Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : August 1, 1960
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Wot for Publication D E C 0 , n ' R 0 L I ® ^ 1 1 1 . ^ 9 ti.lli r ! , . , : 1 • ' • ' August 1, i960. UNITED STA Part I - United States Large public security financing for new capital during the week ending July 29 totaled $113 million for corporations and $11 million for State and local governments. The calendar for this week includes a $100 million bond issue of Southwestern Bell Telephone Company and a $181 million issue by 'Chesapeake Bay Bridge and Tunnel Commission. This State and local government issue has been tentatively scheduled for sale numerous times in the past few years. Long-term bond yields - Yields declined last week for all categories of outstanding bonds. Only lower rated State and local government bond yields were above the low reached earlier this year. • Although yields on corporate bonds remained relatively stable in early July, they declined in later weeks, with the decline for the month being about 10 basis points. U. S. Government bond yields declined throughout July and at the end of the month were 22 basis points lower than at the end of June, State and JLodal- govfein?ment bond yields showed little net change during July. Short- and intermediate-term interest rates - Yields on Treasury bills and intermediate-term issues also declined last week. For the month of July, market yields on 3-month bills showed no net change; those on 6-month bills declined 12 basis points and yields on 3- to 5-year issues declined more than 50 basis points. Rates on directly placed finance company paper, 3-6 months were lowered slightly in late July. Other major money market rates remained stable last month. Stock prices - Common stock prices fluctuated widely last week and trading activity increased somewhat. Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks closed at 55.51 on July 29, one per cent higher than a week earlier. Trading volume averaged 2.8 million shares a day. Stock prices generally declined throughout July reaching 5U.17 last week, 5 per cent lower than at the end of June. Prices on Friday; however, recovered about half of this decline. Trading activity averaged 2.7 million shares a day in July as compared with 3.5 million shares a day in June. FNMA. secondary market operations - Offerings to FNMA. under its secondary market operations during June changed little, while FNMA. purchases declined further. Both offerings and purchases in the second quarter were down about one-fourth from the near-record levels of the preceding quarter, as market conditions eased somewhat. Reflecting this trend, 2NMA. early in July raised by 1/2 point its prices for Federallyunderwritten home mortgages bought over-the-counter under immediate purchase contracts. This was the first time such prices had been raised since the secondary market program was reconstituted in 195k. August security volume estimates - New financing for corporations is expected to be heavy in August, but moderate for State and local governments. Corporate security issues are estimated at.$1*1 billion, about one-half larger than in July and two-fifths larger than in August 1959* Large public issues are expected to total $600 million, including the very large issues scheduled for sale by Southwestern Bell Telephone Company, General Motors Acceptance Corporation and Republic Steel Corporation. State and local government security financing is expected to total #550 million in July. This Volume would be the same as a month earlier and slightly above the total a year ago. The calendar of large issues scheduled for sale in August is ligit except for the Chesapeake Bay Bridge and Tunnel Commission issue. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Developments in the Canadian capital markets are presented in Part II at the end of this report. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. L O N G - T E R M B O N D YIELDS HIGH-GRADE ( • U.S. G O V E R N M E N T ^X/ LOWER-GRADE -5- Exhibit B - Tables for Exhibit A Long-term Bond Yields High-grade 11.114 Date Corporate Aaa 1/ U. S. Oovt. long-term 2/ Spread between U. S. Oovt. and Corporate State and Aaa local Aaa State and local govt. Aaa y ( P « cent) 195k 1957 1958 1959 - 2.85 (V23) Low High Low High Low 1960 - High Low il«B, July July July July July k.Uh h.hh 1 8 15 22 29 £/ U.09 (1$) U.6L (1/29) lt.38 (7/29) a 2.16 (8/6) 3.76 (10/18) 3.07 (1/25) U.37 (12/31) 3.83 (1/2) Ii.to (1/8) II; 3.96 3.91 3.87 3.81, 3.30 3.30 3.32 3.32 3.81 (7/29) l».i»3 I1.I1O 1..38 .22 5 3.06 (a/26) 3.53 (1/7) 3.28 (7/28) ill M .66 .61 I 3.28 3.81 fy .57 .19 1 .57 Lower-grade Corporate Baa 1/ Date State and local govt. BM }/ Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local govt. (Per cent) 1951 1957 1958 1959 Low High Low High Low 1960 - High Low July July July July July - 1 8 15 22 29 e/ .96 1.21 3.W* (12/31) a w IS 1:81%' 5.28 5.27 5.26 5.20 5.15 f 3.92 (3/26) 1 U 6 ( 1/7) lt.22 (V7) k.2k h.2h 4.27 li.26 lt.25 is .8U .71 .84 :8 .80 .77 •98 .79 .97 .92 tu .97 Prellslaary. Hackly inri|( ef dally figures. Average tern ef b*d* lnelnied Is tS-M yuri. Weekly s w a g e o f <Mly figures. The series includes beads * w er mailable In 10 years er mere. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general ebllgatlen bende are ineludedt average tem Is 20 years. Hote.—Hlghe and lews are fer Individual series and may be en different dates far different series. SHORT- AND INTERMEDIATE- TERM INTEREST RATES GOVERNMENT MARKET YltlDSA/r v X . / V w\ PRIVATE Directly Placed 1957 1958 1959 I960 Exhibit D - Tables for Exhibit C -7- Short- and Intermediate-term Interest Rates Qovernment Date Discount rate 1/ 3-month bills 2/ Yields 6-month bills 2/ 3-5 year issues 2/ Spread between yields on 3-month bills and yields on 6-mo. bills(3-5 yr. issues" (per cent) 1951) 1957 1958 1959 i960 - Low High Low High Low - High Low July 1 July 8 July 1 5 July 22 July 29 n/ 1.50 3.5o 1.75 it. 0 0 2.50 Loo 3.5o 3.5o 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 .61 ( 6 / 1 1 ) 3.61* ( 1 0 / 1 8 ) .58 ( 5 / 2 9 ) 4.57 ( 1 2 / 2 6 ) 2.63 ( 2 / 2 0 ) 4 . 5 9 (1/8) 2.18 ( 7 / 1 1 ) 5.07 2.52 2.18 2.61* 2.27 2.85 2.87 2.62 2.56 2.1a 2.31 2.21* 3.02 4.91 2.92 1.66 4.04 (12/26) 2.14 (12/31) 5.00 (1/2) 3.70 (1/8) i*.97 (6/17) 3.51* (4/30) (10/18) (6/7) (12/21*) (1/2) .79 .19 1.1*2 .1*0 (1/8) (7/29) .58 .16 1.81 .1*6 1.81 1.60 3.99 3.87 3.76 3.67 3.51* .26 - •66 .86 .Oil .38 .58 .1*6 .89 .31 .32 1.36 .98 Private Date Stock Exchange call loan 1/ Spread between 3-month Prime Finance company Treasury bill yield and rate 1/ paper J/ finance company paper rates (per cent) - Low • High 1957 Low 1958 High 1959 Low i960 - High Low 3.00 l*.5o 3.50 4.75 3.75 5.5o 5.oo July July July July July 1 8 15 22 5.oo 5.oo 5.oo 5.oo 5.oo 1951* 29 £ / 3.00 l*.5o 3.50 5.00 4.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.oo 5.oo 1.25 (12/31) 3.88 (11/16) 1.13(8/8) i*. 88 ( 1 2 / 3 1 ) 3 . 0 0 (4/6) 5.13 ( 1 / 2 2 ) 2.94 (7/29) 3.00 3.00 3.00 2.96 2.94 0 (12/18) .59 ( 7 / 1 9 ) -.35(8/29) .86 ( 1 0 / 9 ) .13(12/4) 1.02 (3/25) .22 ( 4 / 1 5 ) --- .82 .73 .59 .65 .70 1/ N««kly rate shown la that in effect at end of period. Discount rate Is for Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Stock exchange call loan rate is going rate on oall loans secured by customers' stock exchange collateral at New York City banks. Prime rate is that charged by large banks on short-tern loans to business borrowers of the highest credit standing. y Market yields weekly averages computed from dally closing bid prices. Series of 3-6 year Issues oonstste of selected notes and bond*. 3/ Average of dally rates published by finance ceopaides for directly placed paper for varying maturities In the 90-179 day range. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Per spread*. M g h refers to widest, and low to narrowest. STOCK MARKET FEDERAL NATIONAL i SECONDARY MARKET / MORTGAGE OPERATIONS PURCHASES ASSOCIATION Exhibit F - Tables for Ext libit E -9- Stock Market Stock price index 1/ 1957-1959 - High Low I960 - High Low 60.51 39-78 59.50 54.24 May June July 15 July 22 July 29 2/ 55.22 57.26 56.05 54. 72 55.51 Trading Common Stock market customer credit stock volume y Customers Bank yields 2/ (millions Total debit bal- loans to (per cent) of shares) ances 4/ "others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) (7/31/59) (12/27/57) (1/8) (3/11 3.07 4.66 3.18 3.51 3.1*2 3.35 3.46 3.55 3.50 % I'X !:! 2.5 2.8 4,764 3,554 4,365 4,132 3,401 2,482 3,198 3,021 4,132 4,214 n.a. n.a. 3,021 3,082 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,373 1,060 1,167 1,111 1,111 1,132 1,148 1,138 n.a.—Not available. g/ Preliminary. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500.common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1941-43*10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of M d a y s ' only. Highs and lows are for Fridays1 data only. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are for dales on which price Index reached its high or low. 3/ Averages of daily trading volune on the New York Stock Exchange. 4/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Be change which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Be eludes loans for purchasing or carrying U, S. Government securities* Prior to July 1, 1959, such loans are excluded only at banks In New York and Chicago, Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loan# to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Federal National Mortgage Association Secondary Market Operations 1/ Date Estimated Offerings to FNmA Immediate Standby Total purchase commitment Purchases by MMA. Sales by FNMA (Millions of dollars) 1959 - June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. i960 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 2/ 84.4 109.5 123.1 141.3 108.3 105.6 116.3 137.6 135.8 133.2 103.4 98.5 100.2 76.6 92.5 109.9 134.8 101.8 100.3 111.4 128.3 128.9 124.6 96.1 93.8 94.0 7.8 17.1 13.3 6.5 6.5 5.3 4.9 9.3 6.9 8.6 7.3 4.7 6.1 49.4 62.3 71.7 85.4 105.5 92.6 92.2 86.1 116.7 135.0 102.6 91.9 60.8 .6 .3 .3 -- * * 3.6 1.0 •—Less thnn |50,000. 1/ Dxta represent unp»ld principal balance• of the mortgages involved, exclusive of premiums, dincounts, or other otwrges. Offerings are nMounts of attentions received during the period from sellers proposing that KMMA execute ourehaninn eontraets. An immediate purchane contract covers existing mcrV.nr.es which the seller muct deliver to F11MA within 45 days. A stendby commitment contract relates to proponed mortgages, on housing net yet under construction, "hioh the seller must usually deliver within one y e w . Purchases Include those under both 1 mediate purchase and standby commitment contract*. Data crclvde PUMA activity under Special Assistance and Management and — Liquidating Programs. Exhibit G Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) Corporate 1/ I960 January February March April May June July August September 577 715 860 quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 1959 821 738 1 1958 I960 728 736 623 575 61+6 1,5532/ E/789 89k 1,110 e/1,100 785 887 597 887 e/675 535 1,107 J/570 e/1,050 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd kth I New capital 7h0 703 1,11k 879 862 862* 900 2,151 e/S,l&9 ShO 2,20k 2,567 «lS 9,392 733 E/531 e/950 S/550 e/55o 2,760 is 10,823 1959 1 1958 639 812 858 953 511 932 798 895 551 6I16 593 1,006 S 806 1*03 651 165 1*56 920 3,139 2,623 J 1,934 e/2,21h 2,11*3 , U7k f 519 1*55 518 2,300 e/l*,6l0 State and local 2/ W5 s - : 1,860 1,571 1,365 lt,67U 6,222 7,793 It,520 6,380 7,7l»6 I •*, Excluding finance companies k/ 1st 2nd 3rd kth quarter quarter quarter quarter 1,722 e/2,159 Year 1,999 2,899 2,586 2,503 2,213 8,630 10,1*29 2,112 1,716 2,731 ]/ Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2/ Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts, 3/ Includes 1718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. U/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. .-3- . -11- H.U Exldbit H Other Security Offerings 1/ (In millions of dollars) Long -tern Foreign government 2/ Federal apency 3/ I960 I960 I 1959 1 1958 1 1959 1 1958 January February March * 175 70 81 60 2 196 53 April May June 33 31 •58 50 1*2 139 198 120 July August September 85 1 35, October November December Year — 182 150 150 — 523 — — 161* 9 5 17 98 150 — 220 33 30 70 58 123 7l* 86 547 992 70? —• — 2,321 Federal agency 3/ 190 1*28 295 / 233 1*60 273 1*79 1*63 512 359 500 1*89 371 208 lt*l* 563 1*11 21*5 357 351* 26/* 509 632 1*35 1*86 675 289 209 161 329 July Aupust September 21*6 1*67 399 289 1*23 369 727 365 665 1*37 206 330 October November December 235 31*3 358 ?31 1*15 21*3 733 1*71 288 1*51* 111* 137 1*,179 3,910 6,01*7 April May June 268 345 365 175 1,163 251 ll*8 Short-term State and local government 1*/ January February March 199 3# 2/267 Year 3,098 E/ Ppellalwry. 1/ tota presented in this exhibit differ from those 1* Exhibit E In that refunding Issues, an well an new capital Issues, are .Included. Long-term securities ai*e defined as those natuHng In more than one year. 2/ Includes securities offered In the United States by foreign goverrments and their subdivisions and by international organisations, .'•nurcai Securities ami Bxuhr.nge Commission. 3/ Isauts not guarantied by the 0. S. Qovirn-nart. Sources long-tens, Securities and Btehange Cor.nlsalon; short-term, Federal Reserve, 4/ Principally tax and bond anticipation not*8, warrants or certificates ar.rl Public Housing Authority not-*. In some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat longer t » n than one year. Sourcei Bond Buyer. Exhibit I Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1959 - June July August September October November December i960 - January February March April May June State and local government 28k 110 363 199 kOO 60 50 98 175 20 635 19k 263 214 29k 163 217 388 283 225 370 23k 561 hzi 230 279 262 38k 309 139 1*2 Other 2/ 70 100 320 191 71 28 30 Large Individual Issues Offered during July Issuer Type 2/ Coupon Amount (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating net inter- yield of est cost dollars) CORPORATE Illinois Bell Telephone Ca 1stratg.bds. Sr. notes Commercial Credit Co. Northern Illinois Gas Co. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. American Can Co. State Loan & Finance Co. S.F, deb. Southern Counties Gas Co. 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. Seaboard Finance Co. International Harvester Deb. Credit Co. h.75 50.0 50.0 30.0 ko.o 20.0 23.0 W.o 1997 1979 1985 1990 1980 1985 1980 S.liO l»-3/l» 5-l/ll k.83 k.60 k.70 5.k0 k.60 5.25 50.0 1981 U-3A k.73 11-7/8 lt-3/U 1.-5/8 lt-3A Aaa Aa A STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Salt River Proj. Agric. Imp. & Pwr. Dist., Ariz. Rev.-Ut. G.O. State of North Carolina Dist. of Columbia Armory Rev.-Ut. Board 6/ Chicago, Illinois G.O. ; G.O. Santa Clara Co., Calif. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19.0 10.7 1963-92/69 1961-80 3.92 3.01 2.90-lt.05^ A 2.90-3.102/ Aaa 19.8 37.0 11.5 1979 1962-79 1967-85 k.19 3.60 3.53 Aaa It. 15 2.1i0-3.657/ 2.20-3.6$U 1-2 H.lii Large Individual Issues Offered during July (Cont'd) Issuer Type lJ I Coupon Amount (millions tet ^LeTLterof [est cost dollars) -13- Offering Rating yield STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Nassau Co., New York Carmen-Smith Hydro-J£Lec. Proj., Oregon Wash. Toll Bridge Auth. Houston, Texas G.O. 27.1 1961-89 3.86 2.20-L00 A Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. G.O. 25.0 30.0 10.5 1965-200I/71 2000/65 1961-85 3.93 U.95 3.1J5 3.10-1*. 30 A 4.90 p / ~ 2.90-3. 6O2/A OTHER V u y JL Includes corporate and other security, offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $10 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations5 Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities3 Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from quasi-utilitiesj Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. 1992 maturities not reoffered. 1961-70 maturities not reoffered. Interest on these securities is not exempt from Federal income taxation. l/k per cent bonds of 1985 not reoffered. Bonds due 1961-65 and 1971-80 not reoffered. I _lii_ Exhibit J Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasuiy) 3/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation During month following date shown Corporate State and Other 2/ local govt. 1959 - July 31 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 30 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1960 - Jan. 29 Feb. 29 Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 238 198 374 36% 226 210 207 .301 299 202 483 237 596 Ml 270 115 295 445 210 255 250 243 277 180 275 25 Subsequent to date shown 406 402 470 336 485 545 310 385 280 258 502 380 324 305 517 69 4 70 45 35 30 30 #9 271 280 252 372 344 I 1,006 25 70 45 35 60 30 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July 29 Type. Amount date (millions Approximate of offering of dollars) Southwestern Bell Telephone Co. El Paso Natural Gas -Co. Deb. Com. stk. 100.0 Consumers Power Co. Conv. deb. 38.1 •^Michigan Bell Telephone Co. Deb. Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of America 1stratg.bds. Pfd. stk. Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of America ^General Motors Acceptance Corp. Deb. Southern California Edison Co. 1st ref. mtg, bds. *McKesson 6 Bobbins, Inc. Deb. Deb. •^Republic Steel Corp. ^Pacific Power & Light Co. 1st mtg. bds. American Telephone & Telegraph Co. Deb. Texas Eastern Transmission Coip. Deb. Deb., bds. & com. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Partic. certif. Trustors' Corp. Bds. & stk. Liberian Iron Ore, Ltd. 33.0 35.0 25.0 15.0 150.0 60.0 15.0 125.0 20.0 250.0 25.0 45.0 40.0 30.0 Aug. 3 Aug. 11 (rights expire) Aug. 12 (rights expire) Aug. 17 Aug. 18 Aug. 18 Aug. 18 Aug. 24 Aug. Aug. Sept. 22 Oct. 25 Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite -15J-S Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July 29 (Cont'd) Issuer Tfrpe Amount Approximate date (millions, . of dollars): of offering STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Chesapeake Bay Bridge & Tunnel Comm. *Los Angeles Co., Califo&ia State of Washington East Bay Municipal Util. Dist., Cal, *City & Co. of San Francisco# Calif. Milwaukee, Wisconsin •sAlameda-Contra Costa Transit Dist., California Rev.-Ut. G.O. GiO; G.O, G.O; G.O, 181.3 11.0 3l4.0 30.0 21.5 10.8 Aug. 21* Sept. 12 Sept. 20 Rev,-tit. 16.5 Sept. 7 Aug. 1 Aug, 9 Aug. 23 OTHER *—Included in table for first time. 3/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and .local government issues of $10 million and oyer. 2/ includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. Note. —Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None, -16- Exhlbit H Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date 1952-1959 - High Low 1959 - July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1960 — Jan. 7 Feb. 25 26 Mar. 15 16 18 29 Apr. 6 8 lit 21 27 May 10 12 25 June 17 28 29 July 8 13 20 Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual (per cent) seasoned yields (per cent) seasoned yields (basis points) (basis points) 5.30 (12/8/59) 2.93 ( 3 / 3 1 / 5 W *it.93 it. 83 5.13^/ *5.08 *5.30 5.08 87 -3 31 23 36 it2 63 It. 90, w it. 73- itit it6 32 17 it. 85 33 it.9it 39 5.10 it.95 it.88 39 32 5.65 (9/18/59) 3.00 ( 3 / 1 7 / 5 W 5.07 17 *5.65 5.33 60 it3 5.it5 2/ 5.3oZ/ 51 28 5.00 11 it.93 7 it.98 21 5.30 50 5.10 26 33 11 5.20 it.82 L8it 25 27 123 -15 it.95 it.93 it.88 11 it. 30 *—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more issues with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision. August 1, I960 -17Part II - Canada The spot Canadian dollar advanced for the fourth consecutive week and closed at 102,66 U.S. cents on July 28. Canadian Treasury bill yields fell appreciably during the week. The net incentive to hold Canadian bills over United States bills was negligible on July 28 (see Table). There was a substantial reduction in the bill holdings of the general public. The Bank of Canada added to its bill holdings during the week and total bills outstanding were reduced. Shorter-term bond yields had an easier tendency but intermediate- and longer-term yields edged upward. Government accounts bought bonds during the week. Industrial stock prices showed little improvementj prices declined further on the Toronto exchange but slight gains were reported on the Montreal exchange. Money market conditions. The average yield on the 3-month Treasury bill declined at last Thursday's auction by 27 basis points to 2.92 per cent from 3.19 per cent the previous week. The 6-month bill rate also declined to 3.15 per cent from 3«Ul per cent the previous week. During the week the general public Fold $37 million of Treasury bills while the Bank of Canada increased its holdings of Treasury bills by $18 million and the chartered banks by $U million (see Table). Total bills outstanding were reduced by $15 million. The average closing rate on day-to-day loans during the week was 3,18 per cent compared with 3.35 per cent a week ago* The spread favoring the Canadian over the U.S. short Treasury bill narrowed during the week to 0.69 per cent from 0.85 per cent the week before, and the discount on the 3-month forward Canadian dollar increased slighly. As a result, the net incentive to hold the Canadian bill declined to 0.33 per cent per per annum from 0.£>lt per cent the week before, the lowest net incentive recorded since June 16. Canadian commercial paper continued to offer incentives for shortterm investment in Canada. According to commercial sources, some examples of short-term (90-day) commercial paper yields and the covered arbitrage as of July 22 were: Yield General Motors Acceptance Corporation Continental Guaranty Corporation United Dominions Imperial Investments Industrial Acceptance Corporation Pacific Finance Corporation Union Acceptance Corporation Traders Finance Corporation Source: Wood, Gundy and Co. 3.73 UoOO U-oo 3-75 3-75 3.75 3-75 3.75 Covered arbitrage 3oUU 3-69 3.69 3.W 3-Wt 3«Wi 3.16 3.B Bond market conditions. Bond yields for the shorter maturities j^ell while intermediate- and long-term issues showed some tendency to rise. The spread between selected comparable Canadian and United States securities (Thursday yields for bills and Wednesday yields for bonds) were as follows (figures in parentheses refer to the previous week): 0<,69 per O06I per Oo92 per loll per 1.25 per cent cent cent cent cent on on on on on a 91-day bill (0.85) a 18'2-day bill (0.77) an 8-year bond (0.85) a 20-year bond (1.12) a 35-year bond (1.2U) During the week the Canadian Government accounts purchased $25 million of bondse The Bank of Canada made net sales of $13 million, the chartered banks sold $3 million, and the general public sold $10 million. While there have been few new issues in recent weeks, the Hudson's Bay Co. Acceptance Ltd0 $10 million offer of 20-year, 6 per cent debentures was heavily over subscribed. Stock exchangeso The prices of industrial stock on the Canadian exchanges continued at low levels, with the Toronto index falling to a new low for the year and the Montreal index up only slightly from the year's record low of last week. New York Standard & Poor Toronto Montreal - High Low 532.9k U72.38 320.0 260.6 65.02 57.00 20 21 22 25 26 L80.25 177.56 U73»75 172.81 172.38 267.0 265.5 262 .L 260.6 261.5 58.90 58.31, 57.95 57.140 57.80 The total turnover of mining and industrial stock on the Toronto exchange fell to 30,000 shares in both April and May, the lowest level in 10 yearse The trading value was just over $90,000,000, about the level of two days' trading in the 1955=56 boom. Average daily volume so far this year is about $2 million,- about two-thirds the level usually experienced„ According to the press, at least part of the decreased demand for Canadian stocks is attributable to a sharp fall off in American interest in the Canadian market. The total value of shares on all Canadian exchanges in May was $liiU million, unchanged from April but substantially below the first-quarter level (see Table)o During May, customer credit declined by about 7 per cent, mostly because of reduced brokers loans. Exchange rates. The spot rate on the Canadian dollar rose during the week and closed at $1*0289 Wednesday, July 27, the highest since mid-May (see Table). The discount on the 3-month forward dollar continued to increase during the week and closed at 0.36 per cent per annum (see Table). -19- Selected Canadian Money Market and Related Data 3-mo. Treas. bills Canada Spread u . s J s / over U.S. Canadian dollar Spot 3-mo. discount (-1 forward premium(+)<y 19$9 - High Low I960 - High Low 6.16 3.2$ $.1U 2.6$ U.49 2.80 U063 2.19 2.96 0.30 0,90 -0.69 10$.$1 102.$8 10$.27 101.31 July 7 3»17 3o2U 3-19 2.92 2»3U 2.37 2.3lt 2.23 0.83 0.87 0.8$ 0.69 101.8U 102.03 102.30 102.66 1U 21 28 Net incentive to hold Can# bill*/ - 0.31 -0.72 0.9b -0.$7 101.86 102.03 102.22 102.$6 0.06 0,0 -0.31 -0.36 0.89 0.87 0.$U 0.33 . a/ Average yield at weekly tender on Thursday, . 2/ Composite market yield for the U.S. Treasury bill on Thursday close of business, c/ In U.S. cents. cf/ Spread between spot rate and 3-month forward Canadian dollar on Thursday closing, expressed as per cent per annum. e/ Spread over U.S. Treasury bill (column 3), plus 3-month forward discount or premium (column 6). Selected Government of Canada Security Yields 6-mo. Treas. bills Spread Canada u?ri/ 19$9 - High Low I960 - High Low Ik 21 28 a/ V bj3l 0/ <y e/ y g/ n/ 3.3$ 3.1$ 3«U 3.1$ oIs$ -0.69 0.U2 0.77 0.77 0.61 $.37 U.S0 $.$$ hoh9 U.$U U.$U k.$$ U.$7 Long-term bonds year) 135 year) Spread Spread Canada over. Canada e/ U.S^Z (20 $.0$ U.73 $.30 kohh 1.11 0.21 0.60 0.86 0.8$ 0.92 $.U2 a.8$ XnXAOOcO CO CO CO CO July 7 6.2k $.11 $.33 2.89 Intermediate bonds (8 yr.) Spread over Canada U.S.d/ 1.22 0.87 1.02 1.0U lol2 1.11 $.28 U.86 1,61 0.98 U.9U Uo90 U.86. • U.87 1.27 1.23 1.2U 1.2$ Average yield at weekly tender on Thursday. ' . Spread between Canadian auction rate and composite market yield of U.S. on close of business Thursday. Government of Canada 2-3A per cent of June 1967-68. Spread over U.S. Government 2-1/2 per cent of 1963-68. Government of Canada 3-lA per cent of October 1979. Spread over U.S. Government 3-lA per cent of 1978-83. Government of Canada 3-3A per cent of Septenber 1996 - March 1998. Spread over U.S. Government of 199$. Canadax Changes in Distribution of Holdings of Canadian Government Direct and Guaranteed Securities Imillions of Canadian dollars, par value; Bank of Canada Tteae* bills Bonds May 25 June 2 9 16 23 30 July 7 lii 21 28 Sources 0 - 5U - l + 20 - h + 5 + 18 - 2 - 15 + 18 Government Total - h - U8 0 + 13 + 13 * 5 + U8 + 12 - 5 - 13 - 3< - 2 - 9 - 12 - 17 0 + 13 - 2 + 13 + 25 Chartered banks Treas. Bonds bills + ko + 32 - 9 - hi * + • 5. U6 21 2U U k + + • • + • - General nubile savings M a s . bonds bill* Bonds 1. 8 5 - 39 - U + 9 - 52 - l + Uo $ 2 11 , 27 6 it 3 - - k9 2 6 6 + 2L • U - 37 Bank of Canada* Weekly financial. Statistics. Credit Provided Through Members of the Stock Exchanges (millions of Canadian dollars) Customers debit balance January February March April May. Sources 158 152 152 158 1U8 Chief sources of funds Customers Brokers free credit loans balances 77 76 68 77 71 35 3k U2 36 38 Bank of Canada Statistical Summary, June I960* Value of shares traded 179 160 172 HOt lUi + + • - 5 73 3 11 U 17 25 15 u 10 f