Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : September 1, 1955
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS Hell* September 1, 1955 CAPITAL 1.1/LRKLT BEVliLORTHTS Corporations o f f e r e d 122 million d o l l a r s , and S t a t e and l o c a l governments 33 m i l l i o n of l a r g e public s e c u r i t y i s s u e s f o r new c a p i t a l during the week ending August 26. This week too l a r g e S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s t o t a l i n g 12 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s are scheduled f o r s a l e . Estimates f o r September - Corporate o f f e r i n g s f o r new c a p i t a l i n September are estimated a t 525 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , about 30 per cent l e s s than t h e volume l a s t September. This estimate does not include 635 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s of c o n v e r t i b l e debentures which AT&T i s c u r r e n t l y o f f e r i n g t o stockholders however. The proceeds from t h i s e n t i r e i s s u e w i l l be counted in the October v o l ume, since s u b s c r i p t i o n r i g h t s do not expire u n t i l October 13, a l though much of t h e impact of t h i s i s s u e on the market w i l l probably occur i n September. The third quarter estimate for corporate new c a p i t a l t o t a l s 1,525 million dollars—about one-fourth below that for the same period of 195U* The difference can be accounted f o r by two very large i s s u e s , however—300 million dollars of U. S. S t e e l s e r i a l debentures and 250 m i l l i o n of AT&T debentures "which were f l o a t e d i n July and September 195U r e s p e c t i v e l y . The S t a t e and l o c a l government estimate f o r September i s ilOO m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , about 1|0 per c e n t l e s s than the corresponding volume a year ago. Two i s s u e s with proceeds of more than 100 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s were included in l a s t September f s t o t a l , but no i s s u e of t h a t s i z e i s c u r r e n t l y scheduled t h i s y e a r . Total S t a t e and l o c a l o f f e r i n g s f o r the t h i r d quarter a r e estimated t o be 1,095 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s j u s t s l i g h t l y l e s s than i n the same p e r i o d a year agoe Bond y i e l d s - U. S . Government long-term bond y i e l d s r o s e two b a s i s p o i n t s during the week ending August 26.- Yields on corporate Aaa and S t a t e and l o c a l government Aaa bonds d i d not change. S t a t e and l o c a l government revenue bond y i e l d s increased two b a s i s p o i n t s l a s t week, while y i e l d s on both c o r p o r a t e and S t a t e and l o c a l government Baa bonds r o s e one" b a s i s p o i n t . Daily f i g u r e s show l i t t l e change i n corporate and Treasury y i e l d s i n t h e f i r s t t h r e e .days of t h i s week. . —2— Stock' p r i c e s - The SEC index of 26£ common stock p r i c e s increased $ ok p o i n t s ' l a s t week t o t o t a l 257 M on August 26 i n somewhat heavier t r a d i n g than that of the two preceding weeks. According t o d a i l y indexes, p r i c e s decreased s l i g h t l y on Monday and Tuesday of t h i s week but more than recovered the l o s s on Wednesday. More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments w i l l be found in t h e attached e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , Division of rtesearch and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS W**kly -j 1952 1953 Corporate Aaa 1/ 1954 U. S. Govt. long-term 2 / 2.50 1955 State and l o c a l g o v t . , Aaa 3 / Spread between ^ U . S . Govt, and Corporate State and l o c a l Aaa (Per cent) 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 3.03 2.91 3.42 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.32 2.91 July 29 August 5 August 12. August 19 August 26 3.07 3.09 3.10 3.12 3.12 1 9 # - High Low 1953 -Higfr (1/4) (2/15) (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) U/23) (8/26) (1/7) 2.79 2.56 3.15 2.78 2.74 2.1*4 2.94 2.62 2.94 2.9k 2.89 2.89 2.91 (12/27) (5/17) (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) (1/7) 2.00 1.65 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.34 2.05 2.27 2.29 2.34 2.34 2.34 (10/23) (5/1) (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (8/25) (5/26) .37 .19 .38 .19 .43 .32 .34 .13 1.02 .71 .81 .30 .61 .29 .70 .54 .13 .15 .21 .23 .21 .67 .65 .55 .55 .57 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s ; old s e r i e s . Average term to f i r s t c a l l of bonds included i s 13-14 y e a r s . 3 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bonds are included; average term i s 20" y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and -may be cti d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. EXHIBIT B L O W E R - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly Per cent p e r ~T / ! • v " \ STATE A N D LOCAL G O V T . B a a 1952 Date 1953 Corporate Baa 1/ 1954 S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Baa 2 / 1955 State and l o c a l povt. rev. 3 / (Per cent) 1952 - High 1953 - High Low 1951 - High 1955 - High J u l y 29 August 5 August 12 August 19 August 26 3.63 3.1*8 3.89 3.50 3.74 3.44 3.58 3.45 3.53 3.55 3.56 3.57 3.58 (1/4) (5/16) (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (8/26) (1M) 2.98 2.1*8 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.23 3.02 3.18 3.21 3.21 3.22 3.23 (10/23) (4/17) (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (8/25) (1/6) 2.69 2.27 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2,95 2.76 (12/19) (4/25) (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (8/26) (1/7) 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.93 2.95 ~~ 1/ Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 y e a r s . 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bends are includedj average term i s 20 y e a r s . "if Friday f i g u r e s . Average rating of bonds included i s between Baa and Aj average term i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . Stock p r i c e Common Trading volume 2 / (millions yields 3 / of s h a r e s ) ( p e r c e n t ) Stock market c u s t a n e r c r e d i t Gust o n e r s debit b a l - loans t o "others" jy ances V Total ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) i 1952 - High , 1953 - High 165.3 (12/26) 151.7 (10/2It) 167.1 (1/2) lhk.0 (0/12) 195k - High 221.it ( 1 2 / 3 1 ) 1 9 5 5 • - High 259.9 (7/29) 217.it ( 1 / l i t ) July August 12 August 19 August 26 156.5 (1/6) 2Wi.5 257.3 253.7 252.0 257.it ' 2.0 0.9 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.it It . 6 1.5 2.7 2 .It 1.7 1.5 2.0 5.77 5.13 5.75 5.15 5.33 it . 2 0 it.22 3.78. 3.87 3.78 '1,986 1,80b 2,Uit5 2,055 3,W6 2,It# 3,911 3,537 1,332 l,2itl 1,665 l,31it 2,388 1,653 2,73^ 2,517 3,871 3,911 2,711 2,73k ' 656 552 780 66U i,oit8 7it6 1,177 1,018 1,160 1,177 1,171 1,169 n . a . Not a v a i l a b l e . . _ 1 / SEC i n d e x o f 2 6 5 common s t o c k s , w e e k l y c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1939=100; c o n v e r t e d t o 19lt7-ii9=100 by F e d e r a l R e s e r v e . The c o n v e r s i o n f a c t o r i s 1 2 3 . 9 1 . 2 / A v e r a g e s of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on t h e Hev; York S t o c k Exchange. 3 / Lioody's 2 0 0 ccnmon s t o c k s ; end of month f i g u r e s . I / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of t h e Mew York S t o c k Exchange which c a r r y mar ran a c c o u n t s ; e x c l u d e s b a l a n c e s s e c u r e d by U. S . Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / '.Vednesday f i g u r e s f o r w e e k l y r e p o r t i n g member b a n k s . E x c l u d e s a l l l o a n s ' f o r p u r c h a s i n g or c a r r y i n g U. S . Governments f o r 1 9 5 2 ; s i n c e 1953 o n l y t h e s e l o a n s a t banks i n New York and Chicago a r e e x c l u d e d . '.Veekly r e p o r t i n g banks a c c o u n t f o r about 72 p e r c e n t of l o a n s t o o t h e r s . N o t e . — H i g h s and lovis a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (in millions of dollars) 1953 1955 51*6 ' 1*3.6 1,261 51*7 h26 635 623 623 #6 535 312 538 396 Itll 565 390 360 1*26 1*91* 903 697 h91 6£6 8ii2 779 675 1,123 1*27 350 • 61;1 13k 71*8 853 329 61*9 1*31* e/hOO e/600 e/^25 909 335 747 1*83 325 753 e/l*60 ^235 1/1*00 279 261 61:9 519 259 1*75 591* 1*23 877 1*53 . 108 771* 1,372 2,331* 1,188 .1,891* 6,789 1,176 1,1*12 1,253 1,636 5,1*77 1955 January February March April May ' June July August September October November December 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter i;th quarter Year New c a p i t a l Corporate 1 195'1* 1 2,21*3 • 2,094 e/l,525 . 1,003 290 601* 577 1*29 l Z 1,1*38 if 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,1*90 1,912 1,385 2,578 • 1,1*18 1,%% 1 / e/1,095 2,1*1*1* J 8,1*95 State and l o c a l 1 1951* 1 1953 Excluding finance companies 2 / 1 s t quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quar ter l*th quarter Year 1,791 1,912 e/l,l50 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 1,669 1,991 1,223 2,31*1* 7,227 e / Estimated. 1 / Includes 602.5 m i l l i o n dollar AT&T debenture i s s u e . 2 / Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding offerings of s a l e s and personal finance companies. Note.—Details may not add t o t o t a l s due to rounding. Hall; Exhibit E Large Public S e c u r i t y Issues f o r Mow Capital (Other than U , S . Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large I s s u e s Offered ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s } Corporate Month hll 75 361; h3 3 0 121 1U1 63 750 175 W3 182 101 1%k - July August September October No ven&er December 1255 - January February March April May July S t a t e and l o c a l government Other 2 / 92 86 455 .388 268 689 3lA 107 337 238 152 h09 278 . 30 35 15 Large Individual I s s u e s Offered August 1 through 26 Issuer Type 3 / Coupon . Amount ( p i l l i o n s Maturity r a t e or Offering net i n t e r - y i e l d of dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE Consumer Power Goodyear. Tire & Rubber Western Union Telegraph G.U.A.C. American Natural Gas P a c i f i c T e l . & Tel. S t . Louis-San Francisco Railway Conmon s t k . Coranon s t k . Common s t k . Deb. Common s t k . Deb. 16.9 15.6 20.7 200.0 35o7 67.0 1 s t mtg.bds. 19.5 Rev. G.O. Rev. Rev. 14.5 . 7.1 5.8 5.2 1995 . 1958-89 1959-87 19.63-79 1975 3 5/8 3.75 — 1991 3 5/8 3*50 Aa 1980 h 4.05 Baa 3.70 2 =00-3.20 2.20-3.10 2.60-3.05 Ba Baa A A STATE, AMD LCCAL GOVERM-ENT . Mobile, Alabama Fairfax Co., Virginia S p r i n g f i e l d , Ohio Amarillo, Texas 3.80 3.18 3.09 3.07 % H.Ui E-2 Large Individual. Issues Offered August 1 through 26 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3 / Amount Coupon (pillions Maturity r a t e or Offering Rating of net i n t e r yield dollars) est cost STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Duval Co., F l o r i d a Los Angeles, C a l i f . Chicago Board of Education, I l l i n o i s L.L. G.O. 8.0 12.0 1956-70 1956-75 2.95 2.6U 1.70-2.90 1.50-2.70 A Aa G.O. 12.5 1958-75 2.71 2.00-2.85 A . OTHER None 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of 15 million dollars and overj State and l o c a l government security offerings of 5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . 3 / In the case of State and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; and, L.L., limited l i a b i l i t y obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. j » Q H.H+ Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for Hex? Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following date shewn Date of computation c ° - Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 29 Nove 30 Dec. 31 1955 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar , 31 Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 Aug. 31 w i ^ 331* 31+3 15 9k 18k 16 710 211 1+25 160 67 2+07 222 e g : ^ > 300 3% 1+36 661 #7 682 521+ 208 116 339 31+1+ 100 ieit h e r 30 . n Subsequent t o date shavn Corporate 608 1+11+ 135 21+6 216 1+22 1,395 • 922 1,11+1 850 830 1,135 920 1,876 2,158 1,957 2,682 2,11+1+ 1,961 1,978 . 2,009 1,917 1,861 1,81+5 2,013. 1,971 • —m 30 30 35 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of August 26 Issuer T3?e Amount (millions Approximate date of o f f e r i n g lof d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE -x-CIT financial Utah Power and Light •^Tennessee Gas Transmission Ohio Power ^Columbia Gas • Public Service Electric and Gas Public Service Electric and Gas American Telephone and Telegraph *Nevr York S t a t e E l e c t r i c and Gas Southern California Gas •^Tennessee Gas Transmission Freedom Insurance Company Deb. 1st mtg, bds. 1st mtg. PL bds. 1st mtg, bds. Deb. Pfd. stock Deb. Cony. deb. 1st mtg. bds. Bonds Common stk. Conmon stk, ±00.0 15.0 50.0 17.0 1+0.0 25.0 35.0 .635.0 25.0 1+0.0 16.0 22.0 - September September 13 September 11+ September 20 September 21 October 1+ October 1+ October 13 October 19 November November 1955 STATE AMD LOCAL GOVERNMENT Denver, Colorado Nueces County, Texas •K-Yolusia County, F l o r i d a Essex County, New Jersey G.O. G.O. n.a® G.O. 5.1+ 6.9 8.0 . 8.8 August 30 September 1 September 5 September 8 ID H.lii F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of August 26 (Cont'd) Issuer STATE AND LOCAL GCVERMNT (Cont'd) S t a t e of Delaware Middlesex Co. Sewerage Auth.,"N. J» B u f f a l o , Near York Los Angeles, C a l i f o r n i a Richmond-Petersburg Turnpike Auth. Chicago Regional Port D i s t . , 111. ^Sedgwick County, Kansas Texas Turnpike Company Connecticut Expressway Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Michigan Turnpike Authority S t a t e of Louisiana I l l i n o i s Turnpike Authority C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge Authority Louisiana Turnpike Commission C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge Authority New York S t a t e Thrway Authority Oklahoma Turnpike A u t h o r i t y Washington S t a t e T o l l Bridge Auth. Amount (millions Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) Type • ' ' G.O. Rev. n.a. Rev. Rev. Rev. G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. G.R. Rev. Rev. - 7c0 25.0 32.8 18.0 67.5 24.0 5.8 130.0 100.0 25.0 186.0 80.0 390.0 •235.0 100.0 13.0 125,0 12*6.0 227.0 September September September September Sepb ember Sepb ember September October 1955 .. 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1956 8 8 13 21 OTHER None and l o c a l government i s s u e s of 5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . n . a . Not a v a i l a b l e . Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t t i m e .