Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : June 28, 1956
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7/ v Not for" P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS Ho lit June 28, 1956 C a p i t a l Markets Development The volume of p u b l i c l y o f f e r e d s e c u r i t i e s was q u i t e l a r g e during the week ending June 23, and w i l l be l a r g e again t h i s week* S t a t e arid l o c a l governments sold l a r g e bond i s s u e s t o t a l i n g <?20U m i l l i o n l a s t week, while corporate i s s u e s of Wi3 m i l l i o n were o f f e r e d* The l a r g e s t i s s u e of the week, the ;:?l66 m i l l i o n Grant County Public U t i l i t y D i s t r i c t i s s u e , was favorably received by i n v e s t o r s and was quoted a t • above the o f f e r i n g p r i c e on the day of o f f e r i n g . This week, ending June 29, a $92 m i l l i o n Public Housing A u t h o r i t i e s i s s u e i s scheduled f o r s a l e . and r i g h t s expire on a ^20 m i l l i o n common stock o f f e r i n g . Bond y i e l d s - Yield on outstanding bonds were s t a b l e or increased s l i g h t l y during the week ending June 23, except f o r those on Aaa-rated S t a t e and l o c a l government bonds which decreased s l i g h t l y . A new 30-year, f i r s t mortgage, e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y bond i s s u e was r e o f f e r e d on June 20 a t a y i e l d 3.75 per c e n t , 27 b a s i s p o i n t s higher than y i e l d s on s i m i l a r outstanding bonds of somewhat s h o r t e r m a t u r i t y ; a s i m i l a r new o f f e r i n g on May 16 was made a t about the same y i e l d and s p r e a d . Estimated J u l y volume - The volume of corporate s e c u r i t y i s s u e s f o r new c a p i t a l during J u l y i s estimated a t ^1,075 m i l l i o n , f o u r - f i f t h s . l a r g e r than the volume a year ago and one-fourth g r e a t e r than i n June. Included i n the t o t a l are expected l a r g e public i s s u e s t o t a l i n g $U37 ^ m i l l i o n , including the $250 m i l l i o n AT&T debenture o f f e r i n g ; smaller public o f f e r i n g s and take-downs of p r i v a t e placements "are a l s o expected to continue i n s u b s t a n t i a l volume. S t a t e and l o c a l government bond i s s u e s during J u l y are expected to t o t a l # 0 0 m i l l i o n , 15 per c e n t l e s s than i n J u l y 1955, and f o u r - f i f t h s smaller than i n June of t h i s y e a r . The estimate f o r J u l y does n o t include any very l a r g e i s s u e s i n c o n t r a s t t o the June volume, of which almost t w o - f i f t h s was accounted f o r by two l a r g e i s s u e s . Stock p r i c e s - Common stock p r i c e s , as measured by the SEC index of 265 s t o c k s , increased f r a c t i o n a l l y l a s t week, c l o s i n g on June 22 a t 277.7* Trading volume averaged only 1 . 6 m i l l i o n shares per day, the s m a l l e s t volume t h i s year to d a t e . Daily indexes i n d i c a t e some f u r t h e r increase i n stock prices through Wednesday of t h i s week. More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s presented i n the a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and Capital Markets S e c t i o n , D i v i s i o n of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, ' EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS | CORPORATE A g o --v"" U. S. GOVERNMENT: / \ / V " STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a a . Govt., long-term - / Date Corporate Aaa 1 / Old series New s e r i e s Spread between S t a t e and U. S. Govt, l o c a l govt. (old s e r i e s ) and Aaa 3/ Corporate 1State and Aaa l l o c a l Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High 195U - High Low 1955 - High 1956 - High Low May 25 June 22 3.1*2 2.99 3-09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.30 3.07 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (U/23) (12/23) (1/7) (5/1*) (3/2) 3.27 3.27 3.27 3.26 3.26 3.15 2.78 2.71* 2.1* 2.91* 2.62 3-08 2.80 (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) (1/7) (V20) (2/17) 2.89 2.87 2.87 2.87 2.86 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . n.a. 3.03 (6/5) 2.89 (6/10) 3.13'(U/20) 2.92 (2/3) 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3U 2.05 2.51 2.17 3.00 2.99 2.98 2.97 2.98 2.1iU 2.U2 2.38 2.33 2.32 (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (5/3) (2/23) .38 •19 • 1*3 •32 .31* • 13 .1*0 •13 .81* .30 .61 .29 .70 .51* .68 .1*5 .38 .1*0 .1*0 • 39 .38 .1*5 •1*5 .1*9 .51* • 56 Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 2 / Weekly averages of d a i l y f i g u r e s . The old s e r i e s "includes f u l l y taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or f i r s t c a l l a b l e a f t e r 12 years through September 1955* and those due or c a l l a b l e in 10-12 years t h e r e a f t e r ; the average term to f i r s t c a l l of the bonds included declined from 1U years in e a r l y 1953 to 11 1/2 years in e a r l y 1956. The new s e r i e s i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/U per cent bond of 1978-83. 3/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. EXHIBIT B L O W E R - G R A D E BOND YIELDS STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE Date Corporate Baa \ / State and local govt. Baa 2/ State and local govt, rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1953 -High Low 195U - High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.7U 3.B 3.63 3.U5 3.75 3-58 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/1L) (6/22) (3/9) 3-79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 3.UU 3.20 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (5/3) (3/8) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.12 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (U/27) (2/2U) 3.01* • 3.33 May 25 3.03 3-31 June 1 3.02 3.28 June 8 7 3.00 3.23 1. 4 June 15 ! 3.01 3.2k June 22 3.75 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. , 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included i s , between Baa and Aj average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET 1953 Stock p r i c e index 1 / 1954 1955 Trading Common volume j y (millions yields j / of s h a r e s ) (per cent) 1956 Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers 1 d e b i t b a l - loans t o ances h/ " o t h e r s " 5 / Total (Millions of d o l l a r s ) 1953 - High 1951 - High 1955 - High 1956 - High Low April May June 22 167.1 U6.0 221.h 156.5 270.7 217.U290.8 257.lt (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/1U) (b/6) (1/20) 286.8 280.1 269.8 277.0 277.7 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.li U.6 1.5 3.1 1.6 5.75 5-15 5.33 U.20 U.22 3.78 U.08 3.68 2,165 2,055 3,136 2,U05 L,030 3,537 W 7 3,991 1,665 1,31U 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,810 2,7UO 780 66k 1,0U8 7U6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,217 2.6 2.U 2.0 1.7 1.6 3.69 3.97 U,0U3 U,0U7 2,788 2,810 n.a. n.a. i n.a. 1,255 1,237 1,232 1,217 n.a. . ilea.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / SEC index of 265 common s t o c k s , weekly closing p r i c e s , 1939*100; converted t o 1957-U9"100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion f a c t o r i s 123.91* 2 / Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common s t o c k s ; end of month f i g u r e s . "k/ Ehd of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of t h e New York Stock Exchange which c a r r y margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member banks. Excludes loans f o r purchasing or carrying U. S . Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks i n New York and Chicago. Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks account f o r about 72 p e r cent of loans t o o t h e r s . Note.—Highs and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. H.lii Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1956 JanuaryFebruary „ March 579 70k 790 5# U07 1,223 April May June e/890 e/l,lOO e/875 k78 886 667 July August September e / l , 075 October November December 1st q u a r t e r Ind quarter 3rd quarter kth quarter Year 2,073 e/2,865 New c a p i t a l 1 Corporate 19bk 1 1,617 e/2,6'65 . 195k 5k7 i|26 635 ! i { boh 696 5/375 535 312 5# U97 656 81,2 t I I e/350 e/500 e/700 U27 350 641 597 6hh 670 909 .335 7k7 1 e/hOO U70 2k9 ko6 279 261 6k9 1,162 y 632 900 1,003 290 60 k 919 658 k08 59k " k23 877 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 8,821 1,608 1,995 . 1,991 1,896 7,k90 • • Excluding finance companies 2/ 1 s t quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter kth quarter Year State and l o c a l 1 1955 1 1,727 1,870 l,k3k 2,55k 7,569 1 1 ! i 1,385 l,kl8 1,12k 1,98k 5,911 396 111 565 - 73k 7k8 853 1,372 2,33k 1,188 1,89k 6,789 1 . 1,527 . 1,927 j 1,911 1,792 7,158 e / Estimated. ' ! ' . 1 / Includes $637.2 million AT&T, convertible debenture issue. 2 / Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of sales and personal finance companies. . Note.—Details may not add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. H.lU Exhibit E Large Public S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large I s s u e s Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Month 1955 - May June July August September October November December 1956 - January & February ™ March April May Corporate State and l o c a l government 1*83 175 101 l|05 328 805 221 26] 95 212 278 3# 623 152 l|03 278 65 23U 716 Uoi 227 192 uuu 163 157 233 . , , . Other 2/ 25 50 —— 50 Large I n d i v i d u a l Issues Offered June 1 through 22 Issuer type 3 / Amount (millions Maturity of dollars) Coupon j Rating CORPORATE Commonwealth Edison U. S. Plywood Household Finance Boston Edison Combustion Eng'g. Halliburton Oil Well Cementing Co. 1 s t mtg.bds. Deb. Deb. Pfd. s t k . Conv. sub.deb. Common s t k . UO.O 15.0 50.0 18.0 15.0 27.6 1986 1981 1978 1981 3 1/2 U 1/h U U.25 3 3/8 3*50 U.25 >.00 Aaa Baa 3*38 Baa H.llr E-2 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered June 1 through 22 (Cont'd) Issuer 3/ Coupon Amount O f f e r i n g Rating r a t e or (millions jMaturityyield net interof dollars)| est cost STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Rev. Wash. Toll Bridge Auth. G.O. C i n c i n n a t i , Ohio, G.O. New York, N. Y» G.O. Denver, Colorado G.O. Chicago, I l l i n o i s Elec. r e v . Tallahassee, F l o r i d a 3til. t a x rev. Tallahassee, F l o r i d a Rev. Pa. Gen. S t a t e Auth. Rev. Georgia Rural Roads Auth, G.O. S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a G.O.— . . Hudson County, N. J . U t i l . rev. Alexandria., La. G.O. Long Beach, C a l i f . G.O. . Wash. Sub. San% Dist.,Md, G.O. I t a t e of Vermont Rev. Pwr. Auth. of the S t a t e of N. Y. Rev. Grant Co. Pub. U t i l . D i s t . , Wash.. 6.0 1956-96 8.5 1957-96 30.0 1957-71 1967-95 5.3 22.0 1958-75 U.o 1959-78 1958-82 1.5 20.0 1958-82 1958-72 15.5 5o.o . 1958-77 5.1 1958-81 8.3 1959-86 1958-81 5-9 1957-95 • 8.5 7.6 1957-66 1961-85 7.3 "166.0 2005 n.a. 2.35 2.80 2.50 , 2.61 3.13 3.07 2.66 2.91 2.30 2.71+ 3.2lt 2»U6 3.12 1.98 2.86 >.05 V 1.70-2.50 2.00-2.80 2.10-2.55 2.10-2.65 2.60-3.15 2.25-3.10 2.10-2.70 2.20-2.75 1.80-2.35 2.00-2.75 2.1*0-3.25 1.90-2.52 2.50-3.60 1.65-2.00 2,30-3.00 3.92 OTHER 1 / Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of 015 m i l l i o n and over; State"and local'government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . 3/ In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes gene r a l o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev*, revenue bonds; G.R., general o b l i g a t i o n s a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L . L . , l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y obligations* secured by pledge of designated revenues. k / No r e o f f e r i n g . — Aaa A Aa A Baa A A Aa A A Aa Baa Aaa — — H.lit Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public S e c u r i t y Offerings f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) ] / Expected Proceeds, from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s Date of computation 1955 - May 3 1 June 30 J u l y 29 Aug. 31 Sept.30 Oct. 31 Nov, 30 Dec. 30 Jan. 31 1956 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 30 During month following date shown Corporate Other.2/ 160 67 U07 222 805 202 215 70 .176 123 380 568 198 1*37 339 3UU 100 18 U 813 330 205 121 327 220 132 .173 332 81 50 Subsequent t o date shown Corporate Other t / 1,861 850 830 1,135 920 909 L12 230 85 376 233 1,013 818 168 567 l,8U5 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 618 50 917 785 811 832 9U1 690 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of June 22 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of dollars) CORPORATE N a t i o n a l Gypsum Common s t k . 19.6 P a c i f i c Gas and E l e c t r i c Common s t k . 36.6 F l o r i d a Power Corp. American Telephone and Telegraph -it-Union E l e c t r i c Co. of h o . •itSperry Rand ^Tennessee Gas Transmission Consolidated Natural Gas CIT F i n a n c i a l P a c i f i c Finance 1 s t mtg. bds. Deb. 1 s t . m t g . bds. Common s t k . Deb. Deb. Deb. Deb. 20.0 250.0 W.O 60.0 30.0 30.0 75.0 25.0 June 25 (rights expire) July 2 ( r i g h t s expire) July 2 July 10 July 17 July 25 (rights expire) July Summer 1956 1956 H.lU , F.-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of June 22 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount •(millions Approximate date of o f f e r i n g ox' d o l l a r s ) STATE - AMD LOCAL GOVERNMENT Public Housing A u t h o r i t i e s S t a t e of Mas s achusetts * Dearborn School D i s t r i c t * Maryland S t a t e Road Commission * Jacksonville, Florida F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Authority Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Pennsylvcjiia Turnpike Commission Washington S t a t e T o l l Bridge Auth. Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . 91.8 G.O. 38.0 G.O. lit.0 G.O. 15.0 E l e c . r e v , ,bds. lli.O Rev. 185.0 Rev. 65.0 Rev. 62.0 Rev. 227.0 Rev. 70.0 June July July July July Fall 1956 - 1956 1956 1956 27 11 18 2h 2h OTHER B r i t i s h Columbia Power Commission SF deb. 20.0 June 27 n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1/ Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of $1$ m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2f Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. H.lU Exhibit G Yields on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1 / Date 1952 1953 195k 1955 average average average average 1956 - January February March 8 16 23 30 April U k 11 25 May 9 16 2k June 8 20 A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above • Actual 1 4*3™% above Actual seasoned y i e l d s (per cent) (basis points) 3.16 3.U6 3.03 3.23 13 16 3 9 None *3.15 3.19 *3 5 3-37 18 3-77 kO 3.53 3.52 19 18 3.35 3.78 3-12 3.33 12 26 -3 12 None 3.23 -5 3-35 7 3.# 3.<7 3-60 3.67 25 23 26 29 3.80 3.73 32 2k 3.75 27 *—Single observation-, not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as r e p o r t e d i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , t h e a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s are averages of o f f e r i n g s during the i n d i c a t e d period and of the d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r the same day. The number of new i s s u e s included in the monthly averages v a r i e s from 2 to U except f o r October 19 5U when 6 A-rated i s s u e s were included. Average maturity f o r the seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 to 28 y e a r s .