Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : November 14, 1957
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MOUTHS HelU November Hi, 1957•. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of large public security offerings continues to be substantial. During the week ending November 8, large corporate issues, including expiration of subscription rights, totaled $102 million and large State and local, government offerings amounted to $92 million.- This week, corporations are expected to offer large, issues aggregating $120 million and State and local governments have scheduled for sale issues totaling $155 million. Bond yields - Changes in yields on outstanding bonds were mixed last week. Yields on corporate Baa's increased, while yields on corporate Aaa's and State and local government bonds remained stable. Yields on U. S. Government obligations declined. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks, declined last week, closing at 1^0.19 on November 8. Prices for the first three days of this week show a further decline, closing at 39-55 on Wednesday. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H I G H - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS T V V U . S . Govt., long-term 2/ Corporate Aaa 1 / Old series New series Spread between State and U . S. Govt. local govt. (old series) and Aaa 3/ CorporatelState and Aaa 1 local Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195h - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High 1957 - High Low 3.L2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3.07 L.lli 3.66 .15 .78 .71 .hh .91* .62 .1*9 .80 .87 .15 October 11 October 18 October 25 November 1 November 8 ii.09 U.07 ii.ll it .12 Ii.l2 r/3.8l f/3.87 e (6/6) n.a. (12/26) n.a. (1/9) n.a. (8/7) n.a. (8/5) 3.03 ( 8/5) (1/7) 2.89 (6/10) (12/21)3.39 (12/28) (2/17) 2.92 (2/3) (10/18)3.66 (10/18) (2/8) 3.22 (2/8) 3.61 3.66 3.6L 3.6U 3.60 r/ Revised n . a . — N o t available. 1 / Weekly average of daily figures. 2.73 (6/25) 1.98 (1/8) 2.21 (6/10) .38 .19 .13 •1.90 (9/2) 2.*05 3.05 2.17 3.L5 2.76 \9//ll) (12/27) (2/23) .13 (8/29) .51 (2/21) r/.20 3.29 3.29 3.28 .3.30 3.30 r/.28 r/.20 r/.26 • P/.27 * .35 .30 .61 ;29 1 •32 r/.58 ~ .lit 1 ' " • Average terra of bonds included is 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1995, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter, including, beginning October 1957, the b per cent bond of 1969. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1955 and the 3 l/li per cent bond of 1978-83. 3 / Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term T s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa 2/ State and local govt, rev. y (Per cent) 1953 - High 195U - High 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High Low October 11 October 18 October 25 November 1 November 8 - 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3.W 3.63 3.U5 h.lil 3.58 5.09 U.L2 U.96 U.98 5.01 5.oli 5.09 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/1W (12/28) (3/9) (11/8) (L/12) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 h.22 3.20 u.51 3.90 . 1.36 h.33 lw36 b.37 b.37 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (12/27) (3/8) (8/29) (2/21) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.98 2.89 3-98 3.70 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (12/28) (2/2L) d A ) (2/22) u/ 1 / Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and A; average term is 20 years. h/ Series discontinued, as of March 15. N o t e . — H i g h s and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. ' STOCK MARKET T, 11 : 11 i : ! r i 1 M — F 1 p- — ! -1 --- z" - y -:n , n .,i,; Stock price j Trading volume 2/ (millions yields 2/ of shares) {per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers Bank debit balances h/ "others" g/ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High September October 25 November 1 November 8 26.5U 22.95 35.98 2U.93 U5.89 35.28 1*9.61* 1*3.22 S3 (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/8) (12/9) (1/11,) (8/3) (1/20) 1*3.98 1*0.1,3 1*0.59' 1*0.1,1, ho .19 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* 1*.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 U.2 1.1* 1.8 2.8 lt.2 2.0 2.1* . 6.25 5.38 5.82 1*.32 1*.1*2 3.61* 1*;35 3.82 1*.70 3.91 1,665 2,1*55 2,055 1,311* •2,388 3.1*36 2,1*05 1,653 1*,030 . 2 , 8 0 5 2,517 3,537 4,01*7 2,823 2,71*0 3,9H* 1*,031 2,887 3,832 1,713 780 661* 1,01*8 . 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,058 1*.31* 1*.60 1*.67 l*.68 1*.70 3,882 1,093 1,058 1,080 1,058 2,789 n.a.--Not available. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 19U.-1,3"10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data concerted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. k/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which ; carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U.S. Government obligations. • 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U.S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. 8 Exhibit D H.lh Corporate and State and local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollarsJ New capital 1957 January February March 1 Corporate 3956 | State anu loc ^ 1 IV 56 V 1955 1957 535 Lu7 1,223 7U2 572 . 506 livii 6v6 390 535 312 ' >38 1,063 1,071 573 712 817 92lt 771 1,1*89 818 1,11.6 . 61,1 1.76 866 667 . 765 5U6 395 376 L90 735 1.27 350 61.? 1,063 838 597 61,L 670 529 58U 130 1.06 206 #7 l.i 70 2L9 L06 7^3/ 1,089^ 1,088 1,162-/ 632 900 672 e/550 639 31,7 Lo? 919 658 1,08 3,1*79 3,181 o/2,975 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 1,820 1,706 1,513 1,1.90 1,603 971 1,395 1,365 1,1.16 • 1,12b • i,98L 1st half Three Quarters Year 6,663 e/9,638 1,907 7,1,63 10,38k 1,216 6,127 8,821 3,526 5,056 3,093 li,u6h 5,1,59 2,802 3,927 5,911 1st quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd" Quarter Lth ouarter • 3,268 2,921 e/2,675 April May June July August September October November December 1st 2nd 3rd Lth ouarter ouarter ouarter ouarter ! e/1,075 e/900 e/1,000 e/950 e/850 6$h Excluding finance companies U/ Year l,6h7 2,5Ul 2,216 2,826 1,727 .. 1,870 9,259 7,595 IMU 2,5LL e/' Estimated. ~~ 1/ Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by Federal Reserve; later data are from the Investment .Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 2/ Includes #637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issue . 3/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issue . 17/ Total new capital issues excluding, offerings of sales and consumer finance cc-panies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. H.lU Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than'U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1956 - October November December 1957 - January February • March April May June July August September October 386 701 1*30 #7 671 788 477 329 877 525 526 537 571 State and local government 3% 135 201 . 386 306 191 - Other 2/ 35 100 50 b.99 125 25 39 25 22*8 176 265 357 185 L35 30 75 Large Individual Issues Offered November 1 through 8 Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount (millions Maturity rate or Offering yield of net interest cost dollars) Rating CORPORATE Consumers Power Co. Dayton Power & Light Co. So. New England Tel. Co. Beneficial Finance Co. Conv. deb. 1st mtg. bds. Common stk. Deb. 35.2 25.0 27.lt 50.0 1972 1987 U 5/8 5 ii.63 U.97 1977 5 5.21 Aa Aa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Fairfax Co., Virginia Hamilton City S.D., Ohio Jacksonville, Fla. Port of New York Auth. Cook Co., Illinois G.O. 5.5 1959-83 G.O. 5.5 1959-80 Utilities Rey.30.0 1959-95/68 Rev. 30.0 1987/67 G.O. 20.7 1958-77 OTHER None b. .21 3.78 I1.6I4 3.83 3.58 3.00-5.00 • Baa 2.80-3.80 - A 3.20-U.60 A, A 3.78 2.60-3.60 A @H.llt E-2 n.a.—Not available. 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State"~and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G. 0. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G. R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L. L., limited liability obligations secured ty pledge of designated revenues. \ Exhibit F H.Ik Forthcoming Larj-e Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other, than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following date shown State and Corporate Other 2/ local govt. Date of computation 1956 - Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1957 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 29 Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Opt. 31 683 136 162 U8 116 280 591 7li0 L6l 187 525 370 526 578 576 158 153 153 290 179 97 172 252 213 370 369 Subsequent to date shown Corporate — 990 181 796 966 795 186 258 525 115 811 81,5* 617 815 23 ICO 35 25 25 25 30 30 . 955 979 763 61*8 631 862 396 388 1x98. 5H» 139 587 573 • ——• 23 100 35 25 25 25 30 15 U5 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of November I ^ Issuer Type Amount (millions Approximate date of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Caterpillar Tractor Co. S. F. deb. 65.0 Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line Corp. S. F. deb. • 20.0 Pfd. stk. 20.0 Texas Eastern Transmission Corp. Idaho Power Co. 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 Michigan Bell Telephone Co. Deb. 1*0.0 Florida Power & Light Co. Common stk. 15.0 Ohio Power Co. 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 1st mtg. bds. Houston Lighting & Power Co. 10.0 Conv. sub. deb. 60.0 Olin Mathieson Chemical Corp. Virginia Electric & Power Co. 1st & ref. mtg. bds.2-0.0 Commonwealth Oil Refining Co. Conv. sub. deb. 20.0 Standard Oil Co. of New Jersey Common stk. 288.2 Commercial Credit Co. National Cylinder Gas Co. Notes • Conv. sub. deb. 50.0 17.5 Nov. 13 • Nov. lit Nov. lli Nov. 15 Nov. 19 Nov. 20 Nov. 20 Nov. 21 Nov. 21 Dec. li Dec. 11 Dec. 18 (rights expire) 1957 1957 i H.lU F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of November 8 (Cont'd) Issuer. Type 1 Amount Approximate date J (millions of offering |of dollars; STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT State of Kentucky G.O. Los Angeles Co. Flood Control Dist., Calif. Rev. State of Maryland G.O. New York, New York , G.O. Springfield, Missouri Water rev. Chicago, Illinois Water works rev. Lincoln Park Sch. Dist., Mich. G.O. New York State Thruway Auth. Rev. State of Ohio Thoroughfare rev. Territory of Hawaii G.O. Oklahoma Co., Okla. G.O. Washington Toll Bridge Auth. Rev. #State of So. Carolina G.O. Los Angeles Sch. Dists., Calif. G.O. *State of Ohio G.O. Greater Baton Rouge Port Comm., La. Rev. Chicago Bd. of Education, H I . G.O. *Caddo Parish Sch. Dist., La. G.O. Penna. State Highway & Bridge Auth. Rev. State of Missouri G.O;State of Texas G.O. Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Rev. Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. Rev. 35.0 20.0 lit.2 36.5 22.0 20.0 6.8 50.0 30.0 7.0 6.0 30.5 5.0 " 15.0 25.0 19.U 25.0 7.5 20.0 30.0 12.5 62.0 20.0 Nov. 12 Nov. 12 Nov. 12 Nov. 13 Nov. 13 Nov. 13 Nov. 13 Nov. 19 Nov. 19 Nov. 19 Nov. 19 Nov. 20 Nov. 26 Dec. 3 Dec. h Dec. 11 Dec. 17 Jan. 7 Jan. 17 Winter Winter Winter Winter OTHER Pacific Great Eastern Ry. Co. Union of South Africa S. F. deb. Ext. loan bds. 30.0 15.0 1957 1957 ' ~ ~ *—Included in table for first time. " 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local"~g overmen t issues of $$ million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.--Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: Merrimack-Essex Electric Company's $20 million 1st mortgage bond issue — proceeds for new capital were less than $15 million. . ti.iu Exhibit G fields on New and Outstanding Liectrie Power Bonds, Itated Aa and A 1/ Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above . Actual Actual • Amount above (per cent) seasoned yields (per cent) seasoned yields (basis points) (basis points) Date 1952 - 1956" High Low / a.30(!2/12/$6) 2.93(3/31/51) 1957 - January. February March April 3 10 12 May 10 15 16 21 23 29 June 5 7 11 July 3 10 11 16 17 August 111 September 5 6 25 October ^ 62 - 3 k.kk 70 -15 I1.62 None 11.50 57 kk I1.25 None L29 6I1 li5 50 I1.60 59 U9 52 52 69 k.bO U.50 it.38 2/ 65 51 li.63 75 ii.78 87 1,8 68 56 a.57 ii.77 I1.65 5.00 L80 L65 1.76 . 75 51 56 16 11 2k November 7 8 L58(12/6/56) 3.00(3/17/51) a.97 I4.86 2/ .63 52 L.53 1,.53 2/ k.70 i 5.oo 5.25 98 123 5.10 106 li.80 2/ I1.88 2/ 6h 7k I1.90. 71 5.10 ^ . UU ' i . 95 5.30 5.50 ' 51 39 3k - 67 86 1/ Covers only 30-year first nortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the sane day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Other issues, have no -such provision.