Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : May 5, 1969
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L . 5 . 8 C o n f i d e n t s (F.R.) f ^ iJBRARy DECONTBOLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS ^ | I FEDEBal BSS£HV£ £S^ I op j Kcm£om I /CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Capital Markets Section, DWrsion of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D. C. ; ^ INDEX 3-5 Developments in the Corporate and Municipal Bond Markets 6-7 C a p i t a l Market Y i e l d s 8-13 Capital Market Volume 14-17 Stock Market 18-33 Mortgage Market ; 1 • : • . .• . " ' : /• : •. • ' i TABLE 1: Yields, Volume and Reception CORPORATE BOND MARKET VOLUME 2 PER CENT GROSS BONDS SCHEDULED SOLD BY END MOODY'S Aaa OFFERINGS OF WEEK WITHIN 28 DAYS YIELDS WEEK ENDING: NEW ISSUE 1 1969- Apr. 3 11 18 25 May 2 9j>/ 7.28 7.30 7.02 — 6.99 6.97 6.88 6.81 196 307 176 r/372 7.18 n. a. 6.80 n. a. r/227 370e 90 100 95 75 r/65 n. a. MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME 2 PER CENT SOLD BY END GROSS BOND BUYER OF WEEK 20 BOND INDEX OFFERINGS - 635 548 437 n. a. n -an. a. YIELDS WEEK ENDING: 1969- Apr. 3 11 18 25 May 2 9£/ MOODY'S Aaa 5.00 5.08 5.00 4.95 5.25 5.29 5.13 5.09 280 420 r/345 r/415 79 87 69 80 4.95 n. a. 5.10 n. a. , 186 185e/ r/59 n. a. BONDS SCHEDULED WITHIN 28 DAYS 969 791 705 550 770 z n. a. 1 Derived by adjusting to an Aag basis, new issues of publicly-offered, corporate bonds with call protection, rated A, Aa, or Aaa by Moody's Investors Service (.except serial and convertible issues, offerings of natural gas pipeline and foreign companies, and bonds guaranteed by the Federal Government.) 2 Millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated. ri. a.-- Not available. Z 7:: ' '' . TABLE 2: Details on Inventories AMOUNT (MIL. $) DATE OFFERED 5/1 4/30 4/24 " CORPORATE BONDS IN SYNDICATE END OF LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL RATING AND YIELD CALL PROTECTION COUPON ISSUER 25.0 50.0 15.0 .Columbus & So. Ohio Elec. Household Finance Mass. Electric Power 7-5/8 7.60 7-3/8 7.50 7.60 7.55 A N.R. A ESTIMATED PROPORTION SOLD 5 years __ • 5 years 90% 90% 25% \ OFFERED DATE | RELEASED 4/23 5.1 CORPORATE BONDS RELEASED FROM SYNDICATE DURING LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL INCREASE RATING AND ESTIMATED PROCOUPON ISSUER IN YIELD CALL PROT. PORTION RELEASED YIELD AMOUNT 15.0 Potomac Edison Company 7-5/8 7.45 N.A.' A N.C. INVENTORIES 1 DATE 1969 - Mar. 28 Apr. 3 11 18 25 May 2£/ MUNICIPALS BLUE LIST | IN 356 356 407 412 r/482 530 SYNDICATE 68 106 123 136 110 76 i 1 N.C. - No call protection, p Daily average of three days ended Wednesday. others as of Friday; in millions of dollars. e/ Estimated. CORPORATES IN SYNDICATE 5 17 15 9 79 82 i Blue List is daily average; 66% BONDS IN SYNDICATE Millions of dollars CORPORATE BONDS IN SYNDICATE 200 100 —i—i—i—~] i 'i i — r — i i . MUNICIPAL BONDS IN SYNDICATE i i : i | i , r 1 1 1 1—I 1—1—T T - r 300 200 100 SEPT. DEC. •67 MAR. JUN. 1968 SEPT. DEC. MAR. . JUN. 1969 SEPT. DEC. TABLE 3: High Grade Bond Yields DATE NEW CORPORATE ISSUES(ADJUSTED TO Aaa BASIS) MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa 1 U.S.'GOVERNMENT 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITIES 2 SEASONED. ' STATE AND LOCAL . GOVERNMENT Aaa 3 1967- High Low 6.55(12/8) 5.11(2/10) 6.24(2/29) 5.00(2/10) 5.73(11/7) 4.48(1/20) 4.15(12/28) 3.25(2/9) 1968- High Low 7.02(12/13) 6.13(8/30) 6.53(1/27) 5.95(9/13) 5.90(12/20) 5.18(8/9) 4.57(12/26) 3.80(8/8) 1969- High Low 7.57(3/21) 6.90(2/21) 6.99(4/3) 6.55(1/3) 6.27(3/21) 5.96(1/24) 5.08(4/10) 4.57(1/2) 6.99 6.97 6.88 6.81 6.17 6.11 5.97 5.00 5.08 5.00 5.95 4.95 V 1969-Apr. 3 11 18 25 . 7.28 7.32 7.02 7.07 4.95 Preliminary. Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 22-24 years. Weekly average of daily figures. Thursday figures. Only general•obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. SOURCE: MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE Note--Highs and lows are for individual series and may.be on different dates for different series. p 1 2 3 May . 2g/_ 7.18 6.80 5 . 98 HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS NEW CORPORATE Aaa l \ MOODY'S CORPORATE Aaa U.S. GOVT. 2 0 - Y R . CONSTANT MATURITIES MOODY'S MUNICIPAL Aaa 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 TABLE 4: Long=term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) GROSS PROCEEDS CORPORATE PERIOD STATE AND LOCAL 2 1 1969p 1968 p 1967 1969 p 1968 p 1967 January February March 2,022 2,021 2,005e/ 1,771 1,608 1,799 1,684 1,418 2,362 1,239 975 525e/ 1,178 1,158 1,404 1,492 1,236 1,450 April May June 2,300e/ 2,050e/ 1,428 1,866 2,411 2,015 1,518 2,674 l,575e/ 900e/ 1,318 1,143 1,395 1,130 1,254 1,497 July August September 2,143 1,432 1,557 2,589 2,481 1,763 1,469 1,699 1,444 950 860 1,340 October November December 2,129 1,767 2,054 2,409 2,230 1,021 1,115 975 1,401 1,182 5,178 5,704 5,133 5,950 5,464 6,208 6,832 6,294 3,740 3,856 4,612 4,366 4,177 3,881 3,150 3,557 10,882 16,015 21,965 11,672 18,504 24,798 7,956 12,008 16,574 8,059 11,209 14,766 1st 2nd - 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 1st halfThree quarters Year 6,049e/ 1,500 2,385 2,739e/ Excluding finance companies 3 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 5,308 6,063 6,584 5,859 23,814 Year e p 1 2 3 5,107 5,427 4,785 Estimated by Federal Reserve. ~ Preliminary. Securities and Exchange Commission, estimates of gross proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. TABLE 5: New Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and Issuer (In millions of dollars) QUARTER OR MONTH 1967 - Ill IV 1968 - I II III IV 1969 - Ie/ 1968 - Mar. Apr, " May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1969 — Jan. Feb... Mar. e/ GROSS PROCEEDS FOR NEW CAPITAL AND REFUNDING V COMMON AND MEMO: BONDS TOTAL PUBLICLY PRIVATELY PFD. ISSUES INCLUDED OFFERED PLACED STOCK FOREIGN | CONVERTIBLE 1,632 1,551 678 234 6,833 4,604 1,327 93 6,294 3,107 2,137 1,051 584 2,465 989 313 5,178 1,724 758 3,105 956 172 5,705 1,644 1,037 2,606 1,166 124 5,133 1,361 . ,951 2,555 1,922 1,474 113 902 2,593 1,553 -1,791 n. a. n. a. • 5,937 1,800 1,428 1,867 2,418 2,144 1,433 1,556 2,129 1,767 2,055 2,022 2,021 2,005 766 719 1,046 1,340 1,244 637 725 1,009 939 607 978 842 805 593 / 438' 521 685 528 400 433 595 362 965 591 382 650 441 -271 300 385 372 396 398 525 466 483 453 797 550 236 31 89 52 47 49 28 24 49 40 104 74 n.a. **NET PROCEEDS FOR NEW CAPITAL 1 2 MFG. PUBLIC UTILITY COMMUNICATIONS OTHER ISSUES 2,792 2,527 1,855 1,653 1,599 1,712 1,575 1,219 1,255 1,394 1,201 1,143 1,736 1,320 595 269 411 529 483 319 410 1,976 2,040 1,356 2,159 1,758 2,485 2,520 761 199 353 139 550 380 750 239 818 605 349 211 221 432 640 365 421 211 651 326 413 371i 516 537 400 n. a. 431 178 549 474 236 438 469 674 443 319 627 314 420 78 189 103 237 236 92 155 115 162 41 186 56 200 469 663 622 874 801 515 442 700 741 1,044 796 1,135 930 p Preliminary, e Estimated by Federal Reserve. 1 Gross proceeds exceed net proceeds by the cost of flotation. 2 For total see Table 4; other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transporation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. SOURCE: Securities and Exchange Commission. Quarterly supplements are available. **NOTE: Beginning October 1968 net proceeds for new capital series was discontinued. Data since N September 1968 are for gross proceeds by type of issuer. TABLE 6: Large Long-term-Public Security Issues for New Capital \ (Other than U.S. Treasury) ISSUER Corporate Public Service Elec. & Gas Company ^Continental Airlines, Inc. 6ec'if"ic Tel. and Tel. Co. ^Security National Bank Marine Midland Banks Southern Calif. Edison Co. Mortgage Investment Group Union Tank Car Co. *Dayton Power & Light Co. Sybron Corp Dillingham Corp. Continental Computer Assoc. Texas Power & Light Co. Texas Power & Light Co. Commonwealth Edison Co. Florida Gas Co. Pacific Gas & Elec. Co. ^Northwest Airlines Inland Steel Co. General Tele. Co.of.Mich. Public Service Co.of N.Mex, Wisconsin Pub. Service Co. Maryland Cup Corp Rochester Gas & Elec. Corp, Chrysler Financial Corp. Seaboard Finance Corp. i Tenneco, Inc. Savings Banks Trust Co. Sunshine Mining Host International, Inc. Potomac Edison Co. Mass.. Electric Co. TYPE AMOUNT : (MILLIONS OF - MATURITY DOLLARS) 1st & ref. mtg. bds. 75.0 21.6 Com. stk Com. stk 15.3 Com. stk 17.3 60.0 Debs. Com. stk 54.4 Units 45.0 Equip, tr. ctfs. 20.0 Cum. pfd .stk. 15.3 30.0 S. F. Debs. Conv.sab .debs .50.0 Cenv.sub .debs .15.0 S. F. debs. . 20.0 Pfd. stk. 30.0 1st mtg. bds. 75.0 Conv. debs. 15.0 1st mtg. bds. 80.0 Com. stk. 79.7 1st mtg. bds. 50.0 22.0 Debs. 1st mtg. bds. 15 ..0 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 Conv. debs. . 15.0 20.0 Pfd. stk. Debs. 100.0 S.F. debs. 30.0 Debs, w/w 100.0 Notes ,40.0 Conv, sub.debs1.25.0 Conv. debs. 20.0 1st mtg., bds. 15.0 1st mtg., bds. 15.0 COUPON 'RATE OR NET INTEREST COST OFFER- MOODY'S RATING ING YJELD . 1999 7-5/8 7.50 Aa 1994 7-5/8 7.67 — 1989 7-5/8 7.87 A 1994 1994 1989 1994 7-1/2 5-1/2 6-1/2 7-3/4 7.64 5.50 6.50 7.65 Aa 1974 1989 2001 7.30 5-3/4 7-1/2 7.30 5.75 7.45 Aaa B Aa 1974 1994 1999 1999 1994 7.00 7-3/4 7-1/4 7-1/4 5-1/8 7.00 7.77 7.30 7.30 5.13 Aa Baa A A . Ba 1974 1989 1979 1972 1989 1994 1999 1999 7.00 7-7/8 6.00 7-3/8 6-1/2 5-1/4 7-5/8 7-5/8 7.38 7.90 6.00 7.55 6.50 5.25 7.45 7.57 ' A B __ N.R. Ba N.R. B B A A TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) April 1 through May 2. L969. COUPON RATE OR OFFER- MOODY'S MATURITY NET INTERRATING ING EST COST YIELD Corporate (continued) EDP Resources Inc. EDP Resources Inc. Wickes Corporation Sutro Mortgage Investment Trust Amfac Inc. Central Maine Pwr. Co. Household Finance Corp. United Va. Bancshares Inc. Columbus & Southern Ohio Electric Company Equip, notes 22.5 Debs. 8.0 Conv. sub. debs. 40.0 1975 1984 1994 8-1/2 8.00 5-1/8 5.13 Ba Benef. Int. 25. 6 Conv. debs. 35. 0 1st & gen.mtg.bds.30.0 Notes 50. 0 Conv, sub. debs. 17.8 1994 1999 1974 1994 5-1/4 7-1/2 7.60 5 5.25 7.25 7.60 5.00 B A N.R. N.R. Debs. 25. 0 1999 7-5/8 7.50 A Rev. -Ut. • 72. 1 2018 5-3/4 5.75 A-l Rev.-Ut. 12. 3 1998 5-5/8 5.63 A-l Rev. -Ut. G.O. 10. 6 27. 0 1972-88 1970-94 5.76 5.08 4.50-5 .45 4.15-5 .45 A-l Aa Rev. G.O. 12.3 81. 0 1973-99 1971-84 5.86 4.65 4.75-6 • 00 4.10-4 .70 Aaa 5.78 6.14 5.13 5.62 5.27 5-7/8 ri.a. 5.12 5.20 4.70-5 .80 5.00-6 .10 4.60-5 .30 4.30-5 .80 4.30-5 .60 5.87 4.75-5>.30 4.20-5.30 4.30-5 .35 State & local Government Calif. Dept. of Water Resources Calif. Dept. of Water Resources Calif. Dept. of Water Resources Memphis, Tenn. Tucson Comm. Center Auth., Arizona State of Virginia New Haven Coliseum Auth., Connecticut Port of Oakland, Calif. Chicago, Illinois Commonwealth of Penna. Kansas City, Kansas MassJ Port Auth. "Mass. Port Auth. Essex Co. , New Jersey • Rhode Island, State of FRASER Digitized for Rev. Bonds G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev.-rent. Rev.-rent. G.O. G.O. 19. 5 1975-2009 11. 0 1971-95 28. 0 1972-84 116. 8 1970-98 10. 0 1970-89 58., 9 4 7 0 0 8 3 .1-1972-79 16 .0 1970-94 19. 0 1970-89 Aa Baa A-l A-l Aa — Aa A-l TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) / . ' ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY COUPON RATE OR NET INTEREST1 COST OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING State & local Government (Continued) Fla. State Bd. of Education San Francisco B.A.R.T. Indianapolis San. Dist., Ind Washington Sub. San. Dist., Maryland Ga. Education Authority Ohio, State of Baltimore Co., Maryland Oregon, State of Delaware River Port Auth., New Jersey Delaware River Port Auth., New Jersey Genesee Co., Michigan Atlanta, Georgia New York, New York California, State of Penna. State Pub. Sch. Bldg. Auth. New York State Housing Finance Agency" Suffolk Co., New York Rev. G.O. G.O. \ 39.0 70.0 14.3 1970-98 1972-99 1971-96 5.42 5.27 4.94 4.20-5.60 4.25-5.60 4.20-5.15 Aa Aa Aa G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. 23.0 1970-98 1972-94 1970-94 1971-99 y 1974-83" 5.39 5.09 4.86 4.98 4.74 4.30-6.00 4.25-5.30 4.00-5.20 4.20-5.35 4.30-4.75 A Aa Aaa A Aa Rev. 100*0 2009 5.66 5.66 Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. 40.0 30.1 111.1 30,0 Rev. Rev.-rent. G.O. 22.0 45.0 18.0 30.0 1975-85 5.66 1971-2000/08 5.89 1971-2000 5.64 1970-98 5.57 1970-84 4.78 5.66 4.30-5.90 4.40-5.75 4.60-5.75 4,00-4.85 23.7 1970-2008 5.68 4.60-5.80 60.0 1969-99 1983 5.61 4.90 4.10-5.60 4.40-4.80 18.0 15.5 Baa Baa-1 Aa I TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (continued) . (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF . DOLLARS) MATURITY COUPON RATE OR NET INTEREST COST OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING Other^ Federal National Mortgage Association .) Federal Land Banks Hudson's Bay Oil & Gas Co.. Ltd. (Canada) F.N.M.A. Quebec, Province of Quebec, Province of Debs. Consol. farm loan bds. Coll. tr. bds. Debs. Debs. Debs. 162.4 1971 6.85 6.85 -- 181.0 1971 6.80 6.80 — 25.0 50.0 15.0 35.0 1994 1971 1974 1999 7.85 6.85 7-3/4 8.00 7.85 6.85 7.87 7.87 A — - Rights offering. N.R. Not rated. . Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local security offerings of $10 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. In case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.-Ut., revenue bonds secured only by income from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T. , revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. , This portion of Mass. Port Auth. issue had different maturity therefore the amount of $3.1 million shown separately. \. Bonds due 1982-83 were not reoffered. : TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 As of May 2, 1969. ISSUER TYPE . AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Corporate Teledyne, Inc. Union Electric Company Fruehauf Corporation Mid-Continent Realty Corp. Tandy Corporation Western Union Telegraph Co. C. & P. Tele. Co. of W. Va. U. S. Realty Investment Hoener Waldorf Corp. Homestake Mining Co. Tappan Company Cincinnati Gas & Elec. Co. Wisconsin Elec. Pwr. Co. Kentucky Utilities Co. Pacific Pwr. & Lt. Co. Pa. Electric Company American Enka Corporation Houston Lighting & Power Company -Jersey Central Power & Light Company Southern New England Tele. Company Long Island Lighting Co. Burroughs Corporation Virginia Elec. & Pwr. Co. *Virginia Elec. & Pwr. Co* Consumers Power Company Florida Power & Light Co. Illinois Bell Tele. Co. Consumers Power Co. ^Indiana & Michigan Electric Company *South Carolina Electric & Gas Company *Duquesne Light Company Beneficial Finance *Vernitron Corporation ^Southern Natural Gas Co. *Performance Systems Inc. 30.0 Debs. 1st mtg. bds. 70.0 75.0 Conv. debs. 16.0 Conv. debs. 35.0 Conv. debs. 59.8 Com. stk. 40.0 Debs. 20.0 Conv. debs. 30.0 Conv. debs. 18.9 Com. stk. 20.0 Conv. debs. 50.0 1st mtg. bds 40.0 1st mtg. bds 25.0 1st mtg. bds 25.0 1st mtg. bds 1st mtg. bds . - . — 28.0 45.0 Conv. debs. 5~ May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 12(rts. exp.) 13 13 14 19 20 21 22(rts. exp.) 1st mtg. bds 40.0 May 22 1st mtg. bds 33.0 May 26 Debs. 1st mtg. bds Conv. debs. 1st mtg. bds Pfd. stk. 1st mtg. bds 1st mtg. bds 1st mtg. bds Pfd. stk. 65.0 40.0 100.0 75.0 35.0 50.0 50.0 150.0 35.0 May May May June June June June June June 27 28 28 3 3 4 12 17 18 j Bonds 60.0 June 18 Bonds 1st mtg. bds, Debs. Conv. debs. Debs. Conv. debs. 40.0 30.0 50.0 20.0 50.0 15.0 June 19 June 25 Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 (continued) ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING State & local Government Winston-Salem, N. C. G.O. Hawaii, State of Rev. Hawaii, State of G.O. Denver, Colorado Rev. Madison, Wisconsin G.O. Delaware, State of G.O. Lancaster Area Swr. Auth., Pennsylvania Rev. Prince George's Co., Md. G.O. ^Worcester, Massachusetts G.O. *New York State G.O. •^Alabama Highway Authority Rev. Phoenix Civic Plaza Bldg. Corp., Arizona Rev. *Nashville & Davidson Co. Metro. Govt., Tennessee Rev. *Los Angeles Dept. of Airports Rev. *New Housing Authority Bonds *0hio, State of G.O. Los Angeles Dept. of Wtr. & Power Rev. *Stamford, Connecticut G.O. New Hampshire G.O. Philadelphia Sch. Dist., Pa.G.O. King Co., Washington G.O. Minnesota, State of G.O. Boulder Walley Sch. Dist. #R-2, Colorado G.O. 12.0 40.0 11.5 35.0 12.0 42.9 May May May May May ... May 19.0 23.5 11.9 88.0 15.0 May May May May May 18.0 May 20 11.0 May 20 60.0 195.2 75.0 May 21 May 21 May 27 6 7 7 7 8 13 13 13 14 14 15 39.0 10.9 36.5 30.0 33.5 33.8 May 28 May May June 3 June17 Indefinite 10.0 Indefinite II Neon Products of Canada, Ltd. . iConv. debs. Housing & Urban Development :Bonds Tennessee Valley Authority 1&ev. 20.0 195.2 100.0 May 5 May 21 June 3 Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; . State and local z Government issues of $10 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues of Federal Agencies. TABLE 8: Stock Prices and Volume TRADING1 VOLUME 2 STOCK PRICES 1 S&P 5003 . DATE D.J. - IND. AMEX 4 NYSE AMEX 943.08(9/25) 786.41(1/3) 24.52(12/29] 13.78(1/27) 12.3(12/29) 6.9(1/6) 6.7(10/27) 2.1(1/6) 1968 - High Low 108.37(11/29) 985.21(12/3) 825.13(3/21) 87.72(3/5) 33.25(12/20: 22.00(3/22) 17.1(7/12) 8.2(3/29) 9.2(5/31) 2.9(3/29) 1969 > 103.99(1/3) 97.98(2/25) 956.05(1/6) 899.80(2/25) 32.91(1/3) 29.46(3/7) 13.4(1/10) 9.2(2/14) 8.0(1/31) 3.8(2/14) 100.68 101.65 101.24 101.72 927.30 933.46 924.82 924.00 30.25 30.31 30.06 30.09 10.9 10.8 9.7 11.3 4.3 5.0 4.6 4.9 2jV 104.00 957.17 30.93 14.5 7.3 97.59(9/25) 80.38(1/3) 1967 - High Low High Low 1969 - Apr. 3 11 .18. 25 May p 1 2 3 4 Preliminary. Figures, except highs and lows are Friday's only. Highs and lows are for the year and are not necessarily for Friday's. Averages of daily trading volume on the New York and American Stock Exchanges. Millions of shares. 1941-43 = 1 0 Based on actual dollar value, rather than a formula. = STOCK PRICES AND TRADING VOLUME AM EX OJ. (Ind.) Weekly SAP (500) STOCK PRICES 30 27 AMEX PRICE LEVEL INDEX 24 S&P's 5 0 0 D J . IND. 1040 104 980 98 920 92 860 86 800 80 740 — —1 AMEX TRADING VOLUME 10 . | T - N Y S E TRADING VOLUME "P" T 111 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 TABLE 9: Stock Market Credit ^. CUSTOMERS' ^ . CREDIT EXTENDED TO CUSTOMERS BY: NET DEBIT BANKS 2 | TOTAL BALANCES BROKERS 1 END OF PERIOD NET CREDIT CUSTOMERS' NET EXTENDED BY FREE CREDIT BROKERS AND DEALERS 3 BALANCES Outstanding: i 1968- Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1969 - Jan. Feb, Mar. j>J i 4 i 1 1 i j j 1968- Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1969 - Jan. Feb. Mar. £/ 1 « j J ! ,t 1 * 1 ; 2 3 ; 2,370 2,350 2,360 2,410 2,420 2,490 2,520 2,560 2,630 2,710 2,750 2,810 2,781 8,560 8,780 9,000 9,100 8,920 8,950 8,910 8.810 8,830 8,900 8,660 8,570 8,461 -50 -20 10 50 10 70 30 40 70 80 40 60 -29 -10 220 220 100 -180 30 -40 100 20 80 -240 -140 -109 . 7,248 7.701 8,268 8,728 8,861 8,489 8,724 8.859 9,029 9,790 9,107 , : 9,148 8,348 2,692 2,979 3,064 3,293 3,269 2,984 3,126 3,407 3,419 3,717 3,597 3,647 3,294 4^556 4,722 5,204 5,435 5,592 5,505 5,590 5,452 5,610 6,073 5,510 5,505 5,054 Change in: Outstanding :| * 6,190 6,430 6,640 6,690 6,500 6,460 6,390 6,250 6,200 6,200 5,910 5,760 5,680 40 240 210 50 -190 -40 -70 -140 -50 —— -290 -200 -80 . -171 453 567 460 133 -371 235 135 170 761 -683 -51 -800 -76 287 85 229 -24 -285 142 281 12 298 -120 50 -351 -85 166 482 231 156 -86 85 -138 158 563 -501 -5 -449 Margin debt, as reported by the New York Stock Exchange. Although margin debt until March 1968 included loans secured by U.S. governments, the amount of such loans included is thought to have been dmall. "Bank loans to others than brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying securities other than U.S. governments." The difference between customers' net debit balances and customers net free credit balances, this figure represents the net credit extended by brokers and dealers to the nonfinancial public. NOTE: With the exception of bank loan data, figures are supplied by the New York Stock Exchange and are end of month data. Bank loans are for weekly reporting large commercial banks. - ) :» TABLE 10: Savings Flows at N on bank Depositary Intermediaries ($ millions) MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS NET REGULAR DEPOSITS 3' NEW |. ANNUAL • MONEY 2 NET ' I GROWTH 1 FLOW 1 RATE . DATE 1966 1967 1968 VV. 218 331 j:/642 1969 - Jan. Feb. Mar. e./ 1968 - Oct. - Nov. Dec. 1969 - Jan. Feb. Mar. £/ 1 2 3 p * NET NEW MONEY 2 Not Seasonally Ad lusted 2,557 5,082 4,186 266 350 645 1968 - Jan. Feb. Mar. , TOTAL SAVINGS • 6c LOAN ASSOCIATIONS" DEPOSITS . SHARE CAPITAL - NET • A N N U A L • NEW ANNUAL NET GROWTH GROWTH MONEY 2 NET 1 RATE 1 FLOW FLOW RATE . 363 395 362 220 384 r/382 4.9 9.3 7.0 — — 6.9 7.5 6.8 4.1 7,2 r/7.1 / 227 2,376 1,143 3,584 10,687 7,396 162 301 117 -251 584 1,275 -91 605 106 264 r/81 — -- . -—— — -552 6,129 2,676 6,141 3,5,769 1\1,582 -270 559 541 15 934 1,920 -130 569 1,357 — 473 Seasonally Ad lusted —— 764 7.1 -620 5.7 620 5.7 127 936 cj 1,999 523 582 882. 3.2 9.4 5.9 --—— 4.8 5.2 8.0 -IT —— ' 3.8 9.4 6.3 — __ • 1,127 1,015 982 7.0 6.3 6.1 743 966 cf1,264 . 4.6 5.9 r/7.7 -325 8,505 3,819 -108 860 658 -24 833 r/556 " —' • • -T. mm mm —— Annual growth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits Net New Money is the net change in deposits net of both withdrawals And interest. Data for S&Ls are for insured associations only, which represent 96% of the total resources of the industry. Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. SOURCE: National Association of Mutual Savings Ba-ks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Preliminary. S&L series reflects FHLB revisions of data shown here through 1968. 19 SAVINGS FLOWS (seasonally adjusted) Monthly Millions of dollars 2000 1600 TOTAL 1200 800 400 400 SAVINGS & LOANS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS v — 1 1965 1 1966 1 r i i i i ii ii i I 1 ii ii M ii i i i 1967 1968 1969 x DATE I 1968-,Mar. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.1969- Jan. Feb. Mar* £/ 1 TOTAL 8.6 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.8 9.0 9.1 9.5 9.7 9.7 9.9 10.1 18.3 TABLE 11: Mortgage Commitments,at Selected Thrift Institutions OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS ALL MUTUAL SAVINGS SAVINGS & BANKS LOAN (N.Y. STATE) ASSOCIATIONS NET CHANGE . MUTUAL ALL TOTAL SAVINGS & SAVINGS LOAN BANKS (N.Y. SfATE) ASSOCIATIONS (Billions of Dollars, Seas< mally Adjusted) 1/ 1 V x V .02 .15 .17 2.5 6.1 .14 2.5 .14 6.2 .02 -.16 -.13 2.6 6.0 .06 -.10 2.6 .04 5.9 .08 .16 • .24 2.7 6.1 .16 .16 2:9 6.1 .04 .10 .14 , 2.9 6.2 .22 .13 .35 3.0 6.4 1 .10 , .17 .27 3.2 6.5 . -.10 : .08 -.01 3.1 6.6 6.7 6.9 7.0 3.2 3.2 3.3 ' I .15 .25 .17 .08 .22 .09 Based on data,from Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Assoications of New York State. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded outstandings levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. .07 ; 03 .08 MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS OUTSTANDING (saar) BiVions of dollars Monthly TOTAL S&L'S MSB'S 1959 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 TABLE 12: Net Change in Mortgage Holdings 1 .DATE TOTAL INCLUDING FN MA TOTAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS SAVINGS MUTUAL & SAVINGS COMMERCIAL LOANS BANKS BANKS 1965 - I , II III" IV 4,761 6,365 6,469 6,303 4,813 6,431 6,403 5,947 823 1,749 1,805 1,322 1966 - I II III IV 5,425 5,648 3,976 3,056 4,630 5,097 3,468 2,587 1967 - I 2,617 II . 4,868 . III. 6,285 IV 6,246 2,267 4,762 5,706 5,484 1968 - Jan. 1,403 Feb. 1,5 77 Mar, 1,788 Apr. 1,969 May2,227 June 2,125 1,851 July Aug. . 1 , 9 8 2 Sept. 2,000 Oct. 2,314 Nov; j 2,088 Dec. | 2,483 1,053 1,273 1,514 1,723 1,992 1,905 1,699 1,841 1,892 2,153 1,943 2,311 300 400 400 616 616 616 533 533 746 807 706 404 215 197 137 160 203 219 248 233 221 313 310 '340 1,449 1,549 n. a. 400. 500 400 293 228 ' n. a. .1969 - Jan. Feb. Mar. j 1,650 1,770 n. a. LIFE INSURANCE COMPANIES FNMA 965 946 1,072 1,078 1,860 2,706 2,460 1,947 1,165 1,030 1,066 1,600 -52 -66 66 . 356 975 1,656 1,300 774 753 513 739 715 1,683 1,651 373 54 1,219 1,277 1,056 1,044 795 551 508 469 151 1,200 1,751 1,537 770 786 839 758 48'6 2,119 '2,595 "2,320 860 657 521 869 350 106 5.79 762 380 542 789 879 957 901 718 874 810 645 732 903 157 134 188 68 216 169 200 201 J15 188 195 664 350 304 274 246 235 220 152 141 108 161 145 172 622 671 906 134 150 n. a. 201 221 205 J 1 Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. — o f Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and the Federal National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for life insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS Monthly ' • Billions of dollars 3.0 2.5 TOTAL, INCL. FNMA 2.0 1.5 1.0 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 1966 1967 1968 1969 TABLE 13: Net Increases in Mortgage Debt Outstanding 1 QUARTER TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 2 1- to 4FAMILY MULTIFAMILY | COMMERCIAL 1965 - I II ^ III IV 24.9 25.2 25.8 26.6 18.6 18.5 19.3 19,6 15 ;1 15.1 15;5 % 15.8 . 3.5 3.5 3.8 3.8 4.2 4.5 . 4.4 4.6 1966 - I II III . IV 28.4 23.6 17.8 14.9 19.0 15.3 10.6 9.2 14.7 12.1 8.3 7.2 4.3 2.3 2.0 7.0 6.1 5.1 3.9 - 15.5 20*4 26.3 , 28,5 9.9 13.7 19.1 20.8 6.8 10.5 15 3 16 - 5 3.1 3.2 3.8 4.3 3.8 4.8 4.8 5.1 27.1 26.2 25.8 30.2 18.3 18.6 17,8 16.3 14.7 14.6 17.0 2.0. 3.9 3.3 4.0 6.3 1967 - I 11 "II w 19.68 - I II I!.. ... IV . 1 2 £./ 21.0 3.2 1:1 7.7 MULTI-AND COMMERCIAL 8.0 8.1 8.4 7,9 11.7 9.4_ 7.7 5.6 - FARM 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.1 1.7 . 7.3 8.0 8.8 8.8 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.6 9.3 9.8 10.8 ?:l x 2.5 1.6 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Bank's, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated by Federal Home Loan Bank Board and the Federal Reserve. Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1-to 4- family and multifamily mortgage de^t combined. Preliminary. NET INCREASES IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING Quarterly Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate TOTAL ' 24 TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 16 / 1 - 4 FAMILY COMMERCIAL MULTIFAMILY 1965 1967 1969 TABLE 14: FNMA Weekly "Auction" Resu/ts WEEK ENDED TOTAL OFFERED1 IMPLICIT YIELD AMOUNTS IN $ MILLIONS ACCEPTED 901-1/ 906TOTAL 61MONTH fear&ove : DAY DAY MONTH Year & ove -Mar. 3 10 17 24 118.9 127.1 132.7 220,9 90.5 84.6 88.5 84.1 11.5 7.5 3.1 3.5 38.1 37.0 45.6 47.4 41.0 40.2 39.8 33.3 8.13 8.14 8.09 8.10 8.17 8.13 8.08 8.09 8.02 8.00 7.95 7.96 Apr. 1 7 14 21 28 182.9 175.9 144.7 128.1 157.7 93.1 102.5 101.1 100.9 84.1 4.6 8.2 7.9 4.6 4.8 47.2 57.8 52.3 59.8 58.7 41.4 ' 36.5 40.9 36.5 20.5 8.10 8.12 8.10 8.05 7.92 8.11 8.13 8.10 8.05 7.92 7.98 8.01 7.98 7.93 7.84 May .5 (85.0)— , Note: Under the FNMA auction system, approved' sellers of Governmentunderwritten mortgages bid for FNMA forward purchase commitments, subject to an- over-all dollar limit announced by FNMA in advance. Bids accepted by FNMA are for delivery at the seller's option, and at any time within the specified period. Bids on( proposed homes relate to construction not yet started on which mortgages may be delivered only after completion and occupancy; 1. For "proposed construction " of new homes only. 2. Average secondary market yield after allowance for commitment fee and required purchase and holding of FNMA stock, assuming prepayment in 15 years for 30-year Government-underwritten mortgages. Yields shown are gross, before deduction of 50 basis point fee paid by investors to servicers. 3. FNMA announced limit of accepted bids for next week's auction. FNMA WEEKLY "AUCTION" RESULTS $ Millions .120 A M O U N T OF ACCEPTED BIDS BY C O M M I T M E N T PERIOD 100 80 \ 6-MONTHS 1 YEAR "1 90 DAYS IMPLICIT YIELD 6 - M O N T H COMMITMENTS 7.6 7.2 JUNE AUGUST 1968 DECEMBER FEBRUARY 1969 APRIL TABLE 15: Private housing starts and Permits STARTS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE TOTAL 1-FAMILY 2 OR MORE 1968 - Mar. Apr. May • June • July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1,511 1.591 1.364 1.365 1,531 1,518 1.592 1,570 1,733 1,509 1969 - Jan. r/1,878 Feb. r/1,673 Mar. 1,539 L 2 920 922 838 790 904 867 944 965 905 591 669 526 575 627 651 648 605 828 r/585 r/1,066 r/812 r/974 r/699 825 714 — TOTAL 126.6 162.0 140.9 137.9 139.8 136.6 134.3 140.8 127.1 96.4 UNADJUSTED TYPE OF FINANCING FHA VA OTHER 19.6 22.6 4.5 5.4 20.5 575 19.8 5.0 18.8 4.9 20.9 4.8 18.6 4.6 21.4 5.3 17.5 4.2 16.3 4.4 r/101. 5 r/14.2. 3.8 r/89.5 13.2 3.5 128.4 18.9 3.9 102.4 134.0 114.9 113.1 116.2 110.9 111.1 114.0 105.4 75.7 tf83.5 72.9 105.6 BUILDING PERMITS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE) 2 1,416 1,340 1,280 1,281 1.289 1.290 1,393 1,378 1,425 1,463 1,403 1,477 1,370 Total starts are Census estimates including farm for both permit-issuing and non-issuing areas. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins; all units in an apartment structure are considered started at that time. FHA and Va starts are units started under commitments by these agencies to insure or guarantee the mortgages. As reported by FHA and VA, a unit is started when a field office receives the first compliance inspection report, which is made before footings are poured in some_cases but normally after the foundations have been completed. apehart military housing units are excluded. Other starts are derived as a. residual, although total and FHA and VA starts are not strictly comparable in concept or timing; other starts include both units financed by conventional mortgages and units without mortgages. Building permits before January 1963 are Census estimates for ^bout 10,000 areas identified as having a local building permit system in 1959. Estimates beginning January 1963, are for approximately 12,000 and beginning January 1967 13,000, or all known permit-issuing places. Unlike starts, seasonally adjusted building permits reflect direct adjustment for differences in the number of working days per month, as well as other differences in timing and coverage. Revised. p Preliminary. PRIVATE HOUSING STARTS AND PERMITS Monthly, annual rates Millions of units SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA 2.0 1.6 HOUSING STARTS 1.2 BUILDING PERMITS (in issuing areas) PER CENT OF UNADJUSTED TOTAL STARTS MULTI-FAMILY 40 (3 or moref GOVERNMENT UNDERWRITTEN 1963 1965 1967 1969 TABLE 16: Mortgage and Bond Yields FHA MORTGAGES 2 DATE 25-YEAR 30-YEAR CONVENTIONAL MORTGAGES 3 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON CONV, & FHA MORTGAGES 4 1 NEW Aaa CORPORATE BONDS 5 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON NEW CORPORATE BONDS AND FHA MORTGAGES 1957 - High _ ^ % 9 5 8 - Low 1959-60 - High 1961-66 - Low 1966 - High 1967 - High Low 1968 - High Low 5.63 5.35 6.24 5.43 6.73 n. a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 5.44 6.81 6.81 6.29 7.52 6.78 6.00 5.55 6.30 5.80 6.70 6.65 6.40 7.30 6.75 .47 .15 .23 .25 .30 .11 -.12 .02 -.27 4.94 3.65 5.25 4.41 5.82 6.51 5.18 6.79 6.15 1.58 .88 1.69 .77 1.16 1.28 .27 1.20 .26 1968- Nov. Dec. 1969 - Jan. Feb. Mar. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 7.36 7.50 7.30 7.40 7.55 7.60 7.65 -.06 -.10 6.61 6.79 6.92 r/6,91 7.37 .75 .71 1 2 3 4 5. -- 7.99 8.05 — -.39 -.40 -- r/l.08 .68 Neither mortgage nor bond yields take into account servicing costs which are much higher for mortgages than bonds." Generally, bonds pay interest semiannually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, if computed as equivalent to a semi-annual interest investment, would be slightly higher than given in the table. Based on FHA-field-office opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market for new-home mortgages for immediate delivery. Separate data available for 25-year and--beginning July 1961--30-year mortgages with minimum downpayments, weighted by probable volume of transactions.. Yields computed by FHA, assuming prepayment period of 12 years for 25-year mortgages and 15 years for 30-year mortgages. Over the period for which they can be compared, the movement of the two mortgage yield series has been similar. Dashed lines indicate periods of adjustment to changes in contractual interest rates. Based on FHA-field-office opinion on typical interest rates (rounded) on conventional first mortgages prevailing in the market areas of insuring office cities. Beginning with April 1960, rate relates only to new-home mortgages; prior to that date, rate related to both new as well as existing-home mortgages. Dashed line indicates this change in the series. FHA mortgage yield data are for 25-year mortgages through June 1961; 30-year mortgages thereafter. See note for Table I. (Data prior to 1965 is based on a composite of issues with and without call protection.) n.a. Not available. MORTGAGE AND BOND YIELDS Monthly HOME MORTGAGES: CONVENTIONAL FHA Aaa CORPORATE BONDS: NEW ISSUES 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 .32 TABLE 17: Conventional Mortgage Terms NEW HOMES CONDATE FEES & TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATURITY (PER (YEARS) RATE TIVE CENT) RATE (PER CENT) 3 2 1968 6. 50 Mar. 6.57 Apr. May . 6.69 June 6.88 July .7.04 Aug. „ 7.10 Sept. 7.10 Oct. 7.09 Nov. 7.07 Dec. 7.09 1 EXISTING HOMES CON- FEES & LOAN/ TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATU- PRICE PRICE LOAN (PER RATE RATIO AMT. TIVE RITY RATIO 'CENT) RATE (YEARS) (PER (PER ($000) (PER LOAN / CENT) CENT) 2 LOAN ($000% CENT) 3 A .0.88 0.88 0.95 0.95 0.85 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.84 0.89 6.64 6.71 6.84 7.03 7.17 7.24 7.24 7.23 7.21 7.23 25.7 25.3 25.0 25.4 25.5 25.5 25.5 25.6 25.4 25.9 74.3 73.4 73.2 74.4 73.7 73.6 74.2 74.5 74.1 74.0 22.2 21.9 21.7 22.3 22.2 22.6 22.1 22.7 22.5 24.7 6.59. 6.64 6.81 6.97 7.10 7.12 7.11 7.09 7.07 7.09 0.79 0.80 0.87 0.86 0.83 0.85 0.82 0.84 0.82 0.85 6.72 6.77 6.95 7.12 7.23 7.26 7.25 7.22 7.21 7.23 23.0 22.6 22.5 22.6 22.5 22.7 22.6 22.5 22.7 23.3 73.3 72.8 73.1 73.1 72.6 73.0 72.6 72.4 72.9 73.2 1969 Jan. 7.16 0.84 Feb. - 7.26r/0.81 "Rar.jV 7.31 0.92 7.30 7.39 7.46 25.6 25.6 25.8 73.6 r/73.3 73.8 24.1 23,5 24.1 7.18 7.28 7.34 0.86 0.86 0.84 7.32 7.42 7.48 22.8 22.9 23.0 72.6 20.0 72.8 r/19.6 72.8 ~ 20.3 18.3 18.1 18.3 18.2 18.5 18.6 18.3 18.3 18.9 20.4 r 1 Revised. p Preliminary Compiled by Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Data are weighted averages based on probability sample survey of characteristics of conventional first mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups, (including mortgage companies) for purchase of single family homes. Data exclude loans for refinancing, reconditioning, or modernization; construction loans to hoine-builders; and--in this exhibit--permanent loans which are coupled with construction loans to owner-builders. Data prior to 1965.on a comparable basis with the new series are pending. Related serieson conventional" mortgage rates only, based on unweighted opinions of regional-office directors of the Federal Housing Administration, are available somewhat sooner than the results of the FHLBB-FDIC survey, and are included-in the case of new home mortgage rates--in Table 16. 2 Fees and charges--expressed as a percentage of the principal mortgage amount--include loan commissions, fees, discounts, and other charges which provide added income to the lender and are paid by the borrower. They exclude any closing costs related solely to transfer of property ownership. 3 Includes fees & charges amortized over a 10 year period in addition to the contract interest rate. ° , AMT. ^ t ^ t I # # ; I y CONVENTIONAL MORTGAGE TERMS Monthly. Years 30 MATURITY NEW EXISTING 20 80 LOAN/PRICE RATIO 75 NEW EXISTING 70 65 1963 1965 1967 1969