Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : December 8, 1975
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Capital TWcirkset Developments / December 8,1975 Prepared by the CAPITAL MARKETS SECTION iivcgrtjtmction with the MORTGAGE, AGRICULTURAL, and CONSUMER FINANCE SECTION DIVISION OF RESEARCH AND STATISTICS BOARD OF GOVERNORS FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Washington, D C. 20551 V Index SUBSCRIPTION RATES: Weekly $15.00 per year or $.40 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico; 10 or more of the same issue to one address, $13.50 per year or $.35 each. Elsewhere, $20.00 per year or $.50 each. Address requests to Publications Services, Division of Administrative Services, and make payment remittance payable to the order of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in a form collectible at par in U.S. Currency. TABLES 1 - 6 7, 8 SECURITY VOLUME AND YIELDS STOCK MARKET AND SECURITY CREDIT 9 - 1 6 MORTGAGE MARKET SYMBOLS e ESTIMATE P PRELIMINARY r REVISED n . a NOT AVAILABLE DATA DO NOT EXIST 3 Table 1 YIELDS, VOLUME AND RECEPTION CORPORATE BOND MARKET VOLUME WEEK ENDING NEW ISSUE 1 A a a UTILITY RECENTLY OFFERED A a a UTILITY 2 GROSS 3 OFFERINGS ( $ MILLIONS) PER CENT SOLD BY END OF WEEK NEW I S S U E S 4 IN SYNDICATE ( $ MILLIONS) 5 0 17 10 25 1975 - Oct. 3 10 17 24 31 9.72 9.60 9.53 9.32 9.22 9.70 9.56 9.41 9.30 9.33 398 357 739 432 560 93* 98 95 97 96 Nov. 7 14 21 28 9.10 9.11 9.40 9.24 9.24 9.30 9.25r 280 700 587 100 94 96 67 85 48 172 268 Dec. 5 9.46p 9.34p 425 88 105 — ^ 135 1 MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET YIELDS WEEK ENDING VOLUME BOND BUYER 20-BOND INDEX MOODY'S NEW ISSUE Aaa 3 GROSS OFFERINGS ( $ MILLIONS) PER CENT S O L D BY END O F WEEK NEW I S S U E S 4 IN SYNDICATE ( $ MILLIONS) 1975 - O c t . 3 10 17 24 31 6.92 6.80 6.60 6.44 6.60 7.67 7.48 7.29 7.17 7.36 451 479 335 495 375 81 76 92 89 74 142 154 86 110 122 Nov. 7 14 21 21 6.74 6.62 6.59 6.59 7.52 7.43 7.39 7.39 47: 372 752 657 78 89 78 92 194 122 214 163 I 6.52 7.31 420 89 110 Dec. Federal Reserve series of Implied y Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call proteistion. I I 1 E s NOTES: Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-yeer cell restrictions sometime during the last four weeks. > n, released from price Estimated by F.R. on the bed* of available data. Corporate Market: Salomon Brothers Bond Market Roundup; Municipal Market: Weekly Bond Buyer. Data « i adjusted by Federal Reserve v necessary to make coverage of this series consistent with the gross offerings series. \ Table 2 HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS NEW I S S U E A a a UTILITY DATE 1 RECENTLY OFFERED A a a UTILITY 2 MOODY'S S E A S O N E D CORPORATE A a a 3 U S . GOVT. 20-YEAR * C O N S T A N T MATURITY BOND BUYER 2Q-BOND INDEX 1971 - High Low 8.26 ( 7 / 3 0 ) 7.02 ( 2 / 5 ) 8.23 (1/1) 7.17 (12/31) 7.71 (8/21) 7.06 ( 2 / 1 2 ) 6.51 (6/18) 5.69 ( 3 / 2 3 ) 6/23 (6/23) 4.97 (10/21) 1972 - High Low 7.60 ( 4 / 2 1 ) 6.99 (11/24) 7.49 ( 4 / 2 1 ) 7.15 (12/1) 7.36 ( 4 / 2 8 ) 7.05 ( 2 / 1 2 ) 6/i9~(4/14) 5 . 7 4 (11/17) 6.54 (4/13) 4 . 9 6 (10/21) 1973 - High Low 8.52 ( 8 / 1 0 ) 7.29 ( 1 / 2 1 ) 8.32 (8/10) 7.28 (1/5) 7.77 (8/24) 7.11 (1/5) 7.79 ( 8 / 1 0 ) 6.42 ( 1 / 5 ) 5.59 (8/3) 4 . 9 9 (10/11) 1974 - High Low 10.61 (10/4) 8.05 ( 2 / 1 5 ) 10.52 (10/11) 8.13 (1/4) 9.39 (10/11) 7.73 ( 1 / 4 ) 8.68 (8/30) 7.39 ( 1 / 4 ) 7 . 1 5 (12/12) 5.16 (2/7) 1975 - High Low 9.80 (5/2) 8.89 (2/7) 9 . 7 1 (5/25) 9.06 (2/28) 9.01 (5/2) 8.57 ( 2 / 2 8 ) 8.63 (9/19) 7 . 6 3 (2/21) 7.67 ( 1 0 / 3 ) 6.27 ( 2 / 1 3 ) 1975 - Nov. 7 14 21 28 9.10 9.11 9.40 9.24 9.24 9.30 9.25r 8.76 8.75 8.81 8.81 8.19 8.22 8.34 8.35r 7.52 7.43 7.39 7.39 Dec. 5 9.46p 9.34p 8.83p 8.34p 7.31 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 week*' 3 Weekly average of daily closing figures. 4 Weekly average of daily figures. U.S. Treasury data. 5 Thursday figures. The average rating of~th^20 bonds used In this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Weekly Bond Buyer data. ReterV8 °f imp,ied ,ree market ' Vield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection released from price restrictions sometime during the last 4 5 Table 3 $ LONG-TERM CORPORATE AND STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT SECURITY OFFERINGS AND PLACEMENTS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS GROSS PROCEEDS l CORPORATE PERIOD 1975 1 1974 1 1973 1975 January February 5,376 4,526 5,368 3,328 2,687 3,217 2,327 1,962 3,933 2,361 2,387 2,135 April May 4,439 5,647 5,593 3,060 3,164 2,981 2,497 #2,543 3,578 2,406 2,900 3,064 July August September 4,114 3,248 2,667 l,bl7 2,631 1,806 1,915 4,609 3,739 3,511 3,398 3,563 3,238 October November December 01 02 03 04 15,270 15,679 9,232 9,205 7,532 11,859 8,222 8,618 6,352 10,199 1st Half 3 Qtrs. 30,949 18,437 25,969 37,828 16,840 23,192 33,391 Year NOTES: 1 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross proceeds. 2 Securities Industry Association estimates of principal amounts. 3 Includes Municipal Assistance Corporation bonds. 2 STATE AND LOCAL 1 1974 1 1973 2,255 2,003 2,025 1,977 1,515 2,467 2,397 2,304 2,166 1,826 1,939 2,152 3,560|Z 2,799|/ 2,120i/ 1,459 1,106 1,701 2,028 1,657 1,750 2,253^ 2,860 2,483 1,479 2,313 2,257 2,089 6,883 8,370 8,479 6,283 6,867 4,266 6,822 5,959 5,917 5,435 6,659 13,150 17,416 24,238 11,876 17,311 23,970 ' Table 4 NEW CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES BY TYPE OF ISSUE AND ISSUER IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE PERIOD BONDS MEMO COMMON MANUFACAND ISSUES INCLUDED PRIVATELY TURING PLACED PREFERRED FOREIGN {CONVERTIBLE STOCK COMMUNICATIONS OTHER ISSUERS PUBLICLY OFFERED 1974 - i l l IV 7,532 11,859 5,025 8,611 1,222 1,571 1,285 1,677 373 374 310 76 1,887 4,079 2,376 3,702 1,008 743 2,263 3,337 1975 - 15,270 15,679 10,829 10,510 2,333 1,588 2,108 3,581 1,255 1,035 1 656 6,055 6,513 4,732 4,405 1,380 1,338 3,105 3,423 3,248 2,667 1,617 2,086 2,042 897 616 299 307 546 326 413 223 — 150 205 104 1 1,094 605 188 618 1,078 680 295 364 349 1,242 620 401 Oct. Nov. Dec. 4,609 3,739 3,511 3,423 3,016 2,172 355 330 886 831 393 453 175 199 76 728 1,699 1,652 2,109 964 629 475 93 175 1,297 985 1,055 1975 - J a n . Feb. Mar. 5,376 4,526 5,368 3,657 3,201 3,971 1,130 730 500 589 622 897 470 610 175 1 — 1,901 1,675 2,479 1,268 1,957 1,507 938 125 317 1,268 771 1,066 Apr, May June July 4,439 5,647 5*593 4,114 2,771 3,796 3,943 2,658 422 .521 645 801 1,246 1,330 1,005 655 135 475 425 925 130 315 211 425 1,731 2,479 2,303 1,089 1,378 1,549 1,478 1,019 563 413 362 263 766 1,207 1,449 1,743 I II 1974 - J u l y Aug. Sept. — NOTES: 1 PUBLIC UTILITY TOTAL Other Issuers ere extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate end finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities end Exchange Commission. 1 Table 5A INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 December 1 , t h r u December y / ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 5 , 1975 MATURITY CORPORATE/ AppalabtfCan Power Co. Iowa P u b . S e r v i c e N o r t h w e s t N a t u r a l Gas Sedco M a r i t i m e I n c . Sedco M a r i t i m e I n c . Ford Motor C r e d i t Co. New B e d f o r d Gas & Edison L i g h t Co. Ford Motor C r e d i t Co. I d a h o Power Co. P a c i f i c Power & L i g h t D e t r o i t Edison Union E l e c t r i c Co. 1 s t mtge 1 s t mtge 1 s t mtge Fed g t r Fed g t r Notes Notes Debt Com s t k P f d S[tk Pfd s t k Com s t k 60. 0 25,.0 20,,0 48,.1 25,,9 100..0 15.,0 125..0 26,.8 40,.0 50..0 47 .6 1984 2005 1986 1995 1976-1982 1986 2000 2006 Rights offering. Includes only corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; excludes options, exchanges, and secondary offerings. MOODY'S RATING 8,.88 10,,63 9..75 10. 50 10.,20 10,,50 9,.20 6.25*•8.30 8.,91 10.,50 9..82 Baa/BBB A/AA Baa/BBB NR/AAA NR/AAA Aa/A Aa/A Aa/A 9,.92 11,.00 9,,92 11..00 Baa/BBB Ba/BB 10. 50 10,.13 10,<50 9,.20 — —— NOTES: • 1 OFFERING YIELD COUPON RATE INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ' ISSUER December 1 , t h r u December AMOUNT 2 TYPE (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 5 , 1975 MATURITY NET INTEREST COST OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING STATE AND LOCAL M i s s o u r i Environmental Improv. Auth. M i n n e s o t a , S t a t e of Washington, S t a t e of Washington, S t a t e of H a l s t e a d , Kansas H a l s t e a d , Kansas H a l s t e a d , Kansas Washington Pub. Power Supply Sys. Washington Pub, Power Supply Sys. Washington Pub. Power Supply Sys. G. Chicago Metro S a n t . D i s t . , 111. C l a y t o n Co. Sch. D i s t . , Ga. Maricopa Co. Sch. D i s t . # 3 , A r i z . C l e v e l a n d C i t y S . D . , Ohio Albuquerque Mun. Sch. D i s t . , N.M. Rev G.O. G. 0 . G.O. Rev Rev Rev Rev Rev Rev G.O. G.O. Rev G.O. G.O. 13.4 37.3 14.5 18.0 3.2 4.9 6.9 26.1 52.7 71.2 25.0 12.0 13.9 20.0 15.8 2005 1976-1995 1976-2000 1976-2000 1979-1992 2000 2006 1983-1998 2010 2018 1977-1990 1977-2002 1982-1988 1977-1996 7.88 5.61 6.30 6.30 9.56 9.56 9.56 7.87 7.87 7.87 6.00 7.39 6.43 8.00 1976-1981 7.88 3.40-6.30 3.60-6.60 3.60-6.60 6.25-8.60 9.39 9.52 5.40-7.25 7.88 7.94 4.10-6.50 4.00-7.50 5.70-6.50 6.00-8.00 A Aa Aa A A A Aaa Aaa Aaa Aa A-l A-l A A-l NOTES: 1 2 Includes only state and local security offerings of $10 million and over; excludes secondary offerings. In case of State and local government securities, G O denotes general obligation; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.-Ut., revenue bonis secured only by Income from quasl-utllities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev .-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. 3 Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. Table 6A FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS 1 J OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 4 As of December 5, 1975 ISSUER 1 1 % 1 "J t "'1 I i 1 1 j i :i j TYPE 1 AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING CORPORATE Chesapeake & Potomac Tel. Co. of Va Textron I n c . Textron I n c . Allegheny Power System J . C. Penney Co. Household Finance Corp. Household Finance Corp. D e t r o i t Edison Co. C e n t r a l Telephone Co. General Telephone Co. of Southwest General Telephone Co. of Southwest Montana Power Sperry Rand Corp*. Offshore Logistics Inc. I n d i a n a & Michigan E l e c t . Co. P o r t l a n d General E l e c t . Co. Alabama Bancorp Texasgulf I n c . Ohio Edison P u b l i c S e r v i c e E l e c t r i c & Gas Co. Burlington Northern, Inc. I n t e r n a t i o n a / Paper Co. Union Tank dar Co. Alabama Power) Co. Alabama Power Co. Northwest Endrgy Co. Denny's I n c . City Home Corp. A s s o c i a t e s Corp. of North America A s s o c i a t e s Corp. of North America C a r t e r Hawley Hale S t o r e s I n c . American Express C r e d i t Corp. So. C a r o l i n a E l e c . & Gas Southland F i n . Corp. American F i n a n c i a l Corp. Debt SF debt Notes Com s t k Com s t k Debt Debt 1 s t mtge 1 s t mtge Pfd s t k Debt 1 s t mtge Conv d e b t Fed g t r 1 s t mtge 1 s t mtge Notes Debt Pfd s t k Pfd s t k Equip t r SF debt Equip t r 1 s t mtge Pfd s t k Com s t k Com s t k Pfd s t k Notes Debt Debt Notes Pfd s t k Notes Debt 100.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 162.4 75.0 75.0 50.0 20.0 15.0 45.0 65.0 150.0 31.6 75.0 50.0 30.0 125.0 40.0 40.0 15.0 150.0 40.0 100.0 25.0 20.3 18.8 50.0 50.0 50.0 60.0 50.0 15.0 35.0 50.0 NOTES: • Included in table for first time. 1 Includes only corporate and other security issues of $15 million and over; excludes exchanges, options December 9 December 9 December 9 December 9 December 9 December 9 December 9 December 10 December 10 December 10 December 10 December 10 December 10 December 11 December 11 December 11 December 11 December 11 December 11 December 16 December 16 December 16 December 16 December 17 December 17 December December December December December December December December INDEF INDEF 10 Table 6A Continued FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 As of December 5, 1975 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Other Hudson Bay Mining & Smelting Co. Ltd. European Coal & S t e e l Community The World Bank The World Bank The World Bank Asia Development Bank SF debt Notes Debt Notes Notes Notes 50.0 100.0 250.0 250.0 250.0 75.0 December December December December December INDEF Postponement Consumers Power E l e c t r i c i t e de France B r a z i l , Government of Com s t k Notes SF debt 55.0 75.0 50.0 December December December 9 10 10 10 10 Table 6B 11 FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U S . TREASURY As of December TYPE ISSUER 1 5 , 1975 AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING STATE & LOCAL Cuyahoga Co., Ohio East Orange, N . J . Connecticut Dev. Auth. Tyler Ind. Sch. D i s t . , Texas Carson Redevelopment Agy., C a l i f . *Red River Auth. of Texas Union Co. I n d u s t . P o l l . A u t h . , N . J . Los Angeles Dept. of A i r p o r t s . , Calif Pennsylvania Hsg. Fin. Agy. P l e a s a n t Co., W. Va. Richmond, Va. *Ramapo, N.Y. *0hio, S t a t e of *Wayne Co., Mich. Indianapolis Sant. D i s t . , Ind. S t . Bernard P a r . , La. ^ V i r g i n i a Beach, Va. *Newark, N . J . Du Page Co. F o r e s t P r e s e r v e D i s t . , 111. G. 0. G.p, Rev G.O. G.O. Rev Rev 15.0 15.7 23.6 16.0 18.0 10.7 37.5 December 8 December 8 December 9 December 9 December 10 December 10 December 10 Rev Rev Rev G.O. G.O. Rev G.O. G.O. Rev G.O. G.O. 35.0 16.9 11.0 25.0 14.9 11.5 19.2 15.0 25.0 19.6 15.0 December December December December December December December December December December December G.O. 14.0 December 16 NOTES: 1 Includes state and local government issues of $10 million and over,foreigngovernment. International Bank for Reconstruction issues of Federally sponsored agencies; excludes secondary offering*. * Included in the table for the first time. 10 10 10 10 .11 11 15 16 16 16 16 Table 7 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME 1 STOCK PRICES DATE NYSE INDEX 3 | BJ INDUSTRIALS 1 AMEX 4 1 1973 - High Low 65.48 (1/11) 49 12 (12/13) 1051.50 ( 1 / 1 1 ) 788.31 ( 1 2 / 5 ) 130.47 ( 1 / 1 1 ) 85.26 (12/20) 1974 - High Low 53 37 ( 3 / 1 3 ) 32 89 ( 1 0 / 3 ) 891.66 ( 3 / 1 3 ) 577.60 ( 1 2 / 6 ) 102.01 (3/14) 58.26 ( 1 2 / 9 ) 96.53 (3/15) 54.87 (10/3) 1975 " High Low 51 24 (7/15) 37..16 ( 1 / 8 ) 881.81 (7/15) 632.04 (1/2) 96.86 ( 7 / 1 5 ) 62.20 ( 1 / 2 ) 3 10 17 24 31 45,.49 46,.67 47,.06 47 .57 47,.06 813.21 832.91 832.18 840.52 836.04 Nov. 7 14 21 28 47.24 48 .16 47., # T 48,[24 Dec. 5 45,.84 1975 Oct. y TRADING VOLUME NASDAQ NYSE 136.84 ( 1 / 1 1 ) 2 6 . 0 (9/20) 89.12 (12/13) 9 . 0 ( 8 / 2 0 ) 1 AMEX 1 NASDAQ 5.5 (1/12) 1.4 (8/20) 11.3 (1/11) 3.5 (8/27) 24.9 (1/3) 7.5 (7/5) 4.4 (1/3) .9 ( 9 / 2 6 ) 7.5 (1/3) 2.8 (7/5) 88.00 (7/15) 60.70 ( 1 / 2 ) 35.2 (2/13) 8 . 7 (9/15) 4.2 (2/21) 1 . 1 (9/15) 8 . 1 (2/13) 2.5 (9/15) 83.21 84.13 83.38 83.07 82.79 75.50 76.96 77.63 78.62 76.99 13.6 15.3 16.2 17.2 15.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.5 4.4 4.6 5.2 5.0 4.6 835.80 853.67 840.76 860.67 83.34 85.68 84.37 85.82 77.21 78.98 77.74 78.80 15.0 19.1 17.2 15.8 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.5 4.9 5.5 5.3. 4.9 818.80 82.40 74.72 17.9 1.8 5.5 NOTES: 1 Figures other then highs end lows are Fridays only. Highs end lows are for the year end are not necessarily for Fridays. 2 Volume figures are weekly averages of daily figures (millions of shares). 3 12/31/66 - 50 on everege price change until September 4, 1973 thereafter, based on market value of shares listed. Digitized4forBated FRASER Table 8 13 SECURITY CREDIT REGULATED MARGIN CREDIT EXTENDED BY END OF PERIOD BROKERS ON 1 BROKERS ON 2 CONVERTIBLE MARGIN BONDS STOCK BANKS 31 IIUDB/^lll A f • FX UAUUADAUI UNREGULATED NONMAnuIN STOCK CREDIT AT BANKS OUTSTANDING 1974 - J u l y Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 4,840 4,590 4,020: 3,930: 3,960: 3,840 158 156 148 145 139 137 1,023 953 924 916 891 856 2,091 2,119 2,060 2,024 2,053 2,064 1975 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May 3,950 4,130 4,180 4,360: 4,700: 4,990 5,300: 5,220: 5,250: 5,300 134 136 134 138 140 146 143r 142 145 144 848 830 844 824 819 n.a. n.a. 1,919 1,897 1,882 1,885 1,883 1974 - J u l y Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -320 -250 -570 -90 30 -90 -14 -3 -7 -3 —6 -2 -14 -70 -29 -8 -25 -35 1975 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May 110 180 50 180 340 290 310 -80 30 50 -3 2 -2 4 2 6 -3r -1 3 -1 -8 -18 14 -20 -5 n.a. n.a. July Aug* Sept. Oct. CHANGE IN OUTSTANDING July Aug. Sept. Oct. 19 28 -59 -36 29 11 , -145 -22 -15 -3 -2 NOTES: 1 Margin account debt as reported by the New York Stock Exchange, excluding credit for subscription issues and convertible bonds. 2 New York Stock Exchange data. 3 June data for banks are universe totals; all other data for banks represent estimates for all commercial banks based on reports by a reporting sample, which accounted for 60 per cent of security credit outstanding at banks on June 30. 4 Nonmargin stocks are those not listed on a national securities exchange and not included on the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System's list of OTC margin stocks. At banks, loans to purchase or carry nonmargin stocks are unregulated; at brokers, such stocks have no 1 Table 9 SAVINGS FLOWS AT NONBANK THRIFT INSTITUTIONS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS ( \ 1971 1972 1973 1974 \ 1974 - J u l y Aug. Sept. Oct. 1975 - June r / July Aug. r j Sept. Oct. p / 1975 - J a n u a r y February March April May July r / August xj September October £ / NET FLOW 9,621 10,067 4,815 2,909 -521 -646 319 -74 1,871 509 197 785 330 369 715 1,489 867 1,352 1,530 957 865 621 665 1 NET NEW MONEY ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 13.5 12.4 5.3 3.0 SHARE CAPITAL NET FLOW ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE NET NEW MONEY 2 TOTAL DEPOSITS NET FLOW 5,378 5,451 -442 -2,822 27,793 32,567 20,237 16,053 19.0 18.7 9.8 7.0 20,653 23,884 10,507 4,669 37,414 42,634 25,052 18,952 -733 -837 -689 -260 -481 -1,147 1,425 438 —— -581 -1,218 -l,068p 312 -1,002 -1,793 1,744 -364 716 264 -21 -338 120 6,226 3,055 1,472 3,698 2,282 3,089 2,865 1,313 631 2,103. 8,097 3,564 1,684 4,483 2,612 — —— — — —— — — — — 4.5 8.7 18.0 10.3 15.9 17.8 11.0 9.8 7.0 7.4 — —— —— — — —— — — — — —— SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 2,455 12.1 3,057 14.9 4,842 23.3 3,642 17.2 20.2 4,331 23.0 5,031 18.6 4,144 3,208 14.2 3,049 13.3 13.5 3,123 — —— —— — —— —— 2,824 3,772 6,331 4,509 5,683 6,561 5,101 4,073 3,670 3,788 2 NET NEW MONEY ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 17.2 16.7 8.4 5,8 26,331 29,335 10,062 1,847 — -1,314 -2,055 -1,757 52 __ 3,805 3,129 1,323 293 2,223 —— • —— — 9.9 13.1 21.7 15.2 19.0 21.6 16.5 13.0 11.6 11.8 —— — —— — NOTES: 1 Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. 2 New deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&L's are for insured associations only, which represent 96 per cent of industry total resources. 3 Annual growth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Source: National Association of Mutual S vir r Digitized ' ' for FRASER ' ^ • V I > F deral H'miw I | > i' ''» C T a b l e 10 15 MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS AT SELECTED THRIFT INSTITUTIONS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED NET CHANGE OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS PERIOD TOTAL ALL SAVINGS MUTUAL & LOAN SAVINGS BKS5 ASSOCIATIONS (N.Y. STATE) TOTAL ALL SAVINGS MUTUAL & LOAN SAVINGS BKS ASSOCIATIONS (N.Y. STATE) 1971 - Dec. 17.7 14.0 3.7 .49 .30 .19 1972 - Dec. 25.1 20.2 4.9 .56 .55 .01 1973 - Dec. 19.7 16.2 3.5 .15 .35 -.20 1974 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 19.3 19.2 19.5 19.7 18.5 18.0 17.3 16.7 16.2 14.9 14.4 14.4 15.9 16.0' 16.3 16.7 15.7 15.1 14.6 13.9 13.5 12.5 12.0 12.3 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.2 -.33 -.06 .20 .20 -1.08 -.61 - .64 - .56 -.56 -1.31 -.54 -.03 -.33 .13 .34 .30 -1.07 -.54 -.55 -.55 -.43 -1.01 -.42 .25 -.10 -.19 -.13 -.10 -.06 -.06 -.04 -.01 -.13 -.30 -.10 -.11 1975 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. 14.4 14.4 15.2 16.2 16.9 17.1 18.2 19.4 20.1 12.3 12.6 13.2 14.3 14.9 15.1 16.1 17.2 17.9 2.1 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 -.04 .04 .71 1.13 .72 .34 .92 1.18 .64 .06 .29 .60 1.07 .61 .27 .95 1.06 .70 -.10 -.25 .11 . .06 .11 .07 -.03 +.12 -.06 NOTES: Based on data from Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Association of New York State. Both series include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments; S&L commitments also include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded endof period outstanding levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. Table 11 16 NET NEW MONEY BORROWINGS BY MAJOR HOUSING AGENCIES IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERIOD 1973 - J u l y Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1974 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1975 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June p July p TOTAL INCLUDING SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM ISSUES TOTAL FHLB +1,475 +1,693 +1,910 /+1,946 +11 +598 +1,528 +1,349 +1,850 +1,950 -150 +256 +998 +1,349 +1,500 +1,300 -671 -695 +424 +508 +1,442 +2,699 +1,804 +878 +2,768 +1,665 -89 +507 -756 -657 +450 -4 +992 +2,250 +1,499 +200 +2,750 +1,599 +93 +961 -4 +992 +1,500 +1,000 +400 +1,700 +1,499 -217 +470 -242 -659 +440 0 -1,568 + 252 +165 -5 -254 +689 +69 -1,279 +600 +300 -4 -554 -11 -30 -1,279 0 0 FNMA +530 —— —— —— +350 +650 — —. — -150 — — -800 -657 +256 +44 —— +450 —— Notes: Based on d a t a from t h e T r e a s u r y Survey of Ownership. 1/ S a l e s of FHLB d i s c o u n t n o t e s began i n May 1974. 2% P r e l i m i n a r y . FHLMC —— —— -200 —— — — +300 0 -1 0 0 0 +750 +499 +1,050 +100 +310 +491 -1 0 + 700 + 100 0 + 600 + 300 FNMA SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES -53 +344 +60 -4 +161 +342 +85 -38 -26 +512 +450 +449 +305 +678 +18 +66 -182 -454 -237 X405 -249 -69 -289 -348 -135 T a b l e 12 NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERIOD TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA 2 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INSURANCE COMPANIES TOTAL COMMERCIAL BANKS 21,736 41,647 57,587 58,372 42,748 16,827 39,259 55,561 55,072 36,526 2,462 9,940 16,800 19,600 ,11,700 1,845 3,938 5,377 5,642 2,170 10,254 23,919 31,932 25,552 17,578 2,348 1,221 1,452 4,278 5,078 4,909 2,388 2,026 3,300 6,222 1975 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug, Sept. 1,311 1,586 2,329 3,458 3,966 4,443 4,493 4,435 4,460 860 1,512 1,942 3,268 3,909 4,401 3,783 3,937 3,703 100 -100 0 400 300 500 200 300 600 66 100 70 132 181 323 334 213 119 426 1,109 1,614 2,285 3,184 3,425 3,122 3,259 2,866 268 403 258 451 244 153 127 165 118 451 74 387 190 57 42 710 498 757 1975 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. 2,612 2,827 2,469 3,519 3,488 3,246 3,851 3,412 4,364 2,106 2,628 1,908 3,128 3,307 3,181 3,329 3,186 3,813 447 184 53 384 33 167 175 31 449 335 556 397 563 356 166 134 152 137 506 199 561 391 181 65 522 226 551 MSB's S & L's FNMA-GNMA Not S e a s o n a l l y Ad l u s t e d 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 Seasonally Adlusted p 170 242 47 166 149 193 269 167 175 1,154 1,646 1,411 2,015 2,769 2,655 2,751 2,836 3,052 / NOTES: . 1 Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks. Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and. through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these groups accounted for 83 per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1974. 2 Beginning January 1972 data reflect activity in limited amount of conventional mortgages. NET INCREASE IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING IN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES cI RESIDENTIAL QUARTER MULTFAMU & COMMERCIAI TOTAL TOTAL IV 28.1 26.4 25.5 29.6 19.4 18.2 17.2 20.4 16.3 15.0 13.6 16.5 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.9 6.4 6.0 6.5 7.4 9.5 9.2 10.1 11.3 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.9 1969 - I II III IV 32.0 29.1 25.8 25.2 23.8 21.5 18.7 18.5 19.4 16.8 14.0 13.1 4.4 4.6 4.7 5.4 6.0 5.4 5.3 5.3 10.4 10.1 10.0 10.7 2.2 2.2 1.7 1.4 1970 I II III IV 20.7 22.9 28.5 31.8 14.4 16.8 21.3 22.8 9.4 11.6 15.0 16.2 5.0 5.2 6.3 6.6 4.8 4.6 5.1 6.8 9.8 11.5 13.4 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.2 1971 - I II III IV 37.3 47.7 52.3 54.2 27.4 35.5 38.5 41.2 19.4 26.2 28.6 31.3 8.0 9.4 9.9 9.9 7.7 9.8 11.5 10.5 15.7 19.2 21.4 20.4 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.5 1972 - I II III IV 62.8 64.9 65.1 68.3 46.1 47.0 47.1 49.5 37.7 37.4 38.0 40.0 8.4 9.6 9.1 9.5 14.1 15.3 15.3 16.3 22.5 24.9 24.4 25.8 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 1973 - I II III IV 83.4 75.6 71.3 57.9 63.1 53.9 51.4 38.3 53.1 44.0 41.8 31.7 10.0 9.9 9.6 6.5 16.3 17.8 16.3 15.0 26.3 27.8 25.9 21.5 4.1 3.8 3.6 4.6 1974 - I II III IV 58.5 65.3 50.0 38.6 39.5 44.0 35.7 23.7 32.1 37.1 27.5 17.3 7.4 6.8 8.2 6.4 15.4 17.3 9.0 7.6 22 .7 24.1 17.2 14.0 3.6 4.0 5.3 7.3 1975 - I II 35.2 50.7 25.5 38.9 21.3 36.1 4.3 2.8 4.9 7.8 9.2 10.6 4.8 4.0 1968 - I II in [ | 1" to 4 FAMILY MULTIFAMILY COMMERCIAL 9.8 . FARM NOTES: 1 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurant Corporation. Federal Home Loan Bank Board. Institute of Liftf Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage dobt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. 2 May differ somewhat from related flow of funds series mainly because of more aggregative type of seasonal adjustment. 3 Residential mortage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1 to 4- family and multif amity mortgage debt,combined. T a b l e 14 PRIVATE HOUSING PERMITS, STARTS, COMPLETIONS, AND MOBILE HOME SHIPMENTS IN T H O U S A N D S OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES PERMITS 1 PERIOD TOTAL 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1,324 1,352 1,925 2,219 1,820 1,074 1975 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. . i 1—FAMILY 626 647 906 1,033 882 644 COMPLETIONS STARTS 2 - O R MORE FAMILY TOTAL 1—FAMILY 2 - O R MORE FAMILY TOTAL 1 —FAMILY MOBILE 2 - O R MORE HOME FAMILY SHIPMENTS 698 705 1,018 1,186 937 431 1,467 1,434 2,052 2,357 2,045 1,338 811 813 1,151 1,309 1,132 888 656 621 901 1,048 914 450 1,399 1,418 1,706 1,972 2,014 1,692 808 802 1,014 1,143 1,174 932 592 617 692 828 840 760 964 770 734 756 832 571 550 5^1 455 444 (f 413 401 497 576 567 329 689 701 677 837 912 508 . 515 503 603 658 182 186 173 234 254 999 1,000 985 980 1,130 739 733 775 762 887 260 267 210 218 243 1,535 1,320 1,305 1,211 1,276 949 679 270 1,094. . 884. 210 • 1,165 785 380 210 1,042 995 1,095 1,092 711 732 779 775 331 263 316 317 1,235 1,269 1,268 1,458 300 282 339 355 1,269 1,229 1,214 901 855 895 368 374 319 225 235 215 935 987 929 1,103 185 219 199 194 224 .4 NOTES: Private building permit! (for 14,000 *ee$ with permit systems, excluding farm), starts, end completion* are Census Bureau data. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins. In the case of apartment buildings, all units are considered started at that time; however, all such units are considered completed when more than half of the units in the structure are ready for use. Private mot home shipments are Mobile Home Manufacturers Association data converted to seasonally adjusted annual rate by Census Bureau. >u Permit data for 1969 and 1970 based on 13,000 areas with permit systems. T a b l e 15 AVERAGE RATES AND YIELDS ON HOME MORTGAGES CONVENTIONAL LOANS PRIMARY MARKET NEW HOMES 1 PERIOD NEW HOMES 1 RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) 1973 - High Low 8.95 7.70 107 31 8.95 7.75 107 37 1974 - High Low 9.80 8.55 45 -70 9.80 8.60 * 50 -70 1974 - O c t . Nov. Dec. 9.70 9.55 9.45 -33 -13 n.a. 9.70 9.60 9.45 -33 - 8 n.a. 1975 - J a n . '( Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept, Oct. 9.15 9.05 8.90 9.00 9.05 9.00 9.00 9.15 9.25 9.25 15 11 -70 -66 -57 -37 -25 -34 -45 3 9.20 9.05 8.95 9.05 9.10 9.05 9.05 9.15r 9.30 9.30 20 11 -65 -61 -52 -32 -20 -34 -40 8 NOTES: 1 HUD(FHA) INSURED LOANS SECONDARY MARKET EXISTING HOMES RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) 1 YIELD (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) DISCOUNT (PERCENTAGE POINTS) SPREAD BETWEEN RETURNS ON NEW A a a CONVENTIONAL UTILITY AND HUD(FHA) BOND NEW HOME YIELD MORTGAGES (IN PER CENT) (BASIS POINTS) 130 14 9.4 2.2 21 -23 8.36 7.38 10.3/ 8.54 44 -25 6.3 2.3 1 -70 x 10.46 8.10 10.13 n.a. 9.51 10 n.a. n.a. 4.6 n.a. 3.8 -43 n.a. - 6 10.03 9.68 3.8 2.6 5.4 n.a. 5.0 4.3 4.8 6.2 5.5 4.0 16 21 21 n.a. -11 - 6 -13 -17 -49 -28 9.00 8.94 9.60 9.66 9.62 9.37 9.25 9.49 9.70 9.22 8.99 8.84 8.69 n.a. 9.16 9.06 9.13 9.32r 9.74 9.53 - 1 -10 -91 -46 -31 -12 -17 4 31 , x Gross yield spread is average mortgage return before deducting servicing costs, minus average yield on new issues of high-grade utility bonds with 5-year call protection. Rates on conventional first mortgages (excluding additional fees and charges) are based on unweighted HUD (FHA) field office opinions on prevailing contract interest rates in the market areas of the Insuring offices, rounded to the nearest B beils points. For secondary market data, weighted HUD office opinions on the average bid price for HUD (FHA) loans with minimum downpayment, prepaid In 16 years, for immediate delivery, are used. / Table 16 FNMA AUCTION RESULTS HOME MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS CONVENTIONAL GOVERNMENT-UNDERWRITTEN AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) DATE OF AUCTION | OFFERED AVERAGE YIELD ACCEPTED AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) OFFERED | AVERAGE YIELD ACCEPTED 1155 (3/25) 333 (3/25) 10.59 (9/9) 164 (4/18) 63 ( 4 / 8 ) 10.71 (9/9) 26 (11.18) 18 (11/18) 8 . 4 3 (2/25 14 (10/21) 7 (11/18) 8.47 (3/11) 1974 - High Low 1975 - J a n . 13 27 25.3 41.4 21.2 28.6 9.37 9.12 17.9 11.1 14.9 10.6 9.50 9.39 Feb. 10 24 24.6 36.2 18.1 23.8 8.98 8.87 14.8 20.0 9.1 9.1 9.20 9.04 Mar. 10 24 99.2 460.5 60.1 321.4 8.78 8.85 34.4 60.7 22.1 35.8" 8.96 9.00 Apr. 7 21 551.6 470.9 277.2 247.3 8.98 9.13 99.8 79.2 May 5 19 525.5 165.6 280.4 115.0 9.29 9.25 69.8 46.4 June 2 16 30 172.5 73.4 358.7 80.4 38.6 246.9 9.14 9.06 9.07 July 14 28 333.2 415.8 174.9 247.7 9.10 9.17 Aig. Sept. 86 :=T l 44.6 ^ 8 9.13 9.26 M X 38<<£X 9.43 9.41 51.2 28.5 67.5 27.1 15.7 47.3 9.26 9.21 9.18 71.4 56.5 35.8 34.5 9.20 9.26 4 11 578.7 365.5 9.32 96.9 48.9 25- 643.1 223.0 9.50 98.5 31.0 8 530.1 197.7 9.70 96.9 43.9 9.75 68.8 35.2 9.92 27.5 23.5 10.02 22 293.6 142.0 9.86 9.38 . 9.55 6 198.5 143.0 9.95 20 43.2 23.2 9.65 9.7 9.2 9.81 Nov. 3 17 69.8 293.1 41.7 180.6 9.32 9.33 19.6 68.6 15.2 34.6 9.54 9.40 Dec. 1 255.9 138.5 9.32 73.9 40.5 9.38 Oct. NOTES: Avenge secondary market yields are gross before deduction of the fee of 38 basis points paid for mortgage servicing. They reflect the average accepted bid yield for home mortgages assuming a prepayment period of 12 years for 30-year loans, without special adjustment for Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) commitment fees and FNMA stock purchase and holding requirements on 4-month commitments. Mortgage amounts offered by bidden relate to total eligible bids received.