Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : December 13, 1960
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L Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lU \ ^ December 13, 1960. ; CAPITAL I^JKET DEVELOPMENTS IN THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA. (Including Quarterly Review of Corporate Security Financing) Part I - United States Last week the volume of new security financing was substantia 1. Three large corporate issues with gross proceeds of $150 million and two large State and local government bond issues with par value of $23 million were publicly sold. In addition the Federal Land Banks offered two intermediate-term bond issues of which $31 million was for new capital.. This week three corporate security issues totaling $110 million are scheduled and two State and local government bond issues with par value of $123 million are on the calendar. Bond yields - Changes in long-term bond yields were mixed but minor last week. Yields on U. S. Government and State and local government bonds declined slightly while those on corporate bonds increased somewhat. Short- and intermediate-teim interest rates - Yields on Treasury bills and intermediate-term U. S. Government obligations declined moderately last week. Interest rates on directly placed finance company paper increased somewhat, primarily as a result of an adjustment in the maturities offered at previously established rates. Mortgage recordings - Nonfarm mortgage recordings in September were 8 per cent below the record monthly level of a year earlier. Compared with September 1959, conventional loans were down by 5 per cent, FHA-ansured loans by 17 per cent, and VA-guaranteed loans by-23 per cent. Corporate Security Offerings in the Third Quarter i960 Corporate security offerings during the third quarter of i960 totaled $2.5 billion, This was more than one-fifth greater than in the unusually low third quarter of 1959• Refunding of outstanding securities, as it had been a year earlier, was very small—$1*1 million. Net proceeds for new capital -Corporations sold $2.k billion of security issues to obtain new capital. Although substantially above financing last year, corporate security offerings were smaller than in other recent third quarters. Table 1 Corporate Security Offerings for New Capital by Type of Business of Issuer Third Quarter 1956-60 (Net proceeds in millions of dollars) I960 1959 1958 1957 1956 2,167 2,016 2,862 2,950 2,6kl ill 2,1*27 37 1,979 101 2,760 51 2,899 86 2,556 120 151 _-71 63 1*9 1*3 3h 20 18 ll* 11 96 U68 ~w 10 77 1*1* 27 31 15 20 6 61* 127 1,112 320 12 1*6 8 21 62 23 1*5 9 79 1*87 810 92 16 32 58 16 11*5 1* .19 1 10 1*17 736 72 25 128 51 17 106 9 52 1* 1* 268 651 1:70 809 912 632 308 99 121* 21*3 399 63 32 1*3 62 87 Other transportation 130 235 75 91* 1*9 Commercial and other 101* 105 1*29 80 65 32 35 53 77 11*9 159 2%3 271 116 29 87 620 318 302 L21 3# 130 Total corporate offerings Refunding New capital Manufacturing Primary iron and steel Fabricated metal products Chemicals Electrical machinery Textiles and apparel Nonelectrical machinery Paper Printing Other transportation equipment Other 1/ Electric3 gas and water utilities Communication Railroad Mining Financial and real estate Sales and consumer finance Other 1/ Includes small volume of issues of foreign manufacturers not further classified, Note,—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. Source.—Securities and Exchange Commission and Federal Reserve. 1 : | | * For the first nine months of i960 new capital offerings of corporations totaled $6.9 billion, slightly larger than a year earlier. (Through the first half, financing had been somewhat smaller this year than in 195?.) Electric, gas and water utilities were the most important group of issuers during the third quarter, selling securities totaling $.7 billion, This volume was nearly two-fifths larger than last year but smaller than in 1957 and 1958. Security offerings of manufacturing corporations totaled $.6 billion. Though one-fifth larger than a year earlier, this was smaller than in any other third quarter since 1955= The amount of securities sold was moderate for most types of industrial producers0 Primary iron and steel, fabricated metal products, textile, printing and food manufacturers, however, sold a larger volume of new securities in the third quarter than in most other recent years. New financing by financial and real estate companies in the July-September period totaled $.6 billion, slightly larger than last year. Security sales by sales and consumer finance companies, however, were up sharply—50 per cent above a year earlier and the largest third quarter volume since 1955= The decline this year in financing by other types of financial corporations largely reflects a smaller volume of real estate company financing during the recent quarter. New issue volume by communication companies and by railroads in the third quarter was also larger than a year earlier, while offerings, by transportation companies other than railroads, and by mining and commercial and other companies were in smaller volume this year. Total gross proceeds - Gross proceeds from corporate offerings, which include refunding issues and costs of flotation were $2.5 billion in the third quarter. PutiLicly offered issues, totaling $1.7 billion, were nearly half again as large as a; year ago,, while private placements amounted to $,8 billion, nearly one-tenth snailer. The volume of bond and note financing, $2.1 billion, was onefourth larger than in the corresponding period of 1959= Public tond sales were two-thirds larger than in 1959 when volume had been unusually small, while privately placed bonds were one-seventh smaller. (Private placements of bonds have been smaller in volume in each quarter this year than in the corresponding period of 1959.) Bonds convertible into common stock were also sold in smaller volume during the recent third quarter. New preferred stock financing totaled $.1 billion, three-fourths larger than a year earlier. Common stock financing, amounting to $.3 billions was about the same as in the third quarter of 1959 = Total Corporate Security Offerings by T: re 0f i-3rueThird Quarter 1956-60 (Gross proceeds in millions of dollars) Type of issue I960 1959 1958 1557 Total corporate offerings 2,518 2,062 2,910 2,997 Type of offering Public Private 1,717 801 1,162 680 2,201 710 2,0^4 954 1,IM CO-' Type of security Bonds and notes Public Private • (Memo: Convertible) 2,076 1,344 732 (115) 1,666 607 659 (196) 2,461 1,795 666 (79) 2,521 1,586 935 (231) 2,13k 1,352 762 (116) Preferred stock 112 63 Common stock 330 333 loh 345 72 99 404 457 n.a.—Not avaliable. :7ete.—j,ut,ails may not add to totals due to rounding, source. ccvritics and uxchange Commission. Stock prices - Common stock prices, as measured by Standard and Pool's index of 500 stocks, increased 2 per cent last week, closing at 5<--. 65 on Friday. At this level prices were about Midway between the It CO high and low. Trading volume averaged 3.7 million shares per day, the heaviest trading since last spring. Ho re detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Developments in the Canadian capital markets are presented in Part II at the end of this report. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, "hoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. IXHIIIT A LONQ-T1KM BOND YlliPS • HIOH-OKAP1 45 t W..fcV I T nrOWKR-ORADI /V' 11# ill Exhibit B - Tables for Exhibit A Long-term Bond Yields High-grade Date Corporate Aaa 1/ SE U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ lt.6i (12/31) I1.09 ( 1 / 9 ) li.61 (1/29) lt.23 (9/9) 3.07 ( V 2 5 ) . It. 37 (12/31) 3.83 ( 1 / 2 ) Ui2 (1/8) 3.75 (8/5) Nov. Nov. Nov. Dec. Dec. it# 29 ll.30 ii.32 jt.33 4.35 3.91 3.92 3.9U 3.97 3.9k 11 18 25 2 9 jo/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and local Aaa State and local govt. Aaa y (Per cent) - Low -High - Low - High Low i960 - High Low 1951* 1957 1958 1959 -7- 2.16 (6/6) 3.76 (10/18) 111; .30 .30 .1*7 .31* .92 .53 .60 .22 .50 3.06 (3/26) 3.53 (1/7) 2.99 (9/1) .16 .59 .19 .92 .53 3.16 .38 .38 .38 .36 .ill .75 .80 .82 .83 .83 3.12 3.12 3.14 3.11 Lower-grade Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa y Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local govt. (Percent) 1951* 1957 1958 1959 - Low High Low High Low 1960 - High Low 3.11U (12/31) 2.93 (8/5) w 5.36 (2/12) L 9 8 (9/9) H ; 3.92i (3/26) h.k6 (1/7) it. 05 (9/1) Nov. Nov. Nov. Dec. Dec. 5.08 5.07 5.08 5.10 5.11 ii.ll ii.07 4.07 it. 07 it.06 11 18 25 2 9 e/ .52 . 1.27 t .71 .79 .77 .76 .96 1.21 '.98 .79 1.08 .92 .95 .95 .95 .93 ..95 Prellslmry. Ueekly average of dally figure*. Average tere of bpade lncludedts 28-26 years. J/ Weekly average of dully figures. The series Includes bonds due or callable In 10 years or more. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are Included* average tern Is 20 years. Mote,—High# and lews are for Individual series and eey be on different dates for different series. 1_ . SHORT- AND INTERMEDIATE- TERM INTEREST RATES GOVERNMENT ' S - 5 YtAt ISSUES 6 - MOUTH BIUS I mauh PRIVATE 'flNANCi COMPANY PAPlF •m % Exhibit D - Tables for Exhibit C Short- and Intermediate-term Interest Rates Government Yields 6-month bills 2/ Date Discount rate 1/ - P ll.OO 3.61* (10/18) U.04 ( 1 0 A 8 ) .58 ( 5 / 2 9 ) 3.02 (12/26) 2.1U (6/6) U.57 (12/24) U.91 (12/31) 5.00 (12/2U) ll.OO 3.00 U.59 ( 1 / 8 ) 2.11 (10/28)2.39 ( 8 / 5 ) 5.07 (1/8) 3.00 2.1i0 3.00 3.00 2.38 2.35 2.28 2.59 2.75 2.71 2.70 195U 1957 1958 1959 Low High Low High Low 1960 - High Low Nov. Nov. Nov. Dec. Dec. 11 18 25 2 9 2/ 2.50 3.00 3.00 3-month bills 2/ 3-5 year issues 2/ Spread between yields on 3-month bills and yields on 6-mo. bills 13-5 yr. issues" (per cent) .61 (6/11) — 2.63 (2/20) 2.92 (1/2) 2.1+6 .66 1.66 {u/joy 2.62 3.70 (1/2) .26 .79 .19 .58 U.97 ( 1 / 8 ) 3.1*7 ( 9 / 2 3 ) .16 3.63 3.69 3.72 3.75 3.59 .19 .29 .33 .35 .31* .86 .01* 1.1*2 .1*0 1.81 .38 1.23 1.23 1.01 1.1*0 1.31 Private Date Stock Exchange call loan 1/ Spread between 3-month Prime Finance company Treasury bill yield and rate 3/ paper y finance company paper rates (per cent) 1951* 1957 1958 1959 - Low High Low High Low I960 - High Low 3.00 1*.50 3.50 5.00 It. 00 5.50 U.50 Nov. Nov. Nov. Dec. Dec. l*.5o U.5o U.50 l*.5o l*.5o 11 18 25 2 9 J0/ - 3.00 li.50 3.50 5.00 I4.OO 5.oo U.5o 1.25 (12/31) 3.88 (11/15) 1.13 (8/8) U.88 (12/31) 3.00 (3/6) 5.13 (1/22) 2.88 ( l l / U ) U.5o l*.5o U.5o li.50 U.50 2.88 2.93" 2.9U 2.9U 3.01 0 (12/18).59 (7/19) -.35 (8/29) .86 (10/9) .13 (12/U) 1.02 (3/25) .22 (U/15) .1*8 . .56 .59 .73 Hsekly r>t« shown Is that In effect at end of period. Dlsoount rate Is for Federal Reserve Bank of Mew York. Stock axohange call loan rate la going rate on call loans secured ty oustoners' stock sxohange oollateral at New York City banks. Prime rate la that charged by large banks on ahort-tera loans to business borrowers of the highest ersdlt standing. i/ Market ylold| weekly averages computed fro* daily closing bll prloee. Series of 3-8 year Issues oonslstM of selected notes and bondi. 3/ Average of daily rates published t-y. flwutow companies for directly placed paper for varying waturities In the 90-179 day ruivi*. , , Note.—Illghe and lows are for Individual series. <tnd nay be on different dates for different series. For spreads, high refers to widest, and lew to narrowest.' STOCK MARKET MORTGAGE RECORDINGS AND LOANS v-\ V Exhibit F - Tables for KxiribiL E Stock Market Date Stock price index 1/ Trading Common stock volume J / yields 2/ (millions (per c shares) Stock market customer credit Bank Customers' debit bal- loans to ances 1*/ "others" 5/ CSttlKoiSa of dollars) Total 1957-59 - High Low I960 - High Low 60.51 (7/31/59) 39.78 59.50 53.32 (10/21) 3.07 1*.66 3.18 3.62 fc3u 3.9 2.2 a s It, 365 It,132 3,to 2,1*82 3,198 3,00k October November Nov. 25 Dec. 2 Dec. 9 jo/ 53.73 55.1*7 56.13 3.60 3.51 3.17 3.51 3.a 2.6 3.1 3.2 3.1* 3.7 It, 291 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 3,133 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1 : 1 1,373 1,060 1,167 1,111 & 1,161 1,153 n.a. n.a.—Hot available. g/ Preliminary, T 1/ Standard and Poor's fnmposlte Index of 600. eeegroB stocks, weekly closing prices, 1941-43*10. Monthly date are averages of dally figures rather than of Mdays' Wily. Highs and Iowa are for Fridays' data only. 2/ Standard and Poor's opposite stook yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing price» by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are for dates em wMeh price Index reached Its high or low* 3/ Averages of daily trading weluaa ee tba D M York Stook Exchange. 4/ End of nonth figures for member fines of the New York Stook Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figure* for weekly reporting mesiber banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securitiese Prior to July 1, 1959, sxroh loans are excluded only at-banks In New York and Chicago, Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 percent of loans-to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Nonfarm Mortgage Recordings and Loans 1 / Date 1959 - Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. I960 • Jan, Feb. Mar. Apr. MayJune July Aug. Sept. Unadjusted Total Seasonally Unadjusted PHA *1 adjusted 2/ (Millions of dollars) 2,650 2,639 2,589 2,1*85 2,187 2,W0 2 , W 2,1:27 2,1*93 2,1*88 n.a. 2,831* 2,799 2,1*1*2 2,1*87 2,079 2,11*9 2,1*06 2,366 2,500 2,690 2,528 2,781* 2,598 510 523 1*1*8 1*51 1*17 368 361 336 322 365 362 1*17 1*25 2a 238 220 21*1 195 170 173 153 155 175 160 181 169 Conv. 2,103 2,039 1,775 1,794 1,1*67 1,612 1,872 1,878 2,023 2,150 2,006 2,186 2,001* n.a.--Not available. 1/ Total recordings data are estimates based em reports from about 450 areas and include mortgages of $20,000 or less secured by noafarm real estate, primarily residential properties. FHA-lneured loans represent gross amount of insurance written, and VA-guaranteed leans the gross amount • of loans olosed,on 1-4 family houses. Conventional data are derived as a residual, although total recordings and VA and PHA loans are not strictly comparable In concept or timing. 2/ Three-month moving average, eaasoaally adjusted by Federal Reserve. for FRASER Source 1 Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Federal Housing Administration and Veterans Administration. Digitized Exhibit 0 Long-term Coxporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) New capital 1960 January February March April May June July August September , State and local 2/ i 1958 I960 1 1959 821 738 616 1,55^ 766 567 1,03k 894 785 887 1,140 597 887 1,030 727 962 738 535 7W 703 1,107 540 1,114 571 599 2/670 879 861* 900 862 518 920 e/325 e/500 e/45o 2,204 2,567 3,139 2,623 2,760 2,300 e/1,000 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 2,151 2,367 2,427 e/2,725 1st half Three quarters Year 1958 577 715 860 October November December quarter quarter quarter quarter Corporate 1/ 1 1 1959 2/625 e/900 4,519 6,945 e/9,670 iS 4,771 6,750 9,392 728 iS 10,823 738 623 575 S 639 858 646 812 953 511 932 798 895 551 ,,s 8 I 806 403 651 456 474 435 ^/l,275 1,571 2,276 2,244 1,860 1,365 4,247 JD/6,087 e/7,362 4,674 6,222 7,793 4,520 6,380 7,746 1,936 2,311 2/1,840 2,1U3 Excluding finance companies 4/ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th quarter quarter quarter quarter Year 1,722 2,150 2,017 e/2,325 .1,999 2,412 1,716 2,503 IS e/8,2l4 8,630 10,429 2,731 2,213 1/ Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds.. 2/ Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. 3/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 4/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. H.ilt Exi libit h -13- Other Security Offerings 1/ (In millions of dollars) Long-be m Foreign government 2/ Federal agency I960 1959" w a r 1960 1^9 January February March 81 60 2 2 175 70 April May June lo July August September 25 1 36 I 3U 85 1 35, October November December 33 30 70 Year 5U7 s 196 53 182 148 351* — 9 5 17 199 96 150 *3 58 April May June July Aupust September October November December U28 FP g § u •S 297 280 .505 199 . 295 160 273 215 26j; . 289 123 369 21l6 167 399 E/lk6 Year $ 358 1,179 to 2li3 3,910 1 S T 1*163 251 523 16U 220 2/160 5/100 66 992 190 268 E 175 139 198 120 707 Short-tdrm State and local government k/ January Februaxy March 199 2,321 Federal agency 3/ 359 500 II89 371 208 lli)4 % U35 I186 075 289 209 161 329 312 I468 296 72 7 365 665 437 206 330 £ 1*79 21*1 282 28 288 I.5U Hit 137 6,Oh7 3,096 EZ Preliminary. 1/ Data presented in this exhibit differ from those In Exhibit B In that r#furvllr« isiuoe, a* well as new on pi re 1 lesues, are lnelutied. Long-term eaeurltlee are duflned as those ms.twi.ng In more than one year. 2/ Includes securities offered In the United States by foreign govevrments and their rubdlvisions end by International organluitlona. Tourcai Securities ami Kxulir.age Convni anion. 3/ Issues not gunreMied by the U. S. Oovernwn:. Sour091 long-tern, Securities anil Bcohangt Corailiisloni short-term, federal Reserve. 4/ Principally tax and bond anticipation notts, warrants or oerttfloates ar.il Publlo Housing Authority not*s. In *0*# instances l»HA eotee Included may have a somewhat longer tens thAn one year. Souroei Bond Buyer. Exhibit I -Ill- Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1f Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (in millions of dollars) Corporate Month State and local government 1|21 230 279 • 262 381* 309 139 1*1*2 303 581 266 566 165 1959 - November December I960 - January February March April May June July August September October November Other 2/ 163 217 388 283 225 370 23U 561 191 298 70 100 320 191 71 28 30 75 25 77 150 % 1*6 186 Large Individual Issues Offered December 1 through 9 Type y Issuer ' Coupon Amount rate or Offering (millions Maturity net inter- yield of est cost dollars) Rating CORPORATE Southern Bell Tel. & Tel. Northern States Pwr. Co. Potomac Electric Pwr. Co. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. 75.0 1997 35.0 1990 1*0.0 1995 5 5 5 1*.85 5.00 1*.95 Aa Aa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT San Diego Unif. Sch. Dist. California Maryland St. Rds. Comm. G.O. Rev.-S.T. 10.0 12.5 1963-81 -3.1*3 1962-76 3.29 31.0 1961* 1962 2.20-3.65V A 1.90-3.35 Aa OTHER Federal Land Banks Federal Land Banks Bds. Bds. 1* 3-3/8 1*.08 3.78 - 1-2 -15- •Footnotes 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $10 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies, 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations.secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from quasiutilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. k/ 1/U per cent obligations of 1982 were not reoffered. 2/ -16- Exbibit J Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation During month following date shown Corporate 226 210 207 301 299 202 1*83 237 596 216 576 1A0 260 1959 - Nov. 30 Dec. 31 - Jan. 29 Feb. 29 Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Subsequent to date shown g ^ J o t t o r g/ 295 bkS 210 255 250 22*3 277 180 27 5 283 212 258 2it2 Corporate 70 30 bS 35 30 30 77 50 — — Other2/ 185 5ii5 310 385 280 258 502 380 32i| 283 336 391 560 271 280 252 372 3W 357 553 U55 1,006 731 836 585 335 . 70 30 h$ 35 60 30 127 50 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of December 9 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of dollars) of offering CORPORATE Consumers Power Co. Beneficial Finance Corp. Public Service Electric & Gas Co. *Texas Eastern Transmission Corp. •if-Lone Star Gas Co. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. Pfd. stk. Pfd. stk. Com. stk. 35.0 5o.o 25.0 15.0 20.0 #Brunswick Corp. Conv. sub. deb. 25.6 *Texas Eastern Transmission Corp. Commerce Oil Refining Coip. Liberian Iron Ore, Ltd. 1st mtg.pil.bds. Deb., bds. & com. Bds. & stk. 30.0 it5.0 30.0 Dec. 1U Dec. 15 Dec. 15 Jan. 18 Jan. 23 (lights expire) Jan. 25 (rights expire) Jan. Indefinite Indefinite STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Public Housing Authorities State of Michigan State of New Mexico State Colleges of California Oklahoma City Metro. Improvement Auth., Oklahoma -*Los Angeles, California State of California Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev.-Q.Ut. 97.6 25.0 16.1 lit. 2 Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. llj. lU 19 21 Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. 55.0 30.0 95.0 December Jan. 10 Jan. 11 -17- J-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of December 9 (Cont'd) Issuer STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) •Pennsylvania State Public Sch. Bldg. Auth. Los Angeles Dept. of Wtr. and Pwr., California Orleans Parish School Dist., La. Kentucky Turnpike Authority Dade County, Florida New York State Housing Fin. Agency Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) Type - Rev.-Rent. Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev, G.O. Rev. 23.0 12.0 10.0 55.0 46.0 100.0 Jan. 18 Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite , Indefinite Indefinite OTHER None *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. Bxhlbit K -18- Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Bated Aa and A 1/ Date 1952-1959 - High Low 1959 - July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1960 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May 10 12 Aa-rated offering yields A*rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned yields seasoned yields (per cent) (per cent) (basis points) (basis points) 5.30 (12/8/59) 87 2.93 (3/31/5U) -3 *4.93 14.83 31 23 5.13%/ «5.08 *5.30 36 5.09 it.82 It. 91 It. 88 It. 82 h. 6k 5.07 17 *5.65 5.33 60 63 it5 25 37 32 25 27 27 17 1*3 *5:30^ 51 28 ii.97 5.1U 9 35 5.20 5.10 lt.95 26 33 11 it.93 L88 11 8 L80 2U 2i.8 8 26 5.05 1*3 2U 22 8 18 Dec. 7 123 -15 1|2 25 June 17 28 29 July 8 13 Sept. 15 23 28 Oct. 5 21 Nov. h 16 17 5.45 (9A8/59) 3.00 ( 3 A 7 / 5 4 ) 5.00 h9 1 *—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Mooter's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the Indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 yearsT 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which Issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more issues for FRASER with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision. Digitized -19' December 13, I960 Part II- Canada For the first time in eleven weeks, Canadian Treasury bill yields declined slightly last week. Bill yields for shorter maturities rose slightly while there was some decline in yields on longer maturities. The Bank of Canada purchased $9 million of Treasury bills and $53 million of under-2-year bonds; these purchases helped to ease the pressure on short-term rates growing out of the new $200 million 1962-63 maturity Government of Canada refunding issue, marketed last week. At the same time, the Bank sold $56 million of over-2-year bonds. Stock prices rose slightly. The Canadian dollar showed little change closing at 102.3U (U.S. cents) last Thursday. Money market. The yield on Canadian Treasury bills declined for the first time in 91 weeks. The average yield on the 3-month Treasury bill at last Thursday's auction was 3.70 per cent compared with 3<>95 per cent the week before. (See Table) The yield on the 6-month bill also declined from U.07 per cent to 3.92 per cent. (See Table) The Bank of Canada purchased $9 million of Treasury bills during the week while the chartered banks sold $7 million and the general public sold $U million. (See Table) The average closing rate on day-to-day loans was 3»U0 per cent compared with 3.50 per cent a week ago. The spread in favor of the Canadian over the United States short Treasury bill narrowed only slightly from 1.62 per cent the week before to l.Wi per cent last Thursday. However, the discount on the forward Canadian dollar reached 0.73 per cent per annum (the largest for i960), reducing the net incentive to hold„the Canadian bill by ^8 basis points to 0.71 per cent per annum from 1.19 per cent the week before. (See Table.) Bond market. Bond yields rose slightly in shorter maturities and declined in most longer maturities. The spread between selected comparable Canadian and United States securities (Thursday yields for bills and Wednesday yields for bonds) were as follows (figures in parenthesis refer to the previous week): l.liU I.3U 0.81 1.25 1.1*1 per per per per per cent cent cent cent cent on on on on on a 91-day bill (1.62) a 182-day bill (1.37) an 8-year bond (0.72) a 30-year bond (1.28) a 35-year bond (1.3^) During the week the Bank of Canada-sold $56 million of over-2-year Government bonds and purchased $53 million under-2-year bonds, thus reducing the pressure on shortterm rates. The chartered banks sold $28 million and the general public purchased $31 million of Government bonds. (See Table.) The Minister of Finance announced that the new refunding issue of Government of Canada bonds (see Capital Market Developments, December 1, i960) was oversubscribed. Offers -for the two maturities totaling $200 million available to investors have been accepted as follows? $120 million in the 1962 maturity and $80 million in the 1963 maturity. In addition, the Bank of Canada took $180 million of the 1962 maturity and $220 million of the 1963 maturity -20- A *>35 million offer of 6 per cent, 25-year bonds last week by Bell Telephone of Canada resulted in an immediate oversubscription. Bid went to 101 on a "when issued" basis shortly after the announcement and then eased to 100-3A. jj The Mcleod, Young, Weir 4o bond yield average for December 1 showed an increa^ to 5.68 per cent compared with 5.44 per cent on November 1. The rise was apparent in 1 all types of bonds. (See Table.) • • Stock market. Industrial stock prices on the Canadian exchanges rose slightly ' early in the week ending December 9, after falling in the previous week, as noted in \ the following tablet 2 Toronto ^ Montreal New York Standard & Poor I960 - High Low 532.5:6 1:72.38 271.1 250.3 60.51 55.98 November 28 29 30 December 1 2 5 6 496.42* 497.06 495.94 499.00 ^99.31 499.75 261.1 262.7 262.0 262.8 263.7 26ii.li 264.0 59 . 4 5 59.22 58.87 59.59 58.70 58.58 58.74 496.81 1 Foreign exchang;e. The spot rate cn the Canadian dollar rose slightly last closed at 102.3^1 (U.S. cents) last Thursday. The discount on the forward the highest for the year, under the influence of continued large spreads favoring the Canadian over the U. S. Treasury bill. British^Gommonwealth Section Division of International Finance Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System | % I Selected Canadian Money Market and Related Data 3-mo, Treaa. bills Spread over U.S. 6.16 2.96 Spot Net incentive to hold Can # billg/ Canadian dollar 3-mo. discount ^ forward prendum( 1959 High Low I960 - High Low 5.1U 1.68 hoh9 2.80 U.63 2.10 0.30 1.62 -0.82 io$.5i 102.58 105.27 101.31 Nov, 3 10 17 2k Dec0 1 8 3,22 3.21 3.k8 3.77 3.95 3.70 2.21 2,15 2.1*0 2.39 2.33 2.26 . 1,01 0.76 1.08 1.38 ' 1.62 i.Uli 102.80 ' 102.70 102.53 102.52 102.02 101.9k 102.38 102.25 102.22 102.11 102.16 102.3k 3.25 -21- MM — 0.99 -0.73 -0.37 -0.06 -0.31 -0.U9 -0.U3 -0.73 1.19 -0.57 . - 0.6k 0.70 0.77 0.89 1.19 0.71 a/ Average yield at weekly tender on Thursday. 5/ Composite market yield for the U.S. Treasury bill on Thursday close of business# c/ In U.S. cents, a/ Spread between spot rate and 3-month forward Canadian dollar on Thursday closing, expressed as per cent per annum# e/ Spread over U.S. Treasury bill (column 3)* plus 3-month forward discount or premium (column 6). Selected Government of Canada Security Iislds 1959 - High Low I960 - High Low 6.2k 5.11 5.33 1.99 1.37 -0.86 Intermediate bonds (6 yr.) spread Canute over. 1 2 1 M k 5.27 k.5o 1.11 5.55 0.21 k.09 Nov. 3 • 10 17 2k Dec. 1 8 3.51 3.U7 3.78 3.93 1.07 3.92 1.03 0.83 1.02 1.23 1.37 1.3k k.62 k.62 k.67 k.70 k.72 k.73 6-mo. Trias# bills spread 0.81 0.76 0,72 0.68 0.72 0.81 Long-term bonds qgfca Canada over. J L I m k 5.30 hohk 5.1i2 1.30 14.63 L.89 k.99 5.09 5.20 5.21 5.17 0.85 l.oU l.iU 1.22 1.30 . 1.28 1.25 Canada over, J Z Z MM 5.05 a.73 5.28 1.61 1.68 0.95 It. 92 5.01 5.05 5.09 5.16 5.18 . Spread between Canadian auction rate and composite market yield of U.S. on close of business Thursday. Government of Canada 2-3A per cent of June 1967-68. Spread over U.S. Government 2-1/2 per cent of 1963-68# Government of Canada 3-lA per cent of 0ctober_1979 y Spread over U.S. Government 3-lA per cent of 1978-83. -' Government of Canada 3 - 3 A per cent of September 1996 - March 1998. ' Spread over U.S. Government of 199$, i J i 1.17 1.2U 1.27 1.28 1.3k i.ia Canada: Changes in Distribution of Holdings of Canadian Government Direct and Guaranteed Securities (millions of Canadian dollars, par value) Bank of Canada Treas. Bonds bills Oct. 6 13 20 27 Nov, 3 10 17 2k Dec. 1 8 Source* + $ - 1 - it + 6 - $ - 1 +10 - 3 + 3 - 3 - 1 +27 - It -11 - 1 + 3 + 1 +10 + 9 Government Total + 3 + 2 +23 + 9 + 6 + 2 - 1 + 8 +2U - It Chartered banks Treas. bills Bonds + 2 —2C -20 -16 + 8 + 6 . -28 -30 -21 - 7 + + + + + + + + - 68 23 23 12 19 7 6 3 8 28 General public Savings Treas. bonds M L ,Bonds - $ - $ + 2 + 3 + 9 +199 +131 +271 + k - k + 3 -19 - I* +20 + 6 - 6 +26 +29 + 3 + 1 Bank of Canada, Weekly Financial Statistics. Average Bond Yields (per cent per annum) 10 10 10 10 k0 Provincials Municipals Public Utilities Industrials Bond Yield Average Sources McLeod, Young, Weir. SokO $.60 $.38 $.39 $.Wi $.60 $.9$ $.$U $.62 5.68 +16$ - 27 - U2 - 2U - 17 - 7 - 17 - $ - 27 + 31 UNITED KINGDOM MONTHLY AVERAGES BANK BOND RATE AND AND STOCK TREASURY BILL RATE YIELDS 2 / 2 % CONSOLS YIELD (liMWI.) «.*