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REVISION Revision - See Federal Reserve Btilletin December 1970 and pages attached to the release of Nov- 27, 1970 FEDERAL statistical RESERVE release For immediate release* November 27, 1970 Revision of Money Supply and Related Data The annual revision of the daily average measure of the money supply and related data has been completed and revised data are shown in the accompanying tables* The revision this year, which affects estimates back to 1959, raises both the level and the percentage rate of increase of the money supply. Over the first ten months of 1970, the money supply grew at a 5-1/2 per cent annual rate on the revised basis, as compared to a growth rate in tie figures previously published of slightly under 4 per cent over the same period. The revision includes, as usual, the annual review of seasonal factors and new benchmarks for nonmember banks based on the latest "call report" data. In addition, the revision this year encompasses for the first time certain new data, mainly from agencies and branches m the U.S. of foreign banks and from subsidiaries of U S banks organized under the Edge Act to engage in an international banking business These new data serve to correct a downward bias in the money supply series caused by the generation of "cash items m the process of collection" on the books of U.S* domestic banks as a result of clearing a large daily volume of international transactions* In calculating the demand deposit component of the money supply, all "cash items in the process of collection" are deducted trom the relevant gross demand deposit figures. "Cash items" have been deducted since the inception of the money supply series in order to eliminate the double counting of deposit balances m process of being transferred from one bank to another, For example, when Mr, A deposits a check sent to him by Mr B, the bank account of Mr. A is increased bef ore ^that of Mr. B is reduced. Upon receipt of the check* Mr A's bank records a deposit liability and, while the check is clearing between banks, it al6o carries an asset called "cash item in the process of collection" Meanwhile, Mr B's bank still has a deposit liability to B until the check written by Mr. B goes through the clearing process and is presented for payment. Thus, in order to avoid overstatement of the money supply, it is necessary in the calculation of the money supply to offset the deposit liability still carried on the books of Mr B's bank by deducting the "cash item". -2International transactions--involving, tor instance, the writing of checks m connection with the borrowing and repaynent of Eurodollars or the purchase and ?ale of foreign exchange--give rise to "cash items" in a fashion similar to the domestic transactions described in the example above. These international transactions may be undertaken through domestic commercial banks as well as through institutions specializing in international banking, such as agencies and branches of forexgn banks and "Edge" corporations. Transactions through institutions specializing m international banking have beeti of increasing importance m recent years, axid have resulted xn a rising and, volatile amount of "cash items in the process of collectxan on the books of commercial banks, whose data are used in the calculation of theraoi^eysupply. These particular "cash items" did not reflect checks written against deposits that were included xn the money supply. Thus, Reduction of these "cash items11 from the demand deposit lxabxlxtxes of the commercial banks covered xn the money supply led to a downward bias in the level of the money supply as measured up to now. The rate of increase in the money supply was also lowered at those times when transactions through, and lxabxlxtxes of, xnternatxonal banking institutions were rising relatively more rapidly than deposxts at domestxc commercial banks. In the current revision the liabilities of specialized banking xnstxtutxons that correspond to "cash items" on the books of u\ S* commercxal banks have been added to deposxts as a means of eliminating the downward bias xn jthe money supply. These counterpart Ixabilities do not themselves add to the money supply. Rathejr, they serve to neutralize the downward effect m the money supply calculation of an equivalent amount of "cash items" on the books of commercial banks. This then permits deposits already on the books of U S commercxal banks, but whxch were inappropriately offset by these "cash items", to be reflected xn the money supply measure. But because forexgn agencxes and "Edge" corporatxons are now treated as part of the commercxal banking system, a small additional amount of dollar deposits held more or less permanently by their customers is also added to the money supply. The revision will be described in further detail, and additional back data will be presented, in an article in the December issue of the Federal Reserve Bulletin. FEDERAL RESERVE statistical h 6 release For immediate release November 27, 1970 Based on the revised series, the seasonally adjusted money supply has averaged $213 2 billion in the first three weeks of November, or about $200 million above the October average level. Total time and savings deposits continued to increase m the latest week, averaging about $2,6 billion higher than in the month of October. MONEY SUPPLY AND TIME DEPOSITS (Averages of daily figures, in billions of dollars) Seasonally adjusted Money Supply Period 1969—October November December 203 2 203 5 203.6 1970—January February March April May June July August September October 205.2 204.5 206 6 208 3 209 2 209.6 210 6 211.8 212 8 213.0 Week ending 1970—Oct Nov Demand d e p o s i t component 45.6 | ! 157.6 157.6 157.7 194.2 194.0 194.6 46 2 46.4 46.7 47.1 47.7 47.8 48.1 48.2 48.2 48.5 159.0 158.1 159.8 161.2 161.6 161.9 162.5 163.7 164.6 164.5 193.3 193.5 195.3 198.5 200.3 202.2 208.2 213.2 218.5 222,3 I 45.9 i 46.0 \ 7 14 21 28 213.7 213.9 213 9 212.3 48.4 48.5 48.6 48.5 165 4 165.4 165 3 163.8 221.1 222.0 222.8 223.0 4 il p 18 p 212.7 213 1 213.8 48 6 48 6 48 7 164.1 164.5 165.1 223 4 223.8 224.9 213 0 48.6 164.4 223.8 Average of l a s t 4 weeks Currency component Total Time d e p o s i t s adjusted, ( A l l commercial banks) DEMAND DEPOSITS, CURRENCY, AND RELA1ED 1TLMS (Averages of d a i l y f i g u r e s , i n b i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s Not s e a s o n a l l y adjusted ) Money Supply Period Total Currency component Demand d e p o s i t component Related d e p o s i t s ( A l l commercial banks) U S Gov't Time demand adjusted 1969—October November December 203.2 205.3 209.8 45.6 46.4 46.9 157.6 158.9 162.9 194.4 193.4 193.2 1970—January February March Aprxl May June July August September October 211.4 202.8 204.7 209.3 205.3 207.8 209.0 208.7 211.3 213.0 46.1 45.9 46.3 46.6 47.3 47.7 48.3 48.3 48.2 48.5 165.4 156.8 158.4 162.6 158.0 160.1 160.7 160.4 163.1 164.5 192.7 193 0 195.9 199 3 201.1 202.3 208.1 214.0 218.4 222.5 7 14 21 28 214.9 214.5 214.6 212.6 48.6 48.7 48.5 48.1 165.0 165.8 164.8 163.3 221.2 222.2 222.9 223.1 4 11 p 18 p 215 3 214.8 216.1 48.5 49.3 49.2 166.8 165.4 166.9 223.4 223.9 224.5 Week ending. 1970—Oct. Nov. 4 2 5 2 5 6 p. - Preliminary. NOTE Money supply consists of (1) demand deposits at all commercial banks, other than those due to domestic commercial banks and the U S Government, less cash items in process of collection and Federal Reserve float, (2) foreign demand balances at Federal Reserve Banks, and (3) currency outside the Treasury, the Federal Reserve and the vaults of all commercial banks Time deposits adjusted are^ time deposits at all commercial banks other than those due to domestic commercial banks and the U S Government. REVISED DATA MONEY SUPPLY AND TIME DEPOSITS ADJUSTED (In billions of dollars) 1 Seasonally adjusted [ Tune Money Supply I Demand deposits 1 Currency I deposit ad! Total 'component 'component I lusted i j r seasona1 ly adjusted Money Supply j Time deposits 1 Demand adCurrency deposit Total 1 component1 component lusted H N o t 1 v ^rth 1 j 19DS January February March April May June July August September October November December 19D9 January February March April May June July August September October November December 1970 ^January February March April May June July August September October 133 6 184 7 135 8 ! 136,6 i 138 7 i 190 2 . 191 6 192 7 193 6 194 3 196,0 197 4 40 6 40 7 41.1 41.3 41 6 41.9 42 1 42-3 42.7 42 8 43 2 43 4 43 6 43.8 44 1 44 2 j 44.5 44 8 45.0 45 2 45 3 45 6 45 9 j 46.0 j 205 2 | 204 5 \ ! 206 6 203 3 209 2 209 6 210 6 j 1 211 8 j 212 8 i j 213 0 46.2 46 4 46 7 47 1 47 7 47 8 48.1 48 2 48 2 48.5 1 \ ' ' ' 184.4 186.2 187 2 187.5 188.1 188.9 191.1 193.8 196.7 199.6 149.5 150.3 150.9 151.5 152.9 154.0 201.8 J 204.8 I 189.3 183.3 184.1 187.6 185.0 .188.5 190.1 189.S 192.2 194.3 197.7 203.4 [ 40.5 40.3 40.7 41.0 41.3 41.8 42.3 42.5 42.7 42.* 43,6 44.3 204.2 ' 197.8 198.3 202.0 197.7 200.5 201.5 1 199.6 201.4 203.2 205.3 209.8 43.5 43.4 43.7 43.8 44.2 44.7 45.2 45.4 45.3 45.6 46.4 46.9 211.4 202.8 204.7 209.3 205 3 207 8 209.0 208.7 211.3 213.0 46.1 45.9 46.3 46.6 47.3 47.7 48.3 48 3 48 2 48.5 148.8 143.0 143.4 146. 6 143. 7 146.6 147.8 147.3 149.6 j 151.5 154.1 ! 159.1 183.9 185.9 187.9 188.2 188.7 1 189.0 191.3 194.9 196.7 199.7 201.4 203.2 f [ • 1-98 1 199 3 200 1 j 201 0 ! 201 6 1 ] 202 4 203.1 205 6 j 202 & 203 2 203,5 203 6 1 143.1 144.0 144.7 145.3 ! 147 1 ! 148.3 154.5 155.5 156.0 156.8 157.1 157.6 158.1 157.4 157. 6 157.6 1 i i j 19fr.l 157.6 1 157.7 159 0 158.1 159.8 161 2 161.6 161.9 162 5 163 7 164 6 164 5 203.7 203.2 202.5 202.1 201.7 201.2 j ] 195.4 194.8 194.2 194.0 194.6 193.3 193.5 195 3 198.5 200.3 202.2 208.2 213 2 218 5 222 3 b I j \ '< i ! j 160.7 154.4 154.6 158.2 153.5 155.8 156.4 154.3 156.1 157.6 158.9 162.9 165.4 156.8 158.4 162.6 158.0 160.1 160.7 160.4 163.1 164.5 j 202.9 |; 202.6 j 203.2 203.0 202.5 j 201.3 I 198.1 196.0 194.9 194.4 193.4 193.2 192.7 193.0 195.9 199.3 201.1 202.3 208.1 214.0 218.4 222.* 5 1 REVISED DATA MONEY SUPPLY AND TIME DEPOSITS ADJUSTED (In b i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1 Veek ending Not s e a s o n a l l y adjusted Time Money Suppl [X 1 Time deposits Demand deposits adCurrency addeposit justed I 1 Total component component lusted 1 •Seasonally Adiusted Money Supply Demand Currency deposit T o t a l component j component 7 14 21 28 205.3 205.8 205.9 204.3 46.0 46.0 46.2 ; 46.3 194.3 193.7 193 0 192.7 216 214 211 206 4 11 18 25 203.9 204.0 204.5 205.0 ! 46.3 | 46.3 | 46.4 46.5, 192.7 193.1 193.5 194.1 206 1 203 7 202.7 199.8 45 8 46 2 46.0 45.7 Mar. 4 11 18 25 205-8 205.9 206.0 \ 206.6 46,5 46.6 46.7 j 46.8 159.3 159.3 159.3 159.8 194.3 194.4 195.0 195.8 204.a 204.3 { 204.9 j 203.1 1 Apr. 1 8 15 22 29 208.3 209.5 209.6 207.3 206.7 46.9 47-1 47.2 47.4 161.4 162 6 162.5 160.1 159.4 197.0 197.7 198.2 199.1 199.5 6 13 20 27 208.0 208.8 210.1 210.1 47.5 47-6 | 47-6 ! 47.7 160.5 161.3 162.5 162.5 3 10 17 24 210.1 209.5 210.1 208.5 ! July 1 8 15 22 29 Aug 5 12 19 26 1970—Jan. Feb. May June Sept. 2 9 16 23 30 : 159.4 159.8 159.7 157 9 1 j j 157.6 157.6 158.1 158.5 ! 1 46.9 ! j i i \ 1 \ 5 j 0 5 2 46 46 46 45 J60 6 193 192 192 192 160 157 156 154 3 5 7 1 192 1 192 4 193 0 193.5 46 0 46.5 46.4 46.2 158.0 157.8 158.5 L56.9 194 2 194.9 195 7 196 5 2 0 7 . 2 '• 209.7 211.2 210.0 206.3 46.3 46.9 46 8 46.6 46.4 160 162 164 163 159 9 9 4 4 8 197 8 198 8 199.0 ,199 5 200 1 207.2 205.7 205.0 203.5 47.2 47.4 47.3 47.0 160 0 1 158.4 157.8 156 4 200 4 200 7 201 2 201 5 201 7 202 0 202 0 202 1 203 7 205 7 207 1 208 7 210 3 212 0 213 1 213 7 214 9 216 1 217 2 217 8 218.9 | 220.1 I 201.2 201.3 201.8 202.3 207.1 207.5 210.0 205.3 47.6 48 0 47 8 47 6 159 5 159 5 j 162.2 157 8 160.8 161 4 162 I 159 5 159 5 210 0 211.3 210.9 210 0 210 0 47.9 48.1 48.1 48.1 48.0 1 162.1 ! 163.2 162.8 161.9 : 162.0 203.8 205.8 207 4 208.8 210.2 47.5 208 3 210 3 1 48 9 210 5 48.4 207 7 i 4 8 . 2 207.3 1 47.7 210.5 211.7 212.7 212.3 48 1 48 1 48 2 48.1 1 211.3 212 3 213.0 214.3 209.4 209.0 209.2 207.2 48.3 48 6 48 4 48 0 212.4 212.7 212.8 212.4 212 9 j 48 2 48 2 48.2 48 2 48 1 215.4 217.0 217.8 209.9 211.1 213.9 210.1 47.9 48 9 48 3 48 0 47.7 | ; • j ! [ 162.4 161.8 ! 162.3 160.6 164.3 164 5 164 6 164 2 164 8 169 97 167 165 5 199.7 199.8 200.4 200.6 47.7 47.8 47.-6 47.8 162.4 163.5 164.5 164.2 p— 6 2 0 5 219.4 J 220.3 iJ 210.2 1 | 161 16 160 159 1 4 7 2 162 162 165 162 162 0 2 6 1 5 4 9 5 2