Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : December 6, 1971
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DECONTROLLED 'AFTER SIX M O M S D e c e m b e r 6, 1971 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS INDEX 3-5 Developments in the Corporate and Municipal Bond Markets 6-7 Capital Market Yields 8-13 Capital Market Volume 14-17 Stock Market 18-33 Mortgage Market SYMBOLS: e Estimate p Preliminary r Revised • n.a. Not available 3 T A B L E 1 : Y i e l d s , Volume and R e c e p t i o n CORPORATE BOND MARKET WEEK ENDING: YIELDS MOODY'S SEASONED NEW ISSUE ' Aaa GROSS OFFERINGS VOLUME2 PER CENT SOLD BY E N D BONDS SCHEDULED OF W E E K W I T H I N 28 DAYS 1971 - N o v . 5 12 19 26 7.05 7.12 7.23 7.17 7.25 7.24 7.27 7.28 552 584 488 183 80 79 68 Dec. 3 10 7.18 n. a. 7.28 n. a. 213 550e 85 n.a. MOODY'S SEASONED Aaa 74 *• n.a. n.a. MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME2 YIELDS W E E K ENDING: n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. BOND BUYER S E A S O N E D 20 B O N D INDEX GROSS OFFERINGS PER CENT* SOLD BY E N D OF W E E K 1971 - N o v . 5 12 19 26 4.75 4.90 4.90 5.15 499 5.19 5.25 5.36 383 696 863 185 66 06 69 74 Dec. 3 10 5.20 n.a. 5.44 n. a. 404 432* 86 n.a. BONDS SCHEDULED W I T H I N 28 DAYS ^ 1,584 1,245 1,180 1,433 1,472 n.a. 1 Derived by a d j u s t i n g to a A a a basis, n e w issues of p u b l i c l y - o f f e r e d corporate bonds with call protection, rated A , A a , or A a a by M o o d y ' s Investors Service (except serial and c o n v e r t i b l e issues, offerings of natural gas pipeline and foreign c o m p a n i e s , and bonds guaranteed by the Federal G o v e r n m e n t . ) 2 M i l l i o n s of dollars unless otherwise indicated. Note: See footnotes to T a b l e 3 T A B L E 2: D e t a i l s on Inventories i | DATE OFFERED , C O R P O R A T E BONDS IN SYNDICATE END OF LATEST W E E K RATING AND ORIGINAL YIELD C A L L PROTECTION ISSUER COUPON AMOUNT (MIL. 4) Gen. Tel Hartford Iowa P & Orange & 50.0 30.0 15.0 12.0 25.0 75.0 50.0 12/2 12/1 11/29 11/29 11/18 11/15 11/19 DATE OFFERED | RELEXSED 11/10 11/30 G e n . T e l o£ S. E . So. Cent*1 Bell Tel Honeywell Fin 5 12 19 26 Dec. 3 a N.C. 6.60 6.95 N.R. 7 3/8 Cincinnati G & E 60.0 DATE - Nov. 6 3/4 7.00 A Aa Aa Baa Baa Aaa yrs yrs yrs yrs yrs yrs yrs 50% 40% 40% 60% 98% 90% C O R P O R A T E BONDS RELEASED FROM SYNDICATE DURING LATEST W E E K E S T I M A T E D PROORIGINAL INCREASE R A T I N G A N D IN YIELD C A L L P R O T . P O R T I O N R E L E A S E D ISSUER COUPON AMOUNT YIELD INVENTORIES 1971 8.00 8.00 7.63 7.55 7.58 7.90 7.90 7-5/8 7 5/8 7 5/8 Calif Elec L Rock Util [ E S T I M A T E D PRO1 PORTION SOLD MUNICIPALS I IN SYNDICATE BLUE LIST | 218 892 360 901 453 979 280 993 845 148 7.29 » +12 Aaa 5yrs 45% 1 CORPORATES IN SYNDICATE 158 214 288 14} 59 - No call protection. All figures in millions of dollars. Digitized 1for FRASER daily average of three days Blue List is daily average for week ended Friday,except ended Wednesday. All other figures are as of Friday. for latest "week ~ T A B L E 3: High Grade Bond Y i e l d s DATE NEW CORPORATE Aaa1 MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa 2 U.S. GOVERNMENT 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITIES 3 BOND BUYER'S SEASONED MUNICIPALS 4 1969 - H i g h Low 8.85 6.90 (12/26) (2/21) 7.84 (12/26) 6 . 5 5 (1/12) 6.97 5.96 (12/26) (1/24) 6.90 4.82 (12/18) (1/28) 1970 - H i g h Low 9 . 3 0 (6/19) 7.68 (12/18) 8 . 6 0 (7/3) 7 . 4 8 (12/31) 7.55 6.17 (5/29) (12/18) 7.12 5.33 (5/29) (12/11) 1971 - H i g h Low 8.23 6.76 7.71 (8/13) 7.06 (2/12) 6.51 5.69 (6/18) (3/23) 6.23 4.97 (6/24) (10/21) (5/12) (1/29) Nov. 5 12 19 26 7.05 7.12 7.23 7.17 7.25 7.24 7.27 7.28 5.79 5.84 5.83 5.93 4.99 5.19 5.25 5.36 Dec. 3 7.18 7.28 5.96 5.44 1 N e w c o r p o r a t e issues, w i t h call p r o t e c t i o n , a d j u s t e d (as d e s c r i b e d in footnote 1 of T a b l e 1) to a A a a b a s i s . 2 W e e k l y a v e r a g e of daily figures. A v e r a g e term of b o n d s included is 2 2 - 2 4 years. 3 W e e k l y a v e r a g e of daily figures. 4 T h u r s d a y figures. T h e a v e r a g e rating of the 20 b o n d s used in this index \ ' falls m i d w a y b e t w e e n the four top groups as c l a s s i f i e d b y M o o d y ' s Investors Service. N o t e — H i g h s and lows are for i n d i v i d u a l series and m a y b e on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t series. j .. V T A B L E 4: Long-term C o r p o r a t e and S t a t e and L o c a l G o v e r n m e n t S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and P l a c e m e n t s (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) t GROSS PROCEEDS CORPORATE PERIOD 1 STATE A N D LOCAL 1971 1970 1969 January February March 3,115 3,000 6,075 2,636 1,802 3,539 2,075 2,045 2,098 April May J u n e >- 4,007 3,271 4,375 3,170 3,909 3,389 2,748 2,076 2,530 July August September 4,147 2,532 3,768 2,768 2,274 2,518 - 2,478 1,427 2,427 October November December 3,010e 2,777 4,182 3,980 12,190 11,654 10,447 23,844 34,291 1st2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 1st h a l f Three quarters Year 2 1971 1970 1969 3,706 1,839 2,156 1,340 1,214 1,555 1,262 987 538 ; j 1,920 2,140 J2.035 1,647 996 1,085 1,801 ! 1,110 1,964 1,892 2,061 1,348 1,359 1,758 1,097 808 559 1,933 2,375 2,532 l,700e 1,924 1,748 2,190 1,280 886 816 7,977 10,468 8,560 11,939 6,218 7,354 6,332 6,840 6,701 6,095 5,917 4,109 3,728 4,465 5,862 2,787 3,648 , 2,464 : 2,982 18,445 27,005 38,944 13,572 19,904 26,744 12,796 18,713 7,837 12,302 18,164 6,435 j 8,899 f 11,881| 1 j | j . 737 1 - j j 1 1 2 3 S e c u r i t i e s and E x c h a n g e C o m m i s s i o n e s t i m a t e s of g r o s s p r o c e e d s . I n v e s t m e n t B a n k e r s A s s o c i a t i o n of A m e r i c a e s t i m a t e s of p r i n c i p a l a m o u n t s . T o t a l gross p r o c e e d s e x c l u d i n g o f f e r i n g s of sales and c o n s u m e r finance companies. T A B L E 5: New C o r p o r a t e Security I s s u e s , T y p e of I s s u e and I s s u e r (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) QUARTER OR MONTH TOTAL PUBLICLY OFFERED GROSS P R O C E E D S B Y T Y P E OF I S S U E COMMON AND PRIVATELY PFD. ISSUES INCLUDED PLACED STOCK FOREIGN CONVERTIBLE 83 1970 - I I I IV 8,560 11,938 5,937 7,827 914 1,421 1,659 2,690 1971 - I II III 12,190 10,447 8,369 6,546 4,725 1,516 1,758 1,641 3,384 4,079 1970 - O c t . Nov. Dec. 3,777 . 4,181 3,979 2,390 3,001 2,436 304 283 834 1,083 898 709 159 1971 - J a n . Feb. Mar. 3,115 3,000 6,075 2,033 594 275 647 489 524 1,293 43 3 38 Apr. May June 4,042 3,271 4,375 2,116 507 491 760 1,419 633 1,332 116 July Aug. Sept. 4,147 2,532 3,768 1,331 1,428 1,966 619 416 606 2,196 687 1,196 O c t . e/ 3,010 1,950 500 560 1 11,688 2,201 4,135 2,148 2,282 2,306 GROSS PROCEEDS BY T Y P E OF I S S U E R MFG. PUBLIC UTILITY S e c u r i t i e s and E x c h a n g e C o m m i s s i o n . CATIONS 868 OTHER ISSUERS1 2,663 4,020 226 287 737 2,314 3,169 2,714 3,406 84 215 114 724 1,351 652 3,794 3,130 2,202 3,197 2,910 2,651 56 388 184 1,006 1,101 1,107 1,056 1,350 955 282 1,300 1,033 1,687 99 716 168 661 676 1.069 1,452 391 683 532 1.332 587 1,675 273 405 11 1 6 5 1,346 1,606 896 2,263 371 693 3,594 4,753 3.331 557 2,417 384 255 712 1,135 588 1,206 1,267 588 1,055 218 1,367 1,489 1,897 72 34 199 1,210 359 293 732 849 1.070 1,622 8 582 474 1,146 282 850 1,271 210 500 800 410 1,300 47 52 160 O t h e r issuers a r e e x t r a c t i v e , r a i l r o a d and other t r a n s p o r t a t i o n , real e s t a t e and finance, and c o m m e r c i a l and o t h e r . Source: able. COMMUNI- Q u a r t e r l y s u p p l e m e n t s are a v a i l - T A B L E 6: L a r g e Long-term P u b l i c Security I s s u e s for New C a p i t a l (Other t h a n U.S. T r e a s u r y ) 1 Nov. ISSUER TYPE2 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY COUPON R A T E OR NET INTEREST C O S T 29, thru D e c . 3, OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING Corporate M i n n e a p o l i s Gas C o I o w a Pwr & L i g h t C o i H o u s t o n L i g h t i n g & Pwr C o G e n 1 1 T e l of C a l i f D e l m a r v a Pwr & L i g h t C o H a r t f o r d E l e c L i g h t Co A l l e g h e n y Pwr S y s t e m Inc C l e v e l a n d Elec I l l u m i n a t i n g C o S.F. debs 1st m t g 1st m t g 1st m t g 1st m t g 1st,mtg Com stk Pref 1996 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 12.0 15.0 50.0 50.0 35.0 30.0 43.9 50.0 1 7.88 7.63 7.50 7.63 7.63 7.63 7.88 7.58 7.37 7.63 7.55 7.55 . A Aa Aaa -- -- -- A Aa Aa 1971 T A B L E 6: L a r g e Long-term P u b l i c Security I s s u e s for New C a p i t a l ( c o n t i n u e d ) (Other than U.S. T r e a s u r y ) 1 AMOUNT (MILLIONS ISSUER TYPE 2 OF DOLLARS) MATURITY N o v . 29, t h r o u g h D e c . 3 . COUPON | RATE OR j OFFER MOODY'S NET INTER- ! i;;c RATING EST C O S T j YIELD S t a t e and L o c a l Connecticut, State of Oneida Co., N.Y. Oneida Co., N.Y. U n i v e r s i t y of T e x a s Suffolk Co., N.Y. P e n n a , S t a t e of Benna, State of Chicago, 111. Milwaukee, Wise. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O, 12.5 4.1 12.0 50.0 17.0 50.0 75.0 25,0 17.0 1972-1981 1972-1996 1972-2001 1972-2002 1972-1995 1974-2001 1974-2001 1976-1986 1972-1991 -— -—- 5.47 5.22 5.31 5.31 —— 4.63 2.70-4.25 2.75-5.20 2.80-5.25 2.75-5.70 3.90-5.50 3.40-5.65 3.40-5.76 3.90-4.00 2.85-5.70 Aaa —— —— A-l A Aa A-l A-l Aaa Rights offering. I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and other security o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; State and local security offerings of $10 m i l l i o n and over. In case of S t a t e and local government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. d e n o t e s general o b l i g a t i o n ; K e v . - U t . , revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from p u b l i c u t i l i t i e s ; R e v . - Q . - U t . , revenue bonds secured only by income from q u a s i - u t i l i t i e s ; R e v . - S . T . , r e v e n u e bonds secured by r e v e n u e from specific taxes only; R e v . - R e n t . , revenue b o n d s secured solely by lease p a y m e n t s . I n c l u d e s foreign g o v e r n m e n t and I n t e r n a t i o n a l B a n k for R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development issues and n o n - q u a r a n t e e d issues by Federal A g e n c i e s . 1971 10 T A B L E 7: F o r t h c o m i n g L a r g e Long-term P u b l i c S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s for New C a p i t a l (Other than U.S. T r e a s u r y ) 1 ,e0nlinUed> TYPE ISSUER A s o f D e c . 3 . 1971 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) A P P R O X I M A T E DATE OF O F F E R I N G S t a t e and L o c a l G r e a t e r A n c h o r a g e A r e a Borough, Alaska New Jersey Hennepin Co., Minn. Phoenix, Ariz. N a s s a u C o . , N. Y . A l b a n y C o . , N. Y . A n n A r b o r Pub S c h . , M i c h . West Virginia Warwick, R.I. New Y o r k City C h i c a g o Pub Budg Co O k l a . , C a p i t a l Imp A u t h O r e g o n , S t a t e of O r l e a n s Parish S c h Bd HAA D a l l a s , Texas Richmond, Va. N Y C H o u s i n g D e v e l Corp V e r m o n t M u n i Bond B a n k O h i o , S t a t e of L'anse Creuse Pub C/D, Mich. P h i l a d e l p h i a S c h D i s t . Pa ! * Included G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Bonds G.O. & Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 10.0 75.0 10.7 10.0 48.9 70.0 12.9 40.0 11.3 376.8 55.0 17.5 68.0 12.0 253.0 11.0 35.0 100.0 p.o 60.0 22.6 40.5 . / December December December December December December December December December December December December December December December December December December December January January March 6 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 7 17 7 . in table for first time. I n c l u d e s corporate and other issues of 515 m i l l i o n and over; State and G o v e r n m e n t issues of $10 m i l l i o n and over. local I n c l u d e s foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank for R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and D e v e l o p m e n t issues and n o n - g u a r a n t e e d issues of Federal A g e n c i e s . 11 T A B L E 7: F o r t h c o m i n g L a r g e Long-term P u b l i c S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s for New C a p i t a l (Other t h a n U.S. T r e a s u r y ) 1 (continued) ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF . DOLLARS) As of D e c e m b e r 3 , 1971 APPROXIMATE DATE OF O F F E R I N G Corporates E q u i t y F u n d i n g C o r p of A m e r i c a Investors D i v Sves Inc M i c h i g a n Wisconsin Pipeline Co M o n y H t g e Inv Dominion Bankshares Duke Pwr Go Duke Pwr Co Burlington Northern Inc. Burlington Northern Inc. New York Telephone Co Penna Elec Co Hotel Investors Atlantic Bancorp Pacific LightingJService Co. G e n ' l T e l e Co of I n d i a n a Philadelphia Elec Co Heitman M t g e Investors C o n n e c t i c u t L i g h t & P o w e r Co C o n n e c t i c u t L i g h t & P o w e r Co A l a b a m a P o w e r Co . Alison Mtge & Inv. Trust Alabama Power Co First National State Bancorp Debs Debs Bonds Debs Debs Bonds Notes Eq tr Eq tr Bonds Bonds Debs Debs Debs Bonds 1st m t g Debs Bonds 1st m t g 1st m t g Debs Pref stk Notes 38.5 35.0 40.0 50.0 15.0 40.0 60.0 16.0 34.0 200.0 . 30.0 20.0 20.0 26.0 18.0 80.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 25.5 25.0 - 38.0 -25.0 / Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 13 13 13 14 14 15 15 15 15 Long Island Lighting Co B e l l T e l e C o of Pa Texas Elect SVC Oklahoma G & E Northern Natural Gas Co P u b SVC Co of I n d . Kentucky Power Co C a r o l i n a P o w e r & L i g h t Co Lone Star Gas Co L o u i s i a n a P o w e r & L i g h t Co 1st m t g Bonds Bonds Bonds Debs Bonds Bonds Stocks Debs Bonds Bonds Bonds Bonds 50.0 125.0 30.0 30.0 60.0 50.0 50.0 45.0 30.0 25.0 40 0 100.0 20.0 Dec. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 16 5 10 11 11 12 17 18 18 19 20 25 27 Tampa Elect C & P T e l e C o of M d . G e n ' l T e l e C o of 1 1 1 . v 12 Table 8 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME TRADING VOLUME d STOCK PRICES 1 NYSE INDEX 3 - D J . INDUSTRIALS AMEX 4 1969 - H i g h Low 50.32 (5/14) 49.31 (7/29) 968.85 769.93 (5/14) 32.91 (12/17) 2 5 . 0 2 (1/13) (7/29) 16.5 8.6 (3/29) (8/29) 8.0 (1/31) 3.6 (11/21) 1970 - H i g h Low 52.36 37.69 (1/5) (5/26) 8 4 2 . 0 0 (12/2ST) 2 7 . 0 2 631.16 (5/26) 19.36 (1/8) (5/27) 18.5 7.8 (12/4) (8/14) 7.1 (1/2) 1.8 ( 8 / 1 4 ) 1971 - High 57.76 48.73 (4/28) (1/4) 950.82 (4/28) 26.68 8 3 0 . 5 7 (1/4) 22.72 (4/28) (1/4) 22.1 (2/#) 6.7 (2/12) 2.7 (8/13) Low 54.66 Oct. 54.94 ^ 15.... 5 4 . 0 6 52.82 22 52.07 29 Nov. 5 12 19 26 Dec. 893.98 893.91 874.85 852.37 t 25.54 11.0 (8/13) 11.4 14.8 12.3 13.9 25.71 25.37 24.95 3.1 4.1 3.8 3.5 839.00 24.61 12.3 3.1 52.16 50.85 840.39 812.94 24.54 24.10 13.1 12.4 3.3 50.47 50.57 810.67 816.59 23.78 23.63 12.2 12.7 53.51 859.59 24.60 18.6 2.8 . \ 3.0 3.4 4.5 NOTES: 1. Figures other than highs and lows are Fridays only. Highs.and . lows are for the year and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2. NYSE is the New York Stock Exchange; AMEX is the American Stock Exchange. Volume figures are daily averaged for the entire week, (millions of shares). Trading is normally conducted for 5-1/2 hours per day and 5 days per week, or In recent years, however abbreviated trading to the extent, and over the time Hours/ Days/ Through: From Week January 3, 1 % 9 July 7, 1969 January 2, 1970 July 3, 1969 December 31, 1969 Hay 1, 1970 3. 12/31/65 - 50 4. Average dollar value of shares listed. 4 4-1/2 5 5 5 5 27-1/2 hours per week. periods, shown below: Hours/ Week 20 22-1/2 25 13 T A B L E 9 : Security Credit END OF P E R I O D CREDIT EXTENDED TO MARGIN CUSTOMERS BY: BROKERS1 I BANKS 2 I TOTAL CUSTOMERS' NET DEBIT BALANCES NET CREDIT C U S T O M E R S ' N E T E X T E N D E D BY FREE C R E D I T BROKERS A N D DEALERS 3 BALANCES Outstanding; 1970 Oct. Nov. Dec. 1971 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. 6,280 4,010 4,010 4,030 2,270 2,320 2,303 6,330 6,360 (4) (4) (4) 4,000 4,090 4,300 4,530 4,620 4,720 4,790 4,850 4,930 4,950 2,300 .,2,330 2,360 2,340 2,340 2,390 2,420 2,430 2,430 2,410 6,300 6,420 6,660 6,870 6,960 7,110 7,210 7,280 7,360 7,360 (4) (4) (4) • (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) 2,163 2,197 2,286 2,452 2,743 2,798 2,660z 2,550 2,440 2,210 2,200 2,100. 2,160 (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) C h a n g e in Outstanding 1970 1971 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. 90 20 -30 90 210 230 90 100 70 -60 50 10 30 50 30 -73 34 89 -30 30 30 -60 120 240 210 90 150 100 70 80 291 291 55 -138 -20 50 30 60 80 10 20 -20 -110 110 230 -10 100 60 M a r g i n d e b t , as reported by the N e w Y o r k S t o c k E x c h a n g e . A l t h o u g h m a r g i n debt u n t i l M a r c h 1968 included loans secured by U . S . g o v e r n m e n t s , the amount of such loans included is thought to h a v e been small. " B a n k loans to others than b r o k e r s and d e a l e r s for. purchasing or c a r r y i n g secur i t i e s o t h e r than U . S . g o v e r n m e n t s . " T h e d i f f e r e n c e b e t w e e n c u s t o m e r s ' net debit b a l a n c e s and c u s t o m e r s ' n e t free c r e dit b a l a n c e s , this figure r e p r e s e n t s the net credit extended by b r o k e r s and d e a l e r s to the n o n f i n a n c i a l p u b l i c . N O T E : W i t h the exception of b a n k loan data, figures are supplied by the N e w Y o r k S t o c k E x c h a n g e and are end of m o n t h d a t a . B a n k loans are for w e e k l y r e p o r t i n g large c o m m e r c i a l b a n k s . B r o k e r data i n c l u d e s loans for regulated s e c u r i t i e s ; b a n k data i n c l u d e s loans for the p u r p o s e of p u r c h a s i n g or c a r r y i n g any s e c u r i t y , w h e t h e r Seizes3 ^ s continued. C h a n g e s in s e r i e s . T A B L E 10: S a v i n g s F l o w s a t Noobank D e p o s i t a r y I n t e r m e d i a r i e s ($ m i l l i o n s ) DATE MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS 3 NET NEW ANNUAL MONEY2 GROWTH NET 1 RATE FLOW SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS NET SHARE CAPITAL NEW ' ANNUAL M ONEY2 NET GROWTH FLOW RATE 1 TOTAL DEPOSITS ANNUAL NET' GROWTH RATE 1 FLOW ; NET NEW MONEY 2 Not Seasonably Adjusted 7.0 4.0 6.7 4,203 2,549 4,466' 1968 1969 1970 1970 - S e p t e m b e r October November 575 276 497 1971 - September O c t o b e r j>/ N o v e m b e r e/ 793 382 600 __ —1 — . 1,143 -763 936 7,432 4,200 11,173 -8 138 388 1,827 1,130 1,103 105 224 n. a. 2,671 1,592 1,400 —— i 6.0 3.2 8.2 -. — -- ' • 2,738 -1,003 5,295 11,635 6,749 15,639 575 1,050 1,044 2,402 1,406 1,600 1,091 1,492 n. a. 3,464 1,974 2,000 6.3 3.4 7.7 „— • — — ' -- 3,881 -1,766 6,231 567 1,188 1,432 1,196 1,716 n. a. Seasonally Adjusted 1971 - M a y June July August September October £/ N o v e m b e r e/ 1 2 3 7/5 m.8 SGfr*^ 425 643 543 643 12,7 12.9 8.8 6.6 9.9 8.3 9.8 —— — — — — —— 1,996 2,152 2,598 1,285 2,160 1,881 1,427 15.1 16.1 19.2 9.3 15.6 13.4 10.1 — — ---- 2,791 2,970 3,164 1,710 2,803 2,424 2,070 14.3 15.1 15.9 8.4 13.8 11.8 10.0 A n n u a l growth rate for m o n t h l y data is the a n n u a l i z e d m o n t h l y p e r c e n t a g e i n c r e a s e in d e p o s i t s . N e t N e w M o n e y is new deposits net of both w i t h d r a w a l s and i n t e r e s t . Data for S&Ls are for insured a s s o c i a t i o n s only, w h i c h represent 96% of industry total resources. R e g u l a r d e p o s i t s at m u t u a l savings banks exclude items such as C h r i s t m a s club and certain escrow a c c o u n t s , w h i c h represent a very small part of total deposits. SOURCE: N a t i o n a l A s s o c i a t i o n of M u t u a l Savings B a n k s and Federal H o m e L o a n B a n k B o a r d . -- — — r- T A B L E 11: Mortgage Commitments a t S e l e c t e d T h r i f t I n s t i t u t i o n s DATE TOTAL OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS ALL MUTUAL SAVINGS SAVINGS & BANKS LOAN (N.Y. S T A T E ) ASSOCIATIONS TOTAL 1 NET CHANGE ALL SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS (N.Y. S T A T E ) (Billions of D o l l a r s , S e asonally A d j u s t e d ) — ^ Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 8.9 9.3 9.6 10.1 7.1 7.5 7.8 8.1 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.0 .25 .30 .35 .51 '71 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. 10.4 11.2 12.6 13.8 15.3 16.1 16.3 16.4 16.5 8.3 8.9 10.1 11.1 12.2 13.0 13.2 13.3 13.3 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3'% .25 .80 1.36 1.30 1.56 .77 .24 .07 .12 l B a s e d on data .20 .60 1.16 1.01 1,21 .72 .28 E/ .10 -.01 from Federal H o m e L o a n B a n k B o a r d and S a v i n g s B a n k s A s s o c i a t i o n s of N e w Y o r k State. D a t a for savings banks and S & L ' s i n c l u d e S & L c o m m i t m e n t s i n c u l d e y l o a n s in residential commitments. are d e r i v e d d i r e c t l y from u n r o u n d e d o u t s t a n d i n g s levels as s e a s o n a l a d j u s t m e n t by F e d e r a l R e s e r v e . S u b t o t a l s m a y not of r o u n d i n g . .36 .37 .34 .28 a m i n o r amount of n o n process. Net changes r e p o r t e d and a f t e r add to totals b e c a u s e -.11 -.07 .01 .23 .05 .20 .20 .29 .34 .05 .02 . .03 ± ! .13 16 T A B L E 12: DATE TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA TOTAL N e t C h a n g e in Mortgage H o l d i n g s 1 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS & SAVINGS COMMERCIAL LOAN BANKS BANKS ASSOC. LIFE INSURANCE FNMA-GNMA COMPANIES Not Seasonally Adjusted 1967 1968 1969 1970 £ / 1970 - Aug. Sept. Oct. 1 9 7 1 - Aug. Sept. Oct. 2,907 2,459 2,052 2,318 1,797 2,508 4,375 4,909 20,016 23,781 24,189 21,822 18,219 21,273 19,814 16,913 4,639 6,677 5,404 2,462 3,153 2,787 2,682 1,845 7,520 9,350 9,676 10,288 2,072 2,318 2,207 1,673 1,956 1,840 300 500 300 182 216 164 1,114 1,123 1,188 77r 117 188 399 362 367 4,456r 4,094 n.a. 3,930 3,586 n.a. 1,000 1,100 900 415 272 414 2,391 2,122 1,992 124 92 526r 508 456 Seasonally Adlusted 1970 - Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1 9 7 1 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. M o n t n i y 1,511 1,832 1,808 1,820 *2,504 1,893 2,184 2*996 2,018 3,273 3,972 3,898 3,770 3,486 n.a. 1,919 2,196 2,128 2,049 2,604 1,860 2,097 2,988 2,939 3,280 4,177 4,259 4 304r 3,995 n.a. data ior tunmiciciai 175 245 138 176 250 175 217 380 283 313 413 373 410 302 389 268 329 , 295 224 312 383 445 688 653 840 1,197 969 972 922 896 uawivo WW ... 983 1,104 1,175 1,289 1,710 1,311 1,425 1,774 2,044 2,095 2,339 2,484 2,258 2,130 1,977 8 5 r 155 200 131 232 24 97 154 38 25 23 72 130 132 n.a. 408 364 320 229 100 -33 -87 -8 -79 7 205 361 534 509 407 - to C a l l R e p o r t d a t a on real e s t a t e loans o u t s t a n d i n g as a v a i l a b l e . O t h e r data d e r i v e d from m o r t g a g e debt o u t s t a n d i n g as reported s e p a r a t e l y by N a t i o n a l A s s n . of M u t u a l S a v i n g s B a n k s , Federal H o m e L o a n B a n k B o a r d , I n s t i t u t e of L i f e Insurance and, through A u g u s t 1968, the F e d e r a l N a t i o n a l M o r t g a g e A s s o c i a t i o n , and therea f t e r by FNMA and the G o v e r n m e n t N a t i o n a l M o r t g a g e A s s o c i a t i o n . Data for m u t u a l s a v i n g s b a n k s and for L i f e I n s u r a n c e c o m p a n i e s m a y d i f f e r somewhat from those derived from r e g u l a r q u a r t e r l y series b e c a u s e of m i n o r c o n c e p t u a l d i f f e r e n c e s for w h i c h a d j u s t m e n t s are not m a d e in the m o n t h l y series. A l t o g e t h e r , these grouos a c c o u n t e d for 8 4 per cent of the net i n c r e a s e estimated for all h o l d e r s in 1 9 7 0 . 17 T A B L E 13: Net I n c r e a s e s in Mortgage Debt O u t s t a n d i n g 1 B i l l i o n s of dollars, S A A R QUARTER 1966 - II IV 1967 - I II III IV 1968 - I TOTAL RESIDENTIAL3 1- to 4 FAMILY 18.6 15.1 10.9 9.1 8.3 7.0 15.9 20.7 26.6* 27.3 10.3 13.9 19.2 19.8 19.0 18.2 1 MULTIFAMILY COMMERCIAL MULTI-AND COMMERCIAL FARM 2.6 2.1 - 5.5 4.1 8.1 6.2 2.2 7.0 10.5 15.3 16.0 3.3 3.4 3.9 3.8 3.9 5.0 4.9 4.8 7.2 8.3 8.8 8.6 1.8 1.8 2.5 2.8 1.8 27.7 26.2 26.0 29.6 15.8 15.0 14.1 16.4 V l 3.2 3.4 3.8 6.4 5.9 6.5 7.5 9.6 9.0 10.1 111 3 2.3 2.2 17.7 20.2 II III IV 31.3 28.9 26.5 25.1 25.0 21.5 19.3 18.3 18.6 16.9 14.6 13.0 4.4 4.7 4.7 5.3 6.2 5.2 5.3 5.4 10.6 9.9 10.1 10.7 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.4 1970 - I II III IV 20.2 22.8 29.5 . 31.6 13.8 16.9 22.1 22.5 8.8 11.5 15.8 16.1 5.0 5.4 ) 6.3 6.4 4.9 4.3 5.2 6.9 9.9 9.7 11.5 13.4 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.1 36.3 47.6 25.9 36.4 17.7 26.2 16.3 19.1 2.2 2.3 II III IV 1969 - I 1971 - Ip IIP 1 2 3 ' ^ 8.2 10.2 8.1 8.9 ^ 1.8 1.8 D e r i v e d from d a t a on m o r t g a g e d e b t o u t s t a n d i n g from F e d e r a l D e p o s i t I n s u r a n c e Corporation, Federal Home Loan B a n k Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National A s s o c i a t i o n of M u t u a l S a v i n g s B a n k s , D e p a r t m e n t s of C o m m e r c e and A g r i culture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, V e t e r a n s A d m i n i s t r a t i o n a n d C o m p t r o l l e r of the C u r r e n c y . S e p a r a t i o n of n o n farm m o r t g a g e d e b t b y type of p r o p e r t y , w h e r e not a v a i l a b l e , and interpolations, and e x t r a p o l a t i o n s , w h e r e r e q u i r e d , e s t i m a t e d m a i n l y b y F e d e r a l R e s e r v e . M a y d i f f e r somewhat from related flow of funds series m a i n l y b e c a u s e o f m o r e a g g r e g a t i v e type of seasonal a d j u s t m e n t . R e s i d e n t i a l m o r t g a g e d e b t includes n o n f a r m o n l y and is sum of 1-to 4 - f a m i l y and m u l t i f a m i l y m o r t g a g e d e b t c o m b i n e d . T A B L E 14: WEEK ENDED FNMA Weekly " A u c t i o n " R e s u l t s C O M M I T M E N T S IN $ M I L L I O N S ACCEPTED 1-YEARll 6TOTAL TOTAL & OVER MONTH OFFERED mo!/ IMPLICIT YIELD2(per cent) 3-4 months 1/ 1971 - J u l y 26 686.2 183.4 183.4 8.07 Aug. 25 634.6 153.5 153.5 7.97 7 445.2 437.5 188.6 188.6 7.88 193.0 193.0 7.86 365.1 219.8 194.8 103.6 194.8 103.6 7.85 7.83 126.0 . 56.4 Sept. 20 4 Oct. 18 Nov. 1 15 145.3 56.4 102.0 102.0 6MONTH 1-YEAR & OVER 1 7.77 7.70 NoteU n d e r the FNMA a u c t i o n s y s t e m , a p p r o v e d sellers of G o v e r n m e n t u n d e r w r i t t e n m o r t g a g e s bid for FNMA forward p u r c h a s e c o m m i t m e n t s . For " p r o p o s e d c o n s t r u c t i o n " of n e w h o m e s o n l y . A v e r a g e secondary m a r k e t yield a f t e r a l l o w a n c e for c o m m i t m e n t fee and required p u r c h a s e and h o l d i n g of FNMA stock, assuming p r e p a y m e n t of 15 y e a r s for 30-year G o v e r n m e n t - u n d e r w r i t t e n m o r t g a g e s . Y i e l d s shown are gross, b e f o r e d e d u c t i o n of 3 8 b a s i s p o i n t s fee paid by i n v e s t o r s to s e r v i c e r s . 3 ! S h o r t - t e r m c o m m i t m e n t s c o n v e r t e d f r o m a 3 to a 4 m o n t h b a s i s b e g i n n i n g O c t o b e r 18, 1971. 19 T A B L E 15: P r i v a t e Housing S t a r t s and P e r m i t s STARTS DATE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE TOTAL UNADJUSTED TYPE OF FINANCING FHA VA OTHER ANNUAL RATE) 2 T O T A L 1 - F A M I L Y 2 OR M O R E 1970 - O c t . Nov. Dec. 1,583 1,693 2,054 890 934 1,240 693 759 814 140.9 126.9 121.4 40.4 33.7 63.2 5.8 5.5 5.7 " 1971 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July A u g . r/ S e p t . r/ Oct. £ / 1,725 1,754 1,959 1,912 1,975 2,000 2,229 2,258 1,948 2,050 :* 946 985 1,048 1,098 1,124 1,177 1,187 1,212 1,175 1,152 779 769 911 814 851 823 1,042 1,046 773 898 110.6 102.2 32.2 27.3 33.4 44.6 40.7 46.1 42.9 45.8 48.3 4.6 4.7 6.9 8.5 8.4 9.3 9.2 9.4 8.7 1 2 BUILDING PERMITS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 167.9 201.1 198.5 193.8 194.3 204.5 169.5 182.0 8.1 94.7 87.2 52.5 z 72.8 68.4 127.6 148.0 149.4 137.8 142.2 149.3 112.5 1,523 1,487 1,768 1,635 1,563 1,627 1,638 1,927 1,849 2,052 2,006 1,900 2,215 T o t a l starts are C e n s u s estimates i n c l u d i n g fann for both p e r m i t - i s s u i n g and n o n - i s s u i n g a r e a s . A d w e l l i n g unit is s t a r t e d > h e n excavation begins; all units in an apartment structure are considered started at that time. FHA and VA starts are units started under c o m m i t m e n t s by theise agencies to i n s u r e or guara n t e e the m o r t g a g e s . A s reported by FHA and V A , a unit is started w h e n a field office receives the first c o m p l i a n c e i n s p e c t i o n report, w h i c h is m a d e b e f o r e footings are poured in some cases but n o r m a l l y after the foundations h a v e been c o m p l e t e d . O t h e r starts are derived as a r e s i d u a l , although total and FHA and VA starts are not strictly c o m p a r a b l e in concept or timing; other starts inc l u d e both / units financed b y conventional m o r t g a g e s and units w i t h o u t m o r t g a g e s . B u i l d i n g permits before J a n u a r y 1963 are C e n s u s estimates for about 1 0 , 0 0 0 a r e a s identified as having a local b u i l d i n g permit system in 1959. Estimates beginning J a n u a r y 1963 are for a p p r o x i m a t e l y 12,000 and b e g i n n i n g J a n u a r y 1967 1 3 , 0 0 0 , or all k n o w n p e r m i t - i s s u i n g p l a c e s . U n l i k e starts, seasonally adjusted b u i l d i n g p e r m i t s reflect direct adjustment for d i f f e r e n c e s in the n u m b e r of w o r k i n g d a y s p e r m o n t h , as w e l l as other d i f f e r e n c e s in timing and c o v e r a g e . 20 TABLE 16: Mortgage and Bond Yields FHA MORTGAGES 30-year CONVENTIONAL MORTGAGES 3 8.62 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON CONV. & FHA MORTGAGES 5 1 NEW Aaa CORPORATE BONDS 4 -.13 -.40 8.75 6.91 8.60 -.10 8.30 -.74 9.11 7.80 .28 8.01 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON NEW CORPORATE BONDS AND FHA MORTGAGES 6 1.08 7.99 8.35 7.55 9.29 8.40 7.97 7.32 7.95 7.55 -.19 7.24 7.75 7.89 7.65 7.70 -.10 8.01 -.19 7.90 July Aug. Sept. 7.97 7.92 7.84 7.85 7.85 -.17 -.07 .01 7.96 7.65 7.44 .27 .40 Oct. 7.75 7.80 .05 7.29 .46 1969 - H i g h Low 1970 - H i g h Low 1971 - H i g h Low 1971 - M a y June 7.80 -.13 .99 .01 .40 -. 36 -.26 -.01 .01 Neither mortgage nor bond yields include allowance for servicing costs which are much higher for mortgages than for bonds. Generally, bonds pay interest semiannually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, if computed as equivalent to a semi-annual interest investment, would be slightly higher than given in the table. . __ Based on FHA-field-office opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market for new-home mortgages for immediate delivery. Data shown are for 3 0 - y e a r m o r t g a g e s w i t h m i n i m u m d o w n p a y m e n t s , and w e i g h t e d b y p r o b a b l e v o l u m e of t r a n s a c t i o n s . Yields computed by FHA, assuming prepayment period of 15 y e a r s for 3 0 - y e a r m o r t g a g e s . Based o n F H A - f i e l d - o f f i c e o p i n i o n o n t y p i c a l interest r a t e s ( r o u n d e d ) o n c o n v e n t i o n a l first m o r t g a g e s p r e v a i l i n g in the m a r k e t a r e a s o f insuring office cities. S e e n o t e for T a b l e 1. Y i e l d spread e q u a l s c o n v e n t i o n a l m o r t g a g e r a t e less F H A s e c o n d a r y m a r k e t y i e l d . Y i e l d spread e q u a l s F H A s e c o n d a r y m a r k e t y i e l d less n e w A a a c o r p o r a t e bond: yield. 21 T A B L E 17: Conventional Mortgage Terms - DATE NEW HOMES CONFEES & T R A C T CHARGES EFFEC- MATURITY (PER RATE (YEARS) TIVE (PER CENT) RATE CENT) 2 3 LOAN/ PRICE LOAN RATIO A M T . (PER ($000) CENT) 1 EXISTING HOMES FEES & CONLOAN/ T R A C T CHARGES EFFEC- M A T U - PRICE (PER RATE TIVE RITY RATIO (PER CENT) RATE (YEARS) (PER CENT) CENT) 2 3 LOAN AMT. ($000) 1970 Oct. Nov. Dec1. 25.1 25.3 25.8 72 .4 72,.1 73..8 24.8 8 . 2 0 25.2 8.18 25.8 8 . 1 2 0.88 0.85 0.85 8 .35 8 .32 8 .26 22.8 22.7 23.3 71.5 71.5 71.9 20.5 21.1 21.7 8.18 7.91 7.66 7.49 7.477.50 7.66 7.74 25.8 26.2 25.9 26.3 26.1 26.3 26.3 26.2 73..3 73. 9 73.,7 73. 6 74.0 73. 7 74. 5 73. 9 26.4 26.2 26.0 26.2 26.7 27.2 27.1 26.5 25.8 26.5 75.,3 75. 6 8..08 7..80 7..60 7..47 7..45 7. 5 0 7. 63 7.71 7. 76 23.5 24.0 24.1 24.2 24.0 24.3 24.2 24.5 24.2 72.5 73.1 73.5 73.6 73.2 73.9 74.5 74.2 74.5 22.0 22.5 23.0 23.1 23.3 28.3 23.2 23.5 7.83 7.83 0.82 0.79 0.77 0.75 0. 71 0. 74 0.75 0.76 0.78 0.78 7..75 24.2 74.6 8 .33 8 .26 8,.20 1.05 0.99 1.07 8.51 8.43 8.38 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 8,.03 7..74 7..52 7..37 7.,36 7..38 7. 51 7. 60 0.92 1.00 0.83 0.73 0.71 0.74 0.90 0.84 Sept. Oct. 7. 67 7. 67 0.97 0.96 1971 1 2 7.94 7.67 7.47 7.34 7.33 7.38 7.50 7.58 2 5 . 9 7.63 26.3 7.62 Compiled by Federal H o m e L o a n B a n k Board in cooperation with Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Data are weighted averages based on probability sample, survey of characteristics of conventional first mortgages originated by m a j o r institutional lender groups (including mortgage companies) for purchase of single family homes. Data exclude loans for refinancing, reconditioning or modernization; construction loans to home-builders; and permanent loans which are coupled with construction loans to ownerbuilders. Related series on conventional mortgage rates only, based on unweighted opinions of field-office directors of the Federal Housing Administration, are available somewhat sooner than the results of the FHLBB-FPIC survey, and are included-in the case of new home mortgage rates--in Table 16. Fees and charges--expressed as a percentage of the principal mortgage amount--include loan commissions, fees, discounts, and other charges which provide added income to the lender and are paid b y the borrower. They exclude any closing costs related solely to transfer of property ownership. 3 22.5 23.0 Includes fees & charges amortized over a 10 year period in addition to the contract interest rate.