Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : March 12, 1962
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS March 12, 1962. LIBRAA " MAR 1 5 1962 U^LETEALJIARKET DEVELOPMENTS IN THE UNITED STATES FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND Public s e c u r i t y financing t o obtain new c a p i t a l was l i g h t l a s t week, but i s expected t o be i n f a i r l y s u b s t a n t i a l volume t h i s week. During the week ending March 9, two l a r g e corporate s e c u r i t y i s s u e s t o t a l i n g m i l l i o n were o f f e r e d and one S t a t e and l o c a l government bond i s s u e with par value of $16 m i l l i o n was sold. This week, ending March 16, two corporate s e c u r i t y i s s u e s t o t a l i n g $105 m i l l i o n are scheduled, and s i x S t a t e and l o c a l government bond i s s u e s aggregating $132 m i l l i o n are on the calendar. Bond y i e l d s . Bond y i e l d s g e n e r a l l y declined l a s t week t o t h e i r lowest l e v e l s i n 1962. Yields on Aaa-rated S t a t e and l o c a l government bonds declined 5 b a s i s p o i n t s t o 3.03 per c e n t , 28 b a s i s p o i n t s below the end of 1961 l e v e l and t h e lowest r a t e since September i960, while y i e l d s on Baa-rated i s s u e s declined 10 b a s i s p o i n t s t o 3.71 per c e n t , 33 b a s i s p o i n t s below the l e v e l a t the end of 1961 and the lowest l e v e l since June 195>8. Yields on Aaa-rated corporate bonds declined 2 b a s i s p o i n t s while y i e l d s on Baa-rated i s s u e s were unchanged from the l e v e l of the previous week. Yields on long-term U. S. Government bonds declined 2 b a s i s p o i n t s . The average y i e l d on new corporate bonds, a d j u s t e d t o an Aaa b a s i s , was U.29 per cent l a s t week, 8 b a s i s p o i n t s below the average f o r the previous week. At t h i s l e v e l , new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s were a t t h e i r lowest l e v e l t h i s year and only 8 b a s i s p o i n t s above the 1961 low. S h o r t - and intermediate-term i n t e r e s t r a t e s . Yields on 3-month and 6-month Treasury b i l l s increased Ii and 1 b a s i s p o i n t s , r e s p e c t i v e l y , l a s t week while y i e l d s on 3-5 year U. S. Government bonds continued t h e i r decline of the p a s t s e v e r a l weeks, decreasing an a d d i t i o n a l b a s i s p o i n t . The Federal funds r a t e increased 25 b a s i s points t o 2.85 per c e n t , the h i g h e s t l e v e l thus f a r t h i s year. Other s h o r t - and intermediate-term i n t e r e s t r a t e s were unchanged. Seasonally a d j u s t e d changes i n savings and loan share c a p i t a l and mutual savings bank d e p o s i t s i n January. The net inflow of savings i n t o savings and loan a s s o c i a t i o n s and mutual savings banks i n January continued l a r g e , d e s p i t e the sharp r i s e i n time and saving deposits a t commercial banks following the widespread announcement of i n c r e a s e s i n r a t e s p a id on such d e p o s i t s . (Commercial bank time and savings d e p o s i t s , s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d , increased $2.2 b i l l i o n i n January, t h r e e times the average monthly r i s e i n l a t e 1961.) The s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d n e t increase i n new savings c a p i t a l a t savings and loan a s s o c i a t i o n s i n January was $61*9 m i l l i o n , o n e - f i f t h l e s s than the monthly average f o r the f o u r t h q u a r t e r of 1961. The decline r e f l e c t e d an i n c r e a s e i n withdrawals and some decline i n new savings c a p i t a l , as shown in the t a b l e on the following page. Net new r e g u l a r deposits a t mutual savings banks, a f t e r seasonal adjustment, t o t a l e d a near Table 1 - Selected I n s t i t u t i o n a l Savings How Savings and Loan Associations 1/ Date 1961 - JanuaryFebruary March April May June July August September x October November December r / 1962 - January New savings c a p i t a l Withdrawals of (including uivioends savings c a p i t a l ""credited) Unadjusted Seasonally Unadjusted Seasonally adjusted adjusted (In millions of d o l l a r s ) 3,k09 1,80k 2,060 1,978 1,877 2,758 2,97k 2,008 1,965 2,21*1 1,87k 2,73k 3,887 2,120 2,197 2,309 2,258 2,391 2,376 2,126 2,329 2,339 2,k90 2,557 2,kl5 2,kl9 2,81k 1,253 1,357 1,562 1,075 1,395 2,866 1,518 1,30k 1,517 1,100 1,226 3,U8 l,k57 l,k83 1,629 1,597 l,6k6 1,703 l,k98 1,638 1,55k 1,667 1,667 1,698 1,770 Net new savings c a p i t a l U n a d j u s t e d l ^ - m l l y 595 551 703 . kl6 802 1,363 108 k90 661 72k 77k 1,508 k69 663 71k 660 661 7k5 673 628 691 78£ 823 891 717 6k9 1 / Net new savings c a p i t a l i s derived a s the d i f f e r e n c e oetween new savinps c a p i t a l and withdrawals. TTTe u n a d j u s t e d n e t new savings c a p i t a l s e r i e s d i f f e r s from the n e t change i n savings c a p i t a l s e r i e s shown i n Exhibit M beoause of s t a t i s t l e a l d i s c r e p a n c i e s between t h e flow a e r i e s from which the fcrmer i s derived and t h e balance sheet M p l e s from which the l a t t e r i s computed. The t o t a l s of the seasonally a d j u s t e d and unadjusted data for any 12month p e r i o d w i l l not n e c e s s a r i l y be I d e n t i c a l because of t h e nature of the adjustment procedure. Source.—Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation; seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Mutual Savings Banks 1 / Date 1961 1962 January February March April May July August September October November December January New regular deposits Withdrawals of Net new (including i n t e r e s t regular deposits r e g u l a r deposits credited) Unadjusted Seasona l l y Unadjusted Seasonally Unadjusted Seasonally adjusted adjusted adj usted (In millions of d o l l a r s ) 1,178 1,029 lk9 950 197 753 600 119 170 719 9k5 775 885 328 1,057 1,009 12k 729 -88 1,083 8# 12k 995 959 870 105 898 1,023 153 793 1,101 822 166 825 279 991 1,010 1,053 962 165 k3 797 818 966 7140 823 78 lk3 661 288 950 779 17k . 9# 1,021 128 1,029 965 837 -9 682 1,023 871 152 177 859 1,081 807 981 6k5 k36 17k 1,203 1,356 1,099 883 216 153 1 / " Regular d e p o s i t s comprise 99 per oent of mutual savings bank d e p o s i t s , but exclude Christmas and other c l u b , Industrial ( p a y r o l l ) , and school savings d e p o s i t s . Net new d e p o s i t s a r e derived a s t h e d i f f e r e n c e between the new d e p o s i t and withdrawal s e r i e s . The u n a d j u s t e d net new d e p o s i t s e r i e s d i f f e r s from t h e net change In d e p o s i t s e r i e s shown in Exhibit 0 because of t h e exclusion of s p e c i a l d e p o e l t a . The t o t a l s of t h e seasonally adjusted and u n a d j u s t e d d a t a f o r any 12-month p e r i o d w i l l not n e c e s s a r i l y be i d e n t i c a l because of t h e nature of t h e adjustment procedure . S o i r e e . - - N a t i o n a l Association of Mutual Savings Banks1 seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. record $216 m i l . i o n , t w o - f i f t h s more than the average l a t e l a s t y e a r . Most of the increase reflected, a r i s e in new d e p o s i t s ; withdrawals were l i t t l e changed from the e a r l i e r r a t e . The January p a t t e r n of savings flow to major f i n a n c i a l i n s t i t u t i o n s indicated above r e p r e s e n t s only an i n i t i a l response to the changed s t r u c t u r e . o f i n t e r e s t r a t e s on savings. I t may well be t h a t the adjustment in the competitive i n t e r e s t r a t e s t r u c t u r e among f i n a n c i a l i n s t i t u t i o n s i s s t i l l - i n c o m p l e t e . Two-thirds of a l l member commercial banks, as i n d i c a t e d by the Board's r e c e n t survey, r a i s e d i n t e r e s t r a t e s on time and/or savings d ep o s i t s between December and mid-January. In some c a s e s , however, these changes may have been announced and a d v e r t i s e d too l a t e t o have had a s i g n i f i c a n t a f f e c t on January savings f l o w s . Competitive r a t e increases by mutual savings banks and savings and loan a s s o c i a t i o n s are probably l e s s complete, since many i n s t i t u t i o n s may have delayed a c t i o n u n t i l r e s u l t s of l o c a l r a t e developments could be appraised. In t h i s connection, i t i s i n t e r e s t i n g to note t h a t the aggregate savings f i g u r e s f o r January concealed widely d i f f e r e n t but l a r g e l y o f f s e t t i n g experiences by geographic are&s. Although the mutual savings banks i n t o t a l r e p o r t e d a s l i g h t l y l a r g e r inflow t h i s January than i n January 1961, savings banks i n New York S t a t e had sharply reduced gains t h i s y e a r , but t h i s was more than o f f s e t by s u b s t a n t i a l y e a r - t o - y e a r i n c r e a s e s in o t h e r S t a t e s such as Connecticut and New J e r s e y . Similar r e g i o n a l d i f f e r ences occurred among the savings and loan a s s o c i a t i o n s ; while i n aggregate, and i n most p a r t s of the country, the n e t inflow to a s s o c i a t i o n s was moderately smaller t h i s January than l a s t , equal or l a r g e r net gains were reported i n the Boston, Greensboro, Topeka and Indianapolis Home Loan Bank D i s t r i c t s . This divergent p a t t e r n would suggest a competitive s i t u a t i o n s t i l l i n a s t a t e of f l u x , although information p e r m i t t i n g a d e t a i l e d a r e a by-area a n a l y s i s of i n t e r e s t r a t e changes and savings flow responses i s not yet available. Stock p r i c e s . Common stock p r i c e s , as measured by Standard and P o o r ' s composite index of £00 stocks, increased s l i g h t l y on balance l a s t week, closing a t 70.ii2 on March 9. Trading volume averaged 3 . 1 m i l l i o n shares a day, 0 . 1 m i l l i o n shares more than the r a t h e r low average of t h e previous week. More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s presented in t h e a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Ut<K NEW S A V I N G S CAPITAL AND WITHDRAWALS - SAVINGS AND LOAN ASSOCIATIONS^ Mon>hly, a d i u < t * d lor i t a t o n a l v a r l a l l o o •IT WEWSAVIK6S CAPITAL •f DEPOSITS AND WITHDRAWALS — MUTUAL S A V I N G S BANKS letlein lilirtst Cr«dlte< / Jj\ LONG-TERM BOND YIELDS HIGH-GRADE COtrOKATI A l l V'"™:'" s u n AND 10CA1 60Vt»HM£HT A«« LOWER-GRADE v ^ v Exhibit B - Tables f o r Exhibit A -7- Long-term Bond Y i e l d s high-grade S t a t e and local government Aaa 3/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate S t a t e and Aaa l o c a l Aaa Date Corporate Aaa y U. S. Govt. . long-term 2 / 1957 - High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High 1960-61 Low 1961 - High 1962 - High Low 1*.H* (9/2?) 1.55 (5/2) . l*.6l (V29/60) Le2^f3A7/a) 1.1*6 (9/15) Ll*3 (2/16) 1*.1*0 ( 3 / 9 } ^ . 3 . 7 6 (ioAe) 3.07 (4/25) 1*.1*2 (1/0/6O) 3*70 (sAt/si) 4.07 (12/29) li. 12. (2/23) 1*.06 ( 3 / 9 ) 3.45 2.61* 3.65 (8/29) (SA) (9/24/59) 2.99 (9/1/60) 4.09 1*.08 14.12 14.06 It. 06 3.09 3.Oil 3.08 3.08 3.03 (per cent) Feb. Feb. Feb. Mar. Mar. 9 16 23 2 9 p/ 1*.1*2 U.U3 1*.1*2 h.h2 h.hO^ 3.37 ( 7 / 6 ) 3.26 (1/1*) 3.03 ( 3 / 9 ) .60 .22 .59 •19 .57 .37 .30 .50 .31.92 • .76 1.31* .80 1.00 . l.ol* 1.01* 1.34 1.03 .33 .35 .30 .31* .31* Lower grade • Date Corporate Baa y S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Baa 3 / Spread between Aaa and Baa S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l povt. ( p e r cent) 1957 - High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High 1960-61 Low 1961 - High 1962 - High Low Febr Feb. Feb. Mar. /far. 9 16 23 2 9 2/ 5.10 L 51 5.36 U«98 5.13 5.11 5.05 (U/29) (7/11) (2A2/60) (9/9/60) (10/27) (1/5) (3/9) 5.08 5.08 5.07 5.05 5.05/ vj Preliminary. l*.5l - 3.61* 1*.1*6 3.93 1*.16 U.oii 3.71 3.83 3.78 3.81 3.81. 3.71 (6/29) (sA) (1/7/60) (11/9/61) (3/23) (1/11) (3/9) 1.27 .77 .81* • 66 .81 .68 .63 .66 .65 .65 . .63 .65 1 / Weekly average o f imlly f i g u r e s . Average t e n s o f bonds Included I s 23-26 y e a r s . 2 / Weekly average of d a l l y f i g u r e s . The a e r i e s Includes bonds Jue or o a l l a b l e In 10 years or more. 1 / Tbureky f i g u r e * . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bondo are Included; average t e r n I s 20 y e a r e . Mote.--Highs and lows are for Individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . Pter spreads, high r e f e r s t o w i d e s t , and l o * t o narrowest. . . 1.21 -93. 1.08 .57 .93 .82 .68 .71* .71* .73 .73 ,..68 . % EXHIBIT C S H O R T - A N D I N T E R M E D I A T E - TERM INTEREST R A T E S W..hly GOVERNMENT yv BANKS A N D OTHER PRIVATE B O R R O W E R S Plfctly Plofd Exhibit I) - Tables f o r Exhibit C -9- Snort- and Intermediate-term I n t e r e s t hates Government Date Discount rate 1957 - High 3.50 1958 - Low 1.75 1959-60 - H LOO 1 ^ 6 0 - 6 1 Low 3.00 1961 - High 3.00 1962 - high 3.00 3.00 Low Feb. Feb. Feb. Mar. \Mar. 9 16 23 2 9 p/ 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 Yields 6-month b i l l s 2/ (per cent) 3-month bills 2/ V s 3.64 (10/16) *58 (5/29) 59 Spread between y i e l a s on 3 month b i l l s and y i e l d s on b-mo. b i l l s 13-5 y r . i s s u e s 3-5 year issues 2/ — 4.04 (10/16) 3 . 02 (12/26) 2.14 (6/6) (1/8/60) 5.07 (1/8/60) 5 . 0 0 (12/24/59) 2 . 1 1 (10/28/60) 2 . 3 5 (4/2^61) 3 e l £ (5/12/61) 2.66 (12/29) (12/29) 2.90 3 . 8 6 (8A1) 2.81 (2/16) 3.02 (1/12) 2.87 (3/2) 3.61 (3/9) 2.70 2.81 2.74 2.69 2.73^ 2.90 3.00 2.93 2.87 3.83 3.78 3.73 3.62 3.61 2.67 (1/26) 2.88 .86 .26 3.88 (2/2) .Oh 1.81 .79 v.li '.44 .24. .15 1.19 .20 .19 .19 1.13 .97 .99 .93 .18 .15 Banks and Other Private Borrowers Stock Exchange c a l l loan 1/ Prime rate 1 / Finance compary paper 3/ Federal funds 4/ Spread between 3-mo. b i l l s and finance co. paper (per cent) 3.88 (liAs) 1.13 (d/0) 3.50 .13 4.00 1957 - High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High I96O-6I Low 1961 - High 1962 - High Low 4.50 3.50 5.50 U.50 4.50 a. 50 4.5o 4.50 3.50 5.00 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.5o 3.11 (1/19) 3.00 (3/9) 2.88 (12/2V) 2.85 ( V # 1.30 (1/26) Feb. Feb. Feb. Mar. Mar. 4.50 4.5o 4.5o 4.50 4.50 4.5o 4.50 4.5o 4.5o 4.50 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.Q0 2.66 2.44 2.25 2.60 2.85 9 16 23 2 9 £/ 1/ 5 . 1 3 (1/22/60) 2 . ^ 0 (8/5/61) 3 . 0 0 (12/29) .43 .63 -.35 1.02 .11 (11/8) (5/29) (5/13/G0) (1/27/61) • -5b .38 .19 .30 .19 .26 .31 .27 Weekly rate shown I s that In e f f e c t a t end of parted. Discount rate I s for Federal Reserve 3«ik of Hew York, Stock txebansti w , l l loen rate l a going rate on c e l l lo&um eeoured by cuatomere1 etook exch&nge eollr.teral a t Mow York City banks. Prime rate i # that charged by large bank# on short-tore loans to bueinee# borrower# of the highest credit standing. . 9/ Market y i e l d ; weekly averages computed from d a l l y closing t l d p r i c e s . Series o f $-5 y<ar I s s u e s ccnalsts of s e l e c t e d n o t e s and bonds, , ' 3 / Average of d a i l y r a t e s published by finance companies for d i r e c t l y plr.eed paper for varying maturities i n the PC-178 day range. 4 / Weekly a v e n g e of d a l l y e f f e c t i v e r » t o , which i s the rate for the heaviest volume of purchase end sale transactions a s reported t o the Federal Reserve Bank of Mew York. Note .--Highs and lows are f o r Individual s e r i e s and nay be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . For spreads, high r e f e r s t o widest, and low to narrowest. STOCK MARKET 1941-43 Avro*«=!0 m n ft of Dollars L«i°0_ J CK MARKET CRJD * CH *NOE IN SERIES Millions ol S h a f t ,,, -LM 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1957 ,MM 1 II 1 1 1 1 1 11 11 11 1 1 II i u v 1958 "MORTGAGE AND BOND YIELDS HOME M0IT6A6ES • FHA A«i CORPORA!! BONDS: 1955 195* 1957 1151 1959 19*0 19*1 !»«J E x h i b i t F - Tables f o r h x h i b i t E -11 » Stock Market Stock p r i c e index 1 / 1960-61 - High Low 1962 - High Low JanuaryFebruary Feb. 23 Mar. 2 Mar. 9 g / 72.0it (12/6/61) 70.59 W 68.13 (1/26) 69.07 70.22 70.16 70.16 70.42 Common Trading stock volume 3 / y i e l d s 2/ (millions ( p e r c e n t ) of shares) 5.8 Stock market customer c r e d i t bank I Customers' I d e b i t b a l - loans t o ances 4 / " o t h e r s " 5 / ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 5,602 (i2/a)l;,259 (12/61) 1,377 (0/30/61) 2.82 3.62 2.92 3.01 2.2 3.9 3.0 ii,li+2 (5/60)3,OOll(7/60) 1 , 1 2 1 -(5/25/60) n.a. n.a. 2.97 2.94 .2.96 2.96 2.94 3.7 3.5 3.3 3.0 3.1 5,463 a,no n.a 1,362 (2/11*) 1,316 (1/24) 1,353 . 1,360 1,361 1,360 n.a.—Not available 2 / Preliminary 1 / Standard and P o o r ' s oomposite index of 500 common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1941-43=10. Monthly d a t a a r e averages of d a l l y f i g u r e s r a t h e r than of F r i d a y ' s only. Highs and lows are fop Fridays' data only. 2 / Standard and P o o r ' s composite stock y i e l d based on Wednesday data converted to weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s by Federal R e s e r v e . Yields shown are for d a t e s on which p r i c e index reached i t s high or low, 3 / Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on t h e New York Stock Exchange. 4 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of t h e New York Stock Exchange which carry margin a c c o u n t s j excludes balani secured by U, S . Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s for weekly r e p o r t i n g member banks. Excludes loans f o r purchasing or c a r r y i n g U, S. Government Securities., P r i o r t o July 1 , 1959, such loans a r e excluded only a t banks i n New York and Chicago, Weekly repoi banks account f o r about 70 per cent of loans to o t h e r s . For ftirther d e t a i l see B u l l e t i n . Mortgage and Bond Yields 1 / FHA. mortgages 2 / 1953-58 - High Low 1959-60 - High 1960-61 - Low 5.63 ( U / 5 7 ) a.56 (2/55) 1961 - October November December 1962 - January February 5.72 5.72 5.71 5.72 Spread between new Aaa corporate c o r p o r a t e bonds and bonds 1 / New 3 / 1 Seasoned V|PHA mortgages|Seasoned bonds 4.81 (6/57) 2.74 (3/54) 1 m i m 1/ 4.26 4.32 4.39 4.45 4.50 i t of .90 -.12 .77 -.16 1.46 1.40 1.32 1.27 -.16 -.07 -.02 .03 4.12 (9/57) 2.84 (4/54) 4.42 4.39 4.41 4.42 4.42 .08 i N e i t h e r mortgage nor bond y i e l d s take i n t o account s e r v i c i n g c o a t s wru.cn are muoh higher for mortgages than bonds* G e n e r a l l y , bonds pay I n t e r e s t semi-annually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage y i e l d s , i f computed as e q u i v a l e n t t o a semiannual I n t e r e s t Investment, would be s l i g h t l y higher than given i n t h e t a b l e . ; 2 / Based on fflA f i e l d - o f f i c e opinions about average bid p r i c e s i n the p r i v a t e secondary market for new-home mortgagee f o r lmnedlate d e l i v e r y . Since l a t e 1955, data r e l a t e only t o 25-year mortgages with downpeyments of 10 per cent or mors, weighted by probable volume of t r a n s a c t i o n s . Yields computed by FRB, assuming 25-year mortgages are paid o f f i n 12 y e a r s . Dashed l i n e s i n d i c a t e p e r i o d s of adjustment t o changes i n the c o n t r a c t u a l i n t e r e s t r a t e . 3/ F i r s t N a t i o n a l C i t y Bank of Hew York, Averages of o f f e r i n g y i e l d s of a l l new i s s u e s of p u b l i o l y - s o l d bonds r a t e d Xen Aa or A by Moody's I n v e s t o r s Service (except s e r i a l and c o n v e r t i b l e i s s u e s and o f f e r i n g s of n a t u r a l gas and for s i g n companies) weighted by s i z e of l s s u s . Yields on Aa and A i s s u e s a r e f i r s t a d j u s t e d to an Aaa b a s i s by t h e spread between y i e l d s of outstanding bonds In t h e s e c a t e g o r i e s and those on Aaa-rated bonds. The s e r i e s r e f l e o t e onangee I n i n d u s t r i a l composition, m a t u r i t y , t y p e , e t c . of new o f f e r i n g s . 4 / Moody's I n v e s t o r s S e r v i c e . Monthly averages of d a i l y d a t a . See Exhibit B. Exhibit G Yields on New Corporate Bond Issues Adjusted t o an Aaa Basis Number of issues included Monthly averages: 1961 - July August September October November December 1962 - January February t March April May June Amount > of issues Average yield included (per (millions cent) of dollars) Number of issues included Amount Average of issues yield included (per (millions cent) of dollars) December 15 1 • 4o.o 4.55* 4.62 22 29 4.59 4.38 4.26 1961 - high 4.68 (6/16) , Low 4.32 4.21 (11/3) 4.39 4.45 1962 4.50 January 5 12 1 60.0 4.50 19 26 70.0 4.40 3 Febiuary 2 9 2 19.5 4.4o •Weekly averages: 16 1 300.0 4.52* 19til - July 7 1 50.0 23 4.50 1 14 8.0 4.60 March 2 25.0 1 4.37 21 1 200.0 1 4.64 30.0 4.29 9 28 2 16 65.0 4.46 . • t. August it 2 23 55.0 4.54 ' 11 1 20.0 30 4.73* 18 •1 40.0 4.6o April 6 — — 25 13 September 1 20 — 8 27 1 15 18.0 L 4 6 hay 4 22 11 1 60.8 29 18 4.36 October 6 2 U5.o 25 4.25 June 1 13 20 2 60.0 8 4.21 27 4.28 15 95.0 ; 3 November 3 . 22 1*5.0 4.21 3 10 29 •17 4 94.0 4.29 60.0 1 24 4.35 December 1 :• 1 30.0 4; 40 8 ; 2 75.0 4.29 1 Averages of offering yields on a l l new issues, of publicly sold bonds rated Aaa, Aa and A by Moody's Investors Service (except s e r i a l , equipment t r u s t and convertible issues, o f f e r i n g s of natural gas pipeline and fbreign companies, and issues guaranteed by the Federal Government) weighted by size of issues. Yields on Aa- ana A-rated bonds are f i r s t adjusted to an Aaa b a s i s , using the comparable spreads in yields on seasoned bonds (Moody's averages). Averages r e f l e c t changes in i n d u s t r i a l composition, type, maturity, and c a l l provisions of new o f f e r i n g s , v/eekly averages considered unusually unreliable as indicators of i n t e r e s t r a t e s on new issues because of the small number or special c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of offerings included e t c . are marked with an a s t e r i s k . 4 4 2 7 9 3 4 5 273.0 115.0 78.8 200.0 229.0 . 115.0 130.0 39L5 -13Exhibit H Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) ----- 1962 New c a p i t a l State and local 2/ Corporate 1/ 1 I960 1962 1 1961 1 1961 | I960 5/600 e/900 e/750 e/850 e/ipCO e/500 713 689 76U 700 611 568 570 715 860 2,118 1,259 1,318 761 577 i,o44 723 6141 1,084 ai 991 July August September 1,028 762 61*7 736 967 726 185 6o4 728 492 606 683 October November December 1,090 948 1,000 890 956 852 lii quarter quarter quarter quarter 0/2,250 1,809 4,695 2,1+37 3,038 . -6,50k 8,941 11,979 1 s t half Three quarters Year 2,145 2,382 2,1*28 2,698 ill 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 11 580 667 562 January February March e/2,350 348 501 491 2,166 2,W«7 &S 1,880 2,256 1,780 1,340 4,613 2/6,630 e/8,354 4,136 5,916 7,257 Excluding finance companies 3 / 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter e/2,150 Year 1,55k 4,552 2,337 2,807 11,253 • 1,716 2,165 2,018 2,3U7 8,246 17 Estimated? „ 1 / S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2/ Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. 2 / Total new c a p i t a l issues excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer finance companies. . Exhibit I Ik- New Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and I s s u e r (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Quarter or month Gross proceeds f o r new Net proceeds f o r c a p i t a l and refunding 1 / rfew c a p i t a l 1/ 2/ Bonds Common and Mfg. Public Communi- Other Total PubliclyJ P r i v a t e l y p f d . u t i l i t y cations issuers offered offered stock I960 - I II in IV 2,26$ 2,537 2,520 2,832 934 1,07k 1,336 l,k62 795 770 75k 955 1961 - I II III IV 1,992 5,352 2,566 3,236 662 2,303 772 967 880 1,275 1,139 1,424 601 695 696 2,231 1,342 1,779 1,075 813 678 1,155 987 1,09 k 178 273 211 713 666 92k k2l+ 225 123 336 klk 217 29k 255 331 3k8 355 572 392 kll 336 509 3k8 567 129 167 154 1,170 320 283 259 177 218 310 225 310 169 99 248 574 447 446 428 2 55 252 271 215 306 640 930 200 500 250 300 .190 130 220 200 598 808 652 696 . 189 149 317 361 1,059 913 896 997 381 515 kk9 1,77k 1,466 1,081 654 595 935 836 . 845 792 81 1,095 104 147 832 1,052 803 1,263 137 160 84 254 439 389 369 215 111 306 362 168 21 41 19 994 85 16 16 13 75 25 80 42 253 368 211 297 289 467 315 279 209 487 . 291 485 130 100 10 350 240 250 536 692 429 416 298 511 562 625 1962 - I II III IV I 9 6 I — Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1962 - Jan. p / Feb. 2 / Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. by the cost of f l o t a t i o n . 2/ For t o t a l see Exhibit K; o t h e r i s s u e r s are e x t r a c t i v e , r a i l r o a d and other t r a n s p o r t a t i o n , r e a l e s t a t e and f i n a n c e and commercial and o t h e r . Source.—Securities and Exchange Commission. Exhibit J -15- Other Security Offerings (In millions of d o l l a r s ) Gross long-terra 1 / a l agency 3/ Foreign government 2/ Federal | 1961 | 1962 I 1961 | I960 IS62 6 29 20 . 2 66 29 5 2 k3 3k 236 I960 182 150 150 2 175 70 ' 3k 72 kO 25 252 100 11*8 1U9 35k 278 250 193 1 36 3k 19.9 2 225 160 11*9 161 531 1,W3 1,672 1*1 . Net short-term k/ S t a t e and Local government 5/ Federal agency 3/ 160 195 -8 -103 -k2 -155 109 518 -80 70 -lli6 -157 21*7 -Ikk -162 -171* -79 -87 207 1*8 22 -86 lil 5 -175 -6 -16 193 108 98 56 51* 2/ -207 E/ 58 lUo 1*29 -196 -202 -59 -277 170 320 95 23 -201 50 -189 -111* -23 -33 -250 18 -76 -633 p/Preliminary. 1 / These data d i f f e r from those in Exhibit # in t h a t refunding i s s u e s , as well as new c a p i t a l i s s u e s , are included. Long-term s e c u r i t i e s are defined as those maturing in more than one y e a r . 2/ Includes s e c u r i t i e s o f f e r e d in the United S t a t e s by f o r e i g n governments and t h e i r i n t e r n a t i o n a l o r g a n i z a t i o n s . Source: S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission. 3 / . Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source: long-term, S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission$ short-term, Treasury Department and Federal Reserve. k/ These data d i f f e r from those in Exhibit H and above i n t h a t they represent new o f f e r i n g s l e s s r e t i r e m e n t s , whether from the proceeds of refunding issues or from o t h e r funds. Data include only issues with o r i g i n a l maturity of one year or l e s s . 5 / Pfor r i nFRASER c i p a l l y t a x and bond a n t i c i p a t i o n n o t e s , warrants or c e r t i f i c a t e s and Public Digitized Housing Authority n o t e s . In sone instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ longer than one y e a r . Source: Bond Buy.er and Federal Reserve. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -16 - Large Long-term Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large Issues Offered * (In millions of d o l l a r s ) Month Total 1961 - February March April May June July August September October November December 1962 - January February 26? 70 1,572 557 532 475 185 168 351t 391 255 195 425 Corporate Bonds Convertible ( o t h e r than bonds convertibles) 230 25 560 Wo 135 285 165 78 205 320 125 170 it25 ko 15 .75 33 67 26 S t a te te and local government Stocks 360 li05 383 256 616 179 281 135 326 L80 307 561 662 37 5 1,010 62 97 115 20 58 81 16 130 25 Other 2/ 67 25 151 100 73 itO 250 lh ,f 6k Large Individual Issues Offered. March 1 through 9 Issuer CORPORATE West Penn Power Co. Stokely-Van Camp I n c . Type 1 / Coupon Amount r a t e or Offering (millions Rating Maturity net i n t e r - y i e l d of e s t cost dollars) 1st mtg. bds. Conv.sub.deb. 30.0 15.0 1992 1982 li-1/2 lt-l/U U.U3 U.25 Aa Baa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Los Angeles Dept. of Wtr. and Pwr., C a l i f o r n i a Georgia S t . Hwy. Auth. Colunfous, Ohio Rev.-Ut. Rev.-S.T. G.O. OTHER None 16.0 1963-92 35.0 1963-91 11.1196U-98 3.15 3.3U 3.08 1.70-3.UO Aa 1.75-3.50 A 1.90-3.50 Aa K-2 -17- Footnotes -Rights o f f e r i n g . Includes c o i p o r a t e and o t h e r s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $10 million and over. Includes foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal agencies. In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general b b l i g a t i o n s ; Rev.-Ut., revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from public u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s ; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from s p e c i f i c t a x e s only; Rev. - R e n t . , revenue bonds secured s o l e l y by l e a s e payments. -18- Exhibit L Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following date shown Date of computation Corporate - Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 28 May 31 June 30 J u l y 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 29 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 29 1962 - Jan. y i Feb. 28 55 1,580 5U2 U87 521 170 175 358 316 356 161 180 222 l o c a l govt. j Subsequent t o date slawn j/" Cor __ 307 559 236 131 195 lt06 399 251 . 597 295 223 165 153 P°rate l l o % % . | 0 t h e r 2 / 1,125 1,700 687 611 666 15 75 73 35 50k I4II li21 m 61t 31a 638 806 579 771 291 537 530 I6h 693 h96 ia5 567 239 75 35 6lt Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of March 9 Issuer P a c i f i c Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. South European Pipeline Co. Ashland Oil and Refining Corp. National Dairy Products Corp. National Cash R e g i s t e r Co. Potomac E l e c t r i c Power Co. •National Cash Register Co. Long Island Lighting Co. • I n t e r n a t i o n a l Tel. & Tel. Co. •Ohio Oil Co. • P a c i f i c Power & Light Co. •Consolidated Edison Co. Type Amount Approximate date (mill ions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) 1st & r e f . m t g . b d s . S.F. deb. S.F. deb. S . F . deb. S.F. deb. Com. s t k . Com. s t k . 36.7 Com. s t k . 23.0 S.F. deb. S.F. deb. 1 s t mtg. bds. Conv. p f d . s t k . 50.0 90.0 35.0 9U.7 •Northern Indiana Public Service Co. 1 s t mtg. bds. • T r anscontinen ta l Gas Pipeline Corp. 1 s t mtg. p . 1. bds. 1 s t mtg. p . 1. bds. •Lone S t a r Gas Co. •Appalachian Power Co. 1 s t mtg. bds. S.F. deb. Com. s t k . • P a c i f i c Power & Light Co. 65.0 ItO.O 25.0 35.0 50.0 22.0 20.0 ItO.O 35.0 25.0 20.0 20.0 Mar. lit Mar. 15 Mar. 22 Mar. 27 Mar. 28 March 21 ( r i g h t s expire) April 1 ( r i g h t s expire) Apr. 2 ( r i g h t s expire) Apr. 3 Apr. It Apr. 13 Apr. 16 ( r i g h t s expire) Apr. 11 Apr. 18 Apr. 19 Apr. 25 April ( r i g h t s expire) Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of March 9 (Cont'd) Issuer Type | Amount (millions Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE (Cont'd) L i t t o n I n d u s t r i e s Inc. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Conv. sub. deb. 50.7 Deb., bds 0 & com. U5.0 April ( r i g h t s empire) Indefinite STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Dallas, Texas Penna. Gen. S t a t e Auth c Denver, Colorado jI Puerto Rico Water Resources Auth. j %State of Connecticut j Louisiana S t a t e Bond and Building Authority Washington S t a t e Public Power Supply System D e t r o i t , Michigan Detroit School D i s t . , Mich. ^Shelby County, Tenn. ! -*Cook Co., I l l i n o i s -*Los Angeles County Flood Control j District, California ; ->City of P h i l a d e l p h i a . Pa, j *Pehna. S t a t e Public Sch, Bldg c Auth.i ^Cleveland, Ohio j ^Georgia S t a t e School Bldg. Autho " j -a-Tampa, Florida J Bade County3 F l o r i d a j J a c k s o n v i l l e Expressway Auth., F l a . G.O. Rev.-Rent. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. 10.8 25=0 15.0 12.5 53.7 Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. 12 13 13 lit Ik Rev.-Rent. 15.0 Mar. 15 Rev o - t i t . G.O. G.O. G.O, 10c 5 15.0 10.0 12.5 25.0 Mar. Mar. Mar. Apr. Apr. #.0 25.0 26. k 16.0 35«0 15.0 il6.0 uo.o Apr. 3 Apr. h Apr. 13 Apr. 2h Apr. 25 Apr. 26 Indefinite Indefinite G.Oc G.O. G.O. Rev.-Rent. G.O. Revo-Rent. Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev.-Ut. 20 27 27 2 2 None %—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time, 1 / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of §10 m i l l i o n and over. __ 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal agencies. Note.—Deletions f o r reasons other than sale of i s s u e ; None.