Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : January 27, 1975
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Capital Market Developments January 2 7 , 1 9 7 5 Prepared by the CAPITAL MARKETS SECTION in conjunction with the MORTGAGE, AGRICULTURAL, and CONSUMER FINANCE SECTION DIVISION OF RESEARCH AND STATISTICS « I BOARD OF GOVERNORS • V ^ F E D ^ f M L RESERVE SYSTEM Washington, D C. 20551 Index SYMBOLS TABLES 1-6 SECURITY VOLUME AND YIELDS 7, 8 STOCK MARKET AND SECURITY CREDIT 9-16 MORTGAGE MARKET e ESTIMATE p PRELIMINARY r REVISED n.a. NOT A V A I L A B L E DATA DO NOT EXIST Table 1 3 YIELDS, VOLUME AND RECEPTION > CORPORATE BOND MARKET VOLUME YIELDS WEEK ENDING 1974 - Dec. 1975 - Jan. N E W ISSUE A a a UTILITY 1 RECENTLY OFFERED Aaa UTILITY — 3 10 17 24 PER C E N T SOLD BY END OF WEEK 93 85 92 — 9.67 9.45 9.55r 9.54p 9.62 9.38r 9.45p 3 GROSS OFFERINGS ($ MILLIONS) 676 925 605 9.39 9.57 9.59 9.64 9.50 9.59 9.52 6 13 20 27 2 — w* 699 1,492 474 98 96 92 NEW ISSUES 4 IN S Y N D I C A T E ($ MILLIONS) 171 175 178 177 163 14 174 130 MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME YIELDS WEEK ENDING MOODY'S NEW ISSUE BOND BUYER 2D-BOND INDEX 3 GROSS OFFERINGS ($ MILLIONS) PER C E N T S O L D BY END OF WEEK NEW ISSUES 4 IN S Y N D I C A T E ($ MILLIONS) 1974 - Dec. 6 13 20 27 6.40 6.80 6.70 6.70 6.89 7.15 7.08 7.08 569 441 290 27 90 80 89 91 167 167 140 122 1975 - Jan. 3 10 17 24 6.70 6.60 6.55 6.10 7.08 6.99 6.90 6.59 26 500 410 361 66 92 84 84 117 75 88 66 NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection, released from price restrictions sometime during the last four weeks. 3 Estimated by F.R. on the basis of available data. 4 Corporate Market: Salomon Brothers Bond Market Roundup; Municipal Market: Weekly Bond Buyer. Data are adjusted by Federal Reserve when necessary to make coverage of this series consistent with the gross offerings series. Table 2 HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 - - - - - 4 9.43 (6/19) 9.20 (6/26) 8.60 (7/3) 7.55 (5/29) 7.12 (5/28) Low 7.72 (12/11) 8.16 (12/18) 7.48 (12/21) 6.17 (12/18) 5.33 (12/10) High 8.26 (7/30) 8.23 (1/1) 7.71 (8/21) 6.51 (6/18) Low 6.23 (6/23) 7.02 (2/5) 7.17 (12/31) 7.06 (2/12) 5.69 (3/23) 4.97 (10/21) High 7.60 (4/21) 7.49 (4/21) 7.36 (4/28) 6.19 (4/14) Low 5.54 (4/13) 6.99 (11/24) 7.15 (12/1) 7.05 (2/12) 5.74 (11/17) 4.96 (10/21) High 8.52 (8/10) 8.32 (8/10) 7.77 (8/24) 7.79 (8/10) Low 5.59 (8/3) 7.29 (1/21) 7.28 (1/5) 7.11 (1/5) 6.42 (1/5) 4.99 (10/11) 10.61 (10/4) 10.52 (10/11) 9.39 (10/11) 8.68 (8/30) 8.05 (2/15) 8.13 (1/4) 7.73 (1/4) 7.39(1/4) 7.15 5.16 (12/12) (2/7) 6.89 High - Dec. - 3 High Jan. RECENTLY OFFERED Aaa UTILITY MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa U.S. GOVT. 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITY B O N D BUYER 20-BGND INDEX 6 9.50 9.39 8.90 7.99 13 9.59 9.57 8.87 7.83 7.15 20 9.52 9.59 8.85 7.81 7.08 9.64 8.90 7.91 7.08 27 1975 2 NEW ISSUE Aaa UTILITY Low 1974 1 DATE — -- 9.67 8.93 7.93 7.08 10 9.62 9.45 8.91. 7.83. 6.99 17 9.38r 9.55r 8.84r 24 9.45p 9.54p 8.78p 3 . 7.81 6.90 7.80p 6.59 NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection released from price restrictions sometime during the last 4 3 Weekly average of daily closing figures. 4 Weekly average of daily figures. U.S. Treasury data. 5 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Weekly Bond Buyer data. 5 Table 3 LONG-TERM CORPORATE AND STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT SECURITY OFFERINGS AND PLACEMENTS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS GROSS PROCEEDS PERIOD 1974 1 CORPORATE | | 1973 1972 1974 STATE AND LOCAL 1 1972 I 1973 January February March 3,341 2,690 3,216 2,327 1,962 3,933 3,205 3,369 3,229 2 ,196 - 1,933 1 ,998 1,977 1,515 2,467 1,776 2,005 2,239 April May June 3,067 3,156 2,976 2,497 2,543 3,578 3,275 3,598 4,341 2 ,370 2 ,237 2 ,004 1,826 1,939 2,152 1,989 2,017 2,270 July August September 3,142 2,653 1,600 2,631 1,806 1,915 3,582 2,893 2,720 1 ,489 1.,103 11,692 2,028 1,657 1,750 1,805 1,966 1,726 3,398 3,563 3,238 3,791 3,377 3,396 2.,334 2,31.3 2,257 2,089 2.200 1,862 1,797 9,247 9,199 7*395 8,222 8,618 6,352 10,199 9,803 11,214 9,195 10,564 6 ,127 6 ,611 4.,284 5,959 5,917 5,435 6,659 6,020 6,276 5,497 5,859 18,446 25,841 16,840 23,192 33,391 21,017 30,212 40,776 12 ,738 17,,022 11,876 17,311 23,970 12,296 17,793 23,652 October November December Q1 02 03 04 1st Half 3 Qtrs. Year NOTES: 1 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross proceeds. 2 Securities Industry Association estimates of principal amounts. 2 Table 4 NEW CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES BY TYPE OF ISSUE AND ISSUER IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERIOD TOTAL G R O S S PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE G R O S S PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER 1 BONDS COMMON MEMO PUBLIC COMMUNIOTHER MANUFACAND PUBLICLY PRIVATELY ISSUES INCLUDED CATIONS ISSUERS UTILITY TURING OFFERED PLACED PREFERRED FOREIGN (CONVERTIBLE STOCK 1973 - i n IV 6,352 10,199 2,333 5,026 2,285 2,059 1,735 3,114 163 136 50 282 1,160 1,502 2,014 2,917 871 1,851 2,304 3,930 1974 - I II 9,247 9,199 7,395 5,818 5,883 1,652 1,766 1,777 1,537 88 115 58 38 1,927 2,520 3,569 3,190 874 1,310 2,880 2,171 5,025 1,011 1,359 373 306 1,783 2,414 1,001 2,202 1,915 684 682 549 32 3 348 585 243 737 Oct. Nov. Dec. 3,398 3,563 3,238 1,805 1,669 1,552 553 589 917 1,040 1,305 769 6 53 77 250 32 522 476 504 949 1,080 888 678 796 377 1,249 1,212 1,469 1974 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 3,341 2,690 3,216 2,115 1,683 2,020 794 421 437 432 586 759 56 11 21 2 4 52 896 390 641 1,441 829 1,299 146 397 331 861 1,072 947 Apr. May June 3,067 1,594 2,350 1,939 671 802 3,156 2,978 599 510 207 538 63 42 10 12 ' 15 11 1,202 854 470 1,131 912 1,147 294 663 353 442 730 1,007 3,142 2,653 1,600 2,086 2,042 897 518 204 289 538 407 223 — 1,017 583 601 1,133 295 364 1,231 574 414 150 183 680 342 397 III 1973 - Sept. July Aug. Sept. NOTES: 1 Other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. 205 104 LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY ISSUES FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY' January 2, thru January 17, 1975 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY OFFERING YIELD COUPON RATE MOODY'S RATING CORPORATE Public Svc Electric & Gas Pacific Power & Light Atchison, Topeka & Santa Fe R.R. Philadelphia Electric Co. Southwestern Bell Tel. Co. Southwestern Bell Tel. Co. Detroit Edison Co. Black & Decker Mfg. Co. Central Tel. of Virginia Boston.Gas Co. Armour & Co. Montgomery Ward Credit. Corp. Carolina Power & Light Public Svc. of Indiana Portland General Electric Consolidated Natural Gas Union Carbide Corp. Cyprus Mines Corp. Amax Inc. Amax Inc. Oklahoma Gas & Electric Cont. Tele. Co. of Calif. Delmarva Power & Light Co. Kansas Nebraska Natural Gas Pfd stk Com stk Equip tr Debt Notes Debt 1st mtg Notes 1st mtg Debt Debt SF Debt Com stk Com stk Pfd stk Pfd stk Debt Notes Debt SF Notes 1st mtge 1st mtge 1st mtge Debt NOTES: * Rights offering. 1 Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over. 35.0 58.6 15.0 100.0 100.0 150.0 50.0 75.0 20.0 25.0 75.0 60.0 59.0 42.3 30.0 50.1 300.0 100.0 75.0 75.0 60.0 25.0 30.0 20.0 12.25 12.25 8.75 12.75 8.20 9.25 12.75 8.45 10.20 9.88 9.88 9.50 '7.75-8.75 12.50 8.20 9.30 12.75 8.45 10.20 9.88 9.96 9.50 —— 1990 1981 1982 2015 1982 1985 2000 1982 2000 1983 A — Aaa Baa Aaa Aaa Baa/Bbb A/Aa A A A A —— —— — —— 2005, 1985 2000 1984 2005 1982 1983 1995 11.50 10.75 8.50 8.75 9.38 8.50 9.13 10.00 9.38 9.88 . 11.50 10.75 8.50 8.83 9.45 8.56 9.00 10.00 9.25 9.93 —— A Aa A A A Aa Baa/Bbb+ A A/A+ LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY ISSUES FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY January 2, thru January 24, 1975 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY COUPON RATE OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING CORPORATE Arco Pipe Line Co. Ford Motor Credit Co. Ford Motor Credit Co. Weyerhaeuser Co. National Rural Util. Fin. Corp. Ohio Edison Middle South Utilities r ^--Columbus & Southern Ohio Electric Houston Natural Gas Sears Roebuck Accept. Corp. Scott Paper Co. Scott Paper Co. Brown Group Inc. Columbus & Southern Ohio Electric FMC Corp. Union Pacific RR Co. Hartford Electric Light •Notes Notes Debt Notes 1st mtge Pfd stk Com stk Com stk Debt SF Debt Debt SF Notes Debt SF 1st mtge Debt Equip tr 1st mtge 250.0 125.,0 75.,0 250..0 100..0 40.0 98..0 19..4 50.0 125..0 50..0 . 35,.0 35..0 30,.0 100 .0 15 .0 20 .0 1982 1983 1995 1985 1985 1995 1986 2000 1985 2000 1983 2000 1989 1982 9.75 8.38 8.75 8.15 9.88 11.00 9.50 8.25 11.00 9.75 8.40 8.75 8.15 9.90 11.00 9.60 7.00-8.25 10.75 Other Inter-American Dev. Bank Hydro Quebec Electric New Brunswick Electric Pwr. Comm *Municipal Fin. Auth. of British Columbia Notes Debt Debt Debt SF 100,.0 200.0 75,.0 34,.5 1985 2005 2005 2000 8.25 10.25 10.00 9.75 8.40 10.25 10.05 9.86 — —— — 8.00 8.63 9.50 8.00 8.95 10.76 8.10 8.69 9.59 8.06 8.95 10.76 Aa Aa/A Aa/A Aa A/A+ A — — —— —— — —— . A Aa Aa Aa A A/Bbb A Aaa A Aaa A-l A Aa Table SB LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY ISSUES FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ' January 2, thru January 24, 1975 TYPE ISSUER 2 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY NET INTEREST COST OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING STATE AND LOCAL Cuyahoga Co., Ohio Dade Co., Fla. California Educ. Facilities Auth., Calif. California Educ. Facilities Auth., Calif. Salt River Agric. & Pwr. Dist., Ariz. Salt River Agric. & Pwr. Dist., Ariz. .Minnesota, State of Mass. Municipal Electric Systems Mass. Municipal Electric Systems Maine State Housing Auth. Maine State Housing Auth. Albany Co., N.Y. Puerto Rico Florida, State of Alaska, State of Mobile Board of Water & Sewer Comm, Ala. Springfield, 111. Hamilton Co., Ohio Port of Seattle, Wash. Charlotte, N.C. Washington, State of Washington, State of G.O. G.O. Rev Rev Rev Rev G.O. Rev Rev Rev Rev G.O. Rev Rev Rev Rev Rev G.O. Rev G.O. G.O. G.O. 30.0 31.0 3.7 13.2 20.0 40.0 33.8 6.0 20.1 13.3 3.7 70.0 25.0 10.0 10.6 11.5 12.0 35.0 40.0 26.0 12.5 17.3 1976-2000 1975-1999 1975-1985 2000 1983-1999 2013 1976-1993 1982-1994 2009 1975-1995 2006 1994-1998 1978 1980-1993 1979-1992 1977-1998 1976-1993 1975-1978 1976-1995 1976-1997 1976-2000 1976-2000 6.74 7.05 7.18 7.18 8.11 8.11 5.70 8.13 8.13 7.49 7.49 7.52 6.47 7.48 7.30 6.53 4.83 7.10 5.72 5.84 5.84 4.80-7.50 4.75-7.70 4.75-6.00 7.20 6.25-7.90 8.13 4.20-6.20 6.10-7.80 8.13 5.10-7.70 7.88 5.90-8.00 8.00 5.10-7.00 5.75-7.75 5.25-7.90 4.60-7.20 4.60 4.90-7.50 4.10-6.50 4.00-6.50 4.00-6.50 Aa A-l Aa Aa A-l A-l Aaa A-l A-l A-l A-l A A-l A A Aa A-l Aaa Aa Aa NOTES: 1 Includes state and local security offerings of $10 million and over. 2 In cm# of State and local government securities, G O denotes general obligation; Rev. Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.-Ut., revenue bonds secured only by income from quasi-utilities; Rev. S T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev -Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. 3 Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. Table 5B Continued LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY ISSUES FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY January 2, thru January 24, 1975 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY NET INTEREST COST OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING STATE AND LOCAL Detroit, Mich. Nashville & Davidson Co. Metro. Gov., Tenn. Gary, Indiana Pittsburgh Sch. Dlst., Pa. Hillsborough Co. Indust. Dev. Auth., Fla. Springfield, Mo. Guildford Co., N.C. G.O. 15.8 1976-1990 7..80 5.50-8.00 Baa G.O. Rev poll cont G.O. Rev Rev G.O. 61.1 29.0 20.0 14.0 15.0 23.7 1976-1999 1985 1976-2000 1995 1977-2004 1976-1996 5..70 4..10-6.80 6.20 4..20-7.00 7.75 4,.50-7.25 4..00-6.50 Aa Aa A-l A Aa Aa — 6..21 — 6,.34 5,.73 Table 6A FORTHCOMING LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 as of January 24, 1975 ISSUER TYPE CORPORATE American Tel. & Tel. American Tel. & Tel. Burlington Northern Long Island Lighting Co. Sohio BP Alaska Pipeline Fin. Co. Duke Power Co Genl. Tel. Co. of the Southeast Oklahoma Gas & Electric Co. National Security & Register Co. General Tel. of Ohio Pepsico Inc. Central & South West Corp. Conn. Light & Power Co. S. Pacific Transp. Co. Kansas Power & Light *United Illuminating Co. Washington Water Power Co. Duke Power Co. Mountain Fuel Supply Co. *PPG Industries Inc. *PPG Industries Inc. Dana Corp. *Southern Railway Co. Florida Power & Light *Indiana Gas *Atchinson Topeka & Santa Fe RR Kansas Gas & Electric Co. Pacific Lighting Svc. Co. Cleveland Electric Illuminating Co. ^Houston Lighting & Power *American Natural Gas Co. Louisville Gas & Electric Co. Cent. Illinois Light Co. Natural Gas Pipeline Co. Dallas Power & Light Co. ^Citizens Utilities Co. Esmark Inc. Esmark Inc. Freuhauf Finance Co. ERC Corp. Debt Notes Equip tr Com stk (rts) Notes Pfd stk 1st mtge Pfd stk Bene int Pfd stk Notes Com stk 1st mtge Equip tr 1st mtge Com stk 1st mtge 1st mtge Com stk Notes Debt Debt SF Equip tr Pfd stk 1st mtge Equip tr Pfd stk 1st mtge Com stk 1st mtge Com stk 1st mtge 1st mtge Debt 1st mtge 1st mtge Debt SF Notes Notes Debt NOTES: • Included in table for first time. 1 Includes corporate and other security issues of $15 million and over. AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 300 .0 300 .0 15 .6 29 .1 150 .0 50 .0 25 .0 35 .0 30 .0 . 20 .0 _ 75 .0 55 .0 85 .0. 15 .0 35 .0 16,.1 25 .0 100,.0 30,.0 50,.0 75,.0 75..0 15,.0 60..0 20..0 15,.0 20.0 30..0 35..0 125..0 62.,5 25..0 25..0 60.,0 50.,0 35.0 75.0 50.0 60.0 25.0 APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING January January January January January January January January January January January February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February February 28 28 28 29 30 30 30 4 4 4 6 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 13 16 18 18 19 20 20 24 25 25 25 26 26 27 Table 6A Continued 12 FORTHCOMING LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 as of January 24, 1975 TYPE ISSUER CORPORATE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING *Dow Chemical Co. *American Finance Corp. Montgomery Ward Credit Co. Sierra Pacific Power Co. Indiana & Michigan Electric Co. Arkansas Power & Light Niagara Mohawk Pwr. Notes Debt Debt SF Pfd stk Pfd stk Pfd stk Pfd stk 200.0 30.0 50.0 15.0 30.0 15.0 40.0 February Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Other Hydro-Quebec Hydro-Quebec *European Coal & Steel Comm. Debt Debt Notes 100.0 20.0 100.0 January January February Postponed Midland Enterprises Inc. 1st mtge 15.0 January 22 Table 6B FORTHCOMING LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ' as of January 24, 1975 AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) ISSUER APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING STATE & LOCAL Alaska, State of California, State of S. Oklahoma City Hospital Trust, Okla. *Barnstable, Mass. *West Virginia, State of Tallahassee, Fla. New York State Power Auth. Philadelphia, Pa. *New York State Housing Finance Agency Garland, Texas Virginia Public School Auth. Madison Voc. Tech. Education Dist. Wis. *Artesian Sch. Bldg. Corp. Ind. San Antonio, Texas San Antonio, Texas Philadelphia Hospital Auth., Pa. St. Charles Parish, La. January January 28 28 11.2 14.8 50.0 25.0 125.0 10.0 January January January January January February 28 29 29 29 30 4 103.5 11.5 16.5 February February February 4 4 5 G.O. G.O. 40.3 90.0 Rev G.O. G.O. Rev G.O. G.O. Rev G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev G.O. Rev Rev Rev poll cont 10.0 10.5 25.0 10.0 50.0 60.0 February February February February Indefinite Indefinite NOTES: 1 Includes state and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2 Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues end issues of Federally sponsored agencies. Table 7 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME 1 STOCK PRICES DATE NYSE INDEX 3 QJ INDUSTRIALS AMEX 4 1 NASDAQ 135.15 (12/8) 113.65 (1/3) 2 TRADING VOLUME NYSE I AMEX 27.6 (12/29) 10.3 (12/29) 8.1 (7/3) 1.8 (9/8) | NASDAQ 1972 - High Low 65.14 (12/11) 56.23 (1/3) 1036.27 (12/11) 889.15 (1/26) 138.35 (4/11) 117.09 (1/3) 1973 - High Low 65.48 (1/11) 49.12 (12/13) 1051.50 (1/11) 788.31 (12/5) 136.84 (1/11) 26.0 (9/20) 130.47 (1/11) 85.26 (12/20) 89.12 (12/13) 9.0 (8/20) 5.5 (1/12) 1.4 (8/20) 11.3 (1/11) 3.5 (8/27) 1974 - High Low 53.37 (3/13) 32.89 (10/3) 891.66 (3/13) 577,.60 (12/6) 102.01 (3/14) 59.13 (12/6) 96.53 (3/15) 54.87 (10/3) 24.9 (1/3) 7,,5 (7/5) 4.4 (1/3) .9 (9/26) 7.5 (1/3) 2.8 (7/5) 6 13 20 27 34.45 35.39 35.23 35.36 577,.60 592,.77 598,.48 602,.16 59.13 60.11 59.73 59.35 58.21 59.22 58.67 58.74 13,.1 15 .1 16 .4 13 .1 1.9 2.2 2.4r 2.3 4.4 4.8 5.3 4.4 3 10 17 24 37.35 38.57 37.86 38.84 634 .54 658,.79 644.63 666.61 62.86 67.32 67.81 71.05 61.23 63.69 64.40 65.37 17 .4 18,,lr 16 .9r 15 .4 2.8 2.0 1.8r 1.8 5.4 5.5 4.9r 4.4 1974 Dec. 1975 Jan. NOTES: 1 2 Figures other than Mtftt and lows are Fridays only. Hltfte and lows are for the year and are not n#r—i ll/ for Friday#. Volumefigure#are weekly * * * * * * of daHy figure# (million# of there#). 3 4 12/31/66 • 80 Beaed on everege price change until September 4,1673 thereeftar, beaed on market value of ihere# listed. 14.4 (12/29) 5.0 (10/9) lame e SECURITY CREDIT END OF PERIOD REGULATED MARGIN CREDIT EXTENDED BY BROKERS O N 2 BANKS CONVERTIBLE BONDS BROKERS O N 1 MARGIN STOCK « 3 IIMDPfSIII ATCn NIIOMIIARAIM UNKCUULAICU UHMMUin STOCK CREDIT AT BANKS OUTSTANDING 1973 - Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 5,730 5,690 5,460 5,050 204 203 197 189 1,005 1,181 1,103 1,131 1,909 1,878 1,917 1,866 1974 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 5,130 5,230 5,330 5,370 5,180 5,080 4,760 4,510 4,020 3,930 3,960 182 183 180 179 172 172 158 156 148 145 139 1,020 1,039 1,008 1,009 1,020 1,085 1,071 977 1,845 1,843 1,869 1,868 1,858 1,721 1,739 1,759 n.a. n.a. 1973 - Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -100 -40 -230 -410 —6 -1 -6 -8 -31 176 -78 28 -43 -31 39 -51 1974 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 80 100 100 40 -190 -100 -320 -250 -490 -90 -30 -7 1 -3 -1 -7 -111 19 -31 1 11 65 -14 -94 -21 -2 26 -1 -10 -137 18 20 n.a. n.a. CHANGE IN OUTSTANDING — -14 -3 -7 -3 —6 NOTES: 1 Margin account debt as reported by the New York Stock Exchange, excluding credit for subecription issues and convei tibia bonds. 2 New York Stock Exchange data. 3 June data for banks are universe totals; all other data for banks represent estimates for all commercial banks based on reports by a reporting sample, which accounted for 60 per cent of security credit outstanding at banks on June 30. 4 Nonmargin stocks are those not listed on a national securities exchange and not included on the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System's list of OTC margin stocks. At banks, loans to purchase or carry nonmargin stocks are unregulated; at brokers, such stocks have no value. / Table 9 SAVINGS FLOWS AT NONBANK THRIFT INSTITUTIONS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS DATE REGULAR DEPOSITS NET FLOW 4,517 9,621 10,067 4,815 1970 1971 1972 1973 r/ 1973 - September October — . November — 1974 - September October — . November — 283 -150 440 319 -74 449 1 ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 6.8 13.5 12.4 5.3 E :: NET NEW MONEY SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS 2 936 ^ 5,678 ^ 5,451 -442 SHARE CAPITAL 10,965 27,793 32,567 20,237 -613 -337 265 1,821 935 1,260 -689 -260 236 1,421 438 1,212 - ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE NET FLOW 8.1 19.0 18.7 9.8 ... E NET NEW MONEY TOTAL 2 DEPOSITS NET FLOW 5,285 20,653 23,884 10,504 15,482 37,414 42,634 25,052 -340 835 1,166 2,104 785 1,700 -1,068 301 1,082 1,740 364 1,661 ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 7.7 17.2 . 16.7 8.4 E NET. NEW MONEY 6,221 26,331 29,335 10,062 -953 498 1,431 1,757 41 1,318 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 1974 - Apr. ~ May f June V July y Aug. % i IT* Nov. —' -206 203 444 -82 12 172 260 534 -2.5 2.5 5.5 -1.0 0.1 2.1 3.2 6.6 — 532 947 1,533 579 544 818 1,277 1,738 2.7 4.9 7.8 2.9 2.8 4.1 6.4 8.7 - 326 1,150 1,977 497 556 990 1,537 2,272 NOTES: 1 Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. 2 New deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&L's are for insured associations only, which represent 96 per cent of industry total resources. 3 Annual growth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Souroe:National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. 1.2 4.2 7.2 1.8 2.0 3.6 5.5 8.1 -- 2 T a b l e 10 2,?- MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS AT SELECTED THRIFT INSTITUTIONS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, S E A S O N A L L Y A D J U S T E D OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS PERIOD TOTAL NET C H A N G E ALL S A V I N G S MUTUAL & LOAN S A V I N G S B K Si A S S O C I A T I O N S (N Y. S T A T E ) TOTAL ALL SAVINGS MUTUAL & LOAN SAVINGS BKS ASSOCIATIONS (N Y. S T A T E ) 1971 - Dec. 17.5 13.8 3.7 .41 .20 .21 1972 - Dec. 24.7 19.8 4.9 .36 .34 .02 1973 - Jan. 25.7 20.6 5.1 .94 .81 .13 Feb. 26.2 21.3 4.9 .49 .63 -.14 Mar. 25.7 20.9 4.8 .54 - .37 -.17 25.1 20.5 4.6 - .57 - .38 -.19 May 24.2 19.7 4.5 - .88 - .76 -.12 23.9 19.5 4.4 - .31 - .25 -.06 July 23.0 18.7 4.3 - .85 - .76 -.09 Aug. 1974 - Apr. 22.1 17.9 4.2 .87 -.14 Sept. 20.8 16.8 4.0 -1.16 -1.03 -.13 Oct. 19.9 16.0 3.9 -1.04 - -1.01 - .87 -.17 Nov. 19.4 1 5 .7 3.7 - .37 .21 -.16 Dec. 19.5 15.9 3.6 - .02 .15 -.17 - .08 • .03 - .11 • 21 .19 .43 -,22 .33 -.14 - Jan. 19.3 15.9 3.4 Feb. 19.6 16.4 3.2 Mar. 19.8 16.7 Apr. 20.0 16.9 3.0 May 18.8 15.9 2.9 - .99 - .95 -.04 18.1 15.3 2.8 - .78 - .69 -.09 -.06 3.1 .10 .22 -.12 July Aug. 17.2 14.4 2.8 - ,89 - .83 16.6 - .66 - .67 .01 16.1 13.8 13.4 2.8 Sept. 2.7 Oct. 14.7 12.3 2.4 - .52 -1.36 - .40 -1.06 -.12 -.30 Nov. 14.3 12.0 2.3 - - -.10 .42 .32 NOTES: Based on data from Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Association of New York State. Both series include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments; S&L commitments also include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded end^f period outstanding levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. ^ NET NEW MONEY BORROWINGS BY MAJOR HOUSING AGENCIES IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL INCLUDING SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES PERIOD INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM ISSUES TOTAL FHLB 1973 - July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. +1,475 +1,693 +1,910 +1,946 +11 +598 +1,528 +1,349 +1,850 +1,950 -150 +256 +998 +1,349 +1,500 +1,300 1974 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. • Sept. Oct. . Nov. p Dec. p -671 -695 4424 +508 +1,442 +2,699 +1,804 +878 +2,768 +1,665 -431 +545 -756 -657 +450 -4 +992 +2,250 +1,499 . +200 +2,750 +1,599 -250 fl,000 -800 -657 1 I 1 1 —— +530 -- -- +350 4650 -- -150 -- +256 444 -- —— +450 —— -4 +992 +1,500 +1,000 +400 +1,700 +1,499 -250 +500 FNMA & FHLB FNMA -— — Notes: Based" on data from the Treasury Survey of Ownership. 1/ Sales of FHLB discount notes began in May 1974. Digitizedjg/for Preliminary." FRASER FHLMC — —— -- —— -200 ** +750 4499 —— - +1,050 +100 —— +500 ' SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES]/ -53 +344 460 -4 +161 +342 +85 -38 -26 +512 +450 4449 +305 +678 +18 +66 -181 -455 T a b l e 12 NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS1 19 IN M I L L I O N S O F D O L L A R S PERIOD TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS TOTAL COMMERCIAL BANKS Not MSB's S & L's INSURANCE F N M A - G N M A ' COMPANIES Seasonally Adiusted 1970 21,736 16,827 2,462 1,845 1971 41,647 39,259 9,940 3,938 23,919 1,221 2,388 1972 57,637 55,611 16,800 5,377 31,982 1,452 2,026 1973 59,732 56,432 19,600 5,642 26,912 4,278 3,300 2,509 1974 1974 - Apr 10,254 2,348 4,909 5,396 4,992 1,700 285 May 5,502 4,802 1,600 303 2,618 281 700 June 4,955 4,363 1,500 248 2,137 478 592 July 4,231 3,364 900 260 1,735 469 867 Aug 1,000 183 1,578 422 843 65 911 390 545 808 4,869 4,026 Sept. 2,874 2,066 700 Oct. Nov. 2,419 1,655 45 500 565 400 507 Seasonally Adiusted . 498 404 475 764 516 560 - Apr 5,537 1,667 328 2,389 593 May 5,317 4,489 1,412 289 2,429 359 June 4,095 3,431 1,281 131 1,499 520 664 July 3,679 2,889 796 217 1,382 494 790 4,977 828 3,130 2,543 741 135 1,260 407 587 Sept. 2,580 1,928 1,945 114 . 96 828 412 533 652 Oct. Nov. 458 488 944 2,599 654 793 449 449 Aug 501 NOTES: 1 Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association.. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether these groups accounted fo%|»per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1 9 7 3 . 2 Beginning January 1972 datareflect activity in limited amount of conventional mortgages. Table 13 NET INCREASE IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING' IN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES RESIDENTIAL 2$ MULTFAMILNr & COMMERCIAI QUARTER TOTAL TOTAL 1968 - I II III IV 28.1 26.4 25.5 29.6 19.4 18.2 17.2 20.4 16.3 15.0 13.6 16.5 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.9 6.4 6.0 6.5 7.4 9.5 9.2 10.1 11.3 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.9 1969 - I II III IV 32.0 29.1 25.8 25.2 23.8 21.5 18.7 18.5 19.4 16.8 14.0 13.1 4.4 4.6 4.7 5,4 6.0 5.4 5.3 5.3 10.4 10.1 10.0 10.7 2.2 2.2 1.7 1.4 1970 I II III IV 20.7 22.9 28.5 31.8 14.4 16.8 21.3 22.8 9.4 11.6 15.0 16.2 5.0 5.2 6.3 6.6 4.8 . 4.6 5.1 6.8 9.8 9.8 11.5 13.4 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.2 1971 - I II III IV 37.3 47.7 52.3 54.2 27.4 35.5 38.5 41.2 19.4 26.2 28.6 31.3 8.0 9.4 9.9 9.9 7.7 9.8 11.5 10.5 15.7 19.2 21.4 20.4 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.5 1972 - I II III IV 62.8 64.9 65.1 68.3 46.1 47.0 47.1 49.5 37.7 37.4 38.0 40.0 8.4 9.6 9.1 9.5 14.1 15.3 15.3 16.3 22.5 24.9 24.4 25.8 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 1973 - I II III IV 83.4 75.6 71.3 57.9 63.1 53.9 51.4 38.3 53.1 44.0 41.8 31.7 10.0 9.9 9.6 6.5 16.3 17.8 16.3 15.0 26.3 27.8 25.9 21.5 4.1 3.8 3.6 4.6 1974 - I II III 58.5 65.3 49.8 39.5 44.0 33.7 32.1 37.1 27.7 7.4 6.8 6.6 15.4 17.3 10.4 22.7 24>1 17 .0 3.6 4.0 5.1 FAMILY • MULTIFAMILY COMMERCIAI FARM NOTES: 1 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. 2 May differ somewhat from related flow of funds series mainly because of more aggregative type of seasonal adjustment. 3 Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1 to 4- family and multifamily mortgage (Inhtjnmliinml Table 14 PRIVATE HOUSING PERMITS, STARTS, COMPLETIONS, AND MOBILE HOME SHIPMENTS IN THOUSANDS OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES PERIOD TOTAL PERMITS 1—FAMILY 2-OR MORE FAMILY TOTAL STARTS 1—FAMILY 698 705 1,025 1,186 937 1,467 1,434 2,052 2,357 2,045 1/ COMPLETIONS MOBILE 1—FAMILY 2-OR MORE HOME FAMILY SHIPMENTS 2-OR MORE FAMILY TOTAL 811 813 1,151 1,309 1,132 656 621 901 1,048 914 1,399 1,418 1,706 1,972 2,005 808 802 1,014 1,143 1,166 592 617 692 828 838 413 401 497 576 580 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1,324 1,352 1,952 2,219 1,820 626 647 928 1,033 , 882 1973 - July August September October November December 1,814 1,777 1,656 1,379 1,361 1,285 902 828 807 676 674 641 912 949 849 702 687 645 2,152 2,030 1,844 1,674 1,675 1,403 1,232 1,108 990 957 938 767 920 921 854 718 737 636 1,965 1,836 1,900 1 .971 1,949 1,873 1,038 1,084 1,152 1,125 1,128 1,050 926 752 748 846 821 823 564 543 479 458 490 456 1974 - January February March April May June July Aug. 1 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1,282 1,325 1,410 1,296 1,120 1,106 1,017 900 823 782 730 802 637 716 761 727 671 674 632 618 577 533 511 482 645 609 649 569 449 432 385 282 246 249219 320 1,464 1,922 1,499 1,630 1,471 1,596 1,338 1,134 1,150 1,109 990 868 793 1,056 962 996 931 1,014 958 812 : 844 777 788 678 671 866 537 634 540 582 380 322 306 332 202 190 1,916 1,891 1,885 1,695 1,677 1,851 1,674 1,505 1,505 1,645 1,620 1,026 1,018 973 883 882 1,092 935 899 882 922 874 890 873 912 812 795 759 739 607 624 722 746 469 449 475 435 451 441 380 370 316 248 218 N°T ES: ?r.iv?.te building permits (for 14,000 areas with permit systems, excluding farm), starts, and completions are £: Census Bureau data. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins. In the case of apartment buildings, all units are considered started at that time; however, all such units are considered completed when more than half of the units in the structure are ready for use. Private mobile home shipments are Mobile ^ome Manufactures Assoc. data converted to seasonally adjusted annual rate by Census Bureau. JL/Permit data for 1969 and 1970 based on 13,000 areas with permit systems. FRASER Digitized for / Table 15 AVERAGE RATES AND YIELDS ON HOME MORTGAGES CONVENTIONAL LOANS PRIMARY MARKET NEW HOMES EXISTING HOMES 1 PERIOD RATE (IN PER CENT) HUD(FHA) INSURED LOANS SECONDARY MARKET NEW HOMES 1 SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) YIELD (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) 48 05 1972 - High Low 7.70 7 .55 61 15 7.75 7 .60 66 20 7.57 7 .45 1973 - High Low 8.95 7.70 107 31 8.95 7.75 107 37 9.18 7 .55 1974 - Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept 8.65 8.55 8.60 8.90 9.15 9.25 9.40 9.60 9.80 9.70 9.55 9.45 40 45 - 4 - 8 6 -25 -70 -39 -66 -33 -13 n.a. 8.65 8.60 8.60 8.90 9.15 9.25 9.40 9.60 9.80 9.70 9.60 9.45 40 50 - 4 - 8 6 -25 Oct Nov Dec. | -39 -66 -33 - 8 130 . 14 SPREAD BETWEEN NEW Aaa RETURNS ON UTILITY CONVENTIONAL 1 AND HUD(FHA) BOND DISCOUNT YIELD NEW HOME (PERCENTAGE MORTGAGES (IN PER CENT) (BASIS POINTS) POINTS) 4.7 3.7 14 06 7 .45 7 .09 9.4 2.2 21 -23 8.36 7.38 __ 8.25 8.10 8.64 8.98 9.09 9.50 10.10 9.99 10.46 10.03 9.68 __ 8.54 8.66 9.17 9.46 9.46 9.85 10.30 10.38 10.13 9.51 , 44 2 19 37 - L -25 31 - 8 10 2.3 3 .2 5.1 5.3 5 .3 6.3 5.8 6.3 4.6 1 - 6 -27 -31 -21 -45 -70 -58 -43. 3.8 NOTES: 1 Gross yield spread is average mortgage return before deducting servicing costs, minus average yield on new issues of high-grade utility bonds with 5-year call protection. Rates on conventional first mortgages (excluding additional fees and charges) rre based or» unweighted HUD (FHA) field office opinions on prevailing contract interest rates in the market areas of the insuring offices, rounded to the nearest 5 basis points. For secondary market data, weighted HUD office opinions on the average bid price for HUD (FHA) loans with minimum downpayment, prepaid in 15 years, for immediate delivery, are used. T a b l e 16 FNMA AUCTION RESULTS HOME MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS CONVENTIONAL GOVERNMENT-UNDERWRITTEN DATE OF AUCTION AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) OFFERED 1973 - High 551 Low 25 | (9/3) (10/15, AVERAGE YIELD ACCEPTED 289 17 (9/3) AMOUNT (IN M I L L I O N S O F D O L L A R S ) OFFERED 9.37 (10/15)7.69 (9/17) (1/8) % | AVERAGE YIELD ACCEPTED 171 (8/20) 88 (4/16) 9.68 (9/17) 9 (10/1) 7 (10/1) 7.84 (1/2) 11/26) 1974 - Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 12 207.9 97.7 10.12 45.8 19.4 10.16 26 309.6 93.0 10.38 59.0 24.9 10.42 9 176.1 98.6 10.59 4 6 .5 30.9 10.71 23 57.2 38.2 10.56 22.1 19.0 10.66 7 46.6 29.7 10.32 26.1 23.3 10.46 21 34.5 26.0 10.11 14.1 12.2 10.27 4 47.8 24.7 9.93 20.4 12.1 10.11 18 25.7 17.6 9.81 20.6 6.8 9.92 2 52.5 23.3 9.61 24.0 12.0 9.80 49.6 43.3 9.52 20.1 18.5 9.72 16 Jan. 30 35.7 31.8 9.47 17.2 10.1 9.59 13 25.3 21.2 9.37 17.9 14.9 9.50 NOTES: Average secondary market yields are gross before deduction of the fee of 38 basis points paid for mortgage servicing. They reflect the average accepted bid yield for home mortgages assuming a prepayment period of 12 years for 30-year loans, without special adjustment for Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) commitment fees and FNMA stock purchase and holding requirements on 4-month commitments. Mortgage amounts offered by bidders relate to total bids received.