Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : July 7, 1958
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS July 7, 1958 H.Ut CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of public security financing for new capital was quite small last week, but is expected to be much larger this week, particularly for corporate securities. During the week ending July It, only one large corporate issue for $25 million was sold. Another ' corporate issue — Martin Company's $25 million debenture issue — was originally scheduled for sale last week, then postponed because of market conditions. No large State and local government issues were soldi This week, large corporate issues, including expiration of subscription rights, are expected to total $227 million. State and local government offerings amounting to $U5 million are also scheduled for sale, . Bond yields - Yields on outstanding bonds changed little last week. Yields on high-grade corporate bonds increased slightly, while those for U. S» Government ahd State and local government obligations remained stable. Yields on corporate Baa's declined slightly. A new A-rated, first mortgage electric utility issue was offered to the public last week to yield 3.98 per cent — 3 basis points above that for a comparable offering made in late May. Unlike the earlier issue, the recent offering carried a provision providing for a 5-year restriction on refunding. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks, advanced to a new high for the year last week, closing at U5.U7 on July 3. Prices are now nearly 16 per cent higher than the December 1957 low and only 7 per cent below the July 1957 high. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section., Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H I G H - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Aoa LOWER - GRADE B O N D YIELDS CORPORATE Baa D LOCAL GOVT. Boo_ Exhibit B H.lli Tables for Kxhibit A High-grade Bond Yields State and local govt. Aaa Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and Aaa local Aaa Corporate Aaa 1/ U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ 1953 - H i g h 19Sh - Low 1957 - high 1958 - High Low 3.1*2 2.85 LlU 3.68 3.55 3.19 (6/5) 2.1*5 (8/6) 3.76 (10/18) 3.28.(1/31) 3.07 (V25) 2.73 (6/25) 1.90 (9/2) 3.1*5 (8/29) 2.86 (1/9) 2.61* (5/1) , .38 .30 .60 .51 .28 .83 .30 .17 .62 .31* June June June June July 3.56 3.56 3.57 3.61 3.62 3.ia 3.15 3.21 3.26 3.26 2.72 2.72 2.75 2.78 2.78 .1*2 .1*1 .36 .35 .36 .1*2 .1*3 .1*6 .1,8 .1*8 Date (Per cent) 6 13 20 27. li 2/ (6/19) (li/23) (9/27) (1/3) (5/2) Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and .local govt. Baa y Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local govt. (Per cent) 1953 19514 1957 1958 June .June June June July - High Low High High Low 6 13 20 27 1* 2/ 3.89 (9/18) 3.1*1* (12/31) 5.10 (11/29) 1*.96 (1/3) I*. 53 (7A) 3.79 (6/25) 2.93 (8/5) "2*.5l (8/29) ' 3.92 (1/2) 3.61* (5/1) .69 .52 1.27 . 1.28 .91 1.21 .96 1.21 1.11 .99 1*.58 1*.55 1*.53 U.51* 1*.53 3.76 3.76 3.76 . 3.81* 1.02 .99 .96 .93 .91 1.01* 1.0U 1.01 1.06 1.06 3.8k 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 year9. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. " 2 / Thursday figures. Only general obligations bonds are included; average tern . is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and nay be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET -^T^VOLUME I• I T r ^ l T l ^ r . Exhibit D Table for Exhibit C Stock Market Stock price index 1/ Stock market customer credit Trading Common Customers' Bank , stock volume 2/ (millions * yields V Total debit bal- loans to of shares) (per cent) I ances h/ "dthers" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low 26.5k (1/2) 22.95 (9/18) 35.98 (12/31) 21.93 (1/8) 1*5.89 (12/9) 35.28 (l/ll*) 1*9.61* (8/3) 1*3.22 (1/20) 1*9.08 (7/12) 39.1*8 (12/20) 1*5.1*7 (7/1*) 1*0.37 (1/10) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* 1*.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 1*.2 1.1* 2.8 1.7 5.38 6.25 1*.32 5.82 1*.08 1*.1*1 3.82 1*.3U, 3.91 1*.72 1*.02 1*.58 2,1*55 2,055 3,ll36 2,U05 U,030 3,537 l»,0li7 3,911. It,031 3,576 1I,069 3.55U 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,887 2,1*82 2,856 2,1*87 780 66U 1,01*8 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,051* 1,297 1,051 April May . June 20 June 27 July It 2/ 1*2.31* 1*3.70 1*1*. 85 1*1*.90 1*5.1*7 2.1* 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.6 1*. 33 1*.17 1*.07 1*.07 1*.02 3,980 1,069 n.a. n.a. n.a. 2,735 2,856 1,21*5 1,213 1,296 1,297 n.a. n.a. n.a.—Not. available. p/ Preliminary. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, I9ljl-L3=10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are for dates on which price index reached its high or low. h/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. J5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit E Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1958 January February March New capital Corporate 1/ State and local 2/ 1 1956 1958 1 1957 1 1957 1 1956 723 April May 2/1,12k e/700 e/800 July August September e/1,150 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd kth quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 1,060 1,065 1,320 573 712 817 765 1,1IS3 812 953 511 7k2 572 506 kok 696 390 818 l,lk6 8kl 797 871 2/532 765 5k6 393 378 k90 735 1,003 92k 973 1,063 65k 838 e/525 529 58k k31 k08 206 357 1,090 789 1,076. 1,088 698 633 698 3U7 k09 . 3,135 e/2,62k 3,kk5 .3,119 2,899 2,95k 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 2,276 2/2,200 1,820 1,70k l,5kk 2,029 l,k90 1,603 971 1,395 e/5,759 6,59k 9,1*3 12,kk7 k,907 7,k63 10,38k E/k,k7d 3,52k 5,069 7,099 3,093 k,06k 5,k59 Excluding finance companies J5/ 1st 2nd 3rd lith quarter quarter quarter quarter 2,891 e/2,57U Year 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,810 l,6k7 2,5kl 2,2k6 2,826 11,518 9,260 e/ Estimated. __ 1/ Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2/ Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by Federal Reserve; later data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 3/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. k/ Includes $571-5 million AT&T common stock issue. Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Exhibit F H.ll* Other Security Offerings 1/ (In millions of dollars) Long-tent Federal agency Foreign government 2/ 1956 I 1957 1 1935" 1957 S H January February March 196 53 April May June 139 — 81* 1*9 30 37 123 1*8 1*2 50 8 1,163 251 — $23 — 28 7 30 — 215 October November December 1* 60 1 hh 5 21 100 300 572 507 — 2 39 109 — — — Short-1 State and local government h/ January February March — 60 95 1956 60 125 July August September Year £ 72 169 Federal agency 3/ 233 1*60 273 326 1*55 1U7 196 357 21*9 371 208 11*1* 638 1*30. 505 380 220 283 357 2/353 205 337 153 125 252 176 209 161 336 1*69 501 260 July August September 272 272 252 195 207 179 OctoberNovember December 303 91* 159 291* 328 11*8 1,238 255 116 3,271* 2,706 5,51*3 April " May June Year ± 221* 370 512 323 31k - 222 1*25 273 1*07 222 128 ' 3A57 e/ Estimated. jo/ Preliminaiy. ~ 1/ Ebta presented in this exhibit differ from those in Exhibit E in that refunding issues, as well as new capital issues, are included. Long-term securities are defined as those maturing in more than one year. 2/ Includes securities offered in the United States by foreign governments and their subdivisions and by international organizations. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. 2 / Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source: long-term, Securities and Exchange Commission; short-term, Federal Reserve. hjFRASER Principally tax and boad anticipation notes, warrants or certificates and Public Digitized for Housing Authority notes. In some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ longer term than one year. Source: Bond Buyer. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis H.Ik Exhibit G Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1957 - June July August September October Noveniber December 1958 - January February March April May June State and local government Other 2/ 99 81 877 525 526 537 57U 1*20 399 318 605 1,093 725 356 281 22h 25 266 133 393 3Wi kOh 2U5 75 100 < lilO 553 182 300 505 195 1,378 266 653 165 86 Large Individual Issues Offered July 1 through It Issuer Type y Amount Coupon (millions rate or Offering Maturity of net interyield dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE Florida Power Corp. 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 1988 Ul.O Oct. 1959 k 1/8 3.98 A STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT None OTHER. Loan bds. Federal Land Banks 1 3/h 1.90 1 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $L0 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues tyr Federal agencies. 2/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O., denotes general obligationsj Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilitiesj Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue of quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. H.lU Forthcoming Large Long-tern Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation Hay 31 . June 28 July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 Jan. 31 Feb..28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30. May 29 June 30 Subsequent to date sli own State and Corporate I ^ ^ J o t h e r 2/ Corporate local govt. Other 2/ During month following date shown 525 370 526 578 576 383 378 198 1,123 555 356 266 768 87 153 218 183 - 33U 339 363 3U5 370 13U 298 L93 177 225 25 30 30 18 150 110 150 36 — 1*07 1*79 1*71 ' S 811 81*5 61*7 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 •g' 51*3 558 561* 187 3hl 330 1*93 208 235 " 670 561 1*61* l,0li8 25 30 15 1*5 & 110 150 36 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July it Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) Northern Indiana Public Service Co. Common stk. 15.2 Pacific Gas & Electric Co. Common stk. hh.h New York Telephone Co. Ref. mtg. bds. Mead Corp. Deb. New England Telephone & Telegraph Co. Common stk. Southern Natural Gas Co. Boston Edison Co. ^Southern Railway Co. Boeing Airplane Co. United States Steel Corp. Pacific Lighting Corp. Burroughs Corp. Washington Water Power Co. Boeing Airplane Co. . 65.0 17.2 22.6 S.F. deb. ' 30.0 Pfd. stk. 25.0 1st coll. tr. bds. 22.0 S.F. deb. 60.0 S.F. deb. 300.0 Common stk. 1*5.0 Deb. 25.0 let mtg. bds. 15.0 Conv. sub. deb. 30.6 .July 7 (right's expire) July 8 (rights expire) July 10 July 10 July 11 (rights expire) July 11 July 11 July 16 July 17 July 17 July 17 July 18 July 21* July 29 (rights expire) H.lh H-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July U (Cont'd) Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE (Cont'd) Burroughs Corp. . Common stk. ^Montana. Power Co. 1st mtg. bds. Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of America Conv..deb. Consolidated Natural Gas Co. . S.F. deb. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Deb., bds. & common Deb. Standard Oil Co. of California Martin Co. S.F. deb. 15.0 20.0 35.0 15.0 45.0 150.0 25.0 Aug. 1 (rights expire) Aug. 13 Aug. Aug. 1958 1958 1958 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Pennsylvania General State Auth. Rev.-Ut. Metro. Sanitary Dist. of Chicago,111 Rev.-Ut. •^Memphis, Tennessee Rev.-Ut. Los Angeles Dept. of YJtr. & Pwr., California Rev.-Ut. G.O. State of North Carolina State of Ohio Rev.-S.T. Territory of Hawaii Rev.-Ut. State of California G.O. ^Philadelphia, Pennsylvania G.O. San Diego Unif. Sch. Dist., Calif. G.O. 30.0 15.0 July 9 July 10 July 15 21.0 July 16 July 16 July 22 July 22 July 23 Aug. 5 Sept. 10 10.0 15.0 31.0 12.5 100.0 12.0 10.0 OTHER None *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of Sl5 million and over; State and local government issues oftflOmillion and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. H.lli Exhibit I Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date 1952 - 1957 High Low Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual seasoned yields Actual seasoned yields (per cent) (basis points) (per cent) (basis points) 5.00(8/11/57) 2.93(3/31/51) 87 -3 5.50(11/7/57) 3.00(3/17/5k) 123 -15 1958 - January -8 *3.60, y 3.962/ 3 February . It. 07 3.891/ 22 9 6 March It it. 25 it.15 lilt 5 6 li.22 50 12 it.00 28 26 LOO 19 21 it.07 -7 25 U.05 31 April 1 23 3.98 2 it. 00 25 - 17 3.98 5 23 3.75 5 * it.Oit 11 29 May 7 it. 00 3 . 13 21 3.90 it 15 it.07 16 it. 35 32 20 16 3.85 21 16 3.85 it. 00 22 -1 -6 28 3.95 June 10 3.85 17 12 3.82 17 2lt 25 3.95 July 2 1 3.90 *—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moodyrs Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more issues with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision.