220.7 218.1 215.4 219.5 221.8 227.2 210.5 244.2 229.9 221.8 231.2 219.9 220.1 226.0 2322 2222 240.4 218.3 217.5 220.4 203.0 199.2 2259 233.4 197.6 207.5 245.9 212.9 201.7 224.2 197.5 119.4 229.8 107.9 200.7 221.3 220.0 199.8 198.5 222.4 200.6 236.6 225.7 247.8 207.8 197.6 208,5 227.6 225.4 202 1 205.3 221.5 222.6 222.9 221.4 213.7 213.2 216.8 226.5 218.2 219.8 216.8 214.5 215.0 2206 230.8 214.1 213.4 216.9 223.5 218.1 220.0 2256 2356 223.0 248.6 226.9 211.1 241.8 227.9 224.0 118.7 228.7 228.5 215.3 227.9 217.4 233.1 217.8 217.1 220.3 230.8 225.8 120.5 232.5 233.0 219.3 221.3 226.1 2326 222.5 2377 218.6 215.9 221.9 221.7 225.5 228.0 243,6 222.6 207.2 239.0 223.1 219.6 116.9 225.0 223.4 212.2 227.9 2225 218.6 222.6 2230 213.7 2 Average of 85 cities. 224.9 217.9 239.3 215.5 203.6 234.5 218.4 214.5 211.8 223.5 215.3 221.2 218.0 231.3 210.9 219.0 209.7 224.7 228.2 117.4 226.0 227.0 215.4 227.4 216.9 236.1 212.5 227.2 222.7 240.8 222.2 207.2 240.6 224.6 217.5 115.7 222.7 222.3 212.5 221.3 2290 206.4 214.5 218.7 221.4 222.9 ’ The areas listed include not only the central city but the entire portion of the Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area, as defined for the 1970 Census of Population, except that the Standard Consolidated Area is used for New York and Chicago. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 224.9 218.1 2365 215.4 204.4 235.5 219.5 212.9 220.8 214.6 219.9 217.5 198.1 213.2 216.9 220.7 221.1 223.8 236.7 226.3 244.8 2208 221.0 224.4 225.5 2267 26. Producer Price Indexes, by stage of processing [1967 = 100] Annual average 1978 1978 Finished goods.................................................................... 194.6 202.5 205.4 207.7 209.1 211.4 Finished consumer goods.............................................. Finished consumer foods .......................................... Crude .................................................................. Processed ............................................................ Other nondurable goods............................................ Durable goods.......................................................... 192.6 206.7 215.5 204.1 195.4 165.8 200.5 215.8 232.1 212.5 202.7 173.0 203.7 220.2 236.7 216.9 205.4 175.2 206.3 225.1 257.2 220.5 207.2 176.2 207.9 226.3 244.6 222.8 209.8 176.8 210.2 227.8 241.8 224.6 213.1 178.4 Capital Equipment........................................................ 199.1 207.0 209.3 210.8 211.7 214.0 Intermediate materials, supplies, and components.................. 215.5 223.0 225.7 228.5 231.5 Materials and components for manufacturing.................. Materials for food manufacturing................................ Materials for nondurable manufacturing ...................... Materials for durable manufacturing............................ Components for manufacturing .................................. 208.3 202.3 195.8 237.2 189.1 215.6 210.7 201.2 246.4 196.2 218.6 214.4 203.2 252.0 197.2 221.6 217.3 205.3 256.8 199.0 Materials and components for construction .................... 224.4 232.5 236.1 Processed fuels and lubricants...................................... Manufacturing industries............................................ Nonmanufacturing industries...................................... 296.4 270.4 320.0 300.4 268.7 330.3 302.0 268.3 334.0 Containers .................................................................. 212.5 222.6 223.9 224.3 229.3 231.8 234.5 234.9 235.4 Supplies...................................................................... Manufacturing industries............................................ Nonmanufacturing industries...................................... Manufactured animal feeds .................................... Other supplies ...................................................... 196.9 183.6 204.0 200.2 201.9 206.1 192.0 213.6 216.9 209.7 207.4 193.1 215.0 215.9 211.6 209.6 194.3 217.7 221.6 213.6 211.1 197.4 218.4 219.3 215.0 212.8 199.4 219.9 219.5 216.8 213.7 201.5 220.3 214.6 218.3 216.1 202.7 223.2 226.2 219.2 219.6 204.2 227.8 241.3 221.5 240.1 252.5 260.2 270.4 276.6 279.9 282.3 283.0 287.1 Commodity grouping Dec. 1979 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 212.7 213.7 216.2 217.3 211.6 226.6 226.7 224.4 217.1 179.5 212.7 223.6 227.1 221.3 221.7 180.4 215.6 224.9 224.9 222.8 227.1 181.6 217.5 223.5 231.7 220.7 233.4 181.6 215.1 215.8 217.2 216.5 235.8 238.2 240.3 244.6 224.5 219.6 208.7 r 260.0 200.3 229.0 222.2 213.7 266.0 203.1 230.9 222.5 216.7 267.2 204.5 232.1 222.3 218.1 268.9 205.3 239.0 241.3 244.5 245.2 304.8 269.0 339.1 312.9 275.4 348.9 323.9 280.7 365.9 336.8 287.4 385.5 Sept. Oct Nov. Dec. 220.4 223.7 225.9 227.8 221.3 227.8 213.9 226.8 238.9 182.0 224.1 226.7 215.4 225.4 243.0 187.4 226.6 230.5 228.0 228.6 245.2 188.5 228.8 232.0 227.8 230.1 247.8 191.2 217.7 222.5 223.8 225.1 247.5 250.7 254.6 256.1 258.4 236.0 226.7 222.5 273.3 207.7 238.0 225.1 225.3 275.2 209.3 240.5 228.6 227.3 278.7 210.9 243.9 225.3 231.2 284.5 212.5 245.2 227.7 233.1 284.2 214.5 247.5 230.5 235.1 287.5 215.9 245.6 247.4 249.2 251.6 254.4 253.8 253.6 349.5 293.8 404.9 364.8 304.0 425.5 384.6 311.2 458.8 399.4 317.2 483.0 410.5 322.5 500.4 416.5 325.3 509.7 424.6 332.3 518.8 237.6 237.1 240.8 243.5 246.1 219.6 2086 225.4 220.8 223.1 220.8 209.1 227.0 224.3 224.3 224.4 211.8 231.1 229.2 228.1 226.0 213.1 232.9 227.3 230.7 228.4 215.3 235.3 230.8 232.9 281.7 287.9 289.2 290.8 2967 FINISHED GOODS INTERMEDIATE MATERIALS CRUDE MATERIALS Crude materials for further processing.................................. Foodstuffs and feedstuffs.............................................. 215.3 224.8 233.0 243.7 247.4 251.5 251.9 248.2 254.1 243.7 248.7 247.1 246.4 249.7 Nonfood materials........................................................ 286.7 304.6 311.5 320.7 331.6 333.3 339.6 348.7 349.3 353.6 362.1 368.9 374.8 385.8 Nonfood materials except fuel.................................... Manufacturing industries ........................................ Construction.......................................................... 235.4 240.8 185.7 249.6 255.9 192.1 255.6 261.8 198.8 264.7 271.9 200.4 275.5 283.8 201.9 276.5 284.8 203.6 276.6 284.7 204.5 286.6 295.9 205.4 285.2 294.0 207.2 286.1 294.9 208.6 293.3 302.8 209.9 298.6 308.5 212.2 304.6 314.9 214.6 311.5 322.5 216.6 Crude fu e l................................................................ Manufacturing industries ........................................ Nonmanufacturing industries .................................. 463.7 481.9 459.6 495.1 518.0 487.2 504.3 529.6 494.9 513.9 541.6 502.7 525.2 555.4 512.1 529.2 560.0 515.8 556.8 593.8 538.8 563.1 601.3 544.3 570.7 610.4 550.7 586.2 629.2 563.6 599.4 646.0 574.2 611.4 660.5 584.4 616.8 667.0 5890 641.8 697.7 609.7 188.9 196.4 198.8 200.2 201.7 204.2 206.3 208.5 211.4 213.2 215.9 220.6 222.2 224.3 183.7 191.0 193.3 194.9 196.7 199 3 202.1 205.2 208.4 212.3 215.9 220.6 222.4 225.0 Intermediate materials, supplies, and Components, excluding intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds .................................... 216.4 223.7 226.5 229.1 232.3 236.7 238.8 241.3 245.4 249.0 252.1 256.4 257.8 260.5 Intermediate foods and feeds .............................................. 201.0 212.2 214.3 218.2 218.9 220.7 219.3 223.0 231.0 223.1 226.6 226.0 227.0 230.0 Crude materials for further processing excluding crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs, plant and animal fibers, oilseeds, and leaf tobacco ............................................ 316.6 335.9 344.2 356.4 370.6 372.4 379.2 389.5 391.7 396.9 407.6 416.5 423.9 437.1 SPECIAL GROUPINGS Finished goods excluding foods............................................ Finished consumer goods excluding Foods ...................................................................... NOTE: Data for Aug. 1979 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and correc tions by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 101 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 27. Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings1 [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Annual 1978 1978 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. All commodities All commodities (1957 - 59 = 100) 209.3 222.1 217,5 230.8 220.8 234.2 224.1 237.7 226.7 240.5 230.0 243.7 232.0 245.7 233.5 247.7 236.9 251.4 238.3 252.8 241.7 256.1 245.2 260.2 246.9 262.0 249.4 264.6 Farm products and processed foods and feeds Industrial commodities 206.6 209.4 216.2 217.2 221.1 220.0 227.2 222.5 229.0 225.4 244.0 229.0 230.8 231.6 229.0 234.0 232.2 237.5 227.5 240.6 231.7 243.8 230.6 248.5 232.3 250.2 234.5 252.8 0101-8 01 -9 FARM PRODUCTS AND PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS Farm products ................................................................ Fresh and dried fruits and vegetables ............................ Grains.......................................................................... Livestock .................................................. Live poultry.................................................................. Plant and animal fibers.................................................. Fluid milk .................................................................... 7 Eggs............................................................................ Hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds ........................................ Other farm products .................................................... 212.5 216.5 182.5 220.1 199.8 193 4 219.7 158.6 215.8 274.9 222.7 221.6 184.7 230.1 198,5 212.8 241.2 189.0 234.0 271.0 230.4 233.7 184.4 247.3 206.0 213.6 241.8 178.5 240.1 269.7 240.9 263.0 189.3 266.5 217.8 205.1 244.6 176.7 246.1 253.6 242.8 235.7 192.0 275.8 217.6 197.8 243.7 199.9 249.5 254.6 223.3 234.7 198.3 284.0 209.4 197.8 242.4 185.5 248.3 255.1 245.4 228.2 210.3 280.7 216.3 207.6 242.0 163.8 240.7 264.1 242.8 226.4 218.7 264,0 182.9 219.5 243.8 170.7 258.4 281.0 246.8 226.7 247.4 256.0 183.8 207.6 247.6 167.6 260.1 311.9 238.5 241.7 229.1 240.2 171.9 207.9 250.0 166.8 251.9 310.8 241.0 208.2 224.4 256.4 173.5 211.3 258.5 175.4 240.6 315.9 239.5 217.8 229.0 251.7 162.0 212.9 258.5 155.9 235.1 317.6 240.2 216.4 226.6 248.3 195.5 215.4 262.5 178.7 229.8 318.3 242.5 210.5 227.9 252.5 194.7 222.0 264.0 198,4 230.3 319.4 02 02 - 1 02-2 02-3 02-4 02-5 Processed foods and feeds............ Cereal and bakery products........ Meats, poultry, and fish .............. Dairy products............................ Processed fruits and vegetables .. Sugar and confectionery ............ 202.6 190.3 217.1 188.4 202.6 197.8 200.0 225.3 199.0 197.4 211.8 196.8 229.2 202.8 218.4 204.5 201.0 227.6 204.1 211.9 215.2 - 218.9 197.2 199.1 240.3 248.5 203.5 203.2 218.5 219.5 204.8 208.4 200.9 201.1 229.7 237.5 206.7 208.0 211.3 217.2 220.5 200.1 250.6 204.9 219.6 208.4 201.2 238.6 217.5 215.7 222.3 203.0 253.0 207.1 220.5 208.7 201.5 246.2 219.3 215.6 222.0 204.9 250.4 207.9 221.4 207.6 205.3 241.8 220.2 210.8 220.6 206.3 241.4 208.4 221.5 211.1 208.5 243.6 211.1 220.5 223.3 212.4 237.7 209.0 223.6 215.7 214.1 253.2 212.7 234.9 220.5 216.0 225.5 215.2 224,6 218.3 216.5 251.7 217.6 216.2 225.7 217.7 239.8 218.3 225.0 217.3 217.9 253.5 218.8 219.5 224.8 219.2 234.4 218.2 223.3 218.6 219.2 246.2 220.6 224.3 227.1 222.3 239.5 219.0 222.5 229.2 223.7 242.8 219.6 222.3 Code 01 01-1 01-2 01-3 01-4 01-5 01-6 Commodity group and subgroup 02- 6 Beverages and beverage materials 02-7 02-8 02-9 Fats and o ils ................................ Miscellaneous processed foods .. Manufactured animal feeds .......... 1979 222.7 234.4 221.4 242.1 222.1 222.7 221.9 235.8 222.0 225.3 172.8 124.5 113.1 132.5 109.3 162.3 197.0 Textile products and apparel .......................... Synthetic fibers (12/75 = 100).................... Processed yarns and threads (12/75 = 100) Gray fabrics (12/75 = 100)........................ Finished fabrics (12/75 = 100) .................. Apparel...................................................... 82 housefurnishings.............................. Textile 159.8 109.6 102.4 118.6 103.8 152.4 178.6 163.6 110.6 104.7 125.9 106.0 155.5 183,4 164.1 113.0 105.3 125.6 103.5 157.4 181.8 164.2 113.5 105.3 123.2 104.1 157.6 186.0 165.2 113.6 107.0 123.1 105.4 158.3 187.4 166.4 115.1 106.8 124,5 105.9 159.8 188.0 167.2 117.4 107.8 124.7 107.0 159.8 188.0 168.4 118.5 108.6 125.4 107,6 160.2 189.3 169.3 119.5 109.5 128.3 108.2 160.3 189.9 170.5 120.6 110.6 128.7 109.0 161.4 190.5 171.3 123.9 111.7 128.7 109.0 161.6 193.9 129.8 108.7 162.1 194.6 172.4 124.9 113.0 130.6 108.5 162.9 194.8 04 0404-2 04-3 04- Hides, skins, leather, and related products 1 and skins.................................. Hides Leather .............................................. Footwear .......................................... 4 leather and related products . . . . Other 200.0 360.5 238.6 183.0 177.0 216.2 401.3 279.6 194.3 185.3 223.4 452.8 292.8 196,4 190.7 232.2 497.8 309.2 203.0 192.2 253.3 639.6 371.9 209.9 195.9 258.9 642.2 393.6 212.0 200.4 269.6 666.9 429.4 216.3 209.1 268.0 611.0 414.6 221.1 212.3 261.9 566.5 385.2 221.8 212.1 257.9 511.9 365.9 225.4 210.9 250.7 465.3 330.0 226.2 210.2 253.6 478.8 343.6 226.9 209.8 248.5 447.6 319.8 227.3 208.5 248.9 443.9 324.8 227.3 208.1 05 05-1 05-2 05-3 05-4 05-61 05-7 Fuels and related products and power Coal............................................ Coke . . . : .................................. Gas fuels1 .................................... Electric power.............................. Crude petroleum2 ........................ Petroleum products, refined3 ........ 322.5 430.0 411.8 428.7 250.6 300.1 321.0 334.3 443.7 418.8 444.6 250.7 312.4 338.2 338.1 443.6 421.2 449.9 251.0 316.4 343.9 342.5 444.0 423.7 458.1 251.1 322.3 350.0 350.9 445.3 428.5 471.0 257.3 324.2 360.3 361.5 447.1 430.1 477.4 260.6 326.2 378.6 377.6 450.8 430.6 507.2 265.9 335.7 400.0 393.7 452.0 430.6 522.3 269.9 356.4 4236 411.8 452.5 430.6 548.4 274.8 370.6 449.8 432.8 454.2 430.6 570.4 278.8 385.7 482.8 454.4 452.8 430.6 599.7 280.5 422.1 513.6 468.Í 454.9 431.2 619.1 283.6 436.7 534.4 476.7 455.4 431.2 637.1 282.1 450.4 544.9 488.7 457.8 431.2 670.5 287.2 470.8 554.8 o><5>o>o>§>a>o><5>o> INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES 03 03-1 03-2 03-3 03-4 03-81 03- Chemicals and allied products........................ Industrial chemicals4 .................................. Prepared paint............................................ Paint materials .......................................... Drugs and pharmaceuticals ........................ Fats and oils, inedible ................................ Agricultural chemicals and chemical products Plastic resins and materials ........................ Other chemicals and allied products............ 198.8 225.6 192.3 212.7 148.1 315.8 198 4 199.8 181.8 202.3 229.1 198.7 220.7 153.2 332.9 201.9 201.1 1823 205.0 234.0 198.9 222.5 155.4 336.1 201.7 204.2 184.3 207.3 237.4 202.3 224.3 156.2 367.9 203.1 2063 184,7 209.9 239.7 202.3 227.0 156.6 398.5 206.3 210.9 186.5 215.1 248.2 203.3 231.6 157.5 4487 209.8 220.6 186.9 218.0 255.6 201.3 236.1 157.7 418.3 210.0 228.5 188.9 219.2 259.3 201.3 239.5 159.0 374.1 209.2 230.1 190.5 225.0 270.4 205.3 246.7 159.2 381.6 211.2 244.5 191.8 228.5 277.1 205.3 247.9 159.6 376.4 215.3 250.1 194.4 230.3 278.9 206.0 251.2 161.1 379.9 217.9 252.2 195.8 233.5 284.2 206.7 253.5 162.9 366.9 223.7 259.2 196.5 235.6 287.2 206.9 254.8 163.0 344.3 229.2 261.7 199.3 238.1 291.6 210.7 255.4 164.4 327.1 232.7 262.7 201.9 07 07-1 07-11 07-12 07-13 07- Rubber and plastic products . .. Rubber and rubber products .. Crude rubber ...................... Tires and tubes.................... Miscellaneous rubber products 2 products (6/78 = 100) Plastic 174.8 185.3 187.2 179.2 189.6 179.7 192.8 197.3 188.8 193.7 102.0 180.8 194.7 197.9 191.5 195.1 102.3 183.2 197.6 201.1 194.1 198.1 103.5 185.9 199.4 204,8 195.0 200.3 105.7 188.8 201.2 211.6 196.1 201.3 108.0 190.8 202.6 214.2 197.3 202.6 109.5 193.1 204.8 222.0 198.9 203.5 111.0 195.5 209.5 226.1 206.2 205.4 111.2 198.5 2160 233.0 211.6 213.4 112.2 200.3 216.7 231.2 214.6 211.7 112.8 202.4 219.7 235.2 217.9 214.2 113.6 204.3 223.3 236.4 222.7 216.9 113.8 205.7 223.9 239.4 222.7 217.4 115.2 08 0808-2 08-3 3-4 Lumber and wood products 1 Lumber........................ Millwork ...................... Plywood ...................... Other wood products . .. 276.0 322.4 235.4 235.6 211.8 288.6 339.1 241.6 249.0 222.1 290.2 336,6 244.5 257.4 223.2 293.9 339.9 251.5 257.1 226.2 300.5 350.5 257.8 254.7 232.2 304.9 355.4 266.0 252.4 235.5 302,8 354.8 261.6 249.3 238.4 299.8 354.8 258.9 238.6 238.5 300.1 355.0 252.5 249.7 2376 304.7 3653 249.6 254.3 237.4 309.7 373.8 250.9 258.1 238.0 308.8 370.2 255.6 254.4 237.7 299.0 355.5 252.3 242.9 239.9 289.8 338.9 250.3 237.7 240.5 -1 -21 -22 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 See footnetes at end of table. 102 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 171.9 125.6 112.2 27. Continued— Producer Price Indexes, by commodity groupings1 [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified]___________________________ _________________________ Code Commodity groups and subgroups 1979 Annual average 1978 1978 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. S ept O ct Nov. Dec. INDUSTRIAL COMM ODITIES-Continued 09 09-1 09-11 09-12 09-13 09-14 09-15 09- Pulp, paper, and allied products.................................................... Pulp, paper, and products, excluding building paper and board . . Woodpulp................................................................................. Wastepaper ............................................................................ Paper ....................................................................................... Paperboard.............................................................................. Converted paper and paperboard products................................ Building paper and board.......................................................... 2 195.6 195.6 266.5 191.2 206.1 179.6 185.6 187.4 205.2 205.7 281.6 192.2 214.6 187.4 197.4 186.6 207.0 207.7 291.3 192.9 217.9 188.5 198.3 184.1 208.8 209.5 291.4 194.1 221.2 190.2 199.8 183.6 212.3 213.2 294.3 203.2 223.3 192.9 204.1 182.6 215.0 216.0 303.8 206.5 226.3 197.9 205.8 183.4 216.2 217.2 306.9 206.2 227.2 199.2 207.0 183.3 216.6 217.8 308.3 207.2 227.5 199.8 207.6 180.8 218.3 219.6 320.3 207.9 228.2 201.7 209.0 178.0 222.2 223.6 320.6 206.6 229.5 206.4 214.4 179.1 222.8 224.1 322.5 206.7 230.6 209.5 213.9 184.4 227.2 228.6 339.4 206.7 239.0 211.2 216.5 185.5 229.3 230.9 339.9 220.0 242.1 212.8 218.4 183.6 231.0 232.6 339.9 221.2 243.0 215.4 220.3 184.4 10 1010-13 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 10-6 1010-8 Metals and metal products .......................................................... Iron1and steel ........................................................ .............. Steel mill products.................................................................... Nonferrous metals.................................................................... Metal containers ...................................................................... Hardware ................................................................................. Plumbing fixtures and brass fittings............................................ Heating equipment.................................................................... Fabricated structural metal products.......................................... 7 Miscellaneous metal products.................................................... 227.1 253.6 254.5 207.8 243.4 200.4 199.1 174.4 226.4 212.0 236.6 263.2 262.1 219.0 254.4 210.7 203.6 179.1 233.5 220.8 241.9 272.4 271.5 223.5 256.8 211.7 204.3 180.1 238.4 222.0 247.3 274.9 271.8 239.2 256.8 213.3 207.8 180.9 240.5 223.4 251.7 279.9 272.5 246.6 264.5 214.2 209.7 183.4 241.3 225.2 256.0 280.2 275.0 259.6 270.1 215.8 212.0 183.8 243.8 227.0 256.2 279.5 276.7 258.2 268.5 216.9 213.8 185.7 247.0 228.5 258.2 283.2 277.3 259.7 267.3 217.1 217.0 185.2 248.2 230.1 260.8 286.8 284.6 262.3 267.2 218.5 219.6 186.0 250.5 231.8 261.8 286.1 284.7 263.1 268.4 220.1 222.4 188.1 252.2 235.6 263.6 285.3 284.8 269.3 267.0 221.4 222.9 191.3 253.2 237.4 269.4 289.0 288.4 282.6 276.7 223.8 223.4 191.9 255.6 239.1 270.9 291.6 288.7 283.7 280.7 225.4 225.4 192.7 256.6 239.4 273.5 292.7 289.3 291.2 280.7 226.5 226.4 195.2 257.7 239.9 11 1111-2 11-3 11-4 11-6 11-7 11- Machinery and equipment ............................................................ Agricultural machinery and equipment........................................ 1 Construction machinery and equipment...................................... Metalworking machinery and equipment .................................... General purpose machinery and equipment................................ Special industry machinery and equipment ................................ Electrical machinery and equipment .......................................... Miscellaneous machinery.......................................................... 9 196.1 213.1 232.9 217.0 216.6 223.0 164.9 194.7 203.8 221.9 243.8 228.2 225.1 233.9 170.5 200.6 205.1 222.8 245.5 230.4 226.3 236.2 171.2 202.7 206.5 223.9 247.9 232.0 227.7 237.0 172.8 203.4 207.9 '224.8 248.7 233.0 230.4 239.1 173.8 204.0 209.8 226.4 251.7 235.3 232.6 243.4 175.0 205.4 211.4 228.3 253.7 237.6 234.0 245.1 176.5 207.1 212.4 229.4 254.0 239.1 235.1 246.1 177.6 207.4 214.8 231.2 257.0 241.4 237.1 249.8 179.9 209.7 216.0 233.3 258.5 243.5 238.3 251.0 181.2 209.7 217.6 236.6 258.5 246.1 239.6 251.5 182.7 211.8 219.6 238.8 262.9 249.1 242.1 253.9 184.1 212.9 221.0 241.4 264.5 251.4 243.7 255.3 185.0 214.5 222.9 243.2 268.2 254.6 246.1 256.2 186.5 215.7 12 1212-2 12-3 12-4 1212-6 Furniture and household durables ................................................ Household furniture .................................................................. 1 Commercial furniture................................................................ Floor covenngs ........................................................................ Household appliances .............................................................. Home 5 electronic equipment ...................................................... Other household durable goods ................................................ 160.4 173.5 201.5 141.6 153.0 90.2 203.1 164.6 179.3 207.3 142.3 155.7 92.3 212.3 166.6 181.0 214.4 143.4 157.0 92.2 216.0 167.9 181.3 221.2 143.6 158.3 92.3 216.6 168.3 181.8 221.2 144.0 158.8 92.3 217.9 168.7 182.7 221.7 144.4 158.7 92.3 218.6 169.6 184.8 221.9 146.0 159.3 92.4 219.5 170.2 185.3 221.8 146.5 160.0 92.8 220.6 170.7 185.8 222.7 149.1 161.1 90.2 223.7 171.5 186.2 222.7 150.0 162.2 90.2 226.6 171.7 188.0 222.7 150.3 162.7 87.8 227.4 174.1 189.3 223.3 151.8 163.2 87.8 244.1 175.6 192.4 223.3 152.8 164.5 87.9 246.6 177.0 194.3 225.1 152.9 165.2 88.1 252.1 13 1313-2 13-3 13-4 13-5 13-6 13-7 13-8 13- Nonmetallic mineral products........................................................ Rat11glass ................................................................................ Concrete ingredients ................................................................ Concrete products.................................................................... Structural clay products excluding refractories............................ Refractories ............................................................................ Asphalt roofing ........................................................................ Gypsum products .................................................................... Glass containers .............................................................. • Other 9 nonmetallic minerals........................................................ 222.8 172.8 217.7 214.0 197.2 216.5 292.0 229.1 244.4 275.6 231.1 178.7 223.5 224.2 206.5 226.1 305.2 242.7 250.7 283.6 238.3 181.1 235.9 235.6 209.7 227.5 306.8 247.6 250.7 288.8 240.5 183.1 238.2 236.4 210.7 227.8 317.8 250.6 250.7 293.7 240.8 183.1 239.8 237.8 212.8 228.3 303.1 251.0 250.7 294.5 243.4 183.1 242.0 240.5 214.8 228.4 316.4 252.2 250.7 300.0 245.6 183.1 242.5 241.6 215.7 228.5 317.9 248.8 265.2 303.0 246.9 184.0 243.3 243.7 216.5 232.6 323.0 251.3 265.2 302.0 249.5 184.1 245.1 245.2 220.3 240.8 328.4 251.8 265.2 310.5 249.9 184.1 242.9 246.3 222.3 241.7 325.9 252.3 265.2 309.9 252.2 184.5 245.6 248.6 223.8 243.1 332.7 254.9 265.5 318.8 255.6 184.7 246.9 249.4 221.1 245.0 334.0 255.3 265.5 341.2 257.1 185.4 248.4 250.5 221.1 248.2 345.9 256.2 265.5 342.2 259.2 186.4 249.9 253.2 226.8 248.7 342.9 255.0 273.6 342.2 14 1414- Transportation equipment (12/68 = 100)...................................... Motor 1 vehicles and equipment .................................................. Railroad equipment .................................................................. 4 173.5 176.0 252.8 180.5 182.8 261.8 182.7 185.0 266.4 183.5 185.9 268.0 183.8 186.1 268.9 186.8 189.4 271.7 187.2 189.8 271.6 187.5 190.1 274.7 188.4 190.8 280.6 185.9 187.8 280.9 186.2 188.1 281.6 193.6 196.3 286.3 194.4 197.0 288.2 195.1 197.6 289.0 15 1515-2 15-3 15-4 15-51 15-9 Miscellaneous products................................................................ Toys, 1 sporting goods, small arms, ammunition............................ Tobacco products .................................................................... Notions.................................................................................... Photographic equipment and supplies ........................................ Mobile Homes (12/74 = 100) .................................................. Other miscellaneous products .................................................. 184.3 163.2 198.5 182.0 145.7 126.4 210.6 193.6 164.8 204.0 183.4 148.7 130.8 234.8 197.7 170.4 213.5 188.2 150.1 131.7 237.8 199.8 171.0 213.6 188.2 150.2 132.5 244.0 200.6 171.5 214.0 190.2 150.2 133.8 245.5 201.4 173.2 214.4 190.2 150.1 135.2 246.1 203.3 174.3 214.4 190.6 150.6 137.2 250.6 205.2 174.7 214.4 190.6 151.6 137.9 255.8 207.0 176.9 214.8 192.0 152.0 138.2 261.4 208.9 177.6 221.3 191.9 152.2 139.5 260.1 212.3 179.9 221.7 192.1 154.1 139.5 270.5 216.8 181.2 221.9 195.8 157.3 142.5 280.9 219.0 181.7 221.9 196.0 161.3 143.5 284.9 227.2 183.5 226.3 197.0 164.5 143.6 307.9 1Prices for natural gas are lagged 1 month. 2 Includes only domestic production. 3 Most prices for refined petroleum products are lagged 1 month. * Some prices for industrial chemicals are lagged 1 month. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 Not available. NOTE: Data for August 1979 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 103 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • C u rre n t L a b o r S ta tistics: P ro d u cer P rices 28. Producer Price Indexes, for special commodity groupings [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] Annual 1978 1978 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept O ct Nov. Dec. 208.4 206.4 206.7 197.2 108.8 106.3 158.9 216.3 215.5 215.7 204.6 110.9 108.7 162.5 219.3 219.9 219.8 207.3 109.1 110.1 164.6 222.0 225.0 223.5 209.6 110.8 109.9 166.3 224.7 225.9 225.6 211.9 111.6 110.5 167.1 228.0 227.7 227.8 214.7 112.3 112.5 167.3 230.1 226.4 227.5 216.0 112.8 112.5 167.7 232.0 223.8 224.7 217.0 113.5 112.7 168.3 235.4 225.4 226.4 219.0 114.0 114.1 168.5 % 237.5 224.7 224.8 220.3 115.1 113.0 170.8 241.0 228.2 230.6 221.6 115.7 112.7 170.8 244.9 226.8 228 9 225 4 116.0 113.0 171.2 246.7 229.9 231 8 226 4 116.1 1146 171.6 249.2 232 1 234 1 190.5 140.6 193.6 145.8 196.3 148.1 198.0 149.0 200.0 149.4 204.1 150.0 207.6 150.1 209.5 151.7 215.0 151.7 218.6 152.0 220.5 153.6 223 7 155.6 226 0 155.4 228 6 156.9 298.3 209.6 216.2 155.6 190.4 314.1 217.9 224.5 164.1 197.7 314.8 220.0 227.0 168.8 199.6 317.0 225.6 228.6 188.2 200.8 323.7 228.2 230.6 197.9 201.7 326.4 232.7 232.9 212.1 204.1 325.1 232.4 234.6 199.0 205.3 321.7 233.7 235.7 193.0 206.0 325.3 235.5 237.4 191.9 207.7 333.9 234.9 239.8 197.1 207.2 341.0 236.1 241.0 200.5 208.3 337 4 242 9 243.7 211 5 212.8 323 5 244 2 244 8 2136 214.0 245 9 245 6 216 1 215.4 214.3 216.3 228.8 179.1 228.7 212.7 216.1 216.7 232.3 232.7 208.1 228.3 223.0 225.2 242.5 186.3 238.3 221.2 224.6 225.9 240.7 244.5 220.2 237.0 224.9 227.6 245.2 188.9 240.8 223.5 225.6 229.5 245.4 249.9 220.2 241.4 226.1 228.5 247.4 190.9 242.5 224.4 225.8 230.9 247.8 249.9 220.2 244.1 227.7 229.6 248.9 192.6 243.1 225.5 226.7 232.1 249.5 252.0 220.3 246.9 230.0 230.8 251.2 192.7 245.4 226.7 228.5 233.0 252.4 255.5 220.3 250.0 231.8 232.1 254.3 195.7 247.7 228.1 230.5 233.6 255.0 259.3 221.6 250.3 232.6 233.8 256.8 195.8 248.2 229.5 231.8 235.7 255.8 260.4 222.8 250.3 235.1 235.8 260.1 202.2 251.2 231.4 233.9 237.6 257.0 260.8 222.8 252.3 236.2 238.4 261.7 204.2 253.8 233.7 237.6 239.2 258.2 262.3 224.6 254.3 237.8 242.6 265 3 206.6 254.8 237.5 243.4 242.2 259.1 262.8 224.6 256.6 2402 244.7 269 5 208.7 2594 239 5 246 3 243.7 260.3 271.7 235.3 258.2 242 0 247 9 272 5 209 0 2609 242 4 248 8 247.4 261.1 276 8 235 3 256.5 2500 265 2 276 8 239 0 255.3 Commodity grouping All commodities — less farm products . . . . Processed foods Industrial commodities less fuels .......... Selected te x tile mill products (Dec. 1975 = 100) Underwear and nightwear.................... Chemicals and allied products, including synthetic rubber and manmade fibers and yams . . . . Pharmaceutical preparations.................... Lumber and wood products, excluding millwork and other wood products ...................... Special metals and metal products .......... Fabricated metal products.................... Copper and copper products.............................. Machinery and motive products.................. Machinery and equipment, except electrical ............ Agricultural machinery, including tractors ............ Metalworking machinery .................. Numerically controlled machine tools (Dec. 1971 = 100) ___ Total tractors.................................. Agricultural machinery and equipment less parts .. Farm and garden tractors less parts ........................ Agricultural machinery excluding tractors less parts................ ' Industrial fittings ...................................... Abrasive grinding wheels................................ Construction materials ........................ 1979 1170 115 3 172.9 250 0 211 3 264 9 NOTE: Data for August 1979 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 29. Producer Price Indexes, by durability of product [1967 = 100] Annual average 1978 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept O ct Nov. Dec. Total durable goods ...................... Total nondurable goods.............. 204.9 211.9 213.0 219.9 216.3 223.4 218.9 227.3 221.0 230.4 223.9 234.1 224.7 236.9 225.8 238.8 227.6 243.7 228.0 245.8 229.7 250.8 234.0 253.5 234 9 256.0 236 6 259.2 Total manufactures.......................... Durable...................................................................... Nondurable ............................ 204.2 204.7 203.0 212.0 212.7 210.5 215.0 215.8 213.4 217.5 218.0 216.1 219.7 219.8 219.0 223.1 222.7 222.8 225.0 223.8 225.6 226.5 224.6 227.8 229.8 226.6 232.5 231.7 227.2 235.9 234.9 229.0 240.9 238.6 233.3 243.7 240.2 234.1 246.3 242.3 235 8 248.8 Total raw or slightly processed goods ............ Durable.......................................... Nondurable.................................. 234.6 209.6 235.6 244.3 225.0 244.9 250.2 235.4 250.4 258.5 253.9 258.0 263.3 273.6 261.6 266.1 272.5 264.7 268.2 262.9 267.6 269.7 272.8 268.5 274.3 265.4 274.0 272.1 259.8 272.0 276.6 255.7 277.2 278.6 259.0 279.1 281.1 265.8 281.3 286 4 267 8 286.8 Commodity grouping 1978 1979 NOTE: Data for August 1979 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. 30. Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC Industries [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Annual 1978 1978* Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept O ct Nov. Dec. 121.9 126.6 430.2 358.2 194.6 111.8 127.3 136.2 441.0 380.6 200.2 123.2 127.3 153.3 444.0 388.2 208.0 125.4 127.3 168.7 444.4 397.2 210.4 125.4 127.3 178.3 445.7 403.8 210.9 125.4 131.9 202.1 447.5 407.6 214.1 125.4 131.9 237.5 451.3 427.2 216.0 125.4 136.0 277.0 452.5 444.1 217.0 125.5 136.0 270.8 453.1 457.5 219.3 125.5 138.8 245.8 454.8 476.0 220.1 125.5 138.1 252.1 453.2 506.8 220.9 125.5 140.2 275.0 455.4 522.0 223.5 126.7 140.2 252.1 455.8 533.5 224.3 114.7 142 0 3000 458 1 553 3 225 7 119.7 216.7 215.2 192.5 205.2 226.8 228.7 192.1 227.0 243.6 223.8 194.6 211.9 250.8 230.4 204.6 211.1 256.6 235.6 206.1 216.1 265.0 224.4 199.7 224.7 259.2 227.7 203.5 225.3 249.1 217.1 177.8 225.3 243.8 214.7 178.4 227.5 229.3 203.4 169.6 237.9 247.2 211.6 171.2 240.6 239.1 213.0 163.1 240.1 241.6 214.2 188.3 241.7 243 9 219 9 1885 243.1 Industry Description 1979 MINING 1011 1092 1211 1311 1442 1455 Iron ores (12/75 = 100).................. Mercury ores (12/75 = 100)...................... Bituminous coal and lignite ................ Crude petroleum and natural gas.............. Construction sand and gravel ........................ Kaolin and ball day (6/76 = 100 )............ 2011 2013 2016 2021 Meat packing plants .................................. Sausages and other prepared meats .......................... Poultry dressing plants ........................ Creamery butter.............................. MANUFACTURING See footnotes at end of table. 104 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 30. Continued— Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC Industries [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Industry description MANUFACTURING Annual average 1978 1978 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. S ept O ct Nov. Dec. 1979 Continued 2022 2024 2033 2034 2041 2044 2048 2061 2063 2067 Cheese natural and processed (12/72- 100)................ Ice cream and frozen desserts (12/72 = 100) .............. Canned fruits and vegetables........................................ Dehydrated food products (12/73 = 100)...................... Flour mills (12/71 - 100) ............................................ Rice milling.................................................................. Prepared foods, n.e.c. (12/75 - 100)............................ Raw cane sugar .......................................................... Beet sugar .................................................................. Chewing gum .............................................................. 169.6 154.8 193.2 131.3 147.0 207.6 107.3 190.7 188.5 218.0 184.4 162.1 202.8 179.6 156.8 168.6 114.7 196.2 194.4 241.5 184.2 166.2 203.3 179.6 155.8 163.6 115.6 191.6 197.0 241.6 179.4 166.7 204.4 181.2 160.5 166.6 118.4 198.2 197.0 242.5 182.5 166.7 205.2 180.9 157.5 171.0 118.3 195.7 198.6 242.5 186.8 167.3 206.2 181.7 158.1 206.8 117.5 197.5 199.3 242.6 185.2 171.0 207.2 182.1 166.7 206.8 115.2 195.6 199.7 242.2 185.6 171.5 207.5 181.0 174.6 206.8 118.9 207.0 199.7 242.2 186.3 171.5 209.9 182.0 190.9 206.8 128.1 209.0 202.0 242.9 195.4 175.0 210.5 180.7 176.9 218.7 119.4 216.8 199.4 242.9 200.8 176.1 211.9 170.0 183.4 223.5 121.2 216.7 200.2 242.9 196.8 177.5 213.0 158.2 184.6 227.3 123.9 224.3 202.6 242.9 193.4 178.4 212.4 156.3 184.9 231.8 124.6 223.3 209.6 262.2 192.6 180.2 212.0 157.3 184.9 218.1 125.3 248.4 223.4 262.2 2074 2075 2077 2083 2085 2091 2092 2095 2098 2111 Cottonseed oil m ills...................................................... Soybean oil m ills.......................................................... Animal and marine fats and oils .................................... Malt ............................................................................ Distilled liquor, except brandy (12/75 - 100) ................ Canned and cured seafoods (12/73 = 100) .................. Fresh or frozen packaged fish ...................................... Roasted coffee (12/72 - 100)...................................... Macaroni and spaghetti ................................................ Cigarettes.................................................................... 183.1 225.6 287.9 181.5 106.7 136.4 303.8 262.3 176.9 204.6 196.4 237.7 305.1 190.8 108.9 137.4 339.0 235.7 184.7 210.7 198.7 233.1 305.0 190.8 108.9 137.3 338.1 229.4 184.7 221.1 204.5 241.2 344.5 190.8 109.4 137.9 361.9 222.5 184.7 221.2 202.8 242.0 362.6 190.8 109.4 138.5 359.4 221.6 184.7 221.3 198.5 244.7 393.1 190.8 109.4 139.2 375.8 220.5 184.7 221.4 192.5 237.7 363.8 190.8 113.6 140.9 382.4 231.7 186.6 221.4 210.4 251.1 335.3 201.4 113.6 142.1 397.6 244.2 188.6 221.4 224.5 262.8 352.0 201.4 113.6 148.5 403.7 271.0 203.5 221.5 214.1 250.0 321.4 201.4 115.7 148.2 391.5 279.2 210.4 228.9 217.9 248.4 333.8 201.4 117.1 150.8 390.1 279.2 199.5 229.1 214.9 244.8 333.7 214.9 117.1 151.1 400.9 280.0 210.4 229.2 204.7 242.6 315.2 228.2 118.1 155.6 392.4 287.5 221.5 229.2 205.6 241.8 300.7 228.2 118.1 159.8 389.3 287.5 227.7 234.3 2121 2131 2211 2221 2251 2254 2257 2261 2262 2271 Cigars ........................................................................ Chewing and smoking tobacco...................................... Weaving mills, cotton (12/72 = 100) ............................ Weaving mills, synthetic (12/77 = 100) ........................ Women’s hosiery, except socks (12/75 = 100).............. Knit underwear mills .................................................... Circular knit fabric mills (6/76 - 100)............................ Finishing plants, cotton (6/76 - 100) ............................ Finishing plants, synthetics, silk (6/76 = 100) ................ Woven carpets and rugs (12/75 - 100)........................ 141.4 222.0 181.1 109.0 91.5 164.1 98.5 111.0 101.4 114.7 141.7 225.1 187.9 115.5 94.8 166.9 99.2 115.9 105.4 115.8 142.8 235.3 188.8 114.5 95.1 169.3 91.2 116.5 104.6 115.8 143.0 236.4 190.1 112.7 94.3 169.9 91.7 117.4 105.0 115.8 145.0 240.9 190.4 112.4 94.4 172.6 93.9 118.2 105.2 116.0 145.4 245.9 191.8 113.3 97.3 172.8 93.2 119.0 105.9 116.0 145.4 245.9 192.7 113.6 97.3 173.1 94.1 120.8 106.3 116.7 145.3 245.9 194.3 114.1 97.6 173.3 95.8 120.9 107.0 117.1 149.8 246.4 196.1 116.2 99.6 172.9 96.1 122.5 107.5 (’ ) 150.1 246.4 196.5 116.3 98.1 174.0 96.4 123.2 108.2 ( 1) 147.6 255.8 198.6 116.3 97.5 174.0 96.0 124.0 108.3 (’ ) 147.4 260.4 200.7 116.9 98.0 174.3 96.4 126.1 109.2 ( 1) 147.2 260.8 200.1 116.9 100.3 174.6 96.4 123.1 108.9 147.2 260.8 200.8 117.3 100.2 178.2 98.4 123.4 109.2 2272 2281 2282 2284 2298 2311 2321 2322 2323 2327 Tufted carpets and rugs................................................ Yarn mills, except wool (12/71 - 100) .......................... Throwing and winding mills (6/76 - 100) ...................... Thread mills (6/76 - 100)............................................ Cordage and twine (12/77 - 100)................................ Men's and boys’ suits and coats.................................... Men’s and boys’ shirts and nightwear............................ Men’s and boys’ underwear.......................................... Men’s and boys' neckwear (12/75 - 100) .................... Men’s and boys’ separate trousers................................ 125.3 167.4 99.2 114.6 99.3 194.3 180.8 180.6 102.3 152.7 125.8 170.5 101.7 119.2 98.4 200.5 187.7 182.6 103.4 157.4 125.8 170.9 103.1 120.3 98.5 199.3 191.2 184.5 103.4 157.7 126.0 171.4 102.7 120.3 98.6 199.6 191.4 184.6 103.4 157.8 126.5 172.3 106.0 120.3 98.6 199.9 191.6 188.7 103.4 157.8 127.0 173.1 104.4 120.4 101.7 203.9 191.8 188.7 103.4 162.3 127.7 174.5 106.3 120.4 102.8 204.2 192.4 188.7 103.4 162.3 128.1 175.7 107.5 120.4 105.4 204.5 193.5 188.7 103.4 162.5 127.6 177.5 108.5 120.5 105.4 205.8 194.7 188.7 103.4 162.5 128.6 177.4 109.7 128.1 113.5 206.5 195.9 190.0 110.9 162.7 129.0 179.4 111.3 128.1 115.1 206.4 195.8 190.0 110.9 162.7 129.5 181.2 111.0 128.3 114.9 206.6 194.5 190.0 110.9 162.9 130.0 182.9 111.0 128.4 114.9 206.8 194.7 190.0 110.9 163.4 130.1 184.6 109.2 128.5 115.0 206.6 194.5 194.0 110.9 163.4 2328 2331 2335 2341 2342 2361 2381 2394 2396 2421 Men's and boys’ work clothing ...................................... Women’s and misses’ blouses and waists (6/78 = 100) . Women’s and misses’ dresses (12/77 - 100)................ Women’s and children's underwear (12/72 = 100) ........ Brassieres and allied garments (12/75 = 100) .............. Children’s dresses and blouses (12/77 = 100).............. Fabric dress and work gloves........................................ Canvas and related products (12/77 = 100).................. Automotive and apparel trimmings (12/77 = 100).......... Sawmills and planing mills (12/71 - 100)...................... 195.2 100.7 132.1 111.7 (’ ) 214.4 99.6 106.3 228.9 195.7 102.3 101.1 138.7 112.5 105.4 226.4 99.6 107.1 240.1 198,5 102.6 105.0 141.2 113.5 105.4 227.3 105.9 107.1 239.5 199.8 99.1 104.9 142.3 116.0 105.4 232.2 105.9 107.1 241.9 200.0 99.2 106.6 142.3 116.0 105.5 232.2 105.9 107.1 249.5 206.5 99.1 106.6 142.6 116.1 106.7 241.5 105.9 107.1 252.5 206.5 100.3 105.9 143.3 116.2 106.7 243.9 105.9 107.1 251.6 209.0 100.5 105.9 143.3 117.5 102.1 243.9 106.9 114.3 250.9 208.9 102.6 106.4 144.2 117.5 102.4 245.4 108.4 114.3 251.3 210.7 102.7 108.3 145.3 117.8 102.4 245.4 111.0 114.3 259.1 210.7 102.8 108.3 145.3 117.8 103.7 245.4 111.4 114.3 265.6 213.1 103.0 108.7 146.7 117.8 105.7 245.4 111.4 114.3 262.2 218.9 105.9 108.8 147.4 117.8 105.7 246.9 112.1 114.3 2501 219.4 106.8 108.8 147.7 118.8 105.6 246.9 120.1 114.3 237.5 2436 2439 2448 2451 2492 2511 2512 2515 2521 2611 Softwood veneer and plywood (12/75 - 100)................ Structural wood members, n.e.c. (12/75 - 100) ............ Wood pallets and skids (12/75 = 100).......................... Mobile homes (12/74 - 100)........................................ Particleboard (12/75 - 100) ........................................ Wood household furniture (12/71 =100) ...................... Upholstered household furniture (12/71 = 100).............. Mattresses and bedsprings............................................ Wood office furniture .................................................... Pulp mills (12/73 - 100).............................................. 150.1 136.2 149.4 126.5 159.7 152.4 143.1 156.3 194.4 178.5 157.6 142.3 159.8 130.8 146.9 158.5 145.8 160.0 200.5 183.7 164.2 142.3 160.6 131.8 143.0 160.3 146.9 162.3 207.2 187.1 162.2 148.1 161.8 132.5 141.9 160.3 146.9 162.9 213.1 187.3 160.1 148.3 163.8 133.8 142.7 160.9 147.6 162.9 213.1 189.9 157.3 150.1 166.8 135.3 143.8 162.7 147.4 163.1 214.2 192.5 151.1 150.1 166.7 137.3 141.6 164.6 149.2 163.2 214.3 195.2 140.7 150.0 167.0 138.0 137.4 164.0 149.4 164.1 214.2 196.6 148.1 150.0 166.9 138.2 134.3 164.5 150.0 164.5 216.8 205.4 153.4 149.9 166.8 139.6 134.7 164.6 150.2 165.8 216.8 205.7 156.2 150.8 167.9 139.6 138.5 167.1 151.6 165.7 216.8 207.5 153.3 158.2 167.9 142.5 139.6 168.1 151.8 168.8 217.6 215.2 143.3 158.2 171.0 143.5 136.9 171.3 153.9 172.1 217.6 215.6 138.7 158.2 170.5 143.6 134.1 173.6 155.8 172.1 221.9 215.6 2621 2631 2647 2654 2655 2812 2821 2822 2824 2873 Paper mills, except building (12/74 = 100).................... Paperboard mills (12/74 = 100) .................................. Sanitary paper products................................................ Sanitary food containers .............................................. Fiber cans, drums, and similar products (12/75 = 100) .. Alkalies and chlorine (12/73 = 100).............................. Plastics materials and resins (6/76 = 100).................... Synthetic rubber .......................................................... Organic fiber, noncellulosic............................................ Nitrogenous fertilizers (12/75 - 100) ............................ 115.7 106.4 251.4 170.8 123.0 198.8 103.8 180.5 107.6 96.6 121.5 111.1 267.3 177.1 127.4 203.0 104.5 187.8 108.3 95.3 123.7 112.0 267.4 178.8 130.0 202.4 106.0 189.4 110.7 95.4 124.7 112.9 267.6 179.4 130.4 203.2 106.9 191.4 111.0 96.6 126.0 114.4 269.2 179.5 130.8 201.8 109.2 192.7 111.5 98.0 128.5 117.1 270.8 184.1 130.9 203.7 113.8 196.5 113.1 101.5 129.3 118.1 271.7 189.1 132.2 204.9 117.7 200.9 115.9 101.9 129.5 118.5 271.9 189.1 134.0 206.3 118.6 206.6 117.4 101.4 130.2 119.7 276.4 189.6 136.6 209.5 124.9 214.2 118.6 102.8 131.0 121.9 285.9 189.6 136.6 212.2 127.8 223.4 119.8 104.1 131.6 123.6 283.6 191.0 135.8 212.2 129.0 222.8 123.8 106.1 135.2 125.4 286.4 195.8 136.6 213.6 132.5 224.4 124.7 107.9 136.7 126.4 286.5 198.1 137.2 216.5 133.9 227.0 124.1 111.7 137.0 127.7 289.1 199.9 140.9 217.1 134.3 229.4 123.5 113.6 2874 2875 2892 2911 2951 2952 3011 Phosphatic fertilizers .................................................... Fertilizers, mixing only .................................................. Explosives .................................................................. Petroleum refining (6/76 - 100) .................................. Paving mixtures and blocks (12/75 - 100).................... Asphalt felts and coatings (12/75) - 100) .................... Tires and inner tubes (12/73 - 100) ............................ 166.0 181.9 217.3 119.6 117.1 128.2 154.0 168.7 185.2 226.3 125.4 120.2 134.0 161.8 167.8 185.2 226.6 127.3 123.5 134.7 164.0 173.3 187.5 227.1 129.3 124.8 139.3 166.2 179.1 192.8 226.9 132.8 125.9 132.8 167.1 185.2 197.3 227.9 138.8 128.5 138.6 168.0 185.1 197.8 239.0 146.6 130.1 139.3 169.2 184.2 197.8 239.3 155.1 131.2 141.6 170.6 188.9 198.1 240.1 165.5 134.4 143.6 176.8 199.4 205.6 240.7 176.6 134.9 142.7 181.2 201.5 210.7 250.1 188.4 138.3 145.7 183.9 211.9 218.4 250.6 196.3 145.5 146.1 186.5 221.2 226.9 251.8 200.9 145.6 151.6 190.9 223.4 227.1 252.7 204.8 145.7 150.4 191.0 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 105 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Producer Prices 30. Continued— Producer Price Indexes for the output of selected SIC Industries [1967 = 100 unless otherwise specified] 1972 SIC code Annual 1978 1978* Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept O ct Nov. Dec. 158.7 154.3 168.7 161.3 102.1 135.9 129.6 135.2 176.3 123.0 149.0 250.7 169.0 161.3 103.4 143.7 134.7 141.0 178.4 123.0 150.8 250.7 169.0 162.1 105.4 173.8 136.3 145.6 189.2 123.0 150.8 250.7 169.0 164.5 107.5 182.9 136.3 147.6 190.3 123.0 150.8 250.7 169.5 167.6 109.0 201.3 138.5 152.8 192.2 131.7 150.8 265.2 169.6 169.1 110.7 195.8 142.0 155.4 195.4 131.8 151.8 265.2 171.0 169.2 111.4 181.8 135.0 155.4 198.7 131.8 151.9 265.2 173.4 169.2 112.3 172.9 135.0 158.2 201.5 131.8 151.9 265.2 173.4 170.5 112.9 155.2 136.2 159.0 201.6 131.8 152.3 265.4 173.4 171.7 113.9 161.9 136.9 159.3 202.3 131.8 152.6 265.4 173.4 177.1 114.1 150.8 137.0 159.2 204.0 131.8 153.3 265.5 173.4 177.4 115.6 153.5 137.0 159.2 204.0 131.8 153.9 273.6 Industry description 1979 3021 3031 3079 3111 3142 3143 3144 3171 3211 3221 Rubber and plastic footwear (12/71 = 100) ...................... Reclaimed rubber (12/73 = 100) .............. Miscellaneous plastic products (6/78 = 100).................. Leather tanning and finishing (12/77 = 100) ............ House slippers (12/75 = 100) .................................... Men's footwear, except athletic (12/75 = 100) .................. Women's footwear, except athletic ........................ Women’s handbags and purses (12/75 = 100) ...................... Flat glass (12/71 = 100) ................................ Glass containers ...................................... 119.1 122.5 127.1 164.1 111.4 142.7 244.3 164.1 156.4 102.0 140.1 127.1 133.9 173.7 114.3 147.5 250.6 3241 3251 3253 3255 3259 3261 3262 3263 3269 3271 Cement, hydraulic ................................................ Brick and structural clay tile .............................. Ceramic wall and floor tile (12/75 = 100)........ Clay refractories ...................................... Structural clay products, n.e.c.............................. Vitreous plumbing fixtures.................................... Vitreous china food utensils................................................ Fine earthenware food utensils .................... Pottery products, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) ................................ Concrete block and brick ................................ 251.2 230.8 107.7 221.4 176.3 189.7 268.8 228.1 122.2 202.0 256.0 243.9 111.5 231.7 179.6 194.3 284.4 242.4 129.6 211.9 275.4 248.9 111.6 233.4 184.1 195.1 284.4 242.4 129.6 223.0 278.8 250.9 111.6 233.2 184.4 198.6 290.6 237.0 129.2 223.1 280.3 252.8 113.0 234.1 186.7 198.9 290.6 237.1 129.2 227.0 283.1 256.7 113.0 234.4 186.8 201.6 290.6 237.1 129.2 230.6 283.2 258.3 113.0 234.6 186.8 204.6 290.6 237.1 129.2 232.6 283.7 259.7 113.0 236.9 187.8 206.4 290.6 236.4 129.0 232.7 285.4 261.0 120.2 246.5 188.2 210.1 297.5 238.8 131.0 232.7 285.4 263.3 120.2 246.7 192.1 212.4 297.5 238.8 131.0 235.7 282.8 265.9120.2 248.5 192.5 212.8 297.5 238.6 130.9 237.8 282.8 260.4 120.1 251.7 193.2 214.5 297.9 245.8 133.2 240.0 282.9 261.3 120.2 254.4 192.6 215.7 305.3 246.9 135.0 240.0 283.6 262.7 130.3 255.4 196.9 217.3 307.9 290.3 148.8 240.1 3273 3274 3275 3291 3297 3312 3313 3316 3317 3321 Ready-mixed concrete ................................ Lime'(12/75 = 100).................................................. Gypsum products...................................................... Abrasive products (12/71 = 1 0 0 ) .......................................... Nonclay refractories (12/74 = 100) ............................ Blast furnaces and steel mills ...................................... Electrometallurgical products (12/75 = 100 )........................ Cold finishing of steel shapes ...................................... Steel pipes and tubes.......................................................... Gray iron foundries (12/68 = 100) ................................................ 217.6 129.5 229.5 172.3 133.6 262.3 94.8 241.0 255.2 233.5 227.7 133.1 243.1 178.9 139.0 270.7 98.4 247.4 258.7 240.0 240.0 136.2 248.1 181.1 139.8 279.9 103.5 258.1 265.0 244.9 241.1 136.6 251.1 182.2 140.3 280.3 104.0 258.3 265.1 244.7 241.7 137.5 251.5 182.4 140.4 281.1 104.0 258.4 265.8 249.4 244.5 139.9 252.7 184.0 140.5 283.5 106.8 259.1 265.0 253.9 245.2 139.8 249.4 185.1 140.5 285.3 111.7 259.8 264.5 253.3 247.5 140.1 251.9 185.8 143.9 285.8 112.3 261.3 264.5 254.5 249.6 141.8 252.3 187.7 148.1 292.8 116.5 270.6 271.9 253.9 250.5 142.9 252.8 188.6 149.1 293.0 116.5 270.8 271.3 253.8 252.2 144.3 255.4 190.3 149.7 293.2 116.0 271.0 271.4 253.6 253.0 144.7 255.9 193.9 150.1 296.3 116.2 271.9 272.8 265.6 254.5 144.4 256.8 194.7 152.3 297.0 117.5 273.2 272.8 266.0 257.0 144.7 255.6 197.1 152.4 297.6 117.6 273.9 273.0 268.3 3333 3334 3351 3353 3354 3355 3411 3425 3431 3465 Pnmary zinc.................................................. Primary aluminum .................................................... Copper rolling and drawing.................................... Aluminum sheet plate and foil (12/75 = 100) .................... Aluminum extruded products (12/75 = 100) ...................... Aluminum rolling, drawing, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100) . . . . Meta cans .................................................................. Hand saws and saw blades (12/72 = 100).......................... Metal sanitary ware .............................................. Automotive stampings (12/75 = 100 )............................ 223.2 217.4 170.2 137.6 134.3 119.7 238.5 147.9 209.1 118.8 243.2 220.3 179.0 143.2 138.6 122.8 248.3 155.5 214.1 123.0 243.2 220.3 184.2 145.8 141.1 125.2 252.7 157.7 214.7 123.6 260.6 226.1 199.9 146.4 141.6 126.5 253.9 157.8 217.4 125.0 260.9 232.4 211.0 146.5 142.5 127.5 260.9 157.9 219.2 125.7 274.2 235.8 220.1 148.0 146.1 129.6 264.4 159.6 220.8 126.2 274.5 237.4 215.6 148.7 147.5 131.5 263.8 161.9 222.2 127.0 275.2 238.5 211.7 148.8 147.6 131.6 262.2 162.5 224.1 127.1 281.4 244.9 211.2 149.6 150.3 132.7 262.2 162.8 226.4 127.8 265.5 247.4 213.6 149.8 151.9 133.1 262.9 166.3 228.9 130.9 264.2 248.2 216.8 150.0 152.2 133.5 261.5 166.2 229.2 131.9 265.2 256.0 223.3 150.8 153.5 136.8 270.2 166.9 230.1 132.7 257.9 263.2 222.7 151.5 157.3 139.9 273.8 169.4 231.7 132.7 265.7 266.6 225.1 151.9 157.8 140.3 273.9 169.6 232.9 132.7 3482 3493 3494 3498 3519 3531 3532 3533 3534 3542 Small arms ammunition (12/75 = 100)............ Steel springs, except w ire.................................................. Valves and pipe fittings (12/71 =100) ............................ Fabricated pipe and fittings.................................... Internal combustion engines, n.e.c.............................. Construction machinery (12/76 = 100)............ Mining machinery (12/72 = 100) .......................... Oilfield machinery and equipment .................... Elevators and moving stairways ...................... Machine tools, metal forming types (12/71 = 100).......... 119.5 204.6 185.5 265.5 220.1 114.0 209.5 246.2 204.2 213.6 124.2 210.7 193.4 276.4 228.4 119.2 218.1 275.6 211.5 228.8 129.3 210.9 196.1 276.6 232.7 120.0 222.5 279.5 211.7 231.6 129.3 212.6 197.6 276.7 233.8 121.1 223.4 281.4 214.1 233.3 125.9 216.7 199.0 276.8 234.0 121.6 224.2 281.8 213.4 234.1 128.3 218.1 201.4 284.9 237.1 123.0 228.0 283.5 213.8 237.9 130.4 218.7 203.6 288.2 239.0 123.9 228.4 288.4 213.6 238.8 131.4 220.5 204.2 290.7 239.2 124.0 226.4 290.0 214.2 240.6 134.0 221.6 205.3 294.8 242.3 125.6 231.2 292.0 215.4 244.6 134.0 222.1 206.2 294.8 245.7 126.3 231.5 293.3 214.6 245.1 138.3 222.7 206.4 294.9 249.5 126.3 232.7 296.7 216.5 247.9 137.5 223.5 209.5 297.0 252.8 128.4 233.1 300.5 216.8 249.6 137.9 223.9 211.6 297.4 253.7 129.0 234.7 301.3 220.6 253.5 149.2 225.4 213.9 297.4 253.7 130.7 235.8 308.0 220.9 256.7 3546 3552 3553 3576 3592 3612 3623 3631 3632 3633 Power driven hand tools' (12/76 = 100) ................ Textile machinery (12/69 = 100) ............................ Woodworking machinery (12/72 = 100) .............. Scales and balances, excluding laboratory.................. Carburetors, pistons, rings, valves (6/76 = 100) ............ Transformers................................ Welding apparatus, electric (12/72 = 100) .............. Household cooking equipment (12/75 = 100) ............ Household refrigerators, freezers (6/76 = 100)............ Household laundry equipment (12/73 = 100) ................ 111.1 179.9 168.1 179.7 128.2 158.3 178.1 114.8 109.6 141.0 114.4 186.4 174.1 188.4 134.3 163.1 184.0 118.3 110.7 144.4 115.4 189.0 177.9 188.8 135.0 163.2 184.8 119.1 111.4 145.4 116.3 189.6 177.3 191.1 135.7 165.4 186.0 119.2 112.5 146.3 116.9 190.4 179.2 191.1 136.9 167.0 186.6 ,120.2 112.7 146.9 117.7 191.6 181.0 191.3 137.6 168.5 187.3 120.3 111.8 146.9 117.8 191.7 183.2 192.8 138.6 168.0 191.5 120.7 111.9 147.0 118.7 192.6 184.5 193.7 138.7 168.5 191.9 120.9 112.6 147.2 119.2 195.0 185.9 194.8 139.2 167.9 193.5 122.0 113.6 148.8 120.2 197.5 187.7 195.4 139.6 167.6 194.1 123.4 114.3 149.9 120.3 198.2 188.4 195.4 140.3 168.6 194.9 124.2 114.7 151.8 121.9 199.2 193.0 192.9 141.5 171.4 196.2 124.3 114.8 152.1 122.7 200.6 193.1 196.6 143.5 170.5 197.9 125.8 115.3 153.5 124.2 200.6 193.3 197.7 144.6 171.7 1996 126.1 115.9 154.7 3635 3636 3641 3644 3646 3648 3671 3674 3675 3676 Household vacuum cleaners........................ Sewing machines (12/75 = 100) .................. Electric lamps ............................................ Noncurrent-carrylng wiring devices (12/72 = 100) Commercial lighting fixtures (12/75 - 100) .................. Lighting equipment, n.e.c. (12/75 = 100).................. Electron tubes receiving type ............................ Semiconductors and related devices.............................. Electronic capacitors (12/75 = 100)........................ Electronic resistors (12/75 = 100) ............................ 135.5 111.2 214.7 185.8 112.7 114.6 200.9 85.3 111.5 118.3 137.6 115.4 226.1 195.4 117.2 118.3 210.6 84.4 112.2 122.7 138.1 119.8 226.6 196.1 117.6 121.2 210.8 84.1 112.7 122.7 138.1 119.8 226.8 197.1 119.6 121.9 210.9 84.2 114.4 122.8 140.4 119.8 227.1 198.0 121.2 122.3 211.0 84.4 115.9 123.1 140.4 121.1 229.8 200.4 124.3 123.5 211.2 84.7 119.8 123.2 141.2 121.1 229.8 202.6 126.8 124.0 211.3 84.7 120.1 123.2 141.5 121.1 229.7 203.0 127.4 124.6 226.4 84.7 122.1 123.2 141.6 121.8 240.8 203.3 127.9 127.6 226.5 84.2 126.7 124.0 141.7 122.2 244.3 207.7 127.9 128.2 226.6 84.3 129.3 124.6 141.9 121.6 242.7 211.4 129.5 128.3 227.2 84.4 133.6 130.2 144.3 122.0 244.8 212.8 130.3 129.3 227.2 84.7 134.0 127.8 144.7 122.0 240.8 214.2 132.0 129.8 227.3 85.0 134.9 127.8 145.8 122.0 240.5 217.3 132.3 130.5 227.6 86.0 137.9 127.3 3678 3692 3711 3942 3944 3955 3995 3996 Electronic connectors (12/75 = 100) ............................ Primary batteries, dry and wet .......................... Motor vehicles and car bodies (12/75 = 100) .................... Dolls (12/75 = 100) ............................ Games, toys, and children's vehicles........................ Carbon paper and inked ribbons (12/75 = 100)............ Burial caskets (6/76 = 100).................................. Hard surface floor coverings (12/75 = 100) ............ 118.9 162.0 115.9 103.2 172.3 105.1 113.0 116.3 123.6 162.1 120.2 104.5 174.0 106.2 117.8 117.0 123.7 162.4 122.0 107.8 177.3 109.3 117.8 120.7 125.4 162.7 122.3 109.0 178.8 114.3 120.9 120.7 125.6 164.8 122.3 108.6 179.2 115.5 120.9 120.7 125.8 167.9 124.5 109.3 179.6 119.6 121.0 120.7 126.6 172.1 124.6 109.3 182.3 120.2 121.7 123.7 126.9 172.7 124.8 109.3 183.1 116.7 121.7 124.5 133.4 172.8 125.1 111.8 183.5 117.1 123.3 128.3 134.1 172.8 122.1 112.6 184.4 118.3 123.8 128.3 137.6 172.8 122.3 112.9 184.7 1187 124.8 128.3 138.4 173.1 129.6 112.9 185.7 121.5 124.8 131.0 140.7 173.1 129.8 113.0 186.3 125.5 124.8 134.1 141.0 174.1 130.0 113.0 186.6 125.6 124.8 134.1 106 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis NOTE: Data for Aug. 1979 have been revised to reflect the availability of late reports and corrections by respondents. All data are subject to revision 4 months after original publication. PRODUCTIVITY DATA P r o d u c t i v i t y d a t a are compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics from establishment data and from estimates of com pensation and output supplied by the U.S. Department of Commerce and the Federal Reserve Board. Definitions Output is the constant dollar gross domestic product produced in a given period. Indexes of output per hour of labor input, or labor pro ductivity, measure the value of goods and services produced per hour of labor. Compensation per hour includes wages and salaries of em ployees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. The data also include an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplementary payments for the self-employed, except for nonfinancial corporations, in which there are no self-employed. Real com pensation per hour is compensation per hour adjusted by the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. Unit labor cost measures the labor compensation cost required to produce one unit of output and is derived by dividing compensation by output. Unit nonlabor payments include profits, depreciation, in terest, and indirect taxes per unit of output. They are computed by subtracting compensation of all persons from the current dollar gross domestic product and dividing by output. In these tables, Unit nonlabor costs contain all the components of unit nonlabor payments except unit profits. Unit profits include corporate profits and invento ry valuation adjustments per unit of output. The implicit price deflator is derived by dividing the current dollar estimate of gross product by the constant dollar estimate, making the deflator, in effect, a price index for gross product of the sector reported. 31. The use of the term “man-hours” to identify the labor component of productivity and costs, in tables 31 through 34, has been discontin ued. Hours of all persons is now used to describe the labor input of payroll workers, self-employed persons, and unpaid family workers. Output per all-employee hour is now used to describe labor productiv ity in nonfinancial corporations where there are no self-employed. Notes on the data In the private business sector and the nonfarm business sector, the basis for the output measure employed in the computation of output per hour is Gross Domestic Product rather than Gross National Product. Computation of hours includes estimates of nonfarm and farm proprietor hours. Output data are supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, and the Federal Reserve Board. Quarterly manufacturing output indexes are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to annual estimates of output (gross product originating) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Compensation and hours data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Beginning with the September 1976 issue of the Review, tables 3 134 were revised to reflect changeover to the new series — private busi ness sector and nonfarm business sector — which differ from the previously published total private economy and nonfarm sector in that output imputed for owner-occupied dwellings and the household and institutions sectors, as well as the statistical discrepancy, are omitted. For a detailed explanation, see J. R. Norsworthy and L. J. Fulco, “New sector definitions for productivity series," M o n th ly La bor Review, October 1976, pages 40-42. Indexes of productivity and related data, selected years, 1950-79 [1967 = 100] Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons . Compensation per hour .......... Real compensation per hour . . . Unit labor c o st........................ Unit nonlabor payments .......... Implicit price deflator .............. Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons . Compensation per hour .......... Real compensation per hour . . . Unit labor c o s t........................ Unit nonlabor payments .......... Implicit price deflator .............. Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees Compensation per hour .......... Real compensation per hour . . . Unit labor co s t........................ Unit nonlabor payments .......... Implicit price deflator .............. Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons . Compensation per hour .......... Real compensation per hour . . . Unit labor co s t........................ Unit nonlabor payments .......... Implicit price deflator .............. 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 61.0 42.4 58,9 69.6 73.2 70.8 70.3 55.8 696 79,4 80.5 798 78.7 71.9 81.1 91.3 855 89.3 95.0 88.7 93.8 933 95.9 94.2 104.2 123.1 105.8 118.2 105.8 113.9 111.4 139.7 111.5 125.4 119.0 123.2 113.6 151.2 113.6 133.1 124.9 130.3 110.1 164.9 111.7 149.8 130.4 143.1 112.4 181.3 112.5 161.3 150.4 157.5 116.4 197.2 115.6 169.4 158.0 165.5 118.6 213.0 117.3 179.6 165.6 174.8 119.2 231.2 118.3 194.0 174.3 187.2 »118.1 »252.8 »116.3 »214.1 »184,4 »203.8 66.9 45.4 63.0 67.9 71.5 69.1 74.3 58.7 73.2 79.1 80.1 79.4 80.9 74.2 83.7 91.7 84.5 89.2 95.9 89.4 94.6 93.2 958 94.1 103.0 121.7 104.6 118.1 106.0 114.0 110.1 138.4 110.4 125.7 117.5 122.9 112.0 149.2 112.1 133.2 117.8 127.9 108.5 162.8 110.2 150.0 124.7 141.4 110.5 178.9 111.0 161.8 146.0 156.4 114.4 193.8 113.7 169.4 156.0 164.8 116.2 209.3 115.3 180.1 163 9 174.5 116.8 227.3 116.3 194.5 169.9 186.1 »115.5. »247.6 »113.9 »214.4 »178.8 p202.2 (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) ( ') (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) 80.2 75.7 85.4 94.3 90.8 93.1 96.8 90.0 95.3 93.0 100.1 95.5 103,5 121.5 104.4 117.4 103.5 112.5 110.5 136.7 109.1 123 7 114.8 120.5 112.8 147.5 110.8 130.7 116.8 125.8 108.5 161.4 109.3 148.8 124,8 140.2 111.9 177.4 110.1 158.6 148.1 154.9 115.5 192.2 112.7 166.4 156.8 163.0 116.8 2076 114.4 177.7 164.4 173.0 117.9 224.8 115.0 190.6 170.6 183.5 ( ') (’ ) <’ ) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) 65.0 45.1 625 694 82.4 73.3 74.1 60.5 75.4 81,6 886 83.8 78.9 77.1 87.0 97.7 92.4 96.1 98.3 91.0 96.3 926 103.3 95.9 104 5 121.8 104 7 116.5 96.2 1103 115.7 136.6 109.0 118.1 107.4 114.8 118.8 146 4 110.0 123.2 106.4 118.0 112.6 161.1 109.1 143.1 105.6 131.6 118.2 180.2 111.8 152 4 128.4 145.1 123.4 195.1 114.5 158 2 139.6 152.5 127.2 212.0 116.8 166.6 147.4 160.7 128.0 229.5 117.5 179.4 152.4 171.1 »130.2 »250.5 »115.2 »192.4 C) (’ ) (') 1Not available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 107 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW February 1980 • Current Labor Statistics: Productivity 32. Annual percent change in productivity and related data, 1969-79 Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons .............. Compensation per hour .................... Real compensation per hour.......... Unit labor cost.............................. Unit nonlabor payments.................. Implicit price deflator ...................... Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons.................... Compensation per h o u r........................ Real compensation per hour...................... Unit labor cost.................................. Unit nonlabor payments................ Implicit price deflator .......................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees . . . . Compensation per h o u r........................ Real compensation per hour.................. Unit labor cost.................................. Unit nonlabor payments.................. Implicit price deflator .................................... Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons ...................... Compensation per hour ............................ Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor cost................................ Unit nonlabor payments...................... Implicit price deflator .......................... Annual rate of change Year Item 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 0.2 6.8 1.4 6.6 1.0 4.7 0.7 7.1 1.1 6.4 1.2 4.7 3.3 6.7 2.4 3.3 6.8 4.4 3.5 6.3 2.9 2.8 5.2 3.6 1.9 8.2 1.9 6.2 5.0 5.8 -3.0 9.1 -1.7 12.5 4,4 9.8 2.1 9.9 .7 7.7 15.3 10.1 3.5 8.8 2.8 5.0 5.1 5.0 1,9 8.0 1.5 6.0 4.8 5.6 0.5 8.5 0.8 8,0 5.3 7.1 p 09 p9 3 p -1.7 p 10.4 p5.8 p8.9 26 58 26 32 28 3.1 22 68 21 45 40 4.3 -.3 6.3 .9 6.7 .4 4.5 .1 6.7 .7 6.5 1.6 4.9 3.1 6.7 2.3 3.5 6.7 4.5 3.7 6.5 3.1 2.8 3.8 3.1 1.7 7.8 1.5 6.0 .3 4.1 -3.1 9.1 1.7 12.7 5.9 10.5 1.9 9.9 .7 7.9 17.1 10.6 3.5 8.3 2.4 4.7 6.9 5.4 1.6 8.0 1.4 6.3 5.0 5.9 0.5 8.6 0.9 8.0 3.7 6.6 p —1.2 p8 9 p -2,1 p 10.2 p5.2 p8.7 22 55 2.3 32 28 3.1 20 65 19 45 39 4.3 .3 6.7 1.2 6.3 0 4.1 -.1 6.7 .7 6.8 .5 4.6 3.4 6.2 1.9 2.7 7.3 4.2 3.3 5.9 2.5 2.5 3.3 2.8 2.1 7.9 1.6 5.7 1.8 4.4 -3.8 9.4 -1.4 13.8 6.8 11.5 3.1 10.0 .7 6.6 18.7 10.5 3.2 8.3 2.4 4.9 5.8 5.2 1.1 8.0 1.5 6.8 4.9 6.1 10 8.3 0.6 7.3 3.8 6.1 ( 1) ( 1) ( ') ( ') (’ ) 1.1 6.4 1.0 5.2 -4.4 2.3 .3 6.9 ,9 7.2 -3.2 4.2 5.3 6.3 2.0 9 9.2 3.1 5.1 5.5 2.1 4 2.3 1.0 2.7 7.2 9 4.3 -1.0 2.8 -5.2 10.1 -.8 16.1 -.7 11.5 4.9 11.8 2.4 6.6 21.6 10.2 4.4 8.3 2.4 3.8 8.8 5.1 3.1 8.6 2.0 5.3 5.5 5.4 .6 8.3 .6 7.7 3.4 6.5 P1 8 p9 1 p 19 p7.2 PN.A. PN.A. 26 54 22 2.7 1.8 2.5 . 1950-78 ( 1) ( 1) ( 1) ( 1) ( ') ( ') 1960-78 42 34 3.9 2i> 63 16 23 3.3 ’ Not available. 33. Indexes of productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted [1967 = 100] Item Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons.................. Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour.......... Unit labor cost.................................. Unit nonlabor payments............................ Implicit price deflator .................. Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons .......................... Compensation per ho u r........................ Real compensation per hour.................. Unit labor cost............................ Unit nonlabor payments.......................... Implicit price deflator.......................... Nonfinancial corporations: Output per hour of all employees.................. Compensation per ho u r.................. Real compensation per hour.................... Total unit c o sts.............................. Unit labor cost ........................ Unit nonlabor costs.................. •Unit profits .......................................... Implicit price deflator .......................... Manufacturing: Output per hour for all persons.............. Compensation per hour ...................... Real compensation per hour............................ Unit labor cost................................ 108 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Quarterly Indexes Annual average 1977 1978 1979 1978 1979 II III IV 1 II III IV 1 II III IV 119.2 231.2 118.3 194.0 174.3 187.2 118.1 252.8 116.3 214.1 184.4 203.8 117.9 210.8 116.7 178.8 164.7 173.9 119.4 215.3 117.6 180.2 167.9 176.0 118.8 218.5 117.9 183.8 168.6 178.6 118.4 224.2 118.7 189.4 164.8 180.9 119.0 228.5 118.1 192.1 173.9 185.8 119.7 233.6 118.2 195.2 177.0 188.9 119.8 238.4 118.0 199.0 181.3 192.9 118.9 244.8 118.0 205.9 180.8 197.2 118.2 250.3 116.9 211,7 183.7* 202.0 r 117.8 255.6 115.8 r 217.0 '185.6 ’ 206.1 p 117 3 p260 0 p 114.2 p214 1 p 184 4 p203 8 116.8 227.3 116.3 194.5 1699 186.1 115.5 247.6 113.9 214.4 178.8 202.2 115.8 207.3 114.7 179.0 163.2 173.6 116.7 211.2 115.4 180.9 167.1 176.2 116.3 214.8 115.9 184.7 166.0 178.3 116.0 220.6 116.8 190.2 161.1 180.2 116.5 224.6 116.1 192.7 169.2 184.7 117.3 229.4 116.1 195.6 173.0 1878 117.6 234.3 116.0 199.3 176.1 191.4 116.6 240.2 115.8 206.0 174.3 195.1 115.4 244.8 114.3 212.1 177.6 200.3 '115.0 '249.9 113.2 '217.3 '180.5 ’ 204 7 p 114 9 p 255.2 p 112.1 p222 2 p 183.3 p 208.9 117,9 224.8 115.0 1933 190.6 201.8 127.2 183.5 (’ ) n <’ ) (’ ) ( 1) (’ ) (’ ) ( 1) 116.5 205.7 113.8 180.5 176.6 192.4 123.3 172.0 117.4 209.5 114.5 182.4 178.4 194.8 130,9 174.7 116.7 212.8 114.8 186.3 182.3 198.7 122.2 176.8 116.7 218.5 115.7 190.8 187.3 201.5 107.1 178.3 117.8 222.3 114.9 191.6 1887 200.8 129.2 182.3 118.4 2269 114.8 194.0 191.5 201.6 132.7 184.9 118.8 231.3 114,5 196.8 194.8 203.1 138.7 188.2 118.1 237,4 114.5 202.3 201.0 206.5 130.3 191.6 117.3 242 1 113.1 208.0 206.4 213.2 129.2 196.3 117.5 2471 111 9 212.6 2103 219.9 129 0 200.2 ( 1) ( 1) ( 1) ¡’ J 128.0 229.5 117.5 179.4 130.2 250.5 115.2 192.4 127.3 209.7 116.1 164.7 128.4 214.1 117.0 166.7 127.8 217.5 117.4 170.2 125.7 223.2 118.1 177.5 127.2 226.6 117.1 178.1 129.2 231.4 117.0 179.1 1298 236.5 117.1 182.2 129.0 242.4 116.9 187.9 130.0 2482 115.9 190.9 '131.1 '253.0 114.6 '193.0 ( 1) <1) ( 1) ( 1) p 130 6 p258 0 p 113.3 p 197.6 34. Percent change from preceding quarter and year in productivity, hourly compensation, unit costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted at annual rate [1967 = 100] Percent change from same quarter a year ago Quarterly percent change at annual rate I11978 to III 1978 Private business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor c o s t............................................ Unit nonlabor payments .............................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Nonfarm business sector: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor c o s t............................................ Unit nonlabor payments .............................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Nonfinandal corporations: Output per hour of all employees ................ Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Total unit costs .......................................... Unit labor costs ...................................... Unit nonlabor costs.................................. Unit profits.................................................. Implicit price deflator .................................. Manufacturing: Output per hour of all persons .................... Compensation per hour .............................. Real compensation per hour........................ Unit labor c o s t............................................ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis III 1978 to IV 1978 IV 1978 to 11979 1 1979 to I11979 I11979 to III 1979 III 1979 to IV 1979 p —1.6 III 1977 to III 1978 IV 1977 to IV 1978 11978 to 11979 I11978 to I11979 III 1978 to III 1979 IV 1978 to IV 1979 2.4 9.2 .3 6.6 7.4 6.9 0.3 8.5 -.7 8.1 9.9 8.7 -3.0 11.1 .1 14.6 -1.0 9.3 -2.2 9.3 -3.8 11.8 6.5 10.1 r -1.3 8.8 -3.6 '10.3 r4.1 r8.3 »6.9 P-5.6 p8.7 »5.9 »7.8 0.2 8.5 0.4 8.3 5.4 7.4 0.8 9.1 .1 8.3 7.5 8.0 0.4 9.2 -.6 8.7 9.7 9.0 -0.6 9.5 -1.0 10.2 5.6 8.7 ' -1.6 9.4 -2.0 r 11.2 4.8 '9.1 P-2.0 »9.0 »-3.2 »11.3 »3.9 »8.9 2.7 8.8 .0 6.0 9.4 7.0 .8 8.8 -.4 8.0 7.3 7.8 -3.2 10.4 -.6 14.0 -4.0 8.1 -4.1 7.9 -5.0 12.5 7.8 11.0 r -1.4 8.5 -3.9 r 10.1 r6.6 '9.0 P-1.2 »8.9 »3.8 »9.3 »6.4 »8.4 5 8.7 .6 8.1 3.5 6.6 1.1 9.1 .1 7.9 6.1 7.3 r .5 8.9 -.8 8.3 8.2 8.3 -1.0 9.0 -1.5 10.1 5.0 8.5 '- 2 .0 8.9 -2.5 '11.1 4.3 '9.0 »-2.3 »8.9 »-3.3 »11.5 »4.1 »9.1 2.0 8.4 -.4 5.1 6.2 1.7 11.4 5.7 1.1 8.1 -1.0 5.9 6.9 2.9 19.5 7.3 -2.1 11.0 .0 11.7 13.4 6.8 -22.1 7.6 -2.8 8.0 -4.9 11.8 11.2 13.5 -3.4 10.2 0.7 8.5 -3.9 9.2 7.8 13.3 -0.7 8.2 (’ ) ( 1) <’ ) ( 1) (’ ) (’ ) (’ ) <1) 0.8 8.3 .2 6.4 7.4 3.5 1.4 5.8 1.8 8.7 -.3 5.6 6.8 2.2 13.6 6.4 1.3 8.7 -1.0 6.1 7.3 2.5 21.7 7.5 .5 8.9 -1.6 8.6 9.4 6.2 0 7.7 -.8 8.9 -2.5 9.6 9.8 9.1 -2.8 8.3 (’ ) ( 1) (’ ) ( ') (’ ) ( 1) ( 1) ( ') 6.3 8.7 -.1 2.2 2.0 9.3 0 7.1 -2.4 10.3 -.6 13.0 2.9 9.8 -3.4 6.7 r3.5 8.1 ' -4.3 '4.4 P-1.5 »8.2 »4.5 »9.8 .6 8.1 0 7.4 1.6 8.7 -3 7.1 2.6 8.6 -1.1 5.9 2.2 9.5 -1.0 7.2 '1.5 9.4 -2.1 7.8 »0.6 »9.1 »3.2 »8.5 109 LABOR-M ANAGEM ENT DATA M ajor collective bargaining data are obtained from contracts on file at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, direct contact with the parties, and from secondary sources. Addi tional detail is published in Current Wage Developments, a monthly periodical of the Bureau. Data on work stoppages are based on confidential responses to questionnaires mailed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to parties involved in work stoppages. Stoppages initially come to the attention of ¿he Bureau from reports of Federal and State mediation agencies, newspapers, and union and industry publications. Definitions Data on wage changes apply to private nonfarm industry agree ments covering 1,000 workers or more. Data on wage and benefit changes combined apply only to those agreements covering 5,000 workers or more. First-year wage settlements refer to pay changes go ing into effect within the first 12 months after the effective date of 35. the agreement. Changes over the life of the agreement refer to total agreed upon settlements (exclusive of potential cost-of-living escalator adjustments) expressed at an average annual rate. Wage-rate changes are expressed as a percent of straight-time hourly earnings, while wage and benefit changes are expressed as a percent of total compensation. Effective wage-rate adjustments going into effect in major bargaining units measure changes actually placed into effect during the reference period, whether the result of a newly negotiated increase, a deferred increase negotiated in an earlier year, or as a result of a costof-living escalator adjustment. Average adjustments are affected by workers receiving no adjustment, as well as by those receiving in creases or decreases. Work stoppages include all known strikes or lockouts involving six workers or more and lasting a full shift or longer. Data cover all workers idle one shift or more in establishments directly involved in a stoppage. They do not measure the indirect or secondary effect on other establishments whose employees are idle owing to material or service shortages. Wage and benefit settlements in major collective bargaining units, 1975 to date [In percent] Annual average Quarterly average Sector and measure 1978 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1979 II III IV 1 II III IV Wage and benefit settlements, all industries: First-year settlements .................................... Annual rate over life of contract...................... 11.4 8.1 8.5 6.6 9.6 6.2 8.3 6.3 8.9 6.6 6.8 6.0 7.2 5.9 6.1 5.2 2.5 5.2 10.6 7.7 9.0 6.0 8.1 6.0 Wage rate settlements, all industries: First-year settlements .................................... Annual rate over life of contract...................... 10.2 7.8 8.4 6.4 7.8 5.8 7.6 6.4 7.4 6.0 6.9 6.2 7.5 6.4 7.4 5.9 4.8 6.6 9.0 7.0 6.6 4.8 6.3 4.9 Manufacturing: First-year settlements................................ Annual rate over life of contract ................ 9.6 8.0 8.9 6.0 8.4 5.5 8.3 6.6 7.0 5.4 7.1 5.8 8.4 7.2 9.5 7.4 8.7 8.6 9.9 8.1 6.2 4.6 5.9 4.2 Nonmanufacturing (excluding construction): First-year settlements................................ Annual rate over life of contract ................ 11.9 8.0 8.6 7.2 8.0 5.9 8.0 6.5 7.5 5.9 7.7 6.9 7.4 5.9 6.4 5.1 2.3 5.6 8.5 5.7 9.1 5.8 7.2 7.5 Construction: First-year settlements................................ Annual rate over life of contract ................ 8.0 7.5 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.5 6.2 8.9 8.4 6.4 6.0 7.0 ' 7.2 8.4 7.1 11.0 7.7 9.1 8.2 10.4 9.1 7.9 7.1 110 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 36. Effective wage adjustments going into effect in major collective bargaining units, 1975 to date [In percent] Average quarterly changes Average annual changes Sector and measure 1975 1976 8.1 1977 8.0 1979 1978 88 8.2 1979 1978 1977 IV 1 II III IV IV 1 II III 1.1 1.3 2.6 2.7 1.4 1.4 2.6 3.2 1.5 0.4 .5 .5 0.2 .6 .6 1.1 .9 .5 1.0 1.0 1.2 0.4 .4 .6 1.9 1.1 1.4 1.4 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.4 2.2 .9 Total effective wage rate adjustment, all industries.............. Change resulting from— Current settlement .............................................. Prior settlement .................................................. Escalator provision .............................................. 8.7 2.8 3.7 2.2 3.2 3.2 1.6 3.0 3.2 1.7 2.0 3.7 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.0 0.5 .3 .3 0.5 .6 .3 0.6 1.4 .6 0.5 1.2 1.0 Manufacturing............................................................ Nonmanufacturing...................................................... 8.5 8.9 8.5 7.7 8.4 7.6 8.6 7.9 9.2 8.5 1.4 .8 1,4 1:3 2.2 2.9 2.9 2.5 NOTE: Because of rounding and compounding, the sums of individual items may not equal totals. 37. Work stoppages, 1947 to date Month and year Beginning in month or year In effect during month 1979: Beginning in month or year (thousands) In effect during month (thousands) Number (thousands) Percent of estimated working time 3,693 3,419 3,606 4,843 2,170 1,960 3,030 2,410 34,600 34,100 50,500 38,800 .30 .28 .44 .33 5,117 5,091 3,468 4,320 2,220 3,540 2,400 1,530 2,650 22,900 59,100 28,300 22,600 28,200 .18 .48 .22 .18 .22 3,825 3,673 3,694 3,708 3,333 1,900 1,390 2,060 1,880 1,320 33,100 16,500 23,900 69,000 19,100 .24 .12 .18 .50 .14 3,367 3,614 3,362 3,655 3,963 1,450 1,230 941 1,640 1,550 16,300 18,600 16,100 22,900 23,300 .11 .13 .11 .15 .15 4,405 4,595 5,045 5,700 5,716 1,960 2,870 2,649 2,481 3,305 25,400 42,100 49,018 42,869 66,414 .15 .25 28 .24 .37 5,138 5,010 5,353 6,074 5,031 3,280 1,714 2,251 2,778 1,746 47,589 27,066 27,948 47,991 31,237 .26 .15 .14 .24 .16 5,648 5,506 2,420 2,040 37,859 35,822 .19 .17 1951 ........................................................................................ 1978: Days idle Workers involved Number of stoppages 453 854 448 551 4,446 .25 November .................................................................. December .................................................................. 370 268 157 721 569 408 117 64 53 216 136 143 2,352 1,691 1,377 .13 .09 .08 January ...................................................................... February .................................................................... March ........................................................................ 262 299 391 366 501 608 68 75 112 144 221 223 1,925 1,670 1,871 .10 June .......................................................................... 512 556 536 781 877 866 426 132 137 535 395 302 5,126 3,682 2,989 .27 .19 .16 471 463 464 817 869 793 168 119 135 290 270 243 3,001 3,152 2,319 .16 .15 .13 443 257 134 781 546 230 91 42 334 255 2,968 2,720 1,976 .15 .15 .11 September.................................................................. J u ly ............................................................................ 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