Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : March 20, 1972
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DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS March 20, 1972 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Capital Section, Oivieien •< Research w i StetitHct, Beeri ef C t w w i n ef * e Fe*rd Reserve System, Weihinfte*. D C INDEX 3-5 Developments in the Corporate and Municipal Bond Markets 6-7 Capital Market Yields 8-13 Capital Market Volume 14-17 Stock Market 18-33 Mortgage Market SYMBOLS: e Estimate p Preliminary r Revised n.a. Not available TABLE 1: Yields, Volume and Reception WEEK ENDING: YIELDS MOODY'S SEASONED 1 NEW ISSUE Aaa CORPORATE BOND MARKET VOLUME 2 PER CENT GROSS SOLD BY END BONDS SCHEDULED OFFERINGS OF WEEK WITHIN 28 DAYS 1972 - Feb. 4 11 18 25 7.22 7.30 7.10 7.11 7.25 7.29 7.28 7.26 285 655r 560r 223 77 79r 69r 70 n.a. n e 3e n.a. n.a. Mar. 3 10 17 24 7.16 7.12 .7.14 n, a. 7.25 7.24 7.22 n.a. 409 281 385 400e 98 89e 82e n.a. n.a. n# a * n.a. n.a. 1972 - F eb. 4 11 18 25 YIELDS MOODY'S BOND BUYER SEASONED 20 SEASONED Aaa BOND INDEX 5.10 5.35 5.00 5.27 5.00 5.24 4.95 5.28 Mar. 3 10 17 24 5.00 4.98 5.00 n.a. WEEK ENDING: 5.29 5.18 5.32 n.a. MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME 2 PER CENT GROSS SOLD BY END OF WEEK OFFERINGS 214 87 667 84 380 80 464 . 81 481 640 542 392 86 77 59 n.a. BONDS SCHEDULED WITHIN 28 DAYS 1,098 1,080 1,504 1,560 1,071 998 957 n.a. 1 Derived by adjusting to a Aaa basis, new issues of publicly-offered corporate bonds with call protection, rated A, Aa, or Aaa by Moody's Investors Service (except serial and convertible issues, offerings of natural gas pipeline and foreign companies, and bonds guaranteed by the Federal Government.) 2 Millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated. Note: See footnotes to Table 3 TABLE 2: Details on Inventories DATE _OFFERED 1 3/9 3/8 3/8 3/15 3/15 3/16 AMOUNT (MIL. $) 70.0 35.0 60.0 25.0 50.0 . 70.0 DATE OFFERED CORPORATE BONDS IN SYNDICATE END OF LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL RATING AND ISSUER YIELD CALL PROTECTION COUPON First Bank Sye. Wilson-Sinclair Arizona Pub Serv Kansas G & E Columbia Gas Western Union 6.75 7 7/8 7.45 7 3/8 7 1/2 7.90 6.75 7.96 7.45 7.35 7.45 7.90 N.R. Baa Aa Aa A Baa 7 10 5 5 5 10 yrs yrs yrs yrs yrs yrs ESTIMATED PROPORTION SOLD 80% 90% 80% 35% 35% 75% CORPORATE BONDS RELEASED FROM SYNDICATE DURING LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL INCREASE RATING AND ESTIMATED PROAMOUNT ISSUER COUPON IN YIELD CALL PROT. PORTION RELEASED YIELD NONE DATE 1972 - Feb. 18 25 Mar. INVENTORIES 1 MUNICIPALS BLUE LIST | IN SYNDICATE 773 765 135 170r CORPORATES IN SYNDICATE 133 194 3 715 140 27 10 724 196 31 17 782 301 95e N.C. - No call protection. 1 All figures in millions of dollars. Blue List is daily average for week ended Friday,except for latest week which is daily average of three days ended Wednesday. All other figures are as of Friday. TABLE 3: High Grade Bond Yields NEW CORPORATE Aaa 1 MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE U.S. GOVERNMENT 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITIES 3 BOND BUYER'S SEASONED MUNICIPALS A 69 - High Low 8.85 (12/26) 6.90 (2/21) 7.84 (12/26) 6.55 (1/12) 6.97 (12/26) 5.96 (1.24) 6.90 (12/18) 4.82 (1/28) 70 - High Low 9.30 (6/19) 7.68 (12/18) 8.60 (7/3) 7.48 (12/21) 7.55 (5/29) 6.17 (12.18) 7.12 (5/29) 5.33 (12/11) 71 - High Low 8.23 (5/12) 6.76 (1/29) 7.71 (8/13) 7.06 (2/12) 6.51 (6/18) 5.69 (3/23) 6.23 (6/24) 4.97 (10/21) 72 - Feb. 11 18 25 7.30 7.10 7.11 7.29 7.28 7.26 6.10 6.05 6.02 5.27 5.24 5.28 Mar. «3 10 17 7.16 7.12 7.14 7.25 7.24 7.22 6.02 6.02 6.07 5.29 5.18 5.32 1 New corporate issues, with call protection, adjusted (as described in footnote 1 of Table 1) to a Aaa basis. 2 Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 22-24 years. 3 Weekly average of daily figures. 4 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Note--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. 6 TABLE 4: Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) GROSS PROCEEDS STATE AND LOCAL 2 CORPORATE 1 PERIOD 1971 1970 2,732 1,851 2,258 1,340 1,214 1,555 3,170 3,909 3,389 1,891 2,167 2,013 1,647 996 1,085 4,147 2,532 3,768 2,768 2,274 2,518 1,989 1,903 2,098 1,348 1,359 1,758 3,387 3,704 3,673 2,777 4,182 3,980 1,728 2,264 2,068 1,924 1,748 2,190 12,190 11,688 10,447 10,764 7,977 10,468 8,560 11,939 6,841 6,081 5,990 6,060 4,109 3,728 4,465 5,862 23,844 34,325 45,089 18,445 27,005 38,944 12,912 18,902 24,962 7,837 12,302 18,164 1972 1971 1970 3,151 3,425e 3,115 3,000 6,075 2,636 1,802 3,539 April May June 4,042 3,271 4,375 July August September October November December January February March 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 1 2 1972 1,762 . l,900e Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. TABLE 5: Njsw Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and Issuer (In millions of dollars) QUARTER OR MONTH l TOTAL GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE COMMON BONDS AND MEMO: ISSUES INCLUDED PUBLICLY PRIVATELY PFD. OFFERED PLACED STOCK FOREIGN | CONVERTIBLE 8,369 1,516 2,306 84 724 6,546 1,758 3,384 215 1,351 4,725 1,641 4,079 . 114 652 5,135 2,439 3,193 133 767 GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER PUBLIC UTILITY COMMUNICATIONS OTHER ISSUERS' 3,794 3,130 2,202 2,453 3,197 2,910 2,651 3,041 1,606 896 2,263 1,053 3,594 4,753 3,331 4,164 99 169 557 716 661 2,417 676 1,069 1,452 391 683 532 1,332 587 1,675 MFG. - I II III IV 12,190 11,688 10,447 10,764 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 3,115 3,000 6,075 2,033 2,201 4,135 594 275 647 489 524 1,293 43 3 38 Apr. May June 4,042 3,271 4,375 2,116 2,]%8 2,282 507 491 760 1,419 633 1,332 116 47 52 384 255 712 1,135 588 1,206 1,267 588 1,055 273 405 218 1,367 1,489 1,897 July Aug. Sept. 4,147 2,532 3,768 1,331 1,428 1,966 619 416 606 2,196 687 1,196 72 34 8 199 160 293 582 474 1,146 732 849 1,070 1,622 359 282 1,210 850 11,271 Oct. Nov. Dec. 3,387 3,704 3,673 1,942 2,003 1,190 723 433 1,283 723 1,269 1,201 59 62 12 222 395 150 662 811 960 933 1,217 891 432 269 352 1,360 1,408 1,450 3,151 - Jan. Feb. e/ 3,425 1,767 1,825 552 550 829 1,050 59 254 378 529 750 75 1,075 Other issuer*? are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. •Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. Quarterly supplements are available. 749 375 1,496 1^225 , TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 ISSUER TYPE 2 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) Feb. 28 thru March 17. 1972 COUPON MOODY'S OFFERRATE OR RATING ING NET INTERYIELD EST COST MATURITY Corporate New Eng Tel & Tel Co Metropolitan Edison Texas Eastern Transmission Corp Texas Eastern Transmission Corp Union Commerce Corp GMAC Indianapolis Pwr & Lt Cousin Mtg & Equity Inv Midland Enterprises Inc Toledo Edison Atico Mtg Investors NCNB Corp Chrysler Financial First Bank Systems Inc. Citizens & Southern Corp Arizona Pub Serv Co Wilson-Sinclair Co Hamilton Bros. Exploration Co Duquesne Light Jersey Central Pwr & Lt. Co. Pfizer, Inc Public Svc of Okla Baker Oil Tools Columbia Gas System Kansas Gas & Elect Kansas Gas & Elect First Wise Nat'l Bank of Mil. Western Union San Diego Gas & Elect Com stk 53.5 Pref stk 35.0 1st mtg 60.0 Com stk 42.3 Debs 25.0 Debs 200.0 Bonds 40.0 Debs 30.0 1st ship mtg ,22.5 Cm stk 18.0 20.0 Debs 30.0 Debs Debs 60.0 Debs 70.0 Conv debs 15.0 1st mtge 60.0 Debs 35.0 30.0 Comm stk 35.0 Pref stk 25.0 Pref Con deb 100.0 30.0 Bonds 20.0 Debs Bonds 50.0 15.0 Pref 25.0 Bonds 20.0 Notes . 70.0 Debs Pref 15.0 -- • —— -- -- -- 1992 7.80 7.80 —— —— 1997 1995 2002 1982 1992 7 7/8 7 1/4 7.40 6 1/2 7 7/8 -- 1982 1992 1997 1979 1992 2002 1997 -- —* 7.88 7.31 7.40 6.50 7.90 -1 . 6 3/4 7.70 7 5/8 6 3/4 5 3/4 7.45 7 7/8 1997 2002 1997 1997 • — 2002 1980 1997 -- — Aa -- Baa -— --— -- A Baa — -- 7.85 4.00 7.38 7.80 7.50q 7.43 7.38 6.80 7.90 -- -- 6.75 7.70 7.65 6.75 5.75 7.45 7.96 -- — Baa 7.75 4.00 7.38 7.80 7.45 7.35 7.35 6.80 7.90 -- Baa A Aa Baa A Aa Aa w - Baa -- TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (continued) (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 1 ISSUER TYPE 2 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY COUPON 1 RATE OR OFFER NET INTER- ! INC EST COST J YIKLD MOODY'S RATING State and Local Passaic Valley Swr Comm. Passaic Valley Swr Comm Minneapolis St. Paul Metro Area Metro Council, Minn. \1 Anchorage, Alaska Metro Wtr Dist., So. Cal. Newark, N.J. Washington, State of Washington, State of Triborough Bridge & Tun. Auth N.Y. Nassau Co., N.Y. New Britain, Conn. New Britain, Conn. Suburban Erie Bldg Auth Texas, State of Texas, State of Dallas-Ft. Worth Reg Airport, Tex. Dallas-Ft. Worth Reg Airport, Tex. Philadelphia Sch Dist, Pa. Jersey City, N.J. Jefferson Co. Sch. Dist, Colo. HAA New Jersey Mtg Finance Agency Erie Co, Pa Sub Bldg Auth Lubbock, Tex. Washington State Bd Coram Coll Ed Onondaga Co. N.Y. San Gabriel Valley Mun Wtr Dist, Calif G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Bonds G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. 7.5 16.2 33.7 10.0 100.0 15.0 10.0 20.0 75.0 52.2 3.9 8.9 20.3 27.5 12.5 97.0 15.0 40.5 12.8 22.0 224.8 30.0 20.3 12.0 10.0 11.4 17.5 1974-1991 2006 6.00 6.00 1975-1997 4.93 1974-1990 5.73 1983-20116,22 5.38 —— 1973-1992 1973-1992 4.73 1973-1997 5.30 1977 4.19 1973-2002 4.92 1973-1997 4.98 1973-1992 .4.67 ** — 1973-1987 1980-96 4.04 2011 4.04 2002 6.28 1979-1986 6.28 1974-97 6.61 — 1973-2003 4.83 1972-2012 4.90 1973-1982 4.53 1972-1987 1973-1992 4.43 1974-2002 5.20 1 1973-2000 -- 1975-2002 5.16 3.30-5.80 6.10 3.20-5.20 3.35-6.00 5.10-5.35 3.50-6.75 2.60-5.10 2 .80-5.506(5 .75 4.00 2.70-5.50 2.70-5.20 2.70-5.20 — Baa Baa Aa Baa Aa Baa Aa A A A —— -«• — 3.90-5.20 N.R. 6.20 4.75-5.75 4.00-6.90 3.50-6.60 2.70-5.10 2.40-5.00 3.00-4.60 2.60-5.35 2.50-5.60 3.00-5.70 2.75-5.00 Aaa Aaa Baa Baa Baa Baa A Aaa 3.20-5.70 A-l -- A Aaa TABLE 6: Large Long-term Rubric Security Issues for New Capit.il (continued) (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 Feb. 28, thru Mar. 17, 1972 ISSUER TYPE ' AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY COUPON | RATE OR • OFFERNET INTERi;x EST COST J YIELD. MOODY'S RATING State & Local New Orleans, La. New York State Los Angeles Department LOB Angeles Department Puerto Rico Greater Chicago Metro San Diet, 111. Baltimore, Md. Mass House Finance Agency Spring Branch IDS, Tex Penna State Pub Sch Auth Ohio, State of University of Texas Allegheny Co., Pa. Bonds G.O, Elec Rev Elec Rev G.O. 11.0 39.2 20.5 19.5 50.0 1973-1996 1974-2022 1978-1997 2012 1974-1997 4.,86 5. 12 5.,29 5.,43 5,,22 G.O. G.O. Rev Sch-Ref G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. 20.0 35.0 20.0 17.0 59.0 46.0 50.0 28.0 1974-1992 1973-1991 1973-2012 1974-1999 1972-2009 1973-1992 1974-2002 1973-2002 4,,85 5.,00 2.90-5.25 3.00-5.50 3.85-5.25 -- 3.20-5.80 ' 5,,09 5,.61 4,,70 5.,21 5,.18 3.10-5.70 2.90-5.75 2.70-6.00 2.80-5.30 2.50 2.10-5.00 2.90-5.40 2.90-5.50 A-l Aa Aa Aa A-l A-l A A A A-l Aaa A-l Rights offering. Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local security offerings of $10 million and over. In case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Kev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.-Ut., revenue bonds secured only by income from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. & TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Corporate Ohio Edison American Express Credit Old Stone Mtg & Realty Tr ITT Thorp Corp Union Elect First & Merchants Corp Fruehauf Finance Co Tuscon Gas & Elefct U.S. Leasing Corp New England Mutual Life InsCo Fischbach & Moore, Inc Pub Svc Elect & Gas New England Tel & Tel Co Federated Dept Stores Harris-Intertype Corp Pacific Gas & Elect Atlantic City Elec Co So. Natural Gas Northern Ind. Pub Service Co Instutional Investors Trust Ohio Power Nat'l Bank of Detroit First Security Mtg Inv. Laclede Gas Co St. Regis Paper MGIC Investment Corp U.S. Ban Corp RE & Mtg Trust Mississippi Power Public Svc Elect & Gas Larwin Mtg Inv Public Svc Elect & Gas Arkansas Pwr & Light Consolidated Edison of N.Y. N W Bell Tel Monogahela B?r Gen'l Tel Co of Pa. McCulloch Prop Credit Peoples Gas Lt & Coke Duke B*r Mobil Oil Corp Pref Debs Conv deb Debs Cm st Debs Debs 1st mtg Debs Deb Debs Pref Notes Debs Debs Pref 1st mtg Debs 1st mtg Conv deb 1st mtg Debs Debs Bonds Conv deb Conv deb Debs Debs 1st mtg Debs Pref 1st mtg Debs Debs Debs Debs Debs 1st mtg Bonds Debs 36.0 70.0 15.0 35.0 55.0 25.0 50.0 25.0 15.0 50.0 25.0 50.0 100.0 50.0 15.0 50.0 20.0 60.0 50.0 30.0 25.0 50.0 25.0 22.0 60.0 50.0 25.0 25.0 125.0 25.0 15.0 35.0 150.0 ' 150.0 30.0 16.0 30.0 40.0 100.0 300.0 March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March March April April April April April April April April April April April April Indef 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 22 22 22 23 23 27 28 28 28 28 28 29 29 4 4 4 5 6 8 10 11 12 12 12 18 TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 <Continued ISSUER TYPE ' AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) As of March 17, 1972 APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING State and Local Suffolk Co. N.Y. Newport News, Va„ Pennsylvania, State of Georgia Education Auth Minnesota, State of Sacramento MUD, Cal Indianapolis, Ind. Arlington Co, Va. Stamford, Conn. Akron, Ohio California, State of Dade Co Sch Bd, Fla Orlando, Fla West Virginia, State of Buffalo Delaware River Port Auth, N.J. Coral Gables Fla Los Angeles Co Flood Control Dist, Calif University of Calif (Berkeley) New York City, N.Y. •¥• G.O. G.O. G.O. Ken-Rev G.O. G.O. Bonds CkO. G.O. G.O. G.O. Ref & Rev Rev G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. & Rev 25.4 10.0 50.0 17.0 60.0 28.0 10.0 25.0 26.9 10.0 40.0 13.0 10.7 40.0 35.1 160.0 21.2 March March March March March March March March March March March March March March April April April 21 21 21 21 22 22 22 22 23 27 28 28 G.O. Rev. G.O. 27.0 11.7 255.3 April April April 11 11 11 TrinliirloH in faKl o f r* F1 V C t* 28 29 4 5 11 +» 4 n-tzt Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local Government issues of $10 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues of Federal Agencies. TABLE 9: Security Credit END OF PERIOE CREDIT EXTENDED TO MARGIN CUSTOMERS BY: BROKERS 1 | BANKS 2 J TOTAL CUSTOMERS' NET DEBIT BALANCES 13 NET CREDI'J CUSTOMERS' NET EXTENDED I FREE CREDIT BROKERS M DEALERS BALANCES Outstanding: 1971 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. '• 4,000 4,090 4,300 4,530 4,620 4,720 4,790 4,850 4,930 4,950 4,910 5,400 2,300 2,330 2,360 2,340 2,340 2,390 2,420 2,430 2,430 2,410 2,400 2,440 6,300 6,420 6,660 6,870 6,960 7,110 7,210 7,280 7,360 7,360 7,310 7,840 (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) 2,452 2,743 2,798 2,660 2,550 2,440 2,210 2,200 2,100 2,160 2,170 2,220 (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) 5,700 2,490 8,190 (4) 2,488 (4) -30 90 210 230 90 100 70 60 80 20 -40 490 r30 30 30 -20 -20 -10 40 -60 120 240 210 90 150 100 70 80 --50 530 300 50 350 Change in Outstanding: 1971 - jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1972 - Jan. — 50 30 10 — — — — — — -— — — — —— — 291 291 55 -138 -110 110 230 -10 100 60 10 50 — --— — . — — — — — -- 268 Margin debt, as reported by the New York Stock Exchange. Although margin debt until March 1968 included loans secured by U.S. governments, the amount of such loans included is thought to have been small. "Bank loans to others than brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying securities other than U.S. governments." The difference between customers' net debit balances and customers' net free credit balances, this figure represents the net credit extended by brokers and dealers to the nonfinancial public. NOTE: With the exception of bank loan data, figures are supplied by the New York Stock Exchange and are end of month data. Bank loans are for weekly reporting large commercial banks. Broker data includes loans for regulated securities; bank data includes loans for the purpose of purchasing or carrying any security, whether regulated or not. Series discontinued. Changes in series. TABLE 10: Savings Flows at Nonbank Depositary Intermediaries ($ millions) DATE MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS 3 NET ANNUAL NEW MONEY 2 GROWTH NET FLOW RATE 1 SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS SHARE CAPITAL NET ANNUAL NEW NET . GROWTH MONEY 2 FLOW RATE 1 TOTAL DEPOSITS ANNUAL NET GROWTH RATE 1 FLOW NET NEW MONEY 2 Not Seasonally Adjusted 1969 1970 1971 £ / 2,549 4,517 9,623 December 1971 - January February 1,218 791 906 December 1972 - January February e/ 1,180 850 800 1971 August September October November December j>/ 1972 - January £/ February e/ 1 2 3 4.0 6.8 13.5 -. "" -~ -- -763 936 5,678 4,068 10,965 28,244 376 637 811 2,773 2,609 2,444 325 n.a. 539 683 599 659. 836 8.4 10.5 9.1 10.0 12.5 -- 942 730 14.0 10.7 —— ---- — 3.1 8.1 19.4 -1,003 5,285 20,652 6,617 15,482 37,867 1,161 2,476 2,340 3,991 3,383 3,350 3,135 1,168 — 2,700 3,116 2,650 -n.a. Seasonally Adjusted —— 1,529 11.2 -2,125 15.4 2,071 14.8 — 1,710 12.1 2,031 14.2 -- 4,315 3,550 3,450 2,068 2,808 2,670 2,369 2,867 10.3 13.8 13.0 11.4 13.7 4,117 2,787 5,059 3,517 23.8 16.2 -- 28.4 18.8 -- 3.4 7.7 17.5 -- -1,766 6,231 26,330 1,537 3,113 3,151 1,493 n.a. —— —— —— -— -- Annual growth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Net New Money is new deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&Ls are for insured associations only, which represent 96% of industry total resources. Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. SOURCE: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. TABLE l l : Mortgage Commitments at Selected Thrift Institutions 1 OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS ALL MUTUAL SAVINGS SAVINGS & BANKS LOAN (N.Y. STATE) ASSOCIATIONS DATE TOTAL NET CHANGE ALL SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS (N.Y. STATE) (Billions of Dollars, Seasonally Adjusted) 1970 - Jan. r/ Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 10.5 11.3 1972 - Jan. l 8.4 9.0 2.1 16.6 16.6 13.1 13.2 13.2 13.1 13.2 13.1 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.6 17.0 13.3 3.7 12.6 10.1 13.7 14.5 15.9 11.6 12.8 16.2 16.3 16.4 16.1 11.0 .25 .76 1.28 1.15 .90 1.31 .30 .12 .08 .02 .20 .19 .07 1.11 .17 .25 .34 .05 .60 .90 .56 1.26 .29 .14 -.07 -.05 .09 .08 -.06 .30 .12 .16 .01 -.01 .14 .07 .12 .15 .18 Based on data from Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Associations of New York State. Data for savings banks and S&L's include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments. S&L commitments include loans in process. New changes are derived directly from unrounded outstandings levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. TABLE 12: Net Change in Mortgage Holdings 1 DATE TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA - GNMA TOTAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS LIFE MUTUAL SAVINGS &| INSURANCE SAVINGS LOAN COMPANIES BANKS ASSOC. Not Seasonally Adius ted COMMERCIAL BANKS FNMA-GNMA 23,796 23,867 21,945 21,288 19,492 17,035 6,677 5,404 2,462 2,798 2,533 1,956 9,344 9,572 : 10,254 2,469 1,983 2,363 2,508 4,375 4,910 - Oct. Nov. Dec. 3,731 3,593 4,616 3,275 3,246 4,327 900 800 700 331 473 596 1,979 1,941 2,338 65 39 693 456 347 289 - Jan. Feb. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 600 500 n.a. n.a. 1,434 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. - Jan. Feb. Mar, Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 2,033 2,184 3,005 3,057 3,300 4,136 4,186 4,168 3,924 3,657 3,647 4,325 2,043 2,219 2,983 3,113 3,260 3,935 3,878 3,656 3,458 3,267 3,345 4,083 394 475 690 685 864 1,219 977 901 902 884 752 826 200 217 401 293 318 386 374 400 306 329 465 522 1,348 1,426 1,801 2,082 2,036 2,309 2,455 2,252 2,122 1,977 2,058 2,357 101 101 91 53 42 21 72 130 128 77 77 378 -10 -35 22 -56 40 201 308 512 466 390 302 242 - Jan. Feb. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 788 654 n.a. n.a. 1,794 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Seasonally Adlusted _L Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these groups accounted for 87 per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1967. 17 TABLE 13: Net Increases in Mortgage Debt Outstanding Billions of dollars, SAAR - 1 TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 3 1- to 4FAMILY MULTIFAMILY COMMERCIAL MULTI-AND COMMERCIAL FARM - I II III IV 16.0 20.8 26.3 27.2 10.3 14.0 18.9 19.7 7.0 10.6 15.1 15.9 3.3 3.4 3.8 3.8 3.9 5.0 4.9 4.7 7.2 8.4 8.8 8.5 1.8 1.8 2.5 2.8 - I II III IV 28.1 26.4 25.8 29.4 19.4 18.2 17.4 20.2 16.2 15.0 13.9 16.3 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.9 6.4 6.0 6.6 7.3 9.5 9.2 10.1 11.2 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.9 - I '* II III IV 31.8 29.1 26.2 24.9 23.6 21.5 19.0 18.2 19.2 16.8 14.4 13.0 4.4 4.7 4.7 5.3 6.1 5.4 5.4 5.2 10.5 10.1 10.0 10.5 2.2 2.2 1.7 1.4 - Ir III iv- 20.6 22.9 29.1 31.3 14.2 16.9 21.8 22.5 9.1 11.5 15.5 16.0 5.1 5.4 6.3 6.5 4.8 4.6 5.2 6.7 9.9 9.9 11.5 .13.2 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.2 - I II nip Hp 37.1 47.8 53.7 52.1 26.6 36.1 40.6 40.4 18.5 26.4 30.7 31.0 8.1 9.7 9.9 9.5 8.3 9.4 10.8 9.3 16.3 19.1 20.7 18.7 2.2 2.3 2*3 2.4 QUARTER 1 • Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. 2 May differ somewhat from related flow of funds series mainly because of more aggregative type of seasonal adjustment. 3 Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1-to 4- family and multifamily mortgage debt combined. TABLE 14: FNMA Weekly "Auction" Results IMPLICIT YIELD 2 (per cent) COMMITMENTS IN $ MILLIONS ACCEPTED 3-4 1-YEAR 1 61-YEARN months 6TOTAL TOTAL 3-4 & OVER MONTH OFFERED 3/ mo. 37 MONTH' & OVER WEEK ENDED - Oct. 365.1 219.8 194.8 103.6 194.8 103.6 — — -- 1 15 29 126.0 145.3 210.6 56.4 102.0 101.1 56.4 102.0 101.:L — -- —— 13 27 232.5 222.7 70.2 148.1 70.:2 148. 1 72.9 54.9 72. 9 54. 9 — - 63. 9 44. 8 63.9 44.8 — — 50.6 50.6 4 18 Nov. 1 Dfec. . 1972 - Jan. 10 24 136.9 103.6 Feb. 7 21 88.7 68.6 6 86.9 Mar. 1 -- — --— 7.85 7.83 7.77 7.70 7.66 7.62 7.62 — 7. 61 7.61 — 7.61 7.61 — 7.56 —— 1 — Note: Under the FNMA auction system, approved sellers of Governmentunderwritten mortgages bid for FNMA forward purchase commitments. 1. For "proposed construction" of new homes only. 2. Average secondary market yield after allowance for commitment fee and required purchase and holding of FNMA stock, assuming prepayment of 15 years for 30-year Government-underwritten mortgages. Yields shown are gross, before deduction of 38 basis points fee paid by investors to servicers. 3. Short-term commitments converted from a 3 to a 4 month basis beginning October 18, 1971. 19 TABLE 15: Private Housing Starts and Permits STARTS UNADJUSTED TYP E OF FINANCING FHA VA OTHER BUILDING PERMITS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE) 2 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE TOTAL 1 -FAMILY 2 OR MORE TOTAL Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. r/ 1,794 1,938 1,951 2,046 2,008 2,091 2,219 2,029 2,038 2,228 2,457 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,242 1,347 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 985 1,110 102.2 167.9 201.1 198.5 193.8 194.3 204.5 173.8 179.7 172.2 149.6 27.3 33.5 44.6 40.7 46.1 42.9 45.8 48.3 38.5 47.2 85.4 4.7 6.9 8.5 8.4 9.3 9.2 9.4 8.7 .< 8.1 9.1 7.4 70.2 127.6 148.0 149.4 138.4 141.1 147.0 116.8 133.1 115.9 56.8 1,563 1,627 1,638 1,927 1,849 2,052 2,006 1,900 2,173 1,952 2,292 Jan. r/ Feb. £/ 2,471 2,678 1,410 1,315 1,162 1,363 148.4 151.5 37.4 n.a. 7.5 8.0 198.6 n.a. 2,105 2,112 DATE 1 Total starts are Census estimates including farm for both permit-issuing and noi.-issuing areas. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins; all units in an apartment structure are considered started at that time. FHA and VA starts are units started under commitments by these agencies to insure or guarantee the mortgages. As reported by FHA and VA, a unit is started when a field office receives the first compliance inspection report, which is made before footings are poured in some cases but normally after the foundations have beencompleted. Other starts are derived as a residual, although total and FHA and VA starts are not strictly comparable in concept or timing; other starts include both units financed by conventional mortgages and units without mortgages. 2 Building permits before January 1963 are Census estimates for about 10,000 areas identified as having a local building permit system in 1959. Estimates beginning * January 1963 are for approximately 12,000 and beginning January 1967 13,000, or all known permit-issuing places. Unlike starts, seasonally adjusted building permits reflect direct adjustment for differences in the number of working days per month, as well as other differences in timing and coverage. 20 ' . TABLE 16: Mortgage and Bond Yields FHA MORTGAGES DATE 30-year 2 CONVENTIONAL MORTGAGES 3 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON CONV. & FHA MORTGAGES 5 NEW Aaa CORPORATE BONDS 4 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON NEW CORPORATE BONDS AND FHA MORTGAGES 6 1969 - High Low 8.62 7.99 8.35 7.55 -.13 -.40 8.75 6.91 1.08 -.13 1970 - High Low 9.29 8.40 8.60 8.30 -.10 -.74 9.11 7.80 .99 .01 1971 - High Low 7.97 7.32, 7.95 7.55 .28 -.19 8.01 7.24 .50 -*36 1971 - July Aug. Sept. 7.97 7.92 7.84 7.80 7.85 7.85 -.17 -.07 .01 7.96 7.65 7.44 ,01 .27 .40 7.75 7.62 7.59 7.80 7.75 7.70 .05 .13 . 11 7.29 7.19 7.09 .46 .43 .50 Oct. Nov. Sec. 1972 - Jan. 7.49 7.60 . .11 7.07 .42 1 Neither mortgage nor bond yields include allowance for servicing costs which are much higher for mortgages than for bonds. Generally, bonds pay interest semiannually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, if computed as equivalent to a semi-annual interest investment, would be slightly higher than given in the table. 2 Based on FHA-field-office opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market for new-home mortgages for immediate delivery. Data shown are for 313-year mortgages with minimum downpdyments, and weighted by probable volume of tansactions. Yields computed by FHA, assuming prepayment period of 15 years for 30-year mortgages. 3 Based on FHA-field-office opinion on typical interest rates (rounded) on conventional first mortgages prevailing in the market areas of insuring Office cities. 4 Seti- note for Table 1. 5 field spread equals conventional mortgage rates less FHA secondary market yield. 6 Yield spread equals FHA secondary market yield less new Aaa corporate bond yield. TABLE 17: Conventional Mortgage Terms DATE 1 NEW HOMES CON- FEES & TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATURITY RATE (PER TIVE (YEARS) (PER CENT) RATE CENT) 2 3 LOAN/ PRICE LOAN RATIO AMT. (PER ($000) CENT) 4 EXISTING HOMES CON- FEES & LOAN/ TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATU- PRICE (PER RATE TIVE RITY RATIO (PER CENT) RATE (YEARS) (PER CENT) CENT) 2 3 7.74 7.52 7.37 7.36 7.38 7.51 7.60 7.67 7.68 7.65 7.62 1.00 0.83 0.73 0.71 0.74 0.90 0.84 0.97 0.97 0.87 0.93 7.91 7.66 7.49 7.47 7.50 7.66 7.74 7.83 7.84 7.79 7.77 26.2 25.9 26.3 26.1 26.3 26.3 26.2 25.8 26.4 26.7 26.6 73.9 73.7 73.6 74.0 73.7 74.5 73.9 75.3 75.5 75.4 74.5 26.2 26.0 26.2 26.7 27.2 27.1 26.5 25.9 26.3 27.3 26.5 7.67 7.47 7.34 7.33 7.38 7.50 7.58 7.63 7.62 7.56 7.51 0.79 0.77 0.75 0.71 0.74 0.75 0.76 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.78 7.80 7.60 7.47 7.45 7.50 7.63 7.71 7.76 7.75 7.69 7.64 24.0 24.1 24.2 24.0 24.3 24.2 24.5 24.2 24.1 24.6 24.6 73.1 73.5 73.6 73.2 73.9 74.5 74.2 74.5 74.2 74.6 74.6 22.5 23.0 23.1 23.3 28.3 23.2 23.5 22.5 22.9 23.2 23.9 7.62 7.43 0.95 1.01 7.78 7.60 26.5 27.0 75.0 76.4 27.6 27.8 7.45 7.37 0.82 0.75 7.58 7.49 24.7 25.0 74.7 75.5 24.1 24.3 LOAN AMT. ($000) 1971 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1972 Jan. Feb. Compiled by Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Data are weighted averages based on probability sample survey of characteristics of conventional first mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups (including mortgage companies) for purchase of single family homes. Data exclude loans for refinancing, reconditioning or modernization; construction loans to home-builders; and permanent loans which are coupled with construction loans to owoerbuilders. Related series on conventional mortgage rates only, based on unweighted opinions of field-office directors of the Federal Housing Administration, are available somewhat sooner than the results of the FHLBB-FDIC survey, and are included-in the case of new home mortgage rates--in Table 16. Fees and charges--expressed as a percentage of the principal mortgage amount--include loan commissions, fees, discounts, and other charges which provide added income to the lender and are paid by the borrower. They exclude any closing costs related solely to transfer of property ownership. Includes fees & charges amortized over a J.0 year period in addition to the contract interest rate. Derived by FRB.