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Not'for P u b l i c a n r M December 18 , 1967. BANKING AND MONETARY DEVELOPMENTS IN NOVEMBER 1967 «•"*" k '' Summary. Seasonally adjusted commercial bank credit increased moderately in November, as it had in the previous two months, following the sharp mid summer expansion associated principally with large Treasury financings. Accelerated acquisitions of municipal and agency issues accounted for most of the November rise. Holdings of U.S. Government securities and security loans declined while other major loan categories rose only moderately. The money supply increased at about the same relatively high rate as earlier in the year. Growth in time and savings deposits, however, slowed further following the generally rapid pace through August. Total and required reserves rose less rapidly than in other recent months while free reserves were about unchanged. Changes in Commercial Bank Credit - ^ Money Supply and Time Deposits (Seasonally adjusted) Nov. Total loans and investments Sept.Oct. Annual rate (per cent) 1966 1967 1st 2nd 1st 11 1st Julyhalf half months half Aug. 1965 Year Year 6.0 9.4 21.6 9.9 12.0 2.2 9.2 5.7 10.2 U.S. Govt. sec. -9.6 4.9 69.3 6.3 16.5 -4.4 -8.4 -6.3 -5.6 Other sec. 32.8 13.6 10.7 31.2 25.8 0.8 12.1 6.5 15.8 Total loans 2.7 9.9 12.1 5.9 7.6 4.3 13.6 9.1 14.7 Business loans 5.7 3.6 6.5 10.9 8.5 7.7 18.2 13.3 18.8 Money supply 7.3 3.7 9.9 6.8 7.0 -0.2 4.6 2.2 4.7 11.9 12.2 16.7 17.4 16.4 6.5 10.8 8.8 16.0 Time and savings deposits at all commercial banks wnere necessary, ciiaugeB iu adjusted for the definitional shift of about $1 billion of participation certificates from loans to other securities on June 30, 1966. Changes in total credit, total loans, and total time and savings deposits described above are also adjusted for the reduction of $1.1 billion of balances accumulated for the payment of personal loans excluded on June 9, 1966 as a result of a change in Federal Reserve regulations affecting reserve requirements. - 2- Bank credit. Total loans and investments at all commercial banks increased $1.7 billion in November. This was a somewhat smaller rise than in either September or October and far below the unusually rapid $5.8 billion average increase of July and August. Growth in November was concentrated at banks outside the weekly reporting group where both holdings of U.S. Government securities and municipal and agency issues increased substantially; loan growth, on the other hand, was not particularly large. While "other securities" showed a fairly strong contraseasonal increase at weekly reporting banks, their holdings of Governments declined and their l o a n s — r e flecting in part repayments of security l o a n s — w e r e weak. At all commercial banks, over the first 11 months of the year, credit growth was at an annual rate of 12 per cent--or slightly more than the 10.2 per cent record postwar expansion of the calendar year 1965. U.S. Government security holdings increased for the first time since 1 9 6 1 — a t an annual rate of 16.5 per c e n t — m u c h more than in any other year. Growth in municipal and agency i s s u e s — a t a 26 per cent annual r a t e — w a s also slightly faster than in any other year. Loans, on the other hand, grew at a slower pace than at any time since the 1960-61 period. While both weekly reporting and other banks shared in the unusual increase in investment holdings, the slower loan expansion was concentrated at the larger banks; the smaller banks maintained fairly well the pace of other recent years. Commercial bank holdings of municipal and agency issues increased sharply in November--$1.6 billion; at the high annual rate of 33 per cent, growth was similar to that in the January-June 1967 period and much faster than in the July-October months. Weekly reporting banks purchased municipals of over one year (for which detailed data are available beginning June 1966) in much heavier volume than in the corresponding weeks of 1966 and reduced their short-term municipals much less. They also continued to add to their holdings of participation certificates. U.S. Government security holdings declined $500 million (seasonally adjusted) in November. While banks acquired some new securities, net, (an estimated $1.5 billion) in the midmonth financing they also sold Treasury bills in large v o l u m e — p r e s u m a b l y , in part, tax anticipation bills acquired in the October offering. On November 15, the Treasury issued about $12.4 billion notes ($10.7 due in 15 months and $1.7 due in 7 years) and paid off $10.2 billion maturing issues. Total loans at commercial banks rose only $500 million in N o v e m b e r — about one-quarter of the average increase over the preceding four months. This slowdown was associated in large part with a reduction in security loans following a steady buildup since June. In addition, nonbank financial loans leveled off. Real estate and consumer loans continued to rise at the slightly higher pace evident since midyear. Business loans rose $400 million in N o v e m b e r — a little faster than in other recent months--but at a rate only half that of the moderate JanuaryJune expansion. Over the first 11 months of 1967, business loans rose at an annual rate of 8.5 per c e n t — a b o u t half as fast as the unusually rapid pace of the years 1965 and 1966. In November, most of the expansion occurred at banks outside New York City; at banks in New York City, business loans were weak. Loans to food processors and commodity dealers were larger than usual over the month and banks also continued to purchase bankers' acceptances, although relatively not as heavily as in September and October. Money stock and time deposits. .The money supply rose $1.1 billion in November. At the relatively high annual rate of 7.3 per cent, growth was close to the general pace of O c t o b e r , t h e third quarter, and the first half of the year. Expansion in November reflected, to some extent, larger-thanusual reductions in Government deposits. Inflows of time and savings deposits in November--at an 11 per cent annual rate--were at a slightly slower pace than in October and in the third quarter and much below the high 17 per cent annual rate of the first half. In November, however, negotiable CD's increased by an unusually large amount-over $1 billion at weekly reporting banks. Growth in time and savings deposits other than CD's moderated further in November. Bank reserves. Total and-required reserves rose further in November but less rapidly than in other recent months. Over the four statement weeks ending November 29, free reserves averaged about $220 million, little different from the average of the previous four weeks. Both borrowings and excess reserves were reduced slightly. Banking Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. # e # # • T • • • t e e L . 4 . 3 - EXHIBIT A , P A R T 1 LOANS AND I N V E S T M E N T S AT ALL C O M M E R C I A L B A N K S Billions 400 TOTAL LOANS AND INVESTMENTS 300 200 LOANS 100 U.S. GOVT. SECURITIES OTHER SECURITIES 1961 1962 1963 1964 1 1965 1966 1967 Chart revised beginning August 1967. Exhibit A - Part II Date Total 1/ (I U .S. G o v 1 1 . securities Loans 1/ n b i 1 1 i o n s of Other securities d o l l a r s ) 1962—Dec. 1963—Dec . 1964—Dec. 1965—Dec. 31 2/ 31 2/ 31 31 227.9 246.2 267.2 294.4 134.1 149.7 167.7 192.4 64.5 61.5 60.7 57.3 29.2 35.0 38.7 44.8 1966—June July Aug. Sept.. Oct. Nov. Dec. 30 27 31 28 26 30 31 306.8 3/ 307.5 309.9 309.4 308.9 309.3 310.2 , 203.4 3/ 204.5 205.8 206.2 207,2 207.5 207.8 54.9 54.5 56.0 54.9 53.4 53.4 53.7 48.5 3/ 48.5 48.0 48.3 48.4 48.4 48.7 1967—Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sent. Oct. 25 22 29 26 31 30 26 30 . 27 D 25 p 314.4 318.0 321.4 323.2 324.6 325.6 332.4 337.3 339.5 342.6 344.3 210.4 211.0 211.3 213.5 213.5 213.9 217.1 218.2 220.2 221.8 222.3 54.2 55.9 57.8 56.1 Nov. c c c c 29 p c c c .i c 49.9 51.1 52.3 53.6 55.0 56.3 56.5 57.3 JlLuL 58.6 56.1 55.4 58.8 61.8 61.6 62.3 60.2 61.8 y Adjusted to exclude interbank loans. Estimated as of December 31. Beginning June 9, loan data exclude $1.1 billion of balances accumulated for payment of personal loans. Beginning June 30, total loans exclude, and other securities include, about $1 billion of participation certificates. c - Corrected V http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ • Federal Reserve Bank #of St. Louis e # t # e # # # L . 4 . 3 - EXHIBIT B# P a r t 1 l O A N S AT ALL C O M M E R C I A L B A N K S Last W e d n e s d a y of month, seasonally Billions of adjusted dollars BUSINESS REAL ESTATE CONSUMER SECURITY M I N I M I 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 I I I I IIII I I I 1966 Chart revised beginning August 1967. Exhibit B - Part II Date Business ( I n Real Estate b i 1 . i o n of d o 1 Consumer Security a r s ) 1962—Dec. 1963—Dec. 1964—Dec. 1965—Dec. 31 1/ 31 1/ 31 31 47.6 52.0 58.4 69.4 34.2 39.1 43.6 49.2 23.7 27.2 31.1 35.7 6.2 6.7 7.1 7.4 1966—June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 30 27 31 28 26 30 31 75.7 77.1 77.7 78.1 78.6 78.6 78.6 51.9 52.2 52.6 52.9 53.3 53.5 53.8 37.5 37.7 38.0 38.2 38.4 38.7 38.8 7.5 7.5 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.9 1967—Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Jul. Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 25 22 29 26 31 30 26 30 27 p 25 p 29 p 79.5 80.1 80.8 81.7 82.3 82.9 83.6 83.8 84.1 84.3 84.7 54.1 54.3 54.5 54.7 55.0 55.3 55.6 56.0 56.3 56.7 57.2 39.0 39.1 39.2 39.4 39.4 39.6 39.8 40.0 40.3 40.6 40.9 8.4 8.3 8.3 8.1 7.9 7.2 8.8 9.1 9.4 9.7 9.2 1/ Estimated as of December 31. p - Preliminary. These data are not for publication. 5 Exhibit C Changes in Loans and Investments at All Commercial Banks, Seasonally Adjusted (In billions of dollars) Item Oct. Nov. Dec. Loans and Investments 2/ - 0.5 + 0.4 + 0.9 U. S. Gov't, securities - 1.5 Other securities Loans 2/ Business Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sept. Oct. + 4.2 + 3.6 + 3.4 + 1.8 + 1.4 + 1.0 + 6.8 + 4.9 + 2.2 JUL1 1/ + 0.3 + 0.5 + 1.7 + 1.9 - 1.7 1/ - 0.7 + 3.4 + 3.0 - 0.2 + 0.7 + 0.1 1/ + 0.3 + 1.2 + 1.2 + 1.2 + 1.3 + 1.4 + 1.3 1 + 0.2 + 0.8 + 0.4 + 0.9 + 1.0 + 0.3 + 0.3 + 2.6 + 0.6 + 0.3 + 2.2 + 0.4 + 3.2 + 1.1 + 2.0 + 1.6 ~ + 0.5 1/ Real estate + 0.4 Consumer I/ + .0.9 + 0.6 + 0.7 + 0.9 + 0.6 + 0.6 + 0.7 + 0.2 + 0.3 + 0.2 + 0.2 + 0.3 + 0.3 + 0.2 + 0.2 + 0.2 + 0.3 + 0.3 + 0.3 + 0.4 + 0.3 + 0.4 + 0.2 + 0.3 + 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.1 + 0.1 + 0.2 1/ + 0.2 + 0.2 + 0.2 + 0.3 + 0.3 1/ - 0.1 + 0.6 + 0.5 - 0.1 1/ - 0.2 - 0.2 - 0.7 + 1.6 + 0.3 + 0.3 + 0.3 + 0.2 - 0.1 - 0.1 + 0.1 - 0.3 - 0.4 + 0.2 - 0.1 •0.2 - 0.1 1/ + 0.3 + 0.4 Agriculture 1/ 1/ 1/ V 1/ + 0.2 1/ + 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.1 + 0.1 1/ 1/ All other - 0.3 1/ * - 0.6 + 0.6 + 0.1 - 0.5 + 0.9 - 0.7 1/ + 0.4 - 0.1 + 0.5 v Total loans excluding security 3^/ + 1.0 + 0.4 - 0.3 + 2.1 + 0.7 + 0.3 + 2.4 + 0.2 + 1.1 + 1.6 + 0.8 + 1.7 + 1.3 Total loans excluding security and nonbank financial 3/ + 0.8 + 0.5 - 0.2 + 2.0 + 1.0 + 0.7 + 2.2 + 0.3 + 1.3 + 1.7 + 0.8 + 1.4 + 0.9 Security Nonbank financial 1./ 2/ 3j Less than $50 million. Adjusted to exclude interbank loans. At large banks on a last Wednesday basis, bankers' acceptances increased $112 million in November 1967, compared with an increase of $60 in November 1966 and a decline of $1 million in November 1965. Exhibit D Changes in Loans and Investments at All Commercial Banks, at Weekly Reporting Banks, and at Other Banks, Not Seasonally Adjusted (In billions of dollars) Last Wednesday of October to last Wednesday nf NnvAmhg Item All commercial banks Total loans U. S. Gov't, securities Other securities Total 1967 + 1.3 + 0.5 + 0.6 + 2.4 1966 1965 1964 1963 + 0.9 + 2.2 + 0.2 + 2.5 + 1.3 + 2.6 + 0.8 + 0.3 - 0.4 1/ + 3.9 + 2.6 + 0.2 + 1.1 + 0.8 - 0.8 + l.o' - 0.4 + 2.1 + 0.1 1962 Weekly reporting banks 5/ Total loans U. S. Gov t. securities Other securities Total Other banks 5/ Total loans^ U. S. Gov't, securities Other securities Total Item All commercial banks Total loans U. S. Gov't, securities Other securities , Total Weekly reporting banks 5/ Total loans U. S. Gov't, securities Other securities Total Other banks 5/ Total loans U. S. Gov't, securities Other securities Total NOTE: 1/ 2/ 3/ 4/ + 0.8 + 0.5 + 0.7 + 1.4 + 1.4 + 1.9 + 0.1 + 0.1 + 0.6 - 0.8 - 0.6 - 0.2 + 0.7 + 1.8 + 0.2 + 0.5 - 0.4 + 1.5 + 0.5 + 0.4 + 0.8 + 1.1 + 0.3 + 0.2 + 0.7 + 0.3 + 0.7 + 0.4 1/ ; + 0.7 + 0.3 1/ + 1.4 + 2.1 + 1.1 + 1.1 •End of December to last Wednesday: of ovember - 0.3 + 0.8 + 0.5 + 1.8 1967 + 8.5 + 6.7 +10.8 +26.1 + 2.2 + 3.2 + 64 7 +12.2 + 6.3 + 3.5 + 4.1 +13.9 + 0.1 1/ 4 f\5 1966 - 0.1 1965 3/1/ +11.4—' +17.9 - 5.1 - 4.3 + 2.02/ + 4.9 + 8.3 y +18.5 + + 5.12/ L/+10.1 3.7 - 4.0 0.41/ +.2^3 1.0it/ + 8.5 + 0.6 1962 +11.6 - 0.7 + 3.0 +13.9 +10.7 - 4.1 + 4.8 +11.4 + 8.4 + 4.9 4 : 2 ,4 + + + + + + + + + 4.8 1.5 1.3 4.6 + 7.3it/ + 1.7 + 9.3 + 2.6 1 7 — 1963 2/ + 6.8 + 0.8 +10.0 - 0.3 1964 2/ 3 APZ+ 7.8 + 6.32 - 0.3 Li&, - 0.1 5.0 4.4 3.0 3.6 + 5.7 + 0.3 - 1.0 3.5 3.1 3.3 3.7 + 4.9 + 2.1 + 1.8 + 1.6 + 7.8 + 8,7 Data exclude all interbank loans; call report data for large commercial banks used when available. Less than $50 million. Based on estimated data for all commercial banks on December 31, 1963, and December 31, 1962, and for large commercial banks on December 31, 1962. Allowance has been made in monthly changes in total loans and in other securities frr approximately $1 billion of participation certificates shifted from loans to other securities in late June 1966: $700 million at large banks and $300 million at other banks. Allowance has been made in monthly changes in total credit and in total loans for the $1.1 billion of balances accumulated for the payment of personal loans excluded from time deposits and from loans on June 9, 1966: $400 million at large banks and $700 million at other banks. Based on revised coverage beginning July 1966 and January 1967. 5/ • • • # • • e s s e Exhibit E Changes in Commercial and Industrial Loans at Large Commercial Banks (In millions of dollars) Late December to late November Late October to late November Business of borrower Food processors Commodity dealers Trade concerns Retail trade Wholesale trade Metals Primary metals Machinery Transportation equipment Other fabricated metals Textiles, apparel, etc. Petroleum Chemicals Other durable manufacturing Other nondurable manufacturing Mining Public Utilities, total Transportation 3/ + + + + + + + + 219 296 130 132 2 85 23 . 5 47 56 123 23 54 58 54 21 86 33 32 85 8 183 112 62 9 19 553 97 650 1965 1966 1967 + + + + + + + - + 191 242 130 57 73 76 4 4 124 40 101 37 17 16 41 161 n.a. n.a. n.a. 76 61 60 ' n.a. 1 n.a. 573 118 455 + + + + + + + + + + 204 179 226 175 51 26 17 19 38 24 114 13 11 17 16 1 221 n.a. n.a. n.a . 39* 45 1 n.a. 46 n.a. 774 173 947 1964 + + + + + + 209 223 223 189 34 69 35 + 66 46 + 8 - 134 12 + 52 27 31 + 108 + 44 n.a. n.a. n.a. + 22 187 + + 103 n.a. + 84 n.a. + 933 + 184 +1,117 1963 + + + + + + + + + + 201 189 284 254 30 9 11 54 47 13 93 8 11 38 10 78 145 n.a. n.a. n.a. 7 107 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 858 86 944 1967 1966 + 253 189 23 + 120 .+ 777 127 v + + 505 + 33 + 272 + 94 + 665, +2.163 + 379 + 107 +1,090 + 313 + 716 - 141 + 250 + 114 + 361 + 14 + 129 75 + + 433 + 161 + 452 + 28 + 353 + 190 + 481 107 + 855 + 652 n.a. + 457 n.a. + 161 n.a. + 34 + 13 75 + 183 +1.098 - 249 + 629 n.a. 7 + 432 + 476 n.a. - 166 +6,430 1+2,591 + 467 + 363 +6,397 +2,954 1964 1965 + 121 + 14 +1,272 + 844 + 428 +1,260 + 122 + 563 241 + + 334 + 399 + 343 + 297 + 360 + 252 + 221 + 999 n.a. n.a. n.a. + 342 + 204 - 493 n.a. + 697 n.a. +6,084 + 748 1 +6,832 64 41 417 228 189 110 8 28 + 5 + 125 + 16 185 + 239 113 + + 74 63 - 210 n.a. n.a. n.a. + 406 + 225 22 n.a. + 247 n.a. +1,119 + 636 +1,755 + + + + + + 2/ 1963 23 384 427 352 75 135 31 + 57 - 174 + 13 178 + + 22 33 + 43 75 + 360 + 30 n.a. n.a . n.a. + 201 + 243 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. +1,713 + 375 +2,088 + + + + - Communication 3/ + Other public utilities + + Construction + + + + All other types of business + + Bankers acceptances + Services 3/ + + + Other + Foreign business concerns 3/ + + -» + Classified + + + Unclassified + + + + Total Change 1/ Five most comparable weeks used throught. 2/ Changes are compiled from December 28, 1966 ; December 29, 1965 ; December 30, 1964, December 25, 1963.; and December 26, 1962. These data cannot be linked with all commercial bank data which are always for December 31. 3/ Prior to 1967, transportation, cominunciation, services, and foreign loans were not reported separately. Exhibit F Loans and Investments at All Commercial Banks (In billions of d o l l a r s ) Date 1957--Dec. 1958—Dec. 1959—Jun. Jun. Dec. 1960—Dec. 1961—Dec. 1962—Dec. 1963—Dec. 1964—Dec. 1965—Dec. 31 31 24 24 31 31 30 31 31 31 31 L o a n s and investments (old) (new) 1/ (est.) (est.) 1 9 6 6 — Jul. 27 A u g . 31 Sept.28 O c t . 26 Nov. 30 D e c . 31 1 9 6 7 — Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Other securities 169.3 184.4 184.2 184.2 58.2 66.4 60.9 60.9 17.9 20.6 20.6 20.6 189.5 198.5 214.4 233.6 252.4 273.9 301.8 58.9 61.0 66.6 66.4 63.4 63.0 59.5 20.5 20.9 23.9 29.3 35.1 38.8 44.9 52.7 53.7 53.6 53.6 54.4 56.2 48.6 48.4 48.8 48.7 47.9 48.8 56.0 56.6 306.9 2 207.4 308.8 308.0 309.0 c317.9 313.8 25 22 29 26 31 30 J u l . 26 A u g . 30 Sept.27P Oct. 2 5 P Nov. 29 p NOTE: D. S. G o v 1 t . 314.5 320.1 322.5 323.6 329.5 57.8 56.2 55.8 54.2 49.4 50.7 52.0 54.0 54.7 56.7 331.8 334.2 338.8 341.6 344.0 57.1 59.1 60.1 62.4 62.9 56.7 57.8 58.3 59.0 59.6 Business Real estate Security Farm - Revised. Consumer Nonbank financial institutions 93.2 97.5 102.8 102.8 110.0 116.7 123.9 137.9 153.9 172.1 197 .4 40.5 40.4 42.5 37.8 40.2 43.1 45.2 49.1 53.7 60.2 71.4 23.1 25.3 26.9 26.9 28.1 28.7 30.3 34.3 39.2 43.7 49.3 4.2 4.7 4.1 4.1 4.9 5.1 6.2 7.3 7.9 8.4 8.5 4.1 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.7 6.2 7.1 7.4 7.5 8.2 15.8 15.9 17.5 17.5 18.8 20.6 21.4 23.7 27.2 31.0 35.8 5.9 7.1 7.1 7.3 8.5 10.2 10.9 13.3 205.6 2/5 205.2 206.4 205.8 206.7 213.0 77.1 76.7 52.3 52.8 12.8 12.0 53.2 53.6 53.8 54.0 8.6 3/ 8.6 ~~ 8.6 8.6 8.7 8.6 38.1 38.5 77.9 78.0 78.6 80.6 7.2 7.7 7.0 6.8 6.8 9.0 38.5 38.5 38.7 38.9 12.5 11.9 11.9 13.3 208.5 207.2 210.3 212.4 213.1 218.6 78.9 79.1 81.1 81.8 81.7 84.6 54.0 54.0 54.1 54.4 54.8 55.3 8.5 7.6 8.3 8.3 8.1 8.2 8.7 8.9 9.1 9.2 9.3 38.7 38.6 38.7 39.1 39.4 39.9 11.7 11.3 11.5 11.6 11.3 12.2 218.0 217.3 220.4 220.2 84.0 82.5 83.9 83.7 84.6 55.7 56.2 56.6 57.0 57.5 8.4 8.9 9.0 8.9 8.4 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.3 Q.7 40.2 40.5 40.6 40.7 4o.g 11.4 11.2 12.0 11.6 221.5 » 8.6 D a t a e x c l u d e i n t e r b a n k l o a n s . T o t a l loans are after and type of loans before deductions for valuation reserve are p a r t l y estimated for all dates. Other data are partly estimated on all but June and December call dates, " b u s i n e s s loans" and "all other loans" have been revised to exclude loans to nonbank financial institutions. r 2/ 3/ 3/ Total loans All other 7.2 ___ 8.2 8.8 7.6 8.1 8.7 9.8 10.7 11.3 13.9 14.9 Ha yi 12.8 ' 12.5 12.4 13.0 12 .4 12.2 12.1 12.4 12.9 13.5 13.2 13.0 13.5 13.5 13*7 11.6 { — Consumer and Beginning June 24, 1959, c - Corrected. r e c l a s s i f i e d as "other s e c u r i t i e s . " http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank•of St. Louis TnHividual loans category dat* are available for publication only °n a June and December call data b a s i s . # e e t • # # # e Exhibit G Ratios to Total Deposits 1/ U. S. Government securities maturing within one year L O A N S Date All commercial Total banks Member banks Reserve city banks City of New York Other City Chicago Country All commercial banks 1951- -Dec. 1952- -Dec. 1953- -Dec. 1954- -Dec. 1955- -Dec. 1956- -Dec. 1957- -Dec. 1958- -Dec. 1959- -Dec. 1960- -Dec. 1961- -Dec. 1962- -Dec. 1963- -Dec. 1964- -Dec. 1965- -Dec. 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 28 25 31 31 37.2 39.3 40.5 40.3 45.8 48.8 49.7 48.4 54.0 55.1 54.5 56.5 58.6 60.5 63.7 37.6 39.9 41.1 40.7 46.7 50.1 51.0 49.4 55.6 56.5 55.7 57.7 59.9 61.9 65.4 46.3 50.6 50.6 46.8 56.7 61.7 61.9 57.7 67.3 65.9 65.0 67.9 67.4 69.3 75.9 36.2 38.9 39.1 38.3 46.3 52.7 55.2 49.4 58.2 60.8 58.0 61.4 62.1 64.4 70.2 39.4 41.1 42.2 41.9 48.5 52.7 53.3 51.3 58.2 59.0 57.7 60.1 63.3 65.0 68.7 32.1 33.9 36.1 37.1 40.7 42.6 44.1 44.4 48.2 50.3 50.2 51.7 53.8 56.0 57.9 9.8 11.7 16.9 10.0 5.1 7.5 8.4 8.3 7.4 8.7 11.2 9.5 2/ 7.5 8.0 7.3 1966 - -June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 30 2, 27 31 28 26 30 31 66.0 66.5 66.4 66.6 66.4 66.4 65.8 67.7 68.3 68:3 68.5 68.3 68.3 67.9 80.9 82.6 81:9 81.8 82.9 82.7 83.5 73.4 73.3 74.0 75.3 74.2 77.7 77.0 70.3 71.0 71:3 71.9 71.6 71.5 70.2 59.6 60.0 59.9 60.1 59.9 59.8 59.2 5.3 5.0 5:6 5.6 5.8 5.6 6.1 1967- -Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. 25 22 29 26 31 30 26 30 27 P 25 P 29 P 65.6 65.3 65.1 65.1 65.1 65.6 65. 1 64. 9 64.6 64.0 64.1 67.6 67.2 66.9 56.8 56.6 r 67.3 36.2 66.5 66.3 65.5 65.7 81.8 81.8 81.2 80.9 80.0 82.1 81.5 81.0 79.8 77.8 78.7 75.8 74.8 73.4 72.1 70.9 r.74,0 72.3 71.4 72.2 70.7 71.0 70.4 69.5 68.7 • 68.3 r 68.3 r 68.6 r 67.8 r 58.4 r 68.3 r 67.7 68.3 59.3 59.3 59.5 r 59. 8 r 59.9 r 60. 0 r 59.6 r 60.4 r 58,6 6.1 5.4 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.3 5.1 5.5 5.6 , 6.3 n.a. \ Oct. Nov. JTE: - r 58.6 58.4 ' Comparability of figures affected by changes in Federal Reserve membership, mergers, and by changes in the reserve classification of cities or individual banks. P - Preliminary, r - revised. 1/ Total loans (adjusted to exclude loans to banks); U.S. Government securities maturing within one year estimated on basis of Treasury survey of ownership; and total deposits (adjusted to exclude cash items in process of collection.) 2/ Beginning in June, loans at all commercial banks exclude about $1 billion of participation certificates now reported in other securities. If the $1 billion were included in loans in June the ratio for all commercial banks would be 66.3 • • DEI O S I T S A N D Seaso ally Annu I rate adjusted, • • l.4.3 Exhibit h, Par#i # CURRENCY AND TURNOVER OF DEMAND DEPOSITS deposits, monthly averages of daily figures, turnover, monthly Billions of I IIIIIIIIIIII 55 MONEY SUPPLY 50 45 TIME AND SAVINGS DEPOSITS All commercial banks 40 232 SMS A S 35 A - / 343 / x/X S TURNOVER Outside N Y C Centers 30 U.S. GOVT. DEPOSITS Member 10 banks 11 i i i i i i i i i i 0 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 Chart on revised basis for Money Supply, Time and Savings Deposits, and U.S.Govt. Deposits beginning July 1967 Exhibit H - Part II S e a s o n a l l y M c n e y S u p • p l y Time and V savings deposits (all commercial) 1/ Period Total Demand deposits A d j u s t e d Currency D a t a Turnover outside N.Y. City* (per cent) U. S. Govt, deposits (all member) 1964—December 1965—December 1966--December 159.3 166.8 170.4 125.1 130.5 132.1 34.2 36.3 38.3 126.6 146.9 158.6 5.1 4.2 3.2 33.3 37.4 40.0 1966—November 170.1 132.0 38.1 157.4 4.0 39.6 1967—January February March April May June July August September October November p 170.3 171.5 173.1 172.7 174.5 176.2 177.9 179.1 179.2 180.2 181.3 131.8 132.8 134.2 133.6 135.3 136.8 138.4 139.6 139.5 140.3 141.3 38.5 38.7 38.9 39.1 39.2 39.3 39.5 39.6 39,8 39.9 40.0 160.8 163.5 166.1 168.1 170.0 172.4 174.6 177.2 178.9 180.8 182.5 4.9 5.0 4.8 5.8 4.1 2.2 3.2 3.7 4.5 5.6 5.3 39.4 39.4 39.1 40.8 39.2 40.1 40.7 41.1 40.8 40.8 n.'a.. • W e e k ending: November 1 8 15 22 29 180.3 181.3 181.3 181.3 181.1 N O T E : Dollar amounts p - Preliminary r * - Beginning January 1/ Beginning on June personal loans. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ e Federal Reserve Bank•of St. Louis 140.5 141.3 141.3 141.2 141.0 39.8 40.0 40.0 40.1 40.1 181.6 181.7 182.3 182.9 183.2 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 6.7 5.7 5.5 5.4 4.7 in billions. Revised 1964, data for 232 metropolitan centers outside New York City. 9, 1966, time deposit data exclude $1.1 billion of balances accumulated for the payment o e e # • • • e # 1.4.3 - EXHIBIT I, P a r t 1 T I M E A N D S A V I N G S D E P O S I T S AT LARGE C O M M E R C I A L B A N K S Wednesday figures Billions of d o l l a r s 100 TOTAL TIME AND SAVINGS DEPOSITS SAVINGS DEPOSITS TIME D E P O S I T S TIME DEPOSITS EXCLUDING LARGE C D ' s LARGE C D ' s 1965 1966 1967 1968 Exhibit I - Part II Large Commercial Banks T i m e a n d S a v i n g s P e r i o d Total V ( I n 1961—Dec. 1962—Dec. 1963—Dec. 1964—Dec. 1965—July 5/ July 27 26 31 30 7 (Old) 7 (New) Time 1/ Savings m i l i o n s D e p o Large certificates of deposit 2 J s i t s Time other 1 / than large dertificates of deposit d o l i a r s ) o f 3/ 2,782 4/ 5,442 9,579 12,585 8,608 41,472 50,011 59,227 66,881 30,082 34,712 38,083 40,698 11,390 15,299 21,144 26,183 73,672 80,467 43,137 48,314 30,535 32,153 15,203 15,587 15,332 16.566 9,857 11.565 13,598 1965—Dec. 29 85,298 50,694 34,604 16 251 18,353 1966—Dec. 5/ D e c . 28 (Old) 28 (New) 89,495 89,639 47,099 47,213 42,396 42,426 15,659 15,642 26,737 26,784 1967--June July Aug. • Sept. Oct. 28 26 30 27 25 98,848 100,200 101,827 101,659 102,173 47,739 47,817 47,956 48,349 48,428 51,109 52,383 53,870 53,310-1 53,745 19,153 19,696 20,742 19,897 20,107 31,956 32,687 33,128 33,413 33,638 1 8 15 22 29 102,189 102,367 102,320 102,789 102,990 48,438 48,501 48,489 48,527 48,541 53,751 53,866 53,831 54,262 54,449 20,233 20,435 20,646 20,937 21,137 33,518 33,431 33,185 33,325 33,312 Nov. 2/ personal loans. Negotiable certificates off deposit issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. 3/ 4/ 5/ Estimated. As of December 5, 1962 . Revised series. Exhibit J Member Bank Reserves (Based oil averages of daily figures; in millions of dollars) Free reserves (excess reserves minus borrowings) D a t e All member Reserve Citv Banks City of New York Chicago Citv Other Excess Reserves Country All member Borrowings All member Total reserves held seasonally adjusted 1/ All member MonthIv Averages: 1958—December 1959—December 1960--December 1961--December 1962--December 196 3 — D e c e m b e r 1964—December 1965—December - 41 -424 669 419 268 209 168 - 2 - 80 -109 10 - 50 - 62 19 - 14 - 70 - 32 -104 - 4 - 22 - 11 - 21 - 31 - 8 -197 -449 80 20 - 52 -122 -103 -161 268 237 583 471 394 334 315 238 516 482 756 568 572 536 411 452 557 906 87 149 304 327 243 454 17,866 17,903 18.223 18,961 19,596 20,259 21,096 22,186 1966--Oct. Nov. Dec. -431 -222 -165 -124 - 71 - 95 - 95 - 24 - 50 -246 -245 -159 34 118 140 302 389 392 733 611 557 22,490 22,431 22,415 1967—Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. p - 16 - 4 236 175 269 297 272 298 268 160 251 - -123 - 64 - 15 - 20 1 - 3 - 15 4 3 4 11 - 80 - 84 13 - 38 - 9 33 12 16 6 - 24 3 233 211 306 242 266 258 254 271 231 191 214 373 358 435 309 370 420 359 387 358 286 384 389 362 199 134 101 123 87 89 90 126 133 22,774 22,992 23,407 23,456 23,448 23,612 23,835 24,104 24,297 24,608 24,747 NOTE: 46 67 68 10 12 7 20 6 39 - 10 23 Beginning July 26, 1962, figures for both New York and the City of Chicago include banks formerly classified as central reserve city and three banks whose calssification as reserve city is continued. l/~ B r l a k t n series due to redefinition of time deposits effective June 9, 1966, which reduced member bank reserves by $24 million in June 1966 and $34 million thereafter. Exhibit K Liquid Assets Held by the Public - Seasonally Adjusted Series (Amounts in billions of dollars; ratios expressed as percentages) Time deposits Total Demand deposits and currency 2I Commercial banks 3/ Mutual savings banks Postal Savings Sys tern U. S. Gov't, securities U. S. Gov't, Savings maturing savings and loan within one bonds 5/ shares 4/ year 6/ 7 320.2 130.2 48.2 26.3 2.1 332.5 343.2 356.0 373.1 393.9 399.2 424.6 459.0 495.4 530.5 573.0 - 133.3 134.6 133.5 138.8 139.7 138.4 142.6 144.8 149.6 156.7 164.0 49.7 52.0 57.5 65.4 67.4 73.1 82.5 98.1 112.9 127.1 147.1 28.1 1.9 585.9 589.5* 588.6 592.9 594.5 596.2 163.7 166.5 164.3 167.0 600.6 601.7 605.1 604.7 615.1 613.2 619.7 620.6 623.0 630.2 635.3 638. 1 645.0 166.1 166.0 168.0 168.6 166.9 165.8 171.0 168.6 172.9 173.7 171.9 174.1 176.2 175 .7 177.3 30.0 31.6 33.9 34.9 36.2 38.3 41.4 44.5 49.0 52 6 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 153.6 153.9* 156.1 156.6 156.7 156.6 158 3 159.6 53.3 53.6 53.7 53.9 54.2 54.6 54.8 55.2 0.3 163.6 165.3 167.6 168.6 170.7 172.4 174.7 177.2 178.1 180.1 55.5 55.9 56.3 56.8 57.4 57.8 58.4 58.7 58.9 59.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 183.7 60.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 27.2 32.0 37.0 41.7 47.7 54.3 8 55.6 30.6 55.9 54.8 31.6 33.2 38.8 35.6 48.8 41.9 42.6 46.8 51.6 101.4 109.8 50.5 47.9 47.0 47.4 47.6 49.0 49.9 50.5 111.3 111.5 110.9 111.4 112.3 112.2 113.0 113.4 50.4 50.4 50.6 50.6 50.5 50.6 50.6 50.9 53.3 53.4 52.8 53.3 54.5 113.7 114.8 116.3 117.1 51.0 50.9 51.0 51.1 51.1 51.2 51.3 51.3 51.4 51.4 51.5 54.2 51.7 52.9 50.9 49.5 46.5 46.7 47.8 48.2 48.3 48.8 61.8 70.5 79.8 90.9 118.0 118.9 119.9 121.0 122.4 123.0 123.7 Liquid assets to gross national product 7/ 48.1 46.1 48.6 85.3 81.3 79.7 80.5 79.5 Ratios; Commercial Demand deposits and bank deposits currency to and currency to gross nation- liquid assets ( 2 + 3 4 1) al product 7/ 10 34.7 32.6 31.3 30.4 29.7 80.2 28.6 79.0 78.4 79.5 27.5 26.4 25.1 81.0 24.6 24.1 81.5 80.0 22.8 79.7 22.5 79.0 22.2 78.5 21.9 79.2 21.9 79.6 22.1 79.3 22.0 56.0 55.8 53.9 For footnotes see next page. * - B e g i n n i n g w i t h data for J u n e 1966, total liquid assets and time deposits at commercial banks exclude $1.1 billion of balances accumulated for the payment of personal loans, p - P r e l i m i n a r y . IxhibitK (Continued) 1. Excludes holdings of the United States Government, Government agencies and trust funds, domestic commercial banks, and Federal Reserve Banks. Adjusted to avoid double counting whenever possible. All series adjusted for seasonal variation by the X-9 variant of Method II developed by the Bureau of the Census. 2. Data are for demand deposits adjusted and currency outside banks and are as of the last Wednesday of the month. In concept the figures agree with the daily average money supply described in detail in the Federal Reserve Bulletin for August 1962, p. 941, except that demand deposits held by mutual savings banks and by savings and loan associations have been deducted to avoid double counting. Demand deposits of commercial banks in Alaska and Hawaii are included beginning January 1959 and August 1959, respectively, except that one national bank in Alaska and one national bank in Hawaii were included in April 1954 and April 1959, respectively. Demand deposits due to banks in United States possessions are included throughout . 3. Total time deposits at commercial banks except interbank, U.S. Treasurer's open account, and postal savings redeposited in commercial banks. Data are as of the last Wednesday of month except June 30 and December 31 when call data for these dates were used when available. Time deposits of commercial banks in Alaska and Hawaii and time deposits due to banks in U. S. possessions are included as indicated for demand deposits in footnote 2 above. 4. Figures compiled by the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation except that prior to 1955 data are Board estimates based on monthly figures of inflow of new savings and withdrawal of savings capital compiled by the Federal Home Loan Bank Board. .5. Includes all types of savings bonds held by investors other than commercial and mutual savings banks and U.S. Government agencies and trust funds. Holdings of savings and loan associations are also excluded beginning in February 1960, the earliest date for which separate figures for these institutions are available. Figures are from data compiled by the U. S. Treasury Department. 6. Beginning December 1950 figures include Treasury marketable securities and Federal agency securities maturing within one year, except holdings of domestic commercial, mutual savings, and Federal Reserve Banks, Government agencies and trust funds, and beginning February 1960, savings and loan associations. Figures have been adjusted to include partially tax-exempt securities 12months prior to first call date, and prior to 1956, nonmarketable Treasury savings notes with maturities up to 36 months. Prior to December 1950 figures for marketable issues include securities callable within one year. Figures represent par value and are from the U. S. Treasury Department's Survey of Ownership of U. S. Government Securities. 7. Gross national product figures are available quarterly and annually only. Data for total liquid assets used jn computing these ratios are quarterly averages calculated for four dates (each month of the current quarter and the last month of the preceding quarter).