Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : December 23, 1955
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Not f o r P l i c a t i o n ^ ^ ^ ^ HolU December 23, 1955 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Large o f f e r i n g s f l o a t e d f o r new c a p i t a l during the week • ending December 16 t o t a l e d $88 m i l l i o n f o r S t a t e and l o c a l governments , $25 m i l l i o n f o r one corporate debenture i s s u e , and $50 m i l l i o n f o r one f o r e i g n f l o t a t i o n . The only l a r g e o f f e r i n g expected t h i s week i s a $13 m i l l i o n S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e . Last week two small municipal o f f e r i n g s were postponed, two not o f f e r e d because t h e s o l e bid was r e j e c t e d by the i s s u e r , and one i s s u e r e ceived no b i d s . Bond y i e l d s - Yields on outstanding corporate Aaa bonds jumped f o u r b a s i s p o i n t s during t h e week ending December 16. S t a t e and l o c a l government revenue and Aaa bond y i e l d s rose moderately and y i e l d s on corporate Baa bonds increased s l i g h t l y . Treasury o b l i g a t i o n and S t a t e and l o c a l government Baa bond y i e l d s did not change. Daily f i g u r e s showed l i t t l e change during t h e f i r s t p a r t of t h i s week. Stock p r i c e s - The SEC index of 265 common stocks decreased moderately to 266.9 during the week ending December 16. Daily i n dexes i n d i c a t e d a moderate r i s e i n p r i c e s on balance through Thursday of t h i s week. S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y Offerings • F i r s t Nine Months, 1955 S t a t e arid l o c a l government o f f e r i n g s of long-term s e c u r i t i e s f o r new c a p i t a l were #3*9 b i l l i o n i n the f i r s t t h r e e q u a r t e r s of 1955* as shown i n the attached t a b l e . This volume was 20 per cent below t h a t of t h e corresponding period l a s t y e a r , b u t s l i g h t l y above the volume i n 1953* Large i n d i v i d u a l i s s u e s t h i s year have come only from publ i c housing a u t h o r i t i e s . In c o n t r a s t , t h e r e were f i v e very l a r g e highway i s s u e s with proceeds of more than $100 m i l l i o n s o f f e r e d l a s t year., i n addition t o the usual housing f i n a n c i n g . The changed s t r u c t u r e of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s t h i s y e a r noted below i s l a r g e l y a r e s u l t of t h e decline i n turnpike financing which i s r e f l e c t e d i n the l e s s e r importance of s p e c i a l a u t h o r i t i e s as i s s u e r s of s e c u r i t i e s and the smaller volume of revenue b o n d ' f l o t a t i o n s . II. Ill -2- Long-Term Security Issues of State and l o c a l Governments F i r s t Nine Months, 1953-1955 (In millions' of d o l l a r s ) F i r s t nine months 1955 Issuing authority: State County and toniship Municipality School d i s t r i c t Special authority Unidentified l / Total Purpose of I s s u e : New c a p i t a l t o t a l Schools Highways, bridges, tunnels Residential buildings Hospitals and i n s t i t u t i o n s Sewer and water Misc. public service enterprises Recreation Port- and a i r p o r t Veterans aid I n d u s t r i a l buildings Other ' Unidentified l / Refunding Total Type of i s s u e : General obligation Revenue " General revenue 2 / Total 1 19524 1953 675 368 991 7U5 709 >86 1,012 3U0 1,16U 656 1,358 U30 603 202 . 857 6Wi 1,189 392 3,975 1*,989 3,887 3,927 1,895 3,810 1,088 602 hhh 65 533 131 33 . 70 109 3 367 .1*83 1,180 l,hQh U55 70 501 190 25 66 102 2 398 122 1,012 865 385 83 507 130 32 23 136 7 252 390 47 9h 1+6 3,975 L,989. 3,887 2,862 1,078 35 2,987 1,983 19 2,629 8# U33 3,975 1,98? 3,887 1 / Issue of l e s s than $500,000 not f u r t h e r c l a s s i f i e d . 7 / Total of i s s u e s with proceeds of $5 million or over. Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s because of rounding. Source—Bond Buyer and Federal Reserve. 1 H.lli -3- Issuing authority - Of the various types of issuing autho r i t i e s , municipal governments were the l a r g e s t i s s u e r s in the f i r s t t h r e e quarters of 1955* with $991 million of o f f e r i n g s . However, t h i s i s considerably below the volume o f f e r e d in the corresponding period l a s t year. In 19 5U and 1953, s p e c i a l authorities—mainly the highway financing groups—accounted f o r the l a r g e s t proportion of t o t a l i s s u e s , $1.L b i l l i o n in 195U and $1.2 b i l l i o n in 1953" This year t h i s group has issued only $700 million of i s s u e s . School d i s t r i c t s ; with o f f e r i n g s t o t a l i n g almost $750 mill i o n , were' the second l a r g e s t issuing authority in 1955, and the only group to o f f e r a s u b s t a n t i a l l y greater volume in the f i r s t nine months of t h i s year, as compared to the volume l a s t y e a r . Purpose of i s s u e - More issues were sold f o r school cons t r u c t i o n than any other purpose in t h e f i r s t nine months of 1955— $ 1 , 1 b i l l i o n compared to $1.2 b i l l i o n and $1;0 b i l l i o n in 19$k and 1953 r e s p e c t i v e l y . In general about the same volume of issues was offered f o r the various purposes in each of the l a s t two years. The except i o n was the volume of financing done f o r highway, bridge and tunnel construction. Such issues declined to $600 million, from $1.5 b i l l i o n in 195b and $900 million in 1953* As in p a s t year, refunding issues, continued to be r e l a t i v e l y unimportant. Type of issue - General obligation issues were $2.9 b i l lion of a t o t a l of $U.0.billion in the f i r s t three quarters t h i s year. This i s 72 per cent of t o t a l o f f e r i n g s . Last year the volume of such issues was s l i g h t l y higher but accounted f o r only 60 per cent of the t o t a l . Revenue o f f e r i n g s dropped sharply to $1.1 b i l l i o n from $2.0 b i l l i o n a year ago. General revenue i s s u e s , which accounted f o r 11 per cent of t o t a l o f f e r i n g s in 1953, were n e g l i g i ble i n the l a s t two y e a r s . More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent c a p i t a l market developments i s presented in the attached e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE A a a U. S. GOVERNMENT STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Aoo S 1954 Corporate Aaa 1 / Date U. S. Govt. long-term 2 / State and l o c a l govt. , Aaa 3 / D Spread between U« S. Govt, and Corporate State and l o c a l Aaa Aaa (Per cent) 1952 " High Low 1953 - High Low 195U - High 1955 - High . Low " November November December December December 18 25 2 9 16 3.03 2.91 3-U2 2.99 3.09 2.85 (1/W (2/15) (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (U/23) 2.79 (12/27) 2.56 (5/17) 3.15 (6/6) 2.91 (1/7) 2.78 2.7U 2.a 2.9U 2.62 3.08 3.11 3.12 3.13 3.17 2.86 2.88 2.88 2.88 2.88 3.17 (12/16) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) (1/7) 2.00 1.65 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.9.0 2.3k 2.05 2.19 2.21 2.27 2.28 2.30 (10/23) (5/1) (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) .37 1.02 .71 .8U :S :S • 32 • 3U .13 .29 .70 • 5U .22 • 23 .2h • 25 • 29 .67 .67 .61 .60 1/ Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 yearsT 2 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s ; old s e r i e s . . Average term to f i r s t c a l l of bonds included i s 11-lit years. 3/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; average term Ts 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER-GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly^ Per cent p e r CORPORATE B a a \ STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. B o a STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE 1952 1953 1954 1955 (Per cent) 1952 - High Low 1953 - High 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 3.63 3.U8 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3-UU 3.62 3.U5 November November December December December 3-58 3.59 3.59 3.61 3.62 18 25 2 9 16 (1/W (5/16) (9/18) (0/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/16) (1/14) 2.98 2.1*8 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.25 3.02 3.19. 3-20 3-2U 3.25 3.25 (10/23) (it/17) (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/15) (1/6) 2.69 (12/19) 2.27 (U/25) 3.27 (6/26) 2.71 (1/2) 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 (1/1) (8/13) (12/16) (1/7) 2,86 2.88 . 2.92 2.97 2.99 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are inducted; average term i s 20 years. c 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET Stock price Common Trading volume £ / (millions yields J / of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer c r e d i t Customers' debit bal- loans to a n c e s ^ / "others" 5/ « (Millions of dollars) 1952 - High Low 1953 - High 195U - High Low 1955 - Higi Low October November December. 2 December 9 December 16 165-3 151.7 167.1 UiU.O 221.U 156.5 270.5 217-U (12/26) (10/2U) (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/9) (1/lk) 250. U 265.0 268.3 270.5 266.9 2.0 0.9 2-5 0.9 3.7 i.a u.6 1.5 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.U • 5-77 5-13 5.75 5.15 5.33 U.20 1.22 3-78 1,986 1,80U 2,UU5 2,055 3,1*36 2,1*05 3,980 3,537 U.12 U.09 3,91*1* 3,980 SI 1,311* 656 552 780 66U 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 1,0U8 2,7U9 2,759 1,195 1,221 71*6 1,221 1,018 1,221 1,221 n.a.--Not available. 1 / SEC index of 265 conmon stocks, weekly closing p r i c e s , 1939-100; converted to 19li7-li9-100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor i s 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month f i g u r e s . U/ End of month figures for-m ember firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry - margin accounts; excludes balances .secured by U. S. Government obligations. "5/ Wednesday figures f o r weekly reporting member banks. Excludes a l l loans f o r purchasing or carrying U. S. Governments f o r 1952; since 1953 only these loans at banks in New York and Chicago are excluded. Weekly reporting banks account f o r about 72 per cent of loans to others. , , - , Note. Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . Exhibit D H.Ik. Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S a c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1955 January February March Corporate 195k I New c a p i t a l 1953 1955 S t a t e and l o c a l 1 195k I 1953 5U6 U36 1,261 5k7 U26 635 623 623 666 535 312 538 396 Ull 5% 390 360 U26 April May June k9k. 903 697 197 656 8k2 779 675 1,123 U27 350 611 73k 7U8 853 329 6k9 k3k July August September $83 65k 680 909 33$ 7k7 483 325 753 U70 2k9 k06 279 261 619 519 259 U75 e/900 3/625 e/kOO 59U U23 877 153 k08 77k 1,912 1,385 2,578 . 1,118 1,561 , 1,12k 2 , u a y e/1,925 e/5,8$0 . 8,k95 1,372 2,33k 1,188 1,89k 6,789 1,176 l,kl2 1,253 1,636 5,k77 October November December ^ P 1 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r kth quarter Year c 1,138 y e/680 e/925 2,2k3 2,09k 1,917 e/2,7k5 e/9,000 1,003 290 60)4. 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,k90 577 L29,/ 1,138 i t Excluding f i n a n c e companies 3 / 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r Uth q u a r t e r Year 1,791 1,912 },hhl e/2,5k5 1/7,690 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 1,669 1,991 1,223 2,3kk 7,227 1 / I n c l u d e s $637*2 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e d e b e n t u r e i s s u e . . 2 / I n c l u d e s §602.£ m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . 3/ T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and p e r s o n a l f i n a n c e companies. N o t e . — D e t a i l s may n o t add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. H.lU. Exhibit E Large Public S e c u r i t y Issues f o r Mew Capital (Other than U. ,S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large I s s u e s Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) -Month Corporate 195U - October November December 1955 ~ January. 'February March April May June ' July . August September October November S t a t e and l o c a l government Other 2 / 388 268 6# 3h 1 107 337 238 152 U03 . 278 65 ' 23h 716 396 U33 0 121 1U1 63 750 173 he 3 175 101 U05 #8 805 269 30 35 15 25 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered December 1 through 16 issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount r a t e or Offering Rating (millions Maturity yield net interof e s t cost dollars) CORPORATE 100.0 Radio Corp. of America Conv. deb. Consolidated - Edison Co. 1st & ref.bds. 70.0 of New York 1 s t &ref. bds . 20.0 Conn. Light & Power Deb. Mew J e r s e y B e l l Tel. 25.0 1980 3 1/2 3.35 Baa 1985 1985 . 1995. 3 3/8 3 l/U 3 3/8 3.32 3.27 3.33 Aa • Aaa Aaa STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Pend O r e i l l e Co., Uash. . Onondaga Co. Water Authority, New York Los Angeles, .Calif. Cook County, I l l i n o i s New York Thruway Rev. Ih.k 1956-05 n.a. 1.85-3.25 Rev. G.O. G.O. G.R. 12.6 20.0 6.8 50.0 1957-95 1957-81 1957-75 1985-95 3.30 2.72 2.81 2.7k 2.00-3.35 Baa 1.80-2.75 Aa 2.00-2.80 ' A 2.60-2.75 Aaa H.Ik E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered December 1 through 16 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ . Coupon Amount r a t e or Offering Rating (millions Maturity yield net i n t e r of e s t cost dollars) STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) C a l i f . Toll Bridge Auth. Milwaukee, Wisconsin Newark, New Jersey Long Beach Unified School D i s t . , • C a l i f . State of South Carolina Rev. G.O. G.O. 16.0 6.9 5.0 1995 1956-70 1956-75 3.68 2.21 3,02 3*61 1.70-2.20 2.00-3.05 Aaa Baa G.O. G.O. 10.0 20.0 1956-76 1956-75 2.93 2.3*4 2.00-2.95 1.70-2,35 A Aa 50.0 1981 3 1/2 3.53 A. —— OTHER Quebec Hydro-Electric Commission SF deb. n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . ^ / i n c l u d e s corporate and other security o f f e r i n g s of 15 million d o l l a r s and .over; S t a t e and l o c a l government security o f f e r i n g s of 5 million and over. 2 j Includes foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . < 3/ In the case of State and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues. # H.lU Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s Date of .computation 195U - Nov. 30 , Dec. 31 1955 - J a n . 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 . Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 Aug. 31 • Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 During month following date showi Corporate I S t a t e and. o t h e r 2 / I l o c a l govt. 9h 18U 16 710 211 h25 160 67 h07 222 805 202 215 66l 567 682 521 208 116 3# 3UU 100 18U 8b3 330 305 30 • Subsequent to date shown S t a t e and Igthe, 2 / Corporate local govt.1 — — 2U6 216 — h22 50 1,395 922 i,iia 850 830 1,135 920 909 112 230 2,682 2,lWi 1,961 1,978 2,009 1,917 1,861 1,815 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 30 35 50 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of December 16 Type Amount ( m i l l i o n s Approximate d a t e of o f f e r i n g I of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Sheraton Corp or a t i on__of America Deb. 15-0 1956 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT San Francisco, C a l i f o r n i a Wayne County, Michigan Allegheny County, Pennsylvania Tacoma, Washington Los Angeles, C a l i f o r n i a S t a t e of Colorado ^ D e t r o i t , Michigan San Diego, C a l i f o r n i a S p r i n g f i e l d , Ohio •^Louisiana S t a t e Building Authority *RcChester, New York Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington S t a t e Toll Bridge Auth. - S a l t River P r o j e c t , Arizona Connecticut Expressway G.O. n.a. n. a. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. Rev. December 19 13.3 6.7 January 5 6.0 January 10 5.0 January 10 38.0 January 10 8,0 January 10 8.0 January 10 January 17 9-5 . 5-2 January 17 7-6 January 19 . February 21 7'h 25.0 1956 65.0 . 1956 62.0 1956 227-0 1956 11.0 1956 100.0 1956 F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of December 16 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount; Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) OTHER None *—Included in t a b l e f o r f i r s t 1 / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of 1$ m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and over. S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of £ million and over. y Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s .