Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : January 9, 1978
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I •i Capital Market . Developments V a X 7 January 9, 1978 • Prepared by the C A P I T A L MARKETS SECTION in conjunction with t h e MORTGAGE and CONSUMER FINANCE SECTION DIVISION O F R E S E A R C H AND STATISTICS BOARD O F GOVERNORS F E D E R A L R E S E R V E SYSTEM Washington, D C. 20551 t Index . SUBSCRIPTION RATES: Weekly $15.00 per year or $.40 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico; 10 or more of the same issue to one address, $13.50 per year or $.35 each. Elsewhere, $20.00 per year or $.50 each. Address requests to Publications Services, Division of Administrative Services, and make payment remittance payable to the order of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in a form collectible at par in U.S. Currency. TABLES 1 - 6 S E C U R I T Y VOLUME AND YIELDS 7, 8 STOCK MARKET AND S E C U R I T Y CREDIT 9 - 1 6 MORTGAGE MARKET SYMBOLS e p r ESTIMATE PRELIMINARY REVISED n.a. NOT AVAILABLE DATA DO NOT EXIST Table 1 YIELDS, VOLUME AND RECEPTION CORPORATE BOND MARKET VOLUME YIELDS WEEK ENDING NEW ISSUE 1 Aaa UTILITY RECENTLY OFFERED Aaa UTILITY 2 3 GROSS OFFERINGS ( $ MILLIONS) PER CENT SOLD BY END OF WEEK NEW ISSUES 4 IN SYNDICATE ( $ MILLIONS) 1977 - November 4 11 18 25 8.35 8.29 8.24 8.23 8.32 8.26 8.24 8.19 306 699 409 390 100 97 95 96 0 40 21 48 December 2 9 16 23 30 8.26 8.35 8.36 8.23 8.34 8.38 8.41 8.48 770 224 581 74 13 64 82 69 86 86 295 160 283 121 116 1978 - January 6 8.47p 0 MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME YIELDS WEEK ENDING MOODY'S NEW ISSUE Aaa BOND BUYER 2D-BOND INDEX GROSS OFFERINGS ( $ MILLIONS) 3 PER CENT SOLD BY END OF WEEK NEW ISSUES 4 IN SYNDICATE ( $ MILLIONS) 1977 - November 4 11 18 25 5.20 5.20 5.15 5.05 5.55 5.51 5.45 5.45 530 554 1,197 702 87 86 74 93 124 140 306 271 December 2 9 16 23 30 5.05 5.05 5.00 5.10 5.15 5.47 5.54 5.55 5.62 5.66 392 465 1,709 810 127 81 71 87 70 81 221 281 420 487 428 1978 - J a n u a r y 6 5.15 5.64 145 87 316 NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection, released from price restrictions sometime during the last four weeks. 3 Estimated by F.R. on the basis of available data. 4 Corporate Market: Salomon Brothers Bond Market Roundup; Municipal Market: Weekly Bond Buyer. Data are adjusted by Federal Reserve when necessary to make coverage of this series consistent with the gross offerings series. 1 Table 2 HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS NEW I S S U E A a a UTILITY DATE 1 RECENTLY OFFERED A a a UTILITY 2 MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE A a a 3 U . S . GOVT. 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITY 4 BOND BUYER 2 0 - B 0 N D INDEX 1973 - High Low 8.52 (8/10) 7.29 ( 1 / 2 1 ) 8.32 (8/10) 7.28 (1/5) 7.77 ( 8 / 2 4 ) 7.11 (1/5) 7.79 ( 6 / 1 0 ) 6.42 (1/5) 5.59 (8/3) 4.99 ( 1 0 / 1 1 ) 1974 - High Low 10.61 (10/4) 8.05 ( 2 / 1 5 ) 10.52 ( 1 0 / 1 1 ) 8.13 (1/4) 9.39 (10/11) 7.73 (1/4) 8.68 (8/30) 7.39 ( 1 / 4 ) 7.15 ( 1 2 / 1 2 ) 5.15 (2/7) 1975 - High Low 9.80 (5/2) 8.89 ( 2 / 7 ) 9.71 (5/25) 9.06 (2/28) 9.01 (5/2) 8.57 ( 2 / 2 8 ) 8.63 (9/19) 7,63 (2/21) 7.67 (10/3) 6.27 (2/13) 1976 - High Low 8.95 ( 5 / 2 8 ) 7.93 (12/10) 9.10 (1/2) 7.84 (12/31) 8.66 ( 5 / 2 8 ) 7 . 9 1 (12/31) 8.17 ( 5 / 2 8 ) 7.27 (12/31) 7.29 ( 1 / 2 ) 5.95 (12/16) 1977 - High Low 8.36 ( 1 2 / 1 6 ) 7.90 ( 1 / 7 ) 8.48 (12/30) 7.95 ( 1 / 7 ) 8 . 2 8 (12/30) 7.88 (1/7) 7.99 (12/30) 7.26 ( 1 / 7 ) 5.93 (2/4) 5.45 (11/17) 8.26 8.35 8.36 8.23 8.34 8.38 8.41 8.48r 8.08 8.13 8.18 8.23 8.28 7.75 7.81 7.84r 7.89 7.99 5.47 5.54 5.55 5.62 5.66 8.47p 8.29p 8.00 5.64 1977 - Dec. 1978 - J a n . 2 9 16 23 30 —— 6 5 NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection released from price restrictions sometime during the last 4 weeks. 3 Weekly average of daily closing figures. 4 Weekly average of daily figures. U.S. Treasury data. 5 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Weekly Bond Buyer data. r p Revised. Preliminary. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal # Reserve Bank of St. eLouis # # e # # # e ** • < 5 Table 3 LONG-TERM CORPORATE AND STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT SECURITY OFFERINGS AND PLACEMENTS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS G R O S S PROCEEDS CORPORATE PERIOD 1977 3 January February March April May June July August September October November December Q1 02 03 04 1st Half 3 Qtrs. Year S T A T E AND LOCAL 1976 1 1975 1 1977 3 1976 2 1975 3,989 2,708 5,495 3,381 3,863 6,632 5,367 4,528 5,378 3,556 3,435 4,137 2,451 2,885 3,365 2,361 2,387 2,135 3,639 3,735 5,321 3,507 4,186 6,439 4,294 5,798 5,596 3,456 4,571 5,787 2,218 3,575 3,115 2,406 2,900 3,064 4,074 3,322 3,905 3,216 3,357 4,817 4,327 2,405 2,836 3,185 4,080 3,891 2,734 2,821 2,814 3,580 2,783 2,159 3,800e 4,800e 4,lOOe 4,431 3,047 6,480 4,705 4,076 4,307 3,800e 3,300e 3,400e 3,524 3,336 2,342 2,323 2,381 2,052 12,192 12,695 11,301 12,700e 13,876 14,132 11,390 13,958 15,273 15,688 9,568 13,088 11,128 13,814 11,156 10,500e 8,701 8,908 8,369 9,202 6,883 8,370 8,522 6,756 24,887 36,188 48,888e 28,008 39,398 53,356 30,961 40,529 53,617 24,942 36,098 46,598e 17,609 25,978 35,180 15,253 23,775 30,531 NOTES: 1 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross proceeds. 2 Securities Industry Association estimates of principal amounts. 3 E s t i m a t e d by F e d e r a l Reserve on t h e b a s i s of a v a i l a b l e d a t a . 2 Table 4 NEW CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES BY TYPE OF ISSUE AND ISSUER IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE PERIOD BONDS TOTAL PUBLICLY OFFERED COMMON MEMO MANUFACAND ISSUES INCLUDED PRIVATELY PREFERRED TURING PLACED FOREIGN CONVERTIBLE STOCK 1976 - I II III IV 13,876 14,132 11,390 13,958 7,569 7,427 4,904 6,553 2,754 3,584 4,624 4,846 2,559 1977 - I II III IV 12,192 12,695 11,301 6,504 5,606 6,366 1976 - September October November December 4,817 4,431 3,047 6,480 2,100 2,729 1,256 2,568 1977 - J a n u a r y February March April May June July Augus t September 3,989 2,708 5,495 3,639 3,735 5.321 4,074 3.322 3,905 2,786 1,102 2,610 1,961 1,600 2,045 2,360 1,947 2,059 3,553 3,121 PUBLIC UTILITY COMMUNICATIONS OTHER ISSUERS 1,861 1,340 1,843 1,267 1,795 262 478 199 55 4,497 3,757 2,982 4,244 4,044 3,140 3,317 3,897 765 1,879 378 541 4,569 5,358 4,715 5,276 3,071 4,215 3,057 2,617 2,874 1,878 1,800 858 1,560 6 108 495 2,774 3,182 2,826 3,019 3,852 2,757 1,415 1,044 644 4,986 4,618 5,072 2,163 753 1,101 2,992 554 949 690 920 400 235 1,310 250 92 21 31 3 753 1,349 510 2,385 1.465 1,414 1,327 1,156 140 155 190 196 2,459 1,513 1,019 2,744 601 786 1,690 1,087 887 2,241 1,019 818 602 820 1,195 591 1,248 1,035 695 557 626 300 433 125 600 350 850 935 150 475 0 6 0 50 2 56 25 262 208 906 743 1,125 1,348 652 986 435 1,598 774 50 557 808 334 294 416 277 45 322 2,048 973 1,965 1,220 NOTES: 1 Other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER 1,182 1,309 966 551 1,612 1.466 843 497 1,417 1,182 1,179 2,257 1,646 1,813 1,614 T a b l e 5A INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ' January 3 t h r o u g h J a n u a r y 6, 1978 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY COUPON RATE OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S/S&P'S RATINGS 9.00 Aa/AA CORPORATE OTHER B e l l Canada Bonds 200.0 2008 NOTES: * 1 Rights offering. Includes only corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; excludes options, exchanges, and secondary offerings. 9.00 00 Table 5B INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ' January 3 through J a n u a r y 6, 1978 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY NET INTEREST COST OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S/S&P'S RATINGS 7.38 5.25 5.25 4.40-5.90 5.00-7.25 4.50-5.35 5.50 A/A+ Baa/AA-1/A+ A-1/A+ STATE AND LOCAL McPherson, Kansas P h i l a d e l p h i a , Pa. S p r i n g f i e l d , Ore. S p r i n g f i e l d , Ore. Rev. G. 0 . Rev. Rev. 19.7 78.6 9.5 3.1 NOTES: 1 Includes only state and local security offerings of $10 million and over; excludes secondary offerings. 2 For State and local government securities, G O. denotes general obligation; Rev. denotes revenue obligations. 1982-2007 1979-2003 1985-1995 1999 T a b l e 6A FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 As of January 6, 1978 ISSUER CORPORATE TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Middle South U t i l s . I n c . Iowa Southern U t i l i t i e s Co. F l o r i d a Power & L i g h t Co. Iowa P u b l i c S e r v i c e Co. Iowa P u b l i c S e r v i c e Co. P a c i f i c T e l . & T e l e . Co. *Petro-Lewis Corp. *UT C r e d i t Corp. L o u i s i a n a Power & L i g h t Co. ^Houston N a t u r a l Gas Corp. ^Northwest N a t u r a l Gas Co. ^Commonwealth Edison Co. J e r s e y C e n t r a l Power & Light Co. *E1 Paso E l e c t r i c Co. Alabama Power Co. *Southern Railway Co. *Duquesne L i g h t Co. *Southern P a c i f i c Tr ans p. *Texas E l e c . S e r v . Co. *Texas U t i l s . Co. *ICI North America I n c . Montgomery Ward C r e d i t Corp. *South C a r o l i n a E l e c t r i c & Gas Co. Gamble C r e d i t Corp. American Savings & Loan Assoc. Com. s t k . 1 s t mtg. 1 s t mtg. Com. s t k . Pfd. stk. Debt. Debt. Debt. 1 s t mtg. Debt. Pfd. stk. Com. s t k . 1 s t mtg. Com. s t k . 1 s t mtg. Equip. t r . Com. s t k . Equip. t r . Pfd. s t k . Pfd. stk. Debt. Med-term n o t e s 1 s t mtg. Notes Mtg.-backed 150.0 15.0 75.0 22.0 15.0 300.0 25.0 100.0 75.0 50.0 15.0 150.0 50.0 24.0 100.0 22.1 50.0 18.8 30.0 30.0 150.0 100.0 30.0 30.0 150.0 J a n . 10 J a n . 10 J a n . 10 J a n . 11 J a n . 11 J a n . 11 J a n . 11 J a n . 17 J a n . 18 J a n . 18 J a n . 19 J a n . 24 J a n . 24 J a n . 25 J a n . 25 J a n . 25 J a n . 26 J a n . 31 J a n . 31 Jan. Jan. Jan. Feb. 1 Indef. Indef. OTHER ^Norway, Kingdom o f Notes 125.0 J a n . 12 NOTES: * Included in table for first time. 1 Includes only corporate and other security issues of $15 million and over; excludes exchanges, options 10 Table 6B FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 As of January 6, 1978 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING STATE & LOCAL ^Colorado S p r i n g s , Colo. * A r l i n g t o n Co., Va. M a r t i n L u t h e r King J r . Gen. Hosp. Auth., Cal. *Farmington, N.M. M a r t i n Co., F l a . ^Wisconsin, S t a t e of Oregon, S t a t e of ^ C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge Auth. D a l l a s , Texas ^Hamilton C o . , Ohio *Anoka-Hennepin I n d . Sch. D i s t . , Minn. S. C a l i f o r n i a Rapid T r a n s i t D i s t . , Cal. Miami, F l a . ^ F l o r i d a S t a t e Board of Educ. * D a l l a s - F o r t Worth Reg. A i r p o r t . , Tex. *Brazosport I n d . Sch. D i s t . , Texas *Minnetonka, Minn. *Tacoma, Wash. T y l e r , Texas Kenai P e n i n s u l a Borough, Alk. C a l i f o r n i a , S t a t e of *Gwinnett C o . , Ga. *Gwinnett Co. Water & Sewerage A u t h . , Ga. ^Missouri Hsg. Dev. Comm. *Newport News, Va. ^Hawaii, S t a t e of Georgia Mun. E l e c t r i c Auth. *Pomerado Hosp. A u t h . , C a l . ^Sacramento Reg. Co• S a n t . D i s t . , Cal. ^ P e n n s y l v a n i a , S t a t e of *Clear Creek I n d . Sch, D i s t . , Tex. *Alvin I n d . Sch. D i s t . , Texas *San F r a n c i s c o , C a l . Rev. G.O. 88.0 24.5 Rev. Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. G.O. 27.5 40.0 19.4 118.0 150.0 20.0 60.0 18.7 G.O. 10.6 J a n . 11 G.O. G.O. G.O. 15.2 14.0 75.0 J a n . 11 J a n . 11 J a n . 12 Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. 31.0 12.2 11.0 11.0 16.3 26.0 150.0 16.8 Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 13 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. 16.7 35.0 14.8 75.0 125.0 16.4 Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 17 18 18 19 19 23 G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. 50.0 95.0 18.0 18.1 55.0 Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 23 24 24 24 25 Jan. 9 J a n . 10 Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. NOTES: 1 Includes state and local government issues of $10 million and over, foreign government. International Bank for Reconstruction issues of Federally sponsored agencies; excludes secondary offerings. * Included in the table for the first time. 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 r 11 Table 6B C o n t i n u e d FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 As of January 6, 1978 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING STATE & LOCAL ^Michigan S t a t e Hsg. Dev. Auth. ^Pennsylvania Turnpike Coram. ^Dallas Co., Texas *Milwaukee Co., Wisc. ^ L o u i s i a n a , S t a t e of ^ I l l i n o i s , S t a t e of ^Hamilton Co., Ohio Kanawha Co. Bldg. Coram., W. Va. I l l i n o i s H e a l t h F a c . Auth. Norfolk I n d u s t r i a l Dev. A u t h . , Va. POSTPONEMENT Montgomery Co., Ohio Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. 55.0 50.0 27.0 26.5 45.0 105.0 66.0 22.4 15.5 21.5 Rev. 52.5 Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 26 26 30 31 31 31 J a n . 10 \ Table 7 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME 1 STOCK PRICES DATE NYSE INDEX 3 B J INDUSTRIALS 4 NASDAQ 5 NYSE AMEX NASDAQ 130.47 ( 1 / 1 1 ) 136.84 ( 1 / 1 1 ) 8 5 . 2 6 (12/20) 89.12 (12/13) 26.0 ( 9 / 2 0 ) 9.0 (8/20) 5.5 (1/12) 1.4 ( 8 / 2 0 ) 11.3 (1/11) 3.5 (8/27) 1973--High Low 65.58 (1/11) 49.12 ( 1 2 / 1 3 ) 1974--High Low 53.37 ( 3 / 1 3 ) 32.89 (10/3) 891.66 ( 3 / 1 3 ) 577.60 ( 1 2 / 6 ) 102.01 ( 3 / 1 4 ) 58.26 (12/9) 96.53 (3/15) 54.87 ( 1 0 / 3 ) 24.9 (1/3) 7.5 ( 7 / 5 ) 4.4 (1/3) .9 ( 9 / 2 6 ) 7.5 (1/3) 2.8 (7/5) 1975--High Low 51.24 (7/15) 37.16 (1/8) 881.81 ( 7 / 1 5 ) 632.04 ( 1 / 2 ) 96.86 (7/15) 62.20 (1/2) 88.00 ( 7 / 1 5 ) 60.70 ( 1 / 2 ) 35.2 ( 2 / 1 3 ) 8.7 (9/15) 4.2 (2/21) 1.1 (9/15) 8.1 (2/13) 2.5 (9/15) 1976--High Low 57.51 (9/21) 48.04 (1/2) 1014.79 ( 9 / 2 1 ) 858.71 ( 1 / 2 ) 1 0 7 . 0 5 (7/12) 84.31 (1/2) 92.52 ( 7 / 1 5 ) 78.06 ( 1 / 2 ) 44.5 ( 2 / 2 0 ) 10.3 ( 1 / 2 ) 8.6 (2/20) 1.1 (1/2) 11.1 (2/20) 3.5 (1/2) 1977--High Low 57.69 (1/3) 49.78 (11/2) 999.75 ( 1 / 3 ) 800.85 ( 1 1 / 2 ) 127.89 (12/30) 105,05 ( 1 2 / 3 0 ) : 35.3 (11/11) 109.61 ( 1 / 1 2 ) 93.66 ( 4 / 5 ) 10.6 (10/10) 4.2 (1/13) 1.4 ( 9 / 2 2 ) 11.2 ( 1 1 / 1 0 ) 5 . 1 (5/27) Nov, 4 11 18 25 50.27 52.70 52.51 53.33 809.94 845.89 835.76 844.42 112.88 118.33 119.64 123.42 97.21 100.94 102.22 104.33 19.0 25.8 25.0 24.7 1.9 2.7 2.8 3.0 7.2 9.2 9.5 8.6 Dec. 2 9 16 23 30 52.34 51.72 51.61 52.26 52.50 823.98 815.23 815.32 829.87 831.17 124.61 124.14 125.59 126.28 127.89 104.10 103.57 104.05 103.94 105.05 22.5 21.1 20.3 23.4 20.9 3.0 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.3 9.3 9.7 9.1 8.9 8.8 6 50.64 793.49 123.05 101.66 21.8 2.4 9.1 1978 Jan. 1051.50 ( 1 / 1 1 ) 788.31 ( 1 2 / 5 ) AMEX 2 TRADING VOLUME NOTES: 1 Figures other than highs and lows are Fridays only. Highs and lows are for the year and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2 3 Volume figures are weekly averages of daily figures (millions of shares). 12/31/65 = 50 4 5 8 / 3 1 / 7 3 = 100. 2 / 5 / 7 1 = 100. Table 8 SECURITY CREDIT ( i n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) REGULATED MARGIN CREDIT EXTENDED BY END OF PERIOD BROKERS ON1 BROKERS ON 2 CONVERTIBLE MARGIN BONDS STOCK OUTSTANDING BANKS 3 UNREGULATED NONMARGIN STOCK CREDIT AT BANKS 1976 - October November December 7,530 7,610 7,960 169 178 204 1,067 864 845 2,253 2,312 2,283 1977 - J a n u a r y February March April May June July August September October November 8,270 8,480 8,690 8,880 9,070 9,230 9,460 9,560 9,590 9,560 9,610 196 197 199 196 196 198 204 200 196 191 832 844 810 807 801 823 823 829 824 827 2,312 2,319 2,312 2,350 2,345 2,403 2,419 2,438 2,434 2,431 -5 9 26 -12 -203 -19 99 59 -29 -8 1 2 -3 -13 12 -34 -3 -6 22 29 7 -7 38 -5 58 16 19 -4 -3 CHANGE IN OUTSTANDING 1976 - October November December 80 350 1977 - J a n u a r y February March April May June July August September October November 310 210 210 190 190 160 230 100 30 -30 50 2 6 -4 -4 -5 6 -5 3 NOTES: 1 Margin account debt as reported by the New York Stock Exchange, excluding credit for subscription issues and convertible bonds. 2 New York Stock Exchange data. 3 June data for banks are universe totals; all other data for banks represent estimates for all commercial banks based on reports by a reporting sample, which accounted for 60 per cent of security credit outstanding at banks on June 30. 4 Nonmargin stocks are those not listed on a national securities exchange and not included on the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System's list of OTC margin stocks. At banks, loans to purchase or carry nonmargin stocks are unregulated; at brokers, such stocks have no value. 4 t Table 9 SAVINGS FLOWS AT NONBANK THRIFT INSTITUTIONS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS S A V I N G S & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS DATE NET FLOW 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 10,067 4,815 2,909 11,070 11,546 197 7 - A p r i l May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. £./ Nov. j>/ 107 856 1,484 677 282 1,200 587 390 1977-April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. j>/ Nov. j>/ 527 927 796 1,394 1,326 1,231 1,310 473 1 ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 12.4 5.4 2.2 11.3 11.6 —— —— — 5.1 8.9 7.6 13.2 12.4 11.9 12.0 4.3 NET NEW MONEY 2 5,451 -442 -2,822 4,757 5,275 -168 577 38 396 -12 -137 296 90 —— — — SHARE CAPITAL NET FLOW 32,567 20,237 16,006 42,769 50,287 ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 18.6 9.9 7.0 17.3 17.7 NET NEW MONEY TOTAL 2 DEPOSITS NET FLOW 23,884 10,507 4,668 29,276 34,369 42,634 25,052 18,915 53,839 61,833 2,124 1,924 3,647 3,419 6,384 2,048 4,164 3,913 2,863 2,631 5,962 1,666 2,380 2,244 1,752 n.a. SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 2,231 4,503 7,868 4,841 3,149 7.162 2,967 2,142 3,397 3,947 3,738 6,180 6,220 5,980 4,209 3,519 3,924 4,874 4,534 7,574 7,546 7,211 5,502 3,852 — — — — 11.7 13.4 12.6 20.6 20.4 19.2 13.3 11.0 —— —— —— —— ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 16.6 8.5 5.5 15.8 16.0 — — — — —— — — 9.9 12.2 11.3 18.7 18.3 17.3 13.0 9.3 NET NEW MONEY 2 29,335 10,062 1,846 34,033 39,644 1,756 3,996 2,086 4,309 2,622 1,529 2,540 n.a. —— —— — — —» — —- ~ NOTES: 1 Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. 2 New deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&L's are for insured associations only, which represent 96 per cent of industry total resources. 3 Annual growth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Source: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ # # Louis # # # # Federal Reserve Bank of St. H.16 # e # e 4 Table 10 MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS AT SELECTED THRIFT INSTITUTIONS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY A D J U S T E D OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS PERIOD TOTAL ALL SAVINGS MUTUAL & LOAN SAVINGS BKS ASSOCIATIONS ( N Y. S T A T E ) NET CHANGE TOTAL ALL SAVINGS MUTUAL & LOAN SAVINGS BKS A S S O C I A T I O N S ( N Y. S T A T E ) 1972 25.2 20.3 4.9 7.48 6.28 1.20 1973 19.9 16.4 3.5 -5.31 -3.92 -1.39 1974 14.7 12.5 2.2 -5.20 -3.91 -1.29 1975 20.6 18.6 2.0 5.81 6.06 - .25 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 20.8 21.3 21.7 21.8 22.3 22.6 23.1 23.7 24.6 26.1 27.3 28.2 18.8 19.3 19.5 19.6 20.0 20.4 20.8 21.3 22.0 23.5 24.6 25.5 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 .06 .61 .48 .38 .48 .27 .50 .87 1.05 1.20 1.26 .92 .20 .58 .16 .10 .32 .53 .33 .50 .78 1.46 1.09 .92 .02 -.06 .19 .05 .05 .02 .03 .12 .19 .06 .09 1977 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 27.9 28.4 29.6 30.2 30.3 31.4 32.1 34.1 35.5 38.0 39.3 25.1 25.4 26.4 27.0 27.0 27.6 28.4 30.1 31.4 33.4 34.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.8 3.7 4.1 4.1 4.6 4.7 -.35 .48 1.24 .56 .12 1.07 .80 1.97 1.32 2.51 1.38 -.45 .30 1.04 .59 .02 .58 .83 1.66 1.31 2.04 1.20 .10 .18 .20 -.03 .10 .52 -.03 .33 .01 .47 .18 - - NOTES: Based on data f r o m Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Association of New York State. Both series include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments; S&L c o m m i t m e n t s also include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly f r o m u n r o u n d e d end of period outstanding levels as reported and after seasonal a d j u s t m e n t by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. H.16 T a b l e 11 NET NEW MONEY BORROWINGS BY MAJOR HOUSING AGENCIES IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERIOD TOTAL INCLUDING SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES INTERMEDIATE A N D LONG-TERM I S S U E S TOTAL FHLB 1974 - S e p t . Oct. Nov. Dec. +2,768 +1,665 -89 +507 +2,750 +1,599 +93 +961 +1,700 +1,499 -217 +470 1975 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -242 -659 +440 0 -1,568 +330 +236 -398 215 587 152 669 -5 -254 +689 +69 1 -1,279 +600 +300 -700 100 850 200 600 -4 -554 -11 -30 -1,279 0 0 -700 0 +150 0 0 1976 — J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -197 -964 -851 124 -953 -107 -58 787 195 -37 -552 145 0 -604 -304 693 -607 -206 291 +190 190 310 -297 -219 1977 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. e 12 -862 289 344 532 605 531 347 195 247 466 188 -592 -354 746 297 203 553 301 -291 211 500 NOTES: Based on data from Treasury Survey of Ownership. e Estimated. FHLMC FNMA FNMA & FHLB SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES +1,050 +100 +310 +491 +18 +66 -182 -454 +300 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0 0 200 0 -1 0 +700 +100 0 +600 +300 0 100 700 0 600 -237 -405 -249 -69 -289 -270 —64 302 115 -263 —48 69 0 -1,100 0 0 -600 0 0 0 0 0 -300 0 0 196 -4 -7 -7 —6 -9 +190 -10 -8 —9 -7 0 300 -300 700 0 -200 300 0 200 318 12 -212 -197 -360 -547 -569 -346 99 -349 597 5 -347 -255 364 0 -200 0 189 -393 -4 0 200 3 -47 -3 9 11 200 -1 1 -350 752 -8 200 600 0 -300 200 0 -176 -270 643 -402 235 402 -22 46 486 -36 -34 -6 105 0 0 304 0 0 300 — — — — 17 T a b l e 12 NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERIOD 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 2 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA TOTAL COMMERCIAL BANKS MSB's S & L's 21,930 41,406 57,587 58,372 42,739 43,497 63,245 17,020 39,018 55,561 55,072 36,517 38,658 65,365 2,462 9,940 16,800 19,600 11,700 4,200 13,900 1,956 3,938 5,377 5,642 2,172 2,236 4,074 10,254 23,919 31,932 25,552 17,567 29,289 44,977 INSURANCE FNMA-GNMA COMPANIES 2,348 1,221 1,452 4,278 5,078 2,933 2,414 4,910 2,388 2,026 3,300 6,222 4,839 -2,120 34 31 140 414 158 496 252 220 744 614 -326 - 42 66 123 687 177 - 86 -163 167 - 31 112 74 287 453 267 508 313 249 748 574 -267 135 217 294 1,055 409 -436 -429 - 33 -258 Not S e a s o n a l l y A d j u s t e d 1977 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 3,930 4,275 7,114 8,532 9,280 10,683 8,341 9,504 9,130 8,352 4,256 4,317 7,048 8,409 8,593 10,506 8,427 9,667 8,963 8,383 1,100 1,100 2,000 2,300 2,400 2,900 2,300 3,000 2,300 2,200 2,100 196 156 291 414 388 976 649 719 660 690 2,926 3,030 4,617 5,281 5,647 6,134 5,226 5,728 5,259 4,879 4,744 Seasonally Adjusted 1977 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1 5,717 5,510 7,318 7,957 8,735 9,470 7,465 8,710 8,975 8,481 5,984 5,375 7,101 7,663 7,680 9,061 7,901 9,139 9,008 8,739 1,555 1,427 2,047 2,161 2,165 2,581 2,286 2,858 2,113 2,182 2,247 337 307 280 401 366 816 559 696 735 735 3,980 3,567 4,487 4,648 4,882 5,156 4,743 5,336 5,412 5,248 5,494 Monthly d a t a f o r commercial banks based on F e d e r a l R e s e r v e e s t i m a t e s benchmarked t o C a l l Report d a t a on r e a l e s t a t e l o a n s o u t s t a n d i n g a s a v a i l a b l e . Other d a t a d e r i v e d from m o r t g a g e debt o u t s t a n d i n g a s r e p o r t e d s e p a r a t e l y by N a t i o n a l Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, F e d e r a l Home Loan Bank Board, American Council of L i f e I n s u r a n c e , F e d e r a l N a t i o n a l Mortgage A s s o c i a t i o n , and t h e Government N a t i o n a l Mortgage A s s o c i a t i o n . A l t o g e t h e r , t h e s e groups a c c o u n t e d f o r 73 p e r c e n t of t h e n e t i n c r e a s e e s t i m a t e d f o r a l l h o l d e r s i n 1976. 18 Table 13 NET INCREASE IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING IN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, S E A S O N A L L Y A D J U S T E D A N N U A L R A T E S 2 RESIDENTIAL QUARTER TOTAL TOTAL 1- t o 4 FAMILY MULTIFAMILY COMMERCIAL MULTFAMLY & COMMERCIAL FARM 1970 - I II II IV 25.5 25.3 33.5 35.4 18.7 18.3 23.9 26.8 13.2 12.5 15.5 18.8 5.5 5.8 8.4 8.0 5.7 6.9 8.6 7.4 11.2 12.7 17.0 15.4 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.3 1971 - I II III IV 41.2 51.8 57.8 59.5 32.7 40.3 43.1 44.7 23.2 29.6 33.8 35.7 9.5 10.7 9.3 9.1 6.7 9.3 12.1 11.6 16.2 20.0 21.4 20.7 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.1 1972 - I II III IV 67.6 74.1 77.6 88.1 49.3 54.1 59.1 63.6 38.0 41.0 48.1 47.9 11.3 13.1 11.0 15.7 14.8 16.5 14.9 21.0 26.1 29.6 25.9 36.7 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 1973 - I II III IV 80.6 87.4 80.7 70.4 56.0 59.9 56.2 48.5 47.8 46.9 43.7 40.6 8.2 13.0 12.5 7.9 19.1 21.7 19.4 16.4 27.3 34.7 31.9 24.3 5.6 5.8 5.0 5.5 1974 - I II II IV 69.9 70.9 54.5 46.7 48.7 47.2 35.1 29.7 39.2 40.3 28.4 25.4 9.5 6.9 6.7 4.3 17.5 18.7 13.6 11.2 27.0 25.6 20.3 15.5 3.6 4.9 5.8 5.9 1975 - I II III IV 44.0 55.0 62.3 67.7 29.7 39.8 45.3 50.8 28.9 39.8 44.9 51.9 0.8 0.0 0.4 -1.1 9.0 10.3 12.9 12.8 9.8 10.3 13.3 11.7 5.3 4.9 4.0 4.1 1976 - I II III IV 78.6 77.3 94.0 97.4 59.7 58.0 73.8 76.1 58.3 58.1 70.0 74.6 1.4 -0.1 3.8 1.5 13.7 14.5 13.4 13.7 15.1 14.4 17.2 15.2 5.3 4.8 6.9 7.6 104.5 129.9 137.7 79.9 102.4 110.1 76.5 96.2 102.4 3.4 6.2 7.7 15.5 19.0 19.3 18.9 25.2 27.0 9.1 8.5 8.3 1977 - I ( r ) I I (p) III(p) : NOTES 1 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. R e s i d e n t i a l mortgage d e b t i n c l u d e s nonfarm o n l y and i s sum of 1 - t o 4 - f a m i l y and m u l t i f a m i l y mortgage d e b t . http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ NOTE: A l l d a t a r e v i s e d Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis as of October 10, 1977 due t o r e e s t i m a t i o n of s e a s o n a l f a c t o r s . e e # e # e # # • , • T a b l e 14 PRIVATE HOUSING PERMITS, STARTS, COMPLETIONS, AND MOBILE HOME SHIPMENTS IN T H O U S A N D S O F U N I T S , S E A S O N A L L Y A D J U S T E D A N N U A L R A T E S PERMITS 1 PERIOD TOTAL COMPLETIONS STARTS TOTAL 1 —FAMILY 2-OR MORE FAMILY 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1,324 1,352 1,925 2,219 1,820 1,074 939 1,281 626 647 906 1,033 882 644 676 895 698 705 1,018 1,186 937 431 264 386 1976 - Oct Nov. Dec. 1,481 1,583 1,532 987 1,055 1,049 494 528 483 1977 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 1,333 1,526 1,687 1,605 1,615 1,678 1,639 1,772 1,695 1,850 1,891 930 1,060 1,188 1,051 1,077 1,105 1,089 1,156 1,135 1,216 1,260 403 466 499 554 538 573 550 616 560 634 631 1—FAMILY 2-OR MORE FAMILY TOTAL MOBILE 1—FAMILY 2-OR MORE FAMILY HOME SHIPMENTS 1,407 1,434 2,052 2,357 2,045 1,388 1,160 1,538 811 813 1,151 1,309 1,132 888 892 1,162 656 621 901 1,048 914 450 268 376 1,399 1,418 1,706 1,972 2,014 1,692 1,297 1,362 808 802 1,014 1,143 1,174 932 867 1,026 592 617 692 828 840 760 430 336 413 401 497 576 567 329 216 250 | 1,715 1,706 1,889 1,269 1,236 1,324 446 470 565 1,326 1,399 1,435 989 1,068 1,074 337 331 361 263 247 248 1 1,384 1,802 2,089 1,880 1,937 1,897 2,083 2,029 2,065 2,224 2,105 1,006 1,424 1,503 1,413 1,455 1,389 1,437 1,453 1,523 1,581 1,335 378 378 586 467 482 508 646 576 542 643 570 1,416 1,637 1,707 1,540 1,536 1,647 1,671 1,699 1,907 1,612 1,103 1,242 1,236 1,226 1,177 1,209 1,267 1,282 1,493 1,193 313 395 471 314 359 438 404 417 414 419 258 275 275 252 251 264 251 270 300 319 313 | i NOTES: Private building permits (for 14,000 areas with permit systems, excluding farm), starts, and completions are Census Bureau data. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins. In t h e case of a p a r t m e n t buildings, all units are considered started at that time; however, all such units are considered completed when more than half of t h e units in the structure are ready for use. Private mobile h o m e s h i p m e n t s are Mobile Home Manufacturers Association data converted t o seasonally adjusted annual rate by Census Bureau. 1 Permit data for 1969 and 1970 based on 13,000 areas with permit systems V£> N> T a b l e 15 ° AVERAGE RATES AND YIELDS ON HOME MORTGAGES EXISTING HOMES NEW HOMES 1 1 PERIOD SPREAD BETWEEN RETURNS ON NEW A a a NEW HOMES CONVENTIONAL UTILITY 1 AND HUD(FHA) BOND NEW HOME YIELD SPREAD DISCOUNT (BASIS (PERCENTAGE MORTGAGES (IN PER CENT) (BASIS POINTS) POINTS) POINTS) HUD(FHA) INSURED LOANS SECONDARY MARKET CONVENTIONAL LOANS PRIMARY MARKET RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) YIELD (IN PER CENT) 1975 - High Low 9.25 8.90 15 -70 9.30 8.95 20 -65 9.74 8.69 31 -91 6.2 2.4 21 -49 9.70 8.94 1976 - High Low 9.05 8.90 91 5 9.10 8.95 95 10 9.06 8.25 59 8 4.3 2.0 65 -4 8.72 8.05 197 9.00 8.95 8.90 71 90 NA 9.00 9.00 8.95 71 95 NA 8.55 8.45 8.25 26 40 NA 4.3 3.6 2.0 45 50 65 8.29 8.05 NA 8.80 8.80 8.85 8.90 8.95 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.05 58 52 63 59 NA 93 83 99 86 72 82 8.85 8.85 8.90 8.95 9.00 9.05 9.05 9.05 9.05 9.05 9.05 63 57 68 64 NA 98 88 1.04 91 .77 82 8.40 8.50 8.58 8.57 NA 8.74 8.74 8.74 8.72 8.78 8.78 18 22 36 26 NA 67 57 73 58 50 55 3.2 3.9 4.6 4.5 NA 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.7 2.2 2.2 . 40 30 27 33 NA 26 26 26 28 22 27 8.22 8.28 8.22 8.31 NA 8.07 8.17 8.01 8.14 8.28 8.23 - Oct. Nov. Dec. 1977 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. NOTES: 1 Gross yield spread is average mortgage return before deducting servicing costs, minus average yield on new issues of high-grade utility bonds with 5-year call protection. Rates on conventional first mortgages (excluding additional fees and charges) are based on unweighted HUD (FHA) field office opinions on prevailing contract interest rates in the market areas of the insuring offices, rounded to the nearest 5 basis points. For secondary market data, weighted HUD office opinions on the average bid price for HUD (FHA) loans with minimum downpayment, prepaid in 15 years, for immediate delivery, are used. H.16 21 Table 16 FNMA AUCTION RESULTS HOME MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS GOVERNMENT-UNDERWRITTEN DATE OF AUCTION AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) OFFERED 1976 - High Low AVERAGE YIELD CONVENTIONAL AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) ACCEPTED OFFERED 634 ( 5 / 1 7 ) 321 ( 5 / 1 7 ) 9 . 2 0 ( 6 / 1 ) 171 ( 9 / 7 ) 21 ( 1 2 / 2 7 ) 19 (12/27) 8 . 3 9 ( 1 2 / 2 7 33 ( 1 / 2 6 ) AVERAGE YIELD ACCEPTED 127 ( 1 1 / 1 5 ) 9 . 3 1 ( 6 / 1 , 6/28) 23 ( 2 / 2 3 ) 8 . 9 0 (12/27) 1977 - J a n . 10 24 385.7 361.7 285.8 263.3 8.46 8.49 184.2 142.6 132.5 105.8 8.81 8.83 Feb. 7 24 389.6 478.8 213.6 271.1 8.52 8.58 151.7 148.3 120.2 115.6 8.85 8.87 Mar. 7 21 702.3 434.9 324.9 287.1 8 .66 8.70 206.4 167.5 153.2 114.9 8.90 8.92 Apr. 4 18 321.5 134.6 201.9 67.9 8.72 8.62 196.1 152.0 158.3 122.4 8.97 8.97 May 2 16 31 723.1 585.4 534.3 422.2 285.5 319.7 8.70 8.74 8.79 383.4 415.9 365 .3 255.1 278 .0 218.6 9.03 9.08 9.13 June 13 27 188.1 90.8 78.1 49.7 8.77 8.73 210.5 160.6 157.5 105 .5 9.13 9.11 July 11 25 130.5 75.9 77.3 54.1 8.72 8.71 163.9 122.9 101.6 82.8 9.08 9.06 Aug. 8 22 195.0 143.1 8.75 119.9 78.3 8.77 199.8 170.4 144.4 92.3 9.06 9.06 Sept. 7 19 50.3 62.6 35.1 40.3 8.74 8.74 138.9 107.5 113.9 70.5 9.06 9.05 Oct. 3 17 31 131.3 325.8 156.1 82.2 212.6 105.7 8.77 8.84 8.86 187.3 242.7 328.1 137.2 167.8 224.0 9.07 9.11 9.14 Nov. 14 28 13 27 110.6 99.8 329.1 855.4 69.5 83.2 224.3 569.7 8.86 8.85 8.89 8.98 308.6 229.0 262.2 329.4 202.8 183.5 168.9 190.5 9.16 9.16 9.17 9.21 Dec. NOTES: Average secondary market yields are gross before deduction of the fee of 38 basis points paid for mortgage servicing. They reflect the average ac cepted bid yield for home mortgages assuming a prepayment period of 12 years for 30-year loans, without special adjustment for Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) commitment fees and FNMA stock purchase and holding requirements on 4-month commitments. Mortgage amounts offered by bidders relate to total eligible bids received. H.16