Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : December 8, 1954
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Not for Publication H.llj. . December 8, 19$h CAPITAL LIARKET DEVELOPMENTS No new capital issues l a s t week - No large securityissues f o r new capital were publicly offered during the week ending December 3. Several large State and local government o f f e r ings with t o t a l proceeds of 370 million dollars and corporate issues aggregating 61+ million dollars are scheduled f o r f l o t a t i o n t h i s week. The estimated December,;volume f o r State and local o f f e r ings has been increased to 875> million dollars with the announcement of the 60 million dollar Michigan Veterans bonus bond issue which was sold on December 7. This issue plus the expected proceeds from the Oklahoma Turnpike Authority and New York State Power Authority offerings w i l l help make the December volume the largest on record. No letdown is anticipated in State and local government issues early in 19$$* Several very large offerings are scheduled, namely, 390 million dollars by the I l l i n o i s Turnpike Authority, 200 million by the Texas Turnpike Company, 1J?0 million of the Sam Houston Company, and 135 million by the Public Housing Authorities, I t may be noted that most of the issues mentioned above are revenue bond issues which are more directly comp e t i t i v e on a yield basis with corporate bonds than are general obligations and t h a t the corporate calendar i s comparatively l i g h t at t h i s time. Bond yields - Yields on outstanding U. S. Government long-term obligations, corporate Aaa and high-grade municipal bonds increased one basis point l a s t week. Corporate Baa bond yields remained unchanged. Daily figures showed a slight decline on* December 7 for t h e Treasury bonds. New high i n stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 26$ common stocks continued to r i s e , setting a new high of 212.7 during the week ending December 3. Daily indexes indicated continued gains through December 7» The average daily trading volume remained a t the high level of 3'h million shares per day. . Corporate Security-Offerings • Net proceeds of corporate offerings for new c a p i t a l Corporate security offerings for new capital were 2,021 million dollars in the t h i r d quarter of 195kf as shown in Table 1, the largest quarterly volume so f a r t h i s year and nearly 30 per cent greater than the t h i r d quarter t o t a l l a s t year. Despite the H.1U . -2- increased f l o t a t i o n in the l a t e s t three-month period, the t o t a l for the f i r s t nine months t h i s year i s almost 1*00 million dollars below the volume for the comparable period in 1953. For the f i r s t time in. over a year and one-half, manufacturing companies accounted f o r the largest proportion of corporate offerings—?6^ million dollars—or 38 per cent of the t o t a l . The nine-month t o t a l this year was 1,601 million dollars, about the same level as for these three quarters a year ago* Communication company issues increased to 355 million dollars from 136 million in l a s t y e a r ' s t h i r d period. This increase was due to the 250 million dollar debenture issue sold by American Telephone and Telegraph Company in September. E l e c t r i c , gas and water u t i l i t i e s , which hadbeen the largest type of issuer since the f i r s t quarter of 1953, had sales in the t h i r d quarter this year of k$7 million dollars, almost 90 million dollars less than in that period l a s t year. The volume of offerings by public u t i l i t i e s for the f i r s t nine months was 2,265 million dollars, s t i l l somewhat above that of l a s t year. As in the second quarter, the largest decline i n the volume of offerings from a year ago occurred in the f i n a n c i a l and r e a l estate group. Proceeds from issues of t h i s group were only 119 million dollars t h i s year in contrast t o bOk million dollars in the previous t h i r d quarter, . The drop i s even more apparent in the cumulative nine-month t o t a l which i s 38I4. million dollars t h i s year and 1,369 million in 1953* Consumer finance company issues, constituting the largest portion of the financial group, have declined in almost every quarter since the peak period of April to June of 1953- The t h i r d quarter volume t h i s year was 80 million dollars, s l i g h t l y larger than l a s t quarter, but s t i l l at a low level r e l a t i v e to 1953 offerings. Iron and s t e e l companies offered the largest volume of issues within the manufacturing group. One of»the companies, United States Steel, sold 300 million dollars of s e r i a l debentures, the largest single issue of the quarter. That offering was the major factor in the increase over l a s t year's manufacturing t o t a l . Automobile companies offered 79 million dollars of securities in the t h i r d quarter t h i s year, accounted for mainly by the Chrysler Corporation private placement of 62.5 million d o l l a r s . Petroleum companies issued 70 million dollars in the t h i r d period, much more . than in the same period l a s t year. For. the nine-month period, howeever, Die 195b volume was only 177 million dollars in contrast to 330 million in 1953* Machinery companies had large offerings in the f i r s t half of both years but these did not continue a t that level in either t h i r d period. Three^large private placements by companies included in the other maniifacturing group helped to bring the quarterly t o t a l t o 168 million dollars, namely,50 million placed by Brown and Williamson, 20 million by Spartan A i r c r a f t , and 15 million by General Precision Equipment. K.lli -3Table 1 Corporate Security Offerings f o r New Capital by Type of Business of Issuer Third Quarter and F i r s t Nine Months of 1953 and 195k (Net proceeds in millions of d o l l a r s ) Type of business Third quarter 195k All corporate o f f e r i n g s 1 2,021 F i r s t nine months 1953 195k 1,561 5,662 1 6,050 1953 1,601 1,572 Manufacturing Iron and s t e e l Honferrous Machinery Automobile • Chemicals . Petroleum • Paper • Other 70 k2 168 E l e c t r i c , gas and water u t i l i t i e s k57 5k5 2,265 Communication 3# 136 ' k93 2kk 37 k2 lk9 193 ' Railroad 765 327 . 5 ' hi. 79 32 292 . ; 25 22 10 31 15 k9 75 100 "357 lk7 51 221 90 117 177 101 391 . . 228 15 426 330 107 315 2,13k Other t r a n s p o r t a t i o n 118 51 266 . 208 Commercial and other 70 59 192 203 Mining 99 30 311 128 119 UoU 39 66 38k 225 1,369 17W 200 Financial and r e a l e s t a t e Consumer finance companies Other "Bo 156 TvTVvko - - T l o + a i 1 e may m o t r not v s add + to z-x t4-o z%t4»a«-il s due t o rounding. Note.—Details Source.—Securities and Exchange Commission and Federal Reserve. H.lli -1,- Total gross proceeds of corporate o f f e r i n g s - Gross proceeds f r a n a l l corporate security i s s u e s were 2,695 and 6,983 mill i o n d o l l a r s in the t h i r d quarter and f i r s t nine months of 195b r e s p e c t i v e l y , as shown i n Table 2 . These represent increases of 66 and 10 per cent above those periods l a s t y e a r . Most of t h e large "difference between t o t a l gross proceeds and net proceeds f o r new c a p i t a l in t h i s y e a r ' s t h i r d quarter i s due t o the heavy volume of refunding issues—6b0 million d o l l a r s . Public o f f e r i n g s increased s l i g h t l y in t h e i r proportion t o t o t a l corporate o f f e r i n g s , r e l a t i v e t o b o t h l a s t y e a r ' s t h i r d quarter and t h e f i r s t half of t h i s y e a r , Kore debt i s s u e s were o f f e r e d in the t h i r d quarter of t h i s year, compared with the t h i r d quarter of 1953, and unlike the e a r l i e r period, public bond o f f e r i n g s accounted f o r more than half of a l l the bonds f l o a t e d . During the f i r s t nine months, 5,5b2 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s of bonds and notes were issued in 195b and It,971 m i l l i o n i n 1953. Issues of p r e f e r r e d stock t o t a l e d 177. million d o l l a r s i n the t h i r d period and 663 million i n the f i r s t three quart e r s of 195^. The common stock volume was 179 million d o l l a r s from July to September t h i s year and 196 million i n those months l a s t , y e a r . The proportion of common t o t o t a l o f f e r i n g s in both the t h i r d quarter and in the f i r s t nine months i s smaller than in comparable periods of 1953« Table 2 Total Corporate Security Offerings by Type of Issue Third Quarter and F i r s t Nine Months of 1953 and 195b (Gross proceeds i n millions of d o l l a r s ) Type of issue Third quarter 195b Toi*al corporate o f f e r i n g s 1 1953 F i r s t nine months 195b 1 1953 . 2,695 1,62k Type of o f f e r i n g Public Private .1,766 929 935 689 b,bbb 2,539 Type of s e c u r i t y Bonds and notes Public Private 2,339 1,U60 879 1,346 665 681 5,5b2 3,131 2,bll Preferred stock 177 82 663 391 Common stock 179 196 777. 996 Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s due t o rounding. Source.—Securities and Exchange Commission. 6,358 SB. 11. " 6,983 \ H-lii Further d e t a i l s on capital market developments available frcm exhibits - More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments w i l l be found in the following exhibits which are attached hereto; - , ' A - Bond Yields B - Stock Market C - Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements D - Large Public Security Issues for Hew Capital (other than U. S. Treasury) E - Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (other than U. S. Treasury) ' F - Yields on New and Outstanding Public U t i l i t y Bonds, rated Aa and A Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT H.14 A BOND YIELDS PER CENT PER A N N U M WEEKLY CORPORATE Baa CORPORATE U.S. Aaa GOVERNMENT LONG-TERM I h i g h - g r a d e m u n i c i p a l Corporate 3 / Aaa 19 5 4 1953 1952 I Baa long-term 2 / Spread between Corporate Aaa and U . S . Govt. Highgrade^ (Per cent per annum) 1951 - High Loir 1952 •- High 1953 - Higi 195L - Hitfi Lew November November November November December • 5 12 19 26 3 3-03 2.65 3.03 2.91 3-U2 2.99 3-09 2.85 2.88 2.89 lit 3.U8 3.89 3.50 3.7U 3.U5 3.U6 3.1»5 18 2.71* 2;38 in lllk 2.1k Z.hk 36 2.5U \% 2.56 2.57 2.26 1.59 2.U3 2.00 3-3i« 2.2(3 2.56 2.23 2.30 2.28 2.28 2.28 2.29 • 1 / Moody's Investors Service; weekly average of d a i l y l i g u i e 2 / Federal Reserve; weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . 5 / Standard and P o o r ' s Corporation; Wednesday f i g u r e . Note.—Highs and lows are for individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t c for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . STOCK MARKET 1947-49.100 — Bank l o a n s Customers' t o " o t h e r s " Trading . Common s t o c k f o r purchases Stock p r i c e volume 2 / yields 3 / of s e c u r balances h/ index 1 / (per c e n t (millions ities 5/ (millions (192*7-^9-100) of s h a r e s ) per annum) of d o l l a r s ) ( m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1951 - High 1952 - High Low 1953 - High Loir 195U - H i # October November November 19 November 26 December 3 ~ 158.6 11*0.3 165-3 151.7 167.1 liiU.O 212.7 156.5 196,6 205". 3 205.1 211.1 212.7 ' 3.It 1.1 2.0 0.9 2.5 0.9 3.24 l.li 2.1 3.2 3.2i 3-U 3.it 5.55 5.77 - M 5.75 5.15 . 5.33 - H 9 u.57 ii.39 1,297 . 1,219 1,328 l,2lil 1,66$ 1,311 2,095 1,653 2,095 . 3U0 260 '£ 327 252 It72 g L6l U65 U71 h72 1 / SEC i n d e x of 265 common s t o c k s , w e e k l y c l o s i n g p r i c e ,, 1 9 3 9 - 1 0 0 ; c o n v e r t e d t 19!i7-£9-100^by f o r a g e s S Qf d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on Mew York Stock Exchange. l o a n s have f l u c t u a t e d more t h a n t o t a l l o a n s . N o t e . — H i g h s and lows for different series. a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and nay be cn d i f f e r e n t d a t e s H.ll* Exhibit C Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of d o l l a r s ) New c a p i t a l Corporate 1954 January February March April May June July • August September October November December 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter l*th quarter Year $hk 1*39 . 1 1953 623 623 660 666 I186 6# 859 779 675 1,123 898 1*83 31*6 776 #5 01 l,6li3 1,998 2,021 e/1,770 i/7,385 1 615 1*13 951 396 1*11 769 565 - 1,237 3 / 291 577 2/ 1,912 519 259 261 3/875 1,372 2,331* : 1,188 e/1,885 %780 358 300 156 >55 329 619 279 61*9 e:Sy 389 360 1*26. 1*3U e/610 e/hOO 31*0 851 S t a t e and l o c a l T 1 7 1 9 5 3 1 ? / 1952 853 390 ; S - v 2/ 731* 71*8 999 1,979 2,578 S8,195n •1951* 870 990 M 1,1*38 1952 3% 630 ' 21*1* 201 1*71* 1*75 1*53 1*08 771* 1,176 1,1*12 1,253 1,636 5,1*77 ' ' 303 183 398 815 1,1*77 919 885 1*,096 Excluding finance companies 3 / 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter l*th quarter Year 1,#2 1,931 1,911 5/1,720 e/7,130 1,669 1,991. 1,223 2,31*4 7,227 . 1,961 2,521 1,877 2,091* 8,1*52 issueo 2 / Includes 603 million d o l l a r AT&T debenture i s s u e . 3/ Total new c a p i t a l issues excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and ; personal finance companies. . of Estimated. r / Revised. . Note,—Details may not add t o t o t a l s due to rounding. i . H.lU Exhibit D Large Public Security Issues for.New Capital (other than U. S. Treasury) 1/. Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1953 - November December 1 % - January February March April May June July • August September October November 96 963 289 103 160 169 32k 350 3# . 75 #5 i;13 0 State and local government .2# 571 I6h 213 378 557 557 603 92 86 455 388 268 ' Other 2/ 19 50 119 50 Large Individual Issues Offered December 1 through 3 Issuer Amount Coupon ... (millions Maturity r a t e or Offering Rating of net i n t e r yield dollars) est cost Type CORPORATE None STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT • None OTHER ¥ None over;"state and local government security offerings of 5 million and over. 2 / Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . H.lli Exhibit E Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for N.esv«r Capital (other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcomiiig Large Issues During month following date shown State and Corporate local govt. Other 2/ Date of computation - Nov. 30 Dec. 31 — Jan. 29 Feb. 26 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 28 June 30 July 30 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 29 Nov. 30 91*8 232 118 108 201* 323 332 336 100 334 3k3 15 9k 537 179 161 1*98 5# #5 596 86 Sh 300 383 136 66l 73 123' 50 27 30 Subsequent to date shown Corporate 1,616 669 1*79 690 5# 61*7 : 526 • 532 303 608 klh 135 21*6 1,752 1,238 1,660 1,916 2,789 2,322 1,971 ' 1,521* 1,553 1,876 2,158 1,957 2,682 88 138 50 27 - 30 30 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as"of December 3 Issuer Type Amount Approximm&te date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Long Island Lighting 1st mtg. bonds Common stock Virginia Electric and Power Co. Tennessee Gas Transmission Bonds New England Telephone and Telegraph Deb. Commonwealth Edison Conv. deb. New England Power 1st mtg. bonds Public Service of Oklahoma 1st mtgo bonds Pfd. stock Public Service Electric & Gas Co. 1st mtg. bonds Kansas City Power and Light, New England Telephone and Telegraph Common stock Consumer Power Company Bonds 15.0 17.U 32.0 30.0 50.0 25.0 20.0 25.0 16.0 15.8 30.0 December 7 ! December 8 December 8 December ll* , January 11 January 18 „ January • January February 15 March 1955 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT ' *State of Michigan New York Thruway Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Jefferson and S t . Tammany Parishes, La. . G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. 60,0 50.0 211*.0 1*6.0 December December December December 7 7 3 8 H.m E-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings as of December 3 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Spokane County, Washington Tampa, Florida Puerto Rico Water Resources Auth. New Orleans, Louisiana New York S t a t e Power Authority S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a Public Housing A u t h o r i t i es Los Angeles Dept. of'Water & Power I l l i n o i s Turnpike Authority Texas Turnpike Company ___ 3am Houston Company Los Angeles School D i s t s . , Cal. Inter-American Center Auth.,. F l a . Michigan Turnpike Authority S t a t e of Louisiana Metropolitan Water D i s t . of So. Cal. *New York S t a t e Bridge Authority Dade County P o r t Authority, F l a . Springfield,; Illinois Allegheny County, Pennsylvania Sanitary Authority C a l i f o r n i a Toll Bridge Authority Texas Turnpike Authority " F l o r i d a State Turnpike Authority Jersey City Sewerage Auth., N. J . North Carolina Turnpike Authority 315 oO 60.0 135.0 18.0 390.0 200.0 150.0 20.0 . 60.0 186.0 80.0 8-10.0 15*9 21.0 ' 9.0 December lij. December llj. December lit December 15 December 15 January 5 January 11 January 26 January" January January January Spring Spring Spring Spring 1955 1955 1955 Rev. Rev. n.a. 85.0 . 235.0. 59.0 89.0 16.0 200.0 1955 1955 1955 1955 • 1955 1955 . Bonds 30.0 G.O., Rev. Rev. G.O. Rev. n.a. n.a. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. ' G.O. • Rev. Rev. nva. Rev. Rev. 5.0 10.0 1 i OTHER Kingdom of Belgium December 15 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of 15 million d o l l a r s and over3 S t a t e and l o c a l government issues of £ million and over. 2 / includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction azid Development i s s u e s . n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . -*—Included in t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. E x h i b i t , p* Yields on New and Outstanding Public U t i l i t y Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date A-rated o f f e r i n g yields Aa-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above . Actual Actual seasoned yields (per cent) seasoned yields (per cent) (basis points (basis, points) 1952 average • 3.18 1U 3.37 12 1953 average 3.4*1 16 3.78 25 1953 - January February March Apr i l , May . June July August September October November December 3.2S 3.39 3.bo 3.U8 ' . 3.79 11 19 • 17 16 28 *3.68 None None 3.3b *3.28 *3.30 195U - January February March April" May June July August September 3.20 3.02 *2.93 2.99 3.00 *3.00 None None 3.02, October j? 6 6 • 14 15 19 21 26. 28 : November 29 6 7 5 6 0 0 2 h 1 ' 3 3.03 3. oh 3.04 h h h 3.00 1 None — None None 3.59 3.88 3.99 h.10 *U.oo None 3:92 3.56 3.1t2 3.51 23 hi 37 39 30 29 7 2 10 3.3k *3.20 3.05 3.10 3.H; 3.Hi *3.13 3.11 *3.10 2 -1 -10 -6" -1 -2 . . -1 -1 ' -3 3.12 -1 3.12 3.10 0 -2 3.08 3*07 3.08 -3 -h -h None — - : 0 December 1 3.11 1/ Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as reported i n Moody's Bond" Survey. Except where indicated, the actual y i e l d f i g u r e and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new o f f e r i n g yields and yields on seasoned issues' of similar q u a l i t y f o r the sane day. •k—Single observation, not an average.