Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : October 24, 1956
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- . Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS October 2k, 1956 H.lU CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of public security financing continues to be substantial. Large public security offerings issued, for new capital during the week ending October 19 totaled $100 million for . corporations and $112 million for State and local governments. This week the volume will again be large. Two corporate bond • issues totaling 495 million and State and local government issues amounting to Si33 million are scheduled for sale. Bond yields - Yields on outstanding State and local government and U. S. Government (new series) obligations increased last week, while yields on corporate and U. S. Government (old series) bonds remained stable. The increase in the State and local government yields was sharp, and established a new high for the year in each quality category. The sharp rise in municipal yields . reflects the increased volume of new security offerings and the "concomitant rise in dealer inventories. Offering yields on new corporate issues have begun to increase again after a dip in September. Consolidated Edison Company of New York's Aa-rated first and refunding mortgage bond issue was reoffered this week at a yield of iu 13 per cent—12 basis points above the last comparable issue, an offering made on September 25, and only 7 points below the peak rate recorded on an issue of September 11. A similar issue of the Consolidated Edison Company marketed in May of this year yielded 3.55 per cent. The increase of 58 basis points during the five-month period from May to October compares with a 25 basis point increase in yields on outstanding bonds of the same quality rating. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 265 common stocks, declined last week, closing at 27^.8 on October 19. Volume of trading continued low, averaging only 1.6 million shares a day. Prices have continued to decline slightly this week. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS ; CORPORATE A a a S , u . S. GOVERNMENT '• J \ f \ long-lerm lz STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Aoa U. S. Govt.. long-term '<!•/ Corporate Aaa 1/ Old series 3.1*2 (6/19) 2.99 (1/9) 3.09 (1/8) 3.15 6/6) 2.78 (12/26) 2.7k (1/9 3.17 2.91 3.58 3.07 2.9h (8/5) 2.62 (1/7 3.22 9/7) 2.80 (2/17) 3.03 (8/5) 3.15 3.2U 3.23 3.21 3.21 New series Spread between U. S. Govt. • State and local govt. (old series) and CorporateI State and Aaa 3/ Aaa Ilocal Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High 1951* - High 1S55 - High Low 1956 - High September 21 September 28 October 5 October 12 October 19 2.85 (h/23) 2.hU (8/7 (12/23) (1/7) (10/5) (3/2) 1 I f:98 2.21. (6/10) 2.89 (6/10) 3.22 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. ill, 3.26 (9/lh) .2.68 (10/18) 2.17 (2/23) 2.92 (2/3). 2.63 2.62 2.61 2.6? 2.68 .814 .30 .61 .29 .38 .19 .1*3 .32 .31* .13 .a .13 .la .1*1 .a .hi .ia .70 , • 51* .68 .1*5 .52 .55 .53 .53 .1*8 Average terra of bonds included is 25-26 years. ^ averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bends due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to first call of the bonds included declined from lit years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 l A per cent bond of 1978-83. . „ , , 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average ten " Note.--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. . EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly Per cent per annum V" ! Corporate Baa 1/ Date . State and local govt. Baa 1/ State and local govt, rev. J/ (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 1954 - High Low 1955 High Low 1956 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.74 3.44 3.63 3.45 4.16 3.58 September 21 September 28 October 5 October 12 October 19 4.09 4.12 4.14 4.16 4.16 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/14) (10/19) (3/9) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 3.71 3.20 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (10/18) (3/8) 3.61 3.60 3.58 3.62 . 3.71 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.56 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (10/19) (2/24) 3.48 3.49 3.49 3.52 3.56 _ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. ' 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and A; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are"for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. FRASER Digitized for STOCK M A R K E T Date Stock price index 1/ Common stock I volume 2/ (millions yields 2 / of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers1 Total. debit bal- loans to ances 4/ "others" £/ (Millions of dollars) 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 167.-1 144.0 221.4 156.5 270.7 217.1* 295.5 257.4 August September October 5 October 12 October 19 290.0 278.2 275.2 277.9 274.8 1953 - High Low 1954 - High (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (I/Hi) (8/3) (1/20) 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.lj 4.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 5.75 5.15 5.33 4.20 4.22 3.78 4.21 3.86 2,445 ' , 1,665 2,055 1,314 2,388 3,436 1,653 2,405 2,805 4,030 2,517 3,537 2,810 4,047 2,740 3,950. 780 664 1,048 746 1,241 1,018 1,267 1,167 1.9 2.0 2.1 1.5 1.6 4.02 4.24 3,979 3,950 2,785 2,782 n.a. n.a. 1,194 1,168 1,189 1,184 n.a. . n.a. n.a.—Not available. 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939*100; converted to 19u7-U9"100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. % / End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. H.lk Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In mil l ions of dollars) 1956 January February March April May June July August September October November December 1st quarter 2nd quarter 1st half 3rd quarter Three quarters kth quarter Year capital Corporate^ State and local 1956" T * 1955 r 579 70k 790 535 U07 1,223 816 i,ia 830 687 e/l,120 e/700 e/850 597 6kk 670 909 335 7U7 e/^0 e/850 1,162 632 900 1,003 e/625 2,165 2,073 2,790 k,863 e/2,670 e/7,533 5k7 • 2,052 1,217 1,911 6,128 2,695 8,821 535 - 396 kll 565 377 U90 735 k27 350 6kl 73k 7k8 853 376 U70 2k9 k06 279 261 6k9 60k 919 658 k08 59k >23 877 1,608 1,995 3,603 1,991 5,59k 1,896 7,190 1,385 l,kl8 2,803 1,12k 3,927 1,98k 5,911 1,372 2,33k 3,706 1,188 k,89k 1,89k 6,789 696 635 U78 886 kok 1*26 - . k97 656 81+2 290 390 . Excluding finance companies 2/ 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter kth quarter Year 1,617 2,520 e/2,U70 1,727 1,870 i,U3U 2,55k 7,569 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 e/ Estimated. 2/ Includes $637•2 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 2/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and personal finance : companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding, H.U* Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasuiy) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1935 - September October November December 1956 - January February March April May June July August September State and local government Other 2/ 23h 716 1+01 227 192 liliU 163 157 233 463 16k 35 18U 328 805 221 263 . 95 212 278 395 623 185 592 217 558 25 50 50 20 37 Large Individual Issues Offered October 1 through 19 Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount I Rating ^ o n s Maturity rate or Offering net inter- yield est cost . dollars) I 6ni CORPORATE United Aircraft Corp. Conv.pfd.stk. Allegheny Ludlum Steel Corp. Conv. deb. Columbia Gas System, Inc. Deb. Southern Bell Tel. & Tel. Co. Deb. Pacific Finance Corp. Deb. Texas Eastern Trans. Corp. Pfd. stk. Long"Island Lighting Co. Conv. pfd. stk. Georgia Pacific Corp. Common stk. Commonwealth Edison Co. Pfd. stk. Johns-Manville Corp. Common stk. 31.' 16.3 25.0 1981 1981 h 1*3/1* Loo 1*.70 Baa A 60.0 15.0 15.0 18.0 15.9 1983 1971 1* 1* 5/8 3,90 It. 75 Aaa 1*0.0 25.9 — H.lU E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered October 1 through 19 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 1/ Amount Coupon (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating net inter- yield of dollars) est cost STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Detroit, Michigan G.O. State of California G.O. Buffalo, New York G.O. Stai-e of South Carolina G.O. San Bernardina Co., Cal. G.O. Territory of Hawaii Hwy. rev. . Baltimore Co., Md. G.O. Washington Co., Md. G.O. Ilagerstown, f-Id. G.O. Charlotte, N. C. G.O. State of Massachusetts G.O. Ft. Pierce, Florida Elec. & water rev. St. Louis Board of • Education, Missouri G.O. ,ew Jersey Highway Auth. Rev. 12.3 35.0 11.U 15.0. 1957-81 1958-77 1957-71 1957-76 6 . 0 1957-76 12.5! 1958-86 21.0 1959-96 8.0 1957-81 5.8 1957-81 5.2 1958-95 57.6 1957-96 3.09 2.80 2.35 2.6k 2.80 3.81 3.15 2.98 2.99 2.99 2.93 2.20-3.20 A 2.15-2.85 Aa 1.90-2.U0 Aaa 2.00-2.65 Aa 2.10-2.85 Aa 2.70-3.80, / A 2.50-3.25^ A 2.10-3.00 Aa 2.10-3,00 A-2 2.30-3.U0 A 1.90-2.95 Aa 5.1 1959-88 tw36 3.20-^.20 5.5 25.0 1958-76 1988 3.OL U.53 2.00-2.75 14.38 Aa — • OTHER None n.a.—Not available. 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and .Development issues. '3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obli^tion; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. h/ 1986-96 maturities not reoffered. Exhibit F H.lU Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent to During month following date shown date shown State and o t h e r 2/ State and Other 2/ Corporate local Corporate govt.1 -/ local govt. Date of computation Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 Jan. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 29 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 805 202 215 70 176 123 380 568 198 k37 2h7 369 315 . 6U3 330 205 121 327 220 132 173 332 81 131 359 909 kl2 230 85 376 233 50 mm mi —— —— 1,013 37 — 818 as 567 1,096 1,202 • 1,009 —— 2,205 1,650 618 917 785 811 832 9ia 50 — — —— 690 726 958 1,197 37 — — Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of October 19 Issuer Type. Amount Approximate date (mill ions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Consolidated Edison Co. National Steel Corp. Ohio Power Co. Allied Stores Corp. American Tel. & Tel. Co. 1st &ref. mtg.bds. ilO.O 1st mtg. bds. 55.0 28.0 1st .mtg. bds. S.F. deb. 15.0 Common stk. 572.6 Public Service Electric & Gas Co. Seaboard Finance Co. J. P. Stevens & Co. Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. 1st &ref.mtg, bds. S.F. notes S.F. deb. 1st mtg. bds. 50.0 15.0 28.7 25.0 October 2k October 2k October 30 November 1 November 5 : (rights expire) November 15 1956 1956 1956 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Flint, Michigan Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Boston, Massachusetts Territory of Hawaii Estate of Maryland G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. S-k 58.8 5.8 12.0 8.7 October 23 October 2k October 2k Octobsr 2It October 2k H.lit F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of October 19 (Cont'd) • Issuer Type Amount (millions Approximate date of dollars) of offering STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Orlando, Util. Comm., Fla. Elec.& water rev. 7.5 Salt River Project & Agricultural Improvement & Power Dist., Ariz. G.R. 10.0 Stats of Ohio Rev. 25.0 Dallas,- Texas Airport rev. 6.5 State of Connecticut Expressway rev. 75.0 Harris Co., Texas G.O. 6.0 Chicago, 111. Water rev. 5.0 Chicago Bd. of Education, 111. G.O. 10.0 ^Cleveland, Ohio Rev. 10.0. Florida State Bd. of Education • G.O. 9.3 Jacksonville Expressway Authority Rev. 1*2.0 Florida State Turnpike Authority Rev. 185.0 Memphis, Tennessee Elec. rev. 135.0 Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Rev. 65.0 Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Rev. 62.0 Washington State Toll Bridge Auth. Rev. 227.0 Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. . Rev. 20.0 New York State Thruway Authority . G.O. . 50.0 October 25 October 25 October 26 October 29 October 30 November 9 November 13 November 111 November lb November 27 Fall Fall Winter 1956 1956 1956 1956 1956 OTHER Quebec Hydro-Electric Commission Deb. 35.0 October 31 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of §15 million and overj State and local government issues of &5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None.