Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : May 21, 1958
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Not f o r Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS L I May 21, 1958. Ho l l ; CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of public security financing continues to be subs t a n t i a l . Large public security issues f o r new c a p i t a l during t h e week ending May 16 t o t a l e d §127 million f o r corporations and $183 million f o r S t a t e and l o c a l governments. The calendar f o r t h i s week includes l a r g e corporate i s s u e s , including expiration of subscription r i g h t s , t o t a l i n g $130 m i l l i o n . State and l o c a l government security o f f e r i n g s amounting to $ l 6 l million are also scheduled f o r s a l e . Bond y i e l d s - Changes i n y i e l d s on outstanding bonds were mixed l a s t week. Yields on State and l o c a l government and U. S. Government obligations increased, while those f o r corporate Aaa-rated bonds remained s t a b l e . Yields on corporate Baa's declined s l i g h t l y . Offering y i e l d s on new corporate i s s u e s show l i t t l e change. Two new Aa-rated, f i r s t mortgage e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y bond i s s u e s were offered to the public t h i s week, each to y i e l d 3.85 per cent — 5 basis points.below t h a t f o r a comparable o f f e r i n g of l a s t week. Stock market c r e d i t - Customer c r e d i t in the stock ma licet (excluding that f o r U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s ) increased f u r t h e r i n A p r i l , t o t a l i n g $>3,980 million a t the end of the month, the highest since l a s t July and only s l i g h t l y below the June 1957 peak. In A p r i l , net debit balances increased $70 million and bank loans to "others" advanced $1*7 m i l l i o n . Borrowing by member firms of t h e NYSE maintaining margin accounts (excluding borrowing on U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s ) also continued t o increase l a s t month. Customers' net f r e e c r e d i t balances were $985 million a t the end of A p r i l , #31 million higher than a month e a r l i e r . These and other data on stock market c r e d i t f o r April and March are shown in the following t a b l e . End of month Apr. 1 Mar. Cuotomer c r e d i t Excluding U. S=. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s - t o t a l Net d e b i t balances Bank loans t o "others" Net debit balances secured by U. S. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s - Bank loans, to others f o r purchasing or carrying U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s Broker and dealer c r e d i t Money borrowed except on U. S. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s On customer c o l l a t e r a l Money borrowed on U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s Customers' net f r e e c r e d i t balances Change (millions of dollars) 3,980 2,735 1,21*5 13U 3,863 2,665 1,198 111 117 70 1*7 23 70 86 -16 1,822 1,10*3 230 ^985 1,781* 1,1*65 206 951* 38 -22 21* 31 H.lli - 2 Stock p r i c e s - Stock p r i c e s , a s measured by Standard and P o o r ' s index of 500 common stocks, declined l a s t week, closing a t 1*3.36 on May 16. P r i c e s have changed l i t t l e t h i s week. More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s presented i n the attached e x h i b i t s . Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A HIGH-GRADE BOND 1953 Date YIELDS 1954 1955 1956 Corporate Aaa 1 / U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ 3.1*2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3-07 U.1U 3.66 3.19 (6/5) 1957 State and l o c a l govt. Aaa 2 / 1958 Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate 1 State and 1local Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High 195U - High 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High 1958 - High Low 3.68 3.55 April 18 April 25 May 2 May 9 3.61 3.57 3.55 3.57 3.57 May 1 6 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (V23) (12/23) (1/7) (12/28) (3/2) (9/27) (1/12) (1/3) (5/2) ^ 2.73 (6/25) 2.714 (12/31) 2.7U (1/8) ' 2.1*5 (8/6) 2.97 (8/5) 2.6k (1/7) 3.L5 (12/28) 2 . 8 k (2/17) 3.76 (10/18) 3.18 (2/8) 3.28 (1/31) 3.07 (1/25) 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3U 2.05 3.05 2.17 3.1:5 2.76 2.86 2.6U (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) (8/29) (2/21) (1/9) (5A) 3.10 3.07 3.Ht 3.lit 3.15 2.69 2.61 2.61t 2.66 . 2.71 .38 .20 . .1*3 .30 .27 .11 . .11 .12 .60 .27 .51 .28 .51 .50 .la .14-3 -1*2 .83 • • 33 • .62 .30 .76 .57 .71 . .32 .hi .15 .62 • 3lt .la .U3 .50 .1*8 .itit 1 / Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . Average terra of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. y Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligations bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual series and maybe on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r different series. LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Corporate Baa 1/ Date State and l o c a l govt. Baa 2/ | Spread.between Aaa and Baa Corporate I State and 1 local govt. (Per cent) 1953 - High 195U - High 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High 1958 - High Low April 18 April 25 May 2 May 9 May 16 . . 3,89 3.50 3.74 3.a 3.63 3.U5 4.41 3.58 5.10 4.42 4.96 4.62 4.66 4.66 4.66 4.63 4.62 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/14) (12/28) (3/9) (11/29) (4/12) (1/3) (5/16) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93 (8/5) 3.26 (12/29) • 3.02 (1/6) 4.22 (12/27) 3.20 (3/8) 4.51 (8/29) 3.90 (2/21) 3.92 (1/2) 3.64(5/1) .69 .42 .68 .52 .54 .45 .63 .42 1.27 .64 1.28 1.04 1.21 .98 1.16 .93 1.03 .87 1.17 .89 1.21 1.04 1.11 .99 3.78 3.66 3.64 3.65 3.76 1.05 1.09 1.11 1.06 1.05 1.09 1.02 1.00 1.05 1/ Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds Includes i s 25-26/ears. 2/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general-obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . STOCK MARKET' tote Stock p r i c e Trading Common volume 2 / (millions yields ^ / of s h a r e s ) ( p e r cent) Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers' debit bal- loans to ances 1*/ " o t h e r s " 5 / Total ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1953 - High Low 195k - High 1955 - High 1956 - High 195V - High Low 1958 - High 26.5k 22.95 35.98 2l*.93 1*5.6° 35.28 1*9.61* 1*3.22 1*9.08 39.18 Ui.00 1*0.37 March April May 2 1*2.11 1*2.31* 1*3.69 May 16 1.3.36 (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/8) (12/9) (1/11*) (8/3) (1/20) (7/12) (12/20) (5/9) (1/10) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* 1*.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 1*. 2 1.1* 2.8 2.2 2.1* 2.5 2.8 2.7 . 6.25 5.38 5.82 1*. 32 I*.1*2 3.61* U.35 3.82 It.72 3.91 1*.58 . I*.15 2,1*55 2,055 3,1*36 2,1*05 1*,030 3,537 l*,0l*7 3,911* U,031 3,576 3,980 3,551* 1,665 1,311* 2/308 1,653 2/105 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,887 2,1*82 2,735 2,1*87 780 661* 1,01*8 •71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 • 1,155 1,163 1,051* 1,21*5 1,051 • 1*. 35 1*. 33 3,863 3,980 n.a. 2,665 2,735 1,198 1,21*5 1,21*5 n.a. n.a. n.a. l*!l5 i*.21 n.a.—Not available. 1 / Standard and P o o r ' s composite index of 500 common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 19l*l-l*3"10.' Monthly data a r e averages o f d a i l y f i g u r e s r a t h e r than of F r i d a y s ' only. Highs and lows a r e f o r F r i d a j ' s data o n l y . 2 / Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on t h e New York Stock Exchange. 2 / Standard and P o o r ' s composite stock y i e l d based on Wednesday d a t a c o n v e r t e d t o weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s by Federal Reserve. h / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member-firms of the New York Stock Exchange which c a r r y margin accounts; excludes b a l a n c e s sectired by U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . £ / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e o o r t i n g member banks. Excludes loans f o r purchasing or c a r r y i n g U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly r e p o r t i n g hanks account f o r about 70 p e r cent of l o a n s t o o t h e r s . For f u r t h e r d e t a i l see B u l l e t i n . Note.—Highs and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be o n ' d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. H.ll* Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) A 1958 January February March 1 Corporate 1957 1 1,060 1,065 1,320 . New ca p i t a l 1956 1958 State and l o c a l 1/ 1 1956 1 1957 573 712 817 812 952 571 71*2 572 506 hok 696 931 765 1,153 818 1,11*6 8Ul E/779 5/825 765 51*6 393 378 1*90 735 July August September 1,003 1,063 - 651* . 838. 529 581* 1*31 1*08 206 357 October November December 1,090 769 1,076 71*5., 1,0892/ 1,088 633 698 639 31*7 1*09 April May 1st 2nd 3rd Uth quarter quarter quarter quarter 723 J b / e/1,075. e/775 92h 973 3,135 1st half Three quarters Year 3,1*U5 3,lh9 2,899 2,95b . *2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 9,1*93 12, U,7 'l*,907 -7,1*63 10,38k 698 2,275 390 1,820 1,70k 1,511* 2,029 1,1*90 1,603 971 1,395 3,521 5,069 7,099 3,093 U,061| 5,1*59 Excluding finance companies h/ 1st 2nd 3rd lith quarter quarter quarter quarter 2,89k Year , 3,268 2,921* 2,560. 2,788 11,51*0 1,61*7 2,51*1 2,216 2,826 9,260 e / Estimated. g / Preliminary. 1 / Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data c l a s s i f i e d as new c a p i t a l by f e d e r a l Reserve; l a t e r data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as t o coverage than the e a r l i e r data, p a r t i c u l a r l y f o r Federal Government loans. 2/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 3 / Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock i s s u e . h j Total new c a p i t a l issues excluding o f f e r i n g s of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s due to rounding. R.lii ' Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) ^ Month Corporate .1957 - A p r i l May S t a t e and l o c a l government 477 877 <25 526 537 574 420 399 318 605 1,093 . 725 July August September October November December 1958 - January February . March; April Other 2/ 125 25 39 25 499 248 176 265 357 185 435 386 439 506 629 264 5i4 . 30 75 215 15 133 Large Individual Issues Offered Hay 1 through 16 Issuer Type y Amount Coupon (millions Offering rate or Maturity of net i n t e r - y i e l d dollars) e s t cost Rating CORPORATE Potomac Elec. Pwr. Co. R. R. Donnelly & Sons Co. Public Servi Co. of Okla. United Gas Impr. Co. Long Island Lighting Co. Long Island Lighting Co. N a t ' 1 D i s t i l l e r s & Chem. Conv. deb. Deb. 1 s t mtg. bds. 1 s t mtg. bds. 1 s t mtg. bds. Com. s t k . S.F. deb. 19.7 15.0 16.0 15.0 20.0 15.5 60.0 G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. 5.8 29.7 25.0 10. U 5.0 1973 1978 1988 1983 1988. 3 3 3 4 4 3/4 3/4 7/8 1/8 1/8 3.75 3.05 3.90 4.03 4.07 A Aa Aa A A 1983 4 3/4 4.80 Baa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Peoria Co. S.D.#105, H I . S t a t e of Connecticut Cook Co., I l l i n o i s j Fulton Co., Georgia S t a t e of West Virginia 1960-78 1959-78 1959-73 1959-87 1959-83 2.56 2.47 2.54 2.85 2.65 1.00-2.70 .80-2.70 .85-2.80 .80-3.00 .85-2.85 Aa A Aa A H.lU E-2 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered May 1 through 16 (Cont'd) Igsuer Coupon Amount r a t e or Offering (millions Rating Maturity n e t i n t e r yield of e s t cost dollars) Type 3 / STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Continued) S t a t e of New York Boston, Massachusetts Cincinnati, Ohio Wichita, Kansas S tate of South Carolina Franklin Co., Ohio Bergen Co. Swr. Auth., N.JL New York, New York G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. " G.O. . Uo.o ' 1959-78 2k.$ 1959-78 13.1 1959-98 6.8 1959-78/68 25.0 1959-78/73 10.0 1959-82 * 1 5 . 8 1961-97/67 1*7.3 1959-73 2.37 2.89 2.82 2,61* 2.23 2.73 3.59 2.53 .75-2.60 .90-3.10 .75-3.00 .90-3.00 .80-2.70 .80-2.95 1.50-3.65 .85-2.90 Aaa A Aaa ' A • Aa Aa A A OTHER Montreal, Canada I n t . Bk. f o r Reconstruction and Development S.F. deb. Bds. 2U.5 1978 U 3/U b.75 A 150.0 1968 3 3/U • 3.75 Aa S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . 3/ In t h e case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general obligations5 Rev.-Ut., revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from public u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue of q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from s p e c i f i c taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured s o l e l y by l e a s e payments. H.H* Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security O f f e r i n g s f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation - Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 During month following Subsequent t o date shown date shown S t a t e and S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l govt. Other 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt. Other 2 / 187 $25 370 526 573 576 1*58 383 378 1*98 1,123 555 356 179 97 172 252 22*3 370 369 387 383 1*29 175 3U0 52k 25 25 30 30 18 150 110 150 258 525 ' 105 811 81*5 61*7 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 670 ' 561 396 388 1*98 511* 1*39 587 573 589 6lL 51*6 389 372 530 25 25 30 15 1*5 63 165 110 150 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of May 16 Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Gulf S t a t e s U t i l i t i e s Co. I n t e r n a t i o n a l Tel. & Tel. Co. 1 s t mtg. bds. Conv. sub. deb. I l l i n o i s Power Co. 1 s t mtg. bds. Public Service Co. of Colorado Pfd. s t k . 1 s t mtg. bds. - Brooklyn Union Gas Co. Central Hudson Gas & E l e c t r i c Corp. T 1 s t mtg. bds. Appalachian E l e c t r i c Power Co. 1 s t mtg. bds. Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line Corp.. 1 s t mtg. p. 1. bds. Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line Corp. Cum. p f d . s t k . 1 s t r e f . mtg. bds. Consolidated Edison Co. Pfd. s t k . #Texas Eastern Transmission Corp. S.F. deb. *Owens-Illinois Glass Co. Virginia E l e c t r i c & Power Co. 1 s t r e f . mtg. bds. Gen. mtg. bds. -^Niagara Mohawk Power Corp. ^Oklahoma Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. 1 s t mtg. bds. *New England Telephone & Telegraph Co, Comnon s t k . 20.0 28.7 25.0 16.0 22.0 18.0 25.0 25.0 15.0 50.0 15.0 35.0 25.0 50.0 15.0 22.6 May 20 May 21 ( r i g h t s expire) May 21 May 21 May 22 May 22 May 28 May 28 May 28 June 1* June 5 June 5 June 11 June 12 June 17 July ( r i g h t s expire) F-2 H.lU Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of May 16 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE (Continued) Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Natural Gas P i p e l i n e Co. of America Consolidated Natural Gas Co. Deb., bds. & common U5.0 1 s t mtg. bds. Uo.o S.F. deb. 16.0 1958 1958 1958 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT P i t t s b u r g h Sch. D i s t . , Pennsylvania S t a t e of Ohio Greensboro, North Carolina . E l i z a b e t h , New Jersey Baltimore Co., Maiyland Public Housing A u t h o r i t i e s Houston, Texas ^Richmond-Petersburg Turnpike Auth., Virginia ^Louisiana State Board of Education S tate of Iowa T e r r i t o r y of Hawaii S t a t e of Michigan Tacoma, Washington ^Kansas City, Missouri Pueblo Co. Sch. D i s t . No. 60, Colo. Sacramento U t i l i t y D i s t . , C a l i f . ^Norfolk, V i r g i n i a ^Florida Development Commission G.O. Rev. S.T. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 5.0 32.0 10.0 .5.0 12.0 69.9 15.6 Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Q.Ut. G.O. G.O. Rev.-S.T. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev.—Ut. 6.2 5.5 2U.7 8.0 100.0 7.9 6.0 7.8 5.7 6.0 6.2 May May May May May May May 20 20 20 20 21 21 21 May 21 May 23 May 27 May 27 May 27 May 27 June U June 10 June 12 June 17 June 18 None *—Included in t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. 1 / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . Note.—Deletions f o r reasons other than s a l e of i s s u e : None. Exhibit G Yields on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1 / A-rated o f f e r i n g yields Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned y i e l d s seasoned y i e l d s ( p e r cent) (basis points) (per cent) ( b a s i s points) Date 1952 - 1957 High Low 5.00(8/lV57L 2.93(3/31/51) 87 -3 & 1958 - January 8 h 21 23 February 5 lb March k 20 21 25 26 28 i 12 19 21 25 April 1 2 17 23 29 May 5.50(11/7/57) 3.00(3/17/51) 3.60 . . 3:^/ 13 12 3.95 LOO 28 33 L 15 . 3.85 3.80 9 13 -3 -8 3.90 -3 3.92 -3 L25 h.ko 35 6 L07 -7 hh It. 00 U.00 k.22 50 28 26 Lo5 3.98 Loo 31 23 25 3.75 5 3.90 123 -15 3.98 5 LOU Loo 11 3 U.07 L35 ' h 32 *—Single observation, not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual y i e l d f i g u r e and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s during the indicated period and of the d i f f e r e n c e s between these new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality f o r the same day. Average maturity f o r the seasoned issues v a r i e s from 26 t o 28 years. 2/ Provides f o r a 5-year period during which issue may not be called f o r refunding a t a lower coupon r a t e . Other issues have no such provision.