Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : February 19, 1958
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Not for Publication ^CONTROLLED V AFTER SIX MONTHS H.l4 February 19, 1958 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Large public security offerings for new capital during the week ending February 14 totaled $209 million for corporations (including- expiration of subscription rights) and $48 million for State and local governments. This week, the volume of new security offerings is expected to be very large with corporate issues totaling $200 million and State and local government offerings aggregating $207 million. Bond yields - Changes in yields on outstanding bonds were minor last week. Yields on State and local government and high-grade corporate bonds remained stable, while yields on corporate Baa's and U. S. Government obligations declined slightly.• A $150 million debenture issue of General Motors Acceptance Corporation was offered to investors this week to yield it. 10 per cent — 110 basis points below that for a similar offering made by this company last August. The recent issue is non-callable for five years, while the earlier issue had a call restriction for, ten years. Stock market credit - Customer credit in the stock market (excluding that extended on U. S. Government securities) declined during January, reaching a level of $3,554 million at the end of .the month. Net debit balances increased slightly, while bank loans to "others" declined $27 million. Net debit balances secured by U. S. Government securities increased sharply in January,reflecting the U. S. Treasury End of month Jan. 1 Dec. *. Customer credit Excluding U. 5. Govt, securities - total Net debit balances Bank loans to "others" Net debit balances secured by U. S. Govt, securities Bank loans to others for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities Broker and dealer credit Money borrowed except or^U. S. Govt, securities On customer collateral Money borrowed on U. S. Government securities Customers' net free credit balances Change (millions of dollars) 3,576 2,482 1,094 68 -22 +5 -27 +58 58 60 -2 1,552 . 1,344 188 936 1,706 1,494 125 -154 -150 +63 +40 3,554 , 2,W7 1,067 126 896 H.lU -2- refunding operations, to a total of $126 million at the end of the month. Borrowings by member firms of the NYSE maintaining margin accounts (except borrowings on U. S. Government securities) also declined substantiallylast month, principally in borrowing on customer collateral. Customer's net free credit balances increased further, totaling $936 million at the end of January. These and other data on stock market credit for January and December are shown in the following table. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks declined last week, closing at 1*1.33 on February ll;. Prices declined somewhat further on the first three days of this week. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. - Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE BOND "S3 ' Date YIELDS 1954 J S 1956 5 Corporate Aaa 1/ 1958 - High Low 3-1*2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3.07 U.1U 3.66 3.68 3.56 January .17 January 2b January 31 February 7 February lit 3.61 3.57 3.56 3.59 3.59 1951* - High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High 1957 - High (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (U/23) (12/23) (1/7) (12/28) (3/2) (9/27) (V12) (V3) (1/31) M J s 1957 State and local govt. Aaa y U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ (Per cent) . 1 9 # - High 0 o M 1958 Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate [State and Aaa | |local Aaa * 3-19 (6/5) 2.7U (12/31) 2.7U (1/8) 2.1*5 (8/6) 2.97 (8/5) 2.61* (1/7) ' 3.16 (12/28) 2.81* (2/17) 3.76 (10/18) 3-18.(2/8) 3.28 (1/31) 3.20 (1/10) 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3U 2.05 3.05 2.17 3.U5 2.76 2.86 2.65 3.21 3.27 3.28 3.27 3.21*. 2.68 2.65 2.68 2.70 2.70 (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) (8/29) (2/21) (1/9) . (1/23) .38 .20 .1*3 .30 .27 .11 .1*1 .12 .60 .27 .1*6 .28 .83 .33 .62 .30 .76 .57 .71 .32 .1*7 .15 .62 .31* .1*0 .30 .28 .32 .35 •53 .62 .60 •57 .51* . 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Not.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. 4 EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Corporate Baa 1/ Date . State and local govt. Baa 2/ Spread between Aaa and Baa 1 State and 1local govt. Corporate (Per cent) 1958 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.74 3.44 3.63 3.45 4.41 3.58 5.10 4.42 4.96 4.66 January 1? January 24 January 31 February 7 February lit 4.84 4.77 4.72 4.68 4.66 1953'- High Low 1?54 - High Low 1 9 # - High 1956 - High 1957 - High (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (lAW (12/28) (3/9) (11/29) (4/12) (1/3) (2/14) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93(8/5) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) 4.22 (12/27) 3.20 (3/8) 4.51 (8/29) 3.90 (2/21) 3.92 (1/2) 3.73 (1/23) ' 3.77 3.73 3.76 3.77 ' 3.77 .69 .42 .68 .52 .54 .45 .63 .42 1.27 .64 1.28 1.07 1.23 1.20 1.16 1.09 1.07 . 1.21 .98 1.16 .93 1.03 .87 1.17 .89 1.21 1.04 1.09 1.02 1.09 1.08 1.08 1.07 1.07 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds includes is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. , Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. . . STOCK MARKET Bate Stock price index 1/ Common Stock market cust imer credit Trading volume 2/ Customers' yields y debit bal- loans to (millions ances 1*/ "others" 5/ of shares) (per cent) - (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1951 - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low 26.5U (1/2) 22.95 (9/18) 35.98 (12/31)> 2U.93 (1/8) U5.69 (12/9) 35.28 (1/Ht) 1*9.61* (8/3) 1*3.22 (1/20) 1*9.08 (7/12) 39.1*8 (12/20) 73 (2/7) 1*0.37 (1/10) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* 1*. 6 1.5 3.1 1.5 U.2 l.l* 2.5 2.2 January 31 February 7 February 1h 1*0.33 1*1.12 1*1.70 1*1.73 1*1.33 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.5 la. . . 6.25 5.38 5.82 1*.32 1*.1*2 3.61* lt.35 3.82 i*.72 3.91 lt.58 1*.1*2 14.63 1*.1*8 1*.1*2 •l*.l*2 !*.!*? 2,1*55 2,055 3,1*36 2,1*05 It,030 3,537 It,01*7 3,911* U,031 • 3,576 n.a. 1,665 l,3Ht 2,388 • 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,623 2,71*0 2,887 2,1*82 3,576 3,551* 2,1*82 2,1*87 n.a. «... 661* 1,01*8 •71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,051* 1,067 1,051 1,091* 1,067 1,067 • 1,065 n.a. n.a.—Not available. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite Index of 500 common'stocks, weekly closing . prices, 19l*l-!*3"10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. U/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which cany margin accounts; excludes balances secured by 0. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D H.lli Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1958 January February March 1 e/ 800 e/ 825 Corporate 1957- 1 1,063 1,071 1,3hh - April May June July August September New capital 1956 573 712 817 State and local 1/ 1958 . 1 . 1957 1 1956 796 e/ 750 742 ' 572 506 404 378 490 735 92k 771 1,1*89 818 1,146 841 765 516 393 991 91U 973 1,063 654 .838 529 584 431 698 696 390 ' 408 206 357 October • November December 1,055 792 1,086 • 745 1,089 2/ 1,088 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 3,179 3,184 2,878 2,933 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 1,820 1,704 1,514* 2,029 1,1*90 1,603 971 1,395 6,662 . 9,540 12,473 1,907 10,384 3,524 5,069 7,099 3,093 4,o64 5,459 quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year ?,to 698 633 639 31*7 • 409 Excluding finance companies J/ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter Year - 3,268 2,924 2,560 e/2,783 e/ll,53U 1,647 2,541 ' 2,246 2,826 9,260 1/ Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital byFederal Reserve; later data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 2/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issue. J/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer, finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. H.lU Exhibit i£ Large Public Security Issues for Mew Capital (Other than U. S, Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Corporate Month 1957 - January February March April May June • July August September October November December 1958 - January State and local government Other 2/ 386 306 19U 1*99 218 . 176 265 357 185 1*35 386 1*39 506 567 671 788 1*77 329 877 525 526 537 571 t|20 399 318 100 50 125 25 39 25 30 75 215 - Large Individual Issues Offered February 1 through li* Type y Amount Coupon (millions rate or Offering Maturity Rating of net inter- yield dollars) est cost CORPORATE Tennessee Gas Trans. Co. Com. stk. 30.8 Texas Utilities Co. Com. stk. 16.6 Royal Dutch Petroleum Co. Com. stk. 136.8 Northern Natural Gas Co. Com. stk. 21.8 Southern Calif. Edison Co. Pfd. stk. 25.0 Ind. & Mich. Electric Co. lstmtg. bds, 25.0 1988 3 7/8 3-80 Aa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Springfield, 111. Columbus C.S.D., Ohio 1 Swr. rev. G.O. 5-6 1962-97/72 ; 5.0 1959-82 3-53 2-73 2.30-3-60 1.50-2.90 A Aa % H.lU E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered February 1 through 1h (Cont'd) Issuer Amount Coupon Maturity rate or Offering Rating Type 3/ (millions of net inter- yield dollars) est cost STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Continued) Detroit, Michigan Wtr. rev. 5.0 Allegheny Co, San, Auth., Pa, Swr. rev. 25.0 East Baton Rouge Par. Sch. Dist. No. 1, La. G.O. 10.0 Memphis, Tennessee G.O. 12.5 Denver, Colorado Wtr. rev. 20.0 Public Housing Auth. 67.1 N.Y. State Thruway Auth. G.R. 50.0 No. Hempstead S.D. No. % N.Y. G.O. 7.U G.O. Detroit, Michigan 13.7 New Orleans, La. G.O. . 6.3 Wichita S. D. No. 1, Kan. G.O. 5.0 State of Minnesota G.O. 12.0 Hartford, Connecticut G.O. 6.9 Met. Wtr. Dist. of So. Calif. Rev. 18.0 6.0 Guilford Co., N. C. G.O. Hempstead U.F.S.D. No. 35/NX G.O. 5.4 1962-78/68 3.02 3.55 2.15-3.05 2.20-3.60 Aa 1961-96/63 1959-78 1959-88 1969-97/68 1959-98/67 1985-95/65 1958-86 1959-83 1959-87/73 1959-78 1961-77 1959-78 1959-70 1961-80 1959-87 3.19 2.82 3.25 2.89 3.12 3.72 2.98 3.25 3.1U 2.1*5 2.1a 2.39 2.70 3.27 1.80-3.25 1.50-3.70 2.65-3.24 1.45-3.10 2.85-3.10 1.60-3.75 1.65-3.15 1.80-3.35 1.80-3.30 1.70-2.60 1.50-2.60 1.50-2.50 1.80-2.85 1.75-3.50 A Aa Aa Aaa Aaa Baa A A A Aa Aaa Aa Aa A OTHER Hone 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $1$ million and over; State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. H.ll* Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation Dec. 31 Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 29 Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 During month following date shown Corporate State and Other 2/ local govt. 1*76 591 7 hO 1*61 187 525 370 526 578 576 158 383 378 280 153 153 290 179 97 172 2# 2ii3 370 369 387 383 100' 35 Subsequent to date shown Corporate State and Other 2/ local govt. 796 966 30 - 795 i486 258 5# 1*15 • 811 815 30 18 150 815 1,193 1,161 25 25 25 6h7 763 61*8 631 862 396 388 1*98 511* 1*39 587 . 573 589 6ll* 100 35 25 25 25 30 15 1*5 63 165 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of February lU Type Amount Approximate date (millions of dollars) of offering CORPORATE Pfd. stk. 25.0 Niagara Mohawk Power Co._ Deb. . 150.0 General Motors Acceptance Corp. 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 New York State Electric & Gas Co. 1st mtg. bds. 29.0 Pennsylvania Electric Co. 1st mtg. bds. 30.0 Cleveland Electric Illuminating Co. 15.0 Central Illinois Public Service Co. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg.&coll.tr.tids. 30.0 United Gas Corp. Deb. 30.0 Southern New England Telephone Co. Pfd. stk. 15.0 Potomac Electric Co. 1st&ref.mtg.bds. 30.0 Baltimore Gas & Electric Co. 1*0.0 1st mtg. bds. - Ohio Edison Co. Pfd. stk. 25.0 Public Service Electric & Gas Co. 1st mtg. bds. Union Electric Co. ^ 35.0 Deb. 30.0 Columbia -Gas System, Inc. Conv. deb. 718.3 American Telephone & Telegraph Co. Feb. 18 Feb. 19 Feb. 21 Feb. 25 Feb. 26 Feb. 26 Feb. 27 Feb. 27 Feb. 28 Mar. k Mar. 5 Mar. 5 Mar. 6 Mar. 7 Mar. 12 (rights expire) F-2 H.Ht Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of February lit (Cont'd) Type Amount (millions Approximate date of dollars) of offering CORPORATE (Continued) Chicago, Rock Island & Pacific R.R. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. ^General Telephone Co. of Calif. S.F. deb. -^Mississippi River Fuel Corp. 1st mtg. bds. ^Carolina Power and Light Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Deb.,bds.& common Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of America 1st mtg. bds. 16.0 20.0 30.0 20.0 U5.0 ko.o Mar.. 13 Mar.. 13 Mar,• 13 Mar., 18 Winter Winter STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Kansas City Sch. Dist., Mo. G.O. G.O. Long Beach, California State of Connecticut G.O. State of Alabama G.O. State of Rhode Island G.O. St. Louis, Missouri G.O. Los Angeles Met. Transit Auth., Calif. Rev. State of Delaware G.O. New York, New York . G.O. Cleveland, Ohio G.O. State of Kentucky G.O. Houston Ind. Sch. Dist., Texas G.O. •K-State of Tennessee G.O. *San Antonio, Texas G.O. Washington Tp. Local Sch. Dist.,Ohio G.O. Louisiana State University Bldg". rev. ^Seattle, Washington Rev. •sMiami, Florida G.O. State of Mississippi G.O. *Newark, New Jersey G.O. Milwaukee, Wisconsin Wtr. rev. ^Lafayette, Louisiana Util. rev. State of Louisiana G.O. ^Providence, Rhode Island G.O. Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Rev. Inter-American Center Authority,Fla. Rev. Met. Fair & Exposition Auth., HI. Bldg. rev. Amsterdam, The Netherlands S.F. bds. 5.0 7.5 20.0 12.7 20.0 15.0 10.0 8.0 8.1 6.7 62.0 20.0 25.0 Feb. 17 Feb. 18 Feb. 18 ' Feb. 19 Feb. 19 Feb. 19 Feb. 19 Feb. 20 Feb. 25 Feb. 25 Feb. 25 Feb. 26 Feb. 26 Feb. 27 Feb. 27 Mar. 1 Mar. k Mar. 5 Mar. 6 Mar. 11 Mar. 18 Mar. 18 Mar. 26 Mar. 26 Winter Winter Winter 15.0 Feb. 26 7.0 10.1 77.0 21.0 18.8 12.3 liO.O 21.0 a.5 15.3 35.0 15.0 i5.o 5.0 H.Ik F-3 *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. Exhibit G ti.'lit Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual seasoned yields Actual seasoned yields (per cent) (basis points) (per cent) (basis points) Date 1952 - 19# High Low 1957 - January February March April May June July August September 5 6 25 October 1 15 17 2h November 7 15 20 21 / 22 December 6 12 1.30(12/12/56) 2.93(3/31/51) 62 -3 it.it it li.25 None *1.29 L.itit it.71 it .66 2 50 58 81 Wo it .85 57 75 51 56 It.78 it5 *5.00 lt.97 It . 86 2/ 63 52 It.82 It .65 it.65 it.30 53 37 39 lit 1958 - January 8 9 17 21 23 February 5 lit 3.60 3.80 13 It .58(12/6/56) 3.00(3/17/51) it .62 None it.50 it.55 it.80 *5.10 it.86 2/ None ~\- i 70 -15 6U 15 5U 79 106 70 5.10 51 5.00 39 3it 67 5.05 2/ U3 it.itO it .07 it .10 2/ 3.85 ~ 3.80 it 9 13 -3 3.90 -3 it.95 5.30 5.50 —Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Both issues oh which July average is based and other issues so marked provide for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Other issues have no such provision.