Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : January 15, 1958
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/ Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.llt January 15, 1958 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Large public security offerings for new capital during the week ending January 10 totaled $105 million for corporations and $53 million for State and local governments. A $150 million bond issue of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development was also sold. The calendar for this week includes large corporate issues-amounting to $105 million and State and local government offerings totaling $173 million. Bond yields - Yields on outstanding corporate and lower grade State and local government bonds declined last week, while yields on State and local government Aaa's remained stable. Stock Poor's index of on January 10. ing at 1*0.99 on prices - Stock prices, as measured by the Standard and 500 common stocks, declined last week, closing at i|0.37 . Prices increased in the early part of this week, closWednesday. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. V ; EXHIBIT A HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS \ U. S. GOVERNMENT:/A-/ . = < long.I*,m '/ X / X / S,A U. S. Govt., long-term 2/ Corporate Aaa 1/ Old series New series Spread between State and U. S. Govt. local govt. (old series) and Corporate1 State and Aaa 3/ Aaa |local Aaa . (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High 3.1*2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3.07 1*-11* 3.66 December 13 December 20 December 27 January 3 January 10 3.81* 3.77 3.73 3.68 3.65 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (U/23) (12/23) (1/7) (12/28) (3/2) (9/27) (U/12J 3.15 2.78 2.71 2.1*1* 2.91* 2.62 3.1*9 2.80 3-87 3.15 (6/6) n.a. (12/26) n.a. (1/9) n.a. ' (8/7) n.a. (8/5) 3.03 ( 8/5) (1/7) 2.89 (6/10) (12/21)3.39 (12/28) (2/17) 2.92 (2/3) (10/18)3.66 (10/18) (2/8) 3.22 (2/8) 2,73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3k 2.05 3.05 2.17 3.1»5 2.76 3.35 3.29 3.28 2.9U 2.66 2.81* 2.86 2.86 3.25 3.18 3.15 y n.a. — N o t "available. " 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. y • . (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) (8/29) (2/21) .38 .19 .1*3 .32 .31* .13 .1*1* .13 .65 .20 .59 .59 .58 .81* .30 .61 .29 .70 .51* .68 • .32 .58 .11* • 31 • 32 • 31 — — — — — — — — Average term of bonds included is 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter, including, beginning October 1957, the 1* per cent bond of 1969. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the y 1/1* per cent bond of 1978-83. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. ^/Discontinued as of December 31, 1957. New series to be available Shortly. Note.—Highs and lows a * for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa 2/ Spread between Aaa and Baa State and local govt. Corporate (Per cent) 1957 - High Low 3.89(9/18) 3.50 (1/2) 3.7k (1/8) 3.hh (12/31) 3.63 (12/30) 3.15 (1/1U) it.Ul (12/28) 3.58 (3/9) 5.10 (11/29) h.k2 (U/12) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 1.22 3.20 U.51 3.90 December 13 December 20 December 2? January 3 January 10 5.06 5.00 5.00 h.96 h.92 It.03 3.92 3.92 3.92 3.88 1953 - High 195k - high 1955 - High 1956 - High (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (12/27) (3/8) (8/29) (2/21) .69 .k2 .68 .52 .51i .U5 .63 .U2 1.27 .6k 1.21 .98 1.16 . -93 1.03 .87 1.17 .89 1.21 1.0U 1.22 1.23 1.27 1.28 1.27 1.09 1.06 1.08 1.06 1.02. 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average.term of bonds included is 25-26 years.. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. EXHIBIT C Stock price Trading Common Stock market customer credit volume 2/ Customers (millions yields y Total debit bal- loans to of shares) (per cent) "others'1 j/ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High 19$h - High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High 26.5k 22.95 (9/18) 35.98 15:89 (12/9) Itlh s 1.5 43.22 1: 1 l.li W.35 iiO.33 39.78 2.5 2.6 2.5 3.3 2.2 149.08 (7/S) 39.W (12/20) November December December 27 January 3 January 10 1:1 hO. 87 10.31 lt-32 h.U2 3.64 U.35 3.82 L.72 3.91 L.62 I4.63 . 14.69 14.56 li.59 2,155 * 8 1,665 1,3114 2,388 2,U05 U,030 3,537 U,0U7 3,91k (4,031 3,577 2,517 2,823 2,7140 2,687 2,517 3,577 n-a. 2,517 n.a. JS§ 780 66U 1,018 7146 l,2Ul 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,0514 1,060 c/ 1,091 a.—Not available I c/ Corrected.. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 19l4l-U3"10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. -%/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. h/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accountsj-excludes balances secured by U.S. Government obligations. Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U.S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. < H.11+ Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1958 January February March Corporate | 1957 1 e/ 800 . April May June July August September 1,063 1,071 1,3a - New capital I State and local 1/ 1956 1958 1 1956 1 1957 573 712 817 e/ 700 742 572 506 4o4 696 390 92k 771 .1,1489 818 1,146 641 765 546 393 378 490 735 991 914 973 1,063 654 838 529 584 430 408 206 357 6% 632 688 639 347 409 October November December 1,014 831 e/1,000 745„, 1,0892/ 1,088 1st 2nd 3rd lith 3,179 3,181 ' 2,878 e/2,845 2,102 2,605 2,556 2,922 1,820 1,704 1,544 2,016 1,490 1,603 971 1,395 4,907 7,463 10,384 3,524 5,068 7,084 3,093 4,0014, 5,459 Quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year ' 6,662 9,5W e/12,385 Excluding finance companies j/ 1st 2nd 3rd lith quarter quarter quarter quarter Year 3,268 2,921 /2,560 e/2,695 1,647 2,541 - 2,246 2,826 e/11, hk6 9,260 e/ Estimated. 1/ Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by . Federal Reserve; later data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 2/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issue. 2 / Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and1 consumer finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. H.Ik Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1956 - December 1957 - January February March April V May June July August September October November December State and local government h30 567 671 788 U77 329 877 525 526 537 57k k20 #9 201 386 306 19U U99 2li8 176 265 357 185 1*35 386 U39 Other 2/ 100 5° 125 25 39 25 30 75 Large Individual Issues Offered January 1 through 10 Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount (millions rate or Offering Maturity of net interyield dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE Commercial Credit Co. Conn. Light & Power Co. Washington Water Pwr. Co.. Notes 50.0 1978 lst&r ef. lit g. bds. 30.0 1988 1st mtg.bds. 20.0 1988 h 1/8 3 7/8 h 1/8 1.20 3.89 U.10 AaaA STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Los Angeles, California Dade Co., Florida Caddo Parish S.D., La. Des Moines Sch. Dist.,1a. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 25.0 lU.5 7.5 5.7 1959-88/68 1958-72/63 1959-78 1958-77 3.18 3.61 3.17 2.62 2.10-3.30 2.75-3.50 2.15-3.20 1.80-2.60 Aa A A Aa H.lU Large Individual Issues Offered January 1 through 10 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 2/ Amount Coupon (millions rate or Offering Maturity of net inter- yield dollars) est cost Rating OTHER Int'l tik. for Reconstruction and Development Bds. 150.0 1979 h 1/U k.29 Aa State and local government security offerings of million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 2/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations5 Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. H.lU" Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of . computation - Dec. 31 - Jan. 31 Feb.. 28 Mar. 29 Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 July 31 Aug. - 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 During month following date shown Subsequent to date shown C o r p o r a t e l i ^ a n d J o t h e r 2/ Corporate]^ ^ > t h e r 476 591 740 461 187 525 370 526 578 576 458 383 378 280 153 153 290 179 97 172 #2 2L3 370 369 387 383 1 100 35 ' '25 25 25 30 30 18 150 796 966 795 U86 258 525 115 811 845 647 815 1,193 1,161 . 763 648 631 862 396 388 498 514 U39 587 573 589 6lii 2/ 100 35 25 25 25 30 15 45 63 165 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of January 10 Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Commonwealth Edison Co. West Virginia Pulp & Paper Co. Pacific Power & Light Co. Alabama Power Co. Pacific Gas & Electric Co. • Kimberly Clark Corp. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Royal Dutch Petroleum Co. Indiana & Michigan Electric Co. ^Pennsylvania Electric Co. ^Cleveland Electric Illuminating Co. American Telephone & Telegraph Co. S.F. deb. Deb. 1st mtg. bds.. 1st mtg. bds. 1st & ref. mtg. bds. S.F. deb. Deb. bds. & common Common stk. 50.0 40.0 15.0 23.0 75.0 30.0 45.0 3/ 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds-. 1st mtg. bds. Conv. deb. 25.0 29.0 30.0 718.3 1st mtg. bds. 40.0 Jan. 15 Jan. 15 Jan. 16 Jan. 17 Jan. 22 Jan.- 22 Jan. Feb. 10 (rights expire) Feb. 14 Feb. 25 Feb. 26 ' March 12 (rights expire) Winter 1--2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of January 10 (Cont'd) Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Des Moines Ind. Sch. Dist., Iowa San Diego Co. Wtr. Auth., Calif. State of New York Georgia Rural Roads Auth. State of Missouri New York, New York State of North Carolina Penna. State Highway & Bridge Auth. State of California ^Milwaukee Co., Wise. Dallas, Texas Florida State Board of Education #State of South Carolina Los Angeles, California State of New Hampshire ^Puerto Rico Water Resources Auth. No. Hempstead Sch. Dist. No. 9> N.Y. East Baton Rouge Par. S.D. No.l, La. ^Memphis, Term. Denver,. Colorado Public Housing Authorities Wichita Sch. Dist. No. 1, Kansas New %ork State Thruway Auth. Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Inter-American Center Authority,Kla. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. , G.O., Rev. G.O. Sower rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Water rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Water rev. G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. 5.7 7.5 37.5 17.5 55.0 25.5 10.0 20.0 100.0 5.7 11.8 7.9 8.0 9.0 28.lt 25.0 7.U 10.0 12.5 20.0 67.1 5.0 UO.O 62.0 20.0 Jan. 9 Jan. 13 Jan. 1U Jan. 11* Jan. 15 Jan. 15 Jan. 16 Jan. 17 Jan. 22 Jan. 2it Jan. 27 Jan. 28 Jan. 28 Jan. 29 Jan. 30 Jan. Feb. li Feb. h Feb. h Feb. 5 Feb. 5 Feb. 6 Winter Winter Winter Ext. loan bds. Deb. 15.0 50.0 Jan. 21 Feb. OTHER Union of South Africa ^Quebec Hydro-Electric Commission *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of &5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 2/ The net proceeds are expected to total $200-$250 million; however, the amount to be offered in the United States is as yet indeterminate. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of. issue: None. Exhibit G H.lU Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date 1952 - 1956 High Low Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned yields seasoned yields (per cent) (per cent) (basis points) (basis points) h.30(12/12/56) 2.93(3/31/510 62 -3 1.58(12/6/56) 3.00(3/17/514) 70 -15 1957' - January 6U k.kk 14.62 57 February 14.25 a None March None h$ -14.50 April 50 *k.29 5k May K:&) 58 k.kk 79 June 5 it. 63 75 106 7 5.10 11 87 U.7-8 • July 3 6U 14.80 2/ 10 U8 it.57 7U U.88 y 11 68 li.77 16 U.65 56 17 71 U.90 August 111 5.00 75 — September 5 U.eo 51 6 56 U. 85 25 . 51 5.10 October 1 14.78 U5 15 ' 5.00 39 17 3k I4.95 2k 67 5.30 November 7 88 63 14.97 5.50 8 I4.86 2/ 52 15 143 5.05 2 / 20 14.82 53 21 h.65 37 22 U. 65 39 * . 11* December 6 14.30 U.iio 12 -17 445 1958 - January 8 U.07 li.10 2 / -39 9 *—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during %he indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Other issues have no such provision.