Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : February 5, 1962
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n ttrlir DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS February 5, 1962. I pA-pTT^j, ^RKF.T DEVELOPMENTS ' IN THEUNITED STATES ; .ond l c l u d i n g Monthly Review of C a p i t a l Market Developments ar d New S e a s o n a l l y A d j u s t e d Data on Deposits and Withdrawals a t Mutual Savings Banks) The volume of p u b l i c s e c u r i t y f i n a n c i n g t o o b t a i n new c a p i t a l was l i g h t l a s t week b u t i s expected t o be s u b s t a n t i a l t h i s week. During t h e week ending February 2, no l a r g e c o r p o r a t e s e c u r i t y i s s u e s were o f f e r e d and two S t a t e and l o c a l government bond i s s u e s a g g r e g a t i n g $32 m i l l i o n were s o l d . This week, ending February 9> one c o r p o r a t e s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g f o r $50 m i l l i o n i s scheduled and f o u r S t a t e and l o c a l bond i s s u e s with p a r v a l u e of $159 m i l l i o n a r e on t h e c a l e n d a r . The F e d e r a l Land Banks a r e a l s o p l a n n i n g t o s e l l &L55 m i l l i o n of l o n g - t e r m bonds of which $61; m i l l i o n i s f o r new c a p i t a l . Bond y i e l d s . Bond y i e l d changes were mixed l a s t week. Yields on A a a - r a t e d S t a t e and l o c a l bonds d e c l i n e d f o r t h e s i x t h week i n a row, d e c r e a s i n g 5 more b a s i s p o i n t s t o 3.12 p e r c e n t ; t h i s matched t h e i r 1961 low and was 19 b a s i s p o i n t s below t h e end of 1961 l e v e l . B a a - r a t e d S t a t e and l o c a l y i e l d s d e c l i n e d 8 more b a s i s p o i n t s to 3 . 8 8 p e r c e n t , t h e lowest l e v e l s i n c e J u l y 1959 and 16 b a s i s p o i n t s below t h e i r - end of 1961 l e v e l . Y i e l d s on l o n g - t e r m U. S. Government bonds i n c r e a s e d 2 b a s i s p o i n t s and y i e l d s on A a a - r a t e d c o r p o r a t e bonds i n c r e a s e d a s i n g l e b a s i s p o i n t . Y i e l d s . on B a a - r a t e d c o r p o r a t e bonds d e c l i n e d a s i n g l e b a s i s p o i n t . S h o r t - and i n t e r m e d i a t e - t e r m i n t e r e s t rates., Y i e l d s on 3-month and 6-month Treasury b i l l s i n c r e a s e d 2 and 3 b a s i s p o i n t s , r e s p e c t i v e l y , l a s t week while y i e l d s on 3 - 5 y e a r U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s i n c r e a s e d 3 b a s i s p o i n t s t o t h e i r h i g h e s t l e v e l s i n c e J u l y i 9 6 0 . The average r a t e of i n t e r e s t on d i r e c t l y p l a c e d f i n a n c e company p a p e r with 90-179 day m a t u r i t y d e c l i n e d 3 b a s i s p o i n t s t o 3.00 p e r c e n t , r e f l e c t i n g t h e f u l l . e f f e c t of t h e change i n t h e a d v e r t i s e d r a t e begun J a n u a r y 26. The F e d e r a l f u n d s r a t e i n c r e a s e d 65 b a s i s p o i n t s from t h e r e v i s e d l e v e l of t h e p r e v i o u s week t o 1 . 9 5 p e r c e n t . Other s h o r t - and i n t e r m e d i a t e - t e r m i n t e r e s t r a t e s were unchanged. Mortgage r e c o r d i n g s . Mortgage r e c o r d i n g s - - s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d on a three-month moving average b a s i s — r o s e f u r t h e r i n October, t o a r a t e of $2,775 m i l l i o n . This about matched t h e record high i n J u l y of 1959 and was a s i x t h above t h e low a t the s t a r t of 1 9 6 l . I n November, c o n v e n t i o n a l l o a n s d e c l i n e d about s e a s o n a l l y ; f r o m a very advanced October l e v e l , w h i l e Government-underwritten l o a n s i n c r e a s e d c o n t r a - s e a s o n a l l y f u r t h e r . Stock p r i c e s . Common stock p r i c e s , as measured by S t a n d a r d and P o o r ' s composite i n d e x of 500 s t o c k s , which had d e c l i n e d moderately o v e r t h e p a s t s e v e r a l weeks, i n c r e a s e d on b a l a n c e more t h a n 2 per cent l a s t week, c l o s i n g a t 6 9 . 8 1 on February 2. T r a d i n g volume was moderately heavy, -2- averaging 3.7 million shares a day, an i n c r e a s e of 0 . 1 m i l l i o n from the previous week. February s e c u r i t y volume. Security f i n a n c i n g t o obtain new c a p i t a l by both corporations and State and l o c a l governments i s expected t o be very l a r g e t h i s month. Corporate s e c u r i t y f i n a n c i n g i s expected t o t o t a l $950 m i l l i o n i n February, t h r e e - f i f t h s l a r g e r than i n January and about o n e - t h i r d more than in February of the two previous y e a r s . Highlighting t h i s month's financing w i l l be a $300 m i l l i o n AT&T debenture i s s u e which w i l l be the l a r g e s t s t r a i g h t bond i s s u e ever o f f e r e d through competitive bidding. State and l o c a l governments are expected t o o f f e r #900 million in bonds i n February, s l i g h t l y more than t h e revised t o t a l f o r January and about t w o - f i f t h s l a r g e r t h a n the average f o r February of t h e p a s t two y e a r s . Capital markets i n January. New s e c u r i t y financing by corporat i o n s was in moderate volume in January while the volume of f inancing by S t a t e and l o c a l governments was s u b s t a n t i a l . Corporate long-term f i n a n c i n g in January t o t a l e d $600 m i l l i o n , s l i g h t l y more than in January of the p a s t two y e a r s , but almost o n e - t h i r d l e s s than i n December when the bulk of the month's f i n a n c i n g was accounted f o r by l a r g e takedowns of p r i v a t e placements which u s u a l l y occur a t y e a r end. Public o f f e r i n g s i n January were i n the smallest volume since l a s t September and had r e l a t i v e l y l i t t l e impaction market y i e l d s . Large public o f f e r i n g s l a s t month c o n s i s t e d primarily of nonc o n v e r t i b l e bonds which t o t a l e d $170 m i l l i o n , l e s s than i n any month s i n c e September; common stock o f f e r i n g s were a l s o small, amounting to $25 m i l l i o n . Underwriters experienced some d i f f i c u l t y i n d i s t r i b u t i n g one l a r g e i s s u e . e a r l y i n the month a t the o r i g i n a l o f f e r i n g y i e l d and over one-half of t h e i s s u e was not sold u n t i l mid-month when t h e syndicate p r i c e agreement was terminated and the bonds d i s t r i b u t e d a t y i e l d s s l i g h t l y higher than t h a t o r i g i n a l l y o f f e r e d . Most other i s s u e s sold during t h e month were well received. The volume of s e c u r i t i e s s t i l l i n syndicate t h e r e f o r e declined to a nominal amount a f t e r the above mentioned syndicate was terminated. Average y i e l d s on new o f f e r i n g s , a d j u s t e d t o a Aaa-basis, increased another 6 b a s i s p o i n t s during the month t o U.U5 per cent as underw r i t e r s continued t o a d j u s t t h e i r bids i n order to d i s t r i b u t e new o f f e r i n g s . Yields on seasoned i s s u e s , on t h e other hand, declined s l i g h t l y with y i e l d s on Aaa-rated bonds declining 2 b a s i s p o i n t s to luli2 p e r cent. New bond issues of State and l o c a l governments t o t a l e d $850 million in January, b e t t e r than one-half l a r g e r than in December and onef i f t h more than i n January of the p a s t two y e a r s . Included in t h i s subs t a n t i a l volume of new f i n a n c i n g was $180 million in bonds of the Massachusetts Turnpike Authority sold by n e g o t i a t i o n ; the Authority had u n s u c c e s s f u l l y t r i e d to s e l l t h e s e bonds on several occasions during the f i r s t half of 196l. Underwriters of municipal s e c u r i t i e s generally encountered very f a v o r a b l e buyer response t o c u r r e n t y i e l d s on new i s s u e s as w e l l as on s e c u r i t i e s in i n v e n t o r i e s ; as a r e s u l t a d v e r t i s e d i n v e n t o r i e s of unsold s e c u r i t i e s declined by almost $100 m i l l i o n f u r t h e r t o around #270 m i l l i o n . Although the volume of new municipal s e c u r i t i e s coming i n t o the market i n January was s u b s t a n t i a l , the heavy demand f o r t h e s e s e c u r i t i e s brought about a s u b s t a n t i a l d e c l i n e i n y i e l d s j y i e l d s on Aaa-rated i s s u e s declined 19 basis p o i n t s during t h e month to 3.12 p e r c e n t , equal to the low f o r 1561. Common stock p r i c e s declined moderately during January. P r i c e s , as measured by Standard and P o o r ' s composite index of 500 stocks, closed the month a t 68.81*, f o u r p e r cent below the end of December l e v e l and f i v e p e r cent under the record higfc of December 12, Trading was moderately a c t i v e throughout the month, averaging 3.6 m i l l i o n shares a day, somewhat l e s s than the s u b s t a n t i a l December average but l a r g e r than i n most other recent months. Seasonally a d j u s t e d d e p o s i t flows through mutual savings banks. . The c h a r t on the next page, and t h e t a b l e s shown i n the appendix, p r e s e n t seasonally a d j u s t e d monthly data on gross new d e p o s i t s t o and withdrawals from r e g u l a r accounts a t mutual savings banks. The c h a r t w i l l be included in t h i s r e p o r t re g u la r l y in the f u t u r e as hew data become a v a i l a b l e . These seasonally a d j u s t e d data i n d i c a t e t h a t both new deposits and withdrawals were r e l a t i v e l y s t a b l e i n the l a t e r p a r t of 1961 a f t e r i n c r e a s i n g s u b s t a n t i a l l y e a r l i e r in t h e y e a r . They a l s o i n d i c a t e t h a t r e c e n t c y c l i c a l movements in the n e t inflow of d e p o s i t s a t mutual savings banks have r e s u l t e d p r i m a r i l y from changes i n the l e v e l of withdrawals, r a t h e r than in new d e p o s i t s . Thus the d e c l i n e in t h e net inflow of funds in l a t e 1958 and in 1959 r e f l e c t e d an i n c r e a s e in withdrawals, and the subsequent i n c r e a s e i n the n e t flow in i960, a d e c l i n e in withdrawals. The following paragraphs d i s c u s s b r i e f l y the nature and r e l i a b i l i t y of t h e s e new s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d s e r i e s . Regular accounts comprise the bulk of d e p o s i t s a t mutual savings banks (about 99 pel c e n t ) . The p r i n c i p a l types of d e p o s i t s excluded are Christmas and other club accounts, i n d u s t r i a l ( p a y r o l l ) and school savings accounts. Deposit and withdrawal data f o r t h e s e s p e c i a l i z e d types of accounts a r e not a v a i l a b l e , but t h e i r exclusion does not m a t e r i a l l y a f f e c t the seasonally a d j u s t e d deposit d a t a . Although the unadjusted n e t change in such d e p o s i t s can be s u b s t a n t i a l ( p a r t i c u l a r l y in November when Christmas club deposits a r e withdrawn), the major v a r i a t i o n s a r e almost e n t i r e l y of a seasonal n a t u r e . Gross new d e p o s i t s , as shown on the c h a r t , include i n t e r e s t c r e d i t e d (data on new d e p o s i t s excluding i n t e r e s t c r e d i t e d , however, i s shown i n the Appendix). i n t e r e s t c r e d i t e d has represented about 10 p e r cent of gross deposits (including i n t e r e s t ) in recent years and has accounted f o r the bulk of the net increase i n r e g u l a r accounts a t sayings banks. DEPOSITS AND WITHDRAWALS Monthly, odjuilt j (o i — MUTUAL S A V I N G S BANKS -5The deposit and withdrawal data have been s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d by the standard machine method which computes moving- seasonal f a c t o r s ; the n e t change in d e p o s i t s has n o t been a d j u s t e d independently, but r e p r e s e n t s the d i f f e r e n c e between t h e seasonally a d j u s t e d new deposit and withdrawal s e r i e s . Direct seasonal adjustment of t h e n e t deposit data presented c e r t a i n t e c h n i c a l problems and-also r e s u l t e d in a somewhat more e r r a t i c s e r i e s than the one derived from t h e seasonally a d j u s t e d new deposit and withdrawal d a t a . Moreover, use of the derived s e r i e s r e s u l t s i n cons i s t e n t new d e p o s i t , withdrawal and n e t change s e r i e s which otherwise would not have been the c a s e . I t should be noted t h a t the t o t a l of t h e s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d s e r i e s f o r any p a r t i c u l a r 12-month period w i l l not n e c e s s a r i l y equal the t o t a l of the unadjusted data f o r t h e same period because of t h e n a t u r e of the adjustment technique u t i l i z e d . Both the deposit and withdrawal data before seasonal adjustment have wide month-to-month f l u c t u a t i o n s ; the average monthly percentage change ( d i s r e g a r d i n g signs) of t h e new deposit s e r i e s during the postwar period was 18 per cent while t h a t of t h e withdrawal s e r i e s was 26 p e r cent. A f t e r seasonal adjustment the amplitude of f l u c t u a t i o n s i s reduced t o about it per c e n t ; most of t h e s e remaining month-to-month changes r e p r e s e n t e r r a t i c movement i n t h e s e r i e s . A f u r t h e r smoothing of the curves through use of a six-month moving average i s shown on the c h a r t , and serves t o bring out t h e r a t h e r small c y c l i c a l movements c h a r a c t e r i s t i c of the data in recent years. Much of seasonal movement of new deposits and withdrawals r e s u l t s from the timing of i n t e r e s t c r e d i t e d to savings accounts. I n t e r e s t accrues on d e p o s i t s each month but i s c r e d i t e d to such accounts l e s s f r e q u e n t l y . Currently, i n t e r e s t i s c r e d i t e d most commonly a t t h e end of t h e l a s t month of each calendar q u a r t e r , but the t o t a l amount of i n t e r e s t c r e d i t e d i n June and December i s l a r g e r than i n the other q u a r t e r s since some banks are s t i l l - on a soni-annual b a s i s . One of t h e reasons f o r t h e change in t h e seasonal p a t t e r n of d ep o s i t s i n t h e postwar period has been the i n c r e a s i n g proportion of banks c r e d i t i n g i n t e r e s t q u a r t e r l y , ( i t should be noted, however, t h a t a l l i n t e r e s t i s not c r e d i t e d in the months a t end of calendar q u a r t e r s , f o r some banks have o t h e r than calendar y e a r f i s c a l p e r i o d s . ) The months following the end of the calendar q u a r t e r a l s o tend t o be periods of seasonally l a r g e new d e p o s i t s , probably because d e p o s i t o r s a t o t h e r savings i n s t i t u t i o n s wait to t r a n s f e r balances u n t i l a f t e r they have received i n t e r e s t a t other i n s t i t u t i o n s . February, May, August and November a r e the s e a s o n a l l y low months f o r new d e p o s i t s . The seasonal p a t t e r n of withdrawals a l s o r e f l e c t s the timing of i n t e r e s t payments, f o r d e p o s i t o r s tend—to wait u n t i l they r e c e i v e i n t e r e s t b e f o r e withdrawal of funds; f o r t h i s reason withdrawals a r e l a r g e s t i n the f i r s t month of each calendar q u a r t e r . During t h e postwar p e r i o d t h i s seasonal p a t t e r n has become more pronounced^ probably r e f l e c t i n g the i n c r e a s e in i n t e r e s t r a t e s paid on d e p o s i t s — i . e . , d e p o sitor s have more to gain by waiting u n t i l i n t e r e s t has been c r e d i t e d than they had when i n t e r e s t r a t e s were lower. More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent c a p i t a l market developments i s presented i n t h e a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s „ C a p i t a l Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A LONG-TERM B O N D YIELDS HIGH-GRADE LOWER-GRADE Exhibit B - Tables f o r Exhibit A Long-term Bond Yields High-grade Date Corporate Aaa 1 / State and local government Aaa 3/ U. S. Govt. long-term 2 / (per cent) Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate• State and Aaa l o c a l Aaa 1951* - Low 1957 - High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High I960 - Low 1961 - High Low U.23 ( 9 / 9 ) 1*.1*6 (9/15) It. 21 (3/17) 3,75 ( 8 / 5 ) 1*.07 (12/29) 3.70 (5/12) 2.99 ( 9 / 1 ) 3.37 17/6) 3.12 (2/23) Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Feb. U. U3 h.h2 k.hr i*.a k.bZ / U.06 ii.06 1*.08 1*.08 L10 3.26 3.22 3.19 3.17 3.12 5 12 19 26 2 2/ 2 . 8 5 (4/23) h . l h (9/27) 3.55 (5/2) I4.6I (1/29/60) 2.1*5 ( 8 / 6 ) 3 . 7 6 (10/18) 3 . 0 7 (4/25) 1.90 3.1*5 (9/2) (8/29) 1*. 1*2 (l/a/60) 3.65 (9/24/£9) .30 ,60 .22 .59 .19 .57 .31* 2.6I4 (5/1) .30 .50 .3U .92 .53 .76 .1*6 • - .80 .86 .89 .91 .98 .37 .34 .33 .32 Lower-grade Date Corporate Baa 1 / State and l o c a l govt. Baa y Spread between Aaa and Baa S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l govt. (per cent) 1951* - Low 1957"- High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High i960 - Low 1961 - High Low Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Feb. 5 12 19 26 2 g/ 3.1*1* (12/31) 5 . 1 0 (11/29) 1*.51 (7/11) 5 . 3 6 (2/12/60) 1*.98 ( 9 / 9 ) 2.93 (8/5) l * . 5 l (6/29) 3.6I4 (5/1) 1*.1*6 (1/7/60) 3.98 (12/29) 5.13 (10/27) 5.00 (ii/21) 1*.16 (3/23) 3.93 (11/9) 5.11 5.09 5.08 5.085.07/ h.OU u.ou LOO 3.96 3.88 .52 1.27 .77 .81* .71 .81 .66 .68 .67 .66 .67 • .65 E/ Preliminary. 1 / Weekly a v e r a g e of d a l l y f i g u r e s . Average t e r m of beads i n c l u d e d i s 23 - 2 6 y e a r s . 2 / Meekly a v e r a g e of d a l l y f i g u r e s . The s e r i e s I n c l u d e s bonds due or c a l l a b l e i n 10 y e a r s o r mors. 3 / Thursday f i g u h e s . Only g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n bonds a r e included* average term i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Higha and lows a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s # tor s p r e a d s , h i g h r e f e r s t o w i d e s t , and low t o n a r r o w e s t . .96 1.21 .93 1.08 . .93 .57 .78 .82 .81 .79 .76 SHORT- AND INTERMEDIATE- TERM INTEREST GOVERNMENT M- BANKS AND OTHER PRIVATE J IN A W ( E ( O M f A W V f A H I _ Directly flflnd 1159 BORROWERS RATES -11- E x h i b l t D - Tables f o r E x h i b i t C £ h o r t - and I n t e r m e d i a t e - t e r n I n t e r e s t hates Government Date Discount rate 19514 - Low 1957 - High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High I960 - Low 1961 - High Low Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. /Feb. 5 12 19 26 2 2/ 1.50 3.50 1.75 Loo 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 -3.00 Yields 6-month b i l l s 2/ ( p e r cent) 3-month b i l l s 2/ V . 6 1 (6/11) 3.61* ( l o / i a ) .58 ( 5/29) 4.59 (1/8/60) 2.11 (10/28) 3-5 year issues 2/ Spread between y i e l d s on 3-month b i l l s and y i e l d s 01 6-mo. b i l l s | 3 - 5 y r . issues 3.86 (8/11) 3.15 (5/12) .26 .79 .16 .44 .12 .66 .86 .04 1.81 .38 1.51 .92 3.79 3.83 3.87 3.85 3.88 .24 .24 .17 .22 .23 1.07 1.05 1.14 1.18 .1.19 1 . 6 6 (4/30) 4 . 0 4 (10/ia) 3 . 02 (12/26) 2.14 (6/6) 5.07 2.38 5 . 0 0 (12/24/68) 3 . 4 0 (12/30) (1/8/60) (12/30) 2.66 (12/29) 2.17 (1/27) 2.90 (12/29) 2.35 (4/28) 2.72 2.78 2.73 . 2.67 : 2.69/ 2.96 3.02 2.90 2.89 2.92 Banks an#. Other, P r i v a t e Borrowers Date Prime rate 1 ] Stock Exchange c a l l loan 1/ Finance company paper 3 / Spread between Federal 3-roo. b i l l s and funds 4 / • f i n a n c e co. paper (per cent) 1954 - Low 1957 - High 1958 - Low -4.959-60 - High, I960 - Low 1961 - High Low Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Feb. 5 12 19 26 2 2/ 3.00 4,50 3.50 5.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 3.00 4.50 3.50 5.00 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.5o 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 ' 4.5o 4.50 4.50 4.50 1.25 (12/31) 3.88 (li/is) 1-.13 (a/a) n.a. 3.50 (ii/e) .13 ( V 2 8 ) 5'. 1 3 (1/22/60) 2 . 8 8 (12/30) 4 . 0 0 (5/13/60) . 9 5 (12/2) 3.00 (12/29) 2.50 (7/28) 2.88 112/29) .43 U / 2 7 ) 3.00 3.09 3.11 3.03 3.00 2.63 1.85 2.55 1.30 1.95 r/ 0 .63 -.35 1.02 .22 .56 .11 .28 .31 .38 .36 .31 1/ Weekly r a t e show* t S i t t t o V l n e f f e o t a t end of p e r i o d . Discount r a t e l a f o r f e d e r a l Reserve Bark of New York. Stuck Exohange c a l l lcaft r a t e l a going r a t e on o a l l loans secured by customers' stook exchange c o l l a t e r a l a t Nan York City banks, Prime r a t e i s t h a t charged by l a r g e banks on a h n r t - t e r * loans t o business borrowers of the highest credit standing. 2 / Market y i e l d ; weekly averages computed from d a l l y c l o s i n g bid p r i c e s . S e r i e s of 3-5 year l s s u s a c o n s i s t s of eeluoted notes and bonds. « 3 / Average of d o l l y r a t e s published by finance companies f o r d i r e c t l y p i t i e d paper f o r varying m a t u r i t i e s I n the 90-179 day r e p y e . 4 / Weekly average of d u l l y e f f e c t i v e , r a t e , whloh I s t h e r a t e f o r the h e a v i e s t voluae of purohose and eale t r a n s i t i o n s B» r e p o r t e d t o t h e Federal Reserve Bank of Now York. ' Mot*.—Highs and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l e e r i e • and may be on d i f f e r e n t date# f o r d i f f e r e n t d a t e * for d i f f e r e n t a e r i e s . For s p r e a d s , high r e f e r a t o w i d e s t , and low t o narrowest. jf^ $ l-l STOCK MARKET 1941-43 *vim» = lfl Millions of Dollars CI * All IT CIE D 75" CHANGE IN SEIIES I ' —^X-T Millions of Snores ,,,,,||,|,| 1 1 l II 1 1 1 1 1 1 AJ-i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1-1 i-LUJ-U^ MORTGAGE RECORDINGS AND LOANS Monthly a 1954 Billions of dollars 1*5%. 1956 1957 1951 1959 19*0 19*1 -13- E x h i b i t F - Tabl->3 l o r kixhiLit Stock Market Stock p r i c e index 1 / Date 1960-61 - High Low 1962 - high Low December January J a n . 19 J a n . 26 Feb. 2 D / 72. OU (12/8/61) 53.32 (10/21/60) Common Trading stock volume 3 / yields 2/ (millions ( p e r c e n t ) bf shares) 69.81 (2/2/62) 68.13 ( 1 A 6 / 6 2 ) 2.82 3.62 2.94 2.9k 5.8 2.2 3.9 3.6 71.7 4 69.07 68.75 68.13 #.81 2.85 2.97 2.98 3.01 2.9k 4.1 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.7 Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers 1 Bank d e b i t b a l - loans t o ances 4/ "others" $/ ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Total 5,602 dV6i)U,259 (12/6I) 4 , 1 4 2 ( 5 / 6 0 ) 3 , 0 0 U (7/60) 1 , 3 7 7 ( 8/30/61) 1 , 1 2 1 (5/25/60) n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. . 2,602 4,259 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,343 n.a. n.a. n.a. W48 1,348 n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . g/ P r e l i m i n a r y . ~~ 1 / Standard and Poor 1 a composite Index of 500 common s t o c k s , weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1941-43-10, Monthly d a t a a r e a v e r a g e s of d a i l y f i g u r e s r a t h e r than of F r i d a y ' s o n l y . Highs and lows are for F r i d a y s ' data only, 2 / Standard and P o o r ' s composite stock y i e l d based on Wednesday data converted t o weekly c l o s i n g p r i c e s by Federal Reserve. Yields shown a r e f o r d a t e s on which p r i c e index reached i t s h i g h or low. 3 / Averages of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on t h e New York Stock Exchange. 4 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member f i r m s of t h e New York Stock Exchange which c a r r y margin accounts; excludes balance s secured by U. S . Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly r e p o r t i n g member banks. Excludes loans f o r purchasing or c a r r y i n g U. S . Government s e c u r i t i e s . P r i o r t o J u l y 1 , 1959, such loans are excluded only a t banks i n New York and Chicago. Weekly r e p o r t i n g banks account f o r about 70 per cent of l o a n s t o o t h e r s . For f u r t h e r d e t a i l see B u l l e t i n . Nonfarm Mortgage Recordings and Loans 1 / Date I960 - Nov. Dec. 1961 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Aor. May July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Total Unadjusted Seasonally Unadjusted FHA VA adjusted 2/ ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Conv. 150 142 132 108 125 109 123 137 144 182 168 201 206 1,824 1,806 1,533 1,548 . 1,972 1,931 2,228 2,333 2,122 2,359 2,186 2,328 2,064 2,426 2,407 2,373 2,307 2,398 2,476 2,561 2,581 2,652 2,652 2,723 2,775 n.a. 2,378 2,338 2,075 • 1,997 2,444 2,358 2,700 2,85f 2,653' 3,004 2,777 2,961 2,754 404 390 410 341 348 318 349 386 386 463 422 432 484 n.a.—Not available. 1 / Total recordings data are e s t i m a t e s based on r e p o r t s from about 450 a r e a s and Include mortgages of $20*000 or l e s s secured by nonfarm r e a l e s t a t e , p r i m a r i l y r e s i d e n t i a l p r o p e r t i e s . FHA-insured loans r e p r e s e n t g r o s s amount of insurance w r i t t e n , and VA-guaranteed loans t h e gross amount of loans c l o s e d , on 1 - 4 family h o u s e s . Conventional d a t a are d e r i v e d a s a r e s i d u a l , a l t h o u t f i t o t a l recordings and VA and FHA l o a n s a r e not s t r i c t l y comparable i n concept or t i m i n g . 2 / Three-month moving a v e r a g e , s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d by Federal Reserve. Source, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Federal Housing Administration and Veterans A d m i n i s t r a t i o n . Exhibit G —il— Yields on New Corporate Bond Issues Adjusted t o an Aaa Basis Number of issues included Monthly averages; 1961 - J u l y August September p October \ November December * 1962 - January February March April May June Weekly averages; ; 1961 - July 7 lit 21 28 . August it 11 18 2$ September 1, 8 15 22 29 October 6 13 20 27 November 3 10 11 December 1 Amount Average of issues y i e l d included (per (millions cent) of dollars) Number of issues included Amount Average of issues yield included (per (millions cent) of dollars) iib.o 273.0 lt.55* 115.0 78.8 200.0 229.0 it.68 (6/16) it. 21 (11/3) 115.0 130.0 60.0 It. 50 70.0 i.ltO 8.0 200.0 65.0 55.0 20.0 i|0,0 1 18.0 lt.ij6 1 2 60.8 45.0 it. 36 it. 25 2 3 3 60.0 95.0 it5.o £.21 it. 28 it. 21 'k 1 1 2 9lt.O 60.0 30.0 75.0 it. 29 it. 35 ii.itO it. 29 Note: Averages of offering yields on a l l new issues, of publicly sold bonds rated Aaa, Aa and A by Moody's Investors Service (except s e r i a l , equipment t r u s t and convertible issues, o f f e r i n g s of n a t u r a l gas pipeline and fbreign companies, and issues guaranteed by the Federal Government) weighted by size of issues. Yields on Aa- ana A-rated bonds are f i r s t adjusted to an Aaa b a s i s , using the comparable spreads i n y i e l d s on seasoned bonds (Moody's averages). Averages r e f l e c t changes in i n d u s t r i a l composition, type, maturity, and c a l l provisions of new o f f e r i n g s . Weekly averages considered unusually unreliable as indicators of i n t e r e s t r a t e s on new issues because of the small number or special c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of offerings included e t c . are marked with an a s t e r i s k . -15Exhibit H Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) New c a p i t a l Corporate 1/ State and local 2/ 1962 1 1961 1 I960 1 1961 | I960 1962 January February March <5/600 e/950 580 667 562 ; 570 715 860 e/5* e/900 715 6# 763 700 611 . 568 April May June 2,118 1,259 1,318 761 577 1,01*1* 720 61*1 1,085 719 51*5 991 July August September 1,028 762 61*7 736 967 726 2/1*76 2/601 fi/701 1*92 606 683 October November December 2/1,033 e/800 e/875 890 956 852 e/600 e/800 e/550 31*8 501 1*91 1st 2nd 3rd l*th 1,809 b,695 2,1*37 e/2,708 2,11*5 2,382 2,1*28 2,698 2,168 2,1*1*6 E/1,777 e/1,950 1,880 2,256 1,780 1,3W 6,50k 8,91*1 e/H,6ii9 1,527 6,955 9,653 1*,613 2/6,391 e/8,3Ul U, 136 5,916 7,257 quarter quarter quarter quarter 1 s t half Three quarters Year Excluding finance companies 3 / 1st 2nd 3rd iith Year quarter quarter quarter quarter 1,55k 552 2,337 e/2;6o8 6/11,01*6 • 1,716 2,165 2,018 2,3^7 8,2# Preliminary. Estimated. 1 / S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2 j Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. 2 / Total new c a p i t a l issues excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer finance companies. Exhibit I -16- New Corporate Security I s s u e s , Type of Issue and I s s u e r (In millions of dollars) Quarter or month Net proceeds f o r Gross proceeds f o r new c a p i t a l and refunding 1 / new c a p i t a l 1 / 2/ Bonds Common Total Publicly Privately and Mfg. Publ i c . Communi- Other pfd. u t i l i t y cations issuers offered offered stk. I960 - I II III IV 2,265 2,537 2,520 2,832 931 1,07 k 1,336 1,162 795 770 75k 955 1961 - I II III IV 2 / 1,992 5,352 2,566 2,98k 662 2,303 772 939 880 1,275 1,139 1,191 298 511 562 625 598 808 652 696 189 lk9 317 381 1,059 913 896 997 515 kk9 1,77k l,k66 65k 935 851 807 381 1,081 595 78k 81 1,095 10k 121 832 1,052 803 1,083 169 99 2k8 57k kk7 kk6 k28 255 252 293 202 312 137 160 8k 25k k39 389 369 215 111 282 352 150 21 kl 19 99k 85 16 16 13 75 25 71 25 536 692 k29 kl6 1962 - I II III IV 1961 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. 2 / Nov. 2 / Dec. 2 / 601 695 696 2,231 1,31*2 1,779 1,075 813 678 1,101 925 958 178 273 211 • 713 666 92 k h2h 225 123 336 hl3 190 29k 255 331 348 355 572 392 kil 336 1*58 28k k52 129 167 15k 1,170 320 283 259 177 218 308 228 315 253 368 211 297 289 k67 ' 315 279 209 k3k. 259 390 1962 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec,. Estimated. __ £/ Preliminary. _ 2/ For t o t a l see Exhibit h j other i s s u e r s are by the cost of f l o t a t i o n . extractive, railroad and other t r a n s p o r t a t i o n , r e a l e s t a t e and finance and commercial and other. Source.—Securities and Exchange Commission. -17- Exhibit J Other Security Offerings ( I n millions of d o l l a r s ) Gross long-term l"7~ Foreign government 2/ Federal agency 3/ 1961 I960 1961 '| I960 I 1959 19^9" January February March 6 29 20 2 175 70 81 60 2 252 April May June 2 66 29 31* 72 1*0 58 50 1*2 100 ll*9 278 11*8 351 — — 5 2 25 1 36 85 1 35 250 193 199 98 150 3k 2 ill 33 30 70 225 160 11*9 181 86 533 517 1,672 707 July August September October . November December — 39 28 Year 182 150 150 199 175 — Net short-term 1*/ Federal agency 3/ State and l o c a l government 5/ 1| /January February March 160 195 -8 • 58 11*0 -80 -h 181 1* -ia -162 -174 -196 -202 -59 -82 176 33 -103 -1x2 - l 55 70 -11*6 -157 197 -25 -197 -79 -87 207 -277 170 ' 320 . 50 368 286 109 518 -86 48 a5 -175 57 392 131 22 193 108 95 23 -201 • 362 133 79 October November December -6 51* E/-207 -16 50 -189 -81 -176 98 56 -ill -23 -33 -250 280 2li0 14* Year E/429 -76 -633 April May June July August September g/ 1/ 18 ~ - 1 1 7 362 1,969 Preliminary. These d a t a d i f f e r from t h o s e i n E x h i b i t 0 i n t h a t r e f u n d i n g i s s u e s , a s w e l l a s new c a p i t a l i s s u e s , a r e i n c l u d e d . Long-term s e o t r i t i e s a r e d e f i n e d a s t h o s e m a t u r i n g i n more t h a n one y e a r . 2 / I n c l u d e s s e c u r i t i e s o f f e r e d i n t h e United S t a t e s by f o r e i g n g o v c r i u a n t s and t h e i r s u b d i v i s i o n s and by i n t e r n a t i o n a l o r g a n i z a t i o n s . Sources S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission. 3 / I s s u e s not gujirantned by t h e U. S . Government. Sourcei l o n g - t e r m , S o o u r i t i e s and Exchange Commissi on; s h o r t term , T r e a s u r y Department and Federal R e s e r v e . 4 / These d a t a d i f f e r from t h o s e i n E x h i b i t Q and above i n t h a t t h e y r e p r e s e n t now o f f e r i n g s letia r e t i r e m e n t s , whether from t h e p r o c e e d s of r e f u n d i n g i s s u e s or from o t h e r f u n d s . Data i n c l u d e only i s s u e s w i t h o r i g i n a l m a t u r i t y of one year or l e s s . 5 / P r i n c i p a l l y t u t and bond a n t i c i p a t i o n n o t » s , w a r r a n t s or c e r t i f i c a t e s and P u b l i o Housing A u t h o r i t y n o t e s . I n flomb i n s t a n c e s PHA n o t e s i n c l u d e d may have a somewhat l o n g e r term t h a n one y e a r . Source! Bond Buyer and Federal Reserve, Exhibit K -18- Large Long-term Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S.. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (In millions of dollars) Month Total # p 6 l - January February March April May June July August 4 September; j• October i November : 'i December ,.v962 - Januaiy # % ^ ^ Corporate .Bonds Convertible (other than bonds convertibles) 106 230 25 560 480 435 285 165 78 205 320 125 170 lltf 26? 70 '•SI si185 168 354 # 195 State and local government s s ill • 37 5 1,010 62 97 115 20 58 81 45 130 25 4o 15 75 1I Other 2/ 391 616 179 281 435 326 480 307 561 67 25 151 100 73 40 250 145 Large Individual Issues Offered during January i|{ Issuer i>pe y Amount Coupon (millions Maturity r a t e or Offering Hating of net i n t e r - yield dollars) e s t cost CORPORATE >:New York Telephone Co. |Nat, Gas Pipeline Co. of 5% America # a r r e t t Corp. '^Southern Calif. Edison Co. i:Shamrock Oil & Gas Corp. ;W. T. Grant Co. Ref.mtg.bds. 1 s t mtg. p. 1. bds. Deb. Com. stk. S.F. deb. S.F. deb. 60.0 2002 4-5/8 4.50 30.0 1982 1982 4-5/8 5-1/4 4.63 5.25 25.0 35.0 1987 1987 4-5/8 4-3/4 4.69 4.75 STATE AND LOCAL GOVaRNMbMT •Commonwealth of Puerto Rico Port of N. Y. Auth., N. Y. Puerto Rico. Indus. Develop. East Bay hun. Util. D i s t . , California San Jose, C a l i f . ,State of New York ;State of Washington G.O. Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-S.T. 25.0 1963-84 ' 25.0 1992 15.0 1963-82 30.0 20.0 33.1 22.6 1963-97 1963-82 1963-2012 1962-81 n 3.45 3.62 va- 1.85-4.00 3.58 4.00-4.40! 3.31 3.08 3.39 3.18 1.70-3.90 1.70-3.30 1.65-3.48,/ 1.70-3.402/ Ae A Aaa A K-2 -19- Large Individual Issues Offered during January (Cont'd) Issuer Type 1/ Amount Coupon ( m i l l i o n s l . o t u r i t y r a t e or Offering of net i n t e r - y i e l d dollars) e s t cost Rating STATE AND LOCAL GOVKH^MIT (Cont 'o) Ascension-St. James Bridge and Ferry Auth. Montgomery Co., Maryland Mass. Turnpike Auth. Georgia Rural Roads Auth. State of C a l i f o r n i a Kansas City,. Mo. Los Angeles, C a l i f . S t a t e "of Delaware Rev. -Ut. G. 0. Rev. -Ut. Rev. —Ut. Rev. -S.'T. G. 0. Rev. -Ut. hev. —ut. G. 0. 2001 30.8 13.2 1963-87 100.0 2002 80.0 2002 15.6 1963-87 100.0 l96l;-88 18.5 1963-92 lli.O I96U-86 18.2 1963-82 U.52 3.25 n.a. n.a. 3.38 3.18 3.30 3.10 2.8U U.50 1.75-ii.50 A 1.75-3.^/ 1.90-3. k o u 1.75-3.50 2.10-3.50 1.50-3.00 A ha A A Aa Bonds Bonds 100.0 h-1/2 lt-1/2 L5o U.5'0 Aaa OTHER I n t ' l Bank f o r Reconstruct i o n and Development Term. Valley Authority 16.0 1982 1987 —Rights o f f e r i n g . 1 / Includes corporate and o t h e r s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of #15 m i l l i o n ana over; State and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $10 m i l l i o n and over. 2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s and non-guaranteed i s s u e s by Federal a g e n c i e s . 3 / In the case of State and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n s j Rev.-Ut., revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from public u t i l i t i e s j Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds-secured only by revenue from qua s i - u t i l i t i e s ; R t v . - S . T . , revenue bonds secured only by revenue from s p e c i f i c t a x e s j Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured s o l e l y by lease payments. k/ P r i v a t e l y placed with i n s t i t u t i o n s . 5 / v7.3 million of bonds maturing 19o7-8l not r e o f f e r e d . 6/ An a d d i t i o n a l §19 million was sold to refund p r e f e r r e d stock. 2J 0 . 1 per cent bonds maturing 1988 reoffered t o y i e l d h.SO per c e n t . Exhibit L -20- Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation During month following date shown State and Corporate local govt. Other 2 / 110 55 1,580 51* 1*87 521 170 175 358 31*6 356 161 1*80 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 28 May 31 June 30 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 29 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 29 1962 - Jan. 31 181 307 559 236 1*31 195 1*06 399 251 597 295 223 1*65 Subsequent to date shown State and Corporate local govt.' Other 2 / 1,01*6 1,125 1,700 687 611 666 255 21*0 501* 1*11 1*21 591 525 15 75 73 35 61* 360 638 806 579 771 291 537 530 151* 693 1*98 1*15 567 15 75 73 35 6U Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of February 2 Issuer Tjrpe Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Western Union Telegraph Co. Stokely-Van Canrp Inc. American Tel. & Tel. Co. Duke Power Co. Consolidated Natural Gas Co. *South European Pipeline Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. S.F. deb. Conv. sub.deb. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. S.F. deb. Deb., bds. & com. 5d.o 15.0 300.0 50.0 25.0 1*0.0 1*5.0 Feb. 7 Feb. 13 Feb. 15 Feb. 21 Feb. 28 Feb. 28 Indefinite STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT State of New Jersey State of Michigan St. Louis, Mo. Public Housing Authority Los Angeles School D i s t . , Calif. City and County of San Francisco, California Philadelphia School D i s t . , Pa. State of Oregon New York City, New York ^Chicago, I l l i n o i s Maiyland State Roads Commission State Highway Dept. DigitizedDelaware for FRASER G.O. Rev.-S.T. G.O. ' G.O. G.O. 1*2.0 25.0 12.7 79.6 30.0 Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. 6 6 7 7 13 G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. -Ut. Rev.-Ut. 27.3 12.0 28.9 89.1* 25.0 78.0 28.0 Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. 13 13 11* 15 19 20 20 vffcrinj- cis o.f J-'( bruti ry 2 ( C o n t ' d ) J.ype STATE AND LOCAL GOVLRKMEKT ( C o n t ' d ) S t a t e of Tennessee -::-i<evj York S t a t e Thruway Auth. -"-Columbus, Ohio Los Angeles Dept. of w t r . & Pwr., California -«-Penna. Gen. S t a t e ^ u t h . Orleans P a r i s h Sch. L i s t . , La. Dade County, F l o r i d a J a c k s o n v i l l e Expressway A u t h . , F l a . G.O. . Rev,-Ut. G.O. Rev.-Ut. Rev. -Rent G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. | Mtount Approximate date v m i l l i o n s ( 0jf> o f f e r i n g I of dollar::) j 10.9 Feb. 28 Feb. 27 Feb. 28 16.0 25.0 10.0 46.0 iiO.O i'iar . 7 Mar. 13 Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite 6^.0 Feb. 7 OTHER I n d e r a l Land tank "---Induced in t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. 1 / I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and o t h e r i s s u e s of *15 m i l l i o n and o v e r ; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of <?10 m i l l i o n and o v e r . 2/ I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s and n on-guaranteed i s s u e s by f e d e r a l a g e n c i e s . N o t e . — D e l e t i o n s f o r reasons o t h e r than s a l e of i s s u e : . None. MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS APPENDIX Table 1 AMOUNTS n E P n s i T E n in W-ULAR a c c o u n t s (INCLUDING INTEREST CREDITED) A. Unadjusted Data (In millions of d o l l a r s ) Year Jan. 191*7 191*8 191*9 19# 1951 19# 1953 1951* 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 581 561 599 61*7 653 705 781* 793 955 1,010 1,038 1,111 1,123 1,067 1,178 "FeET 379 383 382 1*11* 395 1*81 1*98 #2 636 625 616 670 688 719 M ar. | Apr. 1*27 1*1*6 1*50 510 1*66 51*9 628 710 763 709 723 833 917 911 1,057 1*1*5 1*59 1*38 1*71 501* 1 731* 787 775 902 981 921* 995 | May B. Year 191*7 191*8 191*9 1950 1951 1952 1953 Jan. 1*59 1*1*0 1*68 505 513 556 623 | Feb. 1*52 1*59 1*60 503 1*81* 597 623 | Har. | 1*38 1*58 1*62 525 g . 636 Apr.' 1*1*7 1*66 1*1*7 1*80 510 583 662 | June 388 395 1*19 1*72 1*80 525 51*1* 600 657 723 71*1 756 786 752 898 1*80 509 525 571 580 620 718 753 813 885 881 91*1* 987 981* 1,101 | July Aug. 396 1*03 1*15 1*28 1*80 1*91 518 593 651* 692 681 713 710 781* 818 523 517 517 538 619 701* 767 799 853 91*9 1,007 • 968 1,015 976 1,053 Sept. | Opt. 1*31 1*11* 1*20 1*31 1*53 591 591 652 732 650 759 860 875 906 950 Total Q li5 1*10 1*31* 503 530 592 618 678 775 803 839 91*9 91*6 91*2 1,021 386 1*25 1*30 1*68 1*85 509 565 651* 679 711* 699 728 71*3 771* 859 529 5,U21 5,1*78 555 568 5,595 581 6,033 613 6,255 800 7,11*6 778 7,673 869 8,311 9,01*0 851 921* 9,1*80 91*3 9,711 1,037 10,1*17 1,009 10,762 967 10,679 Seasonally Adjusted Data (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) May 1*1*0 1*1*2 1*61* 520 530 581* 611 June 1*31* 1*58 1*70 511 ss 650 | July 1*59 1*56 1*57 1*73 5U0 608 658 | Aug. | Sept. } Oct. 1*52 1*59 1*75 1*91* 561 578 613 1*72 1*58 1*69 1*33 501* 651 61*2 1*86 )*32 1*56 526 552 612 635 Nov. 1*35 1*76 1*79 523 51*3 573 638 Dec. 1*1*9 1*71* 1*88 500 526 688 669 |Total 5,1*23 5,1*78 5,595 6,01*3 6,259 7,11*6 7,660 . -2— Seasonally Adjusted Data (Cont'd) Feb, 6 l9 752 6 950 9U5 | :far. 8 f | Apr. 7 o2 730 ^q 723 663 E $ s 1 | June 676 731 739 959 1,023 991 S I C. Jan. | Feb. j Mar. | Apr. 1 i « I 1 1 1 I I 5 98.) I —Estimated. W °f^r*Det^1 _ oa unal u s t e d * ° t a 1 ' | July 68 5 7U0 8 1 1,009 | May 99.7 I | May 1 89.9 E 682 682 731 818 8?5 850 90U 882 962 | Aug. 703 703 775 822 811 85)4 8k9 936 966 | Sept. | Oct. 703 703 785 691: 801 89k 896 915 953 692 6Q2 780 792 8lU 909 899 892 965 | Nov. TTecl 7bl 7hl 1 ' 773 822 8lU 857 881 920 1,023 pTotal" 7h9 7U9 8,323 °,050 736 805 828 919 903 87)4 8. ™ m 5$ IS, S S Jjss i E it B g E E E Seasonal adjustment Factors ( i n per cent) j June ] J u l y ' | Aug. 7 ' S e ^ ^ ~ o T t r ~ T l f o V ' . 1 111.1 l 1 115.8 1 81,. 9 1 90.8 1 96.8 1 1 1 1 88.8 [ Dec. | 1 116.3 H i to t tals due to ° rounding and annual t o t a l on a s e a s o n a l l y adjusted b a s i s may d i f f e r Regular accounts exclude s p e c i a l accounts which are p r i m a r i l y Christmas and other club, http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ " * " * Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ^ * " * " • > . r- . i s MUTUAL SAVINGS RANKS Table 2 _3_ AT40UNTS DEPOSITED IN REGULAR ACCOUNTS (EXCLUDING INTEREST CREDITED) A. Unadjusted Data (in millions of d o l l a r s ) Year Jan. 568 51*2 #6 629 636 668 759 765 929 980 1,005 . 1,067 1,077 1,016 1,109 | Feb. | Mar. 368 382 382 1*13 395 ' 1*78 1*98 515 571 631 622 610 662 676 707 1*06 1*31 1*31* 1*87 1*39 501 57 2 638 662 627 61*6 687 761 721 81*0 f 4pr. | May 1*33 1*1*3 1*22 1*56 1*77 558 635 650 696 737 726 838 903 839 911* 388 3% 1*10 1*60 1*70 216 537 527 61*0 706 716 736 762 730 873 B. Year 191*7 191*8 1-91*9 1950 1951 1952 1953 1951* Jan. 1*31* 1*12 1*1*1* 1*77 1*85 511 582 582 j Feb. | Mar. 1*19 1*37 W7 U75 1*56 537 582 601* 1*11 1*37 1*1*1 1*98 1*52 520 598 675 | Apr. 1*26 1*1*0 1*22 1*56 1*73 51*7 617 630 | June 1*15 1*33 to 1*75 1*80 521 582 613 670 701* 671 71*9 780 IS 855 , July 513 501* 505 515 605 681* 71*7 776 831 922 977 961 989 936 1,010 | Aug. 371 1*02 1*15 1*28 1*80 1*91 518 593 650 685 675 705 700 771* 810 | SeptTTOct. 1*36 396 1*02 1*08 1*27 521 529 568 628 586 635 707 711 711 719 1*1*1* 395 1*16 1*85 510 586 596 61*7 731 752 777 881 861 852 91*0 | Nov. 370 1*15 1*18 1*59 1*78 502 550 637 657 685 683 703 717 751 833 | DecT—pPo£aT" 1*1*0 5,131 1*53 5,181* 1*50 5,272 1*62 5,679 1*95 5,892 691 6,716 612 7,133 692 . 7,61:9 671 8,333 679 8,693 711 8,8)42 786 9,130 71*5 9,667 705 9,1*70 Seasonally Adjusted Data (In" millions of "dollars) | May 1*21* 1*16 1*37 1*87 1*98 551 577 599 | June 1*19 1*37 t36 1*82 1*89 531* 599 633 | July 1*36 1*29 1*29 !*3l* 505 561* 610 629 | Aug. 1*10 1*1|0 1*52 1*66 525 51*0 5'70 650 | Sept. | W*8 U32 kh6 1*58 1*81* 591 600. 6U5 Oct. | Nov. J;60 h07 1*27 !*<?!* 515 585 592 639 h06 1*52 1*50 h93 512 539 590 681* | Dec. Ii32 150 1*50 > 1*63 U95 691 613 700 | Total" 5,125 5,189 5,271 5,683 5,889 6,730 7,130 7,670 B. Jan. | Feb. 698 725 740 673 7u9 7kl & gs ; Mar. 710 681 710 lit s | Apr. ] May 675 713 696 | Feb: jTfcr. 131.9 87.k 131.9 87.0 31, 1 130.8 85.8 130.5 85.6 131.4 8p.2 133.1 8L9 13-^1 ^-2 135.9 83.9 135.0 - 6 3 . 6 13^.5 83. k 133.1 83.a 132.0 83.9 131.5* 8%. 2* 98.k 97.7 97.1 96. k 95.6 9U.5 93.3 92.1 91.0 91.0 91.8 93.2 94.0 9U.li* For n o t e s see Table 1. T June ' 6Qh 7U9 7$k m ^ 798 ;s C. Jan. -2— S e a s o n a l l y Adjusted Data (Cont'd) ]~Juty~ | Aug. 69lt 731 699 6?2 7h$ 790 s s : 711 7k9 737 I Dec. | Total 7lU 12k 737 708 7k3 7k6 68? 707 752 s sr3 $ 770 9 wi 1% 6,32*3 8,687 8,829 Z ' S e a s o n a l Adjustment F a c t o r s f i n per~ce'nt7 " I ' | "WovT 717 671 727 $ | Tpr: 99.9 100.0 100.8 102.0 102.9 103.2 103.1 103.k . l C k .3 105.2 106.2 106.6 106.5 106.5* r'3entTl"0ct. ^'7 93.8 9U.il 9k. 3 93.7 93.1 93.0 93.5 9k. 3 9^.9 95.1 95.5 95.6 95.8 95.9* ^.1 99.1 98.9 98.$ 98.1 97.6 97.1 06.8 96.5 96.3 96.0 96.0 96.2 96.6 96.8 96.9* 117.7 117.5 117.7 113.7 119.9 121.3 122.h 123.3 123.7 123.8 123.6 122.9 121.5 119.9 118.5 117.8* 90.5 91.3 91.8 91.8 91. U 91.0 90.9 91.2 91. U 91.5 91.6 91.5 92.1 92.9 9k.2 914.9* 0ut - 92.9 96.$ 91.6 97.0 90.1 97.k 89.0 98.2 88.3 99.0 88.1 100.1 8 8 . 1 ' 100.7 88.0 101.3 87.6 102.1 87.3 103.9 87.% 105.I1 87.3 106;5 88. k 107.2 89.1 107.5 89.5* 107.7* I Nov. 91.1 91.9 92.8 93.1 93. k 93.2 93.2 93.1 92.8 92.2 91.5 91.0 90.9 91.2 91.k* I Dec. 101.8 100.7 lOO.O 99.7 100.0 100.0 09.9 98.9 97.7 96.1 9k.6 93.3 92.3 91.5 91.1* | MUTUAL 5AVINM? BANKS Table 3 -5- AMOUNTS "TW*A™N TlOTf REGULAR. ACCOUNTS A. Unadjusted Data (In millions of d o l l a r s ) Year _Jan. U6i m 506 1% £528 b 652 601 6lU S S 627 787 3 # w 870 M S 7 . . 975 W 898 1,025 1,156 1,029 i K | Feb. [ Mar. 301* 321* 333 338 1*13 391 103 to U2h i|87 Tip 519 531* 5S m 576 , 655 600 | Apr. 31*1* 385 361 381* m 1*29 389 1*53 U53 501 520 £3 1*93 508 5ol 517 #5 6ll* 729 381* 1*31* 1*01 ,:l8 hl8 1*66 1*81 536 595 708 '62 7762 ^ 737 827 992 1,033 1,083 I ' —.Li' iar> 370 386 391* 1*05 1*95 1*51* 1*62 1*68 580 " 370 391 398 1*00 1*«36 1*60 1*77 507 592 I 1*39 535 1*92 f591* i 576 612 ^ 668 720 771 E g 886 1,005 891 1,081 965 1,010 351* 1*00 $ I 1*11* s?2 1 . Year | July 1% 1*51* 1*30 1 139$ 11*37 1 & S 1*31* 506 1*5 1 51*1 i i$hSl 537 i 587 i 618 1 1 ! i i i 1 1 1 May T j m i e I Apr* I 2: 632 651* 783 772 822 I I fAu^. 31*6 395 390 1* 1*79 1*31 1*00 1S*1*7 1*97 560 2605 2 ^ 606 582 6h2 690 71*0 i i I j Oct. f f l T e c r 361 1*33 382 1*13 376 hl2 £506 2 1*19 381 1*83 1*21 520 I1*1S*9 £2 536 1*71* 590 561* 707 ** 12? 507 751* I* 815 567 607 , 866 689 1,11*7 61*1 888 661 1,029 338 370 3)48 380 359 355 ,32 1*21 167 S1*91 S 503 12 509 51*0 630 616 682 | Total' VS. fe'IS I I I W W H?. i i i a 507 i 7 > 5 I I 1 % 1 H?I 1 Seasonally Adjusted Data (In millions of d o l l a r s ) 1 May H | June | July H j Aug. I [ Pent. | Oct. i i j Nov. l | Dec. | TotaT" l B. Jan. | Feb; 630 697 6lo 736 839 753 1_ Mar. 612 668 616 733 8# 775 | Apr. 593 629 61*5 776 751 885 Seasonally Adjusted Data (Cont'd) [ May C. Jan. J ?eb. : liiR iiM | Mar. T ApK oo'O 9h 2 ' 1 0 M : |5 S I Rc'n flc'n H'l 1 136.1 11X1%:L 1 j July 633 61*9 669 795 778 825 | Aug, 669 676 655 723 77)4 823 652 7k2 665 821 7U7 797 | Sent. | Oct. 583 658 710 809 75U 779 6UU 681 712 938 72k 837 | Nov. | Dec. 6L0 655 698 811 789, 871x | TotiT" 61*5 663 7,619 8,015 765 8,09^ 825 9,505 731 9,312 Seasonal Adjustment Factors ( i n per cent) f May | June ~j~ J u l y T " A ^ 91.5 98.3 %Z 91.9 , 99.2 91-0 I S For notes see Table 1. j~June 639 619 6U3 65k 662 658 • 780 —--753803 , 776 835 870 -6- 1 1 TSept. j 0ct. ["Nov. | Dec. 130.9 95.8 9k 1 106.6 88.0 88.3 130.7 -8 97.1 %.9 91.5 90.5 107.6 108.1 & 81i.li 83.2 11:1 86.1 86.3 131 1 1 It 1 1 1 7R -3# 79 -9* f~ MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS Table k -7- NET INCREASE IN REGULAR DEPOSITS (Amount d e p o s i t e d , l e s s amount withdrawn i n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) A. Jan. I9k7 19k8 1949 1-950 1L951 ~L9$2 1553 195k -1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 1961 120 73 93 119 1 10k 170 166 168 IkO 63 213 98 -89 lk9 1 Feb. 75 § . 76 -18 90 9k 99 87 117 91 130 9k 33 119 | Mar, j Apr. 83 61 89 j 126 37 160 175 209 2k3 216 215 316 292 297 328 61 25 37 53 38 100 129 92 26 25 -12 75 -11 -109 -88 | May 52 29 52 60 66 130 110 Ik 9 120 • 156 169 177 117 55 105 2. Year 19k7 19k8 19k9 1950 1951 1952 1953 195k Jan. 89 5k 7k 100 13 102 161 J.61 |1 Feb. !| Mar. 82 68 62 103 -2 137 lk6 151 73 hi 7k 109 9 131 132 151 ! | Apr, 83 51 61 ' 78 67 13k 176 158 May 75 72 , 8 122 163 Including I n t e r e s t Credited 1. Unadjusted ~~ | June 126 109 130 117 150 183 212 212 226 26? 2k9 290 20k 213 279 | July | Auk. 3k -18 25 -56 k3 92 99 79 82 63 2 77 -66 12 k3 50 8 2k -53 k7 91 70 95 9k - 87 75 131 68 9k 78 I S e p t . | Oct. 70 32 kk 12 72 170 142 178 168 lk3 192 253 186 265 208 26 -3 22 -3 hi 72 82 88 68 k9 2k 83 -201 5k -9 | Nov. k8 55 82 88 126 15k lkk 187 188 211 190 188 113 157 177 | Dec. 178 191* 230 187 2k8 3k3 32k 376 3bh 380 390 k06 337 379 | Total 922 % II! 1,688 1,751 1,930 i'JM l,6k9 2,338 1,231 1,362 Seasonally Adjusted T~Ju5i 7k 53 71 53 87 119 lkl 137 | July 85 k5 79 19 103 lk7 160 lk9 | Aug. 91 52 75 1 112 153 131 161 | S e p t . 1 Oct. 88 k9 63 25 -17 183 139 169 80 k5 71 56 105 135 lk9 16k | Nov. 51 51 73 73 112 lk2 121 16k Dec. 51 60 S 103 158 lk2 17k Total 922 619 865 731 772 1,686 1,720 1,902 -2 — Year 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 Jan. 172 157 nh 227 i5o 13 197 | Feb. 136 17U lltl 187 lltl 62 170 | Mar. 170 136 116 205 139 131 12k Apr. 123 1)42 118 215 Jan. 107 54 80 101 -16 67 1U5 138 lh2 110 30 169 52 -IliO 80 | Feb. 6I4. 58 h9 75 -18 87 95 91 ' 8U 112 88 12 U 86 21 107 | lia r. 62 he 73 103 10 112 119 137 1U2 13U 138 170 136 107 111 . 166 85 121. | Apr. h9 9 21 38 11 77 99 55 -12 -25 -61 11 -39 -19U -169 Seasonally Adjusted (Cont'd) May | J u n e ' | July" | Aug. 126 162 178 192 136 79 153 B. 19U7 191:8 19h9 1950 1951 1952 1953 195U 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 A.2. 1U2 17U 155 191 100 111 166 163 166 133 185 83 i l 161 153 135 199 126 162 1U3 | Sept, 1 Oct. llf.3 111 lk3 13U 87 161 17U 160 148 133 197 -39 168 128 | Nov. 158 182 159 159 70 131 152 | Dec. l)4l 160 165 15U 78 11*3 | Totall"" 1,795 1,865 1,686 2,295 1,237 1,38b Excluding I n t e r e s t Credited Unadjusted | May 5U 20 U3 kQ 56 121 103 106 103 139 1UU 157 93 33 80 | June 61 33 36 21 50 8U 76 72 83 86 39 95 -3 -lU 33 | July 21* -31 13 -79 29 72 79 56 60 36 -28 70 -92 -28 | Aug. 25 7 25 -51 U9 91 71 96 90 80 69 123 2 70 fSept/TOcU 55 ih 26 -11 he 100 80 9h 6h s 100 22 70 58 11 -18 h -21 27 66 60 -2 -38 15 -286 -36 -90 TnovT"~T Dec. 32 U5 70 79 119 1U7 129 170 166 182 17ll. 163 87 13k 151 89 92 112 68 130 23U 158 199 ieh 135 158 155 73 117 632 329 552 372 U93 1,258 1,211 1,268 1,113 1,066 780 1,351" 137 153 B. 2. Jan. 6h 26 50 72 -10 57 120 lilt 118 95 1*3 1U7 65 -76 87 \ Feb. . h9 1*6 39 75 -30 97 105 97 81 107 73 11)4 56 -35 68 | Mar, U6 26 S3 82 -16 93 9ii 10U 100 88 81 110 53 23 9 I Apr. 62 "25 36 5U 30 98 131 105 67 7k 53 135 70 -16 23 | May 59 13 39 39 U3 112 88 86 71 100 100 113 U5 -12 kl | June 59 32 37 2li 57 95 90 85 96 98 50 111 16 6 58 —3— Seasonally Adjusted | July 62 18 5l -20 68 103 112 96 10U 93 U8 117 -7 3h 55 | Aug. )49 33 52 -27 76 115 88 108 97 . 80 61 115 37 59 37 -9- | Sept. | Oct. 61 23 UO — -37 123 97 111 75 88 69 95 -5 Wt 2h 5U 20 h2 2k 63 108 106 111 9k 80 56 115 -135 69 . 36 | Nov. 22 27 hU U3 81 108 73 107 93 103 91 75 -22 3k kO | Dec. | Total 3h 36 59 5 72 161 86 125 92 62 89 77 -18 39 62k 330 5U2 371 h02 1,270 1,190 1,21*9 1,088 1,068 8lU 1,32k 155 169