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MONETARY CONTROL AND THE MEMBERSHIP PROBLEMC UF. SUPREME COURT LIBRARY JAN 3 1979 HEARINGS DEPOSITORY BEFORE THE ...,Tl A COMMITTEE ON BANKING, FINANCE AND URBAN AFFAIRS HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES NINETY-FIFTH CONGRESS SECO:'.'ID SESSION ON H.R. 13476 A BILL TO A...'\IEXD THE FEDERAL RESERVE ACT TO PROVIDE FOR THE MAINTENA.. ·cE OF RESERVES FOR CERTAIN L ,._ STITUTIO. "S H.R. 13477 A BILL TO AMEND THE FEDERAL RESERVE ACT TO AUTHORIZE THE PAYMENT OF INTEREST ON RESERVE BALANCES H.R. 12706 A BILL TO AMEND THE FEDERAL RESERVE ACT TO PROVIDE FOR THE PRICING OF FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEl\I SERVICES AND THE PAYMENT OF INTEREST ON RESERVES H.R. 14072 • BILL TO FACILITATE THE D .I PLE::\IEXTATIOX OF l\IOXETARY POLICY A.ffi TO PROMOTE COMPETITIYE EQ ALITY AMOXG CO:\DIERCIAL BA. "KS JULY 27, 31; A. GUST 4, 11; AXD SEPTE)fBER 22, 1978 Printed for the use of the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Aft'airs https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONETARY CONTROL AND THE MEMBERSHIP PROBLEM HEARINGS BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON BANKING, FINANCE AND URBAN AFFAIRS HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES NINETY-FIFTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION ON H.R. 13476 A BILL TO AMEND THE FEDERAL RESERVE ACT TO PROVIDE FOR THE MAINTENANCE OF RESERVES FOR CERTAIN INSTITUTIONS H.R. 13477 A BILL TO AMEND THE FEDERAL RESERVE ACT TO AUTHORIZE THE PAYMENT OF INTEREST ON RESERVE BALANCES H.R. 12706 A BILL TO AMEND THE FEDERAL RESERVE ACT TO PROVIDE FOR THE PRICING OF FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM SERVICES AND THE PAYMENT OF INTEREST ON RESERVES H.R. 14072 A BILL TO FACILITATE THE IMPLEMENTATION OF MONETARY POLICY AND TO PROMOTE COMPETITIVE EQUALITY AMONG COMMERCIAL BANKS JULY 27, 31; AUGUST 4, 11; AND SEPTE:\IBER 22, 1978 Printed for the use of the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 32-1172 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis WASHINGTON : 1978 HOUSE COMMITTEE ON BANKING, FINANCE AND URBAN AFFAIRS HENRY S. REUSS, Wisconsin, Ohairman THOMAS L. ASHLEY, Ohio J. WILLIAM STANTON, Ohio WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD, Pennsylvania GARRY BROWN, Michigan FERNAND J. ST GERMAIN, Rhode Island CHALMERS P. WYLIE, Ohio HENRY B. GONZALEZ, Texas JOHN H. ROUSSELOT, California JOSEPH G. MINISH, New Jersey STEWART B. McKINNEY, Connecticut FRANK ANNUNZIO, Illinois GEORGE HANSEN, Idaho HENRY J. HYDE, Illinois JAMES M. HANLEY, New York P ARREN J. MITCHELL, Maryland RICHARD KELLY, Florida CHARLES E. GRASSLEY, Iowa WALTER E. FAUNTROY, MILLICENT FENWICK, New Jersey District of Columbia JIM LEACH, Iowa STEPHEN L. NEAL, North Carolina NEWTON I. STEERS, JR., Maryland JERRY M. PATTERSON, California JAMES J. BLANCHARD, Michigan THOMAS B. EVANS, JR., Delaware CARROLL HUBBARD, JR., Kentucky BRUCE F. CAPUTO, New York HAROLD C. HOLLENBECK, New Jersey JOHN J. LA.FALCE, New York S. WILLIAM GREEN, New York GLADYS NOON SPELLMAN, Maryland LES AUCOIN, Oregon PAULE. TSONGAS, Massachusetts BUTLER DERRICK, South Carolina MARK W. HANNAFORD, California DAYID W. EVANS, Indiana NORMAN E. D'AMOURS, New Hampshire STANLEY N. LUNDINE, New York EDWARD W. PATTISON, New York JOHN J..CAVANAUGH, Nebraska MARY ROSE OAKAR, Ohio JIM MATTOX, Texas BRUCE F. VENTO, Minnesota DOUG BARNARD. Georgia WES WATKINS, Oklahoma ROBERT GARCIA, New York PAUL NELSON, Clerk and Staff Direator MICHAEL P. FLAHERTY, Oounsel GRASTY CREWS II, Oounsel MERCER L. JACKSON, Minority Staff Direator GRAHAM T. NORTHUP, Deputy Minority Staff Direator https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (II) CONTENTS Hearings held onJuly 27, 1978_________________________________________________ July 31, 1978_________________________________________________ August 4, 1978________________________________________________ August 11, 1978_______________________________________________ September 22, 1978____________________________________________ Text of-H.R. 13476___________________________________________________ !Paire H.R. 13477___________________________________________________ 11 H.R. 12706___________________________________________________ H.R. 14072___________________________________________________ 13 509 1 167 269 421 507 2 STATMENTS Barnes, Theodore W., president, Old Stone Bank, Providence, R.L______ Blackshear, A. Harrel, president, Western Bank, Houston, Tex_________ Boatwright, H. Lee, president, Suburban Trust Co., Hyattsville, Md____ Boemi, A. Andrew, chairman and president, Madison Bank & Trust Co., Chicago, Ill_____________________________________________________ Campbell, Raymond D., president, Oberlin Savings Bank, Oberlin, Ohio, first vice president, Independent Bankers Association of America, representing the association, accompanied by Richard Peterson, chief legislative counseL _ _ _ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ Coldwell, Hon. Philip E., member, Board of Governors, Federal Reserve System_________________________________________________________ Craig, Ben T., chairman, Northwestern Financial Corp., North Wilkesboro, N.C_ _ _ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ Crozier, William M., Jr., chairman and president, BayBanks, Inc., Boston, Mass___________________________________________________ Daly, Owen, chairman of the board, Equitable Trust Bank, Baltimore, Md____________________________________________________________ Davis, Jack, executive vice president, United Bank of Arizona__________ DeLay, J. J., president, Huron Valley National Bank, Ann Arbor, Mich_ Foster, Robert M., senior vice president, Arlington Trust Co., Lawrence, Mass___________________________________________________________ Geddes, William W., president and chief executive officer, Wilmington Trust Co., Wilmington, DeL____ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ Harper, Michael G., vice president, Southgate Bank & Trust Co., Prairie Village, Kans___________________________________________________ Haywood, Dr. Charles F., vice chairman of the board of directors, Bank of Lexington, Lexington, Ky________________________________________ Hemann, Charles W., vice president, First National Bank of Arizona, Phoenix, Ariz___________________________________________________ Hill, Richard D., president, Association of Reserve City Bankers, chairman, The First National Bank of Boston___________________________ Holding, Lewis R., president, First-Citizens Bank & Trust Co., Raleigh, N.C ______ _ -------------------------------------------------- Johnson, Walter, president, Allied Bank of Texas, Houston, Tex_________ Johnson, W. W. chief executive officer, Bankers Trust of South Carolina, Columbia, S.C ________________________________________________ I Lattanzio, Elizabeth J., president and chief executive officer, First National Bank, Wilmington, Del_____________________________________ Jordan, Jerry L., senior vice president and economist, Pittsburgh National Bank, Pittsburgh, Pa_______________________________________ LeMaistre, Hon. George A., Chairman, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation__________________________________________________________ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (ID) 562 605 585 678 175 218 707 459 578 654 657 591 675 626 745 652 192 691 603 609 677 427 270 IV STATEMENTS--Continued Leonard, Harry E., bank commissioner, State of Oklahoma, president-elect, Conference of State Bank Supervisors, on bellalf of the conference; accompanied by Dr. Lawrence E. Kreider, executive vice president-economist of the conference ___________________________________________ _ Long, C. Michael, senior vice president, Ranchmart Bank & Trust, Overland Park, Kans ________________________________________________ _ McConnell, J. H. Tyler, president and chief executive officer, Delaware Trust Co., Wilmington, DeL _____________________________________ _ McCracken, Prof. Paul W., Edmund Ezra Day University, professor of business administration, University of Michigan ____________________ _ Mc9rady, Howard C., senior vice president, Valley National Bank, Phoenix, Anz _______________________________________________________ _ McNair, John, III, vice chairman, Wachovia Bank & Trust Co., N.A., Winston-Salem, N.C ____________________________________________ _ Matthews, Robert L., president, Continental Bank, Phoenix, Ariz _____ _ Mayer, Thomas, professor of economics, University of California at Davis_ Miller, Hon. G. William, Chairman, Board of Governors, Federal Reserve_ System ________________________________________________________ ¥orris, Frank E., president, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston __________ _ Nye, Harry H., executive vice president, Franklin State Bank, Somerset, N.J ___________________________________________________________ _ O'Leary, Dr. James J., vice chairman, U.S. Trust Co., New York, N.Y __ Orr, L. Glenn, Jr., president, Forsyth Bank & Trust Co., Winston-Salem, N.C ___________________________________________________________ _ Perkins, John H., president, Continental Illinois National Bank & Trust Co., Chicago, Ill., president-elect, American Bankers Association, on oehalf of the association; accompanied by Leif Olsen, chief economic policy committee, Citibank, New York, N. Y., and chairman, economic advisory committee, American Bankers Association _________________ _ Riefler, Donald B., chairman, sources and uses of funds committee, Morgan Guaranty Trust Co:,,T.New York, N.Y _____________________________ _ Romberg, Bernhard w ., president, Payment and Administrative Communications Corp., New York, N.Y ______________________________ _ Rosenberg, Allen, vice chairman, Great Western Bank & Trust Co., Phoenix, Ariz _________________________________________________ -Say}es, Thomas D., Jr., president, Summit & Elizabeth Trust Co., Summit, N.J ___________________________________________________________ _ Schechter, Henry, director, Department of Urban Affairs, AFL-CIO ____ _ Shea, Jeremiah P., president and chief executive officer, Bank of Delaware, Wilmington DeL __________________________ -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -Snyder, Clair A., executive vice president, American Bank & Trust Co., Reading, Pa ________________________________________________ -- __ Sprinkel, Beryl W., executive vice president and economist, Harris Trust & Savings Bank, Chicago, llL ______________________________________ _ Staley, Rex E., president, City Bank, Sun City, Ariz __________________ _ Stone, Robert F,:.i president, Continental Bank, Phoenix, Ariz __________ _ Tisdall, Joseph v., executive vice president, Farmers Bank of Delaware __ Weil, Leonard, president, Manufacturers Bank, Los Angeles, Calif ______ _ Wicks, Parke W., president and chief executive officer, First Trust & Deposit Co., Syracuse, N. Y _________________________ -- -- -- -- -- ---- Page 304 625 676 444 651 715 656 449 78 243 636 681 690 308 612 468 653 629 422 673 627 239 647 655 674 595 302 ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD American Bankers Association (ABA), prepared statement on behalf by John H. Perkins, president-elect___________________________________ American Federation of Labor-Congress of Industrial Organizations (AFL-CIO) statement presented on behalf by Henry Schechter, director, Department of Urban Affairs________________________________ Association of Reserve City Bankers, prepared statement on behalf by Richard D. Hill, president________________________________________ Austin, Aubrey E., Jr., chairman of the board and chief executive officer, Santa Monica Bank, Santa Monica, Calif., mailgram dated September 19, 1978________________________________________________________ Barnes, Theodore W., prepared statement____________________________ BayBanks, Inc., Boston, Mass., prepared statement on behalf by William M. Crozier, Jr., chairman and president____________________________ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 316 422 195 767 565 463 V ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD--Continued Bellinger, John D., president, First Hawaiian Bank, Honolulu, Hawaii, telegram dated September 22, 1978 __________________ -- ___________ _ Blackshear, A. Harrel, prepared statement ___________________________ _ Blythe, Samuel L., president, Western Carolina Bank & Trust Co., Asheville, N.C., letter dated September 21, 1978 ________________________ _ Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, prepared statement presented on behalf by Chairman G. William Miller ________________ _ Boatwright, H. Lee, prepared statement _____________________________ _ Bowden, Ralph H., president, Gateway Bank, Greensboro, N.C., letter dated Se})tember 22, 1978 _______________________________________ _ Campbell, Raymond D., prepared statement ________________________ _ Coldwell, Gov. Philip E., prepared statement ________________________ _ Conference of State Bank Supervisors (CSBS) statement presented on behalf by Harry E. Leonard, president-elect _______________________ _ Courson, Merle D., executive vice president, Western Bank, Coos Bay, Oreg., telegram dated September 21, 1978 _________________________ _ Craig, Ben T., prepared statement _________________________________ _ Crozier, William M., Jr., prepared statement ________________________ _ Culberson, James M. Jr., president, First National Bank of Randolph County, Asheboro, N.C., letter dated September 21, 1978 ___________ _ Daly, Owen, exhibits submitted: Exhibit A: outline of general comments _________________________ _ Exhibit B: outline of remarks __________________________________ _ Evans, Hon. Thomas B., Jr., statement submitted of Hon Pierre S. DuPont, Governor, State of Delaware _________ ---------------------- _____ _ Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), prepared statement on behalf b_y Hon. George A. LeMaistre, Chairman ____________________ _ John20,A.,1978 Jr.,_____________________________________________ Bank of Granite, Granite Falls, N.C., letter dated_ Forlines, September Foster, Robert M., letter submitted from Daniel J. Murphy, president, Arlington Trust Co., Lawrence, Mass. dated September 21, 1978 _____ _ Franz, Robert W., president, First State Bank of Oregon, Milwaukee, Wis., mailgram dated September 20, 1978 ______________________________ _ Frenzel, Otto N., III, chairman, Merchants National Bank & Trust Co., Indianapolis, Ind., letter with D. W. Tanselle, president, dated September 13, 1978 ____ -- __ -- -- ____ -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- ---- -Friedman, Milton, professor of economics, University of Chicago, senior research fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University ____________ _ Fugate, Ivan D., president, Independent Bankers Association of America, telegram dated September 14, 1978 _______________________________ _ Gaskins, E. D., chairman of the board, chief executive officer, American Bank & Trust Co., Monroe, N.C., letter dated September 21, 1978 ____ _ Grady, Stafford R., chairman of the board, Lloyds Bank of California, Los Angeles, Calif., telegram dated September 21, 1978 _____________ _ Green, Hon. S. William, article entitled "Fed Use of Incorrect Money Supply Data May Spur Economic Woes, Analysts Say," from the Wall Street Journal of July 10, 1978 ___________________________________ _ Haywood, Dr. Charles F., prepared statement _______________________ _ Hikam, Howard, president Citizens Valley Bank, Albany, Oreg., mailgram dated September 20, 1978 _______________________________________ _ Hill, Richard D., prepared statement _______________________________ _ Holding, Lewis R., prepared statement ______________________________ _ Independent Bankers Association of America, prepared statement on behalf by Raymond D. Campbell, first vice president _________________ _ Johnson, Leland H., president, First National Bank of Oregon, Portland, Oreg., telegram dated September 20, 1978 _________________________ _ Jordan, Jerry L., prepared statement _______________________________ _ Kane, Edward J., Everett Reese, professor of banking and monetary economics, Ohio State University, statement __________________________ _ LeMaistre, Hon. George A., prepared statement ______________________ _ Lucas, Tom, president, The Heritage Bank, Lucama, N.C., letter dated September 21, 1978 _____________________________________________ _ McCracken, Paul W., prepared statement ___________________________ _ McNair, John, III, prepared statement and letters from bankers of North Carolina _______________________________________________________ _ Mayer, Thomas, prepared statement ________________________________ _ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Page 769 606 761 89 587 760 180 221 304 770 708 463 762 581 583 678 275 761 593 768 763 169 770 760 771 407 747 768 195 693 180 769 431 758 275 761 446 717 451 VI ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS SUBMITTED FOR THE RECOR~ontinued Miller, Hon. G. William: Letters dated August 14, 1978 re section 1411 of the Financial Insti- Page tui~i:. ~:r:!:~ 7. ttt~~~~I!_~~~~--~~~=~~:~~ _______________ _ 154 Hon. Chalmers P. Wylie __________________________________ _ 0 "Preliminary Proposal," document to promote competitive equality among member banks and other financial institutions and to encourage membership in the Federal Reserve System ____________ _ Prepared statement with attached charts ________________________ _ Response to questions of: Chairman Henry S. Reuss _________________________________ _ Hon. Garry Brown _______________________________________ _ Hon. Parren J. Mitchell ___________________________________ _ Mitchell, Hon. Parren J., opening statement _________________________ _ Morris, Frank E., prepared statement_ ______________________________ _ Nye, Harry H., prepared statement _________________________________ _ Okinaka, Richard T., president and chief operating officer, City Bank, Honolulu, Hawaii, telegram dated September 21, 1978 ______________ _ O'Leary, Dr. James J., prepared statement with attached charts _________ _ Payment and Administrative Communications Corp., New York. N.Y., prepared statement presented on behalf by Bernhard W. Romberg, president ____________ -----------------------------------------Perkins, John H., pI'epared statement ________________________________ _ Reuss, Chairman Henry S.: Opening statement ___________________________________________ _ Questions submitted to Hon. G. William Miller, Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, with attached responses _________________ _ Riefler, Donald B., prepared statement _____________________________ _ Robinson, Craig, president, Citizens' Bank of Oregon, Eugene, Oreg., telegram dated September 21, 1978 _______________________________ _ Romberg, Bernhard W., prepared statement __________________________ _ Ronta, F. D., president, Independent Bankers Association of Northern California, Santa Rosa, Calif., telegram dated September 20, 1978 ______ _ Sayles, Thomas D., Jr., prepared statement_ __________________________ _ Shore John W., Jr., _president, Commercial & Savings Bank, Boonville, N.C., letter dated September 21, 1978 _____________________________ _ Solso, V. E., president, The Oregon Bank, Portland, Oreg., mailgram dated September 20, 1978 _____________________________________________ _ Staley, Rex E., letter dated September 18, 1978, enclosing copy of resolution unanimously adopted by the Arizona Bankers Association _________ _ Stanley, W. H., chairman and president, Peoples Bank & Trust Co., . Rocky Mount, N.C., letter dated September 21, 1978 _________________ _ Stanton, Hon. J. William, study submitted entitled "The Decline of Federal Reserve Membership: Its Implications and Proposed Solutions," dated February 1978, by Charlotte Goldsten, minority professional staff member, House Committee on Banking,Finance and Urban Affairs_____ _ Stevens, Robert G., chairman, president, chief executive officer, BancOhio, statement with John G. McCoy, president and chief executive officer, First Banc Group of Ohio, Inc., and Arthur D. Herrmann, president and chief executive officer, Huntington Bancshares, Inc ___________________ _ Taba, Clarence T., executive vice president, Hawaii Bankers Association, Honolulu, Hawaii, mailgram dated September 22, 1978 _______________ _ Tanselle, D. W., president, Merchants National Bank & Trust Co., Indianapolis, Ind., letters with Otto N. Frenzel III, chairman, dated September 13, 1978 _____________________________________________ _ Tressler, David L., president and chief executive officer, Northeastern Bank__________________________________________________________ of Pennsylvania, Scranton, Pa., mailgram dated September 21,_ 1978 Vento, Hon. Bruce F., telegram dated September 21, 1978, from Richard H. Vaughan, president, Northwest Bancorporation, Minneapolis, Minn ____ _ Weil, Leonard, prepared statement _________________________________ _ Whiteside, William E., secretary of banking, Pennsylvania Department of Banking, Harrisburg, Pa., letter dated September 21, 1978 ________ _ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 152 119 89 54 143 162 20 248 638 768 683 472 316 34 54 614 769 472 771 631 761 765 648 763 524 557 766 763 767 620 598 764 vn: APPENDIX CORRESPONDENCE RELATING TO LEGISLATIVE PROPOSALS CONCERNING THE FEDERAL RESERVE'S MONETARY CONTROL AND THE MEMBERSHIP PROBLEM Congressional correspondence: Chairman Henry S. Reuss: April 27, 1978_____________________________________________ May 17, 1978_____________________________________________ June 5, 1978______________________________________________ June 28, 1978_____________________________________________ Hon. G. William Miller: May 5, 1978_ --------------------------------------------May 31, 1978_____________________________________________ June 12, 1978_____________________________________________ Hon. Parren J. Mitchell: April 27, 1978_____________________________________________ May 17, 1978_____________________________________________ Hon. Fernand J. St Germain: April 27, 1978_____________________________________________ May 17, 1978_____________________________________________ Senator William Proxmire, June 5, 1978__________________________ Correspondence from economists: Martin J. Bailey, University of Maryland, July 29, 1978_ _ _ __ __ __ __ Phillip Cagan, Columbia University, July 26, 1978________________ Samuel B. Chase, Jr., Golembe Associates, Inc., Washington, D.C., August 1, 1978______________________________________________ William G. Dewald, Ohio State l.Jniversity, July 28, 1978_ _ _ _ _ _ __ __ Albert Gailord Hart, Columbia University, July 27, 1978___________ George G. Kaufman, University of Oregon, July 28, 1978__________ Benjamin J. Klebaner, City College of the City University of New York, August 2, 1978________________________________________ Allan H. Meltzer, Carnegie-Mellon University, August 10, 1978_ ____ Almarin Phillips, University of Pennsylvania, July 29, 1978________ James L. Pierce, University of California, Berkeley, July 31, 1978___ William Poole, Brown University, July 20, 1978___________________ Robert M. Solow, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, July 24, 1978______________________________________________________ _ James Tobin, Yale University, August 8, 1978____________________ Correspondence from financial institutions: Credit Union National Association, Inc. (CUNA), David S. Wright, chairman of the board, August 3, 1978_________________________ National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Saul B. Klaman, president, August 7, 1978_____________________________________ National Credit Union Administration, Lawrence Connell, Administrator, August 10, 1978_______________________________________ National Savings and Loan League, William L. Reynolds, executive director, August 1, 1978______________________________________ Other correspondence: Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Robert H. McKinney, Chairman, August 3, 1978______________________________________________ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis i'age 773 777 780 787 775 779 784 773 777 773 777 780 913 885 829 808 888 879 796 790 877 805 908 911 792 921 918 915 923 926 MONETARY CONTROL AND THE MEMBERSHIP PROBLEM THUBSDAY, JULY 27, 1978 HouSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, COMMITTEE ON BANKING, FINANCE AND URBAN AFFAIRS, W a1Jhi;n,gton, D.O. The committee met at 9 a.m., in room 2128, of the Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Parren J. Mitchell, Hon. Fernand J. St Germain presiding. Present: Representatives Reuss, Ashley, St Germain, Gonzalez, Minish, Hanley, Mitchell, Patt.erson, Blanchard, LaFalce, AuCoin, Derrick, Lundine, Pattison, Cavanaugh, Oakar, Mattox, Vento, Barnard, Stanton, Brown, Wylie, Hansen, Kelly, Grassley, Fenwick, Leach, Steers, Evans of Delaware, Caputo, Hollenbeck, and Green. Mr. MirouELL. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. This morning the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs begins hearings on legislation dealing with Federal Reserve member bank reserves: the payment of interest thereon1 and corollary questions. The legislation before us includes H.R. 12706, which was introduced by Mr. Stanton with cosponsors, in May; a proposed amendment to that bill; and two Federal Reserve proposals which the chairman of this committee, Mr. Reuss, introduced on request on July 14: H.R. 13476 and H.R. 13477. [The t.exts of the referred to bills, H.R. 13476, H.R. 13477, and H.R. 12706, follow:] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (1) 2 95TH2DCONGRESS SESSION H• R• 13476 IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES JULY 14, 1978 l\fr. REuss (by request) introduced the following bill; which was referred to the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs ABILL To amend the Federal Reserve Act to provide for the maintenance of reserves for certain institutions. l Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representa- 2 tives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, 3 That this Act may be cited as the "Federal Resene Require4 ments Act of 1978". 5 TITLE I-RESERVE REQUIREl\fENTS OF MEMBER 6 BANKS AND OTHER DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS 7 Siw. 101. The first section of the Federal Reserve Act, 8 as amended (12 U.-S.C. 221), is amended by adding at the 9 end thereof the following new paragraphs: 10 "The term 'depository institution' meansI https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 " ( 1 ) any inRnrcd hank aR defined iu sPctiou !1 of the l •> Federal l)ppo~it Insnmncc A ct.; 3 4 " ( 2) any mutual sayings hnnk as dcfiiwd in section 3 of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act; 5 li "(3) any savings hank as defined in section 3 of the FcdPral Deposit I1rnnrance Act; 7 s " ( 4) any insured credit union as defined in section 101 of the Federal Credit Union Act; 9 10 " (5) any member as defined in section 2 of the Federal Home Loan Bank Act. 11 12 " ( 6) any insured institution as defined in section 401 of the National Housing Act; and 13 " ( 7) for the purpose of section 13 and the four- 14 teenth paragraph of section 16, any association or entity 15 which is wholly owned by or which -consists only of 16 institutions referred to in clauses ( 1) through (6). 17 "The term 'transaction account' means a deposit or 18 account on which the depositor or account holder 1s 19 allowed to make withdrawals by negotiable or transferable 20 instrument or other similar item for the purpose of making 21 payments to third persons or others. Such term includes 22 demand deposit, negotiable order of withdrawal, and share 23 draft ac-counts.". 24 SEC. 102. Section 19 (a) of the Federal Reserve Act, as 25 amended (12 U.S.C. 461), is amended by adding at the end https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 3 J thereof the following: "In order to prevent ernsions of the 2 reserve requirements imposed by this Act, after consultation 3 with the Board of Directors of the }'edernl Deposit Insur4 ance Corporation, the }'ederal Home Loan Bunk Board, and 5 the Administrator of the Natimial Cwclit Union Administrn- 6 tio11, the ]foar<l of Uo\'l'rnor~ of tlw Ft•d(•rnl Hl'H('!'Yc f-\y~tl'lll 7 i~ further ,rnthorize<l to dcicn11i11c, hy regulation or onler, 8 that an accou11t or deposit i~ a transaction al'conut where such 9 account or deposit may Le used to provide fonds directly or 10 indirectly for the purpose of making payments or transfers to 11 12 13 third persons or others.". SEO. 103. The lust sentence of subsection (b) of section 19 of the Federal Reserve Act, as amended (12 U.S.C. 14 461), is designated as paragraph (7) and that part of sub15 section ( b) that precedes that sentence is amended to read 16 as follows: 17 " (b) ( 1) Except as provided in paragraph (4) , every 18 depository institution as defined in section 1 of the Federal 19 Reserve Act, as amended (12 U.S.C. 221), shall maintain ~O reserves against its demand deposits ·at such average ratio of 21 not less than 7 per centum nor more than 22 per centum, as 22 shall be determined by the Board. 23 " ( 2) Except rns provided in paragraph (4), every 24 depository institution as defined in section 1 of the Federal 25 Reserve Act, as amended (12 U.S.C. 221), shall maintain https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5 4 1 reserves which shall be at the same leYel for all depository 2 institutions against all other transaotion accounts a:t such 3 average ratio of not less than 3 per centum nor more than 4 12 per centum, as shall be determined by the Board. 5 " (::I) Ji]vcry mrmhcr hank f;hall maint,ain reserves 6 against its tiuw dt•posits nud ~a ,·iug1' dqlOsits ( other thnn 7 ll('gotiahle ordt>r of withdrawal ne<•o1mti-;) as Ruch average s ratio of not less thai1 one-half of 1 per ceutnm nor more than 9 10 per ccutnm, as Hhall he determined by the Board. 10 "(4) A total of $.3,000,000 of transaction accounts 11 of a depository institution shall not be subject to the reserve 12 requirements of this section, subject to such rules and regu13 lations as may be adopted by the Hoard. However, the 14 Board may impose reserve requirements on such tr.ansaction 15 accounts at such avera.ge ratio of up to 7 per centum if 16 determined to he appropriate in ,light of general liquidity, 17 considerations of monetary policy, or other relevant condi18 tions prevailing in the •banking system. 19 " ( 5) Every depository institution as defined in section 20 1 of the Federal Reserve Act ( 12 U.S.O. 221) shall make 21 reports concerning its deposit liabilities and required reserves 22 at snch times ancl in such manner and form as the Board may 23 require. 24 "(6) (a) For purposes of determining the reserve re- 25 quirements of a depository institution established .alter June https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6 5 1 30, 1978 which is an affiliate of a depository institution sub- 2 ject to the reserve requirements of this section, the trans3 action accounts of such newly established depository insti- 4 tutions shall be added to the total transaction accounts of 5 such affiliated depository institution. 6 " (b) In addition to its authority under section 19 (a) , 7 the Board ii- authoriz<'d to determine, hy regulation or order, s the affiliated depository institution to whose transaction ac- 9 counts the transaction accounts of a depository institution 10 established after June 30, 1978, shall he added for purposes 11 of this provision.". 12 SEC. 104. With respect to any depository institution 13 that is not a member of the Federal Reserve System on 14 June 30, HJ78, the required reserves imposed pursuant 15 to subsection ( n) against its .transaction accounts on the ef- 16 fective date of this ,\d shall be reduced by 75 per ccntum 17 during the first year that begins after the effertive date, 50 18 per centum during the second year, and 25 per centum dur19 ing the third year. 20 SEc. 105. (a) Section 19 (c) of the Federal Reserve 21 Act, as amended ( 12 U.S.C. 461), is amended to read as 22 follows: "Reserves held by any depository institution to 23 meet the requirements imposed pursuant to subsection (b) I 24 of this section r,;hall he in the form of- 25 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis " ( I ) hulances maintained for su<'h purpose!:! by 7 6 1 such depository institution in the :Federal Reserve bank 2 of which it is a member or at which it maintains an ac- 3 count. However, the Bourd may, hy regulation or order, 4 permit depository institutions to maintain all or a portion 5 of their re4uired reseryes against the transaction accounts 6 in the form of vault cash: Provided, Thnt such J>ropor- 7 tion shall uc ideuticnl for all depository institutions; and 8 "(2) balances maintained by a nonmember de- 9 pository institution in a memuer bank or in a Federal 10 home loan bank maintains such funds in the form of 11 balances in a Federal Reserve bank of which it is a 12 member or at whieh it maintains an account. Balances 13 received by u. mcmucr uank from another depository 14 institution that arc used to satisfy the reserve requirc- 15 mcnts imposed on such depository institution by this 16 section shall not be subject to the reserve requirements 17 of this section imposed on such member bank and shall 18 not be subject to assessment imposed on such member 19 bank pursuant to section 7 of the Federal Deposit In- 20 surancc Act, as amended ( 12 U.S.C. 1817) .". 1 21 TI'.l.'LE II-CONFOR:UING AMENDMENTS AND 22 EFFECTIVE DATE 23 SEC. 201. Se<:tion 5A of the Federal Home Loan Bank 24 Act, as nmm11led ( 12 U.R.O. 1425a), is amended hy rc25 designating snusection ( f) as subsection (g) .and by in- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 7 1 serting before such subsection, as redesignated, the follow- 2 ing new subsection : 3 "(f) Every institution which is a member or is an 4 insured institution as defined in section 401 (a) of title IV 5 of the National Housing Act ( 12 U .S.C. 1724 (a) ) shall 6 maintain reserves against its transaction accounts as defined 7 in section 1 of the Federal Reserve Act ( 12 U.S.C. 221) 8 in accordance with the provisions of section 19 of the 9 Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. 461) in amounts not less 10 than such percentages of its aggregate amounts of such 11 deposits or accounts as may be prescribed under section 12 19 (L) of the Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. 461) by the 13 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.". 14 SEC. 202. Section 116 of the Federal Credit Union 15 Act, as amended ( 12 U.S.C. 1762), is amended by adding 16 at the end thereof the following new subsection: 17 " ( c) Each insured credit union shall maintain re- 18 serves against its transaction accounts as defined in section 19 1 of the Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. 221) in accord20 ance with the provisions of section 19 of the Federal Re21 serve Act ( 12 U.S.C. 461) in amounts not less than such 22 percentages of its aggregate amounts of such deposits or 23 accounts as may be prescribed under section 19 (b) of the 24 Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. 461) by the Board of 25 Governors of the Federal Reserve System.". https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 8 1 SEC. 203. (a) The first paragraph of section 13 of the 2 Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. 342) is amended as~ 3 follows: ( 1) by inserting after the words "member banks" 4 5 the words "or other depository institutions"; 6 ( 2) by inserting after the words "payable upon 7 presentation" the first and third times they appear, 8 the words "or other items, including negotiable orders 9 of withdrawal or share drafts"; 10 (3). by inserting after the words "payable upon 11 presentation within its district," the words "or other 12 items, including negotiable orders of withdrawal or 13 share drafts"; 14 (4) by inserting after the words "nonmember 15 bank or trust company," wherever they appear the 16 words "or other depository institution"; 17 (5) by striking the words "sufficient to offset the 18 items in transit held for its account by the Federal 19 Reserve bank" and inserting in lieu thereof the words 20 "in such amount as the Board determines taking into 21 account items in transit, services provided by the Fed- 22 eral Reserve bank, and other factors as the Board may 23 deem appropriate" ; ' 24 32•9?2 0 • TB • 2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ( 6) by inserting after the words "nonmember 10 9 1 bank" after the second colon the words "or other de- 2 pository institution". 3 (b) The thirteenth paragraph of section 1G of the 4 :Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. 360) is amended as 5 follows: ( 1) 6 by Htrikiug ont the words "member banks" 7 whercrnr they appear nml inserting in lien thereof 8 "depository institutions"; 9 (2) by Rtriking out the words "memhcr bank" 10 wherever they appear and iuserting in lieu thereof 11 "depository institution"; 12 ( 3) by inserting ,after "checks" wherever it ap- 13 pears the words "and other items, including negotiable 14 orders of withdrawal and share drafts". 15 ( c) The fourteenth paragraph of section 16 of the 16 ]federal Reserve Act ( 12 U.S.C. 248 (o) ) is amended by 17 striking out "its member banks" mid inserting in lieu there18 of "depository institutibns". 19 SEC. 204. The provisions of this Act shall become 20 effective one year after the date of enactment. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 D;JTuCONGRESS 2D SESSION H R 13477 • • IN nm HOUHB ()11' IrnPRBSEN'fA'l'IVES ,J FLY H, 1!)78 i\lr. H1mss (l,_y l'<'<}l!Pst) introdn(·Pd tlw following- bill; whieh was·rde1T!'d to the Committre on Hanking, l<'innncr nnd Urban Affairs A BILL To amend the Federal Reserve Act to authorize the payment of interest on reserve balances. 1 Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representa- 2 tives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, 3 That this Act may be cited as the "Interest on Reserves Act 4 of 1978." SEC. 2. Section 13 of the Federal Reserve Act is 5 6 amended by adding at the end thereof the following new 7 paragraph: 8 "Subject to such limitations, restrictions, and regula- 9 tions as the Board of Governors may prescribe, the Federal 10 Reserve banks are hereby authorized to pay interest on bal11 ances held in any Federal Reserve bank pursuant to section I https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 12 1 19 (c) ( 1) of this Act. The total amount of such interest 2 paid with respect to any year shall not exceed the sum of a the following items computed with respect to the same year: " (A) 4, total receipts by J?ederal neserYe banks 5 from the recipients of snd1 iutereRt for sPrYircs rendered G to sul'h rrcipirnt:-; hy snch hnukR. nnd 7 "(B) 7 per centum of the total net earnings of the 8 Federal neserve banks computed without regard to the 9 payment of such interest. 10 The rate of interest paid under this section shall not ex- 11 ceed 2 per eentum per annum with respect to required bal12 ances in excess of $25,000,000 held at Federal ncscne 13 banks.". https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 13 95mCONGRESS 2D SESSION H• R• 12706 . IN THE IIOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES MAY 12,1978 :Mr. STANTON (for himself, Mr. AsnLEY, l\Ir. H.\NNAFOnD, Mr. B.rnNAnD, l\Ir. WATKINS, l\fr. ,VYLIE, Mr. RoussELOT, Mr. McKINN}:Y, Mr. HYDE, l\Ir. KELr,Y, Mr. STEERS, Mr. EVANS of Dclawar<>, and Mr. GREEN) introduced the following bill; which was l'l'fonl'tl to the Committee on Banking, l•'innncc and Urban Affairs ABILL To amend the Federal Reserve Act to provide for the pricing of Federal Reserve System servicrR and the payment of intcrrst on reserves. I Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representa- 2 tives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, 3 That this Act may be cited as the "Federal Reserve Mem4 bership Act of 1978". SEC. 2. 5 PRICING OF SERVICES.-(a) The Federal Rc- 6 serve Act is amended by inserting after section 11 ( 12 7 U .S.C. 248) the following new section: "SEC. llA. (a) Not later than July 1, 1979, the 8 9 Board -0£ Governors shall have prepared and shall publish I https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 14 2 1 for public comment ·a set of pricing principles in accord- 2 ance with this section and a proposed schedule of fees for 3 Federal Reserve System services; and not later than July 1, 4 1980, the Board shall put into effect a schedule of fees for 5 such services which is based on those principles. G "(b) The Federal Reserve System services which shall 7 he eovcired hy the schedule of fees under subRec·tion (a) are8 " ( 1 ) currency and coin services ; 9 " ( 2) check collection services; 10 " ( 3 ) wire transfer services; J1 " (4) automated clearinghouse services; 12 " (5) net settlement services; 13 " ( 6) securities safekeeping services; and 14 " ( 7) any new payment services which ,the Federal 15 Reserve System provides, including but not limited to 1G payment services thnt effef'tuatc the eleetronic transfer 17 of funds. 18 " ( c) The pricing principles referred to in subsection 19 (a) and the schedule of fees prescribed pursuant to this 20 section shall he based on the following general principles: 21 " ( 1) All serviceR shall be priced explicitly. 22 " (2) Prices shall be established on the basis of all 23 direct and indirect costs actually inrnrred in providing 24 the services priced, including overhead, and an allocaJtion 25 of imputed costs that .take into account the taxes that https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 15 3 1 would have ·been paid and the return on capital that 2 would have been provided had the payment services 3 been furnished by a private business firm. 4 " (3) SerYices shall ·be made available to any 5 depository institution at the same fee schedule applicable 6 to member banks.". 7 SEC. 3. INTEREST ON RESERVES.-'4-Section 19 of the 8 Federal Reserve Act is amended by inserting after subsec9 tion (b) (3) (12 U.S.O. 461 (bj) the following: 10 " (4) The Board shall pay interest on those reserves re- 11 quired to be held pursuant to this subsection. The rate of in- 12 terest shall be periodically determined bf an affirmative vote 13 of not less than four members of the Board. The rate of in- 14 terest shall not exceed the awrage rate paid during the 15 preceding calmdar quarter on United States Treasury bills 16 with maturities of three mouths. 17 "(5) Not later than July 1, 1981, the ]hml shall pre- 18 pare u study to be transmitted to the House Committee on 19 Bankiug, ]fo1a11ee and Urbnn Affair:s and Senate Committee 20 on Banking, Housing, and Urban AfTairs 011 the feasibility 21 and impact of permitting member banks to im-est a percent22 age of their required reserves in United States Treasury se- 23 curitics. 'fhe study shall examine the impact of such an ar24 rangement on- 25 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis " ( 1) monetary and financial conditions; 16 4 1 " ( 2) Treasury revenues ; 2 " ( 3) safety and soundness of member banks; 3 " ( 4) impact of benefits and costs of membership 4 in ]!' ederal Ueserve System. 5 " ( 6) In its annual report to Congress the Board shall 6 provide a full account of the changes in membership during 7 the preceding year, the pricing structure for services in s effect during the preceding year, and the interest rate struc- 9 ture on reserves in effect during the preceding year.". IO SEc. 4. DEFINITIO:XS.-(a) The Federal Uescrve Act 11 is Hllll'mlcd by uddiug at the eud of section 1 ( 12 U .S.C. 12 13 221) the following new paragrnph: "The t~rm 'depository institution' meuus" ( 1) any imured bank as defiued iu section 3 of the 14 15 lh•deral Deposit Insunmce Act; 16 17 " ( 2) any mutual savings bank as dcfiued in section 3 of the l!'cdernl Deposit Iusnrauce Act; "(3) any savings bank ns defined in section 3 of 18 19 the :Federnl Deposit Insurance Act; 20 21 " ( 4) any insured credit union as defined in section 101 of the Federal Credit Union Act; 22 23 " ( 5) any member as defined in section 2 of the l!'cdcral Home Loan Bank Act; 24 25 " ( 6) any insured institution as defined in section 401 of the National Housing Act; and 26 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis "{7) any association or entity which is wholly 17 5 l owned by or which consists only of institutions referred 2 to in clauses ( 1 ) through (6) .". 3 ( b) The first paragraph of section 13 of the Federal 4 Reserve .Act (12 U.S.C. 342) is amended( 1) by inserting "or other depository institutions" 5 6 after "member banks" ; 7 ( 2) by inserting "or other depository institution" s after "nonmember bank or trust company" each place it 9 appears; 10 ( 3) by inserting "and other factors as the Board 11 may deem appropriate" after the words "held for its 12 account by the :Federal Reserve bank"; and (4) by inserting "or other deposito1y institution" 13 14 after "nonmember bank" in the second proviso. 15 ( e) The thirteenth paragraph of section 16 of the Il'ed- 16 ernl Ueserve Act (12 U.S.C. 360) is amended as follows: 17 ( 1) by striking out the words "member banks" 18 wherever they appear and inse1ting in lieu thereof "de- 19 pository institutions" ; and 20 ( 2) by striking out the words "member bank" 21 wherever they appear and inserting in lieu thereof 22 "depository institution". 23 (d) 'l'he fourteenth paragraph of section 16 of the Fed- 24 eral Reserve Act ( 12 U.S.C. 248 (o) ) is amended by strik25 ing out "its member banks" and inserting in lieu thereof 26 "depository institutions". https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 18 Mr. MITCHELL. At the same time, Chairman Reuss announced that Mr. St Germain and I-as chairmen of the two subcommittees of relevant jurisdiction-would serve as cochairmen pro tern for these hearings. I am pleased to cochair these hearings. Our ultimate purpose is to produce legislation that effectively improves the Federal Reserve's monetary control and promotes eqmtable competition in our banking system, without unduly increasing the Federal budget deficit. I am concerned-as I am sure all of us are-about the Federal Reserve's failure to hit its announced target for M 1 growth for more than a year now. But I am not convinced that either mandatory universal reserve requirements or the payment of interest on member bank reserves to retain and attract members is needed to improve the accuracy of monetary control. I can't take seriously the argument that universal reserve requirements are needed. In regard to the need for membership, I cannot resist quoting from a July 1977 study prepared by Golembe Associates for the American Bankers' Association: * * * In fact, careful studies indicate that precise control of the monetary aggregates is not harmed by "nonmembership." The proposed amendment to R.R. 12706 provides an alternative. It would improve the accuracy of monetary control without imposing universal reserve requirements. It provides for the payment of interest on reserves, albeit a lesser amount than the Federal Reserve would like, and would take the necessary step of authorizing the Federal Reserve Board to obtain, on a timely basis, whatever summary statistics it may require on the assets and liabilities of any depository institution. The proposed amendment to R.R. 12706 provides for two other ways by which to improve monetary control. Specifically, it would tie the discount rate by formula to the Treasury bill rate; and second, establish statutory reserve requirement ratios for demand deposits and transactions balances. Many economists argue that discretionary changes both in the discount rate and in reserve requirements often are counterproductive and that open market powers are sufficient to conduct monetary policy effectively. I tend to a.~ree. The second basic ouestion raised by the legislation before us is how to enhance equitable competition 'in our banking system. All of the proposals before us contemplate the Federal Reserve's charging competitive prices for its services. This change from the current practice of providin~ these services gratis will enable other suppliers of these services-including commercial banks offering correspondent. services-to compete with the Federal Reserve on a more equal basis. However, the payment of interest on reserves-which also is contemplated by all of the proposals before us-could have anticompetitive effects. In all fairness, shouldn't we also authorize all correspondent banks to pay interest on their respondents' deposits? If we don't, won't we have given the Federal Reserve an unfair advantage vis-a-vis commercial banks offering correspondent services? The proposals before us also would restructure reserve requirements. The proposed amendment to R.R. 12706 would reduce them progressively. The Federal Reserve would change them to help middle- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19 sized banks most of all, and l~rge banks more than small ones. On this issue, I am on the side of the little guy, as always. The proposed amendment to H.R. 12706 would treat savings accounts subject to 1automatic transfer and other transactions balances identically the same as demand deposits for reserve requirements' purposes. The idea behind this approach is that it is neither necessary nor wise to link the payment of interest on any bank deposits which are effectively subject to withdrawal by check to a reduction in reserve requirements. However, that is what we will do if we don't treat transfer and transactions accounts the same as demand deposits for reserve requirements' purposes. Is this what we want to do? I think not, Finally, I want to make clear that I am not unsympathetic to paying interest on reserves, provided that the budget deficit is not thereby unduly increased. However, I can think of many ways to spend a few hundred million dollars every year which are more appealing than paying interest on reserves. ~ A possible middle ground is delineated by the proposed amendment to H.R. 12706, which would limit the payment of interest on reserves to the amount that the Federal Reserve e.arns from discounting plus fees it is expected to charge for services. This seems about right to me. In summary, the case for adopting H.R. 12706, with the proposed amendment, appears to be a strong one on all counts. However, I come to these hearings with an open mind. If there is no objection, I would like to put my full statement in the record at this point. [The complete opening statement of Mr. Mitchell follows:] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 20 OPENING STATEMENT of THE HONORABLE PARR EN J. MITCHELL CHAIRMAN OF THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON DOMESTIC MONETARY POLICY Hearings on H.R. 13476, the Reserve Requirements Act of 1978 H.R. 13477, the Interest on Reserves Act of 1978 ~.R. 12706, the Federal Reserve Membership Act of 1978 July 27, 1978 Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. This morning the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs begins hearings on legislation dealing with Federal Reserve member bank reserves, the payment of interest thereon, and corollary questions. On June 26, 1978, the Democratic Caucus of this Committee resolved that these are matters for Congressional determination and called for "thorough legislative hearings." On July 7, the Federal Reserve forwarded its legislative proposals on these matters. My colleague, Mr. Reuss, the Chairman of this Committee, introduced H.R. 13476 and H.R. 13477, the Federal Reserve proposals, at the request of the Federal Reserve on July 14. At the same time, he announced that the Committee would shortly hold hearings on the subject and that Mr. St. Germain and I, as Chairmen of the two subcommittees of relevant jurisdiction, would serve as co-chairmen pro tern for the hearings. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Our Chairman also recommended that H.R. 12706 21 on Federal Reserve membership, which the ranking minority member of the Committee, Mr. Stanton of Ohio, introduced with co-sponsors in May, serve, together with a proposed amendment to it, as "the primary legislative vehicle at our upcoming hearings." I am pleased to co-chair these hearings. Our ultimate purpose is to produce legislation that effectively improves the Federal Reserve's monetary control and promotes equitable competition in our banking system, without unduly increasing the Federal budget deficit. To accomplish these purposes, H.R. 13476 would extend statutory reserve requirements to all depository institutions and require them to make reports concerning their deposit liabilities and required reserves. H.R. 13477 would have Congress authorize the payment of interest on required reserves en deposit in Federal Reserve Banks. Additionally, the Federal Reserve contemplates charging for Federal Reserve services and-restructuring reserve requirements. On Improving Monetary Control am concerned, as I am sure all of us are, about the Federal Reserve's failure to hit its announced targets for Ml growth for more than a year now. But I am not convinced that either mandatory universal reserve requirements or the payment of interest on member bank reserves is needed to improve the accuracy of monetary control. The proposed amendment to H.R. 12706 provides an alternative. It would improve the accuracy of monetary control without imposing universal reserve requirements. It provides for the payment of interest on reserves, albeit a lesser amount than the Federal Reserve would like. Moreover, the amendment would take the necessary step of authorizing the Federal Reserve Board to obtain, on a timely basis, whatever summary statistics it may https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 22 require on the assets and liabilities of any depository institution. am certain that these hearings will shed light on whether there is a compelling monetary policy need either to mandate universal reserve requirements or to provide incentives for Federal Reserve membership through the payment of interest on reserves at the expense of an increased budget deficit. I remain educable on this subject, but currently lean toward the view that all the Federal Reserve needs to control the monetary aggregates, besides the will to do so, is more complete, timely information on deposits, other liabilities and assets of depository institutions, as provided for in the proposed amendment to H.R. 12706. I don't take seriously any argument that universal reserve requirements are needed. In regard to the need for membership, I cannot resist quoting from a July 1977 study prepared by Golembe Associates for the American Bankers Association: The continuing, and perhaps accelerating, decline in bank membership in the Federal Reserve System is a serious problem, largely for practical and political, rather than economic, reasons •... In fact, careful studies indicate that precise control of the monetary aggregates is not harmed by nonmembership. The proposed amendment to H.R. 12706 provides for two other ways by which to impro~e monetary control. Specifically, it would tie the discount rate by formula to the Treasury bill rate, and second, establish statutory reserve requirement ratios for demand deposits and transactions balances, including savings accounts which after November 1 will provide for automatic transfers to checking accounts. Let me turn now to whether the Federal Reserve needs discretionary authority to set the discount rate and to change reserve requirements in order to conduct monetary policy effectively. Many economists think not. Indeed, they argue that discretionary changes both in the discount rate and https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 23 in reserve requirements often are counterproductive. For example, in 1974, when we were experiencing our worst recession since the 1930s, the discount rate wasn't reduced until December, although the Treasury bill rate clearly had peaked in August. Surely, it would have been better if at that time the discount rate had been tied by formula to the Treasurj' bill rate. In February 1975, testifying before the Senate Banking Committee, former Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board Arthur Burns pointed to reductions in reserve requirements, which released $2½ billion in reserves, as evidence that the Federal Reserve had been purs~ing an expansionary policy since the preceding September. He said, "Reductions in member bank reserve requirements were also ordered -- in September, November, and January, releasing a total of nearly $2½ billion in reserves to the banking system." However, these changes were misleading indicators of the thrust of monetary policy. For during that period the Federal Reserve was using open market operations to drain an equivalent amount of reserves from member banks. The net result was that while the Federal Reserve was congratulating itself on being expansionary, the growth of the money supply was dropping precipitously and recessionary forces were thereby exacerbated. The point I am making is that the Federal Reserve fooled itself into thinking that its policies were expansionary because it had lowered reserve requirements when, in fact, they were contractionary. Another kind of counterproductive change in reserve requirements occurred in September and October 1972 when, at a time when the forces of inflation were being unleashed, reserve requirements were reduced substantially. In the language of the Federal Reserve Board, the reductions were "designed to make reserve requirements of member banks and Federal Reserve checkcollection procedures more equitable and more efficient." these were not monetary policy actions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In other words, However, they had monetary policy 24 effects. The reductions powered the money supply upward, when what was needed was to slow down its growth. It was precisely the wrong action to take in 1972. The Corrmittee has to decide whether discretionary changes in the discount rate and reserve requirements are needed to conduct monetary policy or, as there is ample reason to believe, whether monetary control is best exercised only through open market operations. In this regard. it should be noted that we have no proposal before us which would limit, constrain or modify the Federal Reserve's open market powers in any way whatsoever. All in all, adopting H.R. 12706, with the proposed amendment, would appear to be the best way to provide for the improvement of monetary control. On Promoting Equitable Competition In The Banking System The second basic question raised by the legislation before us is how to enhance equitable competition in our banking system. All of the proposals before us contemplate the Federal Reserve's charging-competitive prices for clearing checks·, coin and currency pick-up and deliveries, wire transfers and safekeeping of securities. This change from the current practice of providing these services gratis definitely would improve competition in our banking system. It will enable other suppliers of these services to compete wit~ the Federal Reserve on a more equal basis. These suppliers include commercial banks offering correspondent services, clearing houses and nonbank businesses. However, the payment of interest on reserves, which also is contemplated by all of the proposals before us, could have anti-competitive effects. This is because Federal Reserve Banks are correspondent banks. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve is authorized to pay interest on the deposits of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 25 its respondents, then in all fairness, shouldn't we also authorize all correspondent banks to pay interest on their respondents' deposits? If we don't, won't we have given the Federal Reserve an unfair advantage vis-1-vis commercial banks offering correspondent services? I have not yet made up my mind on this particular issue. I hope that our witnesses will shed some light on it. Competition also will be affected by the changes in reserve requirements, either by the proposed amendment to H.R. 12706 or by regulation as contemplated by the Federal Reserve. One difference between the two is that the proposed amendment is progressive: it releases proportionately more reserves as the size of the bank decreases. In contrast, the restructuring of reserve requirements contemplated by the Federal Reserve favors middle size banks over all, .and large banks over small ones. Speaking personally, I always will be on the side of the little guy. A second difference between the two concerns how they would treat automatic transfer accounts and other transactions balances for reser.ve requirement purposes. The Federal Reserve proposes either to treat automatic transfer accounts as time deposits or to lump them into a special category for reserve requirement purposes along with NOW accounts and share drafts. Either way, the reserve requirement would be lower than on demand deposits. The proposed amendment to H.R. 12706 would treat automatic transfer accounts as transactions balances and all transactions balances, in turn, as identically the same as demand deposits, since all are subject to withdrawal by check. Some might object that doing so will hold back the growth of interest-paying automatic transfer accounts, which are scheduled to be introduced this fall. 32-9?2 0 - ?8 - 3 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis There is an element of 26 truth in this argument, but it is not persuasive. This is because, analytically, there really is no difference between allowing interest to be paid on demand deposits and allowing interest-paying automatic transfer accounts. Therefore, the question this Committee must resolve is whether i.t is necessary or wise to tie legislation which would allow the payment of interest on demand deposits to legislation that reduces reserve requirements. That is exactly what we will do if we fail to legislate treating demand and so-called transactions accounts as identically the same for reserve requirements purposes. Is this what we want to do? I think not. Budgetary Impact of Paying Interest on Reserves Finally, this Committee must resolve what restrictions, if any, should be placed on the payment of interest on member bank reserves. I am not unsympathetic to the proposal to pay interest on reserves, provided that the budget deficit is not thereby unduly increased. However, I can think of a lot of ways to spend a few hundred million dollars every year which are more appealing than paying interest on reserves. A possible middle ground is delineated by the proposed amendment to H.R. 12706, which would limit the payment of interest on reserves to the amount that the Federal Reserve earns from discounting plus the fees it is expected to charge for its services. This seems about right to me. In summary, the case for adopting H.R. 12706, with the proposed amendment, appears to be a strong one on all counts. these hearings with an open mind. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis However, I come to 27 Mr. MITCHELL. This morning our witness is G. William Miller, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. Welcome, Mr. Miller. As always, we are pleased to hear your views. Before asking you to proceed, I want to ask Chairman Reuss and the other members if they have opening statements. Chairman Reuss. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Mr. Mitchell. This morning the committee begins hearings on legislation to improve monetary control and the equity, efficiency, and competitiveness of our banking system. Some of the proposals before us would have a, significant impact on the budget. The proposals differ: from an open-ended authorization to pay out billions in one case, to a restriction of net direct-budget costs to a few tens of millions in another. In a time of budgetary austerity, these differences are important. We will view each proposal with a sharp eye on its potential budget costs. The Federal Reserve has requeste'd legislative action to help halt the erosion of membership in the Federal Reserve System. Member banks are leaving the system at a rate of 1.5 percent per year. Most of these banks are small : The median asset size of the last 50 banks to leave was about $25 million. It is estimated that total demand deposits of the last 50 banks to leave the system were under $1 billion. This suggests that the net effect, if any, of the erosion of membership on the Federal Reserve's degree of monetary control or the quality of Federal Reserve monetary data is small-and increasing only very slowly. In these hearings, we must ask not only, "How much does it cost to keep member banks in the Federal Reserve System?" but ,also, "Is membership worth it?". My answer to that latter question is, for three of the four proposals before us: "No." Making Federal Reserve membership more attractive to commercial banks should not be an end in itself. We must hold down costs. We must insure that the proposal we pass promotes competitiveness and equity in our banking system. We must examine the contribution of each proposal to the effectiveness of monetary policy. We must evaluate the e:fl'ect of each proposal on the safety of our financial institutions taken individually and as a whole. If Federal Reserve membership is not necessary to promote these goals, then it jg not necessary at all. We begin consideration today of three bills and a proposed amendment. One, the first bill, H.R. 13476, introduced at the request of the Federal Reserve, would extend reserve requirements to demand deposits and transactions accounts, vaguely defined, in all depository institutions. It would also permit the Federal Reserve to collect information relevant to monetary control directly from these institutions. H.R. 13476 closely resembles the bill first submitted to the Congress by then Chairman Arthur Burns of the Federal Reserve on Januarv 25, 1974, a draft entitled "The Reserve Requirements Act of 1974;" which would have extended requirements to all institutions receiving demand deposits on NOW accounts. This bill was never acted upon. In the Fine discussion principles, committee print of February 1976, the following principle was put forward: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 28 All federally insured depository institutions would be required to meet reserve requirements on their deposit liabilities, and on their liabilities to other depository institut1011s. However, in the bill introduced by Mr. St Germain and myself on April 7, 1976, H.R. 13077, which embodied the essential elements of the Fine study, the provision for mandatory reserve requirements on the deposit liabilities of all federally insured dep<>sitory institutions was not included, largely because of the committee's view that nonbank depository institutions were subject to such limitations on the sources and uses of assets as to make reserve homogenization inequitable. It should be noted that the Federal Reserve noted the removal of this provision with regret. In a letter from Chairman Burns to the House Banking Committee, dated April 26, 1976, he said: We also note with regret that H.R. 13077 fail@ to implement the Fine Discussion Principles calling for reserve requirements on the deposit liabilitiei& of all Federally insured depository institutions, with such reserves to be held at the Federal 'Reserve. The Board continues to believe that such a system of univel'sal l'equirements would contribute to the effectiveness of monetary policy. Two, the second bill, H.R. 13477, also introduced at the request of the Federal Reserve, would authorize payment of interest on required reserves, limiting the total of such payments to 7 percent of the Federal Reserve banks' net earnings plus receii;>ts from the sale of services to member banks. This limit would authorize net direct Treasury cost of more than $500 million per year. Three, the third bill, H.R. 12706, has been introduced by Mr. Stanton and cosponsored by Messrs. Ashley, Hannaford, Barnard, Watkins, Wylie, Rousselot, McKinney, Hyde, Kelly, Steers, Evans, and Green. This bill provides for the following: It would require the Federal Reserve to place individual prices on each of the services it offers. Currently, services are offered free to member banks, but at a cost of $410 million annually to the taxpayers according to Federal Reserve estimates. This measure would promote efficient production and use of these services. The Stanton bill, in calling for market-competitive prices on these services, assures that private competitiors of the Federal Reserve will not be undercut by unfair subsidized competition. It authorizes the payment of interest on member bank reserves, at a rate determined by the Board but not exceeding the average yield of 3-month TreaS11ry bills during the preceding quarter. The Stanton bill thus places a flexible limit on the rate of interest that can be paid, but not a dollar cap. It has the undesirable feature, in my view, of being somewhat open-ended: At current rates banks could receive over $2.2 billion per year in net benefits under the proposed formula. It asks for a study of the impact of permitting member banks to invest some of their reserves in U.S. Treasury securities. This bill also calls for an annual report to the Congress by the Board on changes in membership, the pricing structure of services, and the interest rate structure on reserves in effect during the preceding year. The fourth proposal before us 1s the proposed amendment to the Stanton bill, largely the work product of some of our highly respected less-senior members. This is designed to accomplish the basic goals of the Stanton and Federal Reserve bills-improved efficiency, competi- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 29 tive equity, and monetary control-while holding costs to the Treasury to a minimum. Frankly, Chairman Miller, in view of your own frequent admonitions about the Federal deficit, I think the substantially lower cost of the amendment to H.R. 12706 is a decided argument in its favor. The amendment to H.R. 12706 has five distinct provisions: First, the Federal Reserve would be authorized to pay interest on reserves up to a limit of the receipts from services and earnings from discounts and advances. This provision sets a tight limit on the cost of the overall pro~am to the taxpayer. Second, specific statutory reserve requirements would be established to replace the current reserve requirement ranges. Banks with under $10 million in demand deposits-over 60 percent of all banks-would be exempt from reserve requirements on transactions accounts altogether. For banks with more than $10 million a simplified progressive scale would be introduced. Under this provision, the burden of Federal Reserve System membership, which for most banks consists of the requirement that they hold sterile reserve balances, would be eliminated for the class of small banks who are now leaving the System Third, the discount rate would be tied to the average yield on 3month Treasury bills issued in the past 2 weeks. This proVIsion would lessen arbitrage possibilities and the danger of disruptive, unintended signals that is inherent in the current procedure for adjusting the discount rate. Fourth, the Federal Reserve, under the amendment would be authorized to obtain the information it needs on nonmember savings and loans', and credit unions' assets and liabilities. It would put the arm on the specific regulatory agencies to get this information and pass it on posthaste and forthwith to the Fed. Finally, the Fed would be required to transfer $575 million of its surplus to the Treasury. This is the same figure as the Fed came up with as an adjunct to its need, and it can be looked at as the surplus the Feds have-they pay $575 million and we pay $575 million, who could quarrel with that i In terms of the cost, the cost under the proposed amendment is far, far less than either of the other two bills-although, of course, the universal reserve requirements of the Fed really costs nothing and is therefore less costly. The net direct costs to the Treasury from the payment of interest on reserves would be limited to the diversion of earnings on discounts and advances from the Treasury to reserve-holding banks. We estimate the savings over the Fed's proposal at around a third of a billion a year-ignoring the ripple effect on tax liabilities. These savings of a third of a. billion reduce the budget deficit by a correspondingly amount, contributing to a goal which is in the minds of a great many of us. Under the bill introduced by Mr. Stanton, H.R. 12706, interest could be paid on reserves held by member banks, up to the average 90~ay Treasury bill rate. As I ha~e said, it would have to go up $2.2 billion a year. There are three questions which I would ask here: First, are these levels of interest payment necessary i https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 30 Second, would they induce a bank verging on defection from the Fed to remain in? And third, if so, what will be the effect on monetary policy? There are three answers to this, and I am going to just cover them. One, in my belief, the levels of interest proposed by the Fed and in the Stanton 'bill are not necessary. They are too high. The overwhelmjng volume of interest payments would be made to very large banks which have no intention of leaving the Federal Reserve System. For example, a $1 billion depository bank would get a payment in interest of $3 million a year from the taxpayers, and this seems to be quite a high price to pay. In fact, the banks that have left the Fed have been almost exclusively small. The median asset size of the last 50 banks to leave the System was $25.7 million. Yet for every $1 in interest paid to banks susceptible to defection from the System, $3 would go to banks that are not. Second, there is no evidence that banks on the margin of membership would be induced to return. We simply don't have any evidence on this. Such banks would certainly need to consider: first, the advantage of lower reserve requirements and higher interest payments on them available under State regulation; and second, the offsetting cost of having to pay for services provided by the Fed. These vary from case to case. And I would say, at this point, that it is surely significant that the small bankers are highly unenthusiastic about the interest on reserves proposal. Third, the effect on monetary control would be indeed minimal. Even if H.R. 13477 is enacted in toto, and even if it completely halts the attrition of members, and even if this were highly important for monetary control-and it isn't-it would still be true that the incremental fraction of the money supply to come under the Fed's jurisdiction would be negligible to the point of invisibility. At present, the Fed is losing demand deposits via defection at an annual rate of about $1 billion per year. This is less than the money supply growth often in a single week. The net direct and indirect cost to the U.S. Treasury would be over 70 cents for every dollar of demand deposits retained by the System. So I have to ask: Why is it desirable to limit interest payments on member bank reserves to Federal Reserve earnings on discounts and advances, plus the gross receipts from the pricing of services? This administration, right or wrong, has identified the federal budget deficit as a major source of inflationary pressure on the economy, it has committed itself to deficit reduction. Chairman Miller, you have pledged that you fully support this view in thought, word, and deed. Already, the President's proposed tax reduction package has been pared twice, and major social and defense spending programs have been cut back or delayed. The present proposal, directly or indirectly, would cost the Treasury about $700 million a year. Under the other proposal, the reduction in the reserves requirements-has a far greater relevance for the smaller banks who are inclined to leave the Federal Reserve System than under the Federal Reserve's own proposal. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 31 Conclusion: Given the tightness of the budget, the Federal Reserve, in my judgment, has not made a sufficiently strong case to justify expenditure of the sums it proposes to spend on interest on reserves. The alternative proposal-the amendment to H.R. 12706-is far less costly and therefore, I believe, preferable. From the standpoint of competitive equity and efficiency: The amendment to H.R. 12706 provides the best deal for the small banks. In this era of electronic fund transfer, NOW accounts, and international high-rolling, it is the small banks of this country who are feeling the competitive squeeze. It is small banks which are leaving the Federal Reserve System. The amendment to H.R. 12706 takes the pressure off these banks. It would enable them to earn market rates of interest on their reserves without quitting the Federal Reserve System. Nor would it require a massive subsidy from the U.S. taxpayers to the large banks. The amendment would also preserve an essential feature of competitive equity under present law: the flexibility that banks have to seek out their best regulatory bargain. Universal reserve requirements would effectively make this flexibility a dead letter. Finally, on monetary control, the amendment as proposed to H.R. 12706 provides the greatest gain in the effectiveness of monetary policy per dollar of Treasury cost. It would solve the information problem, without imposing an overlapping regulatory jurisdiction on nonmember depository institutions. It would eliminate discrepancies between the discount and market interest rates, thereby cutting down on steadily increasing higher interests. It would eliminate the uncertainties now associated with abmpt, sporadic shifts in the discount rate. The amendment eliminates the present flexible ranges of reserve requ~rements in favor of statutorily fixed ones, but this would not impair the effectiveness of monetary control. The Federal Reserve does not now use reserve requirements for monetary policy. To do so would be clumsy and imprecise. The reserves of the "banking system and the cash held by the public can be controlled down to the last penny by open market operations. Why swing a meat ax, when you have a scalpel? Are universal reserve requirements necessary for monetary control i No, they are not. Monetary policy is conducted almost exclusively with open l?:Lrket operations: the buying and selling of U.S. Government securities by the New York Federal Reserve Bank. This occurs through a network of traders, independently of whether the transacting institutions are or are not members of the Federal Reserve System, of whether they are or are not subject to Federal Reserveimposed reserve requirements, or of anything else. Reserve requirements are not altered £or monetary policy purposes. Universal reserve requirements would have no impact on this aspect of monetary policy. Reserves held do determine the multiplier relationship between the creation of reserves by open-market operations-the purchase of Government securities-and the creation of new money in circulation. This is an important relationship. It is, however, estimated statistically in practice and for this purpose any schedule of reserve requirements, universal or otherwise, is as good as any other. Since banks hold cash inventories whether they are subject to reserve requirements or not, there is no danger that exempting some classes https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 32 of depository institutions from reserve requirements would destabilize the relationship between open-market operations and money creation. Are flexible reserve requirements necessary for monetary control i No; they are not. Since 1935, the Federal Reserve System has been empowered to adjust reserve requirements applicable to member banks within legislated bands. The proposed amendment would set reserve requirements for demand deposits and other transactions accounts of member banks at fixed levels. Six reasons for this change are: One, the Federal Reserve does not need variable reserve requirements to conduct monetary policy; open-market operations are sufficient. Two, the Federal Reserve, in practice, does not use changes in reserve requirements as a basic tool for the day-to-day implementation of monetaray policy. Changes in reserve requirements have been made at an average of once a year since 1935. Three, the large, discrete changes in reserve requirements are a clumsy, imprecise way to change the money supply. M<:metary policy would benefit from the elimination of this tool and by concentration on open-market operations as a means of controlling the money supply. Through open-market operations the monetary base can be controlled very precisely, releasing or contracting the reserves to the nearest penny. Four, the two previous Chairmen of the Board of Governors have acknowledged that factors other than monetary developments have influenced Federal Reserve decisions concerning the use of reserve requirement changes. Both Chairmen cited the adverse impact of reserve requirement increases on the profitability of member banks relative to nonmember banks. Five, the general trend in reserve requirement levels strongly suggests that the Federal Reserve has been sensitive to member bank profitabi:lity-'-resistin~ increases and yielding to member bank preferences for decreases. Smee 1951, changes in reserve requirements, with few exceptions, have been in a downward direction. In 1951, the highest applicable reserve requirement was 24 percent and the lowest was ·14 percent. Today, the highest marginal rate is 16¼ percent and the lowest is ·7 percent, the lowest permissible under existing le¢slated bands. Six, setting reserve requirements at fixed levels would eliminate a potential source of interference with Federal Reserve independence m the conduct of monetary policy, pressure from member hanks to use reserve requirement changes selectively; namely, only when a change would be made in a downward direction whether in the best interest of proper monetary policy or not. Safety : It is true that, while the amendment to H.R. 12706 meets the legitimate underlying policy concerns which have been identified with the question of Federal Reserve System membership, it does not resolve the question o:bnembership itself. The Federal Reserve has maintained that the "viability" and "safety" of our banking system may be adversely affected if System membership continues to decline. So far, however, neither the Federal Reserve nor any outside https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 33 expert has come forward with one scintilla of evidence to support this view. I would be happy to have such evidence, if anY exists. Are nonmember FDIC-insured banks less safe than member banks for depositors? If we add up the deposits of failed banks, which is the greater-that for nonmember or member banks? Are correspondent banking relationships less safe than the Federal Reserve's provision of services such as check-clearing? Do nonmember banks hold dangerously small cash inventories~ Engage in less sound banking practices~ Get on their regulatory agencies' danger lists more often~ And if not, why does the Federal Reserve maintain that the safety of American banking is at stake. Chairman Miller, may I personally welcome you before this committee. On July 18, I sent you a list of 16 questions, your answers to which will be of great assistance to us. I ask unanimous consent that the 16 questions propounded by me to Chairman Miller on July 18, and to which he has furnished a reply, that both of them may be made a part of the record at this point. Mr. MITCHELL. Without objection, they will be entered into the record following your complete opening statement. [The complete opening statement of Chairman Reuss along with the referred to 16 questions submitted to Chairman Miller and his responses follow :] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 34 OPENING STATEMENT OF CHAIRMAN HENRY S. REUSS. COMMITTEE ON BANKING, FINANCE AND URBAN AFFAIRS U. S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AT HEARINGS ON THE f,1ONETARY CON'rROL AND THE MEMBERSHIP PROBLEM JULY 27, 1978 Room 2128 Rayburn HOB This morning the Committee begins hearings on legislation to improve monetary controi and the equity, efficiency and competitiveness of our banking system. Some of the proposals before us would have a significant impact on the budget. The proposals differ, from an open-ended authorization to pay out billions in one case to a restriction of net direct budget costs to a few tens of millions in another. a time of budgetary austerity these differences are important.. In We will view each proposal with a sharp eye on its potential budget costs. The Federal Reserve has requested legislative action to help halt the erosion of membership in the Federal Reserve System. Mem- ber banks are leaving the System at a i:ate of l. 5 percent per year. Most of these banks are small: the median asset size of the last 50 banks to leave was about $25 million. It is estimated that total demand deposits of the last 50 banks to leave the System ware https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 35 under$~ billion. This suggests that the net effect, if any, of the erosion of membership on the Federal Reserve's degree of monetary control or the quality of Federal Reserve monetary data is small. (And increasing only very slowly.) In these hearings, we must ask not only, "How much does it cost to keep member· banks in the Federal Reserve System?" but also, ''Is membership worth it?". My answer to that latter question is, for three of the four proposals before us: "No". Making Federal Reserve membership more attractive to commercial banks should not be an end in itself. We must hold down costs. We must ensure that the proposal we pass promotes competitiveness and equity in our banking system. We must examine the contribution of each proposal to the effectiveness of monetary policy. We must evaluate the effect of each propos21l on the safety of our financial institutions taken individually and as a whole. If Federal Reserve membership is not necessary to promote these goals, then it is not necessary at all. We begin consideration today of three bills and a proposed amendment. 1. The first bill, H.R. 13476, introduced at the request of the Federal Reserve, would extend reserve requirements to demand deposits and transactions accounts, vaguely defined, in all depository institutions. It would also pE:rmit the Federal Reserve to collect information relevant to wonetc1ry control directly from these institutions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 36 H.R. 13476 closely resembles the bill first submitted to the Congress by then-Chairman Arthur Burns of the Federal Reserve on January 25, 1974, a draft entitled "The Reserve Requirements Act of 1974", which would have extended reserve requirements to all institutions receiving demand deposits or NOW accounts. was never acted upon. Print of ~ 1976, This bill In the FINE discussion principles, Committee the following principle was put forward: "All federally insured depository institutions would be required to meet reserve requirements on their deposit liabilities, and on ·their liabilities to other depository institutions.• However, in the bill introduced by Mr. St Germain and myself on ·April 7, 1976, H.R. 13077, which embodied the essential elements of the FINE study, the provision for mandatory reserve requirements on the deposit liabilities ·of all federally insured depository inst:1.tutions was not included, largely because of the Committee's view that non-bank depository institutions were subject to such limitations on the sources and uses of assets as to make reserve homogenization inequitable. It should be noted that the Federal Re- serve noted the removal of this· provision "with regret". In a let- ter from Chairman Burns. to the House Banking Committee, dated April 26, 1976, he said: We also note witl:i. regret that H. R. 13077 fairs to implement the FI~E Discussion Principle calling for reserve requirements on the deposit liabilities of all Federally insured depository institutions, with such reserves to be held at the Federal Reserve. The Board continues to believe that such a system of universal reserve requirements would contribute to the effectiveness of monetary policy. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 37 2. The second bill, H.R. 13477, also introduced at the request of the Federal Reserve,would authorize payment of interest on required reserves, limiting the total of such payments to 7 percent of the Federal Reserve Banks' net earnings plbs receipts from the sale of services to member banks. This limit would authorize a net direct Treasury cost of ·more than $500 million per year. 3. The third bill, H.R. 12706, has been introduced by Mr. Stanton and co-sponsored by Messrs. Ashley, Hannaford, Barnard, Watkins, Wylie, Rousselot, McKinney, Hyde, Kelly, Steers, Evans, and Green. This bill provides for the following: A. It would require the Federal Reserve to place indi- vidual prices on each of the. services it offers. Cur.rently services are offered free to member banks but at a cost of $410 million annually to the taxpayers, according to Federal Reserve estimates. This measure would promote efficient production and use of these services. The Stanton bill, in calling for market-competitive prices on these services, assures that private competitors of the Federal Reserve will not be undercut by unfair subsidized competition. B. It authorizes the payment of interest on member bank reserves, at a rate determined by the Board but not exceeding the average yield of 3-month Treasury bills during the preceding quarter. The Stanton bill thus places a flexible limit on the rate of interest that can be paid, but not a dollar cap. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis It has the undesi.r- 38 able fec1ture, in my vie"-.•1, of being some\·1h.;1.t:. open-ended: at current rates banks could receive over $2.2 billion per year in net benefits under the proposed formula. C. It as%s for a study of the impact of permitting member banks to invest some, of their reserves in U.S. Treasury securities. This bill also calls for an annual report to the Congress by the Board on changes in membership, the pricing structure of services, and the interest rate structure on reserves in effect during the preceding year. 4. The fourth proposal before us is the proposcct amendm,-nt to the Stanton bill7 laraely the work product of some of our highly resp.r,cted less senior mewbers. This is designed to accomplish the basic goals of the Stanton and Fecteral Reserve bills improved efficiency, competitive equity, and monetary contro1 while hold- ing costs to the Treo.sun" to a minimmn. Frankly, Chairman Miller, in view of your own frequent admonitions about the Federal deficit, I think the substantially lower cost of the amendment to H.R. 12706, is a decided argument in its favor. The amendment c:o ll. R. 127 06 has five dis vLnct provisio:-1s: a. The Fe¢12ral Reserve ,-muld be authorized to pay interest on res.erves, up to a limit of the receipts from services and earnings from discounts c:.nd advances. This provision sets a tight limit on the cost of the overall- program to the taxpayer. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 39 b. Specific statutory reserve requirements would be estab- lished to replace the current reserve requirement ranges. Banks with under $10 million in demand deposits -- over 60 percent of all banks -- would be exempt from reserve requirements on transactions accounts altogether. For banks with more than $10 million a simpl,i- ficd progressive scale ~rould be introduced. Under this provis.ion, the burden of Federal RcE:crve System membership -- which for most banks consists of the requirement that they hold sterile reserve balances -- would be eliminated for the class of small banks who are now leaving the System. c. The discount rnte would be tied to the average yield on 3-month Treasury bills issu,;d in the past tHo weeks. 'l.'his provi- sion would lessen arbitrage possibilities and the danger of di~ruptive, unintended signals that is inherent in the current procedure for adjusting the discount rate. d. The Federal Reser✓2 would be authorized to obtain the information it needs on non-member depository institutions' assets and liabilities. This would solve the problem of monetary control. Rather than impose a vast. new regulatory and reporting burden on non-member institutions, however, the amendm:!nt specifies that the need eel information is to be col lee tec1 through the good offices of existing regulatory agencies. e. The Federal RE>serve would be required to transfe1.· $575 million o:f: its surplus to the Treasury within two years rather than three. This is a bool:Lcc,pi "'J tr ans~c U.on, designed to relieve the Federal Reserve of the eDbc;• ras:;r,,·2nt of holding ex.cess cash. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 40 In my opinion, the proposed amendment to H.R. 12706 provides the best deal -- for the taxpayer, for the competitive equity of our banking system, and for improved monetary control. The ques- tion of the safety of our banking system is, I think, an important one -- but I have seen no evidence that any of the proposals would affect bank safety one iota for better or for worse. ~: The amendment to H.R. 12706 is far less costly than either H.R. 13477 or H.R. 12706, um,.mended, though H.R. 13476, universal reserve requirements is, to be sure, less costly. Under the amendment, net direct costs to the Treasury from the payment of interest on reserves would be limited to the diver-sion of earnings on discounts and advances from the Treasury to reserve-holding banks. These earnings totaled $40 million last year, and would be even lower under the procedures prescribed in the amendment. This compares with an estimated direct Treasury cost of $355 million annually under H.R. 13477, and, as noted, the open-ended possibility of expenditures running into billions under the Stanton bill. Indirect costs from reducing reserve requirements are the same under either H,R. 13477 or H.R. 12706, amended. Under the Federal Reser\'C proposal (H.R. 13477), as explained in the memorandum accompanying Chairman Miller's letter of July 6, 1978, interest would be paid on required balances held at Federal Reserve banks as follows: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 41 First $25 million: 1/2 percentage point below the average return on the FRS portfolio, valued at book. If the 1977 return on the Fed portfolio is used as a benchmark, the rate of interest would be 6 percent. (Of course it would be higher in the present environment.) Above $25 million: 2 percent interest per anpum. Under H.R. 13477, interest payable would be limited to the sum of: receipts from fees on services 7 percent of the net earnings of the F. R. banks. The Federal Reserve estimates interest payouts would total $765 million per year on the basis of current member bank deposits and 1977 System earnings. from service charges. Of this, $410 million would be recouped Net direct Treasury cost: $355 million. The Federal Reserve estimates that an additional $80 million in Treasury savings should be deducted from this figure, on the assumptions that (1) without the legislation, current rates of attri- tion would continue and (2) the program would result in a halt in the attrition of Federal Reserve membership. Under the Stanton bill (H.R. 12706), interest could be paid on reserves held by member banks, up to the average 90-day Treasury bill rate of the preceding calendar qua- ~er. The estimated net cost of going to this limit, after deducting service receipts is $2. 2 billion. Are these levels of interest payment necessary? Would they induce a bank verging on aefection from the Federal Reserve System to remain in? a2-en o - ,a - , https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis If so, what will the effect on monetary policy be? 42 These three questions have the following answers. 1. The levels of interest proposed bv the Fed and in the Stanton bill are not necessary. Under the Federal Reserve's proposal and~ fortiori under the Stanton bill, the overwhelming volume of interest payments· would bA made to large banks which have no intention of leaving thee Federal Reserve System. Rome ·sample Payments Under H.R. 13477: Payment: Banks with demand deposits of: $ 10 million $ 42,000 $100 million $ 420,000 $400 million $1,680,000 1 billion $3,380,000 $ Total Payments to Banks in Particular Size cate';!ories All Banks with Total Demand Deposits: Payment: Avge/bank: under $10 million (3,220 banks) $ 5~ M. $ 18,000 $10 $100 million (2,074 banks) $186 M. $ 89,000 over $100 million 332 banks) $521 M. $1,569,000 - The banks that have left the Federal Reserve System have been almost exclusively small. The median ~r:·:. size of the last 50 banks to leave the Systcr.1 1·1as $25.7 million; 45 of the 50 had ossets under $100 million -- that•is, demand deposits well under https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 43 $50 million. Yet f:or every dollar in interest paid to banks sus- ceptible to dE,fection from the System, $3 would go to banks that are not. 2. There is no evidence that banks on the margin of membe.i::_- ~hip would b~ induced to return. The Fedcr~l Reserve has simply not presented evidence to Congress on this point. a) S_uch banks would need to consider: The ad,:a:,tage of lower reserve requirements and higher intereGt payments on them available under state regulation. b) The o-::fs<=tting cost of having to pay for services pro- vided by the Federal :'.eserve System. These vary :"rom case to case. In this context, it is surely significant that the small bankers (Independent Bankers Assn.) are not enthusiastic about the interest on resc:c,1es proposal. 3. The __effect on monetary coTitrol would be minimal. Finally, asscming that (a) H,R. 13477 is enacted, (bl it completc>ly halts the c>.ttrit.i.on of membe.rs fror,1 the Federal Reserve System, anr1 (cl that this were important for monetnry con·i::col, Nlilcll it is not, it would still be t.:rue; that the incr,~r;i•)ntal fr;,c:tion of !l:li:: 1:·0!1e:.· S:.\~ply to co•.K' under Yt~a~~ral Reserve juris- cU<.;Lion would h2 n:os.L.,r.Ll.,le to t:w point. of invinibility. At pres- ent:, the Fedcrc.~l Reser\'e is losing dE~mund deposits via defection of members at an annual rate of only about $1 billion per year. 'l'his is less th,m the money supply often g.rows in a single week. 'l'hc net direct and ir.di.rect cost to the U.S. •rreasury would be over 70 cents for e·,ery dollar of demand dq1osits retained by the System. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 44 Why is it desirable to limit interest payments on member bank reserves to Federal Resen,e earnings on discounts and advances, plus the 9ross receipts from the pricing of services? '.l'his l,drninistration, right or wrong, has identified the Federal Budget deficit as a major source of inflationary pressure on the economy, and has committed itself to deficit reduction. Chair- man Miller of the Federal Reserve Board supports this view. Al- ready, the President's proposed tax reduction package has been pared twice, and major social and defense expenditure programs have been cut back or delayed. In this atmosphere competition for the.Federal dollar is severe, and priorities must be established and followed. The key question is, therefore, how important is it to spend scarce Federal resources on a plan to stimulate membership in the Federal Reserve System? Chairman Miller of the Federal Reserve has given four reasons in favor of such a plan: 1. It would decrease the fr.action of the nation's payments handled "outside the safe channels of the Federal Reserve". But: The E'ederal Reserve has presented no evidence to substantiate the implied claim that the correspondent banking relationships employed by most banks outside the -Federal Reserve are any les-s safe than the services provided by the Federal Reserve. 2. It would increase the number. of banks with access to Federal Reserve Bank credit facilities. Whenever the discount· rate is below market, access to the discount window is certainly a https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 45 blessing for member Federal neserve banks .•. at taxpayer's expense. It is also true that i.n times of cr.i.sis, the discount window may be used to forestall the collapse of a bank, such as Franklin National, until major holders of uninsured CD's have ca::,hed in aml bailed out. But: Whether this is wise policy or within the spirit of Federal deposit insurunce laws is an open question. Improved )access to the discount window would have trivial affects on monetary control. 3. It would r.cinforce a "national presence in bank super- visory and regulatory fnnctions". But: At the present time, non·· mentber state banks arc J.r.~gulated by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Inducing such banks to become Syst:em membc,rs m:s,rely transfers the "national presence" from the FDIC to the Federal Reserve. This strengthens the nationctl presence only if the Federal Reserve regulates better than the FDIC, a presumption for which no evidence has been offered. 4. It would make implementation of monetary policy easier. Here, the Federal Reserve has offered support for its position. The argument is that the present n:,,tworlt of reporting m0mber banks 'provides too incomplc,te a c1ata bmm on which to base monetary policy decisions. This is true. But: Th.c problem could be cured, with minimal expense, by requiring all national depository .institution regulators to collect the nccessury data 11.nd forward it to the Federal Reserve on a timely baGiG. would do this. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The amendment to H.R. 12706 46 The Federal Reserve's proposal would cost the U.S. Treasury, directly and i1,directly, about $700 million per year. Under the proposed amendment to H.R. 12706, the payment of interest on reserves would be limited to the $410 million income from services, plus about $40 million (the 1977 figure) in earnings from discounts and advances. ury funds. Only the latter represents a direct drain on Treas- Indirect costs, stellli,ling from the reduction of reserve requirements, are the same under H.R. 13477 and R.R. 12706 (amended) -- about $350 million. However, under the latter proposal the re- ·duc.tion of reserve requirements is far greater, relatively, for the smaller bankio who are inclined to leave the Federal Reserve System than under the Federal Reserve •·s own proposal. Conclusion, Given the tightness of the budget, the Federal Reserve has not made a s,ufficiently strong case to justify expenditure of the sums it proposes to spend on interest on reserves. The alter- native proposal -- the amendment to R.R. 12706 -- is far less costly .:end thercfo·c,e preferable. Cornp~•t.i.Li_vc Gqu_ity and Efficie!!£.Y:' The aniendmcnt -Lo 1-I.R. 12706 provides the best deal £or the small banks. In this era of EFT, NOW accounts, and internationa). high-rolling, it is the small banks of this country who are feeling the competitive squeeze. is small banks which are leaving_the Federal Reserve System. amendment to 1-1.R. 12706 takes the pressure off these banks. It The It would enable them to earn market rates of interest on their re- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 47 sc,rvcs wi.thout quitting the Federal Reserve SysLcrn. require 11 Nor would it massive subsidy from U. S, -taxpayers. to the large banks. 'I'he amendment would also preserve an essential feature of competitive equity under present law: the flexibility th<1t banks h'lve to seek out their best regulatory bargain. Universal re- serve requirem2nts would effectively make this flexihility a dead letter.. In addition, payment of interest on reserves, coupled with chc.1:rge1; for services, W<JUld enable the Federal R•~LJex-F ..; to improve the eff:Lcie-.1cy of the p.ro-vls.ion of services at only a vc,:y rnod~st net cost to ei thcr the taxp::iy(,r or• the banking system. Wou]d univarsal rcscLve require111ents enhance "competitive equity\' b:::~t'..120.r1 11,2mber nnd non-rn~1,1b(:~r i~1stitutions? '£he .E'E.!d,.)x~-11 Rnse1:ve asserts thut impos.i tion of uni fouu, uni·- versal reserv.-:: reguircmeuts on a] 1 depositary ins ti bl tions would place such institutions on a "more equal" competitive b.:tsis. There arc two rn,•. ·Ln ren>1ons why this clai1~ does not stand up. 1. Depository institutions do not operate on an equal com- petitive footing in many rE,spects aside from unequal. reserve reqnircmont:::.. Su.vings and Lo:tn institntion~•, for example, m-ny not be, required to hold sl:crile balances at a reserve bank, hut they are subject to limilations on tl1eir portfolio of: ,rnscts that do not apply to cor,1mcrcial banks. Imposing compulnory st0.rilc reserve re- quirem2nts on the-!£.~•·· institutions merely makf?S them worse off; it does not make th0 system morr. equul unl csr; S .& L I s https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis HGre sigrd. .Li- 48 cantly better off than commercial banks beforehand. If this is the case, it has assuredly not been demonstrated by the Federal Reserve. 2. The Federal Reserve provides services to member banks free of charge; these services compensate those institutions for the burden of holding sterile reserve balances. Federal Reserve System is voluntary: Membership in the if a bank's costs of member- ship exceed the benefits, it can switch to a state charter and leave. Many banks do not leave. Conclusion: for those banks, the value of services provided by the Federal Re,;;erve exceeds the cost of reserve requirements. There is therefore no "burden" of member- ship for these banks. But what about non-member banks, and non-bank depository· in-. sti-tutions? Non-member banks are those for whom Federal Reserve membership is too costly. Universal reserve requirements merely force these banks to accept a bad bar.gain into which th§!Y would not voluntarily enter. And for non-bank depository institutions, the situation is worse: such institutions have no more standing to join the Federal Reserve System or gain access to its services than the corner drugztore even if they would be made better off by doing so. Universal reserve requirements would make their operations more costly, with no offsetting ben·efits. Conclusion: Universal reserve requirements do not reduce the "burden" on member banks, who are member, voluntarily; they merely make life harder for all non-member inst.,itutions. Only non-bank depository institutions, which do not have the option of membership https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 49 even i.f they wanted it, can be .said to be inequitably treated under present law. Universal reserve ;--equircmcnts would make them worse off, and would therefore detract from, not enhance, competitive equity. Monetar)'._~(?~: 'l'hf, amendment. to H. R.. 12706 provides the greatest gain in the effectiveness of monetary policy per dollar of Treasury cost. It would solve the information problem, without imposing an overlapping regulatory jurisdiction on non-member depository institutions. It would eliminate discrepancies.between the discnunt and market interest rates, thereby insuring that banks could not turn a profit by borrowing below-market at the discount window to obtain reserves on which they would then earn a nearmarket return from the Federal Reserve. It would eliminate the un- certainties now associated with abrupt, sporadic shifts in the discount rate. Whlle, for reasons of competitive equity, the amendment to I-1. R. 12706 eliminates th(, present flexible ranges of reserve re- quirements in f:avor of stat1.1torily fixed ones, this would i.n no way impair the effectiveness of monetary control. 'fhe Pednrc.,l Re- serve does not now use reserve requirements for monetary policy. To do so would be clumsy and imprecise. The reserves of the banking system and the cash held by the public can be controlled down to the last penny by open market operations. when you have a scalpel? https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Why swing a meat ax, 50 Are 1mivf,r:sal reserve reuuirements necessary for monetary control? No, they an, not. Monetary policy is conducted almost exclus- ively with open market operations: the buying and selling of U.S. government securitios 'by the New York Federal Reserve Bank. This occurs through a network of traders, independently of whether the transacting institutions are or are not members of the Federal Reserve System, of whether they are or are not subject to Federal Reserve-imposed reserve requirements, or of any:·.hing else. requirements are not altered for monetary policy purposes. Reserve Univer- sal reserve requirem,,·,nts would have no impact on this aspect of monetary policy. Reserves held do def:ermine the multiplier relationship between the creation of resr,rves by open-market operations (the purchase of government securities) and the creation of new money in circulation. This is an important relationship. It is, howe:ver, estimated statistically in practice, and· for this purpose any 'schedule of reserve requirements, universal or otherwise, is as good as any other. Since banks hold cash inventories whether they are subject to reserve requi.nm1ents or not, there is no danger that exempting some classes of depository institutions from reserve requirementG would destabilize the relationship between open market operations and money creation. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 51 Are flexible reserve requirement" necessary for monetary control? No, they are not. Since 1935, the Federal Reserve Syst.em has been ernpowercc;.1 to ucJjust rese:rve requirements applicable:= to member b.::,.nks witld.11 le<JisJ.a,ted ba,1ds. The proposed amendment ,-1ould set reserve rcqnj_remont.s foJ· deri\and de:>osits and other transactions accounts of member banks at fixed levels. Six reasons for this change follow:_ 1. The Federal Rcscrvc docs not need variable reserve requirc- mentR to conduct mom,tary policy; open ma_rket operations. are sufficient. 2. '£he Fe.derul Rf\sc-rvc, in practice, does not use chn.nges in re£Jerv,, requirement,; as a basic tool fc;,r the d;,y-to-day implcmentuti 011 of r.,on0.tary policy. Chancres in rcRervc• requirements ha\re b2en mc1dc at an average of one,;; a yE~ar since·] 935. 3. The large, discrete chan:.res in resG:t'VC:! requ.ireni,:=!nts arc a clumsy, imprcci.f,L' way to change the money supply. Monetary policy would benefit from the climL1atio;1 of this tool and by co11c81d:.1c:it.ion on open mnrket operations as t.rolling the money supply. .:i. means of con- Thro . .1gh ope11 murk£'t opE-!ration::.1 the mone-tar:y bas.~~ can he ccntr.olJ.cd very precisely, releasi.ng or coi1trertinq reservt~s to the nearest penny. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 52 -4 • The two previous Chairmen of the Board of Governors have acknowledged that factors other than monetary developments have influenced Federal Reserve decisions concerning the use of·reserve requirement changes. Both Chairmen cited the ad- verse impact of reserve requirement increases on the profitability of member banks relative to non-member banks. 5. The general trend in reserve requirenient levels strong].~• suggests that the Federul Reserve has been sensitive to menber bank profitability•- resisting increases and yielding to ~ember bank preferences for decreases. Since 1951, ~hangcs in reserve requirements, with few exceptions, have been in a downward direction. In 1_951, the highest applicable reserve requirement was 24 percent and the lowest was 14 percent. To- day, the highest marginal rate is 16¼ percent and the lowest is 7 percent, the lowest permissible under existing legislated bands. 6. Setting reserve requirements at fixed levels would eli~i- nate a potential source of interference with Federal Reserve independence in the conduct of monetary policy, pressure from member banks to use res~rve requirement changes selectively, ·namely, only when a change would be made in a downward direction whether in the best interest of proper monetary policy or not. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 53 ~}'._: It is t:n,e that, while the amendment to H.R. 12706 meats the legitimate underlying policy conerns which have been identified with the question of Federal Reserve System membership, it does not resolve the question of membership itself. The Fed- eral Reserve has maintained that the "viability" and "safety" of our bankinq system may be adversely affected if System membership continues to decline. So far, however, neither the Federal Reserve nor any outside expert haa come forward with one scintilla of evidence to support this view. I would be happy to have such evidence, if any exists. Are non-member FDIC-insured banks less safe than member banks for df,positors? If we add up the deposits of failed banks, which is the greater -- that for nonmember or member bariks? Are corres- pondent ban.king relationships les-s safe than the Federal Reserve' s p1:ovision of services such as check-clearing? banks hold dangerously small cash inventories? sound bnnking practices? list!: !ll<'.'i:e often? Do non-me,-nber Engage in less Get on their regulatory agencies danger And .i.:I: not, why does the F.'erleral Reim:cve main- t;;in that the isa:f:µty of l,rnerican banking is at stake? Chail:Jllan Hiller, may I_ personally welcome you before this Committee. On July 18, I sent you a list of sixteen questions, your answers to which wi.11 be of crreat assistance to us. If in vour statement this morning vou have not fully ans,-:ered all o-f them, I would appreciate your cloi_ng so 0 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 54 QUESTLONS SUBMITTED BY CHAIRMAN HENRY S. REUSS TO CHAIRMAN G. WILLIAM MILLER, ALONG WITH CHAIRMAN MILLER'S RESPONSES 1) Could you give us a complete breakdown of the costs of the various services the Fed now provides to commercial banks? The cost breakdown below provides a detailed listing of the direct and indirect costs of those services provided to member banks and to the public. These data are for 1977 and are taken from the Federal Reserves' Planning and Control System Expense Report (PACs). The total expense of check and automated clearinghouse operations (ACHs) is the total of service lines 4, 5, 6, and 7 in the table below. Service Line: PACs Cost ($ millions) Services to Members: 1. Currency (with shipping, w/o note issue) 2. Coin (with shipping) 30.5 3. Transfer of Reserve Account Balances 19.6 4. ACH Operations 5. Check Processing (w/o shipping) 6. Intradistrict Transportation 21.9 7. Interdistrict Transportation 8.4 8. Se<..urities 9. Securities - Safekeeping Purcha3a and Sale 90.5 6.7 194.8 .6 17.7 10. Securities - Clearing 11. Reserve Accounts - Settlement 12. Noncash Collection ~ Subtotal 416.8 3.3 15.7 Other Services: 265.1 System Total (including shipping}: 681.9 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 55 2) Could you further breakdown the classification in Question 1 into member and nonmember banks? Would you describe fully the services rendered to nonmembers, such as those provided through automatic clearinghouses. The Planning and Control System (PACS) of the Federal Reserve Banks does not collect data on the amount of services provided to each individual bank using the services. PACS also does not allocate costs by individual user of services. Thus, a further break- down of services provided to member and nonmember banks is unavailable. ACH Services Nonmember banks that are members of local clearinghouse associations for which the Federal Reserve provides clearing and settlement services may originate and receive payments through the ACH. When acting as an originating bank the nonmember may send to the ACH charges or credits, recorded on magnetic tape, for delivery to other financial institutions which participate in the ACH. The Federal Reserve clearing and settlement operation receives magnetic tapes from originating banks, sorts the payment instructions by receiving financial institution, makes the appropriate charges or credits to designated member bank reserve accounts, and delivers the payment ·instructions to the receiving financial institution. A nonmember bank acting as a receiving financial institution, may receive the payments instructions in either magnetic tape or computer printed listing format delivered to its premises or any other location mutually acceptable to that bank and the Federal Reserve. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 56 Check Collection Services All-non-member banks which pay checks at par receive deliveries or pres~ntments of cancelled checks from the Federal Reserve in· the normal process of check clearing. As in ACH deliveries the delivery or presentation ·site may be bank premises or any other location acceptable to both the bank and the Federal Reserve. Non-member banks desiring to clear checks they receive from customers which are drawn on other banks may deposit at Federal Reserve ·offices only checks drawn on other banks located in the same regional check processing center (RCPC) geographical area. These RCPC checks must be deposited by 12:01 a.m. and funds are made available through credits to the reserve account of a member bank on the processing day -which commenced at the deposit deadline, Federal Reserve.offices process checks drawn on bank located in a variety of specifically designated geographical areas which include Regional Check Processing Center, City, Country and Inter-office designations. Not all Federal Reserve offices service all these types of designated geographic areas. There are 48 Federal Reserve offices which process checks. Of these offices 44 have designated RCPC areas, 15 have designated country areas and 43 have designated city areas. check processing operations are similar. All Federal Reserve Checks are received from eligible banks, sorted by paying bank,and delivered or presented to the paying bank. Currency and Coin Services Non-member banks receive and send shipments of currency and coin from and to Federal Reserve Banks and Branches. A shipment pre-· parat:1,on fee is assessed to each non-member that utilizes this service. Charges and credits for currency and coin shipments and fees are made to the reserve accounts of designated member banks. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 57 3) Would you provide estimates of the effects on Federal Reserve membership of: a) b) c) the reduction in reserve requirements that has occurred since 1970 the two phase reductions in reserve requirements submitted to us in. the Federal Reserve proposal of July 6 the reduction in reserve requirements from the proposed amendment to R.R. 12706. None of the three reserve requirement reductions fully offsets the burden of membership for all member banks or for all banks within a given size class. It is very difficult to determine the efiect on Federal Reserve membership of any action that does not fully offset ·the burden for a given class of banks, and therefore, the impact on membership of these three reserve requirement reductions cannot be determined. The possible effect would be to reduce the rate of attri- tion from what it otherwise would be. The impact on membership is espe~ially uncertain for the reserve requirement reductions since 1970'; The average required reserve ratio for member bank deposits has been reduced somewhat since 1970. Jn the ether hand, state reserve requiremer:~ ratios have also declined, ·partially offsetting the effects of the Federal Reserve actions. More important, interest rates in the seventies have been consistently higher than in periods prior to 1970 and have raised the opportunity cost of holding sterile reserves. Hence, cost of membership probably has increased for most banks over the past decade despite the reduction of •reserve requirements. Both the reductions in reserve requirements in the Federal proposal and that in the proposed amendment to R.R. 12706 would partially offset ~he burden of membership for some banks and therefore might reduce attrition somewhat. attrition. 32-972 0 • 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • 5 However, neither can be expected to stop 58 4) What will be the effect on membership of paying interest on reserves? a)" under H.• R. 134 77 b) under H.R. 12706 c) under the proposed amendment to H.R. 12706 Payment of a market interest rate on member bank reserves-- as proposed in (b)--would fully eliminate the burden of Federal Reserve membership and should, therefore, halt membership attrition. Indeed, depending on the scope of access by depository institutions to Federal Reserve Bank services, payment of a full market rate could induce most nonmember institutions to join the System. Payment of less than a market rate, as contemplated in (a) and (c), would not halt attrition unless combined with other features whi~h compensate member banks sufficiently to offset the burden of membership. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 59 5) What will be the joint effect on membership of the reserve requirement reductions and the interest payments of the preceding two _questions? The combined impact of reserve requirement reductions and payment of interest on reserves, in conjunction with changes for System services under H.R. 13477 would be to offset the burden of Federal Reserve membership, on average, for all, member banks. It is probable that this plan will not fully offset the burden for every individual member bank, so that some may still choose to leave the System. On the other hand, after "the plan goes into effect, some nonmembers may find Federal Reserve membership attractive and choose to join the System. On balance, membership attrition should halt under the Federal Reserve proposal. H.R. 12706 would tend to make me~pership attractive to virtually all depository institutions eligible for membership. .,. There- fore, the fact that the Stanton bill also requires Federal Reserve Banks to provide payments and other operational services to all depository inst.itutions would not adversely affect membership--although the pricing provisions of the Stanton bill are unduly restrictive and could lead to a ·reduction in payments services provided to the banking system. The reduction in reserve requirements and the interest payments proposed under the amendment to H.R. 12706, when combined with the effects of pricing of services and opening access to all depository institutions, would not be sufficient to offset the membership burden. Membership attrition would continue and may even accelerate, since a member could withdraw and still enjoy all of the benefits of membership (except access to the discount window), while also earning a market rate of return on the reserves released by withdrawal. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 00 6) Explain exactly how you believe the erosion in membership up to now has interfered with the Federal Reserve's ability to conduct monetary policy. Explain how the further erosion of membership would interfere with the· Federal Reserve's ability to copduct monetary policy? Membership erosion has weakened the Federal Reserve's ability to conduct monetary policy for the following reasons: (1) A stable relationship between reserves and the money stock facilitates implementation of monetary policy. However, nonmember reserve requirements are beyond the oversight of the Federal Reserve. The resulting differential reserve requirements have weakened the reserve-to-money stock relationship. (2) An effective monetary policy requires use of the discount window to lessen the uneven impact of policy changes on individual banks. Since nonmember banks do not have direct access to the discount window, the Federal Reserve may be precluded from adopting appropriate monetary policies if increasing numbers of banks cannot cushion their adjustments to, for exampie, tightening credit conditions through regular, and reliable, day-to-day access to the discount wind01,. (3) An effective monetary policy depends on up-to-date information about the size of the money stock. However, accurate information about the current money stock only becomes available with an average two-quarter ·lag. The difference between the initial estimate and the final bench- mark estimate·of M-1 has varied by as much as two billion dollars with an average error without regard to sign of 700 million dollars over the last ten years. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 61 7) The Federal Reserve's money supply is now growing, and has been growing since early 1977, outside the target bands given to the Congress pursuant to H. Con. Res. 133 prior to November 1977 and pursuant to the Federal Reserve Reform Act of 1977 after that. Would the Fe\! have been able and willing to slow down its money growth if it had more member banks, or is the relationship between faster monetary growth and the number of member banks irrelevant? Please analyze fully. The faster growth in M-1 since early 1977 could have been more easily identified and contained from a technical point of view if considerably more deposits were held within the Federal Reserve System. It is probable that actual money growth would have been reduced somewhat under the circumstances. For example, now that all benchmark adjustments have been completed for the first three quarters .of 1977,.M-l in that period has been revised upward by between $1.4 and $2.0·biliion as a result of initial mis-estimates of nonmember I.•·, bank deposits. The Federal Reserve ~ould have been· able to respond :-4, to this "higher level° sooner had the full extent of growth been observed promptly. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 62 8) Explain why you believe the erosion of membership up to now has jeopardized the safety of individual commercial banks or the bank~ng·system as a whole. Explain how the erosion of member banks in the future could jeopardize the safety of individual member banks or the banking system as a whole. Declining membership means increasing liquidity risk for the banking system as a whole, since fewer banks have ready, direct access to the discount window to meet unexpected withdrawals or demands for credit or to cushion themselves against temporary liquidity pressure during periods of general stringency. Furthermore, membership attri- tion may result in some increases in the riskiness of the banking system as the proportion of the banking system's assets held as risk free reserves at Reserve Banks is reduced. Current law and Board procedures specifically allow for emergency credit to nonmember institutions, including even non-depository institutions; however, no nonmember institution has borrowed from the Federal Reserve since 1966. The infrequency of discount window borrowing by nonmembers may be attributed primarily to two factors. First, the_ Federal Reserve can lend· to nonmembers on collateral other than U.S. Government securities only under emergency circumstances-- when the nonmember is unable to obtain credit from other sources and when·failure to lend to the nonmember would adversely affect the economy. Second, in view of these emergency conditions, most nonmembers have no doubt been reluctant to se~k Federal Reserve credit since to do so would label them as being in serious financial difficulty. lending became public knowledge, it could generate a run on the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis If such 63 uninsured deposits of the bank, further worsening the bank's financial condition, It is important to note that the private market cannot easily perform the discount window's function. For example, for a bank suffering a liquidity crisis, alternative forms of short-term ~redit, such as Federal funds, may become unavailable at precisely the time they are needed most. Furthermore, in·times of general stringency, the private banking system may be incapable of mobilizing the needed amount of funds. 9) Do you believe that nonmember banks are less safe and more liable to go bankrupt than member banks? What has the record been? List the banks, and their total assets, that have failed since 1945, cl_assified by member and nonmember status. (, The record of bank failure since 1947, the earliest data available in FDIC Annual Reports, shows that 0.72 per cent of the average number of member banks operating during 1947 to 1977 failed during that period. In contrast, 1.33 per cent of the average number of nonmember banks operating in the period failed, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 64 Table 1 l Insured Banks That Have Required FDIC Disbursement _/ 1947-1977 Bank Name Location (cityl state) First National Ba'D.k of Evanston, WY First National Bank of Central City National Bank Peoples Bank of Lemont, IL Central Cit;y, PA Donalds, SC Lyons, WI Newark, NJ •Lyons State Bank Columbus Trust Company American National Bank of P~yor Creek First State Bank First National Bank of Stockmens Bank of Ci ,=:izens Banking Company Farmers & Merchants State Bank Westphalia State Bank Bank of Aurora Farmers First National Bank of First National Bank in Brazeau Bank Parnassus National Bank Thomasville Bank & Trust Company Camden State Bank Bank_ of _Dierks Mayfield State Bank First State Bank of Bank of Ila Bank of White~ville First National Bank of Rathdrum State Bank Bank of North Idaho Joshua Momument National Bank of Frontier Trust Company River Oaks State Bank Home National Bank of First State Bank of First National Bank of Peoples State Bank Rushville Banking Company Manufacturers' Bank of Bartlett State Bank Liberal State Bank First State Bank Capitol 11111 State Bank Sheldon National Bank Bank of Earlsboro Bank of Ochlochnee First National Bank of Maud First State· Bank First State Bank of Chatham Bank of Chicago First National Bank of State Savings Bank of First State Bank Belleview Valley Bank Frontier Bank Crown Savings. Bank https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Pryor, OK Franklin, TX Dyer, IN Martins dale, MT Weston, OH Spencerville, IN Westphalia, MI Aurora, NC Minooka, IL Cecil, PA Brazeau, MO New Kensington, PA Thomasville, AL Camden, IL Dierks, AR Mayfield, PA Elmwood Park, IL :(la, GA Whitesville, KY Lewisville, TX Rathdrum, ID Pr:l.est R.:l.ver, ID Twentynine Palms, CA Fort Fairfield, ME Fort Worth, TX Ellensville, NY Yorktown, TX Halfway, OR Richland Springs, TX Rushville, OH Edgewater, NJ Bartlett, NE Liberal, MO Tenaha, TX Oklahoma City, OK Sheldon, IA Earlsboro, OK Ochlochnee, GA Maud, OK Premont, TX Westmont, IL Chicago, IL Marlin, TX Minden City, MI Dell City, TX Belleview, MO Covelo, CA Newport News, VA Total Date of failure class 1/13/47 1/27 /47 7/14/47 12/1/47 12/8/47 7/24/48 N N N NM NM SM $1,803 1,666 1,693 762 874 7,893 11/22/48 12/18/48 2/21/49 5/3/49 6/13/49 N SM N NM NM 1,774 694 3,157 634 740 10/10/49 4/3/50 7/24/50 NM NM NM 354 744 1,291 8/14/50 10/9/50 1/22/51 8/25/51 N N NM N 1,332 638 144 2,906 1/21/52 5/5/52 9/2/52 2/13/53 5/26/53 8/9/54 10/1/54 1/27 /55 4/30/55 4/30/55 NM NM NM NM NM NM NM N NM NM 1,031 838 583 1,355 17,456 98 1,040 721 1,017 7 /25/55 10/3/55 10/15/56 12/4/56 4/10/57 3/17/58 5/5/58 5/26/58 7/17/58 5/13/59 6/9/59 12/3/59 7/29/60 1/16/61 8/11/61 9/7/61 12/19/61 12/30/61 5/24/63 8/23/63 3/10/64 3/17 /64 7/4/64 7/20/64 7 /31/64 9/4/64 N NM 3,111 6,036 5,202 7, rl.2 1,253 1,446 618 4,476 2,365 570 1,012 1,277 7,506 4,365 962 984 1,626 1,882 7,055 19,124 3,741 1,310 1,237 1,285 2,642 7,865 Charter 21 NM N SM N NM NM NM NM NM NM NM N NM NM N SM NM NM N NM NM NM NM NM - assets (~1,000) l,lOl 65 Table 1 (continued) Date Bank Name Nebraska. State Bank of Brighton National Bank San Francisco National Bank Winona State Bank Malone State Bank First State Bank Five Points National Bank Citizens Bank Blanket State Bank Saguache County National Bank Bank of. Gray Summit Public Bank First State Bank of Bank of Pine Apple Southern Bank of Sacul State Bank Cedar Vale National Bank Lorenzo State Bank C~ntral National Bank of Bank of Commerce Rocky Mountain .Bank Citizens State Bank Morrice State Bank First State .Bank State National Bank First National Bank of Big Lake State Bank First State Bank First National Bank of State Bank of Peoples State. Sa.vings Bank Farmerc; J\ank of Eatontown National Bank First State Bank o~ City Bank of Berea Bank. and Trust Company Sharpstown State Bank Birmingham-Bloomfield Bank Farmers State Bank of Bank of Salem First National Bank of First Community State Bank of Surety Bank & Trust Company Delta Security Bank & Trust Company Skyline National Bank Elm Creek State Bank First State Bank First National Bank of United States National Bank American Bank & Trust Tri-City Bank Franklin National Bank Cromwell State Savings Bank Swope Parkway National Bank Northern Ohio Bank Franklin Bank Chicopee Bank & Trust Company https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Location {cit;y: 1 state) of failure Charter 21 class - Lorenzo, TX Jacksonville, FL Tonkawa., OK Lakewood, CO Al var ado, TX Morrice, MI Dodson, TX Lovelady, TX Ursa, IL Big Lake, TX Aransas Pass, TX Coal ville, UT Prairie City, IA Auburn, MI Peteri;burg~ KY Eatontown, NJ Bonne Terre, MO Philadelphia, PA Berea, KY Houston, TX Birmingham, MI Carlock, IL Salem, NE Cripple Creek, co Savannah, MO Wakefield, MA 10/29/64 1/22/65 1/22/65 2/5/65 2/25/65 4/5/65 1/12/66 1/24/66 1/31/66 3/17/66 4/7/66 10/12/66 10/17 /66 1/31/67 2/17 /67 6/23/6 7 7/7/67 2/13/68 5/27 /68 9/25/68 2/6/69 4/12/69 5/6/69 5/12/69 5/28/69 8/20/69 8/22/69 9/5/69 10/10/69 2/22/70 4/18/70 S/25/70 8/7/70 8/24/70 9/3/70 10/8/70 1/25/71 2/16/71 2/17/71 4/5/71 11/30/71 12/30/71 5/19/72 NM N N NM NM NM N NM NM N NM NM NM SM NM NM N NM N NM NM NM SM SM N N NM NM N NM NM Ferriday, LA Denver, CO Elm Creek, NE Vernon, TX Eldora, IA San Diego, CA Orangeburg, SC Warren, MI New York, NY Croll'Mell, IA Kans as City , MO Cleveland, OH Houston, TX Chicopee, MA 1/19/73 3/26/73 5/7 /73 7/16/73 10/5/73 10/18/73 9/20/74 9/27 /74 10/8/74 10/9/74 1/3/75 2/19/75 3/24/75 5/9/75 NM N NM NH N N NM SM N NM Valentine, NE Brighton, CO San Francisco• CA Winona, TX Malone, TX Covington, TX Miami, FL Pottsville, AR Blanket, TX Saguache, CO Gray Summit, 1-io Detroit, MI Tuscola, TX Pine Apple, AL St. Petersburg, FL Sacul, TX Cedar Vale, KS NM N NM NM NM NM NH NM NM N NM NM N NM NM NM Total assets (~l,000) 7. 769 3,015 54,061 479 589 606 2,703 832 1,257 512 1,935 110,077 3,330 4,289 2,884 762 4,058 6,159 13,445 5,551 8,617 2,556 2,283 1,134 4,136 2,053 4,750 11,417 6,625 4,130 10,877 1,074 21,417 8,003 10,775 5,871 78,903 109,739 2,196 679 1,301 .3, 701 22,054 9,780 6,527 3,186 16,242 , 8,072 1,265,868 147,137 16,295 3,655,662 3,502 7,576 103,782 20,690 11,406 66 Table l Algoma Bank Bank of Picayune Bank of Chidester State Bank of Clearing Astro Bank American City Bank & Trust Company, N.A. Peoples Bank of the Virgin Islands Peoples Bank First State Bank of Bank of Bloomfield Bank of Woodmoor Hal)lilton National Bank of South Texas Bank First State Bank of Northern California Northeast Bank of F~rst State Bank of Hudson CountY Mt. Zion Deposit Bank Coronado Natiorial Bank Citizens State Bank New Boston Bah.k & Trust Company American Bank & Trust Company Hamilton Bank & Trust Company Centennial Bank First State Bank & Trust Co. International City Bank and Trust CC?mpany First State Bank Monroe Bank and Trust Company First Augusta Bank & Trust Company Repub lie Nat 1 1 Bank of Louisiana Donahue Savings Bank Banco Economias Source: (continued) Algoma, WI Picayune, MS Chidester, AR Chicago, IL Houston, TX 5/30/75 6/18/75 7/1/75 7 /12/75 10/16/75 Milwaukee, WI 10/21/75 St. Thomas, Charlotte 10/24/75 Arnalie, VI Willcox, AZ 12/19/75 Jennings, KS 12/27 /75 Bloomfield, NJ 1/10/76 Woodmoor, CO 1/12/76 Chattanooga, TN 2/16/76 Houston, TX 2/25/76 San Leandro, CA 5/21/76 NM NM NM SM NM 5,176 18,049 2,449 74,354 5,471 N 147,563 NM NM 14,879 5,657 2,898 31,652 4,03j 412,107 7,756 56,018 6/3/76 NM 18,141 6/14/76 6/25/76 6/25/76 6/28/76 NM NM 14,072 507 2,613 17,410 9/14/76 9/15/76 10/8/76 10/19/76 11/19/76 12/3/76 NM NM NN Foss, OK Monroe, CT 3/10/77 3/28/77 NM 1,850 4,054 Augusta, GA 5/20/77 NM 23,711 New Orleans, LA 7/29/77 N Donahue, IA San German, PR 8/26/77 9/2/77 NM NM Houston, TX Jersey City, NJ Mt. Zion, KY Denver, CO Carrizo Springs, TX Boston, MA New York, NY Atlanta, GA Philadelphia, PA Rio Grande City, TX New Orleans, LA NM NM NM NM N NM N NM SM NM NM NM 6,662 224,502 40,075 13,670 13,754 176,320 9,164 5,2&8 179,410 FDIC Annual Reports, 1947-1977. !/ Disbursements by the FDIC to protect depositors are made when the insured deposits of banks in financial difficulties are paid off, or when the deposits of a failing bank are assumed by another insured bank with the financial aid of the Corporation. In deposit payof cases the disbursement is the amount paid by the Corporation on insured deposits. In deposit assumption cases the principal disbursement is the amount loaned to failing banks, or the price paid for assets purchased from them; additional disbursements are made ;l.n those cases as advances for protection of assets in process of liquidation and for liquidation expenses. !/ SM Charter class designations are: N = National bank, member of Federal Reserve System, State member bank, NM = commercial non-member bank, MI = non-member mutual savings banl:: = https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Table 2 Surmnari of Insured Cormnercial Bank Faflures Bi Charter Class 1947-1977 Year Failure of All Insured Banks Assets Number 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 5 3 4 4 2 3 2 2 5 2 1 4 3 1 5 0 2 7 5 7 4 3 9 7 6 1 6 4 13 16 6 Total 142 6,798 10,361 4,885 4,005 3,050 2,452 18,811 1,138 11,986 12,914 1,253 8,905 2,859 7,506 9,819 0 26,179 25,849 58,750 120,646 11,993 25,155 43,571 62,147 196,519 22,054 1,309,675 3,822,596 419,950 1,039,292 223,477 All Memter Banks Number Assets 3 3 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 l 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 2 2 2 1 5 1 1 0 3 2 3 3 1 45 5,162 10,361 3,157 1,970 2,906 0 0 0 3,832 7,712 1,253 1,446 0 0 7,873 0 0 3,741 57,076 3,215 8,347 13,445 16,231 21,417 1,301 0 1,280,467 3,671,957 229,493 639,222 9,164 Failure of Federal Reserve Member Banks State Member Banks National Banks Number Assets Number Assets 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 l 0 10 0 8,587 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,253 0 0 0 1,882 0 0 0 0 0 4,289 0 3,417 0 0 0 0 16,295 74,354 224,502 0 3 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 2 1 1 3 1 1 0 3 1 2 2 l 35 5,16<. 1,774 3,157 1,970 2,906 0 0 0 3,832 7,712 0 1,446 0 0 5,991 0 0 3,741 57,076 3,215 4,058 13,445 12,814 21,417 1,301 0 1,280,467 3,655,662 155,139 414,720 9,164 Failure of Nonmember Banks Number Assets 2 0 3 2 1 3 2 2 3 1 0 3 3 1 2 0 2 6 3 5 2 2 4 6 5 1 3 2 10 13 5 97 1,636 0 1,728 2,035 144 2,452 18,811 1,138 8,154 5,202 0 7,459 2,859 7,506 1,946 0 26,179 22,108 1,674 117,431 3,646 11,710 27,340 40,730 195,218 22,054 29,208 150,639 190,457 400,070 214,313 a:, --1 68 10) On November 1 of this year, Federal Reserve regulations will allow funds deposited with member transferred from savings accounts you estimate the amount of demand ferred by depositors into savings regulation during the first year. banks to be automatically. to demand deposits. Would deposits that will be transaccounts, as a result of this The extent to which depositors will shift funds from demand to savings accounts in the year after introduction of this new service is quite uncertain. It will depend on the structure of service charges and the promotional strategies adopted by banks--few of which have been announced to date--as well as on the speed with which the public takes advantage of the added flexibility in cash management. If banks choose to offer automatic transfers with minimal service charges, then consumers might choose to react ·to the availability of such accounts in ways similar to their reaction to NOW accounts in their introductory stage, so that.·the ?TOW account experience in New England can be used to infer a reas·onable upper limit on the timing and magnitude of the shift of deposits. However, it is likely that the service charges associated with automatic transfers will be much higher than for NOW's, and hence the shift in the first year may be considerably less than in the New England NOW experience. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 69 11) Would you estimate the effective dollar limit on the interest that could be paid on reserves under H.R. 13477 over the next tenye.ar period? Many assumptions have to be made to arrive at the extended projections requested. System revenue projections depend on, among other factors, currency in circulation, System service volumes, net expenditures for providing these services, the volume· of reserves held with System, and the average level of interest rates. The size of these factors could either expand or contract depending on legislation affecting the financial industry and the changing condition of the economy as well as on membership in the System. These uncertainties would tend to make any specific estimate misleading, but it is probable that .the dollar limit will rise as the System portfolio grows in an expanding economy. A reasonable range of estimates fi~·· the dollar limit a decade from now may be on the order of $700 to $9'60 million. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 70 12} In H.R. 13476, the Federal Reserve asks for a form of universal reserve requirements. How would monetary policy have been improved if these universal reserve requirements had been in effect over the last ten years? Given the quantity of reserves supplied by the Federal Reserve, the associated variability of the monetary aggregates is heightened by unpredictable deposit flows between member and nonmember banks. Such flows alter the volume of reserves available to support deposits at nonmember banks which, in conjunction with differential reserve requirements between member and nonmember banks, forces the money stock away from the F0MC 1 s targeted objective under a reserves operating target. Ongoing research suggests that the per cent error in M-1 for two-month growth rates due to such interbank flows would have ranged between roughly plus or minus 3.6 per cent at an annual rate in 1968 under a reserves operating target. have risen to plus or minus 4.7 per cent in 1978. This error would If universal reserve requirements had been imposed in 1968, the associated variability in M-1 for short-run policy periods under a reserves operating target probably would have fallen significantly. The imposition of universal reserve requirements in 1968 also would have provided the Federal Reserve with more timely information about deposits held at nonmember banks. The average error in the initial estimate of M-1 (see question 6) would have been reduced by sizeable amounts--about $700 million over the period from 1968 to 1977. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 71 13) Do you think the need for Federal Reserve membership to enhance the Federal Reserve' s ability to conduct monetary policy would vanish if universal reserve requirements were imposed? Universal reserve requirements would be an important step toward improving the Federal Reserve's control over the monetary aggregates, particularly if all required reserves were held in the form of deposits with the Federal Reserve or in currency and coin, as is currently the case for member banks. Nevertheless, Federal Reserve membership would continue to be important, as full access to the discount window is necessary to temper the impact of monetary disturbances on the monetary aggregates and the availability of bank credit and perhaps to aid in averting a monetary crisis. In addition, _a Federal Reserve presence in the payments mechanism is vital for maintaining an efficient and effective system nationwide and in reducing the exposure of the payments system to disruptions which could adversely affect the monetary supply and bank credit. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 72 14) The ten largest banks in the U.S. hold 32 per cent of the reserve balances on deposit wi-th Federal Reserve banks. Considering these large banks individually, from Bank of America with its 67.• 2 billion in deposits (December 31, 1977) to the tenth largest bank, Security Pacific National Bank, Los Angeles, with its 14.9 billion in deposits, estimate the size of the individual annual payments that each would receive under: a) b) c) R.R. 134 77 R.R. 12706 the proposed amendment to R.R. 12706 The attached table shows the payments on reserves, service charges and net payments (payments on reserves minus service charges) under the three plans. Compensation payments under R.R. 13477 result from the reduced reserve requirement structure on demand deposits, described in the Board's "Preliminary Proposal" on the membership plan, and interest payments of 6 per cent (1/2 percentage point below the average return on the Federal Reserve System portfolio) on the ·, first $25 million of required reserve bal.~nces at Federal Reserve Banks and 2 per cent on balances in excess of' ·$45 million. Under H. R. 12706 compensation payments would be based on the average 91-day bill rate in the preceding quarter. The rate used in this analysis was the average __91-day Treasury bill rate for the first quarter of 1977, 4.55 per' cent. Compensation payments under the proposed amendment to R.R. 12706 would be limited to service charges collected. Service charges assessed each bank are identical under the three plans. The annual amount of System services used by each of the ten banks was estimated from survey data and valued at direct and indirect Federal Reserve costs, as shown in the PACs accounting system. Check, ACH, wire transfer, currency, coin, reserve accounting, securities- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 73 handling and noncash collection are the services assumed to be priced. However, the service charges shown here are only illustrative and do not necessarily reflect prices that might be charged by the Reserve Banks. The amendment to H.R. 12706, while limiting payments on required reserves to revenues generated from pricing, does not mention how the revenues collected are to be distributed among banks. assumed in the tables that 1.5 per cent is paid on reserve balances, a rate which exhausts collected revenues from pricing. 32-972 0 - 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6 It is 74 ANNUAL PAYMENTS TO THE 10 LARGEST MEMBER BANKS ($ MILLIONS) H.R. 13477 Bank of America Citibank Chase Manufacturers Hanover Chemical Morgan Guaranty Continental Security Pacific Bankers Trust 1st National Bk. Chicago TOTAL Compensation Payments Service Charges Net Payments 26.0 15.2 26.3 10.2 4.9 7.3 15.0 14.4 10.5 16.4 $ 10.9 5.8 6.2 7.5 5.9 2.7 6.1 4.5 3.5 ~ $ 15 .1 9.4 20.1 2.7 (1.0) 4.6 8.9 9.9 7.0 11.8 $ 146. 2 $ 57.7 $ 88.5 $ H.R. 12706 Bank of ·America Citibank Chase Manufacturers Hanover Chemical Morgan Guaranty Continental Security Pacific Bankers Trust 1st Nat:ional Bk. Chicago TOTAL Compensation Payments Service Charges Net Payments 58.0 33.6 58.8 $ 10.3 15.7 33.1 31. 7 22.8 _16,3 $ 10. 9 5.8 6.2 7.5 5.9 2.7 6.1 4.5 3.5 ~ $ 322, 5 $ 57.7 $ 264.8 $ 22.2 47.1 27.8 52.6 14. 7 4.4 13.0 27.0 27.2 19.3 ~ PROPOSED .AMENDMENT TO H.R. 12706 Bank of America Citibank Chase Manufacturers Hanover Chemical Morgan Guaranty Cont inenta 1 Security Pacific Bankers Trust 1st National Bk. Chicago TOTAL https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Compensation Payments Service Charges Net Payments 19,l 10.9 19.2 7.2 3.2 5.0 10.8 10.3 7 .4 $ 10.9 5.8 6.2 $ 8.2 5.1 13.0 (. 3) (2. 7) 2.3 4.7 5.8 3.9 ....2.,l_ $ 47.3 $ 7.5 -1!,_2 5.9 2.7 6.1 4.5 3,5 4.6 $ 105.0 $ 57.7 75 15) Describe and estimate the cost of services provided to member banks which are part of a holding company which has nonmember affiliates that share in these services. The Federal Reserve Planning and Control System (PACS) has no provision for allocating costs for services to the users of those services. However, the Federal Reserve recently collected data on the use of check collection services by individual member banks for the month of May 1978. These data are currently being analyzed, and information on the cost of check services provided to member banks which are part of a holding company will become available at a later date. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 76 16) In the testimony of Philip E. Coldwell before the Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, May 25, 1978, h~ said "this (erosion of membership) threatens to weaken our financial system, as n1orc and more of the nation's payments and credit transactions are handled outside the safe channels of the Federal Reserve •••• ". In what way, if any, are the private businesses now providing services which compete with those provided by the Federal Reserve unsafe? The present payments system., including private inter-bank clearings, is quite safe. However, one effect of membership attrition is that more and more of the nation's payments and credit transactions are handle_d through correspondent banks rather than through the Federal Reserve. Since nonmember banks must maintain correspondent baiances to facilitate payments settlement (and also must generally keep additional balances to compensate the correspondent for clearing and settlement services provided to the respondent) and since the settle-. ment function is more efficient the more respondents are served by a single·, large correspondent, there is a tendency for "pyramids" of banks and correspondent deposits to form. Insolvency of an important bank at or ne1r the apex of such a pyramid would immobilize the settlement (and compensating) balances of numerous banks lower in the pyramid, which could lead to dangerous illiquidity for these respondent banks. There, of course, is no such risk of insolvency when settlement balances are held at Federal Reserve Banks. Federal Reserve clearing channels are in this sense inherently "safer". https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 77 The CHAIRMAN. I thank you for giving me ~his time. . . . Mr. MITCHELL. The Chair will now recogmze the rankmg mmor1ty member, Mr. Stanton, for an opening statement. Mr. STANTON. Thank you, Mr. Chairman: . First I would like to commend the chairman of the full Bankmg, Financ~ and Urban Affairs Committee, Mr. Reuss, for scheduling these series of hearings into examining the subject of the Federal Reserve membership. As you know, I have been deeply concerned about this iss~e for several years. Particularly, I am concerned about the far-reachmg effects of the vitality of the Fed and the Nation's monetary system, as more and more banks continue to leave the Federal Reserve System. Specifically, the possible implications which flow from this problem, and some of the proposals for its solution, include the following: One, the Fed's control over monetary policy may be weakened. Presently, the Fed's staff estimates that the Fed membership controls only about 72 percent of all of the bank deposits, which greatly contributes to continual errors in the Fed's estimate of the money supply. As membership continues to decline, this margin of error will increase. Two, the Nation could face risks of liquidity problems. Declining membership means that an ever-increasing number of banks lose their ready, direct access to the discount window. As access to the discount window provides adjustment credit and liquidity in times of special need, this vital mechanism for insuring the smooth operation of the banking system during liquidity crises may become less effective. Third, the structure of the Federal financial regulatory system could be altered in the process of attempting to solve the membership problem. The Federal Reserve's proposal for universal reserve requirements would bring more depository institutions under the jurisdiction of the Fed's regulatory framework. Chairman Reuss has proposed for the discount window statutorily fixed reserve requirements. On the other hand, this would significantly change the existing role of the Congress and the Fed in the conduct of monetary policy. Obviously, all of these questions are highly complex. Nonetheless, the schedule established for these hearings, and the witnesses invited, will enable us to give each of these issues a thorough consideration, as it deserves. At the outset, I wish to have it clearly understood that I personally enter these hearings with an open mind. My bill, the Federal Reserve Membership Act of 1978, represents just one approach toward stopping the downward trend in membership. However, I am anxious and eager to learn more about Chairman Reuss' amendments, as well as the Fed's proposals. The two major provisions of my bill are: the explicit pricing of Federal Reserve payments services, and the payment of interest on required reserves. Payment of interest on reserves would enable member banks to turn their presently vital reserves balances into investments, yielding a more competitive rate of return. The pricing of payments services would seek to promote increased efficiency within the Fed, and greater competition within the banking industry as a whole. Other issues raised by the Reuss amendment and the Fed's proposal https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 78 include, of course, adjustment of reserve requirements; limit on Treasury; revenue loss; improvement of data available to the Fed for the conduct of monetary policy; and alterations in the discount rate. Admittedly, some of these proposals are more appealing than others. For example, I am pleased that we will consider lowering the existing reserve requirements and improving the flow of monetary reports to the Fed. However, the Reuss amendments and the discount window, and the statutory fixed reserve requirements, cause me, of course, great concern. Throughout my almost 14 years as a member of this committee, I have consistently maintained that we should not restrict the flexibility of the Federal Reserve. And these amendments, of course, appear to do precisely that. Moreover, my preliminary analysis indicates that the proposal on the discount rates is directed at a truly nonissue. Chairman Reuss has stated that tying the discount rate to the Treasury bill rate would reduce the possibilities for reduced profits in discount operations. Presently, however, the charge for membership to member banks on this transaction is negligible, as the Fed polices these operations and only rarely grants such activities on a case-by-case basis. Finally, I wish to compliment you, Mr. Miller, on the Fed's efforts, and on your proposals that you presented to us. I have had a chance to look at your statement last night. I think you have summarized the issue quite well in your final remarks when you state that: "This morning, we are dealing with matters of crucial importance to the longrun viability of the Nation's central banks, to the health of the Nation's depository institutions, and indeed to the Nation's economy." And I can only say, in conclusion, Mr. Chairman, that I would hope that as we all enter this subject with an open mind, that we not necessarily consider this on the subject of "loss of money to the Treasury," or "gain of money to the Treasury"; but that we would keep in mind that, in the last 65 years of the Federal Reserve Board System, that this Congress that we are so proud of, our predecessors 65 years ago, set for the Federal Reserve Board certain basic responsibilities in setting up this system. We require many things of them :for monetary policy and the safety of our banking system, and that is our concern, and I think we should keep that uppermost in our mind as we give the Fed the opportunity and the tools to provide the lessons that we need in carrying out the goal that we have set for them. And so, Mr. Chairman, I thank you for this opportunity and look forward to these hearings. Mr. MITCHELL. Thank you. Welcome, Chairman Miller. You have been welcomed three times. As always, we are pleased to hear your views, and the Chair will now ask that you proceed. STATEMENT OF HON. G. WILLIAM MILLER, CHAIRMAN, BOARD OF GOVERNORS, FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Mr. Mn..LER. First, I think I should say not only for myself personally, but on behalf of the Board of Governors, how much we appre https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 79 ciate this opportunity. I am indebted to you, Mr. Mitchell, for being willing to schedule these hearings at this time; and to Chairman Reuss for allowing this matter to go forward so late in the session. I am most appreciative of Congressman Stanton's efforts-continuing efforts-to address the matter of membership and to bring his proposal forward; and of the efforts of other committee members who have co-sponsored this proposal as a basis for discussion. I realize how difficult it is, in a busy session of Congress with many issues to consider, to take up something this important so late, and therefore I am particularly grateful. When I came to the Federal Reserve in March, and when I appeared before this committee on March 9 on the first full day of my new assignment, in answer to a question at that time I pointed out that I thought the so-called "membership issue" was critical and deserved attention, and that it was my hope and expectation to bring forward for discussion some plan by the middle of the year. And here we are, and we have made considerable progress. I believe that all of us are approaching this matter objectively, recognizing that it is a complex and important issue. And because there are many complexities, there are many alternative proposals. We are approaching these hearings and this discussion as a process for sorting out ideas to find the optimum system to accomplish all of our objectives-a balanced, well thought through approach, taken not for the purpose of aiding any constituency, but for the public benefit. I might add, Mr. Chairman, that the Senate also has been responsive to this important issue. Senator Proxmire has introduced a single bill combining the two bills suggested by the Federal Reserve, that is : universal reserves and the authority to pay in interest on reserves a total amount of up to 7 percent of Federal Reserve earnings, plus the amount collected by the Federal Reserve for its services. This bill will be taken up in the Senate Banking Committee in a few weeks. And so, there is parallel action being taken by the House and Senate. The attrition of membership in the Federal Reserve is occurring because member banks are at a serious competitive disadvantage relative to other depository institutions. This attrition, as it continues, dilutes the effectiveness with which the Federal Reserve can fulfill its monetary and other objectives. Therefore, I would like to discuss first the dimensions and the effects of this decline in membership, and then to comment on the particular items in the legislation that has been proposed. The problem facing us is the continuing decline in System membership in recent years. Over the past 8 years, 430 member banks have withdrawn from the System, while only 103 nonmember banks have joined. By looking at chart I attached to my testimony it is easy to see graphically the large attrition in membership. In 1977, 69 banks chose to give up membership, and 39 more banks have withdrawn during the first half of this year. This last statistic probably understates the trend, because many member banks appear to be delaying their plans for withdrawal until they see what actions the System and the Congress take to resolve this membership problem. Most of the banks withdrawing from membership have been small, as some of you pointed out, with total deposits under $50 million. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 80 But a disturbing tendency has developed recently for larger banks to leave the System. If you compare the top and bottom of chart II, you can see that in recent years there has been a definite shift and that larger and larger banks are withdrawing. A bank with deposits as large as $750 million has withdrawn fairly recently. So there is this trend toward withdrawal of large banks. Fifteen of the 69 banks leaving the System in 1977 had deposits of more than $100 million, a record number for that size of bank. The steady downward trend in the numb~r of member banks has been accompanied, of course, by a decline in the proportion of bank deposits subject to Federal Reserve requirements, as you can see in chart III. The number of banks-the bottom line-is declining, and deposits are going down rapidly also. At the end of 1977, member banks held less than 73 percent of the commercial bank deposits, down about 8 percentage points in the last 8 years. Thus, more than one-fourth of commercial bank deposits and over three-fifths of all banks are outside the Federal Reserve System. In New England, where the development of NOW accounts in the past 5 years has greatly sharpened the competition among depository institutions, the decline in membership and in deposits held by member banks has been even more dramatic, which you can see in chart IV. The share of deposits in New England held by member banks fell by 11 percentage points in the last 3 years alone, from 73 percent at the end of 1974 to less than 62 percent at the end of last year. If you look at the chart you can see how quickly that decline is taking place. Notice also that New England some years ago had higher ratios of both numbers of banks and deposits than nationwide; now it is lower. That again illustrates the trend that is of concern. The basic reason for the decline in membership is the financial burden that membership entails. Most nonmember banks and thrift institutions may hold their re'quired reserves in the form of earning assets or in the form of deposits-such as correspondent balances-that would be held in the normal course of business. Member banks, by contrast, must keep their required reserves entirely in nonearning form. The consequences, as may be seen in chart 5, is that member banks hold a greater percentage of their total assets in nonearning form than do nonmember banks. Chart V shows that members-at the top line-have a much higher percentage of their assets that are not yielding any income. The cost burden of Federal Reserve membership thus consists of the earnings that member banks must forego because of the extra amount of assets they are required to hold. Of course, member banks are provided with services from the Federal Reserve, but the value of these services does not, by any means, close the earnings gap between members and nonmembers. As a result, the earnings rate for member banks runs persistently below that for nonmember banks. If you glance for just a moment at chart VI and you will notice that nonmembers are consistently earning more on their assets than members. The Board staff estimates that the aggregate cost burden for Federal Reserve membership may exceed $650 million annually, based on data for the year ending September 1977; that is about 9 percent of member bank p1.·ofits before taxes. The burden of membership is not distributed equally across all sizes https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 81 of member banks, according to our estimates, which are shown in chart VII. The relative burden is greatest for small banks-as some of you pointed out-exceeding 20 percent of profits for banks with less than $10 million in deposits. The top of that chart shows the aggregate burden, but in the bottom panel you will see that the burden does fall more on the smaller institutions. The competitive inequality caused by sterile reserve balances can be regarded as an additional "tax" levied upon member hanks. This tax produces Federal Reserve earnings that are paid over to the Treasury and thereby become additional revenue to the U.S. Government. But this tax is inherently unfair because it falls only on member banks. Nonmember banks and thrift institutions, both of which compete with members in many of the same markets for deposits and loans, do not pay this tax. Member banks naturally attempt to minimize the added burden of sterile reserves, but there are practical limitations in their nbility to do so. Those banks most successful in taking such steps are the larger banks. Because of their size, the character of their business, and their managerial resources, these banks have access to sources o:f funds or to activities that involve lower reserve requirements. Moreover, such banks are usually large correspondent banks that provide services to smaller banks, including those that are based upon access to Federal Reserve facilities. Requiring sterile reserves only from member banks is an inefficient way to raise revenue for the Treasury, because it leads to withdrawal from the System. resulting in reduction in Treasury revenues. For example, since 1970, the withdrawals of member banks have reduced Federal Reserve earnings in 1977 by nearly $200 million from what they would have been had the hanks not withdrawn. In chart VIII you can see the annual loss in Federal Reserve earnings as a result of the withdrawal of hanks since 1970. This has reduced the net income to the Treasury by about $100 million. Remember, this goes back only to 1970, and does not project future loss. It is obvious from the continuing erosion in Federal Reserve membership that more and more banks are becoming acutely aware of the cost burden of membership and of the competitive handicap arising from that burden. The cost of membership is due in part to the high interest rates being induced by inflation in recent years. With market interest rates exceeding 5 percent for much of the past decade, the earnings opportunities foregoing by holding reqmred reserves at Reserve banks has been painfully clear to member banks. At the same time, competitive pressure on banks have increased. Ranks once had a virtual monopoly on transaction accounts because o:f their ability to offer demand deposits. But this unique position is being nroded. Financial innovations have led to widespread use of interestbearing accounts at nonbank depository institutions as well as banks for transaction purposes. Since 1970, these mnovations have included such activities as limited preauthorization of bill-paying from savings accounts at banks and savings and loan institutions, NOW accounts that are available in New England, the credit union share drafts, telephone transfers from savings deposits, and the use of electronic terminals to make immediate transfers to and from savings accounts. Growth of these transactions- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 82 related interest deposits has been most dramatic in recent years. For example, NOW accounts have grown from almost zero in 1974 to nearly 8 percent of household deposit balances in New England in 1977. Chart IX shows the very rapid dramatic growth of deposits in NOW accounts. There is no sign that the intense competition for transaction accounts will abate. These heightened competitive forces are compelling all depository institutions to be more cost sensitive and to seek ways to maintain their profitability. Experience shows that withdrawal from the Federal Reserve System is a strategy that many bank managements have chosen in these circumstances. The declining trend in membership is of great concern, because as it continues it will inevitably weaken our financial system in a number of ways. Declining membership threatens to alter the character of the Federal Reserve System as an institution from that which Congress originally intended. Congress intended the Nation's central bank to provide needed liquidity and to establish an efficient payments system, among other purposes. All commercial banks were made eligible to participate in the governance and the services of the regional Reserve banks. Membership in the System was not restricted to national banks alone because the System's designers in Congress considered broad representation from all classes of banks located in every region in the country to be essential to the System's functioning in the public interest. They especially wished to avoid over-representation by the largest banks. Moreover, in founding the System, Congress hoped that Statechartered banks would join in order to strengthen both the System and the ability of State banks to serve their communities. These purposes are as valid today as they were 65 years ago, but continued attrition of membership could defeat these congressional goals. If current trends continue, membership in the Federal Reserve will consist predominantly of the very largest banks and of the smaller national banks who might choose for one reason or another not to convert to State charters. The monetary and other policies of the Federal Reserve would then have their most immediate impact on . a relatively small part of our financial system. As fewer and fewer banks and a smaller share of the N at10n's deposits remain with the Federal Reserve System, the ability of the System to influence the Nation's money and credit becomes weaker. The discount window provides an important safety valve function which enables the Federal Reserve to conduct monetary policy effectively. Member bank attrition means that fewer banks have immediate access to the discount window on a day-to-day basis. As attrition continues, we could reach the point where there would be a significant reduction in the financial system's flexibility in adapting to such things as a tightening of credit policies. The discount window provides individual member banks with a reasonable period of time to make orderly adjustments in their lending and investment policies. This cushion provided by the window facilitates implementation of a restrictive monetary policy in a period of inflationary demands. We have seen this recently when the use of the window has helped make the adjustment to tighter conditions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 83 The attrition in deposits subject to reserve requirements set by the Federal Reserve also weakens the linkage between bank reserves and the monetary aggregates. As a larger and larger fraction of deposits becomes subject to the diverse reserve reqmrements set by the 50 States rather than by the Federal Reserve, the relationship between money supply and reserves provided by the Federal Reserve becomes less and less predictable. Our staff has attempted to assess the extent to which growth in nonmember bank deposits would weaken the relationship between reserves and money. Their tentative results are shown in chart X. Look at that chart for just a moment. It depicts the greater range of short term variability in M1 and M2 , with a given level of bank reserves, that would develop as the percent of deposits held by nonmembers rises. If you look at the horizontal axis, you will see that as the percent of bank deposits not subject to reserve requirements goes up, there is a much greater percent of va•riability in predictability than there would otherwise be. As more and more deposits are held outside the System, the chart suggests that control of money through the reserve base becomes increasmgly uncertain. Finally, it should be pointed out that fewer member banks within the Federal Reserve means that fewer institutions can be influenced by changes in reserve requirements set by the Federal Reserve. Changes in reserve requirements have not been a very active instrument of monetary policy in recent years, as Chairman Reuss pointed out, but this has been in part because of a desire to avoid worsening the membership problem if reserve requirements were raised. If the membership problem could be resolved, possibly through universal reserve requirements, adjustment in reserve ratios might be made more flexibly when needed to affect bank credit throughout the country or to influence banks' efforts to attract particular types of deposits. Moreover, while open market operations in U.S. Government securities provide the Federal Reserve with a powerful policy instrnment, it is possible that conditions could develop in the future-such as a less active market for U.S. Government securities in a period of reduced Federal deficits, which I hope we will see soon-where mqre flexible adjustments of reserve requirements might be desirable as an adjunct to the window or to the desk in efforts to control the 'monetary aggregates. Not only is monetary control made more difficult by membership attrition, but the quality of the banking system is also adversely affected. The Federal Reserve Act authorizes Reserve banks to discount paper for nonmembers, but only under "unusual and exigent" circumstances. By the time such an emergency loan were made, therefore, the bank would have already encountered serious difficulties, and more problems could be expected as it became known that the bank was in an emergency condition. As a member, on the other hand, the bank would probably have begun to borrow from the window under regular procedures and the development of an eJmergency might be forestalled. The presence of the Federal Reserve in the bank supervisory and regulatory area-a presence that becomes diluted with membership attrition-also enhances the quality of the banking system. The activities of the System in that area cannot be readily separated from its https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 84 job of conducting monetary policy. Regulatory and supervisory policies can have important implications for monetary policy and credit flows. Changes in the ceiling rate on time deposits are only the most obvious of such policies; others concern capital adequacy, bank liquidity, international hanking, and the quality of loan portfolios. Attrition of membership, as it continues, also threatens to lead to a deterioration in the quality of the payments mechanism that underlies all of the Nation's economic transactions. Reserve balances held at Federal Reserve banks are the foundation of the payment mechanism because these balances are used for making payments and settling accounts between banks. Nonmember deposits at correspondent banks can serve the same purpose. But as more and more of the deposits used for settlement purposes are held outside the Federal Reserve, the banking system .becomes increasingly exposed to the risk that such funds might be immobilized if a large correspondent bank experienced substantial operating difficulties or liquidity problems. A liquidity crisis affecting a large clearing bank would have widespread damaging effects on the banking system as a whole because smaller banks might become unable to use their balances in the normal course ·Of business. The Federal Reserve, of course, is not subject to liquidity risks and, therefore, serves as Congress intended as a completely safe foundation for the payments mechanism. These various problems that either cause or result from member bank attrition could be solved in a variety of ways, some of which we have suggested and some of which you have suggested. We believe that the approach the Federal Reserve has suggested is an effective one and is an appropriate one under the circumstances. First, we have suggested the Universal Reserve Requirements Act of 1978, which Chairman Reuss introduced at our request. It was submitted by the Board for the purpose of reducing the competitive inequality between banks and other institutions insofar as transactions accounts are concerned and to lay the basis for more effective monetary control. Universal reserve requirements can eliminate the competitive inequality by imposing a similar reserve requirements structure on similar institutions. This bill imposes reserve requirements set by the Federal Reserve on transactions balances of all depository institutions. The first $5 million of such balances would be exempt from reserve requirements, although a relatively small requirement could be imposed if it proved necessary in the public interest. This exemption would mean that about one-third of the present member banks and about two-thirds of nonmembers would not be subject to reserve requirements on transactions accounts. This is a limited extension of universal reserves which would significantly reduce the competitive inequality that now exists. The Board favors universal requirements for reasons quite apart from the membership problem. Universal reserves would contribute to improving monetary management and to insuring the stability of the payments mechanism. Let me stress that the Board's bill does not authorize any supervisory role for the Federal Reserve with respect to nonmembers. Indeed, the bill does not even require that nonmember institutions establish an account relationship with the Reserve bank. A nonmember's https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 85 reserves could be held at a correspondent bank-or at a Federal Home Loan bank in the case of savings and loan associations-and merely passed through to the Fed on a 1 to 1 basis by the correspondent. Nonmembers would, however, have to report data on their deposits and certain other items to the local Reserve bank for monetary management purposes. We realize that universal reserve requirements have been proposed before and that the proposal raises a number of difficult problems. The Board continues to belieYe, however, that such reserves are necessary to help correct the competitive imbalances in our financial system and to insure an effective monetary policy. The Board's other proposal is presented separately. I mentioned that the Senate has linked them together in one bill, but they are presented here separately. I recommend this second proposal to you for approval, through passage o:f H.R. 13477, even if Congress does not enact universal reserve requirements. However, we would suggest that the last sentence of that bill be deleted-and I will mention this again later-the sentence that restricts the payment of interest on certain sizes of balances. Apart from universal reserves, the Board's proposal has four other major features: One, reduction and restructuring of demand deposit reserve requirements; two, payment of compensation on required reserve balances; three, charges for services provided by Reserve banks; and four, a transfer of a portion of the Federal Reserve surplus to the Treasury during a transition period in order to preserve the Treasury's revenue and thus to avoid any increase in the Federal deficit. The Board's plan is described in some detail in the preliminary proposal that is attached to my testimony, and I believe each of you has a copy. The reduction in reserv{l requirements, together with the proposed payment of interest on reserves, would about offset the membership burden as presently measured, after allowing for charges for services to members. The net cost to the Treasury of this program, in the absence of universal reserve requirements, would be about $300 million, based on deposits and reserves in 1977. This figure, of course, takes into account that the reduction in Federal Reserve earnings will be partially recouped by the Treasury from banks, stockholders, and customers who will receive the benefit of this reduced burden in taxable income. During a 3-year phase-in period, there would be no loss in Treasury revenues, since the System would reimburse the Treasury from its accumulated surJ?lus. After that, the actual loss would be considerably less than the estimated $300 million cost of the Board's plan. Membership attrition would continue in the absence of a program to resolve the problem. Please look at chart XI: You will see that without this program, by the fourth year, continuing attrition would cost the Treasury an estimated $80 to $210 million a year as a result of the continuing decline in membership and in member bank reserves held at the Fed. The straight lines slanting upward are the ones to follow. The bottom line shows the cost of attrition to the Treasury if the national .trend in loss of membership should continue. The upper line shows the cost to the Treasury if attrition were to increase to the rate that has been experienced in New England. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 86 It is my personal view that conditions are such that we could experience an increase in loss of membership such as has already happened in New England. It is my view that the upper line represents the more probable result in the absence of this program. Compare that with the cost o:f the Board plan-which costs less in its early years and then jumps up once the :full plan is in effect-and you will see that there is a close approximation between what our plan would cost given a stabilized situation and what the Treasury would lose anyway i:f we do not stop attrition. The Board's proposed Interest on Reserves Act would limit the amount o:f the interest paid under the Board's plan, after deducting the total amount o:f charges imposed for services, to no more than 7 percent o:f the net earnings o:f the Federal Reserve banks in any 1 year. The purpose o:f that limitation, as you know, is to give Congress control over the Fed's authority to pay out net earnings. As you know, last year the earnings o:f the Federal Reserve were about $6 billion, so a 7 percent limit would give us about $420 million to be used for this purpose. Within this limitation, the Board proposes to pay close to the mar~ ket rate o:f interest on required reserve balances up to $25 million in size. The proposed rate would be one-half percentage point below the average return on the System's portfolio. In 1977, the return on the portfolio was such that the resulting figure would be about 6 percent. On larger balances, the Federal Reserve proposes to pay interest at 2 percent. The Board's proposal was embodied in H.R. 13477. But that bill also imposes a 2-percent limitation on reserve balances in excess o:f $25 million. While the Board intends to do that, we do not believe that that kind of limitation should be written into law. We think the 7percent cap assures Congress o:f a limitation in interest payments, and we would prefer to have some flexibility in setting the point at which interest rates change. Over the years conditions could change, and we need to be able to adapt as experience is gained. Now let me turn :for a moment to a discussion o:f the Stanton bill and Chairman Reuss' proposed amendment to it. In the Board's view, the Stanton bill is a constructive approach to dealing with the membership problem. Indeed, by permitting the payment of a market rate o:f interest on reserve balances, the bill would likely make membership in the System attractive for virtually all banks that are now nonmembers. In the context o:f this bill, open access to Federal Reserve services could then be provided to all depository institutions without risking any adverse effects o:f membership. O:f course, let me point out that we adjusted our own proposals as to rate of payment of compensation to reduce their cost impact, in the belief that some limitation at this time was necessary. The Board is concerned, however, that the specific provisions regarding changes :for Federal Reserve services in the Stanton bill might be unduly, restrictive. For example, the bill requires that the Federal Reserve price take account of capital and other costs tha.t would have been paid by a private firm. However, we believe that any provision requiring the System to charge :for services should also recognize the realities of the competitive marketplace and the responsibility of the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 87 System to provide a basic level of service nationwide. I believe this would be in the public interest. The amendment to the Stanton bill is broad in scope. It seeks major changes in the powers and responsibilities of the Federal Reserve, and would adversely affect the System's ability to carry out its res:ponsibilities. The amendment, if adopted, would not provide a solution to the membership problem; rather, it would make the problem worse. Under the amendment, open access to all Syatem services, except the discount window, would be available to all institutions, and the rate of interest on reserve balances would be limited so that the amount of interest paid would be no greater than the total amount collected by the Federal Reserve in payment for services, plus the small amount of interest earned at the discount window. In consequence, interest payable on reserves would be substanti,ally less than a market rate. Therefore, a bank willing to forego access to the discount window could withdraw from membership and still have access to all Federal Reserve services. Such a bank could then invest the reserve balances released by withdrawal from the System so as to earn a full market rate of interest. If those funds were invested in Government bonds, the Treasury would be paying money to that bank. It seems more sensible to us for the Federal Reserve to pay a lesser amount of money to that bank to keep it in the System. If the proposed amendment were enacied, we would expect the rate of loss of membership to accelerate. The amendment also proposes legislating specific reserve require• ment ratios on demand deposits and tying the discount rate to the Treasury bill rate. Such an action would not be desirable, since it would reduce the policy instruments available to carry out the Nation's monetary policy and effectively limit the System to open market operations for tlhat purpose. The Board continues to believe that effective monetary management requires at least the option of having more than one instrument rut hand, and, recommends that the proposed amendment therefore not be enacted. I mentioned earlier the opportunity to use reserve requirements ws a moneta.ry policy instrument if we solve the membership problem; reserve requirement changes may become a more useful instrument once this problem is resolved. In .any event, they are needed if ,action is to be taken tha,t emphasizes credit availability at member banks throughout the country, or if conditions require that open market operations be supplemented in order to attain mone.ta,ry objectives. Reserve requirement changes can al so serve at time s as a useful signal of change in the System's policy stance. It also should be noted that the reoorve requirement proposals on transactions 'accounts in the amendment apply to member banks only. This would tend to increase existing inequities because member bank savings accounts subject to automatic transfer would bear a higher reserve requirement-equal to that on demand deposits-than similar accounts at nonmember institutions. That would greatly impact the a.vailability of this new service to consumers whidh we hope to have in effect November 1. The discount rate, too, has a useful role to play as a signal of policy. For instance, it can be held back when market rates are rising to suggest a certain caution about future rate developments to the market. The stated reason for tying the discount rate to a market rate is to https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 1 1 88 reduce the possibility of arbitrage profits when tJhe discount rate is below market rates. However, as Congressman Stanton pointed out, the Reserve oonks already have careful administrative controls to keep arbitrage OJ?'.portunities to a minimum. Tying the discount rate to the Treasury bill rate makes the cost of meµiber borrowing dependent in part on Treasury debt management, and the rate could be high or low rela.tive to other opportunities that the bank has fur investment. Even if it were desirable to tie the discount rate to market rates, the shifting structure of market rates makes it very difficult to find any single rate that is satisfactory. I suppose, from a personal point of view, I wish we could; it would make my life a little easier, and I would not have to face those tough decisions. The Board believes its flexibility with regard to the discount rate should not be limited, in view of the unpredictability of changing market circumstances and internwtional and domestic economic conditions. The amendment also would require the Federal Reserve to transfer $575 million of its earned surplus to the Treasury over 2 years. This amount is what we have proposed in our plan, as Chairman Reuss pointed· out. However, the proposed amendment does not offset the full burden of membership, so the cost to the Treasury would be less than $575 million. Therefore, if these amendments were adopted, it would not be necessary to transfer $575 million to the Treasury. Finally, the amendment provides for the collection from nonmember institutions of data needed to control the monetary aggregates. This is very helpful. The reports are to be made through the relevant regulatory agencies. I just want to point out that such data are needed on a timely basis, and it would be useful for us to have the flexibility to work out with the agencies how to handle it, rather than to have this mandated. The intended purpose is proper, but we might need a little more flexibility in working out how to get that data. Mr. Chairman, ladies and gentlemen-Members of Congress who are here today in attendance-I just want to thank you for the opportunity to present our views on this important matter. The problems with which your committee is dealing this morning are of crucial importance to the lon~-run viability of the Nation's Central Bank, to the health of the Nation's depository institutions, and, indeed, to the national economy. I know the problems are difficult, and I appreciate vou:r willingness to tackle them. I am confident that if we do work together and consider the issues together, we can find solutions in the public interest. Thank you verY. much. [Chairman Miller's prepared statement, together with the charts referred to throughout his oral presentation and a "Preliminary Proposal" of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, dated July 6, 1978, follows:] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 89 Proposals on Financial Institution Reserve Requirements and Related Issues Statement by G. William Miller Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System 32•9?2 0 • ?8 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis before the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs House of Representatives July 27, 1978 • ? 90 It is a pleasure to testify today on behalf of the Federal Reserve System on the bills before your Committee that would promote competitive equity between member banks and other depository institutions and that would strengthen the nation's financial system by stemming the attrition of banks from the Federal Reserve. We are grateful to this Committee and to its distinguished Chairman for considering the proposed legislation so late in the session. Attrition of membership in the Federal Reserve System is occurring because member banks are at a serious competitive disadvantage relative to other depository institutions. This attrition, as it continues, dilutes the effectiveness with which the Federal Reserve can fulfill its monetary and other objectives. Therefore, I should like, first, to discuss the dimensions and effects of the decline in membership, and then to offer comments on the specific legislation you are considering. MEMBERSHIP IN THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DECLINE The problem facing us is the continuing decline in System membership in recent years. Over the past 8 years 430 member banks have withdrawn from the System, while only 103 nonmember banks have joined, as is illustrated in Chart I. give up their membership, and half of 1978. In 1977 69 banks chose to 39 more banks withdrew in the first This last statistic probably understates the trend, because many member banks appear to be delaying their plans for withdrawal from membership until they see what action the System takes to resolve the membership problem. Most of the banks with- drawing from membership have been small, with total deposits under https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -1- 91 $50 million. But a disturbing tendency has developed recently for larger banks also to leave the System, as shown by comparing the top and bottom panels of Chart II. Fifteen of the sixty-nine banks leaving the System in 1977 had deposits of more than $100 million, a record number for that size of bank. The steady downward trend in the number of member banks has been accompanied, of course, by a decline in the proportion of bank deposits subject to Federal Reserve reserve requirements, as may be seen from Chart III. As of the end of 1977, member banks held less than 73 per cent of total commercial bank deposits, down about 8 percentage points in the last 8 years. Thus, more than one-fourth of commercial bank deposits--and over three-fifths of all banks--are outside the Federal Reserve System. In New England, where the development of NOW accounts in the past 5 years has greatly sharpened competition among depository institutions, the decline in membership and in deposits held by member banks has been even more dramatic, as illustrated in Chart IV. The share of deposits in New England held by member banks fell by 11 percentage points in the last three years alone--from 73 per cent at the end of 1974 to less than 62 per cent at the end of 1977. DUE TO THE EXCESSIVE COST OF MEMBERSHIP The basic reason for the decline in membership is the financial burden that membership entails. Most nonmember banks and thrift institutions may hold their required reserves in the form of earning assets or in the form of deposits (such as correspondent balances) that would be held in the normal course of business. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -2- 92 Member banks, by contrast, must keep their required reserves entirely in non-earning form. In consequence, as may be seen in Chart V, member banks hold a greater percentage of their total assets in non-earning form than do nonmembers. The cost burden of Federal Reserve membership thus consists of the earnings that member banks must forego because of the extra amount of non-earning assets that they are required to hold. Of course, member ·banks are provided with services by Federal Reserve Banks, but the value of these services does not by any means close the earnings gap between member and nonmember banks. And, as a result, the earnings rate for member banks runs persistently below that for nonmembers, as illustrated in Chart VI. The Board staff estimates that the aggregate cost burden to member banks of Federal Reserve membership may exceed $650 million annually, based on data for the year ending in September 1977, or about 9 per cent of member bank profits before income tax. The burden of membership is not distributed equally across all sizes of member banks. According to our estimates, shown in the lower panel of Chart VII, the relative burden is greatest for small banks--exceeding 20 per cent of profits for banks with less than $10 million in deposits. INEQUITY OF COST BURDEN BORNE BY MEMBER BANKS The competitive inequality caused by sterile reserve balances can be regarded as an additional "tax" levied upon member banks. This "tax" produces ·Federal Reserve earnings that are paid over to the Treasury and thereby become additional revenue to the U.S. Government. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -3- 93 But this "tax" is inherently unfair because it falls only on member banks. Nonmember banks and thrift institutions, both of which compete with members in many of the same markets for deposits and loans, do not bear this tax. Member banks naturally attempt to minimize the added burden of sterile reserves that they bear, but there are practical limitations on their ability to do so, Those banks most successful in taking such steps are the very largest banks, Because of their size, character of their business, and managerial resources, these banks have access to sources of funds or to activities--auch as participation in international banking, making repurchase agreements with business corporations, and borrowing Federal funds--that are either free of reserve requirements or involve relatively small reserve requirements. Moreover, such banks are usually large correspondents that provide services to smaller banks, including those based on access to Federal Reserve facilities, Furthermore, requiring sterile reserves only from member banks is an inefficient way to raise revenue for the Treasury, because it leads to withdrawals from the System, resulting in reduction in Treasury revenues, For example, withdrawals since 1970 have reduced Federal Reserve earnings in 1977 by nearly $220 million from what they would have otherwise been, as shown in Chart VIII, and have reduced net Treasury revenues by about $100 million, INCREASED C<MPETITION FOR DEPOSITS HEIGHTENS AWARENESS OF BURDEN It is obvious from the continuing erosion in Federal Reserve membership that more and more banks are becoming acutely aware of the cost burden of membership and of the competitive handicap arising from https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -4- 94 that burden. "nle cost of membership is due in part to the high interest rates induced by inflation in recent years. With market interest rates exceeding 5 per cent for much of the past decade, the earning opportunities foregone by holding required reserves at Reserve Banks have become painfully clear to member banks. At the same time, competitive pressures on banks have increased. Banks once had a virtual monopoly on transactions accounts because of their ability to offer demand deposits. position is being eroded. But this unique Financial innovations have led to wide- spread use of interest-bearing accounts at nonbank depository institutions as well as banks for transactions purposes. Since 1970, these innovations have included the following: limited pre-authorized "bill-payer" transfers from savings accounts at banks and savings and loan associations, NOW accounts at practically all depository institutions in New England, credit union share drafts, telephone transfers from savings deposits, and the use of electronic terminals to make immediate transfers to and from savings accounts. Growth of these transactions-related interest-bearing deposits has been most dramatic in recent years. For example, NOW accounts have grown from almost zero in 1974 to nearly 8 per cent of household deposit balances in New England in 1977, as shown in Chart IX. "nlere is no sign that the intense competition for transactions accounts will abate. "nlese heightened competitive forces are compelling all depository institutions to be more cost sensitive https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -5- 95 and to seek ways to maintain their profitability. Experience shows that withdrawal from the Federal Reserve System is a strategy that many bank managements have chosen in these circumstances. REDUCED MEMBERSHIP IN THE FEDERAL RESERVE WEAKENS THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM The declining trend in membership is of great concern because, as it continues, it will inevitably weaken our financial system in a number of ways. Declining membership threatens to alter the character of the Federal Reserve System as an institution away from that which Congress originally intended. Congress intended the nation's central bank to provide needed liquidity and to establish an efficient national payments system, among other purposes. All eemmercial banks were made eligible to participate in the governance and the services of the regional Reserve Banks. Membership in the System was not restricted to national banks alone, because the System's designers considered broad representation from all classes of banks located in every region of the nation to be essential to the System's functioning in the public interest. They especially wished to avoid over-representation by the largest banks. Moreover, in founding the System, Congress hoped State-chartered banks would jo;~ in order to strengthen both the System and the ability of the State banks to serve their conmunities. These purposes are as valid today as they were 65 years ago, but continued attrition of membership could defeat these Congressional goals. If current trends continue, membership in the Federal Reserve will consist predominantly of the very largest banks https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -6- 96 and of the smaller national banks who might choose, for one reason or another, not to convert to state charters. The monetary and other policies of the Federal Reserve would then have their most immediate impact on a relatively small part of our financial system. MONETARY MANAGEMENT WEAKENED As fewer and fewer banks, and a smaller share of the nation's deposits, remain with the Federal Reserve System, the ability of the System to influence the nation's money and credit becomes weaker. The discount window provides an important safety• valve function, which enables the Federal Reserve to conduct monetary policy effectively. Member bank attrition means that fewer banks have inmediate access to the discount window on a day-to•day basis. As attrition continues, we could reach the point where there would be a significant reduction in the financial system's flexibility in adapting to, for example, a tightening of credit policies. The discount window provides individual member banks with a reasonable period of time to make orderly adjustments in their lending and investment policies. The cushion provided by the window facilitates implementation of a restrictive menetary policy in a period of inflationary demands. The attrition in deposits subject to reserve requirements set by the Federal Reserve also weakens the linkage between bank reserves and the monetary aggregates. As a larger and larger fraction of deposits becomes subject to the diverse reserve requirements set by the 50 states rather than by the Federal Reserve, the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -7- 97 relationship between money supply and reserves provided by the Federal Reserve becomes less and less predictable. Our staff has attempted to assess the extent to which growth in nonmember bank deposits would weaken the relationship between reserves and money. lbeir tentative results are shown in Chart X, which depicts the greater range of short-run variability in M-1 and M-2, with a given level of bank reserves, that would develop as the per cent of deposits held by nonmembers rises. As more and more deposits are held outside the System, this chart suggests that control of money through the reserve base becomes increasingly uncertain. Finally, it should be pointed out that fewer banks within the Federal Reserve means that fewer institutions can be influenced by changes in reserve requirements set by the Federal Reserve. Changes in reserve requirements have not been a very active instrument of monetary policy in recent years, but this was in part because of a desire to avoid worsening the membership problem if reserve requirements were to be raised. If the membership problem could be resolved, possibly through universal reserve requirements, adjustments in reserve ratios might be made more flexibly when needed to affect bank credit throughout the country, or to influence banks' efforts to attract particular types of deposits. Moreover, while open market operations in U.S. Government securities provide the Federal Reserve with a powerful policy instrument, it is possible that conditions could develop in the future--such as a less active market for U,S, Government securities in a period of reduced Federal https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -8- 98 budgetary deficits--where more flexible adjustment of reserve requirements might be a desirable adjunct in efforts to control the monetary aggregates. ADVERSE IMPACTS ON QUALITY OF BANKING SYSTEM Not only is monetary control made more difficult by membership attrition, but the quality of the banking system is also adversely affected. The Federal Reserve Act authorizes Reserve Banks to discount paper for nonmembers, but only under "unusual and exigent" circumstances. By the time such an emergency loan were made, therefore, the bank would have encountered serious difficulties, and more problems could be expected as it became known ~hat it was in an "emergency" condition. As a member, on the other hand, the bank would have probably begun to borrow under regular procedures, and the development of an emergency might have been forestalled. The presence of the Federal Reserve in the bank supervisory and regulatory area--a presence that becomes diluted with membership attrition--also enhances the quality of the banking system. The activities of the System in that area cannot be readily separated from its job of conducting monetary policy. Regulatory and super- visory policies can have important implications for monetary policy and credit flows. Changes in the ceiling rate on time deposits are only the most obvious of such policies; others concern capital adequacy, bank liquidity, international banking, and the quality of loan portfolios. POTENTIAL DETERIORATION IN THE PAYMENTS SYSTEM Attrition of membership, as it continues, also threatens to lead to a deterioration in the quality of the payments mechanism https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -9- 99 that underlies all of the nation's economic transactions. Reserve balances held at Federal Reserve Banks are the foundation of the payments mechanism, because these balances are used for making payments and settling accounts between banks. Nonmember deposits at correspondent banks can serve the same purpose, but as more and more of the deposits used for settlement purposes are held outside the Federal Reserve, the banking system becomes increasingly exposed to the risk that such funds might be immobilized if a large correspondent bank experienced substantial operating difficulties or liquidity problems. A liquidity crisis affecting a large clearing bank would have widespread damaging effects on the banking system as a whole because smaller banks might become unable to use their clearing balances in the ordinary course of business. The Federal Reserve, of course, is not subject to liquidity risk and therefore serves, as Congress intended, as a completely safe foundation for the payments mechanism. These various problems that either cause or result from member bank attrition could be solved in a variety of ways, and a number of bills are before you. We believe our approach is the most effective one under existing circumstances. UNIVERSAL RESERVE REQUIREMENTS The Universal Reserve Requirements Act of 1978, introduced as H.R. 13476, was submitted by the Board to reduce competitive inequality between banks and other institutions insofar as transactions accounts are concerned and to lay the basis for more effective monetary control. Universal reserve requirements can eliminate the competitive inequality by imposing a similar reserve requirements https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -10- 100 structure on similar institutions. H.R. 13476 imposes reserve require- ments set by the Federal Reserve on transactions balances at all depository institutions. The first $5 lllillion of such balances would be exempt from reserve requirements, although a relatively small requirement could be imposed if it proved necessary in the public interest. This exemption would mean that about one-third of present member banks and about two-thirds of nonmembers would not be subject to reserve requirements on transactions accounts. This limited extension of universal reserves would significantly reduce competitive inequality. The Board favors universal reserve requirements for reasons quite apart from the membership problem. Universal reserves would con- tribute to improving monetary management and to ensuring the stability of the payments mechanism. In doing so, the Board's bill, it should be stressed, does not authorize any supervisory role for the Federal Reserve System with respect to nonmembers. Indeed, the bill does not even require nonmember institutions to establish an account relationship with the Reserve Bank. A nonmember's reserves can be held at a correspondent bank--or at a Federal Home Loan Bank, in the case of savings and loan associations--and merely passed through to the Fed on a one-to-one basis by the correspondent. Nonmembers would, however, have to report data on their deposits and certain other items to the local Reserve Bank for monetary management purposes. We realize that universal reserve requirements have been proposed before, and that the proposal raises a number of difficult problems. The Board continues to believe, however, that they are necessary to help correct the competitive imbalances in our financial system and to assure an effective monetary policy. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -11- 101 OTHER PROGRAM ELEMENTS The Board's other proposal is presented separately and is recommended for prompt Congressional approval through passage of R.R. 13477, even if Congress does not enact universal reserve requirements in this session. However--for reasons discussed later-- the Board urges deletion of the last sentence of that legislation, which imposes a limitation of 2 per cent on required reserve balances in excess of $25 million, Apart from universal reserves, the Board's proposal has four other major features: reduction and restructuring of demand deposit reserve requirements, payment of compensation on required reserve balances, charges for services provided by Reserve Banks (along with slightly broadened access to those services), and transfer of a portion of System surplus to the Treasury during the transition period in order to preserve the Treasury's revenue position while the plan is implemented, All of the provisions of the Board's plan are described in some detail in the "Preliminary Proposal" that is attached to this testimony, and which we would appreciate having made part of the record of these hearings. The reduction in reserve requirements, together with the proposed payment of interest on reserves, would about offset the membership burden as presently measured, after allowing for charges for services to members. The net annual cost to the Treasury of this program, in the absence of universal reserve requirements, would be about $300 million, based on deposits and reserves in 1977. This figure, of course, assumes that part of the reduction in Federal Reserve earnings is recouped by the Treasury from banks, their https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -12- 102 stockholders, and customers ir, t.he form of taxes on increased earnings and capital gains. During a three-year phase-in period for the program, there would be no loss in Treasury revenues, since the System would reimburse the Treasury from its accumulated surplus. After that period, the actual loss would be considerably less than the estimated $300 million cost of the Board's plan. Membership attrition would continue in the absence of a program to resolve the problem. As shown in chart XI, without the program, by the fourth year continued attrition probably would be costing the Treasury between $80 and $210 million as a result of further declines in member bank reserves held at the Federal Reserve. Thus, the true cost of the program is considerably lower than $300 million. Moreover, should the program increase membership, the cost •.;ould 1Je reduced even further. INTEREST ON RESERVES ACT The Board's proposed Interest on Reserves Act of 1978 would limit the amount of interest paid under the Board's plan, after deducting the total amount of charges imposed for services, to no more than 7 per cent of net earnings of the Federal Reserve Banks in any one year. (During 1977, net earnings were about $6 billion.) Within this limitation, the Board proposes to pay close to a market rate of interest on required reserve balances up to $25 million in size. The proposed rate would be\ percentage point below the average return on the System's portfo1io; in 1977, the return on portfolio would have permitted a 6 per cent rate on such reserve balances. Larger balances would earn interest at a 2 per cent rate. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -D- 103 The Board's proposal was embodied in H,R, 134 77, but that bill also imposes a 2 per cent limitation on reserve balances in excess of $25 million, The Board does not believe that the 2 per cent limitation should be written into law, H,R, 13477 in any event contains an over- all percentage limitation on the amount of interest payments the Federal Reserve can make, and it is essential to retain adminis::rative flexibility in setting interest rates within the over-all limitation, so that adjustments can be made as circumstances change and experience is g~{r.ed. LEGISIATIVE PROPOSALS ADVANCED BY OTHERS The remainder of my testimony will discuss the Stanton Bil:1 and Chairman Reuss' proposed amendment to it. In the Board's view, H,R. 12706, the Stanton Bill, is a constructive approach to dealing with the membership problem. Indeed, by permitting payment of a market rate of interest on reserve balances, the bill would likely make membership in the System attractive to virtually all banks that are now nonmembers. In the context of this bill, open access to Federal Reserve services could then be provided to all depository institutions without risking adverse effects on membership, The Board is concerned, however, that the specific provisions regarding charges for Federal Reserve services in H,R, 12706 may be unduly restrictive. For example, the bill requires that the Federal Reserve price to take account of capital and other costs that would have been paid by a private firm, However, we believe that any provi- sion requiring the System to charge for services should also recognize the realities of the competitive marketplace and the responsibility of the System to provide a basic level of service nationwide. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -14- 104 The proposed amendment to the.Stanton bill is broad in scope, seeks major changes in the powers and responsibilities of the Federal Reserve, and would adversely affect the System's ability to carry out its responsibilities. Moreover, the amendment, if adopted, would not provide a solution to the membership problem; rather, it would make the problem much worse. Under the amendment, open access to all System services (except the discount window) would be available to all institutions, and the rate of interest on reserve balances would be limited so that the amount of interest paid could be no greater than the total amount collected by the Federal Reserve in payment for services plus the small amount of interest earned at the discount window. In consequence, interest payable on reservmwould be substantially less than a m~rket rate. Therefore, a bank willing to forego access to the discount window could withdraw from membership and still have access to all Federal Reserve operating services, while also investing the reserve balances released by withdrawal from the System so as to earn a full market rate of interest. If the proposed amendment were enacted, we would expect the rate of loss of membership to accelerate. The amendment also proposes legislating·specific reserve requirement ratios on demand deposits and tying the discount rate to the Treasury bill rate. Such an action would not be desirable since it would reduce the policy instruments available to carry out the nation's monetary policy and effectively limit the System to open market operations for that purpose. The Board continues to believe that effective monetary management requires the option of having more than one instrument at hand, and thus reco11111ends that the proposed amendment not be enacted. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -15- 105 As noted earlier, reserve requirement changes may become a more useful instrument once the membership problem is resolved. In any event, they are needed if action is to be taken that emphasizes credit availability at member banks throughout the country or if conditions require that open market operations be supplemented in order to attain monetary policy objectives. also serve, at times, as a policy stance. Moreover, reserve requirements changes can useful signal of change in the System's It also should be noted that the reserve requirement proposals on transactions accounts in the amendment apply to member banks only. This would tend to increase existing inequities because member bank savings accounts subject to automatic transfer would bear a higher reserve requirement--equal to that on demand deposits--than similar accounts at nonmember institutions. The discount rate, too, has a useful role to play as a signal of policy. For instance, it can be held back when market rates are rising to suggest a certain caution about future rate developments to the market. The stated reason for tying the discount rate to a market rate is to reduce the possibility of arbitrage profits when the discount rate is below market rates. However, the Reserve Banks already have careful administrative controls that keep arbitrage opportunities to a minimum. Moreover, tying the discount rate to the Treasury bill rate makes the cost of member borrowing depend in part on Treasury debt management, and the rate could be high or low relative to other opportunities the bank has for investment. Even if it were desirable to.tie the dis- count rate to a market rate, the shifting structure of market rates makes it very difficult to find any single rate that is satisfactory. 32-972 0 - 78 • https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -16- 8 In any 106 event, the Board believes its flexibility with regard to the discount rate should not be limited in view of the unpredictability of changing market circumstances and international and domestic econanic conditions. The amendment also would require the Federal Reserve to transfer $575 million of its earned surplus to the Treasury over two years. This amount appears in the Board's plan. But the program in the Reuss amendment, since it does not offset the membership burden, would be less coatly than the Board's plan. Therefore, the amount needed to maintain Treasury revenues in a transition period would be less than the $575 million required by the proposed In any event, the Board does not believe a specific amendment. transfer of Federal Reserve surplus should be legislated, but should be left to the Board and the Treasury, since the effect on Treasury revenues will depend on the particular plan chosen and the period of time over which it is practical to implement it fully. Finally, the amendment provides for the collection from nonmember institutions of data needed to control the monetary aggregates. The reports are to be made through the relevant regulatory agencies. It is important to note, however, that such data are needed on a timely basis if they are to be useful for monetary policy operations. The amendment should, therefore, allow flexibility in handling the flow of data, as might be worked out by the agencies. Mr. Chairman, thank you for the opportunity to present the Federal Reserve's views this morning. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -17- The problems with which 107 your Committee is dealing this morning are of crucial importance to the long-run viability of the nation's central bank and to the health of the nation's depository institutions and indeed to the national economy. The problems are exceedingly difficult, but I am confident we can together find solutions that will serve the public interest well. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -18- 108 Ch■rt:C Voluntary Changes In Federal Reserve Membership - - Number of banks JOINING ..... - - - - - - - 40 20 .+ 0 - ... - - 40 - 80 - WITHDRAWING I I 1971 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis I I 1973 I I 1975 I I 1977 20 80 109 Chart][ Percentage of Banks Withdrawing from the Federal Reserve System By Size ot Bank Per cent 1970·72 ,-- 60 - -- - - --- - I I Ill I I nl 111111 I 40 20 0 1973-75 60 40 20 0 1976-77 60 40 20 0 0-10 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10-50 50-100 Size class (total deposits, millions of dollars) Over 100 110 Chartm Percentage of U.S. Commercial Banks and Deposits In the Federal Reserve System Percent 90 80 70 60. 50 40 0 1961 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1965 1969 1973 1977 111 Chartm Percentage of New England Commercial Banks and Deposits in the Federal Reserve System Per cent 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 0 1961 1963 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 112 ChartY. Relative Cash Asset Positions of Member and Nonmember Banks Average Ratio of Cash Assets to Total Assets Ratio .14 .13 .12 '' '' .11 ' '----- '' '' '- '- _ _ _ _ , NONMEMBERS '' .10 '' ' ' ... ' ' ..... ___ _ .__ ____....__ __._ _ __.__ _ __.__ _ _..,__ _ _.,__ _ _.___ ___, .09 1971 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1973 1975 1977 113 ChartlZI Profitablllty of Member and Nonmember Banks Pre• Tax Profits H • Per Cent of Total A11el8 Per cent 1.4 1.3 NONMEMBERS 1.2 1.1 "'---- 1.0 .9 .8 1971 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1973 1975 1977 114 Chart:W Estimated Burden of Federal Reserve Membership AGGREGATE BURDEN Millions of dollars - -300 , _ 200 1 - 100 ,_ mmm I I I I I AGGREGATE BURDEN AS PERCENT OF ESTIMATED 1977 DOMESTIC PRE-TAX EARNINGS - 0 - Per cent 30 1-- '-- '-- 1-- '-- 20 10 1- I 0-10 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis I 10-50 I I 50-100 100-500 I 500-1000 Bank size class(total deposits, millions of dollars) 0 Over 1000 115 Chartl!Dl Annual Loss of Federal Reserve Revenues Due to Attrition Occurring Since 1970 Mi!l:Ons =·~ j:,Ha~ 240 200· 180 120 80 40 0 1971 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1973 1975 1977 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 116 Chart.llt NOW Accounts as Percentage of Household Deposit Balances In New England 1975 1978 1977 117 Cha,tl[ Effect of Member lank Attrition On Short-Run Predlctablllty of Monetary Aggregatas flan .. of Unpredlctable Varlablllty Percentage points 16 12 8 4 0 Par cent of 8ank Depoelta Not Subject to Reeerve Requirements https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 118 ChartX[ Estimated Loss of Treasury Revenues, Net of Taxes Millions of dollars 400 350 COST OF BOA.RD PLAIII COST OF ATTRITION 250 200 150 COST OF ATTRITION 100 50 + 0 1979 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1981 1983 119 1 /6/78 BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM PRELIMINARY PROPOSAL To Promote Competitive Equality Among Member Banlts and Other Financial Institutions and to Encourage Membership in the Federal Reserve System The continuing decline of bank membership in the Federal Reserve System and the increasing competition bet.ween banks and other depository institutions in providing payments services require prompt, responsive measures. This preliminary proposal is intended as a means of submitting a program for consideration and appropriate action by Congress. Background of the Problem Section 19 of the Federal Reserve Act provides that member banlts of the Federal Reserve System are required to maintain reserves against their demand and time deposits in such ratios as shall be determined by _the Board within specified legal ranges. In order to satisfy these reserve·requirements, member banks are required to maintain reserves in the form of vault cash and balances held in Federal Reserve Banlts. Such balances maintained by member banlts do not earn any interest at present. By contrast, most banks that are not members of the Federal Reserve System are permitted by State law to hold a substantial part of their required reserves in the form of earning assets, such as United States Treasury obligations, or in the form of balances that would be held in the ordinary course of business in any event. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Consequently, 120 member banks incur a burden in the form of foregone earnings on their required reserve balances. As a result of the inflation of recent years and the increased competition between banks and other depository institutions in providing payments services, more and more banks have become aware of the burden of membership and have determined that the benefits associated with remaining a member bank do not outweigh the costs. Over the past ten Although years, a total of 551 banks have withdrawn from membership. 111any of the banks that have left the System are small, there is a growing trend among larger member banks to become nonmembers. Of the 69 banks that left the Federal Reserve in 1977, 15 banks possessed deposits in excess of $100 million. Because of the decline in membership, the proportion of total commercial bank deposits held by member banks has by now been reduced to about 72 per cent. If corrective action is riot taken, a continued, probably an accelerated, erosion of membership and of deposits subject to regula• tion by the Federal Reserve can be expected. This threatens to weaken the nation's financial system, as more.and more of the nation's pay• ments and credit transactions are handled outside the safe channels of the Federal Reserve, as fewer and fewer banks have immediate access to Federal Reserve Bank credit facilities, as a national presence in bank supervisory and regulatory functions becomes increasingly diluted, and as implementation of monetary policy becomes more difficult. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 121 Proposed Legislation for Universal Reserve Requirements In order to promote fair competition among member banks and other depository institutions and to stem the decline in deposits subject to reserve requirements of the Federal Reserve, the Board will transmit to Congress proposed legislation that would require all depository institutions to maintain reserves against transactions accounts in accordance with requirements set by the Federal Reserve. If uniform, universal reserve requirements on transactions balances become effective, competition among banks and other depository institutions would be on a more nearly equal basis. The Board's proposed legislation would make transactions accounts--such as demand deposits and NIM (negotiable order of withdrawal) accounts--at all Federally insured depository institutions subject to reserve requirements set by the Federal Reserve. However, a total of $5 million of transactions accounts at these institutions, whether members or nonmembers of the Federal Reserve, would not be subject to the basic reserve requirements, The proposed legislation also adjusts the existing 3 to 10 per cent statutory range for reserve ratios on time and savings deposits at member banks. A reduction in the range to 1/2 of 1 to 10 per cent is proposed for time and savings deposits other than transactions accounts to provide needed flexibility that would enable member banks to compete in this area on a more nearly equal basis with other depository institutions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 32-972 0 • 78 • 9 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 122 The Board sinrultaneously is considering a program, described below, whereby the Federal Reserve would charge for certain of its services and woul<l pay some compensation for required reserve balances, However, if Congress enacts a requirement for universal reserves, the Board would need to reconsider whether, and to what extent, its proposed program of service charges and reserve compensation might need to be adjusted in light of the effects of such legislation on Federal Reserve membership, operation of the payments system, and monetary control, Proposed Federal Reserve Program In view of the increasingly acute problems associated with the decline in membership in the Federal Reserve System that is attributable to the burden imposed on member banks by competitive inequality, the Board is also considering a program with the following principal elements: (1) restructuring and reduction of demand deposit reserve requirements, (2) charging for services provided by the Federal Reserve, (3) compensating for required reserve balances held at Federal Reserve Banks, and (4) transferring part of Federal Reserve surplus to Treasury during a transition period to offset any Treasury revenue loss. The program would provide time for Congress to consider the issue of payment of interest on required reserve balances, If the Federal Reserve is not able to pay interest on reserves, or otherwise remove the burden of membership, it would not be feasible https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 123 to charge for services offered by Federal Reserve Banks. A portion of reserve balances held by member banks with Federal Reserve Banks in effect represents payment for these services under current circum• stances. Charging for the services, without compensating banks for the reserves held, would simply increase the burden of membership and exacerbate competitive inequality. Reserve Requirement Actions. Under the proposed program, the Board would amend Regulation D (Reserves of Member Banks) to simplify the structure of reserve requirements. The proposal would also redefine a reserve city and impose reserve city reserve requirements on member banks with net demand deposits in excess of $600 million (compared to $400 million at present). The structure of reserve requirements would be revised in two phases as follows: Proposed Present First phase Size Class (~ millionl Reserve Requirement 0-2 2-10 10-100 100-400 over 400 7% 9~% 1H;% 12¼% 16\% Second phase Size Class (~ millionl Reserve Requirement 0-10 10-200 200-600 over 600 91,% 121,% 16½;% 7% Size Class (~ millionl Reserve Requirement 0-200 200-600 over 600 10% 16\% 7% It is anticipated that these actions would have the effect of releasing approximately $5 billion in reserves on an annual basis, with about $2¼ billion released by the initial adjustment. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 124 Charges for Federal Reserve Services. The second element in the program relates to charging for services rendered by the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve does not now generally charge member banks for services it renders in view of the substantial burden of membership presently incurred by banks. Member banks "pay" for Federal Reserve services through the maintenance of reserve balances with Reserve Banks. Nonmember banks are now permitted to use a limited number of Federal Reserve services at no charge. Competitive equity between member banks and nonmember institutions requires that all users of Federal Reserve services be subject to charges established on the same basis. Moreover, such charges might encourage more efficient use of check clearing facilities and provide incentives for innovations that reduce costs. With explicit pricing, therefore, the opportunities of the private sector to compete with and improve upon Federal Reserve services would be enhanced. In order to assure continued efficient functioning of the payments mechanism and to avoid major disruption during the transition to a more competitive environment, the Board would follow a conservative and flexible approach in establishing charges for Federal Reserve services. To this end, the System has concluded that its charges should be competitive with those for comparable services (when available) in the private sector. However, the Board would retain flexibility to alter charges or service policies in order to meet its responsibilities to maintain a satisfactory, basic level of 1ervice for the nation as a whole and to encourage innovations. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 125 The Board would use the following general principles as guidelines for establishing a price structure: 1. Each Federal Reserve service category for which charges sre to be assessed would usually have separate prices by geographic area, activity, and class of work processed. The price schedule would employ explicit per item charges and be as simple as possible. Prices would be adjusted as the System gained experience with service charges and observed their effects Jn the markets in which the System operates. 2. The System does not contemplate significant alterations in services provided at the time charges initially are •imposed. However, after charges are in place, some offices might find it nece1sary to revise their operating policies and prices to maintain competitiveness and to enable the System to maintain a basic level of service nationwide. 3. All users in the same pricing zone (typically a Federal Reserve Bank, Branch or office area) would pay the same price for a given service. However, identical services might not be provided in all areas. More specifically, guidelines established by the Board for the pricing of Federal Reserve check and automated clearing house (ACH) services would include the following: a. Charges for check services would be imposed on depositing institutions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 126 b. Prices for interoffice items deposited locally might include both a local processing charge and a uniform national charge. c. Charges for automated clearing house (ACH) items could either be imposed on ACH associations or directly on financial institutions using the service, d. Prices for automated clearing house services would be set to encourage the use of such services and to reflect mature volume levels. It is anticipated that schedules of charges for System services would be announced for public conments, and implemented in two phases: First phase: Charges for Federal Reserve payments services, including check processing, check transportation, and automated clearing house services. Second phase: Charges for certain other services, including shipping of coin and currency to member banks, transfer and settlement of reserve balances, and purchase, sale, safekeeping and clearing of securities, Based on the present volume of Federal Reserve Bank activity, and on the direct and indirect costs incurred by the System, it is estimated that charges imposed for System services would result in revenue to the Federal Reserve of approximately $225 million annually in the first phase and about $410-million annually thereafter, The https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 127 Federal Reserve does not anticipate imposing charges for governmentaltype functions it performs, such as conducting bank examinations and monetary policy and certain activities associated with issuance and destruction of Federal Reserve notes. Access to Federal Reserve Facilities. At present, Federal Reserve Banks maintain virtually no accounts for nonmember depository institutions. However, nonmember institutions may have access to Federal Reserve operated automated clearinghouse facilities (ACH's). Nonmember conmercial banks may a~so deposit intra-regional checks and drafts at Federal Reserve regional check processing centers (RCPC's). When charges are imposed for payments services under the proposed program, the Federal Reserve would permit all nonmember depository institutions with third party payment powers to deposit intra-regional checks and drafts at RCPC's. Nonmembers would pay the same charges as member banks for services rendered by the Federal Reserve, and would continue to be required to settle through reserve accounts of member banks. Once the proposed program has been fully implemented, and the Federal Reserve has evaluated the impact of the program on membership and on the functioning of the payments mechanism, the System expects to provide direct and full access for nonmember depository institutions to payments and other operational services provided by Federal Reserve Banks. Access would be provided on the basis of equality of treatment with respect to balances held by members and nonmembers; balances held by nonmembers would be equivalent to the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 128 reserve balances of members and such funds would receive similar compensation. Compensation for Maintenance of Required Reserves. The third element in the Federal Reserve's proposed program relates to compensating member banks for the maintenance of required reserve balances with the Federal Reserve. Member banks are at a clear competitive disadvantage because nonmember banks generally may satisfy reserve requirements by holding interest bearing assets or balances that would be held in the 0rdinary course of business in any event, and this disadvantage contributes substantially to the erosion of membership. In crder to reduce this inequality and to prevent further erosion in membership, the Federal Reserve believes it would be appropriate to compensate member banks by paying interest on required reserve balances. However, in no case would the amount of compensation paid to member banks after deducting service charges collected exceed 7 per cent of the net earnings of Reserve Banks (before payment of compensation). The Board will submit to Congress proposed legislation to formalize this limitation on the bank payment of interest on required reserve balances. The Board proposes to phase in the payment of interest on required reserve balances of member banks concurrent with the imposition of charges for System services in accordance with the following schedule: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 129 rirat phase: Payment of interest on all required reaerve balance• maintained at Federal Reserve Banks at a rate of 2 per cent per annum. Second phase: Rate of interest payable would be increased to\ percentage point below the average return on the Federal Reserve System portfolio, valued at book, for the first $25 million of required reaerw balances at Federal Reserve Banks, Based on the 1977 return on the Federal Reserve portfolio, the rate of compensation on those balances would be 6 per cent per annum, The rate of interest payable on required balances held at Federal Reserve Banks in excess of $25 milliqn would be 2 per cent per annum. The Board estimates that interest payments to member banks -uld amount to about $430 million in the first phase and about $765 million annually thereafter, based on the current level of member bank deposits. Effect on Treasury Revenues. Since 1947, the Federal Reserve has paid almost all of its net earnings to the United States Treasury. A portion of these earnings are attributable to the non-interest earning required reserve balances that member banks bold at Federal Reaerve Banks. Nonmember institutions do not hold such balances and t1lua their reserve holdings are not a source of Treasury revenue. ,rosr• being proposed by the Board would substantially reduce this https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The 130 unequal "tax" borne by member banks. At the same time the Boan recognizes the budgetary need to maintain Treasury revenues. The Board estimates that adoption of the proposed program, in the absence of universal reserve requirements, would in itself result in a cumulative net reduction in United States Treasury revenues on the order of $575-million over a transition period of, for example, about three years,until the program would be fully in place. To eliminate this anticipated loss of revenue during the transition period, the Federal Reserve would transfer an equivalent amount of its surplus to the Treasury. The Federal Reserve's program, therefore, would not result in any net reduction in the level of revenues received by the Treasury during the f.aiplementation period. With the program fully in place, the net cost to the Treasury would be expected to be minimal, if there were any cost at all. Although Treasury revenues would be reduced by about $300 million per year as a consequence of the actions in this program, there would have been, in any case, a substantial decline of Treasury revenues ln the absence of the program. At a minimum, if attrition ln deposits subject to Federal Reserve reserve requirements continued over the next four years at the average rate of the recent past, Treasury revenues would be reduced by about $80 million in the fourth year and would increase further thereafter, If the rate of attrition were at the more rapid pace experienced in New England in recent years, the loss ln Treasury revenues would be about $200 million by the fourth year. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The program could be expected to reduce, if not 131 eliminate, such attrition in deposits. There might even be a gain in Treasury revenues if the program succeeds in increasing membership. The gain in revenues would be more pronounced if Congress enacted the Board's proposed universal reserve requirement legislation, Result of the Proposal The Board believes that implementation of the program presented in this statement is essential to the continued maintenance of a sound financial system. Implementation of its various elements should result in an environment in which financial institutions can compete on a more equitable basis, should arrest the decline of bank membership in the Federal Reserve System, and should facilitate the implementation of monetary policy. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 132 Mr. MITCHELL. Thank you very much, Chairman Miller, for a very detailed and meticulous statement. Chairman Reuss and I are going to defer our questions, to allow Mr. Stanton to raise a question or two. There is a piece of legislation on the floor in which he has keen interest. Mr. Stanton, you are recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. STANTON. Thank you very much, Mr. Mitchell. Although I would just clarify. I would hope we would all have keen interest in the Export-Import Bank. It has come out of our committee, and the legislation is due on the floor in a couple of minutes. And I would sincerely hope-I think this is the first time we have ever met when we have had legislation pending on the House floor before our committee. And I would be strongly objecting if it was not for the fact that on this legislation before us, half of the battle is, it is an education process for all Members, and so that those who don't have a particular interest in Eximbank or aren't on that subcommittee, would, hopefully, have a chance to hear Mr. Miller. And I would simply ask the full chairman of our committee if it would not be possible to have Mr. Miller_return-I see we are scheduled through about August 11-for at least 1 full day of a wrapup so that we can ask him questions before we get into a markup. The CHAIRMAN. I would certainly consider. The gentleman from Ohio well knows that we are trying to accommodate the Fed's problem. But there are other issues, and I would hope that this morning we could move back and forth between the floor. and thus both get education and legislation. Mr. MITCHELL. The Chair desires to intervene for just a moment. e have obtained permission to sit during the time that the House is under the 5-minute rule on quorum calls and votes. I would hope that we could go into a kind of platooning system, so that some of us can go and vote and then return, and then the others will go. It is an awkward way to do it, but I realize your time is very precious, and there are certainly very heavy demands on the members of the committee. Mr. STANTON. ,v-ell, Mr. Chairman, with the understanding that we will see you again before this committee before the legislation gets to markup stage, if it ever gets to markup stage, I will defer any questions at this particular time. And I appreciate the courtesy that was extended tome. Mr. MITCHELL. Thank you. There is a vote on now. I assume that is to go into a Committee of the Whole or approve the .iournal or something like that. Therefore, the Chair would like to continue the proceedings, letting some members go over and vote, then others can go. The Chair will recognize Mr. St Germain, the cochairman of this hearing, for 5 minutes. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Many of us share Chairman Reuss' concern about the Federal Reserve's approaches to its membership problems. And I feel the chairman has provided real leadership in bringing this issue before the committee in a force:fnl and expeditious manner. I know that you, Chairman Miller, are very anxious to see that these questions are resolved and resolved quickly. We definitely do under- ,v https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 133 stand your perspective. You are doing an excellent job at the Fed, and I am anxious that we do get this behind us, so that both this committee and the Federal Reserve can move forward on other issues. To be quite frank, I have trouble with the entire membership ques• tion. I find membership by private institutions in a Government agency to be somewhat of an anomaly, though I realize it is essential for the Federal Reserve to monitor the banking system and to have access to data to carry out its monetary functions. But I am not sure that this is enhanced by membership. I have trouble with an agency charged with massive regulatory functions anxiously soliciting the people it is regulating to become members. I think we would be appalled if the Federal Power Commission came to the Hill asking to establish a membership club with voting rights for Gulf Oil and Mobil, so that they could better maintain a check on oil reserves. And I would not want the FCC setting up membership for the major broadcasting networks. With two-thirds of the boards in the district Federal Reserve banks selected by commercial bankers, the membership of the Federal Reserve creates a real conflict of interest situation in the minds of some of us. We cannot deal with these now. But this debate over membership does indeed throw a spotlight on the gerry-built structure of the Federal Reserve System and built-in conflicts between its regulatory functions and its bank membership, all structures, incidentally, which were in place before you arrived on the scene, Mr. Miller. In this era of proposi,tion 13, I think that we can all agree that the Congress is going to probably move with great caution on any proposal to pay out hundreds of millions of dollars to banks so that they will keep their membership in the Federal Reserve. I feel we must have sound, hard justification, evidence that this membership has benefits for the public and not just the Federal Reserve. And I feel that any payment of interest to large banks on their reserves must be accompanied by some kind of assurance that individual depositors at these banks will receive some benefits. Now, if we are going to pay inteJ.1est on reserve deposits of the banks, then perhaps the banks should oegin to pay their customers interest on their deposits, their demand deposiits. I am encouraged to see support for the idea that banks should pay for services they receive from the Federal Reserve, particularly if they are going to receive interest payments on the reserves. Here again, the committee needs to take a look at some basic questions: Whether the Federal Reserve really should be providing all of these ranges of services to banks. Here again, we have an agency client, a~ency membership, agencv customer relationship, revolving around these services, many of which we feel can be provided by private enterprise with no necessity involving the Federal Reserve. While we probably have to deal with these questions on a short term basis, I think this committee has an obligation to look at the longrange issues and try to move the Federal Reserve to a point where it is dealing at arm's length with the bankers. I unfortunately have to get over to cast my vote, and I shall return very expeditiously. Mr. MILLER. Thank you very much. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 134 Mr. St Germain, may I just point out that I certainly concur with you: I think the Board would be delighted to solve the monetary problem on a broader base by imposing universal requirements. That would set up an equal competitive basis without the membership "solicitation" aspect you mentioned. I certainly hope that we can also understand that this is not a case of proposing to pay out hundreds of millions of dollars to banks in the abstract; we are proposing an equitable "tax." We should tax everybody the same way in order to reduce the competitive imbalances and so that at least all financial institutions have the same chance to seek to serve their customers. I think we all understand this. We have to find a way to address the problem, and we appreciate every input we can get in finding our way through these difficult issues. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Thank you. Mr. Chairman, I am going to excuse myself. Mr. MITCHELL. Chairman Miller, on pagl\ 6 in your testimony, you indicated that the Congress really tried to set up requirements that would prevent large banks from dominating the Federal Reserve System, and that was quite an accurate statement. But, I guess my area of concern is that though the large banks are beginning to leave the Federal Reserve System, it is the smaller banks that are leaving the System in greater numbers. I think you would agree with that. Is that correct i Mr. MILLER. That has been the pattern, Mr. Chairman, but now we are experiencing increasing loss of membership among large banks. But you are absolutely correct; smaller banks have been leaving in greater numbers in the past. Mr. MITCHELL. It seems to me that your restructuring of the reserve requirements would clearly give a ~reater break to the larger banks, and I just don't understand why, i£ there is -a larger withdrawal of the smaller banks, why the smaller banks shouldn't be given a greater break under your restructuring of reserve requirements. Mr. MILLER. Mr. Chairman, we have submitted to your staff a schedule which is our best estimate of the effect of the program on various sizes of banks. The net effect on profits before taxes would be the greatest for the small banks; you must combine both the reserve requirements reductions with the payment of interest on reserve balances and the value of services that will now be charged for. Our estimate is that banks in a class below $10 million would show, on average, -about a 16 percent improvement in their pretax earnings, while banks in a class of $1 billion and over would show only 6 percent improvement. So our plan is geared toward helping the smaller and medium size banks the most. As you will note, our limitation on the payment of interest to 2 percent on required reserve balances of over $25 million means that a bank gets a great deal less benefit the larger it is. Our reason for doing that is that we believe that some of the larger banks do get more benefits-although maybe not measurable-from being members of the Federal Reserve than some of the smaller ones. So we thought that the plan should favor the smaller institutions. Mr. MITCHELL. My problem with your statement is that you indicate that the 2-percent limitation would be helpful to the smaller banks, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 135 but earlier you indicated that you had wanted us to drop the 2-percent limitation. Mr. MILLER. Mr. Chairman, we propose to pay only 2-percent interest on required reserve balances over $25 million. We would have only so much money to spend, and this is how we would propose to spend it. But our suggestion was not to legislate this Hmitation. If it were legislated, of course, we couldn't make a different percentage break 5 years from now. We would always be stuck with the break at 2 percent on deposits of over $25 million. I want to point out one other thing. You asked about the change in reserve requirements and maybe this wasn't clear in my answer. You see, most of the small banks now maintain the minimum reserves required by law; we can't reduce them further. That is why we have to use other techniques to help the small banks. Mr. MITCHELL. Or you have the alternative of changing the law. Mr. MILLER. Yes; if Congress wanted to lower the minimum, that would give us more room to do something; there is no question of that. But we were operating within the present statutory boundaries in proposing this particular plan. The CHAIRMAN [presidingJ. Mr. Steers, do you have any questions? · Mr. STEERS. No,Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Mr. Vento. Mr. VENTO. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Miller, I appreciate the remarks you have made this morning and your concerns and our concerns about the erosion of membership in the Fed. In your statement you addressed the question of the Federal discount window and the arbitrage profits and apparently from what I read in the statement it sounded as though you recognized that as being a factor, but you tried to keep them at minimum. I think that was the word that was utilized. Have you done a study on that, you know, as far as the discount window? We have some graphs that I was looking at, and perhaps there is one in your data on the same. I did not review the graphs closely, but what I have seen is that the discount rate tends to generally floor, and it sometimes is below the market, and I guess that is where we run into the prdblems. Sometimes it is above the market. Has the Fed done any type of analysis of the type of profits that are made with regards to that? You say they are kept at a minimum. What does that mean? Have you done any type of evaluation of member banks in the use of that window as to the amount of profit that is made or the amount, on the other hand, of loss incurred by member institutions that use it? Mr. MILLER. We all know the purpose of the discount window. It is not there for the purpose of giving advantageous rates on bank borrowings or for making profits for the Federal Reserve. It is there as part of the mechanism for liquidity and for adjustment. The discount window is administered very carefully by the Reserve banks so that it will not become used for the purpose of a bank getting a. break in rates by constant borrowing. The discount rate is usually alined, in due course, with the market, so that when interest rates are rising, it would normally tend to run below the Federal funds rate, which is the rate charged by banks to https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 136 other banks for borrowing for reserve purposes. And running below slightly as it does, it is important for the Federal Reserve to be able to adjust the discount rate-to let it lag behind sometimes to make clear that general caution is needed in the upward trend of rates and also to make funds available for the adjustment process when there is a tightening of credit to enable banks to get their portfolios, investments, and securities in line with market rates without being under undue pressure. As far as the amount of profit is concerned, I believe that in 1977, Federal Reserve earnings from the discount window were about $25 million out of total earnings of $6 billion. That is a relatively insignificant amount, so the benefit in earnings to the Federal Reserve is quite minor in relation to other Fed income. For example, we are talking about charges for services that would run a little over $400 million or on that order of magnitude. So, "profit" is really a small item the way the discount window is administered. Mr. VENTO. Do you think it offers any inducement to members? Is it a benefit to members or not? Mr. MILLER. Its liquidity feature is extremely important. Mr. VENTO. So in terms of looking at the services that are offered by the Fed, it represents a substantial service, does it not? Mr. MILLER. It represents a substantial service to be able to maintain liquidity and keep your business going; yes. Mr. VENTO. The thought was that we were going to provide some other inducements in terms of benefits for membership, such as interest that that could be considered, but your suggestion is, it is im• portant to monetary policy, and I note the chairman's comment that you did not vote in the majority on the last discount change. Was it set improperly at that time, do you believe? Mr. MILLER. In hindsight I think it probably was the correct decision. At the time I wanted to see a little more data on what was happening to the aggregates. We had moved rather rapidly in tightening up, and I thought it was appropriate for us to get a little more data. In relation to market alinement, the rate should have gone up. My thinking was, "Let's be careful about what's happening in the whole economy and move cautiously and see the data first." I thought we should wait a little. As it turned out, the aggregates were quite strong, so I would have to give credit to my associates who were able to perceive that and voted for more rapid action. Mr. VENTO. Of course, we have a number of legislative proposals. One provides for reserve requirements. I paid special attention to your comments about what your intention was with the bill in terms of providing universal reforms. I think the point that I would key in on, and I think there is a difference between what you said and what the bill says, is the rule and regulation power, and the very fact that you have the power to modify that in a very substantial way in changing the reserve requirements of nonmember institutions. I think it is very apparent in that legislation that there is a tremendous extension of responsibility mandated at the Fed. Apparently, you feel properly mandated-but that I have concern about, and to some extent maybe it is based-I think we are really deal https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 137 ing with the Fed regulatory responsibility in terms of financial institutions, not really primarily with monetary policy. Only tangentially are we dealing with that, and the question comes back: Is there anything less safe about-or what is wrong with the FDIC regulation i Maybe the Federal Reserve System shouldn't have as many banks in terms of membership. This question comes to my mind, so what about the proposal that you have made for universal and the rules and regulations impact upon these other financial institutions, regulatory roles. And is there anything less safe about the way they are operating now@ Are there more failures or less failures~ This gets back to a question that the Chairman raised initially in his statement. I think it deserves an answer. Mr. MILLER. Congressman Vento, let me break that question down into several points. First, when the Federal Reserve System was established in 1913, my guess is that a very high percent of the transactions accounts were maintained in banks that became members, and therefore that the decision of Congress to give the Federal Reserve some flexibility in setting the reserve requirements for the Nation's entire transactions system was a conscious one. Tliat has changed because of institutional changes, but I am not sure there was ever a corresponding change in congressional intent. I think it would be wise to reinstate a system where the National Government, if you will, does look at the entire system, establish equitable reserves, and have some flexibility to adjust them to economic and money conditions. We do not, however, suggest that the Federal Reserve also be given authority to regulate nonmembers. We are not suggesting that that be done at all ; we are not trying to extend, and do not desire to extend, our regulatory base beyond the control of reserves. The third point is that the FDIC insures deposits up to a certain amount, but this does not insure liquidity in the banking system. If a large clearing bank which is a nonmember and has a network of correspondent accounts of nonmembers should get into trouble-as we have seen happen in the crunches of 1973 and 1974-then the whole pyramid could be in trouble. The customers would never lose their money, but the liquidity crunch would come down on those banks. They would suddenly be unable to use their funds in the ordinary course of business, and suddenly the process of doing business and supporting their customers in commerce and industry could be very much in jeopardy. That doesn't mean there is any ultimate loss or any lack of safety for individual deposits up to the $40,000 limit of insurance, but it does mean a loss of liquidity. A member bank can come immedi•ately to the Federal Reserve. As you know, a few years ago, the Federal Reserve made $1.7 billion available to assure very quickly that the liquidity of a large bank was maintained. The Federal Reserve lost no money; it charged interest, but it solved the bank's liquidity problem. Mr. VENTO. My time has expired, but historically, I guess, in the thirties there was a great modification in spite of the discount, when in spite of the liquidity, a third of the banks went out of business. So, I think the power that you ascribe to it, while maybe it is a factor I think it is hardly the potential dealings with major economic disruptions in terms of that historically. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 32-972 0 - 78 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10 138 Now, maybe today there is some persuasion that could be brought to bear that could demonstrate the argument, Mr. Miller, that you are presenting to us. My time has expired. I hope tha;t I can submit some questionr in writing. Mr. MILLER. I would be very happy to answer them. I did not answer your question about bankruptcy. With the chairman's permission, 1 would just point out that since 1947-which is as far back I guess as we have data-our data show that .72 percent of the average number of member banks failed, while 1.33 percent of nonmember banks failed-a much higher percentage of failure among nonmembers. Mr. BROWN. On that, Mr. Miller, do you have the figures of assets of the banks i Mr. MILLER. Yes, we submitted a complete list to your committee. The CHAIRMAN. That is in the 16 questions. Mr. MILLER. It is. I could take the time to go over them. Mr. BROWN. All I was going to say, Mr. Miller, was since you are talking about numbers of banks, showing the disparity, .72 versus 1.3Mr. VENTO. If the Chairman would just indulge me, I think the basic question here is why can't nonmember banks use the Federal discount window today. If it is a small service and it is important to liquidityand we are talking about making up reserve requirements and they are so essential-why don't we let nonmember banks then use that discount window and aim that type of control there i The CHAIRMAN. The time of the gentleman has expired, but he will be re-recognized. Chairman Miller, I believe you are a golfer, among other things, are younoti Mr. MILLER. I am accused of using a wood in the wrong places, but I am a g-olfer, yes. The CHAIRMAN. I would just guess, too, that the country club which you belong to, due to inflation and higher salaries and everything else, has had to raise its dues and initiation fees in recent years, reflecting g-eneral trends. Would that be about true i Mr. MILLER. That is the case in most clubs, yes, sir. The CHAIRMAN. And wouldn't it also be true-I don't have the ch~rts to back me up-but hasn't there been some erosion of membership among country club members because of increased dues and charges and inflation and this and that i Mr. MILLER. That it is an interesting point. I don't know, but I suspect there has been an overall increase in membership. But one thing for sure, there has been no increase in the right of nonmembers to play without paying. [Laughter.] The CHAIRMAN. If you and I could have access to some $500 million a year of the taxpayers' money, increase the Federal deficit though it did, and could subsidize the present members of golf and country clubs, not to resign their membership, it probably would have a salutary effect on membership maintenance, would it not i Mr. MILLER. That is not the purpose of our plan. Our preference is to try not to look on this problem as one of mem- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 139 bership. Membership illustrates the limitations of our present system, but perhaps it is just as well-perhaps preferable-to solve our problem by imposing universal reserve requirements so that those who do have the privilege of providing banking services to the public are all on an equal basis, so that all pay the same dues and have the same privileges. The CHAIRMAN. Call them what we will, it is in this world of power in which the Congress and the Federal Reserve and the Supreme Court and the administration all live, it is true that there is a question of political power and clout involved here, is there not? For example, the Fed becomes stronger and more powerful as it retains and aggrandizes its membership list. It is also true that as the Fed retains or prevents the defection of members, it is able to assume regulatory authority or control over them which perhaps would go to some other agency like the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. otherwise. My question is: Since, in fact, 72 percent of the Nation's banks don't now regard membership as an intolerable burden, despite which you and I think that something more should be done to make monetary control firm and forceable, can we really justify spending $500 million or so of the Federal taxpayers' deficit-causing dollars in interest subsidies to all member banks without discriminating between those banks for whom the cost of membership exceeds the benefits and those for whom they don't? I think that states my difficulty about as well as I can. Mr. MILLER. Mr. Chairman, I don't believe there's anything about power in our proposal. It certainly makes no differC>nce to the Federal Reserve whether the monetary problem is solved in terms of preventing withdrawal of members who are subject to our reserve requirements or legislating a national financial policy that imposes reserves on nonmembers; we would prefer the latter. We do not seek to expand our regulatory control over anyone, and there is no reason in the world that our monetary authority could not operate-as it does in many countries-by merely requiring that all institutions be subject to its monetary control; Federal Reserve regulatory control is not necessary. The other point I would make, Mr. Chairman, is that this is not an exercise in trying to subsidize banks. The System as it was adopted by Congress allows for optional membership and even allows for rechartering of national banks as State nonmember banks. All you have to do is look at chart XI which compares the cost of trying to correct this problem with the cost of not correcting it; you will see that the costs converge and that we are not subsidizing anyone. After all, how could it be called a subsidy when a bank that elects to leave us and take the money we are holding could earn interest on that money at the full market rate? We are proposing to pay less than that. We are giving some benefit to members, but we are not requiring that anybody become a member. We would like the solution to be universal reserves. I am sure Congress might want to couple a universal reserve requirement with payment of interest--even to nonmembers-so that at least the earnings otherwise foregone would not show up in the cost to their customers of doing business. That would reduce the interest rates that banks and other https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 140 financial institutions must charge and, therefore, work in favor of some of the other objectives we all share. The CHAIRMAN. Well, I thank you for your response. I would just have one very quick question. Do you agree with my fundamental search in these hearings for that kind of a solution to the problem of a sound dollar which will have the least possible deficit-increasing impact on the American taxpayer? Mr. MILLER. That is correct. You and I, Mr. Chairman, have exactly the same objective. We may approach it differently, and we may make different predictions about the future. My guess is that without some form of solution, the Treasury will have bigger deficits because there will be loss of membership and loss of revenues from members. The plate we pass around won't be so full. But if we correct the problem, we will work in the direction of avoiding larger deficits, and we will gain, I think, a better system; a system more attuned to the eighties, nineties, and the 21st century; a system that can evolve-that isn't revolutionary, hut evolutionary. We need to recognize in a constructive way the competitive environment that is developing and causing institutional changes in money and credit; we need to respond to make it a healthy, workable, competitive system. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Mr. Miller. My time has expired. Mr. ST GERMAIN [presiding]. Mr. Brown. Mr. BROWN. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Miller, for being with us this morning. Chairman Miller, I have not had an opportunity to go over your full proposals, but when you talk about universal reserve requirements, when you then flesh that out by saying that maybe in connection with the establishment of universal requirements, there could be something done about mandating the payment of interest, it seems to me that there is a component that is missing which has been incorporated in other legislation, and that is the component of an advisory group to the Fed which would consist of State banking agencies. If we are going to, in effect, create an umbrella over all of our financial institutions and we are going to establish reserve requirements for nonmember State banks, for all institutions, especially if you are going to mandate the payment of interest, for instance, on reserve requirements not held by the Fed, that then there ought to be some kind of input from the other side of our dual banking system. Does your proposal, or in your discussions have you thought about that? In the International Banking Act, of course, you know we do do that. Mr. MILLER. Yes, sir. Congressman Brown, we have not studied that. I would say, however, that there may be some misunderstanding. Certainly, we are not proposing to mandate the payment of interest on reserves other than required reserves held by the Federal Reserve. We are not asking States to pay out money. Mr. BROWN. I thought a minute ago just in your very last colloQuy with Chairman Reuss that you said in connection with establishing universal reserve requirements, that it might be well to provide for the payment of interest even by nonmembers. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 141 Mr. MILLER. If the Congress adopted both of our proposals, we would have both universal reserves and the payment of interest by the Federal Reserve on the required reserves held with it; that is correct. But neither proposal would require States to pay interest. Mr. BROWN. I misinterpreted your last statement. Mr. MILLER. I may have been a little fuzzy. I hope my statement is clear now. Mr. BROWN. But it seems to me, in connection with the establishment of reserve requirements, you also have got to, in effect, define what is an appropriate reserve, what it can be held in, and-or else your reserve requirements would be meaningless, and when you get into those kinds of things, shouldn't you have some input from the other side of the banking system? Mr. MILLER. Under the present system, what is counted for reserves is coin and currency held in the vaults, plus cash balances held at the Federal Reserve. I don't think that system should change. Mr. BROWN. But Chairman Miller, I am not talking about the Fed members. I'm talking about the nonmembers who are going to have universal reserve requirements. I understand that you would require of all institutions, members or nonmembers, but then someone has to determine what is a proper reserve, and States determine that presently for the nonmembers. Mr. MILLER. Perhaps I am not being clear, but I am trying to explain that under a universal reserve requirement there would not be an option to hold reserves in interest-bearing securities. If the Federal Reserve had that provision now, we wouldn't have a problem. You see, the burden on the Federal Reserve member as compared to the State nonmember is that the nonmember may now hold reserves in interest earning forms. Mr. BROWN. Then your universal reserve requirement would be that it would have to be held within the Fed system. Mr. MILLER. Yes; held with the Fed, the same as for members. But there would be no regulatory authority over nonmembers. Let me come to the bottom line: I have no objection to considering your suggestion. I have not done that but I would be glad to consider whether we need to set up a consulting arrangement with the States. By instinct I believe in coordination and in working together; I have no problem with that. I don't know how your suggestion fits in this context. I was trying to make clear that this proposal calls for reserves to be held at the Fed. Mr. BROWN. I was under the impression you were talking about universal reserve requirements, otherwise the establishment of an amount but not necessarily to be held by the Fed, and I understand that now. Mr. MILLER. Reserves would be held at the Fed. Mr. BROWN. I think you in your statement said, that nonmembers would not have access to'the discount window. Mr. MILLER. That is correct, other than on the same terms as exist under current law. Mr. BROWN. Well. as I recall, in the International Banking Act, when we said that all State or federally chartered must maintain reserves with the Fed, that we said that they would have access to all Fed services in that legislation, did we not i https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 142 Mr. MILLER. Yes; that is correct. Mr. BROWN. Well, why would we say that a foreign bank shall, by being required to maintain a reserve with the Fed, have access to all services, including the discount window, but a domestic nonmember bank required to do the same thing would not have access? Mr. MILLER. There is no reason why we could not decide that the proper system would be to have universal reserves and universal access. If we did, I think the consequence would be to discontinue capital stock investments by members because they would be the only ones doing that. But there is nothing wrong with your line of reasoning. Mr. BROWN. Thank you. I wish you would look at it. Is there anything to stop the Fed in connection with its rendition of services to, in effect, become competitive cost-cutting so as to move commercial correspondent banks out of the business? Mr. MILLER. Just the reverse would happen, I think. What would be best-Mr. BROWN. Since the Fed doesn't have to make a profit whereas commercial banks d o Mr. MILLER. Our proposal on pricing is to price competitively, but not to undercut the market. Our view is that it is healthy to have the Federal Reserve provide services so as to insure a secure system of payments and the basic services that are essential to a safe central bank. But we also look with favor upon the growth of optional, innovative, cost-effective techniques for handling services. And we think pricing would bring about that trend and would probably increase the participation of the private sector in the performance of the services. Mr. BROWN. I still have a further question, Mr. Chairman, but my time has expired, and I don't want to impose upon the Chair's generosity, unless the Chair will allow me one further question. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Briefly. Mr. BROWN. Just one final question. As I recall, the studies I have seen say that small banks, small member banks, disproportionately use services compared to reserve requirements, which means that in connection with the service charge vis-avis earnings on reserves, the small banks would be impacted disproportionately to large banks. Any comment 9 Mr. MILLER. I don't believe that is true. Our studies indicate that the large banks use the services more ; they use the access to Federal Reserve services to provide services for their correspondents. You will find that our services are actually used more by the large banks. Mr. BROWN. As a proportion of reserve requirements? Mr. MILLER. I will put it another way. U~der our proposal, net benefit-taking into account the reserve reqmrement cuts, the compensation payment, and the charges for services-will be proportionately greater for small banks than for big banks. Mr. BROWN. I guess we have been looking at different studies then. Mr. MILLER. I will recheck that, but that is my impression. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 143 [ Chairman Miller subsequently submitted the :following information :for inclusion in the record o:f the hearing:] To date, the evidence on what size bank receives more services per dollar of reserves is incomplete and somewhat contradictory. There are at least three studies which address the utilization of Federal Reserve services by size of bank: . 1. A Board staff study released in June 1977,1 found that while all sizes of member banks suffered some burden of membership, the benefits of Federal Reserve services were proportionately greater for large members than for small. 2. A study by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; based on a survey of member banks in the Eighth Federal Reserve District, also concluded that the implicit return on required reserves-calculated as the value of services used divided by required reserves-increased with bank size. 3. However, a study by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York,3 based on a sample of Second District banks, reached the opposite conclusion: that the annual return on required reserves of small members was proportionately greater than for large members. The contradictory conclusions fro;n these studies are probably due in part to the alternative methodologies employed as well as the different samples on which the studies are based. In order to provide more information on this issue, the Federal Reserve has conducted a System-wide survey of member bank usage of check clearing services. The results of this survey will be available in the fall. Mr. BROWN. Thank you very much. Mr. ST G1mMAIN. Mr. Miller, in addressing one o:f the questions to Mr. Vento, you gave some statistics on bank :failures :from 1943 or 1945 to date. I asked the staff subsequently to check something out :for me, and o:f course, I have done a little work in my subcommittee on bank :failures. It depends upon how you read the numbers, but the staff confirmed to me-and your staff might want to check this out-that o:f bank :failures :from 1975 to 1977, 86 percent o:f the assets o:f the :failed banks were in member banks, so that I don't think we would want to pin anything on the number o:f :failures o:f members as against nonmember banks, because those numbers can be jumbled around to a great degree. Mr. MILLER. You could always pick a short enough period to answer the question in the way you want; statistics are very convenient sometimes. Mr. ST GERMAIN. That is right. Mr. Lundine~ Mr. LuNDINE. I have two questions that I think are related. First o:f all, cannot monetary policy be conducted solely by open market operations~ · Now, I am not asking i:f that is desirable; I am asking i:f it is possible. And the second question I have that I believe is related is: are universal reserve requirements really necessary :for monetary control~ Mr. MILLER. To answer your first question, i:f Congress should take away all o:f the other instruments o:f monetary policy, certainly open 1 "The Burden of Federal Reserve Membership, NOW Accounts, and the Payment of Interest on Reserves." • "Utilization of Federal Reserve Bank Services by Member Banks: Implications for the Costs and Benefits of Membership," R. A. Gilbert, August 1977. 3 "A Study of the Relative Usage of Federal Reserve Services by Member Banks In the Second District," S. R. Hume and K. S. Russell, January 1978. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 144 market operations alone would work. They would have to. So in terms of, not desirability, but possibility, the answer is yes. I have to footnote that by saying that, as far as whether that would be desirable, everybody's view is to be very cautious about doing that. We cannot predict future circumstances, and there certainly will be times when other techniques should be used. As a matter of fact, I think we should always be looking for better ways to conduct monetary policy, and while ''the desk" has been the primary tool recently, it may not always be. I pointed out that if there were a low level of debt financing by the Federal Government-if the Federal Government reduced its deficits and had less securities outstanding-it might be more difficult to exert monetary control through the open market. We might need reserve requirement changes as one of the means to put credit in and take it out of the system. Second, universal reserves would greatly aid in conducting monetary policy, because they would reduce the degree of unpredictability of the aggregates. On chart X, we were endeavoring to give you some idea of the fact that the greater the percent of deposits subject to reserves, the more predictable the money figures. If we had universal reserves, the point of unpredictability would be on the left side of the chart; that is, the degree of variation in predicting M 1 and M2 would be quite small. As you move to the right on that chart-that is, as the percent of deposits not subject to reserve requirements increases-the degree of unpredictability goes up very rapidly. That, of course, happens because· as the transactions flow between member and non-member banks, we have control only over the members, and it becomes more and more difficult to exercise monetary policy because we are not sure of its impact. So the closer we come to universal reserves, the better our ability to predict the consequences of our policies and therefore to make more certain policy and more sound policy. Mr. LuNDINE. On page 16 of your statement, you say that: "The discount rate, too, has a useful role to play as a signal of policy. For instance, it can be held back when market rates are rising to suggest a certain caution about future rate developments to the market." Several weeks ago the Board voted on discount policy, and it was reported that you were voting in the minority in that case. What kind of a signal were you trying to give at that time? And what kind of a signal do you anticipate that the majority was trying to give? Mr. MILLER. The majority felt that the conditions of the market were such and the conditions of the economy were such that the discount rate should be raised to aline it more closely with the Federal funds rate. At that time, I felt that we had already taken a number of steps to tighten monetary policy and that it would be wise to get a week or two more of data-actual reports of what was happening to the aggregates, where there is some lag in effect from our policy-before making that decision. I was not trying to signal to anyone. I was merely trying to wait for a little more information before I made my judgment. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 145 Congressman Lundine, as far as using the discount rate as a signal-the point I make on page 16 of my testimony-just think back to the credit crunch of 1974 and the kind of wild gyrations we had, with an inverse yield curve and short term rates being higher than long-term rates. That was a very unsettling period. At that time, the Federal funds rate went up to 14 percent, I think, but the discount rate never went over 8 percent. If the two were linked together, you would have an erratic situation, and the ability to manage a credit crunch would be greatly lessened. In 1974, on the other hand, the Federal Reserve was able to make funds available to insure liquidity at a discount rate that did not aggrevate the already difficult circumstances. So I think there are periods when we need that management ability. Some countries have linked their discount rate to the market; I know Canada did between 1956 and 1962, but has now uncoupled the rates based on this experience. They felt they had lost something. We talked to the Governor of the bank the other day and asked him about this-since the issue was coming up here-and he said he was one who favored getting back control over the discount rate. As another arm of policy, he found it very helpful and, lacking it, he found himself at a disadvantage. So Canada has reversed itself, one example of ex;perience from which we might learn. The United Kingdom has recently uncoupled its rates, too. Mr. LuNDINE. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Ms. Oakar. Ms. 0AKAR. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Miller, throughout your testimony you have defended membership in the Federal Reserve on the grounds that it appears to insure safety and soundness of the banking system, but on the basis of data, we find that from 1973 to 1977, 86 percent of the assets in failing banks were in member banks. Dollar for dollar, don't you think this attests to the relative safety of independent, nonmember banks 1 Mr. MILLER. That was a very traumatic period, and of course, one .or two large member bank failures in a period of very serious economic shocks could distort the figures. As was just mentioned, those figures certainly would indicate that membership itself does not prevent bankruptcy; indeed, it doesn't and it shouldn't. But what membership did, of course, was to insure tihat the seriousness of consequences to the banking system was minimized. The fact that there was a very orderly way of handling that situation, with so little disruption, was greatly aided by the immediate availability of the window and the immediate possibility of using Federal Reserve resources to make adjustments and reorganize. So one view is to number the membership :failures, but the other is to analyze the consequences of a :failure. When there is a failure, there is the safety of the immediate availability of Federal Reserve resources. Ms. 0AKAR. But you would agree that most of the failures happen to be members. Mr. MILLER. In that particular period, yes. Over a longer period, no. And, of course, as I said, you just need to have a couple of failures of banks with large assets-which you will rooall was the case during https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 146 that period-to bring the ave,rage figure up, and so there is some statistical distortion for that period. Ms. 0AKAR. Chairman Miller, it is true that the larger banks traditionally do belong to the Federal Reserve, and on that basis I want to ask the following questions. Can you tell me how the following payments would improve monetary control, promote equity, and help the membership problem. Just using your estimates, which ·are based for some :mason on a Treasury bill rate of 4.55 percent, the payments under your proposal, H.R. 13477, would be $26 million to the Bank of America, $26.3 million to Chase Manhattan, $15.2 million to Citibank-the 10 largest commercial banks, $146.2 million, and all of this just in the first year of your plan, and it appears tha,t it would grow as kind of ·a yearly gift to the biggest banks. So how would this promote equity 1 Mr. MILLER. The larger banks have been members of the Federal Reserve because of the number of advantages we ha.ve mentionedthe discount window, our services, the availability of a complete package of benefits. As you say, this payment is for the first year alone, and depends upon the size of the bank and its deposit,s. But you must remember that when one tries to alleviate an inequitable tax-a tax that £alls only on members and not on others-one can't say that just because a bank is large it should not get its proportionate share of relief. If we had •a tax cut for corporations in America today, it would apply to large corporations and to small corporations. If there were a 1 percent tax cut in America today-the 1- or 2- or 3percent cut that is being looked at favorably now by CongressGeneral Motors would get more dollars' worth of tax reduction than would a small corporation, but that's because General Motors is paying more taxes and therefore its 1 percent reduction is greater in dollar terms. That is analogous to this proposal. The Bank of America at the end of June 1977 had $1¼ billion deposited with the Federal Reserve and it earned nothing on that money. If it left the system it could pick up far more money than under our proposal just by investing that amount. So, Congresswoman Oakar, I hope that we won't let size distort what is a natural consequence of simply trying to treat everybody alike. Large banks, whether they are members or nonmembers, must be treated the same way if we are going to have equity and fair competition. Ms. 0AKAR. Thank you, Mr. Miller. Just one quick comment. Using your analogy of larger corporations and the across-theboard approach and two-tiered taxation, larger corporations, however-large banks have other advantages, and I think that has to play into the analysis, also. Mr. MILLER. Of course; that is why we are proposing to pay only 2-percent interest above $25 million. Take the case of B:in.k of America. If we paid 6 percent, the return would be $75 million, but we would be paying around $26 million under this proposal. If you were a small bank, you would get 6 percent on all reserve balances. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 147 If you are the Bank of America, you get one-third of that on reserve balances over $25 million. So we have already skewed payments toward smaller banks. Ms. OAKAR. Thank you. My time has expired. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Mrs. Fenwick. Mrs. FENWICK. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Miller, I have sort of a basic question I would like to ask you. What is necessary for the sound dollar and the sound economy of our country? Does it serve it better to have homogeneous banking institutions, or does it serve it better to have a variety of financial institutions to serve different purposes? Mr. MILLER. It serves our economy better to have a variety of institutions, provided we have equitable treatment and fair competition. If you have a homogeneous system, you may also find you have a petrified one; I think we are in a living and changing world. Mrs. FENWICK. I was thinking of regulation Q and all of that. Mr. MILLER. Yes; this system should have equity but permit different institutions to compete. My preference is to have more equal treatment, but to let different forms of institutions succeed if they offer better service a better way. Mrs. FENWICK. The second thing I would like to ask you, do you think that interest rates are a more important cause of inflation or is it the supply of money? Mr. MILLER. Over time an excessive growth of money will be the main cause of inflation. On the other hand, that growth of money has to be controlled with due regard to interest rates and the effect interest rates themselves have on cost and on the ability to sustain the economy at a level that will provide for our national needs. If we tried to control inflation, through zero growth of money for the next 3 years, we would also have a recession or depression as the price. On the other hand, if we can restrain money growth and lean on it the right way and tolerate higher interest rates than we would like for 3 years, we can still keep the economy going. While we might still wish we weren't so tightly squeezed, we would know that we must take that course if we are to restrain the inflationary forces that otherwise eat us up. Mrs. FENWICK. So your answer, if I understand it correctly, is that both have an influence, but that the long-term effect is the monetary supply; the short-term is the interest rate; is that correct? Mr. MILLER. That is an adequate summary. Mrs. FENWICK. I want to hurry-Mr. MILLER. You said it so much quicker and better. Mrs. FENWICK. I have a couple of others. I am puzzled by the idea of the Federal Reserve paying interest on deposits. Are we starting down the garden path when we do that kind of thing? To change the rate, giving 6 percent below $25 million and 2 percent above brings in all sorts of complications. Wouldn't it be simpler, and wouldn't you be able to fine-tune the economy better, if there were simply nationwide reserve requirements? And I was a little troubled to hear you say that you felt that you https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 148 shouldn't say what the nature of those requirements would be. Why not? If we are thinking about a sound banking system in this country, why wouldn't it make good, commonsense not to pour out more of the taxpayers' money or cause them any expense but, instead, just require that banks have certain reserves? Mr. MILLER. I can't disagree with that, but let me correct one thing. I said we would not specify the form of reserves; that is not true. Reserves would take the form of deposits with the Federal Reserve. Mrs. FENWICK. Well, you wrote here, "not putting any restrictions on nonmembers." Mr. MILLER. No; I was talking about not having regulatory powers over banks regulated by the States, which is different. For example, examination, regulation, and supervision would not be our responsibility; but reserves would be held as deposits at the Federal Reserve Banks. Mrs. FENWICK. Uniform? Mr. MILLER. Uniform. Mrs. FENWICK. All banks? Mr. MILLER. You are absolutely correct that there is no reason in the world why an equitable system could not be created merely by establishing uniform reserves for all kinds of institutions on the same kind of accounts without paying interest. I would merely point out to you that opposition to that proposal will be heard in loud voices from those who don't maintain reserves now. Mrs. FENWICK. But Mr. Miller, you see, I understand that. You must help us here to know what our duty is. Now, whether we decide to do it or not is another matter. Mr. MILLER. Your duty is to enact the Federal Reserve proposals. [Laughter.] Mrs. FENWICK. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Mr. Mattox. Mr. MATTOX. Chairman Miller, I appreciate the portions of your statement that deal with the tax burden. For the purpose of the record, I would like to have you explain why it would not be a less onerous burden on the free enterprise system, and on the banking system, if we were just simply to allow the member banks to ,maintain their reserves in some other manner than in cash at the Federal Reserve. Mr. MILLER. Congressman Mattox, that is an alternate way to go, and I cannot disagree intellectually with the proposition that an equally fair result would attain if we had universal reserves and if those reserves could be maintained with the Federal Reserve in the form of Treasury bills or some other form of income-bearing certificate. I cannot give you a reason why that would not be a fair solution. I can tell you that, in effect, all deposits then would have the same potential to earn the same amount. Since the impact upon Federal Reserve earnings and loss of Treasury income then would be greater, we thought that perhaps that was too bold a step to take. Your plan would have 1a greater financial impact on the Treasury than the plan we have suggested, which is a limited payment of interest. Interest https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 149 would be earned in much the same way if institutions could maintain reserves in income-bearing paper; it just would be at a higher rate. Mr. MATTOX. Well, it seems to me that if the principal reason that banks are leaving the System is because the nonmember banks can maintain their reserves in interest-bearing instruments, then instead of doing another evil, that is, paying interest, it would be much more simple just to allow the member banks to hold their reserves in interest-bearing instruments. It appears to be a very simple solution. I recognize that this would have substantial impact upon the income of the Fed and also on the Treasury, but through our income tax laws and in other ways, that impact, could be controlled, because we are just going to tax back all of those profits anyway. And it appears to me that instead of enacting another tax, a more simple method would be to remove that burden. I understand that it is a bold step, but for the sake of the banking system and the free enterprise system-and probably for our economy and moneta.ry systems-it would be a much more simple approach. Mr. MILLER. The Federal Reserve would not object to that approach if the Congress and the Treasury were willing to accept it. The Treasury would have to be heard on how that would impact upon their income. Mr. MATTOX. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Mr. Patterson. Mr. PATTERSON. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Good morning. I think the only thing we are maybe concerned more about than the deficit is inflation, and it appears that, at least there is some concern on the part of the administration as to what action the Federal Reserve might be taking in regard to keeping interest rates down. I think a year ago you stated before the Senate that you would see the economy slowing down this year, which I think it has, and that that might mean interest rates would fall. And yet they seem to be higher than ever at this point. Can you tell us now why what you foresaw then has not come to pass~ Mr. MILLER. Congressman Patterson, I hope it was not a year ago, because I only came into office in March. Mr. PATTERSON. Early this year, I guess it was then. Mr. MILLER. I have felt-and continue to feel-that as the rate of real growth of the economy slackens from its rapid pace of recovery since the deep recession of 1974-75, and as fiscal policy is adjusted to remove some of the stimulative impact that is no longer needed now to reflate the economy, the pressures will abate and interest rates will peak out and at some point turn down. I don't recall suggesting that that could take place until later in the year, because the lag in effect of the tightening in monetary policy that the Fed has taken means that the restraining force shows up months and quarters later. The discipline that I believe Chairman Reuss mentioned-the change in tax plans and spending plans for the next fiscal year-won't begin to have effect until the fourth quarter of this year. We won't see any impact until we begin to spend less later this year and early next year. If I have misstated this before, I would like to correct myself. I see https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 150 the lessening of pressure on monetary policy from a more disciplined fiscal policy coming into play, but I only see it coming into play later this year and early next year. I have hoped that interest rates would peak in the next few months and that by next year we would see the chance for a little easier conditions in that regard. I hope at some other hearing I haven't inadvertently suggested an earlier timetable, because I think that would be too optimistic. These things just take time to work through. I do commend the Congress for the action that has been taken on the fiscal side, in working out less of a tax cut and less spending to respond to inflationary pressures. The change since I arrived in Washington-from an expectation of a $60 billion deficit in fiscal year 1979 to the expectation now of a $44 billion deficit-is a monumental accomplishment, and Congress should be commended for responding so quickly. Four or five months is a very short time in which to make that kind of policy change. Mr. PATrERSON. With that kind of change in fiscal policy, will this alter plans that you might ha.ve in regard to monetary policy? Mr. MILLER. Inevitably. It will make it easier to exercise monetary policy and reduce the pressure on monetary policy from what it otherwise would have been. In that sense, yes; it will certainly make it possible for monet3:ry policy to be operating more comfortably as these changes take effect m due course. Mr. PATrERSON. Charles Schulze and Alice Rivlin yesterday, I believe it was, both predicted that the economy would not plunge into a recession next year, provided that the Federal Reserve Board does not tighten credit so much and that Congress passes some administrationrequested tax cuts. Could you comment on that? Mr. MILLER. The economy should not go into a recession. There is no intention and no desire on the part of the Federal Reserve to bring that about, and neither the administration nor Congress seeks it. We a11 seek to balance our policies and actions at this point so as to restrain the forces of inflation and, if necessary, keep the rate of growth of the economy lower than we have experienced, but not to dip into a recession. I don't believe that would contribute adequately to reducing- inflation, and it would have other undesirable side effects. So it is a matter of intention, and we accept the challenge as reflected in the statements you quoted. As to terms and results, all of us will have to exercise extremely sound judgment in the next few months to be sure we don't overshoot in any direction and trigger either too much inflation or too much slowdown-either one. So this is a very difficult period when we must walk through a very narrow passage to get where we want to go. Mr. PATTERSON. Thank you. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Mr. Wylie. Mr. WYLIE. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I must say, Mr. Miller, that I, as kind of a journeyman member of this committee, feel very comfortable with you as Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. I was not sure that was possible for me after Dr. Burns. But you have certainly handled yourself in such a way https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 151 that you have instilled confidence in the American public that you are competent. Do you feel that the growth of wholesale banks would lead to a loss o:f membershipi And I thought maybe Mr. Mattox would ask this question or refer to this. He offered an amendment in committee to the financial institutions regulatory bill which was adopted, that would allow for the national banks to invest in the stock of Statechartered banks, and therefore form a wholesale bank. Mr. MILLER. I think this could have an impact. You know, we do have the experience now of multibank holding companies, where only one or two of the banks are members of the Federal Reserve, but the whole network receives the benefits. This does have a somewhat negative effect on membership and is perhaps a parallel example. If banks could aggregate their activities in a way that reduces the need for access to the Federal Reserve services, and take a risk on liquiditywhich is maybe not a good thing to do, but given today's pressures, institutions will do it-then there could be some possible risk to membership. Mr. WYLIE. Should we have an amendment to that section which would prohibit the wholesale banks from joining the Federal Reserve System, then, so that the retail banks-or they would be encouraged to maintain, I should say, membership i Mr. MILLER. I would have to look into that. It could be, because of the way of handling correspondent business, that even such an amendment would not restrict the possibility of ''wholesaling membership," as it were. I am not, sure whether that would work; there might be a way around it. Perhaps we should take a look at that problem. I had not really been aware of a movement along those lines. Mr. WYLIE. It is section 1411 in the financial institutions regulatory bill which will be coming to the House floor very soon. I am not sure, as I said a little earlier, that I don't want to talk about this. But I thought this did come up during the discussion of that amendment. Mr. MILLER. May I look into that, because it sounds like an important matter, and I just may not be up to date on it. [Chairman Miller subsequently sent the following letter to Congressman Wylie and a similar letter to Chairman St Germain:] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 152 B □ AR □ □ F G □ VERN □ RS OF"THE FEOERALRESERVESYSTEM WASHINGTON, 0. C. 20551 G, WILLIAM MILLEA CHAI AMAN August 14, 1978 The Honorable Chalmers P. Wylie House of Representatives Washington, D. C. 20515 Dear Mr. Wylie: During hearings conducted by the House Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs on membership in the Federal Reserve System on July 27, 1978, you asked for our views regarding section 1411 of the Financial Institutions Regulatory Act of 1978 (R.R. 13471). This section would authorize national banks to purchase shares of stock of a State-chartered bank, subject to certain limitations, where the law of the State in which the national bank is located permits Statechartered banks to purchase such stock. The limitations are that: (1) only up to five percent of any class of voting securities of such bank may be purchased by any national bank; (2) the total amount of such stock held by a national bank cannot exceed five percent of its capital stock and paid-in and unimpaired surplus; (3) the Statechartered bank whose securities are purchased must be insured by the FDIC; (4) the stock of such bank must be owned exclusively by other banks; and (5) such bank must be "engaged exclusively in providing banking services for other banks and their officers, directors, or employees." During the membership hearings, you raised questions concerning this section's effect on membership in the System and the possible need for an amendment prohibiting such banks from joining the Federal Reserve System. This section applies to national banks only. Since all national banks are required by law to be members of the Federal Reserve System, allowing a national bank to own stock in such a bank would not cause it to drop its membership. In fact, it should remove any incentive to change to a State charter and leave the System in order to participate in the ownership of such a bank. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 153 There would be cause for concer·n regarding such banks in general .if such a bank were allowed membership in the System. It could obtain access to Federal Reserve payment mechanism facilities and other services for those banks that owned it. The owner banks would then have an incentive to drop their membership, No additional legislative authority is needed since it has been our policy to deny such banks membership under the authority given us in section 9 of the Federal Reserve Act for the following reasons: (1) the institution is not open to the public; (2) the shareholders themselves are institutions eligible to become members; and (3) as a consequence of admitting the institution, the institutional shareholders could gain access to certain benefits of membership but remain outside of the Board's regulatory authority. We, therefore, have no objections ·to this section of the Financial Institutions Regulatory Act of 1978. 32-972 0 • 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, (Signed) G. William Miller • 11 154 BOARO OF GOVERNORS OFTHE FE □ ERAL RESERVE SYSTEM WASHINGTON, □ . C, 20551 13. WILLIAM MILLER CHAIRMAN August 14, 1978 The Honorable Fernand J, St Germain Chairman Subcommittee on Financial Institutions Supervision, Regulation and Insurance Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs House of Representatives Washington, D,C, 20515 Dear Chairman St Germain: During hearings conducted by the House Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs on membership in the Federal Reserve System on July 27, 1978, I was asked for our views regarding section 1411 of the Financial Institutions Regulatory Act of 1978 (H,R, 13471), This section would authorize national banks to purchase shares of stock of a State-chartered bank, subject to certain limitations, where the law of the State in which the national bank is located permits State-chartered banks to purchase such stock, The limitations are that: (1) only up to five percent of any class of voting securities of such bank may be purchased by any national bank; {2) the total amount of such stock held by a national bank cannot exceed five percent of its capital stock and paid-in and unimpaired surplus; (3) the State-chartered bank whose securities are purchased must be insured by the FDIC; (4) the stock of such bank must be owned exclusively by other banks; and (5) such bank must be "engaged exclusively in providing b.anking services for other banks and thsir officers, directors, or employees," During the membership hearings, questions were raised concerning this section's effect on membership in the System and the possible need for an amendment prohibiting such banks from joining the Federal Reserve System. This section applies to national banks only, Since all national banks are required by law to be members of the Federal Reserve System, allowing a national bank to own stock in such a bank would not cause it to drop its membership. In fact, it should remove any incentive to ·change to a State charter and leave the System in order to participate in the ownership of such a bank, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 155 There would be cause for concern regarding such banks in general if such a bank were allowed membership in the System. It could obtain access to Federal Reserve payment mechanism facilities and other services for those banks that owned it. The owner banks would then have an incentive to drop their membership. No additional legislative authority is needed since it has been our policy to deny such banks membership under the authority given us in section 9 of the Federal Reserve Act for the following reasons: (1) the institution is not open to the public; (2) the shareholders themselves are institutions eligible to become members; and (3) as a consequence of admitting the institution, the institutional shareholders could gain access to certain benefits of membership but remain outside of the Board's regulatory authority. We, therefore, have no objections to this section of the Financial Institutions Regulatory Act of 1978. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, 156 Mr. WYLIE. Apropos of that, I am rather interested in knowing how we get here. And during our discussions of the International Banking Act, we determined that other countries do not have membership in a central bank, of course. What do other countries do about reserve requirements? Mr. MILLER. As a rule they have universal reserve requirements; all banks must maintain reserves. Of course, the United States, for reasons of its development as a federation of States in a Federal system and because of State's rights and Federal rights, early on decided to have a dual banking system. Having options worked quite well for a while, when the scales were tipped in favor of being a Federal bank or a national bank or part of the Federal system. Now that the scales have tipped the other way, we see problems arising. But most nations haves a national banking system. Every nation has a national currency, a national financial system, and a national monetary authority, and almost universally they have a national requirement to adhere to that monetary authority. Mr. WYLIE. Where are the reserves maintained and in what form? Mr. MILLER. They are maintained with the central bank or with regional banks or offices. Italy is the only major country in which required reserves 1tll take the form of interest-bearing deposits. In all of the other countries banks must maintain reserves without receiving any interest on them, so that the system is the same as we have, except reserves are universal, and so they don't have the inequity that we have. Mr. WYLIE. Do you know offhand in what form they are maintained, Mr. Milled I mean, like Switzerland and the United Kingdom and maybe Japan? Mr. MILLER. In the United Kingdom they do allow some interestbearing assets to be held as reserves. But most nations require reserve balances held with the central bank or the central banking system. Mr. WYLIE. Cash balances? Mr. MILLER. Yes; with just a few slight variations as to what is counted as reserves. You know, we count vault cash, and that is a small variation. In Canada there is a slightly different variation in the form of required reserves. But the general policy is to maintain balances with the central bank. Mr. WYLIE. Well, it has been a real hairshirt to me that we may not require reserves of foreign branches operating in the United States, as you know. and I wonder why we require reserves of our own domestic banks if we don't require them for foreign banks. That is more of an exclamation than a question, I quess. Mr. MILLER. I am in favor of requiring reserves for forei~ banks, as you know, and I am delighted with the progress made in the foreign banking leg-islation, which will, I think, ge.t us to that point. And. of course, I am in favor of universal reserves in this country. I think that is the most equitable solution and would be the sounder;;t one.. But I also recognize that there are many forces at work, and that there are some contrary opinions. While universal reserves is onr preferred r;;olution, we must look at othe.r solutions if that is not possible.. Mr. WYLIE. Thank you very much. Mr. S'I' GERMAIN. Mr. Blanchard. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 157 Mr. BLANCHARD. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you, Chairman Mi1ler, for spending several hours here. I am sorry I missed your testimony and many of the questions. I was down at the White House, and a number of us were talking with the President about the problem of working together in cooperation, especially in view of the fact that there will be differences on important issues. And that prompts me to mention that I think it is cooperation and partnership that is equally important between you at the Federal Reserve and the administration and the Congress. I have read several articles and heard a few murmurs here and there about friction between you and the leaders of our committee and Congress. And I think that has to be minimized. I think it is essential for our system to work, for you and us to work together, not prostitute ourselves on issues, but as best we can to work together. And I think it would be most regrettable if friction grew into hostility or disagreement expanded into unnecessary friction. And I simply offer my hope and wish that there wiU be a, partnership and cooperation, which I think our country desperately needs on a number of fronts, but particularly with regard to economic policy. Mr. MILLER. You are certainly correct, and I will do my best to see that we work in harmony and partnership. We can't always agree on policies and issues, but I know we all have the same purpose-to do what is ·best for our country-and we can work in harmony to do that. I find my own experience of 4½ months to be rather reassuring, in the sense that I feel there has been quite an open and healthy dialog with the administration, and certainly with the two committees of Congress with which I have been working primarily. I feel that the atmosphere is extremely herulthy and harmonious. Mr. BLANCHARD. In browsing through your testimony, I notice you indicate several times that you feel that the presence of the Federal Reserve in bank supervisory and regulatory a,reas enhances the quality of the banking system. I can understand how you might feel that way and how perhaps all of us would serving at the Federal level. But I am wondering if you have any concrete evidence that regulati_on by the Federa.J Reserve System is better in any way than the regulation by the Comptroller or the FDIC or State banking supervisors 1 Mr. MILLER. No; I don't think we would'want to suggest that our examination is superior to that of the Comptroller, and we work veD7 closely with the Comptroller and coordinate very carefully with tlie Comptroller and with the FDIC. Nor would we suggest that there is any lack of quality in the State supervisory area. I am talking more about a national regulatory presence. A national regulatory authority is needed when it comes to interest rate ceilings and to many other issues. If you have too much opportunity for variation and diversion from standards, then you get an uneven financial system, and you end up with less than optimum or effective results. In their context, my remarks were not meant to suggest any sense of parochialism about our superiority; I would withdraw them if they do. My context was a national mechanism for supervision and regulation. There are other functions of the Federal Reserve-monetary control and liquidity and the insurance of a payments mechanism- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 158 that can't be conducted except by the Federal Government. They could be conducted by any agency of the Federal Government, but they have been assigned fundamentally to the Federal Reserve. If they weren't assigned to the Federal Reserve, they would be assigned to another agency that would be the same as the Federal Reserve; that is, a central monetary authority. Mr. BLANCHARD. But I take it your major concern really is to have as comprehensive a climate as possible to conduct monetary policy and not to regulate or supervise banks for the sake of having more members and more authority. Mr. MIILER. 'I could not agree more. We do not seek to examine or regulate a single bank more through any of our proposals today. We do not suggest that, if there were universal reserves, we should be examining or regulating any more banks than Congress has already mandated that we regulate. Congress has authorized us to regulate bank holding companies, members and nonmembers, and that authority will continue to apply or else be given to somebody else. But we are not seeking to gain one piece of turf in the regulatory field from these proposals. Mr. BLANCHARD. My time has expired. Thank you. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Mr. Miller, I would say one thing to you. You said Congress mandated or is mandating that you regulate and supervise banks. Very frankly, you know, there are some of us who put forth the proposition that the Fed indeed should not regulate and supervise banks. So if you would like to get rid of that duty, I am sure that we would be responsive immediately to move that legislation along very expeditiously. Mr. MILLER. Unfortunately, my time is up. [Laughter.] I thought from something you said earlier, Mr. Chairman, that you might raise that at some later date, and I hope you shall. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Mr. Derrick? Mr. DERRICK. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Miller, we are delighted to have you. I was also at the meeting at the White House, and regret that I did not hear the first of your testimony. . Assuming that the most important function of the Fed is its influence on monetary policy, how many banks are there that are members of the Fed today? Mr. MILLER. There are about 5,000-6,000 member banks, of which 1,100 are State member banks. As you know, national banks are supervised and examined by the Comptroller. There are about 5,700 member banks, to be more exact. Mr. DERRICK. Well, out of the total number of banks in the United States, which is 14,000, that is something less than 50 percent. Assuming that this committee and this Congress were to pass legislation that would make it attractive enough for the banks in this country to increase their membership, say, to 90 percent, or a tremendous amount, I would sug-gest that the logical thing would be that you would have a greater influence by your input into monetary policy. And if that were the case, and say that 80 or 90 percent of the banks were members today of the Fed, what do you think you would be in a position to do with monetary policy; what effect do you think you could have that you may not be having today, and what would the probable consequences be? https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 159 Mr. MILLER. CongressmQ.n Derrick, our proposalsMr. DERRICK. You do agree that if you had the additional membership, your impact would be greater i Mr.MILLER. Yes,sir. Let me just make one comment before I answer the substance of your question, because you reminded me of something that I did not make clear. The proposals that we have made are not intended to attract members. I don't think the proposals we have made would attract members. I think Congressman Stanton's proposal to pay a full market rate of interest would attract members. Mr. DERRICK. I understand that. Mr. MILLER. We are just trying to stop the loss. Now, under our universal reserve proposal, we would have reserves on about 80 percent of transactions deposits, and that would very much enhance our capacity to control monetary policy, because it would enhance our ability to measure the relationship between reserves and credit on a much larger bundle of deposits and lessen the opportunity for divergence from our monetary targets. We developed one chart-chart lO~which we discussed when you weren't here, I think. It is worth looking at because it shows that the more reserves are outside our control, the more difficult it is to predict the relationship between our actions and the growth of the ag/:!I'egates. Mr. DERRICK. The substance of my question, of course, is that, assuming we were to erase this liability for you, what do you think that you could do that you are not now doing, and what do you think that the results accruing therefrom would be 1 Mr. MILLER. What we could do, first, is to gather more accurate data on the current money supply, which would make our policy decisions sounder; we would be reacting with better knowledge of the facts. Now we act on the basis of many estimates and best guesses. The closer we get to currently reliable data, the more likely our judgments will be sound and not cause erratic movements in the economy that come about because of false or misleading information. Second, the leverage of our actions on real results, would be more direct. Therefore, our ability to push the throttle or retard the throttle and achieve a certain consequence in the economy would be far more direct. The result would be a much healthier control-less guessing, and more likelihood of assurance, under conditions such as we have today, for example, that we would not bring on a recession by mistake. Today, with so much outside of our control and so much guessing, we could inadvertently make a mistake. The probability of our being wrong would be greatly reduced if we haid this control. Mr, DERRICK. The results of your being wrong would also be more catastrophic. Mr. MILLER. The result of being wrong would be the same : the economv would be in bad shape. Mr. DERRICK. Let me ask a question in another area: Have you thought that it might be necessary, if the Congress were to enact this legislation or some <'lose facsimile, to restructure the gunning mechanism of the Fed~ What I allude to is the inclusion of more input from savings and loans, credit unions, other members of the financial community. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 160 After all, you are including them, in a sense, in your suggestions. Mr. Mn,LER, I think that deserves consideration. To date, Congressman Derrick, we are only seeking to establish reserves on so-called transactions accounts, and at this point that does not impinge fundamentally upon those otlier kinds of institutions. We might be mixing apples and oranges, but I am not philosophically opposed to looking at your question and seeing if better coordination would be desirable. Mr. DERRICK. Well, I would suggest to you that if you do this I would see it as a natural o:ntgrowth. I thank you very much. And thank you for appearing before the committee. Mr. Mil.LER. Thank you. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Mr. Grassley. Mr. GRASSLEY. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I want to echo the compliment that Mr. Wylie, of Ohio, paid to you, and say that I watch what the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board does more even than what the President of the United States does, because I figure it is that important a position and can have that much of an impact on our economy. I have read some speculation in the newspapers to the effect that you might be moving a little bit away from your independent position. At this point, I am just going to consider that speculation, and I hope, in fact, that that is not the case. Mr. MlLLER. Let me assure you it is not the case now and will not be the case. Mr. GR.A.ASLEY. Mr. Miller, would you please tell us what actions, if any, the Fed will take if the House and Senate fail to act on any of these proposals during this session, the proposals that we are discussing here today~ Mr. MILLER. Mr. Congressman, I am rupproaching this issue with great cooperation from the chairmen on both the House and Senate committees and therefore with the high expectation that, because the issues are not new and because there is such willingness to address and resolve them, that we will get a resolution. I have not really addressed the issue of alternatives, so I suppose I have to answer you by saying that I do not know. The Federal Reserve would have to go back to the drawing board and see if there were other things that could be done in the national interest-to be sure that we do not continue to have the adverse consequences of loss of members. But I hardly want to think of what could be done and what would be done, because I have to believe that we are going to get a resolution from the Congress, which would be best. Mr. GRASSLEY. Because there are only about 35 days left to work this all out before we adjourn, you would not be taking any action before next January and the convening of a new Congress 1 Mr. MILLER. You know that the timetable in our preliminary pr_oposal, attached to my testimony, was to make some reserve adjustments, within the statutory limits that now exist, at the end of this year. We plan to introduce the first tranche of service c~arges on July 1, 1979, and at that time to make the first payment of mterest at a low rate. We could have the full plan in effect in 1980. So I do not think we face any crunch here if there is an orderly process. I know that substantial time is needed in order for us to get https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 161 those mechanisms in place, so I am very hopeful that the Congress will give us our marching orders before this year is out. But if they do not, we will take the next step when it comes. Mr. GRAsSLEY. At what point does the level of deposits under the control of the Fed affect the Fed's ability to conduct monetary policy efficiently? Mr. MILLER. We are already at that level. We are already at a level where the ability to measure impact and to have an adequate monetary handle has been substantially eroded. We already have so much play in the controls that when we push we do not get as quick a response. Where the absolute trigger point is, I do not know. But, it has ttlready, in my opinion, gone too far when you consider that we were at 85 percent of deposits in 1950, that by 1965 we were still at about 85 percent, and then we suddenly dropped to 73 percent in the last 10 years. One begins to worry because it certainly is going too fast and too far. Mr. GRASSLEY. Following up on the question of the competitive nature of your services versus those that would be offered by the private sector. If the legislative proposals before us on the pricing of services were to become law, would the accounting procedures at the Fed reveal any cross-subsidization of the services provided, in order that we could police the pricing of services so we do not get into the same problem we have with the postal service? The postal service says that they just cannot account for their ove1rhead, hence they will not accept the argument that first class subsidizes fourtlh class. Therefore, we get into the argument over whether or not parcel post is competitive with the United Parcel Service, as an example. So, I am asking the same question of you. Will your accounting practices show up whether or not, in fact, there is any cross-subsidization? Mr. MILLER. Congressman Grassley, the Federal Reserve is in the process-we have gone a long way-toward developing a pricing system, and we are continuing to perfect it. I would say that, today, it might be slightly inadequate for your purposes, but by the time this plan is in effect the data would disclose what you would need to know in that respect. Let me say that "subsidy" is a difficult word, but I think you are approaching the question correctly. First, let's see what the data show; then, we can argue what "subsidy" is. We will be able to get you the data. You know, there are new technologies-automated cle,aringhouses, electronic transfer of funds-and a nationwide deposit system. Like any new product in busine,ss, there is a ]earning curve and an investment to start it. One does subsidize a new airplane when it is first built, or a new automobile when it is first introduced, in order to get up to a level of production that shows a profit. There will a.lways be that kind of question: How do you price a new product so that when you get up to speed it will be profitable, so to speak? So I would not want to mislead you; we will always have tough issues to face if we are going to be a living, breathing, moving organization that is trying to be creative. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 162 Mr. GRASSLEY. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The CBAIRMAN. Mr. Pattison. Mr. PATTISON. Thank you. I notice we have a quomm call we have to answer, so I will try to be brief, and perhaps you can also be brief in your response. In your statement you indicate that under the Federal Reserve proposal, H.R. 13476, nonmember depository institutions would have to report on their deposits and certain other items to the local Reserve bank for monetary management purposes. As far as monetary control is concerned, wouldn't this access to that datia essentially obviate t:Jhe need for imposing Federal Reservedetermined reserve requirements on nonmembe,r banks and thrift institutions? Mr. MILLER. The availability of data along the lines we have suggested-or Chairman Reuss has suggested-would be very helpful in giving us, at least, the current situation. It would not help us, however, in terms of the degree of error tJhat exists as the impac.t of our actions in reserves works its way through the system and reflects itself in money and credit. We would gia.in by being able to read history, but we would not be able to predict as well what the next move should be. It would be a step forwa.rd, but not as complete ,a, step as we would prefer. Mr. PATTISON. Thank you. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Mr. Mitchell. Mr. MITCHELL. Mr. Miller, you have been very patient with us, and it is almost noon, but I do have two other questions, however. In the interest of time and my schedule and your schedule, I will submit those two questions to you in writing and request prompt reply. Mr. MILLER. We will be delighted to reply promptly. [Congressman Parren Mitchell submitted the following question in writing to Chairman Miller to be answered for the record :J Question. On page seven, you say that the cushion provided by the discount window "facilitates implementation of a restrictive monetary policy in a period of inflation demands." What does this mean? It sounds like you want banks to obtain reserves at the discount window when you are draining reserves via open market operations? What's the point of doing something with your left hand which offsets what you're doing with your right? The philosophy you are revealing here gives me a clue as to why we have so much inflation. [Chairman Miller subsequently furnished the following response:] Answer. During a period of credit tightness, the availability of the discount window provides individual banks with the time needed to make orderly adjustments in their lending and investment policies. The availability of the window does not mean that total reserves will be larger than desired. Rather. it helps insure that the distribution of a given amount of total reserves supplied to the banking system is determined in part by the needs of individual banks for adjustment-type credit. This facilitates the implementation of monetary policy by minimizing the risk of severe liquidity strains and abrupt changes in lending policies by individual banks that might unsettle local depost and credit markets, and in the case of large institutions, national markets. Mr. MITCHELL. While I do have the mike and the recognition of the Chair, I would like to comment on your candor in responding to questions. Without deprecating anyone's past performance as Chairman of the Fed, I find it very refreshing- that we get answers from you within 5 minutes or less. I recall some experiences where I raised https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 163 a question with a former Chairman of the Federal Reserve, and I got an answer in approximately 35 minutes, and by that time I had forgotten what the question was. I just want to compliment you on your candor and your brevity. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Mr. Vento, I understand you have one question. Mr. VENTO. Mr. Chairman, I do have a question. My able colleague, Mary Rose Oakar, raised a question and pointed out the large profits that would accrue to Citibank, Chase Manhattan, and so forth, under both the Fed proposal and the Stanton proposal unamended. And the answer came back something like reflecting the fact that they would pay back a significant amount in their tax burden. I have in front of me the "Tax Analysts and Advocates," a very reputable document that talks about what the large average is fo1 U.S. rate on worldwide income of the 10 largest banks. It is 3.6 per• cent. That is what we are collecting now on that. And I wonder, in light of that and in view of that if Mr. Miller would like to consider that in terms of what the cost is of the Fed proposal or the unamended Stanton bill. I think it is very difficult for a Member such as myself, looking at budget problems and so forth that we have, and taking into consideration what the chairman of this committee and the Chairman of the Board of Governors said was the goal of what they are trying to accomplish with this bill, and then looking at what the impact is. And I hope that the committee will continue to bring forth information like this and that each of us can modify our positions to attainment of that laudable goal. And maybe there is a response or answer to what the effective tax rate is and what the cost impact is, but I think that it is something, certainly, that should be brought up in light of the question and in light of the large payout to these banks. My judgment is, Mr. Miller, that they are there for the services that they receive, and they have done an analysis to determine whether or not they lose or gain more by being members of the Fed with regards to their correspondent accounts that they maintain and so forth. And I would be very happy with a brief response at this time to this point. Mr. MILLER. Congressman Vento, I am not a tax expert, as you know. It is my understanding that the estimate of the loss of revenue to the Treasury-a measure of the difference between loss in Federal Reserve earnings and potential tax recoveries as increased earnings work their way through banks-was developed jointly by our staff and by the Treasury Department, and that the Treasury Department is in agreement with the figures. And so, I have accepted their estimates as being the ones-Mr. VENTO. Do I understand your figure as being the highest tax rate, 48 percent? Mr. MILLER. The fi~re takes account of the corporate tax rate on banks, plus the fact that there would be an expected increase in personal income from dividend payouts. I am not an expert on this, but I understand it came outMr. VENTO. We end up with that 48 percent figure being tossed https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 164 around a lot, but the effective rate on capital gains is about 18 percent. That is what it is, in reality. And hardly anyone pays that 48 percent. And what the worldwide rate is, the U.S. rate in worldwide income, is 3.6 percent on the various banks right today, so that is the rate they are going to be paying. Mr. MILLER. No; you 'have to be care£ul with that reasoning. A bank may be paying a low rate based upon £oreign tax credits. Any marginal income would be taxed at the 48-percent rate. On an additional dollar of U.S. income, the bank would not pay 3.6 percent; it would pay 48 cents. You have to remember that quite often those calculations are complex. The addition of income to a bank that is paying whatever rate is taxed at the marginal rate of 48 cents on the dollar. Mr. VENTO. That assumes that they are not going to increwse expenses that they will not have any other 1!1eans of writing off. Mr. MILLER. They would deduct those many case. Mr. VENTO. Well, of course, they do. But if they have the income, they also have the option to do what they choose with it, and not just declare it as excess profit. They can build i they can go into a variety 0£ things in terms of tax credits. There 1s a whole myriad 0£ ways that they can move. I mean, if you assume that they are static, yes; then, 0£ course, they are not going to do anything. But I assume they are not static, that they are thinking, that they are investing their money, and, as a consequence, they are going to be paying what they are paying, in essence, today, or one-tenth 0£ a percent difference. Thank you. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Mr. Miller, I would like to wind up-Mr. MILLER. I was just paissed a note, so that I do not mislead you. I was talking about corporate tax rates, but my staff tells me that the average marginal tax rate on banks in the United States is 35 percent. I was using the corporate rate 0£ 48 percent. Mr. VENTO. I tJhink I used the 48 percent, and not the chairman. Mr. ST GERMAIN. I would suggest sometime looking at the Philadelphia Fed study that occurred about 3 or 4 or maybe 5 years ago on what banks actually indeed pay in taxes. It is very interesting. I would like to wind up with this question. On page 10, you made re£erence to the fact that many problems would arise if a correspondent hank, a large one, experienced substantial operating difficulties with liquidity problems. Now, this is conceivably the caise. However, I do not think that the legislation before us would deal with that in any manner, and we, I think, can agree that the risk of a large correspondent J;>ank 'having difficulties does. indeed, exist today. I am wondering, by putting that in your testimonv-I am trying to word this very nicelv for you-were you suggesting in a very subtle manner that we should prohibit private clearing banks i It seems to me that would be the only way to solve the problems that you point up on page 10. Mr. MI1;-LER. Mr. Chairman, my point in the testimony was that we are seemg more and more larger banks leave the System, and that as we begin to see large banks leave the System there are more and more instances where clearing by a nonmember-without the same access to the window as a member-could be a problem. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 165 I anticipated no other legislation addressed to your question, but was merely pointing out that if we continue to lose large banks, we will have more and more possibility of difficulty. That was my sole point. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Also, I hope that your staff took note of the fact that-and I am sorry Mr. Mattox is not here-but Mr. Wylie 'brought up the amendment to the rather substantial piece of legislation that we will be getting to the floor in the near future, and there were no hearings on it. An amendment was introduced on a particular day, _and it was held in abeyance for a little further work to 'be done on it. We did receive a communication from the Comptroller's Office, but we did not receive anytJhing from the Fed, to the oost of my recollection. So, you might well want to look at that. Mr. MrLLER. Yes; I think we would want to look at that. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Mr. Chairman, the staff is a very excellent staff, and they could keep feeding me questions from now until 5 p.m. this evening, but I have some appointments to meet, and I ·am sure that you would welcome a break at this point. I, too, want to echo the sentiments of many of the members, No. 1, on the success with which you have taken over the enormous duties as Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. Of course, I am doubly happy about that, due to the fact that we come from the same area of this great country, and, of course~ you are transplanted, but we think of you as a Rhode Islander. But also, I want to compliment you on the manner in which you have handled the questions this morning, because really and truly, it is unbelieveable that we are able to wind up at this time of day, considering the fact that a great many members did, indeed, participate. So, I want to thank you, and I am sure there will be quite a few members who will be submitting some additional questions in writing. Mr. MILLER. Mr. Chairman, I appreciate your courtesy this morning. The attendance was rather exciting, from my point of view. Many members did come and participate; I thank you, and I thank them. Mr. ST GERMAIN. Thank you. The full committee will be in recess until Monday, July 31, 1978, in this same room. [Whereupon, at 12 :05 p.m., the committee was adjourned, to reconvene at 9 a.m., on Monday, July 31, 1978.] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONETARY CONTROL AND THE MEMBERSHIP PROBLEM MONDAY, JULY 31, 1978 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, COMMITTEE ON BANKING, FINANCE AND URBAN AFFAIRS, Washington, D.O. The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 10 a.m., in room 2128, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Henry S. Reuss (chairman of the committee) presiding. Present: Representatives Reuss, Moorhead, Annunzio, Mitchell, Derrick, Hannaford, Pattison, Vento, Stanton, Grassley, Fenwick, and Steers. Mr. MITCHELL. This hearing will now come to order. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Today we continue our hearings on the efficiency of monetary control and Federal Reserve membership. We have before us three bills and an amendment to one of these bills: H.R. 1347.6, H.R. 13477, Federal Reserve proposals submitted by request; H.R. 12706, the Stanton bill; and an amendment to the Stanton bill. Our witnesses today will be: Ray Campbell, president, Oberlin Savings Bank, representing the Independent Bankers Association; Gov. Philip E. Coldwell, Board of Governors, Federal Reserve System; Beryl W. Sprinkel, executive vice president and economist, Harris Trust & Savings; Richard D. Hill, chairman, First National Bank, Boston, representing the Association of Reserve City Bankers; and, Frank Morris, president, Boston Federal Reserve Bank. Gentlemen, welcome. Before proceeding, I will ask if any of my colleagues have an opening statement. There appears to be none. For convenience, I think it would be well to divide today's witnesses into two panels. I am going to ask Mr. Campbell and Mr. Hill to serve on our first panel. We will hear from Mr. Campbell and then from Mr. Hill. Then we will proceed to question both of you at the same time, if that is satisfactory. Governor Coldwell, Mr. Morris, and Mr. Sprinkel will then be our second panel. I understand you have a Board meeting, Governor, and we will try to put you on first on the second panel. We are anxious to hear from all of you. We are most grateful that you could be here. I wish to note that we have received a statement from Milton Friedman, professor of economics at the University of Chicago and senior research :fellow, Hoover Institution, at Stanford University, on the questions before the committee today. Among other considerations, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (167) 168 Professor Friedman supports elimination of the Federal Reserve discretion both in fixing reserve requirements and in fixin~ the discount rate, on the grounds that these are "clumsy and unpredictable instruments of monetary policy." I ask that his statement be included in the record at this point. [Professor Friedman's statement follows:] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 169 STATEMENT ON !LR. 12706 AND OTHER LEGISLATIVE MATTERS SUBMITTED BY MILTOU FRIEDMAN PROFESSOR ECONOMICS, THE UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO SENIOR RESEARCH FELLOW, HOOVER INSTITUTION, STANFORD UNIVERSITY TO COMMITTEE ON BP.NKING, FINANCE AND URBAN AFFAIRS U. S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES JULY 24, 1978 four basic reforms incor- I strongly support in principle porated in H.R. 12706 and the proposed amendment thereto. However, I regard them as seriously incomplete unless accompanied by a fifth reform, namely elimination of the prohibition of the payment of interest on demand depos1ts. In addition, I differ somewhat with respect to the best way to institute some of the reforms. consider in turn each of the five reforms I shall two proposed in H.R. 12706, the one that needs to be added, and the two proposed in the amendment to H.R. 12706. A. H.R. 12706 1. ·Pricing of services rendered by Federal Reserve Banks. This is highly desirable in order to promote the efficient use of such services and to prevent the waste that arises from the absence of specific charges for them. It is desirable also to elimi- nate a special subsidy that is now being granted to member banks 32-972 0 • 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • 12 170 of an amount not directly subject to Congressional control. The specific provisions as incorporated in H.R. 12706 seem well designed to achieve the desired objective. 2. reform. Payment of Interest on Reserves. This is a long overdue The present system in effect imposes a special tax on banks that are members of the Federal Reserve System by requiring them to lend funds at a zero interest rate to the Federal Reserve Banks and thereby indirectly to the U.S. Government. If it is desired to levy a tax on member banks, that should be done explicitly by Congress, not implicitly by the Federal Reserve System, and the rate of tax should be determined by the Congress, not by either the discretion of the Fed in setting reserve requirements, or the accidents of the market in determining the interest yield sacrificed on reserves. ·Moreover, it is hard to see any justification for a discriminatory tax on member banks. In combination with pricing of services by the Fed, the payment of interest on reserves could eliminate both the s~osidy and the taxes now implicitly arising from Federal Reserve actions and from the vagaries of the market. However, the specific provision of neither H.R. 12706 nor the proposed amendment thereto with respect to the payment of interest would eliminate Federal Reserve imposed taxation. To achieve that objective, the rate ·of interest paid on reserves should be set by statute equal to the level specified by H.R. 12706 as a maximum, namely, the average rate paid during the preceding calendar quarter on U.S. Treasury bills with maturities of three months. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 171 If it is desjred to raise revenue from a tax on banks, that should be done via explicit tax legislation imposing a tax on all banks, not simply member banks. B. The Missing Reform 3. Payment of Interest on Demand Deposits. The preceding two reforms would replace the present net tax on member banks with a net subsidy exchanging one evil for another -- unless they are accompanied by removal of the present legal prohibition of the payment of interest on demand deposits. Remove that prohibition, and competition will force banks to pass on the interest they receive on reserves to depositors. Removal of the prohibition of interest on demand deposits is urgently called for by other considerations as well. Few legal provisions have done as much harm to the efficient operation of both the financial system and monetary policy as this one. Had interest all along been payable at competitive rates on demand deposits, there would have been no massive shift back and forth from time to demand deposits, no proliferation of indirect methods of paying interest on demand deposits, no development of NOW and POW and COW accounts. Much of the needless dispute among commercial banks and thrift institutions would have been eliminated. The monetary aggregates would have retained a more consistent meaning and would have been more useful for monetary policy. Competition and the ingenuity of the market have made the prohibition almost meaningless, and nearly the final blow will be struck by the Federal Reserve regulatory change due to go into ef- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 172 feet on November 1 of this year. It is long past time to remove this major obstacle to an efficient financial system and to effective monetary control. C. Proposed Amendment to H.R. 12706 4. Statutory Reserve Requirements. I strongly approve the elimination of Federal Reserve discretion in fixing reserve requirements. Changes in reserve requirements are a clumsy and unpredict- able instrument of monetary policy. However, the proposed schedule of requirements seems to me undesirable. What is called for is a fixed percentage requirement on deposits, the same for all banks, all amounts of deposits, all kinds of deposits, whether so-called transactions deposits or time or savings deposits. Differential requirements simply introduce unnecessary random variations into the relation between total reserves available and the total money supply as a result of shifts of deposits between different banks and different categories of deposits. With interest paid on reserves, as proposed in point 2, and on deposits, as proposed in point 3, a uniform reserve requirement is strictly neutral among banks and depositors. It performs the one function of serving monetary policy by enabling the Fed to control the quantity of money more accurately. 5. Discount Rate Linked to Market Rate. I strongly approve also the elimination of Federal Reserve discretion in fixing the discount rate. This, too, has been a clumsy and unpredictable •in- strument of monetary policy. determined by the market. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis It would be far better to let it be 173 As Congressman Reuss said in his statement to the House of July 14, 1978, "Monetary policy can be conducted exclusively through open market operations and discounting" -- and I would add, without discounting as well. The record of failure by the Federal Re- serve in controlling the money supply its record of swinging widely from one extreme to the other, of not achieving its own stated targets, of permitting sharp and erratic movements from week to week and month to month -- none of this derives from the absence of the necessary knowledge, or of insufficient power on its part, or of lack of information about non member institu:_ions. These are all excuses not reasons. As I have argued in a recent Newsweek column (appended hereto), the Fed's failure derives from its unwillingness to adapt its procedures to its changed objec- tives -- a striking example of the law of bureaucratic inertia. In conclusion, I wish to commend the Committee for its farsighted proposals, and for holding these hearings, as well as for the constructive steps it has taken earlier, ranging from Concurrent Resolution 133 to its recent communication to the Fed with respect to lagged reserve requirements. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 174 By Milton Friedman '!' Inertia and the Fed Every large bureaucracy, government or private, is certain that 'tlie way it conducts its affairs is the only way that they can be condti~ted. government, this universal truth is In effectively challenged only at a time of real crisis-when something simply 111ust be done differently. In business, the bottom line of profit provides a far more effective and frequent challenge. Business bureaucrats who insist on operating in accordance with this belieflose their jobs. That is a much-p.eglected advantage of the private market. Government bureaucrnts may be just as perceptive as private entrepreneurs, just as wise, just as innovative·in deciding what projects to undertake, but there is nO mechanism for terminating unsuccessful experiments; instead, they tend to be expanded to bury small failures in a large failure. A private business that undertakes an unsuccessful experiment has no choice: it recognizes its mistake or goes bankrupt-unless it can get government to subsidize it. That is why the loss component of the profit and loss system is far more important than the profit co1?ponent. THE IRS VS. WITHHOLDING I was first impressed by the l~w of bureaucratic inertia during World War It when, as a junior bureaucrat in the U.S. Treasury Uepar~f""''", I helped to devise a system to collect income taxes at sburc-e. My wife has still not forgivim me for participating in that project. • We consulted German refugees who knew the German tax system. They described in detail their method of withholding at source and assured us that it was the only feasible way. We consulted British experts. They assured us that the very different method followed in Britain was the only feasible way. We decided that both were models of what to avoid, not to imitate. If today you were to ask a high Internal Revenue Service official whether income taxes could be collected without a•withholding system, he would consign you to the loony bin. But in 1942, when we wert devising our syst~m. the IRS was the chief obstacle to its adoption. Its bureaucrats ini;isted that the way they were collecting the income qlx was the only feasible way; that we were starry•eye<l theorists to suppose that withholding at source was administratively feasible. My longest continuous experience with the law of bureaucratic inertia has https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis been with the Federal Reserve System: as a monetary historhn', a constant critic, ~; ~~~~1~~~~1f~:l~~~~~~f:h~ ti::~!di!~3! academic advisers, a member of a system committee, a teacher some of whose stu• den is have worked at the Fed, and a close personal friend-and, I may say, admirer-of many high system officials. NO ADMISSION OF ERRORS In its 65-year history, to the best of my knowledge, the Federal Reserve Board has never admitted error in any official statement-though some courageous officials at regional banks have done So. Doubtless there are exceptions-perhaps Sen. William Proxmire should establish a Golden Purse award for authors of such admissions. Changes in policy and procedure have of course occurredmostly as a result of crisis pressures from outside; occasionally, of changes in personnel; even more rarely, of cumulative self-generated change growing out of the work of the board's own able professional staff or the able professional staffs at some of the regional banks. In three decades of personal involvement with the system, I have often written, or sent memorandums, to the chairman or other members of the board suggesting changes in policy, regulations or procedure. Every reply, even When it was personal and not a form letter, deff'i.Jed curre,.~ iJrocedurci and explained wh,y my suggestions were im.: practical. Requests from Congressional committees or individual congressmen asking the system to comment on testimony I had given to the committee or on one of my published articles have uniforml)' elicited cleverly written briefs for the defense, never admitting any mistake, never accepting any suggestion, explaining all adverse developments as resulting from forces outside the system's control, and selecting from availp.ble evidence only those items supporting the system's position. In 1970, it was suggested to the board that it appoint h\'o committees of outside experts: one, on the measurement oftl1e monetary aggregates, which had been coming under increasing criticism for inaccuracy; the other, on alternati\'e methods of controlling the monetary aggregates. The first committee, of which I was a member, was finally appointed four years Jater. We htrned in our final report hvo years ago. Our recommendations have not yet been implemented! The second expert committee was nev- er appointed, even though the Fed's failure to modernize its operating procedure is little short of a disgrace. A decade ago, under enormous pressure, the Fed shifted its intermediate policy target from primary stress on "money.market conditions" (i.e., interest rates) to primary stress on the growth of monetary aggregates. This shift was strongly reinforced by Congressional Concurrent Resolution 133 in 1975 (since incorporated in the Federal Reserve Act), requiring the Fed to report quarterly to Congress its targets for the growth in monetary aggregates for the coming year. STICKING TO OBSOLETE METHODS Yet, despite internal committees that have been established to examine the Fed's operating procedures, those procedures are stilJ the same as the ones that were developed to control "money-market conditions." Most economists specializing in money and banking agree that those procedure::;, however well adapted for the earlier purpose, are poorly adapted to control monetary aggregates. Their continued use explains the highly erratic behavior of monetary aggregates from week to week, ancl the tendency for the growth rate of monetary aggregate~ to swmg from one extreme to the other. An alternative operating procedure has been subject to extensive study and research, js entirely feasible administratively-indeed much simpler than the present procedure-and has been recommended to, and by, Congressional coni• mittees. I am confident that it would be regarded as superior to the present procedure for controlling monetary agbrrcgates not only by outside experts but by a majority of economists on the research staffs ofthe Federal Reserve Board and its regional hanks. Yet, in a decade, not the slightest step has been taken to move to this alternative technique. On the contrary, the Fed has adopted a series of measures that have made the present procedure even less effective. We have a new chairman at the Fed. He comes from the business world where the bottom line has forced him to fight tl1e law of bureaucratic ine1tia. WiJI that background enable him to do so alsO in government? Or wiJI he, like his predecessors, become a capti\'e of aml spokesman for the hureaucrn.cr he sup• posedly commands? Newsweek. July 24, 1978 175 Mr. MITCHELL. The Chair wishes to thank the chairman of the full committee for permitting me to chair the hearings last week and this morning. However, I do have to make an apology. The Budget Committee on which I also serve has a meeting scheduled at 10 :30. a.m. At that time I will turn the Chair over to the chairman of the full committee, Chairman Reuss. Gentlemen, thank you very much, and let us start with Mr. Campbell and Mr. Hill, to lead off. STATEMENT OF RAYMOND D. CAMPBELL, PRESIDENT, OBERLIN SAVINGS BANK, OBERLIN, OHIO, FIRST VICE PRESIDENT, INDEPENDENT BANKERS ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA, REPRESENTING THE ASSOCIATION, ACCOMPANIED BY RICHARD PETERSON, CHIEF LEGISLATIVE COUNSEL Mr. CAMPBELL. Thank you, Mr. Mitchell. Chairman Reuss, members of the committee, my name is Raymond D. Campbell. I am first vice president of the Independent Bankers Association of America--IBAA-and president of the Oberlin Savings Bank Co., Oberlin, Ohio. With me is Richard Peterson, our chief legislative counsel. Our association appreciates the opportunity to testify on this legislation. However, I should point out that the constraints imposed by the timing of these hearings has limited our ability to assess fully the effects of these proposals. Therefore, I should like you to view our comments as first impressions. We share the concern of the Federal Reserve Board's Chairman that attrition of both banks and attrition of membership in the Federal Reserve System has accelerated in recent years, and that the failure to halt membership attrition may have severe implications for the Federal Reserve Board to conduct monetary policy. However, we are not persuaded that legislative remedies proposed by the Federal Reserve Board will provide the necessary inducements to attract nonmembers to join the Federal Reserve System or persuade members to remain in the System. Let me turn, then, to specifics. First, H.R. 13476 ism effect a mandatory universal statute requiring commercial banks, mutual savings banks, savings and loan associations, and credit unions to maintain reserves at Federal Reserve banks against demand deposits and all other transaction accounts. IBAA has long been opposed to legislation which would make it mandatory for all banks to maintain reserves in the Federal Reserve System. Although national banks comprise about 27 percent of IBAA'n membership, 73 percent are State-chartered banks, of which a small minority are members of the Fed. State-chartered banks :favor the freedom to join or not to join the Federal Reserve System. Furthermore, the exemption purportedly provided for the first $5 million in transaction accounts is purely illusory in that there is broad statutory authority given the Board to impose reserves on even these deposits. Another proposal in this package of legislation is H.R. 13477, which https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 176 would authorize the payment of interest on reserve balances held in an_y Federal Reserve bank. The cost to the U.S. Treasury of such interest payments could be a very high price to pay to induce State-chartered depository institutions to become members of the Federal Reserve System. On the other hand, a strong case has not been made to demonstrate that the payment of interest on reserves as proposed will in fact solve the problem of attrition. Since the purpose of the payment of interest on reserves held at the Fed is to make Fed membership more attractive and halt membership attrition, the amount of income derived from such payment would have to be equal to or exceed the earnings on reserves presently available under the State reserve regulations. A recent study of the burden of Fed membership revealed that the heaviest burden is borne by member banks with deposits under $100 million, and that banks with deposits over $1 billion appear to experience a net benefit from System membership. Thus, smaller member banks may operate at a competitive disadvantage relative to the larger ones. This suggests that unless interest payments on reserves are equated with the burden of membership, interest payments are not likely to be an effective instrument to attract new members or in reducing membership attrition. A backdrop to the proposed legislation is the prospect of paying for Fed services. The regulatory proposal to make explicit charges for Fed services could create problems for smal banks; that is, those with assets of $50 million or less. Most of these banks would be exempt from the reserve requirements, and presumably under our reading of the statute would not be receiving any interest payment from the Fed. However, they, as members, would be assessed charges for services provided by the Fed. Under these circumstances, small banks are not likely to be attracted to membership in the Fed since they would probably opt for obtaining these services through their correspondent banks. Fed services may be attractive, but if a bank can obtain all of those services plus many more from its correspondent, it would be sacrificing earnings to be in the System. The only unique service offered by the Fed is access to the discount window, but a large number of banks have found that this service is not an adequate inducement to remain members. The thrust of the proposed legislation appears to be directed at holding in the Federal Reserve System the 1,003 State-chartered members of the System and inducing the remaining 8,600 State-chartered nonmember banks to join the System. Most nonmember State-chartered banks are relatively small institutions as revealed by the fact that in 1976 there were 11,800 banks with assets under $50 million accounting for 82 percent of all banks in the United States. If, as some studies have shown, small banks bear a heavier burden of Fed membership than larger banks, the inducements offered to the smaller banks to join or retain membership in the Fed should take https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 177 account of these differences of membership burden. We do not believe the proposed legislation meets this requirement. Turning next to H.R. 12706, which would provide for the pricing of Federal Reserve System services and the payment of interest on reserves, we believe the bill attempts to give sufficient study to the proposal before putting it into effect. Of course, this implicitly precludes any prospect of explicit pricing until the studies are concluded. While authorizing the Fed to pay interest on reserves, the bill requires the Board to prepare a feasibility study and transmit it to Congress not later than July 1, 1981. We believe this is a constructive approach. H.R. 12706 will hamstring the Fed in pricing services by mandating explicit pricing to include both direct and indirect costs. This could make membership very unattractive, especially if the Fed could not respond to market pressures caused by other correspondents providing like services. The proposed amendments to H.R. 12706 seek to address some of the concerns we have identified above. First, by reducing the amount of interest to be paid to income and earnings, there would be no drain on the U.S. Treasury. Second, there would be no universal reserve requirements imposed on nonmember banks,,and there would be a statutory exemption of the first $10 million in transactions accounts, both consistent with the goal of reducing the burdens of membership and enhancing the competitive posture of small independent banks. Third, a universal reporting requirement would be imposed to provide current reliable information in order to effectuate monetary policy. We question whether or not an enhancement of the current reporting program involving nonmember banks will provide all the information necessary without imposing a new regulatory paperwork burden on small banks. On the other hand, we believe more attention needs to be given to the proposed amendments which wrenches from the Fed the flexibility to set reserve requirements and the discount rate. On balance, we cannot endorse any of the bills proposed under consideration since we are not convinced that they will achieve the stated objectives. Furthermore, we are not convinced that such legislation is necessary to prevent System attrition or that the Fed's ability to manage monetary policy requires that all depository institutions maintain reserves in the Fed. To improve the Fed's capability to manage monetary policy it may only be necessary to authorize it to obtain summary statistics on assets and liabilities of all depository institutions as proposed in an amendment to the Stanton bill. Another proposal which warrants consideration short of the sweeping proposal of the Fed is that offered by the board of directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. This proposal would allow member banks to invest a portion of their required reserves in Government securities owned by the Federal Reserve. Individual banks would be allowed to choose specific issues from https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 178 the variety of maturities in the Federal Reserve's portfolio of U.S. Government securities. All purchases and sales of securities for reserve purposes would be made with the Federal Reserve at money market prices. The securities would be held by the Federal Reserve in a safekeeping account maintained for reserve purposes. The proposed amendment requiring a feasibility study of such a proposal seems appropriate. Another proposal suggested the creation of a new type of affiliated membership, which would make membership more attractive, particularly to smaller banks, by reducing some of the burdens of membership. Under this proposal the requirement to purchase stock in the Fed would be eliminated; access to the discount window would be provided at a rate above that charged full members; and the reserves required would be based on a clearing formula but not above those requirements for members. If Congress is concerned that the Fed may take precipitous action in the event no legislation passes before the end of the session, the answer to us is to pass a resolution putting this first on next year's agenda while prohibiting any implementation. There will be time to have the Congress, the Fed and all the various interest groups analyze the impacts and identify unreasonable courses of action. We believe that if the Fed is sincere in enhancing membership, there is one free way to do it. Over the years many members of our association have gotten the impression that there is a deep-seated Fed prejudice against small independent banks. These prejudices have been manifested in a number of ways. In a study done by this very committee it is clear, for instance, that the boards of the district banks are heavily weighted in favor of individuals sensitized to big banks rather than small banks. Furthermore, a historical review of the administration of the Bank Holding Company Act suggests a nonrecognition of the importance of this corporate structure as a means of transferring bank ownership. In short, you can catch more flies with honey than with vinegar. If there is any message that we urge on the members of the committee today, itis to go slow. Certainly it is appealing to many of our member banks to receive interest on reserves. Yet a concern of the unknown, pricing, suggests caution. If the Congress would seek to enhance membership rather than just give the Fed the tools necessary to effectuate monetary policy, ·an the costs should be known. We have not seen the specific proposals, and we understand the committee has not, either. If a package of proposals will achieve the result, they should all be carefully studied, not rushed through. The vast majority of our member banks are the purported beneficiary of these proposals. They have not had•a chance to understand what has been proposed, much less respond to either us or the committee directly. In all fairness, they need the chance to reflect and we urge you to give them that opportunity. Our doubts as to the effectiveness of the proposed legislation in https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 179 meeting the attrition problem are heightened by the facts revealed in a study analyzing Federal Reserve System attrition since 1960. That study found the principal factors contributing to Fed attrition to be a tendency of de novo banks to remain outside the System, and a pattern of more mergers and absorptions of member banks than nonmembers with most of the merged and absorbed banks having been acquired by other member banks. The bulk of deposit attrition has been due to a more rapid rate of internal deposit growth on the part of the nonmember sector, including the growth of de novo nonmember banks chartered since 1960, resulting in a relative increase in the average size of nonmember banks. The study concluded that without any reduction in the burden of Fed membership, the pattern of net system withdrawals, as well as the preference of de novo banks for nonmember status, may be expected to continue. Moreover, recent withdrawals of member bank subsidiaries by several multibank holding companies portend increased withdrawal activity on the part of multibank holding companies. Given the large size of multibank holding company member banks, such an increase in withdrawal activity could mean a further acceleration of deposit attrition. To slow and possibly turn around the pace of aggregate deposit attrition, the burden of System membership, according to the study, must not only be eliminated but must be converted to a net benefit in order to encourage both ongoing nonmembers and de novo banks to join the System. Our analysis of the proposed legislation leads us to the conclusion that it will not meet this test. Thank you. [The prepared statement of Mr. Campbell, on behalf of the Independent Bankers Association of America, follows:] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 180 STATEMENT OF THE INDEPENDENT BANKERS ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA ON H.R. 13476, THE RESERVE REQUIREMENTS ACT OF 1978 H.R. 13477, THE INTEREST ON RESERVES ACT OF 1978 H.R. 12706, THE FEDERAL RESERVE MEMBERSHIP ACT OF 1978 BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON BANKING, FINANCE AND URBAN AFFAIRS https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis OF THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES JULY 31, 1978 181 Mr. Chairman, my name is Raymond D. Campbell. I am first vice president of the Independent Bankers Association of America, and president of the Oberlin Savings Bank Company, Oberlin, Ohio. I appreciate the opportunity to appear before this Committee on behalf of the 7,300 members of IBAA to present our views on the proposals relating to the payment of interest on reserves held by the Federal Reserve banks and the explicit pricing of Federal Reserve System services. IBAA is comprised of a large number of relatively small community banks. More than 80 percent of our banks have assets of $25 million or less and over two-thirds are located in towns of under 5,000 population. Most of our members are found in the mid- dle third of the country comprising the major agricultural states, consequently our banks are deeply involved in meeting the credit needs of agriculture, small business, rural housing and the consumer. In 1976, for example, commercial banks with assets of $25 million or less supplied almost half the credit extended to agriculture by all of the nation's commercial banks. Thus, by sup- plying a major share of bank credit to rural communities, our banks make a considerably larger contribution to the nation's economic well-being than their size and share of commercial banking assets might suggest. We appreciate the opportunity to testify on the proposed legislation to enable the Federal Reserve Board to pay interest on reserves held at Federal Reserve Banks and to sanction the payment of explicit charges rendered depository institutions by the Federal https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 182 Reserve System. However, I should point out that the con- straints imposed by the timing of these hearings has limited our ability to assess fully the effectiveness of these proposals in stemming the attrition of Federal Reserve System membership and their impact on the banks comprising our membership. Therefore, I should like you to view our comments as first impressions. We share the concern of the Federal Reserve Board's chairman that attrition of both banks and deposits of membership in the Federal Reserve System has accelerated in recent years and that the failure to halt membership attrition may have severe implications for the ability of the Federal Reserve Board to conduct monetary policy. However, we are not persuaded that legis- lative remedies proposed by the Federal Reserve Board will provide the necessary inducements to attract non-members to join the Federal Reserve System or persuade members to remain in the system. Let me turn, then, to the specific pieces of legislation being considered by this Committee. The first proposed bill, H.R. 13476, would amend the Federal Reserve Act to provide for the maintenance of reserves against transaction accounts in Federal Reserve Banks by all federally insured depository institutions. It is, in effect, a mandatory universal reserves statute requiring commercial banks, mutual savings banks, savings and loan associations and credit unions to maintain reserves at Federal Reserve Banks against demand deposits and all other transaction accounts. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 183 The bill would exempt from the reserve requirements, subject to such rules and regulations as may be adopted by the Board, the first $5 million of transaction accounts of a depository institution. Reserves meeting the statute's requirements are to be in the form of balances in the Federal Reserve bank of which it is a member or at which it maintains an account; or balances maintained by a non-member depository institution in a member bank or in a Federal Home Loan Bank maintaining such funds in the form of balances in a Federal Reserve bank of which it is a member or at which it maintains an account. IBAA has long been opposed to legislation which would make it mandatory for all banks to maintain reserves in the Federal Reserve System. Although national banks comprise about 27 per- cent of IBAA's membership, 73 percent are state chartered banks, of which a small minority are members of the Fed. State chartered banks favor the freedom to join or not to join the Federal Reserve System. Furthermore, the exemption purportedly provided for the first $5 million in transaction accounts is purely illusory in that there is broad statutory authority given the Board to impose reserves on even these deposits. It is our deep concern that the mandatory reserve requirement would superimpose federal regulation over state chartered depository institutions and so erode state regulation as to ultimately lead to complete federal control. Another proposal in this package of legislation is H.R. 13477, which would authorize the payment of interest on reserve balances held in any Federal Reserve bank. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis It would authorize the Federal 184 Reserve banks to pay a total amount of interest in any one year up to the sum of: (a) total receipts from the recipients of such interest for services rendered by Federal Reserve banks; and (b) 7 percent of the total net earnings of the Federal Reserve banks computed without regard to the payment of such interest; but with a ceiling rate of 2 percent per annum on reserve balances· in excess of $25 million. As to the latter (b), the Board is now seeking deletion of this section. The cost to the U.S. Treasury of such interest payments could be a very high price to pay to induce state chartered depository institutions to become members of the Federal Reserve System. There is no assurance that the rate of interest to be paid on reserves will constitute sufficient inducement for non-member institutions to join the Fed or to enjoin Fed members from defecting. A strong case has not been made to demon- strate that the payment of interest on reserves as proposed will, in fact, solve the problem of attrition. Since the purpose of the payment of interest on reserves held at the Fed is to make Fed membership more attractive and halt membership attrition, the amount of income derived from such payment would have to be equal to or exceed the earnings on reserves presently available under state reserve regulations. A recent study of the burden of Fed membership revealed that the heaviest burden is borne by member banks with deposits under $100 million and that banks with deposits over $1 billion appear to experience a net benefit from system membership. Thus smaller member banks may operate at a competitive disadvantage relative to the larger y ones. This suggest that unless interest payments on reserves are equated with the burden of membership, interest payments are not likely to be an effective instrument to attract new mem1 Robert E. Knight, "Comparative Burdens of Federal Reserve Member and Nonmember Banks", Monthly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, March 1977, p.27. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 185 bers or in reducing membership attrition. The lack of precise data on the net costs of this proposal to the Treasury leads us to urge caution in setting the permissible interest rate limits too high. On the other hand, the setting of rates of return on reserves too low would make membership unattractive and thus defeat one of the basic purposes of the legislation. A backdrop to the proposed legislation is the prospect of paying for Fed services. The regulatory proposal to make ex- plicit charges for Fed services could create problems for small member banks, i.e.,those with assets of $50 million or less. Most of these banks would be exempt from the reserve requirements and presumably, under our reading of the statute, would not be receiving any interest payment from the Fed. However, they as members would be assessed charges for services provided by the Fed. Under these circumstances small banks are not likely to be attracted to membership in the Fed since they would probably opt for obtaining these services through their correspondent banks. Fed services may be attractive but if a bank can obtain all of those services plus many more from its correspondent it would be sacrificing earnings to be in the system.LI The only unique service offered by the Fed is access to the discount window but a large number of banks have found that this service is not an adequate inducement to remain members. The effect of the payment of service charges on small banks is difficult to predict since it cannot be determined whether they would continue to obtain most of these services through their correspondent banks as an offset against compensating balances or 2 Ronald D. Watson, Donald A. Leonaid, Nariman Behravesh, "The Decision to Withdraw: A Study of Why Banks Leave the Federal Reserve System," Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Research Paper No. 130, Sept. 1977. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org32-972 0 • Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 78 • 13 186 whether the correspondent banks would pass these explicit charges through to their respondents in addition to the income earned on compensating balances. It seems certain that correspodent banks would be likely to adjust their compensating balance requirements upward to pass through some of the explicit charges assessed against them by the Fed for services. Thus small banks are not likely to obtain any benefits from the payment of interest on reserves but could be required to pay more for services performed by the Fed. The thrust of the proposed legislation appears to be directed at holding in the Federal Reserve System the 1,003 state chartered members of the system and inducing the remaining 8,600 state chartered non-member banks to join the system. Most non-member state chartered banks are relatively small institutions as revealed by the fact that in 1976 there were 11,800 banks with assets under $50 million accounting for 82 percent of all banks in the U.S. If, as some studies have shown, small banks bear a heavier burden of Fed membership than larger banks, the inducements offered to the smaller banks to join or retain membership in the Fed should take account of these differences of membership burden. We do not believe the proposed legislation meets this requirement. Turning next to H.R. 12706, which would provide for the pricing of Federal Reserve System services and the payment of interest on reserves we believe the bill attempts to give sufficient study to the proposal before putting it into effect - of course this implicitly precludes·any prospect of explicit pricing until the studies are concluded. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 187 While authorizing ~he Fed to pay interest on reserves the bill requires the Board to prepare a feasibility study and transmit it to Congress not later than July 1, 1981. We believe this is a contructive approach. H.R. 12706 will hamstring the Fed in pricing services by mandating explicit pricing to include both direct and indirect costs. This could make membership very unattractive, especially if the Fed could not respond to market pressures caused by other correspondents providing like services. The proposed amendments to H.R. 12706 seek to address some of the concerns we have identified above. First, by reducing the amount of interest to be paid to income and earnings, there would be no drain on the U.S. Treasury. Second, there would be no universal reserve requirements imposed on non-member banks, and there would be a statutory exemption of the first $10 million in transactions accounts, both consistent with the goal of reducing the burdens of membership and enhancing the competitive posture of small independent banks. Third, a universal reporting re- quirement would be imposed to provide current and reliable information in order to effectuate monetary policy. We question whether or not an enhancement of the current reporting program involving non-member banks will provide all the information necessary without imposing a new regulatory paperwork burden on small banks. On the other hand, we believe more attention needs be given to the proposed amendments which wrenches from the Fed the flexability to set reserve requirements and the discount ;rate. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 188 Indeed, the proposals before this committee are a mixed bag of monumental import. On balance we cannot endorse any of the bills proposed under consideration since we are not convinced that they will acheive the stated objectives. Furthermore, we are not convinced that such legislation is necessary to prevent system attrition or that the Fed's ability to manage monetary policy requires that all depository institutions maintain reserves in the Fed. To im- prove the Fed's capability to manage monetary policy it may only be necessary to authorize it to obtain summary statistics on assets and liabilities of all depository institutions as proposed in an amendment to the Stanton bill. Another proposal, short of the sweeping proposal of the Fed which warrants consideration, is that offered by the Board of Directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. This proposal would allow member banks to invest a portion of their required reserves in government securities owned by the Federal Reserve. Individual banks would be allowed to choose specific issues from the variety of maturties in the Federal Reserve's portfolio of U.S. government securities. All pur- chases and sales of securities for reserve purposes would be made with the Federal Reserve at money market prices. The securities would be held by the Federal Reserve in a safekeeping account maintained for reserve purposes. LI The proposed amendment requiring a feasibility study of such a proposal seems appropriate. Another proposal suggested the creation of a new type of "affiliated" membership, which would make membership more attractive 3 "A proposal for Enhancing the Attractiveness of Membership in the Federal Reserve System." A report by the Board of Directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, June 1977. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 189 particularly to smaller banks, by reducing some of the burdens of membership. Under this proposal the requirement to purchase stock in the Fed would be eliminated; access to the discount window would be provided at a rate above that charged full members; and the reserves required would be based in a clearing formula but not above those requirements for members. At this juncture we feel that the point and counterpoint that seems to be rushing this legislation along ought to be resisted. We feel ·the issues have been blurred and the net losers will be those who are intended as beneficiaries. Important questions need be asked such as whether the immediate goal is to enhance Fed membership or to provide the Fed with the tools necessary to effectuate monetary policy. cross purposes. Some of the proposals seem to be at In short, what is the rush? If Congress is concerned that the Fed may take precipitous action in the event no legislation passes before the end of the session, the answer to us is to pass a resolution putting this first on next year's agenda while prohibiting any implementation. There will be time to have the Congress, the Fed and all the various interest groups analyze the impacts and identify unreasonable courses of action. We believe that if the Fed is sincere in enhancing membership, there is one free way to do it. Over the year many members of our Association have gotten the impression that there is a deep seated Fed prejudice against small independent banks. prejudices have been manifested in a number of ways. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis These In a study 190 done by this very committee it is clear, for instance, that the boards of the district banks are heavily weighted in favor of individuals sensitized to big banks, rather than small banks. Furthermore, historical review of the administration of the bank holding company act suggests a nonrecognition of the importance of this corporate structure as a means of transferring bank ownership. In short, you can catch more flies with honey than with vinegar. If there is any message that we urge on the members of the committee today, it is to go slow. Certainly, it is appealing to many of our member banks to receive interest on reserves. concern of the unknown--pricing--suggests caution. Yet a If the Congress would seek to enhance membership rather than just give the Fed the tools necessary to effectuate monetary policy, all the costs should be known. We have not seen the specific proposals, and we understand the committee has not either. If a package of proposals will achieve the result, they should all be carefully studied-not rushed through. The vast majority of our member banks are the purported beneficiary of these proposals. They have not had a chance to understand what has been proposed much less respond to either us or the committee directly. In all fairness, they need the chance to reflect and we urge you to give them that opportunity. Our doubts as to the efficacy of the proposed legislation in meeting the attrition problem is heightened by the facts revealed in a study analyzing Federal Reserve System attrition since 1960. That study found the principal factors contributing to Fed attrition to be a tendency of d e ~ banks to remain outside the system; and a pattern of more mergers and absorptions of member banks than non-members with most of the merged and absorbed banks having been https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 191 acquired by other member banks. The bulk of deposit attrition has been due to a more rapid rate of internal deposit growth on the part of the non-member sector (including the growth of de nova non-member banks chartered since 1960), resulting in a relative increase in the average size of non-member banks. The study concluded that without any reduction in the burden of Fed membership, the pattern of net system withdrawals, as well as the preference of de pected to continue. ~ banks for non-member status, may be ex- Moreover, recent withdrawals of member bank subsidiaries by several multi-bank holding companies portend increased withdrawal activity on the part of multibank holding companies. Given the larger size of multibank holding company member banks, such an increase in withdrawal activity could mean a further acceleration of deposit attrition. To slow and possibly turn around the pace of aggregate deposit attrition the burden of System membership according to the study must not only be eliminated but must be converted to a net benefit in order to encourage both on-going 4 I non-members and de nova banks to join the System.- Our analysis of the proposed legislation leads us to the conclusion that it will not meet this test. 4 · John T. Rose, An Analysis of Federal Reserve System Attrition Since 1960, Federal Reserve Board Staff Economic Study, December 1977. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 192 Mr. MITCHELL. Thank you very much. Mr. Hill. STATEMENT OF RICHARD D. HILL, PRESIDENT, ASSOCIATION OF RESERVE CITY BANKERS, CHAIRMAN, THE FIRST NATIONAL BANK OF BOSTO;N Mr. HILL. Thank you. Mr. Chairman, members of the committee, I appreciate this opportunity to present my views to your distinguished committee on three quest'ions which you have posed in connection with your examination of the membership problem within the Federal Reserve System. The Association of Reserve City Bankers was organized in 1913, shortly after the passage of the legislation which established the Federal Reserve System. Its membership is comprised of nearly 400 executive officers from over 160 banks located in the principal cities of the United States, usually called reserve cities. The vast majority of our members are members of the Federal Reserve System, and they all conduct a correspondent banking business. While I believe my views are reasonably representative of those of a majority of the members of our association, you should understand that contrary to the popular perception of bankers as possessing herd instincts, they are, indeed, difficult to corral on legislative matters. The first question has to do with the need for membership in the System. We all agree that the membership base is eroding, but is this truly harmful to the public interest i The Governors of the Federal Reserve Board believe that this erosion of membership hampers the exercise of monetary policy and I think we all agree that the proper exercise of monetary policy is an indispensable portion of their responsibilities. Learned economists disagree among themselves as to the relationship between member bank reserve balances and control over the money stock. Some say there is none, some attribute a partial relationship and others consider it essential. These same economists, incidentally, express widely different opinions with respect to the effects of monetary policy on the country's economy and, of course, they rarely achieve a consensus with respect to the actions of the Open Market Committee. I take comfort in the historic record of general stability in the banking system since the establishment of the Federal Reserve System compared to that which existed before. This leads me to place a high value on the purpose and structure of this institution which, with all its faults, has served us well. The structure is based upon widespread membership of commercial banks accounting for a major share of transaction deposits and upon the exercise of monetary policy through their reserve balances. Therefore, I conclude with utter simplicity that. until we be ready to reexamine the entire purpose and structure of the. System, and this would take several years, we should be deeply concerned with the erosion of membership and should try to arrest it. There is, of course, another important aspect to the membership problem, and that has to do with the availability of the discount window. Small- and medium-sized banks having decided to leave the Sys- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 193 tern are able to obtain lines of credit from correspondent banks but they are assured of their correspondent's ability to obtain their liquidity, if needed, from the lender of the last resort-namely, a Federal Reserve bank. There are ways for loans to be made to nonmembers, but these are at higher rates and somewhat cumbersome as they require a vote of the Board of Governors. The ghost of Federal Joans or guarantees of Lockheed and the city of New York may well hover over these decisions whereas member bank access to the discount window is usually quite routine. My comments on explicit charges for Federal Reserve services and on the pricing of these services are based on the following conclusions: One, consideration of pricing should only be made after a decision has been reached on interest on reserve balances. To charge member banks for Federal Reserve services without offsetting the cost burden of holding non-interest-bearing reserves would only heighten the problem of membership. Two, as a matter of principle, it should be unnecessary for the Federal Government or any agency thereof to compete with the private sector unless the private sector is unable or unwilling to provide an essential service to society. Three, the principle of unbundling costs and benefits is sound in that it eliminates the subsidization of any economic activity. It allows benefits and prices to flow in an objective and equitable basis and in the long run allows the free market to function properly. Four, the services to be priced are those presently being offered by the System; namely, check collection. currency and coin, wire transfer, noncash collection -and safekeeping of securities. The Federal Reserve should price its services on a full cost basis, including variable costs, fixed costs and overhead costs as well as a reasonable return on capital, and there should be a complete description and cost for each service. In pricing the check service, consideration must be given to not only price but ·also the availability. of funds. The Federal Reserve should not allow the further creation of float by giving availability; that is, investable funds before they have received good funds -from the paying bank. The payments systems today-by that I mean the check system as well as currency and coin-functions either through the correspondent bank network or throu~h the Federal Reserve System with a great deal of interaction between the two. It allows users to choose between institutions offering these services to enable them to maximize their benefits in the payments system. Tlrnt choice should remain. Obviously there will be an impact on the correspondent banking svstem and bankers presently offering these services for cash or demand deposit balances will be atfected in varying degrees. However, we are a resourceful industry and we have had many yen.rs of experience meeting competition and adjusting our services qn;cklv to the needs of our customers. . Jn other words, we do not fear this threatened competition except to the extent that prices are subsidized to levels below those set in free competition among the market participants. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 194 It must be obvious from these remarks that it will be difficult to rally widespread support from our members for the Federal Reserve proposals under discussion until the pricing policies are clearly enunciated •and understood. In general, however, we support the principal of unbundling and of separating the benefits from the costs. Finally, I have been asked to comment on the proposal to pay interest to member ham.ks on required reserves. This is, of course, the key to the solution of the membership problem and is an issue which should have been resolved many years ago when the apparent cost to the Treasury would have been de mmimis and the consequent political difficulty much less an obstacle than it is today. In effect, the marketplace has overtaken the inequilibrium in our central banking system and more and more banks are turning to their other choice; namely, a more economically feasible State system. Congress could stop this by fiat but again the political realities surrounding our dual banking system will make this difficult, if not impossible. Bankers have long urged recognition by the Board of the equity of paying for reserves which, after all, are valuable deposits on which the Federal Reserve earns a great deal of money. They have felt-and still do-that inasmuch as the reserves are based upon their own liabilities, most of which they solicited from customers by their own efforts, they should have the economic reward accruing on them instead of paying it as an extra tax for the right to conduct a banking business. While we very much support the principle advanced in the Federal Reserve proposal we have to say that the suggested stratification of interest to be paid-namely, a market rate on the first $25 million of required reserves and a much, much lower rate on the excess-is a concession to politics rather than to the equity of the matter. Studies conducted for the Federal Reserve System seem to say that the cost of membership weighs more heavily on the small banks than on the larger ones, and this is the published rationale for favoring the former in the allocation of interest payments. Part of the argument was based upon a mistaken idea that in accepting demand deposits from respondent banks in payment for services, there was a residue of these deposits over and beyond the amount necessary to provide adequate compensation to the correspondent. I,n today's competitive market,. this is simply not so. In fact, the accounts are often inadequate. A recent study just completed by Prof. George Bentson, of the University of Rochester, which shortly will be available to this committee, rather strongly refutes the premise of a proportionally greater burden of membership on the smaller banks. I do, therefore, urge the Congress to give heed to the fairness doctrine in deciding how to allocate the interest payments. Thank you for permitting me to make these observations on behalf of the association which I represent. I will be happy to answer any questions within the scope of my limited knowledge of this sometimes abstruse subject. [Mr. Hills' prepared statement, on behalf of the Association of Reserve City Bankers, follows:] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 195 PREPARED STATEMENT OF RICHARD D. HILL I appreciate this opportunity to present iey views to your distinguished carmittee, Mr. Chairman, on three questions which you have posed in connection with your examination of the nenbership problem within the Federal Reserve System. While I believe iey views are reasonably representative of those of a majority of the melri:lers of our Association, you should understand that contrary to the popular perception of bankers as possessing herd instincts, they are, indeed, difficult to corral on legislative matters. '!he first question has to do with the need for membership in the System. We all agree that the membership base is eroding-but is this truly hannful to the public interest? The Governors of the Federal Reserve Board believe that this erosion of rrerrbership hampers the exercise of m:inetary policy and I think we all agree that the proper excercise of m:inetary policy is an indispensible portion of their responsibilities. Learned econanists disagree anong themselves as to the relationship between member bank reserve balances and control over the money stock. Sare say there is none, sane attribute a partial relationship and others consider it essential. These sa!l'e econanists, incidentally, express widely different opinions with respect to the.effects of m:inetary policy on the country's econany and, of course, they rarely achieve a concensus with respect to the actions of the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Open Market carmittee. 196 I take can.fort in the historic record of; general stability in the banking system since the establishment of the Federal Reserve System caq,ared to that which existed before. This leads ll'e to place a high value on the purpose and structure of this institution which, with all its faults, has served us well. The structure is based upon widespread membership of carrrercial banks accounting for a major share of transaction deposits and upon the exercise of 11Dnetary policy through their reserve balances. 'Iherefore, I conclude with utter sillpicity that until we are ready to re-examine the entire purpose and structure of the system (and this would take several years) we should be deeply concerned with the erosion of membership and should try to arrest it. '!here is, of course, another important aspect to the membership problem and that has to do with the availability of the discount window. Small and rredium-sized banks having decided to leave the ey,stem are able to obtain lines of credit fran co=espondent banks but they are assured of their co=espondent's ability to obtain their liquidity, if needed, fran the lender of last resort, namely a Federal P.eserve Bank. There are ways for loans to be made to non-nerbers but these are at higher rates and sarewhat cimberscme , as they require a vote of the Board of Governors. The ghost of Federal loans or guarantees of I.o::kheed and the City of New York nay well hover over these decisions whereas rrember bank access to the discount window is usually quite routine. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -2- 197 1:fy' ccmnents on e,cplicit charges for Federal Reserve services and on the pricing of these services are based on the following conclusions: 1. Consideration of pricing should only be made after a decision has been reached on interest on reserve balances. To charge member banks for Federal Reserve services without offsetting the cost burden of holding non-interest bearing reserves would only heighten the problan of membership. 2. As a matter of principal, it should be unnecessary for the Federal government or any agency thereof to ~ t e with the private sector unless the private sector is unable or unwilling to provide an essential service to society. 3. 'lll.e principal of unbundling costs and benefits is sound in that it eliminates the subsidization of any econanic activity. It allows benefits and prices to fla-, in an objective and equitable basis and in the long run allows the free market to function properly. 4. The services to be priced are those presently being offered by the Sytan--nanely, check-collection, currency and coin, wire transfer, non-cash collection and safekeeping of securities. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -l- 198 The Federal Reserve should price its ser:vices on a full cost basis, including variable costs, fixed costs and overhead costs as well as a reasonable retuni on capital; and there should be a canplete description and cost for each service. In pricing the check service, consideration must be given to not only price but also the availability of funds. The Federal Reserve should not allow the further creation of float by giving availability; i.e. , investible funds before they have received good funds fran the paying bank. The payroonts system today, by that I m:an the check system as well as =rency and coin, functions either through the co=espondent bank network or through the Federal Reserve System with a great deal of interaction between the bio. It allows users to choose betl--een institutions ·offering these services to enable them to maximize their benefits in the payroonts system. That choice should rerrain. Obviously there will be an im;iact on the co=es=dent banking system and bankers presently offering these ser:vices for cash or derrand deposit balances will be affected in varying degrees. However, we are a resourceful industry and we have had many years of experience m:eting canpetition and adjusting our services quickly to the needs of our custan:rs. In other words we do not fear this threatened canpetition except to the extent that prices are subsidized to levels below those set in free canpetition arrong the market participants. It must be obvious from these rerrarks that it will be difficult to rally https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -4- 199 widespread support fran our members for the Federal Reserve proposals tmder discussion tmtil the pricing policies are clearly enunciated and tmderstood. In general, however, we support the principal of unbundling and of separating the benefits fran the costs. Finally, I have been asked to corment on the proposal to pay interest to member banks to on required reserves. This is, of course, the key the solution of the membership problem and is an issue which should have been resolved many years ago when the apparent cost to the Treasury would have been de minirois and the c ~ t political difficulty IIU.lCh less an obstacle than it is today. In effect the market place has overtaken the inequilibritnn in our central banking system and m:,re and m:,re banks are turning to their other choice, nanely a m:,re econanically feasible state system. Congress could stop this by fiat but again the political realities surrounding our dual banking system will make this difficult, if not i.rcp:)ssible. Bankers have lorg.urged recognition by the Board of the equity of paying for reserves which, after all, are valuable deposits on which the Federal Reserve earns a great deal of noney. They have felt--and still do-that inasmuch as the reserves are based upon their own liabilities, m:,st of which they solicited fran custaners by their own efforts, they should have the econanic reward accruing on them instead of paying it as an extra tax for the right to conduct a banking business. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -s- 200 While -we very IIDlCh support the principle advanced in the Federal Reserve proposal -we have to say that the suggested stratification of interest to be paid, namely a market rate on the first $25 million of required reserves and a IID.lCh, IIDlCh lower rate on the excess is a concession to politics rather than to the equity of the matter. Studies =nducted for the Federal Reserve System seem to say that the cost of membership weighs irore heavily on the small banks than on the larger ones, and this is the published rationale for favoring the fo:cner in the allocation of interest payments. Part of the a.rgunent was based upon a mistaken idea that in accepting demand deposits fran respondent banks in payment for services, there was a residue of these deposits over and beyond the anount necessary to provide adequate c:arpensation to the correspondent. In today' s canpetitive market this is silllply not so, in fact, the accounts are often inadequate. AJ recent study just cc:rrpleted by Professor George Benston, of the university of Rochester, which shortly will be available to this Ccmnittee, rather strongly refutes the premise of a proportionally greater burden of membership on the smaller banks. I do, therefore, urge the Congress to give heed to the fairness doctrine in deciding how to allocate the interest payments. Thank you for pennitting me to make these observations on behalf of the Association which I represent and I will be happy to answer any questions within the scope of my limited knowledge of this saretimes abstruse subject. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -6- 201 The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much, Mr. Hill. This concludes the testimony from this panel. Mr. Moorhead? Mr. MOORHEAD. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. It seems to me that from this testimony, a clear point of difference seems to emerge. Mr. Campbell says the burden of membership in the Fed weighs more heavily on the small banks than on the large ones. Whereas, Mr. Hill, you seem to challenge that statement. How can you rationalize your differences and explain them? I must say that at first blush, since the larger banks tend to have a. higher membership percentagewise than the smaller banks, the layman's view would favor Mr. Campbell's conclusion. I would like to be educated further on that. Mr. HILL. In view of the fact that it is the large banks that are still largely in the System, I will answer it first. The larger banks are really captives to the System, Mr. Moorhead. Those who offer correspondent banking services really need entry to the Federal Reserve System in order to provide entry for their customers. ' Furthermore, quite a number of the large banks historically were national banks, who must be members. There is a great deal of imagery resistance in giving up a national bank charter. There is also in some States possibly a concern about the quality of State banking regulations which the large bank would be inheriting. Mr. MooRHEAD. Gentlemen, let us make the assumption, with which you may not agree, but just for purposes of argument, that it would be good national policy-I am not talking about independent bankers or reserve city bankers-but good national policy to discourage the attrition of membership and to encourage membership. Making that assumption, what would you recommend? I know, Mr. Campbell, you said one clear one was the negative attitude of the Fed toward the smaller banks. That is a little hard to legislate, but I would think possibly larger membership might achieve that result. Maybe that is the chicken-or-egg argument. But what concrete proposals would each of you make from possibly different vantage points? What would induce smaller banks to enter the System? What would discourage larger State-chartered banks from withdrawing from the System? We can start with you, Mr. Campbell. Mr. CAMPBELL. The primary reason, Mr. Moorhead, that small banks do not belong to the Fed is because of the cost of membership. That is the primary reason. If some type of structure can be put together whereby a bank could be compensated and have a net benefit through a system of payment of interest on reserve balances and explicit charging, I think that membership would gain in the Fed. I happen to be a State-member bank. I recognize that there are costs involved with that membership. However, we have maintained our membership in the Fed because we believe that we do derive benefit from the association that we have. The Federal Reserve Bank in Cleveland, and the people at that particular Fed, have been very cooperative. They understand our special https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 32-972 0 - 78 - 14 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 202 needs. They have been ·very helpful over the years. For those reasons, Oberlin Savings Bank has not withdrawn. Mr. MoorumAo. Mr. Hill? Mr. HILL. Mr. Moorhead, I believe the reason is, as Mr. Campbell says, purely ,an economic one. There is ,a clear bottom line choice for the middle-sized to larger banks which are in ,a position to withdraw from the System. Under the State systems th~y a.re able 'tJO keep their reserve balances, ei1Jher witlh correspondent blanks, for which they receive services, or in U.S. Government obligations on which they receti.ve a full market ralte of interest. In the Reserve System, of course, there ,are none of these benefits except that we do get all of our check handling, wire transfer services and coin handling services, for nothing. The difference between the ma,rket value of interest on our reserves and the 00$t of the services rendered by the Fed is fairly substantial. It may be for every $100 of cost of services we are giving up $200 in interest payments. So, there is a $100 differential there. So, it seems ,to me thrut the clearest way to stop this attrition is to recognize the monetary value of those reserves, which at one time was quite small, to recognize the value of this and pay it. I very strongly support that aspect of the solution to this problem. Mr. PETERSON. Mr. Moorheiad, I think that one of the difficulties that we have tried to address in our testimony relates to ,the matter of pricing and the confusing studies that have been done. There have been quite a few of them in the last 3 years-on where burdens lie, what kind of pricing will do what, how much interest is required to compensate £or general charges-go right hack to our central point. We don\ want to buy a pig in a poke. That is the problem in answering your question. Mr. :MOORHEAD. My time has expired. When it comes around ,again, I may ask you about whether we address that question you posed, whether we actually need membership in the Fede<ral Reserve System, Mr. Hill. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIBMAN. Thank you. Mr. Stanton? Mr. STANTON. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairm,an. Gentlemen, I wish to welcome you here. I apprecialte your cooperation with the committee on this very important subject. Mr. Chairman, I would be remiss-we always do traditionally-if I didn't ext.end a special welcome, as is my prerogative, to my friend from Oberlm, from tihe greiat State of Ohio, Mr. Campbell. No re,flection, Mr. Hill, but we ·are neighbors, to a degree, in the suburbs of Clevektnd, although Mr. Campbell is in a little bit different direction from Cleveland than I :am. But we are very happy to have you here. Mr. CAMPBELL. Thank you, Mr. Stanton. Mr. 'STANTON. I think Mr. Moorhead asked philosophically ,an interesting question that I will not wait until we get hack to 'him to ask you both. Just how important, forgetting about the position of the independ- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 203 ent bankers and the Reserve bankers, is the Federal Reserve System to our country 1 This idea of membership, is it worth fighting for or is it not 1 Is it not possible that the Fed could a:ffoot monetary policy without any members at all, or ·a significantly lower number of members1 Do you think it is an important subject matter that we are now conducting these hearings on; that is, the loss of membership in the Fed i Is it worth saving, or are we wasting our time 1 I would like to have general comments from bdth of you on that. Mr. CAMPBELL. :Mr. Stanton, Mr. Chairman, we certainly feel :that it is worth saving. Even though we do not borrow from the discount windows, we 1always react to discount window changes because our community is a well-read community, being a collage community, and our people in our community know immediately when there has been a change in the disoount rates. They do reaet in their buying habits. They look at the overall economy very carefully. I think th-at the Fed has a very, very, definite responsibility in monetary policy. However, I could not evaluate how far down in numbers in Fed members we could go without the Fed being a:ffected. But I certainly think that we could be reaching too low in Fed membership if that is necessary. Mr. STANTON. Mr. Hill. Mr. Hn,L. I agree very much with that. Obviously the primary job of the Fed is to conduct monetary policy and-the Fed believes it would be hampered by loss of membership. As I sa,id in my testimony, you could get a whole range of arguments from learned economists. It is a very albstruse series of arguments. Some say there is no connection between membership, reserves, and monetary policy. Others say there is a partial connection. Others say it is a very tight connection, and very necessary. I believe that because of the strubility that has existed in our banking system since the formation of the Federal Reserve System, that it would !be unwise to tamper with this unless we conduct a detailed study of the purposes and structure df the Federal Reserve System, and that this would take several years to do properly. In the meantime, the ship is shinking. So, we probably should plug the hole for the time being. Second, the existence of ,the discount window is very important. We saw this demonstrated during a few crises which took place during the recession, and we also saw how these crises were met very promptly without loss to depositors. Third, the Federal Reserve does play an extremely important part in the whole payments system. Admittedly, they have competitors: namely, correspondent banks. But there ·are a great many services provided, not unlike the Rural Electrification Administration, which provides electricity to areas which the utilities simply cannot handle economicaUy. This is the same with the Fed payments system. They provide a great many services-check handling, clearing services-to areas which economically cannot lbe received by the private sector. They rulso are in the forefront of helping to design new systems for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 204 the future. The Federal Reserve had a great deal to do with the establishment of automated clearing houses, which is a beginning of a reduction in the paperibased system, working toward the eventual elimination of checks with their tremendous economic cost. So, I think in these areas that the Fed is extremely important to our system, 'and I draw the simplistic conclusion from that that we do need membership to support it. Mr. STANTON. One last question this time around, Mr. Hill. This question is asked basically because of your location with.in our country. The problem, you know, has accelerated in recent years, of the drop of membership in the Fed. Of course, your area of New England has led this exodus. In fact, to an alarmingly so rate within the last year, and especially as we get into those banks of $100 million and over. The question comes up that we have not seen anything yet compared to what is going to happen, that there has been, due to this legislation or talk of possible legislation, a holding back of present members leaving the System, until we do see how we do come out. Is this a prevalent attitude, in your opinion, of many members, now members of the System who perhaps are holding back, and who if we have no legislation at all, or we pass over this subject for the time being2 will be leaving the System~ Mr.-HIIL. I ibeilieve from things I have heard in the New England area that ,there are several more banks giving serious consideration to leaving and that possibly they are being persuaded to hold off until Congress makes up its mind as to how to solve the problem. The reason, perhaps, for the larger exodus in New England was that amazing compromise which was achieved for paying interest on checking accounts, which, as you recall, was confined to Massachusetts and Vermont as an experiment. This created a severe economic hardship on a number of banks-the transition did-and caused them to reexamine their bottom lines very carefully. Also, I think it is fair to say that because New England has not achieved the growth of much of the rest of the country, because of its mature economy, the recession bore much more heavily on the New England ibanks. Levels of loan losses were considerably higher, and that had an impact on earnings as well. Mr. STANTON. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The CHAmMAN. Thank you, Mr. Stanton. Mr. Annunzio. Mr. ANNUNZIO. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Hill, you know, this proposition of the Federal Reserve Board losing membership is nothing new in this country. Labor unions are losing membership. Fraternal organizations, among the great ethnics of this country-we can't get the young people interested in joining these old line fraternal organizations. They are just not joiners. Now, as you know, the national banks ·are members of the Federal Reserve System. Wbat the Federal Reserve is attempting to do is to increase their membership in the Federal Reserve System by g-etting these State banks to join their System. As I see this thing, they are holding out some carrots to pay interest rates. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 205 I am chairman of the Consumer Affairs Subcommittee. Will you tell me, Mr. Hill, in the first place, why ,all these banks have to be members of the Federal Reserve System? I don't see the importance of that at all. And tell me, by paying interest rates on deposits to national banksand I know in my own State of Illinois most of the other banks, correspondent banks, have an affiliation with larger banks-how does the consumer fare in all this? Every time we do something in Government it costs you, as a consumer, money. It costs me money. We are notorious for that. How is the consumer going to come out? Mr. HILL. Mr. Annunzio, if our premise is correct, that the Federal Reserve is doing a good job or is supposed to be doing a good job in helping to stem inflation m our country, and if membership is required to help them do this, then I think it is a primary benefit to the consumer, to have a central banking system, which can make its proper contribution toward stability in our prices. Mr. ANNUNZIO. Pardon me. You said membership is required? Mr. HILL. Membership, as you know, sir, is required only for national banks. Mr. ANNUNZIO. National banks, right. Mr. HILL. But there are many State banks which are members of the Federal Reserve System. Mr. ANNUNZIO. Right. Mr. HILL. But it is purely voluntary. Mr. ANNuNz10. Right. Mr. HILL. What I am saying is that I believe if the erosion of membership which is taking place now is going to hamper the exercise of monetary policy on the part of the Fed-therefore, it should be our total concern to try to stop that, so that the Fed can exercise its major responsibility. Mr. ANNUNZIO. Will you explain to me, on the erosion of membership, how we are going to stop this? You are talking now about a closed shop membership. I can see the day will come to Congress when we will have to have a relief for these bankers who object to the closed shop. Mr. HILL. No, sir. Mr. ANNUNZIO. We are voting all the time here on labor unions. Mr. HILL. This would still be voluntary. This simply holds out a carrot to those who are considering leaving membership, or to those who are not in it. Mr. ANNUNZIO. Let us talk about that carrot. What is that going to cost the consumers? I am going to vote on this. I am not the banker and the expert. You are going to teach me today. You are going to tell me why I should vote to give the Fed the authority to sign up these banks who are not members of the Federal Reserve System. How is that going to benefit the consumer? It will benefit the Federal Reserve. They will have more banks. But how is that going to benefit the American public? How is that going to benefit the taxpayers? Is it going to wind up costing them more money? These are the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 206 answers I must have if we pass this legislation, I must go back to my district. Anything as extensive as banking will reflect on the members of this committee first. Convince me as a member of this committee why I should wind up signing myself as an organizer now for the Federal Reserve System. That is what I am doing. Mr. HILL. First, Mr. Annunzio, there should be relatively little economic effect on the banks that are now in the State system and decide to join the Fed. What this is attempting to do is equalize the economic benefits between the cost of being in the Fed and the cost of being in the State system. So, this would simply have the effect of holding the present members so no more would leave. How many new ones would be attracted I cannot say. Mr. ANNUNZIO. What happens to the correspondent banks now? Mr. HILL. The correspondent banks, which I represent, will be affected by this bill. They will 'be affected if the Federal Reserve prices its services below the market price-we are going to lose correspondent ban~s who will say we will use the services of the Fed instead of your services. So, it will affect us. But that is a factor of pricing and competition. All we ask is that the Fed prices recognize the same economic factors that ours do, and that is our cost of doing business. Mr. ANNUNZIO. My time has expired, Mr. Hill. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Mr. Annunzio. Mr. Hyde of Chicago. Mr. HYDE. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Campbell, what is the impact of the reduction in reserve requirements proposed by the Fed? Do small banks find it attractive? If not, why not? Mr. CAMPBELL. We could find that reduction attractive, Mr. Hyde. But we still cannot accept a proposal without knowing more about the pricing of the services that will accompany this change. We are most concerned about the explicit pricing. Mr. HYDE. Does your position reflect the sentiment of all the small banks, Fed members and nonmembers, as far as you know? Mr. CAMPBELL. Again, Mr. Hyde, this legislation is new. We haven't had an opportunity really to determine what the feeling of our members across the Nation might be. Mr. HYDE. How much time do you think that would take, to get a good feeling or a good reaction from your members? Mr. CAMPBELL. We would think that 1t would be April of next year before we could have any conclusive answer. Mr. HYDE. Thank you. I have no further questions. The CHAIBMAN. Mr. Derrick? Mr. DERRICK. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Hill, what part of the erosion do you feel could be attributable to the situation where a large bank chooses to remain in a holding company, subsidiaries drop out, and the large bank enjoys the services of the Fed, while also passing that on to the subsidaries? https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ·207 Mr. HILL. Well, this has been taking place. Some bank holding companies with one or two large members in the System-Mr. DERRICK. We are aware that it has. Mr. HILL [continuing]. Have caused their subsidiaries-Mr. DERRICK. What effect do you feel it might have on the erosion of membership? Mr. Hn,r,. I think that is very much a part of the reason, but their decision is a purely economic one. Mr. DERRICK. I understand that. What they are doing is getting a free ride, so to speak. Mr. HILL. No; the lead hank is the member of the Fed, and is paying !I' heavy price for Fed membership, and then is charging for its services. Mr. DERRICK. Would not the total cost to all of those banks within the holding company be much greater than the price that the one large bank would be paying? Mr. HILL. If they were all members, yes. Mr. DERRICK. So that would be a loss to the Fed. It is certainly a loss in membership. Mr. HILL. That is right. Mr. DERRICK. Do you have any suggestions as to what might be done to cure this ? Mr. HILL. Mr. Derrick, I think the suggestions that are before usnamely, interest on reserves and specific pricing-would solve that problem. I don't think that kind of a problem should be solved by fiat or by law. . I don't think the law should be passed saying that bank holding companies must not allow their banks to leave the Federal Reserve System. Mr. DERRICK. You think that it should be economically advantageous-Mr. HILL. I think it should be a free market decision. Mr. DERRICK. Thank J:OU very much. Mr. Campbell, I don t understand your reasoning in that you feel that the Fed can manage monetary policy just as well with a decreasing membership, or that it is not necessary for membership, the participation of their reserves. I happen to think that the Fed serves a tremendous purpose, as a counterbalance with the Congress in making economic policy. I go to Mr. Annunzio's question, and I appreciated Mr. Hill's re• sponse because certainly the consumer, all of us, would be at a great disadvantage if we did not have this counterbalance, in my opinion. I don't see how you can-would you enlighten me~ Mr. CAMPBELL. Mr. Derrick, I did not intend to say that I felt that we could operate without monetary control from the Fed. We do think it is important. I did state earlier that I had no way to evaluate how f,ar in reduced membership we can go without the Fed losing control although it seems to be getting to be a more serious problem. Mr. DERRICK. On page 8, you say: 1 Furthermore, we are not convinced that such legislation is necessary to prevent System attrition or that the Fed's ability to manage monetary policy requires that all depository institutions maintain reserves in the Fed. I understand that you put "all" in there, but where do you put- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 208 Mr. CAMPBELL. We are referring to this specific legislation, Mr. Derrick. We would be concerned about a tremendous decrease in Fed membership and in the dollars which they control through the Fed System. Mr. DERru:cK. But do you agree, then, that the larger memberslup does give the Fed a more direct impact on monetary policy~ Mr. CAMPBELL. I would agree; yes. Mr. DERRICK. And that erosion would cut back that impact~ Mr. CAMPBELL. Certainly the erosion could be serious, but we are not convinced that this legislaition is the practical way to approach that problem. Mr. DERru:OK. So it is not a, question of whether membership has the impact; it is just the manner in which you approach it, that you disagree with~ Mr. CAMPBELL. That is correct, especially from the standpoint of rushing into these corrections. We feel there should be a delay period for additional study. Mr. DERRICK. I have never found this committee to rush into anything. So I think you can rest easy on that. Mr. PETERSON. Mr. Derrick, I think we have gone over-The CHAIRMAN. Would the witness identify himself~ Mr. PETERSON. I am Richard Peterson, legislative counsel of IBA. We have gone over the studies, going one way or another, as to whether membership attrition really has an impact on the ability of the Board, the Open Market Committee, and the Federal Reserve bank presidents to manage monetary policy. Almarin Philips and his brethren say that membership does not, while a number of others say that it does. I do think, though, that we are in agreement with a statement that, I believe, was made by Chairman Burns last year that the real problem at the Fed is a political one. In short, should membership attrition proceed at a much faster pace, cause unhealthy deterioration in this counterbalance that you were talking about. So we certainly look at it as a political problem. Mr. DERRICK. I thank you very much. Mr. Hill, you referred to several economists with varying opinions on this matter. I have not had the advantage of seeing their views. Would you furnish them 1 Mr. HrLL. I will try to. You may be asking for trouble because there is an awful lot of it. Mr. DERRICK. Well, that is all right, I will look at it just the same. Thank you. Has my time expired 1 The CHAIBMAN. Your time is up. Thank you, Mr. Derrick. Mr. Hannaford. Mr. HANNAFORD. Mr. Chairman, I regret that I was not here for the statements, and I have just one brief question. H.R. 13477 proposes to pay interest on reserves. Is it not true that this legislation would benefit the large banks that are not dissatisfied wiith the Fed and would not do very much good for the smaller banks, and therefore perhaps would miss the mark which is the intended purpose of this legislation. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 209 Mr. Hill, would you respond i Mr. HILL. One of my complaints in my own testimony, Mr. Hannaford, was that the proposal as offered by the Federal Reserve System, that is the payment of market rates of interest on the first $25 million worth of reserves, and a 2-percent rate on the remainder, favors the small banks as opposed to the large banks, and that I believe that the burden of membership lies equally on both the large banks and the small banks. So I think that the legislation, the various bits and pieces of the legislation, suggestions we have before us, basically do favor the small banks, proportionately more than they do the large banks. Mr. HANNAFORD. I have no further questions, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN, Thank you, Mr. Hannaford. Mr. Grassley. Mr. GRAssLEY. Thank you Mr. Chairman. I, too, want to echo the words of Mr. Stanton and say we appreciate your coming out on this Monday morning to testify and give us your judgments on these important bills that are before us. I want to start out by asking Mr. Hill, referring to a statement on page 4 of his testimony. On the fourth line from the bottom, you say: In other words, we do not fear this threatened competition except to the extent that prices are subsidized to levels below those set in free competition among the market participants. I appreciated what you say and probably everybody else does. What the bankers in the private sector fear from the Federal Reserve is that there will be subsidization, or cross subsidization of some of the services in the Federal Reserve to a point where they will be priced so low as to be unfair competition to the private sector i Mr. HILL. That is precisely correct, Mr. Grassley. Mr. GRAssLEY. Well then, maybe I misunderstood that sentence. I assumed that you fear that the pricing between the correspondent banks and the smaller banks is going to be such that there will not be any business for the Federal Reserve. That is not what you are saying here i Mr. H1LL. No. What I am saying is that we recognize that the Federal Reserve, in effect, is in competition now with the correspondent banking services that we offer, and we have, I think, competed effectively with them over the years. If they start pricing for the services, which we do-we charge our correspondents explicit prices for the services we provide-if the Federal Reserve institutes a pricing system which is substantially below their costs of doing this business, then we think it would be unfair competition. We could be priced out of business. Mr. GRASSLEY. OK. Mr. HILL. We do not think any government agency should offer services that can be offered by the free enterprise systems on a subsidized basis below the cost of production. . Mr. GRAsSLEY. OK. Then we are in agreement on that position. This leads me to this Question: From your perspective then, do you see that we have the ability to determine, in a very finite way, what certain costs are in the Federal Rese,rve System so that we can in fact price them so that they are competitive and do not undercut private service https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 210 fees so that we do not have an a{)Counting problem as we do with, for instance, the Postal Service i In the Postal Service, first-class mail is probably subsidizing fourth-class mail and basically it is because the Postal System says that they cannot really account for a lot of thefr overhead so that they can categorize just exactly what the costs arc for first-class mail versus fourth-class mail. We do not want to get into that same problem with the Federal Reserve. Do you think their accounting system is such that they will be able to delineate those costs i Mr. HILL. Yes, I think they can. In the first place. you have to remember there is a large body of banks in the private sector now offering these services and we have finally, it has taken us a long time, but we have finally learned how to determine our own costs. So I think we know almost down to a single check how much it costs us to handle these transactions. Therefore, we could very quickly spot any attempt on the part of the Fed to seriously subsidize these costs because we think we know their costs reasonably well. We know the costs of computers; the systems do not vary widely. I think where our differences of opinion would' come would be on assigning the capital costs of the Fed to these transactions. We have to assign them to our own transactions. That is a difficult pa.rt, but we know how much it costs them to operate, we know what their direct costs are. Mr. GRAsSLEY. Therein may be a problem 8Jld an excuse that would lead to cross subsidization, though not intended, and it probably will not even be very visible. Is that a possibility~ Mr. HILL. That is a possibility, but I think you will have available very many panels of objectors in the private banking system who understand the costs. Mr. GRASSLEY. Let me suggest to you that Thursday Mr. Miller said in commenting on this same point that they are fast approaching that point in cost accounting at which they will be able to make a determination. But he also suggested that for a period of time, and I think it was in terms of a few years-maybe that is not fair for me to make that determination myself without going back over the testimony-but for a period of startup time there may be some costs that are not going to be quite allocable and that may be, in a sense., the start of 8Jl unintended subsidization, that it may be difficult to move away from as time passes. Mr. HILL. Yes, that is a danger. And I recognize that if the Fed were to charge its full costs at the outset, because of their heavy capital cost, that the price they would have to charge using our system of charging could be as much as twice what we charge; there is that possibility. If they were to do that immediately, it would bring about a widespread erosion of their own staff, their check-handling staffs. I think thev would like to phase that in over a longer period of time. • My concern would only be if they price their products clearly below the market level; if they price their products competitively with ours, we will be able to meet the competition. Mr. GRASSLEY. I thank you for your comments. My time is up, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Mr. Pattison. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 211 Mr. PATTISON. Let me follow up on that problem of pricing, because it is very interesting to me. Right now, what is the status of competition between correspondent banks? How do you set your own prices? For instance, do you have correspondent banks who deal with you on the basis of your own prices for your services? Do banks switch around between different correspondent banks? If one correspondent bank raises its prices, is it easy for a bank to say well, your price is too high, I am going to go to bank X. Do you really have a competitive situation so.that you cannot raise your prices when somebody else is charging less? Mr. HILL. Yes. It is quite easy to change a correspondent bank relationship, and they do. We adjust our prices periodioolly based on our costs and a reasonable profit, and then adjust them aga.in to the marketplace. Mr. PATTISON. So if correspondent bank X is operating inefficiently and mises its prices to its correspondents, one of those correspondents could easily say, you have raised your prices but correspondent Y has not raised its price, so I am going to deal with correspondent Y. That obviously keeps the price in line. How do you get a similar kind of mechanism going with the Fed when you do not have that competition; when the Fed-could we have a system, for instance, where a Fed member could say, I am not going to deal with the Fed any more. I will be ·a member of the Fed with explicit pricing but I will go to correspondent bank X to handle my services; I will do away with my discount window? Mr. HILL. At some point the checks would have to enter the Federal Reserve System and go through a correspondent Federal Reserve member bank who would have to pay whatever the price may be. There are competitive systems outside t:he Fed. Mr. PATrISON. I understand that. What you are saying is, everything has to go through the Fed ultimafoly. Mr. HILL. For settlement purposes and a large number of checks which can.not be handled in any other way but through the direct sending route. We can clear a large number of checks that come into our hands in Bo$1:on outside the Federal system through direct sending. Then we settle the balances between t:he two banks through the Federal Reserve System. • Mr. PATTISON. For that you would now under this scheme be pa,ying some explicit charge? , . Mr. HILL. Well, the charge for settlement between accounts m the Fed would be very minimal. Mr. PATTISON. So I guess the question is, suppose the Fed became very inefficient, raises its prices, based upon its costs, based upon a good accounting system but it is very inefficient, how do you control that price? There is no competition, there is no other place to go. Mr. HILL. Of course the Fed would offset the benefits of paying interest on deposits if they raised their prices through inefficiency well above the market price. They would wipe out the economic benefits of membership in the Fed. Mr. PATrISON. So what you are saying is that the major device for controlling the explicit pricing for services on the basis of the Fed would be membership? https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 212 Mr. HILL. That will be a very strong factor. Mr. PATTISON. Perhaps even stronger than their costs? Mr. HILL. Yes. Mr. PATTISON. And the accounting system? Mr. HILL. We are concerned that they might use that competitively too much; in other words, subsidize the price too far berlow their cost of service. That is the one matter that the entire correspondent banking industry will be watching very closely. Mr. PATTISON. Right. So you watch them closely. What do you do about it if there is no legislative requirement that they charge whatever the market is, whatever tha,t means? Mr. HILL. Well, I guess we are suggesting that there be some legislative requirement that their cha,rges, prices be based on their costs, fully determined costs. Mr. PATTISON. Thank you. I have no further questions. The CHAIRMAN. Mrs. Fenwick. Mrs. FENWICK. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I notice on page 3 you speak of "un:bundling costs and benefits." Could you help me with th&t; unbundling the costs and benefits? I hope you did not go into it earlier when I was at anotlher mooting. Mr. HILL. Let me draw an analogy, Mrs. Fenwick. The most famous unbundling exa,mple was conducted by IBM Corp.; when they sold a computer, the price of the computer involved the cost and profit to them of the computer as well as the cost of servicing the computer and providing software. When they unbundled they sepamted these. They said, you will pay one price for the computer and you will pay explicit prices for the services. Mrs. FENWICK. I see. Mr. HILL. This is what we are talking about here. It is a bit of ja,rgon that crept into our language since IBM days. Mrs. FENWICK. Right. Now I would like to explore a little further the carrot Mr. Annunzio referred to. The carrot would be the interest paid on the reserve deposits, right i Mr. HILL. Yes. Mrs. FENWICK. As I understood Mr. Miller the other day, and if I am not correct I hope the chairman or one of my colleagues will correct me, he suggested that the Federal Reserve would pay the cost of the first few years. Now, there are two or three things I would like to know here. Does this mean that the Federal Reserve has hundreds of millions of dollars in its •account that it is not using now that it could use to subsidize these interest payments? Or does it mean that they would come out of the U.S. Treasury funds, tax funds, would therefore be a burden on the taxpayer? How does that operate? I did not have a chance to ask him when it was my turn. Mr. HILL. Mrs. Fenwick, there will be more qualified witnesses from the Fed to discuss this, but I believe what he meant was that because the payment of interest, net of collecting the cost of services, will reduce the earnings of the Federal Reserve System which hitherto have been passed on to the Treasury, that for some period of time the Treasury will try to ease their burden by paying out of their sur- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 213 plus some extra funds. In other words, they will pay a larger dividend to the Treasury than they actually earn ·and take it out of their surplus. Mrs. FENWICK. In other words, you are saying then that the Federal Reserve has a surplus account in the Treasury, is that iH Mr. HILL. No. You have to look at the Federal Reserve as a separate corporation which has its own balance sheet, assets, liabilities, capital, and surplus. Mrs. FENWICK. Yes. Mr. HILL. And I believe the intention is for some period of time to allow their surplus to be reduced. Mrs. FENWICK. What I am trying to-Mr. HILL. But these are funds not in the Treasury but funds under their own ownership. Mrs. FENWICK. So the'y have a separate account. They do not, in other words, when they make money, put it into the General Treasury fund; they keep it in a separate account, is tJhat right? Mr. HILL. I think I will defer to a subsequent witness on the accounting at the Fed. I think-Mrs. FENWICK. What I am trying to find out about are the several hundred millions needed to pay for the carrot, to provide the carrot Mr. Annunzio was talking about. When they are used to pay interest to the banks, does that mean that the Treasury receipts will be lower and therefore that the deficit, unless compensated for by other tax, will be higher? Or does it mean that this will have no effect on the deficit or on the Treasury receipts because the money that the Federal Reserve gets from its member banks is kept in a separate account? That is what I am trying to find out. Who is going to pay for all this? Mr. HILL. Well, first the impact of this would normally be felt on the Treasury, because the Federal Reserve turns over its earnings at the end of the year to the Treasury. Mrs. FENWICK. So therefore reduceMr. HILL. I think they propose, their proposal is to have their earnings reduced by approximately 7 percent, which is somewhere between $450 and $600 million; I cannot remember the figure. Mrs. FENWICK. Right. Mr. HILL. And that amount of money would not be paid to the Treasury and therefore, ¢ven no other factor, would increase the budget deficit of the United States. Mrs. FENWICK. That is what I wanted to know. Mr. HILL. However, a portion of that, of course, would result in increased taxes paid by the banks back to the Treasury; because of higher earnings, they would pay a higher income tax. Furthermore, a strong argument can be made that if this carrot is not held out, then as more and more banks leave the Fed, the Fed's earnings will decline and therefore the Treasury is going to lose this money anyway, as well as losinp;-Mrs. FENWICK. I understand, that was very well explained by Mr. Miller. Mr. HILL. But the last part of it, which is the way the Fed has chosen to ease the transition burden on the Treasury, using surplus https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 214 funds, I would prefer to defer to Federal Reserve witnesses who are here who a,re far more expert than I. Mrs. FENWICK. When you refer to surplus funds, what are you talking about; funds that they do not turn over to the Treasury? In other words, do they divide their receipts into something called surplus funds and something that goes directly to the Treasury? Mr. HILL. Well, these are capital and surplus funds and how the surplus funds arose over th() years I do not know. Mrs. FENWICK. OK, we will have to inquire from Treasury on that. But I wondered, how would it be if instead of all these complicationswith the Treasury losing money-the Federal Reserve, together with the banks, simply decided on some nationwide reserve requirements? Instead of paying interest on reserves, suppose there were uniform requirements so that banking would be sound, without costing the taxpayers anything? How about that? Mr. HILL. Well, that would solve the problem if every bank in the United States which had transaction balances were required to keep equal reserves with the Fed. Then the problem of inequality between the State banks and nonmember banks and member banks would disappear. I did say in my testimony, however, that I believed that politically that would be very difficult to achieve. Mrs. FENWICK. Why? Mr. HILL. Because of the strong feelings of those who espouse the dual banking system, the Conference of State Bank Supervisors, the State Governors. They would believe that this is removing preroga,tives from State government and moving it to Federal Government. Mrs. FENWICK. My time has expired. Thank you very much. The CHAIBMAN. Thank you, Mrs. Fenwick. Mr. Steers. Mr. STEERS. Mr. Hill, in answering Mr. Pattison's questions on the subject of how you price your services, you indicated you charge cost plus a reasonable profit. If the Fed offered prices at cost, how could you compete? Mr. HILL. Mr. Steers, I believe-I think the Fed is concerned, and this is hearsay, I am not sure whether hearsay evidence is allowedI believe that the Fed is concerned that if they priced their product at their full cost, including- all of their oapital costs. that they would become very noncompetitive with the banking system and that they would tend to lose even more membership. Mr. STEERS. Do you mean because they are less efficient? Why would the Fed with its huge resources be less efficient? Mr. HILL. I do not necessarily think they are less efficient. I really do not know, Mr. Steers, but each Federal Reserve bank does have a fairly elaborate building in each one of its reserve cities and subreserve cities, and it was a matter of policy to build these buildings in downtown urban areas, in some cases to help support the local economies rather than build an efficient. pure operating center outside in the suburbs, which many commercial banks have done. So I think the Fed has the cost burden of those fairly large downtown buildings within their structure. Now we have them too, but we have a great many more services, including international loans, installment and wholesale loans over which we can spread those costs. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 215 Mr. STEERS. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. That is all I have. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Mr. Steers. I just have a couple of questions. Mr. Hill, you are chairman of the First National Bank of Boston? Mr. H1LL. That is correct. The CHAIRMAN. When I last resided in Boston, that was a safe and sound institution and I presume it still is. Mr. HILL. It was Friday night when I left. The CHAIRMAN. You also speak on behalf of the Association of Reserve City Bankers¥ Mr . HILL. Yes, sir. The CHAIRMAN. Those are largely correspondent banks, are they not? Mr. HILL. Yes, sir. It was orginally formed in 1913 for that purpose. The CHAIRMAN. How many members do you have now? Mr. HILL. We have about 400 members, Mr. Chairman, individual members. The CHAIRMAN. The Governor of the Federal Reserve, Mr. Philip Coldwell, in his testimony before the U.S. Senate on May 25 of this year said, and I quote : This erosion of membership threatens to weaken our financial eystem as more and more of the Nation's payments and credit transactions are handled outside the safe channels of the Federal Reserve. Now, do you consider you and your correspondent banking channel an unsafe channel? Mr. H1LL. No, sir. If I had-The CHAIRMAN. Or would you take issue with the Federal Reserve on that characterization? Mr. HILL. I would have just left out the word "safe"-The CHAIRMAN. Well, that is Switzerland without the Alps, is it not? Mr. HILL. I see no difference between operating the payment system within the Fed or without the Fed. The CHAIRMAN. I should perhaps confess to something of a conflict of interest here because my father and grandfather were correspondent bankers and they were eminently safe, I can assure you of that. Mr. HILL. As you know, I have a conflict of interest too, because I am a director of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston this year. The CHAIRMAN. Now, on just that point, when a member bank posts reserves with the Federal Reserve, it gets, under the present system, zero interest on those posted reserves, does it not? Mr. H1LL. That is correct. The CHAIRMAN. When a member bank of your correspondent system posts reserves with you, you are prohibited from paying interest to him? Mr. HILL. That is correct. The CHAIRMAN. If the proposal to pay interest on Federal Rese~ reserve-posted requirements went through, your correspondent banking system would be placed at a considerable additional competitive disadvantage, would it not? Mr. HILL. Yes, it would be, there would be additional competition, Mr. Chairman. But we would try to offer services, efficient services, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 216 and hopefully priced properly so the correspondent bank would stay with us and would keep enough deposit balances with us to earn the services which we would provide for him. The CHAIRMAN. Still and all, it might enter his cranium at some time to say, well, the First National Bank of Boston sure does paperwork for us nicely, but they do not pay anything on our correspondent balances and the Fed does, so we will go with the Fed. Mr. HILL, But under the new system, the Fed would also charge for explicit services, as we do now, except we are paid for it in deposit balances. The CHAIRMAN. True, but that is a rough equation, indeed, and the fact would remain that under the Fed's proposal, as opposed to the amendment offered by so many of the members of this committee, you, under the new dispensation, would be competing with an institution which would be allowed, indeed mandated, to collect something like 7 percent of its total receipts by way of payment of interest on. reserves and disburse them to the banks and you would have no eqmvalent method of sweetening your pot; it that not so? Mr. HILL. That_ is correct, except the 7 percent is net of payment of the services that the Fed provides. The CHAIRMAN. Oh, surely. Mr. HILL. And if our services are competitive with the Fed's, then we will try to keep our correspondent banks dealing through us, even though they may maintain reserves with the Fed because they will be paid fully for the reserves they keep with us in terms of services that we give them. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you. . I have one question of Mr. Campbell, who comes here with the blessing, not only of our distinguished ranking member Mr. Stanton, but of a former Congressman, Mr. Mosher, who is a particular friend of mine and I understand is very close to you. I must confess to a little disappointment in the testimony of the Independent Bankers Association of America. For example, the Federal Reserve's proposal, first, as you know, is for universal deposit reserves. Well, that says your tiniest member bank must plunk down a 7-percent interest fee with the Fed. Under the proposed amendment offered by so many members of this committee, and which will be considered as a perfecting amendment to the Stanton bill, independent banks are the particular darlings of that proposal. For example, they would be exempted entirely from any reserve requirement-:' 'Yhatsoever on their first $10 ~ill~on_o_f _demand deposits. It 1s a fact, 1s 1t not, that the average deposit hab1hties of your member banks is on the order of $10 million? You can consult Mr. Peterson if you want. Mr. CAMPBELL. Yes, somewhat on that order, maybe slightly more on the average. The CHAIRMAN. Here we are giving you everything, the proposed amendment gives you free and unlimited, without touching your forelock, access to the discount window, no matter how small you are. I would not quite say, oh, how sharper than a serpent's tongue is an ungrateful independent banker, but I hope when you think about it a little more, you draw a distinction between those who are trying to keep https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 217 alive an independent banking system in this country and those who can think of nothing better than to up the deficit of this Nation now by more than half a billion dollars a year and give most of the benefit to the very large banks, against which I have nothing, but at least I think some attention to the independent banks could have been the subject of a sentence or two in your testimony. Mr. CAMPBELL. Mr. ChairmaJ1, we do appreciate the efforts of members of this committee to provide benefits for the small banks by excluding the first $10 million in transaction accounts. We are primarily concerned with the explicit pricing. We feel that is such an unknown factor and such a complex problem that we would be remiss in representing, as officers of our association, that our rank-and-file people could accept these proposals. It is primarily a problem of timing. The CHAIRMAN. The purpose of these hearings is not to get anyone to ingest every item of a complex proposal; it is to get views on different parts. I take it then that your testimony, as amended, is that the independent bankers would favor the inherent progressivism of the reserve requirement provision contained in the so-called amendment to the Stanton bill? Mr. CAMPBELL. Yes, we would so favor. The CHAIRMAN. But on the business of charging for services, you say, in effect I believe, hold everything in abeyance until the Fed actually tells us what the charges are going to be and then proceed. Mr. CAMPBELL. That is correct, Mr. Chairman. I happen to be a supplier of correspondent bank balances rather than a buyer of such balances. I realize that there is a lot of difference between the pricing methods of various banks. We rarely agree with their methods of pricing of services. We rarely provide the balances that they think we should. But invariably, if we suggest withdrawing by closing our account, they invariably say no; we want you to stay with us. . The CHAIRMAN. The 400 correspondent banks of Mr. Hill's organization, whatever else may be said of them, have to compete against other correspondent banks i Mr. CAMPBELL. Yes, that is correct. The CHAIRMAN. And do they not all 'have nice guys going around their market area i I heard the words "three martini lunches" and that will be stricken from the record. But do they not go around being pleasant, ingratiating people who try to sell you a service because they know they have lots of competition and there are other people that can do the same paper-pushing job i Mr. CAMPBELL. Certainly, Mr. Chairman, they do visit us; they are kind and they are also very helpful. We have been tremendously helped by the major banks in this country, in systems and services and, even though we complain about their charges at times, most generally they are fair. But we are still concerned about the pricing of services through the Fed. The CHAIRMAN. I think you should be, a.nd I will just close this panel by saying that it is not the purpose of the Banking Committee to do in either the independent bankers or the·correspondent bankers. We view them as necessary parts of a very complex system. 32-972 0 • 78 • https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 15 218 Thank you for your help this morning. We will now hear from our second panel, Gov. Philip E. Coldwell of the Federal Reserve, Frank E. Morris, and Beryl W. Sprinkel of Chicago. · Governor Coldwell, I understand you have at least a modest time problem. Can_you tell us what it is? Governor Cor.nwELL. As you probably know, we are shy of Board members, and the Board is waiting for me because I am the quorum member this morning. The CHAIRMAN. It is meeting this morning? Governor COLDWELL. Yes. The CHAIRMAN. Then if there is no objection, I am going to ask Governor Coldwell to proceed and the questioning of Governor Coldwell to proceed, and then we will examine the other two witnesses. Governor Coldwell. Governor COLDWELL. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. The committee staff has requested that I summarize the presentation before you. I will do so under the assumption, of course, that the entire statement will be in the record. The CHAIRMAN. Your statement is, under the rule and.without objection, received in the record. STATEMENT OF HON. PHILIP E. COLDWELL, MEMBER, BOARD OF GOVERNORS, FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Governor COLDWELL. I will make a very short statement then, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate the opportunity to come here and elaborate further on some of the proposals of the Federal Reserve. I would like to specify two particular areas of concern: one on the basic membership question and the other on the pricing of the Federal Reserve services. With regard to the membership issue, there is a lot of discussion about the degree to which the Federal Reserve can afford to have membership continue to erode. I do not think any of us has a specific point in mind at which Federal Reserve monetary policy becomE>s excessively difficult because of the erosion. But I do think there is a broader point to be made, ·which is that the Federal Reserve is making monetary policy for the Nation as a whole and in that effort it should be accorded as much strength and support as it can get in terms of the overall policy for the United States. I do not think anyone really believes that monetary policy is developed just for banks or a limited number of member banks, but if they do, I hope we can disabuse them of the idea. On the pricing question, there are some things which the committee has already discussed with the prior panel to which I would like to address myself. First, I think it is a mistake to consider Federal Reserve payments mechanism services as being precisely those services which the correspondent banks provide. The correspondent banks that I know anything about have a whole kit full of services which they render, which the Federal Reserve does not render-items such as the encoding of checks and the demand deposit accounting of those checks. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis _ 219 Many of the correspondents with whom I have talked also use their payment systems roughly the same as the Federal Reserve does in the sense that there is a gross, overall total of correspondent balances to be maintained in the correspondent bank, and the individual costs of each of the services rendered are seldom specifically spelled out. Mr. Hill said he knows precisely what his costs are. I am pleased to know that, because I have run into too many other banks who do not know that. Another point with regard to Federal Reserve payµients mechanisms is the purpose for which the Federal Reserve is in this field. It is quite true that we do have an operational presence in the payments mechanism, and we do some of the things which the correspondent banks do, b~t we also do a number of other things which I think the committee should bear in mind when we talk about pricing ;federal Reserve services. We operate a regulatory device, partlv through an operational presence but partly through the basic regulation of the payments mechanism. We help enforce standards on MICR encoding and routing number systems, and we help insure that funds' availability are set with regard to the schedule of payments. If our operational presence were reduced entirely, somebody would have to do these public interest jobs. We think it is more desirable for a public body to be in this field and do the job of regulating by such an operational presence. We admit that we could be removed from that, but only at the cost and burden of an excessively tight regulatory examination, investigation, and enforcement program. We are not interested in enlarging our correspondent bank network efforts. We think our operational presence is adequate now and see no reason to enlarge it. But neither do we see the desirability of handing over to a limited number of large correspondent banks the entire operati?nal efforts in the payments mechanism without very careful regulat10n. One of the things that the correspondents perhaps miss is that we maintain a certainty in the payments flows, occasioned by the Federal Reserve's presence in that system, and the check collection float which is the difference between the value of the credit for deposits given by the Reserve banks and the value of the checks collected. If the private sector were to assume the responsibility of passing credit for col1ection in the same schedule, that expense of financing the float would, of course, be a substantial cost to the banking system. I think it is vitally important that the Nation have available a fast, reliable, accurate payments network to support this Nation's monetary policy as well as the needs of banking and commerce. Implementation of monetary policy is facilitated through the Federal Reserve's payments mechanism. We obtain some information through that mechanism which is important in the establishment and continuing handling of monetary policies. A substantial reduction in the role of the Federal Reserve could have an impact on Federal Reserve payments services provided the Treasury, also. If we are going to reduce our personnel, equipment, and manpower, when the commercial bank checks and other payments mechanisms are priced out from under us, as Mr. HiJl suggested, then somebody must https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 220 take over the handling 0£ the Treasur:y collection and transfers which we presently handle with the same eqmpment and personnel. Similarly, the Federal Reserve uses a very complete courier service to deliver all 0£ these checks and electronic funds transfer tapes. I£ we are to cut back on our operational presence, then clearly the courier service is going to have to be provided by somebody else. I want to make it clear that I have no problem with using price, for example, to define the terms of access to services, bring about more efficient use of these services, or even to determine the role 0£ the Federal Reserve in the payments mechanism as long as we do not provide such a concentration as to create problems for the Nation. I do not believe it would be in our best interest to have the payments mechanism in the hands of a severely limited number of financial institutions. We have already been through this once in this century, and I would hope we would not repeat our error there. It is not absolutely necessary for the Federal Reserve to price £or many of its services in order to allow the private sector to compete. Their competition with us is clearly available already, as the witnesses have indicated on·the prior vanel. They do compete with us right now, in both correspondent bankmg services that we render and, in a much broader sense, other correspondent banking services. My recommendation to the committee, Mr. Chairman, is that we take a very cautious approach toward the pricing of these services so that we do not unduly affect the performance of the payments mechanism. I believe it is important for us to see how pricing works and £or the Federal Reserve to gain experience in pricing before we become bound to a formula which might do more harm than good. I a.Ppreciate the committee's attention and will try to answer any questions, Mr. Chairman. [Governor Coldwell's prepared statement follows:] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 221 Statement by Philip E. Coldwell Member, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis before the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs House of Representatives 222 I am pleased to testify today on two important issues, membership in the Federal Reserve and pricing of Federal Reserve services. First, I would like to express my concern about the continuing erosion of membership in the Federal Reserve and the need to solve this problem. Next, I want to discuss the issue of pricing for Federal Reserve services, Most of my testimony will be devoted to discussing pricing because of its potential impact on membership and on the nation's payments mechanism. Congress should be fully aware that pricing for services without reducing the burden of membership will further contribute to banks leaving the Federal Reserve. As a member of the Board and former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, I have observed the withdrawal of banks from the Federal Reserve System for nearly 27 years. At first the banks with- drawing from the System were generally rather small. But in recent years larger--even large correspondent banks and frequent users of Federal Reserve services--have found the burden of membership too great to justify remaining in the System and others have indicated intentions to withdraw unless the burden of membership is relieved. Over the years, the Board has expressed it3 concerns to Congress about the loss of member banks and has recommended ways to reverse membership loss. Chairman Miller again stressed this concern in his testimony last week. In his testimony he explained the reasons why banks are withdrawing from the Federal Reserve System. I want to stress the point that increased competition for transaction accounts-particularly interest bearing transaction accounts--has forced all financial institutions to become increasingly cost conscious, In turn, member banks facing this and other challenges to profitability,_have been forced to carefully weigh the costs of retaining their membership. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 223 In addition, his testimony provides a review of the adverse implications that declining membership has for monetary management and the quality of the banking system. Chairman Miller stressed the importance of bringing equity among financial institutions. factors he mentioned. Let me emphasize two First, the ability of the Federal Reserve to guide innovation and foster constructive competition in the payments mechanism among financial institutions will be enhanced. Secondly, at such time as all financial institutions are bearing an equitable reserve burden, there will be no unfavorable economic effects to allowing uniform access to Federal Reserve services at equal costs and under equal conditions. It is important for the United States to have a strong central bank and certainly in the current economic situation steps should be taken promptly to offset any contrary trend. I am sure that Congress is as concerned as we are about the inflationary pressures evident in our economy and therefore will be interested in assuring the strength of one of its primary agents for resisting inflation. This line of thought leads me to hope that Congress will be willing to stop the erosion of membership. The most evident and clear- cut support Congress could enact would be legislation requiring universal reserves. It is essential for everyone to understand that monetary policy is not developed for banks or even the limited number of member banks, so there appears to be no good reason for the nation's central bank to operate under the shackles of a voluntary membership structure. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis We 224 can debate a specific monetary policy on its merits, but from any standpoint, I can see no public purpose to be served by limiting the effectiveness of the central bank. Monetary policy is made for the entire nation, not a limited sector of the banking co111111unity. All depository institutions are chartered in the public interest and all should be directly supportive of and participants in the implementation of policy. I would like to express my views on the part of the Board's plan and the parts of the proposed legislation that deal with charging for Federal Reserve services. I will explore with you possible impacts charging will have on the nation's payments mechanism. You are no doubt aware that the System has been considering for over two years the subject of charging for its services. As studies have progressed, we have become increasingly aware that there are problems in the application of the theory that pricing should result in a more efficient allocation of total resources to payments mechanism activities. I believe there is a much more important goal than attaining optimum allocation of resources. That goal should be the continuing ability of the Federal Reserve to assure the Congress and the nation of a smoothly functioning payments mechanism. In considering pricing legislation, the Congress should be fully aware that the Federal Reserve has no intention of enlarging its role in the payments mechanism to the exclusion of the correspondent banks of the nation. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Neither, however, does it intend to allow a few very large 225 private sector firms to dominate services now provided by the Federal Reserve. This could result, ultimately, in problems similar to those in existence when Congress created the Federal Reserve System and gave it the power to establish clearing house services. In its proposal to the Congress, the Board made the following statement: "In order to assure continued efficient functioning of the payments mechanism and to avoid major disruption during the transition to a more competitive environment, the Board would follow a conservative and flexible approach in establishing charges for Federal Reserve services. To this end, the System has concluded that its charges should be competitive with those for comparable services (when available) in the private sector. However, the Board would retain flexibility to alter charges or service policies in order to meet its responsibilities to maintain a satisfactory, basic level of service for the nation as a whole and to encourage innovations." I would like to elaborate on this statement and explain why the Federal Reserve believes it has a responsibility to retain an ability to perform a "basic level of service" nationwide in payments activities. Payments mechanism activities are an important aspect of the functioning of the nation's economy. The Federal Reserve through its currency and coin distribution, check collection, funds transfer, and U.S. Government security transfer services is actively involved in all vital components of money supply and money movement through the nation's payments system, The payments mechanism of the United States functions quite well today. each day, Enormous amounts of money flow among financial institutions Much of the nation's business is carried out with check pay- ments and as you know the Federal Reserve is a major participant in the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 226 check collection system. Orderly markets in federal funds and government securities are important to the government and the banking indus.try and to monetary policy. The Federal Reserve Conanunications System plays a vital role in supporting these markets. The government in protecting the public interest has a substantial concern with the smooth functioning of financial markets and payments mechanism activities. I believe those interests can be pro- tected in only two ways,either exclusively through regulation or through limited regulation and an operational presence such as the Federal Reserve currently has in the check collection system. If the Federal Reserve operational presence in payments mechanism functions were materially reduced, then regulation of payments operations probably would be needed to protect safety and soundness of depository institutions or to avoid payments practices that are contrary to the public interest. Who, for example,wouldenforce standards such as MICR encoding and routing number systems? Who would ensure that funds availability is maintained at a reasonable level so that checks would remain as acceptable as they are today? If Federal Reserve operational presence were reduced, it would be necessary to establish a body of regulations and examination, investigation, and enforcement mechanisms to ensure an efficient and equitable payments mechanism. The costs and burden of such a program should be a significant factor in determining the pricing and operational posture of the Federal Reserve. We believe that Congress looks to the Federal Reserve to protect the public interest in payments mechanism functions and we believe that https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 227 the public interest can best be served by continued operational functions that are performed by the Federal Reserve Banks. Therefore, while pricing of Federal Reserve services is intended to bring about efficient allocation of resources, there is a need for sufficient pricing flexibility for the Federal Reserve to maintain its operational presence in payments operations. In particular, the Federal Reserve should continue to provide a basic level of service and protect the public interest in the safety and soundness of the nation's payments mechanism. As an example, consider that through the participation of both the Federal Reserve and the private sector the check collection system has evolved into a system with the following desirable features: 1) Certainty - Checks and other cash items drawn o~ any financial depository institution are collectible. There is almost universal payment for checks at face value by paying banks. 2) Speed - Checks represent money to the payee and the collecting bank. Current arrangements allow for availability of funds to collecting banks for any checks in 2-3 business days. Rules also exist to assure prompt notice of nonpayment of items. 3) Accuracy - The incidence of error is relatively small and not readily visible to the public. Procedures exist to assure maintenance of sufficient records to correct mistakes (lost items, missent items, etc.). 4) Efficiency - For items drawn on distant banks the Federal Reserve collection system helps assure a minimum number of institutional handlings. Balances maintained solely for settlement are also minimized because of the use of reserve accounts for settlement. 5) Optional collection channels available - It is possible for a bank to collect items through a number of options in the current system. Federal Reserve collection channels are used primarily by member correspondent banks. Smaller banks, both members and nonmembers, use a correspondent bank as their primary collecting agent. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 228 6) Nationwide scope - A similar level of service is available to all collecting and paying banks wherever located. In operating the collection service, a public institution can assure that all regions of the country are provided a basic level of service at a reasonable price. collection system assure areas. Federal Reserve operations in the check that clearing time is relatively fast to all And, they assure that terms of access to the check collection system are equitable. However, this is _done by providing subsidies to low-volume and remote financial institutions. The private sector could provide such cross-subsidies only if it earns excessive profits in high volume, high profit regions. The Federal Reserve Banks pass credit to depositors on a predetermined schedule that is intended to approximate collection times for the items deposited. The fact that these schedules are fixed provides a firm basis upon which depositing banks can plan their cash positions and manage their funds. This certainty also provides a way for commercial banks to pass credit to their depositors in an orderly fashion without accepting undue costs or risks. This certainty-is financed by the quantity known as Federal Reserve check collection float, which is the difference at any time between the value of credit for deposits given by the Reserve Banks and the value of checks collected. If the private sector were to assume the r~sponsibility of passing credit for checks on the same schedule as the Reserve Banks, the expense of financing the float would be a substantial cost to the banking system that it does not now bear. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 229 If the Federal Reserve is not given the flexibility to adjust its prices to the marketplace, there is a possibility that the private sector will skim off only the most profitable services leaving the Federal Reserve with the least profitable services and significantly higher average costs. For example, in the check area the Federal Reserve could be left collecting checks drawn on low-volume and remote banks. Since the cost of providing only this service would be extremely high, it would then have to be decided whether users of Federal Reserve services should be subsidized in order to assure continued acceptability of these checks. It is vitally important that the nation have available a fast, reliable and accurate payments network to support the nation's monetary policy as well as the needs of banking and commerce. Implementation of monetary policy is facilitated through Federal Reserve payments mechanism operations. For example, the wire transfer of funds and securities capa- bilities of the System provide a fast, reliable and accurate vehicle for the effects of open market operations to flow across the banking industry. Our extensive involvement in check collection operations allows us early warning of bank liquidity problems which become evident when settlement for checks presented each day appears to be increasingly difficult for a bank. Also, •if normal payments mechanism services are interrupted by severe weather or other emergencies, these circumstances are reported to the open market staff who can forecast monetary policy implementation strategy utilizing data derived from internal operating reports. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 230 A substantial reduction in the role of the Federal Reserve in the check collection system could have an impact on Federal Reserve payments services provided to the Treasury Department. Currently, the Federal Reserve provides many services that facilitate the payment of Government obligations. Financial institutions deposit Treasury checks with the Federal Reserve for payment. The largest number of these checks are Social Security and other benefit payments. For the most part, these checks are issued and cleared during the first few days of each month. The Federal Reserve uses employees and equipment which are employed in processing commercial checks to assist in processing Government checks. If commercial check vol1,1111e were reduced to a point where employment and equipment is cut back, these resources would no longer be available to assist in processing Government checks. The Federal Reserve uses the same courier service to deliver Treasury electronic funds transfer payments that it uses to deliver checks to financial institutions. If the number of banks to which we deliver commercial checks were reduced, the courier service would also be reduced. Without the courier service, the Treasury would have to rely on other means for delivering Federal Government payments. Given the Federal Reserve's role as a provider of a basic level of service nationwide, which I believe is a major factor contributing to the smooth fu~ctioning of the payments mechanism, let me caution against any constraining legislation which could disrupt money flow operations. A provision in the Stanton bill, H.R. 12706, would require the Federal https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 231 Reserve to adhere to a fixed formula in setting prices, which requires the Federal Reserve to base its prices The provision on direct and indirect costs as well as costs that would have been incurred by a private firm might place the Federal Reserve Banks at a competitive disadvantage in relation to private firms. their prices bound to a fixed formula, Private firms rarely have It is my impression thst complete cost accounting in the banking system is a little used procedure when pricing individual services, In most cases, adjustments are simply made to prevailing market prices, with the only price constraint being coverage of all costs in the long run, It is a common practice for correspondent banks which provide services somewhat comparable to those offered by the Federal Reserve to cross-subsidize their service lines. Banks may suffer losses on payments services, for example, while recovering those losses from earnings from other bank services such as lines of credit and loan participations. My concern is that unless the Federal Reserve utilizes similar flexibility, it will not be able to adjust to the realities of the competitive marketplace and may be forced to reduce or abandon its role as the provider of a basic level of service nationwide. Let me make it clear that I have no problem with using pricing to define the terms of access to Federal Reserve services, to bring about a more efficient use of those services, or even to determine the role the Federal Reserve should play in the payments mechanism as long as we do not allow private concentrations to be substituted for the Federal Reserve. I do not believe that it would be in the best interest of our https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 232 country to have the payments mechanism in the hands of a severely limited number of private institutions and I suspect that this concern is shared by a great many smaller banks and other·nonbank financial institutions. It is not absolutely necessary for the Federal Reserve to price for many of its services in order to allow the private sector to compete. The private sector is able to compete with the Federal Reserve because we have exercised restraint in our involvement in the.payments mechanism. For example, correspondent banks and service organizations offer significantly broader check processing services including dollar amount encoding, proof of deposits, transit check processing (including both collection of some checks and routing others on for collection through other banks and the Federal Reserve) and demand deposit accounting (posting of checks to customer accounts). In providing transit check processing, the organizations are frequently able to improve upon Federal Reserve funds availability by direct routing of checks to banks. It should be made clear that Federal Reserve check clearing operations and connnercial bank operations currently differ in many respects. A con- siderable proportion of Federal Reserve expense is related to delivery of checks to all banks in the nation each day and to transportation of checks among zones nationwide. Connnercial banks expedite collection of checks based on the dollar amount of the items while the Federal Reserve generally does not discriminate based on dollar value. The Federal Reserve sets rather stringent pre-sorting requirements on depositing banks and requires all items to be fully encoded prior to deposit while connnercial banks are much more liberal in sorting requirements and will perform encoding operations for a price. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 233 My reco11Unendation is that we take a cautious approach towards pricing of Federal Reserve services so that we do not unduly affect the performance of the payments mechanism. I believe that it is important for us to at least see how pricing works and for the Federal Reserve to gain experience in pricing before we become bound to a formula which may do more harm than good. I think this argues for flexibility in establishing prices so that pricing can help bring about a more efficient use of payments services while at the same time acknowledging the role of the Federal Reserve to continue to set the rules of the road and to provide a basic level of service nationwide. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org32•972 0 • Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 78 • 16 234 The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much, Governor Coldwell. I appreciate what you say on page 3, that the Federal Reserve System has been considering for over 2 years the subject of charging for its services. Now I do not want to brag too much about the Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs Committee, but we, on July 11, scarcely 2 weeks ago, were for the first time given by the Fed its statement of what it wanted, and two bills. Governor CoLDWELL. Right. The CHAIRMAN. Those bills were introduced by me, Mr. Coldwell, 4 days later; immediately hearings have been scheduled, of which this is one, and we hope to complete our hearing process within the next few days, because when the Fed tells us something is imperative, we believe the Fed. But we have just heard a respected witness from the Independent Bankers Association and a respected witness from the Association of Reserve City Bankers say that they cannot really get a grip on this thing until they know what you are going to chargr. for your services. You have been at it for 2 years, you have 800 economists and God knows how many computers. Can you get up here by next Monday what you are going to charge for your services? It would help Mr. Stanton, who I think made a valiant attempt in his bill to set forth what he thought was a reasonable, just and fair basis for charging. So why do you not let us in on these arcane secrets and then perhaps we can be accommodative? How about Monday? If not Monday, how about Tuesday? Governor COLDWELL. Mr. Chairman, we do appreciate the committee's prompt attention to this. The question of pricing is a very serious one to us, on which _we frankly did not have a lot o:f help. Our past background, as now, 1s a nonpricing environment. So we have been looking at the pricing question with a great deal o:f care, and there are a number o:f unresolved questions: for example, should pricing be on the basis of individual office, individual check, or a correspondent balance type approach? Should pricing be in terms of the individual functions which we perform, such as the balancing of accounts or settlement; and should correspondent services be priced separately? Should we price for encoding checks? Should we make prices based on our present services that we provide, or should we change those services? Right now we are not competitive with the correspondent banking system in terms of the services that we are rendering. We demand encoded checks from our banks, whereas correspondent banks permit nonencoded checks. They do the encoding for the respondent bank. These are all problems we have been wrestling with for 2 years and I will quickly admit to you that we have not put this on the "front burner" largely because of the question of the membership issue, and you will recall that pricing was not a membership issue to us. We were considering primarily how to relieve the burden of membership and pricing adds to the burden of membership; it doeF> not relieve it. The CHAIRMAN. We are somewhat in the position that confronted the legislature of Kansas some years ago. I am told, when faced with an increasing number of railroad at-grade collisions, they passed that famous law which said, when two railroad trains shall approach each https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 235 other at grade, each shall stop and shall not proceed until the other has passed. You are not going to do anything with interest rates until you get this price thing settled? We are not going to do anything on the interest rate thing until we know how badly we are going to fleece the taxpayers, who very seldom get mentioned at these hearings. When can we get together? We have worked hard. Our staff has been working every weekend on this, most nights; many members on both sides of the aisle have worked very hard. I would like a date from you when you are going to be able to bring forth, to hand this committee-and, if you wish, to concurrently publish it in the Federal Register, that is entirely your privilege-your proposed pricing schedule. Governor COLDWELL. Mr. Chairman, as of last week I saw my first listing of a preliminary schedule of costs. We will be holding a meeting on that within a week or two, at most, to refine those figures. I hope that within a period of 3 weeks we can send you and others a look at the "first cut" of pricing. Now I recognize that this is going to be approximate at best, because we do not know where we stand on the pricing mechanism. We cannot tell you precisely whether the charge that we make for processing a check is going to be a charge that is reasonable in the light of your considerations. We do know what our costs are, both direct and indirect. Our accounting system gives us even the allocation of the last element of overhead cost of a bank. The CHAIRMAN. If you have that, you have rounded third base and are heading home. Governor CoLDWELL. Well, we are headed home with the exception that the correspondent banking, or I should say the reserve city banking, groups would like to have us add a capital cost on top of that. The CHAIRMAN. Have you heard them on that? You have heard from them on this? Governor COLDWELL. Oh, yes, we have heard from them. The CHAIRMAN. Well, you are the, you know, you are where the buck stops, 14-years, independence, tennis courts, everything. You really ought to decide whether the correspondent banks are right-I do not know what their position is-or wrong. Put it on paper. We will give them an opportunity to be heard, and I am sure you will too. Governor COLDWELL. I am perfectly willing to do that, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. I have to remind you of our congressional schedule. It was my hope that we could complete action and report out to the floor and get a rule before we go into a rather brief recess on August 18. We return for duty on September 7 and adjourn for the year on October 7. I want to see legislation on this broad, broad subject passed this year because I take the Fed seriously whem the Chairman of the Board and the Governors come up and say this is a situation that demands immediate attention. But if you are not even going to give us your proposed pricing schedule until after we go into recess on August 18, I think you doom the Fed's request for prompt action. So I must tell you that our staff stands ready to assist yours in preparing those regulations: we have become knowledgeable about https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 236 many of these subjects ; members of this committee will be glad to sit at mght with your people after we get through with our schedule. But let us not delay this matter which the Fed itself has placed before us by saying that that which has been before you for 2 years is now going to take another 3 weeks or so to present to us. Mr. Moorhead. Mr. MOORHEAD. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Governor, one of the next witnesses will be Mr. Sprinkel who says in his written testimony : It can be demonstrated that the Federal Reserve could regulate the money supply with zero reserve requirements so long as it is able to determine the monetary base. Do you agree with that statement, sir? Governor COLDWELL. No, I do not. Mr. MOORHEAD. Could you give us the reasons why? I think it is fairly important. Governor COLDWELL. Well, I think this gets back to a lot of relationships between reserves and the £unctions of money and the demand therefore. I will not defend Mr. Sprinkel's position. There are equally competent economists who will tell you that some base £or which monetary policy can act is necessary £or an effective and efficient monetary policy. What Mr. Sprinkle is saying, in effect, is that we do not need a base to operate on, that we can increase the amount of reserves or decrease them without a base to work on. Mr. MooRHEAD. It seems to me that issue is important because I think probably then the greatest discouragement 0£ membership is the idle reserve requirement which you can correct either by eliminating the reserve requirement or by paying interest on it; would that be correct, sir? Governor COLDWELL. Or making it a universal requirement for everyone, any one of the three. Mr. MOORHEAD. Now, on the pricing mechanism, to follow up on the Chairman's request, it seems to me that the Fed is in an extremely difficult position which became quite apparent with the previous witnesses; it is in the interest of many 0£ the members 0£ the Independent Bankers Association, and the Fed, to keep those charges as low as possible to attract IBA and other banks into the system, but of course the correspondent banks want to keep it as high as possible so that they will not be driven out of business. You are between a rock and a hard place, are you not, sir? Governor COLDWELL. Well, I think the correspondent bankers have one question they need to answer. I£ they are able to compete with us now when we do not char~e at all, why should the problem of charging something create a big difficulty £or them ? We do not presently charge our member banks, except by the sterile reserves, which all members must pay for. In terms of the new charging arrangement, I am sure that we will charge at least our direct and probably our indirect costs as we have them isolated. What we need to do is to be careful that we do not put ourselver;i in a position where the remote or very small commercial https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 237 bank is in effect charged a very high price, whereas the correspondent banker just takes the cream of the crop such as the New York to Chicago type heavy volume areas, leaving only the remote and small volume to other people. One of the basic reasons why the Fed has been in this business is to provide a basic level of service to all banks and to assure ourselves a certainty and speed of credit flows in this country. Mr. MooRHEAD. I unfortunately have to leave and cannot question Mr. Sprinkel. He supports the amendment which would tie the discount rate to the average yield on Treasury bills. Do you agree or disagree with that proposal i Governor CoLDWELL. I disagree with it, Congressman. We have already had some examples of this. Canada did it for some time, but they decided it did not work. All of us have problems with discount rate determination, as witness the last month when we had the problem of raising it again. There are some announcement problems attached to it; but we think we would be giving up something by the loss of that announcement ability if we really want to alert the entire community of a change in monetary policy. Mr. MooRHEAD. Mr. Hill testified, I think in his oral testimonyI think I have it correct, at least substantially-he said, I believe that the erosion of membership will hamper the ability of the Fed to control monetary policy and hence inflation. Is that the thrust of your testimony today, sir i Governor COLDWELL. Yes, it would be. Mr. MooRHEAD. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Mr. Moorhead. Mr. Stanton. Mr. STANTON. Mr. Chairman, I have several questions, but I understand Governor Coldwell's time problems, and also the other panel is waiting. I am like Mr. Moorhead. I have a luncheon commitment. I can only be here a little longer. I would simply make one statement. That would be to ask that several questions I do ha,ve for you, Governor Coldwell, I might insert into the record, and if you could answer them, I would appreciate that. Second, back to the question of the specific pricing of membership, Mr. Chairman, I am not sure if that is exactly that big of a problem as has been emphasized here this fnorning. I don't know the exact figures, but it seems to me the Fed, when they sent.us their proposal, had some specific figures-at least I took them as spe'cific-of a phase-in of the servic;es to be rendered over two phases. Phase 1 would bring- in, I think, some $225 million, and phase 2 would bring- in $400 million. I think roughly that was the figure. So, if we could just do the reverse and have some of the statistics of which that $400 million was based on, it would provide, I think, the general atmosphere of what we are talking about, rather than the specific. The CHAIBMAN. I agree. Somebody must have picked up $461 million, or whatever it was. Let us see what it was. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 238 Mr. STANTON. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Mr. Pattison? Mr. PATTISON. In the interest of time, Mr. Chairman, I think I would withhold at this time. The CHAIRMAN. All right. Mr. Grassley? Mr. GRASSLEY. Mr. Coldwell, on page 10 of your testimony, where you say, My concern is that unless the Federal Reserve utilizes similar flexibility it will not be able to adjust to the realities of the competitive marketplace, and may be forced to reduce or abandon its role as a provider of basic level of services nationwide. Is that really a realistic fear? It seemed to me that maybe you are throwing out here something that isn't real just to get our attention. Governor COLDWELL. We don't really know, Congressman. That is our problem. We have some correspondent data which include specific charges. We know our own costs. If you take it just on the face value of those two figures, I think we are probably 25 to 30 percent lower than some of the correspondent data we know of. On the other hand, we know perfectly well that where an individual entrepreneur wants to make a loss leader, all he has to do is cut his prices to get into a particular area. We don't really know what the situation will be after we price. We don't know whether we are going to have continued handling of the checks the way they are now, or a much larger or much smaller volume. It is our intent to try to keep it about where it is until we see the efl'ects of pricing. Mr. GRASSLEY. That is the only question I have, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you. Mrs. Fenwick? Mrs. FENWICK. I just have a short question, or two short questions. One, how many member banks has the Federal Reserve lost? Governor COLDWELL. I am sorry. I couldn't hear you. Mrs. FENWICK. I understand that the Federal Reserve has lost member banks. How many member banks? Governor COLDWELL. Congresswoman, I am not sure I can precisely cite the number. Mrs. FENWICK. I see. Governor CoLDWELL. It has been a steady erosion. I have watched it for 27 years. Mrs. FENWICK. From the high to the present, if you could give us those figures, I would be grateful. Governor COLDWELL. 430 over the past 8 years, roughly. Mrs. FENWICK. They have lost 430 members? That is considerable. I believe you plan to transfer some $575 million from surplus to the Treasury in order to pay for the interest that will be the carrot to draw members back. How did you come' to that fig-ure? As I understand it, on page 5 of the chart that has been prepared for us, the loss to the U.S. Treasury will be some $300 million a year. Am I correct in that? Governor CoLDWELL. I believe that is correct. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 239 Mrs. FENWICK. How did you happen to pick $575 million? Governor COLDWELL. It is a cumulative figure. Mrs. FENWICK. For 2 years? Governor COLDWELL. Yes. It is cumulative. In other words, you would lose that amount over 3 years, but it would be offset through the transfer from the Federal Reserve surplus. A further offset would occur because of higher personal or commercial bank taxes paid on the interest earnings from reserves. Mrs. FENWICK. Well, the price tag for services, that is already figured in. Interest payment to the banks would cost $765 million. The revenue loss to the Federal Reserve caused by the reduced reserve requirements would cost some $350 million. But your pricing for services would reduce that again to a $605 million loss, if I read your figures correctly. But the point I am trying to get at is, you are going to take this from your surplus. Why do you ke~p a surplus of that size? Fifty-six point seven billion dollars has been paid to the U.S. Treasury since you started, but you still have a very considerable surplus on hand, over $1 billion. Governor COLDWELL. I was asked the same question by Senator Proxmire at two separate hearings 1 year apart. My response to him, as I am afraid it is going to have to be to you, is that we are required by law to have a surplus; and we are a banking institution, and most banks have surplus accounts. Now, that is a very weak excuse. Mrs. FENWICK. Well, how do you feel about this universal requirement? Governor CoLDWELL. I think it is the best way to go, partly because I think it does broaden the total group of banks and depository institutions for which monetary policy would be directed in the first initial stage. At present, as you know, we have only about 40 or 45 percent of the banks and are having to increase the pressure of our monetary policy in order to get the secondary effects. Mrs. FENWICK. I see. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Mrs. Fenwick. Governor Coldwell, we appreciate your staying with us. Governor COLDWELL. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. We will now hear from an old friend of this committee, the executive vice president and economist of the Harris Trust & Savings Bank of Chicago, Beryl W. Sprinkel. Mr. Sprinkel has some good ideas to share with us. STATEMENT OF BERYL W. SPRINKEL, EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT AND ECONOMIST, HARRIS TRUST & SAVINGS BANK, CHICAGO, ILL. Mr. SPRINKEL. Thank you. Mr. Chairman and other distinguished members of the House Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs: I appreciate the op- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 240 portunity to express my opinions concerning the important b1mking and monetary policy issues now under consideration. Rather than commenting upon the details of each proposal, I will attempt to address what I believe to be the basic issues underlying all proposals. The views are my own and not necesarily those of my employer, the Harris Trust & Savings Bank of Chicago. Reserve requirements as presently imposed can best be viewed as a tax on bankin~, whose cost is ultimately paid by the user of banking services. Reqmred reserves do not represent an important source of liquidity as once believed. Nor is it necessary for all banks and other .financial intermediaries to maintain reserves for the purpose of improving the execution of monetary policy. In fact, it can be demonstrated that the Federal Reserve can regulate the money supply with zero reserve requirements so long as it is able to determine the monetary base. Therefore, I cannot support universal reserve requirements since the costs would very probably outweigh any resulting benefits. I support proposed reforms to pay interest on required reserves while charging banks for services provided by the Federal Reserve. Central bank services are not a free good, and explicit pricing of these services will lead to a better allocation of resources. Reduction in required reserves and payment of interest on those reserves will serve to reduce the tax on banking services. Although the bills under consideration do not remove the prohibition of interest payment on demand de-posits, I believe such a change would be desirable. Permission for explicit payment of such interest by commercial banks would be preferable to the various techniques currently used to reward demand deposit holders. The above reforms would improve "the efficiency and competitiveness of our .financial system." In my opinion, the "conduct of monetary policy" would be improved by adopting uniform reserve requirements for banks rather than the present system of variable reserve requirements. Shifts of deposit funds between institutions with different marginal reserve requirements or between different deposit categories in the same bank changes the money multiplier in an unpredictable way. Shifts in the ratio between the monetary base and deposits makes it difficult, if not impossible, to predict the monetary effect of a given Federal Reserve action. Adoption of a "progressive scale of reserve requirements" as proposed in the amendment to R.R. 12706 would exacerbate the monetary control problem while levying a higher tax on success. From a monetary control point of view, ,all deposits should be subject to identical reserve requirements. In April this year all deposits subject to reserve requirements amounted to $586.1 billion. Reserves on deposit at the Federal Reserve banks amounted to $27.8 billion. If the vault cash reserves requirement were eliminated and required reserves were reduced $5 billion as proposed, there would remain $22.8 billion required reserves for $586.1 billion deposits; an average requirement of 3.9 percent. If all commercial bank deposits were made subject to reserV'e requirements, the average required reserve ratio would decline to 2.5 percent. Any move toward a more uniform system of reserve requirements would be an improvement over the present multiple reserve requirement as reflected in the following table: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 241 MEMBER BANK RESERVE REQUIREMENTS t [Percent of deposits] Requirements in effect May 31, 1978 Type of deposit, and deposit interval in millions of - - - - - - - - dollars Percent Effective date Net demand:• 0 to 2••...•...•••...••••....•••...•.••••...••... 2 to 10•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 10 to 100•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 100 to 400 ••••...•••.................•....•••...• Over 400 •.•••.....•.................•.....••.... Time:21 Savings ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Other time: Oto ~b ~\'!j4n3a~~-::-:......................... 180 days to 4 years....................... 4 years or more.......................... Over 5, maturing in30 to 179 days........................... 180 days to 4 years....................... 4 years or more.......................... Dec .30, 1976 7 9½ ••••• do••••••• 11¾ ....• do ••••••• 12¾ ..••. do ••••••• 16¼ ..... do ••••••• 3 Mai. 16, 1967 Previous requirements Percent Effective date 7½ Feb. 13, 1975 10 12 13 16½ Do. Do. Do. Do. 3½ Mar. 2, 1967 3½ Do. 3 ••••• do....... • 2½ Jan. 8, 1976 •I Oct. 30, 1975 3 3 Mar. 16, 1967 Do. 6 Dec. 30, 1974 • 2½ Jan. 8, 1976 •I Oct. 30, 1975 5 3 3 Oct. 19, 1974 Dec. 12, 1970 Do. -----------------LegaI limits, Maym3~n,. lm9u7m8, Legal limits, May 31, 1978, I I Net demand: Reserve city banks ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Other banks ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Time ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 10 7 3 maximum 22 14 10 ' For changes in reserve requirements beginning 1963, see Board's Annual Statistical Digest, 1971-1975 and for prior changes see Board's Annual Report for 1976, table 13. • (a) Requirement schedules are graduated, and each deposit interval a~plies to that part of the deposits of each bank. Demand deposits subject to reserve requirements are gross demand deposits minus cash items in process of collection and demand balances due from domestic banks. (b) The Federal Reserve Act specifies different ranges of requirements for reserve city banks and for other banks. Reserve cities are designated under a criterion adopted effective Nov. 9, 1972, by which a bank having net demand deposits of more than $400,000,000 is considered to have the character of business of a reserve city bank. The presence of the head office of such a bank constitutes designation of that place as reserve city. Cities in which there are F.R. Banks or branches are also reserve cities. Any banks having net demand deposits of $400,000,000 or less are considered to have the char• acter of business of banks outside of reserve cities and are permitted to maintain reserves at ratios set for banks not in reserve cities. For details see the Board's Regulation D. (c) The Board's Regulation M requires a 4•percent reserve against net balances due from domestic banks to their foreign branches and to foreign banks abroad. Effective Dec. I, 1977, a !•percent reserve is reguired against deposits that foreign branches of U.S. banks use for lending to U.S. residents. Loans agsregating $100,000 or less to any U.S. resident are excluded from computations, as are total loans of a bank to U.S. residents If not exceeding $1,000,000. Regulation D imposes a similar reservs requirement on borrowings from foreign banks by domestic offices of a member bank. • Negotiable orders of withdrawal (NOW) accounts and time deposits such as Christmas and vacation club accounts are subject to the same requirements as savings deposits. • The average of reserves on savings and other time deposits must be at least 3•percent ,the minimum specified by law Note: Required reserves must be held in the form of deposits with F.R. banks or vault cash. I just want to ·read down the varia.tions in marginal reserve requirements. They defy understanding, much less memory: 7 percent, 9½ percent, 11% percent, 12¾, percent, 16¾ percent, 3 percent, again 3 percent, 2½ percent, 1 percent, 6 percent, 2½ percent, and 1 percent. Even the :proposal ,to exempt th~ first $10 million in deposits from reserve reqmrements would be an -1mprovement over the present system. However, moves to subsidize smaller banks through lower reserve requirements still creates problems with respect to the conduct of monetary policy. If Congress desires to subsidize smaller banks, this could be accomplished more efficiently by other means. In addition to supporting more unform reserve requirements, I support three other proposed changes recently made by Chairman Reuss of the Committee on Banking, which I believe will further improve the operation of monetary policy. First, set the agreed-upon reserve requirements by law and remove the present ,a;bility of the Federal Reserve Board to vary them within https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 242 prescribed limits. The power to raise and lower reserve requirements is the power to impose hig<her -and lower taxes upon the banking industry. This power should reside with our elected representatives, that is, the Congress and the President. Furthermore, variation in reserve requirements is a blunt instrument of monetary policy and results can be better achieved through incremental adjustments in open market operations. Second, tie the discount rate ,to the average yield on Treasury bills with less than 92-day maturities issued during the previous 2 weeks. Under present circumstances, the discount rate 1s adjusted infrequently and there is a tendency for commercial bank borrowing from the Federal Reserve to soar as Federal funds and the Treasuri hill rate rises relative to the discount rate. Borrowing banks get a subsidized bargain, but Federal Reserve credit soars, and unless offset by open market sales, so does the money supply. Automatic adjustment of the discount rate would lessen this disturbance and frequent adjustment would remove the sometimes disturbing announcement effect of discount rate changes. Finally, I support more frequent acquisition of nonmember deposit data which should enable the Federal Reserve to better measure the various money supplies. It is difficult to determine appropriate monetary actions when the Federal Open Market Committee does not know the size of the recent and present money supply. Since the acquisition of this data is important for public policy and does involve a private cost, perhaps the Federal Reserve should consider reimbursing financial institutions for this cost. Two additional institutional changes bearing on monetary policy execution that are not proposed but that should he considered are: First, elimina,tion of lagged reserve computations. Presently this week's required reserves are based on deposits outstanding 2 weeks ago. The necessary attempt of banks to acquire reserves to meet obligations determined 2 weeks before is an unnecessary interfe:-ence with Federal Reserve attempts to regulate monetary growth. Basing this week's required reserves on this week's deposits would reduce market interference; and second, staggering of reserve settlement days for member banks or expanding the "allowable carry-forward" would reduce the frequent extreme fluctuations in Federal funds each Wednesday. Reducing variation in marginal reserve requirements, floating the discount mte, legislating reserve requirements, acquiring more timely deposit data, eliminating lagged reserve settlements, and staggering reserve settlement days would improve monetary policy formulation and execution. I once believed the Congressional Moneta.ry Resolution, later enacted into law and adopted hy the Federal Open Market Committee, would similarly facilitate achievement of a stabilizing monetary policy. Indeed, the objective of gradually reducing monetary growth until it was eventually commensurate with real output was and is the right objective. But alas, as monetary targets gradually receded in recent years, monetary growth accelerated. The music was soothing, but the results have been rising inflation, as money growth accelerated. I reluctantly conclude that regardless of improved structural adjustments such as those just discussed, there is little hope for monetary policy becoming a stabilizing influence upon our economy https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 243 until the Federal Reserve changes its operating technique and permits the market to determine the Fed funds rate while it concentrates its attention on regulating growth in the monetary base or another closely related aggregate. Until this necessary reform is adopted by the Federal Open Market Committee, monetary policy will remain a procyclical rather than a stalbilizing influence upon our economy. Thank you. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Mr. Sprinkel. Now Frank E. Morris, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. Let me take this opportunity, Mr. Morris, to congratulate you on the economic deveJlopment work in your Federal Reserve district which your bank has been conducting for some years through seminars, publications and general leadership. It is a model for the whole country. I have taken the liberty of plagiarizing some of the things you have been doing, seeing that they are done in our own Federal Reserve district. STATEMENT OF FRANK E. :MORRIS, PRESIDENT, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON Mr. MoRRIS. Thank you, sir. I am very pleased tobeihere. As you know, the New England area has been the area most impacted by the membership problem in recent years. I will a.bbreviate my statement, Mr. Chairman. The CHAIRMAN. Your entire statement will of course be included in :full in the record. Mr. MoRRIS. Thank you, sir. When Congress was drafting the Federal Reserve Act 65 years ago, I don't believe it contemplated that in 1978 the cost of membership in the Federal Reserve System would lead to a large erosion of membership in ,the System and impair the very objectives for which the Federal Reserve Act was written. The erosion of membership impairs our lenders-of-last-resort function because it means fewer and fewer banks have direct and quick access to the discount window. For example, in New England now we have 56 banks with deposits in excess of $100 million. Of these 56 banks, 29 are now not members of the Federal Reserve, and :they have deposits of $8 billion. These 29 large banks are going to have to depend upon the correspondent 'banking system in a liquidity crisis booause we will not be able to deal rapidly with their needs the way we can with member banks. Second, I am concerned about the shrinking reserve base. Mr. Sprinkel argued ithat we don't nood ,a reserve base in order to control the money supply. He said as long as we have the monetary base, we can control the supply. But that confused me a bit because member bank reserves are an important component of that monetary base. The question is nOlt whether we can control the money supply at all. The question is oon we control it with the precision tha.t the Congress is asking us to control it. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 244 Member banks reserves are the fulcrum upon which our moneJtary management ootions take place. We have to try fo estimrute day by day how many deposits will be generated wirth a given input of reserves. As that fulcrum gets smaller and smaller relative to the total deposit base, our estimates ,are going to get more and more inaccurate. One of the early monetarists, Henry Simons of the University of Chicago, was sufficiently oonce,rned a:bout this precision ,aspect of monetary control th:at he argued for a 100-percent Reserve System, so that the central bank would know if it put in a dollar of reserves it got a doHar of deposits; no more, no less. Well, I don't think •anyone ever seriously considered •a 100-percent Reserve System, but I think it is clear that if the body of reserves shrinks relative to tlhe body of deposits, that estimating the effect of our actions on the money supply is going to grow more and more difficult. Now, turning to page 2 of my statement, I have some informa,tion on the decline of membership in New England in the recent past, and the prospootive decline of membership if nothing is done ,about this problem. In 1977, 11 banks in New England and 58 banks in the rest of the United States wi,thdrew from :the Federal Reserve System. These 11 banks accounted for about 5 percent of the total of member banks in New England, and had desposits amounting :to more than 10 percent of total deposits held at all member banks. By the end of 1977, the proportion of insured commercial bank deposits held by member banks in New England had fallen below 63 percent as compared to 75 percent in the rest of the country. In the past, the membership problem 'has l,argely been restricted to small banks. But this is no longer the case. During 1977, 8 of the 11 banks which le:flt the System in New England and 7 of the 58 banks which withdrew in the rest of the country had deposits of $100 million or more, and these 15 banks had total deposits of $3.3 billion. Now, I have been talking in a very open manner to our member banks in New England, urging them to postpone temporarily any decision to leave tlhe System since the Fedeml Reserve was going to seek congressional action to deal with the membership problem. They have by and large heeded my advice. Thus for in 1978, only three banks have ·announced target dates for withdrawal. However, ·an additional 34 banks have indicruted to me that they ,are se,riously considering withd11awal from membership. Of these 34 banks, 14 banks have deposits of $100 million to $500 million, and 3 'have deposits over $500 million. Together, these 37 banks that may leave the System if nothing is done have deposits of $5.3 billion and account for almost 28 percent of deposits currently held by 'all member banks in New England. These banks currently keep $273 million in reserves with the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, upon which we earned and turned over to the Treasury last year a,bout $18 million. If no action is taken to deal with the membership problem, I think it is probable that by the end of 1979, Federal Reserve member banks will hold less than half of all commercial bank deposits in New Eng1'and. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 245 Mr. Hill, I think, pointed out some of the reasons why the rate of withdrawal of member banks in New England has been greater than the rest of the country. We have a very aggressive, competitive environment in New England, probably the most competitive retail banking environment in the country. We have thrift institutions which unlike their counterparts in most other sections of the country can offer full seryice banking to the consumer. This intensified retail banking competition has resulted in lower profit margins for New England bankers. In 1977, in Massachusetts banks, net income before taxes and securities transactions as a percentage of total ·assets was 0.76 percent. The corresponding figure for commercial banks nationally in 1977 was 1.09 percent, 43 percent greater than the Massachusetts average. So, this relatively weaker earnings performance has generated pressure to increase earnings by leaving the Federal Reserve and avoiding what I call the Federal banking franchise tax. All of the New England banks that have left the System have done so very reluctantly. They are particularly reluctant to give up direct access to the discount window. But the pressure of the bottom line has just been too great to permit them to remain members of the System. I would like to elaborate a bit on why I am concerned about the loss of the lender-of-last-resort function as more and niore banks leave the System. I think it is rendering our banking system more vulnerable, and the ability of the economy to withstand financial shocks is being lessened by the fact that an increasing proportion of banks will not have access to the discount window. In recent years the development of sophisticated techniques of liability management has lessened the importance of the discount window as a routine source of liquidity. Many banks leaving the System believe that if need should arise, they will be able to obtain funds from their large correspondents. In the normal course of events, there is no doubt that the large banks will be able to meet the liquidity needs of their smaller correspondents. But if a general liquidity crisis should occur, the large banks may not be able or willing to meet the needs of all nonmember banks. Even if they have the funds available, or are able to obtain them from the Federal Reserve, the large banks may be reluctant to assume the substantial credit risks involved in numerous large-scale advances to their correspondents. The committee should remember that the original impetus to the formation of the Federal Reserve was the failure of the correspondent network to provide adequate liquidity to country banks during the financial crisis of the early 1900's. The Federal Reserve 1s the only lender that can unconditionally guarantee a sufficient supply of the funds in times of crisis. Performance of this guarantee requires a direct relationship between the Federal Reserve and the borrowing bank. The decline in membership thus endangers the performance of the Federal Reserve function which is only of routine importance presently, but whose successful implementation in time of crisis is imperative. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 246 There are obviously two ways of dealing with this problem. One is to mandate uniform reserve requirements, placing all financial institutions on an equal footing, a solution which would increase the revenues of the Treasury. But if Congress remains unwilling to do this, it should approve the only alternative solution-to eliminate the excessive burden of membership in the Federal Reserve. Now, in my judgment the Board's cost estimates of its proposal are much too high since they make no allowance for the effect of increased membership. There is no doubt in my mind that if the Board's program were adopted, most of the New England banks which left the System would rejoin promptly, along with many commercial banks and some savings banks which have never been members. In the long run, I believe that the cost of the Board's program to the Treasury will be less than the cost of doing nothing and suffering the declining revenues produced by a continued decline in membership. Now I would like to turn to the issue of pricing Federal Reserve services, for which I have been a long-term advocate. It is an economic truism that any costly service provided free of charge will be overused. Resources are wasted because the cost of providing the services will inevitably be higher than its value to the marginal user. I think it is unfortunate that the Fedeml Reserve is in a position that it must offer free services to member banks to partially offset the cost of the nonearning balances they must keep with us as reserves. I think both the Federal Reserve System and the commercial banking system would operate more efficiently if they paid depositors a market rate of interest on their deposits and charged for services on the basis of the costs incurred in providing those services. In any industry in which price competition is constrained, competition takes the wasteful form of giving away free services. And the more competitive the industry, the more waste is generated. We saw this in the brokerage industry before fixed pricing was abolished. We see it now in the commercial banking industry, where the more competitive the market, the more institutions compete by offering free services or other amenities which cost more than their value to the consumer. The free checking account is one common example. The proliferation of expensive branches is another. Now when banks are charged for Federal Reserve services, they will use these services more sparingly. In some cases they may do more processing of the checks themselves, or they may set up local clearing associations in which they simply swap checks among themselves, avoiding the Federal Reserve System altogether. To the extent that such services can be performed outside the System at a lower cost, this private market development would simultaneously save money for the public and reduce a heavy check burden which the Federal Reserve now bears. Thus the introduction of pricing would improve the efficiency of the Nation's payment system. Pricing of services will also increase efficiency by reducing the use of checks as a means of payment. It will also hasten the rate at which substitutes for checks are introduced. At present the public shows no great enthusiasm for innovations, such as electronic funds transfer https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 247 systems, since the present costly system of paper checks is provided at low charge. However, if customers were charged the cost of check processing, the relative cost and convenience of electronic funds transfer would become more attractive. Unfortunately the System cannot introduce pricing for its severance until the burden of membership is eliminated. Thus, the membership problem not only creates obstacles of increasing significance for the efficient conduct of monetary policy, but it also blocks the way toward a more efficient and less costly banking system for the American public. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. [Mr. Morris' prepared statement follows:] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 248 Statement of Frank E. Morris President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston before the House Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Washington, D.C. 249 I appreciate the opportunity to testify on an issue which has great long-run consequences for the efficient conduct of monetary policy and the stability of our banking system. my remarks to two principal areas: I propose to limit (1) the Federal Reserve System's membership problem, how it has come about, why it is a problem and what can be done about it, and (2) the issue of charging for Federal Reserve services--why it will be publicly beneficial once the membership burden has been eliminated. Membership Burden While membership in the Federal Reserve System entitles banks to receive free services provided by the System, member banks are required to hold reserves against demand and savings and time deposits either as vault cash or as deposits with Federal Reserve Banks. Non-member banks are permitted by state authorities to hold most of their reserves as earning assets or in the form of balances which the normal course of business would require. Historically, the Federal Reserve has not paid interest on reserves held by member banks 1 so that membership involves a cost equal to the interest foregone on the non-earning balances held at the Federal Reserve. The difference between the value of the services received and the interest foregone equals th~ net burden of membership. If the member bank gives up more in interest revenue than the value of services it receives, then it may be to the member bank's advantage to withdraw from the System and purchase these services from a 32-972 0 - 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 17 250 correspondent. Over the past ten years the net burden of membership has increased sharply as a consequence of the inflation-connected rise in open market interest rates. For all member banks it is esti- mated that the net burden of membership is about 9 percent of 1977 before-tax income. For banks in the $100 million to $1 billion deposit size class, where the most serious erosion of member·ship has occurred in recent years, the net burden is estimated at 10 to 12 percent of pre-tax earnings. The net burden associated with membership in the Federal Reserve System is in effect a Federal franchise tax which member banks must pay but which non-member banks can avoid. Since the Federal Reserve System is the only central bank with voluntary membership, banks can avoid this Federal franchise tax by relinquishing their membership. When Congress passed the Federal Reserve Act it neither foresaw nor intended that Federal Reserve membership would involve a substantial financial burden. The goal of the present legislative package should be to adjust benefits and costs so that the Federal Rese 1rve membership decision will not involve either a net burden or a windfall gain. Decline in Membership During 1977 11 banks in New England and 58 banks in the rest of the U.S. withdrew from the Federal Reserve System. These 11 banks accounted for about 5 percent of the total number of member banks in New England and had deposits of more than 10 percent of total deposits held at all member banks. By the end of 1977 the proportion of insured commercial bank deposits held by member https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 251 banks had fallen below 63 percent in New En~land and 75 percent elsewhere, which compares with figures of 77 percent and 79 percent, respectively, at the end of 1972. In the past, the membership problem has been largely restricted to small banks; but this is no longer the case. During 1977, 8 of the 11 banks which left the System in New England and 7 of the 58 banks which withdrew in the rest of the United States had deposits of $100 million or more. Among them, these 15 banks had total deposits of $3.3 billion. We have discussed the burden of membership in an open and frank manner with our members in New England and attempted to impress upon them that the System intended to seek Congressional action to alleviate the net burden. As a result of these discussions many banks have temporarily postponed their decision pending the outcome of legislation. Thus far in 1978, only three New England banks have announced target dates for withdrawal. However, an additional 34 banks have indicated that they are seriously considering withdrawal from membership. Of these 34 banks, 14 have deposits of $100 million to $500 million, and three have deposits of over $500 million. Together the 37 banks have deposits of $5.3 billion and account for almost 28 percent of deposits held by all member banks in New England. These banks currently keep $273 million in reserves with the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston upon which we earned (and turned over to the Treasury) almost $18 million in 1977. If no action is taken, it is probable that by the end of 1979 Federal Reserve member banks will hold less than half of all commercial bank deposits in New England. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 252 The rate of withdrawal by member banks is substantially greater in New England than elsewhere, although the trend is accelerating around the country. The higher rate of withdrawal by member banks in New England is due to several factors. First, because of aggressive competition from well-established thrift institutions, commercial banks in New England have difficulty in attracting time and savings deposits and as a result tend to have higher ratios of demand deposits to total deposits than do banks in the rest of the country. Because the impact of reserve requirements falls mainly on demand deposits, the net burden of membership is relatively larger for New England banks of a given size than for equivalent banks elsewhere. A second factor responsible for the greater exodus in New England is the impact of NOW accounts and the related fact that thrift institutions, unlike their counterparts in most other sections of the country, can offer full service banking to the consumer. The intensified retail banking competition has resulted in lower profit margins for New England bankers. For example, in 1977, net income before taxes and securities transactions as a percentaee of total assets was 0.76 percent in Massachusetts. The corresponding figure for commercial banks nationally in 1977 was 1.09 percent--more than 43 percent greater. This relatively weak earnings performance has generated pressure to increase earnings by leaving the Federal Reserve and avoiding the Federal banking franchise "tax.'' All of the New England banks that have left the System have done so https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 253 reluctantly, but the pressure of the "bottom line" has been just too great. Why Declining Membership is a Problem The erosion of membership worries me, because the System's very reasons for existence are being threatened. The membership problem impairs the ability of the Federal Reserve to conduct monetary policy with the precision we are seeking. Every time a bank leaves the System our information base on deposits shrinks, the reserve base shrinks relative to the deposit base and the reserve multiplier (the relationship between a change in reserves and a change in deposits) will become more unstable. In an era when precise control of the money supply is given more importance than ever before, the membership problem is weakening the ability of the Federal Reserve to execute monetary policy. In addition, the banking system is rendered more vulnerable and the ability of the economy to withstand financial shocks is lessened by the fact that an increasing proportion of banks do not have access to the discount window. In recent years the development of sophisticated techniques of liability management have lessened the importance of the discount window as a routine source of liquidity, and many banks leaving the System believe that if need should arise they will be able to obtain liquid funds from their large correspondents. In the normal course of events, there is no doubt that the large banks will be able to meet the liquidity needs of their smaller correspondents. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis But if a general liquidity crisis should occur, the 254 large banks may not be able or willing to meet the needs of all non-member banks. Even if thev have the funds available or are able to obtain them from the Federal Reserve, the large banks may be reluctant to assume the substantial credit risks involved in numerous large scale advances to their correspondents. It should be remembered that the original impetus to the formation of the Federal Reserve was the failure of the correspondent network to provide adequate liquidity to country banks during the financial crises of the early 1900s. The Federal Reserve is the only lender that can unconditionally guarantee a sufficient supply of funds in times of crisis, but performance of this guarantee requires a direct relationship between the Federal Reserve and the borrowing bank. The decline in membership thus endangers the performance of a Federal Reserve function which is only of routine importance presently but whose successful implementation in time of crisis is imperative. Two Solutions There are fundamentally two ways of dealing with the problem. One way is to mandate uniform reserve requirements, placing all financial institutions on an equal footing. If the Congress remains unwilling to do this, then it should approve the only alternative solution--to eliminate the excessive burden of membership in the Federal Reserve. The proposal made by the Board of Governors to reduce the membership burden by a combination of reserve requirement reductions and interest payments on reserve balances will solve the problem at little or no cost to the Treasury in the long run. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 255 In my judgment the Board's cost estimates are much too high, since they make no allowance for the effect of increased membership. There is no doubt in my mind that if the Board's program were adopted, most of the New England banks which left the System would rejoin promptly, along with many commercial banks and some savings banks which have never been members. In the long run, I believe that the cost of the Board's program to the Treasury will be less than the cost to the Treasury of doing nothing and suffering the declining revenues produced by a continued decline in membership. Service Charges I would like to turn now to the issue of the pricing of Federal Reserve services. It is an economic truism that any costly service provided free of charge will be overused. Resources are wasted because the cost of providing the service will inevitahly be higher than its value to the margina! user. It is unfortunate that the Federal Reserve must offer free services to memher hanks to partially offset the cost of the non-earning balances they must keep with us as reserves. Both the Federal Reserve and the commercial hanking system would operate more efficiently if they paid depositors a market rate of interest on their deposits and charged for services on the basis of the costs incurred in providing those services. In any industry in which price competition is constrained, competition takes the wasteful form of giving away free services-- and the more competitive the industry the more waste is generated. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 256 We saw this in the brokerage industry before fixed pricing was abolished. We see it now in the commercial banking industry where the more competitive the market, the more institutions compete by offering free services or other amenities which cost more than their value to the consumer. The free checking account is one common example, the proliferation of expensive branches another. For example, New England commercial banks have attempted to compete with one another by increasing the number of banking offices to offer greater convenience to the customer. As a result, total deposits at commercial banks in New England were only about $13.3 million per office at the end of 1977 compared to $20.6 million per office in the rest of the country. The effect of these lower deposits per office is to increase substantially operating costs per dollar of deposits. In 1977 the non-interest expense per dollar of assets at New England commercial banks was almost 26 percent higher than for banks in the rest of the ·country. Ultimately, these higher costs must be borne by the consumer. When banks are charged for Federal Reserve services, they will use those services more sparingly. In some cases they may do more processing of the checks themselves or they may set up more local clearing associations in which they can simply swap checks among themselves, avoiding the Federal Reserve System altogether. To the extent that such services can be performed outside the System at a lower cost, this private market development would simultaneously save money for the public and reduce the heavy check burden which the Federal Reserve now bears. Thus, the introduction of pricing would improve the efficiency of the nation's payment system. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 257 Pricing will also increase efficiency by reducing the use of checks as a means of payment. From 1972 to 1977 the number of private checks processed by the Federal Reserve System increased from 8.4 billion to 13.3 billion or by 58 percent. This rapid growth in the use of checks has imposed substantial costs on both the commercial banks and the Federal Reserve System. If depositors were charged for each check written, future growth in the volume of checks would be substantially reduced (especially in checks for very small amounts), with significant savings for both the commercial banks and the Federal Reserve System. Pricing will also hasten the rate at which substitutes for checks are introduced. At present, the public shows no great enthusiasm for innovations such as electronic funds transfer systems, since the present system of paper checks is provided at no charge. However, if customers were charged the costs of check processing, the relative costs and convenience of EFTS would become more attractive. Pricing would also eliminate another deficiency in the structure of the Federal Reserve System. As matters now stand any bank which requires few System services pays the same membership fee in terms of lost earnings on reserves as does a bank of the same size which uses many System services, Thus, a large member bank with a small correspondent business now carries a much larger net burden than does a member bank of the same size with a large correspondent business. If the System membership package could be unbundled so that member banks were required to pay for all https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 258 the services they receive, we would create a much more equitable and logical system. Unfortunately, the System cannot introduce pricing for its services until the burden of membership is eliminated. The membership problem not only creates obstacles for the efficient conduct of monetary policy but it is blocking the way toward a more efficient and less costly banking system for the American public. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 259 The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Mr. Morris. I am not going, Mr. Sprinkel, to address any specific question to you because I find your whole testimony very persuasive-where we agree, I naturally find jt persuasive; where we don't, I am most interested in what you have to say. I am going to reconsider my thinking. Mr. Morris, you base your proposition that congressional action should be taken to halt attrition in the Federal Reserve membership system largely on two grounds: Ground No. 1, you say that every time a bank leaves the System, our information base on deposits shrinks. My question: Couldn't we solve this monetary control and information problem simply by authorizing the Federal Reserve to collect whatever information it needs on the deposit liabilities and assets of nonmember institutions 1 Wouldn't this be a simpler and more effective way than doling out hundreds of millions of dollars in taxpayer's money in order to induce nonmember institutions to join the Fed i In this connection, I am very sympathetic to the suggestion made by Mr. Sprinkel that maybe the paperwork costs that you would put to depository institutions in making these reports should be borne by the Government, they should be reimbursed. I think that would be fair. Putting that to one side, you can achieve monetary control without a compulsory or semicompulsory or heavily subsidized membership, can't youi Mr. MORRIS. Well, it is a question again of the degree of control. I think information is one of our problems. It is not the only problem. The Committee, the Federal Open Market Committee, found out in March, for example, of this year, that the money supply, M1 , grew at about half of 1 percent faster than we had thought it had grown. I find this kind of information gap in our system completely inexcusable. The CHAIRMAN. Mr. Sprinkel had a couple of suggestions, lag reserves and daily, rather than 1 day a week, reporting, which I think in the future could help. I was cheered that Chairman Miller the other day indicated that the day of lag reserves is nearing its end, it will not be missed, as far as I am concerned. Mr. MORRIS. I have been an advocate of eliminating the lagged reserve procedure within the System. I think we ought to move ahead on that. I haven't seen sufficient study of the proposition to have various banks end their weeks on different days to know what problems that might occasion. But on the surface, my initial impression is that it might not be a bad idea. Until it is studied carefully, r really couldn't take a position. I think you are overlooking some of the other problems I raised. I am very much concerned about the g'l"OWing inability of the Federal Reserve to deal with a large-scale liquidity crisis in this country. The CHAIRMAN. That was the second point I was going to come to, in which you say that, and I am quoting you "an increasing proportion of banks don't have access to the window," and that this may be all ri~ht on a sunny day. You then go on to say that, if a general liQuidity crisis should occur, the large banks may not be able to or willing to meet the needs of all nonmember banks. Since you have raised it as your second point and came out for it quite strongly in your testimony, let me ask my question on that. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 260 Suppose you have this general liquidity crisis, God forbid, but suppose we do. The Federal Reserve under its present authority could open its discount window directly to nonmember institutions, it could exercise that authority. Wouldn't the affected nonmember banks quite eagerly pay the penalty rate of interest in order to maintain the liquidity necessary to their survival~ If so, and I believe that is so, what is the problem~ Why shell out half a billion dollars a year just to keep up the membership in the country club~ Mr. MoRRIS. First of all, with respect to your half billion dollars, Mr. Chairman, I personally feel that the Board's proposals wouldn't cost the Treasury a nickel because I think in the absence of some action by the Congress the erosion in membership is going to continue, and with the erosion in membership will go a decline in revenue to the Treasury which I think is going to be quite commensurate with any cost of the System's proposal. The CnAmMAN. It is interesting to note, though I don't want to divert, that just the other day Chairman Miller testified that higher interest rates were a big, big factor in the tendency toward erosion. That is plausible enough. The higher the interest rate, the more you Jose by sterile deposits. Then he gave us the good news that interest rates were going to come down. Well, if so, you might be getting some members without raising a finger. Mr. MoRRIS. w·ell, I would like to think they are going to come down far enough to deal with the membership problem, but I think that is highly unlikely in the foreseeable future. On this issue of lending to nonmembers, the problem, Mr. Chairman, is the speed with which we can react. I have the authority to make loans to members quickly without reporting what I am doing to Washington until after the fact. We send weekly, monthly, and quarterly reports to the Board. If they think we are doing something wrong, they will let me know about it. I don't have to come to Washington for authority to lend to a member bank. w·e can move very rapidly. But under the present law to make a loan to a nonmember institution, I have to come to Washington and get five of the seven Board members to approve that loan. Now we are talking about a very time-consuming proposition. And there are occasions when I might not even be able to find five of seven Board members. I am talking about a situation in which it is imperative, for the health of the economy, that the Reserve banks be able to move quickly in putting money into the places where that money is needed. Now another reason I think that would cause delay is that vv;e know what is going on in our member banks. We keep weekly charts, showing what happened to their loans, investments, Federal funds position, so on. So if we see a bank with a liquidity problem on the horizon, we are alerted to it in advance. We know the condition of the bank; it is not a surprise to us. On the basis of that knowledge, we can talk to the bank well before it gets into a critical position. If it is a nonmember institution, we https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 261 probably wouldn't even be advised until it is a:bout to go down the chute. I don't think I, as a public official, can lend Government money to an institution about which I know practically nothing just like that. The CHAmMAN. Of course, the amendment backed by such of our members as Mr. Vento, Mr. Lundine, just to name two of them, imposes a rigorous mandate on the Fed to go get that information on nonbanking institutions. I think you do a good job on hanks, but increasingly, as has been pointed out plenty of times, quasi-banks, known as mumc1pal savings banks, savings and loans, and credit unions are creating money. We must have some method. You and the Board of Governors here need some help, which we intend• to give you. My time is almost up. I would however ask Mr. Sprinkel if he cares to comment on either of the points made by Mr. Morris, either what do you do about the liquidity point or the earlier point. Mr. SPRINKEL. Well, if I could add one statement, clarifying statement. I don't want to be interpreted as saying that membership in the Federal Reserve is trivial, and therefore we should do nothing to keep it. I do not like to see specious arguments used for justifying getting all the banks into the System. The point that I made was that we can regulate the money supply without required reserves. That does not convince me, however, that, as a practical matter, we should encourage continued attrition in the membership of the Federal Reserve System. They perform some very important roles, and one of them I think is probably overriding. I think it ~s very important politically that we have strength and support behmd a central bank who has some independence from the Congress, from the administration, within Government, and membership in the Federal Reserve probahly will strengthen that independence. So I just want to make sure that you didn't understand me to say that Mr. Morris is worrying about trivial matters. I don't think you were. The CHAIRMAN. I don't think anybody would have thought that, but it is very clear now. Mr. Pattison. Mr. PATTISON. I am not a banking expert, so you will pardon my ignorance in some of my questions. But isn't the major reason for reserve requirements, whether they be deposited in sterile accounts or whether they be required to be maintained and set aside, that is simply a matter of safety for the depositor; is that not correct? • Mr. MoRRis. I think that was some of the thinking in the original act. But actually since we require all banks to keep those reserves with us, week in and week out, it is not really a liquidity reserve for the banks. It is a fulcrum for monetary policy, but it is not liquidity for the bank. Mr. PATTISON. Isn't the problem one that if you don't have some reserves, whether you keep them in a shoe box or keep them in the Federal Reserve, that you can find yourself with a liquidity crisis quite rapidly and that that is the main reason for the reserves? Mr. SPRINKEL. Unfortunately, the most illiquid asset on the balance sheet is required reserve with the Fed. The only way to get those reserves is to go out of business. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 262 Mr. PATTISON. But if under the State banking system you are just simply required to have a certain amount of assets in treasuries, or whatever else they require you to have them in, that isn't illiquid, you can realize that very quickly. Mr. SPRINKEL. Yes. Mr. PATTISON. That would solve the safety problem if we simply required all financiial institutions, banks, thrifts, savings and loans, anything else, to maintain a certain amount of reserves in their own way, regulated perhaps but invested themselves, as opposed to being put in the Reserve System. Mr. SPRINKEL. Self-survival will insure that. They must have adequate resources to meet drains, to meet transfers of funds. You may want to require it, too. But required reserves does not perform that function. Mr. PATTISON. Required reserves in the-Mr. SPRINKEL. In the form of deposits with the Fed. Mr. PATTISON. But required reserves otherwise would-Mr. Sprinkel, would -you require reserves to be held by ~11 institutions, not in the Fed, but just simply some set-aside safety factors to be held by all institutions? Mr. SPRINKEL. With the Fed? Mr. PATTISON. No, no. Mr. SPRINKEL. They all have requirements of one kind or another, either State requirements-Mr. PATI'ISON. Isn't one of the problems really that the dual banking system says the States regulate certain kinds of institutions or certain institutions, and the Federal Government regul ates other institutions? There is an imbalance sometimes because you hold sterile reserves in the Federal Reserve System and not sterile reserves in the State system. So you have a competition between the two systems. Mr. SPRINKEL. That is correct. Those banks that must set aside assets on which they get zero return bea,r a tax that the other institu1tions do not, and that tax gets passed on to you and me who use the banking services. · I might add, incidentally, that one of the advantages, relating back to Mr. Annunzio's initial question of reducing reserve requirements, that I believe that most of those temporary benefits or profits that appear initially will get competed a.way. That is why I am in :liavor of paying demand deposit interest. It is the public who will benefit from this move, not the hanking industry. Mr. PATTISON. How does that occur in the light of the dual banking system, or can it? How would we require that? Mr. SPRINKEL. You mean if you continue to have some bank members of the Fed and others that are not members? Mr. PATI'ISON. Suppose we took out of the Fed membership the requirement that you hold reserves in the Fed but required just reserves to be held, as manv of the State institutions do, in separate instruments. Mr. SPRINKEL. That would reduce the differential tax, it would eliminate it. The Federal Reserve might well argue they couldn't control the money supply with zero reserve reQuirements. Mr. PATTISON. That is the next question. Mr. SPRINKEL. But I don't agree with that. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 263 Mr. PATTISON. At that point the Fed has two problems, one it has no money that it can use to---Mr. SPRINKEL. Federal Reserve's ability to acquire assets is not a function of how many deposits we have with them, even though many bankers believe that is true. It really isn't true. They have unlimited authority to expand money. Mr. PATTISON. By open market, buying Treasuries and selling Treasuries~ Mr. SPRINKEL. Yes, that is correct. Mr. PATTISON. All right. So your point is that they don't need those sterile reserves to be held at the Fed. Then that would give them a problem, would it not, with the discount window~ From where would they get the money to lend in a discount window~ Mr. SPRINKEL. Same place they get the other money, create it. Mr. PATTISON. That is what I thought. Therefore the point that Mr. Morris makes is that because there is a lot of people who are not able to get to the discount window because they have gotten out of the Fed, could be. resolved by simply making the Fed discount window available to them. Obviously the point he further makes is he doesn't want it to be available to them unless he knows son1ething about them. Couldn't that be solved in the same way that you solve your requirements with the Fed members now 1 Mr. Moruus. Y e.s. But to the extent we make the discount window available to nonmembers as well as members then you have created another reason for members to leave the System. That is a very important reason why banks do not leave the System. Mr. PATTISON. Except it is possible you could pay, as suggested by the chairman, you could require nonmember banks to pay a premium and that would be a disincentive to get out of the Fed. Mr. MoRRIS. Yes. But that premium would look pretty small, no matter how big it was. It would be pretty small against the cost of maintaining noninterest bearing reserves with us. Mr. PATTISON. Then I suppose you could say that everybody has to have the ,availabilitv of the dist'onnt window and everybody pays a certain amount for that privilege, whether you are a member of the Fed or not, that would accomplish the same thing, would it not? Mr. MORRIS. I think something could be structured along those lines, yes. Mr. PATI'ISON. I might point out, Mr. Morris, that Chairman Miller doesn't take the same position that you do about the increase of membership to the l!'ed. He says that these proposals are not intended to attract new members and he says "I don't think the proposals would attract members." And then Mr. Campbell, who te.stified before you, agrees with that also, and he says that the proposals, since they provide the heaviest burden-since the heaviest burden of membership falls on the small banks, the payment of interest on reserves would TI:dound primarily to the large banks. He says explicit pricing would d 1 scourage small banks from becoming members because they get a better deal with correspondent banks. And the discount window, the only unique service provided by the Fed isn't sufficient inducement to get people to go in. So he would differ with you also on whether or not the proposals would attract new members to the Fed. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 264 Mr. MoRRis. Yes. I certainly differ with him in that respect. On the basis of my exit interviews, I think every one of the banks we lost last year would be willing to come back into the System if this package that the Board has proposed were to take legislative form. In fact several of them told me explicitly that they feel that sooner or later the Congress will have to do something about this membership problem, and that when Congress does, they will 1be back in, but in the meantime they will have increased their earnings for several years. Mr. PATI'ISON. Thank you. My time has expired. The CHAIRMAN. Mr. Vento, could I ask you to be kind enough to act as chairman for the remainder of the session~ Permit me to thank Mr. Sprinkel and Mr. Morris for very constructive testimony. Mr. VENTO. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I think I can function from here. I am the last one to ask questions and I too have to make the recorded vote. I will try to be as brief as I can. I looked over both of the testimonies. Mr. Sprinkel, I think that Representative Pattison was looking at a significant factor here in terms of talking about the other types of reserves that might be required by States or by the FDIC or whatever the regulatory mechanism is for the financial institutions. Has anyone looked at that in a comprehensive manner that you can report to us; or for that matter, Mr. Morris, has anyone looked at these particular reserves to determine how sterile they are, what the earnings are~ What I am suggesting is that one of the purposes of these hearings is to look at the eroding membership of the Fed. What is the competition doing which is causing the competition to take place; how sterile~ What 1s the rate for the required reserves, of all the reserves, or however they are held~ Mr. MoRRis. Well, there are some differences among the States. Mr. VENTO. I understand that. But I realize this has to be a general answer, but someone must have looked at that. Mr. MoRRis. Yes, we have. By and large, I think it is true that the State reserve requirements impose no net burden to the State-chartered nonmember hanks, because they permit the reserves to be satisfied by either income-ea.ming assets or non-income-earning assets that the bank would have to hold in the normal course of events. That is, a bank has to hold some cash. A bank does have at any one point in time claims on other banks through the check claim process. These can be counted as reserves in most States. So that I think the short answer to your question, sir, is that there is, by and large, no burden of reserve requirements for nonmember banks. Mr. VENTO. I see nodding approval. I assume that is agreement. Mr. SPRINKEL. Yes. Mr. VENTO. On page 4 of your statement, Mr. Sprinkel, you point out that you disagree with apparently the lowering of reserve requirements, not the lowering but the complete removal from smaller banks, and you suggest that if it is our desire to help smaller banks, that there are other means that would be more efficient. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 265 What, for instance~ Mr. SPRINKEL. The reason I argued that is that if they have zero reserve requirements and other banks have higher reserve requirements, the movement of deposits from one categ<!,ry to another creates more noise in the System and makes it more difficult for the Federal Reserve to predict what the effect of a given action will be on the money supply. I don't know, you can do it with taxes, you can have lower marginal tax requirements on smaller banks. There must be a multitude of ways that do not monkey with the money multiplier. Because the real purpose of the Fed, the major purpose, is to conduct a stabilizing monetary policy. Things that get in the way of it, I would like to find ways around them. Mr. VENTO. The other point on page 2, you recognize demand deposit problems. What is your attitude with regard to the different reserve requirements the Fed proposes for transaction accounts as opposed to demand deposits~ Mr. SPRINKEL. Well, I have the same argument, that is, we have a large multitude of varied reserve requirements now. And if you add to that an additional one, it will make the matter of predictions that much more difficult. Now the Fed obviously doesn't believe that is important, because we have had a tendency in recent years toward greater differentiation in various kinds of marginal reserves. I think it makes it more difficult to regulate and predict the money supply. Mr. VENTO. Putting on two different requirements, you think, is a mistake in terms of reserve requirements for transactions versus demand deposits~ Mr. SPRINKEL. Yes, sir. Mr. VENTO. Mr. Morris, we had quite a discussion. Representative Oakar ·asked a question regarding whaJt. the cost of the Federal Reserve's plan was. You raised the same question today in a very forceful manner. The basis for the •argument thrut the Fed put forward is the plan will attnwt new members and actually not cost anything. As you have observed, the plan provides banks with $5 million or less in deposits will have no reserves held by the Fed. These new members will hold required reserves that they did not hold before. These required reserves are viewed as a tax on commercial banks, both of you say, a tax equal the income they would have earned if they were to invest this money in income-earning securities such as Treasury bills. Without going through the argument any further, let me say why I think it is a wrong argument which obscures the fac't ithaJt. the Fed is ,asking for authority to increase expenditures by hundreds of millions of dollars in perpetuity. A bank joins the Federal Reserve and gives up its nonmember status, agreeing to hold costly, sterile reserves only because its dter!Jax income will rise under tJhe Federal Reserve plan to pay interest on reserves. The banks simply must earn more on its required reserves than it was able to earn on these funds when it was a nonmember bank or it will not change to membership status. The subsidy must be 32-972 0 - 78 - 18 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 266 bigger than the :t,a,x, and this is true of every bank that enters the Fed and of all the banks entering the Fed taken together. It must cost the Fed more than it takes back in taxes for the Treasury or the banks won't change to membership status. Economists tell us that if you transfer real resources to member banks, someone must pay. Is it t'he Treasury which receives lower taxes i I would like Mr. Morris to fully explain why he thinks the Fed proposals would be costless if enough new mem:bers join the Fed. I would say that if you lose fax revenues on the net subsidy required to aitt:mct one member, you don't increase total tax revenues with higher volume. Please begin, Mr. Morris, by telling me how a nonmember bank with less than $5 million deposits, which would be exempt from reserve requirements under the Fed plan, would increase the Treasury's fax revenues by changing the membership stia.tus i I would also like Mr. Sprinkel to comment on this. Mr. MORRIS. Obviously, that par'ticu1'ar bank would not, but the problem that we have had with membership, particu1arly in New England lately, and the thing tha.t disturbs me most is tlhe Fact that we have had very large banks, banks from $100 million to $500 million deposits, leaving the System. I think under our proposal those large banks, particularly around the $1 !billion mark, would still have some net burden of membership. And there would be this half of 1 percent differential between ,tJhe interest we paid out and the interest we have earned. So there would be a nett g,ain financially to the Treasury. In addition to that, if we don't do something, the Board has estimated that 4 years out our Treasury revenues will be from $80 million to $200 million less than they are today, because of additional departures of memberships from the Fede,rial Reserve. This business of lost membership is just getting started. Bankers are very conser¥ative people. They like to do what they are expected to do. They lrike to do what is in good form. In the past it has· been considered good form for a bank of any size to be a member of the Federal Reserve System. That concept is breaking down in New England where it is now considered perfectly good form for ia $500 million bank to leave ithe System, and I th:ink that new mores among bankers is going to spread around the country. When this happens, the loss to the Treasury from nonmembership is going to accelerate. Mr. VENTO. Mr. Sprinkel i Mr. SPRINKEL. Well, this is an empirical issue which I think we really won't know until we try it. However, the direction of change is in the correct one. We know when a member bank drops out of the System, the reserves in the System in the first instance remain the same but required reserves go down, which means there are excess reserves in the System, and the Federal Reserve then has to liquidate some of its assets if it wants to hold the same degree of monetary stringency. Conversely, when they come in the opposite occurs. So that we know at the beginning of this particular system there will be reduced earn- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 267 ings for the Treasury. There is no doubt about it. The question is will other banks either not drop out that would have, or new ones that are out come back in. I suspect that I think Mr. Morris is right when he says that some banks will stay in the System even if it does cost them net. There is a certain prestige to being a member of the Federal Reserve System. So, I don't think you have to get it down to zero cost to get a lot of them to stay. As they come back in, this, of course, will add to the holding of the Government securities by the Federal Reserve, and their earnings will go up. Whether the initial deficit will eventually be offset by some gain later, I don't know. Mr. VENTO. I am almost out of time. I have to run over to vote. I don't want to hold you here beyond that. I have a number of other questions I will submit in writing. On this point, I am going to have to adjourn the meeting, and I will submit additional questions in writing. The chairman asked me to announce we are adjourning until 9 a.m. Friday, August 4, and will continue the hearings on this topic. The committee stands adjourned. [Whereupon, at 1 :05 p.m. the committee adjourned, to reconvene at 9 a.m., Friday, August 4, 1978.J https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONETARY CONTROL AND THE MEMBERSHIP PROBLEM FRIDAY, AUGUST~4, 1978 HousE OF REl'ru:SENTATIVES, COMMITTEE ON BANKING, FINANCE AND URBAN .AFFAIRS, W(l,8hington, D.O. The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 9 a.m., in room 2128, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Henry S. Reuss (chairman of the committee) presiding. Present: ReJ?resentatives Reuss, Moorhead, Gonzalez, Hanley, Mitchell, AuCom, Derrick, Cavanaugh, Vento, Watkins, Stanton, McKinney, Hansen, Hyde, Kelly, Grassley, Fenwick, Leach, and Green. Mr. MITCHELL. Today we continue our hearings on the efficiency of monetary control and Federal Reserve membership. We have before us three bills and an amendment to one of these bills: H.R. 13476 and H.R. 13477, the Federal Reserve proposals submitted by request; H.R. 12706, the Stanton bill, and an amendment to the Stanton bill. Our witnesses today will be: the Honorable George LeMaistre, Chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation; Parke W. Wicks, president and chief executive officer, First Trust & Deposit Co. of Syracuse, N.Y.; Harry E. Leonard, bank commissioner, State of Okl,ahoma, representing the Conference of State Supervisors and accompanied by Dr. Lawrence E. Kreider, executive vice presidenteconomist of the conference; and John Perkins, president, Continental National Bank and president-elect of the American Bankers Association, accompanied by Lei£ Olsen, chief of the economic policy committee of Citibank, New York, N.Y. I have seveml brief announcements to make. The House is now in session. The Congress does work. We started at 9 a.m. this morning. However we have obtained permission to continue the hearings during the time the House is in session. We hope to finish up the other 50-some amendments on the foreign aid hill today. I yield briefly to my distinguished colleague, Mr. Hanley, for a statement at this time. Mr. HANLEY. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. We are delighted to have this distinguished panel before us. I am confident the testimony they offer this morning is going to be of immeasurable assistance to this committee as we deliberate this rather important subject matter. I would be less than candid i£ I didn't say I am especially delighted to note at the table my dear friend and constituent, one who has long heen associated with the commercial banking industry and one who https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (269) 270 many regard as a national expert on the subject matter, Parke W. Wicks. Mr. Wicks, it is ,g-oorl to see you here this morning. I am delighted that you saw fit to respond to the invitation of the committee to appear. Having good knowledge of your background, I am confident that what you say is going to be very meaningful. I am sure that will apply to all of the other members of the panel also. Just one final note. I am sorry to be ad vised that this will be Chairman LeMaistre's swan song. I extend to you my personal appreciation for your many courtesies and certainly throughout your tenure your contribution has been invaluable. The best to you as you proceed through the future. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. MITCHELL. Mr. Hyde, you are the ranking minority member. Do you have an opening statement i Mr. HYDE. I have none. I associate myself with the remarks of yourself, Mr. Chairman, and with Mr. Hanley and I welcome the distinguished panel, particularly Mr. Perkins from my hometown. Mr. MITCHELL. I thought we would proceed by ca.lling on Chairman LeMaistre. Chairman LEMA.ISTRE. I will summarize mv statement. I will ask the entire statement be included in the record: Mr. MITCHELL. Without objection. STATEMENT OF HON. GEORGE A. LeMAISTRE, CHAIRMAN, FEDERAL DEPOSIT INSURANCE CORPORATION Chairman LEMAISTRE, I appreciate the opportunity to testify before this committee and to present the FDIC's views on the Federal Reserve Membership Act of 1978 introduced by Mr. Stanton and the amendment to this bill that has been proposed by Chairman Reuss. During the course of this statement, I shall also discuss the FDIC's views on the Federal Reserve Requirements Act of 1978 and the Interest on Reserves Act of 1978, both introduced at the request of the Federal Reserve System, and the Monetary Policy Data Improvement Act of 1978. I should point out at the outset the Comptroller of the Currency, John Heimann, a member of the FDIC Board, has not had an opportunity to review this statement. The other two members of the Board have agreed on it, but Mr. Heimann has really not seen it. For the most part, the proposals contained in these bills seem to grow out of the Federal Reserve's concern with declining membership. There has been a slow but steady erosion of Federal Reserve membership over the last 10 or 12 years and banks continue to choose to leave the System. Recently this gradual decline has acceleralted. Let me begin by stating our view tha't the legal requirement that the Federal Reserve member banks maintain sterile reserves is inequitable to them and inequitable to their customers. In many States it places member banks 'a.t a competitive disadvantage, vis-a-vis nonmember banks, ·and the several bills which ra,re under discussion propose two solutions. The first is to establish universal https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 271 reserve requirements for all banks or depository inst1tutions ·and the second is to pay interest on r~rves to reduce reserve requirements and to charge banks for Federal Reserve services which are now provided free to member banks. We •strongly oppose the establishment of universal reserve requirements. The alternate proposal is attvacitive on its face and we think deserves thoughtful and sympathetic consideration, but its implementation is not going rto be eiasy because a redressing of the imbalance between member and nonmember banks does raise many difficult issues. These include noitabJy rthe issue of changes in the Federal regulwtory structure, particularly whether the Federal Reserve should continue to exercise supervisory authority and the issue of regulatory reform, pavticu1'arly whether interest rate ceilings and the prohibition of interest on demand deposits ought to be ·abolished. I will attempt to explain how we reached these conclusions by discussing how these two proposals for dealing with the ,attrition of Federal Reserve membership bear on seve11al important J;?Ublic policy considerations: First, the capability of the Federal Reserve System to conduct monetary policy effeotively i second, the bal·ance between State and national banking systems; third, the efficiency and innovative capacity of the banking system; •and fourth, the viability of t'he bankin,r system under liquidity pressures. As to monetary policy effectiveness, according to the Federal Reserve System, the Federal Reserve Requirements Act, of 1978, H.R. 13476, is intended to provide the basis for more effective mone1bary control. Furthermore, the Fedeml Reserve has stated its belief that the decline in. the proportion of deposits held by member banks caused by membership attrition adversely affects the precision with which monetary policy can be conducted. There have been a number of studies of the monetary oontrol issue by economists outside the Federal Reserve and •all of those that I am famili,ar with have concluded that increased Federal Reserve membership •and legal reserve requirements are not imporllant to the effectiveness of monetary policy. The studies are cited in t!he prepared statement that I am filing, and in the interest of time I won~ discuss those studies exoopt to say :tlhat the evidence ·and the opiinions on this i·ssue are dist'inctly one-sided. Knowing the tendency for eoonomists to disagree, I think unanimity in this oose is impressive. We might oonclude that legal reserve requirements ,and 'increased membership are not necessa.ry to the conduct of monet:ary policy. What the Federal Reserve does need to conduct monetary policy effectively is information about monetary aggregates. We support the proposals that make available to the Federal Reserve summary statistics on assets and liabilities of all depository institutions and reports of deposits and required reserves. We do not believe, however, that the adoption of the Monetary Policy Data Improvement Act of 1978 is really necessary. This proposal would require the FDIC to collect data on deposit and cash items each week from a sample of 1,000 nonmember banks, including all those having deposits over $100 million, and to transmit that information to the Federal Reserve. Several years ago, the Federal Reserve became concerned about the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 272 adequacy of its data on the money supply and established a committee which recommended better and more frequent data on nonmember bank deposits. Following that report, the FDIC instituted a special schedule in the quarterly call report for all nonmember banks to provide the Federal Reserve with better information on the money supply. This collection was initiated with the spring 1976 call for report of condition. Also beginning the first week of July 1977, a sample of 580 nonmember banks has been reporting deposit and cash items on a regular weekly basis, the same items as all nonmember banks report four times a year. The Federal Reserve has indicated that it expects the data from these two surveys to enable significant improvement in their estimates of the nonmember bank component of the Nation's money supply. In summary, we believe the need of legal reserve requirements for monetary control purposes is not supported by the weight of available evictence. The evidence to date suggests that monetary policy effectiveness depends on adequate data, proper estimation procedures and appropriate open market operations decisions, and not on reserve requirement jurisdiction. A second broad consideration is the potential impact of these proposals on the dual banking system. We believe the dual system of State and national banks has been a positive element in the American system of government and has contributed to a more innovative and responsive financial system. Accordingly, maintaining a balance between the State and national banking systems is a desirable public policy. Nonetheless, we should not maintain a "balance" for the sake of balance. It is clear that Federal Reserve reserve requirements bear heavily on member banks and result generally in such banks earrying more cash than they otherwisA would. In direct competition with the nonmember bank, a member bank might be disadvantaged. One solution to the problem of equity that we believe should be resisted is the proposal to improve universal reserve requirements on the transactions balances of nonmember depository institutions. If nonmember banks have to maintain reserves at the Federal Reserve just as member banks must do, but have no access or have limited access to the discount window and other system benefits, why not become members¥ The assumption is that obligatory universal reserves would not only make nonmembership unattractive, but many institutions would also be inclined to convert to a national charter. Indeed, even the payment of interest on reserves and lowering of requirements might result in a massive influx into the State member and national systems. If this occurred, many State systems would lose their viability, and the Federal Reserve's and the Comptroller's supervisory authority would have grown substantially without the benefit of congressional consideration. · My point is that the issue of Federal regulatory structure cannot be isolated from this issue of balance. The better of the two proposalsthe payment of interest on reserves and lowering of reserve require- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 273 ments-avoids some serious shortcomings of the universal reserve requirement proposal, but it too may affect the State/Federal balance. The Congress should not allow that issue to be resolved without conscious consideration. The efficiency of the banking system is a third consideration. Market pricmg encourages competition to improve the quality of goods and services and to lower their cost. Presently pricing is absent m at least three areas that bear directly or indirectly upon the legislation under consideration: First, the absence of interest payments on the required reserves of member banks; second, the provision of services by the Federal Reserve to member banks; and third, the prohibition of interest payments on demand deposit balances and deposit interest rate ceilings. As a matter of principle, whether to pay interest on reserves should not be an issue. Presently failure to pay interest is tantamount to the imposition of a tax without calling it that. However, structuring a procedure for paying interest on reserves has raised difficult questions about the appropriate interest rate, concerns about possible windfall gains to large banks, and controversy over what percentage of the Federal Reserve System's revenues should be available for mterest payments. A much simpler approach would be to permit member banks to invest their reserves in interest-bearing securities. The Federal Reserve could determine what kinds of securities should be eligible for this purpose based on considerations such as risk. This approach would permit each bank to make its own choice and obviate the necessity of having the Federal Reserve establish a rate. Presently 36 States allow State nonmember banks to hold at least part of their required reserves in the form of U.S. Government securities. Explicitly, pricing Federal Reserve services should increase the efficiency of our financial system by allowing various financial institutions to purchase the services they desire from the Federal Reserve or private alternatives. The Federal Reserve has stated its opposition to the Stanton bill which it says would require the System to price each service on the basis of costs and a return on capital. This loss of flexibility would place the System at a significant competitive disadvantage. We are sympathetic to its concern about constraints on its flexibility in setting prices, but are not sure that the Stanton bill would require full cost pricing of each service. We would recommend that the matter of pricing guidelines receive careful study prior to the enactment of legislation on the issue of pricing to make sure that the Federal Reserve has pricing flexibility without unfair adva.ntage. Payment of interest on reserves of member banks potentially could nlace nonmember banks at a disadvantage because the 40-year-old prohibition against the payment of interest on demand deposits does not permit member banks to pay interest on correspondent ·balances. These balances often serve as reserves for nonmember banks and serve as well for check-clearing operations and compensation for other correspondent services. If the principle of explicit pricing is adopted for member banks https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 274 then parallel treatment would dictate that banks should have the choice of paying interest on correspondent balances and levying explicit charges for correspondent services. However, if the interest prohibition is lifted for correspondent deposits, it should be lifted for all demand deposits. I have long supported elimination of the prohibition of interest payments on all transactions balances as well as removal of interest rate ceilings on other kinds of deposits. Finally, I would like to discuss some discount window issues. The Federal Reserve believes that the ability of the financial system to handle liquidity "crunches" will weaken if membership attrition continues unabated. It should be understood that the decline in Federal Reserve membership does not impair the ability of the System to cope with the kind of generalized liquidity crisis most of us are concerned about, in which the public demands more cash than the banking system holds. Aggressive open market operations and discount window accommodation to members can provide cash sufficient to meet the public's demand. The decline in membership does impair the ability of the System to minister to a localized liquidity squeeze involving one or 'a few institutions. In the past the Federal Reserve has sometimes resorted to conduit loans in such circumstances; that is, loans to a member bank which in turn provides credit to a nonmember institution. We think that the Federal Reserve should accommodate directly a solvent nonmember bank in such special circumstances. Indeed, we are concerned that membership attrition has contributed to a narrow interpretation of its authority to lend to nonmember institutions in another regard. We believe that emergency borrowings from the Federal Reserve discount window should be available to member and nonmember banks alike upon certification by the FDIC that they are in danger of failing and that such assistance is necessary for a temporary period until a merger, a receivership sale or some other orderly resolution of the bank's problems is arranged. The FDIC, in turn, should be authorized to guamntee the repayment of such borrowings out of the resources of the deposit insurance fund. The legislative proposals "before the committee which address the issue of attrition of Federal Reserve membership raise many of the other difficult issues we have been facing for the past decade-Federal supervisory structure and regulatory reform. The persistent surfacing of these issues is -a measure of the need to address them and resolve them. The job of the Congress in this respect is not easy. I hope that my comments will prove to be help:£ul. Thank you. [Chairman LeMaistre's prepared statement, on behalf of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, follows:] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 275 Statement on Federal Reserve Membership Act of 1978 (H. R. 12706), and Related Legislative Matters Presented to COJIDllittee on Banking, Finance, and Urban Affairs U.S. House of Representatives https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis by George A. LeMaistre, Chairman Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation 276 Mr. Chairman, I appreciate the opportunity to testify before this Committee and present the FDIC's views on the Federal Reserve Membership Act of 1978 (B. R. 12706) introduced by Mr. atanton and the amendment to this bill that has been proposed by Chairman Reuss. During the course of this statement, I shall also discuss the FDIC's views on the Federal Reserve Requirements Act of 1978 (H. R. 13476) and the Interest on Reserves Act of 1978 (B. R. 13477), both introduced at the request of the Federal Reserve System, and the Monetary Policy Data Improvement_Act of 1978 (H. R. 13549). For the most part, the proposals contained in these bills grow out of the Federal Reserve's concern with declining membership. There has been a slow but steady erosion of Federal Reserve membership over the last decade as banks have chosen to leave the System. Recently, this gradual decline accelerated. Since the beginning of 1977, 108 banks have withdrawn from membership. The percentage of total deposits of commercial banks held by Federal Reserve members has decreased from 83 percent in 1965 to nearly 73 percent at the present time. The Federal Reserve System has become increasingly concerned about the attrition of membership and the declining proportion of deposits held by member banks. membership as a solution. For many years it proposed mandatory The proposal never received a serious hearing in the Congress for various reasons, but primarily because of the concern expressed by the States about the impact of mandatory membership on the viability of State banking systems. More recently, the Federal Reserve modified its proposal to provide for mandatory reserves and membership privileges for nonmembers. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 277 Last year, as the problem of membership attrition became more acute, the System proposed payment of interest on required reserves and reductions in the minimum statutory reserve requirement limitations. Those proposals were coupled with the Consumer Financial Services Act (S. 2055) which would have authorized depository institutions to offer NCW accounts. In my testimony before Mr. St Germain's Subcommittee on Financial Institutions Supervision, Regulation, and Insurance last year, I stated that payment of interest on required reserves and reduction of reserve requirements as proposed ins. 2055 would have important implications for the competitive balance between member and nonmember banks, and for the structure of the banking system. I indicated that in my judgment these issues are quite complex and are not related to permitting interest bearing NCW accounts on a national basis. Therefore, I recommended that these issues be dealt with separately and be subjected to careful and reasoned study. These'hearings and those scheduled before the Senate Banking Committee provide the opportunity for the thorough consideration I think is essential. Let me begin by stating our view that the legal requirement that Federal Reserve member banks maintain sterile reserves is inequitable to them and inequitable to their customers. In many States, it also places member banks at a competitive disadvantage vis-a-vis nonmember banks. The several bills under discussion propose two solutions: the first is to ,~ establish universal reserve requirements for all banks or depository institutions, the second is to pay interest on reserves, to reduce reserve requirements, and to charge banks for Federal Reserve services now provided free to member banks. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 278 ✓ For reasons I shall discuss, we strongly oppose the establishment of universal reserve requirements, The alternate proposal, however, is attractive on its face and deserves thoughtful and sympathetic consideration. However, its implementation will not be easy because a redressing of the imbalance between member and nonmember banks raises many of the difficult issues with which the Congress has been wrestling, without resolution, for a number of years. These include, notably, the issue of changes in the Federal regulatory structure, particularly whether the Federal Reserve should continue to exercise supervisory authority1 and the issue of regulatory reform, particularly whather interest rate ceilings and the prohibition of interest on demand deposits should be abolished. In the remainder of this statement I shall explain how we reached these conclusions by discussing how these two proposals for dealing with the attrition of Federal Reserve membership bear on several important public policy considerations: (1) the capability of the Federal Reserve System to conduct monetary policy effectively, (2) the balance between the State and national banking systems, (3) the efficiency and innovative capacity of the banking system, and (4) the viability of the banking system under liquidity pressures. I, .Monetary Policy Effectiveness According to the Federal Reserve System, the Federal Reserve Requirements Act of 1978 (H. R. 13476) is intended to provide the basis for more effective monetary control. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve has stated its belief that the decline in the proportion of deposits held by member banks caused by membership attrition adversely affects the precision with which monetary policy can be conducted. The point is that as a larger portion of deposits becomes subject to https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 279 diverse State reserve requirements the linkage between bank reserves and the money supply becomes less predictable. Of course, estimating the impact on the monetary aggregates of a particular change in reserves becomes more difficult when different banks are subject to different reserve requirements. But this problem would exist even if all banks were subject to universal reserve requirements or if all banks were member banks. Under the present reserve structure of the Federal Reserve, time deposits are subject to different requirements than demand deposits and different size classes of member banks are subject to varying reserve requirements. Hence, a shift of funds among member banks has precisely the same effect of blurring the precision of monetary policy that disturbs the Federal Reserve when nonmember banks are involved. It should be noted that H. R. 13476 would not alter this appreciably, nor would the Reuss amendment which would maintain the present system of varying the percentage of deposits set aside as reserves based on bank size but which would also remove the Federal Reserve's power to change reserve requirements. There have been several studies of the monetary control issue by economists outside the Federal Reserve. All of those that I am familiar with have concluded that increased Federal Reserve membership is not important to the effectiveness of monetary policy. There have been two major statistical studies which attempted to ascertain the impact of uniform reserve requirements for nonmember banks on the implementation o:,_ monetary policy. The first was 0 conducted by Clark warburton for the Commission on Money and Credit. Warburton concluded that nonmember banks are affected by Federal Reserve monetary policy actions in approximately the same way that member banks are. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Another investigation was reported by Dennis 280 ,Starleaf of Iowa State University. M In Starleaf's study the actual money multiplier for the period 1962-1972 was compared with a l money multiplier series simulated under the assumption that all banks were subject to the reserve requirements of·the Federal Reserve. The simulation indicated that had nonmember banks been subject to such reserve requirements there would have been even greater variations in the money stock. Starleaf thus rejected the argument that uniform Federal Reserve reserve requirements are necessary for the implementation of monetary policy. There have also been a number of articles that attempted to analyze the logical arguments and the statistical data that exist ·on this issue. The Hunt Commission concluded that "reserve require- ments are unnecessary for open market operations to control the monetary base effectively.• Carter Golembe, after discussing the difficulties in conducting monetary policy with precision, concluded that, ••• so many factors contribute to the lack of precision and certainty that simply changing the proportion of deposits subject to Federal Reserve requirements from almost 80 percent to nearly 100 percent would be of relatively minor importance. In a 1974 study, Professors Ross Robertson and Almarin Phillips investigated the argument that nonmember banks behave in a differ- ent manner from member banks and that such behavior thwarts implementation of Federal Reserve monetary policy. They concluded that these arguments have no validity: This contention deluded those who are innocent of money matters and even a few who should know better. As has been observed, open market operations are for all practical purposes the instrument of monetary control. Like the rain from heaven that falls on us all, regardless of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 281 our merits, open market operations affect member and nonmember banks alike. There is not one shred of evidence to the contrary. A study conducted by Gary Gilbert and Manferd Peterson at the FDIC found results similar to those of Robertson and Phillips. They concluded that, ••• the behavior of nonmember banks under varying degrees of monetary ease or restraint is relatively similar to that of country member banks. To the extent that systematic behavior of the demand deposits components is important for the effective control of the money supply, there is no indication from available evidence that the nonmember banking segment has hampered monetary policy. Some economists have stressed the caveat that the Federal Reserve could control monetary aggregates without member banks or without reserve requirements. For example, in a 1973 article Henry and Mable *allich stated that, Since intermediation [the function of gathering funds from various entities and lending them to others] is a constructive activity, there ,eems to be no reason why Congress should place burdens upon it beyond those that the tax system imposes on any other form of business. The bulk of commercial banking has been exposed to a special tax, in the form of reserve requirements. It makes no essential difference that the revenues from the tax reach the Treasury via the Federal Reserve. There is no particular reason for this tax, since the Federal Reserve can quite well conduct monetary policy operations without required reserves. The requirement could, then, be phased out to give full effect to the benefits of intermediation. Most economists regard reserve requirements as secondary to open market operations in conducting monetary policy. ~he Federal Reserve has made minimal use of changes in reserve requirements in recent years, in part owing to its fear of aggravating the membership attrition problem. Nonetheless, the limited use of this monetary tool has not 32•972 0 • 78 • 19 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 282 had a noticeable impact on the ability of the Federal Reserve to conduct monetary policy. Furthermore, several studies have shown that open market operations have a timely impact on all commercial bank reserves. These studies indicate that the total impact is felt by banks in some regions within the first 2 weeks following open market operations. In most cases, the impact of open market operations on reserves is transmitted within 6 weeks. Moreover, the length of time for the impact of open market operations to be transmitted is not related to the region's distance from money market centers. What the Federal Reserve does need to conduct monetary policy effectively is information about monetary aggregates. The Reuss amendment to H. R. 12706 would authorize the Federal Reserve, as it deems necessary for the conduct of monetary policy, to obtain from the appropriate Federal agency summary statistics on assets and liabilities of all depository institutions. H. R. 13476 would require depository institutions to report their deposit liabilities and required reserves directly to the Federal Reserve. We support making such information available to the Federal Reserve and have no objection to the adoption of either proposal. We do not believe, however, that adoption of the Monetary Policy Data Improvement Act ·of 1978 (H. R. 13549) is necessary. This proposal would require the FDIC to collect data on deposit and cash items each week from a sample of 1,000 nonmember banks, including all those having deposits exceeding $100 million, and transmit that information to the Federal Reserve. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 283 Several years ago, the Federal Reserve became concerned about the adequacy of its data on the money supply and established a committee chaired by Professor George L. Bach of Stanford University to recommend changes in money supply statistics. One of the maj~r recommendations of the Bach Committee was that better and more frequent data on nonmember bank deposits were desirable. Following that report, ~f«c.:,ol ,._,.~,.le:~ tt..t ..•~"•', ea// ••J'••,f 4,,. ,ol/ the FDIC instituted a .weeltl ¥ SJJnrev gf a sampl a M nonmember banks to ~ provide the Federal Reserve with better information on the money supply. .,.&,. .. :.. ,., ".,._,..,.,c,.. • .,..,f,.J I- c.•-,,._lc. A .,_,.,._., ......... c. e+.tA.,,-.,,·"./a ..... f-1tc. 1 .,,, ~ <:r'ri'\'s'7co'it.c'tlo,f'w~s•tn•t~1iated with the spring 1976 Call for Report of i"ac. lt.lt#M./( Condition. A second step, also recommended by the Bach Committee, went into effect in the first week of July 1977. A sample of 580 nonmember banks is reporting deposit and cash items on a regular weekly basis, the same items as all nonmember banks report four times a year. The Federal Reserve has indicated that it expects the data from these two surveys to enable significant improvements in their estimates of the nonmember bank component of the Nation's money supply. The FDIC and the Federal Reserve have agreed to review this program in mid-1979 to determine whether nonmember bank data are necessary for monetary policy purposes and, if they are, whether the sample of nonmember banks is adequate. In the interest of improving the timeliness of the survey data to the Federal Reserve, the FDIC intends to request the 580 banks participating in the program to submit the data directly to the Federal Reserve rather than through the FDIC regional offices, which is the present procedure. In summary, we believe the need of legal reserve requirements for monetary control purposes is not supported by the weight of available evidence. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The evidence to date suggests that monetary 284 policy effectiveness depends on adequate data, proper estimation procedures and appropriate open market operations decisions, and not on reserve requirement jurisdiction. Bank Supervision and the Exercise of Monetary Policy Representatives of the Federal Reserve System have also argued that significant supervisory and regulatory responsibilities are required for the effective conduct of monetary policy. Chairman Miller reiterated in his testimony before this Committee the Federal Reserve's belief that its activities in the bank supervisory and regulatory area "cannot be readily separated from its job of conducting monetary policy.• In the past, representatives of the Federal Reserve have argued as well that an understanding of the nuances of monetary policy and of developments in the economy· facilitate bank supervision. Three major arguments have been advanced by those who believe bank supervision and regulation and the conduct of monetary policy should be separated. First, it has been argued that the Federal Reserve's responsibility for bank supervision diverts attention from monetary policy formation and that this diversion may reduce its effectiveness in implementing monetary policy. Former Federal Reserve Governor James Robertson voiced this concern in stating: As a practical matter, I believe it would be seriously detrimental to place in the Board the important additional responsibilities that would accompany unification. There are limits to a man's ability effectively to perform his assigned duties. In our complex society, merely keeping informed of what is going on in the national economy is becoming more and more difficult. Developing and implementing appropriate monetary policy at a given time require consideration and evaluation of the significance of an enormous https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 285 volume of available data and their interrelationships. The responsibilities are of such magnitude that the Board should not be also burdened with the performance of bank supervisory functions. Supervision is too important a function in itself to be the Federal Reserve's part-time job. This argument has assumed greater importance today than when first made by Governor Robertson because of the Federal Reserve's mushrooming responsibilities under the civil rights and consumer protection laws and because of the ever increasing burdens of holding company supervision and regulation. second, some observers find the existing concentration of power within the Federal Reserve System disturbing, given the System's insulation from the political process. They would favor separation of the supervisory and monetary policy functions. Third, it is argued that when the implementation of monetary policy goals and bank supervision are combined, the former will inevitably take precedence leading to inconsistent and inequitable bank supervision. For example, it is argued that the monetary authority would be loath to restrain the aggressive policies of a group of overextended money center institutions when monetary policy goals are aimed at credit expansion. Conversely, it is argued that the Federal Reserve might move to check bank holding company expansion on safety and soundness grounds when its actual reason ls to effect a restrictive monetary policy. Events during the period 1971-1975 are cited to support this proposition. Many, including former FDIC Chairman Frank Wille, believe this combination of supervision and the implementation of monetary policy goals to be inappropriate, arguing that bank supervision and regulation should be based upon an independent appraisal of the condition of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 286 the bank and not upon the monetary goals of the moment. Former FDIC Chairman Wille concisely stated the case as follows: The basic problem, of course, is that where the implementation of monetary policy goals is combined with bank regulation and supervision, the former will always be viewed as more important than the latter and the temptation or threat is ever present to use the powers of regulation and supervision to reward banks for their cooperation or to penalize banks for their lack of cooperation with the Board's most recent view of its monetary policy goals. Since those goals change with some frequency, the likelihood of a consistent, evenhanded approach to matters of bank regulation and supervision over any length of time is very much in doubt. Whereas prior to 1970, this ·was a special concern only of large State member banks which the Federal Reserve System actually examined or of member banks forced to the discount window, it is now the concern of every bank in a holding company system. We believe that the first and third of these arguments have merit. Yet, we think that the merits of the Federal Reserve's contention that it is necessary for it to have supervisory and regulatory responsibilities to conduct monetary policy effectively deserve consideration. The Federal Reserve has stated two reasons. First, the Board of Governors has contended that information gained directly from examination and supervision of banks provides a useful input in the formulation of monetary policy. This argument implies that supervisory responsibilities provide the Board with a tangible feel for events in the banking system. Former Governor Bolland argued in testimony before this Committee that "examiner asset evaluations supply firsthand knowledge of the changing quality of credit •••• This provides valuable supplements to the meaning of the quantitative statistics on monetary and credit aggregates.• https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 287 ~e do not disagree that information derived from bank examinations and supervision might be helpful to the Federal Reserve. However, the Federal Reserve does not need to be engaged actively in supervision to obtain such information. It could be attained easily through conversations with supervisory agencies or through participation on their boards. Alternatively, the Board could be given authority to collect information reflecting credit quality by means that do not involve the full panoply of supervisory responsibilities. Second, even if monetary policy benefits from information provided firsthand through direct supervision, which cannot be obtained in other ways, one still must consider whether the value of such information outweighs the very substantial costs in terms of time and resources that are consumed by supervisory and regulatory responsibilities. Finally, many analysts question whether such information can possibly be relevant given the lags between changes in credit quality and the examination and between events in the economy and changes in credit quality. The second reason given for the Federal Reserve's retention of supervisory and regulatory responsibilities is, in effect, that supervisory and regulatory responsibilities and the conduct of monetary policy are mutually reenforcing. Again, testifying before this Committee, then Governor Holland asserted: Now more than ever, the Federal Reserve's role as monetary policymaker and as lender of last resort interacts with the effects of prevailing bank supervisory and regulatory policies. Each of these policies increasingly influences the effectiveness of the other. To divorce them is to weaken both. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 288 Governor Holland argued by way of example that if the bank supervisor alters bank capital or liquidity standards •at an inopportune moment, he can dilute or frustrate for a time the thrust of monetary policy.• The difficulty with this position is obvious and it·is pointed up in former Chairman Wille's arguments. Sometimes objective super- visory standards will and should run counter to the thrust of monetary policy and will, therefore, dilute or tend to frustrate it. This will be the case whether or not supervisio~ is within or outside of the Federal Reserve System.!!!!.!!!! the Federal Reserve is really arguing that supervision and regulation ought to be used to facilitate the implementation of monetary policy. This, of course, would be objected to by those who believe in consistent and equitable supervision and regulation and by monetarists who would argue that the attempt to use such a tool is wholly inappropriate and ultimately an ineffective way to conduct monetary policy, Thus far, we are not persuaded by the case put forward by the Federal Reserve for the importance of bank supervision and regulation to the effective conduct of mone~ary policy, Furthermore, we believe some benefits will be gained from the functional separation of supervision and monetary policy. Therefore, it is our opinion that the attrition of members from the Federal Reserve System and, hence, a lessening of its supervisory and regulatory presence has not interfered with the effective conduct of monetary policy. In summary, based on the available evidence and experience, we tentatively conclude that neither control of reserve requirements in nonmember depository institutions nor supervisory jurisdiction is critical to the conduct of monetary policy. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In fact, 289 , membership might not even be necessary for the Federal Reserve to conduct monetary policy effectively, 11, Dual Banking System Historically, our Nation's banking system has developed within the unique Federal character of our State and national governments. Today this is manifested in the ability of both the States and the Federal Government to charter banks and other kinds of depository institutions. The vitality of this dualism is maintained by permit- ting banks to convert from one chartering authority to another. ~hile some may disagree, we believe the dual system of State and national banks has been a positive element in the American system of government and has contributed to a more innovative and responsive financial system. Accordingly, maintaining a balance between the State and national banking systems is a desirable public policy. The attrition in Federal Reserve membership gives some pause that this balance is more precarious now than it has been in the past. However, despite the decline of Federal Reserve membership, member banks still hold about three-quarters of domestic deposits. Moreover, the largest banks which depend on Federal Reserve clearing and money transfer services represent a hard core of membership and deposits not likely to leave the system. Nonetheless, we should not maintain a "balance" for the sake of balance. It is clear that Federal Reserve reserve requirements bear heavily on member banks and result generally in such banks carrying more cash than they otherwise would. In direct competition with the nonmember bank, a member bank might be disadvantaged. For example, how can a member bank offer the same rate for a $100 time deposit as https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 290 a competing nonmember if the member is able to invest less than its competitor because the law requires it to hold more in cash? Its deposit customers will tend to be offered lower rates, its loan customers will tend to be charged higher rates, or its shareholders will receive lower returns. One solution to the problem of equity that we believe should be resisted is the proposal in H. R. 13476 to impose universal reserve requirements on the transactions balances of nonmember depository institutions. As we explained above, extension of universal reserve requirements to nonmember institutions is not essential to conduct monetary policy effectively. While reserve requirements are primarily responsible for the inequity of Federal Reserve membership, we believe that equity can be achieved in other ways-~such as paying interest on reserves, permitting reserves to be held in the form of marketable securities, or reducing reserve requirements--without the necessity of resorting to universal reserves for all institutions. Universal reserve requirements are perceived as a threat to the integrity of State banking systems. If nonmember banks have to main- tain reserves at the Federal Reserve just as member banks must do, but have no access or have limited access to the discount window and other System benefits, why not become members? The assumption is that obligatory universal reserves would not only make nonmembership unattractive, but many institutions would also be inclined to convert to a national charter. The result would be an imbalance in the dual system in favor of membership and the national banking system. There is little evidence to substantiate the accuracy of such a scenario. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The fear may well be a false one. However, the impact 291 of redressing the reserves imbalance on the dual banking system cannot be predicted accurately. It is conceivable that there would be a massive influx into the State member and national systems. If this occurred, many State systems would lose their viability, and the Federal Reserve's and the Comptroller's supervisory authority would have grown substantially without the benefit of Congressional consideration. My point is that the issue of Federal regulatory structure cannot be isolated from this issue of balance. The better of the two proposals--the payment of interest on reserves and lowering of reserve requirements--avoids some serious shortcomings of the universal reserve requirements proposal, but it holds the potential of an inadvertant resolution of an issue which the Congress has conscientiously debated for many years and which deserves conscious choice for its resolution. III. Banking System Efficiency and Innovativeness Market pricing of goods and services is vital to the efficient allocation and use of those goods and services. In the words of Milton Friedman, pricing is highly desirable " ••• to prevent the waste that arises from the absence of specific charges for them." Generally, market pricing encourages competition to improve the quality of goods and services and to lower their cost. Presently, pricing is absent in at least three areas that bear directly or indirectly upon the legislation under consideration: (l) the absence of interest payment on the required reserves of member banks, (2) the provision of services by the Federal Reserve to member banks, and (3) the prohibition of interest payments on demand deposit balances and deposit interest rate ceilings. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis I will address each in turn. 292 Interest on Reserves As a matter of principle, whether to pay interest on reserves should not be an issue. Presently, failure to pay interest is tantamount to the imposition of a tax without calling it that. A substantial amount of the revenue foregone by member banks is passed on to the Treasury Department by the Federal Reserve. Some of the revenue is used by the System to offset the cost of providing "free• services to member banks. If it were the national policy to tax banks, it would be preferable to levy the tax directly on all banks and other depository institutions as well. Then all would be treated equally. Concern has been raised about the adverse impact payment of interest on reserves would have on Treasury revenues. This concern has lead to attempts to structure a procedure for paying interest while minimizing the loss in Treasury revenues. However, structur- ing a procedure for paying interest bogs down in questions about the appropriate interest rate, concerns about possible windfall gains to to large banks, and controversy over what percentage of the ~ederal Reserve System's revenues should be available for interest payments. We submit that none of this is really necessary. It imposes the subjective judgment of men in dealing with the cost of membership when the market system could probably do better. Why not permit member banks to invest their reserves in interest bearing securities? The Federal Reserve could determine what kinds of securities should be eligible for this purpose based on considerations such as risk. This approach would permit each bank to make its own choice and obviate the necessity of having the Federal Reserve establish a rate. Presently, 36 States allow State nonmember banks to hold at least https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 293 part of their required reserves in the form of U.S. Government securities. To our knowledge, such a change would not have any significant impact on the effective conduct of monetary policy. If either the loss of Treasury revenues or subsidization of small banks were felt to be important problems, we would recommend that the Congress address these problems directly through national tax policy. To the extent that our faith in the efficacy of the market system might be misplaced, we are willing to endorse the provision in Section 3 of B. R. 12706 (Stanton bill) that would require the Board of Governors to prepare a study on permitting member banks to invest their reserves in securities. Pricing of Services Explicitly pricing Federal Reserve services should increase the efficiency of our financial system by allowing various financial institutions to purchase the services they desire from the Federal Reserve or private alternatives, major services are: Among the Federal Reserve System's operation of the payments system, including check processing and transportation and automated clearinghouse servicesi pickup and delivery of coin and currencyi wire transfers, purchase, sale, safekeeping and clearing securitiesi and operation of the discount window. The Federal Reserve has proposed pricing most of these services except the discount window in a two-phase process. In the first phase, pricing of services would be limited to those connected with the payments mechanism and access would be limited to member banks. This would permit the Federal Reserve time to develop appropriate https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 294 prices before bringing in all deposit·ory institutions. Services would be priced according to geographic region and whether the activity in question is processed through a city bank, country bank, regional check processing center, or interdistrict transfer. Non- member institutions would be permitted to deposit intraregional checks and drafts through regional check processing centers. In the second phase, nonmembers could purchase virtually all services the Federal Reserve has to offer, but would continue to clear checks and drafts through reserve accounts of member banks. Charges for services would not be determined on the basis of membership. The Stanton bill would require the Federal Reserve to price each service explicitly, based on all the costs of providing the service including overhead plus a return on capital. The Federal Reserve would be required to offer each service to every depository institution at the same fee. If interest were paid on member bank reserves, by whatever means, pricing of Federal Reserve services would be essential to prevent discriminatory treatment of nonmember depository institutions. Pricing of services also is sound policy because it would enhance the efficiency of the financial system. This would provide a better opportunity for the correspondent banking system to compete with the Federal Reserve. Such competition, in turn, should encourage the Federal Reserve to eliminate waste, to improve services and to offer new ones. The Federal Reserve has stated its opposition to the Stanton bill which would require the System to price each service on the basis of costs and a return on capital. Governor Coldwell pointed out that private competitors would not be required to price services separately as the Stanton bill would require of the System. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis This loss 295 of flexibility would place the System at a significant competitive disadvantage. It should be noted, however, that if the Federal Reserve is not subject to pricing guidelines of some sort, it could achieve the same advantage that the Stanton bill would provide to private competitors. Assuming that it. is good public policy to maintain a significant presence for the Federal Reserve in the payments mechanism, we are sympathetic to its concern about constraints on its flexibility in setting prices. Therefore, we would recommend that the matter of pricing guidelines receive careful study prior to the enactment of legislation on the issue of pricing. Some of the reason~ for favoring such an intermediate approach and some of the matters that need to be considered are discussed below. The costs of producing the same service for a variety of customers may differ in various areas of the country because labor and capital costs are not equal. Thus, it may be more efficient to allow the Federal Reserve to charge different prices according to the costs of providing services to different customers. The cost of providing a certain service to nonmember banks and nonbank depository institutions could be below the cost of providing-the same service only to member banks. service were utilized. This could result from the way in which a For example, a credit union may not require daily pickup and delivery of coins or currency, or a savings and loan association might not complete security transactions as often as a commercial bank. To allow the Federal Reserve some flexibility in developing and implementing a pricing system, the Federal Reserve could be permitted to price services explicitly by broad service classes. One price schedule might be developed for payments services, another for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 296 securities services, and another for transportation. Perhaps a cost- plus pricing system could be developed for the services now provided by the Federal Reserve, and the markup over the cost of providing the service might be limited to a fixed percentage. There seem to be economies of scale associated with at least some services that the Federal Reserve now provides. If these economies are pervasive, the Federal Reserve will be able to offer the relevant service at a lower price than any private competitor. There is nothing undesirable about this, but the result should be determined by experience, not fiat. It is not unlikely that the Federal Reserve has a natural monopoly on some services because private competitors could not attract sufficient volume to offer the same services at as low a price. According to materials that former Federal Reserve Chairman Burns submitted to Senator Proxmire on October 4, 1977, in recent years the per unit costs of conventional ch~ck processing, return items, transfer of funds, and automated clearinghouse activities have declined as volumes increased. If these trends continue, the private sec~or might not be able to offer competing services at costs that are as low as those incurred by the Federal Reserve. On the other hand, the cash services offered by the Federal Reserve do not seem to show declining costs with increasing volumes. In an electronic banking environment, it is not clear that several payments systems can compete efficiently. However, in this regard the private bank wire continues to compete with the Federal Reserve wire, and networks of correspondent banks provide payment services that are preferred by some member banks over Federal Reserve payment services. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 297 Interest on Demand Deposits Payment of interest on reserves of member banks potentially could place nonmember banks at a disadvantage because the 40-year old prohibition against the payment of interest on demand deposits does not permit member banks to pay interest on correspondent balances. These balances often serve as reserves for nonmember banks and serve as well for check clearing operations and compensation for other correspondent services. If the principle of explicit pricing is adopted for member banks, then parallel treatment would dictate that banks should have the choice of paying interest on correspondent balances and levying explicit charges for correspondent services. There can be little doubt that this would increase the efficiency of the financial system. As a matter of principle, if the interest prohibition is lifted for correspondent deposits, it should be lifted for all demand deposits. I have long supported elimination of the prohibition of interest payments on all transactions balances as well as removal of interest rate ceilings on other kinds of deposits. Economists have demonstrated that there is no merit to the contention that competition for demand deposits through the payment of interest led to bank failures during the Depression as some contend. They have also demonstrated, at least to our satisfaction, that competition for deposits through the pricing mechanism would result in a more efficient allocation of resources than competition through indirect means involving the implicit payment of interest by building more branches, keeping open longer hours, providing free checking services, offering premiums and free travelers' checks, as well as a variety of other services. Such competition would lead to substantial benefits for both financial institutions and bank customers. 32-972 0 • 78 • 20 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 298 Under the present system of implicit interest payments on checking accounts, depositors are denied the opportunity to determine for themselves how they wish to spend their portion of the income the bank earns on their deposits. If interest were paid, a depositor might choose to consume the same services that banks now offer in the course of competing with other institutions for accounts or a depositor might choose to forego such services and spend interest income on different goods and services. This is an important benefit--consumers would decide how to spend their interest income, not the banks. Free- or below-actual-cost checking encourages inefficient use of resources because depositors have little or no incentive to economize on check writing, even though check clearance costs are substantial. Direct charges for checks are likely to prompt depositors to write fewer checks. checks. Such fees should cover a substantial cost of clearing Management's adoption of pricing policies more nearly in line with the costs of providing services to customers will enhance a financial institution's capability of paying a c9mpetitive interest rate on deposit balances without impairing earnings. Payment of competitive interest rates will lower some operating costs by reducing the need for customers to transfer funds from noninterest bearing checking accounts to savings accounts. Thus depositors will no longer find it necessary to maintain separate checking and savings accounts. Customers will not need to spend as much time and effort in managing deposit balances, particularly when interest rates are high. Also, existing inequities, whereby some depositors pay less than the cost of servicing their accounts will be eliminated. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 299 IV. Banking System Viability and Liquidity Pressures One of the important functions of the Federal Reserve System is to serve as the Nation's lender of last resort. Through the vehicle of the discount window, the Federal Reserve is able to provide liquidity when it is needed. The discount window acts as a safety valve by permitting the Federal Reserve to cushion the impact of a tight monetary policy on individual institutions. It can also assist member banks in meeting routine but unexpected loan demand or deposit withdrawals, seasonal liquidity requirements, and emergency liquidity needs. expected to be to the market. A member bank's first recourse is If sufficient funds are not available in the market, the Reserve Bank might provide accommodation, but it is understood that it is temporary. Each member bank must eliminate its discount window borrowings within a reasonable period. Reserve Banks also require member banks to pledge collateral, typically of high quality. The Federal Reserve Act authorizes entities other than member banks to use the discount window only under •unusual and exigent" circumstances. As a result, the Federal Reserve indicates, for example, that no nonmember bank has borrowed from the discount window since 1966. While nonmember banks also face unexpected needs for liquidity, they ordinarily cope with them with little difficulty by borrowing from correspondent banks in much the same way that members do from the Federal Reserve. Indeed, even when· nonmember banks are in trouble, it is generally possible for them to borrow from correspondents if they have sufficient and acceptable collateral. To be sure, the lending bank may also impose special conditions on the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 300 borrowing bank. But in that regard, the Federal Reserve also behaves like a careful creditor in accommodating a floundering bank. It makes sure such loans are well collaterized, that its interest in the collateral is perfected, and that the borrowing bank is solvent. Thus, the fact that nonmembers do not have window accommodation is not seriously disadvantageous in most circumstances. The Federal Reserve believes that the ability of the financial system to handle liquidity •crunches• will weaken if membership attrition continues unabated. It should be understood that the decline in Federal Reserve membership does not impair the ability of the System to cope with the kind of generalized liquidity crisis most of us are concerned about, in which the public demands more cash than the ba.nking system holds. Aggressive open market operations and discount window accommodation to members can provide cash sufficient to meet the public's demand. The decline in membership does impair the ability of the system to minister to a localized liquidity squeeze involving one or a few institutions. In the past, the Federal Reserve has sometimes resorted to conduit loans in such circumstances--that is, loans to a member bank which in turn provide credit to a nonmember institution. We think that the Federal Reserve should accommodate a nonmember bank directly in such special circumstances. Indeed, we are concerned that membership attrition has contributed to a narrow interpretation of the words •unusual and exigent• by the Federal Reserve. If experience is a guide, these words appear to be interpreted by the Board of Governors as requiring a national emergency before a Reserve Bank would be authorized to lend to a nonmember institution. The interpretation could be less restrictive, but at the present time it does not appear that the Board of Governors is willing https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 301 to interpret •unusual and Exigent• circumstance as extending to situations that are unique to an inidividual nonmember institution. The unwillingness of the Federal Reserve· to open the discount window ·to American Bank and Trust of Orangeburg, South Carolina, in September 1974 led the FDIC to take the unusual step of providing short-term liquidity directly to the bank under Section 13(c) of the FDI Act. This was the only time the FDIC ever took such action for temporary liquidity purposes.* Former FDIC Chairman Frank Wille in a letter to Mr. St Germain in January 1975 stated: I believe that the statutory provisions, regulations and policies surrounding direct Federal Reserve loans to nonmember banks need to be reviewed and a procedure adopted whereby the failure of a nonmember bank will not be precipitated by a sudden and purely temporary need for liquidity. We share Chairman Willa's concern. We believe that emergency borrowings from the Federal Reserve discount window should be available to member and nonmember banks alike upon certification by the PDIC that they are in danger of failing and that such assistance is necessary for a temporary period until a merger, a receivership sale or some other orderly resolution of the bank's problems is arranged. The FDIC, in turn, should be authorized to guarantee the repayment of such borrowingeoout of the resources of the deposit insurance fund. In connection with this authority, the FDIC should be required by law to keep the Federal Reserve fully informed with up-to-date information as to the financial condition of all banks certified to borrow from the discount window under this provision. *Two weeks later the bank was closed. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 302 Mr. MITCHELL. Thank you very much. I think it would be best if we heard from the rest of the witnesses so that we can question them all at the same time. Thank you very much for your testimony. Mr. Wicks. STATEMENT OF PARKE W. WICKS, PRESIDENT AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, FIRST TRUST & DEPOSIT CO., SYRACUSE, N.Y. Mr. WICKS. I appreciate the fine introduction I received from my good friend, Congressman Hanley. I am Parke W. Wicks, president and chief executive officer of First Trust & Deposit Co. of Syracuse, N.Y. We welcome the opportunity to meet with you and to share our views on the Federal Reserve membership issue. By way of background, First Trust & Deposit Co. is a $500-millionasset commercial bank serving a five-county central New York marketing area of approximately 1 million people. We operate a network of 43 branch locations and 50 point-of-sale electronic fund transfer terminals. We are a subsidiary of First Commercial Banks, Inc., an upstate New York holding company comprised of six commercial banks covering 23 counties, and with assets of $1.9 billion. I am pleased to be serving, as well, as a director of this organization. First Trust's local roots go back well over a century. Today we are a strong community bank with more than 56 percent of our business mix going into the consumer segment. Of our $80 million mortgage portfolio, 99 percent goes to work right in New York State. This is despite the fact that New York is the only State in the Union which limits its return to 8.5 percent on residential mortgages. This past January the board of directors of our bank voted to withdraw from the Federal Reserve System. This action was taken concurrently with two of our affiliate banks, Kingston Trust Co. and Oystermen's Bank & Trust Co. On Wednesday, August 2, we effected withdrawal. This was not an easy decision. Our relationship with the Fed goes back to December 24, 1913, when we applied to join the newly formed Federal Reserve System as a charter member. Over the years a most pleasant and professional working relationship developed mutually. But, during this 65-year period the overall banking climate has changed. In recognition of these changes, we undertook a complete review of the potential benefits of withdrawal in 1973. While identifying the possible monetary advantages, we concluded that congressional action to correct the developing inequities of Fed membership was imminent. Consequently, we decided to withhold action. Here we are 5 years later and what has happened i Continued inflation and high money rates make the opportunity cost of Fed membership greater than ever. There are other factors: The NOW experiment in New England; third party payment powers by thrift institutions in New York and other States; automatic transfer powers with resultant interest on transaction accounts; the continuing question of interest parity and https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 303 its impact on our market base; and the prospect of interest on Treasury tax and loan deposits. These all serve to deplete our profit markings at a time when bank capital ratios are at their lowest levels since the depression. In my capacity as a director of a bank holding company, capital formation in today's marketplace has to be our prime concern. In executing our responsibility to our shareholders and our depositors, we must look not only to ways to increase the profits of the bank and therefore improve our rate of internal capital generation, but also to make our stock more attractive to the investor. In this way we can continue to be innovative in our products and to meet the needs of the communities we serve. Withdrawal from the Fed offers us the opportunity to do just this. As an illustration, I will use our 1977 average balance sheet figures. During the year we had an average of $396 million in deposits. Against this total we were required to maintain $23 million in sterile reserve assets which includes cash on hand and balances with Fed. This is approximately 6 percent of our deposits. Because of the difference in reserve requirements, and by definition those assets which qualify as reserve for a State nonmember bank, we are able to free-up for our use approximately $11 million. This is in line with a study published by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis in March 1978, entitled "Federal Reserve Requirements and Their Enforcement: A Comparison Across States." In reference to the services hitherto performed by the Fed, we are able to obtain these services from our correspondent banks for approximately $1.5 million compensating balances, which perform double duty as part of our reserve base. This includes substantial lines of credit to replace lost Fed window borrowing privileges. At current money market rates, we are estimating the net after-tax impact upon First Trust at $380,000 on an annual basis. This equates to a 10-percent increase in our return on assets. In your deliberations, I request you give serious consideration to the cost to member banks of the sterile balances maintained at the Fed, and its detrimental effect on both the Fed membership question and banking practices in general. I believe Congress should also consider the issue of reserve inequities, especially as they exist between the commercial banks and thrift institutions which have the advantages of third party payment accounts combined with the interest differential. I am convinced that unless these inequities are resolved, the attention in Fed membership will continue at an accelerated rate. IDtimately any solution must incorporate, in my opinion, a reasonable rate of return on reserves based on prevailing market conditions, an equitable distribution of reserve requirements and a competitive fee structure for services performed. I firmly believe that, to be effective, any legislation must look beyond the short-term impact on the Treasury. Mr. MI'1.1cHELL. We thank you for your presentation and for accommodating the committee by being here this morning. Mr. Leonard? https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 304 STATEMENT OF HARRY E. LEONARD, BANK COMMISSIONER, STATE OF OKLAHOMA, PRESIDENT-ELECT, CONFERENCE OF STATE BANK SUPERVISORS, ON BEHALF OF THE CONFERENCE; ACCOMPANIED BY DR. LAWRENCE E. KREIDER, EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENTECONOMIST, CONFERENCE OF STATE BANK SUPERVISORS Mr. LEoNARD. Mr. Chairman, my name is Harry E. Leonard. I am bank commissioner for the State of Oklahoma and president-elect of the Conference of State Bank Supervisors-CSBS-on whose behalf I am testifying today. With me is Dr. Lawrence E. Kreider, executive vice presidenteconomist of the conference. CSBS is the nationwide organization of State officials who constitute the primary chartering, examination and regulatory source of 10,550 State-chartered commercial plus mutual savings banks with total assets of $670 billion. CSBS is particularly appreciative of the opportunity to testify on H.R. 12706, the "Federal Reserve Membership Act of 1978" and related proposals. 1 The House Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs is to be commended for its approach to the request for these hearings. Your insights, Mr. Chairman, on the tools the Fed needs-and doesn't need-to discharge its monetary policy responsibilities are most rncouraging to observe. The conference agrees with a number of comments expressed by the chairman and reported in the Congressional Record of Friday, July 14, 1978, particularly with reference to the Fed· not needing universal reserve-setting authority for its monetary policy role. The conference wishes to emphasize that our comments today are intended to be supportive of what appears to be the committee's basic goals in these hearings. We do, however, wish to offer for your consideration some concepts which might be developed as alternative approaches toward objectives we share in common. Our emphasis will be on H.R. 12706, as amended, since the chairman has recommended that it be the primary legislative vehicle at these hearings and since it has a more meritorious foundation than related proposals under consideration. First, however, it should be recognized by all-as the chairman of this committee implied in statements on the floor of the House-that the so-called "Federal Reserve membership problem" is of a somewhat different nature than some have claimed. To our knowledge, for example, it has not been demonstrated that the decline in Fed membership was a significant causal factor in faulty monetary policies during much of the period from 1965 to 1975. Indeed, there is a widely held contrary belief by monetary observers from outside the Federal Reserve System and by some from within. Declining Federal Reserve membership, if it is a problem, is primarily of a practical political constituency nature. It goes to the question of how much unbridled power an independent public agency should have. Further, to the extent it reflects ineQuitable treatment of some member banks, the Fed unilaterally or with readily acceptable statu https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 305 tory changes could have largely or entirely solved the problem long ago. . . . On the other side of the issue, it has been observed that withdrawals to date from the Fed have strengthened the ability of the priy~te correspondent banking system to serve the thousands of commumties of our Nation. Second, if it is feared that further withdrawals might at some future date create monetary problems-even though such fears are not justified by available evidence-it must be recognized that there is a floor below which membership will not fall. That floor is established by the fact that the majority of member bank assets are now in banks that enjoy net benefits from membership. As you know, membership normally is one requisite to a dynamic correspondent banking operation by individual banks. A summary of related data illustrates this point. At the beginning of this year, 74 percent of all insured commercial bank deposits were in member banks. Approximately two-thirds of these deposits were in banks with $5 million or more of correspondent "due to" balances, and a large proportion of the banks holding significant amounts of correspondent deposit liabilities will remain as a Fed membership base. There is a strong relationship between Fed membership and correspondent banking services as evidenced by the fact that 95 percent of the aggregate deposits of correspondent-type banks are in members banks as compared with the figure of 74 percent noted earlier for all insured commercial banks, including noncorrespondent types. Further, observations of banks which have withdrawn from the Fed reveal that very few of them are heavily involved in correspondent banking. Those that are heavily involved tend to stay in the System. In addition to this strong correspondent bank Fed membership base, numerous other banks will remain as members for a variety of reasons. The chairman of this committee appropriately recognized this strong base of continuing membership when he referred on the floor of the House on July 14 to "the many banks which have no intention of leaving the Federal Reserve System." Further, each withdrawal makes it more attractive for remaining member banks to stay with the Fed because each withdrawal tends to transfer balances from the Fed to private correspondent banks. This increases the total "pie" of correspondent balances for which correspondent bankers who are members of the Fed can then compete. Thus, if some level of membership is significant from monetary policy or public interest standpoints, and we doubt that it is, there is a floor which will assure that a majority of commP-rcial hank deposits remain in "Fed constituent" banks. Third, inequities which may now exist between member/nonmember bank groups and between members could largely be eliminated by r~latively moderate adjustments in Fed reserve requirements. A reduction of 1 percentage point, for example, in reserve requirements for certain member banks would largely solve the equitable treatment problem. I will comment in more detail on that noint later. In view of the facts that declining Fed membership has not contributed significantly to monetary policy imperfections, a floor limiting https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 306 withdrawals exists, and any inequities between banks that may be attributable to Fed reserve requirements largely could be eliminated by relatively moderate adjustments in reserve requirements, the conference believes that the much publicized Fed membership problem is of a different nature and less serious from the monetary policy and public interest standpoints than claimed by some Fed officials. I£, however, the committee is of the judgment that action must be taken for Fed "constituency" or whatever reasons, to limit withdrawals from the Fed, the conference respectfully suggests a congressional program which would have the following benefits: Minimize the net impact on the Federal budget; encourage most member hanks to remain in the Fed; reduce the reserve burden on all member banks; permit the private correspondent banking system to compete more effectively for correspondent business; cause a minimum of disruption of desirable interbank relationships and bank services; achieve more equitable treatment between correspondent and noncorrespondent types of banks; and be relatively simple to implement and be effective. These goals can be accomplished by one or more of the following alternatives: First, consistent with a basic concept introduced in H.R. 12706 as amended, set reserves on the first $10 million of the total amount of demand deposits and transaction accounts of any member bank at a :reduced level of 4 percent. All member banks would get some relief. Smaller member banks, however, would get proportionately more relief from reserve burdens than would larger banks. This alternative would impose a smaller net burden on the Federal budget than H.R. 12706, as amended, and far less than the burden which would be imposed by Fed proposals, yet it would achieve goals sought by H.R. 12706, as amended. Further, this proposal would reduce the possibility of a "reserve war" between the States and the Fed which might ensue if reserves were removed completely on the first $10 million of member bank deposits. Second, reduce reserve requirements by 1 or 2 percentage points below present schedules for member banks not heavily involved in correspondent banking. The criterion for "heavily involved" could be set using a ratio of correspondent balance liabilities to total deposits. A ratio of 0.02 to 0.03 would be a reasonable division between "heavily involved" and "not heavily involved." As a specific example, a member bank with net demand deposits of $8 million, time deposits of $8 million, total deposits of $16 million, and correspondent demand balance liabilities less than $320,000, would have reserves reduced by 1 percentage point on each of its deposit categories or by 2 percentage points on demand deposits. A gradual reserve requirement transition between the two ratios of 0.02 to 0.03 could be established. This proposal would free less reserves than the first alternative above, H.R. 12706, as amended, and Fed proposals; would therefore minimize the drain on the Federal budget and wonld reduce the reserve burden most selectively and accurately for those member banks which may presently be tempted to withdraw from the Fed. This proposal most closely represents a "rifleshot'' solution to the prob- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 307 lem. It suffers, however, from the fact that it would inject into the reserve determination process a criterion other than deposits and would also add arithmetic complications to the reserve schedule. Third, set reserves on all member bank net demand deposits at 1 percentage point below the present schedule. This would free approximately $1.8 billion of reserves. It would, however, reduce reserves for banks not likely to withdraw just as it would those seriously considering withdrawal. From an ideal conceptual standpoint, the second alternative above is advantageous. It would go sharply to the problem. From a practical standpoint, however, the first alternative may be preferred since it would be less complicated, yet would largely achieve goals stated by the chairman of this committee, and achieve benefits listed above. The third alternative has the advantage of simplicity. It has serious disadvantages, however, in that it would be more oostly to the Federal budget and would tend to create inequita:ble treatment between classes of member banks and between member and nonmember banks. The conference would like to recommend that the committtee give serious consideration to alternative No. 1 above, which is a modification of H.R. 12706 as amended. These proposals do not include compulsory affiliation of nonmember banks or other depository institutions with the Fed for reserve purposes. The conference wishes to support the Chairman's statements on the floor of the House on July 14 to the effect that universal reserve requirements are not necessary for improved monetary control, would unnecessarily impose burdens on certain banks ,and would extend the regulatory jurisdiction of the Fed beyond present limits thus upsetting the long-established regulatory jurisdictions of State banking departments and others. CSBS has testified on previous occasions in support of continued optional affiliation with the Fed for reserve purposes, has documented this support with an in-depth study entitled "Optional Affiliation with the Federal Reserve System for Reserve Purposes Is Consistent With Effective Monetary Policies," and knows of no showing by the Fed to document its contention that compulsory affiliation is necessary for effective monetary policy. The proposal for compulsory affiliation for reserve purposes is with~ out redeeming merit from a national interest standpoint. Congress very wisely has consistently rejected such a proposal, and it should forever be discarded. Further, the proposals outlined above by CSBS do not explicitly include the collection of additional data which may be needed for the conduct of monetary policy. CSBS, however, favors the ready availability to the Fed of statistical or other data for monetary policy purposes whenever there is a demonstrated need, and it has cooperated with the Fed and others whenever a need has been shown to exist. E-ach request for data. however. should stand the test of cost/ benefit analysis. The Fed should not have the unrestrained right to any and all data it might reauest, or in the form it might request it. Experience suggests that such authority could likely violate cost/benefit nrinciples. CSBS agrees with the Chafrman's reported view that such data should be collected through established sources, including the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 308 FDIC and State banking departments for State-chartered nonmember banks. CSBS at this time is not prepared to comment officially on the issue of pegging the discount rate to a money market rate; nor on the complex question of payment of interest on reserves up to an aggregate amount received by the Fed from explicit charges for services; or on the question of who should set reserve requirements. These are certainly valid questions for this committee to raise. As the specifics of these proposals and their impact on CSBS goals of strong State banking departments and effective State/Federal checks and balances become more clear, we would ask if we might be permitted to submit a supplementary statement to the committee. Mr. Chairman, thank you for the opportunity to testify on important issues which are being pursued in depth by your committee. Mr. MITCHELL. We thank you for your very provocative testimony. Certainly we would welcome the submission of a supplementary statement. Mr. LEONARD. Thank you. Mr. MITCHELL. Mr. Perkins i STATEMENT OF JOHN H. PERKINS, PRESIDENT, CONTINENTAL ' ILLINOIS NATIONAL BANK & TRUST CO., CHICAGO, ILL., PRESIDENT-ELECT, AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION, ON BEHALF OF THE ASSOCIATION; ACCOMPANIED BY LEIF OLSEN, CHIEF, ECONOMIC POLICY COMMITTEE OF CITIBANK, NEW YORK, N.Y., AND CHAIRMAN, ECONOMIC ADVISORY COMMITTEE, AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION Mr. PERKINS. Mr. Chairman and members of the committee, I am John H. Perkins, president of the Continental Illinois National Bank ~ Trust Co. of Chicago, Ill. I would like to ask that my prepared statement be incorporated in the record at this time and I will summarize it. Mr. MITCHELL. Without objection, that will be done. Mr. PERKINS. I am also president-elect of the American Bankers Association, a trade association whose membership includes more than 92 percent of the Nation's 14,383 full-service banks. Accompanying me is Leif Olsen, chairman of the economic policy committee, Citibank, New York, N. Y., and chairman of the economic advisory committee of our association. We are delighted to be here today to testify on the important proposals before your committee. There are few absolute certainties in any of the arguments pro and con to the proposals for change. All of us are having to speculate about living in a Federal Reserve operating environment none have experienced. The first question for consideration should not be, how do we maintain a relatively high level of membership in the Federal Reserve System i Rather, more fundamental objectives should be clearly stated. Our association believes these objectives are paramount: to assure the continued independence and effectiveness of our central bank in its mana.gement of monetary policy; to enhance the efficiency of the payments system; and to eliminate arbitrary forms of discrimination https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 309 against particular types of financial institutions which inhibit the delivery of banking services at least possible cost. The proposals before you, H.R. 13476, the Reserve Requirements Act of 1978, and H.R. 13477, the Interest on Reserves Act of 1978, and H.R. 12706, the Federal Reserve Membership Act of 1978, are constructive attempts to deal with the first two concerns, although we do· have some specific disagreements with them. Our third concern is barely addressed in the proposals. There appears, in fact, to be an attempt to justify discrimination against medium-sized and larger banks on the grounds that they are not leaving the Federal Reserve as frequently as smaller banks and hence do not deserve the same level of relief from the excessive burdens of membership. There also appears to be a belief that such discrimination will mitigate Treasury revenue losses. The first notion is simply unfair and, as we shall discuss below, the second is probably incorrect. In discussing legislative and regulatory proposals, the p<>licymaking bodies of the American Bankers Association attempt to discipline their thinking by asking four questions: How do bank customers benefit from the proposal~ Will the proposal enhance the broad competitive environment~ Is the proposal consistent with national economic and social priorities~ Does the proposal achieve or maintain equal com~ petitive ground rules among various types of competing financial insti:. tutions, and does it provide opportunity for competitive financial insti7 ·· tutions to maintain viability and profitability regardless of size i An attachment to ,this testimony analyzes the proposals before you in terms of these criteria. We have been involved in research and discussion of the issues raised in these legislative proposals for some time. Attached to our testimony are other documents which might prove useful to the committee and we request that they be made a part of the record of these hearings. First : ABA testimony before the Subcommittee on Financial Insti~ tutions of the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs, on .June 21, 1977. This testimony discusses NOW accounts, the Federal Reserve's membership problem, and S. 1668, our association's legislative proposal to deal with these issues. Second: ABA testimony before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs, on October 11, 1977, on the role of the Federal Reserve in providing payments services. Third: A letter from ABA to Senator Richard Lugar dated Novem• her 4, 1977, discussing the extent to which required reserves might be reduced for Federal Reserve member banks without impairing the effectiveness of monetary policy. Fourth: An outline of a research project the ABA will undertake to determine the impact of pricing of Federal Reserve services and relief of the Federal Reserve's membership problem on the structure of the banking industry. This outline was part of a request for proposals that was sent to various consulting firms. We are currently in the process of evaluating their proposals and hope to begin the project soon. THE CENTRAL BANK AND ITS MANAGEMENT OF MONETARY POLICY The need for mandatory universal reserve requirements oil transaction accounts held by all depository institutions in order to assure an https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 310 effective monetary policy has not been demonstrated. We oppose this proposal as unjustified and likely to harm our Nation's innovative system of dual banking. The Fed has sponsored this proposal as a means of increasing the effectiveness of its monetary management. Nevertheless, it should be noted that the Federal Reserve does not have universal support for its view that reserve requirements are a necessary tool for monetary policy. It is our view that reserve requirements for existing Fed member banks could be significantly lowered, and the membership burden concomitantly relieved, without any significant diminution of the Fed's ability to conduct monetary policy. To achieve this within a framework in which the Fed retains maximum flexibility to use reserve requirements for monetary policy purposes, we propose that existing statutory minimum reserve requirements be eliminated. Our views on this point are amplified in the attached letter to Senator Lugar. It is true that the percentage of transaction accounts subject to reserve requirements of the Federal Reserve is declining. The decline o:f Federal Reserve membership is only one factor accounting for this. Another is the increasing proportion of transaction accounts that are held outside the banking industry. Differing levels of reserve requirements among member and nonmember institutions can cause additional instability in the money supply as deposit shares of these different categories of institutions change and money flows among them. But economists in the banking industry believe that a much greater source o:f insta;bility is the graduated levels of reserve requirements among banks who are already members of the Fed. Elimination of these differences would be a significantly greater contribution to monetary stabilityand an act of simple fairness to the institutions involved. We disagree with the proposal that would legislate inflexible reserve requirements because this would tie the hands of the Fed in its ability to use changes in reserve requirements as a tool of monetary policy. We believe, however, that existing reserve requirements levels can be reduced, and favor giving the Fed the ability to do so to the extent that it prudently can. An appropriate move for the Congress would be to set the minimum of the statutory ranges at zero, rather than setting the exact levels by legislative action. As already stated, we believe that probably the reduction in reserve requirements should be the preferred method used to alleviate the current membership burden. However, if it is administered fairly, we do support proposals calling for the payment of interest on rei::erves. Indeed, the two methods can be considered complementary to each other. Limiting the payment of interest on reserves to revenues received from the pricing of services as specified in the proposed amendment to H.R. 12706, would. however, aggravate rather than alleviate, the Fed's membership problem. This would occur because H.R. 12706 also provides for equal access for all institutions to Fed services. As Chairman Miller has already testified in these hearings, the revenue received from the pricing of .services would be insufficient to effectively eliminate the membership burden. Hence, since access is available to everyone, the membership drain would be accelerated. The Fed could try to combat this by raising its prices in hopes of increasing the revenue https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 311 it has available to pay interest. But if its customers were price sensitive and looked for other providers of payments services, this probably would not work. The gathering of additional ·information from nonmember institutions provided the data are needed for monetary policy purposes and the data gathering is done in a way that minimizes the reporting burden placed on those institutions has our support. We do not support tying the level of the discount rate to the Treasury bill rate because this would also tie the hands of the- Federal Reserve in the use of this tool for monetary policy purposes. Changes in the discount rate are widely understood in financial markets both at home and abroad. They can be used to lead market interest rates down at the start of •a recession. The use of a signal by raising the rate during a recent period of disorderly foreign exchange markets was a key in limiting serious market problems. We understand the concern supporters of this provision have over "arbitrage profits." Indeed, it is quite natural for bankers to pay attention to interest mte spreads between the funds they receive and the funds they lend. This is the heart of their business. Nevertheless, in addition to power to set the discount rate, the Fed has administrative controls on the use of the discount window which we believe are sufficient and appropriate. Also, the total earnings of the Federal Reserve from the use of the discount window are only $40 million. We believe the bulk of this represents earnings on legitimate loans. The earnings of the banking industry are approximately $8.9 billion and those of the Federal Reserve .System are approaching $6 billion. Surely any unnecessary '~arbitrage" profits are very small relative to the earnings of the banks ing industry and the Fed. It seems more prudent to let the Fed retain flexibility in the use of this tool. While we do not agree with all of the specifics of the various proposals to solve the Fed's membership problem, we continue to believe that, for the foreseeable future, a strong membership base will be very important to the conduct of monetary policy. The problem is urgent and attention should be paid to it as soon 1as possible. We are acutely aware that the cost of Federal Reserve membership is an important item on the current agenda of bank board meetings all across the country. As Chairman Miller pointed out in testimony before this committee in these hearings, and as Secretary Blumenthal pointed out in hearings last year on S. 1664 and S. 1668 which dealt with the membership problem, the longer the problem continues, the more banks will withdraw from the System and Treasury revenues from th3;t source will decline anyway. Limiting the options available to relieve the membership burden because of concern over current Treasury revenues could be penny-wise and pound-foolish. By the Fedeml Reserve's own estimate, withdrawals from the Fed since 1970 reduced Federal Reserve payments to the Treasury in 1977 by nearly $200 million from what they otherwise would have been. The problem is long run. It is structural. It is continuing, and it should be solved. 1 ENHANCEMENT OF THE EFFICIENCY OF THE PAYMENTS SYSTEM We believe the efficiency of the payments system would be greatly enhanced if the Federal Reserve charged for its services. However, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 312 we must note that we foresee several difficulties in pricing of existing Federal Reserve services and the provision of new ones. The problem of determining proper cost allocations is difficult enough for private firms. If the Fed decides to take into account its own costs in setting its prices, as it most certainly should, the situation is substantially more difficult. How does one allocate overhead costs among such diverse activities as the administration of monetary policy through open market operations, the provision of services as fiscal agent for the Federal Government, the supervision of State-chartered member banks, the regulation of bank holding company activities, and the provision of payments services which also can be provided by private banks~ Even if ,all the relevant data were known, we can think of no way to do this on a rational basis. Indeed, as new payments systems evolve, it becomes more and more difficult to even know the relevant data. The provision of payments services is the main banking area in which the Fed competes directly with the private banking system. Yet with 12 regional banks, each having several branches which serve primarily as operations centers, the Fed already has a nationwide system of operations centers in place. There is no way a single bank can match this capability under the current banking structure. This makes accuriate comparisons of the public and private clearing systems more tenuous. The proposal to limit payment of interest on reserves to revenue received from pricing would diminish rather than enhance the efficiency of the payments system. We have already discussed why it :would accelerate the membership drain. This accelerated loss of membership might cause the Fed to become more aggressive in providing hew services in an attempt to raise pricing revenue so as to be able to alleviate more of the membership burden. If it believed its customers were price-elastic it could, to the extent Congress and its auditors permit it, undercut the private sector in an attempt to raise its revenues ~n order to pay more interest on reserves and achieve a greater alleviation of its membershif burden. Neither of these responses would enhance the efficiency o the payments system, and it is not clear that either of them could ever enable the Fed to achieve an effective elimination of its membership burden. We are somewhat dismayed by the Federal Reserve's comment that if universal reserve requirements were enacted the Board would have to reevaluate tts :progra~ to reduce ~he cost burden of required reserves and price its services. We believe the Fed should reduce the cost burden of reserves and price its services regardless of the structure of reserve requirements among depository institutions. Such a program, if properly constructed, would greatly enhance the efficiency of the payments system without significantly diminishing its ability to conduct monetary policy. It is our strong belief that an efficient payments system will be maintained only if tliere is a strong, healthy, private-sector alternative to payments services provided by the Fed. To insure this, we would propose two rules to which the Federal Reserve should be bound in setting its prices: First, Fed prices should not be less than fully allocated costs, including allowances for overhead, cost of capital and taxes. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 313 The cost of float is an important part of these costs; and second, Fed prices should not be less than what the private sector would charge for similar services. Although these standards would be difficult to enforce, they are not mutually exclusive, and both should be used in the evaluatio~ of Fed prices. If this is done in a fair and impartial manner, the efficiency o:C the payments system will be greatly enhanced. Our testimon_y before the Senate Banking Committee on October 11, 1977, which follows my prepared statement, elaborates on this view. The private sector alternative gives market discipline and allows for maximum innovation. Because of the Fed's role as a Government agency with privileges accorded to no private institution, and the conceptual and practical difficulties in setting a price for its services, attention should also be paid to what services should be provided by the Fed as well as the price that should be paid for them. Only when this is clearly agreed upon and understood by the Fed, the Congress, and the private sector, can a fair and sensible balance be achieved between the Federal Reserve and the private sector as providers of payments services. ARBITRARY DISCRIMINATION AMONG FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS Chairman Miller has recognized the competitive inequity in the reserve requirements structure of member and nonmember institutions. However, inequities which are just as harmful exist in the reserve requirements structure for existmg member banks. In his testimony before this committee, Chairman Miller stated that his proposal for universal reserve requirements would not increase regulatory burdens on nonmember banks. This statement neglects an important part of the picture. Many banks elect to have a State charter and to be a non-' member purely to avoid the excessive burdens of the Fed's reserve requirements-not because they dislike the regulatory administration of the Comptroller of the Currency or the Fed. 1Should universal reserve requirements be enacted, the ultimate value of many State bank charters would be substantially diminished and many banks would over time opt to join the Fed as a national bank; Rather than substantially change the relative value of State and national bank charters, a more sensible approach is to extend reserve requirements on transaction accounts to all federally chartered deposi tory institutions, and to those State-chartered institutions that elect to join the Federal Reserve or the Federal Home Loan Bank Board. This proposal was made by our association in S. 1668 and is discussed in the attached testimony on that bill. This alternative preserves the relative value of State and national bank charters and extends the dual banking concept, as it is known in the banking industry today, to thrift institutions as they come into the payments business. Limitation on total interest that may be paid on reserves unnecessarily restricts the Fed's options. We caution the committee to be sure that any such limitation is realistic, and does not excessively hamper the Fed in its attempt to effectively relieve its membership burden. Setting a lower interest ceiling on required reserves over $25 million is discriminatory and we oppose it. These proposals seem to be inspired by the view that interest on required reserves would be a "raid on the Treasury" and would, unless 32•972 0 • 78 • :u https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0 314 controlled, constitute an unnecessary subsidy to larger banks. We disagree with both points. In the first place, reserve requirements are a tool of monetary policy. If they are to be considered a part of the Internal Revenue tax collection system, they should be discussed in that perspective. Second, from a theoretical standpoint, there 1s no reason to assume that a reduction of required reserves will reduce Treasury receipts. The key determinant is the volume of reserves in the System which can be handled by Federal Reserve open market operations. Any reduction in reserve requirements can be easily offset by the Fed, and Treasury receipts are the same. Table 1 at the end of our testimony compares Federal Reserve payments to the Federal Treasury with total Federal budget receipts in selected years. Between 1957 and 1976 the percentage of Federal budget receipts accounted for by Federal payments to the Treasury rose over 240 percent. The contribution of sterile member banks reserves tq the Federal Reserve earnings constitutes a significant proportion of the total earnings. The proportion may have declined somewhat because of the lowering of reserve requirements since 1957. But it has not declined sigp.i:ficantly, and it seems safe to say that the contribution of sterile member bank reserves to Federal budget receipts has more than doubled since 1957. Proponents of the thesis that interest on reserves would be a "raid on the Treasury" have, on occasion, pointed to the low effective tax rate paid by banks. This emphasis is misplaced. Those banks that pay effective tax rates substantially below the statutory rate of 48 percent do so because they take advantage of specific tax incentives designed to influence the allocation of their funds. The most important example of this is the tax exemption on municipal bonds-an exemption that has, for a long time, been basic to our system of State/Federal relations. In responding to the objectives of this exemption, banks forgo substantially higher income they might earn on taxable securities and other alternative investments. In the process, however, these banks make a significant contribution to financing the needs of State and local governments. Another example is the investment tax credit, an incentive specifically enacted into law by the Congress for the purpose of job creation and capital formation. Through their leasing operations, banks make a significant contribution in this area. Banks are proud of their record as taxpayers and deliverers of financial services. There is no justification for discrimination against any size class of banks, or against banks as an institution vis-a-vis their competitors. Also, declines in Federal Reserve payments to the Treasury because of reduced reserve requirements could easily be mitigated by a gradual phase-in of ·the program to relieve the membership burden. Of course, this would mean that it might take longer to achieve a significant alleviation of the membership burden. Nevertheless, knowledge that positive steps were being taken to relieve this burden would probably stem the membership attrition in a substantially shorter period of time. The Federal Home Loan Bank Board is frequently viewed by thrift https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 315 institutions, who are major competitors of most banks, as its "central bank" which performs many of the functions for its members that the Federal Reserve performs for its members. Members of both systems supply funds to the "central bank" and in turn receive a return on funds supplied. Table 2 provides estimates of this return. For banks in the Federal Reserve System, the return is 2 percent-mainly an imputed return from the cost of Federal Reserve services. For thrift institutions in the Federal Home Loan Bank System, the return is 4.3 percent. Finally, we would like to note that, although we have no objections to payments from the Fed's surplus to the Treasury, the "surplus" does not represent idle cash or current earnings, but merely an accounting entry that arises because past earnings from the use of required reserves or the provision of coin and currency have been retained arid invested in other assets. In summary, we believe the current discriminatory aspects of the reserve requirements structure are unfair and unnecessary. We oppose the compounding of this problem by additional discrimination in the interest rate paid on reserves. The emphasis being put on the relationship between Treasury revenues and the membership burden is misplaced and, in the long run, will he detrimental to both the Fed and the Treasury. The efficiency of the payments system would be greatly enhanced by explicit pricing of Federal Reserve services in a manner that recognizes the constructive and innovative role played by the private sector in the provision of payments services. Such explicit pricing must be accompanied by an effective allevia~ tion of the Federal Reserve's membership problem. The most promis:,, ing way to do this is to reduce reserve requirements. We also support fair and impartial methods of allowing hanks to earn interest on their reserves. Thank you. [Text resumes on page 393.] [The prepared statement of Mr. Perkins, on behalf of the American Bankers Association, along with the supporting material referred to in his oral presentation, follows:] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 316 Statement of the American Bankers Association before the Committee on Banking, Finance, and Urban Affairs https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis U.S. House of Representatives August 4, 1978 H.R.13476, the Reserve Requirements Act of 1978 H.R.13477, the Interest on Reserves Act of 1978 H.R.12706, the Federal Reserve Membership Act of 1978 317 Congressman Mitchell, Congressman St Germain,.and members of the Committee, I am John R. Perkins, President of the Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust Company of Chicago, and President-Elect of the American Bankers Association, a trade association whose membership includes more than 92 per cent of the nation's 14,383 full-service banks. Accompanying me is Leif Olsen, Chairman of the Economic Policy Committee of Citibank, New York, N.Y. and Chairman of the Economic Advisory Committee of our association. We are delighted to be here today to testify on the important proposals before your committee. There are few absolute certainties in any of the arguments pro and con to the proposals for change. All of us are having to speculate about living in a Federal Reserve operating environment none have experienced. The first question for consideration should not be: How do we maintain a relatively high level of membership in the Federal Reserve System? Rather, more fundamental objectives should be clearly stated. Our association believes these objectives are paramount: --To assure the continued effectiveness of our central bank in its management of monetary policy. --To enhance the efficiency of the payments system, and --To eliminate arbitrary forms of discrimination against particular types of financial institutions which inhibit the delivery of banking services at least possible cost. The proposals before you, R.R. 13476, the Reserve Requirements Act of 1978, and R.R. 13477, the Interest on Reserves Act of 1978, and R.R. 12706, the Federal Reserve Membership Act of 1978, are constructive attempts to deal with the first two concerns, although we do have some specific disagreements with them. Our third concern is barely addressed in the proposals. There appears,in fact to be an attempt to justify discrimination against larger banks on the grounds https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 318 that they are not leaving the Federal Reserve as frequently as smaller banks and hence, do not deserve the same level of relief from the excessive burdens of membership, There also appears to be a belief that such discrimination will mitigate Treasury revenue losses. The first notion is simply unfair and, as we shall discuss below, the second is probably incorrect. In discussing legislative and regulatory proposals, the policymaking bodies of the American Bankers Association attempt to discipline their thinking by asking four questions: --How do bank customers benefit from the proposal? --Will the proposal enhance the broad competitive environment? --Is the proposal consistent with national economic and social priorities? --Does the proposal achieve or maintain equal competitive ground rules among various types of competing financial institutions, and does it provide opportunity for competitive financial institutions to maintain viability and profitability regardless of size? An attachment to this testimony analyzes the proposals before you in terms of these criteria, We have been involved in research and discussion of the issues raised in these legislative proposals for some time. Attached to our testimony are other documents which might prove useful to the Committee and we request that they be made a part of the record of these hearings, 1) ABA testimony before the Subcommittee on Financial Institutions of the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, on June 21, 1977. This testimony discusses NOW Accounts, the Federal Reserve's membership problem, and S. 1668, our Association's legislative proposal to deal with these issues. 2) ABA testimony before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, on October 11, 1977, on the role of the Federal Reserve in providing payments services. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 319 3) A letter from ABA to Senator Richard Lugar dated November 4, 1977, discussing the extent to which required reserves might be reduced for Federal Reserve member banks without impairing the effectiveness of monetary policy. 4) An outline of a research project the ABA will undertake to determine the impact of pricing of Federal Reserve services and relief of the Federal Reserve's membership problem on the structure of the banking industry. This outline was part of a request for proposals that was sent to various consulting firms. We are currently in the process of evaluating their proposals and hope to begin the project soon. The Central Bank and its Management of Monetary Policy The need for mandatory universal reserve requirements on transaction accounts held by all depository institutions in order to assure an effective monetary policy has not been demonstrated. We opposed this proposal as unjustified and likely to harm our nation's innovative system of dual banking. The Fed has sponsored this proposal as a means of increasing the effectiveness of its monetary management. Nevertheless it should be noted that the Federal Reserve does not have universal support for its view that reserve requirements are a necessary tool for monetary policy. It is our view that reserve requirements for existing Fed member banks could be significantly lowered, and the membership burden concomitantly relieved, without any significant diminution of the Fed's ability to conduct monetary policy. To achieve this within a framework in which the Fed retains maximum flexibility to use reserve requirements for monetary policy purposes, we propose that existing statutory minimum reserve requirements be eliminated. Our views on this point are amplified in the attached letter to Senator Lugar. It is true that the percentage of transaction accounts subject to reserve requirements of the Federal Reserve is declining. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The decline of Federal 320 Reserve membership is only one factor accounting for this. Another is the increasing proportion of transaction accounts that are held outside the banking industry. Differing levels of reserve requirements among member and non-member institutions can cause additional instability in the money supply as deposit shares of these different categories of institutions change and money flows among them. But economists in the banking industry believe that a much greater source of instability is the graduated levels of reserve requirements among banks who are already members of the Fed. Elimination of these differences would be a significantly greater contribution to monetary stability -- and an act of simple fairness to the institutions involved. We disagree with the proposal that would legislate inflexible reserve requirements because this would tie the hands of the Fed in its ability to use changes in reserve requirements as a tool of monetary policy. We believe, however, that existing reserve requirements levels can be reduced, and favor giving the Fed the ability to do so to the extent that it prudently can. An appropriate move for the Congress would be to set the minimum of the statutory ranges at zero, rather than setting the exact levels by legislative action. As already stated, we believe reduction in reserve requirements should be the principal method used to alleviate the current membership burden. However, if it is administered fairly, we do support proposals calling for the payment of interest on reserves. Indeed, the two methods can be considered complementary to each other. Limiting the payment of interest on reserves to revenues received from the pricing of services as specified in the proposed amendment to H.R. 12706, would, however, aggravate, rather than alleviate, the Fed's membership problem. This would occur because H.R. 12706 also provides for equal access for all institutions to Fed services. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Aa Chairman Miller has already testified in these 321 hearings, the revenue received from the pricing of services would be insufficient to effectively eliminate the membership burden. Hence, since access is available to everyone, the membership drain would be accelerated. The Fed could try to combat this by raising its prices in hopes of increasing the revenue it has available to pay interest. But if its customers were price sensitive and looked for other providers of payments services, this probably would not work. The gathering of additional information from non-member institutions provided the data are needed for monetary policy purposes and the data gathering is done in a way that minimizes the reporting burden placed on those institutions has our support. We do not support tying the level of the discount rate to the Treasury bill rate because this would also tie the hands of the Federal Reserve in the use of this tool for monetary policy purposes. We understand the concern supporters of this provision have over "arbitrage profits." Indeed it is quite natural for bankers to pay attention to interest rate spreads between the funds they receive and the funds they lend. business. This is the guts of their Nevertheless, in addition to power to set the discount rate, the Fed has administrative controls on the use of the discount window which we believe are sufficient and appropriate. Also, the total earnings of the Federal Reserve from the use of the discount window are only $40 million. We believe the bulk of this represents .earnings on legitimate loans. The earnings of the banking industry are approximately $8.9 billion and those of the Federal Reserve System are approaching $6 billion. Surely any unnecessary "arbitrage" profits are very small relative to the earnings of the banking industry and the Fed. It seems more prudent to let the Fed retain flexibility in the use of this tool. While we do not agree with all of the specifics of the various proposals to solve the Fed's membership problem, we continue to believe that, for the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 322 foreseeable future, a strong membership base will be very important to the conduct of monetary policy. The problem is urgent and attention should be paid to it as soon as possible. We are acutely aware that the cost of Federal Reserve membership is an important item on the current agenda of bank board meetings all across the country. As Chairman Miller pointed out in testimony before this Committee in these hearings, and as Secretary Blumenthal pointed out in hearings last year on S. 1664 and S. 1668 which dealt with the membership problem, the longer the problem continues, the more banks will withdraw from the system and Treasury revenues from that source will decline anyway. Limiting the options available to relieve the membership burden because of concern over current Treasury revenues could be penny-wise and pound-foolish. By the Federal Reserve's own estimate, withdrawals from the Fed since 1970 reduced Federal Reserve payments to the Treasury in 1977 by nearly $200 million from what they otherwise would have been. continuing. The problem is long run. It is structural. It is And it should be solved. Enhancement of the Efficiency of the Payments System We believe the efficiency of the payments system would be greatly enhanced if the Federal Reserve charged for its services. However, we must note that we foresee several difficulties in pricing of existing Federal Reserve services·and the provision of new ones. The problem of determining proper cost allocations is difficult enough for private firms. If the Fed decides to take into account its own costs in setting its prices, as it most certainly should, the situation is substantially more difficult. How does one allocate overhead costs among such diverse activities as the administration of monetary policy through open market operations, the provision of services as fiscal agent for the Federal Government, the supervision of state-chartered member banks, the regulation of bank holding company activities, and the provision of payments services which also can be provided by private banks? https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Even if all the relevant data were known, we can 323 think of no way to do this on a rational basis. Indeed, as new payments systems evolve, it becomes more and more difficult to even know the relevant data. The provision of payments services is the main banking area in which the Fed competes directly with the private banking system. Yet with 12 regional banks, each having several branches which serve primarily as operations centers, the Fed already has a nationwide system of operations centers in place. There is no way a single bank can match this capability under the current banking structure. This makes accurate comparisons of the public and private clearing systems more tenuous. The proposal to limit payment of interest on reserves to revenue received from pricing would diminish rather than enhance the efficiency of the payments system. We have already discussed why it would accelerate the membership drain. This accelerated loss of membership might cause the Fed to become more aggressive in providing new services in an attempt to raise pricing revenue so as to be able to alleviate more of the membership burden. If it believed its customers were price-elastic it could, to the extent Congress and its auditors permit it, undercut the private sector in an attempt to raise its revenues in order to pay more interest on reserves and achieve a greater alleviation of its membership burden. Neither of these responses would enhance the efficiency of the payments system, and it is not clear that either of them could ever enable the Fed to achieve an effective elimination of its membership burden. We· are somewhat dismayed by the Federal Reserve's comment that if universal reserve requirements were enacted the Board would have to reevaluate its program to reduce the cost burden of required reserves, and price its services. We believe the Fed should reduce.the cost burden of reserves and price its services regardless of the structure of reserve requirements among depository institutions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 324 Such a program, if properly constructed, would greatly enhance the efficiency of the payments system without significantly diminishing its ability to conduct monetary policy. It is our strong belief that an efficient payments system will be maintained only if there is a strong, healthy, private-sector alternative to payments services provided by the Fed. To insure this, we would propose two rules to which the Federal Reserve should be bound in setting its prices: 1. Fed prices should not be less than fully allocated costs, including allowances for overhead, cost of capital, and taxes. 2. Fed prices should not be less than what the private sector would charge for similar services. Although these standards would be difficult to enforce, they are not mutually exclusive, and both should be used in the evaluation of Fed prices. If this is done in a fair and impartial manner, the efficiency of the payments system will be greatly enhanced. Our testimony before the Senate Banking Committee on October 11, 1977 (copy attached) elaborates on this view. Because of the Fed's role as a government agency with privileges accorded to no private institution, and the conceptual and practical difficulties in setting a price for its services, attention should also be paid to what services should be provided by the Fed as well as the price that should be paid for them. Only when this is clearly agreed upon and understood by the Fed, the Congress, and the private sector, can a fair and sensible balance be achieved between the Federal Reserve and the private sector as a provider of payments services. Arbitrary Discrimination Among Financial Institutions Chairman Miller has recognized the competitive inequity in the reserve requirements structure of member and non-member institutions. However, inequities which are just as harmful exist in the reserve requirements structure for existing member banks. In his testimony before this Committee Chairman Miller stated that his proposal for universal reserve requirements would not increase https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 325 regulatory burdens on non-member banks. part of the picture. This statement neglects an important Many banks elect to have a state charter and to be a non-member purely to avoid the excessive burdens of the Fed's reserve requirements -- not because they dislike the regulatory administration of the Comptroller of the Currency or the Fed. Should universal reserve requirements be enacted, the ultimate value of many state bank charters would be substantially diminished and many banks would over time opt to join the Fed as a national bank. Rather than substantially change the relative value of state and national bank charters, a more sensible approach is to extend reserve requirements on transaction accounts to all federally chartered depository institutions, and to those state chartered institutions that elect to join the Federal Reserve, or the Federal Home Loan Bank Board. This proposal was made by our Association in S. 1668 and is discussed in the attached testimony on that bill. This alternative preserves the relative value of state and national bank charters and extends the dual banking concept, as it is known in the bank industry today, to thrift institutions as they come into the payments business. Limitation on total interest that may be paid on reserves unnecessarily restricts the Fed's options. We caution the committee to be sure that any such limitation is realistic, and does not excessively hamper the Fed in its attempt to effectively relieve its membership burden. Getting a lower interest ceiling on required reserves over $25 million is discriminatory and we oppose it. These proposals seem to be inspired by the view that interest on required reserves would be a "raid on the Treasury" and would, unless controlled, constitute an unnecessary subsidy to larger banks. We disagree with both points. Table 1 at the end of our testimony compares Federal Reserve payments to the Federal Treasury with total Federal Budget receipts in selected years. Between 1957 and 1976 the percentage of Federal budget receipts accounted for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 326 by Federal payments to the Treasury rose over two hundred and forty per cent. The contribution of sterile member banks reserves to the Federal Reserve earnings constitutes a significant proportion of the total earnings. The proportion may have declined somewhat because of the lowering of reserve requirements since 1967. But it has not declined significantly, and it seems safe to say that the contribution of sterile member bank reserves to federal budget receipts has more than doubled since 1957. Proponents of the thesis that interest on reserves would be a "raid on the Treasury" have, on occasion, pointed to the low effective tax rate paid by banks. This emphasis is misplaced. Those banks that pay effective tax rates substantially below the statutory rate of forty-eight per cent do so because they take advantage of specific tax incentives designed to influence the allocation of their funds. The most important example of this is the tax exemption on municipal bonds--an exemption that has, for a long time, been basic to our system of state-Federal relations. In responding to the objectives of this exemption, banks forego substantially higher income they might earn on taxable securities, and other alternative investments. In the process, however, these make a significant contribution to financing the needs of state and local governments. Another example is the investment tax credit, an incentive specifically enacted into law by the Congress for the purpose of job creation and capital fonnation. Through their leasing operations, banks make a significant contribution in this area. Banks are proud of their record as taxpayers and deliverers of financial services. There is no justification for discrimination against any size class of banks, or against banks as an institution vis-a-vis their competitors. Also, declines in Federal Reserve payments to the Treasury because of reduced reserve requirements could easily be mitigated by a gradual phase-in of the program to relieve the membership burden. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Of course, this would mean that it 327 might take longer to achieve a significant alleviation of the membership burden. Nevertheless, knowledge that positive steps were being taken to relieve this burden would probably stem the membership attrition in a substantially shorter period of time. The Federal Home Loan Bank Board is frequently viewed by thrift institutions who are major competitors of most banks, as its "central bank" which performs many of the function for its members that the Federal Reserve performs for its members. Members of both systems supply funds to the "central bank" and in turn receive a return on funds supplied. return. Table 2 provides estimates of this For banks in the Federal Reserve system the return is 2.3 per cent -- mainly an imputed return from the cost of Federal Reserve services. For thrift institutions in the Federal Home Loan Bank System the return is 4.0%. Finally, we would like to note that, although we have no objections to payments from the Fed 1 s. surplus to the Treasury, the "surplus" does not represent idle cash or current earnings but merely an accounting entry that arises because past earnings from the use of required reserves or the provision of coin and currency have been retained and invested in other assets. In summary, we believe the current discriminatory aspects of the reserve requirements structure are unfair and unnecessary. We oppose the compounding of ·this problem by additional discrimination in the interest rate paid on reserves. The emphasis being put on the relationship burden is to be misplaced and, in the long run, will be detrimental to both the Fed and the Treasury. The efficiency of the payments system would be greatly enhanced by explicit pricing of Federal Reserve services in a manner that recognizes the constructive and innovative role played by the private sector in the provision of payments services. Such explicit pr.icing must be accompanied by an effective alleviation of the Federal Reserve's membership problem. reserve requirements. The most promising way to do this is to reduce We also support fair and impartial methods of allowing banks to earn interest on their reserves. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 328 Table 1 Federal Rese:ive Payments to the Treasury as a Per Cent of Federal Budget Receipts (1) First Year (2) (3) Payments to Treasury b):'. Federal Rese:ive Federal Budget Recei11ts 1957 543* 79,990 (4) Federal Rese:ive Payments to Treasury as a Per cent of Federal Budget ReceiEtS .67% 1962 718 99,676 .72 1967 1,805 149,552 1.21 1972 3,252 208,649 1.56 1977 5,908 356,861 1.66 Source: Treasury Bulletin *Calendar Year 1957 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 329 Table 2 Return on Funds Supplied by Member Institutions to the Federal Home Loan Banks and the Federal Reserve Banks Ftmds Supplied by Member Institutions Capital Stock (millions) Reserves Deposits (less float) Rerun, en Ftmds Federal Reserve System (Millions) 24,088 7,438 1,029 26,709 0 3,650 490 Dividends Interest on Deposits Services (at cost) Precentage Return on Total Ftmds Supplied Federal Home Loan Bank System (Millions) 3,295 0 4,143 321 60 0 430• 2.0% 146 175 0 4.3% *Federal Reserve' s estimate of the cost of providing check clearing (including AO!) and coin and currency services. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 64th Annual Report, Federal Home Loan Bank System, Savings and Home Financing Source Sook, Fede::-al Home Loan Bank Board of Journal, April, 1978. 32-972 0 • 78 • 32 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 330 ANALYSIS OF THE PROPOSALS BEFORE THE COMMITTEE H.R.13476, the Reserve Requirements Act of 1978 The extension of reserve requirements to non-member banks would hurt those banks and diminish their ability to serve their customers. on the competitive environment is unclear. Its effect Although some competitive inequities would be eliminated, the substantial inequities in the existing reserve requirements structure would be maintained. In addition, the value of many state bank charters would be substantially diminished thereby putting those banks at a competitive disadvantage. Although the proposal does address the Fed's membership problem in a rather oblique way, we believe there are substantially better ways of doing this. The proposal might enhance the ability of the Federal Reserve to conduct monetary policy, but we would believe this effect is small. The ability of small institutions to compete would be diminished by burdening them with excessive reserve requirements. The bill recognizes this by exempting the first $5 million of transaction accounts from reserve requirements. But there is still no reason to impose additional burden on larger non-member banks, The problems addressed by H.R.13476 can be handled be better in other ways. We oppose H.R.13476. H.R.13477, The Interest on Reserves Act of 1978 In terms of our criteria, bank customers of banks that achieved significant relief from membership burden would benefit. Others would not. The proposal would make the competitive environment more equitable for some institutions (those that achieved significant membership burden relief,) and less equitable for others (those that were discriminated against in the payments of interest.) Current Treasury revenue losses would be limited, but in the long run they might increase if the.membership problem is not solved. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The proposal provides specifi- 331 cally for one type of discrimination against larger banks--the two per cent interest limitation--and gives an incentive for providing another--the limitation on total amount of interest paid. For these reasons, we cannot support it. H.R.12706, the Federal Reserve Membership Act of 1978 H.R.12706 offers potential for substantially improving the efficiency of our payments system and achieving a significant reduction in the burden of Federal Reserve membership. Customers of all banks would benefit from the first achievement and customers of the Federal Reserve member banks would benefit from the second, as the reduced level of Federal Reserve membership costs was passed on to them. The broad competitive environment would be enhanced by achieving a greater equality between member and non-member institutions in the cost of carrying reserves, and a greater equality between the Fed and the private sector as providers of payments services. National priorities would be served by allowing the Fed to retain an adequate membership base for monetary policy purposes within the framework of an efficient payments-system. There would be some initial decline in Treasury revenues due to the payment of interest on reserves which can be offset by phasing in the program, and the decline in Treasury revenues due to the erosion of Federal Reserve membership would be stopped. The ability of financial institutions to compete regardless of size would be retained. We support H.R.12706, The alleviation of the burden of Federal Reserve membership which the proposal seeks could also be achieved by a significant reduction in reserve requirements. We recommend this approach as a preferable method, and one that could be used in conjunction with H.R.12706. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 332 Proposed Amendment to H.R.12706 This amendment has fiye provisions: 1) Interest paid on reserves would be limited to the sum of receipts from the pricing of services and earnings on discounts and advances. 2) Specific statutory reserve requirement levels would replace the current statutory ranges within which the levels may be set by the Fed. 3) The discount rate would be set equal to the average yield on treasury bills with less than 92-day maturities during the previous two weeks. 4) The Federal Reserve would be authorized, as it deems necessary for the conduct of monetary policy, to obtain summary statistics on assets and liabilities of all depository institutions. 5) The Federal Reserve would be directed to pay to the Treasury $575 million from its surplus within 24 months of enactment with $300 million to be paid in the first year. Bank customers would not benefit from the first three provisions of this amendment. The efficiency of payments system would be reduced. The Federal Reserve's membership problem would not be alleviated, and the effectiveness of the monetary authority would probably be diminished. The competitive environ- ment would not be enhanced and national priorities would not be served. Since the membership problem would not be alleviated, equality of competitive ground rules among competing institutions would not be achieved. We support the fourth provision, if it is deemed necessary for monetary policy purposes, and the additional regulatory burden placed on banks is minimized. For reasons explained in the text, the fifth provision has little real significance, although we have no objection to it. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 333 Statement of w. Liddon McPeters on Beha 1f of the American Bankers Association before the Subconm1ttee on Financial Institutions of the Senate C011111i ttee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs June 21 , 1977 334 Mr. Chainnan and members of the Subcommittee, I am W. Liddon McPeters, President of the Security Bank of Corinth, Mississippi, and President of the American Bankers Association, a trade association whose membership includes approximately 92% of the nation's 14,000 banks. We are here today to discuss legislation introduced as a response to a variety of economic and technological changes that have taken place in our society, and some more specific responses to these changes by legislators and financial regulators. The two primary bills we will discuss have been put forward by the Administration (S. 1664) and the American Bankers Association (S. 1668). comparison of these two bills is given in Appendix I. A We wish to express our thanks to you, Senator McIntyre, for introducing our bill and allowing us to give legislative expression to our views. with s. 1668. We have three goals we are trying to achieve We want to remove competitive inequities which discriminate _against bank customers. We want to make consumers savings accounts more useful. And we want to alleviate some of the factors which have made Federal Reserve membership unattractive to an increasing number of banks. The most important competitive inequity for banks and bank customers is the differential between the maximum interest rates on time and saving deposits allowed at thrift institutions and banks. This differential i_s currently mandated by law. We wish to see the administration of interest rate ceilings returned to the regulators. We also believe that those thrift institutions which gain the advantage of "one-stop retail banking" through the use of third payment powers will, in effect, become banks. As such,they should be limited to the same interest rate ceilings on all classes of deposits as banks, which are their direct competitors. We wish to make savings accounts more useful by expanding the range of options open to consumers in making third-party payments. Also, we believe some of the conditions that ha~e made Federal Reserve membership less attractive to an increasing number of banks in recent years should https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 335 be alleviated. We believe these goals serve the public interest, and that we are proposing a fair and equitable way of achieving them. The specific elements of our proposal are embodied in S. 1668. They are: {1) interest is to be allowed on savings accounts used to pay third parties (by check or any other means) subject to restrictions specified below; (2) holders of these interest bearing transaction accounts must be individuals; (3) interest payments must not exceed specified rate ceilings; (4) any institution offering third party payment accounts must be subject to the same rate ceilings on all accounts they offer which are subject to-rate ceilings; (5) a uniform rate ceiling on third party payment accounts offered by all depository institutions is to be set by the Federal Reserve; (6) consultation on rate ceilings for all depository institutions should include the National Credit Union Administration; (7) rate cei 1ings on other accounts at insured credit unions should be set by the National Credit Union Administration subject to items (4) and (6) above; (8) Federa 1 Reserve member banks, members of the Federa 1 Home Loan Bank System, and Federal credit unions must maintain reserves against third party payment accounts as set by the Federal Reserve. Other institutions should be subject to reserve requirements set by states; (9) all reserves required by the Federal Reserve should be held as vault cash or at a Federal Reserve bank, except that Federal Home Loan Bank System members may hold reserves at a Federal Home Loan Bank if it, in turn, holds these reserves balances as vault cash or at Federa 1 Reserve banks ; https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 336 (10) Statutory reserve ranges on all classes of deposi·ts at Federal Reserve member banks should be revised downward. (11) Federal Reserve banks should be allowed to pay interest on reserves, and ff they do so, the rate should be unffonn on all reserves held; (12) the Interest Rate Control Act should be extended to December 15, 1980, but the statutory interest rate differential should be removed. (13) S. 1668 would take effect 60 days after enactment in New England, and after. one year in other states. We believe that S. 1668 is a progressive response to a series of economic technological, legal, and regulatory changes that have been taking place in our financial sytem for some time. Before elaborating in detail on the reasons for our specific proposa 1s, it may be usefu 1 to review some of the these changes, and the legislative and regulatory responses that have brought us to this point. First, we live in an era of.high interest rates. Present rates are substan- tially higher than those that existed in 1933 when the prohibition of interest payments on demand _deposits was first enacted. High interest rates have caused cons1111ers, businesses, and bankers to attempt to get more value for the balances they hold. Consumers have sought, and received, implicit interest in the fonn of lower service charges, and other fonns of bank services. Businesses have been even more sophisticated in seeking such services as payroll and data processing assistance, financial advice, and better lines of credit at more favorable interest rates. Federal reserve member banks have become increasingly dissatis- fied with the large amounts of sterile balances held at Federal Reserve banks, and many have left or are contemplating leaving the Federal Reserve System. Low services charges on checking accounts, rapid economic growth, and the increasing sophistication of our financial system have prompted what many perceive to be an excessive use of paper checks. This has aggravated cost pressures https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 337 on banks and prompted a variety of 1ega 1 and techno 1ogi ca1 responses. The burgeoning use of paper checks has also been perceived as a misallocation of economic resources which should be corrected by a lifting of restrictions on the pricing of checking accounts. The leadership of the banking industry is pursuing a constructive response to these events. We believe the pressures described above wfll continue to force a rapid pace of change, and are seeking Federal legislation .because the public interest wfll be served best by imposing a rational order on the process of change for all financial institutions. We are seeking the imposition of a rational order to end what can best be described as "piecemealing". At first glance, piecemealing may seem to have some advantages. It obviates the need for a more comprehensive legislative design with- out the certain knowledge of where market pressures are leading us. It allows for different responses by different states, regulators, and institutions, depending on their interpretation of the problem. These varying responses may in turn, facilitate innovation and enable all parties to see more clearly where the fi nanci a1 system is headed. However, pi ecemea 1i ng a1so has many disadvantages. As the process has evolved, competitive inequities have arisen which discriminate against the customers of different types of financial institutions. Equally important are the problems caused by uncertainty over the character and direction of change and the myriad of' approaches for dealing with it. These problems have made planning by financinal institutions extremely difficult. A Federal solution is needed. Problems of discrimination against bank customers can be addressed in a unifom manner throughout the nation. Issues that are uniquely national in nature, such as. the Federal Reserve's membership https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 338 problem, can be considered as part of this package. We realize that a Federal solution also has inherent dangers. A consensus may be much more difficult to achieve. If the end result is bad, competitive inequities may be perpetuated throughout the nation. Innovation may be stifled. Such legislation, occurring at the Federal level, may be difficult to change. This is the kind of result weforesaw in the Financial Reform Act of 1976 that was considered in the House of Representatives, and that is why we opposed that legislation after four years of continually advocating constructive and equitable change. Having considered all of these factors, our membership has decided that only through a Federal solution, can the rational order we seek be imposed on the process of change. With such a solution, financial institutions will be able to understand better the rationale of the regulators that govern them. They will be able to plan better to serve their customers. Consumers w111 be able to make more rational choices among a wider range of financial services. In general, the public interest w111 be served better. We believe a constructive and equitable version of such a solution is contained in S. 1668. The Admfnistration has proposed S. 1664 which is also constructive and forward-looking. We support its general thrust, although we have some specific disagreements with it. I would now like to turn to a more detafled discussion of S. 1668, the problems that led us to propose it, and to comment on the Administration's proposal, S. 1664. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 339 Interest on Consumer Transactions Balances A central element in the bills we are discussing is the proposal to allow consumers to earn interest on transactions balances. Savings accounts would be made more useful by liberalizations of the law which would let depository institutions offer consumers savings accounts with many of the attributes they traditionally look for in checking accounts. Measures to make savings accounts more useful are part of a trend that has been going on for some time. The NOW account, a savings account on which negotiable orders of withdrawal may be written, is only one example. Others include, telephone tranfers from savings to checking accounts, the payment of bills from a savings account through preauthorized withdrawal by the depositors' instruction, the payment of bills from a savings account through telephone authorization of withdrawal by the depository institution, use of manned remote service units which initiate an electronic transfer of funds, automated teller machines to withdraw savings account money to pay bills or obtain funds, and finally, share drafts at credit unions. Appendix II shows the growth of many of these powers at banks, thrift institutions, and credit unions. It illustrates the response of state legislators, state and Federal regu- lators, and to some extent, the Congress to the pressures which have been moving our financial system toward interest-bearing transaction accounts. In the same vein, the Amerfcan Bankers Association for several years has sought from Federal regulators the power to allow bank customers to make preauthorized transfers from savings accounts to checking accounts, in the event that their checking account balance fell below a pre-specified level. We still believe regulators should allow such transfers. If they did some con- sumers would probably prefer this method over the NOW account. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Others would not. 340 S.1664 uses the term "NOW ac:c:ount," and "share draft," and then goes on to say that any ac:c:ount which is used to "provide funds directly or fndfrec:tly for the purpose of making payments or transfers to third parties," may be defined as a NOW account, or share draft account by the Federal Reserve. Such an account would then be subject to the same regulations as NOW accounts and share draft accounts. S, 1668 has similar language, but ft does not attach a specific term--e.g., "NOW" -- to the account. We believe that financial fnstf- tutfons should have the opportunity to name these accounts fn any manner they see fit. The important point is that all savings accounts from which third party transfers are made should have the same interest rate ceilings wl!,ether they are called "NOW accounts,""share draft accounts," "Savings ac:c:ounts," or anything else. S.1668 restricts interest-bearing transaction ac:c:ounts to natural persons who are making payments for personal purposes. also be held by non-profit organizations. a part of the legislation. S.1664 says these ac:c:ounts may This fs unnecessary and should not be In terms of their payments needs, and the services they obtain from banks, non-profit organizations are more similar to businesses than individuals and should likewise be excluded. The i11111ediate impact of interest on transactions balances would be a cost increase to fnstftutfons that hold the balances. This in turn would spur attempts to offset this impact. Institutions might attempt to achieve greater operating efficiencies, charge higher loan rates, change their asset mix to ac:hfeve higher yields, or adjust charges for consumer services. c:an be found, the result will be reduction in bank earnings. If no offset In the long run, this latter result is not healthy for the banking system and could be inimical to its attempts to serve the public: needs. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis This nation has 341 about 14,000 banks which compete very strongly for consumer deposits with each other, and also compete with approximately 5,000 savings and loan associations, 500 mutual savings banks, and 23,000 credit unions. It is highly unlike- ly that, in the long run, any of these institutions could suffer a significant decline in earnings without seriously impairing their ability to grow and serve the needs of the public. Thus, the manner in which financial institutions adjust to their changed environment will be determined by the necessity to recover all costs associated with interest on transaction balances, Many observers have been watching the New England experience with NOW accounts very closely. They see both good and bad aspects of this experience. The rapid growth of NOW accounts in New England indicates that consumers are accepting them, and like them. However, the advent of the NOW account did bring a drastic change to the way financial institutions do business with consumers. The adjustment has been, in many instances, difficult and painful, The competf- t1ve situation was particularly difficult· in Massachusetts and New Hampshire in the early years of the NOW account experiment. Unfamiliarity with the new type of account prompted many thrift institutions to offer them free of charge in an attempt to draw deposits from c011111ercial banks. In the other New England states pricing has been somewhat more realistic and the impact of NOW accounts has not been as severe. Our Association recently contracted with the Management Analysis Center of Cambridge Massachusetts to study the impact of NOW accounts, particularly as they.interact with the interest rate differential enjoyed by thrift institutions over banks. As yet, we only have a preliminary summary report. some significant findings, It indicates The initial cost impact of NOW accounts is greater on banks than on thrift institutions. Their results indicate that in Massachusetts and New Hampshire banks suffered a decline in profitability relative to banks in https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 342 the res~ of New Englandi and in the United States as a whole. They also suffered a more severe decline in profitability than thrift institutions in the same states. On January 31, 1977, the Federal Reserve Board submitted to your C011111ittee a paper entitled "Impact of the Payment of Interest on Demand Deposits." This study represented a major contribution to the consideration of this subject. Because of some reservations we had about the study, the American Bankers Association contracted with Golembe Associates of Washingtin, D.C., to do a critical review of it, and some further research in some of the areas about which we had reservations. This Golembe study agrees with us that the Federal Reserve study is very well done and is an excellent contribution to your Committee's deliberations. How- ever, it also states that the Fed study seriously underestimates the probable magnitude of earnings pressures on banks and fails to devote attention to the differ- ences in probable impacts among individual institutions. We do not think any of this research indicates that NOW accounts should be declared illegal, or even prevented from spreading nationwide. However, it does illustrate the need for a good monitoring system by regulators and a removal of the competitive inequities which would aggravate· the pressures on banks, if NOW accounts were allowed nationwide. Knowledge of the experience of New England bankers has caused bankers nationwide to view the current spate of proposals for financial reform with mixed feel- ings. These banks are concerned about the earnings of their institutions, and we believe this concern serves the public interest. Our country is just emerging from a bout with double digit inflation and the worst recession since the 193Os. Despite some individual mistakes, ihe banking industry served the public very well during this difficult and trying period, Many individuals https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 343 and businesses were severely hurt by this economic instability and managed to weather the stonn only through the forbearance of their bankers. for many banks, was a decline in earnings and capital positions. The result, In addition, as Governor Henry Wallich of the Federal Reserve has recently pointed out, the double digit inflation drastically overstated the true value of banks' earnings. Earnings are a particularly crucial_ element in the programs of many banks to rebuild their capital positions. The key role that banks play in our economy necessitates that the proposals being considered be structured to enable the banking industry to continue to grow and prosper. The monitoring problem is particularly important in the case of credit unions. There are more credit unions in our country then any other type of depository institution. A credit unfon is the easiest kind of depository insti- tution to create, and since their beginning, Federally chartered credit unions have experienced considerably higher rates of failure and liquidation than banks. Cred- it union regulators have not had substantial experience in examining institutions that are in the payments business. We urge the Comnittee to accord careful atten- tion to this area. Efficiency of the payments system is one of the goals long put forth by proponents of the payment of interest on checking accounts. we heartily endorse. Efficiency is a goal Although the precise effect of the proposed leqislation on the efficiency of the payments system is not completely known, the direction seems clear. Interest on consumer transactions balances will probably prompt higher service charges and encourage people to cut down on the use of checks·. This in turn will spur a more r;ipid development of electronic funds transfer systems, which many consider to be more efficient. It should be remembered, however, that consumers are familiar with our system of paper check-writing, and like it. Some might reject a trade-off that involved higher service charges in exchange for explicit interest. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis In some areas of New England a p~ttern has developed whereby 344 service charges and balance requirements on NOW accounts are substantially higher than those on checking accounts. checks written remains to be seen. How this will affect total numbers of It is our view, however, that the lifting of restrictions as proposed in S.1664 and S.1668 will, in the long run, enhance the efficiency of our payments system. How 111.1ch, and in what fonn, is not yet known. An area of the proposed legislation we have considered very carefully is its impact on depositors. It seems clear that initially, smaller depositors would not be helped by the advent of NOW accounts, Almost all bankers tell us that the ratio of the number of checks written to the average account balance declines as the average balance increases. This means smaller account holders would have the least to gain, and probably even lose somewhat, from a system which pays interest and increases the charge per check. Of course, it is not clear that higher service charges will be imposed in exactly this manner. Moreover, such a system would probably spur the development of electronic funds transfer systems which could become a great boon to small depositors, Also, the prob- lem of small depositors may be alleviated if service charges are structured so that depositors who write large numbers of checks have an incentive to keep their balances in low-service charge, non-interest bearing accounts. We suspect some consumers will choose an explicitly priced checking account, such as a NOW accoµnt, even thought they might suffer a monetary loss in the trade off between interest rates and service charges. To some people, more_ exact knowledge of the value of the benefits they receive from checking account services would be useful. account. Others, we suspect, will continue to choose an implicitly priced The important point is that the lifting of restrictions, as proposed in S.1664 and S.1668, will enable banks to offer both types of accounts to cons1111ers, who will then be able to make a choice. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 345 Competitive Equality - Interest Rate Ceilings Recent legislative and regulatory action at the Federal and State levels has given thrift institutions many of the same asset and liability powers as commercial banks without requiring parity with respect to interest rate ceilings, reserve requirements , and treatment of reserves. In some parts of the country, thrift institutions already have third party payment powers similar to the interestbearing transaction account being proposed in both S.1664 and S.1668. However, these institutions still retain the interest differential on time and savings accounts We believe the granting of third party payment powers to thrift institutions . blurs the remaining differences . between financial insitutions to such an extent that the advantage of the interest rate differential should be removed fl'OIII all classes of time and savings accounts at any institution which elects to offer third party payment accounts. S.1668 prescribes that any thrift institution which decides not to offer third party payment accounts would retain the advantage of the differential, despite our continued objection to this form of discrimination against bank customers. S.1668 prescribes that, on the effective date of the bill, credit unions offering share drafts would be subject to the same interest rate ceilings on all accounts. This is the same treatment prescribed for any other institution offering third party payment accounts. There is no reason to "grandfather" the interest rate ceilings on credit union accounts as is done in S.1664. Bill paying services, transfers from remote terminals, and other ways of transferring money from savings to checking accounts are already increasing the convenience of keeping transactions balances in thrift institution savings accounts. And even ff third party payment accounts had the same interest rate ceiling at all 32•972 0 • 78 • 23 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 346 institutions, thrifts would have the advantages of both one-stop banking and higher interest rates on tfme and savings accounts if they retained their differential on these accounts. The decline fn conmercial banking's share of the time deposit market, excluding regular savings and bank time deposits over $100,000, as shown fn Table 1, reflects the interest sensitfvfty of these deposits. In contrast, regular savings deposits are less sensftfve to the interest rate dffferentfal sfnce they are often mafntafned for use fn emergencies and must be easily transferable to transaction accounts. For many poep 1e, the addf tf ona 1 i nconvenf ence of transferrf ng these funds from thrift fnstftutions without third-party payment powers to a bank wfth third-party payment powers outweighs the higher yfeld available at the thrifts. However, ff thrifts gain general third-party payment powers, the differential wfll become more important in competftfon for regular savings accounts. Without the elfmfnatfon of the differential at thrift fnstftutions that gafn general thfrdparty .payment powers, we will see a decline fn the bank market share of regular savings accounts similar to that whfch has already occurred in the market for consumer certificates of deposit. The market for Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs) is another example of how the interest rate differential has placed banks at a competitive disadvantage. In announcing its decision to allow member banks to pay the same deposit interest rate as thrift fnstitutfons for IRAs, effective July 6, 1977, the Federal Reserve Board cited data from December 1976 showing comnercfal banks wfth only about 35 percent of the IRA deposit market whfle accounting for 47 percent of the total household time and savings deposits. When you consider that savings and loan associations have less than 25 percent of the total savings locations, the importance of the 1/4 percent interest rate advantage on IRAs as well as all household time and .savings deposits becomes even clearer. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 347 Although the regulated differential introduced in the Interest Rate Control Act of 1966 was established to help maintain the flow of funds to the housing market, the differential may hurt thrifts more than other institutions during periods of disintermediation. Since a greater proportion of interest sensitive funds is at thrifts because of the di fferenti 11 , a greater percentage of thrift deposits may flow into unregulated money market instruments when interest rates are rising. Individuals who have an opportunity to save at a thrift institution. but choose instead to save at a commercial bank by opening a savings account or buying a certificate of deposit, are being discriminated against. Bank customers have benefited or will benefit from the elimination of the differential on: 1) Time deposits of governmental units (1974) 2) NOW accounts 1n Massachusetts and New Hampshire (1974) 3) Long-term retirement accounts ( 1977) 4) Interest-bearing transaction accounts as proposed in both S.1664 and S.1668 Bankers are well aware of the justification given in many quarters for the interest-rate differential--namely, that thrift institutions specialize in housing more than banks do. In addition to our feelings about discriminatia, against bank customers, we have two objections to this rationale for the differential. First, as mentioned above, the interest rate differential has made thrift institutions particularly prone to outflows of funds during periods https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 348 of rising market interest rates. This instability in the thrift institu- tion deposit base has been a disruptive force in the mortgage market. Second, the implication of many of the arguments in favor of the differential 1s that banking is not making a significant contribution to housing finance. This 1s not true. As shown in Table 2, banks held $83.7 billion in mortgages at the end of the first quarter of 1976, more than any other class of institutions, except savings and loan associations. In addition, banks make a substantial contribution to housing finance through such means as home improvement loans, the purchase of Federal housing agency obligations, and similar investments. S01111! of these investments are shown in Table 3, as of the first quarter of 1976. Over the longer run, as Table 5 shows, the percentage of total assets that thrift institutions have been holding in the form of mortgages has been trending downward, while that of banks has been going up. Indeed, between 1965 and 1976, the percentage of total assets of mutual savings banks in the form of mortgages declined from 76.3 to 60.6. Also, as indicated in Table 4, in both 1975 and 1976 a substantial portion of the increase in deposits at thrift institutions was not put into housing. For mutual savings banks, deposits grew at more than twice the rate of mortgage investments in both years. We are proud of the record of our industry in housing finance. From the standpoint of housing finance there is no justification for the discrimination against bank customers inherent 1n the interest rate differential. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 349 Competitive Equality • Reserve Requirements and Treatment of Reserves While parity on reserve requirements and treatment of reserves is also important to the competitive balance between financial institutions, we believe each State should continue to have the authority to set reserve requirements for state-chartered depository institutions that are not members· of the Federal Reserve System, or the Federal Hane Loan Bank System. The Federal Reserve has pointed to the decline in the percentage of deposits in member banks (which are therefore subject to reserve requirements) as evidence that its control of the money supply is eroding. In spite of this, there is not general agreement that the Federal Reserve needs the authority to set reserve requirements for a certain percentage of deposits 1n order to control the money supply. Nevertheless, it is useful to determine whether the introduction of interest-bearing consumer transaction accounts would lead to a significant decline in the percentage of deposits subject to reserve requirements set by the Federal Reserve. It is assumed that the Federal Reserve's main concem is with transaction balances, that is, demand deposits and other types of interest-bearing transaction balances. A preliminary analysis of this problem is presented in Table 6. We simulated the effect of nationwide NOW accounts with the use of deposit data from December ,1975. Even a shift of as much as 40 percent of the funds currently deposited in household checking accounts at commercial banks to NOW accounts at thrift institutions, would result only in a moderate reduction 1n the percentage of transaction balances subject to reserve requirements set by the Federal Reserve nationwide. About half of this reduction could be offset by giving the Federal Reserve the authority to set reserve requirements on NOW accounts he 1d at Federally chartered savings and loans. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Virtually no reduction would occur if the Federal 350 Reserve were given authority to set reserve requirements on NOW accounts at all thrift institutions which were members of the Federal Home Loan Bank System. This results from the fact that Federal Home Loan Bank members account for about 98S of the deposits at savings and loan associations and about 20S of the deposits at mutual savings banks. We believe S.1668 will give the Federal Reserve adequate means to control the nation's money supply. It states that the Federal Reserve should be authorized to set reserve requirements for all Federally-chartered institutions, including Federally-chartered credit unions, State member banks, and State-chartered thrift institutions belonging to the Federal Home Loan Bank System. The required reserves of these institutions should be held either at the. Federal Reserve or at a depository acceptab 1e to the Fed. The Federal Reserve should not have the authority to detennine reserve requirements for State-chartered institutions that are not llll!lllbers of the Federal Reserve System or the Federal Home Loan Bank System. Such institutions should continue to be subject to reserve requirements according to State law or regulation. Basically, we are asking that thrift institutions be regulated with respect to reserve requirements in the same way as banks. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 351 The Federa 1 Reserve' s Membership Prob 1em In reducing the cost of Federal Reserve membership, we believe certain principles should be fol lowed. The cost of membership should be reduced by approximately the same percentage for all sizes of banks. We support this approach because the factors which have increased the cost of Federal Reserve meimership have resulted in approximately the same percentage increase in cost for members of all sizes. In fact, even though the increase in cost has been the same for all sizes of banks, the level of the cost of menmership, under current reserve requirements schedules, is substantially higher for larger banks than sma 11 er ones. There are two elements to the cost of Federal Reserve membership. The first element depends on the interest rate a bank could earn if it were allowed to invest those reserves in earning assets. This rate of sacrificed earnings is approximately the same for all banks, and has been the major element in the rise in Federal Reserve membership costs in recent years. Since the interest rates on earnings assets are approximately the same for all sizes of banks, the rate to be paid on reserves should be the same for all sizes of banks. The second element depends on the amount of reserves which must be held, and is larger for larger banks. On demand deposits, banks with less than $2 million in this type of deposit have a 7 percent reserve requirement, while banks with more than $400 million in demand deposits have a 16.25 percent reserve requirement. Thus., in general, the cost of Federal Reserve membership is larger for larger banks. Also, this graduated structure of reserve requirements means tlie nonnal growth in bank deposits will tend to increase the aggregate cost of Federal Reserve membership. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 352 This member bank reserve requirement structure is an historical accident dating back more than 110 years to the creation of the national bank system. It was discriminatory at that time against banks located in money centers and justified in part by the role of these banks as quasi-central banks. That justification disappeared with the creation of the Federal Reserve System in 1914, but the geographic reserve structure continued until 1972 and is even now reflected in the law. The Federal Reserve since 1972 has required progressively higher reserve percentages as the total of demand deposits in each bank increases. There is no justification for this dfscrimf• nation among member banks on the basis of size. It has been said that payment of interest on reserves held at Federal Reserve Banks would be a subsidy to banks. This greatly oversimplifies the situation. The funds which member banks maintain in Federal Reserve Banks are invested prfmarfly·fn government securities which provide interest income for the Federal Reserve. This interest income substantially exceeds the costs of providing services to member banks and a portion of it is paid to the Treasury each year, The Federal Reserve's investment income was about SS of its assets 1n 1975. Thus, the Federal Reserve earned about $1.25 billion on $25 billion of reserves held by member banks. An estimate of the total cost of Federal Reserve membership can be obtained by estimating the earnings which reserves kept at Federal Reserve banks would produce ff they were invested in earning assets. Such funds would likely be used to purchase ·Treasury bills or held as correspondent balances. The market yield on 3-month Treasury bills averaged 5.80 percent in 1975 and about 5.00 percent in 1976. An August 1975 survey of correspondent banks in the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank indicated an average earnings allowance on correspondent https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 353 balances of about 6 percent. This was just slightly below the rate on Treasury bills at that time. Multiplying the $26.7 billion of reserves at Federal Reserve banks at the end of 1975 by the 5.8 percent average yield on Treasury bills provides an estimate of the total cost of membership of about $1.5 billion in 1975. A similar estimate for 1976 indicates a total cost of membership of about $1.3 billion. In other words,41nember banks could have earned about $1.5 bfllfon more fn 1975 and $1.3 bfllfon fn 1976 ff they could have invested funds which they held as reserves with Federal Reserve banks. The earnings that banks sacrifice as a result of sterile reserves held at the Fed can be vf ewed as a tax on banks. The amount of thf s tax has increased as a result of the increase fn the cost of Federal Reserve membership. The increase fn the cost of membership was primarily the result of an inflation induced rise in market interest rates. The proposals being discussed merely authorize the Federal Reserve to reduce the amount of this tax to levels which existed before the inflation· induced rise in interest rates. Federal Reserve membership confers benefits on those who are willing to pay the price. These include services such as check clearing, provision of coin and currency, safekeeping for securities, and access to the discount window. The Federal Reserve has also recently put out for CDIIBlll!nt a proposed regulation that 110uld allow ft to charge expl fcit fees for the services ft offers -1>er banks. The implementation of such a regulation would at least partially offset the reduction in the cost of membership occasioned by the payment of interest on reserves. Altho_ugh larger banks use proportionately more of these services than smaller banks, we suspect the Federal Reserve would not allow a regime of explicit pricing that allowed volume discounts. Similarly, reserve requirements and interest paid on reserves held should be nondiscriminatory with respect to bank size. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 354 Federal Reserve spokesmen have made it clear that that the Board desires the authority to pay interest on reserves as a means of making Federal Reserve membership more attractive, particularly to smaller banks. There is an implication that ff the limitation on total interest payments is such as to produce a payment believed inadequate for this purpose, the Board will look favorably upon plans to pay interest to smaller member banks at higher rates or otherwise to discriminate against larger banks. This overlooks the fact that a number of nonmember banks are large (in excess of $1 billion fn deposits), but it has a greater flaw in compounding what is already a discriminatory system for setting requirements against the deposits of member banks. Unless the burden of Federal Reserve membership fs eased on a uniform basis across all sizes of banks, the trend toward larger and larger banks withdrawing from the system will continue. Thus, the results of discrimination may well be counter productive, for the loss of one large member bank can easily offset the attraction of many new sma 11 er members. The consideration of the payment of interest on reserves simultaneousl.11'. with interest bearing transaction accounts is in some ways misleading for ft is an easy conclusion that interest on reserves is required to cover the cost of payments to consumers. The payment of interest on member bank reserves should be viewed as a structural change in the banking system whfc:h is a long-overdue step to lessen the cost to member banks of belonging to the Federal Reserve System. This provides support to the nation's monetary authority, and should be viewed in this context. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 355 Other Bills Being Considered Although our statement has concentrated on only two of the six bills being considered during these hearings, we believe the conditions established 1n S. 1668 with respect to interest rate ceilings, reserve requirements, and treatment of reserves must be applied to many of the proposed recommendations in the other four bills. Over the last few years, our Association tias had the opportunity to testify on a number of these issues before this Subccmfttee an,t the House Subcommittee on f'inancial Institutions, Supervision, Regulation and Insurance. However, some of the proposals in the other four bills are new and have not been discussed fn detail or acted upon by our Government Relations Council. s. 1. For this reason, we can only state our tentative views at this time: 1665 Federal Chartering of Mutual Savings Banks. Title I limits Federal status to only those institutions which are State chartered institutions at the time of conversion to a Federal charter. When conditions concerning parity on interest rate ceilings and reserves are adopted, we will be willing to support this title. 1 2. Mana ement Powers of Credit Unions. Because these provisions would comp etely reverse credit unions I traditional service to low-and moderate-! ncome savers and borrowers, they wi 11 make credf t unions comparable to other financial institutions. We see no reason to obje1.t to this change so long as it is accompanied by the provision of S. 1668 equalizing the interest rates and reserve requirements on credf t uni on deposit, share and other accounts. 3. Central Liquidity Fund for Credit Unions. We have no objection to this proposal as long as our conditions on interest rate ceilings and reserves are adopted fn connection with the expansion of credit union asset and 11 ability powers. 4. Restructuring of the National Credit Union Administration. objection to this proposa 1. s. 1. We have no 1666 Extension of the Interest Rate Control Act. We are opposed to this proposal because it is inconsistent 1<nth the changes recommended in 1668. s. 2. lO<n Insurance of Public Funds. and should not be adopted. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis We believe this proposal is unnecessary 356 3. Variable Rate Mortgages. We support any experiments that may be helpful fn the development of variable rate or other flexible mortgage i ns truments • 4. ~ansion of Lending and Investment Powers under Title V of the Home itrs Loan Act. We would support the expansion of lending and investment powers far Federal savings and loan associations as long as ft was accompanied by an equalization of interest rate ceilings, reserve requireMnts, and treatment of reserves as proposed fn S. 1668. 5. Federa1 Chartering of Mutua 1 Savings Banks. When our candi ti ans on parf ty of 1nterest rate cef l1 ngs and reserves are met, we w111 be wi 11i ng ta support the Federal chartering of m11tual savings banks. However, we appose this particular provision because it would allow a converting institution to begin a new line of investments just prior ta conversion rather than being subject to the five year historical restriction of Title I of S. 1665. hlliL Except for our opposition to the proposed extension of interest rate controls in Title I, we have no objection to the provisions of s. 1667 ff parity on interest rates and reserves are also accepted. 1:...lfil We have no- obj ectf on to thf s proposa 1. The American Bankers Association has attempted ·ta address the issues of 1nterest-bearf ng transaction accounts, competf ti ve equa11 ty among ff nancf a1 institutions, and the burden of Federal Reserve membership fn a constructive way. I believe that S._ 1668 deals directly with these major concerns. In general, we have no abjection ta any of these additional proposals as long as they are accompanied by parity an interest rate ceilings, reserve requirements, and treatment of reserves. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 357 Table 1 Corrmerci a1 Bank Deposit Market Shares 1970 • 1976 ~ Percent Growth in Market 1970-75 Conmercial Bank' Market Share 11 mo 1975 1976 'I/ Percent 66.5 64.8 99.7 99.7 1) All Deposits 69 2) Demand Deposits 31 3) All Time and Savings Deposits 90 51.7 53.9 52.5 4) IPC (individuals, partnerships, and corporations) Time and Savings Deposits 86 48.3 49.6 48.7 5) IPC Regular Savings Deposits 42 39.4 45.4 47.1 147 49.0 40.8 na 7) Household Time and Savings Deposits 86 46.4 47.6 na 8) Household Regular Savings Deposits 42 40.3 44.8 na 152 56.6 50.5 na 6) IPC Time and Savings Deposits Excluding Regular Savings Deposits and Large CD's 9) Household Time and Savings Deposits other than Regular Savings 68.8 100 1/ Not including Credit Union Shares. y Preliminary Sources: FDIC, Assets and Liabilities, selected dates, Federal Reserve Bulletin, selected dates, NAMse Fact Book, selected dates, USLSA Fact Book, selected dates, Federal Reserve Board, Flow of Funds Statistics. All time and savings deposits at thrifts are assumed to be held by households. Line.6 uses data for insured commercial banks for Jan. 31, 1971 and Jan. 31, 1976. Lines 8 and 9 assume that 97% regular savings deposits at commercial banks in 1975 were held by households compared to 100% in 1970. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 358 Table Z Mortgage Loans Outstanding, by Type of Lender First Quarter 1976 (Billions of Dollars) One-to FourFamily MultiFamily Total Savings and Loan Associations Cor.aerci al Banks Mutual Savings Banks Life Insurance Companies All Others $231.3 78.2 50.3 17.3 $257.2 83.7 64.2 37.0 ill.:.l $25.9 5.5 31.9 19.7 35.7 Total $503.4 $100.7 $604. l ~r Source: Federal Reserve Board https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis lli.:.l!. 359 Table 3 The Banking Industry's Contribution to Housing Finance F1 rst Quarter 1976 (Billions of Dollars) Residential Mortgage loans Mobile Home Loans Home Improvement.Loans Residential Construction Loans Residential Land Loans Federal Housing Agencies Obligations Municipal Securities Supporting Housing Loans to Other Housing Lenders $ 83.7 Total $221.2 Source: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Federal Reserve Board 8.7 5.9 8.1 2.3 14.5 78.0 ~ 360 Table 4 Percentage Increase in Total Deposits and Mortgage Loans 1975 and 1976 (In percent) Con-mercial Banks lllutual Savings Banks Savings and Loan Associations 1975 Increase in Total Deposits 4.6 11.3 17.7 Increase in Mortgage Loans 3.or\ 3.1 11 .8 6.0 11.B 17.5 10.7 5.7 15.9 1976 Increase in Total Deposits Increase in Mortgage Loans Sources: FDIC; National Association of Mutual Sa.vings Banks; United State League of Savings Associations. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 361 Table 5 Percentage of Total Assets in Mortgage Loans, Selected Year-End Dates, 1965 - 1976, (In per cent) 1965 1975 1976 Co111nercial Banks 13.2 14.2 14.5 Mutual Savings Banks 76.3 63.8 60.6 Savings and Loan Associations BS. 1 82.4 02.4 Sources: FDIC; National Association of Mutual Savings Banks; United State League of Savings Associations 32-972 0 • 78 • https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 24 362 Table 6 Percent of Transaction Balances 1/subject to Reserve Requirements Set by the Federa 1 Reserve Percent of Household Demand Del'IOsits Shifted to rmw Accounts at Thrift Institutions 0% Types of Deposits Subject Reserve Requirements Set bl:'. Federa 1 Reserve 10% 20% 40% Percent of Transaction Balances Subject to Reserve Regui rements Set B):'. the Federa 1 Reserve All Deposits at Member Banks 76.4% 74.0% 71.6% 66.4% A11 Deposits at Member Bar.ks , NOW Accounts at Federally Chartered Thrift Institutions 76.4% 75.3% 74.2% 72.0% All Deposits at Member Banks, NOW Accounts at Thrift Institutions which are Members of Federa 1 Home Loan Bank System 76.4% 76.4% 76.4% 76.3% 1/ Demand Deposits held by individuals, partnerships and corporations nlus NOW Accounts at all financial institutions Ass ump ti ons 1. The ratio of IPC demand deposits at member co11111ercial banks to IPC demand deposits at nonmember c011111ercial banks remains constant. 2. All funds in NOW accounts at thrift institutions come from household checking accounts at commercial banks. 3. Member and nonmember con111erci a 1 banks 1ose househo 1d demand deposits to NOW accounts at thrift institutions in ~roportion to their total volume of household demand deiiosits. 4. Different types of thrift institutions attract NOW account funds in proportion to their total time and savings deposits. Credit unions were not included in the analysis. 5. The ratio of household demand deposits to IPC demand deposits is the same for member and nonmember con111erci a1 banks. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis APPENDIX I COMPARISON OP ADMINISTRATION AND ABA BILLS s. s. 1664· ADMINISTRATION BILL 1668 ABA BILL 1. Ownership and use of HOW Accounts {See Note 2 below) Owner must be individual or nonprofit association (including crcdft unions); no restriction on use (Sec. 101) •. 2. Pine for violations of HOW Account restrictions Repeals fine (in rewriting 12 1832, Sec. 101 omits fine). 3. Other kinds of Savings Accounts used to pay bills Two types of accounts are authorized in Section 101. Other types would be allowed by State law or other provisions of federal law (such as 12 U.S.C. 1464 (b)(l)). for instance, an S&L -y agree to pay bills from a savings account as the saver directs over the phone. The account is not a "HOW'' account as defined in i:he bill because no "negotiable or transferable instrwaent or other similar item" is used to withdraw the money. Apparently, this account would be subject to a higher ceiling unless the 4 agencies used their broad authority to treat it as a HOW account. That could be done only if all 4 agencies agreed to issue a "similar'' regulation or order. u.s.c. Owner must be individual and account must be used for hie personal purposes (~ec. 1). Continues preaent proviaion subjecting institutions that violate restrictions on HOW accounts to $1,000 fine for each violation (12 u.s.c. 1832(c)). All savings accounts from which transfers to third parties -y be made are subject to the same ceiling, regardless of how transfers are made (Sec ■• 1, 2(c), and 6). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis s. 1664 ADHIIIISTRATIOH BU.L .ill!!! 4. · Bate Ceilings: Uniformity 5. s. 1668 ABA BILL Ceilings are uaifoni for all ROif accounte (Sec, 104(a)),.but statutory rate differential continues for other accounts (lower ceilings for comercial baoke than for thrift institution■) unless changed with approval of both Hou- of Congress (Public Law 94-200, 12 u.s.c. 46lnote). If institution offer ■ ld-part:,-payaeot accounts, with or without interest, all ita accounts are subject to aaae ceilings aa bank~ (Sec. 6); statutory differential ta repealed (Sec. 7(c)). Institutions insured by FDIC or FSLIC, and other l'IILB members_ Ceilings apply to all interest-bearing consumer deposits (existing law). Same (existing law). Federal credit unions Ceilings apply to NOW accounts ouly (Secs. 104 (a), 104 (e)). Ceilings apply to all interest-bearing consumer deposits (Secs. 2(c), 5(b), 5(c)). Other insured credit uaions Ro ceilings (see note 3 below). Ceilings apply to all interest-bearing consumer deposits (Secs, 2(c), 5(b), 5(c)). Uninsured credit unions Ro Other uainaured, ~ e r inatitutiona Ceilings apply onl:, if the:, hold over 20% of thrift account ■ in State where no State ceilings apply (existing law). Bate Ceilings: Coverage ceilings. Ceilings apply if credit union offers ld-party-paymeot accounts, with or without interest (see 3 above, Sac. 2(c)), Ceilings apply if they offer ld-party_pa:,ment accounts, with or without interest (sea 3 above, Sec. 2(c)), https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis s. s. 1664 ADMINISTRATION BILL 1668 ABA BILL 6. Bate Ceilings: Agency responsible for setting ceilings on NOW accounts 3 of 4 agencies (RB, FDIC, l'IILB, and IICUA) aust agree on HOii account ceiling, except FD liay set initial ceiling if.DO agreement ia reached in 6 -ntha (Sec. 104 (a)) • RB seta ceiling on HOW accounta after consulting other agencies (Sec. 2(c)). 7. Bate Ceilings: Expiration On Dec. 15, 1979, rate ceiling authority revarta·to pre-1966 law except for HOW account• (Sec. 301). Ceilinga for HOWs continue for 3 years (4 years from enactment), when they expire unless renewed during the next 3 years by vote of 3 of 4 agencies (Sec. 104(a)). On a. Bate Ceilings: Grandfather clause Over-ceiling rates on NOW accounta_in existenc_e at ensctaent may continue for 4 years after enactment (Sec. 104(b)). Ho 9. Extension of reserve requirements to nomaembera of PRS Reserve requirementa apply to HOW accounts at all institutions insured by FDIC, FSLIC, or HCIJA; all l'HLB members; and uninaured savings banks (Secs. 102(a), 20l(a)). Reserve requirements apply to intereatbearing 3d-party-pa:,ment accounts at l'HLB ■embers and Federal credit unions, in addition to Fed -■her banks (Sec. 2(b)). How reserves may be held Reserves uy be held as vault cash, at Fllllank, or (for nomaeabers) at interaediary I'll ■ember bank, or at l'HLBank (Sec. 202(a)). Reserves uy be bald aa vault cash, at l'RBank, or (for PIILB -bera) at l'HLBank if it holds them aa vault caah or at RBank (Sec. 2 (b)) • 10. Dec:. 15, 1980, rate ceiling authority reverts to pre-1966 law (Sec. 7(a)). such provision. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis s. 1664 ADMINISTRATION BllL s. 1668 ABA BILL 11, Phase-in of reserve requirements for nonmembers of FRS For nonmembers of FRS, required reserves are reduced by 75% in first year, SO% in second, and 25% in third (Sec. 2Ol(b)), Ho phase-in ~rovision. 12, Reserves on demand deposits st FR member banks FRB sets requirement at not more than 22% nor lesa than 5% (7% for banks with more than $1S million of net demand deposits) (Sec. 2Ol(a)). FRB sets requirement at not more than 20% nor less than S% (Sec. 2(a)). 13. Interest on required reserves FRBanka may pay interest on required reserves they hold at rate fixed by FRB; payments may not exceed 10% of net eamings of FRBanks in previous year (Sec. 2O2(b)). Same, except rate paid must be uniform regardless of aize of reserve balance or nature of institution, and lilllit is S% of required reserves held by FRBanks at end of previous fiscal year (Sec. 2(b)). 14. FRBanks as clearing houses FRBanks may receive "other items, ineluding negotiable orders of withdrawal" as well as checks and drafts payable on presentation, and accept deposits from nonmembers on same tenas as FR members. Nonmembers of FR must maintain clearing balances at level FRB deema "appropriate"; law now requirea level sufficient to offset their items in transit. FRB may require FRBanks to act as clearing house for nonmembers of FR, and may fix charges (presumably for collecting items) that depository institutions impose on their cuatomars whose items are cleared through FRBank (Sec, 2OS). No such provisions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis s. 1664 ADMlHlSTRATlOH BILL 15, Effective date Bill takea effect one year from enactment (Sec. 206), s. 1668 ABA BILL Bill takes effect one year from enactment, except it takes effect 60 daya from enactment in H- England (Sec, 8), and repeal of statutory differwtial takes effect on enactment (aee 3 above, Sec, 7(c)), ~= 1. This table ia based upon readings. 1664 and the section-by-section analysis of it in the CONGRESSIONAL RECORD. Where unclear, we have tried to resolve ambiguities by presuming the framers' intent. 2, In this table "HOW account" is used to cover other klnds of interest-bearing third-party-payment accounts (such as share draft accounts at credit unions) as well. 3, The earlier FRB draft bill applied ceilings to all credit unions insured by HCUA, not just Federal credit unions. While S, 1664 is not entirely clear on that point, the ceiling authority is inserted in a provision that relatea aolely to Federal credit unions, and the earlier FRB draft's reference to other insured credit unions is omitted. We assume an intent to ex~lude other credit unions frDIII coverage. 368 APPENDIX II DEPOSIT POWERS OF RANKS ~ND THEIR COMPETITORS BAHKS ROW WAT Checking accounts Nationwide NOW accounts MA, NH, C'I, ME, at, VT Telephone transfers from cuetomer' a savings accounts to checking account Nationwide Federal regulation State Chartered banks in: AL, AR, co, CT, FL, GA, ID, IA, KS, ICY, LA, ME, MD, MA, Mr, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OK, OR, OR, RI, SC, SD, '1'N, VA, WA, WI National Banks providing they comply with branching laws State statutes and regulation Manned remote service units or off-premiae automated teller machinu https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . Stat• and Federal statutes 369 SAvtllGS AIID LOAN ASSOCIATIONS HA, HB State atacutes and interpretations; federal ■tatute (federal a&la) CT, ME, ll, VT Federal. atatute 'tfon-:1.nt~-r•at bearing NOWs CT• IL, ME• ff• I.I, WI State statute• and interpretations Preautbor:l.zed bill paying llat:l.omr:l.de (federal a&la) llous:l.ng Act of 1970; Federal llaae Loan Bank Board -rags. Bill paying by telepboue All, CA, DC, I'!., BI, IIB, Olt, PA, TX State ud federal regulations HOW accounts Checking accounts , Manned roa,te aerv:l.ce wi:1.t■ and off-prell:l.ae automated tallar aacb:1.ne■ , llat:1.omr:l.de (federal AL, lCY, NM, WA, TelapboH transfer ■ from aaviup :l.n federal •&l• to demand deposit account ■ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis s&l■) CO, CT, FL, IA, JCS, ME, KA, Kl', NB, NJ, NY, I.I, SC, SD, VA, WI ll&t:l.omr:l.da Fedaral Rome Loan Bank Board regs. sc•t• atatutes (itentucky by regulat:1.ou) Federal llome Loan Bank Board rags. 370 MIJTlJAL SAVINGS IIAIIICS !!!!Y NOW Accounts MA, NH State atatute~ :md i:iterp?'e:atio~ i CT, ME, II.I, VT Federal atatute CT, DE, IN, ME, MD, MN, NJ, NY, 01, PA, II, VT Charters, bylaws, atate statutes and interpretations Bill paying by telephone CT, MA, MN, HJ, NY, PA, II, VT, WA State and federal r!!gu!.ations Manned remote aervice ,mit ■ end off-pru.iH CT, ME, MA, MD, Nil, NJ, NY, OR, II.I, WA State statutes Clt-.cking accounts, Non-interest bearing NOWs autoMted teller mchinea https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 371 CREDIT UNIONS NOW Accounts 11A State ■ tatute Checking accounts, Non-interest bearing !fOWs' HV, ll, UT State ■ tatutes Nationwide (federal etls) National Credit Un:!.cin Ad~::'li.s,;ra AL, C0 1 FL, ID, IA, MA, KT, NM, RI, SC State statutes Manned remote service 1111it1 11114 off-premise automated taller uchioe ■ Shara dl!&ft ■ llationwide (federal CU ■) AL, CA., CO, CT, PL, ID, a.r.d !:it-s:-p:-etatio National Credit Un!.on Admini.3 :.ri.. -::!.c~• Stat ■ ■ tatutes and interpretatic::is IL, IN, IA, D, MI, MN, MO, HI', IV, NC, ND, OR, OK, II, TN, TX, OT I VA, V"r, WA, WI Share certificates, lines of credit, mrtgage loan• to 30 year ■, etc. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 ■ tatuta llationwide (federal CUs) Federal AL, AZ, CA, CO, ID, U, LA, ME, MN, H'l', HI, NM, OJ., RI, TN, TX, UT, VA State "wild card" statutes 372 BIBLIOGRAPHY American Bankers Association, Economic and Financial Research Division. Studies on the Payment of Interest on Checking Accounts, December 1975. Benston, George J. "An Analysis and Evaluation of Alternative Reserve Requirement Plans". The Journal of Finance, Volume XXIV, No. 5, December 1969. Boehne, Edward G. "Falling Fed Membership and Evading Monetary Control - Wha'! Can be Done?" Business Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, June 1974. Chase, Samuel B. Jr. "The Impact of Payment of Interest on Demand Deposits, A Critique of a Study of the Staff of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System". Prepared for the American Bankers Association, Washington, D. c., June 1977. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. Report to the Board of Directors on the issues and implications of banks' membership in the Federal Reserve System, September 1976. Federal Reserve Board, Staff. The Impact of the Payment of Interest on Demand Deposits. January 31, 1977. Federal Reserve Board, Staff. "Effects of NOW Accounts on 1974-1975 Conmercial Bank Costs and Earnings", by John D. Paulus, August 1976. Kaminow, Ira. "Why Not Pay Interest on Member Bank Reserves," Business Review, Federal Res_erve Bank of· Philadelphia, January 1975. Knight, Robert E. "Comparative Burdens of Federal Reserve Meri>er and Nonmember Banks," Monthly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, March 1977. Management Analysis Center, Inc. The Chl:ing Imrct of the Interest Differential. In progress. Being prepared for the rican ankers Association, June 1977. Mayne, Lucille S. Deposit Reserve R,uirements: the American Bankers Associat1on, pril 1975. Time for Change. Meltzer, Allan H. "Credit Availability and Economic Decisions.• Credit Allocation, University of Rochester, New York, 1975. Prepared for Government South Carolina Bankers Association. The Payment of Interest on Checking Accounts, by David C. Cates and Samuel B. Chase, Jr., February 1976. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 373 STATEMENT OF THE AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION BEFORE THE SENATE Cct-1MITTEE ON BANKING, HOUSING, AND URBAN AFFAIRS ON THE ROLE OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE IN PROVIDING PAYMENTS MECHANISM SERVICES October 11, 1977 374 Mr. Chairman and members of the Committee, I am Charles F. Haywood, Professor of Economics at the University of Kentucky. I am appearing today on behalf of the American Bankers Association, and am accompanied by Thomas Rideout, Senior Vice President, Wachovia Bank & Trust Company, N. A., tlinstonSalem, North Carolina and a member of the Executive Committee of the Correspondent Banking Division of the American Bankers Association. We welcome the opportunity to testify before your committee on the role of the Federal Reserve in providing payments mechanism services. The question was fundamental in the minds of policy makers when the Federal Reserve was originally set up, and is of continuing importance today, particularly in light of the development of new electronic forms of payments services. The Provision of Payments Services by the Federal Reserve in its Capacity as the Nation's Central Bank The provision of paymen1s services is not a necessary function for the Federal Reserve in its capacity as the nation's central bank. The only nec- cessary function for the nation's central bank is the management of monetary policy. In today's economy, we can see no inherent reason why the provision of payments services must be exercised by the central bank in order to perform this function. However, at the time of the founding of the Federal Reserve, it was deemed appropriate for it to perform a variety of payments services and it has traditionally done so. Before discussing the appropriateness of this role today, it will be useful to review some of the services provided by the Fed, and some of the historical factors which prompted it to provide payments services. The Federal Reserve system augments the collection of checks on a nationwide basis through its unique branching network throughout the country. While the vast majority of checks are cleared by direct exchanges between banks, the Federal https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 375 Reserve provides a utility for interstate exchange not currently available in the private sector. It is.useful to note, however, that many of the large banks have in recent years elected to bypass the Fed in favor of direct presentment of items even to far remote cities. The Automated Clearing Houses operated in several cities by the Federal Reserve have allowed an orderly transition toward electronic funds transfer and benefited the American people by allowing the Treasury to speed payments and reduce costs of processing Treasury payments. The Fed has been inst1"lll'lental in helping to develop this service. The Fed WIRE, which allows the rapid transfer of funds from city to city, has been greatly enhanced in recent years. It allows major transfers of funds to occur quickly and safely outside the check collection system. Through its Coin and Currency operations, the Federal Reserve provides the distribution networks for new cash from the Treasury into the hands of the American people and the collection system for worn and mul tilated currency. One of the reasons the Federal Reserve was established was because the Congress perceived the public interest to be served by the establishment of a uniform national currency. In response to this concern, the Fed adopted a delib- erate policy of attempting to eliminate non-par banking, the system whereby recepients of payments by check were charged fees for the privilege of depositing those checks in their bank accounts. ful. For the most part, this effort was success- Non-par banking was 'disliked because, at the time of the establishment of the Federal Reserve, our financial system had evolved to the point where checks were considered to be a substitute for currency. People felt that, if the value of a dollar used in a transaction was unrelated to the distance between transacting parties, the same should be true of a check. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Also, there was a general belief that 376 non-par banking encouraged an inefficient payments system, as checks tended to take very circuitous clearing routes in the attempt to avoid exchange fees. Problems of bank soundness were, in some cases, also associated with the high costs and inefficiencies of check clearing. The establishment of the Federal Reserve, with a system of required clearing balances for member banks, and the provision of free clearing services to them, did much to restore public confidence in the efficiency and soundness of our payments system. Thus, one of the reasons the Federal Reserve was established was because Congress perceived a role that was not being fulfilled by the private sector. In today's world, however, there is an active and efficient payments mechanism provided by the private sector. While we would certainly not recommend that the Fed get out of the payments business entirely, it is not clear what the appropriate role for the Federal Reserve in the provision of payments services is. A complete withdrawal of the Fed from the payments business would be a wrenching experience for the banking system and should be done on a gradual basis, if at all. Nevertheless, we must note that more and more banks are finding Federal Reserve services less valuable relative to the reserves they must hold, and are withdrawing from the System. Surely this calls into question the appropriateness of the Federal Reserve in providing payments services today. Of course, one of the reasons Federal Reserve services are becoming less valuable to banks is the manner in which they are implicitly priced. Banks that are willing to bear the excessive burden of reserve requirements are given the services free. not obtain services from the Fed at all. Other banks, generally, do A second factor lessening the value of the Fede:ral Reserve membership has been the innovativeness of the private sector in providing payments services. As the income lost from investment in non ... interest bearing reserves has become more and more costly, the private sector has become https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 377 more efficient in the provision of payments services and its market has expanded. In fact, some payments services, such as the bank card, have developed entirely in the private sector and have become very popular and cost-effective. This innovativeness in the private sector would also seem to call into question the appropriateness of the Federal Reserve' s role in providing payments services. In addition, we foresee several difficulties in pricing of existing Federal Reserve services and the provision of new ones. The problem of determining proper cost allocations is bad enough for regulators of private firms. For the Federal Reserve with its unique monopoly power to create money and its responsibility for administering monetary policy, the situation would seem nearly impossible. How does one allocate overhead costs among such diverse activities as the administration of monetary policy through open market operations, the provision of services as fiscal agent for the Federal Government, the supervision of statechartered member banks, the regulation of bank holding company activities, and the provision of payments services which also can be provided by private banks? Even if all the relevant data were kn01,n, we can think of no way to do this on a rational basis. Indeed, as new payments systen5 evolves, it becomes more and more difficult to even know the relevant data. And the relevant data must be known if Federal Reserve involvement in a particular activity is to be justified on the basis that the private sector is not providing adequate service. It is for this reason that the American Bankers Association suggested to the National Cononission on Electronic Funds Transfer, that in EFT areas where new payments services are developing rapidly, -- automated clearinghouses might be an example of this -- if Fed involvement is appropriate the service should be priced on the basis of what the private sector would charge if it provided the service. Even this rule is difficult to implement on a fair basis since vendors of payments services in the private sector will frequently be charging different prices and 32•972 0 • 78 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 25 378 operate under different cost conditions. belief that This policy was proposed because of the in some EFT areas there may be a "demonstration value" to having the Fed proVide a particular service, with the private sector taking over the function after the value of the service is realized and known by all. This may have been the case with check clearing at the time the Fed was established. There seems to have been a clear need to demonstrate the value of par banking. However, with the increasing sophistication of correspondent banks, and the advent ·of deposit insurance, many of the inefficiencies and riskiness have beeri removed· from payments activities. The provision of payments services is the main banking area in which the Fed competes directly with the private banking system. Yet with 12 regional banks, each having several branches which serve primarily as operations centers, the Fed already has a nationwide system of operations centers in place. There is no way a single bank can be said to match this capability under the current banking structure. This makes accurate comparisons of the public and private clearing systems even more tenuous. Another example of the difficulties of explicitly pricing Federal Reserve services was highlighted during recent consideration of S. 2055, proposed legislation dealing with NOW accounts and the burden of Federal Reserve membership. In discussion of this legislation, the Federal Reserve seemed to justify discrimination against larger banks in the payment of interest on reserves on the g:,:ounds that these banks took greater advantage of "free' 1 Federal Reserve services. Yet, surely there are volume efficiencies in the provision of many payments services. the Fed propose to give volume discounts? such a policy. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Would Explicit pricing would seem to suggest 379 In sum we believe a thorough investigation of the role of the Federal Reserve in the provision of payments services is certainly appropriate at this time. However, the proper roles for the public and private sectors cannot be determined by merely saying they should compete on an equal basis. Access to the Federal Reserve's Services If there is a proper role for the Federal Reserve in the provision of payments services it would, at first, seem logical that such services should be provided to all institutions. with this approach at this time. set up Unfortunately, we cannot agree When the Federal Reserve was originally thrift institutions were not in the payments business, and it was widely anticipated that all banks would eventually join the Fed. Of course, a significant portion of the banking system did not join the Fed, and in recent years other institutions have been getting into the payments system. The provision of payments services by the Fed is largely financed by the income derived from the use of reserves that must be held by member banks. These reserve requirements operate as a discriminatory tax. If payments services were provided to all institutions, reserve requirements would become even more discriminatory. Until something is done about the excessive burden of reserve requirements, only member banks should have direct access to Federal Reserve services. Costs and Benefits of the Pricing of Federal Reserve Services Two objectives frequently mentioned for the pricing of Federal Reserve services are economic efficiency and the development of technologically efficient payments systems. Federal Reserve involvement in the payments systems has been justified by some on the grounds that there is, in some sense, a failure in the private https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 380 marketplace. Payments services have been perceived by some as having economies of scale which cannot be reali:ed in the private marketplace and should not be priced on a full cost basis, but only according to the marginal cost of producing one extra unit. Alternatively, it has been suggested that payments services might involve a public good which has such widespread benefits that they should be offered for free. ll'hile we are skeptical of the accuracy of these views, it is useful to examine the implications of these methods of pricing. We have already men- tioned the problem of cost allocations in a diverse public institution such as a central bank, and the difficulties in knowing the relevant data when technology is changing rapidly. There is an additional problem in that neither of these pricing methods would generate enough revenues to cover the cost of producing the service. Payments system activities would have to be subsidized relative to other economic activities. method would discourage private competition. Also, such a pricing For these reaso~~ it is our belief that when the relevant data are difficult to know any new venture by the Federal Reserve into the payments system area should only be on a basis that does not discourage private competition. Surely, when no one knows the form the future payments system will take, this is the best rule. Even with such a rule, we believe the burden of proof should be on the Federal Re- serve to demonstrate the failure of the private payments systems before it undertakes any new activities. Another potential objective in the pricing of Federal Reserve services is the development of technologically efficient payments systems. The de- velopment of some EFT applications may be extremely risky for private concerns to undertake. Nevertheless; some of the applications may increase the efficiency of the payments systems and the Fed may want to provide such https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 381 services on a temporary basis. Under these circumstances, pricing of these services may be based more on considerations of the temporary nature of the Federal Reserve' s participation in the market than on considerations of short run economic efficiency. and delay their development. .-\ high price will forestall use of these EFT services A low price will accelerate use and acceptance of the services, but delay development of private EFT systems. One potential approach in this situation is the method suggested previously. That is, charge what the private sector would charge if it "1ere offering the service. How do these approaches to pricing compare with the current pricing methods used by the Federal Reserve? From the standpoint of an individual. member bank -- the Federal Reserve sets a direct price of zero on services provided and then imposes a tax on it. The size of the tax is based on the deposits of member banks and substantially exceeds the cost to the Federal Reserve of providing the service. This method of pricing has resulted in at least one and possibly two distortions. The first distortion is caused by setting the price of access to Federal Reserve services above either the average or marginal cost of producing them. This results in a smaller than optimal number of banks making use of these services. This is currently being discussed as "the Federal Reserve' s membership problem". Setting the direct cost of these services equal to zero for member banks may create a second distortion. Some member banks may use an excessive amount of the services from an efficiency standpoint. Direct pricing of Federal Reserve services alone will only eliminate the second distortion. Any approach to direct pricing must include a sig- nificant reduction of the high price in terms of reserve requirements which banks Jm.lSt pay to gain access to Federal Reserve services. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis This could be 382 accomplished by a reduction in reserve requirements, pa:1nent of interest on required reserves, or allowing certain types of earnings assets to qualify as reserve assets. At one time the Federal Reserve put out for comment proposed changes in Regulation J which called for explicit ??'icing of services and credits against these prices for reserves held. Such a pricing scheme is anti-competitive in that it reinforces the incentive member banks have to use only those services provided by the Fed, and neglect private market alternatives. Our comments to this proposed regulation are attached to our statement and discuss this in further detail. In addition, this proposed regulation illustrates very well the temptation that exists to use explicit pricing as a tool to stem the erosion of Federal Reserve membership. If this were to happen, the broader questions of economic efficiency and an efficient payments systems could easily become hostage to the membership question. Impact of the Federal Reserves' Current Role in the Paymen~s Mechanism on Correspondent Banking The current Fed policy in providing payments services is to charge a high admission fee, but to charge nothing per unit once access is established. In essence, the Fed currently is financing its payments mechanism by a tax on member banks in the forin of required reserves. The situation encourages the formulation of correspondent relationships to spread the high cost of initial access to the services; member banks shift their burden of cost to non-members by charging an implicit fee for Fed services to which they, as members, have unlimited access. While this aspect of current Fed pricing tends to encourage the volume of correspondent relationships, the zero unit price for use of services for me~ber banks has inhibited the development of payments sytems in the private sector. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Thus, 383 the current structure of access to Fed services has a sharp impact on the nature of private correspondent activities; Illember banks are encouraged to act as conduits through which non-members can make use of the Fed clearing facilities. To assess the impact of the Fed's current role on the development of correspondent services, it is necessary to have a point of reference. If the Fed's services were priced at zero with unlimited access for all financial institutions, there would be no incentive for the private sector to compete in the payments systems market. This conclusion is also valid if the Fed employs marginal cost pricing, with the operating losses being off set by a direct or indirect tax subsidy. If the deficit is financed by a one-time fixed entrance fee for the use of the services with the per unit charged based on marginal costs, the system would be similar to the current one. Correspondent relationships would be encouraged in order to share the expense of the cost of entry -- but the per item charge would tend to encourage participants to economize on the use of the service. Pricing on the basis of what it would cost banks to provide the services would provide a healthly competition from the private sector. However, individual banks may still be at a disadvantage in competing in this market, due to the fact that the Fed has a nationwide presence which no single bank can match. Individual banks must form joint ventures to match this presence. In sum, Mr. Chairman, we are skeptical that enough information is known so that the Federal Reserve can adequately venture into new payments system areas without inhibiting healthy competition. If it does, the standard of pricing should not be any direct measurement of Federal Reserve operations, but the cost to the priyate banking industry of providing a similar service. The burden of proof should be put on the Federal Reserve to demonstrate the widespread public benefits or economic efficiencies https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 384 that justify an expanded role for the Fed in the payments systems area. doubt that such benefits exist. We The "issue" of access to Federal Reserve services exists because of the discriminatory tax placed on member banks in the form of excessively high reserve requirements. The Federal Reserve's membership problem must be dealt with first, before consideration is given to direct access by non-member banks and non-bank depository institutions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 385 lXfrtlllV[ OIIUCTO!t GO',CANMENT RELATIONS Grr.1ld M.Lowrie 202/467•4097 4 November 1977 The Honorable Richard G. Lugar United States Senate 5107 Dirksen Senate Office Building Washington, D. c. 20510 Dear Senator Lugar: On October 11, 1977, at the oversight hearing on the role of the Federal Reserve in providing payments mechanism services, you posed a·question to Dr. Charles llaywood, who was testifying on our behilf, about the extent to which required reserve ratios might be reduced for Fodera! Reserve member banks without ~mpairing the effectiveness of Federal Reserve monetary policy. We are pleased to have this opportunity to respond for the record. ·rhe American Bankers Association h.-1s long supported the view that required reserve ratios of Federal Reserve member banks should be reduced. In 1957 the Economic Policy Commission of the American Bankers Association published a study entitled, Member Bank Reserve Requirements. The key conclusions of that study were-as follows: 1. "That the chief function of reserve requirements is to serve as a fulcrum for the use of the discount rate and open-market operations in influencing the volume of bank credit and money." 2. "That the present high requirements should be substantially reduced over the years ahead to enable the banking system to accommodate the monetary and credit needs of a growing economy." 3. "That when reserve reform is undertaken, we should move in the direction of a geographically uniform system of reserve percentages." 4. "That vault cash should be treated as a reserve asset." https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 386 AME.RICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION C.ONTINUING OUR LlffU CJf SHEETNO. 2 Beginning December 1, 1959, member banks were permitted to count a portion of their vault cash to meet reserve requirements, and jince November 23, 1960, all vault cash has been included in the legally required balances. At the end of 1976, vault cash accounted for $8.6 billion of the $35.5 billion total of member-bank required reserves. As banks must hold a certain amount of vault cash regardless of the level of legal reserve ratios, inclusion of vault c?sh as a reserve asset has made the burden of reserve requirements less than it would otherwise have been. Prior to July 18, 1962, there were three categories of member banks with differential required reserve ratios. The categories were ·central reserve city banks, reserve city banks, and country banks. The first.two categories were merged in 1962. Since November 1972 the Federal Reserve has not formally employed the reserve city and country bank terminology. Instead, differential reserve ratios have been imposed by size of bank and, additionally in the case of time deposits, by certain maturity designations. However, the size categories used by the Federal Reserve for demand deposit reserves are closely related to the old reserve city and country bank classifications of banks. A "geographically uniform system of reserve percentages," as recommended by the Association in 1957 has yet to be established in fact, though the present system does not explicitly differentiate by geographical location. We also wish to note that when the Association's study was published in 1957 required reserve ratios on demand deposits were 20 per cent for central reserve city banks, 18 per cent for reserve city banks, and 12 per cent for country banks; the required reserve ratio on savings and time deposits for all member ban~s was 5 per cent. Currently, required reserve ratios for demand deposits vary between 7 per cent and 16.25 per cent depending on the amount of demand deposits held by the bank. For savings and time accounts, they vary between 1 per cent and 6 per cent depending on the amount of time and ·savings accounts held, the type of account, and maturity of account. Comparison with 1957 ratios is difficult, but in general there has been some modest decrease in average reserve ratios. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 387 AMf.RICAN LUNllNUINUOUK llTTlR. or BANKERS ASSOCIATION SHE.£.TNO. 3 This modest decrease in the level of reserve requirements, has not hindered the ability of the Federal Reserve to conduct an adequate monetary policy. Indeed, as you know, the Federal Reserve recently endorsed provisions of S.2055, which called for reduction in the statutory minimum required reserve ratios. Evidently, the Federal Reserve feels there is room for further reduction in required reserve ratios without any undue hindrance to monetary policy. We have noted these changes since our 1957 study to demonstrate that dialogue with the Federal Reserve has resulted in improvements in the structure of reserve requirements. Regrettably, progress has not been sufficient to mitigate the burden of reserve requirements to the extent needed. It appears that the Federal Reserve now has a.fuller appreciation of the need to reduce the burden of reserve requirements. Continuing dialogue might well be productive of further change. The door to such change could be opened by a simple technical amendment eliminating the statutory minimums for required reserve ratios. Under 12 USC 462, the minimum required ratios on demand deposits are 10 per cent for reserve city banks and 7 per cent for country banks; the minimum for savings and time accounts is 3 per cent. Eliminating the statutory minimums would increase the discretionary authority of the Federal Reserve to make its own determination of the level of reserves consistent with the need to mitigate the burden of Federal Reserve membership as well as the need to assure efficient implementation of monetary policy. We mention the possibility of eliminating the statutory minimums as one alternative that might be considered. We do not propose it at this time as an official position. However, we do favor reduction of reserve requirements. Expansion of the Federal Reserve's discretionary authority in this regard would also be consistent with the Association's long-standing position in support of the independent status of the Federal Reserve. As to the extent to which required reserve balances might be reduced, we think that there is a rationale for reducing such balances by at least $10.5 billion. At the end of 1957 the gold certificate reserve of the Federal Reserve Banks was approximately $22.l billion. The gold certificate reserve at https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 388 AM[RICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION <.ONTINUINt,(,AIK lllllR Vf SHLE.TNO. 4 the end of 1976 was $11.6 billion. The decline in the gold certificate reserve was associated, of course, with an outflow of gold from the United States in the late 1950s and the 1960s. This loss tended to decrease member-bank reserve balances. However, the effect on reserve balances was offset by Federal Reserve purchases of U.S. Government securities in the open market. The Federal Reserve thus gained interestbearing assets in replacement of the non-income gold certificates. The interest-bearing assets were shifted from the private sector, mainly the banking system, into the Federal Reserve. An alternative would have been for the Federal Reserve to reduce required reserve ratios conunensurate with the decline. in the gold certificate reser~e. Dr. Haywood, who represented the Arn.erican Bankers Association at the October 11, 1977 hearings, recommended such an approach to reduction in reserve requirements in the early 1960s. A gradual reduction in reserve ratios would have been possible during the 1960s. Required reserve balances today would be about $10.5 billion less than they .are, and the Federal Reserve would be holding $10.5 billion less in u. S. Government securities. We estimate that the Federal Reserve's income would have been reduced by.about $687 million in 1376 if it had held Sl0.5 billion less in securities. The Federal Reserve's net earnings in 1976 were $5,982 million, of which $5,870 million were paid to the Treasury. A reduction of $687 million in the Federal Reserve's income would not be matched dollar-for-dollar by a reduction in the Treasury's income. Transfer of $68.7 million from the Federal Reserve to the private sector would result in some increase in Treasury tax revenues, as much as $330 million, or perhaps, even more. Net loss to the Treasury would be in the range of $300 million to $400 million. In fact, there is no need for the Treasury to sustain any loss in revenue. It would be possible for the Federal Reserve to phase in a reduction in reserve requirements over a period of several years or so in such a way that growth in Federal Reserve net earnings would be slowed but the level of such earnings and payments to the Treasury would not be reduced. The following data on Federal Reserve earnings paid to the Treasury, indicate a growth trend that could accommodate a phased f2duction in reserve requirements without decreasing payments to the Treasury. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 389 AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION CQNTINUINUOUR lLmR OF ~HlLTNO 5 Federal Payments to the Treasury (millj ans) 1957 1962 1967 1972 1976 $ 542.7 799.4 1,907.5 3,231.3 5,870.5 Of course, a gradual phase in of the reduction in reserve requirements would mean that it would . take a longer time to achieve an effective reduction in the burden of Federal Reserve membership. There is disagreement both within and outside of the banking industry on the role played by reserve requirements in the administration of monetary policy. Nevertheless, even if reserve requirements are important as a supplement to open market operations in the administration of monetary policy, a statutorily specified minimum reserve requirement is irrelevant for this purpose. What is important is not the level of reserve requirements, but the ability of the Federal Reserve to chang 7 the amount of required reserves at a given point in time if monetary and credit conditions warrant such a change, In this context, elimination of the statutorily specified minimum reserve requirements would give the Federal Reserve sufficient latitude to significantly reduce its membership burden while still retaining the flexibility needed to administer monetary policy. In closing, we wish to repeat that our long-standing positibn has been that reduction of reserve requirements is desirable. The extent of such reductions should be left to the discretion of the Federal Reserve. Legislative action should focus on the mitigation of statutory restrictions on the Federal Rescrve's discretion, such as reduction, or perhaps elimination, of the statutory minimums for required reserve ratios. Sincerely,17 /) . .l (1v...U ,;j) ,/ ,,- wfV,)-J derald M. Lowrie GML:mfc https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 390 Outline of Project to Estimate the Impact of the Pricing of Federal Reserve Services I. Purpose - To develop alternative scenarios for the pricing of Federal Reserve services and estimate their impact on the Banking industry. II. Parameters of the pricing process A. B. Services to be priced. ABA task force says that all Fed services should be priced, These would include such things as: 1. Check collection services 2. Automated clearinghouse services 3. Wire transfer services 4. Coin and currency services 5. Net settlement services 6. Securities safekeeping services 7. Bank examinations 8. Services provided to other governmental agenciss 9. Any new services provided Factors to be considered in determining prices: 1. 2. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis What is to be done about membership burden a. Interest on reserves b. Reduction in reserve requirements c. Government securities held as reserves d. Nothing done to relieve membership burden Cost factors a. Cost concept used (1) Fully allocated Federal Reserve costs, including cost of capital and taxes (2) Something less than fully allocated Fed cost (a) Marginal cost (b) Average operating cost, no allocation of overhead 391 b. (3) Costs that would be incurred by the private sector if they performed the service (4) Costs are ignored, membership burden is relieved by one of the methods stated above, and prices are set so as to have zero gain, or loss, to Treasury Other cost distinctions (1) (2) (3) 3. Fed district (a) Uniform price schedules in all Fed districts (b) Price schedules depend on operating costs of Fed district Usage of services (a) Volume discounts (b) No volume discounts (c) Others--e.g., are there economies in the joint usage of particular services? Geographic location of bank (a) Prices uniform across country or, at least, within Federal Reserve District. (b) Prices vary according to the location of the bank Other dimensions of pricing problem a. Access (1) Priced services available to all depository institutions (2) Priced services available only to member bnnks (3) Current access rules are maintained/i.e., services which are currently provided to non-members will be provided to them under a pricing regime. No new services will be provided to non-members. b. Availability - i.e., how quickly is the service provided c. Others? https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 392 III, Factors affecting bank structure IV. A. Ability of correspondents to pass on added costs to respondents. B. Responses of respondent banks to the added costs that are passed on. C. Extent to which measures taken to relieve membership burden would offset added charges and negate the need correspondent banks would feel to pass on added costs. D. Extent to which private sector will develop new payments systems outside the Fed. E. Responses of member and non-member banks to the development of such systems. How would these responses affect the membership question? What is to be done? A. A matrix of prices is to be developed. The matrix should show the prices for the services listed in part IIA under the different pricing scenarios that could be delineated using the factors listed in IIB. Note: We understand that some of the data needed to develop the cost estimates will be internal Fed data that we do not have access to. However, a fair amount of cost data is published by the Fed, It will be the responsibility of the consultant to use this data in conjunction with other available data to develop the best possible estimate of the costs. B. The effect of each of the pricing scenarios on bank structure is to be evaluated. Some possible factors to be considered are listed in part III. The consultant may suggest other factors. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 393 The CHAIRMAN. Thank you very much. Let me start out with a question to you, Mr. Perkins. You oppose the idea of a discount rate that is tied to some other rate, like the Treasury bill rate, as contained in the amendments before . . us, sayin~ in your ~stimony t~at that is inflexible. What 1s your basis for saymg that~ The Fed would, m my Judgment and I am sure in yours, continue to have complete control over the discount window, could open or close it as it deemed necessary. Mr. PERKINS. That is true, and I think you can make a very cogent argument that a market rate, an audit market rate on the discount rate, which is what the proposal is, would be fairly smooth, and would be in some ways something that might be attractive. Our opposition is on the basis that the discount rate changes are about the oldest tool in the monetary policy kit. They are widely understood everywhere as a signal and they can be important as a signal in certain times. I pointed out that the last time it was used that way was quite recently when the exchange markets were under such terrible pressure. It can calm the market at a time when the pressuref, were culminating in a very bad fashion. I would say, however, that the other side and more practical side was the point I tried to make, in a period of recession or coming recession when the Fed wants to ease money, the best way to do it or a very easy tool to use is by lowering the discount rate which leads the market and starts to force rates down before a market rate would do that. The CHAIRMAN. On this question of the signal, the reading of tea leaves, the burning of entrails or whatever it is, suppose this afternoon the Fed reduced the discount rate, I believe it is 7¼ percent now, suppose it reduced it to 7 percent. What signal would this convey to John Perkinsi Mr. PERKINS. It would go a long way toward completely eliminating the thought, rates are going any higher as far as the Fed is concerned, at least that is their current estimate, and I think you would have a rather strong further rally in the bond markets and have a real impact on banks in turn. The CHAIRMAN. Wouldn't there be other bankers of comparable stature who might say that "it doesn't mean a thing," that it simply indicates that the Treasury bill has recently fallen from 7.2 to 6.7 percent and the Fed is anxious not to be too far out of line from that i Mr. PERKINS. I think that is an obvious interpretation. I am simply saying in the current climate, with some uncertainties to whether the conventional wisdom about rates going to get a little higher as the year goes on, is being questioned, !lnd it would be interpreted, I think, the way I said first. . The CHAIRMAN. I thank you, and I am going to excuse myself for Just a second and recognize Mr. Hanley. Mr. HANLEY. I will ,address this question to Chairman LeMaistre. In his testimony before this committee some days ,ago Mr. Campbell, a representative of the Independent Bankers Association, didn't exactly view this pending legislation with great enthusiasm. Certainly, his observation has to be taken under consideration. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org - 78 • Federal Reserve Bank 32-972 of St.0Louis 26 394 So I ask, is it not desirable fur this committee to report out a bill which takes care of lf::he important problems associated with membership, monetary oontrol, the competitive squeeze on smaller banks, and the efficiency of the payments mechanism, whether or not these goals are achieved by enhancing membership in the Fedeml Reserve System 1 Now, if you agree that this is the ca:se, could you discuss which. of the proposed bills most effectively would accomplish this goal 1 Chairman LEMAISTRE. Let me say first that I do think that the membership problem of the Fed is perceived by them as being a serious threat to their independence. It seems to me that perhaps a great deal of consideration should be given to that. But I don't think that the membership problem is necessarily tied to the implementation of monetary policy. Now, as to the issue of equity among banks, ce,rtainly I think the Congress should be interested in seeing that thev all oomoote on equal terms. And to me it seems only logical that tlhe Fed be allowed to pay interest on these sterile reserves, wh'ich are the largest part of the burden of Federal Reserve membership, or that those reserves be kept in some kind of interest bearing security. Now, I notice that in one of the bills there is a provision for a Federal Reserve study of the effect of investing the reserves in securities, and I th.ink that is good. I think ,that should be encouraged because it seems to me that if some rm-urn on 'these funds which ,are now earning nothing could be achieved, either 'by direct payment by the Fed or by permitting investment of reserves in securities, then we would move toward a situation where the banks would begin to compete 'in a more open, free atmosphere, booause l th'ink the next step would be to remove the prohibition on the payment of interest on demand deposits, and the present prdhibition against paying more than a certain •amount on savings ,accounts. It seems to me these are all restrictions on the private enterprise svstem that ought to be removed if and when ,they can. And T think the Congress is properly giving serious thought to these. If it appe1ars from our s'tJatement that we are opposing everything, we are not. What we are saying is that perhaps it can be done a little better; the thrust of these bills is good. Mr. HANLEY. Would it be accurate to say that of ithe bills pending before this committee, as of this date, the one that would come closest to accomplishing the end goal, perhaps, would be the Stanton bill as amended by Mr. Reuss 1 Chairman LEMAISTRE. In what regard, Mr. Hanley 1 Mr. HANLEY. The overall: of the number of bills we are considering, and certainly the Stanton hill as amended by Mr. Reuss is not the entire answer to the quekition, but ,as of this time would you say thalt it is a reasonably good ·approa<lh to the elimination or at minimum the alleviation of the problem 1 Chairman LEMAisTRE. I think that it certainly is a step in that direction. The difficulty seems to me to be that if whatever means is used brings about universal membership, then what happens to the St•ate syst(lmS 1 There is, as Mr. Leonard pointed out, a great threat to the viability of a https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 395 Stwte supervisory system if ,all of its members-all of its componentsbecome members of the Federial Reserve System. I think that there is a grerut deal to be achieved in our dual banking system by preserving just that factor that in the past has encouraged innoffltion, such as the experiments that we now see in New England and other places. I think that these have boon good for banking, ,and I would not like to see us put all of the institutions in ,a single line of march where they all did exactly the same thing all of the time under the same authority. It seems to me that if we destroy the dual banking system or damage it, that we are .taking a great risk of doing just that. Mr. HANLEY. I guess what I was attempting to establish is this: Are we fundamentally on the right track with the vehicle that I have already ,alluded to? Certainly there will be changes in that measure and you gentlemen this morning have made some very interesting comments. I know I have picked up a number of ideas already whereas we might improve upon that basic vehicle that we are working with. What I am attemptmg to determine is if, in your judgment, this is a reasonable approach. I think that I can draw a conclusion from what you said that in all probability it is a reasonable approach at this time. Chairman LEMA1sTRE. I think so. Mr. HANLEY. Thank you. Mr. Wicks, I think your bank is a classic example of the problem and, as you said in your testimony, that was a very difficult decision. You were patient, having considered that possibility back in 1973, and then really delayed action on it for this 5-year period in the hope that something would occur legislatively or otherwise that would relieve you of that problem, and your position then would have you remaining as a member of the Fed. First Trust & Deposit Co. is a part of a holding company in which some of the banks have remained as 'Federal Reserve members. Is it not true that all but one bank of a holding company may leave the Federal Reserve and still enjoy Federal Reserve services without being subject to the Federal Reserve requirements? Will you please tell us which of the bills before us today, in your judgment, would effectively solve the problem? Mr. WICKS. Yes; we are ,a member of a holding company, and the largest bank in the holding company remains a member of the Fed~ eral Reserve System. This is of some aid. However, I don't believe that this is the only reason why we would get out of the Federal Rec serve, or any bank would. I think any bank could get the same services from a correspondent bank as they could get from a bank in the holding company. Also, I don't believe, but I might have to ask some of the panel members here, I don't think there is any law that says one bank must stay in the holding company. · If they were all State-chartered banks, I believe all banks in the holding company could withdraw from the Fed and I do think we could get pretty much the same advantages we are getting today by using correspondent banks rather than the bank holding company banks. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 396 I believe that the principles that are discussed here in these bills are the ways in which we should be thinking. I think it is a matter of the approach to it as to whether or not we are ready to have the Federal Reserve System pay competitive rates for the sterile reserves that are kept there. If the rates are not competitive with correspondent banks, I would see no reason why State banks would stay in the Fed or go back into the Fed. You were discussing the Stanton bill with the revisions of Chairman Reuss. As I look at that, I would say, if I understand the amendments, that this would not provide enough income for the banks or enough interest to pay on those deposits to keep banks in the Federal Reserve System. As I understand it, and we would only use the amount that was charged for services plus the amount that would be earned through the discount window, and the figures that I have seen would indicate that that would not be sufficient to have us go back into the Federal Reserve System. I would think this would be true of most State-chartered banks that are not members, that they would not see any advantage in going back in. I also believe it is true of the charges that would be made for services. I think they do have to be competitive with the correspondent banks and if they are not I think there is a free market out there, if it is not competitive, again, I think the banks would go to the correspondents for their services. , Mr. HANLEY. I appreciate that response and I interpret you again as saying that this is not the all perfect vehicle for the reason you just mentioned but, essentially, it is a pretty good start here. Mr. WrnKs. I think the principles that are in these bills are certainly the direction that we should be thinking about, yes. Mr. HANLEY. Thank you, Mr. Wicks. Now, I defer to the author of the bill and ranking minority member of the committee, friend and colleague, Congressman ,T. Wi1liam Stanton. Mr. STANTON. Thanks very much, Mr. Hanley. Gentlemen, let me express my personal thanks to all of you for coming, and some of you from quite far distances, in order to enlighten us. The more we have delved into this subject matter, I can tell you, the more we realize that other Congresses have gone down this route quite a few times in the past, and perhaps even we have gone a little hit farther than they have in getting to this point. But, it is something that we want to address and, hopefully, if there is a solution, to try to find it. My first question to all of the panel would be concerning Mr. Leonard's statement, on page 4, he stated that a reduction of 1 percentage point in reserve requirements for certain member banks would largely solve the equitable treatment problem. Of course, what the hearings got started on and what we wish to address ourselves to is the loss of membership by members of the Federal Reserve System. Immediately you come to the fact the one existing problem is the inequity between members and nonmembers and why it has become very obvious so many members are leaving the Fed. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 397 But, I would be interested from the panelists to know, do you all agree with Mr. Leonard that a reduction basically of 1 percentage point in reserve requirements for certain member banks would largely solve the equitable treatment problem 1 Could I hear from all of you on that subject~ Mr. Wicks1 Mr. WICKS. Yes ; if you want to start at this end. Mr. STANTON. Sure. Mr. WICKS. I frankly don't think 1 percentage point would cause us to change our feeling about Fed membership. I don't think that would be sufficient of a reduction of our costs to cause us to go back into the Fed, and I think that would be indicative of other banks in our position. Frankly, I think as long as we can get greater income outside, I think it is our obligation to find the best income we can as presidents of banks. Mr. STANTON. Before I continue down the panel, Mr. Wicks, you are sort of very special because you have had this experience of withdrawal. What kind of incentive would you need to go back in~ Mr. WrnKs. To go back in? If we could receive the services that we can get from correspondent hanks and the income that we can get by investing the funds that we have available, if we get the same income we would certainly go back into the Fed because we would like to be members of the Fed. There is no reason for us to withdraw except for that purpose, and it seems to me it is a very simple thing as far as our judgment is concerned as to whether we would go back or not. It is simply whether or not we could end up as well on the bottom line. Mr. STANTON. Who is next? Mr. LEONARD. Mr. Stanton, there are various reasons why a bank might withdraw from the Fed over and above, and different from the reserve requirement issue. Sometimes that gets to be the straw that breaks the camel's back, so to speak. But services they receive versus services they can receive from a correspondent, and so forth, all have an influence on them. Reducing reserves by 1 percentage point would just lessen the weight of that straw that might break the camel's back. Mr. STANTON. It would be a combination of factors then~ Mr. LEONARD. It would just lessen that factor significantly enough probably, and this plus other factors would overcome their objections, resulting in ,a decision to stav in the Fed. I think Mr. Wicks' bank is a little bit of an exception. I think you will find that most of the banks that withdraw from the Federal Reserve System are not $500 million banks. Also, in Mr. Wicks' case I understand that his bank is not engaged in correspondent banking whatsoever, and most banks weigh the economic factors. _ The banks that are in the Fed today are not in the Fed -because they love the Fed; they are in the Fed because it is profitable for them to be in the Fed irregardless of reserve requirements. Mr. STANTON. Chairman LeMaistre? Chairman LEM.nsTRE. I would have to saY' that I think the decision made by most of the banks that have left the Fed is based simply on economic reality. For them, it costs less to be outside than it does to be https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 398 on the inside. But as :far as the need for membership is concerned, I am not persuaded that the Fed needs members to conduct monetary policy. I think there are other reasons for requiring membership in the Fed, such as that it should be an independent agency or that it should have a constituency that can give it some strength within the Government. But I don't subscribe to the view that membership is essential to conducting an effective monetary policy. So I would say that the banks themselves are making a simple business decision: Can I have a better year? Will the bottom line look better if I am not in this organization than it will if I remain in? I don't think the individual hank should be required to become a member to its own detriment or for the purpose of implementing monetary policy. Mr. PERKINS. I guess I would not disagree with Mr. Leonard that there are a lot of factors in any decision of the type of whether or not to be in the Fed. But, in our experience with many, many banks, clearly the determining factor is the cost of keeping the required reserves, and in my judgment, the 1 percentage point would not make any difference. But I would like to ask my associate here, Mr. Olsen, on that point. Mr. OLSEN. Thank you. Unless I misunderstand the suggestion, I would just change one small word, a reduction "to" 1 percent rather than "of" 1 percent would effectively solve the membership burden. May I also add while I have this opportunity that the original bi11 that you submitted without the amendments represents today, in my opinion, the best solution that we have before us here. Mr. STANTON. I am glad to hear that. I will say in return I did read your testimony, too, before the Senate, in October of 1977, so I do know how you :feel on that subject. Mr. OLSEN. Thank you. Mr. STANTON. One last question. Mr. Perkins, you spoke in your testimony on page 3 to the fact o:f the study that the ABA was undertaking in regards to reserve membership, the pricing o:f services and its effect on the structure of the banking industry. Do you have any time schedule for completion o:f that study? Mr. PERKINS. We discussed that last night because, obviously, you are trying to handle it now and we are talking about a study. The proposal or the answer on that is that it will be some time, particularly in this whole pricing question, before the Federal Reserve implements whatever regulations they propose. In the meantime, we would expect this study to generate some :factual data and to come in in parts. So that between now and the yearend we ought to have all of it, and most long before that. We can use this data as a part of the analysis of the Federal Reserve's proposals. They are proposing to come up with data, in just a few weeks, on the pricing issue. Mr. STANTON. You did say you probably would have this study completed by the first of the year? Mr. PERKINS. I think so; yes. Mr. STANTON. Thank you very much. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Mr. Stanton. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 399 Mr. Derrick? Mr. DERRICK. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Chairman LeMaistre, let us pursue this matter of monetary policy. I happen to be of the opinion that as far as this country is concerned, probably the greatest service the Federal Reserve renders is setting monetary policy. I realize that they act as an accounting agency and a bookkeeper and correspondent bank and so forth for banks, and I know that is important to the banking industry. But, I think that the Fed agent acts as a very responsible tool, as an offset against the Congress in this capacity. Now, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Mr. Miller, was before us last week, and he stated without any reservations that he thought it was necessary to have membership or participation in the Fed for him to effectively set monetary policy, and he went a step further, as I resall his testimony, and said that he felt he could be more effective if he had more membership. Now, this apparently is not your opinion, and although you have discussed it a little bit this morning, I would like to go into it maybe a little deeper; but tell me, first of all, do you think that the Fed serves a useful purpose by setting monetary policy? Chairman LEMAISTRE. Sure; I think it is the primary purpose. Mr. DERRICK. I assume you did, but just for the purpose of the record. So my next question is, if you are not going to have Fed membership and participation, what tools would be available to the Fed to set monetary policy? Chairman LEMAISTRE. Let me start off by saying I am not an economist. Mr. DERRICK. I am not either, I assure you. Chairman LEMAISTRE. And I have seen a number of studies on that very subject, and all of them come down to the final results that the need is information. The Fed needs statistics, it needs knowledge of what the aggregates are and that sort of thing, and that those things are useful to it or necessary to it in implementing monetary policy. Now, you don't have to be a member to give information. So I say that the membership question is not really critical to monetary policy. Now, I am not saying membership is not important, however. I do agree with Mr. Miller that the Fed ought to maintain a substantial membership. But I have a different reason for thinking so. Mr. DERRICK. Now, I don't suppose that you think that merely information is going to be sufficient. Surely if that were the case, we could have a much less sophisticated operation in the Federal Reserve System if all we had to do to set monetary policy was collect information. As I see it, that is an important part of it, but the membership in the Fed and the participation in the Fed allow the implementation of that information. Of course, everyone in the Congress and business and so forth acts from a basic altruistic motive, but sometimes we need a little something to hold over their heads. That, to me, is what the membership provides. You have probably done more research on it than I have, and I am aware that there are some economists that agree with you, but I don't think the Chairman of the Fed agrees with you. · Chairman LEMAISTRE. I don't know; I have never asked Chairman https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 400 Miller directly. But I did read his testimony and I gather he does not agree. I still say that the evidence adduced by all of these various studies indicates that information made available to the Fed to help them conduct open market operations is what is really needed. Mr. DERRICK. We could really, I might suggest to you, transfer this bookkeepin~ and information gathering over to the FDIC and just do away with the Fed and let them go along; you would go along with that, wouldn't you i I am being facetious; you don't have to answer thait, Mr. Perkins. Mr. PERKINS. I would really like to ask Mr. Olsen to answer that. He has devoted a great deal of his professional life in this area, and I think has read all of the litem.ture and thought a great deal about it. In general, I would agree with the basic position that Chairman LeMaistre espoused, but only in part, and I would like to let Mr. Olsen, answer it. Mr. DERRICK. Let me say my great concern is, although Congress has great wisdom, I don't think they have the ability or that it would be in this country's best interest for the Congress to set monetary and fiscal policy. I don't want to do anything tha,t is going to weaken the ability of the Fed to set this monetary policy. Mr. OLSEN. Effectively, the question of memberShip and monetary policy are separate and I think that, in :fiact, if you trace back through the history of the Federal Reserve. from its origin you will find that the question of membership was originally placed and considered for reasons other than the conduct of monetary policy. In fact, the Federal Reserve monetary policy was sort of an evolution within ,the Federal Reserve ·after its original establishment. · There is no need for the Federal Reserve, to, in effect, have membership. The first question to ask is what constitutes membership i It means that they keep reserves at the Fed, which has been discussed a great deal here, and the second is that they receive certain services from the Federal Reserve. Now, the way in which monetary policy is conducted is through several devices : The most important is through the conduct of what we call open market operations and this is how the Federal Reserve, in effect, puts .reserves into the banking system. Now, it would seem to imply as though the reserves flow uniformly immediately to all of the membership banks 'and/or from the member banks, and this is the reason why it is important to have a large network of the banks as members. However, the Federal Reserve conducts moneta.ry policy by buying or selling government securities through a small group of approximately 20 t:hat are recognized government security dealers, most of which are commercial banks. So it is through that, on that fulcrum, in effect, that monetary policy is conducted through the open market operations in putting reserves into the banking system. So that the most important tool is not something which is dependent upon having a large membership represented. Mr. DERRICK. Thank you. My time is up, but let me just say surely you understand or give me https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 401 credit for understanding that membership means just evidence of participation; what I am talking about is the participation in the Fed, and whether they have a membership or not is really beside the point. I understand the workings of the Fed and thank you for your lesson. The CHAIRMAN. Thank you, Mr. Derrick. Judge Kelly1 Mr. KELLY. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Gentlemen, I want to apologize for being delayed in arriving here this morning and it may be the question I am going to ask has to some degree been covered. But the Nation, the Federal Reserve, the world~ is in some peril because this committee is getting ready to do something. Now, is the situation with regard to the Fed such that what we are getting ready to do is justified 1 Can we, can the Fed limp along with the degree of indigence it has, probably with more effectiveness, if we would do nothing1 I don't think we will take the opportunity to do nothing. But on the out chance that we mig'ht, if doing what we are getting ready to do is not justified, I want to ask the question. In other words, one of the questions is the loss of membership and so forth, and do you feel that probably the situation would be better without any action or do you think that we need to do what it appears we are a.bout to do i Chairman LEMArsTRE. First, let me say I don't think there is any simple answer to this question and, obviously, it has been coming up for so long before the Congress that I know the Congress doesn't look for a simplistic answer. But I also have to say that something should be done. I don't think you should walk away from the problem. I am not convinced, however, that universal membership is the answer. I think the other proposals are much better. That is, permission to pay interest on the reserves which heretofore have been earning nothing and pricing the services which have been furnished free to members so that t:hey will be availahle to all, and I even suggested maybe opening the discount window to more than Fed members-to all'banks alike-would be helpful. I think that the most hopeful of the proposals is to permit the Fed to reauce the burden of membership so that there is a reason for remaining in it or joining it, and not compelling everybody to become a member of the Federal Reserve System. Mr. KELLY. Let me ask you this. The Federal Reserve System has been in effect for how long, 50 years1 Chairman LEMAISTRE. Since 1914. Mr. KELLY. All right. Then what has transpired in recent times that has caused this situation to become critical, because we have not passed any laws that created this, have we? Chairman LEMArSTRE. I don't think it is due to legislation, no. I think it is due to the-Mr. KELLY. Is it just general deterioration or has there been an https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 402 abrupt change in circumstances or is this some sort of response to current political pressure or the news media or why are we doing this 1 I mean, did we just suddenly discover that we have a problem after all of these years? Chairman LEMAisTRE. No. This is not something new. It has been going on for a long time, for at least 10 years. The process of attrition has been going on.. It has accelerated recently. Mr. KELLY. Attrition in membership? Chairman LEMA.ISTRE. Yes. Mr. KELLY. Do you foresee in any of the suggestions that have been made as a solution that there is apt to be more harm done with the solution than living with the problem we have been living with i Chairman LEMAISTRE. If the solution were to require universal posting of reserves by all banks, there would be an incentive to join the System'. Since you had to put up the reserves, you might as well be a member. In that circumstance I think there might be a threat to the dual banking system, and a danger to the State supervisory systems. Now, the other alternatives which have been proposed I think probi.tbly would help, and would result in checking this continued movement away from the Federal Reserve System. Mr. KELLY. Could I just ask one question: Do you think high interest rates possibly have been an aggravation of this~ Chairman LEMA.ISTRE. Yes; to the extent that they increase the cost of doing busines.5 on the part of the bank. Anything that has raised its other costs has made them look closer at the burden of staying in the Fed and posting reserves which produce no income. Mr. KELLY. Then are we, if in attempting a solution we are going to get some good things and some bad things, aren't we really trying to work at the wrong end of the horn, that high interest rates are caused by mismanagement of the economy, that is, Government management of the economy, because there was mention made about the wisdom of Congress here, and I think that the individual Members have great wisdom but they just simply are not using it in the solution of the Nation's problems. We are in the process primarily of getting elected and responding to what is politically expedient, so it does not make any difference how smart we are if we are not using our smarts to solve the problem, so it does not make any difference. What I am wondering is if really we are not trying to just patch up to avoid the re,sults of mismanagement? I would like your comment on this. Chairman LEMAISTRE. For whatever reason the difficulty has grown greater. I admit that. But I must say I don't think that that argues for an arbitrary fixing of interest rates. It seems to me if the marketplace is in trouble the marketplace will correct its troubles, and the more we can allow competition without unwarranted interference, the better chance we will have of straightening the whole thing out. So I would say the proposals move in the right direction in that they move toward freeing up the opportunities that the Fed has to retain membership, and also allow the banks to determine which of the services they want to buy or where they want to buy them. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 403 Mr. HANLEY. The time of the gentleman has expired. Mr. Gonzalez ? Mr. GONZALEZ. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I have two questions for Chairman LeMaistre. The Federal Reserve has claimed that it needs regulatory supervision over and familiarity with the financial condition of banks that have access to the discount window. First, under current practices, does the Federal Resenre h1we such knowledge in the case of national banks who are regulated by the Comptroller and, second, in the case of nonmember banks, in your opinion, would the intervention of FDIC in favor of a worthy bank in contemporary difficulty be sufficient to protect the Federal Reserve and the public from the dangers of ill-advised lending at the discount window? Would you then recommend that we enact language to permit such an intervention as to be interpreted as sufficient showing that lending to a nonmember bank is in the public interest? Chairman LEMAISTRE. The first part of your question-of course, the discount window is available to national banks. As to the availability of the discount window to nonmember banks, I think the law is so written that it can be made available. It has been interpreted, however, in such a way that, at least since 1966, there has been no activity in lending to nonmember banks at the discount window. My suggestion is that some means be devised to make that service available to all banks, and the first and most obvious reason for that is that if a bank is in difficulty, in danger of failing, it is much less disruptive to work out some kmd of purchase and assumption agreement so another bank assumes the liabilities and purchases the assets or those of them that it would like to have, or work out a merger or work out some orderly disposal of the problem. To do that sometimes a loan is necessary. I remember at least one which I cite in the statement. The bank in Orangeburg, S.C., was not permitted to borrow at the discount window and FDIC made an ad0 Vance of considerable size for that little bank to keep it going until we could arrange for its orderly disposal. We knew at that moment it was insolvent. It was frozen, and it was necessary to keep something in place until we could work out the purchase and assumption by another bank. That did work out in that particular case. It was an emergency, and it seems to me that that points up that if we as the insuring authority had been permitted to simply guarantee' to the Fed that a discount window loan to that bank would be repaid, either by us as the insurer or by the bank itself, that we might have had a little less of a problem there. The suggestion I make is that the discount window be opened to nonmembers upon certification by the FDIC that these circumstances exist, and that there is reason for propping up the bank for that much longer and accompanied by a guarantee. Now, that might put the insurance fund ,at risk. But it would be a very rare case where you would not be able to recover that loan in the liquidation of a failed bank. Mr. GONZALEZ. You don't see any jeopardy to the Federal Reserve https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 404 in that type of a situation of any vast extent or any great problem if we were to provide language to permit such things 1 Chairman LEMArsTRE. I can't see any threat whatever to the Federal Reserve. Mr. GoNZALEZ. Thank you very much. Mr. Perkins, I had one question maybe for the record because the chairman may indicate that we have to go register our vote. But, in your testimony you state and I quote: For the foreseeable future, a strong membership base will be very important to the conduct of monetary policy. Now, I wonder if you could elaborate, if we don't have time now, for the record, on what in your opinion would constitute a strong membership base, what membership pattern would you like to see or suggest, and is there a percent of the total banking deposits that should be held in membership banks? Is there a size or geographic distribution of member banks that should exist? Mr. HANLEY. If the gentleman will yield, unfortunately we do have ~ vote on the floor, and if we may request that the question be answered in writing to Mr. Gonzalez we will appreciate that. · Mr. PERKINS. Certainly. Mr. HANLEY. The hearing will stand in recess for 10 minutes. [ A short recess was taken.] The CHAIRMAN. The committee will be in session again. I believe Mrs. Fenwick was recognized. Mrs. FENWICK. Yes. I took down a few notes while you were testifying, and I understand your concern for the dual banking system and your fear that universal reserve requirements might hurt this dual banking system. I wanted to ask you, who do you think should set the interest rates, the Federal agencies, Home Loan Bank Board and so on, all of them together, who should? Chairman LEMArsTRE. You mean if you don't rely on the free market to set them~ Mrs. FENWICK. Would you just leave it to the free market? Chairman LEMArsTRE. I would certainly say that the Federal Reserve could set its discount rates, but as nearly as we can, the free market forces ought to determine what the interest rates would be. Mrs. FENWICK. But I iam surprised that you say that the open market is the controlling element in the monetary supply. Did I understand you correctly¥ Chairman LEMAISTRE. I said it was the most dominant element, one that is most useful to the Fed. Mrs. FENWICK. We heard testimony the other evening from ·a group of economists who all felt that the monetary supply was by far the most telling ·and important element in inflation, far more than interest rates. Would that ,accord with your view 1 Chairman LEMArsTRE. I don't disagree with that. Mrs. FENWICK. Bu:t, if according to Mr. Leonard's 'testimony the State hanks resent the Federal Reserve getting data, all of the data they want, how can the Federal Reserve operate effectively i On page 8, Mr. Leonard stated that the Fed should not have the unrestrained https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 405 right to any ~nd all data, and yet you say that the only way the Federal Reserve ·and the open market and the 20 hanks working with the Federal Reserve can help in controlling money supply, is to have data. How are 'they going to do it i l'f you have a relatively small membership, falling continually, if the components of the dual banking system have a right to withhold data and information the Federal Reserve asks for, how do you control the monetary supply~ Chairman LdfAISTRE. I am not sure they have the right to withhold information. I ,advocate that. the greatest provision possrble he made for furnishing all the statistics that the Federal Reserve needs. Mrs. FENWICK. Should this be a requirement i Chairman LEMAISTR'E. It could well be. At the moment I say I don't think it is necessary ibecause I think it is available to them anyway. Mrs. FENWICK. Apparently the Fed should not have unrestrained right to any and all data it might request or in the form I might request it. I can see there might be difficulties in the form, causing paperwork, but I don't see how the Federal Reserve can function at all if it has a diminished membership and if it has not the right to acquire data it needs in order to conduct sound monetary policy. Mr. LEONARD. I did not mean the Fed could not have free access to the data they need for setting the monetary policy. However, I think in the request for data there should be some consideration given to the cost/benefit of that. Mrs. FENWICK. What does that mean, cost/benefit i Mr. LEONARD. If they ,are not going to do anything with the information when they get it and it costs the banks w hundreds of thousands of dollars, there is no reason to give the information in the first place. They should determine what they are going to do with the data otJher than fill up a room with paper. Certainly the Fed should have all the information they need for a sound monetary policy. Mrs. FENWICK. How do you suggest that could be arranged except through the commonsense of the Federal Rese,rve Board i Mr. LEONARD. I would hope the good commonsense of the Federal Reserve Board would prevail. Mrs. FENWICK. I gather you feel it hasn't, if I understand correctly. Do you approve, Chairman LeMaistre, of the interest on checking accounts, on 'the new movement in that direction i And ,also more importantly, I want to ask you something that has puzzled me. If a higher rate of interest is allowed to the thrift institutions because of the sooial desirability of home building and homeowning, why have we reached a point where all banks are not allowed to enjoy ,the benefits which ure open to the thrift institutions, if ,they meet the socially desira:ble proportion of mortgage loans, whatever that might ibe set to be~ Why have we gotten into this curious situation whereby a bank which has one name can do something ·and get certain tax arrangements denied to 'a ibank with another name, doing precisely the same desirable social action, to precisely the same ratio or proportion, but unable to enjoy either the rate of interest or the tax benefits~ How did we come to that~ Chairman LEMAISTRE. I would have to say the Congress fakes part of the blame. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 406 Mrs. FENWICK. Do you think we ought to get rid of it i Chairman LEMA.ISTRE. Yes; I do. I think the differential should be removed and I think the limitation on the interest payments on savings should be removed because I think the value of money is something that can be determined. It is like determining what is the rent on a house. It is worth a certain amount, and it is wrong to say to the saver, "You may not have what your money is worth." I think we should £ace up to the £act that some things have to be done before that will be a viable step. We have to do something about usury rates; we have to make sure we are not allowing a bank, or in effect letting the market require a bank, to pay more money than it can afford, but if you take off the limitations on the cost of loans-in other words, if it can charge what the market requires and pay what the market dictates, then 1t sooms to me we would be in a much better position. Mrs. FENVHCK. We would have to have some usury laws though, would we not? Some controls so _there wouldn't be enormous charges i Chairman LEMA.ISTRE. I have no objection to usury laws, but I do think usury laws which set an unrealistically low rate are counterproductive. They do not furnish funds to the J?eople who need them. Mrs. FENWICK. It seems to me the whole bankmg institution, coming to it from the outside as I do, is somewhat irrational. It doesn't seem to follow any kind of commonsense pattern. We seem to have decided that it is a good thing to have housing and so we give certain banks certain privileges if they do have a large proportion of housing mortgages, but I understand that some of our thrift institutions have no set proportion of mortgages. Is that so? Chairman LEMAisTRE. The idea of encouraging housing obviously is admirable. Nobody will quarrel with that. The question in my mind is whether what we have done has been effective, whether the thrift institutions have been able to meet the needs for housing, and whether they have been able particularly to meet it in times of high interest rates when there are other opportunities and funds ca:tmot flow into that particular type of institution. I think the Hunt Commission had a very sensible suggestion. If you want to encourage housing, why not give the instrument which .finances the housing some benefit, no matter who gives the loan, whether a bank, insurance company, or thrift institution. If in fact the loan is made for a socially desirable purpose and the Government, in its wisdom, thinks that is to be encouraged, then let that instrument have some benefit, either a reduction in tax or something of that sort. Mrs. FENWICK. Thank you very much. My time has expired. The CHAIRMAN. Mr. Green. Mr. GREEN. I would like to return to the question of the adequacy of the data on deposits from nonmember banks that Mrs. Fenwick raised. Mr. Chairman, I would like unanimous consent to submit for the record an article from the July 10, 1978, Wall Street Journal, entitled "Fed Use of Incorrect Money Supply Data May Spur Economic Woes, Analysts Say." The CHAmMAN. Without objection, that will be received into the record. [The article referred to by Mr. Green follows:] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 407 (Wall Street Journal, July 10, 1978) Feil Use of Incorrect Mo~ Supply Data May Spur Economic Woes, Analysts Say By Enw ARD P. FOLDESSY Bta/1 Reporter of Ta&: w ALL STRE&T JOURNAL NEW YORK-Inaccuracies ln gathertng and compiling information on the nation's money supply may be leading the Federnl Reserve System astray in carrying out rrm- etary policy and could result in an eoonon'ic tailspin. That, at least, ls the ylew of a growing number of ecOnomists and 3.nalysts wtn closely monitor the Fed's activity and its impact on the economy. The money supply ls the Iola! of private demand, or checking accoun~ deposils pl111 cash in public hands. It has become an l.m p.,rtant Consideration in recent years for Fed credit·policy decisions. . Because the supply reflects funds readily available fpr spending, it is considered an important determinant of economic actl'tity by inany economists. Too slow a growth. ifs believed, will cause the economy to stacoate. but too fast a growth will do little stcept spur inflation. The Fed's goal, therefore, has been tob:y to walk a narrow path between those ex· tremes to lay the groundwork for a sustainable. balanced economic growth. Poor Quality of Numbers . But walking that tightrope is hemming difficult, if not impossible, because of the relatively poor quality of money supply mm bers, analysts say. In the past 1½ years, the money stock numbers have been almost coosistently revised upward as more detailed· Information became available and absolute errors discovered, they note. Throughout most of that period, the Faieral Reserve had been operating under the assumption that money supply growth was sJower than was actually the case. Thus. analysts say, the Fed supplied more moneycreating reserves to the banking system tJia.n prudt;nt. "With the (upwardJ revisions ot the money supply, the outlook for inflation am interest rates has worsened so much that the hkelihood of a recession dunng the next 12 months bas · become sub;tantially greater," warns Lawrence Kudlow, a vice president of Paine, Webber, Jackson & OJro tis Inc. Da\o·id M. Jones, an t?Conomist for Aub'ey G. Lanston & Co., notes that '"the Fed in underestimating the money supply will tend to -hold up on its credit tightening:" Eventu- . ally, he reasons the Fed is "forced into more drastic tightening because it waited 91 long to apply the brakes in the first place." At the hub of the problem is the fact that many banks aren't members of the Federal Reserve System and thus don't rell)rt figures to the Fed on a weekly basis. To obtain a money stock calculation, the Federal Reserve must estimate the amount of dep)stts at these nonmember banks. The Fed has a fairly accurate measure of. the deposits at these institutions only m times a year-when the hanks file th!lr quarterly information reports with the F«ieral Deposit Insurance corp. To estimate deposits at nonmember banks. the Fed looks at deposits at,rmre than 5,000 small member banks. It com pares those figures with the nonmeml':e' quarterly figures and calculates a ratio between the t.wo groups. It then forecasts the ratio through the next quarter. The ratio is applied to the weekly 5,000 group to get an PStimate of nonmember deposits. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Thus each quarter, the Federal Reserve revises the money supply nwnbers to reDect the new quarterly reports of nonmembers and recalculates the ratio. Of the past slx benchmark revisions,.llYe have raised the money supply level from that originally estiffiated, while one reduced "it In addition, the Federal Reserve last month revised several weeks of numbers to correct a processing error. Upward Revision The latest quarterly benchmark reviskln took effect with figures covering the 'Wl'!ek: ended June 14. Those revisions showed that , the money stock h~ risen at an 8.1% dip over the previous 12 months. compared with an originally estimated 7.5% rate. The rise was especially significant because 'the Fed. had previously stated that It couldn't Iderate a growth of more than &½%- over a lorV period. Thus, the . rerulon simply mmpounded an already poor showing. · The May growth rate for the basic rmney supply, Ml, has shown a."l even larger lm pact Originally, the May growth was put at a 5.9% annual clip. The benchmark revimcn ralsed It to 6.9%. It was further boooled to . 8% after a revision to correct a processing error. "It tends to shake one's confidence in tbe figures,'' states William Griggs, a senior vice president of .r. Henry Schroder Bank & Trust Co. "Maybe Ml isn't what we should be looking at." He suggests the Fed smuld be guiding policy by looking at "what's happening to bank credit, and what's happening WIDt~rest rates.and the economy.". Paine-Webber's Mr. Kudlow suggests the Fed should do something about getting 1111'1! accurate money supply numbers. "The Fed has to devise better ways to work with the FDIC and the state hanking agencies ID gather more deposit information,'' he says. Norimember banks repre~ent a large part of the nation's deposits. Alan C. Lerner, a senior vice president of Bankers Trust Ch, New York, estimates that about 30% of the nation's deposits are held by such institutions, up from only 15% several years ;qp. Part of the reason is that more and mre banks are dropping out of the Fed to avdd stiff reserve requirements, money kept at the Fed to back the banks' deposi.s. In add!.· tion, many of these banks have been growing faster than member banks. The Federal Reserve admits it has a problem in estimating the money supply. Says a spokesman, "It's something we'd like to improve," but adds he believes the ana.lysts are overreacting to the situation. The spokesman disclosed the Federal Reserve Is currenUv worklnr with the FDIC to collect weekly data from a sample of abwt :llO nonmember banks. Once satisfied the data are accurate, .the Fed intends to add them to the weekly calculations. · The Fed itself is untrustlng of the money supply numbers. Late last fall, for example, the money stock surged. Because of the lack of confidence in the numbers, the Fed clme to ignore the increase, according to I.anston's Mr. Jones. The Fed instead attrlwte:l the bulge to special factors, saying the increase reflected less efficient use of flDD by corporations. Mr. Jones states that lata" figures showed, however, that the bulge was real, reflecting a boom in ·"credit BIii. money for sharply expanding spending." 408 Mr. GREEN. As I understand it, the percentage of nonmember deposits as opposed to the total deposits has increased from approximately 15 percent to approximately 30 percent in recent years. I gather, and your testimony indicates, Chairman LeMaistre, that at present we have a system whereby there is a full report on those deposits on a quarterly basis and there is a sampling on a weekly basis in the interim. Am I correct on that i Chairman LEMAISTRE. We are collecting from 580 banks, as I recall it. Mr. GREEN. Yet apparently the data the Fed are using, or at least their estimates derived from that data, seem to have an effect of systematically understating the money supply, at least based on the upward revisions they have to make on the basis of the quarterly data. That is demonstrated by the fact that five of the six last quarterly adjustments have had to be upward adjustments. For example, I believe the June 14th adjustment shows that the money supply had risen by 8.1 percent whereas the Fed's estimate based on the sampling data had been 7.5 percent. I guess my concern is this: You indicate the legislation I submitted, H.R. 13549, is not necessary. Of course I acknowledge that what I proposed to do or something similar to that could be done administratively without legislation. Chairman LEMAISTRE. That is the thrust of my statement. The statistics are available. They can be collected if they are needed. Mr. GREEN. I guess my concern is that your testimony indicates that the Fed and you are not going to be taking a look at the situation until mid-1979. It would seem to me on the basis of the data I have cited that it is pretty clear that the system, as it now exists, is not working correctly and is causing significant problems in terms of the Fed open market operations as a result of the interim underestimate of the growth in the money supply. Would it not be well to look at it more quickly~ Chairman LEMAISTRE. I think that could be done. The date of 1979 was set in 197'7 when we started collecting this. We agreed in 2 years we would look at it. There is no reason why we couldn't look earlier. However, I am not at all sure the adjustment was made necessary by misinformation in the 27 percent held in nonmember banks. I think the adjustment was due to !'lome improper estimates across the board. Certainly we can proceed to collect from a larger sample, from all of them or whatever is necessary. I am not aware that we have been asked to increase the size of the sample in recent months. But we do not have to wait until 1979 to consider the question. Mr. GREEN. Again, if I may turn to Mr. Leonard, the sample I proposed, based on discussions I had with economists in the field, was a sample from at least 1,000 nonmember banks, including all those having deposits exceeding $100 million. ould that be onerous in your eyes? Mr. LEONARD. No, if it was necessary for the Fed to be more accurate in its predictions. Mr. GREEN. That is all I have. The CHAIRMAN. Chairman LeMaistre, I want to take this opportunity to pay my tribute to you as an outstanding public servant and https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ,v- 409 a fine gentleman. It has been a pleasure to have you helping us over these years. I know every member of the committee wishes you all the best. Chairman LEMAISTRE. Thank you, sir. You are very kind. The CHAIRMAN. I have a question £or several people. I will start with you, Chairman LeMaistre. Suppose we were to replace the existing structure of reserve requirements, which as you know varies, rind even the amendment proposed by some members of this committee which is before us, keeps that variation. In your testimony, you indicated that you didn't agree with that, as well as with the existing system. Suppose we were to replace the system of varying marginal reserve requirements with a single, uniform rate applicable to all deposits of member banks, exempting, let 11s say the first $30 or $40 or $50 million of total deposits. In your judgment, would this constitute a significant improvement in monetary control, over what we now have? Chairman LEMAISTRE. I have to come back to what all the economists have said and that is, it doesn't really affect monetary control; that the operation of our monetary policy doesn't depend really on how much is kept in reserves. The CHAIRMAN. To the extent we do have reserves, to the extent that a decision is not made to do away with reserves and rely on open market policy and the discount window, would i,t not be a more effective method of monetary control than one such as we now have where a dollar deposited at the Continental Illinois or Citibank has a different monetary value from a dollar deposited at the State bank in Podunk? Chairman LEM:AISTRE. I would say in my opinion it would definitely encourage membership, if by setting a uniform rate you lowered it from the top rates today and reached somewhere between the low and thfl top. The Federal Reserve itself in 1972 restructured the reserves and PJlt a graduated system-which it seems to me is a little counter to what they are saying is necessary no)V-SO I would say it would be more equitable. I would defer to Mr. Olsen though as to the ultimate effect of it. The CHAIRMAN. I am interested in the equity aspects of it, of course, but I want to put the question again. In terms of monetary control, even though you have cited the testimony of numerous respective experts that reserve requirements don't mean a thing, as far as monetary cont:r:ol ~s concerned, suppose those experts are wrong and suppose the Fed 1s right? Chairman LEMA1STRE. And that could be. The CHAIRMAN. ,vould we not get then a surer and less diffused type of monetary control ? If you had a single uniform reserve requirement then, with our present system where a dollar happens to be deposited, that has a great deal of purelv fortuitous effect on monetary policy. Chairman LEMAISTRE. Mr. Chairman, I think you are right. As far as monetary control goes, we probably :would achieve a better balance. I am not sure that you wouldn't really be moving counter to the proposals to increase membership though because obviously this would raise the level of those who are a,t the lowest level now and if https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 32-972 0 • 78 • 27 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 410 they are already worried about what it costs them, to add to their membership burden, it would probably encourage them to get out. The CHAIRMAN. My question really has nothing to do with membership because I was impressed by your testimony and that of others which said what we are really concerned with is to assure an effective monetary policy, to ~tan efficient payments system and to eliminate arb1trary forms of discrimination against particular types of financial institutions. That happens to be the ABA's triology but it sounds pretty good to me, and membership is not mentioned. Chairman LEMAISTRE. Without regard to membership, I think it would be better, yes. The CHAIRMAN. Mr. Leonard, I would like to ask you the same question. Mr. LEONARD. My answer would be essentially the same as Chairman LeMaistre. Being a bank administrator, it would give me some concern if you came out with the idea that member banks were required to carry zero reserve on the first w dollars in deposits. Most of the bankers in prudent operations of the bank would still continue to maintain some type of liquidity type reserve. However, there is that element who retains reserves because the law says they have to have a reserve. The CHAIRMAN. However, as a State bank regulator, you could impose whatever liquidity reserve requirements you wanted on your State banks, member or nonmember. Mr. LEON ARD. For liquidity purposes, yes. If the national banks then would retain that liquidity reserve reqmrement, I think what you are saying would be very well. The CHAIRMAN. I think there is a point to the criticism that has been made during these hearings. It was actually made by Chairman LeMaistre this morning when he said on page 4 that because o:f deposits being subjected to different requirements and different size classes. A shift of funds among member banks has precisely the same effect of blurring the precision of monetary policy that disturbs the Federal Reserve when non)llember banks are inV'Olved. Would you agree with that general proposition? Mr. LEONARD. Yes. The CHAIRMAN. How about you, Mr. Perkins? Mr. PERKINS. Two points. One, uniform reserves across the whole system would be quite desirable, I think, :for theoretical as well as :fairness reasons. The question of setting those reserves though at one fixed figure in the law, I believe would be a mistake. I believe the Congress should set a ceiling amount. We suggested that the minimum could be as low as zero, and that the adiustment of reserves should be left as a tool of monetary policy. I don't disagree with the theory on the question of reserves, the economic reason why you can use the market operations--but the :fact is, it is a tool to effect the level o:f :free reserves in the system which on probably relatively limited occasions might be something good to have in the bag. Mr. OLSON. I tend to agree. I emphasize the lack of uniformity in reserve requirements as the source o:f some degree of volatility, if https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 411 you will, in the changes in the monetary aggregates. The reason the Federal Reserve has difficulty at times in hitting its targets can be attributed to the differences in the reserve requirements as the public's preference for holding deposits swings from demand to time deposits. Uniformity of reserve requirements, I think, would be desirable. Setting the reserves by statute, however, troubles me. It troubles me because, as you say, reserves aren't that important and it hasn't been used, but I can't see the purpose of setting it in f'.tatute. Similarly with the discount rate, I am troubled when something is fixed bv statute in t.hat particular area when there is no purposes for fixing it by State. The Federal Reserve can hold it unchanged administratively, and in fact have used it infrequently. The CHAIRMAN. It doesn't though. That is part of the trouble. Congress is partly at fault. The Fed is also at fault and I think the blame lies in both places, coexistent with this system which Mr. LeMaistre and everybody else has criticized. Where the deposit of $1 in one bank rather than a bank of another size can make tremendouss differences and drive people ont of their wits. One additional question: Suppose Congress did set a minimum limit of zero, no reserve requirements in effect, and whatever maximum Congress decided on: 5, 10, 15, 20 percent, whatever it is. and suppose vou had some years of a responsible bank-oriented Federal Reserve and t}iey had the requirement at zero, and then suppose the composition of the Board changed. You in the bankmg system would have rendered yourself vulnerable to a quasi-tax liability hitherto undreamed of, would you not? In other words, if you were at zero and for another 10 years the world had been settled on the creed that reserves are terribly important, it would be an easy matter for the Federal Reserve Board to tax tl1 e banking system an additional $20 billion a year by saying, "Oh, my, we have got to get out of this open market business and raise rePerves and be responsible." Mr. PERKINS. I think that is clearly a threat when the possibility exists, but that is a possibility we would have to hope would be faced carefullv and in a reasonable, statesmanlike way. The CHAIBMAN. One final question. You said zero reserves. I think you will admit that is about as much as you can ask for. What about something in between our present structure which goes from 3 percent for time and 7 percent and on up to 22 percent I think for banks of your size. What about some sort of a compromise which gives some flexibility to the Fed, but not the complete swing of the pendulum flexibility( you are talking abont. Whnt ahont a minimum of ii percent and no maximum, or a maximum of 15 percent, or something like that? Something less stupendous than from zero to infinity. Mr. PERKINS. I wasn't thinking of zero to infinity. I think our position was the top level needs to be lowered and I am sure I don't know what that figure properly would be. It would obviously have to be done over a period of time and geared into the open market operations. Whether your SUP"P.'ested ficrures. 5 to 15 Percent, make sense, I would certainly opt for a lower ceiling than that. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 412 The CHAIRMAN. Mr. Gonzalez. Mr. GONZALEZ. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. In reading over the testimc5ny, Mr. Perkins, I notice what appears to be an inconsistency. Maybe it isn't. On page 3 you say : The need for mandatory universal reserve requirements on transaction accounts held by all depository institutions in order to assure an effective monetary policy has not been demonstrated. We opposed this proposal as unjustified and likely to harm our Nation's innovative system of dual banking. Then on page 4 you say : We disagree with the proposal that would legislate inflexible reserve requirements because this would tie the hands of the Fed in its ability to use changes in reserve requirements as a tool of monetary policy. I can't reconcile those two statements. Either you are right about reserves susceptible of being used as a monetary policy tool or there is no fear it doesn't or does. Mr. PERKINS. It does appear contradictory, but I think both statements would hold up in the sense that, as we said in the first statement, and as has been discussed here, the reserve requirements are not necessary for monetary policy. There are alternative ways to effect a level of reserve in the total system. Namely, open market operations. On the other hand, the availability of the tool of adjusting reserves required can affect the level of reserves in the system that can be used by the banks or held sterile by the banks. There may be an occasion when you would want to reduce the amount of free reserves in the system, for example, that could be used by the banks. That would be done by raising reserve requirements rather than simply taking the reserves out of the system through open market operations. Mr. GoNzALES. Also in your statement, on page 6 of your testimony with reference to the fact that the withdrawal of members has resulted in a loss of $200 million to the Treasury, I notice you refer to the fact that this was a figure given by Chairman Miller, which is true, but which also has raised a question when he made that statement and that is, isn't it a fact though that, had a plan been devised in 1970 say, to hold at that level the membership then present, that the cost of doing that would have probably exceeded the $200 million? In other words, I don't think you want to leave the impression that the erstwhile cost of $200 million in reality could have been avoided. Mr. PERKINS. I don't disagree. Use of a figure like this by itself can be quite deceiving. Obviously, there are all kinds of factors that say if so and so had happened in so and so, then it would have computed up to m dollars. That was simply used, I think, as a suggestion of just the withdrawal based on a very theoretical concept, but there are all kinds of other things involved. For example, what about newly chartered banks, if they don't enter the System? Mr. GONZALES. Thank you very much, sir. Mr. MITCHELL. The gentleman from South Carolina. Mr. DERRICK. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I have a question that is not an original question with me; I won't make any pretense, I will just read it. Suppose the discount rate were linked to the Treasury bill rate https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 413 :formula but the Fed had the power to depart from the formula which would be for 1 week and renewable. Wouldn't this provide ample flexibility and at the same time assure that administrative changes in the rate would not give misleading signals? Now, when the discount rate is raised or lowered, we cannot always be sure whether the Fed is easing or tightening because the Treasury bill rate may have previously moved in the same direction. Under the provision I have in mind, an administrative change would not be misinterpreted. Increasing the rate more than called for by the formula would unambiguously indicate a tighter policy. Decreasing it below the rate called for by the formula would unambiguously indicate an easier policy. Would you comment? Would you like a copy of the question? Mr. PERKINS. I am not sure it is all that simple. If you had a system like that, it may, for example, right now the Treasury bill rate is probably lower, say a week or two ago, than it would have been otherwise, but it was affected by the fact that in a series of financings and refinancings the Treasury followed, chose not to increase Treasury bills to finance a deficit but to use intermediate term and longer term securities. So, you get all kinds of factors that press on a particular rate when you are doing it that way. I don't really think it would be that simple. Mr. OLSEN. There was one part of the question I would ask you to repeat. You say for 1 ·week and then it could be renewed? Mr. DERRICK. Renewable, that is correct. Mr. OLSEN. How would they go about getting it renewed then, because coming to Congress or-Mr. DERRICK. I am told by a vote of the Board. Mr. OLSEN. By a vote of the Board ...Well, what troubles me about the tying it to the Treasury bill this way, is again, you are financing something in statute that is in the monetary policy area. When you are dealing with the market forces, I would feel that a degree of flexibility is desirable if I ·were conducting monetary policy. It is troubling to fix it in the statute. I personally see no objection, and I would feel the Federal Reserve should administratively, from time to time, have the discount rate closer to a market level or higher level. But financing it to the Treasury bill in a statutory fashion means that you cannot anticipate the times when the Federal Reserve might be free to do that. If they are going to be able to change it for a 1-week period subject to renewal, my question is, why must you fix it in statute? Mr. MITCHELL. It is only fixed, of course, if the Board wants it fixed, and that is the flexibility. Mr. OLSEN. They would not otherwise change it. Mr. DERRICK. The Board is the master of its own destiny. Mr. OLSEN. I would assume under such proposal the Fed might well opt for an extended period of time renewing it every week to have it deviate from the Treasury bill, which would mean it would not be a major change from the situation you may have now, except the Federal Reserve w0t1ld be reviewing it every week. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 414 Now, that might create some problems from the standpoint of the market's reading of it. Mr. DERRICK. Of course, it would necessitate their taking that positive action though. Mr. OLSEN. Yes. There is one other aspect of this Mr. Perkins touched on also, and that is that the discount rate is viewed abroad differently than it is at home and, given the breadth of the dollar market internationally today and the exchange rate situation, this is important. The discount rate here is viewed abroad comparable to the bank rate in England or the bank rate in Germany, so the ability to change the discount rate here does have a signal and a meaning abroad that would be impaired if you were to tie it to a Treasury bill this way. Mr. PERKINS. I think on that point, on the international side, whether or not this is desirable at a time when the dollar is being questioned so widely, a congressional action on the discount rate would be very upsetting in the international financial markets, just because of the tradition of these hundreds of years of the way it is viewed abroad. Mr. DERRICK. Does Chairman LeMaistre or anyone else care to comment? Thank you very much. I yield back the balance of my time, Mr. Chairman. Mr. MITCHELL. Mr. Stanton is recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. STANTON. Yes. We don't want to hold you here, but we don't have this opportunity very often to get such a divergence of views. Getting back to this subject which we have zeroed in on, due to the Chairman's comments on the subject of payment of interest or reducing ,reserve requirements, theoretically, if you were to carry that out, then the subject of paying interest on reserves, the type of interest could become a moot question, am I correct on that, Mr. Olsen? Mr. Perkins-Mr. LEMAISTRE. I think certainly if there are no reserves, it wouldn't be a problem, but the burden would be reduced either way. Mr. STANTON. Mr. Leonard, I wondered if you could tell, I think it was Chairman LeMaistre in his statement who spoke of 36 States now, I think, that allow State nonmembership banks to hold reserves in different types of deposits of interest-bearing securities, different types of securities. Where did the historical, nonpayment of interest come into the Federal Reserve or, at the same time, why did the States go out on their own in declaring the different types of deposits that could be held? Mr. LEONARD. I am not really sure I know where the history came from on the sterile reserves for Federal Reserve banks in the 30-odd States that permit their State banks to carry at least all or part of their reserves in interest-bearing-type instruments, and so forth. I presume it was just the wisdom of the State legislature in their various States. Dr. KREIDER. Mr. Stanton, on the question of the States paying interest or permitting reserves to be in the form of interest-bearing assets, and I am sure Chairman LeMaistre did not mean to overstate that, but simply stating 30-some States in one form or another do this, is, in fact, an overstatement. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 415 In the overall picture, a relatively small percent of the total reserves of State-chartered nonmember banks is in the form of interest-bearing reserves. It is a small percent of the total. We could get estimates on that for the committee if the committee would so desire, but it should not be assumed that that is a big factor in State-chartered reserves. Mr. STANTON. That is mainly what I wanted to get at, is how big a factor it was. Mr. MITCHELL. Gentlemen, you have been most kind. I have many more questions which I will not put because you have been here so long. Forgive my temporary absence. Mr. Grassley has joined us. I don't think he has had an opportunity to rais~ questions, and then Mrs. Fenwick on the second go-around, and that will wrap it up. Mr. Grassley is recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. GRASSLEY. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I would start out by asking Mr. Wicks, when your bank was a member of the Fed how often did your bank use check-clearing services provided by the Fed? Mr. WICKS. We used the check-clearing services on a daily basis. Mr. GRASSLEY. So you did that instead of going through a correspondent bank? Mr. WICKS. That is correct. Mr. GRASSLEY. OK. I ought to follow this up, Mr. Wicks. At least while you were a member you had a good, complete, thorough business relationship with the Reserve? Mr. WicKs. Excellent, yes. Mr. GRASSLEY. And at least for the period of time you were in it you found adequate need to use the services and did, in fact, use them as completely as you could. Mr. WICKS. We certainly did. Mr. GRASSLEY. Next I have a question for Mr. Leonard. On page 4 you list items that should be addressed by a congressional program to correct the membership problem. Your fourth item is to permit the private correspondent banking system to compete more effectively for correspondent business. Now, what changes does this involve other than the obvious one that the Fed is going to have to have a competitive pricing system for its services if we go that route? Mr. LEONARD. You mean if you go the route of the Fed pricing their services? Mr. GRASSLEY. Yes. Obviously, in that particular case you are suggesting that the Fed is going to have to price its services competitively as opposed to just the subject or the proposition of pricing per se. Mr. LEON ARD. Yes. The pricing of the Fed, if they are going to price their services, should not be subsidized by taxpayers' money. The Fed ought to price their services at no lower than private enterprise can afford to provide that same service. However, in connection with the pricing of services, the correspondent banking system gives considerably more services to their correspondents than does the Fed, for example, in financial advisory, municipal bond accounts, those types of things that are not available at the Fed. Mr. G1tABSLEY. Also, then, I am wondering if from your standpoint, you feel that the Federal Reserve has a cosfaccounting system that is https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 416 going to be able to give us very definite figures on what exactly these costs will be, so that it will be easy for us to compare the prices charged by the Fed vis-a-vis those charged by correspondent banks? Or do you think we will get into problems here where the Fed could find justification for having lower costs for some reason or other? Mr. LEONARD. I would hope that the Fed would have the capability of coming up to you all with a cost analysis on what it would cost. With the economists and accountants and everything else they have, certainly the Fed has that capability. I don't know if they have done it yet or not. I have some reservations about whether or not the Fed can offer a service at the same price private enterprise can. The Government sometimes has problems internally or something else where they always seem to cost more than what private enterprise costs. That is my personal opinion, but it gives me some concern sometimes. Mr. GRASSLEY. I carried on this discussion with Mr. Miller when he was here, and he assured us that even though the Fed has not quite reached this point yet that its cost accounting would be able to provide these figures, that we would definitely know if they were competitive or not. But he did speculate that it might be some period of time after the installation by the Fed of the pricing mechanism before we could expect them to be fully competitive because of, I guess what I would call, startup costs. I just point that out to you, because they are saying that point is going to come. I wonder, Mr. Chairman, if I can have time just for one last question j I have a message my time is up. Could I ask another question of Mr. Wicks~ Mr. MITCHELL. The gentleman's time has expired, but we are in a very expansive mood this morning. Please proceed. Mr. GRASSLEY. I was wondering, Mr. Wicks, what if the cost of carrying sterile reserves was cut in half, or maybe I should not say just in half, but at least cut considerably, would you imagine that this would stop the decline in Fed membership~ Mr. WICKS. I think it would be a definite £actor, yes. I don't know as it would stop it. I think again looking at all of the opportunity costs of being a member of the Fed still would be the decision that would be made by any banker as to whether he should stay in or not. Mr. GRASSLEY. As inflation increases, interest rates go up; as the interest rates go up, then there is a greater cost to the individual banks because their reserves are sterile. Is there not then some connection between the Fed's ability to keep inflation under control, to keep interest rates down and hence· the cost of sterile reserves down and the protection and encouragement of membership? Mr. WICKS. I think that is a very definite factor. As the inflation goes up, as interest rates go up, the opportunity costs of going out of the Fed are greater, and this is certainly a very important part of, I think, the decision of members to pull out. Mr. GRASSLEY. From the standpoint of the Fed being a very strong mechanism in our war on inflation, then fighting that battle more aggressively would, in £act, stop the decline in Fed membership. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 417 Mr. WICKS. I think it would be a definite factor, yes. Mr. GRASSLEY. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. MITCHELL. The gentlelady from New Jersey. Mrs. FENWICK. Thank you. I would like to go back to the question of the reserves. Mr. Perkins, at one point, said that the mandatory universal reserve requirements would be damaging and, Chairman LeMaistre, if I understood it, also felt that this would damage the dual system. On the other hand, I have just heard in later testimony from Mr. Perkins that a theory of' universal reserves is good. The lack of uniformity, said Mr. Olsen, in the reserve requirements, makes it difficult for Federal Reserve to execute monetary policy because public demand shifts from one form to another. What do I hear; am I correct in understanding that you believe, all of you, that some form of universal reserve requirement would be useful, equitable and desirable, provided that it were not set by statute, but were left to whom? That is what I am trying to get, to whom would you leave the decision as to what those reserve requirements should be, or to which agency or group of agencies or to whom, Mr. Olsen? Mr. Perkins, who would be setting that? I realize it would have to shift if there were variations in the monetary situation. Mr. PERKINS. There are all kinds of possibilities. I would think that with the Federal Reserve charged with the Nation's monetary policy as the central bank, that that would be the most likely administrative place. Mrs. FENWICK. Would you be satisfied to see that i Mr. PERKINS. There are really two questions: One is the setting of reserves and the other is the question of reserve requirements, compulsory for all institutions. Our position has been that in our States Federal system we would oppose that. Mrs. FENWICK. I know, but doesn't that sound like a contradictory position i On the one hand you are saying, yes, we must have reserve requirements, and in the second place you are saying they should not be mandatory. Mr. PERKINS. No; I don't believe I said we must have reserve requirements. Mrs. FENWICK. You don't believe in having reserve requirements theni "The theory of universal reserve requirements is good," you said; didn'tyoui Mr. PERKINS. Yes. Mrs. FENWICK. What were you talking about i What is good, if not universal reserve requirements i Mr. PERKINS. Good in the sense that to the extent that you have equality you don't have unfairness built into the system of advantages or disadvantages. Mrs. FENWICK. But aren't you in favor of that? Mr. PERKINS. Yes; I am 'in favor of having what we have also referred to as an equal playing field among different types of institutions. Mrs. FENWICK. Yes, but Mr. Perkins, follow through. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 418 How do you suggest doing it~ Who is going to do it~ Mr. PERKINS. Our suggestion was that possibly we look at the total federally chartered institution and maintain the State-Federal separation for the nonfederally supervised and chartered institutions. Mrs. FENWICK. Yes, but who is going to set these universal requirements that you say would be useful~ Mr. PERKINS. I would think the Federal Reserve would be the proper body with the proper-Mrs. FENWICK. But you just said that was not a good thing. Mr. PERKINS. Now, wait, you asked me if you did thatMrs. FENWICK. No; I am saying, one, am I correct in quoting you as saying, "The theory of universal reserves is good." But the level required, as I understand it, "should be left to the open market." Do I quote you correctly~ Mr. PERKINS. I don't believe so; no, ma'am. Mrs. FENWICK. "The theory of universal reserves is good." You did say that. ·Mr. PERKINS. Yes, on the basis of equity all across. Mrs. FENWICK. Then you certainly are 'for equity. Mr. PERKINS. Yes,ma'am. Mrs. FENWICK. ·Who is going to set this universal reserve requirement? Mr. PERKINS. I think while the theory is good we would oppose a universal requirement because of the other more overriding considerations of the State-Federal. Mrs. FENWICK. More overriding than equity? . Mr. PERKINS. When you put it that way-Mrs. FENWICK. You see, I am trying, Mr. Perkins, you cannot imagine how illogical this whole bimking things looks. Mr. PERKINS. There are lots of illogical parts to it, yes, ma'am. Mrs. FENWICK. I have listened carefully to all of you who are so nuaJifieil, 11nd certninly I am not, but I am trying to understllnd the distilled wisdom. If a theory of universal reserve requirements is equitable and just, surely we must try to approach it. Now, if we are going to try to approach 'it, how do you approach it in such a way as to not throw over the whole applecart? Mr. PERKINS. I don't believe I am making myself clear. Mrs. FENWICK. No. Mr. PERKINS. But when we say we are having to weigh different desirable aspects of things-Mrs. FENWICK. But how do you control monetary µolicy? According to Mr. Olsen, the lack of uniformity in reserve requirements as public demand shifts from one to another makes it difficult for the Federal Reserve to execute monetary policy. Mr. PERKINS. Well, he is talking about a different kind of universal. He is not talking about universal reserve requirements there. He is talking about the fact that depending on what size bank you are at a particular moment, that there are differences in the reserve requirements. But only to the member banks. Mrs. FENWICK. The lack of uniformity. which certainly suggests uniformity. Mr. PERKINS. Yes. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 419 Mrs. FENWICK. Now, uniformity covering whom, covering which banks? Mr. PERKINS. Our suggestion was it would cover, if it went that route, federally chartered depository institutions. Mrs. FENWICK. So what you would like to see is the theory of reserves being set because it is equitable and just, but it should apply only to Federal banks, leaving the State banks to be inequitable and unjust? Mr. PERKINS. At some point we have to perhaps pay a price in equity or inequity for what we consider very important things, such as the State-Federal, the whole concept. Mrs. FENWICK. The only justification for the dual system we have had today was from Chairman LeMaistre, as I understood it which was that you get innovations such as the NOW accounts in the New Eng-land States, and so on. I don't know that it is worth paying in justice and equity for so little, is it? Mr. PERKINS. I think that is obviously a very difficult question, but at some point the question of not having one overall Federal operation as opposed to havmg some diversity in the system, I think, has a lot of nluses, such as innovation. Mr. OLSEN. Could I share partly in that answer, Mrs. Fenwick? Mrs. FENWICK. Yes, Mr. Olsen. Mr. OLSEN. First, I want to make a distinction between the uni~ versal reserve requirements and the fact that you now have different rates of requirements among institutions, an'd types of deposit reserves--time deposits are lower against demand deposits. That creates problems in monetary policy, the fact that you have rlifferences. Now, universal reserve requirements, which the Federal Reserve Board has proposed, means extending reserve requirements to all depository institutions. They have intimated that possibly i:f this were done, they would not pursue the matter of enabling the banks to earn interest on those. Now, that obviously would be offensive to those banks that are not now members of the Federal Reserve and who earn interest on their reserves. In other words, they would be forced to go back into a system that they left. They would be opposed to that, and that is inequitable to force them back into holding noninterest assets. Mrs. FENWICK. I agree, but I don't see why you would have to force them into holding nonearning assets simply if you set reserve requirements. Why couldn't you set reserve requirements that would allow for interest bearing reserves? Mr. OLSEN. You could do that; yes, you could. Mrs. FENWICK. Wouldn't that be the sensible thing to do and get justice and interest, too? Mr. OLSEN. That has not been proposed at this point, but that would be justice, yes. I might add one other point, that the Federal Reserve sets reserve requirements today. Many States, as I understand it, set their reserve requirements along with the Federal Reserve, in many cases, not universally, but some. Mrs. FENWICK. My time has expired, but, honestly, I could listen all day. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 420 Mr. MITCHELL. The gentlelady's time has expired. But I, too, was fascinated by your spirited line of questioning. The committee will adjourn now because we have ihad the witnesses for quite a while and it is almost high noon. I am glad we have come to an end of this session of the hearings on that rather spirited line of inquiry which all of us found fascinating. Gentlemen, thank you very much for being here. You have been very patient and kind and cooperative, and we are most appreciative. For the members of the committee, the last round of hearings will be scheduled. next Friday at 9 o'clock. Gentlemen, thank you very much. Mr. PERKINS. Thank you, Mr. Mitchell. Mr. WICKS. Thank you, sir. Mr. LEONARD, Thank you. Chairman LEMA.ISTRE. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. MITCHELL. The committee stands adjourned.. [Whereupon, at 12 :00 noon the committee adjourned, to reconvene on Friday, August 11, 1978.] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis MONETARY CONTROL AND THE MEMBERSHIP PROBLEM FRIDAY, AUGUST 11, 1978 HousE OF REPRESENTATIVES, COMMITTEE ON BANKING, FINANCE AND URBAN AFFAIRS, Washington, D.O. The committee met, pursuant to notice, at 9 :05 a.m., in room 2128, ~he Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Parren J. Mitchell presidrng. Present: Representatives Reuss ( chairman of the committee), Mitchell, Spellman, AuCoin, Cavanaugh, Vento, Stanton, Hansen, Fenwick, and Green. Mr. MrTOHELL. This hearing will now come to order. Today we continue our hearings on proposals designed t.o improve the implementation of monetary policy, promote competitive equity among banks, and ease the problem of Federal Reserve membership. We have had before us three bills and an amendment to one of these bills: H.R. 13476, H.R. 13477, Federal Reserve proposals submitted by request; H.R. 12706, the Stanton bill, and an amendment to the Stanton bill. Our hearings so far have illuminated some problems with eaeh of these proposals and have brought forth many constructive suggestions. As a result of these hearings, we now want to consider another proposal which appears to have a great deal of merit and we would welcome any comments that the witnesses may have on this proposal as well as those considered in the testimony you have submitted. I understand that all witnesses have.been informed of the new proposal but I appreciate that you have not had much chance to study it. The new proposal is a very simple bill consisting t>f two titles: First, it would authorize the Federal Reserve to obtain whatever information it needs for purposes of better monetary control from all depository institutions through the appropriate regulatory agencies; and second, it would restructure reserve requirements so that the first $100 million of reservable liabilities of commercial banks would be exempt from any reserve requirement, while all commercial banks would be subject to reserve requirements on such liabilities over $100 million-with reservable liabilities meaning demand deposits, time and savings deposits and overnight bank borrowings. These reserve requirements would be subject to a uniform rate of 6 percent, with the Federal Reserve authorized to increase or decrease that by one-half percent for purposes of monetary control only. Thus all banks of less than $100 million in reservable liabilities will be exempt, while the bigger banks will all be treated alike in terms of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (421) 422 reserve requirements, whether members of the Federal Reserve System or not. I would emphasize that nothing in this proposal would change the supervision or regulation of banks as between Federal and State authorities. Nonmember banks of over $100 million, while required to hold reserves, would not be brought under Federal Reserve regulation in anyway. One of the major advantages of this proposal is that the cost to the Treasury would be only about $150 million, several hundred million dollars less than any of the previous proposals. Our witnesses today will be: Henry Schechter, director, Tupartment of Urban Affairs, AFL-CIO; Jerry Jordan, senior vice president and economist, Pittsburgh National Bank, Pittsburgh, Pa.; Prof. Paul McCracken, University of Michigan; Prof. Thomas Mayer, University of California at Davis; William M. Crozier, Jr., chairman and president, BayBanks, Inc., Boston, Mass., and Mr. Bernhard W. Romberg, president, Payment and Administrative Communications Corp., New York,N.Y. Gentlemen, we welcome all of you and we are most grateful that you could take time out of your busy schedules to be with us this morning. . Other members of the committee will be joining us shortly. If you have been following the papers recently, the Congress is working incredibly long hours and I think there might be some battle fatigue beginning to show. We do, however, expect a good turnout of the members this morning. We have received copies of statements and I would appreciate it in the interest of time if you would submit the statement for the record in its entirety and perhaps try to summarize your testimony in 10 or 15 minutes. Thank you. I think logic would dictate we start on my left with Mr. Schechter and proceed down the line. STATEMENT OF HENRY SCHECHTER, DIRECTOR, DEPARTMENT OF URBAN AFFAIRS, AFL-CIO Mr. SCHECHTER. Mr. Chairman, I appreciate the opportunity to present before your committee the views of the AFL-CIO dealing with proposed legislation on reserve requirements of depository institutions. The proposals involve the interests of private financial institutions and of the public. They would have a bearing on the financial structure and stability of the national economy. These are matters in which the AFL-CIO has had a continuing concern. The conditions giving rise to the bills under consideration can be stated briefly. Over the past decade there has been a decline in bank membership in the Federal Reserve System. The Federal Reserve Board claims that it tends to weaken the financial system, as more financial transactions are carried on outside of Federal Reserve regulatory channels and the implementation of monetary policy becomes more difficult. The decline in the Federal Reserve membership has been attributed to the fact that member hanks are required to hold a relatively large proportion of assets in noninterest bearing reserve accounts than nonmember banks or other institutions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 423 To deal with the Federal Reserve System membership problem, two basic courses of action are under consideration in proposed legislation. One is to authorize the Federal Reserve banks to begin to pay banks interest on reserve deposits, at a continuing annual expense of several hundred million dollars a year to the U.S. Treasury and the American taxpayers. The other is to re<J_uire nonmember banks and other depository institutions, whose deposits are insured by the Federal Government, to have the same noninterest bearing reserves as member banks on demand and similar deposits, with some exemptions £or smaller institutions. E,ach of these two major courses of action can be assessed in light of the overriding need £or effective control of monetary policy and therefore the need to halt Fed membership erosion. PAYMENT OF INTEREST ON RESERVE DEPOSITS In connection with proposals £or the Fed to pay interest on reserves, it should be noted that presently the Federal Reserve pays no interest on member bank reserves. After paying a statutory 6-percent dividend on stock held by member banks, and adding as much as necessary to each Federal Reserve bank's surplus to keep it equal to its paid-in capital stock, the rest of the Federal Reserve bank's net earnings are turned over to the Treasury. Therefore, the total amount of annual payments of interest on reserves would reduce the annual Federal Reserve payment to the Treasury by an equal amount. Furthermore, i£ the Federal Reserve banks have accumulated excess surplus funds, such excess surplus funds are a result of past misjudgments of how much of Federal Reserve net earnings needed to be retained in the Fed surplus, instead of being turned over to Treasury at the time. Such funds really represent deferred payments due to the Treasury. That interpretation would seem to -be in accordance with a statutory provision that in the event of dissolution of a Federal Reserve bank, after payment of debts and par value of stock, remaining surplus funds are to become the property of the United States. The use of such excess surplus funds to help pay interest on reserves would represent a diversion of Treasury revenues, just as would the use of current year Fed earnings to pay interest. Finally, the excess surplus funds are limited and could not offset the Treasury losses after 2 or 3 years. In estimating costs to the Treasury of interest payments on reserves, therefore, a transfer of excess Federal Reserve bank surplus funds to the Treasury should not be looked upon as an offset to the interest payments. The total annual Treasury revenue loans from payment of interest on reserves has been estimated at $765 million under the proposed Federal Reserve formula in H.R. 13477, the Interest on Reserves Act of 1978, and $450 million under a formula in the proposed Reuss amendment to H.R. 12706, the Federal Reserve Membership Act of 1978. These estimates and those to be cited later appear on page H6780 of the Congressional Record of July 14, 1978, as part of Chairman Reuss' statement introducing the bills. H.R. 12706 itself would direct the Fed to pay interest on reserves at a rate not to exceed the average https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 424 rate on Treasury 3-month bills in the preceding calendar quarter, an uncapped amount. The payment of interest on required reserves of depository institutions is neither necessary to deal with the related problems of Fed membership attrition and achievement of more effective monetary policy, nor desirable from a public-interest point of view. It is elementary that interest payments on reserves would provide commerci,al banks with a substantial windfall at the expense of the Treasury and American taxpayers. The so-called burden borne by banks in complying with the reserve requirements is part of the cost of conducting a business which must be a joint public-private venture, in order to minimize general economic instability. Depository institutions are given Government franchises to operate, and protected from injurious competition by the regulatory authorities who control the chartering of new institutions and branches. Tho depository institutions are the guardians of other people's money which can best be safegua,rded under a monetary supply that is regulated to meet the needs of the economy without becoming too excessive or too tight. Congress has assigned that mission to the Federal Reserve, with due authority to require the maintenance of adequate reserves. The mooting of reserve requirements, therefore, is a necessary cost of the banking business, and one that the business has lived with and grown over the past 64 years. There are two other provisions in the proposed bills that have been brought into the discussion of interest payments on reserves. One is the innovation of charges for services by Federal Reserve banks against depository institutions receiving interest payments on reserve deposits. Such charges would be made, as implied in H.R. 13477 and as directed in H.R. 12706 and under the proposed amendment to H.R. 12706. Aggregate charges have been estimated at $410 million annually. At the same time, under H.R. 13476, the Federal Reserve Requirements Act of 1978, embodying the Fed's proposal for mandatory universal reserve requirements, and H.R. 12706 with Chairman Reuss' proposed amendments, changes in reserve requirements would reduce outstanding reserves by an estimated $5 billion. The reduction in reserves and interest that can be earned thereon would mean an estimated annual revenue loss of $350 million to the Fed and Treasury, and that much of a gain to the depository institutions. UNIVERSAL RESERVE REQUIREMENTS The AFL-CIO is firmly opposed to the payment of interest on reserves as a ma.tter of public interest and also because the intended purposes can be met through universal reserve requirements along the lines that have been proposed in H.R. 13476, the Federal Reserve Requirements Act o-f 1978, with some modifications. The Federal Reserve Requirements Act o-f 1978 would establish mandatory universal reserve requirements -for all depository institutions whose deposits are -federally insured. It would be applicable to insured commercial banks, nonmember as well as Fed member; mutual savings banks; savings and loan associations; and credit unions. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 425 However, reserves on time and savings account deposits would be required only of Fed member banks, not for other depository institutions. Reserves would be required of 'all depository institutions with respeot to demand deposits and transaction accounts. The latter are deposits or ,accounts on which the depositor or account holder is allowed to make withdrawals by negotiable or transferable instrument or other similar item for the purpose of making payments to third persons or others. Among such accounts would be demand deposits, negotiable order of withdriawal accounts, and share dra.ft accounts. The definition of transaction accounts given in section 101 of H.R. 13476 does not include funds which can be automatically transferred from savings deposits into demand deposits. This would seem to be a serious omission from the viewpoint of effective monetary policy. To meet that deficiency, the definition of "transaction accounts" in section 3 (b) ( 2) in the amendments to H.R. 12'706 proposed by Chairman Reuss should be substituted for the definition in section 101 of H.R.13476. The proposed requirement in H.R. 13476 that equal reserves against demand and other transaction accounts be maintained by nonmember institutions, should remove the major inducement for member banks to leave the Federal Reserve System. Furthermore, reports from all depository institutions, as to compliance with reserve req_uirements, would provide the Federal Reserve with an improved basis for effective regulation of the money supply. For small nonmember institutions there would be an exemption from reserve requirements against transaction accounts under both the Federal Reserve proposals in H.R. 13476 'and also under proposed amendments to the Stanton bill, H.R. 12706. The exemption would be $5 mi1lion under H.R. 13476 and $10 million under the proposed amendment to H.R. 12706. It is desirable that small banks, generally serving sma11 communities, should be protected against competition from larger institutions. What the appropriate amount of exempt transaction accounts should be :for this purpose we do not know. Nonmember institutions could maintain reserve deposits at member banks. Many nonmember depository institutions, particularly small banks and thrift institutions that have transaction accounts, already maintain deposits at large member banks. To that extent, part of the nonmember reserve requirement under H.R. 13476 are probably already being met. As far as thrift institutions are concerned, the great majority have the overwhelmingly major part or all of their deposit liabilities in the form of time and savings accounts, which would not be subject to any reserve requirements. The inflow of savings available for mortgage loans should not be adversely affected. Furthermore, in order to avoid the imposition of new supervisory authority over thrift institutions, the compliance of such institutions with reserve requirements should be supervised by their present Federal regulatory agencies, such as the Federal Home Loan Bank Board and the National Credit Union Administration. For all of the foregoing reasons, universal reserve requirements pro- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 0 - 78 - 28 Federal Reserve Bank32-972 of St. Louis 426 vided for in R.R. 13476, with suggested modifications, should prove adequate to deal with the problem of loss of Fed membership and the consequent increased difficulty of implementing monetary policy. There should not be any need for payment of interest on reserves at a large and continuing annual cost to the U.S. Treasury. CHANGES IN MONETARY POLICY TOOLS The proposed amendment to R.R. 12706 would make two other noteworthy changes in Federal Reserve powers for implementation of the monetary policy. One would call for the Federal Reserve discount rate on loans to members to be set at the same level as the Treasury bill rate. This would have the intended effect of precluding the opportunity for arbitrage profits when the discount rate is below the bill rate. The Fed would still be in control of the discount rate because it can exercise controlling influence over the bill rate through its open market operations. There would thus be no significant loss of the efficiency of a tool of monetary policy, while there would be a protection against the use of Fed credit through the discount window to gain arbitrage profits. Another monetary policy tool would be completely eliminated from the Fed's kit by another proposal in the amendment to R.R. 12706, that would be to establish specific statutory requirements for member banks. They would replace a statutory range of reserve requirements within which the Fed can lower or raise the reserve requirement level. The rationale is that the Fed can implement monetary policy with open market operations and discounting, and changes in reserve requirements have been made infrequently. Nevertheless, it is the infrequent occasion, such as a liquidity crisis, when Congress' schedule might not accommodate necessary quick action to adjust reserve requirements. The shift to fixed statutory reserve requirements, therefore, could cause the loss of some needed flexibility. I have seen the newest draft bill calling for uniform reserve requirements. I think this is a move in the right direction. It goes in the direction that I have indicated in my statement. My question is, I have not had time, certainly, to try to study the details to see what the impact would be, -and I would raise one concern with respect to the uniformity and narrow flexibility to the level of the reserves that would be required; that is, the extent to which there could be response to provide greater liquidity in the event of a real liquidity crisis. After all, we established the Federal Reserve System after we had experiences such as the financial panics, as they used to be called, of 1873, 1893, 1907, accompanied by many bank failures. I just d0n't know if a 6.5-percent reserve requirement for commercial banks with deposits of over $100 million would be able to meet that, with a half percentage point margin on either side for flexibility. I think in the desire to treat the everyday problem of mechanics and operation of costs to the Fed in charging for the services versus some reduction in requirements to make that sort of balance, we should not lose sight of the basic purpose of being able to provide liouidity. I reaiize smaller banks do have larger correspondent banks with access to the Federal Reserve, but at the time of the liquidity crisis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 427 those larger banks would also be involved with their own concerns. They would be concerned primarily with their own liquidity. They might not want to risk providing additional extensions of credit to relieve liquidity problems for some of the smaller banks. I throw that up for consideration and think it merits some further consideration. Mr. MITCHELL. Thank you very much, Mr. Schechter. Mr.Jordan. STATEMENT OF JERRY L. JORDAN, SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT AND ECONOMIST, PITTSBURGH NATIONAL BANK, PITTSBURGH, PA. Mr. JORDAN. I appreciate this opportunity to present my views on the subject of reserve requirements and related issues. The prepared statement I have submitted addresses some basic principles: the way I woulq approach analyzing questions of the level of reserve requirements, the types of deposits that would be subject to reserve requirements, and the institutions that would be subject to reserve requirements. I will not go through that statement this morning. It refers in part to proposals of a couple weeks ago and I want to spend my time commenting on the latest proposal that Mr. Mitchell has described. The proposal that I have read over is called "a bill to facilitatb the implementation of monetary policy and to promote competitive equality among commercial banks." I like the proposal. I like the simplicity of it and I think it gets to the fundamental problem of reserve requirements as far as monetary control is concerned. My views on this subject, from the standpoint of an economist, are concerned with formulation and implementation of monetary policystabilization policy-so I cannot assure you that commercial bankers, from large or small institutions, are going to agree with my views. I speak as an economist, and not as a banker, on these issues. The first subject I want to take up is on reporting requirements. On this topic I will comment, in part, from remarks in my prepared statement. I think there should be a new statistical measure reported by the Federal Reserve that conforms to the theoretical concept that is associated ,vith the narrow definition of the money supply-currently referred to as M 1 • I think it should consist of all currency in the hands of the public, plus all transaction-type balances at any financial institution, regardless of whether or not there is a reserve requirement on it and regardless of any kind of interest rate ceiling considerations. As long as there is a regulation Q-type ceiling on time and savings deposit interest rates which is below the rates available on competitive market instruments, all accounts from which transactions can be made directly, whether these are called demand deposits, negotiable orders of withdrawal-or N01:V accounts-NIN01:V accounts, share drafts, pay by phone, or the new automatic transfer accounts, should be maintained separately from time and savings accounts at all institutions for bookkeeping purposes. Data :from these transactions should be collected :from all the institutions :for inclusion in this new narrow definition of the money supply, M 1 , and the issue of the amount and the form of any reserve requirements on them and the interest rate ceilings on them can be dealt https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 428 with separately from decisions regarding reserve requirements or interest ceilings on nontransaction-type deposits or accounts, such as savings and time deposits at all financial institutions. · All financial institutions hold some form of reserve balances, even in the absence of legal requirements. They hold them in the form of idle cash and idle balances at other institutions-correspondent banks or regulatory institutions. I know of no evidence that legal reserve requirements greater than the level that would be held anyway are necessary for effective control of the money supply, but it does not follow that the imposition of reserve requirements on some transaction balances at some financi,al institutions, while not at others, does not affect the reliability of monetary control techniques. Studies have shown that when you have shifts in balances among different size classes of member commercial banks that are subject to different levels of reserve ratios, then you have absorption or release of bank reserves. When a balance goes from a small member commercial bank subject to low reserve requirements, or a nonmember bank subject to none, to a large member bank subject to a high reserve requirement, that absorbs reserves. If that is not offset by the Federal Reserve, you have a contraction in money. Similarly, shifts and balances from the large banks subject to high reserve requirements to smaller banks, whether subject to reserve requirements or not, releases reserves and expands money. So to me the question of uniformity of reserve requirements is much more important than the question of universality. In fact, universality of a tiered structure of reserve requirements, as currently exists and as was proposed by the Federal Reserve, could actually make matters worse. I would argue that the emphasis today, or in your deliberations, should be on the kind or form of uniform reserves on whomever they are imposed. This is part of the reason why I find the latest proposals so appealing. The question of interest on reserves is absent from the latest bill. I think that is desirable-to eliminate the discussion of interest on reserve balances. Required reserves which are at a level above desired reserves-the amount of reserves that would be held anyway is a form of taxation on the institution-a license fee or right to do business as a member commercial bank. To then pay interest on those reserve balances is a form of a tax credit, or tax rebate. and I really don't see the point of giving the authority to the central bank to, in a sense, set tax levels. I would rather have a uniform reserve ratio that is set at a fairly low level and then not have any interest paid on those reserves. The proposal that the reserve requirements he statutory is desirable so long as it is at a sufficiently low level nnd it is uniform. If the current tiered structure of reserve equipments is retained or one of the earlier proposals by both the Federal Reserve and others suggesting a new tiered structure is imposed, I do not think it would be desirable to be statutory whether universal or not. The current proposal for a 6-percent reserve requirement, applied to all reservable liabilities-deposits and overnight borrowings of all commercial banks over $100 million-is desirable and having it statutory would be desirable. I understand that the proposal would https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 429 allow for the reserve ratio to be changed by one-hal:f 0£ a percentage point in either direction for monetary policy purposes. I have no strong objection to that. I don't think it would do a great deal 0£ harm. I also don't think it would do a great deal of good. The Federal Reserve, through its powers to conduct open market operations-buying and selling securities-has all 0£ the capability necessary to conduct monetary policy. The changes that they have made in reserve requirements in recent years have been either specifically stated as not for monetary policy purposes, or in £act they have gone in the wrong direction. I just don't see the necessity 0£ that. The current proposal exempts the first $100 million 0£ deposits at all commercial banks and it provides £or indexing that amount to keep pace with inflation. As long as we are subject to the kind 0£ inflation that we are, I think indexing is necessary and I think that the proposal incorporated in the bill is a desirable one and I hope that it is maintained. The form 0£ reserve requirements is not specified in the bill. Here I would like to make some suggestions: Certainly vault cash at all commercial banks should continue to be allowed to meet reserve requirements-this has been the case since 1959 and I think that it is desirable-plus reserve balances at the central bank, at least on all transaction balances. However, the bill says 6-percent reserves on all reservable liabilities, including time and savings deposits, and I do not think that the form 0£ the reserves on the longer term savings certificates should be idle balances. I would suggest anything over 90 days, running out to 8 year savings certificates, need not be held in the form 0£ idle reserve balances. To tell a commercial bank that it has to hold a 6-percent idle cash reserve against an 8-year savings certificate for liquidity purposes doesn't really seem to be necessary. We have suggested maybe 3 percent, which is about the current average reserve requirement on time and savings accounts, be held in idle cash balances at the Federal Reserve and that the additional reserves, the other 3 percent, be held in the form 0£ U.S. Government securities in the portfolio 0£ the commercial bank. So on transaction balances there would be a 6-percent idle cash reserve at all commercial banks over the $100 million level-that would also include day in and day out savings deposits. In other words, anything less than the 90 days would be subject to the 6-percent idle cash reserve requirement. Then on all time and savings certificates over 90 days, the 6-percent reserves would consist of 3 percent in idle cash, as a suggestion, and 3 percent in Government security holdings. I would also suggest that Treasury Tax and Loan accounts should not be subject to reserve requirements. The U.S. Government's Treasury Tax and Loan account balances are not a part of the money supply. No one considers them in any theoretical or empirical way to be money, and when Treasury balances fluctuate up and down, as they do quite wildly week to week, or even day to day, this absorbs and releases reserves in the banking system. The Federal Reserve has to forecast that and try to offset it-so-called defensive operations-and I don't see the necessity of requiring that banks hold idle reserves against Government balances, so I "'ould like to see that eliminated. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 430 Other proposals have previously been made that are not part of the current bill, and maybe should be considered at a later time, because I think the:y are desirable. I think the elimmation of lagged reserve requirements would be a good idea. If we didn't have the:tn already no one would be suggesting that we impose lagged reserve requirements. We have continued them for reasons of inertia, and I would like to see that question seriously addressed. Also, the proposal for staggered reserve requirements-having reserve settlements only on banking days and not over weekends and having one-fifth of the banks settle on each bank day of the week would be desirable. That would smooth out the fluctuations in the balances over the week. We wouldn't have the problems of interest rates running up sharply on Wednesdays, or dropping sharply on Wednesdays, as currently is the case. The question of the discount rate being tied to market rates is not part of the latest proposal and I thought that it was a very good idea and I would like to see it reconsidered at a later point if it is not going to be included at this time. Changes in the discount rates have at most an announcement effect on monetary policy, often, I think, a misleading announcement effect. That thing gets more attention than I think it deserves. I think the rate should be tied to something like the last couple of ~eeks' Treasury bill rate, but at a premium. There should be a penalty · of, say, 50 points above Treasury bill rates. Then there should be a rig-ht to access to the discount window. It should not be a privilege. I think all commercial banks, and I would go so far as to say all financial institutions that issue transaction balances, should have the right to access at the discount window as long as it is at a penalty rate. The purpose is for the central bank to be the lender of last resort in the event of a financial crisis, and I think whether it is a credit union, a savings and loan association, or nonmember commercial bank, large or small, that if they run into clearing problems or financial difficulties, they should have access to the central bank's discount window as long_ as they are paying a little premium for it and not receiving a subsidy from the taxpayers. If it is not a right and not a premium-if there is a subsidy because the discount rate is below current market rates-then I think appropriate regulatory authorities for nonmember banks and thrift institutions should have some say-so in the access to the window because, after all, it is the taxpayer's pocket that is involved. My proposal would be to tie the discount rate to market rates at a penalty and let all institutions, members, nonmembers, and thrift institutions have access to it. I think I will stop at this point and answer any questions you would like. [Mr. Jordan's prepared statement follows:] https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 431 Statement by JERRY L. JORDAN Senior Vice President and Economist Pittsburgh National Bank Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I appreciate this opportunity to present my views on proposed legislation dealing with reserve requirements on transaction-type accounts at financial institutions, the payment of interest on reserve balances, the pricing of Federal Reserve services to private financial institutions, and related questions. I have studied the pro- posed legislation as well as statements by Chairman Reuss, Congressman Mitchell, Congressman St. Germain, Federal Reserve Chairman Miller, and other witnesses that have appeared before this committee in the past two weeks. In my prepared statement I have not attempted to take a position on each issue that has been raised during these hearings, but I look forward to an opportunity to answer your questions. The initial part of my statement is directed towards a few basic issues which I believe are important to consider when addressing the general subject of reserve https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 432 requirements. My views on Federal Reserve pricing of services and on a number of other regulatory issues appear at the end of my statement. A discussion of the types of deposits and the insti- tutions which are subject to mandated reserve requirements, the appropriate level of reserve requirements, and the question of whether interest should be paid by regulatory authorities on such reserves, should begin with some analysis of the purpose of reserve requirements. I will comment on three possible reasons for having legal reserve requirements. First, if non-interest bearing reserve requirements are viewed merely as a form of taxation, then a proposal by the central bank to pay interest on reserves is merely a way of reducing this form of taxation. If that is all that is involved a desire to reduce this particular form of taxation then why not do so explicitly by reducing the level of the reserve requirements? If the primary purpose of reserve requirements is to impose a tax on institutions, and the reason for having a graduated structure of requirements is to compel larger institutions to pay proportionally more tax (as a result of higher reserve requirement ratios}, then it is not at all clear why financial institutions of the same size whether they are commercial banks, mutual savings banks, savings and loan associations, or credit unions -- should https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 433 b~ subject to different rates of taxation. Second, if the. purpose of reserve requirements is to protect depositors from loss of their funds and to promote the viability and efficiency of the financial system, then an assessment should be made as to the appropriate level and structure of reserve requirements in order to achieve that purpose. There is no evidence that the graduated structure promotes safety and efficiency; there is no evidence that a commercial bank that is a member of the Federal Reserve and subject to a reserve requirement of 16¼ percent on demand deposits over $400 million is safer and more efficient than a similarly sized institution that is not a member of the Federal Reserve System and is not required to hold idle reserves. On the other end of the scale, there is no evidence that an idle cash reserve requirement of 7 percent makes a member institution with $5 million in demand deposits a safer place for a depositor to hold funds than a nonmember instit'ution -- .whether it be a commercial bank or a thrift institution that offers transaction-services such as NOW accounts, pay-by-phone, or share drafts. Third, if the purpose of reserve requirements is to enhance monetary control, then the tiered structure of reserve requirements is even less defensible. Not only is there.!}£ evidence that a tiered structure of reserve requirements increases the ability of the monetary https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 434 authorities to influence the level of the money supply, there is some evidence that a tiered structure has made it more difficult to control the money supply than would a uniform structure. The distinction between uniform and universal reserve requirements is useful. Uniform reserve requirements means that institutions that are subject to reserve requirements on certain types of deposits are all subject to the same reserve requirement ratios and satisfy their reserve requirements by holding the same types of assets. Universal reserve requirements means that ill institutions offering a certain type of deposit or account that is subject to reserve requirements by any institution would be subject to the same reserve requirements. Several issues are involved in assessing whether or not reserve requirements should be uniform and whether or not they should be universal. First is the question concerning the appropriate measures of the nation's money supply that are controlled by the central bank as part of the process of formulating and implementing monetary policy. Both the theoretical and the empirical issues have been addressed in numerous places. The recommendations by the Special Committee on Monetary Aggregates, commissioned by the Federal Reserve and chaired by Professor Leland Bach, are still relevant and worthy of further consideration. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 435 My view is that there should be a new statistical measure that conforms to the theoretical concept that is associated with the narrow measure of the money supply, currently referred to as Ml. It would consist of currency plus all transaction-type balances at any financial institution, regardless of reserve requirements and interest rate considerations. So long as regulation Q type ceilings on time and savings deposits exist and are below market rates on competitive financial assets, all accounts from which transactions can be made directly -- whether they are called demand deposits, negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts, non-interest bearing negotiable order of withdrawal (NINOW) accounts, share drafts, pay-byphone, or automatic transfer accounts -- should be maintained separately from time and savings accounts at all institutions. Data on these transaction accounts should be collected from all institutions for inclusion in the narrow definition of money stock (Ml), and the issue of the amount and form of any reserve requirements on them, and any interest rate ceilings on them, should be dealt with separately from any decisions regarding reserve requirements and interest ceilings on non-transactiontype deposits or accounts at all financial institutions. Accurately collecting and aggregating all transaction~ type balances is an essential step towards effective monetary policy management. However, there is disagree- ment as to whether it is a sufficient step for the conduct https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 436 of monetary policy. On this question, I believe that the Federal Reserve tries to have it both ways. At one time, such as in the proposed Reserve Requirements Act of 1978, (H.R.13476), the Fed argues that imposing reserve requirements on all transaction-type balances at financial institutions is necessary for control of the money supply. However, in actual practice, the Federal Reserve does not operate on a reserve aggregate concept, such as total reserves or the monetary base, in spite of persistent recommendations to that effect over the past decade. So long as the Federal Reserve continues to focus on the daily and weekly average Federal Funds rate as an operating target in its efforts to influence the monetary aggregates, the Fed's arguments about the necessity for universal reserve requirements are without merit. If Federal Reserve officials believed their own explanations for past overshoots and shortfalls in the growth of money, or their own analyses about the prospects for money growth in the future, then they should be telling this Committee that the subject of reserve requirements is irrelevant to the way in which they conduct monetary policy. It is undeniable that all financial institutions will hold some reserve balances -- in the form of both vault cash and idle balances with other institutions for https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 437 clearing purposes -- even in the absence of legal minimums. I know of no evidence t~at legal reserve require- ments greater than the levels that would be held anyway are necessary for effective control of the money supply. However, it does not follow that the imposition of reserve requirements on transaction balances at some financial institutions, and not at others, does not affect the reliability of monetary control techniques. Previous studies have shown that under the present system, shifts in balances among different size classes of member commercial banks that are subject to different reserve requirement ratios contribute more to the variability between the money supply .and the monetary base than do shifts in balances between member and non-member institutions. Universal reserve requirements would con- tribute very little to the Federal Reserve's ability to control the money supply if reserve requirement ratios are not applied uniformly. If minimum idle balance or cash reserve levels at some institutions, such as large member commercial banks, are set above the amount the same institutions would hold in the absence of legal minimums and also above the ratios held by other institutions, then the precision of monetary control is affected. Any shift in balances from institu- tions with high legal reserve ratios to institutions with https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 438 low or zero legal reserve ratios releases reserves or high powered money into the banking system which have the potential for a multiple creation of money balances unless offset by open market draining operations. Con- versely, shifts in balances from financial institutions that have zero or low reserve requirements to institutions that have much higher reserve requirements absorb reserves and cause a contraction in the amount of money in the economy unless offset by the central bank. There are seasonal as well as cyclical patterns in the movements of various types of deposits that are different between large banks and small banks, urban banks and rural banks. Consequently, the precision with which the Federal Reserve could control the money supply by operating on total reserves, or the monetary base, depends upon the Fed's ability to forecast and offset the effects of shifts in balances between different types and sizes of financial institutions. That is the situation today, and it would continue to exist even under proposals to extend the tiered structure of reserve requirements to all financial institutions. I believe that if the objective in making proposals for a change from the present system is to enhance their ability to control the money supply, then the Federal Reserve should be arguing for a single, uniform reserve https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 439 ratio applied to all balances of the same type. In ad- dition, the Fed's operating procedures should be changed so that total reserves or the monetary base replaces the Federal Funds rate as a short-term operating target. Statutory reserve requirements, as proposed in the amendments to the Stanton bill, would be desirable if set at a sufficiently low level. I believe a larger amount. of transaction balances could be exempted from legal minimums, and I would suggest that something in the range of the first $20 to $30 million of transaction balances should be exempted initially. In these infla- tionary times, there also should be some provision for indexing that amount over time. However, as previously stated, a graduated scale of reserve requirements, as proposed in the amendment to the Stanton bill, would not be desirable. I would make two proposals in this regard. The first is that a uniform cash or idle balance reserve requirement of less than 10 percent be imposed on transaction balances at all institutions subject to the reserve requirements. Something on the order of only 6 to 8 percent may be adequate. Second, if there is felt to be justification for imposing higher reserve requirements on larger institutions, then the incremental reserves over and above the uniform base amount should be held in the form of U.S. Government securities. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis For example, the first $25 440 million of transaction balances at any institution would be exempt from any legal reserve requirement. From $25 million to $100 million in transaction balances would be subject to a 6 percent minimum reserve that is met by holdings of vault cash and balances at the Federal Reserve. Then for balances above $100 million, possibly on a graduated scale, 6 percent would be held as vault cash or balances at the Federal Reserve and the additional percentage would be met by the institution's holdings of government securities. At this point, I want to take up the subject of the payment of interest on reserve balances. In principle, I am opposed to any payment of interest by the Federal Reserve on reserve balances. Interest should not be paid on the vault cash held by member banks unless a general form of inflation indexation is adopted wherein all citizens have an opportunity to earn interest on their holdings of currency. In addition, as I stated at the outset, since the imposition of a reserve requirement is a form of taxation, then the payment of interest on reserves is nothing more than a tax rebate and I believe that it would be more desirable to lower the tax rate rather than to maintain high tax rates and grant rebates. Federal Reser,ve officials have argued that their authority to change the level of reserve requirements is necessary for monetary policy purposes. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis I agree with 441 the arguments and questions put forth in the July 27 statement by Chairman Reuss to the effect that there is no evidence to support such a contention. Consequently, I have no trouble supporting the proposal for statutory reserve requirement ratios. At this point I would like to state my position on a few more issues related to the subject of reserve requirements. No matter what the outcome of deliberations regarding the level, the uniformity, and the universality of reserve requirements on transaction balances, I do not see the necessity nor the desirability of any legal reserve minimum on time and savings balances at any institutions. Furthermore, U.S. Government balances at com- mercial banks, known as Treasury Tax and Loan accounts, are not part of the money supply and there is no reason to impose reserve requirements on them. Fluctuations in the Treasury's balances absorb and release reserves in a very erratic manner and influence the relationship between total bank reserves, or the monetary base, and the money supply. This serves no useful purpose. On another issue regarding the subject of reserve requirements, I do not believe that the present system of lagged reserve requirements is desirable. There is empirical evidence suggesting that such a system reduces the ability of the Federal Reserve to control the money supply, and I would urge a return to a system of coincident 32-972 0 • 78 • 29 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 442 reserve requirements. In addition, the proposal to stagger settlement dates within the week would be desirable. Turning to the subject of the discount rate, I support the amendment to the Stanton bill which would tie the discount rate to the average Treasury bill rate over the past two weeks. However, I would suggest that the discount rate be specified at a premium over the average Treasury bill rate in order to eliminate any subsidy at all during periods of rising interest rates. Specifi- cally, the discount rate should be pegged at one-half percentage point (50 basis points) above the average Treasury bill rate. Finally, on the subject of the pricing of Federal Reserve System services, I agree with the Stanton bill that the prices of Federal Reserve services should be set at competitive market levels. I think that it is necessary for the efficient allocation of resources that the Federal Reserve impute a cost of capital that is at least equal to the average interest rate on outstanding government debt, and that they also impute a corporate income tax rate in setting their prices. I also agree with Congressman St. Germain's concern about the range of Federal Reserve services that are provided, and I believe that competitive market pricing by the Federal Reserve would help to determine which services private institutions can provide at least cost and which ones https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 443 must carry a subsidy from Federal taxpayers. In general, I believe in the proposition that a government agency, such as the Federal Reserve System, should provide only those services that the private market system cannot or will not provide. In conclusion, I agree with much of the Federal Reserve System's analysis as it appears in Chairman Miller's statement, regarding the problems of maintaining the present system, but I do not agree with the Fed's prescriptions as to what to do about it. I hope that the outcome of these hearings will be legislation that makes it possible to more accurately measure and control the nation's money supply, and that the amount and form of reserve requirements which are imposed are only those which are necessary for effective formulation and implementation of monetary policy. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 444 Mr. MrrcHELL. Thank you very much for some very interesting recommendations. Mr. McCra,cken. STATEMENT OF PROF. PAUL W. McCRACKEN, EDMUND EZRA DAY UNIVERSITY PROFESSOR OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN Mr. McCRACKEN. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate this opportunity once again to appear before this committee. I am not going to read the statement which I submitted earlier. I am going to submit an amended version of that in view of the developments of the last several days. As I understand the items in the new bill which you outlined in your opening comments, I find myself generally quite sympathetic with it and if I were a member of this committee, I suspect I would vote for it. It seems to me the basic elements that have been proposed here constitute a substantial step in the right direction. Obviously the capacity to expand and improve our economic information system in this area is highly desirable. One of the impressive things we have seen historically is the magnitude of revisions which frequently are made and which leave us with the conclusion that not only are we not sure where monetary policy ought to go, but at the point at which decisions had to be made we weren't even sure where it had been. Anything that can be done to improve this would obviously be desirable. On the question of imposing lower and uniform reserve requirements on what Mr. Jordan has called reservable liabilities, that strikes me also as a significant step in the right direction. Thesl'I very wide ranges within which decisions can be made are rrobably more comfortable from the standpoint of the regulatory authorities, but, on the other hand, wide ranges for targets also tend to make for sloppy management of policies. · After all, if the target is big enough, it is not very easy to miss it, but it is not very significant either. I would like to expand a bit on a point which Mr. Schechter made at the end of his comments. Mr. Jordan also alluded to it in a slightly different connection. Having a half a percentage point up or down would not trouble me. I don't think it is a very significant thing. It is not, however, really directed at the kind of leeway which ought to be central to changes in reserve requirements. I do not see changes in reserve requirements as having any significance in the ongoing management of monetary policy. It is hard to conceive of any situation where open market operations could not handle what might be achieved by a half a percentage point one way or the other. On the other hand, Mr. Schechter did allude to potential situations where there would need to be some authority. Suppose you get major changes, which can occur rather suddenly. He alluded to the problems we faced in certain panic situations. I would point out also that in the thirties we had a problem the other way around. We had a situation there for a while where for every https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 445 dollar of required reserves member banks had more than $1 of excess reserves. I, of course, have had no opportunity to study the language of the new bill, so it may be there, but I should think the Federal Reserve ought to have the authority, perhaps for a limited period until the Con~ess could review the matter, to alter in a major way the reserve reqmrements. Suppose there were an international crisis and we had a massive inflow of funds from abroad, such as we had in the thirties, which produced the sloppy reserve situation at that time. That is the kind of a situation in which, it seems to me, authority to alter in a major way reserve requirements ought to be given. On the proposal to exclude the first $100 million of these reservable liabilities, in principle having some kind of lower limit exclusions strikes me as making sense. I have not examined this in detail. I would have no opinion on that specific issue. As I understand it-and once again this may be erroneous-that $100 million is to be indexed by the rise in nominal GNP, not the price levels. I think I would suggest to the committee that the escalator for this indexing be the price level and not nominal GNP. A part of the expan~ sion in the economy in nominal terms will be taken care of by an expansion in ,the deposit liabilities of existing institutions, but a part of it ought to be taken care of by the gradual growth in new institutions, as we have seen in the last 25 years. I should think the primary objective of this kind of an escalator ought to be particularly in this era of uncertainty about the price level, to make sure that that $100 million is kept intact in real terms and not, as it were, seeming to signify that each of the existing institutions ought to have a proportionate share of the growth in the economy. It is not a major point, but I think there is a logic there which would deserve some further consideration by the committee, The suggestion that all banks have access to the discount window certainly is a sensible provision in the bill. I also like the idea tha,t regulatory authority-and I assume exami" nation authority-would remain in, I suppose, the State banking authorities and the FDIC and so forth. I think this is important. Our kind of pluralistic system still contains a great many advantages. I don't believe in monopoly where we can avoid it, and I think there is some desirability in not having the central bank have a total monopoly of these matters. I realize that in a very early incarnation in my career I was at the Federal Reserve Bank in Minneapolis, and there I tended to see it the other way around, but now I am speaking as a citizen. Now, in conclusion, I would suggest to the committee that it keep on the agenda of unfinished business a further exploration of the proposal to extend reserve requirements to the transactions balances of all institutions; not just all commercial banks. I think the intramarket competition situation as between banks and other institutions and the inequities that have been involved there are substantial. That problem is substantially reduced by reducing reserve requirements, so the problem is becoming less urgent. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 446 However, if we look at the relationship between changes in economic activity and monetary changes, it is interesting to note that just in a purely statistical sense, it is changes in Ma which are most closely associated with changes in gross national product, not changes in M1 or M 2. In fact tJhey array themselves in reverse order-Ma, M2, M1. This suggests that if our quest here is to modify our current procedures in order to provide for more effective execution of monetary policy, it may well ·be that at some point we ought to consider extending reserve requirements not only to all commercial banks, but to financial institutions more broadly. On the question of paying interest on reserve balances, in general I would he sympathetic with that. I think rt makes sense. If we were to carry on with the very high reserve requirements we have had, I would consider it an urgent matter. If we move to much lower reserve requirements, then t1he issue also becomes less urgent. I do not see in principle the logic of imposing reserve requirements on certain institutions for monetary control purposes and not on the liabilities of other institutions when the statistical evidence suggests that those monetary liabilities are just as pertinent to the proper management of monetary policies as the reservable liabilities of the commercia,l banks themselves. I think you are coming up with a bill which will make the situation better. I would also suggest that tJhe committee consider that there is unfinished business here which requires further consideration at an appropriate time. Thank you very much. [Mr. McCracken's prepared statement follows:] PREPARED STATEMENT OF PAUL W. McCRACKEN, EDMUND EZRA DAY UNIVERSITY PROFESSOR OF BUSINESS ·ADMINISTRATION, UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN Mr. Chaimmn. I appreci:ate 1thli!s op·portunity to •apipear again before the House Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs-a committee before which I have appeared many times lboth as a g-overnment official ,and •as a private c'i't:izen. In his remarks before the House on July 14 the Chairman of this Committee descrii bed the matters 'before you this morning as "legis'llation to enhance the efficiency and competitiveness of our financial system and improve the conduct of mone-tary policy." He did nolt, I believe, over-state the 'importance of this legis'lation. There is needed work to do in these areas, and it is important th•at some legislative ,actJion be taken. There are, I believe, two reasons for the urgency orf action. For one thing the empirical evidence 1s increasingly persuasive that the 'IJasic path ifor moneta•ry expansion is also the path along which the economy will also move. During the last five years the simple ratio obtained by dividing GNP into the more lbroad1y defined money stock (Ms) two quarters earlier has averaged 64.9 percent. And for only one orf the 20 quarters during thiis period did this ratio faU outside a ,range of one percentage point on either side o'f ,this avemge. (The l'atio was 63.6 percent in t'he third quarter of 1975 when there was a problem of monetary dehydration.) As one emrmines the track record for the results of monetary policy, it is also clear rthat the technology of managing these policie'S needs 'improvement. These matlters have /been diiscussed /before your comml:ttee many times and require no 'further lbelalbol"ing here. It is •a fact, however, rtha,t mtes of monetary expansion have on occasion been erratic-with the result that a major instrument orf economic st!abiH~ation has itself been a source of economic instlalbility. While central bankers, in •spli.te of the awesome edifices within which most societies house them, are ordinary mol'tal·s •and 1ike the ,rest of us make their full quota of mistakes 1in judgment, the frequency with which they miss their own mrgets suggests tha;t ,there are some insti:tutional and structural problems needing attention. It i•s also pertinent 'to this legislation to note that the money stock whose 1 1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 447 changes, 1n the technical sta ttstical sense, best explain changes in GNP is Ma-not the more narrowly defined M, or even M,.' ,ve cannot ask the Federal Reserve to manage ,a more steady- expansion of this >broadly defined money supply and at the same time leave ,almost half of 'it outside the ambit of Federal Reserve management. Second, Mr. Reuss was correct in his concern about the efficiency of the financial system. In a sense all financial institutions are intermediaries by which flows of funds from savers are put to work in our economy. Inefficiencies in any industry are a legitimate matter of concern, of course, but in our financial system and its institutions inefficiencies and distortions can exert in subtle and pervasive ways a magnified effect in producing misallocations of resources. And the pricing system is the sophisticated communications network by which signals are given to use more of this or less of that. When the pricing system is immobilized or circumvented, and resources are allocated by decree or cajolery or sermon or regulation, the results are apt to be at best sub-optimal. That has been a clear lesson of history, and it is all at least as applicable to our financial system as to other segments of the economy. Let me turn now to the specifics of the proposed legislation. The Federal Reserve's proposal to extend reserve requirements to all transactions deposits deserves affirmative action, and I would support it. Differentiation of reserve requirements according to type of deposits rather than type of institution has always made sense to me. Such deposits as NOW accounts will certainly be merchandised as de facto checking accounts, and they ought to be subject to the reserve requirements pertinent to such deposits. Whether that deposit, which is de facto a checking account, is in the Chase Manhattan Bank or the Ann Arbor Credit Union makes no difference in terms of the appropriateness of imposing reserve requirements. The suggestion of exempting, say, the first $10 million or so of deposits from reserve requirements probably makes sense as an administrative convenience. It is not, of course, justified as a means of strengthening the competitive position of small banks. Indeed, customers are apt to have far more alternatives in financial markets served by large banks (and availability of alternatives is the operational meaning of competition) than in markets served by small banks-where a bank may be the only financial institution really available to customers. Narrowing the range of the reserve requirement percentages, within which regulatory discretion can be exercised, is a sensible move. If the range for reserves against demand deposits should be as wide as from 7 to 22 percent, or for other transactions balances from 3 to 12 percent, there is a real question as to whether there should be limits at all. The infrequency with which reserve requirements have in fact been changed historically suggests that these limits could be narrowed substantially. This tendency for agencies to lean toward wide ranges of discretionary authority is understandable, but it should be resisted. If the target is wide enough, it will certainly not be missed, but what hitting the target means is then consistent with widely varying outcomes. The present target of a 7% to 10 percent per year rate of growth for M1, for example, on a sustained basis would at the low end establish the basis for a 4 percent per year rate of inflation, and at the high end a price level rising at 6½-7 percent per year. A target to be meaningful should be one figure, with the common sense understanding that there will be moderate short-term variances arollnd that target. ,vide ranges for targets, in short, are apt to mean sloppy management of policies. It is, of course, well to keep in mind that historical discontinuities do occur, and the management of policy must have the capability to adapt to them. In the 1930's, for example, member bank reserves expanded so rapidly that for every dollar of required reserves member banks had more than a dollar of excess reserves. It might, for example, be prudent for the Federal Reserve to have the authority-with perhaps the affirmative vote of, say, five members and a report to the Congress on the findings leading to the action-to go outside the narrowed range of their normal reserve requirement for limited periods. 1 1 If changes in GNP in the current quarter are expressed as a function of changes in the money stock-Le., AGNP,=f(AM,~. AMt-2, AMt-3 )-the coefficient of determination using 1113 Is 0.63, substantially above the 0.56 for M2 or 0.36 for M1. This means that changes in Ma In thp three prior quarters explain In the statistical sense 63 percent of the changes in GNP. These results come from a study by my research assistant, Harry Wang. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 448 Naturally the proposal for more effective information and statistical systems is to be supported, and it is not a minor matter. Wide differences between preliminary and final data mean that at moments of decision we do not even know where we have been-let alone where we are going. The proposal to apply the pricing system to Federal Reserve operations and services is a particularly significant feature of this legislation. When an incremental or additional cost of an incremental use of resources is zero to the user. it should come as no surprise that the usage will then be high. Moreover, this then puts the institution offering "free" resources in the position of a monopolist, and monopolies whether the U.S. Government Printing Office, the Postal Service, or the Federal Reserve are apt to behave like monopolists-such as inadequate pressures to reduce costs, or resistance to innovation. Federal Reserve charges for such services as shipments of coin and currency, check-clearing, and security safe-keeping are, therefore, to be applauded. It is, of course, important that the charges be explicit, and that they reflect a full accounting of costs including profits. The necessity for earning profits on capital utilized is the discipline our economic system imposes on users of capital resources to force economic utilization. If other institutions find ways to perform these services for society more economically than the Federal Reserve, they should not be prevented from doing so by some kind of social subsidization of the central bank. Moreover, there will then be more possibility for innovationsomething in short supply now in the American economy. If applying the pricing system is an effective discipline for encouraging the economic use of resources, it should be fully applicable to those financial resources used as reserves on deposit at the Federal Reserve Banks. Others must, of course, speak to the legal aspects of this issue. If there is uncertainty about the scope of the Federal Reserve's present authority on this matter, it would seem desirable for the Congress itself to act. I would, in short, share the position of the Committee's Democratic Caucus in its resolution of June 26. On the substance of the proposal for the Federal Reserve to pay interest on reserve balances the decision to pay interest should be clean cut. If these bttlances are economic resources which the Federal Reserve needs to use, the Federal Reserve should pay the full economic cost, and a good proxy for that cost or price is the Treasury bill rate (though a case could actually be made that these are iong-term commitments and should carry a higher rate more pertinent to longterm obligations). The proposal to pay interest equal to some segment of Federal Reserve earnings, or equal to some percentage of total earnings, markedly weakens the case for any action here at all. It is no longer consistent with the logic of using the pricing system, since such limitations would be a form of price control. Moreover, the economic incentive to keeping reserve balances at the Federal Reserve Banks would be sharply reduced since owners of these bttlances would be paid uncertain returns with no necessary relationhip to market conditions. The incremental cost of adopting the clear-cut policy of paying market rates on these reserve balances, this additional cost being the major rationale for the awkward limits suggested for these payments, is probably over-stated. If the market works toward equilibrating rates of return on capital employed in different enterprises and industries, with due regard for differences in such factors as risks and rates of growth, the additional earnings on their reserve balances could be expected to be offset by lower earnings on other assets as financial markets become fully adjusted to the altered situation. The net increase in cost to the Treasury would thereby be correspondingly limited. Procedures to phase in these new arrangements gradually, of course, make sense. If the cost is there, however, it should in the interest of efficiency and also inter-institutional equity be made explicit. Users of economic resources, including Government, should pay the going price. If the resulting gain in economic efficiency were as much as 0.02 percent, there would be a net gain for the economy. In summary, these matters are important. Your Chairman is correct that the orderly conduct of monetary policy and the efficiency of our financial systems do warrant appropriate attention by the Congress. If these proposals deal with matters of that importance, and I believe that they do, then the Congress would be well advised to carry through fully on the logic of their premises. Mr. MITCHELL. Thank you very much, Mr. McCracken. Mr.Mayer. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 449 STATEMENT OF THOMAS MAYER, PROFESSOR OF ECONOMICS, UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT DAVIS Mr. MAYER. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I appreciate being allowed to testify on these important issues. The information requirement in the new bill strikes me as very good and useful and I would like to associate myself with Mr. Jordan's comment that it ought to be able to handle nonmember banks. The definition of reservablc liabilities to include overnight funds is also very desirable. The exemption for small banks from the reserve requirement and the imposition of the Fed reserve requirements on large nonmember banks seems to be a very good compromise between the Fed's fear of losing banks and the fear of other people that the Fed is engaged in trying to extend its power too much. The exemption of small banks does not create any serious problem. With regard to the level of the reserve requirement, there are several aspects to this. First, there is the reduction in the existing tax which now falls on banks and their customers, and it seems reasonable to cut this excise tax. With regard to controlling the money supply and monetary policy, a new reserve requirement may create some difficulty. The difficulty arises in the following way: If we think of banks as wanting to keep very low reserves for their own purposes, say 2 percent, then cutting the reserve requirement to 6 percent doesn't really create a problem. But there is now some evidence in an unpublished paper by Professor Kane of Ohio State University which suggests it may be the case that banks want to keep more reserves than that. He :feels that on the whole banks would want to keep approximately the reserve require• ments they have from the Fed on demand deposits, but want lower reserve requirements on time deposits. If this is due to pressure :from correspondent banks, it wouldn't create a problem. But suppose it is due to the fa·ct that banks, :for their own business purposes, want to keep, say 8-percent reserves and have a 6-percent re~ serve requirement. This is essentially the same thing as repealing the reserve requirement. This is a very major change. Insofar as banks want to keep a steady 8 percent for their own business purposes, there is again no problem, but it is possible that what banks want to keep as reserves would vary from time to time in a way difficult to predict, so that sometimes they may want to hold 6 percent, sometimes 10 per~ cent. That would then greatly complicate the task of the Federal Reserve. It could turn out to be a serious problem, particularly in the beginning when the Fed does not really know what reserves banks are ~oing to be keeping because they mav be keeping more than intended. Consequently, we should ask the FDIC to do a quick study of this, if necessary, only by making a :few phone calls to banks to find out what their own policy would be. Turning to the same reserve requirement for the demand deposits and time deposits, thi8 is in line with the tendency now to merge demand deposits and time deposits. Perhaps we should go :further, how- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 450 ever, and allow the payment of interest on demand deposits too. The market in any case will eventually bring this about. Having equal reserve requirements on time deposits and demand deposits probably makes M 2 more predictable thun it is now. One can't be sure of this, but probably it does. Again, the Fed could probably very quickly run a simulation on that. M 1 is probably made less predictable. As :far as the impact on the economy is concerned, it depends on the extent to which the public raises its expenditures by as much for a dollar of demand deposits as for a dollar of time deposits in its portfolio. In any case, the Federal Reserve is now planning to allow banks to transfer automatically from time deposits to demand deposits, which largely eliminates the distinction between the two. Professor Hart has submitted to the committee a memorandum where he points out what a major change this would be and the serious problems that it could create. One final aspect on the equal reserve requirement : If Professor Kane is right, and banks want to keep high reserves against demand deposits, but not ,against time deposits, they will be unhappy with having to keep 6 percent against both, which roughly doubles their reserve i:equirement on time deposits. Furthermore, if we are to have reserve requirements on time deposits in commercial banks, it is hard to justify not having reserve requirements for transaction accounts in nonbank institutions, things like NOW accounts, etc. These things are money much more than time deposits are. I would strongly urge the committee to consider including these things. If they are to be included eventually, this should surely be done now before various institutions get into the business of h aving NOW accounts, and then say later on, "Well, we started our activities in this area on the assumption that there would be no reserve requirements." That would probably be a problem. We have in this bill a solution to the problem of nonmember banh, at a time when the real problem for monetary control mav not be the absence of reserve requirements on nonmember hanks, butthe absence of reserve requirements. Federal Reserve requirements that is, on savings and loans and mutual savings banks, etc. Turning to reducing the discretion the Fed has to change the reserve requirement to half a point either way, that is a very good thing. The Fed does not need this power. It is a power to tax. The Treasury does not have the right to change taxes on its own. Why should the Federal Reservei I am sorry to see the automatic adjustment of the discount rate go out. It is not in the new bill. I presume that is done to leave the Federal Reserve flexibility, but actually the Fed does not have much flexibility with the discount rate in any case, because it is under great pressure not to raise it and if you can't raise it you also can't lower it. What may be a good compromise, therefore, is perhaps telling the Federal Reserve that it should keep the discount rate in line with, or somewhat above, open market rates, so that the Fed would still have some flexibility here and would be able to use the flexibility to raise the rates by saying, "We will have to raise the rate because the law https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 451 tells us to keep it in line with market rates and not to subsidize banks by a lower rate." Access to the discount window for all institutions seems highly desirable to me. Thank you. [Mr. Mayer's prepared statement follows:] STATEMEN'.I OF THOMAS MAYER, PROFESSOR OF ECONOMICS, UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT DAVIS The Committee is considering three sets of related proposals: a bill by CongreSSIIIlan Stanton, some proposals made by the Federal Reserve, and certain amendments to the Stanton bill introduced by Chairman Reuss. I welcome and appreciate the opportunity to be allowed to testify on these important issues. Congressman Stanton's bill consists of three parts: the payment of interest on member bank reserves, the pricing of Federal Reserve services, and the initiation of a Federal Reserve study on the feasibility of allowing banks to keep their reserves in the form of government securities. I will discuss Congressman Stanton's bill first, then the Federal Reserve's proposals to impose additional reporting requirements, and to turn over to the Treasury some funds out of its surplus, and to impose reserve requirements on transaction accounts, and then Chairman Reuss' proposals to eliminate the Federal Reserve's control over the discount rate and the reserve requirement. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES AS RESERVES The idea of having banks hold their reserves as government securities instead of Federal Reserve deposits and currency is interesting, but it might be useful to make it more specific. There is an immense difference between allowing banks to hold as reserves mainly regular government securities which they could buy on the open market, and allowing them to hold only special government securities issued specifically for this purpose. In the latter case, if banks could count as reserves, only these securities, and not deposits with the Federal Reserve and currency, monetary control might well be enhanced since it would immunize the reserve base against market factors that can now change it, such as fluctuations in currency in circulation, or in Treasury deposits with the Federal Reserve. But in the former case-if the security reserves are supposed to be the binding part of the reserve requirement-monetary control would be weakened since banks could then readily obtain any reserves they want by buying government securities on the open market. The Federal Reserve should therefore be told to not exclude from its study the use of special issues of government securities as reserves. THE PRICING OF FED SERVICES Another part of the Stanton bill would require the Fed to price its services to member banks explicitly. This is also one •of the Federal Reserve's proposals, Since there is also no reason why the Fed should have a monopoly in providing these services, pricing them separately from Fed membership is highly desirable since pri,ate firms can then enter the market, and try to offer these services at a lower price. 1 Of the two proposals I prefer the Stanton version to the Federal Reserve's. The latter does not have an explicit provision to include in the price of the services an allowance for the cost of the required capital and the taxes that a private firm would pay. Hence the Ifed could price its services lower than a private firm could, even if the private firm is more efficient. Another way in which the FE'd proposal, unlike the Stanton bill, would discourage the entry of private firms is that it leaves the Federal Reserve the flexibility "to alter charges or service policies in order to meet its responsibilities to maintain satisfactory, basic levels of services for the nation as a whole and to encourage innovations."• The possibility that the Fed would on this basis suddenly lower its service charges below cost could well discourage private firms from undertaking the investment that is required to enter this market. The Stanton hill is therefore much more likely to encourage competition in providing these services, and is preferable on this score. And if there is a real need for the Fed to lower its service/ charges below costs, legislation to permit this could always be passed. 1 Moreover, Beryl Sprinkel bas pointed out in bis testimony that if the Federal Reserve services nre. nt the margin. free to banks, hanks will use them excesAively. • Board of Governors, Federal Reserve System, Press Release, July 10, 1978, p. 5. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 452 INTEREST ON REQUIBED RESERVES But the most important part of the Stanton bill is the payment of interest on reserve balances. This is also provided for in the Fed's bill, and would be reduced below the level of the Fed's proposal by the Reuss amendment. As long as the reserve requirements are the same, and apply to the same set of institutions, the payment of interest on required reserves can have, at most, a trivial effect on the efficacy of monetary policy. Whether or not to pay interest on required reserves is an issue of fiscal policy rather than monetary policy. Requiring banks to hold reserves that do not pay interest is equivalent to forcing banks to make an interest-free loan to the government. This is brought out by considering what would happen if instead of facing a reserve requirement the banks would be required to hold Treasury securities that pay no interest. Clearly, apart from the fact that banks would then have to hold other reserves, both the banks' income and the Treasury's income would be the same as it is now when banks hold required reserves, but do not obtain a piece of paper, called a bond, in exchange for their reserves. Another way of seeing this is to consider what happens when a new bank deposits, say, $1 million as reserves with the Federal Reserve. The Fed uses these $1 million to buy a government security earning, say, $50,000 which then, at the end of the year, it turns over to the U.S. Treasury. Hence, the bank is, in effect, taxed $50,000. Since the reserve requirement is, in effect, an excise tax, it should be evaluated by the criteria that are used to judge excise taxes. One major criterion is the incidence of the tax. In the first instance the reserve requirement is a tax on banks, and initially bank stockholders would gain if this tax were removed. But most, though certainly not all, member banks operate in a more or less competitive market. Hence, in the long run competition would force banks to distribute these gains to their depositors, borrowers and employees. As far as depositors are concerned, some admittedly old (1962) data suggest that that part of the reserve requirement that is an implicit tax directly on household deposits is progressively distributed. On the other hand, since firms that borrow from banks presumably in large part pass forward in their prices the interest rate they have to pay, that part of the tax that banks pass on to their borrowers is probably distributed more or less proportional to disposable income or is only moderately progressive. All in all, the distributional effects of the implicit excise tax on bank deposits does not provide a persuasive argument for this tax, though in this respect it probably does not differ much from some of our other excise taxes. Like practically all taxes the implicit excise tax on bank customers has distorting effects on the way resources are allocated. Specifically, it lowers the de facto interest payments that banks make to their depositors by providing them with free services. As a result, depositors reduce the amount of deposits they hold, and hold currency and other liquid assets instead.• This is inefficient. For example, suppose that a bank, in the absence of the implicit tax on deposits, would pay the depositor, say, $50 interest, but that because of the tax it pays the depositor only $45. If the depositor gains, say, $48 in terms of convenience by holding currency rather than a deposit, he or she will not keep a deposit. But had the bank been able to pay the full $50, he or she would have opened the deposit and been better off by $2. Since there is some empirical evidence suggesting that deposit holdings are responsive to interest rates, the reserve requirement does, in this way, impose some welfare loss on the economy. And a similar argument applies to a potential borrower deciding whether to borrow from a member bank or some other institution, such as a nonmember bank or a savings and loan association. Moreover, large American banks compete with foreign banks, both in the United States and abroad, and the existence of a reserve requirement puts them at a comparative disadvantage vis-a-vis these competitors. Specifically, it provides an incentive to large depositors and borrowers to shift their transactions outside the United States into the Eurodollar market. The interest rate paid on Eurodollar deposits is higher than the interest rate paid on large domestic CD's, primarily because banks escape the reserve requirement on Eurodollar transactions. At the same time, U.S. branches of foreign banks can pay somewhat more on their CD's, • However, a reduction of one free service, free clearing of checks, may induce some depositors to hold larger deposits so that they avoid service charges. This results from the fact that previously they earned nothing on their marginal deposit because they old not have a sufficient volume of activity In their accounts to use up all the free services earned. But even In this case resource allocation Is distorted. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 453 or lend at a lower interest rate because they too escape the Federal Reserve requirement. And beyond these economic considerations there is another way in which the implicit ,tax imposed by the reserve requirement is a very bad tax. Taxes should be out in the open where people can see them. But it is he.rd to imagine a tax that is more hidden than the tax that results from the reserve requiremen,t. Thus, the standard considerations by which an excise tax is evaluated suggest that the Federal Reserve should pay interest on required reserves, rather than taxing banks and their customers in this way. And this is powerfully reinforced by ,the fact that the Federal Reserve System is losing mem'ber banks because of the 1burden of ·the reserve requirement. It may lose them •at a much more rapid rate in the future, both because the spread of items like NOW accounts may cause banks to try to protect their profits by leaving the System, and also 'because of a demonstmtion effect. One major advantage of Federal Reserve mem'bership is prestige because the large ·banks usually belong. But some relatively large banks have ,been leaving •the System in recent years, and this may indicate ,to other large banks that they can leave too without losing prestige. This sort of thing could. easily snowball. And if banks leave the Federal Reserve System this may affect the Fed's control over the money stock, and, of course, also the revenue the Treasury obtains from the implicit tax on banks. I will take both of these issues up later on. On the other hand, ,there are a number of factors that suggest that the implicit tax should perhaps be kept. One is that in the short run the ~kholders of member banks would receive a windfall gain if the implicit tax were removed. One could well argue that since ,they mostly bought their bank stock at a price that reflected the existence of this tax there is no reason why they should now be benefited by removing the tax. On the other hand, the price at which •they bought their stock should have reflected, at least to some extent, the possibility that at some future time interest will be paid on reserves. This might lead one to argue that there is nothing inequitable about stockholders succeeding in their galll'ble, and now receiving such a windfall gain. U is not clear to me which of these two arguments is the better. Second, as long as banks are prohibited from paying explicit interest on their demand deposits, and limited by Regulation Q on the interest they can pay on time deposits, competition among them is relatively inefiicienit. Suppose, for example, that the implicit ,tax is removed, and that banks now compete for deposits by offering more free services and gifts, more convenient 'bran~hes, etc. An efiicien:t bank would already previously have offered its customers all the "free" services and conveniences they are willing to pay for. If they are now driven by competition to offer even more free services these-services will be worth less to the depositors than their cost to the bank.• In other words, since banks cannot compete by price (interest on deposits) •some value gets lost if banks transfer to their customers some of the inicome they obtain from the Federal Reserve ,paying them interest on their reserves. However, this is much more of a problem with household deposits than with business deposits. Business fi-rms require many bank services, and, in addition, borrow frequently enO'llgh from banks so that banks can pay them implicit interest on their deposits by charging them a lower interest rate on ,their loans. The case for paying such interest would therefore be substantially strengthened if the regulations that prohibit banks from paying in•terest on demand deposits, and limit the interest they can pay on time deposits, were removed. Also, as far as households are concerned, the implicit excise tax on deposits is a,t least partly offi!et by another tax consideration. This is that the imputed inrome a household obtains by holding a deposit is not taxed." For example, consider a ·person who has a choice between obtaining $5 of interest income by opening a savings and loan deposit, or no explicit, and hence ,taxable, income but a lot of convenience by holding a demand deposit in a member bank instead. If ,this peJ.'ISon is in the 40 percent tax bracket, the $5 of interest income is worth only $3, and hence he or she mny hold ·the demand deposit instead, even if ,the added • This Is so because the utility someone receives from one additional unit of the bank's free service declines as he or sbe obtains more and more units of this service. On the other hand, the bank's cost of providing these services Is not likely to decline as It provides more of them. • The free services received by a firm are taxed Indirectly because they raise the firm's profits, and hence Its taxes. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 454 convenience of a demand deposit is worth only $4. The reserve requirement, by imposing a cost on the bank, and hence ultimately on the depositor, helps to offset some of this tax-induced lJias towards holding demand deposits, and causes depositors and nondepositors to be treated more equally. A more important consideration is, however, that if the imputed tax on bank customers is reduced or elimina,ted -some other tax will have to be raised, or some government expenditures cut, or else the deficit will increase. While, as discussed above, the imputed excise tax on bank customers is undesirable, both on grounds of equity and resource alloca.tion, the same is true of other ,taxes. Hence, to a large extent, the question of paying interest on required reserves should be decided by comparing the benefits of elimination or cutting this tax with the benefits of cutting some other tax or the loss from cutting government expenditures or raising the deficit. I will not even attempt to make such a comparison in the general case, but I would like to suggest that if, realistically, the only way a reserve requirement can be imposed on transactions balances in nonbanks and on deposits in nonmember banks, is to pay interest on reserves, then I believe such interest should be paid. The case for paying interest is also greatly strengthened if the prohibition of interest payments on demand deposits and the Regulation Q ceiling on time deposits are removed. If interest is to be paid on reserves, how high should the ra,te be? In part, the answer depends on how one evaluates the above arguments, for and against; paying any interest on reserves. But it also depends on two other considerations. One is the impact of the implicit tax rate on Trea·sury revenue. As the Federal Reserve has pointed out, the fact that this tax is causing banks to leave the Federal Reserve System means a continual reduction in Treasury revenue. And if the tax were lowered fewer 'banks would leave. Hence, there is some implicit tax rate that maximizes Treasury revenue, and it may be the case that by paying some interest on reserves Treasury revenue is 'actually enhanced in the long run. Unfortuna·tely, there is no way of determining empirically whether payment of some interest on reserves would raise long run Treasury revenue in actuality, and if so, what rate of intere·st would maximize it. But the possibility that paying some interest on reserves would ·be beneficial to the Treasury cannot be dismissed as unlikely. A related consideration is that the higher the rate of interest that is paid, the greater will be the proportion of total lJank deposits that remain subject to the Fed's reserve requirement. The extent to which this is desirable is discussed below. But again, no data exist that would allow one to estimate the impact of a, say 2 percent interest rate on reserves on the proportion of total bank deposits that are in the Federal Reserve's member banks. Second, equity suggests that banks be paid interest only to the extent that the legal reserve requirement actually imposes a cost on them. But a considerable proportion of the reserves that member banks hold are reserves that they would want to hold in any case. Estimates of this proportion vary substantially; while one study sets it at one third, another suggests that it is close to 100 percent for demand deposits, though not for time deposits.• But the Fed's reserve requirement imposes a burden on member banks even if it actually happens to be the case that member banks want to keep a reserve ratio as high as the one required by the Fed's regulations, because of the form in which the reserves have to be held. Most banks prefer to hold their reserves mainly as balances with their correspondent banks to obtain the free services correspondent banks provide as a quid pro quo. But since member banks must keep their reserves with the Federal Reserve, or as vault cash, they lose this potential benefit from holding reserves. The extent of the loss depends upon how useful these free services are to the banks; that is, the extent to which hanks can get around the prohibition of interest payments on demand deposits. Unfortunately, no data are available on this, and I do n0t know any estimates of even the order of magnitude. But presumably, at the margin, the free services that banks obtain from their city correspondent banks are worth at least slightly less to the bank than the prevailing rate of interest. Hence, even if it is decided to repeal the imputed tax on banks and bank customers entirely, the interest rate paid on required reserves should be at least somewhat less than the rate on Treasury bills or other high'ly liquid instruments. • For a discussion of some estimates see John Paulus. "Burden of Federal Reserve Memhership, NOW Accounts. and the Payment of Interest on Reserves." unnuhllsJwd paper, Boar<l of Governors. Federal Reserve System. See also EilwRril KRne. "'l'hi> Fe,leral Reserve's Membership Problem: A Study in Voluntary Association," unpublished manuscript. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 455 THE REPORTING REQUIREMENT The Federal Reserve proposes that all depository institutions be required to provide it with information on their deposits and reserves. Chairman Reuss vroposes an amendment that would have the Fed obtain this information through other regulatory agencies to reduce duplication. In either the Fed's or Chairman Reuss' version such a requirement is highly desirable. Given the importance that the money supply has for employment and prices it is almost scandalous that, as shown by the substantial subsequent revisions, our early estimates of the money supply are so inaccurate. While much of this inaccuracy is due to difficulties in seasonal adjustment and hence unavoidable, a significant part of the error is due to insufficient reporting by nonmember banks. And as transactions accounts in nonbank institutions continue to grow the infrequent reporting of nonbanks will become a more serious problem. Hence, despite the fact that many Federal reporting requirements are an undesirable and frequently unnecessary burden on business, I believe that the Federal Reserve should be given the power to obtain, either directly or indirectly, reports on deposits and reserves. In fact, I believe that the Federal Reserve's proposal does not go far enough, that apart from deposits and reserves the Fed should also have the right to obtain, perhaps through the FDIC, information on something else. This is Transaction in Immediately Available Funds.' In recent years banks have found a way of avoiding the prohibition of interest payments on the demand deposits of their large customers. One way they do this is that the bank and the customer have the following agreement: at the end of the business day the bank will take all the funds in the customer's account above an agreed-upon minimum, and invest them by having the customer automatically buy securities held by the bank, with the bank agreeing to buy these securities back the next morning.• By such repurchase agreements, the customer's deposit is wiped out overnight., but restored the next morning in time to meet any checks that come in. Thus, these funds, although invested overnight, still effectively function as part of the money supply. But when the banks report their deposits to the Federal Reserve, these funds that are invested overnight are excluded, since deposits subject to reserve requirements are defined as deposits at the close of the business day. No reliable estimates are available of the extent to which the money supply is thus understated. Estimates of Transactions in Immediately Available Funds vary from between .$24.6 billion to $36.5 billion as of June 1976.0 However, not all of these Transaction in Immediately Available Funds represent an understatement of the money supply since some are not just overnight funds, and some are invested before the close of the business day. Hence, the Federal Reserve should be given the right to obtain, either directly or indirectly, reports on the total volume of Transactions in Immediately Available Funds, their maturity distribution and on what time during the day they were undertaken. Since most banks do not have such transactions this reporting requirement would affect onl:t a relatively small number of banks. FEDERAL RESERVE PAYMENTS TO THE TREASURY The Federal Reserve has proposed turning over to the Treasury for the next three years a sum out of its surplus that would offset any net reduction due to its payment of interest on reserves. But this proposal is merely a bookkeeping adjustment that purports to benefit the Treasury. In effect, it is devoid of any significance. This is so, because to measure the government's impact on the economy we should consolidate the Treasury's and Federal Reserve's balance sheets. This becomes apparent when one considers the reason why we impose taxes at all, instead of financing all government expenditures by deficit spending. We use taxes to reduce the public's income, and hence its demand, thus releasing resources for the government's use. Now private demand is reduced whenever the public gives up income to either the Treasury or any other government agency, such as the Federal Reserve. But if the Federal Reserve makes a payment out • Professor Albert Hart, In the statement he submitted to this Committee, has suggesteo some other Items on which the Fed should collect data. • For a detailed discussion, see Glllian Garcia and Simon Pak, "Some Clues In the Case of the Missing Money," Finance Workshop Papei; 67, Graduate School of Business, University of California, Berkeley. • Ibid., pp. 11-12. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 456 of its capital or surplus to the Treasury nothing happens to private demand. Hence, while the government's budget document looks better because the deficit is smaller, the budget is actually just as inflationary as before since private incomes and demand are not reduced. Speciffcally, if the Fed pays as interest on reserves a dollar to member banks this will increase their expenditures and therefore be inflationary. And when the Fed then compensates the Treasury for the one dollar decline in its income by turning over a dollar out of its reserves nothing at all happens to ofl'set the inflationary impact of the banks receiving an extra dollar of income and spending most of it. To avoid giving a false appearance to the budget document the Federal Reserve should therefore be told not to turn over any of its surplus to the Treasury. BESEBVES ON TRANSAOTIONS ACCOUNTS Both the Federal Reserve bill and Chairman Reuss' amendments would impose reserve requirements on all transactions accounts. I believe that this is desirable. The purpose of the reserve requirement is to aid in controlling the quantity of money, and any deposit that can be readily transferred to a third party, is money regardless of whether it is called a demand deposit, a NOW account or whatever. Hence, there is a strong case for imposing reserve requirements in transactions accounts and nonmember bank deposits unless it can be shown that either (1) they are so small that they do not signficantly interfere with Federal Reserve control, (2) their inclusion in the reserve requirements system would make it harder to control the money stock, (3) they behave countercyclically, or ( 4) there should not be any reserve requirements on member bank deposits either. Let us look at each of these arguments in turn. There is considerable empirical evidence that the fact that nonmember banks do not have to meet the Fed's reserve requirements has not done any damage so far. 10 However, as nonmember bank deposits and transactions accounts in nonbanks grow relative to demand deposits in member banks this may no longer be the case. The imposition of a reserve requirement on nonmember banks and on institutions ofl'ering transactions accounts need not necessarily in all cases improve the Fed's control over the money stock, but it should improve the Fed's control over the money stock plus transactions balances, and this is likely to become the relevant total. 11 It is hard to predict whether in the absence of a reserve requirement the growth of transactions accounts in nonbanks will have a procyclical or countercyclical effect. If the public shifts deposits out of banks and into these institutions as interest rates rise during an expansion, this would have a procyclical effect ; while if the public shifts deposits out of these institutions lnto demand deposits this would have a countercyclical efl'ect. In this case the absence of a reserve requirement on transactions balances is desirable. This case could occur only if only households are allowed to hold transactions balances, or if the interest rate paid on transactions balances were subject to a ceiling, while there would be no equally binding ceiling on demand .deposit interest rates. On this general issue of the impact of reserve requirements on transactions balances on economic stability, I would like to refer the Committee to the material submitted by Professor Albert Hart. Professor Hart has also pointed out in the statement submitted to this Committee that the automatic transfer between time deposits and demand deposits which the Federal Reserve plans to permit in a few months is a step that could do a great deal of damage to the stability of the economy. H.R. 12706, by imposing demand deposit reserve requirements on these "savings deposits" would substantially reduce this danger. Hart also points out that monetary control will be greatly weakened by some recent changes in the way banks function, and he points out the need for a comprehensive examination of these changes. The fourth possible justification for not imposing reserve requirements on transactions accounts is that there should not be any reserve requirements on demand deposits either. One can try to justify this by arguing that even without a legal reserve requirement banks would keep a certain ratio of reserves against deposits. And as long as this ratio is stable and predictable it can operate as the fulcrum for open market operations just as well as a legal resel/Ve requirement 1 •For a review of the evidence, see George Benston. "Federal Reserve Membership: Consequences, Costs, Benefits and Alternatives,"' forthcoming. n Cf. J. A. Cacy, "Reserve Requirements and Monetary Control," Federal Reserve :Qank of Kansas City, MonthJ11 Review, May 1976, pp. 3-13. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 457 does, The crucial question is therefore whether the reserve ratio that banks and other depository institutions would keep in the absence of a legal requirement would be stable and predictable. Unfortunately, almost no information is available on this, but there is a presumption that a voluntary reserve ratio would be at least somewhat less stable than is the legally required one we have now.12 The upshot of all of this is that, while a system with no reserve requirements against transactions accounts and nonmember demand deposits may work well even if these items are a substantial component of the money stock, it would be unwise to expect that this will necessarily happen. There is a substantial risk that such a system would significantly increase fluctuations in output as well as the inflation rate. So far I have discussed the imposition of a legal reserve requirement only from the point of view of economic stability. But there is also another aspect. If member banks have to keep a certain reserve ratio, then both equity and considerations of efficient resource allocation suggest that their close competitors, nonmember banks and institutions offering transactions accounts, should have the same reserve requirement. However, this would put transactions balances at a disadvantage relative to near-monies, such as certificates of deposits. One possible solution is to pay interest on reserve balances, despite its costs to the Treasury. If the institutons are fully compensated for the cost of keeping required reserves then it is hard to see what the social cost of imposing a reserve requirement on their transactions balances would be. If a reserve requirement is imposed on transactions balances how high should it be? Stabilization policy suggests that the relative reserve requirements should be proportional to the relative effects that a dollar of demand deposits and a dollar of transactions deposits have on spending ; since the function of the reserve requirement is to control spending. Unfortunately, the relative effects on expenditures are hard to quantify. My own guess, but it is just a guess, is that a dollar of transactions balances raises expenditures by a bit less than a dollar of demand deposits does, so that transactions balances should have a somewhat lower reserve requirement than do demand deposits. Finally, it is worth noting that if a reserve requirement is to be imposed on transactions balances this should be done now before these balances become very large. Once they have expanded the depository institul!ions may reasonably object that they undertook a large investment in setting up such -accounts in the belief that they would not be subject to the implicit tax of a reserve requiremJent. THE DISCOUNT RA.TE One of Chairman Reuss' amendments would eliminate the Federal Reserve's authority to change the discount rate and would ilnstead peg it to the avera~ yield on Treasury bills auctioned on the primary market during the last two weeks. I like this propo!jal very much in principle, but would like to suggest modifying the details. Pegging the discount rate to an open market interest rate has been supported by many economists over the years. It has the great advantage of eliminating .the subsidy that member banks obtain by borrowing at a time when, as frequently happens, the discount rate is below the Federal funds rate. It would also eliminate the "announcement effect" of discount rate changes. At present, whenever the Fed raises the discount rate to bring it into the line with rising market rates this is, despite Federal Reserve disclaimers, widely interpreted as an attempt by the Fed to raise interest rates. To avoid criticism on thts score the Fed is often under pressure to let the discount rate remain for some time below the Federal funds rate. Although it can offset by open market sales, the impact on bank reserves of the resulting rise in borrowing the subsidy to borrowing banks is undesirable. Pegging the discount rate to the Federal funds rate would eliminate this problem, and is therefore desirable. The Federal Reserve's argument that discretion dn setting the discount rate is sometimes useful is probably correct, but it appears that there are more times when the discretionary discount rate is a source of trouble rather than a help. 12 However, while with no legal reserve requirement the reserve ratio actually held may be unstable 1t may stm be predictable, particularly If the Federal Reserve obtains, say, weekly reports on reserves and deposits. Nonmember banks In Illinois do not face a reserve requirement. If the proposed reporting requirement for nonmember banks becomes law, this should generate data from these banks that may allow us to determine whether a reserve requirement ls needed, or whether banks keep a stable reserve ratio on their own. 32-972 0 • 78 • 30 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 458 What interest rate should the discount rate be pegged to? Setting it equal to the Treasury bill rate at the last two bill auctions would create serious problems. One is that at a time when the Treasury bill rate is rising, banks could make a profit by borrowing from the Fed at the average of the last two weeks' rates, and hold bills at the higher current rate. And more generally, in recent times, the Treasury bill rate has been below the Federal funds rate at which banks lend reserves to each other. In 1977, the average yield on Treasury bills was 5.26 percent, while the average Federal funds rate was 5.54 percent, that is, 0.28 percent higher. For the first five months of 1978 the difference was 0.51 percent. Moreover, while some years ago the Treasury bill rate was a pivotal rate because banks would obtain additional reserves by selling Treasury bills this is no longer the case. Apparently, many banks no longer have a large volume of Treasury bills available for this, but are using their holdings of Treasury bills largely as collateral for governmental deposits. Hence, the discount rate should not be tied to the Treasury bill rate. A much better' pivot for the dis.count rate would be the Federal funds rate. However, the discount rate should not be set equal to the Federal funds rate. That would give banks an incentive to borrow from the Fed if the transaction cost of doing so is less than the transaction costs of buying Federal funds. As a result the Federal funds market may shrink. And there is no reason why the Fed should do what the private market in Federal funds already does. The discount rate should therefore be set at least somewhat above the Federal funds rate. Some years ago this would have worked a hardship on many small banks that did not have access to the Federal funds market. But this market has grown substantially, and now the great majority of all banks do have access to it, either directly, or through their correspondent banks. If the discount rate is set above the Federal funds rate only those banks that still do not have access to the Federal funds market would then borrow from the Fed· in normal times, but the discount mechanism would still be available for special situations and emergencics.13 (Admittedly, turning the discount rate into a penalty rate would reduce the attractions of Fed membership. Hence, this should be balanced either by paying some interest on reserves or by making the Fed reserve requirement lower, or else applying it also to nonmember banks.) Since the only reasoB for setting the discount rate higher than the Federal funds rate is to get banks to go first to the Federal funds market, the differential need not be large. One eighth of one percent should be sufficient for this purpose. and this should not be too much of a burden on any bank that does not have ready acc