Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : February 27, 1961
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Not for I^blicationDEC01ITE0LLKn AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lii 1 1951 ^ A .: ! I ' February. 27, 1961. «—nAPTT^y. DEVELOPMENTS IN THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA Part I - United States (Including Review of Sources and Uses of.Funds of Financial Intermediaries in i960) The volume of new public security financing was very small last week, but is expected to be somewhat larger this week, particularly for State and local governments. During the week ending February 2k only one large local government issue for $19 million was sold. No large corporate issues were offered for sale last week and none are scheduled for this week. State and local government bond issues are expected to total <$182 million, including a $100 million New York State Power Authority issue which is expected to be sold at mid-week by negotiation. Long-term bond yields - Yields declined last week for all categories of outstanding bonds, except those for lower grade State and local government bonds. The decline for U. S. Government bonds was 5 basis points, while that for other high-grade bonds was 2 basis points. Only Baa-rated State and local government bond yields remain above the lows reached earlier this year. Short- and intermediate-term interest rates - Rates on Treasury bills—both 3-month and 6-month—continued to increase last week, reaching new highs for the year. Yields on intermediate-term Government issues declined. Several finance companies lowered their rates on directly placed finance company paper last week, but not enough to affect the yield series. Other short-term money rates were unchanged. Mortgage recordings - Nonfara mortgage recordings declined further in December, and for the month were 6 per cent lower than a year earlier. Conventional loans were about the same as in December 1959 while Federally underwritten loans were 23 per cent lower. In the year i960, mortgage recordings totaled $29.3 billion, or 9 per cent less than the $32.2 billion in 1959 j Federally underwritten loans amounted to $6.6 billion in 1960 compared with $8.9 billion the year before. Stock prices - Stock prices advanced to new highs last week in record trading activity. Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks closed at 62.8b on February 2kt one per cent higher than the peak reached earlier this month. Trading volume averaged 5.2 million shares a day. Institutional investors - In December, share capital at savings and loan associations and deposits at mutual savings banks continued to increase more rapidly than a year earlier, while the increase in assets at life insurance companies was mailer. The growth at savings and loan -2- Sources and Uses of Funds of Major Types of Savings Institutions 1/ 1953-1960 (in millions of dollars) U. S. Govt, securities Uses of funds State & Busilocal Mortness govt. secur gages ities Other Sources of funds' Total Net change Borrow- Other in deposits sources ing or savings or capital Life Insurance Companies -l*ol* 5 -331* -36 151* 69 -526 1I4 18 -1,026 -1*76 55 -7I46 5 -U28 80 1,919 2,365 2,1*79 2,1*95 1,972 2,126 2,280 2,792 2,199 2,207 1,821 2,2^ 3,#9 3,197 2,653 2,030 I4I45 I486 3114 12I4 236 165 555 152 1,627 1,358 1,1*31* 950 808 832 1,120 51*1 6,091 6,0146 6,271 5,#8 5,577 6,199 5,867 5,167 Savings and Loan Associations I46I4 -U02 U39 2.7 52 92 1*92 190 83 658 6I46 391 1*1*0 325 93 133 —— — — e,m 7,567 5,578 14,278 1*,268 5,300 l*,ll*6 3,566 1*76 568 n.a. n.a. n.a. 338 571 1*08 320 172 189 7,871 8,391 7,001 5,263 5,156 6,023 14,900 14,073 7,533 6,607 6,061* 1*,?61* k,956 14,890 14,1406 3,651 -228 9143 65 32 -211 71*5 -77 83 566 81*1 872 1*67 1*11 388 571 339 Mutual Savings Banks 1*3 -70 31 -30 -1*5 -61 1*3 65 -63I4 -3I4O -286 -1*19 -1*89 -288 -1*36 -238 225 -81 612 808 177 -178 230 388 1,945 1,868 2,088 1,1*22 2,28k 2,1*29 2,050 1,556 -1*6 -2 1*3 13 32 37 193 82 91 107 914 63 78 57 68 I4I4 r7 Revised. n.a.—Not available. , \J For description of data see exhibits J, K and L. 1,6214 1,1483 2,611 1,857 2,037 1,998 2,1146 1,897 1,362 l,23U 1,81(5 1,828 1,961 1,777 262 2149 265 19l4 192 170 185 120 -3associations and mutual savings banks was one-tenth larger than in December 1959, while that of life insurance companies was one-tenth smaller. For the year i960 the total inflow to these three major types of savings institutions was 5 per cent greater than in 1959 and 2 per cent more than in 1958. (In i960 time and savings deposits at commercial banks increased more than twice as much as they had in the previous year.) The increase in life insurance company assets amounted to $ 6 . 1 billion in i960, about the same as in 1959. Net acquisitions of mortgages, totaling $ 2 . 5 billion, were one-eighth larger than a year earlier. These companies built up their mortgage portfolios rapidly throughout the first half of last year, but after June the increase in these holdings was smaller than in the corresponding months of 1959. Net purchases of business securities were smaller in most months last year than in 1959 with the total for the year being nearly one-fifth smaller. Net liquidation of U. S. Government securities was somewhat larger than .in -the previous year. The inflow to savings and loan associations continued to advance at a record pace during i960. Savings capital increased $7.5 billion in i960, one-seventh larger than in 1959. Much of this increased inflow was used to repay borrowings, principally from Federal home Loan Banks, and to build up their cash balances. (In 1959 the associations had borrowed in record amounts and drawn down their cash substantially to supplement their savings inflow in order to make mortgage loans.) The net increase in mortgage holdings totaled $ 6 . 8 billion, one-tenth below that of 1959. Net acquisitions of U. S. Government securities were very small in contrast to the substantial acquisitions in 1959 and other recent years. The growth of deposits at mutual savings banks, totaling $1.1* billion, was one-tenth larger than in 1959, but smaller than in any other year since 1951. Most of the deposit rise occurred in the second half of the year. The net increase in mortgage holdings was $L.9 billion last year, slightly larger than a year earlier, holdings of business securities increased more than $200 million in contrast with a slight decline in 1959. Net liquidation of U. S. Government securities at $63li million, was nearly twice as large as a year earlier. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Developments in the Canadian capital markets are presented in Part II at the end of this report. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. LONG-TERM BOND YIELDS HIGH-GRADE 1^. LOWER-GRADE j M U.S. GOVERNMENT Exhibit B - Tables for Exhibit A Long-term Bond Yields High-grade Corporate Aaa 1/ Date U. S. Govt. long-term 2/ State and local government Aaa 3/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and Aaa local Aaa (per cent) 195*4 - Low 1957 - High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High 1961 - High Low Jan. Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. 27 3 10 17 2h 2/ 1.90 (9/2) 3.76 3.07 k.h2 3A5 h.3k (1/6) lt.25 ( 2/2JU) 3.92'(1/20) 3.76 (2/2U)' 3.16 (2/2) 3.12 (2/23) ii.31 W o it. 28 L27 ^ L25<^ 3.89 3.88 3.8U 3.81 3.76 3.16 3.16 3.1i* 3.U4 3.12 .h2 .U2 .kk .1*6 .19 (4/23) (9/27) 3.55 (5/2) 14.61 , 2.15 (8/6) .30 .60 .22 .59 .50 .UO 2.85 U-UU (1/29/60) (10/18) (4/25) (1/P/60) 2.6U 3.65 (e/29) (5/1) (9/24/59) • 30 .50 • 3U .92 • .76 ,6k .73 .72 .70 .67 .6J4 Lower grade Date 19514 - Low 1957 - High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High 1961 - High Low Jan. Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. 27 3 10 17 2b p/ Corporate Baa 1/ 3.14*4 (12/31) 5 . 1 0 (11/29) It. 5 1 (7/11) 5.36 (2/12/eo) State and local government Baa 3/ (per cent) 2.93 (8/5) 14.51 (8/29) (5/1) 5.12 (1/27) 5.06 (2/2I4) 3.614 L.I46 L09 I4.03 5.12" 5.10 5.07 5.07 / 5.06 ^ 14.09 14.09 14.05 14.05 14.05 (1/7/60) (2/2) (1/5) Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local govt. .52 1.27 .77 .81* .81 .714 .96 1.21 .93 / 1.08 •93 .90 .81 .80 .79 .80 .81 .93 .93 .91 .91 .93 j/ Preliminary. 1/ Weekly average of dally figures. Average term of bonds Included 1* 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series Inoludee bonds Tdue or callable In 10 years or more, 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 yeers. Note.—Highs and Iowa are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series SHORT- AND 3 • S YEAt INTERMEDIATE- TERM INTEREST RATES ISSUES PRIVATE STOCK EXCHANGE CAU I 0 A N S , Going Sole - — | FINANCE COMPANY PAPER Direelly Plated Exhibit D - Tables for Exhibit C Short- and Interaediate-tenn Interest Bates Government Date Discount rate 1/ 195U - Low 1957. - High : 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High | 1961 - High. f: Low 1.50 3.50 1.75 U.00 n.a. n.a. | Jan. 27 1 Feb. 3 %Feb. 10 | Feb. 17 | Feb. 2b g / 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 ! Date 1951* - Low 1957 - High ;1958 - Low 1 9 5 9 - 6 0 - High 1961 - High Low Jan. Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. 27 3 10 17 2It 2/ / X-month bills 2/ .61 Yields 6-month bills 2/ (per cent) 3-5 year issues 2/ 1.66 (6/11) 3.6U (lo/ie) •58 (s/2q) Spread between yields on 3-month bills and yields on O-mo, bills|3-5 y r . issues" (4/30) Loll (10/18) 2.1U (6/6) 2 . 5 1 <2/210 2 . 6 8 ( 2 / 2 U ) 2 . 1 7 ( 1 / 2 7 ) 2.1*2 ( 1 / 2 7 ) 3.59 ( 1 / 2 0 ) 3.39 (1/6) .26 .79 .25 .17 2.17 2.29 2.35 2.U0/ 2.51/ 3.57 3.57 3.56 3.56 3.U8 .25 .20 .20 .19 .17 ^•59 (1/8/60) 3 . 0 2 (12/26) 5 . 0 7 (1/8/60) 2.1*2 2.h9 2.55 2.59 2.68 5.00 (12/24/59) .66 .86 .Oli 1.81 l.ljO .97 1.1*0 1.28 1.21 1.16 .97 Spread between 3-month Finance company Treasury bill yield and Primo finance company rate 1 / paper 3 / paper rates (per cent) Stock Exchange call loan 1 / 3.00 U.50 3.50 5.50 n.a. n.a. 3.00 li.50 3.50 5.00 n.a. n.a. U.50 li.50 U.50 U.50 It. 50 U.50 U.50 U.50 U.50 U.50 x 1.25 dV3i) 3 . 8 8 (11/15) . 1 . 1 3 (0/8) 5.13 (V'/co) 2.83(1/6) 2.63 (2/17) 2.71 2.6U 2.63 2.63 2.63 V 0 .63 -.35 1.02 .56 .12 (v/Vo) (11/2 4 (»/2v) (3/2',/fcO) (1/20) (2/2U) • 5U .U2 .28 .23 .12 1/ Vuokly rate shown la that In effect at end of period. Dlacount rate la for Federal Reserve Bank of Hew York. Stock Rtoluirye call loan re.te la going rate on call loans secured by ouatoaiore1 ctock exchange collateral at How York City banks, Prints rate Is tlut charged by large banks on ahort-torm ioanu to buelntea borrowers of thu hlfihtat credit standing, 2/ Kirkot yield) weekly averages computed from dally closing bid prices. Series of 3-5 year lsauto consists of ocleottd notes and bonds. 3/ Average of dally rates published by finance companies for directly placed paper for varying isaturltlea In the 90-179 day range. Note,~Hl>;ha and lows are for Individual series and may be on different dates for different series. For sproc.de, high refers to widest, and low to narrowest. t STOCK MARKET t n MORTGAGE RECORDINGS AND LOANS Exhibit r - Tables for Exhibit E Stock Market Common stock yields 2/ (per cent) Trading volume 3/ (millions of shares) 62.81 (2/2lt) 58.1*6 (1/6) 3.08 k.72 3.10. 3.32 h.9 l.ii 5.2 3.6 !|,761l (4/59) 3,1401 (4/S9) 1,373 3,551* (1/58) 2,182 (12/57) 1,060 n.a. 1,172 n.a. n.a. 1,159 56.80 59.72 61.50 62.10 62.81; 3.a 3.28 3.17 3.13 3.10 3.7 1*,1*06 1*,1*16 n.a. n.a. n.a. Date Stock pricc index 1/ 1957-60 - High Low 1961 - High Low December January Feb. 10 Feb. 17 Feb. 2k g/ 6 0 . 5 1 (7/31/59) 3 9 . 1 8 (12/20/57) li.2 • h.7 4.6 5.2 Stock market customer credit Customers1 Bank debit balloans to ances h/ "others" 5/ (In millions of dollars) Total 3,222 3,253 n.a. n.a. (W) (11/57) (1/6) (2/17) i,m 1,163 1,159 1,167 n.a. ^ n.a.wKot available. o/ Pmllelfcary. 1/ Standard and Poor's ccnpoelto indsx nf 500 ccr^on stocks, wseltly oloolrj price?, 1941-43=10. Monthly data are averages of dally flguroo rathor than of Mtlcy'e only. Higlu* and Ions are for Fridayc' data only. 2/ Standard and Poor'o bcmpotilta otook yield baood on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Kovterol Rtccrve. Yioldo ohovn arc for daten on which prioa Index reached lt.i high or low. 3/ Av >r eyes' of dally trading volv.-je on tlu New York Stock Exchange. 4/ End of month flcures for member firr-.o of thj tbw York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludeu balances sacured by U, S. Govtrnncci. obll^ctlons. 5/ Mailncsdiy figure o for Weekly reporting member banka. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Govemneiit focurlties. Prior to July 1, 1959, such loznm are excluded only at banka in Kc»; York and Chicago. lfenkly repdrtlr^ Noqfarm Mortgage Recordings and Loans 1/ Date 1959 - Dec. 1960 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total Seasonally Unadjusted adjusted 2/ 2,1*85 as 2 , a s ? 2,ll00 2,Wl6 2,1(27 2.IS3 2,488 2>61t 2,451 2,1)26 n.a. 2,1*87 2,079 2,1# 2,1*06 2,366 2,500 2,690 2,528 2,78k 2,598 2,525 2,378 2,338 Unadjusted FHA U51 1*17 368 361 • 336 322 365 362 1*17 1*25 1*31* 1*01* 390 -VA 21*1 195 170 173 153 155 175 160 181 169 162 15b 11*2 Conv. 1,791* 1,1*67 1,612 . 1,872 1,878 2,023 2,150 . 2,006 2,186 2,001* 1,929 - 1,821* 1,806 n.a.—Hot available. 1/ Total rocordings data are estimates based on reports from about 450 areas and include mortgages of (20,000 or leas secured by nonfarra real estate, primarily residential properties. PHA-insured loans represent gross amount of insurance written, and VA-guaranteed loans the gross amount of loans closed,on 1-4 family houses. Conventional data are derived as a residual, although total recordings and VA and FHA loans ore not strictly comparable in concept or timing. 2/ Three-month moving average, seasonally adjusted by Federal Reserve. Source1 Federal Home Loan Hank Board, Federal Housing Administration and Veterans Administration. Exhibit G Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1961 Januaiy February March — ^e/$00 e/650 New capital State and local 2/ Corporate 1/ . 1961 | I960 1 I960 1 1959 1 1959 577 715 860 821 738 6U6 April May 766 567 1,03k m 785 887 731 550 1,033 July August September 727 962 ' 738 535 740 703 572 602 689 October November December 874 959 876 879 864 900 339 502 b/48I §§ 2/151 2,367 2,127 2,709 2,204 2,567 1,979 2,642 1,943 2,316 1,863 E/1,322 2,143 2,531 1,548 1,571 4,519 6,945 9,655 4,771 6,750 9,392 4,259 6,122 2/7,444 4,674 6,222 7,793 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year Excluding finance companies 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter Year 1,722 2,150 2,017 e/2,309 1,999 2,a2 1,716 2,503 e/8,198 8,630 e/725 e/600 2 739 623 582 639 858 61|6 932 593 ' 1,006 8 465 597 |7 Estimated., £? Preliminary. 1/ Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2/ Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. 3/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. h.14 Extdbit H Other Security Offerings 1/ (In millions of dollars) • Long-texm Foreign government 2/ I960 I 1959. I 1958" W 2 1 175 70 April May June Z3U / 72 I4O 01 60 2 196 53 •58 50 42 139 198 120 — 175 148 354 . 523 — July August September 25 1 36 85 1 35. 9 5 .17 199 October November December 31* 2, ill 33 30 70 58 123 74 160 11*9 181 66 547 992 . 1,67.2 .70? Short-term State and local government U/ January February March 268 IS April May June J III October November December ,T£ear 297 280 ; 565 199 460 273 563 411 245 357 354 261* 246 467 399 289 423 369 IS 254 499 E/215 >/3,942 190 428 295 . 358 . 4,179 1 3,910 98 150 — — 220 — 2,321 •, " i 533 — 16U 1 Year 1,163 251 199 182 150 150 i. January February March Federal arericy 3/*" 1956 1959 479 475 511 359 500 409 371 2Q0 lli 4 509 486 075 20? 209 161 329 727 365 665 437 206 33d ' 733 471 208 1,54 114 137 6,047 3,090 5 :« 296 .241 282 177. 4,817 fi/ P r e l l e l n » i y . 2/ Data p r e e a s t i * I n t h l e e x h i b i t d i f f e r f r o * t h a w I n E x h i b i t f. t n t t o t r e f u i y l l n R l a t u m , a n w e l l aa new w p . l t a l l e s u e e , w e I n c l u d e d . . L e i y - t e m s e c u r i t i e s a r e d e f i n e d am t h o s e I n n o r e t h a n one y e a r . 2/ I n c l u d e s s e c u r i t i e s o f f - i r e d I n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e * Igr f o r e i g n g o v e r e e e n t e a n d t h e i r e u b d l v t e l o n s e n d by International o r g a n l w t l o n a * Seureei S e e u r l t l e e a n d Zxuhr.age Commlail-ir.. 3 / l i e u e s n o t g u a r a n t e e d t y t h e H» 5 , QoVermer.!-. S o u r e a i l e n u - t e r o * S e e u r l t l e e a n d teohosgt Corail m e l o n ; ehort-tena, federal Reeerre. v \ . ( £ / P r i n c i p a l l y t a x a n d bond a n t i c i p a t i o n n a t o i , trorrairts o r o e r t l t t o a t e s a n d P u b l i c H o u s i n g A u t h o r i t y I n aowo t n a t a n e e e PHA M t e e I n a l t i d i d may h a v e a e o e e r h a t l o n g e r t e n s t h i n one y o x f . S o u r c e 1 Pond B u y e r . -12- Exhibit I Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (In millions of dollars) Month Corporate i960 - January February March April May June July August September October November December 1961 - January 279 262 381* 309 139 442 303 581 266 566 1*65 26o 147 State and local government 100 320 191 71 28 30 388 283 225 370 23k 561 191 298 367 46 186 222 391 1 Other 2/ 75 25 77 150 99 Large Individual Issues Offered February 1 through 2k Issuer type y Coupon Amount rate or Offering (millions Maturity net inter- yield of est cost dollars) Ratine CORPORATE Deb. 15.0 Consolidated Natural Gas Gb Com. stk. 37.0 Southern Co. Deb. 20.0 Chesapeake & Potomac Tel. Puget Sound Pwr. & Lt. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 Deb. 150.0 General Motors Accept.Corp. 1986 1998 1991 1983 4-3/8 4-3/8 A*—5/8 4-5/8 4.33 • Aaa 4.30 4.65 4.67 Aaa A STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT State of Connecticut Houston Ind. Sch. Dist., Texas Milwaukee Co., Wise. Kentucky Turnpike Auth. Term Serial Chicago - O'Hare Int'l Airport State of North Carolina State of Texas G.O. 29.0 1964-80 2.83 1.90-3.10 G.O. Rev.-Ut. ik.o 10.3 1963-89 1962-81 3.30 2.87 1.70-4.00 1.50-3.15 Rev.-Rent. Rev.-Rent. 21.2 17.8 2000 1965-81 4,ou 4.80 3.50-4.60 Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. 25.0 10.0 12.5 1999 1962-80 1966-96/75 It. 66 2.86 3.26 4.50 1.^0-3.00 2.10-3.40 A Aaa — Aaa Aa 1-2 -13- Large Individual Issues Offered February 1 through 2i| (Cont'd) Type 3/ Amount Coupon (millions rate or Offering Maturity of net inter- yield dollars) est cost Rating STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) St. Louis, Missouri Baltimore, Maryland Dallas, Texas G.O. G.O. Rev„-Ut„ G.O. OTHER 1/ 15.8 32.6 9.8 9.2 1961-81 1962-93 1961-81 1962-81 2.9k 3.12 2.97 3.03 1.50-3.10 Aa 1.50-U.20 ' Aa 1.30-3.20 Aa 1.50-I.00 A Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $10 million and .over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from quasiutilities ; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev,-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. -ll*- Exhibit J Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation .1560 - Jan. 29 Feb. 29 • Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 . Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1961 - Jan. 31 During month following date shown State and Corporate Other 2 / local govt. 207 301 299 202 483 237 596 216 576 1*1*0 260 91 no 210 . 255 #9 21,3 277 180 275 283 212 2$8 21*2 hl2 181 15 35 30 30. 77 ' 50 — Subsequent to date shown State and Corporate Other 2 / local govt. 372 372 3Wi 357 553 155 1,006 ' 731 • 836 585 335 1,036 1,01*6 310 385 280 258 502 380 32 1* 283 3# 391 560 #2 360 bs 35 60 30 ' 127 50 — Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of February 2l* I Amount L . (millions h P P ™ " ; ! 3 1 6 d a t e of dollars)! o f °"ering CORPORATE American Machine & Foundry Co. Southwestern Public Service Co. American Telephone 6 Telegraph Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Realty Collateral Coip. Conv. deb. 1st rntg. bris. Com. stk. Deb., bds. & com. Coll. tr. notes ko.s 15.0 e/975.0 16.0 •20.0 i-iar. 16 (rights expire) liar. 23 Apr. lit I rights expire) Indefinite Indefinite STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Alabama Education Auth. Prince Georges Co., Md. Shelby Co., Tenn. New York State Power Auth. Chicago, Illinois Commonwealth of Puerto Rico Denver, Colorado State of New Jersey St. Paul, Minnesota Duval Co., Fla. Wash. Sanitation Dist., Md. -"-Pennsylvania Gen. State Auth. Commonwealth of Kentucky Digitized Orleans for FRASER Parish School Dist., La. Rev.-Q.Ut. G.O. G.O. Rev.. -Ut. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Rent. G.O. G.O. 30.0 11.1* 11.0 100.0 30.0 1*0.0 15.0 20.9 10.6 15.0 10.0 25.0 100.0 10.0 Feb. 28 Feb. 28 Feb. 28 Feb. 28 Lar. 1 Mar. 7 Mar. 7 Mar. 7 Mar. 8 Mar. 11* Mar. 11* Mar. 11* Mar. Indefinite J-2 -15- Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of February 2k (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Dade County, Florida New York State Housing Fin. Agency G.O. Rev. 2*6.0 100.0 Indefinite Indefinite OTHER None *—Included in table for first time. e/ Estimated. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $l£ million and over; State and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. Note. —Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. Exhibit K •16- Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa arid A 1/ Date 1952-1959 - High Low 1959 - Oct. Nov. Dec. I960 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May July 8 13 Sept. 15 23 ,28 Oct. 5 21 Nov. h 16 17 18 Dec. 7 . 1961 - Jan. 12 18 25 Feb. 16 16 Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned yields seasoned yields (per cent) (per cent) (basis points) (basis Doints) 5.30 (12/8/59) 87 2,93 (3/31/5W -8 5.132/ *5.08 *5.30 36 it2 63 5.09 it.82 • k.91 -»-it. 88 it.83 it5 25 37 32 26 II • 27 17 2k 22 L78 U. 85 33 ho 5.oo hS 11 7 it. 60 1.55 k.hh 5.65 (9/18/59) 123 3.00 (3/17/51) -15 5.33 13 S.hSn/ *5.301/ 51 28 L97 5. lit 5.15 *1.95 it.93 it.88 it. 80 9 35 29 11 11 8 2it I1.88 5.05 h3 It.60 it. 65 h.hl -5 13 -2 -2 JL *—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds,- as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate, honthly averages so marked include one or more issues with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision. Exhibit L -17- Sources and Uses of Funds ByLife Insurance Companies Uses of funds 1/ BusiState and ness local govt Mortgages secursecurities ities 2/ ities (In millions of dollars, Other 1,294 1,363 1,327 1,332 7,028 7,182 6,81*8 6,444 42A33 44,612 46,977 48,896 2,377 2,691 3,177 3,622 35,271 37,092 39,299 41,798 13,206 14,640 15,998 17,625 101,309 107,580 113,626 119,717 Changes: 1959 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. MayJune July Aug, Sept, Oct. Nov, Dec. -81 -57 -Ik -24 10 3 -15 19 -31 22 33 99 303 -71 -185 22 -16 11 13 95 -185 -22 -131 -168 188 223 251 242 193 242 214 75 95 208 207 227 53 30 66 49 79 23 94 30 15 8 16 23 119 139 136 116 135 157 214 174 211 251 240 315 -17 174 108 80 97 60 208 101 95 92 134 226 565 438 362 485 498 496 728 494 200 559 499 722 i960 — Jan, Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -91 -53 -30 39 -12 33 12 k -51 90 -35. 99 .163 -36 -167 -85 -62 -102 73 -I4O -6 -62 23 -103 20 25 35 21 26 13 104 43 82 33 26 17 274 196 21*2 225 203 192 63 226 179 214 208 277 82 207 115 95 128 211 206 175 122 11 102 173 576 464 299 429 514 469 628 576 366 597 522 651 Cash Value of assets at end of period: 1957 - Dec. 1958 - Dec. 1959 - Dec. i960 - Dec. U. S. Govt. 128 125 104 134 231 125 167 168 4o . 311 198 188 Total sources or uses 1961 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 1/ Uses of funds represent net changes in assets and therefore reflect net, rather than gross, uses. 2/ Includes securities of domestic corporations only. Source. —Institute of Life Insurance. Exhibit M -18- Sources and Uses of Funds bySavings and Loan Associations Value of assets at end of period 1957 - Dec. 1958 - Dec. 1959 - Dec.r/ i960 - Dec. Changes: r/1959 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec, 2 / 1 9 6 0 - Jan. Feb. Mar. /-Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Cash Uses of funds 1 / Sources of funds Net U. S. Total change BorrowGovt. sources Mort- Other Other ing y gages^/ assets savings ities capital (In millions of dollars) 2,146 2,585 2,183 2,647 3,173 3,819 h,hn 4,560 40,049 45,627 53,194 60,042 2,770 3,108 3,676 4,152 48,138 55,139 63,530 71,401 41,912 47,976 54,583 62,116 1,379 1,444 2,387 2,159 4,847 5,719 6,560 7,126 283 96 75 105 21 -3 108 23 -7 10 -28 -25 414 430 596 710 757 ,884 803 740 679 626 460 468 -41 83 99 151 185 -36 -113 14 64 86 141 -65 359 582 769 786 990 1,083 367 735 684 653 634 749 446 405 527 414 599 1,089 201 394 447 3# 484 1,205 -180 -54 -8 97 62 314 31 119 148 136 56 222 93 231 250 275 329 -320 - 135 222 89 121 94 -678 316 #8 547 565 635 780 615 713 643 605 501 530 -119 65 93 106 203 -58 -127 2 63 85 153 10 92 494 667 642 939 908 219 718 731 814 776 871 468 409 623 372 630 1,216 149 489 602 667 558 1,350 -462 -114 -126 37 5 211 -127 22 49 -14 51 240 86 199 170 233 304 -519 197 207 80 161 167 -719 -297 ^ -27 -1 -180 27 238 -431 -42 -52 -69 61 371 -301 -34 49 -27 80 329 -236 30 24 10b 86 360 196 65 -22 -2 21 -143 -33 -27 1 20 36 -29 2 / 1 9 6 1 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 1/ Uses of funds represent net changes in assets and therefore reflect net, rather than gross, uses. Savings and loan associations do not hold business securities and data on holdings of State and local government bonds, presumed to be small, are not available. 2j Data for 1957 adjusted to include mortgage pledged shares as currently reported, 3/ Advances from Home Loan Banks and other borrowing. Source. —Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation, Exhibit N -19- Sources and Uses of Funds by Mutual Savings Banks Cash U. S. Govt. ities Value of assets at end of period 1957 - Dec. 1958 - Dec. 1959 - Dec. I960 - Dec. Changes: 1959 - Jan. y Feb. Mar. Apr. May July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. i960 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Uses of funds 1/ Dual- State & local Mortgovt. gages ities Sources of funcs Other Total sources or uses ities 2/ Net change in deposits Other (In millions of dollars) 890 7,552 921 7,266' 829 6,86k 872 6,230 It,331 it,973 li,8l49 5,071 682 725 722 676 -16 6 -31 58 -20 208 125 175 155 161 U*5 179 156 160 137 12k 132 159 116 150 129 161 169 159 206 196 168 171 161 -96 18 1*5 -ill* 8 1*3 -79 3 -2 -27 20 111 119 39 62 -1*1$ 13 -85 -13 -12 -32 -281 -85 -12 -hi 13 -2 -55 -28 23 17 -1* 1*1 -33 10 19 1* -1 8 -20 -8 -2l* -131 37 a -86 1*2 108 -69 -6 22 -8 9 81* -9 -11 32 -11*8 -80 -93 -1*8 30 -32 -156 -68 -51 -12 -9 52 -19 13 57 38 -8 32 -1* 31* 51 -6 -9 3 13 -23 -k -1* -5 l -6 -5 -1 20,951 761 23,039 855 2k,768 910 26,713 1,001 35,168 37,779 38,91*2 1*0,566 31,695 31*,01*1 31*, 983 36,31*5 -58 32 38 -32 1*5 39 -12 33 31 -37 1*2 -12 175 216 330 -10 217 161 32 192 163 -283 65 . 218 122 113 313 6 120 202 -51* 80 197 -187 -27 31*0 53 103 17 -16 97 -1*1 86 112 -31* -96 92 -122 -12 1*3 a -21 63 -59 1*2 6 11* -25 13 -11* -11 167 319 -132 176 178 118 223 233 -31 151* 230 -68 50 320 -95 58 221 21 105 278 56 39 377 57 117 -1 -37 118 -1*3 97 118 -1*5 -87 115 -11*7 3,1*73 3,738 3,959 It, 221 1961 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 17 Uses of funds represent net changes in assets and therefore reflect net, rather than gross, uses. 2/ Includes Canadian government and political subdivisions, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, nonguaranteed Federal agency and other bonds as well as corporate bonds and stocks. 2/ Adjusted to eliminate the effect of a consolidation of a large savings bank with a commercial bank. Source.—National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. February 27, 1961 Part II - Canada Bill rates rose sharply and bond yields eased in Canadian financial markets last week. These movements paralleled developments in United States markets. The spread between Canadian and United States security yields widened slightly during the week. The net incentive to hold the Canadian bill (with exchange risk covered) showed little change. Industrial stock prices continued to rise in Canada. The Canadian dollar strengthened during the week and closed at about 101.5 U.S. cents last Thursday or about one-half cent over its level a week earlier. Money market. There was a sharp rise in the average yield on Canadian Treasury bills at last Thursday's auction. The 3-month bill rose 25 basis points from 2.86 per cent on February 16 to 3.11 per cent on February 23. The 6-month bill yield rose 22 basis points from 3.37 per cent on February 16, to 3=37 per cent on February 23° The chartered banks purchased $18 million of bills during the week while the Bank of Canada sold $U million, Government Accounts sold $5 million, and the general public reduced its holdings by $7 million (see Table). The spread favoring the Canadian over the U.S. Treasury bill widened slightly as yields in both countries rose sharply. The discount on the 3-month forward dollar widened slightly and the net incentive to hold the Canadian bill on a covered basis showed littld change at 0.U5 per cent per annum (see Table). Bond market. Bond yields eased slightly last week for all maturities and the spread favoring Canadian yields widened slightly. The Canadian press reported that the bond purchases by the Federal Reserve in the New York market last week gave strength to the Canadian market and had the immediate resuj-i. ox adding from one-half to one full point to bids on several long-term issues. The spread between selected comparable Canadian and United States securities (Thursday yields for bills and Wednesday yields for bonds) were as follows (figures in parentheses refer to the previous week): 0.57 0.65 0.95 1«30 1.50 per per per per per cent cgnt cent cent cent on on on on on a 91-day bill (0.U8) a 182-day bill (0.58) an 8-year bond (0.8U) a 30-year bond (1.29) a 35-year bond (1.37) The Bank of Canada purchased a net of $12 million of Government bonds during the week and shifted from over-2-year maturities (-46 million) to under-2year maturities (+$l8 million). The chartered banks sold $7 million of bonds during the week and the general public sold $19 million. A $20 million issue by Alberta Municipal Financing Corp. was offered at 5-1/2 per cent due April 1, 1983, priced at 98.50 to yield 5=62 per cent. The issue was oversubscribed. Saskatchewan is issuing $10 million of for 20-year, FRASER5-1/2 per cent debentures. Digitized Foreign exchange. There was some strengthening of the Canadian dollar last week while the discount on the 3-month forward Canadian dollar widened slightly. The spot rate on the dollar closed at 101.L5 (U.S. cents) last Thursday compared with 100.98 (U.S. cents) the week before. The discount on the forward dollar rose from 0.06 per cent per annum the week before to 0.12 per cent last week. Stock exchanges.— Industrial stock price indices on the Canadian exchanges through early last week showed a continuation of the rise in prices which began about 3 months ago. Both the Toronto and the Montreal exchanges rose over 10 per cent since the last week of November. The total quantity of stock purchased on the Canadian exchanges during the week ending February 17 was $9,756 million compared with $9 .1*93 million in the previous week. The following table gives a comparison of changes in industrial stock price indices for Toronto, Montreal, and New York "Standard & Poor over the last few months: I960 - High Low I960 - Nov. 28 Dec. 9 23 1961 — Jan. 6 27 Feb. 10 17 21 Toronto Montreal 532.9k 172.38 U96.UU £05.63 216.69 529.69 $39.50 5U0.15 5U6.25 5U6.88 320.0 258.5 26U.1 267.0 272.6 282.0 292.7 291.3 295.3 291UO British Commonwealth Section Division 'of International Finance Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System New York Standard & Poor 65.00 55.3b 59.45 60.11 60.88 61.86 6U.86 65.60 65.90 Selected Canadian Honey Market and Related Data 3-mo Treas. bills 7Z Spread maoa Canada y U.sJy over U.S. High Low I960 - High Low 6.16 Jan, 26 Feb, 2 9 16 23 3.0k 3.13 3.10 2.86 3 oil 1959 3.25 5.1k 1,68 kok9 2,80 U.63 2,10 2.96 0.30 Canadian dollar Spot 3-mo. discount {-). c/ forward premium(+)g/ 105o51 102,58 1.62 -0.82 1 0 5 .2 ? . 100.33 0.87 0,82 0,7U 0.U8 0.57 101.05 100088 101,16 100.98 . 101,45 2.17 2,31 2.36 2.38 . 2.5U Net incentive to hold i bl — 100.95 100,81 101.09 100.97 101,1*2 0.99 -0.91 1.99 -0.57 -0.37 -0.2$ "0.25 -0.06 -0.12 0.50 0.57 0.U9 0.42 o.U5 a/ Average yield at weekly tender on Thursday. %f Composite market yield for the U.S. Treasury bill on Thursday close of business, c/ In U.S. cents, 3 / Spread between spot rate and 3-month forward Canadian dollar on Thursday closing, expressed as per cent per annum. e/ Spread over U.S. Treasury bill (column 3), plus 3-month forward discount or premium (column 6). — Selected Government of Canada Security Yields 6-ao. Traaa..bills spread Canada .1959 - High Low I960 - High Low 3.36 "3.^83-43 3.15 3.37 a . 1.37 -0.86 5.27 U-5o 5.55 U0O9 0.96 0,98 0,86 0.58 0.65 k.72 U.68 4.58 4.64 4.63 0.21 00000 Jan, 26 Feb, 2 9 16 23 6.2U 5 oil 5.33 1.99 Intermediate bonds (8 yr.) spread over Canyia u.s.4/ Long-term bonds 120 year) 135 year) Spread spread Canada Canada 5.30 4,44 5.42 U.63 5.18 5.18 5.15 5.08 5,01 a 1.36 0.85 5.05 U.73 5.28 U.68 1.29 1.29 1.32 1^29 1.30 5.18 5.19 5.19 • 5-15 5-06 a/ Average yield at weekly tender on Thursday. V Spread between Canadian auction rate and composite market yield of U.S. bill on close of business Thursday. o/ Government of Canada 2 - 3A per cent of June 1967-68• y Spread over U.S. Government 2 - 1 / 2 per cent of 1963-68. e/ Government of Canada 3 - l A per cent of October 1979# y Spread over U.S. Government 3 - l A per cent of 1978-83. d Government of Canada 3 - 3 A per cent of Septentoer 1996 -- March 1998, n/ Spread over U.S. Government of 199$, a 1.61 0.95 1.U8 1.50 1.55 1.37 1.50 -23Canada: Changes in Distribution of Holdings of Canadian Government Direct and Guaranteed Securities (millions of Canadian dollars, par value) Bank of Canada TTMS# bills Bonds Dec. 22 29 Jan. 5 12 19 26 Feb. 2 9 16 23 Sources + + + - 5 3 2 9 Hi 20 18 5 10 u + Government Total 9 0 2 12 25 1 46 4 30 12 Chartered banks Treas. bills Bonds + + + + + + + + + -103 + 2 - 11 + 16 + 25 - 15 - 61 - 6 - 9 - 6 18 6 18 39 10 Ui 24 33 8 18 + + + + + General public Savings Ttbslb * bonds bills Bonds 23 lit 12 2 17 6 51 8 22 7 + + - 11 - 11 8 -'15 4 16 - 24 + 3 7 - 10 7 - 8 3 3 . - 31 + 6 7 7 - 9 - 62 - 24 + 10 - 11 + 17 + 7 + 56 - 6 + 8 - 19 Bank of Canada, Weekly Financial Statistics. Selected Canadian Financial Statistics (in millions of Canadian dollars or per cent) Monthly L . Money supply: Currency and deposits Less: Govt, deposits Equals: privately held Change in period !. General bank loans Change in period !. Total Govt, securities: Of which: Treas. bills Bonds Savings txyids . New security issuesi/ Of which sold in U.S. 13,768 628 13,140 - 2U1 13,811 548 13^53 + 123 Jan. 13,763 35U 13,409 + 2U3 -4,027 -4,117 -4,076 + 56 17,99k 1,982 12,377 3,632 1,014 0 + 91 17,760 1,985 12,179 3,596 1,311 1U - .41 17,239 1,985 12,161 3,193 788 1 Feb. 2 Weekly Feb. 9 Feb^l6 13,720 13-M - 208 5,016 + 24 17,736 1,985 17,7U2 1,985 3,590 159 0 3,597 12,161 12,160 . Chartered bank liquidity: Cash reserve 1,017 1,027 1,027 1,015 1,018 Cash ratio 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.1 8.1 Liquid assets 2,125 2,189 2,093 2,309 2,287 2,28U Liquid asset ratio 16.8 17.3 17. 4 18.U 18.2 18.2 1/ Seasonally adjusted 2f Source: A. E. Ames & Co., Ltd. (includes public and private securities.) INTEREST ARBITRAGE, NEW YORK / LONDON Friday figures 3-MONTH RATE RATE Per cent per annum TREASURY DIFFERENTIAL DIFFERENTIAL BILL R A T E S AND 3-MONTH WITH FORWARD 1959 FORWARD EXCHANGE STERLING COVER 11*0