Full text of Monthly Labor Review : February 1947, Vol. 64, No. 2
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MAR 0 1347 UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR • BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS + LAWRENCE C O N T E N T S R. K L E I N , Editor -f- FEBRUARY 1947, Vol. 64, No. 2 Special articles: Page Full employment patterns, 1950: Part 1-------------------------------------Union health and welfare plans________________________________ Collective-bargaining developments in health and welfare plans._ Trade-union welfare programs--------------------------------------------Wartime and postwar experiences of Connecticut small-arms workers. 163 191 191 201 215 Wage and hour statistics: The hired farm work force in 1945--------------------------------------------New programs for farm labor statistics---------------------------------------- 225 231 Economic policy: President’s economic report to Congress-------------------------------------Labor policies and programs in Japan under the occupation------------ 234 239 Industrial relations: Labor recommendations in President’s message to Congress-----------Jobs covered by collective bargaining, U. S. offshore merchant marine, February 1946_____________________________________________ 255 257 Labor-management disputes: Controversies and significant developments, January 1947-------------Review of work stoppages in 1946---------------------------------------------Activities of the U. S. Conciliation Service in December 1946---------Mediation experts accept service with U. S. Conciliation Service------ 262 263 264 265 Labor laws and decisions: Thirteenth National Conference on Labor Legislation-------------------Recent decisions of interest to labor------------------------------------------- 268 271 Prices and cost of living: Index of consumers’ prices in large cities, December 1946--------------Retail prices of food in December 1946--------------------------------------Wholesale prices in December and year 1946-------------------------------- 278 283 289 Construction: Construction activity, November 1946-January 1947 and outlook for year 1947_________________________________________________ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis x CONTENTS II Trends of employment and labor turn-over: Employment in southern manufactures__________________________ Labor force, December 1946___________________________________ Summary of employment reports for December 1946______________ Industrial and business employment________________________ Public employment_______________________________________ Detailed reports for industrial and business employment, November 1946______________________________________________________ Labor turn-over in manufacturing, mining, and public utilities, November 1946____________________________________________ Pilge 305 317 319 319 320 323 333 Trends of earnings and hours: Summary of earnings and hours data for November 1946__________ Trend of factory earnings, 1939 to November 1946________________ 338 343 Labor chronology: Chronology of labor events, October-December 1946_____________ 345 R ecent p ublications o f labor interest _______________________________ 357 Editorial notes: Addendum: The changing status of bituminous-coal miners, 1937-46_ Erratum: The physically impaired worker in industry_____________ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 224 233 This Issue In Brief Full employment patterns, 1950: Part 1 The present article is an attem pt to evaluate in quantitative terms what is involved in achieving and maintaining high and stable levels of employment after full adjustment to peacetime conditions. By 1950 the labor force may consist of 62.5 million persons, of whom 59.0 million should be employed in civilian jobs if full-employment conditions prevail. If past trends continue, labor produc tivity will exceed the 1939 level by 20 to 30 percent, depending on the industry. National income might equal 185 billion dollars, but one-sixth of all consumer units might still have incomes below $1,500. Under such circumstances high tax revenues would be yielded by moderate rates, and wage rates and rates of return on investment above the 1946 levels could be maintained with prices below those now prevailing. Consumer outlays are estimated on the basis of prewar expenditure patterns, and a level of investment is assumed. All final demand is translated into total output on a detailed industry basis by means of a study of interindustry relationship. The resulting levels of output (based on prewar patterns) produce an initial employment deficiency of 4.7 million. All estimates are derived from stated assumptions and are not to be construed as forecasts. Page 163. Union health and welfare plans The number of workers covered by health-benefit plans negotiated by collective bargaining between trade-unions and management more than doubled since 1945, according to recent estimates of the Bureau of Labor Statistics-—rising from a minimum of some 600,000 to 1,250,000. The unions and industries involved, the recent growth of the movement to include health and welfare provisions in collective agreements, and its increasing importance are noted; sample contract clauses and a selected list of references are added. This article starts on page 191. A second article, by the secretary-tresaurer of the New York Dressmakeis’ Joint Board, describes the development of such provisions for the Ladies’ Garment Workers, furnishes specific data on the types and costs of benefits currently paid by the Joint Board of the Dress and Waistmakers’ Union, and discusses pivotal problems of wider application in the administration of such funds. It follows on page 201. Wartime and postwar experiences of Connecticut small-arms workers Employment in small-arms production in Connecticut declined more than 35 percent from the peak war period (summer of 1943) to the spring of 1945. Studies made by the BLS in the spring of 1945 and the winter of 1945-46 showed that 20 percent of the war workers were unemployed and seeking work during the later period. Six months later, the jobless represented only 7 percent of the total. Slightly over a fourth of these workers were still with their same wartime employers. Average weekly earnings declined from $69 in the spring of 1945 to $46 in the winter of 1945-46. Page 215. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis in IV THIS ISSUE IN BRIEF Employment in southern manufactures Manufacturing employment in the South reached a maximum wartime expan sion of 71 percent, only slightly below th at of the Nation as a whole. Despite sub sequent contraction, employment 1 year after VJ-day was still 40 percent above the prewar level. Although the relative position of the South in the Nation’s economy has remained approximately the same, some of the diversification ac quired during the war period has carried over into 1946. While all States in the region participated in the wartime expansion, the Southwestern States and some of the smaller industrial States of the Southeast have better maintained their increased share in Southern manufacturing employment. Page 305. Labor policies and programs in Japan under the occupation According to the findings of the Advisory Committee on Labor in Japan, labor organizations in th at country have developed since the defeat at a most spectacu lar rate. Freedom of association and of collective bargaining have been assured by the abrogation of prohibitive laws and regulations issued before and during the war and by new progressive labor legislation, such as the Trade-Union Act of December 1945 and the Labor Relations Adjustment Act of October 1946. A re form of the Japanese protective labor legislation is under way; it may include a scheme of minimum wage rates, put an end to wage discrimination against women, and raise basic labor standards to a level compatible with the new status of labor in Japan. As an important device of employment policies, the public employ ment service in Japan must be expanded and strengthened. Page 239. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis V CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS Current statistics of labor interest in selected periods 1 [Available in rep rin t form] 1945 1946 Item U n it or base period D e cem ber N o vem ber 1939: average Decem for year ber October Em ploym ent and unemployment C ivilian labor force (B C ): T o ta l------- ------ T housands---- 68,430 do_______ 41,990 M ale______________________________ 16,440 .d o ____ Fem ale____________________________ 56,310 _do____ E m p lo y ed 3________________________ 40,300 .d o ____ M ale___________________________ 16,010 _do____ Fem ale_________________________ 49,100 do____ N onagri cu ltu ral-------------------------7, 210 do ____ A gricultural____________________ 2,120 .d o ......... U nem ployed----------------------------------1,690 -do____ M ale___________________________ 430 -d o ____ Fem ale_________________________ .d o _______ 40, 795 C ivilian em ploym ent in nonagricultural establishm ents: T o tal.3 15,048 -do_ M anufacturing____ _________________ 819 -do. M inin g____________________________ 1,642 -do. C onstruction 4______________________ 3,977 -do_ T ransportation and public utilities----8, 610 _doT rad e----- ------------- —--------------------5,260 -do. Finance, service, and miscellaneous— 5, 439 -do. Federal, State, and local government, excluding Federal force-account con struction. 2,204 -do. M ilitary p e rs o n n e l------------------------------Production-w orker em ploym ent: 12, 281 -do. M anufacturing---------------------------- ---------------- ---------------- — 326 -do. Bituminous-coal m in in g — ------------1,353 -do. Class I steam railroads, including salaried employees (IC C ). 2,060 _do_ H ired farm workers (B A E )-------------------Hours and earnings Average weekly earnings: $46.86 M anufacturing-------------------------------Bituminous-coal m in in g -------------------R etail tra d e ________________________ 60.32 Building construction (p riv a te )--......... Average w eekly hours: 40.9 M anufacturing--------------------------------- H ours, Bituminous-coal m ining ---------- ------ - ___ doR etail tra d e ________________________ ___ do. 38.4 Building construction (p riv ate)--------- ___ do. Average hourly earnings: $1.145 M anufacturing-------------------------------Bituminous-coal m ining.......... ............ . R etail tra d e ___________________ - — $1.569 Building construction (p riv a te )--.-— Average straight-tim e hourly earnings in m anufacturing, using— C urrent em ploym ent by in d u stry . E m ploym ent by in d u stry as of Jan u ary 1941. ’ $4.83 Q uarterly farm wage rate, per day w ith o u t board (B A E). Industrial injuries and labor turn-over Industrial injuries in m anufacturing per million m an-hours w orked. Labor turn-over per 100 employees in m anufacturing: 4.3 T otal separations- ------ -----------------2.9 Q uits__________________________ 0.9 Lay-offs_______________________ 4.1 T otal accessions_______________ ____ Labor-management disputes W ork stoppages beginning in m onth: N u m b e r___________________________ N um ber of w orkers involved------------- Thousands— All w ork stoppages during m onth: N um b er of m an-days idle----------------- ___ do______ M an-days idle as percent of available w orking time. See footnotes a t end of table https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 58,970 41,950 17,020 57,040 40,430 16,610 49,140 7,900 1,930 1, 520 410 40,381 58,990 41,820 17,170 57,030 40, 270 16,760 48,410 8,620 1,960 1,550 410 40,178 53,130 35, 950 17,180 51,160 34, 450 16, 710 44,000 7,160 1,970 1,500 470 37,463 3 54, 230 3 40, 950 3 13, 280 2 46, 930 2 35, 600 2 11,300 2 37,430 2 9, 500 2 7, 300 3 5, 350 2 1,950 30, 353 14,967 828 1,808 4,005 8,259 5, 244 5,270 14, 763 827 2, 040 3,987 8, 040 5,208 5,313 13,059 802 1,042 3,896 7,959 4,936 5,769 10, 078 845 1,753 2,912 6, 618 4,160 3,988 2,441 2,477 8, 576 367 12,218 334 1,382 12,026 334 1,376 10, 519 333 1, 397 8,192 371 988 2,503 2,624 2,028 « 2,248 $45. 74 $61. 49 $33.04 $57.65 $45.68 $62. 54 $33.19 $59. 20 $41. 21 3 $56. 29 3 $28.88 $51. 85 37.7 27.1 43.0 32.6 40.2 41.9 39.6 37.2 40.4 42.9 40.0 38.8 41.5 8 44.9 «40.0 37.1 $23.86 $23.88 $21.17 $30. 39 $1.139 $1.473 $0.918 $1. 549 $1.130 $1. 459 $0. 908 $1. 526 $0.994 « $1. 263 8 $0.800 $1.397 $0.633 $1.104 $1.106 $1.093 $1.095 i $0. 951 *$0.949 $0. 622 $0.640 4.94 1 $4. 40 3 $1. 53 3 18.3 15.4 4.9 3.7 0.7 5.7 6.3 4.7 1.0 6.8 5.9 4.0 1.3 6.9 180 95 310 450 450 290 134 50 3,065 0.4 4, 750 0.7 4,500 7,718 1.4 0.6 $0.886 $0. 536 $0. 933 «3.5 «0.7 «2.7 «2.8 1,484 0.28 VI CURRENT LABOR STATISTICS Current statistics of labor interest in selected periods 1—Continued 1946 Item U n it or base period 1945 1939: Decem average for year O ctober ber D e cem ber N o vem ber 1935-39= 100___ 153.3 152.2 148.4 129.9 99.4 1935-39=100__ 1935-39=100__ 1935-39= 100. __ 1935-39=100-__ 1935-39=100-__ 1935-39 = 100-.1935-39=100— 185.9 176.5 187.7 171.0 115.5 177.1 136.1 185.9 114.8 171.0 132.5 187.7 180.0 167.0 8 108.8 114.4 167.6 130.8 180.0 141.4 149.4 8 108.3 110.3 148.3 124.8 141.4 95.2 100.5 104 3 99.0 101.3 100.7 95.2 1935-39=100— 141.6 140.6 1935-39=100..- 197.8 203.6 200.9 1935-39 = 100— 198.5 1935-39 = 100__ 201.1 201.6 185.0 1935-39=100.. 184.5 1935-39=100--. 176.2 167.8 1935-39 = 100-.. 207.3 244.4 1935-39 = 100-__ 175.3 170.5 1926 = 100___ » 140. 9 » 139. 7 1926=100.......... » 134.8 9 132. 9 138.5 190.7 202.4 214.6 176.5 166.5 147.9 167.5 » 134.1 » 127.1 109.2 131.2 136.2 193.2 177.3 124.9 125.1 126.6 107.1 101.6 96.6 95.9 91.0 94.5 95.5 87.7 100.6 77.1 79.5 1926 = 100. . . . » 124. 7 8 120. 7 »115.8 100.5 81.3 165. 3 157.9 131.5 108.6 65.3 70.4 M illions_____ $15,895 $14, 202 $14, 673 $14, 272 ____do_______ *°$32,100 10$26 260 » $7, 005 ____do_______ $10,282 « $4, 539 Prices Consum ers’ price index (moderate income families in large cities): All items. F o o d ________ ____ _________________ C lothing___ ____ __________ ____ ___ R en t________________ _____ _________ Fuel, electricity, and ic e ,--................. . . Housefurnishings___ _____ __________ M iscellaneous______________________ R etail food price index (large cities): All foods. Cereals an d bakery products____ ____ M ea ts______________________________ D airy pro d u cts_____________________ Eggs----------------------------------------------F ru its and vegetables________________ Beverages__________________________ F ats and oils________________________ Sugar and sw eets___________________ W holesale price index: All commodities___ All commodities other th an farm products. All commodities other th a n farm prod ucts and foods. F arm products______________________ Foods______________________________ National income and expenditures N ational income paym ents (B F D C )_____ Consum er expenditures for goods and serv ices (B F D C ). R etail sales (B F D C )____________________ Production Industrial production index, unadjusted (F R ): Total. M anufactures_______________________ M inerals___________________ ; _______ B itum inous coal (B M )__________________ Car loadings index, unadjusted (F R )_____ Electric energy (F P C ): T o tal____________ 1926 = 100____ 1926 = 100_____ 1935-39 = 100... 168.1 160.1 169.8 165.4 $9, 086 $8.911 $8, 489 94.5 176 182 184 161 100 1935-39 = 100... 184 1935-39 = 100.-131 Thousands of 42, 320 short tons. 1935-39=100... 131 M illio n s of 24, 849 kw.-hr. ___do_______ 20, 809 ____do_______ 4,040 191 135 37, 390 191 146 56, 000 167 126 46, 955 109 106 32,905 141 23, 943 149 24, 430 119 22, 014 (») 19, 949 3,994 20 222 4, 208 3) 906 (») $1, 057 $226 $1,144 $268 $1, 237 $335 $552 $303 8 $527 (‘O 35, 200 46, 600 60, 200 29, 500 8 41, 200 U tilities (production for public use)___ Ind u strial establishm ents...... ................ Construction Construction expenditures_______________ M illions____ Value of urb an building construction _ ___do_______ started. New nonfarm family dwelling u n its______ 101 i Source: Bureau cf Labor Statistics unless otherwise indicated. A bbreviations used: BC (B ureau of the Census); IC C (Interstate Commerce Commission); BA E (Bureau of Agricultural Economics); B F D C (B ureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce); F R (Federal Reserve); B M (B ureau of M ines); F P C (Federal Power Commission). M ost of the current figures are prelim inary. 2 10-month average M arch to D ecember 1940—not comparable w ith later figures. Revisions are in process. Excludes employees on public emergency work, these being included in unem ployed civilian labor force, civ ilia n em ploym ent in nonagricultural establishm ents differs from nonagricultural em ploym ent in civilian labor force m ainly because of th e inclusion in the latter of such groups as self-employed and domestic and casual workers. includes workers employed b y construction contractors and Federal force-account workers (nonm ain tenance construction workers employed directly b y th e Federal G overnm ent). Other force-account and nonm aintenance construction em ploym ent is included under m anufacturing and other groups 8 December. 6 November. 7 January. 8 September. »Includes current m otor vehicle prices. See footnote on page 292 of this issue. 18 T hird quarter. 11 N o t available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW FEBRUARY 1947 F u ll E m p lo y m e n t P a tte rn s , 1 9 5 0 : P a r t l 1 By J erome Cornfield, W. D uane E vans, and M arvin H offenberg, of the Bureau of Labor Statistics The Problem of Full Employment major economic problem of the United States in the decade pre ceding the outbreak of war in Europe was unemployment. By 1933 one-fourth of the labor force was unemployed, and even at the height of the subsequent recovery one out of every eight persons in the labor force was on emergency work or was seeking work. Large scale unemployment may be regarded from different points of view—as under-utilization of human and material resources, as a maldistribution of the necessities and comforts of life, or perhaps most significantly as a cumulation of individual frustrations which may affect the very fabric of society, leading to political and social instabil ity. Regardless of viewpoint, the achievement of high and stable levels of employment is clearly of paramount importance for the United States, and, because of the inevitable repercussions of domestic unemployment, for the rest of the world as well. Success in this endeavor will determine whether the period after full reconversion to peacetime production is to be one of expanding opportunity, security for the individual, and rising standards of living both here and abroad, T he 1 T h is a r tic le (p r e s e n te d in tw o p a r t s ; p a r t 2 w ill a p p e a r in th e M a rc h is s u e ) is a s u m m a ry o f a b u lle tin , to be p u b lis h e d in th e n e a r fu tu r e , e n title d F u ll E m p lo y m e n t P a t t e r n s , 1 950 : T h e S tr u c tu r e o f th e A m e ric a n E c o n o m y U n d e r F u ll E m p lo y m e n t C o n d i tio n s , in w h ic h a m o re e x h a u s tiv e d is c u s s io n m ay be fo u n d . T h e s tu d y w a s p re p a re d in th e B u r e a u ’s P r o d u c tiv ity a n d T e c h n o lo g ic a l D e v e lo p m e n t D iv isio n u n d e r th e d ire c tio n of W. D u a n e E v a n s , C h ief. E x te n s iv e u se w a s m a d e o f d a ta a n d te c h n iq u e s d eveloped in o rd e r d iv is io n s o f th e B u re a u . S p e c ia l m e n tio n s h o u ld be m a d e o f th e c o n trib u tio n s of D o ro th y S. B ra d y , D o ro th y D u ra n d , A le x a n d e r F in d la y , C elia S t a r G ody, S ta n le y L e b e rg o tt, L e s te r P e a rlm a n , a n d C h a rle s D. S te w a r t. T h e s tu d y o f i n t e r in d u s tr y re la tio n s h ip s , b a sic to th e a n a ly s is , w a s p r e p a re d fo r th e B u re a u u n d e r th e d ire c tio n of P r o f. W a s s ily L e o n tie f, of H a r v a r d U n iv e rs ity . D a ta a n d te c h n iq u e s d ev elo p ed by N e al P o t t e r of th e Office of P r ic e A d m in is tra tio n , R ic h a r d M u sg ra v e o f th e B o a rd of G o v e rn o rs o f th e F e d e ra l R ese rv e S y ste m , W y lie M. K ilp a tric k of th e B u re a u o f th e C en su s, G eorge B. G a llo w a y of th e T w e n tie th C e n tu ry F u n d , a n d W e rn e r B a e r o f th e U. S. T a riff C om m issio n w e re u sed in th e p r e p a r a tio n o f th e e s tim a te s . T h e u ses to w h ic h th e d a ta h a v e been p u t a n d th e in te r p r e ta tio n s m a d e a r e th e re s p o n s ib ility o f th e a u th o r s . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 163 164 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 or one of insecurity, low and possibly declining levels of living, and heightened tensions, both domestic and international. No more im portant domestic problem faces the Nation. The present article is a summary of a comprehensive study which attempts to evaluate in quantitative terms what is involved in achiev ing and maintaining high and stable levels of employment after full adjustment to peacetime conditions. The year 1950 has been selected as a reference period for the analysis, because, while not too remote, it should nevertheless be relatively free of the present transitional disturbances. Before proceeding with the analysis itself, one thing must be clearly stated. No unconditional forecasts for the year 1950 are presented at any place in the text. Specific quantitative assumptions regarding the size of various economic magnitudes in 1950 are made, and the purpose of the analysis is to investigate the logical consequences of these assumptions. As will appear, none of the assumptions is made arbi trarily, but there are varying likelihoods that the conditions they represent will actually prevail in 1950. Other assumptions may appear more reasonable to some readers, and a later repetition of the entire study, incorporating different assumptions, may be necessary to throw light on other problems and possibilities. To assist the reader in identifying the key assumptions as they appear in the text, they are numbered and italicized. Framework of Analysis We may recognize at the outset that the most important factors deter mining the characteristics of the American economy in the future will continue to be the habits, preferences, and behaviour of the American people. The present analysis is not concerned with any perfect or ideal economy, but rather with the kind which could develop in 1950 as a result of free and unrestricted choice. The past behaviour of the American people, as indicated by available statistics and studies, has been used throughout as a guide. For example, estimates of the size of the labor force in 1950 are based not on any preconceived notions with respect to the desirability or undesirability of having married women work, but rather on analysis of how many married women have entered the labor market in the past. Similarly, the estimates of con sumer expenditure embody no judgments with respect to the relative virtues of thrift or extravagance; they are solely an attempt to appraise objectively the future preferences of the American people in terms of their past actions. There are certain key aspects of our economic behaviour that will have a crucial effect on the kind of economy we have in 1950. The num ber of persons who are likely to be in the labor market seeking work https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FULL EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS, 1950 165 will obviously be of importance; the way in which their income is spent will affect both the over-all level of production and its distribution between industries. Another factor of importance is the level of pro ductivity, which in turn depends to a considerable extent on the rapidity with which different industries modernize their plant and equipment. Working hours, the volume of foreign trade, and the level of govern ment expenditures will each have their effect. The present study is essentially an attempt to project these and other factors to 1950 on the basis of past behaviour, and to put the separate analyses together by use of a consistent framework of analysis. Chart 1 provides a graphic summary of the basic analytic framework used. At the beginning, the total number of jobs necessary to provide full employment in 1950 is estimated. After assuming wage rates, working hours, rates of taxation and other factor payments, estimates of total purchasing power—that is, the income accruing to consumers, business, and government—are obtained. The volume of purchasing power so derived is one of the important determinants of the final demand for goods and services. From estimates of purchasing power, we proceed to estimates of demand for specific goods and services. The amount that consumers spend for the products of different industries will obviously be largely determined by the amount of income they receive. Business expendi ture for capital goods is, in sharp contrast, determined by a variety of institutional and technological factors in addition to the volume of purchasing power. Other important components of demand not uniquely determined by current purchasing power are those of govern ment and foreign countries Previous experience at various levels of activity and trade furnishes some guide for making reasonable assumptions on these points. The estimates of demand obtained are in terms of final products. They show the demand for automobiles but not for steel, for shoes but not for leather, for residential construction but not for lumber. To proceed from demand for final products to demand for raw and inter mediate goods as well, a special technique relating the two is required. By this means, estimates of total output of each industry implied by the derived level of demand are obtained.2 2 T h e w a g e, ta x , a n d p ro fit r a te s o rig in a lly specified a r e f o r th e y e a r 1950. A c co rd in g ly , th e re s u ltin g e s tim a te s o f in co m e a n d d e m a n d f o r fin a l g o o d s a re a lso in te rm s of 1950 p ric e le v e ls. T o u se th e s e fig u res w ith o th e r d a ta , i t is n e c e s s a ry to c o n v e rt to a 1939 b a sis. T h is m ig h t a p p e a r to be a n in s u p e ra b le o b s ta c le , b u t a c tu a lly th e b a s is f o r th e c o n v e rsio n is im p lic it in th e p re v io u s c o m p u ta tio n s . I f th e w ag e, ta x , a n d p ro fit p o s itio n of a h in d u s tr y is fixed, i t s p ric e le v e l is d e te rm in e d e x c e p t in s o f a r a s i t p u rc h a se s m a te r ia ls o r se rv ic e s fro m o th e r in d u s trie s . I f w a g e, ta x , a n d p ro fit le v e ls a r e specified f o r a ll in d u s trie s , th e n th e p i ice le v e ls f o r a ll a r e a lso d e te r m in ed . T h e s tu d y of in te r in d u s tr y re la tio n s (p. 1 8 7 ) f u r n is h e s th e m a te r ia ls n e ed e d to e v a lu a te th e p ric e re la tiv e s f o r th e s e p a r a te in d u s trie s . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis EM PLOYM ENT UNEMPLOYMENT ARMED FORCES EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY N. P U R C H A S IN G POW ER WAGE RATES TAX RATES ETC. 's. CONSUMER INCOME CORPORATE INCOME GOVERNMENT REVENUE / \ f INCOME AND EXPENDITURE PATTERNS PRODUCTIVITY HOURS OF WORK PRO D U CTIO N D EM A N D BY INDUSTRY CONSUMER GOODS CAPITAL GOODS GOVERNMENT PURCHASES EXPORTS BY INDUSTRY INPUT OUTPUT •»» MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis INTERRELATIONS OF EMPLOYMENT, INCOME. DEMAND, AND PRODUCTION FULL EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS, 195 0 167 Finally, the computed total outputs for the separate industries are converted by means of estimates of productivity and working hours into estimates of employment. Comparison of the volume of employ ment so derived with the volume initially assumed provides a measure of whether the level of demand may be expected to equal, fall short of, or exceed the full-employment level of supply. If the employment so derived falls short of full employment, a change must take place in the basic relationships and institutional factors which together determine the total volume of demand within the economy, or unemployment will ensue. The computations to this point do not yield full employment, so one additional step is necessary to complete the framework of the analysis. The effect of any changes necessary to attain full employ ment will be to increase the estimated levels of consumption expendi ture, of investment expenditure, or both. We may assume that the necessary alteration has been achieved by one route or the other, and bring the structure into balance by a partial repetition of the original computations. The results will give patterns in detail for an economy which is internally balanced, which provides 59 million civilian jobs, and which has a basic structure similar to that of the United States. The differences between these patterns and our position today repre sent, subject to the limitations of the data used and the assumptions incorporated in the analysis, the changes which may be expected to take place if full employment is achieved in 1950. Labor Force and the Composition of Civilian Employment The labor force of the United States is subject to continuous long term growth, partly because of population growth, and partly because of increased rates of participation in the labor force for many groups within the population. Thus, in 1900 only 19 percent of the women aged 20 to 64 were in the labor force; by 1940, participation had increased to 29 percent. Had the 1900 rate prevailed in 1940 the labor force would have been smaller by almost 4 million persons. An appraisal of the strength of all the forces that may influence the size of the 1950 labor force has been undertaken by the U. S. Bureau of the Census.3 This study indicates that the operation of normal prewar trends would result in a labor force of 61.5 million persons 3 Normal Growth of the Labor Force in the United States : 1940 to 1950, U. S. Depart ment of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, June 12, 1944, Series P-44, No. 12. The projec tions given in the Census Bureau study refer to the last week in March, those in the text to the average for the year. Because of seasonal variation in the size of the labor force, the yearly average is about 1 million above that for March. Small adjustments have also been made for off-continent armed forces not included in the 1940 enumeration. An addi tional upward adjustment of 1 million to account for the effect of the Census Bureau’s revision of procedures beginning in July 1945 has also been made. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 168 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW--- FEBRUARY 194 7 by 1950, 6 million higher than in 1940. The effect of each of these trends is summarized in the following statement. N et change from 1940 (millions of persons) Increase in population 14 years of age and over--------------------------------- +4. 5 Increasing age of schooling________________________________________ —. 3 Earlier retirement__________________________ _____________________ —. 2 Decreasing participation of males 20 to 64 years of age------------------------- —. 5 Increasing participation of females 20 to 64 years of age---------------------- +2. 5 Net change, 1940 to 1950_________________________________________ +6. 0 1940 labor force (actual)--------------------------------------------------------------- 55.5 1950 “normal” labor force (estim ated)--------------------------------------------- 61.5 These estimates are usually referred to as estimates of “normal” labor force because they make no allowance for possible disturbances introduced by the war. An appraisal of the wartime experience 4 suggests that 1.0 million workers may remain in addition to those composing the “normal” labor force, if reasonably full employment is attained by 1950. (I) Deducting an allowance of 1.5 million for the size of the armed forces and 2.0 million for “minimum frictional” unemployment, it is concluded that full employment in 1950 will require about 59 million civilian jobs.5 (See tabulation following.) Millions of persons 1950 “normal” labor force___________________________ 61. 5 Net wartime entries expected to remain (add)_____ 1.0 1950 labor force_____________________________________ 62. 5 Size of armed forces (deduct)____ -i______________ 1.5 Minimum unemployment (deduct)_______________ *_ 2.0 1950 civilian employment____________________________ 59. 0 Whether we actually attain this level of civilian employment de pends on 1950 levels of production. The remainder of this analysis is devoted either directly or indirectly to determining this level of production. Before we proceed, however, we must note that there are important segments of the economy in which employment is to a con siderable extent independent of production. This is true for agricul ture, for most categories of self-employment, and for several others as well. The statement below summarizes estimates of the size of these semi autonomous components of the labor force in 1950. The remain ing component consists of wage and salary jobs in private nonagricul4 “Extra” Workers in the Postwar Labor Force, in Monthly Labor Review, November 1945 (p. 841). 5 For the convenience of the reader, major assumptions are italicized and numbered. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 169 FULL EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS, 1950 tural establishments. million such jobs. (II) Full employment will involve filling 39 Millions of persons Civilian employment---------------------------------------------------------------------Agricultural------------------------------------------Self-employed----------------------------------Unpaid family workers----------------------Wage and salary workers-------------------Nonagricultural--------------------------------------Self-employed-----------------------------------Unpaid family workers----------------------Wage and salary workers-------------------Domestics______________________ Government employees-----------------Adjustment for noncomparabilities1. Employees in private establishments. 59. 0 8.0 4.6 1.7 1.7 51.0 6.0 .4 44.6 2.0 5.0 —1.5 39.1 1 E s tim a te s o f th e n u m b e r of em p lo y ees in d iffe re n t in d u s tr ie s a r e u s u a lly o b ta in e d fro m re p o r ts o f em p lo y e rs. E s tim a te s o f th e size of th e la b o r fo rc e , c iv ilia n e m p lo y m e n t, a n d u n e m p lo y m e n t, su c h a s th o s e u se d in th is s e c tio n , a r e b a se d on s ta t i s t i c s o b ta in e d by th e C en su s B u re a u by d ire c t e n u m e ra tio n o f in d iv id u a ls . F ro m A p ril 1940 to A u g u s t 1945 th e n u m b e r o f e m p lo y e es in n o n a g r ic u ltu r a l e s ta b lis h m e n ts a s e s tim a te d by th e B u re a u of L a b o r S ta tis tic s fro m e m p lo y e r re p o r ts a n d by th e C en su s B u re a u fro m d ir e c t e n u m e ra tio n h a v e d iffered by s e v e ra l m illio n s. T o p ro c e ed fro m e s tim a te s of th e la b o r fo rc e to e s ti m a te s o f e m p lo y m e n t in d iffe re n t in d u s tr ie s i t is th e re fo re n e c e s s a ry to u se a n a r b itr a r y a d ju s t m e n t f a c to r w h ic h a llo w s f o r th o s e d ifferen ces. Productivity in 1950 The level of production that must be attained if the economy is to employ 39 million people in private nonagricultural establishments will depend on how much each person produces, i. e., on productivity. The past peacetime record on productivity is one of fairly continuous small increases from year to year. In all manufacturing industries combined, output per wage-earner man-hour increased at a rate slightly above 3 percent per year during the period 1919-39. In mining, the annual rate of increase was about 3 percent. The small year-to-year gains in productivity resulted in an impressive advance for the 20year period. An annual rate of increase of 3 percent implies an in crease in output per man-hour of 80 percent over a 20-year period. The steady upward movement of productivity reflects the influence of a large number of small changes—technical developments, the ac cumulation of capital equipment, improvements in organization, better management, improved working and living conditions, the reduction in working hours, and the like. The most important of these factors are technical developments and improvements in the character of capital equipment. Thus, fundamentally, advance in productivity arises from increasing technical knowledge and the application of this knowledge to economic activity. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 170 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW--- FEBRUARY 1947 The broad trends in productivity conceal important differences among individual industries. In some industries, man-hour output has not changed significantly over a long period of time. These are generally the older industries with a mature technology, in which the volume of output has not expanded or lias actually declined. In the manufacture of bread and bakery products, for example, output per man-hour in 1940 was only 3 percent higher than in 1924. Other industries show rapid increases in productivity during the period when production is expanding and new production techniques are be ing evolved, but more modest progress thereafter. In the automobile industry, output per man-hour increased strikingly during the twen ties, with a total advance of 134 percent between 1919 and 1929. From 1929 to 1939, however, the increase was only 19 percent.8 It is of interest to note that peak production for the entire period was achieved in 1929. Still other industries have experienced rapid advances in man-hour output which have continued up to the present and there is, in these cases, no reason to assume any decline in the rate of progress in the near future, once transitional adjustments are made. In rayon manufacture, productivity doubled between 1929 and 1934 and very nearly doubled again from 1934 to 1939. It is clear that the past experience of individual industries should be of considerable assistance in estimating future levels of productivity. For example, it is reasonable to assume that man-hour output in rayon manufacture will increase substantially by 1950, and that in the auto mobile industry the gains will be more modest. Of course, estimates can only be made of general levels, since short-term fluctuations can occur for a variety of reasons. The actual level of man-hour output achieved in an industry at any particular time will also depend on such factors as the volume of production, degree of utilization of capacity, composition of the work force, labor turn-over, hours and shift arrangements, and the state of labor relations. The estimates shown in table 1 are not forecasts of productivity for 1950. The figures for each group are uniformly based on an extra polation of trends for the component industries. In particular, the probable effects of new techniques developed as a result of the war may not be fully taken into account. A forecast of productivity in 1950 for a particular industry would require, in addition to an examination 8 T h e v e ry s u b s ta n tia l im p ro v e m e n ts in q u a lity a r e n o t re fle c te d in th e p r o d u c tiv ity in d e x . I t is c le a r t h a t if i t w e re p o ssib le to ta k e a c c o u n t o f q u a lity c h a n g e s, th e g a in fro m 1929 to 1939 w o u ld be c o n sid e ra b ly h ig h e r, f o r th e a v e ra g e c a r p ro d u c e d in th e la te th ir tie s w a s h e a v ie r a n d in c o rp o ra te d m o re e x tr a e q u ip m e n t th a n i t s p re d e c e s so rs. N e v e rth e le s s, th is f a c to r do es n o t a ffe c t th e c o n c lu sio n t h a t th e r a te o f p ro g r e s s d u rin g th e th i r t i e s w a s slo w e r th a n in th e tw e n tie s , f o r th e im p ro v e m e n ts in q u a lity d u r in g th e tw e n tie s (lik e w ise n o t re fle c te d in th e p r o d u c tiv ity iig u re s ) w e re , if a n y th in g , g r e a te r t h a n th o s e m a d e in th e l a t e r p e rio d . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 171 FULL EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS, 1950 of earlier experience, a detailed analysis of possible changes in produc tion techniques, probable amounts of reequipment, alterations in prod ucts made, and the availability of new or better materials. Table 1.—Estimated change in productivity, 1939-50, by industry group In d u stry group M anufacturing: Iron and steel and their p ro d u c ts... Electrical m achinery_____________ M achinery, except electrical--------Transportation equipm ent, includ ing autom obiles-----------------------Nonferrous metals and their prod ucts-------- ------------------------------L um ber and tim ber basic products. F u rnitu re and finished lum ber products______________________ Stone, clay, and glass products-----Textile-mill products and other fiber m anufactures-------------------A pparel and other finished textile products_____________________ Leather and leather products-------- O utput per m an hour, 1950 (1939=100) 124 130 128 136 114 121 118 126 In d u stry group M anufacturing—C ontinued. Food___________________________ T o b a c c o -----------------------------------Paper and allied p r o d u c ts .---- Printing, publishing, and allied in d u stries.. ________________ -Chemicals and allied products .. Products of petroleum and coal. R ubber pro d u cts.. --------------------M iscellaneous----------------------------- 128 M in in g _____________________________ T ransportation--------------------------------Public utilities______________________ 123 128 Finance, services, and miscellaneous. . . C onstruction------------------------------------ O utput per m an hour, 1950 (1939=100) 119 117 134 124 144 138 128 123 125 142 141 119 115 109 i These estim ates are not forecasts for 1950. T he figures for each group are based on extrapolation of trends for the component industries. In particular, probable effects of new techniques developed as a result of th e w ar m ay not be fully taken into account. A forecast for a particular^industry w ould require, in addition to an exam ination of earlier experience, a detailed analysis of possible changes in production techniques, probable am ounts of reequipm ent, alterations in products made, and the availability ol new or better materials. ( I ll) For most of the separate industries, the increase assumed between 1939 and 1950 is from W to 30 percent. However, there is wide variation among the estimates for the separate industries, reflecting divergent trends in the past. In those few industries which show no upward trend in recent years, it is assumed that productivity will be at the 1939 level, and in several other industries the estimates imply only small increases. On the other hand, increases estimated for other industries range up to 90 percent. The projections made for 1950 are felt to be quite “conservative,” in the sense that the assumed productivity gains for 1939-50 are not exceedingly large; the percentage increases are generally smaller than those which occurred over the period 1929-39. The National Income and Its Distribution Production depends on demand, the most important component of which is consumer demand. But consumer demand does not arise in a vacuum; it depends on the level and distribution of consumer income. Income is a monetary magnitude, however, and is dependent on the wage rates (and consequently prices) in which it is expressed. (IV) It has been assumed for convenience that wage rates in 1950 will be https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 172 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 approximately 15 percent above their level in May 19461 (V) I t has been further assumed that prewar working hours will prevail in 1950. Together, these assumptions imply a full employment wage and salary income of 122.8 billion dollars in 1950. Past relations between wage and salary payments and other forms of income provide estimates of the other components of national income. These estimates are sum marized in table 2. Some of the components are at their wartime level, others are well above it. In particular, total wage and salary income exceeds the 1944 level by 11 percent, while dividends, because Table 2.—National income and gross national product, 1950, 1945, and 19411 [In billions] No. Item 1 2 3 4 5 « 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Wages a n d salaries.-. . . . . ___ ____ _______ ______ Supplem ents to wages and salaries___________________ T otal compensation of employees (1 + 2 )______ _____ Corporate net income (5+6)_________________________ D iv id en d s. ____________________________________ U ndistributed profits__________ _____ _ ________ E ntrepreneurial n et income (8+ 9)___________ . . ___ A griculture___ _____ ___________ ____ ___________ N onagriculture____________________ . . . . ______ Interest__________________________ ________________ N et rents and royalties____________ . . . __________ . . N ational income (3+ 4+ 7+ 10+ 11)____________________ U ndistributed profits (deduct)___________________ Em ployers’ social security contributions (deduct)3. . Em ployees’ social security contributions (deduct)3. . Transfer paym ents ( a d d ) ___ . . . . ________ _.. Income paym ents (12—13—14—15+16)__________ . _. Personal taxes (deduct)__________________ ______ Disposable income (17—18)_________ ____ _________ . . . Depreciation and other reserves (add)__________ ______ Business taxes (a d d )_______________________ _________ In ventory revaluation_________________ . . . ________ A djustm ent for discrepancies___ ____ ___________ ._ Gross national product (12+20+21+22+23)___________ 1950 2 1945 1941 $122.8 5.4 128.2 14.9 10.9 4.0 27.0 14.0 13.0 $111.4 3.1 114.5 9.0 4.5 4.5 25.6 12.5 13.1 184.8 4.0 5.1 3.1 5.4 178.0 16.1 161.9 11.6 19.1 161'. 0 4.5 $60.8 3.7 64.5 8.5 4.5 4.0 15.8 6.3 9.6 8.0 96.9 4.0 8.1 160.7 21.0 139.7 9.8 28.6 (4) - 2 .0 197.3 2.5 92.7 4.0 88.7 9.1 18.5 - 3 .2 - 1 .1 120.2 215.5 1 Totals m ay no t add because of rounding. 2 See full stu d y for details of assum ptions. T h e relationship of the parts has been estim ated. dollar m agnitudes should be regarded as assumed. T h ey are not forecasts. 3 Includes contributions to governm ent retirem ent funds. The * Less than $50,000,000. of the removal of excess profits taxes, are more than double this level. The total income, 185 billion dollars, exceeds the wartime peak by a substantial margin. The huge magnitude of the national income aggregates is likely to conceal the fact that low incomes may be far from uncommon even under full employment. It is necessary in any event to estimate the distribution of consumer units (that is, families as well as single individuals who do not pool their incomes or expenditures with 7 The actual wage level assumed is not of critical importance for the present study. A higher wage level assumption would give a higher national income figure, but would also increase the price levels in which it is expressed. Since the dollar magnitudes involved in the analysis are reduced to 1939 price levels at a later stage in the analysis, the effect on the final results of assuming higher or lower wage levels would be slight. The impor tant assumption is that the difference between industries in average wage levels is the same in 1950 as in May 1946. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 173 FULL EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS, 195 0 others) by size of income in order to examine the probable volume and distribution of consumer expenditures, required at a later stage in the analysis. But these same estimates, based on previous and current experience, are also useful in appraising the human impact of even the high levels of national income derived above. The esti mates imply that one-sixth of all consumer units will receive incomes of less than $1,500, and one-twelfth of them incomes below $1,000 (table 3). Even though the total volume of civilian goods for 1950 implied by the assumptions far exceeds that characterizing the most prosperous prewar years, it appears that large numbers of American families might still receive incomes which could not purchase the goods and services required to maintain a satisfactory or desirable standard of living. T able 3.—Estimated distribution of consuming units by size of money income, 1950, 1942, and 1935-361 M illions of consuming units » M oney income class 1950 (estimated) 1935-36 3 1942 2 All in c o m e s______________________________________ 45.0 41.2 39.4 U nder $500 $500-$999 $1 000-$1,499 $l500-$lj999 $9 n00-$2'099 $3 000-$4,999 $5 000 qnd nvo,r 1.1 2.7 3.7 5.0 10.9 14.2 7.4 3.5 6.6 6.6 6.0 7.9 7.3 3.3 6.7 11.7 8.7 5.2 4.4 1.8 .9 - - ___________________ --- _______________________ _______________ _______ _______ ____ _________ _ ___________________ ______ - __________________ ____________________ / 1 Consuming u n its are families whose members pool incomes a n d expenditures, and individuals who do not pool income and expenditures w ith other persons. 2 Office of Price A dm inistration, Civilian Spending a n d Savings, 1941 and 1942. 2 N ational Resources C om m ittee, Consumer Incomes in the U nited States, W ashington, 1938. Government Expenditures and Revenues Normal government operations at all levels, Federal, State and local, have an important effect on the level of employment. Government wage and salary and “transfer” payments provide one of the sources of demand for consumer goods and services. Purchases of materials and finished goods for government purposes provide a market for the products of many industries, and for some, like shipbuilding, aircraft, and construction, a very important one. Taxes levied on business enterprises enter costs and affect either selling prices, payments to factors of production, or both. Taxes on individuals determine how much of their income they are free to spend for goods and services. Because of these effects, it is necessary to prepare detailed estimates of probable levels of government expenditure and revenue. Even tually, the decisions that will determine actual expenditure and revenue in 1950 will be made legislatively. The present estimates are con sequently neither forecasts, a statement of present government inten72S607— 47------2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 174 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW--- FEBRUARY 194 7 tions, nor a model of an ideal structure of government revenue and expenditure. They are best interpreted as an approximate picture of wliat might happen under full employment conditions in 1950 if there were no basic change in the scope of government activities from the prewar period, except those alterations which are an aftermath of the war itself. (VI) Three assumptions are basic to the present estimates: 1. The scope of government activity in 1950 will be substantially that prevailing in prewar years. 2. Government expenditures and revenues will be in balance. 3. No reduction in the size of the debt will be attempted during 1950. These are neither forecasts nor statements of objectives which are necessarily desirable. Essentially we wish to know the inflationary or deflationary prospects for 1950 under these assumptions. T able 4.—Estimated Federal, State, and local expenditures for calendar year 1950, and actual expenditures, fiscal year 1941 [In billions] Federal T ype of expenditure 1950 State and local 1941 1941 1950 D e fe n s e --_______________ __________________ ____ Com pensation of em ployees2_____ __ ________ ____ Interest p aym ents________________ ______ _______ C onstruction_____________ __________ O ther paym ents for goods and services3______ . . 1 $5.6 4.7 5.6 2.0 .9 $5. 8 3.5 1.1 .9 .9 $8.5 .5 2.6 .9 $4.5 .6 2.1 .7 T otal entering gross national p ro d u ct___________ 418.8 12.2 12.5 7.9 Social security________________________________ _ Benefits and public assistance..- _______ . . . . A dm inistration___________________________ A dditions to reserves-.. _ ______ . . . V eterans’ p aym ents________________________________ M iscellaneous__________________________________ 6. 1 2.1 .1 3.9 2.0 .6 1.4 .6 .1 .7 .4 .6 2.3 1.0 .1 1.2 1.8 1.2 .1 .5 .4 1.2 T o tal not entering gross national p r o d u c t______ 8.7 2.4 2.7 3.0 T otal outlays________________ ____ ___________ 27.5 14.6 4 15.1 10.9 1 Includes $0.1 billion construction; excludes paym ents to civilian personnel of defense agencies b u t in cludes paym ents to arm ed forces personnel. 2 Includes governm ent contribution to employee retirem ent funds and paym ents to civilian personnel of defense agencies. 3 Includes farm benefit paym ents and purchases of private o utput. 4 Does not add exactly to detailed figures shown, because of rounding of data. Retention of the prewar scope of government activities does not mean that expenditures will remain at prewar levels. National defense will cost more; interest on the national debt will have increased; pay ments of social security benefits and additions to reserves will, under existing legislation, be higher. Total outlays are estimated at 42.6 billion dollars—27.5 billion Federal and 15.1 billion State and local. This compares with a total outlay of 17.8 billion dollars in 1939 and 25.5 billion in 1941 (table 4), https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 175 FULL EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS, 195 0 The estimates imply that government will take for its own use a smaller part of the private product than in any peacetime year since 1930. Excluding defense expenditures, the percentage is less than the portion used by government in 1929. As a market for the private segment, government purchases are set at approximately 5 percent of private output, as contrasted with about 6i/2 percent in the thirties and 4i/2 percent in the twenties. Under full employment conditions, a Federal budget of 27 billion dollars can be balanced with prewar tax rates. A first approximation to total revenues, using the 1941 tax structure, yields a surplus of about 4 billion dollars. (VII) A tax structure with 1939 excise rates, 191^0 corporate income tax rates, personal income tax rates between 19J/J and 1951 rates, and 1939 rates for all other taxes except social security gives the required revenues. This tax structure has been arbitrarily assumed to yield neither surplus nor deficit. The details of the estimates are shown in table 5. Table 5.—Federal, State, and local revenues, estimated for calendar year 1950, and actual for 1942 fiscal and 1939 calendar years [In billions] State and local Federal Source of revenue 1950 1942 $27.5 $16.9 12.2 Personal income _ _ _ _ _ _ _____ .5 "Rstate and gift ________________ _ ____ 5.1 Corporate income___________ _________ - - _____ Custom s _ _________________ __ .7 P roperty - - ________ _____ ___________ 2.0 L iquor and tnhaceo .5 Gasoline _____________________________________ Goneral sales _______________ _______ __ O ther excises ____________________ ______ Miscellaneous _ - _____ ____ - ________ ______ } 5.6 Social security. ________________ ______ _________ N ontax revenues ____ _____________ 1 3.8 Total revenue .............................................. . -- - - - -9 .4 17.6 .4 1.8 1 .4 ( 1.2 J 1.2 1939 1950 1942 $5.5 $15.1 $10.7 $9.7 .9 .4 1.0 .3 .7 .1 .7 .3 .1 .3 .2 .1 .1 5.1 4.6 4.3 1.0 .6 .4 .8 .5 .4 1939 i ______ 1.6 2.1 .8 \ 1-2 11 1.9 -7 1.7 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.4 1> 3.2 • Tax accruals for 1941. In summary, even in the absence of any expansion in the scope of government activity, expenditures may be expected to exceed prewar levels by substantial margins. Given full employment conditions, however, it should be possible to finance the increased expenditure with a tax structure departing but little from that prevailing before the war. 77^ 1950 Level of Prices Consumer expenditure of one dollar will generate some employment, but the amount depends (among other things) on the prices in which that expenditure is expressed. These prices will in turn be determined by prevailing levels of labor productivity, wage and salary and other factor payments, and the level of output. The manner in which the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 176 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 1950 level of prices is determined by each of these variables, while not without interest, is omitted from the present discussion. The results are summarized in table 6. They show that at full employment levels of output in 1950 the higher wage rates and higher rates of return on investment that have been assumed could be maintained at a price level no higher than that prevailing in the summer of 1946. T able 6.—Price level, estimated for 1950, and actual for 1945, 1944, and 19411 [1939=100] 1950 2 Item C onsum p In v estm en t tion model model 1945 (actual) 1944 (actual) 1941 (actual) Consumers’ purchases-_ ___ ______ ___ Producers’ d u ra b le s-.. _________________ C onstruction___________________________ E xpo rts__________________ _______ ___ 3 131 131 3 135 128 3 137 129 4 135 132 129 114 139 135 126 113 124 133 106 108 112 113 All item s_________________________ 131 136 130 126 107 1 T he price level for 1950 is no t a forecast, b u t the level of prices im plied b y the income paym ents in table 2 and a full em ploym ent level of o u tp u t. 2 T he indexes for 1950 are no t strictly comparable w ith those for 1945 and prior years in respect to con sum ers’ purchases and construction. T h e different models of a full em ploym ent economy have been in vestigated, one obtained from an augm ented volume of consumer dem and, the other from an augm ented volum e of in v estm en t dem and. F o r a more complete explanation see p a rt 2. 3 Includes price changes on expenditures by farm and small-city families which have been excluded by th e B ureau of Labor Statistics Index of Consumers’ Prices for 1945 and prior years. 4 Includes m aintenance, w hich has been excluded from th e historical series for 1945 and prior years. There are two reasons for this. First, at considerably higher levels of output many fixed costs, such as depreciation and interest, can be spread over a larger volume, thus reducing unit costs. Second, the productivity advances assumed offset to a considerable extent the in creases in wage rates incorporated in the analysis. The results are not, of course, a forecast of the actual level of 1950 prices. The benefits of technological advance may take the form of higher pay to workers, improvements in the quality of goods sold, lower prices, or any combination of these. The price estimates may thus be interpreted to show that in 1950, under full employment con ditions, 1946 rates of remuneration will be compatible with lowered prices, or 1946 prices will be compatible with increased rates of re muneration, but they are not intended to suggest which outcome is the more likely one. Consumer Demand The possibility of achieving full employment in the coming years will be decisively affected by future levels of consumer demand. There are two key facts that must be remembered in appraising the effect of consumer expenditure on the level of employment. First, as con sumer income increases, expenditure tends to increase - as well, but usually not to the full extent of the income increase. Second, as in https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FULL EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS, 1950 177 come increases, expenditure for certain types of goods tends to in crease less rapidly than for others. Expenditure for food, for ex ample, does not increase as rapidly as that for passenger cars. It is helpful in an initial consideration of the subject to inspect the way in which families with incomes of different sizes divide that income between expenditure and savings. The differences in this division provide an indication of the effect of income on consumption, although these differences at the different income levels are of course affected by factors other than income. Chart 2 indicates the extent to which the percent of income saved was itself a function of income in the prewar period. Families with incomes below $1,250 incurred deficits, but as income rose above that amount, savings increased quite rapidly. At incomes of $2,500, 10 percent of that income was being saved; at incomes of $5,000, 20 percent; and at $20,000, more than 40 percent. These data strongly suggest that the high level of income to be expected under full employment conditions is likely to be associated with a very high level of savings, both relative and absolute, if the prewar pattern of expenditure prevails. Thus, in 1950 more than 15 percent of all families will, under the present assumptions, have incomes of $5,000 or more (table 3) and, if prewar expenditure habits persist, will as a group save more than one-tliird of their income. These savings rates, when combined with the estimated 1950 income distribution, imply that more than one-fifth of a full employ ment income might be saved. This compares with 11 percent in 1929, 16 percent in 1941, and is only slightly below the abnormally high wartime levels of 1943 and 1944. This calculation is only approxi mate since it makes no allowance for several important factors. The result, nevertheless, suggests that the problem of finding outlets for expanded savings in the form of a high and continuing volume of investment may become acute. This conclusion assumes a continuation of prewar expenditure habits into the postwar period. Expenditure habits have changed in the past, however, and there is no compelling reason to believe that they will not change in the future. Chart 4, for example, sum marizes the rate of savings at each income level in four different periods, 1901, 1917-19, 1935-36, and 1941. The income levels are all expressed in constant 1935-39 dollars. The pattern of change shown by these four studies is striking. In 1901 a family with an income of $2,000 (measured in 1935-39 dollars) saved 20 percent of that income; in 1917-19, about 14 percent; in 1935-36, about 4 per cent; and in 1941, about 3.5 percent. The differences in percent of income saved are particularly marked between the two earlier and https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1947 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FULL EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS, 1950 179 the two later periods. For all income levels taken together the differences averaged well over 10 points. Over shorter periods of time, however, the relationship between consumer income and expenditure is remarkably stable. Studies of family expenditures are not made at sufficiently frequent intervals to study this short-run stability directly. I t is possible to study it indirectly, however. If we assume that the division of income be tween expenditure and savings was the same at each income level for each year during the period 1929-41, then it is possible to estimate (in conjunction with independent estimates of the number of families at each income level in each of the years) the aggregate volume of consumer expenditure implied by this assumption. But direct meas urement of the aggregate volume of consumer expenditure has been undertaken by the Department of Commerce. Comparison of the actual volume of consumer expenditure with estimates of the volume derived on the assumption of a constant income-expenditure relation ship consequently provides a check on the accuracy of this assumption. Chart 3 shows the results of this check. I t compares the actual volume of consumer expenditure by years during the period 1929-41 with the expenditures which could have been inferred from the known levels of consumer income and the patterns of consumer expenditure by income level in 1935-36. The maximum discrepancy between actual and estimated is less than 5 percent. The closeness of the agreement affords strong evidence for the stability of expend iture habits during this period. Whether prewar expenditure habits will persist into the postwar period or whether we will wdtness a resumption of the secular decrease in the rate of savings at each income level is a subject on which no unconditional forecast can be made. It is possible, however, to estimate the volume of consumer expenditure in 1950 if there is no change in prewar expenditure habits and to estimate its effects on the level of employment. It is also possible to estimate the amount by which expenditure must exceed this level if we are to have full employment. (V III) The initial estimate of 1950 consumer expenditure is based on the assumption that the prewar relation between income and ex penditure will prevail in the postivar period. As a measure of the prewar expenditure pattern the results of a study of family expenditures in 1941 have been used.8 The data have been retabulated, however, to show expenditures for the products of the different industries, rather than expenditures within the usual 8 U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bull. No. 822 : Family Spending and Saving in War time ; U. S. Department of Agriculture, Misc. Pub. No. 520 : Rural Family Spending and Saving in Wartime, and Misc. Pub. No. 550 : Family Food Consumption in the United States, Spring 1942. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis CONSUMER EXPENDITURE ACTUAL AND EST IM A T ED MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis URBAN FAMILIES. 1901-1941 INCOME IN CONSTANT 1935-39 D O L L A R S FULL EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS, 195 0 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PERCENT OF INCOME SAVED IN RELATION TO INCOME 00 182 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 budgetary categories. They have also been adjusted for the 1950 level of taxes and the estimated prices. Levels of consumer expenditures for the products of each industry derived on this basis are summarized in table 7. They indicate that even after correcting for change in the price level, consumer demand would, with no alteration in basic T able 7.— Consumer demand, by industry, 1939 and estimated for 1950 1 [In millions] 1950, estim ated in— In d u stry T otal consumer dem and..................... ........................ .............. 1939 1950 prices 1939 prices $117,176 $89, 834 $60, 279 Agriculture and fishing_____________ ______ ____ _______ Food processing__ _______ ___ ______ __________________ Ferrous m e ta ls..______________ _______ _______________ S hipbuilding____ ______ _____________ ________________ A gricultural m achinery___________ ___________ ____ ____ Engines and tu rb in es__________ ____ __________________ M otor vehicles______ _____ ___________________________ T ransportation equipm ent, no t elsewhere classified______ 5, 858 18,804 3 44 27 24 3, 264 78 3,799 14, 888 2 28 21 18 2,536 65 3,103 10, 491 1 11 • 12 10 1, 237 31 Industrial and heating equipm ent, n o t elsewhere classified M erchandising and service m a c h in es............. ....................... Electrical equ ip m en t_____________ _____ _______________ Iron and steel, not elsewhere classified__________________ N onferrous m etals and their products_______ ___________ N onm etallic m inerals and their products_________ _____ _ Petroleum production and refining......... ...................... .......... Coal m ining and m anufactured solid fuel....................... ........ 307 153 1,058 117 59 281 3, 480 978 248 113 829 89 49 214 3,000 782 192 81 547 50 35 126 1,918 599 M anufactured gas and electric power_________ _______ ___ Com m unications____ ____ ____________________________ Chem icals___________________ _____ __________________ F u rn itu re and other m anufactures of wood______________ Wood pulp and p a p e r..____ ___________________________ P rinting and publishing.____ _____ ___________ _____ ___ Textile-mill products ______________ ___________________ A pparel and finished textiles___________________________ 1, 742 905 1,633 1,164 228 1,193 1,268 7,089 1,742 814 1,466 831 182 907 957 4,896 1,043 547 985 586 128 609 810 3, 384 L eather and leather products__________________________ R u b b er________________ ____ _____ ___________________ All other m anufacturing_______________________________ M iscellaneous tran sp o rtatio n_____ ________ _____________ Steam railroads_______ _____ _____ ____________________ T rad e __________________ _____ ______________________ Business and personal services__________ _______________ E ating and drinking places___________ _________________ 1,612 350 1,542 1,882 1,613 24, 039 27,103 9,279 1,143 312 1,203 1,543 1,405 17, 294 21,476 6,982 854 223 697 1,130 689 11,291 14, 707 4,152 1 Expenditures are m easured a t producers’ prices plus transportation costs. th u s excluded, are entered as a purchase from trade. T rade margins, which are habits, exceed the 1939 level by 50 percent. The magnitude of the increase varies, of course, from industry to industry. The demand for agricultural products increases by only one-fourth, for services by about one-half, but the demand for automotive products more than doubles. Investment Demand Before we can estimate the volume and distribution of employment occasioned by this level of consumer demand it is necessary to consider one other type of demand, that for investment goods. In the present analysis this is considered to be composed of four components, pro- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 183 FULL EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS, 1950 ducers’ durable equipment, construction, inventories, and all goods for export. The characteristic that distinguishes this type of demand from that for consumer goods is that the demand initially is not for the goods themselves but for the services that they will render over their entire period of life. A slight drop in the demand for services cur rently rendered by capital goods is thus likely to result in a pronounced drop in the demand for their current production. The well-known contrast between the great instability in output and employment in the capital goods industries and the relative stability in industries produc ing consumer goods and services is a direct consequence of this fact. Because the demand for capital goods is unstable, no simple set of relations, such as those used for estimating consumer expenditure, will provide a sound basis for estimating demand in 1950. The present estimates are based upon a variety of sources and considerations. PRODUCERS’ DURABLE EQUIPMENT (IX ) The 'present estimate of nongovernment purchases of pro ducers'’ durable equipment in 1950 is essentially that made in 1941, by both public and private agencies. It excludes, however, public outlays for military products such as aircraft, combat motor vehicles, and ships made in that year, but includes both public and private outlays for the facilities necessary to produce these end products. Table 8 shows the estimated distribution of such outlays by industry of final fabrication. T able 8.—Private demand for producers’ durable equipment, 1939 and estimated for 19501 [In millions] 1950, estim ated in— 1939 In d u stry 1950 prices 1939 prices T o ta l........ ................. - ........................................— .............. ........ $12,160 $9,458 $4, 613 Shipbuilding..... .............. ....................... .............................- ........ A gricultural m ach in ery ............................................................... Engines and tu rb in es........ ............ .......................... ................... M otor vehicles......................... ................ ............ — ............ — A ircraft----------- ------------ ------------------------------------ --------T ransportation equipm ent, n o t elsewhere classified---------Industrial and heating equipm ent, no t elsewhere classified 154 800 80 1,789 294 390 2,193 97 623 61 1,390 362 325 1,774 140 307 30 685 38 160 874 M achine tools---------------- ------ ------------------------------------M erchandising and service machines--------- --------- ---------Electrical equipm ent, no t elsewhere classified........ ............ Iron and steel, no t elsewhere classified-------------- -----------Nonferrous m etals and th eir products........... ......................... . N onm etallic minerals and their products......... ............ .......... C hem icals....................................................................................... 647 438 1,142 431 5 93 20 491 325 895 329 4 71 18 242 160 441 162 2 35 9 L um ber and tim ber p ro d u c ts.------- ---------------- --------- — F u rn itu re and other m anufactures of wood------------------Textile-mill pro d u cts............ ....................... .............. .............. . L eather and leather p roducts------- -------------------------------R u b b e r.___________________________ _________- ...........— All other m anufacturing------------- --------- ---------------------T rad e.................................................................. - ........................... 11 594 73 74 116 424 2,394 8 424 55 53 104 331 1,721 4 209 27 26 51 163 848 1 Expenditures are m easured at producers’ prices plus transportation costs. T rade margins on producers’ durable equipm ent, which are th u s excluded, are entered as a purchase from trade. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 184 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 With the exception of aircraft and ships, the pattern is much the same as that prevailing in 1939, but the total level is much higher. The estimate for aircraft reflects the expectations of the aviation industry9 while that for shipbuilding is based on preliminary work done for the Twentieth Century Fund’s study on postwar requirements for transportation. CO NSTRUCTION The present estimates are based upon a study of the volume of post war construction prepared in the Division of Construction and Public Employment of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. They are best described as “essentially an informed estimate based on information from a wide variety of sources and on an analysis of controlling social and economic conditions.” 10 The estimates obtained on this basis are shown in table 9. (X) They provide for a 90-percent increase over 1939 and an almost threefold increase over the level prevailing in the final war year. Such a level can be attained by 1950 only if the rate of expansion of construction activity in the coming years exceeds that of the period 1921-25. T able 9.— Private demand for construction, 1939 and estimated for 1950 1 [In millions] 1950, estim ated in— T ype of construction 1939 Total, all ty p es_____________________ ________ New construction_______________ . . . . Residential nonfarm ________________ . _____ Commercial_____________________ . . In d u strial___ ___________ . . . . Other building___________ ______ ______ F arm _________________ . . . U tility ___ _________ ______ . . M aintenance_________ . . 1950 prices 1939 prices $14,329 $10, 584 $5,642 10,138 4,370 1,499 861 536 588 2,284 7,488 3, 228 1,107 636 396 434 1,687 3,794 1,860 300 234 228 425 747 4,191 3,096 1,848 1 These estim ates are based upon those given in Bureau of Labor Statistics B ull. No. 825 b u t will not agree exactly because of differences in concept and definition. EX PO R TS The demand of foreign countries for domestically produced goods is determined to a considerable extent by the volume of goods the United States is willing to import. The volume of imports will in turn be determined largely by the level at which the economy is oper ating. In the past, fluctuations in the physical volume of imports have closely paralleled fluctuations in the physical volume of industrial production (chart 5). This similarity in fluctuation seems to have 9 L e t’s B e P r a c tic a l A b o u t P o s tw a r P la n e M a rk e ts , in A v ia tio n , D ecem b er 1945 (p. 1 1 5 ). 10 U. S. B u re a u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s , B u ll. No. 825 : P ro b a b le V olum e of P o s tw a r C on s tru c tio n . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 185 FULL EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS, 1950 persisted even during a period in which there were sharp changes in tariff legislation and import prices, and in which reciprocal trade agreements were being developed and extended. Table 10 shows the level and composition of imports to be expected under full employment conditions in 1950. (X I) It is derived by as suming a continuation of the prewar relationship between imports and domestic output for most commodities. The volume of commodity imports derived on this basis is 6.1 billion dollars. (X II) An export balance of £ billion dollars, more than twice that prevailing in the twenties, has been assumed for 1950. After adjusting for the effects T able 10.— Imports and exports of merchandise, 1939 and estimated for 1950 fin millions] Exports ä Im ports 1 In d u stry 1959, estim ated in— 1950, estim ated in— 1939 1939 1950 prices 1939 prices 1950 prices 1939 prices ----------------------------- $6,112 $4,785 $2,827 $8,473 $6, 595 $3,205 Agriculture and fishing---------------------------------Food processing ____. ------------------- -----_ - --------- - ---------Ferrous m e ta ls - ____. . 869 1,780 52 564 1,410 41 337 824 22 Shipbuilding . ________________ A gricultural m a c h in e ry ---- ----- -------------Engines and turbines- ------- -_ ------- ----M otor vehicles-.. - ____________________ 5 2 6 4 2 5 2 1 2 1,317 644 406 19 13 172 30 599 854 510 317 14 8 134 23 465 415 248 154 7 4 65 n 226 145 179 87 22 387 301 97 278 178 19 313 228 72 218 136 9 152 111 35 106 66 Total, all industries---- Aire,raff. _ _ _ _ ________ ____ T ransportation equipm ent, no t elsewhere classifled. ------- --------------- - -------- -------Industrial and heating equipm ent ------- - - - M achine tools ________ - - - ---------- - --------- 3 18 3 2 15 2 1 8 1 Electrical equipm ent ______________________ Iron and steel, no t elsewhere classified------------- 12 19 10 14 5 8 Nonferrous m etals and th eir products --------N onm etallic minerals and their products -. Petroleum production and refining ---------Coal m ining an d m anufactured solid fuel ----- 712 108 83 9 52 304 57 14 331 63 40 5 27 161 35 8 389 162 998 175 321 123 860 140 156 60 418 68 Chem icals-------------- ----------------------------------Lum ber and tim ber p ro d u cts--------- -------------F u rn itu re and other m anufactures of wood------- 863 141 96 11 46 338 79 20 459 125 46 412 91 33 200 44 16 Wood pulp and paper ---------------------------------P rinting and publishing------ -------------------- -Textile-mill products ------------- -----------------A pparel a nd other finished textile p ro d u cts-----L eather and leath er p ro d u c ts.. ------- --------R u b b er____ - --------- - - ----------------All other m anufacturing----- . -- ----------- Í30 23 518 153 50 199 161 367 18 391 106 36 176 126 206 10 306 54 21 196 61 99 68 264 83 70 78 148 701 78 51 200 58 49 70 115 504 38 25 97 28 24 34 56 245 185 157 92 1 In m ost cases im ported commodities are allocated to th e domestic in d ustry producing similar com m odities rather th a n to th e in d u stry using them . T hus, new sprint is allocated to wood pulp and paper ra th e r th a n to printing and publishing. In a few specific cases this procedure has not been followed and im ports have been allocated to th e using in dustry. Silk, rubber, and coffee are the only im portant examples. T rade w ith Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico, and other noncontiguous territories has been treated as foreign commerce for this purpose. Im ports of m onetary gold and silver are excluded. 2 All entries are expressed a t producers’ prices plus transportation costs. T he entry for trade covers trade m argins on goods handled by export firms. _ T rade w ith Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico, and other non contiguous territories has been treated as foreign commerce for this purpose. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis oo 05 CHART 5 PHYSICAL VOLUME OF IMPORTS AND OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 1923 - 25=100 IN D E X IN D E X MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR BUREAU OF LA80R STATISTICS https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FULL EMPLOYMENT PATTERNS, 195 0 187 of certain service transactions, such as shipping and insurance, an estimate of 8.5 billion dollars for the 1950 volume of merchandise exports is obtained. Even when expressed in 1939 prices this is more than twice the 1939 export volume. IN V EN TO RIES (X III) A net inventory change of 2 billion dollars has been assumed. In the years 1922-29 inventories increased by about 1 billion dollars a year. Larger average annual increases would clearly be required to sustain the higher annual volume of production in the postwar years. Interindustry Relations If the preceding estimates of government demand, consumer de mand, and investment demand are added together industry by in dustry, we obtain the aggregate final demand for the products of each industry in 1950. For some industries, e. g., apparel and eating and drinking places, the 1950 demand of final purchasers will be substan tially equal to the output of the industry. For other industries— steel works and rolling mills, bituminous coal mines, and railroads— demand of final purchasers will constitute only a fraction of total output. Such industries produce goods and services primarily sold to other industries and not to final purchasers. Some method is required to estimate the output of raw materials, intermediate goods, and services required to satisfy the demand for finished products. Final demand for passenger cars, for example, implies a certain level of steel output. Somewhat more than 2 tons of ingot steel must be produced for one passenger car. Thus, 6 million passenger cars would require more than 12 million tons of ingot steel. Similarly, in 1939, 4 to 5 pounds of cotton were required for the average tire. But it would require 30 million tires and hence 300 thousand bales of cotton to satisfy the requirements for 6 million passenger cars (exclusive of cotton requirements for upholstery, etc.). If sufficient information were available on the material requirements for each of the different final products, it should be possible to work backward and so compute all the material requirements implied by a given level of demand for finished goods. The basis for computa tions of this character is provided by a study of interindustry relations in 1939 prepared in the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It shows the amount bought by each industry during that year from each of the other industries. (XIV) To the extent that material requirements per unit of output in 1950 will not be substantially different from those prevailing in 1939 (with certain obvious adjustments in some special cases), this study provides the basis for proceeding from demand by final purchasers to the output of raw materials and intermediate goods. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 188 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 The Deficiency in Demand If we can proceed from demand to output, we can, by use of the productivity and working hours assumptions previously made, pro ceed to estimate employment in each industry. The initial question we must ask is whether the resulting level of employment is equal to that with which we started. There is no logical reason why the initially assumed and finally derived employment totals should be equal. The estimates of final demand are based on a series of assumptions with respect to the scope of government activity, the pattern of consumer expenditure, and the level of investment activity. These assumptions may or may not be compatible with the existence of full employment. If they are not, the finally derived level of employment should be less than or greater than that initially assumed. For this reason, an employment gap is something more than a summation of statistical errors. Essen tially, it indicates the extent to which prewar consumption habits, the estimated volume of capital formation, and the assumed level of gov ernment operations are inconsistent with the achievement of full employment. The first column of table 11 summarizes the estimates of final de mand in 1950 made up to this point. The second column shows the comparable figures for 1939. The last two columns show the volume of employment required to satisfy this level of final demand. Thus, 1939 consumer demand amounted to 60.3 billion dollars and required the employment of 19.2 million persons. The most important result in the table is that, within the stated assumptions, the volume of em ployment required to satisfy the 1950 final demand (estimated pre viously) is 34.4 million, as compared with 39.1 million required if full employment is to be achieved (see p. 169). The assumed level of final demand is not high enough to give us full employment. One or more of the components of final demand must be increased if private nonagricultural enterprises are to furnish the required total of 39 million jobs to wage and salary workers. Furthermore, sufficient additional demand must be found to create almost as much employment as will be generated both on and off site by the entire volume of construction estimated for 1950. The difference of 4.7 million does not at first sight appear excessive. Even if we add to it the 2 million “frictionally” unemployed with which we started, 6.7 million unemployed, while considerably higher than most people would consider desirable, still might not appear completely intolerable as measured against the experience of the thirties. Actually, this gap is not a measure of the unemployment which would result if all the assumptions were in fact realized. A https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 189 FULL EM PLO Y M EN T PATTERNS, 1 9 5 0 T a b l e 11.— F in a l d e m a n d a n d e m p lo y m e n t, 1 9 3 9 a n d e s tim a te d f o r 1950 Final dem and (billions of 1939 dollars) Em ployees (millions) in private nonagricultural establishm ents T y p e of final dem and 1950, esti m ated 1939, actual 1950, esti m ated 1939, actual T o tal dem and______________________________ 128.4 81.2 34.4 26.4 C onsum ption _ ____________________ ____ Producers’ durable equipm ent __ ___________ O onstrilotion 1 _ _____________ ____________ Exports 2 __ ______ ___________ ________ Government, and miscellaneous 3__ __________ 89.8 9.5 14.9 6.8 7.4 60.3 4.6 10.1 3.3 2.9 23.4 2.8 4.7 1.7 1.3 .5 19.2 1.7 3.7 1.0 .4 .4 i G overnm ent and private, new and maintenance. s Includes certain service item s in addition to m erchandise exports a Includes governm ent nonconstruction purchases, consum ption expenditures of soldiers, and inventory chRn?6 , 4 includes an adjustm ent for certain industries no t included in the interin dustry relations stu d y as well as deductions for governm ent activities (such as the G overnm ent Prin tin g Office) classified with private enter prises. final demand of 128.4 billion dollars was derived on the assumption that only 2 million workers would be unemployed. The present results show that such a final demand actually implies 6.7 million unem ployed. A recalculation of the entire analysis starting with this unemployment would yield new results with lower total demand and greater unemployment. Repeating the process, we would eventually obtain initial and final figures which were in full agreement. There is little point in carrying this process through. I t is enough to discover that the institutional patterns incorporated in the analysis do not provide economic equilibrium at the desired full employment levels. This conclusion is, of course, based on a series of assumptions, some of which, as we have seen, are surrounded by a considerable area of doubt. There is no firm basis for forecasting the actual level of full employment consumer demand. The volume of capital equipment required to produce a full employment output cannot be accurately determined. Other important determinants are also subject to a greater or lesser error in estimation. Even with such statistical quali fications, however, the results seem to provide a firm base for this statement. The amount of investment activity which can reasonably be anticipated for 1950 does not appear to be sufficient to absorb the volume of savings to be anticipated under full employment conditions, if the prewar schedule of consumer preferences remains unchanged. This is by no means a trivial conclusion. Full employment in 1950 is not a foregone certainty. If full employment is to be achieved in 1950, the level of demand for either consumer goods or investment goods, or both, must be higher. Planning by business, labor, and gov ernment on the basis of prewar concepts of normalcy, may result in serious unemployment. 728607—47------ 3 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 190 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 In the immediate reconversion period, none of the assumptions which lead to this conclusion actually holds. Government expendi ture is at considerably higher levels than has been assumed; consumers are spending a higher percentage of their income than the prewar pattern would indicate; demand for producers’ durable equipment, new construction, exports, and inventories is reinforced by the shortages accumulated during the war years; productivity is at lower levels than have been assumed for 1950. The assumptions are likely to become increasingly realistic with the passage of time, however. Productivity will increase; the backlog demand of both business and consumers will eventually be satisfied; government expenditures will continue to decline. Unless some change not embodied in the given assumptions is introduced into the picture, the purely hypothetical results obtained may therefore ap proach reality. Whether an acute problem is likely to arise in 1947, 1950, or 1955 cannot be decided on the basis of the present analysis. It is a fair inference, nevertheless, that the present favorable levels of employment and production should not lead to complacency with respect to the future. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U n io n H e a lth a n d W elfare P la n s E N o t e .— The following two articles discuss different aspects of health and welfare plans for workers. The first article on collective bargaining developments in this field brings up to date information collected by the Bureau’s Industrial Relations Branch relative to numbers of workers and industries covered and the unions involved. It also notes several of the medical service plans entailing a health center and the recently established United Mine Workers’ program. The second article, written by Nathaniel M. Mink off, secretary-treas urer of the New York Dressmakers’ Joint Board, International Ladies’ Garment Workers’ Union (.AFL), treats principally of the experience of that organization with its own program and emphasizes some of the administrative problems which that union and all unions must encounter and solve. Sample provisions from a few contracts and a bibliography on the subject are appended to the first article. Both articles will be jointly reprinted. d i t o r ’s C o l l e c t i v e -B a r g a in in g D e v e l o p m e n t s i n H e a l t h a n d W e lfa r e P lans 1 o r k e r s covered by some type of health-benefit 2 plans negotiated by employer and union more than doubled in number since 1945, as revealed by recent estimates made by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. In 1945, some 600,000 workers were so included; at present (early 1947) approximately 1,250,000 are covered. Except for a few outstanding instances, including coal mining, the plans were negotiated by the same unions studied in the 1945 report, and are merely extensions of their programs.3 The principal industries in which a large proportion of workers (totaling approximately 1, 100 ,000 ) are covered by some type of W 1 Prepared in th e B ureau’s In d u strial R elations B ranch b y L ucy M . K ram er, w ith the assistance of Rose Theodore, u nder th e direction of Harold S. Roberts. 2 See H ealth-B enefit Program s Established Through Collective Bargaining, B ureau of L abor Statistics B ulletin N o. 841 (reprinted from M onthly Labor Review, A ugust 1945). 3 M ost of the plans described in the 1945 B ureau of Labor Statistics report have been negotiated b y the following unions: International Ladies’ G arm ent W orkers’ U nion (A FL ); Amalgam ated Clothing W orkers of America (C IO ); U nited H atters, Cap, a n d M illinery W orkers’ International U nion (A FL ); Textile W orkers’ U nion of America (C IO ); U nited Textile W orkers of America (A FL ); International F u r and L eather W orkers’ U nion of America (C IO ); U nited Electrical, Radio, and M achine W orkers of America (C IO ); U pholsterers’ International U nion of N o rth America (A FL ); U nited F u rn itu re W orkers of America (C IO ); Industrial U nion of M arine and Shipbuilding W orkers of America (C IO ); H otel and R estaurant Em ployees’ International Alliance and B artenders’ International League of America (A FL ); U nited Paperw orkers (C IO ); U nited R etail, Wholesale, and D ep artm en t Store Em ployees of America (C IO ); A m algam ated Association of Street, Electric R ailw ay, and M otor Coach Em ployees of America (A FL ). A dditional unions which have recently included health-benefit plans in their collective bargaining agree m ents are: B uilding Service Em ployees’ International U nion (A FL ); Progressive M ine W orkers (Inde pendent); U nited M ine W orkers (A FL); U nited Office and Professional W orkers (C IO ); B rotherhood of P ainters, D ecorators, and Paperhangers (A FL ); and U nited Association of Plum bers and Steam fitters A F L ). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 191 192 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW---- FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 health benefit plan are clothing (men’s and women’s), textiles, and coal mining. Other industries in which a part of the workers are covered (totaling over 100 ,000 ) are building trades; fur and leather; furniture; hotel; laundry, cleaning, and dyeing; machinery (particu larly electrical); office; paper; retail and wholesale trade; shipbuilding; and street and electric railway. Although extensive employee coverage is found at the present time in only three industries, there are an increasing number and variety of industries in which some proportion of the workers are covered. Types of Health Benefit Plans A D M IN ISTRA TIV E CONTROL In the Bureau’s 1945 study of health benefit plans established through collective bargaining agreements, it was found that there were three types of benefit plans—(1) those administered by the union solely, (2) plans administered jointly, and (3) programs ad ministered by a private insurance company wherein the employer pays the premium directly or into a special premium fund. Most of the plans studied were financed entirely by the employer. This was true of all union-administered plans, of almost all jointly ad ministered programs, and of more than half the plans administered by insurance companies. Most of the agreements stipulate a specific percentage of the em ployer’s pay roll (usually 2 or 3 percent) to be paid into the fund. If the contribution is not specified, the employer either defrays all expenses or supplements employee contributions as required. The health-benefit plans included weekly cash benefits during illness and disability caused by nonoccupational accidents, hospital and surgical expenses, and sometimes payment of doctor bills. In most cases dental care and preventive medicine were not usually included. UNIO N HEA LTH C EN TER S The first Union Health Center of the International Ladies’ Garment Workers’ Union (AFL) was established in 1912 in New York City, and still functions. In addition to furnishing medical care to garment workers at the Center, it inspects sick-benefit plans and serves as a health education center. It is concerned primarily with ambulatory cases—in the nature of a clinic. It does not offer service to the families, nor complete medical service to the members, and its financing varies with the craft.4 In addition to cash benefit payments, and clinical medical services, the program provides some preventive 4 H ealth Program of International Ladies’ G arm ent W orkers’ Union, b y L. Price, in M onthly Labor Review, O ctober 1939; T h e Em ployee’s View point on G roup H ospitalization and M edical Care, by A. H eld, A m erican M anagem ent Association (New Y ork, 1946, Insurance Pam phlet No. 65). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U N IO N H E A L T H AND WELFARE PLA N S 193 medical care. The eye conservation plan, which provides that every shop is to be visited and each worker examined, is unique.5 For 17 years the Center also provided dental care, but discontinued this service for organizational reasons. The New York Union Health Center, administered and financed to some extent jointly by labor and management, was not the result of collective bargaining originally. Similar health centers, however, have been established recently, through such negotiations, in Phila delphia, Fall River, Boston, and other smaller communities throughout the country .6 Furthermore, when the joint labor-management health programs were incorporated into collective agreements in the needle trades in recent years, the health center became the central agency for the administration of the health-benefit program. Until 1943 the New York Center was financed by local union contributions. Since the incorporation of health-benefit f unds (financed by employer contribution) into the agreements, however, a large part of the Center’s financial support has come from these funds. ST. LOUIS PLAN A recent health-benefit plan negotiated by the St. Louis Joint Council, United Retail, Wholesale, and Department Store Employees (CIO), referred to as the St. Louis Plan, is of interest in that a health institute was established, through employer contribution, which offers complete medical services. Every medical bill of members and their families, for service in the home, hospital, or clinic, is to be met by the St. Louis Labor Health Institute. The organizational plans as outlined in 1945 would open the institute not only to union members and their nonvoting families, but also to outsiders as nonvoting ap proved participants. This may result in a union health-benefit plan that will include many unions jointly in the St. Louis area. COAL M IN E R S’ W ELFARE FUNDS In coal mining, both anthracite and bituminous, the coal miners secured, as a result of negotiations in May and June 1946, provisions in their current agreements whereby about 450,000 miners (375,000 bituminous, 75,000 anthracite) in 3,000 mines in 23 States are to achieve a considerable measure of security through the operation of three welfare funds.7 « Social Welfare T hrough Collective Bargaining, by Julius H ochm an (1945), in Collective Bargaining Negotiations and Contracts (p. 13:101), B ureau of N ational Affairs, W ashington. « A. Held, op. cit. (p. 25); J. Hochman, op. cit. (p. 13:106); Bureau of Labor Statistics B ulletin No. 841, op. cit. (p. 15). 7 For a brief discussion of th e 1946 soft-coal negotiations and agreem ent, see T he Changm g S tatus of B itum inous Coal M iners, by W itt Bowden, M onthly Labor Review, A ugust 1946 (reprinted as B ulletin N o. 882). See also N ew York Times, June 27, 1946. T he provisions of the health and welfare program of the contract are given in detail on pp. 197-199 of this issue. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 194 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 In tlie soft-coal industry (Government operated), one fund, desig nated as a “welfare and retirement fund,” is to be raised by levying a tax of 5 cents on each ton of soft coal produced. It is to be admin istered by three trustees—one appointed by the U. S. Coal Mines Administrator, one by the union, and one jointly. A second fund, designated as a “medical and hospital fund,” is to be accumulated from wage deductions presently being checked off from miners’ wages, or authorized in the future by the union. This fund is to be turned over to the union, and is to be administered by trustees appointed by the president of the United Mine Workers of America (AFL). The agreement calls for cooperation between the trustees of the two funds. For the anthracite industry, a fund is to be raised similarly by a tax of 5 cents on each ton. This is a welfare and retirement fund, and is to be administered by three trustees—two to be appointed by the president of the United Mine Workers and one by the operators. The technique of levying a tax on coal produced for the establish ment and maintenance of a welfare fund is one that has been in exist ence in countries other than the United States for a number of years: Great Britain has had such a practice since 1920, New Zealand since 1925, the Netherlands since 1936, and British India and Spain more recently.8 Current Interest in Welfare Negotiations Some voluntary prepaid medical-care plans,9 entirely employersponsored or sponsored entirely by unions (as consumers), were in existence for many years prior to World War II—in at least one outstanding case such a plan was included in an agreement as a result of an arbitration award as far back as 1926.10 It was during the recent war period, however, that the inclusion of health-benefit plans in union agreements gained headway. Whether it was the national wage stabilization policy primarily which encouraged health and welfare benefits in lieu of wage increases * Welfare Provisions for M iners in Six Foreign Countries, M onthly Labor Review, June 1946. « V oluntary prepaid medical-care plans m ay be classified, according to M argaret C. Klein, Chief of the M edical Economics Section of th e Social Security A dm inistration, into six types: industrial, medicalsociety, or consumer-sponsored plans, private group clinics, G overnm ent plans, and Farm Security A dm inistration plans. Indu strial plans, those established in connection w ith industry, and consumer-sponsored plans estab lished b y labor organizations, are the two types pertin en t to the current analysis. Industrial plans include those initiated by the employer alone, as well as plans p u t into effect b y col lective bargaining. Of the 115 industrial medical-care plans studied in 1945 by M argaret C. K lein, in 19 the costs wore borne entirely by the employer, in 49 entirely b y employee pay-roll deduction, and in 47 b y the two jointly. (P repaym ent M edical Care Organizations, Social Security Board, W ashington, 1945, B ureau M emo. No. 55, p. 4.) 10 In 1926, the A m algam ated Association of Street and Electric R ailw ay employees secured from the Chicago R apid T ran sit Co. a clause requiring the latter to bear the entire sickness and life insurance for its employees. (Beneficial A ctivities of American Trade-U nions, Bureau of L abor Statistics B ulletin N o. 465, 1928, p. 31.) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U N IO N H E A L T H AND WELFARE PLA N S 195 during this period, or the necessity to maintain and increase war time production by reducing the loss of man-hours caused by illness, or the heightened social awareness of the need for security for the wage earner, the fact remains that at the present time an increasing number of unions have such health and welfare clauses in their contracts, or have indicated their desire to negotiate for such provisions. The potential role of health and welfare plans in collective bargain ing was apparent in the last convention of the American Federation of Labor, held in Chicago in October 1946, when President Green, in his keynote speech, stated: I say to you * * * that that objective [the creation of welfare funds] will now be the objective of organizations affiliated with the American Federation of Labor; we must establish in this Nation security in every condition of life old age, illness, and infirmity—and in addition w’e must provide hospitalization and nursing facilities and medical care for every man and woman in the United States.11 The Congress of Industrial Organizations, at its recent convention held in Atlantic City in November 1946, adopted a broad resolution on various aspects of security through collective bargaining, which concluded: The CIO intends immediately to develop a broad program so that workers may be given a rounded protection in their living standards through collective bargaining contracts providing for adequate pension plans, health insurance plans, group hospitalization plans, and the guaranteed minimum annual wage.12 Current demands for inclusion of employee welfare clauses in union agreements are recognized by management. Research services used largely by employers 13 each have devoted considerable space in their current loose-leaf publications on labor relations to employee welfare and health-benefit plans in collective bargaining—the techniques of bargaining, the types of plans, the coverage, etc .14 The March 1946 conference of the American Management Associa tion devoted time to trends in employee benefits, and heard a detailed report by Adolph Held, International Ladies’ Garment Workers’ Union official, on the Employee’s Viewpoint on Group Hospitalization and Medical Care,15 based on his experience as director of the Inter11 R eport of Proceedings of the Sixty-fifth C onvention of the A merican Federation of Labor, for October 7-17,1946 (p. 12). 12 See Resolution N o. 34, in D aily Proceedings of the E ig h th C onstitutional Convention of the C on gress of In d u strial O rganizations, for N ovem ber 20,1946 (p. 6). is See services of Research In s titu te of America (New York); B ureau of N ational Affairs (W ashington); Prentice-H all (New York). u T h e R IA L abor Coordinator (Vol. 2, p. 38,005) in its Em ployee Welfare section, rem inds m anagem ent th a t “employee welfare plans are no longer fringe issues. You m u st be prepared w hen union dem ands are m ade. W h at factors do you have to consider in evaluating a plan? Do you know the union argum ents in favor of these plans, and, w h a t’s more, do you know th e answers? C an you include your nonunion employees in a plan th e union w ants, and how is this done?” See also footnote 5. it Trends in W orkm en’s Compensation and Em ployee Benefits, A merican M anagem ent Association, N ew Y ork, 1946 (Insurance Series N o. 65). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 196 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW----FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 national Ladies’ Garment Workers’ Union Welfare and Health Benefits Department. At the recent meeting of the American Medical Association on industrial health, held in Boston, a panel discussion was devoted to New Horizons in Industrial Health and Welfare, in which healthbenefit plans played a large part, particularly those achieved through collective bargaining.16 The American Medical Association, in its November 30, 1946, issue of the Journal, devoted to industrial health, editorializes as follows: In spite of impending legislation, health and welfare are likely to be important factors in future collective bargaining. Labor may ask for greater direct partic ipation not only in industrial medical service but in plans for general medical care. Both the Council on Industrial Health and the Council on Medical Service [of the Association] have been actively concerned with the medical implications in the coal-mine wage agreement and the probable extension of similar contracts to other occupational groups. Herein lie many opportunities for constructive medical leadership.17 Outlook for Health Benefit Plans There is no doubt, from past practice and current statements of unions, from recent management concern with welfare funds and their bargaining importance, from recent interest of the medical profession in the role of labor and management in industrial health, from the general interest of a considerable portion of the public in the Nation’s health ,18 that welfare funds and health benefits will play an increas ingly important role in future contract negotiations. The increasing importance of welfare funds is generally accepted. However, the trend in financing such funds is not so clearly defined as to the relation of the employer-to-employee-contribution. The establishment and extension of welfare funds through employer con tributions were given impetus during the war years. In many instances, these payments were made in lieu of wage increases,19 and employers generally assumed full financial responsibility. Postwar conditions may put a new emphasis, not so much on welfare funds, but on their financing. With the elimination of the wage stabilization policy, with an increased labor force, and with the modification in tax exemption, the question which may receive greater 18 See Journal of American M edical Association, N ovem ber 30, 1916, for complete texts of the papers read by R ear A dm iral Joel T . Boone on In d u strial H ealth; A ndrew Fletcher, of the Industrial Hygiene F o u n d a tion, on M anagem ent in M edical Plans; Boris Stern, of th e U. S. B ureau of Labor Statistics, on L abor and M anagem ent a t th e Conference Table. 11 Idem, p. 788. 18 W itness the wide interest in the M urray-W agner-D ingell national health bill in the last Congress, and the activities of individuals and organizations interested in a Government-sponsored health-insurance program. 19 See T he A dm inistration, U nder Collective Bargaining, of Welfare Plans Based on E m ployer C ontri butions, b y D avid J. Farber, U . S. N ational Wage Stabilization Board, W ashington, 1946. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U N IO N H E A L T H AND WELFARE PLANS 197 attention in future negotiations may be the relative proportions in employer-employee contributions to welfare funds. Sample Welfare Clauses in Specific Agreements PH IL A D ELPH IA B ED D IN G M ANUFACTURERS’ ASSOCIATION AND U PH O LSTER ERS’ IN T ER N A T IO N A L UNIO N OF N O RTH AM ERICA (AFL) The employer hereby agrees to pay to the Upholsters’ International Union Social Security Department, each and every month, in advance, between the first and fifth day of every month, beginning w ith -------------- 19__; a sum equal ing 3 percent of the gross wages earned by his employee-members of this union. The said sum of 3 percent shall be calculated on the basis of the total aggregate wages earned by said erfrployee-members during the pay periods of 4 or 5 weeks, terminating during the preceding calendar month. The above described sum of 3 percent shall be paid by the employer as a con tribution to the Social Security Fund of the Upholsterers’ International Union of North America above described. In consideration for the payment of said contribution, the union agrees to extend, beginning the same date the employer’s first contribution is due as set forth in the preceding paragraph, the benefits of said fund to said employee-members, in accordance with the rules and bylaws under which said fund is administered, and in accordance with the general laws of the International. The union has contracted or will contract for the issuance of a blanket-coverage insurance policy or policies to provide for the payment of the various benefits as therein provided; a policy now being in force with t h e -------------------- Co. I t is agreed th at the premiums for the maintenance of a group policy or policies on behalf of the employee-members shall be paid out of the periodic contributions paid by the employer as above described. The rights and duties of all parties, including the union, the employer, and the employee-members, shall be governed by the provisions of said blanket coverage policy. The union agrees th at the program of social security benefits hereinabove described shall be maintained in full force and effect for the entire period of time during which this supplemental agreement is in effect and the terms hereof fully complied with in all respects by the employer. The 3 percent contribution of the employer to the social security plan is not to be increased during the life of this agreement; if the cost to the union is de creased, then the contribution by the employer is to be reduced by an equivalent amount. Two-thirds of the entire contribution is to go toward the payment of accident and health insurance covered by the provisions of said policy, and the remaining one-third of the entire contribution goes toward the payment of death benefits as provided by the Social Security Department of the union and for the administrative expenses of said department. U. S. COAL M IN ES A D M IN ISTRA TOR AND U N IT E D M IN E W ORKERS OF AM ERICA (AFL) [Bituminous-coal mines] Health and welfare program There is hereby provided a health and welfare program in broad outline—and it is recognized th at many important details remain to be filled in—such program to consist of three parts, as follows: (a) A welfare and retirement fu n d .—A welfare and retirement fund is hereby created, and there shall be paid into said fufid by the operating managers 5 cents per ton on each ton of coal produced for use or for sale. This fund shall be https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 198 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 managed by three trustees, one appointed by the Coal Mines Administrator, one appointed by the president of the United Mine Workers, and the third chosen by the other two. The fund shall be used for making payments to miners, and their dependents and survivors, with respect to (1) wage loss not otherwise compensated at all or adequately under the provisions of Federal or State law and resulting from sickness (temporary disability), permanent disability, death, or retirement, and (2) other related welfare purposes, as determined by the trustees. Subject to the stated purposes of the fund, the trustees shall have full authority with respect to questions of coverage and eligibility, priorities among classes of benefits, amounts of benefits, methods of providing or arranging for provision of benefits, and all related matters. The Coal Mines Administrator will instruct the operating managers that the obligation to make payments to the welfare and retirement fund becomes effective with reference to coal produced on and after June 1, 1946; the first actual payment is to be made on A.ugust 15, 1946, covering the period from June 1 to July 15; the second payment to be made on September 15, covering the period from July 15 to August 31; and thereafter payments are to be made on the 15th day of each month covering the preceding month. (b) A medical and hospital fund.—There shall be created a medical and hospital fund, to be administered by trustees appointed by the president of the United Mine Workers. This fund shall be accumulated from the wage deductions presently being made and such as may hereafter be authorized by the union and its members for medical, hospital, and related purposes. The trustees shall administer this fund to provide, or to arrange, for the availability of medical, hospital, and related services for the miners and their dependents. The money in this fund shall be used for the indicated purposes at the discretion of the trustees of the fund; and the trustees shall provide for such regional or local variations and adjustments in wage deductions, benefits and other practices, and transfers of funds to local unions, as may be necessary and as are in accordance with agree ments made within the framework of the union’s organization. The Coal Mines Administrator agrees (after the trustees make arrangements satisfactory to the Coal Mines Administrator) to direct each operating manager to turn over to this fund, or to such local unions as the trustees of the fund may direct, all such wage deductions, beginning with a stated date to be agreed upon by the Administrator and the president of the United Mine Workers: Provided, however, that the United Mine Workers shall first obtain the consent of the affected employees to such turn-over. The Coal Mines Administrator will cooper ate fully with the United Mine Workers to the end that there may be terminated as rapidly as may be practicable any existing agreements that earmark the ex penditure of such wage deductions, except as the continuation of such agreements may be approved by the trustees of the fund. Present practices with respect to wage deductions and their use for provision of medical, hospital, and related services shall continue until such date or dates as may be agreed upon by the Coal Mines Administrator and the president of the United Mine Workers. (c) Coordination of the welfare and retirement fund and the medical and hospital fund.—The Coal Mines Administrator and the United Mine Workers agree to use their good offices to assure that trustees of the two funds described above will cooperate in and coordinate the development of policies and working agreements necessary for the effective operation of each fund toward achieving the result that each fund will, to the maximum degree practicable, operate to complement the other. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U N IO N H E A L T H AND WELFARE PLA N S 199 Survey of medical and sanitary facilities The Coal Mines Administrator undertakes to have made a comprehensive survey and study of the hospital and medical facilities, medical treatment, sani tary, and housing conditions in the coal-mining areas. The purpose of this survey will be to determine the character and scope of improvements which should be made to provide the mine workers of the Nation with medical, housing, and sani tary facilities conforming to recognized American standards. STANDARD CO NTRACT: M E N ’S AND BOYS’ CLO TH ING M ANUFACTURERS AND AMALGAMATED C LOTHING W ORKERS OF AM ERICA (CIO) Commencing on the pay day for the week of December 10, 1945, and weekly thereafter, the employer shall pay to the trustees (hereinafter called the trustees) designated under a new agreement and declaration of trust dated as of December 10, 1945 (a copy of which said new agreement and declaration of trust dated as of December 10, 1945, has been exhibited to the employer and approved by the em ployer) the terms and provisions of which new agreement and declaration of trust are herein specifically incorporated by reference, sums of money determined as follows: (a) Two percent of the wages payable for the preceding pay period to all the employees of the employer, plus (b) Three percent of the wrages payable for the preceding pay period to those employees of the employer who are members of the union. All of the foregoing sums shall be administered and expended by the trustees pur suant to the provisions of the said new agreement and declaration of trust (dated as of December 10, 1945) for the purpose of providing benefits upon their retire ment because of old-age, and life, accident and health insurance, and such other forms of group insurance for medical care and hospitalization as the trustees may reasonably determine, to members of the union employed by the employer, and members of the union employed by other employers who are members of the group embraced within the general plan in the men’s and boys’ clothing industry. The employer shall furnish to the trustees, upon request, such information and reports as they may require in the performance of their duties under any of the agreements and declarations of trust. The trustees, or any authorized agent or representative of the trustees, shall have the right at all reasonable times during business hours to enter upon the premises of the employer and to examine and copy such of the books, records, papers, and reports of the employer as may be necessary to permit the trustees to determine whether the employer is fully com plying with the provisions of paragraph 3 [above]. No employee shall have the option to receive instead of the benefits provided for by any of the agreements and declarations of trust any part of the contribution of the employer. No employee shall have the right to assign any benefits to which he may be or become entitled under any of the agreements and declarations of trust or to receive a cash consideration in lieu of such benefits either upon termi nation of the trust therein created, or through severance of employment or other wise. In the event that the union receives written notice from one or more of the trustees, designated by the trustees for that purpose, that the employer has failed to pay in full any sum due the trustees under paragraph 3 and that such failure has continued for 5 days, the union may direct its members to discontinue work in the plant of the employer and to discontinue work upon clothing being manufactured for the employer by contractors until all sums due from the employer https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 200 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW----FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 under paragraph 3 above have been paid in full. The remedy provided for in this subparagraph shall be in addition to all other remedies available to the union and the trustees and may be exercised by the union, anything in the collective bargaining agreement to the contrary notwithstanding. The trustees, in their own names as trustees, may institute or intervene in any proceeding at law, in equity, or in bankruptcy for the purpose of effectuating the collection of any sums due to them from the employer under the provisions of paragraph 3. In the event that legislation is enacted by the Federal Government levying a tax or other exaction upon the employer for the purpose of establishing a federally administered system of life, health, accident, medical care, or hospitalization insurance under which the employees of the employer are insured, the employer shall be credited against the sums payable under paragraph 3 for each pay period, with the amount of such tax or exaction, payable by him for such pay period, provided th at the amount of such credit shall in no event exceed 2 percent of the wages payable to the employees of the employer for such pay period. ATLA NTIC COTTON FE L T CO., NEW ARK, N. J „ AND U N IT E D FU R N IT U R E W ORKERS OF AM ERICA (CIO) The employer hereby agrees, as long as this agreement remains in force, to contribute monthly on or before t h e _________ day of each month, commencing with the effective date of this agreement t o _____________ as trustees of United Furniture Workers Insurance Fund, a sum equal to 3 percent of the previous month’s production pay roll, to be used by said trustees for the sole benefits of the employees covered by this agreement for the purchase of group life insurance, group accidental death and dismemberment insurance, group accident and health insurance, hospitalization insurance, and group surgical insurance, in accordance with the schedule of such respective forms of insurance attached hereto entitled "Schedule of Amounts of Insurance.” It is further understood and agreed that these contributions to the above-mentioned trustees will be held and managed by them under the terms of a trust agreement drawn between the union and said trustees. (It is further understood and agreed that the employer shall be under no obligation to see to the application of moneys paid to the trustees pursuant to this paragraph for the purposes and uses above mentioned; but the union, nevertheless, agrees to render reports at regular intervals to the employer respecting application of the moneys received and benefits paid.) The employer agrees to make available to the union or the trustees abovenamed any and all records of employees hired, classifications of employees, names, social security numbers and amount of wages paid, and social security pay roll records, that the union or the trustees may require in connection with the sound and efficient operation of the trust fund above mentioned, or that may be required by the insurance companies covering the employee. Selected L ist of References A m e r ic a n F e d e r a t io n o f L a b o r . Health-Benefit Plans by Collective Bargaining. Collective Bargaining Series No. 1. (901 Massachusetts Ave. NW., Washington 1, D. C.) May 1946. A m e r ic a n M a n a g e m e n t A s s o c ia t io n . Trends in Workmen’s Compensation and Employee Benefits. Series No. 65. (330 West 42d St., New York, N. Y.) 1946. Insurance A m e r ic a n M e d ic a l A s s o c ia t io n . Journal of the American Medical Association, November 30, 1946. N. Dearborn St., Chicago 10, 111.) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (535 U N IO N F e d e r a t io n of H E A L T H 201 A N D W ELFARE PL A N S D y e r s , F in is h e r s , P r in t e r s and B leachers of A m e r ic a (TWUA-CIO). t Health Insurance in the Textile Dyeing, Finishing, and Printing Industry. (18 Church St., Paterson 1, N. J.) May 1945. I n t e r - U n io n I n s t it u t e f o r L a b o r a n d D e m o c r a c y . Royalties, Taxes and Assessments. Labor and Nation, August 1945, Part Two. (112 East 19 St., New York 3, N. Y.) N a t io n a l W a g e S t a b il iz a t io n B o a r d . The Administration, Under Collective Bargaining, of Welfare Plans Based on Employer Contributions. By D. J. Farber. September 1946. P r in c e t o n U n iv e r s it y , I n d u s t r ia l R e l a t io n s S e c t io n . Group Health Insurance and Sickness Benefit Plans in Collective Bargaining. By Helen Baker and Dorothy Dahl. 1945. Sickness Benefits and Group Purchase of Medical Care for Industrial Em ployees. By Dorothy Dahl. October 1944. S a n F r a n c is c o E m p l o y e r s C o u n c il . Information on Voluntary Health Insurance. cisco, Calif.) June 1946. (114 Sansome St., San Fran S o c ia l S e c u r it y B o a r d , B u r e a u o f R e s e a r c h a n d S t a t is t ic s . Prepayment Medical Care Organizations. By Margaret C. Klem. Bureau Memorandum No. 55. June 1945. S t e r n , B e r n h a r d J. Medicine in Industry. (The Commonwealth Fund, New York, N. Y.) 1946. U . S. D e p a r t m e n t o f L a b o r , B u r e a u o f L a b o r S t a t is t ic s . Health-Benefit Programs Established Through Collective Bargaining. Bul letin No. 841. 1945. (Reprinted from Monthly Labor Review, August 1945.) Health Program of ILGWU. By Leo Price, M. D. (In Monthly Labor Review, October 1939.) Welfare Provisions for Miners in Six Foreign Countries. (In Monthly Labor Review, June 1946.) T r a d e -U n io n W e l f a r e P r o g r a m s 1 By N athaniel M. M ink off , Secretary-Treasurer, Joint Board Dressmakers' Union, International Ladies' Garment Workers' Union Development of the Movement G r o w in g p r e o c c u p a t io n o f u n io n s w it h h e a lt h a n d w e lfa r e p r o g r a m s is n o t a n e w d e p a r tu r e in la b o r p o lic y ; th is p r e o c c u p a tio n d a te s b a c k to th e e a r ly d a y s o f tr a d e -u n io n is m in th is c o u n tr y . The first organizations of workers in the United States, as in Great Britain, were generally mutual aid associations, such as loan, sick benefit, or burial societies. Overt organization for collective bargain ing was still forbidden by law, and these mutual aid groups, almost from the start, assumed what today would be called “industrial i This article deals prim arily w ith the experience of the New York Dress Joint Board of the International Ladies G arm ent W orkers’ Union. T he views expressed are those of the author and are no t necessarily shared by the Bureau. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 202 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 functions,” in addition to the narrower tasks of providing the mutual aid for which they were ostensibly formed. It was these mutual aid groups which initiated the modern labor movement, and from them the trade-unions of today have derived the habit of referring frater nally to members as brothers and sisters, as well as some of the ceremonials and rituals of initiation and procedure. With time and favoring circumstance, the essentially industrial character of these organizations became explicit. The Philadelphia Typographical Society, for instance, organized in 1802, was incor porated in 1810 as a benevolent society. In 1833 it gave way to the Philadelphia Typographical Society whose “primary and paramount intention” was “the determination and support of adequate wages for journeymen printers.” The Pennsylvania Society of Journey men Cabinetmakers of Philadelphia (1806) was likewise formed for purely benevolent purposes. In 1829, the society constitutionally established itself “as a criterion for workmen to endeavor to settle all disputes arising between them and their employers.” The Brother hood of Locomotive Firemen and Enginemen was formed as late as 1873 as a benevolent society, and it was not until 12 years later that it assumed its role as a labor union. The Iron Molders’ Union, established in 1859, operated an extensive benefit system before it assumed industrial functions. Curiously enough, all benefits were suspended by this union in 1880 on the ground that such features interfered with the industrial tasks of the organization. After a decade, however, the welfare program was resumed. Other groups, organized in later years as labor unions in the modern sense, soon expanded their activities to include welfare programs. The Barbers’ Union, set up in 1887, initiated its benefit program in 1893. The Tobacco Workers, organized in 1895, established its sick benefit program in 1896. The Plumbers’ Union (1889) established its benefits in 1903. In one way or another, welfare and mutual aid programs became a recognized feature of American trade-unionism and helped greatly to give it a much needed stability in its early days. By the end of the First World War, however, trade-union welfare activities were definitely on the decline. The attitude of the top most labor leadership was troubled and unfriendly. In 1930, Matthew Woll stated: Benefit systems, where they are still in operation, are a constant source of trouble. They are encountering all of the troubles that beset unscientific insti tutions. Their assessments must be raised constantly to meet rising ages, and increases of assessments are always resented. All manner of complications result. * * * Few union operations are today productive of as much woe and uncertainty as the benefit systems that remain in operation.2 2 W hy Trade-U nion G roup Insurance R ath er T h an a Benefit Plan? graver, A pril 1930.) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (In T he American Photo-E n U N IO N H E A L T H AND WELFARE PLA N S 203 Daniel J. Tobin, president of the Teamsters’ Union, said very much the same thing in recent years: Our advice to local unions is to keep away from the sick benefit and from the unemployment benefit as much as possible. * * * Local unions should not overload themselves with liabilities during these prosperous days. Build up your treasuries. Remember there are lean years ahead of us.3 Welfare programs had come to be regarded as of little importance when, in the early 1930’s, union leaders, in launching their campaign to organize the mass-production industries, found to their dismay that in many instances workers were reluctant to join bona fide unions because their own “ company unions” were providing them with various forms of health and welfare benefits and recreational facilities which the bona fide unions could not match. Hence, those unions which succeeded in organizing mass-production industries had to promise their newly organized members, in addition to increased earnings and shorter hours, the continuation of the welfare features to which they had become accustomed. Thus, a number of labor unions unexpectedly and sometimes unwillingly undertook social welfare programs quite out of line with their general outlook. Stimulus Under Little Steel Formula At this point a basic change in the nature of “ union welfare pro grams” took place. Hitherto, the term implied plans financed by the workers themselves, through regular payments 01 assessments; henceforth it was to mean funds and programs financed—in part at least—by the employers, in accordance with an understanding reached through collective bargaining and often embodied in the col lective agreement. The limitation of wage increases during World War II under the Little Steel Formula greatly promoted this develop ment. Beyond the 15 percent increase above January 1941 levels authorized for direct wage increases, it was possible to obtain indirect increases in the form of “ fringe adjustments” including employerfinanced health, welfare, and vacation plans. As E. E. Witte, of the National War Labor Board, explained: It is clear from all these cases that the Board will not normally order an em ployer to institute a group insurance plan or direct the liberalization of a plan in existence. Each case, however, will be judged on its own facts, and where it is clearly necessary in the interests of a fair and equitable disposition of the dispute to require the employer to institute or liberalize a group insurance plan, the Board will so direct.4 Under the pressure of the war, and in view of the high profits which industry was earning, management was not averse to this directive. 3 International Team ster, A pril 1944. * D aily R eport on Labor-M anagem ent Problem s, N o. 76 (Bureau of N ational Affairs), A pril 13, 1945, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 204 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW---- FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 As a result, union welfare programs were initiated in many segments of the trade-union movement. Present-Day Types of Programs The type of welfare program in operation today varies with the circumstances in the particular industry or locality in which it func tions. In some instances—for example, the erstwhile Kaiser ship building enterprise on the West Coast—the program is financed entirely by deductions from the workers’ earnings, but is managed exclusively by the company. The Endicott Johnson Co. of Bing hamton, N. Y., has a different approach: It not only assumes the entire administration of the plan, but also furnishes all the finances as well. A third type is that maintained by the Consolidated Edison Co. of New York, whereby the program is financed by contributions from both the employees and the employer, although administration is the exclusive prerogative of the company. The fourth kind—which will be discussed here in detail—is that of the International Ladies’ Garment Workers’ Union local unions. Here the programs are financed entirely by management, but the day-to-day administration is left to the union, subject to review of a council on which the em ployers are represented. Ladies* Garment Workers* Health and Welfare Programs History.—The International Ladies’ Garment Workers’ Union entered the field of welfare programs soon after the historic cloakmakers’ strike of 1910. Several local unions, notably Pressers’ Local 35 and Cloak Tailors’ Local 9, both of New York City, estab lished tuberculosis benefit funds, to which each member contributed a dollar a year. Workers found suffering from tuberculosis were eligible to a cash benefit of $ 100 , or a sojourn in the country for a minimum period of 10 weeks at the full expense of the union. Not so long ago, it will be recalled, the needle trades constituted a thoroughly sweated industry, giving rise to the term “sweatshop”. Not much attention was paid to the plight of the workers except by the weak and struggling unions (which, single-handedly, were unable to do much), and by a few reformers. Most of the garment factories in New York City were located in the tenement slums of the East Side; building piled upon building without vacant space for admitting sunshine, light, or air. Sanitary facilities were lacking. The long hours of employment and low wages compelled many workers to use the factory as a lodging. Employers did not object to this arrange ment, because it saved them the expense of a watchman. There were no factory laws to observe. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis UNION HEALTH AND WELFARE PLANS 205 Under these conditions, it was inevitable that tuberculosis should become the chief occupational disease in the garment industry. Such an environment also led to one of the most disastrous industrial catastrophes known in our country, wherein 147 young women workers lost their lives in a fire which broke out in the Triangle Waist Shop in March 1911. It was definitely established, at the criminal trial which followed, that the owners had the factory doors (including those leading to the fire escapes) locked during working hours. These startling facts came to light as a result of an industry-wide investigation conducted by the United States Public Health Service in 1912 in cooperation with the Joint Board of Sanitary Control. This unique institution came into being as a result of the signing of the “protocol of peace/’ which followed the prolonged and bitter general strike of the coat and suit makers of New York in 1910. Its main objectives were the elimination of dreaded sweatshop conditions and of fire hazards. Louis D. Brandeis, Louis Marshall, and Hamilton Holt were the chief architects of this idea. The Board was originally administered by representatives of the employers, the workers, and the public, the latter consisting of Dr. William J. Schieffelin, Lillian D. Wald, and Dr. Henry Moskowitz. Its medical director, the late Dr. George M. Price, succeeded several years thereafter in interesting the parties not only in the maintenance and observance of more desirable working conditions, but also in the improvement of the health of the workers. UNIO N H EA LTH C EN TE R Thus, from a small beginning involving only a few thousand workers, a huge institution today, known as the Union Health Center,5 was created. It is owned and operated on a nonprofit basis by the ILGWU. Housed at present in its own modern, fireproof 27-story building, it is serving the needs of the 150,000 ILGWU members located in the New York area. In 1945, it rendered no less than 164,636 medical services to 28,056 patients. During the same year, it handled a total of 11,881 disability cases, to whom it rendered 24,652 services. The institution is at present under the diiectorsliip of Dr. Leo Price, son of the founder and first administrator of the Center. It has a medical staff of about 100 , with a lay staff of over 150. From the public health standpoint, the Union Health Center is unique. It was the first institution of its kind in the country, and its director is frequently called into consultation by government bureaus and other agencies interested in public health problems. s See M onthly Labor Review, October 1939 (p. 811), for description of th e IL Q W U health program . 7286 0 7 — 47 ------ 4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 206 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 GROW TH OF PROGRAM In the years that followed, local unions of the ILGWU began to inaugurate first a tuberculosis benefit fund and later a limited form of sickness insurance. Both of these benefits were financed by a 35 -cent monthly stamp paid by the workers. The actual amount of benefits varied, but the high point was reached in the payment of $150 to tubercular members and a weekly sick benefit of $7 for a period of 8 to 10 weeks. At the present time, the great majority of the ILGWU’s 350,000 members, distributed in 420 separate local unions in 275 communities in 35 States and Canada, enjoy some form of health and welfare benefit. New York Dress Joint Board The largest single unit in this integrated union welfare program of the ILGWU is the New York Dress Joint Board, which includes three local unions (22, 60, and 89), with a membership of approximately 60,000. (Cutters Local 10 , though part of the Joint Board, is for the present not participating in the program.) When the collective agreement between the Dress Joint Board and the employers’ associations in the New York dress industry was re newed on May 6 , 1944, a new clause was included providing for a 3 K-percent pay roll contribution by the employers to maintain a health and welfare program. The funds, according to the terms of the agreement, “ shall be used exclusively for the members of the union and for the payment of the operating and administrative expenses thereof.” “ The health fund,” by further provision of the agreement, “ shall be administered by the Joint Board, and the Joint Board shall de termine what proportionate amount of the health fund shall be al located for health benefit and what proportionate amount shall be allocated for vacation benefit. With respect to health benefits, the parties hereby create a council consisting of two representatives of the Affiliated Association, two of the National Association, and two of the Popular Association, and six representatives of the Joint Board of the Dress and Waistmakers’ Union, which shall be presided over by the Impartial Chairman. The council shall have the right to determine the types and amounts of health benefits which the mem bers of the union shall receive and which, however, shall not exceed the total amount allocated by the union for health benefit. The Joint Board shall file with the council any rules and regulations relating to health benefits which it may adopt, and amendments which it may make thereto, and shall report periodically to the council the accom plishments of the health fund with respect to health and vacation https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis UNION HEALTH AND WELFARE PLANS 207 benefits. With respect to vacation benefits, the parties agree that the Joint Board shall have the right to adopt rules and regulations in connection therewith and to establish the eligibility of members of the union for benefits and the amounts of benefits to be paid them.” TY P E S OF B E N E F IT S PA ID BY T H E BOARD Benefits currently paid by the New York Dress Joint Board are as follows: (1) Cash benefit.—Members who are ill and unable to work are entitled to a cash benefit of $15 a week for a period of 10 weeks each calendar year. It is paid upon certification by the medical depart ment of the union (Union Health Center), and continues as long as the member is unable to work, up to 10 weeks. (2) Hospitalization.—Members are entitled to a benefit of $5 per day for each day of hospitalization up to 60 days in any calendar year. (3 ) Surgery benefit.—The union pays every member undergoing a surgical operation a sum varying from $10 to $50, depending upon the nature of the operation. (4 ) Medical credits.—In addition to all the above benefits, every member of the union is entitled to $25-a-year medical service at the Union Health Center for general medical examination, special labora tory tests, or X-ray. (5 ) Maternity assistance.—A $50 maternity benefit is paid members upon presentation of a board of health birth certificate. The plan is being enlarged to include stillbirths, etc. (6 ) Eye conservation program.—Every member is entitled to free and unlimited eye treatment and to free eyeglasses. (7) Tuberculosis benefit.—Members who are found to have tubercu losis are sent, at the expense of the fund, to any one of the many tuberculosis sanitariums with which it is affiliated, and are kept there until their health is fully restored. Those desiring to withdraw from membership and take care of their health independently of the fund’s provisions are allowed a cash settlement of $250. The obvious difference in cost between an unlimited stay in a recognized health institution with all costs (including regular sick benefit and personal expenses) paid by the fund, and the alternative of $250 allowed a sick member who undertakes his own cure, is intended to deter mem bers from asking for cash settlements and to encourage them to enter an institution where the chances for the arrest of the illness and its ultimate cure are so much better. (8 ) Vacation benefit.—Every member of the union, employed or available for employment in the industry, is entitled to a cash vacation benefit ranging from $33 to $48, depending upon the particular craft of the worker. This sum is payable on the first of June of each year. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 208 M O N T H L Y L A B O R R E V IE W --- F E B R U A R Y 194 7 (9) Death benefit.—In addition to the $150 lump-sum death benefit paid by the home office of the ILGWU, for which the individual member pays $1 a year, most of the local unions pay an additional $150 without any contribution from the members. Death benefits, it should be noted, are not financed from the Joint Board Health Fund, but by the members’ contributions supplemented by the local treasuries. COST OF BOARD’S H EA LTH AND W ELFA RE PROGRAM The size and scope of the New York Dress Joint Board health and welfare system are indicated by the payment, during the first 8 months of 1946, of over $600,000 for seven kinds of health benefits (as shown by the following table) and of more than 2 million dollars in vacation benefits in 1946. C o m p a r a tiv e a m o u n t o j h ealth ben efits p a i d d u r in g f i r s t 8 m on th s o f 1 9 4 5 a n d 1 9 4 6 F irst 8 m onths Increase T ype of benefit T otal am ount paid. ________ Cash benefits____ ______ H ospitalization b en efit.. _ •___ Surgery b e n e f it___ _________ _ __ M edical credit- ___ _ M atern ity assistance_______ _____ E ye conservation program - . . . ___ Tuberculosis benefit. ____________ ___ _ 1946 1945 A m ount $624,199.42 $393,072. 37 $231,127.05 58.8 397,042. 50 82,168. 00 16,980.00 83,434.87 16, 725.00 32, 941.95 4,907.10 288, 224.05 40,015.00 108, 818.45 42,153.00 16, 980. 00 45,796.12 6, 725. 00 7, 333. 38 3, 321.10 37.8 105.3 100.0 121.7 100.0 28.6 209.4 37,638. 75 25, 608. 57 1, 586.00 Percent Per capita costs.—On the basis of the foregoing figures, it is esti mated that the average cost in health benefits alone, excluding medical and general administration, is over $16 per member per year. The cost is not uniform for the. three local unions involved in the foregoing table. Thus, Local 22 , with a dues paying membership of 25,671, runs its various forms of benefits at an annual cost of $19.36. Local 89, with a membership of 30,405, averages $12.69, and Local 60, with 2,766 members, averages $19.34. The wide difference in costs between Local 89 and the other two locals is attributable largely to the fact that the former is composed of a considerably jmunger element; moreover, the whole benefit system is more recent in this union than in the other locals, with the result that its membership is not yet fully aware of what it has to offer, and so does not take the same advantages of the program as do the other two unions. Actual per capita costs in cash sick benefits, including the medical fees involved in the examination of sick members, are as follows: 1946 Local 22----------------------------------------------- $11. 15 Local 60______________________________ 10. 52 Local 89______________________________ 8. 45 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1945 $8.43 8.44 6.34 209 U N IO N H E A L T H AND WELFARE P LA N S Cost oj medical benefits (on a per capita basis) are distributed as follows: 1946 Local 22____________________ Local 60____________________ Local 89____________________ 1945 $ 3 .. 29 3 . 43 $ 1. 64 1. 69 .9 9 .32 Claim rate per 1,000 (percent) Local 22____________________ Local 60____________________ Local 89____________________ .. ¡ 6% 16}3 - 10# 12J4o 122 / io 8% o General administration, including complete supervision as well as audit of employers’ books, runs at the rate of 5 percent of gross col lections. A further examination of the foregoing table (p. 208) shows that as the health fund becomes better known to the members, payments increase correspondingly. This fact accounts for the 29 percent rise in the eye conservation program, wherein no change in benefit rate was made between the first and second year of operation. Increases in the other parts of the program are due primarily to the change in schedules which went into effect on April 1, 1946, whereby the weekly rate of cash benefit was increased from $12 to $15, the hospitalization benefit from $3 to $5 per day and from 20 to 60 days per year, and medical credits from $15 to $25 per year. Two entirely new benefit forms were added—surgery benefit and maternity assistance. There was also a substantial increase in the vacation benefit paid this year. From a preliminary report recently made available, it is evident that, although the total amount disbursed for vacation benefit for the full year ending May 30, 1945, amounted to $1,476,709.90, the vacation benefit paid out for the year ending May 30, 1946, amounted to at least $2,069,254.46, an increase of over 40 percent. This advance is explained in part by the fact that vacation benefits were increased by $ 10 , and in part by the rise in the number of claim ants (51,077 to 53,503) for the benefit. The average cost of this type of benefit was about $39 per member during the 1946 period indicated. The administrators of the health fund are not disturbed by these increases. The industry is still operating at a good pace and the receipts in 1946 not only compared well with the previous year but also showed an increase of 13.9 percent, as of August 1 , 1946. As a result of the added income, the health fund has been in a position to put away a substantial reserve, from which it expects to be able to increase current benefits still further and gradually add new forms of benefits. The types of benefits herein described are determined by the ex perience which the union has gained from the operations of similar funds during the past 30 years and are also geared to the revenue https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 210 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1947 derived during the past year. As already indicated, systematic up ward readjustment is anticipated. Knowing the character of the industry-—its sharp seasonal fluctuations and general instability—the union administration is taking a most careful attitude with respect to scales of payment since it does not want ever to be in a position which necessitates reduction in benefits. HOW B E N E F IT S ARE PA ID We were faced with the problem of how to pay benefits. Instead of establishing a completely new department, with an individual record for each of the 60,000 dues-paying members, which would have required continuous posting of the members’ records, we agreed to utilize the already existing sick-benefit departments of the individual locals and their records. Thus, members who take sick report di rectly to the local to which they belong. The health fund department of the locals, in accordance with uniform rules and regulations, then notifies the Union Health Center of the case. The member is exam ined within 3 days, and if disability is established, the first week’s benefit is paid on the tenth day following the receipt of the report of illness. Thereafter, weekly checks are mailed upon the seventh day. At the conclusion of each month, the local health fund departments submit detailed statements of disbursements to the secretary-treasurer of the Joint Board Health Fund Committee, who reimburses such amounts to the local health funds, subject to audit. Any member who feels that he has been deprived of his rights or that he has not been paid in full for his disability, has ample oppor tunity to lay his grievance before his elected local officer. He can explain, in a language which both understand, his particular claim. He thus has the satisfaction of “ talking it out” with the chief adminis trator of his local union, rather than having to be content with a mute, stereotyped form reply. If he is still dissatisfied, he has an opportunity to appear before a committee on claims, which meets regularly in the office of the union. This committee is composed of two rank-and-file members from each of the affiliated local unions, and is presided over by the secretarytreasurer of the Joint Board. The rules and regulations of the health fund empower this committee to make whatever adjustments the facts would seem to justify. In this fashion, we have established a machinery which allows for a centrally controlled administration and at the same time offers wide flexibility, giving the local unions a substantial degree of auton omy and the individual member a feeling that he is not hopelessly removed from the administration of his union and its funds. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis UNION HEALTH AND WELFARE PLANS 211 Other Considerations EM PLO YERS’ COOPERATION Obviously the comprehensive health and welfare program here out* lined could not have been undertaken without the security and strong organization which the ILGWU has been able to develop in the past 30 years. When a trade-union must devote all of its energies and resources in struggling for adequate wages and decent working condi tions, it has neither the time nor the means to think in terms of social welfare programs. Once it has achieved a substantial degree of unionization and control over workers in the industry, it can under take these “ extracurricular” activities, which then become a legiti mate part of its industrial program. In fairness to the employers in our industry, it should be said that they, too, are entitled to credit for the inauguration and development of our welfare program. In the course of the past 30 years of col lective bargaining these employers have learned to recognize a responsibility beyond providing adequate earnings and decent working conditions to the men and women in their employ. They have become acquainted at first hand with the social and economic value of human welfare. W ID E A C CEPTA N CE OF UN IO N W ELFA RE PROVISIONS Encouraged by the success which the ILGWU has scored in the field of social welfare, many other unions have, in recent years, suc ceeded in incorporating similar provisions in their collective agree ments. Among them are the Amalgamated Clothing Workers of America (CIO), including its New York and Chicago divisions; Fed eration of Dyers, Finishers, Printers, and Bleachers of America (CIO); United Furniture Workers of America (CIO); United Hatters, Cap, and Millinery Workers’ International Union (AFL); Upholsterers’ International Union of North America (AFL); New York Hotel Trades Council; 6 Chain Service Restaurant Employees’ Union; 6 International Jewelry Workers’ Union (AFL); International Union of Mine, Mill, and Smelter Workers (CIO); and International Print ing Pressmen’s and Assistants’ Union of North America (AFL). More recently this movement was spurred by the United Mine Workers of America (AFL), which in a recent agreement has provided for a minimum of social security for the hundreds of thousands of coal miners. Because of the grave industrial hazards to which miners are always exposed, this form of protection would have been desirable even before the garment workers and others began to enjoy it. Henceforth welfare benefits become an important issue in eme M em bers of the H otel and R estaurant Em ployees International Alliance (A FL ) in Greater New York. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 212 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 ployer-employee negotiations. This was made clear by President William L. Green in his report to the convention of the American Federation of Labor held in Chicago in October 1946.7 E F F E C T OF PR O G R A M O N U N IO N What has been the effect of this welfare program upon the organi zation? Does it make for a stronger union? Definitely, yes. Among the chief factors making for the strength and effectiveness of the ILGWU have been its comprehensive benefit services, including, of course, its highly developed educational and cultural program. In the early stages of the ILGWU, its membership was in a con stant state of flux. The industry in all its branches was sharply seasonal. Shop strikes would break out on the eve of every season. The workers would obtain some wage increases here and there, only to see them disappear several weeks later. There was nothing to bind the garment worker to his union. He would join and drop out at frequent intervals. The turn-over in membership was tremendous. With the introduction of the benefit system conditions changed radically. Today the person who joins the ILGWU has every good reason to maintain his membership even in slack periods. He no longer drops his membership at the end of the busy season as he did formerly, because today his membership is a form of security against illness, unemployment, accident, and death. This makes for stabil ity, organizational strength, and effectiveness on the industrial field and gives the union real capacity for expansion. N ew Programs Create New Problems The administration of union health and welfare plans carries with it certain new responsibilities and creates certain new problems which are already beginning to make themselves felt. L I should like to stress particularly the need for actuarial experi ence and guidance in the operation of welfare programs. Heretofore, unions have relied on whatever data they were able to obtain from governmental and private sources, together with their own meager information acquired in the course of experience. Benefit scales have been fixed simply on the basis of availability of funds. Little account has been taken of such facts as the increasing age of the membership and the consequent higher incidence of illness. Will the unions be in a financial position to pay the present benefits in the years ahead, when the needs will become greater and the means more limited? This is but one example of the kind of questions that must be considered. So many factors are involved that, unless the actua rial aspect is properly handled, the entire program may be jeopardized. 7See p. 195 of this issue for statem en t from M r. G reen’s report, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U N IO N H E A L T H AND WELFARE PLA N S 213 2 . It appears to me that the trade-unions ought to begin pooling their experience with a view to setting up definite criteria to enable welfare programs to stand the strains and stresses inevitable under our present economic set-up. It is my feeling that the more efficiently and the more scientifically our funds are administered, the more likely we are to-preserve their voluntary character. 3. Another problem which has come to the fore is that of invest ment. The profitable and secure investment of union health funds, as well as of union funds in general, constitutes a tremendous responsi bility upon union leadership. Because persons directly in charge of union funds are free from the governmental restrictions to which most of the nonprofit fraternal organizations, savings banks, and in surance companies are subject, they have to use extreme prudence and care. Investment is a study in itself, and few of the union officials in charge of funds are trained in it. What may appear as a sound proposition to one man may be discarded by another for the sake of an additional fractional percent of interest. Most funds have met the problem by limiting investment to the purchase of Federal, State, and municipal bonds. This seems to be a fairly safe course to follow, and one which will not subject the administrator to criticism in the event the bonds drop in value. But even here there are elements of danger. Some municipalities and States represent a better risk than others. Standards should be set up as to types of investment. The question of maturities is similarly important. Portfolios must be so arranged that advantage is taken of changed financial conditions. It is a mistake to think that, once a Government bond is bought, it must be kept to maturity. 4 . The complete segregation of health and welfare funds from the general funds of the union is not only desirable but absolutely neces sary. It has already been noted that some unions were at times compelled to suspend or entirely liquidate their health and sick benefit programs because of industrial conflicts that completely drained their resources. No union can consider itself forever immune from labormanagement clashes. Unless the health and welfare funds are prop erly segregated, there is danger that they may be used, directly or indirectly, for general union activity. I p this connection, there comes to mind an incident in the course of one of our perennial strikes in the late 1920’s. When I told the strike committee that the money to which reference was made was the property of the sick-benefit fund one of the strike leaders told me, “ If we don’t win this strike, there’ll be no union and no sick fund.” To this I replied, “ As long as there is this sick fund, something will always be left of the union.” Experience not only in the ILGWU but in many other sections of the labor move ment has proved these words correct. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 214 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1947 In the International Ladies’ Garment Workers’ Union and all its affiliates segregation of funds is an established and fixed policy. Its supreme governing body—the general executive board—has long ago laid down the law that in no instance and under no circumstances are funds to be intermingled. Needless to say, trade-unions have entered the field of social welfare out of sheer necessity. The attitude of some employers with respect to the health and welfare of their workers and the past inadequacy of governmental plans left them no other course. However, it is hoped that the social security program of the Federal Government, which now offers only a limited form of protection, will eventually embrace all forms of sickness insurance and medical, mental, hospital, surgical, dental, and prenatal care. When this happens, some unions will gladly turn over their responsibilities to the Government and continue to pioneer in other fields of social reform and economic justice. How well the Government will run this program, no one can tell. Some trade-unionists do not relish the idea of exposing their members to the potential red tape of bureaucratic management. When we reach that point, it may be well to rely upon the experience which the European trade-unionists had in this respect. In pre-Hitler Germany and Austria, as well as in the Scandanavian countries, welfare funds, under the name of “ Arbeiter-Kranken und Sterbe-Kasse,” functioned very satisfactorily on a tripartite basis—Government, industry, and labor. It may be that we can do the same, and with our American ingenuity, may be able to improve upon it. But I am not prepared to formulate any definite program of administration. We lack suf ficient experience to come to definite conclusions. We should, how ever, endeavor to develop a workable and, above all, a humane ap proach to the problem. In the administration of health and welfare programs, we are constantly dealing with sick and disabled people. To restore them to health and at the same time help them retain their human dignity is a task worthy of our best talents and attention. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis W a rtim e a n d P o s tw a r E x p e rie n c e s o f C o n n e c tic u t S m all-A rm s W o r k e r s 1 C o n t i n u i n g its 150-year old tradition, Connecticut during World War II was a leading producer of small arms. Not only has it sup plied military weapons in large quantities in times of war, but in peacetime it has been in the foreground as a manufacturer of service, sporting, and target rifles and pistols. Times of war, of course, brought about the most rapid expansion followed by sharp contrac tions as the industry returned to filling peacetime market needs. During World War II employment increased over 150 percent between 1939 and the summer of 1943, the peak period when about 40,000 workers (8 percent of the total employed in manufacturing in Con necticut) were engaged in small-arms production. Between 1943 and 1945 there was a decline of more than 35 percent and further losses followed thereafter. Postwar Adjustments In the spring of 1945 when the Bureau of Labor Statistics first made its survey of 300 war workers employed by three large producers of small arms in New Haven and Hartford ,2 the tide of wartime expan sion had already turned. When the same workers were restudied in the winter of 1945-46, 20 percent were unemployed and seeking work. Six months later, the employment situation had improved consider ably; the jobless represented 7 percent of the total which was still higher than the corresponding rate, 5 percent, for the civilian labor force as a whole. Slightly over a fourth of the wartime small-arms workers were still with their same employers as in April 1945 (table 1). Those 45 years of age or over were apparently having greater difficulty than younger persons in finding suitable employment—9 , percent of the former in contrast with 6 percent of the latter were unemployed in June 1946. It is interesting, however, that of those employed, considerably more older than younger persons were re tained by their wartime employers. This is probably attributable to the fact that a relatively larger number of the older workers were among the more highly skilled, some of them with long experience in the industry. Improved employment opportunities in June resulted in fewer women being out of work and seeking jobs, while more had withdrawn 1 Prepared b y W illiam E . N orthey, Jr., of the Boston Regional Office of the B ureau of L abor Statistics. All p lant departm ents and occupations were considered in the selection and proportionate representation was given to m en and women. Of the 300 workers covered in the spring of 1945, 247 or 82 percent were m en and 53 or 18 percent were women. 2 This random sample of 300 w orkers included 100 from each of the three plants. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 215 216 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW--- FEBRUARY 194 7 T able 1.— E m p lo y m e n t s ta tu s o f 2 9 4 sm a ll-a r m s w o r k e rs , b y a ge a n d se x , J u n e 1 9 4 6 Percentage distribution of workers— All workers U nder 45 W ith same em ployer as in spring 1945___________ W ith different em ployer__________ _____________ Self-employed. __ __ ________ _ _ _ _ _ ____ U nem ployed and seeking w o rk_____ _ __________ In arm ed forces . _ __ _ __ _____ N ot seeking w ork__ _______ _______ N ot reported 28 48 7 7 T o tal___ _ __________ ___ ___ _ _ ___ _____ N um ber of w orkers_____ _______ B y sex B y age E m ploym ent status __ _ _____ 45 and over 17 59 8 6 W omen M en 41 36 6 9 26 53 8 6 1 1 8 8 7 5 1 1 1 1 38 26 2 13 1 21 100 100 100 100 100 i 294 155 139 241 53 1 Of the original 300 workers, 3 had died since first interview ed in A pril 1945 and 3 others could not be loca ed. from the labor market compared with the situation 6 months earlier. In January, approximately a fourth of the women reported they were jobless compared to 13 percent in June. Withdrawals from the labor market accounted for only 5 percent of the women in the beginning of the year in contrast to 21 percent 6 months later. As might be expected, more women than men were unemployed or had retired from gainful employment. With the end of war work, average weekty earnings declined from about $69 to $46, a loss of a third, between the spring of 1945 and the winter of 1945-46. Subsequent wage rate increases had the effect of lifting weekly pay by approximately $1.60—an increase that was probably nullified by the advance in the prices of living essentials (table 2 ). Workers who remained with their wartime employers fared con siderably better than those who left to take jobs elsewhere. Based on the figures given in table 2, a decline in weekly pay between April 1945 and June 1946 of nearly $7 (a 12-percent loss in earnings) is T able 2.— A v e r a g e w e e k ly g ro ss e a r n in g s a n d w e e k ly h o u rs f o r 1 1 3 id e n tic a l sm a ll-a rm s w o rk e rs in 4 p e r io d s Item N um ber of work ers 1941 Gross earn ings Gross Hours earn ings W inter 1945-46 June 1946 Gross Hours earn ings Gross Hours earn ings H ours 49.2 $68.85 50.2 $45. 97 47.2 $47. 58 45.4 W ith same em ployer-__ __________ W ith different em ployer__________ 30 83 41. 66 32. 97 47.4 49.9 56. 53 73.30 52.3 49.5 53. 61 43. 22 50.1 46.1 49.71 46.80 44.7 45.6 U nder 45 years____ _____ _ __ __ 45 years and o v e r.__ ______ _ ____ 61 52 32.81 38.18 49.5 48.9 73.06 63. 90 49.6 51.0 45.80 46.20 46.5 48.0 48.04 47.03 44.9 46.0 Total, identical w orkers_____ _ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 113 $35. 28 Spring 1945 217 CONNECTICUT SMALL-ARMS WORKERS shown for the first group as against $26.50 (a 36-percent loss) for the latter group. Obviously, the latter group included many workers who found it necessary to transfer to other industries and to other types of work in which compensation was much lower than in their wartime jobs. Moreover, in these peacetime jobs, many workers were not employed overtime or on late shifts and consequently did not have their earnings augmented by premium pay. Weekly earnings of the older men did not drop as much as those of the younger, largely because more of the older men were retained by their wartime employers and more of them held skilled jobs. A little over a year after they were first interviewed, men 45 years of age and over showed a 26-percent decline in weekly pay as against a 34 -percent drop for those under 45. One of the reasons for the postwar decline in earnings is indicated by table 3 which shows the employment status of workers by industry group. In June 1946, only 56 percent of the small-arms workers were still in manufacturing. Agriculture and mining, which together accounted for a little over 2 percent of the workers in January 1941, had not as of June 1946 regained even this small prewar proportion. Aside from these two fields, the distribution of workers among the major industry divisions was essentially the same in June 1946 as in January 1941. The shifting of workers among occupational groups appears to have been more marked than the interindustry movements. The self-employed were a considerably larger unit (9 percent) after the war than before (5 percent). White-collar workers doing clerical or sales work showed a decline from 11 to 9 percent, but the professional T able 3.— E m p lo y m e n t sta tu s o f sm a ll-a r m s w o r k e rs , b y in d u s tr y g r o u p , J a n u a r y 1941 a n d J u n e 1946 N um ber of workers Percentage distri bution In d u stry group Jan u ary 1941 300 W holesale and. retail trad e _______ Finance insurance, and real e state____ _________________ . . . . T ransportation communication aod pnhlio utilities ___ In arm ed forces N ot seeking work ________ _______ — — - ______ - _______ ______ T T -n o r r v n ln v p r l — ________________________ ________ 1 Since first survey, 3 w orkers died and 3 could no t be located. 2 Less than a half of 1 percent. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 1 21 17? 23 1 6 31 5 1 23 9 January 1941 June 1946 i 294 100 June 1946 100 2 18 164 20 6 7 25 5 2 22 21 4 (2) (2) (2) 7 57 8 2 10 2 8 3 6 56 7 2 2 9 2 1 7 7 1 218 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW--- FEBRUARY 194 7 and semiprofessional group retained its proportional importance (1 percent). Craftsmen and manual workers accounted for 78 percent of the workers studied before the war and 74 percent afterwards— a relatively small change. However, within this group a fair amount of shifting among skill levels is evident (see table 4). Comparing June 1946 with the prewar situation, the skilled component remained relatively constant, but there were fewer semiskilled and more un skilled workers. Compared with the wartime situation, the align ment after the war shows a small increase in the skilled group, a large addition to the unskilled, and a diminution in the semiskilled. T able 4.— P e rc e n ta g e d is tr ib u tio n o f c r a fts m e n a n d m a n u a l w o r k e rs , s p e c ifie d p e r io d s Class of w orker Skilled____________ Semiskilled_________ U nskilled______ T o tal________ Prew ar 1 W artim e2 37 57 6 27 68 5 Postw ar 8 33 49 18 _____ _ 100 100 100 N u m b er of w orkers____ ____ 225 279 180 1 Based on workers having em ploym ent experience prior to Jan u ary 1941. 2 As of A pril 1945. 8 As of June 1946; includes only em ployed workers. Postwar movements out of Connecticut were even smaller than wartime in-migration, despite the high unemployment rate (20 per cent) in the winter of 1945-46. When the 300 small-arms workers were first studied (April 1945), it was found that only 10 percent had moved from one community to another after 1941 in order to seek work or to obtain jobs already offered. Most of these workers came from other States. More than a year later (June 1946), the migrants accounted for only 6 percent of the total, and only about half (9 workers) left Connecticut. The fact that the great majority were long-time residents of this State probably explains the absence of any considerable out-migration. In addition, reconversion in this highly industrialized area must have fostered the hope that alternative desir able jobs would soon become available. From the improved employ ment situation observed in June 1946 it would appear that, at least temporarily, the workers’ expectations in this respect were not illfounded. The Small-Arms Worker In the spring of 1945 the average age of the men studied was 46; the women were 13 years younger. About three-fourths of the men were between 30 and 60 years of age and 16 percent were at least 60. Among the women, approximately two-fifths were in the age group 35 to 55 and only 6 percent were older. The withdrawal of younger men into the armed forces during the war years undoubtedly acted to https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis CONNECTICUT SMALL-ARMS WORKERS 219 widen the age spread between men and women at home. Moreover, many of the younger women, whose entrance into the labor market would have come later under peacetime conditions, were attracted by the opportunities afforded by war work. A relatively larger number of older men than older women were probably also drawn into the labor force during the war. The financial responsibilities of these workers varied considerably. More than 9 out of 10 men were the chief supporters of families having 2 or more persons; only 3 percent of the men, compared with 44 per cent of the women, were living in families of which they were not the heads. Only 63 of the 300 workers studied, chiefly women, reported having no dependents. Among the men, over a third had 1 dependent, a fourth had at least 2 dependents, and nearly 30 percent had 3 or more. As might be expected, a larger number of men than women were the only employed members of their families. Only one worker, a man, reported that there were more than 4 employed persons in his family. Prewar and Wartime Work Experience In the production of small arms, the great majority (two-thirds) of the 300 workers held semiskilled jobs, while approximately a fourth were skilled and about 5 percent unskilled. About a fifth of the women but only about 3 percent of the men were employed in plant clerical occupations, performing the work of production and stock clerks, timekeepers, and similar groups. Half the workers did not go beyond the eighth grade, about twofifths completed one or more years of high school, and only about 5 percent had some college education. When age was related to educa tion, both men and women between the ages of 21 and 45 showed longer formal schooling than those over 45. Trade or vocational training taken prior to 1941 was reported by 27 percent of the men and 6 percent of the women. During the war less than 5 percent of the workers received any formal vocational training reflecting, in all probability, that a larger number had previous ac quaintance with the type of work required in small-arms production and that others were trained on the job. For the most part it can be said that the small-arms worker was prepared for his post through earlier experience in this or other indus tries. Three-fourths of the men and moiA than four-fifths of the women reported that in their usual peacetime employments they had been craftsmen or manual workers. Within this broad group, approx imately half the men and practically all the women usually held semi skilled jobs. It is of interest that all but 10 workers (4 men and 6 women) had had employment experience before January 1941. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 220 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 T H E SH IF T TO WAR JOBS Viewed in terms of broad levels of skill, a rough correlation was apparent between the workers’ prewar usual occupations and those adopted during wartime. Of the 95 men with experience in semi skilled work prior to January 1941, 85 were employed in this grade in a small-arms plant in the spring of 1945. Similarly, 30 out of 36 women showed no change of occupational skill. Of the 82 men usually employed in skilled jobs, 61 showed no change, 20 moved down into the semiskilled group, and 1 into the unskilled. It may be pointed out that the acceptance of a job at a lower level of skill did not always entail a reduction in earnings or even in hourly wage rates. Workers who came from lower-wage industries often realized higher wages even though they accepted a job which did not fully utilize their acquired skills. Four workers who had been farmers became semiskilled manual workers in the factory while those who were normally small business men became either skilled or semiskilled manual workers. Although all the women who had been clerks performed the same type of work, most of the men who had held the same type of job or who had been salesmen took semiskilled manual jobs. Manufacturing industries and, in particular, machinery and ord nance producing establishments, were the sources from which the greatest number of the workers were drawn. Wholesale and retail trade yielded about 9 percent of the men but only one woman. The service trades, including hotels, laundries, advertising, and other personal and business services, were reported as areas of usual em ployment by another 9 percent of the men, and by about 8 percent of the women. Three men were normally employed in finance, insur ance, and real estate, and one man had been a miner. W A R T IM E CHANGES IN JOBS AND EM PLO YERS During the war, workers changed jobs more frequently than they changed employers. Of the 300 workers included in this survey, almost 80 percent of the men and 87 percent of the women changed jobs between January 1941 and the spring of 1945. By contrast, only 56 and 53 percent of the men and women, respectively, changed employers. The largest number of men (85) made one-job change, while the largest number of women (15) made two-job changes. No man changed jobs more than 5 times, and only one woman had held as many as 7 jobs. The reasons for the greater number of job than employer changes are fairly well known. The shortage of experienced workers encour aged upgrading of workers to an extent and at a rate uncommon in peacetime. Changes in production schedules because of alterations https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 221 CONNECTICUT SM ALL-A RM S WORKERS in specifications and output called for reshuffling of the labor force in many instances. Some workers, of course, changed jobs for personal reasons—certain tasks were too fatiguing or too hazardous or simply unpleasant. Only men came to the production of small arms from the three industrial groups comprising agriculture (in which 4 percent of the men were usually employed), transportation and communication, and other public utilities (another 4 percent), and construction (9 percent). U N IO N IZATIO N Among the new experiences undertaken by many wartime workers was membership in a labor union. In April 1945, of the 300 workers studied, 235 were union members but well over one-half had not belonged to such an organization at any time prior to 1941. The proportion of women with no union experience before the war was only slightly higher than that of men. Of the 65 workers who at the time of survey were not union members, 14 had previously had such an affiliation. Wartime Wages In April 1945 straight-time hourly earnings, exclusive of premium overtime pay, averaged at least $1.00 for two-thirds of the small-arms workers, including over 70 percent of the men and 38 percent of the women/ A fifth of all the workers, all but two of whom were men, had hourly earnings of $1.50 or more. At the low end of the wage scale, 3 workers earned less than 60 cents. The sharp differences in pay between men and women represent, in large part, differences in types of work performed. It was possible to measure the changes in hourly rates of pay from 1941 to April 1945 for 237 workers; 63 either did not report their earlier earnings or they had entered the labor market at various times during the war years. The changes in hourly rates were as follows: Number Decrease___________________ No change--------------------------Increase less than 25 percen t.._ Increase of 25 to 50 percent---Increase of 50 to 75 percent---Increase of 75 to 100 percent... Increase of 100 percent or more T o ta l___________________ Percent 19 13 50 20 29 17 79 8 5 21 13 12 7 34 . 237 100 . . . . . _ . Of the 19 workers who had their rates cut during the war, only 1 was a woman. Moreover, a proportionately larger number of women than men had their rates increased, owing largely, to the compara728607—47------ 5 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 222 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 tively lower wage level of women at tlie beginning of the war. Threefourths of the men, who in January 1941 earned less than 70 cents, earned $1.00 an hour or better in April 1945. Almost two-thirds of the women with prewar rates of less than 60 cents earned between 90 cents and $1.30 at their small-arms jobs. The average increase in straight-time rates for the 237 workers was 39 cents—40 cents for men and 35 cents for women. Despite the greater percentage increase for women, their rates in April 1945 were still considerably below those of men. Approximately half of the 237 reporting workers showed at least a 50-percent advance in hourly rates compared with two-thirds who had comparable gains in gross weekly earnings. The percentage increase in gross weekly earnings was greater than the rise in hourly rates as a result of the lengthened workweek and premium payments for over time. Gross weekly earnings in April 1945 averaged $66.75. The greatest concentration of workers, 23 percent, was between $50 and $60 a week, 13 percent earned between $40 and $50, and an equal proportion be tween $20 and $40. Only eight workers, all men, reported earnings of $100 or more a week (table 5). Income and social-security taxes and union dues deducted approxi mated 14 percent of the worker’s average gross weekly earnings; the income tax accounted for all but 1 percent of the total deductions. Union members received larger gross and net weekly earnings than nonunion workers, largely because women formed a greater proportion of all nonunion workers in the plant than they did of all union workers. Of the 235 workers who were union members, only 13 percent were T able 5.— Classified straight-time hourly rales and gross weekly earnings of 300 small- arms workers, April 1945 Straight-tim e hourly rate 1 Total . U nder 60 cents _. 60 and under 70 cents_________ 70 and under 80 cents_______ 80 and under 90 cents_____ 90 cents and under $1.. $1 and under $1.10 $1.10 and under $1.20,. _ ____ $1.20 and under $1.30__ $1.30 and under $1.40$1.40 and under $1.50___ $1.50 and o v e r... . Total M en 300 3 9 26 24 38 42 31 27 17 20 63 247 2 22 16 27 33 25 24 17 20 61 W o men Gross w eekly earnings 2 53 T o ta l........................ ................... 300 247 3 7 4 8 11 9 6 3 U nder $25 . . . .......................... $25 and under $ 3 0 ___________ $30 and under $35____________ $35 an d |u n d er $40_______ ____ $40 and’under $ 4 5 ______ ____ $45 and under $50____________ $50!and under $55____________ $55>and?under $60____________ $60 an d 'u n d er $ 6 5 _________ $65 and under $70...... .................. $70ia n d 'u n d er $75____________ $75 and under $80...... ................ . $80 a n d 'u n d er $85_________ . . $85|and under $90 _ ________ $90’and un d er $95 ____ ______ $95 a n d 'u n d er $100. . $100 and over________________ 1 1 2 15 14 25 30 38 26 30 20 26 21 20 14 9 8 1 1 9 11 18 20 27 22 25 17 26 20 19 14 9 8 2 1 Excludes prem ium pay for overtim e and night-shift differentials. 2 P rior to deductions for social security and income tax and union dues. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Total M en W o m en 53 1 1 6 3 7 10 11 4 5 3 1 1 223 CO NNECTICUT SM ALL-A RM S WORKERS women whereas of the 65 nonunion workers about 35 percent were women. Workers with two dependents, both men and women, had the highest gross weekly earnings. Owing largely to the nature of the income-tax deductions, net weekly earnings increased in direct pro portion to the number of dependents. Thus, men with five or more dependents, who grossed about $2 less per week than those with two dependents, had about $7.40 more in net weekly earnings. Men with no dependents received the smallest gross as well as net weekly earn ings. While this was not true of women, the small number in the sample limits any generalization. The differential in gross weekly earnings between skilled and semi skilled workers was approximately $2 for men and $2.50 for women. Weekly earnings for unskilled, clerical, and service workers, however, were considerably lower. Men in unskilled jobs averaged about $24 less than skilled workers, while women showed a differential of approx imately $14 between the two grades. The percentage of deductions for income taxes, social security, and union dues was approximately the same for all grades of craftsmen and manual workers but some what lower for clerical and service workers. In nearly all cases gross weekly earnings included premium over time payments for work performed after 40 hours a week or 8 hours a day. For a fourth of the men and half of the women the normal week in April 1945 exceeded 52 hours. In general, on an annual basis, workers earned more in 1944 than in 1943. Of the 281 workers for whom data were available, 76 per cent averaged $2,500 or more in 1943 compared with 82 percent in the following year. It may be noted, however, that more workers re ported incomes of $5,000 or over in 1943 than in 1944 (table 6). T a b l e 6 .— Classified annual wage income of 281 small-arms workers, 1943 and 1944 M en Total W omen Income class 1943 T otal w orkers reporting for both 1943 and 1944---------U nder $500 - _____________________________ $500 and under $1,000 _________________ - ______ $1,000 and un d er $1,500____________________________ $1,500 and under $2,000 . . . . ------------------- - $2,000 and under $2,500____ ______ _ --- - --------$2,500 and under $3,000. ------- ------ ---------- -$3,000 and un d er $3,500____________________________ $3,500 and under $4,000______ ______ - ------- -- $4 000 an d u n d e r $4,500 _ _ _ ____ __ ___ $4 500 a n d u n d e r $5,000 _ ______ _ ________ $5,000 and over - _______ ________________ - i Inform ation unavailable for 7 m en and 2 women. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis i 281 1 4 6 13 44 50 57 49 24 17 16 1944 281 2 2 10 37 61 54 48 35 21 11 1943 232 2 5 7 22 40 53 46 24 17 16 1944 232 1 4 19 45 50 46 35 21 11 1943 49 1 2 1 6 22 10 4 3 1944 49 2 1 6 18 16 4 2 224 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 A d d e n d u m : T h e C h an g in g S ta tu s of B itu m in o u s -C o a l M in e rs, 1 9 3 7 —4 6 Attention has been called to the fact that, in the August 1946 Monthly Labor Review, the article on the changing status of bitu minous-coal miners did not, in the discussion on principal issues in the 1946 contract negotiations (pp. 170-171), present the Operators’ Negotiating Committee counterproposals of March 25. Although these proposals are listed in the subsequent Bulletin No. 882, based on the Review article, they are repeated in this issue of the Review as a matter of record. The counterproposals of that date included increases in wages consistent with public wage-price policy; study of a plan for a joint fund, to be independently administered, for mitigat ing hardships resulting from accidents; acceptance of optional as well as compulsory provisions of State workmen’s compensation laws; joint study of State mining laws affecting safety; strengthening of penalties against violation of agreements; and transfer to union agents of all funds collected from miners for payment of medical and related costs when the local unions are dissatisfied with existing administra tion of such funds. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Wage and Hour Statistics T h e H ire d F a rm W o rk F o rc e in 1 9 4 5 1 T he h i g h l y f l u i d character of the hired farm labor force, owing primarily to the seasonality of labor demands in farming, is indi cated by the results of a sample survey made in January 1946 by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of Agricultural Economics. This survey, designed to provide information on the labor-force characteristics and wages of all persons who had done any farm work for wages during 1945, furnishes a cross-sectional view of the make-up of the hired farm labor population. Types of Farm Wage Workers in 1945 Full-time hired farm laborers, numerically, constituted a minor part of the wage workers in agriculture in 1945. The majority of those reporting farm work shifted from hired work on farms to low-income nonagricultural occupations and more largely to farm operation (especially in the case of share croppers and other tenants of the South). In consequence, it is impossible to delineate the farm labor population as a fixed group. The survey was restricted to persons 14 years of age and over who were in the noninstitutional civilian population in the United States in January 1946. Among this group, 3.2 million had done some farm work for wages during 1945. In addition, it is estimated that 0.8 million to 1 million other persons not covered in the survey 2 did farm work for wages, raising the total to an estimated 4 million. This total of 4 million or more persons exceeds greatly the 1945 average number of 2.1 million hired farm workers, as estimated by the Bureau of Agricultural Economics. Moreover, it is far above the year’s seasonal peak figure, since not all these persons were employed at hired farm work in any single week, 1 Prepared in the B ureau’s Labor Economics Staff by M arilyn Sworzyn. This article is a sum m ary of the stu d y , Em ploym ent and Wages of the H ired Farm W orking Force in 1945 (U. S. D epartm ent of Agri culture, Bureau of A gricultural Economics, June 1946; m im eographed). See New Programs for Farm Labor Statistics, page 231 of this issue. 2 These included children under 14 years of age; persons inducted into the armed forces during 1945 who were still in service in Jan u ary 1946; persons who died during the year; prisoners of war; im ported foreign workers who had left th e country by Jan u ary 1946; inm ates of institutions; and some m igratory w orkers who m ay have been “ on th e move” during th e survey week. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 225 226 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 Farm wage and employment conditions are not adequately described by over-all averages because of the diversity of the groups included. It is important, therefore, to examine the characteristics of the various groups who composed the 3.2 million farm wage workers included in the survey. (See table 1.) It should be emphasized that the char acteristics of the farm labor force in the wartime year 1945, when the unsatiated demand for farm products and the shortage of farm labor sent farm wages and income to record heights, are not necessarily typical of the farm work force in an ordinary peacetime year. The major portion of the hired farm labor force in 1945 was com posed of small farmers, share croppers, and members of their families who worked at times for wages on other farms; sons, daughters, and wives of farm operators who paid cash wages to family members; local school youths who did a few weeks or months of farm work in summer; and persons in nearby villages and towns who worked most of the year in nonfarm jobs. Migratory farm workers and regular hired hands, the two major groups popularly viewed as the hired farm labor force, together probably made up considerably less than a fourth of the 1945 wage workers covered in the special survey. T a b l e 1 . — Farm wage workers in 1945 classified by employment status in January 1946 1 Males B oth sexes E m ploym ent status in Jan u ary 1946 of persons w ho w orked for wages on farms in 1945 T otal farm wage workers________ Less than 150 150 or more days w orked2 days w orked Total Females N um N um N um N um N um P er P er ber P er ber ber Per ber Per ber (thou cent (th o u cent (thou cent (thou cent (thou cent sands) sands) sands) sands) sands) 3, 212 100 2,375 100 1,657 100 718 100 837 100 In the labor force_______________ 2,279 Em ployed in agriculture_____ 1, 640 563 Em ployed in n o n agriculture-_ U nem ployed________________ 76 N o t in the labor force___________ 933 71 51 18 2 29 2, 035 1, 548 413 74 340 86 65 18 3 14 1, 329 924 346 59 328 80 56 20 4 20 706 624 67 (3) (3) 98 87 9 244 92 150 (3) 593 29 11 18 71 1 Source: U. S. D epartm ent of Agriculture, B ureau of A gricultural Economics, E m ploym ent and Wages of the H ired Farm W orking Force in 1945, June 1946; mimeographed. Estim ates relate to persons 14 years of age and over in th e civilian n oninstitutional population in Jan u ary 1946, who did farm work for wages in 1945. 2 Includes 9,000 males for w hom inform ation on num ber of days worked was not obtained. 2 E stim ated as less th a n 50,000. Only 935,000 of the 3,200,000 farm wage workers were still working for wages on farms during the second week of January 1946, a month in which hired farm employment is usually at its lowest level. The largest single group of persons who had worked for wages in 1945, but who were no longer so employed in January 1946, consisted of 589,000 farm operators (including sharecroppers) who reported that they were self-employed in January on their farms (owned or rented). In addition, 116,000 persons in farm operators’ households, who had https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis WAGE AND H O U R STATISTICS 227 done farm work for wages in 1945, were doing unpaid work on the family farm in January 1946. Almost all the farm operators who reported having done some farm work for wages had worked less than half the year at hired farm work in 1945. The importance of the group which shifts from farm operator to hired farm worker status in the course of a year is evi denced by the fact that 24 percent of all men who did some work on farms for wages in 1945 reported themselves as self-employed on their farms in January 1946. The second largest group among those who had been farm wage workers during some part of 1945, but were not hired farm workers at the time of the survey in January 1946, were the 563,000 employed in nonagricultural pursuits. Of this total 150,000 were engaged in manufacturing and 90,000 were employed in forestry, fishing, mining, and construction combined; 90,000 in domestic service; and the same number in trade. Very few of the workers who were engaged in nonfarm occupations in January had worked as much as 6 months at farm wage work in 1945. Compared with the ages of most other occupational groups, the hired farm working force of 1945 was relatively young. Children between 14 and 17 years made up more than a fifth of all wage workers covered in the survey. Forty-seven percent of all the females were under 25 years of age, compared with 32 percent of all males. Approx imately 37 percent were in the age group 14 to 24. Less than half as many were in the next group aged 25 to 34, and in each succeeding 10-year age group the number became smaller. Only 18 percent of the males were aged 35 to 44 years, the age group in which earnings were the highest. The greater proportion of those employed for wages on farms in 1945 worked for short periods, due in part to seasonal demands. About two out of every five spent less than 25 days at hired farm work. Only about 17 percent reported 250 days’ work or more (ap proximately full-time work) and four-fifths of this group were males. All told, only 25 percent spent as much as half of the year (150 days) in hired farm work. About 76,000 unemployed were among the 1945 farm wage workers still in the labor force in January 1946. Although this group was relatively small, it was undoubtedly larger in prewar years when the level of unemployment nationally was appreciably above the 2,290,000 of January 1946. Far greater in number than those unemployed in January 1946 were the 933,000 who had withdrawn from the labor force. Of these, about 371,000 were women who were engaged in their own housework, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 228 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 328,000 children who were in school, and 227,000 who for a variety of reasons were neither working nor seeking work. Seventy percent of the 3.2 million persons reporting some farm work during 1945 were still living on farms in midwinter 1946. Per sons living in nonfarm rural areas accounted for another 20 percent. Only 44 percent of the farm wage workers in 1945 were heads of households; a fourth of the total were women and girls. Veterans of World War II comprised only about 5 percent of the total hired farm working force in 1945, but the monthly surveys of the Bureau of the Census indicated rapid increases in the employment of veterans on farms during the first half of 1946. About 31 percent of the 1945 agricultural wage workers did hired work on more than one farm during the course of the year. Almost a fifth reported working on three or more farms, but only 23 percent of this group had more than 3 months of farm wage work. The extent of migration was probably appreciably less in 1945 than in pre war years, owing to the fuller utilization of seasonal workers made possible by an extensive farm labor program of routing, transporting, and placing approximately 250,000 prisoners of war and imported foreign workers, not included in the survey. Wages of Hired Farm Workers in 1945 The 17 percent of hired workers who worked on farms the full course of the year (250 days or more) put in 57 percent of the total man-days and received 54 percent of the total cash wages in 1945. Although in terms of total wage costs the wages of this group were the most significant, the survey is of special interest from the view point of farm income and employment because of the light it throws on the employment and wages of the seasonal and part-time workers. The latter group constituted over four-fifths of the hired farm work force in 1945. Those who did hired farm work for only a short period during the year averaged higher daily cash wages than those who worked the year round (table 2). In 1945, the cash wage per day of those who worked less than a month averaged $4.20, those who worked more than a month but less than half the year averaged $3.35, while those who worked 6 months or more averaged $2.75. Among the causes of these differences are no doubt the seasonal rise in wage rates during peak demands for labor and the relatively small value of perquisites of seasonal workers. For example, for the group of year-round male workers covered in the survey, the average value of perquisites more than offset the relatively low average cash wage received by this group. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 229 WAGE AND H O U R STATISTICS T able 2.— Days of work and cash wages earned by hired farm workers in 1945 1 D ays of farm work in 1945 Aver age days of farm wage work Average cash farm wages T otal Females M ales B oth sexes Per day worked Aver age days of farm wage work Average cash farm wages T otal Per day worked Average cash farm wages A ver age days of farm wage work T otal P er day worked T otal *___________________ 95 $284 $3.00 115 $353 $3.10 39 $93 $2.35 U nder 25 d a y s____________ 25-149 days ................. ....... 150-249 d a y s .......................... 250 days and over---- --------- 11 59 195 321 45 197 524 914 4. 20 3.35 2.70 2.85 11 62 199 321 54 220 571 923 5.00 3.55 2.85 2. 85 11 53 174 (3) 31 143 290 (3) 2.80 2. 70 1.70 (3) Source: U . S. D epartm ent of Agriculture, Bureau of A gricultural Economics, E m ploym ent and Wages of the H ired Farm W orking Force, in 1945, June 1946; m imeographed. 1 E stim ates relate to persons 14 years of age and over in the civilian noninstitutional population in January 1946, who did farm work for wages in 1945. 2 T otal covered in survey who reported both on tim e worked and on cash wages. s Averages n o t shown because fewer th a n 50,000 female workers were estim ated as w orking 250 days and over. In spite of the fact that a greater proportion of the women worked for very short periods, their average daily cash wage was only $2.40, or 23 percent under the average of $3.10 for men. The disparity was greater for short-time workers than for all workers. An important factor in the lower national average for women is that women agricul tural workers are heavily concentrated in the South, where farm wages are lower than in other major regions. Only 1 percent of the workers included in the survey earned as much as $2,000 in cash wages in 1945. Two-fifths of the male workers and nearly three-fourths of the female workers earned less than $100 in cash farm wages. Those in the lowest brackets were mostly part-year workers. The annual earnings of the majority of full-year workers did not even approach the $2,400 a year ceiling set in the general farm wagestabilization program. For example, half of the group working 250 days or more made less than $815 in cash wages during the year. Only 6 percent made $2,000 or more. Perquisites Received by Hired Farm W orkers in 1945 For many years prior to the survey under discussion, no new infor mation had been obtained on a Nation-wide basis regarding the frequency with which farmers furnish noncash wages or perquisites and their value. This led to divergent opinions as to the importance of such practices as they affect wages both as cost to the farmer and as income to the worker. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 230 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 The survey of January 1946 throws light on the extent and size of noncash as well as cash wages. One of the uses of such data is to aid in comparisons of agricultural and nonagricultural wages.3 T a b l e 3 .— Average uages and value of major perquisites received by farm uage uorkers in 1945 i Average farm wages of— W orkers reporting major perquisites All workers W orkers by sex and num ber of farms worked on in 1945 T o ta l2 Cash wages Value of major perqui sites T o t a l2 Cash wages W orkers reporting no m ajor Value of perqui sites— major Cash perqui wages sites T otal w orkers_______________ $324 $284 $44 $622 $476 $146 $202 Males_______________________ Fem ales______________ ______ 407 97 354 92 58 5 666 173 511 123 155 50 261 89 W orked on 1 or 2 farm s_______ W orked on 3 or more farm s____ 336 262 292 249 50 14 653 390 497 324 156 66 196 229 1 Source: U. S. D epartm ent of Agriculture, Bureau of A gricultural Economics, E m ploym ent and Wages of the H ired Farm W orking Force in 1935, June 1946; m imeographed. E stim ates relate to persons 14 years of age and over in the civilian noninstitutional population in Jan u ary 1946, who did farm work for wages in 1945. 2 T otal farm wages as used here represent only th e sum of the cash wages and the value of the m ajor per quisites (housing, lodging, meals, or farm products) furnished the w orker w ithout charge. T he total does not include any earnings in 1945 from nonfarm work or self-employment. The averages shown in the first colum n are not exactly equal to the sum of the averages shown in the next two columns because they are based on slightly different num bers of w orkers reporting cash wages and value of m ajor perquisite items. The January 1946 survey revealed that only 29 percent of the 1945 farm wage workers reported they were furnished at least one of three major perquisites (housing, meals, and farm products) without charge by farm operators who employed them (table 3). Seventy-one per cent of all hired farm laborers who worked at least 250 days during 1945 reported receipt of one or more major perquisites, in contrast to only 14 percent of those who worked for less than 1 month. About 35 percent of the men reported receipt of perquisites in con trast to only 10 percent of the women. Perquisites were less fre quently given migratory workers than those who worked on one farm. Housing and meals or one of the two were furnished an estimated 865,000 farm wage workers for a part of 1945. Of this group 200,000 were also provided food products by the operator without charge. Another 50,000 workers who did not get housing were given food products from the farm. The 916,000 workers receiving one or more of the major perquisites reported an average value of $146 for the perquisites provided during the year. This amount was equal to 31 percent of their average cash wages of $476 received for farm work. 2 T h e valuations of perquisites were obtained from the w orker or a person in the w orker’s household report ing for the worker. T h e instructions specified th a t valuations of perquisites furnished should be m ade on th e basis of rents or prices the w orker w ould have had to pay if he had rented or purchased the same services or products of th e same quality in th e locality where he worked. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis WAGE A N D H O U R STATISTICS 231 When related to the total number of persons who did farm work during the year, the average value of perquisites is far below $146. On the aveiage, all persons who worked on farms for wages during 1945 received a noncash wage of $44 ($9 worth of farm products and $35 in lodging and meals). The two together were only 14 percent of the average wage of all workers, including both cash and perquisites. The average cash wage of workers receiving perquisites ($476) was more than twice as great as the average for workers not reporting perquisites. This was mainly because most of those who receive per quisites are regular workers. For example, although males who worked as much as 250 days represented only about two-fifths of the workers reporting perquisites, they received almost three-fourths of the value of lodging, meals, and farm products. w w w - N ew P ro g ra m s fo r F a rm L a b o r S ta tistic s 1945 ¿he Bureau of Agricultural Economics inaugurated two new types of farm labor surveys. These new programs make available for the first time periodic farm wage and labor force statistics on a basis that will facilitate comparisons not previously possible between farm and nonfarm wages and employment. The new surveys are of special importance in view of the attention being focused on the intenelationship between the employment and earnings of hired farm and nonfarm workers. This increasing interest results broadly from two factors. First, there is growing recognition of the fact that the welfare of farm and nonfarm workers is interdependent. In times of declining industrial production and employment, for example, the reduced demand for farm products and the decline in nonfarm employment opportunities exert downward pressures on farm wages and income. Nonfarm workers seeking farm employment intensify the competition for farm jobs. The dearth of nonfarm employment opportunities for farm workers in turn compels a greater proportion of the farm popula tion to remain on the land, thus aggravating the unbalance between farm population and resources. Second, the recent growth of laigescale commercialized farming, requiring sizable groups of hired workers, has led to the concentration of the hired farm work force on a comparatively small proportion of farms. This trend, accompanied by growing unionization in agriculture, has brought into closer rela tionship the employment and wages of certain segments of the farm and nonfarm work force. The historical farm wage rate series, published quarterly since 1923 and earlier on an annual basis by the Bureau of Agricultural ^Eco nomics, are based on tabulations by a group of farmers known as “crop In https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 232 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 reporters” who report through mail questionnaires the average wage for their locality. Wage data in the historical series are limited to rates per month and per day with and without board. Piece rates are indirectly covered through an instruction to the crop reporter to include average daily earnings of piece workers in reporting the daily rate. The value of perquisites is not included in the wage rate. In the new program, however, data are obtained on the time worked and wages of individual workers, in addition to the wage rate. Data are also available from time to time on perquisites or noncash wages. These throw new light on the wage structure in agriculture. It stands to reason that the farmer can report more accurately a particular wage rate in a specified week for a worker whom he em ploys than he can report the level of farm wage rates being paid on the farms in his locality, as required in the historical series. Moreover, wage data based on individual reports reveals wage variations as well as averages. Similar information has been available for a long time for nonagricultural industries, but not for agriculture. In addition, in the new series the data on time worked and cash earnings of each worker makes possible the conversion of any type of wage rate into its hourly or daily hash equivalent wage. Thus, an average wage can be computed for a group of workers doing different types of work. In turn, this permits wage comparisons among groups of hired workers classified according to age, sex, race, type of work, and duration of employment, which are essential for the analysis of wage differentials and for comparisons between agricultural and nonagricultural wages and employment. The new surveys are of two types. The first type, entitled “Survey of Wages and Wage Rates in Agriculture,” covers two different kinds of data, including (1) surveys, made at irregular intervals, of wages and wage rates of seasonal farm workers in special crop areas in various States; and (2) a quarterly national enumerative sample survey, with regional break-downs, of wages and related data reported by approximately 20,000 farmers for each hired worker in their employ during the reporting week. The second type, an annual national sample survey by the Bureau of the Census for the BAE, is made to determine wages and labor-force characteristics of individuals who have done any farm work for wages during the year. The results of the first of the surveys of wages and wage rates of seasonal farm workers in special crop areas were published in May 1945. By the end of 1946, surveys had been completed covering various crop areas predominantly in California, but also in about 15 other States. No special crop area surveys are planned for 1947. The three enumerative national wage surveys made in 1945 were conducted in March, May, and September. A special study relating https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis WAGE AND H O U R STATISTICS 233 to perquisites scheduled for release early in 1947, was made in con nection with the May survey. Only one national survey was com pleted in 1946 (July). Beginning in 1947, however, quarterly national surveys are planned. Preliminary results of the July survey appeared in the September issue of Farm Labor, a monthly release of the Bureau of Agricultural Economics. The first annual sample survey by the Bureau of the Census for the BAE was taken in January 1946. Approximately 25,000 households, the coverage used in the monthly survey of the labor force, were can vassed for information on the employment, wages, and perquisites for each person in the household who reported that he or she had done some farm work for wages in 1945. The annual study, in contrast to the surveys of wages and wage rates, is focused on important worker characteristics such as age, sex, veteran status, residence, and employ ment status. The data obtained from this survey casts new light on the make-up of the entire farm working force during the course of a year. The major results of this first annual survey are summarized in the preceding article (page 225). E r ra tu m : T h e P h y s ic a lly Im p a ire d W o rk e r in In d u s try In the December 1946 issue of the Monthly Labor Review (p. 919, third line), reference is made to World War I; it should be World War II. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Policy P r e s id e n t’s E c o n o m ic R e p o r t to C o n g ress 1 P r esid ent T r u m a n , in his first economic report to Congress,2referred to the high employment level of 1946 and advocated measures for the maintenance of the country’s unprecedented strength and pros perity throughout 1947. He stated that economic collapse and stagnation such as started in 1929 need not and must not happen again. Review of 1946 At the 1946 peak, the aggregate number in employment—58 mil lion civilians and including the military over 60 million—substantially met the objectives of the Employment Act. Total production also reached a peacetime record volume in 1946—about 50 percent above the 1939 predefense volume and 15 percent below the wartime high. This indicates, the President stated, that once peacetime production is in full swing, the standard of living will far surpass anything pre viously experienced. After price controls were eased and then dropped, the price level rose substantially. The price rise in the second half of 1946 reduced purchasing power, and commensurate increases in income were not granted to the mass of the people. Business profits increased during the year, and removal of the excess profits tax added further to profits after taxes. Between industries and between firms, profits were extremely uneven, and it must be remembered that the business dollar, like the consumer dollar, shrank owing to the price rise. Nevertheless, business generally is receiving exceptional profits. Since the last predefense year of 1939, the economic budget (which shows the distribution of income and expenditures among consumers, business, and Government, and imports and exports) has been trans formed. The significant feature is that the great increase in the 1 T he Economic R eport of th e President T ran sm itted to th e Congress on January 8,1947. W ashington, 1947. 2 U nder the term s of the E m ploym ent Act of 1946, Public Law N o. 304 (79th Cong., 2d sess.), the Pres ident is required to m ake such a report; for discussion, see M o n th ly L abor Review, A pril 1946 (p. 186). T he Council of Economic Advisers, which is to assist and advise the President in the preparation of the report, issued its first report in D ecember 1946; a sum m ary of th is report appears in the M o n th ly Labor Review, Jan u ary 1947 (p. 43) 234 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ECONOMIC POLICY 235 total economic budget reflects the change from an economy of sub stantial unemployment and moderate production to one of unparalled employment and production. Progress has been such that thinking for the future cannot be based on the distant past. As a point of departure, tentative estimates were cited of the rates of expenditures and receipts in the economic budget at the end of 1946. At that time Government expenditures had been reduced; business expendi tures had been increased; consumer expenditures had been raised, but largely because of the price rise; and consumer incomes which had risen less than expenditures actually declined in real terms. Such trends made the position of consumers of central impoitance in a consideration of 1947 prospects, the President concluded. Goals for 1947 The employment, production, and purchasing power needed to carry out the policy of the Employment Act were stated to be as follows: “The purposes of the act would be substantially achieved if during 1947 we sustain employment at about the 1946 levels or slightly higher . . . It is not yet clear that our basic industries are fully adjusted to a 200-billion-dollar peacetime economy . . . Per haps an over-all increase of 5 percent might be a reasonable objective for maximum production. . . . Only through adjustments both in the price and pay structure, made with discriminating regard for specific circumstances rather than on an over-all national basis, can we achieve a sustained demand for the maximum output which the American economy is able to produce this year.” FAVORABLE AND UNFAVORABLE FACTORS IN 1947 Consumer demand has both favorable and unfavorable prospects. A high demand for items that have been scarce—including housing, automobiles, appliances, and many housefurnishings—is expected to continue. Availability of such durable goods will result in a smaller proportion of consumer expenditures for nondurable goods. This, in turn, will have the favorable effect of tending to reduce prices for the latter goods in 1947. “Disposable” income (after taxes) was 145 billion dollars in 1946 an average of $1,026 per capita (compared with an average of $497 a year in 1935-39). Even though higher prices absorbed a large part of this increase, real purchasing power in 1946 substantially exceeded the average in the prewar period, and the average family was buying more "food, clothing, and other things than before. This and other consumption—particularly of durable goods must be maintained and expanded in 1947, if the year is to be one of maximum production. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 236 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 Disturbing trends in consumer purchasing power are the decline in weekly take-home pay of the average factory worker, who could buy only about as much with $46 in October 1946 as he bought with $35 in April 1942; the drop of savings by the end of 1946 to 10 percent of disposable income (little more than the 1935—39 proportion) from 28 percent in the war year 1944; and the recent rapid increase in install ment and credit buying. Business investment at least equal to the annual rate prevailing in the last quarter of 1946 is desirable to maintain maximum production and employment in 1947. Abundant aggregate funds, including ample bank credit, and the profit outlook favor the necessary invest ment. The fear of a general drop in consumer demand and a re currence of serious labor-management disputes could adversely affect business confidence and thus business demand. About the same net balance of international transactions is antici pated in 1947 as in 1946. The intense demand of foreign countries for United States goods has been a factor in the high level of employment, production, and purchasing power in this country. Receipts from foreign sources have run at about 15 billion dollars a year compared with a 4-billion-dollar prewar average. If recession of domestic de mand occurred, exports could be increased to meet unsatisfied foreign demand. But, if fears increase concerning this country’s willingness and ability to buy and lend abroad, foreign countries may stretch out their dollar resources over a longer period. Such action would reduce exports from the United States. Revenue policies are designed to balance the budget and achieve a surplus toward the retirement of the national debt. The President anticipated a net reduction of about 5 billion dollars in governmental expenditures in 1947. Recommendations of the President With the removal of emergency price controls, business, labor, farmers, and consumers have the main responsibility for prices and wages. “ The Government can point out dangers seen from the per spective of the whole economy,” but others must apply the correctives in large part. In the immediate future, price reductions are especially needed, the President said, on many items of food, clothing, housefurnishings, and building materials, for which prices have risen out of line. Timely and orderly reduction will sustain rather than destroy markets. Farmers’ prices will fall somewhat from the high level of 1946, but existing price supports afford protection against a severe decline. Labor should refrain from demanding excessive wage increases—for its own protection and that of the country. No uniform rule can govern price or wage questions; adjustments of both must be made with discrimination. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ECONOMIC POLICY 237 The Government will help to maintain wages and prices in balance by avoiding procurement policies that would stimulate price increases or prevent reductions; by speedier disposal of surplus goods; and by vigorous application of the antitrust laws. In addition, legislative action was recommended to continue rent control, to raise wages under the Fair Labor Standards Act, to adjust social-security benefits, and to speed house construction. While the President urged retention of 1946 taxes, he asked for careful study in preparation for wise action at a future time. On labor-management relations, reference was made to the proposals in the message of the President dealing with the state of the Nation.3 However, the need for labor-management cooperation and for sound collective bargaining was reiterated. Long-range programs should provide for utilization of the productive potential to prevent this country from returning to an unstable 100billion-dollar economy when it has the possibilities and requirements of a sustained 200-billion-dollar economy. In making maximum use of the labor force—the Nation’s greatest productive asset—the workers’ standards of health, education, secu rity, and personal and political freedom must be protected. Skills should be developed and used and discrimination of all kinds abolished. Under the free-enterprise system, private enterprise can be relied on to expand the productive base of the economy. Nation-wide con certed action is needed also to remove the fear that, periodically, de mand will be inadequate to absorb maximum production. Govern ment can furnish the greatest incentive by helping to prevent depres sions. In the agricultural field, the Government’s aim should be to use the resources effectively and to conserve them; to preserve the family sized farm and to prevent another agricultural depression; to encourage plenty and not scarcity; and to support farm incomes at reasonable levels. The Government should examine the contribution it can make toward regional development. Federal programs of grants-in-aid to State and local governments have an important func tion. Public works expenditures are large, but the President stated that their value as a force for stabilizing the entire economy has been overemphasized in recent years. On research and patents, he stated: “The continuance of a research program of large magnitude for many years to come, together with the fact that many of the inventions resulting from it will be patentable, calls for action to protect the public interest in inventions and discoveries resulting from expend itures of public funds.” 3 For a sum m ary, see L abor R ecom m endations in P resid en t’s Message to Congress, p.255_of this issue. 728607— 47— 6 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 238 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 Encouragement of free competitive enterprise is imperative, the President stated, and urged extended legislation in this field as well as for provision of increased appropriations to enforce existing anti trust laws. Attention was also directed to the need for affirmative action to enlarge the opportunities for efficient and enterprising small businesses. The recommended program for the promotion of welfare, health, and security included increases in the amount and duration of unem ployment benefits; extension of coverage of old-age and survivors’ insurance and extension of unemployment compensation to em ployees of all establishments, regardless of size, in the industries now covered; and a program of medical care and disability benefits. From an economic standpoint, the President stated, it would be desirable to finance a part of the social-security system from the general budget, and he asked that Congress consider the economic and social aspects of various methods of taxation for this purpose. In the long run, the President stated, this country can sell to others only if it buys from them or invests funds abroad. Both foreign trade and foreign investment are vital to maintenance of a dynamic economy at home. Many countries are fearful of economic depression in the United States as a threat to themselves. Many might prefer economic insulation and smaller trade to a close relation with an unstable United States; however, closer relations with a stable American economy operating at high levels would be chosen in preference to either of the foregoing alternatives. Fostering of international cooperation that has already started, he continued, will depend to a great extent on this country’s attitude in connection with the reciprocal tariff negotiations scheduled for 1947. A blending of all practical programs in wise proportions is needed for the successful stabilization of the economy at the highest feasible levels. The foregoing long-range policies are designed to strengthen the structure of the economy and reinforce it to resist economic fluctuations. Continuing policy is necessarily of a long-term char acter, stated the President, and, “ fortunately, we have time in which to plan deliberately and wisely, and in which to secure the cooperation of all our citizens in driving toward our common goal.” https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis L a b o r P o lic ie s a n d P ro g ra m s in J a p a n U n d e r th e O c c u p a tio n 1 basic objective of the new labor policy in Japan, as stated in the Final Report of the Advisory Committee on Labor in Japan,2 is the “development and consolidation of a new dignity and status for labor.’’ This is regarded by the Committee as not only in the economic interest of the millions of Japanese wage earners, but also necessary to the evolution of a peaceful and democratic nation and to safeguard against any future revival of militarism and autocracy. The development of new labor programs and institutions in Japan ranks with the other major political, economic, and social reforms which are now being undertaken in that country, such as the realign ment of political forces, the destruction of the monopolies, educational reform, and land reform. The Committee recognized the interconnection between these various spheres as follows: “Labor policies and programs in Japan cannot be isolated from the framework of social and economic institu tions in which such programs must operate.” It was further stated that in labor matters, as in all other fields, “laws and regulations, policy statements, and operating procedures are no more than a blue print from which a living and growing program can be constructed.” In almost all of the proposals, emphasis was placed on the need for education in labor matters of Japanese workers, employers, and Government officials. The development of a complete and adequate labor program is a long-range process. Any progress toward such a goal should be viewed against the background of conditions in Japan at the end of World War II: T he After a decade of suppression, there were no genuine labor unions in existence; such basic rights as freedom of speech and self-organization were denied; prewar labor leaders had been liquidated or silenced; and all normal means of expression for workers had been blocked by police surveillance, repressive laws, and the Government-sponsored “labor front” organizations. Employers and workers were totally unprepared for democratic labor relations, and Government agencies were ill-equipped for their new tasks. In such circumstances, neither a mature and balanced labor movement nor a perfect system of labor laws and adminis tration could be created overnight. 1 Prepared by Oscar W eigert of the B ureau’s Foreign Labor Conditions Staff. 2 Final Report of th e A dvisory Committee on Labor: Labor Policies and Programs in Japan. Tokyo, General H eadquarters, Supreme Com m ander for the Allied Powers, 1946. T he Com m ittee was recruited by request of th e Supreme Com m ander for the Allied Powers in Jap an early in 1946 and made its investi gation between F ebruary and Ju ly 1946. M em bers of the C om m ittee were Paul L. Stanchfield, chairm an; B enjam in Aaron, John R. Abersold, Leonard Appel, Lyle S. Carlock, E dw ard D. Hollander, W illiam H . M cPherson, H elen M ears, John J. M u rp h y , T illm an M . Sogge, Oscar Weigert, and J. Fletcher Wellemeyer. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 239 240 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 Under the new labor policy the destructive effects of war must be overcome. It is even more important to do away with the whole dead weight of a feudal tradition which survived in Japan underneath the veneer of westernization and which was expressed in the growing industrial segment of Japanese society in a peculiar paternalistic ideology, based upon “the family system.” 3 The Committee recog nized that the Japanese tradition in labor matters cannot simply be replaced by a ready-made western scheme; the real issue is to find a healthy balance between existing institutions and practices and the standards and practices which the West has to offer. Accordingly, “basic principles and objectives will be much the same—but the precise form and institutional machinery for furthering these objectives cannot be expected to be identical.” In line with the general policies of the occupation the Committee considered it particularly important that the Japanese themselves should work out the details of future labor programs through demo cratic processes. From the Occupation Forces the Committee expected constant vigilance and detailed attention to assure that desirable changes are not blocked by political forces related to the old regime; that government labor agencies are properly organized and adequately staffed; that unsympathetic personnel are excluded; that adequate channels of education and opinion are kept open for workers and employers; and that undemocratic tendencies in unions and man agement do not reappear. Beyond such measures of control and support of Japanese initiative, the Committee considered it to be the function of the Occupation Forces (1) to indicate the general direction which changes of labor law and policy should take and (2) to intervene in emergency situations necessarily arising under the unsettled conditions of the postwar period. The primary concern of the Committee was to help in defin ing long-range policies, but a challenge was also created by current needs, resulting from such factors as the inflation of the currency, the critical food situation, the lack of housing facilities, and the influx of millions of repatriates. The menace of large-scale unemployment in the future cannot even be estimated as long as no decisions have been reached on Japan’s economic future. When the Committee began its studies in February 1946, a great deal of the ground work for new labor programs had already been laid by directives issued in Washington and in Tokyo. Repressive laws and other barriers to democratic labor organization had been removed; the right of unionization and of collective bargaining had been estab lished, for the first time in Japanese history, by the Trade Union Act 3 For a discussion of the family system (Kazoku Seido) and its application in industry, see Industrial L abor in Jap an (International Labor Office, Studies and R eports Series A, No. 37, Geneva, 1933, p. 46). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ECONOMIC POLICY 241 of December 1945; the growth of trade-unions and the practice of collective bargaining had been encouraged by the Supreme Com mander for the Allied Powers ;4 and prewar protective labor legislation was reinstated. These early steps were a “sound basis” for the Committee’s proposals. A Program for Labor-Management Relations Regarding labor-management relations, more than any other labor field, basic policies had already been defined when the Committee started its investigations. To carry out these policies, 11 major lines of action had been initiated by the Occupation Forces and, at its direction, by the Japanese Government. As summed up in the final report, they are: (1) Recognition of the freedom of self-organization of industrial and agricultural workers. (2) Provision of legal safeguards for workers’ organizations in carrying out legitimate trade-union functions. (3) Positive encouragement to the development of labor organiza tions, in the employment and labor policies of the Occupation Forces. (4) The right of free assembly, speech, and press and access to broadcasting facilities for trade-unions. (5) Abrogation of laws and regulations impeding the organization of unions or their legitimate activities. (6) Release of persons imprisoned because of activity or “thought” in connection with trade-union activity. (7) Dissolutior of nationalistic workers’ organizations, such as the “Sampo” and the “Romu Hokoku-Kai.” (8) Encouragement of collective bargaining between unions and employers. (9) Establishment of machinery for dealing with industrial disputes which could not be settled by direct, voluntary negotiation. (10) Recognition of the right to strike except when work stoppages would interfere with military operations or security, or directly prejudice the objectives of the Occupation. (11) Abolition of Japanese Government agencies which had served to obstruct free labor organization and legitimate union activities, and elimination from labor administration of individuals who had held responsible positions in such agencies. Under these policies, there were two main developments: legisla tion and growth of unionism. In both fields, the Committee analyzed the accomplishments and made recommendations for further progress. 4 A report of General H eadquarters in Tokyo dated June 30,1946, on the treatm en t of w orkers’ organiza tions in Jap an after th e surrender, is added as Appendix A to th e C om m ittee R eport. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 242 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 Trade-Union A ct and Labor Relations Adjustment Act The principal piece of postwar labor legislation—intended to be a Magna Charta of Labor-Management Relations—is the Trade-Union Act, passed by the Diet on December 21, 1945, and placed in effect, with its accompanying ordinance, on March 1, 1946. The chief pur pose of this measure was to encourage the development of democratic trade-unions by establishing the right of organization and collective bargaining. Without doubt, it had been successful in attaining this goal. In the Committee’s opinion, however, the law contains some provisions which appear inadequate or undesirable in comparison with corresponding legislation of other industrial countries. Such provisions would indeed be dangerous in some cases if they were administered by an unsympathetic Government. The Committee’s main criticisms of the law are these: (1) It does not fully prevent employer domination or influence over unions, through financial assistance or other means. (2) It does not positively affirm the principle that the employer shall bargain collectively with his employees in good faith, in an honest attempt to reach agreement. (3) The enforcement powers and procedures available to the labor relations committees—which are the tripartite bodies charged with carrying out the law—are inappropriate and insufficient. (4) The majority-rule principle, which is essential to effective col lective bargaining, is not embodied in the present law. (5) The law places disproportionate emphasis on Government supervision and controls over trade-unions, and permits governmental interference to an extent not paralleled in most democratic countries. (6) It contains a number of provisions which are superfluous rather than dangerous, but should be eliminated for the sake of simplicity. These criticisms are based upon a theoretical evaluation of the law, upon the experience of the labor relations committees, and upon sug gestions they submitted to the Advisory Committee. The Committee recommended therefore that amendments to the trade-union law should be drafted in the near future. It appears from a recent official Japanese statement that the Government has actually started the preparation of such a draft. Meanwhile, the Trade-Union Act has already been supplemented by the Labor Relations Adjustment Act, passed by the Diet in Sep tember 1946 and put into force by imperial ordinance in October. The new act which supersedes the Labor Disputes Conciliation Act of 1926 5places the primary responsibility for settling labor disputes upon the parties involved. The Government may be called in to assist e See L abor Conditions in Japan, M o n th ly L abor Review, October 1945 (p. 118). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ECONOMIC POLICY 243 them. Under the law machinery is provided for conciliation, media tion, and arbitration; arbitration is to be employed if both parties agree to it in advance, or if it is provided for in a collective agreement. Policemen, firemen, prison guards, and Government employees engaged in administrative or judicial work are forbidden to strike. A cooling-off period of 30 days after application for mediation is established for labor disputes in what is called public welfare work.6 Members of the Advisory Committee participated in the discussion of the bill, and the passage of legislation of this nature was regarded as desirable by the Committee. It expressed, however, the view that “the scope of compulsory arbitration should be kept to a minimum.” Unionism in Japan 7 Outstanding among the Committee’s findings was the spectacular growth of labor organizations in Japan after the defeat. The country had no genuine trade-unions in September 1945. Within 4 months, union membership had surpassed the prewar peak of 420,589 in 1936, as shown in official reports in the Japanese Labor Gazette. During the Committee’s stay in Japan, total membership had risen to nearly 2.7 million persons in 7,357 registered unions.8 About 30 percent of the nonagricultural workers were estimated to be organized at that time, compared with a prewar peak of 7.9 percent in 1931. Organiza tion originated mostly within the individual plant, generally on the initiative of some of the employees, but sometimes or the initiative of the employer who wanted conformity with the prevailing trend. At the time of the Committee’s investigation, union federations were still in the early stages of development. Two national federa tions had Deen created on an interim basis—The National Federation of Labor (Sodomei) of which member unions are for the most part influenced by the Social Democratic Party, and the Japanese Congress of Industrial Unions (Zew Nihon Zambetso Rodo Kumiai) which includes among its members Communist-influenced unions. These political ties are frequently reflected in union policies, but both federations, according to the Committee’s findings, include many unions which are not dominated by any political party, and member« Public Welfare W ork, according to the legal definition, includes no t only w ork in public utilities, b u t also in transportation, com m unication, public health, a n d medical treatm ent. T he G overnm ent,'in accordance w ith a body representing m anagem ent, labor, and the public can extend the definition to any work “ the stoppage of which will seriously affect the national economy or seriously endanger the daily life of the general public,” b u t only for a lim ited tim e. 7 For a short sum m ary of earlier phases of unionism in Jap an , see L abor Conditions in Japan, M o nthly Labor Review, October 1945 (p. 660). For a detailed discussion see IL O , Industrial Labor in Japan, op. cit (p. 86). 8 Figures are for M ay 1, 1946. T h e unions continue to grow. T h e latest available Sum m ation b y th e Supreme Com m ander of the Allied Powers of N on-M ilitary Activities in Japan (No. 13 for October 1946, p. 164) reports more th a n 3.9 millions in 13.662 unions on September 1,1946 (prelim inary figures). Among them were 40,442 agricultural workers, organized in 230 unions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 244 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 ship in a union is usually open to all workers, regardless of political affiliation. In August 1946, after the Committee had finished its work, both national federations held their formal inaugural conventions. Ac cording to an official United States report, Sodomei’s convention reaffirmed its support of the Social Democratic Party and adopted a brief 3-point program calling for better wmrking conditions, techno logical improvement of industry, and industrial democracy. The Congress of Industrial Unions in its convention stressed its political independence and accepted an 11-point program including a 40-hour week, an extensive social-insurance system, and rehabilitation of the economy. Both conventions adopted resolutions seeking member ship in the World Federation of Trade Unions.9 Subsequently, the congress tried to create a common front with the federation in some of the major labor disputes which at this time originated mostly with unions belonging to the congress and, later on, even offered to merge with the federation. The response of the national federation to all these approaches was generally negative. Recently a third national federation—the All-Japanese Council of Unions (Zew Nippon Rodo Kumiai Toitsu Sodouni)—was formed and is trying to bring together the great number of nonaffiliated unions. Its program is reported as including unification of the labor move ment, democratization of industry, autonomy in union administra tion, and elimination of interference by political parties in the tradeunion movement. In making recommendations on trade-unionism, the Committee took into account that the internal strength of the new Japanese unions is far below their external development. Most members, and even their leaders, have had little or no former experience in union activities. Many members of local unions continue to look to man agement for guidance and support. Local unions therefore frequently include high company officials in their membership, although such a practice is discouraged by the Trade Union Act. The Committee found that some unions accept substantial em ployer contributions to their funds, to a point that such assistance threatens their independence. They did so largely because the genuine financial resources of the Japanese unions are almost every where entirely inadequate. Monthly union dues are not being adapted to keep pace with the strong inflationary trend. There seems to be no chance for the union movement to attain financial independence and stability without throughly revising its prevailing financial structure. * Sum m ation b y th e Supreme Com m ander of th e Allied Powers of N on-M ilitary A ctivities in Japan (No. 11 for A ugust 1946, p. 170). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ECONOMIC POLICY 245 Union independence seemed to be endangered also by a recent tendency of Japanese authorities, observed by the Committee, to revive police interference with labor organizations, particularly in connection with labor disputes. This attitude of the Japanese Government is a return to prewar practices but is clearly contradictory to the fundamental policies of the Occupation Forces. The Com mittee recommended that— police surveillance over labor be discontinued except for that normally required to police public meetings. The gathering of information with respect to labor should be a function of the projected Labor Ministry rather than the police. Except where violence to persons or malicious property damage is involved, infractions by trade-unions should be dealt with by civil rather than criminal action wherever possible. On this issue, the Committee called for administrative action. Other union problems might be solved by the amendments to the Trade Union Act suggested by the Committee, and which are under consideration, as already stated. Equally important, in the Com mittee’s opinion, are changes of attitudes and policies. They cannot be assured by amendments to statutes or by present administrative arrangements; education is necessary for union officials and members as well as for employers and Government labor administrators. Quite in accordance with the general point of view of the Japanese, the Committee found all these groups extremely eager for information about the experience of other industrial nations in union matters and prepared to learn from that experience. Considerable informational work had already been done by the General Headquarters Staff of the Supreme Commander. The expansion of this work and its closer coordination with the general development of labor policies and programs was strongly recommended, and the following warning note was given: The development of sound labor relations and mature and constructive organiza tion of workers and employers will depend to a considerable extent on the slow, day-to-day process of education, and “learning by practice.” Neither SCAP nor the Japanese Government should undertake to dominate this field, since what is needed is self-education rather than indoctrination from above. They should, however, provide a positive stimulus and opportunity for private educational activities and remove any obstacles which might impede the free dissemination of information and ideas. Collective Agreements Lack of experience and need for information and education are particularly evident in the field of collective bargaining, according to the Committee’s findings. In prewar Japan, collective bargaining had developed even more slowly than trade-unionism. The largest https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 246 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 number of written collective agreements ever reported as being in force simultaneously was 122 in 1936 for the whole country; of the 136,000 workers then covered, 117,000 belonged to one industry, ocean ship ping.10 The lag between the growth of organizations and the number of collective agreements is again evident in the present phase of indus trial relations, although substantial progress has been made recently. The Committee reported only 212 such agreements registered with the Welfare Ministry as of May 30, 1946. According to the latest avail able official Japanese statement, which has not yet been published, this number had grown to 1,501 as of October 1946. These agree ments were spread more equally throughout the various industries than in the prewar period. The number of workers covered was reported as 1,131,179—more than a fourth of the workers estimated to be organized at this time. The Committee found that, contrary to the practice in other coun tries, negotiations frequently do not result in a written agreement. Many unions are operating without any written agreement. Dis pute settlement is often of an informal character and without specified duration. As regards written agreements, certain typical weaknesses were observed which may be summed up as follows: (1) All the agreements analyzed by the Committee covered only those terms of employment regarding which the union has sought some modification of existing practice. No comprehensive agree ment covering all major terms of employment was found. (2) The Committee noted a confusing tendency toward the con clusion of separate agreements on different, but interrelated, subjects by the same parties. (3) Many agreements provide that the unions shall have a voice in certain types of decisions, e. g., hiring, firing, and transfer, but fail to set any definite standards with the result that negotiations become necessary in each individual case. An illustration of the lack of precision prevailing in collective agree ments is found in the frequent provisions for some degree of joint management of the enterprise. In most of these cases the agreement establishes some kind of a joint labor-management committee and gives an indication of the types of questions to be considered by such a committee; but the definition of the issues that are within the juris diction of the committee is usually vague, and in some cases it is not even specified whether the decisions of the committee shall be advisory or binding.11 10 See M onthly L abor Review, October 1945 (p. 662). >i T he creation b y collective agreem ent of such joint committees, b u t also the confusion concerning their functions and rights, were already characteristic of industrial relations in the prew ar period; see IL O , In dustrial L abor in Japan, op. cit. (p. 59). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ECONOMIC POLICY 247 One of the most serious omissions in every labor agreement was the complete absence of any provision for special procedure in the peaceful settlement of disputes about the interpretation and applica tion of agreements. This omission might be explained by a tradi tional Japanese inclination to avoid formal decisions about right and wrong in individual cases and to prefer the informal settlement of conflicts. Under modern industrial conditions, however, greater use of formal grievance machinery, established by the contract itself for this purpose, would seem to be extremely valuable. The Committee recommended that “ unions or employers be urged to incorporate the solution of every dispute involving general terms of employment in a signed agreement,” in the belief that compre hensive agreements would gradually emerge from such limited agree ments and that such a practice would “ expedite the development of efficient labor relations.” Labor Disputes Aside from its proposals concerning the labor disputes adjustments bill and the elimination of police activities in labor disputes, the Committee limited itself to an analysis of the facts regarding industrial disputes. Its main findings were (1) that “labor disputes have been far fewer in number than would normally be expected during a period of extensive unionization;” 12 (2) that those labor disputes that have occurred have seldom resulted in any significant interruption of pro duction; and (3) that where work actually has been stopped such stoppages were usually only of short duration. Instead of stopping work, unions have frequently used a unique method known as “production control,” whereby the union tem porarily operates the establishment and top management officials are either directed by the union or locked out. Considerable controversy has raged in Japanese circles about the legality of “production control.” The Committee believed that the Japanese judiciary is the only proper agency to determine the legality of the “production control” technique under existing law; in the future its legality could, of course, be determined by legislation. The Committee endorsed the policy of the Occupation Forces in stating that 1the question of government policy regarding the practice of production control as a 12 Sum m ation of N on-M ilitary A ctivities in Japan (No. 12 for September 1946, p. 154) shows 1,145 disputes, Jan u ary through Ju ly 1946, d istributed b y in d u stry as follows: M ining, 121; M anufacturing, 533; T rans p o rta tio n and C om m unication, 101; Teaching and liberal professions, 26; and O thers, 364. These disputes involved 1 152,032 workers. A reliable, b u t no t y e t published, report indicates th a t a total of 1,900 labor disputes occurred from A ugust 1945 through October 1946 w ith 1,744,428 workers involved. According to the Sum m ation of N on-M ilitary Activities in Jap an (No. 13 for October 1946, p. 166) the m onth of October 1946 was “ m arked by th e m ost w idespread strike a ctiv ity since the surrender.” In N ovem ber, strikes fell sharply in num ber and im portance. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 248 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 strike technique is a matter for exclusive determination by the Japanese.” 13 A New Wage Policy for Japan Proposals of the Committee as to wage policies in the present emergency are not included in the final report. They were directed toward the establishment of wage controls as part of a broader pro gram which would combat all aspects of inflation and effectively stimulate production. In the Committee’s opinion, fundamental changes of the whole wage structure will become necessary as the Japanese economy is stabilized. Preparatory to these changes, the Committee proposed two immediate legislative actions: (1) It recommended a legal minimum wage as part of the new protective labor legislation which is now under consideration and of which more will be said later on; and (2) it strongly urged a provision in the same statute forbidding wage discrimination against women. The low level of wages and salaries in Japan was a frequent subject of international discussion in the prewar period. The average wage of Japanese industrial workers for some years preceding World War II was approximately 2 yen a day.14 Evidence exists, in the Committee’s opinion, that wage rates and earnings were maintained at low levels in spite of relatively high productivity. This was the policy of the dominant group in Japan which sought to stimulate exports of Japanese products in order to further its militaristic goals. The demand for armament production led, on the other hand, to the establishment of minimum wage rates in certain industries by wartime statutes which had not yet been re pealed. However, no effort is being made to enforce these provisions. Prices and costs of living have increased so considerably under the impact of inflation that levels set in 1940 are now entirely unrealistic.15 No definite wage level can be established before the present inflation is ended. Then, Japanese labor must be protected against a return of the traditional policy of substandard wages, and a sound minimum wage will be of vital concern. The legal authorization for the program recommended by the Committee should be broad and flexible. Prepa ration for application by the Japanese Government should include an 13 A rem arkable case of production control was reported in the Sum m ation of N on-M ilitary A ctivities in Jap a n (No. 12 for Septem ber 1946, p. 156). In this case, th e employer had shut down operations as unprof itable. After a period of “ production control,” th e com pany acknowledged th a t the union had demon strated th e possibility of profitable operation. M anagem ent resum ed production under an agreement providing for a joint managem ent-labor council. 14 See M o n th ly Labor Review, October 1945 (p. 655). This wage was roughly equivalent to $1.00 in U uited States currency a t the prew ar p a rity rate. 15 According to th e Sum m ation of N on-M ilitary A ctivities in Japan (No. 13 for October 1946, p. 169) “ wage earners’ incom e generally was still far below th e cost of living” in October 1946. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ECONOMIC POLICY 249 intensive study of all the questions of method and of substance inherent in a national minimum wage policy. The general practice of paying lower wages to women than to men, even when the duties of the job are identical, appeared to the Com mittee as “ one of the worst features of Japan’s traditional wage structure.” Up to about 1930, the number of women in factory em ployment in Japan exceeded that of men; even in 1937, when the armament industries already outranked the textile industries, more than 40 percent of all factory workers were women. During all these years, women’s wage rates and earnings were substantially lower than those of men, not only in national averages, but also within individual industries and occupations.16 Numerous economic and social reasons accounted for this pro nounced discrimination against female workers. It is closely con nected with the subordinate position which women traditionally have in Japan. By asking for a statute establishing the principle of equal pay, the Committee acted in accordance with the general objectives of the occupation. Basic wage rates in most Japanese industries also vary according to age, marital status, and length of service. The basic wage rate, on the other hand, often represents only a minor portion of total earnings, because of the payment of several varieties of special allowances and bonuses. Particularly frequent are family allowances for workers who have large families to support; premiums for length of service; payments for regular attendance at work; and, lately, also special “ price allowances” designed to compensate for the increasing cost of living. In addition, several types of quarterly or semiannual bonuses are being paid, frequently not on any rational basis or in accordance with any established plan, but—as stated by the Committee ‘ gov erned by the whim of the employer.” Other complicating factors are the frequent use of payments in kind and the provision, especially in the textile industry, of board and lodging as part of compensation. The complexity of the Japanese wage structure is only partly the result of wartime measures and of inflation. Wage supplements of various forms were prevalent in the prewar period as were also pay ments in kind and provision of board and lodging.17 The wage struc ture reflects the feudal philosophy of wages, aiming not so much at is M onthly Labor Review, October 1945 (p. 655), gives th e average daily wage of males as about $1.25 and th a t of females as about 75 cents or less for some years preceding W orld W ar II; detailed figures of male and female wages w ithin industries are given in table 5 (p. 656) and in IL O , Industrial Labor in Japan, op. cit. (p. 200). In A ugust 1946, average daily wages in m anufacturing were 26.42 yen for male workers and 11.74 yen for female workers, according to Sum m ation of N on-M ilitary Activities in Japan (No. 13 for October 1946, p. 170). N o exchange rate has as yet been established for th e yen. 17 See IL O , In d u strial Labor in Japan, op. cit. (p. 196 if.). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 250 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 compensation for the productive effort as at assuring the subsistence— on a very low level—of the employee and his family, and at rewarding him for his loyalty to the employer. The complexities of this system “ not only tend to confuse collective bargaining but also—especially through age and sex differentials—to encourage excessive use of child labor and women at substandard wages.’’ While the Committee left the details of the necessary reform to be worked out after further studies, its general conclusions were stated in the following way: Two long-range goals—to be achieved mainly by means other than legislation— should be (a) to simplify the wage and salary structure by minimizing the impor tance of special allowances not included in the basic wage, and (b) to tie the basic wage rate as closely as possible to the nature of the work performed, rather than to personal characteristics such as age and sex, etc. It is recognized that family allowances and other special payments may be necessary and useful during the present emergency; but after the emergency, the Committee believes that a sound economy will be best promoted by relating compensation as closely as possible to individual productivity. If the bonus system survives in some form—it seems to be partic ularly rooted in the Japanese tradition—it should be regularized and embodied in profit-sharing plans or in other contractual arrangements. The Future of Protective Labor Legislation The Committee found that the extensive and complex body of protective labor laws and regulations evolved in Japan over a period of several decades had been largely suspended during wartime. These rules have been restored to their prewar status—on paper, at least. Their provisions cover most of the subjects dealt with by protective legislation in other industial countries, such as safety and hygiene, standard clauses for labor contracts, hours of work, rest periods and rest days, and special measures for the protection of working women and children. The scope of enterprises and workers covered is, however, limited. Labor protection in manufacturing is better developed than in the other broad segments of industry but applies (with some exceptions) only to workers in factories employing 10 or more persons. Thus, the large proportion of the Japanese labor force employed in small workshops is excluded from protection. The labor standards estab lished are very low, compared with those in western countries and in the draft conventions and recommendations of the International Labor Organization. The present Factory Act, for instance, fixes no limit on working time except that women and young persons under the age of 16 years may not do actual work for more than 10 hours a day in the shops covered by the law. The weekly hours are not specifically limited, and only 2 rest days are prescribed in every month. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ECONOMIC POLICY 251 The limited scope and the low standards of protection reflect the spirit and the social and economic conditions of prewar Japan: the prevailing paternalistic philosophy, which based the worker’s well-being upon his employer’s good intentions (Onjo Shugi, literally, “warmheartedness”) ; the composition of the Japanese labor force, recruited mostly from the rural population, largely girls and women, accustomed to exacting working conditions and to frugal ways of living; and an economic policy of low production costs in the interest of fostering exports. The Committee reached four general conclusions: (1) Administration and enforcement machinery must be rebuilt from the ground up, if the program is to exist in more than name. Inadequate even before the war, the present machinery is hopelessly ineffective. More adequate budgets and personnel, stronger enforcement powers, and fundamental administrative changes are indispensable. (2) Coverage should be extended to important groups of workers who are now largely or wholly unprotected. Especially important is the present exclusion of small factories and work shops, which include a large fraction of Japan’s manufacturing workers; workers in many other important industries, also, now lack protection. (3 ) The basic human rights of workers have never, because of Japan’s feudal and paternalistic background, been properly recognized or protected. The mobility and dignity of labor should be assured by adequate standards covering such matters as labor contracts, industrial discipline, apprenticeship, involuntary servitude, and dormitories. (4) Other basic standards—covering such matters as working hours, safety and sanitation, child labor, and the protection of women workers—should be raised to a level compatible with the new status of labor in Japan. In its specific proposals, the Committee also dealt with amendments to the existing laws which were prepared by the Japanese Welfare Ministry and are intended to form the draft of a new Labor Standards Act.18 In the Committee’s opinion, one of the main issues raised by such legislation might be the maintenance of— a proper balance between two somewhat contrary objectives . . . the goal of extending protection to as many groups of workers as possible and the practical problem of applying immediate measures to those enterprises in which effective enforcement can be reasonably expected. Likewise, the program adopted must be realistic in terms of the current economic emergency; there will be some measures that are entirely practicable in the long run, but cannot be rigidly enforced so long as acute shortages of materials, equipment, and supplies continue. The Committee itself was divided in its attitude as to one of the most important provisions of the proposed legislation—the legal definition of maximum work hours. Regarding the establishment of a standard workday and workweek, at least in manufacturing, the members were in agreement. A majority considered the 8-hour day n Public hearings on th e d raft were held in September 1946 according to Sum m ation of N on-M ilitary A ctivities in Jap an (No. 14 for N ovem ber 1946, p. 163). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 252 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1947 and the 48-hour week as immediately feasible; others believed a longer workday might be necessary during the present emergency. The Committee was unanimous again in favoring the legal requirement of, at least, 1 day of rest a week; legal restrictions of child labor; more extended protection of women; and other provisions which would strengthen the status and the dignity of labor. Employment Policies and the Future of the Public Employment Service Measures for labor protection—such as shortening of the work hours, controlling and restricting the employment of women, and raising the minimum age of child labor—also affect the size of the labor supply and may be used continuously to limit the number of persons in the labor force. In the Committee’s opinion, however, they should be used for such a purpose only if no way can be found to assure the productive use of all available manpower, and thus prevent mass unemployment. The Committee believed that Japan’s success in overcoming her immediate economic problems and rebuilding a healthy economy will depend largely on the constructive use of her labor resources. As the Committee sees it, this goal can be reached only by careful planning, flexibly adjusted to whatever limits are placed on the economy by reparations policies, use of natural resources, and export-import possibilities. Within these limits, the policy should aim at the highest possible level of production consistent with the materials and facilities available. A program of public works administered to dovetail with fluctuations in private employment would be an important part of such a long-range employment policy. A public works scheme is also basic to the short-range employment program recommended by the Committee. The exact extent of unemployment, as of the spring of 1946, could not be determined, because its volume was partly concealed (1) by the large exodus from the cities which had swollen the farm population far beyond agricultural labor needs, and (2) by the great numbers of people in the cities formerly engaged in productive occupations whose incomes are now derived from nonproductive trading. But unemployment was already considerable, and the Committee expected it to become dangerously high during the long postponed reconversion of Japanese industry. It will be increased by the millions of repatriates who will create an additional source of labor supply.19 lS According to th e Sum m ation of N on-M ilitary A ctivities in Jap an (No. 11 for August.1946, p. 174), the Japanese M in istry of H ealth and Welfare estim ated th a t by the end of 1946 the num ber of unem ployed w ould approxim ate 6,800,000. T h e highest prew ar unem ploym ent figure was officially reported as 471,000 in 1931. In 1939, it had dropped to 185,000 (M onthly Labor Review, October 1945, p. 654). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis E C O N O M IC P O L IC Y 253 It seemed evident to the Committee that private employment could not absorb the available labor supply in the immediate future. The Committee therefore called for “ an aggressive program of public works to use idle labor in ways which will aid in the production or distribution of essential commodities, especially food, clothing, shelter, and fuel.” The Committee also developed principles for the execution of such a program, based partly upon the American experi ence of the 1930’s. In the meantime these principles have been accepted by the Japanese Government. However, according to available information, the program itself was delayed by financial considerations but now seems to be getting into action.20 According to the Committee’s recommendations, the public employ ment service should be important in any phase of the employment program. The Japanese system of public labor exchanges dates back to 1921. Its development was fostered by a growing public control of private recruitment agencies.21 The final report states that mem bers of the Committee found local employment offices to be operating surprisingly well, considering the extremely difficult circumstances. However, the existing organization of public employment offices should be strengthened, both by more adequate budgets and by im proved administrative control and supervision. The Committee expressed its opposition to a placement monopoly by the public employment offices which apparently existed during wartime. It assumed that labor bosses and recruiting agents (the traditional employment agents in Japan) would prove themselves “ uneconomic and archaic” if the facilities of the employment offices were sufficiently expanded in scope and efficiency, but that the way should be left open for individual recruitment and job seeking. The Committee’s detailed findings and recommendations on the employment service were immediately placed in the hands of the Japanese Government and are beingiusedjor developing and strength ening this service. Changes in Labor Administration Labor programs of the importance and character indicated above can succeed only if two forces are in operation: (1) Labor and man agement must learn to develop indispensable initiative; and (2) Government must be qualified and willing to support and control this initiative within the framework of broader national policies. To fulfill its functions, the Japanese Government should develop ade quate machinery for labor administration. In the Committee’s so Sum m ation of N o n -M ilitary A ctivities in Jap an (No. 12 for Septem ber 1946, p . 158). si For details see IL O , In d u strial Labor in Japan, op. cit. (p. 159). 728607— 47------ 7 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 254 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 opinion, the present machinery is in “ need of thorough overhauling” on the national as well as on the local level. In every democratic modern industrial nation, effective labor administration has required the establishment of a single agency, responsible for all functions involved in a comprehensive labor program, and not required to deal with unre lated functions. To assure th at labor considerations are effectively presented and have adequate weight in the development of national policies, this agency should be, and almost invariably is, of cabinet rank. Japan’s present adminis trative structure does not meet this standard. Nationally, most labor functions are located in two of the seven bureaus of the Ministry of Public Health and Welfare. Certain functions are, however, performed by other ministries in connection with specific industries or groups of employees. The Transportation Ministry, for example, is responsible for maritime workers and rail road employees; the Ministry of Commei-ce and Industry administers labor programs in coal mining and in Government monopolies. The Committee strongly urged the establishment of a strong and inde pendent Ministry of Labor to which the labor functions of the Minis try of Public Health and Welfare and of the other ministries con cerned should be transferred. The Committee presented, at the same time, recommendations on the internal organization of such a Labor Ministry, based upon dis cussions in which Japanese officials participated. No decision appears to have been made as yet on the creation of a Labor Ministry, which was frequently demanded in the prewar period by Japanese liberals and Japanese labor.22 The local administration of labor matters is handled at present by units in the prefectural governments, which are administratively controlled by the Home Ministry. The Committee recommends that the local and intermediate levels of labor administration shall be part of, and directly responsible to, the new Labor Ministry. Finally, the Committee stated that “nationally and locally, some provision should be made for the participation of representatives of workers, employers, and the general public in the development and interpretation of policies.” Such provision seems particularly needed in a country like Japan with its pattern of bureaucratic direction and centralization. 22 In d u strial L abor in Japan, op. cit. (p. 152). T h e C om m ittee considered such a step as “indispens able if the present defects and weaknesses of Japanese labor adm inistration are to be corrected.” https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Industrial Relations L a b o r R e c o m m e n d a tio n s in P r e s id e n t’s M essage to C ongress I n h is message to Congress on the state of the Union, the President referred to the strife that had characterized labor-management rela tions in 1946/ but “we must not, however, adopt punitive legislation.’' Management shared with labor the responsibility for failure to reach agreements whereby strikes wouM have been averted. For this reason, it must bf realized that “industrial peace cannot be achieved merely by laws directed against labor unions.” Collective bargaining for the determination of wages and working conditions—which has been established as a national policy in the past decade and a half— should be continued and strengthened. To correct certain abuses and to provide additional governmental assistance in the bargaining process, legislation is needed. Attention should also be given to the causes of labor-management difficulties. Specifically, a 4-point program to reduce industrial strife was urged, as follows: (1) The early enactment of legislation to prevent certain unjustifiable practices; (2) the extension of facilities within the United States Department of Labor for assisting collective bargaining; (3) the broadening of social legislation to alleviate the causes of work ers’ insecurity; and (4) the appointment by Congress of a temporary joint commission to inquire into the entire field of labor-management relations. The President recommended legislation to prevent jurisdictional disputes whereby the public and the employer are inj ured because of “a collision between rival unions,” which he called indefensible. Legislation is also desirable to prevent strikes by minority unions to compel employers to deal with them, in spite of the legal requirement under the National Labor Relations Act that employers must bargain with the majority union. Provision must also be made for peaceful and binding determination of questions as to labor-union jurisdiction in the performance of particular tasks. A secondary boycott which is used to further jurisdictional disputes or to compel employers to violate the terms of the NLRA was pointed * W hite H ouse release of Jan u ary 6,1947. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 255 256 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 out as being unjustifiable. However, the President stated that not all secondary boycotts are unjustifiable and that there should not be a blanket prohibition against boycotts. Legislation should prohibit secondary boycotts in pursuance of unjustifiable objectives, but should not impair the right of unions to preserve their existence and their gains made through collective bargaining. Regarding the practice of using economic force by either labor or management to decide issues arising out of the interpretation of exist ing contracts, the President stated, that should be corrected. Under the most enlightened union-management relationships, disputes over the interpretation of contract terms are settled peaceably by negotia tion and arbitration between the parties. For the settlement of disputes concerning the interpretation of existing agreements, ma chinery should be provided by law ; either party could apply to such a body for final and binding arbitration. Lack of clear understanding by labor and management as to their responsibility for settling disputes through their own negotiations was cited by the President as one obstacle to the avoidance of labor strife. Extension of facilities within the Department of Labor for aid in the collective-bargaining process and integration of governmental ma chinery would facilitate and expedite the settlement of disputes. Such governmental machinery is needed to provide mediation, volun tary arbitration, and finally, if appropriate, ascertainment of the facts of the dispute and a report to the public. A broadened program of social legislation to alleviate the causes of workers’ insecurity in an industrial society would supplement laborrelations legislation in the solution of labor-management difficulties. According to the President’s statement, “the Congress should consider the extension and broadening of our Social Security System, better housing, a comprehensive national health program, and provision for a fair minimum wage.” A commission to inquire into labor-management relations was recom mended by the President, its membership to consist of 20 persons of whom 12 would be chosen by Congress from the members of both parties in the House of Representatives and the Senate and 8 would be appointed by the President to represent the public, management, and labor. The commission should be charged with investigating and making recommendations upon (1) the special and unique prob lem of Nation-wide strikes in vital industries affecting the public in terest; (2) the best methods and procedures for carrying out the col lective-bargaining process; and (3) the underlying causes of labor-man agement disputes. The President recommended that this commission should make its first report not later than March 15, 1947, and that specific legislative proposals should be included. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 257 IN D U S T R IA L R E L A T IO N S Jo b s C o v ered b y C o lle ctiv e B a rg a in in g , U . S. O ffsh o re M e rc h a n t M a rin e , F e b ru a ry 1 9 4 6 1 p p r o x i m a t e l y 9 out of 10 jobs of licensed or unlicensed personnel aboard vessels in the U. S. offshore merchant marine were covered by collective bargaining agreements in February 1946, according to a study of the extent of job coverage by collective bargaining on vessels controlled by the War Shipping Administration. Since WSA ships represented 94 percent of the total active U. S. merchant fleet of vessels of 1,000 gross tons and over at that time, information on them offers a fairly complete picture of the extent of collective bargaining in the U. S. merchant marine. It is believed that complete data on offshore merchant vessels would indicate a slightly lower figure than 91 percent, the estimated proportion of jobs on WSA-controlled ships covered by signed union agreements or by certifications of unions as bargaining agents. Ships under private operation at that time, representing approximately 6 percent of the U. S. active merchant fleet, were not as extensively organized as the WSA vessels. The extent of collective bargaining on WSA-controlled vessels has increased steadily in the past 2 years. The proportion of jobs covered in February 1946, 91.3 percent, compares with 84.9 percent in June 1945 and 80.5 percent in February 1944. The total number of jobs on these vessels in February 1946 was estimated at 164,900.2 Among the 150,600 jobs on which formal collective bargaining was in effect, only 2 percent represented jobs covered by certifications of unions as bargaining agents by the National Labor Relations Board. The remaining jobs were under union control through signed agreements with the shipping companies acting as operating agents of the WSA. Organization was more extensive on cargo types than on tankers, as the following estimates for February 1946 show: A Total iobs on W S A vessels All classes of vessels- ___________ 164, 900 Cargo1 _ _ _ ___________ 141, 600 ______ 23, 300 Tanker___ Jobs controlled by unions Number Percent 150, 600 134, 300 16, 300 91. 3 94. 8 69. 7 • Cargo vessels include passenger and combination passenger and freight vessels, used as troop and cargo carriers. 1 Prepared b y H erm an M . Sturm in th e Planning and Control Office, Division of R ecruitm ent and M anning, U. S. M aritim e Commission. Among sources utilized in preparing estim ates were All Vessels under the Control of W ar Shipping A dm inistration (R eport 190-92, as of January 15, 1946), prepared by the D ivision of Operations; Agents of W ar Shipping A dm inistration and their U nion Agreements as of February 1, 1946, prepared b y the Labor Agreements Division; m anning tables derived from tabulations of seamen engaged on U. S. flag vessels, prepared b y the Division of Economics and Statistics, U. S. M ari tim e Commission. a This does not include cadet trainees, who are n o t covered ip collective bargaining negotiations. T he total num ber of m en actually engaged on U. S. flag W SA vessels in February was approxim ately 157,300. T he difference is accounted for prim arily by vessels in process of being w ithdraw n from active service. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 258 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 Changes in the size and operating control of the merchant fleet since February 1946 have been very considerable. Although the number of ships remaining active has fallen off, private operations have increased greatly, compared with the number of Governmentoperated ships; many vessels have been laid up, and others are being converted into other types or scrapped. The resulting decline in employment, however, will probably not seriously alter the over-all extent of union job control in the offshore merchant marine, nor the relative bargaining strength of individual organizations. Principal Labor Organizations Represented Licensed deck and engine officers.—The National Organization Mas ters, Mates and Pilots of America (MMP) is affiliated with the American Federation of Labor. Its membership is limited to licensed deck personnel, and includes officers aboard vessels operating off the Atlantic, Pacific, and Gulf coasts. The National Marine Engineers Beneficial Association (MEBA) is affiliated with the Congress of Industrial Organizations. Its jurisdiction covers licensed engine department personnel aboard vessels operating off all three coasts. The United Licensed Officers of the U. S. A. (ULO), which was unaffiliated in February 1946, includes both deck and engine officers, and membership is concentrated mainly on vessels berthing at Atlantic Coast ports. The ULO became affiliated with District 50 of the United Mine Workers (AFL) in November 1946. Radio officers.—The principal radio officers’ organizations are the American Communications Association (Marine Division) and the Radio Officers Union of the Commercial Telegraphers Union. The former (ACA) is affiliated with the CIO; and the latter (CTU) is an AFL affiliate. Both organizations have Nation-wide jurisdictions. Pursers.—The principal union of pursers is the American Merchant Marine Staff Officers Association (AMMSOA), affiliated with the AFL. Unlicensed personnel.—The National Maritime Union of America (NMU) is affiliated with the CIO. The union has contracts mainly with Atlantic and Gulf shipping companies; its jurisdiction includes unlicensed deck, engine, and steward department personnel. The Seafarers International Union (SIU) is an AFL affiliate covering sea men in the unlicensed deck, engine, and steward departments. SIU agreements cover mainly vessels in Atlantic and Gulf Coast shipping; on the Pacific Coast the Sailors Union of the Pacific (SUP), affiliated with the SIU, covers unlicensed deck personnel, and in a few com panies, unlicensed members of the engine and stewards’ departments. The National Union of Marine Cooks and Stewards (MCS) is a CIO https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 259 IN DUSTRIAL RELATIONS affiliate covering stewards, cooks, bakers, messmen, and similar steward-department ratings, on vessels operated by Pacific Coast companies. The Pacific Coast Marine Firemen, Oilers, Watertenders, and Wipers Association (MFOWW) is an unaffiliated union covering unlicensed engine department personnel, on vessels of Pacific Coast shipping lines. Subsequent sections present estimates comparing the extent of job coverage or control by each of these organizations. In comparing figures for organizations, it is essential to bear in mind that size is not always the most important factor in analyzing particular collective bargaining situations. Various other factors, such as the effect of affiliated relationships, regional concentrations, and rival jurisdictions, are often of equal or greater importance. Of particular significance is the fact that representation is spread among many organizations on a single ship. Vessels of some West Coast steamship companies, for example, were manned by MMP deck officers, MEBA engine officers, ACA radio officers, AMMSOA pursers, SUP unlicensed deck personnel, MFOWW unlicensed engine personnel, and MCS steward-department men. Vessels of other operators may have the CTU as the representative of the radio officers, or the NMU or SIU as the sole bargaining agent for unlicensed men. In still other cases some of the occupational groups may be covered by agreements with one of these organizations and others may be completely without collective bargaining representation. Union Coverage by Ratings Union coverage of jobs through signed agreements or NLRB certi fications varied among ratings groups from 34 to 96 percent; the lowest coverage was among pursers and the highest among radio officers. Total jobs All ratings groups, _ .. ___________ ____ 164,900 Licensed deck and engine __ __ _____ 31, ____ 3, Pursers__ _ _ — ----____ 4, Radio officers _ __ ____ 125, Unlicensed deck, engine, and steward 800 100 300 700 Jobs covered, by 11 principal unions Number Percent 150, 600 91. 3 27, 1, 4, 117, 87. 33. 96. 93. 600 100 100 800 1 9 0 8 The proportion of each union’s coverage of ratings groups is shown in table 1. It should be emphasized that these figures do not represent the membership strength of the unions, but their job control or cover age. The table, which compares percentage control of single depart ment unions separately from those of multi-department unions, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 260 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 illustrates the difficulty, because of overlapping, in making comparisons of control among unions. This is especially true of unlicensed person nel groups. For example, the NMU share of unlicensed deck, engine, and steward jobs was 61,900, or 49 percent of the total of these groups. In comparison, the SIU-SUP share was 32,000, or 25.5 percent of this total. However, the MFOWW and MCS likewise represented sub stantial proportions of the men in the engine and steward departments, respectively, but the percentages are not comparable with figures for the NMU or SIU-SUP, which include all three departments in their jurisdiction. T able 1.— J o b covera g e b y p r i n c i p a l u n io n s e n g a g ed in c o llective b a rg a in in g a n d b y r a tin g s g r o u p s , W S A vesse ls, F e b r u a r y 1 9 4 6 Single-departm ent unions N um ber of jobs R atings groups All ratings___ . . _ Licensed deck......... ................ . Licensed engine......................... P u r s e r s ....................... ....... . R adio.......................................... Unlicensed deck____ _____ Unlicensed engine__________ Stew ard d e p artm e n t_______ M ulti-departm ent unions Job coverage 1 N am e of union N um ber P e r cent Job coverage 1 N am e of union N um ber P er cent 164,900 16, 200 M M P ______ 15,600 M E B A _____ 3,100 A M M S O A -C A _______ 4,300 /A Ì.C TU .............. 43,700 44.000 M F O W W ... 38.000 M C S _______ 13.100 13.100 1,100 2,800 1,300 12,800 11,100 81.3 j u L O ........... . 84.0 33.9 64.8 j . .................... 31.2 29.1 Irns imu -us ______ u p .... 29.3 1,400 4.4 61,900 32,000 49.2 25.5 1 Figures for each organization are estim ates of the num ber of jobs covered both by signed union agreem ent and by N L R B certifications. Union Coverage (A ll Jobs) by Organization and Affiliation The distribution of union coverage on all jobs, regardless of occupa tional or department jurisdictional lines, is shown in table 2. In 1946, the NMU had 37 percent as its share of the total jobs on WSA vessels, followed by the SIU-SUP with 19.5 percent. The NMP and MEBA each negotiated for about 8 percent of the jobs in the industry, and other organizations represented smaller numbers of jobs. T able 2.—- U n io n coverage o f a ll jo b s a b o a rd W S A vessels, b y o rg a n iz a tio n , F e b r u a r y 1 9 4 6 Organization M M P _____________________ M E B A ____________________ U L O ______________________ A M M SO A ________________ ACA C T U _______________ N M U _____________________ Jobs 13.100 13.100 1, 400 1, 100 2,800 1, 300 61,900 Percent 7.9 7.9 .9 .6 1.7 .8 37.5 Organization S IU -SU P M FO W W M CS O ther 1 T otal i Includes m inor independent organizations and unorganized. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Jobs Percent 32, 000 12,800 11,100 14,300 19.5 7.8 6.7 8.7 164,900 100.0 261 IN DUSTRIAL RELATIONS As the following figures show, CIO unions controlled roughly twice as many jobs as AFL groups in February 1946: Percent CIO (MEBA, ACA, NMU, MCS)______________________ AFL (MMP, AMMSOA, CTU, SIU -SU P)________ ____ Unaffiliated (ULO, MFOWW)_________________________ Other (including unorganized)_________________________ 53. 8 28.8 8. 7 8. 7 Total_________________________________________ 100. 0 An estimated 14,300 jobs, or 8.7 percent of the total on WSA vessels, were not covered by formal collective-bargaining procedures in February 1946, [or were covered by agreements with 8 smaller independent organizations, each of which, according to available information, bad contracts with but one company. The number of jobs for which these organizations had agreements on WSAcontrolled ships was approximately 2,400. The single-firm unions are strongest on tanker vessels, a large proportion of which had been returned to private-company operation in February 1946. Altogether there are at least 15 separate unions of this type, 7 of which represented employees of companies operating non-WSA vessels which were not covered in the above figures. It is estimated that the total number of jobs covered by the single-firm unions, including those on both WSA and privately controlled vessels, was 5,000 in February 1946. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Labor-Management Disputes C o n tro v e rsie s a n d S ig n ific an t D e v e lo p m e n ts, J a n u a ry 1 9 4 7 T h e d i s p u t e s picture in the first month of 1947 was in marked con trast to that which existed in January 1946. Few strikes of more than minor local importance occurred during January 1947. The total number of workers involved in work stoppages at any one time during the month seldom exceeded 60,000 as against a peak figure of approx imately 1,600,000 at the convergence of the steel, electrical, auto mobile, and meat-packing strikes of late January 1946. Idleness occasioned by labor-management controversies this January was only about one-fifteenth as great as in the corresponding month of last year. Perhaps even more significant was the tenor and temper of col lective-bargaining negotiations manifested by labor and management alike in January 1947. Outstanding in this category was the agree ment, on January 24, of the United Steelworkers (CIO) and the United States Steel Corp., to extend the contract provisions of their agree ment from its original expiration date of February 15 to April 30. This step was taken, company and union officials explained, in the “ joint interest in maintaining peaceful industrial relations” and to permit greater time to discuss proposed contract changes. Almost simultaneously with the announcement that the steel negotiations would take a more leisurely course, the United Automobile Workers (CIO) stated that its contract with the Chrysler Corp. had been extended for 1 month from its late January expiration date. The American Federation of Labor, through statements of its leaders, heralded 1947 as a “year of opportunity.” In the January issue of the Federation’s Labor’s Monthly Survey, the AFL declared: “ This is to be a year of promise and of danger for American workers. Promise: Because wise policies can raise workers’ living standards to the highest level ever reached. Danger: Because industry has a difficult adjustment to make this year; hasty and irresponsible action by unions or employers could bring about a depression with wide spread loss of jobs and incomes for workers. Hasty action by Con gress could destroy workers’ freedom and limit collective bargaining. 262 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis LABOR-M ANAGEM ENT DISPUTES 263 If ever there was a year which called for good judgment and economic statesmanship on the part of unions, employers, and Congressmen it is 1947.” President Truman, at a special press conference February 1, 1947, declared that “ we have had good labor news during the past 10 days.” He followed this observation with an announcement of a comprehensive plan to preserve industrial peace in the construction industry developed by the Associated General Contractors and the AFL Building and Construction Trades Department. A few days earlier, Secretary of Labor Schwellenbach, testifying before the Senate Committee on Labor and Public Welfare, stated that if labor and management are given a reasonable opportunity to work out their problems between themselves a repetition of the widespread controver sies which prevailed in the final months of 1945 and early 1946 is not likely to reoccur. In this connection, also, the Bureau of Labor Statistics in releasing preliminary estimates of work stoppages in 1946 (see below) observed that if the industrial disputes pattern of 1919-20, following World War I, constitutes a parallel for the period following the recent war, the Nation, during 1947, may expect some what fewer work stoppages and a substantial drop in the number of large strikes. WWW R ev iew o f W o rk S to p p ag es in 1 9 4 6 b o u t 4,700 work stoppages due to labor-management disputes occurred in 1946, according to preliminary estimates of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. These stoppages involved approximately 4,650,000 workers and resulted in about 113,000,000 man-days of idleness in the plants or establishments directly affected by the controversies. For the year as a whole, time lost as a direct result of stoppages amounted to about 1.5 percent of the total estimated working time. Wages were the paramount issue in most controversies. Preserva tion of “ take-home” pay was emphasized in many reconversion wage disputes while later in the year, after the easing and subsequent abandonment of price controls, demands for pay increases to match rising living costs became more frequent. In the preceding year, 4,750 work stoppages, involving 3,467,000 workers, were recorded. Lost-time in 1945 was estimated at 38,025,000 man-days. February marked the crest of reconversion labor-management dis putes in 1946. During that month, the large stoppages in steel, electrical manufacturing, and automobiles brought the lost-time figure to approximately 23,000,000 man-days. Later stoppages, notably bituminous coal in April-May and again in November-December, and A https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 264 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 the maritime disputes in the autumn, also contributed substantially to the year’s total idleness. Strike activity declined to its lowest level of the year in December when only 180 new stoppages occurred. These disputes involved but 95,000 workers. Including disputes continued from earlier months, a total of 400 stoppages involving approximately 525,000 workers were in effect at one time or another during December. Idleness for December was estimated at 3,065,000 man-days, less than any month since the end of the war. M o n th ly tr e n d in w o r k sto p p a g e s , 1 9 4 6 1 Stoppages beginning in m onth M an-days idle (all stop pages) M onth N um ber Jan u a ry ________________ _ _ ----------- ----------------------------------F e b ru a ry ------------------M a r c h ._ _______ . . . -------------------------A pril_____ __________ _ . _ ___ ------ -- __ M a y ______ _________________ . . ---------J u n e ___ ______ _________ . ------- --------------J u ly ----------------------- ------ ---------------------------A ugust__________ _ _ . . . --------------------------Septem ber__________ ____ _ . . . ------ ------ -O c to b e r .___ ______ . . . . . .. N ovem ber....... ............................. ........ D ecem ber____ _____________________________ 325 275 420 495 380 375 525 515 450 450 310 180 W orkers in volved 1,400,000 130,000 165, 000 575,000 560.000 175, 000 190, 000 240,000 380,000 290,000 450,000 95,000 N um ber Percent of estim ated working tim e (all indus tries) 19, 750, 000 23, 000,000 13,825, 000 15,550, 000 12,360, 000 4. 475.000 3,300,000 3,425, 000 5,000,000 4, 500,000 4, 750,000 3,065,000 3.1 4.2 2.3 2.4 1.9 .7 .5 .5 .8 .6 .7 .4 1 D ata are prelim inary and subject to revision. Figures for some m onths have been adjusted on the basis of later information received. The statistics include all known work stoppages, arising out of labor-manage m ent disputes, involving six or more workers and continuing as long as a full day or shift. Figures on “ workers involved” and “ m an-days idle” cover all workers made idle in establishm ents directlÿ involved in a stoppage. T hey do not measure the indirect or secondary effects on other establishm ents or industries whose employees are made idle as a result of m aterial or service shortages. A c tiv itie s o f th e U . S. C o n c ilia tio n S erv ice in D e ce m b e r 1 9 4 6 D u r i n g December 1946 the United States Conciliation Service termi nated 1,021 disputes involving 373,118 employees—approximately 1 percent fewer than were closed in the previous month. The number of threatened stoppages and controversies terminated increased about 5 percent over November while the number of work stoppages settled declined more than 15 percent. The latter decline is a result of the comparatively few work stoppages which began dur ing November and December. In December more than 76 percent of all work stoppages terminated involved the issue of wages. Stoppages caused by unresolved griev ances accounted for 9.8 percent of the total stoppages terminated, as compared with 11.1 percent in November and 18.4 percent in October. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 265 LABOR-M ANAGEM ENT DISPUTES C a se s c lo s e d b y th e U . S . C o n c ilia tio n S e rv ic e in D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 6 , b y t y p e o f s itu a tio n a n d ty p e o f d is p o s itio n T otal W ork stoppages Threatened work stop pages controversies O ther situations M ethod of handling W ork Cases Work Cases W ork Cases Work Cases Work ers Cases ers ers ers ers All m ethods___ ______ __________ 1,221 409, 698 235 177, 993 446 135, 518 336 59. 404 841 315 533 70 20, 169 22 1, 571 200 172, 843 918 8 10 1, 232 375 90, 701 33 17,374 162 6 266 51, 989 29 1,877 6 177 Settled b y co n ciliatio n .--........ ....... D ispute called off_______________ Unable to a d ju st________________ Referred to N L R B and other agencies. __ ___________ ____ Referred to a rb itra tio n -. _______ C onsent elections and union m em berships _ . - ___ . Decisions rendered in a rb itra tio n .. Technical services com pleted____ M iscellaneous services__________ 51 6 328 33 29,314 15 2 2.285 715 23 3.103 9 24,178 4 203 1 64 8, 036 33 3.960 103 24,584 13 22 204 36, 783 910 4,421 4 203 64 8 036 33 3,960 103 24,584 1 T his figure includes 3 arb itratio n cases in which settlem ents other th a n arbitration decisions were made. M e d ia tio n E x p e rts A c ce p t S ervice W ith U . S. C o n c ilia tio n S erv ice 1 T w e n t y - s i x nationally known experts in labor relations have con sented to act as a panel of special conciliators in major industrial disputes for the Conciliation Service of the U. S. Department of Labor. Each conciliator will be assigned to a particular dispute in accordance with his background and experience for handling the problems in the particular industry or area in which the controversy arises, and his work will supplement that of the regular Conciliation staff. The appointees have agreed to leave their permanent pursuits, on call. Creation of the panel implements the first step of a four-point program for expanding the Government’s voluntary mediation machinery. This program was recently recommended to the Service by its bipartite Labor-Management Advisory Committee, in a state ment of policy which had been concurred in unanimously. The plan also provides for the use of tripartite mediation, voluntary arbitration, and emergency boards of inquiry.2 The special conciliation panel consists of the following members: Aaron, Benjamin, Los Angeles, Calif., attorney. Formerly, Executive Secretary, National War Labor Board, and Chairman, U. S. Secre tary of Labor’s Fact-Finding Boards in Pacific Gas and Electric, and Coos Bay cases. 1 U. S. D ep artm en t of Labor, Press release, Jan u ary 5, 1947 (S47-735). 2 See Labor-M anagem ent Policy for U. S. Conciliation Service, M onthly Labor Review, January 1947 (P. 81). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 266 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW'— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 New York, N. Y., attorney, and member, New York City Board of Transportation. Formerly, Chairman, National War Labor Board, and Director of Office of Economic Stabilization. Dewey, Ja m es, Chester, Pa., member, Pennsylvania State Mediation Board. Former member of staff, U. S. Conciliation Service. Feinsinger, N a th a n P ., Madison, Wis., professor of law, University of Wisconsin Law School. Formerly, public member, National War Labor Board, Chairman, President’s Fact-Finding Board for Steel Industry, and Chairman, Secretary of Labor’s Fact-Finding Boards in Pacific Gas and Electric, and Milwaukee Gas Light cases. F ly, Ja m es Lawrence, New York, N. Y., attorney. Formerly, Chair man, Federal Communications Commission, and Chairman, Secre tary of Labor’s Fact-Finding Board for West Coast Longshore Industry. Fox, N oel, Muskegon, Mich., attorney. Former member of Michigan State Mediation Board and of regular staff, U. S. Conciliation Service. Garrison, L lo y d K ., New York, N. Y., attorney. Formerly, Chair man, National War Labor Board, dean of law school, University of Wisconsin, and Chairman, President’s Fact-Finding Board in General Motors case. Graham, F ra n k P ., Chapel Hill, N. C., president, University of North Carolina. Formerly, public member, National War Labor Board, and Chairman, Secretary of Labor’s Fact-Finding Board for Oil Industry. H arbison, Frederick H ., Chicago, 111., executive officer, Industrial Relations Center, University of Chicago. Formerly, public mem ber, Chicago Regional War Labor Board. H epburn, W illia m , Tuscaloosa, Ala., professor of law, University of Alabama. Formerly, vice chairman, Atlanta Regional War Labor Board. H o p k in s, W illia m S ., Stanford, Calif., professor of labor economics, Stanford University. Formerly, public member, San Francisco Regional War Labor Board. K eenan, Joseph, Chicago, 111. Formerly, Vice Chairman of War Production Board. K err, Clark, Berkeley, Calif,, professor, School of Business Adminis tration, University of California, and Impartial Chairman, West Coast Longshore Industry. Formerly, member, Secretary of Labor’s Fact-Finding Boards for Meat Packing, Pacific Gas and Light cases. K estn b a u m , M eyer, Chicago, III., president, Hart, Schaffner & Marx. Formerly, public representative, National War Labor Board panels. D avis, W illia m H ., https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis LABOR-M ANAGEM ENT DISPUTES 267 Washington, D. C., director, Labor Organiza tion Study, with Johns Hopkins University. Formerly, member, National Labor Relations Board, and Chairman, National Media tion Board. M cG rady, E dw ard F ., Camden, N. J., vice president in charge of labor relations, R. C. A. Former Assistant Secretary of Labor (United States). M eyer, A r th u r S ., New York, N. Y., chairman, New York State Medi ation Board. M orley, F ra n k V ., New York, N. Y., publisher. Formerly, associate public member, National War Labor Board. Sew ard, R a lp h T ., Detroit, Mich., Umpire of General Motors Corp. and United Automobile Workers of America (CIO). Formerly, associate member, National War Labor Board. S h u lm a n , H a rry, New Haven, Conn., professor of law, Yale University, and Permanent Umpire, Ford Motor Co. and United Automobile Workers of America (CIO). S im k in , W illia m E ., Philadelphia, Pa., umpire and arbitrator for various textile and shipbuilding companies. Formerly, Chairman, Shipbuilding Commission, and Co-Chairman, Steel Commission, National War Labor Board, and Chairman, Secretary of Labor’s Fact-Finding Board in Greyhound Bus case. Taylor, George, Philadelphia, Pa., professor of industrial relations, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, and Chairman, Ad visory Committee, Office of War Mobilization and Reconversion. Formerly, Chairman, National War Labor Board. W allen, S a u l, Boston, Mass., arbitrator. Formerly Chairman, Boston Regional War Labor Board, Chairman, Secretary of Labor’s FactFinding Board in Western Union case, and member of Board_of Greyhound Bus case. W itte, E d w in E ., Madison, Wis., professor of economics, University of Wisconsin. Formerly, public member, National War Labor Board, and Chairman, Secretary of Labor’s Fact-Finding Board for Meat Packing Industry. W olf, H a rry D ., Chapel Hill, N. C., professor of economics, University of North Carolina. Formerly, public member, Atlanta Regional War Labor Board. W o lf, D avid A ., Detroit, Mich., attorney; Umpire, Chrysler Motor Corp. and United Automobile Workers of America (CIO); formerly, Chairman Automotive Panel, Detroit Regional War Labor Board. Leiserson, W illia m M ., https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Labor Laws and Decisions T h ir te e n th N a tio n a l C o n fe re n c e o n L a b o r L e g isla tio n F or the first time international as well as domestic labor standards were high-lighted at the Thirteenth National Conference on Labor Legislation called by the Secretary of Labor, L. B. Schwellenbach, in Washington, December 2, 3, and 4, 1946. The Conference was attended by representatives from 43 States and by representatives from Alaska and the District of Columbia. The delegates, numbering nearly 200, included State labor commis sioners and other State officials, as well as representatives of organized labor. The Secretary of Labor, in his opening address, reviewed progress during the past year in labor legislation and administration. He dis cussed continuing problems of wage earners in our postwar- economy, reported on the expanded activities of the United States Department of Labor, and outlined the services available to States through the Department’s various bureaus. In commenting on the increased activities of the Department, the Secretary said: International developments in the labor, economic, and social fields vitally affect the American worker. Participation by the United States in all phases of international relations is growing fast, as we all know. Consequently there has been a substantial increase in the duties and responsibilities of the Department of Labor in connection with international problems. Assistant Secretary David A. Morse, who has assumed responsi bility for the Department’s international affairs, discussed that pro gram and especially the responsibility of the United States toward the International Labor Organization. This Government has ratified few international treaties or conventions of this Organization, largely because the labor standards they embody are set in this country by State rather than Federal law. The Conference endorsed increased participation by States in the ILO program as proposed in pending amendments to the ILO consti tution. It urged the United States Department of Labor to bring together a representative group of employers and workers with a com mittee of State labor commissioners to determine which ILO con ventions or treaties are appropriate for submission to the States and to recommend ways and means of securing State action. 268 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis L A B O R L A W S A N D D E C IS IO N S 269 Committee Reports Recommendations for improving labor standards, which were made by five committees, appointed at the Conference, are summarized below. Safety and health and workmen's compensation.—Increased accident frequency rates since VJ-day have made it imperative that steps be taken to reduce this accident toll which results in the loss of thousands of lives and costs workers and employers an estimated 3)'i billion dollars a year. It was recommended that State labor departments be given sufficient personnel and adequate appropriations to render effective service to industrial establishments. Specific recommenda tions regarding safety and health included the development of a uniform safety code for the expanding construction industry, where accident rates are high, and the maritime industry, whose workers generally are not covered by State or Federal safety codes. The Conference urged States not having code-making authority to seek it in 1947 legislative sessions; elimination of conflicts between State codes and machine guarding at the source; and improvement of industrial hygiene and sanitation services, to be administered by State labor departments. Although workmen’s compensation laws have been in effect more than 30 years, 50 percent of the workers are still unprotected by this tvpe of social insurance. The Conference proposed broader coverage of workmen’s compensation laws and higher maximum benefits. Lifetime payments to employees who have sustained permanent total disability through work injuries, and payment of death benefits to widows and to dependent children under 18, were urged. Other recommendations were made for unlimited medical benefits, estab lishment of second-injury funds, double compensation for injuries to illegally employed minors, and correlation of the functions of work men’s compensation and rehabilitation agencies. Employment service and unemployment compensation.—The Confer ence delegates recommended that reasonably uniform standards and procedures should be strengthened by Federal-State cooperation in order that this country shall continue to have a Nation-wide network of public employment offices. The following recommendations were made with regard to the employment service offices, whose principal duties will be to maintain a high level of postwar employment: Equal referral opportunities based on occupational qualifications, without regard to sex, creed, or color; no referral to positions left vacant by a labor dispute; and referral of workers to most suitable and desirable jobs, regardless of State boundaries. It was also recom mended that States having large minority group populations should employ minority group personnel on their employment service staffs. 728607— 47------ 8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 270 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 Tt was recommended that unemployment compensation benefits be increased to bring maximum weekly payments to $25, payable for 26 weeks, and that payments be extended to cover all employees now excluded, including those of municipal, county, State, and Federal Governments, and to provide temporary benefits for seamen previously employed by the War Shipping Administration. The extension also would cover persons voluntarily separated for good cause, provide for payment of temporary disability insurance where State plans or laws authorize, and remove experience rating provisions from State unem ployment compensation laws. Labor education.—Recognizing that labor education is one of the most successful means of achieving intelligent industrial relations, the Conference endorsed the Division of Labor Standards’ Labor Educa tion Service—expanded after a recommendation made at last year’s Conference—and recommended increased appropriations for the fiscal year beginning July 1, 1947, for the operation of the service. This service prepares basic teaching guides on labor legislation, history and economics, grievance procedure, and other aspects of contract adminis tration. It also assists universities, unions, and other groups engaged in labor legislation to develop their own programs. Migratory workers.—Seasonal labor demands of certain industries require great numbers of workers at certain times of the year, but very few at other periods. These migratory workers are in special need of the legal protection denied them. Though their employment is irregular and their wages low, they are not generally protected by minimum-wage, wTage-payment, and wage-collection laws. The Conference stated that migratory workers should have protec tion under State and Federal law equal to that afforded other workers. It was recommended that legislation be passed to give the necessary authority to State labor departments and the United States Depart ment of Labor to carry out a program of protective measures for migratory workers. Regulation of wages and hours.—Because delegates considered the present 40-cent Federal minimum wage inadequate to cope with the increased cost of living, the Conference recommended that the mini mum be increased. The Conference also urged a Federal statute of limitations on the filing of wage claims, with similar limitations in State laws. It was further recommended that the Act be extended to cover all children employed in establishments engaged in or pro ducing for interstate commerce. Other recommendations called for State wage and hour laws for all workers, elimination of industrial home work, and provision for equal pay for women. These recommendations called for limiting working https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis LABOR LAW S AN D DECISIO NS 271 hours to 8 a day and 48 a week for women with special limitations for minors. It was proposed that night work for both men and women be reduced to the minimum necessary for essential processes and services, and in industries where night work is practiced, it was recommended that more desirable working conditions and shift differ entials in pay rates be provided. WWW R e c e n t D ecisio n s o f I n te r e s t to L a b o r 1 District Court Rulings in United M ine Workers Case On N o v e m b e r 18, 1946, the Federal District Court of the District of Columbia, acting on an application by the Federal Government, is sued a temporary restraining order 2 forbidding Mr. John L. Lewis and the United Mine Workers from continuing in effect their notice of November 15, 1946, purporting to terminate the so-called KrugLewis agreement as of midnight November 20, 1946. In its review of the facts as they appeared in the complaint, the restraining order emphasized the fact that it has been the practice of the United Mine Workers to refuse to work in the mines while there is no contract in effect, and that if such a stoppage of bituminous-coal production should occur it would interfere with governmental functions and adversely affect the public interest. The restraining order also specifically forbade the defendants’ calling a strike. On November 21, 1946, after the miners had walked out, the United States filed a petition with the district court for a rule to show cause why the defendants should not be punished for contempt, alleging that they had willfully disobeyed the temporary restraining order. The court ordered the defendants to appear on November 25, 1946. After the defendants appeared, and the court found that their reply had not purged the alleged contempt, it was ordered that the mattei be set for trial on November 27, 1946. On November 26, 1946, the defendants filed a motion to vacate the rule to show cause, alleging, among other things, that under the Nonis La Guardia Act the district court had no jurisdiction to issue an in junction in a cause arising out of a labor dispute. The couit, how ever, on November 29, 1946, denied the defendants’ motion.2 Speaki Prepared in th e Office of th e Solicitor, U . S. D epartm ent of Labor. T he cases covered in this article represent a selection of th e significant decisions believed to be of special interest. No a tte m p t has been m ade to reflect all recent judicial and adm inistrative developments in th e field of labor law nor to indicate the effect of p articular decisions in jurisdictions in which contrary results m ay be reached, based upon local statu to ry provisions, th e existence of local precedents, or a different approach by the courts to the issue P * United States v. United M ine Workers o] America et al., U. S. D. C. D . C., N ov. 29,1946; Deo.3, 1946; and Dec. 4, 1946. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 272 M O N T H L Y L A B O R R E V IE W — F E B R U A R Y 194 7 ing on the question of whether the Norris-La Guardi a Act was appli cable in this case, the court referred to the legislative history of that act, which, in the view of the court, discloses the fact that amendments specifically omitting the United States Government from its operation had been rejected because of the belief that the Government was amply protected by one of the general principles of law with regard to the interpretation of statutes. The principle is that when, in a piece of legislation, the Government is not specifically mentioned or included by necessary implication, the language of the act does not apply to the Government. Therefore, the court held that it had the right to enjoin a labor union which, in its opinion, was about to do something against the public interest. After a trial on the charge of contempt, the defendants were found guilty and fined.2 In its findings of fact, the court reviewed the Gov ernment’s seizure of the mines under the War Labor Disputes Act, the subsequent Krug-Lewis agreement, the negotiations leading to notice that the agreement was terminated, and the issuance by the court of the restraining order. The court pointed out that the refusal to terminate the notice that the contract was no longer in force had perpetrated the work stoppages, and that these work stoppages if al lowed to continue would result in irreparable injury to the public interest. It held that the defendants had violated the restraining order and had interfered with the exercise by the United States of its sovereign functions. On December 4, 1946, the temporary restraining order was made a preliminary injunction 2 in an opinion patterned largely after the one holding the defendants in contempt. At this writing, the United States Supreme Court has agreed to review the case, including the issue of whether the district court’s restraining order and preliminary injunction violated the Constitution and the Norris-LaGuardia Act. Fair Labor Standards Act Executive exemptions.—A number of recent decisions have dealt with the application of that provision of the Fair Labor Standards Act which exempts from coverage by the act “any employee employed in a bona fide executive . . . capacity.” In a case arising in a Wis consin court,3 it was held that the exemption did not apply to an employee in charge of plant guards, with the title of “lieutenant,” as the facts indicated that this employee spent 50 percent of his time in making inspectional tours, standing guard at gates, and other work s United States v. United M ine Workers of America et at., U. S. I). C. D. C., N ov. 29, 1946; Dec. 3, 1946; and Dee. 4, 1946. 3 Katchel v. Northern Engraving and M anulacturing Co. (Wis. Sup. C t., Dec. 18,1946. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis LABOR LAWS AND DECISIONS 273 of the same nature as that performed by the nonexempt guards work ing under his direction.4 On the other hand, in a case involving a claim for overtime compen sation by a highly specialized supervisor of a machine-tool operation, the court held that the executive exemption was applicable even though the employee in question did a considerable amount of manual work.5 The court held that most of manual work involved the setting up of machine operations and was an integral part of the employee’s supervisory duties, and that the work performed of the same nature as that performed by other workers in the department did not exceed 20 percent of the workweek. It was likewise held that the require ments of the executive exemption were met in the cases of officers of a company fire department6 and an assistant superintendent of employees on a highway construction job.7 Home workers.—Two recent cases in a Federal district court in Indiana, involving similar facts, held workers performing work in their homes for a company producing goods in interstate commerce to be employees and not independent contractors within the meaning of the Fair Labor Standards Act.8 In these cases the companies were engaged in the manufacture of paper novelties, tags, and other converted paper products. The printing operations required were done in the companj^’s plants. The folding, cutting, sewing, and assembling, however, was done by workers who picked up the items at the plant and worked on them at their homes, following the com pany’s specifications, and using the company’s materials but their own machines. On these facts the court ruled in both cases that the workers were covered by the Fair Labor Standards Act, and the Wage and Hour Administrator was entitled to an injunction requiring com pliance with the minimum wage and maximum hour provisions of that act. Employees oj intrastate power company .—A circuit court of appeals has upheld the ruling of a lower court in deciding that the employees of an intrastate light and power cooperative supplying electrical energy to local consumers, some of whom were producing goods for interstate commerce, were engaged in the production of goods for commerce and were therefore covered by the Fair Labor Standards Act.9 4 U nder the regulations of the Wage and H our A dm inistrator, in order to qualify as an executive the tim e spent in duties of th e same nature as those performed by nonexem pt employees m u st not exceed 20 percent of the num ber of hours worked in the workweek by nonexem pt employees. 5 Langford v. Republic Drill and Tool Co., U. S. D. C. N . D. Til., Dec. 4, 1946. * McOregcr v. Trojan Power Co., U. S. D . C. N . D. Ohio, Dec. 3,1946. 7 Burns v. Metcalfe Construction Co. ,U. S. D. C. W . D. Mo. N ov., 27, 1946. 8 Walling v. M uncie Novelty Co., U. S. D . C. S. D . In d ., Dec. 16, 1946; Walling v. A . B . C . Novelty C o ., U. S. D . C. S. D „ Ind., Dec. 16, 1946. 8 Meeker Cooperative Light Corp. v. Walling, C. C, A, §th, P ec. 17, 1946, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 274 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 National Labor Relations Act Post-election challenges.—The United States Supreme Court upheld the National Labor Relations Board in its practice of refusing to entertain post-election challenges to the eligibility of a voter who has participated in a consent election.10 A consent election had been held to determine whether the em ployees desired to be represented by the union. At the polling place both the employer and the union had observers to challenge the eligibility of any voter. The result of the election was a victory for the union by a 1-vote margin. Thereafter, the company refused to bargain with the union, contending that 1 of the votes was cast by a person who was not an employee of the company at the time of the election. The Board ordered the employer to cease and desist from his refusal to bargain, but this order was reversed by the Circuit Court of Appeals on the ground that an employer may refuse to bargain with a union that has not been elected by a majority of those who were in fact employees at the time of the election. In reversing this decision, the Supreme Court held that the refusal to accept post-election challenges is within the wide degree of discretion entrusted to the Board under the National Labor Relations Act in establishing the procedure for insuring fair and free choice of bargain ing representatives. The court pointed out that the rule that once a ballot has been cast its validity cannot later be challenged has been widely followed in political and corporate elections, and it is par ticularly appropriate in labor-representation elections because of the great need for stability in industrial relations. In a dissenting opinion, Mr. Justice Jackson contended that the Board’s rule provided adequate protection for the employer and the union, but no such protection for the employees who were opposed to the union. The majority opinion stated that there was no evidence that such employees had not been permitted to challenge the eligibility of any voter. It pointed out that the representatives of the Board were bound to perform their electoral functions on behalf of all em ployees, including those with antiunion sentiments, and that “in the absence of any evidence that such representatives discriminated against the antiunion employees in preparing the eligibility list or in raising timely eligibility issues, we cannot say that those employees were inadequately represented.” Closed shop and dual unionism.—The discharge of an employee, on the demand of a union with which the employer has a closed-shop contract, because the employee acted as an observer for a rival union in a representation election and was therefore expelled from the union, 10 National Labor Relations Board v. A . J . Tower Co., U. S. Sup. C t., Dec. 2 3 .1M6. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis LABOR LAWS AND DECISIONS 275 constitutes an unfair labor practice. Such was the holding of the Circuit Court of Appeals at San Francisco in a recent case,11 which upheld the view taken by the National Labor Relations Board in the latest group of cases on this point. The court pointed out that the sanction of closed-shop agreements provided in the act does not permit arrangements which make it impossible for rival unions to compete for representation. Dual unionism, in which an employee maintains membership in the existing union in order to retain his job under the closed-shop contract, but participates in the activities of a rival union which he desires to see prevail in a representation election, is frequently necessary and proper, the court stated. It held that the Board’s interpretation of the closed-shop provision of the act “in addition to confirming the democratic process in bargaining-agency elections, prevents the use of the proviso for the perpetuation of a particular union’s control of the employees once it enters into a closedshop contract with their employer.” It therefore ruled that the discharge of an employee for dual unionism was discriminatory and in violation of the act. Status of informal committees— The question of whether a loosely formed employees’ committee may constitute a labor organization within the meaning of the act was raised in a recent circuit court case.12 In that case the employees had created a number of committees com posed of foremen and nonsupervisory employees, for the purpose of petitioning the employer for increased wages and improved working conditions. There was no formal organization, constitution, bylaws, or collection of dues. The court held that since these committees ex isted for the purpose of representing employees and participating in their behalf with the management in matters concerning wages, work ing conditions, and grievances, they were labor organizations under the National Labor Relations Act. As such the admitted domination and support of these committees by the employer was held to violate section 8 (2) of the act. Selective Training and Service Act Award oj arbitrator not effective.—It was held in^two recent cases that an award of an arbitrator in grievance proceedings under a con tract between the union and the company has no legal effect upon the rights of veterans under the reemployment provisions of the Selective Training and Service Act. In both cases the court set aside an arbi tration award in which it was held that preference was to be given to ii Local Lumber and Sawm ill Workers v. N . L . Ft. B ., U. S. C. C. A. (9), Nov. 22,1946. L R B . v . American Furnace Co., U. S. C. C. A. (7) Dec. 4,1946. it Koury v. Elastic Stop N u t Corp., U . S. D . C. N . J ., Oct. 1, 1946; DiMangio v. Elastic Stop N u t Carp. 11 N U. S. D . C. N . J., Oct. 1,1946. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 276 M O N T H L Y L A B O R R E V IE W --- F E B R U A R Y 194 7 union officials under the contract between the union and the com pany, in spite of the fact that such union officials had less actual seniority than the veterans. D eath o f owner and sale o f business. —The reemployment rights of a veteran, a Federal district court ruled, do not survive the death of the owner of the business and a bona fide sale of such business.14 In hold ing that a veteran was not entitled to reemployment by the purchasers of a business, who had abolished his position, the court distinguished this case from one in which there is no change in ownership but a mere transfer of certain operations, or one in which there is a mere change in the form of the ownership for the purpose of depriving the veteran of his reemployment rights. Federal Communications Act A m e n d m e n t o f 1946 declared unconstitutional.- —The act of 1946 15 which amends the Federal Communications Act of 1934 by making it a criminal offense to use pressure upon a broadcasting business to employ persons “ in excess of the number needed to perform actual services” was declared unconstitutional by a Federal district court.16 The grounds upon which the court held the statute in conflict with the Constitution were that the act (1) is so framed as to create indefi niteness in the definition of a criminal offense, thus violating the fifth amendment (the court specifically referred to the necessary vagueness in the meaning of “ needed to perform actual services”); (2) makes peaceful picketing, in order to enforce a request that more employees be hired, unlawful, thus violating the first amendment (peaceful picketing has been held to be protected by the free speech clause); (3) contains a restriction on the employment of labor, thus violating the thirteenth amendment; and (4) discriminates, without adequate basis, against employees of broadcasting stations, thus violating the fifth amendment. Decisions of State Courts P icketin g . —A number of recent cases arising in State courts have dealt with the legality of various activities involving picketing in a labor dispute. Both the picketing of the employer in order to obtain a closed shop and the picketing of the employer’s customers were held to be lawful, in a decision by the Superior Court in Maine.17 In refusing to enjoin 14 McFadtlen v. Dienelt, U. S. D . C. N . D . Cal., Dec. 4, 1946. 15 Public Law 344, 79th Cong. '« U. S. v. Petrillo, U. S. D . C. N . D. 111., Dec. 2,1946. 17 Twitchell-Champlin Co. v. Conary, M aine Sup. C t., Oct. 29, 1946. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis LABOR LAWS A N D DECISIONS 277 this picketing, the court held that a closed shop is a proper objective of concerted labor activities, even when undertaken by a union that represents none of the employees of the employer. In addition the court, relying on several decisions of the U. S. Supreme Court in recent years, ruled that the picketing was protected under the free speech clause of the Constitution. With reference to the picketing of customers of the employer, the court held that union engaged in a labor dispute with an employer may lawfully follow the subject matter of its dispute by peacefully picketing the premises of third parties who transact business with the employer. In a case in which a labor union instituted the mass picketing of a railroad in order to compel the railroad to refuse to handle the prod ucts of lumber mills with which the union was engaged in a dispute, a California court issued an injunction against the picketing.18 It held that the means employed, namely mass picketing, was productive of violence and hence unlawful. It further held that the objective of the union activity was likewise unlawful in that it would result, if successful, in a violation of the railroad’s statutory duty to handle freight without discrimination. Mass picketing was likewise condemned in a recent New Jersey case.19 In granting an injunction restraining the number and place ment of pickets, the court pointed out that “coercive” picketing is not protected by free speech. In answer to the contention that the injunction violated the State Anti-Injunction Act, the court ruled that the act was purely procedural and did not change the substantive law with respect to the issuance of injunctions in labor disputes. In the first of a group of cases filed by various movie producers against a carpenters’ union, seeking to enjoin violent picketing in connection with a jurisdictional dipsute, a lower California court dis missed a motion on the part of the union to dissolve a temporary injunction that had been issued.20 The contention of the union was that the company was not entitled to equitable relief in the form of an injunction because of the doctrine that one cannot come into a court of equity with “unclean hands.” The union alleged that the company had formed a conspiracy with other companies in discriminatively discharging their members and refusing to bargain collectively. The court held, however, that the alleged conspiracy did not pertain to the subject matter of the injunction and did not bar its issuance. is Northwestern Pacific P. P . Co. v. Lumber and Sawmill Workers Union, Calif. Sup. C t. Sonoma C ounty, N ov. 1, 1946. is Westinghouse Electric Corp. v. United Electrical Padio and Machine Workers, N . J. C t. of E rr. and A pp., Dec. 5, 1946. _ * i 2o Warner Bros. Pictures v. United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joinersf Calif. Sup. C t., Los Angeles C ounty, N ov. 25, 1946. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Prices and Cost o f Living In d e x o f C o n su m e rs’ P ric e s in L a rg e C itie s, D ecem ber 1 9 4 6 1 R e t a i l p r i c e s of goods and services purchased by moderate-income city families rose 0.7 percent between mid-November and mid-Decem ber 1946—-the smallest monthly increase since June 15, 1946. This over-all rise brought the consumers’ price index to 153.3 (1935-39 = 100) on December 15, 1946—15 percent higher than in mid-June 1946, 18 percent higher than a year ago, and 55.5 percent above the August i T h e “ consumers’ price index for moderate-income families in large cities,” formerly know n as the “ cost of living index,” measures average changes in retail prices of selected goods, rents and services, w eighted by quantities bought by families of wage earners and moderate-income workers in large cities in 1934-36. T he items priced for the index constituted about 70 percent of the expenditures of city families whose incomes averaged $1,524 in 1934-36. Since M ay 1944 a statem en t has been included in th e m onthly report on the consumers’ price index, giving a brief explanation of the index. This statem ent pointed out th a t during the w ar changes in the quality and th e availability of consumer goods, th e underreporting of over-ceiling prices, and the disap pearance of special sales were not fully reflected in the indexes. Beginning w ith the release of the A ugust 1945 consumers’ price index, this statem ent was enlarged to summarize th e findings of th e P resident’s Com m ittee on the Cost of Living. T he committee had estim ated in N ovem ber 1944 th a t the index understated the rise in retail prices between Jan u ary 1941 and September 1944 by a m axim um of 3 to 4 points, and th a t if small cities were included in the national average, another point w ould be added. In D ecember 1945, the Stabilization Director, in connection w ith Executive Orders 9599 and 9651, indicated th a t if account were taken of continued deterioration of quality and un availability of merchandise between September 1944 and Septem ber 1945, the over-all allowance for the period from Jan u ary 1941 to Septem ber 1945 w ould total approxim ately 5 points for large and small cities combined. A fu rth er statem ent on this subject will be available in the near future. T h e indexes in the accompanying tables are based on time-to-time changes in the cost of goods and serv ices purchased by wage earners and lower-salaried workers in large cities. T hey do not indicate w hether it costs more to live in one city th an in another. T he d ata relate to the 15th of each m onth, except those for Janu ary 1941, in tables 1 and 2. T h ey were estim ated for Jan u ary 1, 1941, the base date for determ ining allowable “ cost of living” wage increases under the L ittle Steel formula and under the wage-price policy of F ebruary 1946. Jan u ary 1,1941, indexes in tables 1 and 2 have been estim ated by assuming an even rate of change from D ecember 15, 1940, to the next pricing date. Food prices are collected m onthly in 56 cities during th e first 4 days of the week which includes the Tues day nearest the 15th of the m onth. Aggregate costs of foods in each city, weighted to represent food pu r chases of families of wage earners and lower-salaried workers, have been combined for the U nited States w ith the use of population weights. In M arch 1943, th e num ber of cities included in the food index was increased from 51 to 56, and th e num ber of foods from 54 to 61. Prices of clothing, housefurnishings, and miscellaneous goods and services are obtained in 34 large cities in M arch, June, Septem ber, and December. In intervening m onths, prices are collected in 21 of the 34 cities for a shorter list of goods and services. R ents are surveyed sem iannually in m ost of the 34 cities (in M arch and September, or in June and Decem ber). In com puting th e all-items indexes for individual cities and the ren t index for the average of large cities, because of the general stab ility of average rents at present, the indexes are held constant in cities no t sur veyed during the current quarter. Prices for fuel, electricity, and ice are collected m onthly in 34 large cities. 278 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 279 PRICES A N D COST OF LIVING 1939 level. Prices for food, the most important part of the family budget, dropped 1.0 percent, but prices for all other major groups of living essentials surveyed advanced sharply. In the first full month after the end of price control, prices for clothing, housefurnishings, and miscellaneous goods and services increased 3.0 percent on the average. The food bill for city workers’ families declined 1.0 percent. Retail prices for lard, oleomargarine, all red meats, cheese, citrus fruit, green beans, and lettuce which were lower on December 15 than on Novem ber 15, more than offset the continued advances in the retail prices of cereal and bakery products, butter and milk, canned and dried fruits and vegetables, coffee, and sugar. T able 1 .— I n d e x e s o f c o n su m e r s’’ p r ic e s f o r m o d e ra te -in c o m e f a m ilie s a n d p e r c e n t ch a n g es, D e c . 1 5 , 1 9 4 6 , c o m p a r e d w ith e a r lie r p e r io d s Dec. 15, 1946 N ov. 15, 1946 Dec. 15, 1945 Aug. 15, 1945 Jan. 1, 1941 Aug. 15, 1939 This m onth L ast m onth Y ear ago V J-day Wage base date M onth before w ar in E urope G roup Indexes (1935-39=100) All item s ----------- ------------- ------ Food _ __________________________ Clolhing _ __________ ________________ "Rent __ ___ Fuel, electricty, and ice________________ Gas and electricity_________________ O ther fuels and ice_______ _ _____ H ousefurnishings _ _ _______________ Miscellaneous ____________ __________ 153.3 R152. 2 129.9 129.3 100.8 98.6 185.9 176.5 187.7 R171.0 140.9 146.4 115.5 92.0 138.3 177.1 136.1 R114.8 91.8 R137.2 R171.0 R132. 5 141.4 149.4 108.3 110.3 94.0 126.1 148.3 124.8 97.6 101.2 105.0 100.8 97.5 104.0 100.2 100.8 93.5 100.3 104.3 97.5 99.0 96.3 100.6 100.4 111.4 95.2 127.2 146.0 124.5 Percent change to Dec. 15 1946 All item s.............. .............................................. Food Clothing "Rent 1 _______________ _ _ ____________ F u e l, e lectricity , and ice - ____ Gas and electricity. _______________ O ther fuels and ice___ ______ ____ TTonsefnrnishings M iscellan eous ------------------------ _________ 1 Percent change to Sept. 15, 1946. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 0.7 18.0 18.6 52.1 55.5 1.0 3.2 31.5 18.1 31.9 20.6 .6 .2 .8 3.6 2.7 4.7 - 2 .1 9.7 19.4 9.1 3.7 -3 .4 8.7 21.3 9.3 90.5 74.4 3.1 14.6 -5 .6 33.0 76.7 33.7 98.8 76.0 3.8 18.5 - 7 .1 43.6 76.0 35.6 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 280 Clothing prices for moderate-income families rose 3.2 percent during the first full month following the removal of price controls. Practically all types of clothing and shoes increased in price. Leather footwear led the upswing, with men’s and women’s shoes advancing 9 and 7 percent, respectively. Prices were higher for men’s overcoats and suits, work clothing, and other cotton apparel and for most women’s clothing items. Women’s rayon dresses and underwear prices had the largest increases; retail prices of nylon stockings also advanced al though supplies had improved markedly. Prices for women’s coats dropped slightly in mid-December because of seasonal sales. Housefurnishings prices advanced 3.6 percent between mid-Novem ber and mid-December. Most items in this group were higher, and increases were attributed to higher cost of merchandise for new stock. Washing machines, electric and gas refrigerators, and other household appliances advanced in price more rapidly than furniture, after the removal of price controls. T able 2.— P e r c e n t c h a n g e in c o n su m e rs' p r i c e in d e x f r o m s p e c ifie d d a te s to D e c . 1 5 , 1 9 4 6 , b y c itie s N ov. 15, 1946 Dec. 15, 1945 Aug. 15, 1945 Jan. 1, 1941 Aug. 15, 1939 Last m onth Year ago VJ-day Wage base date M onth before war in Europe City Average - ___ __ ________________ _ A tlanta, Ga _ . ____________________ Baltimore, M d _ _____ __ ____ B irm ingham , A l a _______ _____________ Boston, M ass ______ _______ __ _____ ___ Buffalo, N . Y .. . . ____________________ Chicago, 111 __ ___ _______ __ _________ __ C incinnati, Ohio _____ _____ _____________ _ ________ Cleveland, Ohio ______ ___ _ . _______ D enver, Colo ___ ________________________________ D etroit, M ich ____ __ ___________________ H ouston, T ex _____ _________________ _____ Indianapolis, In d _________________________ ___ _ Jacksonville, Fla _______________ Kansas City, M o ___ __ ____ ____ __ ___ Los Angeles, Calif__________ _______________ M anchester, N . H ___________________ . ______ M em phis, T e n n _________ _________ . ________ M ilwaukee, Wis._ _ _ ________ _ _ _ _____ M inneapolis, M inn _ _ _ _________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Mobile, A laJ ______________ ____________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ N ew Orleans, L a _________ _ ___________________ N ew York, N . Y ___________________ ______________ . Norfolk, V a _____________________________________________ Philadelphia, P a ______ _____ _ Pittsburgh, Pa__ ___________ _ _ ___________________ ^ Portland, M aine ____________________________ ___ Portland, Oreg___________ ______ _________ Richmond, Va ________ _ _ __ St. Louis, M o . _ _ . . . . . . _ ; _______ San Francisco, C a l i f . . . ................... _ ___________ Savannah, G a _____________________ ______ __ Scranton, P a __________________ _______ ______________ Seattle, W ash __________________ _ _____ W ashington, D . C __________________ 1_________________ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0.7 18.0 18.6 52.1 55.5 .5 .4 1.4 1.4 .3 18.6 17.5 18.7 18.7 16.9 19.5 18.7 17.4 18.4 17.9 17.2 19.6 56.1 54.6 56.0 49. 5 48. 9 51.2 59.0 57.8 60. 9 52.6 54.0 55.0 1 1.4 . 4 . 7 1.5 17.9 18.1 18.9 16.6 19. 6 18.3 15.6 18.1 18. 2 19.4 16. 7 19. 5 18.6 15.3 53.3 53.1 52. 5 51 6 49. 3 51.2 55.8 56.9 56.2 54.7 55.4 51. 2 57.3 61.2 1 14.8 15.6 19. 5 17.3 18.4 18. 7 17.2 15.2 17. 9 19.3 18.0 18. 7 19.9 16.5 49.4 50.7 56.2 56.6 51.8 47.1 53. 0 49.1 53.7 60.0 59.8 55.3 50.2 55.8 22. 2 18.4 17.6 18. 6 18.7 18.0 14.9 21.0 19.4 17.9 18. 8 19.4 17. 5 16.2 60.2 53. 7 56.7 53. 7 53.6 51. 5 54. 7 63.4 56.8 61.1 55.9 57.9 53.7 57.6 18.1 17.8 18.1 17. 8 20. 2 16. 7 17.0 18.4 18. 6 21.1 17.3 20.7 18.3 17.9 49.9 49.7 57.6 60.0 55.2 54.0 52.2 52.3 54.1 61.5 63.3 60.4 56.7 54.2 — . . 0 .6 . 6 1.3 1 . 0 .4 .8 . 2 . 2 1.1 1 281 PRICES AND COST OF LIVING Miscellaneous goods and services cost rose 2.7 percent, as the cost of medical care, particularly hospital rates, continued to increase. Higher prices for automobiles, newspapers, motion picture admissions, barber and beauty shop rates, and tobacco also contributed to this advance. Prices of laundry services and cleaning supplies jumped sharply between mid-November and mid-December. Fuel, electricity, and ice costs rose 0.6 percent on the average. Retail prices of coal increased in most cities in advance of the January freight rate increase and as supplies were reduced because of the coal strike. Fuel oil prices moved up 2.4 percent following increases for crude oil in November. The cost of gas to consumers in Portland, Oreg., rose 9 percent after a rate change on December 5. Rents were not surveyed in December 1946. T able 3.— P e r c e n t ch a n g e in c o n su m e r s’’ p r ic e in d e x , N o v . 1 5 to D e c . 1 5 , 1 9 4 6 , b y c itie s a n d g r o u p s o f ite m s Fuel, electricity, and ice C ity A v e ra g e ...................... A tlanta, Q a _ .............. B altim ore, M d -------B irm ingham , Ala----Boston, M ass---------Buffalo, N . Y - .......... Chicago, 111— .......... C incinnati, Ohio----Cleveland, Ohio-----D enver, Colo............. D etroit, M ich ______ H ouston, T ex--------Indianapolis, In d ---Jacksonville, F la ----- Ail items 0.7 .5 .4 1.4 1.4 .3 -.1 1.4 .4 .7 1.5 Food -1.0 - 1 .7 - 1 .4 - 2 .5 4.0 4.0 1.6 1.4 .1 - -.9 - 1.1 - 1 .3 -.1 6.2 2.6 3.7 4.7 1.6 2.2 - 2 .4 - 1 .3 .6 -.6 - 2 .4 -.8 -1 .4 -1.0 .1 - .4 .9 - .9 - 1 .3 -.3 - 1 .7 -.2 1.1 .7 -.4 .3 1.4 1.6 1.1 .3 0 .6 2.2 1.9 2.6 1.8 2.8 4.6 1.4 .7 .1 .5 .1 .2 .1 0 .1 - .1 .8 2.2 .6 1.2 .1 3.8 3.1 .2 N ew Orleans, L a ----N ew Y ork, N . Y ----Norfolk, V a . . . .......... Philadelphia, P a ----P ittsburg h , P a .......... Portland, M ain e----Portland, Oreg------- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.4 2.2 .2 -1 .5 - 1 .5 R ichm ond, V a.......... St. Louis, M o ----- ... San Francisco, CalifSavannah, G a-------Scranton, P a ........ . Seattle, W ash -------W ashington, D . C — 0.6 - 1 .3 K ansas C ity, M o---Los Angeles, C alif.. . M anchester, N . H —. M em phis, T e n n ........ M ilw aukee, W is----M inneapolis, M in n .. M obile, A la........... - 1.0 3.2 Total 0 1.0 - 1.3 C loth ing .4 2.4 3.2 3.0 2.0 4.4 0 .2 1.2 -.2 .8 .5 Gas and elec tricity 0.2 .1 0 0 1.8 0 0 0 0 0 .4 0 0 0 0 0 -.3 0 - .1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -.1 .2 3.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 O ther fuels and ice House- M iscel furnish laneous ings 0.8 9.4 .1 0 .7 .5 2.4 .1 2.9 1.9 .3 0 .1 .1 1.1 2.7 2.7 5.0 4.1 2.8 3.1 3.0 5.2 3.1 4.3 1.8 .3 5.2 1.9 3.0 4.7 3.2 2.5 2.5 4.1 1.3 3.7 3.9 3.9 4.9 3.2 4.0 4.6 5.2 4.8 2.0 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.1 1.6 .6 .9 .2 .8 .2 .5 .2 0 .1 0 1.0 1.2 .6 0 1.0 1.6 -.2 1.2 .8 6.5 4.8 1.4 1.5 282 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1947 T able 4.— Indexes of consumers' prices for moderate-income families in large cities, 1935 to December 1946 Indexes (1935-39= 100) of cost of— Y ear and m onth All items 1935 _______ ____ ____ ______ 1936 ______________________ 1937 . __________________ 1938 ________________________ 1939_________________________ 1940 ________________________ 1941 ________________________ ______ ___________ 1942 1943 ________________________ 1944 ________________________ 1945 ________________________ 1945: J a n . 15_________________ _________ Feb. 15 . M ar. 15_____ _________ A pr. 15_________________ M ay 15 _ -- . - _______ June 15 . _______ ______ Ju ly 15-- ______ ______ Aug. 15 __ _____ ___ Sept. 15________________ Oct. 15_________________ N ov. 15__________ _____ Dec. 15 ____ _______ 1946: Jan. 15_________________ Feb. 15_________________ M ar. 15________________ A pr. 15 ________________ M ay 15__ ______________ June 1 5 ______- ____ ___ Ju ly 1 5 ________________ A n?. 15 __ Sept. 15____ O ct 15 ._ N ov. 15_____ _________ Dec. 15___ _ ___________ Food Clothing R ent Fuel, elec Housetricity, furnish ings and ice M iscel laneous 98.1 99.1 102.7 100. 8 99.4 100.2 105. 2 116.5 123.6 125.5 128.4 100.4 101.3 105.3 97.8 95.2 96.6 105. 5 123.9 138.0 136.1 139.1 96.8 97.6 102.8 102.2 100.5 101.7 106.3 124.2 129.7 138.8 145.9 94.2 96.4 100.9 104.1 104.3 104.6 106.2 108.5 108.0 108.2 108.3 100.7 100.2 100.2 99.9 99.0 99.7 102.2 105.4 107.7 109.8 110.3 94.8 96.3 104.3 103.3 101.3 100.5 107.3 122.2 125.6 136.4 145.8 98.1 98.7 101.0 101. 5 100.7 101.1 104.0 110.9 115.8 121.3 124.1 127.1 126.9 126 8 127.1 128.1 129.0 129.4 129.3 128.9 128.9 129.3 129.9 137.3 136.5 135.9 136.6 138.8 141.1 141.7 140.9 139. 4 139.3 140.1 141.4 143.0 143.3 143.7 144.1 144.6 145.4 145.9 146.4 148.2 148.5 148.7 149.4 (>) (') 108.3 (0 (0 108.3 0) (0 108.3 (i) (>) 108.3 109.7 110.0 110.0 109.8 110.0 110.0 111.2 111.4 110.7 110.5 110.1 110.3 143.6 144.0 144.5 144.9 145.4 145.8 145.6 146.0 146.8 146.9 147.6 148.3 123.3 123.4 123.6 123.8 123.9 124.0 124.3 124.5 124.6 124.7 124.6 124.8 129.9 129.6 130.2 131.1 131.7 133.3 141.2 144.1 145.9 148.6 152.2 153.3 141.0 139.6 140.1 141.7 142.6 145.6 165.7 171.2 174.1 180.0 187.7 185.9 149.7 150.5 153.1 154.5 155. 7 157.2 158. 7 161.2 165.9 168.1 171.0 176.5 (0 (>) 108.4 (>) 0) 108.5 (') 108.7 108.8 (0 0) 110.8 111.0 110.5 110.4 110.3 110.5 113.3 113.7 114.4 114.4 114.8 115.5 148.8 149.7 150.2 152.0 153.7 156.1 157.9 160.0 165.6 168.5 171.0 177.1 125.4 125.6 125.9 126.7 127.2 127.9 128.2 129.8 129.9 131.0 132.5 136.1 (0 . i K ents not surveyed in th is month. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 283 PRICES A N D COST OF LIVING R e ta il P ric e s o f F o o d in D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 6 e t a i l prices of food in December 1946 in relation to those in selected preceding periods are shown in the accompanying tables. R T able 1.— P e r c e n t o f ch a n g e in r e ta il p r ic e s o f fo o d in 5 6 la rg e c itie s c o m b in e d , byc o m m o d ity g r o u p s , in s p e c ifie d p e r io d s Com m odity group All foods.............. .................................................................. Cereals and bakery products. ___________________ TVfeats ______________________________ Ppef and veal _ _____________________ Pork ______________________ ____ T,amb _________ _____________ Chickens _____________________________ Fish fresh and c a n n e d ___ _________________ D airy products _______________________ F ires _ ________________________ F ruits and vegetables _ ______________________ Fresh ______________________ ______ _________________________ Canned D ried - __________ ____ _______________ ___________________________ P ever ages F ats and oils ___________________________ Sugar and sweets _____________________________ N ov. 15, 1946, to Dec. 15, 1946 Dec. 15, 1945, to Dec. 15, 1946 Aug. 15, 1945, to Dec. 15, 1946 Jan. 15, 1941, to Dec. 15, 1946 1.0 +31.5 +31.9 +90.1 +98.8 +29.7 +50.8 +58.6 +71.7 +45.7 + 23.7 +20.7 +47.5 + 4.1 ++3 - 4 .1 +32.5 +58.9 +41.1 +65.7 +38.5 +29.8 +50.1 +58.3 +71.7 +45.7 +20.4 +22.9 +50.6 +17.3 + .8 - 8 .0 +32.5 +59.0 +41.3 +67.2 +38.5 +49.2 +95.6 +71.5 +124.5 +101.4 +94.9 +125.4 +91.2 +106. 5 +98.3 +93.4 +88.8 +169.1 +93.8 +158. 2 +83.9 +51.6 +106.7 +88.4 +119.7 +101.2 +100.2 +168.7 +115.8 +121.7 +100. 2 +94.6 +88.4 +196.8 +85.7 +145.3 +83.4 - + .7 - 2 .8 - 1 .8 - 6 .7 - 3 .2 + .3 + 1 .0 + 1 .2 -.2 + .3 -.9 + 2 .9 + 6 .5 + 5 .0 -1 5 .2 + 2 .8 Aug. 15, 1939, to Dec. 15, 1946 T able 2.— In d e x e s o f r e ta il p r ic e s o f f o o d in 5 6 la rg e c itie s c o m b in e d f b y c o m m o d ity g r o u p s , on s p e c ifie d d a tes Com m odity group Dec. 15, 1946 Nov. 15, 1946 Dec. 15, 1945 Aug. 15, 1945 Jan. 15, 1941 Aug. 15, 1939 This m onth Last m onth Year ago VJ-day Wage base d a te 1 M onth before war in Europe Indexes (1935-39=100) All foods..................................... - ....................- 185. 9 187.7 141.4 140.9 97.8 93.5 C ereals an d bakery p ro d u c ts ___________ 141.6 197.8 187.6 193.3 198.8 189.4 267.6 200.9 201.1 185.0 180.6 172.6 268.0 176.2 207.3 175.3 140.6 203.6 191.0 207.1 205.4 188.9 265.0 198.5 201.6 184.5 182.3 167.7 251.6 167.8 8 244.4 170.5 109.2 131.2 118.3 112.6 136.4 153.1 221.7 136.2 193.2 177.3 188.4 130.3 168.7 124.9 125.1 126.6 109.1 131.8 118.5 112.6 136.4 157.3 217.8 133.4 171.4 183.5 196.2 130.3 168.6 124.7 124.0 126.6 94.9 101.1 109.4 86.1 98.7 97.2 118.7 105.1 97.4 93.3 93.4 91.4 99.6 90.9 80.3 95.3 93.4 95.7 99.6 88.0 98.8 94.6 99.6 93.1 90.7 92.4 92.8 91.6 90.3 94.9 84.5 95.6 M eats ______________________ Beef and veal ____________________ Pork _______________ F a mb __ _ __ __________ Chickens _ _______ ____________ Fish, fresh and canned _____ ______ D airy products __________________ ____ Eggs _____ ____________________ F r u its and vegetables__________________ Fresh ____ ___ __________ C anned ____- ____________ Dried ________ __________ Beverages _________________ ______ F ats and oils ______________________ Sugar and sweets______________________ 1 Aggregate costs of 61 foods in each city, weighted to represent total purchases by families of wage earners and lower-salaried workers, have been combined for the United States w ith the use of population weights. 2 T he wage formulas apply to Jan. 1,1941. Jan. 15,1941, is the nearest date for which data on retail prices of individual foods have been com puted. 8 Revised. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 284 R E T A IL P R IC E S OF FOOD T O A VER A GE INDEX FOR 1 9 3 5 -3 9 C IT Y W O R K E R S LARGE C ITIE S = 100 INDEX MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 285 PRICES AND COST OF LIVING RETAIL PRICES FOR GROUPS OF FOOD AVERAGE FOR LARGE CITIES 1935-39 220 « 100 220 we a t ; 200 200 J 180 180 / 160 160 140 140 120 120 ALL FOOD A 100 100 __ J___ 80 220 D/ U R Y 80 220 PR O DUCT S 200 200 / ! 180 160 140 a. 120 120 100 100 80 1^ ^ALL FOODS ___ 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 728607— 47----- 9 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 80 286 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 T able 3 .— A v e r a g e r e ta il p r ic e s o f 70 fo o d s in 5 6 la rg e c itie s c o m b in e d , D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 6 , c o m p a r e d w ith e a r lie r m o n th s Dec. 15, Nov. 15, Dec. 15, Aug. 15, Jan. 15, Aug. 15, 1946 1946 1945 1941 1945 1939 Article Cereals and bakery products: Cereals: Flour, w h eat___ - _______ _____ 5 pounds. M acaroni_____ . ______ _________ p o u n d .. C om flakes______________ ____ -.11 ounces . Corn m eal______ ______ ___ _____ p o u n d .. Rice 2___________________ -----------------do ___ Rolled oats____________ _ __________ do ___ B akery products: Bread, w h ite .- . _____ __________ do ___ Bread, whole-w heat______ ________ _do____ Bread, ry e______ . . . ----------------do___ Vanilla cookies___ __________ do___ ----------------do___ Soda crackers___ - . M eats: Beef: R ound steak ____________ _________ do ___ R ib ro a st,— __ _ ______ __________ do ___ Chuck roast________ ____ _ _________do ___ L iver_____________ __ . ________ do___ H am burger_____________ ___ _____ do___ Veal: C u tlets________ _________ ----------------do___ R oast, boned and rolled 2— . ________ do___ Pork: Chops__________________ -------------- do___ Bacon, sliced___ ________ _____ _ __do___ H am , sliced_____________ __________ do___ H am , whole_____ ______ ----------------do___ Salt p o rk ________________ _______ do___ Sausage 2__________ ____ ________ do___ Lam b: Leg------------------------------- ___ ___ ___ do___ R ib chops___________ ------- --------do___ Poultry : R oasting chickens______ _________ do___ Fish: Fish (fresh, frozen)________ . --------------- do ___ Salmon, pinK___________ . . . ___16-ounce can .. Salmon, red 2__________ ----------------do_-_ D airy products: B u tte r .______ _ ___________ . . ___p o u n d .. Cheese____________ _______ __ ------- _do.__ M ilk, fresh (delivered)______ _ ---------q u a rt.. M ilk, fresh (store)___. . . _____ --------------- do___ M ilk, evaporated____ _______ .14^-ounce can .. Eggs: Eggs, fresh________________ . . . . . . . . dozen.. F ru its and vegetables: Fresh fruits: A pples__________________ ________ p o u n d .. B ananas_____ _ _____ __________ do ___ Oranges_______________ . ------------- dozen.. G ra p e fru it2_____________ ----------------eac h .. Fresh vegetables: Beans, green_____________ . . . _____ p o u n d .. Cabbage_________________ _________ do ___ C arrots______________ . . ________ b u n c h .. L ettu ce___________ _____ ----------------h e a d .. O nions__________________ ________ p ound. Potatoes______ ________ _____ 15 pounds. Spinach_________ ________ p o u n d .. Sw eetpotatoes___ ______ --------------- do___ Canned fruits: Peaches__________________ . N o. 2)4 c a n .. P in e a p p le ..____ ______ . . . ---------- do___ G rapefruit juice__________ ---------N o. 2 c a n .. C anned vegetables: Beans, green_____________ ___ ___ __do___ C orn__________ . ----------------do ___ P e a s ........... ........ . . ----------------do ___ Tom atoes________________ __________ do ___ Soup, vegetable 2_________ . . . ll-ounee c a n .. See footnotes a t end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis onth Wage M before base in date 1 Ewuar ro p e This m onth Last m onth Y ear ago Cents 41.1 19.0 12.0 9.0 16.3 10.7 Cents 40.7 18.7 11.8 9.0 16.4 10.7 Cents 32 0 15.6 9.2 6.5 12.9 10.4 Cents 32.2 15.8 9.2 6.4 13.0 10.4 Cents 20.7 13.8 9.8 4.2 7.9 7.1 Cents 17.9 14.0 9.7 4.0 7.5 7.1 11.5 12.6 13.4 0 24.5 11.5 12.4 13.2 37.2 24.2 8.8 9.7 10.0 29.0 18.8 8.8 9.7 9.9 28.6 18.9 7.8 8.7 9.0 25.1 15.0 7.8 8.8 9.2 (3) 14.8 64.3 55.2 46.3 52.7 41.4 65.6 55.9 47.1 53.5 43.1 40.9 33.0 28.3 37.3 27.5 40.9 33.0 28.4 36.9 27.4 38.6 31.5 25.2 0 0 36.4 28.9 22.5 (3) (3) 69.7 52.3 70.3 53.2 44.7 35.9 44.4 34.3 45.2 42.5 u (3) (3) 57.7 75.2 83.7 65.3 50.3 55.0 66.5 76.1 84.8 67.3 52.8 57.4 37.3 41.2 49.8 35.0 21.9 38.8 37.2 41.2 49.4 34.5 22.0 38.7 29.1 30.1 45.1 26.2 16.7 (3) 30.9 30.4 46.4 27.4 15.4 (3) 59.4 65.6 57.2 62.3 66.6 57.0 40.3 45.6 46.9 40.5 46.0 47.6 27.8 35.0 31.1 27.6 36.7 30.9 0 0 0 0 31.1 52.1 0 23.2 40.9 0 23.4 39.7 0 15.7 26.4 91.5 65.8 20.3 19.4 14.0 69.8 88.6 69.6 20.0 19 2 13.9 69.9 54.7 35.5 15.6 14.5 9.9 68.2 49.9 35.7 15.6 14.5 10.1 60.6 38.0 27.0 13.0 11.9 7.1 34.9 30.7 24.7 12.0 11.0 6.7 32.0 12.4 14. 5 42.6 8.1 12.0 13.7 48.9 8.9 14.3 10.5 49.1 9.0 13.1 10.5 51.3 11.0 5.2 6.6 27.3 (3) 4.4 6.1 31.5 (3) 20.0 5.4 9.6 12.6 4.8 61.4 11.6 10.0 22.7 5.1 9.5 13.2 4.6 60.9 10.6 9.4 19.6 5.0 8.9 12.7 7.2 64.3 11.3 9.3 18.7 6.0 9.1 12.5 7.9 73.8 11.6 11.4 14.0 3.4 6.0 8.4 3.6 29.2 7.3 5.0 7.2 3.9 4.6 8.4 3.6 34.4 7.8 5.5 32.1 0 13.2 31.8 31.2 14.8 27.8 26.4 14.3 27.2 26.3 14.4 16.5 20.9 (3) 15.8 17.9 15.8 21.1 14.3 15.7 17.3 15.6 20.0 14.1 13.3 14.8 13.4 12.5 13.2 13.2 14.8 13.2 12.2 13.2 10.0 10.7 13.2 8.4 (3) * VJday 0 12.8 23.1 17.1 21.0 0 10.0 10.4 13.6 8.6 0 287 PRICES AND COST OF LIVING T able 3.— A v e ra g e r e ta il p r ic e s o f 70 f o o d s in 5 6 la rg e c itie s c o m b in e d , D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 6 , c o m p a r e d w ith e a r lie r m o n th s — Continued Dec. 15, Nov. 15, Dec. 15, Aug. 15, Jan. 15, Aug. 15, 1939 1941 1945 1945 1946 1946 Article F ruits and Vegetables—C ontinued D ried fruits: P ru n es.............. ....... ..............p o u n d D ried vegetables: N a v y beans------------------ do----Beverages: Coffee..................... - ..............................._ d o . .. . Tea ...........................- .- H p o u n d .. Cocoa 2. ! ” . —.......... ................. - .............. H p o u n d .. F a ts and oils: L a r d ..------------------- --------------------- Pc Shortening other th a n lard: In c arto n s...................... ........................." ' 4 ° ----In other c o n ta in ers..---------- ---------------d o ... Salad dressing.-----------------------------------... p i n t . Sugar and sweets: Sugar_____________ _______ - .........- ...........p o u n d Corn siru p _________________________ 24 ounces.. M olasses2..................................... — 16 fluid ounces. M onth Wage before base w ar in date 1 E u ro p e This m onth Last m onth Y ear ago VJday Cents 25.6 21.1 Cents 23.8 20.2 Cents 17.4 11.3 Cents 17.4 11.5 Cents 9.6 6.5 Cents 8.8 5.8 44.1 24.1 12.5 41.9 24.1 12.1 30.7 24.0 10.4 30.5 24.2 10.4 20.7 17.6 9.1 22.3 17.2 8.6 35.1 52.6 18.7 18.8 9.3 9.9 («) 44.3 39.3 42.5 35.4 48.3 41.3 44.9 38.3 42.5 35.2 46.6 19.8 24.5 25.6 23.7 31.0 29.8 20.0 24.5 24.2 23.9 28.6 30.5 11.3 18.3 20.1 15.6 17.9 (3) . 11.7 20.2 (3) 16.5 17.9 (3) 9.4 19.4 21.0 9.1 19.8 20.8 6.7 15.7 20.4 6.7 15.8 20.4 5.1 13.6 17.3 5.2 13.7 17.6 1 T he wage formulas apply to Jan u ary 1, 1941. Jan u ary 15, 1941, is th e nearest date for w hich d ata on retail prices of individual foods have been computed. 2 N ot included in index. 2 N ot priced. < Composite price no t com puted, s N o t available. T able 4.— I n d e x e s o f a v e ra g e r e ta il p r ic e s o f a ll f o o d s , b y c itie s f o n s p e c ifie d d a tes Dec. 15, 1946 N ov. 15, 1946 Dec. 15, 1945 Aug. 15, 1945 Jan. 15, 1941 Aug. 15, 1939 This m onth L ast m onth Y ear ago V J-day Wage base date 2 M onth before w ar in Europe C ity Indexes (1935-39=100) U nited S tates-------------------------------- 185.9 187.7 141.4 140.9 97.8 93.5 A tlanta, G a .----- ----------------- --------Baltim ore, M d ___________________ Birm ingham , Ala-------------------------Boston, M ass------------------------- -----B ridgeport, C onn-------------------------- 188.7 192.3 198.4 178.1 180.7 192.0 195.1 203.5 177.8 179.5 141. 6 148.1 145.2 134.5 136.8 142.1 149.1 147.5 135.7 137. 4 94.3 97.9 96.0 95.2 96.5 92.5 94. 7 90.7 93 5 93.2 Buffalo, N . Y . . . ------ --------------------B utte, M o n t.................... ....................... Cedar R apids, Iow a A ................ ......... Charleston, S. C -------- ------------ -----Chicago, 111............................................. 175.8 180.2 192.7 184.2 187.0 175.4 180.8 192.1 188.2 189.4 137.6 139.2 144.3 138.9 139.3 138.4 138.7 145.3 139.7 139.2 100.2 98.7 95.9 95.9 98.2 94.5 94.1 C incinnati, O hio.------- ------------ -----Cleveland, O h io .................... .............. Colum bus, Ohio..............- ..................... Dallas, T e x .........................................Denver, Colo.........................—.............. 184.0 191.4 174.0 187.1 190.6 187.0 193.1 179.4 188.7 192.7 138.7 144.8 133.5 137.5 141.7 140.0 145.6 134.0 138.9 139.3 96.5 99.2 93.4 92.6 94.8 90.4 93.6 88.1 91.7 92.7 D etroit, M ich .................................... —• Fall R iver, M ass.........- ........................ H ouston, T ex— ....................... - ........... Indianapolis, Ind............... ............... Jackson, M iss.3—.................................. 179.2 177.2 189.9 184.3 200.8 181.6 182.6 190.0 187.3 203.4 138.3 134.8 140.9 137.7 150.0 138.4 134.1 141.2 137.7 151.2 97.0 97.5 102.6 98.2 105.3 90.6 95. 4 97.8 90.7 See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 95.1 92.3 288 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW---- FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 T able 4.— I n d e x e s o f a v e ra g e r e ta il p r ic e s o f a ll f o o d s , b y c itie s ,1 on s p e c ifie d d a te s — Con. Dec. 15, 1946 N ov. 15, 1946 Dec. 15, 1945 Aug. 15, 1945 Jan. 15, 1941 Aug. 15, 1939 This m onth Last m onth Y ear ago V J-day Wagebase date 1 M onth before w ar in Europe C ity Indexes (1935-39=100) Jacksonville, F la --------------- _ _ -------K ansas C ity, M o ... ___ _ __________ Knoxville, T en n .3 _ L ittle Rock, A rk ......... _ ...... ...................... Los Angeles, C a lif .._ .. ----------------- 194.8 175.4 220.4 184.8 195.1 199.1 178.0 226. 5 186.3 198.1 150.7 135.3 159.8 139.8 150.9 152.0 135.4 160. 6 140.4 145.9 98.8 92.4 97.1 95.6 101.8 95.8 91.5 Louisville, K y . . . _ ___________ M anchester, N . H _____ . M em phis, T en n _________________ ____ M ilw aukee, W is. _______ . . ________ . ______ _ M inneapolis, M i n n ___... 178.6 186.7 206.0 179.7 180.2 184.9 185.6 207.3 184.1 181.7 135.2 137. 3 151.8 139.1 135.1 135.0 136.4 150. 9 139.4 133.2 95.5 96.6 94.2 95.9 99.0 92.1 94.9 89.7 91.1 95.0 M obile, A la----------------------------------------N ew ark, N . J __ ____ _________ N ew H aven, C onn___ _ ___ ________ N ew Orleans, L a _____ __ _ _______ N ew Y ork, N . Y ______________________ 191.0 ISO. 4 179.1 202.4 186.1 193.8 181.7 179.0 207. 4 188.6 148.9 144.0 135.8 152.7 143.3 152. 3 143.4 137.2 156. 5 141. 7 97.9 98.8 95.7 101.9 99. 5 95.5 95.6 93.7 97.6 95.8 Norfolk, V a___________ ______ . . . ____ Omaha, N eb r .......... ..... Peoria, 111__________ . . . ___ _ _ ______ Philadelphia, P a ____ _ __ ____________ Pittsb u rg h , P a __ . _ . _________ . . . 195.0 182.9 186.2 181.8 187.7 197.0 184. 1 190.3 181.6 188.5 145.2 134. 5 145.7 138.7 140.3 146. 1 131.8 145. 9 138.9 141.3 95.8 97.9 99.0 95.0 98.0 93.6 92.3 93.4 93.0 92. 5 P ortland, M ain e___ __________________ Portland, Oreg___________________ ____ Providence, R. I .. . .. ... __________ _____ R ichm ond, Va._ Rochester, N . Y__ _________ _________ 180.5 196.0 184.0 186.5 176.8 178.9 194.8 186.7 188.2 176.9 135.2 153.9 140.3 138.6 137.7 135.7 150.9 141.6 138.3 137.8 95.3 101. 7 96.3 93.7 99.9 95.9 96.1 93.7 92.2 92.3 St. Louis, M o _______ _ . . . _______ . . . St. P aul, M in n ________________________ Salt Lake C ity, U ta h ... ... . . . . .. San Francisco, C alif__________________ . Savannah, G a ___ _____ . . 189. 3 177.7 190.6 204.6 205.8 191.8 180. 1 191.9 205.2 209.4 144.1 133.7 146.5 154.1 154.4 144.0 132. 1 143.9 147.1 157.5 99.2 98.6 97.5 99.6 100.5 93.8 94.3 94.6 93.8 96.7 Scranton, P a ______ _ ... _______ Seattle, W ash ___ _ ___ _ Springfield, 111_________________________ W ashington, D . C ___ _ ________ ____ W ichita, K ans.3 . . . . . . _____ W inston-Salem , N . C.3 __________ 185.2 195.9 191.6 186.1 195.5 195.3 185.6 194.6 194.9 186.8 198.5 200.0 141.3 149.6 146.5 140. 9 152.1 142.3 141.3 145.8 146.1 141.7 149.8 143.4 97.5 101.0 96.2 97.7 97.2 93.7 92.1 94.5 94. 1 94.1 94.0 94.6 1 Aggregate costs of 61 foods in each city, w eighted to represent to tal purchases b y families of wage earners and low-salaried workers, have been combined for th e U nited States w ith the use of population weights. 2 T he wage formulas ap p ly to Jan u ary 1, 1941. Jan u ary 15, 1941, is the nearest date for w hich d ata on retail prices of individual foods have been com puted. s June 1940=100. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 289 PRICES AND COST OF LIVING T able 5.— I n d e x e s o f r e ta il f o o d p r ic e s in 5 6 la rg e c itie s c o m b in e d , 1 9 1 3 to D ece m b e r 1 9 4 6 [1935-39=lOOj All foods index Year 1913 1914 1Q1 5 1916 1917 1Q1K 1Q1Q 1Q?0 1921 1922 192.2 1924 192fi 1926 1927 1928 1929________ 79.9 81.8 80 9 90. 8 116 9 124 4 149 8 168 8 128 .2 119 9 124 0 122 8 1.22 9 1.27 4 132.3 130. 8 132.5 Year 1930________ 1931________ 1932 1933 ______ 19.24 1935 1936 1937 19,38 19.29 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944________ 1945________ All foods index Y ear and m onth 126.0 103.9 86.5 84.1 93. 7 100. 4 101.3 105. 3 97.8 95.2 96.6 105.5 123.9 138. 0 136.1 139.1 1945 Jan u ary __ F e b ru a ry — . . . M a r c h . __ A pril __ _ _ M a y _____ ____ _____ J u n e. . Ju ly ___________ A ugust................. S ep tem b er,. October . . . . N ovem ber , D ecem ber____ All foods index 137.3 136.5 135.9 136.6 138.8 141.1 141. 7 140.9 139.4 139.3 140.1 141.4 Year and m onth 1946 Jan u a ry _______ F e b ru a ry ------M arch ______ A pril__________ M a y __________ J u n e .. ----------J u ly ---------------A ugust----- -----Septem ber. . . O ctober______ N ovem ber__ D ecem ber... . All foods index 141.0 139.6 140.1 141.7 142.6 145.6 165.7 171.2 174.1 180.0 187.7 185.9 ' W h o lesa le P ric e s in D e c e m b e r a n d Y e a r 1 9 4 6 ADVANCES for nonagricultural commodities were responsible for an increase of 0.9 percent in average primary market prices in December 1946. Prices of agricultural commodities declined from November peaks. The Bureau of Labor Statistics general index of commodity prices in primary markets reached a new postwar high—140.9 percent of the 1926 average; this was 31.6 percent above December 1945 and 87.9 percent above August 1939 levels. The advance over the year, most of which occurred in the last 6 months, was greater than in any year since World War I and many times the moderate rises of the three preceding years. From June 1946 to December 1946, wholesale prices increased 24.8 percent.1 Average prices of all commodities other than farm products and foods rose 3.3 percent in December, reaching a year-end level 55.7 percent higher than at the beginning of the war. Prices of farm products and foods were lower. Raw materials declined fractionally, while semimanufactured and manufactured products increased 5.5 and 0.7 percent, respectively. Building materials led the price advance in December 1946 with an average rise of 8.5 percent. Lumber prices (with sharp increases for Southern pine, Douglas fir, and other types) rose 18.3 percent to a level higher than their World War I postwar peak and more than times as high as in August 1939. There also were substantial advances, reflecting higher costs, for pigments and mixed paints, plumbing and heating fixtures, and other miscellaneous building materials, particu larly metallic products. i A review of the year will be published in the M arch 1947 issue of the M onthly Labor Review and a brief prelim inary statem ent, which is available upon request, was issued in mimeographed form on December 30, 1946. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 290 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 Average prices of chemicals and allied products in December 1946 were 5.7 percent higher than in November, largely reflecting the sharp increases for some scarce commodities which occurred in mid-Novem ber, immediately after decontrol. Price increases in all subgroups contributed to the 3.5-percent rise for metals and metal products. Following their initial advance after decontrol in November, there were further sharp increases for basic nonferrous metals, with lead and tin prices reaching all-time peaks, and antimony, copper, nickel, and zinc prices also advancing. Pig iron prices increased, and a general readjustment of base prices and extras in the steel industry caused increases of varying amounts for major semifinished and finished steel products. The rise of 2.3 percent in the index of miscellaneous commodities was due primarily to higher prices for wood pulp, paper, and boxboard and soap. Higher domestic quotations for wood pulp followed recent Canadian increases. Price advances for boxboard and paper reflected increased costs. Acute scarcity combined with higher production costs resulted in increases ranging from 4% percent to more than 20 percent for soaps. Cattle feed prices dropped 8.1 percent, with increased supplies of feed corn. In the fuel and lighting materials group, which rose 1.7 percent in December, bituminous-coal prices increased 1.1 percent as mines raised prices of stoker coal, in heavy demand, to cover higher costs of crushing. Higher crude oil prices were reflected in increased prices for fuel oil, gasoline, and kerosene. Realized prices for natural and manufactured gas were higher. Except for raw silk, prices of most textile products a'dvanced in December. New allotments of men’s underwear were made at sub stantially higher levels. Price increases for rayon staple and filament yarn immediately following decontrol in November resulted in higher average prices for December. Cotton goods, clothing, artificial leather, and woolen and worsted goods advanced in price, largely re flecting higher manufacturing costs. Prices of burlap, raw jute and jute yarn, and manila hemp increased. Lack of demand for manu factured silk products, particularly hosiery, at prevailing high prices, was responsible for lower raw-silk prices. Small increases for a number of commodities, including furniture and furnishings, accounted for the 1.7-percent rise for housefurnishings goods, as manufacturers continued to adjust prices upward following decontrol. As a group, hides and leather prices rose 2.4 percent in December. The increases for shoes and leather, reflecting earlier cost increases, more than offset the continued declines for hides which amounted to as much as 15 percent for cow hides. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PRICES AND COST OF LIVING 291 In contrast to the general upward trend, prices of agricultural com modities declined in December. As a group, farm products were down 1.0 percent. Ample supplies of the new crop were responsible for lower corn quotations. Buyers’ resistance to high prices of meats following decontrol brought general declines for livestock. Fresh fruits and vegetables decreased on the average and egg prices weie seasonally lower. Spot cotton prices increased and quotations for domestic wool advanced as the Commodity Credit Corpoiation raised its selling prices to cover parity. There also were increases in domestic prices for foreign wools following advances in foreign markets. Since August 1939 the index for farm products advanced 175.6 percent a greater increase than for any other major group. Foods were down 3.2 percent as a group to a level 47.4 percent above a year earlier and 138.2 percent above August 1939. On the average, meat prices dropped 7.2 percent reflecting good supplies. Poultry prices advanced. Dairy products dropped 1.6 percent during the month as fluid milk declined seasonally at Chicago and cheese prices decreased substantially. Most cereal products increased during the month, reflecting good export demand. Wheat flour prices averaged 4.5 percent higher and rye flour was up more than 9 peicent. Among other foods, there were sharp price increases for cocoa beans and certain fats and oils. Sugar prices advanced under the terms of an agreement with Cuban producers linking prices to the Bureau’s retail food index. Substantial declines from recent high levels occurred for black pepper, lard, and edible tallow. Index numbers of wholesale prices by groups and subgroups of commodities and percentage changes for various periods are shown in table 1. Annual index numbers for selected years are shown in table 2. T able 1.— I n d e x e s o f w h o le sa le p r ic e s b y g r o u p s a n d su b g r o u p s o f c o m m o d itie s, D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 6 c o m p a r e d w ith p r e v io u s m o n th s ________________ Indexes (1926=100) Groups and subgroups F arm products _________________ Grains _________________ Livestock and p o u ltr y .- __ ____________ O ther farm products - ________ £>airy products _____- _________ Cereal products ____________ F ru its and vegetables __________ M eats --____________ — O ther foods _ _________ ____ Hides and leather products ____________ H ides and skins_______________________ T,pothor _________ ________ O ther leather p ro d u cts........ .......................... See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis D e N o D e cember vember cember 1945 1946 1946 • 140.9 2 139.7 169.8 168.1 165.4 163.0 197.4 194.7 153.3 152.5 165.4 160.1 182.9 180.0 136.1 139.5 139.5 134. 5 202.8 188.2 141.4 139.0 172.5 176.7 162.9 169.9 221.0 216.5 178.1 185.0 123.5 123.6 107.1 131. 5 133.2 129.6 131.3 108.6 113.8 95.7 128.7 107.9 100.6 118.9 126.9 117.6 104.1 115.2 Percent changes to December 1946 from— 292 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW---- FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 T able 1 .— I n d e x e s o f w h o le sa le p r ic e s b y g r o u p s a n d s u b g r o u p s o f c o m m o d itie s, D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 6 c o m p a r e d w ith p r e v io u s m o n th s — Continued Percent changes to D ecem ber 1946 from— Indexes (1926=100) Groups and subgroups D e N o D e D e A ugust N o cember vem ber cember 1939 vem ber cember August 1939 1946 1945 1945 1946 1946 ____ 134.7 Textile products _____ _____ _ C lothing_____ _____ ______ _ _____ 129.8 C otton g o o d s ____ ____________ 181.6 96. 9 Hosiery and underw ear _ _ ___ __ __ R ay o n ______ _ _ ___ ___ _ _ 33. S Silk_____________ 103. 2 Woolen and worsted goods _______ _ ___ 119.0 O ther textile products _ _ ___ __ _ _____ 168.1 96.1 Fuel and lighting m aterials___ _ ___ ____ _ _ ___ __ A n th ra c ite .,- ______ 113.7 B itum inous coal______ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 138.9 Coke__ _ ___ __ _ __ 147.5 E lectricity. ________ ____ ___ (3) G as_________________________ __ (3) Petroleum and products____ ______ _ 75.8 M etals and m etal p ro d u cts.__ _ _ _ ___ _ _ i 134. 7 A gricultural im plem ents. _. __ _____ 117.1 F arm m achinery _ 118.6 Iron and steel_______ _ __ ___________ 117.4 M otor vehicles. _ _ ._ _ _ __ ___ ____ ' 151.0 Nonferrous m etals___ _ __ 129.3 P lum bing and h eatin g . . _ ..114.9 Building m aterials_____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 157.8 __ _. . . . . 130.0 Brick and tile _____ _ C em ent_____ ______ _ ____ 106.9 L um ber__ _________________________ 227. 2 P a in t and p ain t m aterials____ ________ 155.4 Plum bing and heating. . . . 114.9 Structural steel__________________ __ ..120. 1 Other building m aterials. __________ __ 131.8 Chemicals and allied products______ ______ 125. 7 Chemicals. 111.8 Drugs and pharm aceuticals. __ _ _ ___ _ 181. 2 Fertilizer m aterials. _ ______ _______ 95.1 Mixed fertilizer___ _ _______ _ ___ __ 93.6 Oils and fats___ ____________________ _ 203.0 Housefurnishings goods. __ .__ _______ _ _ 120.2 Furnishings_____ ___ 126.3 F u rn itu re_____ 113.9 M iscellaneous. _ _____ _ 108.9 Automobile tires-tubes ________ __ 73.0 C attle feed_____________ ______ . 193. 8 Paper and pulp __. ____________ _. 136.4 Rubber, cru d e.__ ___ . _____ 46. 2 Other miscellaneous _ _ _ _ 117.0 R aw m aterials___ 153.2 Sem im anufactured products__ ___ 136. 2 M anufactured p ro d u c ts_____ _ i 135. 7 All commodities other than farm p ro d u c ts.._ i 134. 8 All commodities other th an farm products and foods________ ___ _ i 124. 7 131.3 127.9 174. 7 89.3 30.2 115.0 117.7 161.3 94.5 113. 5 137. 4 147.5 (3) 84.4 73.4 i 2130. 2 112. 5 113.8 114.0 12148. 2 118. 4 107. 2 145.5 129.1 107.0 192.1 151.3 107.2 120. 1 125.3 118.9 106.9 152.8 96.3 91.1 191.0 118.2 124.4 111.8 106.5 73.0 210.8 127. 7 46.2 113.3 153.4 129.1 i 2134. 7 i 2132. 9 101.4 107.4 125. 5 73.5 30.2 (3) 112.7 101.9 84.8 103.4 125.0 134.9 68. 7 77. 7 61.6 105.6 98.1 99.1 101.0 112.8 85.8 95.0 119.5 116.7 100. 5 157.8 107.8 95.0 107.3 105. 9 96.1 97.1 112.3 81.9 86.6 102.0 104.7 107.9 101.6 94.8 73.0 159. 6 109. 3 46.2 98.9 119.2 97.6 102.5 101.6 67.8 81.5 65. 5 61.5 28. 5 44.3 75.5 63.7 72.6 72.1 96.0 104. 2 75. 8 86. 7 51.7 93.2 93. 5 94. 7 95.1 92. 5 74.6 79.3 89.6 90.5 91.3 90.1 82.1 79.3 107. 3 89.5 74.2 83.8 77. 1 65.5 73. 1 40.6 85.6 90.0 81.1 73.3 60. 5 68.4 80.0 34. 9 81.3 66. 5 74.5 79.1 77.9 + 2 .6 + 1 .5 + 3 .9 + 8 .5 +11.9 -1 0 .3 +32.8 +20.9 +44.7 +31.8 +11.9 + 4 .2 + 1 .7 + .2 + 1.1 0 + 5 .6 +65.0 +13.3 -i-io.o + ii.i + 9.3 +98.7 4-59.3 +177.3 +57.6 4-18.6 +133.0 +57.6 +163. 9 +32.4 +57. 7 +44.7 +41.6 + 3.3 + 3 .5 + 4.1 + 4 .2 + 3 .0 +1. 9 + 9 .2 +7. 2 + 8 .5 + .7 -.1 +18.3 + 2 .7 + 7 .2 0 + 5 .2 + 5 .7 + 4 .6 +18.6 - 1 .2 +2. 7 + 6 .3 + 1 .7 + 1 .5 + 1 .9 + 2 .3 0 - 8 .1 + 6 .8 0 + 3.3 -. 1 +5. 5 +. 7 + 1 .4 +23.1 +27.6 +19. 4 4-19.7 4-16.2 +46.6 +44. 5 +25. 2 +25.2 +23.4 +50.7 +20. 9 +32.1 +11. 4 + 6 .4 +44.0 +44.2 +20.9 4-11. 9 +24. 5 +30. 8 +15. 1 +61.4 +16. 1 +8.1 +99.0 + 14.8 +17.1 +12.1 + 14.9 0 +21.4 +24.8 0 + 18.3 +28.5 +39.5 +32. 4 +32.7 +73.3 4-44. 9 +76.1 +43.6 +17.1 +152. 2 +89. 3 +44.9 +11. 9 +47.3 +69.4 +33.4 + 135.0 +45.2 +28.0 +400. 0 +40.4 +40. 3 4-40.4 +48.6 4-20.7 +183. 3 +70. 5 -1-32.4 +43.9 +130. 4 +82.8 +71.6 4-73.0 i 2120. 7 100. 5 80.1 + 3 .3 +24.1 +55. 7 1 Includes current m otor vehicle prices. Motor vehicles.—The rate of production of motor vehicles in October 1946 exceeded the m onthly average rate of civilian production in 1941, and in accordance w ith the announcem ent made in the September release the Bureau introduced current prices for m otor vehicles in the October calculations. D uring the war, m otor vehicles were not produced for general civilian sale and the B ureau carried April 1942 prices forward in each com putation through September 1946. If April 1942 prices of m otor vehicles had been used after September 1946, the indexes for the groups of which m otor vehicles is a com ponent would have been: Indexes (1926=100) N oDe- Year vember cember 19!fi All com m odities______________________ :_____________________ _____ __ 137.9 139.0 120.7 M etals and m etal products___________________________________ „_____ 117.0 120.5 112.3 M anufactured products__________________________ __________________ 131.7 132.5 115.4 All commodities other th a n farm p roducts_______________________ ____ 130.7 132.4 114.3 All commodities other th a n farm products and foods__________________ 117. 8 121. 6 108. 8 These special indexes will be published as long as the need for them continues. 2 Revised. i N o t available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 293 PRICES AND COST OF LIVING T able 2 .— A n n u a l in d e x n u m b e rs o f w h o lesa le p r ic e s b y g ro u p s a n d su b g ro u p s o f c o m m o d itie s [1926=100] 1942 1941 1939 103.1 98.8 87.3 77.1 95.3 123.3 126.9 124.6 120.7 122.6 116.3 128.7 119.8 105.9 92.9 117.8 101.6 82.4 76.9 91.6 77.8 65.3 58.6 72.2 62.6 104.9 110.5 94.8 121.3 106.1 95.0 106.6 111.1 93.7 121.3 110.3 97.3 99.6 100.0 89.2 95.5 111.8 92.3 82.7 87.3 80.7 67.5 90.4 78.9 70.4 69.5 74.8 62.0 77.2 64.1 104.9 97.4 106.1 106.6 99.9 105.6 88.0 97.8 109.1 93.9 118.1 126.4 117.0 102.2 115.2 116.7 126.3 109.9 101.3 115.2 117.5 126.4 114.7 101.3 115.2 108.3 113.5 108.4 97.9 104.7 95.6 102.6 84.6 87.5 97.1 109.1 106.3 112.7 113.2 106.4 100.1 107.4 121.4 71.7 (2) 30.2 112.7 101.1 98.4 107.1 115.7 70.9 m 30.2 112.7 100.6 97.4 107.0 112.7 70.8 (2) 30.3 112.5 98.8 117.7 125.7 117.6 101.3 114.9 96.9 106.9 112.4 70.5 (2) 30.3 110.4 97.9 69.7 82.0 67.2 61.4 46.1 28.8 79.8 69.2 90.4 90.0 98.8 88.5 82.7 68.4 88.3 93.1 84.0 99.0 123.1 132.5 62.3 77.7 63.5 83.0 95.6 120.3 130.3 59.6 77.2 63.9 80.8 90.4 116.1 122.7 59.5 76.5 62.5 78.5 85.5 109.7 122.1 63.8 78.4 59.8 73.1 75.8 97.5 105.6 78.6 84.1 52.2 83.0 90.1 91.3 84.6 94.5 93.1 71.3 1115.5 105.5 106.7 110.3 0) (2) 99.7 103.8 Building m aterials . _. ------ - - - ------ 132.6 B rick and tile - - . . . ------------------ - 122.9 104.1 C em en t___ _. ----— 178.4 L u m b e r.. ----------- -------------------- . . . P a in t and p ain t m aterials----118.5 Plum bing and heating-------- _ - .- --- - 103.8 Structural steel----------- - --------- 118.4 O ther building m aterials. -- ------------- 118.6 Chemicals and allied products------ - _ - - . 101.4 99.8 Chem icals. - - - - . ... D rugs and pharm aceuticals----------- -- . . 120.8 87.4 Fertilizer m aterials .. 88.2 M ixed fertilizers ------ _ ----------Oils and fats--------------- -. - --------- -- 119.1 104.7 97.8 98.8 99.2 112.8 85.8 93.4 103.8 97.3 98.4 97.2 112.8 85.8 92.2 103.8 103.8 96.9 96.9 98.0 98.0 97.2 97.2 112.8 112.7 85.7 86.0 95.4 90.7 111.4 110.2 99.1 98.0 93.8 94.0 3141.4 133.0 102.3 100.3 95.4 90.7 107.3 107.3 102.0 103.5 3 94.9 3 95.5 96.2 96.5 3106.2 3116.0 78.7 80.0 82.7 86.1 101.9 105.1 84.8 92.6 94.2 63.1 (2) 29.7 96.6 90.7 76.2 82.7 104.3 119.3 68.3 78.6 57.0 99.4 93.5 94. 5 96.4 103.3 84.4 84.8 103.2 93.7 92.0 122. 5 91.4 84.8 107.3 98.3 3 84.4 87.2 3102.6 73.5 76.0 77.6 94.4 93.4 94. (3 95.8 93.4 78.0 79.2 90.5 91.4 91.3 93.2 82.8 79.2 107.3 90.3 100.5 98.7 98.0 94.9 100.0 106.1 95.0 95.4 94.3 89.0 93.8 94.9 95.0 98.1 97.7 76.0 84.7 78.2 67.9 73.0 48.4 94.0 99.7 66.8 95.6 95.2 89.0 111.6 Housefurnishing goods ------- -- ------- -Furnishings________________________ - 116.6 106.4 F u rn itu re _______ ____ - ----------------- 104.5 107.6 101.5 104.3 107.3 101.4 102.7 107.2 98.1 102.4 107.3 97.4 94.3 99.9 88.4 86.3 91.1 81.3 94.3 93.6 95.0 100.3 73.0 191.1 119.4 46.2 104.3 134.7 110.8 1116.1 1114.9 94.7 73.0 159.6 108.8 46.2 98.9 116.8 95.9 101.8 100.8 93.6 73.0 159.6 107.1 46.2 97.0 113.2 94.1 100.8 99.6 92.2 73.0 152.7 104.1 46.2 95.8 112.1 92.9 100.1 98.7 89.7 72.5 134.4 100.8 46.3 93.4 100.6 92.6 98.6 97.0 82.0 61.0 101.2 98.2 46.1 87.8 83.5 86.9 89.1 88.3 74.8 59.5 83.3 82.4 37.2 82.6 70.2 77.0 80.4 79.5 82.6 54.5 121.6 88.9 42.3 98.4 97.5 93.9 94.5 93.3 1109.5 99.7 98.5 96.9 95.5 89.0 81.3 91.6 1946 1945 1944 1943 121.1 105.8 104.0 128.2 129.7 132.5 124.3 106.2 111.1 95.2 122.8 107.8 96.6 137.2 141.7 147.4 128.6 117.0 Textile products----- — - - - - - ------ ---- 116.3 119.3 Clothing -- 150. 5 C otton goods 82.1 Hosiery and u n d erw ear.. ___ --------Silk_________________________________ (2) 30.7 R ay o n . . - - - - - - - - - - - 115.7 Woolen and worsted goods . O ther textile products . ------------------ 122.8 90.1 Fuel and lighting m aterials-------- ----------109.0 A nthracite - - ---B itum inous coal--------------------------------- 132.5 140.4 Coke .......................... E lectricity - . ----------------------------------(2) G as__ . — (2) Petroleum p roducts. . . _ . . . . - --- -- 67.5 Groups and subgroups All commodities .............................. ...... F arm p ro d u c ts .. ---------- ------ - - - - - - - --G rains . . . . ... - - -- -Livestock and p o u ltry ----- ------ -- ------O ther farm products-------- . . . . --------- 148.9 155.6 155.6 142.0 F oods.- . . ___ -,------- --------D airy products, . . . ---------- ------ - -Cereal p ro d u cts. ------ . . . . ------------F ru its and v e g e ta b le s ------------- --------M eats . . . . . O ther foods................ . . . --------- - --H ides and leather p roducts----------- . . . . . . Shoes . __ H ides and skins. _. . . ----------- -----L eather. _ . . . . O ther leather products ------------- 130.7 145.8 114.5 129.9 145.9 111.9 M etals and m etal products. _ --------- ------A gricultural im plem ents. ------- --------F arm m achinery------ ------- - ------ -Iron and steel. M otor vehicles--------- --------- - ------- Nonferrous metals _ P lum bing and heating---------- - _ ------- M isoellaneons - ____ Automobile tires and tubes ________ ___ C attle feed __ -_______ P aper and p u lp __ -- ___ C rude ru b b e r. O ther miscellaneous. _ _____ _______ R aw m aterials Sem im anufactured articles. _ ____________ M anufactured products _ ________ ____ All commodities other th a n farm p ro d u cts.. All commodities other th a n farm products and foods---------------------- -------------- --i See footnote 1, table 1. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 117.8 115.5 112.4 101.7 99.4 95.8 155.1 3153.3 106.9 105.2 92.2 93.4 107.3 107.3 104.4 103.1 95.2 3 95.2 96.1 96.1 109.0 3108.8 81.3 81.6 86.4 86.6 102.0 102.0 2 D ata not available. 3 Revised. 1929 294 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1947 Index Numbers by Commodity Groups, 1926 to December 1946 Index numbers of wholesale prices by commodity groups for selected years from 1926 to 1945, and by months from December 1945 to December 1946 are shown in table 3. T able 3 .— I n d e x n u m b e rs o f w h o le s a le p r ic e s b y g ro u p s o f c o m m o d itie s [1926=100] H ides and Textile leather prod ucts prod ucts Fuel and light ing m ate rials M etals and n etal prod ucís B uild ing m ate rials 100.0 109.1 72.9 80.9 95.4 104.6 92.8 95.6 100.8 108.3 117.7 117.5 116.7 118.1 100.0 90.4 54.9 64.8 71.5 76.3 66.7 69.7 73.8 84.8 96.9 97.4 98.4 100.1 100.0 83.0 70.3 66.3 76.2 77.6 76.5 73.1 71.7 76.2 78.5 80.8 83.0 84.0 100.0 100.5 80.2 79.8 87.0 95.7 95.7 94.4 95.8 99.4 103.8 103.8 103.8 104.7 100.0 95.4 71.4 77.0 86.7 95.2 90.3 90.5 94.8 103.2 110.2 111.4 115.5 117.8 100.0 94.0 73.9 72.1 78.7 82.6 77.0 76.0 77.0 84.4 95.5 94.9 95.2 95.2 100.0 94.3 75.1 75.8 81.7 89.7 86.8 86.3 88.5 94.3 102.4 102.7 104.3 104.5 100.0 82.6 64.4 62.5 70.5 77.8 73.3 74.8 77.3 82.0 89.7 92.2 93.6 94.7 100.0 95.3 64.8 65.9 80.8 86.3 78.6 77.1 78.6 87.3 98.8 103.1 104.0 105.8 108.6 118.9 101.4 84.8 105.6 119.5 96.1 104.7 94.8 107.1 107.3 107.8 109.4 110.8 111.5 112.9 140.2 149.0 131.9 157.9 165.4 160.1 119.4 119.6 119.8 119.8 120.4 122.4 141.2 138.9 141.6 142.4 172.5 176,7 101.6 102.2 104.7 107.9 108.8 109.2 118.1 124.0 125.7 128.6 131.3 134.7 84.9 85.1 85.0 86.0 86.1 87.8 90.3 94.4 94.3 94.2 94.5 96.1 105.7 106.6 108.4 108.8 109.4 112.2 113.3 114.0 114.2 125.8 130.2 134.7 120.0 120.9 124.9 126. 5 127.8 129.9 132.1 132.7 133.8 134.8 145.5 157.8 96.0 95.9 96.0 96.1 96.5 96.4 99.3 98.4 98.4 99.9 118.9 125.7 106.2 106.5 106.9 107.5 108.3 110.4 111.9 112.6 113.6 115.3 118.2 120.2 95.3 95.6 95.6 95.7 97.0 98.5 101.3 102.0 102.1 104.0 106.5 108.9 107.1 107.7 108.9 110.2 Y ear and m onth Farm prod ucts Foods 1926............ . 1929________ 1932_________ 1933_________ 1936_________ 1937_________ 1938________ 1939_________ 1940_________ 1941________ 1942_________ 1943________ 1944________ 1945_________ 100.0 104.9 48.2 51.4 80.9 86.4 68.5 65.3 67.7 82.4 105.9 122.6 123.3 128.2 100.0 99.9 61.0 60.5 82.1 85.5 73.6 70.4 71.3 82.7 99.6 106.6 104. 9 106.2 1945 D ecem ber___ 131.5 1946 Ja n u a ry _____ F e b ru a ry ___ M arch ____ A pril______ M a y ___ ____ Ju n e ________ J u ly ________ A u g u s t .. ___ Septem ber__ October_____ N ovem ber__ D ecem ber___ 129.9 130. 8 133.4 135.4 137.5 140.1 157.0 161.0 154. 3 165.3 169.8 168.1 C hem House icals fur and nish allied ing prod goods ucts MisAll cel- com lane- m odi ous ties 111.0 112.9 124.7 129.1 124.0 134.1 139.7 140.9 The price trend for specified years and months since 1926 is shown in table 4 for the following groups of commodities: Raw materials, semimanufactured articles, manufaictured products, commodities other than farm products and commodities other than farm products and foods. The list of commodities included under the classifications “Raw materials,” “Semimanufactured articles,” and “Manufactured products” was shown on pages 10 and 11 of Wholesale Prices, JulyDecember and year 1943 (Bulletin No. 785). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 295 PRICES AND COST OF LIVING T able 4.— Index numbers of wholesale prices by special groups of commodities [1926=100] Y ear and m onth SemiRaw manufacm ate tured rials a rti cles All com M an modi ties ufac tured other prod th an farm ucts prod ucts All com m odi ties other th an farm prod ucts and foods 1926 _______ 1929 _____ 1932 1Q33 IQSfi 1Q37 1Q3R 1Q3Q 1940 1941 _____ 1942 1943 1944________ 1945________ 100.0 97.5 55.1 50 5 79 9 84 8 72.0 70 2 71. 9 83.5 100.6 112.1 113.2 116.8 100.0 93.9 59.3 65.4 75.9 85.3 75.4 77.0 79.1 86.9 92.6 92.9 94.1 95.9 100.0 94.5 70.3 70.5 82.0 87.2 82. 2 80.4 81.6 89.1 98.6 100.1 100.8 101.8 100.0 93.3 68.3 69.0 80. 7 86.2 80.6 79.5 80.8 88.3 97.0 98.7 99.6 100.8 100.0 91.6 70.2 71.2 79.6 85.3 81.7 81.3 83.0 89.0 95.5 96.9 98.5 99.7 1915 D ecem ber. 119.2 97.6 102.5 101.6 100.5 Y ear and m onth SemiR aw manufacm ate tured rials a rti cles All All com com modi M an m odi ties other ties ufac tured other than farm prod than farm prod ucts prod ucts and ucts foods 118.3 118.9 120.5 122.2 123.6 126.3 141.7 145.7 141.4 148.7 153.4 153.2 102.9 103.4 104.5 105.5 106.1 107.3 118.9 123.9 117.2 129.6 134.7 135.7 1946 J a n u a ry ____ F eb ru ary — M arch — A p ril______ M a y _______ J u n e _______ J u ly _______ A ugust___S eptem ber... O ctober____ N ovem ber... D e ce m b e r... 97.6 98.8 100.4 101.1 101.9 105.7 110.2 111.9 115.0 118.2 129.1 136.2 101.9 102.5 103.4 104.5 105.1 106.7 117.5 121.9 117.2 127.1 132.9 134.8 100.8 101.3 102.2 103.3 103.9 105. G 109.5 111.6 112.2 115.8 120.7 124.7 Weekly Fluctuations Weekly changes in wholesale prices by groups of commodities during November and December 1946 are shown by the index numbers in table 5. These indexes are not averaged to obtain an index for the month but are computed only to indicate the fluctuations from week to week. T able 5.— Weekly index numbers of wholesale prices by commodity groups, November and December 1946 [1926 = 100] C om m odity group Dec. 28 Dec. 21 Dec. 14 Dec. 7 N ov. 30 N ov. 23 Nov. 16 N ov. 9 N ov. 2 All commodities. 139.6 139.8 139.7 139.1 139.1 137.3 135.8 134.8 134.8 F arm pro d u cts........................ F o o d s .................................... H ides and leather products. Textile pro d u cts__________ Fuel and lighting m aterials. 167.7 159.1 171.3 133.3 97.0 170.7 159.5 170.9 132.8 96.9 168.7 161.3 170.7 132.5 96.1 169. 2 161.7 166.9 131.7 96.0 170.3 163.6 165.0 130.7 95.8 172.1 165.0 158.6 129.6 94.9 167.3 164.1 159.2 129.5 94.8 166.0 162.5 158.7 130.2 94.7 166.5 165.9 143.3 127.3 94.8 M etals and m etal products----B uilding m a te ria ls................. Chem icals and allied products. Housefurnishing goods----------M iscellaneous............................... 133.9 154.6 126.1 120.5 107.7 133.3 151.9 125.6 120.5 108.1 132.7 151.1 125.4 120.0 107.9 132.2 145.2 124.0 118.7 106.9 131.8 144.3 123.7 118.3 106.7 117.2 142.0 123.1 118.0 106.1 116.3 140.4 122.3 117.6 104.6 114.4 140.0 110.2 117.5 104.9 114.4 137.4 103.5 117.3 105.4 R aw m aterials____________________ Sem im anufactured articles-------------M anufactured products-----------------All commodities other than farm products........................................... — All commodities other th a n farm products and foods— ..................... . 154.2 135.0 134.5 155.5 134.4 134.2 154.3 133.7 134.8 154.4 131.6 134.0 154.8 130.2 134.1 155.3 128.2 131.1 152.6 125.9 130.4 152.2 122.4 129.5 150.9 120.6 130.4 133.5 133.0 133.4 132.5 132.3 129.7 129.0 128.0 127.9 121.6 121.1 116.9 116.2 115.5 114.0 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 123.9 123.4 122.9 Construction C o n s tru c tio n A c tiv ity — N o v e m b e r 1 9 4 6 - J a n u a r y 1 9 4 7 a n d O u tlo o k fo r Y e a r 1 9 4 7 Progress of the Housing Program o r e n e w permanent homes (58,000) were completed in December than in any other month in 1946. By the end of the year completions were nearing the half-million mark (about 454,000), and another third of a million new permanent dwellings (344,000) were under construc tion. Almost three-fourths of the units completed in 1946 were started in the same year. M T a b l e 1.— N u m b e r o f f a m il y d w e llin g u n its o r e q u iv a le n t liv in g a c c o m m o d a tio n s s ta r te d a n d c o m p le te d in n o n fa r m a re a s x, b y m o n th s, 1 9 4 6 , a n d ou tlo o k f o r 1 9 4 7 E stim ated num ber of units S tarted Completed Y ear and m onth Total N ew per m anent family dwellings 2 O ther 3 4 T otal New per m anent family dwellings 5 O ther 4 6 1946: T o tal_________________ 1, 003, 600 670,900 332, 700 661,900 453,800 208,100 Jan u ary . . F e b r u a r y ___ ___ ______ M arch __________ ______ A p ril_____. _ _______ May___ _______________ Ju n e __________ _______ J u ly ___________________ August- _ ._ _______ September_ ____ . O c to b e r -.-______ ______ N ovem ber - _ ... D ecember . . ________ 49, 500 56,100 86.400 97, 600 105, 600 93, 7C0 108,100 106, 500 103, 600 80, 200 63,900 52.400 36.100 43.100 60.400 66.100 67, 600 63, 600 64,300 64.400 57.100 58.100 49, 700 40, 400 13, 400 13.000 26.000 31, 500 38.000 30.100 43,800 42.100 46, 500 22.100 14, 200 12.000 24, 900 28,000 31, 200 35, 60C 39,900 46, 600 54.300 59.300 81, 200 84,800 82, 800 93.300 18,700 20.300 22,600 26,400 30.300 34,900 41.000 42,200 49,800 54, 500 55,100 58.000 6, 200 7, 700 8,600 9,200 9,600 11.700 13.300 17,100 31, 400 30.300 27.700 35.300 1947: O u tlo o k ..____ ___ 1,000,000 950,000 1 Excludes m ilitary barracks. 2 Includes 8,027 perm anent u n its started b y New Y ork H ousing A uthority, and 37,200 prefabricated units (N ational Housing Agency estim ate). 3 Covers 64,500 privately financed converted units; 191,000 Federal (M ead-Lanham tem porary housing programs) re-use un its (147,300 family dwellings and 43,700 dorm itory equivalents—Federal Public Housing estim ates); 48,000 trailers (B ureau of the Census); and 29,200 family and dorm itory equivalent units financed b y various State and local public bodies a n d educational institutions (not included under th e Federal M ead-L anham tem porary housing program ). 4 A small proportion of new p erm anent un its provided in th e local emergency program now included under “ other,” will be shown for all m onths in both th e started and completed columns for new perm anent housing in future publications of this table. { Break-down no t available for conventional and prefabricated units. 6 Covers 45,300 conversion units, 101,900 re-use units, 48,000 trailers, and 12,900 local emergency units. 296 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis CONSTRUCTION 297 According to revised estimates, 40,400 permanent homes were started in December, all of which were privately financed. This is about 9,000 less than were begun in November. A total of 670,900 new permanent dwellings (both publicly and privately financed) were started during the year 1946, and it is antici pated that 1947 starts will approximate 1 million. Completions in the coming year are expected to reach 950,000. About a fifth of the dwellings started in 1947 will be in multifamily structures (which are usually built to rent), compared with less than a tenth last year. The new permanent housing discussed here accounts for about twothirds of all the units begun and completed during the Veterans’ Emergency Housing Program. In addition to the new permanent units, the VEHP includes conversion, trailer, dormitory, and tem porary re-use accommodations. Total Construction Activity Construction activity continued to decline in January 1947, accord ing to preliminary estimates. Total construction employment (1,728,000 workers) and expenditures for all work put in place (976 million dollars) were both 8 percent below December 1946 levels. All of the major categories of construction shared in the downtrend. It is believed that January will be the low point in construction activity in 1947. The 1,350,000 workers employed on the site of new construction in the first month of the year is expected to increase to over 2% million at the peak of the 1947 program next September. This exceeds last year’s top on-site employment figure by threequarters of a million workers and approaches the high levels of the twenties. Probably more than half the workers at the job site this coming September will be skilled (including foremen) and about 40 percent of the skilled workers will be carpenters. Last summer there were slightly more than 900,000 skilled workers employed on new construc tion, compared with the million and a quarter expected at the 1947 peak. About 35 percent of the manpower required for this year’s construc tion peak will be used on nonfarm housing, 30 percent on nonresidential building, and 35 percent on nonbuilding and farm construction. Employment on the site of residential building, which demands a larger proportion of skilled craftsmen than any other type of construc tion, is expected to rise from a low of about 485,000 in January 1947 to around 925,000 in September; nonresidential building site employ ment probably will range from 490,000 to 780,000. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis to T able 2.— E s tim a te d c o n str u c tio n e m p lo y m e n t 1 in th e U n ite d S ta te s, b y m o n th s, J a n u a r y 1 9 4 6 —J a n u a r y 1 9 4 7 CO 00 E m ploym ent (in thousands of persons) 1946 2 T ype of project Jan. 1947 3 Jan. Feb. M ar. Apr. M ay June July Aug. Sept. Oct. N ov. Dec. All ty p e s____________________________________ ____ ____ 1.890 1, 223 1,364 1,465 1,686 1, 912 2,079 2,181 2,308 2,277 2, 250 2,057 1, 875 1, 728 New construction_____________________________ _____ P riv ate construction_________________ _______ ___ _ R esidential (nonfarm) b u ild in g ___ __ __ _______ N onresidential b u ild in g ,..____________________ _ F a rm construction________________________ ___ Public utilities___________ ____________________ Public construction 4. _____________ . . . ___ . . . , R esidential building, _________ . , N onresidential building__________ _____________ R eclam ation____ . . . . _________ , _________ R iver, harbor and flood control______. . _, . Streets and highw ays____________________ ______ All o th e rs 8. ___ . _ 1, 621 1,285 511 557 63 154 336 65 65 10 24 106 66 1, 004 820 274 407 18 121 184 8 79 7 20 31 39 1,128 942 335 477 17 113 186 9 74 7 18 36 42 1, 226 1,036 385 489 31 131 190 15 65 7 18 41 44 1,424 1,200 475 533 44 148 224 23 62 8 18 62 51 1,631 1,359 558 581 65 155 272 35 66 9 20 87 55 1, 785 1,462 603 616 87 156 323 50 63 10 22 114 64 1,888 1, 504 612 628 107 157 384 70 59 10 22 140 83 2,019 1,577 636 642 128 171 442 94 66 10 26 156 90 1,990 1, 505 616 615 106 168 485 115 68 11 28 169 94 1, 952 1, 452 595 607 85 165 500 128 67 10 33 169 93 1,779 1, 327 548 560 42 177 452 127 60 12 33 146 74 1, 627 1, 233 495 537 21 180 394 113 50 13 29 122 67 1, 520 1,159 465 497 21 176 361 100 47 12 28 107 67 M inor building repairs_____ ____ _ _____ ___________ _ R esidential_______________________________________ N o n resid en tial,,, _________________ ______ _ F arm construction_________________ ______________ 269 83 122 64 219 60 115 44 236 74 119 43 239 79 115 45 262 90 117 , 55 281 100 127 54 294 98 136 60 293 92 137 ft 64 289 87 132 70 287 84 126 77 298 82 125 91 278 75 114 89 248 67 102 79 208 52 102 54 1 Estim ates include wage earners, salaried employees, an d special trades contractors actively engaged on new construction, additions and alterations, a nd on repair w ork of the ty p e usually covered by building perm its, w hether performed u n der contract or b y force-account. (Force-account employees are w orkers hired directly b y th e ow ner and utilized as a separate work force to perform construction work of th e ty p e usually chargeable to capital account.) These figures should not be confused w ith those included in th e B ureau’s nonagricultural em ploym ent series, which covers only employees of construction contractors a nd Federal force-account workers, and excludes force-account w orkers of S tate and local governments, public utilities, and private firms. 2 Revised. 3 Prelim inary. 4 Includes th e following force-account employees hired directly b y th e Federal G overnm ent: D ecember 1945, 18,200: October 1946, 21,100; N ovem ber 1946, 20,000; D ecem ber 1946, 19,000. 8 Includes airports, w ater supply and sewage disposal systems, electrification projects, com m unity buildings, and miscellaneous public service enterprises. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 Aver age for year 299 CONSTRUCTION Expenditures for new construction, which amounted to 847 million dollars in January, are also expected to reach peak (1.7 billion dollars) in September. For the entire year 1947, they will probably total close to 15% billion dollars—the greatest dollar volume for any 12month period in the country’s history. This does not mean, how ever, that the physical volume of construction will also reach an unprecedented high in 1947, since it will take more dollars than in former years to pay for the necessary lumber, brick, wages, blue prints, etc. The marked decline in the purchasing power of the construction dollar is reflected in the fact that the same amount of work estimated to cost 15.4 billion dollars in 1947 could have been done in 1939 for approximately 9.3 billion dollars. It is anticpiated that 1947 expenditures will be 15 percent above the dollar volume in 1942—the previous peak year, when the war construction program was at its height. However, if expenditures in both years were to be deflated to the 1939 level of construction prices, the 1947 program would be 10 percent below that carried out in 1942. The 1947 expenditures for new construction will be more than 50 percent above the 1946 figure. Almost all categories of construction will share in the gain, but nonfarm home building will claim the greatest number of dollars in the coming year—6 billion dollars. Nonresidential building, at 5 billion dollars, will be a close second. Each of these categories totaled 3% billion dollars last year. High way construction is expected to advance from 829 million dollars in 1946 to 1.5 billion dollars, and public utilities construction from 851 million to 1.3 billion dollars. T able 3 .— D is tr ib u tio n o f e s tim a te d o n -s ite e m p lo y m e n t o n n e w c o n str u c tio n , b y ty p e o f c o n str u c tio n , se le c te d m o n th s, 1 9 4 6 - 4 7 E stim ated em ploym ent (in thousands) 1947 1946 T ype of construction Jan u ary (Low) 1 A ugust (Peak) 1 January (Low) i September (Expected p e a k )1 All n6w construction _____________________ P rivate _______ ________________ Public --------------------------------------------------- 871 708 163 1,770 1,373 397 1,350 1,025 325 2,540 1,930 610 R esidential (nonfarm) building _ _______________ P rivate _________________________ __________________________ Public N onresidential (nonformI building _______ ___ P rivate ____ ___________________ Public _________________________ All other __ - -- -- ____________ P rivate _ _______________ ________ Public _______ ________________ 241 234 7 417 348 69 213 126 87 625 544 81 605 548 57 540 281 259 485 398 87 490 450 40 375 177 198 925 915 10 780 645 135 835 370 465 i Low and peak refer only to “all new construction,” https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 300 T able 4.— E s tim a te d c o n stru c tio n e x p e n d itu r e s ,1 b y m o n th s, J a n u a r y 1 9 4 6 —J a n u a r y 1 9 4 7 Expenditures (in millions) T ype of construction 1946 2 Jan. Feb. M ar. Apr. M ay Jan. 1947 3 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. T otal construction_____________________ ______ _________ $11,926 $591 $627 $728 $853 $975 $1,078 $1,162 $1, 236 $1, 238 $1, 237 $1,144 $1,057 $976 N ew co n stru ctio n 4 ______ . _ . ____ . . . _______ 10,122 _________ P riv ate construction _ _ ... 7, 868 Residential building (nonfarm) _ . . . ______ _ __ 3,303 N onresidential_____ ________________________ 3, 355 In d u strial____ _____ ______________________ 1,692 1,115 Commercial ______ ____ ______ ____ _ . . . All o t h e r . . . _________ . 548 F arm co n stru ctio n ........... . . . . . . . __ . . . 350 860 . ... .... Public u tilities___ . . . . Public c o n stru c tio n ._________ ._ _____ ______ 2,254 Residential building. . . ________ _ ____ _____ 377 N onresidential building (except m ilitary and naval facilities)_____ _ ______ _ . . . ____ . . . _ . 316 Industrial facilities 8. . . _______ _ . _ . . . 81 All other_____ _ _ ___ _ _ _ _ _ _ ______ 235 M ilitary and naval facilities _. ______ 186 H ighw ay. _ . _ ... _ . . . . . . . 822 O ther public___ _______ ____ . . . ___________ . 553 F e d e ra l6..... ................................... . . 272 State and lo c a l7 ______________ _ . . . . _. 281 M inor building repairs 8 ____. . . _____ ___ _ 1,804 R esidential_______ ___________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 521 N onresidentiaL. ____________ _ _ _ ____ _ _ _____ 753 Farm c o n stru ctio n .._ . . . __________ ___ ____ _ 530 476 387 136 189 100 59 30 8 54 89 3 510 430 159 212 108 71 33 8 51 80 5 601 499 195 231 113 82 36 14 59 102 9 710 586 244 255 119 96 40 20 67 124 11 822 669 288 280 127 109 44 30 71 153 20 916 734 317 305 138 118 49 40 72 182 23 999 773 329 318 149 117 52 50 76 226 31 1,069 809 345 322 160 107 55 60 82 260 41 1,067 787 340 317 168 96 53 50 80 280 53 1,064 770 330 320 172 93 55 40 80 294 63 980 732 320 309 171 87 51 20 83 248 63 908 692 300 297 167 80 50 10 85 216 55 847 648 275 280 161 71 48 10 83 199 50 25 9 16 18 18 25 12 13 115 30 55 30 21 7 14 13 19 22 12 10 117 35 53 29 23 7 16 13 28 29 15 14 127 40 56 31 22 6 16 15 42 34 18 16 143 46 59 38 23 6 17 14 57 39 20 19 153 51 64 38 26 6 20 14 73 46 21 25 162 52 68 42 30 6 24 14 94 57 27 30 163 48 70 45 32 7 25 18 105 64 30 34 167 47 70 50 35 9 26 16 108 68 32 36 171 47 69 55 31 8 23 20 115 65 32 33 173 47 66 60 26 6 20 16 88 55 28 27 164 43 63 58 22 4 18 15 75 49 25 24 149 35 60 54 21 4 17 14 65 49 25 24 129 32 57 40 1 E stim ated construction expenditures represent the m onetary value of work p u t in place in continental U nited States during the period indicated. These figures should not be confused w ith the d ata on value of construction reported in the table on urban building construction (table 6). sRevised. 2 Prelim inary. 4 Estim ates of new construction were prepared jointly b y the B ureau of Labor Statistics and the Office of Domestic Commerce (a successor to the B ureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce) and include expenditures for new construction, m ajor additions, and alterations. 5 Expenditures for floating dry docks and facilities for the production of atom ic bombs are excluded. 6 M ainly river, harbor, flood control, reclam ation, a n d power projects. 7 Includes w ater supply, sewage disposal, and miscellaneous public-service enterprises. 8 Covers privately financed structural repairs of the ty p e for which building perm its are generally required. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 Total 301 CONSTRUCTION Private funds used for new construction this year will amount to 11.7 billion dollars and public expenditures are expected to total 3.7 billion dollars. Comparable figures for last year were 7.9 billion and 2.3 billion dollars. All figures on the outlook for construction activity in 1947 are based on the supposition that an improved flow of materials will result in more efficient building operations, including the better utilization of labor. Thus, any further rises in material piices or wage rates will be offset to a large degree, keeping construction costs on the whole at about current levels. It is also assumed that nonresidential building construction will be allowed to increase substan tially, and that no major business recession or important work stoppages affecting construction will occur in 1947. T able 5.— E s tim a te d e x p e n d itu r e s 1f o r n e w c o n str u c tio n , 1 9 4 6 a n d 1 9 4 7 E x p e n d itu re s (in m illions) 1947 o u tlo o k T y p e of co n stru c tio n N e w c o n s tru c tio n ---------------------------------------------P r iv a te c o n stru c tio n __ _ _ R esid e n tia l fnnnfarm ') b u ild in g N o n resid en tial (nonfarm ) b u ild in g I n d u s tria l C om m ercial _ _ _ All o th e r _ __ _ _ F a rm co n stru c tio n __ __ _ P u b lic u tilitie s _____ ____________ P u b lic co n stru c tio n R e sid e n tia l (n o nfarm ) b u ild in g N o n re s id e n tia l (nonfarm ) b u ild in g In d u s tria l 2 ____________ ____ - — P d u cation al H o sp ita l and in s titu tio n _ O th e r _ _ _ M ilita ry and n a v a l __ __ TTi gh w a y - -— C o n serv atio n and d ev e lo p m e n t _ Sew age and w a te r P u b lic service e n te rp ris e __ _ _ M iscellaneous F e d e ra l _ ______ ___ _____ F irs t q u a rte r Second q u a rte r T h ird q u a rte r $2, 545 $3,475 $4,900 1,950 855 820 485 195 140 35 240 595 120 85 20 30 20 15 40 200 75 45 20 10 2,605 1,275 935 520 260 155 100 295 870 45 165 25 55 55 30 60 360 100 75 30 35 3,690 1,885 1,235 595 430 210 180 390 1,210 20 260 30 85 90 55 80 525 125 95 50 55 F o u r th q u a r te r T o ta l $4,480 $15,400 3,455 1,735 1,260 600 465 195 85 375 1,025 15 240 25 80 85 50 70 415 100 85 50 50 11, 700 5,750 4, 250 2,200 1,350 700 400 1,300 3,700 200 750 100 250 2ÓU 150 250 1,500 400 300 150 150 1946 e s ti m a te $10,131 7,868 3,303 3,364 1,699 1,115 550 350 851 2,263 379 317 82 101 85 49 185 829 242 194 87 30 1 See footnote 1, table 4. ..... . 2 E xpenditures for floating d ry docks and for facilities to produce atomic bom bs are excluded. Urban Building In December 1946, permit valuations of urban building construction (including the value of Federal construction contracts awarded) amounted to 226 million dollars—one-fifth less than the November total. Almost all of the 42-million-dollar drop during the month occurred in home construction, which fell from 150 million to 109 million dollars. The 75 million dollars estimated for nonresidential building was only slightly under the preceding month’s figure, and 728607— 4T------ 10 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 302 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 additions, alterations, and repair work, at 42 million dollars, was practically unchanged. Only 2 percent of the urban building valuations in December 1946 were made up of Federal contract awards (nonresidential building claiming the major portion), compared with 15 percent last August when the Federal Mead-Lanham temporary housing program was at its height. Urban building permit valuations for 1946 were more than double the total for 1945. In fact, the cumulative total of 4.7 billion dollars for the calendar year 1946 was the highest for any 12-month period since the twenties. However, while non-Federal (private and State and local government) work rose from 1.9 billion dollars in 1945 to 4.3 billion dollars, Federal building, at 381 million dollars, was only a little above the 250 million dollars reported in 1945. T a b l e 6 .— P e r m it v a lu a tio n 1 o f u rb a n b u ild in g c o n s tr u c tio n ,2 b y c la s s o f c o n str u c tio n a n d b y so u rc e o f f u n d s , se le c te d m o n th s, 1 9 4 5 —4 6 , a n d y e a r s 1 9 4 5 —4 6 V aluation (in millions) Class of construction » 1946 D ecember 1945 4 1946 3 1945 4 D ecember 3 N ovem ber 4 Total All building construction________________ $226 $268 $303 $4,658 $2,127 N ew residential A . _______________ N ew nonresidential____ __________ A dditions, alterations, and repairs____ 109 75 42 150 77 41 102 . 152 49 2,442 1,451 765 769 848 510 N on-Federal All building construction________________ 221 263 301 4,277 1,877 New re sid en tial5___________________ New nonresidential___ ____ _ ____ A dditions, alterations, a n d ¡'repairs____ 109 71 41 150 73 40 101 152 48 2,135 1,415 727 737 660 480 Federal All building construction.......... ............ _•___ 5 New residential A . __ _____________ N ew nonresidential_________________ A dditions, alterations, and repairs____ 0 4 1 (7) 5 2 3 381 250 4 1 1 0 1 6 307 36 38 32 188 30 1 Includes value of Federal construction contracts awarded. 2 E stim ates of non-Federal (private, and State and local government) u rban building construction are based upon building-perm it reports received from places containing about 85 percent of the u rb a n population of the country; estim ates of federally financed projects are compiled from notifications of construction con tracts awarded, which are obtained from other Federal agencies. 2 Prelim inary. 4 Revised. s Includes value of dormitories and other nonhousekeeping residential buildings in addition to house keeping units. 6 Includes $45,188,850, th e estim ated cost of 8,027 dwelling un its contained in the New Y ork C ity Housing A uth o rity projects. 7 Less th a n $500,000, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 303 CONSTRUCTION T able 7.— E s tim a te d n u m b e r a n d p e r m it v a lu a tio n 1 o f n e w d w e llin g u n its sc h e d u le d to be s ta r te d in a ll u rb a n a r e a s ,2 se le c te d m o n th s 1 9 4 5 - 4 6 , a n d y e a r s 1 9 4 5 - 4 6 1946 D ecember 1945 3 Source of funds and ty p e of dwelling 1946 3 1 D ecem b er3 N ovem ber 4 N um ber of dwelling units P rivately financed— 1- fam ily_____ 2- fam ily 3-----M ultifam ily 6—. Federally financed 7. 21,348 21,348 17,458 '971 2,919 0 28,661 28, 539 23,747 1, 594 3,198 122 19,906 520,922 162,175 19, 256 15,494 1,241 2, 521 650 426, 214 357,947 24,125 44,142 150,712 125,495 9,248 15,969 11,463 i O 00 All dw ellings______ V aluation (in thousands) All dw ellings______ P riv ately financed— 1-fam ily .......... 2- fam ily 3____ M ultifam ily 6— Federally financed 7. $108,130 108,130 92; 297 4,396 n;437 0 $149, 542 149, 298 126,949 7,397 14,952 244 $96,443 $2,387,906 3 $752, 571 95,040 80, 639 4,275 10,126 1,403 2,101,623 1,829, 203 102,056 170,364 7 286, 283 723, 229 636,616 31,728 54,885 29,342 1 Includes value of Federal construction contracts aw arded. 2 See table 6, footnote 2, for source of urb an estimates. 3 Prelim inary. 3 Revised. 3 Includes 1- and 2-family dwellings w ith stores. « Includes m ultifam ily dwellings w ith stores. _ . . , 7 For num b er of, and estim ated cost of, dwelling u n its contained m N ew Y ork C ity H ousing A uthority projects, b u t included here w ith federally financed housing, see table 6, footnote 6. Hours and Earnings November marked the beginning of a seasonal drop in construction workers’ weekly earnings on privately financed work, following the 6-year peak reached in October. The slight rise in average hourly earnings over the month did not offset the general decline in the average workweek which led to lower average weekly pay for all except workers employed by excavation and foundation contractors. Armistice Day fell within the week for which data were reported, and its observance in many sections of the country contributed to the curtailed workweek. Earnings and hours reported are for all classes of workers—skilled, semiskilled, and unskilled. Workers engaged on private building construction had a shorter average workweek in November (37.2 hours) than at any time dur ing 1946, while their average weekly pay decreased from the 6-year peak of $59.20 in October to $57.65. Hourly earnings for these workers continued to rise during November in the case of most trades, reaching the highest level since January 1940, when monthly data first became available. Although weekly pay declined from Octo ber, it was still substantially more in November 1946 for all reporting trades in building construction than for the same month in 1945. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 304 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1947 For nonbuilding construction, fewer hours worked and reduced weekly pay reflected the seasonal downtrend, although average hourly earnings rose slightly. T able 8.— A v e r a g e h o u rs a n d e a r n in g s o n p r iv a te c o n str u c tio n p r o je c ts f o r se lected ty p e s o f w o rk , N o v e m b e r 1 9 4 5 , a n d O cto b er a n d N o v e m b e r 1 9 4 6 1 Average hours per week Average weekly earnings 2 Average hourly earnings T y p e of work N ov. 1946 Oct. Nov. 1946 1945 All types of w o rk__ . . ______ ______ 37.6 39.2 (3) Building construction__ - __________ General contractors _______ . . . Special building trades 4__ _ P lum bing and heating________ P ainting and d e c o ra tin g ___ _ Electrical work ... .............. M asonry_ ___ ___ _ . . . _ Plastering and la thin g_______C a r p e n tr y ______ . ___ Roofing and sheet m etal . Excavation and foundation N onbuilding construction__ . .......... H ighw ay and s t r e e t ____ _______ H eavy construction-. . . _______ O ther. ______ ........................ 37.2 36.8 37.7 38.6 35.2 39.8 37.4 35.3 38.3 36.1 36.4 39.2 39.0 39.0 39.8 38.8 38.5 39.1 40.1 38.4 40.8 38.0 38.5 39.1 37.5 37.9 41.0 40.9 41.0 41.3 37.1 36.5 37.5 39.2 37.5 39.7 33.9 33.8 39.4 35.1 35.6 0) 0) (*) (3) N ov. 1946 Oct. 1946 $57.38 $58. 93 57.65 54. 68 61.11 62. 62 57.39 69.63 57. 56 63.13 57.64 50.95 52.10 56.13 53.24 57.41 54.96 Nov. 1945 (3) 59.20 $51.64 56. 39 48. 77 62. 39 53.90 63. 89 55.41 62.16 55.45 70. 59 62.15 58. 70 48.04 66. 43 53. 22 59.95 54.26 54.33 46. 51 51.85 46. 56 57.59 (3) 54.41 (3) 59. 56 (3) 55.02 (3) N ov. 1946 Oct. 1946 $1. 527 $1,505 1.549 1.485 1.622 1.620 1.629 1.750 1. 541 1.788 1. 504 1.413 1.431 1.433 1.366 1.470 1.381 1.526 1.463 1.596 1.593 1.620 1.732 1.544 1.727 1. 531 1.448 1.369 1.403 1.330 1.453 1.331 N ov. 1945 (3) $1.391 1.336 1.437 1.413 1.480 1.565 1.418 1. 576 1.378 1.323 1.306 (3) (3) (3) (3) 1 Includes all firms reporting during th e m onths shown (over 11,000) b u t not necessarily identical estab lishments; covers all classes of workers—skilled, semiskilled, and unskilled. 2 H ourly earnings w hen m ultiplied by weekly hours of w ork m ay not exactly equal weekly earnings because of rounding. 3 N o t available prior to F eb ru ary 1946. 4 Includes types not shown separately. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Trends o f Employment and Labor Turn-O ver E m p lo y m e n t in S o u th e rn M a n u fa c tu re s 1 W o r l d W a r II expansion and subsequent contraction of the number of persons employed in manufacturing industries in the South closely paralleled the movement of manufacturing employment in the United States as a whole.2 In 1939, just as hostilities were beginning in Europe and before the effect of lend-lease production was felt in this country, factory employment in the South approximated 1,658,000 and in the United States as a whole, over 10,000,000 (tables 1 and 2). By January 1943, at the end of 1 year of full-scale war production, employment in the Southern States had increased 60 percent as com pared with about a 64-perc.ent rise for the Nation. By November 1943—the wartime peak in manufacturing employment for both the Southern region and the United States—those employed in the South numbered 2,836,000. The gain was 71 percent as compared with a national increase of about 76 percent over the prewar period. An even greater similarity of trend was apparent in the later war years. In August 1944, both the South and the United States as a whole had an employment level 68 percent above that of 1939. By VJ-day, in spite of cut-backs and contract cancellations, factory employment for both the United States and the Southern States was about 50 percent above the prewar level. Immediate contraction of employment at the war’s end was not as severe in the South as in the Nation as a whole. The 2,248,000 workers in the South in September 1945 represented a decrease of less than 9 percent between August and September compared with a national decline of over 12 percent. Also, at the time off the postwar low, in February 1946, the South’s factory employment was 32 percent above prewar as compared with only 24 percent in the Nation. i Prepared in th e E m ploym ent Statistics Division of th e B ureau’s E m ploym ent and O ccupational O ut look B ranch b y Eleanora H . Barnes under the direction of Clara F. Schloss. :*For the purpose of this article “employment” is construed as total manufacturing employment; that is, covering all production and nonproduction workers in private manufacturing industries. T he term “ S outh” refers to th e 13 States of Alabam a, A rkansas, Florida, Georgia, K entucky, Louisiana, M ississippi, N o rth Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia. D etailed estim ates of factory em ploym ent by State and by in d u stry are available on a m onthly basis as p art of the B ureau’s expanded program in th e field of em ploym ent statistics. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 305 306 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW--- FEBRUARY 194 7 Following the postwar low, the South did not gain as rapidly as the Nation. August 1946 manufacturing employment of 2,315,000 was 40 percent above the prewar level, whereas the national increase was 44 percent. T able 1.— Estimates of total manufacturing employment in the South for selected months, by State [In thousands] State South: T o tal_________ __________ Prew ar em ploym ent 1 Jan u ary 1943 N ovem ber 19433 A ugust 1945 September 1945 1, 657.5 2,656.3 2,836.1 2, 462.8 144.2 66.9 192.7 56.7 305.3 139.6 172.2 164.8 79.9 41.9 88.7 38.2 166.4 259.9 122.8 288.7 94.2 400. 2 190.7 242.2 234.2 122.4 75.0 151.3 84.9 389.8 256 1 140.8 314.4 96.4 393.7 189.1 265. 9 228.4 137.8 80.2 183.1 107.5 442.7 221.3 100.0 276.0 83.0 350.9 169.4 252. 0 200. 4 127.8 74.3 153.5 86.2 368.0 A labam a______ _ ____ _ __ Florida______ , ______ Georgia ______ _ _____ __ ___ M ississippi -__ ___________ _*__ N orth C a ro lin a ............. ______ __ South C arolina_____ __________ _ _ Tennessee______ ___ _ __ ____ V irginia_______ . . . _ _ K e n tu ck y ____ ________ _______ A rkansas ___ _______ _ _______ Louisiana___ _ ________ ______ O klahoma __ ______ _________ T ex as!_________ ______ ______ __ _ 2, 247.9 199.0 82.8 248.4 79.9 340.7 165.5 233.9 187.6 115.5 69.4 143.2 62.0 320.0 1946 Ja n u ary F eb ru M arch ary April M ay June Ju ly South: T o tal. ___________________ 2,207. 7 2,183.8 2, 226. 6 2, 233.3 2, 238.0 2. 260.9 2, 280. 2 A labam a_________ ______________ Florida_________ __________ Georgia________________ _______ M ississippi____ _______ _________ N orth C aro lin a... __ ________ ___ South C arolina_________________ _ Tennessee__________ ______ __ ___ V irginia_____________ _____ ______ K entu ck y ___________ ____________ A rkansas_________________ _______ Louisiana___ . . . ______ ____ ______ Oklahom a________________________ Texas__________________ ______ . . 196.0 83.0 243.8 82.6 346.3 171.8 226.3 191.7 117.5 61.9 128.4 56.4 302.0 179.9 83.0 244.3 81.8 352.1 175.1 220.8 192.6 112.6 64.4 128.7 54.5 294.0 199.3 81.2 242.6 81.0 359.3 175.8 226.0 194.8 115.7 68.5 131.3 54.1 297.0 201.1 79.0 244.0 81.7 358. 5 176.6 229.7 195.1 118.3 66.2 132.8 52.7 297.9 201.3 77.9 245.7 81.4 357.5 178.4 232.1 193.5 119.8 66.0 132.9 51.7 299.8 202.4 76.8 247.1 83.4 360.9 179.8 235.0 197.3 121.9 65.5 132.9 52.8 305.1 208.3 73.9 253.4 83.7 358.1 180.0 240 2 200.2 123.6 65.6 132.4 52.5 308.3 August 2,315.3 210.3 74.3 259.5 87.0 358.9 183.9 244.8 205.0 125.4 67.8 128.0 54.7 315.7 1 Prew ar estim ates for A labam a, Florida, Georgia, M ississippi, N orth Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia are based on unem ploym ent compensation d ata of the B ureau of E m ploym ent Security of the Federal Security Agency, average for the th ird q u arter of 1939. Prew ar estim ates for K entucky are based on unem ploym ent com pensation d ata, annual average for 1939. Tennessee estim ates are based on unem ploym ent compensation d ata, average for the th ird q u arter of 1940. Arkansas, Louisiana, O klahoma, and Texas prew ar estim ates are based on Census B ureau d ata for 1939 and are not strictly comparable w ith data for later periods. 3 M o n th of w artim e peak em ploym ent in th e South. Position of the South in the N ation’s Economy Despite the increase in industrialization during wartime, the rela tive position of the South in the Nation’s economy 3remained approxi mately the same (table 3). During the period of peak wartime em ployment, southern industry expanded slightly less rapidly than in the United States as a whole, but by 1945 it had again returned to the prewar ratio where it remained. The South has not materially * See section I—The rise of industry in the South, in forthcoming bulletin (No. 898) on Labor in the South. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 307 TRENDS OF EMPLOYMENT AND LABOR TURN-OVER increased its share of the Nation’s total employment. However, the anticipated 17-percent increase in the South’s labor supply from 1940 to 1950, coupled with the war-induced greater diversification of industry, and larger reservoir of skilled workers, all give promise of a brighter industrial future. T able 2.— E s tim a te d e m p lo y m e n t 1 in m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u s tr ie s in th e U n ite d S ta te s, b y in d u s tr y , f o r se le c te d p e r io d s Percent of total E m ploym ent (in thousands) In d u stry 1939 1943 1944 1945 1946 2 1939 1943 1944 1945 1946 2 All m anufacturing............. ....................... 10,078 17,381 17,111 15,060 13, 695 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Iron and steel and th eir products------- 1,171 2,034 2,015 1, 786 1,528 815 608 914 355 967 Electrical m achinery-. ...................... — 690 1,585 1, 553 1,385 1,259 M achinery, except electrical--------------T ransportatio n equipm ent, except 614 193 2,951 2,899 1,797 autom obiles___________________ ___ 724 726 845 877 466 A utom obiles_______ _______ . . -407 525 513 450 283 N onferrous m etals and th eir p ro d u c ts.. 627 569 562 465 589 L um ber and tim ber basic p r o d u c ts ___ F u rn itu re and finished lum ber prod 439 429 413 396 385 u c ts_________________ ____________ 438 395 381 349 422 Stone, clay, and glass products_______ Textile-m ill products and other fiber m anufactures______________________ 1,235 1,330 1,228 1,173 1,281 894 1,080 1,055 1,044 1,149 A pparel and other finished p ro d u c ts ... 391 356 353 383 378 Leather and leather products_________ F ood_______________________________ 1,192 1.418 1,455 1,440 1,451 97 96 95 105 103 T obaccom an u factu res-. ____________ 431 387 320 389 388 P aper and allied p roducts. __________ P rin tin g , publishing, and allied indus 555 619 549 551 561 tries---------------------- --------------------769 633 873 810 421 Chem icals and allied products-----------191 208 170 183 147 Products of petroleum and coal______ 243 270 231 247 150 R ubber p ro d u c ts___ _______________ 543 513 523 563 311 M iscellaneous industries-------------------- 11.6 3.5 6.8 11.7 5.0 9.1 11.8 5.7 9.1 11.9 5.4 9.2 11.2 4. 4 9.2 1.9 4.6 2.8 4.6 17.0 4.9 3.0 3.4 16.9 5.1 3.0 3.3 11.9 4.8 3.0 3.7 4.5 5.3 3.0 4.6 3.8 3.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.6 2.5 3.2 3.2 12.3 8.9 3.8 11.8 1.0 3.2 7.7 6.2 2.2 8.2 .6 2.2 7.2 6.2 2.1 8.5 .6 2.3 7.8 6.9 2.3 9.6 .6 2.6 9.4 8.4 2.8 10.6 .7 3.1 5.6 4.2 1.5 1.5 3.1 3.2 5.0 1.0 1.3 3.2 3.2 4.7 1.1 1.4 3.2 3.7 5.1 1.3 1.6 3.4 4.5 4.6 1. 5 2.0 3.8 i Since Ja n u a ry 1943, th e B ureau has been receiving em ployer reports covering total em ploym ent as well as production workers. N onproduction worker estim ates for each group have been based on th e m onthly changes show n b y th e nonproduction w orker segment of these reports. Before 1943, various estim ating m ethods were used to obtain total em ploym ent from th e production w orker series. For this reason, the series, in some groups, m ay not be consistent prior to 1943. B oth production and nonproduction w orker series have been adjusted to em ploym ent d ata made available annually b y the Federal Security Agency, s 8-month average. M ajor Components of Southern Manufacturing In the prewar period, the nondurable goods group, heavily weighted by the textile industry, furnished over two-thirds of the employment in the South. Expansion in war industries—primarily shipbuilding and aircraft—increased the relative importance of employment in the durable-goods group to about 46 percent of total in 1943; but by 1946 the prewar ratio was again approached. While the relatively stable nondurable-goods industries employed more workers even dur ing the war peak than the durable-goods industries, the more than doubling of durable-goods employment and subsequent deflation governed the over-all pattern of employment. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 308 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 Major Industry Groups— South Compared With the Nation The similarity of industrial development in the South and the Nation during the war years tends to minimize the possibility that expansion of war facilities in the South resulted in a permanent rela tive gain in manufacturing employment. There has, however, been a broadening of the importance of southern industries in the Nation’s economy. In 1939, almost half of the workers in the lumber industry and over two-fifths of those in the tobacco and the textile-mill prod ucts groups were in the Southern States (tables 2 and 3). The southern sections of the petroleum, furniture, and chemical industries each employed about a fourth of the United States total for these industries. The only other really important industry was food processing which employed over a sixth of the United States total. At the 1943 peak, the South accounted for an even greater share of those employed in each of these outstanding groups with the exception of chemicals. In addition, such manufacturing groups as transportation equipment and paper also had over 15 percent of their employees located in the South and 8 of the remaining 11 smaller groups increased in importance. T able 3.— M a n u f a c tu r in g e m p lo y m e n t in th e S o u th a s p e r c e n t o f U n ite d S ta te s to ta l, b y in d u s tr y g r o u p , f o r se lected p e r io d s Percent of U nited States total liLaustry 1939 i South: All m anufacturing __ ________________ ____ . . . 1943 1944 1945 1946 2 16. 4 15.9 16.1 16.4 16.4 Iron and steel and their p ro d u c ts.. ___ ______ ______ .. . _ . Electrical m a c h in e ry ... _ . . . ___________ _____ . . . M achinery, except electrical_________________________ .... .. T ransportation equipm ent, except autom obiles_________ ____ A utom obiles.. _______________ . . . ______ ... _______ Nonferrous m etals and their p ro d u e ts.-i___________ ... . .. . Lum ber and tim ber basic p roducts__________ . . . _______ F urnitu re and finished lum ber products . . . . . . . . . . .. Stone, clay, and glass products. _______ _________________ 7.2 .6 4.2 9.3 1.8 5.7 47.2 25.2 14.8 9. 1 1.1 4.4 15.6 1.0 8.5 55.0 28.1 13.5 10.2 1.5 5.0 16.2 1.3 8.3 52.8 28.3 12.8 9.3 1.8 5.5 15.9 1.5 8.4 49.9 28.5 12.9 7.1 1.4 5.3 13. 7 1.6 9.6 47.2 27.9 12.9 Textile-mill products and other fiber m anufactures___ ______ A pparel and other finished textile p r o d u c t s .. . ____ . . ____ Leather and leather products___ _____________ ____ . . . . Food. ____________ __ _________ . . _________ Tobacco m anufactures___________________ . . . ______ . . . Paper and allied p ro d u c ts ... _. _______ __________ . . . . .. P rinting, publishing, and allied industries________ . _____ Chemicals and allied products___ ______ . . . __________ . Products of petroleum and coal____ ________ _ ______ R ubber p ro d u c ts________ __________ _ . . _______ _ M iscellaneous industries___________ ______ . . . . . . ________ 41.2 10.1 5.0 17. 1 44.7 12. 4 9.9 23.9 26.9 3.5 3 6. 4 47.5 12.5 6.0 19. 2 47.3 15.8 10.5 19.7 36.1 5.1 2.8 47.2 12.8 6.3 19.4 49.9 15.7 10.6 23.1 36.5 6.5 3.3 46.3 12. 5 6.6 19. 3 51.2 15.0 10.7 24.7 36.6 6.3 3.4 45.1 11.3 6.9 19.0 50.7 15.0 10.8 24.2 34.1 5.9 3.5 1 See table 1, footnote 1, for d ate of 1939 regional estimates. States estimates. 2 8-month average. 3 N o t strictly comparable w ith later periods. See table 2, footnote 1, for basis of 1939 U nited Much of the diversification acquired during the war period was carried over into 1946. Whereas in 1939, 5 of the 20 major manufac turing groups had 5 percent or less of their employment in the South, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TRENDS OF EMPLOYMENT AND LABOR TURN-OVER 309 only 3 were in this position in 1946. The southern industry groups that had always loomed large in the national economy continued to hold their own; the increased importance of many of the other indus trial groups makes the South less vulnerable to economic disturbances. Such diversification makes for a healthier postwar situation. Trend of Employment in the South, by Industry Group War expansion caused many changes in the industry group pattern within the Southern Region. The largest group was textile-mill products which in 1939 furnished only slightly less than a third of all factory employment (table 4). The lumber and food-processing groups were next and together employed about a fourth of the total. Chemical products, furniture, apparel, and the iron and steel products groups accounted for another fourth. By 1943, all groups showed aggregate increases in average employ ment varying from a few hundred in the automobile industry to a gain of 443,000 in the transportation-equipment group. The out standing relative and aggregate increases occurred, of course, in transportation equipment; this group rose to second place in 1943 when it accounted for one-sixth of all workers. Because of the ab sorption of such a large part of the labor supply in transportationequipment manufacture, the only other increases in this period https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 310 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1947 were in such war-essential groups as iron and steel products, the machinery groups, nonferrous metals, and chemical and rubber products. T able 4.— M a n u f a c tu r in g e m p lo y m e n t in th e S o u th , b y m a jo r in d u s tr y g r o u p s , f o r se le c te d p e r io d s E m ploym ent (in thousands) In d u stry P re w ar 1 1943 1944 1945 P ercent of total Pre 1943 1944 1945 1946» 1946 8 w ar All m an u factu rin g ___________________ 1,657.5 2, 769.8 2, 761. 8 2, 467. 0 2, 243. 2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 D urable goods ________________ 526.7 1, 280. 9 1, 287. 3 1, 033.1 792.9 31.8 46.2 46.6 41.9 35.3 N ondurable goods_______________ 1,130. 8 1, 488. 9 1, 474. 5 1, 433. 9 1, 450. 3 68.2 53.8 53.4 58.1 64.7 Iron and steel and th eir products_____ Electrical m achinery_________________ M achinery, except e le c tric a l.________ T ransportation equipm ent, except au tom obiles_________________________ A utom obiles. ______________________ Nonferrous m etals and th eir p ro d u cts.. L um ber and tim ber basic products____ F u rn itu re and finished lum ber prod ucts ______________________________ Stone, clay, and glass products_______ Textile-m ill products and other fiber m anufactures____________ _______ _ A pparel and other finished textile products_____________ __________ L eather and leather products . ______ F ood_______________ _______________ Tobacco m anufactures............ ....... ........... P aper and allied products________ . . . Printing, publishing, and allied indus tries______ ______ . ___________ Chemicals and allied products________ Products of petroleum and coal_______ R ubber products _ ________________ Miscellaneous industries_____________ 84.7 2.0 29.3 185.4 10.3 69.2 204.9 14.7 78.3 165.9 14.3 76.2 108.0 8.8 66.1 18.0 8.5 16.0 219.5 461.0 8.8 44.6 323.9 468.4 11.2 42.7 300.7 285.5 11.1 37.7 280.3 83.9 1.1 16.6 17.0 11.6 3.8 .4 .4 11.4 .5 .3 .5 39.2 1.0 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.8 296.1 13.2 11.7 10.9 11.4 13.2 97.1 51.5 120.5 57.1 116.8 50.5 112.8 49.3 122.7 56. 6 509.5 631.2 580.1 543.4 578.3 30.7 22.8 21.0 22.0 25.8 90.5 19.0 204.3 46.9 39.6 135.3 22.5 271.7 48.7 61.3 135.1 22.5 281.6 47.9 60.9 130.4 23.2 278.2 48.6 58.1 129.4 5.5 27.0 1.1 276.4 12.3 49. 2 2.8 64.7 2.4 55.6 100.8 39.6 5.3 3 19.8 57.7 171.7 61.3 11.8 15.9 58.3 187.5 66.8 16.0 17.7 59.5 189.6 70.0 15.3 17.5 67.0 153.4 70.0 15.9 17.9 5.1 .1 1.8 5.9 3.1 3.4 6. 1 2.4 .3 1.2 6.7 .4 2.4 4.4 2.1 7.4 .5 2.8 4.2 1.8 6.7 .6 3.1 4.6 2.0 4.8 .4 2.9 5.5 2.5 4.9 4.9 5.3 5.8 .9 1.2 .8 .8 9.8 10.2 11.3 12.3 1.8 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.9 2.1 6.2 2. 2 .4 .6 2.1 6.8 2.4 .6 .7 2.4 7.7 2.8 .6 .7 3.0 6.8 3. 1 .7 .8 1 See table 1, footnote 1, for d ate of prew ar estimates. 2 8-month average. s N ot strictly comparable w ith later periods. In 1946, the aggregate average employment in all industry groups, except miscellaneous industries, was above the prewar level and for 10 of the major groups was above the 1943 levels. As regards total regional employment, the largest relative decrease between 1939 and 1946 was in textile-mill products—from 31 to 26 percent (chart 2). Postwar Highlight in Southern Employment A year after the war’s end, the employment total of 2,315,000 for the South represented an over-all net decrease of 148,000 or 6 percent (table 5). Only six major groups—transportation equipment, elec trical machinery, iron and steel, automobiles, chemical products, and machinery except electrical—employed fewer people in August 1946 than on VJ-day. Contractions in the shipbuilding and aircraft industries alone accounted for almost 70 percent of the gross decrease. Disregarding this expected sharp contraction in the transportationequipment group, the employment rise for the year is about 3 percent. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 311 TRENDS OF EMPLOYMENT AND LABOR TURN-OVER T able 5.— E s tim a te s o f to ta l m a n u fa c tu r in g e m p lo y m e n t in th e S o u th f o r se le c te d m o n th s, b y in d u s tr y 1 [In thousands] In d u stry Prew ar em ploym ent 2 Jan u ary 1943 N ovem ber 1943 3 September 1945 A ugust 1945 South: All m anufacturing_________ D urable goods------------------------N ondurable goods-------------- 1,657. 5 526.7 1,130. 8 2,656.3 1,184. 9 1, 471. 4 2,836.1 1, 336. 3 1,499. 8 2,462.8 1, 044.1 1, 418. 7 2, 247.9 842. 9 1, 405. 0 Iron and steel and th eir p ro d u c ts .. . . . Electrical m a c h in e ry .. __________ M achinery, except electrical --------T ransportation equipm ent, except autom obiles_______ _. ----------- . Automobiles . . . _________________ N onferrous m etals and their products. L um ber a nd tim ber basic p ro d u c ts.. . F u rn itu re and finished lum ber prod u c ts .. . . . ______ _______ _____ Stone, clay, and glass p ro d u cts--------- 84.7 2.1 29.3 187.5 8.5 62.0 192.1 12.3 74.6 161.0 1/. 1 76. 3 111.1 11.9 63. 9 18.0 8.5 16.0 219.5 365.4 6.7 42.5 333.5 508.7 11.1 46.7 319. 7 285.5 16.7 38. 5 286.6 174.8 11.0 30.1 279. 9 97.1 51.5 119.4 59.4 117.4 53.7 112.5 49.9 111.1 49.1 509.5 641.0 615.6 535.4 532.1 90.5 19.0 204.3 46.9 39.6 137.7 22.6 248.8 49.9 60.1 133.8 22.2 282.9 49.2 62.9 128.9 23.1 279. 7 47.8 57.1 124.9 21. 7 292.1 49. 4 57. 2 55.6 100.8 39.6 5.2 4 19.8 57.8 170.8 59.7 8.8 14.2 57.8 182.4 60. 7 15. 2 17.1 58.6 184.2 71.4 15.1 17.4 59.3 168.6 69. 0 14. 7 16.0 Textile-m ill products and other fiber m anufactures__________ _______ A pparel a nd other finished textile products . . . . . ----------------- -----L eather and leather products............... F ood_____________________________ Tobacco m anufactures_____________ P aper a nd allied products_______ . . Printing, publishing, a n d allied in dustries . . ______ ____ . . . dhem icals a n d allied p ro d u cts______ Products of petroleum a n d coal... . . . R ubber produ cts. _ . -----------------M iscellaneous industries------------ _. Jan u ary South: All m anufacturing. D urable goods_______ N ondurable goods-----Iron a nd sceel and th eir pro d u cts-----Electrical m achinery------------- -------M achinery, except electrical. ............. T ransportation equipm ent, except autom obiles____________ ________ A utom obiles_____________________ N onferrous m etals and their products. L um ber a nd tim b er basic p ro d u c ts... F u rn itu re and finished lum ber prod u c ts ------------- ------ ---------------------Stone, clay, and glass p ro d u cts------Textile-m ill products and other fiber m anufactures-................................. . . A pparel and other finished textile products_______ _____ ______ ____ L eather a nd leather p roducts----------F o o d ......................................................... Tobacco m anufactures-------------------Paper and allied pro d u cts.------ -------P rinting, publishing, and allied in dustries_______________ _________ Chem icals and allied products-------Products of petroleum and coal.......... R ubber prod u cts.................................. M iscellaneous industries................... .. F eb ru M arch ary A pril M ay June Ju ly A ug u st 2, 207. 7 2,183. 8 2, 226. 6 2,233. 3 2, 238. 0 2,260.9 2, 280. 2 819.9 808.8 794.8 786.8 774.7 744.0 782.0 1,425. 7 1,439. 8 1,451.9 1,446. 5 1,443. 2 1, 452.1 1, 460. 3 2,315. 3 832.2 1, 483.1 107.4 8 4 67.2 79.9 8.5 63.8 107.2 8.3 64.1 112.1 8.8 64.7 112.2 8.6 66.4 111.8 8.9 67.4 115.9 9,2 66.8 117.2 9.6 68.3 99.7 10.2 35.4 281.9 91.4 10.1 30.3 285.4 83.3 10.4 37.2 287.3 81.7 11.3 38.6 291.1 81.8 11.6 39.9 295.6 78.8 12.4 42.8 303.4 78.2 12.6 44.6 309.8 77.1 12.5 45.0 314.2 119.1 52.7 120.0 54.6 120.9 56.0 121.9 56.6 122.7 56.0 125.2 58.1 124.8 58.0 127.5 60.8 559.8 570.9 576.6 578.1 578.8 585.4 585.1 591.6 125.7 25.5 277.8 48.1 61.8 129.3 26.5 274.9 48.3 62.3 130.5 26.8 276.9 48.2 63.4 128.1 27.5 273.3 48.7 64.5 127.8 27.4 274. 1 49. 2 64.8 130.8 27.5 272.3 50.1 65.8 130.1 27.7 278.1 50.5 66.9 132.7 27.5 284.4 51.3 67.5 64.4 159.3 69.9 16.1 17.3 65.7 158.0 70.1 16.0 17.8 66.8 159.0 69.8 16.0 17.9 67.1 155.1 70.5 15.8 17.8 67.7 148.5 71. 2 15.8 17.9 67.9 147.3 71.4 15.8 17.8 68.0 147.9 72.1 15.8 18.1 68.3 152.5 72.5 16.0 18.8 1 E stim ates for in d u stry groups are adjusted to levels indicated b y 1944 unem ploym ent com pensation d ata of the B ureau of E m ploym ent Security of the Federal Security Agency. 2 See table 1, footnote 1, for date and source of prew ar data. 3 M onth of w artim e peak em ploym ent in the South. 4 N o t strictly comparable w ith later periods. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 312 M O N T H L Y L A B O R R E V IE W --- F E B R U A R Y 194 7 Immediate reductions in employment in the 1 month following VJ-day amounted to an over-all loss of 215,000 workers, or 9 percent of all employment. The most severe cut occurred in the transpor tation-equipment group in which almost 40 percent were laid off. Employment was reduced by about one-third in the iron and steel, electrical machinery, and automobile groups; the chemical-products group declined by 15,000 or more than 8 percent. An offsetting seasonal gain of over 4 percent in the food processing industry and slight increases in the tobacco, paper, and printing industries were the only upward tendencies. Owing to the Nation-wide steel strike, employment in the South, as in the Nation, reached a postwar low in February 1946 despite the fact that many industries were already well established in their reconversion adjustment. Only the iron and steel, machinery, transportation-equipment, automobiles, chemical products, tobacco, and the seasonally affected food groups continued at a lower employ ment level than in the September 1945 cut-back period. From the February low to August 1946, declines were limited to the transportation-equipment and chemical-products groups. As the employment drop for the chemical products group was partially seasonal, the major single retarding factor in the recent employment upswing in the South was the continuing contraction in shipbuilding and aircraft. Postwar Highlights—South and United States , by Industry Group The employment changes in industry groups in the South in the first year of peace were somewhat akin to those in the United States. For both the United States and the South, iron and steel, the machin ery groups, transportation equipment, and chemicals showed employ ment losses. But most of the percentage decreases were less severe nationally than in the region. In nine groups, national gains were greater than those in the South. In five—nonferrous metals, leather, miscellaneous, paper, and printing and publishing—the South showed greater proportionate increases over the period than the Nation. Although the South’s automobile industry was small, it was the one industry in the region which showed an opposite trend to that in the Nation. Employment in Southern States The manufacturing economy of component States of the Southern Region was affected in varying ways by wartime expansion. Expan sion of plant facilities in the less industrialized States brought later, and for the most part, proportionately greater peak employment. As the war ended, many of these shifts in importance and in industrial pattern were not maintained. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TRENDS OF EM PLO YM ENT AND LABOR TURN-OVER 313 T R E N D S—STATES COM PARED W ITH REG IO N In the prewar period, North Carolina—with an average employment accounting for about 18 percent of all manufacturing workers in the Southern Region—was the most highly industrialized State. Georgia with nearly 12 percent and Tennessee with over 10 percent were next in importance. Texas with 10 percent was a close fourth (table 6). T a b l e 6 .— M a n u f a c tu r in g e m p lo y m e n t in th e S o u th e rn S ta te s b y region a n d b y S ta te . fo r se lected p e r io d s Percent of total Em ploym ent (in thousands) Region and State P re war 1 1943 1944 1945 re 1943 1944 1945 19462 1946 2 Pwar Southern States____________ _________ 1.657.5 2, 769. 8 2, 761.8 2, 467. 0 2, 243. 2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Southeastern States ..........- ________ 1,322.3 2,002. 5 1,980. 8 1, 790. 7 1, 690. 4 144.2 258.5 251. 7 223.4 199.8 A labam a. _ _______ _ __ _ 78.6 66.9 136.0 135.3 103.2 Florida___ ___ ---------- ------------192.7 302.9 307.4 271.7 247. 5 Georgia___ _ ______ 95.6 85.1 95.1 82.8 56.7 M ississippi-----------------------N orth Carolina . . . ---- --------------- 305.3 399.9 383. 2 353. 0 356.5 139.6 191.8 180.0 170.5 177.7 South Carolina___ . . . . . . _ _ .. 172.2 255.9 271. 1 255. 5 231.9 Tennessee ______ 164.8 231.9 220. 2 202.0 196.3 _____ ____ _______ Virginia. __ 79.9 130.5 136.3 126.3 119.3 K e n tu c k y ______ ________ Southwestern States. . . . . . . . . . . . . A rkansas... . . . . . ............. ................... Louisiana O klahom a___________________ . . Texas . . . 335. 2 41.9 88.7 38.2 166.4 767.3 76.7 166.1 99.7 424.8 781.0 77.0 177.1 101.9 425. 0 676.3 71.3 153.9 86.6 364 5 79.8 72.3 71.7 72.6 75.4 8.7 9.3 9.1 9.1 8.9 4. 1 4.9 4.9 4.2 3.6 11.6 10.9 11.1 11.0 11.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.7 18.4 14.4 13.9 14.3 15.9 8.4 6.9 6.5 6.9 7.9 10.4 9.2 9.8 10.4 10.3 9.9 8.4 8.0 8.2 8.8 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.3 552.8 20.2 27.7 28.3 27.4 24.6 65.8 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 130.8 5.4 6.0 6.4 6.2 5.8 53.7 2.3 3.6 3.7 3.5 2.4 302.5 10.0 15.3 15.4 14.8 13.5 1 See table 1, footnote 1, for date and source of prew ar data. 2 8-month average. By 1943, interstate relationships had changed. The average number of persons in manufacturing in Texas had more than doubled, and Texas was the leading manufacturing State in the region. With an aggregate gain of even less than a third, North Carolina dropped to second place. All States experienced some wartime expansion, but increases were proportionately smaller in Georgia, Tennessee, South Carolina, and Virginia (in addition to North Carolina) in the south eastern group of States than elsewhere. For all these States, the relative decrease in industrial importance was continued into the postwar period. In addition to Texas, all of the other Southwestern States— Oklahoma, Louisiana, and Arkansas—and Florida and Alabama in the Southeast, had a greater share of regional employment in 1943 than in 1939. Further gains for Texas, Oklahoma, and Louisiana occurred in 1944, while in Arkansas the rise continued even in 1945; Kentucky and Mississippi had a greater proportional employment in 1946 than at any other time. The States of the Southwest were less industrialized before the war than those in the Southeast. The influx of war facilities and contracts raised the proportion of regional employment in the South- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 314 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW--- FEBRUARY 194 7 west from about 20 percent in 1939 to 28 percent in 1944. On the basis of the record for the first 8 months of 1946, the Southwestern States have declined from this peak position, but they still employ a fourth of the South’s factory workers. Based on the same 8-month average in 1946, each of the States in the Southwest and Alabama, Mississippi, and Kentucky in the Southeast showed proportional increases over the 1939 relationship. It seems, therefore, that the Southwest and some of the smaller industrial States of the Southeast have maintained their increased share of southern manufacturing employment. OUTSTA N D IN G IN D U ST R IES IN T H E SOUTH The considerable importance of the textile-mill products group in the manufacturing economy of the South is well known. Also important are lumber, food processing, chemicals, apparel, furniture, iron and steel, and—during the war and postwar period—transporta tion equipment. Contrary to a general impression, the tobacco industry in the South actually accounts for only about 2 percent of total manufacturing employment. However, this industry is signifi cant in furnishing work in such States as North Carolina, Virginia, Florida, and Kentucky. Textile-mill 'products.—The largest single industry group in the South—textile-mill products-—employed about 30 percent of all factory workers in the prewar period and about 25 percent of all southern industrial workers in 1946 (based on an 8-month average). Employment in the group increased 24 percent from 1939 to the peak year of 1943 and, despite declines after 1943, rose over 13 percent between 1939 and 1946; most States participated in the increase. Little change occurred in the relative standing of the States in the industry. In 1946, about 213,000 or well over one-third of the employment waslocated in North Carolina. South Carolina with 120,000 ranked second and Georgia with 103,000 ranked third. Although textile-mill products (with cotton textiles as the primary industry) formed the largest single employing group in the entire southern region, 96 percent of the group employment was concen trated in only six States—Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia. Lumber and timber basic products.—Lumber—the second largest' industry group in the’South—accounted for about an eighth of those employed in the region both in 1939 and after the war. Distribution was fairly even ¡among 11 of the 13 Southern States in 1939; Okla homa and Kentucky had only small numbers in the group. Alabama ranked ¡first in 1939 with 27,000 workers or about an eighth of the industry total. North Carolina had 25,000 and Mississippi 23,000 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TRENDS OF EMPLOYMENT AND LABOR TURN-OVER 315 persons so employed and the remaining 8 States had from 14,000 to 20 ,000 . The industry—comprising primarily logging camps and sawmills— increased almost a half in size by the peak year 1943 in spite of labor recruitment difficulties; 1946 employment still exceeded the prewar level by over a third. Only Florida and Oklahoma showed decreases for the entire period. Alabama alone of all the States showed a gain in 1946 over its war peak average. Employment in this State in the lumber group totaled 42,000 workers, a slight relative increase. Geor gia, which ranked eighth in 1939, had more than doubled its employ ment and risen to second place in the industry in 1946. In the latter year, 11 percent of the total lumber group workers were in Georgia. Food.—Food processing was the third outstanding industry of the South and a little over an eighth of all workers were in this group in both 1939 and 1946. The group was of considerable size in all States in the South. However, in 1939, one-fifth of its workers were con centrated in Texas and one-eighth in Louisiana. Between 1939 and 1946, food-processing employment had increased one-third and all States shared in the gain. In Texas, the rise was over a half to 59,400 and in Louisiana more than a third to 34,500. Kentucky, Arkansas, and Louisiana each employed more food-process ing workers on an average in 1946 than at any time in the entire period. Chemicals and allied 'products.—The chemical-products group ac counted for 100,800 workers in 1939—slightly more than 6 percent of regional employment. With many industries within the group requiring new plant facilities for full war production, the peak of 189,600 did not occur until 1945. By 1946, employment had de creased but was still 52 percent above the prewar level. Owing to the diversity of the industries in the group,4 it is not practicable to generalize on the causes of regional changes. How ever, the changes in Tennessee and Virginia, which together com prised about 45 percent of the regional group employment in 1939 and 52 percent in 1946, strongly influenced the over-all pattern. Employment in the chemical group in Tennessee rose from 23,400 in 1939 to a peak of 61,500 in 1945. In 1946, the number was almost double the prewar total for the State and had risen from 23 to 30 percent of the regional total for the group. The development of the Oak Ridge atomic bomb plant and increases in the production of industrial chemicals were mainly responsible. In Virginia, the number rose to 34,000—about a 54-percent in crease—between 1939 and 1946. Production of rayon fibers fur« Fissionable materials, explosives, industrial chemicals, synthetic rubber, rayon fibers, anim al and vegetable oils, a n d fertilizer m ake u p the group. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 316 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 nished the largest segment of employment in the group throughout the entire period, but its importance was reduced during wartime when the production of industrial chemicals increased. Apparel and other finished textile products.—The fifth largest indus trial group in the South was apparel, which employed 129,400 workers making up 6 percent of regional employment in 1946. The gain was 43 percent from the prewar level. Georgia accounted for about a fifth of the South’s apparel workers in the prewar period, and only about a sixth by 1946. Texas had first place in 1946 with an em ployment total of 22,000, and Tennessee averaged 20,100 workers. These three States together accounted for approximately half of the total workers in the apparel group. Furniture and finished lumber products.—The furniture products group averaged 122,700 workers in 1946—only slightly fewer workers than the apparel group. The 1946 level was about a fourth higher than before the war and was the peak for the entire period covered. In 1946 furniture plants in North Carolina (producing primarily household furniture, mattresses, and bedsprings), with 28,300, em ployed 23 percent of the southern group total. Virginia and Tennessee ranked second and third in 1946 and with North Carolina comprised nearly half of the furniture group. Iron and steel products.—The iron and steel products group ac counted for about 5 percent of total manufacturing employment in the South in 1939; the percentage rose to 7 in 1944 when wartime expansions more than doubled such employment. After the war ended, iron and steel plants retained approximately the same pro portion of workers as in the prewar period. The four States of Ala bama, Tennessee, Texas, and Kentucky had over three-fourths of the regional total in the iron and steel group in 1946. Alabama ranked first, with almost 42 percent of the total, in 1939; but by 1946 the percentage had dropped to 34. In Texas, the number of persons so engaged more than doubled between 1939 and 1946, and the pro portion increased from 7.7 to 14.5 percent of the regional group. Transportation. equipment (except automobiles).—Employment in the transportation-equipment group—primarily aircraft and shipbuilding industries—amounted to only 1 percent of the total for manufacturing in the South in 1939. Tremendous war expansion of these industries, from 18,000 in 1939 to 468,000 in 1944, raised the proportion to 17 percent. By 1946, the total had receded to less than 4 percent of regional employment. In the prewar period, Virginia had the only sizable transportationequipment group in the South, employing 9,700 or over half of such workers in the region. By 1944, the Virginia total had tripled, but because of the tremendous expansions in all but one of the Southern https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TRENDS OF EM PLO Y M EN T AND LABOR TURN-OVER 317 States, Virginia ranked seventh, following Texas, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Alabama, and Oklahoma. But in 1946, only Texas—with 27 percent of the total in this group—outranked Virginia. CO N TIN U ED EM PLO Y M EN T EX PAN SIO N Continued expansion in southern manufacturing employment is indicated by estimates for both September and October 1946. Be tween August and October 1946, 20,000 workers were added. Florida, Virginia, and Alabama absorbed most of these workers by adding about 5,000 or more each in this 2-month interval. Only 4 of the 13 Southern States failed to share in the increase. ********* L a b o r F o rc e , D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 6 WHO IS COUNTED IN THE LABOR FORCE Labor force.—Persons 14 years of age and over who are employed or unemployed during the census week (the week containing the eighth day of the m onth). Employed .—Those who, during the census week (1) work full or part time for pay or profit; (2) work without pay in a family enterprise (farm or business) at least 15 hours; or (3) have a job but do not work because of illness, vaca tion, labor-management dispute, bad weather, or lay-off with definite instructions to return to work within 30 days. Unemployed .—Those not working, but seeking a job. The civilian labor force declined by 540,000 between November and December 1946 to a total of 58,430,000, according to the Bureau of the Census Monthly Report on the Labor Force. Employment dropped by 730,000 during the month, while unemployment rose by 190,000 to reach 2,120,000. Most of the increase in unemployment between November and December occurred among veterans. This probably reflected delays in hiring persons entering the labor market around the time of the coal strike which ended just before the census week. The November to December increase in the number of unemployed persons reversed the downward movement of the past 5 months. Unemployment in December 1946 was 150,000 above the year-ago level, but 580,000 below the March 1946 peak. 728607— 47------ 11 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 318 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 The decline in employment during the month took place primarily in agriculture. A drop of 690,000 in the number of farm workers between November and December was seasonal in character, as farming activities slackened with the approach of winter. Agricul tural employment in December—7,210,000—was 2,800,000 below the seasonal high point of last June. Nonagricultural employment declined by 40,000 during the month, in contrast to the usual seasonal rise at this time of year. This contraseasonal drop probably reflected (1) the depressing effects on employment arising from the coal dispute and (2) the fact that hiring for the Christmas season was carried on particularly early this year, as indicated by an increase of 730,000 in nonagricultural employment between October and November. The level of nonfarm employment, 49,100,000, in December 1946, was 5,100,000 above the level a year previous—an increase of 5,520,000 men was partially offset by a decrease of 420,000 women. T o ta l la b o r f o r c e in th e U n ite d S ta te s, c la s s ifie d b y e m p lo y m e n t s ta tu s , h o u rs w o r k e d , a n d se x , N o v e m b e r a n d D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 6 a n d D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 5 [Source: U . S. D epartm ent of Commerce, B ureau of the Census] E stim a te d num ber of persons 14 years of age and over 1 (in thousands) T otal, both sexes Item ÏH © pQ Ss o £ © rQ a©05 s ©T-i © p in pS aa ©05 © Q M ale in © pQ s2 io s £ © pQ a 05 s © © Q Female t-i © pQ as © ©05 rH © Q © pQ S io s £ U © rQ a 05 s © © ©rH P ÎH © pQ a©05 s © ©rH P T otal labor force2_________________________ 60,980 60, 320 60, 920 43,940 43,860 43, 560 17,040 16,460 17,360 C ivilian labor force. . _____________________ U nem ploym ent________________________ E m p lo y m en t__________________________ N onagricultural____________________ W orked 35 hours or m ore.......... . W orked 15-34 hours —..................... W orked 1-14 hours 3 _______ . . . W ith a job b u t no t a t work 4__ . . . A gricultural_______________________ W orked 35 hours or more _______ W orked 15-34 h o u r s ____________ W orked 1-14 hours 3 ________ W ith a job b u t not a t w ork 4. . 58,970 1,930 57,040 49,140 41, 800 4, 730 1,270 1,340 7, 900 6,020 1,560 160 160 58,430 2,120 56,310 49,100 42,120 4,290 1,350 1,340 7, 210 5,150 1,450 320 290 53,130 41,950 1,970 1,520 51,160 40, 430 44,000 34,050 36,330 30,140 4,460 2, 390 1,400 590 1,810 930 7,160 6,380 4,800 5,360 1,780 780 330 (*) 250 150 41,990 35,950 1,690 1,500 40,300 34, 450 34, 010 28, 490 30, 290 24,550 2,120 2, 090 600 580 1,000 1, 270 6, 290 5, 960 4,860 4,400 950 1,150 220 220 260 190 17,020 410 16,610 15,090 11,660 2,340 680 410 1,520 660 780 (*) (*) 16, 440 430 16, 010 15, 090 11,830 2,170 750 340 920 290 500 100 (*) 17,180 470 16,710 15,510 11,780 2, 370 820 540 1,200 400 630 110 (’) 1 E stim ates are subject to sampling variation which m ay be large in cases where the quantities shown are relatively small. Therefore, th e smaller estim ates should be used w ith caution; those under 100,000 are no t presented in th e table b u t are replaced w ith an asterisk (*). All data exclude persons in in stitu tions. 2 T otal labor force consists of th e civilian labor force and th e arm ed forces. Estim ates of the armed forces during th e census week are projected from d ata on net strength as of the first of the m onth. 3 Excludes persons engaged only in incidental unpaid fam ily work (less th a n 15 hours); these persons are classified as not in th e labor force. 4 Includes persons who had a job or business, b u t w ho'didfnot w ork'during the census week because of illness, bad w eather, vacation, labor dispute, or because of tem porary lay-off w ith definite instructions to re tu rn to work w ith in 30 days of lay-oif. Does no t include unpaid fam ily workers. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TRENDS OF E M PL O Y M E N T AND LABOR TURN-O VER 319 S u m m a ry o f E m p lo y m e n t R e p o rts fo r D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 6 An employment gain of 414,000 during December 1946 raised employment in nonagricultural establishments to 40,795,000. In mid-December the number of nonagricultural employees was only 44,000 below the wartime peak of December 1943. The Bureau’s figures exclude self-employed persons and domestic servants. A comparison with December 1943 reflects the return to a peace time economy. While manufacturing and government have shown substantial declines, contract construction, trade, and the financeservice-miscellaneous divisions have each added about 1,000,000 or more workers. The November-December 1946 rise of 414,000 employees reflects primarily seasonal gains of 341,000 in trade and 169,000 in government, the latter comprising chiefly Christmas post office “ temporaries.” Lesser gains were also reported in the finance, service, and miscel laneous group and in manufacturing. The only sizable drop was in contract construction which decreased by 166,000 between Novem ber and December, making a total decline of 461,000 for that group in the last 3 months. Industrial and Business Employment Employment in manufacturing industries rose by 63,000 between November and December, most of this rise taking place in the non durable or light industry groups. The durable goods group of in dustries showed a net gain of 10,000 in employment, despite a sub stantial decline of 14,000 in iron and steel (blast furnaces) and a slight drop in the automobile industry—both occasioned by the coal shortage. The largest single gain in manufacturing employment was in the apparel group, reflecting the beginning of the spring season in plants making higher-priced dresses and suits. The textile group, which still has a heavy unsatisfied demand, reported the next largest em ployment gain—12,000. The textile and apparel groups together employed about 2,351,000 workers in December, about 19 percent of the manufacturing production workers. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 320 T able M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 1.— E s tim a te d n u m b e r o f e m p lo y e e s in n o n a g r ic u ltu r a l e s ta b lis h m e n ts , b y in d u s tr y d iv is io n E stim ated n um ber of employees (in thousands) In d u s try division Dec. 1946 N ov. 1946 Oct. 1946 Dec. 1945 .... 40, 795 40, 381 40,178 37, 463 M an u factu rin g 2. ._ _ M ining - - - - C ontract construction and Federal force-account con stru ctio n .. T ransportation and public u tilities___________ __ . . ____ . . . T rade. ___ _ _ Finance, service, and m iscellaneous. . . ------Federal, State, and local governm ent, excluding Federal forceaccount construction __ 15,048 819 1,642 3,977 8, 610 5, 260 14,967 828 1,808 4, 005 8, 259 5, 244 14,763 827 2,040 3,987 ' 8,040 5,208 13,059 802 1,042 3, 896 7, 959 4,936 5,439 5, 270 5,313 5, 769 T otal estim ated em p lo y m e n t1___ _________ . . . 1 E stim ates include all full- and part-tim e wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishm ents who worked or received p ay during th e p ay period ending nearest the 15th of the m onth. Proprietors, self-employed persons, dom estic servants, and personnel of th e arm ed forces are excluded. 2 E stim ates for m anufacturing have been adjusted to levels indicated b y final 1944 d ata m ade available b y the B ureau of E m ploym ent Security of th e Federal Security Agency and are com parable w ith the pro duction-w orker estim ates shown in table 2. T able 2.— E s tim a te d n u m b e r o f p r o d u c tio n w o rk e rs a n d in d e x e s o f p r o d u c tio n -w o r k e r e m p lo y m e n t in m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u s tr ie s , b y m a jo r in d u s tr y g r o u p 1 In d u s try group E s tim a te d n u m b er of produc tion w orkers (in thousands) Production-w orker indexes (1939=100) Dec. 1946 Dee. 1945 Dec. 1946 Dec. 1945 _____ ____________ ... .. - - - - - - _____ _____ ________ ______ 12, 281 6, 223 6, 058 10, 519 5, 097 5, 422 149.9 172.3 132.2 128.4 141.2 118.4 Iron and steel and th eir products _ - - ____ ____________ . . Electrical m achinery ______ . ___ - - - - - - - - _____________ M achinery, except electrical____ T ransportation equipm ent, except autom obiles_____ _______ A utom obiles, _ _ ______________ _ N onferrous metals and th eir p ro d u cts______ __ L um ber and tim b er basic products F u rn itu re and finished lum ber p ro d u cts______ _____ _ _ . Stone, clay, and glass products. _____ _____ ______ . . _ 1,462 575 1,117 456 745 410 639 407 412 1,294 484 914 536 388 326 499 336 320 147.4 222.0 211.3 287.2 185.1 178.9 151.9 123.9 140.5 130.5 186.9 172.9 338.0 96.4 142.2 118.6 102.6 109.1 Textile-mill products and other fiber m anufactures___________ A pparel and other finished textile products- - _______ ___ L eather and leather p roducts___ ___________ _ _______ Food.. _______ _ _ Tobacco m an u factu res.. . _______ - __________ _________ Paper and allied p ro d u c ts.. . . . . . . ______________________ Printing, publishing, and allied in d u strie s... ________________ Chemicals and allied p roducts___________ _____ __________ Products of petroleum and c o a l - .. _____ _ ____ ___ ____ R ubber products. ______ _ ___________ . . . . ... ... M iscellaneous in d u stries_______ . _________ ____________ 1,252 1,099 360 1,121 92 383 403 504 150 248 446 1,113 938 330 1, 078 82 335 355 488 140 203 360 109.4 139.2 103.6 131 2 98.3 144.3 122.8 174.9 142.1 204.7 182.1 97.3 118.9 95.2 12fi 2 87.8 126.3 108.1 169.2 132.3 168.2 147.3 All m anufacturing. __ . . . D urable goods . N ondurable goods____ . - 1 T he estim ates and indexes presented in th is table have been adjusted to levels indicated b y the final 1944 d ata m ade available b y th e B ureau of E m ploym ent Security of th e Federal Security Agency. Public Employment The down-trend which has characterized the movement of total Federal employment thus far in the postwar period, was temporarily interrupted in December 1946 by the hiring of temporary postal clerks to handle the large volume of Christmas mailings. This increase, an https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TRENDS OF EM PLO Y M EN T AND LABOR TURN-OVER 321 estimated 236,000, augmented by smaller-than-usual monthly employ ment gains on the part of the Veterans Administration and War Assets Administration, was offset to the extent of 75,000 by declines in other Federal departments and agencies, led by the War Depart ment (with a decline of 47,000 employees) and the Labor Department (which lost 23,000 employment-office employees to the State govern ments on November 16). The net increase of 161,000 resulting from these and smaller shifts brought total Federal employment in December 1946 to 2.6 million, of which the war agencies and Veterans Administration together constituted 54 percent and the Post Office Department 26 percent. The remaining 20 percent included employees of the executive depart ments other than the War, Navy, and Post Office Departments, employees of the Federal Security, Federal Works, and National Housing Agencies, Federal Reserve banks, members of Congress and their employees, the judges and other employees of the Federal courts, and employees of a number of small independent peacetime agencies. The year 1946 closed with an over-all employment decline of 870,000, composed of a net decline of 986,000 in war agencies and of 16,000 in peacetime agencies except the Veterans Administration, which in creased by 133,000. Although employment of veterans in the executive branch of the Government in continental United States has declined somewhat from its peak in August 1946 (whether for voluntary or involuntary reasons is not known), it has increased almost 60 percent since December 1945. This is in contrast with a decline of 38 percent in the nonveteran group in the same year period. Since February 1946 when a break-down of these veteran-andnonveteran employee figures by men and women first became available, the employment of men veterans increased 31 percent and of women veterans 57 percent, whereas the employment of nonveteran men declined 32 percent and of nonveteran women 35 percent. Veteran men now constitute 53 percent of all men employed in the executive branch in domestic areas and veteran women constitute 7 percent of the women. Federal pay rolls, which have included two biweekly pay periods for most employees each month since July 1945, except in December 1945 and June and November 1946 when they included three biweekly pay periods, cover the calendar month beginning December 1946. A method of adjusting the pay rolls to a calendar month basis for the period July 1945-November 1946 is being worked out and the adjusted figures will be available shortly. Source of data.—Data for the Federal executive service are reported through the Civil Service Commission, whereas data for the legislative https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 322 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 and judicial services and Government corporations are reported to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employment on Federal force-account construction is included in both the executive branch (tables 3 and 4) and in construction employment (table 2 in the section, Construction). Military personnel and pay figures are reported monthly to the Bureau of Labor Statistics but are published here only quarterly. Mimeographed tables giving civilian employment and military per sonnel and pay, monthly, 1939 to date, and civilian pay rolls, monthly, 1943 to date, are available upon request. T able 3.— E m p lo y m e n t a n d p a y ro lls f o r r e g u la r F e d e ra l se rvices a n d f o r G overn m en t c o r p o ra tio n s in se lected m o n th s Executive 1 Y ear and m onth C ontinental U nited States Total Legislative Judicial All areas W a s h in g ton, D, C., area T otal Govern m ent corpora tions 2 E m p lo y m en t3 December D ecem ber D ecem ber December December December December 1939 ______ 1940.._ . . . . . 1941 _______ 1942 ______ 1943________ 1944________ 1945________ 1,014,917 1,212,931 1,730, 850 3,020, 077 3,482,925 3, 702, 940 3,431, 746 981,404 1,178. 221 1, 691,833 2,977, 033 3,437,764 3, 659, 220 3,388, 037 937,391 1,106,162 1, 558, 071 2, 736, 555 3, 041, 577 3,147, 367 2,678, 565 127,174 153, 491 201, 390 287, 924 270,137 260,922 233, 762 5,583 5, 932 6,202 6, 353 6,116 6, 203 6,384 2,359 2,391 2,582 2,617 2, 655 2,646 2, 991 25, 571 26, 387 30, 233 34, 074 36, 390 34, 871 34,334 October 1946 4_________ 2,434,015 N ovem ber 1946 4 8______ 2,400, 500 December 1946 8............... 2, 561,362 2, 391, 478 2, 357,838 2, 519, 031 2, 084,103 2, 049, 287 2, 220, 561 225,862 224, 742 226, 460 6,902 6,896 6,806 3,061 3,079 3,061 32,574 32, 637 32, 464 P a y rolls (in th o u sa n d s)8 December 1943________ D ecem ber 1944________ D ecem ber 1945 8......... . $703, 279 708,831 703, 503 $695,364 700, 870 695,089 $634, 338 643, 641 648,746 $55, 241 55,445 73,960 $1, 577 1,513 1,822 $767 779 1,135 $5, 571 5, 669 5,457 October 1946 5______ N ovem ber 1946 5_______ December 1946 5......... .. 544,105 627, 765 566,920 535, 074 617,845 557, 560 499, 545 578,343 521, 519 57,848 76,969 60,355 2,115 2, 364 2,169 1,083 1,488 1, 248 5,833 6, 068 5,943 1 Includes employees on force-account construction. Beginning Ju ly 1945, d a ta include clerks a t thirdclass post offices who were previously working on a contract basis. D a ta exclude su bstitute ru ral m ail carriers. 2 D ata are for employees of the P anam a R ailroad Co., th e Federal Reserve hanks, and hanks of th e F arm C redit A dm inistration. D a ta for o ther G overnm ent corporations are included under the executive service. 3 E m ploym ent is as of th e first of th e calendar m onth. 4 A dow nw ard revision of 6,000 to 37,000 in em ploym ent in the P ost Office D ep artm en t which affects data for Octooer 1945-November 1946 has been tak en into account in the d ata for o ther agencies. 8 Subject to revision. 8 S tarting D ecem ber 1946, p ay rolls cover th e entire calendar m o n th . Previously, pay rolls were for all pay periods ending w ith in th e calendar m onth, or 4 four weeks for m onths startin g Ju ly 1945, except for D ecem ber 1945, Ju n e and N ovem ber 1946 w hen pay rolls included p ay for 6 weeks for m ost employees. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 323 TRENDS OF EM PLO Y M EN T AND LABOR TURN-OVER T able 4.— E m p lo y m e n t a n d p a y ro lls f o r th e e x e c u tiv e b ra n ch o f th e F e d e ra l G o vern m en t in se lected m o n th s 1 O ther agencies 3 W ar agencies2 Y ear a n d m onth All agencies Total C onti nental U nited States Outside conti nental U nited States * T otal C onti nental U nited States Outside conti nental U nited S ta te s4 ■ E m p lo y m e n t8 D ecem ber 1939... D ecem ber 1940... D ecem ber 1941... D ecem ber 1942... D ecem ber 1943... D ecem ber 1944... D ecem ber 1945... 981,404 1,178,221 1, 691,833 2,977, 033 3,437, 764 3,659,220 3,388, 037 237,416 390,629 793,089 2,001,275 2,397,840 2, 541,176 2,162,351 204,048 330,948 673,036 1,775, 454 2,018,676 2,046,206 1,476,439 33,368 59,681 120,053 225,821 379,164 494,970 685,912 743,988 787, 592 898, 744 975, 758 1,039,924 1,118,044 1,225,686 733,343 775, 214 885,035 961,101 1,022,901 1,101,161 1,202,126 10,645 12,378 13,709 14,657 17,023 16,883 23, 560 O ctober 1946 6---N ovem ber 1946 6 : D ecem ber 1946 7_. 2,391,478 2,357,838 2,519, 031 1,271,976 1, 229, 368 1,176,126 92,574 949,115 906,763 279,402 280,253 269,363 1,119, 502 1,128,470 1,342,905 1,091,529 1,100,172 1,313,798 27,973 28,298 29,107 P a y rolls (in thousands) • D ecem ber 1943. D ecem ber 1944. December 1945 ' $695,364 700,870 695,089 $514,131 509,619 411,410 $456,601 455,993 369,946 $57,530 53,626 41,464 $181,233 191,251 283,679 $177,737 187,648 278,800 $3,496 3,603 4,879 535,074 617,845 557,560 275,644 283,897 258,882 245,917 252,969 229,189 29,727 30,928 29,693 259, 430 333,948 298,678 253,628 325,374 292, 329 5,802 8, 574 6,349 October 1946 7___ N ovem ber 1946 7. D ecem ber 1946 7.. 1 Includes employees on force-account construction. . . . . „ . „„ 2 Covers W ar and N a v y D epartm ents, M aritim e Commission, N ational A dvisory C om m ittee for Aero nautics, T h e Pan am a Canal, Price Decontrol Board, Philippine W ar D am age Commission, and the emerge31B ^^nninSg Jufy 1945, d ata include clerks a t third-class post offices who previously were working on a contract basis. D a ta exclude su b stitu te rural mail carriers. i Includes A laska and the P an am a C anal Zone. 6 E m ploym ent is as of the first of the calendar m onth. , . , ,c e a dow nw ard revision of 6,000 to 37,000 in em ploym ent of th e P o st Office D epartm ent w hich affects d a ta for O ctober 1945-November 1946 has been taken into account m th e d ata for other agencies. s startln V D ecem b er 1946, p ay rolls cover the entire calendar m onth. Previously, pay rolls were for all p ay periods ending w ith in th e calendar m onth, or for 4 weeks for m onths starting Ju ly 1945, except for D e cem ber 1945, Ju n e and N ovem ber 1946 when pay rolls included pay for 6 weeks for most employees. D e ta ile d R e p o rts fo r I n d u s tr ia l a n d B u sin e ss E m p lo y m e n t, N o v e m b e r 1 9 4 6 o n t h l y reports on employment and pay rolls are presented below for more than 150 manufacturing industries and for 27 nonmanu facturing industries including water transportation and class I steam railroads. Data for both manufacturing and nonmanufacturing industries are based on reports of the number of employees and amount of pay rolls for the period ending nearest the 15th of the month. M https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 324 T M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW---- FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 able 1.— E s tim a te d n u m b e r o f p r o d u c tio n w o rk e rs in m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u s tr ie s 1 fin thousands] Nov. 1946 Oct. 1946 Sept. 1946 All m anufacturing____________ . . . . . . _________ _____ _ 12, 218 D urable goods_________________________________________ 6, 206 N ondurable goods_______ _____ ______ __________ . . 6,012 12, 024 6,114 5, 910 12,018 6, 086 5,932 In d u stry group and industry Nov. 1945 10, 503 5,180 5, 323 Durable goods Iron and steel and th eir products-. . ________ . . . Blast furnaces, steel works, and rolling mills___ ______ G ray-iron and semisteel c a s tin g s .._ . . . . . . ___ . M alleable-iron castings_________________ . _. ______ _ Steel castings___________________________ ________ . Cast-iron pipe and fittin g s ... __________ . _____ T in cans and other tinw are _______ ___ _____ ______ . W ire draw n from purchased rods_______ . W ire w o rk .___ _ . . . _________ . ___ C utlery and edge tools. . . . _____ _ . . . __________ Tools (except edge tools, machine tools, files, and saw s)___ H ardw are_________ ___________ . . . ____________ . . P lum bers’ supplies___ _ _____ ______ _ _____ Stoves, oil burners, and heating equipm ent no t elsewhere classified_________________ _______ . . . _______ . . Steam and hot-w ater heating apparatus and steam fittings. Stam ped and enameled ware and galvanizing___ ______ _ Fabricated structural and ornam ental m etalw ork____ . M etal doors, sash, frames, molding, and trim ... . . . . . Bolts, n u ts, washers, and riv e ts___ __ . . . ______ _ Forgings, iron and steel______ . . . . . . . . . . ____ __ W rought pipe, welded and h eav y -riv eted .. ____ Screw-machine products and wood screws .. . . . Steel barrels, kegs, and d ru m s .._ ____ . . . F irearm s._ _____ __________ ________ . . . . Electrical m ach in ery .._ ________ ______________ . Electrical e q u ip m en t.. . . . . . . . . _. ... Radios and phonographs_______ ______ _ C om m unication eq u ip m en t. _ _ _____ M achinery, except electrical___ _ _______ M achinery and machine-shop products . . Engines and turbines __________________ Tractors ._ _______ _ A gricultural m achinery, excluding tra c to rs. . . ____ M achine tools____ __________ ________ M achine-tool accessories ____ ______ Textile m achinery _ ____ . P um ps and pum ping equipm ent- _____ . . . Typew riters . _ _______ Cash registers, adding and calculating m achines-. W ashing machines, w ringers and driers, dom estic___ Sewing machines, domestic and industrial Refrigerators and refrigeration eq u ip m en t___ T ransportation equipm ent, except automobiles L ocom otives.. _____ _______ Cars, electric- and steam -railroad___ A ircraft and parts, excluding aircraft engines___ Aircraft engines____ _ . . . . . Shipbuilding and boatbuilding_______ M otorcycles, bicycles, and p arts . 1,476 481.5 84.2 24.8 51.2 19.4 41.2 29.9 40.9 26.2 26.4 49.5 29.3 1,442 473.5 81.9 24.4 48.8 19.1 42.2 29.2 41.3 25.3 26.8 48.3 23.5 1, 456 480.1 82.1 24.4 50.7 18.7 44.8 29.8 41.3 25.9 26.4 47.4 28.1 1, 255 431.5 69.7 23.1 51. 1 14. 5 35. 2 27.9 30.6 22.3 22.3 34.5 18.9 62.0 51.4 83.4 56.9 10.1 21.0 26.7 13.8 29.3 6.3 14.2 60.3 50.2 81.8 55.1 9.9 20.6 26.4 13.1 29.0 6.3 14.2 59.4 48.9 81.5 56.1 10.2 20.4 26.2 13.4 28.5 6.2 14.2 48.6 42.2 64.1 42.4 7.3 20.2 24. 2 13.7 25.3 5. 9 11.7 568 310.9 92.1 92.2 558 307.6 88.7 90.6 543 300.1 85.2 89.0 479 300.3 57.3 66.7 1,107 377.7 45.4 53.7 43.5 59.7 52.8 34.7 58.3 22.2 36.4 12.6 10.5 64.1 1,091 370.3 44.6 53.7 42.3 62.0 52.2 33.9 57.4 21.3 35.4 12.0 10.3 63.5 1,070 363.2 45.3 52.0 41.2 62.0 51.5 33.4 57.5 20.5 34.6 11.9 10.1 60.2 911 325. 0 42.6 50.5 37.6 52.1 45.6 26.3 52.2 13.6 25.7 8.7 7.6 39.2 447 27.2 50.7 145.1 29.3 134.6 11.7 440 27.4 48.6 142.0 28.6 134.7 11.5 439 27.1 47.9 139.5 27.6 139.0 11.0 573 31.2 44.8 121.2 26. 7 286.0 7.8 A u to m o b ile s .___ ________ 748 744 760 525 Nonferrous m etals and th eir products _ Smelting and refining, prim ary, of nonferrous metals Alloying and rolling and draw ing of nonferrous metals, ex cept alum inum . . . ___ _ Clocks and w atch es.. . ____ Jew elry (precious metals) and jewelers’ findings Silverware and p lated ware Lighting equ ip m en t___ . . . A lum inum m an u factu res... Sheet-metal w ork, no t elsewhere classified 406 39.3 402 38.6 396 37.5 319 33.8 61.7 28.5 17.4 15.1 31.2 50.9 27.5 61.5 28.2 17.5 14.7 31.2 50.6 26.8 61.7 27.8 17.9 14.6 30.6 49.7 26.1 53.3 21.9 14.9 10.8 22.0 38.4 21.2 L um ber and tim b er basic products . . _ Sawmills and logging camps Planing-and plywood m ills.-. ___ 642 234.0 76.8 633 233.1 75.6 627 233.0 74.6 484 193.1 61.0 See footnote at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 325 TRENDS OF EM PLO Y M EN T AND LABOR TURN-OVER T able 1 .— E s tim a te d n u m b e r o f p r o d u c tio n w o r k e rs i n m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u s tr ie s 1 C ontinued [In thousands] In d u stry group and in d u stry N ov. 1946 Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 Durable soods—Continued 388 22.7 164.4 25.3 13.2 321 15.3 135.9 23.6 12.6 22.8 10.7 20.9 411 105.4 12.4 28.6 63.6 48.2 5.9 407 104.3 313 76.7 12.0 10.8 20.2 11.0 10.8 10.8 9.0 17.2 21.7 9.0 17.2 19.8 21.4 8.9 17.4 19.3 20.5 TPYt.iiP.-miH products and other fiber m anufactures----------------C otton m anufactures, except sm allw ares--------- ---------------C otton sm allwares-------------------------------------------------------Silk and rayon goods-------------------------------- ----------------- -W oolen and worsted m anufactures, except dyeing and finishing_____________________________________ _______ H osiery___ ^ ----- ---------- --------- ----------------------------------K nitted c lo th -------------------------------------------------------------K n itted outerw ear and k n itted gloves----------------------------K n itte d u n d erw ear------ - ---------- ----------- ------- - ------- - - - D yeing and finishing textiles, including woolen and w orsted. C arpets and rugs, wool------------------------------------- ----------H ats, fur-felt------- -------------------------------------------------------Ju te goods, except fe lts ..------- --------------------------------------Cordage and tw in e------------------------------------------------------- 1,240 465. 3 14.3 94.8 1, 224 459.5 14.5 93.8 162.2 117.5 160.5 115.8 F u rn itu re and finished lum ber products M attresses and bedsprings------------F u rn itu re ________________________ W ooden boxes, other th a n cigar-----Caskets and other m orticians’ goods. Wood preserving----------------------- -W ood, tu rn ed and shaped-------------- 401 23.8 169.1 25.9 13.9 12.4 23.2 393 Stone, clay, and glass products-------------------- -----------------Glass and glassware------------------------- ---------------------Glass products m ade from purchased glass----------------C em ent------------------------------------------------------- -------Brick, tile, and terra c o tta -------------------- -----------------P o ttery and related p roducts------------------------------ ----G ypsum --------------------------- ------- ------ —7--------r ------W allboard, plaster (except gypsum ), and mineral wool L im e-------------------------------------------------------------------M arble, granite, slate, and other p roducts--------------- -A brasives--------------------------------------------------- --------- -Asbestos p roducts-------------------■ 411 104.5 12.8 28.7 62.3 48.6 6.3 20.0 22.8 166.7 25.5 13.1 12.5 22.9 28.9 63.4 48.0 5.9 12.0 46.9 39.7 4.6 9.5 7.7 13.2 16.3 14.5 Nondurable goods 1, 212 455.8 14.3 93.0 159.7 113.8 11.2 11.2 11.2 31.5 35.6 64.8 25.7 11.7 3.6 15.2 30.8 35.2 64.1 25.0 11.5 3.8 15.4 30.4 34.9 64.1 24.6 11.3 3.8 15.2 A pparel and other finished textile products---------------------------M en ’s clothing, n o t elsewhere classified------ -------------------Shirts, collars, and n ightw ear----------------------------------------U nderw ear and neckwear, m en’s-----------------------------------W ork sh irts___________________________________________ W om en’s clothing, n o t elsewhere classified----------------------Corsets and allied g a rm e n ts..---------------------------------------M illinery_________________ , __________ _______________ H andkerchiefs___ _____________________________________ C urtains, draperies, and bedspreads-------------------------------Housefurnishings, other th a n curtains, etc----------------------Textile bags---------------------------------------------------------------- 1,083 204.3 56.8 12.7 13.6 208.9 16.6 16.5 2.4 14.6 10.4 14.4 1,085 199.6 54.8 12.7 13.4 216.9 16.3 19.0 2.4 15.1 1,068 197.1 54.4 12.4 13.5 216.5 15.9 19.2 2.3 14.0 L eather and leather products----------------------------------------------L eather_______________________________________________ Boot and shoe cu t stock and findings-----------------------------Boots and shoes------------------------------------------- --------- -----L eather gloves and m itten s-------------------------------------------T ru n k s and suitcases---------------------------------------------------- 356 41.1 18.2 193.2 10.9 14.6 1,123 Food------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------138.9 Slaughtering and m eat packing-------------------------------------24.4 B u tte r____________________ 7----------------- --------------------13.1 Condensed and evaporated m ilk -----------------------------------16.8 Ice cream --------- ---------------------------------------- ------ ---------30.9 F lo u r------ ------------------------------------------------- ----------------21.8 Feeds, prepared--------------- ------------------------------------------11.0 Cereal preparations------------- ---------------------------------------249.0 B aking_______________________________________________ 12.1 Sugar refining, cane-----------------------------------------------------21.9 Sugar, beet____________________________________ _______ 57.1 Confectionery---------- ---------------------------------------------- 23.2 Beverages, nonalcoholic...--------------------------------------------53.3 M alt liquors----------------------- ------ --------------------------------131.9 Canning and preserving-------------- ------------- ------ - ............ ■ See footnote at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11.2 11.0 14.1 13.5 352 41.6 17.8 190.4 355 42.1 17.8 193.5 11.0 11.0 1, 063 398.9 13.1 84.5 143.0 101.7 10.4 28.3 33.6 54.0 18.4 9.8 3.6 14.2 930 177.4 50.5 11.4 13.1 203.2 14.9 17.9 2.6 11.2 9.1 14.7 321 40.7 16.3 173.6 10.9 14.7 14.6 11.8 1,074 84.4 24.9 13.7 17.6 30.5 21.7 1,157 94.8 25.1 14.2 18.9 29.7 1,085 132.5 22.7 13.3 15.6 30.9 23.5 9.1 254.3 12.3 23.0 55.3 23.6 54.2 124.7 21.0 11.1 10.9 241.4 12.3 19.5 55.8 23.0 53.0 173.3 | 52.2 24.1 54.2 245.0 10.8 241.3 8.0 326 M O N T H L Y L A B O R R E V IE W — F E B R U A R Y 1947 T able 1 .— E s tim a te d n u m b e r o f p r o d u c tio n w o r k e rs in m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u s tr ie s ^ C o n . [In thousands] In d u stry group and in d u stry • N ov. 1946 Oct. 1946 Sept. 1946 N ov. 1945 Nondurable goods—C ontinued Tobacco m anufactures_____________________________________ C igarettes__________________ _____________________ ____ Cigars____________________________ ____ _______________ Tobacco (chewing and smoking) and sn u fl_______________ 91 34.5 42.3 8.0 89 33.9 41.4 7.8 87 33.7 40.0 7.6 83 34.9 34.5 8.4 P aper and allied products_____________ ____ ____ ___________ P aper and p u lp _______________________________________ P aper goods, o th er____ _____ ___________________________ Envelopes_______________ ___________________________ P ap er bags__________ ____ ______________ - ------ ------------P ap er boxes_____________________________________ _____ 379 169.7 48.2 10.9 15.3 91.7 372 167.7 47.2 10.5 15.0 89.6 368 167.7 46.6 10.4 14.7 87.4 326 148.2 43.2 9.6 13.2 80.5 Printing, publishing, and allied industries___________________ N ew spapers and p eriodicals..______________________ ____ Printing, book and jo b ___________________________ _____ L ithographing____________________ __________________ Bookbinding________________________________ ______ . . . 399 135.0 165. 0 30.3 33.6 394 133.9 163.2 29.9 33.0 386 131.7 159.3 29.5 31.8 347 119.8 142.6 26.0 28.4 Chemicals and allied products______________________________ Paints, varnishes, and colors. ____________ _____________ Drugs, medicines, and insecticides_________________ _____ Perfum es an d cosmetics___________________ ____________ _____________________________________ Soap_____ Rayon and allied p roducts_________ _________________ Chemicals, not elsewhere classified________ ___________ Explosives and safety fuses__________________ __________ Compressed and liquefied gases_________________________ A m m unition, small-arms__________________ ____________ Firew orks_________________________________ __________ Cottonseed oil_________________________________________ Fertilizers________________ ____________________________ 501 35.9 53.5 12.4 13.6 58.9 120.5 12.6 5.8 6.8 3.5 20.4 22.1 491 36.0 53. 1 12.6 13. 7 57.8 118.1 12.9 5.3 6.9 3.4 17.4 22.0 484 36.0 52.1 12.2 14.2 57.4 116.6 12.8 5.7 7.4 3.2 A 3.0 22.3 487 31.7 48.0 12.4 13.6 56.9 110.6 26.2 5.5 11.3 3.1 20.6 21.1 Products of petroleum and coal______________ ____ _________ Petroleum refining___ ______ ________ ______ ____________ Coke and b yproducts_____ __________________ ____ ______ Paving m aterials_______ _____________________ _____ ___ Roofing m aterials_________________________________ ____ 151 99.1 25.8 1.8 12.7 151 99.2 25.8 2.0 12.6 152 99.8 25.9 2.3 12.6 139 95.1 22.4 1.8 9.8 R u b b er products____________________ _____________________ R u b b er tires and inner tu b e s.__________________________ R ubber boots and shoes.__________ _ _______________ R u b b er goods, o th e r._______ ___________________________ 245 112.0 19.2 76.2 240 110.4 18.4 74.8 233 106.6 18.1 73.3 194 91.4 15.4 61.6 M iscellaneous industries________________________ __________ In stru m en ts (professional and scientific), and fire-control e q u ip m en t................. ............. ........................ ............. ............ Photographic ap p aratus_____________________ _____ _____ Optical instrum ents and ophthalm ic goods_________ _____ Pianos, organs, and p a rts_______________________________ Games, toys, a n d dolls__________ _____ _______ ____ _____ B u tto n s__________ __________ __________ ______________ Fire extinguishers.____________ ________ ________________ 444 438 430 348 20.7 25.4 21.6 9.9 25.2 10.2 2.1 20.7 25.3 21.5 9.7 24.3 10.6 2.0 20.9 25.3 21.2 9.4 23.6 10.6 2.1 22.4 21.5 19.4 5.6 15.9 9.2 2.3 1 N ovem ber 1946 estim ates are based on reports from 33,200 cooperating establishm ents covering 7,258,000 production workers. E stim ates for the major in d u stry groups have been adjusted to levels indicated by final 1944 d ata made available b y the Bureau of Em ploym ent Security of the Federal Security Agency. E stim ates for individual industries have been adjusted to levels indicated by the 1939 Census of M anu factures b u t not to Federal Security Agency data. For this reason, together w ith the fact th a t this Burpau has no t prepared estim ates for certain industries, th e sum of th e individual industry estim ates w ill not agree w ith th e totals shown for th e m ajor in d u stry groups. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ALL MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES 1939 =100 INDEX 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 WAGE EARNERS ANO WAGE EARNER PAY ROLL TRENDS OF EMPLOYMENT AND LABOR TURN-OVER https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis EMPLOYMENT AND PAY ROLLS co to 328 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 T able 2.— In d e x e s o f p r o d u c tio n -w o r k e r e m p lo y m e n t a n d p a y ro lls in m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u s tr ie s 1 [1939 average=100] E m ploym ent indexes In d u stry group and in d u stry All m anufacturing_______________________________ D urable goods.__ _________________________ -. N ondurable goods ___________ .- --- .- Nov. 1946 Oct. 1946 Pay-roll indexes Sept. N ov. N ov. 1946 1945 1946 Oct. Sept. Nov. 1946 1946 1945 149.1 146.8 146.7 128.2 291.4 286.0 284.1 222.9 171.9 169.2 168.5 143.5 320.8 317.7 313. i 241.8 131.2 129.0 129.5 116.2 262.7 255.1 254.9 204.5 Durable goods Iron and steel and th eir p ro d u cts___ ___ _ B last furnaces, steel works, a n d rolling m ills____ G ray-iron and semisteel c a s tin g s _____ ______ M alleable-iron castings------------------------ - -- _ Steel castings-. _______ _ _ ____ - _________ Cast-iron pipe and fittings ............... T in cans and other tinw are-- -. ---------- ----W ire draw n from purchased rods__________ W irew ork. _ _ ------C utlery a n d edge tools---- ----------- __ -Tools (except edge tools, m achine tools, files, and saw s)________ ________ ___ _ --- -H a rd w a re 2- - ________________ Plum bers’ supplies _____________ ___________ Stoves, oil burners, an d heating equipm ent, not elsewhere classified - - - - - - - .. .. Steam and hot-w ater heating apparatus and steam fittings- . . . _____ _ - ..................... ....... Stam ped and enameled w are and galvanizing___ F abricated stru ctu ral and ornam ental m etal ..................... - - - - - - , w o rk -, M etal doors, sash, frames, molding, and trim ___ Bolts, n u ts, washers, and riv ets__ - ________ Forgings, iron and steel -- _______ W rought pipe, welded and heavy-riveted - ___ Screw-machine products and wood screws. _ __ _ Steel barrels, kegs, and d ru m s___________ Firearm s________ _____ ____ - ____ Electrical m achinery. _________________ ___. . . ----Electrical e q u ip m en t__ Radios and phonographs 2-_- . _______ ______ Com m unication equipm ent - ________ M achinery, except e le c tric a l______ . ___________ M achinery and machine-shop products________ Engines and tu rb in es_________________________ T ractors_________ _______ ___________________ A gricultural m achinery, excluding tracto rs. ___ M achine tools_______________________________ M achine-tool accessories__________________ . Textile m achinery_____ „ ______ _ ___ P u m p s and pum ping e q u ip m en t___ ___________ T y p e w rite rs _____________ . . . _ ___________ Cash registers, adding and calculating m achines. W ashingm achines, wringers and driers, dom estic.. Sewing machines, dom estic and in d u strial______ Refrigerators and refrigeration equipm ent ........ T ransportation equipm ent, except automobiles___ Locomotives__________________ __________ Cars, electric- and steam -railroad-. A ircraft and parts, excluding aircraft engines___ A ircraft engines____ . . . Shipbuilding and b oatbuilding____ _____ M otorcycles, bicycles, and p a rts ___________ _ A utom obiles-___ _______ N onferrous m etals and th eir products__ Smelting and refining, prim ary, of nonferrous m etals...................... Alloying and rolling and draw ing of nonferrous metals, except alum inum ________ ___ ___ Clocks and w atches____ Jew elry (precious m etals) and jewelers’ findings. _ Silverware and plated w a r e ___ Lighting equipm entA lum inum m anufactures Sheet-metal w ork, n o t elsewhere classified______ See fo o tn o te s a t e n d of ta b le . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 148.9 124.0 144.1 137. 5 170.3 117.6 129.7 136.3 134.6 169.7 145.5 121.9 140.2 135.5 162.0 115.7 132.9 132.7 135. 9 164.1 146.9 123.6 140.5 135.1 168.5 113.4 141.1 135.7 136.0 167.7 126.6 111.1 119.3 128.1 170.0 87.7 110.8 127.1 100.8 144.3 270.0 208.7 298.7 294.4 314.1 262.4 230.4 240.7 261.7 384.7 263.2 203.2 294.0 292.5 289.6 253.5 248.8 231.3 265.1 369.5 263.2 206.3 291.7 287.5 297.5 239.9 274.1 231.8 270.9 364.6 210.4 173.6 221.1 242.6 281.7 170.3 185.5 191.3 190.5 283.5 172.4 174.9 172.2 145.9 348.8 355.8 340.8 253.9 139.0 135.5 133.0 96.7 281.5 278.3 266.6 |177. 8 118.8 95.3 113. 9 76.8 213.6 171.5 196.7 126.3 134.4 130.8 128.8 105.3 265.0 258.9 247.5 182.1 169.7 165.7 161.3 139.3 328.4 325.5 306.7 238.1 150.2 147.2 146.7 115.4 303.4 300.9 289.3 209.0 160.3 130.1 147.1 173.5 164.9 173.2 103.0 283.2 219.2 172.0 211.7 287.0 209. 5 186.7 243.2 171.6 156.3 162.9 209.8 158.5 240.6 137.2 185.2 169.0 133.6 182.2 281.5 420.9 206.6 365.7 329.0 194.3 168.1 185.9 177.3 155.2 127.4 143.8 171.8 156.3 171.6 103.1 284.3 215.2 170.1 203.8 282.0 206.5 183.0 239.0 171.8 152.1 169.2 207.5 154.7 237.0 131.6 179.9 160.3 130.8 180.6 277.1 423.6 198.1 357.8 321.8 194.5 165.0 185.0 175.4 157.9 131.3 142.9 170.1 159.9 168.3 102.7 284.1 209.4 166.0 195.7 277.0 202.5 179.5 242.6 166.4 148.1 169.2 204.8 152.3 237.1 126.6 175.8 158.7 128.3 171.2 276.3 419.4 195.4 351.6 310.5 200.8 158.0 188.8 172.9 119.5 94.2 141.3 157.3 163.6 149.5 97.0 233.2 184.9 166.1 131.8 207.6 172.4 160.7 228.6 161.3 135.3 142.4 181.2 120.2 215.3 83.6 130.5 115.9 97.0 111.5 361.3 482.6 182.8 305.6 300.3 413.0 112.3 130.5 139.3 275.3 246.0 270.3 318.5 294.7 349.6 243.8 571.2 400.6 308.3 426.7 521.3 375.5 336.8 490.6 269.9 280.7 282.7 341.6 301.1 451.1 279.0 352.0 292.5 260.5 300.9 510.7 852.1 411.2 671.8 477.6 338.2 318.4 310.9 333.2 273.9 241.2 253.9 313.4 261.9 349.0 229.5 553.2 393.1 303.7 406.4 521.5 373.5 333.5 480.1 269.0 277.2 291.9 341.5 298.3 452.8 261.6 336.0 301.2 255.0 311.4 520.9 895.6 387.9 672.6 530.2 355.2 317.5 307.5 326.3 274.8 187.7 250.1 155.9 246.2 259.4 301.1 261.9 279. 9 260.6 332.5 272.5 214.5 178.0 573.2 418.9 382.7 301.9 297.7 264.9 390.0 237.5 504.9 328.7 362.2 283.3 322.3 263.4 484.5 366.7 254.1 228.8 269.8 230.9 285.5 233.0 336.0 269.9 290.5 218.9 444.0 384.8 248.1 153.8 331.8 231.3 287.9 186.4 243.1 188.4 293.3 175.6 504.9 583.5 846.8 1021.8 364.5 302.5 663.9 506.6 507.8 389.7 346.6 637. 9 290.9 186.1 318.2 192.2 319.6 243.5 142.1 139.9 135.6 122.3 256.8 250.6 247.1 214.5 158.8 140.5 120.5 124.3 152.5 216.3 146.9 158.4 138.8 120.9 121.6 152.3 214.9 142.9 159.0 136.8 123.8 120.0 149.2 211.0 139.3 137.4 108.1 102.9 88.8 107.5 162.9 112.9 291.4 311.4 229.0 258.9 271.2 373.7 285.6 286.6 301.6 235.7 257.5 264.6 362.0 284.6 284.7 289.7 237.3 250.9 260.6 358.1 261.7 238.7 199.3 179.3 173.5 177.7 253.9 200.0 329 TRENDS OF EM PLO Y M EN T AND LABOR TURN-OVER T able 2.— I n d e x e s o f p r o d u c tio n -w o r k e r e m p lo y m e n t a n d p a y rolls in m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u s tr ie s 1— Continued [1939 average=100] Pay-roll indexes E m ploym ent indexes In d u stry group and ind u stry Nov. Oct. Sept. Nov. 1946 1946 1946 1945 Durable goods—C ontinued L um ber and tim ber basic products. Sawmills and logging cam ps----Planing a n d plyw ood m ills------ 152.8 150.7 149.2 115.0 305.4 313.5 306.9 194.8 81.3 80.9 80.9 67.1 162.5 168. 168.1 114.0 204.7 208.1 199.6 137.3 105.7 104.1 102.7 83 97.7 83.2 85.3 93.0 96.6 94.8 95.2 256. 258.6 223. 0 223.8 206.7 270.6 222.4 252.7 251.8 220.3 225.7 193.0 268.5 219.1 243.4 173.2 238.4 137.8 212.1 151.1 218.4 179.4 194.0 153.0 265.3 205.3 212.5 168.0 Stone, clay, and glass pro d u cts----------------------------- 140.0 139.9 138.7 106 Glass a n d glassware---------------- ------------------ --- 149.7 150.9 149.4 109.9 123.7 119.7 108.1 Glass products m ade from purchased glass-------- 127. C em en t_____________________________________ 120.6 120.2 121.5 84.8 112.1 111.7 82.6 109.7 B rick, tile, and terra co tta-----------------------------P ottery and related products-------------------------- 146.8 145.5 145.1 119. 119.6 119.7 92.4 126.7 G ypsum ---------------------------------- ------ ------------W allboard, plaster (except gypsum ), and mineral 133.0 132. 117.7 135.6 wool--------------------------------------------------------95.2 94.7 94.1 81.4 L im e___________________ _____ ______________ 92.8 94.1 71 93.2 M arble, granite, slate, a n d other products------A brasives_________________ ____ _____________ 259.0 256.2 249.7 210.7 129.0 91.1 134.7 136.6 Asbestos p ro d u cts----------------------------------------- 267.4 278. 253.2 206.7 222.3 262.5 240.7 264.0 274.2 239.6 205.4 228.0 262.0 232.1 259.8 175.9 268.9 170.3 184.8 212.5 135.4 224.1 139.1 257.7 188.1 231.0 155.1 289.7 221.4 155.3 440. 295.4 281 218.3 155. 407. 289.5 284.7 219.9 152.9 400.0 273.7 220.6 247. 242.9 237.2 293.5 285.4 281.7 220.6 228.7 222.0 189.3 180.9 191 174.8 199.9 178.2 142.0 242.7 143.7 216.1 234.0 199.4 184.0 109.0 180.1 192.5 161.5 F u rn itu re a n d finished lum ber products. M attresses a n d bedsprings-------------F u rn itu re ______________ ...-----------W ooden boxes, other th a n cigar------Caskets a n d other m orticians’ goods. W ood preserving--------------------------W ood, tu rn e d and shaped-------------- 122.1 119.8 118.2 129.8 124.3 123.6 106.2 104.7 103.3 99. 102.0 100.6 105.6 106.0 111.3 105.6 104.2 103.9 112.0 110.6 111. 222. 167.5 105.3 328.8 175.9 Nondurable goods Textile-m ill products a n d other fiber m anufactures.. C otton m anufactures, except smallwares---------C otton sm allw ares------- -------------------------------Silk and rayon goods-----------------------------------W oolen a n d w orsted m anufactures, except dyeing and finishing-------------------------- -------H osiery------------------- -----------------------------------K nitted cloth___________________________ - — K n itte d outerw ear and k n itte d gloves-------------Em itted u n d e rw e a r..._---------- ------- ---------- ---■ D yeing a n d finishing textiles, including woolen and w orsted----------- --------- -----------------------C arpets and rugs, wool--------------------- -----------H ats, fur-felt_______________________________ Ju te goods, except felts---------------------------------Cordage an d tw ine------ --------------------------------- 108.4 107.0 106.0 92 117.5 116.0 115.1 100 107.5 108.8 107.5 98.5 79.1 78.3 77.6 70.5 A pparel and other finished textile products----M en ’s clothing, no t elsewhere classified----Shirts, collars, and nightw ear------------------U nderw ear and neckwear, m en’s -------------W ork sh irts-----------------------------------r - - -W om en’s clothing, not elsewhere classified. Corsets and allied garm ents 2------------------M illinery______________________________ H andkerchiefs__________________________ C urtains, draperies, and bedspreads--------Housefum ishings, other th a n curtains, etc. Textile bags------------------------------------------ 137.2 137.4 93.4 91.3 80.6 77. 78.7 78 100.8 99.7 79.9 76. 88.3 86.8 67.8 78.4 50.2 48. 86.1 89.2 98.0 105.1 120.3 117.4 Leather and leather products...... ...........— L eath er___________________________ Boot and shoe cut stock and findings. Boots and shoes----------------------------L eather gloves and m itten s-------------T ru n k s and suitcases______________ 102.5 101.5 102.4 92.5 201.0 160.8 87.0 88.1 89.1 96.5 94.6 94.2 86.4 170.9 87.3 88.8 79.6 178. 88.6 108.6 109.8 109.9 109.5 175.4 176.6 175.0 141.8 341.2 F o o d _____________________________ Slaughtering and m eat packing. _ B u tte r________________________ Condensed and evaporated m ilk. Ice c ream ..---------- ------------------F lour------------------- ------------------ 131.4 115.3 136.1 135.4 107.2 124. See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 242.7 108.7 107.5 107.0 95. 64.0 154.5 73.9 72.8 71 102.9 102.3 102.2 94.9 217.4 112.0 109.6 108.0 100.5 252.2 87.1 207.9 92.4 91.3 90 95.9 95.9 80. 97.9 96.1 72.0 79.1 78.0 67.4 101.2 106.4 105.7 100.0 125.8 127.2 125.5 117.2 96. 100.3 80.6 243.7 150.4 217.1 243. 203.9 182.5 181.3 237.4 266.2 142.6 124.6 140.6 198.8 220.4 288.2 186.8 167.6 191.1 219.3 176.0 166.2 147.1 100.7 176.1 200.2 218.1 224.1 210.0 208.0 136.9 132.1 146.9 188.7 136.4 142.7 110.4 98.3 129.6 149.9 206.1 201.6 195.2 186. 204.0 187.9 228 268.0 135.3 117.8 288. 90.2 81. 206. 77.3 71. 188. 76.8 70. 205.0 243.0 100.6 97. 154.2 79.7 74. 182.1 84.6 79. 100.4 73. 79.0 118.0 46.7 53. 66.2 191.2 82. 103.7 85.2 207.0 112.2 122.7 231.5 196.2 182.0 239.4 268.5 189.4 172. 197.2 224.4 170.5 177.1 138.7 108.8 196.9 165.3 146.4 138.0 145.7 188.9 333.6 256.7 198.1 158.7 170.0 175.4 219 346.1 203.3 160.2 170.5 182.4 125.7 135.4 127.0 248.1 228.6 70.0 78.6 110.0 215.7 110.5 243.4 256.1 138.5 139. 126 140.7 146.6 137.5 253.7 264.9 120.2 99.4 183.2 194.9 254.1 255.1 124. 123.3 119 242.7 118 258.7 279.9 204.0 249.1 86.2 211. 111 220. 214.9 185.2 203.5 223.5 151.6 212.3 330 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 T able 2.— I n d e x e s o f p r o d u c tio n -w o r k e r e m p lo y m e n t a n d p a y ro lls in m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u s tr ie s 1— Continued [1939 average=100] E m ploym ent indexes In d u stry group and industry Pay-roll inuexes N ov. 1946 Oct. 1946 Sept. N ov. Nov. 1946 1945 1946 Food—C ontinued Fee is, prepared_____________________________ Cereal preparations__________________________ B aking. __ _____ _ ____________________ _____ Sugar refining, cane. . . . - _________________ Sugar, beet ______________________ ____. . . Confectionery______ _________________ ______ Beverages, n o n a lc o h o lic .___ _______________ . M alt liq u o r s ___ ______________ __________ Canning and preserving______________________ 141.8 147.0 107.9 85.2 210.3 114.9 109.2 147.6 98.1 140.7 145.1 104.6 78.3 187.0 112.1 108.3 146.7 128.9 136.2 146.0 104.6 86.9 76.9 104.9 113.2 150.2 182.2 268.2 274.7 190.8 123.7 310.1 212.1 161. e 235.4 324.7 261.1 269.6 187.5 138.3 152.4 204.4 170.6 244.2 466.8 267.9 211.9 181.4 125.9 361.9 197.6 150.8 225.2 179.4 Tobacco m anufactures___________________________ C igarettes______ ____________________________ Cigars_______________________________ _______ Tobacco (chewing and smoking) and snuff_____ 97.6 95.8 93.5 89.2 212.7 207.4 125.7 123.7 122. 9 127.1 247.1 238.9 83.0 81.4 78.6 67.7 194.3 191.7 87.0 85.6 82.8 91.5 166.7 160.0 196.0 226.7 180.9 150.7 172.2 207.8 148.7 150.5 P aper and allied p roducts______________ _____ ____ Paper and p u lp ____ ______ ___________________ P ap er goods, o th e r__________________ ____ ____ Envelopes.____. _____ _______________________ P ap er bags___ _______________________________ P aper boxes................................................................... 142.9 123.5 127.9 125.0 137.8 132.6 140.2 122.0 125.5 121.3 135.2 129.5 138.6 122.0 123.8 119.3 132 3 126.3 122.9 107.8 114.7 110.5 118.8 116.3 273.9 240.2 240.7 229.3 262.3 253.6 265.8 234.9 233.5 212.9 258.6 245.0 257.1 228.0 225.8 207.9 249.8 235.8 211.0 190.0 185.6 176.8 215.2 197.0 P rinting, publishing, and allied industries_________ N ew spapers and periodicals___________________ P rinting, book and job __________ ___________ L ithographing-____ _______________ __________ B ookbinding______________ ____ _ ___________ 121.6 113.7 130.6 116.5 130.5 120.1 112.8 129.2 115.1 128.0 117.6 111.0 126.1 113.6 123.2 105.9 101.0 112.9 100.1 110.1 205.5 182.0 227.9 196.1 271.0 200.3 178.9 220.8 191.4 262.8 195.2 175.6 215.8 185.2 246.5 158.5 138.3 178.1 157.1 205.4 Chem icals and allied products_____ ___________ P ain ts, varnishes, and c o lo rs _________________ Drugs, medicines, and insecticides_______ _____ Perfum es and cosmetics______________________ Soap________________________________________ R ayon and allied p roducts....................................... Chemicals, not elsewhere classified____________ Explosives and safety fuses.......... .................. .......... Compressed and liquefied g a se s _______________ A m m unition, sm all-arm s_________ _____ ______ Firew orks______________ ___________________ Cottonseed o il.____ __________________________ Fertlizers—.................................. .................................. 173.7 127.7 195.4 120.0 100.4 121.9 173.3 174.1 145.6 159.8 305.9 134.0 117.7 170.5 127.9 193.8 121.8 100.8 119.8 169.8 178.2 133.1 160.9 290.2 114.7 117.1 167.9 127.8 190.0 118.0 104.5 118.8 167.6 176.9 143.7 174.1 272.5 85.6 118.7 169.1 112.6 175.3 119.7 100.1 117.9 159.0 360.7 138.9 263.9 263.9 135.7 112.4 311.8 208.2 341.9 215.5 169.7 215.2 301.3 282.4 241.8 332.3 824.6 338.5 276.6 303.5 204.8 331.9 212.7 169.0 209.8 294.0 292.4 219.4 326.2 778.4 275.4 280.4 298.3 201.7 316.8 195.2 173.2 210.8 289.6 292.9 240.8 339.3 698.3 196.5 297.4 281.8 174.7 268.7 183.0 161.9 188.9 260.8 527.2 225.3 487.7 666.9 305.8 240.2 Products of petroleum and coal_____ ____ _________ Petroleum refining..................... ............................... Coke and b y p ro d u cts.......................................... Paving m aterials.......... .................. ............................. Roofing m aterials...................... ................................... 142.6 136.0 119.1 72.4 157.2 142.8 136.2 118.7 82.6 157.1 143.8 137.0 119.3 95.5 156.6 131.3 130.6 103.1 72.4 122.2 245.7 226.9 217.1 135.2 313.8 245.8 228.2 215.0 150.5 303.5 250.3 232.7 220.0 190.6 298.6 222.9 215.5 181.0 134.3 219.3 R ubber products_________ _____ _____ _____ ______ R u b b er tires and inner tu b e s .________ _________ R ubber boots and shoes________ _____________ R u b b er goods, o th er___ ____ ______ ____ ______ 202.9 207.0 129.6 147.1 198.7 204.0 123.9 144.5 192.8 197.0 121.9 141.6 160.1 168.9 104.1 119.0 385.1 360.3 253.7 292.4 368.5 346.1 214.8 288.5 370.9 348.9 245.8 282.4 257.8 240.2 193.5 208.8 M iscellaneous industries_________________________ Instru m en ts (professional and scientific), and fire control e q u ip m en t___________ ____ ______ Photographic ap p aratu s______________________ Optical instrum ents and ophthalm ic g o o d s .___ Pianos, organs, and p arts___ ____ _________ . . . Games, toys, and dolls....................................... B u tto n s........................................................... Fire extinguishers___ ________ __________ 181.5 178.9 175.7 142.2 353.6 348.4 337.0 251.1 Oct. Sept. Nov. 1946 1946 1945 Nondurable goods— C ontinued 186.9 146.8 185.7 130.4 135.2 93.0 214.4 187.3 146.8 185.4 127.0 130.4 96.4 205.0 188.8 146.7 182.0 124.0 126.3 96.3 212.3 152.6 122 0 110. 2 87.1 220.9 111.3 111.2 150.2 92.7 202.3 124.6 167.0 73.8 85.3 84.3 229.8 272.3 271.6 199.0 141.0 424.9 226.9 163.7 236.9 212.9 331.9 253.4 337.1 273.0 289.7 211.3 435.1 332.0 246.6 332.8 250.5 275.4 211.0 399.6 330.7 239.1 322.1 241.1 260.4 214.1 414.7 324.6 198.0 281.2 117.9 153.8 167.5 459.3 1 These indexes are based on reports from 33,200 cooperating establishm ents covering 7,258,000 full- and part-tim e production w orkers who worked or received pay during any p art of one pay period ending nearest the 15th of N ovem ber 1946. Indexes for th e major ind u stry groups have been adjusted to levels indicated by final 1944 d ata made available b y the B ureau of E m ploym ent Security of the Federal Security Agency. 2 Revisions have been m ade as follows in the indexes for earlier m onths: Hardware.-—June and A ugust 1946 pay roll to 241.5 and 257.3, respectively. Radios and phonographs.—A ugust 1946 pay roll to 369.8. Corsets and allied garments.—June, July, and A ugust 1946 pay roll to 166.6,154.4, and 161.2. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TRENDS OF EMPLOYMENT AND LABOR TURN-OVER 331 T able 3.— Estimated number of employees in selected nonmanufacturing industries 1 E stim ated n um ber oj employees (in thousands) In d u stry group a n d in d u stry M in in g :2 A n th ra c ite .--__________________________________ Bitum idous coal- _____________________________ M eta l_________________________________________ Iro n _________ ____ _________________________ C opper. _________________________________ Lead and zinc______ - _______ _____ ______ Gold and silver __________________________ M iscellaneous______________________________ T elephone. ___________ ___________________________ Telegraph 3_ ______________ . __________________ Electric light and pow er. _ _________________________ Street railw ays a n d busses . ___________ __________ H otels (year-round)________________________________ Pow er laundries_______ _ __________ . . _______ Cleaning and dyeing. _____________ _______________ Class I steam railroads s _________ ______ __________ W ater tra n sp o rta tio n 2 ____________________________ N ov. 1946 Oct. 1946 Sept. 1946 68.7 334 74.9 27.1 22.5 15.5 7.4 2.4 583 40.9 250 253 387 (*) (*) 1,382 (7) 68.9 334 74.1 27.8 21.8 15.0 7.2 2.3 577 41.5 249 252 389 0) (<) 1, 376 104 68.1 335 73.7 27.7 21.5 14.9 7.2 2.4 575 42.2 249 252 385 (4) « 1, 363 m N ov. 1945 64.8 327 64.6 23.7 19.0 13.7 6.0 2.2 443 47.0 215 236 376 (4) (4) 1,406 165 1 See footnote 1, table 4. 2 D a ta are for production workers only. 3 Excludes messengers, a n d approxim ately 6,000 employees of general a nd divisional headquarters and of cable companies. 4 T he change in definition from “ wage earner” to “ production w orker” in the power laundries and clean ing and dyeing industries results in the omission of driver-salesmen. This causes a significant difference in the data. New series are being prepared. 5 Source: In terstate Commerce Commission. 6 Based on estimates prepared b y th e U. S. M aritim e Commission covering em ploym ent on active deepsea American-flag steam and motor m erchant vessels of 1,000 gross tons and over. Excludes em ploym ent on vessels under bareboat charter to or owned by the A rm y or N avy. Beginning w ith October 1946, d a ta re late to the end of the preceding m onth. D ata for th e week ending nearest Septem ber 15th are not available. 1 N ot available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 332 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW--- FEBRUARY 194 7 T able 4.— I n d e x e s o f e m p lo y m e n t a n d p a y ro lls in se le c te d n o n m a n u ja c tu r in g in d u s tr ie s [1939 average= 100] • E m ploym ent indexes Pay-roll indexes In d u stry group and ind u stry M ining: A n th racite__ __________ ____ . . . . . . . B itum inous coal_____ _ _ . . . _ ____ M e t a l _________ __ __ ____ __________ Iron_ _ _ ____ _ __________ . . Copper___________________ _ Lead and zinc. ________ _ . . . __ Gold and silver _ . . . _________ M iscellaneous. __ _ . . . _________ Q uarrying and n o n m etallic.. . ______ C rude petroleum production 2__ ____ Public utilities: T e le p h o n e ____________________ ______ T e le g ra p h ... . . . ___. . . ____ Electric light and pow er_______________ Street railw ays and busses_______ _____ W holesale trade ______ . _. ._ _______ R etail tra d e ___________ . . . _. _______ F ood____ ____ ______. . . ___________ General m erchandise__________ A p p a re l.. . _ __________ _______ _ F u rn itu re and housefurnishings . . . . __ A utom otive. . ____________ ____ . . L um ber and building m aterials. _____ Hotels (year-round) 3_. _______________ __ Pow er laundries___________ ____________ Cleaning and dyeing______ ____ __________ Class I steam railroads 4 W ater tra n sp o rta tio n 5 .. __ _______ Nov. 1946 Oct. 1946 Sept. 1946 N ov. 1945 N ov. 1946 Oct. 1946 Sept. 1946 N ov. 1945 82.9 90.0 84.9 134.9 94.4 99.4 29.7 60.9 101.2 93.0 83.2 90.1 83.9 138.7 91.2 96.3 28.9 59.2 101.7 93.4 82.2 90.5 83.5 138.1 90.0 95.6 29.0 60.4 102.5 93.9 78.2 88.2 73.2 118.0 79.7 87.9 24.3 55.8 85.0 86.7 182.3 233.1 147.8 241.9 170.7 192.1 44.2 99.9 222.4 155. 1 199.9 237.1 148.0 252.4 167. 1 188.5 43.0 99.9 227.6 150.1 194.0 234.9 147.0 253.3 163.1 188.0 42.5 98.0 227.9 147.9 144.5 212.8 117.2 191.8 129.6 167.6 31.7 84.7 163.2 140.0 183.4 108.7 102.5 130.6 112.7 117.2 108.6 144.8 124.3 85.5 97.6 115.2 120.0 109.9 123.0 139.9 (8) 181.6 110.3 102.0 130.3 110.7 112.2 103.7 132.1 120.1 83.1 96.6 113.8 120. 5 110.1 126.1 139.3 199.2 181.0 112.0 101.9 129.9 109.4 109. 8 103.5 125.4 116.7 81.5 95.5 113.8 119.5 109.9 125.6 138.0 (5) 139.4 124.8 88.1 121. 7 101.8 106.2 106.5 127.4 117.1 69.4 80.5 101.0 116.5 106. 7 120.6 142.4 315.1 273.0 194.2 157.6 210.9 189.7 191.5 185.6 225.0 207.9 148.6 168.5 191.9 218.2 191. 5 217.0 («) (6) 269.2 201.7 155.3 212.6 184.5 182.5 174.6 204.7 201.5 139.8 166.0 192.3 214.3 189 8 225. 7 (6) 422.6 265.0 177.3 153.3 207.9 182.8 180.8 173.6 199.0 197.8 139.1 164.8 190.0 209.5 188.7 225.6 (8) (5) 200.3 177.9 126.7 179.1 155.2 151.9 154.9 172.4 175.2 103.8 126.6 150.7 190.6 168.9 193.5 (8) 582.1 1 These figures are based on reports from cooperating establishm ents covering both full- and part-tim e employees who worked or received pay during any p art of 1 pay period ending nearest the 15th of N ovem ber 1946, as follows: M ining.—2,800 establishm ents, 338,000 production workers. Public utilities.—2,800 establishm ents, 697,000 employees. Wholesale trade.—11,800 establishm ents, 328,000 employees. Retail trade.—39,000 establishm ents, 1,112,000 employees. Hotels {year-round).—1,300 establishm ents, 137,000 employees. Power laundries and cleaning and dyeing.—1,500 establishm ents, 72,000 production workers. 2 Does not include well drilling or rig building. 3 Cash paym ents only; additional value of board, room, and tips, not included. 4 Source: In terstate Commerce Commission. 5 Based on estim ates prepared b y the U. S. M aritim e Commission covering em ploym ent on active deepsea American-flag steam and m otor m erchant vessels of 1,000 gross tons and over. Excludes em ploym ent on vessels under bareboat charter to or owned by the A rm y or N avy. Beginning w ith October 1946. d ata relate to the end of the preceding m onth. D ata for the week ending nearest September 15th are not available. 6 N ot available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TRENDS OF E M PLO Y M EN T AND LABOR TURN-OVER 333 L a b o r T u r n - O v e r 1 in M a n u fa c tu rin g , M in in g , a n d P u b lic U tilitie s , N o v e m b e r 1 9 4 6 e v e r y 1,000 employees on factory pay rolls in November 1946, 37 quit, 7 were laid off, 4 were discharged, and 1 was separated for other reasons. Despite over-the-montli declines in the quit and lay off rates, they were still relatively high, indicating the continuation of a comparatively tight labor market. Each major manufacturing group showed a lower quit rate in Novem ber than in October. Whereas in October, 5 industrial groups had quit rates above 50 per 1,000, in November, only the lumber and furniture groups (with rates of 61 and 55 per 1,000, respectively) were at this level. These groups normally show the highest quit rates among the manufacturing groups. Transportation equipment and automobiles had lay-off rates of 36 and 17 per 1,000, respectively—the only manufacturing groups with rates above 10 per 1,000 employees. Among the mining industries, iron ore mines, seriously hampered by winter weather conditions, showed a rate of 11 per 1,000. The hiring rate of 57 per 1,000, although the lowest for November in 5 years, was considerably higher than the prewar rate. In automobiles, iron and steel, and nonferrous metals, a reluctance to hire reflected the coal strike. Women continued to be hired at a higher rate than men in manu facturing industries: 67 per 1,000 women; 53 per 1,000 men, but their quit rates continued generally higher than for men. Involuntary separation rates, representing mostly lay-offs and discharges were lower for women than for men in 11 of the last 12 months. In Novem ber involuntary separations were 10 per 1,000 women, and 13 per 1,000 men. F or i Turn-over rates reflect conditions only in plants which were in operation, and should be used with caution because of the elimination from the over-all samples of plants involved in work stoppages. 728607— 47------ 12 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 334 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 T able 1.— Monthly labor turn-over rates (per 100 employees) in manufacturing industries Class of turn-over and year T otal separation: 1946_____________ 1945_____________ 1943_____________ 1939_____________ Quit: 1946_____________ 1945_____________ 1943_____________ 1939____________ Discharge: 1946____________ 1945_____________ 1943____________ 1939____________ Lay-off:3 1946____________ 1945_____________ 1943____________ 1939____________ M ilitary and miscel laneous: 4 1946_____________ 1945_____________ 1943____ ________ Accession: 1946_____________ 1945____________ 1943_____________ 1939........................ . Jan. Feb. M ar. Apr. M ay June July Aug. Sept. Oct. N ov. Dec. 6.8 6.2 7.1 3.2 6.3 6.0 7.1 2.6 6.6 6.8 7.7 3.1 6.3 6.6 7.5 3.5 6.3 7.0 6.7 3.5 5.7 7.9 7.1 3.3 5.8 7.7 7.6 3.3 6.6 17.9 8.3 3.0 6.9 12.0 8.1 2.8 6.3 8.6 7.0 2.9 24.9 7.1 6.4 3.0 5.9 6.6 3.5 4.3 4.6 4.5 .9 3.9 4.3 4.7 .6 4.2 5.0 5.4 .8 4.3 4.8 5.4 .8 4.2 4.8 4.8 .7 4.0 5.1 5.2 .7 4.6 5.2 5.6 .7 5.3 6.2 6.3 .8 5.3 6.7 6.3 1.1 4.7 5.6 5.2 .9 23.7 4.7 4.5 .8 4.0 4.4 .7 .5 .7 .5 .1 .5 .7 .5 .1 .4 .7 .6 .1 .4 .6 .5 .1 .4 .6 .6 .1 .3 .7 .6 .1 .4 .6 .7 .1 .4 .7 .7 .1 .4 .6 .6 .1 .4 .5 .6 .2 2.4 .5 .6 .2 .4 .6 .1 1.8 .6 .7 2.2 1.7 .7 .5 1.9 1.8 .7 .5 2.2 1.4 .8 .6 2.6 1.5 1.2 .5 2.7 1.2 1.7 .5 2.5 .6 1.5 .5 2.5 .7 10.7 .5 2.1 1.0 4.5 .5 1.6 1.0 2.3 .5 1.8 2.7 1.7 .7 2.0 1.3 1.0 2.7 .2 .3 1.4 .2 .3 1.4 .2 .4 1.2 .2 .4 1.0 .2 .4 .8 .2 .4 .8 .2 .4 .8 .2 .3 .8 .2 .2 .7 .2 .2 .7 2. 1 .2 .6 .2 .6 8.5 7.0 8.3 4.1 6.8 5.0 7.9 3.1 7.1 4.9 8.3 3.3 6.7 4.7 7.4 2.9 6.1 5.0 7.2 3.3 6.7 5.9 8.4 3.9 7.4 5.8 7.8 4.2 7.0 5.9 7.6 5.1 7.1 7.4 7.7 6.2 6.8 8.6 7.2 5.9 25.7 8.7 6.6 4.1 6.9 5.2 2.8 1 M onth-to-m onth em ploym ent changes as indicated by labor turn-over rates are not precisely compa rable to those shown by the B ureau’s em ploym ent and pay-roll reports, as the former are based on d ata for the entire m onth while the latter refer, for the m ost p art, to a 1 -week period ending nearest the middle of the m onth. In addition, labor turn-over data, beginning in Jan u ary 1943, refer to all employees, whereas th e em ploym ent and pay-roll reports relate only to production workers. T h e turn-over sample is not so extensive as th a t of the em ploym ent and pay-roll survey—proportionately fewer small plants are included; printing and publishing, and certain seasonal industries, such as canning and preserving, are not covered. F or th e m onth of October, rates are based on reports from 6,900 establishm ents, employing 4,470,000 workers. 2 Prelim inary. 3 Including tem porary (of more th a n 7 days’ duration), indeterm inate, and perm anent lay-offs. 4 M iscellaneous separations comprise no t more th a n 0.1 in these figures. In 1939 these d ata were included w ith quits. T able 2.— Monthly labor turn-over rates (per 100 employees) in selected groups and industries,1 November 1946 2 T otal separa tion Q uit Discharge Lay-ofE M ilitary T otal a nd m is cellaneous accession In d u s try group and in d u stry N o Oc N o Oc N o Oc N o Oc N o Oc N o Oc vem to vem to vem to vem to vem to vem to ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber M anufacturing D urable goods_____________________ N ondurable goods_ _................................ Iron and steel a n d th eir products _ . _. B last furnaces, steel works, and rolling m ills__________________ Gray-iron castings________ . . __ M alleable-iron castings__ _______ Steel castings_________________ ! Cast-iron pipe and fittings_______ T in cans and other tin w are_____ W ire p roducts__________________ C utlery and edge tools__........ . ; Tools (except edge tools, machine tools, files, and saws) _______ H ard w are_____ ____ ___________ Stoves, oil burners, a n d heating equ ip m en t..................._.................. £ e e fo o tn o te s a t en d of ta b le . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5.1 4.6 6.5 5.7 3.6 3.8 4.6 4.6 0.5 .3 0.5 .4 0.9 .4 1. 2 .6 0. 1 .1 0.2 .1 5.3 6.0 6.9 6.7 4.4 5.3 3.4 4.1 .4 .4 .5 .6 .1 .2 4.5 5.7 3.2 7.0 3.7 9.3 7.9 5.5 2.6 .2 .2 .3 .2 .9 .5 .5 .4 1.5 .3 1.3 2.9 .2 .3 .3 .2 .3 .1 8.2 .5 .7 .3 1.3 .3 6. 2 .7 .5 .3 .3 1.5 .3 1.5 .2 .6 .2 .8 .1 4.4 4.6 3.4 4.1 3.1 7.5 6.9 4.0 5.6 6.4 3.6 4.7 4.0 9.6 8.9 5.8 7.2 7.4 5.1 4.6 5.6 5.2 7.5 3.6 4.6 4.2 5.7 .5 .4 .7 .5 .3 .5 5.8 7.2 4.5 5.6 .7 .7 .5 6. 1 3.7 5.1 7.4 4.2 5.8 6. 8 9.7 5.1 5.5 4.9 2.6 .6 .2 .5 1.7 1. 0 .1 .2 .1 .1 (3) 7.4 3.2 6.3 6.9 3.4 7.1 .2 .2 (3) .1 1.1 .2 .1 .2 .2 6. 0 .7 .1 .2 7.7 .1 5.2 10.6 7.0 7.7 335 TRENDS OF EMPLOYMENT AND LABOR TURN-OVER T able 2.— Monthly labor turn-over rates (per 100 employees) in selected groups and industries,1 November 1946 2—Continued Total separa tion Discharge Q uitt M ilitary T ot and mis cellaneous accès Lay-off In d u stry group and in d u stry N o Oc N o Oc- No- Oc- No- Oc- No- Oc- No- Oc vem to vem to- vem- to- vTem- to- vein- to- vem- to ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber M anufacturing—C ontinued Iron and steel and th e ir products—Con. Steam and hot-w ater heating ap p aratu s and steam fittings------ Stam ped and enam eled ware and galvanizing------- --------------------Fabricated stru ctu ral m etal produ c t s . . . _________ - -------- --------Bolts, n u ts, washers, and riv e ts ._. Forgings, iron a n d steel-------------- 6.4 5.0 5.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 8.6 8.0 9.5 4.9 6.5 .5 .6 .6 2.0 .2 .4 7.2 8.4 6.8 4.4 4.4 3.8 2.9 2.3 5.0 3.7 3.5 .5 .3 .3 .6 .2 .2 .7 .3 1.4 1.0 .2 .5 .3 .2 .1 .2 .3 .2 6.3 4.4 3.4 Electrical m achinery *--------------------Electrical equipm ent for indus trial use--------------------------------Radios, radio equipm ent, and phonographs------------ ------------Com m unication equipm ent, ex cept radios....................................... 5.3 3.5 4.0 .4 .4 .5 .7 .1 .2 5.6 6.7 3.8 2.0 2.7 .2 .2 .5 .6 .2 .3 3.0 4.6 6.2 4.2 4.9 .7 .8 .7 .4 .1 .1 7.7 8.3 3.4 0 2.8 0 .2 0 .2 0) .2 0 4.9 M achinery, except electrical------------Engines and tu rb in es----------------A gricultural m achinery and trac to rs------- ------------------------------M achine tools------------ --------- — M achine-tool accessories.. . .......... . M etalw orking m achinery and equipm ent, no t elsewhere classi fied________ - ................ ................ General industrial machinery, except p u m p s------- ----------------P um ps and pum ping eq u ip m en t. 4.4 4.4 2.7 2.7 3.4 2.9 .4 .6 .5 .6 .5 .3 .4 .7 .1 .1 .1 .2 4.3 5.8 5.3 5.9 4.7 3.0 4.5 2.9 1.9 2.7 3.8 2.3 3.3 .3 .3 .4 .5 .2 .6 .3 .6 .7 .2 .4 .5 .1 .1 .1 .2 .1 .1 3.8 2.5 4.4 4.8 3.2 5.2 3.8 .4 .3 .1 .1 .1 .1 3.8 5.1 3.6 3.3 .5 .6 .5 .9 .5 .3 .3 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 3.9 5.3 5.1 5.3 .4 .3 .5 .6 .5 .4 .4 .7 3.6 4.9 3.0 2.4 .9 1.3 6.8 10.4 .1 .1 0 .1 .1 7.8 .1 6.0 5.7 0 .1 11.5 T ransportation equipm ent, except a u to m o b ile s...------------- -------------- 8.2 4.5 4.8 8.0 7.4 9.1 6.5 Aircraft parts, including engines. 4.4 4.0 Shipbuilding and re p a irs.............. 11.7 15.2 3.3 3.1 2.6 4.2 3.6 3.9 2.7 4.0 9.5 3.2 5.1 .6 .7 1.7 3.5 .1 .2 4.1 6.9 3.3 5.5 .7 .7 1.7 3.6 .1 .1 3.7 6.4 A utom obiles._____________________ M otor vehicles, bodies, and trail ers__________________________ M otor-vehicle parts a nd acces sories____________ __________- 6.8 5.6 5.8 7.5 6.4 9.6 5.6 8.4 3.1 4.3 .4 .6 1.9 3.2 .2 .3 4.9 7.8 N onferrous m etals and th eir products. 4.5 P rim ary smelting and refining, ex cept alum inum and magnesium 3.4 Rolling and draw ing of copper and copper alloys........ ......................... 2.9 Lighting equipm ent------ ----------- 4.7 Nonferrous-metal foundries, ex cept alum inum and m agnesium . 4.3 5.9 3.3 4.7 .5 .6 .6 .5 .1 .1 5.3 7.2 3.8 2.5 3.0 .6 .5 .1 .1 .2 .2 4.4 5.8 4.4 7.6 2.5 3.7 4.0 5.9 .2 .3 .3 .3 .1 .6 0) 1.2 .1 .1 .1 .2 3.5 6.1 5.1 6.7 5.9 3.4 4.9 .3 .5 .4 .3 .2 .2 5.1 6.9 9.0 8.9 6.1 6.1 3.6 8.0 8.0 5.3 .4 .5 .4 .5 .4 .5 .6 .6 .5 .4 .4 .6 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .2 7.7 7.4 5.3 10.5 10.7 7.2 .6 5.5 7.2 .6 .7 .5 .6 .1 .1 8.2 9.5 6.6 .6 5.3 7.1 .7 .8 .5 .6 .1 .1 7.7 9.7 4.3 4.0 4.9 6.5 3.5 5.3 5.2 5.3 7.2 4.8 4.2 3.6 4.5 6.2 4.1 .5 .6 .6 .8 .2 .4 .5 .5 .4 .3 .5 .7 .1 .3 .3 .5 .8 .2 .5 .3 .2 .2 .1 0 .1 .2 .3 .1 .1 .1 4.4 3.8 5.1 7.2 4.2 L um ber and tim ber basic p ro d u c ts.. . 7.2 Saw m ills.........................................— 7.3 Planing and plyw ood m ills........... 4.6 F u rn itu re and finished lum ber prod u c ts......... .................................. ............. F urnitu re, including mattresses and b e d sp rin g s-........................... Stone, clay, and glass products-------Glass and glass products...... ........ C em en t.----- ------- -----------------Brick, tile, and terra c o tta ........... P o ttery and related p roducts----See fo o tn d te s at e n d o f ta b le . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6.7 6.6 6.0 5.8 5.6 7.4 6.3 336 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 T able 2.— M o n th ly la b o r tu rn -o v e r ra te s (p e r 1 0 0 e m p lo y e e s ) in se le c te d g ro u p s a n d in d u s tr ie s ,1 N o v e m b e r 1 9 4 6 2— Continued Total separa tion Q uit Discharge Lay-off M ilitary a nd mis cellaneous T o tal accession In d u stry group and in d u stry N o Oc N o Oc N o Oc N o Oc N o Oc N o Oc vem to vem to vem to vem to vem to vem to ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber ber M anufacturing—C ontinued Textile-mill p ro d u cts_______________ C otton__ _____________ ________ Silk and rayon goods__ . __ . . Woolen and w orsted, except dyeing and finishing_____________ Hosiery, full-fashioned__________ Hosiery, seamless_______________ K n itted underw ear_____________ D yeing and finishing textiles, ineluding woolen and w orsted__ A pparel and other finished textile products...... ........ __ . ...... M en ’s and boys’ suits, coats, and o v e rc o a ts... J_________ . . M en ’s and boys’ furnishings, work clothing, and allied garm en ts______ . . . ____ . . . 4.8 5.8 4.1 5.5 6.5 5.2 4.1 5.1 3.5 4.8 5.8 4.5 0.4 .4 .2 0.4 .4 .3 0.2 .2 .3 0.2 .1 .3 0.1 .1 .1 0.1 .2 .1 5.8 6.9 4.6 6.5 7.6 6.0 3.9 2.6 4.2 4.5 4.8 3.7 5.4 5.6 3.2 2.3 3.7 4.0 3.8 3.2 5.2 5.1 .4 .2 .2 .4 .4 .3 .2 .3 .2 .1 .3 .1 .4 .1 0 .1 .1 0 (3) 0 .2 .1 (3) .1 4.3 3.5 5.5 6.0 5.0 4.3 6.8 6.1 3.6 3.8 2.3 2.6 .7 .6 .4 .4 .2 .2 5.1 5.0 4.8 5.9 4.4 5.3 .2 .2 .2 .3 0 0 6.4 7.1 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.4 .1 .2 .1 .1 0 0 5.0 5.0 4.9 6.5 4.6 5.9 .2 .2 .1 .4 0 0 6.4 7.2 3.9 2.7 4.1 5.4 4.6 5.5 3.3 2.1 3.5 4.6 3.5 4.8 .2 .2 .2 .2 .2 .2 .3 .3 .3 .5 .8 .4 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 4.7 4.2 4.8 5.0 3.9 5.3 Food and kindred products. _______ 6.1 ___________ 8.3 M eat products. .. Grain-mill products_____________ 5.9 7.9 7.4 8.0 4.7 6.0 4.3 5.5 3.2 6.2 .6 1.0 .5 .4 .3 .4 .7 1.1 1.1 1.8 3.5 1.2 .1 .2 0 .2 9.4 .4 19.3 .2 6.6 9.4 35.4 7.3 Tobacco m anufactures______________ 4.9 5.6 3.9 4.7 .3 .5 .5 .2 .2 .2 5.3 7.8 4.7 4.0 7.2 5.8 5.1 8.2 3.8 3.1 6.1 4.9 4.1 7.2 .5 .5 .8 .5 .5 .7 .2 .2 .1 .2 .3 .1 .2 .2 .2 .2 .2 .2 5.1 4.2 7.8 6.7 5.4 10.2 Chemicals and allied products. 2.6 Paints, varnishes, and colors.. . . 2.4 R ayon and allied products ___ 2.5 In d u strial chemicals, except explosives______________________ 2.7 3.3 3.3 2.7 1.8 1.8 1.5 2.4 2.4 1.9 .2 .2 .2 .3 .4 .2 .5 .4 .6 .4 .4 .4 .1 0 .2 .2 .1 .2 2.8 3.0 2.1 4.1 3.0 2.5 3.2 1.9 2.5 .2 .3 .5 .2 .1 .2 3.1 5.1 Products of petroleum and coal. . . . . 1.5 Petroleum refining______________ 1.4 1.8 1.7 .9 .8 1.2 1.1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .4 .4 .3 .3 .1 .1 .2 2 1.4 1.2 2.0 1.8 R ubber pro d u cts____ . ______ _ _ . R ubber tires and inner tu b e s. _ R ubber footwear and related products___ ____ _ _ _____ Miscellaneous ru b b er in d u stries... 4.0 3.0 5.1 3.7 3.2 2.5 4.4 3.2 .3 .2 .3 .2 .3 .2 .2 .1 .2 .1 .2 .2 4.6 3.2 6.2 4.6 5.2 5.2 6.7 7.0 4.4 4.1 6.1 5.9 .3 .5 .2 .6 .4 .4 .3 .4 .1 .2 .1 .1 6.6 6.6 7.0 8.7 Miscellaneous industries____. . . . . . Nonmanufacturing M etal m ining >____________________ Iron-ore_______________________ Copper-ore__ ________________ . Lead- and zinc-ore_______ ______ 3.6 5.2 2.7 4.0 .3 .5 .5 .5 .1 .2 4.7 5.7 4.8 3.5 5. 2 4.9 5.4 2.8 6.8 5.6 3.7 1.8 4.5 3.9 4.4 1.8 6.0 5.0 .3 .2 .4 .3 .4 .1 .5 .4 .6 1.1 .2 .6 .4 .6 .2 .1 .2 .4 .1 .1 .2 .3 .1 .1 6.0 2.9 7.4 6.9 6.4 3.1 9.1 6.9 Coal m in in g :« A n th racite_____ . . . ______. . . B itu m in o u s ..._____ _________ 1.5 0 2.0 3.9 1.1 0 1.4 3.3 (3) (5) .1 .2 .3 0 .4 .2 .1 0 .1 .2 1.7 0 2.2 3.7 Public utilities: T elephone____ . ___ . . ____ T elegraph___ ._ _____ ______ 0) 0 o 0 0) 0 0) 0 0 (6) 0 0 (9 0 0) 0 (9 0 (•) 0 (9 0 0 0 L eather and leather products________ Leather. . Boots and shoes________________ Paper and allied products__________ Paper and p u lp ____. . . _________ Paper boxes____________________ 1 Since Jan u ary 1943 m anufacturing firms reporting labor turn-over have been assigned industry codes on the basis of current products. M ost plants in the em ploym ent and pay-roll sample comprising those which were in operation in 1939, are classified according to their major activity a t th a t tim e, regardless of any sub sequent change in major products. 2 Prelim inary. s Less th a n 0.05. 4 N ovem ber rates based on incomplete returns. 5 N ot available. 6 For the m onth of October rates for mining industries are based on reports from 500 establishm ents em ploying 231,000 persons. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 337 TRENDS OF EMPLOYMENT AND LABOR TURN-OVER T able 3.— M o n th ly la b o r tu rn -o v e r ra te s f o r m en a n d w o m e n in a ll m a n u fa c tu r in g a n d se lected g r o u p s ,1 N o v e m b e r 1 9 4 6 2 M en (per 100 men) In d u stry group T otal separation Q uit W omen (per 100 women) T otal Accession separation Q uit Accession Nov. Oct. Nov. Oct. Nov. Oct. Nov. Oct. Nov. Oct. Nov. Oct. All m anufacturing_________________ 4.6 D urable goods__________________ 5.0 N ondurable goods........................... 3.9 5.8 6.3 4.8 3.3 3.5 3.0 4.3 4.6 3.7 5.3 5.3 5.3 6.5 6.7 6.0 5.7 5.7 5.6 6.9 6.6 7.1 4.7 4.2 4.9 5.7 5.1 5.9 6.7 5.7 7.0 7.6 7.7 7.6 Iron and steel and th eir pro d u cts____ Electrical m ach in ery ... . . . ----M achinery, except e lectrical.. . . . . T ransportatio n equipm ent, except autom obiles______________________ Automobiles Nonferrous m etals and th eir products. L um ber and tim b er basic products. _. F u rn itu re and finished lum ber produ c ts__ _________________________ Stone, clay, and glass p ro d u c ts... . Textile-m ill p ro d u cts_______________ A pparel and other finished textile p roducts_________________________ L eather and leather products ______ Food and. kindred pro d u cts............... Tobacco m anufactures . . . . _______ P aper and allied p ro d u cts.. . . . _ . . . Chem icals and allied p ro d u c ts .. . . . Products of petroleum and c o al.. R ubber p ro d u cts___________________ M iscellaneous in d u stries____________ 4. 5 3.4 3.6 5. 5 4.4 4.3 3.5 2.6 2.5 4.2 3.0 3.2 4.8 4.5 4.1 5.9 5.3 5.0 5.7 6.6 4.0 6.6 7.0 4.9 4. 5 5.1 2.9 4.8 5.8 3.8 5.4 7.6 4.6 7.0 9.0 5.9 7.7 5.2 4.2 7.3 9.1 7.6 5.9 9.2 3.4 3.2 3.1 6.1 3.7 5.0 4.5 8.2 8.3 7.9 3.9 6.5 5.2 7. 1 8.0 10.9 5.3 6.5 5.2 6.2 6.7 7.8 6.1 6.1 2.7 3.1 4.1 5.1 3.8 4.3 5.1 5. 5 4.4 4.4 5.6 3.2 6.4 8.6 7.7 5.9 6.6 4. 1 4.5 8.8 5.2 5.2 5.5 3.0 3.7 7.2 4.1 4.4 8.2 4.4 5.7 9.6 5.9 6.3 7.0 4.8 6.1 8.5 5.6 5.9 5.6 3. 5 4.5 7.2 4.7 5.4 7.7 4.2 5.8 9.4 6.6 6.8 2.7 3.1 5.2 3.7 4.2 2.4 1.4 3.6 3.2 3.9 4.4 6.2 4.6 5.3 3.0 1.7 4.8 4.8 2.4 2.6 3.8 2.6 3.3 1.6 .8 2.9 2.3 3.6 3.8 4.3 3.6 4.3 2.2 1.1 4.0 3.6 5.0 4.3 7.9 3.6 4.9 2.6 1.3 4.3 4.5 4.6 4. 5 8.7 6.6 6.2 4.0 1.8 5.9 5.0 5.3 6.2 4.7 6.5 8.9 12.3 5.7 6.1 6.2 7.6 3. 5 4.7 3.5 4.1 4.9 6.2 4.4 6.2 4.8 4.1 7.7 4.7 5.2 2.5 2.7 4.0 3. 4 5.6 6.4 5.9 5.2 8.7 14.3 5.4 6.2 7. 1 6.0 3.4 3.7 3.1 3.4 5.5 5.5 4.8 5.0 7.4 6.0 11.3 8.4 8.2 4.6 4.4 7.4 6.9 1 These figures are based on a slightly smaller sample th a n th a t for all employees, inasm uch as some firms do no t repo rt separate d a ta for women. R ates for October are based on 6,800 reports covering 4,242,0C0 employees. 2P relim inary figures. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Trends o f Earnings and Hours S u m m a ry o f E a rn in g s a n d H o u rs D a ta fo r N ovem ber 1946 W e e k l y e a r n i n g s in manufacturing industries averaged $46.83 in December 1946, only 64 cents below peak wartime earnings (January 1945), according to preliminary estimates. Hourly earnings, which have risen to $1.15 are primarily responsible for maintaining this high level of weekly earnings. The average workweek was 40.9 hours, the longest since January 1946, but 4% hours less than in January 1945. Preliminary averages for December are as follows: All manufacturing___ Durable goods__ Nondurable goods Weekly earnings Weekly hours $46. 86 49. 51 44. 14 40. 9 40. 8 41. 0 Hourly earnings (in cents) 114. 5 121. 2 107. 6 Final figures for November indicate that despite plant closings on Armistice Day, and time out in some plants on election day, average weekly earnings in manufacturing as a whole were slightly higher than in October. In the durable goods group, the drop of one-half hour in the workweek was offset by wage increases and premium pay for holiday work. Among the nondurable goods industries, outstanding increases in weekly earnings occurred in plants producing pianos, organs, and parts, and in the slaughtering and meat packing industry. November weekly earnings in the pianos, organs, and parts industry averaged $51.09, an increase of $2.78 over the month. Hourly earnings in this industry advanced almost 6}£ cents since September, reflecting in part additional overtime work as production schedules were stepped up to meet increased demand for the industry’s products. In slaughtering and meat packing plants, which reported one of the largest over-the-month increases in weekly earnings of all manu facturing industries, earnings rose to $51.15, a gain of $8.09. Hours also rose from 37.5 in October to 44.9 in November, marking, in addi tion to the normal seasonal upturn, the full effect of the removal of OPA controls. 338 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 339 TRENDS OF EARNINGS AND HOURS Brokerage, and bituminous and anthracite coal mining averaged the highest weekly earnings in November among the nonmanu facturing industries ($62.00, $61.49, and $56.57, respectively). These levels were lower than in October, due to the decline of com missions on brokerage sales, holiday shut-downs in coal mines on Armistice and election days, and the persistent shortages in some areas of railroad cars for transporting coal. The most significant increase in hourly earnings among nonmanu facturing industries was reported by the telegraph industry where earnings jumped from 91 cents an hour in September to $1.06 in November. While this rise reflects wage rate increases granted in October, further gains are pending. E a r n in g s a n d h o u rs in m a n u fa c tu r in g a n d n o n m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u s tr ie s M AN U FAC TUR IN G Average weekly earnings 1 Average weekly hours 1 Average hourly earnings * In d u stry group and ind u stry All m anufacturing........ D urable goods........ N ondurable goods. Oct. Sept. Nov. 1946 1946 1946 Oct. Sept. 1946 1946 Nov. 1946 Oct. Sept. N ov. 1946 1946 1946 $45.74 48. 53 42.86 $45. 39 48. 36 42.34 40.2 40.1 40. 2 49.90 49.90 49. 29 40.0 40.3 39.7 124.7 123.9 124.1 50.28 52. 58 51. 50 49.28 43.67 46. 22 49.89 45.83 38.7 41.8 40.4 39.9 43.0 39.0 40.6 43.5 38.7 42.8 40. 9 38.8 42.3 40.8 40.9 43.7 38.0 42.3 40.7 38.3 40.7 41.9 41.3 43.0 49.03 49.01 47.59 45. 59 46.24 45.11 47. 51 48.88 45.63 42.4 41.0 40.1 42.9 41.9 41.2 42.5 115.8 114.1 112.1 110.5 109.5 41.2 39.4 118.0 117.9 115.7 Durable goods Iron and steel and th eir p roducts--------- B last furnaces, steel works, and rolling m ills__________ _____ ___ r ------------------Gray-iron and semisteel castings-------------M alleable-iron c astin g s................................. Steel castings.................................................— Cast-iron pipe and fittin g s......... - ................ T in cans and other tin w a re ......................... W irew ork______________ __________ ___ C utlery and edge tools------------ -------Tools (except edge tools, machine tools, files, and saw s)......................... - ................. H ardw are 2----------------- -----------------------Plum bers’ supplies.............. .................... . Stoves, oil burners, and heating equip m ent not elsewhere classified-------------Steam and hot-w ater heating apparatus and steam fittings-----------------------------Stam ped and enameled ware and galva nizing........................ ........—..................---F abricated structural and ornam ental m etalw ork............. ....... ............ - - ..........- - M etal doors, sash, frames, molding, and trim --------- ------ -------------------------------Bolts, nuts, washers, and riv e ts .................. Forgings, iron and steel------------------------Screw-machinie products and wood screws. Steel barrels, kegs, and d ru m s..................... Firearm s_______________________ ______ 50. 72 52.80 51.74 51.91 45. 92 42.58 48. 85 47. 65 50. 39 53. 36 52.27 50.25 45.23 44.68 49. 09 47. 45 130.9 126.3 128. 2 129.6 106.7 109.1 119.8 109.7 1303 124.8 127.7 129.1 106. S 110.0 132.5 124.3 126.6 128.6 107.1 111.1 119.4 120.7 108.5 106.5 111.0 47.36 40.6 41.0 40.2 119.8 119.2 117.8 50.69 51.45 49.72 40.7 41.1 40.8 125.1 125.2 121.9 46. 58 47.15 45.49 39. 9 40. 9 39.6 116.4 115.5 115.0 48.06 49.74 48. 85 39.6 41.0 40.6 121.3 121.4 120.3 48.73 48. 51. 70 48. 87 55. 51 51.50 51. 54 53.17 51.68 46. 89 55.16 52.13 48.46 51.10 52.13 45.70 53. 52 50. 57 45.46 53.30 41.0 41.0 39.9 42.5 43.3 40.8 41.6 39.7 40.2 43.3 42.1 40.7 41.1 38. 39.5 42.3 39.8 42.3 126.8 125.0 126.9 118.9 117.6 116.7 139.8 138.0 136.3 121.2 120.4 119.6 119.1 115.0 114.3 130.4 125.6 125.9 48. 36 49. 42 43.12 50.71 48. 34 49. 21 42.66 51.46 48. 31 49.24 42. 63 50.60 40.6 40.3 39.9 42.1 40.7 40.4 39.8 42.7 40.8 40.5 40.0 42.2 119.2 118.7 122.2 121. 5 108.0 107.1 120.1 120.4 51.96 52.47 51.74 M achinery, except electrical-------------- ---M achinery and machine-shop p roducts— 51.38 51.91 51.05 Engines and tu rb in e s .................................... 55.90 55.43 55.26 Tractors ____________________ __ _ 52.53 52.28 51.21 51.00 51.09 50.09 01.00 A gricultural m achinery, excluding tractors. OU.O» M achine tools-------------------------------------- 55.631 55.61 54.45 40.9 41.1 40.6 40.3 39.8 42.5 41.5 41.6 41.1 40.2 40.4 42.6 41.1 41.2 40.5 39.3 40.4 41.9 127.1 124.9 137.2 130.4 126.8 131.7 Electrical m achinery------------------ -------Electrical equ ip m en t............ - .................. R adios and phonographs 2----------------Com m unication equipm ent-------- ------ See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 126. 124. 136. 130. 126. 130. 118.5 121.4 106.6 119.9 126.0 123.8 136.5 130.2 126.9 130.0 340 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 E a r n in g s a n d h o u rs in m a n u fa c tu r in g a n d n o n m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u s tr ie s — Continued MANUFACTURING—Continued Average weekly earnings 1 Average weekly hours 1 Average hourly earnings i In d u stry group and industry Nov. 1946 Durable goods—C ontinued M achinery, except electrical—C ontinued M achine-tool accessories ______________ Textile m achinery__ _ _ _ _ ______ Typew riters. . ____ _______________ Cash registers, adding and calculating m achines. _ . . . . . . _______ . . W ashing m achines, w ringers and driers, ___ ______ dom estic.. . . . _ Sewing machines, domestic and industrial. Refrigerators and refrigeration equipm ent. T ransportation equipm ent, except automobiles___________ ____________________ Locomotives____ ____________ ______ Cars, electric- and steam-railroad _ . . A ircraft and parts, excluding aircraft engines___________________ _______ _ A ircraft engines________________________ Shipbuilding and boatbuilding__________ M otorcycles, bicycles, and p a rts ________ A utom obiles. ________________________ Nonferrous m etals and their products____ . Sm elting and refining, prim ary, of nonferrous m etals____________ _______ _ Alloying and rolling and drawing of nonferrous m etals except alum inum _______ Clocks and w atch es... . . . . . . _____ _ _ Jew elry (precious metals) and jewelers’ fin d in g s ._____ ____________ _______ Silverware and p lated w are. . ______ Lighting eq u ip m en t. ___ . . . A lum inum m anufactures___ _ _______ L um ber and tim ber basic pro d u cts__ Sawmills and logging cam ps _______ Planing and plywood m ills_____________ F u rn itu re and finished lum ber products F u rn itu re _______ . . ______ _____ C askets and other m orticians’ goods. ___ Wood preserving . _ _____ _ Stone, clay, and glass products__________ Glass and glassware . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Glass products m ade from purchased glass. C em en t... Brick, tile, and terra c o tta _____ P o ttery and related products. G y p su m ____ ____ _ _____ L im e. . . . . . . M arble, granite, slate, and other products. Abrasives . . ________ Asbestos products . _____ Nondurable goods Textile-m ill products and other fiber m anufactu res.. . . _ __ ___ C otton m anufactures, except sm allw ares.. C otton sm allw ares. . . . _ Silk and rayon goods___ Woolen and worsted m anufactures, except dyeing and fin ish in g ... _ . . H osiery__________ _____ K n itted c lo th .. . . . . . K n itte d outerw ear and k n itte d gloves___ K n itted underw ear __. D yeing and finishing textiles, including woolen and w orsted___ C arpets and rugs, wool H ats, fur-felt_________ Ju te goods, except felts___ Cordage and tw in e_______ . See fo o tn o te s a t e n d of ta b le . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Oct. Sept. N ov. 1946 1946 1946 Oct. Sept. Nov. 1946 1946 1946 Oct. Sept. 1946 1946 $55.87 $56.47 $56.28 49.60 50. 26 49.43 48.98 47.89 47.19 41.2 41.8 42.1 41.7 42.9 41.9 Cents Cents Cents 41.5 136.4 136.2 136.0 42.6 118.6 117.3 116.1 41.7 116.5 114.3 113.2 58.42 57.34 57. 91 41.8 42.3 42.6 140.2 136.6 137.0 45.68 49.60 47.87 52.63 52. 63 51.15 47.67 49. 71 49. 54 39.8 40.8 38.3 42.7 41.2 40.2 41.7 115.2 116.1 114.7 40.4 129.1 128.2 127.4 40.1 124.3 123.7 123.5 52.35 54.24 52.65 58.05 60.63 57.92 52. 68 51.81 49.38 38.4 40.5 41.3 40.0 41.6 41.8 38.8 136.2 135.7 135.6 39.6 143. 2 145.6 146.2 39.9 127.7 124.1 123.8 52. 53 50.81 51.42 52.39 53.73 56.93 50.91 50.95 39.6 37.0 35.7 41.2 40.5 42.1 37.7 42.6 40.6 41.9 35.7 41.2 52.99 52.63 53.37 49.35 48.97 48.55 38.0 41.1 38.2 41.0 38.5 139.5 137.7 138.5 40.7 120.2 119.4 119.2 48.09 47.81 48.65 40.0 40.1 40.3 120.9 119.7 120.8 52. 56 51.94 51.39 45. 73 44.81 43.68 41.0 41.6 40.7 41.6 40.7 128.3 127.5 126.4 41.0 109.9 107.8 106.4 48.49 55.47 46.77 48.21 37.68 36. 26 41.79 41.78 42.31 42. 82 39.35 44. 94 46. 75 41.26 46.18 42.08 41.57 49.68 45.69 42. 76 48. 54 50.18 49.95 56. 42 45.85 46.90 39.16 37.87 43.19 41.88 42.59 42. 62 38. 68 44. 48 45.71 40.29 46. 02 42. 25 41.89 50. 75 45.12 44.18 45.11 49.81 48.93 55.48 46.10 47.32 38.73 37. 69 42.04 40. 86 41.62 42. 74 38. 01 44.03 45.29 38.88 47. 03 41.28 41.33 50.46 45.66 42. 64 45.35 49.19 42.6 44.9 39.7 40.3 40.5 40.1 41.9 41.7 41.4 41.9 42. 4 40.3 39.0 41.1 42.2 40.3 37.9 45.4 46.2 41.7 39.9 41.9 43.7 46.1 38.9 39.7 41.9 41. 5 43.1 42.2 41.8 42.5 42.1 40.6 39.4 40.9 42.4 40.9 38.4 47.0 46.6 42.9 38.1 42.0 43.5 45.9 39.1 39.5 41.4 41.2 42.2 41.8 41.6 42.8 41.5 40.5 39.5 40.5 42.9 40.3 38.2 46.6 46.9 41.6 38.0 42.9 115.2 123.2 118.1 119.4 93.0 90.5 100.2 100.1 102.8 102.4 93.2 111.6 120.0 97.6 109.5 103.5 110.0 108.8 98.8 103.2 121.1 119.8 114.9 122.2 117.9 118.1 93.5 91.3 100.1 99.3 101.9 100.2 91.9 109.6 116.1 96.4 108.5 102.7 109.6 107.9 96.6 102.6 118.5 118.9 112.4 121.0 '117.8 119.7 93. 5 91. 5 99.5 97.7 100. 2 100. 2 91.7 108.7 114.7 93.8 109.7 102. 0 108.6 108.4 97. 4 102. 2 119. 4 114.5 38.38 36.14 38.09 38.69 38.09 35. 57 39. 00 38. 67 37. 54 35.35 38. 33 37. 20 40.2 40.3 39.7 41.1 40.2 39.9 40.6 41.6 40.0 39.8 40.5 40.4 95.5 89.8 96.1 94.1 94.8 89.2 96.1 93.1 94.0 88.8 94.7 92.2 41.67 38.22 39. 61 37.14 33.16 42. 40 37. 65 39. 94 36. 69 33.05 42. 44 36. 65 39. 85 35. 84 32. 70 40.1 38.4 40.8 39.5 38.7 40.9 38.3 41.7 39.4 38.4 41.1 103.8 103.7 103. 4 37.7 99.5 98.2 97.4 41.9 96.7 95.7 95.1 38.6 93.0 92.2 91. 8 38.1 85.5 85.5 85.2 43.54 46. 83 53.77 39. 68 37. 94 42.69 46.01 52.92 39. 52 37. 63 40. 72 43. 72 53.25 39.47 37. 86 42.2 41.2 40.2 43.8 40.3 42.3 41.1 40.6 43.7 40.9 41.4 103.3 100.8 98.3 41.3 113.9 112.2 106.1 40.9 130.9 130.2 130.0 44.0 92.0 91.8 91.2 41.4 94.3 92.2 91.4 53.50 57.46 54.01 53.24 132.0 137.3 144.1 127.0 131.9 136.4 143.2 125.0 132.3 135.7 142.6 123.8 341 TRENDS OF EA R N IN G S A N D HOURS Continued E a r n in g s a n d h o u rs in m a n u fa c tu r in g a n d n o n m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u s tr ie s MANUFACTURING—Continued Average weekly earnings 1 Average weekly hours 1 Average hourly earnings 1 In d u stry group and industry Oct. Sept. Nov. 1946 1946 1946 Nov. 1946 Oct. Sept. Nov. 1946 1946 1946 Nondurable goods—C ontinued A pparel and other finished textile p r o d u c ts .., $36. 55 M en’s clothing, no t elsewhere classified... 41. 39 Shirts, collars, and n ig h tw ear----------------- 31.83 U nderw ear and neckwear, m en’s------------ 34. 59 W ork sh irts___________________________ 25. 97 W om en’s clothing, no t elsewhere classified. 43. 21 Corsets and allied garm ents 2------------------ 35. 36 M illinery_____________________________ 36.09 30.88 H anderchiefs------------------------------------- ---------C urtains, draperies, and bedspreads-------- 29.88 H ousefurnishings other th a n curtains, etc. 36.69 Textile bags_________________ __________ 33.96 Oct. Sept. 1946 1946 ¡>36. 68 $37. 25 38.89 39.14 30. 32 29. 62 33.46 33.13 24.28 23. 55 46.25 47.82 35.02 33.72 43.15 45. 40 29. 44 28. 36 29. 73 28.31 33.06 36.36 33.68 33.03 36.6 37.8 37.6 38.9 36.4 34.8 38.5 28.8 36.9 35.9 40.0 40.2 36.8 37.7 37.5 37.7 35.1 35.5 38.7 32.3 36.0 36.5 36.4 40.0 Cents Cents Cents 36.9 99.9 99.7 101.0 37.7 108.6 102.4 102.7 37.0 84.5 80.6 79.9 37.9 89.2 88.5 87.5 34. 5 71.6 69.4 68.2 35.8 120.9 126.6 130.0 38.2 91.9 90.7 88.5 33.2 104. 5 110.9 112.2 35.0 83.9 81.9 81.2 35.8 82.3 81.6 79.9 38.9 91.3 90.3 93.6 39.7 84.4 84.1 83.1 L eather and leather products----------------L eather___________________________ Boot and shoe cu t stock and findings. Boots and shoes-------------------------— L eather gloves and m itte n s-------------• T runks and suitcases---------------------- 37.19 45. 98 35. 80 35.85 32. 73 40. 56 37. 07 44. 78 36. 24 35. 65 33.71 40. 85 37. 49 44.60 36. 48 36.18 33.68 39. 56 37.1 40.2 37.4 36.2 35.8 39.9 37.5 39.7 38.7 36.8 37.0 40.0 38.2 100.4 98.7 98.2 39.5 114.4 112.9 112.9 39.0 96.1 93.6 93.8 37.9 97.8 96.0 95.5 37.0 92.8 91.9 91.9 39.3 101.6 102.0 100.2 F ood_____________________________ Slaughtering and m eat p a ck in g .. B u tte r________________________ Condensed and evaporated m ilkice cream -------------------------------F lo u r_________________________ Cereal preparations------- ---------B aking _______________________ Sugar refining, cane-----------------Sugar b e et----------- — -------------Confectionery_________________ Beverages, nonalcoholic-----------M alt liquors---------------------------C anning and preserving------------ 44.83 51.15 39.91 43.16 46.86 51.18 47.12 46.01 39.92 49. 78 36. 79 39. 75 56. 84 35. 31 43.85 43.06 41.40 43. 41 47. 54 52.01 48.28 45. 45 38. 38 40.86 35. 04 39.30 56. 57 40.82 43.59 41.11 41.38 43.95 46.48 52.21 47.15 44.60 38. 35 48.87 36.14 39.87 57. 45 41. 50 42.8 44.9 44.3 46.3 46.0 47.8 40.7 44.0 39.4 48.6 39.8 42.4 42. 5 37.2 42.4 37.5 46.2 46.7 47.6 48.5 42.0 43.6 37.7 40.5 39.5 42.4 42.5 41.7 43.0 35.9 46.7 47.6 46.8 49.1 42.4 44.5 37.9 42.8 40.0 43.9 42.7 43.5 104.7 113.7 89.9 93.3 97.6 107.3 115.7 104.5 101.2 102.1 90.5 92.5 133.0 95.3 103.5 114.7 89.4 92.9 96.8 107.4 114.9 104.2 101.7 100.9 87.4 91.8 133. 0 98.3 101. 3 114.4 88.2 92.4 95.6 106.4 111.2 100.3 101.2 114.1 87.3 90.4 134.4 96.0 Tobacco m anufactures____________________ C igarettes____________________________ C igars_______________________________ Tobacco (chewing and smoking) and snuff 36. 66 41.74 33.27 33.58 36.47 41.08 33.48 32.66 35. 25 39. 25 32. 69 31.87 39.7 41.1 38.6 39.2 40.3 41.6 39.6 38.7 39.5 92.4 40.3 101.5 39.0 85.7 38.0 85.7 90.5 98.8 84.4 84.4 89.3 97.4 83.4 83.9 P aper and allied products. P aper and p u lp _____ Envelopes__________ P aper bags--------------P aper boxes-------------- 46.06 49.48 44.25 38.32 42.55 45. 58 49.05 42.15 38.52 42.02 44.57 47. 55 41.60 37.89 41.53 43.3 44.5 42.6 40.1 42.3 43.4 44.5 42.6 40.8 42.5 43.0 43.8 42.6 40.9 42.2 106.4 105.0 103.7 111.1 110.2 108.5 102.8 98.1 97.6 95.7 94.6 93.1 100.7 99.0 98. 5 P rinting, publishing, and allied industries. N ewspapers and periodicals----------. . . P rinting , book and jo b -------------------Lithographing-------------------------------- 55.04 60.81 52.61 _ 55.76 54.30 60.28 51.50 55.08 53.96 60.04 51.50 53.99 41.0 39.2 42.0 42.9 41.0 39. £ 41.7 43.4 41.0 39.4 42. C 42.9 134.2 152.5 125.9 129.9 132.5 151.1 123.8 127.0 131.5 149.5 123.2 125.8 Chemicals and allied p ro d u cts-----------Paints, varnishes, and colors--------D rugs, medicines, and insecticides.. Soap____________________________ R ayon and allied products---- -----Chemicals, n o t elsewhere classified. Explosives and safety fuses---------A m m unition, sm all-arm s------------Cottonseed oil___________________ Fertilizers---------------------------------- 45.88 45.49 45.41 _ 48.16 47.07 46. 52 . 41.06 39.91 39.05 . 48.20 47.85 47.30 43.31 42.98 43. 55 52.96 52.87 52.61 49.49 50. 26 50. 98 . 46.98 45.80 44.05 . 35.14 33.30 31.93 . 33.02 33.87 35.62 41.2 41.8 40.2 40.9 39J 41. ] 40.0 40.9 52J 40.1 41.3 41.6 40.2 41. ( 39.2 41.' 40.7 40. ' 51.3 41. C 40.9 41.4 39.5 40.5 39.3 41. 1 41. £ 39.1 49.9 42.3 111.3 115.4 101.9 117.8 110.7 128.8 124.3 114.8 67.2 82.3 110.3 113.4 99.0 116. f 109.7 127.8 123.4 113.3 64.9 82.7 111.0 112.4 98.7 116.7 110.7 128.1 123.3 112.7 64.0 84.2 Products of petroleum and coal. Petroleum refining-----------Coke and b y products-------Roofing m aterials............... 54.47 . 57.11 46. 2Í _ 51.0' 54.36 57.32 46.06 49.46 55. 2E 58.3E 47.0' 48.82 40.3 40.4 40. C 40. 39. £ 39. 44. £ 44. 40.4 40.2 39.' 43. ( 135. C 142. 117.4 114. 134.7 142.8 117.4 112. 136.8 145.3 119.1 112.0 R ubber pro d u cts_________________ R ubber tires and inner tu b e s. _. R ubber boots and shoes----------R ubber goods, oth er---------------- 52.9£ 58.8" 43.8( . 46.8( 51. 72 57.36 38.91 47.06 53.66 59.86 45.2" 47.0 40.1 39. 40. 41.51 40. 39. € 41., 41. 132.2 150. £ 108.£ 113. 131.; 149.2 104.£ 113. 132.3 150.7 109.1 112.5 See footnotes at end of table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 39. 38. 37., • 41. 342 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 E a r n in g s a n d h o u rs i n m a n u fa c tu r in g a n d n o n m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u s tr ie s — Continued MANUFACTURING—Continued Average weekly earnings 1 Average weekly hours 1 A verage hourly earnings * In d u stry group and in d u stry N ov. 1946 Oct. Sept. N ov. 1946 1946 1946 Oct. Sept. N ov, 1946 1946 1946 Oct. Sept. 1946 1946 Nondurable goods—C ontinúen M iscellaneous industries___________________ $44.97 $45.03 $44. 25 In stru m en ts (professional and scientific), and fire control equ ip m en t____________ 51.08 51.23 50.43 Pianos, organs, and p a r ts ... ....................... 51.09 48.31 47.73 41.0 41.4 Cents Cents Cents 41.1 109.7 108.8 107.6 40.1 43.0 40.4 42.0 40.3 124.9 124.6 124.3 42.2 119.8 115.1 113.4 35.7 41.9 40.2 39.2 41.9 39.4 45.2 41.7 39.2 42.9 41.0 40.3 42.3 40.2 46.1 41.2 37.7 41.8 40.6 39.8 41.9 40.3 46.1 39.9 Cents 158.2 147.3 122.0 120.8 121.7 123.5 105.2 133.6 Cents 159.3 145.9 121.0 119.3 122.0 122.4 104.7 130.8 NONM ANUFACTURING M ining: A nthracite_____ ______________________ B itum inous coal_______________________ M etal____ ____________________________ Iro n ____ ____ ____ _________________ C opper____ ____ __________ _ _ ____ . Lead and zinc______ _ - ________ Q uarrying and nonm etallic_____________ C rude petroleum production____________ Public utilities: T elephone______ ______ _______________ Telegraph 3____________________________ Electric light and pow er_________ ______ Street railw ays and busses______________ Trade: W holesale_____ ____ ___________________ R etail-----------------------------------------------F ood___________________________ __ General m erchandise....................... ....... A p p arel_______ ___________________ F u rn itu re a n d housefurnishings_____ A utom otive_____ _____ ___ ______ L um ber and building m aterials______ Hotels (year-round)4. . _______ . . ______ Power laundries_________________ ________ Cleaning and dyeing_______________________ Brokerage___ ______ ______________________ Insurance......... .......................... ......................... $56. 57 $61. 82 $60. 67 61.49 62.54 61.65 49.01 49.63 49.53 47. 35 48.06 48.45 51.01 51.66 51.09 48. 48 49.23 49.47 47. 52 48.28 47. 97 55. 78 53. 72 53.19 Cents 161.1 148.1 122.0 121.9 122.1 122.7 104.2 133.4 44.40 46. 25 53.61 55.06 44.30 47.37 53.18 55.62 44.10 40.98 52. 78 54. 50 39.3 43.5 41.6 47.3 39.1 44.4 41.9 47.6 38.5 44.8 41.0 47.5 113.1 106.3 130. 2 113.8 113.7 114.8 106.7 91.4 128.4 129.1 113.2 111.0 49. 80 33.04 40.42 27.63 34. 74 47.26 49. 06 43.32 27. 77 31.05 35. 32 62.00 51.24 49.44 33.19 40.16 27.65 34.98 45.84 48.82 43. 70 27.17 30. 52 35.81 62. 24 51.20 49. 54 33. 76 40.08 28. 57 35.26 46. 59 49.15 43.60 26.98 30.45 35.81 63. 50 50.63 41.6 39.6 40.3 35.1 36.3 43.6 46.1 42.3 44.5 42.6 41.9 Q) (8) 41.9 40.0 41.0 35.5 36.5 43.3 46.1 43.1 44.1 43.0 42.2 (») « 41.8 40.8 41.0 36.7 37.2 43.9 46. 5 43.1 43.5 42.9 42.9 (8) « 118.6 91.8 97.0 76.4 96.7 110.1 108.6 104.1 62.9 72.9 85.4 (8) (5) 117.2 90.8 94.4 76.0 96.0 107.4 107.9 103.3 61.9 70.8 85.4 (8) (5) 117.9 90.8 94.0 75.6 95.4 108.0 107. 7 102.4 62.0 70.8 83.9 (8) (8) 1 These figures are based on reports from cooperating establishm ents covering both full- and p art-tim employees who w orked or received pay during any p art of 1 pay period ending nearest the 15th of N ovem ber 1946. T h e figures shown below relate to firms reporting m an-hour d ata in all cases except brokerage a nd insurance, weekly earnings are based on a slightly larger sample (see footnote 1 in tables 1 and 4). Manufacturing.—32,100 establishm ents, 7,119,000 production workers. M ining.—2,600 establishm ents, 302,000 production workers. Public utilities.—6,400 establishm ents, 649,000 employees. Wholesale trade.—8,900 establishm ents, 245,000 employees. Retail trade.—27,700 establishm ents, 769,000 employees. Hotels (year-round).—900 establishm ents, 83,000 employees. Power laundries and cleaning and dyeing.—1.300 establishm ents, 61,000 production workers. Brokerage and insurance.—3,800 establishm ents, 164,000 employees. For m anufacturing, mining, power laundries, and cleaning and dyeing industries, the d ata relate to production workers only. For the remaining industries the d ata relate to all employees except high paid executives a n d officials. D ata for th e current and im m ediately preceding m onths are subject to revision. 2 Revisions have been m ade as follows in the d ata for earlier m onths: Hardware.—Ju n e and Ju ly 1946 to $42.79 and $43.75; June to 40.8 hours. Radios and phonographs.—A ugust 1946 to $41.54 and 39.8 hours. Corsets and allied garments.—Juno and Ju ly 1946 to $33.67 and $32.68; 87.4 and 86.7 cents. N ew series beginning A ugust 1946; not comparable w ith previously published data. N ew A ugust data are $32.99 and 85.8 cents. Comparable Ju ly d ata are $32.21 and 85.2 cents. 3 Excludes messengers, and approxim ately 6,000 employees of general and divisional headquarters, and of cable companies. October d ata are revised to reflect wage-rate increases. 4 Cash paym ents only; additional value of board, room, and tips, not included. 8 N ot available. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TRENDS OF EARNINGS AND HOURS 343 T r e n d o f F a c to ry E a rn in g s , 1 9 3 9 to N o v e m b e r 1 9 4 6 THE published average earnings of factory workers are summarized in the accompanying table for selected months from January 1939 to November 1946.1 The earnings shown in this table are on a gross basis (i. e., before deductions for social security, income taxes, bond purchases, etc.). Weekly earnings in all manufacturing averaged $45.74 in November ^946 —97.2 percent above the average in January 1939, 71.7 percent above January 1941, and 17.6 percent above October 1942. Weekly earnings for November 1946 increased 12.2 percent above November 1945, however, the average weekly earnings are still below the war time peak of $47.50 in January 1945, as the result of shorter working hours and shifts of workers from the high paid war industries to the lower paid consumer goods industries. Gross hourly earnings in all manufacturing averaged 113.9 cents in November 1946—80.2 percent above the average in January 1939, 66.8 percent above January 1941, and 27.5 percent above October 1942. Straight-time average hourly earnings, as shown in columns 7 to 9, are weighted by man-hours of employment in the major divisions of manufacturing for January 1941. These earnings are estimated to exclude premium pay at time and a half for work in excess of 40 hours. However, the effect of extra pay for work on supplementary shifts and on holidays is included. For all manufacturing, the straight-time average in November 1946 was 110.6 cents per hour; this was 72.5 percent above January 1939, 66.6 percent above January 1941, and 37.1 percent above October 1942. i C om pare Trends in Factory Wages, 1939-43, in M o n th ly Labor Review, N ovem ber 1943 (p. 869), espe cially table 4 (p. 879). F o r detailed d ata regarding weekly earnings, see preceding table. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 344 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 E a r n in g s o f f a c to r y w o rk e rs in se lected m o n th s, 1 9 3 9 to N o v e m b e r 1 9 4 6 Average weekly earnings M o n th and year E stim ated straight-tim e average hourly earn ings 1 weighted by Jan u ary 1941 em ploy m ent Average hourly earnings All m an u factur ing D u rable goods N on du rable goods All m an u factur ing D u rable goods N on du rable goods All m anu factur ing D u rable goods N on du rable goods (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) $25. 33 27.39 30.48 $21. 57 22.01 22.75 $0. 632 .655 .683 $0.696 .717 .749 $0. 583 .598 .610 $0. 641 .652 .664 $0. 702 .708 .722 $0. 575 .589 .601 1939: Jan u a ry ___ ________ $23.19 1940: Jan u a ry _____________ 24. 56 1941: Jan u a ry ______ ______ 26.64 1942: J a n u a ry .. _ _____ _ J u ly ________________ O ctober. _ ________ 33.40 36. 43 38.89 38.98 42.51 45.31 26.97 28.94 30. 66 .801 .856 .893 .890 .949 .990 .688 .725 .751 .751 .783 .807 .826 . 863 .888 .668 .696 .718 1943: Jan u a ry ________ ____ A p ril... ____________ Ju ly ________________ O ctober___ ______ D ecem ber_______ . . . 40.62 42.48 42.76 44. 86 44.58 46.68 48. 67 48. 76 51.26 50. 50 32.10 33. 58 34.01 35.18 35.61 .919 .944 .963 .988 .995 1.017 1.040 1.060 1.086 1.093 .768 .790 .806 .824 .832 .819 .833 .850 .863 .873 .905 .916 .939 .950 .962 .726 .742 .753 .768 .775 1944: Jan u a ry _____________ A pril__ _________ Ju ly ________________ October __ D ecem ber___________ 45.29 45. 55 45.43 46. 94 47.44 51.21 51.67 51.07 53.18 53.68 36.03 36.16 37.05 37. 97 38.39 1.002 1.013 1.018 1.031 1.040 1.099 1.110 1.116 1.129 1.140 .838 .850 .862 .878 .883 .877 . 8S9 .901 .908 .912 .965 .976 .993 .991 .997 .780 .794 .802 .817 .820 1945: Jan u a ry ___. . . . ____ A pril______ _______ Ju ly ________________ O ctober_____ . . . . . . D ecem ber_______ . . . 47. 50 47.12 45.45 40.97 41.21 53. 54 52. 90 50.66 44.23 44.08 38.66 38.80 38.59 37. 76 38. 52 1.046 1.044 1.033 .985 .994 1.144 1.138 1.127 1.063 1.066 .891 .899 .902 .909 .927 .920 .925 .933 . 9i2 .957 1.005 1.007 1.017 1.014 1.028 .827 .836 .842 .863 .880 1946: Jan u a ry _____________ A pril_______________ Ju ly ________________ S ep tem b er.. _______ October 2____________ N o v e m b er2. . . _ 41.15 42. 88 43.38 45. 39 45. 68 45.74 43. 67 45. 71 46.24 48. 39 48.81 48.53 38. 75 40.13 40.46 42.34 42.44 42. 86 1.004 1.058 1.093 1.126 1.130 1.139 1.070 1.131 1. 177 1.201 1.202 1.210 .941 .988 1.009 1.050 1.055 1.065 .970 1.027 1.067 1.094 1.095 1.106 1.037 1.102 1.155 1.172 1.169 1.181 .895 .946 .970 1.008 1.013 1.023 1 T he m ethod of estim ating straight-tim e average hourly earnings makes no allowance for special rates of pay for w ork done on m ajor holidays. Estim ates for the m onths of January, July, September, and No em ber, therefore, m ay no t be precisely comparable w ith those for the other m onths in which im portant holi days are seldom included in the pay periods for which m anufacturing establishm ents report to the B ureau. This characteristic of the d ata does not appear to invalidate the com parability of the figures for Jan u ary 1941 w ith those for the preceding and following m onths. Prelim inary. 2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Labor Chronology C h ro n o lo g y o f L a b o r E v e n ts, O c to b e r-D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 6 i n ,r. ly^o OCTOBER Oct. 1. The second maritime strike within a month started when the contracts expired between ship operators and the National Marine En gineers Beneficial Association (CIO), the International Long shoremen’s and Warehousemen’s Union (CIO), and the Masters, Mates and Pilots of America (AFL) (see Chron. items for Aug. 24 and Sept. 30, 1946, MLR, Nov. 1946). (Source: CIO News, Oct. 21, 1946, p. 8.) On October 22, the MEBA and the Atlantic and Gulf Coast ship owners signed an agreement which granted preferential hiring, maintenance of membership, a requirement that all engineers must be union members, and a 15-percent general wage increase. (Source: CIO News, Oct. 28, 1946, p. 10.) On October 28, the MMP (AFL) announced the ratification of an agreement with Atlantic and Gulf Coast operators, whereby wages were increased 15 percent, provision was made for prefer ential hiring, and the union was recognized as the sole representa tive of licensed deck officers. Maintenance of membership was applied to mates, but masters were excluded from the require ment th at they be members of the union. On November 19, the International Longshoremen’s and Ware housemen’s Union (CIO) ratified an agreement with the M est Coast operators, whereby w'ages were increased 11 percent for longshoremen and 15 percent for engine room officers. On November 20, the members of the MMP (AFL) picketed West Coast ships to “protect the interests” of the deck officers until the membership voted on the latest offer made by the Pacific Ameri can Shipowners Association. On November 23, the members of the MMP (AFL) voted to re turn to work, thus removing the last barrier to settlement of the 54-day West Coast maritime strike. The agreement provided for a 15-percent wage increase and a union-security clause stipulating seniority rights, nondiscrimination, and consideration of union members in the hiring of deck officers for offshore vessels. (Source: Daily press; for discussion, see MLR, Nov. 1946, p. 777, and Dec. 1946, p. 968.) Oct. 7. The AFL opened its sixty-fifth convention. Action included a demand for termination of the National Wage Stabilization Board; a re quest for a special session of Congress to enact the WagnerEllender-Taft housing bill; and reaffirmation of support to the 5-day, 30-hour week. (Source: American Federationist, Nov. 1946, p. 3.) 345 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 346 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1947 1946 Oct. 8. The NWSB, in connection with the case of Parke, Davis and Co. and United Gas, Coke and Chemical Workers of America, Local 176 (CIO), and United Automobile Workers, Local 114 (CIO), an nounced the broadening of its policy in specific cases involving correction of gross inequities between wage rates in plants in the same or related industries. I t was decided to consider "the general picture of related wage movements which had occurred before June 30, 1946,” even though the increases used for com parative purposes had not received approval in whole or in part for price-relief purposes. Previously, the Board limited its com parisons of gross inequities in specific cases to wage increases in other segments of the industry or related industries which it had already approved. The change in interpretation was made necessary by three developments that took place after February 14 (see Chron. item for Feb. 14, 1946, MLR, May 1946). These were (1) "Progressive decontrol” of industries, which auto matically obviates approval of wage increases; (2) granting by controlled industries of wage increases which were absorbed in whole or in part by the employer; and (3) a recent amendment to the Office of Economic Stabilization regulations, recognizing the principle that, in Government cost cases, consideration should be given to increases already in effect in other segments of the in dustry (see Chron. item for Aug. 24, 1946, MLR, Nov. 1946) (Source: NWSB-101.) Oct. 14. The President stated: "There is only one remedy left—that is to lift controls on meat.” A meat shortage had occurred after the Price Decontrol Board (see Chron. item for July 25, 1946, MLR, Nov. 1946) restored price controls on August 20, as a result of a hearing which indicated a necessity for price ceilings, following a 2-month period in which meat was free from control. Decontrol of meat, the President added, would necessitate acceleration of the program for lifting controls on other com modities. (Source: White House release of Oct. 14, 1946.) On October 15, the Administrator of the Office of Price Admin istration announced the decontrol of prices of livestock, meat, and food and feed products thereof. (Source: OPA-6884.) On October 23, the OP A Administrator announced that the prices of most foods would be decontrolled the following day. At the same time price controls were lifted from all sales of food and beverages by restaurants and other sellers. Sugar and sugar solutions (including syrup and molasses), corn sugar and corn syrup, rough and finished rice, and all oils, edible and inedible, remained under control. (Source: OPA-6905 and 6905a.) On October 29, the OP A Administrator announced that an extensive list of consumer durable goods would be decontrolled at midnight. Included were radios, lamps, small electrical appli ances, kitchenware, and glassware. (Source: OPA-6917.) On October 30, the OPA Administrator added shoes, hides, skins, and leather to the list of commodities freed from price control. (Source: OPA release of Oct. 30, 1946.) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis LABOR CHRONOLOGY 347 Oct. 14 (con.) On October 31, approximately 10 percent, by dollar volume, of total clothing was released from price control. Most widely used types of apparel affected were men’s and women’s hats, neckties, bathing suits and trunks, some fabric gloves, handbags, and men’s and boys’ scarfs and mufflers. (Source-. OPA—6922.) The OPA Administrator announced th at 1,642 local price-control boards would be closed on November 4, 1946. (Source: OPA6924.) On November 9, the President announced the decontrol of prices with the exception of the controls on rents, sugar, and rice. The decontrol was to become effective on the following day (see MLR, Dec. 1946, p. 977, for discussion). (Source: White House release of Nov. 9, 1946.) On November 14, the Price Decontrol Board (see Chron. item for July 25, 1946, MLR, Nov. 1946) advised the President of plans to maintain only a skeleton force, in view of the President’s action of November 9 in decontrolling practically all commodities. (Source: White House release of Nov. 14, 1946.) Oct. 15. The brakemen and ticket collectors, represented by the Railroad Workers Industrial Union (division of District 50, United Mine Workers of America), reached an agreement with the Long Island Rail road whereby a compromise was reached in settlement of a dispute which threatened to end in a strike (see Chron. item for Aug. 22, 1946, MLR, Nov. 1946). The agreement provided for an increase of 18)4 cents an hour in pay, which had been established as a pattern for railroad wage-rate increases (see Chron. item for May 25,1946, MLR, Aug. 1946), and for a number of changes in working rules governing purely local conditions. (Source: Labor, Oct. 19, 1946, p. 3.) Oct. 15. The Preparatory Committee of the International Conference on Trade and Employment held its first meeting in London. In general, a “Suggested Charter for an International Trade Organization of the United Nations,” which the United States Government published in September 1946, formed the basis for discussion. The draft covered employment, commercial policy, cartels, commodity arrangements, and organizational matters, a chapter on economic development was added at the London meeting. About 85 percent of the provisions which it was anticipated might be included in a charter were agreed upon. However, this does not constitute a final commitment. The remaining provisions were not agreed upon owing to time limitations, and were referred to an interim drafting committee (to meet in New York in January 1947) and to the second meeting of the Preparatory Com mittee scheduled to convene in Geneva in April 1947. When established, the International Trade Organization will be an intergovernmental specialized agency having a relation to the Economic and Social Council of the United Nations similar to th at of the International Labor Organization (see Chron. item for Nov. 14, this issue). (Source: BLS records.) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 348 MONTHLY LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 194 7 1946 Oct. 21. The president of the UMWA (AFL) asked for a conference with the Secretary of the Interior, to be held on November 1, 1946. He stated th at the Government had not lived up to its part of the contract with the UMWA (see Chron. item for May 29, 1946, MLR, Aug. 1946), in th at (1) pro rata vacation provisions were not applied retroactively, and (2) the 5-cent royalty payment was improperly based on salable coal and not upon gross mined tonnage. The request was made that negotiations should be reopened on wage and other issues, in accordance with the provision for 10 days’ notice of a new negotiating conference. (Source: American Federation of Labor Weekly News Letter of Oct. 22, 1946, and NAM Law Dept. Weekly Digest of Labor Rulings and Decisions of Oct. 26, 1946.) He also held that the old contract with the operators, which expired March 31, 1946 (see Chron. item for Mar. 31, 1946, MLR, May 1946) remained effective with respect to termination of the agreement with the Government; i. e., th at after 15 days of negotiation, either party might terminate it by giving 5 days’ notice. (Source: United Mine Workers Journal of Nov. 1, 1946, and daily press.) On November 15, President Truman issued a statement urging the president of the UMWA to reconsider their rejection of the proposal of November 14 by the Secretary of the Interior for negotiation during a 60-day truce. The UMWA again rejected the proposal and gave notice of termination of contract effective 5 days later. (White House release of Nov. 15, 1946, and U. S. Dept, of the Interior release 9462.) On November 16, the Coal Alines Administrator issued an order. It stated th at the Government had lived up to the contract with the UMWA and would continue to do so. The formal opinion of the Attorney General was quoted in which he ruled that said contract cannot be terminated or modified except by mutual consent under section 5 of the War Labor Disputes Act. The order also stated: “The Coal Mines Administrator has not con sented to termination or modification nor has a petition been presented under section 5 of the War Labor Disputes Act.” (Source: Federal Register, Vol. 11, p. 13,630.) On November 18, the Judge of the District Court of the United States for the District of Columbia issued an order restraining the defendants (the UA1WA and its president) from issuing or •publicizing any notice “that or to the effect that the Krug-Lewis agreement has been, is, or will at some future date be termi nated * * The restraining order was to expire on Novem ber 27, 1946, unless extended, and hearings were to be held on that date (for discussion, see p. 271, this issue). On November 21, the miners remained away from their wmrk. The Judge ordered the UMWA, an unincorporated association, and John L. Lewis, individually and as president of the UMWA, to appear before that court on November 25, 1946, to show cause why they should not be punished for contempt of court. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis LABOR CHRONOLOGY Oct. 21 (con.) 349 On November 25, the Judge ordered the president of the UMWA and the UMWA to stand trial for contempt of court on Novem ber 27. On November 27, hearings began. The Judge extended for 10 days the order restraining the president of the UMWA. On December 3, the Judge found the president of the UMWA and the UMWA guilty of civil and criminal contempt of court. On December 4, the Judge levied a fine of $3,500,000 on the UMWA ($250,000 a day for the 14 days of the work stoppage) and of $10,000 on the UMWA president, and also signed a temporary injunction whereby the same restraints contained in the temporary restraining order were continued indefinitely. On December 6, the Federal Government asked the Supreme Court for immediate review of the contempt case. On December 7, the president of the UMWA directed all miners to resume work until midnight of March 31, 1947, under the wages, working hours, and conditions of employment in existence on and before November 20, 1946. He stated that the injunction had reached the Supreme Court and th at the fitting respect due the dignity of this high tribunal imperatively required th at during its period of deliberation, the Court should be free from public pressure. He added that the country needed coal during this period. (Source: United Mine Workers Journal of Dec. 15, 1946, and daily press. For summary, see MLR, Dec. 1946, p. 967.) Oct. 28. The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Division of Statistical Standards of the Bureau of the Budget convened a conference on productivity in Washington, D. C. The conference was devoted to discussion of productivity concepts and measure ments, the current state of knowledge regarding productivity, the adequacy of present research programs, the needs for addi tional productivity measures, the presentation of productivity measurements, and related questions. Participants emphasized th at many different factors affect output per man-hour and th at many different types of productivity measures are needed for different purposes. The participants agreed that the work of the conference should be continued in some form and referred details to the executive committee which planned the conference. (Source: BBS records.) Oct. 28. The 58-day New York City trucking strike ended when the International Brotherhood of Teamsters (AFL) and several employers who held out against the pattern settlement on September 17, 1946 (see Chron. item for Sept. 17, 1946, MLR, Nov. 1946), signed agreements whereby drivers were granted a wage increase of 31 cents an hour and a 40-hour week. (Source: AFL Weekly News Letter of Oct. 29, 1946, and daily press.) 728607— 47----- 13 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 350 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 19^6 Oct. 28 (con.) On November 3, the 51-day strike of United Parcel Service truck drivers in New York City, which affected deliveries of 375 depart ment stores, was ended. The plan for settlement presented by the New York City Division of Labor Relations (see Chron. item for Sept. 22, 1946, MLR, Nov. 1946) was accepted, whereby the workweek was reduced to 40 hours from 45 and weekly pay was increased by $5.50. Local 804 of the International Brother hood of Teamsters (AFL), having 2,500 members, was the largest of the 4 unions involved in the dispute. (Source: AFL Weekly News Service of Nov. 5, 1946, and daily press.) Oct. 30. The Women’s Bureau of the U. S. Department of Labor called a con ference to discuss current matters of importance regarding women’s employment and conditions of work. In addressing women union leaders at the conference, the Secretary of Labor stated: “ Now is the time to push for elimination of discrimination against women workers and to gain headway in improving their wages and wmrking conditions.” (Source: U. S. Dept, of Labor releases WB47-92 and WB47-95.) Oct. 31. The Secretary of Labor announced the selection of arbitrators in the dispute between the Duquesne Light and Power Co. of Pitts burgh and the Independent Association of Employees. (Source: Daily press.) On September 10, the Pennsylvania Common Pleas Court in Pittsburgh, Pa., had issued an injunction against the Independent Association of Employees representing 3,600 employees of the Duquesne Light Co., to call off their scheduled strike. The officers of the parent Standard Gas and Electric Co. were ordered to enter bona fide negotiations with the union and to work out a sound and permanent labor policy which will prevent the recurrence of disputes between them and their employees. (Source: Conference Board Management Record of Oct. 1946, p. 350.) On September 24, when the union went on strike in spite of the restraining order, the president of the union was sentenced to a year’s imprisonment. On September 26, the Common Pleas Court withdrew the tempo rary injunction at the city’s request and the union president was set free. (Source: Newsweek of Oct. 7, 1946, pp. 31 and 32; for discussion, see MLR, Oct. 1946, p. 593.) On October 15, the Independent Association of Employees won an election (supervised by the National Labor Relations Board) which established it as the bargaining agency for the employees of the Duquesne Light Co. On October 20, the 27-day strike of the Independent Association of Employees against the Duquesne Light Co. ended with a decision to arbitrate the dispute. (Source: Daily press.) NOVEM BER Nov. 5. The closed shop was outlawed by referendum vote in the States of Arizona, Nebraska, and South Dakota. (Sourer: Labor Rela tions Reporter 19 LRRM, pp. 3003-3004.) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis LABOR CHRONOLOGY 351 1946 Nov. 6. The NWSB announced the approval of hourly wage increases of from 10 to 16% cents for 7,000 New York City employees of the Western Union Telegraph Co., as agreed upon by the company and the American Communications Association (CIO). The approval followed joint submission by the two parties concerned of an application based upon recommendations of a fact-finding board. The increases were 10 cents an hour for messengers and 16% cents for nonmessengers, of which 12% cents is to be applied across the board and 4 cents will be used to correct inequities. (Source: NWSB-108.) On October 7, the NWSB approved wage increases affecting 53,300 employees, which were agreed upon by the Western Union Telegraph Co. and the National Coordinating Board (AFL). By the terms of the agreement an additional across-the-board increase of 13 cents an hour was granted for all nonmessenger employees, and a 3)4-cents-an-hour fund was established for these employees to enable the parties to correct inequities within the rate struc ture; for some 12,000 messengers employed by the firm, an increase of 10 cents hourly was provided. The agreement varied from the recommendations of the fact-finding board for the industry only in respect to the distribution of the increase to non messengers. (Source: NWSB-100.) On July 11, the Secretary of Labor issued two orders whereby a fact-finding board was established to investigate wage disputes between the Western Union Telegraph Co. and its employees represented by the National Coordinating Board (AFL) and the American Communications Association (CIO), respectively. (Source: U. S. Dept, of Labor release of July 11, 1946.) On August 30, the fact-finding board recommended a general wage increase of 12% cents an hour for all nonmessenger em ployees (plus a sum averaging a 4-cents-an-hour allowance to correct inequities) and 10 cents an hour for messengers. (Source: U. S. Dept, of Labor release of Aug. 30, 1946.) Nov. 9. The President, by Executive Order No. 9801, provided for the termina tion of all controls for the stabilization of wages and salaries under the Stabilization Act of 1942, as amended (see Chron. item for July 25, 1946, MLR, Nov. 1946), including any Execu tive order or regulation issued thereunder. Decontrol did not affect “the statutory provision governing changes in terms and conditions of employment in plants operated by the Government pursuant to the War Labor Disputes Act.” (Source: White House releases of Nov. 9, 1946; for summary see MLR, Dec. 1946, p. 977.) The President stated that the removal of price controls left no basis or necessity for the continuation of wage controls, which operated, in most industries, only as an adjunct to price controls (see Chron. item for Oct. 14, this issue). (Source: White House release of Nov. 9, 1946.) On November 10, the chairman of the NWSB announced plans for speedy liquidation of the Board and its field offices, owing to the President’s action in discontinuing all wage and salary controls. (Source: NWSB-110.) 728607—47- -14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 352 M O N T H L Y L A B O R R E V IE W — F E B R U A R Y 194 7 1946 N ov. 9 (con.) On November 20, the NWSB announced that enforcement of wage violation cases by tripartite regional wage stabilization boards would end on January 15, 1947. The responsibility for completion of the program with respect to offenses committed prior to November 9, 1946, the date of the Executive order removing wage controls, -was to be lodged in an agency other than the NWSB, after the dead-line date. (Source: NWSB-109.) Nov. 14. The Veterans Administration announced the denial of readjustment allowances under the Servicemen’s Readjustment Act (GI bill of rights) (see Chron. item for June 22, 1944, MLR, Sept. 1944) to certain veterans who were out of work during the General Motors strike (see Chron. item for Mar. 13, 1946, MLR, May 1946). The law provides that a veteran is disqualified for a readjustment allowance on account of unemployment which results from a stoppage of work because of a labor dispute, if he is directly interested or participating in the dispute or belongs to a grade or class of workers so involved. The VA decision covered 3 employees of a GM plant in Michigan, who “contended th at the primary cause of their unemployment was material shortages and other circumstances for which they had no respon sibility.” (Source: Veterans Administration release of Nov. 14, 1946.) Nov. 14. The International Labor Organization’s Industrial Committee on Tex tiles met at Brussels, Belgium. On November 25, the ILO’s Internal Committee on Building, Civil Engineering and Public Works met at Brussels, Belgium, (Source: ILO press releases.) On December 14, the United Nations General Assembly voted approval of an agreement bringing the ILO into official relation ship with the UN. (Source: United Nations Weekly Bulletin of Dec. 14, 1946, p. 49.) Nov. 16. The 26-day strike of 1,400 members of the Air Line Pilots Association against the Transcontinental and Western Air, Inc. (also known as Trans World Airline) ended when the parties agreed to arbitrate their differences. (Source: Labor, Nov. 23, 1946, p. 1.) On May 7, the President, by Executive Order No. 9719, had created an emergency board to investigate disputes between TWA and 12 other carriers, and certain of their employees represented by the Air Line Pilots Association, International (AFL) (Source: Federal Register, Vol. 11, p. 5053), thereby averting a strike of air line pilots. (Source: Daily press.) On July 8, the emergency board recommended a schedule of wage increases. (Source: White House release, Report to the President by the Emergency Board, July 8, 1946.) On October 21, the strike of 1,400 members of the Air Line Pilots Association, International (AFL), against TWA, was called on the issue of higher wages for pilots and co-pilots (for discussion, see MLR, Nov. 1946, p. 779). (Source: Labor, Oct. 26, 1946, p. 3, AFL Weekly News Service, Oct. 22, 1946, p. 1; and daily press.) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis LABOR CH RO NO LO G Y 353 1946 Nov. 18. The eighth annual convention of the CIO opened. Resolutions were adopted calling for a continued battle against the use of injunc tions in labor disputes, and for repeal of the Smith-Connally Act, and expressing opposition to efforts of the Communist Party or other political parties and their adherents to interfere in the affairs of the CIO. (CIO News, Nov. 25, 1946.) Nov. 24. The Secretary of Labor announced the formation of a Joint TradeUnion Advisory Committee on International Affairs. Member ship consists of 10 union officials—4 representatives each of the AFL and the CIO, and 1 each from the Railroad Brotherhoods and the Railway Labor Executives’ Association. (Source: U. S. Dept, of Labor release S47-551.) On December 12, the Department of Labor convened an organiza tion meeting of its Joint Trade-Union Advisory Committee on International Affairs. A standing committee of 4 members was named to assist the Department through monthly meetings and to be available for day-to-day advice as problems arise. Meetings of the Joint Committee are to be held 4 times a year. (Source: U. S. Dept, of Labor release S47-646.) DECEM BER Dec. 2. The Secretary of Labor convened the Thirteenth National Conference on Labor Legislation. (Source: U. S. Dept, of Labor release S47-614; for discussion, see p. 268, this issue.) Dec. 4. The President, in appraising the success of the housing program of the National Housing Expediter (see Chron. item for Feb. 7, 1946, MLR, May 1946), stated: “It has now become clear that 1,000,000 dwelling units will have been put under construction and some 700,000 completed by the end of 1946.” (Source: White House release of Dec. 4, 1946.) On December 14, the President announced the relaxation of restrictions on home building. Veterans’ preference was retained for every dwelling unit constructed for sale or rent. However, any person who wishes to build a home for his own use may do so, subject to restrictions. House construction will be authorized by Federal permits. The proposed dwelling must be designed for year-round use; total floor area will be restricted; and for rental housing projects, the maximum rents, excluding charges for services, will not exceed $80 per unit as a project average. Rentals will also be established for individual houses built for rental purposes. (Source: White House release of Dec. 14, 1946; for discussion, see MLR, Jan. 1947, p. 119.) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 354 M O N T H L Y L A B O R R E V IE W — F E B R U A R Y 194 7 1946 Dec. 5. The Board of Directors of the National Association of Manufacturers passed and submitted to the membership for approval a state ment of basic principles for good labor relations and sound collective bargaining. Included are high wages based on high productivity; working conditions th at safeguard the employee; as great a degree of employment stabilization as possible; and ' a spirit of management-labor cooperation. The Association ad vocates provision of obligation by law for employers and employ ees to bargain collectively in good faith (provided a majority of the employees in an appropriate unit wish to be represented by the union) and to adhere to the terms of collective-bargaining agreements. Monopolistic practices were condemned; collective bargaining between employers and foremen and compulsion upon an employee either to join or refrain from joining a union, were opposed; and certain limitations on strikes were advocated. (Labor Relations Reporter, Vol. 19, p. 73.) Dec. 5. The President, by Executive Order No. 9808, established the President’s Committee on Civil Rights, consisting of 15 members. “The Committee is authorized on behalf of the President to inquire into and to determine whether and in what respect current lawenforcement measures and the authority and means possessed by Federal, State, and local governments may be strengthened and improved to safeguard the civil rights of the people.” After making a written report of its studies to the President and making recommendations for the protection of the civil rights of the people of the United States, the Committee is to cease to exist, unless otherwise determined by further Executive order. (Source: Federal Register, Vol. 11, p. 14153.) Dec. 11. Robert R. Nathan Associates, Inc., released a report on “A National Wage Policy for 1947,” which was prepared at the request of the Congress of Industrial Organizations. The conclusion was reached by the authors of the report, that “on the average, in all manufacturing, an increase of about 21 percent in weekly earnings—without any increase in prices—would have been re quired in October 1946, to bring real weekly earnings back to the January 1945 level. By the end of 1946, with the present trend of prices, an increase of about 23 percent will be required. . . . In manufacturing industries alone, the end of 1946 level of corporate profits after taxes will support a 21 'percent increase in the earnings of production workers, without any further increase in productivity, without anj^ further expansion in volume, and without reducing the return after taxes on net worth to a rate below that of 1936-39. In total corporate enterprise . . . it may reasonably be conjectured that total corporate business can support a 25 percent increase.” (Source: Robert R. Nathan Associates, Inc., A National Wage Policy for 1947, Washington, December 1946.) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis LABOR CHRONOLOGY 355 1946 Dec. 11 (Con.) On December 18, the director of the economic research depart ment of the United States Chamber of Commerce stated that, through use of selected statistics, an attem pt was being made to convince the public that profits and prices have overtaken wages. He denied this premise, and added that marginal producers might be squeezed out by the cost of higher wages, and this would help to bring about the very concentration of wealth into fewer companies “which we all oppose.” (Source: Business Action of Dec. 23, 1946, p. 4.) On December 30, the chief economist of the National Associa tion of Manufacturers stated th at a second round of general wage increases would mean a proportionate rise in prices which would check the decline in cost of living that had already started. He predicted a substantial decline in cost of living “if wages are held at their present level and if reliance is put on competition and buyer resistance.” (Source: Daily press.) Dec. 12. The President, by Executive Order No. 9809, created the Office of Temporary Controls, to be headed by the Temporary Controls Administrator. The order provided for immediate consolida tion of the Offices of War Mobilization and Reconversion, of Economic Stabilization and of Price Administration (see Chron, item for July 25, 1946, MLR, Nov. 1946), and the Civilian Pro duction Administration, into the Office of Temporary Controls, Provision was made for the National Wage Stabilization Eoard • (see Chron. item for Jan. 2, 1946, MLR, May 1946) to be termi nated on February 24, 1947, and for the transfer of any pending enforcement matters and any violation cases which may subse quently be' disclosed, to the Bureau of Internal Revenue of the Department of the Treasury. (Sources: White House release of Dec. 12, 1946; Federal Register, Vol. 11, p. 14281, and NWSB 47-1067.) Dec. 12. The Director of the United States Conciliation Service named the members of a labor-management assembly for the Philadelphia area (eastern Pa., southern N. J., Del., and most of Md.). The assembly, established to aid in maintaining industrial peace, is to work with the Philadelphia office of the Conciliation Service. Of the 24 members, 10 represent management and 5 each the AFL and CIO; and 4 are attorneys, 2 each representing man agement and labor. On December 23, the assembly held its first meeting in Phila delphia, and pledged support to the program of the Conciliation Service in minimizing work stoppages and in ending strikes in vital industries. (Source: U. S. Dept, of Labor release of Dec. 23, 1946; and daily press.) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 356 M O N T H L Y L A B O R R E V IE W — F E B R U A R Y 1947 1946 Dec. 15. The Director of the United States Conciliation Service made public a statement of policy adopted unanimously by the Service’s 8-man Labor-Management Advisory Committee (see Chron. item for Aug. 21, 1946, MLR, Nov. 1946) in which the faith of labor and management in the American system of free collective bargain ing is reaffirmed, and the development of 4 mediation techniques is recommended. (Source: U. S. Dept, of Labor release S47-648; for discussion, see MLR, Jan. 1947, p. 81.) Dec. 23. The Supreme Court in the case of National Labor Relations Board v. A . J . Tower Co. decided that the NLRB may refuse to accept an employer’s post-election challenge to eligibility of a voter who participated in a consent election to determine the bargaining agent of employees, although such voter’s ballot may have been essential to result of the election. (Source: U. S. Law Week, of Dec. 24, 1946, 15 LW 4093.) Dec. 31. The President proclaimed the cessation of hostilities of World War II to be effective at 12 o’clock noon. By this action, Government powers under some 20 statutes was terminated at once; such terminations included the plant-seizure provisions of the War Labor Disputes (Smith-Connally) Act (see Chron. item for June 25, 1943, MLR, Aug. 1943; for discussion, see MLR, Aug. 1943, p. 305). Government powers under some 33 other statutes are to be terminated at a later date, generally at the end of 6 months from the date of the proclamation. (Source: White House releases of Dec. 31, 1946.) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Recent Publications o f Labor Interest F e b ru a ry 1 9 4 7 Child Labor and Youth Employment Child labor— in the first year after the war. Annual report of National Child Labor Committee, for year ending September 30, 1946. New York, 1946. 17 pp. (Publication No. 397.) Children in migratory agricultural families. By lone L. Clinton. Washington, Federal Security Agency and U. S. Department of Labor, 1946. 13 pp., illus. Free. Brings together four articles originally published in The Child. One deals with child labor in agriculture. Age certificates are the employer’s protection under the Fair Labor Standards Act. Washington, U. S. Department of Labor, Division of Labor Standards, Child Labor and Youth Employment Branch, 1946. Folder. (Child-labor series, No. 28.) Free. 16-year minimum age for employment— a postwar goal for protection of the Nation’s children. Washington, U. S. Department of Labor, Division of Labor Standards, Child Labor and Youth Employment Branch, 1946. Folder. 5 cents, Superintendent of Documents, Washington. Educational and employment opportunities for youth. Report and recommenda tions of the Interagency Committee on Youth Employment and Education. Washington, U. S. Department of Labor, Division of Labor Standards, Child Labor and Youth Employment Branch, 1946. 15 pp.; processed. Free. Occupational hazards to young workers, Report No. 7: The operation of hoisting apparatus. Washington, U. S. Department of Labor, Division of Labor Standards, Child Labor and Youth Employment Branch, 1946. 37 pp. (Childlabor series, No. 11.) 10 cents, Superintendent of Documents, Washington. Cooperative Movement It happened in Taos. By J. T. Reid. Albuquerque, University of New Mexico Press, 1946. 118 pp., illus. $2.50. Account of a project operated among, and largely by, the Indians and Spanish speaking people of Taos County, New Mexico, to raise working and living stand ards through cooperative planning and action. One of the phases of this project was the health work carried on through an organization formed for the purpose, the Taos County Cooperative Health Association, characterized in the report as “by far the most elaborate and important accomplishment of the project.” So shines a good deed: Cooperatives in Edenton inspired by success of Tyrrell. Charlottesville, University of Virginia, 1946. 7 pp. (Extension Division bull., New Dominion series, No. 81.) Describes cooperative activities among Negroes in Edenton and Tyrrell County, North Carolina. E ditor' s N ote.—Correspondence regarding the publications to which reference is m ade in this list should he addressed to the respective publishing agencies m entioned. W here data on prices were readily available, th ey have been shown w ith th e title entries. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 357 358 M O N T H L Y L A B O R R E V IE W — F E B R U A R Y 194 7 Annual report of the [Massachusetts] Commissioner of Banks, for the year ending December 81, 1945, Part IV , relating to credit unions. Boston, Department of Banking and Insurance, 1946. 52 pp. (Public document No. 8.) Organizing and incorporating a cooperative. By Lyman S. Hulbert. [Washington, U. S. Department of Agriculture], 1946. 13 pp.; mimeographed. Danish consumers’ cooperative societies during five years of occupation. Copen hagen, Danish Cooperative Wholesale Society, 1946. 10 pp.; processed. Details the conditions under which cooperatives had to work during the Ger man occupation of Denmark and how they were met, and gives statistics of opera tion, mostly for the 6-year period 1940-45. Economic and Social Problems Industrial progress and economic research. Philadelphia, University of Penn sylvania, Wharton School of Finance and Commerce, Industrial Research Department, 1946. 40 pp., charts. The first part of the report outlines a series of studies of conditions of economic progress at the industrial level, to be made by the Industrial Research Depart ment. The second part reviews its 25 years of research accomplishment and lists the publications (the majority on labor subjects) in which most of the results have been published. Labor policies of the National Defense Advisory Commission and the Office of Pro duction Management, May 1940 to April 1942. By Richard J. Purcell. Washington, U. S. Civilian Production Administration, Bureau of Demobili zation, 1946. 247 pp.; processed. (Historical reports on war administra tion: War Production Board; Special study No. 23.) Labor problems. By W. V. Gwen. New York, Ronald Press Co., 1946. 570 pp., bibliography. $4.50. Using the labor-market approach, the author surveys the principles and prob lems of labor economics. The book, largely analytical rather than descriptive, is intended as a college text. Nationalization of key industries in eastern Europe. By Samuel L. Sharp. Wash ington, Foundation for Foreign Affairs, 1946. 81 pp. (Pamphlet No. 1.) 25 cents. Discussion of the reasons for and the extent and results of nationalization measures in eastern Europe, primarily in Czechoslovakia and Poland. The Japanese war economy, 1940-45- By Jerome B. Cohen. {In Far Eastern Survey, Institute of Pacific Relations, American Council, New York, Decem ber 4, 1946, pp. 361-370. 25 cents.) Reviews economic developments in Japan during the prewar decade and in wartime, with some attention to the structure of the Japanese labor force. Education and Training Training for industrial employment. London, Institute of Labor Management, [1946?]. 65 pp. 2s. 6d. Training for the catering industry. London, Ministry of Labor and National Service, 1946. 12 pp. 3d. net, H. M. Stationery Office, London. Un aspect essentiel de l’éducation ouvrière: La formation des cadres syndicaux. By Jean Bruhat. {In Revue Française du Travail, Ministère du Travail et de la Sécurité Sociale, Paris, November 1946, pp. 645-657.) Survey of workers’ training carried on by the French General Confederation of Labor (C. G. T.), including an outline of subjects covered in the courses for training labor members of works committees in industrial and other enterprises, and information on the policy for short-term training courses for technicians and foremen given in a number of local federations and unions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis R E C E N T P U B L IC A T IO N S O F L A B O R IN T E R E S T 359 Employment, Unemployment, and Employment Services Employment outlook in foundry occupations. Washington, U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1946. 55 pp., charts, illus. (Bull. No. 880; reprinted from Monthly Labor Review, December 1945 and April 1946, with additional data.) 15 cents, Superintendent of Documents, Washington. Fordndringarna i sysselsattningen dren 1940-46. By Per Holm. (In Sociala Meddelanden, Nr. 11, Socialstyrelsen, Stockholm, 1946, pp. 831-844.) Shows changes in employment in Sweden, 1940-46. I was one of the unemployed. By Max Cohen. London, Victor Gollancz, Ltd., 1945. ‘244 pp. 7s. 6d. Introduced with a foreword by Sir William Beveridge, this personal account of the vicissitudes of a young worker thrown on the labor market in 1932 vividly por trays the varied evils of unemployment, including effect on family relations, loss of self-respect, effect on habits of work, etc. It also gives an individual’s experience with the operation of the system of unemployment compensation then in effect in Great Britain. Labor exchanges abroad. (In Employment Service Review, U. S. Department of Labor, Employment Service, Washington, January 1947, pp. 3-15. 10 cents, Superintendent of Documents, Washington.) Brief descriptions of the employment services, and their history, in five coun tries—Canada, Chile, Germany, Great Britain, and Japan. Housing National housing emergency, 1946-41• By L. B. Wheildon. Washington, (1205 19th Street NW.), Editorial Research Reports, 1946. 20 pp. (Vol. II, 1946, No. 24.) $1. The Truman housing program is discussed against the background of the W yatt housing program and its achievements and failures. The Detroit plan: A program for blight elimination. Detroit, Detroit Housing Commission, 1946. 18 pp., plans, illus. Simplified outline of Detroit’s current experiment in clearing slums. Elapsed time and cost in residential construction. Washington, U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1946. 9 pp. (Serial No. R. 1849; reprinted from Monthly Labor Review, September 1946.) Free. Conversion of existing houses [in Great Britain]. Report of the subcommittee of the Central Housing Advisory Committee, [Ministry of Health]. London, II. M. Stationery Office, 1945. 52 pp., plans. Is. net. Immigration The Immigration laws of the United States— an outline. By Albert E. Reitzel. (In Virginia Law Review, Charlottesville, November 1946, pp. 1099-1162. $ 1.) Immigration of refugees. By Kendrick Lee. Washington (1205 19th Street NW.), Editorial Research Reports, 1946. 14 pp. (Vol. II, 1946, No. 22.) $ 1. Review of proposals for liberalizing the immigration policy of the United States or further restricting immigration, and of the respective attitudes of labor unions and other organized groups. Report of the [Australian] Commonwealth Immigration Advisory Committee. Can berra, 1946. 50 pp. This report, by a Government-labor-employer committee, describes the trends toward migration to Australia from Great Britain and northern Europe, and submits recommendations of Australian labor and employer groups concerning immigration into their country. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 360 M O N T H L Y L A B O R R E V IE W — F E B R U A R Y 1947 Industrial Accidents and Accident Prevention Injuries and accident causes in the brewing industry, ID44- Washington, U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1946. 70 pp., charts. (Bull. No. 884.) 15 cents, Superintendent of Documents, Washington. Studies on explosives and explosions, fiscal year 1945. By Wilbert J. Huff. Wash ington, U. S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Mines, 1946. 57 pp., bibliography, charts; processed. (Report of investigations, No. 4031.) Free. Annual summary of injuries in the petroleum industry, for 1945. New York, American Petroleum Institute, Department of Accident Prevention, 1946. 20 pp., chart. Petroleum safety orders— refining, transportation, and handling— effective July 13, 1946. San Francisco and Los Angeles, California Department of Industrial Relations, Division of Industrial Safety, 1946. 49 pp. Summary and analysis of accidents on steam railways in the United States subject to the Interstate Commerce Act, calendar year 1945. Washington, U. S. Inter state Commerce Commission, Bureau of Transport Economics and Statistics, 1946. 118 pp. (Accident bull. No. 114.) 40 cents, Superintendent of Documents, Washington. Surface construction without accidents. Boston, American Mutual Liability In surance Co., 1946. 81 pp., bibliography, forms, illus. Accident-prevention guide prepared for the use of contractors on various types of street and road jobs or airport runway construction. Industrial Relations Arbitration of grievances. By William E. Simkin and Van Dusen Kennedy. Washington, U. S. Department of Labor, Division of Labor Standards, 1946. 39 pp. (Bull. No. 82.) 15 cents, Superintendent of Documents, Washington. Labor relations and the public. Edited by Herman Feldman. {In The Annals, Vol. 248, American Academy of Political and Social Science, Philadelphia, November 1946, pp. 1-198. $2 (paper) or $2.50 (cloth) to nonmembers.) Selected reading list on industrial relations for supervisors. Pasadena, California Institute of Technology, Industrial Relations Section, October 1946. 8 pp. Single copies free. Union-management cooperation in production. Princeton, N. J., Princeton Univer sity, Industrial Relations Section, November 1946. 4 pp. (Selected refer ences, No. 12.) When employees organize: What employers shoidd know and how they can utilize National Labor Relations Board procedures. Deep River, Conn., National Foremen’s Institute, Inc., 1946. 33 pp. Review of labor-management disputes, 1946. Washington, U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1947. 11 pp.; mimeographed. Free. Labor participation in industrial management in European countries. Washington, U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1946. 14 pp. (Serial No. R. 1866; re printed from Monthly Labor Review, November 1946.) Free. Conflits du travail en France pendant le 2e trimestre de Vannée 1946. {In Revue Française du Travail, Ministère du Travail et de la Sécurité Sociale, Paris, October 1946, pp. 624-629.) Second of a new series of reports compiled from information which labor in spectors are required to furnish to the Ministry of Labor and Social Security. Shows the number of labor conflicts, number of establishments affected, total workers employed in the establishments and number participating in the conflicts, and the number of work-days lost, with considerable detail on duration, origin, and results of the strikes. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis RECENT PUBLICATIO NS OF LABOR IN TEREST 361 By Beatrice G. Reubens. {In Far Eastern Survey, Institute of Pacific Relations, American Council, New York, Novem ber 6, 1946, pp. 344-347. 25 cents.) Discusses a new technique in labor disputes, recently developed by the Japanese labor unions, under which the workers seize and operate the establishments until the disputes are settled. » “ Production control” in Japan. Industry Reports {In Revue du Travail, Ministère du Travail et de la Prévoyance Sociale de Belgique, Brussels, July-August 1946, pp. 729-738, charts.) Study of manpower, production, and other problems, and of achievements, in the “ battle of coal” in Belgium. Board of Trade working party reports: Furniture. London, H. M. Stationery Office, 1946. 209 pp., charts. 3s. 6d. net. The report gives some attention to labor matters, such as employment, produc tivity of labor, and welfare and labor standards, in the furniture industry. M inistry of Fuel and Power, statistical digest, 1945. London, Ministry of Fuel and Power, 1946. 114 pp. (Cmd. 6920.) 2s. net, H. M. Stationery Office, London. This issue of the digest contains much material not included in earlier issues, particularly on output and labor force in coal mining. The section on coal mining includes data on size of mines, output, number of workers employed, recruit ment and wastage of manpower, age and occupational distribution of workers, attendance and absenteeism, persons killed and injured, overtime, earnings per man-shift and per week from 1938 through 1945, colliery canteens, and pithead baths. Other sections of the report deal, in less detail, with gas and electricity, coke ovens, and petroleum products. Le problème de la rnain-d’œuvre dans les charbonnages belges. Labor Legislation Wash ington, U. S. Department of Labor, Division of Labor Standards, 1946. 78 pp. (Bull. No. 79.) Labor and the law. By Charles O. Gregory. New York, W. W. Norton & Co., Inc., 1946. 467 pp. $5. Deals with the development of labor-relations law in the United States and the problems involved, with particular reference to the activities of trade unions, collective bargaining under the National Labor Relations Act, and decisions of the U. S. Supreme Court. Each chapter has detailed citations of cases on the topics discussed. The final chapter points out problems of the immediate future. Federal labor laws and agencies— a guide for shop stewards and supervisors. The law governing labor disputes and collective bargaining [in the United States]— 1946 cumulative supplement. By Ludwig Teller. New York, Baker, Voorhis & Co., Inc., 1946. In 3 parts, 132, 323, 202 pp. $15. Résumé of the proceedings of the thirteenth National Conference on Labor Legislation, [ Washington ], December 2-4, 1946. Washington, U. S. Department of Labor, Division of Labor Standards, 1946. 42 pp. (Bull. No. 85.) 10 cents, Superintendent of Documents, Washington. Économie et legislation industrielles. By Robert Mossé. Aubier and Paris, Éditions Montaigne, [1940]. 402 pp., bibliographical footnotes. A well-organized study of labor legislation in France in its relation to general economic life, sufficiently comprehensive to form a reference handbook on con temporary social law. Covers relations between employers and employees, in cluding wages, individual labor contracts, etc.; relations between labor groups; employment and unemployment; Government regulation of labor, including hours of work; and certain aspects of social insurance. Contains sections on collective agreements, industrial disputes, and conciliation and arbitration which are of significance today. A guide to the provisions of the Factories Act, [Great Britain, 1937] regarding hours and holidays of women and young persons. London, Ministry of Labor and National Service, 1946. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 12 pp. 2d. net, H. M. Stationery Office, London. 362 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 Labor Organizations and Activities Forty-fourth annual directory of labor organizations in Massachusetts, 1946 (with statistics of membership, 1941-45 ). B oston , Department of Labor and Indus tries, 1946. 116 pp. (Labor bull. No. 192; Public doc. No. 15.) By Leo Wolman. (In Yale Review, Vol. XXXVI, No. 2, New Haven, Conn., winter 1947, pp. 231-241. $1.) Critical discussion of trade-union policies and of the causes of present-day labor troubles th at stem, in the author’s opinion, largely from the National Labor Rela tions Act. Amendment of this Act and of certain other laws are steps which he believes would lead to improvement in labor relations. Unionization of professional engineers and chemists. By Herbert R. Northrup. New York, Industrial Relations Counselors, Inc., 1946. 50 pp. (Industrial relations monograph No. 12.) $1.50. In addition to examining the union movement among professional engineers and chemists, the author attem pts to clarify issues involved in collective bargain ing with these groups. Problemas de la unidad obrera en America. By Juan Arévalo and others. Habana, Instituto de Estudios y de Acción Social, 1946. 62 pp. 20 centavos. Discussion of the proposed inter-American labor organization to be affiliated with the American Federation of Labor. Vida sindical y vida económica en la República Dominicana. By Juan Arévalo and Felipe Zapata. Habana, Instituto de Estudios y de Acción Social, 1946. 50 pp. The first part of this pamphlet is a report on the labor movement in the Dominican Republic as of late 1945. The general council’s report to the 78th annual [meeting of the British Trades Union ] Congress, Brighton, October 21-25, 1946. London, Trades Union Congress, 1946. 254 pp. Im portant sections of the report deal with trade unions and the postwar period, education, wages councils, and international developments. The part played by the Trades Union Congress in shaping the new legislation on social insurance and workmen’s compensation is told in a section on safety and welfare. The varied and inclusive program of workers’ education carried on by the trade unions is described, and a memorandum for the Central Advisory Council for Education (England), submitted by the Trades Union Council, and dealing with trade-union attitudes towards general education, is reproduced in full. Measures taken by the unions on problems arising out of the transition from war to peace, both in Britain and abroad, are discussed. The labor movement in Italy. By Humbert L. Gualtieri. New York, S. F. Vanni, 1946. 326 pp., bibliography. $5. Detailed and documented history of the origin and growth of labor organization in Italy from the beginning, in the middle of the nineteenth century, to 1904, covering, among other phases, the work of the early leaders and the evolution of workmen’s mutual aid societies, chambers of labor, and farmers’ leagues. Labor unions and labor policy. Rapport van de commissie tot onderzoek van het vraagstuk van de bedrijfstaksgewijze organisatie der werknemersvakbeweging. Utrecht, Raad van Vakcentralen, 1946. 39 pp. Report of a committee appointed to study the regrouping of Netherlands trade unions on an industrial basis, which has received "the concurrence of the three trade-union federations in th at country. Report of 16th annual conference of South African Trades and Labor Council, Durban A pril 22-26, 1946. Johannesburg, South African Trades and Labor Council, 1946. 52 pp. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis RECENT PUBLICATIO NS OF LABOR IN TEREST 363 Medical Care and Health Insurance By Nathan Sinai, Odin W. Anderson, Melvin L. Dollar. New York, Commonwealth Fund, 1946. 115 pp., bibliography. $1.50. The authors trace the movement for health insurance in the United States since 1910, and the attitudes of government, professional, and lay groups. Character istic features and problems of voluntary plans, as exemplified by the Blue Cross hospital plans and plans sponsored by medical societies, are analyzed and the question raised as to whether such programs can face and overcome their difficul ties rapidly enough to meet the demand for a national health-insurance program. Cash sickness benefits. Fourth report of the New Jersey State Commission on Postwar Economic Welfare. Trenton, 1946. 68 pp., charts. The commission was instructed to make a study of an unemployment-sickness compensation program for the State and to consider a proposed act for a publicly “operated” system as a starting point. In this report it recommends a publicly “supervised” plan instead, and submits draft bills and other data. A statutory minimum scale of benefits would be established within the framework of private enterprise. Medical care for the people of New York State. Report of New York State Legisla tive Commission on Medical Care. [Albany], 1946. 504 pp., maps; processed. Contains majority and minority reports and recommendations of commission members; reports on studies of medical care and medical insurance, conducted by the director of the survey—a comprehensive body of factual material in both public and private fields; and the results of a survey of public opinion on medical insurance, by Surveys, Inc. A reasonably comprehensive system of compulsory health insurance, to be supported by contributions of from 3 to 4 percent or individual oi family income, was regarded by the commission as feasible. Study shows prepay plan coverage. (In Medical Economics, Rutherford, N. J., December 1946, pp. 69-73, charts. 25 cents.) Enrollment in 51 prepayment medical-care programs approved by medical societies in the United States was over 4 million, and participating physicians numbered 75,000, as of September 1, 1946, according to this study by Medical Economics. Individual plans are listed by location, year of organization, enroll ment, and doctor participation. Health insurance in the United States. Occupations and Occupational Adjustment Changing your work? By J. Gustav White. New York, Association Press, 1946. 210 pp., bibliography. $2.50. Against a background of extended experience as a vocational counselor, the author discusses the various factors that should be considered by those desirous of changing jobs, and makes suggestions as to methods of procedure. Many illustra tive case histories are given throughout the book. Job education: Finding and getting a job through planning. By Warren E. Benson. Boston, Bellman Publishing Co., Inc., 1946. 32 pp., bibliography. (Voca tional and professional monographs, No. 75.) $1. Concluding number in this series of monographs. Ohio State and occupations. By Occupational Opportunities Service, Ohio State University. Columbus, Ohio State University Press, 1945. 198 pp. $1.50. The duties of each of a long list of occupations in a wide range of fields are described, to assist students in planning their future training and careers. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 364 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 Office Workers New York, American Management (Office management series, No. 116.) Incentives and, work standards in the office. New York, American Management Association, 1946. 30 pp. (Office management series, No. 115.) One of the three articles in the pamphlet is on “The impact of wage rates on the labor market,” by A. Ford Hinrichs, formerly Acting Commissioner of the U. S Bureau of Labor Statistics. Know your white-collar worker. New York, Labor Relations Institute 1946 Administering the office union contract. Association, 1946. 30 pp. 5 ! pp. Lists grievances and reasons for discontent among white-collar workers and makes suggestions looking toward good employee relations and efficient office procedure. Vacations for office workers. New York, Metropolitan Life Insurance Co., PolicyHolders Service Bureau, Group Insurance Division, [1947?]. 44 pp. Based on a survey of vacation policies in 1946 for office employees of 102 companies in a wide range of fields. Wages of office workers in metalworking industries, January 194.5. Washington, " U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1946. 7 pp. (Bull. No. 886; reprinted from Monthly Labor Review, July 1946.) 5 cents, Superintendent of Documents, Washington. 1 Production and Productivity of Labor The facts of productivity. By Ewan Clague. Washington, U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1946. 11 pp.; mimeographed. Free. Address by U. S. Commissioner of Labor Statistics at annual meeting of Society for the Advancement of Management, New York, December 6, 1946. Productivity and progress. New York, National Industrial Conference Board Inc., 1946. 35 pp., charts. Productivity is discussed in relation to its effects on national well-being, partic ularly on the wages, working hours, and living standards of workers. The study emphasizes the view th at rising productivity has been a product of a “free” economy. Social Security Proposals for health, old-age, and unemvloyment insurance— a comparison of the 1948 and 1945 \\ agner-Murray bills. By Earl E. Muntz. New York and Washington, American Enterprise Association, Inc., 1946. 87 pp. (National economic problems, No. 418.) 50 cents. Contains also a comparative summary of the two bills and the Social Security Act. J Social insurance financing in relation to consumer income and expenditures. By S. J. Mushkin, Anne Scitovszky, Leila N. Small. Washington, Federal Security Agency, Social Security Board, Bureau of Research and Statistics, 1946. 105 pp., charts; processed. (Bureau memorandum No. 63.) Analysis of the financial effects on the national economy of insurance programs under the present Social Security Act (prior to amendment in 1946) and under a more comprehensive plan (proposed in the Wagner-Murray-Dingell bills of 1943 and 1945). Under various assumptions of employment, national income, and wages, estimates are made for an early year in the 1950’s and for a later period. Contributions and benefits are distributed by income class, etc. A guide to the National Insurance Act, [Great Britain ], 1946. By Alban Gordon London, Labor Party, 1946. 36 pp. 6d. Simple explanation of the principal provisions of the new social-security system in Great Britain, showing coverage, types of benefits, contributions, and methods of financing and administering the Act. A historical section reviews the develop ment of such legislation since the Elizabethan Poor Law. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis RECENT PUBLICATIO NS OF LABOR IN TEREST 365 By Oscar Barahona Streber and J. Walter Dittel. Ciudad de Guatemala, 1946. 215 pp., charts. Detailed study of social-security development in Guatemala. Bases de la seguridad social en Guatemala. Social security monetary benefits and war pensions in New Zealand (1946 edition). Wellington, Social Security Department, 1946. 51 pp. México, D. F., Universidad Nacional, Instituto de Derecho Comparado, 1946. 203 pp. International action toward social security for seamen. By Ida C. Merriam. (In Social Security Bulletin, Federal Security Agency, Social Security Administra tion, Washington, August 1946, pp. 17-28. 15 cents, Superintendent of Documents, Washington.) Discusses minimum standards for social security for seamen adopted (m con ventions and recommendations) by the maritime session of the International Labor Conference at Seattle in June 1946. Existing provisions for seamen on United States ships are also considered. Codigo de seguridad social, [México], comentado y concordado. images and Hours of Labor By Ewan Clague. Washington, U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1947. 11 pp.; mimeographed. Free. . Address by U. S. Commissioner of Labor Statistics at joint meeting of Chicago Chamber of Commerce and Chicago chapter of American Statistical Association, January 9, 1947. The significance of current trends in prices, wages, and productivity. The Nathan report'. A n appraisal of Robert R. Nathan s A national wage policy for 1947.” New York, National Association of Manufacturers, Research Department, December 1946. 32 pp.; mimeographed . A brief note on the Nathan report was carried in the Monthly Labor Review for January 1947 in the section on “Recent publications of labor interest” (under wages and hours of labor). A second round of wage increases— prelude to price increases: The fallacies of the Nathan-CIO ‘assertions. By Emerson P. Schmidt. (In Business Action, Chamber of Commerce of the United States, Washington, December 23, 1946, pp. 4-6.) Reconversion and the Fair Labor Standards Act. Annual report of Wage and Hour and Public Contracts Divisions, U. S. Department of Labor, fiscal year 1946. Washington, 1947. 9 8 pp., charts; mimeographed _ , . Review of the problems and work of the Divisions, during and since the war, in administering the Fair Labor Standards and Public Contracts Acts, with recom mendations by the Administrator. One of his specific recommendations, of par ticular interest at this time, is th at the Fair Labor Standards Act be amended to include a 3-year statute of limitations with respect to employee suits for back wages and damages. Average hourly earnings in selected industries and occupations, by region, 1945-46. Washington, U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1946. 80 pp.; mimeographed. Free. Trends in urban wage rates, A pril 1946. Washington, U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1946. 12 pp., charts. (Bull. No. 891; reprinted from Monthly Labor Review, November 1946.) 5 cents, Superintendent of Documents, Washington. Union wages and hours in the baking industry, Ju ly 1, 1945. Washington, U. S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1946. 64 pp. chart. (Bull No 871; reprinted from Monthly Labor Review, March 1946, with additional data.) 15 cents, Superintendent of Documents, Washington. Emvlovment and earnings in the Philadelphia knitted-outerwear industry, 1944 and, 1945 Washington, U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1946. 6 pp. (Bull. No. 887; reprinted from Monthly Labor Review, August 1946.) Superintendent of Documents, Washington. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 cents, 366 M O N T H L Y LABOR REVIEW— FEBRUARY 1 9 4 7 Wages and employment in the public utility industries. By Edward Neuner, Jr. (In Journal of Land and Public Utility Economics, Madison, Wis., November 1946, pp. 363-380, charts. $1.50.) Data on hours, earnings, and employment in a group of industries subject to regulatory commissions as to rates charged consumers. The author emphasizes the effects of the relative inflexibility of wages. Salaries, as of August 1, 1946, in St. Louis social and health agencies, according to standard job descriptions. St. Louis, Social Planning Council of St. Louis and St. Louis County, Research Bureau, 1946. 189 pp., charts; processed. $1. Data on salary changes in major fields of work since January 1, 1941, are included. Salaries and working conditions of firemen in various Virginia fire departments, [1946]. Richmond, League of Virginia Municipalities, 1946. 13 pp.; mimeo graphed. (Report No. 296.) 50 cents (free to Virginia municipal officials). Ottawa, Department of Labor, 1946. 105 pp. (Report No. 27; issued as a supplement to Labor Gazette! October 1946.) Index numbers show the trend of wage rates for certain major industry groups from 1901 to 1944. Money wage rates are given for occupations in manufactur ing, mining, logging, construction, transportation, and telephone communication, 1943 and 1944, and in retail and wholesale trade and certain services, 1944, to gether with data on hours of labor in 1944. An appendix gives wages in agri culture, 1943-45. Wage rates and hours of labor in Canada, 1944• General Reports New York, Dryden Press, 1946. 480 pp. $12. The first issue of a new labor who’s who, containing authorized biographies of the men and women who lead labor in the United States and Canada and of those who deal with labor, together with a glossary of labor terminology, a chronology of labor legislation, a directory of the labor press, a list of educational directors, a list of the international labor unions, and the constitutions of the American Federation of Labor and the Congress of Industrial Organizations. Basic statistics on Puerto Rico. Compiled and edited by S. L. Descartes. Wash ington, D. C., Office of Puerto Rico, 1946. 103 pp. Includes statistics, for various dates, of employment, wages and hours, family incomes and expenditures, prices, and food supply and consumption. Who’s who in labor. Mensaje del Excelentísimo Señor Presidente de la Nación, Gral. Edelmiro J . Farrell, y memoria del segundo año de labor, segundo aniversario del gobierno de la revo lución, 1943-4 de ju n io -1945, República Argentina. [Buenos Aires, 1945?] 477 pp. Contains a summary of the Farrell regime’s achievements in the fields of labor and social welfare. National economy of Argentina. By John F. Hennessey, Jr. Washington, Pan American Union, 1946. 98 pp., bibliography. (Commercial Pan America, July-August 1946.) Index numbers of employment and wages paid in leading industries, 1941-45, of cost of living, 1938-45, and of wholesale prices in Buenos Aires, 1938-45, are among the data presented. Labor report, [Australia ], 1944■ Canberra, Bureau of Census and Statistics, 1946. 161 pp. (No. 34.) 3s.6d. net, Commonwealth Government Printer, Can berra. Covers employment and unemployment, wages and hours, unemployment and sickness benefits, retail and wholesale prices, industrial disputes, industrial acci dents, and labor organizations. Some of the index numbers of retail prices and data on employment and unemployment are brought down to 1945. Anuario general de estadística, Colo?nbia, 1944■ Bogota, Contraloria General de la República, Dirección Nacional de Estadística, 1946. 642 pp. This general statistical yearbook includes data on cost of living in Bogotá and Medellin, cooperatives, industrial production, immigration, and emigration, and indexes of prices and wages. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis RECENT PUBLICATIO NS OF LABOR IN TEREST 367 By Jean de la Roche and Jean Gottman. Montreal, Éditions de l’Arbre, 1945. 642 pp., illus. Comprehensive survey of the overseas areas of the French nation, covering geographic and human characteristics, economic life, administrative organization, and political and social problems. Includes much data not available elsewhere within two covers. Medical science and physical education in industry. Fourth part of interim report by Research Board for the Correlation of Medical Science and Physical Education, [London?]. London, Ling Physical Education Association, 1946. 88 pp. 2s. Deals with various questions pertaining to industrial workers in Great Britain, such as nutrition (canteens, etc.), vocational orientation, recreation, health services, and rehabilitation of substandard and disabled workers. Memoria de labores, septiembre de 1945— agosto de 1945. México, D. F. Secretaría del Trabajo y Previsión Social, 1946. 347 pp. Yearbook of the Mexican Department of Labor detailing accomplishments of its various branches and giving labor statistics. Report of New Zealand Department of Labor for year ended March SI, 1946. Well ington, 1946. 45 pp. Is. Information given includes minimum-wage rates for various occupations, opera tions under different labor laws, new legislation, and names of registered employer and worker organizations. La Fédération Française— contacts et civilisations d’outre-mer. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1). 5. G O V E R N M E N T P R I N T I N G O F F I C S i 1 *47 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis