Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : December 22, 1958
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS 1 h,lli December 22, 1958 OaPITaij i UiKi ji.1' iztiViiiLCH-IKijTS The "usual seasonal lull in new public security financing is taking place. No large issues—either corporate or State and local government—were sold last week and none are scheduled for sale during this holiday-shortened week. Bond yields - Changes in yields on outstanding bonds were mixea last week. Yields on corporate and U. S. Government obligations increased. The increase in yields was substantial for Government bonds 3 but slight for corporate bonds. Yields on lower grade State and local government bonds were unchanged, while tnose on high-grade State and local government bonds declined slightly. A new Aa-rated, first mortgage electric utility bond issue was offered to investors last week to yield U.lUt per cent, about the same as yields on comparable offerings.made in late October. The.spread between the yields on this offering and yields on similar outstanding bonds was larger than in October, however, since yields on outstanding bonds have declined since then. Stock market credit - Customer credit in the stock market (excluding that for U. S. Government securities) increased million further in November. At a record level of »li,lt23 million, customer credit was almost 3 per cent higher than at the end of September, shortly before the mid-October increase in margin requirements to 90 per cent. The November increase resulted from a ^57 million rise in net debit balances and a ^3 million decline in bank loans to "others." Borrowing by member firms of the Hew i-ork Stock Exchange maintaining margin accounts (excluding borrowing on U. S. Government securities) increased last month, principally in borrowing on customer collateral. Customers' net free credit balances increased somewnat further and totaled yi,li|8 million at the end of the month. These and other data on stock market credit for November arid October are shown in the table on the following page. Stock prices - Stock prices increased considerably last week. Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks at the close Friday was 5k.07, slightly below the record of Sk.lS reached on Thursday, but still 1.6 per cent higher tnan a week earlier. Trading volume continued to be heavy. h.lk • - 2 - . . - . End of Month Nov. | Oct. - Change (Millions of dollars) Customer credit •• Excluding U. S. Government securities - total Net debit balances Bank loans to "others" Net debit balances secured by U. S. Govt, securities Bank loans to others for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities Broker and dealer credit Money borrowed except on U. S. Government securities On customer collateral Money borrowed on U. S. Government securities Customers' net free credit balances U,U23 3,2U5 1,178 12 J| U, 369 2,188 1,181 123 So 59 1,923 1,677 210 1,11$ 1,832 1,612 193 i,mo More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. +5k +57 -3 +1 " 9 +91 +65 +17 +8 EXHIBIT HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS A H.lU Exhibit B Tables for Exhibit A High-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Aaa 1/ U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ 3.h2 2.85 I1.II4 li.13 3.55 3.19 2.1,5 3.76 3.83 3.07 Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and Aaa local Aaa State and local govt. Aaa J/ (Per cent) 1953 195k 1957 1958 - High Low High High Low Nov. Nov. Dec. Dec. Dec. 21 28 5 12 19 (6/19) a/23) (9/27) (10/10) (5/2) U.08 3.69 3.67 3.73 3.77 3.83 4.07 it,06 2/ (6/5) (8/6) (10/18) (12/19) (1/25) L06 ii.07 2.73 (6/25) 1.90 (9/2) 3.U5 (8/29) 3.31 (9/11) 2.61* (5/1) .38 .30 .60 .51 .22 .83 .30 .17 .72 .3k 3.17 3.1U 3.11* 3.13 3.11 .39 .140 .33 .29 -"21* .52 .53 .59 .61 .72 Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa y Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local tfovt. (Per cent) 1953 1951* 1957 1958 - Nov. Nov. Dec. Dec. Dec. 21 28 5 12 19 High Low High High Low 3.89 3.1*1 5.10 14.96 k.51 2/ lt.86 4.85 14.85 1*.81| 1*.65 (9/18) (12/31) (11/29) (1/3) (7/11) 3.79 (6/25) 2.93 (8/5) 14.51 (8/29) 14.314 (9/11) 3.61* (5/1) I4.ll 14.10 14.1P 14.10 14.10 .69 .52 1.27 1.28 .77 .78 .78 .79 .78 .78 1.21 .96 1.21 1.11 •93 .9U .96 .96. .97 .99 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included la 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly averapo of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligations bonds are Included; average term is 20 years. Note.--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. EXHIBIT STOCK MARKET C Exhibit D Table for Exhibit C Stock Ma iket Date Stock price index 3/ Trading Common stock volume 2/ yields V (millions of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers' Bank Total debit bal- loans to ances 1*/ "others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 26.51, (1/2) 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low 2.5 22.95 (9/18) 0.9 35.98 (12/31) 3.7 1.1* 2U.93 (1/8) 1*.6 1*5.89 (12/9) 35.28 (1/11*) 1.5 1*9.61* (8/3) 3.1 1*3.22 (1/20) 1.5 1*9.08 (7/12) 1**2 39.1*8 (12/20) 1.1* 51*.07 (12/19) 1*.9 1*0.37 (1/10) 1.7 October November Dec. 5 Dec. 12 Dec. 19 £/ 52.1*6 50.95 52.50 53.22 51*. 07 lt.1 l*.l 3.5 3.8 3.7 5.38 6.25 1*.32 5.82 1*.08 1*.1*1 3.82 l*.3l* 3.91 1*.72 . 3.30 1*.*58 3.52 3.1*2 3.1*2 3.38 3.30 2,1*55 i p 2,U0S 1,030 3,537 k.Olil 3,Jilt S 1*,1*23 3,551* 1*,369 1*,1*23 n.a. 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 780 661* i;oue 71*6 l;2l*l i;oia 1^267 1,155 2,'W 3,21*5 2,1*87 3,188 3,21*5 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,317 1,051 1,181 X/1,178 1,186 1,189 jg/ Preliminary. r/ Revised. n.a.—Not available. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 19l*l-l*3*iO. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are for dates on which price index reached its high or low. * h j End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highe and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit E Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) New capital Corporate 1/ State and local 2/ 1 1956 1958 1 1956 1 1957 1 1957 195a l f 56l2/ 1,060 1,065 1,320 573 712 817 812 953 511 7h2 572 506 hOh 696 390 l,Hil 600 881 1,1I53 % 818 1,11*6 8iil 798 895 551 765 5U6 393 378 1*90 735 July August September 1,102 538 l,lWi 1,003 92U 973 1,063 65U 8# 806 it03 650 529 58U U3l k08 206 357 October November December 2/815 e/600 e/950 1,090 789 1,076 1,089^ 1,088 1455 E/lt6l e/150 698 633 3h7 h09 3,135 2,622 2,781* 2/2,365 3,Wi5 3,1U9 2,899 2,95k 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 2,276 2,2Wi 1,859 1,366 1,820 l,70li l,5Wi 2,029 l,h90 1,603 971 1,395 5,757 8,511 3/10,906 6,59b 9,h93 12,W7 It,907 7,163 10,381 k,$ 20 6,379 e/7,lh$ 3,52k 5,069 7,099 3,093 U,06U 5,L59 January February March April May 1st 2nd 3rd lith quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 723 698 639 Excluding finance companies %/ 1st 2nd 3rd hth Year quarter quarter quarter quarter 2,89L 2,583 2,753 e/2,290 #,520 . 3,237 2.809 2,582 2.810 1,61*7 2,5hl 2,2k6 2,826 11,519 9,260 e/ Estimated. E/ Preliminary. 1 / Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2/ Data through June 1?56 are Bond Buyer data classified as now capital by Federal Reserve; later data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 3/ Includes #718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. I 5/ Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issue. Total new capital issues excluding off--rings o.C sales :.\H consumer finance companies. H.ll* Exhibit F Other Security Offerings 1/ (In millions of dollars) Long-term Foreign government 2/ Federal agency 19SU 1957 1956 "19^F 1957 Januaiy FebruaryMarch April May - June JulyAugust September October November December 196 53 139 198 120 9 5 17 58 Year 81* 1*9 30 123 W 12 37 8 50 1,163 251 72 523 125 2 39 109 215 li 1*1* 5 21 100 507 300 572 Short-1 State and local government !>/ January February March April May June July August September October November December 233 1*6o 273 g 261*. ' 289 123 369 z/Zil Year 326 60 161* 1 60 1956 60 95 28 7 30 £ 196 357 21*9 ,1C9 Federal agency 3/~ 114* 638 1*30 5# 380 220 283 176 209 161 329 501 336 1*69 323 311* 260 252 195 207 179 330 22ii 370 512 222 1*25 273 x ,i 1*59 11*8 1*55 H*7 205 337 153 272 272 3,271* 125 252 291* 328 2,706. 371 208 1*37 206 1*51* 111* 1,238 255 116 1*07 222 128 5,51*3 3,1*57 e/ Estimated. £/ Preliminary. IZ Data presented in this exhibit differ from those in Exhibit E in that refunding issues, as well as new capital issues, are included. Long-term securities are defined as those maturing in more th»n one year. 2/ Includes securities offered in the United States by foreign governments and their subdivisions and by international organizations. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission, 2 / Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source: long-term, Securities and Exchange Commission; short-tern,Federal Reserve. k/ Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or certificates and Public Housing Authority notes. In some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat longer term than one year. Source: Bond Buyer. 11.Ill lv hibll. (i Largo Lung-U;nu l'wbii c .''.enril.y Txcik x J\,r livw Capital (Ut.lur Llian U. 5. Truaauiy) 1/ l'roceudu of Large Is:;uuu Offered (Millions of dollars) Corporate Month State and local government h20 399 318 605 1,093 725 356 281 771 209 825 # 9 227 1957 - November .^December 1958 .- January / *. FebruaryMarch April May ; June July August September October November Other 2/ 151 3Wi ItOU kio 553 182 300 505 195 275 109 268 172 259 1,357 266 653 161; 86 lil .18 209 100 Large Individual Issues Offered December 1 through 19 Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon (millions Maturity net inter of dollars) est cost Offering yield Rating C0HP0KATB Pacific Gas & Electric Co. 1st ref.mtg.bds. 65.0 Com. stk. 26. u Public Service Elec. & Gas Potomac M e c . Pwr. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 P. Lorillard Co. Com. stk. 21).fi Southern Bell Tel. & Tel. Deb. 70.0 Philadelphia Elec. Co. 1st ref. mtg* b d s 5 0 . 0 Arvida Corp. Com. stk. 27.5 1990 li 1/2 U.SO Aa 1993 1 5/8 h.55 An 1993 1986 a 5/8 a 3/8 It. 55 it.38 Aaa Aaa STATE A N D LOCAL GOVERNMENT State of Ohio State of California East Baton Rouge Par., La. | 1 State of New York Chicago Bd. of Educ., 111.| - G.O. G.O. G.O. 0.0. O.O. 30.0 100.0 22.5 5i.o 25.0 1959-73 1959-85 1960-79 1960-79 17-1-78 2.72 3.60 3.60 2.56 1.60-2.80 1.80-3.65 2.00-3.CO 1.70-3.00 ?.5o-3.50 Aaa Aa A K.m G-2 Large Individual Issues Offered December 1 through 19 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon [millions rate or Offering Maturity of net inter- yield dollars) est cost Rating OTHER Republic of Austria Union of South Africa Metro. Toronto, Canada Bonds Bonds S.P. deb. 25.0 25.0 28.6 1973 1961-68 1959-88 5 1/2 5, 5 1/2 h-3/U 5.91 5.00-5.70 3.50-U.80 A A n.a.—Not available. 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal ageiicies. ^ y In the;,case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent.; revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. Exhibit h ti.u Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S." Treasury) 1/ E x a c t e d Proceeds fro in Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent to date shewn During month following date shown Date of computation ^rporate 1957 - Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 1958 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 29 June 30 July 31 Aug. 29 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 28 158 383 378 U98 1,123 555 356 266 768 161 785 113 20b 301 2/ 363 345 370 13U 298 1*93 177 225 55 2bl 295 258 229 3 150 815 1,193 1,378 110 150 36 1,208 3a 1,018 &93 208 110 150 36 h35 52k 675 6(3 71 235 125 216 Type 165 330 670 561 46k 381 9±h 71 % 558 56k 187 1,161 326 h01 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of Issuer Other 2/ Corporate December 19 Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Pacific Telephone and Telegraph Co. Washington Water Power Co. San Diego Gas & Electric Co. *C. I. T. Financial Corp. -^-Commonwealth Edison Co. -^-Southern Natural Gas Co. •^Champion Paper & Fiber Co. Consumers Power Co. ^ 1'iontana. Power Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Indiana & Michigan Electric Co. Common stk. 16.0 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. Deb. Deb. 1st mtg. p. 1. bds. Conv. deb. 15.0 15.0 75.0 20.0 35.0 20.0 Pfd. stk. 1st mtg. bds. Deb.jbds.&comnon 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 20.0 15.0 20.0 ~ec. 30 (rifhts expire) Jan. 8 Jan. 9 Jan. 9. Jan. lit Jan. 21 Jan. 29 (rights expire) '..inter v.'inter '..inter ..inter STATE AND LOCAL GOVERN?Ei,'T New York State Power Authority -"'Los Angeles Dept. of Vtr. & Pwr., California Rev.-Lit. 200.0 Rev.-Ut. 18.0 Jan. 6 Jan. 7 n. 11+ n—2 rorti.coming Large Offerings, as of December 19 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of oil ering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GCVERKKctiT (Cont'd) Sacramento kun. Ut. Dist., Calif. Chespeake Bay Ferry Commission Letroit-Ketro. Expressway >iassachusetts Port Authority Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. 25.0 ia.o 35.0 75.0 Jan. 15 Winter winter V; inter NONE. Other -*—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of *15 million and over; State and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. Exhibit I Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned yields seasoned yields (per cent) (per cent) (basis points) (basis points) 1952 - 1957 1958 - January February March April May 7 i 20 21 22 28 June 10 17 25 July 2 ?8 23 Oct. 7 15 28 29 Dec. 17 5.00(8/14/57) 2.93(3/31/54) 87 -3 *3.60 z 3.89s/ it. 08 3.91 -8 22 35 18 3.90 21 3.85 3.85 16 16 3.85 3.82 3.95 17 12 24 4.00 4.10 4.10 4.57 4.50 4.4oPy 4.42^ 4.44 25 28 29 25 22 12 14 23 5.50(11/7/57) 3.00(3A7/51«) 3.962/ i».07 4.16 4.01 4.00 ' — 123 -15 3 9 -1 • 8 3 4.07 4.35 4 32 4.00 3.95 -1 -6 3.982/ i k.352/ 31 •--Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where Indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more issues with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision.