Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : January 9, 1958
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Hot for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MOUTHS H.lU - January 9, 1958. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of large publicly offered securities was very small last week, but is expected to be much larger this week. During the week ending January 3j no large corporate issues were sold and only two State and local government security issues, amounting to $18 million, were offered. The calendar for this week (ending January 10) includes corporate offerings totaling $100 million and State and local government issues amounting to $53 million. The corporate total includes a $50 million note issue of Commercial Credit Company which was originally scheduled for sale in late October, and postponed at that time because of market conditions. A §150 million bond issue of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development was sold on January 7. Bond yields - Changes in yields on outstanding bonds were mixed last week. Yields on corporate bonds declined, while yields on Aaa State and local government bonds increased and yields on Baa's remained stable. Yields on new corporate bond issues have declined further recently. A new A-rated, 30-year, first mortgage electric utility issue was offered to investors Wednesday of this week to yield 1|.07 per cent — 33 basis points below that for the last comparable issue, an offering made on December 12. Another issue of the same rating and similar terms was sold on Thursday to yield It.10 per cent. The postwar peak yield recorded for this grade and type of issue was 5.50 per cent on November 7, 1957. . Stock prices - The Standard and Pocr:s index of 500 common stocks increased about 3 per cent last week, closing at I4.O.87 on January 3, 1958. Trading volume averaged 3.3 million shares a day with the heaviest activity concentrated on Monday and Tuesday. Prices increased on balance for the first three days of this week, closing at 1*0.99 on Wednesday. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, EXHIBIT A HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS \ U. S. GOVERNMENT:/A/ ^ V long.ierm '/ "A 1953 1954 1955 1956 long-term 2/ Date Corporate Aaa 1/ New series 1957 1958 Spread between Siate and local govt. (old series) and Corporatel State and Aaa 3/ 1 local Aaa (Per cent) 1957 - High Low 3.U2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3.07 L.llv 3.66 December 6 December 13 December 20 December 27 January 3• 3.97 3.96 3.77 3.73 3.o3 1953 - High Low 195lt - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) a/23) (12/23) (1/7) (12/28) (3/2) (9/27) (1/12) 3.15 2.78 2.7k 2.1U, 2.9L 2.62 3.19 2.80 3.87 3.15 (6/6) 2.73 (6/25) (12/26) n.a. 1.98 (1/8) 2.21 (6/10) (1/9) 1.90 (9/2) (8/7) 2.3U (9/8) (8/5) 3.03 ( 8/5) (1/7) 2.89 (6/10) •2.05 (5/26) (12/21)3.39 (12/28) 3.05 (12/27) (2/17) 2.92 (2/3) 2.17 (2/23) (10/18)3.66 (10/18) 3..L5 (8/29]1 2.76 (2/21]1 (2/8) 3.22 (2/8) 3.32 3.25 3.19 3.15 kf lot available. 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. 3-41 3.35 3-29 3.?9 v 3.03 2.94 2.9.4 2 ,?6 . .38 .19 .13 .32 .3L .13 .W .13 -65 .20 ' .81 .30 .61 .29 •70 .5h .68 •32 ' .58 .lh .65 .59 .59 .58 .29 • ?1 .31 n.a. Average term of bonds included la 25-26 2/ Weekly averages pf daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter, including, beginning October 1957, the l» per cent bond of 1969. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1A per cent' bond of 1978-83. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term Ta 20 years. y Discontinued as of December 31, 1957. New series to be available shortly. Note.—Highs and I'-vs are for iniividjil series tni nay be on different dates for different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa 2/ Spread between Aaa and Baa 1 State and 1local govt. Corporate (Per cent) 1953-- High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3.44 3.63 3.45 it.U 3.58 5.10 4.42 December 6 December 13 December 20 December 27 January 3 • 5.09 5.-06 5.00 5.oo 4.96 1954 - High (9/18) (1/2) (V8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/14) (12/28) (3/9) (11/29) (1/12) 3.79 ( 6 / 2 5 ) 2.96(1/6) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93(8/5) 3.26 ( 1 2 / 2 9 ) 3.02 (1/6) it.22 (12/27) 3.20(3/8) L.51 (8/29) 3.90 ( 2 / 2 1 ) . . 4.14 4.03 3.92 3.92 3.92 .45 ' .63 .42 1.27 .64 1.21 .98 1.16. .93 1.03 ~ .87 1.17 .89 1.21 1.04 1.12 1.22 • 1.23 1.27 1.28 1.11 1.09 1.06 1.08 1.06 .69 .42 .68 .52 .54 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds includes is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. y EXHIBIT C STOCK MARKET 1 Stock price index 1/ • °LUME Trading •Common volume 2/ (millions yields y of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers' debit bal- loans to ances V "others" £/ (Millions of dollars) 1957 - High Low 26.5U (1/2) 22.95 (9/18) 35.98 (12/31) 214.93 (1/8) 1*5.89 (12/9) 35.28 (l/lU) 1*9.614 (8/3) 143-22 (1/20) 1*9.08 (7/12) 39.1*8 {12/20) November December December 20 December :7 January 3 1*0.35 1*0.33 39.1*8 39.78 1»C.«7 1953 - High 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* lt.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 1*.2 • l.L 6.25 5.38 5.82 l*-32 1*. 1*2 3.6I4 1*.35 3.82 a.72 • 3.91 2,1*55 2,055 3.1*36 2,1*05 1*,030 3,537 l*,0l*7 3,911* t*,031 3,577 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,887 2,517 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 3.3 a.62 1*.63 it". 72 i*.68 1*.56 3,577 n.a. 2,517 n.a. n.a. . 780 661* 1,01*8 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 ; 1,267 ' 1,155 1,163 1,05/* 1,060 l]066 n.a.—Not available. \J Standard and Poor's composite index of '500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 191*1-1*3"10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only, highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. h/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U.S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U.S. Government securities at banks in New York end Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dqllars) 1958 January February March e/ 800 April May June July August September Corporate 1 1957 1 New capital State and local 1/ 1 1956 r 1957 1956 1958 1,063 1,071 1,3a 573 712 817 e/ 700 924 771 1,189 991 914 973 742 572 506 404 696 390 818 1,11*6 641 765 546 393 378 490 735 1,063 651 838 529 584 430 408 206 357 745_, 1,089^/ 1,088 696 632 688 639 347 409 October November December 1,01k e/900 e/1,000 1st Quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter lith quarter 3,179 3,184 2,878 e/2„9U, 2,102 2,805 . 2,556 2,922 1,820 1,704 1,544 2,016 1,490 1,603 971 1,395 6,662 9,510 e/12,454 4,907 7,463 10,384 3,524 5,068 7,084 3,093 4,00k 5,459 1st half Three quarters Year Excluding finance companies 3/ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter Year 3,268 2,92k 2,560 e/2,764 1,647 2,541 2,246 2,826 e/ll,5i5 9,260 e/ Estimated. 1/ Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by Federal Reserve; later data are from the Investment bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 2/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issue. j/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. , „ Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. io H.ll* Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues lor New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered /- (Millions of dollars) Corporate Month 1956 - November December 1957 - January February March April, May June July August September October November ^ State and local government 701 U30 567 671 788 1*77 329 877 525 526 537 571* 1*20 135 201 386 306 19U 1*99 2l*8 176 265 357 185 1*35 386 Other 2/ 100 50 125 25 39 25 30 75 Large Individual Issues Offered during December Issuer Type y Amount Coupon rate or Offering (millions Maturity Rating of net inter- yield dollars) est cost CORPORATE Virginia Elec. & Pwr. Co. lat&ref.rotg.bds.20.0 - 1987 S.F. deb. 25.0 , 1977 Northern Natural Gas £0. Chesapeake & Pjotomac pel. Co. of Maryland Deb. 30.0 1993 Commonwealth 01*1 Refining Conv. sub.deb. 16,5 1972 Nat'l. Cylinder Gas Co. Conv. sub.deb. 17.5 1977 Standard Oil Co. of N. J. Common stk. 288.2 1* 1/2 U 5/8 1.1*7 U.63 U 1/8 !6 i 5 1/8 3.98 6.ou '5.-13 Aa A Aaa Ba STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Akron, Ohio Los Angeles Sch. Dists., Calif. Indianapolis, Ind. State of Ohio Water rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. 5*0 1959-78 3.36 2.50-3.U0 A 15.0 1959-83 3.19 ' 2.35-3.25 Aa 5.1 1960-89 2.91 2.25-3.00 Aaa 1 2.00-2.70 Aaa 25.0 1958-77/67 2.65 E-2T H.lii Large Individual Issues Offered during December (Cont'd; Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount (millions Maturity Offering Rating net inter- yield of dollars) est cost STATE AND LOCAL GOVKIOTNT (Continued! .Greater Baton Rouge Port Rev. Comm., Louisiana Bergen Co., New Jersey G.O. Phoenix, Arizona Wtr. rev. State of Texas G.O. Minneapolis and St. Paul Met. Airport Comm.,Minn, G.O. Atlanta, Georgia G.O. Mobile, Alabama Wtr. rev. Richmond, Virginia G.O. Chicago Bd. of Educ., 111, G.O. Chelan Co. pub. Ut. Dist. No. 1, Washington Rev. University of Minnesota Rev. . Minneapolis-St. Paul Met. Airport Comm., Minn. 19. h 1960-77/67 7.2 1959-82 16.0 1959-87/68 12.5 1966-86/67 13.0 1961-88/73 1958-86 6.0 1961-91/68 6.8 1959-78 25.0 1960-77 15.0 3.36 2.60-3.W Baa 2.70 2.10-2.80 3.51 2.50-3.50 A 2.70 2.L0-2.70 2.79 2.96 3.93 2.1,8 3.07 2.25-2.90 Aa 2.00-2.90 Aa 2.90-L.00 Baa 2.00-2.50 Aaa 2.50-3,10 A 250.0 5.0 2013 1959-97 5.20 2.75 5.00 13.0 1961-88 2.69 V Aa Aa Aa OTHER None 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. h/ Reoffering deferred until July 1> 1958. H.lU Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following date shown Corporate State and Other 2/ local govt. Date of computation - Dec. 31 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 29 Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 1*76 591 7U0 1*61 187 525 370 5# 578 576 158 383 378 280 153 153 290 179 97 172 2# 2143 #0 369 #7 383 Subsequent to date shown Corporate State and Other 2/ local govt. 100 35 . 796 966 795 486 258 25 25 25 30 30 18 150 his 811 815 61*7 815 1,193 1,161 763 61*8 631 862 3# 388 498 5 Hi 1*39 587 573 5# 61U 100 35 25 25 25 30 15 1*5 63 165 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of January 3 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Commercial Credit Co. Washington Water Power Company Connecticut Light & Power Co. Commonwealth Edison Co. Pacific Power & Light Co. West Virginia Pulp & Paper Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Alabama Power Co. Pacific Gas & Electric Co. *Kimberly Clark Corp. Royal Dutch Petroleum Co. Notes 50.0 1st mtg.-bds. 20.0 1st mtg. bds. 30.0 S.F.- deb. 50.0 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 Deb. liO.O Deb. bds. & Common h5.0 1st mtg. bds. 23.0 1st & ref. mtg. bds.75.0 . S.F. deb. 30.0 y Common stk. 1st mtg. bds. Conv. deb. 25.0 718.3 Gas Pipeline Co. of America j 1st mtg. bds. Digitized Natural for FRASER 1*0.0 Indiana & Michigan Electric Co. American Telephone & Telegraph Co. Jan. 8 Jan. 9 Jan. 9 Jan.; 15 Jan. 16 Jan. 16 Jan. 16 Jan. 17 Jan. 22 Jan. 22 Feb. 10 (rights expire) Feb. 11. March 12 (rights expire) Winter H.U* Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of January 3 I Cont'd) Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Caddo Parish Sch. Dist., La. Los Angeles, California Dade Co., Florida Des Moines Ind. Sch. Dist., Iowa *-San Diego Co. Wtr. Auth., Calif. State of New York Georgia Rural" Roads Auth. State of Missouri New York, New York State of North Carolina Penna. State Highway & Bridge Auth. State of California ^Dallas, Texas .Florida State Board of Education Los Angeles, California State of New Hampshire No. Hempstead Sch. Dist. No. 9, N.Y, East Baton Rouge Par. S.D. No.l, La, Denver, Colorado ^Public Housing Authorities Wichita. Sch. Dist. No. 1, Kansas New York State Thruway Auth. Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. . G.O. G.O. G.O. Water rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Water rev. . G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. 7.5 25.0 1U.5 5.7 7.5 n 55.0 25.5 . 10.0 20.0 100.0 11.8 7.9 9.0 28.it 7.k 10.0 20.0 67.1 5.0 iiO.O 62.0 20.0 Jan. 7 Jan. 7 Jan. 8 Jan. 9 Jan. 13 Jan. 1U Jan. 11; Jan. 15 Jan. 15 Jan. 16 Jan. 17 Jan. 22 Jan. 27 Jan. 28 Jan. 29 Jan. 30 Feb. k Feb. U Feb. 5 Feb. 5 Feb. 6 Winter Winter Winter OTHER Int'l Bank for Reconstruction and Development Union of South Africa Bds. Ext. loan bds. 150.0 15.0 Jan. 7 Winter *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of -#15 million and over; State and local government issues of $5 million and over. .2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. • 2/ The net proceeds are expected to total $200-$250 million; however, the amount to be offered in the United States is as yet indeterminate. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None.