Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : April 7, 1955
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Not for Publication , DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.14 April 7, 1955 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Moderate volume of offerings last week - Proceeds from large public offerings floated for new capital during the week ending April 1 totaled 8? million dollars for State and local government issues and 35 million for two corporate common stock issues. This week 102 million dollars of large security issues are scheduled for offering. April outlook - The estimate of the corporate volume for 1 new capital in April is 550 million dollars, 13 per cent more than the volume last April but less than half the current estimate of the March 195$ total» The large public issues expected in April total 211 million dollars. Except in the case of the March estimate, when the Gil and Gl.IAG issues totaling 579 million dollars were known z in advance*'this expected forthcoming total is the largest it has been since October. The State and local volume of security issues in April is estimated at 1*00 million dollars, 26 per cent less than the March total and 46 per cent less than the amount offered in April.1954* No large toll read offerings are currently scheduled for flotation this month. Refunding programs - Security issues which include proceeds of 7»5 million dollars or more for refinancing since January 1, 1955, or scheduled for offering thereafter, are listed on pages 3 and 4As in many of the refunding programs last year, a sizable portion of total proceeds from these issues will be used to refund highinterest offerings of the April-September period of 1953. Although refinancing is heavy so far in the first quarter this year compared to that in the last thr.ee years, it has not reached the volume of the last three quarters of 195b, as shown in the table below. Quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1955 1954 1953 1952 320 y 80 495 640 642 93 69 36 60 50 209 228 177 1/ Estimate for February and March of issues over 7.5 million dollars by Federal Reserve. Source.—Securities and Exchange Commission —2— Bond yields - Yields on outstanding U. S. Government longterm bonds increased 3 basis points during the week ending April 1. Daily figures show a further increase for the first two days of this week. Corporate and State and local Aaa yields did not change last week. No change occurred in the yields of the lower-grade bonds Prices lower last week - Stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 2c>5 common stocks, decreased slightly last week to 227.9 Daily indexes indicate some increase on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week after a small decline on Monday. Further details on capital market developments available from exhibits - More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments will be found in the following exhibits which are attached hereto: A B C D " - High-Grade Bond Yields Lower-Grade Bond Yields Stock Market Corporate, and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements E - Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other, than U. S. Treasury) p - Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) G - Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H.lii -3Corporate Refunding Issues, Offered or Proposed i/ Type Issuer Trans florid Airlines - new to refund *Gen'l mtg Deb - new 1st & ref mtg to refund Series bonds Duke Power Amt. (mill, Term doll.) 1*0.0 16.0 1969 1956 1*0.0 1975 32.0 1983 Coupon rate i v k ! Date expected or offered Aimed. Jan. 4 December 1945 " January 13 Various 36.0 33.4 1989 It 1/2 SF deb Deb Deb Deb Deb 25.0 2;8 2.5 4.2 4.8 1980 1963 1965 1966 1973 3.1|0 3 Vli C.& P. Tel. of Balto. - new to refund Deb Deb 25.0 15.0 1995 1984 3 lA 3 1/2 February 2 August 1953 Continental Baking — new to refund Sub deb Cum pfd stock 13.0 13.2 1980 3 5/8 February 24 Various U.S. Plywood to to to to Union Oil . new refund refund refund refund Conv deb new - Pfd stock to refund Purch money oblg to refund Com stock Maryland Casualty — new ' to refund Cum pfd stock 60.0 1975 23.8 . 5.2 1968 January 26 March 1948 October 1950 3 5/8 September 1951 It 1/2 September 1953 3 3-70 March 2 July 1945 , 1 1953 March 16 November 1952 14.0 9.0 1967 1973 Chic., Rock Island & Pac.-new to refund Income deb 'Conv pfd 65.0 61.9 1995 It 1/2 March 24 Various Arkansas Power & Lt. - new to refund 1st mtg bds 1st mtg bds 18.0 18.0 1985 1983 3 3/8 It 1/lt March 30 June 1953 *Notes Cum pfd stock 50.0 44.2 Pure Oil new to refund new to refund Philadelphia Elec. new to refund 1st & ref bds 1st & ref bds 50.0 30.0 104.52 103.45 March 10 July 1946 11.8 11.2 Sub cap deb Deb Pacific Finance 102 1/4 . January 11 3 3/lt September 1953 105.36" Income deb Pfd stock N.Y.> Chicag o & St, Louis - new to refund Current call price n.a. 1985 1983 3 7/8 104 1/4 105.18 Anncd. Mar. 31 September 1937 April 18 May 1953 105.30 H.lU -Incorporate Refunding Issues, Offered or Proposed 2 / new #Secd ser notes Baltimore & Ohio to refund Coll trust bds Jersey Central Bower &. Lt-new to refund 1st mtg bds 1st mtg bds b o Amt. (mill, Term doll.) Type Issuer 1965 1965 20.0 8.5 1985 1983 Coupon rate h h . (Cont'd) Date expected or offered 19§7 May 10 April 1953 Current call price — 10U.86 • nf 7 C mi H i fir lars and over since January 1, 1955* Any difference between the volume of a new offering and the issue to be refunded will be applied towards new capital purposes. 2/ Company plans to place privately in April to refund collateral trust bonds sold to the RFC in 191*7. . a—Private placement. n.a.—Not available. 1 / T n n l 11/-1 fie 4 oo rri n/i -P I - G I A D I BOND YIELDS Weekly 1 3.50 CORPORATE A M U. $. GOVERNMENT leeg-lerm, temekle STATE A N D LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a e Date Corporate Aaa 1/ U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ State and local govt., Aaa 3/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate State and local Aaa (Per cent). 1952 - High 1955 - High Loir 3.03 2.91 3.1*2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.0l* 2.91 March March March March April 3.03 3.01* 3.03 3.01 3.01 1953 - High Low 1951* - High It 11 18 25 1 (l/l*) (2/15) (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (ii/23) (3/11) (1/7) 2.79 2.56 3.15 2.78 2.71* 2.1*1* 2.77 2.62 2.75 2.72 2.69 2.69 2.73 (12/27) (5/17) (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (2/25) (1/7) 2.00 1.65 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.11 2.06 (10/23) (5/1) (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (2/10) (1/6) 2.09 2.09 2.10 2.08 2.08 1.02 .71 .81* .30 .61 .29 .67 .51* .37 .19 .38 .19 .1*3 .32 .31* .25 .28 .32 .31* .32 .28 • .66 .63 .59 .61 ...65 1/ ".Teekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Vfeekly average of daily figures. Old series. Average term to first call of bonds included is 13-11* years. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average terra Ts 20 years. Note.—Higfis and Ions are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. LOWER-GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE Baa V \ STATE A N D LOCAL GOVT STATE A N D LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa 2/ State and local govt, rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1952 - High Loir 1953 - High 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 3.63 3-1*8 3.89 3-50 3.71; 3 .lilt 3.1*9 3.15 March March March March April 3.1*8 3.U9 3.1*9 3.1*8 3.1*8 2* 11 18 25 1 (lA) (5/16) (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31 (3/18) (1/110 2.98 2.1*8 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.08 3.02 3.06 3.07 3.07 3.08 3.08 (10/23) (1*/17) (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (3/31) (1/6) , 2.69 2.27 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.80 2.76 (12/19) (l*/25) (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/lJ) (1*/1) (1/7) 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are includedj their average term is 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bends included is between Baa and Aj average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may for different series. be on different dates EXHIBIT C STOCK M A R K E T Millions of Dollars. Weekly 1952 Stock price index 1/ Per Cent 1953 1954 1955 Stock market credit 3anK Customers' debit bal- loans to , "others" jy ances V Common Trading volume 2/ (millions yields (per cent) of shares) (Millions of dollars) 1952 - High Loir 1953 - High Loir 1951 - Higi 1955 - Higi Low - February March 18 March 25 April 1 165.3 151.7 167.1 lUlt.O 221.U 156.5 231.0 217.1 (12/26) (10/21) (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) O/h) (1/Ui) 226.8 222.7 228,1 227.9 2.0 0.9 2.5 0.9 s. 2.5 3.2 2.9 3,537 1,332 1,211 1,665 l,31ii 2,388 1,653 2,590 2,517 656 552 780 661 1,048 716 1,073 1,018 3,61*3 2,590 1,053 1,052 1,073 5.77 1,986 1,80b 2M5 5.33 Itfd II U.20 h.22 It.21 >.21 l-M 1/ SEC index,of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939-100; converted to 19lt7-lt9-100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 323.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. %f End of month figures.for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry"margin accounts; excludes money borrowed far carrying U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting menber banks. Excludes all loans on U.~S. Goverrments- for 1952; since 1953 only loans secured by Governments at banks in New York and Chicago are excluded. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. n.a.—Not available. Note.—-Highs and lows are for individual series and- may be on different dates for different series. ? Exhibit D H.lU Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) iftevr capital Corporate I e/1+86 e/350 e/r,170 e/550 5a U39 660 U86 - 623 623 666 535 e/310 e/5U0 779 675 1,123 e/UOO State and local I 19^ 1 ~ T ^ r 396 389 360 111 565 • h26 73U 7U8 853 329 6U9 U3U 483 325 . 753 279 261 6U9 519. 259 U75 1,008 577 L29 , i,U3aV 59U U23 877 U53 U08 77U 1,61+3 1,998 1,912 2,578 1,372 2,33b 1,U12 1,899 7,561 a & / 6,to5 652 859 3U6 776 298 592 e/2,005 "3P55" 2,021 1/1,385 1,188 l',89L 6,789 1,176 1,253 1,636 5,U77 Excluding finance caapanies 2/ e/1,605 1,562 1,931 1,941 1,795 7,229 1,669 1,991 1,223 2,3Wi 7,227 ' l/ Includes 602.5 million dollar AT&T debenture issue. " 7/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and personal finance companies. e/ Estimated. Note.—Details may not add to totals -due to rounding. H.Ht Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (L'illions of dollars) Month Corporate 195k - March April May June July August September October November December 1955 - January February March State and local government 160 169 32k 350 336 75 335 413 0 9k Ikl 72 750 Other 2/ 50 378 . 557 557 603 92 86 1*55 388 268 689 3kl 101 337 30 35 Large Individual Issues Offered during March Issuer Type 3/ Amount coupon (millions rate or Offering Maturity of net interyield est cost dollars) Rating CORPORATE May Department Store SF deb. 25.0 Central & South west Corp. Common stk. 20.1 Union Oil Company Conv. deb. 21.0 Pacific Gas & Electric Co. lst&ref mbgbds 5 0 . 0 General Motors Acceptance Corp. Deb. 250.0 General Motors Corp. Common stk. 328.6 Joy Manufacturing Co. SF deb. 20.0 Florida Power & light Co. Common stk. 19.U New England Tel. & Tel. Common stk. 15.7 1980 j 3 iA 3.25 A 1975 1987 3 3 3/8 3.00 3.30 Baa Aa I960;1972 3;3 1/2 3.00;3.50 1975 3 5/8 3.63 Baa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Portland, Oregon State of Louisiana G.O. G.O. 8.0 10.0 .1958-75 1960-70 2.01 2.23 1.15-2.20 1.50-2.35 Aa A H.H* E-2 • Large Individual Issues Offered during March (Cont'd) Type 3/ Coupon Amount I Offering (millions . , rate or Maturity net inter0f yield est cost dollars)I Rating STATE AI-1D LOCAL COVERNIENT (Cont'd)"" Hempstead & N..Hempstead, Hew York Houston," Texas Multnomah County, Oregon Metropolitan r.rater District of Southern Cal. New York Bridge Authority State of South Carolina St. Petersburg, Florida • Caster Bay, Ilew York State of Mississippi State of New Jersey New Jersey Turnpike Auth New York State Georgia State School Building Authority Springfield, Missouri State of Massachusetts Passaic Valley Sewerage, New Jersey Florida State "Improvement C omission G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. L.L. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. L.L. Rev. G.O. L.L. • 15.5 1955-81* 15.0, , 1956-85 12.(6/ 1956-75 8.0 16.0 20.0 UuO .5.8 5.2 6.6 3k.0 50.7 1956-80 1956-89 1956-75 1956-77 1955-83 1971-75 1957-90 1988 1957-2005 29.2 • 1956-71 11.1 1958-82. . 60.9 1956-85 3.08 2.59 1.10-3.13 1.00-3.10 2.02 0.95-2.20 2.19 0.95-2.35 1.00-2.69 0.95-2.10 1.75-3 A 3 1.00-3.05 2.25-2.50 Baa A . Aa 1.10-2 AO Aa A Aa - Ba Baa A Aa 2.26 1.05-2.80 Aaa 3.07 1.25-3.10 1.25-2.35 A ' Aa Aaa 2.61| 1.95 3.50 2.97 2.53 2.19 2.88 • 2.22 2.06 2.81* 1.00-2.30 9.1 1956-71 2.35 1.15-2.50 6.0 1957-83S/ 3.56 3.15-3.50 OTHER None. 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of l£ million dollars and over; State and local government security offerings of 5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for- Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bends; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; and, L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. k/ 3.5 million dollars not reoffered pending settlement of taxpayers' litigation. • 5/ Bends maturing 1957-63 not publicly reoffered. H.U* Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U . S . Treasury ) 1/ • Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large'Issues Date of computation 1951* - Mar. 31. Apr, 30 May 28 June 30' July 30 .. ! Aug. 31 Sept,30 Oct, 29 Nov, 30 Dec. 31 1 9 # - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Subsequent to During month following date shown date shown State and State and Corporate local govtc Other 2/ Corporate local govt. Other 2/ 20l* 323 332 336 100 331 31*3 15 9k 18U 16 710 211 1 86 51* 300 383 1*36 661 2,789 2,322 1,971 1,521* 1,553 1,876 2,158 1,957 2,682 # 5 61*7 526 532 303 608 1*11* 135 21*6 216 27 30 # 7 682 2,11*1* 1,961 1,978 2,009 1*22 1,395 922 •£2U 208 27 30 30 35 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of April 1 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE National Gypsum General Dynamics Corp. Tennessee Gas Transmission Southern California Gas Co, Pacific Northwest Pipeline Fruehauf Trailer Co. Philadelphia Electric Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line ^Pacific Lighting Public Service of Indiana, Inc. Alabama Power Consolidated Natural Gas American Telephone and Telegraph Common stock Conv. deb. Deb. Bonds Interim notes Conv. deb. Bds. Pfd. stock Common stock Pfd. stock 1st mtg. bonds Common stock Conv. deb. 18=6 1*0.0 25.0 1*0.0 . 17.2 15.0 20.0 15.0 20.0 21.3 15.0 2h.k 650.9 April 1* April 5 April 6 April 11 April 11 April 13 April 18 April April May 9 May 21* June i 1955 1 H.1U * F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of April 1 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of dollars) j of offering STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT San Francisco, California Detroit, Michigan Los Angeles, California Public Housing Authorities San Diego County, California Louisville, Kentucky Calcasieu Parish, Louisiana ^ ^Wichita, Kansas State of California *Shreeveport, Louisiana Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. Michigan Turnpike Authority State of Louisiana Florida State Turnpike Authority Illinois Turnpike Authority Connecticut Expressway Texas Turnpike Authority Sam Houston Turnpike Corp. Texas Turnpike Company Dade County Port Authority, Fla. Springfield, Illinois Allegheny County, Pennsylvania Sanitary AuthorityCalifornia Toll Bridge Authority Jersey City Sewerage Auth., N. J. North Carolina Turnpike Authority G.O. G.O. n.a. G.O. 6.9 11.U 9.2 112.0 8.U 7-5 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Rev. Rev. - 5.5 7.1* 30.0 10.0 60.0 186.0 80.0 Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. . Rev. Rev. n.a. 7U-0 390.0 April h April 5 . April 12 April 13 April 19 April 20 April 21 April 26 April 27 April 28 Spring Spring Spring Spring 1955 100.0 1955 58.5 .1955 11*6.0 1955 UiO.O 1955 21.0 1955 9.0 1955 85.0 • 1955 235.0 1955 16.0 1955 200.0 1955 • OTHER None - 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of 15 million dollars and over; State and local government issues of 5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. n.a.—Not available. ^--Included in table for first time. Exhibit G Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date Aa-rated offering yields A-ratcd offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual (per cent) seasoned yields (per cent) seasoned yields (basis points) (basis points) 195,2 average 3.16 13 3.32 12 1953 average 3-U3 # 3.79 27 192k average 3.0U 1951| - January February March April May June July August September October November December 3.20 3.02 " *2.93 2.99 3.00 *3*00 None None 3.02 3.03 None . None 3 3.12 6 0 0 5 it 1 *3.32 — — 3 3 — . 1955 - January 19 3.15 13 February 2k 22 3.lit 7 March 10 16 31- 3.17, 8 *3.20 ' 3.02 3.10 3.1^ 3.11+ *3.13 3.11 *3.10 3.10 • None 3.11 - -3 . 2 -1 -10 -6 0 -2 -1 -1 -3 -2 0 3.23 9 3.27 12 3.30 12 Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. *—Single observation, not an average.