Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : March 1, 1971
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esrsra DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS L.5.8 C o n f i d e n t i a l . R . ) March 1, 1971 CAPITAL iARKET ELOPMENTS Capital Markets Section, Divisionof Research and Statistics, ^ - j^Boord of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D. C. INDEX 3-5 Developments in the Corporate and Municipal Bond Markets 6-7 Capital Market Yields 8-13 Capital Market Volume 14-17 Stock Market 18-33 Mortgage Market SYMBOLS: e Estimate p Preliminary r Revised n.a. Not available TABLE 1: Yields, Volume and Reception YIELDS MOODY'S SEASONED NEW ISSUE 1 Aaa WEEK ENDING: 1971 - Feb. Mar. 5 12 15 26 6.91 6.97 7.11 7.59 7.10 7.06 7.07 7.10 5 WEEK ENDING: 1971 - Feb. 5 12 19 26 CORPORATE BOND MARKET VOLUME2 GROSS OFFERINGS 384 637 522 627 l,050e YIELDS MOODY'S BOND BUYER SEASONED SEASONED 20 Aaa BOND INDEX 5.10 4.75 4.85 5.00 Mar. 5 5.27 5.05 5.27 5.34 PER c o r r SOLD BY END OF WEEK BONDS SCHEDULED WITHIN 28 DAYS 64 94 76 89 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME2 PER CENT GROSS SOLD BY END OF WEEK OFFERINGS 343 462 602 373 72 69 63 82 375e n.a. BONDS SCHEDULED WITHIN 28 DAYS . •. 870 1,037 1,070 n.a. n.a. 1 Derived by adjusting to a Aaa basis, new issues of publicly-offered corporate bonds with call protection, rated A, Aa, or Aaa by Moody's Investors Service (except serial and convertible issues, offerings'of natural gas pipeline and foreign companies, and bonds guaranteed by the Federal Government.) Z 2 Millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated. Note: See footnotes to Table 3 1 TABLE 2: Details on Inventories DATE OFFERED 1 1 2/25 2/25 2/25 2/23 2/23 2/18 2/17 2/16 2/10 AMOUNT (MIL. $) T 1 20.0 45.0 35.0 150.0 50.0 35.0 50.0 90.0 30.0 DATE OFFERED | RELEXSED 2/17 CORPORATE BONDS IN SYNDICATE END OF LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL RATING AND / ISSUER COUPON YIELD CALL PROTECTION Central Telephone Gen'l Tel. Fla. Hart Schaffner & Marx U. S. Steel M. Lowenstein Jersey Cent. P & L Dana Corp. Wisconsin Tel. Indiana Mich. AMOUNT 2/23 50.0 ISSUER INVENTORIES 1971 - Jan. Feb. COUPON Houston Lighting MUNICIPALS BLUE LIST IN SYNDICATE | DATE 8.10 8.,00 8..50 7,,75 8,.50 8,.13 7,.30 7.25 6.50 7.25 8.10 7.87 8.55 7.75 8.50 8.00 7.30 7.15 6.35 A A Baa A A A A Aaa A ESTIMATED PROPORTION SOLD 5 yrs. 5 yrs. 10 yrs. 10 yrs. 5 yrs. 5 yrs. 10 yrs. 5 yrs. 5 yrs. 70% 25% 70% 95% 75% 75% 80% 25% 80% ORIGINAL INCREASE RATING AND ESTIMATED PROYIELD IN YIELD CALL PROT. PORTION RELEASED 7.15 +28 Aaa 5 yrs5. / 50% 1 CORPORATES IN SYNDICATE 29 856 350 162 5 12 19 26 858 764 882 876 227 221 394 217 308 44 133 161 N.C. - No call protection. All figures in millions of dollars. Blue List is daily average for week ended Friday, except for latest week of three days ended Wednesday. All other figures are as of Friday. which is daily average TABLE 3: High Grade Bond Yields DATE NEW CORPORATE Aaa1 MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa 2 U.S. GOVERNMENT 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITIES 3 BOND BUYER'S SEASONED MUNICIPALS 4 1968 - High Low 7.02 (12/13) 6.13 (8/30) 6.55 (1/27) 5.95 (9/13) 5.90 (1/20) 5.18 (8/9) 4.85 (1/26) 4.07 (8/8) 1969 - High Low 8.85 (12/5) 6.90 (2/21) 7.84 (2/26) 6.55 (1/12) 6.97 (12/26) 5.96 (1/24) 6.90 (12/18) 4.82 (1/28) 1970 -High Low 9.30 (6/19) 7.68 (12/18) 8.60 (7/3) 7.48(12/31) 7.55 (5/29) 6.17 (12/18) 7.12 (5/29) 5.33 (12/11) 1971 - Jan. 22 29 Feb. 6.98 6.76 7.36 7.19 7.10 7.06 6.09 6.05 5.13 5.16 & 11 6.91 6.97 ?:»• m 6.10 5.27 6.08 5.05 6.14 6.22 , adjusted (as described in i:$l . r---. footnote 1 of Table 1) to a Aaa basis. 2 Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 22-24 years. 3 Weekly average of daily figures. 4 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index ' falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Note-Highs and; lowsxdre for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. TABLE 4: Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) GROSS PROCEEDS STATE AND LOCAL2 CORPORATE1 PERIOD 1971 1970 1969 1971 1970 1969 2,750e 2,636 1,802 3,539 2,075 2,045 2,098 | 2,600e 1,340 1,224 1,555 1,262 987 538 April May June 3,170 3,909 3,389 2,748 2,076 2,530 1,647 1,004 1,081 1,801 1,110 737 July August September 2,768 2,274 3,518 2,478 1,427 2,427 I i! 1,356 1,358 1,758 1,097 808 559 October November December 3,777 4,182 3,980 1,933 2,375 2,532 1,924 1,748 2,190 1,280 886 816 7,977 10,468 8,560 11,939 6,218 7,354 6,332 6,840 4,119 3,732 4,472 5,862 2,787 3,648 2,464 2,982 18,445 27,005 38,944 13,572 19,904 26,744 7,851 12,323 18,185 6,435 8,899 11,881 January February March 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 1st half Three quarters Year | Excluding finance companies 3 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 6,170 7,037 Year 1 2 3 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. Total gross proceeds excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. TABLE 5: New Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and Issuerv (In millions of dollars) QUARTER OR MONTH TOTAL GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE COMMON MEMO: AND BONDS PUBLICLY PRIVATELY PFD. ISSUES INCLUDED \ MFG. PLACED FOREIGN | CONVERTIBLE STOCK OFFERED GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER PUBLIC UTILITY COMMUNICATIONS OTHER ISSUERS 7,977 10,468 8,560 11,937 4,577 6,994 5,987 7,827 1,262 1,282 914 1,421 2,138 2,190 1.659 2,690 222 135 83 226 922 710 287 737 2,584 2,445 2,314 3,169 2,085 2,812 2,714 3,406 766 2,162 868 1,346 2,543 3,048 2,663 4,020 2,636 1,802 3,539 3,170 3,909 3,389 2,768 2,274 3,518 3,777 4,181 3,979 1,595 1,068 1,914 2,022 3,041 1,931 1,831 1,731 2,425 2,390 3,001 2,436 525 266 471 447 399 436 320 205 389 304 283 834 516 468 1,154 701 468 1,021 617 338 704 1,083 898 709 61 33 128 89 20 26 68 11 4 56 11 159 387 249 286 398 230 82 107 59 121 388 184 165 811 639 357 540 1,416 906 689 1,109 817 600 939 1,103 638 843 682 630 ^ 994 1,241 1,006 . 1,101 1,107 1,350 1,056 955 234 226 306 62 1,747 353 144 279 445 371 693 282 952 680 911 1,310 744 994 1,143 682 838 1,300 1,033 1,687 L - Jan. e/ 2,750 2,000 300 450 380 1,400 - I II III IV e/ 1970i - - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. n.a. 80 505 1 Other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. Quarterly supplements are available . 465 TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 ISSUER l TYPE ' COUPON RATE OR AMOUNT ' (MILLIONS OF February 1 thru February 26,1971 MOODY'6 RATtN<? EST COST OFFERING YIELD 2001 2001 1996 \2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 \ 71.13 7\25 5.50 7.88 7.38 7.25 7.00 7.00 6.95 7.17 5.50 7.90 7.25 7.15 6.95 7.06 Aaa Aa Ba Baa A Aa Aa , Aaa 1978 1996 2001 1977 2001 1996 1996 2001 2007 2001 6.50 7.20 7.35 6.88 8.13 8.00 7.30 7.88 7.25 7.25 6.35 7.20 7.35 7.08 8.00 8.05 7.30 7.29 7.15 7.15 A A 1972-86 1996 2001 7.88 8.50 8.00 5.50-6.80 A Baa 8.55 A 8.10 MATURITY DOLLARS) WET ayVKR- Corporates 30.0 1st. Mtg. Texas Pwr. & Lt. Co. 1st. Mtg. bds 40.0 Pub. Serv. Co. of Colo. Debs. 100.0 Unlroyal Inc. 40.0 1st. Mtg. Pacific Pwr. & Lt. Co. 65.0 1st. Mtg. Niagara Mohawk Pwr. Co. 60.0 Debs. Penna. Pwr. & Lt. Co. 1st. Mtg. 36.0 Central Pwr. & Light Co. 500.0 Debs American Tel. & Tel. Co. Cum pref stk 30.0 Indiana & Mich. Elec. Co. 1st Mtg. 30.0 Indiana & Mich. Elec. Co. Debs. 30.0 Reliance Elec. Co. Cap notes 30.0 Union Bank 100.0 Notes Commercial Credit Co. 35.0 1st Mtg. Jersey Cent. Pwr. & Lt. Co. U. S. Plywood-Champion Paper IncS.F. debs. 100.0 50.0 Debs. Dana Corp. 49.5 1st. Mtg. Georgia Pwr. Co. 90.0 Debs. Wisconsin Tel. Co. 49.5 1st. Mtg. Houston Lt. & Pwr. Co. 25.0 Jersey Central Pwr. & Lt. Co. Pref. Stk. Equip Trst. 18.0 Trailer Train Co. C s Debs. « - 35.0 Hart Schaffner & Marx 35.0 South Carolina Elec. & Gas Co. Bds. 1st. & Ref. Pacific Gas & Elec. Co. 150.0 Mtg. 15.8 Com. Stk. Howard Johnson Co. 50.0 Debs. Texas Eastern Trans. Corp. 50.0 M. Lowenstein & Co. 20.0 Central Tel. & Utilities Corp. lst!'Htg. 50.0 1st. Mtg. Northern States Pwr. Co. 45.0 1st. Mtg. Gen'l Tel. Co. Fla. 30.0 McCulloh Properties Credit Coi DigitizedU. forS. FRASER 150.0 Debs. Steel Corp. — A Baa A Aa Aaa Aaa -- 2003 8 8.00 7.87 Aa 1991 1996 1996 2001 2001 1976 2001 8.90 8.50 8.10 8.00 8.00 9.50 7.75 8.90 8.50 8.10 7.87 7.87 9.50 7.75 Ba Baa A A A Aa T A B L E 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (continued) (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 ISSUER TYPE 2 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) February 1 thru February26,.1971 1 MATURITY COUPON | RATE OR 1 NET INTER- I EST COST j OFFERINC MOODY'S RATING YIELD State and Local (continued) California Prince William Co, Va. Los Angeles DWAP Anne Arundel Co., Md. Yonkers ,N. Y. Hartford, Conn, Alaska Peabody, Mass. San Antonio, Tex. Monroe Co., N. Y. Vermont, State of Dallas-Ft. Worth Airport, Tex. New York, State of Detroit, Mich. Tennessee Calif. State Colleges Los Angeles Co. Fid. Ctr. Dls California Centennial Jt. Sch. Bd. Auth. G.O. G.O. Rev, G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. 100.0 15.0 18.0 18.0 16.3 14.4 21.3 11.0 10.0 16.2 25.0 75.0 96.0 20.0 66.0 13.1 1980-20 1972-1990 1977-96 1972-2001 1971-88 1972-2009 1972-1992 1990-91 1975-90 1971-2000 1972-90 1979-2000 1972-2001 1971-2002 1972-91 1973-2010 5.52 4.69 5.47 4.93 Bds. Rev. 24.0 12.9 1972-01 1973-1999 Hawaii, State of Pittsburgh Stadium Auth., Pa. Virginia Public Sch. Auth. Puerto Rico's Louisiana, State of Port of N. Y. Auth. Minnesota Prince Georges Co., Md. Univ. of Louisville K. Y. St. Louis, Mo. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Bds. G.O. 55.0 35.0 25.0 36.8 50.0 100.0 51.8 26.2 14.2 10.0 1974-1991 1972-2011 1972-1991 1973-96 1972-92 2006 1973-1991 1972-1996 1975-2003 1972-1991 4.29 5.76 4.26 6.00 3.90-5,70 2.75-5.00 3.60-5.30 2.80-5.50 2.70-5.00 2.60-5.30 3.00-5.80 2.80-5.20 3.10-4.90 2.20-5.00 2.25-4.65 5.00-6.79 2.25-4.75 2.80-6.00 2.40-4.90 3.00-6.00 Aa A Aa A A Aaa Baa Aa Baa Aaa Aaa Baa Aa A Aa A 4.69 6.13 2.25-5.20 3.50-5.90 Aa Baa -- 4.77 5.07 4.65 --— 4.63 6.48 4.53 6.32 4.79 6.08 4.40 4.74 5.71 4.56 3.00-5.40 3.00-6.00 2.40-5.60 2.75-5.75 2.40-5.50 5.97 " 2.50-5.00 2.60-5.25 3.30-6.20 2.25-5.00 A Baa Aa A-l A-l Aa A A Aa o T A B L E 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (continued) (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 ISSUER TYPE State and Local Ohio, State of G.O. New York St. Hsg. Finance Agcy. Rev. Texas, State of G.O. L. A. Harbor Dbpt. Calif. G.O. OF DOLLARS) COUPON RATE OR MATURITY NET INTEREST COST 75.0 103.8 25.0 16.0 1972-91 1971-2002 1972-87 1972-1992 AMOUNT (MILLIONS \ 2 4.43 5.90 February 1 thru February 26, 1971 OFFERINC YIELD MOODY'S RATING 2.38-5.20 2.40-6.20 2.30-4.70 2.75-5.70 Aaa Aa Aaa lights offering. I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and other security o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; State and local security offerings of $10 m i l l i o n and over. In case of State and local government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. d e n o t e s gem-ral o b l i g a t i o n ; •Xev.-Ut., revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured o n l y b y income from public u t i l i t i e s ; R e v . - Q . - U t . , revenue bonds secured only by income from q u a s i - u t i l i t i u s ; R e v . - S . T . , revenue b o n d s secured by r e v e n u e from specific taxes only; R e v . - R e n t . , revenue b o n d s secured solely by lease payments. I n c l u d e s foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l B a n k for R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development issues and n o n - q u a r a n t e e d issues by Federal A g e n c i e s . / It 11 TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 (continued) ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) Comorates Abbott Laboratories Debs. 60.0 Pet Inc. Debs. 35.0 Bankers Trust Co. Notes 75.0 Walgreen Co. Debs. 30.0 Harsco Corp. S. F. debs. 30.0 Avco Financial Service Inc. Debs. 50.0 Maine Yankee Atomic Pwr. Co Bds. 50.0 Bds. Falcon Tankers Inc. 14.0 Phillips Petroleum Debs. 200.0 *Fruehauf Finance Co. Notes 25.0 Debs. 25.0 *FruehaufFinance Co. Debs. Gen'l Elec. Co. 200.0 50.0 North Am. Rockwell Corp. S. F. debs. North Am. Rockwell Corp. Bds. 50.0 Chemical &. Y. Corp. Con. debs. 50.0 Columbia Gas System Inc. Debs. 75.0 Duquense Lt. Co. 35.0 1st. Mtg. 200.0 Pacific Tel. & Tel. Co. Debs. Seaboard Coast Line R.R. 50.0 1st. Mtg. Philadelphia Elec. Co. Cum. Pref. Stk. 50.0 Ralston Purina Co. Debs. 50.0 Rochester Tel. Co. Bds. 30.0 Pacific & Foundry Co. Debs. 15.0 60.0 Burlington Northern, Inc. 1st. Mtg. 35.0 Utah Pwr. & Lt. Co. Bds. Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of 40.0 America Bds. Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of America Debs. 40.0 90.0 Virginia Elec. & Pwr. Co. Bds. 30.0 Bds. Arkansas Pwr. & Lt. Co. 40.0 1st. Mtg. L. I. Lighting Co. Orange & Rockland Utilities 25.0 Bds. Inc. )ebs. 30.0 *Texas Gas Trans. Corp. )ebs. . 35.0 U. ?. Financial )ebs. 125.0 *New Jersey Bell Tel. Co. 40.0 General Tel. Co. of the S.W. ids. Lst. Mtg. 18.0 Florida Gas Trans. Co. )ebs. 35.0 Puerto Rico Tel. Co. • 32.0 American Airlines Inc. CJtfs. 20.0 Central Tel. & Utility Corp.1Lst. Mtg. 50.0 Southern Natural Gas Co. :tebs. Levi ting Furniture Corp. First Chicago Corp. Dayton Pwr. & Lt. Co. I! Com Stk. Debs. Pref. Stk. 32.1 150.0 20.0 As of February 26, 1971 APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING % Mar. 1 Mar. 1 Mar. 1 Mar. 1 Mar. 1 Mar. 2 Mar. 2 Mar. 2 Mar. 2 Mar. 3 Mar. 3 Mar. 3 Mar. 3 Mar. 3 Mar. 3 Mar. 4 Mar. 8 ^ ^ Mar. 9 Apnjuafvr Mar. 9 flTin Xapnausv Mar. 10 11 Mar. 11 16 Mar. 11 Mar. 11 Mar. 11 Mar. 16 Mar. 17 Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. 17 17 18 23 Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. 24 24 25 30 31 Mar. Mar. Mar. . 12 TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 (C ntinUed) ° ISSUER TYPE .AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) Corporates (continued) Dayton Pwr. & Lt. Co. 1st. Mtg. American Metal Climax Inc. Notes Am rican Metal Climax Inc. S.F. debs. La. Pwr. & Lt. 1st. Mtg. Evans Products Co. Debs. Ga. -Pacific Corp. Conv. deb's. Ford Motor Credit Debs. Hoover Ball & Bearing Co. S.F. debs. Gen'l Tel. Co. of Ohio 1st. Mtg. -F. W. Woolworth Co. Debs. Dayco Corp. Debs. Alabama Gas Co. 1st. Mtg. Monumental Corp. Notes Occidental Petroleum Corp. Conv. debs. Beneficial Corp. Bds. Beneficial Corp. Bds. Microdot Inc. Notes. Indiana Bell Tel. Co. Debs. Standard Oil Co. (Calif.) S. F. debs. Morgan Guaranty Cap. notes Kentucky Utilities Co. Equity Sec. Re&tuclgJJjrfrlities Co. 1st. Mtg. jQtfo Pwr. Co. 1st. Mtg. Standard Oil Co. of Calif. S. F. debs. New England Tel. & Tel. Co. Debs. 45.0 50.0 50.0 25.0 50.0 125.0 200.0 25.0 20.0 125.0 20.0 16.0 20.0 100.0 25.0 50.0 20.0 100.0 250.0 150.0 15.0 35.0 40.0 250.0 200.0 as of February 26, 1971 APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Mar. Apr. Apr. Apr. Apr. * Apr. Apr. 1 Apr. Mary 25 13 TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)i ISSUER TYPE State and Local G • 0. Hempstead N. Y. Rev. Atlanta, Ga. G. 0. Roanoke, Va. G.O. New York St. Dorm. Auth. G. 0. Maryland, State of Milwaukee, Wise. G.O. Broward Co. S/D G.O. Dallas, City of G.O. Birmingham Wtr. Works Bd., Ala. Rev. G.O. Suffolk Co., N. Y. Wash. St. Bd. Comm. College Ed. Bds. G.O. San Antonio, Tex. G.O. Buffalo, N. Y. G.O. •South Carolina, State of Notes Calif., State of G.O. California \ Cincinnati, Ohio G.O. Rev. Henderson, Ky. fNew Jersey, State of G.O. Cleveland City Sch. Dist. G.O. Oakland Co., Mich. G.O. ^ St. Louis Co., Mo. G.O. Baltimore, Md. G.O. G.O. tClarkstown, N. Y. Rev. East Allen SBJC Ind. Rev. *Dade Co. Port Auth., Fla. G.O. Newark, N. J. Santa Clara Co., Calif Bldg. Rev. G.O. Clark Co., Nev. S/D G.O. Greensboro, N. C. G-O. West Virginia, State of G.O. Texas Wtr. Development Bd. San Bernardino, Calif. Redevp. Bds. Agency * 1 2 1 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 17.9 23.5 10.1 29.5 56.3 12.8 18.6 27.0 . 11.0 16.6 21.0 13.0 22.1 38.7 100.0 10.0 16.1 76.0 75.0 16.0 133.3 17.4 35.2 12.7 11.0 10.8 18.8 17.0 13.0 11.0 45,0 25.0 13.5 APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Mar: 2 Mar. 2 Mar. 2 Mar. 2 Mar. 2 Mar. 2 Mar. 3 Mar. 3 Mar. 3 Mar. 4 Mar. 4 Mar. 4 Mar. 9 Mar. 9 Mar. 10 Mar. 10 ^ Mar. 10 Mar. 10 Mar. 10 Mar. 11 Mar. 11 Mar. 11 Mar. 16 Mar. 16 Mar. 16 Mar. 16 Mar. 16 Mar. 21 Mar. 25 Mar. 31 30 Mar. Mar. Included in table for first time. includes corporate and other Issues of $15 million and over; State and local Government issues of $10 million and over• Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues of Federal Agencies. Tables 14 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME STOCK PRICES1* TRADMG VOLUME 2 ' DATE NYSE INDEX 3 * 1968 - High Low 1969 - High . Low 1970 - High Lew DJ.MDUSTRIALS AMEX 4 - NYSE AMEX 9.3(1/19) 2.9(3/29) 61.27(11/2) 48.66(3/5) 985.21(12/13) 33.24(12/20) 17.1(7/12) 8.3(3/29) 825.13(3/21) 21.97(3/25) 50.32(5/14) 49.31(7/29) 968.85(5/14) 32.91(1/3) 769.93(12/17) 25.02(7/29) 16.5(3/29) 8.6(8/29) 8.0(1/31) 3.6(11/21) 52.36(1/5) 37.69(5/26) 842.00(12/29) 27.02(1/8) 631.16(5/26) 19.36(5/27) 18.5(12/4) 7.8(8/14) 7.1(1/2) 1.8(8/14) 1971 - Jan. 29 52.64 868.50 24.32 20.2 5.3 Feb. 53.36 54.16 53.20 53.19 876.57 888.83 878.56 878.83 24.87 25.37 25.03 25.13 21.1 22.1 18.6 16.1 6.9 6.7 5 12 19 26 1. Figures other then highs and lows are Fridays only. Highs-end lows are for the year and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2. NYSE ie the Hew York Stock Exchange; AMEX is the American Stock Exchange. Volume figures are daily averaged for the entire week, (millions of shares). Trading is normally conducted for 5-1/2 hours per day and 5 days per week, or In recent years, however abbreviated trading to the extent, and over the time Hours/ Days/ From Through; Day Week January 3, 1969 July 7, 1969 January 2, 1970 July 3, 1969 December 31, 1969 May 1, 1970 3. 12/31/65 - 50 4. Average dollar value of shares listed. 4 4-1/2 5 5 5 5 27-1/2 hours per week. periods, shown below: Hours/ Week 20 22-1/2 25 15 TABLE 9: Security Credit END OF PERIOD Outstanding; CREDIT EXTENDED TO MARGIN CUSTOMERS BY: BROKERS 1 I BANKS 2 | TOTAL CUSTOMERS 1 NET DEBIT BALANCES NET CREDIT CUSTOMERS' NET EXTENDED BY FREE CREDIT BROKERS AND DEALERS3 BALANCES 1969 - Dec. 4,970 2,580 7,550 7,445 2,803 4,642 1970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Change in Outstanding; 4,680 4,570 4,520 4,360 4,160 4,150 3,800 3,810 3,920 4,010 4,010 4,030 2,430 2,370 2,370 2,330 2,290 2,290 2,290 2,300 2,330 2,270 2,320 2,330 7,110 6,940 6,890 6,690 6,450 6,150 6,090 6,110 6,250 6,280 6,330 6,360 6,683 6,562 6,353 5,985 5,433 5,281 2,626 2,563 2,441 2,248 2,222 2,009 (5)2,180 2,083 2,236 2,163 2,197 2,286 4,057 4,099 3,912 3,724 3,211 3,272 E (4) (4) (4) 8! (4) (4) (4) (4) 1969 - Dec. -100 60 -40 334 190 144 1970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -290 -150 - 40 -440 -170 - 50 -762 -177 -163 -585 42 -187 1 2 3 -110 - 50 -160 200 40 40 - 10 -350 - 10 110 90 2 18 10 30 60 50 10 -200 240 -300 - 60 - 20/ 140 30 52 28 -121 -209 -368 -552 -152 -22 rl93 - 26 -213 171 97 153 - 73 34 89 -188 -513 - 61 Margin debt, as reported by the New York Stock Exchange. Although margin debt ' until March 1968 included loans secured by U.S. governments, the amount of such loans included is thought to have been small. • "Bank loans to others than brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying securities other than U.S. governments." The difference between customers' net debit balances and customers' net free credit balances, this figure represents the net credit extended by brokers and dealers to the nonfinancial public. / NOTE: With the exception of bank loan data, figures,are supplied by the New York Stock Exchange an£.>re end of month data. Bank loans are for weekly reporting large commercial banks. Broker data includes loans for regulated securities; bank data includes loans for the purpose of purchasing or carrying any security, whether regulated or not. / TABLE 10: Savings Flows at Nonbank Depositary Intermediaries ($ millions) DATE MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS REGULAR DEPOSITS 3 NET SHARE CAPITAL NET ANNUAL NEW ANNUAL NEW 2 GROWTH ' MONEY NET NET GROWTH MONEY 2 1 1 RATE FLOW FLOW RATE TOTAL DEPOSITS ANNUAL NET GROWTH RATE 1 FLOW NET NEW MONEY 2 Not Seasonally Adjusted 1968 197^/ 1969 - Nov. Dec. 1970 - Jan. 1970 - Nov. . Dec.E/ 1971 - Jan.# 4,203 2,549 4,466 257 571 -114 497 1,167 750 7.0 4.0 6.7 1,143 7,432 -763 4,019 936 11,083 179 226 -237 1,069 -240 -1,371 388 376 n. a. 1,098 2,730 2,460 ~ 6.0 3.1 8.2 6.3 3.4 7.7 3,881 -1,766 6,224 2,738 -1,003 5,288 11,635 6,568 15,549 207 -387 -1,418 483 1,640 -1,485 386 -624 -1,658 1,044 1,154 n.a. 1,595 3,897 3,210 1,432 1,530 n.a. Seasonally Adjusted 6.8 — 268 785 1,053 4.7 7.6 11.9 1,830 1,393 437 11.9 1,399 1,843 444 7.7 1,092 9.2 1,623 9.1 531 14.6 14.1 1,755 2,577 822 3,256 26.8 13.4 4,047 791 1971 - Jan.' 1 Annual growth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase 1970 - Aug. Sept. Oct. 2 3 6.1 10.5 10.5 9.2 14.4 22.4 in deposits. Net New Money is new deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&Ls are for insured associations only, which represent 96% of industry total resources. Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. SOURCE: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. TABLE 11: Mortgage Commitments at Selected Thrift Institutions 1 NET CHANGE OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS DATE 4 -Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. TOTAL ALL ALL MUTUAL 1 SAVINGS SAVINGS & TOTAL SAVINGS & BANKS LOAN LOAN (N.Y. STATE) ASSOCIATIONS ASSOCIATIONS -• (Billions of Dollars, S<asonally Adjusted) 1/ 8.3^ 8.0^/ 7.6 7.8 8.0 8.6 8.8 9.1 , 5.7^ 5.52/ 5.2 5.4 5i8 6.5 6.8 : # 10.0%/ 7.8%/ 8.1 8.4 - Jan. 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 -.14 -.27 -.29 .08 .20 .37 .21 .26 .31 .28 .06 MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS (N.Y. STATE) -.18 -.20 -.24 .21 .34 .41 .29 .36 .37 .35 .28 .25 )\ Based on data from Federal-,-Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Associations of New York State. Data for savings banks and S&L's include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments. S&L commitments include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded outstandings levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. .04 -.07 -.05 -.13 -.14 -.04 -.08 -.10 -.06 -.07 -.22 18 TABLE 12: Net Change in Mortgage Holdings1 DATE T TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS & SAVINGS LOAN. BANKS ASSOC. TOTAL COMMERCIAL BANKS 18,105 20,016 23,781 24,051 15,782 18,219 21,273 19,676 1969 - Nov. - Dec. 1,636 2,120 1,042 1,475 1970 - Jan. 1,041 1966 1967 1968 196ST/ 1970 - Nov. - Dec. 437 r 2,178 2,763 r l,925 2,615 1971 - Jan. 1 1,469 1,542 1,330 1,351 1,485 1,749 2,083 1,817 2,091 2,074 2,187 2,554 n.a. 919 1,044 809 844 1,050 1,281 1,575 1,409 1,727 1,754 1,958 2,454 2,323 1,797 2,508 4,375 594 645 151 325 450 533 141 417 50 38 136 213 300 200 231 199 140 76 65 81 165 168 228 195 224 312 283 183 254 n.a. 1,322 1,666 967 Seasonally Adiusted .25 452 482 143 322 186 385 188 155 631 201 777 142 1,055 983 175 245 1,103 1,189 170 1*427 176 208 1,704 x n.a. 1,287 FNMA-GNMA 4,596 2,907 2,459 2,052 300 200 100 1971 - Jan. 1970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. Hay June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Not Seasonally Adiusted 2,720 4,705 3,761 3,153 7,520 4,639 2,787 9,350 6,677 2,682 5,535 9,407 LIFE INSURANCE COMPANIES 604 r 120 495 253 148 n.a. n.a. 211 220 161 195 199 222 213 83 151 200 131 232 550 498 521 507 435 468 508 408 364 320 229 100 n.a. n.a. v " t t ; ) Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates b'enchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thererafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these groups accounted for 87 per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1969. 19 TABLE 13: Net Increases in Mor tgage Debt Outstanding QUARTER TOTAL Billions of dollars, SAAR-1- to 4- MULTIRESIDENTIAL3 FAMILY FAMILY COMMERCIAL 1 MULTI-AND COMMERCIAL FARM ! 1966 - II IV 18.6 15.1 10.9 9.1 8.3 7.0 2.6 2.1 5.5 4.1 8.2 6.0 2.2 1.8 1967 - I XX III IV 15.9 20.7 26.6 27.3 10.3 13.9 19.2 19.8 7.0 10.5 15.3 16.0 3.3 3.4 3,9 3.8 3.9 5.0 4.9 4.8 7.3 8.4 8.8 8.4 1.8 1.8 2.5 2.8 1968 - I 27.7 26.2 26.0 29.6 19.0 18.2 17.7 20.2 15.8 15.0 14.1 16.4 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.8 6.4 5.9 6.5 7.5 9.4 9.2 10.2 11.1 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.8 1969 - Ip IIP IIIp IVp 31.3 28.9 26.5 30.4 29.0 21.5 19.3 18.3 18.6 16.8 14.6 13.0 4.4 4.7 4.7 5.3 6.2 5.2 5.3 5.4 10.4 10.1 10.0 10.7 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.4 1970 - Ip 20.3 23.4 26.9 13.8 16.9 20.9 8.8 11.5 15.0 5.0 5.4 6.0 5.0 5.0 4.2 9.8 9.8 10.1 1.5 1.5 1.7 n III IV- IIIp IVp ... l Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Fed^ITDeposit Insurance ' Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, Na^ tional Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required^estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. May differ somewhat from related flow of funds serfe? mainly because of more aggregative type of seasonal adjustment. Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of l-to 4- farilv ™ and multifamily mortgage debt combined. TABLE 14: FNMA Weekly "Auction" Results WEEK ENDED COMMITMENTS IN $ MILLIONS ACCEPTED 1-YEARN 906TOTAL TOTAL DAY MONTH & OVER OFFERED 149.8 149.7 181.2 170.3 7 14 28 267.5 352.5 341.5 222.4 166.5 165.5 60.6 - Jan. 25 44.6 35.5 23.3 - Oct. 5 19 Nov. 2 16 Dec. Feb. 8 23.4 62.2 53.2 100.1 75.8 127.8 54.7 124.7 42.1 48.1 17.2 9.9 10.6 73.1 88.1 62.4 79.4 60.9 72.1 28.9 25.6 90- 6- 1-YEAR 1 & OVER DAY MONTH 14.5 8.4 18.7 15.1 8.90 8.89 8.90 8.89 8.92 8.90 8.93 8.90 8.97 8.95 8.93 8.92 12.2 10.5 3.0 8.56 8.51 8.41 8.54 8.43 8.36 8.57 8.47 8.40 7.83 7.67 7.96 -- — 12.7 IMPLICIT YIELD2(per cent) 7.67 I Note: Under the FNMA auction system, approved sellers of Governmentunderwritten mortgages bid for FNMA forward purchase commitments, subject to an over-all dollar limit announced by FNMA in advance. Bids accepted by FNMA are for delivery at the seller's option, and at any time within the specified period. Bids on proposed homes relate to construction not yet started on which mortgages may be delivered only after completion and occupancy. J For "proposed construction" of new homes only. Average secondary market yield after allowance for commitment fee and required purchase and holding of FNMA stock, assuming prepayment of 15 years for 30-year Government-underwritten mortgages. Yields shown are gross, before deduction of 38 basis points fee paid by investors to servicers. Prior to August 10, 1970 the servicing fee was 50 basis points. 21 TABLE 15: Private Housing Starts and Permits STARTS DATE - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. • Jan. j>/ SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE TOTAL 1-FAMILY 2 OR MORE 1,059 1,306 1,392 1,224 1,242 1,393 1,603 1,425 1,509 1,583 1,693 2,028 1,701 577 725 708 697 728 835 827 838 881 890 934 1,228 931 482 581 684 527 514 558 776 587 627 693 759 800 770 TOTAL 66.4 74.3 114.7 128.4 125.0 135.2 140.8 128.7 130.9 140.9 126.9 119.9 109.1 UNADJUSTED TYPE OF FINANCING FHA VA OTHER 16.5 17.5 25.2 32.4 37.1 40.7 43.4 34.1 34.3 40.4 33.7 63.2 32.3 3.4 3.9 4.8 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.6 5.3 5.8 5.5 5.7 4.6 46.5 52.9 84.7 90.6 80.8 89.4 92.1 87.7 91.3 94.7 87.2 51.0 72.2 BUILDING PERMITS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE)2 1,013 1,137 1,099 1,263 1,321 1,306 1,275 1,326 1,371 1,521 1,487 1,768 1,595 1 Total starts are Census estimates including farm for both permit-issuing and noi,-issuing areas. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins; all units in an apartment structure are considered started at that time. FHA and VA starts are units started under commitments by these agencies to insure or guarantee the mortgages. As reported by FHA and .VA, a unit is started when a field office receives the first compliance inspection report, which is made before footings are poured in some cases but normally after the foundations have been completed. Other starts are derived as a residual, although total and FHA and VA starts are not strictly comparable in concept or timing; other starts include both units financed by conventional mortgages and units without mortgages. 2 Building permits before January 1963 are Census estimates for about 10,000 areas ^identified as having a local building permit system in 1959. Estimates beginning January 1963 are for approximately 12,000 and beginning January 1967 13,000, or all known permit-issuing places. Unlike starts, seasonally adjusted building permits reflect direct adjustment for differences in the number of working days per month, as well as other differences in timing and coverage. I TABLE 16: Mortgage and Bond Yields DATE FHA MORTGAGES 2 30-YEAR 1 CONVEN- SPREAD BENEW TIONAL TWEEN YIELDS Aaa CORMORTON CONV. & PORATE FHA MORTGAGES BONDS 3 4 GAGES SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON NEW CORPORATE BONDS AND FHA MORTGAGES 1967 - High - Low 1968 - High Low 1969 - High Low 6.81 6.29 7.52 6.78 8.62 7.99 6.70 6.40 7.40 6.75 8.35 7.55 .11 -.12 .02 -.27 -.13 -.40 6.51 5.18 6.79 6.15 8.75 6.91 1.28 .27 1.20 .26 1.08 -.13 1970 - High Low 9.29 8.40 8.60 8.30 -.10 -.74 9.11 7.80 .99 .01 1970 - Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 9.01 8.97 8.90 8.40 8.50 8.50 8.45 8.30 -.51 -.47 -.45 -.10 8.42 8.63 8.34 7.80 .59 .34 .56 .60 1971 -Jan. 7.95 n.a. 7.24 n.a. 1 Neither mortgage nor bond yields include allowance for servicing costs which are much higher for mortgages than for bonds. Generally, bonds pay interest semiannually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, if computed as equivalent to a semi-annual interest investment, would be slightly higher than given in the table. 2 3 4 Based on FHA-field-office-opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market for new-home mortgages for Immediate delivery. Data shown are for 30-year mortgages with minimum downpayments, and weighted by probable volume of transactions. Yields computed by FHA, assuming prepayment period of 15 years for 30-year mortgages. Dashed lines indicate periods of adjustment to changes in contractual interest rates. Based on FHA-field-office opinion on typical interest rates (rounded) on conventional first mortgages prevailing in the market areas of insuring officecities. Beginning with April 1960, rate relates only to new-home mortgages; prior to that date, rate related to both new as well as existing-home mortgages. Dashed line indicates this change in the series. See note for Table 1. 23 TABLE 17: Conventional Mortgage Terms DATE 1 NEW HOMES CON- FEES & TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATURITY RATE (PER TIVE (YEARS) (PER CENT) RATE CENT) 3 2 LOAN / PRICE LOAN RATIO AMT. (PER ($000) CENT) 4 EXISTING HOMES CON- FEES & LOAN/ TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATU- PRICE LOAN RATE (PER TIVE RITY RATIO AMT. (PER CENT) RATE (YEARS) (PER ($000) CENT) CENT). 2 4 3 8.16 8.23 8.29 8.24 8.28 8.31 8.32 8.35 8.31 8.33 8.26 8.20 1.08 1.09 1.11 1.02 0.98 0.99 1.01 0.98 1.03 1.05 0.99 1.07 8.34 8.41 8.47 8.41 8.45 8.48 8.49 8.52 8.48 8.51 8.43 8.38 25.0 24.2 25.0 24.8 25.3 25.1 25.1 24.8 25.2 25.1 25.3 25.8 69.3 71.8 71.1 71.3 71.7 71.3 71.5 71.6 72.7 72.4 72.1 73.8 25.1 24.9 25.1 24.5 25.3 25.6 24.9 25.5 25.3 24.8 25.2 25.8 8.13 8.23 8.26 8.19 8.18 8.19 8.21 8.25 8.27 8.20 8.18 8.12 0.94 1.02 0.98 0.90 0.94 0.98 0.95 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.85 0.85 8.29 8.41 8.43 8.34 8.34 8.36 8.37 8.41 8.42 8.35 8.32 8.26 22.4 22.4 22.6 22.7 22.8 23.0 23.1 23.1 22.8 22.8 22.7 23.3 70.3 70.2 70.4 70.2 70.3 71.5 71.5 71.7 71.7 71.5 71.5 71.9 20.5 20.4 20.6 20.4 21.1 21.5 21.7 21.4 21.0 20.5 21.1 21.7 8.02 0.89 8.17 25.7 73.1 26.4 7.93 0.82 8.07 23.4 72.3 22 x 1970 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July. Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1971 Jan. ^ 1. Compiled by Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Data are weighted averages based on probability sample survey of characteristics of conventional first mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups (including mortgage companies) for purchase of single family homes. Data exclude loans for refinancing, reconditioning or modernization; construction loans to home-builders; and permanent loans which are coupled with construction loans to ownerbuilders. Related series on conventional mortgage rates only, based on unweighted opinions of field-office directors of the Federal Housing Administration, are available somewhat sooner than the results of the FHLBB-FDIC survey, and are included-in the case of new home mortgage rates—in Table 16. 2 Fees and charges--expressed as a percentage of the principal mortgage amount—include loan commissions, fees, discounts, and other charges which provide added income to the lender and are paid by the borrower. They exclude any closing costs related solely to transfer of property ownership. 3 Includes fees & charges amortized over a 10 year period in addition to the contract interest rate. 4 Derived by FRB. -