Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : January 25, 1965
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Not for P u b l i c a t i o n p E C Q N T R 0 L L E D AFTER SIX MONTHS J a n u a r y 25, 1965. H. 14 ^APITAI^HARKET DEVELOPMENTS IN THE U N I T E D STATES .eview of Sources and U s e s of Funds of !cial I n t e r m e d i a r i e s in N o v e m b e r ) C o r p o r a t e and m u n i c i p a l bond m a r k e t s . Corporations are expected to place on the m a r k e t this w e e k $75 m i l l i o n in new s e c u r i t i e s , about o n e - h a l f m o r e than last w e e k . M o s t of this w e e k ' s total w i l l consist of a $40 m i l l i o n offering of C o n n e c t i c u t Y a n k e e A t o m i c P o w e r Company. M u n i c i p a l bond sales ($165 m i l l i o n ) , on the other h a n d , w i l l drop b a c k to only about one-haIf of last w e e k ' s large supply. Also scheduled for offering this w e e k , but not included in the table b e l o w , is a $20 m i l l i o n offering of the R e p u b l i c of P o r t u g a l . L o n g - T e r m Public S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s Corporate New C a p i t a l 1 R e f u n d i n g 1./ S t a t e and local govt. New Capital | Refunding Sold: 52 w e e k avg. Jan. Jan. 15 22 109 1 185 9 242 r/ 314 5 r/ 50 75 165 56 r/ Scheduled: Jan. 29 1/ Federal R e s e r v e estimates based on p u b l i s h e d reports of issues sold and scheduled for offering; c o r p o r a t e rights o f f e r i n g s are included as of the date s u b s c r i p t i o n rights expire.U n d e r w r i t e r s bid v e r y aggressively for last w e e k ' s o n l y i n v e s t m e n t - g r a d e corporate bond i s s u e - - t h e first c o m p e t i t i v e o f f e r i n g since early D e c e m b e r . The r e o f f e r i n g y i e l d , a d j u s t e d to a triple-A b a s i s , on this issue, w a s 8 basis p o i n t s below the a v e r a g e yield on new corporate bonds e a r l y in D e c e m b e r . A l t h o u g h such p r i c i n g e l i c i t e d only lukewarm investor interest in this issue, it a p p a r e n t l y e n c o u r a g e d investors to continue to bid up p r i c e s of r e c e n t l y d i s t r i b u t e d b o n d s in the secondary market. In the m u n i c i p a l m a r k e t , u n d e r w r i t e r s also c o n t i n u e d to bid a g g r e s s i v e l y for new issues, and y i e l d s on seasoned m u n i c i p a l s eased T h e Aaa series fell to its lowest level since A p r i l 1963 and further. w a s w i t h i n 8 basis points of its six-year low reached in N o v e m b e r 1962, Investor r e c e p t i o n of new issues also improved and about two-thirds of last w e e k ' s large supply w a s d i s t r i b u t e d by w e e k - e n d . H o w e v e r , dealers' advertised inventories of unsold securities rose about $30 m i l l i o n . H. 14 -2- Yields in Securities Markets Level latest w e e k (per cent) High-Grade Notes and Bonds Corporate New Seasoned 4.39 4.43 U.S. Govt. Long-term 3-5 year 4.14 4,04 State and local govt. 2.96 Money-Market Federal Funds Treasury bills 3-month 6-month Finance Company Paper Change from preceding w e e k (basis points) - 1 - 2 3.40 -60 3.81 3.94 4.06 + 4 Recent changes in yields on municipal bonds. The sale of a large serial bond issue (rated A ) of the City of New York last w e e k permits an opportunity to compare the changes in yields since late October (the d a t e of the most recent peak for yields on seasoned municipal bonds) on new debt issues of this borrower, with yield changes on seasoned issues of equivalent and higher quality. Both the October 21 and the latest New York City offering met very favorable retail reception. 20-Year Bond Maturities New York City Moody 's. A Moody's Aaa Yields (Per cent per annum) October 22 January 21 3.45 3.34 3.12 3.30 3.23 2.96 Change -,15 -.11 -. 16 Private housing starts and permits. Seasonally adjusted housing starts rose 8 per cent in December from the reduced Novemberlevel and, at an annual rate of 1,541 thousand--including farm--were just 2 per cent below a year earlier. For the fourth quarter as a whole, starts were at an annual rate of 1,521 thousand. This was up 4 per cent from the third quarter, though 9 per cent under the advanced rate in the fourth quarter of 1963. For all of 1964, starts totaled 1,544 thousand--down 4 per cent from the unusually high total in 1963. . Single family starts are indicated to have declined more than multifamily starts in 1964, but the reduction in multifamily starts, was particularly significant because such starts had accounted for most of the gain in recent years. H.14 Government-underwritten starts represented 17 per cent of total starts in 1964, compared with 18 per cent in 1963 and 23 per cent in 1962. In the last four months, except for December, the share had been running slightly higher than a year earlier for the first time since mid-1959. Seasonally adjusted residential building permits declined 8 per cent in December and were substantially below a year earlier when permits for multi-family structures were at a record high. All types of structures shared in the December drop, but the decline in the rate of single family permits was slight. * Stock market credit. Total customer credit in the stock market eased $55 million further in December. A $26 million increase in bank loans to others than brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying securities (except U.S. Governments) was more than offset by an $81 million decline in customers'net debit balances (except on Governments). Borrowings of member firms of the New York Stock Exchange on customers collateral fell $76 million further in December, the thirteenth consecutive month-to-month decline. Customer net free credit balances, on the other hand, rose $38 million. More detailed information on changes in stock market credit in recent months is shown in the table on the following page. Stock prices. Common stock prices advanced to a new record high last week in active trading averaging 5.4 million shares a day. Closing at 86.74 on January 22, Standard and Poor's composite index, was one-haIf per cent above the previous all-time high reached November 20. Institutional investors. During the month of November the net increase in income-yielding claims on depositary-type savings institutions amounted to $1.2 billion, up one-tenth from the net inflow in the corresponding month of 1963. Most of this year-over-year growth took place in deposits at mutual savings banks where the $0.2 billion monthly gain was 74 per cent larger than that in November 1963. The net inflow of savings capital at savings and loan associations ($0.8 billion) was 4 per cent greater than a year earlier. On the other hand, the increase in time and savings deposits at commercial banks, which is usually sharply curtailed in November by large pay-outs of Christmas savings type accounts, amounted to $0.2 billion-roughly the same as in November 1963. Savings and loan associations increased their holdings of mortgages $0.7 billion during the month, one-sixth less than a year earlier and the eighth consecutive month in which net mortgage acquisitions fell behind the year earlier period. However, with th^ir 'slightly improved savings experience, these associations increased their holdings of cash and U.S. Government securities $0.2 billion, one-third more than in the previous year, and made some net repayment of borrowings in contrast to a modest increase in November 1963. H. 14 STOCK M A R K E T CREDIT (In millions of dollars) Months Total Broker & Dealer Credit Customer Credit Customers' Bank loans to others Money Net debit net free borrowed than brokers and balances with credit dealers for purchas- Cusb Other NYSE member ing & carrying secur. roll, coll. balances firms Outstanding: 1955-56 High 4,047(5/56) 2,823(12/56) 1,255(4/56) 1,873 430 1,069(1/55) 1957-58 Low 3,554(1/58) 2,482(12/57) 1,060(11/57) 1,344 188 807(4/57) 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 4,764(4) 4,142(5) 5,602(12) 4,876(7) 7,298(11) 3,401(4) 3,004(7) 4,259(12) 3,562(7) 5,586(11) 1,373(5) 1,121(5) 1,377(8) 1,269(9) 1,727(12) 2,044 1,801 2,572 1,856 3,892 1,257(3) 318 940(4) 237 385 '1,508(4) 1,091(9) 235 1,211(11) 597 7,242 .7,0"? 5, 5,515 1,727 1,9 7" 3,852 3, > M 597 - High Low High Low High 1963 - Dec. 1/ 1964 - Dec. il 1,210 1,1 ' Changes in Outstanding; -1 32 -40 15 -71 -56 I 'M Dec. ]7 52 -182 -57 -1 9 8 1964 - Jan. 1/ -63 5 -57 10 -140 -130 Feb. 32 72 -92 39 -18 21 Mar. -66 3 270 29 144 173 Apr. -27 -1 -48 34 -71 -37 May 8 -15 -102 21 -69 June -48 -32 -52 -94 12 -81 -69 July -37 15 -54 38 -102 -64 Aug. 68 -50 82 12 34 46 Sept. 10 -29 -40 -5 -36 -41 Oct. -24 -43 -59 32 -25 Nov. 7 38 -76 34 -.SI 2b Doc . -55 Note: W i t h the exception of banlc T o a n data, figures are reported to tne new Y o r k Stock Exchange by member firms carrying margin accounts. Bank loans to others than brokers and dealers for purchasing and carrying securities are for weekly reporting m e m b e r banks. Net debit balances and customer free credit balances are as of the end of the month; b a n k loana% and money borrowed are reported for the last Wednesday of the month. Numbers in p a r e n t h e s i # f denote month of year. All figures exclude credits on, or to carry, U.S. Govt# securities. 1/ November 1963 data on customers' net debit balances do not include accounts carried by a large former member firm in liquidation; most of these accounts have been transferred to i other member firms and are reported in t h e i r debit figures from the month received (some inDecember, more in January 1964). Debit balance totals for the period from October 1963 through January 1964, therefore, are not completely comparable. H. 14 -5- Mutual savings banks utilized their large November deposit gain to make net mortgage acquisitions of $0.4 billion, one-eighth greater than a year earlier. Moreover, they increased their holdings of business securities nominally whereas they had cut back such holdings $0.1 billion in the comparable 1963 month. The reduction in holdings of cash and Governments, however, was more than twice as large as in November 1963. Life insurance companies. Growth in assets of life insurance companies during November-excluding valuation adjustments-totaled $0.8 billion, three-tenths larger than a year earlier. Most of this asset gain was placed in mortgages which went up $0.4 billion, almost onehalf more than the November 1963 increase. These companies also increased moderately their holdings of cash and Government securities combined in contrast to a $0.1 billion reduction a year earlier. However, the net increase in their holdings of business securities ($0.2 billion) was only about one-half as large as in the corresponding month of 1963. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. L O N G - T E R M B O N D YIELDS, H I G H - G R A D E Exhibit A - Part II Date Corporate Aaa 1/ U . S. Govt, long-term 2/ State and local government AMI/ Spread between 0. S. Govt, and State and Corporate Aaa local Aaa (per cent) 1959-60 - High 1961 - High Low 1962 - High Low 1963 - High Low 196U - High Low Dec. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 25 1 8 15 22 ]>/ .92 .76 1.61(1/29/60) 14.1*6(9/15) 1.21(3/17) U.U3(2/X6) U.23(l?/2<| L.37(iS/27) 1^.19(3/29) 4.45(12/11) 4.35(2/28) U.lt2 (1/8/60) U.07 (12/29) 3.70(5/12) U.12 (2/23) 3.85(12/28) 14.16(12/27) 3.87(1/18) 4.20(4/17) 4.11(11/20) 3.65'(9/24/59) 3.37 (7/6) 3.12 (?/2i) 3.26 (1/4) 2.88 (11/8) 3.18 (11/21) 2.93 (9/28) 3.16(3/26) 2.99(12/31) .59 .57 •3U .1*7 .30 .35 .21 .33 .19 1.0U .80 1.05 4.43 4.43 4.44 4.43 4.43 - 4.14 4.16 4.15 4.15 4.14 , 2.99 2.99 2.99 2.97 2.96 - .29 .27 .29 .28 .29 1.15 1.17 1.17 1.18 1.18 .I46 .88 1.17 1.01 B/ Preliminary. T/ Weekly average of daily figure*. Average term of bonds included it 22-24 years. y Weekly are rage of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or mors* %/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bands are included; average teim is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lews are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series, for spreads, high refers to widest, and lew to narrowest* E X H I B I T B, P a r t I L O N G - T E R M B O N D YIELDS, L O W E R - G R A D E x rr Exhibit B - Part II Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa y Spread be1bween Aae and Baa State and Corporate local govt. (per cent) 1959-60 - High 1961 - High Low 1962 - High Low 1963 - High - Low 196U - High Low 5.3^(2/1^/60) 5.13(10/27) 5.00(4/21) 5.11(1/5) u.92(13/21) ii.93(V4) U.83(ii/15) 4.87(6/26) 4.80(12/31) U.l46(V7/60) U. 16(3/21) 3.93(11/9) U. 01* (3/11) 3.52(3/17) 3.63(6/27) 3.52(3/23) 3.59(10/8) 3.49(11/19) .81* .81 .66 .71* .63 .71 .1*8 .48 .37 .82 .56 .63 .1*1* .52 .36 Dec. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.79 3.51 3.51 3.49 3.44 3.42 .37 .37 .36 .37 .36 .52 .52 .50 .47 .46 25 1 8 15 22 ])/ Hotel For footnote8 see Exhibit 1# 1.08 .93 .57 IXHISPan 1 SHORT- A N D INTERMEDIATE-TERM INTEREST RATES, G O V E R N M E N T Weekly P' S-KOMH I I U V Exhibit C - Part II Date 1959-60 - High 1961 - High Low 1962 - High Low 1963 - High Low I96I4. - High Low Dec. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 25 1 15 22 j>/ Discount rata h.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 Yields 3-month billa 2/ 6-month billa 2/ 3-5 year issues 2/ U.59(l/8/60) 2.66(12/29) 2.17 (V27) 2.97(7/13) Spread between yields on 3month bills and yields on 6 - m o . billa(3-5 yr. issuea 3^0 3.00 5.07(1/8/60}1 5.00(12/24/59) 3.86(8/11) 2.90(3/29) 2.35(4/28) 3.15(5/12) 3.13(7/20) 3.88(2/2) 2.6^(6/8) 2.71(6/8) 3. ill (12/28) h.07 (12/27) 3.55(11/15) 3.68(1^6) 2.93(3/8) 2.88(3/15) 3.W*(1/1S) 4.00 3.50 3.86(12/25) 3.97(12/4) 3.43(7/17) 3.52(7/3) 4.23(3/27) 3.98(8/7) .21 .04 .71 .20 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 3.86 3.83 3.80 3.77 3.81 v 4.07 4.07 4.07 4.06 4.04 .08 .10 .12 .17 .13 .21 .24 .27 .29 .23 3.00 y. U 3.94 3.93 3.92 3.94 3.94 v ' .79 .uu .12 .2k .02 .17 .0I4 1.81 1.51 .92 1.19 .52 .70 .1*2 * rate shown is that in effect at end of period at the Federal Reserve Bank of New Text. yield* weekly averages ocmputed from daily closing bid prices. Series of 3-5 year issues consists of selected notes and bonds* Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series, For spreads, high refers to widest, and low to narrowest# -o EXHIBI S H O R > BANKS AMD AND INTERNE OTHER IA.E- PR i V ATE TERM IN. BORROW D, jrl I RE . RATES, IS ' 1960 Exhibit D - Part II Date Stock exchange call loan 3/ Prime rate 1/ 1959-60 1961 - high Low 1962 - High Low 1963 - High Low 1961 - High Low 5.5o U.50 U.50 U.5o U.5o U.5o U. 50 4.50 4.50 U.50 U.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 Finance companypaper 2/ Federal funds 3/ Spread between 3-ao. bills and finance co. paper [per cent) Dec. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 25 1 8 15 22 £ / 5.00 U.50 U.50 U.50 u.50 5.13(1/22/60) 3.00(12/30) 2.50(8/5) 3.25(7/21) 2.88(6/1) 3 . 88(12/27) 3.13(5/31) U.00 2.90 .U3 3.00 1.30 3.50 2.U5 (5/13/60) (11/37) (1/27) (12/28) (3/26) (12/27) (7/26) 1.02 .56 .11 •U5 .19 .39 .12 4.06(12/31) 3.72(9/11) 4.00(12/31) 3.07(10/16) •41 •08 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 3.40 .20 .23 .26 .29 .25 3/ Weekly rate ah own it that In effect at end of perlqd. Stock Exohc-nga call loan rate is going rate on call lpans secured by customers* stook exchange collateral a t iiev York City banks. Prime rate is that charged by large banks on short-term loans to business borrowers of the highest credit standing# 2J Average of daily rates published by finance companies for directly placed paper for varying maturities in the 90-179 day range. 3/ Weekly average of daily effective rate, which is the rata for the heaviest volume of purchase and sale transactions as reported to the federal Reserve Bank: of New York. Note:—flighs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. For spreads, high refers to widest, and low to narrows at. STOCK MARKET / " s t o c k m a i m t credit •Millis"1 *< »!""» Exhibit E - Part II Date 1961-62 - High Low 1963 - High 196k - High Low Nov. Dec. Jan. 8 J a n . 15 J a n . 22 £ / Stock price index 1/ 7 2.ohJ12/8/61) 52.68(6/22/52) Common Trading stock volume 3/ yields 2/ (millions (per cent) of shares) Stock market customer credit Customers 1 Bank Total debit balloans to ances , "others" hL i/_ (In millions of dollars) 7k. w 12/2%f 86.28(11/20) 75.50(1/3) 2.80 3.96 3.01 2.95 3.10 10.1 2.U 6.5 6.1 3.6 5 , 602(12/61) U,259( 12/61) 1, Ul8 (5/9/62) lt,U2l|(l/61) 3,253(V61) 1,161(3/0/61) 7,298(11/63)5,586(11/63) 1,738(1^/25) 7,314(4) 5,524(1) 1,974(12/30) 7,053(12) 5,079(12) 1,720(1/22) 85.44 83.96 85.37 86.21 86.74 2.96 3.06 3.00 2.99 2.97 4.9 4.7 4.7 5.6 5.4 7,108 7,053 5,160 5,079 1.948 1,974 1,961 1.949 n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . P r a l i m i n a r y * " " " Standard and Poor's composita Index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1941-43*10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Friday's only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. y Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are for dates on which price index reached its high or low. 3/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. y End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin account•; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying Government securities. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to DigitizedU. forS.FRASER others. For further detail see Bulletin* EXHIBIT f, Potl I PHI V ATE HOUSINr SEASONALLY PER CENT STARTS ADJUSTED AND PERMITS DATA OF UNADJUSTED I I TOTAL STARTS 1 r i i • » • • t . j 1 " 1 1 \ ^ i i »*J» 1**0 lltl 1141 , 11*1 11*4 I Exhibit F - Part II Starta 1/ Building Unadjusted permits Type of financing Type o f housing (seasonally Seasonally adjustadjusted 1-2 MultiUnadjusted ed annual rate FHA Other family family annual VA ratal 2/ (Thousands of units) 1,402 75 41.7 96 16 54.0 5 1,570 41.0 1,333 4 84 100 11 58.5 1,718 31.9 12 100 84 68.5 1,404 1,657 4 109 43.1 87.0 1,663 130 16 5 1,377 125 96.0 52.4 1,280 18 5 149 1,531 129 106.1 51.5 1,271 158 23 5 1,529 134 107.2 51.3 1,306 159 19 6 1,611 20 117 96.1 46.6 6 1,242 143 1,505 142 18 5 119 94.3 47.3 1,281 1,430 123 18 100 5 83.1 39.5 1,222 1,457 r / 141 19 5 r/117 95.0 45.9 1,220 r/ 1,591 109 16 88 72.8 5 36.7 r/1,258 1,430 r 92 1,541 13 75 n.a. n.a. 1,154 4 1,154 Total Date 1963 - Dec. 1964 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. .... y Tot^l starts are Census estimates inoluding fam for both pemit-issuing and non-4ssulai areas, A • ^, r t a r t e 4 i * " excavation begins| all unite in an apartment structure are considered started at that tin, FBI and VA starts are units started under commitment# w these agenoie# te insum or guarantee the mortgages. Is reported by THA and VA, a unit is started when a field offioe receives &T* oonplianse inspection report, which is made before footings are poured in s o n eases but normally after the foundations ham been completed, Capehartrilitaryhousiig units are excluded. ?Z « L p 4*rtr»4a» a residual, although total and IHA and VA starts are not strictly comparable other starts include both units financed by conventional mortgages and units withoot mortgages. , ?, r * E X H I B I T O , Port 1 YIELDS O N N E W A N D S E A S O N E D C O R P O R A T E B O N D S Ad|uil.d_lo_Aoe lot! • iW ISSUiS kw I IIII II I III I IIII II IIII I II I1IIIIWJ 1H« lit! I I L Exhibit 0 - Part II Yields on Mew Corporate Bond Issues Adjusted to an^Aaa basis aN^aa 1 Number Aa't of issues Average of included (mil. yield issues of dollars) (per cent) Monthly averages: 1964 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July ' Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Weekly averages 1964 - High 3 3 6 1 10 150.0 125.0 166.0 8 130.0 278.0 230.0 3 4 7 3 75.0 239.0 70.0 60.0 140.0 4.50 4.38 4.43 4.48 4.46 4.43 4.37 . 4.39 4.49 4.46 Number Am't of issues Average of included (mil. yield (per cent). issues of d p ^ a r s ) 4 11 18 25 Jan, 1 140.0 8 40.0 15 22 4.53* 14.0 4.39 4.47 4 __ 4.47 4.53(5/8) .LttW. Motet Averages of offering yield# on elJL nmrissuetof publioly offered oorp orate bonds rated Aaa, Aa and A by Moody's Investor# Serrioe (except serial and convertible Issues, offerings of natural gas pipeline and foreign companies, and bonds guaranteed by the Federal Government) weighted by sLie of offering* Before averaging, new offerings art adjusted to a composite Aaa basis by deducting from the actual reoffering yield tie excess of the weekly average yield for seasoned bands of the appropriate industxyquality group over the composite average for seasoned Aaa-rated bonds (Moody's)* Averages considered unrepresentative because « special characteristics of fee offerings included are denoted by an asterisk^ Exhibit H H. 14. Long-term Ccorporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) New Can ital Corporate 1964 1965 January February March e/800 1963 930 685 754 613 594 1,144 April May June 2,178 1,069 1,378 930 904 1,013 July August September 780 661 1,035 676 637 795 951 649 1,550 1,013 819 1,415 2,369 4,625 2,476 e/ 3,150 2,3S1 2,847 2,109 3,246 3 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd 4th £/ quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 6,994 9,470 e/12, 620 5,198 7,307 10,553 Excluding finance companies 3/ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter Year e/ £/ 1J 2/ 3V 1,996 4,170 2,337 e/ 2,900 2,284 2,529 1,768 2,854 e/U,403 9,434 ' State and Local 2/ 1964 1963 1965 &/800 947 776 810 732 746 976 ,242 667 903 869 866 930 906 780 892 680 708 449 £/ 850 550 950 I ,051 729 416 £/ £/ £/ e/ 2,533 2,811 2,578 2,350 £ / £/ £/ r t t £/ 5,344 £/ 7,922 e/10,272 . 1 2 ,454 2,,665 1,,837 2,,197 i , i_>.i 8!i I 5,,11ft 6,.95* 9, Estimated by Federal Reserve. Preliminary. Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. v' w H. 14 Exhibit I New Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and Issuer (In millions of dollars) 2,345 3,317 2,167 2,875 Gross proceeds for new capital and refunding 1/ Common Memo: Bondai and Foreign Publicly Privately pfd. issues Offered Offered stock included 1,114 508 70 724 1,386 1,289 642 251 852 1,006 308 55 1,088 1,510 277 135 2,700 3,634 2,436 3,466 1,108 1,389 898 1,319 1,306 1,820 1,251 1,780 287 424 287 367 1964 - I . 2,499 4,851 II 2,728 III IV e/ 3,344 978 1,321 792 516 1,221 1,640 1,442 2,475 1963 - Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1,049 1,340 1,246 810 756 871 1,116 891 1,459 380 550 459 279 336 283 511 183 626 1964 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. £./ Dec. e/ 985 710 805 2,234 1,155 1,461 869 728 1,130 1,030 724 1,590 338 279 361 383 470 468 234 183 375 181 30 305 Quarter or Month t' i > V 1962 - I II III IV 1963 - I II III IV ; r Total Net proceeds for new capital 1/ 2/ Mfg. Public Utility Communications f Other issuers 649 996 566 747 429 984 376 552 456 228 274 317 694 848 685 945 128 434 109 47 947 591 896 968 326 794 285 530 236 221 150 118 842 1,241 868 1,629 300 1 ,890 494 354 29 105 85 n.a. 418 723 547 1,060 438 856 642 510 273 1,663 59 113 1,240 1,383 1,229 1,467 452 694 675 431 318 501 481 549 751 217 95 113 100 100 87 125 159 83 56 182 196 46 21 42 10 10 27 148 216 227 297 272 237 240 214 515 341 222 230 107 100 78 201 131 198 71 92 58 86 25 39 41 13 64 369 373 499 187 187 44: 531 461 637 526 342 353 480 537 623 121 88 91 1 ,372 146 370 5 16 8 34 36 35 149 123 146 186 206 332 109 155 174 151 441 264 157 83 34 1,377 27 258 515 324 400 463 395 525 411 433 598 633 642 1,200 225 112 156 217 52 85 21 21 44 101 21 149 164 234 218 192 650 207 138 296 306 34 170 23 16 19 82 11 20 401 342 486 345 412 710 j}/ Preliminary, e/ Estimated by Federal Reserve. V Gross Proceeds exceed net proceeds by the cost of flotation. 2/ For total see Exhibit H; other issuers are extractive, railroad & other transportation, real estate & finance, & commercial & other. Source: Securities & Exchange Commission. ' ' Oaicr Securi ..y • fferi (In millions of d o l l a r s ) 1964 -nuary February March April May J u n (2 July Angus c September October November December Year Gross long-term If Federal agency 3/ Foreign government 2?~ 1963 1963 1964 196? 4 82 69 30 232 133 . 76 13 1 114 11 63 83 , R/ 180 R/ * E/ 57 -- -- 2 £/ 563 771 2 75 260 160 8 88 101 737 246 156 U 186 86 50 25 31 151 7 148 10 57 75 26 20 142 10 35 459 150 175 R / 509 R/ e/ --- G/1,204 174 200 1,167 1,188 New short-term 4 / S ta te and local government 5 / Federal agency 3/ U tiiiu.-ir/ iobrudry Mi.rch April May June July August September October November December -78 -106 -336 -189 23 -482 97 292 75 272 466 -407 -367 -186 442 589 127 81 -80 -30 -84 183 195 -10 -118 239 319 62 78 -333 167 1 414 327 103 -9 R/ 18 236 2A7 -156 . 84 •bl 22 7 127 208 339 176 7 -15 n.a. -173 -406 258 -157 259 71 525 123 379 146 ^ 2 3 4 113 -339 -161 R/-200 -102 551 -80 • 55 X $ 1.600 1.004 692 378 Year P/ 4M n.a.Preliminary. from those in Exhibit H in that refunding issues, as w e l l as new capital issues, are ineluded. L o n g - t e r m securities are defined as those maturing in more than one year. 2/lneludes securities offered in the U.S. by foreign governments and their political subdivisions and international organizations. Source: Securities & Exchange C o m m i s s i o n . 3/ -J Issues not guaranteed by the U.S. Government. Source: Long-t.irm, Securities & E x c h a n g e Commission; short-term, Treasury Dept. & Federal Reserve. 4/These data differ from those ir. Exhibit H and above in that they represent new offerings less retirements, w h e t h e r f r o % the proceeds or refunding issues or from other funds. Data include only issues w i t h ' original maturing of one year or less. 5/Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or certificates and Public Housing Authority notes. In some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat longer maturity than 1 year. Source: Bond Buyer & Federal Reserve. If H. 1 4 Exhibit K ( y Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other.than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (In millions of dollars) C o n o r ate Bonds (other than Convertible convertibles) bonds Total ^ 1963 - Dec. 1964 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. * Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -- 547 307 263 335 1,557 452 650 291 142 376 187 515 225 200 296 235 415 390 178 125 269 108 -- -- 230 200 30 60 35 -- 51 -- -- Stocks State and local governments 32 22 28 38 1,271 37 260 113 17 25 111 577 358 282 698 274 284 544 459 558 419 226 541 81 79 -- Other 1/ -' 50 20 15 275 260 104 15 502 15 Large Individual Issues Offered January 1 through 22 Issuer Type 2 / Amount (millions of dollars) Maturity Coupon rate or net interest cost Offering vield* Rating Corporate Times Mirror Co. United Calif. Bank Texas Lt & Pwr. Co. State and Local Govt. Los Angeles, Calif. State of New Jersey Milwaukee, Wise. Montgomery Co., Md. Georgia Univ. System Bldg Auth. Oklahoma City, Okla. El Paso, Texas 4.57 4.52 S.F. deb. Cap. notes Pfd. stk. 40.0 35.0 15.0 1990 1990 4-1/2 4-1/2 G.O. G.O. GO. G.O. 15.0 45.0 17.2 10.0 1966-85 1968-88 1966-85 1966-90 2.99 2.90 2.89 3.06 2.20-3.05 2.35-2.95 2.10-2.95,, 2.20-3.2 Or' Aa Aaa Aaa A Rev.-Rent. G.O. G.O. 25.0 17.5 10.0 1966-90 1967-90 1965-90 3.14 3.03 3.13 2.20-3.20 , 2.35-3.15f/ 2.20-3.202/ Aa A A 1 H. 14 K-2 Large Individual Issues Offered January 1 through 22 (Cont'd) Issuer. Type 3/ Amount (millions of dollars) Maturity Coupon rate or Offering yield net inter est cost !• Rating State and Local Govt. ^Cont'd) New York City, New York Columbus City Sch. Dist., Ohio Met. St. Lewis Sewer Dist., Mo. Port of New York Auth. Penna State Publ. Sch. Auth. Ala. State Highway Auth. G.O. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Q.-Ut. Rev.-Rent. Rev.-Q.-Ut. 124.3 12.7 20.0 25.0 13.2 15.0 Bonds Bonds 200.0 15.0 1966-95 1966-87 1966-85 1996 1967-2004 1970-85 3.12 2.94 2.95 3.39 3.30 3.30 2.25-3.45 2.20-3.05 2 15-3.00 3.35 fi/ 2.30-3.40-' 2.75-3.30 A Aa Aa A ii -- A Other Int. Bank for Recon, & Dev. Republic of the Philippines 1990 1980 4-1/2 6-1/2 4.48 6.66 Aaa •t *--Rights offering, n. a. --Not available. V Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State & local government security offerings of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. V* .^ 3./ In the case of State & local govt, securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut, * revenue obligation secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.-Ut., revenue b o @ ^ secured only by revenue from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by r e v e n u % ' from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by least payments. 4/ 1/10 per cent bonds maturing 1989-90 not publicly reoffered. V 5/ Bonds maturing 1990 not publicly reoffered. ^ 6/ 3/4 per cent bonds maturing 2004 not publicly reoffered. * i * I H. 14 Exhibit L Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offering for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues (In millions of dollsrs) During month following date shown State and Other y Corporate local govt. " 1963 - Dec. 31 1964 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 •: Apr. 30 May 28 ^ June 30 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept.30 Oct. 30 Nov. 30 yDec. 31 305 155 224 1,587 651 600 292 92 402 186 90 105 -- 469 316 454 669 345 341 539 120 511 500 254 360 306 -- 25 15 --- 15 25 215 Corporate 1,905 1,771 1,649 1,837 844 668 307 167 442 186 130 105 Subsequent to date shown State and local govt. 731 667 646 953 575 598 716 588 680 626 549 563 435 Other U -- 25 15 -- 15 __ -- 25 215 Forthcoming Large Offerings as of January 22 < Type Issuer Amount (millions of dollars) Approximate date of offering Coroorate Conn. Yankee Atomic Pwr. Co. Texas Elec. Service Co. •Occidental Petroleum Corp. Dan River Mills Southern Calif. Ed. Co. *New England Elec. System W. R. Grace Co. State & Local Government Dallas, Texas Texas Wtr. Div. Bd. Los Angeles Harbor Dist., Calif Dayton City Sch. Dist., Ohio. Duval Co. Hospital Auth., Fla. Los Angeles Fid. Control Dist., California ? 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Com stk. Deb. 1st & ref. mtg. bds. Com. stk. Conv. sub. deb. 40.0 10.0 22.2 20.0 60.0 15.6 84.0 Jan. Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb! Mar. 27 3 8 (rts. ex.) 9 10 17 (rts. ex.) (rts. ex.) Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Q.-Ut. Jan. Jan. Jan. Rev.-Rent. 15.0 16.0 11.0 15.3 12.0 Jan. Jan. 25 26 27 28 28 Rev.-Q.rUt. 15.0 Feb. 2 G.O. ^0 L-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings as of January 22 Issuer Type Amount (millions of dollars) Approximate date of offering State & Local Government (Cont'd) G.O. Palm Beach Co., Fla. Rev.-Q.-Ut. Va. State Highway Auth. G.O. *Phila. Scji. Dist., Pa. Rev.-Rent. *Wisc. State Agencies Bldg. Corp. Los Angeles Dept. of Wtr. & Pwr., Calif. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. ^Sacramento Mun. Util. D i s t . y Calif. G.O. Pittsburgh, Pa. G.O. Dade County, Fla. G.O. Forth Worth, Texas Rev.-S.T. Florida Dev. Comm. Other 26.8 31.0 16.0 Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. 35.3 24.0 79.5 35.0 46.0 14.1 33.8 3 3 9 17 24 Mar. 4 Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite 20.0 Jan. . 25 v \ e Republic-to f Portugal Bonds ^--Included in Table for first time. 1 / Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues for Federal Agencies. Note:--Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. < ! 5 j R. 14 Exhibit H Foreign Government and Corporate Security Offerings and Placements in the United States Part I: , Amount (millions of dollars) * Sale ^ Da te A 54 • Public Offerings Issuer gnd Description of Issue A. Sold Nov. 1 through January 22 11/25 15.0 Republic of Finland--6% bonds maturing 1979--reoffered to yield 6.26%. 12/15 25.0 ^European Investment Bank--5-l/2% bonds maturing in 1984, reoffered to yield 4.85% to investors in the U. S. and 5.54% to jobber investors. 12/11 20.1 ! 1/14 *1/19 200.0 15.0 Home Oil Co. Ltd.--5-1/8% convertible subordinate debenture maturing 1984, offered to stockholders of record November 19 to yield 5.13%. International Bank for Reconstruction end, Development-4-1/2% bonds, maturing 1990, reoffered to yield 4.48%. Republic of the Philippines--6-l/27 0 bonds, maturing 1980, reoffered to yield 6.66%. B. 1/25 20.0 Prospective Offerings Republic of Portugal - bonds ^Difference in reoffering yields on bonds sold to U.S. citizens and those sold to foreign citizens reflects an upward adjustment of 8.83 per cent in the price paid by U. S. citizens. This premium was collected by the underwriters in accordance with the provisions of the new Interest Equalization Tax. This tax is collected--under a scale of rates which rises with ma turity--when U. S. lenders buy new security offerings from borrowers in certain designated "developed" countries. M-2 P;irt II: Dii le reported 11/4 11/5 11/11 Private Placement•»-Reported Nov. 1 through January 22 Amount (millions of dollars) 60.0 Issuer and Description of Issue City of Montreal--57o sinking.fund debenture, maturing 2004--no information available on takedown. 7.9 Montreal Catholic School Comm. --5% sinking fund debenture, maturing 1989--no information available on takedown. ' 25.0 Toronto--Dominion Tower,. Ltd.--4.85% first mortgage sinking fund bonds, maturing 1989--no information available on takedown. « 5 !- 11/18 29.1 12/21 25.0 1/11 25.0 Alberta Municipal Financing Corp.~-4-5/87. debentures, maturing 1989, priced to yield 4 . 6 5 % — n o information available on takedown. L/13 8.0 Beneficial Finance Co. of Canada--seniar notes maturin 1984--no information available on takedown. L/18 30.0 Banco Nacional Hipotecario Urbano y de Obras Publicas, >1 S.A.--promissary notes, maturing 1965-69--no informa- ' tion available on takedown. [ 1 fl Prince George Pulp & Paper Ltd.--1st mtg. sinking fund '4 bonds, maturing 1985--no information available on i takedown. ^ } ' Province of Nova Scotia--4~l/2% sinking fund debenture^ maturing 1989--no information available on takedown. & \ Note: For retrospective data on aggregate foreign corporate and government security offerings in the United States see Exhibits I and J. There is no simple relationshi between the data shown in this Exhibit and that shown in Exhibits I and J because the latter includes privately placed securities in the period in which funds are actually takendown but only in the amount of takedown, while the placements shown in this exhibit are included when reported, frequently with little or no information concerning timing of takedowns. Full or partial takedowns may take place both prior and subsequent to the data a placement is reported. ^--Included in table for first time, FRASER ft Digitized for ^ 3 Exhib t N Sources and Uses of Funds by Life Insurance C o m p a n i e s Quarter or Cash Month End of 1962 1963 1964 - period: Dec. Dec. Nov. Changes: 1962 - III IV 1963 - I II III IV 1964 - I • Uses of Funds 1/ Business U.S. State & Securities 2/ Govt. local MortSecuri- Bonds & Short-term Govt. gages paper Stocks ties secur. Total sources Other (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 348 4 ,037 46,957 20,854 381 3 ,876 22,909 50,543 613 3 ,841 54,404 24,728 1,456 1,442 6,171 5,755 53,468 55,997 1,390 5,699 58,071 76 167 52 -160 520 673 123 -296 48 -47 554 1,233 -226 16 103 104 -149 -276 95 -69 434 727 501 890 253 -110 134 -238 4 -89 -62 -16 -166 -18 24 -24 -101 154 625 715 479 108 -154 81 -43 119 -28 -32 278 391 115 -411 133,291 140,903 127,796 134,805 148,746 141,879 384 587 1,757 2,157 1,649 1,954 624 786 893 1,310 920 659 350 158 1,860 1,713 2,014 2,139 1,567 1,572 1,960 1,962 -27 -27 24 898 1,025 1,094 750 454 352 2,164 1,897 2,208 1,732 1,718 2,113 -7 -13 284 730 20 -88 619 696 604 704 IV 1963 - Nov. Dec. r/ 270 1964 - Jan. 261 27 963 -159 296 285 -17 Feb. -68 23 131 -15 665 298 -2 298 Mar. -94 233 -74 536 8 156 315 -8 . -26 Apr. -42 191 609 -108 225 365 4 232 May 42 -44 >636 12 109 311 -26 292 8 4 June -101 78 652 120 -5 349 185 July 125 199 -9 859 5 366 -13 122 Aug. -39 5 6 52 105 1 0 6 13 341 Sept. 158 -65 24 -72 697 >387 241 24 194 Oct. 45 -18 805 -4 144 20 424 112 210 3 , -25 -70 Nov. 420 119 769 Dec. r/ Revised. j>/ P r e l i m i n a r y . 1/ Uses of funds represent net changes in assets and therefore reflect net, rather than gross uses. 2/ Includes securities of domestic corporations only. 3/ E x c l u d e s changes in m i s c e l l a n e o u s assets (one p o r t i o n of the "other" in this table) w h i c h includes m o s t , but not all, v a l u a t i o n changes, as w e l l as changes in a few other items. S o u r c e . - - I n s t i t u t e of L i f e Insurance. 774 518 440 526 608 584 970 612 531 730 781 H. 14 Exhibit 0 Sources and Uses of Funds by Savings and Loan Associations Quarter or Cash Month End of 1962 1963 1964 - period: Dec. Dec. Nov. es of funds 1/ U. S. Govt, Mort- Other secur- gages assets Source of funds Total sources or uaea ities. Net change savings rnplfal. Borrowing Other 2/ (In millions "of dollars) 3,296 5,563 78,770 3,964 6,440 90,849 3,497 6,958 100,398 5,346 6,178 7,079 93,605 107,431 117,932 80,236 91,205 100,039 3,629 5,011 4,995 9,740 11,215 12,898 Changes: 1962 - H I IV -339 889 80 75 2 ,712 2 ,532 5 105 2,458 3,601 1,517 3,327 276 470 665 -196 1963 - I II III IV -137 61 -467 581 537 101 144 95 2 ,272 3 ,483 3 ,408 2,,916 55 457 39. 281 2,727 4,102 3,124 3,873 3,024 3,089 1,523 3,333 -1,028 833 774 803 731 180 827 -263 1964 - I II III IV -351 182 -404 293 -48 93 2j,220 2,,998 2,,826 55 495 23 2,217 3,627 2,540 2,320 3,068 1,862 -688 657 85 585 -97 592 1963 - Nov. Dec. 32 482 129 -108 806 992 175 24 1 ,142 1 ,390 804 1 ,734 59 547 279 -891 -396 33 12 -146 37 291 -456 15 37 22 84 158 64 71 -16 -5 -27 .2 49 42 42 138 604 710 906 909 993 1,096 1,044 948 836 836 667 -189 109 135 120 385 -10 -192 113 102 72 256 177 916 1 ,124 867 1 ,410 1 ,350 398 1,,125 1,,017 972 1,,145 464 754 1 ,102 321 982 1 ,765 16 773 1,,073 751 833 -421 -213 -54 278 -57 436 11 1 73 -36 -34 134 375 76 1964 - Jan. Feb. Mar. + Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. r/ Nov. £ / Dec. 268 485 -851 371 351 -129 257 346 r/ Revised. ]>/ Preliminary. 1/ Uses of funds represent net changes in assets and therefore reflect net, rather than gross uses. Savings and loan associations do not hold business securities and data on holdings of State and local government bonds, presumed to be small, are not available* 2/ Advances from Home Loan Banks and other borrowing. Source:--FSLIC . , e ; u % J . Exhibit P Sources and Uses of Funds by Mutual Savings Banks Quarter Month End of 1962 1963 1964 - period: Dec. Dec. Nov. U.S. Cash Govt. securiciee 956 912 905, 6,107 5,863 5,785 Total Uses of funfl§ 1/, sources MortState and Bus! or Other gages local govt ness uses secursecur2/ .lars) (In millions of dollars 32,056 e1,297 46,121 527 5,,177 36,007 1,406 49,702 440 5,,074 5 ,180 399 39,898 1,658 53,825 if"'— Net change in ?* ft""** Other 41,336 44,606 48,188 4,785 5,096 5,637 Changes: 1962 - Ill IV -31 104 18 -207 82 26 -19 -36 813 844 71 32 967 733 816 878 150 -146 1963 - I II III IV -65 - 1 -42 64 325 -243 -114 -213 -20 -67 81 -97 -52 -17 -5 -13 1,069 950 888 1,043 57 -28 117 -36 1,315 592 927 747 970 666 740 894 344 •73 186 -146 1964 - I II III IV -25 19 -23 254 -93 58 78 -6 47 -16 -15 926 1,037 1,173 124 1,339 17 959 80 1,338 1,155 862 1,133 183 99 207 1963 - Nov. Dec. -8 101 -14 -22 -76 1 -3 -8 321 353 38 -34 260 390 118 578 142 -188 1964 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -63 32 6 -68 28 59 -43 32 -12 15 88 82 84 -53 -12 -28 1 70 -13 -233 15 47 16 -13 12 5 -3 37 13 -15 345 283 298 334 333 370 436 355 382 392 360 93 5 26 -64 75 6 26 71 -17 -10 42 477 435 427 135 433 391 416 565 357 143 343 400 260 495 90 272 500 294 356 483 226 205 77 175 -69 47 161 -109 122 210 -125 -83 138 7 -65 2 -- -13 -3 -1 -4 -10 X -2 2 -6 -4 2/ Includes Canadian government and political subdivision, International B a n k for R e construction and Development, nonguaranteed Federal agency and other bonds as w e l l as corporate bonds and stock. Source:--NAMSB