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# tr # t*>X V 535? August 17, i960 / BASKING AM? MONETAE? EEVELOPMEHTS IN JULY i960 Bank credit. Total loans and Investments at all commercial >wwVa increased $2 billion further in July, somewhat more than in the comparable period of 1959 and substantially more than in other recent years• This was wholly accounted for by expansion in holdings of U. S. Government securities, which increased $2.5 billion over the month. Large bank acquisitions were made at the time of the midmonth financing 1/, and during the second half of July, banks sold only a comparatively small portion of the securities acquired. Holdings of other securities rose slightly further in July; these holdings had begun to increase in Jung following large reductions earlier in the year. Bank loans declined in July largely due to redactions in business loans. Credit growth at both reporting banks in leading cities and at other banks (largely country and nonmember) was larger than in July of most other recent years. During the preceding three months credit had expanded more than usual at city banks but at other banks credit growth had been cons iderably slover than in past years • So far this year, credit has declined about $1 billion at all commercial banks. Credit had also declined in the comparable period of 1956 but had increased slightly in 1955 and 1959. Loan growth, however, has been only one-third to one-half as much as that In most other recent years of high economic activity while reductions in holdings of U. S. Government securities have been much smaller. Credit reductions at city banks and credit increases at other banks were somewhat smaller than usual in the January-July i960 period. Business loans at city banks declined $660 million over the four weeks ending July 27, a somewhat larger reduction than had occurred in the comparable weeks of 1957 and 1958. In 1955 and 1959, loans had increased somewhat in this period; the rise last year, however, was related to a contraseasonal expansion in loans to metals processors prior to the steel strike. Over the first seven months of this year, growth in business loans was well below expansion in similar periods of 1955, 1956, and 1959. During July, an unusually sharp reduction In loans to metals companies accounted for about half the total business loan decline at city banks. Loans to metals companies had increased more substantially than usual during the first half of i960* Bet repayments by food processors continued larger than seasonal in July, and loans to commodity dealers declined further whereas usually they increase in this period. Loans to trade concerns which had shown record growth in early i960 declined somewhat more than usual in July. Loans to textile manufacturers, which had also been expanding more than usual, rose only moderately further in July. 13 ' ° ° " * r e l a l tanks *ere allotted practically the entire $3.5 Not for publication | LA,3 Consumer loans at all commercial banks are estimated to have increased $100 million further in July, about in line with other recent years. So far this year, expansion in these loans, $1.1 billion, has been below last year'a record growth but about the sane as In earlier comparable years. Real estate loans continued to decline at city banks in July but probably continued to increase at other banks. Such loans have risen by $400 million so far this year, which is only one-fourth to one-half as large as in other years of high economic activity. Deposit ratios. The ratio of total loans to total deposits at all commercial banks declined slightly from the postwar peak in June to 56.2 per cent in July. The ratio declined at all classes of member banks. The ratio of commercial bank holdings of U. S. Government securities maturing under one year to deposits declined further in June to 4.1 per cent (July data not yet available). This ratio is now about the same as the recent low in the spring of 1956. Deposits and currency. Seasonally adjusted demand deposit and currency holdings of businesses and individuals increased $300 million further in July following a $600 million rise in June. At the month end, the active money supply was $2.5 billion or about 2 per cent below the year-ago level. On the other hand, U. S. Government deposits, which have shown only a small decline over the past two months following an unusually sharp rise in May, were about $1.5 billion above the July 1959 level. Also, time deposits at commercial banks increased $2.7 billion over the year ending July. Consequently, the total of currency, adjusted demand, and other deposits at commercial banks was about $1.5 billion, or about three-fourths of a per cent, above the level in July a year ago. . . Seasonally adjusted semimonthly averages of daily demand deposits adjusted at member banks, which had increased slightly during the second half of June, increased $1.2 billion between the second half of June and the second half of July. deposits at commercial banks increased $500 million in July seasonally adjusted basis, this represented growth of $700 million, following an $800 million rise in June. These deposits had shown relatively moderate growth over most of the earlier part of the year. Deposits at mutual savings banks increased slightly further in July both on an unadjusted and on a seasonally adjusted basis. So far this year, however, growth in these deposits has been considerably less than usual# . ... D e P o s It turnover. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of demand deposit turnover at banks outside New York and other financial centers June to 25,5 !^+ v ~ ^ J u 3 ^* ^ July level was about 3 per cent above that of a year ago but lower than in most other recent months. Hot for publication Liquid assets held by the public. Public holdings of liquid assets, seasonally adjusted, increased by $2 billion in June following a decline of $3-1/2 billion in the preceding month. At the end of June liquid assets held by the public were somewhat above the level reached at the beginning of the year and 1-1/2 per cent above; a year ago. Substantial increases in June in commercial bank time deposits and savings a M loan shares were accompanied by smaller gains in the privately held money supply and In United States Government securities maturing within one year. Bank reserves. Free reserves of all member banks averaged $120 million in July compared with $40 million in June. Borrowings declined further to $390 million and excess reserves rose somewhat to $510 million. An increase in country bank free reserves mainly accounted for the improvement in reserve positions. Seasonally adjusted total reserves (monthly averages of daily figures) at all member banks, which had been rising since April, rose further in July. During July, on a daily average basis, reserves were supplied principally by an increase of $500 million in Federal Reserve holdings of %??y e r n m e i r t securities, largely outright purchases but also including $90 million under repurchase agreements. Reserves were absorbed through a C »iTt nC ^ outflow of $250 million and an accelerated gold outflow of $100 Aititon* During the January-June period, the gold outflow had totaled only «pl40 million and this had been offset in its effect on reserves by a like reduction in foreign deposits at the Reserve Banks. Required reserves increased $180 million in July as a sharp increase associated with the mid-July financing was offset In part by prior and subsequent declines. Discount rate. Effective August 12, with the approval of the Board of Governors, the Federal Reserve Banks of New York, Cleveland, Richmond, and Kansas City.reduced their discount rates from 3-1/2 per cent to 3 per cent. By August 15, Minneapolis had also reduced the rate. - „ Bank reserves and reserve requirements. On August 8, the Board o ovemors amended Regulation D relating to bank reserves and reserve requirements. Effective August 25, country banks will be permitted to count in meeting their reserve requirements any vault cash they hold in excess of 2-1/2 per cent of their net demand deposits. At present, they can count only vault cash held in excess of k per cent of net demand deposits. Effective September 1, reserve city and central reserve city banks will be permitted to count vault cash in excess of 1 per cent of their net demand deposits, instead of the present 2 per cent. The above changes will release (estimated) $480 million of reserves, of which somewhat more than half will be at countiy banks and almost all of the remainder ax reserve city banks, . , Effective September 1, the reserve requirements of central reserve city banks against their net demand deposits will be reduced from 18 per cent to 17-1/2 per cent. This will release about $125 million of reserves. Banking Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. - 4 Table 1 L.U.3 Estimated Changes In Loans and Investments at All Commercial Banks (In billions of dollars) — Item End of June to last Wednesdayr of July I960 2/ w Total loans (less bank) 0*8 ^Business (excluding nonbank f inan™ clal or sales finance companies) 2/ — 0*8 Nonbank financial — 0*1 Sales finance companies n# a* (Business (including nonbank financial or sales finance companies)) (- 0.9) ^Beal estate + 0.1 ™ Security i/ Agricultural 1/1 Consumer + T5.1 All other 2/ .*• 0.1 S. Government securities Other securities Total (less bank) Item 1955 * 1.0 - 0.4 + 0.6 - 0.6 n.a. - 0.3 - 0.1 n.a. - 0.2 + 0.2 n.a. 1/ 1958 1/ 1957 2/ + 1.1 - 1.4 1/ + 0.3 n.a, - 0.8 n.a. - 0.1 (4 + + • + + 0.3) 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 (-0.9) (- 0.9) (- 0.3) (+ 0.2) + 0.2 + 0.1 + 0.1 + 0.2 - 0.2 1/ - 0.1 - 0.9 1/ - 0.1 - 0.1 - 0.2 + 0.1 + 0.1 + 0.1 + 0.2 1/ - 0.1 1/ + 0.1 + 2.5 + 0.2 - 0.5 + 0.8 - 0.4 + 0.4 + 0.1 1/ - 0.1 1/ - 0.2 - 0.1 - 2.0 - 0.2 - 1.0 + 1.0 + 1.9 + 1.5 End of June to last Wednesday of July 195^ Total loans (less bank) - 0.6 Business (excluding nonbank finan^ clal or sales finance companies) 2/ - 0.3 •Nonbank financial n.a. Sales finance companies 1/ (Business (including nonbank f inan^ clal or sales finance companies)) (- 0.3) Real estate + 0.2 ^Security - 0.4 "Agricultural Consumer Hi All other 2/ + 0.1 U. S. Government securities + 0.8 Sther securities + 0.2 m 1956 1959 1/ 1953 1952 1951 1950 19^9 + 0.3 + 0.2 0,6 + 1*0 - 0.7 + 0.1 - 0.2 1/ 1/ n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a • n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. ( 0.1) (- 0.2) + + 0.1 + 0.1 + 0.2 1/ + 0.1 + 0.1 + 0.1 + 0.1 1/ + 4.6 1/ + 0.1 (+ + 0.3) (+ 0.4) 0.1 + 0.2 0.1 + 0.3 - 0.1 0.1 1/ + 0.2 - 0.2 + 0.1 (n.a.) n.a. n.a, n.a. + 0.1 n.a. 4 1.7 - + 0.2 - 0.8 + 1.2 + 0.1 + 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.3 + 0.4 + 2.1 + 5.0 0.3 + 0.3 + 0.7 Total (less bank) wLm Less than $50 million. n.a. Not available. 2/ Data are on revised basis beginning June 1959 and exclude loans to nonbank financial institutions. For previous years, loans to sales finance companies at weekly reporting banks have been shown separately to provide roughly comparable changes in business loans on revised basis. 3/ Included in business and "other loans", h/ See above data. Not for publication L.lu3 - 5 Table 1 Estimated Changes in Loans and Divestments at All Commercial Banks (in billions or dollars; Item Total loans (less bank) ^Business (excluding nonbank financial or sales finance companies) 2/ Nonbank financial Sales finance companies (Business (including nonbank financial or sales finance companies)) (pReal estate Security Agricultural Consumer All other 2/ S. Government securities Other securities Total (IQSS bank) • : Item End of December to last Wednesday of July I960 3/ 1959 3 / 1958 3/ 1957 3 / + 1.9 + 6.it - 1.0 + 1.8 |/+ 0.3 n.a. b/+ 0*3 — 1.6 + 0.9 - 0*1 (+ + + 0*8) O.it 1.1 o.it > 1.1 + O.it (+ + + + + 2.it) 1.8 0.5 0.1 1.7 0.8 1955 + l.lt + 3.8 + 5.0 + 1.0 1 1956 + 3.1 + 1.6 n.a. n.a. - 1.0 (+ + + 2.6) 0.8 0.3 0.5 - 0.1 (+ + — + + 0.9) 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.9 0*2 n.a. - 0.5 (+ + + + 2.6) 1.1 0.7 0.3 1.1 0.2 n.a. + 0.6 (+ 2.2) + 1.6 - l{o + l.lt + 0.7 - 2.3 - 5.3 + 5.9 - 2.3 - 5.1t - 5.3 - 0.5 y + 2.0 + 0.5 — O.lt + o.it - 0.9 + 1.3 + 6*9 - 0*it - 2.0 + 0.1 Bad of December to last Wednesday of July 1951 Total loans (less bank) Business (excluding nonbank finanS cial or sales finance companies) 2/ Nonbank financial ~ ~ Sales finance companies (Business (including nonbank financial or sales finance companies)) Real estate ^Security Agricultural Consumer All other 2/ U. So Government securities %ther securities 1953 1952 1951 195b 19h9 — 0*8 + 1.2 + 1.7 + 1.9 + 2.8 - 2.2 - 1.2 - 0.3 — 0.6 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. (- l.lt) ( - O.lt) (- 0*8) (+ 1.5) + 0.7 + 0.6 + 0.7 o.5 - 0.3 - 0.2 o.5 — O.lt + 0.1 - 0*1 O.it + 0.3 - 0.1 + 1.3 0.9 (+ O.S) + 1.1 n.a. - 0.2 n.a. - 0.1 n.a. — 0*2 + 0*2 + 0.2 - 0.1 + l.lt + 1.0 + 0.2 + 0.8 + 0.3 ( n.a.) n*a. n.a. n.a. + O.it n.a. 3.3 - 2.0 + 1.8 + O.it + 1.2 + 0.6 + 0.2 0.2 + 0*9 He&e n*a. n#a. — h + 0.5 - 0.3 + 1.0 + 1.1 + 1.3 Total (less bank) + 3.9 - 1.0 + 1.9 IASS than $50 million* n.a. Not available. 2/ Data a$>s on revised basis beginning June 1959 and exclude loans to nonbank financial institutions. For previous years, loans to sales finance companies at weekly reporting banks have been shown separately to provide roughly comparable changes in business loans on revised basis. 3/ Included in business and "other loans", k/ See above data. 5/ July 6/ January - June "" "" Not for publication - 6 - L.U.3 Table 2 Changes in Loans and Investments at Weekly Reporting Ifenfeer Banks and HonreportiBgBaBkg " ^ ' Last Wednesday in June to last Wednesday in July Item 1960 Weekly reporting banks 190 1958 1957 1956 1955 *• 0*8 * 2.0 * 0.2 + 1.0 + 0.2 2/ + 1.2 — — - - 0.9 + 0.3 2/, - 0.6 - O.lt - o.5 - 0.2 -1.1 + o.l + 0.1 - 0.1 2/ + 0.1 2/ + 6 3 1/ Total loans U. S. Government securities Other securities Total loans 'and investments * to. 1.6 0.6 0.1 2.3 r i r Noareiei^ting banks 1/ Total loans U. S. Government securities Other securities Total loans and investments -2/ * ov£ - 0.1 * 0.6 JL + 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.1 + 0.5 • 6.E + 0.2 + 0.3 - 0.1 Last Wednesday in June to last Wednesday in July Item 195k Weekly reporting banks 1953 1952 1951 1956 191*9 — + + - 0.7 0.5 0.1 o.f + 0.2 + 3.5 + 0.1 2/ + 0.8 + 0.2 + 1.6 — + - + — + + — 0.9 + > + + 0.1 0.3 0.1 6.6 + + + - 0*2 1/ Total loans U. S. Government securities Other securities Total loans and investments TXB o.lt 0.2 0.1 o.5 0.8 0.9 0.2 6.1 + leit + 0.3 T O T Nonreporting banks 1/ Total loans U. S. Government Other securities Total loans and investments + 0.1 + i.i - 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.1 1.1 + 0.2 + Oi. .j + 0.1 + V 6.2 2/ + 0.2 + 0.2 - 0.2 2/ - 0.1 1/Beginning 1959a changes are on revised basis. Changes do not correspond exactly with published data for weekly reporting banks because loans to foreign banks have been excluded from this tabulation. 2/ Less than $50 million. Not for publication - 7 Table 2 L.U.3 Changes in $eans and Investments *t Weekly Reporting Bid of December to last Wednesday in July Item 1960 Weekly reporting banks 1959 1958 - O.tt - Ol. .j + 3.3 - il.ll — 0.1 -1.1 + + + 1957 1956 1955 + 2.3 l.li - 0.2 — l.U + 0.1 - It.l lt.5 ZT3 — o*5 •- 2.2 + + - 3.1 it. 7 0.1 1.6 + + + + + + + — + + 1.9 0.6 0.3 1.7 1/ Total loans U. S. Government securities Other securities Total loans and investments - 0.3 - 1.(5 2.5 5.6 Bmr###td3ig banks 1/ total loans U. S. Government securities Other securities Total loans and investments + 2.3 - 1.9 - °-1 * 0.2 $ t n 1h 2.1; + 1.5 + 0.3 + 0.6 + 1.6 0.9 O.it 1.2 1.5 1.3 0.1 0.2 Bid of December to last Wednesday in July Item 1951 Weekly reporting banks 1953 1952 1951 1950 19h9 - 2.1 2/ - 0.3 + o.U + 1.0 + 0.7 + + - + 0.9 + 0.6 - 1-7 : 1:1 1/ Total loans U. S. Government securities Other securities Total loans and investments + l.k + Oil + 0.8 + 0.1 - 0.2 + 1.3 — o*5 + 0.2 VT.T5 + + + + 0.9 2.7 0.1 1.7 + 0.6 + 0.7 Nonreporting banks 1/ Total loans U. $. Government Other securities Total loans and investments 1.2 0.2 0.1 1.3 + 1.3 + 1.0 + 0.it + 0.1 + 7 3 — 0.6 + 0.3 + 0.7 + + + 1.3 0.3 0.3 1.3 + 0.3 — 0.8 -rb o .I * *7^ " U,5U uu no-o correspond exactly with publxshed data for weekly reporting banks because loans to foreign banks have been excluded from this tabulation. Also call report data for weekly reporting banks for December 31, 1959 have been used. 2/ Less than $5>0 million. 3/ As a result of bank structure changes in January and April 1959, total credit increased about $700 millions total loans SUOO million; U. S. Government securities, $200 million and other securities, $100 million. Not for publication f - 8 'L.U.3 - Table 3 Changes in Commercial and Industrial Loans 1/ (in millions of dollars) Business of Borrower Last Wednesday in June to last Wednesday in J&Ly 6/ I960 2/19# 6/1958 6A957 1956 w - 85 6/1953 6/1952 1251 195k * 5 + 66 - 83 + 37 + 13 + 71 — 10 T15 + 30 -152 + 33 -100 * 65 « 10 - 6 rgi =31 T3& + 30 T H y -389 -323 -20b - 37 - lt i + 38 - 70 T"2T + 66 -332 ZZ2E -130 ^ 7 + 27 •=m +132 -275 + 96 + 22 t 25 - 79 + 50 + 6 - 26 - 13 + 17 • 5 + 29 • 6h + 28 + 36 + 29 + lt i + 28 + 26 + 7 - 20 + 5 + 73 + i7 t + 21 + 38 + 17 * 75 — 28 - 16 + 29 + 2 + 36 - 13 - 88 2 - 20 - 96 + 10 + 16 + 15 + 56 - 5 + 11 + 2 + 7 + 5 -129 + 11 ( - 31 + 21 I + 65 - 29 + 12 + 13 -52ii -II4O + 55 + W -782 - 76 -$0k - 63 -139 — 90 +125 /-100 /-100 -2ll5 /-115 + 61* - 6 + 25 - 7 Total change -66h +103 -858 -567 229 /+ 25 ^-360 + 58 + 18 Total change excluding sales finance -661 +103 —1*69 -216 25 Y + 62 ^-3U6 + 20 + 88 Food processors Commodity dealers Trade concerns Total -10li - 9 - U5 Sales finance All other - total Metals and products Textiles, apparel and leather Petroleum, coal etc. Other manufacturing and mining Public utilities Construction All other types of business Classified Unclassified 60 ii ji *• 6 H - +Hi2 + 66 + 18 - 6U 1/ Prior to week ending January 11, 1956, includes changes in agricultural loans. 2/ Includes changes on unrevised basis for week of July 1 and revised basis there thereafter. Not included in business loans on revised basis, P Includes CCC certificates of interest which are estimated to have declined $100 million. 5/ Includes COG certificates of interest which are estimated to have declined S 4 million. IO %/ In order to keep comparisons on a four-week basis the following dates were used: ~ 1959, July 1-29$ 1958, July 2-30j 1957, July 3-31? 1953, July 1-29? 1952, July 2-30. 9 Not for publication - 9 - Le4»3 Table 3 Changes in Commercial and industrial Loans 1/ (In millions of dollars) ~ * Business of Borrower food processors Commodity dealers Trade concerns Total Sales finance All other - total Metals and products Textiles, apparel and leather Petroleum, coal etc. Other manufacturing and mining Public utilities Construction All other types of business Classified Unclassified Last Wednesday in December to last Wednesday in July 1960 2/19# - 662 - 579 - 686 - 320 + 289 -tMI 195® 1957 1956 1955 1954 - 775 - 263 - 169 - 538 - 497 - 402 - 244 + 167 + - - 500 - 740 - 891 - 297 - 608 - 575 - 67 + 192 - 138 - 610 -T72o7 +459 - 968 + 3/ 1 + 298 + 268 + - 156 - 225 62 + 97 + 1*53 *1,130 •2,543 + 63 + 190 - 247 - +2,989 +1,655 • + 706 +1,241 + l3l - 06 •TTO + 736 +1,119 + M +1,002 + 185 - 31 + 168 + 263 - 53 - 249 + 267 + 488 + 248 + 331 + - 91 75 + 182 2 + 445 + 337 + 39 + 386 + + 169 14 + 106 + 82 38 + 67 - 167 + 87 + 13 + 24 57 + 172 + 208 + 77 + 1 + 25 223 429 Total change + $16 +1,320 •2,790 + 739 +1,985 +1,382 -1,559 - 277 -+ 29 f,™ i f / 2 7 9 2/ W' + 462 +2,014 *1,103 Total change excluding sales finance + 516 + 865 •1,822 + 376 +2,539 IZ+551 -1,667 f -1,604 - 189 + 361 + 261 + 146 + - 68 - 94 - 303 + + 101 + 10ii + 6 7 + 16 - 85B 1952 + 552 - 525 - 368 +1,730 r # - 131 + 160 86 605 395 176 8 24 1953 - 52 + 205 - k73 - 735 - 274 - 101 - 747 — 836 - 694 - 587 Revised basis after July 1, Not included in business loans on revised basis after July 1. 4/ Includes CCC certificates of interest which are estimated to have declined $620 million• ' • 5/ Includes CCC certificates of interest which are estimated to have increased $25 miTHmn 6/ January = June Hot for publication - 10 - L.U.3 Table U Estimated Changes in Deposits and Currency (In Sllllons of dollars) End of June to last Wednesday of July Item Seasonally adjusted data l/ Demand deposits adjusted Currency outside banks Total Seasonally unadjusted data 1/ Demand deposits adjusted Currency outside banks Total Time deposits Commercial banks Mutual savings banks U. S. Government deposits Total Factors affecting deposits and currency Bank loans and investments other than U. S. Govt, sec.3/ Commercial "" Mutual savings Bank holdings of U. S. Government securities: Federal Reserve Commercial Mutual saving and other Gold stock and foreign deposits at F. R. Banks Other factors 1/ ~ 2/ 3/ "" i960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 + 0.2 . •01 + 0.8 — 0.1 .jLL— + 0.8 M - 0.1 0.9 0.1 -1.0 4 0.1 +153 4 0.3 .2/_ 4 0.3 + 2.1 + 2.0 + 2.4 +1.0 + T7£ 4 0.6 + 0.5 + 0.1 — 0.8 TT& + 2.1 4-2.5 +1.0 + 0.3 + 0.4 2/ -1.0 + 0.3 2/ 4 0.1 - 0.3 - 0.1 - 0.1 + 0.4 + 2.2 4 0.1 + 0.8 + 0.7 4 0.1 - 5.4 - 2.1 + 0.5 - 0.9 " ^ 4 4 0.1 % - 1.9 - 2.2 - 0.2 - 0.1 + 0.7 - 0. 4 0. 2/ - 0.1 0.1 4 4 0.7 4 1.1 (signs indicate effect on deposits and currency) a08 . 4 0 *2 + 2.8 Til? + 2.5 - 0.1 - 0.1 2/ 4 1.5 4 1.3 4 0.1 - 1.4 - 1.5 4-0.3' - 0,;' 4 0.8 4 0.6 4.0.2 - 0.1 • - 0.1 - 0.5 4 0.1 - 0.8 - i.a 4 0.2 • 1 41,2 4 0.4 4 0.8 - 0.1 - 0.8 - 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 - 0.6- 4 1.0 4 0.5 4 0.4 4 0.2 "^0l4 - 0.4 2/ \. - 0.1 2/ - 0.2 4 0.1 4 0.1 - 0.2 4 0.1 - 0.7 2/ - 0.1 - 0.4 Seasonally adjusted data are for last Wednesday throughout} unadjusted data are for last Wednesday except In case of June and December call dates, when available. Less than $$0 million. Total includes foreign loans on gold, holdings of bankers' acceptances at the Federal Reserve, and loans to foreign banks; changes in these items are generally relatively small. Even if there were no changes in other items# changes at commercial banks exclude all inteitank loans, domestic and foreign, while total loans exclude only those to domestic banks. In addition there is •some lack of synchronization in reporting asset and liability items used in computing "loans net™. Not for publication - 11 - L.W Table k Estimated Changes in Deposits and Currency (In billions of dollars) Item Seasonally adjusted data 1/ Demand deposits adjusted Currency outside banks Total Seasonally unadjusted data. 1/ Demand deposits adjusted Currency outside banks Total Time deposits Commercial banks Mutual savings banks U. S. Government deposits Total Factors affecting deposits and currency Bank loand and investments other than U. S. Govt, sec.3/ Commercial ~" Mutual savings Bank holdings of U. S. Government securities: Federal Reserve Commercial Mutual saving and other Gold stock and foreign deposits at F. R. Banks Other factors End of December to last Wednesday of July 1959 y I960 2/ ? 177 19# + 2.2 + 2.5 + 0.2 + 2.k 2/ - 1.1 — 2.8 - 0,3 - O.it — 6»it + 2.1t - 3.1 + 2.5 — 2.6 + 7.3 + 0.5 + 0.5 + 0.7 + 1,2 - 5.3 + 2.1 + 1.2 + 2.1 + 0.1 - 2.2 + 6.2 + 0.1 + lt.9 1957 01 . O.li 075 1956 « + 1.8 + 0.2 + 2.0 - It. 8 - 0.5 - iu7 + It. 5 + 3.8 + 0.9 0.3 + 2.3 + 1.3 - 1.2 1955 - 0.9 + 1.1 -02 . - 3.5 - 2.7 - 0.8 - +18 . + 0.9 + 1.1 + l.lt - 0.2 (signs indicate effect + 1.8 + 6.8 + 1.1 + 6.It + 0.9 + 1.9 — 2*8 - 5.2 + 6*3 5/ -*.3 + 0.2 -.5.3 + 2.7 + 1.0 + 3.0 + 1.9 + 1,3 + 5.9 n o — 0.1 - 0.2 -2.3 - 0.3 - 0.1 - 0.9 - 1#5 r 2.6 — 0.6 - 0.6 +1.5 - 62 . + 6.1 — 0.5 - 1.7 + 1.5 + 6.7 + m + 06 . - 5.b - 5.3 + 0.3 - l.It 2/ - 0.7 - 0.3 - 0.2 " last Wednesday except in case of June and December call dates, when available. * 2/ less than $50 million. 3/ Total includes foreign loans on gold, holdings of bankers1 acceptances at the — Federal Reserve, and loans to foreign banks; changes in these items are generally relatively small. Even if there were no changes in other items, changes at commercial banks exclude all interbank loans, domestic and foreign, while total loans exclude only those to domestic banks. In addition there is 'some lack of synchronization in reporting asset and liability items used in computing "loans net". V In January and April 1959 as a result of bank structure changes, demand deposits adjusted at commercial banks increased $200 million and time deposits $500 million. Deposits at mutual savings banks declined $300 million. Not for publication t - 1.4.3 - 12 - Table 5 Free Reserves and Total Reserves Held (based on averages of daily figures} in millions of dollars) Bate Total reserves held seasonally adjusted All Central reserve city Reserve All Country member New York 1 Chicago city member Free reserves 02xcess reserves minus borrowings) Monthly averages: - 11 * 1959: Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. %iy June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. • 59 1*7 11*0 258 318 513 557 535 1*93 159 U35 1*25 I960: Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July - 360 - 361 - 219 - 195 - 33 111 119 - 80 - 32 - 65 - - 197 268 18,602 223 195 281 202 18,706 18,716 18,615 53 - 28 16 - 89 - 51 15 151* 225 227 210 181* 109 CO CO Dec. 1 1958$ - 50 - 26 - 122 - 61* l - Il - 63 - - 1*7 35 1* 0 82 62 — «» • 191* 178 - 18,636 18,595 18,61*9 338 369 119 ** 11*5 169 171 180 237 257 197 182 190 11*1* 201* 288 69 229 291 31*8 252 338 535 1*82 121* - 31 - 1*5 16 3 - 1*9 59 39 1*39 381 252 251* 173 120 127 73 1 * 13 21* 17 1 - 18 - 1*2 1 * - 77 - 21 - 100 - 1*9 - 195 - 39 - 161 - 126 - 60 1 — 100 - 18,66b 133 101 - 1*20 - 391 - 101* - 90 - 126 - 152 228 281* 360 18,433 18,#9 18,666 18,677 18,671 18,691 18,360 18,228 18,101* 11%I 18,386 Meekly averages: June 29 July 6 13 20 27 Aug. 3 Notes - 71* 5 '231* 88 125 179 - I I Data for second Kali of duly and August are prmiiminqfyy Not for publication i n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. - 13 - L.it.3 Table 6 Changes In Ifenfeer Bank Reserves, with Relevant Factors (Monthly average of daily figures; in millions of dollars) Item Member bank reserves Required reserves 1/ Effect of change in requirements Effect of deposit change Excess reserve 1/ Total reserves Held 1/ Gash allowed as reserves 1/ Reserve balances July January - July Tear ending July I960 1959 I960 1959 I960 1959 + 180 + 228 - bh2 - 110 - 26h , 319 + + 180 + 228 8 + 220 - Uh2 110 118 - 26it + 108 + 319 - 257 + *62 + + 111 + 221 +~T3T + 25 - h!7 + 3 - h20 - 228 T357 - 1*63 - 285 - - 173 + 20? + 220 Total reserves held, seasonally adjusted Principal factors + 111 + 126 Currency in circulation Gold stock and foreign accounts Treasury operations \ Federal Reserve float Other factors - 2h7 - 233 + 601 + 321 - 12U + - - 3W - 89 + 67 - 285 - 896 -373 Effect of above factors on reserves 23 * +___62 1*3 'signs indicate effect on reserves) 90 Hi 32 + 102 + 23U * 11 + 61 + 256 - 173 + 68 + 118 z-2 - 785 -1,578 + 371 + 227 + 321 + 81 - 253 -269 + 550 - 730 « 8i* -1,987 + 158 + h90 - 972 + 502 - 382 +2,050 + 195 + 459 + 110 + 197 +1.20& +1,136 Federal Reserve loans and investments: Total U. Se Govt, securities Outright Repurchase agreements Acceptances Discounts and advances: To member banks To others 1/ Preliminary for July I960. Not for publication n m + 92 - 37 + 5i I + 36 - 5 - 2tl7 •=im + 55 - 32 - 518 - 5 • 130 - 28 - 13 + 1*00 + 5 +T5? + + 30 2 - 569 - 12 + - 68 1* 1 + 81*8 + 12 laujue I Liquid Assets Held by the Public — Seasonally Adjusted Series (amounts in billions of dollars; ratios expressed as percentages) End of month or year 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959: Total liquid assets (2+3+8) 271.8 28U.0 114.6 120.2 132.7 296.2 308.3 318.0 126.6 130.0 124.1 Ili0.6 330.3 339.9 351.7 369.7 May June July August September October November December i k u 383.8 385.8 387.0 387.8 387.8 388.2 388.4 January February March p April p May p June p 389.2 389.1 390.3 390.4 I960: Demand Personal-type savings deposits Total adjusted personalTime deposits Savings tJ.S. and type adjusted' 1/ and Govt, currency savings C a i f r 1 kutual cfnet m loan savings outside (U+5+6+7) cial savings shares bonds banks 1/ banks bank 2/ - M . tt- 386.8 388.8 133.5 134.5 133.6 138.8 140.6 140.9 Xhl.2 11*0.9 140.8 140.4 1U0.1 140.2 lUo.o 139.1 139.5 139.4 137.6 138,6 129.0 148.6 158.1 166.4 174.1 182.8 196.7 200.3 200.9 201.3 202.1 202*8 202.9 203.7 204.1 204.1 201.5 205.2 205.7 206.5 207.6 Jl 36.3 37.8 40.6 23.0 23.6 25.2 14.0 16.1 19.2 22.8 16.8 26.7 _28.5 27.2 U8.5 50.7 56% 63.4 31.6 33.0 35.1 37.0 Ul.7 47.7 35.5 35.6 35.6 35.7 35.8 35.7 35.8 35.9 50.4 51.0 51.5 52.1 U3.6 6U6 J. 64.8 64.9 65.2 65.6 65.5 65.9 65^ 6565, 65 < 66, 66, 66, 30.0 32.8 35.8 36.0 36.1 36.1 36.0 32.0 52.6 53.2 53.7 54.3 514.-9 55.4 55.9 56.4 57.1 57.6 U. S. Govt securities maturing within ode yearrg/ 31.1 3X.5 33.1 29.9 30.1* 31.3 35.3 34.2- 49.8 49.5 49.3 19.1 48.8 U8.5 48.3 U8.u 39.5 1*2.0 1*3.3 11.0 ** 1*1*.2 44.5 44.4 44.± 1*7.7 1*7.1* 1*7.2 1*5.1 1*5.5 1*5.6 1*5.3 1*7.1 1*3.0 1*7.6 1*7.2 127 *. 1 (2 + 4) 8 28.2 55.7 55.2 55.6 55.5 55.6 55.9 54.8 51.7 50.5 Commercial bank demand and time deposits adj. and currency — 1M * • Ratio Ratioi Commercial Total bank deposits liquid +,currency to assets to total liquid gross assets national (9 i 1 ) product 6/ 10 150.9 158.0 161*. 7 170.2 176.8 ' 205.2 . 182.0 185.2 190.0 202.2 55.5 55.6 55.6 55.2 55.6 55.1 54.5 54.0 54.7 2U6.JL 53.9 53.6 53.4 53.3 53.2 53.1 53.1 53.1 205.7 204.8 205.4 205.4 203.7 205.1 52.9 52.6. 52.6 52.6 52.7 52.8 205.7 206.1 206.1 206.4 205.9 206.0 11 89.1 83.3 82.2 85.1 85.3 80.7 78.8 79.3 r 79.3 ' ,. 'V i"77.7 r 80.2 r 79.8 r 77.7 77.0 p Preliminary. 1/ __ of months except that time deposits are as of June 30 and December 31 when call data for these dates were available« 2/ ncludes savings deposits in the Postal Savings System. 3/ Prior to 1955' data are Board estimates based on monthly figures of inflow of new savings and withdrawals of savings capital compil 3d by the Federal Heme Loan Bank Board. 4a Includes all types of savings bonds held by investors other than banks and U. S= Government agencies and trust funds. 5/ Includes all marketable securities maturing within one year (adjusted to include partially tax exempt securities twelve months prior to first call date) and, prior to 1956> nonmarketable Treasury savings notes with maturities up to figures include holdings of insurance companies brokers and dealers, State and local Governments noribank 24 Months| 9 s http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ #orPoratioijfr Louis corporat^pension fb*p, noi*rof#instituti#;, foreign#bcounts, bM individual. 6/See re#-se of she##. Federal Reserve Bank of St. 6/ Gross national product estimates ire available quarterly and annually only. For 1950 - 19$8 ratios are for last quarter of year, for 1959 and I960, for each quarter of year• Data for total liquid assets used in computing these ratios are quarterly average•for four dates: each month of the current quarter and the last month of the preceding quarter. LA.3 fable & Ratios to Total Deposits 1/ Date All coroMemberftanks mercial Central reserve city Total banks New York Chicago city 191*6: 1917: # 1918: 1919: 1950$ 1951: 1952: 1953: #1951: 1955: 1956: 1957: 1958: Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec* Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec* 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 #1959: Jan. 28 Feb. 25 Mar. 25 Apr. 29 May 27 Jane 2 * l # July 29 Aug. 26 Sept.30 Oct. 28 Nov. 25 Dec. 31 I960: Jan..27 Feb. 21 % r . 30p Apr. 27 Ifay 2 , # June 29p July 27p ^ U.S. Govt, securities maturing within one year L O A N S 23.3 27.7 31.2 31.1 35.8 37.2 39.3 W.5 1*0.3 1*5.8 23.7 28.2 31.3 30.9 36.1 37.6 39.9 1*1.1 1. 88 1*0.7 1*6.7 50.1 1*8.1* 191 *.* 1*9.7 186 *. 1*9.3 50.3 5d.5 51.1* 52.5 52.6 53.3 53.1* 53.6 51*. 1 * 51*.0 5*l 1.* 55.6 56.1* 5. 62 56.9 57.1 5. 62 51.0 1*9.5 50.3 51.3 51.5 52.1* 53.6 53.7 51*. 5 51*. 7 51*. 9 55.8 55.6 55.9 57.1 58.0 57.7 58.3 58.5 57.5 27.7 31.0 35.9 3l*.9 1*2.5 1*6.3 50.6 50.6 168 *. 56.7 61.7 61.9 57.7 27.3 30.3 30.it 25.6 32.3 36.2 38.9 39.1 38.3 1*6.3 52.7 55.2 191 *.* 2. 60 31.1 33.1* 32.1* 38.1 39.1* ai . 1*2.2 1*1.9 1*8.5 52.7 53.3 51.3 in- Country 18.9 23.1* 27.1 28.5 31.5 32.1 33.9 36.1 37.1 1*0.7 commercial banks I 11*. 3 11*.0 l*2 l. 19.2 15.2 9.8 11.7 16.9 1. 00 126 *. 5.1 7.5 ll.* **l 8.3 11. 5 ** 1*5.2 68 . ll. **l 81 .* 58.7 59.0 1*8.3 1*8.7 51.9 50.5 65.5 65/3 5*l 1.* 51*. o 55.6 57.2 g:i 1*8.0 58.2 57.5 58.1* 58.2 6.5 5.9 5.7 5.9 1*8/2 6.7 58.2 62.7 6!*.5 58.7 60*1* 6l.lt 191 *.* 50.3 188 *. 66 . 50.6 1*.6 1*.9 57.7 58.2 6. 00 62.2 6. 26 66.6 69.5 67.3 67.1* 69.1* 69.1* 67.6 68.0 67.1* 66.9 51.8 5. 66 56.2 62.0 63.8 63.2 61.7 51.5 52.7 53.8 53.8 55.1 56.1 56.5 61.1 61.7 61.9 60.5 1*6.0 1*6.1* 1*7.0 1*7.9 1*7.7 1*7.9 1*7.9 1*8.1* 51.1* a: 7.9 5.5 &7 6.7 60 . 61 . 5.5 l*.l* li.l n.a. Total loans (adjusted to excludi r loans to banks) ^ U. S. bovernment seouritimm "tat^TPing within one year estimated on basis of Treasury survey of ownership; and total deposits (adjusted to exclude cash items in process of collection). 2/ Prior to 1951, data are on call basis and beginning in 19.51, they are on maturity basis. On a call basis, data for 1951 and 1952 are 21.5 and 19.1 respectively. r Revised, Not for publication L.4.3 Table 9 Deposits and Currency (In billions of dollars) Year or month End of Dec: 1953 195U 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959* (9) (10) (H) (12) ( ) , (k) ? 121 16) Lzl 151 m Seasonally - 4 easonally adjusted Time deposits Total money supply 1/ adjusted Curdeposits D. S. money Demand CurGov't rency and Demand supply and deposits Total Commer- Mutual Postal deposits outside currency Total rency deposits outside time dep. adjusted (7+8+9) cial savings savings banks (5+6+10 2/ :(2+3) adjusted banks at ccm'l +11) banks(l+7) 126.6 130.0 133.5 13U.5 133.6 138.8 Apr. 29 3/ May 27 June 2k July 29 Aug. 26 Sept.30 Oct. 28 Nov. 25 Dec. 31 y 1960s Jan. 27 Feb. 2k Mar. 30 Apr. 27 May 25 June 29 July 27 V — 16 — it.t iOl IU0.6 lbo.9 litl.2 Ht0.9 1U0.8 1U0.U litO.l HtO.2 UtO.O 139.1 139.5 139.lt 137.6 138.2 138*5 99.3 103.1 106.1 107.1 105.8 27.3 26.9 27.1 27.lt 27.8 110.7 28.1 112.2 112.lt 112.6 112.9 112.6 112.lt 112.0 28.2 28.2 28.3 28.3 28.3 28.li 28.lt 28.3 28.2 111.8 112v0 111.7 110.8 111.1 111.2 109 oU 110.1 110.3 28.3 28.3 28.it 28.2 28.2 28.1 28.2 170.3 176.8 181.9 165.1 189.7 202.0 20U.9 205.6 206.3 206.5 206.lt 206.5 205.9 20li.8 206.1 205.2 20U.5 205.5 205.6 20U.1 205.7 206.5 102.5 106.6 109.9 lll.lt 110.3 115.5 112.5 110.7 110.7 112.7 111.1 70.lt 75.3 78.lt 13.7 lt6.8 lt8.lt 2lt.lt 26.3 89.1 98.3 56.1 63.2 31.7 3U.0 64.5 65.0 65.lt 65.3 65.5 65.7 65.5 64.7 65.9 3b.3 3lt.lt 3U.6 3U.5 3U.7 3lt,6 3U.6 3U.6 3U.9 11 . 1.1 10 . 10 . 10 . 10 . 10 . 65.2 65.lt 3U.9 3U.9 35.3 35.2 35.2 35.3 35.lt 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 82.2 99.9 100.5 101.1 106 0. 101.2 lll.lt 112.7 113.1 ll5.lt 101.8 nlt.o 110.5 101.2 108.8 111.5 107.8 108.0 110.1 101.5 101.1 100.3 101.0 102.2 102.3 102.6 103.6 lOlt.2 5. 06 66.0 66.2 66.5 67.5 68.0 28.1 30.0 2.it 21 . 1.9 16 . 1.3 11 . 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 It. 8 5.1 i.t ti lt.5 U.7 U.9 5.1 5.7 28.1 214.8 221.0 27.9 2lt5.lt 2U5.0 2lt5.lt 217.6 2lt7.lt 2lt8.5 28.1 5.1 5.8 28.3 28.lt 28.5 28.5 28.3 29.1 29.U l.t tl 27.9 5.2 5.6 6.5 7.1 60 . 205.7 27.9 28.3 28.3 28.3 28.7 226.it 232.3 2it7.5 248.2 2U7.6 252.lt 5.3 28.0 21+7.3 2UU.9 5.3 7.7 7.8 7.0 28, 1 28, 3 28,3 217.7 2lt9.6 5.2 28,1 27, 9 2UU.2 2it7.0 246.2 1 1 ~ p Preliminary 1/ Seasonally adjusted series begins in 1946 and is available only for last Wednesday of the month. 2/ At commercial, savings, and Federal Reserve Banks. J/ As a result of inclusion of a national bank in Hawaii; demand deposits adjusted increased about $100 million and time deposits at commercial banks about $100 million, 4/ As a result of inclusion of all banks in Hawaii, demand deposits adjusted increased about $200 million and time deposits at commercial banks about $200 million. On balance in 19593 as a result of structure changes", denial d deposits adjusted increased $lt00 million, time deposits at commercial banks increased $700 million, and time deposits at mutual savings banks declined $300 million. 5/ Demand deposits were reduced about $400 million as a result a technical change under HfcgulationB amending thedefinition. of such deposits. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ ^ % % % % % % % Not for {plication * Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis fable 10 Loans and Investments at All Commercial Banks (In billions of dollars} L.U.3 Date 1953: 195U*. 19#: 1956: 1957* 1958: Dec. 31 Dec. 31 Dec. 31 Dec. 31 Dec. 31 Dec. 31 1959: VJan. 28 Feb. 25 Mar. 25 2/Apr. 29 " May 27 (old) June ?h , (new) June 2k July 29 ^/Aug. 26 Sept.30 Oct. 28 Nov. 25 Dec* 31 Loans and investment 145.5 155.7 160.3 16U.5 169.3 I8k.li 183.8 181.9 181.1 183.8 183.9 181.2 181*. 2 185.7 186.1 186.3 186.7 186.1 189.5 U.S. Gov't securities 73% 69.0 6. 16 58.6 58.2 Other secur- Total ities loans 1JuT %73T 16.3 16.7 16.3 17.9 70 Ji 66.li 20.6 67.5 65.5 20.L 20.U 20,6 20.9 63.2 63.6 62.6 20.8 60.9 20.6 60.9 20.6 6 . 20.6 11 60.3 59.2 59.6 58.5 58.9 20.5 20.7 20.6 20.3 20.5 82,0 89.7 93.2 97.5 95.9 96.0 97.lt 99.3 100.5 102.8 102.8 103.9 105.3 106.3 106.5 107.3 110.0 - IT - YNoribank Con- financial All Farm sumer institu- other tions "ICT 3 3 " X o " 10.9 3IT Business Real Secuestate rity 27.2 26.9 33.2 38.7 £0.5 liO.li .39.2 39.2 lt0.2 I1O.6 lil.li U2.5 37.8 37.8 38.2 38.7 38.8 39.li I1O.2 18. U 20.8 li.5 5.0 11.3 22.5 23.1 25.3 lt.7 25*6 U.2 25.7 25.9 26.3 2. 66 26.9 26.9 27.1 27:3 27.5 27.7 27.9 28.1 11.2 U.o з.9 U.3 li.l li.l li.l I1.2 11:2 и.i li.i lul U.9 5.2 U.5 U2 . li.l 5.0 5.0 5.0 I1.8 U.9 U.9 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.0 U.9 5.0 10.9 13.2 1U.6 15.8 15.9 5.6 6.5 6.9 7.2 16.0 80 . 81 . 8.2 16:1 16.3 16.7 17.0 17.U 17.U 17.6 17.9 I8;i 18.3 18.3 18.5 8.2 8.U 86 . 5.9 62 . 66 . 6.5 60 . 62 . 7.1 8.9 7.7 7.8 8;o 8.3 8.5 8.5 8.5 Jan. 27 185.6 58.0 28.1 li.O U.9 39.li 1. 86 6.3 8.U Feb. 2h 18U.3 56.2 28.2 39.8 1. 86 5.0 3.9 6.U 8.5 Mar. 3Qp 183.1 5U.2 I1O.9 28.2 1. 86 5.1 3.5 8.U Apr. 27p 186.3 55.8 U0.9 28.3 68 . 5.2 19.0 3.9 8.7 May 25p 186.0 55.1 U1.3 28.3 19.2 8.8 3.7 5.3 6.7 June 29p 186.7 5U.1 lil.9 f28.U 3.8 5.3 9.0 I9.5 7A July 27p 188,6 28^ . M JhU. 8*2. J M JUS r Revised. 1/ Total credit 1 .ncreased almost 5500 million in January as a result of baric structure changes resuiir 01 oarac sxrucxure -cnanges Total credit increased about $200 million as a result of bank structure changes. 3/ Total credit increased about $300 million as a result of bank structure changes. Structure changes in 1959, on balance through August, added almost #1 billion to total credit; $600 million in loans; $300 million in U. S. Government securities$ and $100 million in othe% securities. Real estate loans increased about $300 million; business loans $100 million; consumer loans, *100 million; and other loans $100 million. Notes Data exclude interbank loans. Total loans are after and types of loans before deductions for valuation reserves. Consumer and -"other loans" are partly estimated for all dates. Other data are partly estimated on » n but June and December eall dates. Beginning June 2U, 1959, "business loans" and "all other loans* have been revised to exclude loans to nonbank financial institutions. 1960S 66 . Not for lAlieatlnn