Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : July 26, 1956
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Not for Publication d e c o t o o l l e d ^ g n M d m s H.lU July 26, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Three large corporate flotations produced a total of $150 million in new capital during the week ending July 20. A like number of large new State and local offerings—the largest single offering being $16 million in general obligations issued by the State of Michigan—totaled only $35.5 million. Public reofferings in all instances were favorably received, with the bulk of each issue out of the dealers' hands before*the close of the week. The schedule for the week ending July 27 includes expiration of subscription rights to $52.7 million in common stock being issued by Sperry Rand Corporation and new corporate debt issues aggregating $66.5 million. Largest public offerings of tax-exempt bonds scheduled for the week are $15 million in serial bonds issued by the Maryland Roads Commission and a $lit million issue of electric revenue bonds by the city of Jacksonville, Florida. Bond yields - Yields on all categories of bonds moved higher during the week. Municipal yields for selected grades of bonds increased from 1 to 3 basis points. Corporate Aaa's in Moody's series, which have sold for the past 10 weeks at yields varying between 3.26 and 3.27 per cent, edged upward to 3.28 per cent. Meanwhile, Baa-rated corporate bonds, which have maintained a slow but constant climb from their 1956 low of 3.58 per cent in early March, reached 3.79 per cent. Both Aaa and Baa corporate bonds are now 21 basis points above their lows in early March. The yield increase in the higher quality securities occurred over an 8-week period in March and April. Thereafter, these yields stabilized at slightly below the May it high of 3.30 per cent. Baa bonds, on the other hand, have established a succession of new highs throughout the entire period. Among new offerings, the Illinois.Power Company's Aa-rated 30-year first mortgage issue of July 2k was priced to yield 3.70 per cent, 8 basis points higher than a comparable issue the preceding week and 18 points above the offering yield on a similar issue floated early in June. Stock prices - On July 20, the SEC index of 265 common stock prices reached a new high for 1956 of 292.8, 3.6 points higher than the preceding week. Daily indexes since that time indicate continuing moderate increases. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Per cent per CORPORATE A a a I Moody', Z\ / \ x / A ; iJ. /vrw.o.o »•..» M J 1953 S D M J 1954 S U. S. Date Corporate D M J 1955 S D M J 1956 long-term 2/ Old series Spread between State and U.S. New series local govt. (old series) and Aaa y Corporate!State and Ilocal Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High 1954 - High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low June 22 June 29 July 13 July 20 3.42 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.30 3.07 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (4/23) (12/23) (1/7) (5/10 (3/2) 3.26 3.27 3.26 3.27 3.28 3.15 2.78 2.74 2.1*4 2.94 2.62 3.08 2.80 2.88 2.92 2.90 2.95 2.98 (6/6) n.a. 2.73 (6/25)' n.a. (12/26)i 1.98 (1/8) -2.21 (6/10) (1/9) n.a. (8/7) 1.90 (9/2) (8/5) 3.03 (8/5) 2.3!* (9/8) (1/7) 2.89 (6/10) 2.05 (5/26) (1/20) 3.13 (V20) 2.51 (5/3) (2/17) 2.92 (2/3) 2.17 (2/23) 2.98 3.00 2.98 . 3.01 3.05 2.32 2.34 2.38 2.38 2.h0 .38 .19 • 43 .32 • 34 .13 .40 .13 .8U • 30 .61 .29 .70 .54 .68 • 45 .38. .35 .36 .32 .30 .56 .58 .52 .57 .58 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to first call of the bonds included declined from lU years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/4 per cent bond of 1978-83. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS CORPORATE Baa / *\ \ i STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. Baa /\ 1 Moody , | STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE Corporate Baa 1/ Date State and local govt. Baa 2/ State and local govt, rev. ]/ (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.89 (9/18) 3.50 (1/2) 3.7k (1/8) 3.Wi (12/31) 3.63 (12/30) 3.L5 (I/Hi) 3.79 (7/20) 3.58 (3/9) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93 (8/5) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) 3.Uli (5/3) 3.20 (3/8) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.12 2.89 June 22 June 29 July 6 July 13 July 20 3.75 3.77 3.78 3.78 3.79 3.26 3.26 3.31 3.3U 3.35 3.01 3.03 3.0U 3.05 3.08 (6/26)" (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (U/27) (2/2U) included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and Aj average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET Trading Common Stock market customer credit stock Stock price_ volume 2/ Customers1 index 1/ (millions yields y debit bal- loans to of shares) (per cent) ances k/ "others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 195L - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 167.1 (1/2) HtU.O (9/18) 221. U (12/31) 156.5 (1/6) 270.7 217.1 292.8 (7/20 257. U (1/20) IS® } 280.1 275.5 280.1 286.1 289.2 292.8 2.5 . 0.9 3.7 l.li U.6 1.5 3.1 1.6 " 2.1; 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.3 2M5 1,665 5.75 5.15 5.33 U.20 ii.22 3.78 U.08 3.68 2,1*05 U,030 3,537 U,0li7 3,991 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,810 2,7UO IS U,0U7 It,009 2,810 2,786 SSI feSS 780 66U 1,0U8 716 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,217 1,237 1,223 1,223 1,231 1,225 available. 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939*100; converted to 19u7-U9"100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. £/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying 0. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual serias and may be on different dates for different series. H.lii Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1956 January February March 579 70U 790 . 1 Corporate 1955 1 5# 407 1,223 April May June e/890 e/1,100 e/?60 478 886 687 July August September e/1,150 , 597 6a 670 October November' December 1st quarter 2nd quarter ' * 3rd quarter - 4th quarter Year 1,162 ^ 6# 900 2,073 e/2,750 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 • 8,821 New capital State and local 1 1955 1 1954 1954 1956 547 426 635 hOh . 696 390 535 312 538 396 411 565 497 ' 656 842 377 e/500 e/730 1*27 350 6ia 734 748 853 909 335 747 e/350 470 249 406 279 261 649 919 658 408 594 423 877 1,385 1,148 1,121 1,981 5,911 1,372 2,334 1,188 .2,894 '6,789 1,003 290 60k 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 • 7,190 1,490 e/1,607 Excluding finance companies 2/ 1st quarter - 2nd quarter 3rd quarter 4th quarter Year 1,617 e/2,550 1,727 1,870 1,434 2,554 7,569 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 r e/ Estimated. ' ' 1/ Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 2/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and personal finance companies, Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. H.lU Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury).!/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 195# - June July August September October November December 195*6 - January February March April May June State and local government Other 2/ to 175 101 Lo5 328 805 221 #3 95 212 278 395 623 185 278 65 23k 716 itOl 227 192 Wi 163 157 233 463 25 50 50 20 Large Individual Issues Offered July 1 through 20 Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating of net inters yield dollars) est cost CORPORATE Florida Power Corp. Pacific Gas & Electric Tennessee Gas Trans. American Tel. & Tel. Co. Union Electric Co. Superior Oil Co. Inland Steel Co* 1st mtg.bds. 20.0 . Common stk. 36.6 Deb. 30.0 Deb. 250.0 1st mtg.bds. ko.o Deb. 60.0 1st mtg.bds. 5 0 . 0 1986 3 7/8 3.82 A 1977 1990 1986 1981 1981 h 1/2 U.50 3.73 3.62 3.75 3.U7 Baa Aa Aa A Aa 3 7/8 . 3 3/k 3 3A 3 1/2 STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Commonwealth of Mass. Puerto Rico Water Res. Auth. State of Michigan G.O. 38.5 Elec.rev.bds. 22.0 G.O. 16.0 1957-2005 2.63 1.90-2.80 Aa 1958-93 1959-79 n.a. 2.81 2.60-3.75 2.00-2.75 Baa Aa H.lU E-2 ' Large,Individual Issues Offered July 1 through 20 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon rate or Offering (millions Maturity net inter- yield Rating of dollars) est cost STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Tulsa, Oklahoma, Ind. School District Dearborn, Michigan, School District G.O. 5.5 1958-71 2.62 2.10-2.60 A G.O. 14.0 1956-73 2.93 2.00-3.00 A OTHER None n.a.—Not available. 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2j Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. Exhibit F li.lk Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 3/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent to date shown date shown State and Corporate State and Other 2/ Corporate local govt. Other 2/ local govt. 1955 - June 30 July 29 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 30 67 1*07 222 805 202 215 70 176 123 380 568 198 137 3kh 100 18U m 330 205 121 327 220 132 173 332 ' 81 50 830 1,135 920 909 ' la 2 230 85 376 233 1,013 - 818 m . — 567 1,81*5 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 618 917 785 811 832 9kl 690 50 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July 20 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Illinois Power Co. - Sperry Rand Corp. 1st mtg. bds. Common stk. 20.0 52.7 Food Machinery and Chemical Corp. Champion Paper & Fibre Co. Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. ^Consumers Power Co. Consolidated Natural Gas Co. •^American Tel. & Tel. Co. 3/ Deb. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. Common stk. 30.0 16.5 25.0 UO.O 30.0 575.0 J. P. Stevens & Co. CIT Financial Corp. Pacific Finance Corp. S. F. deb. Deb. Deb. 28.7 75.0 25.0 G.O. Elec. rev. bds. G.O. lU.o July 2U July 25 (rights expire) July 26 July 26 August 1 August Summer .November (rights expire) 1956 1956 1956 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Maryland State Roads Commission Jacksonville, Florida Oklahoma City, Oklahoma 15.0 July 2k July 2k July 25 H.lU F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July 20 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of dollars) of offering STfTE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) -x-Salt Lake City, Utah, School Dist. Milwaukee Co., Wisconsin New Jersey Highway Authority New York State Thruway Authority Jacksonville Expressway Authority Florida State Turnpike Authority Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington State Toll Bridge Auth. Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. 7.5 8.8 25.0 50,0 1*2.0 185.0 65.0 62.0 227.0 70.0 July 25 July 30 Summer Summer September Fall 1956 1956 1956 1956 OTHER None Included in table for first ,ime. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over3 State and local government issues of million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ Subject to stockholders' approval on September 5, 1956. H.lU Exhibit G Yields on /few and Outstanding Electric Power. Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date 19$2 average. 1953 average 19Sh average 1955 average 1956 - January February March 8 16 23 30 April U Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Actual Actual I Amount above. (per cent) seasoned- yields (per cent)Jseasoned yields f(basis points) (basis points) 3.16 3.16 , 3.03 3.23 None *3-15 3.19 13 16 3 . 9 3.35 3.78 3.12 3-33 12 26 -3 12 —* None 3.23 -5 3 5 3.37 18 3.77 hO 3.53 3.52 19 h 11 25 May 9 16 . 2k June 8 20 July 3 18 3.62 3-35 7 3.55 3.57 3.60 3.67 25 23 26 29 3.80 3.73 32 3.75 3.82 28 2k 18 • -26 27 —Single observation, not an average: 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield -figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. The number of new issues included in the monthly averages varies from 2 to U except for October 19 5U when 6 A-rated issues were included. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years.