Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : February 9, 1956
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Mot for Publication m u n m n . u r ^ SIX M o m g s H.lU February 9, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of large public security issues for new capi t a l for the week ending February 3 totaled $6$ million for corporations and Sh5 million for State and local governments. The t o t a l of large issues publicly sold this year through February 3 i s about 30 per cent less than in the corresponding weeks of 1955* Large issues expected this week are three State and local government issues with t o t a l proceeds of $132 million—including the &106.8 million Public Housing Authorities financing—and a bank common • stock offering for $26 million. Bond yields - Yields on corporate, long-term U. S. Government and State and local government bonds decreased further during the week ending February 3, in continuation of the general trend since the f i r s t of the year. The greatest drop in yields has occurred in the State and local revenue bonds which are presently 2,89 per cent in contrast to 2.99 per cent for the week ending December 30. U. S. Governmoit long-term bond yields (old series) have fallen eight basis points to 2,61 per cent since the f i r s t of January. A decline of seven basis points in the same period for corporate Aaa bonds has brought current corporate yields to 3*09 per cent. Yields for State and local Aaa bonds are 2,2k per cent, six basis points below the level of the beginning of the year. Yields for corporate and State and local government Baa bonds and for Treasury bonds (new series) have a l l decreased four basis points to 3.63, 3.26 and 2.96 per cent respectively. One factor contributing to this decline in yields has been the relatively small volume of new corporate and State and local securi t i e s offered f o r public sale in recent weeks, as noted above. A markedly larger volume of such issues is expected l a t e r this month. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 265 common stocks, rose sharply during the week ending February 3 to 266.7 in moderate trading volume. Daily prices rose slightly on Monday but decreased somewhat more on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments i s presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS We»<ly CORPORATE A a a , \ \ : U. S. GOVERNMENT: A ^ ^ r | long.l.rm' \/' j y % n 1 0 j STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a a long-term i j Corporate nlH oq i New series Spread between State and l o c a l govt. (old s e r i e s ) and Corporate(State and Aaa 3 / [local Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High 1954 - High Low 1955 - High 1956 - High Low January 6 January 13 January 20 January 27 February 3 y 3.U2 2.99 3-09 2.85 3-17 2.91 3-1U 3.09 (6/19) (V9) (1/8) (V23) (12/23) (V7) (V6) (2/3) 3-1U 3-13 3-11 3*09 3.09 3-15 2.78 2.7U 2.Ut 2.9k 2.62 2.90 2.81 (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) (V7) (1/6) (2/3) 2.90 2.88 2.83 2.83 2.81 Weekl y average of daily f i g u r e s . n.a. 3-03 2.89 2.96 2.92 2.96 2.95 2.93 2.91 2.92 ffi/5) (6/10) (1/6) (2/3) 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3k 2.05 2.29 2.2U (6/25) .38 (1/8) .19 (6/10) .U3 (9/2) . 32 (9/8) • 3li (5/26) .13 .28 (1/5) (2/2) • 2li .8U • 30 .61 .29 .70 •5U .61 •56 2.29 2.27 2.27 2.27 2.21* • 2U •25 .28 .26 .28 .61 .61 .56 • 56 •57 Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 2 / Weekly averages of daily f i g u r e s . The old s e r i e s includes f u l l y taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or f i r s t callable a f t e r 12 years through September 1955* and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to f i r s t c a l l of the bonds included declined from lit years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years i n early 1955- The new series i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/ii per cent bond of 1978-833/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . L O W E R - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS 1 ' I /l' ! . • I I Moody'. | '1 ' JJ STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. Boo j ^/Vi r-.X. STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE 1953 ,954 ' Date Corporate Baa y State and local govt. Baa 2 / State and local govt, rev. i / (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.89 3-50 3.71* 3. a 3.63 3.1*5 3.62 3-59 J anuary 6 Januaiy 13 J anuaiy 20 Januaiy 27 February 3 3.62 3.61 3.60 3-59 3-59 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (lM) (1/6) (2/3) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96(1/8) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93 (8/5) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) 3.26 (1/5) 3.22 (2/2) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 2.91* 2.89 3.26 3-25 3.22 3.22 .3.22 2.91* 2.91 2.90 2.90 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (1/6) (2/3) Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Date Stock p r i c e Common Trading volume 2 / (millions y i e l d s 3/ of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers' Bank Total d e b i t b a l - loans t o ances u / "others" 5 / ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1953 - High Low 195U - High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High . Low December January January 20 January 27 February 3 167.1 | 1UU.0 221.U 156.5 270.7 217.U 268.8 257-U (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/lii) (1/6) (1/20) 269-2 262.8 257-U 259.0 266.7 lie a*"NOV dVcLLXa-UXt* 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.U U.6 1.5 2.U 2.0 2.h 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.0 2,UU5 2,055 3,136 2,U05 U,025 3,537 1,665 1,31k 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 780 66U 1,0U8 7U6 1,214 1,018 1,25k 1,2U1 U.06 U.08 U,025 2,786 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,239 1,25U l,2hl 1,25k n.a. 5-75 5-15 5-33 k'ZO li.22 3-78 n.a. ' 1 / SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939-100; converted to 19H7-b9-100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91* 2 / Averages of d a i l y trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common s t o c k s ; end of month f i g u r e s . 5 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry"margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5/ Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans f o r ' purchasing or carrying U. S . Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks i n New York and Chicago. Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks account f o r about 72 per cent of loans to o t h e r s . . Note.—Highs and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dated for different series. H.lU Exhibit D Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government Security Offerings arid Placements (In millions of d o l l a r s ) 1956 January February March e/700 J/600 April May June July August September 1 Corporate 1955 I U36 1,261 ••ftt U26 632 1i9U 903 #7 U97 656 8i|2 # 3 909 335 7U7 •6$h MO October November „ December 1,138 1 / 601 e/8^0 1 s t quarter . 2nd quarter 3rd quarter Uth quarter Year New c a p i t a l 19 5U 2,2k3 2,09k 1,917 e/2,590 1/8.,8^5 1 1956 eA00 1/575 1,003 290 60J4 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7A90 State and l o c a l ^ i ^ r 1 195U 535 312 5 # s 396 Ull # 5 6I4I 73U 7k8 853 U70 219 U06 2?9 261 6 # 919 . 658 e/UOO 1,385 1,1*18 1,121 e/l,977 e/5,90U ; 591 L23 877 1,372 2,33k 1,188 1,89k 6,789 Excluding finance companies 2 / 1 s t quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter Uth quarter Year 1,791 1,912 • l,khl e/2,390 %/7,535 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 1 / Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 2/ Total new c a p i t a l issues excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and personal finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s due to rounding. H.lli Exhibit E L Large Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) l / Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) • Month Corporate 1955 - January February March April May June July August September October . November December 1956 - January S t a t e and l o c a l government . 1U1 63 750 173 #3 175 101 Uo5 328 805 269 215 95 : Other 2j 3U1 107 337 238 152 h03 278 65 23k 716 396 205 192 35 15 .25 50 — 1 Large Individual Issues Offered January 2 through February 3 Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon (millions Maturity r a t e or Offering Rating of net i n t e r yield dollars) e s t cost CORPORATE Commercial Credit Co. Text-r on-Amer i can Northwestern Bell Telephone Reynolds Metals | S r . notes Conv. deb. 75.0 20.0 1976 1971 3 5/8 5.oo 3.63 5-oo Ba Deb. Pfd. s t k . 25,0 UOcO 1996 3 1/h 3.15 Aaa G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. L.L. Rev. 6.7 5.U 6.0 kO.O 8.0 8.0 1956-93 . 1986 1957-86 1957-76 1957-71 1961-76 //STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Wayne County Sewer System, Michigan P l a t t e County, Missouri Allegheny Co., Pa. Los Angeles, C a l i f . S t a t e of Colorado . D e t r o i t , Michigan 3.21 2.53 2.58 2.29 2.LI 1.90-3.20 3.75 1.75-2.60 1.80-2.65 1.70-2.25 2.10-2.1*5 A A Aa Aa Aa # H.lh E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered January 2 through February 3 (Cont'd) Issuer Type _3/ Amount Coupon (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating net i n t e r - y i e l d of dollars) est cost STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Gwinnett County, Ga. Sail Diego, Calif. Springfield, Ohio State of Michigan State of Michigan Detroit, Michigan Caddo Parish, La. La. State Building Auth. Milwaukee Co., Wis. Philadelphia, Pa. State of Maryland Tacoma, Washington' Chelan Co., Wash. Public f U t i l i t y Dist. Ho. 1. IieL* G. 0. G.O. L.Lo L.L. G. 0» G. 0. L«L. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. 5-9 1959-8U 1957-81 9.5 1957-80 5.2 10.0 1957-78 10 wO 1957-72 1957-81 5.2 5.0 1957-76 7.6 1961-85 8.9 1957-6U 6.0 1957r20C6 7.8 1959-71 5.0 1959-79 n.a. 2.56 2.L8 2.37 2.30 Var. 2.57 3.06 1.96 2.75 1.99 2.91 Rev. 31-8 n.a. 1959-2003 — 3.00-3.50 1.75-2.60 A 1.75-2,55 A 1.70-2.10 4a 1.70-2.30 Aa 1.80-2.60 A 1.80-2.60 A , 2.50-3.05 Baa Aaa 1.55-1.90 I.75-3.OO A 1.70-2 ,.00 Aaa 2.20-2.90 • Baa . — OTHER None Var.—Various. n.a.—Not available. 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State"~and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. . 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev,, revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L.L., limited l i a b i l i t y obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. Exhibit ! •H-1U " Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent t o During month following date shown date shown S t a t e and Corporate j S t a t e and other 2/ jCorporate l o c a l govt Ilocal govt. I Date of comoutation 16 710 211 U25 160 67 U07 222 805 202 215 70 176 1 9 # - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr, 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 . Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - J a n . 31 #2 52U 208 116 3# 3UU 100 18U 8U3 330 205 ' 121 ' 327 __ — ' •' 50 — • U22 1,395 .922 i,iui 850 830 1,135 920 9# U12 230 85 376 other 2/ — 1,961 1,978 2,009 1,917 1,861 1,815 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 618 917 —— 50 — Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of February 3 Issuer • Type j Amount Approximate date | (millions of o f f e r i n g (of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Chemical Com Exchange Bank Southern C a l i f o r n i a Edison M. Lowenstein and Sons Koppers Co., Inc. Xvestcoast Transmission, Ltd. Tennessee Gas-Transmission Bell Telephone of Pennsylvania New York Telephone - Southern C a l i f o r n i a Gas Sheraton Corporation of America Com. stock Pfd. stock Cohv. sub. deb. Com. stock Sub. deb. P f d . stock Deb. Ref. mtg. bds. Mtg. bds. Deb. 26.0 30.0 3k. 3 15.6 20.5 Uo.o 35-0 55.0 •Uo.o 15.0 February February February February February February March 6 ' March 27 May 1956 8 1U 15 20 21 G.O. 13.2 106.8 11.5 5-5 7-3 February February February February February 7 7 8 1U 1U STATE AMD LOCAL GOVERNMENT Oklahoma C i t y / Oklahoma Public Housing Authorities New Orleans, Louisiana Harris County, Texas Metropolitan Water D i s t . of So. Cal.. G.O. G.O. Rev. F-2 H.lU Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of February 3 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount date (millions Approximate of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Lubbock, Texas New York State Thruway ^Chicago, I l l i n o i s ^Indianapolisj Indiana Rochester, New York Weber Basin Water Conservancy D i s t r i c t , Utah Fort Worth, Texas Connecticut Expressway *Los Angeles Co., Calif. •K-State of California Georgia Rural Roads Authority Florida State Turnpike Authority Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. Oklahoma Turnpike Authority — Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission * WasMngton State Toll Bridge Auth. Salt River Project, Arizona Q.O.-Rev. G.R. Rev. n.a. 9.8 50.0 15 o0 18.0 7.U n. a. G.O.-Rev. Rev. 5.U 10.0 100,0 7.9 30.0 15-5 185.0 25.0 65.0 62.0 227.0 11.0 n.a. Rev. n.a. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. February February February February February Ik 15 15 21 21 February 23 February 27 February 28 February 28 February 29 ' May Late spring 1956 1956 1956 1956 1956 OTHER None *—Included in table f o r f i r s t time. 3/ Includes corporate and other issues of $>15 million and over; State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development issues. n.a.—Not available. §