Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : November 21, 1956
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lU November 21, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Large public security offerings issued for new capital last week totaled $70 million for corporations and $66 million for State and local governments. During this holiday-shortened week ending November 23, three State and local government issues amounting to #82 million were the only large offerings scheduled for sale. The largest of these scheduled issues, however—the Connecticut Expressway's revenue bond issue—has been indefinitely postponed. This issue, which had been originally scheduled for sale on October 30 in the amount of @75 million was reduced to &5U million when rescheduled for this week. The issue carried a U.00 per cent ceiling on interest cost and received no bids. Bond yields - Bond yields continued to move upward last week for all categories of outstanding bonds, except for those on U. S. Government obligations. The Government (new series) bond yields remained stable while those for the old series declined .one basis point. Yields on State and local Aaa- and Baa-rated bonds have risen particularly sharply recently, surpassing their 1953 highs the first week in November. Currently at 2.85- per cent for the Aaa's and 3.99 per cent for the Baa's, they are 12 and 20 basis points respectively above previous 1953 peaks. Corporate bond yields passed their 1953 highs in mid-August and are now 25 to 33 basis points above those levels. Offering yields on new issues have also been rising in recent weeks. . Texas Power and Light Company's Aa-rated 30-year first mortgage bond issue was reoffered this week to yield U.30 per cent—10 basis points above that for the last comparable issue, an offering made on October 31, and the same as the offering yield for a similar rated first and refunding mortgage bond issue which was floated last week. Stock market credit - Customer credit in the stock market (excluding U. S. Government securities) declined Jj?36 million during October, to total $3,9llt million at the end of the month. This is the smallest amount outstanding since August 1955. Both net debit balances and bank loans to "others" continued to decline. Borrowing by member firms of the NYSE maintaining margin accounts, except borrowings on U. S. Government securities, increased $15 million while customers' net free credit balances declined $32 million. These and other data on stock market credit f or September and October are shown in the following table. H. — 2 — End of month October September Change (Millions of dollars) Customer credit Excluding U. S. Govt, securities - Total Net debit balances Bank loans to "others" Net debit balances secured by U. S. Govt, securities Bank loans to others for purchasing or carrying U. S. Govt, securities Broker and dealer credit Money borrowed except on U. S. Govt, securities On customer collateral Money borrowed on U. S. Govt, securities Customers' net free credit balances 3,914 2,748 1,166 36 k2 2,086 1,788 kS 83b 3,950 2,782 1,168 33 -36 U2 0 2,071 1,777 15 11 3 -32 h2 r/866 r/ Revised Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 26$ common stocks, declined 2.8 points last week, closing at 272.9 on November 16. Daily figures through Tuesday of this week indicate a further decline in prices. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. -3h -2 3 HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE Aaa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Aaa U. S. Govt., long-term 2/ Corporate Aaa 1/ Old series New series Spread between State and U. S. Govt. local govt. (old series) and Aaa 3/ Corporate I State and Aaa Ilocal Aaa (Per cent) 3.1*2 (6/19) 2.99 (1/9) 3.09 (1/8) 2.85 (l|/23) 3.17 (12/23) 2.91 (1/7) 3.67 (11/16) 3.07 (3/2) 3.15 2.78 2.7k 2.hh 2.9U 2.62 3.27 2.80 3.16 •I 3.66 3-67 ~ 1:1 3.27 3.26 (6/6) n.a. (12/26) n.a. (1/9) n.a. (8/7) n.a. (8/5) 3.03 (8/5) (1/7) 2.89 (6/10) (11/9) 3.29 (11/16) (2/17) 2.92 (2/3) 3.22 3.27 3.29 3.29 3.29 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3U 2.05 2.85 2.17 2.68 2.72 2.7h 2.79 2.85 (6/25) .38 (1/8) .19 (6/10) . .U3 (9/2) .32 (9/8) • 3U (5/26) .13 (11/15) •.lJi (2/23) .13 .81* .30 .61 .29 .70 .51* .68 .1*5 .la •1|8 .50 .52 •1*8 .39 .39 .39 .la .la 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series -includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to first call of the bonds included declined from lit years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/U per cent bond of 1978-83. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly Per cent per annum V - Corporate Baa 1/ Date State and local govt.. Baa 2/ State and local govt, rev. 1/ (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195 U - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3.hh 3.63 3.U5 U.22 3.58 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (l/lii) (11/16) (3/9) October 19 October 26 November 2 November 9 November 16 U.16 U.18 a.20 It. 21 U.22 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93 (8/5) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) 3 . 9 9 (13/15) 3.20 (3/8) 3.27 (6/26) 2.71 (1/2) 3.00 (1/1) 2.72 (8/13) 2.99 (12/30) 2.76 (1/7) 3.87 (11/16) 2.89 (2/210 3.71 3.77 . 3.82 3.89 3.99 3.56 3.6U 3.71 3.80 3.87 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and A; average term is 20 years. Note.—Hi$ts and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET Stock price index 3/ Stock market customer credit Trading Common Customers1 Bank volume 2/ stock debit bal- loans to (millions yields j/ ances jt/ "others" 1/ of shares) (per cent) (Millions of dollars) 1953 -• High 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High - Low 'September October November 2 November 9 November 16 167.1 (1/2) lhh.O (9/18) 221.1* (12/31) 156.5 (1/6) 270.7 (12/30) 217. It (1/lit) 295.5 (8/3) 257.lt (1/20) 278.2 275.7 278.0 275.7 272.9 2.5 0.9 1.:! 1.5 % 2.0 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.0 ' 2,ltlt5 2,055 1:11 3,1*36 t u . 2,lt05 lt.22 It,030 3.78 3,537 k.2k lt,0lt7 3.86 3,91it U.2U It. 23 3,950 3,911t 1,665 l,3Ht 2,388 1,653 780 66U l,0lt8 7.1*6 l,2ltl 1,018 2,810 2,7itO 1,267 1,159 2,782 2,7lt8 1,168 1,166 1,166 1,159 n.a.—Not available. 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks^ weekly closing prices, 1939*100; converted to 19«7-U9"100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123-91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. u/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—-Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. H.lii. # Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) New capital 1956 January •February March Corporate I 1955 1 1954 1956 State and local 1 1955 1 1954 579 70U 790 535 1407 1,223 547 426 635 4o4 696 390 535 312 538 396 411 565 April May June 816 1,11* 830 1*78 886 687 497 656 842 377 490 735 427 350 641 734 748 853 July August September 1,066 669 836 6kb 909 3# 747 376 199 e/350 470 249 406 279 261 649 0 October November December e/800 2/ e/T,100 1,162 y . . 632 900 1,003 290 604 9/635 e/275 919 658 108 594 423 877 2,165 2,0$2 1,217 1,911 6,128 2,695 8,821 1,608 1,995 3,603 1,991 5,59k 1,896 1,490 1,603 3,093 j/925 e/4,018 1,385 1,418 2,803 1,121* 3,927 1,984 5,911 1,372 2,331 3,706 1,188 4,894 1,89k 6,789 1 1st quarter 2nd quarter 1st half 3rd quarter Three quarters i+th quarter Year 2,073 2,790 1,863 2,571 7,h3k 597 670 ' 7,h90 Excluding finance companies 3/ 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter iith quarter Year 1,617 2,520 2,321 1,727 1,870 l,k3k 2,55k 7,569 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 e/ Estimated. 1/ Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 2/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issue. 3/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. 1 : H.l4 Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S, Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1955 -..October November . December 1956 - January February March April May June July August September October 1 State and local government 805 221 263 95 , 212 278 395 6% 185 592 217 558 386 716 401 227 192 444 163 157 233 463 164 35 184 383 Other 2/ 25 50 50 20 37 . 35 Large Individual Issues Offered November 1 through November 16 Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating of net inter- yield dollars) est cost CORPORATE Allied Stores Corp. S.F. deb. American Tel. & Tel. Co. Common stk. Northspan Uranium Mines, Ltd. Gen.mtg.bds. Public Service Electric and Gas Co. 1st & ref. mtg. bds. . Pacific Lighting Corp. Conv. pfd. 15.0 571.5 1976 4 3/4 4.75 1*5.0 1963 5 3A 5.93 50.0 1986 4 3/8 4.30 Aa 2.25-3.35 2.10-3.00 2.40-3.60 3.50-3.65 Aa Aa A A 19.8 A STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Los Angeles, Calif. Trenton, New Jersey /-•San Antonio, Texas Chicago, 111. Elec. rev. G.O. G.O. (Water rev. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 1 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 13.5 5.3 5.0 5.0 1957-86 1957-81 1957-76 1970-74 3.36 2.99 3.57 3.73 . H.lli ^ E-.2 Large Individual Issues Offered November 1 through November 16 (Cont'd) Issuer Type y Amount Coupon Offering (millions Maturity rate or net inter- yield of dollars) est cost Rating STATE . & LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Newark, N. J. Chicago Board of Education, 111. Cleveland, Ohio State of Oregon Houston, Texas Hempstead School District No. 5, N. Y. G.O. 12.5 1957-76 3.59 2.50-3.55 A G.O. Water rev. G.O. G.O. 10.0 7.it 5.7 20.0 1959-76 1961-81 1969-71 1958-82 3.62 3.58 3.06 3.75 2.75-3.60 3.00-3.56 2.90-3.00 2.60-3.75 A A Aa A 5.6 1957-86 h. 30 3.95-1.15^ Baa G.O. ' OTHER None ~y Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and k Development issues. , 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. h/ 1957-62 maturities not reoffered. * 1 Exhibit F H.lli Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 3/ • Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent to During month following date shown date shown State and o t t e r g, State and Other 2/ Corporate Corporate local govt. r1 local govt. Bate of computation - Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - Jan. 31 Feb. 29. Mar, 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 29 July 31 Aug, 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 202 215 70 176 123 380 568 198 U37 330 205 121 327 220 132 173 332 81 2h7 — 369 315 683 131 359 162 i|12 230 • 85 376 233 1,013 818 50 — — «6«. hhS . 37 — 567 1,096 . 1,202 1,009 990 1,650 756 618 917 785 811 832 9ll 690 726 958 1,197 955 50 — — — 37 — Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of November 16 Type Issuer Sinclair Oil Corp. Chase.Manhattan Bank f ^-Michigan Bell Telephone Co. Long Island Lighting Co. Public Service Electric & Gas ^Florida Power & Light Co. Burroughs Corp. •it-National Cash Register Co. Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. Southern New England Telephone Co. Amount Approximate date (millions I of dollars) of offering Conv. sub. deb. 170.6 Cap. stk. U7.0 Deb. 1st mtg. bds. Common stk. 1st mtg.' bds. Deb. 30.0 20.0 33.0 15.0 30.2 Conv. sub. deb. 28.3 1st mtg. bds. Common stk. 25.0 20.4 December 3 (rights expire) December 3 (rights expire) December U December 5 December 5 December 11 December 17 (rights expire) December 19 (rights expire) Winter Winter V H.llt ; b F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of November 16 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Long Beach, Calif. *Chelan Co. P. U. Dist., Wash. Florida State Board of Education Niagara Falls, New York ^Maryland State Roads Commission ^Norfolk, Virginia Memphis, Tennessee Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington State Toll Bridge Auth, Inter-American Center Auth;, Fla. New York State Thruway Authority Jacksonville Expressway Authority Florida State Turnpike Authority Oklahoma Turnpike Authority State of Connecticut G.O. Rev. L.L. G.O. G.O. G.O. Elec. rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. Expressway rev. 5.0 23.1 9.3 6.1; 15.0 5.0 15U.0 62.0 . 227.0 20.0 50.0 1*2.0 185.0 65.0 5k. o November November November November December December December Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter 20 21• 27 28 k 18 OTHER 0 City of Montreal, Canada " Deb. 22.5 Winter *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local"government issues of $5 million and over. £/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.--Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: Seaboard Finance Company, $15.0 million issue and J. P..Stevens & Company, $28.7 million issue—withdrawn from registration with the Securities and Exchange Commission.