Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : August 24, 1970
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
CEaOBLlfi "T\^t D E C O T O O L L E D AFTER SIX MOUTHS L.5.8 Confidential;(F.R.) j, CAPITAL MARKET iPMENTS Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D. C. jL; A u g u s t 24, 1970 LIBRARY A U G 4 7 1970 FED!.;. RESEHUE B A N K OF RICWtfOND zz: ^ u~ INDEX 3-5 Developments in the Corporate and Municipal Bond Markets 6-7 Capital Market Yields 8-13 Capital Market Volume 14-17 Stock Market 18-33 Mortgage Market SYMBOLS: e Estimate p Preliminary r Revised n.a. Not available TABLE 1: Yields, Volume and Reception WEEK ENDING: 1970 July Aug. CORPORATE BOND MARKET VOLUME 2 PER CENT GROSS SOLD BY END BONDS SCHEDULED ' OFFERINGS OF WEEK WITHIN 28 DAYS 3 10 17 24 31 9.02 8.70 8.58 8.38 8.60 8.60 8.55 8.49 8.50 8.26 360 395 475 403 100 94 83 88 364 91 7 14 21 28 8,35 8.53 8*70 n. a. 8.17 8.10 8.12 n.a. 330 581 313 550e 77 87 83 n.a. WEEK ENDING: 1970 - July YIELDS MOODY 1 S SEASONED NEW ISSUE 1 Aaa 3 10 17 24 31 YIELDS BOND BUYER MOODY'S SEASONED 2.0 SEASONED Aaa BOND INDEX 6.65 6.50 6.50 6.15 6.79 6.59 6.60 6.28 6.20 6.40 MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME 2 ! PER CENT GROSS I SOLD BY END OFFERINGS j OF WEEK . 886 580 674 883 785 1,380 1,153 909 n.a. . BONDS SCHEDULED WITHIN 28 DAYS 351 54 67 62 72 634 845 781 808 397 62 676 119 177 282 710 89 288 6.25 . 6.10 n.a. 6.10 S.30 312 57 311 5.95 6* 17 85 678 340e P. a. 28 n.a. n. a. i n.a. 1 Derived by adjusting to a Aaa basis, new issues of publicly-offered corporate bonds with call protection, rated A, Aa, or Aaa by Moody's Investors Service (except serial and convertible issues, offerings of natural gas pipeline and foreign companies, and bonds guaranteed by the Federal Government.) Aug. 7 14 21 2 Millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated. Note: Sec-/footnotes to Table 3 TABLE 2: Details on Inventories AMOUNT (MIL. $) DATE / OFFERED 20.0 25.0 70.0 7.5 45.0 35.0 35.0 21.0 8/20 8/19 8/19 8/18 8/18 8/13 8/11 8/10 DATE OFFERED | RELEASED 8-5 8-12 CORPORATE BONDS IN SYNDICATE END OF LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL RATING AND YIELD CALL PROTECTION ISSUER Q0UP0N 8-20 8-17 Burlington Northern Central Illinois Lt. Potomac Elec. Blackstone Valley Elec. Wisconsin Public Serv. Central Maine Power Northern Illinois National Fuel Gas 9.30 9.13 9.50 9.75 9.25 9.30 8.50 8.63 9.30 9.00 9.50 9.75 9.25 9.30 8.28 8.45 Aa Aa A A I A Aa A ESTIMATED PROPORTION SOLD 60% 40% 98% 70% 40% 90% 85% 85% *— 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 yrs yrs yrs yrs yrs yrs yrs CORPORATE BONDS RELEASED FROM SYNDICATE DURING LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL INCREASE RATING AND ESTIMATED PROAMOUNT ' ISSUER COUPON IN YIELD CALL PROT. PORTION RELEASED YIELD 150.0 100.0 DATE 1970 - July 24 31 . Augo 7 14 2 IP Southwest Bell Tel. Duke Power INVENTORIES MUNICIPALS BLUE LIST | IN SYNDICATE 392 452 548 576 568 119 215 126 184 111 8.75 8.63 8.71 8.65 +15 +25 Aaa Aa 5 yrs 5 yrs 20% 70% 1 CORPORATES IN SYNDICATE 50 40 109 153 66 N.C. - No call protection. 1 All figures in millions of dollars. Blue List is daily average for week ended Friday, except for latest week which is daily average of three days ended Wednesday. All lother figures are as of FriHmr BONDS IN SYNDICATE Millions of d o l l a r s - Friday figures SEPT. JUN. 1970 SEPT. DEC. / TABLE 3: High Grade Bond Yields ' DATE NEW CORPORATE Aaa 1 MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa 2 U.S. GOVERNMENT 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITIES 3 BOND BUYER'S SEASONED MUNICIPALS 4 1968 - High Low 7.02 6.13 (12/13) (8/30) 6.55 5.95 (1/27) (9/13) 5.90 5,18 (1/20) (8/9) 4. 85 4.107 (1/26) (8/8) 1969 - High Low 8.85 6.90 (12/5) (2/21) 7.84 6.55 (12/26) (1/13) 6.97 5.96 (12/26) (1/24) 6.,90 4.,82 (12/18) (1/28) 1970 - High Low 9.30 8.20 (6/19) (2/27) 8.60 7.79 (7/3) (3/6) 7.55 6.60 (5/29) (3/6) 7.,12 5..95 (5/29) (3/12) 1970 - July 24 31 8.38 8.60 8.40 8.26 6.89 6.90 1970 - Aug. 7 14 21 8.35 8.53 8.70 8.17 8.10 8.12 6.96 7.11 7.23 1 , 6..28 6.,40 6,.25 6 .30 6 .17 New corporate issues, with call protection, adjusted (as described in footnote 1 of Table 1) to a Aaa basis. Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 22-24 years. ' 3 Weekly average of daily figures. 4 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Note--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. 2 \ HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS NEW CORPORATE Aaa MOODY'S CORPORATE Aaa SU.S. GOVT. 20-YR. CONSTANT MATURITIES BOND BUYER MUNICIPAL 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 TABLE 4: Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) GROSS PROCEEDS CORPORATE 1 PERIOD 1970 STATE AND LOCAL 1969 1968 ! 1970 ' January February March 2,636 1,802 3,539 2,075 2,045 2,098 1,771 1,608 1,799 J April May June 3,142 3,905 3,225e 2,748 2,076 2,530 1,428 1,866 2,411 j • July August September 2, 875e 2,700e 2,900e 2,478 1,427 2,427 2,143 1,432 1,557 j ! j 1,933 2,375 2,532 2,129 1,767 2,054 6,218 7,354 6,332 6,840 5,178 5,704 5,133 5,950 13,572 19,904 26,744 10,882 16,015 21,965 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 7,977 10,272 8,475e 1st half Three quarters Year i s 1969 1968 1,340 1,214 1,551- 1,262 987 538 1,178 1,158 1,404 1,646 995 1,070 1,801 1,110 737 1,318 1,143 1,395 1,300e l,300e l,400e 1,097 808 559 1,469 1,699 1,444 1,280 886 816 2,230 1,021 1,115 2,787 3,648 2,464 2,982 3,840 3,856 4,612 4,366 6,435 8,899 11,881 7,956 12,008 16,574 4,105 3,711 4,000e Excluding finance companies 3 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter Year 1 2 3 Note: 6,170 7,037 5,107 5,427 4,785 5,654 20,973 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross proceeds. Investment Bankers Association o'f America estimates of principal amounts. Total gross proceeds excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. AT&T rights offering included in May estimate. 2 TABLE 5: New Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and Issuer (In millions of dollars) QUARTER OR MONTH TOTAL GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE COMMON AND MEMO: BONDS ISSUES INCLUDED PUBLICLY PRIVATELY PFD. MFG. STOCK FOREIGN | CONVERTIBLE OFFERED PLACED 1969 - II III IV 7,354 6,332 6,840 3,411 3,186 3,479 1,673 1,347 1,053 2,268 1,797 2,307 227 289 115 1970 - I He 7,977 10,272 4,577 6,988 1,235 1,310 2,147 1,975 222 n.a. 1969 - June July * Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 2,530 2,478 1,426 2,427 1,933 2,375 2,532 1,272 1,279 685 1,222 969 1,164 1,346 514 609 259 479 313 226 514 744 589 482 726 651 984 672 1970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June2=/ July 2,636 1,802 3,539 3,142 3,905 3,225 2,875 1,595 1,068 1,914 2,001 3,062 1*925 1,825 516 266 471 433 377 500 400 525 468 1,154 708 467 800 650 1 137 132 122 35 59 8 48 61 33 128 88 20 n.a. ii. a. GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER x PUBLIC UTILITY OTHER ISSUERS 1 1,126 750 809 1,,773 ,862 1= 1,,314 1,878 1,544 1,9.67 432 684 598 3,266 2,243 2,961 922 676 21,584 2,,595 2,085 2,757 766 2,165 2,543 2,755 233 214 , 167 369 105 303 401 691 875 362 625 260 453 601 702 493 507 544 745 622 600 191 286 126 272 120 201 277 946 826 433 984 808 1,099 1,054 811 639 357 540 906 1 ,416 690 1,107 805 600 1 ,100 1,050 825 800i 234 226 306 65 1,750 350 150 387 249 286 374 227 75 100 Other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. Quarterly supplements are available. COMMUNICATIONS 952 680 911 1,280 ; 7 50 # 725 950 TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 August 1 through ISSUER TYPE2 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) COUPON RATE OR NET INTEREST COST OFFERING YIELD 8.75 8.81 1976 1976 1975 1990 8.75 9.00 10.00 9.88 8.80 8.89 10.00 9.93 Baa N.R. Baa A 2000 1990 1975 2000 2000 1976 2007 1995 1995 1995 8.63 10.13 8.63 8.50 8.50 8.50 8.75 9.00 9.30 8.00 8.65 10.13 8.45 8.52 8.65 8.29 8.71 9.00 9.30 8.00 Aa Baa A Aaa Aa Aa Aaa A A N.R. MATURITY MOODY'S RATING Corporates Union Pacific R.R. Co. Gen'1 Tel. & Elec. Corp. Household Finance Corp. Philips Industries Inc. Acme Markets Inc. Duke Pwr. Co. 50.0 Squip. Trst. Ctfs. 90.0 Lst.Mtg. 75.0 lebs. 15.0 totes 25.0 3.F. debs L st. & lefunding Mtg.100.0 15.0 lebs. 21.0 debs. 150.0 S.F. debs. 75.0 S.F. debs. 35.0 lst.Mtg. 150.0 debs. 75.0 S.F. debs. 35.0 1st. & Gen. 25.0 debs. United Gas Pipeline Co. National Fuel Gas Co. Shell Oil Co. Bristol-Myers Co. Northern Illinois Gas Co. Southwestern Bell Tel. Co. Burlington Indus. Inc. Central Maine Pwr. Co. Ramada Inn Notes Continental Tel. Corp. 1st Mtg. Arkansas Pwr. & Lt. Co. 1st Mtg. Central Illinois Lt. Co. Gen '1 Tel. 6c Electronics Co pS.F. debs. 1st Mtg. Wis. Pub. Service Corp. bds. Potomac Electric Pwr. Co. Equip. Trst. Burlington Northern Inc. Equip. Trst. Burlington Northern Inc. .debs. 65.0 25.0 25.0 40.0 45.0 70.0 13.3 6.7 15.0 1985 1 1975 2000 2000 1995 2000 2005 1985 1971-85 1977 9.63 9.63 9.13 9.75 9.25 9.50 9.30 8.15-8 .60 10.00 ~-v Aaa 9.63 9.50 9.00 9.75 9.25 9.50 9.30 8.15-8.,60 10.00 Baa A Aa Baa A A Aa Aa No rating TABLE 6: Large Lont) loim Public Security Issues for New Capital (continm d) (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY August 1 through 21 COUPON RATE OR MOODY'S >wi:rNET INTERi;.( RATING EST COST VILLI) State and Local Turnpike Auth. Kentucky Turnpike Auth. of Kentucky Virginia Pub. Sch. Auth. Taylor, Mich S/D San Francisco BARTS . Atlanta, Ga. Washington Sub. Sanit. Dist., Maryland Puerto Rico Aqueduct & Sewer Authority Florida State Bd. of Ed. Alabama Highway Auth. California Illinois State fJniv. Oregon, State of Oregon, State of Penna. St. Pub Sch. Bldg. Auth. San Francisco Airport Imp. Corp. Cal Rev. Rev. Rev. G eO. Rev. G.O. 9.0 51.0 25.0 12.2 50.0 15.0 1974-90 2010 1972-86 1971-90 1972-80 1971-1995 7.38 5.67 6.86 6.23 5.86 5.30-7.1 0 7.38 4.60-6. 50 4.75-7. 10 5.00-6. 20 4.50-6. 3 0 Aa Baa A Aa Bds. 17.0 1971-2000 6.30 4.75-6. 75 A G.O. Rev. G. 0. G.O. Rev, G.O. G.O. 20.0 20.0 35.0 100.0 11.9 15.0 40.0 1972-2003 1980 1980 • 1971-90 1985 1971-1990 1980-1988 6.60 6.39 6.20 5.56 7.38 5.71 5.87 4.70-6. 45 4.30-6.,30 4.50-6,160 4.20-6,.00 5.00-7,.40 4.25-6,.25 5.40-6,.05 Aa Aa Rev. 21.4 1971-2009 6.94 4.60-7 .10 N.R. Rev. 30.0 1971-2009 8.56 5.34-8 .50 — -- Rights offering. Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local security offerings of $10 million and over. In case of State and local government securities,G.O. denotes genera I obii gati on; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.-Ut., revenue bonds secured only by income from quas i-ut i I i ti vs ; Rev.-S. T. , revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. IWclXidis fOTvign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-quaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. — Aa A Aa -- \ T A B L E b: Large Lorn) term Public Security Issues for New'Capital ( c t M i n m ri) (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 \ AMOUNT (MILLIONS ISSUER TYPE 2 OF DOLLARS) j | COUPON ! R A T E OR :: OFFER M A T U R I T Y N E T INTERi . [_EST C O S T j YIELD MOODY'S RATING S t a t e and L o c a l King Co., W a s h Connecticut S t . Paul, M i n n . Roanoke, Va. New Hampshire G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 11.0 75.0 20.5 10.5 24.5 1972-2010 1971-1990 1973-2000 1971-1985 1971-2000 6.97 5.65 5.98 5.32 5.39 4.70-7.00 4 . 1 0 - 6 . 10 4.50-6.20 4 . 1 0 - 6 . 70 4.00-6.00 debs, 75.0 1997 9.50 9.67 debs. 200.0 1973 7.75 7.75 Other Quebec Hydro-Elec. Comm. Fed Intermediate Credit Bank Rights offering. I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and other security offerings of $15 m i l l i o n and over; State and local security offerings of $10 m i l l i o n and over. In case of S t a t e and local government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n ; R e v . - U t . , revenue obligations secured only by income from public u t i l i t i e s ; Rev. -Q.-lit., revenue bonds secured only by income from quasi -uti 1 ities; R e v . - S . T . , revenue b o n d s secured by revenue from specific taxes only; R e v . - R e n t . , revenue b o n d s secured solely by lease payments. Includes foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l B a n k for R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development issues and non-quaranteed issues by Federal A g e n c i e s . A Aaa Aa Aa Aaa TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 (continued) ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Corporates debs•debs. . 1st. Mtg. 1st. Mtg. Bd. 1st. Mtg. 1st. Mtg. 1st. Mtg. notes 1st. Mtg. debs. 1st. Mtg. Equip. Trst. Department Gen *1 Motors Acceptance Corp UGI Rochester Gas & Elec. Corp North Indiana Pub. Ser. Co Public Set. Co. of Col. Central La. Elec. Co.. Continental Tel. Corp. Hawaiian Tel. Co. Westinghouse Elec. Corp. Iowa-Ill. Gas & Elec. Co. Illinois Central R.R. New England Tel. & Telegraph Company International Harvester Co. Atlantic City Elec. Co. Georgia Pwr. Co. Long Island Ligthing Co. Arkansas La. Gas Co. Virginia Elec. & Pwr. Co. Texas Pwr. & Lt. Co. Ohio Edison Co. Western Electric Co. Indianapolis Pwr. & Lt. Co. Elizabethtown Gas Co. debs. debs. 1st. M t g . 1st. Mtg. 1st. Mtg. 1st. Mtg. 1st. Mtg. 1st. Mtg. 1st. Mtg. debs. 1st. Mtg. debs. Holiday Inn Investors conv. debs. 50.0100.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 35.0 15.0 65.0 35.0 200.0 20.0 26.0 Aug. 25 Aug. 26 Aug. 26 Aug. 26 Aug. 26 Aug. 26 Aug. 27 Aug. 26 Aug. 27 Aug. 27 Aug. 31 Sept. 1 . 175.0 100.0 27.0 75.0 40-50.0 40.0 85.0 30.0 45.0 150.0 30.0 15.0 Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. 75.0 Sept. 1 1 2 3 9 9 10 14 15 2$ 29 29 I TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING State and Local Oakland Co ., Mich. Wisconsin Hennepin Co. Area Vo.-Tech. ' S/D, Minn. Port of N.Y. Auth. Baltimore Co. M d . Madison, Wis. Los Angeles DMAPS San Jose, Cal. Jacksonville, Fla. * 1 1 1 . Bldg. Auth. Lake Orion Coram. S/D Mich. New York^St. Hsg. Fin. Agency Broward Co. STSD # 1 Fla. ^Allegheny Co., Pa. Los Angeles Parking Auth. Cal. *Mass. Bay Trans. Auth. ^ O h i o , State of Detroit, Mich. Miami, Fla. G.O. G.O. 18.0 70.0 Aug. Aug. 25 25 G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. Bonds G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. Bonds G.O. Rev. G.O. 12.5 100.0 20.0 12.9 39.0 19.0 52.0 65.0 11.0 81.0 25.0 30.0 31.9 66.9 75.0 46.0 12.5 Aug. Aug. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Oct. 26 26 1 1 2 8 9 15 16 16 16 17 23 23 29 Bonds 400.0 Aug. 26 8 Other GNMA * 1 2 Included in table for first time. Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and : Government issues of $10 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues of Federal Agencies. TABLE 8: Stock Prices and Volume. TRADING VOLUME 2 STOCK PRICES 1 DATE S&P 3 500 1 1 AMEX4 D.J. - IND.. AMEX NYSE 1968 - High Low 108.37(11/29) 985.21(12/13) 825.13 (3/21) 87.72(3/5) 33.24(12/20) 21.97(3/25) 82.61(6/7) 34.0(2/23) 45.4(6/7) 14.1(2/23) 1969 - High Low L0 6.16 (5/14) 89.20(7/17) 32.91(1/3) 25.02(7/29) 82.6(10/17) 32.8(4/4) 38.4(5/9) 12.9(4/4) 27.02(1/8) 19.36(5/27) 80.7(5/26) 35.1(7/3) 28.4(1/2) 8.3(7/3) 20.50 20.37 20.05 20.31 51.2 40.6 38.8 49.9 11.3 11.2 9.0 10.7 1970 - High Low 1970 968.85(5/14) 769.93(12/17) 93.46(1/5) 811.31(1/5) 69.29(5/26) 631.16(5/26) - July 31 78.05 Aug. 7 .77.25 14 75.18 2lF 79.24 734.12 725.70 710.84 745.41 , 1. Figures other than highs and lows are Fridays only. for the year and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2. 1941-43 = 1 0 . 3. Average dollar value of shares listed. 4. NYSE is the New York Stock Exchange; AMEX is the American Stock Exchange. Total number of shares traded per week (millions of shares). Trading is normally conducted for 5-1/2 hours per day and 5 days per week, or 27-1/2 hours per week. In recent years, however, abbreviated trading to the extent, and over the time periods, shown below : From; Through: August 8, 1967 January 22, 1968 June 30, 1968 January 3, 1969 July 7, 1969 January 2, 1970 August 20, 1967 March 1, 1968 December 31, 1968 July 3, 1969 December 31, 1969 May 1, 1970 Hours/ Day 4 4 5-1/2 4 4-1/2 5 Highs and lows are Days/ Week . 5 5 4 5 5 5 Hotirs/ Week 20 20 22 20 22-1/2 25 15 j'. i STOCK PRICES AND TRADING VOLUME (Ind.) Weekly AM EX. 36 Dl SAP : (500) f 1280 128 [ "STOCK PRICES 1200 120 f A M E X PRICE LEVEL INDEX / V 32 28 1120 112 | S&P's 5 0 0 1040 104 I 24 20 960 16 880 88 D.J. IND. 800 80) 12 8 Millions of shares TTTT-I 60 AMEX TRADING VOLUME (TOTAL FOR WEEK) 40 20 TTT 100 NYSE TRADING VOLUME (TOTAL FOR WEEK) 80 60 40 20 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 T A B L E 9: Security Credit END OF PERIOE CREDIT EXTENDED TO MARGIN CUSTOMERS BY: BANKS 2 | TOTAL BROKERS 1 NET CREDIT CUSTOMERS' NET EXTENDED BY FREE CREDIT BROKERS AND DEALERS 3 BALANCES CUSTOMERS 1 NET DEBIT BALANCES Outstanding: 1969—June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 5,340 5,170 5,000 4,940 5,040 5,070 4,970 2,740 2,700 2,670 2,620 2,570 2,520 2,580 8,080 7,870 7,670 7,560 7,610 7,590 7,550 8,214 7,515 7,019 7,039 7,243 7,111 7,445 3,085 2,783 2,577 2,579 2,753 2,613 2,803 5,129 4,732 4,442 4,460 4,490 4,498 4,642 1970—Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May r June P 4,680 4,570 4,520 4,360 4,160 3,920 2,430 2,370 2,370 2,330 2,290 2,290 7,110 6,940 6,890 6,690 6,450 6,210 6,683 6,562 6,353 5,985 5,433 5,281 2,626 2,563 2,441 2,248 2,222 2,009 4,057 4,099 3,912 3,724 3,211 , 3,272 i Change in Outstanding: 1969--June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -330 -170 -170 -60 100 30 -100 -30 -40 -30 -50 -50 -50 60 1970—Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May r June P -290 -110 - 50 -160 200 -240 -150 - 40 1 2 3 -- - 40 - 40 -360 -210 -200 -110 50 - 20 - 40 -260 -699 -496 20 204 -132 334 1 -302 -206 2 174 -140 190 -261 -397 -290 18 30 8 144 -440 . -170 - 50 -200 240 -240 -762 -121 -209 -368 . -552 -152 -177 -163 - 22 -193 -26 -213 -585 42 -187 -188 -513 - 61 • * Margin debt, as reported by the New York Stock Exchange. Although margin debt until March 1968 included loans secured by U.S. governments, the amount of such loans included is thought to have been small. "Bank loans to others than brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying securities other than U.S. governments." The difference between customers' net debit balances and customers' net free credit balances, this figure represents the net credit extended by brokers and dealers to the nonfinancial public. NOTE: With the exception of bank loan data, figures are supplied by the New York Stock Exchange and are end of month data. Bank loans are for weekly reporting large commercial banks.. Broker data includes loans for regulated securities; bank data includes loans for the purpose of purchasing or carrying any security, whether regulated or not. TABLE 10: Savings Flows at Nonbank Depositary Intermediaries ($ millions) DATE MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS 3 NET ANNUAL NEW MONEY 2 GROWTH NET RATE 1 FLOW SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS NET SHARE CAPITAL NEW ANNUAL NET GROWTH MONEY2 1 FLOW RATE 2,376 1,143 -747 Not Seasonally Adjusted 10,649 9.4 6,129 7,399 6.0 2,738 4,020 3.1 -1,003 307 324 -164 227 -266 - -266 -1,110 1970 - May JuneP/ July 326 469 260 224 -133 150 1970 - Feb. Mar. Apr. MayE./ June£./ July 298 244 371 360 338 404 1967 1968 1969 1969 - May X June July 5,082 4,208 2,551 9.3 7.1 4.0 642 1,359 — — 601 -116 -1,122 TOTAL DEPOSITS ANNUAL NET GROWTH FLOW RATE 1 15,371 11,607 6,371 8,505 3,881 -1,750 949 1,683 -1,274 828 -382 -1,388 929 154 n. a. 753 — 705 1,079 1,812 ~ 287 2,281 n. a. 770 510 ,9.4 \&.3 3.4 NET NEW MONEY 2 Seasonally adjusted 1 2 5.4 4.4 6.6 6.4 6.0 7.1 247 1,021 973 637 902 1,647 2. 2 9. 1 8.,6 5.,6 7.,9 14.,3 545 1,265 1,344 997 1,240 2,051 3.3 7.5 8.0 5.9 7.3 11.9 Annual growth rate £or monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Net New Money is new deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&Ls are for insured associations only, which represent 96% of industry total resources. 3 Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. I SOURCE: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. SAVINGS FLOWS (seasonally adjusted) M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s Monthly 2000 1600 TOTAL 1200 400 400 1200 SAVINGS & LOANS 800 400 400 800 MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS 400 400 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 TABLE 11: Mortgage Commitments at Selected Thrift Institutions DATE TOTAL OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS ALL MUTUAL SAVINGS SAVINGS & BANKS LOAN (N.Y. STATE) ASSOCIATIONS 1 TOTAL NET CHANGE ALL SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS (Billions of Dollars, S< lasonally Adjusted) L 9 6 9 - May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. L970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 1 10.4 10.2 9.9 9.5 9.2 8.9 8.6 8.4 8.2 7.9 7.6 7.8 8.0 8.2 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.5 6.4 6.1 x 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.4 5.8 6.1 " 1 MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS (N.Y, STATE) 1/ 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 -.11 -.18 -.32 -.36 -.31 -.33 -.24 -.25 -.06 -.11 -.22 -.24 -.18 -.23 -.18 -.12 -.05 -.06 -.10 -.12 -.13 -. 09 -.06 -.13 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1 -.17 -.30 -.26 .13 .24 .22 -.22 -.23 -.21 .26 .38 .30 .04 -.07 -.05 -.13 -.14 -.09 Based on data from Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Associations of New York State. Data for savings banks and S&L's include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments. S&L commitments include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded outstandings levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. v MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS OUTSTANDING (seasonally adjusted) Monthly Billions of dollars TOTAL S&L'S Includes building loans beginning August 1967 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 TABLE 12: Net Change in Mortgage Holdings DATE TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA 1 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS LIFE 1 MUTUAL SAVINGS &| INSURANCE SAVINGS TOTAL 1 COMMERCIAL LOAN BANKS BANKS ASSOC. J COMPANIES I Not Seasonally Ad i us-ted FNMA-GNMA 18,105 20,016 23,781 24,051 15,782 18,219 21,273 19,676 4,705 4,639 6,6f7 5,^5 2,720 3,153 2,787 2,682 3,761 7,520 9,350 9,407 4,596 2,907 2,459 2,052 2,323 1,797 2,508 4,375 2,227 2,161 2,387 2,036 1,976 2,165 627 600 575 204 233 230 1,026 988 1,216 179 155 144 191 185 222 1,500 1,634 1,023 1,256 n.a. 200 200 400 160 144 214 486 723 1,128 177 189 477 378 397 1969 - June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 2,153 1,698 1,910 1,876 1,734 1,652 1,906 1,875 1,364 1,380 1,365 1,166 1,069 1,292 440 151 310 383 244 237 347 230 181 157 137 124 146 235 1,022 859 720 654 627 547 576 183 173 193 191 171 139 134 278 334 530 511 568 583 614 1970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 1,493 1,604 1,228 1,386 1,484 937 1,105 712 892 1,066 288 285 144 141 133 269 24 143 197 205 160 213 400 436 276 357 588 935 225 241 125 189 196 556 499 516 494 418 454 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969 - Apr. May June 1970 Apr. May June " 1 . ' Seasonally Adlusted . to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. • Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance' and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these groups accounted for 87 per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1967. 23 NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS (seasonally adjusted) Monthly Billions of dollars 3.0 2.5 TOTAL, INCL. FNMA - GNMA 2.0 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 1.5 1.0 1967 1968 1969 1970 24 TABLE 13: Net Increases in Mortgage Debt Outstanding 1 Billions of dollars, SAAR ' QUARTER TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 3 1- to 4FAMILY MULTIFAMILY COMMERCIAL MULTI-AND COMMERCIAL 1966 - IIIp IVp 18.7 15.2 11.0 9.2 8.4 7.0 2.6 2.1 5.5 4.2 8.2 6.2 2.2 1.8 1967 - Ip IIP IIIp IVp 15.6 20.5 27.0 27.5 10.0 13.8 19.6 19.9 6.8 10.5 15.7 16.0 3.2 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 7.2 8.2 8.7 8.8 1.8 1.8 2.5 2.7 1968 - Ip HP IIIp IVp 27.1 25.9 26.5 30.1 18.4 18.0 18.2 20.5 15.4 14.8 14.6 16.5 3.0 3.2 3.5 4.0 6.3 5.7 6.5 7.8 9.4 8.9 10.1 11.7 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.8 1969 - Ip Hp IIIp IVp 30.4 28.5 25.1 25.7 22.1 21.2 20.1 18.6 17.9 16.5 15.5 13.7 4.2 4.7 4.6 4.8 6.1 5.0 5.0 6.0 10.3 9.6 9.5 10.8 2.2 2.3 1.8 1.2 1970 - Ip 19.7 13.4 8.9 4.3 5.2 9.7 1.1 FARM 1 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, Na- . tional Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. ' 2 'May differ somewhat from related flow of funds series mainly because of more aggregative type of seasonal adjustment. 3 Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1-to 4- family • and multifamily mortgage debt combined. - NET INCREASES IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING Quarterly Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate 32 TOTAL 24 TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 1-4 FAMILY COMMERCIAL MULTIFAMILY 1966 1968 1970 V •• V TABLE 14: FNMA Weekly " A u c t i o n " Results WEEK ENDED 1970 IMPLICIT YIELD 2 (per cent) COMMITMENTS IN $ MILLIONS ACCEPTED 1-YEARll 1-YEAR 1 90906TOTAL 6TOTAL & OVER M0NTH & OVER DAY MONTH OFFERED DAY May 5 11 18 25 443.3 269.2 ,300.3 289.5 195.5 • 102.2 136.3 145.2 43. 5 26. 0 32. 4 38. 9 212. 1 63. 2 86. 4 86. 7 38.9 13.0 17.5 19.7 9.01 9.04 9.11 9.15 9.,04 9.,07 9.,13 9.,18 9.10 9.13 9.18 9.22 June 1 15 29 224.2 249.7 156.3 113.8 127.9 98.9 31.,1 34,,2 30.,6 71. 4 86. 7 56.,5 11.3 7.0 11.8 9.20 9.27 9.32 9,.24 9,.30 9,.33 9.27 9.31 9.34 July 13 27 286.2 323.8 113.3 150.4 25,.0 37..0 73.,0 91.,1 15.3 22.3 9.20 9.10 9,.21 9,.12 9.22 9.12 Aug. 10 24 441.3 180,2 ,41.4 300.0)- 91.,0 47.8 9.03 9 .03 9.04 Note: Under the FNMA auction system, approved sellers of Governmentunderwritten mortgages bid for FNMA forward purchase commitments, subject to an over-all dollar limit announced by FNMA in advance.| Bids accepted by FNMA are for delivery at the seller's option, and at any time wi thirl the specified period. Bids on proposed homes relate to construction not yet started on which mortgages may be delivered only after completion and occupancy. For "proposed construction" of new homes only. Average secondary market yield after allowance for commitment fee and required purchase and holding of FNMA stock, assuming prepayment of 15 years for 30-year Government-underwritten mortgages. Yields shown are gross, before deduction of 38 basis points fee paid by investors to servicers. Prior to August 10, 1970 the servicing fee was 50 basis points. 3 FNMA announced limit of accepted bids for next week's auction. 27 FNMA "AUCTION" RESULTS $ Millions 200 AMOUNT OF ACCEPTED BIDS BY COMMITMENT PERIOD 150 6 MONTHS 100 1 YEAR AND OVER 50 IMPLICIT YIELD 6 - M O N T H COMMITMENTS $ Millions - — 800 600 - TOTAL BIDS RECEIVED X / v y l j - 400 200 | | JUNE | TOTAL BIDS ACCEPTED AUG. OCT. 1969 DEC. 1 FEB. 1*1 1 APR. 1 JUNE 1970 1 I I AUG. I I OCT. I 0 DEC. TABLE 15: Private Housing Starts and Permits STARTS UNADJUSTED TYP E OF FINANCING FHA VA | OTHER BUILDING PERMITS (SEASONALLY { ADJUSTED 4 ANNUAL ; RATE) 2 " I SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE -FAMILY 2 OR MORE j TOTAL |1 TOTAL 9 - May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1,533 [1,507 1,429 1,376 1,481 1,390 1,280 1,402 877 826 803 752 828 766 762 776 656 681 626 624 653 624 518 626 155.5 147.3 125.2 124.9 129.3 123.4 94.6 84.1 21.1 21.5 20.8 22.4 18.3 25.1 18.8 23.2 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.2 4.8 5.0 3.9 4.2 130.1 121.2 99.7 98.3 106.2 93.3 74.7 57.9 1,323 1,340 1.228 1,245 1,201 1,183 1,191 1,239 f } | ; ( 0 - J an. Fetu Mar. Apr. MayP June p |l ,059 11,306 k,392 1,224 1,225 1,358 577 725 708 697 717 818 482 — — 581 684 • 527 508 540 66.4 74.3 114.7 128.4 123.1 131.6 16.5 17.5 25.2 32.4 37.1 40.7 3.4 3.9 4.8 5.4 5.2 5.0 46.5 52.9 84.7 90.6 80.8 85.9 1,013 1,137 1,099 1,263 1,321 1,302 ' f f i f < • DATE I 2 1 1 ! Total starts are Census estimates including farm for both permit-issuing and noi.-issuing areas. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins; all units; ' in an apartment structure are considered started at that time. FHA and VA starts are units started under commitments by these agencies to insure or guarantee the mortgages. As reported by FHA and VA, a unit is started when a field r office receives the first compliance inspection report, which is made beforie footings are poured in some cases but normally after the foundations have been ; completed. Other starts are derived as a residual,' although total and FHA and VA starts are not strictly comparable in concept or timing; other starts include both units financed by conventional mortgages and units without mortgages.. Estimates beginning January 1963^ are for approximately 12,000 and beginning January 1967 13,000, or all known permit-issuing places. Unlike starts, seasonally adjusted building permits reflect direct adjustment for differences in the number of working days per month, as well as other differences in timing and coverage. 29 PRIVATE HOUSING STARTS AND PERMITS Monthly, annual rates Millions of units SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 2.0 HOUSING STARTS 1.6 1.2 B U I L D I N G PERMITS (in issuing areas) *CHANGE IN SERIES PER CENT OF UNADJUSTED TOTAL STARTS MULTI-FAMILY (2 or more) . /VX»-A . . / \ - X - GOVERNMENT UNDERWRITTEN I 1 1964 1 I * 1966 1 111111111 M 111 I I 1 I I 1 I I 1 1 1968 1970 TABLE 16: Mortgage and Bond Yields FHA MORTGAGES | DATE 2 25-YEAR 130-YEAR j NEW Aaa CORPORATE BONDS 4 6.26 5.43 6.73 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 5.44 6.81 6.81 6.29 7.52 6.78 8.62 7.99 6.30 5.80 6.70 6.70 6.40 7.40 6.75 8.35 7.55 .23 .25 .30 .11 -.12 .12 -.27 .40 .13 5.25 4.41 5.82 6.51 5.18 6.79 6.15 8.75 6.91 1970 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 9.29 9.20 9.10 9.11 9.16 8.55 8.55 8.55 8.55 8.55 8.55 -.74 -. 65 -.55 -.56 -.61 8.46 8.30 8.60 8.60 9.10 9.11 2 4 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON CONV. & FHA MORTGAGES 1959-60 - High 1961-66 - Low 1966 - High 1967 - High - Low 1968 - High Low 1969 - High Low 1 3 CONVENTIONAL MORTGAGES 3 1 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON NEW CORPORATE BONDS AND FHA. MORTGAGES 1.69 .77 1.16 1.28 .27 1.20 .26 1.08 -.13 __ .99 .60 .50 .01 .05 ' Neither mortgage nor bond yields include allowance for servicing costs which arc much higher for mortgages than for bonds. Generally, bonds pay interest semiannually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, if computed as equivalent to a--semi-annual interest investment, would be slightly higher than given in the table. Based on FHA-field-office opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market for new-home mortgages for immediate delivery. Separate data available for 25-year a n d — b e g i n n i n g July 1961--30-year mortgages with minimum downpayments, weighted by probable volume of transactions. Yields computed by FHA, assuming prepayment period of 12 years for 25-year mortgages and 15 years for 30-year mortgages. Over the period for which they can be compared, the movement of the two mortgage yield series has been similar. Dashed lines indicate periods of adjustment to changes in contractual interest rates. Based on FHA-field-office opinion on typical interest "rates (rounded) on conventional first mortgages prevailing in the market areas of insuring officecities . Beginning with April I960, rate relates only to new-home mortgages; prior to that date, rate related to both new as well as existing-home mortgages. Dashed tine indicates this change in the series. See note for Table 1. 31 MORTGAGE AND BOND YIELDS Monthly HOME MORTGAGES Aaa CORPORATE BONDS NEW ISSUES Y I E L D S P R E A D ( F H A MORTGAGE VS. NEW ISSUE Aaa CORPORATE BONDS) Basis Points I 1962 1964 1966 1968 1111 n 1111111111111111111 100 1970 T A B L E 17: Conventional Mortgage Terms DATE NEW HOMES CON- FEES & TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATURITY RATE (PER CENT) (PER TIVE CENT) RATE 2 3 (YEARS) LOAN/ PRICE LOAN RATIO AMT. (PER ($000) CENT) 4 1 EXISTING HOMES CONFEES & LOAN/ TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATU- PRICE RATE (PER TIVE RITY RATIO (PER CENT) CENT) RATE 2 3 LOAN AMT. (YEARS) (PER CENT) ($000) 4 1969 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 7.50 7.62 7.76 7.86 7.89 7.99 7.97 8.07 0.88 0.84 0.92 0.86 0.92 0.89 0.96 1.06 7.65 7.76 7.91 8.00 8.05 8.13 8.13 8.25 25.8 25.6 25.5 25.2 25.3 25.3 25.3 25.4 73.2 73.0 72.0 72.3 72.9 72.8 72.8 71.9 25.0 24.9 24.5 24.3 25.0 24.6 24.6 25.0 7.54 7.64 7.79 7.90 7.98 8.00 8.00 8.08 8.16 8.23 8.29 8.23 8.28 8.30 1.08 1.09 1.11 1.02 0.98 0.98 8.34 — 8.41 8.47 8.40 8.45 8.47 25.0 25.2 25.0 24.8 25.3 25.1 69.3 71.8 71.1 71.1 71.7 71.4 25.1 24.9 25.1 24.5 25.3 25.6 8.13 8.23 8.26 8.20 8.18 8.18 0.83 0.86 0.91 0.93 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.93 7.68 7.79 7.94 8.05 8.13 8.15 8.15 8.24 22.7 22.8 22.8 22.6 22.2 22.6 22.6 22.9 71.9 19.7 71.4 • 20.1 71.7 20.1 71.2 19.8 70.7 19.2 70.4 19.5 70.4 20.1 70.6 20.8 8.29 8.41 8.43 8.35 8.34 8.34 22.4 22.4 22.6 22.8 22.8 23.0 70.3 70.2 70.4 70.4 70.3 71.6 1970 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 0.94 1.02 0.98 0.90 0.94 0.97 20.5 20.4 20.6 20.4 21.1 21.6 Compiled by Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Data are weighted averages based on probability sample survey of characteristics of conventional first mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups (including mortgage companies) for purchase of single family homes. Data exclude loans for refinancing, reconditioning or modernization; construction loans to home-builders; and permanent loans which are coupled with construction loans to ownerbuilders. Related series on conventional mortgage rates only, based on unweighted opinions of field-office directors of the Federal Housing Administration, are available somewhat sooner than the results" o'f^the FHLBB-FDIC survey, and are included-in the case of new home mortgage rates--in Table 16. — Fees and charges--expressed as a percentage of the principal mortgage amount--include loan commissions, fees, discounts, and other charges which provide added income to the lender and are paid by the borrower. They exclude any closing costs related solely to transfer of property ownership. Includes fees & charges amortized over a 10 year period in addition to the contract interest rate. 4 Derived by FRB. CONVENTIONAL MORTGAGE TERMS Monthly MATURITY NEW EXISTING 1 II I I I II M i I 1 I , 1 I M I I II I 1.1 15 LOAN/PRICE RATIO NEW EXISTING J L IiiiI IiiiIiiIiiiiiIiiiiiI 65 Thousands of dollars LOAN AMOUNT NEW EXISTING 1964 1966 1968 1970 * CHANGE IN SERIES