Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : November 19, 1962
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\ot for_Publication ^CONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.14 * yBRABY November 19, 1962. ^])|TAT uaptot DEVELOPMENTS IN THE UNITED STATES (Including New Chart on New Corporate Bond Yields) ttSEBVS BASE Of filCHMOt® blic security financing to obtain new capital was in substantial volume last week but is expected to be quite light this holiday-shortened week- During the week ending November 16, two large corporate security issues totaling $70 million were offered and five State and local government bond issues with par value of $129 million were sold. This week, ending November 23, no large issues of either corporations or State and local governments are scheduled to obtain new capital; however, a large secondary distribution of about $87 million in General Motors Corporation common stock is expected. Bond yields. Changes in yields on seasoned, long-term bonds were mixed but. minor last week. Yields on both Aaa- and Baa-rated corporate bonds dropped a single basis point to 4.25 and 4.96 per cent, respectively, their lowest levels since late-April 1961 and mid-May 1958. Aaa-rated State and local government bond yields rose one basis point from their low of the year to 2.89 per cent, while U. S. Government bond yields also rose a single basis point to 3.87 per cent. Yields on Baa-rated municipals were stable at 3.53 per cent. Short- and intermediate-term interest rates. Changes in yields on Treasury bills and 3-5 year U. Si Government obligations were also mixed last week. Rates on 3-month bills were stable but those on 6-month bills increased a basis point; as a result the spread between yields on 3- and 6-month bills narrowed further to 4 basis points, the lowest on record. Yields on intermediate-term Government securities advanced 3 basis points. The average rate of interest on directly-placed finance company paper with 90-17.9 day maturity rose 8 basis points to 3.11 per cent as all companies increased their advertised rate by mid-week to the 3-1/8 per cent rate adopted by several companies the previous week. The Federal funds rate continued at 3.00 per cent. Other short- and intermediate-term interest rates were unchanged. Mortgage yields. Secondary market yields on 25-year 5-1/4 per cent FHA mortgages dropped 2 basis points further in October; the average of 5.54 per cent was down 18 basis points from the level of last January and was the lowest in the past four years. Yields cn new Aaa corporate bonds increased in October. As a result, the spread between mortgage and bond yields narrowed again, to 130 basis points. This was close to the spread which prevailed last summer. Based on the Home Loan Bank Board's survey of large savings and loan associations, interest rates on conventional loans for construction and for the purchase of new and existing houses showed mixed movements in October. As in other recent months, however, fees and commission charges as a percentage of loan volume remained appreciably below year earlier levels. Stock market credit. Customer credit in the stock market changed little in October, increasing by only $9 million to $5.2 billion at the month-end„ Although bank loans to other than brokers or dealers for purchasing or carrying securities (except U. S. Government securities) rose $32 million, the first month-to-month increase since April, customer debit balances (excluding those secured by U. S. Government securities) cfeclined $23 million to $3,9 billion at. the end of the month. Money borrowed by member firms of the New York Stock Exchange (except on U. S, Government securities) fell $93 million in October after two sharp month-to-month increases, while customers' free credit balances rose $35 million, the first increase since June. These and other data on stock market credit in September and October are shown in the following table. End of month Oct. 1 Sept. Customer credit Excluding U. S, Government securities - total Net debit balances Bank loans to "others" Net debit balances secured by U. S. Govt. securities Bank loans to "others" for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities Broker and dealer credit Money borrowed except on U, So Government securities On customer collateral Money borrowed on U. S. Government securities Customers' net free credit balances r/ Change +9 -23 +32 -2 5 ,165 3 ,864 1 ,301 25 r/5,156 r/3 ,887 1 ,269 27 81 81 -- 2.,596 ,269 29 1,,126 2 ,689 2 ,381 49 1 ,091 -93 -112 -20 +35 2, Revised. Stock prices. Stock prices advanced sharply further again last week in very active rrading. Prices, as measured by Standard and Poor's composite index, increased over two per cent on balance, closing at 60.16 on November 16, At Friday's closing level, stock prices had advanced one-eighth from r.heir late October low and were 15 per cent above this year's low of late June but were still 17 per cent below last December's high. Trading volume averaged 4.8 million shares a day, the highest weekly average since late June. New issue corporate bond yields -- new chart and revised data. Exhibit G presents revised weekly data beginning with 1960 (the monthly data shown in Exhibit F have not yet been revised) for yields on new issues of corporate bonds, adjusted to an Aaa basis, and the chart on page 5 shows these data together with weekly averages for Moody's series on seasoned Aaa-rated corporate bond yields. The new chart, and a table presenting current data, will be included in subsequent Capital Market Developments reports„ The new issue yield series is a current measure of interest rate changes in the corporate bond market considerably more responsive to changing market conditions than are yield series based on quotations on -3 - seasoned corporate bonds; however, as indicated in the following discussion, the series is subject to certain erratic influences which require some caution in current interpretation. The new corporate issue yield series is an arithmetic average, weighted by dollar amount, of reoffering yields (i.e. the yield to investors, not the cost to the company issuing the bonds) on new bond issues publicly offered each week and rated Aaa, Aa, or A by Moody's Investors Service (some types of issues are excluded, however, because of distinctive characteristics which make their yields unrepresentative). Previously, yields on Aa- and A-rated bonds were adjusted to an Aaa basis before computing the average by deducting from the actual reoffering yield the excess of the composite weekly average yield on seasoned bonds of the appropriate quality (Moody's series) over the composite average for seasoned Aaa-rated bonds„ This procedure, however, did not take into account the industrial composition of new issue volume, since it adjusted the yield on bonds of all industries by the composite seasoned bond yield spread; observable differences in yield among bonds rated identically but issued by firms in different industries were not taken into account. While differences in yield spread among industry groups change somewhat over time, they can be illustrated by the following October averages for Moody's seasoned bond yield series. Composite Utility Industrial Yield Average (per cent) Aaa Aa A 4.28 4.41 4.69 4.30 4.35 4.49 Basis Point Deviation Aaa Aa A 0 13 41 2 7 21 4.09 4.26 4.35 from Aaa Composite -19 7 The revised new issue series takes into account these industry yield differentials by adjusting reoffering yield by the spread between the composite Aaa average and the quality rating for the appropriate industry group; for example, using the above spreads, the revised procedure would be to reduce the actual yield on an A industrial issue by 7 basis points, whereas the previous procedure would have reduced it by 41 basis points. Although the revised new issue yield series appears to be a better measure of level and changes in current yields than the series previously utilized, the adjustment is by no means perfect. For example, the spread in industry ratings, as before, may be different for new issue yields than for seasoned bond yields, and this difference may change from time to time. Also, as before, it has not appeared feasible to make allowances for the effect on new issue yields of such factors as special call features, differences in term to maturity (although all bonds included have a maturity of over twenty years), unusually large or small offerings or differences in investor" preference among bonds included in the same industry-rating group, It should also be noted that this series, in effect, reflects the judgement of underwriters as to the yield required to place an issue with investors and that this judgment is not always accurate. For example, an issue may be included in the series at a reoffering yield which does not in fact permit ready sale of the bonds to investors; in such a case the actual yield, or yields, at which bonds are sold after a price reduction or termination of the syndicate agreement will be higher than that reflected in the new issue yield series, On the other hand, an issue that is immediately oversubscribed and bid to a premium in the secondary market would be included st a yield higher than subsequent market behavior indicated necessary for distribution. Such considerations as these help to account for the widely varying spread between new issue and seasoned bond yields shown in the chart on page 5 . Other factors, however, seem even more important in affecting this spread. Among these is the fact that bonds are included in the seasoned bond yield averages only after they have been outstanding for some time (i.e. become seasoned). Such bonds are not very actively traded so that the quotations utilized may respond only with a lag to changing capital market conditions. Moreover, quotations for seasoned bonds (or sales of such bonds) are usually for relatively small lots of bonds; quotations for large lots, such as are typical of new issue sales, may differ considerably from these, Also, seasoned bonds carry coupon rates (as well as other characteristics) specified at the time of initial offering; differences as compared with current terms result in discounts or premiums from par, which may affect investor preference because of the effect on the prospects for call or on the tax status of income, A final point is that new issue yields reflect underwriting strategy. During periods of falling interest rates, underwriters are more likely to price a new issue close to current market because the risk of loss as a result cf a change in interest rates seems relatively small. Conversely, in a period of rising yields the risk of loss as a result of setting too high a price seems larger, and underwriters generally will make some allowance; for this prospect. Such allowances are, of course, subject to varying degrees of modifcation as a result of the bidding (or negotiation) of competing underwriters for new issues„ More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Market Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. l l i u p s ON NEW AND SEASONED A d | u » t e d to Ai I CORPORATE BONDS (EXHIBIT A. P o t t I. [ l o n g - t e r m b o n d yields, h i o h - o b a d i 1. 60VEMEIMI long-lere Exhibit A Date Corporate Aaa 1/ Part II U. 3. Govt, long-term 2/ State and local government Aa » 3/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and Aaa local Aaa (per cent) 1957 - High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High 1960-61 Low 1961 - High 1962 - High Low k.lh 3.55 U.a 4.21 4.1*6 4.43 4.25 Oct. Oct. Nov. Nov. Nov. 4.27 4.27 4.26 4.26 4.25 Note* 19 26 2 9 16 j>/ 3.76 (10/18) (9/27) (5/2) (1/29/60) (3/17/61 (9/15) (2/16) (11/16) 3.07 4.42 3.70 4.07 4.12 3.85 / 3.88 3.89 3.87 3.86 3.87 For footnotes see Exhibit B. (4/25) (3/8/60) (5/12/61) (12/29) (2/23) (5/11) .60 i 3.1*5 (8/29) 2.64(5/1) 3.65 (9/24/59) 2.99 (9/1/60) .59 .19 2.88 (11/8) "47 .29 1.08 .80 .39 .38 .39 .40 .38 .99 L.01 .99 .98 .98 2.89 2.88 2.88 2.88 2.89 .22 .'U6 .76 EXHIBIT * Pari | LONG-TERM BOND ' f 1157 YIELDS, L O W E R - G R A D I \[mJ STATE A N D I Q C A l G O V E R N M E N T I . . 19S8 H59 I960 1911 11*1; Exhibit B - Part II Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa 3/ (per cent) 1957 - High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High 1960-61 Low 1961 - High 1962 - High Low Oct. Oct. Nov. Nov. . Nov. 19 26 2 9 16 £/ 5-10 lw5L 5.36 U.98 5.13 5.11 4.96 (11/29) (7/11) (2/12/60) (9/9/60) (10/27) (1/5) (11/16) 4.98 4.98 4.99 4.97 4.96 --- U.51 3.61* U-U6 3.93 Ll6 4.04 3.52 3.59 3.58 3.53 3.53 3.53 (8/29) (5/1) (1/7/60) (11/9/6I) (3/23) (1/11) (5/17) Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local govt. 1.27 .77 1.21 .93 1.08 .57 .93 .82 .56 .66 .81 .74 .63 .71 .71 .73 .71 .71 - .70 .70 .65 .65 .64 y Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included in 23-26 years. 2 / Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes bonds due o r callable in 10 years or more. 3 / Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. N o t e . — H i g h s and lows are f o r individual series and m a y be on different dates for different series. T o r spreads, high refers to widest, and loir to narrowest. . t EXHIBIT C. P a r t I SHORT- AND INTERMEDIATE- TERM INTEREST RATES, G O V E R N M E N T f . K. D I S C O U N T B A T E 3 - MONTH I I U S I I I I I-LI.-LI-LI I t LI LLLi 1.1 1 I I.I 1. I.I I LLILIL..1I I I I I I I I I 1961 Exhibit C - Part II Bate 1957 - High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - H 1960-61 Low 1961 - High 1962 - High Low Oct. Oct. Nov. Nov. Nov. 19 26 2 9 16 2.1 Discount rate V 3-month bills 2/ 3.50 1.75 Loo 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.6it .58 it. 59 2.11 2.66 2.97 2.65 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 2.74 2.74 2.74 2.82 2.82 (10/I8) (5/29) (3/8/60) (10/28/60) (12/29) (7/13) (6/8) Yields 6-month bills 2/ (per cent) 3.02 5.07 2.35 2.90 3.13 2.74 2.84 2.83 2.82 2.87 2.86 (12/26) (3/8/60) (4/28/61) (12/29) (7/20) (6/8) 3-5 year issues 2/ Spread between yields on 3month bills and yields on 6-mo. bills13-5 yr. issues .86 .0I4 ll.Olt (10/18) 2.1U (6/6) 5.00(12/24/59) 3.15 (5/12/61) 3.66(8/11) 3.88 (2/2) 3.43 (11/9) .26 .79 .12 .a .24 .04 1.81 .38 1,51 1.19 .61 3.46 3.48 3.45 3.43 3.46 .10 .09 .08 .05 .04 .72 .74 .71 .61 .64 2/ Market yield; weekly averages computed from daily closing bid prices. Series of 3 - 5 year issues consists of selected notes and bonds. N o t e . — H i g h s and lows are f o r individual series and m a y be on different dates for different series. T o r spreads, high refers to widest, and low to narrowest. S H O R T - AND I N T E R M E D I A T E - T E R M INTEREST RATES, B A N K S A N D OTHER PRIVATE B O R R O W E R S S T O C K EX C H A N G CALL LOANS r INANCE COMPANY PAPEK Directly Rio FEDERAL FUNDS EifecIive Ro LLLJ T i l l U I I I I I I I I I J-LLl LJJ-l-i-LI_LLiJUJ_LLi_LLJ_LlJ. 1. L I _ L L L U _ L L U I960 Exhibit D Date Stock E x c h a n g e call loan 1 / Prime rate 1 / 1961 1142 •f - Part I I Finance company paper 2/ . Federal funds 3 / Spread b e t w e e n 3 - m o . b i l l s and f i n a n c e Co. o a n e r (per c e n t ) 1957 - H i g h 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High 1960-SL LOW 1961 - High 1962 - High Low Oct. Oct. Nov. Nov. Nov. 19 26 2 9 16 j>/ U.50 3.50 5.50 1.50 u.50 4.50 4.50 U.50 3.50 5.00 U.5o U.5o 4.50 4.50 3.88 1.13 5.13 2.50 3.00 3.25 2.88 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 3.00 ,3.00 2.95 3.03 3.11 (11/15) (8/8) (1/22/60) (8/5/61) (12/29) (7/20) (6/1) 3.50 ( 1 1 / 8 ) .13 ( 5 / 2 9 ) U.00 ( 5 / 1 3 / 6 0 ) .U3 (1/27/61) 2.88 ( 1 2 / 2 9 ) 3 . 0 0 (11/16) 1 . 3 0 (1/26) 2.95 2.88 2.93 3.00 3.00 .63 -.35 1.02 .11 .56 .45 .19 .26 .26 .21 .21 .29 Weekly rate shown is that in effect at end of period. Stock Exchange call loan rate is going rate on call loans secured by customers* stock exchange collateral at New York City banks. Prime rate is that charged by large banks on short-term loans to business borrowers of the highest credit standing. 2/ Average of daily rates published by finance companies for directly placed paper for varying maturities in the 90-179 day range. 3/ Weekly average of daily effective rate, which is the rate for the heaviest volume of purchase and sale transactions as reported to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. For spreads, high refers to widest, and low to narrowest. 1/ EXHIBIT E, Port I STOCK MARKET *1941-43 Avrog» = lo| Mil Million, of Doll ^ • W ^ S T O C I H A I M T (*EB ^ CHANGE IN S C « l t S ^xrl joj lll'lont of Sh i m Exhibit E Part Stock price Date index 1/ stock yields (per II Trading Common Stock market volume y 2/ cent) of Total shares) - High Low 1962 - High Low September 72.01* (12/8/61) credit Bank debit bal- loans ances h / (In m i l l i o n s 1960-61 customer Customers' (millions to "others" 5/ of d o l l a r s ) 2.82 5.8 5,602 (12/61)14,259 (12/61) 1,377 (e/30/6i) 2.2 (10/21/60) 3.62 k,lll2 ( 5 / 6 0 ) 3,OOl4 ( 7 / 6 0 ) 1,121 (5/25/60) 70.94 (3/16) 2.93 10.1 5,491 (4) 4,111 (1) 1,418 (5/9) 52.68 (6/22) 3.96 2.4 4,876 (7) 3,562 (7) 1,269 (9/26) 3.3 53.32 58.00 r/5,156 r/3,887 October 56.17 3.71 3.4 5,165 3,864 Nov. 2 57.75 3.61 4.0 n.a. 1,301 Nov. 9 58.78 3.55 4.4 n.a. 1,320 Nov. 1 6 j>/ 60.16 3.47 4.8 n.a. 3.60 r/1,269 1,301 n . a . — N o t available* j/ P r e l i m i n a r y . . . j/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 5 0 0 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1941-43"10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Friday's only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only* 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are f o r dates on which price index reached its high 3/ 4/ 5/ Averages of daily trading volume o n the New York Stock Exchange. End of m o n t h figures for member firms of the N e w Y o r k Stock Exchange which carry margin accountsj excludes balances secured by U . S. Government obligations. Wednesday figures for weekly reporting m e m b e r banks. Excludes loans for purchasing o r carrying V . S . Government securities. Prior t o July 1, 1959, such loans are excluded only at banks in N e w York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. F o r further detail see Bulletin. EXHIBIT F, Port jl MORTGAGE AND B O N D YIELDS - HOME M O R T G A G E S . FHA ' 1951 1959 Exhibit F - Part Aaa FHA mortgages 1953-58 - High Low 1959-61 1962 1962 i/ 1960 II corporate Spread between new New 3/ , corporate bonds and M | S e a s o n e d U / FHA. m o r t g a g e s ( S e a s o n e d bondiai 5.63 (11/57) 4.81 (6/57) 4.12 (9/57) 1.96 .90 4.56 (2/55) 2.74 (3/54) 2.85 (4/54) .54 -.12 (1/60) j bonds 2/ - High 6.24 1.76 .77 5.57 (3/59) 4.26 (10/61) 4.12 (1/59) .65 -.16 High 5.72 (1/62) 4.50 5.29 (2/62) (9/59) 4.42 4.61 (2/62) (1/60) 1.53- .08 July 5.60 4.34 1.27 -.01 August 5.58 4.30 4.35 1.28 -.05 September 5.56 4.13 4.32 1.43 -.19 October 5.54 r/4.23 4.28 1.31 -.04 4.33 Neither mortgage n o r bond yields take into account servicing costs which are much higher for ^ mortgages than bonds. Generally, bonds pay interest semi-annually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage A yields, if computed as equivalent t o a semiannual interest investment, irouM be slightly higher , ^ than g i v e n in the table. t Based on FHA field—office opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market f o r J/f, new-home mortgages f o r immediate delivery. Since late 1955, data relate only t o 25-year mortgages •with donnpaymenta of 10 p e r cent or more, weighted by probable volume of transactions. Yields computed by iRB, assuming 25-year mortgages are paid off in 12 years. Dashed lines indicate ^ periods of adjustment t o changes in the contractual interest rate. f See note for Exhibit G . Moody's Investors Service. Monthly averages of daily data. See Exhibit B. Exhibit. G H.14 Yields on New Corporate Bond Issues Adjusted to an Aaa Basis Number Am 1 r of issues Average included (mil. yield of (per cent' issues of dollars) Weekly averages; 1961 - Jan. 6 13 20 27 Feb. 3 10 17 24 ' Mar. 3 J --- 1 1 1 1 2 3 4.44 4.39 4.28 4.24 4.29 4,29 10 17 24 4 31 f Apr. 7 3 3 # 14 21 2 28 4 3 May 5 k 1 % 12 6 M 19 5 26 W June 2 3 ) • 9 4 ' 16 6 23 3 30 2 -= ! July 7 14 1 21 1 28 2 Aug. 4 2 11 1 18 1 25 Sept. 1 8 15 1 22 29 1 Oct. 6 2 13 20 2 27 3 Nov. 3 3 i 10 17 4 24 1 Dec. 1 1 2 8 15 1 22 29 - 3 —— 10.0 7.0 12.0 6.8 48.0 43.0 108.0 4.29 90.0 82.0 312.0 79.0 165.0 30.0 91.0 165.0 60.0 307.0 137.0 130.0 67.5 4.43 4.47 4.53 4.62 4.56 4.49 4.56 4.62 4.78 4.71 4.78 4.67 4.68, z -- 8.0 200.0 65.0 55.0 20.0 40.0 4.70 4.77 4.55 4.67 4.74 4.57 18.0 4.53 60.8 45.0 4.38 4.29 60.0 95.0 45.0 4.28 4.38 4.32 94.0 60.0 30.0 75.0 50.0 4.34 4.40 4.44 4.42 4.62 ... 1962-Jan. 5 12 19 ' 26 Feb. 2 9 16 23 Mar. 2 9 16 23 30 Apr. 6 13 20 27 May 4 11 18 25 June 1 8 15 22 29 July 6 13 20 27 Aug. 3 10 17 24 31 Sept. 7 14 21 28 Oct, 5 12 19 26 Nov. 2 9 16 23 30 Dec. 7 14 21 28 Number Am't of issues Average yield included (mil. of (per cent) issues of dollars) -- 1 60.0 4>8 3 70.0 4.55 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1.9.5 300.0 50.0 25.0 30.0 65.0 60.0 85.0 98.0 26.0 100.0 4 46 4.50 4.47 4.40 4.32 4.27 4.42 4.37 4.41 4.15 4.15 2 2 2 2 1 3 4 3 1 115.0 28.0 41.0 39.0 17.0 115.0 67.0 145.0 24.0 4.28 4.18 4.08 4.15 4„18 4c 30 4.22 4.18 4.35 • -- — —— 50.0 46.0 20.0 107.3 115.0 70.0 52.0 60.0 12.0 50.0 4.44 4.29 4,33 4.33 4.45 4.27 4,29 4 28 4.23 4.22 1 1 4.9 75.0 4.16 4,22 2 3 2 275.0 85.0 37.0 4.29 4.14 4.13 1 3 1 4 2 3 2 1 1 1 -- Exhibit H H.14 Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) New capital State and local 2/ | I960 I 1961 Corporate 1/ 1 1961 i 1960 592 859 807 580 ^667 562 570 715 860 £/ 876 £/l,133 2/629 713 689 764 700 611 568 1,113 760 1,132 2,118 1,259 1,318 761 577 1,044 £/B7 3 £/9?3 £/'.'£•• 723 641 1,034 719 545 991 582 769 5?9 1,028 762 647 736 967 726 e/600 e/575 e/ 400 485 604 734 492 606 683 October November December e/650 e/75 3 1,090 948 1,000 890 956 852 • e/600 : ±/5 v 678 789 606 348 501 491 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 2,258 3,005 1,809 4,695 2,437 3,038 2,145 2,382 2,428 2,698 £/ 2,639 £/2,5::= e/1,575 2,166 2,397 1,823 2,073 1,880 2,256 1,780 1,340 6,504 8,941 11,979 4,527 6,955 9,653 £/5,'^ e/6,'83 4,563 6,386 8,460 4,136 5,916 7,257 1962 January February March April May June July August September quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 5,263 7 ,1' 3 1962 1 Excluding finance companies 3/ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 2,199 2,919 Year 1,554 4,552 2,337 2,807 1,716 2,165 2,018 2,347 11,253 8,246 e 7 E s t i m a t e d by Federal Reserve. £/ Preliminary. JL/ Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 21 Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts: 3/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. 1 H. 14 Exhibit I New Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and Issuer (In millions of dollars) Gross proceeds for new capital and refunding 1/ Common Quarter Total Publicly Privately offered offered month New proceeds for new capital 1 / 2 / foreign pfd. Mfg. Public Communiutility cations Other issuers included 1960 - I II III IV 2 ,265 2 ,537 2 ,520 2 ,832 934 1 ,074 1 ,336 1 ,462 795 770 754 955 536 692 429 416 69 27 38 17 298 511 562 625 598 808 652 696 189 149 317 381 1 ,059 913 896 997 1961 - I II III IV 1 ,992 5.,352 2.,566 3.,236 662 2 ,303 772 967 880 1 ,275 1 ,139 1 ,424 449 1,774 654 845 76 155 69 62 515 1,466 595 836 381 1,081 595 836 81 1,095 104 147 832 1 ,052 803 1 ,263 1962 - I II III IV 2,,378 ,250 3j 2,,184 1 s,155 1 .,389 716 1 ;,222 • 1. ,024 507 639 307 68 257 56 655 996 601 430 983 375 456 231 275 717 794 659 601 695 696 2 ,231 1 ,342 1 ,779 July 1 ,075 Aug. 813 Sept. 678 Oct, 1 ,155 Nov. 987 Dec. 1:,094 178 273 211 713 666 924 424 225 123 336 414 217 294 255 331 348 355 572 392 411 336 509 348 567 129 167 154 1,170 320 283 259 177 218 310 225 310 54 19 3 71 35 49 52 7 10 25 12 25 169 99 248 574 447 446 428 255 252 271 215 306 137 160 84 254 439 389 369 215 111 306 362 168 21 41 19 994 85 16 16 13 75 25 80 42 253 368 211 297 289 467 315 279 209 487 291 485 232 232 253 227 420 575 366 363 295 350 143 155 209 336 134 169 67 82 161 100 205 131 • 318 384 270 342 217 218 166 210 89 73 148 362 193 . , 21 88 377 196 64 410 79 118 88 110 120 148 67 260 140 225 218 275 264 229 301 159 301 199 240 - J e Feb. Mar. Apr. May - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May 647 884 847 1,,217 801 1 , 232 630 July 922 Aug. 632 Sept. Oct.e/ 980 Nov. Dec. 853 273 497 386 654 247 488 200 477 176 530 - 3 12 54 10 147 100 13 43 n.a. j)/ Preliminary. e/ Estimated by Federal Reserve. 1/ Gross proceeds exceed net proceeds by the cost of flotation. _2/ For total see Exhibit H; other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance and commercial and other. Source.--Securities and Exchange Commission. Other Security Offerings (In millions of dollars) Gross long-term 1/ Federal agency 3/ Foreign government 2/ j 1962 1 1961 1960 1962 | 1961 1 January February April May July August September October November December 43 34 -- - Year Jan.-Oct. 6 29 20 2 66 29 5 2 142 10 35 10 86 50 25 8 <1 e/150 e/54- 2 175 70 34 72 40 25 1 36 34 2 41 236 533 202 489 246 156 461 150 175 e/-- 252 100 149 278 250 193 182 150 150 148 354 199 -- 160 149 181 1 ,448 1,672 1,222 1,343 225 e/L ,188 , 1960 Net short-term 4/ Federal agency 3/ State and local government 5/ January "ebruary 4pril May June July September October November December 18 466 -186 127 -84 -118 78 339 2/-407 Tear Jan.-Oct. n.a. p/ 1/ 160 195 -8 -103 -42 -155 109 518 -86 -6 54 -116 58 140 -80 70 -146 -157 48 415 -175 -16 50 -189 520 18 580 157 . 247 -156 226 -364 82 284 261 227 -157 2/557 VI >207 •; -144 -162 -174 -79 -87 207 22 193 108 98 56 -114 -196 -202 -59 -277 170 320 95 23 -201 -23 -33 -250 -76 -633 -18 -350 Preliminary. e/ Estimated by Federal Reserve. n.a.--Not available. These data differ from those in Exhibit H in that refunding issues, as well as new capital issues, are included. Long-term securities are defined as those maturing.in more than one year. 2/ Includes securities offered in the United States by foreign governments and their political subdivisions and international organizations. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. 3/ Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source: Long-term, Securities and Exchange Commission; short-term, Treasury Department and Federal Reserve. 4/ These data differ from those in Exhibit H and above in that they represent new offerings less retirements, whether from the proceeds of refunding issues or from other funds, Data include only issues with original maturity of one year or less. 5/ Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or certificates and Public Digitized Housing for FRASER Authority notes. In some instances PHA notes included may have a s o m ^ - $ what longer maturity than one year. Source: Bond Buyer and Federal Reserve. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis * -Y * l \U H. 14 Exhibit K Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (In millions of dollars) Corporate Month Total 1961 - October November December 1962 January February March April May 354 391 255 195 425 366 648 200 472 165 286 191 434 July August September October (other than convertibles) 205 320 125 170 425 330 430 170 387 135 226 100 398 " Convertible Stocks State and local government 81 45 130 25 67 26 21 167 30 85 30 15 51 60 91 36 Other 2/ 40 250 326 480 307 561 662 259 423 373 226 361 272 153 320 145 64 30 55 88 30 20 194 25 Large Individual Issues Offered November 1 through 16 Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount (millions Offering Maturity net inter- yield of dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE Columbia Gas System Georgia Power Co. Household Finance Corp. Louisville and Nashville RR. Co. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. Coll,tr.bds. 30.0 23.0 60.0 9.7—/ 1987 1992 1987 4-3/8 4-3/8 4-3/8 4.35 4.30 4.40 1987 4-7/8 4.88 . A A Baa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Cincinnati, Ohio East Bay Mun. Util. Dist., Cal „ Houston, Texas Lincoln Sch. Dist., Neb, State of Connecticut Philadelphia, Pa. G .0. G,.0. Rev,,-ut. G..0, G..0. G.,0. OTHER None, 12.3 1964-98 2 .90 1 .55-3 .15 33.0 14.0 12.0 48.0 21.72/ 1963-92 1963-96 1964-82 1967-83 1964-93 2..92 3..30 2..78 2..56 2.,97 1,.50-3, 1,.50-3,,40^/ 1, 60-2,.85 1,.90-2,.90 1..55-3,.258/ Aa A Aa A H.14 Footnote Page *--Rights offering. 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government offerings of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues'by Federal agencies. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. 4/ An additional $15-3 million in bonds was sold to refund outstanding securities. 5f 2 per cent bonds maturing 1990-92 reoffered to yield 3.55 per cent. 6/ 2 per cent bonds maturing 1996 reoffered to yield 3.70 per cent. Tj An additional $5.0 million was sold to refund outstanding securities. 8I 0.1 per cent bonds maturing 1990-93 not reoffered. '4 Exhibit L H.14 Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation K: 1 v: During month following date shown State and Other 2/ Corporate local govt. 1961 - Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 29 1962 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 29 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct. 31 346 356 161 480 222 628 185 587 120 302 170 363 : 203 597 295 223 465 153 453 333 184 202 273 61 187 96 64 95 55 175 -- Subsequent to date shown Other 2/ Corporate z 411 421 591 525 341 693 598 692 458 477 312 546 328 693 498 415 567 239 539 452 337 377 427 215 387 243 64 95 55 25 175 — Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of November 16 Issuer Type Amount (millions of dollars) Approximate date of offering CORPORATE Pacific Gas & Electric Co. Metropolitan Edison Co. Consolidated Edison Co. Tennessee Gas Trans. Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Columbia Bancorporation 1st & ref. mtg. bds. 1st intg. bds. 1st & ref. mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Deb., bds. & com, Conv. sub. deb. 65.0 15.0 60.0 50.0 45.0 30.0 Nov. 28 Dec. 4 Dec. 6 Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite 10.0 15.0 25.0 100.1 11.9 11.3 35.0 12.9 46.0 40.0 Nov. 27 Nov. 27 Nov. 28 Dec. 12 Dec. 13 Dec. 19 Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Oklahoma City Mun„ Impr. Auth. Texas Water Dev. Bd. *State of Kentucky Public Housing Auth. Tampa, Florida Richmond, Va. Pittsburgh, Pa. Jefferson County, Colorado Dade County, Florida Jacksonville Expressway Auth., Fla. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G c 0. G.O. Rev.-Ut. L-2 H.14 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of November' Issuer Type Amount (millions of dollars) (Cont'd) Approximate date of offering OTHER None. ^--Included in table for first time. V Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues of Federal agencies. Note.--Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None.