Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : January 13, 1975
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
Capital Market Developments January 1 3 , 1 9 7 5 Prepared by the CAPITAL MARKETS SECTION in conjunction with the MORTGAGE, AGRICULTURAL, and CONSUMER FINANCE SECTION DIVISION OF RESEARCH AND STATISTICS BOARD OF GOVERNORS FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Washington, D C. 20551 Index SYMBOLS TABLES 1 - 6 SECURITY VOLUME AND Y I E L D S 7, 8 STOCK MARKET AND S E C U R I T Y C R E D I T 9 - 1 6 MORTGAGE MARKET e P r ESTIMATE PRELIMINARY REVISED n.a NOT AVAILABLE — DATA DO NOT EXIST 3 Table 1 YIELDS, VOLUME AND RECEPTION CORPORATE B O N D MARKET YIELDS WEEK ENDING 1974 - Dec. 1-975 - Jan. 6 13 20 27 3 10 NEW ISSUE 1 A a a UTILITY VOLUME RECENTLY OFFERED A a a UTILITY 9.39 9.57 9.59r 9.64 9.50 9.59r 9.52 — 9.67 9.52p 9.45p 2 3 GROSS OFFERINGS ( $ MILLIONS) PER CENT S O L D BY END O F WEEK 676 925 605 93 85 92 — — 699 98 wee N E W I S S U E S 4IN S Y N D I C A T E ( $ MILLIONS) 171 175 178r 177 163 64 MUNICIPAL B O N D MARKET VOLUME YIELDS WEEK ENDING MOODY'S NEW ISSUE Aaa BOND BUYER 2Q-BOND INDEX 3 GROSS OFFERINGS ( $ MILLIONS) PER C E N T S O L D BY END OF WEEK NEW I S S U E S 4 IN S Y N D I C A T E ( $ MILLIONS) 1974 - Dec. 6 13 20 27 6.40 6.80 6.70 6.70 6.89 7.15 7.08 7.08 569 441 290 27 90 80 89 91 167 167 140 122 1975 - J a n . 3 10 6.70 6.60 7.08 6.99 26 500 66 92 117 75 NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection, released from price restrictions sometime during the last four weeks. 3 Estimated by F.R. on the basis of available data. 4 Corporate Market: Salomon Brothers Bond Market Roundup; Municipal Market: Weekly Bond Buyer. Data are adjusted by Federal Reserve when necessary to make coverage of this series consistent with the gross offerings series. Table 2 HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS NEW ISSUE A a a UTILITY DATE 1 RECENTLY OFFERED A a a UTILITY 2 MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa 3 U.S. GOVT. 20-YEAR C O N S T A N T MATURITY 4 B O N D BUYER 2 Q - B O N D INDEX 1970 - High Low 9.43 (6/19) 7.72 (12/11) 9.20 (6/26) 8.16 (12/18) 8.60 (7/3) 7.48 (12/21) 7.55 (5/29) 6.17 (12/18) 1971 - High Low 8.26 (7/30) 7.02 (2/5) 8.23 (1/1) 7.17 (12/31) 7.71 (8/21) 7.06 <2/12) 6 . 5 1 (6/18) 5.69 (3/23) 6 . 2 3 (6/23) 4 . 9 7 (10/21) 1972 - High Low 7.60 (4/21) 6.99 (11/24) 7.49 (4/21) 7.15 (12/1) 7.36 (4/28) 7.05 (2/12) 6.19 (4/14) 5.74 (11/17) 5.54 (4/13) 4.96 (10/21) 1973 - High Low 8.52 (8/10) 7.29 (1/21) 8.32 (8/10) 7.28 (1/5) 7.77 (8/24) 7.11 (1/5) 7.79 (8/10) 6.42 (1/5) 5.59 (8/3) 4 . 9 9 (10/11) 1974 - High Low 10.61 (10/4) 8.05 (2/15) 10.52 (10/11) 8.13 (1/4) 9.39 (10/11) 7.73 (1/4) 8.68 (8/30) 7.39 (1/4) 6 . 9 5 (7/11) 5.16 (2/7) 9.39 9.57 9.59r 9.64 8.90 8.87 8.85 8.90 7.99 7.83 7.81 7.91 6.89 7.15 7.08 7.08 9.67 9.52p 8.93 8.92p 7.93 7.90p 7.08 6.99 1974 - Dec. 6 13 20 27 9.50 9.59 9.52 1975 - J a n . 3 10 - - — 9.45p . 7.12 (5/28) 5.33 (12/10) NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection released from price restrictions sometime during the last 4 3 Weekly average of daily closing figures. 4 Weekly average of daily figures. U.S. Treasury data. 5 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Weekly Bond Buyer data. 5 Table 3 LONG-TERM CORPORATE AND STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT SECURITY OFFERINGS AND PLACEMENTS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS G R O S S PROCEEDS 1974 January February 'March April May July August September Year | 1972 2 STATE AND LOCAL 1974 1 1973 1 1972 3,205 3,369 3,229 2,196 1,933 1,998 1,977 1,515 2,467 1,776 2,005 2,239 3,067 3,156 2,976 2,497 2,543 3,578 3,275 3,598 4,341 2,370 2,237 2,004 1,826 1,939 2,152 1,989 2,017 2,276 3,142 2,653 1,600 2,631 1,806 1,915 3,582 2,893 2,720 1,489 1,103 1,692 2,028 1,657 1,750 1,805 1,966 1,726 3,398 3,563 3,238 3,791 3,377 3,396 2,334 2,313 2,257 2,089 2,200 1,862 1,797 9,247 9,199 7,395 8,222 8,618 6,352 10,199 9,803 11,214 9,195 10,564 6,127 6,611 4,284 5,959 5,917 5,435 6,659 6,020 6,276 5,497 5,859 18,446 25,841 16,840 23,192 33,391 21,017 30,212 40,776 12,738 17,022 11,876 17,311 23,970 12,296 17,793 23,652 04 1st Half 3 Qtrs. 1973 2,327 1,962 3,933 October Q1 | 3,341 2,690 3,216 November December 02 03 1 CORPORATE PERIOD NOTES: 1 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross proceeds. 2 Securities Industry Association estimates of principal amounts. Table 4 NEW CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES BY TYPE OF ISSUE AND ISSUER IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS G R O S S PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER G R O S S PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE PERIOD BONDS TOTAL PUBLICLY OFFERED COMMON AND PRIVATELY PREFERRED PLACED STOCK MEMO I S S U E S INCLUDED FOREIGN [CONVERTIBLE MANUFACTURING PUBLIC UTILITY COMMUNICATIONS OTHER ISSUERS ! 1973 - I I I IV 6,352 10,199 2,333 5,026 2,285 2,059 1,735 3,114 163 136 50 282 1,160 1,502 2,014 2,917 871 1,851 2,304 3,930 1974 - I II III 9,247 \9 >199 7,395 5,818 5,883 5,025 1,652 1,766 1,011 1,777 1,537 1,359 88 115 373 58 38 306 1,927 2,520 1,783 3,569 3,190 2,414 874 1,310 1,001 2,880 2,171 2,202 1973 - Sept. 1,915 684 682 549 32 3 348 585 243 737 250 32 — 522 476 504 949 1,080 888 678 796 377 1,249 1,212 1,469 Oct. Nov. Dec. 3,398 3,563 3,238 1,805 1,669 1,552 553 589 917 1,040 1,305 769 6 53 77 1974 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 3,341 2,690 3,216 2,115 1,683 2,020 794 421 437 432 586 759 56 11 21 2 4 52 896 390 641 1,441 829 1,299 146 397 331 861 1,072 947 Apr. May June 3,067 3,156 2,978 1,594 2,350 1,939 671 599 510 802 207 538 63 42 10 12 15 11 1,202 854 470 1,131 912 1,147 294 663 353 442 730 1,007 July Aug. Sept. 3,142 2,653 1,600 2,086 2,042 897 518 204 289 538 407 414 223 205 104 1,017 583 183 601 1,133 680 295 364 342 1,231 574 397 150 NOTES: 1 Other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. 1 LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY ISSUES FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 January 2, t h r u January 10, 1975 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY COUPON RATE OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING 12.25 A CORPORATE P u b l i c Svc E l e c t r i c & Gas P a c i f i c Power & Light Atchison, Topeka & Santa Fe R.R. P h i l a d e l p h i a E l e c t r i c Co. Southwestern B e l l T e l . Co. Southwestern B e l l T e l . Co. D e t r o i t Edison Co. Black & Decker Mfg. Co. C e n t r a l Tel. of V i r g i n i a Boston Gas Co. Armour & Co. Montgomery Ward C r e d i t . Corp. Pfd s t k Com s t k Equip t r Debt Notes Debt 1 s t mtg Notes 1 s t mtg Debt Debt SF Debt 35.0 58.6 15.0 100.0 100.0 150.0 50.0 75.0 20.0 25.0 75.0 60.0 1990 1981 1982 2015 1982 1985 2000 1982 2000 1983 12.25 8.75 12.75 8.20 9.25 12.75 8.45 10.20 9.88 9.88 9.50 7.75-8.75 12.50 8.20 9.30 12.75 8.45 10.20 9.88 9.96 9.50 Notes Debt 100.0 200.0 1985 2005 8.25 10.25 8.40 10.25 —— — — — Aaa Baa Aaa Aaa Baa/Bbb A/Aa A A A A Other Inter-American Dev. Bank Hydro-Quebec E l e c t r i c NOTES: * 1 Rights offering. Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over. Aaa A-l T a b l e SB LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY ISSUES FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ' January 2, t h r u January 10, 1975 ISSUER TYPE 2 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY NET INTEREST COST OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING STATE AND LOCAL Cuyahoga Co., Ohio Dade Co., F l a . C a l i f o r n i a Educ. F a c i l i t i e s A u t h . , C a l i f . C a l i f o r n i a Educ. F a c i l i t i e s A u t h . , C a l i f . S a l t River A g r i c & Pwr. D i s t . , Ariz. S a l t River Agric. & Pwr. D i s t . , A r i z . Minnesota, S t a t e of G.O. G.O. Rev Rev Rev Rev G.O. 30.0 31.0 3.7 13.2 20.0 40.0 33.8 1976-2000 1975-1999 1975-1985 2000 1983-1999 2013 1976-1993 6.74 7.05 7.18 7.18 8.11 8.11 5.70 4.80-7.50 4.75-7.70 4.75-6.00 7.20 6.25-7.90 8.13 4.20-6.20 Aa A-l Aa Aa A-l A-l Aaa NOTES: 1 Includes state and local security offerings of $10 million and over. 2 In case of State and local government securities, G O denotes general obligation; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.-Ut., revenue bonds secured only by income from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev. Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. 3 Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. Table 6A FORTHCOMING LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 as of January 10, 1975 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERINI CORPORATE •Cyprus Mines Corp. Delmarva Power & Light Co. Oklahoma Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. Public Svc. of Indiana *0klahoma Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. Amax Inc. Amax Inc. Union Carbide Corp. *Portland General E l e c t r i c Cont. Tele. Co. of C a l i f . *Arco Pipeline Company C o n s o l i d a t e d Natural Gas *Ford Motor Credit Co. *Ford Motor Credit Co. *Scott Paper Co. National Rural U t i l . F i n . Corp. Kansas Nebraska Natural Gas Carolina Power & Light FMC Corp. Weyerhaeuser Co. *Sears Roebuck Accept. Corp. *0hio Edison *Houston Natural Gas Middle South U t i l i t i e s Columbus & Southern Ohio E l e c t r i c *Brown Group Inc. Columbus & Southern Ohio E l e c t r i c Hartford E l e c t r i c Light Union P a c i f i c RR Co. American Tele. & Tele. American Tele. & Tele. Burlington Northern *Long Island Lighting Co. *Genl. Tele. Co. of the Southeast *National Security & R e g i s t e r Co. General Tele, of Ohio *ERC Corp. *Fruehauf Finance Co. *New England Power Co. *M&41and E n t e r p r i s e s i n c . Notes 1st mtge 1st mtge Com s t k Pfd s t k Debt S.F. Notes Debt Pfd s t k 1st mtge Notes Pfd s t k Notes Debt Debt Debt Debt Com s t k Debt Notes Debt Pfd s t k Debt Com s t k Com s t k Debt S.F. 1st mtge 1st mtge Equip t r Debt Notes Equip t r Com s t k 1st mtge Bene i n t Pfd s t k Debt Notes 1st mtge 1st mtge NOTES: • Included in table for first time. 1 Includes corporate and other security issues of $15 million and over. 100.0 30.0 60.0 35.0 35.0 50.0 50.0 300.0 25.0 25.0 250.0 50.0 125.0 75.0 75.0 100.0 20.0 45.0 100.0 200.0 125.0 40.0 50.0 75.0 16.0 35.0 30.0 20.0 15.0 300.0 300.0 15.6 29.1 25.0 30.0 20.0 25.0 60.0 50.0 15.0 January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January January 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 21 21 21 22 22 22 23 23 28 28 28 29 30 10 Table 6A Continued FORTHCOMING LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 as of January 10, 1975 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING \ CORPORATE *Sohio BP Alaska P i p e l i n e F i n . ^ C e n t r a l & Southwest Corp. *S. P a c i f i c Transp. Co. *Conn. Light & Power Co. *Kansas Power & Light ^Washington Water Power Co. * F l o r i d a Power & Light Montgomery Ward Credit Co. S i e r r a P a c i f i c Power Co. Indiana & Michigan E l e c t r i c Co. Arkansas Power & Light Niagara Mohawk Pwr. Notes Com s t k Equip t r 1 s t mtge 1 s t mtge 1 s t mtge Pfd s t k Debt S.F. Pfd s t k Pfd s t k Pfd s t k Pfd s t k 150.0 55.0 15.0 85.0 35.0 25.0 60.0 50.0 15.0 30.0 15.0 40.0 Other New Brunswick E l e c t . Pwr. Comm. ^Municipal F i n . Auth. of B r i t i s h Columbia Debt 75.0 January 14 Debt S.F. 34.5 January 15 Postponed Crown Z e l l e r b a c h Corp. Bankamerica Corp. F i r s t National Boston Corp. Debt Debt Notes 100.0 150.0 100.0 January 4 February February 4 February 4 February 6 February . 11 February Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite January January February Table 6B FORTHCOMING LARGE LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS FOR NEW CAPITAL OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 as of January 10, 1975 TYPE ISSUER AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING STATE & LOCAL •Maricopa Co., S. D. A r i z . • S p r i n g f i e l d , 111. • P o r t of S e a t t l e , Wash. ^Mobile Board of Water & Sewer Comm., Ala. • F l o r i d a , S t a t e of C h a r l o t t e , N.C. •Hamilton Co., Ohio Albany Co., N.Y. • S p r i n g f i e l d . Mo. • N a s h v i l l e & Davidson Co. Metro. Gov., Tenn. • P i t t s b u r g h Sch. D i s t . , Pa. G u i l f o r d Co., N.C. D e t r o i t , Mich. • S . Oklahoma City H o s p i t a l T r u s t , Okla. •Tallahassee, Fla. •Garland, Texas • V i r g i n i a Public School Auth. •Madison Voc. Tech. Education D i s t . , Wis. •Los Angeles Dept. Water & Power, Calif. P h i l a d e l p h i a H o s p i t a l A u t h . , Pa. S t . Charles P a r i s h , La. Postponed J e r s e y C i t y , N.J. Chicago Public Building Comm., 111. G.O. Rev Rev 13.2 12.0 40.0 January January January 13 14 14 Rev Rev G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev 11.5 10.0 26.0 35.0 70.0 15.0 January January January January January January 14 14 14 15 16 21 G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 61.1 20.0 23.7 15.8 January January January January 21 21 21 22 Rev Rev G.O. G.O. 11.2 25.0 11.5 16.5 January January February February 28 29 4 5 G.O. 10.0 February 5 Rev Rev Rev p o l l cont 20.0 50.0 60.0 February 5 Indefinite Indefinite G.O. Rev 12.7 38.0 January January 7 9 NOTES: 1 Includes state and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2 Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and issues of FederaBy sponsored agencies. Table 7 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME TRADING VOLUME STOCK PRICES NASDAQ B J INDUSTRIALS 27.6 (12/29) 8 . 1 (7/3) 10.3 (12/29) 1 . 8 (9/8) 14.4 (12/29) 5 . J (10/9) 5.5 (1/12) 1.4 (8/20) 11.3 (1/11) 3 . 5 (8/27) 24.9 (1/3) 7.5 (7/5) . 4.4 (1/3) .9 (9/26) 7.5 (1/3) 2.8 (7/5) 58.21 59.22 58.67 58.74 13.1 15.1 16.4 13.1 1.9 2.2 2.4r 2.3 4.4 4.8 5.3 4.4 61.23 63.69 17.4 16.0 2.8 1.8 5.4 5.1 1972 - High Low 65. 14 (12/11) 56. 23 (1/3) 1036. 27 (12/11) 889. 15 (1/26) 138.35 (4/11) 117.09 (1/3) 135.15 (12/8) 113.65 (1/3) 1973 - High Low 65. 48 (1/11) 49.12 (12/13) 1051. 50 (1/11) 788. 31 (12/5) 130.47 (1/11) 85.26 (12/20) 136.84 (1/11) 26.0 (9/20) 89.12 (12/13) 9.0 (8/20) 1974 - High Low 53. 37 (3/13) 32,.89 (10/3) 891. 66 (3/13) 577.,60 (12/6) 102.01 (3/14) 59.13 (12/6) 96.53 (3/15) 54.87 (10/3) 6 13 20 27 34,.45 35 .39 35 .23 35 .36 577,.60 592,.77 598,.48 602 .16 59.13 60.11 59.73 59.35 3 10 37 .35 38 .57 634 .54 658 .79 62.86 67.32 1974 Dec. 1975 Jan. NOTES: 1 Figures other than highs and lows are Fridays only. Highs and lows are for the year and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2 Volume figures are weekly averages of daily figures (millions of shares). 3 4 12/31/66 - 50 Based on average price change until September 4 , 1 9 7 9 thereafter, based on market value of shares listed. Table 8 13 SECURITY CREDIT REGULATED MARGIN CREDIT EXTENDED BY END OF PERIOD BROKERS ON 1 MARGIN STOCK BROKERS ON 2 CONVERTIBLE BONDS 3 BANKS UNREGULATED NONMARGIN STOCK CREDIT AT BANKS OUTSTANDING 5,730 5,690 5,460 5,050 204 203 197 189 1,005 1,181 1,103 1,131 1,909 1,878 1,917 1,866 5,130 5,230 5,330 5,370 5,180 5,080 4,760 4,510 4,020 3,930 3,960 182 183 180 179 172 172 158 156 148 145 n.a. 1,020 1,039 1,008 1,009 1,020 1,085 1,071 977 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,845 1,843 1,869 1,868 1,858 1,721 1,739 1,759 n.a. a.a. . n.a. 1973 - Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -100 -40 -230 -410 -6 -1 —6 -8 -31 176 -78 28 -43 -31 39 -51 1974 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 80 100 100 40 -190 -100 -320 -250 -490 -90 -30 -7 1 -3 -1 -7 -111 19 -31 1 11 65 -14 -94 n.a. -21 -2 26 -1 -10 -137 18 20 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1973 - Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 197.4 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. ^ CHANGE IN OUTSTANDING —— -14 -3 -7 -3 NOTES: 1 Margin account debt as reported by the New York Stock Exchange, excluding credit for subscription issues and convertiMebond*. 2 New York Stock Exchange data. 3 June data for banks are universe totals; all other data for banks represent estimates for ah commercial banks based on reports fay a reporting sample, which accounted for 60 per cent of security credit outstanding at banks on June 30. 4 Non margin stocks are those not listed on a national securities exchange and not included on the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System's list of OTC margin stocks. At banks, loans to purchase or carry non margin stocks are unregulated; at brokers, such stocks have no value. 4 Table 9 SAVINGS FLOWS AT NONBANK THRIFT INSTITUTIONS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS NET FLOW 4,517 9,621 10,067 4,842 1970 1971 1972 1973 1973 - J u l y August September -385 -502 280 1974 - J u l y August September -521 -646 300 1974 - Apr. May June July Aug. -9 -2 473 -123 29 172 1 NET NEW MONEY ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 6.8 13.5 12.4 5.3 — — — — i 2 SHARE CAPITAL NET FLOW ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE NET NEW MONEY TOTAL 2 DEPOSITS NET FLOW ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 936 5,678 5,451 -456 10,965 27,793 32,567 20,490 8.1 19.0 18.7 9.9 5,285 20,653 23,884 10,504 15,482 37,414 42,634 25,332 -602 -651 -613 -225 -1,156 1,843 —— -291 -1,186 -340 -610 -1,658 2,123 — -733 -837 -675 -483 -1,151 1,405 -581 -1,218 -1,100 -1,004 -1,797 1,705 —— — — 7.7 17.2 16.7 8.5 — — — NET NEW MONEY 6,221 26,331 29,335 10,048 -893 -1,837 -953 -1,314 -2,055 -1,775 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED Sept. £ / -0.1 0.0 5.9 -1.5 0.4 2.1 — —— 925 566 1,604 591 340 1,202 4.8 2.9 8.2 3.0 1.7 6.1 — —— —— —— 916 . 564 2,077 468 369 1,374 NOTES: 1 Regular deposits i t mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. 2 3 New deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&L's are for insured associations only, which represent 96 per cent of industry total resources. Annual growth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Source: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. 3.3 2.0 7.5 1.7 1.3 4.9 — —— 2 T a b l e 10 MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS AT SELECTED THRIFT INSTITUTIONS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS PERIOD TOTAL 1971 - Dec. 17.5 ALL SAVINGS MUTUAL & LOAN SAVINGS BK£$ ASSOCIATIONS (N.Y. STATE]1 13.8 NET CHANGE TOTAL ALL SAVINGS MUTUAL & LOAN SAVINGS BKS ASSOCIATIONS (N.Y. STATE) 3.7 .41 .20 .21 1972 - Dec. 24.7 19.8 4.9 .36 .34 .02 1973 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May 25.7 26.2 25.7 25.1 24.2 23.9 23.0 22.1 20.8 19.9 19.4 19.5 20.6 21.3 20.9 20.5 19.7 19.5 18.7 17.9 16.8 16.0 15.7 15.9 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.6 .94 .49 - .54 - .57 - .88 - .31 - .85 -1.01 -1.16 -1.04 - .37 - .02 .81 .63 - .37 - .38 - .76 - .25 - .76 - .87 -1.03 - .87 - .21 .15 .13 -.14 -.17 -.19 -.12 -.06 -.09 -.14 -.13 -.17 -.16 -.17 19.3 19.6 19.8 20.0 18.8 18.1 17.2 16.6 16.1 14.7 14.3 15.9 16.4 16.7 16.9 15.9 15.3 14.4 13.8 - 13.4 12.3 12.0 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.3 - .08 • 21 .19 .10 - .99 - .78 - .89 - .66 - .52 -1.36 - .42 .03 .43 .33 .22 - .95 - .69 - .83 - .67 - .40 -1.06 - .32 -.11 -.22 -.14 -.12 -.04 -.09 -.06 .01 -.12 -.30 -.10 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1974 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. NOTES: Based on data from Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Association of New York State. Both series include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments; S&L commitments also include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded end-of-period outstanding levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. T a b l e 11 NET NEW MONEY BORROWINGS BY MAJOR HOUSING AGENCIES IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERIOD 1973 - J u l y Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1974 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. ^ Oct. Nov. p Dec. p TOTAL INCLUDING SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM ISSUES TOTAL FHLB +1,475 +1,693 +1,910 +1,946 +11 +598 +1,528 +1,349 +1,850 +1,950 -150 +256 -671 -695 +424 +508 +1,442 +2,699 +1,804 +878 +2,768 -756 -657 +450 -4 +992 +2,250 +1,499 +200 +2,750 -4 +992 +1,500 +1,000 +400 +1,700 +1,665 -431 +545 +1,599 -250 -1,000 +1,499 -250 +500 FNMA & FHLB FNMA +998 +1,349 +1,500 +1,300 — -150 - - — — +256 +530 — —— —— -800 -657 -- —— —— Notes: Based on d a t a from the Treasury Survey of Ownership. 1/ Sales of FHLB discount notes began i n May 1974. £./ P r e l i m i n a r y . FHLMC —— +350 +650 444 —— 4450 -- — —1 —— —— —— +750 +499 —— -200 —— —— —— —— - +1,050 +100 - - +500 SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES]./ -53 +344 +60 -4 +161 +342 +85 -38 -26 +512 +450 +449 +305 +678 +18 +66 -181 -455 17 T a b l e 12 NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS 1 IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERIOD TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNM/ FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS TOTAL COMMERCIAL BANKS MSB's S & L's INSURANCE FNMA-GNMA' COMPANIES Not Seasonally Adlusted 1970 1971 1972 1973 21,736 41,647 57,637 59,732 16,827 39,259 55,611 56,432 2,462 9,940 16,800 19,600 1974 - Apr May June July Aug Sept. Oct. Nov. 5,396 5,502 4,955 4,231 4,869 2,874 2,419 4,992 4,802 4,363 3,364 4,026 2,066 1,655 1,700 1,600 1,500 900 1,000 700 500 285 303 248 260 183 65 45 1974 - Apr May June July Aug Sept. Oct. Nov. 5,537 5,317 4,095 3,679 3,130 2,580 2,955 4,977 4,489 3.431 2,889 2,543 1,928 1,945 1,667 1,412 1,281 796 741 458 488 328 289 131 217 135 114 96 1,845 3,938 5,377 5,642 10,254 23,919 31,982 26,912 2,348 1,221 1,452 4,278 4,909 2,388 2,026 3,300 2,509 2,618 2,137 1,735 1,578 911 565 507 Seasonally Adlusted 498 281 478 469 422 390 545 404 700 592 867 843 808 764 516 593 359 520 494 407 412 533 560 828 664 790 587 652 654 449 2,389 2,429 1,499 1,382 1,260 944 828 793 - NOTES: 1 Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates bench marked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these g-oups accounted for«&per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1 9 7 3 . 2 Beginning January 1972 dataref led activity in limited amount of conventional mortgages. NET INCREASE IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING' IN BILLIONS O F D O L L A R S , S E A S O N A L L Y A D J U S T E D ANNUAL R A T E S 2 3t RESIDENTIAL 1- t o 4 FAMILY MULTIFAMILY COMMERCIAL MULTIFAMILY & COMMERCIAL FARM TOTAL TOTAL 1968 - I II III IV 28.1 26.4 25.5 29.6 19.4 18,2 17.2 20.4 16.3 15.0 13.6 16.5 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.9 6.4 6.0 6.5 7.4 9.5 9.2 10.1 11.3 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.9 1969 - I . II III IV 32.0 29.1 25.8 25.2 23.8 21.5 18.7 18.5 19.4 16.8 14.0 13.1 4.4 4.6 4.7 5.4 6.0 5.4 5.3 5.3 10.4 10.1 10.0 10.7 2.2 2.2 1.7 1.4 1970 I II III IV 20.7 22.9 28.5 31.8 14.4 16.8 21.3 22.8 9.4 11.6 15.0 16.2 5.0 5.2 6.3 6.6 4.8 4.6 5.1 6.8 9.8 9.8 11.5 13.4 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.2 1971 - I II III IV 37.3 47.7 52.3 54.2 27.4 35.5 38.5 41.2 19.4 26.2 28.6 31.3 8.0 9.4 9.9 9.9 7.7 9.8 11.5 10.5 15.7 19.2 21.4 20.4 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.5 1972 - I II III IV 62.8 64.9 65.1 68.3 46.1 47.0 47.1 .49.5 37.7 37.4 38.0 40.0 8.4 9.6 9.1 9.5 14.1 15.3 15.3 16.3 22.5 24.9 24.4 25.8 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 1973 - I II III IV 83.4 75.6 71,3 57.9 63.1 53.9 51.4 38.3 53.1 44.0 41.8 31.7 10.0 9.9 9.6 6.5 16.3 17.8 16.3 15.0 26.3 27.8 25.9 21.5 4.1 3.8 3.6 4.6 1974 - I II III 58.5 65.3 49.8 39.5 44.0 33.7 32.1 37.1 27.7 7.4 6.8 6.6 15.4 17.3 10.4 22.7 24.1 17.0 3.6 4.0 5.1 QUARTER NOTES: 1 2 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. May differ somewhat from related flow of funds series mainly because of more aggregative type of seasonal adjustment. Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1-to 4- family and multifamily mortgage debt,combined. Table 14 PRIVATE HOUSING PERMITS, S T ARTS, COMPLETIONS, AND MOBILE HOME SHIPMENTS IN THOUSANDS OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES PERMITS 1/ TOTAL 1—FAMILY 2 - O R MORE FAMILY TOTAL 1—FAMILY 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1,324 1,352 1,952 2,219 1,820 626 647 928 1,033 882 698 705 1,025 1,186 937 1,467 1,434 2,052 2,357 2,045 1973 - J u l y August September October November December 1,814 1,777 1,656 1,379 1,361 1,285 902 828 807 676 674 641 912 949 849 702 687 645 1974 - January February March April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. NOV; 1,282 1,325 1,410 1,296 1,120 1,106 1,017 ' 900 823 782 720 637 716 761 727 671 674 632 618 577 533 503 645 609 649 569 449 432 385 282 246 249 217 PERIOD STARTS COMPLETIONS MOBILE 1—FAMILY 2 - O R MORE HOME FAMILY SHIPMENTS 2 - O R MORE FAMILY TOTAL 811 813 1,151 1,309 1,132 656 621 901 1,048 914 1,399 1,418 1,706 1,972 2,005 808 802 1,014 1,143 1,166 592 617 692 828 838 413 401 497 576 580 2,152 2,030 1,844 1,674 1,675 1,403 1,232 1,108 990 957 938 767 920 921 854 718 737 636 1,965 1,836 1,900 1.971 1,949 1,873 1,038 1,084 1,152 1,125 1,128 1,050 926 752 748 846 821 823 564 543 479 458 490 456 1,464 1,922 1,499 1,630 1,471 1,596 1,338 1,134 1,150 1,106 990 793 1,056 962 996 931 1,014 958 812 844 779 784 671 866 537 634 540 582 380 322 306 327 206 1,916 1,891 1,885 1,695 1,677 1,851 1,674 1,505 1,507 1,613 1,026 1,018 973 883 882 1,092 935 899 871 904 890 873 912 812 795 759 739 607 636 709 469 449 475 435 451 441 380 370 316 248 NOTES: H P r i v a t e b u i l d i n g permits ( f o r 14,000 a r e a s with permit systems, excluding f a r m ) . s t a r t s and completions are Census Bureau d a t a . A d w e l l i n g u n i t i s s t a r t e d when e x c a v a t i o n b e g i n s . . In t h e case of apartment b u i l d i n g s , a l l u n i t s a r e considered s t a r t e d a t t h a t time; however, a l l such u n i t s a r e considered completed when morel than h a l f of the u n i t s in „the s t r u c t u r e a r e ready f o r u s e . P r i v a t e mobile home shipments a r e Mobile Home Manufactures Assoc. d a t a converted t o s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d annual r a t e by Census Bureau. Digitized for _1/Permit FRASER d a t a f o r 1969 and 1970 based on 13,000 a r e a s w i t h permit s y s t e m s . fO o T a b l e 15 AVERAGE RATES AND YIELDS ON HOME MORTGAGES CONVENTIONAL LOANS PRIMARY MARKET NEW HOMES PERIOD HUD(FHA) INSURED LOANS SECONDARY MARKET EXISTING HOMES 1 NEW HOMES 1 1 SPREAD BETWEEN RETURNS ON CONVENTIONAL AND HUD(FHA) NEW HOME MORTGAGES (BASIS POINTS) NEW Aaa UTILITY BOND YIELD (IN PER CENT) RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) 1972 - High Low 7.70 7.55 61 15 7.75 7.60 66 20 7.57 7.45 48 05 4.7 3.7 14 06 7 .45 7 .09 1973 - High Low 8.95 7.70 107 31 8.95 7.75 107 37 9.18 7.55 130 14 9.4 2.2 21 -23 8.36 7.38 1974 - Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov 8.65 8.55 8.60 8.90 9.15 9.25 9.40 9.60 9.80 9.70 9.55 40 45 - 4 - 8 6 -25 -70 -39 -66 -33 -13 8.65 8.60 8.60 8.90 9.15 9.25 9.40 9.60 9.80 9.70 9.60 40 50 - 4 - 8 6 -25 -70 -39 -66 -33 - 8 8.54 8.66 9.17 9.46 9.46 9.85 10.30 10.38 10.13 N/A 44 2 19 37 - 4 -25 31 - 8 10 N/A 2.3 3.2 5.1 5.3 5.3 6.3 5.8 6.3 4.6 N/A 1 - 6 -27 -31 -21 -45 -70 -58 -43 8.25 8.10 8.64 8.98 9.09 9.50 10.10 9.99 10.46 10.03 9.68 YIELD (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) DISCOUNT (PERCENTAGE POINTS) NOTES: 1 Gross yield spread is average mortgage return before deducting servicing costs, minus average yield on new issues of high-grade utility bonds with 5-year call protection. Rates on conventional first mortgages (excluding additional fees and charges) are based on unweighted HUD (FHA) field office opinions on prevailing contract interest rates in the market areas of the insuring offices, rounded to the nearest 5 basis points. For secondary market data, weighted HUD office opinions on the average bid price for HUD (FHA) loans with minimum downpayment. prepaid in 15 years, for immediate delivery, are used. ^ Table 16 21 FNMA AUCTION RESULTS HOME MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS CONVENTIONAL GOVERNMENT-UNDERWRITTEN AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) DATE OF AUCTION OFFERED 551 ( 9 / 3 ) 1973 - High | AVERAGE YIELD OFFERED ACCEPTED 289 (9/3) | AVERAGE YIELD ACCEPTED 9.37 (9/17) 171 (8/20) 88 (4/16) 9 (10/1) 7 (10/1) 25 (10/15, 17 (10/15)7.69 (1/8) 11/26) Low AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 9.68 (9/17) 7.84 ( 1 / 2 ) 12 26 207.9 309.6 97.7 93.0 10.12 10.38 45.8 59.0 19.4 24.9 10.16 10.42 Sept. 9 23 176.1 57.2 98.6 38.2 10.59 10.56 46.5 22.1 30.9 19.0 10.71 10.66 Oct. 7 21 46.6 34.5 29.7 26.0 10.32 10.11 26.1 14.1 23.3 12.2 10.46 10.27 Nov. 4 18 47.8 25.7 24.7 17.6 9.93 9.81 20.4 20.6 12.1 6.8 10.11 9.92 52.5 49.6 35.7 23.3 43.3 31.8 9.61 9.52 9.47 24.0 20.1 17.2 12.0 18.5 10.1 9.80 9.72 9.59 1974 - Aug. Dec. 2 16 30 j NOTES: Average secondary market yields are gross before deduction of the fee of 38 basis points paid for mortgage servicing. They reflect the average accepted bid yield for home mortgages assuming a prepayment period of 12 years for 30-year loans, without special adjustment for Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) commitment fees and FNMA stock purchase and holding requirements on 4-month commitments. Mortgage amounts offered by bidders relate to total bids received.