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FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of KANSAS CITY h . i bay DEC 1 9 1 9 5 8 RESEARCH LIBRARY, BANKING ANB MONETARY DEVELOPMENTS IN NOVEMBER 19^8 Summary* T o t a l c r e d i t a t a l l commercial banks i n c r e a s e d s u b s t a n t i a l l y inNovember as a r e s u l t of a s i z e a b l e growth i n l o a n s and i n holdings of U. S . Government s e c u r i t i e s . S e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d demand deposit a n d currency holdings of b u s i n e s s e s and i n d i v i d u a l s in c r e a s e d f u r t h e r and U. S. Government d e p o s i t s rose s u b s t a n t i a l l y . Time d e p o s i t s , which i n o t h e r r e c e n t months had shown l i t t l e change, declined somewhat more t h a n t h e usual November r e d u c t i o n a s s o c i a t e d with withdrawal of Christmas savings. Free r e s e r v e s of member banks were s l i g h t l y below t h e l e v e l f o r September and October. Bank c r e d i t * T o t a l bank c r e d i t a t a l l commercial banks i n c r e a s e d $2.1i b i l l i o n i n November, t h e l a r g e s t i n c r e a s e f o r t h i s month since 195>2, as shown i n Table 1 . In t h e same month l a s t y e a r bank c r e d i t d e c l i n e d $600 m i l l i o n . A l l of t h e growth i n c r e d i t t h i s year was accounted f o r by i n c r e a s e s of somewhat more t h a n $1 b i l l i o n each i n loans and i n holdings of U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s . Government s e c u r i t y p o r t f o l i o s rose s h a r p l y when commercial banks acquired i n i t i a l l y most of the $3.0 b i l l i o n of new 21^-day t a x a n t i c i p a t i o n b i l l s i s s u e d by t h e Treasury on November 20. At o t h e r times during t h e month, however, t h e y reduced t h e i r Government s e c u r i t y holdings# Since t h e beginning of t h e y e a r t o t a l bank c r e d i t has in c r e a s e d n e a r l y $13 b i l l i o n , much more than i n any o t h e r y e a r since World War I I and more t h a n t h r e e times t h e average f o r t h e same months i n 19h7-19$7» Most of t h e i n c r e a s e has been i n U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s ($9 b i l l i o n ) and o t h e r s e c u r i t i e s ($2.£ b i l l i o n ) . Loans, on t h e o t h e r hand, have expanded by only a l i t t l e more t h a n $1 b i l l i o n , f a r l e s s t h a n i n o t h e r r e c e n t y e a r s except 19h9, when t h e r e was p r a c t i c a l l y no i n c r e a s e , and 1 9 & , when t h e growth was only s l i g h t l y more t h a n t h i s y e a r . The November i n c r e a s e of $1.2 b i l l i o n i n l o a n s was g r e a t e r t h a n t h e average f o r t h e p a s t seven y e a r s . A l l of t h e p r i n c i p a l t y p e s of l o a n s expanded with t h e l a r g e s t r e l a t i v e growth occurring i n r e a l e s t a t e l o a n s . Real e s t a t e loans rose $300 m i l l i o n i n November and n e a r l y $2 b i l l i o n since t h e beginning of t h e y e a r . The growth t h i s y e a r has been g r e a t e r than any y e a r since 1955# when t h e i n c r e a s e amounted t o $ 2 . 3 b i l l i o n . Expansion has been p a r t i c u l a r l y r a p i d since mid-year, exceeding t h a t i n t h e same p e r i o d i n any previous year. Not f o r p u b l i c a t i o n -2- Table 1 Estimated Changes i n Loans and Investments a t A l l Commercial Banks ( I n b i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Item T o t a l loans (excluding interbank) Business Real e s t a t e Security Agricultural Consumer All other 1958 D c t . 30 Nov. 26 1957 1958 Oct. 31 June 26 Nov. 27 Nov. 26 1957 1958 1957 June 27 Nov. 27 Jan. 1 Nov. 26 Jan. 1 Nov.- 27 + 1.2 - 0.1 + 0.9 — 0.5 + 1.3 + 1.9 + + + + • + - 0.1 + 0.1 •• 0 . 1 ¥.1 + 0.1 + o.k + 1.3 — 1.6 + 0.3 + 0.2 + 0.3 - 0.9 + o.k - 0.3 y +15.3 + 0.1 + + 1.3 1.9 G.U 0.8 P, +.o.lt + 0.9 + 0.5 — 0.7 - 0.2 + 1.1 + 0.3 o.k 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 - U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s + 1.3 — 0.1; + 2.7 + l.lt + 9.1 - 1.7 Other s e c u r i t i e s - 0.1 -0.2 + 0.1* + 0.6 + 2.5 + 1.1 + 2.1; - 0.6 + lt.0 + 1.6 +12.9 + l.lt T o t a l loans and investments (less inteAank) Item Total l o a n s (excluding interbank) Business Real e s t a t e Security Agricultural Consumer All other U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s Other s e c u r i t i e s T o t a l l o a n s and investments (less interbank) Change during November 1956 1955 + 0.6 1951 1953 1952 1951 + 1.8 + 1.9 + o.U + 1.2 + 0.5 + o.U + 0.2 + 0.6 + 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.3 + 0.1 + 0.1 +¥,i - 0.1 + 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.2 — 0.1 + 0.1 + fl{l + 0.2 + 0.7 2/+1.2 "5/+0.2 ~+ 0 . 1 + 0.3 + 0.1 I/ - 1.5 - 0.1 + l.lt + 1.2 i + 0.7 1/ - 0.2 + 0.1 + 0.1 1/ + 0.1 + 1.3 + 0.1 + 1.8 + 1.7 + 2.5 + l.lt + 0.6 + 0.1 — 0.1 + 0.1 +¥.i 1 / Less t h a n $*>0 m i l l i o n . ? / Level of b u s i n e s s l o a n s i n c r e a s e d by and r e a l e s t a t e l o a n s decreased by $300 m i l l i o n i n October 195? t o c o r r e c t m i s c l a s s i f i c a t i o n e r r o r s . Most of t h e m i s c l a s s i f i c a t i o n probably occurred i n 1955. Notes Data f o r November 26, 1958# are p r e l i m i n a r y e s t i m a t e s based on d a t a f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g banks and e s t i m a t e s f o r o t h e r banks. L a t e r e s t i m a t e s f o r November w i l l be shown i n t h e Board's s t a t e m e n t , "Assets and L i a b i l i t i e s http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ of A l l Banks i n t h e United S t a t e s " a v a i l a b l e a t t h e end of December. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -3L.lt.3 Table 1 (continued) Estimated changes i n Loans and Investments a t A l l Commercial Banks (In b i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) T o t a l loans (excluding interbank) # # • Business Real e s t a t e Security Agricultural Consumer All o t h e r e 1955 195U 1953 1952 + 6.2 + 9.8 + 1.5 + 2.7 + 5.1 + lt.6 + 1.7 2/+5.it V+2.3 — 0.6 + 1.5 + + + + + + + O.lt + 2.1 + 0.9 + o.l - 0.1 - O.lt U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s - 3 .it - 7.6 + 6.7 + O.lt + 2.6 Other s e c u r i t i e s - O.lt + 0.3 + 1.5 + 0.5 + 0.9 + 2.it + 2.5 + 9.6 + 3.It + 8.8 T o t a l l o a n s and investments ( l e s s interbank) - 1.0 - 0.1). + 0.8 0.1 1.0 0.2 0.6 l.lt 0.2 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 0.3 + 1.2 End of December t o end of November Item 1951 1950 19lt9 1918 19lt7 + lt.lt + 8.2 + 0.1 + it.2 + 6.1t + + + 1/ + 5.1t + + + + + n . si# n.a. n.a# n.a. n.a. n . a# n.a. n.a. n. a. n.a. n.® a . n.a. n.a# n . a* n. a. n. a. n.a. n*a. U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s - O.lt - 5.3 + b»3 - 6.It - it. 7 Other s e c u r i t i e s + 0.6 + 1.9 + 0.9 + 0.1 + 0.8 + It.6 + it . 9 + 5.3 - 2.2 + 2.5 T o t a l l o a n s (excluding interbank) # 1956 + + + + • • End of December t o end of November Item 0 Business Real e s t a t e Security Agricultural Consumer All other T o t a l l o a n s and investments (less interbank) n. a. 1/ 2/ 3.It 1.0 0.7 0.5 lt.0 1.9 0.2 0.2 1.6 0.7 Not a v a i l a b l e . Less t h a n $50 m i l l i o n . Level of b u s i n e s s l o a n s i n c re ase d by and r e a l e s t a t e l o a n s decreased by $300 m i l l i o n i n October 1955 t o c o r r e c t c l a s s i f i c a t i o n e r r o r s . Most of t h e m i s c l a s s i f i c a t i o n probably occurred i n 1955. Not f o r p u b l i c a t i o n Business l o a n s a t commercial banks i n c r e a s e d $1*00 m i l l i o n i n November, about t h e same as t h e average f o r o t h e r r e c e n t y e a r s , b u t i n c o n t r a s t with a $100 m i l l i o n decline l a s t year* Since t h e beginning of 1958 b u s i n e s s loans have d e c l i n e d by $ 1 . 3 b i l l i o n , whereas i n t h e same p e r i o d of o t h e r recent y e a r s t h e y showed i n c r e a s e s ranging from $900 m i l l i o n t o $5 b i l l i o n with t h e exception of t h e r e c e s s i o n y e a r s 19%k and 1953 when t h e y d e c l i n e d b y $600 and $100 m i l l i o n , r e s p e c t i v e l y . This d e c l i n e has been t h e major f a c t o r accounting f o r t h e r e l a t i v e l y small growth i n t o t a l commercial bank l o a n s so f a r t h i s y e a r . .Seasonal borrowing sc€ c i t y banks by food p r o c e s s o r s , commodity d e a l e r s , and t r a d e concerns was l a r g e r i n November t h a n i n any o t h e r r e c e n t y e a r except 1952, as shown i n Table 2# Since June, however, l o a n s t o t h e s e borrowers have amounted t o $1,130 m i l l i o n , or about t h e average growth f o r o t h e r recent y e a r s . Other b u s i n e s s groups expanding t h e i r bank l o a n s i n November were s a l e s f i n a n c e companies ($lt2 m i l l i o n ) , metal and metal products manufacturers ($1*0 million), and p u b l i c u t i l i t i e s $15 m i l l i o n ) . During much of 1958, t h e t r e n d i n outstanding loans t o t h e s e i n d u s t r y groups has been downward, b u t t h i s t r e n d appears t o have been h a l t e d i n recent weeks and i n t h e case of p u b l i c u t i l i t i e s , t o have been r e v e r s e d . Loans t o t e x t i l e , l e a t h e r , and apparel m a n u f a c t u r e r s , which a l s o have been d e c l i n i n g during much of 1958, were down f u r t h e r i n November, while loans t o the c o n s t r u c t i o n i n d u s t r y , which had been r i s i n g during most of t h e y e a r , a l s o d e c l i n e d . Consumer loans are estimated t o have i n c r e a s e d $100 m i l l i o n i n November i n c o n t r a s t with a d e c l i n e of t h a t amount l a s t y e a r . There has been l i t t l e n e t change i n t h e amount of t h e s e loans outstanding i n 1958. In o t h e r y e a r s s i n c e 191*9, consumer l o a n s have expanded by $l-$2 b i l l i o n with t h e exception of 1951 and 195U, when t h e r e was l i t t l e change. S e c u r i t y loans i n c rease d by $200 m i l l i o n i n November, a g r i c u l t u r a l l o a n s $100 m i l l i o n , and " a l l o t h e r " l o a n s by $100 m i l l i o n . The growth i n a g r i c u l t u r a l l o a n s sinc e t h e beginning of t h e y e a r has amounted t o $800 m i l l i o n , the l a r g e s t i n any recent year. Deposits and currency. Preliminary e s t i m a t e s i n d i c a t e t h a t s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d demand d e p o s i t and currency holdings of i n d i v i d u a l s and b u s i n e s s e s rose by $500 m i l l i o n i n November Not f o r p u b l i c a t i o n L.U.3 Table 2 Changes i n Commercial and I n d u s t r i a l Loans ( i n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Business of Borrower 1958 1957 1956 + 150 + 81 + 108 + 339 + 63 + 68 + 52 + 183 + 31 + 282 Sales f i n a n c e + 1)2 - 175 All o t h e r - t o t a l Metals and products T e x t i l e s , apparel and l e a t h e r Petroleum, c o a l , e t c . Other manufacturing and mining Public u t i l i t i e s Construction A l l o t h e r t y p e s of business - b9 + ko - 169 - 89 k/ + T o t a l change 1951* 1953 1952 Oct. 3© Oct. 31 Nov. 1 Oct.27 Oct.2b Oct .29 Oct. 30 Nov. 26 Nov. 27 Nov.28 Nov. 30 Nov.2k Nov.25 Nov. 26 Food p r o c e s s o r s Commodity d e a l e r s Trade concerns Total Classified Unclassified 1955 1/ " + I51i + 135 + 108 + 87 + 330 + 81 + 67 + 221 + + + + + 60 + 315 — 56 + 65 + 192 + 116 + 253 + 88 - 191 - 25 + 67 + 57 76 + 57 7 + 17 k7 2 - 21 72 1 + + - 3 69 3 + 21 + 25 k9 + 97 2k 89 + 73 156 112 91 359 + 187 - 56 + 15 - 13 - 1*2 - 30 + 10 + 32 6 - 22 + 8 — 66 + + 331 - 91 - 163 - ii8 + 53lt + 8 99 + 316 — 25 9 %/+773 - 55 - 71 + 610 9 + 2U0 - 211 + k79 + 890 y + 1 0 8 9 ^ - 96 + 601 31 73 22 k9 + 50 1/ P r i o r t o week ending January 11, 1956, included changes i n a g r i c u l t u r a l loans# 3/ ?PP c e r t i f i c a t e s of i n t e r e s t which are e s t i m a t e d t o have amounted t o $175 m i l l i o n . 2/ c e r t i f i c a t e s of i n t e r e s t which are e s t i m a t e d t o have increased ?o2o million# k/ Less t h a n $500 thousand. ETote. C l a s s i f i e d d a t a are f o r a sample of about 210 banks r e p o r t i n g changes i n t h e i r l a r g e r l o a n s , t h e s e banks hold over 90 p e r cent of t o t a l commercial and i n d u s t r i a l loans of a l l weekly r e p o r t i n g banks and n e a r l y 70 p e r cent of those of a l l commercial banks. Data are p r e l i m i n a r y f o r week of November 26, 1958. Not f o r p u b l i c a t i o n -6- L.U.3 Table 2 (continued) Changes i n Commercial and I n d u s t r i a l Loans 1 / (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 0 End of June t o end of November Business of Borrower 1958 m # # 1957 1956 1955 1951 + 651* + 635 + 2?7 +1516 + las + 1*75 + 271 +12 61* + 388 + 1*61 + 188 +1037 1953 1952 Food p r o c e s s o r s Commodity d e a l e r s Trade concerns Total + 500 + 388 + 2l*2 +1130 + + + + Sales f i n a n c e - 192 - 677 - las All other - t o t a l Metals and products T e x t i l e s , apparel and l e a t h e r Petroleum, c o a l , e t c . Other manufacturing and mining Public u t i l i t i e s Construction A l l o t h e r t y p e s of business - 582 - 561 - sa - 188 - 62 -139 9 + 70 + 5 - 68 7 + 61 + 1*86 + 153 + 38 + 56 + 201* - 110 + 59 + 1*8 - 17 96 + 79 + 55 - 1*5 • + 211* + 58 - 271 — 28 - 57 + 101 + 68 - + 232 - 77 + 151* + 313 + 161* + 65 + 129 + 359 - 21*1* - 589 +1771 +2316 + 275 + 388 +2029 - 1*15 - 232 /-121 V- 27 y + 20 + 71* + 115 -look Classified Unclassified # T o t a l change l/ 2/ 3/ V — P r i o r t o week ending January loans. Includes CCC c e r t i f i c a t e s of t o $175 m i l l i o n . Includes CCC c e r t i f i a c t e s of #353 m i l l i o n . Includes CCC c e r t i f i c a t e s of $300 m i l l i o n . Notei 350 337 21*6 933 + + + + 1*15 327 186 928 + 686 + 660 + 227 +1573 . + 223 - 196 - 308 + 138 + 61*3 + 829 - 565 - 231* + 321 - 51*8 - 221; + 79 - 521* - 266 - 30 - 16 + 70 3 — 68 2 + 23 +1539 4/+2195 y+2i*8 y+i*o8 +2103 11 } 1956# included changes i n a g r i c u l t u r a l i n t e r e s t which a r e e s t i m a t e d t o have amounted i n t e r e s t which a r e e s t i m a t e d t o have inc re as ed i n t e r e s t which are estimated t o have declined C l a s s i f i e d d a t a are f o r a sample of about 210 banks r e p o r t i n g changes i n t h e i r l a r g e r l o a n s , t h e s e banks hold over 90 p e r cent of t o t a l comm e r c i a l and i n d u s t r i a l loans of a l l weekly r e p o r t i n g banks and n e a r l y 70 p e r cent of t h o s e of a l l commercial banks. Data a r e p r e l i m i n a r y f o r week of November 26, 1958. Not f o r p u b l i c a t i o n following an i n c r e a s e of $1.2 b i l l i o n i n t h e previous month. Since t h e beginning of t h e y e a r t h e s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d money supply has in c r e a s e d more t h a n $5 b i l l i o n , an annual r a t e of growth of It p e r c e n t . This has been a l a r g e r r e l a t i v e as w e l l as a b s o l u t e growth t h a n i n t h e comparable p e r i o d of any y e a r since 195)1* Most of t h e i n c r e a s e , however, occurred during t h e period March through July. Demand d e p o s i t s a d j u s t e d b e f o r e seasonal c o r r e c t i o n in c r e a s e d $>800 m i l l i o n i n November, somewhat more than t h e usual seasonal growth f o r t h i s month. A l l of t h e i n c r e a s e r e f l e c t e d growth o u t s i d e weekly r e p o r t i n g banks; t h e l a t t e r showed no change over t h e month. The i n c r e a s e i n demand d e p o s i t s a d j u s t e d was a s s o c i a t e d with a $1.7 b i l l i o n expansion in holdings of U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s , p r i n c i p a l l y a t commercial banks, and a Si b i l l i o n expansion i n loans and investments o t h e r t h a n U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s . U. S. Government d e p o s i t s a t commercial and Federal Reserve Banks a l s o increased by # 2 . 1 b i l l i o n i n November, considerably more than t h e November i n c r e a s e of any year s i n c e 19U5« Time d e p o s i t s a t commercial banks d e c l i n e d by $800 m i l l i o n i n November, somewhat more than t h e usual r e d u c t i o n a s s o c i a t e d with withdrawal of Christmas s a v i n g s . In r e c e n t months t h e r a p i d expansion i n time d e p o s i t s a t commercial banks, which began i n 1957 and a c c e l e r a t e d i n t h e f i r s t p a r t of 1958, has almost come t o a h a l t . In September t h e r e was no i n c r e a s e and i n October t h e i n c r e a s e amounted t o only $200 m i l l i o n . This compares with average i n c r e a s e s of $900 m i l l i o n p e r month i n t h e f i r s t h a l f of t h e y e a r and $500 m i l l i o n p e r month during J u l y and August. At c i t y banks time d e p o s i t s began t o d e c l i n e i n September b u t t h e s e d e c l i n e s were o f f s e t by small i n c r e a s e s a t banks o u t s i d e weekly r e p o r t i n g banks i n a l l months except November. Deposits a t mutual savings banks are estimated t o have inc re ase d by $100 m i l l i o n i n November, compared w i t h no change i n t h e same month i n o t h e r r e c e n t y e a r s . The s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d annual r a t e of t u r n o v e r of demand d e p o s i t s a t banks o u t s i d e New York and o t h e r f i n a n c i a l c e n t e r s averaged 23.2 times i n October, almost unchanged s i n c e J u l y . Turnover a t t h e s e banks i s now only about two p e r cent below t h e t h i r d q u a r t e r 1957 peak. At banks i n New York C i t y , t h e average f o r October was 51*6 t i m e s . This was somewhat h i g h e r than September b u t w e l l below t h e second q u a r t e r 1958 average of 56.9 times* Not f o r p u b l i c a t i o n U.(,3 -8- Table 3 Estimated Changes i n Deposits and Currency (In b i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Item Seasonally a d j u s t e d d a t a 1 / Demand d e p o s i t s a d j u s t e d Currency o u t s i d e banks Total Seasonally unadjusted d a t a 1 / Demand a d p o s i t s a d j u s t e d Currency outside banks Total Time d e p o s i t s Commercial banks Mutual savings banks U. S, Government d e p o s i t s Total 1958 1957 1958 net. 30 Oct. 31 June 26 June 27 Jan. Nov. 26 Nov. 27 + 0.3 - 0.6 + 0.5 - 0.2 + 0.2 + 0.8 + 0.7 + 1.5 - 0.7 — 0.8 + 0.1 + 2.1 + 2.9 Factors a f f e c t i n g d e p o s i t s (signs and currency Bank loans and investments o t h e r than U. S. Govt. s e c . 3 / + 1 . 0 Commercial ~~ + 1.1 Mutual savings + 0.2 Bank holdings of U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s : + 1.7 Federal Reserve + O.it Commercial + 1.3 Mutual saving and o t h e r If Gold stock and f o r e i g n d e p o s i t s a t F . R. Banks 2/ Other f a c t o r s + 0.2 V 1957 1958 Nov. 26 2.9 + o.li + + - 0.1 3.0 1/ 0.7 5.9 0.9 6.8 0.7 o,5 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.7 -•§{3 3.9 luO ~5T Nov. 27 1 Nov. 26 Jan. 1 Nov. 27 5.2 ZL — 0.8 + o.li - l.k + 0.2 - 1.2 + 1.6 + 0.7 + 2.3 + 1.2 + 1.0 5.2 - o.it + 1.3 - b.2 4* 1 . 7 + 7.6 — 0 + o.U 6.0 + 0.I4 + + + 2.1 +11.0 - 1.5 1957 4* 1.8 1.6 + 0.2 + 5.L li.ii + 1.3 — 0.8 + + 0.6 i n d i c a t e e f f e c t on d e p o s i t s and currency) - 0.1 - 0.3 + 1.9 + 1.3 + 1.1 + 1,0 + 0.1 + 1.0 + 6,0 + 3.8 + 2.7 - 0.3 + 0.3 + 1.6 + 0.7 + 1.6 - 0.2 + + + - - 0.5 - 0.1; + 0.2 + 0.2 - 0.7 - 0.5 + 0.3 — 2.0 - 3.2 + 0.2 - 0.1* 3.3 0.8 2.7 0.1 + l.il — 0.8 +10.2 + 9.1 + 3.0 + 2.1 - 3.8 1.3 1.7 0.7 + 0.9 - 1*3 Seasonally a d j u s t e d d a t a are f o r l a s t Wednesday t h r o u g h o u t j unadjusted d a t a are f o r l a s t Wednesday except in case of June and December c a l l d a t e s , when available. Less than $50 m i l l i o n . Total includes f o r e i g n loans on gold, holdings of bankers' acceptances a t t h e F e d e r a l Reserve, and loans t o f o r e i g n banks; changes i n t h e s e items are genera l l y r e l a t i v e l y small. In a d d i t i o n even i f there ire re no changes i n t h e s e items, changes a t commerical and mutual savings banks would not add t o t o t a l change which i s "net" because commercial banks exclude a l l i n t e r b a n k l o a n s , domestic and f o r e i g n . % Notes Data f o r November 26, 1958, are p r e l i m i n a r y e s t i m a t e s based on d a t a f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g banks and e s t i m a t e s f o r o t h e r banks. Later e s t i m a t e s f o r November w i l l be shown i n the Board's s t a t e m e n t , "Assets and L i a b i l i t i e s of A l l Banks i n t h e United S t a t e s " a v a i l a b l e a t t h e end of December. # L.lt.3 -9_ Table 3 (continued) Estimated Changes i n Deposits and Currency (In b i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Item Seasonally a d j u s t e d d a t a 1 / Demand d e p o s i t s a d j u s t e d Currency o u t s i d e banks Total Seasonally unadjusted d a t a 1 / Demand d e p o s i t s a d j u s t e d Currency outside banks Total Time d e p o s i t s Commercial banks Mutual savings banks U. S. Government d e p o s i t s Total Item Seasonally a d j u s t e d d a t a 1 / Demand d e p o s i t s a d j u s t e d Currency outside banks Total Seasonally unadjusted d a t a 1 / Demand d e p o s i t s a d j u s t e d Currency o u t s i d e banks Total Time d e p o s i t s Commercial banks Mutual savings banks U. S. Government d e p o s i t s Total n® 1/ 2/ End of December t o end of November 1956 1955 1951 1953 1952 + 1.2 + 0.3 + 1.5 + 2.8 + o.5 + 3.3 + 3.3 + 2.9 + 1.0 + O.it + l.lt + 3.5 + 1.2 + lt.7 - 1.6 + o.It - 1.9 + 2.5 + 1.2 + 1.5 ±JL»J , + 1.9 + o.k + 2.1 + 0.9 + 1.5 - 0.1 + 2 .It + 1.5 - 0.6 + 1.0 + 3.9 + 2.6 + 1.5 + 2.6 + 7.5 + + + + + + + 1.2 + 1.1 + 2.3 + 3.1t + 2.1 + 1.1 - 0.3 Z/ 1.3 o.k 0.9 3.5 2.2 l.lt 0.6 3.2 + 3.1i + 9.0 End of December t o end of November 1951 1950 19h9 + 5.0 + 1.0 + 6.0 + it.6 - 0.2 + lt.lt + U.o + Q.ii + ii.lt + l.L + 1.0 + o.6 + lt.5 + 0.7 + 6.5 - Qe.5 + + + + It.o 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 3.5 1918 19lt7 + 0.2 - 0.5 - 0.3 - 1.3 — 0.6 - 1.9 + 3.1 - o.5 - 1.9 - 0.6 -+ 2.5 0.6 + 0.3 + 0.5 + 1.6 - 0.3 - 1.5 + 0.5 + 0.1 - 0.9 n«a. n.a. + 2.6 - 0.P + 2.It + 2.0 + 1.2 + 0.7 — 0.3 + lt.1 Seasonally a d j u s t e d d a t a are f o r l a s t Wednesday t h r o u g h o u t j unadjusted d a t a are f o r l a s t Wednesday except in case of June and December c a l l d a t e s , when a v a i l a b l e . Less than $50 m i l l i o n . Hot f o r p u b l i c a t i o n . L.iu3 -10- Bank r e s e r v e s . Member bank reserve p o s i t i o n s t i g h t e n e d s l i g h t l y f u r t h e r i n November. Free r e s e r v e s averaged #38 m i l l i o n , about $63> m i l l i o n below t h e l e v e l f o r October and September and $3!?0 m i l l i o n below August, as shown i n Table It. In t h e period March through J u l y f r e e r e s e r v e s had remained near $000 m i l l i o n . Borrowings i n November were $1*86 m i l l i o n , about $60 m i l l i o n g r e a t e r than i n October, while excess r e s e r v e s were Sf>25> m i l l i o n , almost unchanged from t h e preceding month. The t i g h t e n i n g i n reserve p o s i t i o n s occurred p r i n c i p a l l y a t c e n t r a l reserve c i t y banks; a t reserve c i t y and country banks t h e r e was l i t t l e change from t h e preceding month. Free r e s e r v e s dropped from about $70 m i l l i o n a t t h e beginning of t h e month t o a low of $6 m i l l i o n i n t h e f i r s t week of November when reserve needs were l a r g e and then rose t o a high of Si50 m i l l i o n i n t h e week ending November 12, when t h e beginning of t h e mid-month r i s e i n f l o a t and a d e c l i n e i n r e q u i r e d r e s e r v e s eased reserve p o s i t i o n s . In the ensuing two weeks ending November 26, f r e e r e s e r v e s d e c l i n e d t o about f l £ m i l l i o n due i n p a r t t o some r e d u c t i o n i n System holdings of Government s e c u r i t i e s i n t h e week ending November 19 and t o a l a r g e i n c r e a s e i n r e q u i r e d r e s e r v e s i n t h e week of November 26 a s s o c i a t e d with purchase by commercial banks on November 20 of t h e new Treasury t a x a n t i c i p a t i o n b i l l s . By t h e beginning of December borrowings exceeded excess r e s e r v e s by about $50 m i l l i o n f o r t h e f i r s t time since January of t h i s y e a r . The e f f e c t i v e r a t e on Federal funds f l u c t u a t e d between 2 - 1 A and 2-1/2 p e r cent during most of November. In t h e f i r s t s i x days of t h e month t h e r a t e stood a t 2 p e r c e n t , i t dropped t o a low of 1 p e r cent on November 12, and t h e r e a f t e r moved upward and remained a t or n e a r 2-1/2 p e r cent during t h e remainder of t h e month. Rates on p r i v a t e open market paper showed varying t r e n d s . The r a t e on 3-6 month f i n a n c e paper declined by 1 / 8 of 1 p e r cent t o 2-3/h p e r cent on November 1 and remained a t t h i s l e v e l . The U-6 month prime commercial paper r a t e , which was 3 - 1 / 8 p e r cent a t t h e beginning of t h e month, d e c l i n e d b r i e f l y during t h e middle of t h e month t o 3 p e r c e n t , and t h e r e a f t e r i n c r e a s e d t o 3 - 1 / 8 p e r c e n t . Rates on new and renewal c a l l loans secured by U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s ranged between 2 - 2 - l / L p e r cent a t t h e beginning of t h e month b u t moved upward g r a d u a l l y t o a l e v e l of 2-3/It p e r cent b e f o r e t h e end of November. Other p r i v a t e open market paper r a t e s were unchanged during November. Not f o r p u b l i c a t i o n e —1— L.lt.3 Table h Free Reserves (excess r e s e r v e s minus member bank borrowings; based on average of d a i l y f i g u r e s ; i n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) All member Q u a r t e r l y averages 1956s F i r s t Second Third Fourth 1957s First Second Third Fourth 1958: First Second Third 1957: 1958: 1958: # Note: June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November October 29 November 5 November 12 November 19 November 26 December 3 - 310 Ull 230 128 - - 108 185 WtO 265 88 - 196 - 2 la - 109 - ! New York 170 96 157 16 6 313 508 31*1 - 9 18 28 508 383 2*71 1*66 M 293 133 — - 185 181 289 25ii llil 80 105 122 32k h93 k93 517 < - 516 383 95 111 38 67 6 150 12 18 h9 - Ii6 2b h2 3 51 7 16 22 79 17 h2 69 k - 102 — 5o - 5o l Chicago Reserve City - 117 175 71 113 - 329 Itl8 31+1 2 lit 336 278 338 365 - 115 lip. 56 105 - 221 373 h28 320 316 22k 286 276 - 16 it 1 - 27 63 55 365 1*22 k2h - ltd 28 26 115 115 123 77 - 1*88 1|52 1*00 U33 389 3lt2 228 210 278 336 301 252 277 25 6 18 7 7 12 k - lltlt 1 62 lilt 89 57 56 22 201 187 192 337 353 1*06 1*59 399 JU08 1*71 1*26 378 281 289 181* 161 110 183 180 369 310 256 287 — - — •"« — - 3 3 16 - 1 9 7 lit 19 22 Data f o r November and December are p r e l i m i n a r y ; Not f o r p u b l i c a t i o n ' — - 231 170 31U Country 2a L.U.3 -12— Table 5 Changes i n Member Bank Reserves, with Relevant F a c t o r s (Monthly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s ; i n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) November Item 1958 July-November 1957 1958 J anuary-November 1957 1958 1957 Member bank reserve balances Total Required r e s e r v e s 1 / E f f e c t of r e d u c t i o n i n requirements E f f e c t of deposit change Excess r e s e r v e s 1 / + 6b - + 73 - 11|6 + - 73 9 - 12+6 + 6h Principal factors Currency i n c i r c u l a t i o n Gold stock and f o r e i g n accounts Treasury o p e r a t i o n s Federal Reserve f l o a t Other f a c t o r s E f f e c t of above f a c t o r s on r e s e r v e s 82 - + - 60 - 2h - 880 - 577 39 - 38 - 830 - 136 39 99 + 38 lb -II4I4.O + 610 - 50 - h36 - 11+1 (signs i n d i c a t e e f f e c t on r e s e r v e s ) - 3b2 - 225 - 693 - U32 + 200 + WL - 79 + 14 + I + 23 + 99 + 25 - 17 - 26 + + + 837 67 123 1+5 + 193 + lt5 - bh - lit -2052 + 136 - ItOli - 188 + 851 + 50 - 507 - 136 - 353 - 11+1+ -1295 - 252 -2308 + 699 + 111 9 + 63 +1237 + 227 +1131 -1275 + 351+ + 302 + 52 + 2 + 69 + 21+ + 1+5 + 2 + 900 + 06i+ + 36 9 + 1*28 + 359 + 69 2 +1668 + w - 279 9 -I3I+8 -12^ - 126 - 31 + 61 + 2 - + 3hh + 2 - 201 + 2 - 22b U + 116 - 12 Federal Reserve loans and investments: Total U. S. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s Outright Repurchase agreements Acceptances Discounts and advances: To member banks To o t h e r s 1/ Data f o r November 1958 are p r e l i m i n a r y . Not f o r p u b l i c a t i o n 7 1 L.ii.3 -13- Reserves supplied t o member banks i n November p r i n c i p a l l y by Federal Reserve purchases of U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s ($355 m i l l i o n ) were more than absorbed by an i n c r e a s e i n currency i n c i r c u l a t i o n ($3U0 m i l l i o n ) , a decline i n gold stock and f o r e i g n accounts ($80 m i l l i o n ) , and an i n c r e a s e i n r e q u i r e d r e s e r v e s (#73 m i l l i o n ) . -IkDeposits and Currency (In b i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) L.k.3 Year or month End of Dec. 19k7 1948 19k9 l&O -1951 1952 19$3 195k 19# 1956 1957: June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. 26 31 29 25 30 27 31 I3J (21 i l l Seasonally Seasonally a d j u s t e d adjusted money supply 1 / money Cursupply and Demand Total rency d e p o s i t s time dep. (2+3) a d j u s t e d outside a t com'l. banks banks (1+7) 111.1 108.8 109.0 Ilk.3 120.1 11:1 8k. 3 39.8 9k.5 97.8 99.5 25.9 25.3 2k.7 2k.5 lk6.3 lkk.6 lk5.1 165.k 170.5 176.5 25.6 129.7 133.2 13k.k 102.8 105.8 106.7 26.9 27.3 26.9 27.k 27.7 135.2 107.3 27.9 12k.7 126.8 136.0 13k.7 133.9 13k.2 13k.0 133.2 108.0 106.8 106.2 106.5 105.9 105.1 28.0 27.9 27.7 27.7 28.1 28.1 150.6 158.0 181.6 185.0 (S) (9) (10) (11)(12) +11) 87.1 85.5 85.8 92.3 98.2 101.5 102.5 106.6 109.9 lll.k 189.7 107.2 107.2 110.3 189.3 (8) Total deposits U. S . CurDemand rency and Gov't deposits Total Commer- Mutual P o s t a l deposits outside currency adjusted (7+8+9) c i a l banks (5+6+10 savings savings If 105.6 106.6 189.0 (7) Time deposits 189.2 190.k 189.k 189.0 (6) 105.1 105.5 58.6 59.2 61.5 65.8 70.k 75.3 78.k 82.2 86 .k 86.7 87.1 87.7 88.1 87.6 89.1 in 36.1 36.3 37.9 k0.7 k3.7 k6.8 k8.k 50.6 5k.0 5k .k 5k.7 55.1 55.5 55.0 56.1 Hi 19.3 20.0 20.9 22.6 2k.k 26.3 I:1} 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.k 2.1 k.l 3.7 3.9 5.6 lw 8 t& 25.k 25.k 26.3 27.5 28.1 27.9 28.3 28.3 172.3 172.7 173.9 180.6 189.9 200.k 205.7 21k. 8 28.1 30.0 1.9 1.6 5.1 k.k k.5 30.9 30.9 1.5 l.k l.k l.k l.k 1.3 1.3 5.2 k.2 k.9 k.5 k.O 3.7 k.7 27.8 22k.9 27.8 22k.9 225.k 1.3 1.3 1.3 2.9 k.2 6.k 27.3 27.k 31.0 31.2 31.3 31.3 31.7 1958: Jan. 29 188.8 132.2 10k.7 89.8 107.6 27.5 56.6 31.9 Feb. 26 27.6 105.6 133.1 105.5 190.7 32.1 90.9 57.6 Mar. 26 13k. 0 27.6 106 .k 192.8 10k.6 58.8 32 .k 92.5 Apr. 30 107.2 27.8 135.0 107.2 19k.9 93.6 32.5 59.9 May 2B 107.6 196.2 105.8 27.9 135.5 9k.6 60.7 32.7 June 25 28.0 107 .k 197.0 61.6 32.8 135.k 105.7 95.6 July 3C 28.1 108.1 96. k 137.6 109.5 199.9 62.3 32.9 Aug. 27 28.1 Q7.0 109.2 200.0 137.3 62.7 107.5 33.1 Sept 2k 108.9 27.8 108.1 136.7 199 .k 62.7 97.2 33.3 Oct. 29p 110.0 110.8 200.8 27.9 137.9 62.9 97.k 33.k Nov. 26p 28.1 110.3 138.k 111.6 200.5 62.1 33.5 96.7 Prellmi 5 / Seasona?fy^adjusted s e r i e s begins i n 19k7 and i s a v a i l a b l e only ^for l a s t Wednesday http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ / At Bank cAnmerciala b r i n g s , and f e d e r a l R e s ^ v e Banks, Federal2Reserve of St. Louis 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 27.8 I?:i 28.5 28.3 27 .k 6.0 6.1 10.2 27.8 6.2 28.0 k.8 5.0 k.2 6.3 of the month. 27.6 27.8 27.9 27.9 28.0 28.7 221.0 226.k 225.2 227.0 227.0 232.3 227.7 228.1 230.9 23k.k 23k.3 239.3 237.2 238.7 238.1 2k0.k 2k3.3 1$' if* Loans and Investments a t A l l Commercial Banks (In b i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) £ a a Date Total loans Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 116.2 lilt. 2 120.1 126.6 132.5 Htl.5 115.5 155.7 160.3 161.5 69.2 62.6 67.0 62.0 61.5 63.3 63.1 69.0 61.6 58.6 9.0 9.2 10.2 12.lt 13.3 llt.l lit. 7 16.3 16.7 16.3 37.9 lt2.lt 42.9 52.2 57.6 61t.O 67.lt 70.lt 82.0 89.7 1957: Jan. Feb* Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. 30 27 27 2k 29 26 31 28 25 30 27 31 161.6 161.1 161.1 163.8 163.8 16^.3 1614.1 57.7 56.8 16.2 16.3 16.5 16.7 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.9 17.1 17.6 I7.lt 17.9 87.7 87.9 89.1 89.7 89.9 92.0 91.0 91.5 92.2 91.6 91.5 93.2 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. 29 26 26 30 28 25 30 27 2ij 29p 26p 17.9 18.2 18.9 19.3 19.lt 20.0 19.9 20.2 20.6 20.5 20.lt 90.5 90.6 91.5 91.9 91.3 93.6 92.2 92.1 92.6 93.3 9lt.5 a 1958: a U. S. Other Govt, secursecurities ities 1917: 191*8: 19h9t 1950s 1951: 1952: 1953: 1951: 1955: 1956 s 0 # Loans and investments I6I1.6 165.1 166.5 165.9 169.3 166.2 167.1 169.9 17b.O 173.8 178.2 176.2 178.3 177.9 179.8 182.2 55.7 57.5 57.1 55.5 56.3 56.2 55.9 57.3 56.9 58.2 57.7 58.3 59.6 62.8 63.1 6I1.6 61t.l 66.1 6I1.7 66.0 67.3 Business 18.2 18.9 17.1 21.9 - 25.9 27.9 27.2 26.9 33.2 38.7 Real SecuCone s t a t e r i t y Farm sumer All other 9.11 10.8 11.5 13.5 lit.6 15.7 16.7 I8.lt 20.8 22.5 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.9 2.6 3.2 3.6 It.5 5.0 lt.3 1.7 2.9 3.1 2.9 3.1t 3.9 5.0 5.2 lt.5 lt.2 3.8 lt.8 5.8 7.It 7.5 9.1t 10.9 10.9 13.2 llt.6 2.9 3.1 3.It lt.2 lt.5 It. 9 5.1 5.6 60 5 7.0 37.6 37.8 39.0 39.0 38.9 lt0.5 , 39.6 39.9 it0.3 39.7 39.6 lt0.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.6 22.7 22.8 22.9 22.9 23.0 23.1 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6 It.2 lt.2 lt.2 lt.2 lt.1 lt.1 lt.0 3.9 3.8 3.8 lt.0 lt.0 lt.1 lit. 5 lit. 5 llt.6 lit. 9 15.1 15.3 l5.lt 15.5 15.6 15.7 15.6 15.7 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.3 7.2 7.3 7.3 38.8 38.6 39.2 38.it 38.1 38.8 37.9 38.3 38.7 38.8 39.2 23.1 23.2 23.2 23.3 23.5 23.7 23.9 21.1 2lt.3 2lt.7 25.0 3.6 3.9 lt.2 5.1 lt.lt 5.1t It. 5 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.8 lt.2 lt.lt lt.lt lt.lt lt.lt lt.6 15.5 15.3 15.2 15.3 I5.lt 15.5 15.6 15.6 15.6 15.6 15.7 7.2 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.it 7.1t 7.6 7.5 7.6 7.7 lt.6 lt.6 It. 7 It. 8 It . 9 p - Preliminary Noter Data exclude i n t e r b a n k l o a n s . T o t a l loans are a f t e r and t y p e s of l o a n s b e f o r e deductions f o r v a l u a t i o n r e s e r v e s . Consumer and " o t h e r loans" a r e p a r t l y estimated f o r a l l d a t e s and have been r e v i s e d beginning w i t h June 1957. Other d a t a are p a r t l y estimated on a l l but June and December c a l l d a t e s . Data f o r November 26, 1958 are p r e l i m i n a r y e s t i m a t e s based on d a t a r e p o r t e d by a sample of member banks. Loans by type f o r August and September 1958 have been r e v i s e d i n accordance with p r e l i m i n a r y c a l l r e p o r t d a t a f o r September 2lt, 1958* Not f o r p u b l i c a t i o n 12/16/58 Banking S e c t i o n , Board of Governors,