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A meeting of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve
System with the Federal Advisory Council was held in the offices of
the Board of Governors on Tuesday, September 20,
PRESENT:

Mr.
Mr.
Mr.
Mr.
Mr.

1955, at 10:30 a.m.

Balderston, Vice Chairman
Szymczak
Mills
Robertson
Shepardson
Mr. Sherman, Assistant Secretary

Messrs. Ireland, Alexander, Mitchell, Denton,
Fleming, Davis, Brown, Campbell, Ringland,
Chandler, Matkin, and Wallace, members of
the Federal Advisory Council from the First,
Second, Third, Fourth, Fifth, Sixth, Seventh,
Eighth, Ninth, Tenth, Eleventh, and Twelfth
Federal Reserve Districts, respectively
Mr. Prochnow, Secretary of the Federal Advisory Council
Mr. William J. Korsvik, Acting Secretary of
the Federal Advisory Council

President Brown stated that Mr. Prochnow had been asked to become
Deputy Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs and that, in anticiPation of his assuming those duties shortly, the Federal Advisory Council
at its separate meeting on September

18, 1955, had elected Mr. William J.

4orsvik„ an Assistant Cashier of the First National Bank of Chicago, as
Acting Secretary.

President Brown went on to say that both the Secretary

Of State and the Under Secretary of State had indicated there would be no
Objection to baying Mr. Prochnow attend meetings of the Council and take
40tes of the discussions as heretofore but that he could not have the




-2-

9/20/55

title of Secretary of the Council during the period in which he was also
serving as Deputy Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs.

Presi-

dent Brown also stated that the Council would like to have the Board's
Permission to have Mr. Prochnow assist in preparing for the meetings of
the Council with the understanding that he as well as Mr. Korsvik would
attend meetings when able to do so.
Governor Balderston stated that unless there was some reason of
a policy or legal nature which would preclude the arrangement suggested
by President Brawn, the Board would have no objection to the procedure
suggested.
Before the meeting the Council submitted to the Board of Governors
a memorandum setting forth the Council's views on the subjects to be discussed with the Board at this joint meeting.

The statement of the topic,

the Council's views, and the discussion with respect to each of the subjects were as follows:
1.

What are the views of the Council with respect to
the prospective business situation during the remainder of this year and the first three months of
next year and the probable changes that will take
place in the volume of bank loans in each of these
periods? Do the members of the Council see any
significant changes in the composition of bank
loans in the present period of high level economic
activity?

The Council expects a high level of business activity during
the remainder of this year and through the first three months of
next year. It expects that the rate of increase in business activity will probably be less than that experienced in the first three
quarters of 1955.




9/20/55

-3-

The members of the Council believe that the volume of bank
loans will increase more than seasonally in the last three months
of this year. In the first quarter of 1956, the Council anticipates a seasonal decline in loans, but less than usual. There
is a distinct possibility that no decline may occur due to a
probable further increase in the volume of outstanding consumer
credit represented both by direct loans and by loans to finance
companies and to commercial concerns carrying a materially larger
amount of consumer paper. Likewise, the volume of real estate
loans may experience an expansion in the first quarter of next
year. Insurance companies and other financial institutions are
committed to take real estate mortgages presently in an amount
in excess of their receipt of funds from savings and maturing investments. Some banks have substantial outstanding commitments
to warehouse these loans temporarily.
There may also be an increase in real estate loans because
of agreements made directly by banks with contractors and mortgage bankers whose borrowings are to be liquidated later under
commitments for permanent financing made by insurance companies
or other institutions.
Although arrangements for new real estate financing are
being curtailed, the financing of present commitments will probably necessitate additional credit during the first quarter of
1956.
Apart from the greater importance of loans based directly
and indirectly on consumer credit and for real estate financing,
the Council sees no important change in the composition of bank
loans in the present period of high level economic activity.
In elaborating on the Council's answer, President Brown said that
there was no indication that the present level of economic activity would
clecline during the balance of the current year or the first quarter of

1956 but that the Council was glad that it had not been asked to comment
on the prospects during the latter months of 1956. Consumer credit was
the most important element causing expansion in bank loans, he said. This
l'eflected not only direct loans to consumers but a much larger volume of




1654
9/20/55
loans to retailers who were extending increasing volumes of consumer
credit and looking to the banks to help them in carrying such credit.
While the largest finance companies seemed able to obtain additional
funds, banks generally were turning down requests of finance companies
for increased lines of credit.

Unless automobile production declines

substantially, as it well may, the Council saw no indication yet of any
cessation in the rise of consumer credit outstanding, President Brown
said.

The other disturbing element in bank loan expansion was in the

real estate field where, as the Council's memorandum indicated, many insurance companies and savings and loan associations were committed to
buy real estate mortgages at a rate in excess of their net receipts from
new funds and repayments on old mortgages.

Mortgage bankers, contractors,

and others who have such commitments from the insurance companies have
made arrangements for construction loans which, in the case of larger
Projects, may run for as long as two years.

Thus, although there has

been a distinctcurtailment in new commitments resulting from the policy
Of credit restraint, including actions taken by Government insuring or
lending agencies and the general shortage of money, it will take considerable time for such curtailment to be reflected in the loan volume.
President Brown also said that inventories have risen somewhat in the past
six

months or year thus affecting bank loan volume to some extent.

In

relation to sales, however, inventories have not gone up and there is no
eliidence of speculative borrowing for the purpose of carrying inventories
at

higher prices, as there has been at times in the past.




9/2o/55

-5Governor Balderston inquired whether the Council felt that the

tightening in credit conditions was being felt primarily in New York
or whether it had spread to other parts of the country, to which President Brown responded that all districts reported that credit was becoming tight although the tightness varied in degree from district to district.
Mr. Ireland said that the New England picture did not seem to be
very different from the rest of the country.

Borrowings from the Boston

Reserve Bank last week were higher than at any time since 1929.

He

noted that the increase in member bank loans in the Boston District had
been smaller this year than in the rest of the country but felt that this
Igas partly because the increase during the first three quarters of 1954 had
been greater in New England than elsewhere.

The net result was that the

loan situation in the Boston District currently is tight, as indicated by
the fact that at many of the larger banks the loan deposit ratio is above
50 per cent.
Mr. Mitchell said that credit was very tight in Philadelphia.

In

addition, some of the banks have been upgrading loans trying to get rid
of weaker ones.

Banks were taking care of all legitimate business needs

bIlt were doing this despite general tightness in the situation.
Mr. Denton said conditions were not as tight in the Cleveland
bistrict as he gathered was the case in most other districts.

In comment-

ing on increases in different categories of loans since a year ago, hr.




1_656
9/2o/55

-6-

Denton noted that the Cleveland District was carrying a much larger
volume of brokers loans than normal, such loans having been farmed out
by New York City banks.

While the percentage increases in such loans

were very large, they still represented a minor proportion of loans by
Fourth District banks.

As to consumer credit and real estate loans, Mr.

Denton said that they made up a large percentage of total loans and accounted for a large proportion of the increase in such loans this year.
Mr. Denton also commented that among the so-called business loans, a
large part of the increase was in loans to finance companies which represented additional extensions of credit for consumer financing.

He noted

that in the past four months loans to finance companies in the Fourth
District had increased approximately 31 per cent whereas the increase
chlring the corresponding period a year ago was

8

per cent; he felt pub-

lished weekly condition figures for banks tended to be misleading since
the loans to finance companies were reflected in figures usually classed
45 "business loans".
President Brawn said that it had always seemed to him that a weakaess of the reports of member bank loans was that loans to finance comParlies were included in the category of "business loans".
Mr. Fleming summarized conditions in the Fifth District as being
"tight" and he cited figures of economic activity pointing to further advances in the outlook for production and trade.

said,

The textile industry) he

was concerned about the effects of the recent increase in the




1657
9/2o/55

-7-

minimum wage along with competition from cheaper textiles produced in
Japan.

Mr. Fleming also noted that some banks in the Fifth District had

declined to make additional advances to finance companies.
Mr. Chandler said that the credit situation in the Tenth District
was relatively tight although loans had not increased as much as in other
sections.

Crops had been rather poor and deposits were not rising as

ordinarily is the case at this time of the year.

There had been consid-

erable selling of Government securities by banks in the Tenth District
Who wanted to maintain greater liquidity.
Mr. Ringland said that money was very tight in the Ninth District
and he expected it to become tighter.

Deposits in Reserve city banks had

declined somewhat or had failed to increase as much as elsewhere, reflecting the agricultural situation.
Mr. Matkin said that in the Dallas District money was tight.

-rlY banks had run out of bills and relatively short-term Governments and
'1.8
"were now hesistant to sell longer-term bonds for the purpose of making
additional loans.

Most of the banks in the district now showed a red

figure in their Government bond portfolio, he thought.
Mr. Davis said that the Sixth District presented a mixed picture.
In general, money was tight both in city and country areas.

However, in

New Orleans banks were in a position to loan additional funds since at
Present loans represented only about 30 per cent of their deposits.
cOntrast, banks in Jackson, Mississippi, had a loan-deposit ratio of




In

1658
-8-

9/2o/55
around 54 per cent.

The cotton crop was beginning to move and this

Would take some of the pressure off country banks shortly.
Mr. Wallace said that the Pacific Coast money situation was generally tight.

He called attention to the marked activity in construc-

tion, particularly in residential building, that had prevailed in some
Parts of the district, especially in Southern California.

Mr. Wallace

went on to say that the whole economic structure in that area had been
greatly affected by this building activity and by sales of consumer goods
Which often were related to the building activity.

Banks were being

called upon to provide funds for these purposes which meant that they
were making less contribution to the national pool of funds for meeting
Other credit needs than had been the case at times in the past.
Mr. Campbell said that loans in the Eighth District had been
restricted.

Crops were turning out quite heavy and much better than

last year, and additional funds would be needed during the crop moving
season.
Mr. Alexander said the policy of restraint was working well in
Tew York.

Money was very tight.

Whereas loans during the first eight

months of 1954 declined about *800 million, they had increased by more
than $1 billion thus far during 1955.

However, deposits had not increased.

AS a result, New York banks account for a goodly portion of total borrowings from the Federal Reserve, and those banks also are buying all the
Pederal funds they can get.




But even so, they have not been able to avoid

9/20/55
selling large amounts of Governments with the result that their total
investments have declined substantially during the current year -- in
fact, sales of Governments have exceeded the increase in loans.

Perhaps

many banks started out this year in an over-invested position, Mr. Alexander said, and the Treasury financing in July added to their investments.
The funds raised by the Treasury from sales of securities to banks have
not stayed in New York, however, and the tightness in the local situation is reflected in the fact that virtually every New York City bank has
been borrowing off and on.

Banks generally have sold short-term securi-

ties and some of them have sold maturities up to five years.

Mr. Alex-

ander did not know who was buying the bonds but he supposed that as the
Yields became attractive, more of them found their way into pension funds,
State funds, and municipal funds and some might also have gone into foreign accounts.

There was no question in Mr. Alexander's mind but that

the tight situation in New York was slaving down lending activity.

Addi-

tional credit was being denied finance companies, and New York banks were

holding down commitments for warehousing real estate loans.

Stock market

credit has not risen in the past few months.
Mr. Alexander also referred to the fact that loans of New York
City banks for warehousing real estate loans had increased from *58 mall-On a year ago to over *200 million at present.

Further, these same

--44N.s have firm written commitments to warehouse an additional *689 mil11°n, Mr.
Alexander said, adding the comment that this whole situation




660
9/20/55
had moved much faster than had been generally realized.

Mr. Alexander

also noted that President Sproul of the New York Reserve Bank had taken
the position in recent talks with New York City banks that in all probability these warehousing commitments would be looked upon as inconsistent with Federal Reserve policy.

Nevertheless, these and various

seasonal commitments had been made and were outstanding, and in order
to meet them banks would be borrowing from the Federal Reserve during
the next few months and there would also be more selling of securities
from their portfolios.

Mr. Alexander was satisfied that a tight situa-

tion would continue for New York City banks throughout the rest of this
Year.
Governor Robertson said that he assumed the Council believed
that the present level of business activity would be maintained during
the next six months, and he inquired whether the Council was concerned
about the ability of the United States to maintain this level of activity
over a longer period of time and to what extent would maintenance of this
level depend on stretching out terms for consumer credit and other loans.
President Brown responded that the Council had been asked to comMent on the outlook for six months, that its present feeling was that the
Present level of economic activity was too high to be maintained for any
e°4siderable period of time, and that unless there was restraint the high
level of activity ultimately would break down.

While there was no formal

vote, he said, the comments of members of the Council revealed a general




1661
9/20/55
belief that the boom was moving too fast; and, if current activity in consumer credit and real estate continued, it was felt that savings of the
country would not keep up with the formation of capital.
Mr. Fleming referred to population estimates released by the
Bureau of the Census, stating that continuation of a high level of economic activity was suggested by the forecast of a population for the United
States as a whole of 195 million persons by the year 1965.
2.

The Board would appreciate the views of the members
of the Council with respect to the System's current
credit policies and what, if any, changes might be
called for during the remainder of this year.

At the May meeting, the Council responded to a similar question of the Board of Governors as follows:
"The effects of System credit policies since the last
meeting of the Council have been good. The Council believes that a policy of mild credit restriction should
be continued for the near term if business continues to
be buoyant.
Government financing for new money in substantial volume is inevitable in the last half of the calendar
year. If, as seems probable, the banks must provide
a considerable part of the new money required, and if
business continues at a high level with an increasing
demand for bank loans, the System must be prepared
through open market operations or a reduction in reserve
requirements, or both, to put more reserves into the
banks. In view of the increasing activity of business
and of the probability of an increase in loans in the
months immediately ahead, it may become necessary to
consider raising the rediscount rate. The use of the
discount window by member banks should not be restricted
or discouraged, as credit for good borrowers should continue to be available at reasonable rates."




iit14
9/20/55

-12-

The Council believes that the System's credit policies
since its last meeting have been well conceived and carried
out. It believes that the objective of restraining the further
development of the present boom was and is correct. The System's policies are having desirable effects which should become increasingly apparent.
The conditions which the Council at the time of the May
meeting thought might develop have now come about. In view of
the imminence of heavy Treasury financing and with the increasing seasonal need for loans, the Council believes that the time
has come when more reserves must be put into the banking system.
The Council believes that this can be better accomplished
through open market operations than through a reduction in reserve requirements.
There is a growing concern among bankers that the use of
the discount window may be restricted or severely discouraged.
Unless the banks feel assurance that the discount window will
be readily available, even though the cost of their borrowing
may be higher, it is apt to create a panicky feeling which might
lead to widespread liquidation of government bonds and undue restriction of credit to the banks' customers. It would be very
unfortunate if such a feeling of apprehension among bankers, as
developed in the first half of 1953, should again occur.
President Brown said that every member of the Council felt that
some mild brake should be put on the boom and approved the policy being
carried out in the market.

On the other hand, the Treasury would be seek-

around e2-1/2 billion of new money in mid-October, and in December it
'would need another F;1-1/2 to

2 billion.

An increase in loans because of

the high volume of business was inevitable during the fall months.

Sea-

sc)nal factors would be accentuated by the credit commitments already referred to.

In addition to commitments for warehousing real estate loans,

there were large open lines of credit which the banks had to meet.

If

need be, banks would sell Governments at a loss in order to meet these




1_663
9/20/55

-13-

commitments.

Unless more reserves were put into the banking system this

fall, the Council felt that a panicky situation could easily be created
in the Government bond market.

President Brown said that members of the

Council reflected the feelings of bankers generally in approving the raising of the discount rate from 1-3/4 to 2-1/4 per cent, and members of the
Council, he thought, would favor a further increase in the rediscount
rate.

This was not for selfish reasons, he said, noting that 1/4 of 1

Per cent would increase net income of banks by only a small fraction of
the amount by which bond portfolios recently had declined.

The banks sym-

Pathized with the Board regarding credit restraint and very generally were
refusing new credit commitments.

President Brown also said that every

member of the Council felt very strongly that the most serious mistake
that could be made by the System would be to create a feeling such as
existed in the spring of 1953 that use of the discount window would be
restricted.

Banks generally were trying to contract credit but it was

necessary that they know they could go to the Reserve Bank and borrow if
they felt they needed to do so.

If a feeling should develop among banks

that it would be entirely within the discretion of any Reserve Bank to
shut off" borrowing to meet legitimate needs, dumping of Government securities in the market could easily begin.

This would be bad for the whole

ec°n°mY, for the Government generally, and for the chance of a balanced
blI(Iget.

President Brown commented on the different classes of securities




1664
9/20/55

-14-

banks were selling now in order to obtain funds, adding that the Council
felt there was real danger of a real panic if there was a repetition of
What happened at the discount window in the spring of 1953, when some
of the largest banks "went back" on commitments for loans for justifiable
Purposes.

He also said that he could see no objection to action by the

System to increase the cost of discounts, or to the action taken by President Sproul in telling the banking system not to make warehousing commitments beyond the current capacity of savings banks and insurance comPanies to accummulatc funds.

If Mr. Sproul had gone further and indi-

cated that banks could not obtain necessary funds at the discount window
to take care of existing firm commitments, that could have resulted in
dlImping of Government bonds on a large scale, because most banks already
have "red figures" in their Government bond portfolios.

President Brown

also said that the Council appreciated the fact that the System was "walking a tight rope" in keeping restraint on the boom and still making it
Ppssible for the Government to refund maturing securities and avoid a
e°11apse in the Government bond market: it probably was the hardest problen' the System had faced except in wartime.
Mr. Fleming commented on prospective Treasury financing and the
delicate problem posed for the Federal Reserve during the next few weeks.
He felt
mass psychology could play an important part in developments in

the Government bond market, and he supported what President Brown had said
l'egarding the need for having the discount window freely available so




9/20/55

-15-

that the banks could use it during the very tight period they would find
themselves in in December and possibly in January.
Governor Robertson said that the fear expressed about the discount window might be widespread, but that it should be stated that
there is no intention whatsoever to restrict the use of the discount
window.

He did not know what, if anything, could be done to allay such

fears.
Mr. Alexander said that he agreed with the views President Brown
had expressed.

This was a very difficult period for the Board and the

Open Market Committee.

The Council and the banks wanted to try to help

Certainly it was desirable to try to restrain the

as much as possible.

boom. Mr.
Alexander thought that, in general, we liked booms but dreaded
/ghat came after them.

He felt it clear that the policy should be one of

restraint on the one hand, and yet on the other side none of those deter11114ing Policy wanted to bring about a period of liquidation and panic.
He referred to the coming Treasury financing, stating that presumably a

g°od

part of it would be met by the banks.

have reserves.

This meant the banks must

In addition, during the fall season banks would be called

Upon to supply funds for crop movements and many other seasonal activities.
These needs must
meet them in
be taken care of and banks would have to
°Ile way or another.

He felt it perfectly proper for President Sproul,

in the
absence of selective controls, to make the plea which he had mad-,
l'egarding warehousing loans.




He did not interpret Mr. Sproul's recent

A
1
-666

9/20/55

-16-

statement as indicating that the discount window would be closed for seasonal operations or for proper seekers of Reserve Bank credit.

Mr.

Alexander did not like the implication of the -beim "denial of credit".
The System could make credit more expensive, and he thought that a rise
in interest rates would be the mildest form of paregoric the System could
give in the form of restraint.

A rise in interest rates might influence

banks to discourage the kinds of excesses in borrowings that should be
avoided.

Mr. Alexander did not say what these areas might be:

even in

the case of consumer credit, he did not know whether the total volume
now was too high or too low, but it had moved up very rapidly; and warehousing of real estate loans had moved up at a time when most banks
Were unaware of the extent to which this kind of credit had grown.

Sum-

ming up, Mr. Alexander felt the needs of the economy must be met and the
141101e period must be handled so that the market did not feel that money
Ifas "unavailable", but he thought it proper to make the banks pay more
for the
reserves they needed as a means of discouraging credit extensions
14 certain areas.
Governor Szymczak noted that Mr. Alexander referred to a rise in
the discount rate mainly in terms of its effect on the cost to member
134nks.

He went on to say that when the discount rate rises, it affects

the liquidity position of banks through the tendency for bond prices to
clecline; it affects the willingness of member banks to become indebted to
the

Reserve Bank; and it affects the cost of credit to business which,




1_667
9/20/55

-17-

particularly in the case of longer-term credit, is a factor determining
Whether to employ credit.

Thus, a rise in the discount rate not only

affects the cost of borrowings from the Federal Reserve but is restrictive in all three of the ways mentioned.
Mr. Alexander agreed with this comment, particularly with the point
regarding the restrictive effect of a decline in value of bond portfolios.
His point, he said, was that commercial banks should not be gotten to a
Position where they are forced to sell bonds at a loss - there is a difference between possessing a red figure on the books and having to sell
the bonds at that figure.

Possessing the red figure would not, of itself,

cause panicky liquidation of the bonds.

The red figure was restrictive,

blat it was much milder to have a rate rise and have banks feel they could
get funds needed "to move the cotton crop" than it would be to force them
into panicky liquidation of bonds to meet seasonal needs and other commitnlents they had made.

The period immediately ahead would be a very dif-

ficult one and would require most artful management on the part of the
System.

Mr. Alexander did not see how the System could pursue a policy

Of restraint and not have higher interest rates and lower bond prices.
If) to avoid lower bond prices, the System turned the other way and did
1143t restrain, too much credit would go out and that would be dangerous.
As to the level of the discount rate, he said there were those who thought
lt Would
be desirable to give a shock by raising the rate to 3

per cent,

He was
not of that school and felt that the System should avoid a shock,
Which might bring on a panic.




1668
9/20/55

-18In response to a question from Governor Szymczak as to the timing

for an increase in the discount rate, President Brown said that no increase should be made before October 15 in view of probable Treasury
financing, but if an increase were to be made it should come before Novem13er 15.

He added the comment that such an increase would make the Treas-

ury's December borrowing more expensive.
Mr. Mitchell said that there had just been two increases in the
discount rate.

The Treasury financing was coming up in mid-October and

he felt that if there was another increase in the discount rate it might
be postponed until a couple of weeks or more after the Treasury's financ-

Governor Balderston said that timing of an increase in the discount rate was of vital importance.

The System has its primary responsi-

bility for credit policy, but it also has a secondary responsibility to
hell) the Treasury and it is necessary to have a reasonably stable condition around October 15 and again in December in order to assist in the
financings.

If the discount rate were increased after October 15, could

st
ability be sufficiently restored by the time of the December financing?
Mr. Fleming thought that question could not be answered today.
He was
satisfied there must be some additions to reserves between now and
October 15, and it would be necessary to have some further additions
between October and December.
4s Governor Szymczak had said.




More than the cost of reserves was involved,
The System would have to watch the situation

1669
9/20/55

-19-

very carefully and Observe the cumulative effects of the actions it had
already taken.

Mr. Fleming did not think that the effect of the recent

increases in the discount rate had yet been fully felt.
President Brown noted that seasonally loans reached a peak in
December and that deposits tended to go up at the same time and after
the loan peak.

He suggested that a good time for an increase in the

discount rate might be when the tension was slacking off after the loan
Peak.

He also said that it would be necessary to have reserves put into

the market at the time of the December financing, if the financing were
not to be a failure.

How to allay the fear expressed regarding the dis-

count window was a problem, he said, but bankers over the country do
fear a repetition of what happened in 1953.
ably do more harm than good.

Any announcement would prob-

The word had gotten around that the Reserve

Bank Presidents were just as much opposed to the "closing" of the discount
Window as were the members of the Federal Advisory Council.
After a brief discussion of how the fears regarding the discount
Window might be allayed, Mr. Alexander commented that he felt the lending
rate of banks was too lethargic, that it did not move around rapidly
enough either up or down.

Aside from a change in the discount rate, he

thought that the lending rate of commercial banks should move up a quarter
c)f 1 per cent promptly.

Such a move by commercial banks would help the

SYstem in its policy of restraint.
the

This increase would be desirable before

October financing, Mr. Alexander said, and after mid-October another

Increase in the discount rate might be in order.




1670
9/20/55

-20Governor Szymczak said that while a higher interest rate on busi-

ness loans would have some restrictive effect, in a high-level economy
borrowers would pay the higher rate if they could still make a profit.
Mr. Ringland thought that the higher rate would have some restrictive effect, particularly in warehousing of mortgages, and he also thought
it would have a restrictive effect in the consumer credit area.
In response to a question from Governor Robertson, President
13rown said that he felt that the restrictive credit policy being pursued
had undoubtedly had an effect on smaller finance companies because they
Just could not get additional lines of credit at the present time.

How

Imach effect it had had on a number of the very large finance companies
Igas questionable.

They were tightening up somewhat and over-all he

thought the policy was having some effect on consumer credit, but there
had been more effect on real estate credit and on plans for municipal exPatision (toll roads, schools, etc.) and other improvements to be financed
Out of revenue bonds where a 1/2 per cent rise in the rate was quite in-

Mr. Denton felt that there was still a material effect to be realized from the actions already taken by the System, and he was not so
sUre that additional restrictive measures would be needed after the TreasUl'Y's October financing.

He was inclined to think the building boom in

14dividual houses had "topped cut".

Mr. Denton added the comment that he

/ as less sure than some of the other members of the Council that demand




16,1,7,4

9/20/55

-21-

for money would continue during the first quarter of 1956 at a rate in
line with that observed earlier this year.
Mr. Alexander said that he thought perhaps residential construction had topped out.

Existing commitments of insurance companies to

mortgage bankers would run for twelve to eighteen months ahead, and there
had been quite a reaction because of those commitments.

He did not look

for construction or for mortgage loans to drop suddenly, but we might
be

approaching a turn.

On consumer credit, he had the same impression

as that indicated by President Brown, namely, that the small- and mediumsized finance companies would like more money than they were able to obtain.

If sales of automobiles next year were at the rate of 1955, the

leagthening of terms that had taken place in the past six months would
Illean that an increase of two to two and one half billion dollars in the
7°1ume of credit outstanding would be needed to finance the same volume
Of automobile sales on the new terms.

The question was whether the fi-

nance companies could get this money and from whom.

The bigger companies

had a lot of commercial paper outstanding now but sales of new paper did

n°t flow as easily as had been the case a little earlier.
answer and in
President Brown stated that both in its written

the discussion of credit policy, the Council had tried to make very clear
its views
open, and that it
with respect to keeping the discount window
/las delighted to hear Governor Robertson's statement on this point.




1672
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9/20/55

3.

Is there any legislation that the members of the
Council feel the Board should support or sponsor in
the forthcoming session of the Congress?

The Council does not at this time have any suggestions as
to legislation that the Board might support or sponsor in the
quesforthcoming session of the Congress. If the Board has any
of
members
the
,
tions about legislation now pending or suggested
the Council will be pleased to discuss them.
report
President Brown stated that the Council had a copy of a
Prepared by the American Bankers Association on the present status of
various bills affecting banking.

The Council was still strongly in favor

or an increase in salaries of the members of the Board of Governors, President Brown said, one result of which it hoped would be a correction of the
inadequate salaries paid some of the Board's staff.
Mr. Fleming said that this was not a matter on which the Board
could take the initiative, and that some of those in commercial banking
had to pursue this legislation.

While he did not like the postponement

°r action on the executive salary bill until the next session of Congress,
Mr. Fleming said he did not think the matter was held up because of controversy, but rather because the bill came in late in the session and,
with some differences of opinion, it was not feasible to complete action

beforeadjournment.

felt it important
Mr. Fleming also commented that he

that members of the Council and other bankers explain to members of Congress the real function of the Board of Governors so that they could undertand better the inappropriateness of salaries now authorized for members
of the Board.




H673
9/20/55

-23President Brown referred to other bills which had been intro-

duced in Congress which would affect banking, noting particularly holding company legislation.

The Council had been much interested in such

legislation in the past and had devoted a great deal of time to its consideration.

It did not like the bill passed by the House (H.R. 6227)

during the recent session: it much preferred the bill (S. 2577) which
Senator Robertson had sponsored, which the Council assumed had come out
of the regulatory agencies, but it was not entirely satisfied with that
Proposal.

President Brown also commented that there was no single opinion

Ifithin the Council regarding holding company legislation.
Governor Balderston stated, in response to a question from President Brown, that the Board did not now contemplate proposing any legislation for the next session of Congress.
Mr. Fleming referred to the Celler bill (H.R. 59118) which he underStood would require the Department of Justice to clear mergers or consolidations of banks prior to their becoming effective.

As he understood the

si
tuation, the Department of Justice would have to approve such mergers
in advance.

He felt strongly that this would not be desirable and that

the matter should be kept within the jurisdiction of the Federal banking
sllPervisory agencies.

Mr. Fleming said that Chairman Martin's testimony

14 June before subcommittees of both the Senate and House Committees on
the Judiciary was being interpreted as supporting the proposal for the
1)eP8.rtment of Justice to pass advance opinion on such mergers, and he




1674
9/20/55

-24-

expressed the hope that if this was not a firm position, the Board would
give serious consideration to the danger of having the Department of
Justice placed in a position of passing upon such mergers in advance.
Governor Robertson said that the understanding of Chairman Martin's
testimony as described by Mr. Fleming was erroneous, that the Chairman's
testimony was not in favor of legislation which would provide that the
Department of Justice pass upon mergers and consolidations in advance.
Rather, Chairman Martin had expressed the view that the position of the
Board and of the Department of Justice should remain the same under any
Proposed legislation as it is today.

The only change would be that, in

"-se of doubt, the Federal bank supervisory agencies which were considering a proposal for merger or consolidation could request an advance opini°11 from the Department of Justice.
Mr. Fleming stated that he was glad to hear this comment but that

he still was fearful of any authority which could be used by the Department
Of Justice in a manner which would mean that mergers and consolidations
could be delayed pending a decision from that Department as to whether
they would violate the Anti-trust Laws.

He also requested that he be fur-

nished with a copy of Chairman Martin's testimony on this subject last
June.
Governor Robertson pointed out that the right of the Federal bank
811Pervisory agencies to ask the Department of Justice for an opinion in
a.dvance in doubtful cases would serve both as a means of protecting the




9/20/55

-25-

banks affected and the supervisory agency.

It was his view that only

in rare cases would a bank supervisory agency ask an opinion from the
Department of Justice, if such legislation were passed.
Mr. Alexander stated that even if Congress were to leave the
decision in such cases to the three Federal bank supervisory agencies
and if the position of the Department of Justice were not changed at
all, he felt it would be a mistake to establish as a test of the legalitY of a merger or consolidation the "lessening of competition".

Mergers

Might well involve some lessening of competition, but the test of their
desirability should be broader and should be whether the merger, taken as
a whole, was in the public interest; lessening of competition should be
may one of the elements to be considered.
President Brown stated that the next meeting of the Council would
be held on Sunday, November 13, 1955, and that unless there were objectioa it would plan to meet with the Board on Tuesday, November 15 at
10:30 a.m.

It was agreed that this date would be satisfactory.

Thereupon the meeting adjourned.




A

Assistant Secretary