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N AT I O N AL TR AN SACTI O N S of the United States DURI NG TH E W AR SU R E A U O F E C C ^ O riîC ANÂLYUÎo Llb>îvÂhiY U N IT E D S T A T E S ]] D E P A R T M E N T OF COM M ERCE W . A V E R E L L H A R R IM A N , S e c r e ta r y O ffic e o f B u s in e s s E c o n o m ic s M . J O S E P H M E E H A N , A c tin g D ir e c to r f f^ In t e r n a t i o n a l Tr a n s a c ti o n s o f fp , Th e U n i te d S ta te s D n r ln g th e W a r9 1940 -4 5 P re p a r e d in th e I n t e r n a t io n a l E c o n o m ic s D iv is io n U n d e r t h e D ir e c tio n o f R O BER T L . S A M M O N S , C h ie f E c o n o m ic S e r ie s N o . 65 U N IT E D G O V ER N M EN T STATES P R IN T IN G W A S H IN G T O N F or s a le by th e S u p e r in te n d e n t o f D o c u m e n ts, U . W a s h in g to n 2 5 , D . C . - O F F IC E t 1948 S. G overn m en t P r ic e 6 0 c e n t s P r in tin g O ffic e orew ori T h is volum e is th e la te s t in th e series o f stu d ie s on th e in te rn a tio n a l tr a n s a c tio n s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s in itia te d by th e D e p a rtm e n t o f C om m erce in 1922. I t is a n a n aly sis o f th e tra n sa c tio n s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s w ith th e r e s t o f th e w o rld d u rin g th e re c e n t w a r y e a rs, a p e rio d d u r in g m o st o f w h ich th e re q u ire m e n ts o f G o v e rn m e n t w ere e qu a l to v ir tu a lly h a lf th e n a tio n a l o u tp u t o f goods a n d services. T h e e n o r m ous d em a n d s m a d e u p o n o u r n a tio n a l econom y b y th e com b ined need s o f th e c o u n trie s e n g a g e d in th e w a r a g a in st th e A x is p o w ers a re r e flected in th e la rg e item s o f goods a n d services w h ich m ak e u p o u r w a r tim e in te rn a tio n a l accounts. M oreo v er, th e exigencies o f g lo b a l w a r n e ce ssita ted such a h ig h d egree o f in d u s tria l c onversion f o r th e p ro d u c tio n o f w a r m a te ria ls a n d su ch a b ro a d sy stem o f g o v e rn m e n ta l c o n tro ls over th e c iv ilia n econom y t h a t v irtu a lly a ll in te rn a tio n a l tra n s a c tio n s, com m ercial a n d fin a n c ia l, re s u lte d fro m b a sic n a tio n a l p o licy decisions r a t h e r th a n fro m th e fre e a ctio n o f p r iv a te business. T h e in te rn a tio n a l acco u n ts o f th e U n ite d S ta te s d u r in g th e w a r y e ars, th e re fo re , do n o t f a ll in to th e u s u a l p a tte r n . T h e p re p o n d e ra n c e o f goods a n d services tr a n s f e rr e d in acc orda nce w ith m u tu a l-a id a g re e m en ts a n d in connection w ith th e v a rio u s em e rg en cy -aid o p e ra tio n s u n d e r ta k e n by g o v e rn m e n ta l agencies a n d in te rn a tio n a l o rg a n iz a tio n s d u r in g th e p e rio d covered h a v e g iv en so -c alled u n ila te ra l tra n s a c tio n s a n u n p re c e d e n te d significance in o u r b a la n c e o f in te rn a tio n a l p a ym en ts. A t th e tim e th e D e p a rtm e n t in itia te d its b a la n c e-o f-p ay m en ts stu d ie s a f t e r W o r ld W a r I , th e S e c re ta ry o f C om m erce sta te d th a t “no so u n d conclusion can be m a d e c o n c ern in g th e effect o f fo re ig n -tra d e m o v em en ts u p o n o u r c re d it s tru c tu re o r u p o n th e a b ility o f fo re ig n c o u n trie s to p u rc h a se o u r c o m m o d ities o r to p a y th e ir d ebts, o r u p o n e xch an g e ra te s , o r u p o n th e m o v em en t o f g o ld , o r th e u ltim a te tr e n d o f p ric e levels c o m p a re d w ith th o se o f o th e r n a tio n s w ith o u t som e com p reh en siv e b a lan ce sh eet in c lu d in g th e in v isib le item s.” A s a conse quence o f W o rld W a r I th e U n ite d S ta te s h a d s h if te d fro m a n e t d e b to r to a n e t c re d ito r p o sitio n . T h e s h if t im p lie d a re o rie n ta tio n o f n a tio n a l th in k in g w ith resp e c t to th e p lac e th is c o u n try w o u ld h en ce f o r th occupy in th e in te rn a tio n a l econom y. T h e a p p ra is a l o f th e c o u n try ’s in te rn a tio n a l b a la n ce sh ee t p lac ed in b o ld re lie f th e im p o rta n c e o f o u r “in v isib le ” tra d e . T h e a b u n d a n t re s e rv o ir o f d o lla rs a v a ila b le to fo re ig n e rs th ro u g h o u t th e tw e n tie s, th a n k s to a stea d y stre a m o f fo re ig n in v estm e n t, so m e w h a t obscu red th e re a l im p lic a tio n s o f th e basic tr e n d s in o u r in te rn a tio n a l tra n sa c tio n s. T h e significance o f th ese d ev e lo p m e n ts becam e c le a re r as th e w o rld m oved d eep er a n d d e ep er in to d e p ressio n d u r in g th e e a rly th ir tie s . I n 1942, w h ile th e w o rld w as a g a in a t w a r, th e D e p a rtm e n t o f C om m erce u n d e rto o k a n o v er-a ll a p p ra is a l o f its in te rn a tio n a l tra n sa c tio n s d u r in g th e in te rw a r p e rio d a n d , a y e a r la te r, p u b lish e d a c o m p re h e n siv e stu d y e n title d , “ T h e U n ite d S ta te s in th e W o rld E co n o m y .” T h e conclusion t h a t em erg ed m o st e m p h a tic a lly w as th e fu n d a m e n ta l im p o rta n c e o f “m a in ta in in g c o n d itio n s c ondu civ e to a m o re sta b le a n d am p le flow o f d o lla rs in o u r tra n s a c tio n s w ith o th e r c o u n trie s.” D e v elo p m en ts since 1943 h a v e p ro v id e d f u r th e r c o n firm a tio n o f th e conclusions e x p resse d in “T h e U n ite d S ta te s in th e W o rld E c o n o m y .’' F o re ig n p o s tw a r d e m a n d f o r U n ite d S ta te s goods p resse d on th e econom y a t th e sam e tim e t h a t th e accu m u lated d o m estic d e m a n d m ad e its e lf fe lt. T h e im p a c t o f a to ta l d e m a n d s u b s ta n tia lly in excess o f a v a ila b le su p p lie s w hen w a rtim e co n tro ls w ere rem oved h a s re s u lte d in a s h a rp p ric e rise, le a d in g to a n u n d u e d e p le tio n o f th e d o lla r exch an ge resources o f fo re ig n c ou n tries. A s a re s u lt o f th e re c e n t w a r th e b a lan c e o f econom ic p o w e r h a s p a sse d to th e U n ite d S ta te s to a d egree w h ic h m akes a w o rld p ro g ra m o f m u ltila te ra l tr a d e o f p a ra m o u n t im p o rta n c e . I t c a rrie s w ith i t a d eg ree o f re sp o n s ib ility f o r w o rld '¡recovery t h a t p e rm its no in d ifferen ce to th e re s t o f th e w o rld ’s d o lla r b u y in g pow er. T h e p re se n t stu d y b rin g s dow n to th e e nd o f 1945, th e la s t w a r y e a r, th e sta tis tic s o n tlie in te rn a tio n a l tra n sa c tio n s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s. I t com bines in to a sin g le a n aly sis th e d ev elo p m en ts o f a p e rio d in w h ich th e w hole w o rld w as im p ressed b y th e p ro d u c tio n p o te n tia litie s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s. I t s conclusions f o r tif y th o se o f th e e a rlie r re p o rt. C u rre n t e stim a te s, on a q u a rte rly basis, o f th e in te rn a tio n a l tr a n s a c tio n s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s a p p e a r re g u la rly in th e S u rv e y o f C u rre n t B usiness. I n te r n a tio n a l T ra n sa c tio n s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s D u r in g th e W a r, 1940-45 w as p r e p a re d in th e In te r n a tio n a l E conom ics D iv isio n , Office o f B u siness E conom ics, u n d e r th e d ire c tio n o f R o b e rt L . S am m ons, C h ie f o f th e D iv isio n . T h e s tu d y w as in itia te d a n d m uch o f th e basic s ta tis tic a l w o rk p e rfo rm e d u n d e r th e d ire c tio n o f H a l B . L a ry , w ho w as c h ie f o f th e D iv isio n u n til J u n e 1946. T h e te x t o f th e stu d y w as th e w o rk o f v a rio u s m em bers o f th e D i v isio n ’s staff. W a lth e r L e d e re r p re p a re d th e first d r a f t o f c h a p te rs I a n d Y a n d R a n e y F . C u lb e rtso n , th e o v er-a ll b a lan c e-o f-p a y m e n ts. Amos E . Tayl or, D irec to r , Office o f B usiness E conom ics. ► \ iv (C o n te n tó P age F o r e w o rd _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ C h a p te r I. R e v ie w of t h e w a r p e r io d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ F ro m n e u tr a lit y to b e llig e re n c y , 1 9 4 0 -4 1 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ T h e w a r, J a n u a r y 1 9 4 2 -J u n e 19 45 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ T h e b e g in n in g of t h e tr a n s itio n , J u ly - D e c e m b e r , 1945____________ C h a p te r I I . C u r r e n t a c c o u n t tr a n s a c t io n s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ M e r c h a n d ise t r a d e _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ T h e tr a n s p o r ta ti o n a c c o u n t_ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ T r a v e l_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ In c o m e o n in v e s tm e n ts _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ P r i v a te m isc e lla n e o u s s e r v ic e s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ G o v e rn m e n t m isc e lla n e o u s s e rv ic e s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ U n ila te ra l tr a n s f e r s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ C h a p te r I I I . C a p ita l m o v e m e n ts a n d g o ld _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ M o v e m e n ts of lo n g -te rm c a p i t a l _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ S h o r t- te r m c a p ita l a n d g o ld _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ I n te r n a t io n a l in v e s tm e n t p o s itio n _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ C h a p te r IV . T r a n s a c tio n s b y a r e a s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ I n tr o d u c ti o n _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ■ _______________________ T ra n s a c tio n s w ith t h e s te rlin g a r e a _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ T ra n s a c tio n s w ith C a n a d a _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ T ra n s a c tio n s w ith t h e A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s __________ ^ __________ T ra n s a c tio n s w ith a ll o th e r c o u n trie s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ T r a n s a c tio n s w ith in te r n a tio n a l in s titu tio n s _____________________ C h a p te r V. I m p lic a tio n s fo r th e f u t u r e _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ In c re a s e d G o v e rn m e n t c o n tr o ls _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ T h e s h o rta g e of d o lla r e x c h a n g e _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ : ______________ T h e p ro b le m of r e p a y m e n t_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ III 1 2 6 8 13 13 49 58 67 84 85 87 92 92 103 109 111 111 112 122 131 144 152 154 154 155 158 TABLES 1. I n te r n a t io n a l tr a n s a c tio n s of th e U n ite d S ta te s , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2. E x p o r ta b le go od s, p ro d u c tio n a n d p r o p o r tio n e x p o r te d , 1939, 1941, a n d 1 9 4 3 -4 5 _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ 3. T o ta l a n d c a sh b a la n c e o n U n ite d S ta te s in te r n a tio n a l m e rc h a n d is e tr a n s a c tio n s , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 4. I n te r n a t io n a l m e r c h a n d is e tr a n s a c tio n s of t h e U n ite d S ta te s, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 . 5. L e n d -le a se g o od s f u r n is h e d , b y m a jo r c o u n trie s a n d ty p e s of go od s, M a r. 11, 1941, th r o u g h S e p t. 1, 19 45 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 6. U n ite d S ta te s G o v e r n m e n t p a y m e n ts a b r o a d fo r n o n m ilita r y p u r c hases, b y m a jo r c o m m o d itie s a n d a re a s , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 7. R e v e rs e le n d -le a se go od s re c e ive d , b y m a jo r c o u n trie s a n d ty p e s of go od s, M a r . 11, 1941, th r o u g h S e p t. 1, 19 45 ---------------------------8. M e r c h a n t to n n a g e of p rin c ip a l m a ritim e c o u n trie s, 1939 a n d 1945___ 9. A v e ra g e a n n u a l to n n a g e , v a lu e , a n d v a lu e p e r to n of U n ite d S ta te s o c e a n -b o rn e e x p o r ts, 1 9 36 -3 9 a n d 1 9 4 2 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 10. A v e ra g e a n n u a l to n n a g e , v a lu e , a n d v a lu e p e r to n of U n ite d S ta te s o c e a n -b o rn e im p o rts , 1 9 3 6 -3 9 a n d 1 9 4 2 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ :----------11. O c e an t r a n s p o r ta tio n re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts , 1944 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 12. I n te r n a t io n a l tr a v e l a c c o u n t of t h e U n ite d S ta te s, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 -------------13. In c o m e on in v e s tm e n ts , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 14. R a tio s of in c o m e a n d n e t e a rn in g s t o A m e r ic a n e q u ity in fo re ig n s u b sid ia rie s a n d b ra n c h e s , b y a r e a s , 1 9 40 -4 5, a n d av erag e for th e p erio d — 15. A m e ric a n in v e s tm e n ts in fo re ig n s u b s id ia rie s : E a rn in g s o n c o m m o n sto c k , c o m m o n d iv id e n d s , a n d re in v e s te d e a rn in g s, b y a re a s , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 . 16. In c o m e re c e iv e d fro m A m e r ic a n d ire c t in v e s tm e n ts , b y a r e a a n d in d u s tr y , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 17. I n te r e s t r e c e ip ts fro m A m e ric a n in v e s tm e n ts in fo re ig n d o lla r b o n d s, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ vm 4 14 15 22 28 33 50 52 53 56 61 69 70 73 73 78 v Page 18. A v e ra g e y ie ld o n p a r a n d m a r k e t v a lu e s of A m e r ic a n in v e s tm e n ts in fo re ig n d o lla r b o n d s, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 ------------------------------------------------19. P r i v a te m isc e lla n e o u s se rv ice s, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 --------------------------------------20. G o v e rn m e n t m isc e lla n e o u s serv ic e s, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 ---------------------------21. L o n g -te rm c a p ita l tr a n s a c tio n s b e tw e e n t h e U n ite d S ta te s a n d fo re ig n c o u n trie s, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 22. L o n g -te rm c a p ita l m o v e m e n ts , b y a r e a , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 ---------------------------23. C h a n g e s in fo re ig n g o ld h o ld in g s a n d s h o r t- te r m d o lla r c la im s th r o u g h tr a n s a c tio n s w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s, b y specified a r e a s , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 — 24. S h o rt-te r m c a p ita l tr a n s a c tio n s b e tw e e n th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d fo re ig n c o u n trie s, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 25. G o ld h e ld in th e U n ite d S ta te s fo r fo re ig n a c c o u n t b y spe cifie d c o u n trie s a n d a re a s a t y e a r-e n d s , 1 9 3 9 -4 5 --------------------------------------------26. G o ld a n d s h o r t- te r m d o lla r a s s e ts of fo re ig n c o u n trie s a t v e a r-e n d s , 1939 a n d 1945_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 27. I n te r n a t io n a l in v e s tm e n t p o s itio n of t h e U n ite d S ta te s , 1 9 3 9 -4 5 -------28. T ra n s a c tio n s of th e U n ite d S ta te s w ith t h e s te rlin g a r e a , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 ----29. M e r c h a n d is e tr a n s a c tio n s of t h e U n ite d S ta te s w ith t h e s te r lin g a r e a , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 30. “ C a s h ” se rv ic e s tr a n s a c tio n s of t h e U n ite d S ta te s w ith th e ste rlin g a r e a , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 31. T ra n s a c tio n s of th e U n ite d S ta te s w ith C a n a d a , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 ------------ . . . 32. T ra n s a c tio n s of th e U n ite d S ta te s w ith t h e A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ - - - 33. R e p o r te d g ro ss g o ld a n d fo re ig n e x c h a n g e h o ld in g s of th e A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s, 1 9 4 1 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 34. U n ite d S ta te s tr a d e w ith t h e A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s : E x p o r ts , in c lu d in g re e x p o rts , a n d g e n e ra l im p o rts of m e rc h a n d ise , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 35. E x p o r t- I m p o r t B a n k : D ire c t a n d g u a r a n te e d lo a n s o n a c c o u n t of th e A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s, 1 9 3 9 -4 5 (lo a n s o u ts ta n d in g a s of D e c e m b e r 3 1 ) . 36 . T r a n s a c tio n s of th e U n ite d S ta te s w ith “ a ll o th e r c o u n trie s ,” 1 9 4 0 -4 5 -_ 37. “ C a s h ” tr a n s a c tio n s of th e U n ite d S ta te s w ith “ a ll o th e r c o u n trie s ,” 1 9 4 0 -4 5 ______________ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . . . 38. U n ite d S t a t e s 't r a d e w ith five n e u tr a l c o u n trie s : E x p o rts , in c lu d in g re e x p o rts , a n d g e n e ra l im p o rts of m e rc h a n d ise , 1 9 3 6 -3 8 a n d 1 9 4 0 -4 5 39. T o ta l a n d “ c a s h ” e x p o rts , in c lu d in g re e x p o rts , of t h e U n ite d S ta te s to s e le c te d a llie d c o u n trie s, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 40. U n ite d S ta te s e x p o r ts u n d e r th e U N R R A p r o g ra m , 19 45 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 41. T ra n s a c tio n s of t h e U n ite d S ta te s w ith in te r n a tio n a l in s titu tio n s , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ __ __ __ __ __ _ 79 84 85 93 94 104 105 105 108 110 112 r* 116 118 123 132 134 138 141 144 145 146 148 149 153 A P P E N D IX E S A. C o n c e p ts a n d d e fin itio n s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ B . M e th o d o lo g y a n d so u rc e s of d a t a _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ C . S u p p le m e n ta r y in f o r m a tio n _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ A P P E N D IX T A B L E S A p p e n d ix B : I . C o m p o s itio n of f re ig h t a n d s h ip p in g a c c o u n t, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ __ __ __ I I . E s tim a te d f re ig h t e a r n in g s b y U n ite d S ta te s a n d fo re ig n vessels in t h e c a rria g e of U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts a n d e x p o r ts , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 . I I I . U n ite d S ta te s a n d C a n a d ia n d a t a o n U n ite d S ta te s n e t p u r c h a ses of C a n a d ia n s e c u r itie s _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ A p p e n d ix C : IV . C itiz e n a n d a lie n d e p a r tu r e s fro m a n d a r riv a ls in th e U n ite d S ta te s , b y s e a a n d a ir , v ia s e a p o rts , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ V . R e s id e n ts of th e U n ite d S ta te s d e p a r tin g fo r o v e rs e a d e s tin a tio n s, b y g e o g r a p h ic a r e a a n d b y class of tr a v e le r , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 __ V I. T o t a l p a ss e n g e r tra ffic (e x c lu d in g cruises) b e tw e e n th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d o v e rs e a c o u n trie s, b y class of tr a v e le r , 1 9 4 0 - 4 5 .. V I I . A rriv a ls a n d d e p a r tu r e s of r e s id e n ts of o v e rs e a c o u n trie s a d m itt e d t o th e U n ite d S ta te s a s te m p o r a r y v isito rs, 1 9 4 0 - 4 5 .. V I I I . E s tim a te d re c e ip ts fro m C a n a d ia n tr a v e le rs t o th e U n ite d S ta te s , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ I X . E s tim a te d p a y m e n ts b y U n ite d S ta te s tr a v e le rs to C a n a d a , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _____ vi 164 172 193 176 177 189 193 202 203 204 206 206 > A p p e n d ix C — C o n tin u e d 1'aee X . D e p a r tu r e s fro m M ex ico of fo re ig n to u r is ts re sid in g in fo re ig n c o u n trie s, b y m o n th , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 206 X I . P e rs o n a l r e m itta n c e r e c e ip ts , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 207 X I I . P e rs o n a l r e m itta n c e p a y m e n ts , b y c o u n try , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 207 X I I I . I n s ti tu t io n a l c o n tr ib u tio n s to fo re ig n c o u n trie s, b y class of in s t i tu t io n a n d b y g e o g ra p h ic a r e a , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 208 209 X IV . In c o m e o n in v e s tm e n ts , b y a r e a a n d ty p e , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ X V . In c o m e re c e iv e d fro m A m e r ic a n d ire c t in v e s tm e n ts in s e le c te d c o u n trie s, 1 9 4 0 -4 4 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 210 X V I. In c o m e re c e iv e d fro m A m e ric a n d ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts : V a lu e of in v e s tm e n ts a n d y ie ld in 1943, b y a r e a a n d s e le c te d c o u n trie s — 210 X V I I . A v e ra g e y ie ld o n A m e ric a n d ire c t in v e s tm e n ts a b r o a d , b y in 211 d u s tr y a n d a r e a , 1943_ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ X V I I I . In c o m e re c e iv e d fro m A m e ric a n d ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts , b y a r e a , in d u s tr y , a n d t y p e of in c o m e , 19 44_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 212 X I X . In c o m e p a id o n fo re ig n in v e s tm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s , b y c o u n try , 1 9 4 2 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 213 X X . U n ite d S ta te s p u rc h a s e s of fo re ig n c a p ita l issu es o ffe re d in th e U n ite d S ta te s , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ 214 X X I . M a r k e t v a lu e of A m e ric a n in v e s tm e n ts in fo re ig n d o lla r b o n d s, 1 9 40 -4 5, a n d p a r v a lu e , 1945_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 215 X X I I . R e c o n c ilia tio n of e s tim a te s of U n ite d S ta te s lo n g -te rm in v e s t 216 m e n ts a b r o a d , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ X X I I I . R e c o n c ilia tio n of e s tim a te s o f fo re ig n lo n g -te rm in v e s tm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 217 X X I V . G ifts a n d o th e r u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e rs , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 218 X X V . I n te r n a t io n a l tr a n s a c tio n s of th e U n ite d S ta te s , p r iv a te a n d G o v e rn m e n t, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 219 X X V I . I n te r n a t io n a l tr a n s a c tio n s of t h e U n ite d S ta te s , 1 9 1 9 -3 9 ____ 221 CHARTS 1. C u m u la tiv e n e t in flow of c a p ita l a n d go ld , a n d c u m u la tiv e m e r c h a n d is e e x p o r t s u rp lu s (e x c lu d in g le n d -le a se a n d U N R R A e x p o rts ), b y q u a r te r s , 1 9 3 5 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2. C a sh a n d le n d -le a se e x p o rts , m ilita r y , n o n m ilita r y , a n d U N R R A -----3. E x p o r t s u rp lu s of g o od s a n d se rv ic es in p e r c e n t of th e g ro ss n a tio n a l p r o d u c t n o t u s e d fo r c u r r e n t c o n s u m p tio n , 1 9 3 7 -4 5 _____________ 4. U n ite d S ta te s t o t a l e x p o rts , n o n -le n d -le a se e x p o r ts , a n d g e n e ra l im p o rts , b y m o n th s , 1 9 3 9 -4 5 (a n n u a l r a t e s ) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 5. U n ite d S ta te s su p p lie s of r u b b e r (e x c e p t re c la im e d ), 1 9 3 9 -4 5 ----------6. U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts of tin , b y so u rc e , a n d b y c la s sific a tio n a s re fin e d o r o re s a n d c o n c e n tra te s , 1 9 3 9 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 7. U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts fo r c o n s u m p tio n , b y e co n o m ic classes, in 1939 p ric e s, r e la te d to n a tio n a l in c o m e in 1939 d o lla rs _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 8. U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts b y g e o g r a p h ic a r e a s , 1 9 3 8 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 9. U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts of d o m e s tic m e rc h a n d ise , b y m a jo r e co n o m ic classes, in s e le c te d y e a rs , 1 9 0 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 10. M o n th ly in d e x e s of U n ite d S ta te s w h o le sa le p ric e s a n d u n it v a lu e s of U n ite d S ta te s e x p o r ts a n d im p o rts , 1 9 3 9 -4 5 -----------------------------11. U n ite d S ta te s g e n e r a l im p o rts b y g e o g r a p h ic a re a s , 1 9 3 8 - 4 5 - ........ .. 12. U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts fo r c o n s u m p tio n , b y m a jo r e co n o m ic classes, in s e le c te d y e a rs, 1 9 0 0 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 13. T r a n s p o r ta tio n a c c o u n t: t o t a l a n d c a s h tr a n s a c tio n s , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 ----------14. P r o p o r tio n o f o c e a n -b o r n e im p o rts a n d e x p o r ts c a rrie d in U n ite d S ta te s vessels, 1 9 3 6 -4 5 ( d ry c a rg o , ta n k e r , a n d t o t a l ) _________________ 15. I n te r n a t io n a l tr a v e l e x p e n d itu re s , 1 9 3 7 -4 5 ---------------------------------16. R e la tio n s h ip b e tw e e n U n ite d S ta te s tr a v e l p a y m e n ts to r e m o te a re a s a n d n a tio n a l in c o m e _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 17. R e la tio n s h ip b e tw e e n U n ite d S ta te s tr a v e l p a y m e n ts to n e a r b y a re a s a n d n a tio n a l in c o m e _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 18. C o m p o sitio n of U n ite d S ta te s in c o m e re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts , 1 9 2 8 -4 5 19. C o m p a ra tiv e in c o m e o n A m e r ic a n d ire c t in v e s tm e n ts a b r o a d , fo re ig n in v e s tm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s , a n d in v e s tm e n ts in d o m e s tic c o r p o ra tio n s , b y class of in v e s tm e n ts , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 - ------------------- - -------20. A m e ric a n d ire c t in v e s tm e n ts in C a n a d a ; d iv id e n d s a n d e a rn in g s o n c o m m o n s to c k , 1 9 3 8 -4 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 21. P r i v a te r e m itta n c e s t o fo re ig n c o u n trie s, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 -------------------------- 2 10 12 13 30 31 37 40 41 42 43 44 51 54 60 65 66 68 71 75 88 vn v iii Tabl e 1 .— I n te r n a tio n a l tr a n sa c tio n s o f th e U n ited S ta te s , 19^0-1^5 [In m illions of dollars] 1945 I te m 1940 1942 1941 1943 1944 I , R e c e ip ts , to ta l___ ______ _____ ____ _______ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ A . G oo ds a n d se rv ic es, t o t a l ___ _ _ _ _ _ ________ ______ __________ 1. G o o d s - - ___ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2. In c o m e on in v e s tm e n ts ______________ _ __ __ __ __ _ __ __ __ __ 3. O th e r se rv ic e s _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ ____ ________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, to t a l _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1. M o v e m e n ts o f U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in v e s te d a b r o a d .......... ...... 2. M o v e m e n ts o f fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e s te d in U n ite d S ta te s ............ I I . P a y m e n ts , t o t a l ---------------- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------------ A . G oo ds a n d se rv ic e s, t o t a l __________________ _ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ 1. G o o d s ________________ _____ ___ ________ _____________ 2. In c o m e on in v e s tm e n ts ............................. ............ ........ ......... . 3. O th e r se rv ic e s ...... ................ ........... ............................. ...... .......... C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, to t a l ________ ________ _ _ __ _ _ _ __ __ ______ _ 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in v e s te d a b r o a d ............. . 2. M o v e m e n ts o f fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e s te d in U n ite d S ta te s . ........... I I I . E x c ess of re c e ip ts (+ ) o r p a y m e n ts (—), t o t a l ................. ......... ........... A . G oods a n d se rv ic e s_ __ __ __ __ __ _ _________ _________________ I"— N e t g oo ds a n d s e rv ic e s a n d u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e r s ___ ____ ________ C. L o n g -te rm c a p ita l________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ________________ _____ V. N e t in flo w (+ ) o r o u tf lo w (—) o f f u n d s on g o ld a n d s h o r t- te r m c a p ita l a c c o u n t, to t a l ______ _________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ A . N e t in c rea se (—) o r d e c re a se (+) in U n ite d S ta te s gold s to c k ____ B . N e t m o v e m e n t o f U n ite d S ta te s s h o rt- te rm c a p ita l a b r o a d ............ C . N e t m o v e m e n t of fo re ig n s h o r t- te r m c a p ita l in U n ite d S ta te s ......... i T 5,780 13,077 7, 210 S e c on d q u a r te r 24,485 19, 249 5, 517 6,235 4,030 3,467 4,382 3,455 129 798 1,039 96 96 4,997 3, 906 147 944 995 243 213 30 3,450 2, 543 129 778 493 87 87 3,244 2,318 150 776 64 159 159 6,110 6, 813 4, 539 3,547 2,689 1,519 35 1,135 3,137 284 190 94 2, 925 1,681 39 1,205 3, 617 271 265 6 2,082 1,414 39 629 1,746 711 679 32 1,728 1, 215 55 458 1,128 691 669 22 43 271 193 78 11,769 9,187 514 X 068 1,002 306 219 87 19,134 15,115 508 3, 511 2,137 445 402 43 21,438 16,969 572 3,897 2,407 640 406 234- 16,073 12,222 555 3, 296 2,591 585 555 30 6,578 13,159 23,732 26,154 21,009 5,355 4,124 564 6,896 5,343 544 59 366 209 157 4,344 657“ .... lTTO"1 4.486 3,636 2,713 3.486 210 187 7UT - ' W “ — 1,179 269 439 913 192 508 405 247 + 1 ,4 3 6 21,716 + 6 32 5,356 8, 096 3,965 5, 427 155 159 T ,~ 23 r ' T M T 7,338 15,044 465 592 294 486 171 106 -8 2 8,986 9,424 5,829 5, 589 161 168 " 37236“ “... 3 ,4 2 7 '' 9,628 16, 549 619 1,957 560 1,803 154 59 T h ird q u a r te r F o u rth q u a r te r F irs t q u a r te r T o ta l - 2 ,0 1 6 - 1 ,6 6 9 - 1 ,7 6 0 -5 9 3 -5 7 8 -5 0 9 -8 0 + 6 ,6 4 9 - 7 ,0 3 7 -3 8 8 - 1 ,3 7 2 + 1 ,6 9 3 —2,098 -4 0 5 -1 8 8 + 2 ,0 7 2 - 2 ,6 2 2 -5 5 0 -2 8 + 1 ,3 6 8 - 1 , 253 + 115 -6 2 4 + 1 , 516 - 1 ,0 6 4 +452 -5 3 2 + 1 ,7 1 9 -2 1 0 + 1 ,5 0 9 -7 3 + 2 ,4 1 0 - 1 ,1 3 6 + 1 ,2 7 4 -6 4 2 + 6 ,4 1 3 - 6 ,3 3 6 +77 -1 5 9 + 1 1,0 3 8 -1 2 ,9 0 7 - 1 , 869 -1 4 7 + 1 2,4 5 2 -1 4 ,1 4 2 - 1 ,6 9 0 +Sl - 2 ,7 1 3 - 1 ,1 0 8 +90 + 1 ,9 8 2 + 1 ,7 0 6 + 1 ,8 8 8 + 620 + 631 +582 +55 + 1 ,3 5 0 -1 5 3 + 509 + 548 -3 1 3 + 1 ,6 5 3 + 180 -9 + 4 49 + 157 -1 2 0 + 594 + 2 01 +21 +360 +10 -2 0 5 +250 -3 7 -1 2 8 -2 7 -5 3 -7 3 +25 - 4 , 243 + 1 77 + 1 ,3 5 3 -7 1 9 +11 -4 0 0 +23 -1 1 5 + 182 + 1 , 277 + 476 -8 + 757 +3 + 1 ,2 2 2 +34' C h a p te r I R e v ie w o f th e W a r P e r io d . \ m T h e in te rn a tio n a l tr a n s a c tio n s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s d u rin g th e w a r lik e th o se o f o th e r c o u n trie s, w e re c o n d u c te d a lm o st e n tire ly u n d e r G o v e rn m en t d ire c tio n o r c o n tro l. T h e p r im a r y o bjective o f th ese c o n tro ls w as th e w in n in g o f th e w a r w ith a m in im u m o f d istu rb a n c e to th e e x istin g social s tru c tu re . T h e a cc ou n t th a t fo llo w s is m o re n a rra tiv e , th a n a n a ly tic a l in c h a r a cte r, ex ce pt f o r a c o n c lu d in g c h a p te r on im p lic a tio n s fo r th e fu tu re , w h e re in a n a tte m p t is m a d e to foresee possib le so lu tio n s to som e o f th e econom ic p rob lem s f a c in g th e w o rld as a re s u lt o f 6 y e a rs o f g lob a l conflict. T h e e n tire 6 -year p e rio d , 1940-45, fro m th e p o in t o f view o f o u r in te rn a tio n a l tra n s a c tio n s, m ay be d iv id e d in to th re e p a rts . T h e first, c o m p risin g ro u g h ly th e y e ars 1940 a n d 1941, w as c h a ra c te riz e d b y th e tr a n s itio n fro m “cash a n d c a r r y ” n e u tr a lity to th e first stag e o f th e d e ve lo p m e nt o f th is c o u n try as th e “A rse n a l o f D e m o c rac y .” T h e L e n d -L e ase A c t w as p a sse d in M a rc h 1941, b u t i t w as n o t u n til th e second h a lf o f t h a t y e a r t h a t len d -le ase tr a n s f e rs assum ed a la rg e volum e. U n til t h a t tim e , d o lla rs n eed ed to p a y fo r ra p id ly ris in g e x p o rts, a n d fo r ad v a n c e p a y m e n ts on o rd e rs a n d o th e r fin a n c ia l as sistan ce to A m eric an m a n u fa c tu re rs o f m u n itio n s b y A llie d c o u n tries, h a d to be o b ta in e d th ro u g h (1) th e liq u id a tio n o f fo re ig n assets in th is c o u n try , (2) sales o f g o ld, a n d (3) som e ad v an ce p a y m e n ts a n d lo an s by th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v ernm en t. T h e second p a r t o f th e p e rio d covers a c tu a l U n ite d S ta te s p a r tic ip a tio n in th e w a r. F o r rea so n s o f s ta tis tic a l convenience, i t w as ta k e n to c om p rise th e y e ars 1942 th ro u g h 1944 a n d th e first 6 m o n th s o f 1945. I t w as c h a ra c te riz e d by sh a rp ly ris in g e x p o rts a n d still g re a te r in creases o f lend-lease assistance. E x p o rts o f goods a n d services fo r w h ich w e received p a y m e n t d eclin ed a n d w e re a c tu a lly sm a lle r th a n o u r o b lig a tio n s f o r im p o rts. C o n seq u en tly , d u r in g th is tim e fo re ig n c o u n trie s as a g ro u p e ith e r in c rea se d th e ir d o lla r b alan ces o r b o u g h t g o ld in th e U n ite d S tate s. T h e th ird p a r t o f th e p e rio d covers th e second h a lf o f th e y e a r 1945, a n d th e re fo re th e tr a n s itio n fro m w a r to th e p o s tw a r era . D u rin g t h a t h a lf y e a r b o th e x p o rts a n d im p o rts declined— th e la tte r o n ly slig h tly — a n d len d -lease as a m eans o f fin a n c in g e x p o rts w as p a r tly re p la c e d b y c o n trib u tio n s th ro u g h U N 1 ÍR A a n d by lo an s. B ecause o f c o n tin u e d lim ita tio n s on o u r dom estic p ro d u c tio n a n d e x p o rts o f c iv ilia n goods, c e rta in fo re ig n c o u n trie s c o n tin u ed to a ccu m u late d o lla r ba la nc es a n d to b u y g o ld , b u t in d im in ish in g q u a n titie s , as th e y e a r ended. I F ro m N e u t r a l i t y t o B e l l i g e r e n c y , 1 9 4 0 —4 1 T h e c lo sin g y e a rs o f th e th ir tie s fo u n d th e U n ite d S ta te s in a so -called s tro n g b a la n c e-o f-p a y m e n ts p o sitio n . B u siness recession in 1938 h a d g re a tly red u ced o u r d e m a n d fo r fo re ig n goods a n d services, w h ile re la tiv e ly less d e presse d c o n d itio n s a b ro a d c ou p led w ith in c re ased p r e p a r a tio n f o r w a r in E u ro p e serv ed to keep o u r e x p o rts h ig h .1 T h e p o sitiv e tr a d e b alan ce (ba sed on “re c o rd e d ” fig u re s), w h ich h a d re a c h e d a low p o in t o f $33 m illio n in 1936, rose to $1,134 m illio n in 1938 a n d receded to $859 m illio n in 1939. T h e re s u ltin g p re ssu re on fo re ig n e xch an g e reserves w as in ten sified b y n e t in w a rd c a p ita l m ovem ents— p r a c tic a lly a ll g o in g in to d e po sits a n d o th e r liq u id b alan ces— of a p p ro x im a te ly $2 b illio n d u r in g th e 18 m o n th s e n d e d w ith th e close o f 1939. B o th th e e x p o r t su rp lu s 12 a n d th e inflow o f c a p ita l w ere m a d e possible th ro u g h g o ld im p o rts w h ic h a m o u n ted to $4.5 b illio n in th e sam e p e rio d (see c h a r t 1 ). C h a rt 1 BI LLI ONS OF D O LLA RS N o te » — T h e s e r i e s u s e d i n t h i s c h a r t a r e u n a d j u s t e d a n d d o n o t c o r r e s p o n d to th o s e e m p lo y e d in th e b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts ta b le s . G o ld m o v e m e n ts in c lu d e e x p o r ts , im p o rts , a n d e a r m a r k in g o n ly ; c a p ita l m o v e m e n ts a r e u n a d ju s te d T r e a s u r y D e p a r t m e n t f i g u r e s ; a n d t h e m e r c h a n d is e e x p o r t s u r p lu s is b a s e d o n r e c o r d e d tr a d e d a ta , e x c lu d in g ie n d -le a s e a n d U N R R A e x p o r ts . 1 I n g e n e r a l , t h e w o r d s e x p o r t s a n d i m p o r t s i n t h i s v o l u m e r e f e r t o t h e o ff ic ia l t r a d e fig u re s re le a s e d b y t h e B u r e a u o f th e C e n su s . T h e te r m s “ t o t a l e x p o r ts ,” “ t o t a l tr a n s f e r s ,” “ e x p o r ts o f g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s ,” a n d s im ila r e x p r e s s io n s a r e u s e d w h e n a m o re c o m p re h e n s i v e c a t e g o r y is im p li e d . 2 A s u se d in th is s tu d y , th e te rm “ e x p o r t s u r p lu s ” r e f e r s to th e ex c e ss o f tr a n s f e r s o f g o o d s o r g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s to f o re ig n c o u n tr ie s ( e x p o r ts ) o v e r g o o d s o r g o o d s a n d s e rv ic e s re c e iv e d fr o m th e m ( i m p o r t s ) . 2 T h e S e a rc h f o r D o lla rs O u tw a r d ly th e s tru c tu re o f th e U n ite d S ta te s b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts w as n o t g r e a tly a lte re d in 1940 a n d th e first p a r t o f 1941, ex cep t by an in crea se in th e m a g n itu d e s in v o lv ed . A la rg e e x p o rt s u rp lu s a n d flow o f fo re ig n c a p ita l to th e U n ite d S ta te s c o n tin u e d to be offset by u n p re c e d e n te d g o ld im p o rts. H o w e v e r, th e g o ld a n d c a p ita l inflow , in p a r t, w as m ere ly in a n tic ip a tio n o f la te r d isb u rse m e n ts fo r w a r p u rch a se s. A s a m a tte r o f fa c t, i t w as n o t u n til th e o c cu p a tio n ox w e stern E u ro p e b y th e G e rm an a rm ies t h a t a n y fu n d a m e n ta l ch an g e s in th e U n ite d S ta te s b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts o c cu rred . E x p o rts rose slow ly fro m a n a n n u a l ra te o f $2.8 b illio n in th e first q u a rte r o f 1939 to a b o u t $4.3 b illio n a y e a r la te r, w ith a b o u t $600 m illio n o f th e in crea se a c c o un te d f o r by sh ip m e n ts to F ra n c e a n d th e U n ite d K in g d o m . I n th e m ea n tim e , how ever, th o se c o u n trie s w ere p la c in g la rg e o rd e rs in th e U n ite d S ta te s w h ich b e g a n to b e a r f r u i t in m o re r a p id in creases in e x p o rts b y th e la tte r p a r t o f 1940. M ost o f th e F re n c h c o n tra c ts w ere ta k e n over by th e B ritis h a f te r th e fa ll o f F ra n c e , e x p o rts to th e U n ite d K in g d o m ris in g fro m $50 m illio n in M ay to $126 m illio n in A u g u s t 1940. B ecause o f th e d eclin e in e x p o rts to G erm a n -o cc u p ied E u ro p e , to ta l e x p o rts d id n o t show a c o rre sp o n d in g rise. I n fa c t, e x p o rts fe ll so m e w h a t a f te r th e first q u a r te r o f 1940 a n d d id n o t r e tu r n to th e level a tta in e d in t h a t q u a rte r u n til th e second q u a r te r o f 1941. A p rin c ip a l rea so n fo r th e re la tiv e ly slow rise in e x p o rts in fac e o f th e a lm o st u n lim ite d d e m a n d o f G re a t B r ita in fo r A m e ric a n goods w as th e in a b ility o f th e A m e ric a n econom y to su p p ly p r o m p tly th e p ro d u c ts w a n ted . A s la te as th e m id d le o f 1941, w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s defense p ro g ra m a y e a r old, m u n itio n s p ro d u c tio n w as a t a n a n n u a l r a te o f o n ly $7.4 b illio n — a b o u t 13 p e rc e n t o f th e o u tp u t ach iev ed d u rin g 1943. E v e n th is level h a d been re ac h ed o n ly w ith a id to U n ite d S ta te s p ro d u c e rs b y th e B r itis h G o v e rn m en t, in th e fo rm o f a d v a n c e p a y m e n ts a n d c a p ita l a ssista n c e ; a t th e end o f 1940 su ch p a y m en ts o u ts ta n d in g a m o u n te d to $762 m illio n — a v e ry s u b s ta n tia l f u r th e r d r a in on th e a v a ila b le g o ld a n d d o lla r reso u rces o f th e U n ite d K in g d o m . I n a d d itio n to in crea se d e x p o rts a n d ad v a n c e p a y m en ts as sources of s tra in on d o lla r e xch an g e reserves o f fo re ig n c ou n tries, th e inflow o f “flig h t” c a p ita l so no ticea ble in th e la te th ir tie s w as c o n tin u ed a n d f o r a tim e in ten sifie d in th e e a rly stag e s o f th e w a r. T h e se fu n d s cam e la rg e ly fro m c o n tin e n ta l E u ro p e a n c ou n tries, a lth o u g h , as discussed elsew here (eh. I V ) , som e c a p ita l w ith d ra w a ls fro m th e U n ite d K in g dom o c cu rred even a f te r th e in a u g u ra tio n o f e xch an g e c ontrols. M e e tin g F o re ig n D o lla r R e q u ir e m e n ts A lth o u g h im p o rts also in crea se d in 1940 a n d 1941, u n d e r th e stim u lu s o f a h ig h e r r a te o f in d u s tria l a c tiv ity in th e U n ite d S ta te s, th e rise w as n o t as r a p id as th e e x p a n sio n in e x p o rts. W ith a c o rre sp o n d in g s h if t in o u r fa v o r on c e r ta in m a jo r in v isib le item s, th e b a la n c e d u e to u s on goods a n d services rose fro m $1,055 m illio n in 1939 to $1,719 m illio n in 1940 a n d $2,410 m illio n in 1941. T o th e to ta l a m o u n t o f a b o u t $4.1 b illio n due to th e U n ite d S ta te s in th e tw o l a tte r y e a rs m u st be a d d e d $609 m illio n o f U n ite d K in g d o m fin a n c ia l a id to U n ite d S ta te s m a n u fa c tu re rs, s till o u tsta n d in g a t th e 3 e n d o f 1941. O f th e re s u ltin g to ta l o f $4.7 b illio n , th e sum o f $1.3 b il lio n w as p ro v id e d b y th is c o u n try th ro u g h p r iv a te re m itta n c e s, le n d lease, a n d o th e r u n ila te ra l tra n s fe rs . T h is le f t $3.4 b illio n to be financed th ro u g h lo a n s fro m th is c o u n try o r b y d r a w in g u p o n g o ld a n d a c c u m u la te d d o lla r assets. T h e n e t outflow o f A m e ric a n c a p ita l, lo ng- a n d slio rt-te rm , a c co u n ted f o r $110 m illio n in th e 2 y e ars. L iq u id a tio n o f fo re ig n se c u ri tie s a n d o th e r lo n g -te rm in v estm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s p ro v id e d , n e t, a n a d d itio n a l $580 m illio n , n o t d e d u c tin g th e inflow re p re se n te d b y th e c a p ita l a ssistan c e m e n tio n ed above. A f te r s u b tr a c tin g th e $690 m illio n m ad e a v a ila b le th ro u g h lo a n s a n d liq u id a tio n s o f fo re ig n -h e ld lo n g -te rm assets fro m th e to ta l o f $3.4 b illio n re q u ire d b y fo re ig n c o u n trie s to m eet th e ir o b lig a tio n s on tr a d e , services, a n d c a p ita l a ssistan ce, a b o u t $2.7 b illio n re m a in e d to be p ro v id e d b y sh ip m en ts o f g o ld o r by d r a w in g u p o n a cc u m u lated d o lla r balances. S ales o f g o ld to th e T re a s u ry d u r in g th e 2 y e ars 1940 a n d 1941 a m o u n ted to a b o u t $5 b illio n , th u s ex ceed in g th e a m o u n t needed fo r th e se ttle m e n t o f c u r re n t o b lig a tio n s (in c lu d in g th e c a p ita l assistance above m en tio n ed ) b y a b o u t $2.3 b illio n . K n o w n increases in fo r e ig n d o lla r ba la nc es a m o u n te d to a b o u t $500 m illio n . T h e re m a in d e r, $1.8 b illio n , re p re se n ts th e e rro rs a n d om issions ite m in th e balanceo f-p a y m e n ts s ta te m e n t a n d p re su m a b ly consists o f u n re c o rd e d im p o rts o f fo re ig n c a p ita l. in c r e a s e d E x p o r ts E x p a n d U n ite d S ta te s P r o d u c tio n B ecau se o f th e la rg e in crea se in d o m estic business a c tiv ity stim u la te d b y th e a rm a m e n t p ro g ra m a n d th e in c rea se d incom e d e riv e d fro m it, e x p o rts u p to th e en d o f 1941, in c lu d in g len d -lease e x p o rts o f $780 m illio n , d id n o t rise a t a m u ch f a s te r ra te th a n d id to ta l p r o d u c tio n o f m ovable goods. E x p o rts fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s in 1941 c om p rise d 7.8 p e rc e n t o f th e o u tp u t o f m ov ab le goods, as a g a in st 7.4 p e rc e n t in 1939 (see ta b le 2 ). N e verth eless, fo re ig n tr a d e d u r in g 1940 a n d 1941 h a d a n im p o rta n t effect u p o n th e econom ic a n d m ilita ry p o s itio n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s. T h e in c rea se d e x p o rts o f goods a n d services h e lp e d c o n sid erab ly in th e re d u c tio n o f u n e m p lo y m e n t fro m 8 o r 9 m illio n in 1939 to a n a v erag e o f 5 m illio n in 1941. F o re ig n o rd ers, p a r tic u la r ly f o r m u n itio n s, also se rv ed to b u ild u p n e w p ro d u c tio n fa c ilitie s a n d to s tra ig h te n o u t th e first k in k s in th e m u n itio n s p r o d u c tio n process. I t is q u ite lik e ly th a t p ro d u c tio n f o r fo re ig n d e m a n d in 1940 a n d 1941 a d v a n c ed us sev eral m o n th s in th e a rm a m e n t p ro g ra m . Tabl e 2.—E x p o r ta b le g o od s: P ro d u c tio n a n d p ro p o rtio n exp o rte d , 1939,1941, an d 191t3-J,5 [In m illio n s o f dollars] Y ear 1939................. . 1941____ ______ 1943.... .................. 1944..... ................ 1945_____ _ _ _ _ _ _ A g ric u l tu r a l p ro d u c ts 9,121 12,556 21,350 22, 268 22, 760 M a n u fa c tu r e s 24,683 40,500 77, 500 78,000 66,000 M in in g 3,222 4, 500 5,300 5,600 5,300 F r e ig h t re c e ip ts 4,900 6,600 9,000 9,300 9,300 T o ta l 41,926 64,156 113,150 115.168 103,360 E x p o rts , U .S . m e r c h a n d is e P e r c e n t of to ta l 3,123 5,020 12,841 14,163 9, 589 S o u rc e : S ta tis tic a l A b s tr a c t of th e U n ite d S ta te s 1946, p . 838, U . S. D e p a r tm e n t of C o m m e rce . 7 .4 7 .8 11.3 12.3 9 .3 G o v e r n m e n t P a r tic ip a tio n I n c r e a s e s T h e w a r in E u ro p e a n d th e in c re a sin g in v o lv em en t o f th e U n ite d S ta te s n o t o n ly c h a n g e d th e volum e, co m p o sitio n , a n d d ire c tio n o f fo r e ig n tr a d e a n d o th e r in te rn a tio n a l tra n sa c tio n s, b u t also th e ir o r g a n iz a tio n a n d c o n tro l, b y in c re a s in g th e ro le o f g o v ernm en ts. E a r ly in th e w a r, th e B ritis h a n d F re n c h G o v e rn m en ts c h an n eled th e ir p u r chases in th is c o u n try th ro u g h official p u rc h a sin g m issions, a n d such m issions w ere la te r e sta b lish e d b y m a n y o th e r c ou n tries. T h is c o u n try , to o, e sta b lish e d in 1940 a n d 1941 v a rio u s G o v e rn m en t c o rp o ra tio n s to develop new fo re ig n sources o f s u p p ly f o r u r g e n tly need ed ra w m a te ria ls a n d to in crea se im p o rts o f such m a te ria ls fro m e x istin g sources. B o th o p e ra tio n s (d ev elo p e m e n t a n d a c tu a l p ro c u re m e n t) h a d to be done by th e G o v e rn m en t r a t h e r th a n b y p r iv a te business, in o rd e r to fa c ilita te p ro c u re m e n t a n d to p re serv e as n e a rly as possib le th e e x is t in g p ric e stru c tu re . I n t h a t re sp e ct th e fo re ig n o p e ra tio n s o f th e G o v e rn m e n t w ere s im ila r in n a tu r e a n d co n d u ct to , f o r in sta n c e, th e con stru c tio n o f m u n itio n s p la n ts w ith G o v e rn m en t fu nd s. T o ta l c om m o d ity p u rc h a se s b y th e G o v e rn m en t o f th e U n ite d S ta te s in fo re ig n c o u n trie s in 1941 a m o u n te d to a b o u t $490 m illio n , o r a b o u t 14 p e rc e n t o f th e to ta l v a lu e o f a ll goods b o u g h t b y th e U n ite d S ta te s in fo re ig n c o u n trie s. I n th e sam e y e a r, th e s h a re o f a ll F e d e ra l G o v e rn m e n t e x p e n d itu re s in th e g ro ss n a tio n a l p ro d u c t w a s 16.3 p e rc e n t, a n d th e sh a re o f w a r e x p e n d itu re s w as 11 p e rce n t. T h u s G o v e rn m en t p a r tic ip a tio n in in te rn a tio n a l tra n sa c tio n s w as n o t m o re ex ten siv e th a n in th e econom y as a w hole. O n th e e x p o rt side, G o v e rn m en t c o n tro ls w ere first f e lt in th e a p p lic a tio n o f th e N e u tra lity A c t, w h ic h p u t tr a d e w ith b e llig e re n ts on a cash a n d c a rry basis. W h e n o u r a rm a m e n t p ro g ra m b e g a n in th e m id d le o f 1940, a n e x p o rt-c o n tro l sy stem w as e sta b lish e d to p re v e n t ex cessive e x p o rta tio n o f com m odities in s h o rt su p p ly a n d v ita l to th e d efen se p ro g ra m . W ith th e b e g in n in g o f len d -le ase in 1941, th e G o v e rn m e n t to o k a d ire c t h a n d in th e p ro c u re m e n t a n d e x p o rta tio n o f m e rc h an d ise a n d services. I n t h a t y e a r, m erch a n d ise v a lu e d a t $784 m illio n , 15 p e rc e n t o f o u r to ta l e x p o rts, w as sh ip p e d b y th e G o v e rn m en t— a lm o st a ll u n d e r th e len d -lease p ro g ra m . R eq u isitio n s f o r th ese len d -lease goods w ere tr a n s m itte d by fo re ig n c o u n trie s to th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t a n d p ro c u re m e n t w as effected b y F e d e ra l agencies a lo n g w ith th e p ro c u re m e n t o f o th e r m a te ria ls n eed ed in th e a rm a m e n t p ro g ra m . T h e re w as also a c o n sid e ra b le in crea se o f G o v e rn m en t a c tiv ity in th e field o f fo re ig n le n d in g , p rin c ip a lly th ro u g h th e R e c o n stru c tio n F in a n c e C o rp o ra tio n lo a n o f $425 m illio n to th e U n ite d K in g d o m , $350 m illio n o f w h ich w ere d isb u rsed in 1941. N o t since th e y e ars im m e d ia te ly fo llo w in g W o rld W a r I h a d G o v e rn m e n t lo a n s ris e n to t h a t level. F o re ig n g o v e rn m e n ts p a r tic ip a te d to a g re a te r e x te n t th a n d id th e U n ite d S ta te s in d ire c tly c o n tro llin g c a p ita l m ovem ents. F i r s t o f a ll, p r a c tic a lly a ll fo re ig n g o v ern m en ts a tte m p te d , as soon as th e w a r b rok e o u t, to c o n tro l in te rn a tio n a l c a p ita l tra n s fe rs , p a r tic u la r ly th o se in a n o u tw a rd d ire c tio n , in o r d e r to conserve fo re ig n ex c h a n g e f o r e sse n tial p u rc h a se s a b ro a d a n d to p re v e n t th e a v ailab le su p p ly fro m b e in g e x h a u ste d by flig h t c a p ita l. T h e in crea se o f fo re ig n b a n k in g b alan c es fro m th e m id d le o f 1939 to th e e n d o f 1941, in s o fa r as is k n o w n , w as e n tire ly in fu n d s b elo n g in g to fo re ig n g o v ern m en ts o r th e ir agencies. I n fa c t, d u rin g th e sam e 5 tim e th e re w as a d eclin e in d o lla r ba la nc es ow ned by p riv a te p e rso n s a n d e n te rp rise s. T h e re w as, how ever, a la rg e in flux o f fo re ig n c a p i ta l, p a r tic u la r ly in 1940, w h ich escaped official re c o rd in g , m o st o f w h ich p re su m a b ly consisted o f p r iv a te fu n d s . F o re ig n g o v ern m en ts n o t o nly tr ie d to p re v e n t such c a p ita l m ovem ents o u t o f th e ir c o u n trie s b u t m a d e c o n sid e ra b le a tte m p ts to acq u ire th e fo r e ig n assets o f th e ir re s id e n ts in o r d e r to g e t fo re ig n e xch an ge th ro u g h th e sale o f such assets. T h e la rg e s t p a r t o f th e re d u c tio n o f fo re ig n lo n g -te rm assets in th is c o u n try w as a cco m p lish ed b y tra n sa c tio n s o f fo r e ig n g o v ern m en ts them selves, r a th e r th a n th e ir citizens. T h u s, th e in c re a sin g c o n c e n tra tio n o f resou rce s a n d e nergies on th e w a r fu n n e le d econom ic a c tiv ity in th e in te rn a tio n a l as w ell as in th e dom estic field th ro u g h g o v e rn m e n t ch an n e ls o r a t le a st b ro u g h t i t u n d e r g o v e rn m e n t d ire c tio n a n d c o n tro l. B y th e e n d o f 1941, go v e rn m e n t o rg a n iz a tio n in fo re ig n c o u n trie s, p a r tic u la r ly th e U n ite d K in g d o m , w as w ell se t u p a n d in o p e ra tio n . I n th e U n ite d S ta tes, w h ich a t t h a t tim e h a d ju s t becom e a n a ctiv e b e llig e re n t, m o st o f th e G o v e rn m e n t o r g a n iz a tio n s to c o n v e rt th e econom y to th e w a r effo rt h a d been se t u p , b u t th e volum e o f w a r p ro d u c tio n a n d th e a m o u n t a n d effectiveness o f th e c o n tro ls o v er p ro d u c tio n , d is tr ib u tio n , a n d fo re ig n tr a n s a c tio n s w ere still m o d e ra te. T h e W a r, J a n u a ry 1 9 4 2 —J u n e 1945 T h e b e g in n in g o f th e p e rio d o f p a r tic ip a tio n as a n a ctiv e b e llig e re n t fo u n d th e U n ite d S ta te s w ith its p rin c ip a l fin a n cia l m ech an ism fo r jo in t o p e ra tio n s a lre a d y fu n c tio n in g . L e n d -le ase a n d its c o u n te rp a rt, re c ip ro c a l a id , to o k th e fin a n c in g p ro b lem o u t of o u r in te rn a tio n a l tra n sa c tio n s, le a v in g o n ly th e esse n tially p h y sic a l p ro b le m o f w o rk in g o u t th e m ost efficient d iv isio n o f 1a b o r a m o n g th e A llies. A m e ric a n m ass-p ro d u c tio n m eth o d s w ere a p p lie d to th e m a n u fa c tu re o f tru c k s, ta n k s, sh ip s, p lan e s, m ac h in e to ols, a n d m a n y o th e r p ro d u c ts d ire c tly o r in d ire c tly e sse n tial to w a g in g w a r. O u r p rin c ip a l A llie s, B r ita in a n d R u ssia , w ere th u s e n ab led to p u t f a r m o re m en in th e fig h tin g lin e s th a n i f th e y h a d h a d to p ro d u ce a ll th e ir e q u ip m e n t th em selves o r b u y i t w ith th e ir ow n fin a n c ia l resou rce s (w h ic h w o u ld h a v e been co m p letely in a d e q u a te ). T h e to ta l o f goods a n d services d eliv ered u n d e r len d -lease a m o u n te d to a b o u t $50 b illio n b y th e m id d le o f 1945. N o t a ll o u r tra n sa c tio n s "were fin an ced on a u n ila te ra l b asis, how ever. T ra n sa c tio n s w ith C a n a d a a n d L a tin A m e r ic a 3 w ere, g e n e ra lly sp eak in g , o n a p a y m e n ts b asis, e xce pt f o r a re la tiv e ly sm all a m o u n t o f lendlease to th e l a tte r a re a. P ro c u re m e n t o f g o o ds in th e B ritis h E m p ir e elsew here th a n in C a n a d a f o r a c tu a l im p o rt in to th e U n ite d S ta te s w as also on a cash b a sis u n til la te 1943, w hen m o st o f su ch im p o rts w ere p la c ed u n d e r re c ip ro c a l a id . A lso , th e p e rso n a l e x p e n d itu re s o f o u r tr o o p s a b ro a d , a s d istin g u is h e d fro m p u rc h a se s b y th e a rm ed fo rce s as su ch, w e re m a d e e ith e r in d o lla rs or, u su a lly , in local c u r ren cies p u rc h a se d w ith d o lla rs. T h e c ash p o rtio n o f o u r b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts w a s n e g a tiv e a lm o st th ro u g h o u t th is w hole p e rio d , le a d in g to an in crea se o f $2.9 b illio n in fo reig n -o w n e d d o lla r ba la nc es a n d n e t g o ld sales b y th e U n ite d S ta te s o f a b o u t $2.5 b illio n . 3 I n th is re p o rt, in te rc h a n g e a b ly . 6 th e te rm s “ L a tin A m e r i c a ’’ a n d “ A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s ” are u sed r * % E x p o r ts E x p a n d R a p id ly T o ta l e x p o rts o f goods a n d services, as in d ic a te d in ta b le 1, rose fro m $6.9 b illio n in 1941 to $21.4 b illio n in 1944. R e c o rd ed m e r c h an d ise e x p o rts re ac h ed a p e a k a n n u a l r a te o f $17.5 b illio n in M ay 1944, ju s t b e fo re th e in v a sio n o f E u ro p e . M ore th a n 80 p e rc e n t o f th e to ta l m e rc h an d ise tr a n s f e rs fo r th e w hole 3 % -y e a r p e rio d r e p r e se n te d len d -le ase tr a n s fe rs . A s u b s ta n tia l p o rtio n o f cash e x p o rts w as e sse n tial w a r m a te ria ls — la rg e ly to C a n a d a o r to E n g la n d as d e liv e rie s on p re -len d -le a se c o n tra c ts. E x p o r t c o n tro ls re s tric te d sh ip m e n ts o f p r a c tic a lly a ll com m o d ities to th e b a re esse ntials neces sa ry to m a in ta in th e econom ies o f frie n d ly fo r e ig n c ou n tries. Im p o rts L o w er A lth o u g h d u r in g th e w a r we e x p a n d e d o u r p u rc h a ses o f m a n y ra w m a te r ia ls in th e W e s te rn H e m isp h e re a n d elsew here, such as c o p p e r fro m C hile, b a u x ite fro m S u rin a m , a lu m in u m fro m C a n a d a , a n d ch rom e a n d m an g an e se fro m A fric a , to ta l im p o rts in q u a n tity te rm s d id n o t a g a in re a c h th e h ig h level o f 1941. D u r in g th e fir st 6 m o n th s o f 1945, im p o rts a d ju s te d fo r p ric e ch an g es w ere 95 p e rc e n t o f th e 1941 ra te . E n e m y o c cu p a tio n o f th e F a r E a s t c u t off su p p lie s o f som e o f o u r p r in c ip a l im p o rts , n o ta b ly ru b b e r, tin , c o p ra, hem p , tu n g oil, silk, q u in in e, a n d spices. A lth o u g h a lte rn a tiv e sources f o r som e o f th ese p ro d u c ts w e re developed, fre q u e n tly w ith th e a id o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t c a p ita l, in o th e r fo re ig n a re as, d o m estic sy n th e tic s a n d su b s titu te s w ere th e p r in c ip a l m eans o f f illin g th e g ap . T o ta l re c e ip ts o f g oods fro m fo re ig n c o u n trie s, how ever, w ere m u ch h ig h e r th a n re co rd e d im p o rts, a n d re g iste re d a c o n tin u ed e x p a n sio n th ro u g h o u t th e w a r. M o st o f th ese o th e r goods w ere received a n d consum ed by th e a rm e d forces a b ro a d , e ith e r by p u rc h a se o r, m ore com m only, as rev erse lend-lease. Som e com m odities w ere also p r o c u red a b ro a d , p rin c ip a lly in C a n a d a a n d th e C a rib b ea n , f o r d ire c t sh ip m e n t to th e w a r th e a te rs , e ith e r as len d -le ase o r f o r th e use o f th e U n ite d S ta te s a rm e d forces. S e r v ic e s A ls o L a r g e W ith incom e on in v e stm e n ts r u n n in g a b o u t th e sam e as in la te p r e w a r y e ars, p rin c ip a l c han g e s in in v isib le e x p o rts a n d im p o rts , in c lu d in g th e sh a rp re d u c tio n o f to u r is t e x p e n d itu res, w ere d ire c tly re la te d to th e w a r effort. V a s tly in crea se d sh ip p in g services fu rn is h e d to fo re ig n e rs w e re chiefly p ro v id e d u n d e r lend-lease, w h ile m o st o f th e services fu r n is h e d to th e a rm ed forces w e re o b ta in e d as rec ip ro c a l aid. T h e o th e r p rin c ip a l item in th e in v isib le g ro u p w as th e p e rso n a l ex p e n d itu r e s o f th e tro o p s them selves. T h e se in g e n e ra l w ere on a cash b asis, a n d sufficiently la rg e to m a k e th e a c tu a l b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts f o r services n e g a tiv e f o r th e w a r p e rio d . F in a n c in g th e B a la n c e A s a lre a d y in d ic a te d , w e m o re th a n offset o u r e x p o r t su rp lu s d u r in g th e w a r b y len d -le ase a n d o th e r u n ila te ra l tra n sa c tio n s. A lto g e th e r w e h a d a n e g a tiv e b a lan ce o f a c tu a l p a y m e n ts f o r goods a n d services o f $4.4 b illio n d u r in g th e 3y2 y e a rs h e re u n d e r discussion. M ovem ents o f lo n g -te rm c a p ita l a n d A m eric an sh o rt- te rm fu n d s w ere re la tiv e ly u n im p o rta n t, b u t re s u lte d in n e t outflow s f o r th e p e rio d as a w hole 7 o f a b o u t $500 m illio n a n d $400 m illio n , resp ec tiv e ly . A d d e d to th e b a la n ce on goods a n d services a n d u n ila te ra l tr a n s fe rs , th e se c a p ita l outflow s b r o u g h t to ta l n e t p a y m e n ts to fo re ig n c o u n trie s to $5.3 b il lio n . R ec o rd e d d a ta in d ic a te t h a t a b o u t $5.4 b illio n (n e t) accrued to fo re ig n c o u n trie s d u rin g t h a t p e rio d in th e fo rm o f n e t g o ld p u rc h a ses a n d in creases in sh o rt- te rm d o lla r balances. T h e differen ce o f $100 m illio n re p re se n ts “e rro rs a n d om ission s,” o r th e re s id u a l item s in th e sta te m e n t, ta b le 1. D o m e s tic Im p a c t H a r d T o G a g e D u rin g th e w a r v e ry s tro n g in fla tio n a ry p re ssu re s w ere e x erte d by th e req u irem e n ts o f o u r w a r effort. I n fa c t, in 1944, w a r e x p e n d itu re s b y th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t, e x c lu d in g n e t e x p e n d itu re s on le n d lease, a m o u n te d to $70 b illio n . T o t h a t e x te n t incom e w as receiv ed b y th e c iv ilia n p o p u la tio n w h ic h c ou ld n o t be sp e n t on g oo ds a n d services. L e n d -le ase tr a n s f e rs — less len d -le ase in rev erse— a d d e d to th is a m o u n t a b o u t $13 b illio n , o r ro u g h ly 18.5 p e rc e n t. T h a t does n o t m ean , h o w ever, t h a t w ith o u t len d -le ase e x p e n d itu re s or, m o re c o rre c tly , w ith o u t th e e x p o rt s u rp lu s o f $12.5 b illio n , com m odities a n d services f o r th e c iv ilia n p o p u la tio n could h a v e been in crea se d by a n e q u iv a le n t a m o u n t, a n d th e in fla tio n a ry p re ssu re s c o rre sp o n d in g ly red u ced . T h e n e t in fla tio n a ry im p a c t o f len d -lease in itse lf c a n n o t b e m ea s u r e d a p a r t fro m th e to ta l effect o f a ll w a r e x p e n d itu re s. I t is im p o s sible to te ll w h a t w ould h a v e been n ecessary in th e w a y o f a d d itio n a l m o b iliz a tio n of, a n d p r o d u c tio n fo r, o u r ow n a rm ed forces i f we h a d n o t a ssisted th e A llie s in m a in ta in in g th e ir resp ec tiv e w a r efforts. B u t i t is a t le a st possib le t h a t w ith o u t len d -le ase i t m ig h t h av e been necessary to devote a la rg e r sh a re o f o u r n a tio n a l o u tp u t to w a r p u r poses th a n we a c tu a lly d id . T h e B e g in n in g o f th e T r a n s itio n , J u ly -D e c e m b e r , 1 9 4 5 T h e en d o f th e w a r in th e su m m er o f 1945 4 effected no fu n d a m e n ta l c h an g e in th e m a jo r p ro b lem in o u r b a la n ce o f p a y m e n ts, t h a t o f fin a n c in g a n e x p o rt s u rp lu s w h ic h, if le f t to n o rm a l m ech an ism s o f a d ju s tm e n t, w o u ld h a v e been o f u n m an a g e a b le p ro p o rtio n s , even th o u g h th e m a g n itu d e w as sm alle r th a n d u rin g th e w a r. T ra n s fe rs o f g oo ds d e clin e d to $4,861 m illio n in th e la s t h a lf o f th e y e a r fro m $7,361 m illio n in th e first h a lf, a n d th e n e t e x p o rt s u rp lu s fe ll fro m $4,161 m illio n to $2,232 m illio n . T o a la rg e e x te n t th e c h a ra c te r o f fo re ig n d e m a n d f o r o u r goods s h ifte d fro m Avar m a te r ia ls to goods fo r c iv ilia n use, a lth o u g h i t m u st be rem em b e red t h a t a b o u t 40 p e rc e n t o f th e g o o ds w e f u rn is h e d u n d e r len d -lease d u rin g th e e n tire w a r p e rio d w ere n o t f o r d ire c t m ilita ry use. B u t th e c h an g e t h a t d id occur, a d u m b ra tin g th e p a tte r n w h ich w as to becom e even m o re p ro n o u n c ed in 1946, w as in th e m e th o d o f financing . T h e w a rtim e len d -lease m ech an ism w as succeeded b y a com b ined lo a n a n d g i f t p ro g ra m w h ich , w h ile m u ch sm a lle r th a n len d -lease, f a r e x ceeded in m a g n itu d e a n y c o m p a ra b le p ro g ra m e v er u n d e r ta k e n b y a n y n a tio n in p eacetim e. B y th e e n d o f 1945, th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t h a d p ro v id e d f o r a lm o st $13.2 b illio n o f p o s tw a r a id th ro u g h 4 U n le s s o th e rw is e c le a rly in d ic a te d , fig u re s c ite d in t h i s s e c tio n r e f e r to t h e l a s t 6 m o n th s of 1945. S ee ta b le 1 f o r q u a r te r ly e s tim a te s o f th e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts in t h a t y e a r. lo an s a n d I’e lie f tr a n s fe rs , in c lu d in g o u r su b sc rip tio n to th e I n t e r n a tio n a l B a n k a n d M o n e ta ry F u n d , a n d w as in th e process o f e x te n d in g a n a d d itio n a l $4.4 b illio n th ro u g h th e B ritis h lo a n a n d th e P h ilip p in e R e h a b ilita tio n A ct. U N R R A P a r tia lly R e p la c e s L e n d -L e a se E a r l y in th e w a r i t w as e v id e n t t h a t th e en d o f th e conflict w o u ld fin d m a n y c o u n trie s in n eed o f v a s t im p o rts o f fo o d a n d o th e r a rtic le s f o r w h ich th e y w ould n o t be able to p a y fro m th e ir ow n fin an cial resources. T o m eet th e p ro sp ec tiv e re lie f need , th e U n ite d N a tio n s R e lie f a n d R e h a b ilita tio n A d m in is tr a tio n w a s o rg a n iz e d on N ovem ber 9 ,1 9 4 3 , a n d a n o rig in a l assessm ent o f 1 p e rc e n t o f its n a tio n a l incom e f o r th e y e a r e n d in g J u n e 30,1943, w as le vied o n each u n in v a d e d m em b e r. T h is assessm ent w a s dou b led b e fo re th e en d o f 1945, p a r tly b e cause o f b a d h a rv e sts in E u ro p e a n d p a r tly because th e m a g n itu d e o f th e o rig in a l ta s k h a d been u n d ere stim a te d . T h e p ro g ra m g o t u n d e r w a y r a th e r slow ly, how ever, a n d tra n s fe rs fro m th e o r ig in a l U n ite d S ta te s su b sc rip tio n o f $1,350 m illio n w ere n e g lig ib le in 1944. T r a n s f e r s o f goods a n d services u n d e r th e p r o g ra m rose fro m $55 m illio n in th e first h a lf o f 1945 to $413 m illio n in th e fo llo w in g 6 m o n th s b u t d id n o t c om p ensate, b y a w id e m a rg in , f o r th e v ir tu a l c essatio n o f “s t r a ig h t” len d -lease a f t e r Y J - d a y . N e t u n i la te ra l tr a n s f e rs d ro p p e d $2.4 b illio n fro m th e firs t h a lf o f th e y e a r to th e second, a d eclin e w h ich w a s a lm o st e qu a l to th e d ro p in tr a n s f e rs o f m e rch a n d ise to fo re ig n c o u n tries. H o w e v e r, som e c o u n trie s, chiefly th e A llie d N a tio n s o f w e stern E u ro p e , d id n o t p a r tic ip a te in th e Ü N R R A p ro g ra m as re c ip ie n ts, a n d a sy stem o f lo a n s a n d c re d its w as evolved to m ee t th e ir u rg e n t needs f o r fo re ig n c a p ita l to finance re c o n stru c tio n deficits o f g r e a t m a g n i tu d es. L o a n P r o g r a m D e v e lo p s L e nd -lease e x p o rts o f m ilita ry goods b e ga n d e c lin in g in th e th ir d q u a rte r o f 1944 a n d a t th e tim e o f V E -d a y w ere ru n n in g a t less th a n o n e -h a lf o f th e p e ak ra te re a c h e d a b o u t a y e a r e a rlie r. C iv ilia n -ty p e len d -lease goods, how ever, w h ich w ere n e ed ed to m a in ta in th e d om estic econom ies o f o u r A llies, c o n tin u ed th ro u g h th e first h a lf o f 1945 a t a r a te n o t f a r below th e p e a k re ac h ed in th e m id d le o f 1944 (see c h a r t 2 ). T h e c o u n trie s rec eiv in g su ch a id h a d been able, as a re s u lt o f th ese im p o rts , to d iv e rt th e ir ow n p ro d u c tiv e c a p a c ity to th e p ro d u c tio n of m a te ria ls a n d services n eed ed in th e w a r effort. I t w a s n o t to be ex p e cted t h a t th e y w o u ld be able to rec o n v e rt o r re b u ild th e ir in d u strie s su d d e n ly in o r d e r to c o m p en sate f o r th e c essation o f th e n o n m ilita ry lend-lease aid. V a rio u s a g ree m e n ts w ere th e re fo re concluded, in acc orda nce w ith th e L e n d -L e ase A c t, p e r m ittin g d e liv e ry o f th o se g o o ds fo r w h ich c o n tra c ts h a d been p laced b e fo re V J - d a y a n d w h ich th e rec e iv in g c o u n tr ie s w a n te d d e liv e re d , a n d p r o v id in g f o r p a y m e n t o v er a p e rio d o f y e ars. T h e se c re d its to finance th e d e liv ery o f th e so-called lend-lease p ip e lin e ,5 to g e th e r w ith th e c re d it to finance th e B ritis h lend-lease in v e n to ry , p ro v id e d th e b u lk o f lo n g -te rm c a p ita l e x p o rts d u r in g th e 5 T h e t e r m “ p ip e l i n e ’’ c a m e t o d e li v e r e d a s o f S e p te m b e r 2, 1 9 4 5 . 7 6 9 1 5 5 — 48- -2 be u se d to c o v e r le n d - l e a s e g o o d s o n o rd e r b u t n o t 9 second h a lf o f 1945. M o re th a n h a lf o f th e to ta l tr a n s f e rs o f goods a n d services u n d e r lend-lease c re d its, a m o u n tin g a t th e e n d o f 1945 to $763 m illio n , w e n t to th e U n ite d K in g d o m , a b o u t $82 m illio n to th e U . S. S. R ., a n d $151 m illio n to F ra n c e . C h a rt 2 CASH AND LEND-LEASE EXPORTS Military, Nonm ilitary, and U N R R A ( Ann ua l Rat es) B IL L IO N S 18 OF D O LLA R S i i r TO TAL U. S . n 1940 1 941 1942 B IL L IO N S r OF D O LLA R S 18 L E N D -L E A S E EXPORTS 1939 i S H IP M E N T S 1943 1944 1945 19 41 1942 1943 1944 1945 ; Of OflTft-. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, BUREAU OF THE CENSUS____________________ A second, a n d m u ch la rg e r, elem ent in th e u n fo ld in g p a tte r n o f fo re ig n le n d in g w a s th e e n ac tm e n t, on J u ly 31, 1945, o f th e E x p o rtI m p o r t B a n k A c t o f 1945. I n a d d itio n to re o rg a n iz in g th e B a n k a n d p ro v id in g i t w ith a n in d e p en d en t, b ip a rtis a n b o a rd o f d ire cto rs, th e a ct in crea se d th e B a n k ’s le n d n ig p o w e r fro m $700 m illio n to $3.5 b illio n . T h is e x p a nsion w as ju stifie d p rim a rily on th e basis o f th e needs o f w a r- d e v a sta te d c o u n trie s fo r fo re ig n c a p ita l to speed rec o n stru c tio n , p e n d in g th e in a u g u ra tio n o f th e In te r n a tio n a l B a n k f o r R ec o n stru c tio n a n d D evelopm ent. L e n d -le ase fu n d s could n o t be u sed to finance th e fo re ig n p u rch a se s o f goods n o t a lre a d y in len d -lease p ro c u re m e n t c h an n e ls b y S ep tem b e r 2, 1945. S pe cial lo an s w ere th e r e f o re a rra n g e d th ro u g h th e E x p o rtI m p o r t B a n k f o r goods re q u isitio n s f o r w h ic h h a d been a p p ro v e d fo r lend-lease d e liv e ry b u t w h ich h a d n o t been o rd e re d as o f t h a t d a te . T h e se lo an s a g g re g a te d $655 m illio n , o f w h ich $550 m illio n w e n t to F ra n c e a n d th e re s t to B elg iu m a n d th e N e th e rla n d s. O n ly $30 m illio n o f th ese c re d its h a d a c tu a lly been d isb u rse d b y th e e n d o f D ecem ber 1945. A u th o r ity to g iv e sp ec ia l c re d its f o r th e a c q u isitio n o f su rp lu s p r o p e rty lo c ate d a b ro a d w as g ra n te d in th e S u rp lu s P r o p e r ty A c t o f 1944. S u c h c re d its could b e a rra n g e d f o r in d iv id u a l sales o r f o r sales in b u lk c o ve rin g a ll su rp lu s sto ck in a g iven a re a as o f a c e r ta in d ate. T h e la tt e r ty p e o f c o n tr a c t w as u su a lly c on clu d ed in co n n ectio n w ith a g e n e ra l fin a n cia l se ttle m e n t o f len d -lease a n d o th e r w a r claim s. U p to th e e n d o f 1945 th e o n ly se ttle m e n t o f t h a t k in d w as th e one w ith 10 th e U n ite d K in g d o m , c o ve rin g th e tr a n s f e r o f s u rp lu s p ro p e rty lo cated in t h a t c o u n try a n d in th e colonies th ro u g h a c re d it o f $60 m illio n . I n d iv id u a l sales a g a in st c re d it u p to th e e n d o f 1945 w ere re la tiv e ly sm all. T h e A n g lo -A m e ric a n fin a n c ia l a g ree m e n t, sig n e d D ecem b er 6,1945, c o n stitu te d a n o th e r m a jo r p a r t o f o u r p o s tw a r fo re ig n lo a n a n d a id p ro g ra m . I n a d d itio n to th e $3,750-m illion lo a n a p p ro v e d by C o n g ress on J u ly 15,1946, th e a g ree m e n t p ro v id e d f o r c re d its o f a p p ro x im a te ly $650 m illio n , c o v e rin g p o s t- V J -d a y len d -lease d eliveries, th e len d -lease in v e n to ry , su rp lu s p ro p e rty , a n d o th e r w a r cla im s ( n e t ) . F in a lly , th e y e a r w itne sse d th e ra tific a tio n o f th e B re tto n W o o d s a g ree m e n ts b y 35 n a tio n s, a n d th e I n te r n a tio n a l M o n e ta ry F u n d a n d th e In te r n a tio n a l B a n k f o r R e c o n stru c tio n a n d D ev elo p m en t fo r m a lly cam e in to being . T o ta l su b scrip tio n s to th e B an k , w h ich also eq u aled its to ta l le n d in g p o w er, w ere $7.6 b illio n , a la rg e p a r t o f w h ich m ig h t be expected u ltim a te ly to be o b tain e d fro m p r iv a te in v esto rs in th e U n ite d S ta te s. O u r su b sc rip tio n to th e B a n k w as $3,175 m illio n a n d to th e F u n d a m o u n te d $2,750 m illion. T h u s, d u r in g th e second h a lf o f 1945 th e g ro u n d w oi’k w a s la id f o r a to ta l c a p ita l outflow o f $13 b illio n b y th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t a n d p o ssib ly $5 b illio n b y p r iv a te in v esto rs th ro u g h th e In te r n a tio n a l B an k . B a la n c e o f P a y m e n ts T u r n s P o s itiv e D u rin g th e la s t h a lf o f 1945, d e sp ite a $2.7-billion d ro p in e x p o rts o f g oo ds a n d services fro m th e first h a lf o f th e y e a r, th e n e t “cash o r c re d it” b a la n ce becam e p o sitiv e f o r th e first tim e since 1942. T h e d eclin e in to ta l e x p o rts w as m o re th a n offset b y th e d ro p in u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e rs occasioned by th e c essatio n o f s tr a ig h t lend-lease. P r iv a te com m ercial e x p o rts rose fro m $1.5 b illio n to $1.9 b illio n a n d G o v e rn m e n t e x p o rts w ere financed la rg e ly on c re d it te rm s r a th e r th a n on a u n ila te ra l basis. R e c o n v e r s io n S lo w s E x p o r t s I n g e n e ra l, o u r in te rn a tio n a l tr a n s a c tio n s in th e e a rly rec on v ersio n p e rio d p a ra lle le d dom estic dev elo p m en ts. A t ho m e a n d a b ro a d th e re w as a n enorm o us p o te n tia l d e m a n d f o r th e o u tp u t o f A m e ric a n fa rm s a n d fa c to rie s. T h e d e m a n d w as su p p o rte d in b o th cases b y w a r-a c c u m u late d reserves w ith w h ich to b u y th e goods, a u g m en ted in th e e x p o rt sp h e re by th e p o stw a r re lie f a n d r e h a b ilita tio n po licies o f th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t. B ecau se o f th e difficulty o f re c o n v e rtin g to th e p ro d u c tio n o f p e ac etim e goods, b o th fo re ig n a n d d o m estic r e q u ire m e n ts w ere to a la rg e d e g ree u n satisfie d a t th e e n d o f th e y e ar. A t hom e, liq u id ba la nc es o f businesses a n d in d iv id u a ls c o n tin u ed to in crease, b u t a t a m u ch slow er ra te , w h ile f o re ig n c o u n tries, as a g ro u p , w ere able to c o n tin u e to in c rea se th e ir g o ld a n d d o lla r h o ld in g s. T h a t th is c ou ld h a p p e n , in sp ite o f o u r o v e r-a ll p o sitiv e b a la n ce o f p a y m en ts, w as d u e to th e f a c t t h a t we w ere fin a n c ing o u r e x p o rt su rp lu se s, especi a lly to E u ro p e , on lo n g -te rm c re d it w h ile s till p a y in g cash f o r o u r im p o rt su rp lu ses fro m o th e r a re as, n o ta b ly L a tin A m erica. R ec on v ersio n difficulties in e x p o rt tr a d e a re illu s tr a te d b y c h a r t 2, w h ich show s th e tre m e n d o u s s h if t fro m m ilita ry ty p e to c iv ilia n -ty p e e x p o rts in th e la tte r p a r t o f 1945. A s c le a rly d e m o n stra te d by su b seq u en t even ts, th e re la tiv e ly low level o f e x p o rts a t th e close o f 1945 II w as n o t due to a n y la c k o f fo re ig n a b ility o r w illin g n e ss to p u rc h a se A m e ric a n goods, b u t alm o st e n tire ly to o u r in a b ility to p ro d u c e a n d e x p o r t th e m fo rth w ith . Im p a c t o n th e D o m e s tic E c o n o m y B y a n y o f th e m easu res c u sto m a rily used, fo re ig n tra n s a c tio n s fo rm e d a g re a tly d im in ish e d p a r t o f o u r t o ta l econom ic a c tiv ity in th e la s t h a lf o f 1945 as c o m p ared w ith th e w a r p erio d . T h e r a tio o f m e r c h a n d ise e x p o rts to e x p o rta b le goods p ro d u c e d d eclin e d fro m 12.3 p e rc e n t in 1944 to 9.3 p e rc e n t in 1945. A lth o u g h th ese d a ta a re n o t a v a ila b le b y q u a rte rs, i t seem s c le ar t h a t m o st o f th e d eclin e o c cu rred in th e la tte r p a r t o f th e y e ar. T h e excess o f e x p o rts o f goods a n d services d eclin e d fro m $3.8 b il lio n in th e first h a lf o f th e y e a r to $2.9 b illio n in th e second. T h is b a la n c e re p re se n ts th e n e t v a lu e o f goods a n d services p ro d u c e d in th is c o u n try a n d consu m ed a b ro a d o v er th e v a lu e o f fo re ig n p ro d u c tio n consum ed in th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d m ay be c o m p a re d w ith th e v a lu e o f d o m e stic p r o d u c tio n n o t u sed f o r c u r re n t c o nsu m p tio n .6 F ro m th e a cc o m p a n y in g c h a rt, i t w ill be seen th a t, o f dom estic o u t p u t n o t u sed f o r c u r re n t c o n su m p tio n ,7 th e sh a re tr a n s f e r r e d to f o r e ign c o u n trie s co m p rise d a g re a tly d im in ish in g p a r t d u rin g th e second h a lf o f 1945 as c o m p a re d w ith th e w a r p e rio d . D o m estic gross c a p ita l fo rm a tio n , in c lu d in g in v e n to ry a cc u m u latio n , w as ta k in g a ra p id ly in c re a s in g sh a re o f th e n o n co n su m ed p o rtio n o f o u r to ta l o u tp u t. T h is w o u ld in d ic a te th a t, d e sp ite th e c o n sid e ra b le a id e x te n d e d to fo re ig n c o u n trie s d u r in g th e la tte r h a lf o f 1945, th e re la tiv e c o n trib u tio n o f fo re ig n tr a d e to th e in fla tio n a ry p re ssu re s in th is c o u n try w as sm a lle r th a n d u rin g th e w a r p e rio d . C h a rt 3 “ T h e n e t fo re ig n b a la n c e o r d in a r ily s h o w n a s p a r t o f p r iv a te g ro s s c a p ita l f o r m a tio n d o e s n o t i n c l u d e e x p o r t s t r a n s f e r r e d u n i l a t e r a l l y , s u c h a s le n d - l e a s e a n d U N R R A . I n th e p a r a g r a p h ab o v e , h o w e v e r, n e t e x p o r ts in th e r e a l s e n se a r e c o m p a re d w ith g ro s s c a p ita l fo rm a tio n , a d ju s te d to in c lu d e s u c h n e t e x p o rts . 7 D e f in e d a s c a p i t a l f o r m a t i o n p l u s w a r e x p e n d i t u r e s . 12 C h a p ter II C u r r e n t A c c o u n t T r a n s a c tio n s M e r c h a n d is e T r a d e 1 T h e w a rtim e in te rn a tio n a l m e rc h an d ise tr a n s a c tio n s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s reflected p r im a r ily th e su b o rd in a tio n o f co m m ercial tr a d e to A llie d w a r p r o d u c tio n a n d c o m b at req u ire m e n ts. B y v irtu e o f lo ca tio n o u tsid e th e c om b at a re a a n d re la tiv e s tre n g th in m a te ria ls, m a n p o w e r, a n d te ch n ic a l p ro d u c tiv e fa c ilitie s , th e U n ite d S ta te s th ro u g h o u t th e w a r p e rio d w as c alled u p o n to m eet a la rg e seg m en t o f th e m o u n tin g m ilita ry a n d c iv ilia n re q u ire m e n ts o f o th e r c o u n trie s e n g a g e d in th e com m on s tru g g le a g a in st th e A x is. I n a d d itio n , th is c o u n try w as fac e d w ith th e job o f e q u ip p in g its ow n v a st fig h tin g forces a n d m a in ta in in g th e m in d is ta n t a n d w id ely sc a tte re d c o m b at th e a te rs. A t th e sam e tim e , th e A x is in v asio n s in E u ro p e a n d , p a rtic u la rly , in th e F a r E a s t closed le a d in g sources f o r n u m ero u s su p p lie s a n d m a te r ia ls n ecessary fo r w a r p r o d u c tio n a n d c iv ilia n co n su m p tio n . E v e n w ith in th e te r r ito r y re m a in in g o pen to A llie d tra d e , th e la c k o f im p o rte d m a te ria ls a n d th e d iv ersio n o f m a n p o w e r to m eet m o re u rg e n t w a rtim e req u irem e n ts caused red u ctio n s in th e volum e o f som e e sse n tial goods a v ailab le f o r e x p o rt to th e U n ite d S ta te s. C h a rt B IL L IO N S OF 4 D O LLA R S T o m eet o u r ow n g re a tly sw ollen needs a n d th o se o f o u r A llie s in th e m o st efficient m a n n e r, th e G o v e rn m e n t fo u n d i t n ecessary to a s sum e v irtu a lly com p lete c o n tro l over a ll U n ite d S ta te s fo re ig n tra d e . M oreov er, th e b u lk o f o u r e x p o rt tr a d e a n d a la rg e seg m en t o f o u r im p o rt tr a d e w ere a c tu a lly c o n d u cted b y th e G o v e rn m en t. S u c h m ea su re s w ere n o t confined to th is c o u n try ; g o v e rn m e n ts ev ery w h ere 1 T h is s e c tio n w a s p r e p a r e d b y M a rie T . B ra d s h a w . 13 in s titu te d s tric t c o n tro l over in te rn a tio n a l tr a d e , h a n d lin g a m a jo r p a r t d ire c tly th ro u g h th e ir respec tive g o v e rn m e n ta l p u rc h a sin g agencies. I n tim a te ly asso c ia te d w ith th e a ctiv e p a r tic ip a tio n o f th e A llie d G o v e rn m en ts in w a rtim e tr a d e w as th e in tr o d u c tio n o f a re a listic a n d u n p re c e d e n te d a p p ro a c h to' th e p ro b lem o f fin a n c in g th e h u g e in te r A llie d flow o f m a te r ia ls f o r w a r a n d c iv ilia n use. I n re c o g n itio n o f th e fa c t t h a t th e A llie s w ere u n ite d in a com m on stru g g le a g a in st th e A x is, th e g oo ds w h ich each w as in a p o s itio n to su p p ly th e o th e r w ere in la rg e m e asu re view ed as c o n trib u tio n s necessary to th e final w in n in g o f th e w a r a n d h ence in v o lv ed o n ly n e g lig ib le in te rn a tio n a l p a ym en ts. T h e c u sto m a ry finan cial c o n sid eratio n s g o v e rn in g in te rn a tio n a l tr a d e wTere th u s re p la c e d to a m a jo r e x te n t by th e u rg e n c y fo r su p p ly in g , r e g a rd le ss o f th e n eed fo r co m p en satio n , m ax im u m a m o u n ts o f goods w h e re v e r a n d w h en ev er th e y could be u sed in th e com m on w a r effort. W ith in th is fra m e w o rk th e fo llo w in g m a jo r dev elo p m en ts o c cu rred in U n ite d S ta te s in te rn a tio n a l t r a d e : 1. T h e flow o f goods fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s to o th e r c o u n trie s re ac h ed u n p re c ed e n te d levels. T h e $63 b illio n o f m erch a n d ise w h ich th is c o u n try s u p p lie d d u r in g th e 6 -year p e rio d fro m 1940 th ro u g h 1945 exceeded o u r c u m u lativ e e x p o rts f o r th e e n tire 17-year p e rio d im m e d ia te ly p re ce d in g 1940. P e a k tr a n s f e rs o f $17 b illio n in 1944 com p a re w ith a p re w a r h ig h o f $8.5 b illio n in 1920. Tabl e 3.— T o ta l a n d ca sh b a la n ce on U n ited S ta te s in te r n a tio n a l m e rch a n d ise tr a n s a c tio n s , 1940-45 [In m illio n s of dollars] 1945 I te m 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 T o ta l R e c e ip ts (e x p o rts)_______ 4,123.8 5, 342. 5 9,186. 9 P a y m e n ts ( im p o r ts ) __ _ 2. 713.1 3, 486.1 3, 9C4. 9 E x c e ss of re c e ip ts ( + ) ____ + 1 ,4 1 0 .7 + 1 ,8 5 6 .4 + 5 , 222.0 D e d u c t: N e t u n ila te r a l offs e ts on m e r c h a n d is e ac810.4 4,844. 7 E x c e ss of re c e ip ts (-]-) or p a y m e n ts ( —) o n ca sh a n d c r e d it tr a n s a c tio n s . . . + 1 ,4 1 0 .7 + 1 ,0 4 6 .0 + 3 77 .3 F ir s t h a lf S ec ond h a lf 15,115.3 16, 969.5 12, 221.7 7,361.6 4,860.1 5, 426. 6 5, 589.1 5,829. 5 3, 200.0 2,629. 5 + 9 ,68 8 . 7 + 1 1 ,3 80 .4 + 6 ,39 2 . 2 + 4 ,1 6 1 .6 + 2 ,23 0 . 6 11, 039. 9 - 1 ,3 5 1 .2 -7 7 0. 7 5, 535.3 4,197.1 1,338.2 + 856. 9 -3 5 .5 + 892. 4 2. _T h e re w as a ste a d y in crease in th e a m o u n t o f goods received fro m fo reig n ers. T h e rec o rd level o f $5.8 b illio n re a c h e d in 1945 su rp a sse d th e p re v io u s 1920 rec o rd by $400 m illio n . N e verth eless, th e in crease in th e a m o u n t o f goods received w as re la tiv e ly m u ch sm a lle r th a n th e c o rre sp o n d in g g ro w th in e x p o rts a n d in dom estic in d u s tria l dem ands. 3. F o r th e 1940-45 p e rio d as a w hole th e v a lu e o f g oods su p p lie d by th e U n ite d S ta te s ($63 b illio n ) exceeded th e v a lu e o f goods fu r n is h e d to th e U n ite d S ta te s b y $36 b illio n . B ecause $34.4 b illio n o f th e excess consisted o f n e t U n ite d S ta te s c o n trib u tio n s, how ever, a c tu a l n e t re c e ip ts fro m fo re ig n e rs on m e rc h an d ise accoun t a m o u n te d to o n ly $1.6 b illio n (see ta b le 3 ). D u rin g 1943 a n d 1944 U n ite d S ta te s c o n trib u tio n s, o r u n ila te ra l tr a n s fe rs , w e re so la rg e t h a t o u r m erch an d ise a cc o u n t on goods re q u ir in g p a y m e n t a c tu a lly sh ow ed a n e g a tiv e balance. 4. A p p ro x im a te ly tw o -th ir d s o f a ll goods m ad e a v a ila b le to fo re ig n ers a n d a b o u t tw o -fifth s o f a ll m e rc h an d ise received fro m fo reig n e rs 14 w ere h a n d le d d ire c t b y G o v e rn m en t agencies. T h e G o v e rn m e n t’s w a r tim e fo r e ig n a c tiv itie s in tro d u c e d in to th e m e rc h an d ise accoun t, n o r m ally c o n sistin g o f re co rd e d com m ercial e x p o rts a n d im p o rts a d ju s te d f o r b a la n c e-o f-p a y m e n ts p u rp o se s, c e rta in o th e r tra n s a c tio n s, su ch as la rg e-sca le len d -lease sh ip m en ts, goods fu rn is h e d by o th e r c o u n trie s f o r c o n su m p tio n by o u r a rm e d forces a b ro ad , a n d sales a n d c o n trib u tio n s to fo re ig n e rs fro m A rm y a n d o th e r G o v e rn m e n t stocks lo ca te d overseas (see ta b le 4 ). D u rin g 1943 a n d 1944 G o v e rn m en t m e rc h a n dise tr a n s a c tio n s acco u n ted fo r 84 p e rc e n t o f a ll goods su p p lie d a n d 56 p e rc e n t o f a ll g oo ds received. Tabl e 4.—In te r n a tio n a l m er ch a n d ise tr a n sa c tio n s o f th e U n ited S ta te s , 1940-4-5 [I n m illio n s of dollars] 1945 I te m 1910 1941 1942 1943 1944 T o ta l F ir s t h a lf S ec ond h a lf R e c e ip ts (e x p o rts) T o ta l r e c e ip ts ...... ............. ...... P r iv a te e x p o rts, a d ju s te d - ............... . R e c o rd e d e x p o r ts ______ ______ A d d itio n s , to ta l ____________ S ilv e r_ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ G old (n e t d o m e s tic p ro d u c tio n ) 1 ______ 4,123.8 5,342. 5 9 ,1 8 6 .9 |1 5 ,115.3 16, 969.5 12, 221. 7 7,361.6 4,860.1 4,101.8 4, 558. 9 3,363.3 2,401.3 2, 776.4 3,411. 7 1,452.1 1, 959. 6 4,021.1 5,147. 2 8, 079. 0 12, 964. 9 14, 258. 7 9, 805. 9 5,830. 6 3,975.3 232.2 295. 8 122.3 152.0 39.3 118.6 76.6 42.0 3 .7 5. 5 2.0 29.3 122.3 88.8 63.5 25.3 148.3 146. 5 80. 2 92.1 201.7 10.0 29.8 13.1 16.7 D e d u c tio n s, to ta l ____________ E x p o r ts to P a n a m a C a n a l Z o n e . ____ ___________ N o n c o m m e rc ia l e x p o r ts _ __ _ G o v e rn m e n t e x p o r ts ......... . 71.3 820.5 5,0 11 .5 10, 602.9 11,604. 6 6, 512.8 4,455.1 2,057. 7 44.1 5.2 22.0 72.4 13.4 37.4 3.9 3.1 14.9 1.5 36.0 88.8 93.8 144. 9 87.0 7.1 57.9 741.0 4, 938.1 10,510. 2 11, 507. 7 6,353. 0 4,395. 7 1,957.3 G o v e rn m e n t bx-ports1, t o t a l ___ 22.0 783.6 5,823.6 12, 714. 0 14,193.1 779.8 M il ita r y c iv ilia n s u p p ly sh ip N o n m il ita r y s a l e s . ......... ............ 22.0 3.8 8,810.0 5, 909. 5 2, 900. 5 5,812. 5 12,440. 3 13, 589. 5 6,881. 3 5, 000. 0 1,881.3 45.0 348.0 ' 393.0 .6 5.4 5.7 124.1 149.6 185.0 120.0 298. 0 522.0 212.3 130.2 344.0 123.7 91.4 98.0 14.1 5,829.5 3,200.0 2,629. 5 866.0 336.0 221. 6 98.0 14.1 P a y m e n ts (im p o rts) T o ta l p a y m e n ts ........... ............. P r iv a te im p o rts , a d ju s te d ................. R e c o rd e d im p o r ts ............ ........... A d d itio n s , t o t a l _ _ _ ______ ____ S i l v e r . . . ................................ G old (n e t d o m e stic con- 2,713.1 2,706. 7 3,118.1 1,492.1 1,626.0 2,625.4 3,345.0 2,744. 9 3, 381.3 3,919.3 4,135. 9 2,121. 8 2,014.1 67.2 83.4 104. 9 155.0 87.8 72.8 103. 9 77.0 14.9 27.6 25.5 10.6 58.2 46.9 39.9 22.7 84.8 44.7 54.2 23.0 30.6 21.7 44.8 423.9 1,084. 4 1,358.6 1,317.5 1,172.8 717.5 455.3 .7 4.1 40.0 .4 10.3 413.2 1.2 .9 1.8 1.6 8 .3 15.5 127.5 44.9 955.3 1,312.5 1,301.1 1,162.7 .9 4.1 712.5 .9 4 .2 450. 2 55.5 492.2 2,200.5 3,320.5 U nd e rv a lu a tio n a d ju s tm e n ts 2. 18.8 D e d u c ti o n s, t o t a l ......................... I m p o r ts fro m P a n a m a C a n a l Z o n e. ________ N o n c o m m e rc ia l im p o r ts ___ G o v e rn m e n t im p o r ts ______ G o v e rn m e n t im p o rts , t o t a l ................ N o n m il ita r y p u r c h a s e s ............ . M ilita r y p u r c h a s e s ___________ 3, 486.1 3,964. 9 5,426. 6 5,589.1 2,657.6 2,993. 9 1,764. 4 2,106.1 40.0 15.5 25.9 422.4 69.8 64.0 22.8 33.0 44.7 37.5 2,882.4 2,711.4 1, 707. 9 1,003.5 540.0 1,147.0 1,230.0 1,354.7 1,069.0 443. 5 979.4 1,335.6 1,106.0 874.0 195.4 466.1 827.9 546.4 482.7 215. C 10.0 285.7 430. 5 287.3 1 F o r d isc u ssio n , see p . 171 of a p p e n d ix A a n d p . 191 of a p p e n d ix B . 2 D a t a in c o m p le te . 15 5. T h e p re w a r g e o g ra p h ic a n d c om m o d ity s tru c tu re o f U n ite d S ta te s fo re ig n tr a d e w as g re a tly a lte re d w ith th e c lo sin g o f enem y a n d enem y-occu pied a re a s a n d th e p rio ritie s g iv en th e flow o f e sse n tia l m a te r ia ls b etw een th e A llie d c o u n tries. O u r sw ollen e x p o rts, d ire c te d chiefly to th e U n ite d K in g d o m , th e U . S . S. It., a n d th e o th e r A llie s, c o m p rised m a in ly m ilita ry e q u ip m e n t a n d o th e r e ssen tial finished p ro d u c ts. A t th e sam e tim e , th e b u lk o f th e goods a c q u ired fro m a b ro a d c on sisted o f s tra te g ic a n d c ritic a l m a te r ia ls a n d e sse n tia l fo o d stuffs fu rn is h e d b y c o u n trie s in th e W e s te rn H e m isp h e re a n d su p p lie s f o r o u r a rm e d fo rce s overseas p ro v id e d b y B r itis h E m p ir e c ou n tries. G o v e r n m e n ts C o n tr o l T r a d e O v e r -A ll P ic t u r e I n a d d itio n to c o n d u c tin g a m a jo r p o rtio n o f o u r w a rtim e in te r n a tio n a l tr a d e , th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t exercised s tr ic t c o n tro l o v er th o se m e rc h a n d ise tra n sa c tio n s w h ic h c o n tin u e d d u r in g th e w a r to be h a n d le d th ro u g h p r iv a te ch an n els. I t is im p o rta n t t h a t G o v e rn m e n t tr a d e ( f o r w h ich U . S. G o v e rn m en t agencies h a d com p lete a n d fin a l fin a n c ial re sp o n s ib ility a t th e tim e t itle to th e goods p a sse d to o r w as received fro m fo re ig n e rs) be d is tin g u is h e d fro m G o v e rn m en tre g u la te d co m m ercial tr a d e . I n th e la tt e r case, th e goods m oved in m ost in sta n c es u n d e r G o v e rn m e n t lice n sin g a n d p ric e co n tro ls, b u t th e p r iv a te fo re ig n tr a d e r m a in ta in e d final fin a n c ia l re sp o n sib ility . W h e n th is c o u n try e n te re d th e w a r a t th e e n d o f 1941, m o st o f th e m ac h in e ry f o r th e c o n d u ct o f G o v e rn m e n t tr a d e a n d th e c o n tro l o f p r iv a te tr a d e w as w ell e sta b lish e d . E x p o r t c o n tro l covered p ra c tic a lly a ll le a d in g e x p o rt com m odities a n d le n d -le ase goods w e re flo w ing to o u r A llie s a t a r a p id ly in c re a sin g ra te . O n th e im p o rt side, G o v e rn m e n t c o rp o ra tio n s h a d been o rg a n iz e d to p ro c u re , im p o rt, a n d sto c k p ile s tra te g ic a n d c ritic a l m a te ria ls. B y th e m id d le o f 1942, c o n tro ls h a d been e x te n d e d to cover p ra c tic a lly a ll im p o rts. I n a d d itio n , b o th e x p o rts a n d im p o rts becam e su b je ct to G o v e rn m en t p ric e c o n tro ls in o r d e r t h a t th e effect o f o u tsid e in fla tio n a ry influences m ig h t be m in i m ized. O th e r c o u n trie s also fo u n d i t necessary, n o t o n ly to exercise s tric t c o n tro l over th e ir w a rtim e fo re ig n tr a d e , b u t also to h a n d le th e m a jo r p a r t d ire c t th ro u g h th e ir resp ec tiv e g o v ernm en ts. M o st o f th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s p u rc h a se s h e re, f o r ex am p le, w ere m ad e d ire c t by th e B r i t ish P u rc h a s in g M ission. W ith th e o u tb re a k o f w a r n u m e ro u s o th e r c o u n trie s h a n d le d th e ir im p o rts fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s th ro u g h p u r c h asin g m issions w h ich c o n tin u e d o p e ra tin g even a f te r th e close o f th e w a r. S uc h b u y in g m eth o d s n a tu r a lly in crea se d th e d eg ree to w h ic h p r iv a te tr a d e c h an n els in th is c o u n try h a d a lre a d y b een d is to rte d b y o u r ow n dom estic c on trols. T o c o o rd in a te th e re g u la to ry m echanism s e sta b lish e d b y th e in d i v id u a l A llie d G o v e rn m en ts a n d to in su re m a x im u m w a r p r o d u c tio n w ith in th e lim its o f a v a ila b le w o rld su p p lies, c o n tro l on a n in te r n a tio n a l level w as also e sta b lish e d . T h e C om b in ed R aw M a te ria ls B o a rd , c o n sistin g o f re p re s e n ta tiv e s fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s, th e U n ite d K in g dom , a n d C a n a d a , w as e sta b lish e d o n J a n u a r y 26, 1942, to rev iew th e re q u ire m e n ts o f th e in d iv id u a l A llie s fo r scarce ra w m a te r ia ls a n d to a llo ca te su p p lie s fro m a ll p ro d u c in g a re a s n o t u n d e r A x is d o m in a tio n . A lso c re a te d in J a n u a r y o f 1942 w as th e M u n itio n s A ssig n m en ts 16 „ B o a r d ; a n d on J u n e 9 ,1 9 4 2 , th e C om b ined F o o d B o a rd a n d th e C om b in e d P ro d u c tio n a n d R esources B o a r d w ere o rg a n ize d . I n a d d itio n to a llo c a tin g su p p lies, b o th th e C om b in ed R aw M a te ria ls B o a rd a n d th e C om b ined F o o d B o a rd u nified p u rc h a se a n d d e velo p m e n t o p eratio n s. F o r in sta n c e, a ll m e a t in A rg e n tin a w a s b o u g h t by th e B ritis h , w h ile a ll f a ts a n d oils fro m A rg e n tin a w ere b o u g h t by th e U n ite d S ta te s. A rg e n tin e m e a t su p p lie s a llo c a te d to th e U n ite d S ta te s w ere tu rn e d over to us by th e B ritis h , w h ile w e tr a n s f e r r e d to th e B r i t ish th e f a ts a n d oils th e y w ere e n title d to receive fro m A rg e n tin a . T h e a llo ca tio n s a n d u n ified d e ve lo p m e nt a n d p u rc h a se p olicies n o t o n ly red u ce d costs o f p ro c u re m e n t b u t also p re v e n te d c o m p etitiv e b id d in g a n d th e r e f o re h in d e re d in fla tio n a ry p ric e rises. T h e a v a ila b ility o f tr a n s p o r t fa c ilitie s d e te rm in e d fro m w h ic h o f th e a v a ila b le sources th e re q u ire m e n ts o f each c o u n try sh o u ld be m et. T h e C om b ined P ro d u c tio n a n d R esources B o a rd d e te rm in e d w h ere c e rta in sem ifinished c o m m o d ities n eed ed in th e w a r e ffo rt sh o u ld be d e veloped fro m th e s ta n d p o in t o f sa fe ty fro m enem y a ir ra id s a n d a v a ila b ility o f ra w m a te r ia ls a n d la b o r, w h ile th e M u n itio n s A ssig n m en ts B o a rd a llo c ate d th e fin ish ed m u n itio n s in acco rdan ce w ith s tra te g ic n e ed s as d e te rm in e d by th e com b ined C h ie fs o f S taff. T r a d e C o n tr o ls in t h e U n ite d S ta te s - r T h e first a ctiv e step in e sta b lish in g dom estic c o n tro ls o v er U n ite d S ta te s w a rtim e tr a d e w as th e s ig n in g o f th e N e u tr a lity A c t on N ovem ber 4 ,1 9 3 9 . U n d e r th e p ro v isio n s o f th is le g isla tio n , A m e ric a n sh ip s w ere fo rb id d e n to e n te r b e llig e re n t p o r ts in th e c om b at a n d re s tric te d a rea s, in c lu d in g m a in ly E u ro p e a n p o rts on th e M e d ite rra n e a n , B la ck Sea, a n d N o rth A tla n tic . H ence, tr a d e w ith th ese a re a s w as lim ite d to goods w h ich c ou ld be c a r rie d on o th e r n e u tra l a n d b e llig e re n t sh ips. T h e N e u tr a lity A c t, m o reo v er, p ro h ib ite d th e e x ten sio n o f c re d it to b e llig e re n t g o v ern m en ts fo r th e p u rc h a se o f a ll ty p e s o f goods. T h e c re d it re s tric tio n s th u s im p o sed e x p la in in p a r t th e necessity f o r th e la rg e p re-le n d -le ase cash ad v an ces m ad e by th e U n ite d K in g d o m a n d F ra n c e a g a in st p u rc h a se s in th e U n ite d S ta te s o f w a r m a te r ia ls a n d o th e r e sse n tia l goods. A s th e w a r in E u ro p e p ro g re sse d a n d th e n eed f o r s tre n g th e n in g o u r ow n n a tio n a l d efen se becam e in c re a sin g ly a p p a re n t, a sy stem o f con tr o l w a s e sta b lish e d on J u ly 2, 1940, c o ve rin g e x p o rts o f m ilita ry e q uip m e n t, m u n itio n s, a n d re la te d m a te r ia ls a n d to ols. T h e Office of E x p o r t C o n tro l w as d e sig n a te d by th e P r e s id e n t to d ire c t th e issu in g o f licenses by th e S ta te D e p a rtm e n t o f a n in itia l lis t c o v e rin g som e 40 com m odities. O n S ep te m b e r 15 o f th e fo llo w in g y e a r, th e Office o f E x p o r t C o n tro l w as tr a n s f e rr e d to th e n e w ly c re a te d E c on o m ic Defen se B o a rd . A d m in is tr a tio n o f th e e x p o rt-c o n tro l p ro g ra m c o n tin u e d th ro u g h o u t th e w a r to be u n d e r th e ju ris d ic tio n o f th e E conom ic D e fe n se B o a rd a n d its successor agencies—th e B o a rd o f E co n o m ic W a r f a r e , th e Office o f E conom ic W a r f a r e , a n d th e F o re ig n E co n o m ic A d m in is tra tio n . W ith th e a ctiv e p a r tic ip a tio n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s in th e w a r, ex p o r t c o n tro l w a s e x te n d e d to cover “a n y a rtic les, te c h n ic a l d a ta , m a te ria ls , o r su p p lie s.” N o t o n ly d id th e c iv ilia n econom y n e ed p ro te c tio n a g a in st excessive d r a in s o f goods in c u rta ile d p ro d u c tio n fo llo w in g P e a r l H a rb o r , b u t a v ailab le su p p lie s a n d s h ip p in g fa c ilitie s h a d to be c a r e fu lly conserved to m eet th e m o st u rg e n t m ilita ry a n d c iv ilia n needs 17 o f o u r A llies. M oreo v er, m a te r ia ls a n d e q u ip m en t w ere re q u ire d by th e L a tin A m e ric a n c o u n trie s a n d o th e rs in connection w ith th e devel o p m e n t a n d p ro d u c tio n o f c ritic a l m a te ria ls f o r o u r w a r p ro d u c tio n . S tr ic t c o n tro l w as also necessary to p r e v e n t a n y o f o u r e x p o rts fro m e v en tu a lly re a c h in g th e A x is th ro u g h firm s o r p e rso n s lo ca te d in n e u tra l a n d frie n d ly c ou n tries. B y th e end o f 1941, th e com m odities su b je ct to e x p o rt c o n tro l h a d been e x te n d e d fro m th e o rig in a l 40 to p r a c tic a lly a ll a rtic le s a n d m a te ria ls ex ce pt o u r e x p o rts to C a n ad a . B ecau se U n ite d S ta te s-C a n a d ia n w a r p ro d u c tio n w as co n sidered a u nified w hole, U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts to t h a t c o u n try w ere e xem p t fro m th ese c ontrols. U n ite d S ta te s c o n tro l o f e x p o rts to a ll fo re ig n d e stin a tio n s except C a n a d a c o n tin u e d in effect th ro u g h o u t th e w a r p e rio d . A c tu a l co n tr o l Avas a d m in iste re d la rg e ly th ro u g h th e issu in g o f in d iv id u a l licenses, g e n e ra l licenses c o ve rin g specific com m o d ities a n d d e stin a tio n s f o r Avhich in d iv id u a l a u th o riz a tio n s w ere n o t req u ire d , b la n k e t licenses u sed in p lac e o f m u ltip le in d iv id u a l licenses, a n d p ro je c t licenses co v e rin g e x p o rts fo r de.A’e l o p in e n t a n d sim ila r e n te rp ris e s in A llie d a n d f rie n d ly c ou n tries. A ll licenses Avere issued o n ly a f te r th e fo re ig n re q u ire m e n ts h a d r e ceived th e p re lim in a ry a p p r o v a l o f th e F o re ig n E co n o m ic A d m in is tr a tio n a n d th e final approA^al o f th e req u irem e n ts com m ittees o f th e W a r P ro d u c tio n B o a rd o r th e W a r F o o d A d m in istra tio n . I n th e case o f m ilita ry a n d n a v a l eq u ip m e n t, th e M u n itio n s A ssig n m e n ts B o a rd Avas respo n sib le f o r e x p o rt allo ca tio n s. A lso g o v e rn in g th e issue o f e x p o rt a u th o riz a tio n s w ere th e in te rn a tio n a l a llo ca tio n s o f th e com b ined b o ard s a n d th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d B ritis h “b la c k lists,” th e P ro c la im e d L is ts o f C e r ta in B loc ke d N a tio n a ls, Avhich c o n ta in e d th e n am es o f p e rso n s a n d firm s o p e ra tin g in n e u tr a l a n d A llie d c o u n trie s b u t k n o w n to be on th e side o f th e A x is. O bviously, a ll a p p lic a tio n s f o r e x p o rt licenses co v e rin g th ese la tt e r sh ip m e n ts w ere rejec te d . G o v e r n m e n t c o n tr o l o f t r a d e w a s e x te n d e d to i m p o r ts a s Avell a s e x p o rts . S u p p lie s o f so m e o f o u r m o s t e s s e n tia l i m p o r ts Avere c o m p le te ly c u t off o r s e rio u s ly r e d u c e d b y e n e m y a c tio n . NeAV o r groA ving w a r d e m a n d s m a d e in a d e q u a te t h e s u p p lie s o f o th e r c o m m o d itie s. T h e p ro b le m w a s o n e o f in c r e a s in g th e flow o f e s s e n tia l m a te r ia ls a t a ll p o ss ib le c o s ts f r o m th o s e a r e a s w h ic h re m a in e d o p e n to t r a d e . B e c a u se o f s h ip p in g s c a rc itie s , a ll i m p o r ts n o t s t r i c t l y n e c e s s a ry f o r w a r o r ciA dlian u se h a d to b e p r o h i b i t e d o r s h a r p ly r e d u c e d to m a k e ro o m f o r e s s e n tia l g o o d s. E ffe d d v e J u ly 2, 1942, th e W a r P ro d u c tio n B o a rd assum ed c o n tro l o v er v irtu a lly a ll im p o rts a n d c o n tin u e d to exercise th is fu n c tio n th ro u g h o u t th e w a r. A c tu a l c o n tro l Avas m a in ta in e d th ro u g h a system o f lice n sin g sim ila r to t h a t in effect f o r e x p o rts. I n a d d itio n , ocean s h ip p in g p rio ritie s a n d q u o ta s Avere a ssig n e d b y th e E m erg e n c y S h ip p in g P r io r itie s C o m m ittee, c o n sistin g o f re p re s e n ta tiv e s fro m th e v a rio u s U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t agencies resp o n sib le f o r o b ta in in g a n d a llo c a tin g su p p lie s o f scarce m a te ria ls. F o r a la rg e n u m b e r o f e ssen tial com m odities, a ll o r m o st licenses to p r iv a te im p o rte rs Avere p ro h ib ite d in o rd e r to alloAV G o v e rn m en t c o rp o ra tio n s to ta k e over th e jo b o f p u rc h a s in g a n d im p o rtin g . T h e se a c tiv itie s a re discu ssed in th e folloAving section , G o v e rn m e n t T ra d e . I m p o r t lice n sin g w as also u sed as a m ean s o f im p le m e n tin g th e a llo ca tio n s o f th e C om b in ed R aw M a te ria ls B o a rd a n d th e C om b ined 18 F o o d B o a rd . I n cases w h e re fo re ig n su p p lie s w ere a ssig n e d to o th e r c o u n trie s, no licenses w ere g r a n te d to U n ite d S ta te s im p o rte rs w ho w ish e d to m ak e p u rc h a se s fro m such sources. T h e dom estic d is tr ib u tio n o f m o st im p o rte d m a te r ia ls w as also su b je c t to s tr ic t G o v ern m en t re g u la tio n . T h is a p p lie d to b o th p r iv a te a n d G o v e rn m en t im p o rts. E ith e r th e W a r P ro d u c tio n B o a rd o r th e W a r F o o d A d m in is tr a tio n w as u s u a lly respo n sib le f o r d e te rm in in g th e m o st efficient m a n n e r in w h ich su p p lie s w ere to be u sed a f t e r re a c h in g th e U n ite d S tate s. I n a d d itio n to p la c in g d ire c t re s tric tio n s on th e m o vem ent o f goods to a n d fro m th e c o u n try , th e G o v e rn m e n t also im p o sed p ric e c o n tro ls on b o th im p o rts a n d ex p o rts. I n th e case o f e x p o rts, th e objective w as to set a p ric e n e u tr a l in its effect u p o n th e d is tr ib u tio n o f sales betw een dom estic a n d fo re ig n m ark e ts. T h e M ax im u m E x p o r t P ric e R e g u la tio n , effective A p r il 30, 1942, p la c e d th e e x p o rt p ric e o f an y c om m odity a t th e cost o f a cq u isitio n b y th e e x p o rte r, p lu s th e a v era g e p re w a r p re m iu m c h a rg e d in th e e x p o rt tr a d e a n d o th e r expenses, such as in su ra n c e a n d sh ip p in g ch arges. P ric e s p a id in fo re ig n c o u n trie s fo r im p o rts w ere d e te rm in e d by dom estic p ric e c eiling s. A c om b in a tio n o f h ig h fo re ig n p rices, d u ties, a n d s h ip p in g c h a rg e s f o r som e com m o d itie s m ad e im possib le th e ir p r iv a te im p o rta tio n a n d re sale a t dom estic ceiling s. I n m an y such cases i t w as n ecessary fo r th e G o v e rn m en t to im p o rt th e co m m o d ities a n d resell a t a loss a t th e e sta b lish e d m ax im u m p rices. S h o rtly a f te r th e close o f th e w a r, q u a n tita tiv e re g u la tio n s co v e rin g b o th e x p o rts a n d im p o rts w ere g re a tly rela xe d . N ev erth eless, o n ly a v ery g r a d u a l rem o v a l o f c o n tro ls w a s possible f o r som e com m odities w hich c o n tin u ed to be scarce a s w a rtim e re q u ire m e n ts w ere re p lac e d by th e d e m a n d s a cc o m p a n y in g U n ite d S ta te s rec o n v ersio n a n d fo re ig n re lie f a n d re h a b ilita tio n . M oreov er, a n e x trem e ly la rg e d e m a n d fo r U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts h a d a cc u m u la te d in c e r ta in fo r e ig n c o u n tries, p a r tic u la r ly th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics, w hose d o lla r a n d g o ld resources w ere in crea se d g re a tly d u rin g th e w a r. W ith re fe ren c e to im p o rts , m o st re m a in in g c o n tro ls w e re m ad e n ecessary b y sc arc ities, som e o f w h ich becam e even m ore a cu te as lib e ra te d a re a s b e g a n to com pete f o r a v a ila b le w o rld su p p lies. I n m o st o f th ese cases a n d in o th e rs w here c. i. f. p ric es w ere in excess o f d o m estic c eiling s, G o v e rn m en t fo re ig n -p u rc h a se p ro g ra m s re m a in e d in effect. G o v e rn m e n t T ra d e F a r-re a c h in g in th e ir effects u p o n th e volum e, c om p osition , a n d d i re c tio n o f U n ite d S ta te s w a rtim e in te rn a tio n a l tr a d e w ere th e la rg e scale m e rc h an d ise tra n sa c tio n s c o nd u cted d ire c t by th e G ov ernm en t. F o r th e 1940-45 p e rio d a s a w hole, a b o u t tw o -th ir d s o f th e $ 63 -billion to ta l o f g oods m a d e a v aila b le to o th e r c o u n trie s w a s tr a n s f e r r e d d ire c t by G o v e rn m en t agencies. A t th e sam e tim e , a p p ro x im a te ly tw o -fifth s o f th e $27 -billion w o rth o f m erch a n d ise m a d e a v a ila b le to u s by fo re ig n e rs w as fu rn is h e d d ire c t to G o v e rn m en t agencies. T h e $39.5 b illio n o f m e rch a n d ise tr a n s f e r r e d by U n ite d S ta te s a g e n cies u n d e r th e len d -le ase p ro g ra m th ro u g h th e end o f 1945 d o m in a ted th e e n tire fo re ig n -tr a d e p ic tu re , as w ell as a ll o th e r G o v ern m en t in te r n a tio n a l s u p p ly tra n sa c tio n s . P e a k len d -le ase tr a n s f e rs o f $12.4 b il lio n in 1943 a n d $13.6 b illio n in 1944 m ay be c o m p ared w ith to ta l 19 m e rc h an d ise tr a n s f e r s to fo re ig n e rs d u r in g th o se y e ars, b o th G o v e rn m en t a n d p riv a te , o f $15.1 a n d $17 b illio n , respectively . G oods f u rn is h e d a b ro a d b y G o v e rn m en t agencies d u rin g th e p e rio d 1940-45 ($42.3 b illio n ) in clu d e d , in a d d itio n to le n d -le ase tr a n s fe rs , n e a rly $1,450 m illio n o f re lie f su p p lie s fu rn is h e d b y th e a rm e d forces a n d a s th e U n ite d S ta te s c o n trib u tio n to th e U n ite d N a tio n s R e lie f a n d R e h a b ilita tio n A d m in is tr a tio n , a p p ro x im a te ly $600 m illio n o f fo o d stuffs a n d o th e r com m odities so ld by G o v e rn m en t c o rp o ra tio n s, $675 m illio n o f m ilita ry su p p lie s a n d e q u ip m en t so ld a b ro a d b y th e a rm ed forces, a n d n e a rly $100 m illio n o f o versea su rp lu s so ld b y th e Office o f th e F o re ig n L iq u id a tio n C om m issioner. T h e $11.7 b illio n o f m e rc h an d ise su p p lie d to th e G o v e rn m e n t b y o th e r c o u n trie s c on sisted m a in ly o f $4,750 m illio n o f su p p lie s and. m a te ria ls p u rc h a se d by G o v e rn m en t c o rp o ra tio n s , m o st o f w h ich w as im p o rte d in to th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d re so ld to p r iv a te in d u s try f o r use in th e w a r-p ro d u c tio n p r o g r a m ; $2,400 m illio n p u rc h a se d b y th e a rm ed forces, chiefly f o r th e ir ow n use a b ro a d ; a n d $4,270 m illio n o f rev erse len d -lease, th e b u lk o f w h ic h w as also consum ed abi’o a d b y o u r a rm ed forces. G o o d s S u p p lie d b y U . S . G o v e r n m e n t L en d-lease .— F ro m M a rc h 11, 1941, w h e n th e L e n d -L ea se A c t w as pa sse d, th ro u g h D ecem b er 31, 1945, th e U n ite d S ta te s tr a n s f e r r e d $39.5 b illio n o f goods a n d $8.5 b illio n o f services th ro u g h lend-lease ch an n els. S u c h tra n s fe rs , a cc o u n tin g a t th e ir p e a k in 1944 f o r o ver 80 p e rc e n t o f a ll m e rc h a n d ise a n d o v er 60 p e rc e n t o f a ll services fu rn is h e d to fo re ig n c o u n tries, e n ta ile d in g e n e ra l no fin a n c ia l se ttle m e n t betw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e fo re ig n rec ip ie n ts. A ll s tra ig h t, o r n o n re im b u rsa b le , lend-lease tr a n s f e rs so in c lu d e d in th e G o v e rn m e n t acco u n t (lik e re lie f sh ip m e n ts a n d o th e r o u tr ig h t c o n trib u tio n s ) h a v e been offset b y c o rre sp o n d in g u n ila te ra l e n trie s in th e b a la n c e-o f-p ay m e n ts statem en ts. I t w ill be re c a lle d t h a t p r io r to th e p a ssag e o f th e L e n d -L ea se A ct, th e U n ite d K in g d o m h a d d ra w n h e a v ily on its d o lla r resources, n o t o n ly f o r c u r re n t p u rch a se s, b u t also to m ak e la rg e a d v a n c es a n d to p ro v id e c a p ita l assistan ce to A m e ric a n m a n u fa c tu re rs. I t th u s becam e a p p a re n t t h a t som e o th e r m ean s o f fin a n c in g o u r e x p o rts to th e U n ite d K in g d o m a n d o th e r frie n d ly b e llig e re n ts m u st be fo un d . R e p e a l of th e N e u tr a lity A c t in o r d e r to p e rm it c re d it sh ip m e n ts w as a possible te m p o ra ry m easure. T h e u n fo rtu n a te W o rld W a r I d e b t experience, how ever, a n d th e lik e lih o o d t h a t such a id w ou ld be n eed ed over a lo n g p e rio d o f tim e , in d ic a te d th e n ecessity f o r a n a lte rn a tiv e so lution. T h e a lte rn a tiv e so lu tio n w a s th e p assage, on M a rc h 11,1941, o f “A n A c t to p ro m o te th e d efen se o f th e U n ite d S ta te s,” m o re com m only k n o w n as th e L e n d -L e ase A c t. U n d e r th e p ro v isio n s o f th is le g isla tio n , th e P r e s id e n t, “ w hen h e deem s i t in th e in te re sts o f n a tio n a l d e fen se,” w as a u th o riz e d to p e rm it th e h e a d o f a n y G o v e rn m en t d e p a rtm e n t o r a gen cy to m a n u fa c tu re a n y defense a rtic le a n d “to sell, tr a n s f e r title to , exch an ge, lease, le n d o r o th e rw ise dispose of, to a n y su ch g o v ern m e n t, a n y d efen se a rtic le .” T h e te rm s a n d c o nd itio n s u n d e r w h ich a id w as to be f u rn is h e d w ere a lso le f t to th e d isc re tio n o f th e P re sid e n t. I n o rd e r to in te r p r e t th e b a sic p ro v isio n s o f th e act, i. e., to define th e specific ty p e s o f a id a n d th e c o n d itio n s u n d e r w h ich i t w as to be fu r20 n ish e d , th e U n ite d S ta te s e n te re d in to so-called m a ste r a g ree m e n ts w ith th e U n ite d K in g d o m , C h in a , th e U . S. S. It., a n d a n u m b e r o f o th e r c ou n tries. I n c o rp o ra te d in each o f th e a g ree m e n ts w as th e p r o v isio n t h a t se ttle m e n t f o r len d -lease sh o u ld be d e fe rre d “u n til th e e x te n t o f such d e fen se a id is k n o w n a n d u n til th e p ro g re ss o f ev en ts m ak es c le a re r th e final te rm s a n d c o n d itio n s a n d benefits w h ich w ill be in th e m u tu a l in te re sts o f th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d (th e o th e r c o u n try ) a n d w ill p ro m o te th e e sta b lish m e n t a n d m a in te n a n c e o f w o rld p eace.’’ T h a t in te rn a tio n a l p a y m e n ts o r d e bts in p r o p o rtio n to th e v a lu e o f a id re n d e re d w o u ld n o t be c alled f o r in th e fin a l se ttle m e n ts w a s in d ic a te d b y th is a n d a f u r th e r sta te m e n t t h a t such se ttlem e n ts sh o u ld n o t b u rd e n f u tu r e com m ercial re la tio n s h ip s b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e re c ip ie n t fo re ig n co u n tries. T h e m a jo r e xce ptio n s to th e g e n e ra l p ro c ed u re o f f u rn is h in g a id w ith o u t p re e sta b lish e d p ro v isio n s f o r re p a y m e n t ( in o th e r w o rds, th e “ s tr a ig h t” tr a n s f e rs offset in th e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts b y u n ila te ra l p a y m e n ts) in v o lv ed tr a n s f e r s th ro u g h len d -lease c h an n e ls to C a n a d a , th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics, a n d th e F re n c h C o m m ittee o f N a tio n a l L ib e ra tio n , a n d lend-lease silv e r lo a n s f o r w h ic h th e U n ite d S ta te s w as to be r e p a id on a n o u n ce-fo r-oun ce basis. A sp ec ia l a g ree m e n t betw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d C a n a d a p r o v id ed t h a t each w o u ld p a y cash f o r su p p lie s a n d m u n itio n s p u rc h a se d fro m th e o th e r, even th o u g h som e C a n a d ia n o rd e rs f o r U n ite d S ta te s goods w ere to be filled th ro u g h len d -le ase p ro c u re m e n t c h an n e ls, a n d t h a t U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t o rd e rs f o r C a n a d ia n p r o d u c ts w ere in g e n e ra l to be p la c ed w ith W a r S u p p lie s L td ., a c o rp o ra tio n o f th e C a n a d ia n G o v e rn m en t. S u p p le m e n tin g th e a g ree m e n t w a s th e H y d e P a r k D e c la ra tio n b y th e P re s id e n t o f th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e C a n a d ia n P rim e M in iste r, w h e reb y th e U n ite d S ta te s a g re e d to p u rc h a se e no u g h C a n a d ia n p ro d u c ts so th a t C a n a d a m ig h t h a v e th e e x ch an g e necessary to cover its e ssen tia l p u rc h a se s in th e U n ite d S ta te s. I n th e case o f 18 o f th e A m eric an R ep u b lics, sp ecial a g re e m e n ts r e q u ire d cash p a y m e n ts a c c o rd in g to e sta b lish e d schedules f o r specific p e rc e n ta g e s o f th e v a lu e o f th e a id received. W ith re fe re n c e to th e F re n c h C om m ittee o f N a tio n a l L ib e ra tio n , a n in te rim a rra n g e m e n t (S e p te m b e r 1943) specified t h a t a ll m ilita ry lend-lease su p p lie d to F re n c h N o rth a n d W e s t A f ric a w o u ld be on a s tr a ig h t basis, b u t th a t a ll c iv ilia n len d -le ase w o u ld re q u ire cash p a y m e n ts b y th e C om m ittee. T o p ro v id e a m ec ha nism f o r h a n d lin g lend-lease, th e D iv isio n o f D efen se A id R e p o rts w as e sta b lish e d on M ay 2, 1941, in th e Office o f E m erg e n c y M an a g e m e n t. T h is su b se q u e n tly becam e th e Office o f L e n d -L ea se A d m in is tr a tio n (O cto b er 2 8 ,1 9 4 1 ) a n d la te r a p a r t o f th e F o re ig n E co n o m ic A d m in is tr a tio n (S e p te m b e r 25, 1943). F o r p u r poses o f sim p lificatio n , th e te rm L e n d -L ea se A d m in is tr a tio n is u sed h e re to d e no te th e e ssen tia lly sim ila r fu n c tio n s o f a ll th re e agencies. O rig in a lly , a ll req u ests f o r len d -lease a id w e re filed b y th e fo re ig n g o v e rn m e n ts w ith th e L e n d -L ea se A d m in istra tio n . I f a p p ro v e d , th e y w ere tr a n s f e r r e d to e ith e r th e W a r, N a v y , T re a s u ry , o r A g ric u ltu re D e p a rtm e n ts , th e U n ite d S ta te s M a ritim e C om m ission, o r o th e r G ov e rn m e n t agencies resp o n sib le f o r p ro c u rin g th e su p p lie s, m a in ly fro m U n ite d S ta te s p r iv a te in d u stry , a n d tr a n s f e r r in g th e m to th e fo re ig n g o v ernm en ts. A f te r th e U n ite d S ta te s becam e a n a ctiv e p a r tn e r in th e w a r, h o w ever, a m ore flexible m ean s w as a d o p te d to allo ca te A m e ric a n m u n i21 tio n s p ro d u c tio n betw een o u r ow n fo rce s a n d th o se o f o u r A llies. T h e W a r a n d N a v y D e p a rtm e n ts w ere a u th o riz e d to tr a n s f e r as lend-lease, w ith in s ta te d lim its, m ilita ry a rtic le s a n d services p r o c u re d fro m th e ir ow n a p p ro p ria tio n s. D ecision s a s to th e k in d s a n d a m o u n ts o f a rtic le s to be tr a n f e r r e d w ere m ade b y th e M u n itio n s A ssig n m en ts B o a rd in acc orda nce w ith ra p id ly c h a n g in g stra te g ic needs. F o r o th e r com m o d itie s a n d services, th e o rig in a l p ro c ed u re re m a in e d v irtu a lly u n c h a n g e d , e x ce p t t h a t a ll su ch tr a n s f e rs becam e su b ject to a n y decisions m ad e by th e a p p ro p ria te com b ined b o a rd s. T h e official accoun ts o f th e L en d -L ea se A d m in istra tio n w ere com p ile d on th e b a sis o f re p o rts by th o se agencies resp o n sib le f o r a c tu a l p ro c u re m e n t a n d tr a n s f e r to th e fo re ig n g o v ern m en ts. F ig u re s in c o r p o ra te d in th e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts c o v e rin g b o th goods a n d services tr a n s f e r r e d u n d e r len d -le ase a re th e sam e as th o se reflected in th ese official accounts. A ll except $700 m illio n o f th e to ta l $39.5 b illio n o f len d -le ase goodssu p p lie d th ro u g h th e en d o f 1945 re p re se n te d p re -V J -d a y tr a n s fe rs , m o re th a n 90 p e rc e n t o f w h ich w e n t to th e B ritis h E m p ir e ($25.3 b illio n ) a n d R u ssia ($9.7 b illio n ). T h e re m a in in g $3.8 b illio n w e n t chiefly to F ra n c e , C h in a , th e N e th e rla n d s , B elg iu m , a n d th e A m e ri c an R ep u b lics (see ta b le 5 ). W h ile a ir c r a ft, ta n k s a n d vehicles, o r d nan ce, a n d o th e r d ire c t m ilita ry e q u ip m en t a cco u n ted f o r th e b u lk of goods tr a n s f e r r e d th ro u g h len d -lease ch an n e ls, a g r ic u ltu ra l a n d in d u s tr ia l com m o d ities n ecessary f o r w a r p r o d u c tio n a n d f o r m a in te n a n c e o f c iv ilia n s w ere also su p p lie d in h e av y volum es (see ta b le 5 ). T h e $8.5 b illio n o f services p ro v id e d u n d e r len d -lease a re discussed elsew here in th is c h a p te r. Tabl e 5.— L en d -lea se goods fu rn is h e d , b y m a jo r c o u n trie s a n d ty p e s o f goods, M ar. 1 1 , 19 4 I , th ro u g h S e p t. 1, 19J/5 [In m illio n s of d ollars] C o u n tr y T o ta l O rd n a n c e A ir c ra ft and and a e ro o rd n a n c e n a u tic a l sto res m a t e r ia l T anks and o th e r veh icles M isc e lla neo us m ilita r y e q u ip m ent A g ric u l tu r a l in d u s tr ia l a n d o th e r c o m m o d i tie s O th e r goods T o ta l ........................... 38,803 4,320 8,549 6,178 3,809 14,516 1,431 B r itis h E m p i r e ....................... U . S. S. R ...... ........................ F r e n c h E m p ir e ................. . C h in a ___________ ____ N e th e r la n d s .......................... . B e lg iu m __ ............ . .............. A m e ric a n R e p u b li c s ----------O th e r _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 25,345 9, 729 2.460 476 172 85 345 191 3,066 790 230 147 11 1 51 24 6,334 1,571 282 130 83 1 141 7 3,795 1,768 412 99 8 13 69 14 2,144 778 755 44. 8 17 50 13 9,312 4,193 743 46 58 53 18 93 694 629 38 10 4 « 16 40 1 L e ss th a n $500,000. S ourc e: D e p a r tm e n t of th e T r e a s u r y , L e n d -L e a se F is c a l O p e r a tio n s, B u r e a u of A c c o u n ts, R e p o r t on L e n d -L e a se F is c a l O p e r a tio n s, C u m u la tiv e th r o u g h S e p t. 30,1946. (F ig u re s a d ju s te d in th is ta b le to ex clud e e s ti m a te d se rv ic e s a n d ite m s n o t tr a n sf e re d to fo re ig n g o v e rn m e n ts ). N in e ty -th re e p e rc e n t o f th e $38.8 b illio n o f goods m ad e a v ailab le p r io r to V J - d a y w as tr a n s f e r r e d u n d e r a g ree m e n ts w h e reb y final se ttle m e n t w a s d e fe r re d u n til a f te r th e w a r. S ince, in th e fin a l lendlease se ttle m e n ts concluded since t h a t tim e (see p . 2 4 ), a ll lend-lease goods consum ed d u r in g th e w a r w ere w r itte n off as p a r t o f th e U n ite d 22 S ta te s cost o f d e fe a tin g th e A x is, th e y h a v e been tr e a te d in th e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts as u n ila te ra l tra n sa c tio n s. W ith o u t th e use o f len d -lease o r a sim ila r m ech an ism d u rin g th e w a r, o u r A llie s could n o t p o ssib ly h a v e o b ta in e d th e v a st a m o u n t of U n ite d S ta te s goods w h ic h th e y so u r g e n tly needed. M o st o f th e d o lla rs th e y w ere c u rre n tly able to acq u ire w ere n eed ed to cover th e ir re la tiv e ly sm all p u rc h a se s o f e ssen tial A m e ric a n goods a n d services w h ic h w ere n o t elig ible f o r lend-lease. H a d we lim ite d o u r a id to c ash sales o f g o o ds a n d services, th e consequences w o u ld in a ll p r o b a b ility h a v e b een as serio u s f o r u s as f o r o u r A llie s. T h e a lte r n a tiv e o f tr a n s f e r r in g th e necessary goods a n d services on c re d it te rm s, p re v io u sly discussed, w ould m erely h a v e c re a te d a n im possib le tr a n s f e r p ro b le m a t th e tim e o f re p a y m e n t. O n th e o th e r h a n d , th e use o f th e len d -le ase m ec ha nism e n ab le d us to f u r n is h th e m ax im u m a m o u n t of a id w h ic h we w ere in a p o s itio n to s u p p ly w ith o u t refe re n c e to fin a n c ia l co n sid e ra tio n s. T h e v alu e, c om p osition , a n d d e stin a tio n o f lend-lease e x p o rts w ere d e te rm in e d so lely by s tra te g ic c o n sid eratio n s a n d o u r a b ility to p ro d u c e th e necessary goods. F o llo w in g th e J a p a n e s e s u rre n d e r, th e U n ite d S ta te s g av e n o tice th a t, w ith c e r ta in ex cep tio n s to be n o te d la te r, len d -le ase a id on a s tr a ig h t o r n o n reim b u rsa b le basis w as to be d isco n tin u e d im m e d iately . B ecause th e w a r h a d e n d e d so oner th a n w as g e n e ra lly a n tic ip a te d , fo re ig n c o u n trie s w h ich h a d b een d e p e n d in g u p o n len d -lease goods to m eet la rg e segm en ts o f th e ir c iv ilia n re q u irem e n ts w o u ld h av e ex p e rie n c e d c o n sid e ra b le h a rd s h ip i f som e a rra n g e m e n t h a d n o t been m a d e to sh ip th e a p p ro x im a te ly $1.2 b illio n o f c iv ilia n -ty p e goods on o r d e r a s o f V J -d a y . I n th e U n ite d S ta te s, also, a su d d e n sto p p a g e w o u ld h a v e caused serio u s difficulties to th o se e n g a g e d in p r o d u c in g a n d s h ip p in g len d -lease goods. M oreo v er, fo r a la rg e p o rtio n o f th e g oo ds b u ilt to sp ecification o r to m eet u n iq u e ly fo re ig n re q u ire m e n ts, th e re w as little o r no d om estic m a rk e t. R e c ip ie n t fo re ig n g o v e rn m e n ts w ere th e r e f o re g iv en th e o p p o r tu n ity to p u rc h a se f o r cash o r on c re d it te rm s a ll such c iv ilia n -ty p e “p ip e lin e ” goods. S u c h te rm s in c lu d e d in g e n e ra l low in te re s t ra te s (2 % p e rc e n t) a n d re p a y m e n t o v er a 30-year p e rio d , a lth o u g h p ip e lin e c re d its to th e U n ite d K in g d o m a n d F ra n c e w ere m a d e a v ailab le a t 2 p e rc e n t over a lo n g e r p e rio d u n d e r th e p ro v isio n s o f th e o v e r-a ll w a r-a cc o u n ts se ttle m e n ts m ad e w ith th ese c ou n tries. T h e m a jo r exceptions to th e g e n e ra l ru le o f d is c o n tin u in g s tr a ig h t len d -le ase a f te r V J - d a y w ere f o r C h in a , B elg iu m , a n d I ta ly . I n th e case o f C h in a , th e effects o f y e a rs o f Ja p a n e s e o c c u p a tio n a n d th e p re s ence o f a la rg e p a r t o f th e J a p a n e s e a rm y m a d e necessary c o n tin u e d m ilita r y o p eratio n s. C o n tin u a n ce o f s tr a ig h t m ilita ry lend-lease, c o n sistin g m a in ly o f services, w as th e re fo re a u th o riz e d b y th e P r e s i d e n t. F o r B e lg iu m , also, s tr a ig h t len d -le ase w as fu rn is h e d a f te r V J d a y in rec o g n itio n o f th e f a c t t h a t w a rtim e rev erse len d -le ase su p p lies a n d services f u rn is h e d b y B e lg iu m exceeded b y $100 m illio n th e a m o u n t o f U n ite d S ta te s len d -le ase a id to t h a t c o u n try . W ith r e f e r ence to I ta ly , th e W a r D e p a rtm e n t’s c iv ilia n -su p p ly p ro g ra m w as su p p lem e n te d by $100 m illio n o f a d d itio n a l su p p lie s fro m len d -le ase a p p ro p ria tio n s . T h e o n ly o th e r excep tio n to th e p o s t- V J- d a y sto p p a g e o f re g u la r len d -le ase in v o lv ed ocean f r e ig h t services f o r lend-lease p ip e -lin e goods. S u c h services, i t w as a g ree d , w o u ld be f u rn is h e d on a n o n re im b u rsa b le b a sis f o r 60 d a y s fo llo w in g th e e n d o f th e w ar. 23 I n acc orda nce w ith th e a rra n g e m e n ts su m m ariz ed above, lend-lease tr a n s f e rs o f b o th m e rc h a n d ise a n d services f o r th e p e rio d S e p te m b e r 2, 1945, th ro u g h D ecem b er 31, 1945 (a p p ro x im a te ly $700 m illio n in g o o d s ), h a v e been offset in th e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts b y a p p r o p r ia te e n tr ie s in th e c a p ita l a n d u n ila te ra l accounts. A lso g o v e rn in g th e t r e a t m e n t o f p o st- V J - d a y len d -le ase tr a n s a c tio n s w ere a p p lic a b le p ro v isio n s o f th e se ttle m e n t a g ree m e n ts b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e re c ip ie n t fo re ig n g o v ernm en ts. T h ro u g h th e e n d o f 1945, tw o such se ttle m e n ts h a d been c oncluded— a n in te rim a g ree m e n t w ith B elg iu m (O cto b er 20,1945) a n d a fin al w a r-acc o u n ts se ttle m e n t w ith th e U n ite d K in g d o m (D ec em b e r 6, 194 5). T h e tr a n s f e r o f p ip e -lin e goods as s tr a ig h t len d -le ase to B e lg iu m , as p ro v id e d f o r in th e a g ree m e n t w ith t h a t c o u n try , h a s been discu ssed above. A c c o rd in g to th e se ttle m e n t m a d e w ith th e U n ite d K in g d o m , th e len d -le ase p ip e lin e w as m a d e a v ailab le on b o th o ffse ttin g a n d c re d it a rra n g e m e n ts. M ore specifically, a g a in s t th e e s tim a te d $301 m illio n fo r w a r d len d -le ase p ip e lin e w as offset th e e stim a ted $130 m illio n r e v e rse len d -le ase p ip e lin e to be p ro v id e d th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d n e t claim s o f $53 m illio n in f a v o r o f th e U n ite d K in g d o m . T h e d iffe r ence, $118 m illio n , re p re se n te d th e e stim a te d e v en tu a l p ip e -lin e c re d it to be e x te n d e d to th e U n ite d K in g d o m . I t w as f u r th e r a g re e d t h a t th e U n ite d K in g d o m w o u ld assum e a n o b lig a tio n o f $472 m illio n as se ttle m e n t f o r th e in v e n to ry o f u n co n su m ed len d -le ase goods in th e U n ite d K in g d o m as o f V J -d a y . T e rm s f o r b o th th e $118-m illion p ip e -lin e c re d it a n d th e $ 47 2-m illion in v e n to ry se ttle m e n t c re d it w ere id e n tic a l w ith th o se e sta b lish e d f o r th e B ritis h loan. In fin ite ly m ore im p o rta n t th a n th e p ro v isio n s re la tin g to th e tr a n s f e r o f len d -lease p ip e -lin e a n d in v e n to ry goods, how ever, w as th e w r itin g off o f th e g r e a t b u lk o f w a rtim e len d -le ase a n d rev erse lendlease tra n s a c tio n s betw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e U n ite d K in g d o m as m u tu a l c o n trib u tio n s to th e w in n in g o f th e w a r. A s im ila r t r e a t m e n t o f len d -le ase a n d rev erse lend-lease a id betw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d o th e r fo re ig n g o v ern m en ts w as a rra n g e d f o r in th e o th e r m a jo r w a r-ac c o u n ts se ttle m e n ts c o n su m m ated since th e en d o f 1945. C ivilia n su p p lies .— N e x t in im p o rta n c e to th e goods tr a n s f e rr e d th ro u g h len d -le ase c h an n e ls w as th e $1,445 -m illion w o rth o f su p p lies f u rn is h e d to c iv ilia n p o p u la tio n s in lib e ra te d a n d o ccu p ied a reas. N e a r ly th re e -fo u rth s o f th e to ta l w a s p ro v id e d by th e a rm ed forces to p re v e n t disease a n d u n re s t im m e d ia te ly fo llo w in g m ilita ry o p e ra tio n s. T h e re m a in d e r w as m a d e a v a ila b le as th e U n ite d S ta te s con tr ib u tio n to th e U n ite d N a tio n s R e lie f a n d R e h a b ilita tio n A d m in is tr a tio n , a n in te rn a tio n a l o rg a n iz a tio n e sta b lish e d in N ovem ber o f 1943 to ta k e o v er th e re s p o n sib ility fro m th e a rm e d forces. S in ce few o r no p a y m e n ts a re a n tic ip a te d b y th e U n ite d S ta te s f o r su p p lie s f u r n ish e d e ith e r b y th e a rm e d services o r th ro u g h U N R R A , th e e n tire a m o u n t h a s been offset in th e u n ila te ra l p a y m e n ts a cc o u n t o f th e b ala n c e-o f-p ay m e n ts sta tem en t. P ro v is io n o f re lie f su p p lie s b y th e a rm ed fo rce s w as c o n sid e re d an in te g ra l p a r t o f m ilita ry o p eratio n s. S u ch su p p lies, fu rn is h e d e ith e r d ire c tly b y th e U n ite d S ta te s forces o r jo in tly w ith th e U n ite d K in g dom a n d C a n a d a th ro u g h c om bined pools u n d e r th e th e a te r co m m an d ers, w ere d e sig n e d to m eet th e m in im u m e ssen tia l re q u ire m e n ts o f th e c iv ilia n p o p u la tio n s d u r in g th e m ilita ry p h a se s o f o ccu p a tio n . A s 24 soon as m ilita ry c o n sid e ra tio n s w o u ld p e rm it, how ever, th e re s p o n sib il ity w as tr a n s f e r r e d to U N R R A o r som e o th e r c iv ilia n o rg a n iz a tio n . O rig in a lly , th e m ilita ry c iv ilia n -s u p p ly p ro g ra m in lib e ra te d co u n trie s (also k n o w n as P la n A ) c a lle d f o r e v en tu a l re p a y m e n t by th e re' c ip ie n t c o u n tries. T h e U n ite d S ta te s, th e U n ite d K in g d o m , a n d C a n a d a w e re each to b e a llo c a te d a sh a r e o f su ch re p a y m e n ts, d e p e n d in g u p o n th e ir re sp e ctiv e c o n trib u tio n s. I n m o st o f th e fin a l w a ra cco u n ts se ttle m e n ts, how ever, th e m a jo r p a r t o f su ch su p p lie s w as tr e a te d on th e sam e b a sis as consu m ed len d -le ase g oo ds o r c on sidered as offsets to claim s a g a in st th e U n ite d S ta te s, a n d w ere a cc o rd in g ly w r it te n off th e books. R e p a y m e n t f o r th ese goods, lik e th o se p ro v id e d u n d e r lend-lease, w o u ld h a v e p la c ed a n im p o ssib le b u rd e n u p o n th e lib e ra te d c o u n trie s, w hose fin a n cia l reso u rces w ere in ad e q u a te to m eet even th e ir m ost e sse n tial p o s tw a r p u rc h a se s a b ro a d . T h e in itia l c iv ilia n -s u p p ly a c tiv itie s o f th e a rm e d fo rce s coincid ed w ith th e A llie d m ilita ry offensive in E u ro p e d u r in g 1944. B y th e e nd o f t h a t y e a i\ su p p lie s v a lu e d a t $185 m illio n h a d been fu rn is h e d , m ain ly to I ta ly . W ith th e r a p id m o v em en t o f th e A llie d forces b o th in E u ro p e a n d in th e P ac ific d u r in g th e fo llo w in g y e a r, th e p ro b le m o f a id in g c iv ilia n s w as g re a tly in ten sified . C om b ined re lie f sh ip m en ts by th e A rm y a n d N a v y m o u n te d to $866 m illio n in 1945, a b o u t $500 m illio n o f w h ic h w e n t to th e E u ro p e a n th e a te r, $300 m illio n to M e d i te rra n e a n c o u n trie s, a n d $60 m illio n to S o u th w e st P ac ific a reas. A l m o st th re e -fo u rth s o f a ll su p p lie s sh ip p e d th ro u g h th e e n d o f 1945 c on sisted o f w h e at, flour, a n d o th e r foo d stu ffs, w h ile th e re m a in d e r w as la rg e ly c lo th in g a n d shoes, fu e l, a n d m edical supplies. I n a d d itio n , n e a rly $400 m illio n o f re lie f su p p lies w ere c o n trib u te d as p a r t o f th e U n ite d S ta te s sh a r e in th e o p e ra tio n s o f U N R R A , th e m a jo r fu n c tio n o f w h ich w as to p ro v id e , in lib e ra te d a re as, fo o d , c lo th in g , sh e lte r, m e d ic al care, a n d su p p lie s a n d services re q u ire d to re s to re a g r ic u ltu ra l a n d in d u s tria l p ro d u c tio n . A c tiv itie s o f th e o rg a n iz a tio n w ere lim ite d to re lie f a n d r e h a b ilita tio n p u rp o se s, as d is tin g u is h e d fro m lo n g e r-ra n g e rec o n stru c tio n . T h e o rig in a l assess m e n t fo r e ach o f th e u n in v a d e d m em ber c o u n trie s w as p la c ed a t 1 p e r cen t o f its n a tio n a l incom e f o r th e y e a r e nded J u n e 30, 1943. O f th e $1,862 -m illion to ta l f o r a ll c o u n trie s, th e U n ite d S ta te s sh a re a m o u n te d to $1,350 m illio n . I n A u g u st 1945, th e U N R R A c o u n cil v o ted to d ou ble th e assessm ent on each m e m b e r; th e U n ite d S ta te s sh are w as c on seq u en tly bo o sted to $2,700 m illio n . B y th e en d o f 1945, th e e n tire a m o u n t h a d been a u th o riz e d by C ongress, a n d th e p e rio d o f U n ite d S ta te s p a rtic ip a tio n h a d been e x te n d e d a y e a r beyon d th e o rig in a l d a te o f J u n e 30, 1946. A t le a st 10 p e rc e n t o f th e c o n trib u tio n o f each m em b er w as to be in th e fo rm o f c u rre n c y fre e ly c o n v e rtib le f o r p u rc h a se s in an y c o u n tr y ; th e re m a in d e r w as to be m ad e a v a ila b le in th e fo rm o f dom estic goods a n d services. R e s p o n sib ility f o r p ro v id in g goods a n d services a u th o riz e d by C ongress w as d e leg a te d to th e F o re ig n E co n o m ic A d m in is tr a tio n a n d la te r (S e p te m b e r 27, 1945) to th e D e p a rtm e n t o f S ta te . F ro m th is source, th e fu n d s w ere m a d e a v aila b le to th e p ro c u rin g agencies, p a r tic u la rly th e A g ric u ltu re a n d T re a s u ry D e p a rtm e n ts , w h ich m ad e th e a c tu a l p u rch a se s. I n a d d itio n to th e $351-m illion w o rth o f goods p u rc h a se d a n d sh ip p e d fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s th ro u g h th ese ch an n e ls 7 6 9 1 5 5 — 4S- 3 25 th ro u g h th e e n d o f 1945, th e $394-m illion to ta l in c lu d e s $43 m illio n o f A rm y s u rp lu s su p p lie s o verseas w h ic h h a d been fu rn is h e d as p a r t o f th e U n ite d S ta te s c o n trib u tio n . A s in th e case o f th e c iv ilia n su p p lie s fu rn is h e d b y th e a rm e d se rv ices, th e b u lk o f U N R R A sh ip m e n ts c on sisted o f su bsistence item s— foo d stu ffs ( tw o - th ir d s ) , c lo th in g a n d shoes ( n e a r ly o n e -fo u rth ), a n d m ed ica l su p p lies. I n a d d itio n , a b o u t $40 m illio n o f c om m u n ica tion , tr a n s p o rta tio n , a n d a g r ic u ltu ra l e q u ip m en t h a d b een fu rn is h e d . M a jo r d e stin a tio n s o f th e U N R R A sh ip m e n ts w ere G reece, Y u g o sla v ia , P o la n d , a n d C zechoslovakia— c o u n trie s la c k in g b o th reserves o f f o r e ign e x ch an g e a n d th e c a p a c ity to e a rn a m o u n ts sufficient to cover p u r chases fro m ab road . T h e fo re ig n c iv ilia n -su p p ly a c tiv itie s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t, b o th th ro u g h th e a rm e d forces a n d th ro u g h U N R R A , r e p re se nted , lik e len d -lease a n d rev erse len d -lease, u n p re c e d e n te d d e p a rtu re s fro m n o rm a l m e th o d s o f fin a n c in g in te rn a tio n a l tr a d e , n o t o n ly b e cause th e y w ere c a r rie d o u t o n such a la r g e scale a n d on a n in te r n a tio n a l level, b u t also because th e y in c o rp o ra te d a re c o g n itio n t h a t th e m a te ria l cost o f w in n in g a Avar m u st n o t be allo w ed to r e s u lt in h e av y m o rtg a g e s u p o n f u tu r e w o rld tr a d e . C o m m o d ity sales b y n o n m ilita ry U n ite d S ta te s G overn m en t agen cies.— S ales o f tobacco a n d foo d stu ffs b y th e C o m m o d ity C re d it C o r p o ra tio n a cc ou n ted f o r th e b u lk o f th e $608 m illio n o f m iscellaneous sales m ad e d ire c tly b y n o n m ilita ry U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t agencies. W ell o v e r h a lf th e sales o c cu rre d d u r in g 1945; m ost o f th e re m a in d e r w ere rec o rd e d in 1943 a n d 1944. M a jo r p u rc h a ses Avere m ad e b y th e U n ite d K in g d o m (m a in ly tobacco a n d a su b s ta n tia l a m o u n t o f fo o d stuffs) , F ra n c e a n d B elg iu m (A vheat), a n d I t a l y (m a in ly c o tto n ) . I n m o st cases th e fo r e ig n g o v ern m en ts m a d e cash ad v an ces to th e C om m o d ity C re d it C o rp o ra tio n o r o th e r a p p r o p r ia te U n ite d S ta te s agency. B y u sin g U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t p ro c u re m e n t fa c ilitie s , th e fo re ig n c o u n trie s Avere a ssu re d t h a t th e g oods w ere p u rc h a se d h e re in th e m ost o r d e rly a n d econom ical m a n n e r possible. F o re ig n p u rc h a se s h e re th ro u g h o th e r U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t c h an n els Avere co n sid e ra b ly a cc ele ra ted fo llo w in g th e end o f th e w a r a n d th e d isco n tin u a n c e o f lend-lease ex ce pt f o r p ip e -lin e goods. M iscellaneous sales b y th e U. S . W a r a nd N a v y D e p a rtm en ts. — M ili ta r y sales ($679 m illio n ), lik e th e c om m o d ity sales described above, Avere c o n c e n tra te d in th e y e a rs 1943-45. T h e y in c lu d e a v a rie ty o f item s tr a n s f e r r e d by th e a rm e d forces in th e course o f th e ir o p e ra tio n s a b ro a d . S u c h tr a n s f e rs a re n o t in c lu d e d in th e official U n ite d S ta te s e x p o r t sta tistic s, since th e y Avere m a d e d ire c tly fro m oversea W a r a n d N a v y D e p a rtm e n t stocks. T y p ic a l a m o n g th e n u m e ro u s goods sold w ere o rd n a n c e m a te ria l, tru c k s , h orses, office f u r n itu r e , ice, gas, a n d he liu m ,_m ap s, w a ste p a p e r, film s, refu se, a n d g a rb a g e . T h e fo re ig n b u y ers in g e n e ra l Avere lo ca ted in a re a s w h ere la rg e n u m b e rs o f A m e r ic an tro o p s w ere sta tio n e d — th e U n ite d K in g d o m , F ra n c e , I ta ly , B e l g iu m , A u s tra lia , a n d th e P ac ific Isla n d s . Som e re la tiv e ly la rg e sales, how ever, w ere also m a d e in I r a n , C a n ad a , a n d th e A m e ric a n R epu blics. W h ile m o st o f th e g oo ds w ere so ld f o r cash d o lla rs , a p p ro x im a te ly $120-m illion w o rth Avas so ld (m a in ly in F ra n c e a n d I ta ly ) a g a in st sp e cia l m ilita ry currencies. S u r p lu s p ro p e rty sales .— A final c a te g o ry o f G o v e rn m en t m e rc h a n dise “e x p o rts ” c o m p rised th e d isp o sal o f s u rp lu s w a r p ro p e rty lo cated 26 * .\ overseas. O f th e $98-m illion to ta l received fro m th is source, $60 m il lio n re p re s e n te d a c re d it sale to th e G o v e rn m en t o f th e U n ite d K in g dom . T h is first la rg e b u lk sale w as p ro v id e d fo r in th e D ecem ber 6, 1945, w a r-a cc o u n ts se ttle m e n t. T e rm s f o r th e $60 m illio n c re d it w ere th e sam e as th o se a p p lic a b le to th e B ritis h lo an , n a m e ly , p rin c ip a l p a y m e n ts e x te n d in g o v er 50 y e a rs b e g in n in g in 1951 w ith in te re s t p a y a b le a t 2 p e rc e n t, also b e g in n in g in 1951. T h e re m a in in g $38 m illio n co n siste d o f m ix e d cash a n d c re d it sales, m a in ly to th e I r a n i a n a n d B e lg ia n G o v e rn m en ts. E x c lu d e d fro m th e $ 98 -m illion to ta l a re su rp lu s goods tr a n s f e rr e d to U N R R A a t a “ f a i r v a lu e ” o f $43 m illio n as p a r t o f th e U n ite d S ta te s c o n trib u tio n to t h a t o rg a n iz a tio n . T h e $98 m illio n o f su rp lu s sales co n su m m ated p r io r to th e e n d o f 1945 re p re se n te d o n ly th e b e g in n in g o f th e G o v e rn m e n t’s fo re ig n su rp lu sd isp o sal p ro g ra m c o ve rin g a n e stim a te d $11.5 b illio n o f p ro p e rty on th e b a sis o f o rig in a l cost. S ince th e b u lk o f th e su rp lu s w as lo c a te d in o r n e a r a re a s w h e re d o lla r sc a rc ities w ere m o st a cu te b u t w h e re n e v e r th eless th e n eed f o r su ch g o o ds w as m o st u rg e n t, a p re p o n d e ra n c e o f c re d it sales w as in d ica ted . I t w as decided t h a t th e F o re ig n L iq u id a tio n C om m issio ner m ig h t e x te n d c re d its to finance th e sale o f s u rp lu s w h ere such sales could n o t be m ad e f o r cash. C re d its so e x te n d e d in g e n e ra l w ere to be re p a y a b le in n o t m ore th a n 30 y e a rs a n d w ere to c a rry a m in im u m o f 2 % p e rc e n t in te re st. T h e te rm s a d o p te d in som e cases in v o lv ed th e p o stp o n em en t o f p rin c ip a l re p a y m e n ts f o r th e first 5 y e a rs a n d th e accep tan ce o f lo cal c u rre n c ie s to m eet U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t expenses in th e p u rc h a sin g c o u n tries. A lso f a c ilita tin g f u tu r e d isp o sal o p e ra tio n s w as th e S ta te D e p a r t m e n t’s re g u la tio n (M a rc h 15, 1946) p ro v id in g f o r th e tr a n s f e r o f fo re ig n su rp lu ses as se ttle m e n t o f claim s u p o n th e U n ite d S ta te s, a n d th e e xch an ge o f su rp lu s f o r o th e r p ro p e rty (m a in ly re a l e sta te ) a n d p ro p e rty rig h ts. G o o d s A c q u ir e d b y U . § . G o v e rn m e n t G overn m en t n o n m ilita ry p urch ases .— A s e a rly as J u n e 1939, th e P ro c u re m e n t D iv isio n o f th e T re a s u ry w a s a u th o riz e d u n d e r th e S tr a te g ic M a te ria ls A c t to p u rc h a se fro m fo re ig n sources a n d stock p ile over a 4 -y ea r p e rio d m a te ria ls a g g re g a tin g $100 m illio n . L a te r in th e sam e y e a r, a n a g ree m e n t w a s m a d e by th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e U n ite d K in g d o m w hereby th e C o m m o d ity C re d it C o rp o ra tio n o f t h e D e p a r t m en t o f A g r ic u ltu re b a rte re d 600,000 b ales o f A m e ric a n c o tto n f o r a n e q u a lly v a lu e d a m o u n t o f ru b b e r fro m B r itis h M ala y a . T h e se a c tiv i tie s m a rk e d th e b e g in n in g o f a la rg e-sca le im p o rt tr a d e c o nd u cted d ire c tly by th e G o v e rn m en t. T h e th re a te n in g w o rld situ a tio n a n d th e consequent a d v isa b ility o f a c c u m u la tin g reserv e stocks o f stra te g ic m a te ria ls f o r n a tio n a l d efen se w ere chiefly resp o n sib le fo r th e G o v e rn m e n t’s e n try in to th e im p o rt b u sin ess a t th is tim e. T h re e c o rp o ra tio n s— R u b b e r R eserve C o rp o ra tio n , M e ta ls R eserve C o m p an y , a n d D e fe n se S u p p lie s C o rp o ra tio n — o rg a n iz e d a s su b sid ia rie s o f th e R ec o n stru c tio n F in a n c e C o rp o ra tio n in th e su m m er o f 1940, w e re also g iv en th e n ecessary a u th o rity to p ro c u re a n d stock p ile s tra te g ic m a te ria ls fro m fo re ig n sources. P u r c h a s e s (in c lu d in g th e C C C e x ch an g e o f c o tto n f o r ru b b e r) c o n tin u e d d u r in g 1940 to be re la tiv e ly sm all ($40 m illio n ) in c o m p ariso n w ith to ta l U n ite d S ta te s p a y m e n ts f o r m e rch an d ise . I n 1941, how ever, such G o v e rn m en t p ro 27 e u re m e n t a b ro a d in crea se d to $422 m illio n , o r 12 p e rc e n t o f th e to ta l. T h e m a jo r p a r t o f th e G o v e rn m e n t’s p u rc h a sin g d u rin g th is p e rio d w as c o n c e n tra te d on ru b b e r a n d tin fro m th e F a r E a s t. T h e s w ift Ja p a n e s e in v asio n o f th e F a r E a s t c u t off p r a c tic a lly a ll o f o u r ru b b e r a n d q u in in e su p p lie s a n d n e a rly tw o -th ir d s o f th e su p p ly o f h a r d fibers a n d tin . A t th e sam e tim e , w a r p ro d u c tio n a n d c om b at o p e ra tio n s re s u lte d in m o u n tin g d e m a n d s f o r th ese com m odities. O th e r m a te ria ls, su ch as c o pp e r, lea d , a n d zinc, f o r w h ic h dom estic s u p p ly sources h a d been a d eq u a te to m ee t n o rm a l p re w a r d em a n d s, also .becam e scarce. S u p p ly deficiencies o bv iously h a d to be m et fro m one, o r a c o m b in a tio n , o f th re e p o ssib le sources— use o f su b stitu te s, in crea sed dom estic p ro d u c tio n , a n d in crea se d im p o rts. T h e la s t o fte n m e a n t fin d in g a n d d e v e lo p in g new a n d h ig h -c o st fo r e ig n sources. T o stim u la te th e p r o d u c tio n o f L a tin -A m e ric a n ru b b e r, f o r ex am p le, te c h n ic a l e x p e rts, m a c h in e ry , a n d to ols, as w ell as su b s ta n tia l p ric e in cen tives, w ere needed. S ince p r iv a te in d u s try n a tu r a lly w as u n ab le to finance such o p e ra tio n s, th e G o v e rn m en t fo u n d i t necessary to e x p a n d its fo re ig n p u rc h a se p ro g ra m to in c lu d e th e job o f e x p lo ra tio n a n d developm ent. A lso a c c o u n tin g f o r th e G o v e rn m e n t’s g re a tly in c re a sin g sh a re o f to ta l im p o rts fo llo w in g o u r e n tr y in to th e w a r w as th e n eed f o r cen tr a liz in g in d iv id u a l b u y in g p ro g ra m s in o rd e r to (1) a v o id p ric e in creases a ris in g fro m c o m p etitiv e b u y in g by p riv a te im p o rte rs, (2) secu re m a te ria ls cap a b le o f m ee tin g u n ifo rm a n d r ig id specifications, a n d (3) a lle v ia te sh ip p in g a n d o th e r tr a n s p o rta tio n difficulties. I n o th e r cases, la rg e-sca le p reclu siv e b u y in g o p e ratio n s by th e G o v e rn m e n t w ere necessary. T h e se in v o lv ed p u rc h a ses in n e u tr a l c o u n tr ie s ( p a rtic u la rly S w ed en , S p a in , P o r tu g a l, S w itz e rla n d , a n d T u rk e y ) to p r e v e n t su p p lie s fro m re a c h in g th e A x is. P re c lu siv e o p e ra tio n s, in m o st in sta n c es c a rrie d o u t jo in tly b y th e U . S. C om m e rc ia l C o m p an y (c re a te d w ith in th e R ec o n stru c tio n F in a n c e C o r p o ra tio n e xp ressly f o r th is p u rp o se ) a n d th e U n ite d K in g d o m C om m e rc ia l C o rp o ra tio n , w ere im p le m e n te d by th e W a r T ra d e A g re em e n ts, w h e reb y th e n e u tra ls p ro h ib ite d o r re d u ce d th e ir e x p o rts to A x is co u n trie s in r e tu r n f o r p e rm issio n to im p o rt e sse n tial su p p lie s th ro u g h th e A llie d blockade. T h e e sta b lish m e n t in 194-2 o f s tr ic t G o v e rn m e n t c o n tro l over v irtu a lly a ll im p o rts a n d o f a sy stem o f in te rn a tio n a l a llo ca tio n s by th e com bined b o a rd s o f scarce ra w m a te r ia ls a n d foodstuffs h e lp e d p ro v id e th e n ecessary o p e ra tin g b a c k g ro u n d fo r large-scale p u rch a se s Tabl e 6.— United, S ta te s G o ve rn m en t p a y m e n ts a b ro a d fo r n o n m ilita r y p u rch a ses, by m a jo r c o m m o d itie s a n d area s, [In m illio n s of dollars] C o m m o d ity T o t a l ____ A m ount M a jo r c o u n trie s C o m m o d ity C h ile . B r itis h M a la y a , N e t h e r la n d s I n d ie s . B o liv ia , B elg ia n Congo. A u s tr a lia , A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s. C an ad a. S u g a r ........ ......... W h e a t___ ____ F a t s a n d o ils ___ L e a d _________ M o la s s e s ._ ___ B u r la p _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Z i n c . . .......... ...... T u n g s te n _ _ _ _ _ _ O th e r _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 4,757 C o p p e r .......... R u b b e r .......... . 781 460 T i n ..................... F i b e r s _______ 298 285 A lu m in u m __ _ 256 A m ount 226 216 188 183 152 148 146 137 1,275 M a jo r c o u n trie s C uba. C an ad a. A r g e n tin a . M e x ic o. C uba. In d ia . M e xico . S p a in , C h in a . S o u rc e : U . S . D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e rc e , C le a rin g O ffice for F o re ig n T ra n s a c tio n s . 28 * by th e G o v e rn m en t c o rp o ra tio n s. S u c h p u rc h a ses g rew d u rin g 1942 to $979 m illio n a n d re a c h e d a p e a k a n n u a l r a te in 1943 o f $1,336 m illio n . N o m a rk e d decline o c cu rred u n til 1945, w h e n th e im p ro v e m e n t in th e g e n e ra l su p p ly situ a tio n a n d th e te rm in a tio n o f E u ro p e a n h o s tilitie s re s u lte d in a c o n sid erab ly re d u ce d volum e o f G o v e rn m e n t p u rc h a se s ($874 m illio n ) . T h e a c tu a l p u rc h ase a n d d e velo p m en t o p e ra tio n s o f th e c o rp o ra tio n s w ere d ire c te d b y o th e r G o v e rn m e n t agencies. A u th o r ity to d ire c t th e p u rc h a se o f in d u s tria l ra w m a te r ia ls w as d e le g ate d m a in ly to th e W a r P ro d u c tio n B o a r d a n d , to a lesser e x te n t, to th e A rm y a n d N a v y M u n itio n s B o a rd , w h ile re s p o n sib ility f o r su p e rv isin g fo re ig n fo o d p u rc h a se s w as a ssig n e d to th e W a r F o o d A d m in istra tio n . T h e p u rchase a u th o riz a tio n s w ere tr a n s m itte d to th e B o a r d o f E co n o m ic W a r fa re ( la te r th e Office o f E co n o m ic W a r f a r e a n d th e F o re ig n E c on o m ic A d m in is tr a tio n ) . A f te r final rev iew b y th e B o a rd o f E conom ic W a rfa re , th e d ire ctiv e s w ere tra n s m itte d to th e p ro c u rin g c o rp o ra tio n s. T h e m a jo r e x cep tio n to' th is p ro c ed u re w as th e p rec lu siv e -b u y in g p r o g ra m , f o r w h ich th e d ire ctiv e s o rig in a te d in a n d w ere th e sole re s p o n sib ility o f th e B o a r d o f E co n o m ic W a rfa re . P u rc h a se s in th e L a tin -A m e ric a n c o u n trie s, p a r tic u la r ly C h ile, M exico, B ra z il, C uba, a n d B o liv ia , accoun ted f o r a b o u t h a lf th e $4.8b illio n to ta l. M ore sig n ifica n t, such G o v e rn m en t p u rc h a ses a cc ou n ted fo r a p p ro x im a te ly o n e -th ird o f to ta l U n ite d S ta te s m e rc h an d ise p a y m e n ts to t h a t a re a d u r in g th e y e ars 1940-45. -L argely u n d e r th e stim u lu s o f th e G o v e rn m e n t’s b u y in g p r o g ra m , o u r im p o rts fro m th e 20 L a tin A m e ric a n R ep u b lics in crea se d fro m a n a n n u a l a v era g e o f $543 m illio n d u rin g 1936-38 to $1,317 m illio n in 1943 a n d $1,594 m illio n in 1944. O th e r m a jo r G o v e rn m e n t p u rc h a se s w ere m a d e in B ritis h E m p ir e c o u n tries, p a r tic u la r ly C a n a d a , I n d ia , C eylon, a n d A u s tr a lia , C h in a , a n d th e B elg ia n C ongo. G o v e rn m en t b u y in g a cc o u n ted f o r a b o u t oneh a lf th e to ta l U n ite d S ta te s m e rc h an d ise p a y m e n ts to th e B e lg ia n C ongo a n d I n d ia . F o r th e o th e r c o u n trie s, how ever, p a y m e n ts f o r G o v e rn m e n t p u rc h a se s re p re s e n te d a m u ch sm a lle r p o rtio n o f to ta l U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts. T h e acc om p lish m en ts o f th e G o v e rn m e n t’s fo re ig n -p u rc h a se a c tiv i tie s a re p e rh a p s m o re a p p a re n t in te rm s o f specific c om m odity p r o g ram s. A m o n g th e m a jo r com m odities p ro c u re d w ere v a rio u s m e ta ls a n d m in e ra ls, p rin c ip a lly co p p e r, a lu m in u m , tin , le ad , zinc, m a n g a n e se, m ica, a n d q u a rtz c ry sta ls ; foo d stu ffs, su ch a s su g a r a n d te a ; a n d ru b b e r, cin c h o n a b a rk , b u rla p , a n d n itr a te s . D iscu ssion o f each o f th ese in d iv id u a l p r o g ra m s w o u ld b e st illu s tr a te th e v a rie ty o f te c h n iqu e s em ployed by th e G o v e rn m e n t to p ro v id e m ax im u m im p o rts . T h e foreig n -p ro C u rem en t p ro g ra m s w ith resp ec t to ru b b e r a n d tin , how ever, a re e x cellen t exam ples n o t o n ly o f th e tec h n iq u es used b u t also o f th e possible p o s tw a r im p lic a tio n s o f th e G o v e rn m e n t’s w a rtim e p r o c u rem en t o p e ratio n s. B e fo re th e w a r, th e U n ite d S ta te s w as a lm o st e n tire ly d e p e n d e n t u p o n n a tu r a l ru b b e r su p p lie s, 97 p e rc e n t o f w h ich w ere im p o rte d fro m th e F a r E a s t. W ith th e o u tb re a k o f w a r a n d th e g r o w in g p o ssib ility t h a t th ese su p p lie s m ig h t b e c u t off, th e G o v e rn m e n t a ssu m ed th e job o f a c q u irin g a reserve stock p ile o f ru b b e r. T h e R u b b e r R eserve C o m p an y , c re a te d f o r th is p u rp o se in J u n e 1940, e n te re d in to a n a g ree m e n t w ith th e I n te r n a tio n a l R u b b e r R e g u la tio n C o m m ittee p r o 29 v id in g f o r th e a cc ele ra tio n o f ru b b e r e x p o rts to th e U n ite d S ta te s. I n J u n e 1941, th e C o m p an y becam e th e sole U n ite d S ta te s b u y e r o f F a r E a s te r n ru b b e r. A s a re s u lt o f th ese a ctiv itie s, o u r im p o rts o f ru b b e r fro m B ritis h M a lay a , th e N e th e rla n d s E a s t In d ie s, a n d F re n c h In d o -C h in a in crea se d fro m 478,000 lo n g to n s in 1939 to' 738,000 in 1940 a n d 943,000 in 1941 (see c h a r t 5 ). C h a rt 5 UNITED STATES S U P P L IE S OF R U B B E R (E X C E P T R ECLA IM ED ), 1 9 3 9 - 4 5 THOUSANDS OF LONG TONS S O U R C E O F D A T A : I M P O R T S , D E P A R T M E N T O F C O M M E R C E , B U R E A U O F T H E C E N S U S ; D O M E S T IC S Y N T H E T I C P R O D U C T IO N , C I V I L I A N P R O D U C T IO N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N . I n a d d itio n to a rr a n g in g f o r a stock p ile o f F a r E a s te r n ru b b e r, th e G o v e rn m en t m a d e a g ree m e n ts w ith th e L a tin -A m e ric a n c o u n trie s a n d w ith p r iv a te in te re sts in L ib e ria f o r th e p u rp o se o f s tim u la tin g ru b b e r p r o d u c tio n in th ese a reas. T h e L a tin -A m e r ic a n c o u n trie s h a d p ra c tic a lly a b an d o n e d th e ru b b e r in d u s try a f te r W o rld W a r I b e cau se o f th e ir in a b ility to com p ete w ith F a r E a s te r n p la n ta tio n ru b b e r. B y s u p p ly in g th e n ecessary te c h n ic a l a id a n d e q uip m e n t, b y g u a r a n te e in g a U n ite d S ta te s m a rk e t th ro u g h lo n g -te rm c o n tra c ts, a n d by c o n tro llin g c o n su m p tio n in th ese c o u n trie s, th e R u b b e r D e v elo p m en t C o rp o ra tio n (w h ic h to o k o v er th e fo re ig n p ro c u re m e n t a c tiv itie s o f R u b b e r R eserve C o m p an y as o f F e b ru a r y 23, 1943) succeeded in in c re a sin g U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts o f L a tin -A m e r ic a n w ild ru b b e r fro m 8,000 lo n g to n s in 1939 to 38,000 lo n g to n s in 1945. T h e se im p o rts, how ever, c om p en sated f o r o n ly a sm a ll p o rtio n o f th e loss in c u rre d th ro u g h th e Ja p a n e s e in v a sio n o f th e F a r E a s t. T h e m o u n tin g g a p b etw een d e c re asin g im p o rts o f n a tu r a l ru b b e r a n d in c re a sin g m ili t a r y re q u ire m e n ts w'as filled by th e p ro d u c tio n o f sy n th e tic a n d b y th e use o f rec laim e d ru b b e r. 30 C h a rt 6 UNITED STATES IM PORTS OF T IN , BY SOURCE, AND BY CLASSIFICATION A S REFINED OR ORES AND CO NCENTRATES, 1 9 3 9 - 4 5 M IL L IO N S O F P O U N D S -T IN CO NTENT 4001 1939 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 SOURCE OF DATA: D EPART M ENT OF COM MERCE, BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 31 T h e sy n th e tic ru b b e r in d u s try , p ra c tic a lly n o n e x iste n t in th e U n ite d S ta te s b e fo re th e w a r, w as also th e re s u lt o f G o v e rn m en t p la n n in g a n d fin a n c ia l b a ck in g . P ro d u c tio n in 1945 re a c h e d 820,000 to n s (see c h a r t 5 ) — a n a m o u n t 200,000 to n s in excess o f m ax im u m p re w a r n a t u ra l ru b b e r c o n su m p tio n in th e U n ite d S tate s. F o llo w in g th e en d o f th e w a r, th e re w as a g ra d u a l re d u c tio n in o u r L a tin -A m e ric a n ru b b e r-p ro c u re m e n t p ro g ra m . A t th e sam e tim e, th is c o u n try in c rea sed its p u rc h a se s o f o th e r L a tin -A m e r ic a n goods, th e p ro d u c tio n o r m o vem ent o f w h ich h a d been re s tr ic te d o r p r o h ib ite d d u r in g th e w a r p e rio d . T h e a d v e rse effects o f o u r sh a rp ly re d u ce d p u rc h a se s o f ru b b e r fro m th is source w ere th u s m inim ized . I t is q u ite e v id e n t th a t, f o r rea so n s o f n a tio n a l se cu rity , a t le a st a n u c le u s o f th e dom estic sy n th e tic ru b b e r in d u s try w ill be m a in ta in e d . I t is a n tic ip a te d , how ever, t h a t because o f e x p a n d e d uses o f ru b b e r p ro d u c ts th e U n ite d S ta te s w ill c o n tin u e to p ro v id e a m a jo r m a rk e t f o r F a r E a s te rn p la n ta tio n ru b b e r. T h e p ro b le m o f m ee tin g w a rtim e ti n req u irem e n ts w as sim ila r to t h a t o f ru b b e r. O u r e n tire req u irem e n ts w ere m e t b y im p o rts o f re fined tin , th re e -fo u rth s o f w h ic h cam e fro m th e F a r E a s t. T h e U n ite d K in g d o m su p p lie d m o st o f th e re m a in d e r. A s in th e case o f ru b b e r, th e in itia l a im o f th e G o v e rn m en t’s tin -b u y in g p ro g ra m w as to a c c u m u la te a sto ck p ile th ro u g h in crea se d im p o rts fro m th e F a r E a st. L a rg e ly as a re s u lt o f p u rc h a se s b y th e M etals R eserve C o m p an y , such im p o rts clim bed fro m 157 m illio n p o u n d s in 1939 to 287 m illio n in 1940 a n d 380 m illio n in 1941 (see c h a r t 6 ). F o llo w in g th e Ja p a n e s e in v asio n o f th is a rea , th e B e lg ia n C ongo, B o liv ia , a n d C h in a re m a in e d th e o nly p rim a ry sources o f ti n a v ailab le to th e A llies. F u rth e rm o re , th e G e rm a n conqu est o f B elg iu m in 1940 c u t off th e fa c ilitie s w h ere m o st o f th e B e lg ia n C ongo tin h a d n o rm a lly been sh ip p e d fo r sm eltin g . A t th e sam e tim e , th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s c a p a c ity f o r re fin in g B o liv ia n ores w as also th re a te n e d b y G e rm a n in v asio n . T h e U n ite d S ta te s, co m p le te ly la c k in g in tin -re fin in g fac ilitie s, w as c on seq u en tly in a p a r tic u la r ly v u ln e ra b le p o sitio n . F o r th is rea son , th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t, th ro u g h th e D efense P la n t C o rp o ra tio n , b u ilt a ti n sm e lte r, w h ich b e g a n o p e ra tio n s in th e m id d le o f 1942. O u r im p o rts o f ti n ore, p u rc h a se d b y th e G o v e rn m e n t u n d e r a llo ca tio n s b y th e C om b in ed R a w M a te ria ls B o a rd , re a c h e d a p e a k o f 82 m illio n p o u n d s (on a tin -c o n te n t b a sis) in 1944. A s in th e case o f ru b b e r, in c re a s in g im p o rts fro m o th e r th a n p re w a r sources fa ile d to offset th e loss o f F a r E a s te r n su p p lies. T h e n eed f o r su b stitu te s to fill a la rg e se gm en t o f b o th c iv ilia n a n d m ilita ry re q u ire m e n ts la rg ely acco u n ts f o r th e w a rtim e d e v e lo p m e n t o f th e U n ite d S ta te s p la stic in d u stry . R everse lend-lease .—F ro m S e p te m b e r 3, 1942, w h en th e in itia l re c ip ro c a l-a id a g re e m e n t wTas sig n e d w ith th e U n ite d K in g d o m , th ro u g h D ecem ber 31,1945, th e U n ite d S ta te s received $4,272 m illio n o f goods a n d n e a rly $3 b illio n o f services th ro u g h rev erse len d -lease c h a n nels. T h e e n tire a m o u n t (ex ce p t f o r re la tiv e ly sm all re ce ip ts fro m th e U n ite d K in g d o m a f te r V J - d a y , see below ) w as fu rn is h e d b y o u r A l lies as a c o n trib u tio n to th e com m on a im o f w in n in g th e w a r, a n d hence re q u ire d no p a y m e n t b y th e U n ite d S ta te s. A ll su ch s tr a ig h t r e verse lend-lease h a s th e re fo re been offset by c o rre sp o n d in g c re d its in th e u n ila te ra l accoun t. R ev erse len d -le ase a id w as fu rn is h e d a cc o rd in g to th e te rm s o f in 32 d iv id u a l re c ip ro c a l-a id a g ree m e n ts b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e A llies. T h e se a g ree m e n ts, by d e s ig n a tin g th e specific k in d s o f goods a n d services to be p ro v id e d to th e U n ite d S ta te s as rev erse len d lease, su p p le m e n ta l section I I o f th e len d -lease m a ste r a g re e m e n ts: “ T h e G o v e rn m e n t o f (th e o th e r sig n a to ry ) w ill c o n tin u e to c o n trib u te to th e d efen se o f th e U n ite d S ta te s o f A m eric a a n d th e s tre n g th e n in g th e re o f a n d w ill p ro v id e such a rtic le s, services, fa c ilitie s, o r in fo rm a tio n as i t m a y be in a p o sitio n to su p p ly .” T h e o rig in a l re c ip ro c a l-a id a g ree m e n ts covered chiefly a id ( in c lu d in g s h ip p in g a n d tr a n s p o r t services) to th e U n ite d S ta te s a rm ed forces overseas, a n d specifically ex clud ed p a y to U n ite d S ta te s tro o p s a n d ra w m a te r ia ls f o r e x p o rt to th e U n ite d S ta te s. I n N ovem ber 1943, how ever, th e U n ite d K in g d o m a g ree d to e x te n d rev erse le n d lease to in c lu d e ra w m a te ria ls, com m odities, a n d fo o d stu ffs p u rc h a se d fo r e x p o rt in th e U n ite d K in g d o m a n d th e B ritis h colonies b y o r on b e h a lf o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t agencies. A t th e sam e tim e , B ritis h s h ip p in g f o r th ese e x p o rts w as a lso m a d e a v a ila b le . S h ip p in g a n d o th e r services received as rev erse len d -le ase a re discussed else w here. Tabl e 7.— R e v e r s e len d -lea se go od s received , t>y m a jo r co u n tries a n d ty p e s o f goods, M ar. 11,191/1, th ro u g h S e p t, t, 191/5 [ I n m illio n s of dollars] C o u n tr y T o ta l O rd n a n c e A ir c ra ft and a n d ae ro o rd n a n c e n a u tic a l m a t e r ia l stores T anks and o th e r veh icles M isc e l la n e o u s m ilita r y e q u ip m ent A gric u l tu r a l, in d u s tr ia l a n d o th e r c o m m o d i tie s O th e r goods T o t a l . ____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 4,233 117 434 104 1, 350 1,879 349 B r itis h E m p i r e ___________ U n ite d K in g d o m a n d c o lo n ies----- ------------A u s tr a li a ...... .............. . 3,913 113 430 93 1,259 1,723 295 2,792 591 340 189 257 58 4 98 5 381 30 14 5 60 27 600 394 108 156 72 20 1,444 93 181 5 137 18 209 42 37 7 48 6 N e w Z e a la n d ....... .......... 10 4 6 10 4 Source: D e p a r tm e n t of th e T r e a s u r y , L e n d -L e a se F isc a l O p e ra tio n s, B u r e a u of A cc o u n ts. K c p o rt o n L e n d -L e a se F isc a l O p e ra tio n s, C u m u la tiv e th ro u g h A ug . 31, 1946. F ig u re s a d ju s te d in t h is ta b le to ex c lu d e e s tim a te d servic es. N o t e .— D e ta il w ill n o t n e c e ssarily a d d to to ta ls , b e c a u se of r o u n d in g . O f th e to ta l $4,272 m illio n o f goods received as rev erse lend-lease, a n a m o u n t in excess o f $4,100 m illio n w as consum ed a b ro a d b y o u r a rm ed force s, m a in ly in th e U n ite d K in g d o m a n d its colonies ($2,700 m illio n ), A u s tr a lia ($591 m illio n ), I n d ia ($200 m illio n ), F re n c h E m p ire ($257 m illio n ) , N ew Z e ala n d ($189 m illio n ) , a n d B elg iu m ($58 m illio n ) . N e a rly o n e -h a lf co n sisted o f o rd n a n c e, a ir c r a ft, ta n k s, p r o vision s, a n d o th e r m ilita ry su p p lie s ; th e re m a in d e r w as a cc ou n ted f o r chiefly b y g aso lin e, p e tro le u m , foo d stu ffs, a n d o th e r com m odities (see ta b le 7 ). T h e a p p ro x im a te ly $150 m illio n o f ru b b e r, te a , a n d o th e r goods im p o rte d in to th e U n ite d S ta te s cam e e n tire ly fro m B ritis h E m p ir e c o u n tries, p rin c ip a lly C eylon a n d I n d ia . T h e flow o f goods th ro u g h rev erse len d -lease c h an n e ls re ac h ed $540 m illio n b y th e end o f 1942. D u r in g each o f th e fo llo w in g 3 y e ars, goods tr a n s f e rr e d to th e U n ite d S ta te s o n th is b a sis a m o u n te d to $1.1 C5 33 b illio n , $1.2 b illio n , a n d $1.4 b illio n , respec tiv e ly . I n te rm s o f th e to ta l a m o u n t o f a ll m e rch a n d ise receiv ed fro m fo re ig n e rs, rev erse len d -le ase m o u n te d fro m 14 p e rc e n t in 1942 to 22 p e rc e n t in 1944 a n d 33 p e rc e n t d u r in g th e first h a lf o f 1945. Im m e d ia te ly fo llo w in g th e en d o f th e w a r, rev erse lend-lease on a s tra ig h t, o r n o n re im b u rsa b le , b a sis Avas officially te rm in a te d . U n d e r th e p ro v isio n s o f th e D ecem b er 6, 1945, w a r-a cc o u n ts se ttle m e n t b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e U n ite d K in g d o m , h o w ev er, th e U n ite d S ta te s c o n tin u e d to receive a n e stim a te d $130 m illio n o f goods a n d services in th e U n ite d K in g d o m rev erse lend-lease p ip e lin e as an offset a g a in s t th e $301 m illio n o f len d -lease p ip e -lin e tra n s fe rs to be p ro v id e d to th e U n ite d K in g d o m (see p . 2 4 ). M ilita ry purchases .— I n a d d itio n to th e goods a c q u ired fro m f o r e ign e rs b y G o v e rn m en t c o rp o ra tio n s a n d th ro u g h rev erse lend-lease c h an n e ls, G o v e rn m e n t m e rc h a n d ise p a y m e n ts f o r th e 6 -y e ar p e rio d 1940-45 in c lu d e $2,408 m illio n o f p u rc h a se s m ad e d ire c t b y th e A rm y a n d N avy. A lm o st o n e -h a lf th e $2,408 -m illio n to ta l rep re se n te d m u n itio n s p u rc h a se s in C a n a d a , a b o u t 70 p e rc e n t o f w h ich Avere im p o rte d in to th e U n ite d S ta te s. T h e re m a in d e r c on sisted o f m u n i tio n s, p ro v isio n s, fu e l, a n d o th e r su p p lie s a n d m a te ria ls, m o st o f w h ich Avere p u rc h a se d f o r c o n su m p tio n a b ro a d b y th e a rm e d forces. GroAvth in th e r a te o f d ire c t m ilita ry p u rc h a se s fro m $16 m illio n in 1940 to a p e a k o f $828 m illio n in 1943 obviously p a ra lle le d o u r in c re a sin g m u n i tio n s re q u ire m e n ts a n d th e m o v em en t o f U n ite d S ta te s tr o o p s a b road . W ith th e e x cep tio n o f a p p ro x im a te ly $65 -m illio n Avorth f o r Avhicli p a y m e n ts Avere m ad e in special m ilita ry c urre nc ie s, a ll p u rc h a ses w ere m a d e d ire c tly o r in d ir e c tly in U n ite d S ta te s d o lla rs. O u tsid e o f C a n ad a , w h ich received a b o u t o n e -h a lf o f a ll su ch d o lla r p a y m en ts, th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics, th e U n ite d K in g d o m , A u s tr a lia , a n d C h in a w ere m a jo r re c ip ie n ts. T h a t th e to ta l e x p e n d itu re s in c o u n trie s o th e r th a n C a n a d a w ere Ioav in re la tio n to th e h e av y c o n c e n tra tio n o f o u r tr o o p s overseas is e x p la in e d la rg e ly b y th e re c e ip t o f $4.3 b illio n o f m a te ria ls th ro u g h rev erse len d -le ase chan nels. T h e $65-m illio n w o rth o f p a y m e n ts in sp ec ia l m ilita r y cu rre n c ie s w e n t m a in ly to I ta ly , th e N e th e rla n d s, a n d F ra n c e . S ince e x istin g a g re e m e n ts in g e n e ra l lim ite d th e U n ite d S ta te s lia b ility fo r sp ecial c u rre n c y e x p e n d itu re s in th o se c o u n trie s to th e n e t a m o u n t u sed fo r tro o p p a y , such p u rc h a se s o f goods, lik e o th e r m iscellaneous d isb u rse m e n ts in sp ecial cu rre nc ie s, h a v e b een offset b y c o rre sp o n d in g c re d its in th e u n ila te ra l account. T h e discu ssion th u s f a r h a s been lim ite d to a b r ie f su m m ary o f th e m a jo r w a rtim e d e velo p m en ts in o u r in te rn a tio n a l m erch a n d ise acco u n t a n d o f th e G o v e rn m e n t’s role in re g u la tin g a n d c o n d u c tin g o u r Avartim e m e rc h a n d ise tra n sa c tio n s. A m o re c o m p reh en sive a n aly sis cov e rin g th e m ovem ent o f goods o n b o th G o v e rn m en t a n d p r iv a te accoun t is p re se n te d in th e folloAving section. T h e T r a n s i t i o n P e r i o d , 1 9 4 0 —4 1 S tim u la te d by d em a n d s a ris in g fro m th e w a r in E u ro p e , th e v a lu e o f goods fu rn is h e d b y th e U n ite d S ta te s to fo re ig n e rs in cre a se d fro m $3.3 b illio n in 1939 to $4.1 b illio n in 1940 a n d $5.3 b illio n in 1941. A t th e sam e tim e th e v a lu e o f goods su p p lie d to th e U n ite d S ta te s b y o th e r c o u n trie s shoAved a ste ad y , th o u g h less p ro n o u n c ed , in crease. I m p o rts 34 o f $2.7 b ilio n in 1940 a n d $3.5 b illio n in 1941 c o m p ared w ith $2.4 b illio n d u r in g 1939. B ecause th e rise in im p o rts w h ich o c cu rred d u r in g th ese y e a rs d id n o t keep p ace w ith th e rise in e x p o rts, n e t re c e ip ts due on m e rch a n d ise a cc ou n t m o u n ted in 1940 to $1.4 b illio n — th e h ig h e st b a la n ce re co rd e d since 1921. D u r in g 1941 th e excess o f goods su p p lie d in c rea sed over 1940 by $450 m illio n . T h is in crease, how ever, w as m o re th a n offset by th e fa c t t h a t $810 m illio n o f o u r e x p o rts c on sisted o f len d -le ase a n d o th e r goods re q u ir in g no fin a n cia l se ttle m e n t b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e fo r e ig n c o u n trie s rec e iv in g th e goods. N e t e x p o rts a g a in st cash a n d c re d it th u s d eclin e d to a p p ro x im a te ly $1 b illio n in 1941 (see ta b le 3 ). E x p o rts R e s p o n d to W a r D e m a n d s D e sp ite th e re stric tio n s im posed b y th e N e u tra lity A c t o f N ovem ber 1939, e x p o rts d u rin g th e o p e n in g q u a r te r o f 1940 re ac h ed a n a n n u a l r a te o f $4.3 b illio n , c o m p a re d w ith $2.8 b illio n d u r in g th e fir st q u a rte r o f 1939. M o st o f th e in crease w e n t to th e U n ite d K in g d o m , F ra n c e , a n d C a n a d a , w h ich w ere a lre a d y m a k in g p u rc h a se s o f w a r m a te r ia ls here. T h e G e rm an in v asio n o f w e ste rn a n d n o r th e r n E u ro p e in th e s p rin g o f 1940 a n d th e e sta b lish m e n t o f U n ite d S ta te s e x p o r t c o n tro l a few m o n th s la te r w ere la rg e ly resp o n sib le f o r a so m e w h a t red u ce d volum e o f e x p o rts d u rin g th e re m a in d e r o f 1940 a n d th e first q u a rte r o f 1941. A t th e sam e tim e , how ever, th e U n ite d K in g d o m in crea sed its im p o rts fro m u s as ra p id ly as its fin a n c ia l resources a n d o u r a b ility to su p p ly th e necessary goods w o u ld p e rm it. B y th e final q u a rte r o f 1940, o u r e x p o rts to tíre U n ite d K in g d o m w ere m o v in g a t a n a n n u a l r a te o f $1.2 b illio n as c o m p a re d w ith $710 m illio n d u r in g th e first q u a rte r. In c re a s in g C a n a d ia n p u rc h a se s h e re also c o n tin u e d to a cc ou n t f o r a r a p id ly ris in g sh a re o f o u r to ta l expoi’t tra d e . W ith th e p a ssag e o f th e L e n d -L e ase A c t on M a rc h 11, 1941, th e U n ite d S ta te s o p e n ly a llie d its w e lfa re w ith t h a t o f th e U n ite d K in g dom a n d o th e r c o u n trie s fig h tin g th e A x is. T h e lend-lease m ech an ism p ro v id e d th e m ean s b y w h ich v a st q u a n titie s o f goods could be p ro d u ce d a n d m ad e a v ailab le to h e lp th ese c o u n trie s— in m o st cases w ith o u t th e n ecessity f o r c o rre sp o n d in g fin a n c ia l se ttle m e n t. I n th e fin a l q u a rte r o f 1941, a b o u t o n e -q u a rte r o f o u r to ta l e x p o rts consisted o f len d -lease goods. T h e e x p a n sio n in th e fo re ig n d e m a n d f o r A m e ric a n goods w h ic h b e g a n in 1939 w as la rg e ly c o n c e n tra te d on m ilita r y e q u ip m e n t a n d o th e r finished m a n u fa c tu re s . T h e sh o rta g e o f m a n p o w e r a n d p r o d u c tiv e fa c ilitie s in th e U n ite d K in g d o m a n d o th e r c o u n trie s a ctiv e ly a t w a r n a tu r a lly m ad e i t a d v isab le t h a t m a x im u m q u a n titie s o f fin ish ed goods be o b ta in e d fro m o u tsid e sources, esp e cially th e U n ite d S ta te s, w h ic h w as m u ch b e tte r e q u ip p ed to m ee t su ch d em an d s. E x p o rts o f fin ish e d m a n u fa c tu re s , th e re fo re , rose s h a rp ly b o th on a n a bso lute b a sis a n d in re la tio n to o th e r m a jo r classes o f goods e x p o rte d . F in is h e d goods, in c lu d in g m a in ly m ilita ry e q uip m e n t, acco u n ted f o r tw o -th ir d s o f th e goods su p p lie d to o th e r c o u n trie s in 1941, com p a re d w ith o n e -h a lf in 1939. S im ila rly , o u r e x p o rts o f m a n u fa c tu re d fo o d stu ffs b e g a n in 1941 to show la rg e g a in s as th e b e llig e re n t c o u n trie s becam e in c re a sin g ly d e p e n d e n t u p o n u s f o r m ea ts, d a iry p r o d u c ts, d rie d eggs, a n d o th e r processed foods. T h e o th e r m a jo r 35 -change in th e n o rm a l co m m o d ity s tru c tu re o f U n ite d S ta te s e x p o r t tr a d e w as th e s h a rp d ro p b e g in n in g in 1939 in e x p o rts o f c ru d e m a te ria ls, p a r tic u la r ly tobacco a n d co tto n , refle c tin g th e h u s b a n d in g o f fo re ig n fin a n cia l reso u rces f o r even m o re e ssen tial p u rc h a ses h e re, a n d th e o c cu p a tio n b y th e A x is o f o u r fo rm e r E u ro p e a n m a r k e ts fo r th ese p ro d u cts. I n a d d itio n to in c re a sin g o u r e x p o rts to th e U n ite d K in g d o m , C a n a d a , a n d o th e r c o u n trie s a t w a r w ith th e A x is, we fu rn is h e d , b e g in n in g in 1939, a g ro w in g volum e o f goods to S o u th A m erica. T h is a rea , w h ich b e fo re th e w a r h a d been d e p e n d e n t o n E u ro p e fo r a la rg e p o rtio n o f its im p o r t re q u ire m e n ts, tu rn e d to th is c o u n try w h e n im p o rts a v ailab le fro m th e fo rm e r so urces w ere serio u sly r e d u c ed because o f th e w a r. D u r in g each o f th e 2 y e a rs 1939-40 th e v a lu e o f goods w h ich th e U n ite d S ta te s su p p lie d to S o u th A m eric a w as a c tu a lly in excess o f th e v a lu e o f o u r im p o rts fro m t h a t area. T h is w as a com p lete re v e rsa l o f o u r p r e w a r tr a d in g p o sitio n w ith S o u th A m eric a, w hich h a d c o n siste n tly p ro v id e d u s w ith m o re goods th a n w e su p p lie d , u s in g th e d o lla rs th u s e a rn e d to p a y f o r U n ite d S ta te s services a n d o th e r in v isibles a n d also to m ak e p u rc h a se s in o th e r co u n tries. O th e r n o te w o rth y c han g e s in th e d ire c tio n o f o u r e x p o rt tr a d e d u r in g th is p e rio d in c lu d e d th e c o m p lete cessatio n o f th e s u b s ta n tia l p r e w a r sh ip m e n ts to G e rm an y , th e s h a rp d ro p in e x p o rts to o th e r E u ro p e a n c o u n trie s as a re s u lt o f th e G e rm an in v asio n a n d th e A llie d block ad e, a n d a d ra stic re d u c tio n in e x p o rts to J a p a n fo llo w in g th e official fre e z in g in J u l y 1941 o f a ll U n ite d S ta te s com m ercial tr a n s a c tio n s w ith t h a t c o u n try , except b y sp ecial license. I m p o r ts S h o w M o d e r a te R is e S tim u la te d by th e m a rk e d in c rea se in d o m estic in d u s tria l p ro d u c tio n fo llo w in g th e o u tb re a k o f w a r in E u ro p e , o u r im p o rts rose fro m a n a n n u a l r a te o f $2.1 b illio n in th e t h ir d q u a r te r o f 1939 to a n a n n u a l r a te o f $2.8 b illio n d u r in g th e fo llo w in g 3 m o n th s. T h e fa c t t h a t im p o rts fell fro m th is level to $2.6 b illio n d u r in g 1940 m ay be a t tr ib u te d b o th to th e m o d e ra te d eclin e in d o m estic m a n u fa c tu rin g a c tiv ity w h ich o c cu rre d d u r in g th e first 4 m o n th s o f th e y e a r a n d to th e clo sin g o f s u p p ly sources in c o n tin e n ta l E u ro p e . A s o u r n a tio n a l d efen se p ro g ra m g a in e d m o m e ntum fo llo w in g th e G e rm a n in v a sio n o f F ra n c e a n d th e L o w C o u n trie s, th e p ro n o u n c ed re d u c tio n in o u r p u rc h a se s fro m c o n tin e n ta l E u ro p e becam e in c re a s in g ly offset b y o u r g r o w in g im p o rts fro m o th e r a re as, e sp ecially C a n a d a . L a tin A m e ric a, a n d th e F a r E a s t, a ll o f w h ich looked in c re a sin g ly to th e U n ite d S ta te s f o r m a rk e ts in p lac e o f th o se lo st in E u ro p e . D u rin g th e o p e n in g q u a r te r o f 1941, in fa c t, im p o rts w ere a t h ig h e r levels th a n in th e f o u r th q u a rte r o f 1939; a n d in th e fin al 3 m o n th s o f 1941 th e y re ac h ed an a n n u a l r a te o f $3.7 b illio n . I m p o r t s L a g in R e la t io n to N a tio n a l I n c o m e T h e a g g re g a te v a lu e o f o u r im p o rts d u r in g 1939-41, how ever, w as c o n sid e ra b ly below t h a t w h ich w ould n o rm a lly h av e been a n tic ip a te d on th e b a sis o f th e level o f n a tio n a l incom e d u r in g th e sam e p erio d . T h e re g re ssio n lin e s in c h a r t 7 in d ic a te in te rm s o f 1939 p ric es th e re la tio n s h ip s betw een each o f th e five m a jo r econom ic classes o f im p o r ts a n d th e n a tio n a l incom e d u r in g th e y e a rs 1921-38. O n th e b asis 36 o f th ese p re -w a r re la tio n sh ip s, i t w ill he n o te d t h a t ch an g es in n a tio n a l incom e h a v e been m o re stro n g ly a sso ciated w ith o u r p u rc h a ses a b ro a d o f c ru d e m a te r ia ls a n d sem i-finish ed a n d finished m a n u fa c tu re s th a n w ith o u r p u rc h a se s o f foo d stu ffs. I m p o rts o f foo d stu ffs a re re la tiv e ly in e la stic w ith re sp e ct to n a tio n a l incom e a n d d e p e n d , to a la rg e e x te n t, o n c ro p c o n d itio n s h e re a n d a b ro a d . C h a r t 7 a lso show s in te rm s o f 1939 p ric es im p o rts o f th e sam e m a jo r g ro u p s a n d n a tio n a l incom e d u r in g each o f th e 6 y e a rs 1939-45. D u r in g 1939, im p o rts o f a ll classes o f goods ex ce pt foodstuffs w e re below C h a rt 7 U N IT E D S T A T E S IM P O R T S F O R C O N S U M P T IO N S IN E C O N O M IC C L A S S E S , 1 9 3 9 P R IC E S , R E L A T E D T O N A T IO N A L IN C O M E IN 1939 D O LLA R S SOURCE OF IMPORT DATA: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE,BUREAU OF THE CENSUS NOTE: REGRESSION LINES WERE FITTED TO OATA FOR 1921-58. 37 w h a t one w o u ld ex p e ct on th e b a sis o f th e 1921-38 re la tio n s h ip b etw een im p o rts a n d incom e. I n th e c ourse o f th e fo llo w in g 2 y e a rs, o u r p u r chases a b ro a d , e x ce p t f o r c ru d e m a te ria ls a n d c ru d e foodstuffs, fe ll even f u r th e r below th e “n o rm a ls” c a lc u la te d on th is basis. I m p o rts o f c ru d e m a te ria ls, how ever, rose in 1940 to a level a lm o st c o n siste n t w ith o u r in c re a s in g incom e, a n d in 1941 to a p o in t c o n sid erab ly above t h a t level. T h e decline in im p o rts o f fin ish ed a n d sem i-finished m a n u fa c tu re s d u r in g 1940-41 w as acco u n ted f o r m a in ly by th e d ra stic c u rta ilm e n t o f sh ip m e n ts fro m c o n tin e n ta l E u ro p e , w h ich d u rin g th e p re w a r p e rio d h a d been a m a jo r source o f such im p o rts. O n th e o th e r h a n d , th e r a p id ly ris in g im p o rts o f cru d e m a te ria ls, e sp ecially ru b b e r, tin , cop: p e r, w ool, h id es a n d sk ins, a n d fu rs , cam e m a in ly fro m L a tin A m eric a a n d A sia. I n a d d itio n to m e e tin g c u rre n tly ris in g U n ite d S ta te s com m e rc ia l needs, th ese a re as, p a r tic u la r ly th e F a r E a s t, su p p lie d , b e g in n in g in 1940, la rg e q u a n titie s o f stra te g ic m a te r ia ls su ch as ru b b e r a n d tiir to G o v e rn m en t c o rp o ra tio n s e n g a g ed in a cc u m u la tin g re serv e stock p iles f o r n a tio n a l defense. F o r th e se reason s, im p o rts o f c ru d e m a te r ia ls rose n o t o n ly on a n a b so lu te b a sis b u t also in re la tio n to o th e r fo re ig n p u rch a se s, a c c o u n tin g in 1941 f o r 43 p e rc e n t o f to ta l im p o rts f o r c o n su m p tio n , c o m p are d w ith 31 p e rc e n t d u rin g th e y e a rs 1936-38. M ea su red b y th e D e p a rtm e n t o f C om m erce u n it-v a lu e in d ex , D ecem b e r 1941 im p o rt p ric es w ere 22 p e rc e n t above th o se f o r th e p e rio d 193638 (see c h a r t 10, p . 4 2 ), re fle ctin g th e g ro w in g sc a rc ity o f fo re ig n su p p lies in re la tio n to th e m o u n tin g d em a n d s o f w a r in d u s trie s a n d con su m ers w ith w a r-in fla te d incom es. U n i t e d S t a t e s i n t h e W a r , J a n u a r y 1 9 4 2 —J u n e 1 9 4 5 T h e $48.6 b illio n o f g oods w h ich w e su p p lie d to o th e r co u n tries d u r in g th e p e rio d J a n u a r y 1942 to J u n e 1945 reflected th e g ro w th o f a v a st w a r p ro d u c tio n p ro g ra m in th is c o u n try a n d th e e x te n t to w h ich w e w ere able to p ro v id e o u r A llie s w ith w a r m a te ria ls a n d o th e r goods n eed ed in th e fig h t a g a in s t th e A xis. O n th e o th e r h a n d , th e g re a tly in crea se d a m o u n t o f g oods—$18.2 b illio n — w h ich o u r A llie s a n d o th e r f rie n d ly c o u n trie s fu rn is h e d to u s over th e sam e p e rio d w as in d ic a tiv e o f th e ir re c ip ro c a l efforts to su p p ly e ssen tia l m a te ria ls f o r im p o rt in to th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d f o r c o n su m p tio n by o u r a r m e d fo rce s a b ro a d . T h e fa c t t h a t th e U n ite d S ta te s su p p lie d $30.4 b illio n o f goods in excess o f th e a m o u n t received c an be a ttr ib u te d to tw o m a jo r fa c to rs. F ir s t, fro m th e s ta n d p o in t o f resources, e q uip m e n t, a n d d ista n ce fro m th e c om b at a re as, o u r a b ility to p ro d u c e w as f a r su p e rio r to t h a t o f o u r A llie s ; second, b y e sta b lish in g th e len d -lease m echanism , we su b o rd i n a te d fin a n cia l c o n sid e ra tio n s to th e n e ed f o r m a k in g a v ailab le th e g o o ds w h ich o u r m o re a d v a n ta g e o u s p o sitio n e nab le d us to p rodu ce. T h e $30.4-billion excess o f e x p o rts d id n o t m e asu re th e c h an g e s in o u r fin a n c ia l p o sitio n on a cc ou n t o f m e rc h a n d ise tra n sa c tio n s. F o r th ese 3 1/ 2 y e a rs o u r e x p o rts r e q u ir in g d o lla r p a y m e n ts w e re a c tu a lly $1.8 b illio n below o u r c o rre sp o n d in g cash p u rch a se s a b ro a d (see ta b le 3 ). T h is is e x p la in e d b y th e fa c t t h a t o u r g ro w in g excess o f im p o rts fro m W e s te rn H e m isp h e re c o u n trie s c o n tin u ed d u r in g th e w a r to be fin an ced on a cash basis, w h ile th e tre m e n d o u s excess o f e x p o rts to E u ro p e co n sisted o f len d -lease a n d o th e r goods fu rn is h e d on a u n ila te ra l basis. 38 E x p o r t s a t R e c o r d L e v e ls A lth o u g h , d u rin g th e first few m o n th s o f o u r p a rtic ip a tio n in th e w a r, e x p o rts d eclin ed so m e w h a t fro m th e level re a c h e d in th e la s t q u a r te r o f 1941, th e y soon resum ed th e ir sh a rp a n d ste a d y rise as a re s u lt o f c o n s ta n tly in c re a s in g len d -lease sh ip m e n ts. A p e a k a n n u a l r a te o f $15.9 b illio n w a s re a c h e d in th e second q u a rte r o f 1944, w hen final p r e p a ra tio n s w ere b e in g m a d e f o r th e A llie d in v a sio n o f c o n ti n e n ta l E u ro p e . T h e slow b u t ste a d y d eclin e w h ich follow ed a n d con tin u e d th ro u g h th e first q u a r te r o f 1945 can be a ttr ib u te d e n tire ly to th e g r a d u a l re d u c tio n in o u r lend-lease sh ip m e n ts as th e d e m a n d s o f o u r A llie s f o r d u ra b le m ilita ry e q u ip m en t b e g a n to level off a n d th e tid e o f w a r s h if te d in o u r fav o r. T h e im p o rta n c e o f th e le nd-lease su p p ly m ech an ism over th e p e rio d d u rin g w h ic h th e U n ite d S ta te s w as a ctiv e ly a t w a r is in d ic a te d b y th e fa c t t h a t m o re th a n fo u r-fifth s o f o u r p e a k e x p o rts d u rin g th e second q u a r te r o f 1944 c on sisted o f lend-lease sh ip m en ts. O v e r th e sam e p e rio d th e a m o u n t o f goods su p p lie d th ro u g h n o rm a l com m ercial c h a n nels, lim ite d b y sca rc ities o f m a te r ia ls a n d s h ip p in g fa c ilitie s a n d b y o th e r w a rtim e re s tric tio n s, w as d ra s tic a lly red u ce d. D u r in g each o f th e y e ars 1943 a n d 1944 such c om m ercial sh ip m en ts acc ou n ted f o r only 16 p e rc e n t o f th e to ta l goods su p p lie d to o th e r c ou n tries. I n a d d itio n to rec o rd e d e x p o rts, goods m ad e a v aila b le to fo re ig n e rs d u r in g th e 3% y e a rs ended J u n e 30,1945, in c lu d e d $700 m illio n o f fo o d a n d o th e r c iv ilia n su p p lie s sh ip p e d by th e a rm e d services to lib e ra te d a n d occu pied a re a s b e g in n in g in th e su m m er o f 1944; $580 m illio n o f m a te r ia ls so ld fro m m ilita ry stocks o v e rse a s; a n d a s u b s ta n tia l a m o u n t o f o th e r goods m ad e a v a ila b le th ro u g h lend-lease a n d G o v e rn m en t c h an n els fro m o th e r oversea sources. T h e se tra n s fe rs b y G o v e rn m en t agencies, to g e th e r w ith th e v a st a m o u n t o f o th e r G o v e rn m e n t s h ip m e n ts in c lu d e d in th e official e x p o rt sta tis tic s (m a in ly lend-lease a n d sales o f com m odities b y G o v e rn m e n t c o rp o ra tio n s ), h a v e b een d is cussed in d e ta il in a p rev io u s section. S u c h G o v e rn m en t “ e x p o rts ” to ta le d $38.6 b illio n , o r 80 p e rc e n t o f a ll goods su p p lie d to fo re ig n e rs d u r in g th is 3 % -y e a r p e rio d . B ecause th e flow o f goods th ro u g h b o th G o v e rn m en t a n d p riv a te c h an n e ls w as d ic ta te d b y m ilita ry necessity, th e g e o g ra p h ic a l p a tte r n o f o u r e x p o rt tr a d e becam e ra d ic a lly d is to rte d . O bviously, th e m o st p re ss in g d e m a n d s f o r a id cam e fro m o u r tw o m a jo r A llie s, th e U n ite d K in g d o m a n d R u ssia. R e co rd e d e x p o rts to th e U n ite d K in g d o m , w h ic h in 1941 w ere a lre a d y m ore th a n th re e tim e s th e a v era g e fo r th e 3 y e a rs 1936-38, rose to a h ig h in 1944 o f $5.2 b illio n — a n a m o u n t over th re e tim e s th e 1941 level. E x p o rts to R u ssia show ed a n even g re a te r p ro p o rtio n a te in crease, h a v in g rise n fro m a n a v erag e a n n u a l r a te o f $49 m illio n d u r in g 1936-38 to a p e a k o f $3.5 b illio n in 1944. N o te w o rth y in crea se s also o c cu rred in sh ip m e n ts to o u r o th e r A llie s, p a r tic u la r ly C a n ad a , A u s tr a lia , a n d I n d ia . I t w ill be re c a lle d t h a t th e b u lk o f w a rtim e e x p o rts to th e U n ite d K in g d o m , R u ssia , A u s tr a lia , a n d I n d ia w ere m a d e a v aila b le as s tra ig h t, o r n o n re im b u rse a b le , lendlease, w h ile e x p o rts to C a n a d a c o n tin u ed to be financed o n a cash basis, even th o u g h som e w ere sh ip p e d th ro u g h lend-lease chan nels. A t th e sam e tim e t h a t e x p o rts to E u ro p e , C a n a d a , A sia , a n d O cean ia m oved in ra p id ly g ro w in g a m o u n ts, o u r sh ip m e n ts to L a tin A m eric a fa ile d to show a c o rre sp o n d in g in crease. T h e d e m a n d s o f th is a re a w ere m a in ly f o r o u r d u ra b le c iv ilia n goods, th e p ro d u c tio n a n d e x p o rt 39 o f w h ich w ere serio u sly r e s tric te d b y sh o rta g e s o f m an p o w er, te c h n ic a l p ro d u c tiv e fa c ilitie s , ra w m a te ria ls, a n d sh ip p in g fa c ilitie s . T h u s L a tin A m e ric a becam e th e o n ly m a jo r a re a w h ich d u r in g th e w a r s u p p lie d us w ith a n excess o f im p o rts. C h a rt 8 W ith referen c e to th e co m m o d ity co m p o sitio n o f o u r e x p o rt tr a d e , sh ip m e n ts o f finished m a n u fa c tu re s c o n tin u e d , as in th e e a rlie r p h a se o f th e E u ro p e a n w a r, to show th e m a jo r in crease. I n 1943 a n d 1944 such goods a cc ou n ted f o r a b o u t th re e -fo u rth s o f to ta l e x p o rts, com p a re d w ith a b o u t o n e -h a lf in th e y e a rs 1936-38. E x p o rts o f d ire c t m ili ta r y e q u ip m e n t— in c lu d in g m a in ly a ir c r a f t, ta n k s , vessels, a n d a m m u n itio n , c o m p a ra tiv e ly n e g lig ib le in p re w a r y ears— clim bed in 1942 to n e a rly $3 b illio n a n d a v e ra g e d $5.6 b illio n in 1943 a n d 1944. O th e r e sse n tial finished g oods w h ich th e U n ite d S ta te s fu rn is h e d its A llie s in g re a tly in c rea se d volum es in c lu d e d a ll ty p e s o f in d u s tria l m a c h in e ry , ir o n a n d steel m a n u fa c tu re s, te x tile s, a n d p e tro le u m p r o d ucts. A s o th e r c o u n trie s, p a r tic u la r ly th e U n ite d K in g d o m , becom e m ore d e p e n d e n t on us f o r e sse n tial c iv ilia n goods as w ell as w a r m a te ria ls, we c o n tin u e d to in crea se o u r e x p o rts o f processed fo o d stuffs, esp e cially m ea ts, ed ib le fa ts , d a ir y p ro d u cts, d rie d eggs, a n d d rie d a n d c an n ed f r u its a n d vegetables. E x p o rts o f ra w co tto n , to bacco, a n d o th e r m a jo r c ru d e m a te ria ls likew ise show ed s u b s ta n tia l in creases a f te r we e n te re d th e w a r, a lth o u g h , w ith th e ex ce p tio n o f coal, th e y d id n o t rise to p r e w a r levels. S h ip m e n ts o f coal, how ever, s tim u la te d b y C a n a d a ’s h e a v y w a r-p ro d u c tio n re q u ire m e n ts, c o n tin u ed to rise f a r above th o se d u r in g th e p re w a r p e rio d . I m p o r ts R e c o v e r A fte r I n it ia l S lu m p O u r im p o rts fe ll fro m a n a n n u a l ra te o f $3.7 b illio n in th e la s t q u a r te r o f 1941 to a n a n n u a l ra te o f a p p ro x im a te ly $3.1 b illio n d u rin g th e first 3 m o n th s o f 1942. T h is decline, w h ich c o n tin u e d u n til th e final q u a r te r o f 1942, w as n o t th e r e s u lt o f a n y re d u c tio n in o u r d e m a n d fo r goods p ro d u ce d a b r o a d ; o u r needs, especially th o se f o r ra w m a te ria ls to be used f o r w a r p ro d u c tio n , w ere m an y tim e s g r e a te r th a n in a ny 40 C hart 9 U N I T E D S T A T E S E X P O R T S O F D O M E S T IC M E R C H A N D I S E , B Y E C O N O M IC C L A S S E S , IN S E L E C T E D Y E A R S , 1 9 0 0 - 4 5 B IL L I O N S OF M A JO R DO LLARS 12 ----------------- ------------------------------------------------- —---- ——----------- 1900 19 10 1920 19 30 1940 1941 19 42 1943 1944 1945 SOURCE OF DATA DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. BUpEftU OF THE CENSUS. p rev io u s p e rio d . R a th e r, th e re d u c tio n in im p o rts w as cau sed m a in ly b y th e clo sing o f th e N e th e rla n d s In d ie s, B ritis h M a la y a, F r e n c h In d o C h in a , a n d o th e r o f o u r m a jo r su p p ly sources in th e F a r E a s t a n d by th e c u rta ilm e n t o f sh ip m en ts fro m o th e r a re a s as fa c ilitie s fo rm e rly used th e re fo r th e p ro d u c tio n o f e x p o rt goods w ere d iv e rte d to m ore e sse n tial pu rpo ses. O th e r lim itin g fa c to rs w ere th e sc a rc ity o f s h ip p in g fa c ilitie s a n d th e effects o f enem y su b m a rin e w a rfa re . L a rg e ly u n d e r th e stim u lu s o f th e G o v e rn m e n t’s fo r e ig n p ro c u r e m e n t a n d d ev e lo p m e n t p ro g ra m , how ever, th e p ro d u c tio n o f m a te r ia ls soon b e g a n to e x p a n d w ith in th e a re a re m a in in g open to A llie d tra d e . R ec orde d im p o rts in th e clo sing m o n th s o f 1942 th u s h a d s ta r te d a stea d y u p w a rd clim b, a n d by th e first q u a r te r o f 1945 th e y w ere flow ing in a t a f a ir ly c o n s ta n t a n n u a l ra te o f $4.1 b illion . T h e v a lu e o f im p o rts d u rin g th is p e rio d c a n n o t be discussed w ith o u t re fe ren c e to rises in th e p ric e s o f im p o rte d goods. A c co rd in g to th e D e p a rtm e n t o f C om m erce u n it-v a lu e in d ex , im p o rt p ric e s rose s h a rp ly in 1942 a n d 1943 a n d c o n tin u e d to m ove u p w a rd , th o u g h less ra p id ly , th ro u g h 1945. B y J u n e o f 1945, im p o rt p ric es as m e asu re d b y th is in d ex w ere 30 p e rc e n t above levels p re v a ilin g in D ecem b er 1911 (see c h a r t 1 0 ). T o o b ta in e sse n tial m a te ria ls, th e U n ite d S ta te s w as o fte n com p elled to p u rc h a se fro m e x trem ely h ig h -c o st fo re ig n p r o ducers. B ecau se o f th e existen ce o f p ric e c eilin g s in th e U n ite d S ta te s, p r iv a te im p o rte rs in m an y cases c ou ld n o t affo rd to p a y th e necessary h ig h p ric es p re v a ilin g fo r ru b b e r, tin , q u a rtz , a n d a n u m b e r o f o th e r com m odities. I n such cases, i t w ill be rec alle d , G o v e rn m en t c o r p o ra tio n s p u rc h a se d a n d im p o rte d th e goods, a n d reso ld th em a t a loss a t d o m estic p r ic e ceiling s. I n a d d itio n to officially rec o rd e d im p o rts, th e U n ite d S ta te s received fro m a b ro a d d u r in g th ese 3 y2 y e ars a la rg e v olum e o f o th e r goods, in c lu d in g $4.0 b illio n su p p lie d as c o n trib u tio n s u n d e r rev erse len d lease to U n ite d S ta te s a rm e d forces overseas, n e a rly $1.3 b illio n p u r ch ased a n d consum ed b y o u r a rm ed forces a b ro ad , a n d a su b s ta n tia l a m o u n t o f o th e r g o o ds p u rc h a se d a b ro a d by G o v e rn m en t agencies b u t 769155 — 48 - -4 41 C h a rt 1939 NOTE : 1940 1941 10 19 42 19 43 19 44 19 45 EXPORT UNIT VALUE INDEXEXCLUDES LEND-LEASEEXPORTS FOLLOWING 1941; FIGURES AVAILABLE ON AN ANNUAL BASIS ONLY. S O U R C E O F D A T A : E X P O R T A N O IM P O R T U N IT V A L U E IN D E X E S , D E P A R T M E N T O F C O M M E R C E , O F F I C E O F IN T E R N A T IO N A L _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ T R A D E ; U. S - W H O L E S A L E P R IC E IN O E X , D E P A R T M E N T O F L A B O R , B U R E A U O F L A B O R S T A T IS T IC S ._ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 7 - 3 0 1 n o t im p o rte d in to th e U n ite d S ta te s o r, fo r som e o th e r reaso n , n o t re p o rte d in th e official im p o rt sta tistic s. T h e se a d d itio n a l goods, to g e th e r w ith th o se p h y sic a lly im p o rte d b y th e G o v e rn m en t (m a in ly co m m o d ity p u rch a se s by G o v e rn m en t c o rp o ra tio n s a n d W a r D e p a r t m e n t a n d N a v y D e p a rtm e n t p u rc h a se s in C a n a d a ) , b ro u g h t th e to ta l o f goods a c q u ired d ire c t th ro u g h G o v e rn m e n t c h an n e ls to $10.1 b il lio n , o r 55 p e rc e n t o f th e $18.2-billion to ta l. D u rin g 1943, w hen G o v e rn m e n t e x p e n d itu re s a b ro a d f o r com m o d ities a n d f o r su p p lie s to m a in ta in o u r oversea fo rce s re ac h ed p e a k ra te s , goods a cq u ired by th e G o v e rn m en t a cc ou n ted f o r m o re th a n 60 p e rc e n t o f a ll m erch a n d ise received fro m o th e r c o u n tries. T h e loss o f E u ro p e a n su p p ly sources in 1940, a n d o f F a r E a s te r n a n d P h ilip p in e su p p ly sources in 1942, n a tu r a lly caused th e U n ite d S ta te s to look in c re a sin g ly to o th e r a re a s to su p p ly o u r g ro w in g in d u s tria l d em an d s. M a in ly as a re s u lt o f th e G o v e rn m e n t’s d e v e lo p m e n t a n d p u rc h a se o p e ra tio n s th e re , L a tin A m eric a c o n tin u ed to p ro v id e a c o n s ta n tly in c re a sin g a m o u n t o f goods f o r e x p o rt to th e U n ite d S ta te s. O u r im p o rts fro m th e 20 L a tin A m e ric a n R ep u b lics d u r in g th e first h a lf o f 1945 w ere a t a n a n n u a l r a te o f $1.6 b illio n — o v er th re e tim e s th e p re w a r figure. A n even m o re su b s ta n tia l in crea se w as re co rd e d f o r o u r im p o rts fro m C a n a d a , w h ich rose fro m $340 m illio n in 1939 to n e a rly $1.3 b illio n in 1944. T h e d ra s tic rise in th e flow o f goods b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d C a n a d a p ro v id e s a n excellen t in d ic a tio n o f th e e x te n t to w h ich b o th c o u n trie s c o o p e ra ted in th e com m on w a r effort. O th e r B ritis h E m p ir e c o u n trie s also p ro v id e d us w ith g re a tly in crea sed am o u n ts o f goods. T h e d eclin e in o u r rec o rd e d im p o rts fro m th e U n ite d K in g d o m w as offset m a n y tim e s by th e $2.8 b illio n o f rev erse len d -le ase g oo ds c o n trib u te d th ro u g h S ep tem b e r 1, 1945, to o u r a rm ed forces sta tio n e d th ere. A t th e sam e tim e , I n d ia , A u s tr a lia , a n d N ew Z e a la n d n o t o n ly in c rea se d th e ir sh ip m e n ts o f e sse n tial m a te ria ls to th e U n ite d S ta te s b u t also su p p lie d o u r tro o p s w ith la rg e a m o u n ts o f rev erse len d -lease goods. 42 C hart 11 im p o r ts C o n tin u e to D e c lin e in R e la tio n to N a tio n a l I n c o m e O u r rec o rd e d im p o rts in th e p e rio d d u rin g w h ich th e U n ite d S ta te s w as a c tiv ely a t w a r, lim ite d to goods w h ic h c ou ld be p ro d u c e d w ith in th e a re a s n o t u n d e r A x is d o m in a tio n a n d w h ich c o u ld be tr a n s p o rte d b y scarce s h ip p in g fa c ilitie s, d eclin ed even f u r th e r in re la tio n to th e size o f o u r n a tio n a l incom e th a n d u r in g 1940 a n d 1941 (see c h a r t 7 ). I n 1942 th e decline in c lu d e d a ll five m a jo r econom ic classes. A lth o u g h im p o rts o f finished m a n u fa c tu re s a n d o f m a n u fa c tu re d foo d stu ffs r e covered so m e w h a t a f te r 1942, th e y w ere, in 1945, s till f a r below n o rm a l levels c alc u la te d o n th e b a sis o f th e p re w a r re la tio n s h ip b etw een im p o rts a n d incom e in th is c o u n try . U n d o u b te d ly , o u r im p o rts o f fin ish e d m a n u fa c tu re s w ill c o n tin u e to re m a in below n o rm a l u n til E u ro p e a n s u p p ly sources c an be re c o n s tru c te d a n d /o r o th e r a re a s becom e sufficiently in d u s tria liz e d to m ee t o u r d e m a n d f o r th is ty p e o f goods. A lth o u g h in 1944 im p o rts o f c ru d e foo d stu ffs rose to c alc u la te d levels, th e y fe ll a g a in in 1945 to a p o in t below th e lin e o f reg re ssio n . C ru d e m a te ria ls, w h ich in 1941 w ere im p o rte d a t a r a te c on sid e ra b ly h ig h e r th a n w as c o n siste n t w ith th e level o f n a tio n a l incom e d u rin g t h a t y e a r , show ed th e sh a r p e st re la tiv e d ro p , refle ctin g th e Ja p a n e se in v asio n o f im p o r ta n t su p p ly in g a re a s in th e F a r E a s t. I m p o rts o f b o th c ru d e m a te ria ls a n d sem im a n u fa c tu re s c o n tin u ed to decline in re la tio n to n a tio n a l incom e th ro u g h 1944. A lth o u g h , in 1945, th e re w as a s lig h t re co v e ry in im p o rts o f c ru d e m a te ria ls a n d a so m e w h a t la r g e r re v iv a l o f im p o rts o f se m im a n u fa ctu re s, b o th classes c o n tin u e d to re m a in f a r below w h a t m ig h t h a v e b een a n tic ip a te d on th e b a sis o f th e c o rre sp o n d in g level o f o u r n a tio n a l incom e. I m p o rts o f c ru d e m a te r ia ls — by f a r th e m o st im p o r ta n t g ro u p of com m o d ities f o r w h ich th e U n ite d S ta te s is d e p e n d e n t u p o n fo re ig n su p p ly sources— w ere, th ro u g h o u t 1942-45, f a r below 1941 levels on a n a b so lu te b asis, as w ell as in re la tio n to n a tio n a l incom e. P a r ti c u la r ly n o te w o rth y w as th e v irtu a lly com p lete c essation o f silk im p o r ts a n d th e d ra s tic re d u c tio n in im p o rts o f cru d e ru b b e r. T h e $33 m illio n o f ru b b e r im p o rte d in 1943 m a y be c o m p are d w ith $418 m illio n in 1941, w h e n th e G o v e rn m en t m ad e h e a v y sto c k -p ilin g p u rc h a ses b e fo re th e loss of B ritis h M ala y a , th e N e th e rla n d s In d ie s, a n d F re n c h In d o c h in a . A t th e sam e tim e t h a t im p o rts o f ru b b e r a n d ra w silk d eclin e d so a b ru p tly , how ever, im p o rts o f som e o th e r c ru d e m a te r ia ls 43 w ere g re a tly accelerated . T h e se in c lu d e d m a in ly w ool, n o n fe rro u s ores a n d c o n c en tra tes, a n d in d u s tria l d iam o n d s, a ll o f w h ich w ere e ssen tial f o r p ro d u c in g e q u ip m e n t f o r o u r ow n a rm e d forces a n d th o se o f o u r A llies. M a jo r c han g e s in th e c om m o d ity co m p o sitio n o f im p o rts n o t c las sified as c ru d e m a te r ia ls w ere h e av y in crea se s in im p o rts o f coffee, w h e at, co p p e r, a lu m in u m , lead , nick e l, lu m b e r, a n d m ilita ry e q u ip m e n t a n d p ro n o u n c ed red u ctio n s in im p o rts o f tin , c o tto n a n d w oolen m a n u fa c tu re s , a n d b a n a n a s. T h e f a c t t h a t m a jo r in creases w ere con fined to th o se c o m m o d ities im p o r ta n t f o r w a r p ro d u c tio n o r c iv ilia n use reflects th e effectiveness o f m easu res a d o p te d b y th e G o v e rn m en t to e x pe d ite th e inflow o f e ssen tial m a te r ia ls a n d foo d stu ffs a t th e expense o f re d u c in g n o n essen tia l im p o rts, such as b a n a n as. C h a rt T r a n s itio n F r o m 12 W a r t o P e a c e , J u l y 1 9 4 5 —D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 5 T h e su rre n d e r o f G e rm a n y in M ay 1945, a n d o f J a p a n o n ly a fewT m o n th s la te r, h a d a n im m e d iate a n d d ra stic effect u p o n o u r in te r n a tio n a l m e rc h a n d ise tra n sa c tio n s. A f te r th e end o f th e E u r o p e a n w a r, sh ip m e n ts to o u r A llie s w ere red u ce d sh a rp ly a n d we d iv e rte d o u r m a jo r e n erg ies to th e jo b o f w in n in g v ic to ry in th e P acific. W h e n th is w as a ccom plished i t obv iously w as no lo n g er necessary f o r th e U n ite d S ta te s to c o n tin u e su p p ly in g its A llie s w ith th e m ean s o f w a g in g w a r. L e nd -lease a id , ex ce p t f o r goods a lre a d y in th e p ip e lin e , w as officially te rm in a te d as o f Y J -d a y . T h e re a fte r, fo re ig n c o u n trie s w ere re q u ire d to p a y in cash, e ith e r im m e d ia te ly o r onT a d e fe rre d basis, f o r len d -lease p ip e -lin e goods, a n d f o r a ll o th e r U n ite d S ta te s goods ex cep t th o se d ire c te d to th e re lie f a n d r e h a b ilita tio n o f lib e ra te d a n d occu pied a reas. T h e G o v e rn m e n t’s p o s tw a r fo re ig n le n d in g p ro g ra m , w h ich h e lp e d fo re ig n c o u n trie s to o b ta in th e d o l la rs necessary f o r e sse n tial p u rc h a se s h e re d u rin g th e tr a n s itio n p e rio d , is discussed elsew here. W ith in th is ra d ic a lly a lte re d fra m e w o rk , th e v a lu e o f g oo ds su p p lie d to fo re ig n e rs fe ll fro m $7.4 b illio n in th e first 6 m o n th s o f 1945 to 44 $4.9 b illio n d u rin g th e la s t h a lf o f th e y e ar. A t th e sam e tim e, th e ces sa tio n o f rev erse len d -lease caused a $600-m illion decline in th e v a lu e o f goods a c q u ired fro m fo re ig n sources. E v e n th o u g h o u r n e t b a l ance on m e rc h an d ise a cc ou n t d r o p p e d fro m $4.2 b illio n in th e first h a lf o f th e y e a r to $2.2 b illio n , th e re w as a s h if t fro m a n e g a tiv e cash tr a d e b a la n c e o f $36 m illio n to a p o sitiv e cash b a la n c e o f $892 m il lio n (see ta b le 3 ). E x p o r ts D e c lin e A b r u p tly - ' S T h e f a ll in o u r e x p o rts fro m a n a v era g e m o n th ly ra te o f $1,070 m illio n in A p r il a n d M ay o f 1945 to a n a v erag e o f $880 m illio n d u r in g J u n e a n d J u ly re s u lte d a lm o st e n tire ly fro m a re d u c tio n in sh ip m ents on lend-lease accoun t. I n A u g u st, th e re w as a co n sid e ra b le d e clin e in com m ercial as w ell as len d -le ase sh ip m e n ts. T h e sh a rp e st d ro p , how ever, o c cu rred im m e d ia te ly fo llo w in g Y J-c la y a n d th e v i r tu a lly com p lete te rm in a tio n o f s tr a ig h t lend-lease. O u r e x p o rts d u rin g O c to b e r ($455 m illio n ) w ere lo w er th a n in a n y p re v io u s m o n th since S e p te m b e r 1941. U n d e r th e stim u lu s o f h e av y re lie f a n d re c o n stru c tio n d e m a n d s in E u ro p e , e x p o rts show ed a p ro n o u n c e d reco v ery in th e la s t 2 m o n th s o f 1945. I n a d d itio n to th e fa s t-g r o w in g a m o u n t o f goods m o v in g th ro u g h n o rm a l com m ercial ch an n els, th e re w ere th e m o u n tin g tr a n s fe rs o f foo d a n d o th e r c iv ilia n su p p lies re p re s e n tin g c o n trib u tio n s to th e U n ite d N a tio n s R e lie f a n d R e h a b ilita tio n A d m in istra tio n . S uc h U N R R A sh ip m en ts— re la tiv e ly n e g lig ib le in th e e a rly m o n th s o f 1945— a m o u n te d to m o re th a n $90 m illio n in D ecem ber. A m o d e ra te recovery in lend-lease sh ip m en ts also a cc ou n ted f o r p a r t o f th e m a rk e d rise in re co rd e d e x p o rts d u rin g N ovem ber a n d D ecem ber. T h e se s h ip m en ts c onsisted a lm o st e n tire ly o f p ip e -lin e c iv ilia n -ty p e goods w h ich , f o r th e m o st p a r t, w ere b e in g m ad e a v a ila b le on c re d it te rm s (see p. 2 3 ). T h o u g h m a n y G o v e rn m en t w a rtim e e x p o rt c o n tro ls w e re re la x e d fo llo w in g V J -d a y , i t w as s till n o t possib le f o r o th e r c o u n trie s to o b ta in a ll th e A m e ric a n goods th e y d e sire d , even i f th e y h a d possessed am p le fin a n c ia l resources. M an y goods c o n tin u ed to be scarce. R ec o n v er sion o f U n ite d S ta te s in d u s try c ou ld n o t be a cco m p lish ed o v e rn ig h t, a n d a tre m e n d o u s dom estic a n d fo re ig n d e m a n d h a d a cc u m u la te d fo r goods w hose p ro d u c tio n h a d been sto p p e d o r c u rta ile d d u r in g th e w a r. T o m ee t th e m o st u r g e n t d em a n d s h e re a n d a b ro a d , i t w as n ecessary f o r th e G o v e rn m en t to m a in ta in a c o n sid e ra b le n u m b e r o f e x p o rt con tr o ls th ro u g h th e end o f 1945. A n in crea se in e x p o rts on p r iv a te ac c o u n t o f $500 m illio n d u r in g th e second h a lf o f 1945, how ever, in d ic ate d t h a t th e tr a n s itio n fro m w a rtim e to p eacetim e tr a d in g r e la tio n sh ip s w as a lr e a d y w ell u n d e r w a y b y th e e n d o f 1945. D e sp ite th e d ra stic re d u c tio n in th e G o v e rn m en t m e rc h an d ise a c c o u n t fo llo w in g th e te rm in a tio n o f s tr a ig h t lend-lease, th e m a g n itu d e o f o th e r G o v e rn m en t fo r e ig n p ro g ra m s in d ic a te d t h a t G o v e rn m en t tr a n s a c tio n s w ould c o n tin u e to a cc ou n t f o r a la rg e p o rtio n o f th e to ta l a m o u n t o f g oods su p p lie d to o th e r c ou n tries. I n a d d itio n to sh ip p in g a r a p id ly g ro w in g volum e o f re lie f su p p lies a b ro a d f o r d is tr ib u tio n by U N R R A , th e G o v e rn m en t c o n tin u ed th ro u g h th e U n ite d S ta te s A rm y to su p p ly la rg e a m o u n ts o f e sse n tia l c iv ilia n su p p lie s to p r e v e n t disease a n d u n re s t in lib e ra te d a n d occupied a reas. M oreov er, b y th e e n d o f 1945, th e G o v e rn m en t h a d ju s t b e g u n th e job o f d isp o sin g o f su rp lu s 45 w a r p r o p e r ty lo c a te d a b ro a d h a v in g a n e stim a te d o rig in a l co st of $10.8 b illio n . M o st o f th e d eclin e in e x p o rts d u r in g th e second h a lf o f 1945 w as a cc o u n ted fo r by red u ce d sh ip m e n ts to th e U n ite d K in g d o m a n d R u ssia , th e tw o la rg e s t w a rtim e re c ip ie n ts o f U n ite d S ta te s goods. A s a re s u lt o f th e d isc o n tin u an c e o f s tr a ig h t len d -lease, e x p o rts to R u ssia h i t a low o f $6 m illio n in N ovem ber o f 1945, c o m p a re d w ith $342 m il lio n in M ay o f th e sam e y e a r. A lm o st as p re c ip ito u s w as th e d ro p in re c o rd e d sh ip m e n ts to th e U n ite d K in g d o m — fro m $290 m illio n in M ay to $34 m illio n in N ovem ber. O th e r re la tiv e ly la rg e red u ctio n s o c cu rre d in e x p o rts to A u s tra lia a n d to I n d ia , w h ich d u rin g th e w a r h a d been rec e iv in g s u b s ta n tia l volum es o f len d -le ase goods. A t th e sam e tim e t h a t o u r sh ip m e n ts to th e m a jo r A llie d c o u n trie s w e re so d ra s tic a lly red u ce d , th e re w as a slow b u t stea d y in crea se in th e v a lu e o f goods b e in g sh ip p e d to o th e r a re a s— p a rtic u la rly c o n tin e n ta l E u ro p e a n d th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics. A la rg e p o rtio n o f th e in crease in sh ip m e n ts to c o n tin e n ta l E u ro p e c o n sisted o f re lie f c o n trib u tio n s (m a in ly fo o d ) th ro u g h U N R R A to C zechoslovakia, P o la n d , Y u g o sla v ia , I ta ly , a n d G reece. , N a tu ra lly , th e m o st o u ts ta n d in g c h a n g e in th e c om m odity s tru c tu re o f o u r e x p o rts d u r in g th e second h a lf o f 1945 w as th e d eclin e in s h ip m e n ts o f d ire c t m ilita ry e q uip m e n t. S u c h sh ip m e n ts d r o p p e d fro m a n a n n u a l r a te o f $3,250 m illio n in th e first q u a rte r o f 1945 to a n n u a l ra te s o f $1,200 m illio n d u rin g th e t h ir d q u a rte r a n d $40 m illio n in th e fin a l 3 m o n th s o f th e y e a r. E x p o rts o f o th e r fin ish e d m a n u fa c tu re s— m a in ly m a c h in e ry , vehicles, ir o n a n d steel p ro d u c ts, a n d p e tro le u m — re g iste re d less sh a rp , th o u g h su b s ta n tia l, declines as d e m a n d s f o r w a r p ro d u c tio n a n d c om b at re ac h ed a m in im u m . F in ish e d g o o ds (in c lu d in g m ilita ry e q u ip m e n t) acco u n ted f o r o n ly 50 p e rc e n t o f to ta l re co rd e d e x p o rts in th e la s t q u a r te r o f 1945, c o m p ared w ith 73 p e rc e n t in th e first q u a r te r o f th e y e ar. O n th e o th e r h a n d , o u r re co rd e d e x p o rts o f foo d stu ffs, stim u la te d b y th e h e a v y re lie f d e m a n d s a b ro a d , rose m a rk e d ly , h e a v y sh ip m e n ts o f w h e a t a n d flo u r ($175 m illio n in th e la s t q u a rte r) m ore th a n com p e n sa tin g f o r re d u ce d e x p o rts o f m e a t a n d d a ir y p ro d u c ts. N e v e rth e less, th e in crease in rec o rd e d fo o d e x p o rts d u rin g th e la s t h a lf o f 1945 w as m o re th a n offset b y th e d eclin e in u n re c o rd e d m ilita ry fo o d s h ip m e n ts (fro m a p p ro x im a te ly $400 m illio n in th e first h a lf o f th e y e a r to a b o u t $250 m illio n d u rin g th e la s t 6 m o n th s ), a s re lie f re s p o n sib ili tie s in a ll ex ce pt o ccupied a re a s w ere g r a d u a lly s h ifte d to U N R R A o r to th e g o v e rn m e n ts o f th e c o u n trie s concerned. O th e r n o te w o rth y ch an g e s in th e c o m p o sitio n o f o u r e x p o rts in th e la s t h a lf o f 1945 w ere th e in crea se d sh ip m en ts o f c o tto n a n d coal, also to fill E u ro p e a n r e h a b ilita tio n needs. I m p o r ts C o n tin u e N e a r W a r tim e R a te T h e en d o f h o s tilitie s h a d no im m e d ia te effects u p o n o u r re co rd e d m erch a n d ise im p o rts. O n a n o v e r-a ll b asis, im p o rts in th e second h a lf o f 1945 w ere o n ly a b o u t $100 m illio n less th a n in th e first h a lf . B e g in n in g in S e p te m b e r a n d c o n tin u in g th ro u g h D ecem ber, how ever, th e re w as a m o d e ra te decline, as som e re q u ire m e n ts o f a s tric tly w a r tim e n a tu re w ere te rm in a te d a n d c om m o d ities re q u ire d f o r c iv ilia n use w ere n o t im m e d ia te ly a v ailab le. O u r im p o rts o f d ire c t m ilita ry e q u ip m en t, fo r ex am p le, m o st o f w h ich h a d been su p p lie d b y C a n a d a , fe ll 46 “ ' fro m $71 m illio n in th e second q u a r te r to o n ly $7 m illio n d u r in g th e fin a l q u a r te r o f 1945. I n c o n tr a st w ith th e m o d e ra te d eclin e in re co rd e d im p o rts , th e re w as a v e ry su b s ta n tia l re d u c tio n in g oo ds a c q u ire d a b ro a d By th e G o v e rn m e n t b u t n o t im p o rte d in to th e U n ite d S ta te s. G oods received as reA^erse len d -lease d eclin ed b y n e a rly $800 m illio n in th e second h a lf o f th e y e a r, re fle ctin g th e p o s t- V J -d a y te rm in a tio n o f a ll rev erse lendlease e xcept t h a t received fro m th e B ritis h as a n offset a g a in s t U n ite d S ta te s len d -le ase p ip e -lin e sh ip m e n ts. A lth o u g h th e declin e in r e c eip ts o f rev erse len d -lease goods w as p a r tly c o m p en sated f o r b y a n in c re ase in m ilita ry cash p u rc h a se s f o r m a in te n a n c e o f o u r oversea tro o p s, th e re w as a n o v e r-a ll re d u c tio n o f $700 m illio n in th e a m o u n t o f goods a cq u ired a b ro a d by th e G o v e rn m e n t a n d a decrease of $600 m illio n in th e to ta l v a lu e o f m e rc h an d ise receiv ed th ro u g h b o th G o v e rn m e n t a n d p r iv a te ch an n els. F ro m a g e o g ra p h ic sta n d p o in t, th e m a jo r c h a n g e in o u r re co rd e d im p o rts fo llo w in g th e end o f h o s tilitie s w a s th e re d u c tio n in im p o rts fro m C a n ad a . I m p o rts fro m t h a t c o u n try b e g a n a slow b u t ste a d y decline in th e su m m er o f 1945, m a in ly as a re s u lt o f th e s h a rp ly red u ce d sh ip m en ts o f m ilita ry e q u ip m e n t; b y D ecem b er o u r to ta l im p o rts fro m C a n a d a a m o u n ted to o n ly $71 m illio n , c o m p a re d w ith $109 m illio n in A p r il. T h e s u b s ta n tia l re d u c tio n in o u r im p o rts fro m th e 20 L a tin A m e ric a n R ep u b lics (fro m $155 m illio n in A u g u st to $102 m illio n in D ecem ber o f 1945) w a s la rg e ly a cc ou n ted f o r b y th e decline in sh ip m en ts o f C u b a n s u g a r fo llo w in g a h e a v y m o v e m e n t in th e e a rlie r p a r t o f th e y e a r a n d in c rea se d allo ca tio n s b y th e C om b in ed F o o d B o a rd to c o u n trie s o th e r th a n th e U n ite d S ta te s. P e r h a p s m o re sig n ific a n t th a n th e d eclin e in s h ip m e n ts o f C a n a d ia n a n d L a tin -A m e r ic a n g oo ds to th e U n ite d S ta te s w as th e in itia l re v iv a l o f im p o rts fro m lib e ra te d c o u n trie s in th e F a r E a s t (th e P h ilip p in e s, B r itis h M a la y a , a n d th e N e th e rla n d s In d ie s ) a n d in E u r o p e (B e lg iu m a n d th e N e th e rla n d s ). S h ip m e n ts fro m th e E u ro p e a n n e u tr a ls , se ri o usly c u r ta ile d d u rin g th e Avar, also show ed a m a rk e d re co v e ry d u rin g th e la s t h a lf o f 1945. W ith re fe re n c e to th e c o m m o d ity s tru c tu re o f o u r im p o rt tr a d e in th e m o n th s fo llo w in g th e e n d o f h o s tilitie s, th e s h a rp ly re d u ce d im p o rts o f m ilita ry e q u ip m en t h a v e a lre a d y been m en tio n ed . T h e v e ry m o d e ra te rise rec o rd e d f o r im p o rts o f o th e r fin ish ed m a n u fa c tu re s w as acco u n ted f o r b y in crea se d sh ip m e n ts o f a v a rie ty o f goods, in c lu d in g clocks a n d w a tc h es fro m S w itz e rla n d a n d c o tto n a n d Avoolen m a n u fa c tu re s fro m th e U n ite d K in g d o m a n d fro m c o n tin e n ta l E u ro p e . E x c e p t f o r foodstuffs, o th e r m a jo r econom ic classes o f im p o rts shoAved little c h a n g e d u rin g th e second h a lf o f 1945. M a in ly because o f th e red u ce d sh ip m en ts o f C u b a n su g a r, im p o rts o f foo d stu ffs Avere a b o u t $100 m illio n below th o se d u r in g th e first 6 m o n th s o f th e y e ar. O u tlo o k T h e p ro b a b le effects o f W o rld W a r I I u p o n th e f u tu r e b alance-ofp a y m e n ts p o sitio n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s h a v e been discu ssed a t som e le n g th in c h a p te r Y . S in c e th e o v erw h e lm in g p o rtio n o f p a y m e n ts b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d o th e r c o u n trie s stem s fro m m e rc h a n dise tra n s a c tio n s, th e d iscu ssion in c h a p te r V a p p lie s p a r tic u la r ly to f u tu r e U n ite d S ta te s in te rn a tio n a l tr a d in g re la tio n sh ip s. 47 E x p e rie n c e d u r in g 1946 a n d th e first p a r t o f 1947 h a s in d ic a te d th e g r e a t e x te n t to w h ic h th e re s t o f th e w o rld , e sp ecially E u ro p e , h a s been, a n d c o n tin u e s to be, d e p e n d e n t on A m e ric a n f a r m p ro d u c ts, ra w m a te ria ls , a n d in d u s tria l eq u ip m e nt. I n M ay 1947, rec o rd e d U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts m oved a t a n a n n u a l r a te o f $17.4 b illio n , o r only v e ry slig h tly below th e p e a k w a rtim e r a te o f $17.5 b illio n re co rd e d in M ay 1944. O n th e o th e r h a n d , fo r e ig n sh o rta g e s caused b y w a rtim e d e v a s ta tio n a n d th e m a x im u m use o f a v a ila b le su p p lie s f o r re lie f a n d rec o n stru c tio n h a v e serio u sly re s tr ic te d th e volum e o f goods a v ailab le fo r e x p o rt to th e U n ite d S ta te s. O u r rec o rd e d im p o rts d u r in g M a rc h 1947 w ere, on a n a n n u a l b asis, a b o u t $10.5 b illio n below o u r rec o rd e d e x p o rts. F o r th e m o st p a r t, th e h u g e e x p o rt su rp lu s w as b ein g financed b y G o v e rn m e n t lo n g -te rm c re d its a n d b y sp ec ia l C ongressio n a l g ra n ts . P re s e n t in d ic a tio n s a re t h a t a id w ill be re q u ire d f o r som e tim e to com e i f o th e r c o u n trie s a re to o b ta in even th e m in im u m a m o u n t o f U n ite d S ta te s goods re q u ire d to fee d th e ir p e op le a n d re s to re th e ir p ro d u c tiv e c ap acities. I n th e lo n g ru n , o f course, U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts m u st be in crea se d c o n sid e ra b ly in o r d e r t h a t o th e r c o u n trie s m a y e a rn th e d o lla rs neces sa ry to m ee t th e ir h e av y d e b t o b lig a tio n s to us a n d a t th e sam e tim e c o n tin u e to b u y th e p ro d u c ts th e y n eed f o r c u rre n t use. I f incom es in th is c o u n try c o n tin u e to be m a in ta in e d a t h ig h levels, som e in crease in im p o rts is c e rta in . A s dom estic m a te ria ls, la b o r, a n d p ro d u c tiv e fa c ilitie s becom e d iv e rte d to th e p r o d u c tio n o f goods w h ich m ake p o s sible a h ig h e r s ta n d a rd o f liv in g (as au to m o b iles in th e 1920’s ) , o th e r c o u n trie s p re su m a b ly w ill be c alled u p o n to su p p ly th e d e m a n d fo r m o re b a sic ty p e s o f goods, su ch as ra w m a te r ia ls a n d foodstuffs. T h is d e v e lo p m e n t w o u ld be c o n sisten t w ith th e lo n g -ru n tr e n d in U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts w h e reb y c ru d e m a te r ia ls a n d se m im a n u fa c tu re s h a v e c o n stitu te d a g ro w in g p o rtio n , a n d fin ish ed m a n u fa c tu re s a d e c lin in g sh a re , o f o u r fo re ig n p u rc h a se s. T h e d e p le tio n o f o u r n a tu r a l resources— esp ecially p e tro le u m , co p p e r, h ig h -g ra d e ir o n ore, lea d , a n d zinc—w a s g re a tly a cc elerated d u rin g th e w a r y e ars. T h is fa c t f u r th e r p o in ts to o u r in c re a sin g depen d en ce u p o n fo r e ig n sources o f ra w m a te ria ls. U ltim a te ly , th e in crea se in su ch im p o rts m a y m oi’e th a n com p ensate f o r th e red u ce d im p o rts o f th o se p ro d u c ts f o r w h ich su b stitu te s w ere developed d u rin g th e w a r. W h e th e r o r n o t o u r f u tu r e im p o rts o f foo d stu ffs w ill show a n y su b s ta n tia l in crea se is la rg e ly d e p e n d e n t on th e e x te n t to w h ic h h ig h in d u s tria l w ages w ill red u ce o u r su p p ly o f a g r ic u ltu ra l la b o r, a n d also u p o n a n y s h if ts w h ich m ay occur in o u r n a tio n a l fo o d -co n su m p tio n p a tte r n . S in ce th e b e g in n in g o f th e w a r, f o r ex am p le, th e re h a s been a n o ticea b le in crease in coffee c o n su m p tio n ; th e re m ay be o th e r d e ve lo p m e nts w h ic h m a y cause a n in crea se in im p o rts o f som e foo d p ro d u cts. A lth o u g h over a lo n g p e rio d o f tim e , fin ish e d m a n u fa c tu re s h a v e c o n stitu te d a d e c lin in g p o rtio n o f o u r a g g re g a te fo r e ig n p u rch a se s, th is does n o t p re c lu d e a s u b s ta n tia l in crea se in o u r im p o rts o f th is ty p e o f goods. T h e w a r a n d p o s tw a r re c o n stru c tio n h a v e led to a m o d e rn iz a tio n o f in d u strie s in m a n y c o u n tries. I n th e n o t-to o -d ista n t f u tu re , th ese c o u n trie s m a y becom e re la tiv e ly b e tte r e q u ip p ed to s u p p ly c e r ta in U n ite d S ta te s d e m a n d s f o r fin ish ed p ro d u cts. M oreover, h ig h dom estic incom es a re a ssociated w ith h e av y d e m a n d s f o r im p o rte d sp e c ia lty a n d lu x u ry -ty p e goods, such as te x tile s, p e rfu m e s, je w e lry , 48 < <■* K a n d c h in a w a re . T h is w o u ld allo w fo r a. s u b s ta n tia l in crea se in o u r im p o rts fro m E u ro p e , w h ich in th e p a s t h a s been th e m a jo r su p p ly source f o r such item s, a n d also fro m o th e r c o u n trie s w h e re th e su p p ly o f sk ille d la b o r is a b u n d a n t in re la tio n to th e su p p ly o f ra w m a te r ia ls a n d c a p ita l equip m ent. T h e a m o u n t o f d o lla rs m ad e a v a ila b le to o th e r c o u n trie s th ro u g h o u r m e rc h a n d ise im p o rts w ill also be d e te rm in ed , as in th e p a s t, by a n u m b e r o f o th e r c o n sid eratio n s. P a r a m o u n t a m o n g th ese a re th e in te rn a tio n a l p o litic a l outloo k, o u r ta rif f policies, th e effectiveness o f e x ch an g e re s tric tio n s a n d o th e r tr a d e co n tro ls, th e d e g ree to w h ich exch an ge ra te s re p re se n t th e a c tu a l re la tiv e v alu es o f th e v a rio u s m one ta r y u n its, th e s ta b ility o f exch an ge ra te s, a n d th e e x te n t to w h ich th e p r o d u c tiv ity o f th e re s t o f th e w o rld c an be re s to re d a n d in creased . S h o u ld th e U n ite d S ta te s fa il to m ake a v ailab le a n in c re a sin g v o l um e o f d o lla rs th ro u g h its p u rc h a se s a b ro ad , o th e r c o u n trie s w ill h av e no a lte rn a tiv e b u t to re in fo rc e th e re s tric tio n s w h ich a lre a d y h a m p e r th e fre e flow o f w o rld tra d e . A m o n g th e fo rem o st objectives o f th e B re tto n W o o d s in s titu tio n s , th e A n g lo -A m e ric a n F in a n c ia l A g re e m en t, a n d th e p rop o se d I n te r n a tio n a l T ra d e O rg a n iz a tio n , how ever, is th e p ro m o tio n o f a h ig h level o f w o rld tr a d e on a m u ltila te ra l basis by co o p e rativ e in te rn a tio n a l a c tio n d e sig n e d to m inim ize th e forces w h ich in th e p a s t h av e te n d e d to p re v e n t ach iev em en t o f th is objective. M oreover, th e n e g o tia tio n o f rev ise d U n ite d S ta te s re c ip ro c a l tr a d e a g ree m e n ts w h ich w ere discu ssed a t G eneva d u r in g th e su m m er o f 1947 w ill be a n o th e r ste p in f a c ilita tin g th e e xch an ge o f g oods betw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d o th e r c ou n tries. T h e T r a n s p o r ta tio n A c c o u n t 2 T o m eet th e g r e a t w a rtim e d e m a n d f o r s h ip p in g len d -le ase a n d com m ercial goods overseas, a n d to fill th e g a p caused by A llie d s h ip p in g losses, th e A m e ric a n m e rc h a n t m a r in e w as e x p a n d e d by 1945 to m o re th a n fo u r tim e s its 1939 size. T h e c a r ria g e o f a h ig h p ro p o rtio n o f m ilita ry e q u ip m en t a n d o th e r fin ish ed m a n u fa c tu re s (re q u irin g m o re sp ace p e r to n th a n lo w -v alu e g oo ds) in a d d itio n to o th e r w a rtim e services ta x e s th e c a p a c ity o f th e m e r c h a n t fleet, p a r tic u la r ly a f te r 1942. _ R is in g ra te s re s u lte d in h ig h f r e ig h t revenues. F r e ig h t e a rn e d by A m e ric a n o p e ra to rs on len d -lease goods, th o u g h p a id b y th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t r a th e r th a n b y th e fo re ig n rec ip ie n ts, w as n e v e r th eless tr e a te d as a re c e ip t in th e tr a n s p o rta tio n a cc ou n t o f th e balance o f p a y m e n ts b u t w as e q u a lly offset in th e u n ila te ra l account. C alc u la te d e a rn in g s on lend-lease c arg o th u s sw elled th e to ta l tr a n s p o rta tio n re ce ip ts, w h ich rose s h a rp ly fro m $403 m illio n in 1940 to $689 m illio n in 1942, a n d $1,309 m illio n in 1945. T o ta l tr a n s p o rta tio n p a y m e n ts to fo r e ig n c o u n trie s fe ll fro m $334 m illio n in 1940 to $263 m illio n in 1942, a n d rose to $420 m illio n in 1945. T h e decline in th e e a r lie r y e a rs w as d u e m a in ly to th e d ecrease in oceanf r e ig h t p a y m e n ts w h ich a cco m p an ied th e s h a rp d ro p in th e to n n a g e o f ocean-borne im p o rts c a r rie d b y fo re ig n vessels. T h e in crease in th e 1942-45 p e rio d w as th e re s u lt p r im a r ily o f ra p id ly ris in g p o r t ex p en d i2 T h e tr a n s p o r ta tio n a c c o u n t w a s th e re s p o n s ib ility o f J o h n S. S m ith s u c c e e d e d i n S e p t e m b e r 1 9 4 6 b y R o c k w o o d Q. P . C h i n ; A r n o l d B . P a y n e p r e p a r in g th e e s tim a te s . u n til h e w as a s s i s t e d in 49 lu re s o f A m e ric a n sh ip s in fo re ig n p o rts (in c lu d in g rev erse len d -lease p o r t e x p e n d itu re s ). E x c lu d in g tra n s a c tio n s f o r w h ich no p a y m e n ts w ere m ad e, cash r e c e ip ts rose m o d e ra te ly fro m $403 m illio n in 1940 to $670 m illio n in 1945, w h ile c ash p a y m e n ts o v er th e sam e p e rio d d r o p p e d fro m $334 m illio n to $285%nilIion. N e t cash re c e ip ts th u s rose fro m $69 m illio n in 1940 to $385 m illio n in 1945. T h e se n e t re c e ip ts re p re s e n te d a re v e rs a l fro m th e p re w a r tr e n d o f n e t p a y m e n ts, w h ich a v e ra g e d $85 m illio n in th e 1936-38 p e rio d . C o m p o s itio n o f th e T r a n s p o r ta tio n A c co u n t I n te r n a tio n a l tra n s p o rta tio n service item s in th e U n ite d S ta te s b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts c o n sist o f re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts on th e ocean, G re a t L ak es, a ir, a n d ra il accoun ts (see a p p e n d ix B , ta b le I ) . R ec eip ts in c lu d e e a rn in g s b y U n ite d S ta te s c a rrie rs on f r e ig h t e x p o rte d to o r c a rrie d b etw een fo re ig n c o u n trie s, e x p e n d itu re s o f fo re ig n c a rrie rs in U n ite d S ta te s te r r ito r y , fa re s p a id b y fo re ig n p a ssen g ers on A m e ric an sh ip s o r a ir lines, a n d c e r ta in e a rn in g s th ro u g h r a il o p eratio n s. P a y m e n ts in c lu d e f r e ig h t e a rn in g s b y fo re ig n c a rrie rs on goods im p o rte d by th e U n ite d S ta te s, e x p e n d itu re s o f U n ite d S ta te s c a rrie rs a b ro a d , fa r e s p a id b y A m eric a n s tr a v e lin g on fo re ig n sh ip s o r a ir lin es, a n d c e rta in r a il p a y m en ts. C h a r t 13 show s th e m a g n itu d e a n d v a ria tio n s o f th e m a jo r c om p o n e n t p a r ts o f th e tr a n s p o r ta tio n account. E a rn in g s in th e ocean a cc ou n t a re by f a r th e m o st im p o r ta n t source o f tr a n s p o rta tio n re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s b alan ce o f p a y m en ts. T h e size o f ocean f r e ig h t e a rn in g s is d e te rm in e d by th re e p r in c ip a l fa c to rs— th e to n n a g e a n d co m m o d ity co m p o sitio n o f e x p o rts a n d im p o rts , th e p ro p o rtio n o f tr a d e c a rrie d in U n ite d S ta te s vessels, a n d th e level o f f r e ig h t ra te s. * W a r tim e E x p a n s io n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s M e rc h a n t M a rin e D u r in g th e decade 1930-39 th e A m e ric a n fleet a cc ou n ted fo r, on th e a verag e, 15.2 p e rc e n t o f th e w o rld ’s g ro ss to n n a g e o f ocean g o in g sh ip p in g .3 B etw een 1939 a n d 1945, w h ile th e m e r c h a n t fleet to n n a g e o f th e o th e r p r in c ip a l m a ritim e c o u n trie s g e n e ra lly declined, th e U n ite d S ta te s to n n a g e e x p a n d e d fro m 8.7 m illio n g ross to n s to 36.2 m illio n . T h e se to n n a g e s re p re se n te d 14.4 p e rc e n t a n d 52.2 p e rc e n t o f th e w o rld to ta ls, as seen in ta b le 8. Ta bl e 8.—M e rc h a n t to n n a g e o f p rin c ip a l m a r itim e co u n trie s, 1939 a n d 19 //51 [I n m illio n s o f gross tons] C o u n tr y J u n e 30, 1939 8 .7 18.8 G e r m a n y ................................. N e th e r la n d s ________ _____ 4. G 4 .0 3. 2 2 .7 J u n e 30, 1945 C o u n tr y 3G.2 15.8 2.8 1.1 .4 1.6 U n ite d S ta te s p e r c e n t J u n e 30, 1939 J u n e 30, 1945 2 .7 10. G 1.1 8 .8 60.6 69.3 14.4 52.2 . 1 V essels of 1,000 gross to n s o r o v e r. U n ite d S ta te s -o w n e d to n n a g e u n d e r le nd -le ase is re p o rt e d a s p a r t of th e to n n a g e of th e c o u n trie s o p e ra tin g it. S ou rc e: C a rlso n , K . E ., a n d L y tz e n , G ., P o s tw a r S h ip p in g , F o re ig n C o m m e rc e W e e k ly , F e b . 2 3 ,194G, p . 4 (U . S . D e p a r tm e n t of C o m m e rc e p e rio d ic a l). 3 V e s s e ls o f 1 0 0 g r o s s t o n s o r o v e r . ( A g r o s s t o n i s a c a p a c i t y m e a s u r e m e n t — 1 0 0 c u b ic f e e t e q u i v a l e n t t o 1 t o n — o f e n c lo s e d s h i p p i n g s p a c e a v a i l a b l e f o r c a r g o , s t o r e s , _ p a s s e n g e r s , c re w , p r o p e llin g m a c h in e r y , a n d n a v ig a ti o n s p a c e s .) S ee L e a g u e o f N a tio n s , W o rld E c o n o m ic S u r v e y , 1 9 3 9 - 4 1 , G e n e v a , 1 9 4 1 , p . 2 4 5 ; a n d T h e P o s t w a r O u t lo o k f o r A m e r i c a n S h i p p i n g ( a r e p o r t s u b m i t t e d t o t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s M a r i t i m e C o m m i s s io n b y t h e P o s t w a r P la n n in g C o m m itte e ) J u n e 1 5 , 1 9 4 6 , p . 1 0 7 , A n n e x C. 50 C hart 1 3 TRANSPO RTATIO N ACCOUNT: TOTAL AND GASH TRANSACTIONS, 1 9 4 0 - 4 5 TO TAL T R A N S A C T IO N S C A S H T R A N S A C T IO N S MILLIONS OF DOLLARS MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 6 0 0 4 0 0 200 0 1400 ,4 0 0 R E C E IP T S R E C E IP T S 1,200 1 ,2 0 0 PASSENG ER FA R ES 1 ,0 0 0 ,000 R A IL R E C E IP T S 8 0 0 8 0 0 eoo PASSENG ER 4 0 0 iS 200 «4 1940 41 4 2 4 3 4 4 45 1940 41 42 4 3 4 4 45 47-299 N o te .— F r e i g h t a n d p o r t e x p e n d i t u r e ite m s a r e p r e d o m i n a n t l y o n o c e a n a c c o u n t, b u t in c lu d e s m a ll s u m s f o r tr a n s a c tio n s r e s u ltin g f r o m G re a t L a k e s a n d a ir tr a n s p o rta tio n . R a il re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts r e f e r to f r e ig h t o n ly . P assen g e r f a r e s in c lu d e o c e a n a n d a ir , b u t n o t G r e a t L a k e s a n d r a il, w h ic h a r e in c o rp o r a te d in th e tra v e l e s tim a te s . 51 M o re th a n h a lf o f th e A m e ric a n fleet in th e re c e n t w a r w as e ngaged in tra n s p o rtin g m ilita ry c a rg o f o r th e A rm y a n d N a v y .4 A s th e volum e o f a ll ty p e s o f sh ip m e n ts e x p a n d e d , sh o rta g e s o f sp ace dev el oped, a c c en tu ate d in 1942 a n d 1943 b y A m e ric a n losses a n d losses o f fo re ig n fleets h ith e rto a ctiv e in c a rry in g U n ite d S ta te s tr a d e .5 T h e lim ite d a v a ila b ility o f s h ip p in g space w as a m a jo r c o n sid e ra tio n d e te r m in in g th e volum e a n d d ire c tio n o f th e flow o f tr a d e . S h ip p in g w as d iv e rte d to im p o r ta n t w a r a re a s a n d used f o r services e ssen tial to th e w a r effort. W h e re v e r possible, su p p lie s f o r th e a rm e d forces w ere p u r ch ased fro m n e a rb y fo re ig n sources. E c o n o m iz in g o f s h ip p in g space w as also e v id e n t in su ch m easures as h e av y lo a d in g , su p p re ssio n o f none sse n tial traffic, re s o rt to d e h y d ra tio n a n d com p ression o f foods, a n d th e len d -lease e x p o rt o f foo d stu ffs fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s to re p lac e a p a r t o f th e u s u a l B ritis h p u rc h a se o f foo d stu ffs fro m m o re d is ta n t c o u n tries, su ch a s A u s tr a lia a n d A rg e n tin a . T r a d e T o n n a g e a n d C o m m o d ity C o m p o s itio n T h e ocean-borne c a rg o to n n a g e o f U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts in th e w a r y e a rs 1942-45 a v era g e d o n ly 10 p e rc e n t h ig h e r th a n th e correspondingto n n a g e in th e p r e w a r y e a rs 1936-39, d e sp ite th e sp e c ta c u la r in crease in v a lu e o f e x p o rts d u rin g th e w a r. E x p o r t to n n a g e s a n d v alu es f o r th e tw o p e rio d s a re show n in ta b le 9. Tabl e 9.— A verage, a n n u a l to nn a g e, va lu e, a n d v a lu e p e r to n o f U n ited S ta te s o ce a n -d o m e e x p o rts , 1936-39 a n d 191/2-45 I te m Q u a n tit y ____ ____ ____________ .......... ......................... m illio n lo n g to n s .. V a lu e : P e r t o n _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ ........................... .............. ........... d o lla r s .. 1936-39 41.1 2,758 67 1942-45 45.1 9,339 207 H ig h e r e x p o rt p ric es in g e n e r a l6 p a r tly e x p la in th is pheno m enon, b u t o f f a r g re a te r im p o rta n c e w as th e c han g e in th e c om m odity com po sitio n o f e x p o rts. T h e w a rtim e s h if t to a g re a te r p ro p o rtio n o f m a n u fa c tu re d goods re s u lte d in in crea se d e x p o rt v alu es w ith o u t c o rre sp o n d in g ch an g e s in o v e rall w e ig h t. I n 1938, fin ish e d m a n u fa c tu re s w ere o n ly 50 p e rc e n t o f th e v a lu e o f to ta l U n ite d S ta te s e x p o r ts ; in 1940, 60 p e rc e n t; a n d in 1942-45, close to 75 p e rc e n t on th e a verag e. L e n d lease e x p o rts, w h ich acco u n ted f o r a la rg e p o rtio n o f th ese fin ish ed m a n u fa c tu re s, h a d a m u ch g r e a te r v a lu e p e r to n th a n com m ercial e x p o rts because th e y co n sisted m a in ly o f m ilita ry e q u ip m en t a n d su p p lies, in d u s tria l e q u ip m e n t a n d com m odities, a n d m u n itio n s. A lth o u g h th e to ta l w e ig h t o f e x p o rts in 1942-45 w as n o t sig n ifica n tly la r g e r th a n in 1936-39, a n in crea se in fre ig h t- p a y a b le t o n s 7 accom p a n ie d th e in crea se in th e r a tio o f fin ish ed m a n u fa c tu re r s to to ta l v a lu e o f e x p o rts. 4 T h e U n ite d S ta te s M e rc h a n t M a rin e a t W a r. R e p o rt o f th e W a r S h ip p in g A d m in is tr a to r to th e P re s id e n t, W a s h in g to n , J a n u a r y 15, 1 9 4 6, p p. 1 8 -1 9 . F r e ig h t o n s h ip m e n ts to th e a r m e d fo rc e s d o e s n o t e n te r th e b a la n c e o f in te r n a tio n a l p a y m e n ts . 5 B y t h e e n d o f 1 9 4 3 , t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s h a d l o s t 3 .3 m i l l i o n g r o s s t o n s o f s h i p p i n g , a n d t h e U n i t e d K in g d o m , 1 1 .6 m i l l i o n . 6 A c c o r d in g to t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e rc e m o n th ly u n it- v a ln e in d e x f o r e x p o r ts (b y a ll f o r m s o f t r a n s p o r t a t i o n ) , t h e a v e r a g e m o n t h l y i n d e x i n 1 9 4 2 - 4 5 w a s 1 .5 4 t i m e s t h a t i n 1 9 3 6 -3 9 . 7 F r e i g h t - p a y a b l e t o n n a g e t a k e s i n t o a c c o u n t t h e s p a c e o c c u p ie d b y a c o m m o d i ty , o r i t s s to w a g e f a c to r . R a t e s a r e o f t e n q u o t e d ( a ) b y t o n r a t e s w / m — w e i g h t o f , g e n e r a l l y , 2 ,2 4 0 p o u n d s o r m e a s u r e o f 4 0 c u b ic f e e t ; o r ( b ) b y c e n t s p e r c u b ic f o o t o r c e n t s p e r 1 0 0 p o u n d s (a ls o a w e ig h t o r m e a s u re q u o ta tio n ) . T h e o p e r a to r h a s th e o p tio n to c h a rg e w h ic h e v e r r a t e y ie l d s t h e g r e a t e r r e v e n u e . I n t h e c a s e o f a n a u t o m o b i l e , w h i c h u s u a l l y o c c u p ie s a t l e a s t 2 5 0 c u b ic f e e t p e r t o n o f w e i g h t , t h e c h a r g e w o u l d b e a b o u t s i x t i m e s t h e r a t e n o r m a l l y c h a r g e d o n s o m e c o m m o d i ty o c c u p y i n g 4 0 c u b ic f e e t p e r t o n o r l e s s . 52 T h e p ra c tic e o f assessm ent o f fre ig h t c h a rg e s a cc o rd in g to space r a th e r th a n w e ig h t, in th e case o f goods o c cu p y in g m o re th a n 40 cubic fe e t p e r to n , is a m o re im p o r ta n t rea so n th a n in crea sed f re ig h t ra te s (see below ) fo r th e s h a r p in crease in g ross fre ig h t e a rn in g s d u r in g th e w a r. T h e to n n a g e o f ocean -bo rne im p o rts d e clin e d so m e w h a t d u r in g 1942-45, c o m p are d w ith th e y e a rs 1936-39, w h ile th e v a lu e o f th ese im p o rts rose. I m p o r t to n n a g e s a n d v alu es f o r th e tw o p e rio d s a p p e a r in ta b le 10. Tabl e 10.—A v e ra g e a n n u a l to nn a g e, va lu e, a n d v a lu e p e r to n o f U n ited S ta te s ocea n-bo rne im p o rts , 1936-39 a n d 191/2-45 I te m ....... ............................. m illio n long t o n s . . V a lu e : T o ta l P e r t o n ________ ____ ____ ____ _____ __________ _____ d o lla r s .. 1936-39 1942-45 33.7 2,054 61 28.8 2,502 87 T h e in c rea se in v a lu e p e r to n w as f a r less fo r im p o rts th a n f o r e x p o rts, a n d is a cc ou n ted f o r la rg e ly b y th e in c rea sed p ric es o f im p o r t s 8 r a th e r th a n by a n y m a jo r s h if t in th e ir c om m o d ity com po sitio n . W ith in th e 1940-45 p e rio d , th e flu c tu a tio n s in th e v a lu e p e r to n o f o cean-borne e x p o rts, o w in g to c h a n g in g c o m m o d ity com p osition , w ere in c o n tr a st w ith th e re la tiv e s ta b ility in v a lu e p e r to n o f im p o rts. E x p o r t v a lu e s p e r to n rose fro m $82 in 1940 to $107 in 1941, re ac h ed a p e a k o f $257 in 1943, th e n fe ll to $241 in 1944 a n d $156 in 1945; w h ile im p o rt v a lu e s p e r to n o f $60 a n d $59 in 1940 a n d 1941, resp ec tiv e ly , rose to $84 in 1942 a n d c h a n g ed v e ry little th e re a fte r. P r o p o r tio n o f S h ip p in g C a rrie d b y A m e ric a n V essels T h e e x p a n sio n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s m e rc h a n t m a rin e a n d th e co n tr a c tio n o f fo re ig n fleets in th e w a r y e ars w ere reflected in th e in c re a sin g p ro p o rtio n o f c arg o c a rrie d by A m e ric a n vessels. T h is p r o p o rtio n w as h ig h e r th a n a t a n y tim e since th e C ivil W a r, w hen A m e r i c an c lip p e r sh ip s lo s t th e ir su p rem ac y . F ro m 1942 th ro u g h 1945 A m e ric a n vessels c a r rie d a y e a r ly a v era g e o f 52 p e rc e n t o f to ta l e x p o rt to n n a g e a n d 75 p e rc e n t o f to ta l im p o rt to n n a g e. C h a r t 14 show s th e p e rc en ta g e o f U n ite d S ta te s o cean-borne im p o rts a n d e x p o rts, resp ec tiv e ly , c a r rie d b y A m eric an vessels ( d r y c arg o , ta n k e r, a n d to ta l) in each y e a r o f th e decade 1936—45.9 I n 1936-39 th e a v era g e y e a rly sh ares o f A m e ric a n vessels in th e to ta l, 20 p e rc e n t o f e x p o rts a n d 34 p e rc e n t o f im p o rts , w ere a b o u t o n e -th ird lo w er th a n th e c o rre sp o n d in g a v erag e s o f 29 a n d 48 p e rc e n t f o r th e 15-year p e rio d , 1921-35. T h e 1940-41 a v era g e p e rce n ta g es o f 24 a n d 47 f o r e x p o rts a n d im p o rts, resp ec tiv e ly (ex ce p t f o r th e r a p id rise in th e A m e ric a n sh a re o f d r y c a rg o im p o r ts ) , d id n o t in crease su b s ta n tia lly above th e 1936-39 av erag es, la rg e ly because o f p ro v isio n s in th e U n ite d S ta te s N e u tra lity A c t o f N ovem ber 1939 w h ich p ro h ib ite d jo u rn e y s b y A m e ric a n vessels to c om b at a reas. 8 A c c o r d in g t o t h e D e p a r t m e n t o f C o m m e r c e m o n t h ly u n it - v a lu e in d e x o f im p c o n s u m p tio n (b y a ll fo r m s o f tr a n s p o r t a t io n ) , t h e a v e r a g e m o n th ly in d e x in 1 9 4 2 1 .4 5 t i m e s t h a t i n 1 9 3 6 - 3 9 . 9 S im ila r d a t a f o r W o r ld W a r I a r e la c k in g . F o r t h e p e r io d J u l y 1 , 1 9 1 5 , t o D 3 1 , 1 9 2 0 , A m e r ic a n v e s s e ls in fo r e ig n tr a d e a c c o u n te d fo r a y e a r ly a v e r a g e o f 4 2 o f t h e t o t a l n e t t o n s o f s h ip p in g e n te r e d w it h c a r g o a t U n ite d S t a t e s s e a p o r ts , p e r c e n t o f n e t t o n s c le a r e d . T h e c o r r e s p o n d in g p e r c e n ta g e s fo r t h e y e a r s 1 9 4 2 1 9 4 5 a v e r a g e d 5 9 in e a c h c a se . o r ts fo r -4 5 w a s ecem ber percent and 31 th r o u g h 53 C iia r t 1 4 PROPORTION OF O C E A N - B O R N E I M P O R T S A N D EXPORTS CARRIED IN U N I T E D S T A T E S VESSELS, 1936-45 ( D R Y C A R G O , T A N K E R , A N D T O T A L ) . PERCENT NO TE. FOR D E F IN IT IO N O F U N IT E D STATES S O U R C E O F D A T A : U . S . M A R I T I M E C O M M I S S IO N VESSELS S E E A P P E N D IX B. A N D W A R S H I P P I N G A D M I N I S T R A T IO N . T h e B e h a v io r o f F r e ig h t R a te s O cean f r e ig h t ra te s rose sh a rp ly a f te r th e o u tb re a k o f w a r, a lth o u g h th e rise w as lim ite d b y v a rio u s A llie d c o ntro ls, e sp ecially A m e ric a n a n d B ritis h . T h e d eg ree o f flu c tu a tio n w as n o t u n ifo rm f o r d iffe re n t com m odities a n d ro u te s, a n d w as g re a te r f o r c h a r te r th a n conference ra tes. O n c e r ta in e x p o rts fro m U n ite d S ta te s A tla n tic p o rts to th e U n ite d K in g d o m , su ch as g e n e ra l c arg o , m a c h in e ry , iro n a n d steel, a n d le a th e r, con feren ce ra te s in N ovem ber 1939 w ere o n ly 50 p e rc e n t above p re w a r, a n d re m a in e d a t th is level u n til N ovem ber 1940, w hen 54 -K * a n o th e r m o d e ra te u p w a rd a d ju s tm e n t w as m ad e. R a te s on a u to m obiles (un b o x ed ) a n d p ro v isio n s, how ever, in c rea sed b y 150 p e rc e n t betw een J u ly 1939 a n d A p r il 1940; on c o tto n , 200 p e r c e n t; a n d on to bacco (c a se s) , 277 p e rce n t. I n th e sam e p e rio d , th e in crea se s in ra te s fro m A tla n tic p o rts to A n tw e rp w ere 706 p e rc e n t on a u to m o b iles, 185 p e rc e n t on p ro v isio n s, a n d 329 p e rc e n t on tobacco. B y D ecem ber 1940, a cc o rd in g to a L e a g u e o f N a tio n s stu d y , th e w o rld f r e ig h t level h a d rise n to a p p ro x im a te ly five tim es th e A u g u s t 1939 level.10 I n g e n e ra l, r a te s re a c h e d a p e a k in 1943, th e n ta p e re d oif s lig h tly in 1944 a n d 1945. A v a ila b le d a ta in d ic a te t h a t i f th e ra te s p re v a ilin g in 1943 h a d o b tain e d in 1940 (w h e n ra te s w e re a lre a d y f a r above p r e w a r le v e ls ), th e f r e ig h t b ill in 1940 w o u ld h a v e been m o re th a n 40 p e rc e n t h ig h e r th a n i t a c tu a lly w as. T h e effective r a te on e x p o rts, o r a v era g e e a rn in g s p e r to n o f w e ig h t, m o re th a n d o u b led fro m 1940 to 1943. A s m e n tio n ed p re v io u sly , a su b s ta n tia l p a r t o f th is rise w as a ttr ib u ta b le to th e effect o f th e c h an g e in th e n a tu r e o f com m odities e x p o rte d . O n th e o th e r h a n d , th e in crease o f o n ly a b o u t 45 p e rc e n t in th e effective r a te on im p o rts d u r in g th e sam e p e rio d re s u lte d fro m r a te in creases alone, w ith o u t m u ch c h an g e in th e c om m o d ity com po sitio n o f im p o rts. P o r t E x p e n d itu r e s a n d P a s s e n g e r F a r e s ' j P o r t e x p e n d itu re s a re a n im p o r ta n t p a r t o f th e ocean tr a n s p o rta tio n accoun t. T h e y c on sist o f o u tla y s b y fo re ig n vessels in th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d b y U n ite d S ta te s vessels a b ro a d f o r stev e d o rin g , p ro v isio n in g , m a in te n a n c e a n d re p a ir s , a gen cy com m issions, w h a rfa g e a n d dockage, a n d o th e r p o r t expenses. T h e y v a ry w ith th e cost o f su ch services a n d w ith th e c argo to n n a g e m oved. W h ile to ta l e a rn in g s by fo re ig n vessels e n g a g e d in tr a d e w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s flu c tu a te d little d u r in g th e 1940-45 p e rio d , p o rt- e x p e n d itu re re c e ip ts b y th e U n ite d S ta te s re m a in e d f a ir ly sta b le , a v e r a g in g a b o u t $214 m illio n p e r y e a r. T h e tr e n d o f A m e ric a n vessel e x p e n d itu re s in fo re ig n p o rts , on th e o th e r h a n d p a ra lle le d th e in crea se in gross rev en u es e arn ed b y A m e ric a n vessels, a n d rose fro m $52 m illio n in 1940 to $242 m il lio n in 1945. R ec eip ts a n d p a y m e n ts f o r th e c a rria g e o f ocean p a sse n g ers show ed a n a tu r a l decline d u r in g th e w a r y e ars, p a r tic u la r ly fro m 1942 th ro u g h 1944, w h e n th e sc a rc ity a n d in se c u rity o f acco m m o d atio n s d ra stic a lly red u ce d th e n u m b e r o f ocean p a sse ng ers. I n 1945 th e re w as a m a rk e d reco v ery to $14 m illio n o n th e re c e ip ts side, b u t p a y m e n ts o f $6.4 m il lio n to fo re ig n ste a m sh ip lines w ere o n ly s lig h tly m o re th a n o n e -te n th o f th e p a y m e n ts in 1939. U n ila te r a l T r a n s f e r s o f S h ip p in g S e rv ic es T h e ocean tra n s p o rta tio n a cc o u n t rec o rd s a ll sh ip p in g tra n s a c tio n s b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d fo r e ig n c o u n trie s, w h e th e r p a id fo r o r n o t. T h e la r g e r p a r t o f th e f r e ig h t on U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts in d om estic-flag vessels d u r in g th e w a r w as fu rn is h e d u n d e r len d -lease w ith o u t th e n ecessity o f p a y m e n t. F u rth e rm o re , th e vessels o f co u n trie s elig ible f o r len d -le ase a id receiv ed a p a r t o f th e ir p o r t e x p e n d i tu re s in th e U n ite d S ta te s u n d e r lend-lease. I n r e tu r n , a p o rtio n o f 10 S e e L e a s e o f N a t io n s , W o r ld E c o n o m ic S u r v e y , 1 9 3 9 - 4 1 , G e n e v a , 1 9 4 1 , p . 2 5 8 ; S a n d e r s o n , A . E ., W a r t im e C o n tr o l o f O c e a n F r e ig h t R a t e s in F o r e ig n T r a d e , W a s h in g t o n , 1 9 4 0 , p p . 9 - 1 2 ( U . S . D e p a r t m e n t o f C o m m e r c e , T r a d e P r o m o t i o n S e r i e s N o . 2 1 2 ) ; Z e i s , P . M ., D o m e s tic T r a n s p o r ta tio n (U . S . D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e r c e , I n d u s tr y R e p o r t, W a s h in g to n , A p r il- M a y 1 9 4 0 , a n d c o n f e r e n c e r a t e s o n f ile w i t h t h e U n it e d S t a t e s M a r it im e C o m m is s io n . 55 th e e x p e n d itu re s o f A m e ric a n vessels a b ro a d w as p a id f o r b y local a u th o ritie s u n d e r re c ip ro c a l a id o r rev erse lend-lease. T h e se len d lease item s a re e n te re d in th e tr a n s p o rta tio n acco u n t as i f p a y m e n t a c tu a lly h a d been m ad e o r received. T h e y a re f u lly offset, how ever, b y a p p r o p r ia te e n trie s in th e u n ila te ra l accoun t. T h e size a n d sig nificance o f th ese u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e rs in 1944 a re illu s tra te d in ta b le 11. Tabl e 11.— Ocean tra n sp o rta tio n : R e c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts , 19-i4 [ I n m i l l i o n s o f d o ll a r s ] I te m O ce an f r e ig h t- ---------- -----------------------------------------------------------------P o r t e x p e n d itu re s --------------- --------- ----------- ----------------------------- ------ R e c e ip ts P a y m e n ts 979.4 3 .2 214.3 105.7 3.7 226.5 1,196.9 335.9 686. 5 143.6 130.0 366.8 205.9 O th e r T r a n s p o r ta tio n A c co u n t Ite m s T h e re w as a g e n e ra l u p w a rd tr e n d o f f re ig h t e a rn in g s on G re a t L a k es tr a n s p o rta tio n b etw een 1940 a n d 1944. U n ite d S ta te s rec e ip ts in crea se d p r im a r ily because U n ite d S ta te s vessels c a r rie d a n in c re a sin g p ro p o rtio n o f th e g ra d u a lly ris in g to ta l to n n a g e o f e x p o rts to C a n a d a v ia th e G re a t L a k es b u t also because o f la rg e r p o r t e x p e n d itu re s by C a n a d ia n vessels on th e U n ite d S ta te s side. P a y m e n ts in crea sed b e cause p o r t e x p e n d itu re s rose, to o, in th e case o f A m e ric a n vessels in C a n a d a a n d because th e in crea se in to n n a g e o f im p o rts fro m C a n a d a m o re th a n c o u n terb a la n c e d th e decrease in th e sh a re c a rrie d b y C a n a d ia n vessels. R ec eip ts a n d p a y m e n ts in 1945 d eclin ed m a in ly b e cause o f a decrease in e x p o rt a n d im p o rt to n n a g e c a rrie d . T o ta l re c e ip ts in th e G re a t L a k es a cc o u n t o f $47 m illio n d u r in g 1940-45 a p p ro x im a te ly b a la n ce d th e $41 m illio n in p a y m en ts. E x p o rts c o m p rised m a in ly b itu m in o u s coal, ir o n ore, a n d c ru d e p e tro le u m ; im p o rts c om p rise d m a in ly g ra in s, p u lp w o o d a n d ch ip s, ir o n o re, a n d c ru sh e d stone. T h e stab le c o m p o sitio n o f b u lk com m od ity e x p o rts a n d im p o rts, com b ined w ith a d eq u ate tr a n s p o rta tio n a n d e xcellen t te rm in a l f a c il iti e s 11 a cc ou n ted f o r th e re la tiv e stea din ess a n d low level o f fre ig h t r a te s o n th e G re a t L akes. D u rin g th e w a r, r a il f r e ig h t in creased g e n e ra lly in th e U n ite d S ta te s, o w ing to th e decline o f coastw ise sh ip p in g a n d h ig h w a y tr a n s p o rta tio n fac ilitie s. I n th e r a il a cco u n t, th e in crea se d e a rn in g s f o r c a rria g e o f h e a v ie r in -tra n s it traffic b y r a il to a n d fro m C a n a d a a n d M exico, r e sp ectiv ely, w ere m a in ly respo n sib le f o r th e in crea se on th e re ce ip ts side. M o u n tin g e x p e n d itu re s b y U n ite d S ta te s r a ilr o a d s o p e ra tin g in C a n a d a a n d e a rn in g s b y C a n a d ia n ra ilr o a d s c a rry in g U n ite d S ta te s goods in tr a n s i t across C a n a d a acco u n ted f o r th e in crease on th e p a y m en ts side. F o r th e 1940-45 p e rio d , to ta l re c e ip ts w ere $341 m illio n , a g a in st to ta l p a y m e n ts o f $196 m illio n . O n b alance, th is a cc ou n t show ed n e t 1 11 G r e a t L a k e s s h ip p in g f a c ilit ie s r e m a in e d in p r iv a te o p e r a tio n s d u r in g t h e w a r , e x c e p t f o r a n u m b e r o f la r g e U n ite d S t a t e s (a n d C a n a d ia n ) m e r c h a n t v e s s e ls w h ic h w e r e t r a n s fe r r e d fr o m th e G r e a t L a k e s to th e A tla n tic O ce a n . S e r v ic e b y p a c k a g e f r e ig h t v e s s e ls , w h ic h w e r e p u r c h a s e d o r r e q u is itio n e d b y t h e U . S . G o v e r n m e n t, w a s d is c o n tin u e d o n th e G re a t L a k es. 56 , v- re c e ip ts d u r in g th e w a r y e a rs in c o n tr a s t w ith n e t p a y m e n ts each y e a r fro m 1919 th ro u g h 1939. A ir tr a n s p o rta tio n d u r in g th e w a r y e a rs p la y e d a sm all b u t in c re a s in g ly im p o r ta n t ro le in th e b a la n ce o f p a y m en ts. U n ite d S ta te s a i r c r a f t su p e rio rity a n d w a rtim e flig h t experien ce e x p la in th e g ro w th in a ir f r e ig h t re c e ip ts fro m a b o u t $2 m illio n in 1940 to $16 m illio n in 1945. U n ite d S ta te s a ir lin e s c a rrie d a p p ro x im a te ly 90 p e rc e n t o f a ir c a rg o to a n d fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s. H ig h -v a lu e , fra g ile , o r p e ris h able goods c h a ra c te r is tic a lly go by a ir , a n d co m m an d h ig h f r e ig h t ra te s c o m p a re d w ith th ose f o r su rfa c e tr a n s p o rta tio n . T h e c a rria g e o f fo re ig n p a ssen g ers b y U n ite d S ta te s a ir lin es re su lte d in in c re a sin g a n n u a l re c e ip ts fro m a b o u t $3 m illio n in 1940 to $15 m illio n in 1945; p a y m e n ts by A m eric an s to fo re ig n lin e s w ere n e gligib le. A ir p o r t a n d fu e l e x p e n d itu re s in fo re ig n c o u n trie s by U n ite d S ta te s a ir lines p a r tly offset th e re c e ip ts e a rn e d in th ese y e ars. O u tlo o k f o r T r a n s p o r ta tio n S e rv ic es I n 1940 U n ite d S ta te s re c e ip ts f o r tra n s p o rta tio n exceeded p a y m en ts fo r th e first tim e since 1921. T h e re w ere n e t cash re c e ip ts in each of th e w a r y e ars. T h is d e ve lop m e n t w as th e re s u lt o f in crea sed p a r tic i p a tio n b y U n ite d S ta te s vessels in th e tr a n s p o rta tio n o f A m eric an c argo overseas a n d o f a b n o rm a l w a r c o n d itio n s w h ich p ro d u c e d a s h if t in th e co m m o d ity c o m p o sitio n o f e x p o rts. I n each o f th e 3 y e ars, 1943-45, th e U n ite d S ta te s c a rrie d a p p ro x im a te ly tw o -th ird s o f its to ta l tr a d e volum e. T h is la rg e p e rc e n ta g e w as m a in ta in e d in 1946, b u t sh o u ld decline th e r e a f te r, th o u g h fo r a few y e ars th e A m eric an sh a re m ay co n tin u e to flu c tu a te a ro u n d 50 p e rc e n t o f th e to ta l to n nage. R e tu rn o f sh ip s len d -le ase d to G re a t B r ita in a n d o th e r c ou n tries, p lu s possession o f su p e rio r ty p es, sh o u ld h e lp th e U n ite d S ta te s te m p o ra rily to m a in ta in its le a d in g p o s itio n in ocean tr a n s p o rt. H o w ever, as fo re ig n sh ip p in g rev iv es th ro u g h b u ild in g p ro g ra m s a n d p u r chases o f A m eric an su rp lu s sh ip s, fo re ig n c o m p e titio n in th e c a r ria g e o f U n ite d S ta te s fo re ig n tr a d e m ay in crease, u nless d iv e rte d to a c tiv ity e lsew here as w o rld tr a d e is re sto re d . G ro w in g c o m p e titio n w o u ld red u ce th e n e t re c e ip ts e a rn e d b y U n ite d S ta te s vessels. T h e r a te o f d eclin e w ould also' d e p e n d u p o n A m e ric a n p o lic y w ith resp ec t to th e size o f m e rc h a n t fleet d e sire d a n d to th e su b sid iz a tio n o f s h ip p in g . U n d e r th e M e rc h a n t M a rin e A c t o f 1936, A m e ric a n vessels are a id e d b y c o n stru c tio n a n d o p e ra tin g subsidies. T h e fo rm e r to ta le d $178.7 m illio n fro m J u ly 1938 th ro u g h J u n e 1945; th e la tte r a m o u n te d to a b o u t $50 m illio n fro m O ctober 1936 th ro u g h J u n e 1942, w h e n th e y w ere su sp e n d e d because o f th e w a r.12 I t is e x p ected , how ever, t h a t a la rg e p o rtio n o f th e o p e ra tin g -su b sid y p a y m e n ts w ill b e re c a p tu re d b y th e G o v e rn m en t. I n n o rm a l tim es, h ig h e r costs f o r w ages, su b sistence, m a in te n a n ce , re p a ir s , a n d in su ra n c e h a n d ic a p dom estic ves sels in c o m p e titio n w ith fo re ig n , b u t since th e w a r th ese costs h av e been a b so rb e d by th e re la tiv e ly h ig h r a te s tru c tu re re s u ltin g fro m th e excess o f d e m a n d o ver su p p ly o f s h ip p in g fa c ilities. 12 T h e 1 9 3 6 a c t p r o v id e s a ls o f o r c o u n t e r v a ilin g s u b s id ie s s u ffic ie n t t o o ffs e t a n y b o u n t ie s p a id b y f o r e ig n g o v e r n m e n t s , b u t t h u s f a r t h is p r o v is io n h a s h o t b e e n in v o k e d . See T he P o s t w a r O u tlo o k f o r A m e r ic a n S h ip p in g , p p . 6 0 - 6 1 ; a n d t l . S . M a r it im e C o m m is s io n , R e p o r t t o C o n g r e s s f o r t h e p e r io d e n d e d J u n e 3 0 , 1 9 4 6 , W a s h in g t o n , 1 9 4 7 , p . 1 4 . 7 6 9 1 5 5 — 48 57 N e t ocean tr a n s p o rta tio n re c e ip ts o f th e U n ite d S ta te s w ill g ra d u a lly decline, n o t o n ly because o f a d im in ish in g sh a re in to ta l to n n a g e c a rrie d b u t also because o f a n e v en tu a l decline in f r e ig h t ra te s . T h e lev el o f f r e ig h t ra te s sh o u ld be f a ir ly stab le a n d m a y even in crease slig h tly in th e first few p o s tw a r y e a rs as lo n g as th e d e m a n d f o r to n n a g e c a p a c ity exceeds su p p ly . T h e re a fte r, a s th e su p p ly -d em an d s itu a tio n is rev erse d, a d e c lin in g r a te tr e n d sh o u ld be in e v itab le . S ince th e r e tu r n to a h ig h volum e o f p a sse n g e r-fa re p a y m e n ts to fo re ig n lin e s is a n tic ip a te d (th e y e a rly a v era g e w as $104 m illio n in th e 191939 p e r io d ) , i t m a y n o t b e m a n y y e a rs b e fo re th e n e t b a la n ce on tr a n s p o r ta tio n a cc ou n t becom es n eg a tiv e. A g r a d u a l r e tu r n to a n o rm a l p re w a r p a tte r n is ex p ected o f th e G r e a t L a k e s a n d r a i l accounts. T h e fo rm e r is f a ir ly stab le , w ith sm a ll n e t re c e ip ts o r p a y m en ts. T h e la tte r , as in - tr a n s it e a rn in g s decline, m a y in tim e show n e t p a y m e n ts as in th e p re w a r p e rio d . I n tr a n s i t e a rn in g s sh o u ld d eclin e w ith th e decrease in in - tr a n s it traffic th a t m ig h t be expected as s h ip p in g r e tu r n s to n o rm a l. A ir tr a n s p o r ta tio n ’s re m a rk a b le d e v e lo p m e n t d u r in g th e w a r sh o u ld a cc elerate w ith te ch n o lo g ic al p ro g re ss a n d sh o u ld be reflected in e x p a n d in g in te rn a tio n a l a n d dom estic services. R ec eip ts, esp ecially on p a sse n g e r traffic, m a y be ex p ected to in crease, o w in g to such fa c to rs as th e a n tic ip a te d increases in n u m b e r o f pa sse ng ers, flig h t freq u en cies, a n d to n -m ile ag e flo w n ; th e p ro sp ec tiv e e x p a n sio n o f b o th sch ed u led a n d n o n sc h ed u led a ir-lin e traffic ; a n d th e te c h n ic a l s u p e rio rity o f A m e ric a n p lan e s in speed a n d cost o f o p e ratio n . H o w e v e r, th e in creases in A m e ric a n e a rn in g s m ay be g r a d u a l, a n d w ill be p a r tly off set b y a ir p o r t a n d fu e l e x p e n d itu re s a b ro a d a n d b y im p ro v e d fo re ig n a ir -lin e business. In a sm u c h as tr a n s p o rta tio n re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts on th e nonocean acco u n ts w ill te n d to offset each o th e r m o re o r less, th e n e t tr e n d on th e to ta l tra n s p o rta tio n a cc ou n t in th e U n ite d S ta te s b a la n ce o f p a y m en ts d e p e n d s u p o n th e b e h a v io r o f th e ocean tra n s p o rta tio n item s. F o r each o f th e 3 y e ars a f te r th e en d o f W o rld W a r I , th e b alan ce w a s a su b s ta n tia l n e t rec e ip t, w h ic h w as re v erse d in 1922 in to a n e t p a y m e n t. T h e n f o r tw o decades th e U n ite d S ta te s w as a n e t p u r c h ase r o f tra n s p o rta tio n services as fo re ig n c o m p e titio n in creased . A s im ila r d e ve lo p m e n t m a y ta k e p lac e a f te r W o rld W a r I I . T r a v e l 13 T ra v e l by U n ite d S ta te s re sid e n ts in fo r e ig n c o u n trie s c o n stitu te s a n im p o r t fro m a b ro a d o f goods a n d services w h ich , in th e closing y e a rs o f th e 1930’s, a m o u n te d to n e a rly d o u b le o u r im p o rts o f ru b b e r a n d m ore th a n o u r com b ined im p o rts o f coffee a n d su g a r. I n a d d itio n to its im p o rta n c e as a m a jo r item o f tra d e , fo re ig n tra v e l is a v a lu a b le so u rc e o f s u p p ly o f U n ite d S ta te s d o lla rs to fo re ig n co u n tries. I n th e d e ca d e p re c e d in g 1940, fo re ig n c o u n trie s w ere p ro v id e d w ith n e a rly 3 b illio n tra v e l d o lla rs,14 w h ich h e lp e d to finance o u r p e rsis te n t e x p o rt su rp lu s. T ra v e l in th e U n ite d S ta te s b y re sid e n ts o f fo re ig n c o u n trie s re ac h ed less sp e c ta c u la r to ta ls , th e ir e x p e n d itu re s in th e U n ite d S ta te s d u r in g th e 1930’s b e in g e stim a te d a t o n ly a little m o re th a n $1 b illion . “ T h is s e c tio n w a s p r e p a r e d b y F r a n c e s P . S a s s c e r . T h e e s t im a te s o f tr a v e l p a y m e n ts a n d r e c e ip ts s h o w n in t h is s e c tio n e x c lu d e f a r e s p a id b y t r a v e le r s t o U n it e d S t a t e s a n d f o r e ig n c a r r ie r s . P a y m e n t s f o r f a r e s m a d e b y U n it e d S t a t e s r e s id e n ts to fo r e ig n s te a m s h ip a n d a ir lin e s a n d p a y m e n ts b y fo r e ig n e r s to U n ite d S t a t e s c a r r ie r s a r e in c lu d e d m t h e t r a n s p o r t a t io n a c c o u n t . 58 V T ra v e l m a y be ro u g h ly d iv id e d in to tw o c ateg o ries— re c re a tio n a l a n d n o n re c re a tio n a l. T h e n o n re c re a tio n a l c ate g o ry in clu d e s tr ip s by in d iv id u a ls tr a v e lin g f o r business rea so n s, in e d u c a tio n a l, scientific, o r p h ila n th ro p ic p u rsu its , a n d on m a tte rs o f u r g e n t p e rso n a l necessity , su ch as firs t-h a n d a id to d istre ssed re la tiv e s w h o re sid e in fo r e ig n c o u n trie s o r th e a d m in is tr a tio n o f in v estm en ts o r p r o p e r ty ow ned a b ro a d . D u r in g n o rm a l tim es, such a s th e in te rw a r p e rio d , th e p re p o n d e ra n c e o f tra v e l is o f th e re c re a tio n a l ty p e . H o w e v e r, d u r in g tim e s o f w a r th e situ a tio n is rev ersed . I n th e p e rio d fro m 1940 to 1945, re c re a tio n a l tr a v e l to a ll ex ce pt n e a rb y a re a s w a s d r a stic a lly c u rta ile d . N o n re c re a tio n a l tr a v e l, too, w as re s tr ic te d , b u t to a lesser e x te n t, as a cu te tra n s p o rta tio n sh o rta g e s developed. W a r C u ts O v e r s e a 15 T ravel W ith th e o u tb re a k o f w a r in E u ro p e , tr a v e l b ey o n d th e W e s te rn H e m isp h e re becam e r e s tr ic te d to p e rso n s o n tr ip s d ire c tly a llie d w ith th e w a r effort. T ra v e l to E a s te r n H e m isp h e re c o u n trie s w as lim ite d to G o v e rn m en t officials a n d m em bers o f p r iv a te business concerns su p p ly in g e q u ip m e n t f o r m ilita ry use w ho tra v e le d in th e n a tio n a l in te re s t, to m em b ers o f th e p ress, a n d to m em bers o f p h ila n th ro p ic o rg a n iz a tio n s, such as th e lie d C ross a n d v a rio u s re lig io u s a n d n o n s e c ta ria n g ro u p s, w hose m issio n w as to a lle v ia te su ffe rin g in w a r-to rn a rea s. S in ce a ll tr a v e l o f a re c re a tio n a l n a tu r e to th ese a re a s w as th u s p r o h ib ite d , e x p e n d itu re s f o r tra v e l by U n ite d S ta te s re s id e n ts w ere s h a rp ly red u ce d fro m $67 m illio n in 1939 to $12 m illio n in 1940 (see c h a r t 1 5 ). I n 1940, d u r in g th e in itia l p h a se s o f th e B a ttle o f th e A tla n tic , tra v e l e x p e n d itu re s in E u ro p e a n d th e M e d ite rra n e a n a re a re ac h ed th e ir lo w est p o in t since W o rld W a r I , h a v in g d r o p p e d p re c ip ito u sly to less th a n $6 m illio n . T h is re p re s e n te d a decline o f n e a rly 90 p e rc e n t fro m e x p e n d itu re s in th e p re c e d in g y e a r, a lth o u g h tra v e l to t h a t a re a h a d a lre a d y sh ow n c o n sid e ra b le re a c tio n in th e la te 1930’s a s a re s u lt o f th e p o litic a l d istu rb a n c e s in c e n tra l E u ro p e . T ra v e l to o th e r oversea a re a s w as likew ise d r a stic a lly affected, a lth o u g h tr a v e l to L a tin A m e ric a m a in ta in e d a f a ir ly c o n sta n t level u n til 1942, o w in g in p a r t to a n in crea se in n o n re c re a tio n a l tra v e l by econom ic m issions v is itin g t h a t a re a in a n e n de av o r to o b ta in s tra te g ic m a te ria ls, th e su p p ly o f w h ich h a d been c u t off by Ja p a n e s e o c cu p a tio n o f M a la y a, B u rm a , th e N e th e rla n d s In d ie s, a n d th e P h ilip p in e s . E x p e n d itu re s in S o u th A m e ric a d id n o t re a c h th e ir lo w est level u n til 1944 (see ta b le 1 2 ), b y w h ic h tim e th is new lin e o f su p p ly h a d becom e e sta b lish e d , w ith a r e s u ltin g d ecrease in n o n re c re a tio n a l tr ip s to th e a re a. T ra v e l to n e a rb y oversea a re a s b e g a n to rec ov e r in 1945, a t w h ich tim e tra v e l o f a re c re a tio n a l n a tu r e re a p p e a re d because p a s s p o rt a u th o ritie s a g a in p e rm itte d tra v e l to C e n tra l A m eric a a n d th e C a rib b e an f o r re s t a n d re la x a tio n . F o llo w in g th e en d o f h o s tilitie s in 1945, p a y m e n ts fo r tra v e l in a ll oversea a re a s in crea se d in th e f o u r th q u a rte r to n e a rly double th o se in th e c o rre sp o n d in g q u a r te r o f 1944. T h e volum e o f d e p a rtu re s c o n tin u ed to rise r a p id ly d e sp ite acute tra n s p o rta tio n sh o rta g e s, w h ic h m a in ta in e d a m a jo r re s tric tio n u p o n tra v e l o f th e re c re a tio n a l ty p e to a ll oversea a re a s e x ce p t n e a rb y C e n tra l A m e ric a n a n d C a rib b e a n c ou n tries. 15 T l i e te r m " o v e r s e a ” in c lu d e s a ll fo r e ig n c o u n tr ie s e x c e p t C a n a d a a n d M e x ic o . 59 C h a rt 15 INTERNATIONAL TRAVEL EXPENDITURES 1937— 45 MILLIONS o f d o l l a r s 30or FOREIGN EXPENDITURES IN THE UNITED STATES V 7 /A □ 2 0 0| ---- A L L OTHERS EURO PE a M E D IT E R R A N E A N B B 1 W E S T IN D IE S 8 C E N T R A L A M E R IC A E m u M E X IC O C ANADA 400 UNITED STATES EXPENDITURES IN FOREIGN COUNTRIES 300 200 1937 60 38 Tabl e 12.— I n te r n a tio n a l tra v e l a cco u n t o f tile U n ited S ta te s , 191/0-45 [In m illio n s of U n ite d S ta te s d ollars] A re a 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 R e c e ip ts T o t a l ____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ___________ ____ _____ C a n a d a ________ ____ ______ _ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ S te rlin g a r e a _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ A m e ric a n R e p u b li c s .................. ...... .............. . __ __ M e x i c o ... _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ C a r rib b e a n R e p u b li c s .......... ........ ............. .............. S o u th A m e ric a n R e p u b li c s .. .................. ........... . A ll o th e r ........................................_•_______ _____ ___ 94.8 69.9 82.0 84.2 117.2 157.7 36.4 7.0 38.6 31.0 3 .2 4.4 12.8 16.4 7.4 39.3 32.8 3 .3 3 .2 6 .8 21.8 23.3 33.8 31.4 .6 1.8 3. 1 30.9 17.7 33.1 31.3 .1 1.7 2 .5 51.9 26.9 36.2 33.7 .2 2 .3 2 .2 75.5 26. 0 42.4 37. 5 1.1 3 .8 . 13.8 P a y n e n ts T o t a l _____________ ___________ * C a n a d a ........ . ............. .................................... ................ S te rlin g a r e a ____ _ __ _ _________ ________ _ __ __ A m e r ic a n R e p u b li c s ................... . ............. .............. . __ M e x ic o _______________ ._ __________ C a r rib b e a n R e p u b lic s _____ . . . ______ S o u th A m e ric a n R e p u b li c s .. ................................ A ll o th e r _____ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _______ 190.3 212.4 155. 4 173.2 224.7 308.8 89.1 6 .8 83.8 57.3 16.3 10.2 10.6 97.3 9 .2 98.8 69.1 17.7 12.0 7.1 71.8 7.5 72. 3 60.3 3 .9 8. 1 3 .8 79.1 8 .5 83.7 71.1 2.5 10. 1 1.9 105.9 19.5 88.0 79.2 2 .3 6 .5 11.3 149.5 28.9 105.1 92.0 4 .7 8 .4 25.3 F o r e ig n E x p e n d itu r e s in U n ite d S ta te s D e c lin e T ra v e l e x p e n d itu re s in th e U n ite d S ta te s b y fo re ig n e rs re s id in g in a ll o verseas a re a s d r o p p e d sh a rp ly in 1940 a n d su ffered a f u r th e r severe decline in 1941. A s in th e case o f U n ite d S ta te s tra v e l to f o r eig n c o u n trie s, th is decline w as due fo r th e m ost p a r t to tr a v e l re s tr ic tio n s im p o sed b y fo re ig n c o u n trie s o n tra v e l by th e ir n a tio n a ls a n d by sh o rta g e s o f tr a n s p o rta tio n fac ilitie s. T ra v e l to th is c o u n try by re s i d e n ts o f o th e r overseas c o u n trie s becam e lim ite d to fo re ig n g o v ern m en t officials, fo re ig n businessm en o r te c h n ic ia n s on p u rs u its d ire c tly con n ected w ith th e w a r e fforts o f th e ir re sp e ctiv e c o u n tries, a n d refu g e e s fro m d e v a sta te d c o u n trie s w ho e n te re d th e U n ite d S ta te s as te m p o ra r y v is ito rs o r im m ig ra n ts. A s in th e case o f tr a v e l p a y m en ts, tra v e l re c e ip ts fro m re s id e n ts o f E u ro p e a n d th e M e d ite rra n e a n c o u n trie s re a c h e d th e ir lo w est p o in t in 1941, a lth o u g h th e d e c lin e ’w as re la tiv e ly less sh a rp th a n in th e case o f p a y m en ts, R ec eip ts fro m fo re ig n e rs f o r tr a v e l reco v ered so m e w h a t in 1942 a n d a t th e en d o f 1945 a p p ro a c h e d th e levels o f th e la te 1930's. T ra v e l e x p e n d itu re s in th e U n ite d S ta te s by L a tin A m e ric a n re s id e n ts exceeded p re w a r to ta ls a s e a rly a s 1944, a n d c o n tin u e d to rise d u r in g 1945 to re a c h a new p e a k in t h a t y e ar. R e c ip r o c a l T r a v e l W ith C a n a d a B ecause o f th e close econom ic a n d social re la tio n s h ip b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d C a n a d a , th e m ovem ent o f p e rso n s across th e b o rd e r is e x trem e ly heavy. T h e se p e rso n s com p rise a b ro a d v a rie ty o f t r a v elers, r a n g in g fro m to u ris ts a n d business v isito rs to in d iv id u a ls w ho cross a n d recross th e b o rd e r d a ily in co n n ectio n w ith th e ir o c cu p atio n o r to m ak e use o f fa c ilitie s lo ca te d on th e o p p o site side. T h e e xcellen t tr a n s p o rta tio n fa c ilitie s betw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d C a n a d a a n d th e p ro x im ity to th e b o rd e r o f h e a v ily p o p u la te d a re a s com bine to s tim u la te tr a v e l betw een th ese tw o c o u n tries. A s th e m ean s o f cro ss in g th e b o rd e r a re n u m ero u s a n d th e rea so n s fo r c ro ssin g e x trem e ly 61 v a rie d , e x p e n d itu re s by U n ite d S ta te s re sid e n ts in C a n a d a w ere n o t a s d ra s tic a lly affected b y w a rtim e tr a n s p o rta tio n sh o rta g e s a n d tr a v e l re s tr ic tio n s as w ere th o se in oversea c ou n tries. I n 1940 p a y m e n ts to C a n a d a f o r tr a v e l d eclin e d b y a p p ro x im a te ly 40 p e rc e n t fro m th o se in th e p re c e d in g y e a r, c o n tra ste d w ith th e decline o f n e a rly 90 p e rc e n t su ffered b y p a y m e n ts f o r E u ro p e a n tra v e l in 1940. T ra v e l p a y m e n ts to C a n a d a rec o v e red slig h tly in 1941, a n d in 1942 slu m p e d a g a in , b u t th e decline w as m u ch less p re c ip ito u s th a n in th e case o f oversea tra v e l d u r in g th e sam e y e a r. T h e d eclin e in 1940 w as p a r tly d u e to th e e sta b lish m e n t o f re g u la tio n s a lo n g th e b o rd e r w h ich re q u ire d U n ite d S ta te s c itize n s re e n te rin g th e U n ite d S ta te s fro m C a n a d a to e x h ib it p ro o f o f c itiz en sh ip —-a fo rm a lity w h ic h u n d o u b t e d ly se rv ed f o r a tim e a s a d e te rre n t to th e freq u e n c y a n d fre e d o m o f cro ssing . I n p re w a r y e ars, th e m a jo r p o rtio n o f e x p e n d itu re s o f tra v e le rs to C a n a d a w a s m a d e b y p e rso n s tr a v e lin g b y a utom obile. T h e declin e in e x p e n d itu re s in 1942 w as due, f o r th e m o st p a r t, to th e re d u c tio n in th is ty p e o f tr a v e l as a r e s u lt o f th e sc a rc ity o f g a so lin e a n d tire s. A re la tiv e ly sm a ll a m o u n t o f su ch traffic— p ro b a b ly chiefly th e n on re c re a tio n a l ty p e — w as d iv e rte d to th e r a ilr o a d s d u r in g 1942. A p ro n o u n c e d d iv ersio n to o th e r m ea n s o f tr a n s p o rta tio n w a s n o t m a n i fe s te d u n til th e fo llo w in g y e a r, w h en n o n au to m o b ile tra v e l to C a n a d a in cre a se d b y m o re th a n o n e -th ird o v er 1942, a u to m o b ile tra v e l d e c lin in g to its lo w est p o in t. I n 1943 tr a v e l p a y m e n ts to C a n a d a tu rn e d u p w a rd , th e ris in g tr e n d b e co m in g m o re m a rk e d in 1944. T h e e n d o f g aso lin e r a tio n in g in 1945 g av e co n sid e ra b le im p e tu s to th e in crea se in a u to m o b ile tra v e l, w h ic h in t h a t y e a r exceeded a n y o f its w a rtim e levels. E x p e n d itu re s in C a n a d a in 1945 b y U n ite d S ta te s re sid e n ts tr a v e lin g b y a ll m eans w ere e stim a te d to to ta l n e a rly $150 m illio n — th e h ig h e s t p e a k in n e a rly a decade. T h is g e n e ra l tr e n d in e x p e n d itu re s w as sh ow n also in th e case o f tra v e l in th e U n ite d S ta te s b y C a n a d ia n s. I n 1940 th e D o m in io n , w h ic h fo u n d its e lf fa c e d Avith a serio u s d o lla r sh o rta g e , fo u n d i t n ecessary to c u r ta il th e u se o f U n ite d S ta te s d o lla rs f o r tra v e l in th e U n ite d S ta te s. R e s tric tio n s w ere p u t in to effect w h ich re q u ire d a ll re sid e n ts o f C a n a d a to o b ta in p e rm issio n fro m th e F o re ig n E x c h a n g e C o n tro l B o a rd to d e p a rt fro m C a n a d a a n d to e x p o rt fun d s. A lth o u g h th e n e ce ssary a m o u n ts o f U n ite d S ta te s d o lla rs w e re su p p lie d f o r t r ip s in v o lv in g business, h e a lth , a n d e d u c atio n , tra v e l w h ich in v o lv e d th e use o f U n ite d S ta te s d o lla rs so lely f o r re c re a tio n a l p u r poses w as sto p p e d . T h is a c tio n re s u lte d in a severe d eclin e in U n ite d S ta te s re c e ip ts fro m C a n a d a o n a cc ou n t o f tra v e l to a lo w in 1941 w h ic h h a d n o t b een eq u aled in m o re th a n 20 y ears. I n th e la te s p rin g o f 1944, ex ch an g e a n d tr a v e l re s tric tio n s w ere eased so m e w h a t b y th e D o m in io n , C a n a d ia n re s id e n ts b e in g p e r m itte d to o b ta in u p to $150 a y e a r in U n ite d S ta te s c u rre n c y f o r p le a su re tra v e l in th e U n ite d S ta te s. A s a re s u lt, e x p e n d itu re s b y C a n a d ia n s f o r tr a v e l in th e U n ite d S ta te s tu rn e d sh a rp ly u p w a rd . T h e ris in g tr e n d becam e m o re p ro n o u n c e d as e x ch an g e re s tr ic tio n s w e re f u r th e r re la x e d in 1945 to alloAv C a n a d ia n s “ a n y rea so n ab le a m o u n t” o f U n ite d S ta te s fu n d s f o r a ll ty p e s o f tra v e l in th e U n ite d S ta te s . B y th e e n d o f 1945 re c e ip ts b y th e U n ite d S ta te s fro m C a n a d a on a cc ou n t o f tra v e l a p p ro a c h e d 1929 levels. 62 H e a v y T r a v e l o n M e x ic a n B o r d e r T h e m o vem ent o f p e rso n s across th e M exican b o rd e r is even h e a v ie r th a n t h a t in to C a n a d a because o f a n in te rd e p e n d e n c e w h ic h h a s d e veloped b etw een th e to w n s on b o th sides o f th e in te rn a tio n a l b o u n d a ry line. T h e rea so n s f o r tr a v e l a re even m o re v a rie d , th e re fo re , th a n in th e case o f C a n ad a . C o m p a re d w ith th e m illio n s o f c ro ssin g s o v er th e M exican b o rd e r w h ich a re re c o rd e d a n n u a lly , re la tiv e ly few p e rso n s p e n e tr a te b e y o n d th e b o rd e r zones in e ith e r d ire c tio n . O n th e M exican side, lim ite d tr a n s p o rta tio n fa c ilitie s u n til th e m id d le 1930’s a c ted as a check o n tr a v e l to th e in te rio r. I n 1936 th e c o m p le tio n o f th e P a n A m e ric a n H ig h w a y to M exico C ity te n d e d to en co u rag e in te rio r tr a v e l, a n d a n in c rea se in services offered b y th e a ir lin e s se rv ed as a n a d d itio n a l stim u lu s. I n 1940 U n ite d S ta te s e x p e n d itu re s f o r tra v e l in M exico show ed a c o n sid e ra b le in c re ase o v e r th o se in th e p re c e d in g y e a r. T h is g ro w th w as u n q u e stio n a b ly d u e in p a r t to th e d iv ersio n o f tr a v e l fro m co u n trie s a b ro a d , m a n y o f w h ich w ere c u t off fro m th e A m eric an v a c a tio n ist b y th e o u tb re a k o f th e w a r. T ra v e l to th e in te rio r o f M exico c o n tin u ed to in c rea se in 1941, b u t d ro p p e d off in 1942 as a re s u lt o f g a so lin e ra tio n in g . A f te r 1943, how ever, in te rio r tra v e l rose ste a d ily , in sp ite o f g a so lin e r a tio n in g d u r in g 1944 a n d m o st o f 1945. P a y m e n ts to M exico f o r tra v e l d u r in g 1945 w ere e stim a te d as a p p ro a c h in g th o se a t th e b e g in n in g o f th e w a r. T ra v e l to M ex ican b o rd e r c ities sh ow ed a ste a d y in crea se d u r in g th e 10 y e a rs p re c e d in g 1940. I n th e e a rly y e a rs o f th e w a r, th e ris e becam e m o re r a p id , o w in g to th e lo c a tio n close to th e M ex ican b o rd e r o f la rg e m ilita ry cam ps. A rm y p e rso n n e l ta k in g a d v a n ta g e o f th e ir p ro x im ity to a fo re ig n c o u n try , tra v e le d in n e a rb y M ex ican a re as. B y f a r th e g re a te r p o rtio n o f re c e ip ts by th e U n ite d S ta te s f o r tra v e l b y M ex ican re s id e n ts re s u lts fro m e x p e n d itu re s in to w n s close to th e in te rn a tio n a l b o u n d a ry . T h e se e x p e n d itu re s a re m a d e f o r th e m o st p a r t b y M exicans w ho cross re g u la rly to sh o p on th e A m e ric a n side, a n d c on seq u en tly do n o t follow n o r m a l tr a v e l t r e n d s ; th e y v a ry in a c c o rd ance w ith th e p o p u la tio n o f, a n d s ta n d a r d o f liv in g in , a d ja c e n t M ex ican co m m u n ities. E x p e n d itu re s m a d e in th e U n ite d S ta te s b y M ex ican re sid e n ts d u r in g th e p e rio d 1940 th ro u g h 1945 sh ow ed only a n in c o n seq u e n tia l v a r ia tio n fro m th e a v erag e s e sta b lish e d in th e la te 1930’s, a lth o u g h th e tr e n d w as c o n siste n tly u p w a rd . T h e ris e d u rin g th e p e rio d w as a p p ro x im a te ly 20 p e rc e n t over th e low o f $31 m illio n e stim a te d f o r M ex ica n tr a v e l in 1940, re c e ip ts to ta lin g a b o u t $37 m illio n in 1945. O u tlo o k f o r F o r e ig n T r a v e l S in c e re c re a tio n a l tr a v e l is la rg e ly o f th e lu x u ry ty p e , i t is e x trem e ly se n sitiv e to flu c tu a tio n s in g e n e ra l econom ic c o n d itio n s. N o n re cre atio n a l tr a v e l, th o u g h less a c u te ly su sce ptib le, also fo llo w s m a jo r eco nom ic c h an g e s to a m a rk e d degree, since tr a v e l f o r bu sin ess rea so n s ob v io u sly is in fluen ced b y g e n e ra l bu sin ess c o n d itio n s. D u r in g th e 2 0 -ye ar p e rio d p re c e d in g W o rld W a r I I , th e tr e n d o f e x p e n d itu re s f o r fo r e ig n tr a v e l w as fo u n d to b e closely r e la te d to th e b e h a v io r o f n a tio n a l incom e. I n th e 1940-45 p e rio d p o w e rfu l fa c to rs, su ch a s tra n s p o rta tio n s h o rt ages, la c k o f to u ris t a cc om m od ations, a n d re g u la tio n s p re v e n tin g re c re a tio n a l tr a v e l to m a n y a rea s, e x erte d a con sp icu o u s r e s tr a in t on 63 tr a v e l, w ith th e n e t re s u lt t h a t p re v io u sly e x istin g re la tio n s h ip s be tw e en tra v e l e x p e n d itu re s a n d n a tio n a l incom e w ere in te rr u p te d (see c h a rts 16 a n d 17). I t is rea so n ab le to ex p ect t h a t w h e n th e re s tr ic tio n s on tra v e l due to tr a n s p o rta tio n sh o rta g e s a n d in a d e q u a te to u ris t a cco m m o d atio n s in m a n y fo re ig n c o u n trie s h a v e been rem oved, p a y m en ts f o r fo r e ig n tr a v e l w ill once m o re occupy th e sam e re la tio n s h ip to n a tio n a l incom e as t h a t e x h ib ite d in th e in te rw a r p e rio d . I n a d d itio n to n a tio n a l incom e, th e re a re n u m ero u s o th e r fa c to rs w h ic h exercise a p o w e rfu l influence u p o n fo re ig n tra v e l. I m m ig r a tio n , w ith its re s u lta n t in crea se in th e fo re ig n -b o rn p o p u la tio n o f th e n a tio n , e x erts a p ro fo u n d effect u p o n tr a v e l, w h ich m a y be tra c e d la rg e ly to th e d e sire by n a tu ra liz e d c itize ns o r a lie n re s id e n ts to v is it th e c o u n trie s o f th e ir o rig in . D u r in g th e tw e n tie th c e n tu ry , m ore th a n 19 m illio n im m ig ra n t a lien s, m ost o f w hom w ere b o rn in E u ro p e , w ere a d m itte d to th e U n ite d S ta te s f o r p e rm a n e n t residence. T h is u n q u e stio n a b ly h a d a n im p o r ta n t effect on tr a v e l a n d tra v e l p a tte rn s d u r in g th e in te rw a r p e rio d . A lth o u g h d u r in g th is p e rio d fo re ig n b o rn re sid e n ts ( th a t is, n a tu ra liz e d c itize n s p lu s alie n re sid e n ts o f th e U n ite d S ta te s) a cc ou n ted f o r o n ly a b o u t 10 p e rc e n t o f th e to ta l p o p u la tio n , m o re th a n 50 p e rc e n t o f a ll th e A m e ric a n tra v e le rs d e p a rtin g f o r p a ss p o rt a re a s w ere b o rn in fo re ig n c ou n tries. A s w o u ld be ex p ected fro m th e o rig in o f im m ig ra tio n d u rin g th e c e n tu ry , th e m a jo rity o f re sid e n ts d e p a rtin g f o r overseas w ere d e stin e d f o r E u ro p e a n c o u n trie s, d e p a rtu re s b y re s id e n ts f o r E u ro p e in th e 1920’s a m o u n tin g to 66 p e rc e n t o f to ta l d e p a rtu re s . D e p a rtu re s f o r E u ro p e b y alie n re s id e n ts alone a cc ou n ted f o r 87 p e rc e n t o f to ta l o v e r sea d e p a rtu re s by such resid e n ts. Q u o ta re s tric tio n s p lac ed in 1921 a n d 1924 on im m ig ra tio n fro m a ll c o u n trie s e x ce p t in d e p e n d e n t c oun tr ie s in th e W e s te rn H e m isp h e re caused a s h a rp decline in im m ig ra tio n . T h is d eclin e c o n tin u ed th ro u g h th e 1930’s, th e 1940 census refle ctin g th e first d e ce n n ial decline in th e fo re ig n -b o rn w h ite p o p u la tio n . I t is im p o ssib le to p ro p h e sy w h a t o u r im m ig ra tio n policies m ay be in th e f u tu re . H o w e v e r, i f th e y c o n tin u e u n c h a n g e d fro m th e p resen t, a m o re r a p id decline in th e n u m b e r o f fo re ig n -b o rn re sid e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s w ill re su lt. T h is decline w ill u n q u e stio n ab ly be reflected in a n e v e n tu a l decrease in n u m b ers o f fo re ig n -b o rn re sid e n ts tr a v e lin g a b ro a d , e sp ecially in view o f th e fa c t t h a t ties to th e m o th e r c o u n try te n d to becom e w eakened as tim e passes. T ra v e l to p a s s p o rt a re a s by n a tiv e -b o rn citizens, w h ich h a d declined d u r in g th e d e p ressio n , tu rn e d u p w a rd in 1934, a n d in 1937 exceeded th e 1929 level. I f th is tr e n d co n tin u e s, a n y decreases in tr a v e l by fo re ig n -b o rn re sid e n ts m ay be m o re th a n offset by in c rea sed tr a v e l by n a tiv e -b o rn citizens, in m a n y o f w hom in te re s t in fo re ig n c o u n trie s h a s been a ro u se d by th e w a r. A n o th e r im p o r ta n t influence u p o n fo r e ig n tra v e l is th e in crease in speed a n d c o m fo rt o f tra n s p o rta tio n to d is ta n t a reas. U n d e r th e w a rtim e necessity fo r s h o rte n in g a n d sp ee d in g u p su p p ly lin es, in te r n a tio n a l tr a n s p o rta tio n m a d e strid e s w h ich co u ld n o t conceivab ly h a v e been eq u aled d u r in g tim es o f peace. D u r in g 1929, w h e n com m ercial a ir tra n s p o rta tio n w as in a u g u ra te d b e tw e en th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d oversea c o u n trie s, 4,000 p a sse n g ers d e p a rte d by a ir f o r oversea d e stin a tio n s. T h is volum e h a d tre b le d b y 1935, a n d d u r in g 1940 m o re th a n 40,000 c iv ilia n p a sse n g e rs le f t th e U n ite d S ta te s by a ir f o r oversea c ou n tries. M a ritim e losses due 64 r * C hart 1 6 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN U. S. TRAVEL PAYMENTS TO REMOTE AREAS AND NATIONAL INCOME 500 0 50 100 N A T IO N A L NOTE: REM O TE R E G R E S S IO N AR EAS L IN E W AS IN C L U D E F IT T E D IN C O M E E U R O P E , A S IA , TO DATA FO R - A F R IC A , 1 9 2 1 -3 8 . 150 B IL L IO N S O C E A N IA , OF AND 200 DO LLARS SOUTH A M E R IC A , ._ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 7 - 3 1 4 65 C h art 1 7 R ELATIO NSH IP B E T W E E N U. S . T R A V E L PAYM ENTS TO N EARBY A R E A S AND NATIO NAL INCOME NOTE- NEARBY AR EAS R E G R E S S IO N 66 L IN E W AS IN C L U D E F IT T E D CANADA, TO DATA M E X IC O , W E S T FO R 1 9 2 1 -3 8 . IN D IE S , AND CENTRAL A M E R IC A . 4 7 -3 1 6 -s * to su b m a rin e w a rfa re a n d th e co n v ersio n o f th e su rv iv in g sh ip s w ith p a sse n g e r c a p a c ity to m ilita ry uses d u r in g th e w a r y e a rs com bined to s tim u la te f u r th e r th e g ro w th o f a ir tr a v e l, so t h a t d u rin g 1945 n e a rly 134,000 c iv ilia n s w ere c a rrie d b y a ir to oversea p o in ts. I n 1940 o u tb o u n d a ir traffic fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s to c o u n trie s o th e r th a n C a n a d a a n d M exico a cc ou n ted f o r less th a n 20 p e rc e n t o f to ta l o u t b o u n d p a ss e n g e rs; h o w ev er, b y 1945, tra v e l b y a ir a cc ou n ted f o r n e a rly 60 p e rc e n t o f to ta l a ir a n d sea d e p a rtu re s . T h e d e ve lo p m e nt o f a ir tr a n s p o r ta tio n w ill p re se n t new o p p o rtu n i tie s f o r fo r e ig n tra v e l to th e in d iv id u a l w hose tim e is lim ite d a n d w h o h e re to fo re w as r e s tr ic te d to a v a c a tio n sp e n t lo ca lly . T o w h a t e x te n t th is w ill re p re se n t a d iv e rsio n fro m dom estic to fo r e ig n tra v e l o r fro m n e a rb y fo r e ig n to m o re d is ta n t c o u n trie s i t is im possib le to d e term in e. A d d itio n a l influences te n d in g to in crea se fo r e ig n tr a v e l a re f a v o r able e x ch an g e ra te s, th e in crea se in p a id v a ca tio n s a n d le n g th e n in g o f v a c a tio n p e rio d s, a n d w o rld -w id e im p ro v e d econom ic, social, a n d p o litic a l co n d itio n s. M an y c o u n trie s a re m a k in g c o n certed e ffo rts to a ttr a c t a n a b u n d a n t to u r is t tr a d e b y o fferin g in c rea sed fa c ilitie s a n d e n d e a v o rin g to a ro u se in te re s t in tr a v e l to th e ir c o u n trie s b y fo re ig n e rs. W ith th e u p w a rd tr e n d i n p a id v a ca tio n s, th e in crea se in sp eed a n d c o m fo rt o f tr a n s p o rta tio n , th e aw ak e n e d in te re st in fo re ig n c o u n trie s d u e to th e w a r, a n d ren ew e d fo re ig n efforts to a ttr a c t to u rists, th e d y n a m ic re la tio n s h ip o f tra v e l o u tla y s to n a tio n a l incom e e x h ib ite d d u r in g th e 1920’s m a y a g a in p r e v a il, w ith tra v e l p a y m e n ts ris in g to u n p re c e d e n te d levels. In c o m e A on I n v e s t m e n t s 16 A sig n ific a n t m easu re o f th e in te rn a tio n a l c re d ito r o r d e b to r p o si tio n o f a c o u n try is th e excess o f re c e ip ts o r p a y m e n ts o f in te rn a tio n a l p ro p e rty incom e— d iv id e n d s, b ra n c h p rofits, a n d in te re s t.17 (See ta b le 13 a n d a p p e n d ix C, ta b le X I V ) . B y th is c rite rio n , th e U n ite d S ta te s c o n tin u ed to m a in ta in a s tro n g c re d ito r p o s itio n th ro u g h o u t th e w a r, d e sp ite th e fa c t t h a t a c o n tin u ed rise in th e v a lu e o f fo r e ig n assets in th e U n ite d S ta te s le f t th is c o u n try a n e t d e b to r b y conven tio n a l d e fin itio n (see ta b le 2 7 ). N e t a n n u a l re c e ip ts on incom e ac c o u n t ra n g e d fro m a b o u t $355 m illio n to $410 m illio n d u r in g th e w a r p e rio d — w ell above th e 1937-39 a verag e. L a rg e r n e t re c e ip ts re su lte d solely fro m th e w a rtim e de cline o f in com e p a id to fo re ig n e rs, as g ro ss re c e ip ts also fell, a lth o u g h to a con sid era b ly less e x te n t. B o th re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts w ere f a r below th e volum e o f th e la te 1920’s, w h en th e la rg e a m o u n t o f sh o rt-te rm c a p ita l o u ts ta n d in g w as a co n sid e ra b le so urce o f in te rn a tio n a l incom e a n d A m e ric a n h o ld in g s o f fo re ig n d o lla r b o n d s y ield e d $300 m illio n to $400 m illio n a n n u a lly (see c h a r t 18) . R e c eip ts o f in te re s t b y th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t, a lth o u g h in c re a s in g d u rin g th e w a r, w ere s till re la tiv e ly u n im p o r ta n t b y 1945. 10 P r e p a r e d b y M i l t o n A b e l s o n , I n v e s t m e n t S e c t i o n , - w i t h t h e a s s i s t a n c e o f S a m u e l P i z e r , F r e d e r ic k C u tle r , S a r a E . B ie lo u s s , a n d S e ik o N . W a k a b a y a s h i. 17 F o r a t e c h n ic a l d e s c r ip t io n o f t h e it e m s in c lu d e d u n d e r t h e g e n e r a l te r m “ in c o m e in v e s t m e n t s ,” s e e a p p e n d ix B . I n p a r tic u la r i t s h o u ld b e n o te d t h a t u n d is tr ib u te d e a r n in g s o f s u b s id ia r ie s a r e n o t in c lu d e d . 67 on C hart 18 V . S . R e c e ip ts F r o m F o r e ig n I n v e s tm e n ts R ec eip ts o f incom e fro m A m e ric a n in v estm e n ts in fo re ig n c o u n tr ie s re m a in e d re la tiv e ly h ig h th ro u g h o u t th e p e rio d 1940-45. T h e r e tu r n to A m e ric a n co m p an ies on th e ir e q u ity in d ire c t in v e stm e n ts a v e ra g e d 5.1 p e rc e n t d u r in g th e w a r ; w h ile t h a t to h o ld e rs o f d o lla r b o n d s a v e ra g e d 3.5 p e rc e n t o f p a r v a lu e , d e sp ite th e fa c t t h a t close to 30 p e rc e n t o f th e b on ds w ere in d e fa u lt a n d f o r th e m o st p a r t p a id no in te re s t. In c re a s e d r e tu rn s fro m A m eric a n -c o n tro lle d e n te rp rise s 68 Tabl e 13.—In c o m e o n in v e s tm e n ts , 19J/0-45 [I n m illio n s of dollars] 1940 It e m 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 R e c e ip ts T o t a l. .................... .............. .............. ............... 564 544 514 508 572 555 P r i v a t e _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _______ _________ ____ L o n g -te rm __________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____________ D ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts 2- ......... . _ ......... ............... C o m m o n d iv id e n d s _____ _ __ __ __ __ __ _ P re fe r re d d iv id e n d s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ I n te r e s t....... ................................ — ......... B ra n c h p r o f i t s . ______ _____________ P o rtfo lio in v e s tm e n ts ______________ _ _ _ _ _ _ D o lla r b o n d s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ M is c e lla n e o u s ............. ................... ............ S h o rt -te rm _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ U . S. G o v e r n m e n t,____ ___ ____ _ _____________ 561 555 413 271 7 38 97 142 82 60 6 3 535 530 400 219 9 40 132 130 79 51 5 9 496 492 358 168 10 33 127 134 79 55 497 593 368 215 7 38 108 125 72 53 539 534 392 166 7 35 184 142 77 65 5 16 4 4 18 11 556 552 418 182 6 35 195 134 70 64 4 16 P a y m e n ts ____ _ ______ 210 187 159 155 161 168 P r i v a t e . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ __________ L o n g -te rm 3___ _ __ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ ______________ D ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts 2_----- ----------- ----- ----D iv id e n d s __ _____________________ I n te r e s t_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ __ __ __ __ _ B ra n c h p r o f it s . _ __ __ __ __ __ _____ _ P o rtfo lio in v e s tm e n ts _____ _____________ U . S. G o v e r n m e n t. __________________ _______ .. 204 204 65 50 3 12 139 6 181 181 151 151 42 32 1 9 109 8 146 146 41 32 2 7 105 9 149 149 154 154 45 36 1 8 109 14 T o t a l . . . ___ ________ c i m « « 5 181 6 44 36 1 7 105 12 N e t re c e ip ts ( + ) o r p a y m e n ts ( —) T o t a l . ___ _____ ________ _______ ______ P riv a te . ___ _______________ - ----- ------------U . S. G o v e r n m e n t . . . ....... ...... ........ .......... ............ . + 354 + 3 57 + 355 +353 +411 +387 + 357 -3 + 3 54 + 345 +10 + 351 + 407 +4 +385 + 3 + 2 + 2 1 A fte r ta x e s. E x c lu d e s p a y m e n ts a n d re c e ip ts of ro y a ltie s , r e n ts , a n d fees for m a n a g e m e n t services re n d e r e d b y p a r e n t c o m p a n ie s. T h e se a re n o t tr e a te d a s r e tu r n o n in v e s tm e n t b u t a r e in c lu d e d u n d e r m is c e llan eo u s se rv ic es. 2 E x c lu d in g re tu r n s to in su ra n c e c o m p a n ie s, w h ic h h a v e b e e n in c lu d e d w ith o th e r in su ra n c e tra n s a c ti o n s u n d e r m isc e lla n e o us services. 3 P a y m e n ts o n sh o rt- te rm in v e s tm e n ts w e re n il. 4 In c lu d e d w it h p ortfo lio in v e s tm e n ts . * In c lu d e s d ir e c t-in v e st m e n t p a y m e n ts . i. j e n g a g e d in th e p ro d u c tio n , refin in g , a n d d is tr ib u tio n o f p e tro le u m a n d in th e p ro d u c tio n o f a g r ic u ltu ra l p ro d u c ts ( p a rtic u la rly su g a r in C u b a ) p a r tly offset th e declines fro m o th e r d ire c t in v e stm e n ts a n d d o l la r bonds. In co m e re c e ip ts w ere m a in ta in e d a t a h ig h leVel d e sp ite th e loss o f incom e on b o th d ire c t a n d p o rtf o lio in v estm e n ts fro m A x is-c o n tro lle d te rrito rie s , w h ich h a d p ro v id e d ro u g h ly $65 m illio n in 1939.18 M oreover, d iv id e n d p a y m en ts to th e U n ite d S ta te s fro m d ire c t in v e s tm e n ts a b ro a d w ere c o n sid e ra b ly less th a n a c tu a l e a rn in g s, since a la rg e p a r t o f th e la tt e r w as in v ested in p la n t e x p a n sio n a b ro a d o r w as a p p a re n tly h e ld a b ro a d , in a t le a st one c o u n try , in e x p e cta tio n o f a m o re fa v o ra b le e xch an g e ra te a f te r th e w a r. A n o th e r fa c to r a c c o u n tin g fo r lo w e r d iv id e n d re c e ip ts m a y h a v e been a d e sire on th e p a r t o f A m erican ' p a r e n t com p anies to red u ce th e re c e ip t o f incom e fro m a b ro a d a t a tim e w hen dom estic p ro fits a n d ta x r a te s w ere h ig h . 18 C e r t a i n o c c u p ie d c o u n t r i e s , n o t a b l y N o r w a y , D e n m a r k , B e l g i u m , a n d F r a n c e , c o n t i n u e d i n t e r e s t s e r v i c e o n t h e i r d o l l a r b o n d s w i t h f u n d s h e ld i n f o r e i g n c o u n t r i e s . 69 I n c o m e R e c e ip t s o n D ir e c t I n v e s t m e n t s M a in t a in e d In c o m e o n A m e ric a n d ire c t in v estm e n ts a b ro a d , w h ich in 1944 com p r is e d a lm o st th re e -fo u rth s o f to ta l in v e stm e n t incom e received fro m a b ro a d , d eclin e d v e ry little b e tw e en 1939 a n d 1945— fro m $400 m illio n to $392 m illio n , a f te r f a llin g to $358 m illio n in 1942 a n d re a c h in g a p e a k o f $418 m illio n in 1944. T h e d ro p in 1942 re s u lte d m a in ly fro m th e e lim in a tio n o f incom e fro m enem y a n d enem y-occupied c ou n tries, w h ic h h a d a m o u n te d to $53 m illio n in 1940 a n d to $25 m illio n in 1941. I n su b seq u en t y e a rs th e loss w as olfset la rg e ly b y e n h a n c ed re c e ip ts on p e tro le u m in v estm e n ts, p a r tic u la r ly fro m L a tin A m erica. B y 1944, to ta l re c e ip ts fro m p r o p e rtie s n o t u n d e r enem y c o n tro l w ere a p p a re n tly a t th e h ig h e st level e v er rec o rd e d . A s in d ic a te d in c h a r t 19 th e n e t e a rn in g s ra tio s o f A m e ric a n comp a n ie s o p e ra tin g a b ro a d w ere h ig h e r d u r in g 1940 a n d 1941 th a n th ose o b ta in e d b y c o rp o ra tio n s on in v este d c a p ita l in th e U n ite d S ta te s, a l th o u g h th e s itu a tio n c h a n g ed ra p id ly d u r in g th e n e x t 2 y e ars as incom e fro m A m e ric a n e n te rp rise s in A x is-c o n tro lle d a re a s w as c u t off a n d d o m e stic e n te rp ris e s e a rn e d in c re a sin g ly la r g e r p rofits. T h e r a te o f p ro fit (n e t e a rn in g s to n e t e q u ity ) o f A m eric an d ire c t in v e stm e n ts a b ro a d w as h ig h e s t in n e a rly e v ery y e a r on ste rlin g a re a in v estm e n ts, w h ich p ro d u c e d a n a v era g e o f 10.1 p e rc e n t f o r th e 1941-45 p e rio d (see ta b le 1 4 ). T h e r a te o f p ro fit on in v estm en ts in th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics f o r th e sam e p e rio d a v era g e d 9.6 p e rc e n t, a n d in 1944 w as 10.9 p e rce n t. H o w e v e r, th e ra te o f p ro fit fro m U n ite d Tabl e 14.— R a tio s o f in co m e a n d n e t e a r n in g s 1 to A m e ric a n e q u ity in fo re ig n su b sid ia rie s a n d b ra nch es, b y area s, 1940-45, a n d a vera g e fo r th e p e r io d 2 [V a lu e in m illio n s of d olla rs; ra tio s in p e rc e n t] I te m 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 A v e r age 1 9 4 0 -4 5 ALL A REA S A m e ric a n e q u ity in d ire c t in v e s tm e n ts a b ro a d . R a tio of in c o m e to e q u i t y _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ R a tio of n e t e a rn in g s to e q u i t y ....... . .............. S T E R L IN G 7 ,2 6 8 7 ,4 6 2 7 ,6 8 9 7 ,8 0 2 7 ,8 8 4 8 ,0 3 4 5 .7 5 .4 4 .7 4 .7 5 .3 4 .9 7 ,6 9 0 5 .1 6 .3 7 .8 7 .1 7 .0 7 .5 6 .8 3 7 .1 AREA A m e r ic a n e q u ity in d irect in v e s tm e n ts a b ro a d . R a tio of in c o m e to e q u i t y ......... . ....... ........ R a t io of n e t e a rn in g s to e q u i t y ______ _____ 746 8 .2 n .s.s. 814 864 900 930 5 .8 6 .2 6 .7 6 .1 5 .6 6 .4 1 0 .5 1 0 .0 857 1 0 .0 9 .9 9 .0 3 1 0 .1 2 ,1 7 5 852 CANADA A m e r ic a n e q u ity in d ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts a b ro a d . R a t io of in c o m e to e q u i t y _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ __ __ __ R a t io of n e t e a rn in g s to e q u i t y ...... ............ . 2 ,1 1 4 2 ,3 4 6 2 ,4 1 7 2 ,2 6 9 5 .5 2 ,2 4 8 5 .1 2 ,3 1 6 6 .0 4 .8 4 .3 3 .8 6 .5 8 .0 8 .3 7 .6 6 .4 6 .3 4 .9 7 .2 2 ,7 3 7 A M E R IC A N R E P U B L IC S A m e ric a n e q u ity in d ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts a b ro a d . R a tio of in c o m e to e q u i t y . ......... ......... ...... R a tio of n e t e a rn in g s to e q u i t y ______ ____ _ 2, 594 2 ,6 4 3 2 ,7 1 9 2, 712 2 ,8 3 5 n .s.s. 5 .9 6 .8 9 .4 6 .5 6 .6 8 .9 9 .0 8 .9 1 0 .9 7 .8 9 .3 1 ,8 1 4 1 ,8 3 0 1 ,8 6 5 1 ,8 8 5 1 ,9 2 6 1 ,8 5 2 1.1 1 ,8 6 2 1 .4 2 .9 2 .6 ' 1.8 « 2 .6 2 ,7 0 7 7 .1 3 9.6 OTHER A m e ric a n e q u ity in d ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts a b ro a d . R a tio of in c o m e to e q u i t y ___ ____________ R a tio of n e t e a rn in g s to e q u i t y _ __ __ __ __ __ _ 3 .9 n .s.s. 2 .9 0 .8 1.0 4 .0 1 .3 2 .1 1 F(>r p u rp o se s of th is ta b le , in c o m e re fe rs to a c tu a l re c e ip ts b y th e U n ite d S ta te s a s re fle cte d in th e b a la n c e o f-p a y m e n t, w h ile n e t e a rn in g s in c lu d e , in a d d itio n , u n d is tr ib u te d p ro fits of fo re ig n s u b sid ia rie s . 2 D oe s n o t in c lu d e in v e s tm e n ts in in su ra n c e co m p a n ie s. 31941-45. n .s .s . N o t sh o w n s e p a r a te ly . 70 •- C h art 1 9 COMPARATIVE INCOME ON AMERICAN DIRECT INVESTMENTS ABROAD, FOREIGN INVESTMENTS IN THE U. S., AND INVESTMENTS IN DOMESTIC CORPORATIONS, BY CLASS OF INVESTMENT. PERCENT R A T IO 3 OF D IV ID E N D S TO M A R KE T VALU E. - 2 __________ L 1940 N O T E : FO R 1941 A D E S C R IP T IO N 7 6 9 1 5 5 — 48- 6 1942 O F EAC H S E R IE S S E E 1943 NO TES IN A P P E N D IX 1944 C 1945 A 7 -3 2 6 71 S ta te s in v e stm e n ts in L a tin A m e ric a te n d s to be m o d e ra te in th e a g g re g a te , because o f th e la rg e volum e o f A m e ric a n p u b lic -u tility in v e stm e n ts in t h a t re g io n , on w h ic h th e r a te o f r e tu r n h a s h is to ric a lly been v e ry low. F o r in sta n ce , in 1943 th e U n ite d S ta te s in v e stm en t in L a tin A m e ric a n p u b lic u tilitie s w a s v a lu e d a t m o re th a n th re e q u a rte rs o f a b illio n d o lla rs b u t p a id o n ly a b o u t $25 m illio n to U n ite d S ta te s in v esto rs. T h e y ield to A m eric an s fro m fo re ig n in v e s tm e n ts 19 w as la rg e s t fro m th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics d u r in g th e w a r p e rio d , b o th in d o lla r te rm s a n d in re la tio n to v a lu e o f in v e stm e n t. T h e y ie ld s in re la tio n to v a lu e o f in v e s tm e n t fro m th e s te rlin g a re a a n d C a n a d a w ere lo w er, in th a t o rd e r. A m e ric a n incom e fro m th e “ O th e r” g ro u p (see ta b le 14) w as s h a r p ly re d u ce d , since m a n y o f th e A m e ric a n e n te r p rise s A vere in a re a s o ccupied by th e enem y. I n th e 5 -y e ar p e rio d 1941-45, A m e ric a n su b sid ia rie s a b ro a d e arn ed (in m illio n s o f d o lla rs) 1,839, p a id d iv id e n d s o f 968, a n d rein v e ste d 871 (see ta b le 1 5 ). T h e y ie ld to in v e s to rs on a ll A m e ric a n d ire c t in v e stm e n t c a p ita l a v e ra g ed 5.1 p e rc e n t d u rin g 1940-45. A m e ric a n R e p u b lics .— I n te rm s o f d o lla rs th e la rg e s t incom e r e c eip ts w ere fro m L a tin A m eric a, w h e re in ten sified e x p lo ita tio n o f p e tro le u m resources y ie ld ed $107 m illio n o f to ta l rec e ip ts o f $242 m il lion fro m a ll in d u strie s in th e a re a in 1944 (ta b le 1 6 ). T h e in crea sed p ro d u c tio n o f p e tro le u m , p rin c ip a lly in V enezuela, w as th e m a in f a c to r in in c re a sin g incom e fro m L a tin A m eric a, fro m 37 p e rc e n t o f U n ite d S ta te s incom e fro m d ire c t in v estm e n ts in 1940 to 56 p e rc e n t in 1945. P e tro le u m , m in in g , a n d a g ric u ltu re a cc ou n ted f o r a b o u t tw o -th ir d s to th re e -fo u rth s o f th e incom e received fro m L a tin A m erica. T h e p ro p o rtio n in c rea se d in th e la tte r p a r t o f th e Avar as U n ite d S ta te s p u rc h a se s o f th e o u tp u t o f th ese in d u strie s in crea se d a n d th e sh ip p in g s itu a tio n becam e less c r i tic a l; how ever, d e sp ite a la rg e o u tp u t, rec eip ts fro m L a tin A m e ric a n m in in g c o m p an ies c o n tro lle d b y A m eric an s d eclin ed a f te r 1941, o w in g p r im a r ily to ris in g o p e ra tin g costs. T h e effectiveness o f enem y su b m a rin e s (a n d th e g e n e ra l sh o rta g e o f s h ip p in g fa c ilitie s ) in p re v e n tin g th e sh ip m e n t o f p ro d u c ts fro m L a tin A m e ric a to th e U n ite d S ta te s is illu s tr a te d b y c han g e s in r e c eip ts o f p e tro le u m incom e. In c o m e fro m th a t in d u s try in L a tin A m eric a rose fro m $36.4 m illio n in 1940 to $47.5 m illio n in th e n e x t y e a r, o n ly to f a ll to $89.8 m illio n in 1942* a t th e h e ig h t o f th e enem y’s su b m a rin e a c tiv itie s in th is a re a. B y 1944, w hen o u r m ilita ry effo rt h a d v irtu a lly e lim in a te d th is m enace, incom e rose to $107.2 m illio n . T h e w o rld -w id e su g a r s h o rta g e b ro u g h t a b o u t by th e absence o f e x p o rts fro m som e o f th e m a jo r su g a r-p ro d u c in g c o u n trie s (th e R e p u b lic o f th e P h ilip p in e s a n d th e N e th e rla n d s In d ie s) a n d a n in c re ased d e m a n d f o r m ilita ry p u rp o se s boo sted su g a r p ric es a n d r e d o u n d e d to th e benefit o f p ro d u c e rs in th e W e st In d ie s. T h e com b in ed effect o f in creases in p ric e s a n d in C a rib b e a n p ro d u c tio n m ore th a n tr ip le d A m e ric a n incom e re c e ip ts betAveen 1940 a n d 1945. T h e a p p ro x im a te rise Avas fro m $5 m illio n to $18 m illio n . H o w e v e r, n o t a ll a g r ic u ltu ra l in v estm e n ts fa re d as w ell. T h e sh o rta g e o f sh ip p in g fa c ilitie s k e p t th e incom e fro m b a n a n a p la n ta tio n s a t a re la tiv e ly Ioav level u n til 1944. 19 Y ie ld ” i n c l u d e s o n l y a c t u a l r e c e i p t s b y A m e r i c a n s , w h i l e “ p r o f i t ” o r “ e a r n i n g s ” r e p r e s e n ts th e t o t a l A m e ric a n e q u ity in e a r n in g s o f th e fo re ig n e n te r p r is e , w h e th e r r e ta in e d a s re in v e s te d e a r n in g s o r p a id o u t to A m e ric a n s a s d iv id e n d s o r e a r n in g s . 72 Tabl e 15.—A m e ric a n in v e s tm e n ts in fo re ig n su b sid ia rie s: E a rn in g s o n co m m o n sto ck , co m m o n d iv id en d s, a n d re in v e s te d ea rn in g s,1 b y area s, i IOJO-J/5 [I n m illio n s of d ollars] S te rlin g a re a I te m C anada 2 A m eric a n R e p u b lic s O th e r T o ta l 1940 E a rn in g s o n c o m m o n s to c k _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ C o m m o n d iv id e n d s . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ R e in v e s te d e a rn in g s .......... ......... ........ .................... n . s. s. 49.9 n . s. s. 114. 6 104.5 10.1 n . s. s. 69.0 n . s. s. n . s. s. 47.1 n . s. s. 313.4 270. A 43.0 76.8 38.7 38.1 150.8 97.7 53.1 105.5 35.3 70.2 66.1 46.5 19.5 399.2 218.2 180.9 72.0 39.0 33.1 162.2 90.5 71.7 123. 3 54.4 68.9 14.7 3 .9 10.7 372.2 187. S 184.4 71.0 42.9 28.1 152. 6 86.5 66.1 136. 4 74.0 62.4 30.9 11.3 19.5 390. 9 214.7 176.2 75.5 40.8 34.7 130.3 80.2 50.1 107.0 54.0 53.1 41.6 6 .6 35.0 354.5 181.6 172. 9 69.9 38.5 31.4 129.0 69.4 59.6 96.7 51. 9 44.8 26.7 6.2 20.5 322.3 166. 1 156.3 365.3 200.0 165.3 724.9 424.3 300.6 569.0 269. 6 299.4 180.0 74.6 105.3 1,839.1 968. 5 870.6 1941 E a r n in g s o n c o m m o n s to c k .......... ..................... ...... C o m m o n d iv id e n d s ------------ -------------- --------R e in v e s te d e a rn in g s................................................. 1942 E a r n in g s o n c o m m o n s to c k ....... ....................... ........ C o m m o n d iv id e n d s ----- ------ ------------------ . . . R e in v e s te d e a rn in g s -------------------- . . . -------1943 E a r n in g s o n c o m m o n s to c k .......... ..................... ...... C o m m o n d iv id e n d s .......... ........... .......................... . R e in v e s te d e a rn in g s -------------------- -------1944 E a rn in g s o n c o m m o n s to c k ....... ............. ................ . C o m m o n d iv id e n d s _______ ____ ______ _ _ _ _ _ R e in v e s te d e a rn in g s ----------------------------- -------1945 E a rn in g s o n c o m m o n s to c k ----------------------------C o m m o n d iv id e n d s . ________ . . . -- --------R e in v e s te d e a rn in g s ------------------------------------T o ta l, 1941-45 E a rn in g s o n c o m m o n s to c k -----------------------C o m m o n d iv id e n d s . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ________ R e in v e s te d e a rn in g s ................... - -------- ------------ 1 F o re ig n su b sid ia rie s for th is p u r p o se a re c o m p a n ie s in c o rp o ra te d a b ro a d 25 p e r c e n t or m o re of w ho se v o tin g sh a re s w ere h e ld in th e U n ite d S ta te s . I n c lu d e d in th is c o m p ila tio n , th e refo re , w ere c o m p a n ie s t h a t w ere closely h e ld a n d th o se w ho se s h a r e s w ere w id e ly sc a tte re d a m o n g U n ite d S ta te s h o ld e rs. B ra n c h e s w e re e x c lud e d from th is ta b le . 2 E a rn in g s h a v e b e e n re d u c e d to th e e x te n t of w ith h o ld in g ta x e s p a id o n d iv id e n d s w h ic h ra n g e from $4 m illio n to $8 m illio n . n . s. s. N o t s h o w n se p a r a te ly . N .—D ot e e ta il w ill n o t n e c e ssa rily a d d to to ta ls b e c a u se of r o u n d in g . t h a n fo r o th e r y ea rs. Tabl e 16.—In c o m e D a t a for 1940 a re less c o m p le te rec eive d fr o m A m er ica n d ire ct in v e s tm e n ts , b y area a n d in d u s tr y , 19JfO-45 1 [In m illio n s of dollars] * A re a a n d i n d u s tr y 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 A ll a rea s, to ta l. 412.5 400.4 358.3 367.8 418.0 392.1 M a n u f a c tu r in g ------D is tr i b u ti o n _ _ _ _ _ _ _ A g r ic u ltu r e - .............. P a p e r a n d p u l p ____ F is h in g _____ _____ M in in g a n d sm e ltin g P e t r o l e u m . . ......... . P u b lic u til itie s ------M isce lla n e o u s 3------U n d is tr ib u ta b le ........ 112.9 34.6 13.3 8 .0 (2> 86.3 93.7 35.8 22.2 5 .6 105.8 28.5 18.3 7.1 (2> 89.1 90.9 37.5 17.8 5.5 97.5 25.5 22.5 5 .2 p) 79. 6 66.7 40.3 15.3 5 .7 96.5 29.8 18.3 6.3 m 75.4 77.7 42.1 15.5 6 .2 85.4 31.0 28.7 5 .4 (2) 64.8 140.0 42. 6 14.3 5 .8 76.2 30.4 30.6 9 .6 p) 50.9 137.8 38.5 12.3 5 .7 1945 S ee fo o tn o te s a t e n d o f ta b le . 73 Tabl e 16.—In c o m e rece ive d fr o m A m er ica n d irec t in v e s tm e n ts , b y a rea a n d in d u s tr y , 1940-45 A re a a n d in d u s tr y 1940 S te rlin g a re a , to t a l ............................. . .............. D is tr ib u tio n ____ ____ ____ ____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ M in in g a n d s m e lt in g ................. ................................ . P e tr o le u m _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ P u b li c u ti litie s _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ ____ ______ U n d is tr ib u ta b le ........... ...... ........... .............................. . C a n a d a , to ta l___ ________ ________________ 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 61.1 47.3 53.4 58.1 54.5 52.1 26.7 12.2 1.9 2.1 13.7 .1 4.3 .1 23.2 10.5 1.1 10.1 .1 2 .2 .1 22.5 10.1 .2 1.6 14.3 .2 4 .4 .1 24.2 12.0 .2 1.8 15.1 .1 4 .6 .1 21.3 11.3 .2 1.2 17.5 .1 2 .8 .1 20.2 13.0 .3 .7 16.3 .1 1.4 .1 127.6 120.6 114.0 109.5 101.0 93.0 51.8 6 .3 .1 8 .0 50.3 4.1 .1 7.1 44.3 3 .8 .1 6.3 w 25.1 6 .2 16.8 1.2 5 .7 41.1 3 .8 .1 5 .4 « 24.7 4 .7 14.7 1.2 5.3 34.4 4 .0 .1 9 .6 0 20.9 4 .6 13.2 1.0 5 .2 U n d u s tr i b u ta b l e .. _____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 31.2 5 .3 16.6 3 .2 5.1 32.0 7.1 14.1 .7 5.1 51.0 4.1 .1 5 .2 « 25.8 6 .2 15.4 1.0 5 .2 A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s, to t a l _____ ____ ________ 152.9 179.2 176.6 180.9 241.7 220.1 ____ 20. 2 9 .8 11.3 53.0 36.4 16.9 4 .9 .4 18.8 9.9 18.1 56.0 47.5 21.8 6 .8 .3 21.5 11.5 22.2 52.2 39.8 24.5 4 .5 .4 21. 9 11.7 18.0 48.5 51.1 24.8 4 .5 .4 21.7 14.9 28.4 38.9 107.2 25.1 5.0 .4 18.0 12.5 30.2 29.3 100.8 25.2 3.7 .4 O th e r, to ta l____ ___ ________ _____ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ 70.8 53.3 14.3 19.3 20.8 26.8 14.2 6 .3 38.3 2. 2 9 .8 « 13.5 4.0 26.2 1. 5 8.1 2 .5 - 0 .2 6 .4 .2 5.4 6 .0 2.3 5.3 .4 5.3 « 1.3 1.1 10.5 2 .6 5.3 0 3.6 .9 16.1 D is tr i b u ti o n .____ _____ _ _____________ _____ A g r ic u ltu r e ............... ........... ......... . ............. ...... ........... P a p e r a n d p u l p ----------------------------------------------F is h in g _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ P e tr o le u m ......................... ......... ... ............. ........ ....... P u b li c u til itie s — ................. ......... ...... .............. ........... D is tr i b u ti o n ___ ____________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ A g r ic u ltu r e ......... ........ ......... ............. ........... ... ............. . M in in g a n d s m e lt in g ....................... ............................... P e tr o le u m -------------------- -------- ------------- - ------P u b li c u tilitie s .............................. ........ . .............. .......... U n d u s tr ib u ta b le _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _______ _ D i s t r i b u t i o n . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ P e tr o le u m __________ ________ _ _ _ _ _ _________ _ M isc ellan eo u s 3_ __ __ __ __ __ _ ____ ________ ______ 0 0 0 6.2 1 F o r a c ross-se ction v ie w of th e r e la tiv e y ie ld s for t h e v a rio u s in d u s tr ie s in 1943 a n d a d e ta ile d s ta te m e n t of th e ty p e s of in co m e re ce iv e d from e a c h in d u s tr y in 1944, see a p p e n d ix C , ta b le s X V I , X V I I , a n d X V I I I . 2 L ess t h a n $50,000. 3 In c lu d e s in c o m e fro m a g ric u ltu ra l a n d m in in g a n d sm e ltin g e n te rp r is e s o p e ra tin g in “ O th e r” a rea . ot e — D e ta il m a y n o t a d d to to ta ls b ec a u se of ro u n d in g . N . T h o u g h th e r e tu rn s fro m m a n u fa c tu rin g e n te rp rise s w ere f a irly stea d y , th e e x p erien ce w ith in th e in d u s try w as n o t u n ifo rm . A u to m o tiv e p ro fits v irtu a lly d isa p p e a re d w h ile p h a rm a c e u tic a l p ro fits in creased c o n sid e ra b ly , o w in g in la rg e m ea su re to th e e lim in a tio n o f G e rm a n d r u g firm s in L a tin A m eric a th ro u g h th e c o o p e rativ e efforts o f th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics. In c re a s e d incom e fro m p u b lic u tilitie s reflected m a in ly in crea se d in d u s tria l a c tiv ity a n d th e consequent d e m a n d f o r electric p o w er, a n d th e in crea se d use o f te le p h o n e s a n d tr a n s p o rta tio n . A m o n g fa c to rs w h ich c o n trib u te d to m a in ta in th e flow o f incom e d u r in g th is p e rio d w ere th e in v estm e n t o f n ew c a p ita l in m a n u fa c tu r in g fa c ilitie s , in c lu d in g ru b b e r p ro d u c ts a n d te x tile s, a n d a g e n e ra l e asin g o f e xch an g e c o n tro ls a ffectin g re m itta n c e s o f incom e. C anada .— U n lik e r e tu rn s fro m L a tin A m eric a, d ire c t-in v e stm e n t incom e re c e ip ts fro m C a n a d a , d u r in g th e w a r y e ars, fe ll b o th ab so lu te ly a n d p ro p o rtio n a te ly to to ta l d ire c t-in v e stm e n t rec e ip ts, d e s p ite th e f a c t t h a t p ro fits a f te r ta x e s w ere h ig h e r d u r in g 1941-45 th a n in 1939 (see c h a r t 2 0 ). R ec eip ts d eclin ed fro m 31 p e rc e n t ($127.6 m illio n ) o f th e to ta l to 24 p e rc e n t ($93 m illio n ) in th is 6 -y e a r p e rio d , a n d y ield e d ju s t u n d e r 5 p e rce n t. 74 C hart 2 0 AM ERICAN DIRECT IN V E S T M E N T S IN CANADA: D IV ID EN D S AND EA RN ING S ON COMMON ST O C K , 1 9 3 8 - 4 5 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 175 REI NVEST ED EARNI NGS 150 D I VI D EN D S I III IIiIIiI 125 I 100 1938 NOTE- 1939 LI 1940 1941 1942 E A R N IN G S H A V E B E E N R E D U C E D B Y T H E A M O U N T W IT H H O L D I N G T A X E S P A I D O N D I V I D E N D S . OF 1943 1944 1945 C A N A D IA N T h e d eclin e in incom e receiv ed in th e U n ite d S ta te s a f te r 1939 m a y b e e x p la in e d as fo llo w s : (1) B e g in n in g w ith th e o u tb re a k o f th e w a r in 1939, C a n a d ia n e x ch an g e-co n tro l re g u la tio n s p re v e n te d th e re m itta n c e o f p re w a r p rofits. (2) T h e d e p re c ia tio n o f th e C a n a d ia n d o lla r m a y also h a v e affected a d v e rsely th e re m itta n c e o f d iv id e n d s a n d , o f course, re d u ce d th e ir U n ite d S ta te s d o lla r e q u iv alen t. (3 ) I n 1941 th e C a n a d ia n w ith h o ld in g ta x r a te on d iv id e n d s p a id b y C a n a d ia n s to re sid e n ts o f th e U n ite d S ta te s, b y a ll ex cep t w h o lly ow ned su b sid ia rie s, w as ra ise d to 15 p e rc e n t fro m 5 p e r cent. (4 ) D u r in g th is 6 -y e ar p e rio d , A m e ric a n d ire c t-in v e stm e n t com p anies in C a n a d a c o n trib u te d to th e e x p a n sio n o f C a n a d ia n in d u s tria l c a p a c ity b y re in v e stin g o v e r 35 p e rc e n t o f th e ir n e t e a rn in g s. 75 (5 ) T h e p ro d u c tio n o f g o ld w as d eem p h a size d as n o t esse ntial to th e w a r effort, th u s re d u c in g incom e on U n ite d S ta te s in v e s t m e n ts in g o ld -m in in g com panies. (6) D iv id e n d p a y m e n ts w ere p ro b a b ly w ith h e ld d u r in g 1945 in a n tic ip a tio n o f a r e tu r n o f th e C a n a d ia n d o lla r to p a r ity w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s d o lla r. T h e m a n u fa c tu rin g in d u s try a cc ou n ted fo r a n a v erag e o f a b o u t 40 p e rc e n t o f to ta l d ire c t-in v e stm e n t re c e ip ts fro m C a n a d a . In co m e fro m th is in d u stry , 75 p e rc e n t o f w h ich is g e n e ra lly in th e fo rm o f com m o n d iv id e n d s, d e clin e d by o n e -th ird in th e 6 -year p e rio d , a lth o u g h m a n u fa c tu rin g co m p an ies w ere fu lly e ng ag ed . T h e decrease a p p a r e n tly reflected a g e n e ra l c o rp o ra te p o licy o f fin a n c in g som e p la n t e x p a n sio n by re in v e stin g e a rn in g s, in asm u c h as 50 p e rc e n t o f n e t e a rn in g s w ere r e ta in e d by A m e ric a n d ire c t-in v e stm e n t co m p an ies e n g a g e d in m a n u fa c tu rin g in 1942. N ev erth eless, th e incom e p a id o u t b y th e in d u s try (in c lu d in g p a p e r a n d p u lp ) a m o u n ted to $50.6 m illio n in 1943, o r a r e tu r n o f 5.4 p e rc e n t on A m e ric a n c a p ita l. A b o u t onet h i r d o f th e in v e stm e n t in a ll C a n a d ia n m a n u fa c tu rin g com p anies w as A m e ric an -o w n ed in 1939.20 R ec eip ts fro m m in in g co m p an ies also d eclin ed b y a th ir d , fro m $31.2 m illio n in 1940 to $20.9 m illio n in 1945. T h e decrease reflected lo w er e a rn in g s, chiefly by g o ld -m in in g com panies, o w in g la rg e ly to th e ir in a b ility to o b ta in m uch -n eeded e q u ip m en t a n d to th e ir loss o f sk illed la b o r to e n te rp rise s m in in g w a r-ne cessary m etals. R ein v e sted e a rn in g s w ere n e g lig ib le in th is in d u stry , a v e ra g in g o n ly a few p e rc e n t of n e t incom e. R e tu rn s fro m in v estm e n ts in p u b lic u tilitie s declined by 20 p e rc e n t d u r in g th e w a r. S te rlin g area .— R ec eip ts o f incom e fro m th e U n ite d K in g d o m d e clin ed d u r in g th e w a r a n d , as a re su lt, acco u n ted f o r o n ly 49 p e rce n t o f th e to ta l fro m th e s te rlin g a re a in 1944, c o m p a re d w ith 59 p e rc en t in 1940. E a rn in g s o f A m eric an d ire c t-in v e stm e n t co m p an ies in th e U n ite d K in g d o m a p p a re n tly w ere so m e w h a t la r g e r in 1941 th a n in 1940 b u t, because th e re w as a s h a rp e r in crease in th e p ro p o rtio n r e in v este d in 1941, incom e receiv ed in th e U n ite d S ta te s d eclin e d fro m $35.8 m illio n to $26.2 m illio n . (S ee a p p e n d ix C, ta b le X V ) . Inco m e re c e ip ts in su bsequent y e a rs rose, fo llo w in g th e easin g o f e xch an ge re s tric tio n s. T h e d eclin e in incom e fro m S o u th A fric a o ccu rred in m a n u fa c tu r in g , o w in g in p a r t to a n in a b ility to o b ta in subassem blies fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s. O n th e o th e r h a n d , re ce ip ts fro m p e tro le u m e n te r p rises ra ise d s h a rp ly th e re c e ip ts fro m A u s tra lia , E g y p t, a n d I n d ia a n d a cc o u n ted f o r m o re th a n h a lf o f th e in crease in incom e fro m a ll e n te rp rise s in th e th re e c o u n trie s d u rin g th e w a r p erio d . W h ile re c o rded incom e re c e ip ts fro m p e tro le u m in v estm e n ts in th e s te rlin g a re a in crea se d , o u r figures do n o t in c lu d e th e p ro fits o f som e com p anies in th e M id d le E a s t t h a t follo w ed th e p ra c tic e o f n o t d e c la rin g d iv i dends. T h e effect o f w a r d a m a g e in th e ste rlin g a re a on e a rn in g s a n d d iv id e n d s is believed to h a v e been sm all. O th er areas .-—T h e incom e fro m e n te rp ris e s in o th e r a re a s d r o p p e d sh a r p ly , in asm u c h as these a re as in clu d e d th e enem y c o u n trie s a n d th e p rin c ip a l c o n tro lle d a n d in v a d e d c o u n tries. A f te r 1941, e a rn in g s a n d incom e fro m th o se c o u n trie s n o t u n d e r enem y d o m in a tio n rose. 2;l R e p o r t o f C o m m i s s io n e r s , C o m b in e s C a r t e l s , O t t a w a , O c t o b e r 1 0 , 194r>, p . 4 1 . 76 In v e s tig a tio n A c t, C anada and In te rn a tio n a l I n te r e s t R e c e ip ts o n D o lla r B o n d s C o n tin u e d to D e c lin e t . 4$ . T h e d eclin e in in te re s t re c e ip ts by A m e ric a n h o ld e rs o f fo re ig n d o l la r b o n ds t h a t b egan w ith w id e sp re a d d e fa u lts in 1981 c o n tin u e d d u r in g th e w a r p erio d , a lth o u g h in 1945 rec e ip ts in creased (see ta b le 1 7 ). A m o n g th e fa c to rs in flu en cin g th e level o f re c e ip ts a f te r 1939 w ere th e c o n tin u o u s a n d in c re a s in g a m o rtiz a tio n o f o u ts ta n d in g issues by C anadian-—a n d to a lesser e x te n t L a tin A m eric an — b o rro w ers a n d d e fa u lts by th e A x is p a r tn e rs a n d o v e rru n areas. S ince th e lim ite d a m o u n t o f new fo r e ig n b o rro w in g in th is c o u n try w as m a in ly fo r th e r e fu n d in g o f C a n a d ia n issues ( a t lo w er in te re s t r a te s ) , even th e new lo a n s served to red u ce in te re s t rec e ip ts. O n th e o th e r h a n d , deb t set tlem en ts, p a r tic u la r ly by sev eral L a tin A m eric an b o rro w e rs, a n d th e re la tiv e ly la rg e volum e o f A m e ric a n p u rc h a ses on A m e ric a n a n d C a n a d ia n se c u rity exch an ges o f C a n a d ia n bo n d s p a y a b le in U n ite d S ta te s d o lla rs se rv ed to r e ta r d th e r a te o f th e decline in in te re s t re c e ip ts a n d ra ise d 1945 re c e ip ts a lm o st to th e 1942 to ta l o f $78.6 m illio n . B etw een 1939 a n d 1942 in te re s t received fro m th e A x is a n d sa te llite n a tio n s fe ll fro m $10.7 m illio n to zero, w h ile n o n p a y m e n t by c e r ta in in v a d e d co u n tries lo w ered A m e ric a n rec e ip ts by a b o u t a n o th e r m illio n . R ec eip ts fro m a ll o th e r c o u n trie s rose a b o u t $4 m illio n d u r in g th e sam e p e rio d d e sp ite a m o rtiz a tio n s o f $132 m illio n in excess o f new issues o f bonds. T h e in crea se w as d u e m a in ly to th e p re v io u sly m en tio n ed A m eric an p u rc h a se s o f C a n a d ia n se c u ritie s fro m C a n a d ia n h o ld e rs a n d to d e b t-a d ju stm e n t p la n s on th e d e fa u lte d o b lig a tio n s o f B ra z il, C olom bia, C u b a, a n d th e R ep u b lic o f P a n a m a . D u r in g 1943 a n d 1944, la rg e A m e ric a n p u rc h a se s o f o u ts ta n d in g C a n a d ia n se c u ritie s offset o n ly p a r tly th e effect on in te re s t p a y m e n ts to th e U n ite d S ta te s o f th e re tir e m e n t o f e n tire C a n a d ia n issues o u t s ta n d in g in th is c o u n try a n d o f th e re fu n d in g o f o th e r C a n a d ia n issues a t lo w er in te re st ra te s. I n th is p e rio d tw o im p o rta n t d e b t-se ttle m e n t p la n s w e n t in to effect. O ne, a ffectin g M exican bon ds, h a d a n in sig n ific a n t effect on b o n d in te re s t, in a sm u c h as th e p rin c ip a l o f th e d e f a u lte d o b lig a tio n s w as scaled d o w n to a b o u t o n e -fifth o f th e o rig in a l v alue. H o w e v e r, b o n d s t h a t o rig in a lly h a d gone in to d e fa u lt a b o u t th re e decades e a rlie r w ere p la c e d on a n in te re st-p a y in g basis. T h e second se ttle m e n t affected th e b o n d s o f B ra z il, th is c o u n try ’s la rg e s t L a tin A m e ric a n d eb to r, on w h ich o n ly to k e n p a y m en ts h a d been r e ceived since 1934, a n d a d d e d a lm o st 20 p e rc e n t to th e in te re s t received fro m th a t c o u n try in 1944 as c o m p ared w ith th e p re c e d in g y e ar. H o ld e rs o f B ra z ilia n b on ds w ere offered tw o se ttle m e n t p la n s. U n d e r p la n A , th e n o m in a l v a lu e o f th e o u ts ta n d in g b o n d s re m a in e d u n ch an g e d , in te re s t ra te s o f 5 to 8 p e rc e n t w ere scaled d o w n to 1% to 3 y2 p e rce n t, a n d m a tu rity d a te s w ere e x te n d e d a n a d d itio n a l 22 to 84 y e ars. P a y m e n ts o f in te re s t a n d p r in c ip a l re m a in e d th e re s p o n sib ility o f th e o r ig in a l issu ers. P la n B , p ro v id e d f o r re d u c tio n s o f fro m 20 to 50 p e rc e n t in th e n o m in a l va lu e o f each issue, c ash p a y m e n ts o f fro m $75 to $175 p e r $1,000 b o n d to co m p en sate fo r th e loss in n o m in a l v alu es, a n d th e issuance o f new b o n d s w ith in te re s t ra te s o f 3% p e rce n t. T h e new se cu ritie s becam e th e d ire c t o b lig a tio n of th e B ra z ilia n G o v e rn m en t. I n 1945 to ta l d o lla r-b o n d in te re s t re c e ip ts rose f o r th e first tim e in 15 y e ars as a re s u lt o f a d d itio n a l A m eric an p u rc h a se s o f o u ts ta n d in g C a n a d ia n o b lig a tio n s, th e re a d ju stm e n t o f th e d e b t o f th e P ro v in c e o f A lb e rta ( C a n a d a ), a n d th e a c q u isitio n o f new b o n d s of th e S p a n is h 77 T a b l e 17.—I n te r e s t re c e ip ts fr o m A m e ric a n in v e s tm e n ts in fo re ig n d o lla r bonds, 191,0-45 [I n m illio n s of d o llars] A re a a n d c o u n try E l S a lv a d o r........................................................ M e x ic o ____________________________ ___ C h i l e . ................ ......... .................. .. ........ . .......... . E c u a d o r _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _________ P e r u ............................. . ............................ ................... 1940 F r a n c e ...... ................... ....... ................................ . G e r m a n y . . ............ ................... ................ ............ . I t a l y ...... .......................... ....... ................. ........... P o l a n d . . .................... ......... ............... ........ R u m a n ia ._____ _ ___________ ______________ S p a in 2_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ___________ ____________ U . S. S . R . 3 .................. ...................................... ............. A fric a (L ib e r ia ) .............. . ......................... . .............................. A u s tr a lia ............... ................. ....................... . ....................... 1942 1943 1944 1945 82.3 79.0 78.6 72.2 69.8 77.4 58.8 57.8 61.7 56.5 55.0 61.5 10.7 11.5 10.8 9 .7 9.5 9 .5 1.3 .9 .2 .2 .3 .1 1.4 1.0 .2 .2 1.3 .1 1.4 1.0 .2 1.1 .8 .2 .2 .6 .9 .5 .2 .2 .7 .8 .4 .2 .2 .6 . 1 .1 . 1 1.2 .5 9. i 2.9 8 .8 2 .8 8 .9 3 .0 1 .5 .1 7.9 2 .3 2 .7 2 .3 .6 2 .7 2 .2 .5 2. 5 2.1 .7 2 .5 2 .0 .6 . 2 .6 . l . 0) .5 .2 8 .0 2 .2 (0 . 1 8.1 2.1 3 .4 1.4 .7 3 .0 1.6 .7 .6 .6 .6 .5 .5 .5 6 .8 4 .2 3.1 3 .0 2 .3 3 .5 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 A u s tr ia . . ........... ..... ........... . ........... .................... ......... . B e l g iu m .............................. . ............................ ............... B u lg a r ia . ...................................................................... E ir e ............................................................................ 1941 .4 .1 1.4 0) .1 . 1 « 1.4 w . 1 .1 .7 .2 1 .7 .2 .3 .8 1.4 « (0 1.4 « . l . 1 (0 « .8 .7 .5 .5 .4 .1 .1 .1 .1 3.3 2.8 .5 2. 7 .6 2.3 .5 . 2 .6 2 .6 2.4 .1 . 5 .1 « (o « « . 1 .2 .8 . 8 1.4 1.4 (0 .5 .5 1.2 m 5 .1 5 (0 .5 5 .5 .5 2 .4 2 .4 2.4 . 1 L ess th a n $50,000. 2 B o n d s issu ed in 1945. 8 B o n d s re tir e d in 1943. Not e.—De ta il m a y n o t a d d to to ta ls b e c a u se o f ro u n d in g . G o v e rn m en t. A S p a n is h issue o f $50 m illio n , ta k e n b y th e I n te r n a tio n a l T e le p h o n e a n d T e le g ra p h C o m p an y in 1945 a s p a r t p a y m e n t f o r its te le p h o n e sy stem in S p a in so ld to th e S p a n is h G o v e rn m en t, h e lp e d to in crea se th e re c e ip t o f in te re s t b y $1.2 m illio n . D u r in g th e p e rio d 1940-45 in te re s t re c e ip ts on th e d o lla r b o n d s o f C a n a d a rose fro m 71 p e rc e n t o f to ta l re c e ip ts to a lm o st 80 p e rc e n t, a lth o u g h in th e la s t y e a r th e p a r v a lu e o f C a n a d ia n b o n d s h e ld in th is c o u n try a g g re g a te d o n ly 57.7 p e rc e n t o f th e p a r v a lu e o f a ll fo re ig n d o lla r b o n ds in A m eric an h a n d s (see a p p e n d ix C, ta b le X X I I . T h e 78 im p o rta n c e o f re la tiv e ly h ig h ra te s o f r e tu r n on C a n a d ia n d o lla r b o n d s w as reflected in th e y ie ld on b o th th e p a r a n d m a rk e t v a lu e s o f a ll d o lla r b o n d s h e ld in th e U n ite d S ta te s d u rin g th e 6 -y e ar p e rio d u n d e r c o n sid e ra tio n , w h ich ra n g e d fro m 3.4 to 3.7 p e rc e n t on a p a rv a lu e b a sis a n d fro m 4.4 to 5.7 p e rc e n t o n a m a rk e t-v a lu e basis. A s m ig h t b e e x p ected , th e y ie ld on a p a r-v a lu e b a sis o f m o st L a tin A m e r ican , E u ro p e a n , a n d A s ia tic b o n d s w as below 2 p e rc e n t d u r in g m ost o f th e p e rio d , a lth o u g h m a rk e t p ric es o f m a n y o f th ese se c u ritie s w ere low e n o u g h to p ro v id e a ttr a c tiv e y ie ld s (see ta b le 1 8 ). Tabl e 18.— A v e ra g e y ie ld on p a r a n d m a r k e t va lu es o f A m e ric a n in v e s tm e n ts in fo r e ig n d o lla r bonds, 191/0-45 1 [I n p e rc e n t; in te re se t re ce iv e d to v a lu e a t e n d o f y e a r] 1941 1940 A re a Par A ll c o u n trie s _ _ _ _ _ _ C a n a d a _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ ____ W e s t In d ie s 2__________ C e n tr a l A m e r ic a ..- ___ S o u th A m e ric a ................ E u r o p e _______________ A s ia ................................... A fric a a n d O c e a n ia _____ 3 .5 4 .4 4 .2 .4 1.7 2.5 5.5 5.1 M a r ket 5 .7 5.1 7 .5 3 .3 7.3 10.0 9.6 9.0 P ar M a r ket 3.5 5.5 4.5 4 .9 4 .8 7.0 1.7 3 11.2 6.9 1.7 1.7 8 .5 4.9 8.8 5.3 8 .2 1942 P ar 3.6 4.9 4.9 .8 1.8 1.3 .9 4.9 M a r ket 5.2 5.1 6 .7 3 4.1 5.4 8 .4 4.2 6.1 1944 1943 P ar 3.4 4 .7 4.6 1.1 1.7 1.3 .9 5 .0 M a r ket 4 .6 4.6 5 .2 3 .2 4 .2 8.0 4.0 5 .4 P ar 3.4 4.6 4 .8 1.2 1.9 1.0 .9 5.1 1945 M a r ket 4 .4 4 .4 5.2 3 .8 4 .3 5.0 3.9 5 .2 Par M a r ket 3 .7 5.3 5.0 1.2 2 .0 1.3 .9 5 .0 4.7 4 .9 5.3 2.9 4.1 3.5 3.8 4.8 1 A ft e r 1941 b o n d s of th e follow ing c o u n trie s w ere in c lu d e d in t h e a v e ra g e y ie ld s o n a p a r- v a lu e b a sis b u t w e re e x c lu d e d fro m t h e y ie ld s o n a m a r k e t- v a lu e b asis: A u s tr ia , B u lg a r ia , G e r m a n y , H u n g a r y , I t a ly , R u m a n ia , a n d J a p a n . T h e e xc lusio n of th e s e c o u n trie s w o u ld h a v e ra ise d th e t o ta l y ie ld o n p a r v a lu e fo r 1945 fro m 3.7 to 4.2 p e rc e n t. 2 I n c lu d e s M exico. * R e fle c ts p a y m e n ts b y t h e R e p u b li c of P a n a m a o n c o u p o n s in a rre a rs . I n te r e s t R e c e ip ts o n U . S . G o v e r n m e n t L o a n s a n d I n v e s tm e n ts T h e volum e o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t lo an s o u ts ta n d in g p r io r to 1940 w as n e g lig ib le b y p re se n t s ta n d a rd s (see ta b le 27) a n d th e a m o u n ts a d v a n ce d d u r in g th e w a r w ere m o d erate , in a sm u c h as th e m a jo r fin a n c ial assistan c e to th e A llie d c o u n trie s w as p ro v id e d th ro u g h len d -le ase a id . C o nsequ ently, th e G o v e rn m en t received a re la tiv e ly sm a ll volum e o f in te re s t d u r in g th e w a r ( ra n g in g fro m $3 m illio n to $18 m illio n p e r y e a r ) , p r im a r ily on th e lo an s o f th e E x p o r t- I m p o r t B a n k a n d on th e R e c o n stru c tio n F in a n c e C o rp o ra tio n lo a n o f $425 m illio n to th e U n ite d K in g d o m in J u ly 1941 (see ta b le 1 3 ). . " r I n c o m e R e c e ip ts o n M is c e lla n e o u s I n v e s tm e n ts I n c r e a s e d S lig h tly In c o m e receiv ed b y U n ite d S ta te s re s id e n ts fro m m iscellaneous in v e stm e n ts a b ro a d , t h a t is, in v estm e n ts o th e r th a n d ire c t in v estm en ts, d o lla r b o n d s, o r G o v e rn m e n t lo an s, is e stim a te d to h a v e ra n g e d fro m $ 5 1 m illio n to $65 m illio n d u r in g th e w a r y e ars. T h e low p o in t o f $51 m illio n w as rea c h e d in 1941 as re c e ip ts fro m C a n a d a d r o p p e d off, b u t th e r e w ere in crea se s th e r e a f te r in e v ery y e a r e x ce p t 1943, a n d a h ig h p o in t o f a b o u t $65 m illio n w as re a c h e d in 1945 (see ta b le 1 3 ). T h e f a ir ly stea d y in crea se s in re c e ip ts a f te r 1941 w ere la rg e ly th e r e s u lt o f c o n tin u e d p u rc h a se s b y A m eric an s o f C a n a d ia n c o rp o ra te stock s a n d in te rn a l b o n d issues. I n c o m e P a id to F o r e ig n e r s o n I n v e s tm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s In v e stm e n t incom e p a id to fo re ig n e rs, a f te r d e d u c tio n o f U n ite d S ta te s ta xe s, d eclin e d b y 26 p e rc e n t, fro m $210 m illio n in 1940 to a b o u t $159 m illio n in 1942, a n d re m a in e d n e a r th is level th ro u g h th e re m a in 79 in g w a r y e ars. H o w e v e r, th ese d a ta in c lu d e p a y m e n ts b y th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t on fo re ig n in v estm e n ts in lo ng- a n d sh o rt-te rm G o v e rn m e n t se c u ritie s a n d d e po sits w ith th e T re a su ry . T hese p a y m en ts in crea se d fro m $6 m illio n in 1940 to $8 m illio n in 1942 a n d to $14 m illio n in 1945. T h u s , p a y m en ts to fo re ig n e rs on h o ld in g s o f o th e r th a n U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t o b lig a tio n s w e re re d u ce d b y v a rio u s w a r-in d u c e d fa c to rs to levels c o m p ara b le w ith th o se in th e p e rio d 1924-25 a n d th e d e p ressio n y e a r o f 1935. T h e tr e n d in incom e p a y m e n ts to fo re ig n e rs fro m 1940 to 1945 w as closely a sso c ia te d w ith th e ex p e rien ce o f A m e ric a n b usiness as a w hole in th e p e rio d . A lth o u g h p a y m en ts to fo re ig n e rs d e clin ed sh a rp ly w h ile A m e ric a n in d u s try e njoy ed in crea se d e a rn in g s a n d w as able to in crea se dom estic n e t d iv id e n d p a y m e n ts by a b o u t 20 p e rc e n t fro m 1940 to 1945,21 th e d eclin e in p a y m e n ts to fo re ig n e rs w as due to sp ecial w a rtim e fa c to rs a n d d id n o t reflect th e p ro fita b ility o f fo r e ig n in v e st m e n ts here. T h e m o st im p o r ta n t fa c to rs c au sin g red u ce d p a y m en ts to fo re ig n e rs w ere th e la rg e-sca le liq u id a tio n o f h o ld in g s o f A m eric an se cu ritie s, th e in crea se in incom e ta x r a te s a p p lic a b le to incom e p a id to fo reig n ers, a n d a n in crea se d te n d e n c y o n th e p a r t o f A m eric an su b sid i a rie s o f fo re ig n c o rp o ra tio n s to r e ta in e a rn in g s in th e U n ite d S ta te s d u r in g th e w a r, a lth o u g h th e la tte r fa c to r c a n n o t be a c c u ra te ly e sti m ated . T h e la rg e s t declines w ere in d iv id e n d p a y m e n ts on p o rtf o lio h o ld in g s, a b o u t $25 m illio n , a n d in p a y m e n ts on d ire c t in v estm e n ts (m a in ly d iv id e n d s ), a b o u t $20 m illio n . P a y m e n ts on p o rtfo lio h o ld in g s fe ll la rg e ly as th e re s u lt o f B ritis h liq u id a tio n s o f la rg e h o ld in g s o f h ig h g ra d e U n ite d S ta te s se c u ritie s to p ro v id e d o lla r exchange. N e t sales o f U n ite d S ta te s c o rp o ra te sh a re s by fo re ig n e rs fro m th e end o f 1939 th ro u g h 1945 a m o u n ted to a b o u t $565 m illio n , re d u c in g fo re ig n in v estm e n ts h e re , a n d , consequently, p a y m e n ts to fo reig n ers. I n a d d itio n , p a y m e n ts to fo re ig n e rs w ere c a lc u la te d a f te r U n ite d S ta te s w ith h o ld in g ta x e s; th e a v erag e w ith h o ld in g ta x a p p lie d to th e incom e p a id to n o n re sid e n t a lien s n o t e n g a g e d in tr a d e o r b usiness in th e U n ite d S ta te s rose fro m a b o u t 12.3 p e rc e n t in 1940 to ab o u t 26.1 p e rc e n t in 1945.22 I n c o m e P a y m e n ts o n D ir e c t I n v e s tm e n ts T h e d eclin e in p a y m e n ts to fo r e ig n p a re n ts by d ire c t-in v e stm e n t e n te rp rise s in th e U n ite d S ta te s w as a ttrib u ta b le to se ve ra l causes. E a r ly in th e w a r, th e B ritis h d isp o sed o f th e c o n tro llin g in te re st in th e A m e ric a n V iscose C o rp ., w h ich p a id to ta l d iv id e n d s o f a little over $4 m illio n in 1940, w h ile th e A lie n P r o p e rty C u sto d ia n v ested th e e n te r p rise s in th e U n ite d S ta te s c o n tro lle d by th e A x is n a tio n s , w h ich h a d y ield ed a b o u t $2.5 m illio n in 1937. A f u r th e r e lem en t w as th e deg ree to w h ic h U n ite d S ta te s su b sid ia rie s o f fo re ig n e n te rp ris e s re in v e sted th e ir e arn in g s. U n fo rtu n a te ly , little is k n o w n a b o u t such re in v e sted e a rn in g s d u rin g th e w a r p e rio d , a lth o u g h it w as e stim a te d th a t in 1937 th e y a m o u n te d to 15 p e rc e n t o f n e t e a rn in g s.23 F ig u re s f o r all A m eri21 U . S . D e p a r t m e n t o f C o m m e r c e . N a t i o n a l I n c o m e , S u p p l e m e n t to S u r v e y o f C u r r e n t B u s i n e s s , J u l y 1 9 4 7 . t a b l e s 11 a n d 2 0 . 22 T h e U n i t e d S t a t e s w i t h h o l d i n g : t a x r a t e a p p l i c a b l e t o m o s t t y p e s o f in c o m e p a y m e n t s (e x c e p t f o r C a n a d a a n d S w ed en , f o r w h ic h c o u n tr ie s t a x c o n v e n tio n s e s ta b lis h e d s p e c ia l r a t e s ) w a s 1 0 p e r c e n t a t t h e b e g i n n i n g o f 1 9 4 0 , r o s e t o lOM» p e r c e n t in t h a t y e a r , r e a c h e d 2 7 V 2 p e r c e n t in 1 9 4 1 . a n d f i n a l l y i n c r e a s e d to 3 0 p e r c e n t d u r i n g 1 9 4 2 , a t w h i c h le v e l i t r e m a in e d t h r o u g h o u t th e r e s t o f th e w a r p e rio d . 23 U . S . D e p a r t m e n t o f C o m m e r c e . F o r e i g n L o n g - T e r m I n v e s t m e n t s i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s , 1 9 3 7 -3 9 . E c o n o m ic S e r i e s N o . 1 1 , 1 9 4 0 , p . 4 1 . 80 can c o rp o ra tio n s, how ever, in d ic a te t h a t th e p e rc e n ta g e m ay h a v e been m u ch la r g e r in th e la te w a r y ears. I n c o m e P a y m e n ts o n P o r tfo lio In v e stm e n ts I n te r e s t p a y m e n ts on c o rp o ra te bonds, a re la tiv e ly sm all co m p o n en t, fe ll s h a rp ly , fro m $22 m illio n in 1939 to a b o u t $14 m illio n in 1940 a n d to a b o u t $10 m illio n in 1945. A p r im a r y fa c to r in th is re d u c tio n w as th e difficulty in v o lv ed in th e p re se n ta tio n o f c ou p o n s fo r p a y m e n t on b e a re r b o n d s h e ld in c o u n trie s occupied b y th e G e rm a ns, a lth o u g h p a y m e n ts w ere m ad e on b o n ds h e ld in c u sto d y in th e U n ite d S ta te s. T h e o p e ra tio n s o f F o re ig n F u n d s C o n tro l in th e U n ite d S ta te s p r e v e n te d p a y m e n t on bonds seized b y th e enem y. A c o n tr ib u tin g fa c to r in th e decline o f in te re s t p a y m en ts w as th e c o n tin u e d a m o r tiz a tio n o f fu n d e d deb t by A m e ric a n c o rp o ra tio n s , as w ell as re f u n d in g o p e ra tio n s w h ich red u ce d th e in te re st r a te s p re v a ilin g on o u tsta n d in g issues. In co m e p a y m e n ts to v a rio u s fo re ig n c o u n trie s w h ich w ere th e p r in c ip a l re c ip ie n ts fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s a re sh ow n in a p p e n d ix C, ta b le X I X , f o r th e y e a rs 1942 th ro u g h 1945. S im ila r c o m p ilatio n s w ere n o t u n d e r ta k e n f o r 1940 a n d 1941. E e la tiv e ly feAv c o u n trie s ac c ou n ted f o r m ost o f th e re c e ip ts fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s, n o ta b ly th e U n ite d K in g d o m , C a n a d a , th e N e th e rla n d s, a n d S w itz e rla n d . I n 1942 th ese fo u r c o u n trie s a cc o u n ted fo r 73.7 p e rc e n t o f th e incom e p a id o ut, a n d in 1945 fo r 69.2 p e rce n t. T h e sm a lle r sh a re o f th ese c o u n trie s in 1945 w as d u e in p a r t to in c rea se d p a y m e n ts to C h in a on h o ld in g s o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t b o n d s a n d to la rg e r p a y m e n ts m a d e to th e N e th e rla n d s W est In d ie s on d ire c t in v estm e n ts in th e p e tro le u m in d u s t r y in th e U n ite d S ta te s. T h e la tt e r p a y m e n ts, h o w ev er, w ere e sse n tia lly th e sam e as p a y m e n ts to th e N e th e rla n d s, since th e y r e p re sen ted p a y m en ts to th e B a ta v ia n P e tro le u m C o m p an y , w h ic h h a d its h e a d office in th e N e th e rla n d s b e fo re 1940, a n d h a s re tu r n e d since th e w ar. I n te r e s t P a id b y t h e U . S . G o v e r n m e n t R e la tiv e ly U n im p o r ta n t A lth o u g h th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t m a d e no specific e ffo rt to b o rro w fro m fo re ig n e rs, th e la tte r in crea se d th e ir h o ld in g s o f o b lig a tio n s o f th e G o v e rn m en t— p a r tic u la r ly o f sh o rt-te rm p a p e r— a n d h e ld ro u g h ly $1.8 b illio n o f sh o rt- te rm o b lig a tio n s a n d $493 m illio n o f lo n g -te rm b o n d s a t th e end o f 1945. I n a d d itio n , th e P h ilip p in e G o v e rn m e n t h a d d e p o sits w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s T re a s u ry o f a b o u t $520 m illio n on th e la tte r d ate. T h e in te re s t p a y m en ts o f th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t on th ese o b lig a tio n s a m o u n ted to $14.2 m illio n in 1945 a n d ra n g e d fro m a b o u t $6 m illio n to $14 m illio n d u r in g th e w a r. I t w a s n o t possible to m ea su re in te re st p a y m e n ts to fo re ig n e rs on G o v e rn m e n t b o n d s w ith a h ig h d e g ree o f a ccu racy , because m a n y o f th e issues w ere free o f incom e ta x , th u s e lim in a tin g ta x rec o rd s as a source o f in fo rm a tio n , a n d because o f th e la ck o f se p a ra te d a ta on fo re ig n p u rc h a se s a n d sales o f th ese securities. R a te s o f R e tu r n o n F o r e ig n I n v e s tm e n ts T h e ra te s o f r e tu r n on fo re ig n in v estm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d on U n ite d S ta te s d ire c t in v estm e n ts a b ro a d , to g e th e r w ith ro u g h c o m p ariso n s w ith th e e xp erien ce o f U n ite d S ta te s b u sin ess as a w hole, a re p re se n te d in c h a r t 19 (p . 7 1 ). T h e ra te o f incom e receiv ed by fo re ig n e rs on d ire c t in v estm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s seems to have been low , in th e a g g re g a te , th ro u g h o u t th e w a r. T h is is n o t neces81 sa rily a n in d ic a tio n t h a t e a rn in g s w ere re d u c ed , a lth o u g h m a n y d ire c t in v estm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s w ere a d v e rse ly affected w h e n c o n ta c t w ith th e hom e c o u n try w as b ro k e n , b u t is p ro b a b ly a n in d i c a tio n t h a t f o r sev eral rea so n s e a rn in g s in th e U n ite d S ta te s w ere a c c u m u la te d r a th e r th a n p a id o u t in d iv id e n d s. F u r th e r , th e re w as co n sid e ra b le v a r ia tio n a m o n g in d u s tria l g ro u p s , w ith th e la rg e C a n a d ia n in v e s tm e n t in A m e ric a n ra ilro a d s y ie ld in g little incom e w h ile e a rn in g s o n fo re ig n in v e stm e n ts in p e tro le u m w e re su b sta n tia l. T h e r a te o f r e tu r n on fo re ig n d ire c t in v estm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s w a s lo w e r th a n th e r a tio o f d iv id e n d p a y m e n ts to n e t w o rth f o r A m e ric a n co m p an ies as a g ro u p . T h is difference is due p a r tly to th e f a c t t h a t th e c o m p u te d r a te o f r e tu r n on d ire c t in v estm en ts in c lu d e d in te re s t p a y m e n ts to p a r e n t com p anies on lo n g - a n d s h o rt te rm lo a n s a n d th e a m o u n t o f su ch lo a n s o u ts ta n d in g w a s in c lu d e d in th e v a lu e o f fo re ig n e q u ity on w h ic h th e r a te o f r e tu r n w as b ased. T h e y ie ld to fo re ig n e rs on th e ir p o r tf o lio h o ld in g s o f U n ite d S ta te s c o rp o ra te stocks also is p re se n te d in c h a r t 19.24 T h e ra te s a re n eces sa rily o n ly a p p ro x im a te , since th e y a re b a se d on e stim a tes o f incom e p a y m en ts a n d m a rk e t v a lu e o f in v estm e n ts a t y e ar-en d s. T h e y ie ld on fo re ig n h o ld in g s o f c o rp o ra te stocks a p p e a rs to h av e b een r a th e r close to th e p r e v a ilin g y ield s f o r M o o d y ’s series o f 200 U n ite d S ta te s com m on stocks. T h e lo w er y ie ld to fo re ig n e rs w as to be ex p ected since som e p r e fe r re d stocks w ere in c lu d e d a m o n g th e issues h e ld b y fo re ig n e rs a n d because fo re ig n in v e sto rs h a v e g e n e ra lly p re fe rre d h ig h -g ra d e stocks. O u tlo o k -Receipts o f incom e fro m A m e ric a n in v estm en ts in fo re ig n c o u n trie s a re ex p ected to re m a in a t re la tiv e ly h ig h levels in co m ing y e ars, b a r r in g a w o rld -w id e d e pressio n . T h e sam e is e x p e cted o f th e volum e o f incom e p a y m e n ts to fo re ig n e rs o n in v estm en ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s. In c o m e re c e ip ts fro m d ire c t in v e stm e n ts a b ro a d a re e x p e cted to re a c h n e w h ig h p o in ts. In c re a se s a re a n tic ip a te d in a ll in d u strie s , w ith p e tro le u m , m in in g , a g ric u ltu re , a n d m a n u fa c tu rin g p ro v id in g th e la rg e s t g a in s. In c o m e fro m p e tro le u m , th e m o st im p o r ta n t in c o m e -p ro d u cin g A m e ric a n in v estm e n t, is ex p ected to ris e w ith th e in c rea se d e x p lo ita tio n o f fo re ig n resou rces. I n g e n e ra l, th e y e tu n satisfie d in d u s tria l a n d p u b lic d e m a n d f o r com m odities, co u p led w ith r is in g p rices, w ill c o n tin u e to affect fa v o ra b ly A m e ric a n in d u s tr y a b ro a d . I n m in in g , th e incom e re s u ltin g fro m p ro d u c tio n to m ee t th e v ery la rg e w o rld -w id e d e m a n d f o r c o p p e r is e xpected to be a u g m en ted b y in c re a sin g incom e fro m g o ld a n d n ic k el p ro p e rtie s, d e sp ite ris in g p ro d u c tio n costs. I t a p p e a r s th a t C a rib b ea n su g a r p ro d u c e rs w ill con tin u e to p ro s p e r as s u g a r p ric e s ris e a n d th e re a re re c o rd c ro p s in t h a t a re a , w h ile th e s u p p ly o f su g a r fro m th e F a r E a s t w ill p ro b a b ly n o t be on th e m a rk e t in g r e a t v o lu m e u n til 1948. B a n a n a -g ro w in g co m p an ies sh o u ld e xp e rien ce in c re a sin g p ro fits, as th e y d id d u rin g th e la tte r p a r t o f th e w a r once th e s h ip p in g s itu a tio n eased a n d im p o rts in to th e U n ite d S ta te s in creased . In c o m e fro m b r a n c h p la n ts a n d d istrib u tiv e e n te rp rise s sh o u ld in 24 T h e c a lc u la te d y ie ld to fo r e ig n e r s o n c o r p o r a te b o n d h o ld in g s is n o t s h o w n b e c a u s e o f th e in a b ility o f m a n y fo re ig n e rs to p r e s e n t b e a r e r c o u p o n s f o r p a y m e n t. 82 f - 41 crease as m a n u fa c tu rin g o u tp u t in creases in E u ro p e a n d ta x e s a re re d u c e d in C a n ad a . In c o m e fro m co m p an ies p ro d u c in g p a p e r a n d p u lp c a n also b e e xp ected to rise because o f fa v o ra b le m a rk e t co n d itio n s, w h ic h a re ex p ected to c o n tin u e f o r th ese p r o d u c ts f o r a co n sid e ra b le tim e . R e tu rn s fro m u tilitie s a re e x p e cted to follow th e g e n e ra l level o f re ce ip ts, a lth o u g h th e y m a y be u n fa v o ra b ly affected b y sales o f p ro p e rtie s re s u ltin g fro m n a tio n a liz a tio n p ro g ra m s , n o ta b ly in A rg e n tin a a n d e lsew here in L a tin A m e ric a. D u r in g th e w a r, th e sm all a m o u n t o f incom e t h a t w as received fro m c o n tin e n ta l E u ro p e o rig in a te d in th e n e u tr a l c o u n tries. In c re a s in g a m o u n ts o f incom e a re e xp e cted fro m th ese c o u n trie s a n d also fro m G e rm a n y a n d c o u n trie s t h a t h a d b een u n d e r G e rm an c o n tro l o r d o m i n a tio n . I n 1940 incom e fro m c o n tin e n ta l E u ro p e an c o u n trie s, o th e r th a n th e n e u tra ls , to ta le d a b o u t $20 m illio n , a n d p re su m a b ly w as m uch h ig h e r in p re w a r y e ars. In c o m e fro m e a s te rn E u ro p e a n c o u n trie s h a d n e v e r b een la rg e a n d a p p ro x im a te d $5 m illio n o f th e $20 m illio n in 1940. L ittle o r n o incom e is e xp e cted fro m e a s te rn E u ro p e , since im p o r ta n t A m e ric a n p ro p e rtie s th e re su ffered p h y sic a l d a m a g e o r w ere n a tio n aliz ed . In c o m e fro m p ro p e rtie s in J a p a n a n d in o v e rru n te rrito rie s in th e F a r E a s t, w h ic h h a d p ro d u c e d a b o u t $33 m illio n o f incom e in 1940, can be e x p ected to re m a in low f o r som e y e ars, because o f p o litic a l c han g e s a n d w a rtim e d e stru c tio n . A m u ch -p u b licize d , a lth o u g h n o t y e t v e ry im p o rta n t, source o f incom e seem s to be th e e x p o rt o f A m e ric a n k n o w -h ow , a cco m p an ied b y m in o rity p a r tic ip a tio n b y A m eric an s in e n tr e p re n e u ria l in v e s t m ents. T h is fo rm o f p a r tic ip a tio n m a y re s u lt in a g ro w in g source o f d iv id e n d incom e a n d in th e re c e ip t o f ro y a ltie s o n m a n u fa c tu rin g processes (w h ic h a re tr e a te d in th e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts as re c e ip ts on M iscellaneous S ervices a c c o u n t). I n te r e s t re c e ip ts on fo re ig n -d o lla r b o n d s w ill p ro b a b ly a g a in resum e th e ir d o w n w a rd tr e n d u n til new la rg e -sc a le lo a n s a re m a d e to fo r e ig n c o u n trie s, th ro u g h e ith e r d ire c t flo tatio n s in th is c o u n try o r in d ire c tly th ro u g h th e p u rc h a se b y A m eric an s o f b o n d s o f th e In te r n a tio n a l B a n k f o r R e c o n stru c tio n a n d D e velop m en t. U n til su ch lo a n s ta k e p lace, in te re s t re c e ip ts w ill decline, a t a p ace d e te rm in e d m a in ly b y th e r a te o f a m o rtiz a tio n s a n d c onversion s to lo w er in te re st ra tes. R e c eip ts o f in te re s t b y th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t w ill be second in im p o rta n c e o n ly to re c e ip ts fro m d ire c t in v estm e n ts in co m in g y e a rs, as a r e s u lt o f th e la rg e a n d g r o w in g volum e o f lo an s m a d e b y th e G o v e rn m e n t a f t e r 1944. B e g in n in g in 1951, w h e n in te re s t on th e $3,750 -m illio n lo a n to th e U n ite d K in g d o m b e g in s to be p a y a b le , re c e ip ts b y th e G o v e rn m en t w ill p ro b a b ly a g g r e g a te a b o u t tw o a n d a h a lf tim e s th e a m o u n t received in 1945 on d o lla r bon ds. T h e tw o fa c to rs o f p rim e im p o rta n c e in d e te rm in in g incom e p a y m en ts to fo re ig n e rs in th e n e x t few y e a rs w ill be fo re ig n sales o r p u rc h a se s o f U n ite d S ta te s se c u ritie s a n d th e tr e n d s in A m e ric a n business as a w hole. T h e re is little lik e lih o o d t h a t fo re ig n e rs w ill m ak e la rg e n e w p u rc h a se s o f U n ite d S ta te s se c u ritie s in th e n e a r fu tu re , p r im a r ily because a s h o rta g e o f d o lla rs w ill re q u ire th e con tin u a n c e o f E u ro p e a n a n d C a n a d ia n fo re ig n e xch an g e co n tro ls. A s p a r t o f th e sam e p ro b le m , th e r e h a v e b een re p e a te d re p o rts t h a t sh o rta g e s o f d o lla r exch an ge w ill fo rc e th e liq u id a tio n o f som e o f th e ex ten siv e N e th e rla n d s a n d F re n c h h o ld in g s. H o w e v e r, i t is lik e ly t h a t w hen th e In te r n a tio n a l B a n k b e g in s its le n d in g o p e ra tio n s th e 83 p r e s su re f o r liq u id a tio n w ill b e a t le a st p a r tly relieved . T h e re fo re , th e e x p erien ce f o r th e n e x t few y e a rs w ill p ro b a b ly be a re la tiv e ly sm a ll volum e o f fo re ig n tra n s a c tio n s, w ith p e rh a p s a m o d e ra te liq u id a tio n o f fo re ig n h o ld in g s. I t is e xp ected th a t p a y m e n ts on p riv a te fo r e ig n in v estm en ts w ill p ro b a b ly a v era g e m o d e ra te ly h ig h e r in th e 1947-50 p e rio d th a n th e 1945 to ta l o f $150 m illio n , b u t w ill n o t rec o v e r to th e h ig h e st p re w a r levels o f w ell o v er $200 m illio n . P a y m e n ts on fo re ig n h o ld in g s o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t o b lig a tio n s w ill p ro b a b ly be re d u ce d fro m th e 1945 a m o u n t o f $14 m illio n , since th e re w as a c on sid e ra ble red u c tio n in fo re ig n h o ld in g s o f such b o n d s in 1946, a n d fo re ig n h o ld in g s o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t sh o rt-te rm se c u ritie s w ill p ro b a b ly be g re a tly red u ce d in th e n e a r fu tu r e . P r iv a te M is c e lla n e o u s S e r v ic e s T h e p rin c ip a l item s in th is g ro u p a re sh ow n se p a ra te ly in ta b le 19, a n d notes r e g a rd in g th e ir c o m p o sitio n a n d m eth o d s o f c o m p ila tio n a p p e a r in th e a p pe n d ix e s. M o st o f th e e n trie s a re re la tiv e ly sm all a n d show ed no sig n ific a n t flu c tu a tio n s d u r in g th e w a r. O n b alan c e, th e U n ite d S ta te s in crea se d its n e t rec eip ts in th is c a te g o ry s u b sta n tia lly d u r in g th e w a r, p r im a r ily because o f th e rise in m o tio n -p ic tu re r e n ta ls a n d fo re ig n g o v e rn m e n t a d m in is tr a tiv e e x p e n d itu re s in th e U n ite d S ta te s. T h e re la tiv e ly low level o f m o tio n -p ic tu re re c e ip ts in 1940 a n d 1941 reflected p r im a r ily th e p a r tia l b lo ck in g o f su ch re m itta n c e s by B ritis h e xch an g e c o n tro l a u th o ritie s, w h ile th e u n fre e z in g o f th ese block ed b alan ces in 1942 le d to an a b n o rm a lly h ig h to ta l f o r t h a t y e ar. T h e w a rtim e rise in a d m in is tra tiv e e x p e n d itu re s o f fo re ig n g o v e rn m e n ts a n d in te rn a tio n a l agen cies in th e U n ite d S ta te s re s u lte d fro m a tre m e n d o u s e x pa n sio n in th e n u m b e r o f p e rso n n el in v o lv ed , as w ell as h ig h e r sa la rie s a n d o th e r costs. T h e e sta b lish m e n t o f p u rc h a sin g m issio n s a n d sim ila r o r g a n iz a tio n s in cre a se d th e n u m b e r o f p erso n s w o rk in g f o r fo re ig n g o v ern m en ts m a n y tim e s in c o m p ariso n w ith th e p re w a r level. Tabl e 10.—P r iv a te m isce lla n eo u s se rv ic e s, lOJ/O-J/o [In m illio n s of dollars] It e m 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 149.9 210.1 334.1 379. 0 382.8 381.9 20.0 37.4 49.2 27.6 15.0 .7 27.0 37.3 48.9 35.9 60.0 1.0 27.1 50.4 125.0 32.3 98.0 1.3 32.2 68.6 114.1 31.9 131.2 1.6 37.4 74.9 109.9 33.0 125.2 2.4 39.4 79.3 111.3 34.7 113.9 3.3 P a y m e n ts , t o t a l _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ 95.4 92.0 114.5 135. 5 148.3 158.2 C o m m u n ic a ti o n s _____________ ______ In s u r a n c e ______ ____ _ __ __ __ __ . . R o y a ltie s , h o m e office c ha rge s, e tc O th e r s e rv ic e s .......................................... 17.0 65.9 8. 1 4.4 20.0 58.5 7. 7 5.8 18.4 71.6 9.3 15.2 23.3 81.2 8.0 23.0 22.3 88.5 10.4 27.1 24.1 92.8 10.4 30.9 R e c e ip ts , to t a l _ __ __ __ __ __ ____ ___ ____ _ __ _ C o m m u n ic a tio n s ....................................... I n s u r a n c e ..- __ ____________ . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . M o tio n p ic tu r e r e n ta ls . ____________ R oyalti.es, h o m e office c ha rge s, e t c ______ F o re ig n re p r e s e n ta tio n , e tc ____ ____________ . O th e r se rv ic e s . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 84 1945 G o v e r n m e n t M is c e l l a n e o u s S e r v ic e s I n p re w a r tim es, m iscellaneous service tra n sa c tio n s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t w ere n o t sig n ific a n t in th e U n ite d S ta te s balance o f p a y m e n ts. D u rin g th e w a r, how ever, th e a cc o u n t assum ed g r e a t im p o rta n c e w ith th e in c re a sin g p a r tic ip a tio n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s in th e g lo b a l conflict. A s m ig h t be e xpected, u n ila te ra l tra n s a c tio n s— d ire c t len d -le ase a n d rev erse lend-lease— d o m in a ted th e account. A m o n g g o v e rn m e n t m ili ta r y tra n s a c tio n s, p a y m e n ts f a r exceeded rec eip ts, w ith so-called n e t tro o p p a y b e in g th e m a jo r item . Tabl e 20.'— G o ve rn m en t m isce lla n eo u s se rvices, 1940-45 [In m illio n s of dollars] I te m O th e r n o n m ilita ry s e rv ic e s __ ______ _________ O th e r m ilita r y serv ic e s..... ............................... ........ O th e r n o n m ilita r y serv ic e s___ _____________ 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 20 167 963 1,936 2,090 1,448 20 125 9 33 905 13 45 1,853 47 36 1, 930 134 26 1, 285 118 45 93 166 699 1,863 2,439 2, 539 29 104 33 88 178 385 48 805 304 674 80 907 632 809 91 1,006 644 793 96 40 31 22 L e n d -L e a se S e r v ic e s L a r g e T h e b re ak -d o w n o f lend-lease services by p u rp o se c a n n o t be c on sid ered too exact, because o f th e m eth o d h e re used to ta k e o u t lend-lease tra n s p o rta tio n costs (see a p p e n d ix B , p p . 184 to 186) a n d because th e official len d -le ase fiscal sta tis tic s d id n o t follow a p u rp o se classifica tio n w h ich w as v ery in fo rm a tiv e fo r b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts pu rpo ses. T h e la rg e s t service item sh ow n in th o se sta tis tic s a p p e a re d to be th e tr a n s f e r o f vessels to fo re ig n c o n tro l, w hich m ig h t m o re p ro p e rly h av e been c o n sid e re d a m e rch a n d ise , or, a lte rn a tiv e ly , a tr a n s p o rta tio n , item . A lso in c lu d e d is th e cost o f m ilita ry o r o th e r in s ta lla tio n s f u r n ish e d to fo re ig n g o v ernm en ts. P a r t o f th is m a y c on sist o f item s m o re p ro p e rly classifiable as m erch an d ise . T h e re m a in in g am o u n ts w ent f o r “se rv ic in g o f vessels,” w h ich in cludes, b u t is n o t lim ite d to, tr a n s p o rta tio n services as defined in th is volum e, c e rta in tr a in in g p r o g ra m s, tr a n s p o rta tio n o f p e rso n n el, a n d o th e r item s. I n a d d itio n to th e v ery la rg e a m o u n ts o f len d -lease “defense a id ,” w h ich to a n o v e rw h e lm in g e x te n t w as re n d e re d fre e o f c h a rg e to f o r eig n g o v e rn m e n ts a n d w as th u s offset in th e u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e r account, th e re w ere also c e rta in G o v e rn m e n t cash receipts. T h e b u lk o f th ese, as m ig h t hav e b een expected, w e n t to th e W a r a n d N a v y D e p a rtm e n ts , b u t r e g u la r c iv ilia n agencies also received sizable sum s in p a y m e n t f o r v a rio u s services re n d e re d to fo re ig n g o v ern m e n ts a n d persons. T ra n s p o rta tio n fu rn is h e d by th e A rm y to fo re ig n c iv ilia n w o rk e rs w as one o f th e la r g e r item s a p p e a rin g u n d e r th is h e a d in g . S e r v ic e s R e c e iv e d a s R e v e r s e L e n d -L e a se O n th e p a y m e n ts side, rev erse len d -le ase services c o n stitu te d a n im p o r ta n t item . T hese w ere o f th e sam e g e n e ra l n a tu r e as th e d ire c t len d -lease services ju s t discussed, except th a t tr a n s f e rs o f fo re ig n ves sels to th e U n ite d S ta te s on a rev erse lend-lease basis w ere n o t a sig85 n ific a n t item . T h e o u tsta n d in g ty p e o f service re n d e re d to th e U n ite d S ta te s w as th e c o n stru c tio n a n d m a in te n an ce o f in sta lla tio n s, such as ro a d s, docks, airfield s, a n d b a rra c k s. I n th e U n ite d K in g d o m , espe c ially , p ra c tic a lly a ll su ch services w ere fu rn is h e d g r a tis to th e U n ite d S ta te s as “m u tu a l a id ,” th e B ritis h te rm fo r rev erse len d -lease.2526 N e t T r o o p P a y F a ils T o R e a c h E x p e c ta t io n s A sid e fro m rev erse lend-lease, th e m o st im p o r ta n t ty p e o f G o v e rn m en t p a y m e n t w as th e p e rso n a l e x p e n d itu re s o f m ilita ry p e rso n n el, h e re in re f e rr e d to as n e t tro o p p a y . M ore p recisely , n e t ti’oop p a y is h e re defined as th e g ro ss a m o u n t o f p a y a n d allo w ances to tro o p s s ta tio n e d a b ro a d less (1 ) a ll re m itta n c e s to th e U n ite d S ta te s th ro u g h A rm y finance officers, (2) cash p u rc h a se s o f w a r bonds, a n d (3) p u rchases o f A m e ric a n m erch a n d ise in A rm y p o st exch an ges a n d N av y sh ip service stores. I n a few a re as, U n ite d S ta te s m ilita ry p e rso n n el w as p a id in a n d sp e n t a c tu a l d o lla r c u rre n c y . I n o th e rs, th e tro o p s w ere p a id in local c u rre n c y w h ich h a d b een p u rc h a se d fro m th e c o u n try concerned a g a in s t d o lla rs ( o r a d o lla r lia b ility ) . I n s till o th ers, how ever, th e lo ca l c u rre n c y w as fu rn is h e d to th e U n ite d S ta te s A rm y w ith o u t r e im b u rse m en t, a n d e x p e n d itu re s o f su ch cu rre n c ie s w ere, th e re fo re , off set by a c re d it e n tr y in th e u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e r accoun t. T h e oc cu p a tio n c u rren c ie s issued to th e U n ite d S ta te s A rm y in enem y c o u n trie s fe ll in th is c ate g o ry , a lth o u g h in th e case o f I t a l y a d o lla r o b lig a tio n fo r th e c u rre n c y w as su b se qu e ntly reco g n ized . L o c al c u rre n c ie s received g r a tis o r a g a in st a d o lla r lia b ility su b je ct to a d ju s tm e n t w ere k n o w n as sp ecial c u rre n c ies.28 I n a d d itio n , p a y m e n t in sp ec ia l c u rre n c y w ere m a d e fo r services o th e r th a n n e t tro o p p ay . F o r th e m o st p a r t, th ese w ere also nonred eem able. I t w as a n tic ip a te d t h a t th o se c o u n trie s in w h ich n e t tro o p p a y w as re g a rd e d as a U n ite d S ta te s o b lig a tio n w o u ld th e re b y o b ta in c o n sid e r able q u a n titie s o f d o lla rs, a n d t h a t th is w o u ld be a v a lu a b le offset to th e ir v a rio u s w a r-c re a te d o b lig a tio n s to th e U n ite d S ta te s. B u t in som e c o u n trie s th is d id n o t p ro v e to be th e case to th e d e g ree o rig in a lly envisag ed. T h is d e velopm ent, a s is g e n e ra lly k n o w n , re su lte d fro m th e u n ex p ec ted ly h ig h r a tio o f re m itta n c e s to gross tro o p p a y ; f o r some tim e p e rio d s a n d a re a s th e r a tio w as in excess o f 100 p e rc e n t. T h is h ig h r a tio in tu r n w as p ro d u ce d b y v a rio u s circu m stan ces, in c lu d in g th e conversion in to re m itta n c e s o f lo ca l c u rren c ie s receiv ed fro m th e sale o f p e rso n a l p ro p e rty , a n d o th e r a c tiv itie s on th e p a r t o f th e tro o p s. T h e a p p a r e n t o v e rv a lu a tio n o f m o st lib e ra te d -a re a c u rre n c ie s a t th e official r a te o f e xch an ge w as a lso a m a jo r d e te rre n t to tro o p sp en d in g , le a d in g th e m en to seek to sa tisf y th e ir d em a n d s f o r local goods a n d services b y b a r te r in g c ig a re tte s, chocolate, so ap , a n d o th e r scarce goods. A g a in , th e sh eer sh o rta g e s o f th in g s to b u y in m a n y c o u n trie s led th e m ilita ry p e rso n n el to sen d la r g e r p o rtio n s o f th e ir p a y hom e th a n th e y m ig h t o th e rw ise h a v e done. 25 F o r a m o r e e x t e n d e d d i s c u s s i o n o f l e n d - l e a s e a n d r e v e r s e l e n d - l e a s e o p e r a t i o n s i n g e n e r a l, se e p . 1 8 6 . 26 S e e a p p e n d i x B , p . 0 0 0 , f o r a m o r e c o m p l e t e d i s c u s s i o n o f t h e s p e c i a l c u r r e n c y q u e s t i o n . 86 J ' * U n ila te r a l T r a n s fe r s F o r m a n y y e ars, p riv a te n o n co m m ercial re m itta n c e s h av e been an im p o rta n t f e a tu re o f o u r b a la n c e o f p a y m en ts. A la rg e im m ig ra n t p o p u la tio n led to la rg e tr a n s f e rs o f fu n d s as g if ts to rela tiv e s an d frie n d s in th e “ O ld C o u n try ,” w h ile relig io u s a n d c h a rita b le in s titu tio n s also m a d e la rg e c o n trib u tio n s to fo r e ig n c o u n tries. D u r in g th e w a r, how ever, th ese tr a n s f e rs w ere f a r o v ersh a d o w e d b y u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e rs u n d e r len d -lease, re c ip ro c a l a id , in v asio n c u rre n c ie s, a n d o th e r schem es w h e reb y one n a tio n m a d e la rg e tr a n s f e rs o f goods a n d services to o th e r n a tio n s , e ith e r v o lu n ta rily o r in v o lu n ta rily , w ith o u t rec e iv in g a n y q u id p ro quo in th e fo rm o f goods, services, c a p ita l claim s, o r g old. G o v e rn m e n t T ra n sfe rs < A s in d ic a te d e lsew here, u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e rs m a y be e ith e r in c ash o r in k i n d ; G o v e rn m en t tr a n s f e rs w ere o v erw h e lm in g ly in k in d as alm o st $60 b illio n o f goods a n d services w e re tr a n s f e r r e d u n d e r len d -le ase a n d re c ip ro c a l a id . I n th ese cases, th e e n try in th e u n ila te ra l a cc o u n t b a l ances o r offsets a n e n tr y o f o p p o site sig n in th e g oo ds a n d services g r o u p ; th e tr a n s a c tio n s in v o lv ed h av e been p re v io u sly discussed. T h e tra n sa c tio n s in n o n re d e em a b le in v asio n o r o c cu p a tio n cu rre n c ie s h a v e been sim ila rly h a n d le d in th is r e p o r t ; th e e x p e n d itu re o f such c u rren c ie s h a s b een e n te re d as a d e b it in th e goods a n d services accoun t, offset by a c re d it o f e q u a l size in th e u n ila te ra l accoun t. T h u s , o n ly a few sp ec ia l tra n sa c tio n s n eed be m en tio n ed here. I n 1940 a n d 1941 th e o n ly G o v e rn m e n t u n ila te ra l item o f a cash n a tu re w as th e c o n tin u e d (fro m p re w a r) re f u n d o f c e r ta in ta x e s on P h ilip p in e im p o rts to th e G o v ern m en t o f th e C o m m o n w ealth a m o u n t in g to a b o u t $20 m illio n in each y e ar. I n 1942 th e fir st $200 m illio n o f th e sp ec ial a id to C h in a a u th o riz e d b y C o n g ress in F e b ru a r y o f t h a t y e a r w as d isb u rse d . B ecau se o f th e r a th e r neb u lou s p ro v isio n s r e g a rd in g possible re p a y m e n t o f th is a id , we h a v e tr e a te d th e tra n s a c tio n as a u n ila te ra l tra n s fe r. A lso d u rin g 1942 o v e r $100 m illio n o f enem y a lie n p ro p e rty w as v ested by th e G o v e rn m e n t; th is h a s been e n te re d as a u n ila te ra l rec e ip t. A c tu a lly , u n d e r th e P o tsd a m a g ree m e n t such seized assets a re to be re ta in e d by th e U n ite d S ta te s as r e p a r a tio n s. S p e cia l c u rre n c y tra n sa c tio n s a p p e a re d in volum e f o r th e first tim e in 1944 a n d in c rea se d c o n sid erab ly in th e fo llo w in g y e a r. A n o th e r c re d it item in th a t y e a r w as p ro fit on g o ld sales by th e S ta b iliz a tio n F u n d , h e re c o n sid e re d a u n ila te ra l re c e ip t since su ch sales in effect re s u lte d fro m p e rm issio n to p u rc h a se c e r ta in f o r e ig n c u rre n c ie s (n e ed ed b y th e A rm y ) a t less th a n th e ir official e xch an ge ra tes. F in a l in sta llm e n ts, to ta lin g $225 m illio n , on th e a id -to -C h in a p r o g ra m w ere d isb u rse d in 1945. I n t h a t y e a r, also, tr a n s f e rs th ro u g h U N R R A g o t u n d e r w a y in sig n ific a n t am o u n ts, a n d $92 m illio n in cash w as m a d e a v a ila b le to t h a t agen cy as p a r t o f th e “ fre e f u n d ” p o rtio n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s su b sc rip tio n . A re c e ip ts item o f som e size w as a sp ecial b o n u s in fra n c s p ro v id e d th e A m e ric a n tro o p s b y th e F re n c h G o v e rn m e n t to co m p en sate p a r tia lly f o r th e o v e rv a lu a tio n o f th e franc, a t th e official ra te o f e xch an ge. 87 P e r s o n a l R e m itta n c e s 27 P e rs o n a l re m itta n c e s a re a n y n o n co m m ercial p a y m e n ts betw een in d iv id u a ls. A s w ith G o v e rn m e n t tr a n s f e rs a n d in s titu tio n a l con trib u tio n s, th ese re m itta n c e s m ay be m a d e e ith e r in cash o r in k in d , a lth o u g h in n o rm a l tim e s re m itta n c e s in k in d h a v e n o t been v e ry im p o rta n t. T h e e stim a tes in th is r e p o rt a re b a se d la rg e ly on d a ta fu rn is h e d b y b a n k s a n d o th e r re m ittin g agencies, a n d , because th e re p o rte rs a re n o t a lw ay s in a p o sitio n to kno w th e p u rp o se f o r w h ich a re m itta n c e is m ade, i t is possible t h a t som e tr a n s f e rs f o r o th e r p u r poses m a y be in clu d e d . T h e p r in c ip a l fa c to r in flu en cin g th e volum e o f p e rso n a l fu n d s sen t a b ro a d fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s h a s u n d o u b te d ly been th e size a n d c h a ra c te r o f th e re m ittin g g r o u p s (p re su m a b ly a lm o st solely fo re ig n b o rn re sid e n ts) a n d th e s tre n g th o f th e ir ties w ith th e ir m o th e r co u n tr ie s. A f te r th e cessatio n o f la rg e -sca le im m ig ra tio n , th e r e w as a n o ticeab le se c u la r d ecline in fo re ig n p e rso n a l re m itta n c e s. O th e r fa c to rs o p e ra te in th e s h o rt ru n , how ever, to v a ry th e volum e o f re m it tances. In c re a s e d n eed a b ro a d a cc ou n ted f o r e x tre m e ly la rg e p a y m ents im m e d ia te ly fo llo w in g W o rld W a r I , a n d th e flu c tu a tio n s in n a tio n a l incom e in th e U n ite d S ta te s also h a d th e ir effect. D u rin g W o rld W a r I I , th e presen ce o f foi’eig n la b o re rs te m p o ra rily im p o rte d in to th e U n ite d S ta te s m a rk e d ly in crea se d p e rso n a l re m itta n c e s to M exico a n d c e rta in C a rib b e a n isla n d s (S ee a p p e n d ix C, ta b le X I I ) . R e m itta n c e s b ro k e n dow n a c c o rd in g to th e a re a s discussed in c h a p te r i I I I a re show n in c h a r t 21. C h art 21 O v e r se a R e m itta n c e s D e c lin e D u r in g W a r T h e o u tb re a k o f w a r in E u r o p e in c rea se d th e n e ed fo r fu n d s fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s, a n d to ta l p e rso n a l rem itta n c e s in 1910 rea c h e d a p o st-d e p re ssio n p e a k o f $188 m illio n in t h a t y e a r. T h e m u ch lo w er to ta ls in 1941 a n d 1942 re su lte d e n tire ly fro m red u ce d rem itta n c e s to E u ro p e , m o st o f w h ich w as c u t off fro m fin a n c ia l c o n ta c t w ith th e 27 T h e e s t i m a t e s o n p e r s o n a l a n d i n s t i t u t i o n a l r e m i t t a n c e s i n c l u d e d in t h i s c h a p t e r w e r e p r e p a r e d b y J e s s ie L . C. A d a m s. 88 P ^ e U n ite d S ta te s a f te r o u r e n tr y in to th e w a r. I ta ly w as reo p en e d to th e re c e ip t o f p e rso n a l re m itta n c e s la te in 1944 a n d in 1945, o f th e $155 m illio n in to ta l tr a n s f e rs to E u ro p e , o n e -th ird w as d e stin ed to I ta ly . G reece, also c u t off d u r in g th e w a r, received re m itta n c e s o f $23 m illio n in 1945— th e la rg e s t a m o u n t se n t to t h a t c o u n try in a n y sin g le y e a r since 1931. T h e re la tiv e ly h ig h to ta l p a y m e n ts in 1943 a n d 1944 w’ere la rg e ly th e re s u lt o f d e d u c tio n s fro m w ages o f a lie n w o rk ers a n d th e ir su p p lem e n ta l v o lu n ta ry re m itta n ce s. B ecause o f th e m a n p o w e r sh o rta g e in th e U n ite d S ta te s, tw o p ro g ra m s e m p lo y in g im p o rte d a lie n w o rke rs w ere in o p e ra tio n d u r in g th e w a r. O ne o f th ese w as th e p ro g ra m o f th e U n ite d S ta te s D e p a rtm e n t o f L a b o r, in s titu te d u n d e r th e auspices o f th e W a r M an p o w er C om m ission a n d p u t in to o p e ra tio n in M ay 1943. T h is p ro g ra m , fo r th e em p loy m e n t o f M exican n a tio n a ls on U n ite d S ta te s ra ilro a d s, w as u ltim a te ly respo n sib le fo r th e im p o rta tio n o f 61,000 w o rke rs in to th e U n ite d S ta te s. T h e effect o f th is p ro g ra m w as reflected in th e s h a rp in crea se in re m it ta n c es to M exico b e g in n in g in 1943. A p o rtio n o f th e w ages e a rn e d by th ese w o rk e rs w as d e d u c te d by th e e m p loy e rs a n d d e p o site d w ith specified M exican b a n k s to th e sav in g s acco u n ts o f th e M exican w o rk ers, b u t a d d itio n a l la rg e a m o u n ts w ere tr a n s f e rr e d th ro u g h re g u la r c h an n e ls, su ch as p o s ta l m oney o rd e rs a n d b a n k re m itta n ce s. T h e second p r o g ra m w as t h a t sp o n so re d by th e U n ite d S ta te s D e p a rtm e n t o f A g ric u ltu re f o r th e e m p lo y m en t o f im p o rte d B a h a m ia n , B a r b a d ia n , B ritis h H o n d u ra n , Ja m a ic a n , a n d M ex ica n w o rkers. A p p ro x im a te ly 16,000 w ere b r o u g h t in f o r e m p lo y m en t u n d e r th is p ro g ra m fro m its b e g in n in g in 1943. D e du c tio n s w ere also m a d e fro m th e sa la rie s o f th ese w o rke rs, b u t a g a in th ese sum s w ere su p p le m e n te d by v o lu n ta ry re m ittan ce s. G ift P a r c e ls I n c lu d e d * T h e p e rso n a l re m itta n c e s a cc ou n t in clud e s th e v a lu e o f g i f t p a r cels— m o stly foo d a n d c lo th in g — se n t to E u r o p e a n a n d c e rta in o th e r a re a s su ffe rin g fro m th e effects o f th e w a r. S u c h g ifts a re n eg lig ib le in o r d in a r y tim es, b u t i t is e stim ate d t h a t p a ck ag es v a lu e d a t m ore th a n $30 m illio n w ere sh ip p e d in 1945. S in ce in m a n y E u ro p e a n c o u n trie s th e p ro b lem w as one o f o v e r-all sh o rta g e s o f goods, th e food p ack ag e w as a m ore sa tisf a c to ry g i f t th a n a m oney tra n s fe r. L o c al p ric es in som e c o u n trie s o u t o f lin e w ith official e xch an ge ra te s also m ade it m u ch m ore d e sira b le to sen d goods th a n m oney. M an y o f th e packages} too, w ere sen t by A m e ric a n fam ilie s to E u ro p e a n s w hose n am es w ere fu rn is h e d by v a rio u s re lig io u s a n d c h a r ita b le o r g a n iz a tio n s, a n d n o t m erely to frie n d s a n d rela tiv e s, as is th e u su al case w ith p e rso n a l rem ittan c es. R e c e ip ts S ta b ility in p e rso n a l re m itta n c e re c e ip ts d u rin g th e w a r w as due to c o n flicting tre n d s . D ecreased re m itta n c e s fro m w a r a re a s w ere off set b y in crea se d re c e ip ts fro m th e W e s te rn H e m isp h e re — chiefly fro m L a t i n A m erica. O u tlo o k A s lo n g as p e rso n a l incom es in th e U n ite d S ta te s a re h ig h a n d th e n eed s a b ro a d a re s u b s ta n tia l, p e rso n a l re m itta n c e s m ay be ex p ected to 769155— 48— -7 89 m a in ta in o r exceed th e 1945 ra te . I n th e lo n g ru n , how ever, th e secu lar decline e v id e n t in th e in te rw a r p e rio d w ill u n d o u b te d ly be resu m ed , a lth o u g h im m ig ra tio n a t a h ig h e r level th a n in th e 1930’s m ig h t te n d to slow th e r a te o f decline. I n s titu tio n a l R e m itta n c e s I n s titu tio n a l re m itta n c e s in clu d e n o n co m m ercial tr a n s f e rs o f fu n d s a n d m a te ria ls b y p h ila n th ro p ic , re lig io u s, e d u c atio n a l, a n d scientific o rg a n iz a tio n s. T h e se o r g a n iz a tio n s a ssist in th e s u p p o rt o f h o s p ita ls, m issions, ch u rch es, schools, a n d scientific u n d e r ta k in g s a b ro a d . C o n tr ib u tio n s in crease d u r in g p e rio d s o f w a r a n d p o stw a r re h a b ilita tio n , w h e n su b s ta n tia l re m itta n c e s in cash a n d su p p lie s a re m ad e to a l le v ia te su ffe rin g in w a r areas. F o r b a la n c e-o f-p ay m en ts p u rp o se s, e stim a te s o f in s titu tio n a l re m itta n c e s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s to fo re ig n c o u n trie s h a v e been d iv id e d in to th e fo llo w in g g ro u p s: 1. P r o te s ta n t c hu rch es a n d g ro u p s. 2. C a th o lic in stitu tio n s. 3. J e w is h o rg a n iz a tio n s. 4. N o n se c ta ria n in s titu tio n s . T h e f o u r th g ro u p , o rd in a rily c o m p risin g in s titu tio n s devoted to e d u c a tio n a l, scientific, a n d p h ila n th ro p ic p u rp o se s, h a s been g re a tly a u g m en ted in rec e n t y e a rs b y o rg a n iz a tio n s fo rm e d f o r th e specific p u rp o se o f p ro v id in g w a r re lie f. A b re ak -d o w n a cc o rd in g to th e a rea s discussed in c h a p te r I Y is show n in c h a r t 21. F o r f u r th e r d e ta il see a p p e n d ix C , ta b le X I I I . T ren d s F ro m th e close o f W o rld W a r I to 1935 th e re w as a s tro n g d o w n w a rd tr e n d in in s titu tio n a l re m itta n c e s. T h e in itia l d ro p a f te r 1919 w as th e re s u lt o f th e red u c ed n e ed f o r A m e ric a n a ssistan ce in th e re c o n s tru c tio n a n d d e ve lo p m e nt o f w a r-d e v a sta te d E u ro p e . D u rin g th e 1920’s, ren ew ed in te re s t in fo re ig n relig io u s m issions a n d in te rn a tio n a l n o n s e c ta ria n p h ila n th ro p ie s, acco m p an ied by h ig h e r incom e levels, s tim u la te d in crea se d rem itta n c e s to o th e r c o u n trie s, a lth o u g h th e to ta l c o n tin u ed to decline. B e g in n in g in 1936, in s titu tio n a l g ifts in crea se d c o n sid e ra bly , th e d e ve lop m en t becom ing m o re p ro n o u n c ed in 1940 as a re s u lt o f la rg e c o n trib u tio n s f o r E u ro p e a n a n d A sia tic w a r re lie f. T h is w a r-in d u c e d in crea se in in s titu tio n a l re m itta n c e s c o n tin u e d th ro u g h o u t th e p e rio d u n d e r stu d y , e xcept f o r a s lig h t set-back in 1942, w hen e n tra n c e o f th e U n ite d S ta te s in to th e w a r severed connections w ith som e c o u n trie s t h a t h a d been la rg e re c ip ie n ts o f th ese g ifts . M o st agencies in crea se d fo r e ig n re m itta n c e s d u rin g th e y e a rs 1940 to 1945, a lth o u g h th e in crease w a s p ro p o rtio n a te ly la r g e r in th e Je w ish a n d n o n s e c ta ria n g ro u p s. J e w is h c o n trib u tio n s show ed a m a rk e d rise in 1944 a n d 1945, a f te r th e w a r h a d p ro g re sse d f a r en o u g h to m ake possible th e b e g in n in g o f th e ta s k o f re s e ttlin g E u ro p e a n Je w s. N o n s e c ta ria n agencies in clu d e d , a m o n g o th ers, th e A m e ric a n B ed C ross a n d th e v a rio u s sp ecialized w a r-re lie f agencies o th e r th a n those w ith d efin ite se c ta ria n connection s. E x p e n ses in c u rre d by th e R ed C ro ss in se rv in g th e U n ite d S ta te s a rm e d forces a b ro a d a re also in cluded in th e account. 90 S ig n i f i c a n c e s a n d O u t l o o k R em itta n c e s by n o n s e c ta ria n a gencies a lone in 1945 w ere h ig h e r th a n th e to ta l f o r a ll in s titu tio n s in th e p o st-W o rld W a r I p e a k y e a r o f 1919. A lth o u g h th e m u ch h ig h e r level o f U n ite d S ta te s n a tio n a l in come in 1945 w as u n d o u b te d ly a sig n ifica n t fa c to r in th is difference, i t w as also accoun ted fo r by th e g re a te r d e v a sta tio n a n d n eed a b ro a d , th e m u ch v a ste r c h a ra c te r o f a c tiv itie s u n d e rta k e n to m a in ta in th e m o ra le o f A m eric an tro o p s in fo re ig n c o u n tries, a n d , p e rh a p s, a g re a te r a w aren ess o f d istre ss overseas a n d w illin g n e ss to sh a re th e fin a n c ia l b u rd e n o f re lie v in g it. P r e lim in a ry d a ta in d ic a te a c o n tin u e d h ig h level o f d isb u rse m e n ts in 1946, w ith p ro sp e c ts f o r o n ly a slig h t decrease, if a n y , in 1947. A s lo n g as fo r e ig n needs re m a in a c u te a n d A m e ric a n incom es re m a in re la tiv e ly h ig h , a c o n tin u e d la rg e volum e o f fo re ig n in s titu tio n a l r e m itta n c e s can be expected. *, 91 C h a p te r III C a p it a l M o v e m e n t s a n d G o ld M o v e m e n ts o f L o n g -T e r m C a p ita l1 T h e m ovem ent o f lo n g -te rm c a p ita l d u rin g W o i'ld W a r I I w as c h a r a cte riz e d b y a n outflow o f b o th A m e ric a n a n d fo re ig n fu n d s fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s, p a ra lle lin g in m a n y resp ec ts th e experien ce o f W o r ld W a r I a n d in sh a rp c o n tr a s t w ith th e in w a rd m o v em en t fro m 1931 th ro u g h 1939. T h e U n ite d S ta te s w a s a d e b to r to th e e x te n t o f a b o u t $3.7 b illio n a t th e o u tb re a k o f W o rld W a r I , b u t as a re s u lt o f p riv a te lo a n s ( p r i m a rily to th e B ritis h a n d F re n c h G o v e rn m e n ts) a n d th e liq u id a tio n o f fo re ig n h o ld in g s o f A m e ric a n sec u ritie s, th e U n ite d S ta te s em erged a c re d ito r n a tio n , a t th e en d o f 1919, to th e e x te n t o f $3.7 b illio n .2 L a rg e a n n u a l in v e stm e n ts o f A m e ric a n c a p ita l in su bsequent y e ars in c rea sed th e c re d ito r p o sitio n c on siderab ly . I n th e la tte r h a lf o f 1928 a n d in 1929, th e g re a te r a ttra c tiv e n e s s o f d o m estic in v estm e n ts d iv e rte d th e flow o f A m e ric a n c a p ita l to dom estic se c u ritie s, a n d a f te r 1930 new U n ite d S ta te s in v e stm e n ts a b ro a d v i r t u a lly ceased. U n s e ttle d c o n d itio n s a t hom e a n d a b ro a d d isc o u rag e d th e outflow o f U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l, a n d th e r e w as a c o n tin u ed n e t inflow u n til W o rld W a r I I . I n th e p e rio d betw een th e w a rs fo re ig n e rs p u rc h a se d la rg e a m o u n ts o f A m e ric a n secu rities. T h is u p h ill m o vem ent o f c a p ita l c o n tra v e n e d th e co n cep t o f th e p ro g re ss o f a c o u n try fro m a d e b to r to a c re d ito r w h ic h h o ld s th a t, in g e n e ra l, th e re p a y m e n t o f fo re ig n d e b t precedes th e a cc u m u la tio n o f fo re ig n in v estm en ts. I t is a b u n d a n tly cle ar, h o w e v e r, t h a t in th is in sta nc e th e c re a tio n o f new fo re ig n d e b t by a c o u n try a lre a d y a n e t c re d ito r re su lte d fro m th e in itia tiv e o f fo re ig n in v esto rs in ta k in g a d v a n ta g e o f b o th in v e stm e n t a n d sp ec u lativ e o p p o rtu n itie s in th is c o u n try w h ile a v o id in g in c re a sin g ly in secu re c o n d itio n s a t hom e. D u r in g th e 6 -year p e rio d , 1940-45, th e n e t o u tw a rd m o v em en t o f lo n g -te rm c a p ita l fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s a g g re g a te d $2,371 m illio n (see ta b le s 21 a n d 2 2 ). B o u g h ly th re e - q u a r te rs o f th e n e t m o vem ent reflected U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t c re d its a n d lo a n s— a sum th a t, o w in g to th e fin a n c ing p ro v id e d by lend-lease, w as sm a ll c o m p ared w ith G o v e rn m en t lo ans d u r in g W o r ld W a r I. 1 P r e p a r e d b y t h e I n v e s t m e n t S e c tio n . * L e w is , C le o n a . A m e r i c a ’s S t a k e in I n t e r n a t i o n a l I n v e s t m e n t s , T h e B r o o k i n g s I n s t i t u t i o n , W a s h i n g t o n , D . C ., 1 9 3 8 , p . 4 4 7 . F ig u r e f o r 1 9 1 9 a d ju s te d to e x c lu d e s e q u e s tr a te d p r o p e r ti e s a n d in te r g o v e r n m e n t d e b ts . 92 Ta bl e 2 1 .— L o n g -te r m c a p ita l tr a n s a c tio n s b e tw e e n th e U n ite d S t a te s a n d f o r e ig n c o u n t r i e s , 19Jt 0 - l f 5 1 [In m illio n s of d o lla rs; n e t r e c e ip t ( + ) o r p a y m e n t ( —)] I te m 1940-45 1940 I . T h r o u g h m o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in v e s te d a b ro a d : A . R e c e ip ts ....... ............................... . 1,984. 9 1,659.6 740. 6 1941 1942 1943 208.7 193.5 219.4 402.0 406.1 555.2 207.2 83.7 165.4 59.3 155. 4, 74.8 331.0 192.3 338.3 147.5 462.3 183.0 669.3 42.1 59.3 59.3 192.3 133.3 183.0 48.5 22.8 919.0 325.3 123.5 1.5 106.1 28.1 15.5 80.6 64.0 138.7 71.0 6.9 7.3 190.8 67.8 279.3 9 2.9 3,842. 9 192.1 507.8 293.9 486.4 559.8 1,802. 9 1,890. 5 1, 233.6 390.4 139.5 47.9 98.5 39.7 4.4 219.7 157.8 25.1 291.0 249.8 118.1 329.3 209.4 84.0 812.5 529.0 158.8 659.3 183.9 656.9 1,952.4 23.1 24.8 91.6 52.6 24.7 10.6 58.8 409.3 98.8 33.9 61.9 74.2 124.7 7 .0 41.2 195.4 125.4 D ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts 4.............. U . S. G o v e r n m e n t_ __ __ __ _ _ __ _ 119.9 230.5 262.6 107.6 283.5 990.4 I I . T h r o u g h m o v e m e n ts of foreign c a p ita l in v e s te d in t h e U n ite d S ta te s: A . R e c e ip ts ......................................... 629.5 156.9 78.2 87.2 43.3 233.6 ' 30.3 629.5 156.9 78.2 87.2 43.3 233.6 30.3 56.6 42.3 233.5 30.3 P r i v a t e ................ ................... ...... P o rtfo lio in v e s tm e n ts ______ A m o r tiz a tio n of foreign s e c u ritie s ....... .............. . T ra n s a c tio n s in o u ts ta n d in g foreign sec u ritie s, D ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts ............. U . S. G o v e r n m e n t......... ........... B . P a y m e n ts ........... .......................... P P r i v a t e . ......................................... P o r tfo lio in v e s tm e n ts ........... . T ra n s a c tio n s in o u tsta n d in g fo re ig n sec u ritie s, n e t 123............................... P o rtfo lio in v e s tm e n ts 5________ T ra n s a c tio n s in o u ts ta n d in g d o m e stic sec u ritie s, n e t 6. . . U n ite d K in g d o m c a p ita l as- 5 .7 ' 150.8 6.1 72. 5 29. 8 .8 1.0 .1 B . P a y m e n ts _______ .............. - ........ 1,142. 6 246.7 405.5 170.9 106.3 58.9 154.3 P o rtfo lio in v e s tm e n ts _________ A m o r tiz a tio n s of A m eric a n se c u r itie s ..... ................... . T ra n s a c tio n s in o u ts ta n d in g d o m e stic sec u ritie s, n e t 6. . . U n i te d K in g d o m c a p ita l as- 897.0 246.7 326.2 74.5 53.9 43.3 152.4 60.0 10.0 10.0- 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 639.5 231.0 257. 7 ' 4 .5 12.8 133.5 140.2 5.7 V e stin g s b y A lie n P r o p e r ty «*• 368.4 1945 254.2 6 .9 V e s tin g s b y A lie n P r o p e r ty % 41.6 1944 51.4 5.9 245.6 52.7 5.8 79.3 154.8 90.8 56.8 16.1 8.9 7.7 11.6 8 .9 96.4 23.2 .1 “ "52.4 15.6 1.9 96.4 52.4 4.1 11.5 1.9 79.3 I I I . N e t m o v e m e n t of U n ite d S ta te s a n d fo reig n c a p ita l......... ........................ - 2 ,3 7 1 .1 - 7 3 .2 - 6 4 1 . 6 - 1 5 8 .2 - 1 4 7 .4 + 2 1 .0 - 1 ,3 7 1 .7 A . U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l__________ - 1 , 858.0 -2 3 0. 9 P r i v a t e _______ ____ ______ — - 4 9 3 .0 P o r tf o lio .................... . ........... + 2 62 .1 D ir e c t_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _________ 1 , 627.1 U . S. G o v e r n m e n t..................... . B . F o re ig n c a p i t a l . . . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 5 1 3 .1 + 1 6 .6 + 6 7 .7 + 3 5 .8 + 3 1 .9 - 5 1 .1 - 8 9 .8 - 3 1 4 .3 + 6 6 .9 + 1 9 .6 + 4 7 .3 - 3 8 1 .2 -3 2 7. 3 -8 4 .4 + 4 0 .0 -5 7 .5 + 9 7 .5 - 1 2 4 .4 - 6 3 .0 - 1 5 3 .7 + 9 .0 - 6 1 .9 + 7 0 .9 -1 6 2 . 7 + 174. 7 - 1 ,2 4 7 .7 -3 5 0. 2 - 3 4 6 .0 - 4 .2 -8 9 7 . 5 - 1 2 4 .0 - 7 4 .5 - 6 4 .3 -8 3 .0 + 1 8 .7 - 1 0 .2 -8 3 .7 1 A re c e ip t (or a n inflow ) of c a p ita l r e su lts e ith e r fro m a n in c re a se in fo re ig n a s se ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s o r a d ec rea se in U n ite d S ta te s a sse ts a b ro a d . C o n v e rse ly , a p a y m e n t (or a n o utflo w ) of c a p ita l r e su lts e ith e r fro m a d ec rea se in fo re ig n a ssets in th e U n ite d S ta te s or a n in c rea se in U n ite d S ta te s a sse ts a b ro a d . T h e ta b le c ov ers o n ly c h a n g e s in v o lv in g th e flow of c a p ita l a n d does n o t re fle c t c h a n g e s in th e v a lu e of a sse ts r e su ltin g fro m o th e r fa c to rs. 2 I n th o se y e a rs for w h ic h b o th re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts a r e sh o w n , th e p a y m e n ts re p r e s e n t u n r e c o rd e d U n ite d S ta te s p u r c h a se s of foreign se c u ritie s (a p p e n d ix B , p . 189). T o ta ls fo r th e p e r io d a r e su m s of th e a n n u a l n e t figures. 3 In c lu d e s issu es p la c e d p u b li c ly a n d p r iv a te ly for n e w c a p ita l a n d for re fu n d in g p u rp o se s. E x c lu d e s d isc o u n ts a n d c o m m issio n s a n d issu es of fo re ig n -in c o rp o ra te d e n te rp ris e s c o n tro lle d in th e U n ite d S ta te s . In c lu d e s th e follow ing e s ti m a te d a m o u n ts of p r iv a te ly ta k e n issu es (for e ach y e a r, in m illio n s of d olla rs); 1940 a n d 1941, n o n e ; 1942, 25; 1943, 34; 1944, 70; a n d 1945, 99. 4 In c lu d e s o fferings in t h e follow ing a m o u n ts b y fo re ig n -in c o rp o ra te d e n te rp ris e s c o n tro lle d in t h e U n ite d S ta te s (for e a c h y e a r, in m illio n s of d o lla rs ): 1940, 1941, a n d 1942, n o n e ; 1943, 2; 1944, 27; a n d 1945, 12. fi T h e re w e re n o k n o w n in w a r d m o v e m e n ts o f d ir e c t-in v e st m e n t c a p ita l. 6 In c lu d e s fo re ig n p u r c h a se s a n d sales of U . S . G o v e rn m e n t o b lig a tio n s w h ic h c a n n o t b e s e p a r a te ly e s ti m a te d . T o ta ls for th e p e rio d a r e su m s of th e a n n u a l n e t figu re s. 93 Tabl e 22. — L o n g - t e r m c a p i t a l m o v e m e n t s , b y a r e a , 19Jf 0 - 4 5 [ I n m illio n s of d ollars] R e c e ip ts A re a a n d t y p e of c a p ita l 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 A ll a re a s, t o t a l .................... 367.3 305.4 342.3 504.0 675.3 598.9 U n ite d S ta te s c a p i t a l .. P r i v a t e . . . ......... . G o v e rn m e n t—....... F o re ig n c a p ita l........... 210.4 208.9 1.5 156.9 222.4 194.3 28.1 83.0 240.6 176.6 64.0 101.7 428.0 357.0 71.0 76.0 428.1 360.3 67.8 247.2 562.3 469.4 92.9 36.6 S te rlin g a re a , t o t a l ............ . 165.5 95.0 66.5 68.8 49.3 61.3 U n ite d S ta te s c a p i t a l .. P r i v a t e . . - ....... — G o v e r n m e n t......... . F o re ig n c a p ita l........... 11.7 11.7 153.8 22.5 4 .9 17.6 72.5 36. 4 10.4 26.0 30.1 67.8 33.0 34.8 1.0 49.2 9.1 40.1 .1 61.3 20.4 40.9 C a n a d a , t o t a l .......... ........... 48.2 46.3 82.1 195.2 226.7 205.3 U n ite d S ta te s c a p i t a l p r iv a t e _________ G o v e r n m e n t------F o re ig n c a p ita l......... . 45.7 45.7 46.3 46.3 81.5 57.5 24.0 .6 195.2 195.2 195.6 188.4 7 .2 31.1 205.3 193.4 11.9 A m e r ic a n R e p u b lic s , to ta l. 60.1 85.9 84.0 112.4 167.7 154.1 U n ite d S ta te s c a p i t a l . . P r i v a t e ------------G o v e r n m e n t_ _ _ _ _ F o re ig n c a p ita l-------- 60.1 58.6 1.5 82.9 72.4 10.5 3 .0 76.3 70.3 6 .0 7.7 106.7 99.4 7.3 5 .7 152.8 132.3 20.5 14.9 127.2 101.5 25.7 26.9 O th e r , t o t a l ------------------ 93.5 78.2 109.7 127.6 231.6 178.2 U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l.. P riv a te _________ G o v e rn m e n t......... F o re ig n c a p ita l......... . 92.9 92.9 70.7 70.7 7. 5 58.3 29.4 28.9 69.3 30.5 30.5 .6 46.4 38.4 8.0 03.3 168.5 154.1 14.4 9.7 2.5 201.1 1945 P a y m e n ts A ll a re a s, t o t a l --------------- 440.5 947.0 500.5 051.4 654.3 1,970.6 U n ite d S ta te s c a p i t a l . . P r i v a t e _________ G o v e rn m e n t------F o re ig n c a p ita l........... . 193.8 141.2 52.6 246.7 536.7 127.4 409.3 410.3 315.1 240.9 74.2 185.4 512.4 317.0 195.4 139.0 581.8 351. 3 230.5 72.5 1,810.0 819.6 990.4 160.6 S te rlin g a re a , t o t a l ---------- 219.6 744.2 119.8 82.3 167.4 711.1 U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l.. P r i v a t e _________ G o v e r n m e n t------F o re ig n c a p ita l--------- 3 .9 3.9 215.7 371.1 21.1 350.0 373.1 47.5 7 .5 40.0 72.3 40.1 2.7 37.4 42.2 119.6 11.3 108.3 47.8 667.9 27.0 640.9 43.2 C a n a d a , t o t a l ......... ............ 65.3 118.1 158.0 369.4 291.8 505.2 U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l. . P r i v a t e _________ G o v e rn m e n t------F o re ig n c a p i t a l .......... . 50.0 50.0 157.0 150.9 6.1 290.8 258.1 32.7 1.0 356.3 275.9 80.4 13.1 406.6 406.6 15.3 89.3 62.3 27.0 28.8 1.0 98.6 A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s , to ta l. 68.2 38.0 98.2 111.4 61.1 218.6 U n ite d S ta te s c a p i t a l . . P r i v a t e ________ G o v e r n m e n t------F o re ig n c a p i t a l .......... 64.0 44.8 19.2 4 .2 37.5 35.7 1.8 .5 97.7 69.6 28.1 .5 110.9 34.3 76.6 .5 60.6 54.2 6.4 .5 218.1 192.1 26.0 .5 87.4 46.7 124.5 88.3 134.0 535.7 75.9 42.5 33.4 11.5 38.8 8 .3 30. 5 7 .9 12.9 12.9 5.1 4.1 111.6 83.2 110.8 27.7 83.1 23.2 517.4 193.9 323.5 18.3 O th e r , to t a l ----------------U n ite d S ta te s c a p i t a l . . P r i v a t e ________ G o v e rn m e n t-----F o re ig n c a p ita l_____ N —W 1.0 ot e h ile th e n e t re c e ip ts o r p a y m e n ts sh o w n in th is ta b le for a n y y e a r ag re e w ith th o se sh o w n in th e g lo b a l b a la n c e of p a y m e n ts ta b le 1, t h e to t a l re c e ip ts o r p a y m e n ts m a y d iffe r. C e r ta in it e m s a re in c lu d e d o n a n e t b a sis in ta b le 21; o b v io u s ly th e g lo b a l n e t figu re s m a y b e th e r e s u lt of n e t r e c e ip ts in o n e a r e a a n d n e t p a y m e n ts in a n o th e r. T h e g lo b a l to ta ls a b o v e a re th e su m s of t h e a r e a to ta ls ; th e y a re th u s g e n e ra lly la rg e r t h a n th e figu re s in ta b le 21. 94 M o v e m e n ts o f U n ite d S ta te s L o n g -T e r m ^ C a p ita l T h e r e tu r n flow o f A m eric an lo n g -te rm c a p ita l fro m fo re ig n co u n trie s w h ich b e g a n d u r in g th e d ep ressio n in 1931 w a s a b r u p tly r e v ersed d u r in g th e w a r, p r im a r ily as a re s u lt o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t loans to th e U n ite d K in g d o m a n d o th e r co u n tries. F o r th e 6-year p e rio d no w u n d e r c o n sid e ra tio n , th e re w a s a sm a ll n e t outflow of p r iv a te c a p ita l, a lth o u g h n o c o n siste n t tr e n d w a s a p p a re n t. F u n d s in v este d in c o n tro lle d e n te rp ris e s a b ro a d c o n tin u e d to be re tu rn e d to th is c o u n try u n til 1945. F o r e ig n e rs , p a r tic u la r ly C a n a d ia n s, con tin u e d to a m o rtiz e th e ir d o lla r b o n ds a n d o n ly one fo re ig n lo n g -te rm lo a n f o r new m oney w as p u b lic ly offered in th is c o u n try .3 A b o u t $700 m illio n o f o u ts ta n d in g C a n a d ia n se c u ritie s w a s p u rc h a s e d in th is p e rio d , as n e t tr a n s a c tio n s in o u tsta n d in g fo r e ig n se c u ritie s (i. e., e x c lu d in g new issues so ld in th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d a m o rtiz a tio n s) re s u lte d in a n outflow o f $611 m illio n o f U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l. G o v e rn m e n t L o a n s D o m in a tin g * L o n g -te rm lo an s, in v estm e n ts, a n d c re d its to fo re ig n e rs b y th o U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t d u r in g th e y e a rs 1940-45 ( a f te r d e d u c tin g re p a y m e n ts ) a m o u n te d to $1,627 m illio n . T h is to ta l, w h ich in clud es o n ly th o se fin a n c ia l a g ree m e n ts c a rry in g s tip u la te d p ro v isio n s f o r re p a y m e n t,4 can be c o m p a re d w ith $7,685 m illio n o f G o v e rn m e n t a d vances to fo re ig n g o v e rn m e n ts in W o rld W a r I ( J u l y 1, 1914, to D ecem b er 31, 1918).5 H o w e v e r, d u rin g a n d im m e d ia tely fo llo w in g W o rld W a r I I , as discu ssed in c h a p te r I , th e fo u n d a tio n fo r a h u g e p ro g ra m o f c a p ita l a ssistan c e to fo re ig n e rs w as la id , c o m p risin g le n d lease a n d s u rp lu s p r o p e r ty c re d its , E x p o r t- I m p o r t B a n k lo an s, sp ecial lo a n s to th e U n ite d K in g d o m a n d th e R e p u b lic o f th e P h ilip p in e s , a n d in v e stm e n ts in th e W o rld B a n k a n d F u n d . T h e a c tu a l o utflow o f G o v e rn m e n t c a p ita l w as r e la tiv e ly sm a ll u n til a f te r V J - d a y , ex ce pt in 1941, w h e n a lo a n o f $425 m illio n w a s m ad e to th e U n ite d K in g d o m b y th e R e c o n stru c tio n F in a n c e C o rp o ra tio n to p ro v id e fu n d s f o r w a r p u rc h a se s o rd e re d p r io r to th e p a ssa g e o f th e L e n d -L ea se A c t. O f th is c re d it, $350 m illio n w a s u tiliz e d in 1941 a n d a f u r th e r $40 m illio n in 1942.6 T h e e x p e n d itu re b y th e D efen se P l a n t C o rp o ra tio n o f som e $44 m illio n f o r th e c o n stru c tio n o f p ro d u ctiv e fa c ilitie s in C uba, P e r u , C hile, a n d E c u a d o r, a n d len d -lease silv e r lo a n s to c e r ta in ste rlin g -a re a c o u n trie s, p ro v id e d m o st o f th e re m a in d e r o f G o v e rn m e n t c re d its d u r in g th e p e rio d o f a c tu a l h o stilitie s. N e t d isb u rse m e n ts b y th e E x p o r t- I m p o r t B a n k on lo an s m ad e d ire c t to fo re ig n e rs to ta le d o n ly $120 m illio n d u r in g th e y e a rs 1940-45. T h e b u lk o f th is outflow o c c u rre d b e fo re th e U n ite d S ta te s e n te re d th e w a r a n d w as d e sig n e d p r im a r ily to f a c ilita te th e d e ve lop m e n t a n d o p e r a tio n o f specific in d u s tria l p ro je c ts ; fro m 1942 th ro u g h 1945 re p a y m e n ts b y fo re ig n e rs o f lo an s g r a n te d e a rlie r n e a rly e q ua le d th e dis3 B y S t e e p R o c k I r o n M in e s , L i m i t e d . H o w e v e r , a n u m b e r o f is s u e s w<*re f l o a t e d h e r e f o r r e f u n d i n g p u r p o s e s a n d s e v e r a l s m a l l s t o c k is s u e s w e r e a l s o s o ld t o t h e p u b l i c ( s e e a p p e n d i x C, ta b le X X ). 4 F o r a d i s c u s s i o n o f f i n a n c i a l a s s i s t a n c e w i t h o u t s p e c if ic t e r m s o f r e p a y m e n t , s e e sec* tio n on u n ila te r a l tr a n s f e r s , p . 87. 5 W i l l i a m s , J o h n H ., T h e B a l a n c e o f I n t e r n a t i o n a l P a y m e n t s o f t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s f o r t h e Y e a r 1 9 2 0 W ith a S ta te m e n t o f th e A g g re g a te B a la n c e J u ly 1, 1 9 1 4 -D e c e m b e r 3 1, 1 9 2 0, i n T h e R e v ie w o f E c o n o m i c S t a t i s t i c s ( S u p p l e m e n t ) , H a r v a r d U n i v e r s i t y P r e s s , p r e l i m i n a r y v o l u m e 3 , J u n e 1 9 2 1 , s u p p l e m e n t 1, p . 2 0 1 . GT h e b a l a n c e o f t h i s l o a n , $ 3 5 m i l l i o n , i s s t i l l t e c h n i c a l l y a v a i l a b l e f o r u s e b y t h e U n i t e d K in g d o m , b u t p r e s u m a b l y wTi l l n o t b e d r a w n . 95 b u rse m e n ts on new loans. A lth o u g h th e sum s a ctu ally d isb u rse d by th e B a n k w ere re la tiv e ly u n im p o rta n t in 1945, c re d its o f $665 m illio n w ere g r a n te d to finance th e p u rc h a se o f goods a n d services w h ich h a d been re q u este d a n d a p p ro v e d u n d e r th e len d -le ase m ech an ism , b u t f o r w h ich p ro c u re m e n t c o n tra c ts h a d n o t been sig n e d on Y J -d a y . A d d itio n a l re c o n stru c tio n c re d its ($165 m illio n ) w ere e x te n d e d by th e B a n k f o r th e p u rc h a se o f a g ric u ltu ra l a n d in d u s tria l p ro d u cts. I n all, th e E x p o rt- I m p o r t B a n k a u th o riz e d lo an s in th e la s t h a lf o f 1945 a g g re g a tin g $1,040 m illio n . H o w ev er, lo an d isb u rse m en ts in th is p e rio d (in c lu d in g d isb u rse m e n ts on p rev io u s c o m m itm e n ts) w ere o n ly $58.6 m illio n (in c lu d in g g u a ra n te e d lo a n s ), refle c tin g th e c o n sid e ra b le le n g th o f tim e w h ich elap se d b etw een th e p la c em e n t o f th e lo a n s a n d th e d e liv e ry o f goods. M o st o f th e outflow o f $898 m illio n o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t lo n g -te rm c re d it in 1945 c on sisted o f th e so-called “3 ( c ) ” lend-lease c re d its. A g re em en ts sig n e d in th e e a rly p a r t o f 1945 w ith F ra n c e , B elg iu m , a n d th e N e th e rla n d s p ro v id e d s u b sta n tia lly t h a t len d -lease. g o o d s in th e p ip e lin e on V J - d a y a n d re q u ire d f o r p eacetim e needs could be s h ip p e d o n c re d it te rm s a f te r th e e nd o f h o stilitie s. I n O c to b e r a n a g ree m e n t w as rea c h e d w ith th e U . S. S. R ., a n d a n in fo rm a l a g ree m e n t w ith th e U n ite d K in g d o m w as confirm ed in th e c o m p reh e n sive w a r-se ttle m e n t a g ree m e n t w ith t h a t c o u n try on D ecem ber 6 , 1945.7 A m o n g th e im p o rta n t a c tio n s ta k e n d u rin g 1945 w as th e p a ssag e o f th e E x p o r t- I m p o r t B a n k A c t o f 1945, w h ich , in a d d itio n to ra is in g th e lim it on o u tsta n d in g lo a n s a n d g u a ra n te e s o f th e B a n k fro m $700 m illio n to $3.5 b illio n , rem o v ed th e p ro h ib itio n on lo a n s by th e B a n k to g o v ern m en ts in d e f a u lt on th e ir o b lig a tio n s to th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t. T h e p re v io u sly m e n tio n e d a g ree m e n t w ith G re a t B r ita in also p ro v id e d f o r a lo an to t h a t c o u n try o f $3,750 m illio n ; th e a g ree m e n t w as ra tifie d in th e fo llo w in g y e ar. T h e g ra n tin g o f le nd-lease c re d its, su rp lu s p r o p e r ty c re d its, a n d E x p o r t- I m p o r t B a n k loans, to g e th e r w ith th e o p e ra tio n s o f th e U n ite d N a tio n s R e lie f a n d R e h a b ilita tio n A d m in istra tio n , p ro v id e d f o r a con sid e ra b le p a r t o f th e fo o d a n d o th e r com m odities so d e sp e ra te ly needed a b ro a d , a lth o u g h i t w as c le a r t h a t a d d itio n a l la rg e-sca le g ra n ts a n d c re d its w o u ld be re q u ire d to re c o n s tru c t fo re ig n econom ies. I t is ex p e cted t h a t th e m a jo r p o rtio n o f th e c re d its w ill be p ro v id e d b y th e I n te r n a tio n a l B a n k f o r R ec o n stru c tio n a n d D ev elop m en t a n d w ill come fro m U n ite d S ta te s sources. H o w e v e r, o th e r c o u n trie s also c o n tr ib u te d to th e ta s k o f w o rld -w id e re h a b ilita tio n a n d in som e cases to a g re a te r p ro p o rtio n o f th e ir p ro d u c tiv e c a p a c ity th a n d id th e U n ite d S ta te s. T h e g e n e ra l tr e n d o f th e te rm s o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t lo n g te rm lo an s to fo re ig n e rs d u rin g th e p e rio d 1940-45 w as to w a rd a red u c tio n o f in te re s t ra te s a n d a n ex ten sion o f m a tu ritie s. T h e R eco n stru c tio n F in a n c e C o rp o ra tio n lo a n to th e U n ite d K in g d o m in 1941 w as a t 3 p e rc e n t f o r 15 y e ars. T h ro u g h 1944, E x p o r t- I m p o r t B a n k lo a n s w ere g e n e ra lly g ra n te d a t 4 p e rc e n t a n d v a rie d in m a tu rity u p to fro m 10 to 12 'years. I n 1945 len d -lease p ic k -u p c re d its e x te n d e d by 7 S liire r, J o h n . F o r e ig n C r e d its o f th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t, S u rv e y o f C u r r e n t B u s in e s s , U . S. D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e rc e , J a n u a r y 1 9 4 7 , p p . 1 9 - 2 3 . T h e $ 6 5 0 - m ill io n c r e d it e x te n d e d to G r e a t B r i t a i n o n D e c e m b e r 6, 1 9 4 5 , c o n s t itu te d a n o v e r-a ll s e ttle m e n t o f v a rio u s tra n s a c tio n s . O f t h e t o t a l , $ 4 7 2 m i l l i o n w a s t o c o v e r t h e t r a n s f e r o f t h e s o - c a l le d l e n d - l e a s e i n v e n t o r y i n t h e U n i t e d K in g d o m , a n d t h e b a l a n c e w a s f o r s u r p l u s p r o p e r t y a n d t h e e x c e s s o f p ip e -lin e le n d -le a s e d e liv e rie s o v e r b o th ( 1 ) r e v e r s e le n d -le a s e a f t e r V J -d a y , a n d ( 2 ) n e t c l a i m s d u e t h e U n i t e d K in g d o m b y t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s . 96 * A th e B a n k c a rrie d th e sam e te rm s as th o se o f th e len d -lease “ 3 (c) ” a g re e m en ts, w h ich g e n e ra lly c alled f o r 2 % p e rc e n t c re d its due in a b o u t 30 y e ars. O th e r E x p o r t I m p o r t B a n k c re d its f o r re c o n s tru c tio n p u r poses in th e second h a lf o f 1945 w ere m ad e a g a in s t 2i/2-p e rc en t to 3y2p e rc e n t n o tes t h a t fe ll d u e in a b o u t 20 y e ars. S ales o f su rp lu s p ro p e rty on c re d it w ere m a d e on te rm s s im ila r to th e len d -lease c re d its. D ir e c t-I n v e s tm e n t-C a p ita l W ith d r a w n f « r T h e n e t w ith d ra w a l o f A m eric an e n tr e p re n e u ria l c a p ita l fro m f o r eig n c o u n trie s t h a t becam e e v id e n t f o r th e first tim e in 1933 c o n tin u ed d u r in g th e w a r in a m o u n ts t h a t ra n g e d on b a la n c e fro m a b o u t $20 to $100 m illio n p e r a n n u m (see ta b le 2 1 ). I n 1945, th e first n e t outflow o f fu n d s since 1936 w a s reco rded . T h e w ith d ra w a l o f c a p ita l d u r in g th e w a r seem ed closely re la te d to a c o n sid eratio n fo r th e sa fe ty o f p r o p e rtie s a n d f o r p ro fit p ro sp e c ts in w a r areas. E lsew h ere, la rg e p ro fits p e rm itte d th e re p a y m e n t o f in te rc o m p a n y a n d o th e r in d eb te d n e ss by m a n y fo re ig n e n te rp rise s a n d in a few cases stim u la te d th e p u rc h a se by fo re ig n e rs o f A m eric an -o w n ed p ro p e rtie s a b ro a d . I n som e in stan ces, th e in a b ility o f fo re ig n affiliates to o b ta in su p p lies fro m u s u a l sources in th e U n ite d S ta te s le f t th e m w ith u n u tiliz e d cash balances, w h ich in d u c ed th e re p a y m e n t o f o b lig a tio n s to p a r e n t com panies. A lth o u g h 400 A m eric a n -c o n tro lle d com p anies o p e ra tin g a b ro a d w ere so ld to fo re ig n e rs o r liq u id a te d d u r in g th e w a r y e ars, a n even la r g e r n u m b e r o f new com p anies (see p . 9 8 ), b u t in v o lv in g a sm a lle r to ta l in v estm e n t, w ere re p o rte d to h av e been e sta b lish e d a b ro a d b y A m eric an s. D a ta w ere a v a ila b le to th e D e p a rtm e n t o f C om m erce fo r a b o u t o n e -th ird o f th e sales a n d liq u id a tio n s on w hich th e to ta l r e tu r n o f A m e ric a n c a p ita l a p p ro x im a te d $290 m illio n .8 A m o n g th e la rg e s t liq u id a tio n s w ere th ose o f th e I n te r n a tio n a l T e le p h o n e a n d T e le g ra p h C o rp o ra tio n , w h ic h disp o sed o f its R u m a n ia n te le p h o n e -o p e ra tin g su b s id ia ry in 1941 f o r a b o u t $14 m illio n a n d its te le p h o n e -o p e ra tin g su b s id ia ry in S p a in in 1945 f o r a p p ro x im a te ly $88 m illio n .9 T h e se tra n sa c tio n s, a n d o th e r liq u id a tio n s o f h o ld in g s o f p u b lic u tilitie s in L a tin A m e ric a, w ere a n evidence o f th e d e sire o f m an y fo re ig n c o u n trie s to c o n tro l th e ir ow n b asic in d u strie s. S im ila r t r a n s a c tio n s in c lu d e d th e sale o f a s u b s ta n tia l in te re s t in th e stock o f th e C h in a N a tio n a l A v ia tio n C o rp o ra tio n b y P a n A m e ric a n A irw a y s C o r p o ra tio n to th e C hinese G o v e rn m en t, a n d o f th e m a jo rity sh a re s o f sev e ra l o f th e sam e c o m p an y ’s L a tin A m e ric a n su b sid ia rie s to lo cal in te re sts. A d d itio n a l c a p ita l inflow s re su lte d fro m la rg e p ro fits in th e C u b a n su g a r in d u stry . T h e se p e rm itte d th e re d u c tio n o f bon ded in d eb te d n e ss (a s w ell as th e p a y m e n t o f in te re s t in a rr e a r s ) h e ld b y A m eric an s a n d also in d u ce d th e p u rc h a se b y C u b a n s o f p ro p e rtie s in t h a t c o u n try , in c lu d in g sev eral t h a t h a d been ta k e n o v er b y A m e ric a n b a n k s d u rin g th e e a rly 1930’s to sa tisf y u n p a id b a n k loans. A s a lre a d y n o te d , fa v o ra b le business c o n d itio n s— p a r tic u la r ly in p e tro le u m , p a p e r a n d p u lp , a n d a g ric u ltu re — e nab le d su b sid ia rie s a n d b ra n c h es to re p a y a d v an ces fro m , a n d even to m ak e a dvances to , p a re n t com panies. T h e la tte r w as a m ean s o f a c c u m u la tin g c a p ita l u n til such 8 T h i s f i g u r e d o e s n o t i n c l u d e a l a r g e b u t u n k n o w n a m o u n t o f c a p i t a l lo s s e s r e s u l t i n g f r o m w a r d a m a g e , n o r d o e s i t in c l u d e t h e v a l u e o f n a t i o n a l i z e d A m e r i c a n p r o p e r t i e s in e a s t e r n E u r o p e a n d e l s e w h e r e f o r w h i c h c o m p e n s a t i o n w i l l p r e s u m a b l y b e r e c e iv e d . 9 L a t e i n 1 9 4 6 , t h e s a m e c o m p a n y s o ld i t s m a j o r A r g e n t i n e s u b s i d i a r y , t h e U n i t e d R i v e r P l a t e T e l e p h o n e C o ., L t d . , t o t h e A r g e n t i n e G o v e r n m e n t f o r a b o u t $ 9 5 m i l l i o n . 97 tim e as c a p ita l e q u ip m en t (su c h as refin ery a n d re la te d e q uip m e n t) becam e o b ta in a b le in th e U n ite d S ta te s f o r 'e x p o r t, o r o f re tu r n in g to. th e U n ite d S ta te s a p o rtio n o f th e f o r e ig n in v estm e n t u n til in v e n to rie s could be re p le n is h e d fro m th is .c o u n try . F ro m 1940 th ro u g h 1944, th e n e t in flow o f in te rc o m p a n y fu n d s a p p ro x im a te d $170 m illio n , w h ile in 1945 th e n e t m o v em en t tu rn e d o u tw a rd (to th e e x te n t o f $61 m illio n ). A s sta te d p re v io u sly , a lth o u g h th e n e t m o v em en t o f fu n d s w as to w a rd th e U n ite d S ta te s, a la rg e n u m b e r o f A m e ric a n com p anies in c rea sed th e ir in v estm e n ts a b ro a d b y re in v e stin g fo re ig n e a rn in g s, b y m a k in g new in v estm e n ts, a n d b y a d v a n c in g a d d itio n a l f u n d s to d ire c t-in v e stm e n t e n te rp rise s. Som e 1,000 new A m e ric a n e n te rp rise s w ere r e p o rte d fo rm e d a b ro a d d u r in g th e w a r y e ars. T h e c a p ita l o u t flow in v o lv ed in less th a n 300 o f th ese f o r w h ic h d a ta w ere a v ailab le to th e D e p a rtm e n t o f C om m erce a g g re g a te d o n ly $135 m illio n ,101a n d , as th ese figures su g g est, in v o lv ed no v e ry la rg e tra n sa c tio n s. A lm o st a ll o f th e n e w in v estm e n ts w ere m a d e in th e W e s te rn H e m isp h e re, p rin c ip a lly in C a n a d a a n d , to a lesser e x te n t, in M exico a n d th e C a rib b ea n a re a. C a p ita l w as d ire c te d m a in ly to w a rd m a n u fa c tu rin g a n d d is tr ib u tin g fac ilitie s. I m p o r ta n t in v estm e n ts w ere also m ad e in th e p a p e r a n d p u lp in d u stry . D o lla r -B o n d A m o r tiz a tio n s ^ C o n tin u e R e tire m e n ts o f fo re ig n d o lla r lo an s in th e 1940-45 p e rio d w ere $279 m illio n in excess o f new issues, p lac ed p riv a te ly a n d p u b lic ly . H o w ever, to ta l U n ite d S ta te s h o ld in g s o f fo re ig n d o lla r b o n d s p ro b a b ly in c rea se d d u r in g th ese y e ars, a su b s ta n tia l b u t u n k n o w n p a r t o f th e n e t p u rc h a se s o f o u ts ta n d in g fo re ig n s e c u ritie s 11 c o n sistin g o f p u r chases o f sec u ritie s, chiefly C a n a d ia n , p a y a b le solely o r o p tio n a lly in U n ite d S ta te s d o lla rs. N ew issues exceeded $100 m illio n in 1943 f o r th e first tim e since 1931, a lth o u g h a ll b u t one o f th e p u b lic ly offered a n d m o st o f th e p riv a te ly p la c ed lo a n s w ere f o r r e fu n d in g p u rp o se s (see ta b le 2 1 ). M an y o f th e re fu n d in g s in v o lv ed th e re d e m p tio n o f o u ts ta n d in g issues p r io r to m a tu rity , as fo re ig n , chiefly C a n a d ia n , d e b to rs to o k a d v a n ta g e o f fa v o ra b le m o n e y -m a rk e t c o n d itio n s to red u c e in te re s t c h a rg e s a n d e x te n d m a tu ritie s. (S ee ta b le 27 a n d a p p e n d ix C , ta b le X X I fo r e stim a te s o f A m e ric a n h o ld in g s o f fo re ig n d o lla r b on ds.) O th e r P o r tf o lio In v e s tm e n ts In c re a s e A m e ric a n in v e sto rs p u rc h a se d , on b a la n c e, $611 m illio n o f fo re ig n se c u ritie s (e x c lu d in g new issues a n d a m o rtiz a tio n s) in 1940-45, a n d A m e ric a n b a n k in g in s titu tio n s m ad e n e t ad v an ces o f m ed iu m -te rm c re d its to ta lin g a b o u t $160 m illio n . T ra n sa c tio n s in o u ts ta n d in g fo r e ig n se c u ritie s, as a lr e a d y in d ic a te d , u n d o u b te d ly in c lu d e la r g e p u rc h a se s a n d sales o f d o lla r b on ds. D u r in g th e in te rw a r p e rio d , especially, th e u su al n e t inflow o f fu n d s in th is a cc ou n t re p re se n te d re p u rc h a se s o f fo re ig n d o lla r b o n d s b y d e b to r c o u n tries, a n d n e t p u rc h a se s b y re sid e n ts o f o th e r c o u n trie s fro m U n ite d S ta te s ow ners. F ro m 1941 to 1945, h ow ever, A m e ric a n s m ad e in c re a sin g ly la rg e n e t p u rc h a se s o f fo re ig n , chiefly C a n a d ia n , issues. A s a m a tte r o f fa c t, in th e w hole 6 -ye ar p e rio d n e t A m e ric a n p u r10 T h e a c t u a l t o t a l w a s n o d o u b t m u c h l a r g e r t h a n t h i s f i g u r e . H o w e v e r , s in c e t h e d a t a o b ta in e d by th e D e p a r tm e n t w e re p r im a r ily fr o m p u b lis h e d s o u rc e s a n d s in c e t h e r e w e re n o re q u ir e m e n ts to r e p o r t s u c h tr a n s a c tio n s to it, th e in f o r m a tio n r e g a r d in g b o th n e w i n v e s t m e n t s a n d l i q u i d a t i o n s w a s s e r i o u s l y d e f i c i e n t. 11 S e e t a b l e 2 1 a n d a p p e n d i x B . 98 x chases o f fo re ig n se c u ritie s in C a n a d a w ere e stim a ted a t $695 m illio n , h a v in g been offset b y n e t sales to o th e r a re a s to red u ce th e to ta l n e t m o vem ent to $611 m illio n . S lig h tly h ig h e r in te re s t r a te s in C a n a d a , c ou p led w ith th e sp ec u la tiv e a ttr a c tio n (re a liz e d in 1946) o f a possib le r e tu r n to p a r o f th e C a n a d ia n d o lla r, stim u la te d th e la rg e -sca le p u rc h a se s o f C a n a d ia n issues fro m 1942 on.12 I n s titu tio n a l in v e sto rs, p a r tic u la r ly in su ran c e com p anies, seem to h a v e b een th e p r in c ip a l p u rc h a s e rs in volved. M o v e m e n ts o f F o r e ig n L o n g - T e r m C a p ita l ' 1 I n th e 6 y e a rs fi-om 1940 th ro u g h 1945, th e r e w as a n e t liq u id a tio n o f $513 m illio n o f fo r e ig n lo n g -te rm in v estm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta tes. T h is fig u re w o u ld no d o u b t h a v e been m a n y tim e s la r g e r i f len d -lease a id h a d n o t been g ra n te d to o u r A llie s a n d if th e y h a d h a d to re s o rt to c o n v e n tio n a l m eth o d s o f fin a n c ing th e ir w a r effort. T h e la rg e s t w ith d ra w a ls o f fo re ig n c a p ita l fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s o c cu rre d in 1940 a n d 1941— p r io r to th e la rg e-sca le o p e ra tio n o f lend-lease assistance—• w h e n G re a t B r ita in liq u id a te d e xtensive A m e ric a n h o ld in g s to p ro v id e d o lla r e xch an ge.13 S u b s ta n tia l re d u c tio n s also re s u lte d fro m th e v e st in g (seizu re o f title ) b y th e A lie n P r o p e r ty C u sto d ia n , m o stly in 1942 a n d 1943, o f $206 m illio n o f p ro p e rty in th e U n ite d S ta te s t h a t w as u n d e r enem y c o n tro l.14 F o r e ig n % D ir e c t In v estm en ts R educed R e la tiv e ly li ttle in fo rm a tio n is a v a ila b le on th e m o vem ent o f fo re ig n d ire c t-in v e stm e n t c a p ita l in th e U n ite d S ta te s, e x ce p t f o r a few la rg e tra n sa c tio n s w h ic h received a tte n tio n in th e press. T h e se in c lu d e d tw o B r itis h liq u id a tio n s in 1941, w h ic h y ield ed a b o u t $80 m illio n in d o lla r exchange, a n d th e sale in 1944 b y C a n a d ia n in te re sts o f th e P u e rto R ico R a ilw a y L ig h t & P o w e r Co., fo r a b o u t $11.5 m illio n . T h e A lie n P r o p e r ty C u sto d ia n vested enem y-ow ned A m e ric a n e n te r p ris e s d u r in g th e w a r in w h ich th e enem y in te re s t w a s v a lu e d a t som e $155 m illio n . S in ce th ese tra n sa c tio n s in v o lv ed no p a y m e n t to th e ow ners, th e y w ere offset b y a re c e ip ts e n try in th e G o v e rn m e n t u n i la te r a l accoun t. A b o u t $93 m illio n o f th e in te re s t in th ese e n te rp ris e s w a s G e rm a n , a n o th e r $52 m illio n w as Ja p a n e se , a n d th e re m a in d e r w as p r im a r ily I ta lia n . S om e o f th e m ore im p o rta n t e n te rp ris e s w h ich w ere v ested w ere A m e ric a n P o ta s h & C hem ical C o rp ., G e n era l A n ilin e & F ilm C o rp., H u g o S tin n e s C o rp ., A m e ric a n B osch C o rp ., a n d th e U n ite d S ta te s b ran ch e s o f th e Y o k o h am a S p ecie B a n k , L td . M o st o f th e d ire c t in v e stm e n ts w ere v ested in 1942 a n d 1943. A n u m b e r o f th e m , p a r tic u la r ly b a n k s a n d in su ra n c e com p anies, w e re liq u id a te d ; a b o u t tw o dozen w ere offered f o r p u b lic sale, a n d th o se t h a t c ou ld co n tr ib u te to th e w a r effo rt w ere re ta in e d in a ctiv e o p e ra tio n u n d e r G ov e rn m e n t co n tro l. G e rm a n a n d Ja p a n e s e e n te rp ris e s w e re ex p ected to be u sed to m ee t a p o rtio n o f th e re p a ra tio n s cla im s a g a in s t G e rm a n y 12 S u b s t a n t i a l a m o u n t s o f t h e s e p u r c h a s e s w e r e n o t r e f l e c t e d i n t h e r e g u l a r c a p i t a l m o v e m e n t s ta t is t ic s p u b lis h e d m o n th ly in th e B u lle tin o f th e T r e a s u r y D e p a r tm e n t a n d th e F e d e r a l R e s e rv e B u lle tin . S ee a p p e n d ix B , p . 1 89. 13 T h e p r o c e e d s o f t h i s l i q u i d a t i o n a n d o f t h e l i q u i d a t i o n o f o t h e r a s s e t s w e r e p a r t l y lo a n e d , i n e f f e c t, t o A m e r i c a n p r o d u c e r s o f w a r m a t e r i a l , p a r t i c u l a r l y m u n i t i o n s , i n a n e ffo rt to s p e e d t h e m o v e m e n t o f p r o d u c ts to t h e U n ite d K in g d o m . U ltim a te ly , A m e ric a n p r o d u c e r s re p a id m o s t o f th e s e a d v a n c e s b y fillin g t h e B r i tis h o rd e rs . 14 E x c l u d i n g t h e v a l u e o f a s s e t s t h a t a r e n o t c l a s s i f ie d a s i n t e r n a t i o n a l i n v e s t m e n t s , s u c h a s p e r s o n a l p r o p e r t y a n d r o y a l t y in c o m e . 99 a n d J a p a n ,15 u n lik e th e e xp erien ce a f te r W o rld W a r I , w h e n u p to 80 p e rc e n t o f th e v a lu e o f v e sted enem y p ro p e rtie s w as p a id to th e ir fo rm e r ow ners. T h e decline in th e v a lu e o f fo re ig n d ire c t in v estm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s is believed to h a v e been la rg e ly offset b y a n in crea se o f a b o u t $200 m illio n , re s u ltin g fro m th e re te n tio n o f e a rn in g s by su ch com p a n ie s in lieu o f p a y m e n t o f d iv id e n d s.16 P o r tfo lio In v estm en ts A ls o L iq u id a te d F o re ig n e rs m ad e n e t p u rc h a se s o f U n ite d S ta te s se cu ritie s in each y e a r fro m 1921 to 1939 ex ce pt 1927 a n d 1932. T h e re w as a m assive in flow fro m 1934 to 1939 as E u ro p e a n fu n d s so u g h t sa fe ty in U n ite d S ta te s sec u ritie s. I t h a s been p o in te d o u t 17 th a t th e n e t inflow s w ere sm all b y c o m p a riso n w ith th e g ro ss tr a n s a c tio n s in v o lv e d ; f o r in stan ce, th e n e t inflow o f $615 m illio n in 1936 re su lte d fro m gi-oss tr a n s a c tio n s o f a b o u t $4,750 m illio n . T h e in w a rd m ovem ent w as sh a rp ly rev erse d in 1939 as th e B ritis h liq u id a tio n b e ga n a n d c o n tin u e d on a la rg e scale u n til la te in 1941. I n th e y e a rs 1942 th ro u g h 1944, th e r e w ere n e t fo r e ig n p u rc h a ses o f $285 m illio n o f U n ite d S ta te s secu rities. F ro m th e d a ta a v a il able, i t a p p e a rs t h a t a v e ry la rg e p a r t o f th e to ta l l’e p rese n te d p u r chases o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t lo n g -te rm issues f o r official f o r e ig n account. T h e volum e o f tr a d in g f o r p riv a te fo re ig n accoun t w as c o m p a ra tiv e ly sm all, as w as to be ex p ected w hen m o st fo re ig n ow ned d o lla r fu n d s w ere u n d e r g o v e rn m e n ta l c on trols. A c o n sid e r ab le p a r t o f th e C a n a d ia n liq u id a tio n in 1945 re s u lte d fro m sales o f U n ite d S ta te s b o n d s p u rc h a se d in th e p rev io u s y e ar. B ritis h sales o f U n ite d S ta te s se c u ritie s in 1945 a m o u n te d to $43 m illio n a n d w ere v e ry ste a d y th ro u g h o u t th e y e ar. A m o d e ra te volum e o f p u rc h a ses f o r B ritis h a cc ou n t w as rec o rd e d th ro u g h o u t th e w a r y e ars— p a r tic u la rly in 1940 a n d 1941—b u t, in view o f th e re stric tio n s b y th e B r itis h G o v e rn m en t on such p u rc h a se s, i t h a s been a ssum ed t h a t th e p u rc h a se s w ere a c tu a lly f o r th e acc o u n ts o f c o n tin e n ta l E u ro p e a n s a n d o th e rs th ro u g h B r itis h se c u rity d ealers. T h e y hav e, th e re fo re , been e lim in a te d fro m th e d a ta on B ritis h tr a n s a c tio n s a n d a d d e d to th e tr a n s a c tio n s o f o th e r c o u n tries. T h e fig u res f o r tr a n s a c tio n s in o u ts ta n d in g dom estic se cu ritie s in clude th e p u rc h a se a n d su bsequent resale o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t issues w ith a m a tu r ity o f m o re th a n 1 y e a r b y th e m o n e ta ry a u th o ritie s o f fo r e ig n c o u n tries. F re q u e n tly , if n o t u su a lly , th ese se c u ritie s w ere w ith in 1 y e a r o f m a tu rity w hen p u rc h a sed , a n d m ig h t m o re lo g ic ally h a v e been in c lu d e d in th e sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l account. I n each case, th e fo r e ig n c o u n trie s in v ested fu n d s in in te re st-e a rn in g se c u ritie s w h ich w o u ld o th erw ise h av e been h e ld id le in b a n k balances. O r d e r ly L iq u id a tio n o f B r itis h A s s e ts A s in d ic a te d , th e liq u id a tio n o f B ritis h assets in th e U n ite d S ta te s d u r in g th e e a rly p a r t o f th e w a r w as th e m ost im p o rta n t sin g le fa c to r a ffe ctin g th e m ovem ent o f fo re ig n lo n g -te rm c a p ita l in th e U n ite d 13 U n d e r t h e t e r m s o f t h e P a r i s A g r e e m e n t o n R e p a r a t i o n s f r o m G e r m a n y , t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s is e n ti tle d to a ll G e r m a n e x te r n a l a s s e ts w it h in th e ju r i s d ic tio n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s , e s tim a te d a t s o m e $ 2 0 0 m illio n . S ee D e p a r tm e n t o f S ta te , T h e D is tr ib u tio n o f R e p a r a tio n s f r o m G e r m a n y , P u b l i c a t i o n N o . 2 5 8 4 , E u r o p e a n S e r i e s 1 2. 16 S e e r e f e r e n c e t o in c o m e p a y m e n t s to f o r e i g n e r s o n d i r e c t - i n v e s t m e n t s , p . 8 0 . a n d t o n o t e i n a p p e n d i x B , p . 1 8 1 , w h i c h d is c u s s e s t h e t r e a t m e n t o f r e i n v e s t e d e a r n i n g s i n t h e b a l a n c e o f p a y m e n ts . 17 L a r y , H a l B ., a n d a s s o c i a t e s , U . S . D e p a r t m e n t o f C o m m e r c e . T h e U n i t e d S t a t e s in t h e W o rld E c o n o m y , W a s h in g to n , 1 9 4 3 , p . 1 0 7 . 100 *. < * S ta te s. T h e B ritis h ex p e rien ce d u rin g W o rld W a r I in o b ta in in g d o lla rs f o r se c u ritie s w a s u n s a tisfa c to ry . I n d iv id u a l in v e sto rs h a d b een p e rm itte d to m ake la rg e-sca le liq u id a tio n s o f d o lla r sec u ritie s, a n d c on seq u en tly liq u id a te d a t low v alues. D u r in g th e re c e n t w a r, th e B ritis h G o v e rn m en t p la n n e d c a re fu lly . A n a tte m p t w as m ad e to liq u id a te a t fa v o ra b le p ric es a n d a t th e sam e tim e p re se rv e th e flow o f incom e fro m oversea in v estm e n ts as lo n g as possible. I n th e la tt e r c onnection , th e B ritis h d isp o sed o f th e b u lk o f th e ir h o ld in g s o f g o ld a n d sh o rt- te rm b alan ces (th e se p ro d u ce d p r a c tic a lly no incom e) a n d th e n p roceeded to liq u id a te th e ir h o ld in g s o f re a d ily m a rk e ta b le se c u ritie s, in te n d in g to re ta in th e m o st p ro fita b le f o r th e la st. A s p a r t o f th is p ro g ra m , th e B ritis h G o v e rn m en t o b ta in e d its n a tio n a ls’ h o ld in g s o f 484 issues o f A m e ric a n stocks a n d b o n d s by issu in g five v e stin g o rd e rs betw een F e b ru a r y 1940 a n d A p r il 1941. T h e se re p re se n ted p o rtfo lio in v e stm e n ts a n d , as such, d id n o t involv e th e c o n tro l o f th e issu in g com panies. U n d e rw ritin g sy n d ic a te s a c tin g f o r th e B ritis h T re a s u ry u n d e rto o k to sell th e se cu ritie s in N ew Y o r k b y offer in g blocks o f liste d issues off th e m a rk e t, a f te r th e close o f re g u la r tra d in g h o u rs on th e exchanges. L a rg e blocks o f se c u ritie s w ere sold in th is m a n n e r a t p re v a ilin g p ric e s w ith o u t d ep ressiv e effects. Som e o f th e se cu ritie s— blocks sm all en o u g h to be so ld w ith o u t m a te ria lly affe ctin g p ric es— w ere so ld on th e floor o f th e exchanges. T h is p rocess fa c ilita te d th e B ritis h sale o f a b o u t $580 m illio n o f A m eric an se c u ritie s fro m th e b e g in n in g o f th e w a r u n til th e end o f J u ly 1941. A s its d o lla r assets d w in d le d , th e B ritis h G o v e rn m en t fo u n d i t neces sa ry to b eg in d isp o sin g o f som e o f its choice fo r e ig n in v estm e n ts, n am ely , A m eric an com p anies c o n tro lle d in E n g la n d . I n A p r il 1941, th e A m eric an V iscose C o rp ., th e U n ite d S ta te s su b sid ia ry o f C o u rta u ld s, L td ., w as so ld in th is c o u n try a t a su b s ta n tia l loss, fo llo w in g n e g o tia tio n s th a t la ste d o v er a m o n th . T h e B ritis h received a b o u t $55 m illio n f o r a co m p an y w hose book v a lu e exceeded $100 m illio n . T o a v o id a sim ila r liq u id a tin g loss, th e B ro w n & W illia m so n T obacco Co., a n A m e ric a n su b sid ia ry o f th e B ritis h - A m e ric a n T obacco Co., L td ., b o rro w e d fu n d s fro m th e R e c o n stru c tio n F in a n c e C o rp o ra tio n a n d u sed m o st o f th e proceeds to p a y off in d eb te d n e ss to its p a r e n t a n d also to p u rc h a se its ow n p re fe rre d sh ares a n d se c u ritie s o f affiliated co m p an ies ow ned by its p a re n t. I n th is fash io n , th e B ritis h -A m e ri can T obacco Co., L td ., rea liz ed $25 m illio n fro m its A m eric an su b s id ia ry w ith o u t re lin q u ish in g c o n tro l over th e la tte r. A lth o u g h th e B ritis h G o v e rn m en t w as re liev ed o f th e f u r th e r neces sity f o r h u rrie d liq u id a tio n o f A m e ric a n assets by th e p a ssa ge o f th e L e n d -L e ase A c t on M a rc h 11,1941, th e re w as a p re ssin g n eed f o r fu n d s to m eet c o m m itm en ts m ad e p r io r to th a t d a te a n d to p a y f o r p u rch a se s o f su p p lies in o th e r c ou n tries. C o nsequ ently, i t so ld several p la n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s f o r $46 m illio n in A p r il, a n d th e d e m a n d f o r d o lla rs w as f u r th e r eased b y a lo a n o f $425 m illio n g ra n te d by th e R ec o n stru c tio n F in a n c e C o rp o ra tio n in J u ly 1941. T h e lo an w as secu red b y a b o u t $700 m illio n o f B ritish -o w n e d A m e ric a n sec u ritie s. T h e se re p re se n te d a p o rtio n o f th e v ested se cu ritie s re fe rre d to e a rlie r, a n d o th e r B ritish -o w n e d A m eric an assets, in c lu d in g stocks o f B ritis h c o n tro lle d com p anies in th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e e a rn in g s o f U n ite d S ta te s b ra n c h es o f B ritis h in su ran ce com panies. B y th e e nd o f 1941, th e B ritis h p ro b lem o f fin a n c in g th e p u rc h a se o f fo re ig n m a te ria l a n d su p p lie s w as la rg e ly solved. T h e s itu a tio n w as 101 in s h a rp c o n tr a s t w ith t h a t in w h ich th e B ritis h fo u n d th em selves in 1940 a n d e a rlie r in 1941, w h en i t h a d b een necessary to liq u id a te assets to p a y f o r p u rch a se s, to m ake ad v a n c e p a y m e n ts on o rd e rs f o r f u tu re d eliv ery , a n d to p ro v id e c a p ita l assistan ce to A m eric an p ro d u ce rs. I n J u n e 1941, th e a m o u n t o f o u tsta n d in g ad v an ce p a y m e n ts a n d c a p ita l assistan c e to ta le d $850 m illio n . O u tlo o k F o r th e n e x t few y e a rs, a t le ast, th e p ro b lem fa c in g th e re s t o f th e w o rld w ill be how to finance p u rc h a se s fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s in la rg e r a m o u n ts th a n w e w ill be able a n d /o r w illin g to sp en d a b ro a d . T h e a n sw e r c an lie only in g if ts o r m o v em en ts o f c a p ita l a n d g o ld ; a su b s ta n tia l outflow o f lo n g -te rm c a p ita l fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s on an econ om ically so un d b a sis could be one o f th e p rin c ip a l m ean s o f b r id g in g a g a p b etw een e x p o rts a n d im p o rts. Som e o f th e p ro b lem s in v o lv ed in in c re a s in g th e outflow o f lo n g -te rm c a p ita l w ill be o u tlin e d b riefly in th e fo llo w in g p a ra g ra p h s . I n th e first p lace, i t is e x trem e ly u n lik e ly t h a t th e re w ill be an y s u b s ta n tia l u n d e rw ritin g o f fo re ig n se cu ritie s o f th e c h a ra c te r w h ich p re v a ile d in th e 1920’s. I t is p ro b a b le t h a t th e A m e ric a n in v estm e n t m a r k e t w o u ld n o t be re c e p tiv e to a n y la rg e a m o u n ts o f new fo re ig n sec u ritie s, ex ce pt th o se o f th e W o rld B a n k , a n d i t is q u ite lik e ly t h a t a m o rtiz a tio n s o f o u tsta n d in g issues w ill exceed new offerin gs in th e foreseeable f u tu r e — exclusive a g a in o f W o r ld B a n k issues. Som e evidence o f a m o d e ra te outflow o f d ire c t-in v e stm e n t c a p ita l h a s been a p p a re n t in th e p o stw a r p e rio d , b u t so f a r ( J u n e 1947) n o t on a scale a t a ll c o m m e n su rate w ith fo re ig n -c a p ita l req u irem e n ts. M oreo v er, a su b s ta n tia l p o rtio n o f d ire c t-in v e stm e n t c a p ita l is tie d to e x p o rts o f m a c h in ery a n d e q u ip m e n t w h ic h w o u ld lik e ly n o t h av e been sh ip p e d h a d th e in v e stm e n t n o t been m ade. T h u s, o n ly th e local e x p e n d itu re s in v o lv ed w o u ld a d d to th e g e n e ra l su p p ly o f d o lla rs a v a ila b le fo r u n re s tr ic te d use in th e U n ite d S ta te s. E x c e p t fo r M id d le E a s t o il p ro je c ts, m o st o f th e d ire c t-in v e stm e n t c a p ita l w ill p ro b a b ly be p lac ed in C a n a d a a n d L a tin A m eric a. T h e p a p e r a n d p u lp in d u s try , p e tro le u m , an d , p o ssib ly, iro n -o re m in in g in C a n a d a , p e tro le u m a n d iro n -o re d e ve lo p m e nt in S o u th A m eric a, a n d in d u s tria l d e ve lo p m e nt in M exico w ould seem to be th e m o st likely o u tlets. A tr e n d to w a r d m o re p a r tic ip a tio n by in d ig e n o u s c a p ita l in d ire ctin v estm e n t e n te rp ris e w as stre n g th e n e d d u r in g a n d a f te r th e w a r. L a te in 1946, f o r in sta n c e, a rra n g e m e n ts f o r jo in t p a r tic ip a tio n w ere fo rm a liz e d in th e N e th e rla n d s b y th e o rg a n iz a tio n o f th e I n s titu te fo r N e th e rla n d s-A m e ric a n I n d u s tr ia l C o o p e ratio n , w h ich w as fo rm e d to en co u rag e U n ite d S ta te s p a rtic ip a tio n in D u tc h in d u s try on a m in o r ity basis. E a r lie r in th e y e a r, th e B. F . G o o d ric h Co. h a d p a rtic ip a te d to th e e x te n t o f a b o u t 23 p e rc e n t in th e fo rm a tio n o f a N e th e rla n d s c o m p an y to m a n u fa c tu re tire s. A th ir d so urce o f fu n d s w o u ld be th e liq u id a tio n o f fo re ig n lo n g te rm in v e stm e n ts in th is c o u n try , e stim a te d a t $9 b illio n a t th e en d o f 1945. A lth o u g h h a lf o f th is to ta l w as in re a d ily m a rk e ta b le se cu ri ties, o n ly F ra n c e a n d th e N e th e rla n d s h a v e serio u sly discu ssed an y o rg a n iz e d liq u id a tio n o f such h o ld in g s. I f th e g a p is to be filled d u r in g th e n e x t 3 o r 4 y e a rs a n d e x p o rts m a in ta in e d a t, say, a level o f $10 b illio n o r m ore ( a t e a rly 1947 p r ic e s ) , 1 0 2 i t w ill p ro b a b ly h a v e to be th ro u g h th e d ire c t a id o f th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t o r th ro u g h lo a n s b y th e W o rld B a n k , w h ic h w o u ld h a v e th e p a r tia l b a c k in g o f th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t. I f t h a t i n s titu tio n is ab le to m a rk e t s u b s ta n tia l q u a n titie s o f se cu ritie s in th e A m e ri can m a rk e t, i t c ou ld conceivab ly lo a n a b illio n d o lla rs o r m o re a y e ar f o r th e n e x t sev eral y e ars. P re s e n tly a v ailab le G o v e rn m en t lo a n fu n d s, how ever, w ill p ro b a b ly be e x h a u ste d b y m id-1948, i f d ra w in g s c o n tinu e a t th e r a te o f th e first few m o n th s o f 1947. S h o r t-T e r m C a p ita l a n d G o l d 18 F ro m 1934 th ro u g h 1941, th e re w as a c o n s ta n t g o ld flow to th e U n ite d S ta te s o f m assiv e p ro p o rtio n s. F o r th e first 4 y e a rs o f th e p e rio d th e re w as a n inflow o f $5.3 b illio n , w h ic h s ta rte d w ith th e d e v a lu a tio n o f th e d o lla r a t th e en d o f J a n u a r y 1934 a n d th e r e a f te r w as caused by, a n d serv ed to finance, a c a p ita l inflow o f s im ila r p ro p o rtio n s (see c h a r t 1, p a g e 2 ) . A s is w ell k n o w n , th is flow to th e U n ite d S ta te s re p re s e n te d a flig h t fro m u n s ta b le c o n d itio n s a b ro a d r a th e r th a n th e re s u lt o f a b a la n c e-o f-p a y m e n ts d ise q u ilib riu m as such. B e g in n in g w ith 1938, h ow ever, U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rt su rp lu se s w ere a n in c re a sin g ly im p o rta n t fa c to r in th e g o ld inflow , a lth o u g h c a p ita l flig h ts re m a in e d th e d o m in a n t fa c to r fro m th e la tte r h a lf o f 1938 u n til la te in 1939. F ro m 1940 u n til len d -le ase becam e effective in 1941, th e g o ld w as u sed p r im a r ily fo r s e ttlin g th e U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rt su rp lu s, a lth o u g h th e re w as co n sid e ra b le a d d itio n a l c a p ita l inflow . W ith th e U nited S ta te s e n try in to th e w a r, a la rg e a n d g ro w in g cash d eficit in o u r b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts led to a com b ined outflow o f g o ld a n d inflow o f s h o rt-te rm c a p ita l o f a b o u t $6.2 b illio n in th e 4 y e a rs e n d e d in 1945. T h e n e t in crea se in fo r e ig n d o lla r b alan c es p lu s g o ld p u rc h a se d fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s in th e e n tire 1940-45 p e rio d a m o u n te d to $2.5 b illio n (see ta b le 23). T h e m o st sig n ific a n t a sp e ct o f th e m ovem ent o f g o ld a n d d o lla r fu n d s, how ever, w as n o t so m u ch th e a g g re g a te in crea se o f fo re ig n g o ld a n d d o lla r h o ld in g s in v o lv ed as th e re d is trib u tio n o f th ese re serves th a t to o k p lac e a m o n g fo re ig n c ou n tries. F o r e ig n R e s e r v e s L iq u id a te d E a r ly in W ar T h e tre m e n d o u s in flu x o f g o ld to th e U n ite d S ta te s re ac h ed a p eak o f $4,095 m illio n in 1940 (ta b le 23) a n d c o n tin u ed on a la rg e scale u n til M ay 1941. M o st o f tire inflow w as fro m th e s te rlin g a re a , con tin e n ta l E u ro p e , a n d C a n a d a , a n d se rv ed to finance th e p u rc h a se of th e h u g e a m o u n ts o f goods re q u ire d fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s to c a rry on th e w a r a g a in s t th e A xis. N o t a ll o f th e d o lla r proceed s o f g o ld sales in 1940 in te n d e d f o r com m o d ity p u rc h a se s could be u tiliz e d a t once f o r e x p o rts, because goods w e re n o t a v a ila b le . A s a re s u lt, fo r e ig n d o lla r ba la nc es in c rea sed by $1,353 m illio n in 1940. A la rg e p a r t o f th is in crease in fo r e ig n claim s o n th e U n ite d S ta te s to o k th e fo rm o f ad v an ce p a y m e n ts by G re a t B r ita in to U n ite d S ta te s p ro d u c e rs to stim u la te p ro d u c tio n o f w a r goods. B r itis h d o lla r fu n d s w ere d e riv e d n o t o n ly fro m th e sa le o f g o ld b u t also fro m a d ra s tic liq u id a tio n o f lo n g -te rm in v estm en ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s (see p. 100). 18 P r e p a r e d by S a m u e l P iz e r. T h e flig h t o f c a p ita l fro m n e u tr a l E u ro p e c o n tin u e d on a la rg e scale in 1940. G o ld reserves o f th o se c o u n trie s w ere m u ch red u ce d b y th e en d o f th e y e a r, b u t in th e re m a in d e r o f th e w a r p e rio d th e E u r o p e a n n e u tr a ls w ere able to p u rc h a se a b o u t a b illio n d o lla rs in g o ld fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s. A la rg e p a r t o f th e p r iv a te d o lla r b alan c es a c c u m u la te d e a rlie r e n te re d official acco u n ts a n d w ere c o n v e rted to g o ld a n d , in a d d itio n , su b s ta n tia l re c e ip ts acc ru ed d u r in g th e w a r. T h e o p e ra tio n s o f F o re ig n F u n d s C o n tro l, w h ich p a r tia lly fro z e th e b alan c es o f E u ro p e a n n e u tr a ls a fte r th e m id d le o f 1941, te n d e d to m in im ize w ith d ra w a ls fro m acco u n ts o f th ese c o u n trie s (see a p p e n d ix C ,p . 2 23 ). T h e d eclin e in fo re ig n g o ld a n d d o lla r reserves c o n tin u e d th ro u g h 1941, d e sp ite th e r e lie f a fforde d B r ita in b y le n d -le ase a n d th e R ec o n s tru c tio n F in a n c e C o rp o ra tio n lo an . C o n tin u e d p a y m en ts on p relen d -le ase p ro c u re m e n t c o n tra c ts c o st th e s te rlin g a re a $720 m illio n (n e t) in d o lla rs a n d g o ld d u rin g th e y e a r, a n d C a n a d a ’s d o lla r deficit also c o n tin u ed la rg e . Tabl e 23.— C h a n g e s in fo r e ig n g o ld h o ld in g s a n d s h o r t-te r m tr a n s a c tio n s w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s , 6y s p e c if ie d d o l la r c la im s th r o u g h a reas, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 1 [In m illio n s of d o llars; n e t in cre a se ( + ) o r d ec rea se ( —)] A re a a n d ty p e o f a sse t 1940-45 A ll a re a s, to t a l -------------------- + 2 , 473 - 2 ,7 4 2 -9 7 1 G o l d , . . . ...................... ........ S h o rt-te rm c la im s ____ . . . - 2 ,0 4 7 + 4 , 520 - 4 ,0 9 5 + 1 ,3 5 3 -5 7 1 -4 0 0 S te rlin g a re a , t o t a l ____ _____ 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 + 297 + 1 ,9 5 8 + 1 ,8 1 4 + 2 ,1 1 7 + 1 15 + 1 82 + 736 + 1 , 222 + 1 ,3 0 5 + 5 09 + 4 63 + 1 ,6 5 4 - 1 ,5 5 1 - 1 ,5 1 4 -7 2 0 -1 8 9 + 4 30 + 5 67 -1 2 5 G o ld ....... ........... ................. S h o rt -te rm c la im s ..... .......... - 1 ,8 8 9 + 3 38 - 2 ,0 5 3 + 539 -5 5 1 -1 6 9 -1 2 -1 7 7 +50 + 3 80 + 672 -1 0 5 +5 -1 3 0 C a n a d a , to t a l .............. .............. + 3 14 -3 5 1 -2 7 2 -4 7 + 3 00 + 1 25 + 5 59 G o ld ____________ _____ S h o rt -te rm c la im s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ -9 3 7 + 1 ,2 5 1 -4 9 7 + 146 -2 0 5 -6 7 -1 8 1 + 134 -7 + 3 07 -5 + 130 -4 2 + 601 A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s, to ta l ... + 2 , 410 -1 6 +12 + 3 60 + 7 37 + 684 + 633 G o ld ................... ................. S h o rt-te rm c la im s ....... ........ + 1 ,4 6 4 + 946 -1 2 2 + 106 +19 -7 + 1 09 + 251 + 5 79 + 1 58 + 406 + 2 78 + 473 + 160 O th e r, t o t a l . ........................ ...... + 1 ,3 0 0 -8 6 1 +9 + 1 73 +491 + 438 + 1 ,0 5 0 G o ld ................. ................... S h o rt-te rm c laim s 2............. -6 8 5 + 1 , 985 - 1 ,4 2 3 + 562 + 166 -1 5 7 + 1 99 -2 6 + 1 14 + 3 77 + 232 + 206 +27 + 1 ,0 2 3 1 I te m s in c lu d e d a re g o ld , sh o rt- te rm c laim s on U n ite d S ta te s b a n k s a n d b ro k e rs, U n ite d K in g d o m a d v a n c e p a y m e n ts , U . S . G o v e rn m e n t sh o rt- te rm se c u ritie s, U n ite d S ta te s c u rre n c y , a n d o th e r sh o rt- te rm c la im s on th e U . S. G o v e rn m e n t; c h a n g e s in U n ite d S ta te s c la im s o n foreigne rs are e x c lu d e d . F o r a n e x p la n a tio n of th e d iffere nc e s b e tw e e n d a ta on g old in th is ta b le a n d in ta b le 1, see a p p e n d ix B , p . 191. 2 In c lu d e s in c rea se in s h o rt- te rm d o lla r c la im s of in te rn a ti o n a l in s titu tio n s a m o u n tin g to $10 m illio n in 1944 a n d $16 m illio n in 1945. U n ite d S ta te s W a r E x p e n d it u r e s I n c r e a s e F o r e ig n B a la n c e s B e g in n in g la te in 1941 a n d e x te n d in g th ro u g h m o st o f 1945, th e re w a s a re m a rk a b le in crease in fo re ig n g o ld a n d sh o rt-te rm d o lla r h o ld ings. T h e to ta l in crease in such fo r e ig n assets th ro u g h tr a n s a c tio n s w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s over th e 4 -y e ar p e rio d ended D ecem ber 31, 1945, w as $6,185 m illio n , o f w h ich $2,620 m illio n w as in g o ld, $1,155 m illio n in sh o rt-te rm b a n k in g fu n d s a n d m iscellaneous claim s, $1,655 m illio n in U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t sh o rt- te rm sec u ritie s, a n d $755 m illio n in o th e r sh o rt-te rm claim s on th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t 104 (ta b le 2 4 ). A la rg e p a r t o f th e g o ld p u rc h a s e d in th e U n ite d S ta te s w as re ta in e d h e re in th e fo rm o f e a rm a rk e d g o ld , w h ich to ta le d $4,294 m illio n by th e e n d o f 1945 (ta b le 2 5 ). T h e re w ere few c o u n trie s w h ich d id n o t a d d to th e ir g o ld a n d d o l la r resources a f te r 1941. T ire la rg e s t g a in s w ere m a d e by th e A m e ric an R ep u b lics, w h ich , as a w hole, in crea se d th e ir d o lla r reserves a n d p u r chased g o ld fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s to th e e x te n t o f $2,400 m illio n . T h e g ro u p o f c o u n trie s covered in th e “ o th e r” c a te g o ry also a d d e d a v ery la rg e a m o u n t—$2,150 m illio n — to th e ir g o ld a n d d o lla r claim s th ro u g h tr a n s a c tio n s w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s, w ith E u ro p e a n n e u tra ls a c c o u n tin g fo r a la rg e p a r t o f th is to ta l. I n th e 1942-45 p e rio d , C a n a d ia n g o ld a n d d o lla r f u n d s in crea se d b y a b o u t $935 m illio n a n d w ere h e ld in th e U n ite d S ta te s p r im a r ily in th e fo rm o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t sh o rt-te rm secu rities. S te r lin g -a re a reserves w ere also b u ilt u p to th e e x te n t o f $684 m illio n , w h ich w as m ore o r less em bodied in th e e x p o rt o f a b o u t $695 m illio n o f g o ld fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s to th e U n ite d K in g d o m in 1944. F o re ig n d o lla r claim s a ris in g fro m U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t ex p e n d itu re s o verseas to o k sev eral fo rm s. I n th e case o f th e P h ilip p in e s , 12 Ta bl e 2 4 . — S h o r t - t e r m c a p ita l tr a n s a c tio n s b e tw e e n th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d fo r e ig n c o u n tr ie s , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 {In m illio n s of d o llars; in flo w ( + ) o r o u tflo w ( —)] 1940-45 I te m 1941 1940 1942 N e t s h o rt- te rm c a p ita l m o v e m e n t . ................. ............. ........ + 4 ,1 3 0 . 2 + 1 ,5 3 0 . 2 - 3 8 8 .6 N e t m o v e m e n t of U n ite d S ta te s sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l a b r o a d ........... . P r i v a t e ................ ............. ............ U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t—....... h e ld in th e + 1 ,2 2 4 .8 + 356. 5 + 1 ,3 4 0 .5 + 1 7 6 .9 + 1 1 .4 - 1 1 5 .5 + 2 .6 - 1 5 2 .7 -3 1 3 .2 + 1 7 6 .9 + 2 1 .4 - 1 0 .0 + 9 5 .8 - 2 1 1 .3 -1 2 .0 + 1 4 .6 -8 4 . 7 - 6 8 .0 - 8 5 .6 -2 2 7 . 6 - 4 0 0 .0 + 1 8 2 .3 + 1 ,2 2 2 .2 P r i v a t e . . ................. ......... ........ . B a n k in g a n d b ro k e ra g e b a l a n c e s .................................... + 1 , 520.9 H o ld in g s of U n ite d S ta te s + 356. 5 c u rre n c y a n d c o in ............... U n ite d K in g d o m a d v a n c e + 1 8 .3 p a y m e n ts , n e t .............. ...... U n ite d S ta te s G o v e r n m e n t.......... + 2 ,6 2 5 .0 G o ld 1945 —390.5 + 1 ,8 9 5 .7 25.— + 6 6 .8 1944 + 1 1 1 .8 - 5 0 2 .3 N e t m o v e m e n t of foreign sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l in th e U n ite d S t a t e s . . . ....... + 4 ,52 0 . 7 + 1 ,3 5 3 .3 Ta bl e 1943 + 5 0 9 .2 + 1 ,6 5 3 .7 + 6 2 4 .5 + 247. 2 + 5 2 8 .3 + 5 6 .3 + 6 1 5 .4 + 1 6 7 .0 + 4 5 7 .1 + 7 0 .6 + 5 8 .6 + 8 3 .6 + 7 1 .2 - 4 9 .5 - 3 .4 + 597. 7 + 262. 0 + 1 ,1 2 5 .4 + 1 ,3 6 3 . 8 - 6 2 2 . 5 - 2 4 5 . 6 + 708. 7 - 4 8 3 .6 + 3 8 .3 + 6 1 6 .8 - 1 0 .5 U n ite d + 3 4 .2 - 1 7 3 .1 - 3 7 2 .5 + 222. 5 + 427. 9 S ta te s fo r fo r e ig n a c c o u n t, c o u n tr ie s a n d a r e a s a t y e a r e n d s, 1 9 3 9 - 4 5 by s p e c ifie d 1 [In m illio n s of d o llars C o u n tr y o r a re a 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1,183 1,832 2,242 2,674 3,477 3,937 52 39 48 154 27 1,177 352 122 251 13 1,141 613 224 440 13 1,131, 879 211 1,078 13 1,127 945 262 1, 290 13 1,169 1,087 339 1,736 13 849 1,225 423 20 ÏÏ 2 11 793 211 36 1945 4, 294 1 P a r tly e s tim a te d ; w it h m in o r e x c e ptio n s d a ta re p r e s e n t g old h e ld u n d e r e a rm a rk for fo re ig n a c c o u n t. 2 I n c lu d e s a ll c o u n trie s o c c up ie d b y G e r m a n y p rio r to J u n e 6, 1944. 7 0 9 1 5 5 -4 8 - -8 105 d o lla r d ep o sits w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s T re a s u ry f o r th e a ccoun t o f t h a t c o u n try in crea se d by $300 m illio n in 1944-45. I n o th e r c ou n tries, such as C h in a , F ra n c e , B elg iu m , o r I ta ly , w h e re o u r tro o p s w ere activ e ly en g a g e d , local c u rre n c ie s w ere a d v a n ce d f o r th e ir use, c re a tin g a c laim on th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t (see a p p e n d ix B , p . 191). T h e claim s a ris in g o u t o f th ese a rra n g e m e n ts w ere in c lu d e d in th e b alan c e o f p a y m e n ts, b u t d id n o t a p p e a r in th e sta tis tic s on U n ite d S ta te s sh o rt-te rm lia b ilitie s to fo re ig n e rs, re g u la rly p u b lish e d b y th e T re a s u ry D e p a r tm e n t, u n til such tim e a s th e y w ere co n v e rted in to b a n k ba la nc es by th e issuance o f d o lla r checks. W ith th e e n d o f th e w a r a n d th e te rm in a tio n o f len d -lease, th e c o n d i tio n s w h ich h a d a u g m en ted th e g o ld a n d d o lla r resources o f fo re ig n c o u n trie s w ere soon rem oved. A lth o u g h a to ta l o f a b o u t $2,150 m il lio n w as a d d e d to fo r e ig n g o ld h o ld in g s (fro m U n ite d S ta te s stocks) a n d d o lla r claim s in 1945— a rec o rd w h ich w ill p ro b a b ly s ta n d f o r som e tim e to come— v e ry h e av y losses w ere su ffered by F ra n c e , th e U n ite d K in g d o m , a n d o th e r n a tio n s , w h ic h h a d to m ak e cash p a y m e n ts f o r a la rg e p a r t o f th e goods th e y re q u ire d . U n ite d K in g d o m d o lla r b a l ances w ere d ra w n dow n by som e $165 m illio n fro m A u g u st 1945 to th e end o f th e y e a r, d e sp ite lend-lease c re d its a n d c o n tin u ed oversea e x p e n d itu re s b y th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t, w h ile F r a n c e ’s loss o f g o ld a n d d o lla rs to th e U n ite d S ta te s in th e sam e 5 -m o n th p e rio d w as o v er $200 m illio n . T h e n eed f o r la rg e-sca le fin a n c in g d u r in g th e tr a n s itio n p e rio d w as em p h asized as B ritis h d o lla r ba la nc es d ro p p e d to $335 m illio n in J u n e 1946 a n d F re n c h ba la nc es fe ll to $250 m illio n in A u g u st. D u rin g 1945 la rg e im p o rt su rp lu ses fro m C a n a d a a n d th e A m eric an R ep u b lics e x p a n d e d th e reserves o f th o se c o u n tries. T h e c o n tin u ed e x p e n d itu re s o f U n ite d S ta te s tro o p s overseas a n d , in th e case o f C h in a , th e u tiliz a tio n o f $225 m illio n o f th e sp ec ia l a id p ro v id e d e arly in th e w a r also p ro v id e d su b s ta n tia l a d d itio n s to fo re ig n reserves. C u rre n c y a n d C oin T h e n e t e x p o rt o f U n ite d S ta te s c u rre n c y a n d coin fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s w as a c o n sid e ra b le fa c to r in th e in crea se in fo re ig n d o lla r a ssets discussed above, a m o u n tin g , so f a r as i t c an be m ea su red , to a b o u t $355 m illio n in th e 6 -year p e rio d . T h e n e t outflow w as re d u ce d fro m a b o u t $131 m illio n in 1939 to $34 m illio n in 1941 as fo re ig n tra v e l a n d p e rso n a l re m itta n c e s declined. A f te r 1941 e x p o rts o f c u rre n c y a n d co in e x p a n d e d to a m ax im u m o f a b o u t $80 m illio n in 1944, follow ed by a decline to $70 m illio n in 1945, a lth o u g h th e re w e re re s tric tio n s im posed b y th e T re a su ry D e p a rtm e n t on th e m ovem ent o f U n ite d S ta te s c u rren c y (see a p p e n d ix C, p . 223, F o re ig n F u n d s C o n tro l). M uch o f th e c u rre n c y e x p o rte d w e n t to C uba, w h ere th e d o lla r c ir c u la te s fre e ly w ith th e peso. B ecause o f th e w a rtim e sh o rta g e s o f c u rre n c y in C uba, th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t, w h ic h p u rc h a s e d th e C u b a n su g a r cro p , b e g a n in 1942 to su p p ly U n ite d S ta te s p a p e r c u r ren cy to fa c ilita te th is tra n s a c tio n .19 I n a d d itio n , sm a ll sh ip m e n ts o f c u rre n c y w ere m ad e to H a iti a n d H o n d u ra s to a lle v ia te c u rren c y s h o rt ages in th o se co u n tries. A n o th e r la rg e outflow o f U n ite d S ta te s c u r re n cy re s u lte d fro m p a y m e n t in U n ite d S ta te s d o lla rs to A m eric an tro o p s in C h in a a n d elsew here. 39 A b o u t ,$2 55 m i l l i o n o f U n i t e d S t a t e s c u r r e n c y w a s in C u b a n b a n k s a n d i n t h e h a n d s o f t h e p u b li c o n D e c e m b e r 3 1 , 1 9 4 5 , a c c o r d i n g t o t h e C u b a n T r e a s u r y . U n ite d S ta te s S h o r t-T e r m w •- f ■ C a p ita l A b r o a d U n ite d S ta te s p r iv a te sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l w as w ith d ra w n fro m a b ro a d in e v ery y e a r fro m 1931 to 1943; fro m 1940 th ro u g h 1945 th e re w as a n e t inflow to th e U n ite d S ta te s o f $112 m illio n . T h e inflow to o k p lace p r im a r ily in 1940, as th e enem y occupied m o st o f E u ro p e , a n d in 1942, w h en o u r e n try in to th e w a r f u r th e r c u rta ile d p r iv a te e x p o r ts a n d th e ir fin a nc in g . B e g in n in g in th e la tte r p a r t o f 1943, th e tr e n d w as rev erse d a n d th e r e follow ed a n outflow o f p riv a te U n ite d S ta te s sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l. A f te r O c to b e r 1945, a n a cc elerated outflow w as a p p a re n tly re la te d to a n in c re a sin g volum e o f cash e x p o rts to a ll a re a s a n d th e im p ro v e d o u tlo o k f o r th e re s u m p tio n o f peac etim e p r o d u c tio n th ro u g h o u t th e w o rld . B y th e e n d o f 1945, s h o rt-te rm claim s on fo re ig n e rs a m o u n te d to $393 m illio n , b u t th is w as a v e ry m o d e ra te level o f sh o rt-te rm c re d it b y c o m p ariso n w ith fro m $800 m illio n to m o re th a n $1 b illio n o u tsta n d in g d u rin g th e e a rly 1930’s, w h e n th e U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rt to ta l w as v e ry .m u c h low er. O f course, th e la rg e volum e o f U n ite d S ta te s sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l s till a b ro a d in th e 1930’s w as la rg e ly th e r e s u lt o f fo r e ig n ex ch an g e c o n tro ls w h ic h p re v e n te d w ith d ra w a l. W h ile su b s ta n tia l a m o u n ts o f cla im s p a y a b le in fo re ig n c u rren c ie s w ere o u tsta n d in g in p re w a r y e a rs , th e o n ly fo re ig n c u rre n c y b alan c es h e ld in 1945, w ith m in o r e xceptions, w ere in C a n a d a a n d th e s te rlin g a re a , refle ctin g th e in c rea se d d isp o sitio n to finance A m e ric a n e x p o rts o n ly on d o lla r te rm s . I n 1946, th e outflow o f U n ite d S ta te s s h o rt te rm c re d it w as f u r th e r a cc elerated , a n d b y th e en d o f M a rc h 1947 th e a m o u n t o u ts ta n d in g w as a p p ro a c h in g th e levels o f th e e a rly 1930’s. B e g in n in g in 1942, th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t a cc u m u lated s h o rt-te rm cla im s on fo re ig n e rs th ro u g h a dv an ce p a y m e n ts to v a rio u s su p p lie rs o f s tra te g ic a n d c ritic a l w a r m a te ria ls, a n d also th ro u g h th e a c q u isitio n o f fo re ig n cu rren cies. F o r th e e n tire 6 -year p e rio d , th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t a c c u m u la te d sh o rt- te rm assets a b ro a d to th e n e t e x te n t o f a b o u t $500 m illio n . A d v a n ce p a y m e n ts o f a b o u t $200 m illio n o u ts ta n d in g in 1912 h a d b een a lm o st e n tire ly re p a id by th e e nd o f 1945. I n 1944 a n d 1945 la rg e a m o u n ts o f fo re ig n c u rren c ie s w ere a cc u m u lated in E u ro p e a n d elsew here in connection w ith th e o p e ra tio n s o f o u r a rm e d forces. W a r tim e C h a n g e s in F o r e ig n R e s e r v e s T a b le 26 in d ic a te s ro u g h ly th e re d is trib u tio n o f g o ld a n d d o lla r reserve s w h ich cam e a b o u t d u r in g th e w a r y e a rs, p r im a r ily th ro u g h tra n sa c tio n s w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d new g o ld p ro d u c tio n . I t is e stim a te d t h a t a t th e e n d o f 1939 th e g o ld sto ck o f fo r e ig n c o u n trie s a m o u n ted to a b o u t $12.5 b illio n , a n d t h a t o f th e U n ite d S ta te s to $17.8 b illio n . I n th e 6 y e a rs o f w a r t h a t follow ed , th e re w ere n e t sales o f g o ld to th e U n ite d S ta te s o f a b o u t $2 b illio n . T h e g re a te st loss o f g o ld w as su ffered b y th e U n ite d K in g d o m , F ra n c e , a n d C a n ad a , w h ile th e E u ro p e a n n e u tr a ls a n d som e L a tin A m e ric a n c o u n trie s w ere a b le to a cc u m u late la rg e reserves. H o w e v e r, th is loss o f g o ld, m o st o f Avhich o c cu rred e a rly in th e w a r, w as m ore th a n offset b y p r o d u c tio n o f new g o ld, w h ich to ta le d a b o u t $6.4 b illio n fro m 1940^45, in c lu d in g p ro d u c tio n w h ich e n te re d p riv a te stocks esti107 m a te d a t som e $850 m illio n . T h e n e t effect o f th ese g a in s a n d losses o f g o ld w as to b rin g th e re p o rte d g o ld reserves o f fo re ig n c o u n trie s u p to a b o u t $16 b illio n b y th e e n d o f 1945. T h u s , a t th e end o f th e w a r p e rio d w o rld g o ld reserves a m o u n te d to a b o u t $36 b illio n ; $16 b illio n o f th e to ta l w as h e ld a b ro a d a n d $20 b illio n in th e U n ite d S ta te s. Tabl e 26.— G o ld and s h o r t-te r m d o lla r a s s e ts 1 9 3 9 a n d 1 9 1 ,5 o f fo r e ig n c o u n tr ie s a t y e a r-e n d s 1 , [In m illio n s of d o lla rs] G o ld 2 A re a D o lla r a s s e t s 3 1939 1945 12,500 16,000 2,225 214 730 9,331 3,476 388 2,717 9,419 1939 . 1945 T o ta l 1939 1945 3,270 7,791 15, 770 23, 791 526 278 340 2,126 864 1,529 1,286 4,112 2, 751 492 1,070 11,457 4,340 1,917 4,003 13,531 i In c lu d e s b o th p r iv a te a n d official h o ld in g s e x c e p t t h a t a n e s ti m a te d $850 m illio n of g old w h ic h e n te re d p r iv a te sto c k s is e lim in a te d . 2. In c lu d e s a ll g old a t h o m e a n d a b r o a d e x c e p t for th e a d d itio n to p r iv a t e sto c k s n o te d a b o v e . T h e to ta l g o ld h o ld in g s a t th e e n d o f 1945 w ere e s tim a te d in th e A n n u a l R e p o rt, B o a rd of G o v e rn o rs of th e F e d e r a l R e se rv e S y s te m , 1945, p . 29. T h e t o ta l for 1939 w a s b a s e d o n t h e e s ti m a te for 1941 g iv e n in th e s a m e so urce a fte r a d ju s tm e n t for p ro d u c tio n a n d tr a n sa c tio n s in 1940 a n d 1941. T h e a re a d is tr ib u tio n w a s e s ti m a te d a s follow s: S te rlin g a re a —b a s e d o n to ta ls for th e e n d of 1941 a s p u b li sh e d in th e F e d e r a l R e se r v e B u lle tin (e n d of S e p te m b e r fig u re for th e U n ite d K in g d o m ), w it h a d ju s tm e n ts for p ro d u c tio n a n d tr a n s a c ti o n s c a rr ie d b a c k to 1939 a n d fo rw a rd to 1945. C a n a d a —e n d of 1939 to ta l a s p u b li s h e d in t h e F e d e r a l R e se rv e B u lle tin ; e n d of 1945 t o ta l a s p u b li sh e d in th e A n n u a l R e p o r t, F o re ig n E x c h a n g e C o n tr o l B o a r d , 1946., A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s—e n d of 1939 a s p u b li sh e d in F e d e r a l R e s e rv e B u lle tin ; e n d of 1945 b a s e d o n 1939 to ta ls a d ju s te d for tra n sa c tio n s a n d p ro d u c tio n . O th e r — th e to ta l for t h is g ro up is a re sid u a l. I t sh o u ld b e n o te d t h a t th e r e w e re tr a n sf e r s b e tw e e n t h e v a r io u s a re a s w h ic h c o u ld n o t b e e s ti m a te d a n d w h ic h m a y a ffe c t th e a r e a d is tr ib u tio n to so m e e x te n t. 3 D o lla r a s se ts a t e n d of 1939 in c lu d e o n ly b a n k in g a n d b ro k e ra g e b a la n c e s in th e U n ite d S ta te s ; th e to ta l a t th e e n d of 1945 in c lu d e s b a n k in g a n d b ro k e ra g e b a la n c e s to ta lin g $6,987 m illio n a n d U n ite d S ta te s c u r r e n c y , a d v a n c e p a y m e n ts , a n d c la im s o n th e U . S. G o v e rn m e n t a c q u ir e d th ro u g h tr a n s a c ti o n s w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s , 1940-45. I t is e s ti m a te d o n th e b a sis of th e T r e a s u r y ’s C e n su s of F o re ig n -O w n e d A sse ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s t h a t th e r e a r e ro u g h ly $500 m illio n of fo re ig n sh o rt- te rm d o lla r a sse ts n o t in c lu d e d in th is ta b le , a lth o u g h a n e s tim a te fo r th e se ite m s is in c lu d e d in th e s ta t e m e n t of th e in te r n a tio n a l in v e s tm e n t p o s itio n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s (t a b le 27). T h e sh o rt- te rm d o lla r fu n d s o f fo r e ig n c o u n trie s in crea se d b y $4.5 b illio n d u r in g 1940-45 (see ta b le 2 3 ), w ith th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics, C a n a d a , a n d c o u n trie s w h e re o u r tro o p s w ere lo ca te d as th e p rin c ip a l beneficiaries. T h e to ta l o f $7.8 b illio n h e ld by fo re ig n e rs a t th e end o f 1945 in clu d e d $6.9 b illio n o f b a n k in g balances,20 a bo u t $100 m illio n o f b ro k e ra g e balances, a n d som e $800 m illio n in th e fo rm o f U n ite d S ta te s c u rre n c y a n d claim s on th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t w h ich a re n o t o rd in a rily in c lu d e d in p u b lish e d d a ta on U n ite d S ta te s s h o rt te rm lia b ilitie s to fo re ig n e rs a s re p o rte d b y b a n k s a n d b ro k e rs. O f th e to ta l, a b o u t $4.2 b illio n w as in official b a n k in g balances. A lth o u g h th e re w as a n e t in crea se o f a bo u t $8 b illio n in fo re ig n g o ld a n d d o lla r h o ld in g s d u r in g th e 1940-45 p e rio d , th e re w as a w ide d i f feren ce in th e e xp erien ce o f in d iv id u a l c o u n tries. T h e losses suffered in 1940 a n d 1941 by th e U n ite d K in g d o m , F ra n c e , a n d th e N e th e r la n d s fo llow ed e a rlie r la rg e flows to th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d red u ce d th e ir reserves to e x trem e ly low levels. F ra n c e h e ld a b o u t $5 b illio n in g o ld in 1934, b u t th is w as red u ced to a b o u t $2 b illio n a t th e en d o f 1941; U n ite d K in g d o m g o ld reserves o f a b o u t $4.2 b illio n e a rly in 1938 w ere n e g lig ib le b y la te 1941; N e th e rla n d s gold h o ld in g s of a b o u t “ In c lu d in g U . S . G o v e rn m e n t s h o rt- te rm s e c u ritie s . 108 $1 b illio n in 1938 w ere red u c ed to $575 m illio n a t th e en d o f 1941 a n d c o n tin u ed to decline th ro u g h o u t th e w ar. A f te r 1941, as m e n tio n ed e a r lie r , m o st c o u n trie s w ere able to a d d to th e ir reserve s o f g o ld a n d d o lla rs. T h e sh a r p e st re la tiv e in crease w a s re g iste re d by C a n a d ia n reserves, w h ic h rose fro m 3 p e rce n t o f th e 1939 to ta l sh ow n in ta b le 26 to 8 p e rc e n t o f th e 1945 to ta l. A g g re g a te reserves o f th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics e x p a n d e d n e a rly as sw iftly , fro m 7 to 17 p e rc e n t o f th e to ta l— m o re th a n re c o u p in g losses o f th e 1930’s a n d re a c h in g a sh a re in th e to ta l n e a r ly equal to t h a t o f th e s te rlin g a re a . A rg e n tin a a n d B ra z il m a d e th e la rg e s t g a in s a m o n g th e A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s ; A rg e n tin a in crea sed its to ta l fo re ig n e x c h an g e a n d g o ld h o ld in g s b y $1.1 b illio n in th e 1940-45 p e rio d , w hile B ra z il a d d e d $475 m illio n o f g o ld a n d d o lla rs to its reserves in th e w a r p e rio d . T h e s te rlin g a re a h a d a b o u t re g a in e d its 1939 p o sitio n , b y th e en d o f 1945, b y v irtu e o f th e g o ld p ro d u c tio n o f S o u th A fric a . T h e a n n u a l p r o d u c tio n o f th is a re a a v e ra g e d a b o u t $500 m illio n fro m 1940 to 1945 a n d th e g o ld reserve o f th e U n io n o f S o u th A f ric a in creased fro m $249 m illio n to $914 m illio n . T h e sh a re o f th e c o u n trie s g ro u p e d u n d e r “ O th e r ” d r o p p e d to 58 p e rc e n t o f th e to ta l as th e g a in s o f th e E u ro p e a n n e u tra ls, p rin c ip a lly S w itz e rla n d , w ere m ore th a n offset b y th e losses o f F ra n c e a n d th e N e th e rla n d s. A lth o u g h fo r e ig n g o ld a n d d o lla r h o ld in g s in c rea sed in th e a g g re g a te d u r in g th e w a r y e a rs, th e r e w ere re la tiv e ly few c o u n trie s a t th e e n d o f 1945 w ith sufficient reserves to view th e ir needs fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s w ith o u t som e a p p reh e n sio n . M an y n a tio n s h a d b u ilt u p r e serves d u rin g th e p e rio d w h e n goods w ere n o t o b ta in a b le in th e U n ite d S ta te s an d , fac e d w ith a tre m e n d o u s p e n t-u p d e m a n d f o r U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts as th e w a r e nd ed , lim ite d e x p e n d itu re s in th e U n ite d S ta te s to goods c on sidered e ssen tial. S w ed en a n d C a n a d a h e ld s u b s ta n tia l reserves a t th e end o f th e w a r a n d w ere e n co u rag e d to a p p re c ia te th e ir c u rren c ie s in 1946, b u t w ere e x p e rie n c in g som e difficulties b y th e end o f t h a t y e a r as th e ir reserves declined. I t w as c le a r t h a t a d d itio n a l fu n d s w o u ld h a v e to be p ro v id e d to th o se c o u n trie s w h ich u sed a g r e a t p a r t o f th e ir g o ld a n d d o lla r reserves to fig h t th e A x is, o r w hich, th ro u g h th e d e v a sta tio n o f w a r, w ere fac e d w ith needs fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s f a r g re a te r th a n th e ir p re w a r experience. N e verth eless, th e to ta l o f n e a rly $24 b illio n o f fo re ig n g o ld a n d d o lla r assets a t th e e n d o f 1945 p ro v id e d a su b s ta n tia l cushion f o r th e rec on v ersio n p e rio d . I n te r n a tio n a l In v e s tm e n t P o s it io n T h e w a r le f t th e n e t d e b to r-c re d ito r p o sitio n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s re la tiv e ly u n c h a n g e d , w ith a n in crea se o f so m e th in g o v er $4 b illio n in U n ite d S ta te s in v estm en ts a b ro a d a n d n e a rly $5 b illio n in fo r e ig n in v estm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s betw een D ecem b er 3 1 ,19 3 9 , a n d D e cem ber 31,1945. S ig n ific a n tly , how ever, p ra c tic a lly a ll o f th e in crease iir fo re ig n in v estm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s w as in th e fo rm o f s h o rt te rm balances, due to be d ra w n dow n h e a v ily in th e im m e d iate p o s t w a r p e rio d , w h ile in c rea se d U n ite d S ta te s h o ld in g s a b ro a d co n sisted m a in ly o f lo n g -te rm , in te re st-b e a rin g o r in co m e-p rod u c ing assets (see ta b le 27) .21 21 F o r r e c o n c i l i a t i o n s t a t e m e n t s h o w i n g a n n u a l c h a n g e s i n t h e i n t e r n a t i o n a l i n v e s t m e n t p o s i t i o n o f t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s t h r o u g h b a l a n c e - o f - p a y m e n t s m o v e m e n ts a n d o t h e r f a c t o r s , see a p p e n d ix C, ta b le s X X I I a n d X X III . 109 C h an g e s in in te rn a tio n a l assets a n d lia b ilitie s re s u ltin g fro m b alan ceo f-p a y m e n ts tra n s a c tio n s h a v e been discu ssed p re v io u sly . T h e in crease in fo r e ig n sh o rt-te rm in v estm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s re su lte d p r im a r ily fro m o u r n e g a tiv e cash b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts o n c u rre n t tr a n s a ctio n s d u r in g th e w a r y e ars. F o re ig n lo n g -te rm in v estm e n ts w ere a p p ro x im a te ly th e sam e a t th e e n d o f th e p e rio d as a t th e b e g in n in g , th e in crea se in m a rk e t v a lu e o f p o rtf o lio se c u ritie s (n o t, o f course, re flected in th e b a lan c e o f p a y m e n ts) a b o u t o ffse ttin g re d u c tio n s in h o ld in g s d u e to B r itis h liq u id a tio n s a n d th e v e stin g o f enem y-ow ned assets. T h e rise in th e v a lu e o f A m e ric a n lo n g -te rm p riv a te in v estm e n ts a b ro a d reflected m a in ly a ris e in th e q u o te d v a lu e s o f fo r e ig n se cu rities (p rin c ip a lly C a n a d ia n ) , re in v e ste d e a rn in g s o f m o re th a n $900 m illio n b y A m e ric a n d ire c t-in v e stm e n t e n te rp rise s, a n d a n e t c a p ita l outflow o f $231 m illio n d u r in g th e w a r p e rio d . T h e re w as a m o d e ra te decline in th e v a lu e o f A m e ric a n sh o rt-te rm asse ts d u r in g th e p e rio d , a lth o u g h th e e stim a te d to ta l o f A m e ric a n d e p o sits a b ro a d re m a in e d a lm o st u n ch an g e d . A t th e e n d o f 1939 th e claim s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t on fo re ig n e rs wre re (e x c lu d in g W o rld W a r I d e b ts) a p p r o x i m a te ly $35 m illio n . B e g in n in g w ith th e R e c o n stru c tio n F in a n c e C o r p o ra tio n lo a n to th e U n ite d K in g d o m in 1941, loans, a dv an ces, a n d o th e r in v estm e n ts a b ro a d by th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t in crea se d ra p id ly , re a c h in g a b o u t $1.6 b illio n b y th e e n d o f 1945. Ta bl e 27.— I n te r n a tio n a l in v e s tm e n t p o s itio n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s , 1 9 3 9 -4 5 [Y e a r-e n d d a ta in m illio n s of dollars! I te m 1939 1940 1941 U n ite d S ta te s in v e s tm e n ts a b ro a d , to ta l........ 12,480 12, 275 P r iv a te _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 12, 445 L o n g -te rm _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 11,385 D ir e c t.................. ..................... . - 7,280 F o re ig n d o lla r b o n d s _________ 1,685 S ec u ritie s p a y a b le in loca l c u r1,240 re n c ie s ............ ................ .......... E s ta te s a n d t r u s t s ____________ 150 O th e r lo n g - te r m _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1,030 S h o rt -te rm . _______ ____ _____ _ 1,000 405 D e p o s it s ____ _____________ O th e r ............ ................ ............. ... 655 35 U . S. G o v e r n m e n t__________________ L o n g -te rm _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 35 S h o rt -te rm ............ ................... .......... 12,195 11,310 7,340 1,445 1942 1943 1944 12,990 13,640 14,170 14,810 16, 760 12, 505 11,635 7, 525 1,445 12,930 12,175 7,740 1,510 13, 340 12, 575 7,845 1,560 13,765 12, 930 7,960 1.590 14, 590 13, 675 8,120 1,650 1,280 170 1,075 885 375 510 80 80 1,375 190 1,100 870 375 495 485 475 10 1,565 210 1,150 755 370 385 710 490 220 1,795 210 1,165 765 370 395 830 620 210 2,010 210 1,160 835 385 450 1,045 770 275 2,425 210 1,270 915 395 520 2,170 1,585 585 1945 F o re ig n in v e s tm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s, to ta l_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ ___ _ _ _ _ _ _ ______ ___ 12,820 13, 535 12,300 12, 605 14,145 15,085 17,740 P r iv a te o b lig a tio n s ___ _ _ _ _ _ ________ L o n g -te rm ................ .......................... . D ir e c t___ _ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ __ C o r p o ra te s to c k s _____________ C o r p o ra te b o n d s 1................. ........ E s ta te s a n d t r u s ts ............. ........... O t h e r .__ _____ ______________ S h o r t- te r m ....... ................... ................ D e p o s it s .. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ O t h e r .__ _____ ____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ U . S. G o v e rn m e n t o b lig a ti o n s.................. L o n g -te rm _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ______ _______ S h o r t- te r m ______ ____ ______ ____ 12,495 8,095 2, 900 3, 255 525 850 1,165 3,800 3, 225 575 325 150 175 13, 225 11,770 8 ,1 0 0 ' 7,200 2,875 2,700 2, 625 • 1,950 500 475 800 775 1,300 1,300 5,125 4, 570 3,915 3, 510 1,210 1,060 310 530 150 150 380 160 11,645 7, 275 2,615 2,120 525 745 1.270 4,370 3, 665 705 960 150 810 12, 560 7, 570 2,605 2, 445 610 700 1,210 4.990 4, 290 700 1,585 200 1,385 13.080 7,865 2, 630 2, 700 715 665 1,155 5. 215 4,425 790 2, 005 425 1,580 14. 207 8, 502 2,675 3,370 692 655 1,110 5,705 4,855 850 3, 533 493 3,040 N e t d e b to r ( —) o r c r e d it o r ( + ) p o s itio n ......... -3 4 0 - 1 ,2 6 0 + 090 + 1 ,0 3 5 +25 -2 7 5 N e t p r iv a t e -------- ------- ------- ------------N e t U . S . G o v e r n m e n t_____ _________ -5 0 -2 9 0 - 1 ,0 3 0 -2 3 0 + 735 + 1 ,2 8 5 —45 -2 5 0 + 780 -7 5 5 + 685 -9 6 0 +383 - 1 ,3 6 3 o ■ 'f co" + N e t lo n g -te rm , p r iv a te a n d U . S. G ove m i n e n t_______ _ ________ ______ + 2 ,5 7 5 N e t sh o rt- te rm , p r iv a te a n d U . S . G ov e r n m e n t__________ _ __ _ _____ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 , 915 - 4 ,4 0 0 —980; + 4 ,7 6 0 + 5 ,2 4 0 + 5 ,4 2 5 + 5 ,4 1 0 + 6 ,2 6 5 - 4 ,0 7 0 - 4 ,2 0 5 - 5 ,4 0 0 - 5 ,6 8 5 - 7 , 245 1 C o r p o ra te b o n d s in c lu d e a n e s tim a te of $100 m illio n o f S ta te a n d m u n ic ip a l o b lig a tio n s. Not e.—Fo r in fo rm a tio n re g a r d in g c o n c e p ts a n d m e th o d s of v a lu a tio n e m p lo y e d , see a p p e n d ix B , p . 225. no C h a p te r IV T r a n s a c tio n s b y A r e a s 1 I n tr o d u c tio n Som e b r ie f o b serv a tio n s on th e in te rn a tio n a l tr a n s a c tio n s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s, b y a re a s o f th e w o rld , a re p re sen te d in th e follow ingp ages. T h e se a re as, re p re se n tin g a lo g ical g ro u p in g o f th e v a rio u s c o u n trie s f o r p u rp o ses o f th is discu ssion, a re th e s te rlin g a re a , C a n a d a , th e 20 A m e ric a n R ep u b lics, a n d th e re s t o f th e w o rld . E v e n in p e acetim e, th e s te rlin g bloc w as a f a ir ly close -k n it in te r n a tio n a l fin an cial e n tity ; a n d d u r in g th e w a r, w h e n th e bloc w as tr a n s fo r m e d in to th e s te rlin g a re a , th e c om p u lsory p o o lin g o f d o lla r ba la nc es in L o n d o n a n d o th e r fe a tu re s in crea sed its econom ic a n d fin a n c ia l u n ity co n siderab ly . T h u s, th e im p o rta n c e o f th e s te rlin g a re a in tr a d e w ith th e w o rld in g e n e ra l a n d w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s in p a r tic u la r n eed h a r d ly be e m p h asized . C a n a d a ra n k s even above th e U n ite d K in g d o m in im p o rta n c e a s a tr a d in g p a r tn e r o f th e U n ite d S ta te s ; m o reo v er, th e m a rk e d ly tr ia n g u la r p a tte r n o f tra n s a c tio n s b etw een C a n ad a , th e U n ite d K in g d o m , a n d th e U n ite d S ta te s m akes a n iso la tio n o f U n ite d S ta te s- C a n a d ia n tra n s a c tio n s o f sp ecial in te re st. T h e 20 A m e ric a n R ep u b lics c o n stitu te a g e o g ra p h ic a lly c o n tigu o u s a rea , w ith m a n y com m on c h a ra c te ris tic s a n d p ro b lem s, a n d th u s a re tre a te d as a u n it. F in a lly , to com p lete th e d a ta to cover U n ite d S ta te s tr a n s a c tio n s w ith a ll c o u n trie s o f th e w o rld , a n d because o f th e c o n sid e rab le in tr in s ic in te re s t a tta c h in g to “ a ll o th e r c o u n trie s,” these, tr e a te d as one a rea , a re discu ssed in a se p a ra te sta tem en t. C e rta in U n ite d S ta te s tra n s a c tio n s in clu d e d in th e g lo b a l b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts c a n n o t be id en tified w ith a n y p a r tic u la r c o u n try . T h e se in c lu d e tw o q u ite d is tin c t so rts o f tra n s a c tio n s : F ir s t, th o se w ith in te r n a tio n a l in stitu tio n s , such as U N R R A o r th e I n te r n a tio n a l B a n k fo r R e c o n stru c tio n a n d D e v e lop m e n t ; a n d , second, th o se w h ic h a re a c tu a lly dom estic b u t w h ich a re show n in th e g lob a l b a la n ce o f p a y m en ts because o f th e ir effect on th e in te rn a tio n a l reserv e p o s itio n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s. I n th is b u lle tin , b o th ty p e s o f tra n s a c tio n s a re in c lu d e d in a f ifth “a re a ” g ro u p , n a m e ly , I n te r n a tio n a l In stitu tio n s. In p ra c tic e , th e re is o n ly one tra n s a c tio n o f th e second ty p e m e n tio n e d above, i. e., th a t p o rtio n o f th e in crea se (o r decrease) in th e stock o f m o n e ta ry g o ld w h ich is a ttr ib u ta b le to th e n e t dom estic p ro d u c tio n (o r e o n su m p tio n ) o f gold. A c e rta in a m o u n t o f c a u tio n m u st be ex ercised in u sin g th e fig u res g iven f o r b ila te ra l b alan ces o f p a y m en ts. T h e d e g ree o f a cc u ra cy o f th ese figures is u su a lly less th a n in g lo b a l balances. M oreo v er, th e re 1 T h is c h a p te r w a s p r e p a r e d b y W illia m M c C a rro ll a n d J u d a h E . S m ith . m is an im p o rta n t c o n c ep tu a l difference betw een a g lo b a l a n d a b ila te ra l b alan ce o f p a y m e n ts in th a t th e la tte r does n o t h av e to “ balance.” I t fo llo w s fro m th is c o n sid e ra tio n th a t th e re s id u a l item in a b ila te ra l b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts sta te m e n t is c om posed o f tw o q u ite d is tin c t k in d s o f th in g s : I t is p a r tly th e re s u lt o f (n o n o ffse ttin g ) e rro rs a n d o m is sions in th e e stim a tes o f th e o th e r item s, a n d p a r tly th e re s u lt o f m u lti la te ra l tra n sa c tio n s. S in ce th e la tte r c a n n o t u su a lly be iso la ted , i t is im possib le to te ll to w h a t e x te n t th e size o f th e re s id u a l is d u e to each o f th ese tw o k in d s o f “tr a n s a c tio n ” ( if e rro rs a n d om issions c a n be re g a rd e d as tra n sa c tio n s) .2 Som e sm all a tte m p t h a s been m ad e a t su g g e stin g th e p ro b ab le source o f th e resid u a ls a p p e a rin g in th e fo llo w in g sta te m e n ts, b u t a t th e. p re s e n t tim e n o sy ste m a tic in v e stig a tio n o f th e su b je ct c an be u n d e rta k e n . Ta bl e 28.— T r a n s a c tio n s of th e U n ite d S ta te s w ith th e s te r lin g a rea, 1 9 J /0 -4 5 [In m illio n s of d ollars] I te m 1940 1941 I . R e c e ip ts , t o t a l . ------- ----------- ------ ------------- ------ 1,821 3,209 7,427 12,958 14,085 7,644 A . G oo ds a n d serv ic e s, t o t a l _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ . 1. G o o d s ___ ______________ ___________ _ 2. In c o m e on in v e s tm e n ts _ __ __ ____ _______ 3. O th e r se rv ic e s ___ ____ ____ ___ ____ _ _ _ _ _ B . U n ila te r a l tr a n s f e rs ............................... ............. C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, t o t a l ..... ................ .............. 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l inv e ste d a b r o a d ____ _ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ ____ 2. M o v e m e n ts of foreign c a p ita l in v e s te d in 1,647 1,403 77 167 8 166 3,111 2,621 66 424 3 95 6,532 5, 206 81 1,245 829 66 11,043 8,635 78 2,330 1,846 69 11,986 9,375 80 2,531 2,050 49 5,753 4, 430 76 1,247 1,830 61 12 23 36 68 49 61 154 72 30 1 I I . P a y m e n ts , to t a l ..... ................................................... 1,240 2,988 7,150 13,647 14,669 7,766 A . G oo d s a n d serv ic e s, to t a l ......... ............. ............. 1. G o o d s............................... .............. .............. 2. In c o m e o n in v e s tm e n ts ................................. 3. O th e r se rv ic e s................................... ............ B . U n i la te r a l tr a n sf e r s ____ ________ _________ C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, t o t a l . . ................. ................ 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l inv e ste d a b r o a d ______________________ 2. M o v e m e n ts of foreign c a p ita l in v e s te d in U n ite d S ta te s .......... .............. ................... 946 743 74 129 74 220 1,254 1,009 60 185 990 744 2,127 1,536 49 542 4, 903 120 3,485 2,019 43 1,423 10,080 82 3,793 1,916 46 1,831 10, 708 168 3,365 1,966 47 1,352 3, 690 711 4 371 48 40 120 668 216 373 72 42 48 43 I I I . E x c e ss of re c e ip ts ( + ) o r p a y m e n ts ( —), to t a l ___ +581 +221 + 277 -6 8 9 -5 8 4 -1 2 2 + 4 , 405 + 7 ,5 5 8 + 8 ,1 9 3 - 4 ,0 7 4 - 8 , 234 - 8 ,6 5 8 + 331 -6 7 6 -4 6 5 -5 4 -1 3 -1 1 9 + 2 ,3 8 8 - 1 .8 6 0 + 528 -6 5 0 A . G oo d s a n d se rv ic e s .......... .............. ......... ......... B . U n i la te r a l tr a n s f e rs ______ _____ ___ _ ____ N e t goods a n d services a n d u n i la te ra l tr a n s fe rs . C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l......... ............ ........................ IV . N e t inflow ( + ) o r o u tflo w ( —) of fu n d s o n gold a n d sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l a c c o u n t, t o t a l ____________ +701 + 1 ,8 5 7 -6 6 -9 8 7 + 635 + 8 70 -5 4 -6 4 9 - 1 ,4 9 2 A . N e t U n ite d S ta te s g old sales ( + ) o r p u rc h a se s (-)— -------------------------------------------- - 2 , 053 B . N e t m o v e m e n t of U n ite d S ta te s sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l a b r o a d _____ _____ _____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ +22 G . N e t m o v e m e n t of foreign s h o rt- te rm c a p ita l in U n ite d S ta te s ....... ....................................... + 5 59 V . E rr o rs , o m issio n s, a n d th ir d - c o u n tr y tr a n s a c ti o n s .. + 911 T r a n s a c t io n s W it h t h e -7 2 1 1942 1943 1944 1945 -2 3 1 + 404 + 5 50 -5 5 1 -1 2 +50 + 6 72 -1 -4 2 -2 6 -1 7 -8 -1 6 9 -1 7 7 + 3 80 -1 0 5 -1 3 0 + 5 00 -4 6 + 285 +34 + 255 -1 3 3 S te r lin g A re a T h e tra n s a c tio n s betw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e ste rlin g a re a 3 d u rin g 1940 a n d 1941 w ere m a rk e d b y e x tra o rd in a rily h e av y U n ite d 2 F o r a m o re d e ta ile d d is c u s s io n o f th e s e c o n c e p te d p ro b le m s , see a p p e n d ix A. 3 S in c e i t s f o r m a l i n c e p t i o n o n J u l y 1 7 , 1 9 4 0 , b y t h e i s s u a n c e o f S t a t u t o r y R u l e s a n d O rd e r N o. 1 25 4 o f th e D e fe n c e ( F in a n c e ) R e g u la tio n s , th e s te r lin g a r e a h a s c o n s is te d e s s e n tia lly o f B r i t i s h E m p ire c o u n tr ie s , w it h t h e e x c e p tio n o f C a n a d a a n d N e w fo u n d la n d . I t a ls o in c lu d e s c e r ta in n o n -B ritis h c o u n trie s , n o ta b ly E g y p t a n d Ir a q . I n r e s p o n s e to c h a n g in g c o n d itio n s d u r in g th e w a r, s u c h o th e r n o n -B ritis h c o u n trie s a s th e B e lg ia n C ongo a n d R u a n d a - U r u n d i , F r e n c h E q u a t o r i a l A f r i c a a n d o t h e r F r e n c h p o s s e s s io n s , I c e l a n d , a n d th e F a r o e Is la n d s h a v e a d h e re d f o r v a r y in g p e rio d s o f tim e to th e s te r lin g a r e a . 112 * ♦ ► K in g d o m sales o f g o ld to th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d b y th e p a r tia l liq u i d a tio n o f U n ite d K in g d o m lo n g -te rm in v estm e n ts a n d d o lla r b alances, th e p roceeds o f w h ich w ere used to p ro c u re th e v a st q u a n titie s o f e q u ip m e n t necessary to c a rry on th e w a r w ith G e rm a n y . T h e se o u tla y s w ere so e xten sive th a t, by th e e nd o f 1941, th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s h o ld in g s o f g o ld a n d d o llars4 w ere close to th e v a n is h in g p o in t a n d th e b u lk o f its re a d ily d isp o sab le in v e stm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s h a d been liq u i d a te d o r p le d g ed a g a in s t th e R ec o n stru c tio n F in a n c e C o rp o ra tio n loan. I n th e o p en in g m o n th s o f th e w a r, th e U n ite d K in g d o m re lie d u p o n th e in d u s tria l s tre n g th a n d self-sufficiency o f th e B r itis h E m p ir e a n d its A lly , F ra n c e , to s u p p ly th e n ecessary e q u ip m e n t a n d m a te ria ls. E a rlie r, how ever, w hen th e d a n g e r o f w a r th re a te n e d , m ea su res w ere ta k e n to in su re th e c o n serv a tio n o f fo reig n -ex c h a n g e resources. I m p o rts o f n o n esse n tia ls w ere re s tric te d a n d steps w ere ta k e n to s h if t th e source o f s u p p ly f o r m a n y com m odities to a re a s w ith in th e B ritis h E m p ir e . R e g is tra tio n o f fo re ig n assets w a s re q u ire d la te in A u g u st o f 1939, a n d in S e p te m b e r e x ch an g e c o n tro l w a s im p o sed to c u rb th e flig h t o f c a p ita l. S im ila r c o n tro ls w ere u n d e r ta k e n by th e re s t o f th e B ritis h E m p ire . W ith th e e m p h asis on th e c o n se rv a tio n o f fo re ig n exch an ge, B ritis h p ro c u re m e n t o f w a r su p p lie s o u tsid e th e ste rlin g a re a w as v e ry sm all up to M arch o f 1940. B u t w ith th e in v asio n o f N o rw a y in A p r il a n d o f th e L ow C o u n trie s in M ay , a n d th e c ollap se o f F ra n c e in J u n e , B r ita in e n te re d u p o n th e p ro c u re m e n t o f th e g re a te st a m o u n t o f w a r su p p lie s in th e sh o rte st possib le tim e, re g a rd le s s o f th e effect on its e xch an g e resources. T h e e x p e n d itu re m a d e u n d e r th is p ro c u re m e n t p ro g ra m a n d th e c a p ita l flows w h ich o c cu rre d in th e first few m o n th s b e fo re th e ex c h an g e-co n tro l re g u la tio n s w ere tig h te n e d p ro d u c ed u n p re c e d e n t defi c its in th e s te r lin g -a r e a b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts.5 F o r th e 16 m o n th s fro m th e b e g in n in g o f th e w a r in S e p te m b e r 1939 to th e en d o f 1940, th e s te r lin g -a r e a deficit w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s a m o u n te d to $1,030 m illio n on m erch a n d ise a n d services a c co u n t alone. I n a d d itio n , ad v a nc es a n d c a p ita l-a ssista n c e p a y m e n ts a m o u n tin g to $720 m illio n (n e t) w ere m a d e to A m e ric a n co n cerns f o r th e p r o d u c tio n o f w a r m a te r ia ls .6 C a p ita l w ith d ra w a ls p re c ip ita te d b y th e o u tb re a k o f w a r w ere e stim a te d to h av e to ta le d $735 m illio n , o f w h ich $200 m illio n rep re se n te d th e re p a y m e n t o f A m eric an e x p o rt c re d its in acc orda nce w ith th e c a s h -a n d -c a rry req u irem e n ts o f th e N e u tra lity A c t a n d $235 m illio n , th e a m o u n t em p loy ed in th e liq u id a tio n o f a 4 I t m a y be n o te d h e r e t h a t t h e m a jo r m o v e m e n ts in s te r lin g - a r e a d o l la r a s s e ts w e re fo r t h e a c c o u n t o f t h e U n i t e d K in g d o m a s a r e s u l t o f t h e o p e r a t i o n s o f t h e s t e r l i n g - a r e a e x c h a n g e p o o l. A s a m e a n s o f c o n s e r v i n g e x c h a n g e r e s o u r c e s a n d t o p r o v i d e f o r t h e i r r e p l e n i s h m e n t f o r e s s e n t i a l w a r p u r p o s e s , t h e m e m b e r s o f t h e s t e r l i n g a r e a a g r e e d t o r e l i n q u i s h s p e c if ie d c u rre n c ie s , p a r tic u la r ly d o lla r s , to th e p o o l in e x c h a n g e f o r s te r lin g . T h e y a lso a g re e d to lim it th e i r d e m a n d s o n th e p o o l fo r s u c h c u rr e n c ie s to a m o u n ts re q u ir e d f o r e s s e n tia l p a y m e n t s . T h i s w a s r e i n f o r c e d b y t h e g e n e r a l a g r e e m e n t t o c o n f in e p u r c h a s e s o u t s i d e t h e s t e r l i n g a r e a t o i t e m s w h i c h c o u ld n o t b e o b t a i n e d w i t h i n t h e a r e a i t s e l f . I n t h i s s y s t e m , t h e n , s u r p l u s e s o f d o l l a r s a b o v e t h e m in i m u m r e q u i r e m e n t s o f t h e m e m b e r c o u n t r i e s a c c r u e d t o t h e U n i t e d K in g d o m a c c o u n t . 5 T h e d a t a r e g a r d in g th e g o ld a n d d o lla r tr a n s a c t i o n s o f t h e s te r lin g a r e a f o r S e p te m b e r 1 9 3 9 -D e c e m b e r 1 94 0 h a v e b een ta k e n fro m a le tte r , d a te d J a n u a r y 2 1, 1 9 4 1 , fro m th e S e c re t a r y o f t h e T r e a s u r y t o M r . B lo o m , C h a i r m a n o f - t h e F o r e i g n A f f a ir s C o m m i t t e e o f t h e H o u se o f R e p re s e n ta tiv e s . S ee th e F e d e r a l R e s e rv e B u lle tin , F e b r u a r y 1 9 4 1 , p . 9 9 ; a n d D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e rc e , T h e B a la n c e o f I n t e r n a t i o n a l P a y m e n ts o f t h e U n ite d S ta te s , 1 9 4 0 , p . 9. 6 A re v ise d e s tim a te f o r a d v a n c e s a n d c a p ita l a s s is ta n c e o u ts ta n d in g a t th e e n d o f 1 940, $ 7 6 2 m illio n , h a s b e e n u s e d in ta b le 2 8 . 113 sh oi't fo rw a rd p o s itio n in d o lla rs. T h e re m a in d e r, e s tim a te d a t $300 m illio n , re p re s e n te d c a p ita l w ith d ra w a ls th ro u g h th e sale o f fre e ste rlin g .7 T h e s te rlin g a re a ’s p ro c u re m e n t o f w a r su p p lies in C a n a d a a n d in o th e r c o u n trie s also re q u ire d th e p a y m e n t o f s u b s ta n tia l sum s o f g o ld a n d d o lla rs. D u r in g th is 16-m onth p e rio d , its c u rre n t-a c c o u n t deficit w ith C a n a d a a n d N e w fo u n d la n d a m o u n ted to $555 m illio n . O f th is sum , $225 m illio n w as se ttle d b y g o ld , w h ich w as in tu r n tr a n s f e rr e d to th e U n ite d S ta te s in p a r tia l se ttle m e n t o f C a n a d a ’s deficit w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s. T h e g o ld a n d d o lla r deficits o f th e s te rlin g a re a w ith c o u n trie s o th e r th a n th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d C a n a d a a m o u n te d to an a d d itio n a l $500 m illio n . T h e to ta l d r a in on th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s g o ld a n d d o lla r resources d u rin g th is p e rio d a m o u n te d to $2,316 m illio n a n d sales o f new ly m in e d a n d d ish o a rd e d g o ld a m o u n te d to a n a d d itio n a l $965 m illio n .8 O f th e d r a in in resources h e ld a t th e b e g in n in g o f th e p e rio d , $1,764 m illio n consisted o f g o ld sales, $334 m illio n in sales o f A m e ric a n sec u ritie s, a n d $234 m illio n in th e liq u id a tio n o f d o lla r balances. A t th e en d o f 1940, a to ta l o f a b o u t $3 b illio n in A m e ric a n lo n g - a n d sh o rt-te rm assets re m ain e d in th e h a n d s o f th e B ritis h , o f w h ic h a m ax im u m o f a b o u t tw o -th ir d s could be so ld o r r e a d ily p le d g e d to m eet im m e d ia te c o m m itm en ts. T hese assets consisted o f A m e ric a n se c u ri tie s v a lu e d a t a little o v er $775 m illio n , d ire c t in v estm e n ts h a v in g a liq u id a tio n v a lu e e stim a ted a t $990 m illio n , a n d g o ld a n d d o lla r b a l ances o f $300 m illion. B u t, on th e b a sis o f w a r o rd e rs a lre a d y e n te re d in to , th e s te rlin g a re a ’s g o ld a n d d o lla r deficit f o r 1941 w a s e stim ate d a t a b o u t $1,500 m illio n . I t w a s obvious, th e re fo re , t h a t th e s te rlin g a re a ’s a b ility to p u rc h a se e q u ip m e n t a n d to w age w a r su ccessfully w as ra p id ly b e in g e x h a u sted . T h e in tr o d u c tio n o f th e len d -lease p ro g ra m in M arc h , how ever, rem o v ed th e fin a n c ia l obstacles to th e n ecessary flow o f m a te ria ls a n d services, a n d b e fo re th e en d o f th e y e a r $740 m illio n in len d -le ase tr a n s f e rs h a d been m ade. F u r th e r N eeds fo r D o lla r E xchange T h e p re ss u re o f th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s d o lla r reso u rces w a s n o t eased, how ever, u n til 1942, w h e n th e cash p ro c u re m e n t o f w a r m a te r ia ls w as v irtu a lly com pleted. F o r th e y e a r 1941, th e s te rlin g a re a ’s d eficit w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s on “c ash ” c u rre n t-a c c o u n t item s a m o u n te d to $870 m illio n , e qu a l to th e deficit on “c a sh ” m e rch a n d ise tr a d e as services re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts w ere in b alan c e. T h e se ttle m e n t o f th is deficit (a s w ell as d o lla r deficits w ith o th e r c o u n trie s) w as a cco m p lish ed chiefly th ro u g h th e sale o f $551 m illio n in g o ld to th e U n ite d S ta te s, a n d th e u tiliz a tio n o f $350 m illio n fro m th e $425m illio n lo an g ra n te d in J u ly by th e R ec o n stru c tio n F in a n c e C o rp o ra tio n . L iq u id a tio n s o f U n ite d K in g d o m in v estm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s also c o n tin u ed on a la rg e scale, th e sale o f se c u ritie s a m o u n tin g to $237 m illio n a n d d ire c t in v estm e n ts to $79 m illio n . T h e sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l flows in th is y e a r c on sisted p rin c ip a lly o f a n e t re d u c tio n 7 T h e e s tim a te o f $ 7 3 5 m illio n f o r c a p ita l w it h d r a w a ls a p p e a r s to h a v e b e e n in d ir e c tly d e riv e d fro m th e e s tim a te s o f c u r r e n t- a c c o u n t tr a n s a c tio n s , a d v a n c e s , a n d c a p ita l a s s i s t a n c e , a n d t h e r e c o r d e d fl o w s f r o m t h e g o l d a n d d o l l a r r e s o u r c e s o f t h e U n i t e d K in g d o m . B e c a u s e d a t a b e a r in g d ir e c tly o n th e s e c a p ita l m o v e m e n ts w e r e n o t a v a ila b le to th e D e p a r t m e n t o f C o m m e rc e , t h e e s ti m a te h a s n o t b e e n e n te r e d in to ta b le 2 8 , a n d i t is p ro b a b ly p a r t l y f o r t h i s re a s o n t h a t t h e r e s id u a l ite m fo r 1 9 4 0 is so la rg e . 8 T h e v a r i o u s d e f i c i t i t e m s e s t i m a t e d a b o v e t o t a l $ 3 ,2 1 0 m i l l i o n . O t h e r p a y m e n t s t o t a l i n g $71 m illio n a r e n o t a c c o u n te d fo r. 114 (th ro u g h d e liv erie s) o f $173 m illio n in ad v an ces m ad e to A m e ric a n m a n u fa c tu re r s. B y th e e n d o f 1941, th e b u lk o f B r itis h lo n g -te rm in v e stm en ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s h a d been so ld o u tr ig h t o r h a d been p le d g e d a g a in st th e R ec o n stru c tio n F in a n c e C o rp o ra tio n lo an . B r itis h h o ld in g s o f d o lla r se c u ritie s a v a ila b le f o r liq u id a tio n h a d been re d u ce d fro m $1,055 m illio n to $255 m illio n , a n d d ire c t in v estm en ts fro m $1,030 m illio n to $455 m illio n . O f th ese declines, $205 m illio n in se cu ritie s a n d $495 m illio n in d ire c t in v e stm e n ts w ere h e ld as p le d g e s a g a in st th e $425-m illio n R e c o n stru c tio n F in a n c e C o rp o ra tio n loan. A s im ila rly d ra s tic d eclin e h a d o c cu rred in th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s g o ld a n d d o lla r b alan c es.9 F ro m a p p ro x im a te ly $2,225 m illio n a t th e en d o f 1939, th ese resou rces fe ll to $300 m illio n in 1940. B y th e end o f 1941 th e y h a d reco v ered to $395 m illio n , p ro b a b ly because o f a d d itio n a l n e w ly p ro d u c e d g o ld fro m th e E m p ire . ' , i. U n ite d K in g d o m P o s itio n im p r o v e s in 1942 T h e y e a r 1942 m a rk e d th e b e g in n in g o f a p e rio d e x te n d in g th ro u g h 1944 in w h ich th e re w as a s h a rp im p ro v e m e n t in th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s g o ld a n d d o lla r h o ld in g s. T h e se resources w ere re p o rte d as $700 m il lio n a t th e en d o f 1942, $1,300 m illio n in 1943, a n d $1,710 m illio n in 1944.10 I n 1942, th e s te rlin g a re a ’s deficit w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s on m e r c h a n d ise a n d services tra n sa c tio n s w as s till v e ry la rg e , $330 m illio n , b u t th is rep re se n te d a re d u c tio n o f m o re th a n 60 p e rc e n t fro m th e 1941 deficit. O n m e rc h an d ise a cco u n t, w h ile len d -le ase e x p o rts so ared to $4,032 m illio n , U n ite d S ta te s “ c ash” e x p o rts fe ll by $700 m illio n to a to ta l o f $1,174 m illio n (see ta b le 2 9 ). T h e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s sh a re w as a b o u t e qu a l to th e -p re w a r level o f $500 m illio n b u t, since v e ry la rg e a m o u n ts o f w a r m a te ria ls d e liv ere d a g a in st a d v a n c e p a y m e n ts w ere in clu d e d , th e effects o f U n ite d K in g d o m re s tr ic tio n s on th e im p o rta tio n o f n o n e ssen tia ls a n d consu m er goods a re a p p a re n t. T h e d iv e rsio n o f m a te ria ls a n d p ro d u c tiv e fa c ilitie s in th e B ritis h Isle s a n d elsew here in th e s te rlin g a re a to w a r p ro d u c tio n fo rce d a re d u c tio n o f a b o u t $460 m illio n in p u rc h a se s b y p r iv a te U n ite d S ta te s im p o rte rs. D e sp ite a n in crea se in p r o c u re m e n t by U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t c iv ilia n agencies a n d p u rc h a se s a b ro a d b y th e U n ite d S ta te s a rm e d forces d u r in g th e y e a r, th is re d u c tio n re s u lte d in a declin e of p a y m e n ts on m e rc h an d ise a cc o u n t o f $218 m illio n . T h e tr a d e deficit o f th e s te rlin g a re a th u s a m o u n te d to $382 m illio n , c o m p are d w ith $872 m illio n in 1941. A n o th e r fa c to r o f im p o rta n c e in th e re d u c tio n o f th e s te r lin g -a r e a deficit w as th e e x p e n d itu re o f th e U n ite d S ta te s a rm e d fo rce s on in s ta l la tio n s, th e m a in te n an ce o f tro o p s, a n d th e p u rc h a se o f services in m a n y c o u n trie s o f th e s te rlin g a rea . D u r in g th e y e a r, a to ta l o f $311 m illio n w as sp en t— a sum w h ic h m o re th a n offset (by $52 m illio n ) s h a rp in crea se s in re c e ip ts on o th e r services. P re v io u sly , in 1940 a n d 1941, th e s te rlin g a re a ’s n e t re c e ip ts fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s on services a cc o u n t w e re n e g lig ib le, a ris in g fro m a volum e o f tra n sa c tio n s com p a ra b le w ith p re w a r , a lth o u g h ris in g f r e ig h t ra te s e n la rg e d th e f r e ig h t a n d s h ip p in g a cc ou n t on b o th th e re ce ip ts a n d p a y m e n t sides. I n 1942, 9 W h ite P a p e r : S ta tis tic a l M a te r ia l P r e s e n te d D u r in g W a s h in g to n N e g o tia tio n s , C m d. 6707. T h e s e a m o u n t s a r e n e t o f o u t s t a n d i n g l i a b i l i t i e s t o p r o v i d e g o ld a g a i n s t s t e r l i n g lia b ilitie s a n d lia b ilitie s to c o n v e rt U n ite d S ta te s h o ld in g s o f s te r lin g in to d o lla r s o n d e m a n d . 10 I b i d . 115 U n ite d S ta te s re c e ip ts on th is a cc o u n t rose v ery sh a r p ly , as d id r e m it ta n c es o f m o tio n -p ic tu re r e n ta ls fro m th e U n ite d K in g d o m . F ilm c o m p an y e a rn in g s, w h ic h h a d been p a r tia lly b lock ed u n d e r th e ex c h a n g e-co n tro l re g u la tio n s since th e b e g in n in g o f th e w a r, w ere re le a s e d as th e len d -lease p ro g ra m p ro m ised to relieve th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s e xch an ge situ a tio n . B ecause o f th e v ery la rg e re d u c tio n s in th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s d o lla r b alan c es in 1940 a n d 1941 f o r m a k in g a d v a n c e p a y m e n ts to U n ite d S ta te s m a n u fa c tu re rs, th e “c ash ” deficit o f $330 m illio n o n m e rc h a n d ise a n d services a cc o u n t in 1942 d id n o t re s u lt in a c o rre sp o n d in g decline in e xch an ge reserves. T ra n sa c tio n s in g o ld a n d lo n g -te rm c a p ita l w ere sm all. T o ta l d e liv erie s in re p a y m e n t o f ad v a nc es w ere $528 m illio n w h ich , i f e lim in a te d fro m th e c o m p u ta tio n o f th e deficit in th e c u r re n t a cco u n t, leave a su rp lu s o f a lm o st $200 m illio n as th e in crea se in U n ite d K in g d o m d o lla r b alan ces.11 Tabl e 29.— M e r c h a n d i s e tr a n s a c tio n s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s w ith th e s te r lin g a r e a , 1 9 J /0 -4 5 [In m illio n s of dollars] It e m P r iv a te G ov ern m ent T o ta l P r iv a te 1940 U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts, to ta l. U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts , to ta l. G ov ern m ent T o ta l P r iv a te 1941 1,381 22 1,403 1,881 1,381 22 1,403 1,881 G ov e rn m ent T o ta l 1942 740 2,621 1,161 4,044 5,205 740 1,881 740 1,161 12 4,032 1,173 4,032 704 40 744 870 139 1,009 405 1,131 1,536 704 40 744 870 139 1,009 405 386 745 791 745 U n ite d S ta te s e x p o r t s u rp lu s ( + ) o r im p o r t s u rp lu s ( —) +659 + 382 + 8 72 1943 1944 1945 U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts, to ta l. 346 8, 290 8, 636 397 8,978 9, 375 529 3,902 4,431 “ C a s h ” _____________ U n i la te r a l tr a n s f e rs ....... 346 192 8,098 538 8,098 397 405 8, 573 802 8, 573 529 1,086 2,816 1,615 2,816 462 1,556 2,018 483 1,432 1,915 500 1,566 2,066 462 446 1,110 908 1,110 483 282 1,150 765 1,150 500 334 1,232 834 1,232 U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts , to ta l. “ C a s h ” ______ _ _ _ _ _ _ U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rt s u r p lu s ( + ) o r im p o r t su r p lu s U n ite d S ta te s D e fic its -3 7 0 in 1943 and +37 + 781 1944 T h e tr e n d to w a r d im p ro v e m e n t in th e ste rlin g a re a ’s p o sitio n vis-àv is th e U n ite d S ta te s w as a cc elerated in th e y e ars 1943 a n d 1944 as th e p e a k o f U n ite d S ta te s w a r a ctiv itie s a b ro a d w as reach ed . L en d -lease tr a n s f e rs o f m erch a n d ise to th e s te rlin g a re a a m o u n te d to $8,098 m il11 T h e n e t o u t f lo w o f $ 1 7 7 m i l l i o n i n f o r e i g n s h o r t - t e r m c a p i t a l i n 1 9 4 2 , s h o w n i n t a b l e 2 8 , i s c o m p o s e d a l m o s t e x c l u s i v e l y o f t h e o u t f lo w o f $ 5 2 8 m i l l i o n r e p r e s e n t i n g t h e r e d u c t i o n o f a d v a n c e s t h r o u g h d e l i v e r i e s o f m a t e r i a l s , a n in f lo w o f $ 1 5 6 m i l l i o n o f n e w a d v a n c e s m a d e i n 1 9 4 2 , a n d a n in f lo w ( i n c r e a s e ) o f U n i t e d K in g d o m a n d o t h e r s t e r l i n g - a r e a b a l a n c e s o f $ 1 9 3 m illio n . T h e d iffe re n c e s b e tw e e n t h i s in c r e a s e o f $ 1 9 3 m illio n a n d t h e $ 3 0 5 m illio n g iv e n in th e W h ite P a p e r m e n tio n e d a b o v e p ro b a b ly c o n s is ts p r in c ip a lly o f t h e n e t c h a n g e i n U n i t e d K in g d o m g o ld h o l d i n g s a r i s i n g m a i n l y f r o m n e w p r o d u c t i o n . 116 , (- r- * ' lio n in 1943 a n d $8,573 m illio n in 1944— a p p ro x im a te ly equal to th e p e ak d o lla r volum e o f U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts to th e w o rld in 1920. W h e n p ric e in creases a re ta k e n in to a cco u n t, th is d o lla r volum e r e p rese n te d p e rh a p s six o r seven tim e s th e a v era g e 1936-39 p h y sic a l volum e o f e x p o rts to th e s te rlin g a re a. C o m p a re d w ith th ese e n o r m ous a m o u n ts, “c a sh ” e x p o rts o f $538 m illio n in 1943 a n d $802 m il lion in 1944 w ere re la tiv e ly in sig n ific an t. T h e 1943 “c a sh ” e x p o rts to th e U n ite d K in g d o m o f a p p ro x im a te ly $215 m illio n rep re se n te d o n ly 40 p e rc e n t o f th e 1936-39 a v era g e v a lu e a n d o n ly 30 p e rc e n t o f th e volum e. T h e e x p o rts to th e o th e r ste rlin g a re a c o u n tries, $323 m illio n , re p re se n te d 118 p e rc e n t o f th e a v era g e 1936-39 v a lu e a n d 87 p e rc e n t of th e volum e. A lm o st 40 p e rc e n t o f th e to ta l “cash” e x p o rts to th e s te rlin g a re a in 1943 c on sisted o f tr a n s a c tio n s b y U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t agencies a n d in clu d e d sales fro m m ilita ry stocks a b ro a d o f $78 m illio n ,12 lendlease tr a n s f e rs o f silv e r v a lu e d a t $30 m illio n ,13 C o m m o d ity C re d it C o rp o ra tio n sales o f to bacco a m o u n tin g to $72 m illio n , a n d re im b u rsa b le len d -lease tr a n s a c tio n s o f $10 m illio n . N e a rly a ll o f th e in crease in to ta l “c ash ” e x p o rts in 1944 aro se fro m such tr a n s a c tio n s ; silv e r d e liv erie s on c re d it in c re ased to $99 m illio n , sales fro m m ilita ry stocks to $200 m illio n , a n d re im b u rsab le lend-lease tr a n s f e rs to $38 m illio n . C o m m o d ity C re d it C o rp o ra tio n sales a m o u n te d to $60 m il lion. W h ile “c a sh ” e x p o rts fe ll to th e lo w est levels o f th e w a r p e rio d in 1943 a n d 1944, U n ite d S ta te s p u rc h a se s in th e ste rlin g a re a c o n tin u e d a t h ig h e r th a n p re w a r levels. In c re a s e d p ro c u re m e n t b y th e a rm ed fo rce s in th e field a n d by p r iv a te im p o rte rs b r o u g h t to ta l p a y m en ts f o r m erch a n d ise to $908 m illio n in 1943, w h ile som e decline in p r o c u re m e n t b y U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t c iv ilia n agencies accoun ted f o r a decline to $765 m illio n in 1944. I n s te a d o f v ery la rg e su rp lu se s as in th e p re v io u s w a r y e ars, th e U n ite d S ta te s e x p erien ced a deficit o f $370 m illio n on m e rch a n d ise tr a d e in 1943 a n d a sm a ll su rp lu s of $37 m illio n in 1944. E x p e n d itu re s by th e U n ite d S ta te s a rm e d forces rose c o rre sp o n d in g ly as th e fig h tin g in a ll p a r ts o f th e w o rld re a c h e d its c lim a x in 1943 a n d 1944. N e t e x p e n d itu re s in th e ste rlin g a re a clim bed to $465 m illio n in 1943 a n d to $673 m illio n in 1944 (see ta b le 3 0 ). O n o th e r services, th e U n ite d S ta te s c o n tin u e d to h a v e la rg e re c e ip ts balances. M o tio n -p ic tu re r e n ta l re c e ip ts d eclin ed fro m 1942, since re m itta n c e s w e n t b a ck to a c u rre n t basis. B u t th e la c k o f c o m p e titio n fro m m ost E u ro p e a n sources o f film s, as w ell as in creased th e a te r a tte n d a n c e stem m in g fro m h ig h w a rtim e incom es in th e s te r lin g -a r e a c o u n trie s a n d th e presen ce o f la rg e n u m b e rs o f A m e ric a n tro o p s, re su lte d in rem itta n c e s a lm o st th re e tim e s th o se o f p re w a r y e ars. F r e ig h t a n d s h ip p in g re c eip ts also in c re ased as th e p a rtic ip a tio n o f A m e ric a n vessels in c a r r y in g U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts becam e g re a te r a n d as f r e ig h t ra te s con tin u e d to rise. N o la rg e v a ria tio n s o c cu rred in o th e r service item s. Som e decline in p a y m en ts on ste rlin g -a re a in v estm e n ts o c cu rred , o w ing to th e effects o f th e liq u id a tio n s o f th e e a rly w a r y e a rs a n d to in crea se d U n ite d 12 C o n s i s t s p r i n c i p a l l y o f s a l e s b y t h e A r m y , d i r e c t l y c lo th in g , a n d o th e r s u p p lie s a n d m a te r ia ls n e c e s s a ry f o r 13 F r o m 1 9 4 3 t h r o u g h 1 9 4 5 . l a r g e q u a n t i t i e s o f s i l v e r o n a l o a n b a s i s t o I n d i a , t h e U n i t e d K in g d o m , A u s t r a l i a , n rin c ip a lly f o r c u rre n c y p u rp o se s. T h is s ilv e r m u s t be 5 y e a rs fro m th e en d o f th e w a r. o r th r o u g h c o n tr a c t o r s , o f fo o d , t h e m a in te n a n c e o f c iv ilia n la b o r. w e r e t r a n s f e r r e d u n d e r le n d - l e a s e a n d a n u m b e r o f o th e r c o u n trie s , r e p a i d in k i n d w i t h i n a p e r i o d o f 117 S ta te s w ith h o ld in g ta x e s on incom e. O f th e re m a in in g services, th e m o st n o te w o rth y w ere th e s te rlin g -a re a c o u n trie s’ e x p e n d itu re s in th e U n ite d S ta te s f o r th e m a in te n a n c e o f p u rc h a s in g m issions a n d d ip lo m a tic e sta blish m en ts, a n d in su ra n c e a n d re in su ra n c e p a y m e n ts b y th e U n ite d S ta te s to th e U n ite d K in g d o m . B o th th ese ite m s w ere su b s ta n tia l, w ith n e t in su ra n c e a n d re in su ra n c e p a y m e n ts a m o u n tin g to $22 m illio n in each year. Ta bl e 30.— “ C ash ” s e r v ic e s tr a n s a c tio n s o f th e a r e a , 19J t 0 - 4 5 U n ite d S ta te s w ith th e s te r lin g [In m illio n s of d o llars] I te m 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 251 339 516 527 643 646 G o v e rn m e n t services 1............ .................. .............. F r e ig h t a n d s h ip p in g . ............................................. In c o m e o n in v e s tm e n ts ....... ..................... .............. T r a v e l_____________ _ _ _ _ _ ___________ _____ O th e r se rv ic e s ___ ___________ _______ _______ 7 84 77 7 7G 17 137 66 7 112 20 161 81 23 231 43 171 78 18 217 153 167 8027 216 90 245 76 28 207 U n ite d S ta te s p a y m e n ts , t o t a l ___________________ 276 341 568 834 1,145 900 2. 58 74 7 135 40 73 60 9 159 311 74 49 8 126 508 111 43 9 163 826 64 46 20 189 563 69 47 31 190 -5 2 -3 0 7 -5 0 2 -2 5 4 U n ite d S ta te s re c e ip ts, to ta l- .................................. . . . G o v e rn m e n t serv ic e s i ....... .......................... ........... F r e ig h t a n d s h i p p i n g ___ _____ ______ _______ In c o m e o n i n v e s t m e n t s . ______ _ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ __ T r a v e l......................... .................................. ........... O th e r se rv ic e s ........... .................................. ........... E x c e ss of p a y m e n ts ( —) ................ . ................... ........... -2 5 -2 1 D o e s n o t in c lu d e re c e ip ts o r e x p e n d itu re s o n G o v e rn m e n t a c c o u n t for in c o m e o n in v e s tm e n ts (in te re st on lo a n s) o r for fr e ig h t a n d s h ip p in g tr a n s a c ti o n s , b u t e x p e n d itu re s for G o v e r n m e n t tr a v e l a r e in c lu d e d . I n a ll, U n ite d S ta te s n e t re c e ip ts on services o th e r th a n G o v e rn m en t tr a n s a c tio n s a v era g e d $165 m illio n in 1943 a n d 1944. O n a ll services accoun ts in c lu d in g th e G o v e rn m e n t accoun t, th e U n ite d S ta te s h a d n e t deficits o f $307 m illio n a n d $502 m illio n . T o g e th e r w ith th e b alan ces on m e rc h an d ise accoun t, th e U n ite d S ta te s c u r re n t-a c c o u n t deficits a m o u n te d to $676 m illio n a n d $465 m illio n . T h is situ a tio n w as reflected in th e g ro w th o f U n ite d K in g d o m ba la nc es in 1943 a n d th e p u rc h a se a n d w ith d ra w a l o f $696 m illio n in g o ld by th e U n ite d K in g d o m in 1944. S te r lin g -A r e a D e fic it R eem erges in 1945 T h e p a tte r n o f tra n sa c tio n s b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e s te r lin g a re a re v e rte d in 1945 to th a t p r e v a ilin g in th e y e a rs 1940 th ro u g h 1942, w ith a h u g e U n ite d S ta te s s u rp lu s on m e rc h an d ise a n d services ac c o u n t a g a in a p p e a r in g . T h is w as due p rin c ip a lly to th e se ttle m e n t o f th e len d -lease a n d th e re c ip ro c a l-a id a c c o u n t14 u n d e r w h ic h $472 m il lio n o f len d -le ase goods a n d $60 m illio n o f su rp lu s w a r p r o p e r ty w ere tr a n s f e r r e d a g a in s t th e $532-m illion c re d it p ro v id e d in th a t ag ree m e n t. I n a d d itio n , $112 m illio n in len d -le ase goods w ere in c lu d e d in “c ash ” tr a d e a n d offset a g a in s t re c ip ro c a l-a id tr a n s f e r s to th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d sum s d u e to th e U n ite d K in g d o m in th e se ttle m e n t o f v a rio u s claim s a ris in g o u t o f th e w a r. D ir e c t sales b y U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t c o rp o ra tio n s, c h ie fly th e C o m m o d ity C re d it C o rp o ra tio n , a m o u n te d to $206 m illio n , a n d a d d itio n a l lo an s o f silv e r on c re d it a m o u n tin g to $104 m illio n w e re m ade. R eim b u rsab le lend-lease, o th e r su rp lu s p r o p e rty , a n d m ilita ry sales a m o u n te d to $132 m illio n . I n a ll, th e above 14 118 See p. 121. G o v e rn m en t “ c a sh ” m e rch a n d ise tra n sa c tio n s a m o u n te d to $1,086 m illio n , w h ich , to g e th e r w ith p r iv a te e x p o rts o f $529 m illio n , re s u lte d in to ta l re c e ip ts on m e rc h an d ise a cc o u n t o f $1,615 m illio n , o r m o re th a n d ou ble th e 1944 to ta l. I m p o rts also c o n tin u e d a t th e p re v io u s h ig h levels, a m o u n tin g to $834 m illio n , b u t th e U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rt b a la n c e w h ich e m e rg ed w as $781 m illio n a s a g a in st o n ly $37 m illio n in 1944. T h is a m o u n t w as offset on services acco u n t to th e e x te n t o f $254 m illio n , h a lf th e U n ite d S ta te s deficit in 1944, as U n ite d S ta te s a rm e d forces e x p e n d itu re s d e creased s h a rp ly w ith th e e n d in g o f th e w a r a n d a s U n ite d S ta te s f r e ig h t a n d s h ip p in g re c e ip ts c lim bed w ith ris in g f r e ig h t ra te s . T h e ste rlin g -a re a deficit on m erch a n d ise a n d services o f $528 m illio n w as liq u id a te d c h ie fly th ro u g h th e g r a n t o f c re d it m e n tio n e d above. B u t i t also re q u ire d a re d u c tio n o f U n ite d K in g d o m a n d o th e r ste rlin g a re a sh o rt- te rm d o lla r assets o f $130 m illio n . JT" ' B r itis h B a la n c e -o f-P a y m e n ts P r o b le m T h e n e t effect o f th e tra n sa c tio n s o f th e ste rlin g a re a w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s since 1940 h a s b e en to p e r m it th e U n ite d K in g d o m to re g a in a su b s ta n tia l p o rtio n o f th e g o ld a n d d o lla r reserves lo st d u r in g th e w a r. B u t, in te rm s o f its a b ility to b a la n ce its in te rn a tio n a l acco u n ts a n d l i f t th e s ta n d a r d o f liv in g o f its peo p le fro m th e low levels o f th e w a r a n d im m e d iate p o s tw a r p e rio d , B r ita in ’s w a r e ffort h a s cost i t d e a rly . I t s e x p e n d itu re s in th e n e x t few y e a rs f o r goods a n d services in volum es c o m p a ra b le w ith th o se o f p re w a r y e a rs w ill, because o f h ig h e r p rices, in v o lv e f a r g re a te r th a n p r e w a r o u tla ys. A t th e sam e tim e , its in te rn a tio n a l reso u rces a n d e a rn in g c a p a c ity n av e s h a rp ly declined. A s a re s u lt o f th e h ig h d e g ree o f m o b iliz a tio n f o r w a r, th e volum e o f B r itis h e x p o rts s h ra n k to a t h ir d o f its p re w a r level a n d th e efficiency o f B ritis h p ro d u c tio n g r e a tly d e te rio ra te d .13*1516 F o re ig n m a rk e ts f o r a volum e o f e x p o rts e qu a l to t h a t o f p re w a r c ou ld n o t be re g a in e d b e fo re th e en d o f 1946,10 i t w as e stim a te d . S h ip p in g incom e w o u ld be su b sta n tia lly s m a lle r th a n p re w a r , since th e B ritis h m erch a n d ise fleet h a d b een recluced to th re e -fo u rth s th e to n n a g e a v ailab le as o f th e o u t b re a k o f th e w a r. T h e liq u id a tio n o f A m e ric a n assets (d e sc rib e d on p re v io u s p a ge s) w as o n ly a p o rtio n o f th e to ta l c a r rie d o u t d u r in g th e w a r b y th e U n ite d K in g d o m . I n a ll, th e B ritis h disposed o f oversea in v e stm e n ts to th e v a lu e o f $4,500 m illio n betw een S e p te m b e r 1939 a n d J u n e 1945. I n a d d itio n , th e h u g e cash e x p e n d itu re s b y th e U n ite d K in g d o m in th e c o n d u c t o f th e w a r in crea se d its oversea d e b t fro m $1,920 m illio n to $13,500 m illio n b y J u n e 1945 ($14,100 m illio n on D ecem ber 31, 1945). T h e in te re s t p a y a b le on th is h u g e d e b t p lu s th e loss o f incom e o n o v e r sea assets w o u ld, i t w as e stim a te d , red u c e B r ita in ’s n e t incom e on in v e s tm e n t a cc o u n t to a b o u t h a lf t h a t o f 1938. G o v e rn m e n t e x p e n d itu re s, in sig n ific a n t b e fo re th e w a r, w o u ld be o f c o n sid e ra b le im p o rta n c e in th e im m e d ia te fu tu re , because o f o ccu p a tio n expenses in enem y c o u n trie s a n d o th e r p o s tw a r co m m itm en ts. T h e in crease in th e volum e o f e x p o rts w h ich w o u ld b e necessary to p a y fo r th e p re w a r volum e o f im p o rts, a f te r a llo w in g f o r th e decline 13 F o r f u l l d a t a o n t h e B r i t i s h b a l a n c e - o f - p a y m e n t s p r o b l e m a s i t a p p e a r e d i n m id - 1 9 4 5 , se e th e W h ite P a p e r : S ta tis tic a l M a te r ia l P r e s e n te d D u r in g th e W a s h in g to n N e g o tia tio n s , C m d . 6 7 0 7 , fro m w h ic h t h e fo llo w in g o u tlin e h a s b e e n ta k e n . 16 A c t u a l l y , a s i t d e v e lo p e d , t h e p r e w a r v o l u m e w a s r e g a i n e d b y J u l y 1 9 4 6 . 119 in o th e r sources o f incom e a n d a ssu m in g a d o u b lin g o f im p o rt a n d e x p o rt p ric e s o ver th e 1938 level, is o f th e o rd e r o f 50 p e rce n t. B u t i t w as e stim a te d t h a t a d d e d req u irem e n ts f o r w o rk in g c a p ita l to finance oversea tr a d e , fo r m a in ta in in g th e s ta n d a rd o f liv in g o f a la rg e r p o p u la tio n , a n d fo r re p a y in g w a r a n d p o stw a r d e b ts w o u ld re q u ire a volum e o f e x p o rts 75 p e rc e n t above t h a t o f 1938. B efo re th is g o a l could be reach ed , a deficit on c u rre n t a cc ou n t in 1946 o f $3,000 m illio n w as foreseen,17 a n d $2,000 m illio n fo r 1947 a n d 1948 ta k e n to g eth e r. A m e r ic a n A s s is ta n c e T h e e xch an g e reso u rces a v a ila b le to th e U n ite d K in g d o m 18 a n d th e fu n d s w h ich m ig h t becom e a v ailab le fro m th e I n te r n a tio n a l M one ta r y F u n d ($325 m illio n p e r y e a r a t th e m ax im u m ) could n o t cover deficits o f th e size e stim a te d in th e W h ite P a p e r.19 N o r c ou ld f u r th e r liq u id a tio n s o f B ritis h oversea in v e stm e n ts be co u n ted u p o n to p ro v id e m uch a d d itio n a l m oney, since th e m o st m a rk e ta b le se cu ritie s h a d a lre a d y been so ld o r p led g ed . O n th e b a sis o f th e a n aly sis in th e W h ite P a p e r, n e g o tia tio n s fo r d ire c t a id to th e U n ite d K in g d o m w ere e n te re d in to b etw een th e G o v e rn m en ts o f th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e U n ite d K in g d o m in N o vem b er 1945. A n a g ree m e n t w as a n n o u n ce d by P re s id e n t T ru m a n on D ecem b er 6, 1945,20 a n d ra tifie d b y th e U n ite d S ta te s C o n g ress in J u ly 1946. T h is a g ree m e n t p ro v id e d f o r th e e xten sio n o f a lin e o f c re d it to th e U n ite d K in g d o m in th e a m o u n t o f $3,750 m illio n to be a v a ila b le u n til D ecem ber 31, 1951. S ervice c h a rg e s a re to begin on th a t d a te a n d a re to consist o f 50 equal a n n u a l in sta lm e n ts, in c lu d in g in te re st a t 2 p e rce n t p e r a n n u m on th e a m o u n t o u ts ta n d in g a t th e b e g in n in g o f each y ear. T o ease th e c o n d itio n s o f re p a y m e n t w h e n th e “ p re se n t a n d p ro sp ec tiv e c o n d itio n s o f in te rn a tio n a l e xch an ge a n d th e level o f th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s g o ld a n d fo re ig n e xch an ge reserve s” m a k e i t necessary to do so, th e a g ree m e n t p ro v id e s t h a t th e U n ite d S ta te s w ill g r a n t a w a iv e r o f in te re s t in c e r ta in circu m stan ces. S pecifically, th is w a iv e r is c o n d itio n ed u p o n th e c ertific a tio n b y th e I n te r n a tio n a l M o n e ta ry F u n d t h a t th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s incom e fro m e x p o rts a n d n e t se rv ices f o r th e five p re c e d in g y e ars w as on th e a v era g e less th a n its im p o rts d u r in g th e p e rio d 1936-38 (h e re fixed a t $866 m illio n ) as such fig u re m ay be a d ju s te d f o r im p o rt p rice changes. , O ne o f th e sta te d p u rp o se s o f th e lo a n w as to a id th e U n ite d K in g dom in a ssu m in g th e o b lig a tio n s in h e re n t in a m u ltila te ra l sy stem of w o rld tra d e . I n rec o g n itio n o f th is aim , th e U n ite d K in g d o m ag reed to p e rm it a ll s te r lin g -a r e a c o u n trie s, w ith in 1 y e a r fro m th e effective d a te o f th e a g ree m e n t, to dispose fre e ly o f th e ir re c e ip ts o f s te rlin g e a rn e d in c u rre n t tra n s a c tio n s w ith th e U n ite d K in g d o m . T h is p r o v isio n w ill h av e th e effect o f d o in g a w a y w ith th e w a rtim e o p e ratio n s o f th e ste rlin g -a re a d o lla r pool. I n a d d itio n , effective im m e d ia te ly, th e U n ite d K in g d o m a g ree d n o t to a p p ly exch an ge c o n tro ls in such a m a n n e r as to r e s tr ic t p a y m e n ts on c u rre n t acco u n t to th e U n ite d 17 T h e a c t u a l d e f i c i t a m o u n t e d t o $ 1 ,6 0 0 m il lio n . S e e p . 1 2 1 . 18 N e t h o l d i n g s o f g o l d a n d d o l l a r s w e r e e s t i m a t e d a t $ 1 ,8 4 0 m i l l i o n a s o f O c t o b e r 3 1 , 1 9 4 5 , in th e W h ite P a p e r. 19 A l t h o u g h t h e I n t e r n a t i o n a l B a n k o f f e r e d g r e a t e r p o s s i b i l i t i e s f o r “ e c o n o m ie s d e s t r o y e d o r d i s r u p t e d b y t h e w a r , ” t h e u s e o f i t s f a c i l i t i e s h a d n o t b e e n c o n s i d e r e d , in v ie w o f t h e m o r e im m e d i a t e p l a n s f o r b a la n c e - o f - p a y m e n t s a i d . 20 “ F i n a n c i a l A g r e e m e n t b e tw e e n t h e G o v e r n m e n t s o f t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s a n d t h e U n i t e d K i n g d o m .” S ee S t a t e D e p a r tm e n t B u lle tin , r o l . X I I I , N o . 3 3 7 , D e c e m b e r 9, 1 9 4 5 . 120 „ ''V S ta te s o r th e use o f s te rlin g b alan c es a ris in g o u t o f c u r re n t tr a n s a ctio n s a n d ow ned b y U n ite d S ta te s resid e n ts. T h e U n ite d K in g d o m also c o m m itte d its e lf to li f t , w ith in 1 y e ar, re s tr ic tio n s on p a y m e n ts a n d tr a n s f e rs f o r c u r re n t tr a n s a c tio n s in re-^ sp ect o f a ll c o u n tries. I t f u r th e r a g re e d to e n te r in to n e g o tia tio n s w ith c o u n trie s h o ld in g block ed ba la nc es lo o k in g to w a r d th e s e ttlin g o f su ch b alan ces, fre e in g a p o rtio n o f th e m f o r use in o th e r c u rre n cy a reas. I n a “ S e ttle m e n t fo r L e n d -L ea se , R e cip ro c a l A id , S u rp lu s W a r P r o p e r ty a n d C la im s” 21 a ris in g o u t o f th e c o n d u c t o f th e w a r, th e U n ite d K in g d o m a g re e d to p a y th e U n ite d S ta te s $650 m illio n , su b ject to a cc o u n tin g a d ju s tm e n ts fo r services a n d su p p lie s fu rn is h e d th ro u g h len d -le ase a n d re c ip ro c a l-a id c h an n e ls a f te r V J -d a y . P a y m e n ts by th e U n ite d K in g d o m on th is c re d it w ere to be m ad e on th e sam e te rm s as th o se specified f o r th e re p a y m e n t o f th e c re d it p ro v id e d in th e L o a n A g reem en t. I n a s e p a ra te sta te m e n t, th e tw o G o v e rn m en ts in d ic a te d th e ir a g ree m e n t on a set o f p r in c ip le s 22 d e sig n e d to p ro m o te m u ltila te ra lism in w o rld tra d e . T h e se d ea l w ith th e re la x a tio n o r a b o litio n o f (1) ta riffs a n d p r e fe re n tia l ag ree m e nts, (2) q u a n tita tiv e re stric tio n s on im p o rts, (3) su bsid ies on e x p o rts, (4 ) c a rte l a rra n g e m e n ts, (5 ) sta te tr a d in g , a n d (6) o th e r ty p e s o f b a r rie r s to fre e tr a d e . T h e se p ro p o sals w ere p re se n te d to o th e r g o v e rn m e n ts a n d a p re lim in a ry c h a r te r f o r a n I n te r n a tio n a l T r a d e O rg a n iz a tio n w as d ra w n u p . A t th e p re se n t w ritin g ( J u n e 194 7), d e le ga te s fro m 18 n a tio n s a re m ee tin g a t G eneva in o r d e r to a g ree on c on crete m ea su res f o r f a c ilita tin g m u ltila te ra l tra d e . O u tlo o k fo r U n ite d S ta te s -S te r lin g A rea T r a n sa c tio n s D e velo p m en ts d u r in g 1946 h av e b o rn e o u t to a su b s ta n tia l d egree th e a n aly sis a n d fo rec asts m ad e in th e W h ite P a p e r p re se n te d in th e n eg o tia tio n s fo r th e $3,750 -m illio n U n ite d S ta te s lo a n to th e U n ite d K in g dom . T h e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts deficit o f £400 m ill io n 23 in 1946 re p re s e n te d a g r e a t im p ro v e m e n t u p o n th e deficit o f £750 m illio n a n tic ip a te d in th e W h ite P a p e r. B u t th e circu m stan ces s u rro u n d in g th is im p ro v e m e n t in d ic a te c o n tin u ed b a la n c e-o f-p ay m e n ts difficulties a n d re s tr ic te d liv in g s ta n d a rd s f o r th e B ritis h people. I n th e first p lace, th e p h y sic a l volum e o f im p o rts in to th e U n ite d K in g d o m rose to o n ly a little m o re th a n tw o -th ir d s t h a t o f 1938. P r i m a r ily , th is re p re s e n te d a fa ilu re to fu lfill th e m in im u m im p o rt p r o g ra m co v e rin g consu m er goods a n d in d u s tria l m a te ria ls a n d m a c h in ery co n sidered e ssen tia l f o r rec o n stru c tio n . M oreov er, in ste a d o f th e sp e c ialized m ac h in e ry a n d u r g e n tly need ed in d u s tria l ra w m a te ria ls w h ich th e U n ite d K in g d o m h o p e d to im p o rt fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s, e x p e n d i tu re s in th e U n ite d S ta te s h a v e been p rin c ip a lly f o r c onsu m er goods. I n th e 6 m o n th s fro m J u n e to D ecem ber 1946, f o r ex am p le, o f to ta l B ritis h e x p e n d itu re s in th e U n ite d S ta te s f o r c iv il im p o rts a n d film s a m o u n tin g to $496 m illio n , 56 p e rc e n t h a ve been f o r foo d a n d tobacco a n d 7 p e rc e n t fo r film s, w h ile o n ly 11 p e rc e n t w ere fo r ra w m a te ria ls, 12 p e rc e n t f o r p e tro le u m p ro d u c ts, a n d 14 p e rc e n t f o r m achinery^ 21 “ J o i n t S t a t e m e n t R e g a r d i n g S e t t l e m e n t f o r L e n d - L e a s e , R e c i p r o c a l A id , S u r p l u s W a r P r o p e r t y a n d C l a i m s , ” ib id . 22 “ P r o p o s a l s f o r C o n s i d e r a t i o n b y a n I n t e r n a t i o n a l C o n f e r e n c e o n T r a d e a n d E m p l o y m e n t , ” ib id . 23 N a t i o n a l I n c o m e a n d E x p e n d i t u r e o f t h e U n i t e d K in g d o m , 1 9 3 8 t o 1 9 4 6 , H M S O , C m d . 7 0 9 9 , A p ril 1 94 7. 7 6 9 1 5 5 -4 8 - 9 121 sh ip s, a n d o th e r m a n u fa c tu re d p ro d u c ts (in c lu d in g som e consu m er g o o d s). G ro w in g d e m a n d s in th e U n ite d K in g d o m f o r m o re fre e ly a v a ila b le foo d stu ffs a n d o th e r co n su m er goods m a y s till f u r th e r in crease th e r a te o f im p o rta tio n o f su ch item s, w h ich , b y O c to b e r o f 1946, h a d a lre a d y rea c h e d fo u r -fifth s o f th e 1938 level. O n th e e x p o r t side, a m o re e n c o u rag in g p ic tu re is p rese n te d , th e volum e o f e x p o rts h a v in g re ac h ed th e 1938 level b y J u l y a n d su rp a ss in g t h a t level each m o n th u n til th e e n d o f th e y e ar. B u t by th e la st q u a r te r o f 1946, th e h ig h r a te o f in crea se o f 1945 a n d th e e a rly p a r t of 1946 h a d slow ed a n d th e ris in g tr e n d o f e x p o rts a p p e a re d to h av e re ac h ed a p la te a u . T h e p ro sp e cts f o r c o n tin u e d sh o rta g e s o f ra w m a te ria ls a n d la g g in g e x p o r t p ro d u c tio n , as w ell as in crea sed c o m p e ti tio n in e x p o rt m a rk e ts, m a y slow th e r a te o f in crea se in e x p o rts in 1947 even below th e lessened r a te o f th e la s t m o n th s o f 1946. O n e o f th e m o st u n f a v o ra b le asp e cts o f th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s d riv e fo r a volum e o f e x p o rts 75 p e rc e n t above th e 1938 level is th e fa c t t h a t th e sm a lle st g a in s h a v e been m a d e w ith th e c o u n trie s w h ich loom la rg e s t in th a t c o u n try ’s to ta l e x p e n d itu re s a b ro a d . E x p o rts to th e U n ite d S ta te s, f o r ex am p le, w e re o n ly $156 m illio n , c o m p a re d w ith $118 m illio n in 1938, a n in crea se o f ,32 p e rc e n t in v a lu e b u t a d ro p o f 40 p e rc e n t in volum e. U n ite d K in g d o m im p o rts fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s, on th e o th e r h a n d , rose to $856 m illio n , a n in crea se o f 64 p e rc e n t above 1938, a n d th e tr a d e deficit th u s a m o u n ted to th e h u g e sum o f $700 m illio n . A m o n g o th e r c o u n trie s w ith w h ich s im ila r situ a tio n s e x ist a re C a n a d a , A rg e n tin a , S w eden, a n d C uba. W h e n th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s c o n tin u ed needs f o r fo o d , in d u s tria l m a n u fa c tu re s , a n d ra w m a te r ia ls fro m th e se c o u n trie s a re co n sid e re d in th e lig h t o f its fa ilu re to e x p a n d e x p o rts to th em d u rin g a p e rio d o f p e a k econom ic a c tiv ity , little re d u c tio n in th e size o f th e b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts deficit can be foreseen. A c co rd in g to th e C h an ce llo r o f th e E x c h e q u e r, th e size o f th e U n ite d K in g d o m deficit a n tic ip a te d f o r 1947 m ay be p u t a t £400 m illio n , equal to th e 1946 deficit, o r p e rh a p s even la rg e r. T h e d eficit w ith th e “h a r d c u rre n c y ” c o u n trie s m a y be la r g e r y e t i f th e u n fa v o ra b le tr e n d of tr a d e w ith th o se c o u n trie s c on tinu es. I t is e stim a te d t h a t d ra w in g s on th e $3,750 m illio n U n ite d S ta te s lo a n in 1947, f o r th e d ire c t deficit w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s, as w ell as f o r d o lla r p a y m e n ts in connection w ith th e o ccu p a tio n o f G e rm a n y a n d f o r p o ssib ly in crea se d conversion o f o th e r c o u n trie s’ ste rlin g h o ld in g s, w ill a m o u n t to $1 b illio n in a d d i tio n to th e $2,050 m illio n a lre a d y d ra w n b y J u n e 30, 1947. T h is ra te o f w ith d ra w a l su g g e sts th e p o ssib ility o f th e e x h a u stio n o f th e c re d it e a rly in 1948. T r a n s a c t io n s W it h C anada T h e d e v e lo p m e n t o f th e C a n a d ia n econom y d u r in g th e w a r y e ars w as rem ark a b le . U n d e r th e stim u lu s o f w a r-b o rn necessity , C a n a d a ex te n d e d its p o s itio n as one o f th e w o rld ’s g re a te s t p ro d u c e rs o f ra w m a te ria ls b y d e v e lo p in g th e o u tp u t o f su ch p r o d u c ts as m ic a, tu n g ste n , c h ro m iu m , m o lyb d en u m , m ercu ry , p e tro le u m , iro n ore, a lum in u m , chem icals, p la stic s, a n d sy n th e tic ru b b e r. T h e g re a te st p ro g re ss w as m a d e in th e in d u s tria l field, how ever. T h e v a st e x p a n sio n o f e x istin g p la n t a n d th e c o n stru c tio n o f new p ro d u c tiv e fa c ilitie s w h ich w ere u n d e rta k e n b y b o th p riv a te in d u stry a n d G o v e rn m en t d u r in g th e w a r m ad e C a n a d a one o f th e w o rld ’s 122 Tabl e 31.—T ra n sa c tio n s o f th e U n ited S ta te s w ith C a n a da , 1940-45 [ I n m illio n s of dollars] I te m 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 I . R e c e ip ts , t o t a l . ............................. ..................... ........ 1,116 1,352 1, 645 2,019 2,107 1,827 A . G oo ds a n d services, t o t a l _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ______ 1. G o o d s---------------------------------- ------ 2. In c o m e o n in v e s tm e n ts _______________ 3. O th e r s e r v ic e s .._ _ _ _ _ _ _ _______________ B . U n i la te r a l tr a n sf e r s ..... ........ ......... .................. . C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, t o t a l ....... ............. ................ 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l inv e s te d a b r o a d ___ ______ ____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2. M o v e m e n ts of fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e s te d in 1,054 722 232 100 14 48 1,300 998 216 86 6 46 1, 546 1, 234 216 96 17 82 1,800 1,459 205 136 24 195 1,858 1,487 206 165 22 227 1,600 *1, 210 205 185 22 205- 46 46 81 195 196 205' I I . P a y m e n ts , t o t a l .......... ................................. ........... 716 966 1,353 2,188 2,047 1,868 A . G oods a n d serv ic e s, to t a l __________ _______ 1. G oo d s---------------------------------------------2. In c o m e o n in v e s tm e n ts ______ _ ___ _ 3. O th e r serv ic e s_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ______ B . U n ila te r a l tr a n sf e r s __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, t o t a l ......... . __ ............... 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l inv e s te d a b r o a d ............................ _ .......... 2. M o v e m e n ts of fore ign c a p ita l in v e s te d in U n ite d S ta te s ______________________ 634 447 36 151 17 65 829 622 34 173 19 118 1,175 942 37 196 20 158 1, 794 1,447 33 314 25 369 1,733 1,317 32 384 22 292 1,345 999 35 311 18505 50 89 157 356 291 406 15 29 1 13 1 99 I I I . E xc ess of re c e ip ts (-f) or p a y m e n ts ( —) , to t a l ___ + 400 + 3 86 +292 -1 6 9 +60 -4 1 A . G oods a n d s e rv ic e s .---------- ---------------------- + 420 -3 + 4 17 -1 7 + 471 -1 3 + 458 -7 2 + 371 -3 + 368 -7 6 +6 -1 +5 -1 7 4 + 1 25 -6 5 +255 +4 +259 -3 0 0 -3 3 9 -2 6 5 -1 0 9 + 3 14 + 1 51 +525 -4 9 7 -2 0 5 -1 8 1 -7 -5 -4 2 +14 +26 -3 4 . N e t goods a n d services a n d u n ila te ra l tra n sf e rs . C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l---- -------- ------------ ------- - 2 1 1945 31 +125 I V . N e t inflow ( + ) o r o u tflo w ( —) of f u n d s o n g old a n d s h o rt- te rm c a p ita l a c c o u n t, t o t a l _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ A . N e t U n ite d S ta te s g old sales ( + ) o r p u r c h a se s ( - ) _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ B . N e t m o v e m e n t of U n ite d S ta te s sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l a b r o a d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _____ C . N e t m o v e m e n t of fo re ig n sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l in U n ite d S ta te s .............. . ........ ............. ............. +12 +7 -6 2 + 1 46 -6 7 + 1 34 + 3 07 + 1 30 + 6 01 V . E rr o rs , o m issio ns, a n d th ir d - c o u n tr y tr a n s a c ti o n s .. -6 1 -1 2 1 -1 8 3 -1 4 5 -2 1 1 -4 8 4 le a d in g in d u s tria l n a tio n s. C a p ita l e m p lo y e d in tlie m a n f a c tu r in g in d u strie s rose fro m (C a n a d ia n ) $3,600 m illio n in 1939 to $6,300 m illio n in 1943. T h e g ro ss v a lu e o f p ro d u c ts o f th e m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u strie s rose d u r in g th e sam e p e rio d fro m $3,500 m illio n to $8,700 m illio n a n d a m o u n te d to $9,100 m illio n in 1944.24 A f te r th e en d o f th e w a r, th e e x p a n sio n o f in d u s try c o n tin u e d , p r iv a te in d u s try sp e n d in g m o re th a n $1,000 m illio n in 1946 on in d u s tria l p la n t,25 60 p e rc e n t o f w h ich w as d evoted to m a c h in e ry a n d e q u ip m e n t a n d th e re m a in d e r to new c o nstru ctio n . C a n a d a ’s close econom ic re la tio n s h ip s w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s w e re e x tre m e ly im p o rta n t to th is g ro w th . A la rg e sh a re o f th e m a te ria ls a n d e q u ip m e n t w h ich w e n t in to th e p la n t d e ve lo p m e nt in C a n a d a w a s im p o rte d fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s. T h is w as m a d e p o ssib le in a la rg e d e g ree b y th e sale o f w a r m a te r ia ls to th e U n ite d S ta te s as a re s u lt o f th e a g re e m e n t re ac h ed in A p r il 1941 a t H y d e P a r k betw een th e G o v e rn m en ts o f th e tw o N a tio n s. I t w as also a id e d by a la rg e inflow o f c a p ita l fu n d s fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d b y th e d ire c t e x p e n d itu re s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s a rm ed forces on defense p ro je c ts u n d e r ta k e n jo in tly w ith C a n ad a . 24 D e p a r t m e n t o f T r a d e a n d C o m m e r c e , D o m i n i o n B u r e a u o f S t a t i s t i c s , C a n a d a Y e a r b o o k , 1 9 4 6 ; a n d C a n a d a , 1 9 4 7 . O ff ic ia l H a n d b o o k . 25 H o u s e o f C o m m o n s D e b a t e , A p r i l 2 9 , 1 9 4 7 , A p p e n d i x t o B u d g e t, 1 9 4 7 - 4 8 . 123 A t th e b e g in n in g o f th e w a r, in 1940 a n d 1941, th ese fa c to rs w ere n o t y e t o p e rativ e . C a n a d a ’s im p o rt re q u ire m e n ts fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s fo r fu lfillin g U n ite d K in g d o m w a r o rd e rs a n d f o r its ow n w a r p r e p a ra tio n s w ere so g r e a t th a t in 1940 its v isible tr a d e deficit a lm o st d o u b led as c o m p a re d w ith 1939. T o g e th e r w ith th e u s u a l la rg e n e t p a y m e n ts on services, C a n a d a ’s c u rre n t-a c c o u n t deficit w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s a m o u n te d to $417 m illio n ,2 0*26 o r a b o u t 55 p e rc e n t above th e 1939 figure. I n 1941, C a n a d a ’s deficit w as $458 m illio n . T h is led to h e av y liq u id a tio n s o f C a n a d ia n g o ld a n d d o lla r reserves, th e F o re ig n E x c h a n g e C o n tro l B o a rd re p o rtin g its ba la nc es a t th e e n d o f 1941 as $188 m illio n , a g a in s t a to ta l o f $404 m illio n h e ld a t th e e nd o f 1939, a decline o f $216 m illio n .27 I n a d d itio n , $225 m illio n of g o ld received fro m th e U n ite d K in g d o m wTas tr a n s f e r r e d to th e U n ite d S ta te s , to g e th e r w ith g o ld e q u iv a le n t to c u r re n t p ro d u c tio n . P r e v iou sly , C a n a d a w as able to liq u id a te its u s u a l deficits w tih th e U n ite d S ta te s b y tr a n s f e r r in g s te rlin g e a rn e d in e q u a lly p e rsis te n t su rplu se s on c u r re n t a cc o u n t w ith th e U n ite d K in g d o m . B u t a t th e o u tb re a k o f w a r, w h e n th e U n ite d K in g d o m in s titu te d ex ch an g e c o n tro l, such tr a n s f e rs c o u ld no lo n g e r be m ad e a n d th e d r a in on C a n a d ia n r e so urces occu rred . F ro m 1942 th ro u g h 1945, C a n a d a ’s c u rre n t-a c c o u n t deficits w ere v e ry m u ch sm alle r, o w in g p rin c ip a lly to h e av y U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t p u rc h a se s re s u ltin g fro m th e H y d e P a r k a g ree m e n t a n d U n ite d S ta te s a rm e d fo rce s e x p e n d itu re s. T o g e th e r w ith h e a v y c a p ita l flow s fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s, c u rre n t g o ld p ro d u c tio n in C a n ad a , a n d h e av y d o lla r re c e ip ts fro m t h i r d c o u n tries,28 th e g o ld a n d d o lla r h o ld in g s o f th e C a n a d ia n F o re ig n E x c h a n g e C o n tro l B o a rd a t th e en d o f 1945 w ere re p o rte d a t $1,508 m illio n , o r a lm o st fo u r tim e s th e sum h e ld a t th e o u tb re a k o f th e w ar. M e r c h a n d is e T r a d e T ra d e b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d C a n a d a re ac h ed re c o rd levels d u r in g th e w a r y ears. E a r ly in th e w a r, C a n a d a d rew h e av ily on th e U n ite d S ta te s f o r c a p ita l e q u ip m e n t in o r d e r to e x p a n d p ro d u c tio n on U n ite d K in g d o m a ccoun t. A s th e w a r becam e in ten sified , B ritis h a n d o th e r A llie d d e m a n d s u p o n C a n a d ia n p ro d u c tio n , financed first by th e b u ild in g u p o f C a n a d ia n s te rlin g balances, th e n b y loans, a n d fin a lly th ro u g h g ifts u n d e r th e C a n a d ia n M u tu a l A id p ro g ra m , e x erte d 20 A l l f i g u r e s i n t h i s s e c t i o n r e f e r t o C a n a d a a n d N e w f o u n d l a n d a n d a r e b a s e d o n D e p a r t m e n t o f C o m m e rc e e s tim a te s . B e c a u s e o f th e d iff e re n t s o u rc e s u se d , i t h a s n o t b ee n p o s s ib le c o m p le te ly to re c o n c ile t h e fig u re s p r e s e n te d h e r e in w it h t h e e s tim a te s in “ T h e C a n a d ia n B a la n c e o f I n t e r n a ti o n a l P a y m e n ts ” o f th e D o m in io n B u r e a u o f S ta tis tic s . M o re o v e r, i t s h o u l d b e n o t e d t h a t t h e C a n a d i a n e s t i m a t e s i n c l u d e , i n e f f e c t, t h e i r d o m e s t i c g o l d p r o d u c t i o n a s a n e x p o r t t o t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s , a l t h o u g h o n l y t h a t p o r t i o n a c t u a l l y s o ld t o t h e U n ite d S t a t e s w o u ld a p p e a r in o u r e s tim a te s . 27 C a n a d i a n F o r e i g n E x c h a n g e C o n t r o l B o a r d , R e p o r t t o t h e M i n i s t e r o f F i n a n c e , O t t a w a , M a rc h 1946, p. 20. I t m a y b e n o te d t h a t t h e a c t u a l lo s s o f g o ld a n d d o lla r s w a s m u c h g r e a t e r t h a n t h e d if f e r e n c e b e tw e e n t h e t w o y e a r - e n d f i g u r e s , s i n c e t h i s d o e s n o t t a k e i n t o a c c o u n t t r a n s f e r s o f g o l d p r o d u c e d c u r r e n t l y i n C a n a d a . S e e s e c t i o n o n “ G o ld a n d C a p i t a l M o v e m e n t s .” 28 W h i l e C a n a d a c o u l d n o t c o n v e r t s t e r l i n g h o l d i n g s i n t o d o l l a r s i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s , f r o m tim e to tim e t h e U n ite d K in g d o m tr a n s f e r r e d d o lla r s to C a n a d ia n a c c o u n t a n d o v e r t h e w a r p e r i o d C a n a d a r e c e i v e d a b o u t .$ 230 m i l l i o n f r o m t h e U n i t e d K in g d o m , i n a d d i t i o n t o t h e $ 2 2 5 m i l l i o n i n g o l d r e c e iv e d i n 1 9 4 0 . O n t h e b a s i s o f t h e r e c o r d e d t r a d e s t a t i s t i c s , C a n a d a w o u ld h a v e h a d to r e le a s e d o lla r s o n ly to L a ti n A m e ric a , a m o n g t h e m a jo r t r a d i n g a r e a s o f t h e w o r l d , a l t h o u g h s p e c i a l a g r e e m e n t s w i t h s e v e r a l o f t h e A m e r i c a n R e p u b li c s p e r m i t t e d C a n a d a t o u s e s t e r l i n g o r C a n a d i a n d o l l a r s i n p a r t i a l s e t t l e m e n t o f i t s d e f i c i ts . A n a g r e e m e n t w i t h B r a z i l , f o r e x a m p le , w h i c h o p e r a t e d b e t w e e n 1 9 4 1 a n d 1 9 4 4 , p e r m i t t e d C a n a d a t o m a k e p a y m e n t f o r G o v e r n m e n t - p r o c u r e d i m p o r t s t o t h e e x t e n t o f 5 0 p e r c e n t in s te r lin g a n d 5 0 p e r c e n t in U n ite d S ta te s d o lla r s . P r iv a te tr a d e w ith B r a z il c o n tin u e d o n th e n o r m a l U n ite d S ta te s d o lla r b a s is . C a n a d a ’s t r a d e w i t h o t h e r n o n s t e r l i i m - a r e a c o u n tr ie s re s u lte d in la r g e e x p o r t s u rp lu s e s a n d u n d o u b te d ly c o n tr ib u te d s u b s ta n tia lly to C a n a d ia n re c e ip ts o f U n ite d S ta te s d o lla r s . 124 a v e ry stro n g influence u p o n im p o rts fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s — th e only so urce o f m an y o f th e c o m p o n e n t p a r ts need ed to fill th ese o rd e rs. F in a lly , C a n a d a ’s req u ire m e n ts f o r its ow n w a r effort a n d f o r th e h ig h e r c o n su m p tio n levels ste m m in g fro m th e in te n se econom ic a c tiv ity o f th e C a n a d ia n p e op le also led to la rg e im p o rts fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s. C a n a d ia n W a r P r o d u c t io n S p u r s U n ite d S ta te s E x p o r ts T h e e x tr a o rd in a ry g ro w th in C a n a d ia n econom ic a c tiv ity is illu s tr a te d in th e fo llo w in g d a ta : F ro m 1939 th ro u g h 1944 g ross n a tio n a l e x p e n d itu re s in C a n a d a in crea se d fro m (C a n a d ia n ) $5.5 b illio n to $11.8 b illio n ; G o v e rn m en t e x p e n d itu re s f o r w a r p u rp o se s rose in th e sam e p e rio d fro m $75 m illio n to $4.3 b illio n .29 A n in d ic a tio n o f A llied p a r tic ip a tio n is fu r n is h e d in th e fo llo w in g e s tim a te s : O f to ta l C a n a d ia n w a r p r o d u c tio n 30 in th e y e a r e nd e d M a rc h 31, 1943, 45 p e rc e n t w as f o r th e U n ite d K in g d o m a n d o th e r c o u n trie s, 19 p e rc e n t f o r th e U n ite d S ta te s, a n d 35 p e rc e n t f o r C a n a d a itse lf .31 A ll c ateg o ries o f U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts were in c rea sed b y th e g ro w th in C a n a d ia n p ro d u c tio n . T h e m etals, m a c h in e ry a n d vehicles, a n d fuels g r o u p s sh ow ed th e la rg e s t in creases, because o f th e e x p a n sio n in C a n a d ia n in d u s tria l p la n ts th ro u g h o u t th e w a r. A sid e fro m m ili ta r y item s, e x p o rts in th e m a c h in e ry a n d vehicles g ro u p rose fro m a n a v era g e o f a b o u t $120 m illio n in 1938-39 to $321 m illio n in 1942, a n d w ere m a in ta in e d a t a b o u t $270 m illio n in each o f th e y e a rs 1943-45. L a rg e n u m b e rs o f m ac h in e to o ls a n d o th e r m e ta lw o rk in g m ac h in es w ere in clu d e d , a n d i t m a y be e xp e cted t h a t th is e q u ip m e n t w ill be v e ry im p o rta n t in sh a p in g th e p o stw a r econom y o f C a n ad a . U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts in th e m e tals g ro u p , c o n sistin g m o stly o f iro n a n d steel a n d th e ir m a n u fa c tu re s, rose fro m a n a v e ra g e o f $45 m illio n in 1938-39 to $195 m illio n in 1942, a n d a m o u n te d to $125 m illio n in 1945. E x p o rts o f coal in crea se d ste a d ily fro m $48 m illio n in 1938 to $89 m illio n in 1943 a n d a v era g e d close to $78 m illio n in 1944-45. W a r e q u ip m e n t a n d su p p lies, in c lu d in g ta n k s, o th e r c om b at v ehicles, a ir c r a ft, a ir c r a f t p a r ts a n d engin es, a n d a r tille r y a n d c om m u n ica tio n s e q uip m e n t, rose fro m n eg lig ib le q u a n titie s b e fo re th e w a r to a to ta l value o f $260 m il lio n in 1942, $350 m illio n in 1943, $340 m illio n in 1944, a n d th e n fe ll to $90 m illio n in 1945. H y d e P a r k A g r e e m e n t S tim u la te s U . S . G o v e r n m e n t P u r c h a s e s U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts fro m C a n a d a w e re influenced p rin c ip a lly b y th e H y d e P a r k A g re e m e n t o f A p ril 1941, u n d e r w h ich th e U n ite d S ta te s u n d e rto o k to in crease its p u rc h a se s o f u rg e n tly need ed w a r su p p lies in o rd e r to b r in g a b o u t a b e tte r b a la n c e in th e tr a d e b etw een th e tw o c o u n trie s a n d a t th e sam e tim e m ax im ize p ro d u c tio n b y p r e v e n tin g th e d u p lic a tio n o f p ro d u c tiv e fac ilitie s. T h e a g ree m e n t p r o v id e d t h a t “in m o b iliz in g th e resou rces in th is c o n tin e n t each c o u n try sh o u ld p ro v id e th e o th e r w ith th e defense a rtic le s w h ich i t is b est ab le to p rod u ce , a n d above a ll, p ro d u ce q u ick ly , a n d t h a t p ro d u c tio n p ro 29 D e p a r t m e n t o f T r a d e a n d C o m m e r c e , D o m i n i o n B u r e a u o f S t a t i s t i c s . N a tio n a l A c c o u n ts : In c o m e a n d E x p e n d itu re , 1 9 3 8 -1 9 4 6 . 30 N o t e q u i v a l e n t t o “ g o v e r n m e n t e x p e n d i t u r e s f o r w a r p u r p o s e s . ” C o n s i s t s o f p r o d u c t i o n o f w a r m a t e r ia l s a n d c o n s tr u c tio n o n o rd e rs p la c e d o n ly b y D e p a r tm e n t o f M u n itio n s a n d S u p p l y t o t a l i n g a l m o s t $ 3 ,5 0 0 m i l l i o n f o r t l i e c a l e n d a r y e a r 1 9 4 3 . D e l i v e r y o f w a r e x p o r t s t h r o u g h o t h e r G o v e r n m e n t a n d p r i v a t e a g e n c i e s a r e e x c lu d e d . C a n a d a a t W a r , A u g u s t 1 9 4 4 , p . 51. 81 H . J . C a r m i c h a e l , C o o r d i n a t o r o f P r o d u c t i o n , a n d C h a i r m a n , P r o d u c t i o n B o a r d , D e p a r t m e n t o f M u n i t i o n s a n d S u p p l y , i n a n a d d r e s s b e f o r e t h e C a n a d i a n M a n u f a c t u r e r s A s s o c ia tio n in J u n e 1 9 4 4 , p u b lis h e d in I n d u s tr i a l C a n a d a , J u ly 1 9 4 4 , p. 143. 125 g ra m s sh o u ld be c o o rd in a te d to th is e n d .” I t sta te d t h a t “th e re is e x is tin g a n d p o te n tia l c a p a c ity in C a n a d a fo r th e sp eedy p r o d u c tio n o f m u n itio n s, stra te g ic m a te ria ls, a lu m in u m , a n d sh ip s, w h ic h a re u r g e n tly re q u ire d by th e U n ite d S ta te s ” a n d “ i t is h o p e d t h a t d u r in g th e n e x t 12 m o n th s C a n a d a can su p p ly th e U n ite d S ta te s w ith betw een $200 m illio n a n d $300 m illio n w o rth o f su ch d efen se a rtic le s .” I t w as n o te d t h a t su ch a c tio n “w ill m a te ria lly a ssist C a n a d a in m ee tin g p a r t •of th e cost o f C a n a d ia n d efen se p u rc h a se s in th e U n ite d S ta te s .” A s a d ire c t c o n trib u tio n to th e e asin g o f C a n a d a ’s e xch an g e p roblem , th e a g re e m e n t p ro v id e d t h a t c o m p o n e n t p a r ts f o r e q u ip m en t p ro d u c e d b y C a n a d a f o r th e U n ite d K in g d o m could be o b ta in e d fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s u n d e r lend-lease. D u r in g 1941, b e fo re th e U n ite d S ta te s e n te re d th e w a r, little b ey o n d th e p la c in g o f a n E x p o r t- I m p o r t B a n k lo a n o f $25 m illio n fo r th e p ro d u c tio n o f a lu m in u m h a d been a ccom plished u n d e r th is a g ree m e n t. H o w e v e r, u n d e r th e d ire c tio n o f th e J o in t E co n o m ic a n d W a r P ro d u c tio n C om m ittees, set u p to im p le m e n t it, th e w a y w as p a v e d f o r th e p a r tic ip a tio n o f C a n a d ia n in d u s try on a p a r w ith U n ite d S ta te s in d u s tr y in U n ite d S ta te s w a r-p r o d u c tio n p lans. T h e a g ree m e n t led to enorm o us p u rc h a se s in C a n a d a b y U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t a g e n cies a f te r th e U n ite d S ta te s e n te re d th e w a r. B etw een 1942 a n d 1945, $154 m illio n w as e x p e n d e d f o r th e p u rc h a se o f sh ip s a n d vessels by th e W a r S h ip p in g A d m in is tr a tio n , $220 m illio n f o r w h e at a n d o th e r g r a in s b y th e C o m m o d ity C re d it C o rp o ra tio n , a n d $293 m illio n f o r refin ed a lu m in u m a n d o th e r m eta ls by th e M e ta ls B eserve C o m p a n y ; a n d th e U . S . C o m m ercial C o m p an y , th e T re a s u ry D e p a rtm e n t, a n d th e D e fe n se S u p p lie s C o rp o ra tio n sp en t a b o u t $105 m illio n f o r o th e r com m odities. M ilita ry e q u ip m e n t p u rc h a se d b y th e W a r a n d N a v y D e p a rtm e n ts w e n t f a r b e y o n d w h a t w a s o rig in a lly e n v isag ed a t th e tim e th e a g re e m e n t w as m ad e, b o th in volum e a n d in th e ty p e o f eq u ip m e n t. I t is e s tim a te d th a t, over th e p e rio d o f th e w a r, a to ta l o f $1,087 m illio n w as e x p e n d e d b y th ese d e p a rtm e n ts f o r e q uip m e n t, in c lu d in g item s re q u ir in g co m p lica ted p ro d u c tio n e fforts, such as a ir c r a f t, a ir c r a f t en g in es, a r tille r y , D iesel engines, a n d ra d io a n d c o m m u n ication e q u ip m e n t. P r iv a te U n ite d S ta te s Im p o r ts R is e P r iv a te im p o rts fro m C a n a d a , s tim u la te d by w a r-in d u c e d d e m a n d s in th e U n ite d S ta te s, also re ac h ed p e a k levels. B y 1941, U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts on p r iv a te a cc o u n t a m o u n te d 'to $598 m illio n , a n in crea se o f 75 p e rc e n t above th e to ta l f o r 1939. I n 1942, w ith p ro c u re m e n t la rg e ly in G o v e rn m en t h a n d s a n d w ith re s tr ic tio n s on im p o rts f o r co n su m p tio n , p r iv a te p u rc h a se s fro m C a n a d a fe ll to $498 m illio n . H o w e v e r, th e e x pa n sio n o f p ro d u c tiv e fa c ilitie s in C a n a d a m ad e a v a ila b le la rg e q u a n titie s o f goods w h ich c ou ld be fitte d in to th e p ro d u c tio n p la n s o f m a n u fa c tu re r s in th e U n ite d S ta te s, a n d p r iv a te p u rc h a ses fro m C a n a d a rose to $776 m illio n in 1943. C e r ta in co n su m er goods, r e la tiv e ly m ore p le n tif u l in C a n a d a , w ere also im p o rte d in g re a te r q u a n ti ties, w h ile w h e a t a n d o th e r g r a in im p o rts f o r in d u s tria l a n d fe e d p u r poses ro se to $45 m illio n , in a d d itio n to C o m m o d ity C re d it C o rp o ra tio n p u rc h a se s o f a b o u t $94 m illio n . T o ta l p r iv a te im p o rta tio n s rose to $796 m illio n in 1944, p rin c ip a lly because o f im p o rts o f g ra in s 126 a m o u n tin g to $177 m illio n , th e re s u lt o f c o n tin u in g sh o rta g e s in th e U n ite d S ta te s. W ith th e en d o f th e w a r in 1945, b o th im p o rts a n d e x p o rts d eclined, w ith p r iv a te im p o rts a t $771 m illio n a n d U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t p u rc h a se s a t $227 m illio n f o r th e y e a r, 55 p e rc e n t o f th e 1944 volum e. T h e to ta l decline in im p o rts a m o u n te d to $318 m illio n . E x p o rts to C a n a d a fe ll fro m $1,487 m illio n to $1,210 m illio n , a decline o f $277 m il lio n , as e x p o rts o f w a r e q u ip m en t w ere sh a rp ly cut. I r o n a n d steel p ro d u c ts, n o n fe rro u s m etals, a n d o th e r p ro d u c ts f o r w a r p ro d u c tio n also declined, w h ile e x p o rts o f foods, te x tile s, a n d o th e r p ro d u c ts f o r c o n su m p tio n a n d f o r p eacetim e p r o d u c tio n in crea sed o r re m ain e d a t th e a b n o rm a lly h ig h levels o f th e p re c e d in g w a r y ears. S e r v ic e I te m s T h e c u sto m a ry p re w a r p a tte r n o f U n ite d S ta te s n e t su rp lu ses on se rv ice tra n sa c tio n , a ris in g p rin c ip a lly fro m excesses o f re c e ip ts o f incom e on in v estm en ts, w as n o t m a in ta in e d u n b ro k en d u rin g th e w a r p e rio d . F ro m $145 m illio n in 1940, th e U n ite d S ta te s s u rp lu s on service a c c o u n ts d w in d le d to $95 m illio n in 1941 a n d $79 m illio n in 1942, p r in c ip a lly because o f th e re d u c tio n in C a n a d ia n tra v e l in th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d a decline in incom e p a y m e n ts to th e U n ite d S ta te s. F ro m 1942 th ro u g h 1944, U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t e x p e n d itu re s in C a n a d a , a l m o st exclusively b y th e a rm e d forces, w ere so la rg e t h a t n e t deficits, n e g lig ib le in 1943 b u t a m o u n tin g to $45 m illio n in 1944, a p p e are d . W ith th e c u rta ilm e n t o f su ch e x p e n d itu re s in 1945, th e p re w a r p a tte r n o f U n ite d S ta te s su rp lu ses re em e rg e d w ith a b a la n c e in fa v o r o f th e U n ite d S ta te s o f $44 m illio n . In v e stm e n t In com e D e c lin e s U n ite d S ta te s re c e ip ts o f incom e fro m in v estm e n ts in C a n a d a d e fin e d fro m $232 m illio n in 1940 to $216 m illio n in 1942 a n d to $205 m illio n in 1945. T h is d ro p w as due p rin c ip a lly to a decline in d iv id e n d p a y m e n ts b y A m eric a n -c o n tro lle d com panies. C a n a d ia n exchangec o n tro l re g u la tio n s p re v e n te d th e re m itta n c e o f som e p re w a r e a rn in g s w h ich n o rm a lly w o u ld h a v e b een tr a n s f e r r e d in 1940 a n d 1941. A lso, in J u n e 1941, w ith h o ld in g -ta x r a te s on d iv id e n d s p a id to re sid e n ts o f th e U n ite d S ta te s b y a ll ex ce pt w h o lly o w ned su b sid ia rie s o f A m eric an com p anies w ere ra ise d fro m 5 p e rc e n t to 15 p e rce n t. A n o th e r rea so n fo r th e decline a p p e a rs to h av e been th e re in v e st m e n t o f la rg e r-th a n -u s u a l p r o p o rtio n s o f e a rn in g s, in fin e w ith th e g e n e ra l C a n a d ia n p ro g ra m o f in d u s tria l e xp an sion . E a rn in g s in g e n e ra l d e clin ed w ith th e le v e lin g off o f p ro d u c tio n in 1944 a n d th e c an c ella tio n o f o rd e rs a n d reco n v ersion efforts in 1945. I t also a p p e a rs t h a t th e a n tic ip a tio n o f a n a p p re c ia tio n o f th e C a n a d ia n d o lla r m ay h a v e a d v e rsely affected th e p a y m e n t o f d iv id e n d s in 1945. In c o m e p a y m e n ts to C a n a d ia n s on th e ir in v estm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s show ed p r a c tic a lly no decline o v e r th e w a r y ears. A p p ro x i m a te ly $36 m illio n in incom e w as p a id in 1940 a n d $35 m illio n in 1945, h ig h e r e a rn in g s o ffse ttin g th e effects o f a sm a ll re d u c tio n in C a n a d ia n h o ld in g s o f U n ite d S ta te s se c u ritie s d u r in g th e p e rio d . T r a n s p o r ta tio n P a y m en ts to C anada S h ow S m a ll In c r e a s e I n th e tr a n s p o rta tio n a cc ou n t w ith C a n a d a , a n excess o f U n ite d S ta te s p a y m e n ts, a m o u n tin g to $8 m illio n , $17 m illio n , a n d $12 m illio n , 127 resp ec tiv e ly , em erg ed in th e y e a rs 1943 th ro u g h 1945, su cceeding a p p ro x im a te ba la nc es in th e a cc ou n t in 1940-42. T h e se in crea se s aro se fro m h ig h e r p a y m e n ts on r a il- f r e ig h t acco u n t a n d a s lig h t decline in n e t re c e ip ts on ocean sh ip p in g . W h ile th e re w as a s h a rp in crease in C a n a d ia n e x p o rts tra n s p o rte d by r a il fo r oversea sh ip m e n t fro m A m e ric a n p o rts , th e re c e ip ts b y . A m eric an r a ilr o a d s in th is tr a d e a re c h a rg e d to th e c o u n try rec eiv in g th e g oods a n d n o t to C a n a d a . O n th e o th e r h a n d , p a y m e n ts f o r se rv ices re n d e re d b y C a n a d ia n r a ilr o a d s in c a rry in g U n ite d S ta te s goods fro m one p o in t in th e U n ite d S ta te s to a n o th e r rose, as d id th e e x p e n d itu re s o f A m e ric a n r a ilr o a d s o p e ra tin g in C a n ad a . T h e se w ere th e p rin c ip a l rea so n s f o r th e in crea se in n e t p a y m e n ts to C a n a d a on r a il f r e ig h t a cc ou n t fro m $15 m illio n in 1940 to $26 m illio n in 1945. R e c eip ts a n d p a y m e n ts on d ire c t U n ite d S ta te s- C a n a d ia n tr a d e b y a ll m eans o f tr a n s p o rta tio n d u r in g th e p e rio d w ere a p p ro x im a te ly in b alan ce. S lig h t in crea se s in p o r t e x p e n d itu re s in c u rre d in C a n a d a b y A m e ric a n vessels a n d in crea se s in f r e ig h t p a y m e n ts on G re a t L a k es sh ip m e n ts th ro u g h 1944 a u g m e n te d th e d eclin e (d u e p rin c ip a lly to d iv e rsio n to ra il tr a n s p o rta tio n ) o f U n ite d S ta te s su rp lu se s o f sh ip p in g re c e ip ts e a rn e d in th e ocean -bo rne tr a d e b etw een C a n a d a a n d th e U n ite d S ta te s. T r a v e l E x p e n d it u r e s S h a r p ly C u t— R e c o v e r to P r e w a r L e v e ls O ne o f th e rea so n s fo r a p p re h e n sio n on th e p a r t o f th e C a n a d ia n a u th o ritie s re g a r d in g th e ir d o lla r p o sitio n w as th e s h a rp decline fro m $149 m illio n in 1939 to $89 m illio n in 1940 in re c e ip ts fro m U n ite d S ta te s re sid e n ts on to u r is t accoun t. T h e in tr o d u c tio n o f re s tric tio n s o n tra v e l fro m C a n a d a , how ever, c u t C a n a d ia n e x p e n d itu re s in th e U n ite d S ta te s fro m $61 m illio n in 1939 to $36 m illio n in 1940, th u s re d u c in g th e n e t loss o f d o lla rs. I n 1941, U n ite d S ta te s e x p e n d itu re s f o r tr a v e l in C a n a d a rose to $97 m illio n , o w in g in p a r t to C a n a d ia n p ro m o tio n a l e fforts in th is c o u n try . A t th e sam e tim e , in c re a sin g ly s trin g e n t a p p lic a tio n o f tr a v e l re s tric tio n s c u t C a n a d ia n e x p e n d itu re s in th e U n ite d S ta te s to $17 m illio n . C a n a d ia n n e t re c e ip ts on to u ris t acco u n t th u s in crea se d s h a rp ly fro m $53 m illio n in 1940 to $81 m illio n in 1941. F ro m 1942 on, C a n a d ia n tra v e l e x p e n d itu re s in crea se d , e sp ecially in 1944 a n d 1945 as re s tric tio n s on tr a v e l w ere re la x e d w ith th e im p ro v e m e n t in C a n a d a ’s e xch an g e p o sitio n . T ra v e l b y U n ite d S ta te s re sid e n ts in C a n a d a w as affected p r im a r ily b y severe g a so lin e a n d tir e sh o rta g e s in 1942 a n d 1943, b u t sh a rp in creases in e x p e n d itu re s w ere rec o rd e d in 1944 a n d 1945, w h e n th e p re w a r 1939 level o f $150 m illio n w as rea ch ed . N e t C a n a d ia n re c e ip ts w e re sm a lle r th a n in 1939, th e ir e x p e n d itu re s in th e U n ite d S ta te s h a v in g rise n to $76 m illio n as a g a in st $61 m illio n in 1939. U . S . G o v e r n m e n t E x p e n d i t u r e s A i d C a n a d a ’s E x c h a n g e P o s i t i o n U n ite d S ta te s a rm ed forces e x p e n d itu re s on su ch defense p ro je c ts u n d e rta k e n jo in tly w ith C a n a d a as th e A lc a n H ig h w a y , th e C ano l p e tro le u m de ve lo p m e nt, th e te le p h o n e lin e fro m E d m o n to n to th e A la sk a b o u n d a ry , a n d m a n y la n d in g fields a n d a ir s trip s p ro v id e d la rg e sum s o f d o lla rs to C a n a d a as th e w a r p ro g re sse d . I n a ll, U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t e x p e n d itu re s, in c lu d in g th o se b y m ilita ry a n d c iv ilia n p e rso n n e l, b u t e x c lu d in g p u rc h a se s o f m e rc h an d ise b y th e 128 G o v e rn m en t agencies as such, m o u n te d r a p id ly fro m $1 m illio n in 1940 to $19 m illio n in 1941 a n d $59 m illio n in 1942. A t th e h e ig h t o f th ese a ctiv itie s, e x p e n d itu re s a m o u n te d to $149 m illio n in 1943 a n d $187 m illio n in 1944. T h e y to ta le d a b o u t $77 m illio n in 1945. M o st o f th ese o u tla y s w ere f o r C a n a d ia n la b o r a n d f o r tra n s p o rta tio n a n d o th e r services r a th e r th a n f o r tro o p m a in te n a n ce , as in o th e r c o u n trie s, since re la tiv e ly few A m e ric a n tro o p s w ere u sed in c o n n e ctio n w ith th ese p ro je c ts. G o ld a n d C a p ita l M o v e m e n ts G o ld a n d sh o rt-te rm c a p ita l m ovem ents b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d C a n a d a w ere e sse n tia lly o f a “b a la n c in g ” n a tu r e d u rin g th e w ar. T h e m ovem ents in C a n a d ia n fu n d s , c o n tro lle d as th e y w ere b y th e F o re ig n E x c h a n g e C o n tro l B o a rd in th e in te re s t o f m a in ta in in g a n a d e q u a te su p p ly , w ere, o f course, u n m a rk e d b y a n y a ctiv e o r a u to n o m ous influences. T h e m ovem ents o f U n ite d S ta te s sh o rt- te rm fu n d s w ere n e g lig ib le, a p a r t fro m ad v a nc es o f $72 m illio n m ad e by th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t in co n n ectio n w ith c o n tra c ts in C a n ad a . I n ta b le 31, th e n e t m o vem ent o f a ll sh o rt-te rm c a p ita l item s is show n, th e p rin c ip a l m o v e m e n t c o n sistin g o f th e g ro w th o f C a n a d ia n d o lla r b alan ces in th e la s t few y e a rs u n d e r th e influence o f fa c to rs w h ich h a v e b een in d ic a te d p re v io u sly . G o ld E x p o r ts P r o v id e D o lla r s I n th e fir s t 3 y e a rs o f th e w a r p e rio d , 1940-42, e x p o rts o f g o ld w ere th e p rin c ip a l “b a la n c in g ” item . I n 1940, to ta l sh ip m e n ts fro m C a n a d a fo r its a cc ou n t a m o u n te d to $497 m illio n , o f w h ich $225 m illio n h a d been received fro m th e U n ite d K in g d o m in p a r tia l se ttle m e n t o f its deficit w ith C a n a d a. T h e sh ip m e n ts w ere in excess o f th e c u r re n ta cc o u n t deficit a n d re su lte d in a su b s ta n tia l in crea se in d o lla r h o ld in g s. G o ld re c e ip ts fro m th e U n ite d K in g d o m ceased in 1940 w ith th e n e a r e x h a u stio n o f th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s reserves, a n d C a n a d ia n g o ld sales to th e U n ite d S ta te s in 1941 a n d 1942, a m o u n tin g to $205 m illio n a n d $181 m illio n , consisted w h o lly o f C a n a d ia n p ro d u c tio n a n d w ith d ra w a ls fro m stocks. S in ce C a n a d ia n g o ld p ro d u c tio n a m o u n ted to' a n a n n u a l a v era g e o f a b o u t $186 m illio n in 1940 a n d 1941 a n d $169 m illio n in 1942, C a n a d ia n sales to th e U n ite d S ta te s re p re s e n te d w ith d ra w a l o f $117 m illio n fro m th e $214 m illio n re p o rte d as h e ld b y th e B a n k o f C a n a d a a t th e en d o f 1939. I n 1943 a n d 1944, g o ld sh ip m e n ts to th e U n ite d S ta te s f o r C a n a d ia n a cc o u n t p ra c tic a lly ceased, b u t in 1945 C a n a d a so ld $42 m illio n o f g o ld to th e U n ite d S ta te s. U . S . S e c u r ity P u r c h a s e s A ls o P r o v id e D o lla r s A s trik in g fe a tu re o f th e b a la n ce o f p a y m e n ts b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d C a n a d a d u r in g th e w a r y e ars w as th e m o v em en t o f c a p ita l fu n d s fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s, w h ich c o n trib u te d g re a tly to th e m a in te n a n ce o f th e n ecessary flow o f goods a n d services to C a n a d a . T h e m o v e m e n t b e g a n in 1941, a s m o u n tin g C a n a d ia n econom ic a c tiv ity a n d a re la tiv e ly h ig h r a te o f r e tu r n a ttr a c te d A m e ric a n in v esto rs. T h e m a g n itu d e o f th e m o vem ent w as due also to th e a cc u m u la tio n o f a v a ila b le fu n d s in th e h a n d s o f in su ra n c e com panies, fo u n d a tio n s, a n d o th e r in s titu tio n s in th e U n ite d S ta te s. P u rc h a se s b y such o rg a n i z a tio n s, p a r tic u la r ly th e in su ra n c e com p anies, w ere h e a v y d u rin g th e p e rio d . 129 B etw een 1941 a n d 1945 n e a rly $700 m illio n o f o u ts ta n d in g se c u ri ties w ere p u rc h a se d in C a n a d a b y A m e ric a n in v esto rs, a n a n n u a l a v e r a g e o f $140 m illio n . T h is w a s a s h a rp re v e rsa l c o m p a re d w ith th e s itu a tio n in 1936-39, w h e n n e t C a n a d ia n p u rc h a se s o f fo re ig n se c u ritie s h e ld in th e U n ite d S ta te s a v era g e d $9 m illio n p e r y e ar. T h e p e a k y e a r o f th is m o v em en t w as in 1945, w h e n C a n a d ia n se cu ritie s in th e a m o u n t o f $245 m illio n w ere p u rc h a se d . I n a d d itio n to p u rc h a se s o f o u ts ta n d in g sec u ritie s, U n ite d S ta te s re s id e n ts p ro v id e d $336 m illio n to C a n a d a b y su b sc rip tio n s to new C a n a d ia n c o rp o ra te a n d g o v e rn m e n ta l issues, p ra c tic a lly a ll o f w h ich , how ever, w ere fo r r e fu n d in g p u rp o se s. T h is w as a b o u t equal to p r e w a r le n d in g , w h ic h a m o u n te d to $372 m illio n d u r in g th e 1936-39 p e rio d . T h e r e tu r n flow o f c a p ita l to th e U n ite d S ta te s w as also u n p re c e d e n te d , as th e fa v o ra b le e x ch an g e p o sitio n a n d low in te re s t ra te in th e U n ite d S ta te s sp u rre d th e re tire m e n t o r re fu n d in g o f C a n a d ia n d eb t h e ld h e re. F ro m $23 m illio n in 1940, a m o rtiz a tio n p a y m e n ts by C a n a d a rose to $181 m illio n in 1943 a n d a m o u n ted to $112 m illio n in 1944 a n d $151 m illio n in 1945. T h e to ta l f o r th e w a r y e a rs as a w hole w as $551 m illio n . T r a d in g in U n ite d S ta te s se cu ritie s w as sm all fro m 1940 th ro u g h 1944, re p u rc h a se s b y A m e ric a n re sid e n ts b e in g slig h tly g re a te r th a n p u rc h a se s by C a n a d ia n s. I n 1944, how ever, som e $50 m illio n o f lo n g te rm U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t se c u ritie s w ere p u rc h a se d n e a r m a tu r i ty a n d liq u id a te d in 1945, w h ich to g e th e r w ith o th e r liq u id a tio n s b ro u g h t n e t sales to th e U n ite d S ta te s in t h a t y e a r to $98 m illio n . T h e m ovem ent o f d ire c t in v e stm e n t c a p ita l d u r in g th e w a r y e ars w as n e g lig ib le ; th e m o st n o te w o rth y c han g e s o c cu rred in 1944, w hen sev eral sm all U n ite d S ta te s in v estm e n ts to ta lin g a b o u t $25 m illio n w e re liq u id a te d . O v e r th e p e rio d as a w hole, how ever, s u b s ta n tia l ch an g es in th e p o sitio n o f U n ite d S ta te s d ire c t in v estm e n ts o c cu rred , because o f th e re in v e stm e n t o f e arn in g s. O u tlo o k f o r U n ite d S ta te s -C a n a d a T r a n s a c tio n s C a n a d a ’s e x p an d e d in d u s tria l a n d a g r ic u ltu ra l econom y o p e ra te d in 1946 a t levels co m p arab le w ith th o se a tta in e d d u r in g th e w a r. E m p lo y m en t, incom e, a n d c o n su m p tio n re g a in e d m o st o f th e g ro u n d lo st w h e n w a r p ro d u c tio n slac ke ne d la te in 1944. G ross p r iv a te in v e s t m e n t in c o n stru c tio n a n d e q u ip m e n t o f $1.1 b illio n w as e qu a l to th e levels re ac h ed in 1940 a n d 1941 a n d w a s m o re th a n d o u b le t h a t o f 1938.32 I n fo re ig n tr a d e , e x p o rts a m o u n tin g to $2,312 m illio n exceeded a ll p re v io u s p eacetim e levels, w h ile im p o rts f o r c o n su m p tio n , a m o u n t in g to $1,859 m illio n , e stab lish e d a n a ll-tim e record. T h e p ro g re ss w h ich h a s been m ad e in th e in d u s tria l field a p p e a rs to be m a k in g its e lf f e lt u p o n C a n a d a ’s e x te rn a l tra d e . I t is sig n ifica n t t h a t in th e first f u ll y e a r o f peace th is in d u s tria liz a tio n w as accom p a n ie d b y th e g re a te s t inflow o f im p o rts in C a n a d ia n h isto ry , w h ile, o f its e x p o rts, 70 p e rc e n t c on sisted o f m a n u fa c tu re d a n d p a r tly processed goods, c o m p a re d w ith 60 p e rc e n t b e fo re th e w ar. T h e e x tr a o rd in a ry level o f econom ic a c tiv ity a n d tr a d e in 1946 w as n o t, how ever, w ith o u t its a tte n d a n t prob lem s. W ith h e av y d ependence u p o n th e U n ite d S ta te s f o r goods consum ed a t hom e, as w ell as fo r 32 D e p a r tm e n t o f T r a d e a n d C o m m e rc e , A c c o u n ts : In c o m e a n d E x p e n d itu r e , 1 9 3 8 -4 6 . 130 D o m in io n B u rea u of S ta tis tic s . N a tio n a l com p o n en ts o f m a te ria ls se n t a b ro a d , im p o rts fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s a m o u n te d to $1,460 m illio n — a lm o st 80 p e rc e n t o f th e to ta l a n d a p p ro x im a te ly equal to th e levels re a c h e d d u r in g th e w a r y ears. E x p o rts to th e U n ite d S ta te s, on th e o th e r h a n d , fe ll to $884 m illio n , o w ing p r in c ip a lly to th e d isco n tin u a n ce o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t p u rc h a sin g . T h u s , C a n a d a ’s tr a d e deficit w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s a m o u n te d to $576 m illio n , th e h ig h e st in h isto ry . S ervice tra n sa c tio n s, a c c o rd in g to p re lim in a ry e stim a te s, re s u lte d in a n a d d itio n a l C a n a d ia n deficit o f a p p ro x im a te ly $116 m illio n . T h e n e t flow on lo n g -te rm c a p ita l a cco u n t, in ste a d o f b e in g to w a r d C a n a d a as in th e p re c e d in g few y e a rs, w as to w a rd th e U n ite d S ta te s, to a sm all e x te n t. T h e rec o rd e d losses o f C a n a d ia n g o ld a n d d o lla rs to th e U n ite d S ta te s a m o u n te d to $441 m illio n . A lth o u g h th is w as a lm o st 30 p e rc e n t o f C a n a d a ’s h o ld in g s a t th e b e g in n in g o f 1946, th e losses w ere m iti g a te d by s u b s ta n tia l g o ld a n d d o lla r re c e ip ts fro m t h i r d c o u n trie s, p a r tic u la rly fro m th e U n ite d K in g d o m . H o w e v e r, C a n a d a ’s deficit w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s in th e first q u a rte r o f 1947 w as ru n n in g a t a h ig h e r r a te th a n in 1946. T o slow th e d w in d lin g o f d o lla r resources, C a n a d a m u st e ith e r r e duce im p o rts o r receive a la r g e r volum e fro m th e E u ro p e a n c o u n trie s, e sp e cia lly th e U n ite d K in g d o m , a n d fro m o th e r c o u n trie s to w h ich i t is e x p o rtin g on c re d it te rm s. T h e u tiliz a tio n o f C a n a d ia n e x p o rt c re d its a n d lo a n s in 1946 a m o u n te d to (C a n a d ia n ) $750 m illio n , o f w h ich th e U n ite d K in g d o m ’s s h a r e w as $540 m illio n . I n r e tu r n , C a n a d a ’s im p o rts fro m th e U n ite d K in g d o m w ere o n ly $130 m illio n a n d im p o rts fro m o th e r d e b to r c o u n trie s w ere o n ly $22 m illio n . M o re b a la n ce d tr a d e b etw een C a n a d a a n d th ese c o u n trie s w o u ld p ro b a b ly re d u ce C a n a d a ’s dep en d en ce u p o n th e U n ite d S ta te s, b u t, in view o f th e slow ness o f r e h a b ilita tio n in th e U n ite d K in g d o m a n d elsew here, as w ell as p ric e, q u a lity , a n d o th e r c o m p etitiv e b a rrie rs to im p o rts in to C a n a d a , no g r e a t im p ro v e m e n t can be foreseen in th e n e a r f u tu r e . T h e b e st so lu tio n w o u ld lie, o f course, in g r e a te r e x p o rts to th e U n ite d S ta te s. I f C a n a d ia n in d u strie s , p a rtic u la rly th e n ew ly d e ve l o p e d ones, c o u ld p a r tic ip a te to a la r g e r e x te n t in th e U n ite d S ta te s m a r k e t, th e p re se n t h ig h levels o f C a n a d ia n c on su m p tio n , in v estm e n t, a n d p ro d u c tio n f o r e x p o rt to o th e r fo r e ig n c o u n trie s c ou ld be m a in ta in e d . A t th e sam e tim e, how ever, a f u r th e r in crea se in th e volum e o f U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts m ig h t develop as h ig h e r incom es a n d in v e s t m e n t c re a te new d e m a n d s in C a n a d a. T r a n s a c t io n s W i t h t h e A m e r i c a n R e p u b l i c s T h e o u ts ta n d in g c h a ra c te ristic o f th e v a rio u s d evelopm ents o f tr a n s a ctio n s b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e 20 o th e r A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s 33 w as th e la rg e excess o f U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts o v er e x p o rts, a n d th e r e s u lta n t a cc u m u latio n o f g o ld a n d d o lla rs b y th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics. A n excess o f e x p o rts over im p o rts c h a ra c te riz e d th e tr a n s action s o f th e a re a w ith a ll th e re s t o f th e w o rld as w ell, so t h a t th e 33 T h e t e r m s “ A m e r ic a n R e p u b lic s ,” “ L a t i n A m e r ic a n R e p u b lic s ,” a n d “ L a t i n A m e r ic a ” a r e u s e d i n t e r c h a n g e a b l y in t h i s s e c t i o n t o m e a n t h e 2 0 i n d e p e n d e n t c o u n t r i e s o f t h e W e s te rn H e m is p h e re to th e s o u th o f th e U n ite d S ta te s . N o n e o f th e s e e x p re s sio n s , e x c e p t p e r h a p s “ L a t i n A m e r i c a n R e p u b l i c s ,” i s s t r i c t l y a c c u r a t e , b u t t h e y a r e a l l e m p lo y e d h e r e f o r t h e s a k e o f c o n v e n ie n c e a n d v a r ie ty . T h e 2 0 c o u n tr ie s a r e A r g e n tin a , B o liv ia , B ra z il, C h ile , C o lo m b ia , C o s t a R i c a , C u b a , D o m i n i c a n R e p u b l i c , E c u a d o r , G u a t e m a l a , H a i t i , H o n d u r a s , M e x ic o , N i c a r a g u a , P a n a m a , P a r a g u a y , P e r u , E l S a l v a d o r , U r u g u a y , a n d V e n e z u e la . 131 Tabl e 32.— T ra n sa c tio n s o f th e U n ited S ta te s ic ith th e A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 [In m illio n s of dollars] 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 I . R e c e ip ts , t o t a l ................ .......................................... - 1,088 1,415 1,214 1,457 1,903 2,101 A. G oo ds a n d se rv ic es, to t a l ............ ..................... . 1. G o o d s_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _____ __________ 2. In c o m e o n in v e s tm e n ts .___ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 3. O th e r s e r v ic e s ............ ........ .......................... B . U n ila te r a l tr a n sf e r s ___________ __________ C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, t o t a l _ __ __ __ __ __ ______ 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in v e s te d a b r o a d _____________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2. M o v e m e n ts of foreign c a p ita l in v e s te d in U n ite d S ta te s ......... ................ ................... 1,017 682 170 165 11 60 1,321 902 198 221 8 86 1,116 711 196 209 14 84 1,328 830 200 298 17 112 1,718 1,112 260 346 18 167 1,921 1,284 239 398 26 154 60 83 76 107 152 127 3 8 5 15 27 971 1,409 1, 602 2,073 2,415 2,428 891 670 10 211 12 68 1,356 1,076 9 271 15 38 1,443 1,166 8 269 61 98 1,763 1,445 8 310 199 111 2,065 1,726 8 331 289 61 2,108 1, 772 8 328 101 219 64 37 97 110 60 218 4 1 1 1 1 1 + 1 17 +6 -3 8 8 -6 1 6 -5 1 2 -3 2 7 A . G oo ds a n d s e rv ic e s ___ _____ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ B . U n i la tc r a l tr a il sfers _____ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ N e t goods a n d se rv ice s a n d u n ila te ra l tra n sfe rs . C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l................................ ............. + 1 26 -1 + 1 25 -8 -3 5 -7 -4 2 +48 -3 2 7 -4 7 -3 7 4 -1 4 -4 3 5 -1 8 2 -6 1 7 + i -3 4 7 -2 7 1 -6 1 8 + 106 -1 8 7 —75 -2 6 2 -6 5 IV . N e t inflow ( + ) o r o u tflo w ( —) of fu n d s o n gold a n d sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l a c c o u n t, to t a l _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ -2 2 -1 4 + 345 + 732 + 648 + 6 06 -1 2 2 + 473 It e m I I . P a y m e n ts , to t a l _________ ____ _ _______ _____ A . G oo d s a n d se rv ic es, to t a l ____ ____ _ ____ _ __ _ 1. G o o d s _______ __ _ _ _ _ _______ _________ 2. In c o m e o n in v e s tm e n ts __________ _____ 3. O th e r se rv ic e s............... .................. .............. B . U n ila te r a l tr a n sfe rs _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, t o t a l . . ............ ........ ......... . 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in v e ste d a b r o a d ------------------- ------ -------2. M o v e m e n ts of foreign c a p ita l in v e s te d in U n ite d S ta te s ______________________ I I I . E xc ess of re c e ip ts ( + ) o r p a y m e n ts ( —) , to t a l __ 1945 A . N e t U n ite d S ta te s g old sales ( + ) o r p u r c ha ses ( —) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ B . N e t m o v e m e n t of U n ite d S ta te s sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l a b r o a d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ C . N e t m o v e m e n t of foreign sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l in U n ite d S ta te s ............................ ................. +19 + 109 + 579 + 4 06 -6 -2 6 -1 0 —5 -3 6 -2 7 + 1 06 -7 + 2 52 + 158 + 278 + 160 V . E rr o rs , o m issio n s, a n d th ir d - c o u n tr y tr a n s a c tio n s .. -9 5 +8 +43 -1 1 6 -1 3 6 -2 7 9 a g g re g a te a c c u m u la tio n o f g o ld a n d f o r e ig n e xch an g e w a s la r g e r th a n th e a cc u m u latio n due to tra n sa c tio n s w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s alone. T h e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics h av e tr a d itio n a lly been e x p o rte rs o f p r o d u c ts o f th e e x tra c tiv e in d u s trie s— a g r ic u ltu re , live sto c k ra isin g , a n d m in in g . E x p o rts o f m a n u fa c tu re d goods (ex ce p t fo r m e a t a n d a few o th e r p ro d u c ts d ire c tly connected w ith p r im a r y in d u s try ) h a v e been n eg lig ib le. M oreov er, m o st o f th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics h a v e d e p e n d e d on only one o r tw o p ro d u c ts f o r th e b u lk o f th e ir e x p o rts. F o r ex am p le, in 1938 p e tro le u m a cc ou n ted f o r m o re th a n 90 p e rc e n t o f V en ez u e la ’s e x p o rts, a n d coffee f o r m o re th a n 80 p e rc e n t o f E l S a lv a d o r’s. I n 9 o f th e 20 A m eric an R ep u b lics, th e le a d in g e x p o r t acco u n ted f o r m ore th a n 50 p e rc e n t o f th e to ta l, a n d in 7 m o re th e tw o le a d in g e x p o rts to g e th e r acco u n ted f o r m ore th a n 50 p e rce n t. A s a consequence o f th is situ a tio n , th e volum e o f e x p o rts o f th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics h a s te n d e d to be even m o re se nsitive to cyclical flu c tu a tio n s th a n h a s w o rld tr a d e g e n e ra lly . T h e g r e a t d e pressio n o f th e 1930’s, d u r in g w h ic h p ric e s o f ra w m a te ria ls fe ll to u n p re c e d e n te d ly low levels, h a d c a ta stro p h ic effects on th e e x p o rts o f th ese c o u n tries. 132 V ■r T h e p ric e s o f m a n u fa c tu re d goods, o n th e o th e r h a n d , d id n o t f a ll to th e sam e e x te n t, a n d im p o rts in to th e A m eric an E e p u b lic s con siste d in th e m a in o f g o o d s in th is c ateg o ry . T h e r e s u lt w as t h a t d u r in g th e d ep ressio n p e rio d th e v a lu e o f e x p o rts fro m th e a re a te n d e d to f a ll m o re th a n th e v a lu e o f im p o rts in to it. I n “n o rm a l” tim es, th e A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s g e n e ra lly h a d a n e x p o rt su rp lu s w h ich , su p p le m en ted by som e fo re ig n le n d in g , w as sufficient to c om p en sate fo r th e c h a ra c te r is tic deficit o n th e in v isib le item s. T h e d o m in a n t item s in th is g ro u p w ere (a n d a re ) p a y m e n ts f o r tr a n s p o rta tio n services a n d p a y m e n ts o f incom e on in v estm en ts. T h e A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s’ in v estm e n ts a b ro a d w e re n e g lig ib le a n d th e ir m e rc h a n t m a rin e s re la tiv e ly sm all, so t h a t o u tp a y m e n ts f o r th ese services w ere h e av y , a n d a n e x p o rt su rp lu s w as n ecessary in o r d e r to co m p en sate fo r th em . T h e re la tiv e ly stee p e r decline in e x p o rts b r o u g h t a b o u t b y d e p res sion c o n d itio n s conseq u en tly p re se n te d th e A m eric an R ep u b lics w ith v e ry p r e ss in g b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts p rob lem s. T h e so lu tio n w h ic h m o st o f th em chose as th e e asiest w a y o u t w as e x ch an g e c o n tro l, d e sig n e d to a llo c ate th e red u c ed volum e o f a v ailab le fo re ig n e xch an ge in th e m o st d e sira b le w ay fro m th e p o in t o f view o f th e econom y as a w hole, a n d to red u ce th e d e m a n d f o r e xch an g e in s o fa r as possible. H o w e v e r u n d e sira b le su ch c o n tro ls m a y be u n d e r h a p p ie r c ircu m stan ces, a t th e tim e i t w as p ro b a b ly th e o n ly p r a c tic a b le choice f o r m o st o f th e c o u n trie s concerned. I f d e pressio n c o n d itio n s w ere esp e cially u n f a v o ra b le to econom ies o f th e ty p e w h ich p re v a ils in L a tin A m e ric a, w a r c o n d itio n s te n d e d to be esp e cially fa v o ra b le. T h e d e m a n d o f th e c h ie f b e llig e re n t n a tio n s, a n d o f th e U n ite d S ta te s in p a r tic u la r , fo r ra w m a te ria ls es se n tia l to w a r p r o d u c tio n w as a lm o st in sa tia b le d u r in g th e w a r y e a r s ; a n d as th e conflict d re w to a close, w o rld d e m a n d f o r foo d stu ffs a n d fee dstu ffs fro m th e W e s te rn H e m isp h e re w as also g re a tly in crea se d as th e re s u lt o f th e d is ru p tio n o f a g ric u ltu ra l p r o d u c tio n in th e w a rd e v a sta te d reg ions. T h e fa v o ra b le effects o f w a r d ev e lo p m e n ts on th e b a la n ce -o f-p ay m e n ts p o s itio n o f th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics a re d ra m a tic a lly d e m o n s tra te d by ta b le 33, sh o w in g th e re p o rte d g o ld a n d fo reig n -ex c h a n g e h o ld in g s o f th e 20 A m e ric a n R ep u b lics, 1941-45. T h e S itu a tio n in 1 9 4 0 E v e n w ith re sp e c t to th e ir tra n sa c tio n s w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s , how ever, th e re a l tr a n s itio n fro m a “n o rm a l” b a sis to th e new w a r fo o tin g cam e a b o u t b etw een 1940 a n d 1941. I n th e y e a r 1940, a lth o u g h th e w a r in E u ro p e w as w ell u n d e r w ay a n d th e U n ite d S ta te s w as b e g in n in g to a rm u n d e r its d efen se p ro g ra m , th e f u ll im p a c t o f th ese even ts on L a tin A m eric an tra n sa c tio n s w ith o th e r c o un tries, e specially w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s, h a d n o t y e t m a d e its e lf fe lt. T h e re w as, i t is tr u e , som e in crease in m o st o f th e la r g e r item s e n te rin g in to o u r tr a n s a c tio n s w ith L a tin A m eric a, b u t a p p a re n tly b o th re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts on th ese v a rio u s accoun ts rose in m u ch th e sam e p ro p o rtio n , leav in g th e g e n e ra l s tru c tu re o f th e b a la n c e o f p a y m en ts v e ry m u ch th e sam e as i t h a d been in th e im m e d ia te p re w a r y ears. 133 Tabl e 33.—R e p o rte d g ro ss g o ld a n d exc h a n g e h o ld in g s o f th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics, [In m illio n s of dollars] A s of D e c . 31 C o u n tr y 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 T o t a l ........... ........................................................ 1,070.0 1,693.6 2,888. 5 3,808.1 4,385.0 A r g e n tin a ------------------------ ---------------------------B o liv ia _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _____ ______ ________ ____ B r a z il_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ - ........ C h ile __________ ____ _____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __________ C o lo m b ia .......................................... .......... . ........... . C o s ta R ic a ........... . ........— _____ ______________ C u b a _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ ________________ . . D o m in ic a n R e p u b lic _____ _____ _____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ■ Ecuador_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __________ ____ E l S a lv a d o r.............. .................................... . G u a te m a la ------------------- ------ -------------------------H a i t i ________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ H o n d u r a s . ____ _________ _____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ M e x ic o ---- ------- ------- --------- ----------------- -------- N ic a r a g u a .......... .............. ........ .................................... P a n a m a 2_.______ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ P a r a g u a y ........... ............ ................ ......... ........ ........... P e r u _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _ U r u g u a y _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _____ ____ V e n e z u e la . ______ _____ ____ ____ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ 459.2 15.7 146.9 45.4 22.5 2 .7 67.9 5 .7 7 .8 8 .2 13.2 4 .8 1.3 53.0 1.9 27.0 2 .5 27.4 103.7 53.0 624.3 19.3 267.6 59.6 61.8 10.1 205. 9 8.7 17.2 17.4 23.8 5 .9 4.1 104.0 4.7 28.8 5.9 39.1 95.7 89.7 1,136. 6 19.0 538.3 87.8 113.3 15. 9 263.6 12.1 29.1 25.3 30.3 7 .9 3 .9 250.0 7.4 47.8 8.6 46.5 129.8 115.2 1,434.7 21.4 663.4 116.3 158.2 14.2 462.6 11.5 36.2 28.1 31.1 9 .0 9 .6 300.0 6.7 80.4 9 .4 46.9 207.4 161.0 1,703.6 34.2 669.2 125.6 176.8 9.1 553.5 11.5 33.2 31.3 38.0 11.8 15.5 i 376.0 6.7 61.0 10.3 48.7 228.9 240. 2 1 A ug . 31, 1945. 2 A ll figure s a re for J u n e 30 a n d in c lu d e U n ite d S ta te s c u rre n c y in c irc u la tio n a n d h e ld b y b a n k s a n d fo r e ig n d e p o sits of b a n k s . S ou rc e: U . S. D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e rc e , Office o f I n te r n a ti o n a l T ra d e . to to ta ls b e c au se o f ro u n d in g . Not e.—D e ta il w il l n o t n e c e ssa rily a d d M e r c h a n d is e T rade in B a la n c e M e rc h a n d ise tr a d e betw een th e tw o a re a s in 1940 w as re la tiv e ly b a la n c ed , e x p o rts o f th e U n ite d S ta te s b e in g v a lu e d a t $682 m illio n a n d im p o rts a t a b o u t $670 m illio n . I n th e im m e d iate ly p re c e d in g y ears, m erc h a n d ise -tra d e tra n sa c tio n s h a d re s u lte d in su rp lu se s f o r th e U n ite d S ta te s, b u t th is s ta te o f a ffa irs w as a c o m p a ra tiv e ly new d e ve l o p m en t. P r i o r to 1938, th e U n ite d S ta te s, lik e th e re s t o f th e w o rld , h a d u su ally im p o rte d so m e w h a t m o re fro m th e a re a as a w hole th a n i t h a d e x po rte d to it. T h e new s itu a tio n a p p a re n tly aro se as a co n sequence o f th e b usiness recession o f 1938, w h ich w as c o nsid e ra b ly m ore severe in th is c o u n try th a n elsew here. A s a lre a d y m en tio n ed , b o th o u r im p o rts a n d o u r e x p o rts rose m o d e ra te ly in 1940, th e in crease in im p o rts b e in g so m e w h a t g re a te r th a n th e in crea se in e x p o rts b u t n o t e n o u g h to w ip e o u t th e su rp lu s c om p letely a n d re s to re th e m o re u su al re la tio n sh ip . I n v is ib le Ite m s Y ie ld a S u r p lu s T h e 1940 su rp lu s on a cc ou n t o f in v isible, o r service, item s w as $114 m illio n . T h is su rp lu s w a s p r im a r ily a ttrib u ta b le to th e v e ry h e av y n e t re c e ip ts o f in v e s tm e n t incom e, w h ic h in t h a t y e a r re ac h ed $160 m illio n . A deficit o f $46 m illio n w as in c u rre d on th e o th e r service item s. T h e se o th e r services c on sist o f fre ig h t, sh ip p in g , a n d p a sse n g e r-fa re c h arg e s, tra v e l e x p e n d itu re s, a n d a h o st o f sm all accoun ts c o n v e n tio n a lly lu m p e d to g e th e r as m iscellaneous services. I n th e p a r tic u la r case o f L a tin A m eric a, b o th th e tr a n s p o rta tio n a cc o u n t a n d th e tra v e l ac c o u n t w ere im p o rta n t, a lth o u g h th e seem in g im p o rta n c e o f th e tra v e l a cc o u n t is de ce ptive in re la tio n to th e a re a as a w hole, since th e b u lk 134 o f tr a v e l tr a n s a c tio n s to o k p lac e b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d one L a tin A m eric an c o u n try , M exico. A m e ric a n tra v e le rs sp e n d m u ch la r g e r sum s in a ll th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics th a n do re sid e n ts o f th o se c o u n trie s here. I n 1940, tr a v e l re c e ip ts fro m a ll L a tin A m e ric a n c o u n trie s w ere e stim ate d a t $39 m il lio n , a n d p a y m e n ts a t $84 m illio n . T h e M ex ican sh a re in th ese a m o u n ts w as $31 m illio n on th e re c e ip ts side a n d $57 m illio n on th e p a y m e n ts side. R e c eip ts on a c c o u n t o f tr a n s p o rta tio n services w ere o n ly s lig h tly in excess o f p a y m e n ts in 1940. T h is m ay h a v e been fa irly ty p ic a l o f th e p eacetim e p a tte rn . I t sh o u ld be rem em bered, how ever, t h a t th e situ a tio n v a rie d g re a tly fro m one in d iv id u a l L a tin A m e ric a n c o u n try to a n o th e r. W ith re sp e c t to a n u m b e r o f c o u n trie s w hose vessels r e ceive a la rg e p ro p o rtio n o f o u r to ta l tr a n s p o rta tio n p a y m e n ts (e. g., P a n a m a a n d H o n d u r a s ) , th o se p a y m e n ts w ere in effect p a r tia lly offset by re c e ip ts o f in v e stm e n t incom e fro m th e s h ip p in g com p anies in volved, w h ich a re la rg e ly A m erican -o w n ed . A s a r e s u lt o f a ll tr a n s a c tio n s in goods a n d services, o u r rec e ip ts fro m th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics w ere in th e n e ig h b o rh o o d o f $1,017 m illio n a n d p a y m e n ts w ere a b o u t $891 m illio n , le a v in g a s u rp lu s on su ch tra n sa c tio n s o f som e $126 m illio n to be se ttle d in o th e r w ays. N et L o n g -T e r m C a p ita l M o v em en ts S m a ll T o a v e ry sm a ll e x te n t, th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics d id fin d a d d itio n a l sources o f U n ite d S ta te s d o lla rs th ro u g h lo n g -te rm b o rro w in g . T h e f u n d s cam e fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t th ro u g h th e E x p o rtI m p o r t B an k . I n 1940 th is in s titu tio n a u th o riz e d lo an s— to A rg e n tin a , B ra z il, C olom bia, P e r u , U ru g u a y , a n d C h ile— to ta lin g $168 m il lion. B u t o n ly a sm all p ro p o rtio n o f these c re d its, a b o u t $19 m illio n , w as a c tu a lly d isb u rse d in 1940; a n d m o st o f th e re m a in in g b alan ce h e ld w as su b seq u en tly canceled (see p. 95). T h e n e t flow o f p r iv a te c a p ita l w as to w a rd th e U n ite d S ta te s, how ever, so t h a t th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics d e riv e d o n ly $8 m illio n n e t fro m a ll lo n g -te rm c a p ita l tr a n s a c tio n s ta k e n as a g ro u p . T h ir d -C o u n tr y T r a n sa c tio n s and th e R e s id u a l I te m T h e n e t outflow o f f u n d s fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s on acco u n t o f g o ld a n d s h o rt-te rm c a p ita l m ovem ents com b ined w as o n ly $22 m illio n — a n a m o u n t w h ich fa lls s h o rt b y $95 m illio n o f e q u a lin g th e excess o f L a tin A m e ric a n p a y m e n ts to th e U n ite d S tate s. I t h a s a lre a d y been n o te d t h a t in th e case o f a b ila te ra l b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts th e r e is no necessity , as th e re is f o r a g lo b a l sta te m e n t, t h a t th e so -called “b a la n c in g ite m ” (i. e., g o ld a n d s h o rt- te rm c a p ita l m ove m en ts) cancel o u t th e excess o f re c e ip ts o r p a y m e n ts re s u ltin g fro m o th e r tra n s a c tio n s. I n th e p re se n t case, th e re s id u a l ite m o f $95 m illio n m a y be due e ith e r to a n u n d e re stim a te o f U n ite d S ta te s p a y m e n ts to L a tin A m e ric a , to a n o v e re stim ate o f U n ite d S ta te s re c e ip ts fro m L a tin A m e ric a, o r to th e fa c t t h a t th e L a tin A m eric an c o u n trie s d e riv e d n e t re c e ip ts fro m o th e r c o u n trie s w h ich th e y used to cover th e ir d eficit w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s.34 S till a n o th e r p o ssib ility is th a t 34 I f , f o r e x a m p le , A r g e n t i n a s e t t l e s i t s d e f i c i t v is - à - v i s t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s b y d r a w i n g o n d o l l a r s h e l d b y t h e U n i t e d K i n g d o m , w h i c h l a t t e r c o u n t r y i n t u r n h a s a d e f i c i t v is - à - v i s A r g e n tin a , th e t r a n s a c ti o n w ill a p p e a r a s o n e b e tw e e n th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e U n ite d K in g d o m i n s t e a d o f b e t w e e n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s a n d A r g e n t i n a — i. e ., U n i t e d K in g d o m d o l l a r b a la n c e s w ill b e d r a w n d o w n r a t h e r t h a n A r g e n tin a d o lla r b a la n c e s . 135 th e L a tin A m e ric a n “re c e ip ts” o f d o lla rs fro m th ir d c o u n trie s m ay h av e com e a b o u t n o t in d ire c tly , fro m th e b u ild in g u p o f b alan c es as a re s u lt o f tr a d e o r service tra n sa c tio n s, b u t d ire c tly , fro m th e tr a n s f e r o f d o lla r ba la nc es fro m th ird -c o u n try to L a tin A m e ric a n o w n e rsh ip th ro u g h a sim p le c h a n g e in residence o f th e h o ld e rs o f th e balances. T h is m ay h av e h a p p e n e d in 1940 on a f a ir ly e xtensive scale. T h e W a r P e r io d , 1 9 4 1 - 4 4 I n 1941, th e e x p a n sio n ist effect o f th e w a r on o u r tr a d e w ith th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics b e g a n to be a p p a re n t. D u r in g th is y e a r, th e U n ite d S ta te s w as p la y in g in e a r n e st its ro le o f “A rse n a l o f D em oc ra c y .” T h e ste p p in g -u p o f p ro d u c tio n f o r o u r ow n d e fen se a n d f o r a id to B r ita in re q u ire d g re a tly in c rea se d im p o rts o f stra te g ic m a te ria ls a n d o f ra w m a te r ia ls in g e n e ra l. T h e A m eric an R ep u b lics, b e in g a m o n g th e w o rld ’s g re a te s t storeho uses o f su ch m a te r ia ls (o th e r th a n th e basic m in e ra ls, iro n a n d c o a l) , benefited g re a tly fro m th is e x p a n d e d im p o r t p ro g ra m . Im p o rts R is e U n ite d S ta te s p a y m e n ts to L a tin A m eric a on a cc ou n t o f m e rc h an d ise tr a d e w e n t u p fro m $670 m illio n i n 1940 to $1,075 m illio n in 1941, a n in crea se o f 61 p e rce n t. T h o u g h im p o rts c o n tin u e d to g ro w y e a r b y y e a r th ro u g h o u t th e w a r y e ars, in c lu d in g 1945, th is w as b y f a r th e la rg e s t a n n u a l in crease, b o th re la tiv e ly a n d ab so lutely . I n te rm s o f volum e, fu rth e rm o re , c o m p a ra tiv e ly little in crea se o c cu rre d aftejr 1941; in 1942, in d ee d , w h e n th e s h ip p in g sh o rta g e w as p a r tic u la r ly a cu te, im p o rt volum e fe ll off h e av ily . T h e co n tin u o u s ris e in im p o rt v alu es a f te r 1941 a p p e a rs to b e due m a in ly (in som e y e a rs p e rh a p s e n tire ly ) to ris in g im p o rt p rices. A s w o u ld be e xpected, th e re w as a s h if t in th e co m p o sitio n o f im p o rts to w a rd m a te r ia ls e ssen tia l f o r w a r p ro d u c tio n . T h e g re a te r d e g ree o f c o n c e n tra tio n on such com m odities w as o bservable th ro u g h o u t th e w a r y e ars, b u t w as e sp ecially m a rk e d in th e c ritic a l y e a r 1942, w h en th e s h ip p in g sh o rta g e m a d e i t im p e ra tiv e to confine im p o rts as f a r as possib le to th e e sse n tial categ o ry . I n t h a t y e a r, th re e -fifth s b y v a lu e o f o u r im p o rts fro m th e A m eric an R ep u b lics w ere classified a s s t r a te g ic o r c ritic a l m a te ria ls, c o m p are d w ith o n ly 46 p e rc e n t in 1939. M oreo v er, since E u ro p e a n a n d A sia tic sources o f th ese m a te ria ls h a d b een la rg e ly c u t off, th e L a tin A m eric an sh are in o u r g lo b a l im p o rts o f th ese com m o d ities also in crea se d . A f te r 1942, im p o rts fro m th e r e g io n b e g a n to in crease once m ore, n o t o n ly because o f th e e asin g o f th e sh ip p in g situ a tio n b u t also because p ro g ra m s b e g u n in t h a t y e a r f o r in c re a sin g p ro d u c tio n o f ru b b e r a n d m a n y o th e r stra te g ic a n d c ritic a l m a te r ia ls g o t w ell u n d e r w ay o n ly in la te r y ears. R is e in E x p o r ts L ess M arked T h e rise in U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts to L a tin A m eric a w as m u ch m o re m o d e ra te d u r in g th is p e rio d . T h e v a lu e o f e x p o rts in 1941 w as 32 p e rc e n t h ig h e r th a n in 1940, b u t in 1942 i t w as 20 p e rc e n t lo w er th a n in 1941. T h is d ro p c o rresp o n d e d to a p re c ip ito u s decline o f a b o u t onet h i r d in e x p o rt volum e, w h ich w as below th e volum e w h ich h a d been re ac h ed in 1940. T h e v a lu e o f e x p o rts d id n o t re a c h th e 1941 level even in 1943. B y 1944 i t h a d ad v a n c ed c o n sid erab ly b eyon d th e 1941 level, how ever. 136 T h e p rin c ip a l rea so n f o r th e sm a ll in crea se in U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts, c o m p are d w ith th e in crease in im p o rts, w as th e ti g h t su p p ly s itu a tio n f o r m a n y o f th e m a n u fa c tu re d g oods w h ich c o n stitu te th e g re a te r p a r t o f o u r e x p o rts to th e a rea . A s m en tio n ed elsew here,35 a lice n sin g sy stem w as in s titu te d f o r a ll e x p o rts, in o r d e r to c u rta il th e ir volum e a n d to r a tio n e q u ita b ly th e p e rm itte d q u a n tity . A d e lib e ra te effort w a s m a d e in m a n y in sta n c es to su p p ly th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics w ith m a n y scarce com m odities, le st th e ir econom ies collapse a lto g e th e r; ne ve rth e le ss, i t w as o fte n n o t possible to m a in ta in e x p o rts even a t p r e w a r levels, le t alone to m eet th e v a stly e x p a n d e d L a tin A m e ric a n d em and. O ne r e s u lt o f th is sca rc ity o f m a n u fa c tu re d g oods w h ich w ill d o u b t less p ro v e beneficial to th ese c o u n trie s in th e lo n g r u n w as th e e x p a n sio n o f d om estic m a n u fa c tu rin g in d u s trie s. B ra z il— to ta k e a p a r tic u la r ly s trik in g exam ple— b u ilt u p its c o tto n te x tile in d u s try to th e p o in t w h e re i t w as ab le n o t o n ly to su p p ly th e hom e m a rk e t b u t in a d d itio n to e x p o rt to o th e r c o u n trie s w hose n o rm a l sources o f su p p ly h a d also been c u t off. D e velo p m en ts o f th is s o rt in t u r n le d to a g r e a t e x p a n sio n o f tr a d e a m o n g th e L a tin A m eric an R ep u b lics, them selves. I t is h a r d ly a n e x a g g e ra tio n to sa y t h a t in te r- L a tin A m e ric a n tr a d e w as n o n e x iste n t b e fo re th e w a r, w ith th e e x cep tio n o f a few p a irs o f c o ntig u o u s c o u n trie s, like A rg e n tin a a n d P a r a g u a y , C hile a n d P e ru , o r M exico a n d G u a te m a la . I n 1940 im p o rts o f th e A m e ric a n R e p u b lics fro m one a n o th e r w ere o n ly a little m o re th a n o n e -te n th o f th e ir to ta l im p o rts ; by 1944 th is fra c tio n h a d rise n to a b ou t o n e -fo u rth . M e x ic o and P anam a E x p e rie n c e D e fic its W h ile a h e a v y deficit on m e rc h a n d is e -tra d e tra n sa c tio n s c h a ra c te r ized o u r a cc ou n t w ith th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics as a g ro u p , o u r tr a d e b a la n ce w a s n o t n e g a tiv e w ith e very c o u n try in d iv id u a lly (see ta b le 3 4 ). T h e c h ie f ex cep tio n s w ere M exico a n d P a n a m a . U n ite d S ta te s tr a d e tr a n s a c tio n s w ith M exico re s u lte d in fa irly su b s ta n tia l su rp lu ses in e v ery y e a r except 1943. I n co m p en sation , how ever, th e re w ere n e t U n ite d S ta te s p a y m e n ts to M exico on c e rta in o th e r acco u n ts (e. g., tr a v e l a n d p e rso n a l re m itta n c e s) to a n e x te n t t h a t d id n o t e x ist in connection w ith o th e r L a tin A m eric an countries. T h e existen ce o f th e P a n a m a C a n a l Zone p u ts th e R e p u b lic of P a n a m a in a v e ry sp ecial b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts situ a tio n vis-à-vis th e U n ite d S ta te s. P a n a m a a lw a y s h a d a n enorm o us deficit on rec o rd e d m e rc h a n d ise -tra d e tra n sa c tio n s w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s, a n d no chan ge in th e s itu a tio n o c cu rred d u r in g th e w a r y e a rs, e x ce p t f o r ro u g h ly p ro p o rtio n a te increases in b o th im p o rts a n d e x p o rts. T h is tr a d e d eficit w as offset by la rg e n e t re c e ip ts on service tr a n s a c tio n s w ith th e Zone. A la rg e p a r t o f th ese “services” a c tu a lly c on sisted o f u n re c o rd ed e x p o rts o f m e rc h a n d ise to th e Zone, th ro u g h p u rc h a se s b y Zone re sid e n ts in P a n a m a n ia n sh ops, a n d s im ila r tra n sa c tio n s. I n a d d i tio n , th e re a re la rg e U n ite d S ta te s p a y m e n ts o f w ages a n d sa la rie s to p e rso n s w ho re sid e in P a n a m a b u t w o rk in th e Zone. I t is believed t h a t b y th ese m eans P a n a m a d u r in g th e y e a rs 1940-45 m ore th a n off set its tr a d e deficits w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s, a n d in fa c t h a d sizable su rp lu ses on c u rre n t a cco u n t.36 85 S e e p . 1 7 . 3° W e a r e i n d e b t e d f o r m u c h i n f o r m a t i o n o n P a n a m a - U n i t e d S t a t e s t r a n s a c t i o n s t o a v e ry v a lu a b le u n p u b lis h e d s tu d y o f th e s u b je c t m a d e by F in d le y W e a v e r, o f th e U n ite d S ta te s F o r e ig n S e rv ic e . 7 6 9 1 5 5 -4 8 - -10 137 Tabl e 34.— U n ite d S t a te s tr a d e w it h th e A m e r ic a n R e p u b lic s : e x p o r ts , in c lu d in g r e e x p o r ts , a n d g e n e r a l im p o r ts o f m e r c h a n d is e , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 [In m illio n s of dollars] 1941 1940 1942 C o u n tr y E x p o rts T o ta l_______________ A r g e n ti n a ________ ____ _ __ _ B o liv ia -------- ------------- -----B ra z il___________________ C h i l e . . . , ___ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ C o lo m b ia ___________ ____ C o s ta R ic a ........ ....................... C u b a . . _____ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ D o m in ic a n R e p u b li c . ......... . E c u a d o r _________________ E l S a lv a d o r................... ..... G u a te m a la _______________ H a iti . . . ______ ____ _ _ _ _ _ H o n d u ra s_____________ . . . M e x ic o __________________ N ic a ra g u a _______ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ P a n a m a _____________ . . . P a r a g u a y __ ____ _________ P e r u ___ _________ ____ U r u g u a y ........... ......... ............. V e n e z ue la ................... ........... Im p o r ts E x p o rts Im p o r ts E x p o rts Im p o r ts 683 619 902 1,008 718 977 107 8 111 43 52 12 85 7 6 5 9 5 7 97 6 19 1 23 11 69 83 6 105 65 48 4 105 5 5 7 11 4 9 76 3 4 2 18 18 42 109 12 148 58 66 13 126 9 8 6 11 6 9 159 9 35 1 32 18 68 167 27 184 112 53 9 181 10 7 7 13 7 9 98 3 5 3 24 40 49 72 11 105 41 30 7 133 9 9 6 9 5 6 148 4 28 2 28 17 47 150 26 165 140 78 6 161 8 9 12 15 6 5 124 5 3 3 21 21 20 1943 1944 1945 C o u n tr y E x p o rts .. 813 A r g e n ti n a ........................ ........ B o liv ia . ............................. ...... B r a z il .____ _________ _ __ _ C h ile ________ _ _ _ _ _ ______ C o lo m b ia ______ _ __ . . . C o sta R ic a ____ _ __ _ _______ C u b a _____ ____ _________ D o m in ic a n R e p u b li c ______ E c u a d o r _________________ E l S a lv a d o r................ ............. G u a te m a la __________ ___ H a i t i ___ ____ _____ _______ H o n d u r a s _______ . . . _ _ _ M e x ic o ____________ . ... N ic a ra g u a _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ P a n a m a _____________ ____ P a ra g u a y _________________ P e r u ___ _ _ _ _ _ _____ ____ _ U r u g u a y ........ ........................ V e n e z u e la _ _ _ _ ___ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ T o t a l ______ ____ _ 32 14 156 43 46 11 134 12 11 7 10 7 6 186 7 35 2 34 14 45 Im p o r ts 1,319 145 32 228 141 98 9 292 12 14 14 16 8 5 192 5 2 426 49 26 E x p o rts Im p o rts E x p o rts Im p o rts 1,055 1,594 1,257 1,623 29 12 218 52 60 13 167 14 14 7 11 9 9 264 7 23 2 37 19 87 177 39 293 154 105 8 387 17 15 14 18 12 7 204 6 2 4 30 48 54 39 14 219 52 88 16 196 19 15 3 15 10 10 309 8 34 3 42 29 137 170 28 311 137 103 11 338 14 14 17 24 16 9 231 5 3 6 34 66 87 Not e—De ta il w ill n o t n e c e ssarily a d d to to ta ls , b e c a u se of ro u n d in g . S ourc e: U . S . D e p a r tm e n t of C o m m e rce , B u r e a u of th e C e n su s. U n ite d S ta te s In v e stm e n ts P rosp er T h e g re a tly e x p a n d e d d e m a n d f o r th e m in e ra l a n d a g ric u ltu ra l p ro d u c ts o f th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics—-and th e in fla tio n w h ic h u su a lly re s u lte d fro m th e influx o f fo re ig n m oney— n a tu r a lly b r o u g h t fin a n cial p ro s p e rity to business e n te rp ris e s lo ca te d in th e A m e ric a n R e p u b lics. A s a consequence, re m itta n c e s o f in te re st a n d d iv id e n d s to fo re ig n o w n ers o r c re d ito rs o f th o se e n te rp rise s in crea se d , in sp ite o f th e re s tric tio n s im posed by som e L a tin A m eric an c o u n trie s on th e tr a n s f e r o f in v e s tm e n t incom e. J u s t as in th e case o f m erch a n d ise tr a d e , th e re w as a sh a rp u p w a rd m ovem ent b etw een 19-1-0 a n d 1941, U n ite d S ta te s re c e ip ts o f incom e on in v e stm e n ts ris in g fro m $170 138 m illio n to $198 m illio n , o r 16 p e rce n t. In v e stm e n t incom e re m ain e d a p p ro x im a te ly stab le a t th is level th ro u g h 1942 a n d 1948, b u t sh o t u p in 1944, p r im a r ily as a re s u lt o f in crea se d incom e o f A m e ric an ow ned p e tro le u m com panies. T h e in crea se in in v e stm e n t incom e is a ttr ib u ta b le e n tire ly to th e p ro fits o f U n ite d S ta te s d ire c t in v e stm e n t. I n te r e s t on d o lla r b on ds d id n o t rise— on th e c o n tra ry i t fe ll d u r in g th e la tte r p a r t o f th e p e rio d as v a rio u s b o n d issues w ere red eem ed o r o th e rw ise r e p a tr ia te d w ith o u t a n e q u iv ale n t volum e o f new issues ta k in g th e ir place. R ec eip ts o f in te re st on G o v e rn m en t ( E x p o r t- I m p o r t B a n k ) lo an s to L a tin A m e ric a h av e v a rie d w ith th e B a n k ’s e x p a n d in g o r c o n tr a c t in g lo an p ro g ra m , w h ich w as a t its pre-1945 h e ig h t in 1943. T h e sum s in v o lv ed in th ese in te re s t re c e ip ts w ere sm all, n e v e r r u n n in g h ig h e r th a n $4 m illio n p e r a n nu m . P a y m e n ts to L a tin A m eric a on a cc ou n t o f in te re s t a n d d iv id e n d s h av e n e v e r been o f m a jo r significance, a n d th e y te n d e d to decline d u r in g th e w a r y e ars. O th e r P r iv a te S e r v ic e T r a n sa c tio n s J u s t as c om m o d ity p ric e s in c rea se d d u r in g th e w a r y e ars, so d id th e “ p ric e s” o f tr a n s p o rta tio n services— a p h e n o m e no n w h ic h led to g re a t in crea se s in e x p e n d itu re s on tra n s p o rta tio n services. T h is f a c to r alo n e w o u ld h av e b ro u g h t a b o u t p a ra lle l c han ges in b o th re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts, le a v in g th e n e t b alan ce, w h ich h a d been sm all in 1940, a lm o st u n c h an g e d . I n re a lity , how ever, o th e r fa c to rs cam e in to o p e r a tio n (see p. 4 9 ), as a re s u lt o f w h ich o u r p a y m e n ts to L a tin A m eric a a c tu a lly fell d u r in g th is p e rio d . T h e y rea c h e d a low p o in t in 1942 o f less th a n tw o -th ir d s o f w h a t th e y h a d been in 1940, a n d n o t u n til 1944 d id th e y p a ss th e 1940 level. R ec eip ts, on th e o th e r h a n d , rose stea d ily in e very y e a r except 1942, w hen th e y declined c o n c o m itan tly w ith th e m e rc h a n d is e -tra d e de cline o f t h a t y e a r. B y 1944, U n ite d S ta te s r e c eip ts on a cc o u n t o f tr a n s p o rta tio n services h a d rise n to m o re th a n $200 m illio n , o r 220 p e rc e n t o f th e 1940 receipts. T h e tra v e l p ic tu re re m a in e d c o m p a ra tiv e ly s ta tic d u r in g th e w a r y e ars. T h e new p ro s p e rity o f 1941 b ro u g h t a s p u r t in tr a v e l p ay m e n ts, w h ich to ta le d a lm o st $100 m illio n , b u t in th e n e x t y e a r tr a v e l re s tric tio n s (esp ec ia lly g a so lin e r a tio n in g ) c o u n te ra c te d th e influence o f h ig h incom es in th is c o u n try a n d tr a v e l p a y m e n ts d r o p p e d a b ru p tly . T h e re a fte r, th e y g ra d u a lly re c o v e re d ; in 1943 th e y w ere a p p ro x i m ate ly eq u al to th e 1940 fig u re o f $84 m illio n , a n d in 1944 so m ew h at above it. R ec eip ts v a rie d o n ly b etw een a h ig h o f $39 m illio n a n d a low o f $33 m illio n . A s in th e p a st, m o st o f th ese tra v e l tr a n s a c tio n s to o k p lac e betw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d M exico. * G overnm ent S e r v ic e P a y m en ts E xpanded I n c o n tr a st w ith th e b e h a v io r o f p a y m e n ts fo r services by p riv a te p erso n s, U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t p a y m e n ts to L a tin A m eric a fo r v a rio u s k in d s o f services in crea se d g re a tly . T h e se c on sisted o f m ili ta r y e x p e n d itu re s a n d o f e x p a n d e d o u tla y s by c iv ilia n agencies f o r v a rio u s p r o g ra m s connected w ith th e w a r (in c lu d in g w o rk on th e P a n -A m e ric a n H ig h w a y ). T h e a m o u n ts in v o lv ed in th is acco u n t w ere sm a ll by co m p ariso n w ith th e c o rre sp o n d in g fig u res f o r o th e r a reas, because th e A m eric an R ep u b lics w ere n o t th e scene o f a n y larg escale fig h tin g . S till, G o v e rn m en t e x p e n d itu re s fo r services re n d e re d 139 b y L a tin A m eric an s w ere m ore th a n $125 m illio n in each o f th e y e ars 1942,1943, a n d 1944. R e c eip ts f o r services re n d e re d b y th is G o v e rn m en t to th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics also rose as a consequence o f v a rio u s w a r-in sp ire d a c tiv ities, b u t n o t as m uch as d id p a y m e n ts ; n e t p a y m e n ts conseq u en tly w e n t up. M oreov er, a c on sid e ra ble p a r t o f o u r “re c e ip ts” a c tu a lly c on sisted o f services re n d e re d g r a tis — i. e., th e re c e ip ts a re offset b y e q u iv a le n t a m o u n ts o f u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e rs in th e b a la n ce -o f-p ay m e n ’t s state m e n t. R o le of L e n d -L e a se N ot D o m in a tin g W h ile u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e rs becam e m u ch m o re sig n ific a n t a f te r 1940 th a n th e y h a d b een p re v io u sly , th e y n e v e r a ssum ed th e p re d o m in a n t sta tu s t h a t th e y d id in o u r tr a n s a c tio n s w ith m a n y o th e r a re as. T h is a g a in is tra c e a b le to th e fa c t t h a t L a tin A m e ric a w as n o t a b a ttle g r o u n d , a n d conseq u en tly its needs f o r m ilita ry e q u ip m en t w ere lim ite d in c o m p a riso n w ith th o se o f E u ro p e a n a n d A sia tic c ou n tries. N evertheless, th e A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s w ere in v o lv ed in th e w a r ; m a n y o f th e m h a d d e cla re d w a r on th e A x is P o w e rs a n d th e re m a in d e r h a d b ro k e n re la tio n s w ith th em . T h e p ro b lem o f th e defense o f th e A m eric as w as u rg e n t— b o th f o r its ow n sake a n d because o f its con n e ctio n s w ith th e d efen se o f th e U n ite d S ta te s p ro p e r. T h e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics d id th e re fo re receive co n sid e ra b le q u a n ti tie s o f lend-lease goods a n d services necessary f o r b u ild in g u p th e se c u rity o f th e W e s te rn H e m isp h e re. D u rin g th e 3 y e ars 1942-44, tr a n s f e rs o f len d -le ase m a te ria ls to th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics on a n o n re im b u rsa b le b a sis w ere e stim a te d a t $235 m illio n . I n a d d itio n , th e re w e re $93 m illio n in n o n re im b u rsa b le len d -lease services, so t h a t to ta l u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e rs on lend-lease a cco u n t-w ere a b o u t $328 m illio n . F u r th e r le nd-lease tr a n s f e rs to L a tin A m eric a v a lu e d a t $59 m illio n w ere re im b u rsab le on cash o r c re d it te rm s, a n d th u s a re n o t offset by a n e q u iv a le n t v a lu e o f u n ila te ra l tr a n s fe rs . T h e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t also m a d e m o d e ra te u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e rs o f cash, c o n sistin g o f e x p e n d itu re s in th e a re a b y th e C o o rd in a to r o f In te r-A m e ric a n A ffairs, a n d sm a ll su m s f o r p en sion s a n d a n n u itie s to p e rso n s re s id e n t in th e a rea , to ta lin g $38 m illio n th ro u g h 1944. T h e Office o f th e C o o rd in a to r o f In te r-A m e ric a n A ffa irs w as e sta b lish e d f o r th e p u rp o se o f fo ste r in g good w ill b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e L a tin A m e ric a n c o u n trie s by p ro m o tin g closer c u ltu ra l re la tio n sh ip s. I t p ro v id e d c o n sid e ra b le a id to L a tin A m e ric a n c o u n trie s th ro u g h v a rio u s c u ltu ra l, e d u c a tio n a l, a n d h e a lth a n d sa n ita tio n p ro je c ts. R e m itta n c e s to M e x ic o E xpand T h e re w as also som e g r o w th in p r iv a te u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e rs in th e pex-iod 1941-44, esp e cially b e g in n in g in 1943, w h e n p e rso n a l re m it ta n c es to L a tin A m eric a rose s h a r p ly , b e in g m ore th a n double th e 1942 e stim a te o f $13 m illio n ; by 1944 th e y w ere m o re th a n $85 m illio n . T h is tre m e n d o u s g ro w th w as d u e p rim a rily to th e p resen ce o f la b o re rs im p o rte d fro m M exico. T h e d o lla rs e a rn e d b y th ese w o rk e rs a n d r e m itte d to th e ir fam ilie s a t hom e w ere a m a jo r source o f fo re ig n ex c han g e to M exico d u rin g th is p e rio d . N o T r e n d in L o n g -T e r m C a p ita l M o v e m e n t s L o n g -te rm c a p ita l m ovem ents w ere so m e w h a t e rra tic . O v e r th e e n tire p e rio d , th e re w as a n excess o f U n ite d S ta te s re c e ip ts a m o u n tin g 140 to a b o u t $140 m illio n , b u t m o st o f th ese cam e in 1944. U n ite d S ta te s p r iv a te p o rtf o lio c a p ita l w as w ith d ra w n fro m L a tin A m e ric a to th e e x te n t o f a b o u t $55 m illio n ; p r iv a te d ire c t-in v e stm e n t c a p ita l w as also w ith d ra w n in every y e a r ex ce pt 1942, th e n e t w ith d ra w a l f o r th e 4 y e a rs a m o u n tin g to a b o u t $125 m illio n . L a tin A m eric an s also in creased th e ir h o ld in g s o f U n ite d S ta te s se cu ritie s a n d a m o rtiz e d some o f th e ir o b lig a tio n s to th e U n ite d S ta te s. A lto g e th e r, p riv a te lo n g te rm c a p ita l m ovem ents re su lte d in a n e t p o sitiv e b a lan ce o f som e $180 m illio n . G overnm ent P L e n d in g N ot a M a jo r F a c to r T h is b a la n ce w as o n ly p a r tia lly offset b y G o v e rn m e n t le n d in g to th e A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s; U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t c re d its o u ts ta n d in g in crea se d by o n ly $69 m illio n fro m th e en d o f 1940 to th e e n d o f 1944. I t h a s a lre a d y been m e n tio n ed th a t la rg e E x p o rt-I m p o r t B a n k com m itm e n ts w ere m a d e to L a tin A m eric an c o u n trie s in 1940, b u t m an y o f th ese w ere f o r p ro je c ts w h ich c ou ld n o t be c om p le te d on a cc ou n t o f th e w a r, w ith th e re s u lt t h a t th e c re d its la p se d o r w ere canceled. T h e in c rea se in L a tin A m e ric a ’s o u ts ta n d in g o b lig a tio n s as d ire c t lo an s to th e E x p o r t- I m p o r t B a n k w as o n ly $39 m illio n b etw een D ecem b er 31, 1940, a n d D ecem ber 31, 1944. H o w e v e r, m a n y p r iv a te lo an s to L a tin A m eric a w ere g u a ra n te e d b y th e E x p o r t- I m p o r t B a n k a n d p re su m a b ly w o u ld n o t h a v e been m ad e w ith o u t su ch g u a ra n te e . T a b le 35 show s th e to ta l o f d ire c t a n d g u a ra n te e d E x p o rt-I m p o r t B a n k lo an s o u ts ta n d in g as o f th e en d o f each w a rtim e y e ar. Ta bl e 3 5 .— E x p o r t-Im p o r t B a n k : D ir ec t a n d g u a ra n te e d lo an s, o u ts ta n d in g a s o f D ecem b er 31, o n a cco un t o f th e A m e ric a n R e p u b lics, 1939-1/5 [In th o u s a n d s of dollars] C o u n tr y C h ile ..................... .................... *• H a i t i ........................................ 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 18, G69 29,405 37,693 70,386 93,302 122,275 .155,125 245 1,506 12,232 7,866 13,438 4,295 156 2,142 30,879 11,307 8,162 6,395 1,462 2,023 2,255 600 50,158 15,318 8,666 6,645 815 2,809 3,890 900 59,425 13,778 15,815 6,950 7,739 2,459 5,701 1,431 7,936 165 8,280 3,510 8,917 310 7,134 3,068 8,110 715 14,363 2,961 105 75 13,621 2,890 5,825 4 9,125 5,106 8,916 1,000 15 802 368 1,905 3,435 4,775 7,010 136 50 130 1,080 965 1,206 77 2,271 2,121 2,210 9,401 2,586 2,064 2,805 848 34 4,293 15,930 485 36 125 130 1,395 966 250 1944 1945 3, 555 4,553 4,992 304 4,172 5,677 3,414 8,139 2,647 S ou rc e: E x p o r t- I m p o r t B a n k of W a sh in g to n . Not e.—D e ta il w ill n o t n e c e ssa rily a d d to to ta ls b e c a u se of ro u n d in g . M ore th a n h a lf o f th e to ta l in crease in U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t in v e stm e n t in th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics d id n o t ta k e th e fo rm o f E x p o rt-I m p o r t B a n k lo a n s b u t a ro se in c o n n e ctio n w ith p ro d u c tiv e fa c ilitie s c o n stru c ted b y o th e r U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t agencies in v a rio u s c o u n trie s. A n o te w o rth y ex am p le w as th e N ic a ro n ick e l p la n t, w h ich w as ere cted in C u b a w ith D efen se P la n t C o rp o ra tio n 141 fu n d s . A g a in s t b o th these a m o u n ts m u st be offset re g u la r p a y m en ts b y M exico to th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t in se ttle m e n t o f claim s a ris in g fro m th e M ex ican e x p ro p ria tio n o f p e tro le u m reso u rces a n d a g ric u ltu ra l p ro p e rty b e lo n g in g to U n ite d S ta te s citizens. T h e n e t b a la n ce on a ll U n ite d S ta te s tr a n s a c tio n s w ith th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics— goods, services, u n ila te ra l tra n s fe rs , a n d lo n g -te rm c a p i ta l— w as n e g a tiv e in every y e a r except 1941, in w h ich y e a r p a y m en ts a n d re c e ip ts w ere a lm o st equal, th e excess o f re c e ip ts on lo n g -te rm c a p ita l a cc o u n t o ffse ttin g th e c o m p a ra tiv e ly sm all excess o f p a y m e n ts on th e o th e r accounts. O v e r th e e n tire 4 y e ars, th e e s tim a te d excess o f p a y m e n ts w as $1,500 m illio n . G r e a t E x p a n s io n o f L a tin A m e r ic a n G o ld a n d D o lla r H o ld in g s C o rre sp o n d in g ly , we find t h a t L a tin A m e ric a n g o ld a n d d o lla r h o ld in g s in c rea se d in each o f th e y e ars 1941 th ro u g h 1944. I n th e la tt e r y e a r, L a tin A m eric a g a in e d som e g o ld fro m th is c o u n try b u t d rew d o A v n its b alan ces to a n a lm o st eq u a l e x te nt. T h e c u m u la te d in crease in g o ld a n d d o lla rs ba la nc es due to tra n sa c tio n s w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s w as $1,710 m illio n . » T h e in crea se in L a tin A m e ric a n g o ld a n d sh o rt-te rm assets a c q u ire d fro m th is c o u n try w as th u s g re a te r by som e $210 m illio n th a n th e a m o u n t necessary to b a la n c e th e excess o f U n ite d S ta te s p a y m en ts. H o w e v e r, th e s itu a tio n v a rie d fro m y e a r to y e ar. T h e re s id u a l item w as sm a ll in 1941; i t h a d a p o sitiv e sig n in 1942, in d ic a tin g t h a t L a tin A m e ric a n g o ld a n d d o lla r h o ld in g s d id n o t in c re ase sufficiently to equal th e U n ite d S ta te s deficit. T h e re su lts fo r 1941 a n d 1942 w ere v ery lik e ly due to e rro rs a n d om issions in th e e stim a te s, b u t th e n e ga tiv e re s id u a l f o r 1943-44 o f $252 m illio n is so m e w h a t la rg e to be accoun ted f o r e n tire ly in th is w a y a n d p ro b a b ly reflects L a tin A m eric an rec eip ts o f d o lla rs fro m th ir d c ou n tries. A lth o u g h th e e x te n t o f such d o lla r tr a n s a c tio n s is n o t k n o w n w ith c e rta in ty , i t is k n o w n t h a t th e y d id occur. E v e n ts o f 1 9 4 5 U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts to L a tin A m eric a c o n tin u ed th e ir r is in g tr e n d in 1945; im p o rts also in crea se d , b u t by a sm a lle r a m o u n t. T h e U n ite d S ta te s im p o rt s u rp lu s c on seq u en tly w as less th a n $500 m illio n as co n tr a s te d w ith m ore th a n $600 m illio n in th e p rev io u s y e a r. R ec eip ts o f in v estm e n t incom e d e clin e d slig h tly fro m th e p e a k y e a r 1944, la rg e ly as a re s u lt o f h ig h e r ta x e s on th e o il com p anies o p e ra tin g in V e n e z u e la ; b u t re c e ip ts fro m o th e r services rose b y m o re th a n $40 m illio n . T h e m o st im p o rta n t source o f th is in c re m e n t w as th e in crea se in rec eip ts on a cc o u n t o f tr a n s p o rta tio n services, w h ich p re su m a b ly reflects th e la r g e r volum e o f U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts. T ra v e l e x p e n d itu re s of U n ite d S ta te s re sid e n ts also rose to a c e rta in ex ten t. A s a re s u lt o f th ese chan ges, th e excess o f U n ite d S ta te s p a y m en ts on goods a n d services w as c o n sid erab ly red u ce d as c o m p ared w ith th e p re v io u s y e ars. U n ila te r a l tra n s fe rs w ere a b o u t $100 m illio n , o f w h ich o n ly a b o u t o n e -fo u rth re p re s e n te d tr a n s f e rs fro m th e U n ite d S ta tes G o v e rn m en t u n d e r th e len d -lease a n d o th e r p ro g ra m s. T h e re m a in d e r c on sisted p r im a r ily o f re m itta n c e s b y M ex ican la b o re rs, w h ich con tin u e d th ro u g h o u t 1945. R ec eip ts o f u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e r s b y p r iv a te re sid e n ts o f th is c o u n try a n d by th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t b r o u g h t n e t U n ite d S ta te s p a y m e n ts on th is acco u n t clown to $75 m illio n . 142 L o n g -te rm c a p ita l m ovem ents in 1945 re s u lte d in n e t p a y m e n ts o f $65 m illio n , in sp ite o f r a th e r h ig h rec e ip ts. N ew L a tin A m eric an in v e s tm e n t in th is c o u n try is n o rm a lly q u ite s m a ll; th e r e w as a v e ry c on sid e ra ble in c re ase o v er th e p re v io u s w a r y e ars, b u t th is in crea se b ro u g h t th e to ta l a m o u n t o f new L a tin A m e ric a n in v e stm e n t f o r th e y e a r u p to o n ly s lig h tly m o re th a n $25 m illio n . A t th e sam e tim e , U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l m oved in to L a tin A m eric a in a n e t a m o u n t o f $90 m illio n . A s f o r m ovem ents o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t c a p ita l, th e n e t fig u re w as sm all, since G o v e rn m e n t le n d in g to L a tin A m eric a a n d L a tin A m e ric a n re p a y m e n ts o f o u ts ta n d in g o b lig a tio n s w ere a lm o st equal. T h e U n ite d S ta te s deficit on a ll tra n sa c tio n s w ith th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics w as som e $330 m illio n . T h e inflow o f fu n d s on acco u n t o f sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l m ovem ents a n d g o ld m ovem ents w as, how ever, v e ry m u ch la r g e r th a n w o u ld h av e been n ecessary to offset th is deficit, a m o u n tin g , in d ee d, to m ore th a n $600 m illio n . T h e r e s u ltin g re sid u a l item w as, th e re fo re , a b o u t $280 m illio n ; i t p re su m a b ly reflects th e re v iv a l o f L a tin A m e ric a n e x p o rts to th e E a s te rn H e m isp h e re as fig h tin g cam e to a n end, w ith p a y m e n t b e in g m ad e in d o llars. T h e O u tlo o k a t th e E n d o f 1 9 4 5 T h e e xtensive settle m e n ts o f w a r acc o u n ts w h ich d o m in a te d th e b a la n c e-o f-p a y m e n ts o u tlo o k f o r tr a n s a c tio n s b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d m an y E u ro p e a n a n d s te r lin g -a r e a c o u n trie s to w a rd th e e n d o f 1945 a n d d u r in g 1946 d id n o t possess a c o rre sp o n d in g im p o rta n c e f o r th e f u tu r e o f fin a n c ia l re la tio n s betw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics, since th e n e t a m o u n t o f G o v e rn m en t lo an s a n d len d -lease tra n s a c tio n s h a d been q u ite sm all. A t th e e n d o f 1945, i t c ou ld re a so n ab ly h a v e been e xp e cted th a t th e p re d o m in a n t fe a tu re o f 1946 tr a n s a c tio n s w ith L a tin A m e ric a w o u ld be a m a rk e d in crea se in th e re la tiv e p o s itio n in th e to ta l b a la n ce o f p a y m e n ts o f U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts, b u t w ith p e rh a p s som e d im in u tio n in th e v a lu e o f m e rc h an d ise tr a d e a n d in b o th d ire ctio n s. I t w ould h a v e been rea so n ab le to ex p ect th e service accoun ts to re m a in sm all b y c o m p ariso n w ith m erch a n d ise tr a d e a n d to f a ll off so m ew h at b y c o m p a riso n w ith th e w a rtim e figures. O n th e o th e r h a n d , i t w o u ld h a v e been n a tu r a l to e n v isag e s u b s ta n tia l in creases in th e flow o f A m e ric a n lo n g -te rm c a p ita l in to th e a re a , esp e cially G o v e rn m en t c a p ita l. A s a re s u lt o f th ese tr e n d s, L a tin A m e ric a n g o ld a n d d o lla r assets c ou ld h a v e been e xp ected to decline. I n s o f a r as th e ev en ts o f 1946 a re k n o w n a t p re se n t, th ese e x p e cta tio n s h a v e been fu lfille d o n ly p a r tia lly . T h is d e ve lop m e n t w as p r i m a rily th e re s u lt o f th e v e ry s h a rp rise in w o rld p ric es in g e n e ra l a n d in U n ite d S ta te s p ric es in p a r tic u la r — a fa c to r w h ic h p e rh a p s sh o u ld h a v e been a n tic ip a te d a t th e e n d o f 1945, in view o f th e course o f even ts fo llo w in g W o rld W a r I . T h e v a lu e o f m erch a n d ise tr a d e b etw een th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e A m e ric a n R ep u b lics rose con sid e ra b ly , a n d m a n y L a tin A m e ric a n c o u n trie s— e sp ecially th e la rg e r ones, su ch as A rg e n tin a , B ra z il, a n d C u b a — e njo y ed a “ fa v o ra b le ” b a la n ce o f tr a d e in 1946. P ric e rises w ere, o f course, p a r tic u la r ly sp e c ta c u la r f o r a g r ic u ltu ra l e x p o rt com m odities. A t th e sam e tim e , in fla tio n a n d sc arcities in th e U n ite d S ta te s h e ld d o w n th e volum e o f L a tin A m e ric a n im p o rts fro m th is c o u n try to so m e w h a t sm a lle r levels th a n m ig h t h a v e been expected. 143 I t s till re m ain s tru e , how ever, t h a t sev eral A m e ric a n R ep u b lics a c tu a lly h a d th e e xp ected d r a in on e x te rn a l assets. T h e exch an ge—■ a n d p a r tic u la r ly th e d o lla r— p ro b lem assum ed serio u s p ro p o rtio n s in C osta R ic a, N ic a ra g u a , a n d E c u a d o r, to n a m e o n ly th e h a rd e s t h it. T r a n s a c t io n s W it h A ll O t h e r C o u n t r ie s D iscu ssed h e re a re tra n sa c tio n s w ith th e re m a in in g p a r ts o f th e w o rld — sections o th e r th a n L a tin A m e ric a, C a n a d a , a n d th e ste rlin g a re a. T h is g ro u p o f c o u n trie s in clud es c o n tin e n ta l E u ro p e , th e oversea te r rito r ie s o f th e c o n tin e n ta l E u ro p e a n c o u n trie s (ex ce p t fo r c e rta in F re n c h a n d B e lg ia n te r rito r ie s w h ic h b e lo n g ed to th e s te rlin g a re a th ro u g h o u t m o st o f th e p e rio d u n d e r re v ie w ), th e U . S. S. R ., C h in a , a n d th e in d e p e n d e n t c o u n trie s o f A sia a n d A fric a , ex ce pt E g y p t ancl Ira q . Ta bl e 36 .— T r a n s a c tio n s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s w ith “ a l l o t h e r c o u n t r i e s , ” 1 9 .'i0 ~ i5 [ I n m illio n s of d o llars] I te m 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1,609 1,123 2, 734 5,341 6,425 7,690 1,490 1,170 85 235 26 93 1,019 676 65 278 26 78 2,482 1,943 22 517 142 110 4,963 4,192 25 746 251 127 5,877 4,995 27 855 310 232 6,799 5,297 36 1,466 ' 713 178 93 71 47 58 31 168 7 63 69 201 10 1,419 1,250 3,090 5,861 7,014 8,783 1,165 '853 90 222 167 87 1,048 780 84 184 155 47 610 321 65 224 2,355 125 1,032 '494 70 468 4, 741 88 1,351 '586 75 690 5,529 134 2,520 1,008 77 1,435 5,727 536 76 39 13 5 111 518 11 8 112 83 23 18 I I I . E xc ess of re c e ip ts ( + ) o r p a y m e n ts ( —) , t o t a l ___ + 190 -1 2 7 -3 5 6 -5 2 0 -5 8 9 - 1 ,0 9 3 N e t goods a n d se rv ice s a n d u n ila te r a l tr a n sf e rs . + 3 25 -1 4 1 + 184 +6 -2 9 -1 2 9 -1 5 8 +31 + 1 ,8 7 2 + 3 ,9 3 1 - 2 , 213 - 4 ,4 9 0 -3 4 1 -5 5 9 -1 5 +39 + 4 ,5 2 6 - 5 ,2 1 3 -6 8 7 +98 + 4 ,2 7 9 - 5 ,0 1 4 -7 3 5 -3 5 8 -7 1 2 +39 + 1 78 + 511 + 302 + 7 89 - 1 ,4 2 3 + 166 + 199 + 1 14 + 2 32 +27 0 . N e t m o v e m e n t of fo re ig n s h o rt- te rm c a p ita l in U n ite d S ta te s ______ _____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ + 149 +30 +5 +20 -1 2 6 -2 4 5 + 5 62 -1 5 7 -2 6 + 3 77 + 196 + 1 ,0 0 7 V . E rr o rs , o m issio n s, a n d th ir d - c o u n tr y tr a n s a c tio n s . + 5 22 +88 + 1 78 +9 + 8 87 + 3 04 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in2. M o v e m e n ts of fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e s te d in 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in 2. M o v e m e n ts of fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e s te d in I V . N e t inflow ( + ) o r o u tflo w ( —) of fu n d s o n g old A . N e t U n ite d S ta te s g o ld sales ( + ) o r p u rc h a s e s ...... ............... ........ ...... B . N e t m o v e m e n t of U n ite d S ta te s sh o rt- te rm W ith re sp e ct to U n ite d S ta te s tr a n s a c tio n s w ith th ese c o u n trie s, i t is obvious t h a t o n ly a few b ro a d g e n e ra liz a tio n s o f r a th e r lim ite d significance can be m a d e a b o u t th e b e h a v io r o f a g g re g a te q u a n titie s w hose c om p o n en ts a re so h etero g en eo u s. T h e c h ie f o b serv atio n s to be m a d e a re , first, t h a t b o th re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts, a f te r f a llin g sh a rp ly in 1941, e x p a n d e d a t a tre m e n d o u s r a te th ro u g h 1944; an d , 144 second, t h a t u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e rs a n d th e ir offsets cam e to d o m in ate th e figures, le a v in g “c a sh ” tra n sa c tio n s in a re la tiv e ly m in o r p o s itio n (see ta b le 3 7 ). T h e c o u n trie s in c lu d e d in th is “ a ll o th e r” g ro u p c ou ld be d iv id e d in to th re e f a ir ly d is tin c t su b g ro u p s, n a m e ly , th e E u ro p e a n n e u tra ls , th e enem y c o u n trie s, a n d th e A llies. O n ly w ith th e first o f th ese g ro u p s, th e n e u tra ls , d id th e U n ite d S ta te s m a in ta in econom ic a n d fin a n c ia l re la tio n s a lo n g lin e s b e a rin g som e resem blance to th e “n o rm a l” p a tte r n o f tra n sa c tio n s. D e a lin g s w ith th e enem y co u n tries w ere, o f course, c om p letely su sp e n d e d a f te r we e n te re d th e w a r ; a n d even b e fo re t h a t tim e th e y h a d been c u t dow n f a r below th e ir p re w a r level. T h e sam e th in g h e ld tr u e o f th e enem y-occupied A llie d c oun trie s in E u ro p e a n d A sia a f te r th e y w ere o v e rru n , ex ce pt f o r som e d e alin g s w ith th e g o v ernm en ts-in -e xile. B u t tra n s a c tio n s d id c on tinu e, o r w ere resu m e d a t an e a rlie r tim e , w ith th e oversea possessions of th ese c ou n tries. P r iv a te tr a d e also cam e to a s ta n d s till w ith th o se E u r o p e a n a n d A s ia tic c o u n trie s w h ich d id m an a g e to s ta y activ e ly in th e w a r on th e ir ow n te r r ito r y , b u t, in s o fa r as th e to ta l volum e o f tr a d e is concerned, th is sto p p a g e w as co m p en sated m a n y tim e s o v er b y th e tre m e n d o u s e x p a n sio n o f G o v e rn m e n t tra n sa c tio n s. Tabl e 37.— “ C a sh ” tr a n s a c tio n s of t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s w i t h “ a l l o t h e r c o u n t r i e s , ” m o- 4 5 [I n m illio n s of d ollars] I te m 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 - 1,609 1,085 524 518 801 1,918 A . G oo ds a n d se rv ic es, t o t a l ------ ------ ------------1. G o o d s _ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ ______ _________ 2. In c o m e o n i n v e s tm e n ts ______ ____ ____ 3. O th e r se rv ic e s ............ ..................... .............. B . U n i la te r a l tr a n s fe rs 1_ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, t o t a l _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _______ 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in v e s te d a b r o a d ............ ............................. . . 2. M o v e m e n ts of foreign c a p ita l in v e s te d in U n ite d S ta te s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1,489 1,169 85 235 26 94 981 645 65 271 26 78 408 223 22 163 6 110 390 214 25 151 1 127 545 353 27 165 24 232 1,661 1,355 36 270 79 178 93 71 47 58 31 168 1 7 63 69 201 10 I I . P a y m e n ts , t o t a l . ................. ...... ................... ........... 1,419 1,212 880 1,038 1,390 3,011 A . G oo ds a n d se rv ic es, t o t a l ......... ...................... ... 1. G o o d s ............. ...... ................... ............... 2. In c o m e o n in v e s tm e n ts ........................ ........ 3. O th e r serv ic e s..... ............................ .............. B . U n i la te r a l tra n sfe rs 1......... ................... ............. C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, t o t a l ....... ............... ...... . . 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in v e s te d a b r o a d -------- ------ ----------------- . 2. M o v e m e n ts of fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e s te d in U n ite d S ta te s .......... ................... .............. 1,165 853 90 222 107 87 1,048 780 84 184 117 47 579 312 65 202 281 20 857 447 70 340 168 13 1,075 507 75 493 197 118 1,898 825 77 996 588 525 76 39 13 5 111 517 11 8 7 8 7 8 I I I . E xc ess of re c e ip ts ( + ) o r p a y m e n ts ( —) , to ta l---- + 190 -1 2 7 -3 5 6 -5 2 0 -5 8 9 - 1 ,0 9 3 A . G oo ds a n d se rv ic e s ..... ........... ......... . ......... .---B . U n i la te r a l tr a n sf e r s .......... ................ ........ ......... N e t goods a n d se rv ice s a n d u n ila te ra l tra n sfe rsC . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l------------..---------------------- + 324 -1 4 1 + 1 83 +7 -6 7 -9 1 -1 5 8 +31 -1 7 1 -2 7 5 -4 4 6 +90 -4 6 7 -1 6 7 -6 3 4 + 1 14 -5 3 0 -1 7 3 -7 0 3 + 114 -2 3 7 -5 0 9 -7 4 6 -3 4 7 -7 1 2 +39 + 1 78 +511 + 3 02 + 7 89 + 165 + 1 99 + 1 14 + 232 +27 +30 +5 +20 -1 2 6 -2 4 5 -1 5 6 -2 6 + 3 77 + 196 + 1 ,0 0 7 +88 + 178 +9 + 287 + 3 04 I. R e c e ip ts , t o t a l ....... ......... ................................. . I V . N e t inflow ( + ) o r o u tflo w ( —) of fu n d s o n gold a n d s h o rt- te rm c a p ita l a c c o u n t, t o t a l . . _____ ______ A . N e t U n ite d S ta te s g old sales ( + ) o r p u rc h a s e s ( - ) -------- ------------------------------------------ - 1 , 423 B . N e t m o v e m e n t of U n ite d S ta te s sh o rt- te rm + 1 40 c a p ita l a b r o a d _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ C . N e t m o v e m e n t of foreign sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l in +662' U n ite d S ta te s ..................... .......................... — V . E rr o rs , o m issio ns, a n d th ir d - c o u n tr y tr a n s a c tio n s .. + 522 1 G o v e rn m e n t fin a n c ia l u n ila te r a l tr a n sf e rs a n d p e rso n a l a n d in s titu tio n a l re m itta n c e s. p r e d o m in a tl y c a sh , b u t in c lu d e so m e re m itta n c e s in k in d . T h e la tte r are 145 T rade W ith th e N e u tr a ls F lu c tu a te s T ra d e w ith th e n e u tr a l c o u n trie s o f E u r o p e 37 d u rin g 1940 w as o f th e sam e g e n e ra l o rd e r o f m a g n itu d e as i t h a d b een in p re w a r days, th o u g h e x p o rts w ere so m e w h a t h ig h e r a n d th e re w as a m a rk e d d im i n u tio n in im p o rts ow ing p rin c ip a lly to a c han g e in im p o rts fro m S w eden (see ta b le 38). I n th e fo llo w in g y e a r, b o th e x p o rts a n d im p o rts —h u t e sp ecially th e fo rm e r— d ecreased c o n sid e ra b ly . T h e se d e creases w ere b ro u g h t a b o u t b y th e sh ip p in g situ a tio n ( tr a d e w ith th ese c o u n trie s c ou ld n o t b e c a rrie d on in A m e ric a n s h ip s ), b y th e B ritis h blockade, a n d b y th e g e n e ra l p o litic a l a n d m ilita ry situ a tio n , in c lu d in g p re ssu re fro m th e A x is P o w e rs a n d , in som e cases, w o rse n in g p o litic a l re la tio n s on o u r side. T h e p ro g re ssiv e declines in o u r tr a d e w ith th e n e u tr a ls w ere n o t a rre ste d u n til 1943. I n t h a t y e a r, how ever, th e r e w as a g r e a t im p ro v e m e n t. T h e s h ip p in g s itu a tio n h a d eased, th e tid e o f v ic to ry w as b e g in n in g to tu r n to w a rd th e A llie s, a n d som e o f th e sea la n e s fo rm e rly block ed h a d b een cleared . T h is u p w a rd tr e n d w as c o n tin u ed in 1944 a n d 1945. Tabl e 38.— U n ite d S ta te s tr a d e w i t h fiv e n e u tr a l c o u n tr ie s : E x p o r ts , in c lu d in g r e e x p o r ts , a n d g e n e r a l im p o r ts o f m e r c h a n d is e , 1 9 3 6 -3 8 a n d 1 9 4 0 -4 5 [In m illio n s of d ollars] Y ear P o r tu g a l S p a in S w ed en S w itz e rla n d T u rk ey A ll n e u tr a ls E x p o rts 1936-38 a v e ra g e _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1 9 4 0 ........... ............... ............. 1941..................... . ................... 1942................................. ......... 1 9 4 3 ............ ......................... . 1944...................................... . 1945................ ............... ......... 11.5 18.1 16.2 7.0 9.4 12.3 23.3 13.3 27.0 14.3 2 .9 28.2 25.8 40.7 57.3 38. 5 22.4 8 .6 7 .6 13.1 45.9 9 .3 22.6 13.4 15.2 32.2 79.7 63.5 11.5 8 .3 6 .8 16.0 87.3 11.6 15.6 102.8 114.5 73.1 49.7 164.7 142.5 189.0 23.5 27.2 30.3 33.2 49.5 56.2 83.4 15.5 13.9 10.7 17.4 32.7 50.0 69.9 110.1 84.0 78.9 69.5 124.1 192.2 277.7 Im p o rts 1936-38 a v e ra g e ........... ............ 1940................................ ......... 1941.................. ......... .............. 1 9 4 2 ...______ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ 1 9 4 3 -_____ ______ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1944...................... ................... 1945........................... ............ 6 .6 11.1 19.0 10.3 22.9 35.9 20.9 13.8 14.6 14.5 8.1 18.6 49.6 57.4 50.6 17.3 4 .4 .4 .4 .7 46.0 S ourc e: U . S. D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e rc e , B u r e a u o f t h e C e n su s. Not e: D e ta il w ill n o t n e c e ssa rily a d d to to ta ls b ec a u se of ro u n d in g . N o len d -le ase a id w a s received b y a n y o f th e n e u tr a l c o u n trie s o f E u ro p e a n d A sia ex ce p t T u rk e y . T h a t c o u n try , how ever, w as in a u n iq u e p o sitio n , c o n tro llin g as i t d id th e D a rd a n e lle s—th e M e d ite r ra n e a n lin k b etw een th e w e ste rn A llie s a n d th e S o v ie t U n io n . T h is s tra te g ic p o sitio n m ad e i t v ita l to p ro v id e fo r T u rk e y ’s d efense a g a in st possible A x is a ggressio n. T rade W ith th e E nem y C o u n tr ie s Cut O ff W ith resp ec t to th e A x is P o w e rs— G e rm an y , I ta ly , a n d J a p a n — tr a d e w ith G e rm a n y h a d a lre a d y been e lim in a te d , f o r a ll p ra c tic a l p u rp o se s, 37 F o r p r e s e n t p u r p o s e s t h i s t e r m i n c l u d e s P o r t u g a l , S p a i n , S w e d e n , S w i t z e r l a n d , a n d T u rk e y . T h e l a t t e r c o u n tr y is a s o m e w h a t d o u b tfu l c a se , s in c e i t is n o t “ E u r o p e a n ” in t h e s t r i c t e s t s e n s e o f t h e w o r d a n d s i n c e i t d id e v e n t u a l l y e n t e r t h e w a r ; b u t o u r w a r t i m e t r a n s a c ti o n s w it h T u r k e y re s e m b le d m o re c lo s e ly th o s e w it h t h e E u r o p e a n n e u t r a l s t h a n t h e y d id t r a n s a c t i o n s w i t h t h e e n e m i e s o r t h e A ll ie d c o u n t r i e s o f t h e E a s t e r n H e m i s p h e r e . E i r e c o u ld a l s o b e g r o u p e d v e r y l o g i c a l l y w i t h t h e s e n e u t r a l c o u n t r i e s b u t h a s b e e n in c l u d e d i n t h e s t e r l i n g a r e a . 146 in 1940, a n d m erch a n d ise tr a d e w ith I ta ly w as also m a rk e d ly c u rta ile d . O n th e o th e r h a n d , th e v a lu e o f o u r tr a d e w ith J a p a n , b o th e x p o rts a n d im p o rts , w as a c tu a lly above th e 1936-38 level, in d ic a tin g t h a t th e “ v o lu n ta ry ” re s tric tio n s on tr a d e w ith t h a t c o u n try h a d n o t been v ery successful. I n th e fo llo w in g y e a r, 1941, tr a d e w ith I t a l y also v a n ish e d , b u t tr a d e w ith J a p a n , w h ile v e ry sh a rp ly re d u ce d , w as still g o in g o n in a p p re c i able a m o u n ts. N o t u n til 1942, w h e n th e U n ite d S ta te s w as officially a t w a r w ith a ll th re e o f th e A x is pow ers, w ere d e alin g s w ith a ll th re e e n tire ly a b se n t.38 I n 1945, w ith th e collapse o f th e A x is P o w e rs a n d th e e nd o f th e w a r, th e r e w as a m in im a l volum e o f e x p o rts to G e rm a n y a n d J a p a n . I n th e case o f I ta ly , w h ic h h a d now becom e a c o b e llig e re n t, o u r cash e x p o rts h a d a v a lu e o f $58 m illio n a n d even im p o rts w ere n o t com p le te ly ne gligib le. I n 1944 a n d 1945, in a d d itio n to th e rec o rd e d len d -lease e x p o rts to I ta ly , th e re w ere also la rg e re lie f sh ip m e n ts in co n n ectio n w ith th e A m eric an A rm y ’s “ disease a n d u n re s t” p ro g ra m . I t w as n o t defin itely k no w n to w h a t e x te n t th ese su p p lies w ere p r o c u re d in th is c o u n try ; som e o f th e m m ay h a v e been o b ta in e d in o th e r p a r ts o f E u ro p e a n d elsew here. I n 1945, th re e a d d itio n a l p r o g ra m s f o r a id to I t a l y cam e in to o p e ra tio n . F ir s t, i t w as a rra n g e d t h a t th e d o lla r e q u iv a le n t o f n e t tro o p p a y sp e n t b y A m e ric a n so ld iers in I t a l y w ould be c re d ite d to a sp ecial f u n d se t u p in th e U n ite d S ta te s T re a s u ry fo r I t a l y ’s benefit a n d fro m w h ich th e I ta lia n s w ere p e rm itte d to d ra w f o r th e p u rc h a se o f su p p lies in th is c o u n try . T h e use o f th is m oney w as n o t ex ten siv e in 1945, how ever. S econd, a p a r t o f th e 1945 len d -le ase a p p ro p ria tio n w as d e vo ted to p ro c u rin g c iv ilia n su p p lie s f o r I t a l y ; a n d , th ir d , U N R R A se n t som e re lie f su p p lie s to I ta ly , th o u g h U N R R A o p e ra tio n s th e re w ere on a r a t h e r r e s tric te d scale in 1945. T h e W a r D e p a rtm e n t w as oblig ed to b rin g re lie f su p p lie s in to th e o th e r enem y c o u n trie s as w ell, th o u g h in 1945 th e a m o u n ts in v o lv ed w ere sm a lle r th a n in th e case o f I ta ly . Som e U N E E A su p p lies, to be u sed f o r th e re lie f o f d isp la c ed p e rso n s, also fo u n d th e ir w a y to th e enem y c o u n trie s, e sp ecially A u s tr ia . T h e lend-lease p ro g ra m f o r I t a l y w as u n iq u e , h o w e v e r; n o r d id a n y o f th e o th e r enem y c o u n trie s receive a n y c o m p en satio n f o r n e t tro o p p ay . T h e m o re fav o ra b le tre a tm e n t o f I ta ly w as due to its la te r s ta tu s as a co b elligeren t. T ra d e W ith A llie d C o u n tr ie s A ls o S e v e r e ly R e s tr ic te d T r a d e tr a n s a c tio n s w ith A llie d c o u n trie s on th e E u ro p e a n c o n tin e n t (o th e r th a n th e U . S. S. E .) d e veloped sim ila rly to th o se w ith th e enem y c o u n trie s in th a t th e y w ere a lm o st c om p letely a b se n t d u r in g th e w a r y e a rs (see ta b le 3 9 ). T ra n sa c tio n s d id ta k e p lace w ith som e o f th e n o n -E u ro p e a n possessions o f th ese c o u n tries, how ever— esp ecially th ose in th e A m eric as a n d in A fric a . T r a d e w as p a r tic u la r ly h e av y w ith th e D u tc h possessions in th e N ew W o r ld , because o f th e h u g e o il refin eries in C u rac ao a n d A ru b a a n d th e v a lu a b le b a u x ite d ep o sits in S u rin a m (D u tc h G u ia n a ) . T ra n sa c tio n s 3S T h e v e r y s m a l l a m o u n t s s h o w n in t h e r e c o r d e d t r a d e s t a t i s t i c s r e p r e s e n t , o n t h e e x p o r t s id e , p r i s o n e r - o f - w a r p a c k a g e s , a n d o n t h e i m p o r t s id e , g o o d s r e l e a s e d f r o m b o n d e d w a r e h o u s e s a n d s im ila r d e la y e d im p o rts . T h e tr a d e s ta t is t ic s a lso sh o w la rg e U n ite d S ta te s e x p o r ts to I t a l y in 1 9 4 4 . T h e se w ere s h i p m e n t s o f l e n d - l e a s e m a t e r i a l s t o t h a t c o u n t r y f o r t h e u s e o f t h e o t h e r A ll ie d a r m i e s i n th e I t a l i a n c a m p a ig n . 147 w ith th e N e th e rla n d s I n d ie s, on th e o th e r h a n d , cam e to a n e n d e a rly in 1942, a f te r th e J a p a n e s e in v asio n . T h e s u rp ris in g ly la rg e m e r c h a n d ise -tra d e fig u res w h ich a p p e a r in th e tr a d e s ta tis tic s f o r 1942 are due m o stly to r e p o rtin g lags. T h e tim e la g b etw een th e d a te o f ex p o rta tio n fro m th e In d ie s a n d th e d a te o f im p o rta tio n in to th e U n ite d S ta te s w as o fte n c on siderab le, because o f th e d ista n c e a n d th e fa c t t h a t m a n y o f th e p r o d u c ts o f th e N e th e rla n d s In d ie s w ere tra n s s h ip p e d th ro u g h th ir d c ou n tries. T ra d e w as n o t resu m e d w ith th e In d ie s (o r w ith th e P h ilip p in e s , w h ich w ere in a s im ila r situ a tio n ) u n til 1945, a n d even th e n o n ly to a v e ry lim ite d ex ten t. B e g in n in g in 1943, la rg e len d -le ase sh ip m e n ts w ere d ire c te d to F re n c h N o rth A fric a , as a consequence o f th e N o rth A f ric a n c a m p a ig n w h ich h a d b e g u n in th e f a ll o f 1942. N o t o n ly m ilita ry sh ip m e n ts b u t also c iv ilia n re lie f su p p lie s w ere sent, a n d th e la tte r p r o g ra m c o n tin u e d on a sm a lle r scale th ro u g h th e n e x t 2 y ears. Tabl e 39.— T o ta l and “ca sh ” to e x p o r ts s e le c te d , in c lu d in g A llie d r e e x p o r ts , of th e U n ite d S ta te s c o u n t r i e s , 1 9 J /0 -4 5 [ I n m i l l i o n s o f d o ll a r s ] C o u n tr y 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 T o ta l e x p o rts B e lg iu m 2_ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __________ F r a n c e ___________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ F r e n c h N o r th A f r ic a 3 _________ _____ _ U . S . S . R _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ______ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _____ 25.0 34.0 252.2 4 .5 86.9 105. 2 (0 0) 0) 4.4 6 .7 107.5 127.7 1.1 2 .9 1,417. 5 79.6 ( ') (0 0) 325.6 2,955.8 50.5 17.9 135.3 3, 459.8 51.8 135. 0 81.8 472. 3 136.4 1,838.3 94.4 .8 7.3 29.9 10.3 47.4 46.3 125.9 40.5 55.0 42.5 “ C a s h ” e x p o rts B e lg iu m 2____ ____ _____ _________ F r a n c e __ ________ F re n c h N o r th A fric a 3 - ....... . U . S . S . R _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ 25.0 34.0 252.2 4 .5 86.9 105.2 8 2.4 6 .7 107.0 104.9 0) 1.1 4 .9 63.0 12.4 (0 (0 (0 2.1 28.9 8 .9 1 L e s s t h a n $ 5 0 ,0 0 0 . 2 In c lu d in g L u x e m b u rg . 3 A lg e r ia , T u n is ia , a n d F r e n c h M o r o c c o . S ou rce: U . S . D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e r c e , B u r e a u o f th e C e n su s. T h e m o st im p ressiv e fe a tu re o f o u r m e rc h a n d ise -tra d e tra n s a c tio n s w ith A llie d c o u n trie s w as, o f course, th e h u g e len d -le ase p ro g ra m f o r S o v ie t R u ssia. E x p o rts o f m e rc h a n d ise to th e U . S. S. R . u n d e rw e n t a th irte e n fo ld e x p a n sio n b etw een 1941 a n d 1942. U n ite d S ta te s com m e rc ial tr a d e w ith th e S o v iet U n io n h a d n e v e r b e en la rg e in p re w a r tim es, c o n sid e rin g th e size a n d reso u rces o f th e tw o c o u n tries, a n d d id n o t becom e so d u r in g th e w a r. I n 1936-38, U n ite d S ta te s e x p o rts w ere v a lu e d a t $49 m illio n a n d im p o rts a t $25 m illio n . C ash e x p o rts a n d im p o rts rose so m e w h a t above th e p re w a r level in 1940 a n d 1941 (th e y w ere a b o u t double th e 1936-38 fig u re in 1941) b u t declined a g a in a f te r th e com m encem ent o f th e len d -le ase p ro g ra m . A lth o u g h th e L en d -L ea se A c t h a d been p a sse d in M a rc h a n d th e U . S. S. R . h a d e n te re d th e w a r in Ju n e , len d -lease tr a n s f e r s to th a t c o u n try w ere n e g lig ib le in 1941. B y 1942, how ever, th e p ro g ra m w as w ell u n d e r w ay. T h e y e a r 1943 saw a f u r th e r e x p a n sio n to double th e p re v io u s y e a r, a n d 1944 figures also show ed som e rise o v e r 1943, a l th o u g h n o t o f such a sen sa tio n a l n a tu r e in p e rce n ta g e te rm s. L e n d 148 lease sh ip m e n ts to R u ssia fe ll q u ick ly a f te r th e e n d o f th e E u ro p e a n w a r in M ay 1945, b e in g a b o u t h a lf th e 1944 v a lu e f o r th e c a le n d a r y e a r as a w hole. T h e y e a r 1945 b ro u g h t a g r e a t in crea se in len d -lease e x p o rts to con tin e n ta l E u ro p e . Som e e x p o rts o f len d -lease m a te ria ls to F ra n c e o ccu rred in 1944, fo llo w in g th e in v asio n o f N o rm a n d y , b u t th e y d id n o t becom e la rg e u n til 1945. T ra n sa c tio n s , in c lu d in g som e p r iv a te cash e x p o rts, also b e g a n w ith th e L o w C o u n trie s, S c a n d in a v ia , a n d som e o f th e c o u n trie s o f so u th e a ste rn E u ro p e . W h ile th e a p p ro a c h to n o r m a lity w as f a r fro m b e in g com p lete, th e re s u m p tio n o f tr a d e , even in sm all am o u n ts, w as a sig n ific an t chan ge fro m th e p rev io u s y e ar. T h e ta s k o f r e h a b ilita tin g th e w a r-d e v a sta te d c o u n trie s w as a lre a d y b e in g u n d e rta k e n in 1945. R e lie f w as fu rn is h e d to a n u m b e r o f th em u n d e r th e U n ite d S ta te s A rm y “P la n A ” f o r b rin g in g in c iv ilia n su p p lies. E x p o r t o f c a p ita l goods, to m ee t m o re lo n g -ru n re q u ire m e n ts f o r re h a b ilita tio n a n d re c o n stru c tio n , also com m enced in th e la tte r h a lf o f th e y e ar. T h e c o u n trie s o f so u th e rn a n d e a s te rn E u ro p e , i t w as fe lt, w ere n o t in a p o sitio n to finance th e ir re lie f a n d r e h a b ilita tio n needs. F o r th e ir benefit, an in te rn a tio n a l agency— th e U n ite d N a tio n s R e lie f a n d R e h a b ilita tio n A d m in is tr a tio n — w as c re ated . U N R R A a lso c a rrie d o u t p r o g ra m s in A sia , C h in a rec eiv in g a s u b s ta n tia l p a r t o f U N R R A su p p lies. T h e p rin c ip a l E u r o p e a n re c ip ie n ts o f U N R R A su p p lie s w e re Y u g o slav ia , P o la n d , G reece, C zechoslovakia, a n d I t a l y (see ta b le 4 0 ). Ta bl e 40 .— U n ite d S t a t e s e x p o r ts u n d e r th e U N R R A P r o g r a m ,, 1 9 J f5 1 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ [In m illio n s of dollars]_ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ UNRRA e x p o rts A re a a n d c o u n try T o t a l . . ------- ----------- -----------E u r o p e , e x c lu d in g U n ite d K in g d o m a n d U . S. S. R A lb a n ia _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ __ _ _ _ _ - 355.3 323.4 51.4 82.9 87.3 6 .9 A re a a n d c o u n try UNRRA e x p o rts E u r o p e , e tc .— C o n tin u e d . G re e c e _______ _ _ ________ U . S. S. R _____ ____ ___ _ _ _ _ _ ____ 18.1 76.8 16.5 14.7 14. 2 .7 » U N R R A e x p o rts b e g a n in S e p te m b e r 1944 b u t to ta le d o n ly $609,000 th r o u g h th e e n d of t h e y e a r. S ou rc e: U . S. D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e rc e , B u r e a u of th e C e n su s. U N R R A goods w ere classified by t h a t a gen cy in to five c ateg o ries : F o o d ; te x tile s, c lo th in g , a n d fo o tw e a r ; m e d ic al a n d s a n ita tio n ; a g r i c u ltu ra l re h a b ilita tio n ; a n d in d u s tria l re h a b ilita tio n . Som e o f th ese goods w ere p ro b a b ly in th e n a tu re o f c a p ita l e q u ip m e n t w h ic h w ill be o f p e rm a n e n t v a lu e in re c o n s tru c tin g w a r s h a tte re d econom ies. In v e stm e n t In com e B e lo w N orm al D u r in g th e w a r y e a rs, b o th re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts o f incom e o n in v estm e n ts w ere red u ce d c o n sid e ra b ly below n o rm a l levels. T h is w as p a r tic u la r ly tr u e o f rec eip ts, since c a p ita l in v e ste d in th e w a r-ra v a g e d c o u n trie s, w h ic h c o m p rise d m o st o f th e “a ll o th e r” g ro u p , w as h a rd ly p ro fita b le a t t h a t tim e , even i f tr a n s f e r o f in v e stm e n t incom e h a d been le g a lly perm issib le. T h e de cline in p a y m e n ts w as c o nsid e ra b ly less m a rk e d , since p ro fits on in v e stm e n t in th is c o u n try w ere r u n n in g a t a re la tiv e ly h ig h ra te . N evertheless, p a y m e n ts to fo re ig n e rs d id d e crease, p a r tly because o f th e re s tr ic tio n s on th e tr a n s f e r o f fu n d s 149 a b r o a d ; 39 p a r tly because p ro p e rty in th is c o u n try b e lo n g in g to enem y n a tio n a ls w as seized b y th e Office o f th e A lie n P r o p e r ty C u sto d ia n , a n d w ith th e liq u id a tio n o f th e in v estm e n t th e incom e th e re fro m also d is a p p e a re d ; a n d p a r tly because o f in creases in U n ite d S ta te s c o rp o ra te incom e taxes. W a r A ffe c ts O th e r P r iv a te S e r v ic e T r a n s a c tio n s A ls o O th e r p r iv a te service tr a n s a c tio n s follo w ed e sse n tia lly th e sam e course as d id m e rc h an d ise tr a d e , a lth o u g h th e f a ll a n d th e su bsequent rise w ere n o t a lto g e th e r so d ra s tic in p e rc e n ta g e te rm s. T o ta l tr a n s a c tio n s on a cc ou n t o f tra n s p o rta tio n c h a rg e s a re c o rre la te d w ith th e v a lu e o f m erch a n d ise tr a d e (th e d ire c t co n n ectio n is w ith th e volum e o f tr a d e , b u t since sh ip p in g ra te s a re lik e ly to m ove in sy m p a th y w ith g e n e ra l p ric e chan ges, th e c o rre la tio n w ith v a lu e is u su a lly h ig h a ls o ) . S in ce m o st o f o u r e x p o rts w ere on lend-lease accoun t, m o st o f th e s h ip p in g “re c e ip ts” c on sisted o f services p ro v id e d on len d -le ase term s. T h e tr a v e l a cc o u n t w as n e g lig ib le th ro u g h o u t th e w a r p e rio d . E v e n in 1940, re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts w ere each r u n n in g a t th e re la tiv e ly low r a te o f a b o u t $10 m illio n , w ith re c e ip ts slig h tly h ig h e r th a n p a y m e n ts ; a n d in la te r y e ars th e a n n u a l figures fe ll to $2 m illio n o r less. I n 1945, th e re w as som e recovery, p a r tic u la r ly on th e p a y m e n ts side, th e la tte r b e in g e stim a te d a t $25 m illio n f o r t h a t y e ar. R ec eip ts on acco u n t o f m iscellaneous services rose b y q u ite la rg e a m o u n ts ; p a y m en ts, w h ich a re m u ch sm a lle r th a n rec e ip ts, in a n y case, re m a in e d sta tio n a ry . T h e in crea se in re c eip ts w as d ue to th e b e h a v io r o f tw o ite m s : F o re ig n g o v e rn m e n t re p re se n ta tio n in th e U n ite d S ta te s, e x p e n d itu re s f o r w h ich w ere g re a tly a u g m e n te d d u rin g th e w a r on a cc ou n t o f th e n e ce ssity f o r m a in ta in in g p u rc h a sin g m issions a n d sim ila r o r g a n iz a tio n s in th is c o u n try ; a n d m o tio n -p ic tu re re n ta ls. T h e la rg e g ro w th in re c e ip ts o f m o tio n -p ic tu re r e n ta ls p re su m a b ly reflected th e in crea se d d e m a n d f o r A m e ric a n film s, consequent in p a r t u p o n th e presence o f la rg e n u m b e rs o f A m e ric a n tro o p s ab road . T rem endous G r o w th of G overnm ent S e r v ic e s U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t re c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts on a cc ou n t of services g rew tre m e n d o u sly . I n s o f a r as re c e ip ts a re concerned, these c on sisted a lm o st e n tire ly o f s tr a ig h t len d -le ase services re n d e re d to fo re ig n g o v ern m en ts a n d a re th u s offset b y e q u iv a le n t u n ila te ra l tr a n s fe rs . T h e re w ere, how ever, som e re la tiv e ly sm a ll cash m ilita ry rec e ip ts, a n d a n even sm a lle r a m o u n t o f c ash re c e ip ts by v a rio u s re g u la r c iv ilia n agencies. T h e se tw o ty p e s o f cash re c e ip ts rose as h ig h as $160 m illio n to w a rd th e la te r y e a rs o f th e w a r, b u t services p ro v id e d u n d e r len d -le ase a rra n g e m e n ts w ere ru n n in g a t a r a te o f a lm o st $2 b illio n a t th e sam e tim e. T o a c e r ta in e x te n t, a m o u n ts sh o w n on th e p a y m e n ts sid e o f th e G o v e rn m en t m iscellaneous services a cc o u n t w ere also offset by u n i la te r a l tra n s fe rs , i. e., th e y co n sisted o f services re n d e re d to th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t u n d e r rev erse lend-lease. B u t th e volum e o f m ili ta r y services f o r w h ich cash p a y m e n t w as m ad e b y th e U n ite d S ta te s w as a lm o st as la rg e . A f u r th e r v e ry s u b s ta n tia l ite m w h ich a p p e a rs h e re is “n e t tro o p p a y .” M ost o f th e g lob a l n e t-tro o p -p a y accoun t a p p e a re d in co n n ectio n w ith tr a n s a c tio n s w ith c o u n trie s in th e “a ll 39 A s s e t s o f e n e m y , e n e m y - o c c u p ie d , a n d s o m e n e u t r a l c o u n t r i e s w e r e b lo c k e d a f t e r o u r e n tr y in to th e w a r. W h e r e i n v e s t m e n t e a r n i n g s w e r e p a i d i n t o t h e s e b lo c k e d a c c o u n t s , t h e y a r e i n c l u d e d i n t h e b a l a n c e - o f - p a y m e n t s s t a t e m e n t ( b e i n g o f f s e t b y t h e i n c r e a s e s in f o r e i g n b a l a n c e s ) ; b u t i n s o m e c a s e s , e . g ., b e a r e r b o n d s p h y s i c a l l y l o c a t e d i n t h e c o u n t r y o f o w n e r s h i p , t h e a c c r u e d in c o m e d o e s n o t a p p e a r i n o u r d a t a . 1.5 0 o th e r” g ro u p , a n d tra n s a c tio n s in sp ecial cu rre n c ie s w ere e n tire ly con c e n tra te d in th is a re a .40 R e m itta n c e s F a ll and R is e P r iv a te u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e rs h a v e a lw a y s p la y e d a c o m p a ra tiv e ly la rg e p a r t in U n ite d S ta te s tra n sa c tio n s w ith c o u n trie s in th e “ a ll o th e r” g ro u p , because th e y w ere th e c o u n trie s (o th e r th a n th e B ritis h Isle s) fro m w h ich m o st im m ig ra n ts to th e U n ite d S ta te s h av e come. P e r so n a l re m itta n c e s d eclin e d th ro u g h 1941 a n d 1942, in th e la tte r y e a r a m o u n tin g to o n ly a b o u t o n e -th ird o f th e 1940 e stim a te o f $110 m illio n ; th e decline w as, o f course, d u e to w a r-c re a te d difficulty in tr a n s f e r r in g fu n d s to m o st o f th e E u ro p e a n a n d A sia tic c o u n trie s in c lu d e d in th is g ro u p . T h e la rg e v a lu e o f re m itta n c e s to n e u tr a l co u n tr ie s, e sp ecially S w itz e rla n d , in d ic a te s t h a t som e m oney d id g e t th ro u g h . I n 1943 a n d 1944, re m itta n c e s in crea se d once m ore, a n d in 1945 th e p e n t-u p b a ck lo g b e g a n to m ove. T h e re la tiv e ly h ig h e stim a te o f $151 m illio n f o r t h a t y e a r w as a refle ctio n o f th e stro n g d e sire f e lt b y r e m itte rs in th is c o u n try to a id re sid e n ts o f w a r-d e v a sta te d a re as. T h e la rg e figure is e sp ecially s trik in g in view o f th e fa c t t h a t m o st o f th e e x ch an g e ra te s in existence a t th e e n d o f th e w a r te n d e d serio u sly to o v e rv a lu e fo re ig n c u rren c ie s in te rm s o f d o llars. I n s titu tio n a l re m itta n c e s b e g a n to rise ste e p ly as e a rly as 1942, a n d b y 1943 h a d rea c h e d im p ressiv e h e ig h ts, w h ich w ere su sta in e d in th e fo llo w in g y e ars. A la rg e p a r t o f th ese re m itta n c e s to o k th e fo rm of goods r a th e r th a n m oney. N o t o n ly th e o ld a n d e sta b lish e d re lie f a n d service agencies such as th e A m eric an R e d C ro ss b u t also a h o st o f new ones, o rg a n iz e d specifically f o r w a r re lie f, c o n trib u te d to th e la rg e volum e o f in s titu tio n a l re m ittan ce s. G overnm ent U n ila te r a l T r a n s fe r s of V a st Im p o r ta n c e T h e m a jo r item in G o v e rn m e n t u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e r s w as th e lendlease p ro g ra m . U p to 1945, a lm o st a ll lend-lease tr a n s f e r s o f b o th m erch a n d ise a n d services w ere m ade w ith o u t re m u n e ra tio n . S h ip m en ts o f m a te r ia ls on re im b u rsab le len d -le ase te rm s d id occur, b u t th e y fo rm e d a v e ry sm all p a r t o f th e to ta l p ro g ra m . S ervices, in c lu d in g tr a n s p o rta tio n , w ere also re n d e re d m o stly on a n o n reim b u rsa b le basis. R ev e rse lend-lease, on th e o th e r h a n d , d id n o t p la y a v ery sig nifica n t role. I t is tr u e t h a t re v erse len d -le ase w h ich we receiv ed fro m th e w e ste rn E u ro p e a n c o u n trie s w as q u ite s u b s ta n tia l in re la tio n to th e a m o u n t o f a id w h ich w e re n d e re d to th e m — th e a m o u n t o f rev erse len d lease received fro m B e lg iu m w as a c tu a lly g re a te r th a n th e a m o u n t o f d ire c t lend-lease g iv en to B elg iu m —b u t th e size o f th ese p r o g ra m s w as sm a ll b y co m p ariso n w ith t h a t o f th e p ro g ra m f o r R u ssia. A n d fro m t h a t c o u n try , on th e o th e r h a n d , th e a m o u n t o f rev erse lendlease w as in sig n ifica n t, because o f th e fa c t t h a t th e te r r ito r y o f th e S o v iet U n i o n . n e v e r becam e a base f o r U n ite d S ta te s m ilita ry o p e ratio n s. T h e re a re som e item s in th e n a tu re o f G o v e rn m en t n o n fin a n c ial u n i la te r a l tr a n s f e rs w h ich f a ll o u tsid e th e scope o f lend-lease. O ne such ite m is a n offset to th e v e stin g a c tiv itie s o f th e A lie n P r o p e r ty C u s to d ia n . S in ce th e v a lu e o f enem y p ro p e rtie s ta k e n over w ith o u t re40 S e e p . 1 8 6 f o r a f u l l e r d i s c u s s i o n o f s p e c i a l c u r r e n c i e s . 151 n u m e ra tio n h a s been e n te re d in th e lo n g -te rm c a p ita l a cc o u n t (see p . 9 9 ), i t h a s been offset b y a p e r contra ite m in th e u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e r account. T h e s ta tu s o f “ P la n A ” a n d o th e r c iv ilia n su p p lies sh ip p e d by th e W a r D e p a rtm e n t is u n c e rta in . A t th e tim e th ese su p p lie s w ere m a d e a v aila b le i t w as c o n te m p la te d t h a t th e y w ould b e p a id fo r. H o w e v e r, th e lia b ility h a s a lre a d y b een fo rg iv e n o r offset a g a in st o th e r claim s f o r c e rta in c o u n trie s a n d m a y be f o r o th e r s ; c on seq u en tly i t h a s seem ed sa fe st in th is re p o rt to re g a r d th e offset to “P la n A ” su p p lie s as u n ila te ra l r a th e r th a n as a c a p ita l m ovem ent. A n o th e r so m e w h a t difficult p ro b lem o f classificatio n is in v o lv ed in th e la rg e s t o f th e item s to be f o u n d u n d e r th e h e a d in g o f fin a n cia l u n i la te r a l tr a n s fe rs . T h is is th e $500 m illio n o f “fin a n c ial a id ” a p p ro p r ia te d b y C ongress in 1942 f o r th e benefit o f th e C h in ese G o v e rn m en t. T h is sum w as d ra w n on th ro u g h th e su cceeding y e ars to such a n e x te n t t h a t o n ly a sm all fra c tio n re m a in e d u n d isb u rse d a t th e e n d o f 1945. T h is so-called a id w as n o t a n o u tr ig h t g if t, b u t th e q u estio n s how o r w h e th e r re p a y m e n t w ould be m a d e w ere le f t open, a n d th e p o s sib ility t h a t th e C hinese o b lig a tio n w o u ld be fo rg iv e n a p p e a rs de finitely to h a v e been envisag ed. I t w a s d e cid e d f o r th is rea so n to c o n sid e r th e ite m as u n ila te ra l in n a tu re , in th e b a lan c e-o f-p a y m e n ts sta tem en t. T h e o n ly im p o rta n t G o v e rn m e n t fin a n c ia l u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e r o th e r th a n th e C hinese fin a n c ial a id is th e offset to th e a lre a d y m e n tio n e d n e t tro o p p a y a n d o th e r e x p e n d itu re s in sp ecial cu rren cies. L o n g -T e rm C a p ita l M o v e m e n ts O n ly sc a tte re d com m ents on c a p ita l m ovem ents a re possible. T h e re w a s som e n e t w ith d ra w a l o f p r iv a te U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l fro m th e “ a ll o th e r” g ro u p , a n d also som e n e t w ith d ra w a l o f fo re ig n c a p ita l fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s, d u r in g th e y e a rs 1940-43. T h e la tte r m ove m e n t w as d u e to th e a lre a d y -m e n tio n e d o p e ra tio n s o f th e A lien P r o p e rty C u sto d ia n , w h ich te n d e d to o u tw eig h p u rch a se s o f U n ite d S ta te s sec u ritie s, w h ich w e re f a ir ly h e av y in 1942 a n d 1943. T h e p o sitiv e b alan ce on m o v em en ts o f U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l w as la rg e r th a n th e n e g a tiv e ba la n c e o n m o v em en ts o f f o r e ig n c a p ita l in ev ery y e a r e xce pt 1942, how ever, so t h a t th e n e t b a la n ce on a ll ty p e s o f c a p ita l m ovem ents w as p o sitiv e in e very y e a r ex ce pt 1942. I n 1944, th e a c tiv itie s o f th e A lie n P r o p e r ty C u sto d ia n w ere sm all, a n d a t th e sam e tim e th e re w as a h e av y n e t in flux o f fo re ig n c a p ita l, la rg e ly as th e r e s u lt o f p u rc h a se s o f o u ts ta n d in g U n ite d S ta te s secu ritie s. M ovem ents o f b o th U n ite d S ta te s a n d fo re ig n c a p ita l w ere th e re fo re in th e sam e d ire c tio n a n d th e n e t p o sitiv e b a la n c e w as la rg e . U n ite d S ta te s le n d in g to th e “a ll o th e r” g ro u p o f c o u n trie s w as ren ew e d in 1945 w ith th e cessatio n o f a c tu a l h o s tilitie s , a n d sm all a m o u n ts o f fo r e ig n c a p ita l w ere also w ith d r a w n ; c onsequently, th e d ire c tio n o f m o v em en t w as rev erse d fro m t h a t in 1944 a n d th e to ta l n e t b a la n ce w as n eg a tiv e. T ra n s a c tio n s W ith In te rn a tio n a l In s titu tio n s T h e in te rn a tio n a l in s titu tio n s “a re a ,” as n o ted elsew here (see p . I l l ) in clu d e s b o th in te rn a tio n a l o r g a n iz a tio n s such as U N E E A a n d th e n e t g o ld p ro d u c tio n (o r c o n su m p tio n ) item , w h ich a p p e a rs w ith o ffse ttin g sig n s u n d e r m e rc h a n d ise tr a d e a n d in th e g o ld a n d sh o rt152 Tabl e 41.— T ra n sa c tio n s o f th e U n ited S ta te s w ith in te rn a tio n a l in s titu tio n s , 1 9 ! ,0 - J ,5 [ I n m illio n s of d o lla rs] I te m 1940 1941 1942 148 147 92 148 148 147 147 92 92 1943 1944 1945 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in2. M o v e m e n ts of fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e s te d in 23 45 177 23 23 45 45 85 85 92 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in 2. M o v e m e n ts of fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e s te d in I I I . E x c e ss of re c e ip ts ( + ) o r p a y m e n ts ( —) , to t a l _ _ _ N e t goods a n d se rv ice s a n d u n ila te ra l tr a n s fe rs . IV . N e t inflow ( + ) or o u tflo w ( —) of fu n d s o n gold A . N e t U n ite d S ta te s g old sa le s ( + ) o r p u r c h a se s ( - ) . ............ ............. B . N e t m o v e m e n t of U n ite d S ta te s sh o rt- te rm C . N e t m o v e m e n t of fo re ig n sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l in + 148 + 1 47 +92 -2 3 -4 5 -1 7 7 + 148 + 1 47 +92 -2 3 -4 5 + 1 48 + 147 +92 -2 3 -4 5 -8 5 -9 2 -1 7 7 -1 4 8 -1 4 7 -9 2 +23 +55 + 101 -1 4 8 -1 4 7 -9 2 +23 +45 +85 +10 +16 -1 0 +76 te rm c a p ita l a ccoun t. T h e g o ld item in th e la tte r a cc o u n t f o r th e o th e r fo u r a re a s re p re se n ts in each case tr a n s a c tio n s w ith th e resp ec tiv e a re a specifically (i. e., e x p o rts, im p o rts , a n d ch an g es in e a r m a rk in g ) ; th e a lg e b ra ic sum o f th e g o ld item f o r a ll five a re a s con seq u e n tly eq u als the. c han g e in th e U n ite d S ta te s stock o f m o n e ta ry g o ld . F o r th e y e ars 1940-43, th e item s re p re se n tin g n e t dom estic p r o d u c tio n o r c o n su m p tio n o f g o ld a re th e o n ly e n trie s in th e ta ble . T h e cash g i f t o f $92 m illio n by th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m e n t to U N R R A in 1945 a p p e a r s as a u n ila te ra l tr a n s f e r to “in te rn a tio n a l in s titu tio n s ,” as does th e in crea se o f $16 m illio n in sh o rt-te rm lia b ilitie s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s to U N R R A (i. e., U N R R A ba la nc es in U n ite d S ta te s b a n k s ). T h e difference b etw een th ese tw o figures, o r $76 m illio n , c o rre sp o n d s e ith e r to p u rc h a se s b y U N R R A in t h i r d c o u n trie s o r to e x p o rts fro m th is c o u n try . O n ly U N R R A e x p o rts fin a nc ed d ire c tly by th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e rn m en t a re se g re g a te d in tr a d e sta tistic s. U n fo rtu n a te ly , as n o te d in a p p e n d ix B , o u r d a ta on “ fo re ig n g o v ern m e n t re p re se n ta tio n in th e U n ite d S ta te s ” w ere too sc a n ty to enab le u s to iso la te w ith a n y p re cisio n t h a t p o rtio n — v e ry sm a ll in th e p e rio d covered— a ttr ib u ta b le to e x p e n d itu re s in th is c o u n try by in te rn a tio n a l in s titu tio n s ; c on seq u en tly we h av e m ad e no e stim a te f o r it. 7 6 9 1 5 5 -4 8 - 11 153 C h a p te r Y I m p lic a tio n s fo r th e F u tu r e T h e re c an be little d o u b t t h a t th e m o st im m e d ia te p ro b lem a t th e e n d o f th e w a r w as th e re c o n stru c tio n o f th e d e v a sta te d a re a s a n d th e re p le n ish m e n t o f e x h a u ste d stocks o f p ro d u c e r a n d consu m er goods in p r a c tic a lly a ll c o u n tries. I n s o f a r as th e lo n g -ru n effects a re concerned, i t is scarcely to be ex p ected t h a t th e ev en ts o f W o rld W a r I I a n d th e y e a r s im m e d ia te ly follow ing- i t w ill leave th e p re v io u sly e sta b lish e d p a tte r n o f w o rld -w id e econom ic re la tio n s h ip s a n d tr a n s a c tio n s u n affected . H is to r y show s, how ever, t h a t w a rs u s u a lly do n o t c re a te e n tire ly n ew s itu a tio n s : th e y g e n e ra lly in te n sify a n d acc elerate co n d itio n s a n d tre n d s a lre a d y in e xistence. T o ju d g e th e effects o f th e w a r o n o u r f u tu r e in te rn a tio n a l tra n s a c tio n s, i t seem s m o st p ro m isin g , th e re fo re , to lo ok f o r d ev elo p m en ts a lre a d y d isce rn ib le b e fo re th e w a r w h ich , because o f th e ev en ts o f re c e n t y e ars, a re lik e ly to h av e been m o re o r less a g g ra v a te d o r a ccelerated. I n c r e a s e d G o v e r n m e n t C o n t r o ls O ne o f th e fa c to rs w h ich h a d g ra d u a lly g a in e d in im p o rta n c e b e fo re th e w a r, b u t w as g re a tly stre n g th e n e d d u rin g th e conflict, w as th e d ire c t a n d in d ir e c t role ta k e n on b y o u r ow n a n d fo r e ig n g o v e rn m e n ts in in te rn a tio n a l tra n sa c tio n s. D u r in g th e w a r p ra c tic a lly a ll o u r in te rn a tio n a l tra n sa c tio n s, b o th on c u r re n t a n d on c a p ita l a cco u n t, w ere e ith e r d ire c tly c o n d u cted o r closely re g u la te d b y th e G o v e rn m en t. A lth o u g h th e step s ta k e n d u r in g th is p e rio d exceeded by f a r th e p re w a r A m e ric a n p ra c tic e o f in d ire c t c o n tro ls b y such m ean s as ta riffs, th e y w ere c o n sid e re d th e m o st effective w a y to m obilize o u r resources f o r w a r, a n d w ere con siste n t w ith c o n tro ls im posed on dom estic econom ic a ctiv itie s. To w h a t e x te n t a n d in w h a t fo rm g o v e rn m e n t c o n tro ls a re c o n tin u e d h e re a n d a b ro a d c o n stitu te s one o f th e m a jo r p ro b lem s a ris in g o u t o f th e w a r. G o v e rn m e n t c o n tro ls a n d c e n tra liz e d econom ic p la n n in g , w hich u su a lly h a v e th e ir o rig in in n a tio n a l em ergencies, h a v e been m a in ta in e d a f te r th is w a r in m an y m o re fo re ig n c o u n trie s th a n a f te r W o rld W a r I . T h is w as d u e p a r tly to th e m u ch b ig g e r ta s k o f re c o n stru c tio n a n d th e m uch m o re u rg e n t n eed fo r h u s b a n d in g scarce fo r e ig n e xch an g e a n d g o ld reserves a n d p a r tly to g ro w th o f ideologies fa v o rin g s ta te c o n tro l o f econom ic affairs. T o th e e x te n t t h a t g o v e rn m e n t c o n tro ls w ere c re a ted a b ro a d to m eet th e specific e m e rg en cies a ris in g fro m th e w a r a n d th e re c o n stru c tio n , th e y could be d isco n tin u e d as soon as th e em erg en cy p e rio d is passed. H o w e v e r, 154 th e re can be little d o u b t th a t, even in th e lo n g er ru n , g o v e rn m e n t c o n tro ls a n d p a rtic ip a tio n w ill p la y a g re a te r ro le in in te rn a tio n a l tr a n s a c tio n s o f fo r e ig n c o u n trie s; a n d t h a t th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d o th e r c o u n trie s w hose econom ies a re e ssen tia lly b a sed u p o n p riv a te e n te rp ris e w ill h av e to fac e th e p ro b lem s a ris in g fro m th is situ a tio n . G o v e rn m en t p a rtic ip a tio n in fo re ig n tr a d e m a y m a k e f o r a la rg e m on o p o ly elem ent, b o th on th e b u y in g a n d se llin g sides. B y g u a r a n te e in g a fixed m a rk e t fo r a c o n sid e ra b le p e rio d o f tim e , a n im p o r tin g c o u n try could o b ta in su p p lie s a t fa v o ra b le p ric e s on a p re clu siv e b a sis a t th e o rig in a l source. T h is m a y ex clud e o th e r c o u n trie s fro m th e sam e m a rk e ts o r m ay fo rce sm a lle r c o u n trie s o r p r iv a te p u rc h a se rs w ho b u y in sm a lle r q u a n titie s to p a y h ig h e r p ric es. T h e c o u n trie s re ly in g u p o n p r iv a te im p o rte rs o f r a w m a te ria ls, w o u ld, th e re fo re , be a t a d is tin c t d isa d v a n ta g e . G iv e n a su b s ta n tia l d e g re e o f g o v e rn m e n t c o n tro l, in te rn a tio n a l tra n s a c tio n s m a y also be m o re open to influence b y p o litic a l c o n sid era tio n s — in te rn a tio n a l o r dom estic. T h e se m ay n o t o n ly d e te rm in e th e choice o f th e fo r e ig n tr a d e p a r tn e r b u t also th e e x te n t, tim in g , a n d te rm s o f tra d e . C om m erce c o n d u cted a lo n g such lines w ould in crease th e u n c e rta in tie s u n d e r w h ic h p r iv a te bu sin ess w o u ld h a v e to b e conducted. T h e c ru c ia l p rob lem w h ich w ill h a v e to be solved c e n ters a ro u n d th e issue o f m ee tin g th e effect o f econom ic c o n tro ls a b ro a d w h ich affect o u r in te rn a tio n a l tra n sa c tio n s, w ith o u t im p o sin g sim ila r c o n tro ls on o u r o w n d o m estic econom y. A so lu tio n w h ich w o u ld re q u ire u s to in te n s ify o u r c o n tro ls to m a tc h th o se im p o sed a b ro a d w o u ld obviously be u n s a tis fa c to ry to th e g r e a t m a jo rity o f A m eric an s. R a th e r, w e sh o u ld exercise a successful le a d e rsh ip in re s to rin g a n d m a in ta in in g a h ig h a n d stab le level o f w o rld econom ic a c tiv ity , th u s e lim in a tin g m a n y o f th e c o n d itio n s w h ich h av e le d to th e im p o sitio n o f re s tric tio n s a b ro a d . T h is m a y m ea n a la rg e m easu re o f a id th ro u g h g ra n ts , loans, o r in v estm e n ts d u rin g th e n e x t few y e ars ; in th e lo n g ru n , i t m ean s th e e sta b lish m en t o f a la rg e a n d stab le m a rk e t f o r fo re ig n p r o d u c ts in th is c o u n try , by m a in ta in in g o u r econom y a t a h ig h level o f a c tiv ity a n d re d u c in g ta riffs a n d o th e r im p o rt b a rrie rs to th e lo w est p ra c tic a b le level. The S h o rta g e o f D o lla r E x c h a n g e T h e econom ic effect o f th e w a r w h ich is m o st obvious— a n d a t th e sam e tim e o f m o st im m e d ia te im p o rta n c e — is th e w id e sp re a d d e stru c tio n o f p ro d u c e r a n d consu m er c a p ita l, a n d p h y sic a l in ro a d s on th e la b o r force, in th e w a r a re as, w ith th e re s u ltin g sh o rta g e s o f p ro d u c tio n t h a t a re th e m a in cause o f th e so -called d o lla r sc a rc ity . I n a d d i tio n , even in a rea s w h ich w ere n o t exposed to d ire c t d e stru c tio n , stocks o f consu m er a n d p ro d u c e r goods w ere d e p le te d o w in g to th e in a b ility o f th e ir o w ners to o b ta in necessary rep lac em e nts. C o m p a re d w ith th e s itu a tio n in W o r ld W a r I , th e a re a s exposed to d ire c t d e stru c tio n w ere m u ch la rg e r a n d sp re a d o v e r m an y m o re c ou n tries, a n d th e a c tu a l d am a g e w as m uch m o re in ten se. B ecause o f th e lo n g e r d u r a tio n a n d th e la r g e r w a r re q u ire m e n ts, th e d e p le tio n o f stocks even in a re a s rem oved fro m a ctiv e w a rfa re , such as th e W e s te rn H e m isp h e re , w as m u ch g re a te r. O n th e p o s itiv e sid e — i f one c an sp e ak in such te rm s o f a n y th in g p e rta in in g to th e w a r— h a s been th e 155 in crea se in p ro d u c tiv e c ap a city a n d im p ro v e m e n ts in tech n o log ical processes w h ich can be a p p lie d in p eacetim e. T h e se benefits h a v e ac c ru e d p rin c ip a lly to c o u n trie s o u tsid e th e w a r zone. T h e re is no w a y o f e s tim a tin g re lia b ly th e to ta l cost o f re p la c in g w h a t w a s d e stro y ed o r u sed u p , b u t th e re can be no q u e stio n t h a t it is m an y tim e s h ig h e r th a n a f te r W o rld W a r I , a n d p e rh a p s even h ig h e r th a n th e costs o f e q u ip p in g a n d m a in ta in in g th e a rm ed forces d u r in g th e re c e n t h o stilitie s. U n d o u b te d ly m o st c o u n trie s, n o t only th o se d ire c tly e n g a g e d in th e w a r, v ic to rs as w ell as v a n q u ish e d , b u t also m a n y w h ich re m a in e d on th e sid e lin e s, e m e rg ed p h y sic a lly p o o re r a f t e r th e conflict th a n th e y w ere a t its s ta r t, 6 y e a rs e a rlie r. T h e in c rea sed volum e o f liq u id assets (m o n ey a n d g o v ern m en t b o n d s) h e ld b y c itizen s in a ll c o u n trie s c a n n o t h id e th e fa c t o f p h y sic a l im p o v e r ish m e n t, a n d h a s in itse lf ra ise d serious difficulties in th e e q u itab le d is tr ib u tio n o f scarce g o o d s a n d h a m p e re d p ro d u c tiv e effort. O n b alan c e, o f course, econom ic losses w ere m u ch h e a v ie r -in th e c o u n trie s o f E u ro p e a n d A sia d ire c tly exposed to w a rfa re th a n in o th e r c o u n tries, in c lu d in g th e U n ite d S ta te s. T h e s ta n d a r d o f liv in g in th e fo rm e r c o u n tries, a t le a st d u rin g th e re c o n stru c tio n p erio d , is in even g re a te r c o n tr a st w ith t h a t o f th e U n ite d S ta te s th a n w as th e case b e fo re th e w a r. T h is c o n d itio n m u st fo rce th e re s t o f th e w o rld to look chiefly to th e U n ite d S ta te s f o r th e su p p lies, eq u ip m e n t, a n d p r o d u ctio n te ch n iq u es th e y n eed to b r in g th e ir s ta n d a r d o f liv in g closer to th e level th e y conceive as th e ir u ltim a te goal. U n til re c o n stru c tio n is com p leted, th e w a r-to rn c o u n trie s can n o t a p p ro a c h even th e ir p re w a r s ta n d a rd s o f liv in g except th ro u g h su b s ta n tia l o u tsid e a id in th e fo rm o f lo ans o r g ra n ts . O n ly a few c o u n trie s in th e w o rld a re p h y sic a lly able to p ro v id e t h a t a id . C h ie f of th ese is th e U n ite d S ta te s, w ith C a n a d a, A rg e n tin a , a n d a few o th e rs able to p ro v id e assistan ce in m u ch sm a lle r am o u n ts. I t could be m a in ta in e d th a t th e stric k e n c o u n trie s sh o u ld a d ju s t th e ir sta n d a r d s o f liv in g to th e low er levels d ic ta te d by th e ir p re se n t p ro d u c tiv e resources, a n d th u s b rin g th e ir acco u n ts w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s in to b alan ce b y c u ttin g im p o rts a n d seeking to in crease e x p o rts th ro u g h red u ce d in te rn a l p ric es o r e xch an ge ra te s. A sid e fro m m o ral a n d h u m a n ita ria n rea so n s f o r n o t a d v o c a tin g a so lu tio n th a t w ould m ean a c tu a l m ass s ta rv a tio n in m an y c o u n trie s, i t w ould n o t be to th e lo n g -ru n p o litic a l o r econom ic a d v a n ta g e o f th e U n ite d S ta te s to p e r p e tu a te th e p re se n t in eq u ality . I n a n y even t, f o r th e n e x t sev e ra l y e ars a g g re g a te fo re ig n a b ility to p rod u ce w ill be too low to m eet req u irem e n ts fo r e x p o rt in a d d i tio n to th o se f o r dom estic c o n su m p tion a n d rec o n stru c tio n . C onse q u e n tly , o u r im p o rts w ill re m a in c o m p a ra tiv e ly sm all, w h ile fo reig n d e m a n d fo r o u r p ro d u c ts w ill co n tin u e to be re la tiv e ly h ig h . T h e re s u ltin g deficit in th is in te rim p e rio d can be a m e lio ra te d by a n y one o r a c o m b in a tio n o f th e fo llo w in g m e th o d s : U n ila te r a l T r a n s fe r s I n th e first place, we can h e lp w a r-d e v a s ta te d c o u n trie s to m eet m in im u m e sse n tial needs f o r subsistence a n d n a tio n a l se c u rity th ro u g h a sy stem o f u n ila te ra l tra n s fe rs , p a r tic u la r ly to th o se c oun tr ie s w hose p o litic a l s ta b ility — a n d , hence, econom ic w e lfare — is a p rim e o bjective o f o u r fo re ig n policy. T h is so lu tio n h a s th e v irtu e o f re c o g n iz in g th e h a r d fa c ts o f th e situ a tio n , because, lik e w a rtim e 156 lend-lease, i t w o u ld p re v e n t th e c re a tio n o f a b u rd e n o f “ d e ad w e ig h t” in te rn a tio n a l d e b t o f th e c h a ra c te r t h a t p la g u e d th e w o rld econom y in th e in te rw a r p erio d . L iq u id a tio n of G o ld and D o lla r A ssets A s a second a lte rn a tiv e , w h ich , how ever, is n o t a v a ila b le to som e o f th e n a tio n s in g re a te s t need , fo r e ig n c o u n trie s can d ra w on th e ir e x istin g lo n g - a n d sh o rt- te rm d o lla r assets a n d sell us go ld, e ith e r fro m new p r o d u c tio n o r fro m stocks. A s discu ssed elsew here in th is volum e,1 fo r e ig n c o u n trie s h e ld a b o u t $23.8 b illio n in g o ld a n d s h o rt te rm d o lla r assets a t th e e n d o f 1945, c o m p a re d w ith a b o u t $15.8 b il lio n a t th e e n d o f 1939. A p a r t o f th is $8-billion in crease, to g e th e r w ith g o ld c u rre n tly p ro d u ce d , w ill u n d o u b te d ly be u sed to p u rc h a se goods a n d services in th is c o u n try ; in fa c t, $3.1 b illio n w as so used betw een J a n u a r y 1,1946, a n d M a rc h 31,1947. H o w m u ch o f th e re m a in d e r w ill be u sed is c o n je c tu ra l, d e p e n d in g on m a n y fa c to rs— som e o f th e m su b jectiv e. T h e b e tte r th e econom ic p ro sp e cts, f o r in stan c e, th e sm a lle r w o u ld be th e n e ed f o r reserves re q u ire d to m ee t a d v e rse flu c tu a tio n s in fo re ig n b alan c es o f p a y m en ts. I n a n y event, th e d e sire to m a in ta in a d eq u ate w o rk in g b a l ances w ould b e w eig h e d a g a in s t th e n e ed f o r U n ite d S ta te s goods a n d services in excess o f th e a m o u n ts w h ich c ou ld be financed o u t o f c u rre n t e a rn in g s o r U n ite d S ta te s g r a n ts a n d c re dits. A n im p o r ta n t a sp e ct o f th is reserv e p ro b le m is t h a t th e n e ed f o r w o rk in g b alan c es w ill be re la tiv e ly la r g e r i f fo re ig n c o u n trie s p r a c tic e m u ltila te ra l r a th e r th a n b ila te ra l in te rn a tio n a l tra d e . S ince m u l tila te r a l tr a d e is m ore lik e ly to ra ise , a t le a st in th e lo n g ru n , th e s ta n d a rd o f liv in g o f th e p a r tic ip a tin g c o u n trie s a n d to red u ce th e d a n g e r o f th e fo rm a tio n o f econom ic a n d p o litic a l blocs, we sh o u ld find i t to o u r a d v a n ta g e to see to i t t h a t fo re ig n c o u n trie s as a w hole h av e a sufficient su p p ly o f a g e n e ra lly a ccep tab le m ed iu m o f exch an ge. B e fo re W o rld W a r I , go ld, s te rlin g ba la nc es h e ld in L o n d o n , a n d to a lesser e x te n t F re n c h a n d S w iss fra n c s, D u tc h g u ild e rs, a n d o th e r E u ro p e a n c urren cies, se rv ed a s th e p rin c ip a l m ed ia o f exchange. A f te r W o rld W a r I th e U n ite d S ta te s d o lla r w a s a d d e d to th e list, as it cam e to be used n o t o n ly in tr a d e w ith th e U n ite d S ta te s itse lf b u t also in tr a d e b etw een t h ir d c o u n tries. T h e rec e n t w a r c o n sid erab ly in crea se d th e use o f th e d o lla r as an in te rn a tio n a l m edium o f exch an ge, m a in ly because th e U n ite d S ta te s em e rg ed fro m th e w a r as th e o n ly m a jo r c o u n try w hose m oney w as m ore o r less fre e ly e x ch an g ea b le a g a in st com m odities a n d gold. T h e p o u n d ste rlin g , w h ile s till used f o r in te rn a tio n a l tra n sa c tio n s betw een m a n y c o u n trie s, h a s lo s t som e o f its fo rm e r significance. B ecause o f th is de ve lo p m e nt, th e rem o v a l o f re s tric tio n s in w o rld tr a d e w ill d e pe n d to a la rg e e x te n t u p o n th e size a n d d is tr ib u tio n o f fo reig n -o w n e d d o lla r reserves. O u r p o lic y o f re s to rin g a n d m a in ta in in g m u ltila te ra l tr a d e c a rrie s w ith i t th e re s p o n sib ility , th e re fo re , o f m a k in g a v ailab le to fo re ig n c o u n trie s d o lla r ba la nc es m o re th a n ju s t sufficient to m eet c u rre n t o b lig a tio n s h e re. S h o rt- te rm c re d it w as one o f th e p rin c ip a l m ean s b y w h ich G re a t B r ita in lo n g p ro v id e d th e w o rld w ith a m ed ium o f e x ch an g e t h a t h a d th e e la stic ity to e x p a n d w ith th e volum e o f tr a d e its e lf. B ecause o f th e decline in th e le n d in g c a p a c ity o f G re a t B rita in , th e w a r le f t a v acu u m in t h a t field. T o 1 S ee p . 1 0 8 . 157 Im p lem en t th e p o licy o f p ro m o tin g m u ltila te ra l tr a d e , i t w o u ld be d esirab le f o r th e U n ite d S ta te s to fo rm th e m a c h in e ry to fill t h a t vacu um . P e n d in g th is de ve lo p m e nt, th e m o re o f th e ir p re s e n t g o ld a n d d o lla r b alan c es fo re ig n c o u n trie s can p re serv e, th e b e tte r th e p o ssib ilitie s t h a t m u ltila te ra l tr a d e c an be re estab lish ed . L oans and In v estm en ts A f te r m ee tin g basic re lie f req u ire m e n ts th ro u g h g if ts a n d c o n trib u tio n s, th e th ir d a n d p ro b a b ly m o st d e sira b le so lu tio n to th e p ro b le m lies in th e re s to ra tio n a n d d e v e lo p m e n t o f fo re ig n p ro d u c tiv e fa c ilitie s th ro u g h fo re ig n lo a n s a n d in v estm en ts. T h e se lo an s a n d in v estm e n ts sh o u ld red u ce th e g a p b etw een A m e ric a n a n d fo r e ig n p ro d u c tiv ity suffi c ie n tly to service th e lo a n s a n d still leave m o re f o r in te rn a l in v e s t m e n t a n d c o n su m p tio n w ith in fo r e ig n c o u n trie s th a n th e y p re se n tly have. A t th e e n d o f th e w a r to ta l U n ite d S ta te s in v estm e n ts a b ro a d w ere ro u g h ly $15 b illio n . P o s tw a r lo a n co m m itm e n ts d u rin g th e fo llo w in g 4 o r 5 y e a rs m a y a d d a n a m o u n t eq u al to o r g r e a te r th a n th a t. T h e su m o f a ll fo re ig n in v estm e n ts a t th e e n d o f th e re c o n stru c tio n p e rio d m a y n o t be m u ch h ig h e r in re a l te rm s th a n th e $20- to $25 -b illion p e a k o f B ritis h fo re ig n in v estm e n ts re ac h ed b e fo re th is w a r a t m u ch lo w er p ric e levels. S u c h in v estm e n ts w o u ld c o n tin u e th e d e ve lo p m e nt o f th e U n ite d S ta te s as a n in te rn a tio n a l le n d in g c o u n try w h ich s ta rte d lo n g b e fo re W o rld W a r I b u t w h ich w as in te rr u p te d d u rin g th e 1930’s. T h e y w o u ld also le a d to a f u r th e r in crease in th e p ro p o rtio n o f lo n g -te rm in te rn a tio n a l c a p ita l m o v em en ts o rig in a tin g fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s. W h ile th is d e v e lo p m e n t c an be observed f o r th e la s t h a lf c e n tu ry (a g a in o m ittin g th e 1930’s ) , i t m a y be assum ed t h a t W o rld W a r I I h a s g re a tly a cc ele ra ted th e tr e n d . T h is reflects th e in crea sed econom ic s tre n g th o f th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d th e d eclin e o f th e U n ite d K in g d o m , th e N e th e rla n d s, F ra n c e , a n d B elg iu m as m a jo r in te rn a tio n a l in v es to rs. T h e rise o f C a n a d a , A rg e n tin a , a n d p o ssib ly a few o th e rs can h a r d ly c o m p en sate f o r th e d ecline o f th e E u ro p e a n c ou n tries. T h u s th e U n ite d S ta te s is a ssu m in g th e m a jo r in te rn a tio n a l b a n k in g fu n c tio n o f th e w o rld a n d w ith i t a la rg e sh a re in th e re sp o n s ib ility f o r o rd e rly d e velo p m en t o f th e in te rn a tio n a l econom y. T h is req u ire s s ta b ility in in te rn a tio n a l le n d in g , a v o id in g su d d e n in te rru p tio n s as in th e la te 1920’s a n d e a rly 1930’s. I n th is ta s k th e In te r n a tio n a l B a n k c an be o f m a jo r a id , p a r tic u la r ly b y p ro v id in g new m a c h in e ry to a p p ra is e th e d e sira b ility o f such in v estm e n ts a n d by ta k in g o v er a la rg e p a r t o f th e risk . T h e P r o b le m o f R ep aym en t I n te r n a tio n a l lo an s a n d in v estm en ts n ece ssarily influence n o t only o th e r b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts item s such as in te rn a tio n a l tr a d e , b u t in d ire c tly also th e do m e stic econom ies o f th e c o u n trie s in v o lv ed . T h e tr a n s f e r p rob lem s in co n n ectio n w ith th e outflow o f fu n d s a rs u su a lly m in o r, because o f th e fre q u e n t tie -in o f lo an s w ith m e rc h an d ise t r a n s fe rs, o r because o f th e n e ed f o r a d d itio n a l im p o rts b y th e b o rro w in g c o u n try . M a jo r p ro b lem s a n d c o m p lica tio n s m ay , how ever, a rise w ith th e r e tu r n flow o f th e fu n d s . I n a n a ly z in g th e lo n g -ru n effect o f th e w a r on in te rn a tio n a l econom ic re la tio n s, th e a b ility o f th e new d e bto r 158 c o u n trie s to service th e ir d e b t— a n d o f th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d o th e r c re d ito r c o u n trie s to ab so rb th e p a y m e n ts—m u s t h e ta k e n in to c on sid e ra tio n . I n th is c on n ectio n th e d e velo p m en ts a f te r W o r ld W a r I m ay to som e e x te n t be lo oked u p o n as a h isto ric p re ce d e n t. I n c o m p a rin g th e 20 y e ars b etw een th e tw o W o rld W a rs w ith th e la s t 100 y e a rs b e fo re W o rld W a r I , th e in te n sity a n d e x te n t o f m a jo r econom ic fric tio n s d u r in g th e in te rw a r p e rio d re p re se n t p e rh a p s th e m o st obvious change. T h e re la tiv e ly sm ooth d ev e lo p m e n t o f in te rn a tio n a l econom ic r e la tio n sh ip s d u r in g th e n in e te e n th a n d e a rly tw e n tie th c en tu rie s m a y be a scribed , in la rg e degree, to a c o n tin u o u s g ro w th o f w o rld p r o d u c tio n a n d tr a d e in w h ich m a la d ju stm e n ts due to th e o v e rra p id d e velo p m en t o f a n y p a r ts o f th e w o rld econom y w ere ne ce ssarily lim ite d in d u ra tio n . T h is g ro w th w as stim u la te d th ro u g h c a p ita l m ovem ents f ro m in d u s tr ia lly a n d c o m m ercially a d v a n ce d c o u n trie s to re la tiv e ly new a re as w ith th e in te n t o f d e v e lo p in g th e p ro d u c tio n a n d tr a n s p o r t o f p r o d u c ts w h ich th e c a p ita l- e x p o rtin g c o u n trie s req u ire d . S h ip m e n ts o f th ese goods fro m th e d e b to r to th e c re d ito r c o u n trie s m a d e possible th e tr a n s f e r o f p ro fits o r th e se rv ic in g o f lo an s w ith o u t th e n e ed f o r m a jo r a d ju s tm e n ts in e ith e r g ro u p ’s econom y o r in o th e r p a r ts o f th e w o rld . T h e g ro w th o f p r im a r y in d u strie s a n d tr a n s p o r t f a c ilitie s le d to th e d e v e lo p m e n t o f p ro c essin g a n d m a n u fa c tu rin g in d u strie s in th e “n e w ” a re as, re d u c in g th e n e ed f o r im p o rts in re la tio n to th e ir volum e o f p r o d u c tio n . A t th e sam e tim e th e im p o rt req u irem e n ts o f th e ad v a n c ed c o u n tries, p r im a r ily f o r ra w m a te ria ls, re m a in e d a t a re la tiv e ly con s ta n t r a tio to th e ir level o f p ro d u c tio n . T h e se tw o d e ve lo p m e nts m ay e x p la in th e a p p a re n tly slow er rise o f w o rld tr a d e in m a n u fa c tu re d goods as c o m p a re d w ith w o rld p ro d u c tio n o r w o rld tr a d e in p r im a r y p ro d u c ts.2 T h e re la tiv e ly f a s te r rise o f p r im a r y p ro d u c ts th a n o f m a n u fa c tu re d goods in w o rld tr a d e coin cid ed w ith a cc eleratio n in th e p a y m e n ts of in te re s t a n d o th e r p ro p e rty incom es b y th e “new ” a re a s to th e econom ic a lly o ld e r c o u n tries, as c o m p a re d w ith th e re la tiv e ly sta b le r a te o f n ew lo an s a n d in v estm en ts b y th e l a tt e r c o u n trie s to th e fo rm e r. T h e n o rm a l d e ve lo p m e nt o f tr a d e , th e re fo re , com p lem ented th e n o rm a l d e ve lo p m e nt o f c a p ita l a n d c ap ital-in c o m e m ovem ents, th u s o b v ia tin g m a jo r b a la n c e-o f-p a y m e n ts difficulties. I n sev e ra l re sp e c ts 'W o rld W a r I in te rr u p te d th e c o m p lem e n ta ry r e l a tio n o f tr a d e a n d fin a n c ia l tra n s a c tio n s, th e p rin c ip a l ch an g es b e in g : (1) T h e g re a tly a d v a n c ed in d u s tria liz a tio n o f th e econom ically new a re as, w h ich red u c ed w o rld sp ec ia liz a tio n a n d in te rn a tio n a l d iv isio n o f p r o d u c tio n a n d g e n e ra lly sp eeded u p th e decline o f in te rn a tio n a l tr a d e in m a n u fa c tu re d goods in re la tio n to w o rld p ro d u c tio n . (2 ) T h e em ergence o f one o f th e p rin c ip a l “n e w ” a re as, th e U n ite d S ta te s, w ith a la rg e incom e fro m fo r e ig n in v estm en ts, a n d o f som e o f th e o ld e r in d u stria liz e d c o u n trie s w ith red u ce d n e t incom es f ro m th e ir fo re ig n in v estm en ts. T h is a p p lie s m o st o f a ll to G e rm a n y , w h ich c h a n g ed fro m a c re d ito r to a d e b to r n a tio n , b u t also because o f w a r debts, to th e U n ite d K in g d o m , F ra n c e , a n d I ta ly . (3 ) T h e la rg e in crea se o f in te rn a tio n a l in d eb ted n ess, m o stly o f th e ty p e r e q u ir in g fixed-service p a y m e n ts, r a th e r th a n d ire c t in v estm e n ts w h ich u s u a lly in v o lv e v a ria b le p a y m e n ts o f p rofits. T h e c h an g e o f th e U n ite d S ta te s to a c re d ito r n a tio n w as, how ever, 2 S e e I n d u s t r i a l i z a t i o n a n d F o r e i g n T r a d e , p p . 1 4 ff., L e a g u e o f N a t i o n s , 1 9 4 5 . 159 n o t in d u c ed , as m ig h t h a v e been e xp e cted in th e o ry , by a re la tiv e de clin e in th e p ro fita b ility o f new in v estm e n ts in th is c o u n try below th e expected p ro fita b ility o f new in v estm e n ts in th e d e b to r c o u n tries, p r i m a rily G e rm a n y a n d th e A llie d N a tio n s. I n th e case o f lo a n s b y th e U n ite d S ta te s to th ese c o u n trie s, th e outflow o f c a p ita l d id n o t lead, th e re fo re , to th e d e ve lo p m e nt o f in d u strie s w h ich , because o f th e ir h ig h e r p ro fita b ility , could su ccessfully com pete w ith th o se o f th e c re d ito r c o u n try a n d th u s f a c ilita te th e se rv ic in g o f th e lo a n s o r in vestm ents. N ev erth eless, because th e b o rro w in g c o u n trie s w ere in d u stria liz e d n a tio n s w hose m ain e x p o rts c on sisted o f m a n u fa c tu re d p ro d u c ts, d e b t service re q u ire d a re la tiv e ly in c re a sin g a m o u n t o f m a n u fa c tu re d goods in in te rn a tio n a l tra d e . T h e n e ed f o r h ig h e r e x p o rts o f m a n u fa c tu re d g o o ds b y th e new d eb to rs, w as acco m p an ied b y e x p a n d e d p ro d u c tiv ity a n d , consequently, re la tiv e ly sm a lle r im p o rt req u irem e n ts fo r such g oo ds b y th e p r in c ip a l c re d ito r c o u n try — th e U n ite d S ta te s. T h is s itu a tio n u n d o u b t e d ly c o n trib u te d to tr a n s f e r difficulties a n d in te rn a tio n a l insolvencies, th e' collapse o f lo n g -estab lish e d c u rre n c y re la tio n s h ip s, th e s u b s titu tio n o f b a r te r f o r in te rn a tio n a l tr a d e , a n d th e g e n e ra l su sp en sion o f new in te rn a tio n a l lo a n s a n d in v e stm e n ts d u rin g th e 1930’s. I n m a n y w ays th e d ev elo p m en ts d u r in g a n d a f te r W o rld W a rs I a n d I I a re sim ila r. (1 ) C re d ito r c o u n trie s a g a in , as a f te r W o rld W a r I , a re p r im a r ily th e re la tiv e ly “n e w ” c o u n trie s, in c lu d in g th e U n ite d S ta te s. (2 ) I n d u s tr ia liz a tio n o f econom ically new a re a s h a s m ad e f u r th e r a n d even la r g e r strid e s th a n d u r in g W o rld W a r I . I t is p ro b a b le , th e re fo re , t h a t th e te n d e n c y w ill be f o r th e d iv ergen ce b etw een th e d e ve lo p m e nt o f w o rld tr a d e in m a n u fa c tu re d goods a n d th e d ev elo p m e n t o f w o rld p r o d u c tio n to c o n tinu e to grow . (3) T h e new b o rro w e rs, ju s t as a f te r W o rld W a r I , a re th e in d u s tria liz e d c o u n trie s, th e U n ite d K in g d o m , F ra n c e , I ta ly , th e N e th e r la n d s, a n d , p e rh a p s a t som e f u tu r e tim e , G e rm an y . T h e se c o u n trie s can service th e ir d eb ts o n ly th ro u g h in crea se d e x p o rts o f m a n u fa c tu re d goods. (4 ) T o ta l w o rld in d eb ted n e ss, p a r tic u la r ly th e p a r t w h ich consists o f o b lig a tio n s re q u ir in g fixed in te re s t a n d a m o r tiz a tio n p a y m en ts, h a s g re a tly in crea se d , th u s f u r th e r e x p o sin g th e solvency o f th e d e b to r c o u n trie s to th e flu c tu a tio n s o f w o rld b u sin e ss a c tiv ity a n d prices. T h e coincidence o f th ese circu m stan ce s en g e n d e rs, ju s t as a f te r W o rld W a r I , difficulties in th e tr a n s f e r o f d e b t o b lig a tio n s w h ich w o u ld be g re a tly a cc e n tu a te d i f new lo ans a n d o th e r a id sh o u ld su d d e n ly be su sp en d ed . I t does n o t seem in ev ita b le , how ever, t h a t th e e xp erien ce o f th e in te rw a r p e rio d n e ed be re p ea te d . U n d e r th e f o l lo w in g circu m stan ce s, difficulties a ris in g fro m th e tr e n d s in th e devel o p m e n t o f w o rld tr a d e a n d th e p e c u lia r econom ic re la tio n s h ip betw een d e b to r a n d c re d ito r c o u n trie s could be resolved : (a) S ervice c h arg e s on lo an s h a v e to be tr a n s f e rr e d b y th e new d e b to rs p r im a r ily th ro u g h in c rea se d e x p o rts o f m a n u fa c tu re d goods o r th ro u g h th e re n d e rin g o f services, such as s h ip p in g o r to u ris t se rv ices. E x p o rts o f th ese goods a n d services d ire c t to th e c re d ito r co u n tr ie s , p a r tic u la r ly th e U n ite d S ta te s, m ay n o t be sufficient to m eet a ll th e d e b t o b lig a tio n s in a d d itio n to m a k in g p a y m e n ts f o r c u rre n t tra n sa c tio n s. I t is necessary t h a t th ese d e b to r c o u n trie s h av e an 160 e x p o r t su rp lu s on c u rre n t a cc o u n t w ith th e c o u n trie s p ro d u c in g a n d e x p o rtin g p r im a r y p ro d u c ts, a n d t h a t th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d a ll o th e r c re d ito r c o u n trie s w h ic h su p p ly m o st o f th e ir re q u ire m e n ts f o r m a n u fa c tu re d p ro d u c ts fro m d o m estic p r o d u c tio n h a v e a n e q u iv a le n t im p o r t su rp lu s fro m th e c o u n trie s p ro d u c in g p r im a r y m a te ria ls. I n o th e r w o rds, de bt-se rv ice c h a rg e s could h a r d ly be tr a n s f e r r e d w ith o u t / m u ltila te ra l tr a d e , w h ich w o u ld be fa c ilita te d by a w o rld -w id e red u c-/ tio n in tr a d e b a rrie rs . ' (b ) E v e n th is p rin c ip le , how ever, w o u ld n o t be sufficient unless b o th th e c re d ito r n a tio n s a n d th e in te rm e d ia ry c o u n trie s h a v e a sufficiently h ig h dom estic p ro d u c tio n a n d incom e to re q u ire im p o rts o f a m a g n itu d e sufficient to p ro v id e fo re ig n e xch an g e to m eet b o th th e d e b to rs’ c u rre n t im p o rt req u irem e n ts a n d th e ir d e bt-se rv ic e o b li g a tio n s. I t is necessary, th e re fo re , to p re v e n t econom ic flu c tu a tio n s n o t o n ly in th is c o u n try b u t also in th e m a jo r c o u n trie s p ro d u c in g p r im a r y p ro d u c ts. T h e U n ite d S ta te s, as th e o u ts ta n d in g e x p o rte r o f new c a p ita l, is in a key p o s itio n to h e lp keep econom ic e x p a n sio n in th ese c o u n trie s ste a d y as w ell a s to e x e rt a p ro m in e n t influence u p o n th e sta b iliz a tio n o f w o rld d e m a n d f o r th e ir p r in c ip a l p ro d u c ts. T h e n eed f o r su ch a c tiv itie s h a s been rec og n iz ed a n d th e fra m e w o rk f o r a p p r o p r ia te a ctio n h a s b een p ro v id e d b y th e o rg a n iz a tio n o f th e U n ite d N a tio n s, a n d its sp ecialized agencies. (c) T h e p r o d u c tiv ity o f th e d e b to r c o u n trie s w ill h av e to be suffi c ie n tly in crea se d to enab le th e m to com pete su ccessfully w ith o th e r c o u n trie s in w o rld m ark e ts. S in ce a la r g e r p a r t o f th e lo a n s a f te r th is w a r— as c o m p ared w ith th e lo an s d u r in g W o rld W a r I — w as fo r th e re c o n s tru c tio n o f th e p ro d u c tiv e p la n t in fo re ig n c o u n trie s, i t m ay be assum ed t h a t a f te r co m p le tio n o f th e re c o n s tru c tio n process a la rg e p a r t o f fo re ig n in d u s try w ill be e q u ip p ed w ith m o d ern fa c ilitie s a n d w ill be in a re la tiv e ly b e tte r c om p etitiv e p o sitio n th a n b e fo re th e w ar. F u rth e rm o re , i t m a y be rec og n iz ed a b ro a d t h a t th e c o m p etitiv e a d v a ntag e s o f th e d eb to r c o u n trie s’ in d u strie s c an be in c rea sed if, th ro u g h th e c o m b in a tio n o f sev e ra l c o u n trie s in to la rg e r econom ic u n its, g r e a te r use c an be m ad e o f m ass-p ro d u c tio n techniq ues. (d ) A f u r th e r a id in sm o o th in g th e tr a n s f e r o f in te rn a tio n a l d e b t service a n d in a v o id in g re s tric tio n s u p o n in te rn a tio n a l tr a d e a n d c a p ita l m ovem ents, such as th o se t h a t o b ta in e d in th e e a rly 1930’s, w ould be th e m o re g e n e ra l a d o p tio n o f d e fe rm e n t p ro v isio n s f o r in te re st p a y m e n ts, such as fo u n d in th e B r itis h lo a n ag ree m e n t. T h e a v a ila b ility o f a id in m ee tin g te m p o ra ry b a la n c e-o f-p ay m en ts diffi c u ltie s th ro u g h th e M o n e ta ry F u n d , a n d th e g e n e ra lly lo w er in te re s t a n d a m o rtiz a tio n ra te s , sh o u ld also be co n sid e re d as su b s ta n tia l im p ro v e m e n ts o v er th e situ a tio n e x istin g a f te r W o rld W a r I . B y 1951, w’h e n p ra c tic a lly a ll G o v e rn m en t p o stw a r lo a n s m a d e u p to th e en d o f 1947 w ill re q u ire f u ll service, re c e ip ts o f in te re s t a n d a m o rtiz a tio n on su ch lo an s sh o u ld a m o u n t to a b o u t $450 m illio n . I n a d d itio n , if d o lla r lo a n s th ro u g h th e I n te r n a tio n a l B a n k rise to $4 billion, in te re s t a n d a m o rtiz a tio n on th ese m a y re q u ire a ro u n d $200 m illio n . E a rn in g s a n d a m o rtiz a tio n on lo an s a n d in v e stm e n ts e x istin g u p to th e e n d o f th e w a r a re a ro u n d $1 b illio n . F u r th e r p r iv a te o r G o v e rn m en t lo a n s w o u ld in crea se a g g re g a te re ce ip ts even above th e in d ic a te d to ta l o f fro m $1.6 b illio n to $1.7 b illio n . T h is a m o u n t is h ig h e r th a n th e to ta l d o lla rs received b y fo r e ig n c o u n trie s fro m th e sale o f goods to th e U n ite d S ta te s in 1932. O b v iously, th e re fo re , 161 fo re ig n c o u n trie s w o u ld n o t be able to m eet th e ir d e b t o b lig a tio n s a n d even th e ir m in im u m im p o rt re q u ire m e n ts fro m th e U n ite d S ta te s if we a n d th e re s t o f th e w o rld slid e in to a n o th e r d ep ressio n o f th e 1932 m a g n itu d e . T h e re a re , how ever, sev eral rea so n s to believe t h a t a n o th e r d e p res sio n o f th is m a g n itu d e w ill be av o id ed . T h e experien ce d u r in g th e w a r a n d th e first tw o p o s tw a r y e a rs h a s p ro v e d t h a t a h ig h level o f p r o d u c tio n is possible. T h e peo p le o f th e U n ite d S ta te s h a v e le a rn e d th a t severe dep ressio n s a re n o t in e v ita b le a n d th a t th e y c an be a vo id ed th ro u g h a p p r o p r ia te a n d courag eou s a ctio n s on th e p a r t o f G o v e rn m e n t a n d business. F u rth e rm o re , since 1933 v a rio u s m eans o f k e ep in g u p incom e a n d in v e stm e n t h a v e been d e veloped a n d a p p ro p ria te ly o rg a n iz ed . T h e se in clud e, a m o n g o th ers, so cial in su ra n c e , in su re d lo an s to h om e o w n ers a n d fa rm e rs , a n d p ric e su p p o rts fo r a g ric u ltu ra l p ro d u c ts. I n a d d itio n , th e re is th e consciousness on th e p a r t o f all th o se in te re s te d in o r resp o n sib le f o r th e c o n d u c t o f p o litic a l a n d eco nom ic a ffa irs th a t th e m a in te n an ce o f th e d em o cratic fo rm o f g o v e rn m e n t h e re as w ell as a b ro a d is based u p o n th e success w ith w h ic h o u r ty p e o f econom ic sy stem o p erates. I m p o rts in to th e U n ite d S ta te s o f goods a n d services, w h ich con s titu te th e m o st im p o r ta n t source o f d o lla r e xch an ge f o r fo re ig n coun trie s, h av e h isto ric a lly fo llo w ed r a th e r closely th e c han ges in o u r business a c tiv ity . I t is d o u b tfu l th a t th e w a r, on b alance, h a s le f t th e U n ite d S ta te s re la tiv e ly m ore self-sufficient. T ru e , we h av e developed m a n y su b s titu te s f o r p ro d u c ts w h ich we fo r m e rly im p o rte d , o r have le a rn e d to g e t a lo n g w ith o u t th em . I t re m a in s to be seen, how ever, to w h a t e x te n t we w ill co n tin u e to do w ith o u t th ese p ro d u c ts w hen th e y becom e re a d ily av ailab le. M oreo v er, w e h a v e c o nsid e ra b ly re d u ce d th e reserves o f som e o f o u r m o st im p o rta n t n a tu r a l resources, a n d i f h ig h levels o f in d u s tria l p r o d u c tio n p re v a il h e re, som e o f o u r dom estic su p p lie s m ay h a v e to be su p p le m e n te d by im p o rts fro m a b ro a d . T h e re sh o u ld also be a la r g e r m a rk e t h e re f o r d istin c tiv e consu m er goods w h ic h a re n o t th e p r o d u c ts o f m a ss-p ro d u c tio n in d u strie s , a n d w h ich , th e re fo re , co u ld be p ro d u c e d a b ro a d a t lo w er c o m p a ra tiv e costs. T h e lo n g e r, how ever, th e re h a b ilita tio n o f fo r e ig n p r o d u c tio n is d elay ed , th e g re a te r w ill be th e tr e n d to w a r d self-sufficiency in th e U n ite d S ta te s. E v e n a ssu m in g t h a t th e fa c to rs w h ich w o u ld red u ce im p o rts in r e la tio n to th e level o f d om estic p ro d u c tio n a re n o t q u ite co m p en sated by th o se w h ic h w o u ld in crea se th e m , o u r p u rc h a ses o f goods a n d se rv ices m ig h t be expected to rise to $10 b illio n o r $11 b illio n p e r y e a r a t p ric es p re v a ilin g d u r in g th e first 6 m o n th s o f 1947— u n d e r c o n d itio n s o f p ro sp e rity in th is c o u n try a n d a f te r p ro d u c tiv e a n d service fa c ilitie s a b ro a d a re re sto red . E v e n h ig h e r levels m a y b e re ac h ed i f U n ite d S ta te s tr a d e b a r rie r s a re su b sta n tia lly red u ce d. C o m p a re d w ith th is level o f im p o rts, w h ich could be su p p le m e n te d b y p riv a te a n d p u b lic g ifts a n d by c o n tin u e d c a p ita l e x p o rts, th e p ro sp ec tiv e b u rd e n im p o sed u p o n fo r e ig n c o u n trie s by th e ir d e b t o b lig a tio n s does n o t seem to be in to le ra b ly h ig h . I t sh o u ld n o t be a ssum ed fro m th e fo re g o in g p a r a g r a p h s t h a t th e d o lla r p ro b lem w ill a u to m a tic a lly be solved b y th e co m p le tio n o f re c o n stru c tio n . T h e existen ce o f r a p id c om m u n ica tio n s a n d th e w a r tim e m ovem ents o f A m e ric a n tro o p s, eq u ip m e nt, a n d su p p lie s h av e m ad e th e w hole w o rld b e tte r a cq u a in te d w ith A m eric an tech n iq u es, 162 „ # a n d th e use o f A m e ric a n p ro d u c ts w ill c o n tin u e to g row . H o w e v e r, a c o ntin u o u s s h o rta g e o f d o lla rs m ig h t in d ic a te a b asic d iseq u ilib riu m in th e r a te o f e x ch an g e b etw een th e d o lla r a n d fo re ig n c urren cies. B e fo re th e w a r, d o lla r sc a rc ities w ere accom pan ied by sc arcities o f o th e r cu rre n c ie s w h ich w ere fre e ly c o n v e rtib le in to d o lla rs o r gold. T h e re fo re , if fo re ig n c o u n trie s im p o sed im p o rt o r exch an ge c o ntro ls, th e y w ere n o t n ece ssarily d isc rim in a to ry a g a in st th e U n ite d S ta te s. I f , in th e fu tu re , th e d o lla r a n d o n ly a re la tiv e ly few o th e r c u rren c ie s becom e scarce in th e r e s t o f th e w o rld , im p o r t r e s tric tio n s w ill h av e to b e d ire c te d specifically a g a in st th e sc arc e-cu rre nc y c ou n tries. T h e e x ac t m eth o d s o f d e a lin g w ith th e sc arc e-cu rre nc y p ro b le m w ill be d e te rm in e d by th e M o n e ta ry F u n d . E v e n th o u g h th is in te rn a tio n a l agency m ay in su re an o rd e rly process in a d ju s t in g d o lla r-s c a rc ity p rob lem s, i t w ould n e v e rth e le ss be to th e a d v a n ta g e o f th e U n ite d S ta te s n o t to becom e econom ically isolated. T h is situ a tio n can be a v o id ed th ro u g h g r e a te r d isb u rse m e n ts of d o lla rs by th e U n ite d S ta te s f o r im p o rts o f goods a n d services o r th ro u g h fo re ig n in v estm en ts. A h ig h level o f dom estic p ro d u c tio n a n d c o n su m p tio n , fa v o ra b le policies in re sp e c t to ta rif fs a n d e x p o rt subsid ies, c o n se rv a tio n o f d o m estic n a tu r a l resources, stim u la tio n o f fo re ig n tr a v e l, a n d fo re ig n in v estm e n ts to in crea se fo re ig n p ro d u c tiv ity sh o u ld in th e lo n g r u n p ro v id e a s a tisf a c to ry a n sw e r to th e d o lla r-s c a rc ity problem . Sum m ary V ie w in g a ll th ese tr e n d s to g e th e r, i t seems t h a t th e w a r h a s le ft th e U n ite d S ta te s th e o p p o rtu n ity a n d re sp o n sib ility o f a ssistin g in th e re c o n stru c tio n o f th e w o rld econom y on th e b asis o f p rin c ip le s w h ich p ro v id e f o r th e g re a te s t p o ssib le fre e d o m o f tr a d e a n d th e h ig h e st s ta n d a rd o f liv in g a tta in a b le w ith th e e x istin g n a tu r a l r e sources a n d tech n o log y . T h is re sp o n s ib ility involv es th e a d o p tio n o f policies w h ich w ould su ccessfully m in im ize econom ic flu c tu a tio n s in th is c o u n try as w ell as in w o rld tra d e . I f we f a il to m ee t th is o p p o rtu n ity su ccessfully w e m a y be faced w ith econom ic iso la tio n ism th ro u g h th e c re a tio n o f econom ic a n d p o litic a l blocs a b ro a d , a n d w ith a g re a tly red u ce d w o rld tr a d e con d u c te d to a n in c re a s in g e x te n t on b ila te ra l p rin c ip le s th ro u g h G o v e rn m e n t o rg a n iz a tio n s o r u n d e r G o v e rn m en t d ire c tio n . A d a p ta tio n o f o u r ow n fo re ig n tr a d e to such c o n d itio n s m ig h t c re a te th e neces sity o f e x te n d in g c o n tro ls to a n in c re a sin g e x te n t over o u r dom estic econom y. 163 & A p p e n d ix A C o n c e p ts a n d D e fin itio n s G e n e r a l S ta te m e n t A s w ill h a v e b e e n n o te d , t h e d a t a in t h is b u lle t in h a v e b e e n p r e s e n t e d in a n e w fo r m , fir s t a d o p te d e s tim a te s fo r by 1 9 4 5 .1 th e D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m erce B ecau se th e v o lv e d d iffe r to s o m e e x t e n t f r o m m e th o d in p r e s e n tin g o f p r e s e n ta tio n and p r e lim in a r y th e c o n c e p ts j u s t ific a tio n o f t h e n e w p r o c e d u r e w o u ld s e e m t o b e in o r d e r . I n th e p a s t th e b a la n c e o f in te r n a tio n a l p a y m e n ts w a s o r d in a r ily as a s ta tis tic a l c o u n try . P rom to o l th is fo r a n a ly z in g p o in t of th e v ie w in te r n a t io n a l o n ly tr a n s a c tio n s fin a n c ia l th a t a p a r tic u la r m en t or cr ea ted a ex p o rt o f go o d s, fo r m o n eta ry c la im on in s ta n c e , (o r in v o lv e d in v o lv e d e x tin g u is h e d a c o n s id e r e d p o s itio n f u t u r e p a y m e n ts in a m o r e o r le s s lit e r a l m o n e ta r y s e n s e n e e d e d U n le s s in t h o s e p r e v io u s ly e m p lo y e d , a n e x p la n a t io n a n d of p resen t a or to b e in c lu d e d . an im m e d ia t e m o n eta ry debt pay to ) a fo r e ig n c o u n tr y , it w a s n o t in c lu d e d in th e s t a te m e n t o f f o r e ig n tr a n s a c tio n s . T h e e ffe c ts o n th e d o m e s tic e c o n o m y o f in te r n a t io n a l t r a d e w e r e o f in t e r e s t p r im a r ily in e x p la in in g t h e w o r k in g o f t h e a d j u s t m e n t m e c h a n is m u n d e r w h ic h a n e x c e s s o f e x p o r t s o r im p o r ts w o u ld s e t in m o tio n c e r t a in e c o n o m ic c h a n g e s in t e r e s t r a t e s a n d p r ic e s ) t h a t w o u ld te n d to r e v e r s e th e flo w r e s t o r e e q u ilib r iu m in t h e in t e r n a t io n a l a c c o u n ts . In ( p r i m a r il y in o f p a y m e n ts a n d r e c e n t y e a r s th e d e v e lo p m e n t o f n a t io n a l a c c o u n tin g — n a t io n a l in c o m e a n d p r o d u c t d a ta — h a s le d tr a n s a c tio n s in th e to a m o re th o ro u g h d o m e s tic econom y. c o n s id e r a tio n In p a r tic u la r , o f th e p la c e o f fo r e ig n it has seem ed a d v is a b le to s h o w in th e b a la n c e -o f-p a y in e n ts s t a t e m e n t t h e e x t e n t to w h ic h d o m e s tic a lly p r o d u c e d g o o d s a n d s e r v ic e s h a v e b e e n t r a n s fe r r e d to f o r e ig n c o u n tr ie s a n d v ic e v e r s a , a n d h o w If a c o u n tr y t h e d iffe r e n c e ex p o r ts m o re th a n o f th re e w a y s. 1 . B y in te r n a tio n a l g if t s ( t h e e x p o r t o r im p o r t s u r p lu s ) i t im p o r ts , th e e x c e s s o r c o n tr ib u tio n s , s u c h p e r s o n a l g if t s s u c h a s s o -c a lle d as can w a s fin a n c e d . b e fin a n c e d in O ne le n d -le a s e , r e p a r a tio n s , im m ig r a n t r e m itta n c e s . I t s h o u ld b e n o ted or th a t t h is r e s u lt m a y b e a c c o m p lis h e d e ith e r b y g iv in g th e f o r e ig n c o u n t r ie s t h e g o o d s a n d s e r v i c e s ( e . g ., t h r o u g h l e n d - l e a s e ) o r g i v i n g t h e m t h e m o n e y w i t h w h i c h t o b u y g o o d s a n d s e r v ic e s 2 . B y lo n g -te r m in g lo n g -te r m ( e . g ., p e r s o n a l o r i m m i g r a n t r e m i t t a n c e s ) . c a p ita l m o v e m e n ts. T h e e x p o r t-s u r p lu s c o u n tr y m a y b e m a k lo a n s a n d o th e r in v e s t m e n ts a b r o a d , o r th e fo r e ig n c o u n tr ie s m a y b e liq u id a t in g t h e ir in v e s t m e n ts in th e e x p o r t in g c o u n tr y . 3. B y th e u se o f liq u id fo r e ig n -e x c h a n g e reserves, n o r m a lly g o ld and sh o r t te r m f o r e ig n -e x c h a n g e h o ld in g s . T h e e x p o r t in g c o u n tr y m a y a c c e p t g o ld , in c r e a s e it s h o ld in g s o f f o r e ig n c u r r e n c y o r o th e r s h o r t-te r m c la im s o n fo r e ig n c o u n tr ie s , o r th e f o r e ig n e x p o r tin g c o u n tr y . c o u n tr ie s m ay redu ce th e ir sh o r t-te r m c la im s on th e T h e fo r m o f p r e s e n ta tio n a d o p te d ( ta b le 1 ) d is c lo s e s a ll t h e s e f a c t s in a r e la t iv e ly s u c c in c t m a n n e r . U n d e r t h e g e n e r a l h e a d in g o f r e c e ip t s ( a ls o c o m m o n ly c a lle d U n ite d su ch c r e d its ) are S ta te s fr o m p a y m e n ts. s im p ly as e n te r e d F ir s t, go o d s— a n d (in c o m e o n a ll th o s e abroad, or of cou rse, s o -c a lle d in v e s tm e n ts ), o ce a n th e c o u n tr y , a n d s im ila r ite m s . ta b le . w h ic h are tr a n s a c tio n s w o u ld th a t m e r c h a n d is e in v is ib le in v o lv e o r d in a r ily p a y m e n ts p resu m ed e x p o r ts — h e r e in e x p o rts, su ch f r e ig h t , e x p e n d itu r e s T h e s e a r e c la s s ifie d be as th e s e r v ic e o f fo r e ig n to to th e in v o lv e r e fe r r e d to of c a p ita l to u r is ts w ith in a s g o o d s a n d s e r v ic e s in th e E x p o r ts f o r w h ic h n o p r e s e n t o r f u t u r e p a y m e n t i s r e q u ir e d , f o r e x a m p le , 1 U . S . I n t e r n a t i o n a l T r a n s a c t i o n s i n 1 9 4 5 , F o r e i g n C o m m e r c e W e e k ly , J a n u a r y 1 9 , 1 9 4 6 . 164 s h ip m e n ts u n d e r th e U N ItR A p r o g r a m , a r e in c lu d e d . S im ila r c a te g o r ie s on th e p a y m e n ts ( d e b it ) s id e o f t h e a c c o u n t r e fle c t t h e a c q u is itio n o f g o o d s a n d s e r v ic e s fr o m fo r e ig n e r s , in c lu d in g v is ib le tr a d e , t o u r is t s e r v ic e s , m ilit a r y e x p e n d itu r e s abroad, an d m any o th e r s. T iie s e c o n d m a jo r g r o u p o f t r a n s a c tio n s is d e s ig n a t e d a s u n ila t e r a l tr a n s f e r s — v a lu e s tr a n s fe r r e d to fo r e ig n e r s w ith o u t a n y im m e d ia te q u id p ro q u o o r w ith o u t c r e a tin g o r e x tin g u is h in g a n in te r n a tio n a l d e b t. T h e e s ta b lis h m e n t o f th is a c c o u n t s o lv e s th e p r e v io u s ly e m b a r r a s s in g r e m itta n c e , f o r in s ta n c e , r e p r e s e n te d p r o b le m o f e x p la in in g t h a t a n im m ig r a n t th e p u r c h a s e o f a s e r v ic e , o r t h a t a r e p a r a tio n s p a y m e n t w a s a m o v e m e n t o f c a p ita l. T h e a c c o u n t a ls o in c lu d e s o ffs e ttin g e n t r ie s f o r g o o d s o r s e r v ic e s e x p o r te d o r im p o r te d o n a “f r e e ” b a s i s ; th e p a y m e n t (d e b it) e n tr y , f o r in s ta n c e , in c lu d e s t h e v a lu e o f m e r c h a n d is e f u r n is h e d th r o u g h th e U N R R A m e c h a n is m o r u n d e r o th e r c ir c u m s ta n c e s n o t r e q u ir in g p a y m e n t. T h e a r r a n g e m e n t o f t h e c a p it a l a c c o u n ts f o llo w s t h a t f ir s t e s t a b lis h e d in t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e r c e p u b lic a tio n , T h e U n it e d S t a t e s in t h e W o r ld E c o n o m y . L o n g -te r m c a p ita l m o v e m e n ts a r e c o n s id e r e d a s g e n e r a lly b e in g a u to n o m o u s in n a tu r e a n d c o n s titu tin g p a r t o f th e d o lla r s “s u p p lie d ” o r “u s e d ” ; fo r t h is r e a s o n th e y a r e s h o w n , a lo n g w ith g o o d s a n d s e r v ic e s a n d u n ila t e r a l t r a n s fe r s , u n d e r th e g e n e r a l h e a d in g s o f r e c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts . T h e n e t r e s u lt o f th e s e th r e e ty p e s o f tr a n s a c tio n s is c lo s e ly a k in o f in te r n a tio n a l p a y m e n ts ” a s th a t te r m to a “b a la n c e h a s b e e n e m p lo y e d b y e c o n o m ic w r it e r s w it h le a n in g s t o w a r d t h e c la s s ic a l s c h o o l.2 E r r o r s a n d o m is s io n s a s id e , t h e n e t b a l a n c e t h u s d e t e r m i n e d i s e x a c t l y o f f s e t b y a n i n c r e a s e o r d e c r e a s e i n a c o u n t r y ’s n e t s to c k o f in te r n a t io n a l fin a n c ia l r e s e r v e s — g o ld a n d sh o r t-te r m b a la n o e s . T he la t te r a r e th e n g r o u p e d u n d e r o n e h e a d in g a s th e f o u r th m a jo r ty p e o f in te r n a tio n a l tr a n s a c tio n s . I t m u s t b e r e c o g n iz e d , o f c o u r s e , t h a t s h o r t-te r m c a p ita l m o v e m e n ts m a y t h e m s e lv e s b e a u t o n o m o u s in c h a r a c t e r , p a r t ic u la r ly w h e n a flig h t o f c a p it a l i s o c c u r r in g , w h ile i t h a s b e e n a m p ly t h a t lo n g -te r m c a p ita l m o v e m e n ts d e m o n str a te d ( e s p e c ia lly in t h e lit e r a t u r e o f t h e fie ld tr a n s a c tio n s in o u ts ta n d in g s e c u r i t ie s ) m a y b e e q u ilib r a tin g in n a tu r e . In su m m a r y , it m a y b e o b se r v e d th a t th e s ta te m e n t fu lfills th e d u a l p u r p o se o f r e fle c t in g a ll in t e r n a t io n a l e c o n o m ic t r a n s a c tio n s o f a c o u n tr y w h ile a t th e s a m e t i m e e x h i b i t i n g t h e n e t e f f e c t o f t h e s e t r a n s a c t i o n s o n t h e n a t i o n ’s i n t e r n a t i o n a l fin a n c ia l p o s itio n . R e la tio n T he m ost to G r o s s N a t i o n a l P r o d u c t S t a t is t ic s c o m p r e h e n s iv e sta te m e n t of th e to ta l e c o n o m ic a c tiv ity of a c o u n tr y is t h e t a b le n o w c o m p ile d b y m a n y n a t io n s o f t h e w o r ld a n d c o m m o n ly r e f e r r e d t o a s n a t io n a l p r o d u c t ( o r in c o m e ) a n d e x p e n d it u r e .3 A c tu a lly th e v a r io u s c o m p o n e n ts o f t h is s ta te m e n t— G o v e r n m e n t p u r c h a s e s o f g o o d s a n d s e r v ic e s , d o m e s tic a n d f o r e ig n in v e s t m e n ts , a n d p e r s o n a l c o n s u m p tio n e x p e n d itu r e s — rep resen t th e w h ile th e p r o d u c t. o u tla y s a lg e b r a ic (e x p e n d itu r e s ) su m o f th e o f each th re e o f th e co m p o n e n ts se g m e n ts m easu res o f th e th e gross econom y, n a tio n a l I n a c lo s e d e c o n o m y , e x p e n d itu r e s b y G o v e r n m e n t, c o n s u m e r s , a n d f o r ' d o m e s tic c a p ita l fo r m a tio n w o u ld o b v io u s ly have to equal th e v a lu e of to ta l; d o m e s t ic p r o d u c tio n . T h e in te r n a tio n a l b a la n c e is a c c o u n te d fo r b y in c lu d in g it a ls o e x p e n d itu r e — a n e x c e s s o f e x p o r ts , f o r in s ta n c e , f o r t h e p u r p o s e o f m a k in g f o r e ig n in v e s t m e n ts . part o f th e tr e a te d d o m e s t ic p r o d u c tio n , g r o s s e x p o rts a s a s p e c ia l a n d s e p a r a te d is p o s itio n im p o r t e d com pon ent o f each in v e s tm e n t, e x p o r ts , a n d T h e ta b le w o u ld th e n o f th e fo u r ite m s a c c u r a te ly a d o m e s tic of goods and s e r v ic e s m ig h t b e o f t h e n a tio n a l p r o d u c t, w h ile t h e (G o v e r n m e n t p u r c h a s e s , d o m e s tic c o n su m e r e x p e n d itu r e s ) sh ow as is in c lu d e d a s a n e x p e n d it u r e I n f a c t, s in c e fo r e ig n e r s ta k e c o u ld th e d is p o s itio n b e d e d u c te d fr o m each. o f t o t a l d o m e s tic p r o d u c tio n to f o u r g r o u p s o f c la im a n t s , f o r e ig n c o u n tr ie s c o n s t it u t in g t h e fo u r th g r o u p . S i n c e t h i s l a s t p r o c e d u r e w o u ld b e s t a t i s t i c a l l y d iff ic u lt,4 t h e s a m e u l t im a t e r e s u lt is a c h ie v e d b y e n te r in g t h e n e t fo r e ig n b a la n c e ( in o u r t a b le t h e n e t b a la n c e o n g o o d s a n d s e r v ic e s a n d u n ila te r a l t r a n s fe r s ) a s a c o m p o n e n t o f c a p ita l fo r m a tio n — a lo g ic a l p r o c e d u r e s in c e s u c h b a la n c e d o e s m e a s u r e th e n e t a m o u n t o f fo r e ig n in v e s tm e n t, e r r o r s a n d o m is s io n s in th e d a ta a s id e . T h e title “g r o s s 2 O f. a r t i c l e o n I n t e r n a t i o n a l T r a d e , E n c y c l o p e d i a o f t h e S o c ia l S c ie n c e s , v o l. 8, p. 2 0 0 ff. 3 T h e e s tim a te s f o r th e U n ite d S ta te s h a v e r e c e n tly b ee n re v ise d . S ee N a tio n a l In c o m e a n d P r o d u c t S t a t i s t i c s o f t h e U n ite d S ta te s , 1 9 2 9 -4 6 , S u rv e y o f C u r r e n t B u s in e s s , S u p p le m e n t, J u l y 1 9 4 7 . U . S . D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e rc e . 4 F o r a p re s e n ta tio n s o m e w h a t a lo n g th is lin e see N a tio n a l A c c o u n ts : In c o m e a n d E x p e n d itu re , 1 9 3 8 -4 0 . O tta w a , 1947. D e p a r tm e n t o f T r a d e a n d C o m m e rc e , D o m in io n B u re a u o f S ta tis tic s , N a tio n a l In c o m e U n it. 165 c a p it a l f o r m a t io n ,” a s u s e d in t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e r c e s e r ie s o n n a t io n a l p r o d u c t, is c le a r ly s o m e th in g o f a m is n o m e r in t h is c a s e , a s it c o u r s e , f o r t h e in v e n to r y e n tr y , w h ic h is a ls o gross is , o f a n e t fig u r e . B e c a u s e o f t h e im p o r t a n t r o le o f o u r G o v e r n m e n t in o u r in te r n a t io n a l t r a n s a c t io n s in r e c e n t y e a r s , a n a tt e m p t h a s b e e n m a d e to s e p a r a te a ll th e a c c o u n ts in to in G overnm ent an d th e se c tio n , e v e r , is in p r iv a te G overnm ent se c to r s, and a s d isc u sse d P r iv a te m o r e fu lly T r a n s a c tio n s . te r m s o f w h e th e r o r n o t th e G o v e r n m e n t is a t r a n s a c tio n in v o lv e d , a n d n o t w h e t h e r a c h a n g e in a b r o a d (o r lia b ilit y to fo r e ig n e r s ) h a s o cc u r r e d . T h is p a r ty in th is a p p e n d ix b r e a k -d o w n , to how th e p a r tic u la r n e t G o v e r n m e n t in v e s tm e n t E ith e r tr e a tm e n t, w h ile s ig n ific a n t fo r so m e p u r p o se s, in v o lv e s c o n c e p tu a l d iffic u ltie s . C o n s id e r t h e c a s e o f a c o u n tr y w it h a n im p o r t s u r p lu s fin a n c e d b y G o v e r n m e n t b o r r o w in g a b r o a d . N e t f o r e ig n in v e s t m e n t is o b v io u s ly n e g a tiv e , a n d th e p r iv a te . d is in v e s t m e n t c o u ld p r o p e r ly b e c o n s id e r e d G o v e r n m e n t r a t h e r th a n B u t t h e d e fic it c o u ld c o n c e iv a b ly b e fin a n c e d b y f o r e ig n e r s ’ n e t p u r c h a s e s o f o u t s t a n d in g G o v e r n m e n t s e c u r it ie s ; in t h is e v e n t w o u ld t h e d is in v e s t m e n t b e G o v e r n m e n t o r p r iv a te ? T h e to ta l G o v ern m en t d eb t is u n ch a n g ed , b u t t h e a m o u n t o w e d to f o r e ig n e r s h a s in c r e a s e d . W o u ld a d iffe r e n t t r e a t m e n t b e in o r d e r in t h is s e c o n d c a s e i f t h e s e c u r it ie s w e r e d e n o m in a te d in a n e x t e r n a l r a th e r th a n t h e d o m e s tic c u r r e n c y ? S u p p o se th e s e c u r itie s p u r c h a se d w e r e n o t p r e v io u s ly o u t s t a n d in g b u t w e r e p u r c h a s e d fr o m th e G o v e r n m e n t a t t h e tim e o f is s u e — t h e is s u e b e in g o s te n s ib ly ' o n ly a d o m e s t ic o ffe r in g . T h is in e ffe c t h a p p e n e d t o t h e U n it e d S t a t e s d u r in g 1 9 4 3 a n d 1 9 4 4 , w h e n w e h a d a n e t “c a s h ” d e fic it o n c u r r e n t a c c o u n t, a n d f o r e ig n c o u n t r ie s in v e s t e d p a r t o f t h e ir a c c u m u la tin g d o lla r b a la n c e s in U n ite d S t a te s G o v e r n m e n t s e c u r itie s . I n o th e r w o r d s , s h o u ld t h e f a c t t h a t th e G o v e r n m e n t is a p a s s iv e r a th e r th a n a c t iv e p a r tic ip a n t in in te r n a t io n a l in v e s t m e n t b e c o n s id e r e d ? S h o u ld t h e a c c u m u la tio n o f f o r e ig n e x c h a n g e b y G o v e r n m e n t-o w n e d c e n t r a l b a n k s b e c o n s id e r e d a G o v e r n m e n t in v e s t m e n t a b r o a d ? I f so , s h o u ld t h e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B a n k s b e s im ila r ly c o n s id e r e d in t h is c o u n tr y ? I f fo r e ig n e r s in c r e a s e t h e ir h o ld in g s o f U n ite d S t a t e s p a p e r c u r r e n c y , s h o u ld th is b e c o n s id e r e d a s G o v e r n m e n t o r p r iv a te d is in v e s tm e n t a b r o a d ? P u r c h a s e o f g o ld fr o m a b r o a d to fin a n c e a n e x p o r t s u r p lu s i s o b v io u s ly “n e t f o r e ig n in v e s t m e n t ” f o r p r e s e n t p u r p oses. S h o u ld t h is b e t r e a t e d a s a G o v e r n m e n t in v e s t m e n t in th e U n it e d S t a t e s s t a t is t ic s , t o t h e e x t e n t t h a t s u c h g o ld b e c o m e s t h e p r o p e r ty o f t h e T r e a s u r y D e p a r tm e n t? W h a t a b o u t G o v e r n m e n t-g u a r a n te e d fo r e ig n p r iv a t e b a n k p a r tic ip a t io n in E x p o r t-I m p o r t B a n k lo a n s ? in v e s tm e n t, su ch as P a r t ly in v ie w o f t h e a b o v e q u e s t io n s w e h a v e n o t, e ith e r in t h is v o lu m e o r t h e r e v is e d g r o s s n a t io n a l p r o d u c t ta b le , a tt e m p t e d t o d iv id e , in t o G o v e r n m e n t a n d p r iv a te , “n e t fo r e ig n in v e s t m e n t ” a s su c h . T h e ite m s m e a s u r in g n e t fo r e ig n in v e s t m e n t ( g o ld a n d c a p it a l m o v e m e n t s ) a r e s e g r e g a t e d in t a b le X X V , a p p e n d ix C , w h ile th e n e t c h a n g e s in th e in te r n a t io n a l in v e s tm e n t p o s itio n o f t h e G o v e r n m e n t a n d p r iv a t e s e c to r s a r e r e fle c te d in t a b le 2 7 , p . 1 1 0 . N e ith e r o f t h e s e c la s s ific a tio n s , h o w e v e r , a c c u r a te ly m e a s u r e s th e U n ite d S t a te s G o v e r n m e n t c o n tr i b u tio n t o t h e f in a n c in g o f t h e c u r r e n t e x p o r t s u r p lu s o r d e fic it. G o v e r n m e n t a n d P r i v a t e T r a n s a c t io n s T h e fo r e g o in g d is c u s s io n le a d s d ir e c tly in to t h e p r o b le m a c t io n s in t h e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts in to t w o c a te g o r ie s : ( 1 ) p r iv a te , o r p e r h a p s m o r e a c c u r a te ly n o n g o v e r n m e n t. i s m o r e te c h n ic a lly th a n e c o n o m ic a lly s ig n ific a n t ; o f d iv id in g a ll tr a n s G o v er n m en t, a n d (2 ) T h e d is tin c tio n in so m e c a s e s d u r in g th e w a r m o s t o f o u r f o r e ig n tr a n s a c tio n s w e r e e ith e r c o n tr o lle d o r a c t u a lly c o n d u c te d b y th e G o v e r n m e n t. T h e a tte m p t h a s b e e n m a d e, h o w e v e r , to c la s s ify a s G o v er n m en t a ll tr a n s a c t io n s to w h ic h th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e r n m e n t w a s a p a r ty ; a ll o th e r tr a n s a c t io n s a r e c la s s ifie d a s p r iv a t e .5 F o r t h is p u r p o s e th e d u a l n a tu r e (d e b it a n d c r e d it) o f e a c h tr a n s a c tio n h a s b e e n r e c o g n iz e d ; in so m e c a s e s th e c r e d it e n tr y i s c la s s ifie d a s G o v e r n m e n t w h ile t h e o f f s e t t in g d e b it is p r iv a te , a n d v ic e v e r s a . F o r in s t a n c e , i f t h e C o m m o d ity C r e d it C o r p o r a tio n s e lls w h e a t a b r o a d a n d t h e p a y m e n t is m a d e o u t o f a fo r e ig n b a n k a c c o u n t in th e U n ite d S ta te s , th e c r e d it e n tr y fo r th e exp ort of w heat is a G overnm ent tr a n s a c tio n w h ile th e c a p ita l d e b it f o r t h e r e d u c tio n in f o r e ig n b a la n c e s w it h A m e r ic a n b a n k s is c o n s id e r e d p r i v a te . C o n v e r s e ly , i f t h e E x p o r t-I m p o r t B a n k le n d s m o n e y to a f o r e ig n g o v e r n m e n t to buy m a te r ia ls fro m a p r iv a te A m e r ic a n e x p o r te r th e export tr a n s a c tio n is p r iv a t e a n d t h e c a p ita l d e b it is G o v e r n m e n t. I f E x p o r t-Im p o r t B a n k fu n d s w e r e u s e d to b u y w h e a t f r o m t h e C o m m o d ity C r e d it C o r p o r a tio n , b o t h s id e s o f t h e 5 S ee a p p e n d ix C, ta b le X X V . 166 tr a n s a c tio n — o r r a th e r b o th tr a n s a c tio n s — a r e c la s s ifie d a s G o v e r n m e n t. A s im ila r e x a m p le is th e s a le o f s u r p lu s p r o p e r ty o n a c r e d it b a s is ; t h is c r e a te s a c r e d it fo r g o o d s tr a n s f e r r e d to f o r e ig n e r s a n d a n o f f s e t t in g d e b it fo r lo a n s to f o r e ig n e r s — b o th b e in g G o v e r n m e n t tr a n s a c tio n s . O n ly a f e w s p e c ia l c a s e s n e e d b e m e n tio n e d . c a n p e r s o n n e l, m ilita r y and c iv ilia n , o f th e M o n e y s p e n t a b r o a d b y th e A m e r i U n ite d S ta te s G overn m en t h a s b een c o n s id e r e d a G o v e r n m e n t t r a n s a c tio n ( s e e p . 8 6 ) . C h a n g e s in fo r e ig n h o ld in g s o f U n ite d S t a te s G o v e r n m e n t s h o r t-te r m s e c u r itie s h a v e b e e n c la s s ifie d a s G o v e r n m e n t ; it is n o t k n o w n to w h a t e x t e n t t h e s e is s u e s w e r e p u r c h a s e d d ir e c t fr o m th e G o v e r n m e n t a t t h e t im e o f o ffe r in g o r p u r c h a s e d fr o m p r iv a t e A m e r ic a n h o ld e r s . O n t h e o th e r h a n d , p u r c h a s e s o f lo n g -te r m ered p r iv a te , as if th e y w ere G o v e r n m e n t is s u e s h a v e b e e n a lw a y s p u r c h a se d fro m p r e v io u s c o n s id h o ld e r s , p a r tly b e c a u s e tr a n s a c tio n s in G o v e r n m e n t s e c u r itie s c a n n o t b e s e g r e g a te d fr o m tr a n s a c tio n s in a ll d o m e s tic s e c u r itie s in th e T r e a s u r y D e p a r tm e n t c a p ita l m o v e m e n ts s e r ie s . S e tt le m e n ts o f c la im s o n t h e T u r k is h a n d M e x ic a n G o v e r n m e n ts f o r p r o p e r ty e x p r o p r ia te d a c c o u n t. S o h a v e a ll d is b u r s e m e n ts a n d r e c e ip ts o f t h e A m e r ic a n m e r c h a n t m a r in e b e g in n in g le g a lly , w ith under th e fro m A m e r ic a n s secon d p r iv a te q u a r te r o p e r a tio n . of On have been 1942, th e e n te r e d a lth o u g h o th e r a on th e fe w hand, no G overnm ent v e s s e ls fr e ig h t r e m a in e d , on im p o r ts in fo r e ig n b o tto m s h a s b e e n in c lu d e d a s a G o v e r n m e n t t r a n s a c tio n s ; w ith o u r m e th o d o f e s tim a tin g , i t w o u ld h a v e b e e n im p r a c tic a b le to a tte m p t s u c h a s e g r e g a tio n . A s n o te d in th e n e x t, m o s t o f th e c o m m o d itie s p r o c u r e d a b r o a d b y th e G o v e r n m e n t w e r e r e s o ld to p r iv a t e in d u s t r y in t h is c o u n tr y . A lth o u g h t h e fin a l e x p e n d i tu re w a s n o t, th e r e fo r e , th e G o v e r n m e n t tr a n s a c tio n s G o v e r n m e n t ’s , a l l in th e su ch p u rch ases w ere c o n s id e r e d sta te m e n t. A ll g o o d s a n d s e r v ic e s tr a n s fe r r e d u n d e r le n d -le a s e in c lu d e d in th e G o v e r n m e n t s e c to r o f t h e a c c o u n ts . or r e c ip r o c a l a id w ere F in a lly , i t s h o u ld b e n o t e d t h a t th e d e fin itio n o f G o v e r n m e n t e m p lo y e d h e r e in d iffe r s fr o m t h a t u s e d in th e n a t io n a l p r o d u c t s e r ie s , w h e r e G o v e r n m e n t c o r p o r a tio n s a n d c e r ta in o th e r a g e n c ie s are trea ted a s b u s in e s s e s . G e o g r a p h ic a l C o v e r a g e T r a n s a c t io n s b e tw e e n r e s id e n t s o f t h e U n it e d S t a t e s a n d t h e r e s t o f t h e w o r ld a r e m e a s u r e d in th e e s t im a t e s o f th e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts . T h e te r m “ U n ite d S t a t e s ” in c lu d e s t h e c o n t in e n t a l U n it e d S t a te s , A la s k a , H a w a ii, P u e r to R ic o , th e V ir g in I s la n d s , th e P a n a m a C a n a l Z o n e , A m e r ic a n S a m o a , a n d c e r t a in m in o r A m e r ic a n is la n d s in th e P a c ific . T h is d o e s n o t a g r e e w it h th e t e r r it o r ia l c o v e r a g e f o r n a t io n a l in c o m e a n d p r o d u c t s t a t is t ic s , w h ic h in c lu d e s o n ly t h e 4 8 S t a t e s a n d t h e D is t r ic t o f C o lu m b ia . N e v e r t h e le s s , t h e “ n e t f o r e ig n in v e s t m e n t ” fig u r e in th e g r o s s n a t io n a l p r o d u c t t a b le is b a s e d o n t h e d e fin itio n o f U n it e d S t a te s set fo r th h e r e in , w ith an a d ju stm e n t, d u r in g th e w ar e x p e n d it u r e s in t h e t e r r ito r ie s . T h e te r m “ r e s id e n t s ” in c lu d e s a ll “p e r s o n s ” o r d in a r ily S ta te s , in c lu d in g : 1. T h e F e d e r a l G o v er n m en t, a n d a ll years, fo r G overnm ent r e s id e n t in S ta te , m u n ic ip a l, a n d th e U n ite d te r r ito r ia l g o v e r n m e n ts. 2 . A ll d o m e s t ic c o r p o r a tio n s , e x c e p t t h a t f o r e ig n b r a n c h e s o f s u c h c o r p o r a tio n s a r e c o n s id e r e d a s f o r e ig n a n d n o t d o m e s tic e n t it ie s . 3 . A ll U n it e d S t a t e s b r a n c h e s o f f o r e ig n c o r p o r a tio n s . 4 . A ll in d iv id u a ls o r d in a r ily d o m ic ile d in th e U n it e d in g f o r f o r e ig n e m p lo y e r s . 5 . A m e r ic a n c it iz e n s m o r e by th e or F e d e r a l G o v er n m en t. le s s T h is p e r m a n e n tly in c lu d e s S ta te s e x c e p t a lie n s w o r k r e s id in g m em b ers of abroad, th e arm ed if e m p lo y e d fo rces and t h e ir d e p e n d e n ts a c c o m p a n y in g th e m . 6. A lie n s t e m p o r a r ily a d m it t e d to t h e U n it e d S t a t e s i f e m p lo y e d in t h e U n it e d S t a t e s b y a n A m e r ic a n e m p lo y e r . T h is c o r r e s p o n d s to th e d e fin itio n a d o p te d f o r in c lu s io n in t h e n a t io n a l in c o m e s t a t is t ic s . e r s im p o r te d d u r in g th e w ar th u s b eca m e M e x ic a n r e s id e n ts fo r T h e fo llo w in g a r e n o t r e s id e n ts o f t h e U n ite d p u rp oses: 1 . E m b a s s ie s , le g a tio n s , a n d a n d W e s t I n d ia n w ork s ta tis tic a l p u r p o se s. S t a te s f o r b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts c o n s u la te s o f fo r e ig n g o v e r n m e n ts , in te r n a tio n a l o r g a n iz a tio n s , a n d th e a lie n e m p lo y e e s o f s u c h in s tit u t io n s . 2 . A lie n s a d m it te d t o t h e U n it e d S t a t e s f o r te m p o r a r y p e r io d s , u n le s s e m p lo y e d in th e U n ite d S t a te s b y a r e s id e n t th e r e o f. 3 . A m e r ic a n c itiz e n s p e r m a n e n tly r e s id in g U n ite d S t a te s G o v e r n m e n t. 4 . F o r e ig n b r a n c h e s (a n d abroad, o f c o u r s e s u b s id ia r ie s ) u n le s s e m p lo y e d o f A m e r ic a n by th e c o r p o r a tio n s . 167 D e fin itio n o f Ite m s I n c lu d e d in th e A c c o u n ts G oods A ll m o v a b le go o d s, th e title to w h ic h changes hands in te r n a tio n a lly , are in c lu d e d u n d e r t h is h e a d in g , in c lu d in g a s im p o r ts g o o d s a c q u ir e d a b r o a d b y a n A m e r ic a n r e s id e n t ( e s p e c ia lly t h e F e d e r a l G o v e r n m e n t, s e e a p p e n d ix B , p . 1 7 4 ) e v e n i f n o t p h y s ic a lly im p o r te d . G o o d s g iv e n a w a y a r e in c lu d e d , a s w e ll a s g o o d s e x p o r t e d t o b e in c o r p o r a te d in a f o r e ig n b r a n c h p la n t b y t h e e x p o r t e r ( t h e f o r e ig n b r a n c h to w h ic h s u c h g o o d s a r e “ s o ld ” is n o t a our d e fin itio n ). G oods s h ip p e d on c o n s ig n m e n t in t h e s t a t e m e n t u n t il t h e y a r e a c t u a lly s o ld . I T h e v a lu e s o f b o th are U n ite d S t a t e s r e s id e n t b y th e o r e tic a lly not r e fle c te d S ilv e r is in c lu d e d . e x p o r ts a n d im p o r ts a r e t h e v a lu e s a t th e f r o n t ie r or port I o f e x p o r t in t h e e x p o r t in g c o u n t r y ; a n y f r e ig h t p a y m e n t s in v o lv e d a r e h a n d le d ' in t h e f r e ig h t a n d s h ip p in g a c c o u n t. D o m e s t ic g o ld p r o d u c tio n in e x c e s s o f n o n m o n e ta r y u se of g o ld in d u s t r ia l c o n s u m p tio n is sh ow n exceed ed as a m e r c h a n d is e ex p o rt; d o m e s tic p r o d u c tio n , s u c h in excess years is w hen tr ea ted as a n im p o r t ( s e e s e c t io n in t h is a p p e n d ix , N o t e o n T r e a t m e n t o f G o ld in t h e B a la n c e o f P a y m e n ts). I n c o m e o n I n v e s tm e n ts A ll in te r e s t, p e r io d are d iv id e n d s , sh ow n r e fle c te d , e v e n in th is th o u g h and p r o fits a c c o u n t. th ey e ffe c tiv e ly T h u s, a r e m e r e ly p a id d iv id e n d s c r e d ite d to or c r e d ite d d e c la r e d an and d u r in g th e p a y a b le are in te r c o m p a n y a cc o u n t so t h a t n o a c tu a l fo r e ig n e x c h a n g e tr a n s a c tio n ta k e s p la c e . E a r n in g s o f s u b s id ia r ie s n o t d is tr ib u te d a s d iv id e n d s a r e n o t in c lu d e d , b u t a ll b r a n c h p r o fits a r e in c lu d e d w h e n e v e r t h e y a r e c o m p u t e d a n d c r e d it e d t o t h e h o m e o ffic e a c c o u n t . S in c e so m e c o r p o r a tio n s c lo s e th e ir b o o k s m o n th ly o r q u a r te r ly a n d o th e r s o n ly s e m ia n n u a lly or a n n u a lly , th e q u a r te r ly d is tr ib u tio n of branch p r o fits is c o r r e s p o n d in g ly a ffe c te d . I n c o m e f r o m t r u s t s a n d e s t a t e s h a s b e e n a r b i t r a r i l y c l a s s if ie d a s “ i n t e r e s t ” in t h e a c c o u n t, a lth o u g h it m a y o r ig in a lly h a v e c o n s is t e d o f d iv id e n d s , in te r e s t , r e n ts , o r e v e n c a p ita l g a in s . a r e in c lu d e d . P a y m e n ts a n d r e c e ip ts b y th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v ern m en t T r a n s p o r ta tio n T h is a c c o u n t in c lu d e s a ll in te r n a t io n a l p a y m e n ts a n d r e c e ip ts a r is in g o u t o f th e in te r n a t io n a l m o v e m e n ts o f g o o d s a n d p e r s o n s , s p e c ific a lly : ( 1 ) F r e ig h t a n d p a s s e n g e r r e v e n u e s p a id b y A m e r ic a n s to fo r e ig n a ir a n d o c e a n c a r r ie r s a n d s im ila r r e v e n u e s r e c e iv e d b y A m e r ic a n c a r r ie r s fr o m f o r e ig n e r s , ( 2 ) e x p e n d it u r e s o f A m e r ic a n c a r r ie r s in f o r e ig n p o r ts a n d f o r e ig n c a r r ie r s in A m e r ic a n p o r ts , ( 3 ) reven ues and c o u n try , a n d g o o d s (b u t n o A ll fr e ig h t e x p e n d it u r e s in C a n a d a o f A m e r ic a n r a ilr o a d s o p e r a t in g in t h a t ( 4 ) r e v e n u e s r e c e iv e d b y A m e r ic a n r a ilr o a d s f o r h a u lin g f o r e ig n t p a s s e n g e r s ) in t r a n s it th r o u g h t h e U n ite d S ta te s . r e v e n u e s o n e x p o r ts a n d im p o r ts a r e c o n s id e r e d to b e p a y m e n ts b y th e im p o r te r , s in c e b o th e x p o r t s a n d im p o r ts a r e v a lu e d , f o r a ll p r a c tic a l p u r p o s e s , o n a n f . o . b ., p o r t o f s h i p m e n t , b a s i s . T h u s e v e n if , s a y , a n e x p o r t is b i l l e d o n a c. i. f . b a s i s , w i t h t h e e x p o r t e r p r e p a y in g t h e f r e i g h t , t h e t o t a l p a y m e n t b y t h e f o r e ig n im p o r te r is d iv id e d b e tw e e n t h e m e r c h a n d is e a n d s h ip p in g a c c o u n ts . T h r e e ite m s w h ic h f o r la c k s h o u ld o f a d e q u a te d a ta t h e o r e t ic a lly h a v e b e e n in c lu d e d on w h ic h to b a se an e s tim a te . h a v e been T he m ost o m itte d im p o r ta n t is th e p e r s o n a l e x p e n d itu r e s o f m e r c h a n t s e a m e n , w h ic h , p a r tic u la r ly d u r in g th e w a r , c o u ld e a s ily o n d , fr e ig h t of o r ig in has on have U n ite d n o t been a m o u n te d S ta te s to ten s im p o r ts e s tim a te d ; a n o f m illio n s tr a v e lin g e x a m p le o f d o lla r s o v e r la n d w o u ld be a n n u a lly . o u ts id e fr e ig h t th e to F ren ch I t a lia n r a ilr o a d s f o r h a u lin g S w is s g o o d s in t r a n s it to t h e U n it e d S t a t e s . m a r in e cargo in s u r a n c e h a s n ot been in c lu d e d . P r e m iu m s o n export Sec co u n try or F in a lly , cargo in s u r a n c e p la c e d in t h e U n it e d S t a t e s a n d o n im p o r t c a r g o in s u r a n c e p la c e d a b r o a d c o n s t it u t e in te r n a t io n a l p a y m e n ts a n d r e c e ip ts , r e s p e c tiv e ly , b u t t h e r e a r e n o a v a ila b le d a t a r e g a r d in g t h e p r o p o r tio n o f e it h e r e x p o r t s o r im p o r t s in s u r e d in th e A m e r ic a n m a r k e t. T ravel A ll e x p e n d it u r e s o f A m e r ic a n r e s id e n ts w ith in fo r e ig n c o u n t r ie s a r e r e fle c te d in t h is a c c o u n t, a lt h o u g h s o m e o f th e m o b v io u s ly r e p r e s e n t t h e p u r c h a s e o f g o o d s in s te a d o f s e r v ic e s . P a y m e n ts to in te r n a tio n a l o c e a n o r a ir c a r r ie r s o r e x - 168 p e n d itu r e s in on board th e fo r m e r t h e tr a n s p o r ta tio n son n el are co u n t. are a c c o u n t. n o t in c lu d e d n o t in c lu d e d ; su ch E x p e n d itu r e s o f U n ite d h e r e b u t in th e p a y m e n ts S ta te s are r e fle c te d G overnm ent p er G o v e r n m e n t m is c e lla n e o u s s e r v ic e s ac O b v io u s ly , h o w e v e r , b o th c o n s u m e r -fin a n c e d a n d b u s in e s s -fin a n c e d t r a v e l a r e in c lu d e d . M is c e lla n e o u s S e r v ic e s T h is a c c o u n t in c lu d e s r e c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts f o r a ll o th e r s e r v ic e s n o t a lr e a d y d is c u s s e d . T h e p r in c ip a l ite m s in c lu d e d are d e fin e d b r ie fly as fo llo w s : P r iv a te T ra n sa ctio n s 1 . M o tio n -p ic tu r e r o y a ltie s .— T h e s e a r e th e p r o d u c e r s ’ s h a r e o f r e n ta l r e c e ip ts r e s u ltin g fr o m t h e e x h ib itio n o f A m e r ic a n film s a b r o a d and fo r e ig n film s in th e U n ite d S ta te s . 2 . I n s u r a n c e .— T h i s o p e r a tio n of c o m p a n ie s fo r e ig n abroad, d ir e c t w r it in g or in c lu d e s a ll in s u r a n c e e ith e r in te r n a t io n a l c o m p a n ie s th r o u g h r e in s u r a n c e in branches w ith p a y m e n ts th e U n ite d or r e s u ltin g S ta te s s u b s id ia r ie s , n o n a d m itte d c o m p a n ie s . and In fro m and th e A m e r ic a n fro m e ith e r fu tu r e s tu d ie s , i t is p la n n e d t o t r e a t in s u r a n c e b r a n c h e s a n d s u b s id ia r ie s in t h e s a m e m a n n e r a s o th e r d ir e c t in v e s t m e n t s ; it w a s n o t p o s s ib le to c o m p le te th e n e c e s s a r y r e v is io n s in t h e a c c o u n ts f o r t h is v o lu m e . 3 . C o m m u n ic a tio n s .— T h is c a t e g o r y in c lu d e s p a y m e n ts r e s u ltin g fro m in te r n a t io n a l c a b le , r a d io , a n d t e le p h o n e o p e r a t io n s . I t in c lu d e s p a y m e n ts to a n d f r o m f o r e i g n c o n n e c t io n s , a d v e r t i s i n g , o ffic e e x p e n s e s , a n d a l l o t h e r t r a n s a c t i o n s o f c o m m u n ic a tio n s c o m p a n ie s , e x c e p t a s th e y m a y b e in c lu d e d a c c o u n ts. 4 . C a s a n d e l e c t r i c i t y s a le s .— T h e s e t r a n s a c t io n s , a l l w it h a r e in c lu d e d h e r e th o u g h t h e y m ig h t w ith in th e m e r c h a n d is e a c c o u n t. 5. R e n ts a n d r o y a ltie s .— O n ly n e t a m o u n t s p a id branches and s u b s id ia r ie s as C a n a d a a n d M e x ic o , e q u a l j u s t ific a tio n h a v e b e e n in c lu d e d 6 . H o m e o ffic e e x p e n s e s . — A m o u n t s c h a r g e d e ig n in t h e in v e s t m e n t in te r n a tio n a lly are in c lu d e d . b y p a r e n t c o m p a n ie s to m anagem ent fees, th e ir fo r a p p o r tio n m e n t of hom e o ffic e e x p e n s e s , a n d s i m i l a r i t e m s a r e i n c lu d e d . 7. F o r e ig n g o v e r n m e n t a d m in is tr a tiv e e x p e n s e s in th e U n ite d S ta te s .— A ll a r e e x p e n s e s o f fo r e ig n g o v e r n m e n ts a n d in te r n a tio n a l o r g a n iz a tio n s o f a n a d m in is tr a tiv e c h a r a c te r , a n d th is r e c e ip t s ite m th e e x p e n d itu r e s o f t h e ir p e r s o n n e l. O b v io u s ly is a o n ly . G o v ern m en t T ra n sa ctio n s A ll e x p e n d itu r e s a n d r e c e ip ts o f F e d e r a l a g e n c ie s a n d t h e ir p e r s o n n e l a b r o a d fo r th e p u r c h a s e o f s e r v ic e s . I n c lu d e s a ll c o s ts , in c lu d in g m a te r ia ls , o f in s t a lla t io n s abroad, w h ic h have except been th o se trea ted in s ta lla tio n s as of in v e s tm e n ts . tr a n s a c tio n s f o llo w s : P a y m e n ts .- — 1 . E x p e n d it u r e s of tr o o p s U n ite d S t a te s G o v e r n m e n t a b r o a d . 2 . W a g e s a n d s a la r ie s to fo r e ig n an A and in c o m e -p r o d u c in g p a r tia l o th e r lis t of ch a r a c te r , s p e c ific A m e r ic a n ty p es e m p lo y e e s a c r e d it e n tr y in th e u n ila te r a l tra n sfer R e c e ip ts .— 1 . T r a n s p o r ta t io n f u r n is h e d and under c o m m u n ic a tio n le n d - le a s e , s e r v ic e s excep t th o se in s ta lla tio n s , c o n s tr u c tio n . par fu r n is h e d fo r in c lu d e d in a n d s h ip p in g a c c o u n t. I t s h o u ld b e n o te d th a t, in th e o r y a t le a s t , a ll t r a n s a c t io n s b e tw e e n fo r c e s a n d th e m e m b er s th e r e o f, o r d o m e s tic e n tity , h a v e b e e n e x c lu d e d . exchanges lo c a te d abroad, fo r are, o f a c c o u n t. 5. A s in d ic a te d a b o v e , e x p e n d itu r e s fo r “ n o n p r o d u c tiv e ” t ic u la r ly c a n to n m e n ts , a ir fie ld s , a n d o th e r t y p e s o f m ilit a r y e ig n e r s . 2. S e r v ic e s th e la b o r . 3 . P u r c h a s e s o f tr a n s p o r ta tio n a n d o th e r c o m m u n ic a tio n s s e r v ic e s . 4 . A ll s e r v ic e s f u r n is h e d t h e a r m e d f o r c e s a s r e c ip r o c a l a id . T h ese c o u rse , o ffse t b y of of to th e fr e ig h t th e a rm ed b e tw e e n s u c h m e m b e r s a n d a n y o th e r A m e r ic a n -m a d e g o o d s s h ip p e d t o p o s t in s ta n c e , a r e n o t c o n s id e r e d ex p o rts fo r b a la n c e - o f-p a y m e n ts p u rp o ses. U n ila te r a l T r a n s fe r s A ll t r a n s f e r s o f v a lu e , in c a p ita l in c lu d e d a ssets, in not th is 7 6 9 1 5 5 — 48- th e fo rm a c c o m p a n ie d a c c o u n t. ■ 12 A by d e b it, of goods a q u id or p ro and s e r v ic e s o r m o n e y quo p a y m e n ts, in one e n tr y of th o se in d ic a te s a n d o th e r fo r m s a are tra n sfer 169 fro m t h e U n ite d S t a t e s to f o r e ig n c o u n tr ie s . A s in d ic a te d in th e t e x t, t h e a c c o u n t in c lu d e s p e r s o n a l a n d in s tit u t io n a l r e m itta n c e s , le n d -le a s e a n d r e c ip r o c a l a id , r e p a r a tio n s , c iv ilia n la r ite m s not r e q u ir in g s u p p lie s f u r n is h e d r e im b u r s e m e n t or m e n t a r e n o t s u ffic ie n tly c le a r to j u s t if y th e w here o c c u p ie d a r e a s , th e r e c o g n itio n c o n d itio n s of o f t h e c r e a tio n and s im i r e im b u r s e of a c a p ita l a sset. L o n g -T e rm C hanges o r ig in a l a sse ts in c a p ita l m a tu r ity (U n ite d in v e s t m e n ts in a ssets of lo n g e r S ta te s th e of C a p ita l M o v e m e n ts in d e fin ite th a n 1 in v e s tm e n ts U n ite d m a tu r ity year c o m p r is e abroad) S ta te s) are or (e. g ., th is d ecreases p a y m e n ts, or e q u itie s ) a c c o u n t. in d e b it, or of an In crea ses lia b ilitie s ite m s . in (fo r e ig n C o n v e r s e ly , d e c r e a s e s in a s s e t s o r in c r e a s e s in lia b ilit ie s a r e r e c e ip t s , o r c r e d it, it e m s . E x c e p t f o r t r a n s a c t io n s in o u t s t a n d in g s e c u r itie s , t h e e n t r ie s a r e la r g e ly o n a g r o s s b a s is . I n m a n y c a s e s , f o r e x a m p le , le n d -le a s e a n d s u r p lu s p r o p e r ty c r e d its , th e w ith fo r e ig n no c a p ita l m ovem ent exchan ge is a d ir e c t tr a n s a c tio n o ffse t b e in g to th e in v o lv e d . ite m s a r e : 1 . N e w f o r e ig n is s u e s , in c lu d in g G o v e r n m e n t 2 . A m o r t iz a t io n o f o u t s t a n d in g lo a n s . and m ovem ent Som e p r iv a te ly of th e p la c e d 3. P u r c h a s e s a n d s a le s o f o u ts ta n d in g b o n d s a n d sto c k s. 4. M o v e m e n ts o f d ir e c t- in v e s tm e n t c a p ita l, in c lu d in g c h a n g e s in of good s, p r in c ip a l lo a n s . in te r c o m p a n y a c c o u n ts. . 5. P u r c h a s e s a n d s a le s o f r e a l e s t a t e a n d o th e r m is c e lla n e o u s c a p ita l a s s e ts . 6. C h a n g es fro m d o m e s tic to f o r e ig n le g a c ie s , r e p a r a tio n s , u n c o m p e n s a te d c a s e s , a n o ff s e t t in g e n tr y w o u ld o f c a p ita l a s s e ts d u e to g ifts , s im ila r cases. In th ese a p p e a r in t h e u n ila t e r a l a c c o u n t. S h o r t-T e r m T h e sh o r t-te r m o w n e r s h ip le g a l s e iz u r e , a n d C a p ita l M o v e m e n ts c a p ita l a c c o u n t in c lu d e s a ll in te r n a t io n a l c la im s p a y a b le w ith in 1 5m a r . P r iv a te s h o r t-te r m c o m m e r c ia l p a p e r , s h o r t-te r m c la im s c o m p r is e b a n k d e p o s its , b ills , a c c e p ta n c e s , S t a te a n d m u n ic ip a l o b lig a tio n s , b r o k e r a g e b a la n c e s , c o m m e r c ia l d e p o s its abroad fo r vance m e r c h a n d is e , p a y m e n ts fo r th e d ir e c t and account U n ite d of S ta te s U n ite d S ta te s currency and fir m s , c o in s ad h e ld abroad. F o r e ig n s h o r t-te r m c la im s o n th e U n ite d S t a te s G o v e r n m e n t in c lu d e h o ld in g s o f U n ite d S t a t e s G o v e r n m e n t s h o r t-te r m o b lig a tio n s , d e p o s its w it h th e T r e a s u r y , a n d v a r io u s c la im s a r is in g o u t o f th e p r o v is io n o f c u r r e n c y f o r e x p e n d itu r e s b y o u r a r m e d fo r c e s . U n ite d S t a te s G o v e r n m e n t s h o r t-te r m c la im s o n fo r e ig n e r s in c lu d e h o ld in g s o f fo r e ig n ous advances and c u r r e n c ie s , d e p o s it s abroad, an d v a r i s e ttle m e n ts . G o ld T h e g o ld e n tr ie s in th e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts a r e in b o th th e c u r r e n t a n d th e “ s h o r t-te r m c a p it a l a n d g o ld ” a c c o u n ts . I n th e c u r r e n t a c c o u n t, m e r c h a n d is e e x p o r t s o r im p o r t s a r e a d j u s t e d b y n e t d o m e s t ic g o ld p r o d u c tio n o r c o n s u m p tio n . N e t p r o d u c tio n is a r e c e ip t a n d n e t c o n s u m p tio n i s a p a y m e n t. In th e sh o r t-te r m ta r y g o ld c a p ita l a n d sto ck S ta b iliz a tio n o f th e Fund a p p e n d ix , N o te o n (se e g o ld a cco u n t is U n ite d e n te r e d S t a te s , in c lu d in g th e a p p p e n d ix B , p . 1 9 1 ), a n d t h e T r e a t m e n t o f G o ld in a n n u a l c h a n g e in ch an ges in th e t h e f o llo w in g th e B a la n c e th e m o n e h o ld in g s s e c tio n of th e o f th is o f P a y m e n ts). N o t e o n T r e a t m e n t o f G o ld i n t h e B a la n c e o f P a y m e n t s I n t h is v o lu m e a m e th o d f o r e n te r in g g o ld t r a n s a c t io n s h a s b e e n a d o p te d w h ic h d iffe r s fr o m t h a t u s e d h e r e to fo r e in t h e U n it e d S t a t e s b a la n e e -o f-p a y m e n ts sta te m e n ts. T h e S u b c o m m itte e o n B a la n c e o f P a y m e n ts S ta tis tic s o f t h e L e a g u e o f N a tio n s p r o p o s e d in D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 5 t h a t n e t c u r r e n t g o ld p r o d u c tio n ( o r c o n s u m p tio n ) s h o u ld a p p e a r a s a c r e d it ( d e b it ) in th e c u r r e n t a c c o u n t o f t h e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts , w h ile a n in c r e a s e (o r d e c r e a s e ) in t h e m o n e t a r y g o ld s to c k o f a n a t io n sh o r t-te r m c a p ita l a c c o u n t. s h o u ld S in c e a p p e a r a s a d e b it ( c r e d it ) in t h e g o ld th e d iffe r e n c e b e tw e e n n e t p r o d u c tio n and and t h e c h a n g e in t h e g o ld s t o c k is e q u a l to t h e n e t in t e r n a t io n a l g o ld m o v e m e n t, t h e u s e o f t h e s u g g e s te d m e th o d d o e s n o t r e s u lt in a n y n e t c h a n g e in t h e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts a s a w h o le , a s id e fr o m p o s s ib le d iffe r e n c e s in th e “ e r r o r s a n d o m is 170 s io n s ” in v o lv e d in th e a lte r n a tiv e m e th o d s of e s tim a tio n (see a p p e n d ix B, p. 1 9 1 ). T h e f u n d a m e n t a l c r it ic is m o f t h e o ld e r m e th o d is t h a t, s in c e a ll g o ld t r a n s a c t io n s w e r e lu m p e d in t o o n e g r o u p ir r e s p e c t iv e ly o f w h e t h e r t h e g o ld m o v e d r e p r e s e n te d a m e r c h a n d is e tr a n s a c tio n (s u c h a s e x p o r t o f n e w ly m in e d g o ld ) o r a c h a n g e in g o ld h o ld in g s , a c lo s e e s t im a t e o f t h e c u r r e n t b a la n c e -o f -p a y m e n ts p o s i t io n w a s n o t p r o v id e d . T h is o b v io u s ly is t r u e o f a c o u n tr y w h ic h e x p o r t s it s g o ld p r o d u c tio n , a n d g o ld sto ck . In th e is e q u a lly la tte r c o n d itio n s , a c u r r e n t c la im o r n o t. case, tru e of a current co u n try net g o ld w h ic h adds p r o d u c tio n is , th e g o ld under to its p resen t a g a in s t th e g o o d s o f o th e r n a tio n s w h e th e r e x p o r te d I t m ig h t b e s a id t h a t w h e n a c o u n tr y c h o o se s n o t to e x p o r t its c u r r e n t g o ld p r o d u c tio n t h is is e q u iv a le n t to a n o u tflo w o f c a p ita l. T h is is r e c o g n iz e d in t h e m e th o d n o w b e in g u s e d , s in c e t h e in c r e a s e in g o ld s to c k is e n te r e d a s a d e b it j u s t a s w o u ld b e a n o u tflo w o f c a p ita l. f 17Ï A p p e n d ix B M e th o d o lo g y a n d S o u r c e s o f D a ta M e r c h a n d ise T r a d e B a s ic d a t a u s e d a r e t h e o ffic ia l U n it e d S t a t e s f o r e ig n t r a d e s t a t i s t i c s c o m p ile d b y th e B u r e a u o f t h e C e n s u s o f t h e U n ite d S t a te s D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e r c e . E x p o r ts U n a d j u s t e d e x p o r t s a s s h o w n in t a b le 4 in c lu d e g o o d s o f b o th d o m e s t ic a n d f o r e ig n o r ig in ( e x c e p t s h ip m e n ts to t h e U n it e d S t a t e s a r m e d f o r c e s ) . C u sto m s r e g u la t io n s r e q u ir e t h a t e x p o r t s b e d e c la r e d a t t h e ir v a lu e a t t h e p o r t o f e x p o r ta t io n , i f p o s s ib le a t a c t u a l s e llin g p r ic e , o t h e r w is e a t c o s t to t h e e x p o r te r . B e c a u s e o f o v e r s ig h ts a n d s h ip p e r s , h o w e v e r , d e c la r e d la c k o f c o m p le te in fo r m a tio n o n t h e p a r t o f th e e x p o r t v a lu e s s o m e tim e s e x c lu d e c h a r g e s , s u c h a s in la n d f r e ig h t a n d I n s u r a n c e , w h ic h b y d e fin itio n p o r t o f e x p o r ta tio n v a lu e . O n th e o th e r h a n d , f r e ig h t o n U n ite d S ta te s e x p o r ts fr o m d e s tin a t io n s , s o m e tim e s a r e w r o n g ly th e I exact e x te n t of th e a r e c o m p o n e n ts o f th e f. o. b. c e r ta in c h a r g e s , s u c h a s r a il C a n a d ia n b o r d e r p o in ts to fin a l C a n a d ia n in c lu d e d d is c r e p a n c ie s in d e c la r e d e x p o r t v a lu e s . W h ile b e tw e e n d e c la r e d and export sta tu to r y v a lu e s is u n k n o w n , m a n y o f th e d iffe r e n c e s p r e s u m a b ly te n d to o ffs e t o n e a n o th e r . E v e n in c a s e s w h e r e e x p o r t d o c u m e n ts a r e file d in s t r ic t c o n fo r m it y w it h c u s to m s r e g u la t io n s , d e c la r e d v a lu e s s o m e tim e s d o n o t r e fle c t a c c u r a t e ly r e c e ip t s o n a c c o u n t o f m e r c h a n d is e e x p o r ts . I f g o o d s a r e e x p o r te d b e fo r e b e in g s o ld , f o r i e x a m p le , t h e y a r e v a lu e d o n th e b a s is o f c o s t to t h e e x p o r te r . I n p r a c tic e , s u c h j v a lu e s m a y b e c o n s id e r a b ly d iffe r e n t th a n th e a m o u n ts a c t u a lly r e a liz e d th r o u g h u lt im a t e s a le s . W h ile t h e p o s s ib le in a c c u r a c ie s v a lu e s f o r m e a s u r in g r e c e ip ts o n r e s u ltin g fr o m t h e u s e o f d e c la r e d e x p o r t m e r c h a n d is e a c c o u n t a r e f u lly r e c o g n iz e d , l a c k o f c o m p l e t e i n f o r m a t i o n h a s t h u s f a r m a d e i m p o s s i b l e a l l o f tir e n e c e s s a r y a d ju stm e n ts. S o m e s u b s ta n tia l a d ju stm e n ts h a v e b e en m a d e, h o w e v e r , fo r s h ip m e n ts w h ic h , f o r b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts p u r p o s e s , s h o u ld b e a d d e d to o r d e d u c te d fr o m re co rd ed e x p o r t s ta tis tic s . A d d itio n s in c lu d e th e f o llo w in g ( s e e ta b le 4 , p . 1 5 ) : 1 . S h ip m e n t s o f s ilv e r o r e , b a s e b u llio n , r e fin e d b u llio n , a n d f o r e ig n c o in . ( M o v e m e n t s o f U n it e d S t a t e s c o in a r e r e c o r d e d in t h e c a p it a l a c c o u n t .) 2 . N e t d o m e s t ic g o ld p r o d u c tio n . F o r a d is c u s s io n o f t h e r e a s o n s u n d e r ly in g th e in c lu s io n o f n e t d o m e s tic p r o d u c tio n (o r c o n s u m p tio n ) in th e m e r c h a n d is e a c c o u n t, s e e p . 1 7 1 o f t h is a p p e n d ix . 3 . U n r e c o r d e d ite m s . T h e s e in c lu d e c h ie fly t h e t r a n s f e r o f a ir p la n e s c o u n tr y a n d s h ip m e n t s a b r o a d th r o u g h p a r c e l-p o s t c h a n n e ls . 4. T r a n s f e r s o f m e r c h a n d is e b y U n it e d D e d u c tio n s in c lu d e : 1. (/K in th is S t a t e s G o v e r n m e n t a g e n c ie s . E x p o r ts to th e P a n a m a C a n a l Z on e. 2 . N o n c o m m e r c ia l im p o r t s , s u c h a s h o u s e h o ld e ffe c ts . 3 . M e r c h a n d is e e x p o r te d b y U n ite d S t a t e s G o v e r n m e n t a g e n c ie s . T h e m a jo r a d j u s t m e n t s to th e r e c o r d e d e x p o r t s t a t is t ic s in v o lv e d t h e s u b s t i t u tio n o f d a ta o n G o v e r n m e n t t r a n s f e r s fo r th o s e G o v e r n m e n t e x p o r ts k n o w n to b e in c lu d e d in th e r e c o r d e d e x p o r t s t a t is t ic s , a n d t h e a d d it io n o f d a t a o n G o v e r n m e n t t r a n s f e r s w h ic h w e r e k n o w n to b e e x c lu d e d fr o m r e c o r d e d e x p o r ts . L e n d -le a s e t r a n s f e r d a t a c o m p ile d fr o m t h e r e g u la r c u m u la t iv e r e p o r ts o f th e L e n d -L e a s e A d m in is tr a tio n w e r e p r o r a te d o n a n a n n u a l b a s is a c c o r d in g to th e a n n u a l d is tr ib u tio n o f th e le n d - le a s e e x p o r t s t a t is t ic s . I t w ill b e n o te d th a t th e v a lu e o f le n d -le a s e t r a n s f e r s 172 (th e a m o u n t o ffic ia lly c h a r g e d to t h e r e c ip ie n t fo r - e ig n g o v er n m e n ts) is s u b s ta n tia lly in e x c e ss o f th a t reco rd ed fo r le n d -le a s e e x p o r ts , n o t o n ly b e c a u s e t h e la t t e r a p p a r e n tly w e r e u n d e r v a lu e d b u t a ls o b e c a u s e th ey e x c lu d e d tr a n s fe r s in th e fie ld o r d ir e c tly fro m o th e r f o r e ig n so u rces an d s o m e g o o d s s h ip p e d o n m ilit a r y t r a n s p o r t s f o r w h ic h n o e x p o r t d e c la r a tio n s w e r e file d . tio n s I n t h e s a m e m a n n e r , U n ite d S t a te s t r a n s f e r s o f g o o d s to th e U n ite d N a R e lie f a n d R e h a b ilita tio n A d m in is tr a tio n w e r e u s e d in p la c e o f U N R R A e x p o r t s ; s u c h t r a n s f e r s in c lu d e g o o d s s u p p lie d fr o m o v e r s e a s t o c k s a n d fr o m o th e r fo r e ig n s o u r c e s a s w e ll a s th o s e p h y s ic a lly e x p o r te d fr o m t h e U n ite d S ta te s . P a r t ly b e c a u s e o f t h e d iffic u ltie s in v o lv e d in id e n t if y in g m ilit a r y s h ip m e n ts o f c iv ilia n s u p p lie s t o lib e r a t e d a n d o c c u p ie d a r e a s u n d e r t h e “ d is e a s e a n d u n r e s t ” p r o g r a m fr o m r e g u la r W a r a n d N a v y D e p a r tm e n t s h ip m e n ts f o r t h e u s e o f th e a r m e d f o r c e s a b r o a d , n o e x p o r t d e c la r a t io n s w e r e r e q u ir e d f o r s u c h s h ip m e n t s . T h e n e c e s s a r y d a t a w e r e o b ta in e d fr o m t h e a g e n c ie s c o n c e r n e d th r o u g h t h e C le a r i n g O ffic e f o r F o r e i g n T r a n s a c t i o n s ( D e p a r t m e n t o f C o m m e r c e ) . T h e y in c lu d e fie ld t r a n s f e r s a s w e ll a s s h ip m e n t s e a r m a r k e d f o r t h is p u r p o s e a t t h e t im e o f e x p o r t fr o m th e U n ite d S ta te s . D a ta by o n b o th m ilita r y t h e C l e a r i n g O ffic e . and p o r ts w e r e n e c e s s a r y , s in c e s t o c k s in t h e fie ld . n o n m ilita r y F o r m ilita r y th e s a le s a b r o a d w e r e lik e w is e s a le s , n o d e d u c tio n s fr o m goods in v o lv e d w ere f u r n is h e d th e reco rd ed e x tr a n sfe r r e d fro m m ilita r y F o r f o r e i g n s a l e s b y n o n m i l i t a r y a g e n c i e s , t h e C l e a r i n g O ffic e d a t a w e r e s u b s t itu te d f o r a m o u n t s k n o w n to b e in c lu d e d in t h e o ffic ia lly r e c o r d e d s ta tis tic s . C h ie f s o u r c e s o f d a t a c o v e r in g s a le s o f s u r p lu s w a r p r o p e r ty w e r e th e a c tu a l a g r e e m e n ts n e g o tia te d w ith th e p u r c h a s in g g o v e r n m e n ts a n d r e p o r ts o f th e d is p o s a l a g e n c ie s . Im p o rts U n a d ju sted im p o r ts are “ g e n e r a l i m p o r t s ”— i n c l u d i n g b o th d ia t e c o n s u m p tio n a n d t h o s e g o in g in to b o n d e d w a r e h o u s e s . W h ile c u s to m s r e g u la t io n s p r o v id e f o r t h e r e c o r d in g o f e n tr ie s im p o r t fo r im m e v a lu e s , lik e t h o s e f o r e x p o r t s , o n a n f . o . b ., f r o n t i e r o f t h e e x p o r t i n g c o u n t r y , b a s i s , 1 d e c l a r e d im p o r t v a lu e s s o m e tim e s d o n o t r e fle c t a c t u a l p a y m e n ts m a d e . I n d ic a tio n s a r e t h a t d iffe r e n c e s b e tw e e n d e c la r e d v a lu e s a n d p a y m e n ts v a lu e s a r is e m o s t f r e q u e n tly in t h e c a s e o f c o m m o d itie s f o r w h ic h d u t ie s a r e n o t le v ie d o n t h e b a s is o f e n t r y v a lu e s — -g o o d s w h ic h a r e e it h e r d u t y - f r e e o r s u b j e c t to s p e c ific d u tie s . I m p o r te r s o f s u c h g o o d s p r e s u m a b ly h a v e le s s in c e n tiv e t o e lim in a t e o c e a n f r e ig h t , m a r in e in s u r a n c e , c o n s u la r fe e s, a n d o th e r p o r te r s o f m e r c h a n d is e s u b je c t to a d v a lo r e m A m ong im p o r t th e v a lu e s p r a c tic e s w h ic h and s o m e tim e s a c tu a l p a y m e n ts are n o n d u tia b le c h a r g e s r e s u lt in th e th a n have im d u tie s . d iffe r e n c e s b e tw e e n a s s ig n m e n t o f a r b itr a r y record ed v a lu e s to im p o r ts f r o m f o r e ig n s u b s id ia r ie s o r b r a n c h e s o f A m e r ic a n c o m p a n ie s , t h e a p p r a is a l o f c o n s ig n m e n t s h ip m e n ts a t v a lu e s w h ic h m a y d iffe r fr o m e v e n tu a l s e ll in g p r ic e s , a n d u n in t e n t io n a l in c lu s io n s o f im p r o p e r c h a r g e s o r e x c lu s io n s o f le g itim a te c h a r g e s . W h ile p r e c is e in fo r m a tio n c o v e r in g a ll p o s s ib le d is c r e p a n c ie s b e tw e e n d e c la r e d v a lu e s a n d v a lu e s w h ic h a r e a c c u r a te fr o m a b a la n c e -o fp a y m e n ts s ta n d p o in t is n o t a v a ila b le , c o r r e c tio n s (a d d itio n s o r d e d u c tio n s ) h a v e b e en m a d e fo r t h o s e in a c c u r a c ie s w h ic h w e r e k n o w n to e x is t. A d d itio n s in c lu d e d m a in ly th o se to correct u n d e r v a lu a tio n s of banana im p o r ts — b a s e d u p o n t h e le v e l o f d o m e s tic w h o le s a le p r ic e s a f t e r a llo w a n c e fo r f r e ig h t, in s u r a n c e , a n d o th e r c h a r g e s in c u r r e d in s h ip p in g t h e b a n a n a s f r o m t h e f r o n tie r and o f t h e e x p o r tin g c o u n tr y a d d itio n s fo r C a n a d ia n to in la n d t h e p o in t o f a r r iv a l in fr e ig h t r e c e ip ts t h e U n ite d earned on S ta te s— im p o r ts fro m C anada. O th e r a d d it io n s to r e c o r d e d im p o r t d a t a in c lu d e : 1 . I m p o r t s o f s ilv e r o r e , b a s e b u llio n , r e fin e d b u llio n , a n d f o r e ig n c o in . 2 . N e t d o m e s t ic g o ld c o n s u m p tio n . 3 . P u r c h a s e s o f g o o d s b y U n ite d S t a t e s G o v e r n m e n t a g e n c ie s . T h e d e d u c tio n s m a d e in c lu d e : 1. Im p o rts fro m th e P a n a m a C a n a l Z on e. 1 S ee U . S . D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e rc e , B u r e a u o f th e C e n su s , A n n u a l R e p o r ts o f F o r e ig n C o m m e rc e a n d N a v ig a tio n o f th e U n ite d S ta te s , E x p la n a tio n o f S ta tis tic s . “ In g en era l t h e v a l u e s h o w n is t h e f o r e i g n o r e x p o r t v a l u e , w h i c h e v e r i s h i g h e r a s p e r o n e o f t h e fo rm u la e c o n ta in e d th e r e in . * * * T h e fo re ig n v a lu e o f th e im p o rte d m e rc h a n d is e is th e m a r k e t v a lu e o r th e p ric e a t th e tim e o f e x p o r ta tio n o f s u c h m e r c h a n d is e to th e U n ite d S ta te s , a t w h ic h s u c h o r s im ila r m e r c h a n d is e is f r e e ly o ffe re d f o r s a le f o r h o m e c o n s u m p tio n to a l l p u r c h a s e r s in t h e p r in c ip a l m a r k e t o f th e c o u n tr y fr o m w h ic h e x p o rte d , in th e u s u a l w h o le s a le q u a n t iti e s a n d in th e o r d in a r y c o u rs e o f tr a d e . * * * In a d d i tio n , th e f o r e ig n v a lu e in c lu d e s a ll o th e r c o s ts , c h a rg e s , a n d e x p e n s e s in c i d e n t a l t o p la c in g t h e m e r c h a n d is e in c o n d itio n , p a c k e d re a d y f o r s h ip m e n t to t h e U n ite d S ta te s . * * * I f a n e x p o r t v a lu e , h ig h e r t h a n th e f o r e ig n m a r k e t v a lu e d e s c rib e d a b o v e , is e s ta b lis h e d b y C u s to m s * * * t h e h ig h e r e x p o r t v a lu e is r e g a r d e d a s t h e v a lu e o f im p o rte d m e r c h a n d is e .” 173 2 . N o n c o m m e r c ia l im p o r ts , s u c h a s h o u s e h o ld e ffe c t. 3 . M e r c h a n d is e im p o r t e d b y U n it e d S t a t e s G o v e r n m e n t a g e n c ie s . A s in t h e c a s e o f e x p o r ts , t h e m a jo r a d ju s tm e n ts w e r e m a d e in t h e G o v e r n m e n t a c c o u n t. T h e s e in v o lv e d th e s u b s t itu tio n o f r e v e r s e le n d - le a s e d a t a c o m p ile d fr o m r e p o r ts o f th e L e n d -L e a s e A d m in is t r a t io n f o r t h e r e la tiv e ly s m a ll p o r tio n o f r e v e r s e le n d - le a s e g o o d s in c lu d e d in t h e r e c o r d e d im p o r t s t a t i s t i c s ; th e s u b s t itu t i o n o f a d j u s t e d C l e a r i n g O ffic e f ig u r e s c o v e r i n g n o n m i l i t a r y p r o c u r e m e n t a b r o a d a n d m ilit a r y p r o c u r e m e n t f o r im p o r t f r o m C a n a d a f o r r e c o r d e d G o v e r n m e n t i m p o r t s ; t h e a d d i t i o n o f C l e a r i n g O ffic e d a t a c o v e r i n g m i l i t a r y p u r c h a s e s f o r c o n s u m p tio n a b r o a d b y t h e U n it e d S t a t e s a r m e d fo r c e s ; a n d t h e a d d itio n o f o th e r d a t a c o v e r in g m is c e lla n e o u s a c q u is itio n s o f m e r c h a n d is e a b r o a d b y th e U n ite d S t a t e s G o v e r n m e n t w h ic h w e r e n o t in c lu d e d in t h e o ffic ia l im p o r t s t a t is t ic s . T h e T r a n sp o r ta tio n A c c o u n t T h e d e r iv a t io n o f t h e f r e ig h t a n d s h ip p in g e s t im a t e s m a y b e e x p la in e d w ith t h e a id o f a O cean d e ta ile d s t a te m e n t o f th e c o m p o n e n t p a r ts ( s e e ta b le I ) . 2 fr e ig h t ( I te m s l a a n d 5 a ) .— E s t im a t e s o f e a r n in g s o f U n ite d S ta te s a n d f o r e ig n v e s s e ls in th e c a r r ia g e o f U n it e d S t a t e s fo r e ig n t r a d e d u r in g t h e w a r w ere b a sed u p on to n n a g e a n d ra te d a ta s u p p lie d b y th e U n ite d S t a t e s M a r itim e C o m m is s io n a n d t h e W a r S h ip p in g A d m in is t r a t io n , a n d v a lu e d a t a fr o m t h e B u r e a u o f t h e C e n s u s .3 E a r n in g s f o r 1 9 4 0 a n d 1 9 4 4 w e r e c o m p u t e d f r o m d e t a il e d d a ta , b y a p p ly in g o c e a n f r e ig h t r a t e s to c o m m o d ity s h ip p in g w e ig h t s ,4 b r o k e n d o w n b y c o n tr o l o f v e s s e l (U n ite d S ta te s , B r itis h , a n d o t h e r ) , tr a d e a r e a 5 o f o r ig in a n d d e s tin a t io n , a n d , in 1 9 4 4 , b y t y p e o f t r a n s a c tio n , w h e t h e r le n d - le a s e o r c o m m e r c ia l. E a r n in g s f o r o th e r y e a r s o f A m e r ic a n a n d fo r e ig n v e s s e ls (b ro k en dow n la te r in to A m e r ic a n , B r it is h , a n d o th e r ) w e r e d e r iv e d fr o m t h e m u lt ip lic a t io n o f to n n a g e d a ta b y w e ig h te d a v e r a g e f r e ig h t r a te s . F o r 1 9 4 1 , a d j u s t e d 1 9 4 0 o v e r -a ll average r a t e s w e r e a p p lie d to th e 1941 exp ort and im p o r t to n n a g e t o t a ls . 1942 a n d 1943, to n n a g e s w e r e g ro u p ed b y tra d e a rea s, a n d F or th e r a te s w e r e b a sed u p o n th e 1 9 4 0 a v e r a g e tr a d e -a r e a r a te s c o r r e c te d f o r y e a r ly r a t e tr e n d s . F r e ig h t e a r n in g s f o r 1 9 4 1 th r o u g h 1 9 4 3 w e r e th e n a d j u s t e d to a llo w f o r t h e c h a n g in g p r o p o r tio n o f v a lu e o f f in is h e d m a n u f a c t u r e s t o t o t a l e x p o r t s a n d im p o r t s , r e s p e c t iv e ly . E a r n in g s f o r 1 9 4 5 , b y c o n tr o l o f v e s s e l, w e r e d e r iv e d b y m u lt ip ly in g t o n n a g e t o t a ls f o r e a c h c o n tr o l, b a s e d u p o n 1 0 -m o n th d a ta , b y a d j u s t e d 1 9 4 4 a v e r a g e f r e ig h t r a t e s f o r e a c h c o n tr o l. T r a n s p o r ta t io n e a r n in g s w e r e d iv id e d in to le n d - le a s e a n d c o m m e r c ia l t r a n s a c tio n s . T h e d e ta ile d c a lc u la tio n f o r 1 9 4 4 s h o w e d le n d -le a s e a n d n o n -le n d -le a s e e a r n in g s b y c o n tr o l o f v e s s e l. L e n d -le a s e e a r n in g s b y A m e r ic a n a n d fo r e ig n d r y c a r g o v e s s e ls ,0 r e s p e c t iv e ly , f o r t h e y e a r s 1 9 4 1 th r o u g h 1 9 4 3 , w e r e d e r iv e d fr o m t o t a l e a r n in g s b y a p p ly in g p e r c e n ta g e s e s tim a te d a s f o llo w s : E st. % le n d -le a s e e a r n in g s to t o ta l % v a lu e o f le n d -le a s e e x p o r t s to t o t a l L e n d -le a s e a n d (in 1 9 4 1 -4 2 -4 3 ) = % l e n d - l e a s e e a r n i n g s t o t o t a l ________ % v a lu e o f le n d -le a s e e x p o r ts to to t a l ^ c o m m e r c ia l to n n a g e d a ta w ere r e p o r te d _ . ' s e p a r a te ly fo r th e fir s t 1 0 m o n th s o f 1 9 4 5 , b r o k e n d o w n b y c o n tr o l o f v e s s e l (U n ite d S ta te s , B r itis h , a n d o t h e r ) , a n d s e p a r a t e e a r n in g s d a ta , th e r e fo r e , c o u ld b e e s t im a te d f o r th e w h o le year. T a n k e r e a r n in g s 0 w e r e c o m p u te d p in g A d m in is t r a t io n r a t e .o r d e r s ) by a p p ly in g t a n k e r r a t e s to e x p o r t a n d im p o r t to n n a g e s . (fr o m W ar S h ip W h ile d a ta fo r 194Ó , 1 9 4 4 , a n d 1 9 4 5 , b y t y p e o f t r a n s a c t io n a n d c o n tr o l o f v e s s e l, w e r e a d e q u a te , o m is s io n s in o th e r y e a r s n e c e s s it a t e d s o m e a r b itr a r y a d j u s t m e n t s . G lo b a l A m e r ic a n v e s s e l f r e ig h t e a r n in g s w e r e f u r t h e r b r o k e n d o w n in to earn in g s w it h r e s p e c t to t h e s t e r lin g a r e a , C a n a d a , th e A m e r ic a n R e p u b lic s , a n d o th e r c o u n tr ie s . T h is w a s d o n e f o r 1 9 4 0 th r o u g h 1 9 4 4 b y a d d in g f r e ig h t e a r n in g s on 2 F o r la c k o f d a ta , n o e s tim a te s h a v e b e e n m a d e o f r e c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts a r is in g fro m m o to r t r a n s p o r t o f f r e i g h t a c r o s s t h e C a n a d ia n a n d M e x ic a n b o r d e rs , o r fr o m r a i l o p e r a tio n s a c r o s s th e M e x ic a n b o rd e r. 3 I n c lu d in g U n ite d S t a t e s v e s s e l e a r n in g s o n in d ir e c t tr a d e . * S ee te x t , p . 5 2 , f o o tn o te 7, f o r a p p lic a tio n o f f r e i g h t r a t e s q u o te d b y w e ig h t o r m e a s u re . “ T r a d e a r e a s r e f e r r e d to in t h i s d is c u s s io n a r e g e o g r a p h ic a r e a s , a n d s h o u ld n o t b e c o n fu s e d w it h t h e f o u r “ b i l a t e r a l ” a r e a s w it h r e s p e c t to w h ic h g lo b a l t r a n s p o r t a t i o n e a rn in g s w ere b ro k e n dow n. " D r y c a rg o a n d ta n k e r e a r n in g s r e f e r to f r e ig h t e a rn in g s o n s h ip m e n ts in d ry c a rg o a n d t a n k e r v e s s e ls , r e s p e c t i v e l y . 174 dry cargo and ta n k e r tra d e w ith in d iv id u a l c o u n tr ie s ; and th en , fo r 1945, by a p p ly in g to t o t a l e a r n in g s p e r c e n ta g e s e s t im a t e d a s f o l l o w s ; E st. % a r e a e a r n in g s to t o t a l .. % v a lu e o f tr a d e w ith a r e a to t o t a l ' % a r e a e a r n in g s to to ta l - r j ----- ------ — — - -- -- - — - - -- - -- - -- . . . . (in 1 9 4 4 ) % v a lu e o f tr a d e w ith a r e a to to ta l A r e a e a r n in g s w e r e f u r t h e r s u b d iv id e d in to le n d - le a s e a n d c a s h t r a n s a c tio n s . G lo b a l e s t im a t e s o f f o r e ig n - v e s s e l e a r n in g s in t h e c a r r ia g e o f U n it e d S t a t e s e x p o r t s a n d im p o r ts w e r e b r o k e n d o w n in to b ila t e r a l a r e a e a r n in g s in p r o p o r tio n to t h e c a r g o to n n a g e ( e s t im a t e d f o r s o m e y e a r s ) c a r r ie d in v e s s e ls c o n tr o lle d b y t h e c o u n tr ie s o f th e fo u r a r e a s c o n c e r n e d . F o r b a la n c e - o f - p a y m e n t s p u r p o s e s , o n l y e a r n in g s o f U n it e d S t a t e s v e s s e l s in c a r r y in g e x p o r ts ( a r e c e ip ts it e m ) a n d o f f o r e ig n v e s s e ls in c a r r y in g im p o r ts (a p a y m e n ts it e m ) w e r e in c lu d e d . ( F o r w a t e r - b o r n e f r e i g h t e a r n i n g s in c lu d e d in a n d e x c lu d e d fr o m t h e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts , s e e ta b le I I .) C o n tr a r y to t h e fla g o f- c a r r ie r m e th o d u s e d in p e a c e tim e , c o n tr o l o f o p e r a t io n w a s t h e c r ite r io n f o r d is t in g u is h in g A m e r ic a n fr o m f o r e ig n s h ip s fr o m 1 9 4 2 th r o u g h 1 9 4 5 . V e s s e ls , c o n s id e r e d A m e r ic a n in c lu d e d : ( 1 ) A m e r ic a n -o w n e d s h ip s , o ld a n d n e w , r e m a in in g u n d e r U n it e d S t a t e s c o n t r o l; ( 2 ) f o r e ig n s h ip s a llo c a t e d to A m e r ic a n c o n tr o l b y t h e C o m b in e d S h ip p in g A d j u s t m e n t B o a r d ( J a n u a r y 1 9 4 2 -A u g u s t 1 9 4 4 ) a n d b y t h e U n it e d M a r itim e A u t h o r it y ( A u g u s t 1 9 4 4 -M a r c h 1 9 4 6 ) ; ( 3 ) A m e r ic a n v e s s e ls b a r e b o a te d to e n e m y -o c c u p ie d c o u n tr ie s (so t h a t t h e s e r v ic e s o f fo r e ig n s e a m e n c o u ld b e u t iliz e d ) a n d t im e -c h a r te r e d b a c k b y t h e U n it e d S t a t e s ; ( 4 ) r e q u is it io n e d s h ip s , w h e t h e r A m e r ic a n o r f o r e i g n ; a n d ( 5 ) c h a r t e r e d f o r e ig n s h ip s . A m e r ic a n -o w n e d v e s s e ls a llo c a te d to fo r e ig n c o n tr o l b y th e in te r n a t io n a l s h ip p in g a u t h o r itie s , o r le n d -le a s e d to f o r e ig n c o u n tr ie s o n a “ c u s to d y a n d p o s s e s s io n ” b a s is , w e r e c o u n te d fo r e ig n . A ll o c e a n r e c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts w e r e c o n s id e r e d G o v e r n m e n t t r a n s a c tio n s a f t e r th e fir s t q u a r te r o f 1 9 4 2 , s in c e c o n tr o l w a s v e s te d in t h e W a r S h ip p in g A d m in is t r a t io n . G r e a t L a k e s fr e ig h t (I te m s l b a n d 5 6 ) .— T h e f r e ig h t o n e x p o r ts a n d im p o r ts v ia t h e G r e a t L a k e s w a s e s tim a te d fro m d a ta f u r n is h e d by th e C a n a d ia n D o m in io n B u r e a u o f S t a t is t ic s , t h e U . S . M a r itim e C o m m is s io n , a n d t h e B u r e a u o f t h e C en su s. T h e t o n n a g e d is tr ib u tio n b y A m e r ic a n a n d C a n a d ia n f la g w a s a v a ila b le f o r a ll w a r y e a r s e x c e p t 1 9 4 3 a n d 1 9 4 4 , th e fig u r e s f o r w h ic h w e r e e s t im a te d o n th e b a s is o f s ta tis tic s on n e t to n n a g e a c tu a l c a r g o d is tr ib u tio n in 1 9 4 5 . o f v e s s e ls e n te r e d and c le a r e d in r e la tio n to A v e r a g e f r e ig h t r a t e s o n m a in c o m m o d itie s in t h e G r e a t L a k e s t r a ffic b e t w e e n t h e U n it e d S t a t e s a n d C a n a d a , s u p p lie d b y t h e L a k e C a r r ie r s ’ A s s o c ia t io n o f C le v e la n d , O h io , w e r e w e ig h t e d b y c o m m o d ity s h ip p in g w e ig h ts , a n d th e n a p p lie d to a n n u a l to n n a g e d a ta . A ir f r e ig h t ( I te m s l c a n d 5 c ) .— A ir -fr e ig h t e a r n in g s w e r e c o m p u te d fo r 1945 fro m C en su s B u reau d a ta on e x p o rts to and im p o r ts fro m in d e ta il in d iv id u a l c o u n t r ie s , a n d f r e i g h t r a t e s f ile d a t t h e C iv il A e r o n a u t ic s B o a r d a n d p u b lis h e d in A ir T r a n s p o r ta tio n . T h e 1 9 4 5 o v e r -a ll w e ig h t e d a v e r a g e r a t e s w e r e a p p lie d to C e n s u s p o u n d a g e d a ta fo r 1 9 4 3 a n d 1 9 4 4 , a n d to e s tim a te d d a ta fo r 1 9 4 0 th r o u g h 1942. E a r n in g s o n a ir e x p o r ts , 1 9 4 0 -4 4 , w e r e a llo c a t e d to b ila te r a l a r e a s a c c o r d in g to th e 1 9 4 5 d is tr ib u tio n p a t te r n o f e a r n in g s , b y a r e a s . A n n u a l m a il p a y re c e iv e d b y U n it e d S t a t e s a ir lin e s d ir e c t fr o m f o r e ig n g o v e r n m e n t s in t h e A m e r ic a n R e p u b lic s a r e a w a s in c lu d e d w it h f r e ig h t r e c e ip t s fr o m t h a t a r e a . (M a ilp a y r e c e i p t s a n d p a y m e n t s b y t h e U . S . P o s t O ffic e D e p a r t m e n t w e r e i n c l u d e d i n t h e G o v e r n m e n t m is c e lla n e o u s s e r v ic e s a c c o u n t.) P a s s e n g e r fa r e s ( I te m s 2 a , 6 a n d 6 a , 6 ) .— F a r e r e c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts w e r e e s t im a t e d in c o n n e c tio n w it h t r a v e l e x p e n d it u r e s , a n d in c lu d e d e x p e n d it u r e s o n <r board th e c a r r ie r as w e ll as fa r e p a y m e n ts proper. T he b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts it e m s c o n s is t o n ly o f f a r e s p a id t o U n it e d S t a t e s c a r r ie r s ( a r e c e ip ts it e m ) b y fo r e ig n r e s id e n ts a n d f a r e s p a id to fo r e ig n c a r r ie r s ( a p a y m e n ts ite m ) b y U n ite d S t a t e s r e s id e n ts . T h e n u m b e r o f p a s s e n g e r s in e a c h c a t e g o r y , c o m p ile d b y tr a v e l a rea , w as m u ltip lie d by average p assen ger fa r es (o b ta in e d fr o m tra v el q u e s tio n n a ir e s ) w ith a n a d ju s tm e n t f o r th e a n n u a l e x c e s s o f d e p a r tu r e s o r a r r iv a ls in t h e c a s e o f c itiz e n s a n d a lie n v is it o r s . B e g in n in g w it h th e s e c o n d q u a r te r o f 1 9 4 2 , r e c e ip ts b y U n it e d fro m fo r e ig n r e s id e n ts w ere c o n s id e r e d G overnm ent F a r e p a y m e n ts m a d e b y th e G o v er n m en t fro m S t a t e s c a r r ie r s tr a n s p o r ta tio n r e c e ip ts . 1 9 4 0 th r o u g h 1 9 4 5 to fo r e ig n car r ie r s w e r e s e g r e g a t e d f r o m t o t a l f a r e p a y m e n ts , a n d in c lu d e d in t h e m is c e lla n e o u s s e r v ic e s a c c o u n t. F a r e p a y m e n ts a r is in g fr o m tr a v e l b e tw e e n th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d C a n a d a a n d M e x ic o w e r e in c lu d e d in t h e t r a v e l a c c o u n t . P o r t e x p e n d itu r e s ( I te m s 3 a , 6, c a n d 7 a , 6 , c ) .— O c e a n p o r t e x p e n d itu r e s o f 175 A m e r ic a n a n d f o r e ig n v e s s e ls w e r e r e s p e c t iv e ly e s t im a t e d a s fix e d p e r c e n t a g e s o f t h e ir g r o s s r e v e n u e s o n th e c a r r ia g e o f f r e ig h t a n d p a s s e n g e r s t o a n d fr o m th e U n it e d S t a t e s , a n d a ls o , in t h e c a s e o f A m e r ic a n v e s s e ls , o n t h e ir c a r r ia g e o f in d ir e c t tr a d e . S e r v ic e s r e c e iv e d b y A m e r ic a r r v e s s e ls in f o r e ig n p o r t s u n d e r r e v e r s e le n d -le a s e w e r e s u b tr a c te d fr o m t o t a l e s t im a t e s to g iv e c a s h p o r t e x p e n d i tu res. T h e d iv is io n o f e x p e n d itu r e s o f f o r e ig n v e s s e ls in U n it e d S t a t e s p o r ts in to le n d - le a s e (G o v e r n m e n t a c c o u n t) a n d c a s h it e m s w a s r e la t iv e ly a r b itr a r y . B ila t e r a l p o r t e x p e n d it u r e s w e r e e s t im a t e d in p r o p o r tio n t o b ila t e r a l a r e a t r a n s p o r t a t io n e a r n in g s , a n d f u r t h e r d iv id e d in t o le n d - le a s e a n d c a s h ite m s . L a k e p o r t e x p e n d itu r e s o f A m e r ic a n and C a n a d ia n v e s s e ls w ere r e s p e c tiv e ly e s t im a te d a s fix e d p e r c e n ta g e s o f t h e ir g r o s s r e v e n u e s . A ir p o r t e x p e n d itu r e s o f U n it e d S t a t e s s c h e d u le d a ir lin e s a b r o a d w e r e e s t im a te d f r o m C iv il A e r o n a u tic s B o a r d d a ta . R a i l t r a f f i c ( I t e m s Jf a , 6 a n d 8 a , h ) .— T h e s e e s t i m a t e s w e r e b a s e d u p o n i n f o r m a t i o n f u r n i s h e d b y A m e r i c a n r a i l r o a d s o p e r a t i n g i n C a n a d a , M o o d y ’s S t e a m R a ilr o a d s , C a n a d ia n G o v e r n m e n t p u b lic a tio n s , a n d D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e r c e d a ta on C a n a d ia n S ta te s. and M e x ic a n ex p o rts and im p o r ts in tr a n s it th ro u g h th e U n ite d A m e r ic a n r a ilr o a d r e c e ip t s in C a n a d a in c lu d e d f r e ig h t o n U n it e d S ta te s e x p o r t s a n d in t r a - C a n a d ia n t r a ffic c a r r ie d w i t h i n C a n a d a b y A m e r ic a n r a ilr o a d s . Ta bl e I .— C o m p o s i t i o n o f f r e i g h t a n d s h i p p i n g a c c o u n t , 19Jt 0 ~ 4 5 [In m illio n s of d ollars] I te m 1940 RECEIPTS - 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1. F r e ig h t o n w a te r -b o rn e a n d a ir cargo: a . O c e a n ___ _____ __________ _______ ______ b . G re a t L a k e s . . . ____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ c. A ir ___ _ _ _ ______________ _____ 1______ 139 3 2 280 3 2 387 3 8 787 4 13 979 5 12 987 3 16 T o ta l, f r e ig h t_ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ 144 285 398 804 996 1,006 2. P a sse n g e r fares: a. O c e a n ............. .......... .............. ........... ................ b . A i r . . . ___ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ . ______ 10 3 10 4 3 9 2 8 3 14 14 15 T o ta l, fa re s ____ ________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 13 14 12 10 17 29 3. E x p e n se s of fo re ig n c a rriers in U n ite d S ta te s p o rts: a . O ce a n p o r ts ..................... .............. ............. ........ b . L a k e p o r ts . ____________ ._ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ c. A ir p o r ts _ _ _ _ ____________________ ____ 21G 4 « 229 4 (0 215 5 « 201 5 (0 215 4 « 209 4 0) T o ta l, p o r t e x p e n d itu re s . ______________ 4. R a il traffic: a. A m e ric a n ra ilr o a d r e c e ip ts in C a n a d a _______ b . I n - tr a n s it tra ffic th ro u g h th e U n ite d S ta te s ___ T o t a l, ra il r e c e ip ts ________ ____ ________ 220 233 220 206 219 213 5 21 6 24 7 52 6» 84 7 68 5 56 20 30 59 90 G r a n d to ta l, re c e ip ts _ __ __ _ _ __ __ __ __ __ _ 403 562 089 1,110 197 4 99 7 (>) 106 106 6 w 112 75 1,3 07 . 61 1,306 PAYMENTS 5. F r e ig h t o n w a te r- b o r n e a n d a ir cargo: a . O c e a n _______ ____ _ _ _ _ _ _______________ b . G re a t L a k e s ........................ ........................ ........ c. A ir __ _ ____________ T o ta l, f r e ig h t___ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 6. P a sse n g e r fares: a. O cean_________________________________ b . A ir _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 236 5 241 201 119 5 0) 124 13 10 3 3 1 4 1 6 2 « « « o C) 114 3 0) 117 T o ta l, fa re s .................... ...... _ __ __ __ __ ____ 13 10 3 4 5 8 7. E x p e n se s of A m e ric a n c a rrie rs in fo re ig n p o r ts: a. O ce a n p o r ts _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __________ . . b . L a k e p o r ts ................................ ......... c. A ir p o r ts _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ ____ ______ 52 1 4 99 1 5 98 1 6 184 2 10 226 3 11 242 3 14 T o ta l, p o r t e x p e n d itu re s ......... ................... . 57 105 105 196 240 259 8. R a il traffic: a. A m e ric a n ra ilr o a d ex pen se s in C a n a d a ......... . b. I n - tr a n s it tra ffic th ro u g h C a n a d a ___________ 14 9 16 11 19 12 23 14 25 17 25 11 23 334 27 31 263 37 343 42 343 399 36 420 T o ta l, ra il p a y m e n ts _____________ ___ G ra n d to ta l, p a y m e n ts _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1 L ess t h a n $500,000. Tabl e I T .— E s t i m a t e d f r e ig h t e a r n in g s b y U n ite d S t a te s a n d f o r e ig n t h e c a r r i a g e o f U n i t e d S t a t e s i m p o r t s a n d e x p o r t s , 1 9 J tO -J {5 v e s s e ls in [ I n m illio n s of dollars] U n ite d S ta te s le nd -le a se ex p o r ts U n ite d S ta te s im p o rts Y e a r a n d ite m O ce an fre ig h t: O ce an freig h t: O ce an freig h t: O ce an freig h t: 1940 113 23 205 31 122 10 437 73 235 33 642 104 136 1 236 5 132 3 510 10 268 4 746 15 137 241 135 520 272 761 205 42 155 42 28 7 65 47 216 5 456 35 449 54 676 124 247 3 197 4 35 112 221 3 491 13 503 6 800 17 250 201 35 112 224 504 509 817 157 20 112 7 167 37 303 75 155 11 243 19 479 68 658 101 177 2 119 5 204 378 166 3 262 14 547 5 759 19 179 124 204 378 169 276 552 778 268 28 92 7 453 83 347 109 219 6 134 16 940 117 573 132 296 4 99 7 536 456 225 4 150 14 1,057 8 705 21 300 106 536 456 229 164 1,065 726 322 36 95 11 515 171 389 96 254 8 153 4 1,091 215 637 111 358 7 106 6 686 485 262 5 157 12 1,306 12 748 18 365 112 686 485 267 169 1, 318 766 360 47 101 13 392 82 263 89 391 7 227 31 i 1, 218 136 591 133 407 7 114 3 474 352 398 3 258 12 i 1, 354 10 724 15 414 117 474 352 401 270 i 1,364 739 1941 1942 1943 G r a n d to ta l, fr e ig h t_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ O ce a n freigh t: T o ta l E a r n e d E a r n e d E a rn e d E a rn e d E a r n e d E a r n e d E a r n e d E a r n e d by by by by b y for b y for b y for b y for U n ite d U n ite d U n ite d U n ite d eign n eig n eig n S ta te s S ta te s v eig S ta te s S ta te s essels v essels vesse ls v esse ls v esse ls vessels vessels vesse ls T a n k e r s ........................... ........ ... O ce an freig h t: U n ite d S ta te s c o m m e rc ia l ex p o r ts 1944 1945 G re a t L a k e s fr e ig h t...T ...................... 1 In c lu d e s U N R R A fre ig h t, $75 m illio n . T ravel A ccou n t O versea A ccou n t P a y m e n t s .-— T h e o u t b r e a k t h e U n ite d S ta te s ch a n g ed a in r e v is io n th e o f th e w a r m e th o d o lo g y r e c e ip ts a r is in g fr o m in E u rope and th e su b se q u e n t e n tr y b y c o m p le te ly e x is t in g t r a v e l p a tte r n s , a n d u n d e r ly in g th e c o m p u ta tio n of n e c e s s ita te d p a y m e n ts and in t e r n a t io n a l tr a v e l. 177 I n 1 9 4 1 a n d p r io r y e a r s , q u e s tio n n a ir e s w e r e m a ile d to a g r o u p o f U n it e d S t a t e s c itiz e n s s e le c te d a t r a n d o m fr o m lis t s o f p a s s p o r t a p p lic a n ts . In o rd er to c o v e r t h e t r a v e l in f o r e ig n c o u n t r ie s o f a lie n r e s id e n t s o f t h e U n it e d S t a t e s , w h o c a n n o t o b ta in A m e r ic a n p a s s p o r ts , s im ilia r q u e s tio n n a ir e s w e r e d is tr ib u te d to h o ld e r s U n ite d of r e e n tr y p e r m its , d o c u m e n ts r e q u ir e d of a lie n S t a te s fo r te m p o r a r y t r ip s a b r o a d i f th e y w is h F or each fo r a lie n r e s id e n ts le a v in g to b e a ssu r e d th e o f r e e n tr y . y e a r , a v e r a g e p e r c a p ita e x p e n d itu r e s w e r e c o m p u te d f o r c itiz e n s a n d r e s id e n t s o f th e U n ite d S t a te s , b y c la s s o f s te a m s h ip a c c o m m o d a tio n u tiliz e d a n d b y g e o g r a p h ic a r e a v is ite d . S in c e n e a r ly a ll c o u n t r ie s in t h e W e s t I n d ie s a n d C e n tr a l A m e r ic a a d m it U n it e d S t a t e s c it iz e n s o n te m p o r a r y v is it s w ith o u t th e n e c e s s ity o f o b ta in in g p a s s p o r ts , in o r d e r to c o m p u te a v e r a g e p e r c a p ita e x p e n d itu r e s fo r c itiz e n s tr a v e lin g to n on p assp ort oversea areas it w as n ecessary p a y m e n ts a n d s h ip b o a r d e x p e n d it u r e s b y t h is g r o u p 4 1 p e r c e n t o f t h e ir to ta l g r o s s t r a v e l e x p e n d itu r e s . e x p e n d itu r e s o n b o a r d s h ip w e r e d e r iv e d fro m to a ssu m e th a t fa r e c o n s titu te d a p p r o x im a te ly F a r e p a y m e n ts a n d to ta l f a r e s c h e d u le s and o th e r d a ta as a p p lie d t o d e p a r tu r e s b y c a b in c la s s f o r t h e W e s t I n d ie s a n d C e n tr a l A m e r ic a f r o m v a r io u s p o r ts o f d e p a r tu r e to s p e c ifie d d e s t in a t io n s . A v era g e gross ex p e n d itu r e s in n o n p a s s p o r t a r e a s w e r e th u s p la c e d a t a p p r o x im a te ly $ 3 0 0 in 1 9 3 5 b y in fla t in g th e e s t im a te d f a r e p a y m e n ts ($ 1 2 3 ) o n t h e th e o r y t h a t t h e la t t e r a m o u n ted to 41 percent o f gross e x p e n d itu r e s . If per c a p ita e x p e n d itu r e s fo r e a c h c a b in c la s s in p a s s p o r t a r e a s in 1 9 3 5 w e r e w e ig h t e d b y t h e p e r c e n t a g e o f d e p a r tu r e s in e a c h c la s s fo r n e a r b y o v e r s e a a r e a s , th e p e r c a p ita a v e r a g e f o r a ll c itiz e n s v is it in g p a s s p o r t c o u n tr ie s in t h a t y e a r w o u ld have a m o u n te d to $ 1 ,0 1 9 ( a s c o m p a r e d w ith a n a c tu a l a v e r a g e fo r p a s s p o r t a r e a s o f $ 7 2 2 ). T h e e s tim a te d a v e r a g e f o r n o n p a s s p o r t a r e a s in t h a t y e a r w a s , h o w e v e r , o n ly $ 3 0 0 , o r a p p r o x i m a t e l y 2 9 p e r c e n t o f $ 1 ,0 1 9 . T h is r a t io o f 2 9 p e r c e n t w a s a p p lie d in o th e r y e a r s to t h e e s tim a te d a v e r a g e fo r p a s s p o r t a r e a s w e ig h te d b y p e r c e n ta g e o f d e p a r t u r e s t o n o n p a s s p o r t a r e a s f o r t h e r e le v a n t y e a r , in a m a n n e r a n a lo g o u s to th e c o m p u ta tio n s h o w n b e lo w fo r 1 9 3 5 : C lass A v era ge gross e x p e n d itu re s in p a s sp o r t are as W e ig h t (p e r c e n t of d e p a r tu r e s to n o n p a s sp o r t area s) $1,285 863 541 819 612 406 62.1 4 .0 28.7 1.3 2.1 1.8 S e c o n d __________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____________ T h i r d ...... ............... ......... .......................... W e ig h te d am ount $798 35 155 11 13 7 T o t a l _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ ____ 1,019 • E q u iv a le n t to c a b in class in n o n p a s s p o r t a re a s. Not e.—R a tio o f $300 to $1,019 is 29.25 p e rc e n t. Q u e s t io n n a ir e a v e r a g e s f o r 1 9 4 0 w e r e e m p lo y e d in c o m p u tin g e s t im a t e s f o r t h a t year. S in c e n o q u e s tio n n a ir e s w e r e s e n t o u t a f t e r 1 9 4 1 a n d s in c e th e r e p lie s r e c e iv e d in 1 9 4 1 w e r e r a th e r s p a r s e , a c o m b in a tio n o f 1 9 4 0 -4 1 a v e r a g e s w a s u s e d fo r 1941 a n d su b seq u en t w a r y ea rs. B a s ic v o lu m e d a t a a d ju sted and to to s u p p lie d by I m m ig r a tio n e x c lu d e t r a v e l b e tw e e n in c lu d e a r r iv a ls fro m th e ov ersea and U n ite d N a tu r a liz a tio n S ta te s a n d c o u n tr ie s at M e x ic o C a n a d ia n S e r v ic e w e r e and sea p o rts C anada, en r o u te to th e U n ite d S t a te s a n d d e p a r tu r e s fr o m o v e r s e a a r e a s v ia C a n a d ia n s e a p o r ts . I n a d d itio n , a lie n r e s id e n t t r a v e l d a ta w e r e f u r t h e r a d j u s t e d in o r d e r to e q u a liz e th e n u m b e r o f a lie n r e s id e n t s d e p a r tin g f o r a n d r e tu r n in g fr o m te m p o r a r y tr ip s a b r o a d w ith in a g iv e n y e a r . T h is a d ju s tm e n t is n e c e s s ita t e d b y t h e f a c t th a t t h e d is tin c t io n b e tw e e n a lie n r e s id e n t s d e p a r tin g f o r te m p o r a r y tr ip s a b r o a d a n d e m ig r a n t a lie n s is b a s e d u p o n t h e d e c la r e d in te n t io n o f s u c h a n a lie n a t t h e t im e o f h is d e p a r tu r e fr o m th e U n ite d S ta te s. s o -c a lle d e m ig r a n t a lie n s r e tu r n e d a b r o a d , a n d m a n y a lie n r e s id e n ts o f d e p a r tu r e o n th e b a s is o f th e ir w ith in a y e a r a c t u a lly r e m a in e d a b A c tu a lly , i t w a s d is c o v e r e d th a t m a n y to t h e U n ite d S t a te s a f t e r te m p o r a r y tr ip s w h o o b ta in e d r e e n tr y p e r m its a t t h e t im e d e c la r e d in te n t io n t o r e tu r n t o t h is c o u n tr y r o a d fo r e x t e n d e d p e r io d s o r p e r m a n e n tly . I n t h e c a s e w h e r e d e p a r tu r e s o f a lie n r e s id e n t s (b y d e fin itio n , o n te m p o r a r y v is it s a b r o a d o f le s s t h a n 1 y e a r ) e x c e e d e d t h e a r r iv a ls o f a lie n r e s id e n t s d u r in g a g iv e n 178 year, th e excess o f su ch d e p a r tu r e s over a r r iv a ls w as c o n s id e r e d as r e p r e s e n tin g d e fa c to r e s id e n ts over e m ig r a tio n . d e p a r tu r e s In e x is te d , years w hen th e excess an of e x c e s s o f a r r iv a ls o f a lie n su ch a r r iv a ls w a s d e d u c te d fr o m r e p o r te d e m ig r a n t d e p a r tu r e s . E s t im a t e s o f t r a v e l e x p e n d itu r e s in o v e r s e a a r e a s w ere over d e p a r tu r e s c o m p u te d by a p p ly in g t h e a p p r o p r ia te a v e r a g e s t o t h e r e s p e c t iv e v o lu m e fig u r e s f o r e a c h c la s s o f tr a v e l a n d f o r e a c h g e o g r a p h ic a r e a , w ith a n a d ju s tm e n t in t h e t o t a l fo r th e annual v is ito r s . excess T he of d e p a r tu r e s r e s u ltin g or fig u r e s a r r iv a ls w ere in th en th e ca se r e v is e d of c itiz e n s dow nw ard to and a lie n e x c lu d e th e e x p e n d it u r e s o f G o v e r n m e n t o ffic ia ls t r a v e lin g o v e r s e a s , o n t h e b a s is o f r e d u c in g th e e s tim a te s p o r ts is s u e d o r ig in a lly to to ta l c o m p u te d p a ssp o rts by th e is s u e d . r a tio In o f d ip lo m a tic ord er c o n t r a c t w o r k e r s o n C a r ib b e a n d e f e n s e b a s e s f r o m to and e x c lu d e s p e c ia l p a s s e x p e n d itu r e s th e tr a v e l a cco u n t by (s in c e th e s e e x p e n d itu r e s a r e in c lu d e d in t h e G o v e r n m e n t s e r v ic e s a c c o u n t ) , in fo r m a tio n w a s o b ta in e d fr o m t h e W a r D e p a r tm e n t a n d t h e C a n a l Z o n e C o m m is s io n c o n c e r n in g t h e c o u n tr ie s w h e r e w o r k e r s w e r e s e n t. T r e n d s w e r e d e r iv e d fr o m p lo tt in g d e p a r tu r e s b y m o n th d u r in g la t e p r e w a r y e a r s to e a c h o f t h e s e c o u n tr ie s , a n d a n y e x c e s s o f d e p a r tu r e s d u r in g th e p e r io d w a s d e d u cted . R e c e i p t s .— A l i e n v is ito r s to th e U n ite d covered S ta te s o v er th e c o m p r is e e s ta b lis h e d te m p o r a r y tr e n d s v is ito r s f o r p le a s u r e , te m p o r a r y v is it o r s f o r b u s in e s s , s tu d e n ts , p e r s o n s in t r a n s it th r o u g h th e U n ite d S ta te s and governm ent o ffic ia ls and th e ir fa m ilie s , a tte n d a n ts, and ser v a n ts. D u r in g t h e w a r y e a r s t r a v e l fr o m o u t s id e t h e W e s te r n H e m is p h e r e w a s lim it e d to f o r e ig n m is s io n s , g o v e r n m e n t o ffic ia ls , a n d w a r r e f u g e e s . N u m b e r s o f f o r e ig n g o v e r n m e n t o ffic ia ls d e p a r tin g fr o m t h e U n ite d S ta te s w e r e n o t a v a il a b le ; h o w e v e r , d a t a w e r e o b t a in e d c o v e r in g t o t a l a lie n g o v e r n m e n t o ffic ia ls a r r iv in g in th e U n it e d S t a te s , a n d r a t io s w e r e c o m p u te d o f a lie n v is it o r s a r r iv in g e x c lu d in g g o v e r n m e n t o ffic ia ls to a lie n v is it o r s a r r iv in g in c lu d in g g o v e r n m e n t o ffic ia ls , o n t h e a s s u m p t io n t h a t t h e s a m e r a t io w o u ld h o ld f o r a lie n v is it o r s d e p a r tin g . fr o m a lie n T h e s e r a t io s w e r e t h e n u s e d to a d j u s t t h e e s t im a t e s o f r e c e ip ts v is it o r s o b ta in e d b y a p p ly in g a v e r a g e s , id e n t ic a l w it h t h o s e e s t a b lis h e d f o r c itiz e n tr a v e le r s , to t h e n u m b e r s o f v is it o r s fr o m th e p r in c ip a l o v e r s e a a r e a s , in t h e a b s e n c e o f e m p ir ic a l d a t a b e a r in g u p o n th e e x p e n d itu r e s o f fo r e ig n v is it o r s to th e U n ite d S ta te s . A p p r o x im a te ly 4 0 p e r c e n t o f t h e to t a l e x p e n d itu r e s o f ov ersea tr a v e le r s con s is t e d in t h e in t e r w a r p e r io d o f f a r e s a n d s h ip b o a r d e x p e n d it u r e s a n d t h e s e o u t la y s a r e t h e s a m e f o r a n y g iv e n c la s s o f a c c o m m o d a tio n f o r c itiz e n s a n d a lie n s a lik e . A g r ic u lt u r a l w o r k e r s im p o r te d fr o m t h e B r it is h W e s t I n d ie s a n d in c lu d e d w ere in v o lu m e d a ta e x c lu d e d m ade in S ta te s th e and in th e f u r n is h e d c o m p u ta tio n I m m ig r a tio n C anada and v o lu m e M e x ic o , by I m m ig r a tio n o f e x p e n d itu r e s . d a ta and to to A e x c lu d e in c lu d e and N a tu r a liz a tio n fu r th e r tr a v e l b e tw e e n a r r iv a ls S e r v ic e a d ju stm e n t w a s and th e U n ite d d e p a r tu r e s v ia C a n a d ia n s e a p o r ts . C a n a d ia n A ccount P a y m e n t s .— T h e U n i t e d S t a t e s D e p a r t m e n t o f C o m m e r c e c o l l a b o r a t e s w i t h t h e D o m in io n B ureau tr a v e l b y U n ite d o f S ta tis tic s a t O tta w a in S t a t e s r e s id e n t s in C a n a d a . e s tim a tin g p a y m e n ts a r is in g fro m Q u e s tio n n a ir e s a r e d is tr ib u te d by U n it e d S t a t e s C u s t o m s o ffic e r s o n a r a n d o m b a s i s t o a p p r o x im a t e ly o n e U n it e d S t a t e s r e s id e n t o u t o f e v e r y s e v e n w h o r e tu r n to th e U n ite d S t a te s o v e r th e C a n a d ia n border by r a il, b o a t, p la n e , o r lo n g -d is ta n c e b u s. C a n a d ia n a u th o r i t ie s s a m p le t h e t r a v e l o f U n ite d S t a te s r e s id e n ts w h o e n te r C a n a d a b y a u to m o b ile b y m e a n s o f q u e s t io n n a ir e s p r in t e d o n t h e r e v e r s e o f t h e V e h ic le P e r m its , o n e o f w h ic h is is s u e d to a m e m b e r o f e a c h p a r ty o f fo r e ig n r e s id e n t s w h o e n te r s V C a n a d a b y a u to m o b ile f o r a p e r io d o f m o r e th a n 4 8 h o u r s o r w h o p la n s to d e p a r t fr o m C a n a d a b y a p o r t o th e r th a n th e p o r t o f e n tr y . T r a v e le r s w h o e n te r C a n a d a b y c a r a n d w h o d o n o t r e q u ir e a V e h ic le P e r m it a r e h a n d e d a q u e s t io n n a ir e b y C a n a d ia n th e a u t h o r itie s w h ic h C a n a d ia n o ffic ia ls u p o n th e h is tr a v e le r is d e p a r tu r e re q u e ste d fro m to C anada. fill in and D o m in io n le a v e w ith a u th o r itie s lik e w is e d e r iv e a v e r a g e e x p e n d it u r e s f o r p e r s o n s w h o c r o s s t h e b o r d e r b y b u s o r o n fo o t f o r b r ie f v is it s o f a p u r e ly lo c a l c h a r a c te r . lo c a l T h e r e s u lt s f r o m t h e s e s a m p lin g o p e r a t io n s a r e p o o le d , s e p a r a t e a v e r a g e s b e in g c o m p u te d fo r tr a v e le r s by each m eans o f tr a n s p o r ta tio n and by th e C a n a d ia n p r o v in c e o f in g r e s s . P a y m e n ts to c a r r ie r s f o r f a r e s a r e in c lu d e d in th e e s t im a t e s o f o v e r -a ll t r a v e l e x p e n d itu r e s . T h e q u e s tio n n a ir e s d is tr ib u te d to tr a v e le r s b y b o a t, tr a in , b u s, or p la n e req u est th a t th e tr a v e le r fu r n is h d a ta s h o w in g th e a m o u n t p a id f o r f a r e s p u r c h a s e d in C a n a d a a n d fo r th r o u g h tr a n s p o r ta tio n p u r c h a s e d in t h e U n it e d S t a t e s t o a n y p o in t in C a n a d a . In t h e c a s e o f tr a v e l b y t r a in and b u s, th e a m o u n t o f th r o u g h t r a n s p o r ta tio n 179 i s p r o r a te d b e tw e e n t h e tw o c o u n tr ie s o n t h e b a s is o f t h e m ile a g e c o v e r e d e a c h c o u n tr y , a n d in c lu d e d w ith th e e s t im a t e fo r o th e r t r a v e l e x p e n d itu r e s . in In th e c a s e o f p la n e a n d b o a t t r a v e l, f a r e p a y m e n ts a r e in c lu d e d w it h o th e r t r a v e l e x p e n d itu r e s o n ly i f th e c a r r ie r is o w n e d b y t h e fo r e ig n c o u n t r y ; o th e r w is e n o e s tim a te fo r fa r es is in c lu d e d . T he num bers of p a ssen g ers in d ir e c t tr a n s it th r o u g h C a n a d a fr o m o n e p o in t in t h e U n ite d S t a te s to a n o th e r a r e d e d u c te d fr o m t o t a ls r e p o r te d b y t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f M in e s a n d R e s o u r c e s o f e n t r ie s o f U n ite d S t a t e s t r a v e le r s in to C a n a d a , b y m e a n s o f t r a n s p o r ta tio n a n d b y p o r t a n d p r o v in c e o f e n tr y . T h e r e s u lt a n t v o lu m e fig u r e s a r e a p p lie d to e x p e n d itu r e a v e r a g e s c o m p u te d fo r e a c h c la s s o f t r a v e le r . t h e s a m e fin a l e s t im a t e s h a v e b e e n u s e d b y b o th c o u n tr ie s . R e c e i p t s .— T h e D o m i n i o n of C anada m e a n s o f q u e s tio n n a ir e s d is tr ib u te d s a m p le s tra v el o f b y C a n a d ia n t h e a p p r o p r ia te In recent C a n a d ia n s I m m ig r a tio n years, abroad by o ffic e r s t o r e t u r n in g C a n a d ia n s . A v e r a g e e x p e n d itu r e s a r e c o m p u te d th e r e fr o m , b y m e a n s o f t r a n s p o r t a tio n a n d b y p r o v in c e o f r e e n tr y in to C a n a d a , to w h ic h a r e a p p lie d v o lu m e d a ta s u p p lie d by th e D e p a r tm e n t of M in e s and R eso u rces, w h ic h are s t r a tifie d a s s p e c ifie d a b o v e a s in t h e c a s e o f c o m p u tin g e s t im a t e s f o r p a y m e n ts . T h e m e th o d o lo g y u n d e r ly in g th e c o m p u ta tio n o f p a ssen g er fa r es and th e e x c lu s io n o f in -t r a n s it p a s s e n g e r s is th e s a m e a s t h a t d is c u s s e d u n d e r P a y m e n ts . M e x ic a n A ccount P a y m e n t s . — 1 . T r a v e l t o t h e i n t e r i o r o f M e x i c o .— T h e B a n k o f M e x i c o a n d t h e U n it e d S t a t e s D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e r c e c o lla b o r a t e in t h e ir fin d in g s in c o n n e c tio n w it h r e c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts a r is in g fr o m t r a v e l b e tw e e n th e tw o c o u n tr ie s . In 1 9 4 4 t h e B a n k o f M e x ic o c o n d u c te d a s u r v e y b y m e a n s o f q u e s t io n n a ir e s h a n d e d to U n it e d S t a t e s t o u r is t s v is it in g M e x ic o C ity w h o s t a y e d in h o t e ls a n d lo d g in g h o u s e s a n d to s tu d e n ts w h o p u r s u e d c o u r s e s o f s tu d y in t h a t c ity . P ro m th ese q u e s tio n n a ir e s p e r c a p ita , f o r s e p a r a te a v e r a g e s w e r e c o m p u te d f o r e x p e n d itu r e s fo o d , lo d g in g , s id e tr ip s , a n d m is c e lla n e o u s p u r p o s e s . p e r d ie m T h e ite m f o r t r a n s p o r ta tio n w a s c o m p u te d s e p a r a t e ly o n th e b a s is o f p u b lis h e d f a r e s fo r p la n e , b u s , a u to , a n d t r a in t r a v e l t o p r in c ip a l c it ie s w it h in e a c h M e x ic a n S t a t e ; th e s e a v e r a g e s w e r e w e ig h te d b y th e n u m b e r s o f t r a v e le r s to su ch S ta te , u s in g t h e v a r io u s m e a n s o f t r a n s p o r t a tio n a s r e p o r te d to t h e D ir e c c ió n d e E s t a d ís t ic a o f M e x ic o . I n th e c a s e o f a u to m o b ile t r a v e l, it w a s a s s u m e d t h a t th e p e r m ile a v e r a g e w h ic h a p p lie d o n t r ip s t o M e x ic o C ity a s lik e w is e a p p lie d o n tr ip s to o th e r M e x ic a n c itie s . sh ow n in th e q u e s tio n n a ir e s B y m a k in g u s e o f a b r e a k -d o w n o f t r a v e le r s to t h e in te r io r o f M e x ic o b y t h e ir le n g t h o f s t a y , w h ic h h a d b e e n c o m p ile d f o r 1 9 4 3 b y o ffic ia l M e x ic a n s o u r c e s , t h e v o lu m e d a t a c o r d in g r e fe r r e d to r e p o r te d th e le n g th fo r t r a v e le r s o f sta y to and t h e in te r io r o f M e x ic o a p p lie d to to a b o v e , e x c e p t th a t t r a n s p o r ta tio n th e per d ie m w e r e c la s s ifie d per w a s co m p u te d on c a p ita ac averages a p e r tr ip b a s is . T h e it e m s f o r s id e tr ip s , f o r fo o d , a n d fo r lo d g in g w e r e a d j u s t e d d o w n w a r d fo r a s t a y o f m o r e t h a n 1 m o n th , o n t h e t h e o r y t h a t d u r in g a p r o lo n g e d s t a y t h e s e e x p e n s e s w o u ld d e c r e a s e s o m e w h a t. 2 . B o r d e r t r a v e l .— I n 1 9 4 5 , t h e B a n k o f M e x i c o a n d t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e r c e c o n d u c te d a j o in t in v e s t ig a t io n a lo n g t h e U n ite d S ta te s M e x ic a n border to d e te r m in e a m e th o d fo r e s t im a tin g e x p e n d itu r e s m a d e a lo n g th e b o r d e r z o n e in e a c h c o u n tr y b y r e s id e n t s o f t h e o th e r c o u n tr y . A repre s e n t a t iv e o f e a c h c o u n tr y in te r v ie w e d b a n k s , e x c h a n g e d e a le r s , b u s in e s s m e n , c u s to m s o ffic ia ls , m e r c h a n t s , a n d c h a m b e r s o f c o m m e r c e in b o rd er to w n s. A s a r e s u lt o f t h is in v e s t ig a tio n , i t w a s d e te r m in e d t h a t th e m o s t p r a c tic a b le s o lu t io n o f t h e p r o b le m w a s to o b t a in p e r io d ic a lly d ir e c t f r o m b a n k s in b o r d e r c itie s in fo r m a tio n n a tio n a l r e g a r d in g cu rrency. For b o rd er a r e r e q u ested t h e ir M e x ic a n p r e s u m a b ly to th e ir e x a m p le , r e c e ip ts , U n ite d r e p o r t m o n th ly c o r r e sp o n d e n ts a n d a r e s p e n t o r ig in a lly fro m S ta te s th e is r e c o g n iz e d th a t a ll m oneys exp en ded th e in te r n a tio n a l b order. T he s id e , t h e s e r e p o r ts c a n S ta te s on th e fu n d s in v e s tig a tio n sp en t th e ir to th e M e x ic a n in d ic a te d be on ch e ly s id e be u sed in M e x ic a n by U n ite d b r o u g h t b a c k to t h is s id e o f th e a n n e ls . T h is is a lo n g b o th s id e s th a t an a m o u n t e q u a l to a p p r o x im a te ly 2 0 p e r c e n t o f f u n d s p a s s in g th r o u g h r e tu r n e d to th e U n ite d S ta te s th ro u g h n o n b a n k in g c h a n n e ls . A n w a s a ls o d e r iv e d d u r in g t h e in v e s t ig a t io n to c o v e r e x p e n d it u r e s in 180 of c lo s e S ta te s cu rren cy fro m S t a t e s r e s id e n t s d o n o t fin d t h e i r w a y t o b a n k s , b u t m a y t h e U n it e d S t a t e s in t h e p o c k e t s o f M e x ic a n s a n d s p e n t b o r d e r , w it h o u t h a v in g p a s s e d th r o u g h r e g u la r b a n k in g p a r tic u la r ly tr u e s in c e U n ite d S t a te s c u r r e n c y c ir c u la te s fr e of border, to w n s S in c e a ll th e fu n d s th u s r e p o r te d M e x ic a n a s t h e b a s is f o r m a k in g e s t im a t e s o f U n ite d b o r d e r a r e a s b y U n it e d S t a te s r e s id e n ts . It th e in r e c e ip ts o f U n it e d d e p o s ito r s . on a cro ss banks a d d itio n a l b a n k s is e s tim a te p esos of * U n ite d d a ta , s h ip to S t a t e s r e s id e n ts a lo n g th e M e x ic a n it s e e m s lo g ic a l to d o lla r cover to assu m e e x p e n d itu r e s . th ese p eso b order. th a t p eso An a d ju stm e n t e x p e n d itu r e s , b a s e d on In th e a b s e n c e o f a d d itio n a l e x p e n d itu r e s w as bear a in th e to ta l e s tim a te to d o lla r e x p e n d i m ade th e ir r e la tio n s h ip d ir e c t r e la tio n tu res d u r in g t h e p e r io d c o v e r e d b y t h e in v e s t ig a tio n . R e c e i p t s . — 1 . T r a v e l t o t h e i n t e r i o r o f t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s .— I n o th e r e m p ir ic a l d a ta b a s e d , in fo r m a tio n o ffic ia ls a lo n g bers of upon w h ic h s u p p lie d th e M e x ic a n M e x ic a n s e s tim a te s b y U n ite d to th e th e p e r io d th e a c c e p te d in te r io r of as a b a s is th e a b sen ce o f 1 9 4 0 -4 5 S t a te s c o n s u ls , c u s to m s , a n d border w a s tr a v e lin g fo r m ig h t fo r e s tim a tin g U n ite d be im m ig r a tio n S ta te s, as num w e ll as a v e r a g e e x p e n d itu r e s o f s u c h t r a v e le r s . O n J u ly 1, 1 946, a p r o g ra m o f q u e s t io n n a ir e s a m p lin g w a s in itia t e d , w h e r e b y e a c h M e x ic a n r e s id e n t e n te r in g th e U n ite d area T h is S ta te s fo r m o re th a n t h is c o u n tr y a n d d e p o s ite d d e p a r tu r e fr o m th e U n ite d to 2 4 h o u r s o r d e s tin e d to a p o in t b e y o n d th e border is h a n d e d a q u e s tio n n a ir e , b y t h e U n it e d S t a t e s im m ig r a t io n in s p e c to r . q u e s t io n n a ir e i s t o b e fille d in s h o r t ly b e fo r e t h e M e x ic a n r e s id e n t le a v e s w it h t h e im m ig r a t io n in s p e c to r o r m a ile d p r io r to S ta te s. P r e lim in a r y r e s u lts fr o m t h is s u r v e y te n d c o n fir m t h e 1 9 4 0 -4 5 e s t im a t e s . 2 . B o r d e r t r a v e l .— E s t i m a t e s f o r border by M e x ic a n e s tim a te s fo r r e s id e n ts , as r e s id e n ts tr a v e l t r a v e l e x p e n d itu r e s w ere d e r iv e d e x p e n d itu r e s o u tlin e d above, a lo n g except in th e th a t m uch a lo n g th e M e x ic a n th ey w ere th e sam e border U n ite d m anner by e s tim a te d S ta te s as U n ite d to w ere S ta te s in c lu d e th e U n ite d S t a t e s d o lla r c u r r e n c y s p e n t o n t h e M e x ic a n s id e b u t n o t r e tu r n e d th r o u g h b a n k in g c h a n n e ls . In com e on In v e stm e n ts I n g e n e r a l, r e c e ip t s a n d p a y m e n ts o f in c o m e w e r e e n te r e d in t h e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts a f t e r t a x e s w e r e d e d u c te d . T h e s e t a x e s in c lu d e d n o t o n ly in c o m e t a x e s p a id b y A m e r ic a n o p e r a t in g in d iv id e n d s th e or d ir e c t-in v e s tm e n t e n te r p r is e s U n ite d o th e r S t a te s b u t a ls o in c o m e p a y m e n ts abroad and fo r e ig n in c o m e t a x e s w ith h e ld b e tw e e n th e U n ite d e n te r p r is e s a t th e S ta te s so u rce o n and fo r e ig n c o u n tr ie s . In co m e R e c e ip ts E s t im a t e s o f r e c e ip t s o f in c o m e f r o ih d ir e c t in v e s t m e n ts d u r in g t h e w a r y e a r s w e r e b a s e d e s s e n t ia lly o n in c o m e d a t a s u p p lie d to th e T r e a s u r y D e p a r tm e n t fo r t h e y e a r 1 8 4 2 in c o n n e c tio n w it h i t s C e n s u s o f (A m e r ic a n ) P r o p e r t y in F o r e ig n C o u n tr ie s (T F R 5 0 0 ). A s a r e s u lt of th is su rv ey fa ir ly c o m p le te d a ta w ere a v a ila b le f o r t h e fir s t t im e r e g a r d in g d ir e c t-in v e s tm e n t in c o m e r e c e ip ts f o r a g iv e n y e a r , b y c o u n t r y , in d u s t r y , a n d t y p e o f in c o m e . In c o m e e s tim a te s fo r p r e v io u s a n d s u b s e q u e n t y e a r s w e r e b a s e d o n s a m p le s , c o m p r is in g a la r g e n u m b e r o f c o m p a n ie s , w h ic h w e r e u s e d to e x t r a p o la t e fr o m 1 9 4 2 a s a b a s e y e a r . A n n u a l in c o m e r e c e ip t s f o r a b o u t 2 0 0 la r g e c o m p a n ie s w e r e o b t a in e d b y m e a n s o f q u e s tio n n a ir e s . D a t a f o r r o u g h ly 5 0 0 m o r e c o m p a n ie s w e r e o b t a in e d fr o m in f o r m a t io n file d a n n u a lly o n F o r m 1 0 - K w it h t h e S e c u r it ie s a n d E x c h a n g e C o m m is s io n . C o r p o r a te in c o m e -t a x r e tu r n s ( F o r m 1 1 2 0 ) a n d t h e p u b lis h e d r e p o r ts o f c o m p a n ie s f u r n is h e d a d d it io n a l in c o m e in fo r m a tio n . apnual R e c e ip t s o f in t e r e s t a n d d iv id e n d s fr o m s u b s id ia r ie s a n d th e n e t in c o m e (o r l o s s ) o f b r a n c h e s w e r e in c lu d e d in t h e t o t a l o f d i r e c t - in v e s t m e n t in c o m e r e c e ip t s . T h e d a t a p r e s e n t e d in t h i s v o l u m e a r e n o t ( p a it e c o m p a r a b l e w i t h f i g u r e s p r i o r t o 1 9 4 0 in a s m u c h a s d o m e s tic a lly in c o r p o r a te d e n te r p r is e s o p e r a tin g s o le ly o r m a in ly a b r o a d h a v e b e e n t r e a t e d a s b r a n c h e s s in c e 1 9 3 9 a n d t h e n e t in c o m e o f s u c h c o m p a n ie s h a s t h e r e f o r e b e e n r e g a r d e d a s a n in c o m e r e c e ip t ( a n d th e p o r tio n o f n e t in c o m e n o t tr a n s m it te d to th e U n it e d S t a te s — r e in v e s te d e a r n in g s — h a s b e e n tr e a t e d a s a n o u tflo w o f U n it e d S t a t e s c a p it a l) . P r e v io u s ly , o n ly t h e d i v id e n d a n d i n t e r e s t p a y m e n t s b y t h e h e a d o ffic e s i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s o f c o m p a n ie s o f t h is ty p e w e r e in c o r p o r a te d in in c o m e r e c e ip t s j u s t a s s im ila r p a y m e n t s b y f o r e ig n s u b s id ia r ie s o f A m e r ic a n c o m p a n ie s h a v e b e e n c a r r ie d in a l l years. D iv id e n d s change o f in c o m e . s e ttin g if or by fo r a fo r e ig n any o th e r s u b s id ia r y reason but not w ere r e m itte d in c lu d e d in b ecau se c a lc u la te d of ex r e c e ip ts H o w e v e r , th e f a c t th a t th e p a y m e n t w a s b lo c k e d g a v e r is e to a n o ff ite m — e ith e r d iv id e n d or an d e c la r e d c o n tr o ls w a s p la c e d an in c r e a s e in a fo r e ig n in A m e r ic a n bank b a la n c e s in fo r e ig n in c r e a s e in t h e in te r c o m p a n y in d e b te d n e s s o f t h e s u b s id ia r y t h e s u b s id ia r y m e r e ly c r e d ite d b a n k s, f o r t h e a c c o u n t o f t h e A m e r ic a n th e p a ren t com p an y w ith th e to if th e p a r e n t, its p a r e n t, d iv id e n d on its o w n b o o k s. 181 D u r in g 1 9 4 5 a q u a r te r ly s u r v e y ra ted D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m erce. 226. in g o f d ir e c t-in v e s tm e n t t r a n s a c tio n s w a s in a u g u in w h ic h s e v e r a l h u n d r e d la r g e c o m p a n ie s h a v e b e e n c o o p e r a tin g w it h C o p ie s o f t h e in it i a l fo r m s a p p e a r th e on p ages 183 and C o lla te r a l d a t a a r e o b ta in e d f r o m t h e s e f o r m s a n d fr o m o th e r s o u r c e s r e g a r d r e c e ip ts o ffic e r s in of r o y a ltie s , t h e U n ite d m anagem ent S ta te s, a n d fe e s, s e r v ic e ch arges, c o m p e n s a tio n o t h e r h o m e o ffic e e x p e n s e s a l l o c a b l e t o o p e r a t io n s ; t h e s e a m o u n ts a r e c a r r ie d u n d e r in c o m e o n in v e s t m e n t s . u n d e r m is c e lla n e o u s s e r v ic e s fo r fo r e ig n r a th e r th a n E s t im a t e d r e c e ip ts o f in t e r e s t o n A m e r ic a n h o ld in g s o f f o r e ig n d o lla r b o n d s w e r e b a s e d o n ( a ) d a ta r e g a r d in g th e a m o u n t o f s u c h s e c u r itie s h e ld in th e U n ite d su s o f 227) S t a t e s , s u p p lie d to th e T r e a s u r y D e p a r tm e n t in c o n n e c tio n w it h t h e c e n A m e r ic a n -o w n e d p r o p e r ty a b r o a d ; ( b ) a n n u a l q u e s tio n n a ir e s ( s e e p . to fis c a l and p a y in g a g e n ts of a ll fo r e ig n d o lla r bonds r e q u e s tin g , fo r e a c h is s u e , in fo r m a tio n r e g a r d in g t o t a l in t e r e s t p a y m e n ts to a ll h o ld e r s , A m e r ic a n and f o r e ig n , th e am ount o u ts ta n d in g , a m o r tiz a tio n s , and th e o f th e p o r tio n o f e a c h is s u e o w n e d o u t s id e o f th e U n it e d S t a t e s w ere in tr e a te d U n ite d som ew h at S ta te s d iffe r e n tly d o lla r s ) ; a n d b ecau se (c ) of th e o c c a s io n a l very c o n s u la r a g e n t ’s e s tim a te (C a n a d ia n b o n d s la r g e num ber r e p o r ts. p a y a b le T he ab sen ce o f s t a t is t ic s o f tr a n s a c tio n s in d o lla r b o n d s, a s d is tin c t fr o m fo r e ig n c u r r e n c y o b lig a tio n s ( s e e , u n d e r C a p ita l M o v e m e n ts in t h is a p p e n d ix , n o t e o n a m o r tiz a tio n s ), p r o v id e d a d e fin ite h a n d ic a p in e s tim a tin g w ith r e a s o n a b le accuracy d o lla r -b o n d in t e r e s t r e c e ip t s b y A m e r ic a n s ; h o w e v e r , s u c h r e c e ip t s i f n o t in c lu d e d in t h is in c o m e . ca teg o ry w ere p r e s u m a b ly in c lu d e d under r e c e ip ts of m is c e lla n e o u s R e c e ip ts o f m is c e lla n e o u s in v e s t m e n t in c o m e fr o m abroad w ere b a c o m p ila tio n s p u b lis h e d in C a n a d ia n b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts s t a te m e n ts a n d v a lu e o f m is c e lla n e o u s in v e s t m e n t s a b r o a d a s c o m p ile d b y t h e U n it e d T r e a s u r y D e p a r tm e n t in it s s u r v e y (T F R 5 0 0 ). C a n a d a ’s p a y m e n t s sed on o n th e S ta te s to th e U n it e d S t a t e s a c c o u n te d f o r m o s t o f th e t o t a l a n d w e r e d e r iv e d b y d e d u c tin g fr o m t h e C a n a d ia n e s t im a t e f o r t o t a l in c o m e p a y m e n ts t o t h e U n it e d S t a t e s t h e U n it e d S t a t e s e s t im a t e s f o r r e c e ip ts o f d ir e c t-in v e s tm e n t in c o m e a n d d o lla r b o n d in te r e s t fro m C a n a d a . A r a t e o f r e tu r n w a s c a lc u la t e d f o r C a n a d a b y a p p ly in g t h e e s t im a t e o f in c o m e r e c e ip t s t h u s d e r iv e d t o t h e v a lu e o f s u c h in v e s t m e n ts a s c o m p ile d b y th e T r e a s u r y . T h is r a t e o f r e tu r n w a s th e n a p p lie d s im ila r in v e s t m e n t s in o th e r a r e a s n o t u n d e r A x is c o n tr o l. to th e v a lu e o f S t a t is t ic s o f U n it e d S t a t e s G o v e r n m e n t r e c e ip t s o f in t e r e s t o n it s lo n g -te r m l o a n s w e r e o b t a i n e d f r o m t h e C le a r i n g O ffic e f o r F o r e i g n T r a n s a c t i o n s o f t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f C om m erce. In co m e P a y m en ts T h e b a s ic m a te r ia l fo r e s tim a tin g in te r e s t, d iv id e n d s , a n d o th e r in c o m e p a id to n o n r e s id e n t a lie n s w a s p r o v id e d b y w ith h o ld in g - ta x r e tu r n s ( F o r m s 1 0 4 2 , 1 0 1 2 , a n d 1 0 1 3 ) file d w it h t h e B u r e a u o f I n t e r n a l R e v e n u e . In c o m e r e p o r te d o n F o rm 1 0 4 2 o n w h ic h t a x is p a id a t th e s o u r c e in c lu d e s in te r e s t , d iv id e n d s , r e n ts , r o y a l t ie s , a n n u itie s , s a la r ie s , a n d d is tr ib u ta b le in c o m e o f e s t a te s a n d t r u s t s , p a id to n o n r e s id e n t a lie n in d iv id u a ls , o r to fo r e ig n p a r tn e r s h ip s a n d f o r e ig n c o r p o r a t io n s n o t e n g a g e d in t r a d e o r b u s in e s s in th e U n ite d S t a te s . N e t p r o fits o f U n ite d S t a te s b r a n c h e s o f f o r e ig n c o m p a n ie s w e r e a ls o e s t im a t e d o n t h e b a s is o f in c o m e -ta x r e tu r n s file d w it h t h e B u r e a u o f I n t e r n a l R e v e n u e ( F o r m 1 1 2 0 ). A s e p a r a te e s t im a t e w a s n e c e s s a r y f o r in c o m e p a id o n s e c u r itie s h e ld b y th e B r it is h T r e a s u r y o n w h ic h n o U n it e d S t a t e s t a x w a s w ith h e ld . M o st o f th ese w e r e p le d g e d a s c o lla te r a l f o r th e lo a n b y t h e R F C . A s e p a r a te e s tim a te w a s a ls o m a d e f o r in te r e s t p a y m e n ts o n U n ite d S t a t e s F e d e r a l, S t a te , a n d m u n ic ip a l b on d s. A nnual v a lu e s of fo r e ig n h o ld in g s on th e se bonds w ere b ased on th e T r e a s u r y ’s C e n s u s o f F o r e i g n O w n e d A s s e t s i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s , w h i c h e s t a b l i s h e d a v a lu e f o r th e m id d le o f 1 9 4 1 . A d ju stm e n ts w e r e m a d e, h o w e v e r , to ta k e a c c o u n t o f s e v e r a l la r g e t r a n s a c tio n s in su b seq u en t y ea rs. A w a s a p p lie d to h o ld in g s o f F e d e r a l b o n d s a n d 4 p e r c e n t to b on d s. In co m e p a y m e n ts o n G o v er n m en t sh o r t-te r m th e b a s is o f c u r r e n t in te r e s t r a te s p a id o n s u c h p a p e r . paper r a te o f 2% S ta te w ere and percent m u n ic ip a l c a lc u la te d on D a t a o n in te r e s t p a y m e n ts b y th e U n ite d S t a te s T r e a s u r y D e p a r tm e n t o n P h ilip p in e d e p o s its w ith t h e T r e a s u r y w e r e o b ta in e d fr o m t h a t a g e n c y . P ay m e n t s to in d iv id u a l c o u n t r ie s , e x c e p t C a n a d a , a r e d e c id e d m a in ly o n th e b a s is o f t h e a d d r e s s e s o f t h e r e c ip ie n ts a s r e p o r te d to th e B u r e a u o f I n te r n a l R e v e n u e b y p a y o r c o r p o r a tio n s a n d w ith h o ld in g a g e n ts . R e p o r te d p a y m e n ts to C a n a d a w e r e re d u c e d b y th e a m o u n t o f k n o w n p a y m e n ts to C a n a d a fo r th e a c c o u n t o f r e s id e n t s o f o th e r f o r e ig n c o u n tr ie s . 182 Depa r t ment F o r m '5 7 8 of Commer ce Buds e t B u re a u N° - 41-R 621 A p p ro v a l E x p ir e s 1 0 -3 1 -4 6 B U R E A U O F F O R E I G N A N D D O M E S T IC C O M M E R C E W A S H IN G T O N 2 5 QUARTERLY REPORT ON OPERATIONS OF FOREIGN BRANCHES OR OTHER UNINCORPORATED FOREIGN BUSINESS OF U . S . CORPORATIONS Q u a rte r ended Name o f U . S . c o m p an y __ _ _ _ _ _ _ C o u n tr y o f f o r e i g n o p e r a t i o n s CHANGES IN INVESTMENT 1. 2 . 3 . 5. S. 7. 8. (A m o u n ts i n d o l l a r s ) B oo k v a l u e o f f o r e i g n p r o p e r t i e s a t b e g i n n i n g o f q u a rte r A d d itio n s (c h a rg e s ): Home o f f i c e c h a r g e s f o r c a s h r e m i t t e d o r m e r c h a n d is e , m a c h in e ry , e t c . , s h ip p e d to b ra n c h O t h e r hom e o f f i c e c h a r g e s ( r o y a l t i e s , s e r v ic e f e e s , U. S . e x p e n se s c h a rg e a b le to b ra n c h o p e r a tio n s , e t c . ) N et e a rn in g s o f fo re ig n p r o p e r tie s ( P e r i o d _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ ) T o ta l a d d itio n s D e d u c tio n s ( c r e d i t s ) : C a s h r e m i t t a n c e s o f in c o m e t o hom e o f f i c e A l l o t h e r c a s h r e m i t t a n c e s t o hom e o f f i c e S h i p m e n t s o f m e r c h a n d i s e , e t c . , t o hom e o ffic e T o ta l d e d u c tio n s B oo k v a l u e o f f o r e i g n p r o p e r t i e s a t e n d o f q u a rte r In s tru c tio n s A. R e p o r t o n t h i s fo rm u n i n c o r p o r a t e d f o r e i g n b r a n c h e s a n d o t h e r d i r e c t f o r e i g n o p e r a t i o n s o f A m e r ic a n c o r p o r a t i o n s , a s r e f l e c t e d o n t h e b o o k s o f t h e •h e a d o f f i c e i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s . S e p a ra te r e p o r ts sh o u ld b e f i l e d f o r each fo re ig n - b r a n c h . T he r e p o r t s h o u l d b e b a s e d o n q u a r t e r s e n d i n g M a rc h 3 1 , J u n e 3 0 , S e p te m b e r 3 0 , a n d D ecem ber 3 1 , a n d s h o u ld b e s u b m itt e d w it h i n 30 d a y s a f t e r th e c lo s e o f th e q u a r te r . B. T he f o ll o w in g i n s t r u c t i o n s a p p ly t o t h e c o r r e s p o n d i n g ly n u m b ered ite m s ab o v e : 1 and 8 . B ook v a l u e o f f o r e i g n p r o p e r t i e s s h o u l d c o m p r i s e a l l a s s e t s o f th e b ra n c h , in c lu d in g th o s e c a r r i e d o n ly o n t h e hom e o f f i c e b o o k s . 3. Do n o t i n c l u d e U n i t e d S t a t e s in c o m e t a x e s i n t h i s i t e m . 4. R e p o r t t h e " n e t e a r n i n g s o f f o r e i g n p r o p e r t i e s " w hen t a k e n u p o n t h e b o o k s o f t h e h o me o f f i c e a n d a f t e r d e d u c tio n f o r an y e x p e n s e s i n c u r r e d i n th e U n ite d S t a t e s by o r on b e h a l f o f th e f o r e ig n b r a n c h , o th e r th a n U n ite d S t a t e s in c o m e t a x e s . ( I t i s a s s u m e d t h a t s u c h e x p e n s e s w o u ld b e r e f l e c t e d i n ite m 2 o r 3 ) . 6. I f re m itta n c e s a r e n o t s e g re g a te d a s to p u rp o se , r e p o r t a l l c a sh r e m itta n c e s in t h i s ite m . 0. I f th i s i s th e f i r s t re p o rt f o r th i s b ra n c h , p le a s e o f b u s i n e s s i n w h ic h t h e b r a n c h w i l l e n g a g e . in d ic a te th e ty p e 183 P r i v a t e M i s c e l l a n e o u s S e r v ic e s T h e p r iv a te m is c e lla n e o u s s e r v ic e s a c c o u n t c o n s is ts o f n in e ite m s , a s f o llo w s : (1 ) in s u r a n c e r e la te d (6 ) and ite m s ; e le c tr ic (2 ) (4 ) r e in s u r a n c e ; m o tio n -p ic tu r e hom e and o ffic e p u rch ases c o m m u n ic a tio n s ; (8 ) exp en ses, of (5 ) and gas and and and (2 ) in te r n a tio n a l s a le s a d v e r tis in g ; In su ra n ce an d (7 ) r o y a ltie s , ( 9 ) fo r e ig n g o v e r n m e n t r e p r e s e n ta tio n in t h e U n ite d S ta te s . T h e sou rces m e th o d s o f e s t im a t io n o f t h e s e c o m p o n e n ts a r e d is c u s s e d b r ie fly b e lo w : (1 ) pow er; (3 ) r e n ta ls ; r e in s u r a n c e .— A n n u a l d a t a r e g a r d in g t r a n s a c t io n s b e t w e e n f o r e ig n -c o n t r o lle d in s u r a n c e c o m p a n ie s o p e r a t in g in t h e U n it e d t h e ir p a r e n t c o m p a n ie s w e r e o b ta in e d p r im a r ily fr o m S ta te s an d th e In su r a n c e D e p a r tm e n t o f th e S ta te o f N e w Y o r k , w h ic h o b ta in e d th e in fo r m a tio n fr o m p u b lis h e d fin a n c ia l s t a t e m e n t s file d w it h it . D a t a f o r t h e r e la t iv e ly s m a ll n u m b e r o f c o m p a n ie s n o t d o in g b u s in e s s in th e S t a t e o f N e w Y o r k w e r e o b ta in e d d ir e c t f r o m t h e c o m p a n ie s . I n fo r m a tio n r e g a r d in g th e o p e r a tio n s o f A m e r ic a n -c o n tr o lle d c o m p a n ie s d o in g b u s in e s s a b r o a d w a s o b ta in e d m a in ly fr o m th e c o m p a n ie s t h e m s e lv e s . G ro ss r e c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts in c lu d e d th e o p e r a tio n s o f b o th A m e r ic a n a n d fo r e ig n c o m p a n ie s a n d a ls o in c lu d e d d a ta p r e p a r e d b y t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e r c e r e g a r d in g t h e p r e m iu m s r e c e iv e d fr o m A m e r ic a n s a n d c la im s p a id to A m e r ic a n s b y fo r e ig n r e in s u r e r s lo c a te d o u ts id e th e U n ite d S ta te s . ( 3 ) R o y a l t i e s , h o m e o ffic e e x p e n s e s , a n d r e l a t e d i t e m s . — S e e th e s e c tio n of t h is a p p e n d ix d e a lin g w it h in c o m e o n in v e s tm e n ts , p . 1 8 2 . ( 4 ) M o tio n -p ic tu r e r e n ta ls .— R e c e ip t s fr o m f o r e ig n e r s f o r t h e r e n t a l o f A m e r i can m o tio n p ic tu r e s w e r e c a r r ie d e a r n in g s fr o z e n “ r e c e iv e d .” A s on a r e m itta n c e b a s is a n d in t h e U n it e d K in g d o m in th e c a s e o f in c o m e t h e r e fo r e e x c lu d e d a n d in o th e r c o u n tr ie s , u n til a c tu a lly r e c e ip ts fr o m d ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts , th e T r e a s u r y D e p a r t m e n t ’s s u r v e y o f A m e r i c a n i n v e s t m e n t s i n f o r e i g n c o u n t r i e s ( T F R 5 0 0 ) p r o v id e d t h e b a s ic d a t a f o r 1 9 4 2 a n d d a t a f o r o th e r y e a r s w e r e d e r iv e d b y m e a n s o f s a m p le d a t a o b t a in e d d ir e c t f r o m A m e r ic a n f ilm p r o d u c e r s a n d s u p p le m e n te d b y c o n s u la r r e p o r ts a n d in c o m e -t a x r e tu r n s file d w it h th e B u rea u o f In te r n a l R ev en u e. (5 ) G as and (G ) p o w e r .— E x p o r t s e le c tr ic and im p o r ts of gas and e le c tr ic p o w e r a r e n o t in c lu d e d in t h e o ffic ia l U n it e d S t a t e s t r a d e s t a t is t ic s , n o r is t h e r e a n y o t h e r o ffic ia l U n it e d S t a t e s s o u r c e f o r t h e s e d a t a . C o n s e q u e n tly , th e f ig u r e s u s e d in t h is b u lle tin a re ta k en fro m M e x ic o — t h e t w o f o r e ig n c o u n t r ie s w it h th e c a se o f C an ad a, th e d a ta o ffic ia l p u b lic a t io n s o f C a n a d a w h ic h w e r e o b ta in e d su ch fro m p u b lic a tio n o f th e D o m in io n B u r e a u o f S t a t is t ic s . fr o m t h e A n u a r io E s t a d ís t ic o f o r 1 9 4 1 a n d fr o m tr a n s a c tio n s ta k e p la c e . T rade of C anada, an and In annual F o r M e x ic o , t h e y w e r e t a k e n v a r io u s is s u e s o f th e R e v is ta d e E s t a d ís tic a , a m o n th ly p e r io d ic a l ; b o th o f t h e s e a r e p u b lis h e d b y th e D ir e c c ió n G e n e r a l d e E s t a d ís t ic a d e lo s E s t a d o s U n id o s d e M é jic o . ( 7 ) I n te r n a tio n a l c o m m u n ic a tio n s a n d ( 8 ) a d v e r tis in g .— D a t a o n r e c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts o n a c c o u n t o f c o m m u n ic a tio n s s e r v ic e s in v o lv in g t r a n s a c tio n s b e tw e e n U n it e d S t a t e s a n d f o r e ig n c o m m u n ic a tio n s c o m p a n ie s , a s w e ll a s th e e x p e n d it u r e s o f U n ite d S t a t e s b u s in e s s e s f o r a d v e r t is in g a b r o a d , a r e o b ta in e d d ir e c t b y c ir c u la r iz a tio n of th e c o m p a n ie s .e n g a g e d a d j u s t e d to a llo w f o r in c o m p le t e c o v e r a g e . ( 9 ) F o r e ig n g o v e r n m e n t r e p r e s e n ta tio n in in th ese th e b u s in e s s e s . U n ite d T h ese d a ta S ta te s .— T h is are account in c lu d e s a d m in is t r a t iv e e x p e n d it u r e s in t h e U n it e d S t a t e s b y f o r e ig n g o v e r n m e n ts f o r d ip lo m a tic r e p r e s e n ta tio n , p u r c h a s in g m is s io n s , a n d o th e r a c t iv it ie s . D ir e c t in fo r m a tio n o n th is su b je c t w a s s c a n ty a n d it w a s p o s s ib le to m a k e o n ly a very r o u g h e s t im a t e o f th e a m o u n ts in v o lv e d in t h e a c c o u n t. G o v e r n m e n t M is c e lla n e o u s S e rv ic e s A s in o th e r G o v e r n m e n t a c c o u n ts , th e s o u r c e o f d a ta o n U n ite d S ta te s G o v ern m e n t s e r v ic e tr a n s a c tio n s w a s w it h f e w e x c e p tio n s — t r a n s p o r ta tio n b e in g t h e m o s t im p o r ta n t— th e a p p r o p r ia te G overnm ent C l e a r i n g O ffic e f o r F o r e i g n T r a n s a c t i o n s . agency, e ith e r d ir e c t or th ro u g h th e I n so m e c a s e s , h o w e v e r , c e r ta in a d ju s t m e n ts o r r e fin e m e n ts o f th e d a ta a s o r ig in a lly tr a n s m it te d to u s h a d to b e m a d e t o b r in g th e m in to c o n fo r m it y w it h b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts r e q u ir e m e n ts . C o m m e n ts o n th e e s tim a tio n a n d c o n te n t o f t h e G o v e r n m e n t s e r v ic e s a c c o u n ts f o l lo w : T h e fig u r e s p r e s e n t e d u n d e r t h e h e a d in g o f G o v e r n m e n t m is c e lla n e o u s s e r v ic e s in c lu d e a ll s e r v ic e t r a n s a c tio n s to w h ic h th e U n it e d S t a t e s G o v e r n m e n t w a s a 184 p a r t y ,7 e x c e p t f o r t r a n s p o r t a t io n s e r v ic e s , w h ic h a r e s h o w n s e p a r a t e ly b u t a r e d is c u s s e d b e lo w to s o m e e x te n t, f o r r e a s o n s w h ic h w ill b e a p p a r e n t. T h e d a ta in c lu d e ' b o t h le n d - le a s e a n d cash r e v e r s e le n d -le a s e t r a n s a c tio n s o n r e c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts L e n d -L e a se on th e o n e h a n d and th e o th e r . S e r v ic e s T h e fig u r e s u s e d in t h is b u lle tin f o r s e r v ic e s r e n d e r e d to fo r e ig n g o v e r n m e n ts u n d e r le n d - le a s e a r r a n g e m e n t s a r e b a s e d o n t h o s e s h o w n in t h e l e n d - le a s e f is c a l s t a t is t ic s , b u t a n in d e p e n d e n t e s t im a t e o f th e c o s t o f le n d -le a s e s h ip p in g s e r v ic e s ( i . e ., f r e i g h t o n l e n d - l e a s e e x p o r t s ) in t h a t so u r c e . h a s b een su b tr a c te d fro m t h e fig u r e s a s g iv e n T h e r e s u lt in g fig u r e f o r G o v e r n m e n t le n d - le a s e s e r v ic e s is , c o n s e q u e n tly , a r e s id u a l ite m . T h e e s t im a t e f o r le n d - le a s e s h ip p in g s e r v ic e s w a s d e r iv e d in a w a y e n tir e ly a n a lo g o u s t o t h e m e th o d u s e d in e s t im a t in g o th e r s h ip p in g s e r v ic e s . I t fo r m s an a p p r e c ia b ly s m a lle r p r o p o r tio n o f to t a l le n d - le a s e s e r v ic e s t h a n t h e “ a p p r o x im a te ly o n e -h a lf” o f t o t a l s e r v ic e s w h ic h , a c c o r d in g to t h e t e x t u a l d is c u s s io n a c c o m p a n y in g t h e le n d - le a s e r e p o r ts , w a s d e v o te d to s h ip p in g ite m s . S in c e o u r p r o c e d u r e is d iffe r e n t fr o m t h a t w h ic h w a s e m p lo y e d in th e le n d -le a s e r e p o r ts , t h e r e is n o r e a s o n w h y t h e t w o e s t im a t e s s h o u ld a g r e e e x a c t ly ; in a d d itio n , h o w e v e r , th e le n d -le a s e r e p o r ts tr e a t a s t r a n s p o r ta tio n n o t c u s to m a r ily so r e g a r d e d T he la i'g e s t ite m of th is co sts c e r ta in s iz a b le ite m s w h ic h are fo r b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts p u r p o se s. sort is th e v a lu e of v e s s e ls tra n sfer red to fo r e ig n g o v e r n m e n ts. T h e te c h n iq u e e m p lo y e d f o r e f fe c t in g t h e s e t r a n s f e r s w a s to c h a r te r th e v e s s e ls to fo r e ig n g o v e r n m e n ts fo r 1 d o lla r a y e a r ; b u t u n d e r th e le n d - le a s e a c c o u n tin g s y s t e m , t h e ir f u ll v a lu e w a s e n te r e d in t h e b o o k s a s a c o s t o f le n d -le a s e o p e r a tio n s , d e s p ite t h e f a c t t h a t it w a s d e fin ite ly u n d e r s to o d , u n d e r t h e te r m s o f t h e L e n d -L e a s e A g r e e m e n ts , t h a t th e v e s s e ls w o u ld b e r e tu r n e d to th e U n ite d S t a te s a t t h e e n d o f th e w a r . F r o m t h e b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts s t a n d p o in t, t h e m o s t d e s ir a b le p r o c e d u r e w o u ld b e to t a k e o u t t h e f u ll v a lu e o f t h e v e s s e ls a n d s u b s t it u t e s o m e a p p r o p r ia t e ly e s t im a t e d fig u r e f o r r e n t a l o r c h a r t e r v a lu e of th e ch a rter to s ta n c e s to in c lu d e t h e it p o s s ib le v e s s e ls over tio n a c c o u n t in a u n ifo r m T h e p r e s e n t a llo c a t io n tim e th e p e r io d d u r in g w h ic h th ey w ere a c tu a lly under fo r e ig n g o v e r n m e n ts . B u t s in c e it is im p o s s ib le u n d e r th e c ir c u m m a k e s u c h a n e s t im a te , it w o u ld s e e m t h a t th e n e x t b e s t t h in g is to it e m u n d e r G o v e r n m e n t m is c e lla n e o u s s e r v ic e s , w h ic h a t le a s t m a k e s to t r e a t th e le n d -le a s e a n d n o n -le n d -le a s e p o r tio n s o f th e tr a n s p o r ta d is tr ib u tio n w a y .8 o f le n d -le a s e o b ta in a b le fro m th e s e r v ic e s by le n d -le a s e years r e p o r ts. a ls o d iffe r s L arge fr o m and th e v a r ia b le la g s in r e p o r tin g m a k e t h e te m p o r a l d is tr ib u tio n o f le n d - le a s e t r a n s f e r s a s s h o w n in th e le n d -le a s e s t a t is t ic s u n r e lia b le fr o m a b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts p o in t o f v ie w . T h is p r o b le m w a s a t t a c k e d in t h e c a s e o f le n d - le a s e m e r c h a n d is e b y d is tr ib u tin g t h e t r a n s f e r d a t a o v e r tim e in p r o p o r tio n to th e c o r r e s p o n d in g te m p o r a l d is tr ib u t io n o f le n d -le a s e e x p o r ts a s s h o w n in th e U n ite d S t a te s tr a d e s t a tis t ic s .“ In th e a b s e n c e o f a m o r e p la u s ib le m e th o d o f d e a lin g w it h t h e a n a lo g o u s p r o b le m fo r le n d -le a s e s e r v ic e s , t h e s e h a v e a ls o b e e n p h a s e d w it h th e le n d -le a s e e x p o r t s ta tis tic s . O th e r U n ite d w ith th e C a sh M ilita r y P a y m e n ts S t a t e s m ilit a r y c a s h e x p e n d itu r e s w e r e m a d e la r g e ly in c o n n e c tio n c o n s tr u c tio n a n d o p e r a tio n o f v a r io u s ty p e s o f in s t a lla t io n s . It has a lr e a d y b e e n n o te d t h a t m o s t o f t h e s e w e r e fu r n is h e d to th e U n ite d S t a t e s G o v e r n m e n t a s r e v e r s e le n d -le a s e . I n a d d it io n , a la r g e p r o p o r tio n o f s u c h p a y m e n ts a s w e r e m a d e f o r in s t a lla t io n s a b r o a d w e n t to d o m e s t ic fir m s a n d c o n s id e r e d f o r e ig n tr a n s a c tio n s . F o r th e s e r e a so n s, m ilita r y c a sh fo r s e r v ic e s e x p e c te d . o th e r th a n net tr o o p pay w ere not as la r g e as th u s a r e n o t e x p e n d itu r e s m ig h t have been , N e t tr o o p p a y m ig h t b e r e g a r d e d a s a n e x c e p tio n to t h i s s ta t e m e n t, s in c e t h e U n ite d S ta te s p a r tie s to th is ty p e o f tr a n s a c tio n s w e re in d iv id u a l m e m b e rs o f th e a r m e d fo rc e s . H o w e v e r , t h e l o c a l c u r r e n c y w i t h w h i c h t h e t r o o p s w e r e p a i d w a s r e c e iv e d b y t h e G o v e r n m e n t , a n d i t s e e m s m o r e r e a l i s t i c , a s w e l l a s m o r e c o n v e n i e n t , t o r e g a r d t h e o f f s e t, i. e., th e s u b s e q u e n t e x p e n d itu r e o f th e m o n e y , a s b e in g a ls o a G o v e rn m e n t tr a n s a c ti o n . T h is is ta n t a m o u n t to re g a r d in g th e e x p e n d itu re s a s h a v in g b e e n m a d e b y th e tr o o p s in th e ir o ff ic ia l c a p a c i t y . 8 F o r a m o r e d e t a i l e d d e s c r i p t i o n o f t h e m e t h o d o l o g y in v o l v e d i n e s t i m a t i n g o c e a n s h ip p in g s e rv ic e s , see th e s e c tio n o f t h i s a p p e n d ix d e a lin g w it h th e t r a n s p o r t a t i o n a c c o u n t, p. 174. 0 S ee p . 1 72 o f th e s e c tio n o n m e rc h a n d is e tr a d e . 7 6 9 1 5 5 — 48 -13 185 N o n m ilita r y C a sh P a y m en ts U n it e d S t a t e s c iv ilia n a g e n c ie s c o n tin u e d in w a r tim e , a s t h e y h a d in p e a c e tim e , to m a k e c a s h e x p e n d itu r e s a b r o a d . T h ese r e p r e s e n ta tio n , t h e m a in te n a n c e o f v a r io u s f o r e ig n d is b u r s e m e n ts o f th e eral W ork s A gen cy) e x p e n d it u r e s w e n t f o r d ip lo m a tic m is s io n s , a n d s im ila r it e m s . T he P u b lic R o a d s A d m in is tr a tio n a r e a ls o in c lu d e d in t h is c a te g o r y . (a part of th e F ed T h e s e d is b u r se m e n ts r e p r e s e n t s u m s e x p e n d e d a b r o a d b y fir m s u n d e r c o n tr a c t to t h e P u b lic R o a d s A d m in is t r a t io n f o r c o n s tr u c tio n w o r k in L a t in A m e r ic a ( t h e P a n -A m e r ic a n H ig h w a y ) . S p e c ia l-C u r r e n c y T r a n s a c tio n s In m any c o u n tr ie s , c u r r e n c y w h ic h p a y m e n ts in A fr ic a th e d o lla r in fo r e x a m p le , h a d b een p u rch a sed d o lla r s . e a r ly In a sta g e s c u r r e n c y , w h ic h few of th e th e s te r lin g in ca ses— fo r th e e x a m p le , in v a s io n — tr o o p r e c ip ie n ts w ere fr e e u n d e r a n y m u tu a lly a g r e e a b le a r r a n g e m e n t. sy ste m w as not c o n s id e r e d a re a , tro o p s w e r e p a id th e o r d in a r y m a n n e r th r o u g h n ecessary or to C h in a , I ta ly , w as e ffe c te d pay d is p o s e o f B u t in to and in 1. In A llie d c o u n tr ie s — in c lu d in g F rance, G reece, th e d e s ir a b le , at v a r io u s N e th e r la n d s and tim e s and lo c a l N o r th a ctu a l lo c a l r e s id e n ts a n u m b e r o f c o u n tr ie s th is s p e c ia l a r r a n g e m e n ts w e r e m a d e w h e r e b y th e c o u n tr y c o n c e r n e d w o u ld a d v a n c e it s c u r r e n c y U n ite d S t a t e s A r m y w it h o u t r e c e iv in g c o n c u r r e n t p a y m e n t in d o lla r s . T h e s e s o -c a lle d “ s p e c ia l c u r r e n c y ” a r r a n g e m e n ts w e r e o f tw o k in d s : D enm ark, in concurrent B e lg iu m , its to th e C z e c h o s lo v a k ia , p o s s e s s io n s , N orw ay, and e v e n t u a lly I t a ly — th e U n it e d S t a t e s d id r e c o g n iz e a d o lla r lia b ilit y fo r e x p e n d i t u r e s b y m e m b e r s o f th e a r m e d f o r c e s a s w e ll a s f o r o th e r m ilit a r y s e r v ic e s r e c e iv e d f r o m t h e s e c o u n t r ie s b u t n o t e lig ib le to b e c la s s if ie d a s r e v e r s e le n d le a s e . T o w a r d t h e e n d o f 1 9 4 5 o r in 1 9 4 6 , s e t t le m e n t s o f s p e c ia l-c u r r e n c y o b lig a tio n s w e r e r e a c h e d w it h m o s t o f t h e s e c o u n tr ie s . I n g e n e r a l, th e p r in c ip le fo llo w e d in m a k in g th ese s e ttle m e n ts w as to r e im b u r s e th e co u n try con cerned f o r “ n e t tr o o p p a y ” ( in c lu d in g in t h is c o n c e p t c e r ta in o th e r s e r v ic e ite m s , a s a lr e a d y m e n t io n e d ) a s c e r tifie d b y th e W a r D e p a r tm e n t; t h e s e n e t tr o o p p a y fig u r e s w e r e n o t n e c e s s a r ily t h e s a m e a s t h o s e u s e d in c o m p ilin g o u r b a la n c e -o fp a y m e n ts s t a t is t ic s , s in c e c e r t a in a d j u s t m e n t s w e r e m a d e in t h e d a t a b e fo r e th e fig u r e s c e r tifie d to b y t h e A r m y w e r e f in a lly a r r iv e d a t. T h e “ s p e c ia l c u r r e n c y ” a r r a n g e m e n ts w it h t h e s e A llie d c o u n tr ie s have now (J u n e 1 9 4 7 ) b e e n te r m in a te d a n d s e t t le m e n t s o f t h e o b lig a tio n s u n d e r th e m r e a c h e d , e x c e p t in th e c a s e s o f C z e c h o s lo v a k ia a n d th e N e th e r la n d s . 2 . I n th e e n e m y c o u n tr ie s , A u s tr ia , G e r m a n y , J a p a n (a n d th e R y u k y u s), K o r e a , a n d , a c c o r d in g to th e o r ig in a l p la n , I t a ly , w h ic h w a s la t e r p la c e d on th e s a m e b a s is a s t h e A llie d c o u n tr ie s , t h e W a r D e p a r tm e n t a s s u m e d n o o b lig a tio n to r e im b u r s e t h e c o u n tr y c o n c e r n e d f o r it s lo c a l-c ù r r e n c y e x p e n d it u r e s . I n th is s e c o n d ty p e o f a r r a n g e m e n t, t h e m a r k s , s c h illin g s , o r y e n w e r e in e ffe c t a g if t t o t h e U n it e d S t a t e s G o v e r n m e n t a n d a s s u c h h a v e b e e n o f f s e t in t h e u n ila t e r a l tr a n s fe r a c c o u n t. I t s h o u ld b e k e p t in m in d t h a t th e s p e c ia l-c u r r e n c y t r a n s a c tio n w h ic h a ffe c ts t h e G o v e r n m e n t m is c e lla n e o u s s e r v ic e s a c c o u n t is ( n e t ) e x p e n d itu r e s in s p e c ia l c u r r e n c ie s b y th e G o v e r n m e n t, a n d n o t t h e ir o r ig in a l a c q u is itio n . T he net ex p e n d itu r e s a r e o ffs e t b y c r e d it e n tr ie s in t h e u n ila t e r a l o r s h o r t-te r m c a p ita l ( lia b il it ie s ) a c c o u n ts , d e p e n d in g o n w h e t h e r th e c u r r e n c y w a s n o n r e d e e m a b le o r r e d e e m a b le . P e r s o n a l R e m itta n c e s P a y m e n ts E s t im a t e s o f t o t a l c o n tr ib u tio n s o f in d iv id u a ls in t h e U n it e d c o u n tr ie s th ro u g h w ere com p osed of v a r io u s a g e n c ie s su ch sep a ra te as b an k s, e s tim a te s of s te a m s h ip and c o m m u n ic a tio n s c o m p a n ie s , a n d b y p o s t a l m o n e y o r d e r s . s p e c ia l d e d u c tio n s fr o m t h e w a g e s o f im p o r te d a lie n S t a te s to fo r e ig n c o n tr ib u tio n s fo rw a rd ed t r a v e l c o m p a n ie s , a n d I n a d d itio n , t h e r e w e r e w o r k e r s w h ic h w ere m ade b y t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f A g r ic u ltu r e a n d th e D e p a r tm e n t o f L a b o r u n d e r t h e ir w o r k p rogram s. B a n k s a n d s im ila r in s t it u t io n s h a n d lin g p e r s o n a l r e m itta n c e s h a d b e e n c ir c u la r iz e d a n n u a lly f o r d a t a o n t h e s u b je c t. I n 1 9 4 4 in fo r m a tio n o b ta in e d fr o m th e F o r e ig n F u n d s C o n tr o l, c o n c e r n in g b a n k s r e p o r tin g p e r s o n a l r e m it t a n c e s to b lo c k e d n a t io n a ls o n f o r m s G L 3 2 a n d G L 3 3 in 1 9 4 2 a n d 1 9 4 3 in d ic a te d t h a t o u r s a m p le fo r p r e v io u s y e a r s h a d c o v e r e d a b o u t 5 0 p e r c e n t o f th e p e r s o n a l-r e m itta n c e 186 b u s in e s s b e in g t r a n s a c te d th ro u g h b a n k in g c h a n n e ls . m a tio n , w e w e r e e n a b le d t o in c r e a s e o u r s a m p le t o p e r c e n t o f t h e t o t a l b u s in e s s . A s a r e s u lt o f t h is c o v e r b a n k s d o in g in fo r about 95 D a t a h a v e a ls o b e e n o b ta in e d th r o u g h r e p o r ts r e c e iv e d fr o m o th e r a g e n c ie s — s t e a m s h ip a n d t r a v e l c o m p a n ie s , a n d o th e r s . D u r in g th e w a r , th e n u m b e r o f t h e s e h a n d lin g p e r s o n a l r e m itta n c e s d e c r e a s e d . ous r e m itte r s w ere e d ite d and ta b u la te d c o v e r a g e a n d th a t n o e s tim a tio n on R e p o r ts fro m th e a s s u m p tio n t h e s e m is c e lla n e th a t w e had fu ll o n a s a m p le b a s is w a s n e c e s s a r y . A n e s t im a te w a s a ls o m a d e f o r t h e v a lu e o f g if t p a r c e ls , c h ie fly fo o d a n d c lo th in g , w h ic h b e g a n t o g o a b r o a d In la r g e v o lu m e a f t e r t h e w a r e n d e d . S u c h p a r c e ls a r e n o t in c lu d e d in th e r e g u la r e x p o r t s t a t is t ic s a n d it w a s n e c e s s a r y t o e s t im a t e t h e ir v a lu e , w h ic h w a s d o n e b y a p p ly in g a n a v e r a g e ra te o f 6 0 c e n ts p er p ou n d . D a t a r e g a r d in g th e n u m b e r o f p o u n d s o f p a r c e l-p o s t s h ip m e n ts , b y d e s t i n a t i o n , w e r e r e c e i v e d f r o m t h e P o s t O ffic e D e p a r t m e n t . c o u n tr y o f D a t a r e g a r d in g d e d u c tio n s fr o m t h e w a g e s o f im p o r te d a lie n w o r k e r s w e r e o b ta in e d fr o m t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f A g r ic u ltu r e a n d th e D e p a r tm e n t o f L a b o r c o v e r in g th e fo r c e d s a v in g s o f t h e s e w o r k e r s . d e d u c tio n p la n w e r e in c lu d e d e ls e w h e r e . V o lu n ta r y r e m itta n c e s o u ts id e P o s t a l m o n e y o r d e r d a t a f o r fis c a l y e a r s 1 9 4 0 -4 4 w e r e o b ta in e d fr o m R eport of th e P o stm a ste r G e n e r a l. T h ese d a ta w ere ta b u la te d o f th e th e A n n u a l g e o g r a p h ic a lly j u s t a s w e r e t h o s e f o r t h e b a n k s — w it h a d j u s t m e n t s b e in g m a d e to e lim in a t e o r d e r s p a y a b le in t h e C a n a l Z o n e a n d V ir g in I s la n d s . B e g i n n i n g w i t h J u n e 1 9 4 4 ,. q u a r t e r l y d a t a w e r e f u r n i s h e d b y t h e P o s t O ffic e D e p a r t m e n t t o t h e C le a r i n g O f f ic e fo r F o r e ig n T r a n s a c tio n s . A s in p a s t y e a r s , it w a s a s s u m e d t h a t a ll p o s t a l m o n e y o r d e r s c o n s is t e d o f p e r s o n a l r e m itta n c e s . e n tir e ly so u n d ; h o w e v e r , it is lik e ly th a t, T h is a s s u m p tio n in g e n e r a l, p o s ta l o b v io u s ly is n o t m o n e y o r d e r s do- c o v e r t r a n s a c tio n s n o t e ls e w h e r e e n te r e d in th e b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts s t a te m e n t. R e c e ip ts D a t a f o r p o s t a l m o n e y o r d e r r e c e ip t s w e r e o b t a in e d in t h e m a n n e r d e s c r ib e d f o r p a y m e n ts fig u r e s . B e c a u s e o f t h e in a b ility o f b a n k s to fu r n is h in fo r m a tio n o n p e r s o n a l r e m itta n c e s r e c e iv e d fr o m a b r o a d , w e h a v e e s t im a te d s u c h r e c e ip ts b y a s s u m in g t h a t p o s t a l m on ey o r d e r s r e p r e se n te d a c c o u n t. th e s a m e p r o p o r tio n T h e r e s u lt in g fig u r e s , s h o w n o f th e to ta l o n b o th in a p p e n d ix C , d o n o t s e e m s id e s o f t h e u n r e a s o n a b le c o n s id e r in g th e n u m b e r o f A m e r ic a n s k n o w n to b e r e s id in g a b r o a d . I n s t i t u t i o n a l R e m it t a n c e s E s t im a t e s o f r e m it t a n c e s to a n d e x p e n d it u r e s in f o r e ig n c o u n t r ie s b y in s t it u t io n s fo r r e lig io u s , s c ie n tific a n d p h ila n th r o p ic p u r p o s e s (in c lu d in g w a r r e lie f ) w e r e b a s e d o n tw o p r in c ip a l s o u r c e s o f d a t a : 1. R e p lie s to a n a n n u a l le t t e r fr o m th e w h ic h f o l lo w s : of D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m erce, th e tex t o f “ I n c o n n e c tio n w it h i t s a n n u a l s tu d y o f th e b a la n c e o f in te r n a t io n a l p a y m e n ts th e U n ite d S t a te s , t h is U n it r e c e iv e s e a c h y e a r fr o m r e lig io u s , c h a r ita b le , e d u c a tio n a l a n d s c ie n tific o r g a n iz a t io n s r e p o r ts s h o w in g th e a m o u n t o f f u n d s a n d th e v a lu e o f g o o d s s e n t to f o r e ig n c o u n tr ie s . A s ta te m e n t o f r e m itta n c e s a n d s h ip m e n ts b y y o u r o r g a n iz a tio n d u r in g 1 9 4 5 w ill b e a p p r e c ia te d . in g in s tr u c t io n s a r e g iv e n f o r y o u r c o n v e n ie n c e : T h e fo llo w “ ( 1 ) I t is d e s ir e d to o b ta in a d is tr ib u tio n o f r e m it ta n c e s b y in d iv id u a l c o u n t r ie s in s o f a r a s p o s s ib le ; a m o u n t o f fu n d s r e m it te d a n d v a lu e o f g o o d s s h ip p e d s h o u ld b e s h o w n s e p a r a te ly . “ (2) P r e c is e a m o u n ts are not e s s e n tia l; e s tim a te s in rou nd ed th o u sa n d s d o l l a r s w i l l s u ffic e . F o r t h is r e a s o n , it is n o t n e c e s s a r y th a t r e tu r n s b e u n til a ll a c c o u n ts f o r th e y e a r a r e c lo s e d . “ ( 8 ) D a t a f o r t h e c a le n d a r y e a r a r e p r e fe r r e d , b u t fig u r e s c o v e r in g c o m p le te d f is c a l p e r io d a r e a c c e p ta b le . “ (4) S u m s s p e n t in th is c o u n tr y fo r a d m in is tr a tiv e ex p en ses, su m s o f w ith h e ld th e la s t c o lle c te d d u r in g t h e y e a r b u t n o t t r a n s f e r r e d a b r o a d , o r s u m s c o lle c t e d in o th e r c o u n t r ie s s h o u ld n o t b e in c lu d e d in r e p o r te d a m o u n ts . R e m it t a n c e s o r s h ip m e n t s to A la s k a , H a w a ii, P u e r to R ic o , C a n a l Z o n e , o r t h e V ir g in I s la n d s s h o u ld n o t b e in c lu d e d , s in c e t h e s e a r e p a r ts o f th e b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts a r e a o f th e U n ite d S ta te s . “ ( 5 ) I f r e m it ta n c e o r s h ip m e n ts b y y o u r o r g a n iz a tio n a r e lik e ly to h e d u p li c a t e d in t h e y o u r r e p ly . r e tu r n fro m any o th e r o r g a n iz a tio n , th e fa c t s h o u ld be n o ted in 187 “If th e r e is n o th in g to r e p o r t o n b e h a lf o f y o u r o r g a n iz a tio n , a t h a t e ffe c t w ill b e a p p r e c ia te d . r e p ly .” 2. R e p o r ts to th e A fra n k e d P r e s i d e n t ’s C o m m itte e o n V o lu n ta r y W ar r e tu r n R e lie f s ta te m e n t to e n v e lo p e is e n c lo s e d C o n tro l B o a r d F o r e ig n A id o f t h e U n it e d (n o w fo r yo u r th e S ta te s G o v er n m en t) A d v is o r y by w ar r e lie f a g e n c ie s r e g is te r e d w it h t h a t o r g a n iz a tio n . T h e d a t a w e r e c o m p ile d b y c o u n t r y a n d b y s e c ta r ia n g r o u p s , a n d a s m a ll o m is s io n s e s t im a t e w a s m a d e f o r e a c h g r o u p to a llo w f o r a g e n c ie s n o t r e p o r tin g . P r iv a te D ir e c t C a p it a l M o v e m e n t s In v estm en ts T h e b a s ic s t a t is t ic s r e g a r d in g m o v e m e n ts o f A m e r ic a n ta l abroad s e c tio n w ere d e a lin g o b ta in e d w ith fr o m in c o m e th e on q u e s tio n n a ir e s in v e s tm e n ts . d ir e c t- in v e s tm e n t c a p i r e fe r r e d T h ese to p r o v id e d in th e a p p e n d ix in fo r m a tio n cov e r in g a d v a n c e s b y p a r e n t c o m p a n ie s to s u b s id ia r ie s , a d v a n c e s b y s u b s id ia r ie s in f o r e ig n c o u n t r ie s to A m e r ic a n p a r e n t c o m p a n ie s , c h a n g e s in A m e r ic a n e q u ity in fo r e ig n b r a n c h e s , a n d , b e g in n in g w it h th e la s t h a lf o f 1 9 4 5 , d a t a f o r p u r c h a s e s a n d s a le s o f s e c u r it ie s o f s u b s id ia r y c o m p a n ie s . fro m F orm s 8K A d d itio n a l d a ta a n d 1 0 K file d b y c o r p o r a t io n s w it h w e r e o b ta in e d th e S e c u r itie s a n d E x c h a n g e C o m m is s io n , in c o m e -ta x r e tu r n s file d w it h t h e B u r e a u o f I n t e r n a l R e v e n u e 1 1 2 0 ), a n n u a l r e p o r ts of c o m p a n ie s , r e p o r ts of (F o rm fin a n c ia l s e r v ic e s , c o n s u la r p o r ts , th e p r e s s , a n d c o r r e s p o n d e n c e w it h A m e r ic a n c o m p a n ie s . C a p ita l m o v e m e n ts d a t a r e la t in g to f o r e ig n d ir e c t in v e s t m e n ts in th e re U n ite d S t a te s w e r e n o t g e n e r a lly a v a ila b le e x c e p t in a f e w in s ta n c e s w h e n s u c h t r a n s a c t io n s w e r e p u b lic iz e d . S u c h d a ta a s w e r e a v a ila b le w e r e , o f c o u r s e , u tiliz e d . N ew Issu es T h e a n n u a l v o lu m e o f n e w is s u e s o f f o r e ig n s e c u r itie s in th e U n ite d S t a t e s c o m p r is e d b o th p u b lic a n d p r iv a t e o ffe r in g s a s c o m p ile d p r im a r ily fr o m in fo r m a tio n fo r o b ta in e d each fro m u n d e r w r ite r s a n d is s u e w a s th e p o r tio n f i n a n c i a l s e r v i c e s . 101 T h e o f th e is s u e ta k en in a m o u n t in c lu d e d th e U n ite d S ta te s le s s d is c o u n ts a n d c o m m is s io n s . I n t h is v o lu m e , r e fu n d in g is s u e s w e r e in c lu d e d a s n e w is s u e s , w h ile t h e is s u e s r e fu n d e d w e r e in c lu d e d in a m o r tiz a tio n s . T h is p r o c e d u r e d iffe r s fr o m th a t u sed in e a r lie r c o m p ila tio n s in w h ic h r e fu n d in g is s u e s w e r e n o t in c lu d e d a s n e w is s u e s (n o r t h e r e fu n d e d is s u e s c a r r ie d in a m o r tiz a tio n s ). S e c u r it ie s is s u e d in t h e U n it e d S t a t e s b y A m e r ic a n d ir e c t-in v e s tm e n t c o m p a n ie s o p e r a t in g a b r o a d w e r e n o t in c lu d e d in t h e c a p ita l-m o v e m e n t fig u r e s f o r n e w i s s u e s b u t w e r e i n c l u d e d i n m o v e m e n t s o f d i r e c t i n v e s t m e n t s . 11 t e r r it o r ie s o r p o s s e s s io n s o f t h e U n it e d S t a t e s w e r e n o t in c lu d e d . In so m e c a se s it w a s n o t tr a n s a c tio n s in o u ts ta n d in g S ta te s account o f C a n a d ia n p o s s ib le is s u e s . s e c u r itie s N e w is s u e s o f to d iffe r e n tia te b e tw e e n n e w T h is w a s tr u e o f p u r c h a s e s in C anada (se e s e c tio n on is s u e s a n d f o r U n ite d T r a n s a c tio n s in C a n a d ia n S e c u r it ie s ) s in c e t h e d a t a u s e d c la s s ifie d is s u e s a s o u t s t a n d in g e v e n w h e n t h e A m e r ic a n p u r c h a s e r b o u g h t ( fr o m a C a n a d ia n b r o k e r ) a n e w s e c u r ity t h a t w a s s t ill in t h e d is tr ib u tio n s ta g e . A m o r tiz a tio n s I n fo r m a tio n bonds w as r e g a r d in g o b ta in e d fr o m p a r tia l and c o m p le te q u e s tio n n a ir e s a m o r tiz a tio n s d is tr ib u te d to th e of fo r e ig n A m e r ic a n d o lla r p a y in g a g e n ts o f s u c h is s u e s ( s e e a p p e n d ix d is c u s s io n o f in t e r e s t r e c e ip ts fr o m d o lla r b o n d s). R e c e ip t s b y A m e r ic a n s c a n n o t b e p r e c is e ly m e a s u r e d in a s m u c h a s th e s e c u r ity -tr a n s a c tio n d a ta r e p o r te d b y d e a le r s in s e c u r itie s c o v e r a ll fo r e ig n b o n d s a n d d o n o t d is tin g u is h b e tw e e n fo r e ig n b o n d s p a y a b le in U n ite d S t a t e s d o lla r s a n d t h o s e p a y a b le in f o r e ig n c u r r e n c ie s . H o w e v e r , a n y o v e r e s tim a te o r u n d e r e s tim a te e s tim a te o f d o lla r b o n d a m o r tiz a tio n r e c e ip ts w a s c o m p e n s a te d b y a n u n d e r o r o v e r e s tim a te o f tr a n s a c tio n s in o u ts ta n d in g s e c u r itie s , s in c e th e c o m b in e d n e t m o v e m e n t o f b o th p o r te d b y s e c u r ity d e a le r s . s e r ie s w a s a d ju s te d to eq u a l th e m o v em en t re 10 N e w i s s u e s o f U n i t e d S t a t e s s e c u r i t i e s a r e r a r e l y f l o a t e d a b r o a d a n d s u c h o f f e r in g s a s d o o c c u r a r e i o r s m a ll a m o u n ts , so t h a t t h e r e is n o a p p re c ia b le r e c e ip ts ite m f o r th is p a r tic u la r a c c o u n t. 11 H o w e v e r , t a b l e X X , a p p e n d i x C , h a s b e e n p r e p a r e d p r i m a r i l y f o r t h o s e i n t e r e s t e d in a l i s t o f a l l n e w i s s u e s s o ld i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s r e g a r d l e s s o f c l a s s i f i c a t i o n , a n d h e n c e i n c l u d e s i s s u e s o f d i r e c t - i n v e s t m e n t c o m p a n ie s . 188 R e tir e m e n ts d e m p tio n m e n ts of U n ite d p a y m e n ts in to 1935, a d ju sted c o n tin e n ta l E u r o p e a n d u r in g th e w a r . T r a n sa c tio n s in S ta te s c o r p o r a te fo r e ig n e r s to w ere r e fle c t h o ld e r s ) th e of in a b ility th ese O u ts ta n d in g bonds th ro u g h e s tim a te d on s in k in g -f u n d th e b a s is o f fo r e ig n bonds F o r e ig n to h o ld e r s p resen t and of th e m re pay (p a r tic u la r ly fo r D o m e s tic and know n r e tir e m e n t S e c u r itie s T h e b a s ic d a t a u s e d f o r t h is s e r ie s w e r e c o m p ile d m o n th ly f o r t h e T r e a s u r y D e p a r tm e n t b y th e F e d e r a l R e se r v e B a n k s fr o m r e p o r ts o f b a n k s, b r o k e rs, a n d d e a le r s lo c a te d in t h e U n ite d B u l l e t i n 12 i n s u m m a r y f o r m lic a tio n o f t h e s e N ovem b er 1945. T h e d a ta is s u e s and d a ta in a s c o m p ile d S ta te s , a n d w e r e p u b lis h e d in th e F e d e r a l R ese r v e a n d i n t h e T r e a s u r y B u l l e t i n 13 i n m o r e d e t a i l . d e ta il w as su sp en d ed fro m in c lu d e a ll fo r e ig n -s e c u r ity a m o r tiz a tio n s . T he e s tim a te s of th e th e en d of tr a n s a c tio n s D e p a r tm e n t th e d a ta S ta te s on r e p o r te d to T r a n sa c tio n s becam e C a n a d ia n v o lu m e ch a ses som e ca ses w h en F ed eral d ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts a b r o a d T r a n s a c tio n s in It th e C a n a d ia n in F o r e ig n of in S ta te s 1 9 4 0 -4 5 th e A n fo r r e m a in in g a d d itio n a l a tr a n s a c tio n w a s n o t in c lu d e d B anks in c lu d e d in or th e w hen is s u e s c o m p ila tio n of in U n ite d ( s e e s e c tio n S e c u r itie s th e E xchange U n ite d th e d u r in g w ere new C om m erce S e c u r itie s ). C a n a d ia n e v id e n t R eserv e u n til in c lu d in g of n e w is s u e s a n d a m o r tiz a tio n s w e r e d e d u c te d fr o m th e s e d a ta , a m o u n t s b e in g c o n s id e r e d t r a n s a c t io n s in o u t s t a n d in g s e c u r itie s . a d ju s tm e n t w a s n e c e s s a r y in Pub 1941 w ar, as C o n tro l tr a n s a c tio n s p e r io d ) w h ic h a r e s u lt B oard, in of th a t C a n a d ia n w as not th e d a ta th ere c o lle c te d w as s e c u r itie s b e in g a by (p r im a r ily record ed in th e c o n s id e r a b le th e pu r d a ta on s e c u r ity t r a n s a c tio n s r e g u la r ly r e p o r te d t o th e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B a n k s . The p r in c ip a l o m is s io n a p p e a r e d to h a v e b e e n th e la r g e n e t p u r c h a s e s o f C a n a d ia n s e c u r it ie s th r o u g h d e a le r s lo c a t e d in C a n a d a b y U n it e d S t a t e s in s u r a n c e c o m p a n ie s it w as de c id e d to s u b s t it u t e t h e C a n a d ia n d a t a f o r th e d a t a c o m p ile d b y t h e R e se r v e B a n k s, o r b y th is D iv is io n o f th e C o m m e rc e D e p a r tm e n t fr o m and o th e r in s titu tio n a l F ederal v a r io u s a d d itio n a l so u rces. are b e lo w . sh ow n Ta bl e T he in v e s to r s . c o m p a r a tiv e In s e r ie s v ie w and of th e th is s itu a tio n , d iffe r e n c e s b e tw e e n th em I I I .— U n ite d S ta te s a n d C a n a d ia n d a ta o n U n ite d S ta te s n e t p u r c h a s e s o f C a n a d ia n s e c u r itie s [ I n m illio n s o i U n ite d S ta te s d olla rs; n e t U n ite d S ta te s p u r c h a s e ( —) o r sale ( + ) ] I te m N e t tr a n s a c ti o n s w it h C a n a d a in fo re ig n sec u ritie s; C a n a d ia n F o re ig n E x c h a n g e C o n tr o l B o a rd d a t a 1----N e t p u r c h a s e s n o t re c o rd e d in U n ite d S ta te s sta tis tic s,4 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 + 3 6 .1 + 1 3 .0 -2 3 .1 + 1 0 .4 - 1 2 .0 - 2 2 .4 -4 2 .9 - 9 7 .0 -5 4 .1 + 2 8 .2 - 8 4 .0 -1 1 2 .2 + 2 6 .4 - 9 9 .0 -1 2 5 . 4 -7 0 .8 - 2 0 1 .0 -1 3 0 .2 ' R e p o r t of t h e F o re ig n E x c h a n g e C o n tro l B o a rd to th e M in is te r of F in a n c e , O tt a w a , C a n a d a , M a r c h 1946, p . 21. A ssets D a ta and on L ia b ilitie s m e d iu m -te r m M a tu r in g a d v a n c e s to in and M ore fro m T han O ne Y ear fo r e ig n e r s w e r e c o lle c te d F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B a n k s t h r o u g h o u t th e 1 9 4 0 -4 5 p e r io d fr o m by th e r e p o r tin g b a n k s a n d b a n k ers. T h e s e d a t a w e r e n o t in c lu d e d in a n y p r e v io u s ly p u b lis h e d s e r ie s a l t h o u g h s u c h lo a n s w e r e o f g r o w in g im p o r ta n c e b e g in n in g w it h 1 9 4 5 ( s e e ta b le X X II). S h o r t-T e r m C a p ita l M o v e m e n ts D e t a ile d s t a t is t ic s o f fo r e ig n c la im s o n th e U n ite d S t a t e s a n d o f U n ite d S ta te s c la im s o n f o r e ig n e r s a r e c o m p ile d m o n th ly f o r t h e T r e a s u r y D e p a r tm e n t b y t h e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B a n k s . A lth o u g h th e d a ta w e r e n o t p u b lis h e d d u r in g th e w a r , th e S e p te m b e r 1 9 4 5 is u e o f th e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B u lle t in c o n ta in e d t a b le s c o v e r in g th e w a r years. T h e s e r ie s o n b a n k in g f u n d s is c u r r e n tly p u b lis h e d in th e F e d e r a l R e 12 B o a r d o f G o v e r n o r s o f t h e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e S y s te m , W a s h i n g t o n , D . C ., m o n t h l y . 13 U n i t e d S t a t e s T r e a s u r y D e p a r t m e n t , W a s h i n g t o n , D . C ., m o n t h l y . 189 s e r v e B u lle tin tio n on and th e brokerage T reasu ry b a la n c e s . B u lle tin , a n d T he ty p e s of th e la tte r fu n d s a ls o in c lu d e d in c lu d e s are in fo r m a d e p o s its , b ills , U n ite d S ta te s G o v e r n m e n t s h o r t-te r m s e c u r itie s a n d o th e r sh o r t-te r m a c c o u n ts a n d c o m m e r c ia l p a p e r . M in o r a d j u s t m e n t s h a v e b e e n m a d e in t h e p u b lis h e d d a ta on th e b a s is o f a d d itio n a l in fo r m a tio n in C a n a d a . A d d itio n a l brokers p o r te r s, w ith fo r e n te r e d d a ta on c o m m e r c ia l on b a la n c e s U n ite d not S ta te s r e p o r te d sh o r t-te r m th r o u g h fu n d s banks and w e r e c o lle c t e d in t h is p e r io d b y t h e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B a n k s f r o m e x im p o r te r s , a n d o t h e r c o n c e r n s . H o w e v e r , o n ly d a t a c o v e r in g d e p o s its e ig n b a n k s w e r e u s e d s in c e m o s t o f t h e a c c o u n ts r e p o r te d w e r e a lr e a d y in t h e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts u n d e r m o v e m e n t s o f d ir e c t in v e s t m e n t s , a s in te r c o m p a n y a c c o u n ts . F o r t h e y e a r s 1 9 4 0 a n d 1 9 4 1 t h e a n n u a l n e t m o v e m e n ts o f U n ite d ren cy w ere b ased on d a ta r e p o r te d b y th e F e d e r a l R e se r v e B a n k s S ta te s cu r of N ew Y ork a n d A tla n ta a n d e s tim a te s o f u n r e c o r d e d n e t e x p o r ts. A ft e r 1 9 4 1 , o n ly r e p o r te d m o v e m e n ts o f c u r r e n c y w e r e in c lu d e d in t h e b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts , e x c e p t f o r m o v e m e n ts b e tw e e n d is c u s s io n ). th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d C anada ( s e e fin a l p a r a g r a p h o f th is I n a d d itio n to th e d a ta r e c o r d e d b y th e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B a n k s , d a ta w e r e o b ta in e d fr o m th e fo llo w in g s o u r c e s : C e n su s B u r e a u s t a tis t ic s o f th e e x p o r t a n d im p o r t o f U n ite d S ta te s s ilv e r c o in s (u n til 1940 c a r r ie d as a cu rrent account it e m ) , s p e c ia l T r e a s u r y D e p a r tm e n t r e p o r ts w h ic h in c lu d e d d a t a r e g a r d in g s a le s o f U n it e d S t a t e s c u r r e n c y to fo r e ig n c o u n tr ie s a n d r e c e ip ts fr o m a n d s h ip m e n ts t o C u b a f o r a c c o u n t o f t h e T r e a s u r y , o c c a s io n a l c o n s u la r r e p o r ts , a n d C le a r in g O ffic e r e p o r t s o f e s tim a te s of “ n e t tr o o p pay” m a d e in U n ite d S ta te s cu rrency t o A m e r ic a n t r o o p s s t a t io n e d in C h in a a n d e ls e w h e r e . D a t a w e r e n o t a v a ila b le f o r m o v e m e n ts o f fo r e ig n c u r r e n c y , b u t th e s u m s in v o lv e d a r e b e lie v e d to b e s m a ll. A f t e r 1 9 4 1 n o e s t im a te w a s m a d e o f u n r e c o r d e d m o v e m e n ts o f U n ite d S t a t e s c u r r e n c y . T h e s e m a y h a v e o c c u r r e d in th e f o llo w in g w a y s , a m o n g o t h e r s : ( a ) B y s m u g g lin g ; o p e r a tio n s a b r o a d ; U n ite d ( 6 ) b y s o ld ie r s e n g a g e d in u n a u th o r iz e d o r b la c k -m a r k e t (c ) b y m em b ers o f th e a rm ed fo r c e s a b r o a d ; a n d ( d ) b y S t a te s t r a v e le r s a b r o a d . I n g e n e r a l, A m e r ic a n s o ld ie r s in f o r e ig n c o u n tr ie s w e r e p a id in lo c a l c u r r e n c y . I t h a s n o t b e e n p o s s ib le to m e a s u r e t h e n e t tr o o p p a y w h ic h w a s p a id in A m e r ic a n g o ld s e a l d o lla r s to U n it e d p a ig n s . S in c e U n ite d th er e is good S ta te s an d S t a te s tr o o p s in reason C anada to are b e lie v e th e N o r th th a t o ffs e ttin g , a n A fr ic a n currency I ta lia n m o v e m e n ts a d ju stm e n t w a s e x p o r t s o f c u r r e n c y to C a n a d a a n d im p o r ts fr o m and C anada b e tw e e n m ade so a s to cam in th e recorded e lim in a te in d ic a te d n e t m o v e m e n t. T h is w a s d o n e b y s e ttin g b o th e x p o r ts a n d e q u a l to t h e h i g h e r o f t h e t w o r e c o r d e d f ig u r e s f o r t h e y e a r c o n c e r n e d . th e im p o r ts G o v e r n m e n t C a p it a l A c c o u n t L o n g -T e r m C a p ita l A c c o u n t O n ly G o v e r n m e n t a s s e t s w e r e in c lu d e d h e r e ; f o r e ig n p u r c h a s e s a n d s a le s o f l o n g - t e r m G o v e r n m e n t s e c u r i t i e s ( i . e ., l i a b i l i t i e s ) w e r e s h o w n i n t h e p r i v a t e a c c o u n t, o n th e g r o u n d governm ent m e n t w ith e n titie s . fo r e ig n t h a t t h e y p r e s u m a b ly w e r e b o u g h t fr o m A ll lo a n and c o u n tr ie s w e r e c r e d it tr a n s a c tio n s of th e in c lu d e d , e x c e p t s h o r t- te r m o r s o ld F ed eral to non G overn b a la n c e s , a d v a n c e p a y m e n ts , a n d o th e r it e m s m a tu r in g in 1 y e a r o r le s s , w h ic h w e r e e n te r e d in th e G o v e r n m e n t sh o r t-te r m c a p ita l a c c o u n t. I n g e n e r a l, th e s o u r c e s o f in fo r m a tio n fo r a ll ite m s in t h is a c c o u n t w e r e th e G o v e r n m e n t a g e n c ie s r e s p o n s ib le f o r th e t r a n s a c tio n s . I n fo r m a tio n c a m e e ith e r (1 ) d ir e c t to th e I n te r n a tio n a l E c o n o m ic s D iv is io n , s ta te m e n ts o f th e a g e n c y co n ce rn e d , o r (3 ) to T r a n s a c tio n s . S p e c ia l n o te s a b o u t in d iv id u a l ite m s f o l lo w : 1 . R e c o n s tr u c tio n F in a n c e (r e p a y m e n ts ) o n th is lo a n t h e R e c o n s tr u c tio n F in a n c e lo a n b y t h a t a g e n c y a s o f t h e th e C o r p o r a tio n lo a n t o in c lu d e d f u n d s p a id C o r p o r a tio n b u t n o t la s t d a y o f t h e p e r io d (2 ) th r o u g h C le a r in g th e O ffic e p u b lis h e d fo r F o r e ig n th e U n it e d K in g d o m : C r e d its in to a s u s p e n s e a c c o u n t w ith f o r m a lly c r e d ite d a g a in s t th e s p e c ifie d . 2 . E x p o r t- I m p o r t B a n k l o a n s : O n ly d ir e c t d is b u r s e m e n t s a n d r e c e ip t s o f t h e B a n k ’s o w n f u n d s w e r e i n c l u d e d i n t h e G o v e r n m e n t a c c o u n t ; t h e s o - c a l l e d i n d ir e c t, o r g u a r a n te e d , lo a n s w e r e c o n s id e r e d p r iv a te c a p ita l m o v e m e n ts in t h is stu d y . 190 3. L e n d -le a s e s ilv e r : T h e v a lu e o f le n d - le a s e s ilv e r t r a n s f e r r e d u n d e r a s p e c ific a g r e e m e n t to r e p a y in k in d h a s b e e n e n te r e d a s a n o u tflo w o f G o v e r n m e n t lo n g te r m c a p ita l. T h e s ilv e r w a s v a lu e d a t t h e o ffic ia l U n it e d S t a t e s T r e a s u r y b u y in g p r ic e (a p p r o x im a te ly th e se tr a n s a c tio n s 7 0 .5 c e n t s to o k per tro y oun ce d u r in g t h e p e r io d d u r in g w h ic h p la c e ). 4 . O th e r le n d -le a s e c r e d its : D e b it e n tr ie s in th e c a p ita l a c c o u n t o ffs e t e x p o r ts o f le n d - le a s e g o o d s f o r w h ic h r e p a y m e n t w a s t o b e m a d e o v e r a p e r io d o f y e a r s . T h e s e w e r e c h ie fly g o o d s t r a n s f e r r e d a fte r V J -d a y . T h e a m o u n ts in v o lv e d w e r e e s tim a te d o n t h e b a s is o f g o o d s tr a n s fe r r e d a s s h o w n b y t h e fis c a l r e c o r d s o f th e le n d -le a s e p rogram s, and m ay d iffe r som ew h at fr o m th e a m o u n ts f in a lly de t e r m in e d to b e p a y a b le a ft e r a l l a c c o u n tin g a d ju s tm e n ts h a v e b e e n m a d e . 5. S u r p lu s p r o p e r ty c r e d its : A s w it h le n d -le a s e , th e v a lu e o f s u r p lu s p r o p e r ty , in c lu d in g s h ip s , s o ld o n a lo n g -te r m c r e d it b a s is , h a s b e e n e n te r e d in t h is a c c o u n t. A s e x p la in e d in t h e m e r c h a n d is e tr a d e a c c o u n t, t h e s e t r a n s a c tio n s w e r e e n te r e d in th e b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts s t a te m e n t a s o f th e tim e o f s a le a s r e p o r te d b y th e O f fic e o f F o r e i g n L i q u i d a t i o n C o m m i s s i o n e r . I n p a r tic u la r , it s h o u ld b e n o te d t h a t t h e s o - c a lle d b u lk s a le s h a v e b e e n s p e c t iv e a g r e e m e n t s w e r e s ig n e d . > in c lu d e d in th e p e r io d s in w h ic h th e r e 6. P r o d u c tiv e f a c ilit ie s : T h e a c c o u n t a ls o in c lu d e s d ir e c t in v e s t m e n ts o f G o v e r n m e n t f u n d s , c h ie fly b y t h e D e f e n s e P la n t s C o r p o r a tio n , in p r o d u c tiv e f a c ilit ie s abroad. 7. P a y m e n t s b y f o r e ig n g o v e r n m e n ts to t h e U n it e d S t a t e s G o v e r n m e n t in s e t t le m en t fo r e x p r o p r ia te d p r o p e rty o f U n ite d S ta te s n a tio n a ls w ere a ls o in c lu d e d , s in c e th e f u n d s in t h e fir s t in s ta n c e a r e r e c e iv e d b y th e U n ite d S t a t e s D e p a r tm e n t o f S ta te . S h o r t-T e r m C a p ita l A c c o u n t, F o r e ig n s h o r t- te r m a s s e ts o f th e th e f o llo w in g it e m s w e r e o b ta in e d U n ite d , S t a t e s fro m G o v e r n m e n t.— D a t a r e g a r d in g r e c o r d s o f t h e a g e n c ie s in v o lv e d : 1. F o r e ig n c u r r e n c y a n d d e p o s its o f U n ite d S ta te s G o v e r n m e n t a g e n c ie s : T r e a s u r y d e p o s its a r e r e p o r te d in t h e D a ily T r e a s u r y S ta te m e n t. B a la n c e s o f o th e r a g e n c ie s w e r e n o t g e n e r a lly o b ta in a b le a n d o n ly c e r ta in is o la t e d m o v e m e n ts h a v e b e e n in c lu d e d , s u c h a s t h e r e p a t r ia t io n o f u n e x p e n d e d f u n d s in G r e a t B r it a in a n d A u s t r a lia a f t e r t h e w it h d r a w a l o f o u r tr o o p s in t h o s e c o u n tr ie s . 2 . A d v a n c e p a y m e n ts : T h e p r o c u r e m e n t a g e n c ie s f r e q u e n tly m a d e a d v a n c e p a y m e n ts in c o n n e c tio n w ith p u r c h a s e c o n tr a c t s ; t h e s e h a v e b e e n in c lu d e d a s in v e s tm e n ts o f sh o r t-te r m S h o r t-te r m fu n d s ab ro a d . lia b ilitie s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s T h e s e in c lu d e t h e f o llo w in g c a t e g o r ie s : 1 . P h ilip p in e d e p o s its w it h th e T r e a s u r y 1946, th e and sh o r t-te r m lia b ility c o v e r in g t h e y e a r s fr o m fo r ea ch o f th e se y ea rs. 2 . S p e c ia l I t a lia n d e p o s its m e n ts w ith I ta ly fo r net d a ta w ith tr o o p D e p a r tm e n t: a p p e a r in g 1939 to in th e d a te w ere th e pay B e g in n in g to in c lu d e D e p a r tm e n t: c r e d ite d to a s p e c ia l T r e a s u r y in s t e a d o f b e in g m a d e f r e e ly a v a ila b le b y is s u in g a I ta lia n G o v er n m en t. In e ffe c t, th e lia b ility w a s s h ifte d lia b ilit y ( s e e ite m 3 ) t o t h is a c c o u n t. 3 . S p e c ia l-c u r r e n c y lia b ilit y : T h e e s t im a te d w ith F ed era l R eserve r e v is e d T rea su ry w ere f o r e i g n c o u n t r i e s .— G o v e r n m e n t to am ount b a la n c e s fir s t account s e ttle in th e d o lla r c h e c k to th e fro m of T he th e J u ly B u lle tin s a s p e c ia l-c u r r e n c y s p e c ia l-c u r r e n c y ex p e n d itu r e s f o r w h ic h t h e U n it e d S t a t e s G o v e r n m e n t w a s o b lig a te d to r e im b u r s e t h e r e s p e c t iv e f o r e ig n g o v e r n m e n ts in d o lla r s w a s c o n s id e r e d a s a G o v e r n m e n t s h o r t-te r m lia b ilit y in t h e s e a c c o u n ts . T h e d o lla r s e t t le m e n t s w h ic h f o llo w e d w e r e t h u s e n te r e d a s d e b its in t h is a c c o u n t, r a t h e r t h a n in th e c u r r e n t a c c o u n t. 4 . H o ld in g s o f s h o r t- te r m U n it e d S t a t e s G o v e r n m e n t s e c u r it ie s : C h a n g e s in 1 fo r e ig n h o ld in g s o f U n ite d S t a te s G o v e r n m e n t s e c u r itie s w it h o r ig in a l m a t u r itie s o f le s s th a n 1 y e a r , a s r e p o r te d to th e T r e a s u r y D e p a r tm e n t o n F o r e ig n E x c h a n g e F o r m B - l , w e r e c o n s id e r e d a s G o v e r n m e n t c a p it a l m o v e m e n ts in t h e a c c o u n ts . 5 . D e p o s it s w it h t h e C o m m o d ity C r e d it C o r p o r a tio n : A f t e r t h e t e r m in a t io n o f le n d - le a s e , f o r e ig n p u r c h a s in g m is s io n s p la c e d m o s t o f t h e ir o r d e r s s t u f f s in t h e U n it e d S t a t e s w it h t h e C o m m o d ity C r e d it C o r p o r a tio n . fo r fo o d W o r k in g b a la n c e s w e r e d e p o s it e d w it h t h e C o m m o d ity C r e d it C o r p o r a tio n in c o n n e c tio n w ith th e s e p u r c h a se s , a n d su c h b a la n c e s w e r e tr e a te d a s s h o r t-te r m G o v e r n m e n t lia b ilitie s . G o ld M o v e m e n ts U n d e r th e m e th o d n o w p r o d u c tio n a d o p te d f o r t h e t r e a t m e n t o f g o ld m o v e m e n ts , n e w g o ld ( le s s d o m e s tic c o n s u m p t io n ) , is e n te r e d a s a r e c e ip t u n d e r g o o d s , a n d th e n e t c h a n g e in th e g o ld sto ck is e n te r e d as “ N e t in flo w o r o u tflo w o f fu n d s 191 o n g o ld a n d s h o r t- te r m c a p ita l a c c o u n t” ( s e e a p p e n d ix A , N o te G o ld in t h e B a l a n c e o f P a y m e n t s ) . T h e a n n u a l n e t m o v e m e n t a s co m p u te d fr o m o n T r e a tm e n t o f e x p o r t s , im p o r t s , a n d e a r m a r k in g w a s d e te r m in e d to b e th e b e s t a v a ila b le , s in c e t h e r e a r e u n a v o id a b le la g s b e tw e e n t h e d a t a o n c u r r e n t p r o d u c tio n a n d c h a n g e s in t h e g o ld s to c k . T h e fo r m e r s e r ie s m u s t b e u s e d , o f c o u r s e , t o c o n s tr u c t a b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts w it h a s p e c ifie d c o u n tr y or area, w h ile net p r o d u c tio n is e n te r e d as a tr a n s a c tio n w ith in te r n a tio n a l in s tit u t io n s . T h e b a s ic d a ta o n e x p o r t s a n d im p o r ts a r e c o lle c te d b y t h e B u r e a u C en su s. T h e y h a v e b e e n a d ju s te d , in s o f a r a s is p o s s ib le , to r e fle c t t h e o f th e a ctu a l c o u n tr y o f o r ig in w h e r e g o ld i s k n o w n to h a v e e n te r e d th r o u g h a t h ir d c o u n tr y . D a t a o n e a r m a r k in g t r a n s a c t io n s a r e p r o v id e d b y t h e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B a n k o f N e w Y o r k a n d a p p e a r in t h e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B u lle t in ; m in o r a d j u s t m e n t s h a v e b e e n m a d e to e lim in a t e tr a n s a c tio n s w h ic h a r e in c lu d e d in th e s e r ie s s h o w n in t h e B u lle t in b u t a r e n o t c o n s id e r e d t o a ffe c t f o r e ig n g o ld h o ld in g s in t h is c o u n tr y f o r b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n t's p u r p o s e s . C h a n g e s in t h e g o ld s t o c k o f t h e U n it e d S t a t e s a r e p u b lis h e d r e g u la r ly in t h e T r e a s u r y B u lle t in a n d to t h is s e r ie s h a v e b e e n a d d e d c h a n g e s in t h e g o ld h e ld by th e E xchange n o t in c lu d e d in S ta b iliz a tio n t h e p u b lis h e d Fund (S p e c ia l A c c o u n t g o ld -s to c k fig u r e . N um ber T h e h o ld in g s 1 ), w h ic h S t a b iliz a t io n F u n d a r e p u b lis h e d p e r io d ic a lly in th e T r e a s u r y B u lle t in . on g o ld B ureau p r o d u c tio n o f th e and M in t a n d M i n t . 14 H ow ever, t h e e x p o r t, im p o r t, c o n s u m p tio n r e p o r te d in in th e U n ite d S ta te s th e A n n u a l R ep ort are o f th e E x ch a n g e are o f th e S ta tis tic s c o lle c te d by th e D ir e c to r o f th e a s s t a t e d a b o v e , th e a n n u a l m o v e m e n t a s d e r iv e d fr o m a n d e a r m a r k s e r ie s i s c o n s id e r e d to b e th e m o r e a c c u r a te fo r t h is p u rp o se, a n d to c o n fo r m to t h is a n n u a l m o v e m e n t a h a s b e e n m a d e in e a c h y e a r in t h e g o ld c o n s u m p tio n s e r ie s . m in o r a d ju stm e n t T r a n s a c t io n s W it h M a jo r A r e a s In g e n e r a l, th e m e th o d s o f e s t im a tin g tr a n s a c tio n s w ith in d iv id u a l c o u n tr ie s o r a r e a s a r e t h e s a m e a s t h e m e th o d s f o llo w e d in c o m p ilin g th e g lo b a l b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts. S p e c ific p r o b le m s c o n n e c t e d w it h t h e s o u r c e s a n d m e th o d o lo g y o f c o m p ilin g “ b ila t e r a l” b a la n c e s o f p a y m e n ts a r e d is c u s s e d in t h e a p p r o p r ia te s e c t io n s o f t h is a p p e n d ix . I t r e m a in s to p o in t o u t h e r e th a t t h e r e is a n im p o r ta n t c o n c e p tu a l d iffe r e n c e b e tw e e n a g lo b a l a n d a b ila te r a l b a la n c e o f p a y m e n t s i n t h a t t h e l a t t e r d o e s n o t h a v e t o “ b a l a n c e ,” i. e ., t h e r e i s n o n e c e s s i t y t h a t t h e s u m o f a ll r e c e ip t s s h o u ld e q u a l t h e s u m o f a ll p a y m e n ts ( in c lu d in g g o ld m o v e m e n ts a n d c h a n g e s in s h o r t-te r m a s s e t s a n d lia b ilit ie s a m o n g r e c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts). I n t h e fo r m o f p r e s e n t a tio n e m p lo y e d in a g lo b a l b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts o n ly tw o p a r tie s to th e t r a n s a c tio n s c o v e r e d a p p e a r — th e c o u n tr y u n d e r c o n s id e r a tio n and In a to a th a t a ll th e r e s t o f t h e w o r ld — a n d t h u s t h e m u lt ila t e r a lit y o f t r a d e b ila te r a l s ta te m e n t, o n th e o th e r h a n d , o n ly tw o o f t h e th r e e o r m u lt ila te r a l tr a n s a c tio n a r e a c c o u n te d f o r a n d , c o n s e q u e n tly , r e c e ip t s a n d p a y m e n ts s h o u ld b e e q u a l n o lo n g e r h o ld s . T h is c o n c e a le d . m o r e p a r tie s th e n e c e s s ity e o ffse t to a tr a n s a c tio n b e tw e e n c o u n tr y A a n d c o u n tr y B m a y b e a tr a n s a c tio n b e tw e e n c o u n tr y A a n d c o u n tr y O, o r b e tw e e n c o u n tr y B a n d c o u n tr y C . F o r e x a m p le , i f a g iv e n c o u n tr y h a s a d e fic it w it h t h e d e fic it w it h d o lla r s e a r n e d fr o m th e U n ite d S ta te s , it m a y b e a b le to s e t t le o th e r c o u n t r ie s ; in t h is c a s e , th e tr a n s fe r o f d o lla r s fr o m f o r e ig n to A m e r ic a n o w n e r s h ip w ill n o t a p p e a r a s a tr a n s a c tio n b e tw e e n t h e U n ite d S t a t e s a n d t h e fir s t c o u n tr y b u t a s o n e b e tw e e n t h e U n ite d S t a t e s a n d t h e o th e r c o u n tr y o r c o u n tr ie s . I t w o u ld b e f o r m a lly p o s s ib le to s p lit u p e v e r y m u lt ila te r a l t r a n s a c tio n in to a s e r ie s o f b ila te r a l tr a n s a c tio n s a n d b y t h is m e a n s to b r in g in to b a la n c e th e s t a t e m ent fo r each area in d iv id u a lly . p r o je c t, s in c e i t w o u ld s e r v e in T h is w o u ld , in d e e d , be a h ig h ly d e s ir a b le e ffe c t to t r a c e a ll th e s te p s o f w h ic h m u lt ila te r a l tr a n s a c tio n s a r e c o m p o s e d a n d t h u s to e x p la in c o m p le te ly t h e s u p p ly a n d u s e o f t h e c u r r e n c y o f a g i v e n c o u n t r y , a s w e l l a s t h e s a m e c o u n t r y ’s s u p p l y a n d u s e o f a ll o th e r c u r r e n c ie s in w h ic h it h a s d e a lin g s ; b u t u n f o r t u n a t e ly s u c h a p r o je c t is im p r a c tic a b le a t t h e p r e s e n t tim e . 14 U . S . T r e a s u r y D e p a r t m e n t , W a s h i n g t o n , D . C ., a n n u a l . 192 f A p p e n d ix C S u p p le m e n ta r y I n fo r m a tio n Tabl e I V .— C itiz e n a n d a lie n 1 d e p a r tu r e s fr o m a n d a r r iv a ls in to th e U n ite d S ta te s , b y s e a a n d a ir , v ia s e a p o r ts , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 C it iz e n s 2 A li e n s 2 T y p e of tr a v e l a n d re g io n D e p a r tu r e s D e p a r tu r e s F in la n d __________________ ____ - ________ F r a n c e ------ - ------ -------- ---------------- ----------G ib r a lta r a n d M a l t a ................. ............... ......... G re e c e ....... ........................ .......... ......... . ......... . I c e la n d ---------- ---------------------- ----------------I t a l y ................................... . ................................ N e t h e r la n d s .----------- -------------- ---------------N o r w a y .................. _............. .............................. _______ P a le s tin e _____ _____ ___________ P o r tu g a l_____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 64 2 1 18 3 62 17 1,983 3 72 55 417 S p a in ...................................................... .............. S w e d e n ............ ................................. — ......... —S y r ia ........ .......................... ......... — ................... T u r k e y . ................................................................ U n ite d K in g d o m _________________ _______ Y u g o sla v ia ........................... ................ ................ 57 55 58 4 183 1 35 47 17 237 2, 790 91 730 22 691 10 7,352 67 432 389 3,339 26 194 314 81 32 288 44 T o ta l, E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r r a n e a n ------------- D e n m a r k ...... ............. ....................... .................. E g y p t ------- -------------- ------- --------------------- A rr iv a ls 1940 SEA E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n : A lg e ria , M o ro cc o , a n d T u n is ia _____________ A rriv a ls 13 6 28 6 37 73 505 6 495 75 4,315' 319 953 85 1,801 1 687 741 32 10 3,653 4 36 1,484 29 126 447 484 2,656 333 942 77 14,475 1,429 981 146 6,971 3 861 774 40 4 20,757 166 3,070 17,228 13,832 53,221 F a r E a s t: A u s tr a lia ....... ........... ............ ......... .................... C h i n a __________________ ______ ________ I n d i a . ___ ___________ ________ ____ _____ J a p a n .......... ................... ............. .......... ............ N e w Z e a la n d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _ __ __ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ P h i lip p in e s . -------- ---------------- --------------O th e r n o n - M e d ite r r a n e a n A fric a ........................ O th e r n o n - M e d ite rr a n e a n A sia ----------- -------O th e r P a c ific is la n d s --------- -------- -------------- 646 2,042 351 6,175 208 2,600 450 163 590 1,028 5, 321 764 6,302 274 3,260 613 423 499 1,480 2,465 105 7, 504 557 2,411 322 167 334 785 2,477 241 6, 696 233 1,023 404 204 276 T o t a l, F a r E a s t-------- ----------- -------- -------- 13, 225 18,484 15,345 12,339 6,627 20 78 10, 403 10, 249 897 392 48,664 1,668 7 2,727 852 935 N e th e r la n d s W e s t I n d ie s ............ ............ .......... N ic a ra g u a -------------- ------------- -----------------E l S a lv a d o r___ _ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ __ ______ V en e z u e la .......... ..................... ............................ 6,824 36 54 9,690 12,891 916 744 46,934 1,472 13 2,258 555 1,438 70 1,715 145 31 2,103 1,499 71 59 3,022 1,362 1,346 433 13,340 1,859 37 575 335 534 17 1,108 80 88 2,504 1,325 72 148 2,809 2,227 1,057 380 14,946 1,776 22 649 322 567 1 981 69 51 2,164 T o ta l, C a r ib b e a n ........... .................................. 87,889 28,269 87,407 -------------- !----------------- 29,566 B e r m u d a . . . ----- --- ------- ----------------- --------B r itis h G u ia n a .......... ......................... . ......... . B r itis h H o n d u r a s ........................ ................. ...... B r itis h W e st I n d ie s ---------------------------------C a n a l Z on e a n d P a n a m a _____________ ____ C o lo m b ia .......... ......... ........... ................ ............. C o sta R ic a ----- ----------------- ---------------------C u b a . . . ......... ......... . .............. ........................... D o m in ic a n R e p u b lic --------------- -------- -------1 G u a te m a la ____________ ______ ____ ______ H o n d u r a s ____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1,850 147 13 1,878 S ee f o o tn o t e s a t e n d o f ta b le . 193 Tabl e I V .— C itizen a n d a lie n 1 d ep a r tu res fr o m an d a rriv a ls in to th e U n ited S ta te s, b y sea a n d air, v ia sea p orts, 1940-45 — C o n t i n u e d C itiz e n s 2 A li e n s 2 T y p e of tr a v e l a n d re gio n D e p a r tu r e s A rr iv a ls T o ta l, s o u th e rn S o u th A m e r ic a ........ . T o ta l, s e a . . . _____ _____ ________ A rriv a ls 1940 s e a —c o n t i n u e d S o u th e r n S o u th A m e ric a (n o n - C a rib b e a n ) : A r g e n ti n a .,_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ B ra z il......... ................................... ......... C h ile ........... . ......................................... . E c u a d o r _____ ____ ______________ P e r u _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _______ _ __ __ _ U r u g u a y .............. ................................... D e p a r tu r e s 1,972 1,811 819 190 676 7 1,871 2,121 1,160 262 781 107 1,432 1,620 893 281 579 9 1,077 1,454 1,125 357 757 114 6,302 5,475 4,884 4,814 110,486 128,594 62,330 99,940 1 510 501 678 AIR E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n : E i r e . . ....... ..................... .............. ...... P o r tu g a l_ __ __ __ __ __ _ ____ ______ U n ite d K in g d o m _____ _____ _ _ _ _ _ 1 503 T o ta l, E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n . F a r E a s t: A u s tr a li a .___________ ______ ___ C h i n a .......................... ....................... N e w Z e a la n d ..____ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ P h ilip p in e s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ O th e r P a c ific I s la n d s ....... .................. 112 70 193 14 T o ta l, F a r E a s t ................. ............. C a rib b e a n : B e r m u d a _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _____ ___ B ri tis h G u ia n a _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ B ri tis h W e st I n d ie s _____________ C a n a l Z on e a n d P a n a m a _________ C o lo m b ia _____________________ C u b a ............ ......... . .................. ....... D o m in ic a n R e p u b li c ____________ F re n c h W e st I n d ie s ______ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ G u a te m a la ____________________ H a i ti_ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ N e th e r la n d s G u ia n a ____________ V e n e z u e la ................................... . 1 2 5 97 43 104 66 320 5 1 20 1 495 197 1,301 1,603 224 263 6,084 195 103 23,771 225 24 7,466 988 864 22, 412 361 29 999 58 54 4, 743 2 2 266 2 26 1,334 476 555 4,185 198 26 152 105 2 649 14 480 T o ta l, C a r ib b e a n _____________ 32,377 34,870 6,356 S o u th e r n S o u th A m erica : A rg e n ti n a ........ ................ ................ B ra z il_ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ E c u a d o r _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ P e r u _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _____ ___ _____ ___ 38 376 T o ta l, so u th e r n S o u th A m e r ic a ... 667 3 2 1 205 7,352 1 2 223 2 38 378 35 226 T o ta l, a i r ___________________ 33, 226 36,255 7,091 8,525 G ra n d to ta l, sea a n d a i r _______ 143,712 164,849 i 69,421 | T o ta l, E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n See fo o tn o te s a t e n d of ta b le . 108,465 1941 SEA E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n : A lg eria, M o ro cc o, a n d T u n is ia . D e n m a r k __ ____ __________ E g y p t ........................................ E ir e _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __________ F in la n d ________ __________ F r a n c e ....... ............ ......... . ...... G re e c e ....... ........................... . I c e la n d ....... .............. . .............. N o r w a y _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _____ _ P o r tu g a l_ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _ __ __ __ S p a i n . ......................... ............. S w e d e n __________________ U n ite d K in g d o m ............ ......... U . S . S. R __ .............................. 194 1 00 2 11 7 7 3 37 674 38 2 828 239' ..... 9 48 25 124 41 142 1,105 1,537 30 1,572 13,386 3,410 40 2,670 105 1 28 13 4,074 126 1 297 650 4 6 10 4,801 4,353 10 8 2 0 ,8 Tabl e IV.— C itizen a n d a lie n 1 d e p a rtu re s fro m an d a rriv a ls in to th e U n ited S ta te s, l y sea a n d a ir, v ia sea p orts, 19Jf0-45 — - C o n t i n u e d C it iz e n s 2 A lie n s 2 T y p e o f tr a v e l a n d re g io n D e p a r tu r e s F a r E a s t: S o u th e r n S o u th A m e ric a : A rr iv a ls 1941 sea — c o n tin u e d C a rib b e a n : D e p a r tu r e s A rriv a ls 335 548 365 3,053 76 1,133 1, 265 608 124 617 4,421 884 4,079 ir o 2,945 880 235 106 1,000 1,265 207 6,815 260 1,819 590 581 149 1,904 2,468 656 4,581 969 1,419 624 563 245 7,507 14, 277 12,686 13,429 9,188 104 56 17,756 18,351 1,008 '490 45, 537 1,411 9 2,492 458 922 64 1,184 119 2 2,017 4,967 73 63 12, 747 16,300 783 493 45,852 1,698 19 2,830 542 797 7 1,069 137 14 1,395 1,214 179 50 2,785 1,252 1,606 437 10,046 1,622 66 618 285 489 41 1,103 44 9 2,397 1,0 6$ 54 97' 3,131 1,633 1,337 396 12,677 1,471 478 616 269 542 3 752 80 18 2, C55 101,168 89,786 24, 243 26,677 1,650 2,042 1,251 347 885 156 1,424 1,883 885 227 779 8 1,317 1,413 1,263 490 867 106 1,536 2,391 1,210 394 673 28 6,331 5,206 5,456 6,232 116, 602 114,070 46,738 67,201 43 695 1 21 856 122 820 4 2 43 1,244 4 738 878 946 1,293 1 132 51 4 64 167 328 205 159 27 93 512 92 47 11 200 103 7 64 11 83 7 285 166 9 49 23 1,019 806 453 622 2,205 7 7,670 i ; 471 2,532 3 8,789 1,710 1,157 26,758 472 1 31 6 727 4 603 402 8 1,211 4,627 641 3 1,646 766 673 4,266 240 AIR E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n : T o ta l, E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r r a n e a n ............. . F a r E a s t: O th e r P a c ific is la n d s ------------------- ------- -----T o ta l, F a r E a s t ________ _____ _________ C a r ib b e a n : 30,584 223 35 H a i ti___ _______ ____ - ........... ................... ...... S ee fo o tn o t e s a t e n d o f ta b le . 497 111 66 17 110 195 Tabl e TV .— C itizen a n d a lie n 1 d e p a rtu re s fr o m a n d a rriv a ls in to th e U n ited S ta te s, b y sea a n d a ir, v ia sea p orts, 1 940 -^5 — C o n t i n u e d A lie n s 2 C itiz e n s 2 T y p e of tr a v e l a n d re gio n D e p a r tu r e s A rr iv a ls air —c o n tin u e d D e p a r tu r e s A rr iv a ls 1941 C a r ib b e a n — C o n ti n u e d 1 S o u th e r n S o u th A m erica : 46 527 114 29 11 261 42,739 42,713 7,126 8,683 981 ÏÔ8 1 3 65 5 117 C h i l e . . . _____ _ __ __ __ __ ____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ T o ta l, s o u th e r n S o u th A m e r ic a ...... _......... . G r a n d to ta l, sea a n d a i r ............... ................. . 502 1 122 981 177 503 44,618 45,378 8,702 11,101 161,220 159,448 55,440 78,302 1942 SEA E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n : F r a n c e ................. ...... .......................... ................ I t a l y _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _____ ______ _ _ P o r tu g a l_______ ____ ______ S w e d e n ____ _______ U n ite d K in g d o m ...................... U . S . S . R __________ T o ta l, E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r r a n e a n _ __ __ __ __ T o ta l, F a r E a s t . . . ....... . ........... ____ B r itis h I I o n d u r a s _ __ __ __ _ ____ ___________ C o lo m b ia ______ _____ C u b a _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ D o m in ic a n R e p u b li c ......................................... H a i ti ............................... ........ N e th e r la n d s G u ia n a _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ N e th e r la n d s W e s t I n d i e s . . . ____ ___________ S o u th e r n S o u th A m eric a : C h ile _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _________ _____ _____ _ E c u a d o r . ......... . ....................... . .................. S e e f o o tn o t e s a t e n d o f ta b le . 515 51 812 1 1,438 9 257 3,680 218 385 29 4 2, 561 18 1 4 200 4 2,694 237 2 17,112 282 6,117 3,060 20,536 2,083 39 51 28 O th e r A frica ____ ____ . O th e r n o n -M e d ite rr a n e a n A sia __ ________ O th e r P a c ific i s l a n d s . . . . . ...................... C a r ib b e a n : B e r m u d a . _____ _ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ 100 1,075 F a r E a s t: A u s tr a li a ___ __________ C h i n a ._ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ __ __ __ I n d i a _______ _ _______ J a p a n ________ ____ _____ 12 95 1 1,003 198 4 1,615 2,789 2,794 5 23 298 197 25 617 4,047 2,287 1,324 7,198 548 6,951 2,973 395 175 21 6 1,601 158 83 24 1,682 145 226 4 381 4,644 442 150 190 21 2,916 11 21 7,098 7,981 50 68 2,435 141 14 115 37 125 25 193 30 28 8 38 28 108 8 890 116 32 102 68 75 7 262 18 84 38 80 95 15,940 21,298 4,195 7,549 73 4 140 223 66 118 185 9 5 4,627 3,057 22 1 4,347 90 42 12 69 5 169 184 35 2 m 671 m 35 2 306 307 397 58 Tabl e IV.— C itizen a n d a lie n 1 d e p a rtu re s fr o m a n d a rriv a ls in to th e U n ited S ta te s, b y sea a n d a ir , v ia se a p o rts , 1940-45 — C o n t i n u e d A lie n s 2 C itiz e n s 2 T y p e of tr a v e l a n d re g io n D e p a r tu r e s sea — c o n tin u e d S o u th e r n S o u th A m e ric a —C o n ti n u e d P e r u _ _ _ ____ _____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ U r u g u a y ................................................................ A rr iv a ls D e p a r tu r e s A rr iv a ls 1942 62 12 114 . 13 278 4 157 14 T o ta l, s o u th e rn S o u th A m e r ic a ___ ________ 580 633 1,369 1,239 T o ta l, s e a _ _ _ ____ _______ _ __ __ __ __ ____ 19,927 35, 246 9,172 36,275 1,948 611 7 23 338 104 609 745 5 7 461 51 1,083 886 1,260 AIR E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n : E ir e .................... ............................... ........ P o r tu g a l....... ............. ............ . ....................... U n ite d K in g d o m ..... ............................. .............. U . S. S . R ________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ T o ta l, E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r r a n e a n ___ ____ F a r E a s t: 510 428 3 2,889 53 168 102 7 71 O th e r n o n -M e d ite rr a n e a n A fr ic a ........................ O th e r n o n - M e d ite rr a n e a n A sia .......... .............. . 2, 255 9 59 582 33 127 2 297 10 T o ta l, F a r E a s t _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ __ __ __ ______ 2,317 674 129 378 3,221 55 14 5,981 4,968 2, 643 122 17,923 306 3 13 168 1 16 224 3,962 675 776 5 1, 211 264 Ï 2 ,Ï Ï 9 4,960 1,530 1,892 1,543 1,724 102 7,033 166 3,463 1,354 1,023 C a r ib b e a n : B e r m u d a _____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ B r itis h G u ia n a __ ____ _______ ____________ B r itis h W e s t I n d ie s _________ _____ _______ C a n a l Z o n e a n d P a n a m a ______________ ____ C o l o m b ia --------------- --------------------- ------ - . C u b a . ....... .................. .................................. ...... D o m in ic a n R e p u b lic -------------------- ------ -----F re n c h W e s t I n d ie s . . . . . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ H a i ti------ ------------------ --------------------------H o n d u r a s --------------------------------------------N e th e r la n d s W e st I n d ie s ____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ V e n e z u e la ____ ____________ ____ ________ T o ta l, C a r ib b e a n ----------------- ----------- -----S o u th e r n S o u th A m e ric a : B ra z il---------------- ---------------------------- -----C h ile 1,522 15,591 610 2 8 657 235 65 27 3 1,264 37,180 41,608 3 5, 745 6,426 8 73 58 1 7,576 474 10 212 1,067 196 107 8 3 800 14,442 16,701 23 580 6 2, 461 2 T o ta l, s o u th e r n S o u th A m e r ic a ------------------ 5,748 6,434 603 2,467 T o ta l, a i r ----------------- ------ --------------------- 48,134 49,799 16,060 20,815 G r a n d t o ta l, sea a n d a i r _________________ 68,061 85,045 25,232 57,090 1943 SEA E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n : E ir e ____ - ------- -----------------------G ib r a lta r ........... ............. ................ . I c e l a n d .----- -------- --------- ----------Ita ly __________________________ P o r tu g a l--------- ------- ----------------S p a in --------- -------- ------------------S w e d e n ___________________ _ __ _ U n ite d K in g d o m ............................... U . S. S. R _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 465 19 202 559 14 412 27 1,491 1 T o ta l, E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n . 2,001 25 3, 927 57 1,585 33 33 4,145 165 4 44 209 31 890 185 6 13,195 2,096 5,198 6,006 16,660 45 S ee fo o tn o t e s a t e n d o f ta b le . 197 Tabl e I V .— C itizen a n d 6y a lie n 1 d e p a r tu res fro m a n d a rriv a ls in to th e U n ited S ta te s, sea a n d air, v ia sea p orts, ld lfi- I fi — C o n t i n u e d A li e n s 2 C it iz e n s 2 T y p e of tr a v e l a n d re g io n D e p a r tu r e s A rriv a ls — sea c o n tin u e d F a r E a s t: A frica 3--------- ------ -------------- ---------------A sia 4______ ______ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _ _ _ _ _ O c e a n ia ----------- ------ -------------------------- l . . . T o ta l, F a r E a s t ....... - ......... . . - ........ ......... C a rib b e a n : B e r m u d a ..................... . ............ ... ........... ......... B r itis h W e st I n d ie s ______________________ C a n a l Z o n e a n d P a n a m a __________________ C o l o m b ia _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _______________________ C o s ta R ic a _____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ C u b a . ........... . ........................... ........ .................. F re n c h W e s t I n d ie s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _ D e p a r tu r e s A rr iv a ls 1943 348 531 257 4,427 2,209 6,422 91 159 311 1,315 2,125 2,722 1,136 13,058 561 6,162 46 1 2,427 357 97 26 3,470 4, 511 8 28 122 4 540 11 1 9,091 22 98 7 7 156 13,854 680 152 25 123 3 14 130 2 72 3 266 296 6 96 21 286 1 1 3 505 498 116 14 4 2 1 V e n e z u e la ............ ............... ................... ........... 20 1 440 1 8 1 26 1 5 10 109 1 1 2 T o ta l, C a r ib b e a n _________ ____ _ _ _ _ _ ____ 1,658 11,812 9, 726 15, 634 46 1 113 17 08 1 113 178 148 23 34 1 130 16 121 13 34 407 201 266 35 185 35 H o n d u r a s ______ _ __ _ _ _ _ __ __ __ _________ N e th e r la n d s G u ia n a . __ _ _ _ _ _______________ N e th e r la n d s W e st I n d i e s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ N ic a r a g u a ___ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ______ _ S o u th e r n S o u th A m erica : A rg e n ti n a _____ ___ _____ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ B ra z il_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _________________ C h ile .____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ E c u a d o r________________________ _______ P e r u . ................. ........... ................... ................... T o ta l, s o u th e r n S o u th A m e ric a _ __ __ ____ _ 246 497 314 1,129 5,041 30, 565 16,607 39, 585 1,475 786 370 704 3 8 P o r t u g a l .___ _______ __________________ U n ite d K in g d o m _ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ . . . _ _ _ _ _ _ U . S. S. R ____________________ 204 1,274 135 5 146 4,809 3 48 174 39 139 355 T o ta l, s e a _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ AIR E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n : E ir e _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __________ T o ta l, E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r r a n e a n .................. 2,953 5,884 031 1,209 F a r E a s t: A f r ic a 3____ _____ ____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _•........... A s i a 4______________ __________________ 1,304 564 1,531 16 265 60 13 540 20 T o ta l, F a r E a s t _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1,868 1,812 73 707 2,059 949 16 4,860 8,314 2,450 356 11,390 837 7 17 603 457 23 250 751 2,784 1,207 1, 104 162 10, 240 8, 325 241 26 17, 300 1,030 7,325 2,024 2,163 143 5, 681 437 3 9,068 2, 488 143 4 13,632 442 224 267 78 318 237 61 319 31 90 C a r ib b e a n : B e r m u d a .................... ............. ............. ........ ...... B r itis h G u ia n a ______ _____ ____ ______ ___ B r itis h H o n d u r a s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ________ B r itis h W e s t I n d ie s ______________________ C a n a l Z on e a n d P a n a m a __ _____ _________ C o lo m b ia _ __ __ __ __ __ _ _ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ C o sta R ic a _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ ______ C u b a _____ ____________________________ D o m in ic a n R e p u b li c ___________ _________ G u a te m a la __ _ _____ ________ _______ H a i t i _________ ____ _________________ N e th e r la n d s G u ia n a .................................. . N e th e r la n d s W e st I n d ie s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ S e e fo o tn o t e s a t e n d o f t a b le . 198 32 511 299 670 41 27 246 Tabl e I V .— C itizen a n d a lie n 1 d e p a r tu res fro m a n d a rriv a ls in to th e U n ited S ta te s, t>y sea a n d a ir, v ia sea p orts, 1940-45 — C o n t i n u e d A lie n s ! C it iz e n s 2 T y p e of tr a v e l a n d re gion D e p a r tu r e s A rr iv a ls air — c o n tin u e d C a r r ib b e a n —C o n ti n u e d S o u th e r n S o u th A m erica : U n ite d K in g d o m ________ ______ _____ ___ u . S. S. It _________________________ T o ta l, E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r r a n e a n _ __ __ __ __ F a r E a s t: C a rib b e a n : 1 1 1,283 48 77 170 709 33 94 109 34, 624 43,028 20,690 28,808 2 10,246 7 10,377 1 1,327 19 4, 576 7 10,248 10,384 1,328 4,602 49, 693 61,108 22,722 35,326 54,734 91,673 39,329 74,911 1944 22 6 67 787 82 9 843 1 847 87 30 15 863 1,310 32 2 8,407 25 171 74 1 981 135 107 5,593 9 5,600 2,664 10,942 12, 500 16,162 908 829 400 2, 776 1,289 5,424 273 964 696 1,191 4,824 3, 232 2,137 9, 489 1,933 9,247 8 42 1 449 60 10 14 104 22 1,469 1,395 2 9 96 3 15 16 19 63 135 3 8 13,042 24 5 21 79 485 46 1,307 28,867 ' 378 11 18 138 22 813 5 6 113 36 611 2 11 1 2 24 3 53 S o u th e r n S o u th A m e ric a : A rriv a ls 1943 SEA E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n : D e p a r tu r e s 51 6 250 57 1, 590 175 114 13,855 64 197 670 1 2 44 31 78 4 32 4 10 744 3,380 14,157 32,926 130 52 27 2 102 1 243 87 105 9 48 18 146 21 55 15 95 5 370 104 110 93 40 9 68 314 510 337 726 5,859 24,321 28, 927 59,061 S e e fo o tn o t e s a t e n d o f ta b le . 199 Tabl e I V .-—C itizen a n d 6y a lie n 1 d e p a r tu res fr o m an d a rriv a ls in to th e U n ited S ta te s, sea a n d a ir, v ia sea p orts, 1940-45 — C o n t i n u e d A li e n s 2 C it iz e n s 2 T y p e of tr a v e l a n d re gio n D e p a r tu r e s U . S . S. R I ............................................... . F a r E a s t: C a rib b e a n : 1,533 360 246 10 1,016 6,573 6,342 660 405 1,110 25 1,285 29,742 1 935 197 103 16,080 34,163 1,737 2,701 9,974 137 476 20,541 158 770 209 11 228 2,887 511 298 10, 587 21,469 448 3,696 3,253 319 6,165 246 227 4,513 9,622 27 2 22,824 1,738 1,819 '5 55 10,282 2,303 2,142 524 6, 877 885 2,139 '233 156 8,084 3' 720 46 27 22,225 510 12 1,130 137 272 7 75 197 33 14 49 832 529 3 74 482 21 6 . 1,606 83 1,020 99 450 31 118 345 33 67 47,241 28,989 39,386 40 1 2,601 1 21 3,139 7, 585 1,835 777 9,754 1,525 2 30 2,357 771 7 144 695 60 20 2,416 34,689 S o u th e r n S o u th A m e ric a : C h ile ............................... .................................... . 200 105 1,050 229 1,137 6 3 2,499 1 4 2,356 1 2 4,257 2,511 2,360 2,666 65,613 105,384 33,534 48,449 71,472 129, 705 62,461 1C7,510 246 81 2, 501 4 380 204 4,185 34 2 361 206 755 742 263 502 2,148 10 1945 SEA P o la n d - D a n z ig ___ _______________ _______ 1,086 67 79 18 1 S e e f o o tn o t e s a t e n d o f ta b le . 311 54 20 4,238 1 E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n : A rr iv a ls 1944 AIR E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n : D e p a r tu r e s A rr iv a ls 1 126 24 1,870 1 4 154 7 257 1,195 158 37 251 5 420 46 5, 516 9 26 1,216 62 2, 846 1 , 676 99 51 215 2 100 66 175 358 76 168 2,139 94 Tabl e I V .— C itizen a n d a lie n 1 d e p a rtu re s fro m a n d a rriv a ls in to th e U n ited S ta te s, l y sea a n d air, v ia sea p o rts, 1940-45 — C o n t i n u e d A lie n s 2 C itiz e n s 2 T y p e of tr a v e l a n d re gio n D e p a r tu r e s sea— c o n tin u e d E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r r a n e a n — C o n tin u e d U S. S. R ......... ........................... ................ F a r E a s t: C a rib b e a n : H a i ti .............. .......................................... S o u th e r n S o u th A m e r ic a : C h ile ......... —................ ..................... . A rr iv a ls D e p a r tu r e s A rr iv a ls 1945 897 4 260 277 16 4,696 7 3 837 1,253 31 175 337 16 5,939 7 1,077 ' 108 1,273 653 32 9,367 184 20 5,040 988 75 921 476 86 8,439 84 11,087 19,942 23, 762 20,891 623 1, 239 1,794 2,001 3,657 16,020 456 1,648 1, 729 1,187 8', 069 6,143 3,656 21,678 3,833 15, 399 493 5 1 690 1,107 41 320 1 8 970 3,963 34 9 182 23 19 26 26 150 4 145 3 608 179 37 35,419 527 91 26 210 15 526 27 4 230 51 796 7 3 164 30 103 398 36 1, 003 39, 628 89 95 11 79 7 1,198 4 1 117 96 379 1 30 455 2,989 5,986 43,627 38, 920 420 385 507 96 10 45 34 515 1 463 96 48 69 25 998 562 99 14 67 15 94 12 5 12 6 124 3 200 2 5 189 542 261 91 90 52 1,177 1,077 1,217 2,034 18,909 48,683 72,439 77,244 1 2,169 13,131 16 695 149 3 1 919 963 2 AIR E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n : 1 1 2 2 2,219 5,012 124 3 1,583 82 333 48 1,685 8 555 43 204 199 4 28 5 2,272 130 1 4,319 10,096 11,979 228 30 5 1 5 244 237 9,944 174 2,052 654 2,930 26,228 39,933 4, 279 5,908 546 311 S ee fo otn ote s a t e n d of ta b le . 7 6 9 1 5 5 — 4 S ------ 1 4 201 Tabl e I V .— C itizen a n d a lie n 1 d e p a rtu re s fr o m a n d a rriv a ls in to th e U n ited S ta te s, b y sea a n d a ir, v ia sea p o rts, 1940-45 — C o n t i n u e d A lie n s 2 C itiz e n s 2 T y p e of tr a v e l a n d region A n iv a ls D e p a r tu r e s A rriv a ls D e p a r tu r e s 1945 — air c o n tin u e d F a r E a s t: N o n -M e d ite rr a n e a n A fric a ............... .................. N o n - M e d ite r r a n e a n A sia -------------------------O c e a n ia _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ ____ _ 11,299 105 2,197 11,573 79 2,384 644 94 689 1,670 100 570 T o ta l, F a r E a s t .............................. ........ .......... 13,601 14,036 1,427 2,340 C a r ib b e a n : B e r m u d a ............. .............................. .................. B r itis h G u ia n a ........................................ . _ . ........ 4, 970 137 7,876 231 2,756 181 4 8,305 4,095 51 464 32, 483 848 F r e n c h W e s t I n d ie s .............. ............ .................. G u a te m a la ............ ............................... ................ H a i t i .......... ......... .................... .................. ........ . 3,891 7,879 2,613 718 20,205 2,161 10 42 392 904 1,829 169 42 6, 791 2,353 3,006 827 12,130 1,426 40 176 671 N e th e r la n d s G u i a n a . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _____ N e th e r la n d s W e s t I n d ie s .................. .................. 93 1,714 50 956 285 277 2 1,189 477 299 64 52,786 B r itis h W e s t I n d ie s .......... ............. ........ ......... . C a n a l Z on e a n d P a n a m a ------ ------ -------------C o lo m b ia .............. ............................... ...... ........ . C o s ta R ic a _____ ____ ____ . _ _ _ _ _ _________ C u b a .............. ...................... ............. ........... D o m in ic a n R e p u b li c ................. ............. ............. V e n e z u e la _ __ __ __ __ __ _ __ __ __ __ _____ ____ 2,736 4,031 6,228 2 12 32,994 1,568 1 9 106 682 11 56 575 36 4 7 T o ta l, C a r ib b e a n _______ ____ ___________ 48,465 54,429 S o u th e r n S o u th A m erica :' A rg e n ti n a ----------- . . ------- . . ------ --------------B ra z il____________ ____ ________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ C h ile ______________ _____ _____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ P e ru .. ___ T o ta l, a i r _ ______ _______________________ _ G ra n d to ta l, sea a n d a i r _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ 2,286 33,148 29 3 15 3, 771 144 542 2,707 __ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ T o ta l, s o u th e rn S o u th A m e r ic a ___ 106 1,296 2 2 5 1 3,946 547 2, 728 50 11 1,046 48 25 10 61 8 1, 259 92. 240 108,945 41j, 582 62,293 111,149 157,628 114,021 139,537 1 I t s h o u ld h e n o te d t h a t th e b re a k - d o w n in to c itiz e n s a n d a lie n s is n o t e q u iv a le n t to t h a t in to re sid e n ts a n d n o n re sid e n ts u s e d for b a la n c e -o f-p a y m e n ts p u rp o se s. 2 B y c o u n try of im m e d ia te d e s tin a tio n or e m b a r k a tio n . 3 In c lu d e s M e d ite r ra n e a n A frica. 4 In c lu d e s M e d ite r ra n e a n A sia. S ourc e: I m m ig r a ti o n a n d N a tu r a liz a tio n S ervice, U . S. D e p a r tm e n t of Ju stic e . Ta bl e V .-— R e s i d e n t s o f t h e U n ite d S ta te s d e p a r tin g fo r o versea d e s tin a tio n s , g e o g r a p h ic a r e a a n d b y c l a s s o f tr a v e le r , 1 9 4 0 - 4 5 1 C lass of tr a v e le r 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 by 1945 E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n U n ite d S ta te s c itiz e n s (e xc lu d ing c r u ise ). A lie n re sid e n ts of th e U n ite d S ta te s: E m ig r a n ts .......................................... . T o t a l_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _____ _ 3,492 2, 334 4, 972 4,954 18, 744 37,315 7,347 2, 257 1 4, 454 2,334 1,424 1,130 622 1,556 1,441 2,974 6, 726 13,097 9,122 6, 396 6,706 21, 741 47,015 O c e an ia a n d n o n -M e d ite rr a n e a n A sia a n d A frica U n ite d S ta te s c itiz e n s (e x c lu d in g cruise) A lie n re sid e n ts of th e U n ite d S ta te s: C ru is e p a sse ng ers_ _ _ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ T o t a l_ _ _ ____ _____ 13,614 8, 526 3,641 3,004 12, 724 17,257 3, 209 3,693 20 2,496 3, 321 207 147 31 219 189 286 742 20, 536 14, 343 3,848 3,182 13,132 18,285 \ 1 S ee fo o tn o t e s a t e n d o f ta b le . 202 Ta bl e V.— R e s i d e n t s o f th e U n i t e d S t a t e s d e p a r t i n g f o r o v e r s e a d e s t i n a t i o n s , g e o g r a p h ic a r e a a n d b y c l a s s o f tr a v e le r , 1 9 4 0 - 4 5 '— C o n t i n u e d C la ss of tr a v e l e r 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 by 1945 C a r ib b e a n 2 U n ite d S ta te s c itiz e n s (e x c lu din g c r u is e ) .. A lie n re sid e n ts of th e U n i te d S ta te s : T e m p o r a r y v isito rs a b r o a d ............. . T o t a l ......... ...... .................................. 120,266 143,907 53,120 36,282 35,433 51,454 1,831 1,864 33,414 1,852 2,187 32, 465 1,125 1,150 64 1,456 191 2,328 494 157,375 180,411 54,265 37,496 37,080 54, 276 20 S o u th e r n S o u th A m eric a 3 U n ite d S ta te s c itiz e n s (e xc lu d ing c r u ise ). . A lie n re sid e n ts of th e U n ite d S ta te s: T e m p o r a r y v isito rs a b r o a d ........ ......... T o t a l _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ______ _ 6,340 6,453 6,328 10,494 4,571 5,123 150 544 1,316 143 686 2,083 85 67 39 86 108 131 423 8,350 9,365 6,413 10,600 4,765 5,677 T o ta l U n ite d S ta te s c itiz e n s (e x c lu din g c r u ise ). . A lie n re sid e n ts of th e U n ite d S ta te s: T e m p o r a ry v isito rs a b r o a d ----- ------ - T o t a l ....... ...... ..................... ......... . 143,712 161,220 68,061 54,734 71,472 111, 149 12,537 8,358 * 34,753 8,945 8,528 34, 548 2,841 2,494 756 3,317 1,929 ............ 5,719 8,385 199, 360 213,241 70,922 57,984 76,718 125, 253 20 1 T r a v e l b e tw e e n t h e U n ite d S ta te s a n d C a n a d a a n d M e xico is e x c lu d e d ; tr a v e l v ia C a n a d ia n s e a p o rts, tr a v e l v ia a irc ra f t, a n d tr a v e l b e tw e e n in su la r possessions of th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d fo re ig n c o u n trie s a re in c lu d e d . T o ta ls sh o w n fo r a lie n re sid e n ts of th e U n ite d S ta te s w ill d iffe r fro m th e to ta ls in ta b le V I o w in g to c e rt a in a d ju s tm e n ts i n to ta l a lie n figu re s to e xc lud e a g ric u ltu ra l w ork e rs from th e C a r ib b e a n . 2 In c lu d e s C olo m b ia ; V en ez u e la, a n d th e G u ia n a s. 3 E x c lu d e s C olo m b ia , V en ez u e la, a n d t h e G u ia n a s. * I n c lu d e s tw o p a ssen g e rs o n w o rld cruise s. Source: B a se d u p o n re c o rd s of Im m ig r a ti o n a n d N a tu r a liz a tio n S ervice, U . S. D e p a r tm e n t of Ju stic e . Ta bl e V I .-— T o t a l p a s s e n g e r tr a ffic ( e x c lu d in g c r u is e s ) b e tw e e n th e U n ite d S t a te s a n d o v e r s e a c o u n tr ie s , b y c la s s o f tr a v e le r , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 1 C la ss of tr a v e le r 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 O u tb o u n d r U n ite d S ta te s c itiz e n s ............. ................... A lie n re sid e n ts o f t h e U n ite d S ta te s: T e m p o r a r y v isito rs a b r o a d .............. E m ig r a n ts ----------------- ----------A lie n v isito rs to t h e U n ite d S ta te s --------- 143,712 161, 220 68,061 54,734 71,472 111,149 12,537 8,358 48, 526 8,945 8, 528 37,953 2,841 22,391 2.529 740 36,060 3,392 1,883 57,186 5,797 8,395 98,800 T o t a l............ .............. ....................... 213,133 216,646 93,293 94,063 133,933 224,141 In b o u n d U n ite d S ta te s c itiz e n s ......... .................... . A lie n re sid e n ts of th e U n ite d S ta te s: T e m p o r a ry v isito rs a b r o a d ............. . I m m ig r a n ts -------------------------------A lie n v isito rs to th e U n ite d S ta te s --------T o t a l ----- ------------ ------------------- 165,425 159,732 85,792 92,121 129,839 158,311 12,537 42,068 54,543 8,945 24,436 45,523 2,841 6, 585 48,542 2,529 6,065 65,503 3,392 8,954 94,001 5, 797 15,631 119,626 274,573 238,636 143,760 166, 218 236,186 299,365 * T ra v e l b e tw e e n th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d C a n a d a a n d M e xico is e x c lu d e d ; tr a v e l v ia C a n a d ia n se a p o rts, tr a v e l v ia a ir c ra f t, tr a v e l b e tw e e n in su la r p osse ssio ns of th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d fo re ig n c o u n trie s, a n d tr a v e l b y a g ric u ltu ra l w o rk e rs fro m J a m a ic a , B a rb a d o s, a n d t h e B a h a m a s a re in c lu d e d . S ou rc e: B a se d u p o n re c o rd s of Im m ig r a ti o n a n d N a tu r a li z a tio n S ervic e, U . S . D e p a r tm e n t o f Ju stic e . 203 204 Tabl e V I I .— A r r iv a ls a n d d e p a rtu re s o f re sid e n ts o f o versea co u n trie s a d m itte d to th e U n ite d S ta te s as te m p o ra ry v is ito r s , 19JfO-Jf5 1940 C o u n tr y A rriv a ls E u r o p e a n d M e d ite r ra n e a n : U . S . S. R _______ _______ - ____ __________ O th e r E u r o p e ----- ------ ------- ------------------- O ce ania, n o n -M e d ite rr a n e a n A sia a n d A frica: \ * -- 1942 1941 D e p a r tu r e s A rriv a ls 846 26 56 274 55 88 13 117 3,603 245 399 185 68 1,096 43 89 35 70 699 698 141 181 408 88 310 1,459 975 540 115 62 666 9 11 9 5 506 633 131 35 296 51 350 15 15 71 43 129 7 71 1,939 151 91 86 112 190 26 150 10 95 208 425 72 206 532 78 936 387 895 14 121 288 11,085 93 20 457 395 281 9 32 234 3,503 84 17 466 227 516 6 95 281 7, 729 71 8 23,362 11, 598 14,471 707 2, 613 1,264 1, 633 413 331 131 9 6 401 59 106 D e p a r tu r e s 38 9 3 41 7 25 1 19 287 116 10 39 34 78 50 3 1 10 63 116 21 7 221 56 2 298 103 170 1 4 242 2,631 6 A rriv a ls 116 D e p a r tu re s 10 A rriv a ls 56 1 27 25 1 6 48 27 52 61 165 23 13 275 12 44 1 139 24 9 3 5 66 205 508 17 1,503 155 108 168 95 9 72 540 21, 346 140 13 21 15 32 1 2 56 2,776 1 1 136 129 40 5 44 1,999 17,293 19 10 4, 712 25,945 3,187 2,045 2, 925 861 1, 045 2,067 723 175 56 338 344 479 20 10 288 82 135 33 16 588 149 181 3 129 250 24 1 2 27 349 907 9 49 102 4 1944 1943 5 19 29 40 1 25 44 1 D e p a r tu r e s A rriv a ls 6 1 114 36 1 27 2 30 7 52 2 26 137 136 164 14 22 1,045 147 59 18 271 55 13 2 1945 D e p a r tu r e s 11 3 1 21 28 4 72 1 44 7 A rriv a ls 559 5 56 384 233 124 9 56 4,703 101 620 9 289 249 4 2 7 244 1,053 2,246 136 268 262 8 D e p a r tu re s 233 27 284 42 72 14 1,101 6 38 30 64 2 17 230 1, 510 65 21 172 5 2 69 24 1 5 82 462 170 375 31 215 473 24 2 33 18 10 16 55 28 37 6 1 158 3,888 3 2 464 275 98 17 280 2, 719 17,945 54 5 77 65 9 1 18 326 10,107 3 8 428 916 325 89 306 1, 714 11,047 68 18 1,073 258 229 6 72 753 7,143 24 5 23,038 4, 530 25, 770 10, 940 26, 538 13,496 1, 923 742 5 353 257 100 1 42 1,574 1,307 1 2,140 725 82 6 165 1,673 4, 209 8 2,918 1, 527 858 7 770 I r a n _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - - - - - ____ I r a q _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ___________ ___________ L ib e r ia ________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ N e w Z e a la n d _____ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ U n io n of S o u th A fric a ___ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ O th e r n o n - M e d ite r r a n e a n A fr ic a . .............. ...... O th e r n o n - M e d ite r r a n e a n A s ia . — ................. O th e r O c e a n ia _____ ____ ____________ _____ T o t a l _ __ _ _ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ __ _ _________ C a r ib b e a n : B r itis h G u i a n a . ............................ ........................ B r itis h H o n d u r a s _ __ __ __ __ __ _ ______ ______ B r itis h W e st I n d ie s 1.......... ...... ................ C a n a l Z on e a n d P a n a m a ......... ............ ................ C o l o m b ia ............ ....................................... ........... C o s ta R ic a .. ........................... - ...... ........... . C u b a _______ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ _________ D o m in ic a n R e p u b lic ______________ ______ F r e n c h W e s t I n d ie s ______________ ________ G u a te m a la _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ H o n d u r a s ________ ______ ___ ________ N e th e r la n d s G u ia n a ...... ........... ......... .................. N e th e r la n d s W e s t I n d ie s ------ -------------- ------N ic a r a g u a --------- ------- ---------------- -------E l S a lv a d o r .. _____________ . ------------- T o t a l . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ______ _________ _ __ _ S o u th e r n S o u th A m e ric a (n o n - C a rib b e a n ) : A rg e n ti n a ___ ________________ ____ C h ile ____ ____ _____ ______________ ______ E c u a d o r _____ _____ ____________ ___ ___ U r u g u a y .............. ................................................... 5 2 75 43 13 1 10 41 1 127 242 8 41 39 1,364 42 168 4 628 196 139 4,748 753 69 5 2,162 76 188 19 2, 524 256 3 5 14 15 36 30 100 7 4 198 12,076 131 93 22,298 664 1,109 439 4,959 649 1 277 360 192 246 149 551 229 350 1,032 13 10 9,467 67 24 38 52 170 14,357 17,787 33, 729 610 172 1,274 551 299 45 512 150 299 55 192 311 88 8 250 73 672 150 2,148 640 347 75 685 161 507 151 261 2 13 91 6 1,333 86 164 8 303 135 1,164 105 10 14 20 3 53 26 789 83 75 3 386 50 237 8, 985 4,639 6, 574 574 82 63 3,407 766 1,448 366 11,048 1,590 3 38 307 296 407 12 686 98 192 2,490 76 88 2, 957 721 1,550 404 10,185 1,048 158 418 4,384 455 848 279 5,018 378 29 466 286 420 24 567 143 272 2,322 102 55 2, 985 692 1,756 340 9, 768 1,380 1 72 304 264 407 35 723 112 171 2,442 22,448 23,299 21, 558 21,609 1,136 115 1,282 775 273 16 652 94 1,048 182 1,052 820 376 17 681 118 1,255 128 1,686 1,204 397 29 724 185 1,104 134 1,170 1,031 485 21 815 104 22 36 1,388 5 220 485 176 53 291 156 358 11 25 1, 207 5 427 391 117 70 301 116 337 n . s. s. n . s. s. 931 n . s. s. 1,143 517 n . s. s. n . s. s. n . s. s. 941 n . s. s. 221 308 n . s. s. 387 220 479 6,923 6, 235 75 82 2,882 868 1,474 416 10,761 1,326 1 28 440 276 379 25 669 94 218 2,434 46 262 201 227 56 283 177 238 929 2 3 4 95 90 232 15 30 148 54 99 40 472 2,407 490 17 517 109 141 318 93 196 7,720 1,426 13,302 3,863 366 1,330 35, 623 992 1,862 611 7,134 1,114 6 463 669 323 325 361 1,442 377 560 2,039 18 7 11,825 54 26 84 186 276 142 569 80' 23 31 16 82 29 50 36 33, 456 314 193 46,134 1,213 3,028 904 12, 522 1,470 8 397 1,084 604 498 216 1,870 499 795 2,990 1,682 67 270 16, 742 255 201 39 329 454 1,255 16 26 79 60 253 22 63 429 66,838 30, 521 55,597 46,990 76,421 87,398 115 8 13 91 19 4 42 8 633 197 2,437 797 522 41 939 294 83 13 26 52 31 4 59 9 1,604 210 3,346 1,048 673 61 1,162 392 303 20 328 111 59 4 26 68 8 35 9 30 16 34 22 20,431 27 11 8 7 5 361 150 52 77 53 ____ _____ 4,343 4, 294 5,608 4,864 3, 613 1,276 4,878 300 5,860 277 8,496 951 G r a n d t o t a l __________ . . --------------------1 I n c lu d e s B e r m u d a . n . s. s. N o t s e p a r a te ly s h o w n . 57,076 45,426 50,622 35,824 50,489 22,824 66,393 36,104 94,947 59, 633 124,757 105, 708 T o t a l ____________________ 205 n . s. N o t spe cified . S o u rc e : I m m ig r a ti o n a n d N a t u r a li z a tio n S e rvic e, U . S. D e p a r tm e n t of J u s tic e . Tabl e VIII.— E s tim a te d rec eip ts fr o m C a n a d ia n tr a v e le rs to th e U n ited S ta te s, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 [I n m illio n s of U n ite d S ta te s dollars] M e a n s of tr a v e l 1941 1940 1942 1943 1944 1945 A u to m o b ile ._____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ ____ T r a i n _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ B o a t.......... ......................... .......... ... B u s i __________ ______ ____ ____ ___ A ir p la n e ___ _ __ __ __ __ . . . ___________ O t h e r 2.................................. ................... 9.5 18.3 1.1 2 .9 .5 4 .1 3.5 7 .6 .6 1.3 1.1 2 .3 2.4 12.1 .5 2.4 1.0 3 .4 1.7 20.3 .6 2 .9 1.1 4 .3 3.5 30.1 1.0 7.9 2 .2 7.2 7.3 38.7 1.7 14.3 3 .5 T o t a l ......... ......................................... 36.4 16.4 21.8 30.9 51.9 75.5 1 0.0 1 E x c lu siv e of loca l b u s . 2 I n c lu d e s p e d e s tr ia n , lo ca l b u s , e tc . S o u rc es: U . S. D e p a r tm e n t of C o m m e rc e , O ffice of B u s in e ss E c o n o m ic s, I n te r n a tio n a l E c o n o m ic s D iv i sio n ; C a n a d a 's D e p a r tm e n t o f T r a d e a n d C o m m e rc e , D o m in io n B u r e a u o f S ta tis tic s , I n te r n a tio n a l P a y m e n ts B r a n c h . Tabl e IX.— E s t i m a t e d p a y m e n t s fr y U n i t e d S t a t e s tr a v e le r s to C a n a d a , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 [I n m illio n s of U n ite d S ta te s dollars] 1940 M e a n s of tr a v e l R a i l...................................................... . 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 45.0 24.0 5.5 5 .2 1.2 8 .2 49.1 25.4 6.4 6 .4 2 .7 7.3 23.6 29.1 3 .6 5.5 2 .7 7.3 15.5 44.5 5.5 4 .5 2.7 6 .4 22.2 61.1 7.2 5.7 2.9 6.8 49.7 59.3 11.7 11.9 5.9 11.0 89.1 97.3 71.8 79.1 105.9 149.5 1 E x c lu siv e of loca l b u s . 2 I n c lu d e s p e d e s tr ia n , lo ca l b u s , e tc . S ou rc es: U . S . D e p a r tm e n t o f C o m m e rc e , O ffice of B u sin e ss E c o n o m ic s, I n te r n a tio n a l E c o n o m ic s D iv i sio n ; C a n a d a 's D e p a r tm e n t of T r a d e a n d C o m m e rc e , D o m in io n B u r e a u of S ta tis tic s , I n te r n a tio n a l P a y m e n ts B ra n c h . Ta bl e X .— D e p a r t u r e s f r o m M e x ic o o f f o r e ig n to u r is ts r e s id in g i n f o r e ig n c o u n tr ie s , b y m o n th , 1 9 4 0 - 4 5 [I n h u n d r e d s] M o n th 1940 J a n u a r y ........ ...... .............. ........ .................. F e b r u a r y ____ _____ _______ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ M a r c h ................. .................. .............. . ___ 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 117 150 154 98 126 127 78 66 66 43 54 71 85 97 104 74 84 91 F i r s t q u a r te r _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ ________ 421 351 210 168 286 249 A p r il___ ______ __________ _________ M a y ....... ........ ............. ............ ................ . J u n e ............... ............................. ................ 104 79 95 100 93 117 58 65 81 77 95 103 94 81 83 87 82 93 S e c on d q u a r te r ....................... . . . 278 310 204 275 258 262 J u l y ...................................................... ........ A u g u s t_ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _______ ____ S e p te m b e r.............. ................... .................. 93 133 81 218 266 151 86 105 88 103 164 123 105 134 98 119 164 154 T h i r d q u a r te r .................................... 307 635 279 390 337 437 O c to b e r.................................................. ...... N o v e m b e r ____________ ____ ________ D e c e m b e r_ _ _ _ _ ______ ________ ____ 56 53 74 95 85 72 54 57 42 91 77 78 79 62 64 116 138 154 F o u r t h q u a r te r _________________ A n n u a l t o t a l . . .............. ...... ........... 183 252 153 246 205 408 1,189 1,548 846 1,079 1,086 1,356 S o u rc e : R e v is ta d e E s ta d ís tic a , M a y 1944 a n d J a n u a r y 1947. 206 Ta bl e X I .— P e r s o n a l r e m itta n c e r e c e ip ts , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 [I n m illio n s of dollars] A m ount 1940. 1941. 1942 59.4 42.6 40.4 Ta bl e A m o u n t 1943. 1944. 1945. 45.3 44.9 46.6 X I I .— P e r s o n a l r e m i t t a n c e p a y m e n t s , b y c o u n t r y , 1 9 4 0 - 4 5 [ I n m illio n s of d o lla rs] A re a a n d c o u n tr y 1941 1940 1942 1943 1944 1945 T o ta l, a ll a r e a s ______ _______ ___ 188.1 139.6 98.6 179.7 221.3 286.3 W e s te r n H e m is p h e r e . ......................... ...... 25.2 32.1 40.0 85.5 140.0 93.5 B r itis h d e p e n d e n c ie s in th e C a r ib b e a n . C a n a d a .......................... ........ ........ ... M e x ic o __ ___ __________ ____ ____ O th e r W e ste rn H e m is p h e re ..... ......... . 2 .5 15.0 4 .5 3 .2 4.1 17.3 5 .5 5 .2 6.1 17.4 9 .7 6 .8 14.9 21.9 41.8 6 .9 21.6 18.6 92.1 7 .7 11.9 15.3 59.8 6 .5 60.3 31.6 36.8 42.7 155.1 E u ro p e _______________ _________ 90.9 C ze c h o slo v a k ia ................................. . E i r e . _______ _______ _______ _ .1 8 .7 2 .0 8 .4 34.5 1.1 .8 3 .9 1.8 14.4 15.2 G r e e c e ..____ ___________________ I t a l y . . _____ ___ _____ ___________ P o la n d _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ S p a in ....... ............. ........................ ........ S w e d e n __________ ____ _________ S w itz e r la n d _____________________ U n ite d K in g d o m . . . _ _________ O th e r E u r o p e ............... ........... ............. .9 7.5 10. 5 22.7 50.3 1.0 4 .4 4 .3 5 .2 28.2 20.1 ( !) 7.5 2. 2 4 .2 19.9 .1 .6 3 .5 3.9 12.6 5.8 7.4 1.0 8 .8 .5 2 .7 3.5 12.5 4 .0 .8 3 .4 4 .9 14.9 4 .0 1.6 2 .9 2.3 12.8 2 .9 7.8 w 12.4 A sia _ _ _ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ ________ _________ 71.5 46.5 25.7 56.3 37.1 33.7 C h in a ___________ ____ _________ 24.9 25.7 2 .6 18.3 lo .8 17.1 1.7 11.9 21.5 0) 2.0 2 .2 52.9 32.7 24.0 2 .6 .8 2 .6 1.8 3 .9 5 .7 P a le s tin e ......... ................... .................. O th e r A s ia _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _________ ( !) O th e r ....... ................... ......... . ........... .......... .5 .7 1.3 1.1 1.5 4 .0 A fr ic a . _____ ______ _____ _______ _ O c e a n ia ......................................... ........ .2 .3 .3 .4 .8 .5 .4 .7 .4 1.1 1.8 2 .2 i L e ss t h a n $50,000. Not e .—De t a i l w ill n o t n e c e s s a r ily add to to ta ls b eca u se o f r o u n d in g . 207 Ta bl e X I I I . — I n s t i t u t i o n a l c o n t r i b u t i o n s to f o r e i g n c o u n t r i e s , b y c l a s s o f i n s t i t u t i o n a n d b y g e o g r a p h ic a r e a , 1 9 4 0 - 4 5 [In m illio n s of d o llars] Y ea r E u ro p e T o ta l A sia A fric a L a tin A m e ric a O th e r are as P r o te s ta n t 1 9 4 0 ...______ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ 1941_______ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ __ __ __ 1 9 4 2 .................................. . 1943_____________________ 1944_____________________ 1 9 4 5 ..._ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1.4 3.0 3.1 3 .7 16.5 17.8 15.9 19.6 23.2 32.3 6 .1 9 .9 10.2 10.4 7.5 9 .2 9 .5 12.6 2.4 2 .6 3 .2 4.0 4.9 6 .2 2 .3 1.7 2.1 2 .6 2 .5 3 .0 0 .2 .1 0) .1 .2 .6 C a th o lic 1940........ .................................. 1 941........................... .............. 1 9 4 2 ............. .................. .......... 1943_ __ __ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ ______ 1944_____________________ 1945............................ .............. 1.0 1.4 .9 1.0 4.1 4 .3 3 .0 3 .3 2.3 3.5 7.1 7.9 1.6 1.4 .8 1.9 2.0 2.7 0 .3 .4 .5 .5 .7 .5 « (*) 0) (0 0 .1 .1 O 0 .2 .1 (0 (0 .3 J e w is h 1940___ ________ _________ 1 9 4 1 ............ ............ 1 9 4 2 ....______ _____ _______ 1 943..___ ________________ 1944___ _____ ____________ 1945.................. ........... ............. 10.1 12.1 11.6 14.7 27.2 37.2 3 .2 4 .3 4 .2 3.1 10.9 20.0 6.1 7.1 6.8 10.7 15.3 15.9 0) (>) w 0 .2 .4 .3 0.07 .6 .6 .6 .6 1.0 0.1 0 .2 .9 .8 4 .2 4 .6 1.0 0 .4 .5 .8 1.3 1.9 1.7 0 .4 .4 1.2 7 .3 9 .0 8 .7 2 .8 3 .0 3.4 7.5 8 .2 4 .8 3.5 3 .7 4 .6 6 .0 7 .6 9 .0 0 .8 .7 1 .3 7 .5 9 .3 9 .6 (0 to (0 0) (0 N o n s e c ta r ia n 1940........... ........ ................... 1941.................. ........................ -1942.................. ............ ........... 1943............... ........................... 1944_____________________ 1945_ __ __ _ __________ 19.2 49.4 35.0 76.8 123.5 156.4 16.3 44.1 24.9 51.0 89.8 118.8 1.9 3.5 7.3 13.0 18.2 26.2 T o ta l 1940............. ............ . 1941_____ _________ 1942.................. ................... 1943............ . ............. 1944.......................... ................ 1945________ _ __ __ __ __ __ __ 48.8 82.6 64.8 114.6 181.0 233.8 21.9 52.8 33.1 58.8 110.9 153.0 19.8 22.4 22.4 34.8 45.0 57.4 1 L ess t h a n $50,000. Not e—D e ta il w il l n o t n e c e ss a rily a d d 208 to to ta ls b e c a u se of ro u n d in g . Tabl e X IV .— I n c o m e on in v e s tm e n ts , b y a re a a n d ty p e , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 [ I n m il lio n s o f d o lla rs ] A re a a n d ty p e 1941 1940 1942 1944 1943 1945 R e c e ip ts T o t a l ------------------ ------ ------------ -------- 564.0 544.3 514.2 508.3 572.4 555.3 L o n g -te rm ---- -------- --------------------P o r tfo lio ....... .............. - .............. D ir e c t_________ _____ _______ S h o rt -te rm ____________ _____ ____ U . S. G o v e rn m e n t_ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ 554.9 142.4 412.5 6 .0 3.1 530.4 130.0 400.4 5.0 8 .9 491.9 133.6 358.3 4 .0 18.3 492.9 125.1 367.8 4.0 11.4 551.8 133.8 418.0 4 .0 16.6 534.5 142.4 392.1 5.0 15.8 S te rlin g a r e a ........................................ ........ 76.7 65.6 80.7 78.4 79.7 75.5 L o n g -te rm __________ ____ _______ P o r tfo lio _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _______ ____ D ir e c t_____________ ____ ____ S h o r t- te r m ----- ---------------------------U . S. G o v e rn m e n t------------------------ 75.7 14.6 61.1 1.0 61.9 14.6 47.3 1.0 2 .7 67.9 14.5 53.4 1.0 11.8 72.5 14.4 58.1 1.0 4.9 68.9 14.4 54.5 1.0 9 .8 66.5 14.4 52.1 1.0 8 .0 C a n a d a _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ ____ 231.5 215.5 215.8 204.6 205.5 205.3 L o n g -te rm ---- ----------------------------P o r tfo lio _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ D ir e c t--------- -------- ---------------S h o rt -te rm ------ ---------- _ _ _ ------U . S. G o v e rn m e n t______ _________ 230.5 102.9 127.6 1.0 213.4 92.8 120.6 1.0 1.1 214.7 100.7 114.0 1.0 .1 203.0 93.5 109.5 1.0 .6 204.0 103.0 101.0 1.0 .5 203.5 110.5 93.0 1.0 .8 A m e ric a n R e p u b li c s ............ .............. ........ 170.7 198.1 195.6 200.3 259.9 238.4 167.7 14.7 152.9 2.0 1.0 194.8 15.5 179.2 2.0 1.3 191.4 14.8 176. 6 2 .0 2 .2 194.6 13.7 180.9 2.0 3.7 255.3 13.6 241.7 2.0 2.6 233.6 13.5 220.1 2.0 2 .8 85.1 65.1 22.1 25.0 27.3 36.0 17.9 3 .6 14.3 22.8 3 .5 19.3 23.6 2 .8 20.8 4 .2 2 .2 3 .7 30.8 4.0 26.8 1.0 4.2 L o n g -te rm _________ ______ ______ P o r tfo lio ____________ __ _ _ _ _ D ir e c t ---------- -----------------S h o rt -te rm __ _______________ . U . S. G o v e rn m e n t____ ___________ O th e r _________________________ —— L o n g -te rm _____ ____ _ __ __ __ __ — P o rtf o lio ____________ ____ _ __ _ D ir e c t______________________ 81.0 10.2 70.8 2. 0 2.1 U . S. G o v e rn m e n t.................... ........... 60.3 7.1 53.3 1.0 3 .8 P a y m e n ts 210.1 186.9 158.7 155.2 161.5 167.6 204.1 180.6 151.2 146.0 149.3 153.4 6.0 6 .3 7 .5 9 .2 12.2 14.2 S te rlin g a r e a ----------- --------- -------------- 73.8 59.6 49.0 43.4 46.3 47.1 L o n g -te rm -------------- ----------- -------- 73.3 59.1 48.5 42.9 45.8 46.6 U . S. G o v e rn m e n t.......... .................... 0 .5 .5 .5 .5 .5 .5 36.2 33.7 36.8 33.5 32.3 34.9 T o t a l ................... — ____ _____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ L o n g -te rm ___ . ................- U . S. G o v e r n m e n t_____________ . C a n a d a -------- ------------- ------ ------------ 35.7 33.2 35.5 31.4 28.2 30.7 U . S. G o v e rn m e n t_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ .5 .5 1.3 2.1 4.1 4 .2 A m e ric a n R e p u b li c s .............. . ......... - ........ 10.4 9.1 8.0 8 .4 8.1 8 .3 L o n g -te rm -------- -------- ----------- ------ 10.4 9.1 8.0 8 .4 8.1 8 .3 O th e r ________________ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 89.7 84.5 64.9 69.9 74.8 77.3 L o n g -te rm ................. ......................... . 84.7 79.2 59.2 63.3 67.2 67.8 5.0 5.3 5.7 6 .6 7.6 9.5 L o n g -te rm _ _ _ ________________ _ _ U . S . G o v e rn m e n t........................... Not e.—De ta il w ill n o t n e c e s s a ri ly a d d to to ta ls , b e c a u s e o f ro u n d in g . 209 Tabl e X V .— I n c o m e r e c e iv e d f r o m A m e r ic a n d ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts i n s e le c te d c o u n trie s, 1 9 4 0 - 4 4 [I n m illio n s of dollars] C o u n tr y 1940 1941 1942 1944 1943 S te rlin g a rea : C a n a d a __ _______ ________ ________ ________ A m e ric a n R e p u b lic s: U r u g u a y ..................... ............................................ 4 .8 1 .2 .8 3 .6 9 .0 35.8 4 .5 .7 1 .4 2 .3 8 .2 26.2 7.0 .8 2 .2 5 .3 5.4 28.1 7 .8 .7 1.9 6.5 5 .5 32.1 9.5 .6 2.1 5.1 7 .0 26.8 127.6 120.6 114.0 109.5 101.0 18.2 11.0 39.0 16.1 1 .9 2 .6 2 .4 12.0 3 .0 13.8 1.8 33.1 20.0 13.9 41.7 27.0 1.3 2. 2 2 .2 12.2 4 .0 9 .7 .9 43.2 20.6 15.4 35.6 26.4 4 .7 3 .6 1.6 14.6 3 .7 10.3 .9 32.2 15.8 23.5 34.6 19.9 5 .7 4 .4 1.8 16.9 6 .0 8 .0 .6 38.1 19.7 18. 7 31.1 27.5 6 .7 3 .7 3 .6 15.9 4.1 8.1 1.2 81.4 1.0 1.0 .9 .3 .3 2.0 1.0 .2 1.3 .7 1 .0 1.3 .2 1.1 3 .3 .9 1 .2 O th e r: 5.1 .3 .3 1 .2 2 .0 (0 1 .2 1.0 * L ess t h a n $50,000. Ta bl e X V I . — I n c o m e r e c e iv e d f r o m A m e r ic a n d ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts : V a lu e m e n ts a n d y i e l d , i n 1 9 4 3 , b y a r e a s a n d se le c te d c o u n tr ie s o f in v e s t [In m illio n s o f dollars] A re a a n d c o u n try C h ile .................................. ................ ........................ ..................... H o n d u r a s _____ _ __ _ ______ _____ ___ ____ ________ ______ In c o m e V a lu e i P ercent 58.1 862.8 7 .8 .7 1.9 6.5 5.5 32.1 3 .6 114.5 33.0 16.7 41.0 53.4 526.3 77.9 109.5 2,289.5 18 180.9 2,728.3 6 .6 15.8 23. 5 34.6 19.9 5.7 4.4 1.8 393.3 232.0 336.2 527.8 70. 5 86.9 37.0 4.0 10.1 10.3 3 .8 8.1 5.1 4 .9 S ee fo o tn o te a t e n d of ta b le . i 210 Y ie ld 6.7 6.8 2.1 11.4 15.9 10.3 6.1 4 .6 Tabl e X V I . — In c o m e rece ive d fro m A m er ic a n d ir ec t in v e s tm e n ts : V a lu e o f in v e s t m e n ts a n d yield , in 1948, l)y a rea s a n d sele cted co u n trie s — C o n t i n u e d A re a a n d c o u n try A m e r ic a n R e p u b lic s— C o n tin u e d P ercent 5 .9 5 .3 11.3 JO. 9 10.3 2 .8 16.9 6 .0 8.0 .6 38.1 5.6 286.2 112.9 70.8 5.5 370.5 198.7 19.3 1,884.9 1.0 .2 1.3 40.0 14.1 123.5 32.8 43.6 1,630.9 .5 9 .2 .6 3 .0 3 .0 .9 .7 S w itz e r la n d _______ ____ ___ ______ ________ . ----------------- Y ie ld V a lu e 1 In c o m e 1.0 1.3 14.8 i V a lu e figure s a r e a s of M a y 31,1943, a n d in c lu d e c a p ita l of U n ite d S ta te s c itiz e n s re sid in g a b ro a d , a m o u n t in g to ro u g h ly $50 m illio n , for w h ic h a g eo g ra p h ic d is t r ib u tio n is n o t a v a ila b le . In c o m e o n th is in v e s tm e n t is n o t in c lu d e d in th is ta b le . F ig u r e s also e x c lu d e in v e s tm e n ts in in su r a n c e co m p an ie s. Ta bl e X Y I I . — A v e r a g e y i e l d 1 o n A m e r ic a n d ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts a b r o a d , b y in d u s tr y an d area, 1948 [V a lu e o f in v e s tm e n t a n d in c o m e in m illio n s of d olla rs; y ie ld in p e rc e n t] I te m M anu fa c tu rin g D is tr i b u tio n A g ric u l tu r e M in in g and sm e ltin g P e tr o le u m P u b li c u tilitie s 2 ,2 9 5 104.1 4 .5 648 2 9 .8 4 .6 427 1 8 .5 4 .3 899 7 8 .4 8 .7 1 ,39 3 7 7 .7 5 .6 1 ,4 15 4 3 .5 3 .1 688 1 5 .8 2 .3 7 ,7 6 5 3 6 7 .8 4 .7 382 2 4 .3 6 .4 126 1 2 .0 9 .5 19 0 .2 1 .0 58 1 .8 3 .1 204 1 5.1 7 .4 0.1 3 5 (? ) 79 4 .6 5 .8 863 5 8 .1 6 .7 <957 < 51 .7 < 5 .4 128 3 .8 3 .0 34 0 .1 0 .3 435 2 8 .1 6 .5 161 6 .2 3 .8 381 1 8 .2 4 .8 194 1 .4 0 .7 2 ,2 9 0 1 0 9.5 4 .8 333 2 2 .1 6 .6 139 1 1 .7 8 .4 373 1 8 .2 4 .9 407 4 8 .5 1 1 .9 569 5 1.1 9 .0 872 2 4 .8 2 .8 35 4 .5 1 2 .9 2 ,7 2 8 1 8 0.9 6 .6 623 6 .0 255 2 .3 0 .9 458 5 .3 1 .2 167 0 .4 0 .2 381 5 .3 1 .4 1 ,8 85 1 9 .3 M isc e l la n e o u s T o ta l ALL AREAS V a lu e of in v e s tm e n t_ _ _ _ _ _ _ I n c o m e . .___ _____ ______ Y ie ld ...................................... STERLING AREA V a lu e of in v e s tm e n t_ _ _ _ _ _ _ In c o m e ............ . ............ Y ie ld ..___ _____ ____ ____ C A N A D A V a lu e of in v e s tm e n t_ _ _ _ _ _ _ In c o m e _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __________ Y ie ld ...................................... AMERICAN REPUBLICS V a lu e of in v e s tm e n t.............. In c o m e ............ ...... ................ Y i e l d . ................. . ................ OTHER V a lu e of in v e s tm e n t_ __ __ __ In c o m e .......... ................ ........ Y ie ld ................. ..................... 1.0 (*) m « « M 0) 1.0 1 Y ie ld is th e ra tio of in co m e re c e iv e d in th e U n ite d S ta te s in 1943 to v a lu e of in v e s tm e n t in M a y 1943 a n d d oe s n o t in c lu d e in v e s tm e n t in in su ra n c e c o m p a n ie s. 2 L ia b ilitie s exceed a sse ts. 8 Y ie ld n o t c o m p u te d . 4 I n c lu d e s p a p e r a n d p u lp . 8 I n c lu d e d in m isce lla ne o us. N .—F ot e o r p u rp o se s of th is ta b le u n d is tr ib u ta b le in c o m e re c e ip ts fro m e a c h a re a , sh o w n in ta b le 16, h a v e b e e n a r b itr a r ily d is tr ib u te d a m o n g th e in d u s tr ie s sh o w n a b o v e . D e ta il w il l n o t n e c e ss a rily a d d to to ta ls b e c a u se of r o u n d in g . 211 Tabl e X V I I I .— I n c o m e r e c e iv e d f r o m in d u s tr y , a n d A m e r ic a n d ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts , by a rea , ty p e o f in c o m e , 1 9 4 4 [I n m illio n s of dollars] In c o m e fro m su b sid ia rie s A re a a n d in d u s tr y 34.5 6.1 181.6 222.2 195.7 418.0 3 .5 .3 2 .3 2 .6 .8 .4 24.2 .4 1.9 .1 .2 1 .2 .8 .2 1.3 .3 69.4 16.3 7 .5 1. 5 30.6 32.5 13.1 10.8 74.8 16.6 10.0 5 .3 32.2 33.1 38.6 11.5 10.7 14.4 18.4 85.4 31.0 28.4 32.6 106.8 3 .9 9 .0 64.8 140.0 42.5 20.6 M a n u f a c tu r in g ........ ................. ........... D is tr i b u ti o n _____________ ______ _ A g r ic u l tu r e . - .................... ...... ........... . P a p e r a n d p u l p ....... ............................. M in in g a n d s m e lt in g _ __ _ _________ P e tr o le u m _______________ P u b li c u tilitie s _____ _ __ __ __ __ ____ M is c e lla n e o u s ......... ...... ................... . K . . . ...................... T o ta l in co m e P re fe rre d d iv i dends A ll a r e a s, t o t a l 1..... ............................. S te rlin g a re a B ra n c h inc om e I n te r e s t C om m on d iv i d en ds T o ta l ........... ...... .5 .2 40.8 41.5 13.0 54.5 M a n u f a c tu r in g ____ ________ ____ D is tr ib u tio n ______________ ____ M in in g a n d s m e lt in g _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ P e tr o le u m ....... ........ ...... ......... M isc e lla n e o u s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ .1 .2 17.7 10.1 1 .2 9. 6 2 .3 18.0 10 1 1. 2 9. 9 2 .4 3 .3 1.3 21.3 .8 3 .2 4 .7 80.2 97.7 3 .3 101.0 1 .7 35.5 2.4 1.5 23. 7 4. 6 6. 2 6. 2 38.9 2 .6 5. 3 24.6 2 .2 1.1 41.1 3 .8 (2) 7 .9 .2 1. 2 .8 .1 .6 .2 A m e ric a n R e p u b li c s ............... ............ ...... 21.3 1 .2 54.0 76.4 165.2 241.7 M a n u f a c tu r in g _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ D is tr ib u tio n _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ A g r ic u ltu r e _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1.7 .1 2 .3 .7 .1 16.3 .1 15.5 3 .5 7.5 5. 7 16.5 4 .3 1.1 17.2 3 .6 10.0 6 4 16.7 21.3 1.3 4.6 11.3 18.4 21.7 14.9 28.4 90.4 3.9 4.1 107.2 25.1 5 .4 p> 6 .6 6 .6 14.2 20.8 p) .7 .3 1.8 2 6 1.2 .7 .3 1 8 .6 1.3 1 i 8.8 1.2 4.1 « .3 .1 C a n a d a 12.__________________ ____ M a n u f a c tu r in g . _____ __________ D is t r i b u t i o n ._____ ________ _____ 1.7 .2 2 .6 .1 M in in g a n d s m e l t i n g .......................... P e tr o le u m .................... .............. ......... P u b lic u ti litie s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ M is c e lla n e o u s ______ ______ ______ O th e r ........................ ............. ....... ...... M a n u fa c tu ri n g _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ M isc e lla n e o u s ________ __________ « 12.8 (? ) « « p) p) p) .2 .1 .7 .1 24. 7 14 7 6.6 6 .6 5.3 1 I n d u s tr y to ta ls in c lu d e o n ly th e in co m e s h o w n b y in d u s tr ie s in e a ch a rea . I n d u s tr ie s n o t s h o w n s e p a r a te ly in e a c h a r e a a r e in c lu d e d in M isc e lla n eo u s for t h a t a r e a a n d in th e to ta l of a ll a re a s, i. e., A g ric u ltu r e in c o m e from “ O th e r ” is in c lu d e d in M isc e lla n e o u s fo r t h a t a re a a n d in to ta l M isce llan eo u s. 2 L ess t h a n $50,000. ot e D e ta il w ill n o t n e c e ssa rily a d d to to ta ls b ec a u se of ro u n d in g . N — * 212 Tabl e XIX.—I n c o m e 1 'p a id on fo r e ig n in v e s tm e n ts in th e S ta te s , U n ite d by c o u n tr ie s , 1 9 4 2 -1 + 5 . [I n m illio n s of d ollars] A re a a n d c o u n try 1942 1943 1944 1945 A ll a re a s, t o t a l _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ _______ ________________ 158.6 155.2 161.6 167.6 S te rlin g a r e a -------- ------------ --------- ------------- ------------------ 49.0 43.4 46.3 47.1 A u s t r a l i a _________ _______ . ____ ____ . ______ ____ B r itis h d e p e n d e n c ie s in A m e r ic a ------- ------------- ------ .2 .7 .6 2 .9 43.2 1.3 .2 .6 .8 .3 39.8 1.6 .2 .6 .6 1.7 42.1 1.0 .2 .6 .6 1.6 42.5 1.5 36.8 33.5 32.3 34.9 8.1 8 .3 U n io n of S o u th A fric a ............ .......................... ....................... O th e r ste rlin g a r e a __________ _____ _________ ______ 8 .0 A r g e n tin a ----------- ------- ------------- ------------- ------- C h i l e _______ _____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _____ __________ M e x ic o -.. _____________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _____ _______ P a n a m a , R e p u b li c o f------ ----------- ------ ----------------------V e n e z u e la _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __________ __________ O th e r A m e ric a n R e p u b l i c s - . _ _ _ _______ __________ B e lg iu m - ----------- -----------------------------------------------C h i n a ----------- ------------ -------------------- ------- ------ -----F r a n c e . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ -- N e t h e r l a n d s --------- - ------------ ------------------ ------- ------N e th e r la n d s d e p e n d e n c ie s in A m e r ic a -------------- ------ -----P h ilip p in e s . -------- --------- -----------------------------------S w e d e n ______ ____ ___________ . . . -----------------------S w itz e r la n d _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ _ __ _ ___________ A ll o t h e r ----------------------- ------- ------------- ------- - -------U n k n o w n 2.......... ........................ ........................ ........ ......... 2 .0 .3 .4 .9 .7 1.8 .6 1.3 2.2 .4 .4 .9 .8 1.9 .6 1.3 1.8 .4 .4 .9 .8 2 .2 .2 1.4 1.9 .4 .4 .9 .8 2 .2 .2 1.6 64.8 69.9 74.9 77.3 1.0 1.8 4 .3 20.1 6 .2 1.8 2 .4 16.9 6 .6 3.8 1.2 2.5 5 .0 19.9 7.9 1.9 1.7 17.9 7 .6 4 .2 .7 2 .8 5 .9 19.1 9 .5 1.9 1.4 19.3 7 .0 7.1 .7 5. 6 5 .9 19.2 9.4 1.7 1. 5 19.4 6 .2 7 .8 \ N e t in c o m e a f te r p a y m e n t of w ith h o ld in g ta x e s a n d c o r p o ra te in c o m e ta x e s o n b ra n c h e a rn in g s . 2 P a y m e n ts e n te re d u n d e r “ U n k n o w n ” a n d in c lu d e d in th e to ta l for “ O th e r ” c a n n o t b e id e n ti fie d a n d m a y in c lu d e p a y m e n ts to c o u n trie s in e a c h of th e o th e r a re a s. Not e—De ta il w ill n o t n e c e s s a r ily a d d to t o ta ls b e c a u s e o f r o u n d i n g . ► 213 Tabl e X X .— U n ited S ta te s p u rcha ses o f fo reig n ca p ita l issu es o ffered in th e U n ited S ta te s in 19^0-Ji5 [V a lu es in th o u s a n d s of d ollars] P u r p o se * Y ear Issu e a n d c lass of se c u rity N ew c a p ita l 1940 1941 R a te T erm P ercent Y ears R efu n d in g P u b li c ly offered: G o v e rn m e n t: P a n a m a : R e p u b lic of, S ec u re d R e f u n d in g 4,000 3 y* 26 C o r p o ra te : P a n a m a : P a n a m a C oc a-C ola B o ttlin g C o., 422 1942 Offerin g p ric e 3 103.00 12 50 P u b li c ly o ffered: C o r p o ra te : C a n a d a : C a m illa C a n a d ia n M in in g C o rp ., 125 P r iv a te ly o ffered: G o v e rn m e n t: C an ad a: 5,800 ¡P 3 n . a. n . a. 4,500 2 > A -3 1-5 n . a. 5 10 15 100 00 3 6H 15 100.00 5 10 5 10 5 n . a. 15,000 H y d ro -E le c tric P o w e r C o m m issio n of 1943 P u b li c ly o ffered: G o v e rn m e n t: C an ad a: 27,600 29.000 29.000 D o ..................... . ............................. D o - _ ___ _____ _____ ____ _ _ _ _ _ C o rp o ra te : C a n a d a : S te e p R o c k Ir o n M in e s , L im it e d , 2, 250 P r iv a te ly offered: G o v e rn m e n t: C an ad a: I ly d r o - E le c tr ic P o w e r. C o m m issio n of D o _______ _ __ __ __ __ _________ D o _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ D o _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ C o rp o ra te : C a n a d a : C a n a d ia n P a c ific R a ilw a y C o., 1944 P u b li c ly offered: G o v e rn m e n t: C an ad a: P ro v in c e of N e w B ru n s w ic k , D e b e n P r iv a te l y offered: G o v e rn m e n t: C an ad a: P ro v in c e of B r itis h C o lu m b ia , D e b e n H y d ro -E le c tric P o w e r C o m m issio n of D o ............................... . .................. . D o ________ ______ __________ _ C o rp o ra te : C an ad a: C a n a d ia n P a c ific R a ilw a y C o., E q u ip - A lu m in u m C o m p a n y of C a n a d a , F ir s t M o rtg a g e S in k in g F u n d B o n d s, F r a s e r C o m p a n ie s, L td ., F ir s t M o rtU n ite d F u e l In v e s tm e n ts L td ., Series C a n a d ia n P a c ific R a ilw a y C o ., C o l la te ra l B o n d s --------------- ------ ------S e e fo o tn o t e s a t e n d o f ta b le . 214 2,000 5.000 4,500 3.000 1,185 18,000 21/2 3 2Vt 3 2H 2% 2% 3 98.50 ¿$-10 4 99.38 98. 71 3Vt 2% 3 6-9 4 100. 00 100 00 4.000 8.000 2 i lA 1M-3 1,000 2,000 2,000 m m iH 26, 000 2% 26, 250 3H 30 7,000 3M 20 5, 500 9,150 2% 3 -3 % 3.000 6,453 3,334 2M n . a. 2 % - lQ 1,200 3% 7-12 7,125 3 'A 5-30 101.87 n. a Tabl e X X .— U n ite d S ta te s p u r c h a s e s o f fo r e ig n U n ite d S ta te s in 1 9 4 0 -4 5 c a p ita l is s u e s o ffe re d in th e — C o n tin u e d [V a lu es in th o u s a n d s o f dollars] P u r p o se 1 Is su e a n d c lass of s e c u ri ty Y ear 1945 N ew c a p ita l R a te T erm R efu n d in g P u b li c ly offe re d; G o v e rn m e n t: C an ad a: Offerin g p ric e 3 P ercent Y ears 15.000 26,093 2 2 ^ -3 K 5 6-15 100.00 98. 59 4,500 15.000 2M iM 1-3 99. 75 100.00 P ro v in c e of N e w B ru n s w ic k , D e b e n C o rp o r a te : M e xico : L a C o n s o lid a d a , S. A ., 6 -p e rc e n t I n d u s tr i a E lé c tr ic a d e M e x ic o , S . A ., C u b a : E x p re so A ereo I n te r- A m e ric a n o , S. 2,700 16.00 4,500 23.00 800 2.50 P r iv a te l y o ffered: G o v e rn m e n t: C an ad a: 2,386 2,039 50,000 C o rp o r a te : C an ad a: S h a w in ig a n W a te r a n d P o w e r C o., F i r s t M o rtg a g e a n d C o lla te r a l T r u s t 1 B o n d s sh o w n a t p a r v a lu e s, s h a r e s a t offe re d v a lu e s . 300 20.000 3,700 2 4 99. 525 25 101.00 1-10 20 100.00 101.50 25.000 C a n a d ia n P a c ific R a ilw a y C o ., E q u ip C u b a : C u b a n T e le p h o n e C o ., D e b e n tu re s A 4 3-5 16 2 2 ^ -3 K 4 B efore u n d e r w r ite r 's c o m m issio n s. 2 B o n d s in p e rc e n t of p a r v a lu e , sh a re s a t p ric e p e r sh a re . 3 A b o n u s of c o m m o n sto c k of u n k n o w n a m o u n t w a s t ie d in w ith th e sa le of d e b e n tu re s. 4 D ir e c t in v e s tm e n t, n . a . N o t a v a ila b le . N .— ot e O n ly p u b li c ly a n n o u n c e d p r iv a te p la c e m e n ts a r e in c lu d e d . c o m p a n ie s t a k e n b y t h e p a r e n t c o m p a n y a r e n o t in c lu d e d . Ta bl e X X I .— M a r k e t v a l u e S e c u r itie s of d ire c t-in v e st m e n t o f A m e r ic a n in v e s tm e n ts i n 1 9 4 0 - 1 9 4 5 , a n d p a r v a lu e , 1 9 4 5 fo r e ig n d o lla r bo n d s, [Y e ar-en d d a ta ; in m illio n s of dollars] M a r k e t v a lu e A re a a n d c o u n try 1940 T o t a l . ....... ........... .......................... ........ 1,445.0 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 P ar v a lu e , 1945 1,561.9 1,591.1 1,650.6 2,019. 6 1,220.4 1,238.0 1,446.2 1, 510.0 C a n a d a .............. ........ .................. .................... 1,161.2 1,173.6 1,262.8 1,250.0 1,165.6 151.4 158.7 200.0 227.9 221.0 236.1 469.7 17.4 13.7 2.1 1.6 9.2 .6 .5 .7 6 .6 .8 124.8 46.0 1.6 35.7 18.8 13.5 .03 3.0 6 .2 19.9 16.2 2.3 1.4 11.6 .3 .5 .7 8 .0 2.1 127.2 46.8 2.5 34.8 16.2 15.6 .02 3 .0 8 .3 20.9 16.6 2.6 1.7 14.8 .5 .9 .8 8 .8 3 .8 164.3 48.9 4 .4 46.9 28.6 20.8 .03 4.9 9 .8 21.0 15.9 3.1 2.0 18.6 .6 2.0 .8 9.1 6.1 188.3 49.7 5.1 64.1 28.8 22.7 .03 7.6 10.3 17.4 11.9 3.1 2 .4 18.5 .9 1.5 .1 9 .5 6.5 185.1 49.2 4.0 61.4 24.6 27.8 .1 7 .4 10.6 15.2 9 .7 3 .3 2.2 20.9 1.0 2.1 .4 9.7 7.7 200.0 50.3 5.7 65.1 24.8 31.1 .1 10.9 12.0 15.9 10.4 3 .2 2.3 50.1 2.9 4 .6 .8 9.7 32.1 403.7 51.4 38.4 111.6 86.2 63.1 .9 38.4 13.7 A m e ric a n R e p u b li c s . ......... ............... - .......... W e st I n d ie s .......... ...................................... C u b a ................. ........ .............. ........ D o m in ic a n R e p u b li c ........ ................. H a i t i _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ C e n tr a l A m e ric a a n d M e x ic o _ __ __ __ __ _ C o s ta R ic a ._ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _____ E l S a lv a d o r........................... .............. G u a te m a la ____________ ____ ____ P a n a m a ----------- ----------- ------------M e x ic o .......................... ........... ........... S o u th A m e ric a .................. ........... ........ . A rg e n ti n a ....... ................. ............. ...... B o liv ia ............. - .................. ......... ...... B ra z il_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _______ ___ C h ile _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ C o lo m b ia ....... ................ ........ ........... E c u a d o r ................... - ........................ P e r u ------ ----------------- ---------------U r u g u a y . . - ---------- --------------------S e e fo o tn o t e s a t e n d o f ta b le . 215 Ta bl e X X I .'— M a r k e t v a l u e o f A m e r i c a n i n v e s t m e n t s i n f o r e i g n 1940-1945, a n d p a r v a l u e , 1 9 4 5 — C o ntinued d o lla r M a r k e t v a lu e A re a a n d c o u n try 1940 1941 68.0 49.2 .3 2.6 .2 .1 .02 8 .2 .3 .2 .9 2.3 31.5 .4 1.0 8 .2 6 .8 .5 .2 .2 3 .6 .2 .2 .02 10.9 .3 .06 .7 .4 12.4 .8 1.4 5 .5 6 .8 1.6 .2 U . S. S . R .2........... ....................... ............ Y u g o sla v ia ............. ......... . ........................ 3 .6 .7 A fric a ( L ib e r ia ) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _______ E u ro p e ______________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - -- 1942 1943 1944 1945 36.7 37.3 46.1 101.1 5.0 5 .2 5.5 6.1 .3 .7 .07 12.8 .3 1.2 .08 26.4 .3 .4 .8 .6 b onds, Par v a lu e , 1945 278.6 .9 .4 .9 .4 .8 .08 21.4 .3 .3 .7 .4 .7 .8 .8 .9 12. Ì 1.4 12.4 2 .4 11. 4 3.1 11.9 2.6 48.0 2. 5 5 .6 2 .6 1.3 .4 27.8 .3 .8 .8 .6 104.3 6.1 14.3 23.4 11.4 16.8 3.0 48.0 3 .3 .6 2 .8 .8 1.3 1.3 1.8 8 .6 1.5 1.4 1.2 1 .2 1.0 .6 .7 A s ia ................ ....................... .................. ......... 34.3 31.7 12.0 12.4 12.9 13.1 57.3 C h in a ..... ...................... ............ . .............. .5 22.7 11.1 .5 21.1 10.1 .5 .5 .5 .5 P h ilip p in e s ........... ........... ......................... 11.5 11.9 12.4 12.6 5.1 41.4 10.8 O c e an ia (A u s tr a lia ) _ __ __ __ _ ____ ________ 28.6 31.6 39.7 45.1 47.3 49.7 47.7 B e lg iu m _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ __ _ _ C z e c h o slo v a k ia ...... ..................... ............ D e n m a r k .... ............ ............. ..................... E ir e ---------- -------------- --------------------F in la n d ----- ------ ----------------------------F ra n c e -------------------- -------- ------------G r e e c e ............................. ........ - ........ ........ N o r w a y .......... ...................... ............... . P o la n d _____________________ ____ 12.0 .3 1 B o n d s issu e d in 1945. 2 B o n d s r e tir e d in 1943. Not e.—T h e m a r k e t v a lu e of b o n d s of fo rm e r e n e m y c o u n trie s in b e e n zero. Tabl e XXII.—R e c o n c i l i a t i o n th e y e a rs 1942-45 is c o n sid e re d to h a v e o f e s tim a te s o f U n ite d S ta te s lo n g -te r m in v e s tm e n ts a b ro a d , 1 9 4 0 -4 5 [In m illio n s of dollars] I te m 1941 1942 1943 1944 11, 390 11, 310 12,110 11,635 12, 665 12,175 13,195 12,575 13,700 12,930 7, 340 +291 + 1 82 +47 +12 7, 525 + 296 + 183 +53 +10 7,740 + 244 + 178 +24 +17 7,845 + 306 + 172 +82 +38 7,960 + 449 + 156 + 229 +54 +50 -1 0 6 -7 8 -2 8 n . a. 7,525 +50 -8 1 -6 7 -1 4 n . a. 7, 740 +25 -1 3 9 -1 2 1 -1 8 n . a. 7,845 +14 -1 9 1 -1 0 5 -8 6 -1 2 7, 960 +10 -2 8 9 -1 6 8 -1 1 2 -9 8,120 4,105 3, 970 4,110 4,435 4, 730 4, 970 1,685 1,445 +59 +4 1,445 + 124 +25 1,510 + 2 42 + 118 1, 560 + 164 +84 1,590 + 243 + 159 +55 -5 9 -5 9 +99 -5 9 -5 9 + 124 -1 9 2 -1 9 2 +80 -1 3 4 -1 3 4 +84 -1 8 3 -1 8 3 1,445 1, 510 1, 560 1, 590 1,650 1940 U n ite d S ta te s in v e s tm e n ts a b ro a d , b e g in n in g of y e a r . . - 11,420 P r iv a te , b e g in n in g of y e a r , ..... ..................... . . . 11,385 D ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts (b ook v a lu e ), b e g in n in g of y e a r -------- ------------ ---------------------------7, 280 . ___________ + 184 A d d itio n s, to t a l _______ R e in v e s te d e a r n in g s _____________ _ __ _ +42 C a p it a l o u tflo w o n in te rc o m p a n y a c c o u n t+85 N e w in v e s tm e n ts ......................... ... — +7 I n v e s tm e n ts of foreign re sid e n ts m ig ra tin g to th e U n ite d S ta te s _____ _ _______ +50 D e d u c tio n s, t o t a l ______________________ -1 2 4 C a p it a l inflow o n in te rc o m p a n v a c c o u n t - -9 1 L iq u id a tio n s (cash r e c e ip ts )___________ -3 3 K n o w n losses o n l iq u id a tio n s __________ n . a. D ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts (b ook v a lu e ), e n d of y e a r .— 7,340 P o rtfo lio in v e s tm e n ts ( m a r k e t v a lu e ), beginn in g of y e a r — ____ ___________________ U n ite d S ta te s h o ld in g s of foreign d o lla r b o n d s, b e g in n in g of y e a r _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ A d d itio n s , t o t a l 1 ____ _________ N e w is s u e s 2_ _ _ — ___________ N e t in cre ase d u e to rise in m a r k e t D e d u c tio n s , t o t a l 1_______________ A m o r tiz a tio n 2_ ............................. N e t d ec rea se d u e to d e c lin e in U n ite d S ta te s h o ld in g s of fo re ig n d o lla r b o n d s, e n d of y e a r , _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ S e e fo o tn o t e s a t e n d o f ta b le . 216 -2 4 0 -4 2 1945 -1 9 8 1,445 Tabl e XXII.—R e co n cilia tio n o f e stim a te s o f U n ited S ta te s lo ng -term in v e s tm e n ts abroad, 1940-45 — C o n t i n u e d I te m U n ite d S ta te s in v e s tm e n ts a b ro a d , b e g in n in g of y e a r—C o n tin u e d P r iv a te , b e g in n in g of y e a r—C o n ti n u e d P o r tfo lio in v e s tm e n ts ( m a r k e t v a lu e ) , beg in n in g o f y e a r—C o n ti n u e d O th e r p ortfo lio in v e s tm e n ts , b e g in n in g of y e a r __________ ____ _________ _____ A d d it io n s , to t a l _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ N e t U n ite d S ta te s p u r c h a se s of N e t in c rea se d u e to rise in m a r k e t p ric e _______ _______ _______ I n v e s tm e n t of fo re ig n re sid e n ts m ig ra tin g to th e U n ite d S ta te s .. D e d u c tio n s, to t a l _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ N e t U n ite d S ta te s sales of foreign 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 2,420 + 156 2,525 + 140 2,665 + 260 2, 925 + 245 3,170 + 214 3 ,3 8 0 +525 +25 +99 + 125 + 119 +263: +21 +25 +25 +10 +53 +18 +73 +7 +80 + 139 + 108 + 110 -5 1 +80 +90 +40 +15 -4 +15 2, 525 2,665 2,925 3,170 3, 970 11,310 35 +51 -6 80 11,390 4,110 11,635 80 +381 +14 475 12,110 4, 435 12,175 475 +10 +5 490 12, 665 4, 730 12,575 490 + 1 24 1945 —19 N e t re d u c tio n d u e to d e c lin e in -3 2 O th e r p ortfo lio in v e s tm e n ts , e n d of y e a r . . P o rtfo lio in v e s tm e n ts ( m a r k e t v a lu e ), e n d of y e a r _____________ ________ _ __ __ __ __ _ P r iv a te , e n d of y e a r_______________ _ __ __ __ __ U . S. G o v e rn m e n t, b e g in n in g of y e a r ..... .............. N e t b a la n c e of p a y m e n ts m o v e m e n t....... ........ O th e r c h a n g e s ___ __________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ U . S . G o v e rn m e n t, e n d of y e a r ......................... . U n ite d S ta te s in v e s tm e n ts a b ro a d , e n d of y e a r _____ 620 13,195 -4 3,380 3, 905 4,970 12,930 620 + 163 -1 3 770 13,700 5,555 13,675 770 +898 -8 3 1,585 15, 260 1 T r a d in g in o u ts ta n d in g issu es is in c lu d e d in “ O th e r p ortfo lio in v e s tm e n ts .” S u c h tr a n s a c ti o n s a s r e p o rt e d c a n n o t b e seg re g a te d b e tw e e n b o n d s p a y a b le in d o lla rs a n d se c u ritie s p a y a b le in foreign c u rre n c ie s . 2 E x c lu siv e of issu es of d ir e c t in v e s tm e n t c o m p a n ie s. n . a . N o t a v a ila b le . Ta bl e X X I I I .— R e c o n c i l i a t i o n o f e s t i m a t e s o f f o r e i g n l o n g - t e r m i n v e s t m e n t s i n t h e U n ite d S ta te s , 1 9 4 0 - 4 5 [ I n m illio n s of d ollars] I te m F o r e ig n in v e s tm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s , b e g in n in g of y e a r ............ ........ .................... ...... ............. ............ P r iv a te o b lig a tio n s, b e g in n in g of y e a r _______ _ D ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts (b o o k v a lu e ) , b e g in n in g of y e a r __________ _________ . . . _______ _ _ A d d it io n s , to t a l _____________________ R e i n v e s te d e a r n in g s ______________ In c re a se in e q u ity in in su ra n c e co m p a n i e s ............ ............ ....................... D e d u c ti o n s, t o t a l ___ _______ _______ L iq u id a tio n s __________ _________ V e s tin g b y A lie n P r o p e r ty C u s to d ia n . I n v e s tm e n ts of foreign re sid e n ts m i g ra tin g to th e U n ite d S ta te s ______ O t h e r . . . ................................................ . D ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts (b o ok v a lu e ) , e n d of y e a r . P o rtfo lio in v e s tm e n ts ( m a r k e t v a lu e ) , b eg in n in g o f y e a r __ ____ ___ ____ _____ ____ A d d it io n s , t o t a l . ....... . ................... ............. P u r c h a s e s of U n ite d S ta te s s e c u r itie s 1. N e t in c rea se d u e to rise in m a r k e t p r ic e .................................... . . . ......... O th e r ch a n g e s a n d a d ju s tm e n ts ........ . 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 8, 845 8, 695 8, 250 8,100 7,350 7, 200 7,425 7, 275 7, 770 7, 570 8, 2907,865 2, 900 +54 + n 2,875 +21 +21 2, 700 +36 +31 2,615 +62 +42 2,605 +55 +43 2, 630 +62 + 4 2: +43 -7 9 -4 -1 9 6 -1 3 8 +5 -1 2 1 +20 -7 2 +20 -1 7 -1 5 -7 5 -9 6 -5 2 +12 -3 0 -1 1 -4 -2 5 -2 0 -1 5 1945 -2 2,875 -5 0 -8 2,700 2,615 2,605 2,630 2,675 5,795 + 6 58 + 5 06 5,225 + 3 44 + 3 20 4, 500 + 4 66 + 260 4, 660 + 7 98 + 3 43 4, 965 + 832 + 426 5, 235 + 1 ,3 4 6 +490 + 4 53 +2 +856 +24 + 205 +i + 406 + 1 52 S ee f o o tn o te s a t en d o f ta b le . 7 0 9 1 5 5 -4 8 - 15 217 Tabl e X X I I I .— R ec o n cilia tio n o f e stim a te s o f fo reig n long -term in v e s tm e n ts in th e U n ited S ta te s, — C o n tin u e d 1941 1942 1943 1944 - 1 ,2 2 8 -7 4 7 - 1 ,0 6 9 -5 8 2 -3 0 6 -2 1 4 -4 9 3 -3 6 6 -5 6 2 -4 4 0 -2 8 6 -4 0 1 -8 —23 —12 —9 -1 9 5 -8 0 -6 -5 5 -2 9 —55 -4 9 -6 0 —50 —32 —42 5,225 8,100 150 n . a. 150 8, 250 4, 500 7, 200 150 n . a. 150 7,350 4, 660 7,275 150 n . a. 150 7,425 4,965 7, 570 150 +50 200 7,770 5,235 7,865 '200 + 2 25 425 8, 290 5,827 8,502 425 +68 493 8,995 1940 I te m 1945 F o re ig n in v e s tm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s , b e g in n in g o f y e a r—C o n ti n u e d P r iv a te o b lig a tio n s, b e g in n in g of y e a r—C o n . P o rtfo lio in v e s tm e n ts (m a rk e t v a lu e ) , b e g in n in g o f y e a r—C o n ti n u e d S ales of U n ite d S ta te s se c u r itie s i 2_ _ _ N e t d e c rea se d u e to d ec lin e in m a r k e t -7 5 4 -6 7 1 I n v e s tm e n ts of fo re ig n re si d e n ts m iP o rtfo lio in v e s tm e n ts ( m a r k e t v a lu e ) , e n d of U . S. G o v e rn m e n t o b lig a tio n s, b e g in n in g of y e a r_. N e t foreign p u r c h a se s ( + ) o r sales ( —) ! ........... F o re ig n in v e s tm e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s, e n d of y e a r . 1 F o re ig n p u r c h a s e s a n d sales of U . S . G o v e rn m e n t lo n g - te r m se c u ritie s a r e e s ti m a te d b e g in n in g w ith 1943; p u r c h a se s a n d sales of b o th G o v e rn m e n t a n d p r iv a te o b lig a tio n s a r e in c l u d e d in th e b a la n c e of p a y m e n ts a s p r iv a te tr a n sa c tio n s . 2 In c lu d e s a m o rt iz a tio n s e s ti m a te d a t $10 m illio n a n n u a lly , n . a . N o t a v a ila b le . Ta bl e X X IV .— G i f t s a n d o t h e r u n i l a t e r a l t r a n s f e r s , 1 9 4 0 - ^ 5 [In m illio n s o f d ollars] 1945 I te m 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 T o ta l T o fo re ig n c o u n trie s, to t a l - - . P e r so n a l a n d in st i tu tion F ro m fo re ig n c o u n trie s, to ta l. 3,137 3,617 1,746 1,128 7,348 560 225 2,819 12 2,921 90 120 1,016 167 104 592 291 1 185 866 179 343 310 34 20 30 109 4 5 30 70 520 123 138 119 140 64 32 25 21 237 222 163 294 402 43 1,002 2,137 2,407 2, 591 1,039 995 493 640 1,997 2,287 2,444 1,010 960 456 18 322 40 95 45 75 45 100 47 19 10 24 11 25 12 32 14 59 O th e r G o v e rn m e n t reP e r sô n a l r e m itta n c e s _ _ _ 9,628 14,690 15,911 1 40 20 200 932 6,954 C iv ilia n s u p p lie s d is tr ib O th e r G o v e rn m e n t 15,044 16,549 269 1,179 7,338 U N R R A ____________ F ir s t S ec on d T h i r d F o u r th q u a r te r q u a r te r q u a r te r q u a r te r 59 43 1 218 Tabl e X X V .— In te rn a tio n a l transactions o f the U nited S tates, private a n d Governm ent, 1 9 4 0 -4 5 [I n m illio n s o f d ollars] 1942 1941 1940 1944 1943 1945 T o ta l I te m P r i v a te G ov ern m ent G ov ern m ent P ri v a te G ov e rn m ent P ri v a te P ri v a te G ov ern m ent P r i v a te G ovem in e n t P ri v a te F ir s t q u a r te r G ov ern m ent P ri v a te G ov ern m ent S ec on d q u a r te r G ov ern m ent P ri v a te F o u rth q u a r te r T h ird q u a r te r P ri v a te G ov ern m ent P ri v a te G ov ern m ent I . R e c e ip ts , t o t a l ------------------ 5,733 47 6,187 1,023 4,824 8,253 3,956 17,760 4,614 19,871 5,214 14, 035 1,114 4,403 1,283 4, 952 1,254 2, 776 1,563 1,904 A . G oo ds a n d serv ic es, to ta l1. G o o d s ____________ 2. I n c o m e o n i n v e s t m e n ts ...................... 3. O th e r se r v ic e s _ __ __ _ 5,310 4,102 45 22 5,901 4,559 995 784 4,542 3, 363 7,227 3,537 5, 824 2,401 15, 597 3, 997 12, 714 2, 776 17,441 4,675 11,398 1,034 732 14,193 3,412 8, 810 3,348 1,047 2,723 720 3,950 3,186 1,169 873 2, 281 1,425 1,670 1,087 1,819 1, 231 561 647 59 364 3 20 9 202 2 535 807 43 243 28 496 683 40 242 18 1,385 962 64 497 639 45 374 11 2,872 2,092 71 556 665 45 57? 16 3,232 2,362 68 539 724 47 492 16 2, 572 2, 544 93 122 180 10 70 7 618 1,029 26 145 182 11 225 2 762 984 18 124 172 12 73 5 606 481 14 148 190 14 124 2 586 50 35 207 2 165 28 155 64 331 71 338 68 462 93 70 26 195 18 73 14 124 35 21,964 5, 403 15, 606 1,209 4,901 1,378 5,435 1,360 3,179 C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, to ta l. 1. M o v e m e n t s o f U nited States c a p ita l in v e s te d a b r o a d ............ ........ 2. M o v e m e n t s o f fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e st- 157 78 43 234 2,928 10,231 3,410 20,322 4,190 2,982 2,719 2,201 2,106 5,377 3,400 3,321 2,707 87 I I . P a y m e n ts , to t a l _ __ __ __ __ _ 4,104 240 4,547 2, 031 A . G oo ds a n d se rv ic es, to ta l. 1. G o o d s ..____ ______ 2 . In c o m e o n in v e s tm e n t s __________ 3. O th e r s e r v ic e s ........... B . U n i la te r a l tr a n s f e rs ____ C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, to ta l. 1. M o v e m e n t s o f United States c a p ita l in v e s te d a b r o a d ....... ............. 2. M o v e m e n t s o f fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e st- 3,481 2,658 155 55 3,821 2,994 665 492 2,374 1,764 204 61Ç 237 386 6 94 32 53 181 646 222 504 6 167 957 409 152 458 163 391 7 774 7,175 74 146 467 294 397 13£ 5c 98 408 22C 74 291 247 405 171 106 6 2,047 14, 75C 195 195 30 5, 586 3, 916 2,882 3,118 30 1,456 2,091 5, 508 2,711 838 676 1,851 1,004 816 843 1, 921 1,031 865 797 1,051 1,043 829 617 685 386 148 544 402 388 12 2,692 16,147 231 154 644 520 967 14 2,783 9,108 990 32 130 123 248 3 1,005 3,014 36 35 153 138 236 4 1,052 3, 479 35 36 198 119 210 3 431 1,627 501 51 163 140 273 4 295 988 418 328 231 813 99C 154 36 230 35 178 501 251 418 58 154 94 6 32 22 219 ■= ■- - 22 0 Tabl e X X V .— In te rn a tio n a l tra n sa ctio n s o f the U nited States, p riva te a n d Governm ent, 194-0-45 — C o n tin u e d [In m illio n s of d ollars] 1941 1940 1942 1945 1944 1943 T o ta l Ite m P r i v a te I I I . E xc ess of re c e ip ts ( + ) o r p a y m e n ts , to ta l_ _ _ _ _ _ __ + 1 , 629 A . G oo ds a n d se rv ic e s ___ + 1 , 829 B . U n i la te r a l t r a n s f e r s ___ -1 7 8 N e t goods a n d se rv ice s a n d u n ila te r a l tr a n sfe rs ________ ____ + 1 ,65 1 C . L o n g -te rm c a p i t a l . ......... -2 2 IV . N e t inflow ( + ) o r o u tflo w ( —)of fu n d s o n g o ld a n d sh o rtte r m c a p ita l a c c o u n t, to t a l __ G ov ern m ent P r i v a te G ov ern m ent G ov ern m ent P ri v a te G ov ern m ent P ri v a te -1 9 3 + 1 , 640 - 1 ,0 0 8 + 1 ,8 9 6 - 1 , 978 + 546 P ri v a te - 2 , 562 + 4 24 G ov ern m ent - 2 ,0 9 3 P ri v a te - 1 8 9 - 1 ,5 7 1 P ri v a te G ov ern m ent -9 5 -4 9 8 S ec on d q u a r te r P r i v a te G ov ern m ent -9 5 -4 8 3 T h ir d q u a r te r P ri v a te G ov e rn m ent -1 0 6 -4 0 3 + 4 3 + 2 , 029 + 1 38 + 1 ,2 3 0 - 1 2 7 - 2 ,4 9 5 - 1 0 7 - 1 ,1 4 6 F o u rth q u a r te r P r i v a te G ov ern m ent + 1 07 -1 8 7 + 3 8 2 + 1 ,1 3 4 -1 2 6 -9 3 8 - 1 1 0 + 2 ,0 8 0 -3 2 -1 7 9 + 3 3 0 + 2 ,1 6 8 + 4 , 245 + 818 + 1 0, 220 + 5 97 + 1 1 ,8 5 5 + 759 + 5 , 890 + 196 + 1 ,4 9 7 -9 5 7 - 1 2 3 - 6 ,2 1 3 - 2 4 9 -1 2 ,6 5 8 - 3 5 7 - 1 3 , 785 - 4 7 3 - 6 , 564 - 1 1 3 - 1 ,9 8 5 - 1 4 2 + 1 , 901 —51 -2 6 1 - 6 2 7 + 2 , 045 - 1 , 968 + 5 6 9 -3 8 1 -1 4 9 -1 0 -2 3 - 2 , 438 + 2 4 0 - 1 2 4 + 1 84 - 1 ,9 3 0 -1 6 3 +83 -1 7 8 -4 8 8 -1 0 -8 4 -1 1 -4 6 6 -1 7 +31 -1 3 7 +84 -4 8 7 + 256 -1 4 9 + 196 -3 8 3 + 612 + 1 , 370 + 1 6 2 + 1 , 544 + 442 + 1 , 446 + 183 + 437 + 1 60 + 471 + 1 48 + 4 34 -4 9 +104 + 1 ,54 1 - 4 , 254 -6 0 1 -5 0 7 -1 5 0 + 2 40 + 286 -4 7 5 A . N e t in c rea se (— ) o r decre ase ( + ) in U n ite d - 4 , 243 B . N e t m o v e m e n t s of U n ite d S ta te s sh o rtte r m c a p ita l a b ro a d . __ + 177 C . N e t m o v e m e n ts of fore ig n s h o rt- te rm c ap ita l in U n ite d S t a t e s .__ + 1 , 364 V . E rr o rs a n d o m issio n s_____ G ov ern m ent F ir s t q u a r te r + 1 , 277 -1 1 —719 + 21 -1 0 +96 -6 2 2 +222 -2 4 6 + 476 + 7 57 +23 -2 1 1 8 +15 -8 5 + 428 + 624 + 598 + 247 +34 -6 8 +262 -37 + 1 80 + 548 + 1 ,3 5 0 -1 2 -6 7 4 -8 9 7 -8 6 -2 2 7 +40 + 5 2 8 + 1 ,1 2 5 + 1 43 - 128 + 157 -4 9 -1 0 6 +306 + 266 27 +10 + 201 -1 4 + 116 -9 5 -1 3 6 -6 9 + 328 +32 + 3 28 +87 +163 53 - 73 +25 Tabl e X X V I . — In te rn a tio n a l tra nsactions o f the U n ited States, 1 9 1 9 -8 9 [M illio n s o f d ollars] I te m I . R e c e ip ts , to t a l --------------------------------------------------------A . G oods a n d se rv ic es, t o t a l . . ---- -------- - -------- ----------1. G o o d s . ----- ------------------ . . ------------ . . 3. O th e r se rv ic e s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _______ _ _____ ___ _ B . U n ila te r a l tr a n s f e r s ---- ------ ---------------------------------C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, t o t a l ------------------------------ ------1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in v e s te d a b r o a d . 2. M o v e m e n ts of fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e s te d in U n ite d I I . P a y m e n ts , t o t a l . .............. ........... .................... . ................ A . G oo d s a n d se rv ic es, t o t a l ___ ____ ____ . . . ----------1. G o o d s .. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ ____ _ ... _____ __________ _____ 3. O th e r se rv ic e s_ _ _ _ _ _ _ B . U n ila te r a l tr a n s f e r s ---- ---------- --------------- ------ -------C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, to ta l------- ------- ---------- ------------1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in v e s te d a b r o a d . 2. M o v e m e n ts of fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e s te d in U n ite d S ta te s ________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1919 1920 1921 1922 1924 1923 1926 1925 1927 1928 1929 11,464 10, 983 5, 920 5, 219 6,090 6,344 6, 964 7,038 7,058 7,815 7,929 10, 784 8,891 719 ■ IV174 276 404 404 10, 272 8,481 596 1,195 66 645 645 5, 512 4, 586 445 481 60 348 332 4, 961 3,929 670 362 65 193 166 5,494 4, 259 840 395 65 531 173 5,919 4, 741 762 416 72 353 148 6, 348 5, O il 912 425 47 569 248 6, 381 4,922 953 506 61 596 481 6,464 4,982 981 501 70 524 524 6,850 5,249 1,080 521 72 893 410 7,042 5, 347 1,139 556 78 809 431 16 27 358 205 321 115 483 378 10,352 9,146 4,869 5,358 5, 567 6,029 6, 823 7, 289 7,333 7, 601 7,398 5, 917 3, 995 130 1,792 1,319 3,116 2, 901 6, 750 5,384 120 1, 246 744 1,652 1,374 3.391 2, 572 105 714 568 910 890 3, 972 3,184 105 683 409 977 957 4,668 3,866 130 672 414 485 465 4, 577 3, 684 140 753 427 1, 025 1,005 5,272 4, 291 170 811 439 1,112 1,092 5, 564 4, 500 200 864 433 1,292 1,272 5,400 4,240 240 920 418 1, 515 1,465 5,483 4,159 275 1,049 427 1,691 1,671 5, 904 4,463 330 1, 111 445 1,049 1,029 215 278 20 20 20 20 20 20 50 20 20 I I I . E x c e ss of re c e ip ts ( + ) o r p a y m e n ts ( —), to t a l ------------------ + 1 ,1 1 2 + 1 ,8 3 7 + 1 ,0 5 1 -1 3 9 + 523 + 315 + 1 41 -2 5 1 -2 7 5 + 2 14 + 531 A . G oo ds a n d se rv ic e s -------- ------- ------ -- -----------------B . U n ila te r a l tr a n s f e r s ----- ----------------- ----------------—' N e t goo ds a n d se rv ic e s a n d u n ila te r a l tr a n s f e rs ....... ...... G . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l____ ............. ............. . . . . ------- . . . + 4 , 867 - 1 ,0 4 3 + 3 , 824 - 2 , 712 + 3 , 522 -6 7 8 + 2 , 844 - 1 ,0 0 7 + 2 ,1 2 1 -5 0 8 + 1 , 613 -5 6 2 +989 -3 4 4 +645 -7 8 4 + 826 -3 4 9 + 477 +46 + 1 , 342 -3 5 5 + 987 -6 7 2 + 1 , 076 -3 9 2 +684 -5 4 3 + 8 17 -3 7 2 + 445 -6 9 6 + 1 , 064 -3 4 8 + 716 -9 9 1 + 1 ,3 6 7 -3 5 5 + 1 ,0 1 2 -7 9 8 + 1 ,1 3 8 -3 6 7 + 771 -2 4 0 + 166 +68 -7 3 5 -2 6 9 -3 4 8 + 166 +68 -7 3 5 -2 6 9 IV . N e t in flo w ( + ) o r o u tflo w ( —) of f u n d s o n g old a n d sh o rtte r m c a p ita l a c c o u n t, t o t a l . . . . ----------------------- -----------A . N e t in c re a se ( —) o r d e c rea se ( + ) in U n ite d S ta te s gold s t o c k . . __ ___________ . --------- ------------- . . . B . N e t m o v e m e n t of U n ite d S ta te s sh o rt- te rm c a p ita l 0 . N e t m o v e m e n t of fo re ig n s h o rt- te rm c a p ita l in U n ite d S ta te s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ V . E rr o rs a n d o m issio n s............................................................... - 1 , 278 - 1 , 905 -3 1 6 +408 . -1 3 7 -6 + 326 + 698 -1 1 0 -1 4 7 -3 1 5 -2 5 6 + 100 -9 3 + 1 13 + 238 -1 4 3 -8 2 -1 0 9 -4 6 -3 6 -3 4 9 -2 3 1 -2 0 0 +49 + 228 -6 0 + 455 + 934 -1 1 7 +196 -1 7 5 -1 7 8 -1 3 5 -7 5 -4 2 3 -1 0 4 -3 8 4 222 Tabl e X X V I .— I n te r n a tio n a l tra n sa ctio n s o f th e U n ited S ta te s, 1919 -3 9 — C o n tin u e d [ M illio n s o f d olla rs] I te m I. R e c e ip ts , to t a l ______ ____ ______ ______ ____________________ 1930 .. 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 6,376 4, 324 2,841 2,754 3, 214 3,840 4,412 5,131 4,551 4,636 A . G oods a n d s e rv ic es, t o t a l ____ _ __ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 5,450 1. G o o d s............. __________ ____ ______ _ _ _ _ _ ______ 3,929 - 2. In c o m e o n i n v e s tm e n ts ._ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _____ ______ 1, 040 3. O th e r se rv ic e s ....... ........ ... ........... .................................................. -----B . U n ila te r a l tr a n s f e rs ___________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ ................. . 58 C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, t o t a l _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . . . _________ 868 782 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in v e s te d a b r o a d ,_______ 2 . M o v e m e n ts o f fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e s te d in U n ite d S ta te s ______ 86 3, 641 2, 494 766 ~ 381 36 647 561 86 2,474 1,667 527 280 17 350 350 2, 402 1,736 437 229 17 335 155 180 2,975 2, 238 437 300 20 219 219 3, 265 2,404 521 340 21 554 219 335 3, 539 2, 590 569 380 22 851 236 615 4, 553 3, 451 577 525 29 549 289 260 4,336 3,243 585 508 40 175 103 72 4,432 3,347 541 544 38 166 166 I I . P a y m e n ts , to ta l _______ ___________________________________ 5,907 3, 912 2, 415 2,487 2, 615 3,458 3, 728 4, 548 3, 345 3, 721 A . G oods a n d serv ic es, to t a l _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ______ . . . ____ . 1. G oo d s____________ ____ __________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ f 2. In c o m e o n in v e s tm e n ts ___________ ____ ______________ 3. O th e r se rv ic e s__________ ____ ___ ____ _____ ______ ____ . ____ B . U n ila te ra l tr a n sfe rs ___ . . . _ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ _ C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l, to t a l __________________ _____ __________ 1. M o v e m e n ts of U n ite d S ta te s c a p ita l in v e s te d a b r o a d _____ . . .. 2. M o v e m e n ts of fo re ig n c a p ita l in v e s te d in U n ite d S ta te s __ 4,428 3,104 295 T,TED 390 1,089 1,069 20 3,137 2,120 220 797 343 432 412 20 2,079 1,343 135 — w 243 93 67 26 2, 056 1,510 115 431 213 218 20315 2,384 1, 763 135 ~ '486 182 49. 34 15 3,157 2, 462 155 640 183 118 103 15 3,455 2, 546 270 639 199 74 59 15 4, 268 3,181 295 792 252 28 13 15 3, 056 2,173 200 683 211 78 63 15 3.377 2,409 230 738 205 139 53 86 I I I . E xcess of re c e ip ts ( + ) o r p a y m e n ts ( —), t o t a l . ......... .............. ........... + 469 +412 + 426 + 2 27 + 629 +382 + 684 + 583 + 1 , 206 + 9 15 A . G oo ds a n d se rv ic e s_ _ _ . . . ___________________ . . . ___ B . U n ila te r a l tr a n s f e r s .. ____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . . . . ________ N e t goods a n d se rv ice s a n d u n ila te r a l tr a n s f e r s . . . . _ _ _ _____ _ C . L o n g -te rm c a p ita l____ ________________________ ____ . . . . . . + 1 , 022 -3 3 2 + 6 90 -2 2 1 +504 -3 0 7 + 197 + 215 + 395 -2 2 6 + 169 + 257 + 3 46 -1 9 6 + 150 i +77 + 591 -1 6 2 +429 i +200 + 108 -1 6 2 -5 4 +436 +84 -1 7 7 -9 3 + 777 + 285 -2 2 3 +621 + 521 + 1 , 280 -1 7 1 + 1 ,1 0 9 +97 + 1 , 055 -1 6 7 + 888 +27 IV . N e t inflow ( + ) o r o u tflo w ( —) of f u n d s o n g o ld s h o rt- te rm c a p ita l a c c o u n t, to ta l_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ _______ -7 8 9 -5 0 4 -4 9 9 -2 8 8 - 1 , 044 -7 5 0 -8 4 1 - 1 ,0 0 8 - 1 ,4 5 5 - 1 ,7 0 4 A. N e t in cre ase ( —) or d e c re a se ( + ) in U n ite d S ta te s g o ld s to c k ........ B . N e t m o v e m e n t of U n ite d S ta te s s h o rt- te rm c a p ita l a b r o a d ______ C . N e t m o v e m e n t of fo re ig n s h o rt- te rm c a p ita l in U n ite d S ta te s ____ -3 1 0 -1 9 1 -2 8 8 + 133 + 628 - 1 ,2 6 5 -5 3 + 227 -6 7 3 + 131 +35 -4 5 4 - 1 , 266 +96 +126 - 1 , 822 +424 +648 - 1 , 272 +55 + 376 - 1 ,3 6 4 +45 + 3 11 - 1 , 799 +27 +317 - 3 ,1 7 4 +211 + 1 , 259 + 320 +92 +73 +61 +415 +368 +157 + 425 + 249 + 789 V . E rro rs a n d o m iss io n s ._______ _________ _______ _____ ________ 1 T h e n e t lo n g -te rm c a p ita l tr a n s a c ti o n s fig u re fo r 1933 in c lu d e s $40,000,000, a n d t h a t fo r 1934 in c lu d e s $30,000,000, re p r e s e n tin g th e n e t tr a n s f e r of f u n d s in s e c u r ity a r b itr a g e o p e ra tio n s. T h e se tr a n sa c ti o n s c a n n o t b e d iv id e d b e tw e e n d o m e s tic a n d fo re ig n s e c u ritie s in th e s e y e a rs. * F o r e ig n F u n d s C o n tr o l O n A p r il 1 0 , 1 9 4 0 , w h e n D e n m a r k a n d N o r w a y w e r e in v a d e d , E x e c u t iv e O rd er N o . 8 3 8 9 w a s is s u e d c o u n tr ie s and fr e e z in g th e ir a ll a s s e ts n a tio n a ls . T he in th e U n ite d s u c c e s s iv e S t a t e s b e lo n g in g in v a s io n s of o th e r to th o se E u ropean c o u n t r ie s w e r e a c c o m p a n ie d b y a d d it io n a l e x e c u t iv e o r d e r s , c u lm in a t in g o n J u n e 1 4 ,1 9 4 1 , in a n e x e c u t iv e o r d e r w h ic h f r o z e th e a s s e t s o f a ll th e r e s t o f c o n t in e n t a l E u r o p e , b o th th e a g g r e sso r a n d th e n e u t r a l n a tio n s . T he r e g is tr a tio n o f a ssets in t h e U n it e d S t a t e s o f a ll f o r e ig n c o u n t r ie s , a s o f J u n e 1 ,1 9 4 0 , a n d J u n e 1 4 ,1 9 4 1 , w a s a ls o r e q u ir e d b y t h e o r d e r o f J u n e 1 4 .1 S h o r tly t h e r e a f te r fr e e z in g ord ers w e r e is s u e d c o v e r in g t h e a s s e t s o f C h in a a n d J a p a n a n d , s o m e w h a t la t e r , t h o s e o f tir e v a r i o u s c o u n t r i e s o v e r r u n b y t h e J a p a n e s e . In a c c o r d a n c e w ith th e o rd er o f J u n e 1 4 , a l m o s t 6 0 0 ,0 0 0 r e p o r t s w e r e f ile d w h ic h in d i c a t e d t h a t t h e t o t a l f o r e i g n sta k e in th e U n ite d S ta te s a m o u n ted to about $ 1 2 .7 b illio n . O f th is a m o u n t, s o m e $ 6 b illio n w e r e a ffe c te d b y th e f r e e z in g c o n tr o ls , a s w e r e a n a d d it io n a l $ 2 b illio n o f g o ld u n d e r e a r m a r k a n d f o r e ig n s e c u r it ie s h e ld in t h is c o u n tr y f o r fo r e ig n a c c o u n t. O n D e c e m b e r 1 8 , 1 9 4 1 , t h e F ir s t W a r P o w e r s A c t, 1 9 4 1 , w a s a p p r o v e d g iv in g th e P r e s id e n t b r o a d e r a u t h o r ity o v e r a ll fo r e ig n -o w n e d p r o p e r ty , in c lu d in g th e p o w e r to v e s t su ch p r o p e r ty . e r tie s w e r e v e s te d U n d e r t h is a u th o r ity a la r g e n u m b e r o f A x is p r o p b y t h e A lie n w h ile o th e r s w e r e o p e r a te d P ro p e rty d u r in g C u s to d ia n ; so m e h a v e b e e n th e w a r in su ch w ay th e U n ite d S t a t e s w a r e ffo r t. A t th e o u ts e t, F o r e ig n F u n d s C o n tr o l w a s d e s ig n e d to a sse ts o f th e c o u n tr ie s . o c c u p ie d c o u n t r ie s c o u ld T h e ord er b e u sed to s e c u r ity ” a n d , o f c o u r se , th e a im s a v o w e d ly a fte r liq u id a te d , to m a te r ia lly a s s is t in s u r e t h a t n o n e o f t h e fu r th e r o f J u n e 14, 1941, h o w ev er, w a s o f n a tio n a l d e fe n s e a n d as our “ in e n tr y o f a g g resso r th e in te r e s t in to th e F o r e ig n F u n d s C o n tr o l b e c a m e a p a r t o f e c o n o m ic w a r f a r e a g a in s t t h e A x is . w ar T he c h ie f o b je c tiv e s o f th e C o n tr o l w e r e th e c o m p le te s e v e r a n c e o f a ll fin a n c ia l a n d c o m m e r c ia l in te r c o u r s e , tr a d e , a n d c o m m u n ic a tio n , d ir e c t o r in d ir e c t , b e tw e e n th e U n it e d S t a t e s a n d t h e A x is a n d A x is -d o m in a te d c o u n tr ie s , a n d o f tr a n s a c tio n s b e tw e e n th e U n it e d S t a t e s a n d o th e r c o u n tr ie s T h e s e o b je c tiv e s w e r e a c h ie v e d th r o u g h a s y s t e m w h ic h m ig h t b e n e fit t h e A x is . o f lic e n s e s , m a k in g e a c h t r a n s a c t io n a ff e c tin g b lo c k e d a c c o u n ts s u b j e c t t o T r e a s u r y a p p r o v a l. a d m in is te r e d by th e T r e a su r y D e p a r tm e n t th ro u g h th e T h is s y s te m F ed era l R eserve w as B anks a n d t h e i n d i v i d u a l c o m m e r c i a l b a n k s . 12 B e c a u s e o f t h e b r o a d n a t u r e o f th e p r o h ib it io n s c o n ta in e d in th e f r e e z in g o r d e r t h e r e w e r e m a n y t r a n s a c tio n s , n o t in a n y w a y in im ic a l to th e p u r p o s e s o f th e c o n tr o l, f o r w h ic h it w a s d e e m e d u n d e s ir a b le t o r e q u ir e in d iv id u a l lic e n s e s . T o c o v e r t h e s e tr a n s a c tio n s s e v e r a l g e n e r a l lic e n s e s w e r e is s u e d to c o v e r t h e tr a n s a c tio n s o f c o u n t r ie s in t h e “g e n e r a lly lic e n s e d t r a d e a r e a ,” s u c h a s t h e A m e r ic a n R e p u b lic s , t h e B r it is h C o m m o n w e a lth , a n d t h e U n io n o f S o v ie t S o c ia lis t R e p u b lic s . N o f u r t h e r lic e n s e w a s r e q u ir e d f o r n o r m a l t r a d e e v e n w it h n a t io n a ls o f b lo c k e d c o u n tr ie s in th is a r e a , u n le s s th e ir nam es appeared on th e “P r o c la im e d L is t o f C e r ta in B lo c k e d N a t io n a ls .” G e n e r a l lic e n s e s w e r e a ls o g r a n te d to t h e n e u tr a l E u r o p e a n c o u n tr ie s — S w e d e n , S w it z e r la n d , P o r t u g a l, a n d S p a in , c o v e r in g th e t r a n s a c t io n s o f t h e ir g o v e r n m e n ts a n d th e ir n a tio n a ls . v o lv e d g u a r a n te e d , in T h e s e lic e n s e s w e r e g r a n te d a ft e r t h e g o v e r n m e n ts in e ffe c t, t h a t th e p u r p o s e s o f F o r e ig n F u n d s C o n tr o l w o u ld b e c a r r ie d o u t. G e n e r a l lic e n s e s w e r e is s u e d to m o s t in d iv id u a l n a t io n a ls o f b lo c k e d c o u n tr ie s w h o h a d b e e n liv in g in th e U n it e d S t a t e s f o r p e r io d s o f tim e , a n d a ls o to p e r m it c e r t a in t r a n s a c t io n s , s u c h a s a llo w in g a p e r s o n in t h e U n it e d S t a t e s o w in g m o n e y to a b lo c k e d n a t io n a l to p a y in to a b lo c k e d a c c o u n t. O n e o f t h e m o s t d iffic u lt p r o b le m s o f F o r e ig n F u n d s C o n tr o l in v o lv e d t h e p o s s ib le d is p o s a l in t h e U n it e d S t a t e s b y t h e e n e m y o f lo o te d s e c u r it ie s a n d A m e r i can cu rrency. tio n of any I n t h e c a s e o f r e g is te r e d s e c u r it ie s i t w a s r e q u ir e d t h a t t h e r e g is tr a s e c u r ity r e g is te r e d c h a n g e d w it h o u t a lic e n s e . in th e nam e of a T o m e e t t h e p r o b le m b lo c k e d n a t io n a l c o u ld v id e d , b e g in n in g in J u n e 1 9 4 0 , t h a t a ll s e c u r it ie s e n te r in g t h e U n it e d a n y fo r e ig n c o u n tr y m u s t b e d e p o s ite d in a F ed era l R eserve B a n k r e le a s e d o n ly u p o n s a t is fa c to r y p r o o f t h a t t h e y w e r e fr e e fr o m 1 W a 2 of W a not be o f b e a r e r s e c u r itie s , it w a s p r o S ta te s fro m and c o u ld be a n y A x is ta in t. U . S . T r e a s u r y D e p a r t m e n t , C e n s u s o f F o r e ig n -O w n e d A s s e t s i n t h e U n it e d S t a t e s , s h i n g t o n , D . C ., 1 9 4 5 . F o r a d e ta ile d d is c u s s io n s e e r e p o r t o f th e U . S . T r e a s u r y D e p a r tm e n t, A d m in is tr a tio n t h e W a r t im e F in a n c ia l a n d P r o p e r t y C o n tr o ls o f th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v er n m e n t, s h i n g t o n , D . C ., 1 9 4 2 . 223 W it h r e s p e c t to A m e r ic a n c u r r e n c y t h e r e w a s a d u a l p r o b le m e n tr y in to t h e U n ite d S ta te s fo r th e u se h e r e o f th e A x is a n d o f p r e v e n tin g it s o f d e p r e c ia tin g v a lu e a b r o a d s o th a t A x is h o ld in g s w o u ld b e o f r e d u c e d u s e fu ln e s s . w a s a c h ie v e d by excep t n o m in a l fo r a b r o u g h t in to fo r a c o n tr o l sy s te m am ount th e U n ite d e x a m in a tio n to fo r th a t R u lin g N o. 5 ). fo r p erson al S t a te s m u s t b e d e p o s ite d (G e n e r a l w h e r e th e A m e r ic a n s im ila r c a r r ie d In s e c u r itie s w ith th e d o lla r w a s c o m m o n ly u s e d , t h e r e q u ir in g e x p e n d itu r e s , a case its T h e fo rm er a ll th a t, cu rrency F ed era l R eserve B a n k of A m e r ic a n T reasu ry R e p u b lic s announced th a t it w o u ld e n te r t a in a p p lic a tio n s f o r th e r e le a s e o f c u r r e n c ie s fo r w a r d e d b y s u c h c o u n t r ie s b u t w o u ld p e r m it i t to b e r e d e e m e d o n ly if A x is t a in t w e r e p r o v e d to b e a b se n t. D o lla r c u r r e n c y im p o r te d d ir e c t f r o m E u r o p e w a s p r e s u m e d to b e lo o t e d . T he e ffe c t of th ese r e s tr ic tio n s on d o lla r -c u r r e n c y m o v e m e n ts w as to d ecrease s u b s t a n tia lly th e v a lu e o f th e c u r r e n c y h o ld in g s o f t h e A x is a b r o a d . A t t h e e n d o f 1 9 4 5 th e lib e r a t io n o f a ll f o r m e r ly o c c u p ie d a r e a s w a s f o llo w e d b y G e n e r a l L ic e n s e N o . 9 4 , w h ic h r e m o v e d c o n tr o ls o v e r c u r r e n t tr a n s a c tio n s w ith a ll b lo c k e d c o u n t r ie s e x c e p t G e r m a n y , J a p a n , P o r t u g a l, S p a in , S w e d e n , S w it z e r la n d , L ie c h te n s t e in , a n d T a n g ie r . F u r th e r , u n d e r G e n e r a l O rd er N o . 9 5 , a ls o is s u e d in D e c e m b e r 1 9 4 5 , p r o v is io n w a s m a d e fo r th e u n fr e e z in g o f b lo c k e d a s s e t s o f c e r ta in c o u n tr ie s . B y th e end o f M arch 1947 a ll c o u n tr ie s e x c e p t P o r tu g a l, S p a in , a n d T a n g ie r , w e r e g e n e r a lly lic e n s e d b o th a s to b lo c k e d a s s e t s a n d c u r r e n t tr a n s a c tio n s . N o te s to C h art 1 9 a n d T a b le 2 7 C hart 1 9 U n ite d S t a t e s c o m m o n s t o c k s — M o o d y ’s s e r i e s f o r y i e l d on 200 com m on sto ck s, y ea r end. U n ite d S t a te s c o r p o r a te s to c k s h e ld b y fo r e ig n e r s — c o m p u te d o n b a s is o f a n n u a l c o m p ila tio n o f d iv id e n d p a y m e n ts to fo r e ig n e r s a n d e s t im a t e s o f m a r k e t v a lu e o f fo r e ig n h o ld in g s at year en d s. I n c lu d e s b o th com m on and p r efer red is s u e s . D a ta f o r 1 9 4 1 n o t a v a ila b le . U n ite d S t a t e s d ir e c t in v e s t m e n ts a b r o a d , r e c e ip ts — r a tio o f in t e r e s t a n d d iv id e n d r e c e ip ts and in c lu d in g branch U n ite d e a r n in g s S ta te s to in te r e s t U n ite d in S ta te s e q u ity n e t w o r th , b o n d e d in in v e s tm e n ts in d e b te d n e s s , com p an y a d v a n ces. A ll U n it e d S t a t e s c o r p o r a tio n s , d iv id e n d s — d a t a f o r U n it e d f ilin g b a la n c e s h e e t s w it h m e n ts to n e t w o r th . is th e ch an ge in abroad, and in te r S t a t e s c o r p o r a tio n s th e B u r e a u o f I n te r n a l R e v e n u e , r a tio o f d iv id e n d p a y T h e s e r ie s h a s s e v e r a l d e fe c t s , t h e m o s t im p o r ta n t o f w h ic h th e num ber o f c o n s o lid a te d O n e e f fe c t o f in c r e a s e d c o n s o lid a t io n in r e tu r n s file d , p a r t ic u la r ly in th a t y e a r a p p ea r ed to h a v e b e en a 1942. sh a rp d r o p in th e d iv id e n d s -n e t w o r th r a tio a s in te r c o m p a n y d iv id e n d s w e r e e lim in a te d . D a t a f o r 1 9 4 5 n o t a v a ila b le . F o r e ig n d ir e c t in v e s t m e n ts in th e U n ite d S ta te s , p a y m e n ts — r a tio of in te r e s t a n d d iv id e n d p a y m e n ts , a n d b r a n c h e a r n in g s , to f o r e ig n e q u ity in in v e s t m e n t in th e U n ite d S t a te s a s e s tim a te d a t y e a r e n d s. D a t a f o r 1 9 4 1 n o t a v a ila b le . A ll U n it e d S t a t e s c o r p o r a t io n s , e a r n in g s — n e t p r o fit a f t e r t a x e s o f a ll c o r p o r a t io n s filin g b a la n c e s h e e t s w it h th e B u r e a u o f I n t e r n a l R e v e n u e a s a p e r c e n ta g e o f t h e n e t w o r th o f t h o s e c o r p o r a tio n s . D a t a fo r 1 9 4 5 n o t a v a ila b le . U n it e d S t a t e s d ir e c t in v e s t m e n ts a b r o a d , e a r n in g s — n e t in c o m e a f t e r t a x e s o f a ll U n ite d S t a t e s d ir e c t in v e s t m e n ts S t a t e s n e t e q u ity in t h o s e e n te r p r is e s . abroad as a fo r e ig n p e r c e n ta g e o f U n ite d G e n e r a l 'N o te s .— 1 . I n s u r a n c e c o m p a n i e s a r e i n c l u d e d o n l y i n t h e d a t a r e f e r r i n g to a ll U n it e d S t a t e s c o m p a n ie s . 2. T h e e q u ity in d ir e c t in v e s t m e n ts a b r o a d u sed in c a lc u la tin g y ie ld s is g r o s s in th e s e n s e t h a t it in c lu d e s t h e e q u ity o f p a r e n t c o m p a n ie s w h ic h a r e in tu r n fo r e ig n -c o n tr o lle d . I n c o m e r e c e ip ts a n d p a y m e n ts a r e g r o s s in t h e s a m e s e n s e . T a b le 2 7 T he in te r n a tio n a l in v e s tm e n t p o s itio n c o u n t r y ’s i n t e r n a t i o n a l a s s e t s a n d U n it e d .S t a te s G o v e r n m e n t lo a n s . of th e U n ite d S ta te s s u m m a r iz e s th is lia b ilit ie s o f a c o m m e r c ia l n a tu r e , in c lu d in g T h e r e fo r e , p e r so n a l p r o p e r ty a n d r e a l e s ta te h e ld b y in d iv id u a ls f o r n o n b u s in e s s u s e s a n d t h e a s s e t s o f n o n p r o fit in s t it u t io n s a r e e x c lu d e d . M e r c h a n d is e in v e n t o r ie s a r e a ls o e x c lu d e d . G o ld h o l d in g s , in c lu d in g g o ld h e ld u n d e r e a r m a r k f o r f o r e ig n a c c o u n t, h a v e b e e n e x c lu d e d f r o m b o th a s s e t s a n d lia b ilit ie s . 224 T h e v a lu e o f e n e m y p r o p e r ty in t h e U n it e d S t a t e s s e iz e d b y t h e A lie n P r o p e r ty C u s to d ia n h a s b e e n e x c lu d e d fr o m f o r e ig n a s s e t s in t h is c o u n tr y a f t e r v e s tin g . H ow ever, U n ite d S ta te s p r o p e rty in en em y c o u n tr ie s is in c lu d e d at prew ar v a lu e s in t h e e s t im a t e s o f A m e r ic a n a s s e t s a b r o a d , e x c e p t f o r A m e r ic a n h o ld in g s o f d o lla r b o n d s, w h ic h h a d a m a r k e t v a lu e o f a b o u t $ 4 1 m illio n a t t h e e n d o f 1941. T h e la t t e r a r e e x c lu d e d a f t e r 1 9 4 1 in a s m u c h a s s u c h b o n d s w e r e e x c lu d e d fro m tr a d in g p r iv ile g e s been m ade fo r w ar on th e dam age to exchanges in th is d ir e c t-in v e s tm e n t co u n try . e x c lu d e th e v a lu e o f m ilit a r y in s ta lla tio n s a n d a n d lia b ilitie s r e s u ltin g fr o m fin a n c ia l t r a n s a c tio n s I n s o fa r a s p o s s ib le th e e s t im a te s a r e b a s e d N o p r o p e r tie s . r e d u c tio n s A m e r ic a n e q u ip m e n t b u t d o o f th e arm ed have a ssets in c lu d e a s s e t s fo r c e s. o n t h e r e s id e n c e o f U n it e d S ta te s c itiz e n s a n d a lie n s o n y e a r e n d s . T h e in v e s tm e n ts a b r o a d o f a ll r e s id e n ts o f th e U n it e d S t a te s , b o th c itiz e n s a n d a lie n s , a r e in c lu d e d in th e v a lu e o f U n ite d S t a te s in v e s t m e n ts a b r o a d , a n d th e a s s e t s in th e U n ite d S t a te s o f a ll fo r e ig n r e s id e n ts , b o th a lie n s a n d A m e r ic a n c itiz e n s liv in g a b r o a d , a r e in c lu d e d in fo r e ig n in v e s t t m e n ts in t h e U n it e d S ta te s . D ir e c t in v e s tm e n ts a r e s h o w n a t b o o k v a lu e s , s to c k s a n d b o n d s a t m a r k e t v a lu e s , a n d a s s e ts a n d lia b ilit ie s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s G o v e r n m e n t a n d o th e r c la im s a t fa c e o r s t a te d v a lu e s . T h e e s t im a t e s f o r s e v e r a l ite m s a r e r a th e r a r b itr a r y , p a r tic u J l a r l y w it h r e s p e c t t o t h e e f f e c t s o f c h a n g e s in r e s id e n c e , w a r d a m a g e , t h e m o v e m e n t s o f U n it e d S t a t e s c u r r e n c y , a n d , in s o m e in s t a n c e s , c h a n g e s in m a r k e t p r ic e s o f s e c u r itie s . 225 F orra 577 D e p a r t me n t BUREAU OR F O R E IG N B udget C o mme r c e o f AND DOMESTIC W A S H IN G T O N B ureau A pproval N o. E x p ir e s 4 1 -R 6 2 0 1 0 -3 1 -4 6 COM M ERCE 2 0 quart erl y repor t on t r ansac t io ns wit h f o r eig n subsidia r y or a f f il ia t e d c or por at ion Q u a rter N am e o f U. 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