Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : July 11, 1960
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I JUL 13 1960 Not for ^gublxcatibn DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lb July 11, I960 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS IN THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA. Part I - United States (Including Monthly Review of Sources and Uses of Funds of Financial Intermediaries) During the week ending July 8, capital market financing included one large corporate issue for new capital amounting to $50 million and large State and local government issues with aggregate proceeds of $87 million. The calendar for this week includes la rge corporate issues totaling $120 million and State and local government issues amounting to $37 million. A foreign corporation offering for $30 million is also scheduled for sale. Long-term bond yields - Yields on seasoned bonds showed little change last week, except those on U. S. Government obligations which declined 5 basis points. A new A-rated, first mortgage electric utility bond issue was offered to investors last week to yield per cent, about the same as the last comparable offerings made in mid-June. Short- and intermediate-term interest rates - Yields on Treasury bills increased last week, while those on intermediate-term issues declined moderately. Other principal money market rates remained stable. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks, closed at 57.38 Friday, slightly higher than a week earlier. Trading activity, averaging 3.0 million shares a day, was the same as a week earlier. Institutional investors - Combined growth at three major ^ types of savings institutions—life insurance companies, savings and loan associations and mutual savings banks—totaled $1.2 billion in __ May, slightly more than a year earlier. The net inflow of funds to life insurance companies and savings and loan associations was larger this year, while the net inflow to mutual savings banks was smaller. (The increase in time and savings deposits at commercial banks was also smaller this May.) For the first five months of the year, the total inflow at these three institutions was 7 per cent smaller than a year earlier with only savings and loan associations experiencing a larger growth than in the January-May period last year. The net increase in life insurance company assets totaled $5llt million in May, three per cent larger than in 195>9. Liquidation of U. S. Government securities was somewhat larger than in May last year. For the first time this year, net acquisitions of business securities was larger—one-fifth larger—than in the comparable month of 19^9. Net investment in mortgages continued to exceed last year's volume by a substantial amount. The increase in holdings of State and local government securities was much smaller than in the corresponding month of 1959 as it has been in each month this year. (This probably reflects in part the smaller volume of large new revenue bond issues this year with yields close to those available on taxable securities.) The increase in policy loans continued to be significantly larger than a year earlier. The growth in share capital at savings and loan associations was $669 million , one-tenth larger than in May 1959. (Except in April, inflow to these associations has been larger each month this year than in the comparable month of 1959.) Net acquisition of mortgages was one-eighth smaller in May than last yeair, as these associations used their increased funds to increase their cash balances and holdings of other assets. The increase in other assets was unusually large and reflected in part acquisitions of Federal agency securities. Deposits at mutual savings banks increased $58 million in May as compared with #120 million a year earlier. Net inflow of. funds to savings banks has been very small this year with declines in deposits occurring in January and April. The increase in mortgage holdings was about the same as in May 1959. There w&s a substantial liquidation of U. S„ Government securities in contrast with a slight net acquisition a year earligr. This May, there was a slight net acquisition of business securitiesj in May 1959 there had been a slight liquidation of these holdings. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Developments in the Canadian capital markets are presented in Part II at the end of this report. Capital Marie ets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. LONG-TERM BOND YIELDS /vf f ' U.S. GOVEMMINT f STATf AND 10CAI GOVT. Ie._ 11. ll -5- Exhibit B - Tables for Exhibit A Long-term Bond Yields High-grade Date Corporate Aaa 1/ U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and local Aaa Aaa State and local govt. Aaa y (Per cent) 19514 1957 1958 1959 - Low High Low High Low I960 - High Low 2.1*5 (8/6) 2.85 (V23) U.lit (9/27) - 3.76 (10/18) 3.55 (5/2) 3.07 (14/25) 14.61 (12/31) li.37 (12/31) 3.83 (1/2) U.09 (1/9) U.61 (1/29) LL2 (1/8) 3.91 (7/8) k.kk (7/8) June 10 17 214 July 1 July 8 2/ 14.145 li.li5 l4.a I4.I4I4 I4.00 3.96 3.97 3.96 3.91 1.90 (9/2) 3.L5 (8/29) 2.6k (5/1) 3.65 (9/214) 3.06 (3/26) 3.53 (1/7) 3.28 (V7) .30 .60 .22 .50 .16 .53 .19 •30 •hr .314 .92 .53 .92 .61 3.38 3.38 3.30 3.30 3.30 .a -i*9 .1*8 M .53 .62 .65 .67 .66 .61 Lower-grade Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa J/ Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local govt. (Per cent) 5.3^ (2/12) 5.17 (V8) 2.93 (8/5) L.51 (8/2?) 3.61* (5/1) I4.I46 (7/2) 3.92 (3/26) I4.I46 (1/7) 14.22 (k/7) .52 1.27 .77 .77 .56 .81* .71 .96 1.21 .93 .98 .79 .97 .92 5.214 5.26 5.27 5.28 5.27 14.30 1.25 li.2li h.2k k.2k .80 .81 .82 .8I4 .83 .92 .9U .914 .914 .914 - Low - High - Low - High Low IS'oO - High Low 3.a (12/31) 5.10 (11/29) 14.51 (7/11) 5.32 (12/31) June June June July July 19514 1957 1958 1959 10 17 2l» 1 8 2/ I4.83 U / 1 7 ) p/ Preliminary. \J Meekly average of dally figures. Average term of bonds Included la 26-26 years. y Weekly average of dully figures, the series lnotudes bonds due or callable In 10 years or more. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are Included, average term Is 20 years. Note.—Hlghe and lows are for Individual series and may be on different dates for different series. - •i AND INTERMEDIATE- TERM INTEREST^ RATES GOVERNMENT MARKET YIELDS// STOCK PRIVATE FINANCE COMPANY PAPER EXCHANGE Exhibit D - Tables for Exhibit C -7- Short- and Intermediate-term Interest Kates Government Discount rate 1/ 3-month bills 2/ Yields 6-month bills 2/ 3-5 year issues 2/ Spread between yields on 3-month bills and yields on 6-mo. bills|3-5 yr« issues" (per cent) Low High Low High Low 1960 - High Low 1.50 3.50 1.75 a. oo p.50 Loo 3.50 .61 (6/11) — 1.66 (V30) 3.61* (10/18) — It.Oh (10/18) .58 (5/29) 3.02 (12/26) 2.lit (6/7) It. 57 (12/26) 1.91 (12/31) 5.00 (12/21+) 2.63 (2/20) 2.92 (1/2) 3.70 (1/2) lt.59 (1/8) 5.07 (1/8) ii.97 (l/H) 2.18 (7/11) 2.52 (6/17) 3.87 (7/8) June June June July July 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 2.61 2.31 2.39 2.18 2.27 195*4 1957 1958 1959 - 10 17 2h 1 8 e/ 2.80 2.52 2.76 2.6k 2.85 1.12 3.99 li.01 3.99 3.87 .66 .26 .79 .19 .58 .16 .19 .21 •37 .lt6 .58 .86 .OU 1.1*2 .40 1.81 .38 1.51 1.68 1.62 1.81 1.60 Private Date Stock Exchange call loan 1/ Spread between 3-month Prime Finance company Treasuiy bill yield and finance company rate 1/ paper 3/ paper rates (per cent) Low High Low Hi{* Low I960 - High Low 3.00 It. 50 3.50 lt.75 3.75 5.50 5.00 3.00 It. 50 3.50 5.00 it. 00 5.00 5.00 June 10 June 17 June 2it July 1 Julyfi2/ 5.00 5.00 5.oo 5.oo 5.oo 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.oo 1951 1957 1950 1959 - 1/ 1.25 (12/31) 3.88 (11/16) 1.13 (8/8) It. 88 (12/31) 1.00 (It/6) . 5.13 (1/22) 3.00 (7/1) 3.53 3.05 3.00 3.00 3.00 0 (12/18) .59(7/19) -.35 (8/29) .86(10/9) .13(12/14) 1.02 (3/25) .22 (it/15) .92 • 7k .61 .82 .73 Meekly rate shown Is that in effect at end of period. Discount rate Is for Federal Reserve Bunk of New York. Stock txohanga call loan rate Is going rata on call loans secured by customers' stock exchange collateral at New York City banka. Prime rate la that charged by large banks on short-tern loans to business borrowers of the highest credit standing. y Market yield* weekly averages computed from dally clenlng bid prices. Series of 3-5 year issues none!at* of selected notes and bondi. 3/ Average of dally rates published by finance companies for directly placed paper for varying maturities In the 90-179 day range. Hole.—Highs and lows are for Individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Per spread?, nigh refers to widest, and low to narrowest. STOCK MARKET MORTGAGE AND BOND YIELDS New l»«ue« / I Exhibit V - Tables for EahibiL E Stock Marktt Stock price index 1/ Date Common stock yields 2/ (per cent) Trading Stock maiket customer credit volume y Customers *I Bank (millions Total debit bal- I loans to of shares) ances 4/ 1 "others" (Millions of dollars) 1957-59 - High Low I960 - High Low 60.51 (7/31/59) 3.07 39.78 (12/27/57) I4.66 59.50 (1/8) 3.18 5U.2k (3A1) 3.51 £Z 3.9 2.4 s U.365 It, 132 • 3,401 2,482 3,198 3,021 1,373 1,060 1,167 1,111 May June June 24 July 1 July 8 2/ 55.22 57.26 57.68 57.06 57.38 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.0 3.0 4,132 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 3,021 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,111 1,132 n.a-—-Not avAll^bl. A . 3.42 3.35 3.35 3.38 3.36 % n.a. r> / 1/ Standard and Poor's rrmposlte index of 500 ooirmon atooks, weekly closing prices, 1941-43=10. Monthly data, are averages of dally figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Fridays' data only. Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are for dales on which price Index reached Its high or low, 3/ Averages of dally trading volume on the New York Stock Exoliange.4/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts, excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U, S, Government securities. Prior to July 1, 1959, such loans are excluded only at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting hanks account for about 70 par cent of loan* to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Mortgage and Bond Yields 1/ Date 1953-1958 - High Low 1959 - High Low 1960 - January February March April May _stune_ FHA mortgages 2/ £ i 6.23 5.57 m 6.2k 6.23 6.22 6.20 6.20 I n.a. Aaa corporate Spread between new bonds 1/ corporate bonds and New 3/ |Seasoned 4/ FHA mortgagee 1 Seasoned bonds 4.81 (6/57) 2.74 (3/54) a i s ® 4.58 5.29 4.12 4.29 4.95 4.96 4.66 4.78 4.86 4.6? 4.61 4.56 !:B 4.45 .90 1.29 .83 1.29 1.27 1.56 1.42 1.34 n.a. -.12 % .17 1 1/ Neither mortgage nor bond yields take Into account servicing costs which are much higher for mortgages than bonds. Generally, bonds pay Interest semi-annually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, If computed as equivalent to a semiannual interest Investment, would bo slightly higher than given in the table. . 2/ Based on FHA riold-orrloe opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market for new-home mortgages for Immediate delivery. Since late 1955, data relate only to 25-yenr mortgages with downpnyments of 10 per cent or more, weighted by probable volume of transactions. Yields computed by FHB, assuming 25-yenr mortgages are paid off in 12 years. Dashed linns Indicate periods of adjustment to changes in the contractual Interest rate. 3/ First National City Bank of New York. Averages of offering yields of all new issues of publicly-sold bonds rated Ana, Aa or A. by Moody's Inventors Service (except serial and convertible Issues and offerings of natural gas and foreign oompunleo) weighted by nlze of issue. Yields on Aa and A Issues are first adjusted to an Aaa basis 1 categories and those on i\a*-rated bonds. The series re4/ Moocty's Inventors Service. Monthly averages of daily data. See Exhibit B. Exhibit G Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) I960 January February March Corporate 1/ 1 1 1959 New capital 1958 821 738 6JU6 1,55^ 894 78 5 887 1,11*0 597 887 July August September 740 703 1,107 51*0 1,111* October November December 879 861+ 900 862 518 920 April May June 1st 2nd .3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year ?B 860 ^/l,100 . 2,151 e/2,439 2,201* 2,567 1,979 2,642 s/4,5%) ' 4,771 6,750 9,392 . I960 736 62L 578 639 858 61*6 e/1,006. 932 593 1,006 728 3,139 2,623 2,760 2,300. i;8 10,823 State and local 2/ 1 1959 r/ | 1958 M e/550 ' 1,935 e/2,262 e/*A97 812 953 511 790 1? 56 7 516 1*65 806 1*03 651 519 1*55 1*56 1*74 1*35 l,*548 1,571 2,276 2,21,1* 1,860 1,365 4,674 6,222 7,793 4,520 6,380 7,71*6 2,11*3 Excluding finance companies 4/ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 1,722 i/2,339 Year 1,999 2,412 1,716 2,503 2,899 2,586 2,731 2,213 8,630 10,1*29 e/ Estimated. g/ Preliminary. __ 1/ Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. -2/ Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. 3/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. U/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. -11- Exhibit H h.u Other Security Offerings 1/ (In millions of dollars) Long-term Federal agency 3/ Foreign government 2/ I960 1 1958 I960 1 1958 1 1959 1 1959 January Februa ry March April May 175 70 33 81 60 2 196 53 58 50 k2 139 198 120 — 199 182 150 150 175 1U8 ™r 523 — — I6I4 85 1 35 . October November December 33 30 70 58 123 7h 86 517 992 707 9 ^ 5 17 98 150 — 220 Short--term State and local government h/ January February March — -• July August September Year 1,163 251 — 2,321 Federal agency 3/ 268 3# 365 190 1*26 2# 233 1*60 273 479 I163 512 359 500 189 371 208 IW4 2/267 563 till 2L5 357 35k 26J| 509 986 h86 675 289 209 161 329 July August September 2h6 U67 399 289 123 369 727 365 665 1437 206 330 October November December 235 3h3 358 ? 31 U5 2h3 733 1471 . 288 1,5L III4 137 14,179 3,910 6,0Jt7 3,098 April May Year E/ PreU*iiinry. 1/ Data presented in this exhibit differ from those in Exhibit E In that refunding Issues, an well na new cnpltnl issuofl, e.re Included. Lone-term securities are duflnad as those mativ.v.ng in more than ono year. 2/ Includes securities offered In tho United States by foreign govemnonts and their subdivisions and by In'.errJitlonal organ! L-xtlona. "tnurcm Securlties ami Exuhr.nge Commission, y Isiiuixj not |7U"rsnt4 ad by the U. S. Gov-imtav.:. Sourcei long-tern, Securities and EStchangi Cor-Titnslonj short-term, fudbral Reserve. 4f Principally tix ani bond anticipation notos, warrants or certificates er.fi Public Housing Authority r.ot»*. In 'lono instances 1'llA rotes iriolu<l4d may h&va a somewhat longer t « n than one year. Sources Pond Buyer. Exhibit I -12- Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month 1959 - June July August September October November December i960 - January February March April May June ~ Corporate State and local government 281* 110 363 199 1*00 •1*21 230 279 262 381* 309 139 1*1*2 635 19k 263 211* 29 k 163 217 388 283 225 370 23k 561 Other 2/ 60 50 98 75 20 70 100 320 191 71 28 30 Large Individual Issues Offered July 1 through 8 Issuer Type y Amount Coupon (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating of net inter- yield est cost dollars) CORPORATE Illinois Bell Telephone Ca 1st mtg. bds. 50.0 1997 U-7/8 U.75 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Salt River Proj. Agric. Imp. & Pwr. Dist., Ariz. Rev.-Ut. State of North Carolina G.O. Dist. of Columbia Armory Rev.-Ut. Board 6/ Chicago, Illinois G.O. OTHER None 19.0 1963-92/69 3.92 10.7 1961-80 3.01 19.8 37.0 1979 1962-79 1*.19 3.60 2.90-U.05^ A 2.90-3.105/ Aaa It. 15 2.1*0-3.6^ Aaa A 1-2 -13- Footnotes Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $10 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.I., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bends secured solely by lease payments. 1992 maturities not reoffered. 1961-70 maturities not reoffered. Interest on these securities are not exempt from Federal income taxation. Exhibit J -Ill- - a s ~ " " " " Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent to date shown During month following date shown Date of computation ^vt.l°ther 2 / Corporate 1959 - June 30 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 30 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1960 - Jan. 29 Feb. 29 Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 50 165 238 | 226 210 207 301 ^-299 202 1*83 237 T i 270 115 295 165 210 252 250 2U3 277 180 25 70 S 35 30 30 272 305 517 69U 509 271 280 252 372 3Wl 500 I4O6 I|02 1*70 336 5b 385 280 258 502 380 1 % I 25 70 60 30 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July Type-. Issuer Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Senior notes 1st mtg. bds. Deb. S.F. deb. 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. 1st mtg. bds. Pfd. stk. Com. stk. Commercial Credit Co. Northern Illinois Gas Co. American Can Co. State Loan & Finance Co. Southern Counties Gas Co. Seaboard Finance Co. ^Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of Am. ^Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of Am. El Paso Natural Gas Co. Conv. deb. Consumers Power Co. Deb. ^International Harvester Credit Corp Deb. Texas Eastern Transmission Corp. Deb., bds. & com. Commerce Oil Refining Coip. Partic. certif. Trustors' Corp. 50.0 30.0 1*0.0 20.0 23.0 1*0.0 25.0 15.0 30.0 38.1 50.0 25.0 1*5.0 1*0.0 July 12 ~ July ll*. July lk July 20 July 27 Aug. 2 Aug. 8 Aug. 8 Aug. 11 (rights expire) Aug. 12 (rights expire) Aug. Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Santa Clara Co., California Nassau Co., N. Y. Carmen-Smith Hydro-Elec. Proj., Ore http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Chesapeake Bridge & Tunnel Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Comm. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. Rev.—Ut. Rev.-Ut. 11.5 27.1 25.0 30.0 200.0 July 12 July 12 July 19 July 20 Indefinite -15- J-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, aar of July 8 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) OTHER Liberian Iron Ore Ltd. Bds. & stk. 30.0 July lit *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. Note .--Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: Mississippi River Fuel's $21* million debenture issue—$21 million of proceeds for refunding. .16- Exhibit K Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A Date 1952-1959 - High Low 1959 - July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. I960 • Jan. 7 Feb. 25 26 Mar. 15 16 18 Apr. f 8 14 21 27 May 10 12 5.30 (12/8/59 ) 2.93 (3/31/54) *4.93 4.83 87 -3 31 23 5.13^/ *5.08 *5.30 5.08 28 29 % 32 17 4.85 33 4.94 39 4.95 4.88 39 32 July 8 c/4.82 2§ 5.07 17 *5.65 5.33 60 43 63 5.10 2/4.84 5.65 (9/18/59) 3.00 (3/17/54) ' S 25 June 17 y Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual (per cent) seasoned yields (per cent) seasoned yields (basis points) (basis points) 25 27 51 28 5.00 4.93 11 7 4.98 21 5.30 50 5.10 5.20 26 33 11 4.95 4.93 .11 *—Single observation, not an average. y Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which Issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more Issues with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision. Exhibit L Sources and Uses of i'Xinds by Life Insurance Companies Cash U. S. Govt. ities Value of assets at end of period; 1956 - Dec. 1,273 1957 - Dec. 1,29k 1958 - Dec. 1,363 1959 -Dec. 1,327 i960 - May 1,180 Changes: 1958 - Apr, May July Aug. Sept. Oct, Nov, Dec, 1959 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov, Dec , i960 ~ Jan, Feb. Mar, Apr, May June Uses of funds 1/ Busi- State and local govt Mortsecurgages ities 2/ ities Total Other, sources or uses (In millions of dollars) 7,519 7,028 7,182 6,81*8 6,661 39,552 1*2,133 1*1*, 612 #,977 1*7,699 2,231* 2,377 2,691 3,177 3,301* 32,991* 35,271 37,092 39,299 1*0,1*39 12,272 13,206 ll*,6i,.o 15,996 16,625 95,81*1* 101,309 107,580 113,626 115,908 -18 81 -21* 22 -18 1 -17 55 110 11* -71 1*5 172 1*1* 1* 11 . 19 -142 216 11*3 201 191 129 211* 309 137 308 11* 29 31* 21* 37 20 26 32 12 115 118 102 128 139 11*2 186 ll*5 291 39 161* 11*8 1*5 151* 72 72 88 331* 380 1*61* 506 582 1*85 1*53 587 1*76 913 -81 -57 -11* -21* 10 3 -15 19 -31 22 33 99 303 -71 -185 22 -16 11 13 95 .185 -22 -131 -168 188 223 251 21*2 193 21*2 211* 75 95 208 207 227 53 30 66 1*9 79 23 91* 30 15 8 16 23 119 139 136 116 135 157 211* 171* 211 251 21*0 315 -17 171* 108 80 97 60 208 101 95 92 131* 226 565 1*38 362 1*85 1*98 1*96 728 1*9 It 200 559 1*99 722 -91 -53 -30 39 -12 163 -36 -167 -85 -62 128 125 101* 131* 231 20 25 35 21 26 271* 196 21*2 225 203 82 207 115 95 128 576 1*61* 299 1*29 511* 1/ Ustis of funds represent net changes in assets and therefore reflect net, rather than cross, uses, 2/ Includes securities of domestic corporations only. Source,—Institute of Lite Insurance. Exhibit M -18- Sources and Uses of t\mds by Savings and Loan Associations Sources of funds Uses of funds 1/ Net Total u. s. Mort- Other sources change borrowGovt, Other gages Cash assets or uses savings ing ]/ 2/ capital ities Value of assets at end of period 19^6 - Dec. 1957 -Dec. 1958 - Bee. -1959 - Dec. I960 - May Changes: 1958 - Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1959 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. i960 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June fin millions of dollars) 35,775 40,049 45,627 53,087 55,5# 2,199 2,770 3,108 3,725 4,069 42,875 46,138 55,139 63,472 66,305 37,148 41,912 47,976 54,548 57,061 1,347 1,379 1,444 2,384 1,7 21 4,380 4,847 5,719 6,540 7,523 119 42 178 -290 -70 -77 -107 42 335 403 37 12 528 81 573 42 - 554 110 564 146 578 605 104 51 470 528 37 ' 102 99 -43 -90 12 137 102 -53 661 681 78y 216 616 692 739 665 847 362 511 935 73 360 447 507 480 1,072 112 -29 165 -37 51 84 58 41 212 187 199 -311 180 205 161 174 144 -437 -298 -26 -2 -182 26 21*5 -432 -43 -53 -68 65 372 297 97 76 105 23 -4 104 17 -7 7 -34 -29 402 427 593 705 754 840 783 727 670 621 459 479 t 98 151 178 10 -108 22 65 88 140 -52 346 578 765 779 981 1,091 ~ 347 723 675 648 630 770 434 408 529 420 604 1,090 190 394 • 444 399 483 1,177 -181 -56 -5 97 63 313 31 118 148 136 57 219 93 226 241 262 314 -312 126 211 83 113 90 -626 -291 -34 30 -31 90 IV 6 84 -7 7 323 399 507 579 657 -116 36 113 87 224 92 485 643 642 971 437 495 539 373 669 -449 -130 -131 46 1 2,119 2,146 3,585 2,169 1,953 2,782 3,173 3,819 4,471 It,731 104 120 1 235 223 301 I- Preliminary. Uses of funds represent net changes in assets and therefore reflect net, rather than gross, uses. Savings and loan associations do not hold business securities and data on holdings of State and local government bonds, presumed to be small, are not ava-ilable. 2/ Prior to 1957, data adjusted to include mortgage pledged shares as currently reported. 3/ Advances from home Loan Banks and other borrowing. DigitizedSource.—Federal for FRASER Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation, y 1 bxhibit N -19- Sources and Uses of funds by Mutual Savings Banks Cash Value of assets at end of period 1956 - Dec. 920 1957 - Dec. 890 1 9 # - Dec. 921 1959 - Dec. 829 I960 - May 732 Sources of funds Uses of funds 1/ State & Net Total Busilocal Mortsources change ness Other govt. gages Other in deposits ities ities1*2j ities U.. S. Govt. (In millions of dollars) 7,971 3,523 7,552 it, 331 7,266 It,973 6,86k 4,849 b,bit8 4,874 Changes: 19^8 - Apr. -47 May -5 June 42 July -66 Aug. -5 Sept. 18 Oct. -8 Nov. -38 Dec. 101 -85 -62 -36 11 19 -27 -92 -32 -2 19# - Jan.3/ -96 Feb n 18 Mar* 45 Apr, -lib May 8 June 43 July -79 Aug. 3 Sept. -2 Oct. -27 Nov. 20 Dec. 111 119 39 62 *44 13 -85 -13 -12 -32 -281 -85 -12 I960 - Jan. Feb, Mar. Apr. May June -9 -11 32 -148 -80 -131 37 a -86 42 97 120 -24 34 8 34 -6 47 6<£ 682 725 722 700 4 -19 24 8 2 2 -3 -1 -7 -16 17 6 -4 41 .-31 ^ 58 *33 -20 10 19 4 -47 -1 13 8 -2 -20 -55 -8 -28 -2k 23 - -12 -9 52 -19 13 -6 -9 3 13 -23 698 33,311 19,529 35,168 20,951 761 23,039 855 ' 37,779 38,942 24,768 910 25,483 1,0214 39,461 154 195 253 193 198 161 195 15L 174 -29 40 5 -28 29 29 -U6 . 43 -3 208 -58 32 125 38 175 155 -32. 161 45 145 39 -12 179 156 33 160 31 137 -37 124 42 -12 132 159 116 150 129 161 -12 43 4L -21 63 30,032 31,695 34,Obi 34,983 35,248 3,279 3,473 3,738 3,959 4,213 94 269 26k 152 251 237 40 123 309 93 181 300 88 143 267 95 42 418 1 68 -36 64 108 -30 -55 81 -109 175 216 330 .10 217 lbl 32 192 163 -283 65 218 122 113 313 6 120 202 -54 80 197 -187 -27 340 53 103 17 -16 97 -41 86 112 -34 -96 92 -122 -11 167 319 -132 176 -68 50 320 -95 58 57 117 -l -37 118 1/ Uses of funds represent net changes in assets and therefore reflect, net rather than gross, uses. 2/ Includes Canadian government and political subdivisions, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, nonguaranteed Federal agency and other bonds as well as corporate bonds and stocks. 1 / Adjusted to eliminate the effect of a consolidation of a large savings bank with a commercial bank. Source.—National Assoc. of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. July 11, I960 Part II - Canada There were heavy sales of Treasury bills and marketable Government bonds by the public in Canada last week. Total holdings of the public declined by $7U million0 On balance, the chartered banks reduced their holdings of Government securities by $6 millionj the Bank of Canada added. $66 million to its portfolio. The yield on the 3-month Canadian Treasury bill remained substantially above that on the United States short bill. With a slight premium on the forward Canadian dollar, there was a net incentive of O089 per cent per annum to hold the Canadian bill over the United States bill. During the week, short bonds ' had a slightly easier tendency but yields on intermediate and long bonds were unchanged. For the month, there was a general decline in the level of bond yields. Stock prices showed little change last week. The Canadian dollar eased slightly during the week but remained close to 102 (U.S. cents). Seasonally adjusted bank loans expanded in June for the fourth consecutive month. Money market conditions. The average yield on the 3-month Treasury bill at last Thursday's auction rose 10 basis points to 3.17 per cent from 3«07 per cent a week ago. The 6-month bill also rose, by 12 basis points to 3«,35> per cent from 3„23 per cent the previous week. During the week, the general public sold $1*9 million of bills while the Bank of Canada bought $18 million and the chartered banks $21 million. The average closing rate on day-to-day loans during the week was 3=13 per cent compared with 3.03 per cent a week ago. The spread favoring the Canadian short Treasury bill over the United States bill narrowed slightly as a result of a greater rise in the U.S. rate. The net incentive to hold the Canadian bill also decreased slightly from 0.9U per cent per annum to 0.89 per cent as the small premium on the 3-month forward Canadian dollar continued. Bond market conditions. Bond yields on shorter maturities (5 years and under) declined slightly but there was little change in other bond yields. The spread between selected comparable Canadian and United States securities (Thursday yields for bills and Wednesday yields for bonds) were as follows (figures in parentheses refer to the previous week): O.83 per 0.U2 per 0.60 per 1<>02 per 1„27 per cent on a 91-day bill (0.88) cent on a 182-day bill (0.62) cent on an 8-year bond (0.U5) cent on a 20=year bond (0.01) cent on a 35-year bond (1.25) The Bank of Canada increased its holdings of bonds by $U8 million, of which $Ul million were under 2-year maturities. The chartered banks sold $27 million and the general public $2£ million of bonds last week. According to the Mcleod, Young, Weir estimates, average bond yields (of average maturity up to lU years) in Canadian markets declined between 18 and 26 basis points during June. MeLeocU Young, Weir Bond Yield Average (per cent) July 2 1959 10 10 10 10 kO Provincials, 5.52 Municipals 5.8k Public utilities 5.U7 Industrials 5.63 Bond yield average 5.61 Dec. 31 1959 June 1 I960 5.73 6.12 6.60 6.0U 6.1U 6.06 5.83 5.82 6.23 5.86 June 30 1960 ;- 5.5U 5.88 5.58 5.56 5.6b In accordance with the original offering in 1959 of $135 million of Canadian Government bonds to mature October 1, I960, holders were given the option of exchanging their bonds on or before June 30, I960, into equal par value 5-1/2 per cent noncallable bonds due October 1, 1975« On July 6, the Minister of Finance announced that $120,81*6,000 of the bonds have been surrendered for the 1975 maturity. The remaining $lU,l5U,000 will be paid off in cash on October 1, I960. The capital market reflected the summer slow down la$t week and no sizable offerings are expected before mid-July, the delivery date for last month's three provincial issues: the $50 million Ontario Hydro, the $12 million Nova Scotia, and the $7*5 million Saskatchewan. Pipe line construction and smaller public utility investments are expected to be stretched out or deferred until next spring. British Columbia Power Commission will offer a $25 million 3-year, 5 per cent issue at par. Life insurance investments. Returns on total investments of 12 Canadian life insurance companies Tor the first four months of I960 show continued expansion in their acquisition of new mortgages and some reduction in their Government and corporate bond purchases (see Table). Total investments increased by $229 million in this year compared with $23b million in 1959 and $191 million in 1958. Chartered bank loans. General loans by the chartered banks showed a seasonally adjusted increase of $19 million for June. This represents the fourth straight month of loan expansion as may be seen in the following seasonally adjusted figures % January February March April May June $U,786 million $U,771 " $li,786 » $U,802 «. $U,8U7 M $U,866 " Exchange rate. The closing spot rate on the Canadian dollar fell slightly below 102 (U.S. cents) on July 5 and closed at 101.86 Thursday July 7. A fractional premium on the 3-month forward dollar continued through the week. Canadian Dollar Rates (in U.S. cents) Spot rate 3-months forward 102.13 102.03 102.02 101.92 101.80 101.8k 102.19 102.05 102.03 101.9k 101.81 101.86 June 27 30 July 1 5 6 7 Stock market conditions. Prices of industrial stocks on the Montreal exchange continued to decline last week while prices on the Toronto exchange showed gains early in the week but remained below the previous week. New York Standard & Poor Toronto Montreal I960 - High Low 532.9k U8U.6O 320.0 277.9 65.02 57.00 June 13 20 30 July k 5 500.38 U90.50 U88.OO 183.26 U8U.50 285.6 279.8 275,1 272,8 272,0 61.90 60.96 60.52 British Commonwealth Section Division of International Finance Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System 60,65 Selected Canadian Money Market and Related Data Canada Spread over U.S. U.S 1929 - High Lou I960 - Jli&h Low 6.16 3.22 5.1)4 2.6$ a.19 2,80 ii.63 2.19 2.96 0.30 0.90 -0.69 June 16 23 30 July 7 2.71 2.98 3.07 3.17 2.32 2.39 2.19 2.3U 0.39 0.29 0.88 0.83 - Spot -23- faradlfn dollar 3-mo. discount (-1 forward premium(+)2Z 102.21 102.28 102.27 101.31 101.67 101.81 102.03 101.8a Net incentiva to hold Can. bi135/ — —— -— 101.77 101.91 102.02 101.86 0.31 -0.72 0,9k -0.27 0.37 0.2U 0.06 0.06 0.76 0.83 O.9I1 0.89 a/ Average yield at weekly tender on Thursday. Tj/ Composite market yield for the U.S. Treasury bill on Thursday close of business, c/ In U.S. cents. 3/ Spread between spot rate and 3-month forward Canadian dollar on Thursday closing, expressed as per cent per annum. e/ Spread over U.S. Treasury bill (column 3), plus 3-month forward discount or premium (column 6). Selected Government of Canada Security Yields 6 - m o . Treas . bills Spread Canada uTi/ 1929 - High Low I960 - High Low 6.2U 2.H . 2.33 2.89 ! 1 J c/ Z/ e/ y e/ n/ 3.19 3^2 2.37 a.20 long-term bonds (35 year J (20 year) Spread Spread Canada over Canada e/ v.si/ JS£ 2.30 2.22 1.11 0.21 a.aa 2.a2 a.82 1.22 0.87 0.38 a.23 0.62 0.U2 a.20 o.a9 o.a3 o.a2 a.92 a.87 a.82 0.99 0.82 -0.69 2.92 Intermediate bonds (8 yr.) Spread Qaryia over U.S.d/ O.iiO U.U9 a.20 a.2a 0.6(5 a.82 1.02 1.01 1.02 2.02 a.73 2.28 a.9 a 2.0a a.96 a.9a. • a.9a Average yield at weekly tender on Thursday. Spread between Canadian auction rate and composite market yield of U.S. on close of business Thursday. Government of Canada 2-3A per cent of June 1967-68. Spread over U.S. Government 2-1/2 per cent of 1963-68. Government of Canada 3-lA P e r cent of October 1879* Spread over U.S. Government 3-lA per cent of 1978-83• • Government of Canada 3-3A per cent of September 1996 - March 1998. Spread over U.S. Government of 199$. 1.61 0.98 .1.39 1.28 1.22 1.27 _2i,_ Canada: Changes in Distribution of Holdings of Canadian Government Direct and Guaranteed Securities (millions of Canadian dollars, par value; Bank of Canada toeas. Bonds bills May U 11 18 25 June 2 9 16 23 30 July 7 + 9 - 3 - 15 0 - 5U - i + 20 - u + 5 + 18 Government Total + 1U 0 + U - u - U8 0 + 13 + 13 + 5 + U8 + + - 1 2 "8 3 2 9 12 17 0 + 13 Chartered banks Treas. Bonds bills + -+ + + + + + 17 lU 7 Uo 32 9 hi 5 U6 21 + + + + + + - General public Savings Treas. bonds bills Bonds - 7 2 17 1 8 5 5 2 11 27 7 8 7 7 7 7 3 7 7 5 + + - 26 26 6 39 h 9 52 1 Uo U9 Source: Bank of Canada, Weekly Financial Statistics* Canadian Investment Transactions of Twelve Life Insurance Companies (millions of Canadian dollars) 1958 Govt, securities (Canadian) Provincial bonds Municipal bonds Corporate and other bonds Stocks Mortgage loans Real estate Policy loans Total U8.9 - 1.5 7.7 39.5 1.0 8U.U 7.1 _2^ 35.9 11.0 15.3 66.li U.9 9U.9 3.3 1.9 27.2 U.6 10.2 52.5 1.5 116.3 8.3 8.1 190.7 233.5 228.7 Source: Bank of Canada Statistical Summary. First four months I960 1959 + + + - 8 0 15 5 73 3 11 U 17 25