Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : September 5, 1961
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Not f o r Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS September $, 1961. 1961 ! CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS r THE UNITED STATES icjluding Monthly Review of the Capital Markets e r l y Review of Corporate Security Financing) The volume of new s e c u r i t y financing was moderate l a s t week and i s expected t o be somewhat l i g h t e r t h i s Labor Day shortened week. Last week, ending September 1, one l a r g e S t a t e and l o c a l bond i s s u e of $20 million was sold while the Federal National Mortgage Association sold a #100 million debenture issue f o r new c a p i t a l as p a r t of a $200 million financing; no l a r g e corporate issues were on the calendar. This week, ending September 8, no l a r g e corporate or State and l o c a l bond issues a r e scheduled, but the Federal Land Banks a r e o f f e r i n g $73 million i n debentures t o r a i s e new c a p i t a l a s p a r t of a $193 million i s s u e . Bona f i e l d s . Yields on Aaa-rated corporate bonds and U. S. Government long-term bends remained unchanged l a s t week while y i e l d s on State and l o c a l government bonds and Baa-rated corporate bonds rose one b a s i s point each. Short- and intermediate-tern i n t e r e s t r a t e s . Yields on Treasury b i l l s declined l a s t week while those on 3-5 year U. S„ Government i s s u e s were unchanged. Yields on 3-month Treasury b i l l s dropped 9 basis p o i n t s while the decline in y i e l d s on 6-month b i l l s was 6 b a s i s p o i n t s . The average e f f e c t i v e r a t e on Federal funds rose 35 b a s i s points t o 1.65 per cent from the revised level of the previous week. Mortgage recordings. Nonfarm mortgage recordings expanded f u r t h e r i n June, with both Government underwritten and conventional loans sharing in the r i s e . At $2,561 m i l l i o n , the seasonally a d j u s t e d 3-month moving average of recordings in May was the highest since the autumn of 1959 and 8 per cent from the peak In the summer of t h a t y e a r . September s e c u r i t y volume0 Security i s s u e s by corporations a r e expected t o be in moderate volume i n September while State and l o c a l government financing i s expected t o be s u b s t a n t i a l . Corporate financing i s expected to t o t a l $0.7 b i l l i o n , one-sixth more than in August and s u b s t a n t i a l l y the same a s i n September of t h e two preceding years. Only $175 million of l a r g e i s s u e s are c u r r e n t l y scheduled f o r public o f f e r i n g . State and l o c a l government bond s a l e s in September are estimated a t $750 m i l l i o n , one-fourth l a r g e r than the revised estimate f o r August and one-tenth more than i n September of l a s t year. Accounting f o r a l a r g e p a r t of t h e estimated Septanber volume are two $100 million issues—one each by the State of California and the State of I l l i n o i s 0 -2- Capital markets i n August, New f i n a n c i n g by corporations and S t a t e and l o c a l governments in August was i n l i g h t t o moderate volume and bond y i e l d s changed l i t t l e . Sales of s e c u r i t i e s by corporations t o t a l e d only $0.6 b i l l i o n i n August s s h a r p l y l e s s than e i t h e r a year e a r l i e r o r in the preceding f o u r months. Large public o f f e r i n g s t o t a l e d l e s s than $200 m i l l i o n f o r the f i r s t time s i n c e March. With t h e supply of new i s s u e s small most of t h o s e o f f e r e d during the month were f a i r l y well received by i n v e s t o r s and t h e volume of s e c u r i t i e s i n syndicate was q u i t e small throughout the month. Yields on outstanding Aaa bonds were 1 i . 1 i 5 per cent a t t h e end of August ( d a i l y b a s i s ) , t h e same a s on July 31 s while y i e l d s on new o f f e r i n g s ( a d j u s t e d t o an Aaa b a s i s ) averaged approximately it.58 p e r cent, s l i g h t l y l e s s than in July. New bond s a l e s by S t a t e and l o c a l governments i n August t o t a l e d $0.6 b i l l i o n , one-third more than i n July but about t h e same as a year e a r l i e r . The August f i n a n c i n g t o t a l was l e s s than had been expected a t t h e beginning of the month p r i m a r i l y due t o the r e j e c t i o n of t h e only b i d f o r $125 million of S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a bonds, One of t h e two comp e t i n g b i d s on a $100 m i l l i o n C a l i f o r n i a i s s u e o f f e r e d a t t h e same time was accepted, however, and $100 m i l l i o n of t h e bonds not sold l a s t month have been rescheduled f o r bidding i n September. Despite the moderate volume of new f i n a n c i n g and g e n e r a l l y f a v o r a b l e new issue r e c e p t i o n , d e a l e r s made l i t t l e p r o g r e s s i n reducing t h e i r moderately heavy inventory of unsold s e c u r i t i e s . Advertised i n v e n t o r i e s f l u c t u a t e d between $W)0 and $U50 m i l l i o n during the month, much of t h i s c o n s i s t i n g of bonds o r i g i n a l l y o f f e r e d i n June and July, Yields on Aaa-rated S t a t e and l o c a l government bonds rose one b a s i s point to 3=3k per cent while y i e l d s on Baa bonds increased 5 b a s i s p o i n t s to 3.98 p e r c e n t . Common stock p r i c e s i n c r e a s e d r e g u l a r l y during August, closing on t h e 31st a t 68,07; two per cent higher than a t the end of J u l y but s l i g h t l y l e s s than t h e peak of 68. Wt reached on August 22. Trading volume averaged 3,5 m i l l i o n shares a day, moderately more than in June and July but s u b s t a n t i a l l y l e s s than t h i s s p r i n g , Stock p r i c e s . Common stack p r i c e s , as measured by Standard and P o o r ' s composite index of 500 stocks, increased on balance about one p e r cent l a s t week t o close a t 68.19 on Friday„ Trading volume declined a s . i s u s u a l around a holiday to average 3.0 million s h a r e s a day, Corporate Security Offerings in the First Half of 1961 Net proceeds from corporate s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s in the f i r s t half of 1961 t o t a l e d a record $7,2 b i l l i o n , more than one=balf l a r g e r than during the corresponding period l a s t year and 7 per cent more than t h e previous peak s e t in the f i r s t s i x months of 1957. While most of t h i s Table 1 Coiporate Security Offerings f o r New Capital by Type of business of I s s u e r F i r s t Half 1956-61 (Net proceeds i n mil]ions of d o l l a r s ) 1961 I960 1959 1958 1957 1956 7,212 1*,679 It,835 6,121 6,688 5,H*1* 70 9 6,*4 5,920 581* 152 It,527 It,152 375 61t 1*,771 1*,313 1*58 359 5,762 5,31*7 1*15 9k 6,593 6,128 1*65 236 1*,907 It,537 371 Manufacturing New money Other purposes 1,981 1,636 3l<6 809 690 119 1,109 967 11*2 1,51*2 1,363 178 2,373 2,100 273 1,613 1,387 226 E l e c t r i c , gas & water u t i l i t i e s New money Other puiposes 1,1*62 1,10.9 1*3 1,W6 1,371 36 1,791 1,710 81 2,095 2,020 75 2,116 2,015 101 1,301* 1,288 16 Communication New money Other puiposes 1,176 1,168 8 338 337 1 11*9 11*6 2 930 927 3 696 687 9 2lt8 2l*5 3 ! | Railroad New money Other puiposes 82 82 90 90 108 108 127 127 210 210 168 168 — — — — ' ! Other t r a n s p o r t a t i o n New money Other puiposes 31*1 297 1*3 230 223 7 385 370 15 276 211 65 195 192 3 160 157 3 Commercial and other New money Other puiposes 370 31555 29lt 232 62 1*09 299 110 101* 87 16 150 126 25 150 128 22 Mining New money Other puiposes 110 101 9 159 87 71 70 65 5 115 102 13 122 101 21 11*5 123 22 Financial and r e a l e s t a t e New money Other puiposes 982 901 80 1,200 1,121 79 75D 61t7 103 571* 510 61* 732 697 36 1,119 1,01*0 79 11*3 839 6JU6 551t 356 391* 277 297 m 26k 720 399 | Total coxponate o f f e r i n g s Refunding New c a p i t a l New money Other puiposes Sales and consumer finance Other Note „ --Details may not add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding e Source,--Securities and Exchange Commission and Federal Reserve 0 -k- Table 2 Total Corporate Security O f f e r i n g s by Type of Issue F i r s t Half 1956-61 (Gross proceeds i n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Type of issue 1961 i960 1959 1958 1957 1956 Total corporate o f f e r i n g s 7,3a 4,802 4,947 6,216 6,815 5,239 Type of o f f e r i n g Public Private 4,998 2;346. 3,113 1,688 3,168 1,780 4,520 1,696 4,949 1,866 3,139 2,100 Type of s e c u r i t y Bonds and notes Public Private (Memo: Convertible) 5,121 2,965 2,156 (299) 3,574 2,008 1,566 (198) 3,476 1,747 1,729 (338) 5,374 3,748 1,626 (957) 5,060 3,254 1,805 (639) 4,017 1,978 2,039^ (492) P r e f e r r e d stock Common stock 288 211 315 336 237 337 1,936 1,017 1,157 506 1,518 884 .. y e a r ' s new f i n a n c i n g was to obtain new c a p i t a l , new i s s u e s sold to r e t i r e outstanding s e c u r i t i e s were in s u b s t a n t i a l volume, unlike e i t h e r l a s t y e a r o r 195>7o These refunding i s s u e s t o t a l $0,7 b i l l i o n t h i s y e a r , t h e l a r g e s t refunding volume since the second h a l f of 1954, In c o n t r a s t t o t h e l a t t e r p e r i o d , however, when r e f i n a n c i n g t o take advantage of a decline i n i n t e r e s t rates-was widespread, t h i s y e a r ' s refunding volume r e f l e c t e d p r i m a r i l y the a c t i v i t i e s of the Bell Telephone System, and was motivated in p a r t by considerations other than t h e decline i n i n t e r e s t r a t e s . Corporate s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s f o r new c a p i t a l t o t a l e d $6,5 b i l l i o n i n the f i r s t h a l f of 1961, I4.i1 per cent more than a y e a r e a r l i e r and about -the same as the record volume In t h e f i r s t h a l f of 1957 when p l a n t and equipmait expenditures were a t an a l l - t i m e peak, one-tenth higher than t h i s y e a r . A f t e r the l i g h t e s t volume of new f i n a n c i n g in any f i r s t q u a r t e r since 1954, new o f f e r i n g s during t h e second q u a r t e r reached a record volume of $4,7 b i l l i o n . The second q u a r t e r t o t a l includes t h e AT&T $965 m i l l i o n common stock subscription i s s u e , but even i f t h i s o f f e r i n g were excluded, the second would s t i l l s e t a new record. I n d u s t r i a l d i s t r i b u t i o n . The i n c r e a s e in c o r p o r a t e s e c u r i t y f i n a n c i n g t h i s year was most notable f o r manufacturing companies. R a i l road, f i n a n c i a l and r e a l e s t a t e , and mining companies decreased t h e i r o f f e r i n g s „ Communications companies o t h e r than AT&T a l s o decreased t h e i r o f f e r i n g s over l a s t y e a r , New issue volume by manufacturing conpanies t o t a l e d $2,0 b i l l i o n in the f i r s t half of t h i s year, more than twice t h e amount r a i s e d in t h e security market in t h e s i m i l a r period of i960 and only one-eighth l e s s than i n 1957, when manufacturing companies were investing i n plant and equipment a t r a t e s o n e - f i f t h higher than t h i s year. In c o n t r a s t t o 1957» when f i v e i s s u e s of over $100 mill ion each accounted f o r about o n e - t h i r d of t o t a l manufacturing o f f e r s , only one such l a r g e issue—the §300 million U, S. Steel Company debenture issue—was sold t h i s year. Most types of manufacturing companies shared i n the large volume of security f i n a n c i n g t h i s y e a r , whereas in 1957 over t w o - f i f t h s of the financing was concentrated i n the petroleum, n o n e l e c t r i c a l machinery and primary nonferrous metals industries, Anticipated plant and equipment expenditures of Manufacturers are expected t o continue below the i960 level tr.ro.itP ":.ird quarter of t h i s year, i t appears t h e r e f o r e t h a t the large first, volume of security financing was primarily to r e s t o r e - u . - l t liqu.nLy, r^pay bank l o a n s , and to obtain funds f o r c a p i t a l expenditures later in the cycle when i n t e r e s t r a t e s are expected t o be higher. 'Ires is partly r e f l e c t e d i n the almost t h r e e f o l d expansion, a s compared with I960, in corporate s e c u r i t i e s issues f o r s t a t e d purposes ot^er t?«an new mjjnsy ana retirement of s e c u r i t i e s (mainly repayment of bank :=rA loans) by manuf a c t u r i n g conpanies, New financing by e l e c t r i c * gas and water u t i l i t i e s , ii?. sun ting t o S L 5 b i l l i o n , was h p e r cent g r e a t e r than in i960 but was l e s s than in most other recent years, A f u r t h e r growth in i n t e r n a l funds, depreciation allowances; hac made i t possible t o plan p l a n t and equipment jenditures t h i s year of almost *250 million no re thar; in I960, and t o repay bank loans of about the same magnitude as in the f i r s t half of i960 w._. only a $56 million increase in security financing in the f i r s t half and a new issue calendar for the second half of the year which c u r r e n t l y i s no r r e a t e r than l a s t year: Financial and real e s t a t e companies offered s e c u r i t i e s with proceeds of $1,0 b i l l i o n , about o n e - f i f t h l e s s than in i960. This d e c l i n e in o f f e r i n g s was accounted f o r by s a l e s and consumer finance conpanies <> These companies experienced a decline i n receivables during the f i r s t half of t h i s year due to a sizeable reduction i n expenditures by consumers on durable goods as compared with an expansion in the s i m i l a r period of l a s t year, They used the proceeds of t h e i r security o f f e r i n g s to help repay a l a r g e amount of bank borrowing. Types of issues„ Gross proceeds from both p u b l i c l y o f f e r e d issues and p r i v a t e placements were in record volume in the f i r s t half3 publicly o f f e r e d issues of $5=0 b i l l i o n were almost t h r e e - f i f t h s l a r g e r than l a s t year and one per cent l a r g e r than the previous record s e t in 1957 while p r i v a t e placements reached $2,3 b i l l i o n , t w o - f i f t h s l a r g e r than in i960 and one-eighth l a r g e r than during the record f i r s t half of 1956, the previous record period f o r p r i v a t e placements,, The volume of bond f i n a n c i n g a t 15*1 b i l l i o n was more t h a n twof i f t h s l a r g e r t h i s y e a r than l a s t and only s l i g h t l y smaller than t h e record volume of 1958. Common stock issues s e t a new record of $1,9 b i l l i o n . ~but t h i s was due e n t i r e l y t o the AT&T s u b s c r i p t i o n i s s u e , Aside from the l a t t e r i s s u e , the d o l l a r volume of common stock f i n a n c i n g was a l i t t l e l e s s than i n t h e f i r s t s i x months of both I960 and 1 9 # , P r e f e r r e d stock f i n a n c i n g of $0.3 b i l l i o n was about c n e - t h i r d more than l a s t year but l e s s t h a n in most other recent y e a r s . Financing through c o n v e r t i b l e bonds t o t a l e d $0.3 b i l l i o n , about one-half nere than l a s t year, but considerably l e s s than i n o t h e r recent y e a r s . More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent c a p i t a l maticet developments i s presented in t h e a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s 0 C a p i t a l Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e Federal Reserve System, LONG-TERM BOND YIELDS HIGH-GRADE I ' l l i MlXJ 15 Per cent p«r onnum LOWER-GRADE Exhibit B - Tables f o r Exhibit A -9- Long-teim Bond Yields High-grade Date Corporate Aaa 1/ 195k - Low 1957 - High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High I960 - Low 1961 - High Low 2 . 8 5 (4/23) U. S. Govt. long-term 2/ (per cent) Aug. h Aug. 11 Aug. 18 Aug. 25 J3ept. 1 p / 2.it5 3.76 3 . 07 lt.it2 3.75 it.03 3.70 it.llt (9/27) 3.55 ( s / z ) i t . 6 1 (1/29/60) it. 23 (9/9) lt.lt5 (8/18) it. 21 (3/17) . it.U5 it.it5 it.it5 it.itit h.hh^ (8/6) (10/18) ( 4/25) (1/8/60) (8/5) (8/11) (5/12) .3.95 it. 03 it. 01 it, 01 it. 01 . State and local government Aaa 3/ Spread between U. S. Govt,, and Corporate S tate and Aaa l o c a l Aaa 1.90 (9/2) 2.99 (9/1) 3.37 (7/6) 3.12 (2/23) .30 .60 .22 .59 .19 .57 .itO .30 .50 .3it .92 .53 .76 .it6 3.32 3.32 3.33 3.33 3.3it .51 .it2 .itit .lt3 . it3 .62 . .71 .68 .68 .67 3-1*5 (8/29) 2.61t (s/i) 3.65 (9/24/59) Lower-grade Date Corporate Baa 1 / State and l o c a l govt. Baa y Spread between Aaa and Baa S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l ^ovt. (per cent) 19% - Low 1957 - High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High 1960 - Low 1961 - High Low Aug. it Aug. 11 Aug. 18 Aug. 25 /Sept. 1 2 / (12/31) 5.10 (11/26) i t . 5 1 (7/11) 2.93 (8/5) It. 5 1 (8/29) 3.6it (5/1) .52 L.27 5.36 (2/12/60) It. 98 (9/9) 5.12 ( 9 / 1 ) 5,00 ( V 2 1 ) i t . ^ 6 (1/7/60) 3 . 9 8 (12/29) L 1 6 (3/23) 3.93 (8/3) .81 .66 5.11 5.11 5.12 5.11 5.1/ 3.93 3.97 3.97 3.97 3.98 .66 .66 .71 .67 .67 .68 g / Preliminary. 1 / Meekly average of del l y figure a . Average term of bonds included i s 23 »26 year#. 2/ Weekly average of dally f i g u r e s . The series includes bonds due or c a l l a b l e I n 10 years or more. 3 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included} average term l a 20 y e a r s . Note.—lllghs and Ions are for individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . Ftor spreads, high r e f e r s t o widest, and low t o narrowest. 1 .96 1.21 .93 1.08 ,B6 .93 .57 .61 .65 .6h .6h . SHORT- AND [NTERMEDIATE- TERM INTEREST RATES GOVERNMENT A \ xCN i y^J{ v p *\A m i s AV-a ( A, TO J rC 11 J\ t . DISCOUNT *ATE. T J BANKS AND OTHER PRIVATE DISCOUNT I RATES r1 BORROWERS (\4 3 • 5 Y t A B ISSUES W\ —11— Exhibit D - Tables f o r Exhibit C 3 i o r t - and Intermediate-tern I n t e r e s t hates Government Date Discount rate V H954 - Low 11957 - High 11958 - Low : 1959-60 - High ' i960 - Low ; 1961 - High Low 1.50 3.50 1.75 Aug. 4 Aug. 11 i Aug. 18 Aug. 25 ^ept,. l £ / 2.28 3.00 3.00 „ 2.38 2.50 3.00 2.1*3 . 3.00 3.00 2.34^ Loo 3.00 3.00 3.00 Yields 6-month b i l l s 2/ (per cent) 3-month b i l l s 2/ .61 (10/18) 4.59 2.11 (1/8/60) (10/28) .58 ( 5/29) 2.56 (3/3) 2.17 (1/27) Spread between yields on 3-month b i l l s and yields on 6-mo. b i l l s 13-5 y r . issues 1 . 6 6 (4/30) (6/11) 3.64 3-5 year issues 2/ 4 . 0 4 (10/18) 2.11* (6/6) 2.35 (V28) 3.86 18/11) 3.15 (5/12) .26 .79 .16 .28 .12 2.51 2.64 2.78 2.71 2.65 3.74 3.86 3.83 3.77 3.77 .23 .26 .28 .28 .31 3.02 5.07 2.38 (12/26) (1/8/60) (12/30) 2.78 (8/18) 5 . 0 0 (12/24/59) 3 . 1 | 0 (12/30) Banks an?l, OtherrPrivate Borrowers • Date Prime rate 3/ Stock Exchange c a l l loan y Finance company paper 3/ Federal funds 4/ .66 .86 .04 1.81 .38 1.48 .92 1.46 1.48 1.33 1.34 1.43 Spread between 3-mo. b i l l s and finance co. paper (per cent) J 11954 - Low 0.957 - High *3.958 - Low 1959-60 - High, Z960 - Low 1961 - High Low 3.00 4,50 3.5d 5.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 3.00 4.50 3.50 5.00 4.50 4.50 4.5o 1.25 (12/31) 3*88 (11/15) 1'. 13 (8/8) 5'. 13 (1/22/60) 2:88 (12/30) 2.88 (3/10) 2.50 (7/28) n.a. 3.50 .13 4.00 .95 2.85 .43 Aug. 4 Aug. 11 Aug. 18 "Aug. 25 iSept. 1 c / 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 2.50 2.60 2.69 2.69 2.69 2.05 2.70 2.55 1.30 1.65 1/ (li/a) ( V2») (5/13/60) (12/2) (2/17) (1/27) 0 .63 -.35 1.02 .22 .56 .11 .22 .22 -19 .26 .35 W«ckl> r a t e ehowa I s i t t t e t ' I n e f f e c t a t end of p e r i o d . Dleoount r i t e l a f o r f e d e r a l Reserve Bark of New York. Stock Exohange c a l l I 6 a f c > a t * 1* going r a t e on c a l l loams secured by customers' stock exchange c o l l a t e r a l a t Haii York City banks, Prtme r a t e l a t h a t charged by l a r g e banks on s h o r t - t e r m l o a n s t o b u s i n e s s borrowers of t h e h i g h e s t c r e d i t standing* 2 / Market y i e l d ; weekly a v e r a g e s computed from d a l l y c l o s i n g bid p r i c e s . S e r i e s of 3-5 year I s s u e s c o n s i s t s of s e l e c t e d n o t e s and bonds, > 3 / Average of d a l l y r a t e s published by flnamce companies f o r d i r e c t l y planed paper f o r varying m a t u - l t l e s I n the 9 0 - 1 7 9 day r a g g e . . 4 / Weekly average of d a l l y e f f e c t i v e r a t e , which I s t h e r a t e f o r t h e h e a v i e s t vol use of purchase and sale t r a n s a c t i o n s a s r e p o r t e d t o t h e Federal Reserve Bank of New York. ' Not*.—Highs and lows a r s f o r I n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s f o r d i f f e r e n t d a t e s f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . For s p r e a d s , high r e f e r s t o w i d e s t , and lew t o n a r r o w e s t . STOCK MARKET STOCK MARKET CREDIT * CHANGE jN SERIES MORTGAGE RECORDINGS AND Monthly LOANS Exhibit F - Tables f o r Exhibit L -13- Stock Market Date Stock p r i c e index 1 / Trading volume 3/ yields 2/ (millions ( p e r c e n t ) of shares) Common 1957-60 - High Low 1961 - High Low 39.1*8 (12A-0/57) 68.29 (8/18) 58.1*8 ( 1 / 6 ) 3.08 lt.72 2.88 3.32 1*.9 1.1* 5.8 2.7 JulyAugust Aug. 18 Aug. 25 Sept. 1 g / 65.38 67.86 68.29 67.67 68.19 2.98 2.90 2.88 2.91 2.89 3.0 3.5 3.6 3.U 3.0 6 0 . 5 1 (7/31/59) Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers 1 Bank debit balloans t o ances 1*/ "others" 5 / ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1*,761* (4/59) 3 , 1 * 0 1 (4/69) 3,551* (1/50) 2 , 1 * 0 2 (12/57) 1 , 0 6 0 (11/57) 1 , 3 7 3 (5/59) 5,386(5/61) 1*,060(5/61) 1,378(8/23) 1*, 1*21*(1/61) 3,253(1/61) 1 , 1 6 1 ( 3 / 8 ) 5,355 n*a. n.a. 3,991 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,361* n.a. 1,370 1,378 n.a. n.a,...Hot a v a i l a b l e . $ / Prnllit.lt.ary. / A1, 1 / Standard end P o o r ' s composite Index of 5U0 oczmon stock-*, weekly o l o o l i y p r l e e i , 1941-43*10. Monthly d a t a a r e a v e r a g e s of d a l l y f l c u r e o r a t h e r t h a n of M d c y ' e o n l y . Hlghn and lows are f o r Fridays* data o n l y , 2 / Standard and Poor'o ocmpotlto stock y i e l d baoed on Wednenday data converted t o weekly c l o s i n g prloee by f e d e r a l Recerve. Yields shown a r e f o r dateo on which p r i c e index roaohod i t s high or low. 3 / Averagem of d a l l y t r a d i n g volvrae on t h e Hew York Stock Exchaiye. 4 / End of month f i g u r e 0 f o r member f i r m , of t h e Now York Stock Exchange whloh c a r r y margin a c c o u n t i j exeludeu balances secured by U, S . Coveriment o b l l e a t i o n e . 6 / Wednesday f i g u r e 0 f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member banks. Excludes l o i n s for purchasing or carrying " • "• Government^ t p c u r i t i e s . P r i o r t o J u l y 1 , 1059, such losnn are excluded only a t banks i n New York and Chicago, Weekly r e p o r t i n g bonks account f o r about 70 per__oont of loans t o o t h e r o . For f u r t h e r d e t a i l sou B u l l e t i n . Nonfarm Mortgage.Recordings and Loans 1 / 1960 - June July Aug. Sept, Oct. Nov. Dec. 1961 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May Unadjusted fotal Seasonally • VA. FHA • Unadjusted adjusted 2/ ( M i l l i o n s 0: d o l l a r s ) 175 365 2,1*27 160 362 ':!«• 2,1*93 181 1*17 2,781* 2,188 169 1*25 2,1*61* 2,598 162 1*31 2,525 2,1*51 1*01* 150 2,378 2,1*26 11*2 390 2,338 2,1*07 1*10 132 2,075 2,373 108 3B 1,997 2,387 125 31*8 2,1*1*1* 2,398 109 318 2,1*76 2,358 123 31*9 2,561 # 386 137 2 , 856 Conv. 2,150 2,006 2,186 2,001* 1,929 1,821* 1,806 1,533 1,51*8 1,972 1,931 2,228 2,333 n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . ^ 1 / T o t a l r e c o r d i n g s data a r e estimates baeed on r e p o r t s from about 450 a r e a s and include mortgagee of j20,000 or l i e s eeoured by nonf&rm r e a l e s t a t e , p r i m a r i l y r e s i d e n t i a l p r o p e r t i e s . KHA-laeured l o a n s r e p r e s e n t g r o s s amount of insurance w r i t t e n , and VA-guaranteed loans the g r o s s amount of loans closed,on 1-4 family houoes. Conventional data are derived ae a r e s i d u a l , although t o t a l r e c o r d i n g s and VA and FHA l o a m w e not s t r i c t l y comparable I n concept or t i m i n g . 2/ Three-month moving average, eeaaonally a d j u o t e d by Federal Reserve. Souroei Federal Home Loan Dank Board, Federal Housing Administration and Veterans A d m i n i s t r a t i s * . Exhibit 0 -ill- Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of d o l l a r s ) Corporate 1 / I I960 r w "T New c a p i t a l 1961 State and l o c a l 2/ """ I 1960 ! 1959" 570 715 860 821 738 61j6 715 681 758 2,118 1,259 1,318 577 -l,0liU '891 785 887 720 588 e/1,050 e/X,000 &/600 e/700 * 736 967 726 535 • 710 703 890 ' 956 852 900 * 580. 3 i;%s e|2,300 6,501. e/8,80l* •A5° e/600 e/750 a 700 611 568 . 6!t8 6# 719 51*5 991 . Si 987 1*92 606 683 1*1*3 521 1*70 31*8 593 1*50 1*78 £ 2,11*5 2,382 2,128 2,698 2,20lt 2,567 1,979 2,6142 2,15U e/2,358 e/1,800 1,660 2-, 256 1,780 1,3U0 2,11*5 2,1,88 1,1*33 1,521 1,527 6,955 9,653 1,771 6,750 9,392 e/^,512 fi/6,312 If,136 5,916 7,257 1,631* 6,067 7,588 Excluding fireince icompanies y 1,551+ 4,552. e/2,200 e7 1/ 2/ y 1,716 2,165 2,018 2,317 1,999 2,1*12 1,716 2,503 8,216 8,630 Estimated. S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of p r i n c i p a l amounts. Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of sales and consumer finance companies. Exhibit H Other Security Offerings ( I n millions of dollars) Gross long-term \ T Federal agency 3/ Foreign government 2/ 1961 | 1960 | 1961 j I960 1 195? 81 60 2 252 31* 72 l|0 58 50 1*2 100 11*9 278 July August September 25 1 36 85 1 35 199 October November December 3l* 2 1*1 ' 33 30 70 160 1 1*9 181 6, 29 20 April May June 2 63 2l* Year " 533 1U8 35U «« — — 98 150 — 86 1,672 '51*7 -1* 181 1* 199 175 — 707 Federal agency 3/ State and l o c a l government 5/ January February March 1959 182 150 150 2 175 70 January February Ma rch -11*1* -162 -171* -196 -202 -59 -82 176 33 160 195 -8 f8 il*o -80 -103 -1*2 ' 70 -11*6 -157 197 -25 -197 July August September 1*8 1*15 -175 57 392 131 95 23 -201 362 133 79 October November December -16 50 -189 -81 -176 -117 -23 -33 -250 280 21*0 1*1* 18 362 -633 April May June Year -79 -87 207 -277 170 ' 320 . 50 368 286 1,969 EZ P r e l i m i n a r y , \J These d a t a d i f f e r f r o * those I n Exhibit 0 I n t h a t re f u n d i i * I s s u e s , a s w e l l a s new c a p i t a l i s s u e s , a r e I n c l u d e d , LfOry-tere s e c u r i t i e s a r e d e f i n e d a s t h o s e maturing I n more t h a n one y e a r . 2 / I n o l u d s s s e o u r l t l e s o f f e r e d I n t h e United S t a t e s by f o r e i g n governments and t h e i r s u b d i v i s i o n s and by I n t e r n a t i o n a l o r g a n i z a t i o n s , Souroet S e o u r l t l e s and Exchange Commission. 3 / i s s u e s not g u f r a n t n e d by the U. S, O o v e r m e n t . Source: long-term, S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission; s h o r t term , T r e a d i r y Department and f e d e r a l Reserve. 4 / These <fata d i f f e r from those i n Exhibit 0 and above i n t h a t they r e p r e s e n t new o f f e r i n g s l e b s r e t i r e m e n t s , whether from t h e proceeds of r e f u n d i n g I s s u e s or from o t h s r funds, fcta include only i s s u e s w i t h o r i g i n a l m a t u r i t y of one year qr l e s s . 5 / P r i n c i p a l l y t a x and bond a n t i c i p a t i o n n o t e s , w a r r a n t s o r ' c e r t i f i c a t e s and P u b l i c Housing A u t h o r i t y n o t e s . I n some l n s t a n o e s PHA n o t e s Included may have a somewhat longer term t h a n one y e a r . Sourcei Bond Buyer and Federal Heserve. Exhibit I -16- Large Long-term Public Security Issues f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large I s s u e s Offered ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate i960 - August September October November December 1961 - January February March April May S t a t e and local government 581 266 566 U65 260 lltf 26? 70 1,572 557 532 475 185 July August 298 367 I46 186 222 391 360 li05 383 256 616 179 281 Other 2/ 75 25 77 150 99 67 25 151 100 Lax^ge Individual Issues Offered during August Issuer Type y Coupon Amount r a t e or Offering Rating ( m i l l i o n s Maturity of net i n t e r - yield dollars) e s t cost CORPORATE Texas Eastern Trans. Co. Texas Eastern Trans. Co. Long Island Lighting Co. Kimberly-Clark Corp. Northern S t a t e s Pwr. Co. Consumers Power Co. Clark Equip. Credit Corp. Deb. Conv.pfd.stk. 1 s t mtg. bds. S.F. deb. 1 s t mtg. bds. 1 s t mtg. bds. Deb. 30.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 20.0 I4O.O 20.0 1981 5-3/8 5.38 Ba 1991 1986 1991 1991 1981 5 4-5/8 4-7/8 4-5/8 5-lA 4.90 1.63 4.85 I4.6O 5.35 A Aa Aa Aaa • - - STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT S t a t e of Maryland Public Housing Authority Sacramento USD, C a l i f . Penna. Gen. State Auth. S t . Petersburg, F l a . Wash. Sub. S a n i t . D i s t . , Maryland S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a Cook County, I l l i n o i s San Diego USD, C a l i f . G.O. 0.0. Rev.-Rent. Rev. -Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 16.9 196U-76 60.3 1962-2002 10.0 I963-86 25.0 196U-88 lii.O 1967-91 10.0 100.0 25.0 20.0 1963-92 1963-87 1962-76 1963-82 2.92 3.45 3.39 3.5k lull 2.00-3.10 I.I1O-3.63. . 1.85-3.53H/ 2.20-3.70 2.90-1.10 Aaa Aaa Aa 3.56 3.75 3.33 3.44 2.10-3.8$ 2.00-3.90 1.75-3.50 2.00-3.65 A Aa A A A Large Individual Issues Offered during August (Cont'd) Issuer I>pe J / Amount Coupon (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating of net i n t e r - y i e l d dollars) e s t cost OTHER Federal National Mortgage Association Deb. 1/ 100.0 1971 ii-1/2 — Includes corporate and other security offerings of $L$ million and over; State and local government security offerings of $L0 million and over. 2 / Includes foreign government and international Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. y In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligationsj Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public u t i l i t i e s ; Hev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from qua s i - u t i l i t i e s } Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from s p e c i f i c taxes only; Rev.-Bent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. 1986 maturity not reoffered. 1.10 per cent bonds due 1990-92 were reoffered to y i e l d lu75. -18- Forthcoraing Large Long-term Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 2 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent to date shown During month following date shown Date of computation Corporate K - Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 28 May 31 June 30 J u l y 31 Aug, 31 216 576 ao 260 91 110 55 1,580 5k2 1*87 521 ! 170 175 ffjothar 283 212 258 21*2 1*12 181 307 559 236 1*31 195 1*06 399 ^ 77 50 15 75 73 Corporate | % g ^ |other 2 / 283 336 391 560 682 360 638 806 579 771 291 537 530 731 836 585 335 1,036 1,01*6 1,125 1,700 687 ~~ 611 666 255 21*0 127 50 15 75 73 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of September 1 Issuer Mountain Fuel Supply Co. Armour * Co. Western Union t e l e g r a p h Co. P a c i f i c Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. Keystone S t e e l k Wire Co. Rochester Gaa & E l e c t r i c Co, Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Realty C o l l a t e r a l Corp. Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) Deb. Conv, sub. deb. Com. stk, 1 s t & ref.mtg.bda, Conv. sub. deb. 1 s t mtg. bds. Deb., bds. & com. Coll. t r . notes 18.0 32.5 1*5-0 60.0 20.0 1$.0 1*5. o 20,0 Sept. 12 Sept, 12 ( r i g h t s expire) Sept. 25 ( r i g h t s expire) Sept. 27 Sept. Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Commonwealth of Massachusetts Cheyenne, Wyoming S tate of C a l i f o r n i a Penna, Sta te School KLdg. Auth. Oklahoma Building Bond Comm. Los Angeles, C a l i f . New York City D e t r o i t , Michigan e t r o i t City Sch. D i s t . , Mich. forD FRASER Digitized G.O. Rev,-Ut. 0.0. Rev.-Rent. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. 1*7,0 10.0 100,0 21*. 0 35.5 15.0 1*2,9 11*,5 10,0 Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept, 12 12 13 19 19 20 20 26 26 J-2 -19- Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of Septmber 1 (Cont'd) Issuer Typ* Amount (millions Approximate date I of dollars) of offering STATE AMD LOCAL 00VEHEMENT (Cont «d) State of I l l i n o i s Orleans Parish Sch. Dist., La, Dade County, Florida Jacksonville Expressway Auth. State of Kentucky federal Land Banks 0.0. 100.0 0.0. 10.0 W.O 0.0. 35.0 Sept. 27 Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite 73.3 Sept. 7 G.O. Bev.-Ut. Deb. 140.0 #—Included in table for f i r s t time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $1$ million and over; State and local government issues of $L0 million and over. 2/ Includes foreigi government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues Toy Federal agencies. Note. —Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue* None. jixhibit K Yields on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, feted Aa ahd A 1/ Date 1952-1960 - high Low Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual (per cent) seasoned y i e l d s (per cent) seasoned y i e l d s ( b a s i s points) (basis p o i n t s ) 5.30 (12/8/59) 2.93 (3/31/54) 1961 - Jan. 12 18 25 Feb. 8 16 16 Mar. 23 24 Apr. 13 21 26 27 May 17 18 19 23 26 June 8 13 28 July 13 26 Aug. 3 9 87 -8 1.60 4. 55 4.44 11 7 -2 4.37 8 4.80 L.67 4.50 2/ 4.57 ' 43 29 . 13 20 4.65 27 4.87 " 41 U.65 Hi 85 29 5.65 (9/18/59) 3.00 (3/17/54) 123 -15 it. 60 4.6$ 4.47 4.50 4-.U0 4.65 2/ 4.80 2/ -2 5 -13 5 -5 17 32 4.72 19 4.80 . 27 4.94 5.12 4.92 40 55 36 4.93 29 4.90 20 • • 2/ Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, a s reported i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual y i e l d figure and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s during the indicated period and of the d i f f e r ences between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned issues of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r t h e same day. Average maturity f o r the seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 to 28 years. Provides f o r a 5-year period during which i s s u e may not be called f o r refunding a t a lower coupon r a t e . Monthly averages so marked^ Include one or more issues with such a provision. Other issues have no suc& provision.