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Getting to the tipping point? : Using employment data to forecast the odds of a recession

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Getting to the tipping point? : Using employment data to forecast the odds of a recession

DATE: October 20, 2011

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ABSTRACT: Recession probabilities have been in the news lately. What do the latest employment numbers say about the chances of the United States heading into another recession? An Atlanta Fed economist takes a look.

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Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. "Getting to the tipping point? : Using employment data to forecast the odds of a recession" in Human Capital Currents (October 20, 2011). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/7199/item/656482, accessed on September 15, 2024.

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DIGITAL COPY SOURCE: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

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