Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : May 8, 1978
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Capital Marl<et Developments % % % % May 8, 1978 Prepared by the CAPITAL MARKETS SECTION in conjunction with the MORTGAGE and CONSUMER FINANCE SECTION DIVISION OF RESEARCH AND STATISTICS BOARD OF GOVERNORS F E D E R A L RESERVE SYSTEM, Washington, D C. 20551 Index SUBSCRIPTION RATES: Weekly $15.00 per year or $.40 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico; 10 or more of the same issue to one address, $13.50 per year or $.35 each. Elsewhere, $20.00 per year or $.50 each. Address requests to Publications Services, Division of Administrative Services, and make payment remittance payable to the order of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in a form collectible at par in U.S. Currency. TABLES 1 - 6 S E C U R I T Y VOLUME AND YIELDS 7, 8 S T O C K M A R K E T AND S E C U R I T Y CREDIT 9 - 1 6 MORTGAGE MARKET SYMBOLS 6 ESTIMATE P PRELIMINARY r REVISED n.a. NOT AVAILABLE DATA DO NOT EXIST Table 1 YIELDS, VOLUME AND RECEPTION CORPORATE BOND MARKET VOLUME YIELDS WEEK ENDING 1978 - March April May 3 10 17 24 31 7 14 21 28 N E W ISSUE A a a UTILITY 1 RECENTLY OFFERED A a a UTILITY 2 3 GROSS OFFERINGS ($ MILLIONS) PER C E N T S O L D BY END OF WEEK N E W ISSUES 4 IN S Y N D I C A T E ($ MILLIONS) 8.61 8.83 8.70 8.65 8.64 8.64 8.75 126 494 265 441 631 90 85 87 67 85 40 74 70 215 93 8.88 8.88 8.93 8.92 8.82 8.84 8.84 8.91 300 558 813 192 87 98 82 96r 23 10 145 8r 8.90p 128 96 — 8.70 5 5 MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME YIELDS WEEK ENDING MOODY'S N E W ISSUE Aaa BOND BUYER 20-BOND INDEX ; GROSS OFFERINGS ($ MILLIONS) 3 PER C E N T S O L D BY E N D OF WEEK N E W ISSUES 4 IN S Y N D I C A T E ($ MILLIONS) 1978 - March 3 10 17 24 31 5.15 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.63 5.58 5.58 5.59 5.69 624 786 941 1,115 879 73 88 87 89 75 253 210 244 282 349 April 7 14 21 28 5.40 5.40 5.40 5.45 5.76 5.74 5.79 5.89 346 785 739 1,264 84 91 89 88 189 186 185 248 5 5.45 5.98 739 79 281 May NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection, released from price restrictions sometime during the last four weeks. 3 Estimated by F.R. on the basis of available data. 4 Corporate Market: Salomon Brothers Bond Market Roundup; Municipal Market: Weekly Bond Buyer. Data are adjusted by Federal Reserve when necessary to make coverage of this series consistent with the gross offerings series. Table 2 HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS NEW ISSUE Aaa UTILITY DATE 1 RECENTLY OFFERED Aaa UTILITY 2 MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa 3 U.S. GOVT. 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITY 4 B O N D BUYER 2Q-BOND INDEX 1974 - High Low 10.61 ( 1 0 / 4 ) 8.05 (2/15) 10.52 ( 1 0 / 1 1 ) 8.13 (1/4) 9 . 3 9 (10/11) 7.73 ( 1 / 4 ) 8.68 (8/30) 7.39 ( 1 / 4 ) 7.15 ( 1 2 / 1 2 ) 5.15 (2/7) 1975 - High Low 9.80 (5/2) 8.89 (2/7) 9.71 (5/25) 9.06 (2/28) 9.01 (5/2) 8 . 5 7 (2/28) 8.63 (9/19) 7.63 (2/21) 7.67 ( 1 0 / 3 ) 6.27 ( 2 / 1 3 ) 1976 - High Low 8.95 (5/28) 7 . 9 3 (12/10) 9.10 (1/2) 7.84 (12/31) 8 . 6 6 (5/28) 7 . 9 1 (12/31) 8 . 1 7 (5/28) 7.27 (12/31) 7.29 ( 1 / 2 ) 5.95 (12/16) 1977 - High Low 8 . 3 6 (12/16) 7.90 (1/7) 8 . 4 8 (12/30) 7.95 (1/7) 8 . 2 8 (12/30) 7.88 ( 1 / 7 ) 7.99 (12/30) 7.26 (1/7) 5.93 (2/4) 5.45 (11/17) 1978 - High Low 8.93 (4/21) 8.60 (3/24) 8.91 (4/28) 8.48 (1/6) 8.61 (5/5) 8.30 (1/6) 8.38 (5/5) 8.02 (1/6) 5.98 (5/4) 5.58 (3/17) 8.88 8.88 8.93 8.92 8.82 8.84 8.84 8.91 8.53 8.56 8.57 8.59 8.31 8.33 8.35 8.36r 5.76 5.74 5.79 5.89 8.90p 8. 61p 8. 38p 5.98 1978 - Apr. May 7 14 21 28 5 NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection released from price restrictions sometime during the last 4 weeks. 3 Weekly average of daily closing figures. 4 Weekly average of daily figures. U.S. Treasury data. 5 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Weekly Bond Buyer data. 5 Table 3 LONG-TERM CORPORATE AND STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT SECURITY OFFERINGS AND PLACEMENTS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS GROSS PROCEEDS STATE AND LOCAL CORPORATE PERIOD 1978 1977 1 1976 1977 1978 3,283 2,716 4,300e 1976 3,402 3,442 4,063 2,451 2,885 3,365 3,507 4,186 6,439 3,409 4,566 5,786 2,218 3,575 3,115 4,289 3,469 4,177 3,216 3,357 4,817 3,113 4,118 4,013 2,734 2,821 2,814 4,221 5,331 6,531 4,511 3,074 6,503 3,807 3,332 3,646 3,524 3,336 2,342 03 04 12,732 13,455 11,935 16,083 13,876 14,132 11,390 14,088. 10,907 13,761 11,244 10,785 8,701 8,908 8,369 9,202 1st Half 3 Qtrs. Year 26,187 38,122 54,205 28,008 24,668 35,912 46,697 17,609 25,978 35,180 4,362 2,792 5,578 3,381 3,863 6,632 April May June 3,998 3,797 5,660 July August September October November December January February March 3,013 2,550e 3,700e 9,263e 01 02 39,398 53,488 "10,299e NOTES: 1 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross proceeds. 2 Securities Industry Association estimates of principal amounts. 3 E s t i m a t e d by F e d e r a l Reserve on t h e b a s i s of a v a i l a b l e d a t a . Table 4 NEW CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES BY TYPE OF ISSUE AND ISSUER ON IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE PERIOD 1976 - I MEMO BONDS TOTAL PUBLICLY OFFERED COMMON MANUFACAND ISSUES INCLUDED PRIVATELY TURING PREFERRED PLACED FOREIGN CONVERTIBLE STOCK PUBLIC UTILITY COMMUNICATIONS OTHER ISSUERS 13,876 14,132 11,390 14,088 7,569 7,427 4,904 6,553 2,754 3,584 4,624 4,962 3,553 3,121 1,861 2,573 1,340 1,843 1,267 1,795 262 478 199 55 4,497 3,757 2,982 4,259 4,044 3,140 3,317 3,917 765 1,879 378 541 4,596 5,358 4,715 5,369 12,732 13,455 11,935 16,083 6,498 5,606 6,215 5,867 3,527 4,975 3,506 5,999 2,707 2,874 2,214 4,217 858 1,810 1,560 1,025 6 108 495 39 3,031 3,440 3,250 4,054 3,047 4,125 2,901 4,246 1,415 1,059 644 1,320 5,238 4,830 5,140 6,460 1977 - J a n u a r y February March April May June July August September October November December 4,362 2,792 5,578 3,998 3,797 5,660 4,289 3,469 4,177 4,221 5,331 6,531 2,786 1,102 2,610 1,961 1,600 2,045 2,360 1,947 1,908 2,114 2,211 1,542 974 780 1,773 1,446 949 2,580 972 965 1,569 979 1,200 3,820 602 910 1,195 591 1,248 1,035 695 557 700 1,128 1,920 1,169 300 433 125 600 350 850 935 150 475 300 425 300 0 6 0 50 2 56 25 262 208 1 22 16 1,129 757 1,145 1,381 643 1,416 1,349 1,068 833 731 782 2,541 989 470 1,588 984 1,670 1,471 903 497 1,501 1,437 1,729 1,080 50 557 808 334 309 41b 277 45 322 8 1,013 299 2,194 1,006 2,038 1,298 1,176 2,356 1,761 1,858 1,521 2,045 1,805 2,610 1978 - J a n u a r y 3,013 1,382 998 633 325 0 273 644 519 1,578 II I I I IV 1977 - I II III IV NOTES: Other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. 1 Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. 1 • • • # e # . # Table 5A INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 May 1 through May 5 , 1978 ISSUER CORPORATE Moran Bros. C o n t i n e n t a l I l l i n o i s Corp. 1 s t American Corporation P o r t l a n d General E l e c t r i c Co. Tucson Gas & E l e c . Co. TYPE Debt. NotBS Com. s t k . Com. s t k . Com. s t k . AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 15.0 100.0 MATURITY 1998 1985 75.0 65.6 40.3 NOTES: * Rights offering. 1 Includes only corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; excludes options, exchanges, and secondary offerings. COUPON RATE 11.50 8.50 OFFERING YIELD 11.63 8.55 MOODYS/S&P'S RATINGS B/B Aaa/AAA i Table SB INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ' May 1 through May 5 , 1978 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. G.O. Rev. 78.0 94.5 8.2 9.9 17.1 15.6 7.0 10.0 12.9 6.7 31.5 60.0 70.0 9.5 5.5 19.6 20.1 1997-2005 1979-2003 1978-1998 1998-2005 1979-1998 1979-2003 1979-2003 1979-2003 1980-1998 2003 2016 1980-1994 1979-2008 1979-1999 2009 1979-1993 1981-2020 6.27 5.10 Rev. Rev. Rev. G.O. 14.8 4.0 15.3 15.0 1981-2000 1998 2008 1989-1994 6.47 TYPE ISSUER STATE AND LOCAL A u s t i n , Texas Wisconsin, S t a t e of Rhode I s l a n d H l t h . & Educ. Bldg. Corp. Rhode I s l a n d H l t h . & Educ. Bldg. Corp. F a i r f a x Co., Va. Washington, S t a t e of Washington, S t a t e of Washington, S t a t e of I l l i n o i s Hsg. Dev. Auth. I l l i n o i s Hsg. Dev. Auth. I l l i n o i s Hsg. Dev. Auth. Chicago Sch. D i s t . , 111. F l o r i d a S t a t e Bd. of Educ. Arkansas Hsg. Dev. Agy. Arkansas Hsg. Dev. Agy. Milwaukee, Wise. Maryland Comm. Dev. Adm. San Luis C o a s t a l Sch. D i s t . Fac. Corp., Cal. Macon Co. I n d u s t . B u i l d . A u t h . , Ga. Macon Co. I n d u s t . B u i l d . A u t h . , Ga. Mesa U n i f i e d Sch. D i s t . #4, Arizona NET INTEREST COST —— — 5.25 5.50 5.51 5.51 6.68 6.68 6.68 6.05 5.71 —— 5.02 —— 5.60 OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S/S&P'S RATINGS 5.75-6.30 3.90-5.60 4.00-5.10 6.50-6.70 4.00-5.50 4.00-5.75 4.00-5.75 4.00-5.75 4.50-6.40 6.60 6.75 4.50-6.25 4.00-5.90 4.00-5.80 6.25 4.00-5.20 4.50-6.60 A-1/A+ Aaa/AAA Aaa/AAA Aaa/AAA Aaa/AA+ Aa/AA+ Aa/AA+ Aa/AA+ A-l/AA A-l/AA A-l/AA A/AAa/AA Aa/AA Aa/AA Aaa/AAA 5.00-6.50 5.45 5.66 5.25-5.60 A—1/— Aaa/AAA Aaa/AAA A-1/A+ NOTES: 1 Includes only state and local security offerings of $10 million and over; excludes secondary offerings. 2 For State and local government securities, G O. denotes general obligation; Rev. denotes revenue obligations. # # # # # # * # # • « 9 Table 6A FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 As of May 5, 1978 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING CORPORATE General American Transp. Corp. ^ I l l i n o i s Power Co. Southern Railway I n c . P u b l i c S e r v i c e Co. of New Hampshire F i r s t F e d e r a l S&L Assoc. P a c i f i c Power & Light Co. Wisconsin E l e c t r i c Power Co. San Diego Gas & Elec. Co. San Diego Gas & Elec. Co. Documation I n c . C o n t i n e n t a l Group I n c . Inforex Inc. Ohio Edison Co. T r a i l T r a i n Co. * Toledo Edison Co. Kansas Power & Light Co. Georgia Power Co. Utah Power & Light Co. Utah Power & Light Co. Kansas City Power & Light Co. > P a c i f i c Gas & Elec. Co. Wisconsin Power & Light Co. P u b l i c S e r v i c e Co. of Colorado Athlone I n d u s t r i e s I n c . R e a l t y Refund T r u s t Systems Engineering Labs. I n c . > Aetna Business Credit I n c . Oak I n d u s t r i e s I n c . Prime Computer I n c . P o s t a l Finance Co. ^Northwest Energy Co. ^ C r y s t a l Oil Co. i *World Airways ^ B e n e f i c i a l Corp. ^ T r a n s c o n t i n e n t a l Oil Co. *Monsanto Co. Public S e r v i c e of New Mexico New J e r s e y T e l e . Co. l American T e l . & T e l e . Co. Equip, t r . Com. s t k . Equip, t r . Com. s t k . Mtg.-backed Pfd. stk. 1 s t mtg. 1 s t mtg. Com. s t k . Debt. Debt. Debt. 1 s t mtg. Equip, t r . Com. s t k . Com. s t k . 1st mtg. 1 s t mtg. Com. s t k . 1 s t mtg. Pfd. stk. 1st mtg. 1 s t mtg. Debt. Debt. Debt. Notes Debt. Debt. Notes Debt. Debt. Equip, t r . Debt. Debt. Debt. Com. s t k . Debt. Debt. 60.0 63.0 22.6 26.2 40.0 40.0 80.0 50.0 40.0 15.0 125.0 15.0 120.0 22.0 48.0 37.5 100.0 50.0 40.0 50.0 125.0 35.0 50.0 20.5 20.0 15.0 30.0 30.0 15.0 20.0 70.0 30.0 67.9 150.0 20.0 200.0 30.0 100.0 100.0 NOTES: * Included in table for first time. 1 Includes only corporate and other security issues of $15 million and over; excludes exchanges, options May MayMay May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May June June June 8 9 9 9 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 23 24 24 31 1 6 6 10 Table 6A Continued FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 As of May 5, 1978 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING CORPORATE P a c i f i c Gas & E l e c . Co. Arizona P u b l i c S e r v i c e Co, *Pennsylvania E l e c . Co. *Arrow E l e c t r o n i c s I n c . United I l l u m i n a t i n g Co. I n t e r p o o l Ltd. Texas I n t e r n a t i o n a l Co. 1 s t mtg. Com. s t k . 1 s t mtg. Debt. Com. s t k . Pfd. stk. Pfd. stk. 200.0 60.0 60.0 17.0 21.0 26.0 15.0 June 7 June 7 June 13 June Indef. Indef. Indef. 11 Table 6B FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 As of May 5, 1978 TYPE ISSUER AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING STATE & LOCAL East Chicago, Ind. Rosemount Ind. Sch. D i s t . #196, Minn. McAllen Ind. Sch. D i s t . , Texas Piano, Texas Bowling Green, Ky. Minneapolis, Minn. C a l i f o r n i a , S t a t e of Baltimore Co., Md. E v e r e t t Sch. D i s t . #2, Wash. * M i s s i s s i p p i , S t a t e of * J e f f e r s o n Co., Ky. *Manatee Co., F l a . *Orlando U t i l i t i e s Comm., F l a . *Brea Redev. Agy., Cal. Spokane Sch. D i s t . #81, Wash. Ohio, S t a t e of *Hempstead, N.Y. L i t t l e t o n Sch. D i s t . #6, Colo. *Kent Sch. D i s t . #415, Wash. *Oakland Co., Mich. *Hawaii, S t a t e of *Dade Co., F l a . Clark Co. Sch. D i s t . , Nev. B i l l i n g s , Mont. S u l l i v a n Co., Tenn. *Muskegon Co., Mich. *Shreveport, La. Hillsborough Union H.S.D., Ore. ^ U n i v e r s i t y of I l l i n o i s * H a r r i s Co., Texas P o r t l a n d , Ore. *Upper S t . C l a i r Tp. Sch. A u t h . , Pa. *Upper S t . C l a i r Tp. Sch. A u t h . , Pa. *Bensalem Tp. A u t h . , Pa. Bessemer Medical C l i n i c Bd., Ala. N.E. Pennsylvania Hosp. Auth. Rev. 52.0 May 8 G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. 18.7 12.4 19.8 16.3 14.0 90.0 30.0 17.0 450.0 14.6 187.0 202.4 14.3 40.5 38.0 17.5 17.3 13.7 25.8 75.0 50.0 15.0 19.8 10.0 20.5 30.0 12.8 43.0 20.0 15.0 May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 10 12 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 17 18 18 18 18 19 23 23 23 23 24 25 31 G.O. 10.0 May Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. 20.0 34.5 16.1 22.0 May May May May NOTES: 1 Includes state and local government issues of $10 million and over, foreign government. International Bank for Reconstruction issues of Federally sponsored agencies; excludes secondary offerings. * Included in the table for the first time. 12 Table 6B Continued FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U S. TREASURY 1 As of May 5, 1978 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING STATE & LOCAL POSTPONEMENT San F r a n c i s c o A i r p o r t s Comm., C a l . Rev. 90.0 May 2 • # # # # # # # • # Table 7 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME 1 STOCK PRICES DATE NYSE INDEX 3 BJ INDUSTRIALS AMEX 4 NASDAQ 2 TRADING VOLUME NYSE AMEX NASDAQ 1974 -High Low 53.37 ( 3 / 1 3 ) 32.89 (10/3) 891.66 (3/13) 5 7 7 . 6 0 (12/6) 102.01 ( 3 / 1 4 ) 58.26 ( 1 2 / 9 ) 96.53 (3/15) 54.87 (10/3) 24.9 (1/3) 7.5 (7/5) 4.4 (1/3) .9 ( 9 / 2 6 ) 7.5 (1/3) 2.8 (7/5) 1975 -High Low 51.24 ( 7 / 1 5 ) 37.16 ( 1 / 8 ) 881.81 (7/15) 632.04 ( 1 / 2 ) 96.86 ( 7 / 1 5 ) 62.20 ( 1 / 2 ) 8 8 . 0 0 (7/15) 60.70 (1/2) 35.2 (2/13) 8.7 (9/15) 4.2 (2/21) 1.1 (9/15) 8.1 (2/13) 2.5 (9/15) 1976--High Low 57.51 ( 9 / 2 1 ) 48.04 (1/2) 1014.79 (9/21) 858.71 (1/2) 107.05 ( 7 / 1 2 ) 84.31 ( 1 / 2 ) 92.52 ( 7 / 1 5 ) 78.06 ( 1 / 2 ) 44.5 (2/20) 10.3 (1/2) 8.6 (2/20) 1.1 (1/2) 11.1 (2/20) 3.5 (1/2) 1977--High Low 57.69 ( 1 / 3 ) 49.78 ( 1 1 / 2 ) 999.75 (1/3) 8 0 0 . 8 5 (11/2) 127.89 ( 1 2 / 3 0 ) 105.05 (12/30) 109.61 ( 1 / 1 2 ) 93.66 ( 4 / 5 ) 35.3 (11/11) 10.6 ( 1 0 / 1 0 ) 4 . 2 (1/13) 1.4 ( 9 / 2 2 ) 11.2 ( 1 1 / 1 0 ) 5 . 1 (5/27) 844.33 ( 5 / 1 ) 742.12 (2/28) 139.89 ( 5 / 5 ) . 119.73 ( 1 / 1 1 ) 117.27 ( 5 / 5 ) 99.09 ( 1 / 1 1 ) 63.5 (4/17) 7.6 (1/20) 6 . 2 (4/17.) 1.3 (1/20) 15.0 ( 4 / 2 5 ) 2.8 (1/20) 1978--High Low '1 5 4 . 3 6 ( 5 / 1 ) 48.37 ( 3 / 6 ) Mar. 3 10 17 24 31 48.67 49.48 50.25 49.86 49.85 747.31 758.58 768.71 756.50 757.36 123.09 125.35 127.33 128.01 128.94 101.95 103.42 104.94 105.39 106.20 20.2 21.6 25.1 24.0 21.3 2.5 2.9 3.1 2.8 3.1 8.0 8.9 9.1 9.2 9.0 Apr. 7 14 21 28 50.41 51.94 52.64 53.90 769.58 795.13 812.80 837.32 131.81 134.69 135.43 136.36 108.23 111.29 113.32 115.18 24.0 32.0 45.5 40.6r 3.4 4.2 4.6 4.4r 10.1 11.8 13.0 13.4r 5 53.97 829.09 139.89 117.27 38.4 5.1 14.3 May NOTES: 1 Figures other than highs and lows are Fridays only. Highs and lows are for the year and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2 3 Volume figures are weekly averages of daily figures (millions of shares). 12/31/66 = 50 4 Based on average price change until September 4, 1973 thereafter, based on market value of shares listed. 14 Table 8 SECURITY CREDIT REGULATED MARGIN CREDIT EXTENDED BY END OF PERIOD OUTSTANDING BROKERS ON MARGIN STOCK 1 BROKERS O N 2 CONVERTIBLE BONDS 3 BANKS UNREGULATED NONMARGIN STOCK CREDIT AT BANKS 1977 - F e b r u a r y March April May June July August September October November December 8,480 8,690 8,880 9*070 9,230 9,460 9,560 9,590 9,560 9,610 9,740 197 199 196 196 198 204 200 196 191 , 246— 250 844 810 807 801 873 875 885 881 882 872 873 2,319 2,312 2,350 2,345 2,551 2,568 2,587 2,581 2,579 2,604 2,568 1978 - J a n u a r y February March 9,590 9,780 9,920 246 242 250 851 877 2,565 2,544 1977 - F e b r u a r y March April May June July August September October November December 210 210 190 190 160 230 100 30 -30 50 130 1 2 -3 2 6 -4 -4 "55/ -55-' 4 12 -34 -3 —6 72 -2 10 -4 1 -10 1 7 -7 38 -5 206 17 19 —6 -2 25 — 36 1978 - J a n u a r y February March -150 190r 140 -4 -4 8 -22 26 -21 CHANGE IN OUTSTANDING -3 NOTES: 1 Margin account debt as reported by the New York Stock Exchange, excluding credit for subscription issues and convertible bonds. 2 New York Stock Exchange data. 3 June data for banks are universe totals; all other data for banks represent estimates for all commercial banks based on reports by a reporting sample, which accounted for 60 per cent of security credit outstanding at banks on June 30. 4 Nonmargin stocks are those not listed on a national securities exchange and not included on the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System's list of OTC margin stocks. At banks, loans to purchase or carry nonmargin stocks are unregulated; at brokers, such stocks have no value. 5 Data p r i o r t o November n o t s t r i c t l y comparable due t o changes i n r e p o r t i n g . 4 • • e e e e # # • # Table 9 SAVINGS FLOWS AT NONBANK THRIFT INSTITUTIONS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS DATE NET FLOW 2,165 11,070 12,670 10,647 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 2.3 11.3 11.6 8.8 NET NEW MONEY 282 1,200 683 406 1,289 -12 -137 296 99 -131 1978-Jan. Feb. Mar. 628 480 1,750 -59 171 350 1977-Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1978-Jan. Feb Mar v :— 1,187 1,131 1,257 515 519 n.i 723 374 487 6.5 3.4 4.4 2 -2,822 4,757 5,275 2,811 19 7 7-Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. . TOTAL SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS SHARE CAPITAL NET FLOW — MM DEPOSITS NET FLOW ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 5.6 15.8 15.9 13.5 NET NEW MONEY 18,171 53,839 62,839 61,610 3,144 7,161 3,079 2,135 6,831 2,619 1,529 2,566 1,615 752 2,877 2,073 2,554 3,373 2,777 8,865 2,818 2,244 2,904 2,745 2,297 7,115 2,012 2,226 2,808 ADJUSTED 18.6 18.2 12.2 11.7 10.6 6.2 6.8 8.6 —— —— 6,858 6,787 5,089 4,226 3,929 16.6 16.2 12.0 9.9 9.1 2,735 2,600 3,295 6.3 5.9 7.5 2 1,846 34,033 39,644 34,783 16,006 7.1 4,668 42,769 17.6 29,276 50,169 17.6 34,369 50,963 15.2 31,972 NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 2,631 2,862 1,666 5,961 2,270 2,396 1,516 1,729 883 5,542 SEASONALLY 5,671 5,656 3,832 3,711 3,410 10.5 11.6 4.7 4.7 ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE NET NEW MONEY 2 NOTES: 1 Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. 2 New deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&L's are for insured associations only, which represent 96 per cent of industry total resources. 3 Annual growth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Source: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. jjj H.16 16 Table 10 MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS AT SELECTED THRIFT INSTITUTIONS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED PERIOD OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS MUTUAL ALL SAVINGS SAVINGS BKS & LOAN TOTAL ASSOCIATIONS (N.Y. STATE) TOTAL NET CHANGE ALL SAVINGS MUTUAL SAVINGS BKS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS (N.Y. STATE) 1972 25.2 20.3 4.9 7.48 6.28 1.20 1973 19.9 16.4 3.5 -5.31 -3.92 -1.39 1974 14.7 12.5 2.2 -5.20 -3.91 -1.29 1975 20.6 18.6 2.0 5.81 6.06 1976 - J a n Feb Mar Apr May Jim Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 20.6 21.3 21.8 21.8 22.4 22.9 23.2 23.6 24.5 25.7 27.1 27.9 18.6 19.4 19.6 19.6 20.1 20.7 21.0 21.3 21.9 23.1 24.3 25.0 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.8 .35 .79 .33 .12 .50 .57 .30 .40 .89 1.21 1.35 .76 .35 .84 .16 .04 .46 .59 .27 .35 .62 1.21 1.24 .70 1977 - J a n Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 28.0 28.6 29.7 30.2 30.6 31.9 32.4 34.0 35.1 37.4 38.8 39.2 25.4 25.6 26.5 27.0 27.3 28.1 28.7 30.0 31.0 32.8 34.0 34.3 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.1 4.5 4.7 4.6 .45 .43 1.07 .49 .37 1.33 .54 1.50 1.24 1.95 1.41 .24 .38 .23 .90 .49 .30 .80 .57 1.32 1.07 1.78 1.18 .34 .07 .53 - .03 .18 .17 .37 .23 - .10 1978 - J a n Feb Mar 38.6 37.6 36.9 34.2 33.3 32.7 4.4 4.3 4.2 - .35 -1.05 - .65 - .11 - .96 - .59 - .24 - .09 - .06 NOTES: D a t a r e v i s e d due to r e - e s t i m a t i o n of seasonal - .25 — - .05 .17 .08 .04 - .02 .03 .05 .27 — .11 .06 .07 .20 .17 — factors. Based on data from Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Association of New York State. Both series include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments; S&L commitments also include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded end of period outstanding levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal* Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. H.16 Table 11 NET NEW MONEY B O R R O W I N G S BY MAJOR HOUSING A G E N C I E S IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERIOD TOTAL INCLUDING SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM ISSUES TOTAL FHLB FHLMC FNMA FNMA& FHLB SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES 1 1975 - J u l y Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. +236 -398 215 587 152 669 +300 -700 100 850 200 600 0 -700 0 +150 0 0 0 0 0 0 200 0 +300 0 100 700 0 600 —64 302 115 -263 -48 69 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -197 -964 -851 124 -953 -107 -58 787 195 -37 -552 145 0 —604 -304 693 -607 —206 291 +190 190 310 -297 -219 0 -1,100 0 0 -600 0 0 0 0 0 -300 0 0 196 -4 -7 -7 —6 -9 +190 -10 —8 -9 -7 0 300 -300 700 0 -200 300 0 200 318 12 -212 -197 -360 -547 -569 —346 99 : -349 597 5 -347 -255 364 1977 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 12 -862 289 344 532 605 531 347 195 247 466 1,078 188 -592 -354 746 297 203 553 301 -291 211 500 0 0 -200 0 -6 105 0 0 304 0 0 300 0 —189 -393 -4 0 200 3 -47 -3 9 11 200 0 -1 1 -350 752 —8 200 600 0 -300 200 0 0 -176 -270 643 -402 235 402 -22 46 486 —36 -34 1,078 1978 - Jan. Feb. Mar. e 399 1,712 904 -12 1,388 0 0 1,400 0 -12 -12 0 0 0 0 411 324 904 NOTES: Based on data from Treasury Survey of Ownership. 1 Sales of FHLB discount notes began in May 1974. Preliminary Digitized for pFRASER T a b l e 12 NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS IN M I L L I O N S O F D O L L A R S PERIOD 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA 21,930 41,406 57,587 58,372 42,739 43,497 62,783 96,814 2 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS TOTAL 17,020 39,018 55,561 55,072 36,517 38,658 64,903 95,924 COMMERCIAL BANKS 2,462 9,940 16,800 19,600 11,700 4,200 13,900 25,700 MSB's 1,956 3,938 5,377 5,642 2,172 2,236 4,074 6,474 S & L's 10,254 23,919 31,932 25,552 17,567 29,289 44,515 58,566 INSURANCE FNMA-GNMA COMPANIES 2,348 1,221 1,452 4,278 5,078 2,933 2,414 5,184 4,910 2,388 2,026 3,300 6,222 4,839 -2,120 890 5,224 5,726 5,256 4,876 4,754 4,748 252 220 744 614 426 1,655 - 86 -163 167 - 31 96 222 3,019 3,409 4,794 S e a s o n a l l y Ad l u s t e d 406 329 497 -368 -239 - 69 - 92 93 75 Not S e a s o n a l l y Ad l u s t e d 1977 - J u l y Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 8,339 9,502 9,127 8,349 7,940 9,096 8,425 9,665 8,930 8,380 7,844 8,874 2,300 3,000 2,300 2,300 2,100 1,700 649 719 660 690 564 771 1978 - J a n . Feb. Mar 5,466 5,137 1,300 1,100 2,400 412 344 1977 - J u l y Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 7,726 8,869 8,762 8,533 8,822 9,192 8,094 9,108 8,831 8,625 8,729 9,117 2,263 2,892 2,142 2,265 2,284 1,951 608 669 685 675 605 647 4,855 5,291 5,289 5,162 5,437 5,262 368 256 715 523 403 1,257 1978 - J a n . Feb. Mar 7,497 7,109 1,688 1,509 2,329 572 575 4,305 4,041 4,789 544 388 602 NOTES: S e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d d a t a r e v i s e d due t o r e - e s t i m a t i o n of s e a s o n a l f a c t o r s . 1 Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these groups accounted for 8 3 per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1974. Beginning January 1972 data reflect activity in limited amount of conventional mortgages. Digitized2 for FRASER 19 T a b l e 13 NET INCREASE IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING IN B I L L I O N S OF DOLLARS, S E A S O N A L L Y A D J U S T E D A N N U A L R A T E S 2 RESIDENTIAL COMMERCIAL MULTFAMILY & COMMERCIAL 5.5 5.8 8.4 8.0 5.7 6.9 8.6 7.4 11.2 12.7 17.0 15.4 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.3 23.2 29.6 33.8 35.7 9.5 10.7 9.3 9.1 6.7 9.3 12.1 11.6 16.2 20.0 21.4 20.7 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.1 49.3 54.1 59.1 63.6 38.0 41.0 48.1 47.9 11.3 13.1 11.0 15.7 14.8 16.5 14.9 21.0 26.1 29.6 25.9 36.7 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 80.6 87.4 80.7 70.4 56.0 59.9 56.2 48.5 47.8 46.9 43.7 40.6 8.2 13.0 12.5 7.9 19.1 21.7 19.4 16.4 27.3 34.7 31.9 24.3 5.6 5.8 5.0 5.5 1974 - I II II IV 69.9 70.9 54.5 46.7 48.7 47.2 35.1 29.7 39.2 40.3 28.4 25.4 9.5 6.9 6.7 4.3 17.5 18.7 13.6 11.2 27.0 25.6 20.3 15.5 3.6 4.9 5.8 5.9 1975 - I II III IV 44.0 55.0 62.3 67.7 29.7 39.8 45.3 50.8 28.9 39.8 44.9 51.9 0.8 0.0 0.4 -lei 9.0 10.3 12.9 12.8 9.8 10.3 13.3 11.7 5.3 4.9 4.0 4.1 1976 - I II III IV 78.6 77.3 94.0 98.6 59.7 58.0 73.8 78.0 58.3 58.1 70.0 75.5 1.4 -0.1 3.8 2.5 13.7 14.5 13.4 13.0 15.1 14.4 17.2 16.9 5.3 4.8 6.9 7.6 108.3 132.2 140.3 140.1 84.2 102.6 106.6 109.2 80.3 96.1 98.9 99.7 3.9 6.5 7.7 9.5 15.5 20.3 24.8 22.9 19.4 26.8 32.5 32.4 8.6 9.3 8.9 8.0 QUARTER TOTAL 1970 - I II II IV 25.5 25.3 33.5 35.4 18.7 18.3 23.9 26.8 13.2 12.5 15.5 18.8 1971 - I II III IV 41.2 51.8 57.8 59.5 32.7 40.3 43.1 44.7 1972 - I II III IV 67.6 74.1 77.6 88.1 1973 - I II III IV 1977 - I II III IV (p) TOTAL 1- t o 4 FAMILY MULTIFAMILY FARM NOTES: 1 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. 2 R e s i d e n t i a l mortgage d e b t i n c l u d e s nonfarm only and i s sum of 1 - t o 4 - f a m i l y and m u I t i f a m i l y mortgage d e b t . Table 14 PRIVATE HOUSING PERMITS, STARTS, COMPLETIONS, AND MOBILE HOME SHIPMENTS N> O IN THOUSANDS OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES PERMITS 1 PERIOD 1—FAMILY TOTAL 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 COMPLETIONS STARTS 1 —FAMILY 2-OR MORE FAMILY 2-OR MORE FAMILY TOTAL 811 813 1,151 1,309 1,132 888 892 1,162 1,451 656 621 901 1,048 914 450 268 376 375 1,324 1,352 1,925 2,219 1,820 1,074 939 1,297 1,677 626 647 906 1,033 882 644 676 894 1,125 698 705 1,018 1,186 937 431 264 403 552 | 1,407 1,434 2,052 2,357 2,045 1,338 1,160 1,538 1,987 1977 - J u l y Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1,639 1,772 ; 1,695 1 1,850 1,893 1,811 1,089 1,156 1,135 1,216 1,257 1,210 550 616 560 634 636 601 ! ! : ! ; i 2,072 2,038 2,012 2,139 2,096 2,203 1,453 1,454 1,508 1,532 1,544 1,574 619 584 504 607 552 629 1978 - J a n . Feb. Mar. ' 1,496 1,511 1,715 1,027 954 1,075 469 557 640 1,548 1,574 2,074 1,156 1,100 1,439 392 474 635 I TOTAL MOBILE ! 1 —FAMILY \2-OR MORE HOME FAMILY SHIPMENTS I i | 1,399 1,418 1,706 1,972 2,014 1,692 1,297 1,362 1,652 808 802 1,014 1,143 1,174 932 867 1,026 1,254 592 617 692 828 840 760 430 336 398 413 401 497 576 567 329 216 246 277 ! ! : i 1,671 1,677 1,875 1,665 1,769 1,641 1,253 1,269 1,458 1,249 1,280 1,299 419 409 417 416 489 342 251 270 300 319 318 324 I 1,759 1,677 1,296 1,218 463 459 j 322 269 NOTES: Private building permits (for 14.000 areas with permit systems, excluding farm!, starts, and completions are Census Bureau data. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins. In the case of apartment buildings, all units are considered started at that time; however all such units are considered completed when more than half of the units in the structure are ready for use. Private mobile home shipments are Mobile Home Manufacturers Association data converted to seasonally adjusted annual rate by Census Bureau. 1 Permit data for 1969 and 1970 based on 13,000 areas with permit systems # e e # e e # e • • « Table 15 AVERAGE RATES AND YIELDS ON HOME MORTGAGES CONVENTIONAL LOANS PRIMARY MARKET EXISTING HOMES NEW HOMES PERIOD RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) SPREAD BETWEEN NEW Aaa RETURNS ON NEW HOMES UTILITY CONVENTIONAL BOND AND HUD(FHA) YIELD NEW HOME DISCOUNT SPREAD YIELD (PERCENTAGE MORTGAGES (IN PER CENT) (BASIS (IN PER CENT) (BASIS POINTS) POINTS) POINTS) HUD(FHA) INSURED LOANS SECONDARY MARKET 2 .0 65 -4 8.72 8 .05 73 22 4.7 1.7 40 4 8 .31 8 .01 8.74 8.74 8 .72 8.78 8 .78 8.91 57 73 58 50 55 N.A , 1.9 1.9 1.7 26 26 28 8.17 9.11 N.A . 9.29 N.A N.A 46 1976 - High Low 9 .05 8 .90 91 5 9.10 8.95 95 10 9.06 8.25 59 8 4 .3 1977 - High Low 9.10 8.80 99 52 9.20 8.85 98 63 9.11 8.40 1977 - J u l y Aug . Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec . 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9 .05 9.10 83 99 86 72 82 N.A 9.05 9.05 9.05 9.05 9.05 9.10 88 104 91 77 82 N:A , 1978 - J a n . Feb . Mar . 9.15 9.25 9 .30 N.A 54 47 9 .20 N.A . 54 47 9.25 9.30 8 .01 8 .14 8.28 3.2 22 27 19 4.7 N.A 4.1 4 N.A 1 N.A . 8.71 8.83 2.2 2.2 8.23 N.A . NOTES: 1 Gross yield spread is average mortgage return before deducting servicing costs, minus average yield on new issues of high-grade utility bonds with 5-year call protection, payment, prepaid in 15 years, for immediate delivery, are used. H.ie 22 Table 16 FNMA AUCTION RESULTS HOME MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS CONVENTIONAL GOVERNMENT-UNDERWRITTEN AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) DATE OF AUCTION OFFERED AVERAGE YIELD AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) OFFERED ACCEPTED 855 (12/27) 570 (12/27) 8 . 9 8 ( 1 2 / 2 ) 383 ( 5 / 2 ) 1977 - High 1977 - J u l y 11 25 ACCEPTED 278 ( 5 / 2 ) 9 . 2 1 (12/27 35 ( 9 / 7 ) 8 . 4 6 ( 1 / 1 0 ) 123 ( 7 / 2 5 ) 130.5 75.9 77 .3 54.1 8.72 8.71 163.9 122.9 101.6 82.8 9.08 9.06 50 ( 9 / 7 ) Low AVERAGE YIELD 71 ( 9 / 1 9 ) 8 . 8 1 (1/10) Aug. 8 22 195 .0 119.9 143.1 78.3 8.75 8.77 199.8 170.4 144 .4 92.3 9.06 9.06 Sept 7 19 50.3 62.6 35 .1 40.3 8.74 8.74 138.9 107 .5 113.9 70.5 9.06 9.05 Oct. 3 17 31 131.3 325.8 156.1 82.2 212.6 105.7 8.77 8.84 8.86 187.3 242.7 328.1 137 .2 167 .8 224.0 9.07 9.11 9.14 Nov. 14 28 110.6 99.8 69.5 83.2 8.86 8.85 308.6 229.0 202.8 183.5 9.16 9.16 Dec. 13 27 329.1 855.4 224.3 569.7 8.89 8.98 262.2 329.4 168.9 190.5 9.17 9.21 1978 - J a n . 9 23 1011.0 768.8 605.3 356.6 9.13 9.21 403.6 546.3 192.8 256.8 9.28 9.37 Feb. 6 21 640.9 558.2 338.0 285.5 9.27 9.35 633.6 580.5 299.3 266.7 9.45 9.53 Mar. 6 20 358.8 L64.9 218.5 116.4 9.36 9.3) 444.8 378.7 266.4 246.1 9.59 9.62 Apr. 3 17 )25 .5 283.8 363.7 165 .5 9.44 9.44 522.8 451.4 295 .3 282.8 9.69 9 .74 1 655.1 349.9 9.52 645.8 305.4 9.80 May NOTES: Average secondary market yields are gross before deduction of the fee of 38 basis points paid for mortgage servicing. They reflect the average accepted bid yield for home mortgages assuming a prepayment period of 12 years for 30-year loans, without special adjustment for Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) commitment fees and FNMA stock purchase and holding requirements on 4-month commitments. Mortgage amounts offered by bidders relate to total eligible bids received. H.16