Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : December 14, 1956
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/1./ > ^ - Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MOUTHS H.lli December lit, 1956 CAPITAL i-IARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of p u b l i c l y sold s e c u r i t y i s s u e s was l a r g e l a s t week, p a r t i c u l a r l y f o r c o r p o r a t e s e c u r i t i e s , and i s expected t o be only moderately s m a l l e r t h i s week. During t h e week ending December 7, l a r g e i s s u e s sold by c o r p o r a t i o n s amounted t o $293 m i l l i o n . Most of t h e total—$212 m i l l i o n out of t h e $293 m i l l i o n — r e p r e s e n t e d e x p i r a t i o n of s u b s c r i p t i o n r i g h t s . Two S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s , t o t a l i n g $20 m i l l i o n , were o f f e r e d . This week, tax-exempt o f f e r i n g s f o r $181 m i l l i o n a r e scheduled, i n c l u d i n g a $163 million J'lemphis/Tennessee e l e c t r i c revenue bond i s s u e . Three corporate s e c u r i t y i s s u e s with proceeds of $76 m i l l i o n and a Canadian o f f e r i n g f o r $22 m i l l i o n a r e scheduled f o r s a l e . The s a l e of t h e Memphis i s s u e Wednesday, a t an i n t e r e s t cost of It.75 per c e n t , has r a i s e d t h e December e s t i m a t e of S t a t e and l o c a l government bond s a l e s by $150 m i l l i o n t o a t o t a l of $!t00 m i l l i o n f o r t h e month. Bond yields—Changes i n y i e l d s on o u t s t a n d i n g bonds were mixed but minor l a s t week. Yields on c o r p o r a t e Baa's and S t a t e and l o c a l government A a a ' s and Baa's continued t o move upward and those f o r S t a t e and l o c a l government revenue and U. S. Government (new s e r i e s ) o b l i g a t i o n s remained s t a b l e while corporate/Aaa and U. S. Government (old s e r i e s ) y i e l d s d e c l i n e d . R e o f f e r i n g y i e l d s on new i s s u e s a l s o show l i t t l e change. F l o r i d a Power and Light Company's A a - r a t e d , 30-year f i r s t mortgage bond i s s u e f o r $15 m i l l i o n was r e o f f e r e d t h i s week to y i e l d it. 30 per cent— t h e same a s t h e o f f e r i n g y i e l d on t h e l a s t comparable i s s u e , an o f f e r i n g made on November 21. Stock p r i c e s — S t o c k p r i c e s , a s measured t y t h e SEC index of 265 common s t o c k s , increased s u b s t a n t i a l l y l a s t week, closing a t 279.2 on December 7. Daily f i g u r e s through Thursday of t h i s week i n d i c a t e a d e c l i n e in p r i c e s f o r the f i r s t t h r e e days of t h e week with, some recovery on Thursday. Corporate S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s i n t h e Third Quarter 1956 Net Proceeds f o r New C a p i t a l Corporations sold $2,6 b i l l i o n of s e c u r i t y i s s u e s t o o b t a i n new c a p i t a l during t h e t h i r d q u a r t e r of 1956, a s shown i n Table 1 . This was t h e l a r g e s t volume of o f f e r i n g s i n any r e c e n t t h i r d q u a r t e r , exceeding t h e corresponding p e r i o d of 1955 by 35 per c e n t . Host major i n d u s t r i a l groups showed a sharp r i s e i n volume of i s s u e s as compared w i t h l a s t y e a r . Manufacturing companies were the most important group of i s s u e r s , o f f e r i n g s e c u r i t i e s with proceeds of $752 million—52 per c e n t g r e a t e r t h a n the t h i r d q u a r t e r l a s t y e a r . Nearly a l l i n d u s t r i e s sold a markedly g r e a t e r volume of s e c u r i t i e s than l a s t year with t h e lumber and wood products and t h e n o n e l e c t r i c a l machinery groups showing t h e biggest increases percentagewise. Nonferrous metal and rubber manufacturers were subgroups r e g i s t e r i n g a s i g n i f i c a n t d e c l i n e from 1955 i n t h e volume of s e c u r i t i e s s o l d . New c a p i t a l o f f e r i n g s by e l e c t r i c , gas and water u t i l i t i e s t o t a l e d $637 m i l l i o n i n t h e t h i r d q u a r t e r - - 6 l per c e n t g r e a t e r t h a n the volume of l a s t y e a r . Finance and r e a l e s t a t e companies with t o t a l / n e t proceeds of $1*23 m i l l i o n ranked t h i r d in importance. However, t h i s t o t a l was 26 p e r cent below t h e volume a year e a r l i e r , with smaller volume of i s s u e s by consumer and s a l e s f i n a n c e companies accounting f o r t h e bulk of t h e d e c l i n e . I t should be noted t h a t t h e volume i n t h e t h i r d q u a r t e r of l a s t year included the GMA.C debenture i s s u e f o r $200 m i l l i o n j t h e r e was no s i n g l e i s s u e of t h i s magnitude sold i n the t h i r d q u a r t e r 1956. Several f a i r l y l a r g e i s s u e s scheduled f o r s a l e e a r l y i n t h e q u a r t e r were postponed, but most were sold b e f o r e the q u a r t e r closed. The increased s e c u r i t y f i n a n c i n g of the communication companies i s l a r g e l y accounted f o r 'by t h e $255 m i l l i o n AT&T debenture i s s u e o f f e r e d i n July t h i s y e a r ; l a s t y e a r , AT&T's f i n a n c i n g was done in October, There were i n c r e a s e s in t h e volume of o f f e r i n g s by r a i l r o a d s , mining and commercial and o t h e r corporations5 however, o f f e r ings by o t h e r t r a n s p o r t a t i o n companies showed a moderate d e c l i n e . Total Gross Proceeds Gross proceeds from c o r p o r a t e o f f e r i n g s , which include refunding and cost of f l o t a t i o n , were $2.7 b i l l i o n during t h e t h i r d q u a r t e r of 1956, 15 per cent g r e a t e r than l a s t year as shown in Table 2. Refunding i s s u e s t h i s year, were only about $100 m i l l i o n as compared t o over $1*00 m i l l i o n i n 1955 and over $650 million in 1954. The volume of r e f u n d i n g l a r g e l y accounts f o r t h e smaller i n c r e a s e i n t o t a l s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s 5 o f f e r i n g s f o r new c a p i t a l increased by over o n e - t h i r d . Public issues,which t o t a l e d $1,9 b i l l i o n d o l l a r s during the t h i r d q u a r t e r , were almost o n e - t h i r d g r e a t e r t h a n l a s t y e a r , while p r i v a t e placements declined 11 per c e n t . Representing twot h i r d s of t o t a l s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s , p u b l i c i s s u e s were a s l i g h t l y g r e a t e r proportion of t o t a l s e c u r i t y f i n a n c i n g than i n recent y e a r s . - 3 Table 1 Corporate S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New C a p i t a l by Type of Business of I s s u e r Third Quarter (Net proceeds in m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1956 1955 1951 1953 1952 A l l corporate o f f e r i n g s 2,571 1,911 Manufacturing. Chemicals Motor v e h i c l e s and equipment N o n e l e c t r i c a l machinery Primary i r o n and s t e e l Lumber and wood products E l e c t r i c a l machinery Paper Primary nonferrous metals f a b r i c a t e d metal products T e x t i l e s and apparel Foods Petroleum Rubber Other 3 / 752 m 126 106 72 . 52 51 50 .30 25 .17 9 6 1 79 1,991 1,561 1,918 195 63 62 2h 32 6 21 U6 71 23 11 5 b 82 • hS 735 . 32 77 26 327 . 2 17 U2 292 31 10 13 65 n.a. 8 k9 25 n.a. 2 k 15 2 68 565 W 5 105 U6 n.a. 31 52 6 n.a. 1k 35 5U 26 k2 7 k 26 70 7 98 • E l e c t r i c , gas and water u t i l i t i e s 637 395 . 1*66 5k5 502 Communication iiOO 155 353 136 530 U2 67 Railroad 87 59 37 Other t r a n s p o r t a t i o n hi 65 109 51 Commercial and other 68 65 6k 59 Mining 161 10l* 102 30 F i n a n c i a l and r e a l e s t a t e Consumer f i n a n c e companies Banks Other 123 305 28 87 573 Wf 30 76 123 To 19 2k UoU 33B 15 51 • manufacturing group. Note.—Details may n o t add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. S o u r c e . — S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission and Federal Reserve. n.a.—Not s e p a r a t e l y a v a i l a b l e . 80 ;) ) :) 96 78 m 6 31 Table 2 Total Corporate S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s by Type of Issue Third Quarter (Gross proceeds in m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Type, of i s s u e 1956 1955 195U 1953 1952 T o t a l corporate o f f e r i n g s 2,717 2,358 2,685 1,62k 2,179 Type of o f f e r i n g Public Private 1,890 827 1,127 931 1,767 918 935 689 1,120 759 Type of securityBonds and notes Public Private 2,158 1,351 806 -1,803 928 875 2,323 1,460 862 1,346 665 681 1,827 1,070 757 P r e f e r r e d stock Common stock 98 i5o 180 82 100 161 ho 5 182 196 252 N o t e . — r e t a i l s may not add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. S o u r c e . — S e c u r i t i e s and Exchange Commission. Debt financing was somewhat l a r g e r in volume t h i s - y e a r than l a s t . Common stock f i n a n c i n g a l s o increased somewhat, but p r e f e r r e d stock f i n a n c i n g declined. The p r o p o r t i o n a l d i s t r i b u t i o n by type of s e c u r i t y did not change s i g n i f i c a n t l y , however. The volume of f i n a n c i n g through c o n v e r t i b l e issues—predominantly bonds—increased, amounting to over $?,00 m i l l i o n as compared t o about UiO m i l l i o n f o r the c o r r e sponding period l a s t y e a r . More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s presented i n the attached e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly Per cent per annum V 1953 V 1954 1955 1956 U. S. Govt., long-term 2 / Corporate Aaa 1/ Old series Spread between State and U. S. Govt. local govt. (old series) and Aaa ] / CorporatelState a n d Aaa {local Aaa New series (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 19$h - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High November November November November December 9 16 23 30 7 3.1t2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.73 3.07 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (li/23) (12/23) (1/7) (11/30) (3/2) !:S? 3.71 3.73 3.72 3.15 (6/6) n.a. 2.78 (12/26) n.a. 2.7k (1/9) n.a. 2.kh (8/7) n.a. 2.9k (8/5) 3.03 (8/5) 2.62 (1/7) 2.89 (6/10) 3.36 (11/30) 3.33 (12/7) 2.80 (2/17) 2.52 (2/3) s !! 3.29 3.29 3.29 3.33 3-33 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3k 2.05 3.02 2.17 2.79 2.85 2.98 3.01 3.02 (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/6) (2/23) .38 :8 '.3k .81* :S .29 .13 .w .13 .32 :S .14 .1*8 .37 .37 .la :!l .33 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes f u l l y taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or f i r s t callable a f t e r 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to f i r s t call of the bonds included declined from lit years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 l/L per cent bond of 1978-83. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates f o r different series. EXHIBIT B L O W E R - G R A D E BOND YIELDS 1953 1954 1955 Corporate Baa X/ State and l o c a l govt. Baa 2/ 3.89 (9/18) 3 . 5 0 (1/2) 3.71* (1/8) 3.Wi (12/31) 3.63 (12/30) 3.1*5 (1/11*) 1*.32 (12/7) 3.58 (3/9) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93 (8/5) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) U.15 (12/6) 3.20(3/8) 1*.21 3 . 89 3.99 U.09 Date 1956 State and local govt, rev. 3 / (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low November November November November December 9 16 23 30 7 It. 22 1*.26 1*.30 U.32 U.12 U.15 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.9U 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30). (1/7) (12/7) (2/2U) 3.80 3.87 3.91 3.9U 3.9U 1/ Weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are i n cluded; average tenn i s 20 years. 3/ Friday f i g u r e s . Average r a t i n g of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . STOCK MARKET Stock p r i c e index 1 / Trading Common Stock market customer c r e d i t volume 2/ Customers1 debit bal- loans t o (millions yields j / of shares) (per cent) ances V "others" j / (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low 1955 - High 1956 - High October November November 2 3 November 30 December 7 167.1 1UU.0 221.li 156.5 270.7 217.k 295.5 257.k (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/Hi) (8/3) (1/20) 275.7 273.1 269.9 269.3 279.2 2.5 0.9 3.7 ii 1.5 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.U 1:11 . t u li.22 3.78 U.23 li.25 It,030 3,537 U,0li7 3,911 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,810 2,7U0 3,911 2,7U8 2,Ut5 IS 2,105 780 66U 1,21a 1,018 1,267 1,158 1,166 1,162 1,158 1,162 n.a.—Not available. 1 / SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing p r i c e s , 1939*100; converted to 1957-U9"100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion f a c t o r i s 123.91 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common stocksj end of month f i g u r e s . 5 / End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. j>/ Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans f o r purchasing or carrying U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account f o r about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. FRASER Digitized for Exhibit D H.lk Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1956 Corporate 1 1955 1 New c a p i t a l 195k 1956 S t a t e and l o c a l 1 1 1955 195k January February March 579 70k 790 535 I107 1,223 5k7 U26 635 kok 696 390 535 312 538 April May June 816 830 k78 886 687 k97 656 812 377 U90 735 li27 350 61*1 73k 7k8 853 1,066 669 836. 597 6a 670 909 335 7k7 376 199 333 kio 2k9 k06 279 261 6k9 , 778 2 / e/1,050 J e/1,100 1,162 632 900 1,003 290 60k e/kOO 658 k08 59k k23 877 2,073 2,790 1I,863 2,571 7,ii3li 5/2,928 e/to, 362 2,165 2,052 1,217 1,911 6,128 2,695 8,821 1,608 1,995 3,603 1,991 5,59k 1,896 7,190 1,190 1,603 3,093 .908 k,ooi e/1,360 e/5,361 July August September October November ^December 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 1st half 3rd q u a r t e r Three q u a r t e r s kth q u a r t e r Year e/635 1,385 l,kl8 2,803 1,12k 3,927 1,98k ' 5,911 • 396 kll 565 1,372 2,33k 3,706 1A88 k,89k 1,89k 6,789 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 3 / 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r kth q u a r t e r Year . 1,617 2,520 2,263 e/2,803 e/9,203 1,727 1,870 l,k3k 2,55k 7,569 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 e / Estimated. 1 / Includes $637.2 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . 2 / Includes $571*5 m i l l i o n AT&T common stock i s s u e , 3 / Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer f i n a n c e companies. " Note.—Details may not add t o t o t a l s due to rounding. H.lU Exhibit E Large Public S e c u r i t y Issues f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Corporate Month S t a t e and l o c a l government 25 50 1+01 227 192 Wi 163 157 233 i+63 161* 35 . 181+ 383 135 221 263 95 212 . 278 395 #3 185 592 , 217 558 386 .701 1955 - November December 1956 - January • February March April May June July August September October November Other 2 / 50 20 —— 37 35 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered December 1 through 7 Issuer Type J / Amount Coupon (millions Offering r a t e or Rating Maturity of yield net i n t e r dollars) e s t cost CORPORATE S i n c l a i r Oil Corp, Chase Manhattan Bank Michigan B e l l Tel. Long Island Lighting Co. Public Service Elec. & Gas Co. Conv. sub. deb. Cap. s t k . Deb. 1st mtg. fcds. 1986167.2 hh.k 30.0 . 1991 20.0 1986 it 3/8 U.38 A It 3/8 h 3/h It. 25 It. 58 Aaa Aaa Common s t k . 31.2 G.O. 5.0 1957-81 It. 28 3.00-it. 25 Baa G.O. 15.0 1958-72 3.60 2.75-3.50 Aa STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Prince Georges Co*, Md. Maryland S t a t e Roads Commission OTHER None H.lli E-2 1 / Includes corporate and o t h e r s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Recons t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s . 3 / In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general o b l i gations a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L . L . , l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s secured by pledge of designated revenues. Exhibit F H.ik Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following date shown Date of computation Corporate , local^ovt. 215 1955 - Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30 May 31 June 29 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 28 Oct..31 Nov. 30 176 123 380 568 198 ii37 2U7 369 315 683 1+36 205 121 327 220 132 173 332 81 131 Subsequent t o d a t e shown S t a t e and ^ e r 2/ / Corporate l o c a l govt. - 50 37 g 1*8 23 230 85 376 233 1,013 818 UU8 567 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 1+81 756 618 917 - 785 811 832 9Ul 690 726 958 979 50 37 23 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , a s of December 7 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE ^General Telephone Corp. F l o r i d a Power & Light Co. • Texas Eastern Transmission Co. Burroughs Corp. National Cash R e g i s t e r Co. May Stores Realty Corp. ^ P a c i f i c Power & Light Co. ^Louisiana Power & Light Co. Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line Co. Southern New England Telephone Co. Common s t k . 1 s t mtg. bds. Deb. Deb. 31.1 15.0 30.0 30.2 Conv. sub. deb. 28.2 Gen. mtg. bds. 1 s t mtg. bds. 1 s t mtg. bds. 1 s t mtg. bds. Common s t k . 25.0 20.0 20.0 25.0 20.1* December 11 December 12 December 13 December 17 ( r i g h t s expire) December 19 ( r i g h t s expire) December January 7 January 15 Winter Winter STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Milwaukee, Wisconsin . F l o r i d a S t a t e Board of Education Memphis, Tennessee Norfolk, V i r g i n i a G.O. L.L. Elec. r e v . G.O. 8.L 9.3 163.2 5.0 December 11 December 11 December 13 December .18 H.li* F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of December 7 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount ( m i l l i o n s Approximate d a t e of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) *Fort Worth, Texas *Los Angeles, C a l i f . *Caddo P a r i s h , La. O r a n g e County, C a l i f . Denver, Colorado S t a t e of Michigan Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington S t a t e T o l l Bridge Auth.• Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . New York S t a t e Thruway Authority J a c k s o n v i l l e Expressway Authority F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Authority Oklahoma Turnpike Authority S t a t e of Connecticut G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. L.L. Rev. Rev. Rev. , G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. Expressway r e v . 5.0 18.0 5.0 10.0 20.0 52.0 62.0 227.0 20.0 50.0 1*2.0 185.0 5U;o January January January January January Winter Winter Winter "Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Winter Deb. 22.5 December 11 65.0 U 8 9 15 18 OTHER City of Montreal, Canada *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. ' 1 / Includes corporate and o t h e r i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of ty5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . Note. —Deletions f o r reasons o t h e r than s a l e of i s s u e : U n i v e r s i t y of Washington, $>5.0 m i l l i o n i s s u e — b i d r e c e i v e d , but no decision reached.