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S e c r e t a r y ^ Notes on Meeting of the Federal Advisory Council of September 14, 1941 at 2 :1 0 P .M ., Room 3 5 6 , Mayflower Hotel, W ashington, D . C. A ll the regular members of the Federal Advisory Council were present except Mr. H a r r i s on whose place was teJcen by Mr. Leon F ra ser. M r . Brown reviewed the proceedings of the meeting of the Executive Committee of the Council which took place in Washington on August 15 and 1 6 , The salie n t facts were covcrod in a letter of the Secretary of the C ou n cil, dated August 20, 1941, of which a copy was sent to each member of the C ouncil. Brown believ es that i f the Council could get into the regu lations covering installm ent s e llin g a p ro visio n to the e ffe c t that a ll loans whether $ 1 ,0 0 0 or under should be permitted provided the loan is not s p e c if i c a l l y fo r the purpose o f purchasing lis t e d a r t ic l e s , regulations would be much improved. the It must be remembered in th is connection that the fin ance companies object to a purpose clause be cause they are a f r a id that the personal loan companies might obtain too much of the in stallm en t b u s in e s s . Brown suggests that the fo llo w in g three points be presented to the B o ard: 1. The Board o f Governors should proceed w ith caution; otherw ise, there might be a popular reactio n which would injure the whole F ederal Reserve System. 2. The whole Council reiterates the recommendation made by it s Executive Committee to exempt small personal loans from the p rovisions of the regulations except where such are s p e c ific a lly to be used to finance purchases of liste d a r t i c l e s . 3. Banks should not be expected to do too much of the p o lic in g to carry out the regulations for this imposes too heavy a burden upon tho banks. W a k e fie ld points out that in the past there has been great pressure on the banks, u rgin g them to take care of small people. the Adm inistration is attempting to r e s tr ic t this Now beneficial move and this may r e s u lt i n a bad r e a c tio n . Brown asked whether he may make a general statement to the Board in accordance w ith the three points lis te d above. D ic k m oved, and Hanes seconded the motion, that the pro cedure o utlined be adopted. The motion was adopted unanimously. The t h i r d and fourth items on the agenda were then discussed '’3 . Fin an cin g of the defense program and its various aspects, such as t a x a t io n , p r i o r it i e s , freezing of the price le v e l, lim it a t io n of instalm ent s e l l in g , etc* (Suggested by M r. Huntington) ”4 . D e s i r a b i l i t y of r e ite r a tin g danger of continued low in t e r e s t r a t e s . (See statement of Federal Reserve System dated December 3 1 , 1940) (Suggested by Mr. Huntington)” Brown r e fe rs to the statement of the System submitted to Congress and dated December 3 1 , 1 9 4 0 . Ho went on to say that at that -3- time Secretary Morgenthau did not wish any action to be taken until he had time to consider what the effect of the suggestions made might be on the future program o f fin ancing Government needs# The question now is whether the present Council approves this statement of December 31, 1940. Since the statement was made, nine months have elapsod, and there isn *t much p oint now in arguing about the whole program# It is obvious that a doubling of present legal reserve requirements is only desirable i f the other recommendations embodied i n the statement are carried out# It might be w e l l , however, i f the present reserve requirements were raised at once to the present legal lim its. Governor Szymczak made the statement in confidence that he believed the Board would agree to t h is , provided the Treasury approved of such action . Eccles, perhaps, doesnTt wish it done because u n t i l the Board gets further powers the raising of the reserve requirements to the present legal lim its would mean that the Board would have expended it s last cartridge and that, therefore, this action should be reserved for some very special emergency. W a k e fie ld does not b e lie v e i n increased power over reserves and doubts any way whether Congress would approve. Fraser suggests the Board should be asked whether it was in formed as to what the Secretary of the Treasury meant by "selective credit c o n tr o l” . -4 Brown states that Governor Ranscm told him that banks ought not to lend to customers fo r the purpose of enabling them to hoard commodities* Fraser suggests that after giving 30 or possibly 45 days* notice, the Board should raise reserve requirements to the present legal lim it as a contribution toward repression of in fla t io n . This might also have some slig h t e ffe c t on the present interest structure for it is most d e s ir a b le that interest rates rise not because banks would be b e n e fite d thereby, but because th is is desirable for our general economy. Fraser believes that the p ublic is quite prepared to accept an in c r e a s e . A fter co nsiderable d is c u s s io n , a request i t was decided to put such in the form o f a recommendation and that the Council ask the Board*s consent th a t it be given p u b lic ity at once. The motion, after being made by M r. Dick and seconded by EiT. Spencer, was unani mously adopted, and it was decided to ask M r. Fraser to prepare the recommendation. Brown asked whether the Council favors further increases in reserve requirem ents. Last December the Council fe lt that this should be done only as a part o f a general program and the Council obviously does not favor further rigorous increases of reserve requirements ex cept as a part o f a general program. Brown, h im self, however, would favor such an increase even though it were not part of a general pro gram. Wakefield would consent to an increase only as a part of a general program and is very reluctant to give such great powers to any governmental body. Fraser states that his view is the Council favors an increase only provided other things are done* Discussion of the fifth item on the agenda was dropped, ("5* What actions can be taken and policies pursued to protect banking against the debacle which must follow this era of excessive Government spending? (Suggested by Mr* Hanes)") There was some discussion as regards the sixth item, ("6* Consideration of the subject of member banks reporting net balances only in their published reports. (Suggested by Mr. Clay)” ) and it was decided to address an inquiry to the Board about it . Item number 7 would deal with the possibility of Federal land banks borrowing from the Federal Reserve Banks* It was decided to ask the Board what chances there are of the bills in question (H.R* 5346 and related bills) being adopted by Congress. It is obvious that the Federal Advisory Council would not wish the Federal Reserve System to make such loans vfhich would merely mean that the portfolio of the Federal Reserve System would be encumbered by illiquid long-term loans. ( u7. Discussion of H*R* 5346 - Farm Credit Act of 1941, (which is identical with H*R* 5336 and S. 1797) especially that part which refers to tho Federal Reserve System. (Suggested by Mr. Harding)'1) -6- "8 . Procedure that should be adopted to curb and, if p o s s ib le , d efeat the in flatio nary trend now apparent. (Sug gested by M r. D i c k )" Item 8 on the agenda is practically identical w ith items 4 and 5 on the agenda. The meeting adjourned at 5 :5 0 P .M ., and it was decided to have the Council reconvene on Monday at 1 0 :0 0 A .M . in the Board Room of the Federal Reserve B u ildin g and to meet w ith the Board of Governors at 1 0 :3 0 A.M. 7Secretary*s Notes on Meeting of the Federal Advisory Council of September 15, 1941 at 1 0 :0 0 A .M *, Board Room, Foderal Reserve B u ild in g , W ashington, D* C. A ll of the members o f the Council were p resent, except as be fore Mr* Fraser was in place of Mr. H a r r is o n , and Mr. Ryburn Clay was absent but had le ft word w ith the Secretary of the Council that he would return in the a ftern oo n . Brown made a statement in reference to a conversation which he had had w ith Governor Ransom. Ransom says that the Board desires to increase reserves to the present legal maximum but fe e ls it important to wait w ith such actio n u n t il an announcement can be made about other steps to be taken so that the public as w ell as the security markets might not be le ft i n a state of u n c e r ta in ty . Treasury is anxious to have reserves kept w it h in the present lim it fix e d by the Banking Act of 1935. Brown also to ld about a conversation w ith Leo Crowley. group of econom ists, of Governors, A in c lu d in g W o o d lief Thomas representing the Board advised a gain st any se lec tiv e credit co n tro l, but the group was told that what was wanted was not its opinion about selective credit c o n tro l, but the best methods to be used in case such a p o lic y is adopted. D r e ib e lb is b e liev es that the present legal limits of re serves could be changed by Executive Order under the emergency ju st as was done in connection w ith the order issued to regulate installm ent se llin g . It has been rumored that Senator Glass may write the President advising against such a step . Crowley believ es that it would be a -8- mistake for the Council "to urge an increase of reserves to present maximum for then subsequently the Board could point to the fact that its powers had been exhausted and the Board might therefore obtain greatly increased powers by Executive Order. Crowley doubts whether Congress would be w illin g to give the Board of Governors greater powers than it has at p resent. A recommendation, dealing w ith the subject of reserves, was presented by Mr. Fraser in accordance with the suggestions made in y e sterd ay rs m eeting, and with some unimportant changes, the recommenda tio n was unanimously adopted upon motion by Mr. Hanes, seconded by Mr. K urtz. This recommendation w il l be attached to the printed minutes and has been furnish ed to the members of the Council in mimeograph form. The meeting of the Council adjourned at 1 0 :3 0 A.M . Secretary’ s Notes on Meeting of the Federal Advisory Council of September 15, 1941 at 1 0 :4 0 A .M ., Board Room, Federal Reserve Building, Washington, D. C. The Council met w ith the Board of Governors, the following be ing presen t: M essrs. Ransom, Szymczak, Draper, M o r r ill, Carpenter, Thurston, D r e ib e lb is , Parry. Bethea, Thomas, Clayton, Smead, Wyatt, Paulger, A ll members o f the Council as before were present, except Mr. Clay. Ransom. Reviewed the s itu a tio n : In connection with regula tions about margins and in connection with consumer credit the method of selective c r e d it control has already been employed so that the idea is not an e n t ir e ly new one. The statement of December 31, 1940 had fa lle n on rather u n fe r t ile s o il but the Treasury now is much easier to approach, and there is a much greater s p irit o f cooperation between the Treasury and the Board of Governors. The Treasury feels that before going again to the market for a large scale operation, there should be a clear u nderstanding as to future steps, fe e lin g that i t and the Board has had the should not use any of its present powers u n til some of the other problems have been settled and i t has been decided how much additio n al power should be asked from Congress. Two plans have been suggested— the present ratio plan and a so-called c e il in g p la n . In other words, the problem is whether the authority to be asked should be of an over-all nature or of a rather selective t y p e . As a kin d of a sid e , Ransom mentioned that the present d iv is io n of banks into Central Reserve, Reserve, and Country Banks is - rather u n s c ie n t if i c . There has been consultation between s taffs of the Board and the Treasury, meetings# 10- and Ransom him self has sat in on most of these Ransom, h im s e lf, feels that the present regulations about installment s e llin g are incomplete u n t il they are extended to cover hous ing. At the present tim e, there is not any need of a cap ital issues committee. The Treasury, above a l l , to become exp en sive. does not w ish Government financing The Treasury and Board have given very intensive study to the s it u a t io n . Ransom b eliev es there is l i t t l e value i n coming out with the suggestion to r a is e reserve requirements to the present legal lim its u n t i l the whole problem has been examined. Brown states that the r a is in g of reserve requirements to present legal lim its can be done now w ithout any reference to other steps to be tak e n . He a g re es, however, that before the Treasury does major fin a n c in g , there ought to be a clear understanding as to what the future p o l i c ie s are l i k e l y to b e . Ransom, in answer to a question, is no need of pro-rating c r e d it . much c re d it a v a il a b l e . states that at present there As a matter of f a c t , there is too A number of agencies have considered the problem of cap ital i s s u e s , but i t has not gone beyond the study stage. There isn*t any question th a t there w i l l be e ith e r more ovor-all control or more selective c r e d it co n tro l, former. and he* h im s e lf, Ho does not belie v e that the (Ransom) favors the Board can at prosent in s is t on its program w ithout an understanding w ith other governmental agencies as to future steps contem plated. - 11- Wake f ield states he does not believe in selective credit control because it means in the fin a l analysis that seme Government agency or other in Washington w i l l control a ll instruments of credit, Kurtz asks whether prices should be allowed to spiral upward and the Federal Reserve Board not take at least that step which is w ithin its powers to exercise even though i t be admitted that that step may have a pretty slig h t in flu e n c e . He believes that the Board should not w ait u n t i l a l l future steps are decided upon. Ransom says that the statement of December 31, 1940 got off to a bad start because its premature p ublicatio n was forced upon the Board. There was no one r e a lly to blame for t h i s , but the fact is that the other agencies had not understood the fu ll implications of this statement. The r e s p o n s ib ilit y o f the Board of Governors is to do the best i t can . He be liev es that in it s talk w ith the Treasury, the Board has made progress and there is more Administration understanding as to why the Board wishes to raise reserve requirements and also an under standing as to why such a c tio n alone cannot do the job* Fraser supports K urtz. From what Ransom says it appears to him that nothing w i l l be done unless you can get a complete program, and that means that nothing w ill be done. He believes in doing what you can do, and r a is in g reserve requirements to the present legal limits is one of the things that can be done and should be done. Then, after th is is done or w h ile it is being done, e ffo r t should be made to obtain a more complete program. 12- Ransom. The question is ( l ) shall we use our present powers without clearing with the Administration; (2) shall we wait to raise reserves u n t il we know what the next steps are to be. He says there w ill be a d e fin it e dec isio n reached w ith in a week, and he hopes, there fo re, that the Council w i l l not publish its statement, but that he w ill be permitted to convey to the Secretary o f the Treasury the Council's views. I f the Council* s statement were published, it would raise many other questions which wculd be asked by the newspapers, and i f these questions were not answered by the Government, the newspapers would undertake to answer the questions themselves. Brown, speaking in respect to Regulation W, makes the state ments agreed upon yesterday— ( l ) that the regulation should be as simple and as l ib e r a l as possible and that the reactions already are bad* He refers to the proviso that there must be a minimum payment of $5 per month. This simply leads to cases where, for example, in the purchase of a radio where the monthly payment is not $ 5 , people are induced to buy other a r t ic le s in order that the monthly payment can be brought up to $5 a month. (2 ) The C ou n cil, as a whole, urges that the recommenda tio n made by it s Executive Committee be adopted, that provided a borrower make an a f f id a v it that a loan under $ 1 ,0 0 0 is not intended for the purchase of l is t e d a r tic le s that such a loan be exempted from the provisions of R egulation W. (3 ) The burden of policing thrown on banks should be held down to a minimum because otherwise a very heavy -13- expense is imposed upon the banks* Ransom states that the original purpose was to include a ll open book accounts and a ll cash loans. But fin a lly it was decided to omit open book accounts and to include cash loans only up to $ 1 ,0 0 0 . It was fe lt that the finance companies would not cooperate in carrying out the regulation i f small cash loans had been allowed, as these would furnish a wide open door to evade the regulation. O r ig in a lly , the plan was to lim it the regulation purely to the purchase of lis t e d a r t ic l e s , but it was found too d iffic u lt to draw up a purpose c la u s e . in Regulation W . Ransom admits that there is p o litic a l dynamite For one t h in g , it creates discriminatory tendencies. The great problem i s to make people understand the reasonableness of the p rovisions o f the r e g u latio n . Farm C r e d it . H .R . 5 3 4 6 . serious the b i l l The Council, interested in how is to be taken and feels that the credit of Federal Reserve Banks should not be made available to such in stitu tio n s. Wyatt stated that there i s n ft any a c t iv it y and that the b ills in question are merely sleeping in committee, and there i s n 't any reason to anticipate new le g is la t iv e actio n at th is tim e. Tho meeting adjournod at 1 :1 0 P .M . -14- Seoretary’ s Notes on Meeting of the Federal Advisory Council of September 15, 1941 at 1 :1 5 P .M ., Board Room, Federal Reserve Building, Washington, D. C* The Council met alone- All members present, excepting Mr. Clay and Mr. Fraser in place of Mr. Harrison. Brown. In view o f Ransom’ s statements, what does the Council with to do? 1. Does i t w ish to withdraw its recommendation entirely? 2. Does it wish to in s is t on publication? It was decided to present the recommendation but not to in sist on its p u b lica tio n at this tim e, though it might be published after the Treasury and the Board had made public a statement of their agreement i f one is reached. The meeting adjourned at 1 :2 0 P .M . -15- Secretary1s Notes on Meeting of the Federal Advisory Council of September 15, 1941 at 2 :2 0 P .M ., Board Room, Federal Reserve Building, Washington, D. C. The recommendation on reserves as prepared by Mr. Fraser was formally adopted upon motion of Mr. Hanes, seconded by Mr. Kurtz. At 2 :3 0 P .M . Mr. W oodlief Thomas joined the Council to present a survey of business c o n dition s. Production index is lik e ly to be 167 by the end of the year. Automobiles, tailed . s ilk and a number of other articles are or w ill be cur Not much future rise in te x t ile s expected. In many lin e s , production has probably reached the limit of capacity. People are be ginning to co llect inventories and in many instances needs are covered far in advance of immediate requirements. At times this has been done at the request of the Army or Navy Departments. highest record for th is season of the year. R etail trade is at Usually Thanksgiving week marks the maximum of r e t a il sale s, but in this year the last week in August was above "tho Thanksgiving week of last year. Building is s t ill very h igh, but the FHA figures give some in dicatio n that building is beginning to slow up, h esitan t. and unquestionably contractors are becoming W hile there are declines in some lin o s, these declines arc probably not as great as increases in other lin e s . Prices in 1940 showed l i t t l e change, but since February 1941, there has been a sharp rise in the price of basic commodities. Cost o f living is also steadily going up and is now 10 per cent higher than the pre-war index. prices have boon steady, w hile farm pricos continue to r is e . Metal The whole -16- sale price index is approaching the level of 1929. Wage rates are up about 10 per c ent, but as most of th is increaso in wages is in industries which have had a sharp growth, not profits so far have not been very much affected by the increase in wages. Average total of weekly earn ings are up much more than the mere increaso in rates. At present there are perhaps four and one h a l f m illion unemployed, not counting one and one h a l f m illio n on WPA. h a lf m illio n from before the w ar. year. This is a drop of about three and one Corporate profits are up over last Perhaps for the f ir s t h a lf year, up 20 per cent, but the second h a lf year w i l l not show the same increase over the second h alf of 1940, as the second h a l f o f 1940 was already showing very large earnings. Bank credit is at an all-time high, and there is more velocity than before in the turnover of bank d e p o sits. r e la t iv e ly l i t t l e a c t i v it y . The stock market shows Authorized appropriations for immediate expenditures amount to about $ 6 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 . (M r. Clay returned to the meeting at 2 :5 5 P .M .) Defense expenditures next year may actu ally go to $ 2 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 . The amount a v a ila b le for c i v i l i a n expenditures w il l be 10 per cent higher than in 1 9 4 0 . 30 per c en t, National income is l ik e l y to bring an increase of about but the amount of goods to be bought w i l l not show as much of an increase as t h a t . T axes: The d e fic it for the current fiscal year w i l l probably be about $ 8 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 as against $ 6 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 last year. D e f ic it is not l ik e l y to increase very much. $ 1 2 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 to be taken care o f, There w il l be about of which about $ 5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 w ill -17- be raised by the sale of anticipation tax warrants, defense bonds, e t c ., leaving about $ 7 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 of securities to be sold in the open market. Last year the Government sold about $ 4 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 in the open market, bought almost en tirely by commercial banks, savings banks and insurance companies. So far this year, banks have bought very lit t l e , and the Treasury has replenished its funds mainly by sales outside of the banks. At 3 :2 0 P .M . W o od lief Thomas was through, and the meeting adjourned. -18- Secretary* s Notes on Mooting of tho Federal Advisory Council of September 15, 1941 at 3 :2 0 P .M ., Board Room, Federal Reserve Building, Washington, D . C. At 3 :2 0 P.M.,, a jo in t meeting with the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System was h eld. All members of the Council, cluding M essrs. Fraser and Clay, were present. following were p rese n t: M o rrill, Bethea, Clayton, in Of the Board the M essrs. Ransom, Draper, Szymczak, Carpenter, Smoad, Thomas, and Paulger. The Secretary of the Council read the recommendation dealing with the d e s i r a b i l i t y of increasing reserve requirements immediately to the maximum lim its authorized by the Banking Act of 1935. Brown stated that in view of what had been said in the morn ing, the Council withdrew it s request for immediate publication. Brown took up w ith the Board the d e s ir a b ilit y of having member banks report only not balances in th eir published reports which would mean taking out reciprocal balances. He stated the Council was not making a recommendation, but it might be desirable i f the Comptrol ler of the Currency and the state banking authorities were to sec to it that the only figu res published we re those of the net balances. The meeting adjourned at 3 :3 0 P.M . MINUTES OF MEETING of the FEDERAL ADVISORY COUNCIL September 14-15, 1941 M INUTES OF M EETIN G OF THE FEDERAL ADVISORY COUNCIL September 14, 1941 The third statutory meeting of the Federal Advisory Council for 1941 was convened in Room 336 of the Mayflower Hotel, Washington, D. C., on Sunday, September 14,1941, at 2:10 P. M ., the President, Mr. Brown, in the chair. Present: Mr. Charles E. Spencer, Jr. Mr. Leon Fraser (Alternate for Mr. George L. Harrison) Mr. William Fulton Kurtz Mr. B. G. Huntington Mr. Robert M. Hanes Mr. Ryburn G. Clay Mr. Edward E. Brown Mr. S. E. Ragland Mr. Lyman E. Wakefield Mr. W. Dale Clark Mr. R. Ellison Harding Mr. Paul S. Dick Mr. Walter Lichtenstein District No. 1 District No. 2 District No. 3 District No. 4 District No. 5 District No. 6 District No. 7 District No. 8 District No. 9 District No. 10 District No. 11 District No. 12 Secretary On motion, duly made and seconded, the minutes of the Council meeting of May 18-19, 1941, copies of which had been previously sent to the members, were approved. The President reviewed the proceedings of the meeting of the Executive Committee of the Council which took place in Washington, on August 15 and 16, at which the proposed regulation (W) dealing with consumers’ credit was considered. The salient facts of the meeting were presented in a letter of the Secretary of the Council dated August 20,1941, a copy of which was sent to each member of the Council. The President suggested that the following three points in respect to Regulation W be presented to the Board at the joint meeting: 1. The Board of Governors should proceed v/ith caution; otherwise, there might be a popular reaction which would injure the whole Federal Reserve System. 2. The whole Council reiterates the recommendation made by its Executive Committee to exempt small personal loans from the provisions of the regulations, except where such are specifically to be used to finance purchases of listed articles. 3. Banks should not be expected to do too much of the policing to carry out the regulation for this imposes too heavy a burden upon the banks. On motion of Mr. Dick, seconded by Mr. Hanes, it was unanimously voted that the procedure outlined by the President be followed. A discussion took place regarding the statement dated December 31, 1940, submitted to the Congress by the Federal Reserve System, and what might be done to carry out some of its provisions. It was recognized that under existing conditions it presumably would not be possible to carry out all the provisions embodied in that program; but it was felt that the Board at least might raise reserve requirements to the present legal limits. On motion made by Mr. Dick, and seconded by Mr. Spencer, it was voted that the Council present to the Board of Governors a recommendation urging that after giving 1 30 or possibly 45 days’ notice, reserve requirements should be increased to the maximum allowed under the Banking Act of 1935. It was, furthermore, decided that the Council ask the Board’s agreement to the end that such a recommendation be given immediate publicity. Mr. Clay asked that consideration be given to a recommendation that, in their published reports, member banks report only net balances, i.e., offset against each other reciprocal balances carried by banks. It was decided to discuss this matter with the Board of Governors at the joint meeting. A discussion took place in respect to H. R. 5346 and related bills, now pending in Congress, which would make it possible for Federal Land banks to borrow from Federal Reserve banks. It was decided to address an inquiry to the Board whether there was any likelihood, in the immediate future, that these bills would be enacted into law. The meeting adjourned at 5:50 P.M. WALTER LICHTENSTEIN, Secretary 2 M IN U T E S OF M E E T IN G OF TH E FED ERA L A D V IS O R Y C O U N C IL September 15, 1941 At 10:00 A. M., the Federal Advisory Council reconvened in the Board Room of the Federal Reserve Building, Washington, D. C., the President, Mr. Brown, in the chair. Present: Mr. Edward E. Brown, President; Messrs. Charles E. Spencer, Jr., Leon Fraser, William Fulton Kurtz, B. G. Huntington, Robert M. Hanes, S. E. Ragland, Lyman E. Wakefield, W. Dale Clark, R. Ellison Harding, Paul S. Dick, and Walter Lichtenstein, Secretary. The Secretary stated that Mr. Ryburn G. Clay had left word that he would return in the afternoon. The President of the Council reported conversations he had had with Messrs. Ramsom and Crowley, dealing with the problem of reserve requirements and “selective credit control.” Mr. Fraser presented a recommendation on the subject of reserve requirements, which, on motion made by Mr. Hanes and seconded by Mr. Kurtz, was unanimously adopted. This is Recommendation No. 1 and is attached to and made a part of these Minutes. The meeting adjourned at 10:30 A. M. WALTER LICHTENSTEIN, Secretary M I N U T E S O F J O I N T C O N F E R E N C E O F T H E F E D E R A L A D V IS O R Y C O U N C IL AND TH E BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF TH E FED ERA L R E SER V E SY STEM September 15, 1941 At 10:40 A. M., a joint conference of the Federal Advisory Council and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System was held in the Board Room of the Federal Reserve Building, Washington, D. C. Present: Members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System: Vice Chairman, Ronald Ransom; Governors M. S. Szymczak and Ernest G. Draper; also Messrs. Lawrence Clayton, Assistant to the Chairman; Elliott Thurston, Special Assistant to the Chairman; Chester Morrill, Secretary of the Board of Governors; Liston P. Bethea and S. R. Carpenter, Assistant Secretaries of the Board of Governors; Walter Wyatt, General Counsel; J. P. Dreibelbis, Assistant General Counsel; Woodlief Thomas, Assistant Director, Division of Research and Statistics; Leo H. Paulger, Chief, Division of Examinations; Edward L. Smead, Chief, Division of Bank Operations; and Carl E. Parry, Chief, Division of Security Loans. Present: Members of the Federal Advisory Council: Mr. Edward E. Brown, President; Messrs. Charles E. Spencer, Jr., Leon Fraser, William Fulton Kurtz, B. G. Huntington, Robert M. Hanes, S. E. Ragland, Lyman E. Wakefield, W. Dale Clark, R. Ellison Harding, Paul S. Dick, and Walter Lichtenstein, Secretary. Vice Chairman Ransom reviewed the situation in connection with consumers’ credit, and he also spoke of developments in reference to the statement of December 31, 1940, made to the Congress, and he told the Council of negotiations with the Treasury regarding “selective credit control.” A lengthy discussion took place in respect to the various matters raised by Vice Chairman Ransom's statement. The President of the Council presented the views of the Council as outlined in yester day’s meeting. In answer to an inquiry, Mr. Wyatt, General Counsel of the Board of Governors, stated that there did not appear to be any likelihood that the Farm Credit bills (H. R. 5346 and related bills) would be enacted into law at this session of Congress. The meeting adjourned at 1:10 P. M. WALTER LICHTENSTEIN, Secretary 4 M IN U T E S OF M E E T IN G OF TH E FED ER A L A D V IS O R Y C O U N C IL September 15, 1941 At 1:15 P. M., the Federal Advisory Council reconvened in the Board Room of the Federal Reserve Building, Washington, D. C., the President, Mr. Brown, in the chair. Present: Mr. Edward E. Brown, President; Messrs. Charles E. Spencer, Jr., Leon Fraser, William Fulton Kurtz, B. G. Huntington, Robert M. Hanes, S. E. Ragland, Lyman E. Wakefield, W. Dale Clark, R. Ellison Harding, Paul S. Dick, and Walter Lichtenstein, Secretary. The President of the Council asked: 1. Does the Council wish to withdraw the recommendation respecting reserve requirements? 2. Does the Council wish to insist on the publication of the recommendation? It was decided to present the recommendation but not to insist on its publication at this time. The meeting adjourned at 1:20 P. M. WALTER LICHTENSTEIN, Secretary 5 M IN U T E S OF M E E T IN G OF TH E FED ERA L A D V IS O R Y C O U N C IL September 15, 1941 At 2:20 P. M., the Federal Advisory Council reconvened in the Board Room of the Federal Reserve Building, Washington, D. C., the President, Mr. Brown, in the chair. Present: Mr. Edward E. Brown, President; Messrs. Charles E. Spencer, Jr., Leon Fraser, William Fulton Kurtz, B. G. Huntington, Robert M. Hanes, S. E. Ragland, Lyman E. Wakefield, W. Dale Clark, R. Ellison Harding, Paul S. Dick, and Walter Lichtenstein, Secretary. The recommendation as to reserves, prepared by Mr. Fraser, was reread and adopted formally upon motion of Mr. Hanes, seconded by Mr. Kurtz. The recommendation is attached to and made a part of these Minutes. At 2:30 P. M., Mr. Woodlief Thomas, Assistant Director, Division of Research and Statistics, joined the Council and presented a survey of business conditions. Mr. Ryburn G. Clay joined the meeting at 2:55 P. M. Mr. Woodlief Thomas finished his discussion at 3:20 P. M. and the meeting adjourned. WALTER LICHTENSTEIN, Secretary 6 M IN U T E S OF AND BO ARD TH E JO IN T C O N FEREN CE OF FED ERA L OF GO VERNO RS OF TH E A D V IS O R Y FED ERA L C O U N C IL R E SER V E SY STEM September 15, 1941 At 3:20 P. M., a joint conference of the Federal Advisory Council and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System was held in the Board Room of the Federal Reserve Building, Washington, D. C. Present: Members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System: Vice Chairman, Ronald Ransom; Governors M. S. Szymczak and Ernest G. Draper; also Messrs. Lawrence Clayton, Assistant to the Chairman; Chester Morrill, Secretary of the Board of Governors; Liston P. Bethea and S. R. Carpenter, Assistant Secretaries of the Board of Governors; Woodlief Thomas, Assistant Director, Division of Research and Statistics; Leo H. Paulger, Chief, Division of Examinations; Edward L. Smead, Chief, Division of Bank Operations. Present: Members of the Federal Advisory Council: Mr. Edward E. Brown, President; Messrs. Charles E. Spencer, Jr., Leon Fraser, William Fulton Kurtz, B. G. Huntington, Robert M. Hanes, Ryburn G. Clay, S. E. Ragland, Lyman E. Wakefield, W. Dale Clark, R. Ellison Harding, Paul S. Dick, and Walter Lichtenstein, Secretary. The Secretary of the Council read the recommendation dealing with the desirability of increasing reserve requirements immediately to the maximum limits authorized by the Banking Act of 1935. This recommendation is attached to and made a part of these Minutes. The President of the Council stated that in view of the discussion in the morning, the Council withdraws its request for immediate publication of the recommendation. The President of the Council presented to the Board of Governors informally the suggestion to have member banks report only net balances in their published reports, thus offsetting against each other so called reciprocal balances. The meeting adjourned at 3:30 P. M. WALTER LICHTENSTEIN, Secretary 7 R E C O M M E N D A T IO N BO ARD OF OF TH E GO VERNO RS FED ER A L OF TH E A D V IS O R Y FED ERA L C O U N C IL R ESER V E TO THE SY STEM TOPIC No. 1. Reserve Requirements. RECOMMENDATION: The Federal Advisory Council has frequently drawn the attention of the Board of Governors to the many elements in our monetary and credit system that are of an inflationary character and has recommended action to eliminate or to control them. Most of these defects require legislation for correction; and a com posite program looking to that end was contained in the special report by the System to the Congress dated December 31, 1940. In the meanwhile inflationary tendencies have manifested themselves with steadily growing and disturbing rapidity. Concerned by this development the Federal Advisory Council, therefore, unanimously recommends to the Board of Governors that it immediately raise the reserve requirements for the three classifications of banks to the maximum limits authorized by the Banking Act of 1935, such increases to become effective upon 30 days’ notice to the banks affected. September 15, 1941 1 OFFICERS members jDVVARD E. B R O W N . P r e s i d e n t 19 4 1 *EOR®E L H A R R I S O N . V I C E - P R E S I D E N T Wa l t e r l ic h te n s t e in . se cre tary EXECUTIVE C O M M I T T E E |0WARD E. B R O W N 0EORGE L. H A R R I S O N WILLIAM F U L T O N K U R T Z F E D E R A L A D V IS O R Y C O U N C I L O F FIC E O F THE SECRETARY 3 8 S. D earborn S tr eet |.(S. H U N T I N G T O N ROBERT M. H A N E S | E. R A G L A N D C H A R L E S E. S P E N C E R , J R . , D I S T R I C T N o 1 G E O R G E L. H A R R I S O N , D I S T R I C T NO. 2 W I L L I A M F U L T O N K U R T Z . D I S T R I C T No. 3 B . G . H U N T I N G T O N . D I S T R I C T NO. 4 R O B E R T M. H A N E S , D i s t r i c t N o . 5 R Y B U R N G. C L A Y , D i s t r i c t n o . 6 E D W A R D E. B R O W N . D i s t r i c t N o . 7 S E. R A G L A N D . D i s t r i c t N o . 8 L Y M A N E. W A K E F I E L D , D I S T R I C T N o . 9 W . D A L E C L A R K , D I S T R I C T NO. 10 R. E L L I S O N H A R D I N G . D i s t r i c t N o . 11 P A U L S . D I C K . D i s t r i c t N o . 12 C H IC A G O , ILLINOIS August 20, 1941 Dear Mr. Last week the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System notified Mr* Brorai that it would be glad to have representatives of tho Federal Advisory Council attend a meeting to be held in the Board Hoorn of the Federal Reserve Building on August 15, called for the purpose of considering a draft of proposed regulation of installment credit, ishich the Board had been authorized to formulate and promulgate under an Execu tive Order, dated August 9> 1941* Mir* Brown, thereupon, requested the members of the Executive Committee of the Council, as well as the secretary of the Council, to be present at the aforesaid meeting in Washington at 9:00 o*clock on the morning of August 15# 1941* All six members of the Executive Committee, as '.veil as the secretary of the Council, were present at this meeting, which was attended fcy Chairman Eccles, Vice Chairman Ransom and Governors Ssymczak and Draper; also various members of the staff of the Board of Governors and about seventy-five representatives of finance companies, trade organisations, Sfcrris Plan banks, research institutions, etc* The meeting was opened by Chairman Eccles, who made a brief introductory statement and thereupon ■withdrew* Throughout, the neeting was presided over bp Vice h&xrsjan ransom* The meeting in the morning lasted from 9:10 &*?,!• to 12:50 P.?!* The meeting reconvened in the afternoon at 2:10 and lasted until : . I tool: detailed aoies of the proceedings, but I have been informed by Hr, Chester Morrill, secretary of the Board of Governors, that a complete stenographic transcript of the proceedings would be furnished in due course of time to the members of the Federal Advisory Council, and it is , therefore, not my indention to undertake at this time to transcribe my notes, which are very volumi^r?? • It suffices to say that on the whole there was very little objection raised to most of the provisions embodied in the draft of the regulation* There was considerable discussion as to the effective date of the regulation, the Board of Governors rather favoring September 1, while apparently most of those in attendance preferred September 15# Mr. Morrill informs me that he is sup plying each member of the Council who was not present at the neeting on 4 30 August 20, 19 ^ 1 August 15 witn ci copy o f tiic ten tative db?s '+ r»f* and is also fu r n is h in g each aember o f the jjxecutive Order o f August 9 . re« “l*t io n , wit!l & copy of the A fte r tiie general meeting „+ , August 1 5 , the E xecutive Committee o f the Co’m c il < *v ‘ ?!* 00 of the Federal Reserve B u ild in g from 4,40 to 6«flo UbrM 7 to propose to the Board o f Governors an addition +k 7818 70163 lation to pro v ide f o r c e r t a in exceptions to be aa-*e ^ t h T ^ 08®5 r,egu“ small personal l o a n s . V ic e Chairman Hansom had <•t. t S * ° 01 that any suggestions to he aado Should be submitted £ accordance m t h th is request tho Executive Comaitteo d r S t e T f ^ J L aendation w h i c h ^ i l l be found embodied in the lo tted S C I t w s also a ec iued to draxt a co vering le tter to be c a S S d t h T * follos&ng day* . The ^sobers 01 tho Executive Co:snittee and the secretary met on August 16 in room S54.of the Mayflower Hotel froa 9.30 to 10:45 A*M*, and it was unanimously voted to address the following letter to Governor Hansom: BThe Board h as requested suggestions in writing as to changes i n th e te n tativ e d r a ft of regulation on" installm ent c r e d it w hich mis disc u sse d at the meeting yesterday* The E xe c u tiv e Committee o f the Federal Ad v is o ry C ou n c il w hich attended that meeting with great in t e r e s t , r e a l i z e s , as you stated at the meeting, i t would be in a p p ro p riate to d is c u ss now eith er the Execu tiv e O rder i t s e l f or to debate the n ecessity at this time o f i s s u i n g a r e g u la t io n thereunder. *We do b e l i e v e , however, that in the interest of good a d m in is tr a tio n and o f favorable understanding and reception o f the r e g u la t io n , i t should, i n i t i a l l y at l e a s t , bo made a s simple as p o s s ib le , enlarging i t l a t e r , ??iien n e c e ss a ry , r a th e r than to have i t too broad at f i r s t to be amended or circum scribed later# B?7ith that in mind, the tanmittee feels that the regulation should not be drafted to include unsecured personal loans where no part of the proceeds are for the lurpose of purchasing or carrying any o so-called »listed articles1'. Such unsecured loans for such other purposes as the payment of nyd^al ®penses, funeral, grocery, or other sim-lar leg 2nd necessitous bills have no dii’ect irpac on ie ^ supply or price of raw materials needet- j ment for defense, and only the remotest, wos August 20, 1941 insignificant, and indirect effect on inflation through credit expansion generally* “Most of these loans, made ty institutions to needy borrowers of small means, serve a very useful social purpose* They not only provide necessary funds for the purpose of paying legitimate bills, but they serve to keep the lower salaried borrower away from the loan shark or other unscrupulous lender, and thus enable him better to preserve his self respect* *To include such personal loans in the regulation is , we believe, wholly unnecessary, to what we were in formed to be the general purpose of the regulation and is fraught with the great risfc of misunderstanding and resentment by the great mass of small personal loan borrowers all over the country. Also, it may only serve to emphasize in the public mind that the whole regulation will primarily affect only tho lower income groups* **We, therefore, urgently rocosnend that Section 6, paragraph (c ), on page 9 of the Tentative Draft of Proposed Regulation of Installment Credit, dated August 14, 1941# be amended as follows: *{c) Any attention of installment loan credit which is made (1) to or for a student for bona fide educational purposes, or, (2) to any other person who makes an affidavit that no part of such installment loan credit is to be used towards the purchase of any listed article or to refinance any prior indebtedness incurred in the purchase of a listed article, and further pro vided that the person extending such credit or his agent handling tho transaction certifies that he has accepted such affidavit believing it to be made in good fa ith .1 *We propose this not because we object to a reasonable maximum^ .me'. nths, on this kind of loan. Good benki’v mi sIMdto such a limit in any event. But our fW w % ^iyject personal loans, made not for the purpose of purchasing listed articles, to all the other re strictions of the regulation relating to installment sale credit is unnecessary, unwise, and a potential source of grave criticism of the wholo regulation.” tsx&ist 20, 1941 TS» eecrotaiy of tho Council tran^ssittod tbo above Isttor to Sr* Chester 3&w £3X, ^cr^ter^ of tho Board of ®mnsors of tho FedoreX aosorvo S^rsto^ -m3 h&s r©CJO$f©t! &tafcmrt£k&38ma& of its recdLpt. Tb© letter w s slgoag fcgr tho paae&daBt of the Ceisneil, as chsts&s&i of its Saocutivo Gcssalttos* Vory taealy joscm* Soerotor?' ISiis lottos* w i ^Pittisi to tbs following mm m& m e W t via air r*ail> except to, M r. Brown: Blr* £* ®sxsm !!r* Qee&go L * If&aeriaeei is** S t o O o s m % e m r H r * t t U t a B a t e Surto rsr# B. a* Bsatfcsgtos* ^r* Bafeert ?;ir* a* ca^r m * Hr* I p m g* "JokaBaM to* m* Bel* Claris; » * a* m i s c a m m m Wt* ? S S & 6 * D ick OFFICERS W*R0 E. MEMBERS b r o w n . P re s id e n t 1 9 4 3 * p RGE L. H A R R I S O N , V i c e - P r e s i d e n t tER L I C H T E N S T E I N . S e c r e t a r y F E D E R A L A D V IS O R Y C O U N C IL executive c o m m i t t e e (fe d e ra l reserve system ) {0Wab d E. b r o w n , ecRGE L. H A R R I S O N OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY ’harles e . s p e n c e r , j r . William f u u t o n k u r t z 3 8 S outh D earborn S treet | C HUNTINGTON C H IC A G O . ILLINOIS (OBERT V. FLEMING C H A R L E S E. S P E N C E R , JR.. D IS T R IC T N o 1 G E O R G E L. H A R R I S O N . D I S T R I C T NO. 2 W I L L I A M F U L T O N K U R T Z . D I S T R I C T No. 3 B. G . H U N T I N G T O N , D I S T R I C T N o . 4 R O B E R T V . F L E M I N G . D I S T R I C T NO. 5 H. L A N E Y O U N G . D I S T R I C T No. 6 E D W A R D E. B R O W N . D I S T R I C T N o . 7 R A L P H C. G IF F O R D , D IS T R IC T No. B L Y M A N E. W A K E F I E L D . D I S T R I C T N o . 9 W . D A L E C L A R K , D I S T R I C T NO. 1 0 N A T H A N A D A M S , D I S T R I C T N O . 11 G E O R G E M. W A L L A C E , D I S T R I C T NO. 12 September 29, 1941 De r Mr. On Monday, September 22, Mr. Brown had a telegram from Mr. Chester Morrill, Secretary of the Board of Governors, stating that there was being called, a meeting for 1:30 P. M. on Friday, September 26, in the Board Room of the Federal Reserve Building, to discuss the substance of possible amendments to Regulation W. The telegram went on to say ’’amendments to be discussed at this time do not in clude changes in list of articles or other parts of supplement. They do include prupose test for cash loans subject to this regula tion; also renewals, add-ons, and provisions governing intervals of payments and minimum monthly payments." Mr. Morrill asked that Mr. Brown let him know, as soon as possible, who would represent the Federal Advisory Council at this meeting. Mr. Brown requested the members of the Executive Committee of the Council, as well as the secretary of the Council, to be present at the aforesaid meeting in Washington, at 1:30 on the afternoon of September 26, 1941. Four members of the Executive Committee, Messrs. Brown, Kurtz, Huntington and Ragland, as well as the secretary of the Council, were present at the meeting. Mr, George L. Harrison was in San Francisco and therefore was unable to be present; Mr. Robert M. Hanes had a conflicting engagement. Similar to the meeting held on August 15, this meeting was attended by Vice Chairman Ransom, and Governors Szymczak, McKee, and Draper; also various members of the staff of the Board of Governors and other interested governmental agencies, besides about fifty representatives from installment sales finance companies, personal loan companies, retail furniture associations, and similar organizations. The meeting was asked to discuss tentative proposals submitted for amending Regulation Wj 1. The possibility of having a purpose test from borrowers win connection with all extensions of installment loan credit under $1,000.00 and any extension of installment -2September 79 , 194.1 loan credit over &1,000.00 when secured by any listed article.” 2. Providing for certain options in connection with "add-ons." There were also submitted th ree d iffe re n t d ra fts of a statement to be f ille d out by borrowers in connection with a purpose t e s t . A very animated discussion took place, showing, not unnaturally, a sharp divergence of views on the part of those rep resenting the personal loan companies and those representing installment sales finance companies. The President of the Council, in the discussion of a proposal to "retain the present section 5(b) of the regula tion, leaving it applicable to all other installment loans of $1,000.00 or less" stated, on behalf of the Council, that he entered an objection to the retention of the present section 5(h) once a purpose test had been established. As probably most of the loans under $1,000.00 did not have any bearing on the regulation of installment selling, it would simply mean that many small businesses and others would not be in a position to borrow from commercial banks and thus would be compelled to pay higher interest rates. The purpose of promoting the defense of the country would not be furthered thereby in any way. The meeting lasted until shortly after 5 o’ clock. It is ray understanding that a copy of the proposals submitted at the meeting are to be sent to each member of the Federal Advisory Council, as well as a mimeographed copy of the steno graphic transcript of the meeting. Consequently, it is not necessary for me, at this time, to report at further length on this meeting. Very truly yours, Secretary This letter was written to the following men and was sent via air mail, except to Mr. Brown: Mr. Hr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Edward E. Brown George L. Harrison Charles S . Spencer, Jr. William Pulton Kurtz 3 . G. Huntington Robert M. Hanes Ryburn G. Clay S. E. Ragland Lyman E. Wakefield W. Dale Clark R. Fllison Harding Paul S. Dick