Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : May 31, 1960
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Not for Publication DEC0HTR0LLED after SIX MONTHS XII* May 31, I960. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA Part I - United States The volume of large public security financing f o r new c a p i t a l was quite small l a s t week—smaller than had been anticipated a week e a r l i e r as the sale of a corporate issue f o r #25 million was i n d e f i n i t e l y postponed and the State of California rejected the only bid submitted for #50 million of bonds. During the week, however, two State and l o c a l government issues with t o t a l proceeds of $23 m illion and a Canadian provincial issue for #28 million.were sold. No large corporate issues were sold. The calendar f o r t h i s holiday-shortened week i s expected t o be substantial, particularly f o r corporate s e c u r i t i e s . Corporations are expected t o o f f e r s e c u r i t i e s with aggregate proceeds of $130 million. One l o c a l government issue f o r $10 m i l l i o n i s a l s o scheduled f o r sale. Bond y i e l d s - Changes in bond y i e l d s were mixed, but minor l a s t week. Yields on high-grade corporate and State and l o c a l government bonds increased s l i g h t l y , while those on lower rated bonds remained stable. Yields on U. S. Government obligations declined s l i g h t l y . A new A-rated, 30-year, f i r s t mortgage e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y bond i s s u e was offered to investors a t 5.20 per cent l a s t week; the l a s t comparable i s s u e , sold two weeks e a r l i e r , had been offered to y i e l d 5.10 per cent. fNMl secondary market operations - Mortgage offerings to FNMA and purchases by FNMA under i t s secondary market operations dropped substantially i n April, r e f l e c t i n g a s l i g h t easing i n general mortgage market conditions. Offerings were at the lowest l e v e l in 10 months. FNMA s a l e s continued to be n e g l i g i b l e . June security volume estimates - The June volume of corporate issues i s expected to t o t a l $1.1 b i l l i o n , t h r e e - f i f t h s larger than the revised estimate f o r May and nearly one-tfifth l a r g e r than the volume i n June l a s t year. Large public i s s u e s are expected t o t o t a l about $500 million and takedowns of private placements are expected to be seasona l l y large next month. The estimated volume of $2.U b i l l i o n of offerings in the second quarter (6 per cent smaller than a year earlier) would bring the f i r s t half new issue t o t a l to $k.6 b i l l i o n , $ . 2 b i l l i o n l e s s than-the volume in the corresponding period of 1959. State and l o c a l government security financing i s expected to t o t a l §600 m i l l i o n in June. This volume would be about one-tenth larger than t h i s month, but t w o - f i f t h s l e s s than in June 1959. Including the June estimate, the volume of State and l o c a l government security i s s u e s for new capital would t o t a l $1.9 b i l l i o n i n the second quarter t h i s year (one-fourth smaller than a year earlier) and #3.8 b i l l i o n in the f i r s t h a l f , o n e - f i f t h smaller than the record volume of the f i r s t half of 1959. Stock prices - Common stock p r i c e s , as measured tiy Standard and Poor's index of 500 stocks, fluctuated within a narrow range l a s t week, closing at 55.7k on May 2?. Trading a c t i v i t y , averaging 3.2 mill i o n shares a day, declined from the heavy volume a week earlier. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments i s presented in the attached exhibits. Developments in the Canadian capital markets are presented i n Part I I at the end of t h i s report. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS f 0.$. GOmNMMT LOWER-GRADE BOND YIELDS - 511. Ill Exhibit B - Tables f o r Exhibit A High-grade Bond Yields U. S. Govt, long-term 2 / Corporate Aaa 1/ Date Spread between U. S. Govt, and State and Corporate l o c a l Aaa Aaa S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Aaa y (Per cent) 195b 1957 1958 1959 - Low High Low High Low I960 - High Low Apr. 29 May 6 May 13 May 20 May 27 2 / (ii/23) (9/27) (5/2) (12/31) U.O9 ( 1 / 9 ) L 6 1 (1/29) 2.1*5 3.76 3.07 ii.37 3.83 li.li2 Loo (3/25) 1.90 3-to 2.6k 3.65 3.06 3.53 3.28 JU.U6 U.20 U.17 ii.13 L18 I4.I6 3.3k 3.32 3.32 3.37 3.38 2.85 li.lli 3.55 k.6l LWi (Ve) ! Li:5 lui6 it.ii7 (8/6) (10/18) XV25) (12/31) (1/2) (1/8) (9/2) ' (8/29) (5/1) (9/2k) (3/26) (1/7) (V7) •30 .60 .22 .50 .16 • 1*6 .19 .30 .1*7 .3k .92 .53 .92 .68 .26 .29 .32 .28 .31 .86 .85 .81 .81 .78 JL Lower-grade Bond Y i e l d s Date Corporate Baa 1 / S t a t e and l o c a l govt. . Baa 2 / Spread between Aaa and Baa S t a t e and • . Corporate l o c a l govt. (Per cent) Low High Low High Low I960 - High Low 3.a 5.10 li.5l 5.32 iw83 5.36 5.17 Apr. 29 May 6 May 13 May 20 May 27 e / 5.23 5.27 5.28 5.28 5.28 195U 1957 1958 1959 - (12/31) (11/29) (7/11) (12/31) (L/17) (2/12) (V8) 2.93 it. 51 3.61 k.k6 3.92 2U6 L22 It. 28 1*. 28 L 28 L 33 4.33 (8/5) (8/29) (5/1) (7/2) (3/26) (1/7) (V7) .52 1.27 .77 .77 .56 .83 .71 .96 1.21 .93 .98 .79 .97 .93 .77 .9k .96 .96 .81 .83 .82 .81 .96 .95 p/ Preliminary. 1/ Weekly average of dally figures. Average term of bonds Included Is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of dally figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 yesrs or more. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term Is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for Individual series and aey be on different dates for different series. . STOCK MARKET STOCK MARKET CREDIT FEDERAL NATIONAL SECONDARY MARKET MORTGAGE OPERATIONS ASSOCIATION -7- Exhibit D - Tables f o r ExliibiL C Stock Market Stock price index 1 / Date 1957-59 - High Low I960 - High Low March April May 13 May 20 May 27 e / 60.51 39.76 59.5b 5U.214 (7/31/59) (12/27/57) (1/8) (3/11) 55.02 55.73 55.30 55.83 55.7U Stock market customer c r e d i t Bank Customers' debit bal- loans t o ances k / "others" 5 / ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Trading Common volume 2 / yields 2 / (millions (per cent) of shares) 3.07 it. 66 3.18 3.51 3.U5 3.U1 3.U2 3.ij0 3.U0 Total it. 3 l.it 3.9 2.U it,76it 3,55U it, 365 U,l53 2.9 2.9 3.1 1/3.9 3.2 it,158 it,153 n.a. . n.a. n.a. 3,U01 2,U82 3,198 3,028 1,373 1,060 1,167 1,130 3,028 3,037 n.e. n.a. n.a. 1,130 1,116 1,110 1,110 n.a. • n.a.--Not a v a i l a b l e . g / Preliminary. 1 / Standard and Poop's Topoolte Index of 500. ooirmon stocks, weekly closing p r i c e s , 1941-43=10. Monthly data are averages of dally f i g u r e s rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are f o r Fridays' data only. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock y i e l d based on Wednesday data converted t o weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are f o r dates on which price index reached i t s high or low. 3 / Averages of daily t r a d i n g volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 4 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stook Exchange which carry margin accounts $ excludes balances secured by U, S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly reporting member banks. Be eludes loans for purchasing or carrying U, S, Government s e c u r i t i e s * Prior to July 1, 1959, such loans are excluded only a t banks in New York and Chicago. 'Weekly reporting hanks account f o r about 70 par oent of loans t o o t h e r s . For f u r t h e r d e t a i l see B u l l e t i n . Federal.National Mortgage Association Secondary Market Operations 1 / Estimated Offerings t o FNM Immediate Standby Total purchase commitment 1959 - Apr. May 1960 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 2 / 8:8 8U.ii- 109.5 123.1 11*1.3 108.3 105.6 116.3 137.6 135.8 133.2 103. h oorailtnent contracts. Data exclude Liquidating Programs. Purchases by MIMA. (Millions of d o l l a r s ) 7.7 50.1 38.3 7.2 73.it U9.U 7.8 76.6 62.3 1 7 . 1 92.5 71.7 13.3 109.9 85.lt 13U.8 *'5 105.5 6 . 5 101.8 92.6 5.3 100.3 92.2 It. 9 lll.lt 86.1 9.3 128.3 116.7 6.9 128.9 135.0 8.6 12li.6 102.6 7.3 96.1 Sales by PNMA 1.1 .6 .3 .3 PUMA a c t i v i t y under Special Assletance and Management and Exhibit E -8- Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) I960 January February March I Corporate 1 / 1 1959 New c a p i t a l 1958 I960 728 73b . 620 E/556' 577 715 860 821 738 616 i , # y 6/725 1/650 e/1,050 894 785 887 l,l4o 597 887 July August September 235 740 703 - 1,107 540 1,114 October November December 879 864 900 862 518 920 April May June 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 2,151 e/2,li25 2,20k 2,567 1,979 2,642 3,139 2,623 2,760 2,300 e/lt,576 4,771 6,750 9,392 5,762 8,522 10,823 e/eOO S t a t e and l o c a l 2 / 1 1959 r / I 1958 639 858 646 812 953 511 932 593 1,006 798 895 . 551 1 806 403 651 I 456 474 435 £ £ i,57i 2,276 2,244 1,860 1,365 4,674 6,222 7,793 4,520 6,380 7,746 2,143 e/3,787 Excluding finance companies 4 / 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter e/1,722 e/2,%2 Year 1/ 2/ 3/ 4/ 1,999 2,412 1,716 2,503 2,899 2,586 2,731 2,213 8,630 10,429 S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission estimates of n e t proceeds. Investment Bankers A s s o c i a t i o n of America estimates of p r i n c i p a l amounts. Includes $718.3 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer f i n a n c e companies. H.lii Exhibit F -9- Other S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s 1/ ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Long ~ t e xm F o r e i g n government 2 / Federal agency ; I960 I960 1 1958 1959 1 1959 1 January February March 2 75 70 81 60 2 196 53 • 58 50 1*2 139 198 120 July August September 85 1 35 9 5 17 October November December 33 30. 70 58 123 7k 86 51*7. 992 707 April May June Year 182 150 150 . 1,163 251 199 175 — 523 — — 164 • 98 150 220 Short-term S t a t e and l o c a l government k/. January February March 1958 — 2,321 Federal agency 3 / 190 1*28 295 233 1*60 273 1*79 1*63 512 359 5oo 1*89 371 208 11*1* 563 1*11 21*5 357 351* 261* 509 1*86 675 289 209 161 329 July August September 21*6 1*67 399 289 1*23 369 727 365 665 October November December 235 ' 31*3 358 231 1*15 21*3 733 1*71 288 3,910 6,01*7 April May 'June 268 ' 31*5' 365 E/339 Year 11,179 . 1*37 206 330 1*51* 111* 137 3,098 eZ Preliminary. 1/ Data presented In this exhibit differ from those In Exhibit k In that refunding Issues, ao well as new capital Issues, are Included. Long-term securities are defined as those m t u r i % In more than one year. 2/ Includes seourltles offered In the United States by foreign goverrmente and their subdivisions and by International organizations. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. 3/ Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Sourcei long-term, Securities and Exchange Commission; short-term, Federal Reserve. 4/ Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or certificates and Public Housing Authority not**, f n some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat longer tern than one year. Source* Bond Buyer. -10- Exhibit 0 Large Long-term Public Security I s s u e s f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large I s s u e s Offered ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Corporate Month 1 9 # - April May June July August September October November December I960 - January February March April State and l o c a l government 563 258 . 635 19k 263 21k 29k 163 217 388 283 225 370 359 3h2 26k 110 363 199 Loo U21 230 279 262 38k 3# Other 2 / 20 50 60 50 98 175 20 70 100 320 191 71 Large Individual I s s u e s Offered May 1 through 27 .Issuer Type 3 / Amount Coupon (millions Offering Maturity net i n t e r - y i e l d of dollars) e s t cost Rating CORPORATE Columbia Gas S y s . , Inc. Wisconsin Telephone Co. Gen. Amer. Transp. Co. Wisconsin Elec. Pwr. Co. Milwaukee Gas Light Co. Uris Building Corp. STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Com. s t k . Deb. E.T. Com. s t k . 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. G.O. State of Minnesota Pub. Housing A u t h o r i t i e s G.O. Rev.-Ut. J a c k s o n v i l l e , Florida G.O. , l e t r o i t Sch. D i s t . , Mich. Denver, Colorado j Rev.-Ut. 26.0 20.0 30.0 18.1 22.0 23.0 1995 1980 4-7/8 k-7/8 4.80 ~k.8k Aaa A 1985 1975 5-5/8 6-1/2 5.15 V Baa 1*8.8 133,4 30.0 10.0 • 11.8 1961-79 1961-2000/75 196k-00/71 1961-85/74 1963-87/70 28.0 1980 2.50-3.50 3.45 2.10-3.90 3.83 3.18 A.70-3.b0 4.04 . 2 . 8 0 - 4 . 0 5 4.09 3.30-4.25 — Aa Aaa Aa A Baa OTHER Montreal, Canada S.F. deb. 5-3/6 5.40 A H.Ik G-2 -11- Footnotes 1 / Includes corporate and other security o f f e r i n g s of &L5 million and over; State and l o c a l government security o f f e r i n g s of $10 million and over. 2 / Includes foreign government and International Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. 3/ In the case of State and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G. 0. denotes general obligationsj Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public u t i l i t i e s j Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from s p e c i f i c taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured s o l e l y by lease, payments. k / Uris Building Corp's $23 million i s s u e offered in units with stock. I Exhibit H Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation 1959 - May 29 June 30 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 30 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 I960 - Jan. 29 Feb. 29 Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 During month following date shown State and Corporate l o c a l govt. Other 2 / 287 165 238 198 37k 385 226 210 207 301 299 202 1*83 21*7 116 356 385 270 115 295 10)5 210 255 250 243 277 50 25 70 30 1*5 35 30 Subsequent t o date shown State and Corporate l o c a l govt. Other 2 / 761 500 1*06 1*02 1*70 336 1*85 51*5 310 385 280 258 502 332 272 305 517 m 509 271 280 252 372 3hk 357 553 50 25 70 30 16 35 60 i Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of May 27 Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of dollars) Florida Light & Power Co. Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. Southern Electric Generating Co. National Cash Register Co. Northwestern Bell Tel. Co. Midwestern Gas Transmission Co. ^Baltimore Gas & Electric Co. Consolidated Edison Co. of N. Y. James Talcott Inc. *Gulf States U t i l i t i e s Co. *Tampa E l e c t r i c Co. Montgomery Ward Credit Corp. I l l i n o i s B e l l Telephone Co. Com. stk. 1st mfcg. p. 1. bds. 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. 1st r e f . mtg. bds. 1 s t r e f . mtg. bds. Senior notes 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. Com. stk. Texas Eastern Transmission Coip. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Deb. Deb.,, bds. & com. June 1 June 2 June 3 June 3 June 7 June 8 June 10 June 15 June 21 June 28 June 29 June 30 June 30 (rights expire) Indefinite 25.0 Indefinite 1*5.0 20.0 30.0 1*0 0 1*0.0 1*5.0 60.0 25.0 50.0 20.0 17.0 25.0 50.0 61.0 • .'f ,'Z H.lii H-2 -13- Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of May 27 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g I of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT King Co. Set. D i s t . No, 1 , Wash. Memphis, Tennessee Pennsylvania Gen. S t a t e Auth. Los Angeles Dept. of Wtr. and Pwr., California S t a t e of Kentucky State of Michigan Milwaukee, Wisconsin •^Philadelphia Sch. D i s t . , Pa. •^Commonwealth of Puerto Rico •^Alabama Education Authority State of Ohio State of California frCarmen -Smith Hydro-Elec. Pro j . , Ore. ^Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel Comm. G.O. G.O. . Rev. 10.0 15.0 25.0 June 1 June 7 June 7 Rev. -Ut. G.O. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.oi G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev#.Ut. Rev.-Ut. 15.0 30.0 25.0 15.0 10.0 17.0 5o.o 15.0 5o.o 25.0 200.0 June 8 June lit June Ik June Ik June Ik June 15 June 21 June 21 June July 19 -• I n d e f i n i t e S.F. deb. Bds. & s t k . 30.0 30.0 June 16 Indefinite OTHER Alberta Municipal Finance Corp. *Liberian Iron Ore Ltd. *—Included i n t a b l e for f i r s t time, 1 / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $10 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal a g e n c i e s * N o t e . — D e l e t i o n s f o r reasons other than s a l e of i s s u e : None. Exhibit I Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1 / Date 1952-1959 - High Low 1959 - July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1960 - Jan. 7 Feb. 25 26 Mar. 15 16 18 29 Apr. 6 8 Hi 21 27 May 10 - : Aa-rated offering y i e l d s A-rated offering y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned y i e l d s (per cent) (per cent) seasoned y i e l d s (basis points) (basis points) 5.30 (12/8/59) 2.93 (3/31/54) 87 -3 *4.93 4.83 31 23 5.13%/ *5.08 *5.30 36 42 63 5.08 5.10 44 46 32 17 It. 85 33 4.94 39 4.95 39 32 4.88 5.65 (9/18/59) 3.00 (3/17/54) | \ 123 -15 5.07 17 *5.65 5.33 60 43 5.45./ 5.30=/ 51 28 5.00 4.93 11 7 4.98 21 5.30 50 5.10 26 33 5.20 *—Single observation, not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual y i e l d figure and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the d i f f e r e n c e s between these new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of similar quality f o r the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2 / Provides f o r a 5-year period during which issue may not be c a l l e d f o r refunding, at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more i s s u e s with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision. May 31, I960 -15* Part I I - Canada The Canadian dollar continued to decline l a s t week i n s p i t e of a $28 million City of Montreal o f f e r on the United States market. The margin by which the United States Treasury b i l l exceeded the Canadian b i l l narrowed during the week* Shorter-term bond y i e l d s moved upward s l i g h t l y as the Treasury dominated the bond market with the offering of a one-year Treasury b i l l and a 2-1/2 year bond to refinance two maturing long b i l l s . Money market conditions 0 Heavy chartered bank purchases of Treasury b i l l s kept b i l l y i e l d s v i r t u a l l y unchanged l a s t week i n the face of a substantial reduction i n the holdings of the general p u b l i c . The average y i e l d on the short Treasury b i l l rose only 2 basis points from 2.99 per cent a week ago t o 3.01 per cent a t l a s t Thursday's auction (see Table). %he y i e l d on the 6-month Treasury b i l l a l s o increased by lU basis points from 3.22 per cent t o 3<>36 per cent. There was no change i n the Bank of Canada Treasury b i l l holdings during the week. During the week the average closing rate on day-to-day loans decreased to 2 <>56 per cent compared with 2.6^ per cent the week before. the United per c e n t . during the changed a t With the s l i g h t decline i n the U»S0 b i l l y i e l d , the spread favoring States 3-month Treasury b i l l was reduced from 0.U3 per cent t o 0.25 The premium on the 3=month forward Canadian dollar declined week and the net incentive to hold United States b i l l s was un0.13 per cent per annum (see Table)„ Bond market conditions 0 The Canadian bond market was dominated l a s t week by a $2U0 mill i o n Government financing. With Treasury borrowing i n the form of 1 year b i l l s and 2-1/2 year bonds s bond y i e l d s i n the shorter range of maturities (up t o 5 years) rose but y i e l d s declined i n the intermediate- and long-term sectors of the market. Several maturities declined t o t h e i r lowest l e v e l s f o r the year. The spread between several comparable Canadian and United States s e c u r i t i e s (Thursday y i e l d s f o r b i l l s and Wesnesday y i e l d s f o r bonds) was as f o l l o w s (figures i n parenthesis r e f e r t o the previous week)s -0.25 -0.29 0.2ii 0.88 1.30 per per per per per cent cent cent cent cent on on on on on a 91-day b i l l (-0.U3) a 182-day b i l l (-0.U8) an 8=year bond (0.31) a 20-year bond (0.87) a 35-year bond (1.29) The Treasury accepted tenders from primary distributors f o r $lU0 million Government of Canada s e c u r i t i e s on the following terms: Amount Treasury b i l l Bond $50 m0 $90 m. Maturity June 2S 1961 Dec. 1, 1962 Coupon Average issue price Average yield — L-l/k 96.71 99.91 3«39 U.29 -16- In addition, the Bank of Canada took $50 m i l l i o n of the one-year b i l l s and $50 million of the 2-1/1* year bonds. The new offering w i l l provide f o r the refinancing.of $200 million of one-year Treasury b i l l s maturing on June 10, I960 and $1*0 million of a 253-day b i l l of l a s t October maturing on June 10. The Minister of Finance a l s o announced that $1*6.6 m i l l i o n residual amounts of the Sixth Victory Loan w i l l be paid o f f a t maturity on June 11, I960. " In early trading, the new bonds eased t o 99#65 compared t o the 99.91 issue p r i c e . A c t i v i t y i n the corporate and l o c a l government sectors of the market was limited during the week. The City of Montreal sold $28 m i l l i o n of s e c u r i t i e s in the United States l a s t week. Half the t o t a l i s due on June 1, 1980 and the remainder on June 15, 1980. The bonds were purchased a t 98.63 to y i e l d 5 - 3 / 8 per cent and w i l l be reoffered t o the public a t 99*70 t o y i e l d 5«U per c e n t . Press reports s t a t e that the Alberta Municipal Financing Corporation has increased i t s proposed borrowings i n the United States to $30 million; debentures maturing on June 15, 1985 with sinking funds w i l l be o f f e r e d . Exchange r a t e . The Canadian dollar continued t o decline during the week. At Thursday's c l o s i n g , i t was at 101.31 U.S. cents compared with 101.1*7 U.S. cents a week e a r l i e r (see Table). Housing loans and s t a r t s . During the period January t o April, housing loans declined from $171 m i l l i o n i n 1959 t o $1*0 m i l l i o n i n i 9 6 0 . The chartered banks reported only 3U loans i n t h i s period i n i960 compared with 6,1*60 loans a year e a r l i e r . Reduced direct Government assistance i n housing loans and the mid-December r i s e i n mortgage i n t e r e s t r a t e s from 6 t o 6 - 3 A per cent account f o r the curtailed mortgage a c t i v i t y i n I960. Adverse weather conditions have a l s o hindered construction a c t i v i t y . In c i t i e s with population above 5,000, housing s t a r t s declined from It,520 units i n 1959 to 2,1*07 s t a r t s i n I960 i n the f i r s t four months of the year. Stock market conditions. Prices of i n d u s t r i a l stocks increased early l a s t week following the trend of the previous week as noted i n the following table: New York Toronto Montreal Standard & Poor May 11 18 25 1*88.91* L93.50 1*97.21 279.1 283.1 285.8 British Commonwealth Section Division of International Finance Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System 58.11 59.12 59.32 Selected Canadian Money Market and Related Data 3-mo. Treas. b i l l s Spread Canada y U.sJb/ over U.S. £/ Spot 1959 - High Low 1960 - High Low 6.16 3.2$ 5.1k 2.67 k.k9 2.80 U.63 2.86 2.96 0.30 0.90 -0,69 105.51 102.58 105.27 101.31 May 5 12 19 26 2.82 2.67 2.99 3.01 3.09 3.36 3.U2 3.26 -0.27 -O069 -0.U3 -0,25 103.30 102.59 101.U7 101.31 Canadian dollar 3-mo» discount ( - ) , forward premium(+)2' 103.31 102.63 101.55 101.3k -17Net incentive to hold Can, billi/ 0.31 -0.72 0.1*8 -0.57 0.06 0.12 0.31 0.12 -0.21 -0.57 -0.12 -0.13 a/. Average y i e l d at weekly tender on Thursday. 2 / Composite market y i e l d f o r the U.S. Treasury b i l l on Thursday close of business, c / In U.S. centso a / Spread between spot rate and 3-month forward Canadian dollar on Thursday c l o s i n g , expressed as per cent per annum0 e / (Column 3) spread over U.S. Treasury b i l l , plus (column 6) 3-month forward discount or premium* Selected Government of Canada Security Yields 6-rao. Treas - b i l l s Spread Canada y 1959 - High Low 1960 - High Low 6.2k May 5 12 19 26 a/ 1W/ bill c/ 3/ e/ 7/ g/ ry Intermediate bonds (8 yr„) Spread Canada ,73? 2.90 o'es -0.69 5.37 U.50 5.55 1+.65 1.11 0.21+ 3.00 2.90 3*22 3.26 =0.1+2 -O069 —0.1+8 -0.29 5.0k U.85 U.67 k.65 0.76 0.71 0.31 0.21+ Long-term bonds (20 year) (35 year) Spread Spread Canada ovw Canada over. U.sJ/ &/ u.s3/ e/ 5.30 k.kk 5.U2 5.06 13 5.08 5.06 1.22 0.87 5.05 k.73 5.28 5.11 — — 1.61 0.98 0.93 1.01 0.87 0.88 5.21+ 5.20 5.12 5.1k 1.1+1 1.U1+ 1.29 1.30 Average y i e l d at weekly tender on Thursday. between Canadian auction rate and composite market y i e l d of U.S. on c l o s e of business Thursday, Government of Canada 2-3/1+ per cent of June 1967-68, Spread over U.S. Government 2-1/2 per cent of 1963-68. Government of Canada 3-1/% per cent of October 1879• Spread over U.S. Government 3 - l A per cent of 1978-83. Government of Canada 3-3/k per cent of September 1996 - March 1998. Spread over U.S. Government of 1995. rSpread —18— Canada? Changes in Distribution of Holdings of Canadian Government Direct and Guaranteed Securities (millions of dollars, par value) Bank of Canada Treas. bills. Bonds Government Total Chartered banks Treas. bills. Bonds General public Savings TPGclS • bonds b i l l s - Bonds March 23 30 + U3 + 25 - 9 - 3h - 17 - 10 + 9 •K 2 0 + 16 - 7 8 - 32 - 12 + 10 + 19 April 6 13 20 27 May U 11 18 25 + + * + - - 30 0 0 + 7 + 1U 0 + U - u * + + + - > + * + + + + + + - 6 7 + 38 - 10 - 8 7 8 7 7 + + - Sourcei 28 37 lU 10 9 3 15 0 3 11 3 2 1 2 8 3 10 33 h 7 17 1U 7 + Uo 9 3 2 18 7 2 17 1 - 5 19 1U 11 3 26 26 6 39 Bank of Canada, Weekly Financial S t a t i s t i c s . Sales of New Government, Municipal, and Corporate Bonds (millions of Canadian dollars) Government (direct) Government (guaranteed) Provincial (direct) Provincial (guaranteed) Municipal Corporation Less short term I960 to May 2k 1959 to May 25 1958 to May 26 3,lk9.0 2,875.0 150.0 111.0 127.8 Ui2.9 152.1 3,558.8 2,675.0 888.8 3,395.0 300.0 195.0 I50.ii 186.U U53.7 U,680.U 2,Ui5.o 138.5 153.8 218.1 273.7 3,933.0 2,520.0 1,1113.0 2,235.1 Of the above, the following amounts have been sold in the United States Provincial (direct) Provincial (guaranteed) Municipal Corporation Source: 25.0 22.0 82.7 U2.0 171.7 75.0 56.2 U.6 2U.0 159.8 Weekly Bond Sales Summary,, A. E. Ames & Co., Ltd. 100.0 70.0 66.2 82.8 319.0 - 5 + 7 - 8 0 - 15 + 5 CANADA - UNITED THREE-MONTH Monthly TREASURY STATES BILL RATES Par cernl / \ y GOVERNMENT LONG TERM MEDIUM TERM GOVERNMENT BOND BOND YIELDS YIELDS IA CANADA ,— ' ' UNITED STATES 1959 1