Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : March 6, 1972
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
L.5.8 Confidentiol (F R ) DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS — March 6, 1972 r?;n /wjfM CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Ceitel M Section, O m « * n •« .1 G . w m « . .« * • » ' *«*.«<». S »"—' D. C INDEX 3-5 D e v e l o p m e n t s in the Corporate and Municipal Bond Markets 6-7 Capital Market Y i e l d s 8-13 Capital Market Volume 14-17 Stock Market 18-33 Mortgage Market SYMBOLS: e Estimate p Preliminary r n o. Revised Not a v a i l a b l e T A B L E 1: Y i e l d s , Volume and Reception C O R P O R A T E BOND M A R K E T W E E K ENDING: NEW 1972 YIELDS MOODY'S SEASONED 1 ISSUE Aaa GROSS OFFERINGS VOLUME 2 PER C E N T SOLD BY END BONDS S C H E D U L E D OF W E E K W I T H I N 28 DAYS - Feb. 4 11 18 25 7.22 7.30 7.10 7.11 7.25 7.29 7.28 7.26 285 655r 560r 223 77 79r 69r 70 Mar. 3 10 7.16 7.25 409 225e 98 n.a. YIELDS WEEK ENDING: 1972 - Feb. 4 11 18 25 Mar. 3 10 MOODY'S SEASONED BOND BUYER S E A S O N E D 20 B O N D INDEX n.a. M U N I C I P A L BOND M A R K E T VOLUME2 GROSS OFFERINGS PER C E N T SOLD BY ENDOF W E E K BONDS SCHEDULED W I T H I N 28 DAYS 5.10 5.00 5.00 4.95 5.35 5.27 5.24 5.28 214 667 380 464 87 84 80 81 1,098 1,080 1,504 1,560 5.00 4.29 481 63 7e 86 1,071 1 Derived by a d j u s t i n g to a A a a b a s i s , new issues of-publicly-^offered corporate b o n d s with call p r o t e c t i o n , rated A , A a , or A a a by M o o d y ' s Investors Service (except serial and c o n v e r t i b l e issues, offerings of natural gas pipeline and foreign companies, and bonds guaranteed by the Federal G o v e r n m e n t . ) 2 M i l l i o n s of dollars unless otherwise indicated. Note: Sc-e footnotes to T a b l e 3 TABLE 2: Details on Inventories DAT!: OFFERED i | :• 25. 0 25. 0 50.,0 , 25,,0 22.'.5 30..0 2/24 2/24 2/23 2/29 3/11 3/11 DATE OFFERED | RELEXSED 2/23 2/15 2/15 2/28 3/1 3/1 DATE 1972 - Feb. 4 11 18 25 Mar. C O R P O R A T E BONDS IN SYNDICATE END OF LATEST W E E K ORIGINAL RATING AND ISSUER YIELD C A L L PROTECTION COUPON AMOUNT (MIL $ ) 3 G e n ' l Tele of W i s e F i r s t N a t ' l B a n k of Ore No States Pwr Union Commerce . ^ Midland Enterprises C o u s i n s M t g e & Re. T r 7.50 7.52 6.75 6.83 7 3/8 7.35 7 7/8 - -'7.88 ... 7 7/8 7.90 . 6 1/2 6.50 A NR Aa MR -Baa NR 5 7 5 .10 "" 10 10 ESTIMATED PROPORTION SOLD yrs yrs yrs yrs yrs yrs 70% 75% 90% 98% 75%' 98% C O R P O R A T E BONDS RELEASED FROM SYNDICATE DURING LATEST W E E K ORIGINAL INCREASE RATING A N D E S T I M A T E D PROISSUER AMOUNT COUPON IN YIELD C A L L PROT. PORTION RELEASED YIELD 40.0 75.0 175.0 American Credit Pacific Tel & Tel Pacific Tel & Tel INVENTORIES MUNICIPALS IN SYNDICATE BLUE LIST 96 885 147 715 134 773 170r 765r 761 140 7.95 6 5/8 7 1/4 7.95 6.50 7.23 +7 +8 +11 NR Aaa Aaa 10 yrs 5 yrs 5 yrs 1 CORPORATES IN SYNDICATE 123 147 133 194 27 ;.C. - No call protection. All figures in millions of dollars. Blue List is daily average for vuek ended Friday, except rhich iF daily average of three days ended Wednesday. All other figures arc as of Friday. 15% 55% 50% for " latest v T A B L E 3: High Grade Bond Y i e l d s NEW CORPORATE Aaa1 DATE MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa 2 U.S. G O V E R N M E N T , 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITIES 3 BOND BUYER'S SEASONED MUNICIPALS 8 . 8 5 (12/26) 6 . 9 0 (2/21) 7.84 (12/26) 6.55 (1/12) 6.97 5.96 (12/26) (1.24) 6.90 4.82 (12/18) (1/28) 1970 - High Low 9.30 7.68 8.60 7.48 (7/3) (12/21) 7.55 6.17 (5/29) (12.18) 7.12 5.33 (5/29) (12/11) 1971 - High Low 8.23 (5/12) 6 . 7 6 (1/29) 7.71 7.06 (8/13) (2/12) 6.51 5.69 (6/18) (3/23) 6.23 4.97 (6/24) (10/21) 1972 - Feb. 11 18 25 7; 3 0 7.10 7.11 7.29 7.28 7.26 6.10 6.05 6.02 5.27 5.24 5.28 Mar. 3 7.16 7.25 6.02 5.29 1969 - High Low 1 a (6/19) (12/18) N e w c o r p o r a t e issues, w i t h call p r o t e c t i o n , a d j u s t e d (as d e s c r i b e d in f o o t n o t e 1 of T a b l e 1) to a A a a b a s i s . 2 W e e k l y a v e r a g e of daily figures. A v e r a g e term of b o n d s included is 22-24 years. 3 W e e k l y a v e r a g e of daily figures. 4 T h u r s d a y figures. T h e a v e r a g e rating of the 20 b o n d s used in this index falls m i d w a y b e t w e e n the four top g r o u p s as classified by M o o d y ' s Investors Service. N o t e - - H i g h s and lows are for individual series and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s 4 T A B L E 4: Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) ™ GROSS PROCEEDS CORPORATE1 PERIOD - STATE AND LOCAL 1972 1971 1970 1,^762 2,732 1,851 2,258 1,340 1,214 1,555 | 1 j 1,891 2,167 2,013 1,647 996 1,085 | 1,989 1,903 1,348 1,359 j 2,098 1,758 2,777 4,182 3,980 1,728 2,264 2,068 1,924 1,748 2,190 1972 1971 1970 3,350e 3,115 3,000 6,075 2,636 1,802 3,539 ! 1 | April : May 4,042 3,271 4,375 3,170 3,909 3,389 ; July August September 4,147 2,532 3,768 2,768 2,274 2,518 October November December 3,387 3,704 3,673 January : February March 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter . 1st half T h r e e quarters Year 1 2 12,190 11,688 7,977 10,468 10,447 10,764 8,560 11,939 6,841 6,081 5,990 6,060 4,109 3,728 4,465 5,862 23,844 34,325 45,089 18,445 27,005 38,944 12,912 18,902 24,962 7,837 12,302 18,164 S e c u r i t i e s and E x c h a n g e C o m m i s s i o n e s t i m a t e s of gross p r o c e e d s . I n v e s t m e n t B a n k e r s A s s o c i a t i o n of A m e r i c a e s t i m a t e s of p r i n c i p a l a m o u n t s . 2 TABLE 5: New Corporate Security I s s u e s , Type of I s s u e and Issuer (In millions of dollars) QUARTER OR MONTH TOTAL GROSS PROCEEDS BY T Y P E OF I S S U E COMMON AND MEMO: BONDS P R I V A T E L Y PFD. ISSUES INCLUDED PUBLICLY PLACED FOREIGN | C O N V E R T I B L E STOCK OFFERED GROSS P R O C E E D S BY T Y P E OF ISSUER PUBLIC UTILITY COMMUNI- MFG. CATIONS OTHER ISSUERS1 1970 - IV 11,938 7,827 1,421 2,690 226 737 3,169 3,406 1,,346 4,020 1971 - I II III IV 12,190 11,688 10,447 1,516 1,758 1,641 2,439 2,306 3,384 4,079 3,193 84 215 114 133 724 1,351 652 767 3,794 3,130 2,202 2,453 3,197 2,910 2,651 3,041 1,,606 896 2,,263 1;,053 3,594 4,753 3,331 4,164 10,764 8,369 6,546 4,725 5,135 1970 - D e c . 3,979 2,436 834 709 159 165 1,056 955 282 1,687 1971 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 3,115 3,000 6,075 2,033 2,201 4,135 594 275 647 489 524 1,293 43 3 38 99 168 557 716 661 2,417 676 1,069 1,452 391 683 532 1,332 587 1,675 Apr. May June 4,042 3,271 4,375 2,116 2,148 2,282 507 491 760 1,419 633 1,332 116 47 52 384 255 712 1,135 588 1,206 1,267 588 1,055 273 405 218 1,367 1,489 1,897 July Aug. Sept. 4,147 2,532 3,768 1,331 1,428 1,966 619 416 606 2,196 687 1,196 72 34 8 199 160 293 582 474 1,146 732 . 849 1,070 1 ,622 359 282 1,210 850 1,271 Oct. Nov. Dec. 3,387 3,704 3,673 1,942 2,003 1,190 723 433 1,283 723 1,269 1,201 59 62 12 222 395 150 662 811 980 933 1,217 891 432 269 352 1,360 1,408 1,450 3,560 1,760 900 900 n.a. 240 500i 550 770 1,740 197L_-_Jan.j 1 ; O t h e r issuers are e x t r a c t i v e , railroad and other t r a n s p o r t a t i o n , real e s t a t e and finance, and c o m m e r c i a l and other. Source: S e c u r i t i e s and E x c h a n g e C o m m i s s i o n , Q u a r t e r l y s u p p l e m e n t s are available. T A B L E 6: Large Long-term Public Security I s s u e s for New Capital (Other than ILS. T r e a s u r y ) 1 1972 ISSUER TYPE2 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS). MATURITY COUPON RATE OR N E T INTEREST C O S T OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING Corporate N e w Eng T e l & T e l Co Metropolitan Edison T e x a s E a s t e r n T r a n s m i s s i o n Corp T e x a s E a s t e r n T r a n s m i s s i o n Corp U n i o n C o m m e r c e Corp GMAC I n d i a n a p o l i s Pwr & Lt C o u s i n M t g & E q u i t y Inv M i d l a n d E n t e r p r i s e s Inc Toledo Edison Atico M t g Investors 53.5 Com stk Pref stk 35.0 1st m t g 60.0 Com stk 42,3 Debs 25.0 Debs 200.0 Bonds 40.0 Debs 30.0 22.5 1st ship m t g Cm stk 18.0 Debs 20.0 *— 1992 —— 1997 1995 2002 1982 1992 w 1982 *» — -- 7.80 7.80 -M 7 7/8 7 1/4 7.40 6 1/2 7 7/8 -- 6 3/4 -- Baa -- -- 7.88 7.31 7.40 6.50 7.90 -- Aa -- —- 6.75 w— -- Baa T A B L E 6: Large Long-term Public Security I s s u e s for New Capital (continiu d) (Other than U.S.. Treasury) 1 TYPE2 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF MATURITY DOLLARS) COUPON | R A T E OR : OFFER N E T INTER- ! Il.f, EST C O S T J MOODY'S RATING YIELD S t a t e and L o c a l P a s s a i c V a l l e y S w r Coram. P a s s a i c V a l l e y S w r Coram M i n n e a p o l i s S t . Paul M e t r o A r e a Metro Council, Minn. Ancharage, Alaska M e t r o W t r Dist., So. Cal. Newark, N.J. Washington, State of W a s h i n g t o n , S t a t e of T r i b o r o u g h B r i d g e & T u n . Auth, N. Y . Nassau Co., N.Y. New Britain, Conn. New Britain, Conn. S u b u r b a n E r i e Bldg A u t h G.O. G.O. 7.5 16.2 1974-1991 2006 6.00 6.00 Rev. G.O. Rev G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. 33.7 10.0 100.0 15.0 10.0 20.0 75.0 52.2 3.9 8.9 20.3 1975-1997 1974-1990 1983-2011&22 1973-1992 1973-1992 1973-1997 1977 1973-2002 1973-1997 1973-1992 1973-1987 4.93 5.73 5.38 -- 4.73 5.30 4.19 4.92 4.98 .4.67 -- 3.30-5.80 6.10 3.20-5.20 3.35-6.00 5.10-5.35 3.50-6.75 2.60-5.10 2.80-5.50&5.75 4.00 2.70-5.50 2.70-5.20 2.70-5.20 — Baa Baa Aa Baa Aa Baa Aa A A A — — — 1 Rights offering. I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and other security o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and local s e c u r i t y offerings of $10 m i l l i o n and o v e r . In case of S t a t e and local government s e c u r i t i e s , G . O . d e n o t e s general o b l i g a t i o n ; •<ev.-Ut., revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by i n c o m e from public u t i l i t i e s Rev.-S.T., R e v . - Q . - U t . , r e v e n u e bonds secured only by income from q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific t a x e s only; R e v . - R e n t . , r even vie b o n d s secured solely by lease p a y m e n t s . and I n c l u d e s foreign government and International B a n k for Reconstruct!, Development issues and non-quaranteed issues b y Federal A g e n c i e s . TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 (continued) " _ _ As of M a r c h 6. 1972 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) A P P R O X I M A T E DATE OF O F F E R I N G Corporates NCNB C o r p Chrysler Financial Debs Debs Duquesne Light P r e f stk F i r s t B a n k S y s t e m s In.c Debs U t a h I n t e r n a t i o n a l Inc Debs Jersey Central Pwr & Lt P r e f stk Citizens & Southern Corp Conv deb Western union Debs San Diego Gas & Elect P r e f stk A r i z o n a P u b S e r v Co Bonds P u b l i c Svc of Okla Bonds W i n s t o n - S i n c l a i r Co Debs Columbia Gas System Bonds New England M u t u a l L i f e I n s . Co. D e b s F i r s t & M e r c h a n t s Corp Debs Fruehauf Finance Co Debs Kansas Gas & Elect Bonds Kansas G a s & E l e c t Pref Omaha N a t ' 1 B a n k Debs B a k e r Oil. T o o l s Debs D u k e Pwr Bonds Institutional Investors Trust C o n v debs 1st m t g e T u c s o n G a s _& E l e c t Conf debs Old Stone M t g e & R e a l t y T r Pref stk Ohio Edison Union Elect C o m stk Notes N e w England T e l & T e l C o Pub Svc Elect & G a s P r e f stk P r e f stk Pa c i f i c G a s & E l e c t 1st m t g e Atlantic City Elect Co 1st m t g e N o r t h e r n I n d i a n a Pub Svc Co Debs N o r t h Am. M t g e I n v e s t o r s 1st m t g e Ohio Power Pref stk Ohio P o w e r Bonds L a c l e d e G a s Co v Debs A m e r i c a n E x p r e s s C r e d i t Corp Debs F i r s t N a t ' 1 B a n k of M i l w a u k e e Debs I T T T h o r p Corp Debs M o b i l e Oil C o r p Debs C o n s o l i d a t e d E d i s o n of N . Y . 30.0 60.0 35.0 70.0 15.0 25.0 15.0 70.0 15.0 60.0 30.0 35.0 50.0 50.0 25.0 50.0 25.0 15.0 15.0 20.0 100.0 30.0 25.0 15.0 36.0 55.0 100.0 50.0 50.0 20.0 50.0 30.0 25.0 35.0 20.0 70.0 ' 20.0 35.0 300.0 150.0 March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March INDEF INDEF 6 7 9 9 10 13 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 16 16 21 21 21 21 22 22 23 27 28 28 28 28 29 11 TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 (COntinUCd) ISSUER TYPE 10, 1 9 7 2 A s of M a r c h AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) A P P R O X I M A T E DATE OF O F F E R I N G S t a t e and L o c a l Texas, State of Dallas-Ft.Worth Reg Airport, Texas Jersey City N.J. J e f f e r s o n C o . Sch. D i s t . P h i l a d e l p h i a Sch D i s t , P a . HAA New J e r s e y M t g e F i n a n c e A g e n c y Lubbock, Texas W a s h i n g t o n S t a t e Bond C o m m C a l l Ed Baltimore, Md G r e a t e r C h i c a g o M e t r o Sav Dist, 111 Puerto Rico Mass House Finance Agency , New Orleans, La New York State Los Angeles Department San Gabriel Valley M u n Dist, Calif O h i o , S t a t e of University of Texas P e n n a S t a t e Pub Sch A u t h A l l e g h e n y C o , Pa I n d i a n a p o l i s , Ind S a c r a m e n t o M U D , Cal D e l a w a r e R i v e r P o r t A u t h . , NJ Los Angeles Co Flood Control Dist, Calif U n i v e r s i t y of C a l i f (Berkeley 40.0 March 6 112.0 12.8 22.0 . 40.5 224.8 30.0 12.0 March March March March March March March 6 7 7 7 8 8 9 G.O. G.O. 10.0 35.0 March March 9 14 G.O. G.O* Rev. Bonds G.O. E l e c rev 20. Or 50.0 20.0 11.0 39.2 40.0 March March March March March March 14 14 14 15 15 15 G.O. G.O. 17.5 46.0 50.0 61.0 28.0 10.0 28.0 160.0 March March March March March March March April 15 16 16 16 16 22 22 5 G.O. Rev. 27.0 11.7 April April 11 11 G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Bonds G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. Bonds * 1 Included in table for first time. Includes corporate and other issues of 515 m i l l i o n and over; State and G o v e r n m e n t issues of $10 m i l l i o n and over. 2 Includes foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank for R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and D e v e l o p m e n t issues and n o n - g u a r a n t e e d issues of Federal A g e n c i e s . local Table 8 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME STOCK PRICES 1 NYSE INDEX 3 " D.J. INDUSTRIALS TRADING VOLUME 2 " AMEX4 1969 High Low 50.32 49.31 (5/14) (7/29) 968.85 769.93 (5/14) 3 2 . 9 1 (12/17)25.02 (1.13) (7/29) 16.5 (10/17) 8 . 0 3.0 8 . 6 (8/29) (1/31) (9/15) 1970 High Low 52.36 37.69 (1/5) (5/26) 8 4 2 . 0 0 (12/29) 2 7 . 0 2 6 3 1 . 1 6 (5/26) 1 9 . 3 6 (1/8) (5/27) 18.5 7.8 7.1 1.8 (1/2) (8/14) 1971 - High Low 57.76 48.73 (4/28) (1/4) 950.82 797.97 (4/28 ' 26.68 (4/28) (11/231)22.72 (1/4) 58.26 58.33 58.48 58.95 906.68 917.59 917.52 922.79 27.38 27.47 27.57 27.78 16.9 6.0 60.07 942.43 28.14 21.0 7.0 1972 - Feb. 4 11 18 25 (12/4) (8/14) 22.1 (2/12) 1 1 . 0 (9/17) 6.7 (2/5) 2.7 (8/13) 19.9 19.1 7.1 6.3 18.6 6.0 1. Figures other than highs and lows are Fridays only. Highs and lows are for the year and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2. NYSE is the New York Stock Exchange; AMEX is the American Stock Exchange. Volume figures are daily averaged for the entire week. (millions of shares). Trading is normally conducted for 5-1/2 hours per day and 5 days per week, or 27-1/2 hours per week. In recent years, however abbreviated trading to the extent, and over the time periods, shown below: Through; January 3, 1969 July 7, 1969 January 2, 1970 July 3, 1969 December 31, 1969 May 1, 1970 3. 12/31/65 = 50 4. Average dollar value of shares listed. Week ' 13 TABLE 9: Security Credit END OF PERIOE C R E D I T E X T E N D E D TO MARGIN CUSTOMERS BY: BROKERS' | BANKS 2 | TOTAL NET CREDIT |CUSTOMERS 1 C U S T O M E R S ' N E T E X T E N D E D BY I N E T D E B I T j FREE CREDIT BROKERS A N D BALANCES | DEALERS 3 BALANCES Outstanding; 1971 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 4,000 4,090 4,300 4,530 4,620 4,720 4,790 4,850 4,930 4,950 4,910 5,400 2,300 2,330 2,360 2,340 2,340 2,390 2,420 2,430 2,430 2,410 2,400 2,440 6,300 6,420 6,660 6,870 6,960 7,110 7,210 7,280 7,360 7,360 7,310 7,840 (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) 2,452 2,743 2,798 2,660 2,550 2,440 2,210 2,200 2,100 2,160 2,170 2,220 (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) 5,700 2,490 8,190 (4) 2,488 (4) -30 90 210 -30 30 30 -20 -60 120 240 C h a n g e in Outstanding; 1971 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1972 - Jan. 1 2 3 4 5 —— —— -- 230 90 100 70 60 80 20 -40 490 — 210 90 150 100 70 80 -20 -10 40 — —— -50 530 -— 300 50 350 -— 50 30 10 —— —— * . --— 291 291 55 -138 -110 110 230 -10 100 60 10 50 —— —— —— -—— -— —— -—— -— 268 M a r g i n debt, as reported by the N e w Y o r k S t o c k E x c h a n g e . A l t h o u g h m a r g i n debt u n t i l M a r c h 1968 included loans secured by U . S . g o v e r n m e n t s , the amount of such loans included is thought to h a v e been small. " B a n k loans to others than b r o k e r s and dealers for purchasing or car:vine securities o t h e r than U.S. g o v e r n m e n t s T h e d i f f e r e n c e b e t w e e n c u s t o m e r s ' net debit b a l a n c e s and customers' net tree credit b a l a n c e s , this figure r e p r e s e n t s the net credit extended by brokers and dealers to the n o n f i n a n c i a l p u b l i c . NOTE: W i t h the exception of bank loan data, figures are supplied by the X w York Stock Exchange and are end of m o n t h d a t a . B a n k loans are for weekly reporting large commercial banks. B r o k e r data includes loans for regulated seeur i t i es; hank data includes loans for the purpose of p u r c h a s i n g or c a r r y i n g any security, whether„ regulated or not. Series d i s c o n t i n u e d . C h a n g e s in series. TABLE 10: Savings F l o w s at Nonbank Depositary Intermediaries ($ m i l l i o n s ) DATE MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS 3 NET ANNUAL NEW NET GROWTH MONEY2 1 FLOW RATE S A V I N G S «St L O A N A S S O C I A T I O N S SHARE CAPITAL NET ANNUAL NEW NET GROWTH MONEY 2 FLOW RATE 1 Not 1969 1970 1971 £ 1970 2,549 4,517 9,623 / ~ November December 1971 - January 497 1,218 774 1971 - November December % / - January 631 1,180 850 1972 1971 1972 1 2 3 4.0 6.8 13.5 -763 936 5,678 4,068 10,965 28,244 388 376 637 1,087 2,773 2,609 1,562 — —— 512 — 325 n.a. -- - July August September October November December g/ 629 539 683 599 659. 836 9.8 8.4 10.5 9.1 10.0 12.5 -- - January ej 942 14.0 3.1 8.1 19.4 -1,003 5,285 20,652 6,617 15,482 37,867 1,044 1,161 2,476 1,584 3,991 3,383 1,484 - «• 3,135 1,168 — — 2,700 3,116 Seasonally Adjusted 2,193 4,315 3,550 __ -- W— -- 1,710 2,031 -- 4,117 28.4 — --— NET FLOW 2,687 1,529 2,125 2,071 ANNUAL GROWTH RATE 1 ! j N E T — NEW MONEY 2 Seasonally Adjusted 19.9 11.2 15.4 14.8 12.1 14.2 -- TOTAL DEPOSITS 3.4 7.7 17.5 --- 1,996 1,493 — 16.7 10.3 13.8 13.0 11.4 13.7 -- 5,059 23.8 —— — 1,432 1,537 3,113 — 3,316 2,068 2,808 2,670 2,369 2,867 — -1,766 6,231 26,330 — «* __ —m -- A n n u a l growth rate for m o n t h l y data is the a n n u a l i z e d m o n t h l y p e r c e n t a g e increase in d e p o s i t s . Net New M o n e y is new deposits net of both w i t h d r a w a l s and interest. Data for S&Ls are for insured a s s o c i a t i o n s only, which r e p r e s e n t 96% of industry total resources. Regular d e p o s i t s at m u t u a l savings banks exclude items such as C h r i s t m a s club and certain escrow a c c o u n t s , which represent a very small part of total deposits. SOURCE: N a t i o n a l A s s o c i a t i o n of M u t u a l Savings B a n k s and Federal Home Loan B a n k Board. TABLE 11: Mortgage Commitments at S e l e c t e d Thrift Institutions Nl-T C H A N G E ALL I SAVINGS & LOAN OUTSTANDING C O M M I T M E N T S ALL MUTUAL SAVINGS SAVINGS & BANKS LOAN (N.Y. S T A T E ) ASSOCIATIONS DATE 1 ASSOCIATIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS HANKS (N.Y. S T A T E ) (Billions of D o l l a r s , S e a s o n a l l y A d j u s t e d )vl/ — 1970 - Dec. 10.1 8.1 2.0 .51 .28 .23 1971 - Jan. r/ Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 10.5 11.3 8.4 9.0 2.1 3.3 3.4 .14 .99 1.89 1.69 1.10 1.39 * 21 -.23 -.49 - . 16 .03 .14 .79 1.60 1.32 .73 1.35 .23 -.18 -.55 -.20 -.09 .00 .20 .29 .37 .37 .04 -.02 -.05 .06 .04 .12 3.6 -.34 -.41 Dec. 12.6 13.7 14.6 15.9 16.2 16.3 10.1 11.0 11.6 12.8 16.6 13.1 13.2 13.2 13.1 13.2 16.6 13.1 16.4 16.3 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 . B a s e d on data from Federal H o m e L o a n B a n k B o a r d and Savings B a n k s A s s o c i a t i o n s of New York State. D a t a for s a v i n g s b a n k s and S & L ' s i n c l u d e a m i n o r amount of n o n residential commitments. S & L c o m m i t m e n t s i n c l u d e loans in p r o c e s s . Net changes are d e r i v e d d i r e c t l y from u n r o u n d e d o u t s t a n d i n g s levels as r e p o r t e d and after s e a s o n a l a d j u s t m e n t by F e d e r a l R e s e r v e . S u b t o t a l s m a y not add to totals b e c a u s e of r o u n d i n g . .07 4f 1C T A B L E 12: Net Change in Mortgage Holdings 1 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA DATE TOTAL | COMMERCIAL | BANKS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOC. LIFE INSURANCE FNMA-GNMA COMPANIES Not S e a s o n a l l y A d j u s t e d 23,796 23,867 21,945 21,288 19,492 17,035 6,677 5,404 2,462 2,798 2,533 1,956 9,344 9,572 10,254 2,469 1,983 2,363 2,508 4,375 4,910 1970 - O c t . INov. Dec. 2,193 2,005 2,785 1,826 1,752 2,637 294 280 200 162 183 302 1,175 1,171 1,653 193 118 482 367 253 148 1971 - O c t . Nov. Dec. 3,731 3,593 n.a. 3,275 3,246 n.a. 900 800 700 331 473 n.a. 1,979 1,941 2,335 65 39 693 456 347 1970 - O c t . Nov. Dec. 2,115 2,054 2,513 1,812 1,845 2,412 277 232 325 156 175 230 1,173, 1,285 1,675 206 153 182 303 209 101 2,033 2,184 3,005 3,057 3,300 4,136 4,186 4,168 3,924 3,657 3,647 2,043 2,219 2,983 3,113 3,260 3,935 394 475 690 685 864 1,219 200 217 401 293 318 386 3,878 3,656 3,458 3,267 3,345 977 901 902 884 752 826 374 400 306 329 465 1,348 1,426 1,801 2,082 2,036 2,309 2,455 2,252 2,122 1,977 2,058 2,354 101 101 91 53 42 21 72 130 128 77 77 378 -10 -35 22 -56 40 201 308 512 466 390 302 1968 1969 1970 1971 Seasonally Adjusted 1971 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1 ! | M o n t h l y data for c o m m e r c i a l b a n k s based on Federal R e s e r v e e s t i m a t e s benchmarked to C a l l Report data on real e s t a t e loans o u t s t a n d i n g as a v a i l a b l e . Other data derived from m o r t g a g e debt o u t s t a n d i n g as reported separately by N a t i o n a l A s s n . of M u t u a l S a v i n g s B a n k s , Federal H o m e L o a n B a n k B o a r d , Institute of L i f e Insurance a n d , through A u g u s t 1 9 6 8 , the Federal N a t i o n a l M o r t g a g e A s s o c i a t i o n , and therea f t e r by FNMA and the G o v e r n m e n t N a t i o n a l M o r t g a g e A s s o c i a t i o n . Data for m u t u a l s a v i n g s banks and for L i f e I n s u r a n c e c o m p a n i e s m a y differ somewhat from those derived from regular q u a r t e r l y series because of m i n o r conceptual differences for w h i c h a d j u s t m e n t s are not made in the m o n t h l y series. A l t o g e t h e r , these groups a c c o u n t e d for 8 7 per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 19170 17 TABLE 13: Net Increases in Mortgage Debt Outstanding B i l l i o n s of dollars, SAAR ^ QUARTER TOTAL 16.0 20.8 26.3 27.2 28.1 26.4 25.8 29.4 31.8 29.1 RESIDENTIAL 10.3 14.0 18.9 19.7 FAMILY 7.0 3.3 10.6 3.4 3.8 3.8 15.1 15.9 19.4 16.2 17.4 15.0 13.9 16.3 18.2 20.2 23.6 MULTIFAMILY 19.2 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.9 COMMERCIAL 3.9 5.0 4.9 4.7 MULTI-AND COMMERCIAL 8.5 2.8 6.4 9.5 9.2 2.2 7.3 11.2 1.9 6.0 6.6 6.1 8.8 10.1 5.4 5.4 5.2 10.1 10.0 9.1 11.5 15.5 22.5 16.0 5:1 5.4 6.3 6.5 4.8 4.6 5.2 6.7 9.9 9.9 11.5 13.2 37.1 26.6 36.1 40.6 18.5 26.4 30.7 31.0 8,1 47.8 53.7 52.1 8-3 9.4 16.3 19.1 20.7 18.7 26.2 24.9 18.2 20.6 14.2 16.9 22.9 29.1 31.3 21.8 40.4 16.8 14.4 13.0 9.7 9.9 9.5 1.8 1.8 4.4 4.7 4.7 5.3 21.5 19.0 FARM 7.2 8.4 10.8 9.3 10.5 10.5 2.5 2.3 1.8 2.2 2.2 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 1 Derived from data on m o r t g a g e debt o u t s t a n d i n g from Federal D e p o s i t Insurance C o r p o r a t i o n , Federal Home Loan B a n k Board, Institute of L i f e Insurance, N a tional A s s o c i a t i o n of M u t u a l Savings B a n k s , D e p a r t m e n t s of C o m m e r c e and A g r i culture, Federal N a t i o n a l M o r t g a g e A s s o c i a t i o n , Federal H o u s i n g A d m i n i s t r a t i o n , Veterans A d m i n i s t r a t i o n and C o m p t r o l l e r of the C u r r e n c y . Separation of nonfarm m o r t g a g e debt by type of p r o p e r t y , w h e r e not a v a i l a b l e , and i n t e r p o l a t i o n * and extrapolations, w h e r e required, estimated m a i n l y by Federal Reserve. 2 M a y differ somewnat from related flow of funds series m a i n l y b e c a u s e of m o r e a g g r e g a t i v e type of seasonal a d j u s t m e n t . 3 Residential m o r t g a g e debt includes n o n f a r m only and is sum of 1-to 4 - family and m u l t i f a m i l y m o r t g a g e debt c o m b i n e d . T A B L E 14: WEEK ENDED Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 4 FNMA Weekly " A u c t i o n " R e s u l t s C O M M I T M E N T S IN $ M I L L I O N S IMPLICIT YIELD2(per cent) ACCEPTED 3-4 TOTAL TOTAL 1-YEARH m o n t h s 61-YEAR 1 63-4 OFFERED & OVER MONTH mo.3/ , MONTH & OVER 3/ 18 365.1 219.8 194.8 103.6 194. E1 103.6 1 15 29 126.0 145.3 210.6 56.4 102.0 101.1 56,4 102.0 101.1 13 27 232.5 222.7 70.2 148.1 70.2 148.1 10 136.9 24 103.6 7 88.7 / 72.9 54,9 63.9 -— — — -- — 63.9 — -- -- -- —— -- -- -- -- -- 7.77 7.70 7.66 -- 7.62 7.62 — 7.61 7.61 — 7.61 -- -- — 72.9 54.!9 7.85 7.83 Note: U n d e r the FNMA a u c t i o n system, approved sellers of G o v e r n m e n t u n d e r w r i t t e n m o r t g a g e s bid for FNMA. forward p u r c h a s e c o m m i t m e n t s . 1. For 2. A v e r a g e s e c o n d a r y m a r k e t yield a f t e r a l l o w a n c e for c o m m i t m e n t fee and required p u r c h a s e and h o l d i n g of F N M A s t o c k , a s s u m i n g p r e p a y m e n t of 15 y e a r s for 3 0 - y e a r G o v e r n m e n t - u n d e r w r i t t e n m o r t g a g e s . Y i e l d s shown a r e g r o s s , b e f o r e d e d u c t i o n o f 38 b a s i s p o i n t s fee paid b y i n v e s t o r s to s e r v i c e r s . 3. Short-term commitments converted O c t o b e r 18, 1971. "proposed c o n s t r u c t i o n " of n e w h o m e s only. from a 3 to a 4 m o n t h b a s i s b e g i n n i n g TABLE 15: Private Housing Starts and Permits 1 DATE SEASONALLY A D J U S T E D A N N U A L RATE T O T A L 1-FAMILY 2 OR M O R E STARTS TOTAL I : - Jan. 1 2 £/ 1,794 1,938 1,951 2,046 2,008 2,091 2,219 2,029 2,038 2,228 2,433 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,242 1,341 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 985 1,092 2,549 1,448 1,101 1,810 : ANNUAL RATE) 2 ! 1 1 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept, Oct. r/ N o v . r/ D e c . £/ BUILDING PERMITS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED UNADJUSTED T Y P E O F FINANCING FHA ! VA | OThiER 110.6 102.2 167.9 201.1 198.5 193.8 194.3 204.5 173.8 179.7 176.4 154.0 32.3 4.6 27.3 33.5 44.6 40.7 46.1 42.9 45.8 48.3 38.5 47.2 85.4 4.7 6.9 8.5 8.4 9.3 9.2 9.4 8.7 8.1 9.1 7.4 148,.0 149.,4 138. 4 141. 1 147. 0 116.,8 133.,1 115. 9 56. 8 153.7 37.4 7.5 198. 6 73,.7 70,.2 127,.6 1 1,635 1,563 1 ! 1,627 1,638 1,927 1,849 2,052 2,006 1,900 2,173 1,952 2,292 2,186 T o t a l starts are C e n s u s estimates including farm for both p e r m i t - i s s u i n g and n o w - i s s u i n g areas. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins; all units in an apartment structure are considered started at that time. FHA and VA starts are units started under c o m m i t m e n t s by these agencies to insure or guarantee the m o r t g a g e s . A s reported by FHA and VA, a unit is started when a field office receives the first compliance inspection report, w h i c h is m a d e before footings are poured in some cases but n o r m a l l y after the foundations have been c o m p l e t e d . O t h e r starts are derived as a residual, although total and FHA and VA starts are not strictly comparable in concept or timing; other starts include b o t h units financed by conventional mortgages and units w i t h o u t m o r t g a g e s . B u i l d i n g permits before January 1963 are Census estimates for about 10,000 areas identified as having a local building permit system in 1959. Estimates beginning J a n u a r y 1963 are for approximately 12,000 and b e g i n n i n g J a n u a r y 1967 13,000, or all known permit-issuing places. Unlike starts, seasonally adjusted building perm i t s reflect direct adjustment for differences in the n u m b e r of w o r k i n g days per m o n t h , as well as other differences in timing and c o v e r a g e . TABLE 16: Mortgage and Bond Yields i ™ MORTGACFS DATE • 30-year 1969 1 J C O N V E N - j S P R E A D BETIONAL TWEEN Y I E L D S MORTON C 0 N V . & FHA M O R T GAGES GAGES 5 3 1 1 f NEW Aaa CORPORATE BONDS 4 S P R E A D BETWEEN YIELDS ON NEW C O R P O R A T E BONDS AND FHA M O R T G A G E S 6 - High Low 8.62 7.99 8.35 7.55 -.13 -.40 8.75 6.91 1.08 -.13 1970 - High Low 9.29 8.40 8.60 8.30 -.10 -.74 9.11 7.80 .99 .01 1971 - High Low 7.97 7.32. 7.95 7.55 .28 -.19 8.01 7.24 .50 -.36 1971 - July Aug. Sept. 7.97 7.92 7.84 7.80 7.85 7.85 -.17 -.07 .01 7.96 7.65 7.44 .01 .27 .40 Oct. Nov. 7.75 7.62 7.59 7.80 7.75 7.70 .05 .13 .11 7.29 7.19 7.09 .46 .43 .50 Dec. 1972 1 2 3 4 5 6 - Jan. 7.49 7.60 .11 7.07 .42 N e i t h e r m o r t g a g e nor bond y i e l d s i n c l u d e a l l o w a n c e for s e r v i c i n g costs which are m u c h h i g h e r for m o r t g a g e s than for b o n d s . G e n e r a l l y , bonds pay interest semiannually; mortgages, monthly. M o r t g a g e y i e l d s , if computed as equivalent to a s emi-annual interest i n v e s t m e n t , would be slightly h i g h e r than given in the table. Based on FHA-'field-office o p i n i o n s a b o u t a v e r a g e bid p r i c e s in the p r i v a t e s e c o n d a r y m a r k e t for n e w - h o m e m o r t g a g e s for i m m e d i a t e d e l i v e r y . D a t a shown are fox 3 0 - y e a r m o r t g a g e s w i t h m i n i m u m d o w n p d y m e n t s , and w e i g h t e d b y p r o b a b l e v o l u m e of t a n s a c t i o n s . Yields computed b y FHA, assuming prepayment period of 15 y e a r s for 3 0 - y e a r m o r t g a g e s . Based on F H A - f i e I d - o f f i c e o p i n i o n on t y p i c a l i n t e r e s t rates (rounded) on c o n v e n t i o n a l first m o r t g a g e s p r e v a i l i n g in the m a r k e t areas o f insuring O f f i c e cities. Seti -note for T a b l e 1. Yield spread e q u a l s c o n v e n t i o n a l m o r t g a g e r a t e s less F H A s e c o n d a r y m a r k e t yield. Yield spread e q u a l s F H A s e c o n d a r y m a r k e t yield less n e w Aaa c o r p o r a t e bond yield. . - 21 TABLE 17: Conventional Mortgage Terms DATE NEW HOMES FEES & CONTRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATURITY (YEARS) (PER RATE TIVE CENT) RATE (PER CENT) 3 2 LOAN/ PRICE LOAN . RATIO AMT. (PER ($000) CENT) 4 1 EXISTING HOMES CONFEES & LOAN / TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATU- PRICE (PER RATE RITY TIVE RATIO CENT) RATE (PER (YEARS) (PER CENT) CENT) 2 3 LOAN AMT. ($000) 4 1971 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 8.03 7.74 7.52 7.37 7.36 7.38 7.51 7.60 7.67 7.68 7.65 7.62 0.92 8.18 0.83 0.73 0.71 0.74 0.90 0.84 0.97 0.97 0.87 0.93 7.91 7.66 7.49 7.47 7.50 7.66 7.74 7.83 7.84 7.79 7.77 7.62 0.91 7.77 1.00 25.8 26.6 73.3 73.9 73.7 73.6 74.0 73.7 74.5 73.9 75.3 75.5 75.4 74.5 26.5 75.3 26.2 25.9 26.3 26.1 26.3 26.3 26.2 25.8 26.4 26.7 26.4 0.82 26.7 27.2 27.1 26.5 25.9 26.3 27.3 26.5 7.94 7.67 7.47 7.34 7.33 7.38 7.50 7.58 7.63 7.62 7.56 7.51 0.79 0.77 0.75 0.71 0.74 0.75 0.76 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.78 8.08 7.80 7.60 7.47 7.45 7.50 7.63 7.71 7.76 7.75 7.69 7.64 23.5 24.0 24.1 24.2 24.0 24.3 24.2 24.5 24.2 24.1 24.3 24.6 27.8 7.46 0.76 7.59 24.5 26.2 26.0 26.2 72.5 73.1 73.5 73.6 73.2 73.9 74.5 74.2 74.5 74.2 74.6 74.6 22.0 22.5 23.0 23.1 23.3 28.3 23.2 23.5 22.5 22.9 23.2 23.9 1972 Jan. 74.6 Compiled by Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Data are weighted averages based on probability sample survey of characteristics of conventional first mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups (including mortgage companies) for purchase of single family homes. Data exclude loans for refinancing, reconditioning or modernization; construction loans to home-builders; and permanent loans which are coupled with construction loans to ownerbuilders. Related series on conventional mortgage rates only, based on unweighted opinions of field-office directors of the Federal Housing Administration, are available somewhat sooner than the results of the FHLBB-FDIC survey, and are included-in the case of new home mortgage rates--in Table 16. Fees and charges--expressed as a percentage of the principal mortgage amount--include loan commissions, fees, discounts, and other charges which provide added income to the lender and are paid by the borrower. They exclude any closing costs related solely to transfer of property ownership. Includes fees & charges amortized over a 10 year period in addition to the contract interest rate. 4 Derived by FRB. 23.8